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Speaker 1: Hello, everybody, Welcome in the Fantasy pros Football Podcast. I'm

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Speaker 1: Ryan Warmley, joined asam every Friday morning by Pat fitz

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Speaker 1: Morrison by Derek Brown, and we are answering or asking

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Speaker 1: some key questions for Week fourteen. Fellas. This is it.

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Speaker 1: It is the week to make the playoffs. In most leagues.

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Speaker 1: We actually have a work league that the playoffs are

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Speaker 1: already beginning this week. There are some leagues where that

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Speaker 1: is the case. I do not like it. It is

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Speaker 1: not we would not have been my vote if I

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Speaker 1: was commissioner. But for most leagues, this is the week

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Speaker 1: to clinch up those spots, and we're here to help

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Speaker 1: everybody do so. There are people who you know, you're

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Speaker 1: already in and it's just about seeding. Maybe you've already

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Speaker 1: clinched it.

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Speaker 2: Buye.

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Speaker 1: If that's you, I appreciate you still listening and just

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Speaker 1: kind of previewing the weekend with us. Anyway, for those

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Speaker 1: who are trying to lock up those playoff spots, you know,

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Speaker 1: let's do it. We'll jump right in here. There are

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Speaker 1: four teams on by Panthers, Giants, Patriots, and Niners. Patriots

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Speaker 1: obviously have provided some fantasy goodness for us this year

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Speaker 1: more than expected. And there's some stars on those other

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Speaker 1: teams as well, so we're missing players. We'll try to

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Speaker 1: fill those spots. Here. All of our weekly consensus rankings

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Speaker 1: and tiers. By the way, it can be found at

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Speaker 1: fantasypros dot com slash rankings. Before we get into the preview,

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Speaker 1: I do want to ask you guys about a very

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Speaker 1: high scoring Thursday night game Lions forty four, Cowboys thirty.

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Speaker 1: We can go quickly. I did not watch this game

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Speaker 1: though I had other stuff going on last night, so

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Speaker 1: it was frustrating to sit down and see Jamiir Gibbs

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Speaker 1: scored three touchdowns when he is one of the reasons

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Speaker 1: I got eliminated from my guy eighteen league a week

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Speaker 1: ago because he didn't have the greatest game. It would

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Speaker 1: have a nice of these three touchdowns game this week,

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Speaker 1: but obviously like a very good game for the Lions

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Speaker 1: offense and a good game for the Cowboys offense. It

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Speaker 1: appears here, Debro, what was your takeaway here and how

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Speaker 1: would you describe the game to somebody who didn't watch?

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Speaker 2: So this game started off slow at the gate. I

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Speaker 2: thought this was going to like hit the under and

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Speaker 2: be more of a defensive game if you just watched

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Speaker 2: like the first like quarter maybe two quarters and turned

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Speaker 2: it off like you were like, oh, this is hitting

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Speaker 2: the under and then the second half was just just fireworks. Man.

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Speaker 2: Offenses came alive, you know. Detroit just kept piling it on.

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Speaker 2: There were some interesting calls, the Revs kind of fumbled

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Speaker 2: the bag and multiple different spots yet again, which was

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Speaker 2: it's always a fun time, especially on island games. But overall, man,

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Speaker 2: it's just the Lions looked like, again, one of the

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Speaker 2: best offenses in the NFL. When Amina Saint Brown, I mean, dude,

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Speaker 2: we talked about it in slack fitsy before the game

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Speaker 2: kicked off, and I'm like, okay, he's playing. I'm trying

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Speaker 2: to figure out where the heck to rank him and

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Speaker 2: Jamison Williams, and both of them had solid games, but

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Speaker 2: not like amazing games. Fifth.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, we talked about aman Rah on the Waiver Show

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Speaker 3: and someone might have suggested that guys usually play off

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Speaker 3: low ankle sprains, never on high the next week, but

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Speaker 3: often on low, and that was the case with aman Ross.

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Speaker 3: So I wasn't totally stunned. We did see him pretty

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Speaker 3: good game. He didn't look like he was compromised in

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Speaker 3: any way. Yeah, it was. We got the track meets

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Speaker 3: that the Vegas total of fifty four and a half suggested.

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Speaker 3: I was very tempted to bet it under, just because

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Speaker 3: there are so many ways that I'm total that high

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Speaker 3: can be short circuited, just and we kind of got

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Speaker 3: those early on with a couple of drives ending in

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Speaker 3: field goals. You know. Just anyway, it was. It was

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Speaker 3: a fun game, but yeah, and pretty consequential game considering that,

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Speaker 3: I think whoever lost that game is going to have

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Speaker 3: a real uphill struggle to try to make the playoffs,

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Speaker 3: and now Dallas has probably got to win out to

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Speaker 3: get in.

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Speaker 2: Also, I do want to bring up man that the

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Speaker 2: concussion to ceede lamb. If you've not seen the video,

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Speaker 2: don't watch it. It was. It was horrible to see.

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Speaker 2: And I again, we're talking about the first week of

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Speaker 2: the Fantasy playoffs. I don't know if he's going to

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Speaker 2: be available. It was that bad.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I didn't know he got I was totally like

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Speaker 1: just not working at all.

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Speaker 2: And it was it was. It was not pretty, ma'am.

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Speaker 3: He is the extra three days because of the Thursday

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Speaker 3: night game, So you hope maybe that can help him

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Speaker 3: clear a concussion protocol. But yeah, if you are a

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Speaker 3: cd LAMB investor, you probably should make alternative plans.

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Speaker 1: That's tough. By I'm looking here in the box score,

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Speaker 1: Brandon Aubrey had field goals from fifty seven, fifty five,

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Speaker 1: sixty three like also forty two to twenty nine. Just

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Speaker 1: a huge day for him, it appears.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, again I made them all look easy.

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Speaker 3: Ye get the guy inside and he's just a machine.

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Speaker 1: Fifty five pluses.

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Speaker 2: The fifty seven yarder looked like he barely even tried,

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Speaker 2: like he just kicked.

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Speaker 1: And I was like, I watched a lot of good

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Speaker 1: kicking during Justin Tucker's tenure, and I feel like Aubrey

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Speaker 1: is just like that next evolution of that where it's

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Speaker 1: just looks he makes it look easy from very very

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Speaker 1: far away. So impressive by him.

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Speaker 3: Guys.

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Speaker 1: Let's get into the early slate here. Like I said,

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Speaker 1: we have four teams on buy, so a couple fewer

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Speaker 1: games than usual. First game on the slate Seahawks at Falcons.

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Speaker 1: I'm going to bring back you might remember last time

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Speaker 1: we talked, I gave you kind of a guy a

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Speaker 1: fake million dollar offer. If I offered you a million dollars,

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Speaker 1: you had to get it right, Troy Franklin or Cortland Sutton.

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Speaker 1: I don't actually think you guys did get it right,

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Speaker 1: although I don't remember for sure, but we're bringing it back.

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Speaker 2: I would have been okay.

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Speaker 1: If I told you you would win a million dollars

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Speaker 1: if you correctly pick who scores more Fantasy points this week.

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Speaker 1: Between Kenneth Walker and Zach Sharbonay, who would you pick? Debro?

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Speaker 1: I think we all agree Kenneth Walker is the better player.

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Speaker 1: Sharbonay continues to often get the goal line opportunities going

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Speaker 1: up against the bad Falcons team. So if I gave

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Speaker 1: you a million dollars, who would you pick? Walker or Sharboney?

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Speaker 2: I think at this point, considering these questions, I'm just

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Speaker 2: not meant to have generational wealth. So I'm just gonna

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Speaker 2: lean into that further and I'm just gonna keep picking

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Speaker 2: Kenneth Walker. Man like the backfield's moved in his directions,

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Speaker 2: but good lord, the guy can't buy a freaking touchdown.

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Speaker 2: It doesn't matter. Like snapcount goes up, he gets more

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Speaker 2: snaps in the red zone, he out carry Sharbonay, Scharbonay

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Speaker 2: still gets the touchdowns, I'll pick Kenneth Walker. I know

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Speaker 2: I'm probably going down with Titanic with that, but I'll

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Speaker 2: just lean on that he's getting more of the backfield

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Speaker 2: my bank account.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I went and looked back at how these guys

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Speaker 3: have done against each other. Who's scored more over the game?

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Speaker 3: So there was one game Charbona missed early in the season.

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Speaker 3: In the other eleven games using half point PPR scoring,

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Speaker 3: Charbonay out scored Walker five times. Walker out scored Charbona

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Speaker 3: five times. They tied wise, So handicapping this one is

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Speaker 3: pretty tough. Like Debro, I'm gonna go with Walker because

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Speaker 3: he gets more opportunities. Since the start of November, which

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Speaker 3: is the last five games for the Seahawks, Walker's played

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Speaker 3: more than half the offensive snaps and all but one

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Speaker 3: of those games. Charbona has played just under forty percent

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Speaker 3: of the offensive snaps and all but one of those games.

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Speaker 3: Walker's averaged fifteen point four touches a game over that span,

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Speaker 3: scharbon A ten point eight with only three catches. But

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Speaker 3: obviously it's it's the touchdowns that make this a tough call.

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Speaker 3: Walker four on the season, just one over his last

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Speaker 3: five games. Charbona is eight on the season, three over

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Speaker 3: his last five games, So I'd rather bet on more

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Speaker 3: predictable things. Snaps, carries, catches, touchdowns are unpredictable. I'm convinced

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Speaker 3: that's why people like PPR scoring, not because they feel

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Speaker 3: they need to balance out running backs and receivers. I'm

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Speaker 3: not sure PPR really accomplishes that anyway. PPR scoring is

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Speaker 3: just a way to dilute the variance of touchdowns and

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Speaker 3: touchdown scoring, like adding a point per reception means points

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Speaker 3: from touchdowns account for a smaller percentage of total fantasy

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Speaker 3: points than we get in standard scoring leagues, and I

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Speaker 3: think that appeals to a lot of people. I think

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Speaker 3: a lot of people prefer a game where the vagaries

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Speaker 3: of touchdowns scoring means a little bit less.

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Speaker 1: That's interesting. I've been totally converted by the way to

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Speaker 1: half PPR half point for first downs. That's kind of

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Speaker 1: like my favorite version of that to play in as

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Speaker 1: a scoring format. It's interesting, like you just talked about

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Speaker 1: how this has basically been split down the middle fits

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Speaker 1: between these two, and yet in the consensus rankings, Kenneth

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Speaker 1: Walker's RB seventeen, sharbon A is RB thirty one, so

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Speaker 1: they're not being ranked as if this is a toss up.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm closer the touchdowns, right, but I'm I'm closer

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Speaker 3: between those two. I think I'm above on charbon Ay

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Speaker 3: and below on Walker.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, were they at again worm seven one.

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Speaker 2: I've got Walker at eighteen and I've got Sharboney. I've

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Speaker 2: got him at thirty one, but I think the conversation

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Speaker 2: for him starts somewhere around like twenty five.

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Speaker 1: And by the way, those numbers are with like Gibbs, Montgomery, Javonte,

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Speaker 1: like with those guys removed, you can bump them up

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Speaker 1: a few spots. But yeah, I mean, I I find

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Speaker 1: I roster both of these guys in a league together,

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Speaker 1: and I find myself just like constantly frustrated at which

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Speaker 1: one I started. All Right, we can go to Steelers

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Speaker 1: at Ravens. Here, will Lamar Jackson in the offense finally

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Speaker 1: get going this week against a bad Pittsburgh defense, or

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Speaker 1: will his past Steelers' troubles rear their ugly head again

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Speaker 1: and continue his recent slump fits. I'll start with you.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, the easy answers, I don't know, but I'm not

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Speaker 3: pinching Lamar, and I've got him at QB eight and

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Speaker 3: maybe that's even below consensus, but.

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Speaker 1: Quickly it is aligned with consensus. He's exactly QB eight.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, and I get it. So he's been dealing with

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Speaker 3: this ankle injury and just hasn't been himself. He's gone

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Speaker 3: three straight games without a touchdown pass hasn't run for

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Speaker 3: a touchdown since Week one, which is kind of crazy.

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Speaker 3: And is QB thirty one in fantasy points per game

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Speaker 3: over the last four weeks. Not very Lamar Jackson like,

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Speaker 3: and you said it where the Steelers have historically given

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Speaker 3: him trouble. In eight career starts against Pittsburgh, Jackson has

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Speaker 3: averaged one hundred and sixty point five passing yards a game,

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Speaker 3: eight TV passes, nine interceptions, and he has never had

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Speaker 3: a rushing touchdown against the Steelers, which is kind of crazy.

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Speaker 3: So things are kind of stacked against him a little

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Speaker 3: bit here. But on the other hand, would it shock

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Speaker 3: you if Lamar had a twenty five or thirty point game.

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Speaker 3: It would never shock me for Lamar to go off.

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Speaker 1: It wouldn't shock me. It would surprise me. My my

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Speaker 1: view in this game before I toss to deebro is

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Speaker 1: I am. I think It's more likely that this is

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Speaker 1: the game where the Ravens rushing attack gets going than

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Speaker 1: it is the game where Lamar gets going. Those do

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Speaker 1: go somewhat hand in hand a lot at the time.

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Speaker 1: But Tomlin does you know, at historically he does a

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Speaker 1: really good job against rushing quarterbacks and limiting their rushing.

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Speaker 1: So like, I don't expect you know, a rushing touchdown

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Speaker 1: from Lamar or anything like that. That's not really how

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Speaker 1: they use him anyway. The thing that has been so

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Speaker 1: limiting for him, in my opinion, is less his ability

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Speaker 1: to run and more his ability to evade pass rushers

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Speaker 1: in the pocket. And it's such a bad offensive line

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Speaker 1: right now that he's not able to kind of hide

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Speaker 1: those warts the way he usually does, which has led

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Speaker 1: to obviously this this is an extended version of the slump.

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Speaker 1: You would expect even a slumping Lamar to be better

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Speaker 1: than he has been. Deebra, how do you see this

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Speaker 1: playing out? Do you think this is a game where

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Speaker 1: Lamar and the offense as a whole, You know, Derrick

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Speaker 1: Henry whoever it might be, can kind of finally bounce back.

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Speaker 1: It didn't happen against the bad Bengals defense. Can it

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Speaker 1: happen against the bad Pittsburgh defense.

