Speaker 1: Welcome. Players, You're welcome. It's time now penny the penny.
Speaker 1: We know it is dear to your heart, but it
Speaker 1: is now week six in the NFL, and we have
Speaker 1: all your Sunday and Monday NFL handicapping information. It is
Speaker 1: the fifth Hour with Ben Maller and David Gascon. But
Speaker 1: this is our hard oh gambling podcast. You have come
Speaker 1: to the right place if you're looking for some knowledge
Speaker 1: on these games. The way this works, all right, let
Speaker 1: me tell you something. The way we do this, okay,
Speaker 1: I will give you my opinion on all these games.
Speaker 1: You should not bet on every one of these games
Speaker 1: the way I would like you to consume this podcast.
Speaker 1: If you're a gambler, all right, do your own homework.
Speaker 1: But if your research and my research lines up, then
Speaker 1: that is food for thought. And I believe you should
Speaker 1: go forward with a wager, all right, But don't just
Speaker 1: be a pushover and whatever mil or like someone a buttter. No, no, no,
Speaker 1: no no. I'm giving you my educated opinion on what's
Speaker 1: gonna happen. I spent way too much times one of
Speaker 1: my hobbies here to look at the numbers and crunch
Speaker 1: the numbers. But as my friend Dick Stockton's famously said
Speaker 1: years ago, I say friend, he was a barely a friend.
Speaker 1: But Dick Stockton told me said, listen, stats tell you
Speaker 1: what has happened. They don't tell you what's gonna happen,
Speaker 1: which is true, which is true. So you can have
Speaker 1: all the numbers in front of you, but you know, bizarre,
Speaker 1: crazy crap seems to happen. Uh and all that. But
Speaker 1: we will not be talking about the Bills, Colts, Bears,
Speaker 1: and Raiders. All of them are on the bye week
Speaker 1: this week, so they are all not playing. And Gascon,
Speaker 1: I would like you to talk slowly and loudly. I
Speaker 1: am as hot as fire right now. I am. I mean,
Speaker 1: I thought I want to bribe here, but this is
Speaker 1: a wake up call. I mean for people that that
Speaker 1: are are shipping on me. I have put the pedal
Speaker 1: to the medal so far this season, and I have
Speaker 1: put up a lot of cush, a lot of cush.
Speaker 1: And the nice thing is is that your listeners are
Speaker 1: always asking about you, your performances, and they also want
Speaker 1: to know about the penny, and the penny last week
Speaker 1: finished a blazing eleven and three. Now nobody cares about
Speaker 1: the pin nobody cares about. I am destroying the penny
Speaker 1: of this work tool. And twenty six I have a
Speaker 1: six six seven against the spread documented record. That's pretty good.
Speaker 1: I know you cheer for the penny because you're an idiot. Well,
Speaker 1: but you got screwed out of one game that was
Speaker 1: your game, the Thursday night one from that was a
Speaker 1: bad beat man that that killed me. Man, I had
Speaker 1: that game and they But to be fair, I have
Speaker 1: won a couple of games that I had no business winning.
Speaker 1: So that remember the Redskins scored up back door touchdown
Speaker 1: against the Philly in Week one that came out of
Speaker 1: left field, and uh so they covered the cover the number.
Speaker 1: All right, well, let's get to it here. I guess Joan,
Speaker 1: are you gonna be this your Is this your best
Speaker 1: start ever since versus the penning started in your career? Yeah,
Speaker 1: you know, it's right up there. I don't that's hard.
Speaker 1: My memory is kind of I try to forget about
Speaker 1: a lot of this stuff. But yeah, I mean, I
Speaker 1: would think it's hard to push back against that that.
Speaker 1: I've had some really shitty years. So I've been like
Speaker 1: five weeks in. I'm like I'm under five, you know,
Speaker 1: I'm just five hundred to be at this point and
Speaker 1: have a record where you you are, you know, twenty
Speaker 1: six games above five hundred against the spread, that is, Yeah,
Speaker 1: it's gotta be. I can't remember a year where I
Speaker 1: was that far up at this particular point. Anyway, al Right,
Speaker 1: first up, Carolina at Tampa Bay. It's in London. This
Speaker 1: is an NFL Network game. It starts at nine in
Speaker 1: the East, but for those of us that live in
Speaker 1: the West, six thirty in the morning, which means I
Speaker 1: will not be watching a second of this game. Uh.
Speaker 1: The NFL care so little about this. They're having Rich
Speaker 1: Eyes and Kurt Warner and Steve Mariushi called the game
Speaker 1: with Michael Irvin. Uh. It's on on NFL Network at
Speaker 1: six in the morning. The game open to pick him now.
Speaker 1: Carolina is a two and a half, so it's essentially
Speaker 1: a neutral site game. The big games being played at
Speaker 1: Tottenham's Hotspur Stadium in London, if that does anything for you.
Speaker 1: The weather calls for rain showers and sixty two degrees
Speaker 1: fahrenheit at kickoff. I'm gonna take Carolina in this game,
Speaker 1: and I'll tell you why. Number one after this signature
Speaker 1: win over the Rams, the Buccaneers. They came tumbling back
Speaker 1: to reality the last week against the New Orleans says.
Speaker 1: Now they are in another divisional Donnie Brook against Carolina.
Speaker 1: Both these teams will be on vacation next week after
Speaker 1: they come back from and so they're both looking at
Speaker 1: a bye week, all right. This will be a rematch
Speaker 1: of week two. And Tampa Bay won that game. It
Speaker 1: was ugly. That was a Cam Newton special fourteen and
Speaker 1: if you watch that game, Cam Newton was the reason
Speaker 1: the Panthers lost. So you love Carolina in a revenge spot.
Speaker 1: And now they have a legit quarterback as well, which
Speaker 1: is another reason to give you the daily double here
Speaker 1: to like the Carolina Panthers. And after losing the first
Speaker 1: two games that year with Cam Newton, Carolina now has
Speaker 1: reeled off three straight victories, all of them under the
Speaker 1: tutelage of Kyle Allen at quarterback. And he is just
Speaker 1: the third Carolina quarterback all time to win each of
Speaker 1: his first three NFL starts. The other ones to do it,
Speaker 1: you know who they are. I'm gonna say. I'm gonna
Speaker 1: say Carrie Collins and Jake Delone what half right? Jake
Speaker 1: delm is correct. The other one is now a blowhard
Speaker 1: on l A radio. Rodney Pete, how about that. That's
Speaker 1: a long time ago. Man. They're gonna stay like Steve
Speaker 1: Burline or something like that. Well, we could throw him
Speaker 1: in there, but this Kyle Allen, he's he's not just
Speaker 1: along for the ride here. He's not sitting in the
Speaker 1: back of the bus. He's in the front of the bus.
Speaker 1: Allen is fourth in the entire NFL and quarterback rating.
Speaker 1: And I expect this to be a close game. Most
Speaker 1: divisional games are closed. But the key here's I'm gonna
Speaker 1: put my money on Christian McCaffrey and defected. Up until
Speaker 1: this point, Kyle Allen, knock on wood has not thrown interception.
Speaker 1: Panthers will pull away late Panthers thirty four bucks, twenty four.
Speaker 1: I don't know what the hell you just knocked on,
Speaker 1: but it wasn't would anyways, Penny's going with the Compenny
Speaker 1: is coming with the Panthers as well. I can't afford
Speaker 1: real woods, so it's a fake. Alright, alright, next up,
Speaker 1: don't judge me. Be sure to catch live editions of
Speaker 1: The Ben Maller Show weekdays at two am Eastern eleven
Speaker 1: pm Pacific on Fox Sports Radio and the I Heart Radio.
Speaker 1: Don't judge all right? Cincinnati oh in five at Baltimore
Speaker 1: three and two. It is a CBS game with Kevin
Speaker 1: Harlan and Rich Gannon. The Ravens opened up an eight
Speaker 1: and a half point favorite. They are favorite by eleven
Speaker 1: and a half. It's gonna be partly sunny, sixties six
Speaker 1: degrees at kickoff at m n T Bank Stadium in
Speaker 1: Donald Trump's favorite city of Baltimore, Maryland. I am gonna
Speaker 1: take Cincinnati, and I don't love doing this, but you
Speaker 1: have to do it. I have to stick to my
Speaker 1: principles as a gambler, and so I'm gonna take Cincinnati.
Speaker 1: But first of all, it is always risky to bet
Speaker 1: on bad teams. However, if you do this a lot,
Speaker 1: there is value. These are the orphans of the NFL.
Speaker 1: You want to be on the side of the book.
Speaker 1: You No one's gonna bet on the Cincinnati Bengals. Why
Speaker 1: would you? But this is actually a good spot for
Speaker 1: the Bankers. Why the Ravens are coming off an overtime
Speaker 1: game against an arch rival in their in their division, Pittsburgh,
Speaker 1: and they have to take on the Seahawks next week.
Speaker 1: So this is what's known as yep sandwich game, right
Speaker 1: this is now it's a divisional game, but it's still
Speaker 1: a sandwich game because you had a key divisional game
Speaker 1: with Pittsburgh, hard fought overtime game. You got a showcase
Speaker 1: game against the Seahawks next week, and nobody bets on
Speaker 1: the Bengals. Nobody gets up for Cincinnati. The Bengals and
Speaker 1: Ravens have actually split forty six meetings all time, and
Speaker 1: the Bengals, as miserable as they've been, have one two
Speaker 1: of the last three meetings, eight to the last eleven.
Speaker 1: I know it's a different Bengal team. They're they're terrible.
Speaker 1: I get that, but I'm on the side of Cincinnati.
Speaker 1: And and secondly, the other thing here's quietly Lamar Jackson
Speaker 1: has regressed. All that hoop law hand him the m
Speaker 1: v P after two weeks, that's calmed down. Last two weeks,
Speaker 1: Lamar Jackson's the twenty seventh ranked quarterback in the NFL.
Speaker 1: The last four weeks, Lamar Jackson's the twenty ninth ranked
Speaker 1: quarterback in the NFL. So life is just really that
Speaker 1: first game against Miami that he was lighting the world
Speaker 1: on fire. Uh, and and he's come back crashing down
Speaker 1: to earth. And so now now he obviously has the
Speaker 1: running ability and the Bengals are a sloppy tackling team,
Speaker 1: which does give me a little plause here, like Lamar
Speaker 1: Jackson could run for a hundred and seventy yards in
Speaker 1: this game and and kill you. Um but Cincinnati, Uh,
Speaker 1: they have been, next to the Dolphins, the worst team
Speaker 1: in football because they have only led for a little
Speaker 1: over fifty one minutes of game time, second lowest in
Speaker 1: the NFL. You know how many minutes the Miami Dolphins
Speaker 1: have had the lead. I'm gonna say four minutes, close
Speaker 1: less than four minutes, three minutes and forty seven seconds
Speaker 1: heading into Week six. That is that is craziness. That
Speaker 1: assuming that the Bengals actually put in an honest effort
Speaker 1: guest gun, which is a big assumption, right, I mean
Speaker 1: it's a big assumption. Uh. You know, I would think
Speaker 1: that Andy Dalton he's fine in non prime time games.
Speaker 1: And the Ravens past defense is not as good as advertised,
Speaker 1: So it behooves one to bet on the Bengals. You
Speaker 1: gotta cover your eyes here, close your mouth. The whole
Speaker 1: thing and take the Bengals to cover Ravens twenty four
Speaker 1: Bengals seventeen. I mean it's like you're drinking pepto every
Speaker 1: time you take a bad team. Penny's going with the Ravens.
Speaker 1: You've done this the last three or four weeks. You
Speaker 1: started off with Miami and Cincinnati in weeks one and two. Well,
Speaker 1: Cincinnati did cover a week one dummy. They covered against Seattle.
Speaker 1: That wasn't a bad bet, okay. And the Redskins, yeah,
Speaker 1: I have one money with the Redskins Dolphins, Dolphins, No,
Speaker 1: but the Redskins against Philly they cut also dangerous. Such
Speaker 1: a hater, man, I just do such a hitter. Why
Speaker 1: can't why why can't I get a Bennett to work
Speaker 1: with me, a real cheerleader. That could be arranged. We
Speaker 1: got plenty of listeners on the streets. Be sure to
Speaker 1: catch live editions The Ben Maller Show weekdays at two
Speaker 1: am Eastern Pacific. Wow. Alright, next up Seattle at Cleveland
Speaker 1: and it is on Fox, and we've got Chris Myers,
Speaker 1: my former colleague, our former colleague with Darryl Moose Johnston. There.
Speaker 1: The Browns opened up a two and a half point favorite.
Speaker 1: Then everyone saw them play Monday night football and to
Speaker 1: Seattle is now a two point favorite. Last I saw here,
Speaker 1: And this is at First Energy Stadium in Cleveland, not
Speaker 1: corporately named at all. Partly sunny and a mild tepid degrees.
Speaker 1: That is beautiful weather for Cleveland. Just wait another month
Speaker 1: or two and see what the weather is like. But
Speaker 1: the pick is in, and I am gonna take. Oh boy,
Speaker 1: you're gonna You're gonna give me ship for this. I'm
Speaker 1: taking the Cleveland Browns. I'm taking the Cleveland Browns here. Uh.
Speaker 1: And I'll tell you why. Russell Wilson has been wonderful,
Speaker 1: but more importantly, he's been lucky, and luck doesn't normally continue. Uh.
Speaker 1: The Seattle has stolen two games by Mike can I
Speaker 1: already mentioned the Bengal game Week one, where Cincinnati had
Speaker 1: over two hundred more yards of offense and and they
Speaker 1: somehow managed to lose that at the end. And then
Speaker 1: you've got the Legatron missed field goal. In other words,
Speaker 1: imagine what the public perception of Seattle would be if,
Speaker 1: instead of having that shining for and one record, the
Speaker 1: Seahawks had a two and three record, which is what
Speaker 1: their record would be had those games gone the other way.
Speaker 1: And I don't know if some butts were candy and
Speaker 1: nuts at bet Christmas every day, but I mean you
Speaker 1: gotta factor that in here, and this would be a
Speaker 1: tremendous value play. And the way I look at that,
Speaker 1: those are essentially losses for me, for for Seattle in
Speaker 1: those two games here. So the public is also loading
Speaker 1: up in Seattle. You love to bet against the public
Speaker 1: when they load up on these teams. Now, part the
Speaker 1: Baker Mayfield is the bottom of the barrel, whatever is
Speaker 1: behind your toilet. Uh he is. That is how he
Speaker 1: is doing. He's not even a run of the mill quarterback,
Speaker 1: all right. He is pouring bleach down his throat every
Speaker 1: time he plays here, and in most of these games
Speaker 1: he has a dreadful sixty eight point five pass a.
Speaker 1: Ready to put that in perspective, only Luke Falk and
Speaker 1: Josh Rosen have been worse from the Jets and Dolphins, respectively.
Speaker 1: It really is a reached critical mass here for Mayfield.
Speaker 1: The contrast this week is stunning. Russell Wilson has been
Speaker 1: the top rated quarterback this season. The Browns they're coming
Speaker 1: off a bye. Uh, They're They've also got the bye
Speaker 1: week next week, I should say, so there is some
Speaker 1: question about how focused they're getting. Sometimes, you know, the
Speaker 1: day before school ends or a vacation, you're not. You're
Speaker 1: just kind of going through the motions and all that.
Speaker 1: But all that said, you bet on Cleveland in this
Speaker 1: spot because when the opposing team has little pass rush,
Speaker 1: Baker Mayfield will do well. The Ravens had no pastures.
Speaker 1: Now seele has got some big names on defense, but
Speaker 1: they have not been a top notch team getting to
Speaker 1: the quarterback. So a lot of chubble love love running
Speaker 1: the ball for the Brownies here home field and all that,
Speaker 1: and I will take Cleveland Browns. They'll win the game
Speaker 1: out white in a surprise, a stunner and they say
Speaker 1: the Browns are back. They'll finally throw the ball at
Speaker 1: Odell Beckham. Browns Seahawks twenty one bounce back looking for
Speaker 1: their first home win of the season. Penny's also going
Speaker 1: with the Browns. Uh, interesting, you were mocking me, and
Speaker 1: then the penny agreed. Next a bad team, though they're
Speaker 1: not a bad team like my Browns are a bad team.