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Speaker 2: I'll say this, I won't be shocked if it happens,

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Speaker 2: but I'm not projecting it that way. I just and

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Speaker 2: to further aut the Fitzi's points, Lamar has not cleared

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Speaker 2: forty rushing yards in a game since Week four against

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Speaker 2: the freaking Chiefs, and he's only done that twice this

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Speaker 2: entire season. Since throw over four passing touchdowns against the

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Speaker 2: Dolphins a Week nine, he has won passing touchdown. And yes,

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Speaker 2: we could talk about all the touchdowns that would be,

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Speaker 2: could be and should be, about fumbles and all things

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Speaker 2: in between, it doesn't matter because they didn't happen. You

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Speaker 2: look at the last four games, QB fifteen, QB twenty nine,

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Speaker 2: QB twenty five, QB twenty seven, and weekly scoring. Even

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Speaker 2: if we want to parse this out and say, okay,

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Speaker 2: well he's not gonna run, all right, Fine, he's not

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Speaker 2: gonna run because he hasn't been running all freaking year.

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Speaker 2: What has he been doing as a passer since Week

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Speaker 2: TENNKST thirty five qualifying passers Lamar Jackson thirty fifth, so

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Speaker 2: dead last and highly accurate throw rate and twenty ninth

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Speaker 2: and catchuble target rate. So he hasn't been running, he

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Speaker 2: doesn't get rushing production versus the Steelers, and when he's

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Speaker 2: throwing the ball, he hasn't been good. No, I don't

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Speaker 2: think this is gonna be the bounce back. And the

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Speaker 2: other thing about this is the Steelers are playing better defense.

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Speaker 2: Man Like, since Week nine, this pass defense has come alive.

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Speaker 2: They've allowed the seventh fewest yards per attempt and the

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Speaker 2: eighth lowest success rate per dropback.

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Speaker 1: And so the run defense, I mean, coming off that

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Speaker 1: Bills game, Oh.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, but the Bills have been doing that to I mean,

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Speaker 2: like everybody. The Bills just been rushing down everybody's throat,

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Speaker 2: so that that's not incredibly surprising. And I don't know

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Speaker 2: if the Ravens, to your point, Worm, do they have

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Speaker 2: the offensive line right now to impose their will on

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Speaker 2: the ground if they want to.

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Speaker 1: Well, I was going to say that the best two

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Speaker 1: games Lamar has played against the Steelers in his career

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Speaker 1: are the two most recent. It was the second game

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Speaker 1: last regular season and the playoff game last year. But

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Speaker 1: those were also largely driven by Derek Henry. Lamar was

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Speaker 1: just he had he had those usual, like really efficient

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Speaker 1: games where he was really good, but he didn't do much.

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Speaker 1: It was a lot of the running game kind of

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Speaker 1: opening opening things up. I will say too before we

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Speaker 1: move off this that like it's not debro, I'll correct you.

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Speaker 1: It's not that Lamar's not running. It's that he's not

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Speaker 1: running well. He has. He's you know, these last five

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Speaker 1: games he's run five, nine, four, seven and six rush

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Speaker 1: attempts if you look at them. But first month of the.

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Speaker 2: Season, that's not a normal Lamar game.

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Speaker 1: Like, well it has been this season. I'm saying when

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Speaker 1: he was running better in the first month of the season,

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Speaker 1: he was running six times, seven times, six times. He

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Speaker 1: was just way more efficient at it. So you're right,

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Speaker 1: compared to his career it's less, but compared to earlier

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Speaker 1: this season before the injury, it's about the same. It's

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Speaker 1: just not getting anywhere. He doesn't have the ability to

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Speaker 1: accelerating or you know, or evade guys. Really, I think

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Speaker 1: is the big thing. So I'm kind of with you.

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Speaker 1: I leaned towards this not being the bounce back for Lamar.

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Speaker 1: Fitz said, he's ranked QB eight. Where's he ranked for you,

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Speaker 1: deebra Are you can considering not starting him if you

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Speaker 1: have him.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean I'm considering it, Like I mean, do

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Speaker 2: I do it in most aspects of my sitting Lamar Jackson. No,

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Speaker 2: But it depends on your freaking options. Man, Like right

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Speaker 2: now I've got him at QB nine. So, like, there's

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Speaker 2: some teams out there, and this is this is a

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Speaker 2: real conundrum. There's some teams out there that could possibly

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Speaker 2: have Lamar Jackson and picked up Joe Burrow off the

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Speaker 2: wave of wire and it's like, who are you starting?

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Speaker 1: Is me?

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Speaker 2: Yes, and I think it should be Joe Burrow. The

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Speaker 2: matchup is tougher and stuff like that. Maybe you want

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Speaker 2: to like balance that out. Okay, does t Higgins play

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Speaker 2: or not? But I just don't know what this iteration

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Speaker 2: of Lamar Jackson and watch like he goes out and

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Speaker 2: scores four touchdowns and makes me like eat all of this.

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Speaker 2: But that doesn't mean that the process is wrong, that

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Speaker 2: he has been playing terribly.

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Speaker 1: Guys, let's get Titans at Browns out of the way.

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Speaker 1: Both these teams think, I don't want to talk about

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Speaker 1: this game. If I forced you to watch every second

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Speaker 1: of this game, what players are matchups? Would you most

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Speaker 1: want to be paying attention? To what intrigues you the

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Speaker 1: most about this matchup? If I made you pick something fits,

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Speaker 1: you'll go first here.

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Speaker 3: Oh the quarterbacks. In the pre draft season the run

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Speaker 3: up to the draft, deebro and I actually preferred Shaddour

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Speaker 3: to cam Ward. I think we both liked his accuracy,

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Speaker 3: his field reading, the way he through with anticipation, throwing

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Speaker 3: to a spot instead of needing to wait for a

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Speaker 3: receiver to break open. He had some of those traits

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Speaker 3: that successful NFL quarterbacks tend to have. And I don't

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Speaker 3: know if I'd make the same choice now, but we

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Speaker 3: are still trying to figure out what Shadour can be.

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Speaker 3: And you know, his first two starts haven't been terrible

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Speaker 3: after that disastrous relief appearance he made after Dylan Gabriel

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Speaker 3: was concussed against the Ravens a few weeks ago, We're

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Speaker 3: still just trying to figure out, you know, does Shdour

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Speaker 3: of a future as a starter or is he going

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Speaker 3: to be a backup? And I think we're still trying

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Speaker 3: to figure out how good cam Ward can be. Like

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Speaker 3: the fantasy results have been bad. He's been pretty much unusable,

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Speaker 3: But the kid was dealta really bad hand, Like not

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Speaker 3: a good group of pass catchers in Tennessee. Not a

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Speaker 3: very good offensive line, not a great system. We've seen

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Speaker 3: flashes though, we've seen the arm talent. We've seen the

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Speaker 3: mobility and the ability to kind of manufacture plays a

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Speaker 3: la Caleb Williams off script. But you know, as ugly

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Speaker 3: as this game is going to be, it'll be sort

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Speaker 3: of fun to see cam Warden, Shodo or Sanders go

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Speaker 3: head to head and see who can make more plays.

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Speaker 2: Debra, Yeah, I mean, I'm with FITSI on this one.

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Speaker 2: The off season videos of both of them training together

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Speaker 2: and everybody's takes were honestly hilarious, both now and in

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Speaker 2: you know, in the future. But I think for me,

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Speaker 2: it's watching Sugar Sanders and seeing what he does versus

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Speaker 2: his defense. And I'll even throw in because I think

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Speaker 2: he's an interesting flex play this week. I know that

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Speaker 2: a lot of people are not going to have the

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Speaker 2: light on. I get it, it's scary, but I'm very

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Speaker 2: interested in Jerry Judy in this game. And part of

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Speaker 2: this does go back to Sugar Sanders because his hypert

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Speaker 2: in this like he's eighth and deep ball throw rate

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Speaker 2: over the last two weeks, so he's trying to push

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Speaker 2: the ball down the field, and if he connects on

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Speaker 2: any of those throws versus this freaking terrible Tennessee secondary,

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Speaker 2: Jerry Judy could have a big game man like last

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Speaker 2: two weeks. Yeah, Like he's only got like a fifteen

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Speaker 2: percent target chair, but he does lead the team in

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Speaker 2: three deep targets. So if Shador can light up, the

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Speaker 2: secondary can show promise, can play good. And I know

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Speaker 2: that's a lot of if sands and butts with that.

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Speaker 2: If he can do those things, Jerry Judy probably has

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Speaker 2: a good day here.

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Speaker 1: Where are you ranking Judy?

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Speaker 2: Oh, I've got Judy. Where's he at? N ECR worm

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Speaker 2: because I'm sure, yeah, I'm sure I'm ahead of that.

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Speaker 2: I've got Judy right now at I've got him at

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Speaker 2: wide receiver forty. I've kind of got him in that

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Speaker 2: like John Metchi Darnou Mooney kind of tier.

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Speaker 4: Okay.

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Speaker 1: Next game here, guys, Colts at Jaguars, Big game in

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Speaker 1: the AFC South Colts have scored twenty or fewer points

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Speaker 1: in three of their past four games. It's got to

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Speaker 1: been highlighted by Jonathan Taylor only finishing higher than RB

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Speaker 1: nineteen once in that span. Not that our RB nineteen

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00:19:26,840 --> 00:19:28,560
Speaker 1: is terrible, but obviously it's not on the level you

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Speaker 1: expect from the season Jonathan Taylor's having so has the

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Speaker 1: clock struck midnight on this surprising offense or d row

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Speaker 1: Do you expect a strong performance in Jacksonville?

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Speaker 2: It depends on how we're going to contextualize strong. I

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Speaker 2: think that they can have a good game here, specifically

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Speaker 2: highlighting I don't think JT has like a monster game.

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Speaker 2: The Jacksonville like the strength of that defense has been

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Speaker 2: the defense where you can get at this defense is

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Speaker 2: through the air. Now, the problem with Daniel Jones's He's

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Speaker 2: playing on one and a half legs and his mobility

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Speaker 2: is nothing. So if they can heat him up, if

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Speaker 2: they can blitz him and stuff like that, he can crumble.

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Speaker 2: And Dear Lord h Heaven help if we see Riley

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Speaker 2: Leonard at any point in that game, because then it

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Speaker 2: just all falls apart. But if Daniel Jones can get

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Speaker 2: the ball out, I think that one Michael Pittman Junior

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00:20:16,359 --> 00:20:17,959
Speaker 2: can have a bounce back game. I know a lot

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Speaker 2: of people like we're all on Alex Pears train and stuff,

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Speaker 2: but a lot of that has been very, very coverage sensitive.

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Speaker 2: I think a lot of that way the Colts have

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Speaker 2: designed this passing attack is giving Daniel Jones really clear

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Speaker 2: answers to the test on a snap to snap basis,

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Speaker 2: and part of that is reading the coverages and against

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Speaker 2: too high. Like Pittman has been the guy he has

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Speaker 2: had a twenty two point five percent target share at

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Speaker 2: twenty eight percent first reach here against too high. So

432
00:20:41,960 --> 00:20:43,840
Speaker 2: I think this is a big game for Michael Pittman Junior,

433
00:20:43,840 --> 00:20:46,560
Speaker 2: at least an opportunity for a big one and another

434
00:20:46,600 --> 00:20:48,680
Speaker 2: opportunity for a big game from Tyler Warren, like because

435
00:20:48,720 --> 00:20:51,920
Speaker 2: Jacksonville has been horrible versus tight end. So if both

436
00:20:51,960 --> 00:20:55,320
Speaker 2: of those guys with short flurrows and making stuff happen

437
00:20:55,359 --> 00:20:57,720
Speaker 2: and getting the ball out at Daniel Jones's hands quickly,

438
00:20:58,280 --> 00:21:00,800
Speaker 2: if that can happen, Yeah, the Dolphins the passing offense

439
00:21:00,840 --> 00:21:02,320
Speaker 2: can look a lot better. But I'm not saying like

440
00:21:02,359 --> 00:21:04,240
Speaker 2: a big day on the ground from JT.

441
00:21:05,119 --> 00:21:07,760
Speaker 1: Fitz. We talked a little bit on the Thursday Show

442
00:21:07,760 --> 00:21:10,119
Speaker 1: with Jake about how the NFL has done this with

443
00:21:10,200 --> 00:21:13,160
Speaker 1: a lot of teams this year. Where two divisional opponents.

444
00:21:13,160 --> 00:21:15,359
Speaker 1: You get to Week fourteen, it's December. They still haven't

445
00:21:15,359 --> 00:21:18,040
Speaker 1: played the Raven Steelers. Is the first time they're playing,

446
00:21:18,160 --> 00:21:20,000
Speaker 1: Bears Packers, it's the first time they're playing This is

447
00:21:20,040 --> 00:21:22,000
Speaker 1: another one. The Colts and Jacks have not played yet

448
00:21:22,000 --> 00:21:23,760
Speaker 1: this year. So what do you expect from the first

449
00:21:23,760 --> 00:21:24,640
Speaker 1: matchup from these two.

450
00:21:26,080 --> 00:21:29,520
Speaker 3: I do think Daniel jones fibular fracture is kind of

451
00:21:29,560 --> 00:21:32,399
Speaker 3: a problem for the Colts offense. Maybe it's less of

452
00:21:32,440 --> 00:21:34,680
Speaker 3: a problem than I think, And I shouldn't be fading

453
00:21:34,800 --> 00:21:37,119
Speaker 3: Jones and the indie pass catchers to the extent that

454
00:21:37,200 --> 00:21:40,199
Speaker 3: I am. But I'm below ECR and pretty much all

455
00:21:40,240 --> 00:21:43,400
Speaker 3: of them except for Tyler Warren because, as Deebro said,

456
00:21:43,400 --> 00:21:47,199
Speaker 3: the Jaguars are not especially good against tight ends. But

457
00:21:47,320 --> 00:21:50,760
Speaker 3: Jones isn't really running anymore. He's not throwing as much.

458
00:21:51,160 --> 00:21:53,240
Speaker 3: I think they're maybe trying to protect him a little

459
00:21:53,240 --> 00:21:56,199
Speaker 3: bit by tamping down the passing volume a little bit.

460
00:21:56,280 --> 00:21:58,600
Speaker 3: Is passing yardage is down over the last two weeks.

461
00:21:59,240 --> 00:22:01,160
Speaker 3: I think the Colts he might have to lean more

462
00:22:01,200 --> 00:22:04,959
Speaker 3: heavily on Jonathan Taylor, but we'll see how that goes

463
00:22:05,080 --> 00:22:09,440
Speaker 3: because we like heavy volume for Taylor. But after averaging

464
00:22:09,480 --> 00:22:12,040
Speaker 3: six yards of carry over his first ten games, he's

465
00:22:12,040 --> 00:22:15,479
Speaker 3: averaged three point nine yards per carry over his last two. Now, granted,

466
00:22:15,480 --> 00:22:18,760
Speaker 3: those were tough matchup matchups against the Chiefs and Texans,

467
00:22:19,240 --> 00:22:22,200
Speaker 3: but the Jaguars are pretty tough matchup for running backs too.

468
00:22:22,520 --> 00:22:24,440
Speaker 3: Their defense is better against the run than it is

469
00:22:24,520 --> 00:22:27,440
Speaker 3: against the pass. The Jags have allowed a league low

470
00:22:27,480 --> 00:22:30,520
Speaker 3: seven hundred and sixty four rushing yards to running backs

471
00:22:30,520 --> 00:22:33,359
Speaker 3: and only four touchdown runs to running.

472
00:22:33,080 --> 00:22:33,880
Speaker 2: Backs this season.

473
00:22:35,400 --> 00:22:37,680
Speaker 1: Just quickly before we move off this game. Brian Thomas Junior,

474
00:22:37,800 --> 00:22:40,720
Speaker 1: He's wide receiver thirty. Where is he ranked for you? Guys,

475
00:22:40,720 --> 00:22:43,120
Speaker 1: because I mean, obviously he's been such a disappointment this year.

476
00:22:43,160 --> 00:22:45,440
Speaker 1: But with four teams on buy, you know, see somebody

477
00:22:45,440 --> 00:22:47,240
Speaker 1: that you were willing to in a pinch start him,

478
00:22:47,280 --> 00:22:48,840
Speaker 1: like if you're trying to clinch up a playoff spot

479
00:22:48,880 --> 00:22:50,879
Speaker 1: here or is it just too risky? Like you're getting

480
00:22:50,880 --> 00:22:52,920
Speaker 1: away as why receiver thirty he's ranked in an area

481
00:22:52,920 --> 00:22:54,680
Speaker 1: where he could be a flex for you? Fits where

482
00:22:54,720 --> 00:22:55,320
Speaker 1: is he ranked for you?

483
00:22:55,400 --> 00:23:01,639
Speaker 3: I'm right online wide receiver thirty, Debra, I.

484
00:23:01,640 --> 00:23:04,040
Speaker 2: Got him at wide receiver thirty six, Like, I don't

485
00:23:04,040 --> 00:23:08,040
Speaker 2: want to start him unless I absolutely have to. I'll

486
00:23:08,400 --> 00:23:12,240
Speaker 2: Fitzy on the spot. Brian Thomas Junior Ady Mitchell this week,

487
00:23:12,600 --> 00:23:14,040
Speaker 2: I'm team AD Where you at?

488
00:23:15,080 --> 00:23:15,320
Speaker 1: Yeah?

489
00:23:15,400 --> 00:23:16,960
Speaker 2: I need I think I think a lot of people

490
00:23:17,000 --> 00:23:17,920
Speaker 2: are gonna have this decision.

491
00:23:18,000 --> 00:23:21,879
Speaker 3: I need to change this, Like I right now I

492
00:23:21,920 --> 00:23:25,479
Speaker 3: have BTJ ranked higher. But like if I was faced

493
00:23:25,480 --> 00:23:28,600
Speaker 3: with that decision, I think I probably I'm being honest

494
00:23:28,640 --> 00:23:30,880
Speaker 3: with myself, I would start Ady Mitchell. So I need

495
00:23:30,880 --> 00:23:33,920
Speaker 3: to Yeah, saying like that with my rankings.

496
00:23:33,960 --> 00:23:35,960
Speaker 1: Mitchell is once about a head of consensus, once about

497
00:23:36,000 --> 00:23:38,800
Speaker 1: behind Thomas. A consensus is Roma Doonza, who would you

498
00:23:38,800 --> 00:23:40,040
Speaker 1: start between these two.

499
00:23:42,840 --> 00:23:46,920
Speaker 2: I'd start, I'll start rolling, and just like just hope

500
00:23:46,960 --> 00:23:50,240
Speaker 2: and pray, Caleb can look like a semi competent pastor.

501
00:23:50,240 --> 00:23:54,439
Speaker 2: I've got rolling ranked wide receiver thirty one, So it's

502
00:23:54,680 --> 00:23:56,760
Speaker 2: it's not pretty all right.

503
00:23:56,840 --> 00:23:59,080
Speaker 1: Let's go to Commanders at Vikings. This one simple. I

504
00:23:59,080 --> 00:24:00,960
Speaker 1: wants you to rank the running actually be willing to

505
00:24:01,119 --> 00:24:03,320
Speaker 1: start in this game. Fits. We talked a little bit

506
00:24:03,320 --> 00:24:07,280
Speaker 1: about Chris Rodriguez yesterday. Obviously the Vikings backfield here, So

507
00:24:07,680 --> 00:24:09,119
Speaker 1: who are the guys who are willing to start and

508
00:24:09,119 --> 00:24:10,680
Speaker 1: where are they ranked for you in this game?

509
00:24:10,840 --> 00:24:14,880
Speaker 3: Aaron Jones running back twenty seven, Chris Rodriguez running back

510
00:24:14,880 --> 00:24:18,439
Speaker 3: twenty eights, Jordan Mason running back thirty three, and you

511
00:24:18,440 --> 00:24:22,879
Speaker 3: know McNichols and Jakry krossky merit are like outside running

512
00:24:22,880 --> 00:24:29,920
Speaker 3: back four range, so like not considerations. The Commanders haven't

513
00:24:29,920 --> 00:24:32,640
Speaker 3: been that tough a matchup for running backs. But Aaron Jones,

514
00:24:32,680 --> 00:24:34,159
Speaker 3: I mean, does he make it through the game with

515
00:24:34,200 --> 00:24:37,720
Speaker 3: the shoulder injury that he's been dealing with, which is

516
00:24:37,720 --> 00:24:41,040
Speaker 3: why the gap between Aaron Jones and Jordan Mason isn't

517
00:24:41,080 --> 00:24:44,080
Speaker 3: all that great. And Chris Rodriguez We've talked about this.

518
00:24:44,160 --> 00:24:46,440
Speaker 3: He's only had one game with more than twelve carries

519
00:24:46,520 --> 00:24:48,840
Speaker 3: and he's caught one pass all year. So if he

520
00:24:48,880 --> 00:24:51,280
Speaker 3: does not fall into the end zone, you're probably getting

521
00:24:51,280 --> 00:24:54,040
Speaker 3: a dud game from him. And I am not playing

522
00:24:54,119 --> 00:24:57,280
Speaker 3: Chris Rodriguez under I don't even want to roster him

523
00:24:57,280 --> 00:25:00,359
Speaker 3: in PPR. I just think he's unplayable in PPR because

524
00:25:00,359 --> 00:25:02,919
Speaker 3: of his complete lack of pass catching.

525
00:25:04,560 --> 00:25:07,240
Speaker 1: He is banked highest of the three in ECR at

526
00:25:07,320 --> 00:25:10,440
Speaker 1: RB twenty seven. Mason is actually second fits at RB

527
00:25:10,480 --> 00:25:13,040
Speaker 1: twenty eight. Right behind him, Jones is down at RB

528
00:25:13,080 --> 00:25:16,280
Speaker 1: thirty three in ECR. I think some people some injury

529
00:25:16,359 --> 00:25:17,240
Speaker 1: question Mark, Yeah, so.

530
00:25:17,280 --> 00:25:18,920
Speaker 2: I think people think that he's not going to play.

531
00:25:18,960 --> 00:25:19,359
Speaker 2: That's why.

532
00:25:19,440 --> 00:25:23,399
Speaker 1: Yeah. Yeah, I'm just throwing that out there, debro What

533
00:25:23,600 --> 00:25:25,680
Speaker 1: is you are ranking? We just focused on those three guys.

534
00:25:25,720 --> 00:25:27,160
Speaker 1: We don't need to discuss anybody. Yeah.

535
00:25:27,200 --> 00:25:28,960
Speaker 2: I mean, for me, it's whoever is going to be

536
00:25:29,000 --> 00:25:32,560
Speaker 2: the Vikings starter. If Aaron Jones plays, I'm playing Aaron Jones.

537
00:25:32,680 --> 00:25:35,000
Speaker 2: If Aaron Jones is out, I'm playing Jordan Mason. If

538
00:25:35,000 --> 00:25:36,720
Speaker 2: Aaron Jones is in, I don't want anything to do

539
00:25:36,760 --> 00:25:39,639
Speaker 2: with Jordan Mason. So right now, I've got Aaron Jones

540
00:25:39,680 --> 00:25:44,840
Speaker 2: at RB twenty five, but there's so much that we

541
00:25:44,880 --> 00:25:47,840
Speaker 2: still need news on, like Cabari and Hampton and Alvin

542
00:25:47,880 --> 00:25:49,760
Speaker 2: Kamara and all those other guys. So like, I think

543
00:25:49,800 --> 00:25:51,800
Speaker 2: anywhere from like low end RB two to high end

544
00:25:51,880 --> 00:25:53,720
Speaker 2: RB three is appropriate, and we still need news on

545
00:25:53,720 --> 00:25:57,560
Speaker 2: Aaron Jones. Chris Rodriguez. I've got RB thirty and fifty

546
00:25:57,720 --> 00:26:02,040
Speaker 2: framed it perfectly like he's been that Bam night kind

547
00:26:02,080 --> 00:26:05,240
Speaker 2: of area code for me where he's gonna get twelve

548
00:26:05,320 --> 00:26:07,719
Speaker 2: to fifteen opportunities. If he doesn't freaking score a touchdown,

549
00:26:07,720 --> 00:26:09,439
Speaker 2: you're gonna hate life and wish you started him. If

550
00:26:09,440 --> 00:26:12,840
Speaker 2: he scores a touchdown, then cool. He's an RB three

551
00:26:12,960 --> 00:26:14,639
Speaker 2: or maybe a low end RB two, depending on how

552
00:26:14,640 --> 00:26:15,399
Speaker 2: the weak shifts out.

553
00:26:17,560 --> 00:26:19,720
Speaker 1: I think I like Chris well, I know I don't

554
00:26:19,720 --> 00:26:21,560
Speaker 1: like Chris Ardry guys better than you guys, but I

555
00:26:22,600 --> 00:26:24,880
Speaker 1: feel I wonder if there's a chance that he does.

556
00:26:25,200 --> 00:26:26,680
Speaker 1: I do think he will score a touchdown. I guess

557
00:26:26,680 --> 00:26:28,720
Speaker 1: this is the way i'd put it, So I'm kind

558
00:26:28,720 --> 00:26:30,720
Speaker 1: of more willing to start him in this one.

559
00:26:31,920 --> 00:26:35,800
Speaker 2: Then he's gonna get you probably like anywhere between ten

560
00:26:35,960 --> 00:26:37,000
Speaker 2: to twelve points.

561
00:26:37,320 --> 00:26:40,440
Speaker 1: Yeah, it's not as like a ceiling play, but as

562
00:26:40,520 --> 00:26:42,239
Speaker 1: a I mean again, there are four teams on by

563
00:26:42,359 --> 00:26:42,680
Speaker 1: this week.

564
00:26:42,760 --> 00:26:44,760
Speaker 2: So yeah, he can get you to twelve points, you're

565
00:26:44,800 --> 00:26:46,720
Speaker 2: happy as hell with that and you just move on.

566
00:26:46,840 --> 00:26:48,560
Speaker 2: But if he doesn't, he's getting you five or six

567
00:26:48,560 --> 00:26:51,400
Speaker 2: points and you're wishing get it and blame.

568
00:26:51,760 --> 00:26:54,399
Speaker 1: Yeah, we just talked about eighty Mitchell, So let's go

569
00:26:54,400 --> 00:26:57,120
Speaker 1: to Dolphins at Jets. Is Aden I Mitchell a thing

570
00:26:57,400 --> 00:27:00,399
Speaker 1: coming off of a game with eight catches hundred and

571
00:27:00,440 --> 00:27:03,680
Speaker 1: two yards and a touchdown on twelve targets or will

572
00:27:03,680 --> 00:27:05,280
Speaker 1: we look back on week thirteen as kind of a

573
00:27:05,280 --> 00:27:08,160
Speaker 1: flash in the pan for him? Is his consensus ranking?

574
00:27:08,160 --> 00:27:09,240
Speaker 1: And by the way, when I made the sheet, it

575
00:27:09,240 --> 00:27:11,000
Speaker 1: was wide receiver thirty two. It's jumped up to wide

576
00:27:11,040 --> 00:27:13,520
Speaker 1: receiver twenty nine, as I mentioned, So that's gone up.

577
00:27:14,000 --> 00:27:16,359
Speaker 1: So is his consensus ranking of wide receiver twenty nine

578
00:27:16,800 --> 00:27:18,959
Speaker 1: too high, too low or just right? Fits?

579
00:27:19,240 --> 00:27:22,280
Speaker 3: I guess it's just right Since I uh a second

580
00:27:22,320 --> 00:27:25,040
Speaker 3: ago bumped him ahead of BTJ, I've now got him

581
00:27:25,040 --> 00:27:29,639
Speaker 3: at wide receiver thirty But who knows, man like it

582
00:27:29,680 --> 00:27:33,040
Speaker 3: could be way too high. Or way too low or

583
00:27:33,160 --> 00:27:36,919
Speaker 3: just right. But I do know that since joining the Jets,

584
00:27:36,960 --> 00:27:39,959
Speaker 3: Ady Mitchell is getting something like a thirty percent target

585
00:27:40,000 --> 00:27:43,160
Speaker 3: share and a sixty percent air yard share. And he's

586
00:27:43,280 --> 00:27:46,280
Speaker 3: six foot two and two hundred and five pounds with

587
00:27:46,440 --> 00:27:50,359
Speaker 3: four point three five speed. So it would be pretty

588
00:27:50,359 --> 00:27:53,240
Speaker 3: foolish not to be intrigued by this guy. Like the

589
00:27:53,359 --> 00:27:58,239
Speaker 3: usage and athletic profile are just so attractive. But you know,

590
00:27:58,320 --> 00:28:00,600
Speaker 3: the Colts had him for a year and a half

591
00:28:01,040 --> 00:28:03,880
Speaker 3: and had no problem throwing him into the Sauce Gardner trade,

592
00:28:04,200 --> 00:28:07,000
Speaker 3: And before the Big Game last week, Mitchell had caught

593
00:28:07,080 --> 00:28:09,359
Speaker 3: three of thirteen targets in his first two games with

594
00:28:09,400 --> 00:28:12,359
Speaker 3: the Jets. So it's really hard to tell where this

595
00:28:12,480 --> 00:28:15,160
Speaker 3: ride is going, but I can't wait to find out.