Speaker 1: They are they're playing like I mean, did you see
Speaker 1: the game against the forty. They got punched in the
Speaker 1: face repeatedly. I mean like they look like the Bengals.
Speaker 1: They don't want to play there. Ridiculous. What's your jokes anyway?
Speaker 1: All right, moving on, Fox Sports Radio has the best
Speaker 1: sports talk lineup in the nation. Catch all of our
Speaker 1: shows at Fox Sports Radio dot com and within the
Speaker 1: I Heart Radio app search f s R to listen live.
Speaker 1: Let's get trivial. You ready to get less trivial? Let's
Speaker 1: get all right? Which quarterback leads the NFL with six
Speaker 1: miscommunications with his receivers? So the most disconnect between the quarterback? Now,
Speaker 1: this according to the advanced statistics of the NFL. So
Speaker 1: I don't know if I believe this or not. How
Speaker 1: do they judge when a miscommunication is But they say
Speaker 1: this quarterback has had six. That is the most of
Speaker 1: any one quarterback in the NFL. We'll give me the
Speaker 1: answer coming up in a couple of minutes. Next up,
Speaker 1: this is one of the showcase games this weekend for
Speaker 1: me Houston three and two at Cansa City four and one.
Speaker 1: It is on CBS with Iron Eagle and Dan Fouts.
Speaker 1: The Chiefs opened up an eight and a half point favorite,
Speaker 1: but the public is flocking to Houston. They can't bet
Speaker 1: on them enough. Give me, gimme, gimme, gimme, gimme, gimme, gimme, gimme, gimme, gimme,
Speaker 1: gimme the Texans. They're all saying, Uh. The forecast at
Speaker 1: Arrowhead sunny fifty six degrees at kickoff, with beautiful barbecue
Speaker 1: smells in the air. Oh God, what a fine city.
Speaker 1: I love Kansas City, one of my favorite cities. Just
Speaker 1: the barbecue people are nice too. All right, a couple
Speaker 1: of things. I'm gonna take the Chiefs here. I'll tell
Speaker 1: you why. Now, who are the real Houston Texans? Betting
Speaker 1: on the Texans is a crapshoot. Last game against the
Speaker 1: morbid Falcons team, the Texans had ten plays of twenty
Speaker 1: or more yards. That's the most in their franchisees history.
Speaker 1: But a lot of that was a byproduct of Atlanta
Speaker 1: not being interested, right, and it's just kind of going
Speaker 1: through the motions and all that stuff, and that's sound
Speaker 1: of their playbook there. The Falcons no defensive intensity and
Speaker 1: Deshaun Watson had a record breaking day and we will
Speaker 1: give him that, but he's like a human yo Yo,
Speaker 1: this guy against the lingering and banged up Chiefs defense,
Speaker 1: you figure he's gonna play well. But he struggled mightily
Speaker 1: against Jacksonville, which does not have a top notch defense.
Speaker 1: I also had problems against the Carolina Panthers. Deshaun Watson
Speaker 1: did and in the second The big part of this
Speaker 1: is we need Patrick Mahomes I do to snap out
Speaker 1: of the funk. Mr Automatica has not been Mr Automatica
Speaker 1: in recent games. She said, A couple of dots. You say,
Speaker 1: the law of averages. He was due for that, but
Speaker 1: against the Lions and the Colts, not nearly the super
Speaker 1: nova the force multiplier that he has been so far.
Speaker 1: And the excuse band is like, well, let's strike up
Speaker 1: the band. He's hurt blah blah blah blah blah blah.
Speaker 1: The last two weeks, Mahomes is the twenty night quarterback
Speaker 1: in the NFL twenty that's your m v P. The
Speaker 1: Chiefs have a short week. This is the one thing
Speaker 1: that scares me about Kansas City have a short week.
Speaker 1: They played Denver in four days after this game, which
Speaker 1: is not the ideal set up. Nevertheless, you like the
Speaker 1: hungry team coming off a loss that's Kansas City suffering defeat,
Speaker 1: the agony of defeat for the first time. So like
Speaker 1: a boomerang, Kansas City comes back around. They ain't losing
Speaker 1: back to back games. This will be a shootout. But
Speaker 1: I'm gonna take Patrick Mahomes and his weaponry Chiefs thirty
Speaker 1: seven Texans thirty one plus Kids City. He's getting some
Speaker 1: guys back. You just hate DeShawn Watson, so the penny
Speaker 1: is gone with the Texans that hates the right emotion.
Speaker 1: You are disgusted with Deshaun Watson, like to point out
Speaker 1: that he's over rated, over rated. I'm surprised you didn't
Speaker 1: call it Deshaun Watson that stuff in the back of
Speaker 1: your toilet. And that's how much disgusted and anks you
Speaker 1: have for a guy like him. I know you love him.
Speaker 1: You're a big jock snifference, you're a fanboy. I get
Speaker 1: it tough to work with a guy like me. I
Speaker 1: crucify everyone. You know how I am New Orleans four
Speaker 1: and one at Jacksonville. How about them Jags? You say,
Speaker 1: how about them Jags? Jacksonville losing last week to the
Speaker 1: Carolina Panthers, so they have a two and three record
Speaker 1: now after that performance the two and three record. I
Speaker 1: am going to this game's on CBS. By the way,
Speaker 1: Greg Gumbel and Trent Green. The Jags opened a one
Speaker 1: and app point favorite their favorite by one. It's gonna
Speaker 1: be mostly sunny and hot, eighty three degrees. That kick
Speaker 1: off at t I A a bank field, whatever that is.
Speaker 1: That's the place in Jacksonville with the pool. I'm gonna
Speaker 1: take the jackson I'm I'm I'm gonna take Gardner, Minshew
Speaker 1: and and coming here now. First of all, listen, Teddy Bridgewater,
Speaker 1: I look like a complete donkey. I did a monologue
Speaker 1: about how the Saints were in trouble with Bridgewater and
Speaker 1: on it. I really believe that he has been much
Speaker 1: better than anticipating is three and all as a starter
Speaker 1: this year, he's completed at least sevent of his passes
Speaker 1: in a remedial passing game that the Ravens or the
Speaker 1: Saints have been running. Here, he's the first Saints quarterback
Speaker 1: and history to have three starts to win his first
Speaker 1: three starts while completing sevent his passes. So this is
Speaker 1: historic start. But it is a dumb down playbook. This
Speaker 1: is very few exotic plays. Hey it's working right, stupid
Speaker 1: it don't fix it. It's working. I get it, But
Speaker 1: is that gonna work this week? Just because it's worked
Speaker 1: in past weeks doesn't mean it's gonna work this week.
Speaker 1: It is a road game. Uh. Secondly, the Jags are
Speaker 1: looking to bounce back. Remember we like the team's coming
Speaker 1: off a loss to bounce back late loss to Carolina
Speaker 1: last week. Now, one thing that has been reliable is
Speaker 1: Gardner Minshew the second. He has a thousand and four
Speaker 1: passing yards and no interceptions in his first four career starts. Now,
Speaker 1: to put that in perspective, we use this the other
Speaker 1: night on the radio show. But Gardner Minshew now joining
Speaker 1: Dak Prescott as the only other quarterback in NFL history
Speaker 1: that at least a thousand yards and no interceptions in
Speaker 1: his first four career starts. He's been that good. Now,
Speaker 1: I picked an off week from the Saints just a
Speaker 1: feeling I have here. It's have a hunch, better bunch.
Speaker 1: I love the unique Gardner Minshew Minshew mania and all
Speaker 1: that with the guts and the guile. Very accurate. The
Speaker 1: most important skill is accuracy for a quarterback. And I
Speaker 1: also have Leonard for net as well, a top notch
Speaker 1: running back at least have been the top running back
Speaker 1: in the second half of games, mainly because of that
Speaker 1: Bronco game. Uh. In the NFL, Jacksonville will win this game,
Speaker 1: Jaguars twenty four Saints A penny likes the stash as well.
Speaker 1: Go with the Jags, all right? Next up Philadelphia Philly?
Speaker 1: At who uh that would be? They would be the Minnesotavice. Actually,
Speaker 1: before we get that, have I paid off the I
Speaker 1: don't think I've paid off these. That's a bad job
Speaker 1: by mean. All right, let's get trivial. Uh. So, the
Speaker 1: question was which quarterback leads in the NFL with six
Speaker 1: misscommunications with his receivers? Go ahead again. At first I
Speaker 1: thought this question was based off of Deshaun Watson, But
Speaker 1: after further review, I'm gonna say it is Captain Kirk Cousins.
Speaker 1: Not a bad guess. It's not DeShawn Watson. It's not
Speaker 1: Kirk Cousins, Believe it or not. According to the advanced
Speaker 1: NFL statistics, it is Patty Mahomes. Patrick Mahomes of Kansas
Speaker 1: City has had six six misscommunications with his receivers and
Speaker 1: followed by Andy Dalton and Marcus Mariota and even Aaron
Speaker 1: Rodgers is on this list. Did you look at that
Speaker 1: stat based on on per game or was it just
Speaker 1: a body of work. No, it's not it's not per game.
Speaker 1: I believe it's told which see I agree with you.
Speaker 1: I looked at that. I said that seems pretty low.
Speaker 1: I think that everyone would have miscommunications more than six.
Speaker 1: You know, has Josh Rosen? You think Rosen would be
Speaker 1: up there. He looks like he has no idea what
Speaker 1: his doesn't look like he knows who his receivers are.
Speaker 1: It looks like the receivers are running one playbook and
Speaker 1: he's finding the other playbook. It's it's pretty wild, all right.
Speaker 1: Next up Philadelphia. As I said at Minnesota three and
Speaker 1: two two three and two versus three and two on
Speaker 1: Fox with our friend Malley Militia man, Kenny Albert, friend
Speaker 1: of the show, and Charles Davis, great guy. I love
Speaker 1: Charles Davis, the voice of Mad. We used to have
Speaker 1: him on all the time when I did daytime radio
Speaker 1: on the weekends. So the Vikings opened up a three
Speaker 1: point favorite. They are currently favored by three. Now it's
Speaker 1: gonna be cloudy and forty degrees that kickoff outside the stadium,
Speaker 1: but inside US Bank Stadium, it will be fine. Uh,
Speaker 1: it'll it'll be perfectly fine. There nothing nothing to worry
Speaker 1: about here. The pick is in. I'm gonna take the
Speaker 1: Minnesota Vikings in this game. I'm gonna take a swing
Speaker 1: with Minnesota. A couple of reasons. Why all right? Which now,
Speaker 1: obviously which Kirk Cousins is gonna show up? He was
Speaker 1: back playing like a guy with surgical precision last week
Speaker 1: against the Giants. In fact, he was so good he
Speaker 1: got a presidential congratulatory phone call from press and Donald Trump.
Speaker 1: You see that, guest, When did it happened? Trump called
Speaker 1: Kirk Cousins on Sunday after his game against the Giants
Speaker 1: to congratulate him on the win. You're gonna piss off
Speaker 1: a lot of your listeners. Why you mentioned Trump? People
Speaker 1: get triggered. Well, I know there's the snowflakes, don't like.
Speaker 1: I think that's fascinating, man, because like, just like it's
Speaker 1: a regular season game, like Trump. Apparently Cousins golf with
Speaker 1: Trump a while ago, and so they're they're they're boys
Speaker 1: A little big. I mean still, I remember when I
Speaker 1: was a kid, it was like a big thing. If
Speaker 1: you won the Super Bowl or the World Series, the
Speaker 1: president would call and talk to the coach and say
Speaker 1: good job by you, and all this stuff was a
Speaker 1: tradition in America. I stopped years ago. But a regular
Speaker 1: season game. Well, the good news here for Kirk Cousins
Speaker 1: is why the Eagles are a winning team, which is
Speaker 1: a problem. Philadelphia is also twenty seven in the NFL
Speaker 1: and past defense, which you figure bode well for the
Speaker 1: Vikings offensively. Now that said the Eagles because became the
Speaker 1: first team with ten sacks and two defensive touchdowns in
Speaker 1: a single game in NFL history, just last week. But
Speaker 1: there's an asterisk next to that. You know why there's
Speaker 1: an asterisk that because they played the Jets and Luke Folks.
Speaker 1: So it wasn't like a real It was like playing
Speaker 1: the j V. You know, you run up to score.
Speaker 1: It was a money, money game earlier in the year
Speaker 1: in college football. Um. Now, part be my main reason
Speaker 1: to like Minnesota be on that side. Here is the
Speaker 1: matchup the mental side of gambling, which we often bring up.
Speaker 1: I bring this up. I believe in this this mojoe.
Speaker 1: Philadelphia has a matchup next week against the Cowboys, and
Speaker 1: if you don't know anything about the Eagle franchise. This
Speaker 1: is a massively important game. The Eagle Cowboy rivalry is insane, right.
Speaker 1: The people of Philadelphia, the whole city, the whole community,
Speaker 1: and it's big for the players also, and that that's
Speaker 1: the only other threat to Philadelphia in the NFC East.
Speaker 1: The Giants are a joke, the Redskins are an embarrassment.
Speaker 1: So it's really the Cowboys are Eagles. Is a two
Speaker 1: horse race in that division. So what does that mean?
Speaker 1: That means that that makes this game a peek a
Speaker 1: boo game, right, peek a boot you get caught looking
Speaker 1: ahead and surprise. Uh. Plus, the Eagles are the popular
Speaker 1: pick by popular people in Joe public. I like betting
Speaker 1: on the side of the bookie, I like betting against
Speaker 1: the public. There's a lot of green on green here.
Speaker 1: Financially your toss in Dalwin Cook, who has seven hundred
Speaker 1: and forty two scrimmage yard through five games, the second
Speaker 1: most by a Viking through five games since Adrian Peterson
Speaker 1: in his MVP year back in the day. And now
Speaker 1: Philadelphia has got a good run defense, but they played
Speaker 1: some teams that don't run the ball that well at all.
Speaker 1: I believe the Vikings will have a feel good week.
Speaker 1: A surprise, Philly gets caught peeking ahead. Vikings thirty Eagles
Speaker 1: twenty three. That number of three penny likes Philadelphia on
Speaker 1: the road. All right, there you go, enjoy Philadelphia. Next
Speaker 1: up Washington, oh In five at Miami O and four's
Speaker 1: game should not be televised. It's on Fox, so you
Speaker 1: better not watch who is who's calling this game? Guest,
Speaker 1: I'm gonna say, for for a million dollars, is it
Speaker 1: Dick Stockton, No, shocker of shockers, It's not Dick Stockton.
Speaker 1: I was I. I thought the same thing. Sam Rosen,
Speaker 1: Sam Roses gonna call this game. Poor Sam Rosen with
Speaker 1: what I know, he's getting pin a lot of money
Speaker 1: with Ronde Barber No all a real quick bet. I
Speaker 1: know that obviously this is a a pick up game
Speaker 1: for you in terms of betting and whatnot. But a
Speaker 1: a sports book in Las Vegas actually sends us out
Speaker 1: weekly lines for games and prop bets, and at the
Speaker 1: time'll have this game. It's called the Ineptitude Bowl, that
Speaker 1: is what it is. It says, well, the Redskins or
Speaker 1: Dolphins game will end in a tie, and there's actually
Speaker 1: a bet that you can make plus twelve hundred for Yes,
Speaker 1: it'll end in tie, Ma'll end with one team winning it. Yeah, yeah,
Speaker 1: well I would call it the suck ball because they
Speaker 1: both suck. They are terrible. Yeah, I can't believe you
Speaker 1: captain game. Yeah all right, well, the Redskins. There's money
Speaker 1: to be made here. You know, you can win just
Speaker 1: as much money betting on this game as you can't
Speaker 1: betting on the prime time games Miami. Uh. As a
Speaker 1: home team coming off a bye week, the Redskins are
Speaker 1: They opened up a six and a half point favorite.