596
00:28:16,200 --> 00:28:19,480
Speaker 1: Deever, I can't really remember. I seem to recall liking

597
00:28:19,640 --> 00:28:22,560
Speaker 1: Mitchell better than you like coming into the NFL as

598
00:28:22,600 --> 00:28:26,359
Speaker 1: a prospect. You were lower on him, right, Yeah, I

599
00:28:26,400 --> 00:28:27,120
Speaker 1: was lower on him.

600
00:28:27,160 --> 00:28:28,840
Speaker 2: I think it needed a lot that it needed to

601
00:28:28,840 --> 00:28:32,639
Speaker 2: clean up with his route running and separation, and you know,

602
00:28:32,640 --> 00:28:34,600
Speaker 2: there was a lot of things I felt like, you know,

603
00:28:34,880 --> 00:28:37,080
Speaker 2: when we get to this time, or at least prospect

604
00:28:37,080 --> 00:28:40,200
Speaker 2: time of the year, a lot of the big and

605
00:28:40,320 --> 00:28:42,840
Speaker 2: fast kind of covers up some warts for players and stuff.

606
00:28:42,880 --> 00:28:44,760
Speaker 2: So I was lower on him than consensus. But dude,

607
00:28:44,760 --> 00:28:47,160
Speaker 2: I mean, I think the ranking for him this week,

608
00:28:47,160 --> 00:28:48,840
Speaker 2: I've got him at wide receiver twenty eight I think

609
00:28:48,880 --> 00:28:51,719
Speaker 2: is appropriate, and I think the problem with him is

610
00:28:53,600 --> 00:28:57,400
Speaker 2: it's volatile. I think, honestly, the more I think about

611
00:28:57,400 --> 00:28:59,920
Speaker 2: ad Mitchell this week, it's like, I feel like in

612
00:29:00,120 --> 00:29:02,400
Speaker 2: rankings I need to make a stand. I either need

613
00:29:02,440 --> 00:29:05,880
Speaker 2: to fade him or go all in because either embrace

614
00:29:05,920 --> 00:29:08,360
Speaker 2: the volatility and the volume that he's gonna get, because

615
00:29:08,360 --> 00:29:10,920
Speaker 2: the reality is he's probably gonna end up as like

616
00:29:10,920 --> 00:29:13,760
Speaker 2: a top fifteen wide receiver or outside the top forty.

617
00:29:13,840 --> 00:29:16,240
Speaker 2: One of those things is probably gonna happen. With his volatility,

618
00:29:16,280 --> 00:29:19,240
Speaker 2: He's getting so much freaking volume. Like to fits this point.

619
00:29:19,280 --> 00:29:22,280
Speaker 2: Since week eleven, twenty eight point four percent target chair

620
00:29:22,400 --> 00:29:25,520
Speaker 2: sixty one point four percent are ar chair, a forty

621
00:29:25,920 --> 00:29:29,880
Speaker 2: one percent first read cheer. He is their passing offense basically,

622
00:29:30,200 --> 00:29:34,520
Speaker 2: so in a good matchup, I mean, because the Dolphins

623
00:29:34,520 --> 00:29:37,560
Speaker 2: since week nine, ninth most PPR points per target the

624
00:29:37,600 --> 00:29:41,840
Speaker 2: perimeter wide receivers, I'm just gonna stand on process and

625
00:29:41,880 --> 00:29:43,960
Speaker 2: say he hits, I'm probably gonna move him up even

626
00:29:44,000 --> 00:29:46,360
Speaker 2: further than the rankings, Like once we get other news

627
00:29:46,440 --> 00:29:49,800
Speaker 2: about like is Justin Herbert playing? Is he not playing

628
00:29:49,880 --> 00:29:52,320
Speaker 2: other guys that are on the fence, like what happens

629
00:29:52,320 --> 00:29:55,560
Speaker 2: with Marvin Harrison Junior and other guys, Like I'm probably

630
00:29:55,560 --> 00:29:57,720
Speaker 2: gonna bump ad up a little bit more and take

631
00:29:57,760 --> 00:30:01,160
Speaker 2: a more positive stand with him in rankings because again,

632
00:30:01,640 --> 00:30:04,480
Speaker 2: the volatility is there. But dude, it's it's like I

633
00:30:04,560 --> 00:30:07,480
Speaker 2: kind of feel like it's a binary decision. Either we're

634
00:30:07,520 --> 00:30:09,160
Speaker 2: in on him or you're not in on him. And

635
00:30:09,200 --> 00:30:11,480
Speaker 2: if he booms, he's probably a top twenty wide receiver

636
00:30:11,520 --> 00:30:11,800
Speaker 2: for the week.

637
00:30:11,880 --> 00:30:14,000
Speaker 3: Yeah, worm, you and I do the Dynasty Show with

638
00:30:14,040 --> 00:30:16,640
Speaker 3: Scott Bogman, who's a big University of Texas fan, And

639
00:30:16,680 --> 00:30:19,840
Speaker 3: didn't you get the feeling that Bogman didn't know what

640
00:30:19,920 --> 00:30:22,480
Speaker 3: to make of ad Mitchell coming out of college, Like

641
00:30:22,960 --> 00:30:25,720
Speaker 3: I think he wanted to like him, but was also

642
00:30:25,800 --> 00:30:29,520
Speaker 3: sort of perplexed by what he saw from him at

643
00:30:30,000 --> 00:30:34,480
Speaker 3: you know, in college, Like he's just he is kind

644
00:30:34,480 --> 00:30:38,800
Speaker 3: of a boom bust weekly guy. I think he might

645
00:30:38,880 --> 00:30:42,240
Speaker 3: always be that. But the upside is just so intriguing,

646
00:30:42,320 --> 00:30:44,280
Speaker 3: Like if this guy can ever put it together and

647
00:30:44,320 --> 00:30:47,040
Speaker 3: the light totally comes on, look out, like there is

648
00:30:47,240 --> 00:30:48,080
Speaker 3: eight side.

649
00:30:48,560 --> 00:30:50,680
Speaker 1: It is worth noting he has never played with an

650
00:30:50,720 --> 00:30:55,000
Speaker 1: accurate quarterback, and like, for like, I don't think that

651
00:30:55,120 --> 00:30:57,480
Speaker 1: is we can put all the blame for his you know,

652
00:30:57,560 --> 00:31:00,800
Speaker 1: lack of production on the offenses he's in. Like obviously

653
00:31:00,880 --> 00:31:03,560
Speaker 1: he like did Debra's point about like needing to improve

654
00:31:03,600 --> 00:31:05,120
Speaker 1: as a route runner, Like there was stuff he needed

655
00:31:05,120 --> 00:31:07,440
Speaker 1: to work on too, but like, it is worth noting

656
00:31:07,480 --> 00:31:10,200
Speaker 1: that he, like play, you know, has not played with

657
00:31:10,240 --> 00:31:10,920
Speaker 1: a good quarterback.

658
00:31:11,000 --> 00:31:14,920
Speaker 3: Queen yours, you're not You're not calling Quah viewers in college.

659
00:31:16,000 --> 00:31:18,960
Speaker 2: You know, don't speak bad about quin yours. Bogmin's probably

660
00:31:19,040 --> 00:31:20,160
Speaker 2: hearing that somewhere.

661
00:31:19,880 --> 00:31:22,800
Speaker 1: Out in the I hope b it's Raven Steelers a

662
00:31:22,800 --> 00:31:24,600
Speaker 1: week souse. I hope Bagman is hearing me talk trash

663
00:31:24,640 --> 00:31:29,400
Speaker 1: about his team. But yeah, Quinners, you know Anthony Richardson, Uh,

664
00:31:29,880 --> 00:31:31,560
Speaker 1: you know, I know Daniel Jones had a good start

665
00:31:31,560 --> 00:31:32,920
Speaker 1: to the year, but obviously there's a lot of mouse

666
00:31:32,960 --> 00:31:37,040
Speaker 1: to feed in Indianapolis, and and then you know, justin fields,

667
00:31:37,080 --> 00:31:39,280
Speaker 1: like like he hasn't had a great quarterback to be

668
00:31:39,320 --> 00:31:42,000
Speaker 1: paired with, so worth noting.

669
00:31:42,440 --> 00:31:44,560
Speaker 2: One last thing, a point on Ady Mitchell. I think

670
00:31:44,560 --> 00:31:48,360
Speaker 2: what the Colts drafted him, they weren't expecting Alec Piers

671
00:31:48,440 --> 00:31:50,440
Speaker 2: to take the next step and be the guy that

672
00:31:50,480 --> 00:31:52,800
Speaker 2: he's become over the last two seasons. Like, you don't

673
00:31:52,800 --> 00:31:56,760
Speaker 2: make that draft pick too, because you have faith in

674
00:31:56,840 --> 00:31:59,280
Speaker 2: Alec Peers and Alec Pierce balling out over the last

675
00:31:59,280 --> 00:32:02,480
Speaker 2: two years. And again, another guy that came into the

676
00:32:02,560 --> 00:32:06,960
Speaker 2: NFL with crazy physical tools but needing to round a

677
00:32:06,960 --> 00:32:09,000
Speaker 2: lot of other parts of his game. And since he's

678
00:32:09,000 --> 00:32:12,080
Speaker 2: done that, that's what's kept Adie Mitchell off the field.

679
00:32:12,240 --> 00:32:14,520
Speaker 2: And you know, maybe it's a combination of other things

680
00:32:14,560 --> 00:32:16,720
Speaker 2: Ady had to improve too. But also this is also

681
00:32:16,760 --> 00:32:17,880
Speaker 2: an Alex Pierce conversation.

682
00:32:18,600 --> 00:32:21,320
Speaker 1: Yeah, it's a good point. You can let autopilot manage

683
00:32:21,320 --> 00:32:23,920
Speaker 1: your fantasy football lineup automatically so you never have to

684
00:32:23,920 --> 00:32:27,240
Speaker 1: worry about last minute changes. Autoswap inactive players and ensure

685
00:32:27,280 --> 00:32:30,520
Speaker 1: your lineup is always optimized even when you can't be online.

686
00:32:30,520 --> 00:32:33,640
Speaker 1: Take control with the flexibility to approve lineup changes via

687
00:32:33,800 --> 00:32:37,280
Speaker 1: email or let autopilot handle everything. Stay ahead with my

688
00:32:37,320 --> 00:32:41,120
Speaker 1: playbook Autopilot available now for Fantasy Pros Premium subscribers at

689
00:32:41,200 --> 00:32:44,400
Speaker 1: Fantasypros dot com, slash my Playbook, or on the Fantasy

690
00:32:44,440 --> 00:32:47,400
Speaker 1: Pros app. Next game in the early slate. Here, guys,

691
00:32:47,400 --> 00:32:51,360
Speaker 1: Saints at Buccaneers a mecha Agbuka has finished outside the

692
00:32:51,360 --> 00:32:54,360
Speaker 1: top forty wide receivers in three straight weeks, and if

693
00:32:54,360 --> 00:32:56,080
Speaker 1: you take out his big game against the Patriots, his

694
00:32:56,160 --> 00:32:58,840
Speaker 1: average finish in the last six games is wide receiver

695
00:32:59,040 --> 00:33:02,200
Speaker 1: forty nine, and yet he is still being ranked inside

696
00:33:02,200 --> 00:33:06,320
Speaker 1: the consensus top fifteen wide receivers for the week deeper.

697
00:33:06,360 --> 00:33:07,640
Speaker 1: I want to start with you, Fitz, and I talked

698
00:33:07,640 --> 00:33:09,440
Speaker 1: a bit about this yesterday with Jake, so I want

699
00:33:09,440 --> 00:33:11,080
Speaker 1: to get your opinion here first and then we'll go

700
00:33:11,120 --> 00:33:13,400
Speaker 1: back to fits on this. Where are you ranking in

701
00:33:13,480 --> 00:33:15,480
Speaker 1: mecha Buka? What do you think about his ranking inside

702
00:33:15,520 --> 00:33:16,160
Speaker 1: the top fifteen.

703
00:33:16,960 --> 00:33:18,719
Speaker 2: I think it's too high. I mean, I've got him

704
00:33:18,720 --> 00:33:21,120
Speaker 2: at wide receiver twenty and I'm going to drop him further.

705
00:33:21,640 --> 00:33:24,160
Speaker 2: Like I basically I left all that. I'm going to

706
00:33:24,240 --> 00:33:26,840
Speaker 2: revisit all of that today and on Saturday for the

707
00:33:26,880 --> 00:33:29,800
Speaker 2: primer because we need Mike Evans news. That's what I

708
00:33:29,880 --> 00:33:32,320
Speaker 2: think about this. We need Mike Evans news, and I

709
00:33:32,360 --> 00:33:35,280
Speaker 2: want to be very clear about how I'm contextualizing this.

710
00:33:36,160 --> 00:33:38,280
Speaker 2: Mike Evans did not go out with the hamstring injury,

711
00:33:38,320 --> 00:33:40,040
Speaker 2: and Mike Evans did not go out with the knee

712
00:33:40,480 --> 00:33:43,280
Speaker 2: or any other joint or soft tissue and stuff like that.

713
00:33:44,040 --> 00:33:46,640
Speaker 2: If Mike Evans is medically cleared, and he has been.

714
00:33:47,000 --> 00:33:49,600
Speaker 2: This comes down to a conditioning standpoint type of thing

715
00:33:49,960 --> 00:33:53,120
Speaker 2: where if Mike Evans is active this week, I think

716
00:33:53,160 --> 00:33:55,400
Speaker 2: he's going to play close to his normal role. Now

717
00:33:55,520 --> 00:33:57,920
Speaker 2: I'm not saying eighty to ninety percent of snaps, but

718
00:33:58,040 --> 00:34:01,160
Speaker 2: can he play sixty five seventy percent and have like

719
00:34:01,160 --> 00:34:04,600
Speaker 2: a seventy five percent route share definitively possible. So from

720
00:34:04,600 --> 00:34:08,600
Speaker 2: a conditioning standpoint, if Mike Evans plays, I think it

721
00:34:08,760 --> 00:34:11,279
Speaker 2: means bad things for Mecca Abuka and it's gonna I mean,

722
00:34:11,280 --> 00:34:14,239
Speaker 2: I'm gonna drop him further in the rankings because when

723
00:34:14,280 --> 00:34:16,279
Speaker 2: Evans is on the field, he's there. He's the wide

724
00:34:16,280 --> 00:34:20,680
Speaker 2: receiver one. So my Ameca Abuka thoughts and feelings are

725
00:34:20,719 --> 00:34:23,120
Speaker 2: really tied to Mike Evans. So we need that news.