Speaker 1: Somehow the public is betting on the Dolphins, and the
Speaker 1: Redskins are down to a three and a half point
Speaker 1: favorite at hard Rock Stadium. The forecast calls for partly
Speaker 1: sunny eighty four degrees, typical Miami weather this time of
Speaker 1: the year. And I'm gonna take the red Skins. Uh
Speaker 1: ca'n on the Redskins. Now, a couple of things here.
Speaker 1: I almost spent a lot of time on this, But
Speaker 1: number one, I did see the interim coach. Now, Bill
Speaker 1: Callaghan is gonna make his debut on the sidelines. Jay
Speaker 1: Gruden was giving the given the boat kick to the curb,
Speaker 1: thrown overboard, whatever you want to say. Callaghan has cut
Speaker 1: out music in practice. He has attempted to lay down
Speaker 1: the lumber to get this Redskins team more focused, doing
Speaker 1: some old school coaching techniques. I also saw where case
Speaker 1: Keenom is gonna get the ball to start this game.
Speaker 1: He's actually the best of the quarterbacks of the Redskins,
Speaker 1: which isn't saying much. He's also played better on the
Speaker 1: road than he has at home. Miami's defense, I mean
Speaker 1: they suck at everything, you know, the Dolphins. I saw
Speaker 1: the stat this. I had to look at this three times.
Speaker 1: The Dolphins defense are allowing opponents to convert fifty seven
Speaker 1: point eight percent of the third down, almost sixty percent
Speaker 1: of the time. If you on third down you get
Speaker 1: a first down. That is unbelievable. Oh man, all right. Uh. Secondly,
Speaker 1: that this isn't both these teams want to lose. I
Speaker 1: get that. The franchises, I love. The Redskins fired their coach.
Speaker 1: They still it is the suck balls we said. The
Speaker 1: Dolphins also get to play the thing of the Dolphins.
Speaker 1: They get to play the Jets two times and the Bengals.
Speaker 1: So the NFL schedule gods are really making it difficult
Speaker 1: for Miami to go oh in sixteen, right, I mean
Speaker 1: they would that would be the greatest own sixteen of
Speaker 1: all time. If they lose two to the Jets, they
Speaker 1: lose to the Bengals and the Redskins. Right, those are
Speaker 1: five winnable game and I admit this is a winnable
Speaker 1: game for the Dolphins. Uh, But I mean the idea
Speaker 1: that you could have any kind of money on the Dolphins,
Speaker 1: I I I left that I'm off them after the
Speaker 1: first couple of weeks here, Um, Brian Floores and the
Speaker 1: Dolphins and Josh Rosen look like they've never played football before, right,
Speaker 1: never played not not firing on all cylinders, firing on
Speaker 1: no cylinders? Uh? Is the Miami Dolphins here? The Dolphins
Speaker 1: have a minus one thirty seven point differ NIEL. That
Speaker 1: is the lowest market in NFL history, And somehow people
Speaker 1: are still betting on them. The public is loading up.
Speaker 1: The public is stupid, The public are idiots. Redskins twenty seven,
Speaker 1: Miami sixteen, Hell to the Redskins, Hail to victory. Spend
Speaker 1: five minutes of that game. Go with the Redskins as well.
Speaker 1: This money will be made guest unbelie. All right, shut up,
Speaker 1: don't judge me. The last last part of this we
Speaker 1: have the late games, all right, Santa Clara, the Santa
Speaker 1: Clara forty Niners at four and oh at the Los
Speaker 1: Angeles Rams at three and two. It is on Fox.
Speaker 1: And yes, David, our guy, Dick Stockton is calling this game,
Speaker 1: which is actually not a bad game. This is not
Speaker 1: a bad game. Um. I believe it's because Joe, Joe
Speaker 1: Buck and Aikman only work one game this week because
Speaker 1: it's not the Fox America's Game of the Week. So
Speaker 1: I think that's why Stockton gets to do this game.
Speaker 1: But it's stick Stockton and Mark Slavery and the Rams
Speaker 1: open a five point favorite. They are favored by three.
Speaker 1: I was gonna be at this game, but I assumed
Speaker 1: the Dodgers were gonna be in the National League Championship Series,
Speaker 1: so I could not go. I had some other things
Speaker 1: I do, uh too late now, so I will not
Speaker 1: be able to attend this. But the the forecast seventy
Speaker 1: seven and mostly sunny in Los Angeles at the College
Speaker 1: see him. I'm gonna take the Rams here, uh, and
Speaker 1: a couple of reasons why now, First, of all, the
Speaker 1: forty Niners are coming off a short week, so you
Speaker 1: day less to get ready for this. The Rams have
Speaker 1: had extra rest. Remember they last played the last Thursday,
Speaker 1: so you've got the fresher team with the Rams that
Speaker 1: the game should be a bit of a track meet.
Speaker 1: Over the last three weeks, the Rams and Niners are
Speaker 1: the NFL's most prolific offensive teams and yards per games.
Speaker 1: Santa Clara has a better defense, I'll give you that,
Speaker 1: but they have given up over a hundred yards more
Speaker 1: per game on the road then at home. And this
Speaker 1: is a much bigger game for the Rams to get
Speaker 1: some credibility back. Everyone's shipping on him to get some
Speaker 1: swagger back and make up for that idiot kicker the
Speaker 1: Mr Greg the leg and Legatron blowing it and and
Speaker 1: pulling a kershaw at the end of that game in Seattle.
Speaker 1: So it's it's the first back to back losses in
Speaker 1: the Sean McVeigh here. A secondly, the Niners are they
Speaker 1: are getting their toes licked by everyone in the media,
Speaker 1: the NFL media elite. Niners are the toast of the NFL.
Speaker 1: They have been fond on all over at some point
Speaker 1: that does affect your bio rhythms here. Uh And I
Speaker 1: know they took the soul out of Baker Mayfield last
Speaker 1: week and all that, but this week is more of
Speaker 1: an even matchup against what should be a hungry, hungry
Speaker 1: dog they Los Angeles Rams here, even though their favorite
Speaker 1: my theory is the short week. Also, some key injuries
Speaker 1: now starting for the forty niners here. A couple of
Speaker 1: you guys, You guys are out. They have five five
Speaker 1: guys actually three guys up front on the defensive line
Speaker 1: that are are really good. Nick Bosa, d Ford de
Speaker 1: Forrest Buckner are are legit um. But Sean McVeigh is
Speaker 1: supposed to be the evil genius and all that. I
Speaker 1: play a hunch better bunch, as we say, you can
Speaker 1: ram it all day, and you can ram it all
Speaker 1: night and all night. Are back. You're damn right, Rams
Speaker 1: thirty four twenty eight Penny. Also go at the Rams.
Speaker 1: There's an extra nugget for you too, Ben. Sean McVeigh
Speaker 1: is ten and one as Rams coach with extra time
Speaker 1: to prepare, and eight one and one against the spread.
Speaker 1: Look at you doing some research. I was just trying to,
Speaker 1: you know, add a little something since the Penny was
Speaker 1: on fire last week. So wow, all right, well let's
Speaker 1: get trivial. You want to get trivia and Mattie Ice.
Speaker 1: Matt Ryan has thrown for at least three hundred yards
Speaker 1: in three consecutive games, all of them Falcon losses. Only
Speaker 1: three quarterbacks have ever done this in four consecutive games.
Speaker 1: It's only happened four three. Three guys in the history
Speaker 1: of the NFL over four four games have had three yards.
Speaker 1: The team has lost every game. Philip rivers In for
Speaker 1: the Chargers, Bill Kenny for Kansas City back in the
Speaker 1: nineteen eighties eighty three. Who is the third the third
Speaker 1: quarterback to pass for at least three hundred yards three
Speaker 1: consecutive games and have their team lose all of them?
Speaker 1: The answer coming up in a bit. Uh, we'll speaking
Speaker 1: of Matt Ryan. The Falcons Atlanta one and four at
Speaker 1: Arizona one, three and one. It's on Fox with Tom
Speaker 1: Brennaman and Chris Spielman and the Fox box that Rocks
Speaker 1: calling this particular game. And what a slowdown this is
Speaker 1: Atlanta and Era. This is as bad as the Redskins
Speaker 1: in the Dolphins, Man Peu, what stinks? Falcons opened a
Speaker 1: two and a half point road favorite. I believed that
Speaker 1: number is the same. I've got it here. It's two
Speaker 1: and a half. Currently, as we're doing this in real time,
Speaker 1: it'll be sunny in eighties six degrees at kickoff outside
Speaker 1: State Farm Stadium. I assume everyone be be air conditioning inside.
Speaker 1: I'm gonna take the Cardinals here and I'll tell you why.
Speaker 1: Atlanta has left an impression in me that they are
Speaker 1: just going through the motions like they're not interested, all right,
Speaker 1: And and for whatever reason, I don't know if it's
Speaker 1: because dan Quinn the coach doesn't rule with a rod
Speaker 1: of iron and the players are walking all over him. Um,
Speaker 1: but the Cardinals are a bad team, but they they're trying.
Speaker 1: They suck, but they're trying. And Atlanta, I don't even
Speaker 1: know how much they're trying to check engine light has
Speaker 1: come on the dashboard there, No one's no one seems
Speaker 1: to be concerned about looking under the hood. Uh. Dan
Speaker 1: Quinn is hanging on by his nails, the ends of
Speaker 1: his finger nails there. It has been a disaster. The
Speaker 1: Falcons have the toxic brew going. They are in a
Speaker 1: poor state of repair. Bad at the basics, just like
Speaker 1: the simple things in full blocking and tackling. They're bad
Speaker 1: at those things, blocking and tackling. Uh Part B here,
Speaker 1: this pick is not so much of my confidence in Arizona.
Speaker 1: I want to be very clear. I'm not on the
Speaker 1: Cardinal bandwagon. They're a bad team. I don't believe Kyler
Speaker 1: Murray is all that good. Some people are impressed by
Speaker 1: his inflated passing statistics because the Cardinals and most of
Speaker 1: these games have been blown out. Uh so, don't lose
Speaker 1: sight of that. And and certainly Arizona could certainly lose
Speaker 1: this game very easily. But in reality, this selection is
Speaker 1: just betting against the Falcon all right, that's it. I'm
Speaker 1: just betting against the Falcons. I don't trust them. They're
Speaker 1: They're just soft as soft can be. They serve soft,
Speaker 1: serve ice cream, that's what they serve up. They get
Speaker 1: out work, they get out played. They are sloppy, penalty
Speaker 1: field mess. And you're taking a home dog against a
Speaker 1: team like that. I'm gonna take the home dog, is
Speaker 1: what I'm gonna do. Cardinals forty Falcons thirty eight in
Speaker 1: a shootout, Penny loves Kyler Murray in the spot and
Speaker 1: go with the Cardinals. Loves Alligator Rosa Loopa of the NFL.
Speaker 1: Let's get trivia all the answer I mentioned Mattie Ice
Speaker 1: three yards passing three consecutive games, all Atlanta loss. Is.
Speaker 1: Only three quarterbacks have ever done this in four straight games.
Speaker 1: Philip Rivers in for the old San Diego Chargers, Bill
Speaker 1: Kenny for Kansas City in three are two of them?
Speaker 1: Who is the third? Mr? Gascon? I'm gonna go with
Speaker 1: a former cult and Falcon, Jeff George. Jeff George, that's
Speaker 1: not bad. Jeff George put up numbers in games and
Speaker 1: the team usually lost, and the wheels were turning, but
Speaker 1: they weren't going in the right direction. No, it is not.
Speaker 1: He is. Here's a here's a good name from the past.
Speaker 1: Match Shop Atlanta Falcon, Houston, Texan. Yeah, he did this
Speaker 1: in Houston. Do you know I have my I have
Speaker 1: match Shops phone number. You know why? He was a
Speaker 1: guest on Fox Sports Radio and uh when he was
Speaker 1: the Texans quarterback and he gave me I guess he
Speaker 1: wanted to be on again. He wanted that. He liked
Speaker 1: the promotion, as I remember. Let me ask you his
Speaker 1: name in your phone? Is that Matt Schobers at Mr
Speaker 1: Pick six. I don't even know. Well, here's the thing.
Speaker 1: Once the number goes on my phone, it's in there
Speaker 1: forever my when I die all these nights, like there
Speaker 1: are a lot of people and I we should do
Speaker 1: this on the other podcast. But like when somebody dies,
Speaker 1: I never take their name out. I I don't do that. Yeah,
Speaker 1: I was leaving in there. It's like my tribute to them.
Speaker 1: Like sometimes I'll see people's names that passed away. I'm like,
Speaker 1: I remember that person. I have a fond memory of
Speaker 1: that person. So it's my memorial to them. They're in
Speaker 1: my phone for life, all right. It's like once you're
Speaker 1: in the family, you're in the family for Like how
Speaker 1: morbid is that? I know? I Dallas three and two
Speaker 1: at the New York Jets oh and four. It's on CBS.
Speaker 1: Can you believe that Jim Nance and Tony Romo are
Speaker 1: could be doing this game? Yes? I can't. Jets are
Speaker 1: supposed to be decent this year, but who knows about
Speaker 1: Mono and Adam Gates and all this ship that's going
Speaker 1: on with the Jets. Yeah, they are a disaster. The
Speaker 1: Cowboys opened a seven point favorite. They are seven and
Speaker 1: a half point favorite in this game. But we mostly
Speaker 1: cloudy sixties six degrees at kickoff outside of m or
Speaker 1: MetLife for US Stadium rather MetLife Stadium there in Jersey.
Speaker 1: And you're gonna kick my in the nuts here, Guesscan.
Speaker 1: But I gotta do it. I'm gonna spit in the ocean.
Speaker 1: I'm gonna take the Jets. I'm going to take the
Speaker 1: Jets here. Uh and let me try to explain my
Speaker 1: my side? Does let me give my elevator pitch on
Speaker 1: why the Jets are the right side. Okay, here's what
Speaker 1: I'm doing. Number one. The Cowboys are like a following
Speaker 1: comment in the sky. It has been an eye opening
Speaker 1: couple of weeks. Now I realized they played better competition.
Speaker 1: But Dak Prescott can say we're not in Can's us anymore. Right.
Speaker 1: Prescott passed for a career high four hundred sixty three
Speaker 1: yards in a blowout loss in garbage time against the
Speaker 1: Packers last week, but he was intercepted three times that
Speaker 1: match career high, and and Dak Prescott has been shaky here.
Speaker 1: He started out wonderfully, and now he's beginning to wet
Speaker 1: the bed as the season's gone on. In fact, the
Speaker 1: last four weeks, dak Prescott is back to where he's
Speaker 1: always been. He's the nineteenth ranked quarterback in the NFL,
Speaker 1: which is where I put him in that you know,
Speaker 1: seventeen to twenty range, somewhere in that area, maybe fifteen.
Speaker 1: When he plays well. The last two weeks against the
Speaker 1: Packers and the Saints, Dakota Prescott is the twenty five
Speaker 1: rank quarterback in the NFL. So that gives you a
Speaker 1: pause in the Cowboys. And to listen, the Jets sock
Speaker 1: they're terrible. They should clear the decks. I understand all that, right,
Speaker 1: Sell the team down the river. H Adam Gates his
Speaker 1: crazy eyes. You don't know what the hell he's doing.
Speaker 1: They've they've paid a trip to the dark side. I
Speaker 1: get all that, but you're talking about a home team
Speaker 1: getting seven a half. Sam Donald's coming back from motto.
Speaker 1: It's gonna be his motto game as he bounces back.
Speaker 1: This looks too easy. And if something looks too easy
Speaker 1: and gambling right, other than the betting against the Dolphins, Uh,
Speaker 1: there is no such thing as a sure thing. You
Speaker 1: would assume obviously there the perfect pick here would be
Speaker 1: the Cowboys, right if they don't steam roll gang green
Speaker 1: Heads should roll something is broken. Blah blah blah blah
Speaker 1: blah blah blah. How big a mismatches this. The second
Speaker 1: half of last week's lost to the Packers, the Cowboys
Speaker 1: put up three and forty eight totally yards. That is
Speaker 1: one and a half times the total yards the Jets
Speaker 1: have managed the last two games. Yourbine, all right, but
Speaker 1: that was with Luke falk Uh and Dallas had thirty
Speaker 1: two first downs against Green Bay. The Jets have twenty
Speaker 1: eight first downs in their last three games combined. But nevertheless,
Speaker 1: I expect this to be more of a cat and
Speaker 1: mouse situation here. Um not only because of Sam Donald
Speaker 1: coming back to some other injured Jets that are gonna
Speaker 1: come back. The Cowboys also are in the old peekaboo
Speaker 1: situation because they have the Eagles, a blood rival, division rival.