726
00:34:23,160 --> 00:34:25,200
Speaker 2: But I mean, I'm not going to move him up

727
00:34:25,200 --> 00:34:26,000
Speaker 2: the ranks.

728
00:34:26,880 --> 00:34:28,520
Speaker 1: We before I toss it fits, I want to get

729
00:34:28,520 --> 00:34:30,080
Speaker 1: your opinion on this. We did a head to head

730
00:34:30,160 --> 00:34:33,200
Speaker 1: Abuka versus Justin Jefferson debro yesterday with Jake. Who would

731
00:34:33,200 --> 00:34:34,040
Speaker 1: you take between those two?

732
00:34:34,680 --> 00:34:35,640
Speaker 2: I'm taking Jefferson.

733
00:34:36,120 --> 00:34:38,879
Speaker 1: Okay, they're back to back in ecr uh fit. You've

734
00:34:38,880 --> 00:34:41,440
Speaker 1: had a day to think about it further from when

735
00:34:41,440 --> 00:34:43,080
Speaker 1: we talked about it with Jake. How you feeling about

736
00:34:43,080 --> 00:34:43,760
Speaker 1: Abuca today?

737
00:34:43,840 --> 00:34:46,399
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm still good and I've got aim at wide

738
00:34:46,440 --> 00:34:49,880
Speaker 3: receiver fourteen, and yeah, I know some of the recent

739
00:34:49,920 --> 00:34:52,359
Speaker 3: results have been bad. Although I do disagree with any

740
00:34:52,400 --> 00:34:54,640
Speaker 3: framing where you're like, well, if you take out the

741
00:34:54,800 --> 00:34:58,399
Speaker 3: huge game against the Patriots, you know, if we will.

742
00:34:58,760 --> 00:35:01,080
Speaker 1: The point is that it's only been one good game

743
00:35:01,120 --> 00:35:03,680
Speaker 1: in the last you know, seven, So if you take

744
00:35:03,719 --> 00:35:05,440
Speaker 1: that out, it's like six of the last seven have

745
00:35:05,480 --> 00:35:06,279
Speaker 1: been like really really.

746
00:35:06,360 --> 00:35:07,680
Speaker 2: It's also a Baker conversation.

747
00:35:07,719 --> 00:35:10,279
Speaker 3: I know that always that game. It's very much a

748
00:35:10,280 --> 00:35:13,680
Speaker 3: Baker conversation. I mean, he has not averaged seven yards

749
00:35:13,680 --> 00:35:17,120
Speaker 3: per pass attempt in any game since Week six. That's

750
00:35:17,200 --> 00:35:17,760
Speaker 3: kind of crrect.

751
00:35:17,719 --> 00:35:20,239
Speaker 2: That's also a Baker doesn't have weapons conversation too, Like

752
00:35:20,280 --> 00:35:22,640
Speaker 2: this offense has been bad because everybody's been freaking hurt.

753
00:35:22,960 --> 00:35:25,000
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, a Buka's been the one, although he

754
00:35:25,160 --> 00:35:27,880
Speaker 3: kind of played through a hamstring injury for a while,

755
00:35:28,040 --> 00:35:33,480
Speaker 3: So I totally get the hesitation on Abuka. But for me,

756
00:35:33,520 --> 00:35:36,719
Speaker 3: it's largely about the target volume. He's averaging eight point

757
00:35:36,760 --> 00:35:39,640
Speaker 3: four targets a game this season nine point eight targets

758
00:35:39,719 --> 00:35:43,040
Speaker 3: game over his last six games, so I know it's

759
00:35:43,080 --> 00:35:47,440
Speaker 3: not just about the target counts. And again, I mean,

760
00:35:47,480 --> 00:35:50,480
Speaker 3: I think Abuka's recent slump is probably more about Baker

761
00:35:50,480 --> 00:35:53,480
Speaker 3: Mayfield than it is about Abuka himself. But even with

762
00:35:53,560 --> 00:35:57,400
Speaker 3: this recent slump, A Buka is still on pace for eleven

763
00:35:57,560 --> 00:36:00,719
Speaker 3: and twenty one yards and averaging fifth teen point two

764
00:36:00,800 --> 00:36:03,879
Speaker 3: yards per catch. So I still think he's really really

765
00:36:03,960 --> 00:36:06,279
Speaker 3: good and I want to keep playing him.

766
00:36:06,840 --> 00:36:09,759
Speaker 2: So what do you think about the Evans conversation? Like it?

767
00:36:09,880 --> 00:36:11,640
Speaker 2: Do you think he plays and is he going to

768
00:36:11,680 --> 00:36:13,920
Speaker 2: play close to a similar role if he does, what

769
00:36:13,960 --> 00:36:15,680
Speaker 2: do you I mean, does that move you want to

770
00:36:15,760 --> 00:36:16,520
Speaker 2: Eggbuk at all? Oh?

771
00:36:16,600 --> 00:36:19,640
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean I'm doing this tentatively. I do not

772
00:36:19,800 --> 00:36:22,759
Speaker 3: have Mike Evans ranked as of now, and we'll see

773
00:36:22,760 --> 00:36:25,359
Speaker 3: if he plays this week or if they give him

774
00:36:25,360 --> 00:36:27,440
Speaker 3: like one ramp up week because they just they opened

775
00:36:27,480 --> 00:36:31,759
Speaker 3: his window this week, right, Yeah, guys typically don't come

776
00:36:31,800 --> 00:36:34,600
Speaker 3: back the first week that their window is open. Like

777
00:36:34,680 --> 00:36:37,719
Speaker 3: I think that happens well under fifty percent of the time.

778
00:36:37,760 --> 00:36:40,759
Speaker 3: So I'm kind of thinking Evans doesn't play. Wouldn't shock

779
00:36:40,840 --> 00:36:43,120
Speaker 3: me if he did, And then obviously off to move

780
00:36:43,160 --> 00:36:45,360
Speaker 3: a Buka down and I'll probably not have him inside

781
00:36:45,400 --> 00:36:46,080
Speaker 3: the top twenty.

782
00:36:47,120 --> 00:36:49,000
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'll probably have both of the guys as like

783
00:36:49,000 --> 00:36:51,719
Speaker 2: wide receiver twos if once we get the Evans news.

784
00:36:51,719 --> 00:36:55,040
Speaker 2: So I'm I'm kind of like shading Igbuka down with

785
00:36:55,160 --> 00:36:59,719
Speaker 2: the idea, but like say Evans, say Evans is held out,

786
00:37:00,080 --> 00:37:02,520
Speaker 2: then Buka is probably gonna bump up a little bit

787
00:37:02,560 --> 00:37:06,480
Speaker 2: for me, like probably like wide receiver sixteen ish.

788
00:37:06,600 --> 00:37:09,080
Speaker 3: Yeah, and the other thing, don't debro You know the

789
00:37:09,120 --> 00:37:11,480
Speaker 3: Saints who the the Buccaneers are going against, they kind

790
00:37:11,480 --> 00:37:14,239
Speaker 3: of get bashed in the slot, right or no they're

791
00:37:14,239 --> 00:37:15,520
Speaker 3: good or are they are they good against?

792
00:37:15,600 --> 00:37:17,080
Speaker 2: So they're yeah, they're they're better.

793
00:37:17,080 --> 00:37:18,920
Speaker 3: They're better against the slot. So they kind of get

794
00:37:18,920 --> 00:37:22,520
Speaker 3: bashed by outside receivers and like there are no cornerback

795
00:37:22,600 --> 00:37:25,960
Speaker 3: matchups to fear here kool Aid mcchinistry is not fine,

796
00:37:26,000 --> 00:37:28,799
Speaker 3: but like he's he's not, they're not playing good. Yeah,

797
00:37:29,120 --> 00:37:32,680
Speaker 3: So I don't dislike anything about the matchup. I think

798
00:37:32,719 --> 00:37:36,440
Speaker 3: it's more of a plus than a minus. So even

799
00:37:36,560 --> 00:37:39,520
Speaker 3: even if Evans does come back, I think in most

800
00:37:39,640 --> 00:37:42,919
Speaker 3: twelve team leagues, at least the ones where you start

801
00:37:42,920 --> 00:37:44,880
Speaker 3: three receivers, I think a BUCA is still in the

802
00:37:45,200 --> 00:37:46,120
Speaker 3: starter realm.

803
00:37:47,040 --> 00:37:49,879
Speaker 1: Ye fits if Evans is back, would you rather start

804
00:37:49,920 --> 00:37:51,640
Speaker 1: at BUCA or Zay Flowers?

805
00:37:52,120 --> 00:37:52,600
Speaker 2: Oh?

806
00:37:52,719 --> 00:37:55,480
Speaker 3: Man, that's tough. Probably probably still ABUCA.

807
00:37:56,280 --> 00:37:58,480
Speaker 2: I'm playing at BUKA. I have him ranked one spot

808
00:37:58,520 --> 00:38:00,640
Speaker 2: above z A And this is just more again going

809
00:38:00,680 --> 00:38:03,080
Speaker 2: back to that, to me, that's more of a Lamar

810
00:38:03,160 --> 00:38:06,560
Speaker 2: Jackson take. For me, I just I don't And again

811
00:38:07,600 --> 00:38:09,880
Speaker 2: I feel like I'm having the same conversation guys, Like

812
00:38:09,960 --> 00:38:11,920
Speaker 2: we can rewind to a few weeks ago when I

813
00:38:12,000 --> 00:38:14,560
Speaker 2: was like, man, you know what, Josh Allen's really been

814
00:38:14,600 --> 00:38:16,400
Speaker 2: struggling as a passer, and then he goes out and

815
00:38:16,400 --> 00:38:18,600
Speaker 2: makes me freaking eat it the next week, and I'm

816
00:38:18,680 --> 00:38:20,560
Speaker 2: I feel like we're having the same kind of conversation

817
00:38:20,600 --> 00:38:23,800
Speaker 2: with Lamar Jackson. But I have even less faith Lamar

818
00:38:23,880 --> 00:38:26,719
Speaker 2: because all the peripheral numbers I've been god off.

819
00:38:26,800 --> 00:38:29,040
Speaker 3: Actually you know what I'm gonna I'm gonna reverse course

820
00:38:29,080 --> 00:38:29,239
Speaker 3: on that.

821
00:38:29,280 --> 00:38:32,400
Speaker 1: I would start say, okay, yeah, I mean, I mean

822
00:38:32,480 --> 00:38:35,239
Speaker 1: day did almost have a big touchdown on third, Like,

823
00:38:35,280 --> 00:38:36,880
Speaker 1: if it were not for a bad OPI call, it

824
00:38:36,880 --> 00:38:40,640
Speaker 1: would it would have looked better. I mean, not that

825
00:38:40,640 --> 00:38:42,000
Speaker 1: we need to go back to the Ravens, but but

826
00:38:42,040 --> 00:38:43,799
Speaker 1: like to your point, de Bro, like I know you

827
00:38:43,800 --> 00:38:46,000
Speaker 1: said it didn't count. At the end of the day,

828
00:38:46,080 --> 00:38:48,239
Speaker 1: he was really close to a three hundred yard game

829
00:38:48,239 --> 00:38:51,440
Speaker 1: with multiple passing touchdowns if no Isa likely doesn't fumble

830
00:38:51,760 --> 00:38:54,200
Speaker 1: and Zay doesn't get called for the OPI so.

831
00:38:54,200 --> 00:38:57,760
Speaker 2: No that that that's fine, my better My bigger takeaway

832
00:38:57,800 --> 00:39:00,920
Speaker 2: with Lamar is that even with the those plays and

833
00:39:00,920 --> 00:39:04,759
Speaker 2: stuff like that, his still deeper metrics about his accuracy

834
00:39:04,800 --> 00:39:05,720
Speaker 2: ass missing.

835
00:39:06,360 --> 00:39:08,040
Speaker 1: He's missing throws he should not miss.

836
00:39:08,200 --> 00:39:11,040
Speaker 2: Yeah, like he has looked objectively bad as a passer.

837
00:39:11,280 --> 00:39:14,239
Speaker 1: Yeah that's true. All right, Yeah, sorry to drag us

838
00:39:14,239 --> 00:39:15,040
Speaker 1: back to the Ravens again.

839
00:39:15,960 --> 00:39:17,360
Speaker 2: I mean, it's a given. It's a given.

840
00:39:17,400 --> 00:39:20,600
Speaker 1: We I thought, say Flowers is a good comp It's

841
00:39:20,640 --> 00:39:23,040
Speaker 1: clearly it was because I just couldn't make up his mind.

842
00:39:24,560 --> 00:39:27,880
Speaker 1: Bengals at Bill's a very fun game here in the

843
00:39:27,920 --> 00:39:30,680
Speaker 1: early slate. It's pretty rare you get these two quarterbacks

844
00:39:30,719 --> 00:39:32,480
Speaker 1: going head to head and it's not in some kind

845
00:39:32,480 --> 00:39:35,360
Speaker 1: of prime time. Obviously, it wasn't clear that Burrow was

846
00:39:35,360 --> 00:39:37,480
Speaker 1: going to be back here, just still recently, so that's

847
00:39:37,520 --> 00:39:39,319
Speaker 1: kind of why it's still, you know, settled into that

848
00:39:39,360 --> 00:39:42,359
Speaker 1: early slate. But we get a fun one here. Are

849
00:39:42,400 --> 00:39:44,399
Speaker 1: we getting the big fireworks in this game people are

850
00:39:44,400 --> 00:39:46,400
Speaker 1: hoping for? And I want you guys to pick a

851
00:39:46,440 --> 00:39:48,960
Speaker 1: player you are actually fading in this matchup, since obviously

852
00:39:49,000 --> 00:39:51,400
Speaker 1: everybody is very excited here fits, I'll start with you.

853
00:39:51,680 --> 00:39:55,040
Speaker 3: I do think we get fireworks even if it's cold.