Speaker 1: Big game look ahead. Now. I believe the Cowboys will
Speaker 1: win this game, but because the Jets are a comedy
Speaker 1: of errors, it's a comedy show. But I'm gonna close
Speaker 1: my eyes, cover my ears, shut my mouth, predict a
Speaker 1: couple of Dak Prescott mistakes here. It's the life of
Speaker 1: the Gambler. Cowboys will win. Cowboys twenty four Jets twenty three,
Speaker 1: actually twenty I'm penny thinks the Jets get their first
Speaker 1: to one of the season. It's going with the New
Speaker 1: York Jets. I'm not going that far. I've been drinking.
Speaker 1: I'm not. I'm drinking the cool at a little bit.
Speaker 1: I'm just putting my toe in the cool word. I'm not.
Speaker 1: I'm not going all in. All right, let's keep it going.
Speaker 1: We got you can keep this singing and moving in
Speaker 1: Tennessee at Denver. It's on CBS. Andrew Catalan and James
Speaker 1: Lofton have the call. Game open to pick and Broncos
Speaker 1: are a two and a half point favorite. It'll be
Speaker 1: sunny in sixty nine degrees at kick off in the
Speaker 1: Mile High City at empower Field. That Mile High not
Speaker 1: corporately named at all. The pick is in, and the
Speaker 1: pick is I'm gonna take Tennessee. No, I don't love
Speaker 1: this pick, but these teams to me are very similar
Speaker 1: uh teams. First of all, the Broncos picked up their
Speaker 1: their maiden victory under their new coach, Vic Fangio against
Speaker 1: the Chargers in Los Angeles last week. That was a
Speaker 1: nice band aid covering up a wound. That has been
Speaker 1: the start of this season. And now some are saying
Speaker 1: a sleeping giant has now awoken from hibernation and blah
Speaker 1: blah blah blah blah, and the Denver's gonna roll off
Speaker 1: a bunch of winds and they popped the seal. I
Speaker 1: don't believe. I'm not buying. I don't think this is
Speaker 1: a very good team. I think this is a middling team. Now.
Speaker 1: To be fair, this is a very winnable game for
Speaker 1: never there at home. Tennessee is a up and down team.
Speaker 1: Their kaleidoscope team. They're all over the place. I just
Speaker 1: don't trust Joe Flacco. Of course, I don't trust the
Speaker 1: other quarterback either. The second thing here, Tennessee is a
Speaker 1: hard team for me to get a read on because
Speaker 1: Marcus Mariota. If you look at just the stats, and
Speaker 1: you don't put your eyeballs into this, if you look
Speaker 1: at the numbers, Mariota does not turn the ball over. Okay,
Speaker 1: his numbers look very impressive, but when you actually watch him,
Speaker 1: he's about as tough as cotton candy. Right that the
Speaker 1: Titans zig when they're supposed to zag. They zag when
Speaker 1: they're supposed to zig. The Titans have turned the ball
Speaker 1: over just one time this season, and yet they have
Speaker 1: a losing record. I mean, that's that's that's hard to do. Normally,
Speaker 1: if you don't turn the ball over, you're just gonna
Speaker 1: win most of the time. And they have turned them
Speaker 1: all over just once, and yet there's six team in
Speaker 1: the Super Bowl era with one or no turnovers through
Speaker 1: five games and they have a losing record. We often
Speaker 1: preach about how you you try to take into account
Speaker 1: a lot of these different factor is and whatnot, like motivations,
Speaker 1: scheduling and whatnot, and a lot of that is in
Speaker 1: play here. All right, let me explain. So the Broncos
Speaker 1: have a look ahead peekaboo game with the Chiefs next week.
Speaker 1: That is a their arrivals Kansas City and Denver. That's
Speaker 1: a big game for them, divisional game, not a divisional
Speaker 1: game this weekend. The key for the Titans. All right,
Speaker 1: Cameron Wake, Now, this guy is questionable. We don't know
Speaker 1: if he's gonna play or not. That's this is a
Speaker 1: crossroads game for me, like Tennessee is at a fork
Speaker 1: in the road. Get back to five, go to three
Speaker 1: and three. You're not great, You're average at three and three,
Speaker 1: but you still got some skin in the game. At
Speaker 1: three and three, you still got some skin in the game.
Speaker 1: But you lose this game and suddenly you're under five hundred.
Speaker 1: You've got the Chargers next week, which is another game
Speaker 1: you can lose, and the snowball from Hell starts happening.
Speaker 1: So I'm gonna, against my better judgment take Tennessee here
Speaker 1: to get back to five and Titans nineteen. Broncos may
Speaker 1: have lost two heartbreakers at home, Penny's going with the Broncos,
Speaker 1: going with the Then you're a big Bronco fanboy, right,
Speaker 1: that's your your deal. I retired from rooting for teams. Uh,
Speaker 1: that's a lie after two thousand fourteen. Certainly, we're a
Speaker 1: lot of a lot of hats. I see, I mean
Speaker 1: I own a lot of hats. You have a lot
Speaker 1: of bad team attire from listeners that are giving you
Speaker 1: clothes throughout the years, shirts and hats, and yeah, well yeah,
Speaker 1: I have I have a nice collection, a nice collection.
Speaker 1: All right, let's move on a Sunday night. Wait wait, wait,
Speaker 1: are you gonna pay off in one of my bets,
Speaker 1: don't you? Or one of my the one of your teasers?
Speaker 1: So was that did I have a mother tea? Did you? Oh? No,
Speaker 1: I did not. I did the match up thing. That
Speaker 1: was the last one I did. Gummy, bad job there
Speaker 1: you it's bad. It is a bad jock? Is that boring?
Speaker 1: What are you smoking a cigarette over that? The hell
Speaker 1: are you doing? What are we doing? Balling out? I mean,
Speaker 1: my god? I got some Justin's peanut butter cups. That's
Speaker 1: all I got? Oh? Is that right? From Whole Foods.
Speaker 1: These costs there's like ten of them inside this bag
Speaker 1: from Whole Foods. They cost like seven dollars seven bucks, yeah,
Speaker 1: ten for seven for ten Yeah, for Reese's pieces buttercups.
Speaker 1: It's pretty much what I got. That's I don't think
Speaker 1: that per unit is the that doesn't work out for me.
Speaker 1: So this is what I go through. And I work
Speaker 1: on your show, like I need to have your listeners
Speaker 1: sponsor this show. No, I I want I want to
Speaker 1: do this. I want to do these big commercial reads
Speaker 1: and all that I bothers me that I need to
Speaker 1: do like a sleep number commercials. I need it. I
Speaker 1: need to sell something. I feel like we're just doing
Speaker 1: this for free. It's but I know there are commercials
Speaker 1: in it. But we don't get to read the commercials
Speaker 1: and all that stuff. So please contact the I Heart
Speaker 1: Media sales department. We will sell the hell out of
Speaker 1: your product. There's a lot of people that listen to
Speaker 1: this stuff, um, which shocks me. Also, all right, Pittsburgh
Speaker 1: one in four at the lh Argers two and three.
Speaker 1: It's on NBES see the Peacock Network with Al Michaels
Speaker 1: and Chris Collinsworth. Now, the Charges open a five and
Speaker 1: a half point favorite. They are a six and a
Speaker 1: half point favorite in this spot, six and a point favorite.
Speaker 1: I'm gonna I don't like the bet favorites, but I'm
Speaker 1: gonna take the Charges here. I just gotta vibe on
Speaker 1: this game. Pittsburgh is on. Like their fifth quarterback, someone
Speaker 1: named Devlin Hodgers, is the chosen one. Mike Tomlin needs
Speaker 1: divine intervention for Pittsburgh. Steelers have lots of forces working
Speaker 1: against them. They travel to the West by stage coach. Uh.
Speaker 1: They have the bye week after this week, so not
Speaker 1: only do you have the West coast travel, but then
Speaker 1: you're on vacation. All of these things are reasons to
Speaker 1: doubt that this will be a very competitive performance. Now,
Speaker 1: the Steelers do have a couple of big studs up front,
Speaker 1: t J. Watt and Bud Dupree who will be able
Speaker 1: to enjoy that fish Taco offensive line for the Bolts um.
Speaker 1: But that's not gonna be a has score. You gotta
Speaker 1: move the ball. Secondly, only four teams have been less
Speaker 1: successful against UH than than the Steelers moving the ball.
Speaker 1: For four teams that have been less successful against than
Speaker 1: the Steelers at moving the ball over the last three weeks.
Speaker 1: That includes Chicago, Washington, Miami, and the Jets. That's those
Speaker 1: are the contemporaries of the Steelers, and that's the competition
Speaker 1: for Pittsburgh's offense right now. How bad they've been, you
Speaker 1: would think that the Chargers defense, which has also been spotty,
Speaker 1: led by Joey Bosa and they've got injuries and all that,
Speaker 1: they would be licking their chops going against this Devlin
Speaker 1: Hodges guy. And the Chargers are statistically good there eleventh
Speaker 1: in yards, but have failed the eyeball test. It's very
Speaker 1: similar to the Titans. Titans Marcus Mariot has great stats,
Speaker 1: they don't turn the ball over, they lose. Chargers. You
Speaker 1: look at the stats, you're like, well, they're not bad.
Speaker 1: They're not bad and not a bad team, but yet
Speaker 1: you look at their under five hundred. I'm gonna go
Speaker 1: out on a limb here. I'm gonna take Philip Rivers
Speaker 1: and the Lightning Bolts with a rare comfortable win at
Speaker 1: Dignity Health Sports Park there, or it'll be a sixty
Speaker 1: seven degrees and kickoff Chargers thirty three, Steelers seventeen. Penny
Speaker 1: likes the Bolts as well. All right, I know you're
Speaker 1: excited about that last one, Gascon. Let's go to Monday
Speaker 1: night football just down the street from my brother who
Speaker 1: lives in Appleton, Wisconsin. Because he's an idiot, but he
Speaker 1: he wanted to leave l A because it's so expensive
Speaker 1: in California, which I don't blame him for, and he
Speaker 1: he somehow fell in love with small town Wisconsin. Wow.
Speaker 1: And he guy grew up in in l A. I
Speaker 1: grew up in the same house I grew up in.
Speaker 1: And he lives in Appleton, Wisconsin. And just that's where
Speaker 1: the teams stay when they play the Packers in Appleton.
Speaker 1: There's no hotels in Green Bay. I'm not I'm not
Speaker 1: kidding in Appleton anyway. Detroit to one and one at
Speaker 1: Green Bay four and one. This is a booger special
Speaker 1: Booker McFarland in the broadcast booth with Joe test a tour.
Speaker 1: You kind of remind me of Joe Testing. No way,
Speaker 1: not even close. Not even close. Man, is that offensive?
Speaker 1: When well, I just I think he's very um, I
Speaker 1: think it's very polite on a lot of calls. And
Speaker 1: I think he puts a lot of hot fudge on
Speaker 1: top of the ice cream. I'll just say that much. Yeah,
Speaker 1: I would put him in the hard old category. I think. Yeah,
Speaker 1: but you gotta be careful. You know, you might be
Speaker 1: working with him some day. He's gonna be careful about
Speaker 1: that anyway. Alright, Uh, we'll elbow in on this game.
Speaker 1: Packers opened a five and a half point favorite. They
Speaker 1: are a four point favorite right now, and the weather
Speaker 1: is gonna be mostly cloudy forty five degrees at kickoff,
Speaker 1: starting a little bit at lambeau Field. The pick is in.
Speaker 1: I'm gonna take the Lions here. I'm gonna take the
Speaker 1: Lions in this game. I'll tell you why. Hey, this
Speaker 1: is a let down spot for Green Bay. They're coming
Speaker 1: off a high profile game America's Game of the Week
Speaker 1: last week against the Cowboys, and it very convincing. They
Speaker 1: ran over Dallas. Now it is back to the dull
Speaker 1: grums of the NFL schedule. Nobody gets up for the lines,
Speaker 1: even though it's a divisional opponent. Aaron Rodgers has also
Speaker 1: been pretty average, you know, the last four weeks, Rogers
Speaker 1: of the seventeen best passer in the NFL, seventeenth hee's average.
Speaker 1: How the Packers have been able to run the ball,
Speaker 1: so it hasn't really mattered that much, but the Packers
Speaker 1: of the toast of the NFL. Also, everyone's celebrating that
Speaker 1: win over Dallas and just fawning all over the Cowboys.
Speaker 1: I like to bet against teams where everyone's kissing their
Speaker 1: ass all week, and you can move the ball against
Speaker 1: that Green Bay defense, you can get some yards. The
Speaker 1: Dallas certainly did that in the second half last week.
Speaker 1: And and Detroit is a fly under the radar team
Speaker 1: under Matt Patricia. They've been the little engine that could
Speaker 1: so far left for dead. They're supposed to be terrible
Speaker 1: and garbage and all that stuff. Haven't been that way yet.
Speaker 1: They've overachieved, played the Chiefs tough, beat Philly, uh and
Speaker 1: they continue to chuggle long at a study pace. Everyone
Speaker 1: seems to be waiting for all that to grind to
Speaker 1: a halt. Here. Matthew Staffords actually played very well against
Speaker 1: the green Bay Packers, in fact, historically good. I guess
Speaker 1: the green Bay Packers over his last few games here
Speaker 1: and and so I know the public loves green Bay.
Speaker 1: I get that. But the natural tendency for the Lions
Speaker 1: is to say, well, they can't win at Lambau, they
Speaker 1: can't keep the game closed. I say, no, I'm gonna
Speaker 1: take the Packers to win, but I believe this will
Speaker 1: be a field goal game. I'll take the four points,
Speaker 1: Packers twenty six, Lions twenty three, the opposite of the
Speaker 1: penny they're going with the green Bay Packers. Man, good luck.
Speaker 1: You know green Bay ranks twenty seven in the NFL
Speaker 1: in conversions on third down. That's not good. It's not
Speaker 1: if converted thirty point five cent on on third down.
Speaker 1: So that's uh. That's by the way, that Matthew Stafford's
Speaker 1: that you want the Matthew Staffords that all right. He
Speaker 1: has thrown two or more touchdown passes in nine straight
Speaker 1: eight matchups with green Bay, dating back only one player.
Speaker 1: I use this on the radio show the other night.
Speaker 1: Only one player has gone ten consecutive games with two
Speaker 1: or more touchdowns against the single opponent. You know who
Speaker 1: that is. I'm gonna say Andrew Luck against the Tennessee Titans.
Speaker 1: Uh No, you gotta go back to the nineties Dan
Speaker 1: Marino for the Miami Dolphins against the Jets. He went
Speaker 1: ten consecutive games with two or more touchdown passes against
Speaker 1: the the Jets. They have not had a good quarterback
Speaker 1: since him as unbelievable. Yeah, it is pretty wild, all right, listen,
Speaker 1: I hope yet good luck. May you win a lot
Speaker 1: of money. If you win a lot of money, remember
Speaker 1: the podcast. If you lose a lot of money, it's
Speaker 1: not my fault. I have plausible then ability. Uh and
Speaker 1: all that. And I have a great again, and try
Speaker 1: the other partition. This is the hard old podcast, gast on.
Speaker 1: But the other one we just played grab bass, right,
Speaker 1: that's right. When we just go for around. We do
Speaker 1: guy talk radio, barely talk about sports, uh do entertainment, conversation,
Speaker 1: studies and emails and all that stuff. Anyway, have a
Speaker 1: great week and we'll be back in the Magic Radio
Speaker 1: Box on Fox Sunday in the Monday two am in
Speaker 1: the east and one am in the west, and enjoy
Speaker 1: and be safe. Enjoy your week,