854
00:39:55,440 --> 00:39:58,400
Speaker 3: I kind of look back at at Buffalo home games

855
00:39:58,440 --> 00:40:02,399
Speaker 3: in December this week to see if that holds down

856
00:40:02,440 --> 00:40:05,000
Speaker 3: scoring at all. It does not. There have been a

857
00:40:05,040 --> 00:40:09,120
Speaker 3: lot of shootout games in Buffalo in December, so barring

858
00:40:09,160 --> 00:40:11,600
Speaker 3: any blizzard, and we're not getting that this weekend. Like,

859
00:40:11,640 --> 00:40:13,759
Speaker 3: I think you can just start, guys with confidence and

860
00:40:13,800 --> 00:40:16,560
Speaker 3: not worry too much about the cold. Looking at my rankings,

861
00:40:16,600 --> 00:40:19,200
Speaker 3: I'm not really fading anyone from this game except for

862
00:40:19,280 --> 00:40:23,360
Speaker 3: maybe Khalil Shakir and I like him. He's clearly the

863
00:40:23,360 --> 00:40:25,520
Speaker 3: bills number one receiver, but he's not really a big

864
00:40:25,560 --> 00:40:29,000
Speaker 3: play guy. Shakira is averaging ten point three yards per catch.

865
00:40:29,360 --> 00:40:33,040
Speaker 3: He's not a consistent touchdown scorer. He has three touchdowns

866
00:40:33,040 --> 00:40:35,640
Speaker 3: this season, none in his last five games, one in

867
00:40:35,680 --> 00:40:39,600
Speaker 3: his last eight games, and even the catch volume hasn't

868
00:40:39,600 --> 00:40:42,920
Speaker 3: been totally consistent. Here is catch totals over his last

869
00:40:42,960 --> 00:40:50,120
Speaker 3: five games seven seven, one eight one. So I just

870
00:40:51,520 --> 00:40:54,240
Speaker 3: I think people are a little higher on Khalil Shakir

871
00:40:54,320 --> 00:40:55,880
Speaker 3: than they could be, at least in ECR.

872
00:40:57,320 --> 00:40:59,479
Speaker 1: Yeah, two of the last three games having been wide

873
00:40:59,480 --> 00:41:02,280
Speaker 1: receiver ninety eight and wide receiver one hundred and four

874
00:41:02,520 --> 00:41:05,040
Speaker 1: in scoring for the week is not a great look.

875
00:41:07,320 --> 00:41:09,359
Speaker 1: But you know he does get the Bengals defense here. Deever,

876
00:41:09,520 --> 00:41:11,359
Speaker 1: what do you think do you expect firereks and who's

877
00:41:11,400 --> 00:41:13,040
Speaker 1: somebody you would fade in this matchup?

878
00:41:14,320 --> 00:41:18,040
Speaker 2: I'm not expecting, Like what's the total ad on this game?

879
00:41:18,080 --> 00:41:19,759
Speaker 2: Like I know it's in the fifties, right, Like.

880
00:41:20,520 --> 00:41:21,799
Speaker 1: Let me pull it up. I don't have it up in.

881
00:41:21,800 --> 00:41:24,280
Speaker 2: FA I know it was like in the fifties, Like if.

882
00:41:24,120 --> 00:41:26,480
Speaker 1: It wasn't the low fifties when I looked early in

883
00:41:26,480 --> 00:41:29,160
Speaker 1: the week and a half last it was one of

884
00:41:29,200 --> 00:41:30,319
Speaker 1: those two early in the week.

885
00:41:30,400 --> 00:41:34,040
Speaker 2: Yeah, like I I mean, call me crazy, guys, like

886
00:41:34,040 --> 00:41:36,080
Speaker 2: I'm more on the under on this game. Like it's

887
00:41:36,160 --> 00:41:39,239
Speaker 2: not that I'm not expecting scoring, but I'm not expecting

888
00:41:39,320 --> 00:41:42,520
Speaker 2: that much scoring. And I guess, like out of anybody,

889
00:41:42,560 --> 00:41:45,560
Speaker 2: like I'm still starting him, but like fading him, Like

890
00:41:45,640 --> 00:41:47,879
Speaker 2: I agree with Fitzi abou Khalil Shakir. When I first

891
00:41:47,920 --> 00:41:51,680
Speaker 2: opened ECR this week, I was like, really, okay, where

892
00:41:51,680 --> 00:41:54,240
Speaker 2: we got Khalil Shakir as a top twenty four wide receiver?

893
00:41:54,680 --> 00:41:57,640
Speaker 2: That feels ballsy but whatever, So yes, I have I

894
00:41:57,640 --> 00:42:00,160
Speaker 2: have Khalil Shakier as a wide receiver three. But I

895
00:42:00,200 --> 00:42:02,640
Speaker 2: guess the guy that I'm a little bit lower than consensus,

896
00:42:02,719 --> 00:42:04,400
Speaker 2: Like I've got him like one or two spots, so

897
00:42:04,480 --> 00:42:06,560
Speaker 2: like I'm not fading him. He's a QB one. But

898
00:42:06,760 --> 00:42:11,160
Speaker 2: like with Joe Burrow, like second game back, like the Bills,

899
00:42:11,520 --> 00:42:13,640
Speaker 2: they're not rushing the pass are good, so like you

900
00:42:13,640 --> 00:42:16,080
Speaker 2: could make a conversation, Okay, he's gonna get clean pockets,

901
00:42:16,280 --> 00:42:18,480
Speaker 2: but their past defense has been really good. Like over

902
00:42:18,520 --> 00:42:21,680
Speaker 2: since Week nine, eighth fewest yards per attempt, second lowest

903
00:42:21,680 --> 00:42:26,080
Speaker 2: passer rating, the tenth fewest passing touchdowns allowed. I mean,

904
00:42:26,120 --> 00:42:29,080
Speaker 2: all those things are conducive to scoring fantasy points. So

905
00:42:29,920 --> 00:42:33,080
Speaker 2: going against his pass defense, and we still don't have

906
00:42:33,200 --> 00:42:35,560
Speaker 2: word about T Higgins. Is he going to play? Is

907
00:42:35,560 --> 00:42:37,680
Speaker 2: he not going to play? I kind of lean that,

908
00:42:37,800 --> 00:42:41,279
Speaker 2: like maybe he's out again. He's been limited like well,

909
00:42:41,440 --> 00:42:41,840
Speaker 2: I mean.

910
00:42:41,960 --> 00:42:46,640
Speaker 3: No, he was. He was full on Thursdays full, but

911
00:42:46,680 --> 00:42:49,799
Speaker 3: he has not officially come out of concussion PROTOCOLOGE. Yeah,

912
00:42:49,920 --> 00:42:53,680
Speaker 3: so I think I think the progress points to him

913
00:42:53,719 --> 00:42:56,480
Speaker 3: playing okay, And I think that, I mean, but we

914
00:42:56,640 --> 00:43:00,520
Speaker 3: know we also I think those Bills pass stats are

915
00:43:00,560 --> 00:43:02,960
Speaker 3: partly because they're a run funnel, because it's so easy

916
00:43:03,000 --> 00:43:05,319
Speaker 3: to run on them. And Deebro I cannot take the under.

917
00:43:05,520 --> 00:43:08,399
Speaker 3: I've seen the Bengals try to tackle people. I can't

918
00:43:08,440 --> 00:43:09,040
Speaker 3: take that.

919
00:43:10,520 --> 00:43:12,520
Speaker 1: And say, like it's not even about the offenses. The

920
00:43:12,560 --> 00:43:14,880
Speaker 1: defenses on both sides. Bills are so banged up that

921
00:43:14,880 --> 00:43:17,319
Speaker 1: Bengals are just straight up bad. Like I think this

922
00:43:17,400 --> 00:43:19,359
Speaker 1: game gets played in the sixties, if not maybe even

923
00:43:19,400 --> 00:43:21,680
Speaker 1: the seventies. Like I like the over, the total is

924
00:43:21,719 --> 00:43:24,080
Speaker 1: fifty three and a half. That has gone up from

925
00:43:24,080 --> 00:43:26,040
Speaker 1: where it was early in the week, and I frankly

926
00:43:26,040 --> 00:43:28,239
Speaker 1: don't care. Maybe that's a suckers bet, but I'm just like,

927
00:43:28,560 --> 00:43:30,560
Speaker 1: I don't Again, it's not even about the offenses. I

928
00:43:30,560 --> 00:43:32,840
Speaker 1: don't see how these defenses are capable of stopping a

929
00:43:32,880 --> 00:43:35,320
Speaker 1: good offense. And if these quarterbacks show up and play

930
00:43:35,480 --> 00:43:37,799
Speaker 1: anywhere close to their a game, like I think this

931
00:43:37,840 --> 00:43:39,880
Speaker 1: could be the highest scoring game of the season. Like

932
00:43:39,920 --> 00:43:43,839
Speaker 1: that's true, that's the state of these defenses. So I'm

933
00:43:44,280 --> 00:43:45,399
Speaker 1: in on a big scoring game here.

934
00:43:45,440 --> 00:43:49,560
Speaker 2: I mean, I will say to our points earlier kind

935
00:43:49,560 --> 00:43:51,720
Speaker 2: of did project a bounce back game for the Ravens

936
00:43:51,760 --> 00:43:53,840
Speaker 2: last week, and they kind of suck versus that defense.

937
00:43:54,000 --> 00:43:54,919
Speaker 2: So we'll see.

938
00:43:54,960 --> 00:43:58,360
Speaker 1: But they sucked because of turnovers, which are are fluky.

939
00:43:58,400 --> 00:44:00,520
Speaker 1: It wasn't I mean were They also have their own

940
00:44:00,520 --> 00:44:03,279
Speaker 1: problems right now, Like I think the Bills offense is

941
00:44:03,320 --> 00:44:05,800
Speaker 1: gonna be capable of taking advantage of a back defense

942
00:44:05,840 --> 00:44:06,479
Speaker 1: more than the Ravens.

943
00:44:06,520 --> 00:44:08,480
Speaker 2: Oh, I mean, we'll see. The other point is the

944
00:44:08,520 --> 00:44:10,680
Speaker 2: Bills have that. I mean, they've shown their wards over

945
00:44:10,680 --> 00:44:12,640
Speaker 2: the last few weeks too, So I mean we do

946
00:44:12,800 --> 00:44:14,880
Speaker 2: have to mention that it's not like the Bills have

947
00:44:14,920 --> 00:44:18,400
Speaker 2: been just like crushing teams. I mean outside of like

948
00:44:18,880 --> 00:44:21,960
Speaker 2: James Cook just running down people's throats, Like what has

949
00:44:22,000 --> 00:44:25,400
Speaker 2: been working in the Bills offense? Josh Allen playing Superman?

950
00:44:25,760 --> 00:44:27,719
Speaker 1: I think, I think James Cook can run all over

951
00:44:27,760 --> 00:44:28,240
Speaker 1: the Bengals.

952
00:44:28,239 --> 00:44:29,880
Speaker 2: Though well yeah, I mean you bet the overs on

953
00:44:29,960 --> 00:44:32,480
Speaker 2: James Cook. But what else outside of that has been

954
00:44:32,520 --> 00:44:35,320
Speaker 2: working in the Bills offense, Like not much of anything.

955
00:44:35,360 --> 00:44:38,320
Speaker 2: And do we get Dalton kin Kid back? Joshua Palmer's

956
00:44:38,360 --> 00:44:41,040
Speaker 2: banged up. We just talked about more worries about Khalil Shakir.

957
00:44:41,520 --> 00:44:43,200
Speaker 2: I mean, these these are all valid points.

958
00:44:43,600 --> 00:44:46,400
Speaker 3: Kin Kaid will absolutely work against the Bengals if he

959
00:44:46,480 --> 00:44:48,800
Speaker 3: comes back. I mean, if you have a Kinkaid, you

960
00:44:48,840 --> 00:44:51,279
Speaker 3: are praying you get him because of how little the

961
00:44:51,320 --> 00:44:54,279
Speaker 3: Bills have gotten from their other receivers, well any of

962
00:44:54,320 --> 00:44:58,520
Speaker 3: their receivers besides Shakira maybe, And like we know how

963
00:44:58,520 --> 00:45:01,759
Speaker 3: the Bengals give it up to tight end like if

964
00:45:01,760 --> 00:45:04,279
Speaker 3: we and really that's the only thing about Kinkaid. His

965
00:45:04,480 --> 00:45:06,880
Speaker 3: target volume. Man, if he plays in this game, you

966
00:45:06,920 --> 00:45:09,520
Speaker 3: gotta figure he's getting at least six or seven targets against.

967
00:45:09,560 --> 00:45:12,480
Speaker 1: I mean, is a good this is a good point

968
00:45:12,520 --> 00:45:14,680
Speaker 1: I know going along in this game, but is would

969
00:45:14,680 --> 00:45:17,360
Speaker 1: you start Dawson Knox if Kincaid is out just given?

970
00:45:17,480 --> 00:45:20,200
Speaker 1: Like I know it's Dawson Knox, but this is the

971
00:45:20,360 --> 00:45:21,280
Speaker 1: tight end matchup.

972
00:45:21,360 --> 00:45:24,440
Speaker 3: Yeah, but it's also like Jackson Hawes kind.

973
00:45:24,400 --> 00:45:27,440
Speaker 2: You're gonna get two Jackson Hawes touchdowns to watch.

974
00:45:27,320 --> 00:45:29,920
Speaker 3: Soutu and both of these guys are so limited I

975
00:45:29,960 --> 00:45:32,640
Speaker 3: can't I'm not starting those guys over.

976
00:45:32,719 --> 00:45:35,759
Speaker 2: Like it would really depend on your options. Yeah, yeah,

977
00:45:35,840 --> 00:45:39,440
Speaker 2: Like like I would feel better about I'd still.

978
00:45:39,239 --> 00:45:41,440
Speaker 3: Start like Kate dott And over Dawson Knox.

979
00:45:41,480 --> 00:45:44,560
Speaker 2: You know I would start DJ Hawkinson over freaking Dawson Knocks.

980
00:45:44,640 --> 00:45:45,319
Speaker 2: I'll just say that.

981
00:45:45,440 --> 00:45:48,480
Speaker 1: Okay, let's go to the late slate here, Broncos at Raiders.

982
00:45:48,520 --> 00:45:51,200
Speaker 1: The first matchup between these two is one of the ugliest,

983
00:45:51,280 --> 00:45:53,879
Speaker 1: most boring Thursday night matchups we have we've had all year.

984
00:45:54,360 --> 00:45:57,120
Speaker 1: Are there any players you were expecting to perform much differently?

985
00:45:57,440 --> 00:45:59,319
Speaker 1: I almost did better, but you can say worse too,

986
00:45:59,320 --> 00:46:02,880
Speaker 1: so much different In the rematch debro, I'm.

987
00:46:02,719 --> 00:46:04,560
Speaker 2: Just gonna take the low hanging fruit. I'm just gonna

988
00:46:04,560 --> 00:46:07,840
Speaker 2: sit here and take take the easy out here, r J. Harvey,

989
00:46:07,880 --> 00:46:10,799
Speaker 2: because he's he's got the starter's job. I mean, dude,

990
00:46:11,080 --> 00:46:14,239
Speaker 2: you know he had six touches eighteen total yards. I

991
00:46:15,320 --> 00:46:18,440
Speaker 2: The Las Vegas Raiders run defense has been back and forth.

992
00:46:18,560 --> 00:46:21,200
Speaker 2: Harvey hasn't had like the big breakout game. Would it

993
00:46:21,280 --> 00:46:23,839
Speaker 2: surprise anybody if that happens and he runs for two

994
00:46:23,840 --> 00:46:27,120
Speaker 2: touchdowns in this game? No, So I'll just I'll take

995
00:46:27,160 --> 00:46:28,840
Speaker 2: the easy out here and say RJ. Harvey.

996
00:46:29,360 --> 00:46:31,480
Speaker 1: Yeah, I probably should have said besides r J. Harvey,

997
00:46:31,520 --> 00:46:32,920
Speaker 1: but I didn't see it wasn't exceptable.

998
00:46:32,960 --> 00:46:35,120
Speaker 2: You didn't. You didn't sign I like, I'm old, I

999
00:46:35,120 --> 00:46:35,400
Speaker 2: had to.

1000
00:46:35,880 --> 00:46:36,759
Speaker 1: Where's Harvey rinked for?

1001
00:46:36,760 --> 00:46:36,840
Speaker 2: You?

1002
00:46:36,880 --> 00:46:41,200
Speaker 1: Did you say? He's harby fifteen ACR. I've probably and

1003
00:46:41,239 --> 00:46:43,800
Speaker 1: again that's behind like Javonte Gibbs who have already played

1004
00:46:43,800 --> 00:46:45,520
Speaker 1: so a little higher, not including them.

1005
00:46:45,719 --> 00:46:48,040
Speaker 2: I've got him at RB thirteen. I mean, I think

1006
00:46:48,040 --> 00:46:51,040
Speaker 2: he's somewhere in that high end RB RB two conversation,

1007
00:46:51,200 --> 00:46:53,640
Speaker 2: like I mean, like, but it's a conversation. It's like

1008
00:46:53,680 --> 00:46:55,880
Speaker 2: do you feel better about r J. Harvey or Brest

1009
00:46:55,920 --> 00:46:58,600
Speaker 2: Hall or Sakwon Barkley or the thought should have, say

1010
00:46:58,640 --> 00:47:00,919
Speaker 2: the thought of Sakwon Barkley this year.

1011
00:47:01,040 --> 00:47:03,880
Speaker 3: You know, I've got RJ. Harvey ranked RB twelve. I'm

1012
00:47:03,920 --> 00:47:06,520
Speaker 3: ahead of Debro and I don't even think RJ. I

1013
00:47:06,560 --> 00:47:08,640
Speaker 3: don't think I need to go up. I don't think

1014
00:47:08,680 --> 00:47:11,200
Speaker 3: Harvey's even looked good, to be honest with you, in

1015
00:47:11,239 --> 00:47:14,640
Speaker 3: the last couple of weeks. Like his rushing yards overexpected.

1016
00:47:14,880 --> 00:47:16,799
Speaker 3: I think he's I'd have to look at the number.

1017
00:47:16,840 --> 00:47:19,000
Speaker 3: I don't know what it is, but I think it's underwater,

1018
00:47:19,120 --> 00:47:22,719
Speaker 3: like he just hasn't been very impressive yet. But I

1019
00:47:22,960 --> 00:47:26,040
Speaker 3: still think he's a good player, and we like the matchup.

1020
00:47:26,200 --> 00:47:27,680
Speaker 3: Of course, when.

1021
00:47:27,760 --> 00:47:30,279
Speaker 1: When anybody ever has r J. Harvey ranked higher than

1022
00:47:30,280 --> 00:47:32,719
Speaker 1: Deebra for a week, he becomes the Michael Jordan meme

1023
00:47:32,800 --> 00:47:36,200
Speaker 1: of like and I took that personally. He needs to

1024
00:47:36,239 --> 00:47:39,359
Speaker 1: make sure that he is no longer lower than whoever's done.

1025
00:47:39,400 --> 00:47:41,880
Speaker 2: I mean, RJ. Harvey two touchdowns last week was a

1026
00:47:41,920 --> 00:47:44,200
Speaker 2: top five back. I mean, I'm not going to rule

1027
00:47:44,239 --> 00:47:46,160
Speaker 2: it out that he could score two touchdowns again.

1028
00:47:46,200 --> 00:47:49,440
Speaker 1: Good Where do you think real quickly? The highest ranked

1029
00:47:49,800 --> 00:47:52,160
Speaker 1: expert in all of our rankings has Harvey this week?

1030
00:47:52,320 --> 00:47:54,279
Speaker 1: Who you don't have to guess who it is, Like,

1031
00:47:54,480 --> 00:47:55,840
Speaker 1: where do you think he is ranking? Is for the

1032
00:47:55,920 --> 00:48:03,320
Speaker 1: highest RB ten RB seven? Wow, there are three people.

1033
00:48:04,120 --> 00:48:06,040
Speaker 1: There's an RB seven and there are two RB nines.

1034
00:48:06,920 --> 00:48:08,560
Speaker 1: So agreat you got you got a lot of work

1035
00:48:08,600 --> 00:48:10,719
Speaker 1: to do to get up there.

1036
00:48:10,719 --> 00:48:11,759
Speaker 2: They're sipping this week.

1037
00:48:11,800 --> 00:48:15,680
Speaker 1: Good lord, Fitz, Who are you expecting to perform differently

1038
00:48:15,719 --> 00:48:16,080
Speaker 1: in this week?

1039
00:48:16,200 --> 00:48:16,359
Speaker 2: Yeah?

1040
00:48:16,360 --> 00:48:18,520
Speaker 3: I mean Bronck Powers had one catch for thirty one

1041
00:48:18,600 --> 00:48:21,200
Speaker 3: yards in that first game against the Broncos. Tough matchup

1042
00:48:21,200 --> 00:48:24,000
Speaker 3: for sure, but I'm expecting more than one catch for Bowers.

1043
00:48:24,160 --> 00:48:28,560
Speaker 3: And in that first Raiders Broncos game, Troy Franklin led

1044
00:48:28,600 --> 00:48:31,719
Speaker 3: the Broncos and targets with nine, only finished with forty yards,

1045
00:48:31,760 --> 00:48:35,200
Speaker 3: but he did have a touchdown. Courtland Sutton had four targets.

1046
00:48:35,280 --> 00:48:38,160
Speaker 3: I expect that to be different. Troy Franklin had a

1047
00:48:38,200 --> 00:48:42,560
Speaker 3: snap's cut last week, only played about fifty percent of

1048
00:48:42,680 --> 00:48:46,480
Speaker 3: Denver's offensive snaps, twelve fewer in fact, than rookie receiver

1049
00:48:46,600 --> 00:48:49,960
Speaker 3: Pat Bryant. So I think Troy Franklin investors should be

1050
00:48:50,000 --> 00:48:52,520
Speaker 3: a little careful starting him this week. Just know that

1051
00:48:52,600 --> 00:48:54,799
Speaker 3: you might not get the sort of usage you've been

1052
00:48:54,840 --> 00:48:57,480
Speaker 3: getting from him. Most of the season, and I'm expecting

1053
00:48:57,480 --> 00:49:00,880
Speaker 3: more from Courtland Sutton in the rematch Less try Franklin.

1054
00:49:02,400 --> 00:49:04,640
Speaker 1: If you want a chance to win, b Jon Robinson

1055
00:49:04,640 --> 00:49:08,120
Speaker 1: and Drake London signed mini helmet for free courtesy of

1056
00:49:08,120 --> 00:49:10,480
Speaker 1: our friends at Christineauction dot com. All you need to

1057
00:49:10,480 --> 00:49:13,360
Speaker 1: do is head to Fantasypros dot com slash contest, complete

1058
00:49:13,360 --> 00:49:16,080
Speaker 1: the form and either download the Fantasy Pros app, leave

1059
00:49:16,120 --> 00:49:18,439
Speaker 1: a review for the podcast, or follow us on ex

1060
00:49:18,480 --> 00:49:22,160
Speaker 1: Instagram or TikTok at Fantasy Pros. The more actions you complete,

1061
00:49:22,160 --> 00:49:24,080
Speaker 1: the more entries you receive. We will be announcing a

1062
00:49:24,080 --> 00:49:26,520
Speaker 1: winner right here on the podcast. If you're watching on YouTube,

1063
00:49:26,560 --> 00:49:28,840
Speaker 1: be sure to subscribe and turn on those notifications so

1064
00:49:28,880 --> 00:49:30,840
Speaker 1: you can be alerted when new episodes are up and

1065
00:49:30,920 --> 00:49:34,920
Speaker 1: to claim your prize. Fits. Let's go to bears at Packers.

1066
00:49:35,000 --> 00:49:38,080
Speaker 1: Christian Watson, Kyle Mnungui and DeAndre Swift are all ranked

1067
00:49:38,120 --> 00:49:40,400
Speaker 1: within five spots of each other in the Week fourteen

1068
00:49:40,440 --> 00:49:42,880
Speaker 1: Expert Consensus rankings and the Flex rankings. At least they

1069
00:49:42,920 --> 00:49:44,480
Speaker 1: were when I put this together. I'll double check that

1070
00:49:44,680 --> 00:49:46,960
Speaker 1: as you answer to see where they are now. How

1071
00:49:46,960 --> 00:49:49,200
Speaker 1: would you rank those three against each other in this

1072
00:49:49,280 --> 00:49:51,840
Speaker 1: game again, Christian Watson, Kyle Maanungu, and DeAndre Swift.

1073
00:49:51,880 --> 00:49:54,920
Speaker 3: I've them bunched pretty tightly in my flex rankings. Also,

1074
00:49:55,640 --> 00:50:00,840
Speaker 3: I've got Christian Watson first, Swift, second, Manangui third Watson.

1075
00:50:01,520 --> 00:50:03,680
Speaker 3: He does have a pretty wide range of outcomes because

1076
00:50:03,719 --> 00:50:06,319
Speaker 3: he's a vertical threat. There's a ton of big play

1077
00:50:06,360 --> 00:50:09,080
Speaker 3: potential with him. But if those deep shots aren't connecting,

1078
00:50:09,160 --> 00:50:12,120
Speaker 3: he could absolutely go belly up, especially in a cold

1079
00:50:12,200 --> 00:50:13,919
Speaker 3: day like it's going to be really cold at Green

1080
00:50:13,960 --> 00:50:16,200
Speaker 3: Bay Sunday, So we'll see how the passing games work.

1081
00:50:16,719 --> 00:50:21,279
Speaker 3: The Bears running game has been just incredible. Can't say

1082
00:50:21,360 --> 00:50:24,080
Speaker 3: enough about how good their offensive line has been playing

1083
00:50:24,160 --> 00:50:26,880
Speaker 3: like these guys they went out and got in free agency,

1084
00:50:27,160 --> 00:50:30,279
Speaker 3: like Dolman and Thooney and Jonah Jackson, like they are

1085
00:50:30,320 --> 00:50:33,480
Speaker 3: just mashing. Since their Week five by the Bears have

1086
00:50:33,520 --> 00:50:36,320
Speaker 3: averaged one hundred and seventy nine point six rushing yards

1087
00:50:36,320 --> 00:50:39,680
Speaker 3: a game. That's just nuts, and the Packers run defense

1088
00:50:39,760 --> 00:50:43,000
Speaker 3: is at least decent, although we'll see how the loss

1089
00:50:43,000 --> 00:50:47,400
Speaker 3: of Demonte Wyatt to a season ending ankle injury hurts them.

1090
00:50:48,120 --> 00:50:49,840
Speaker 3: Even if the Bears aren't running for one hundred and

1091
00:50:49,880 --> 00:50:53,040
Speaker 3: seventy nine yards in this game, like it's still possible

1092
00:50:53,080 --> 00:50:56,240
Speaker 3: one of Swift or Managhai hits it as a pretty

1093
00:50:56,239 --> 00:50:59,080
Speaker 3: good game, but like you're not often going to get

1094
00:50:59,120 --> 00:51:01,959
Speaker 3: both of those guys smashing, although we've kind of seen

1095
00:51:01,960 --> 00:51:04,720
Speaker 3: it lately, Like the odds say that's not going to happen,

1096
00:51:06,360 --> 00:51:09,000
Speaker 3: and I tend to lean a little more towards Swift,

1097
00:51:09,080 --> 00:51:11,000
Speaker 3: who's been less touchdown de Pennant.

1098
00:51:12,400 --> 00:51:16,040
Speaker 1: So interestingly, Menunguy and Swift are only three spots apart

1099
00:51:16,040 --> 00:51:18,760
Speaker 1: at running back. They are eleven spots apart at flex.

1100
00:51:18,760 --> 00:51:21,600
Speaker 1: So Manungui has dropped down, He's still got the questionable

1101
00:51:21,600 --> 00:51:24,799
Speaker 1: tag for the week. Watson and Swift are still very

1102
00:51:24,880 --> 00:51:27,319
Speaker 1: very close in the consensus flex rankings. Like I said,

1103
00:51:27,360 --> 00:51:30,080
Speaker 1: Manunguy is not crazy far, but is a little bit

1104
00:51:30,080 --> 00:51:33,319
Speaker 1: further down now the clear third according to consensus. Deebra,

1105
00:51:33,360 --> 00:51:34,000
Speaker 1: how do you see it?

1106
00:51:35,040 --> 00:51:38,720
Speaker 2: I've got him ordered DeAndre Swift, Christian Watson and Kyle Manungai,

1107
00:51:38,760 --> 00:51:41,760
Speaker 2: and I think all three of them are fantastic plays.

1108
00:51:41,800 --> 00:51:44,440
Speaker 2: I think Ben Johnson gave us the blueprint and the

1109
00:51:44,480 --> 00:51:46,560
Speaker 2: script of what he's going to do, or at least

1110
00:51:46,600 --> 00:51:48,680
Speaker 2: try to do to the Packers this week, I think

1111
00:51:48,680 --> 00:51:51,640
Speaker 2: it is hide Caleb Williams as much as humanly possible

1112
00:51:52,040 --> 00:51:54,359
Speaker 2: and run the ever loving piss out of the ball.

1113
00:51:54,560 --> 00:51:56,360
Speaker 2: And they've been able to do it, to Fitzia's point,

1114
00:51:56,440 --> 00:51:59,160
Speaker 2: and also to Fitzi's point, like the Green Bay run

1115
00:51:59,200 --> 00:52:02,520
Speaker 2: defense has shown some gives since week nine their fifteenth

1116
00:52:02,560 --> 00:52:05,120
Speaker 2: and explosive run rate, they've given up the eleventh most

1117
00:52:05,200 --> 00:52:07,680
Speaker 2: rushing yards and they've given up the fourteenth highest yards

1118
00:52:07,680 --> 00:52:10,399
Speaker 2: after contact pert tentph and that's before we factor in

1119
00:52:10,719 --> 00:52:13,520
Speaker 2: losing Wyatt. So I think Ben Johnson showed us what

1120
00:52:13,560 --> 00:52:15,560
Speaker 2: he wants to do last week. He showed us the

1121
00:52:15,560 --> 00:52:18,600
Speaker 2: Bears can impose their will in the ground and hide

1122
00:52:18,680 --> 00:52:23,359
Speaker 2: Caleb Williams. And so I love swift amanon Guy both

1123
00:52:23,400 --> 00:52:26,600
Speaker 2: his plays this week. And Christian Watson maybe like dude.

1124
00:52:27,040 --> 00:52:29,879
Speaker 2: Since Week eleven, the wide receiver twelve and Fantasy points

1125
00:52:29,920 --> 00:52:33,359
Speaker 2: per game, he has taken off as the clear wide

1126
00:52:33,400 --> 00:52:35,799
Speaker 2: receiver one. I don't care if Matthew Golden plays. I

1127
00:52:35,840 --> 00:52:38,480
Speaker 2: don't care if Jade Reid plays. I think they cannibalize

1128
00:52:38,480 --> 00:52:41,000
Speaker 2: each other. I think Watson plays a different role and

1129
00:52:41,120 --> 00:52:46,719
Speaker 2: he is outside of the worries of those guys, you know,

1130
00:52:46,800 --> 00:52:50,080
Speaker 2: factoring into his workload and just for everybody at home.

1131
00:52:50,200 --> 00:52:53,640
Speaker 2: Since week eleven, Christian Watson has had a twenty eight

1132
00:52:53,880 --> 00:52:58,120
Speaker 2: percent target chair and a thirty six percent first read chair.

1133
00:52:59,160 --> 00:53:00,680
Speaker 2: I think he's headed for another big day.

1134
00:53:01,440 --> 00:53:03,440
Speaker 1: I shouted out, you had a tweet with some of

1135
00:53:03,480 --> 00:53:06,040
Speaker 1: these stats, and I read it on the show on

1136
00:53:06,040 --> 00:53:08,440
Speaker 1: the Thursday show when we were talking about Christian Watson. TI, bro,

1137
00:53:08,600 --> 00:53:10,880
Speaker 1: I know you've been dude. He's been awesome straight up

1138
00:53:10,920 --> 00:53:14,759
Speaker 1: all yeah, so impressive, just like stepping right in from

1139
00:53:14,800 --> 00:53:18,000
Speaker 1: the from the injury. I did not expect this that

1140
00:53:18,120 --> 00:53:19,960
Speaker 1: from this. I liked Watson as a player in general.

1141
00:53:19,960 --> 00:53:22,040
Speaker 1: I did not expect this from him coming back this year.

1142
00:53:22,120 --> 00:53:25,200
Speaker 2: Oh I didn't either. And real fast, before we move

1143
00:53:25,200 --> 00:53:28,319
Speaker 2: off of this game, I think this is also them

1144
00:53:28,360 --> 00:53:31,759
Speaker 2: putting Christian Watson into this role and giving him the

1145
00:53:32,120 --> 00:53:35,400
Speaker 2: extension earlier whenever he was rehabbing. I think all of

1146
00:53:35,400 --> 00:53:37,879
Speaker 2: those signs point to run. They're gonna move on from

1147
00:53:37,960 --> 00:53:40,760
Speaker 2: Romeo Dobbs. I think this is putting it at Christian

1148
00:53:40,800 --> 00:53:44,560
Speaker 2: Watson's feet. Can you be our wide receiver one? Moving forward?

1149
00:53:44,640 --> 00:53:46,680
Speaker 2: And so far, dude, he's answering the.

1150
00:53:46,600 --> 00:53:48,480
Speaker 3: P and by the way, for a guy who had

1151
00:53:48,480 --> 00:53:51,240
Speaker 3: a lot of injury problems early in his career, Christian

1152
00:53:51,239 --> 00:53:53,600
Speaker 3: Watson is not the guy you would have expected. He

1153
00:53:53,680 --> 00:53:56,720
Speaker 3: got hurt in Week eighteen last year. He actually technically

1154
00:53:56,800 --> 00:53:59,799
Speaker 3: got hurt in twenty twenty five and came back in

1155
00:54:00,280 --> 00:54:04,040
Speaker 3: eight from a torn acl and he's playing well and

1156
00:54:04,120 --> 00:54:05,720
Speaker 3: playing the best football of his career.

1157
00:54:06,840 --> 00:54:09,920
Speaker 2: And do y'all notice this week who's not on the

1158
00:54:09,960 --> 00:54:13,480
Speaker 2: injury report For the first time this entire season. Christian

1159
00:54:13,520 --> 00:54:15,879
Speaker 2: Watson not on the injury report for the Packers this week.

1160
00:54:16,360 --> 00:54:18,600
Speaker 1: We've got one more game in the late afternoon slate

1161
00:54:18,680 --> 00:54:20,560
Speaker 1: rams at Cardinals. We can go quick on this one.

1162
00:54:20,600 --> 00:54:22,560
Speaker 1: I just want to ask about Matthew Stafford. He has

1163
00:54:22,600 --> 00:54:25,360
Speaker 1: finished outside the top fifteen quarterbacks in two of the

1164
00:54:25,360 --> 00:54:27,800
Speaker 1: past three weeks. Obviously, had that very poor game against

1165
00:54:27,800 --> 00:54:30,839
Speaker 1: the Panthers with the interceptions, breaking his streak of not

1166
00:54:31,000 --> 00:54:34,800
Speaker 1: throwing any interceptions. He's ranked us the consensus QB three

1167
00:54:35,000 --> 00:54:38,560
Speaker 1: against Arizona this week. I was surprised by this. Obviously,

1168
00:54:38,560 --> 00:54:40,440
Speaker 1: Stafford has been very, very good for most of the

1169
00:54:40,520 --> 00:54:43,480
Speaker 1: year in general, I'm not surprised that he's being ranked

1170
00:54:43,520 --> 00:54:46,520
Speaker 1: as like just kind of throw away the Carolina game

1171
00:54:46,560 --> 00:54:49,000
Speaker 1: and expect to bounce back. Three is pretty high for

1172
00:54:49,040 --> 00:54:52,439
Speaker 1: a guy who absolutely does not run. I know there's

1173
00:54:52,480 --> 00:54:54,880
Speaker 1: four teams on by. I know guys like Lamar Jackson

1174
00:54:54,880 --> 00:54:57,120
Speaker 1: haven't been playing well, Joe Burrow still coming back off

1175
00:54:57,160 --> 00:55:00,320
Speaker 1: his injury. Again, three just feels a little high to me. Deebro,

1176
00:55:00,480 --> 00:55:02,120
Speaker 1: do you see it as high or are you in

1177
00:55:02,160 --> 00:55:03,080
Speaker 1: line with consensus?

1178
00:55:03,840 --> 00:55:05,839
Speaker 2: I'm in line with the ECR, and I think this

1179
00:55:05,920 --> 00:55:08,000
Speaker 2: is more of a take of other quarterbacks being on

1180
00:55:08,120 --> 00:55:11,640
Speaker 2: by having tough matchups like Mahomes going against the freaking

1181
00:55:11,680 --> 00:55:14,400
Speaker 2: Houston Texans, Jalen Hurt's not playing good and going against

1182
00:55:14,400 --> 00:55:17,280
Speaker 2: the Chargers. I think that's more of what and Lamar

1183
00:55:17,400 --> 00:55:19,920
Speaker 2: Jackson playing bad so like all these other quarterbacks that

1184
00:55:19,960 --> 00:55:22,920
Speaker 2: are usually above him in consensus. And the other part

1185
00:55:22,960 --> 00:55:24,480
Speaker 2: about this, dude, I think we get a pissed off

1186
00:55:24,560 --> 00:55:29,439
Speaker 2: Rams team after last week. This should be the big

1187
00:55:29,480 --> 00:55:32,319
Speaker 2: bounce back game for Stafford. I know will Johnson is back,

1188
00:55:32,360 --> 00:55:35,000
Speaker 2: they've been better, but Garrett Garrett Williams and the slot

1189
00:55:35,040 --> 00:55:37,480
Speaker 2: has still been horrible. So I do think this is

1190
00:55:37,520 --> 00:55:40,120
Speaker 2: a bounce back game. And if if the Rams wouldn't

1191
00:55:40,160 --> 00:55:42,880
Speaker 2: running up and say, look like we're we're re cementing

1192
00:55:42,920 --> 00:55:48,200
Speaker 2: the Matthew Stafford MVP talk. Good spot to do it, Fitz.

1193
00:55:47,960 --> 00:55:49,839
Speaker 1: What do you think of By the way, QB three.

1194
00:55:50,080 --> 00:55:52,080
Speaker 1: That's behind Dak Prescott, whos already played, so of the

1195
00:55:52,080 --> 00:55:53,759
Speaker 1: guys still left to go. It's really QB two.

1196
00:55:54,480 --> 00:55:58,239
Speaker 3: Yes, and I agree with it. He committed turnovers last week.

1197
00:55:58,280 --> 00:55:59,120
Speaker 3: That's out a character.

1198
00:55:59,320 --> 00:55:59,560
Speaker 2: Yep.

1199
00:56:00,600 --> 00:56:02,920
Speaker 3: You might have heard of these guys named Puka Naku

1200
00:56:02,960 --> 00:56:06,959
Speaker 3: and Devanta Adams. They're pretty good. Can I just drop

1201
00:56:07,000 --> 00:56:11,759
Speaker 3: some interesting numbers on DeVante Adams? So do eleven touchdowns

1202
00:56:11,760 --> 00:56:14,480
Speaker 3: in his last six games, which is just crazy. He

1203
00:56:14,560 --> 00:56:17,200
Speaker 3: scored at least one touchdown in each of those six games,

1204
00:56:17,600 --> 00:56:21,600
Speaker 3: multiple touchdowns and four of them. What's wild is that

1205
00:56:21,840 --> 00:56:25,800
Speaker 3: over that six game touchdown spree, Adams has averaged forty

1206
00:56:25,800 --> 00:56:28,440
Speaker 3: eight point eight receiving yards a game and he has

1207
00:56:28,480 --> 00:56:31,440
Speaker 3: scored a touchdown on forty two point three percent of

1208
00:56:31,440 --> 00:56:37,880
Speaker 3: his catches. That is crazy. And get this over, So

1209
00:56:38,000 --> 00:56:40,040
Speaker 3: forty eight point eight receiving yards a game during this

1210
00:56:40,120 --> 00:56:43,280
Speaker 3: crazy touchdown streak first six games of the season, sixty

1211
00:56:43,320 --> 00:56:46,000
Speaker 3: six yards a game, only three touchdowns.

1212
00:56:46,120 --> 00:56:52,640
Speaker 1: Go figure man. Yeah, that's funny. Uh. I'm not down

1213
00:56:52,680 --> 00:56:54,200
Speaker 1: on Stafford. I don't want to sound like I'm trying

1214
00:56:54,239 --> 00:56:55,880
Speaker 1: to fade him this week. I just was surprised to

1215
00:56:55,880 --> 00:56:58,279
Speaker 1: see QB three, But there are other factors, and like

1216
00:56:58,320 --> 00:57:01,240
Speaker 1: you said, guys on buy things like that, We're definitely

1217
00:57:01,239 --> 00:57:03,960
Speaker 1: all expecting a bounce back this week from the Rams.

1218
00:57:04,200 --> 00:57:06,760
Speaker 1: Let's go to Sunday night football. Can the Chiefs overcome

1219
00:57:06,800 --> 00:57:10,600
Speaker 1: their inconsistency and offensive line injuries against what I think

1220
00:57:10,640 --> 00:57:12,479
Speaker 1: is the best defense in the NFL. You could argue

1221
00:57:12,480 --> 00:57:15,640
Speaker 1: like Seattle Denver, like who one of and in my opinion,

1222
00:57:15,680 --> 00:57:18,560
Speaker 1: the best defense in the NFL. Can the Chiefs overcome

1223
00:57:18,560 --> 00:57:20,600
Speaker 1: what they've been dealing with as of late fits.

1224
00:57:21,040 --> 00:57:23,720
Speaker 3: It's going to be a struggle. There's a reason this

1225
00:57:23,800 --> 00:57:26,080
Speaker 3: game has a Vegas total of forty two at hard

1226
00:57:26,200 --> 00:57:28,120
Speaker 3: Rock Bet. And I agree with you. I think the

1227
00:57:28,160 --> 00:57:32,360
Speaker 3: Texans two of the best defense. And you know, for

1228
00:57:32,400 --> 00:57:36,400
Speaker 3: all the love that Miles Garrett and Micah Parsons get,

1229
00:57:36,920 --> 00:57:41,080
Speaker 3: Will Anderson is looking like Lawrence Taylor Junior these days.

1230
00:57:41,080 --> 00:57:43,800
Speaker 3: I mean he has just been insane, whether it's you know,

1231
00:57:44,000 --> 00:57:48,200
Speaker 3: just speed or his ability to just crush the pocket.

1232
00:57:48,840 --> 00:57:52,240
Speaker 3: I mean, Will Anderson is playing a defensive Player of

1233
00:57:52,280 --> 00:57:53,919
Speaker 3: the Year level. He's not going to get it because

1234
00:57:53,920 --> 00:57:56,640
Speaker 3: Miles Garrett is going to get it, but Anderson should

1235
00:57:56,640 --> 00:58:00,960
Speaker 3: absolutely be in the top three. There. The one guy

1236
00:58:00,960 --> 00:58:02,840
Speaker 3: I've some hope for in the Chiefs this week is

1237
00:58:02,920 --> 00:58:06,000
Speaker 3: Rashi Rice. I've got a wide receiver three, which I

1238
00:58:06,040 --> 00:58:08,280
Speaker 3: know is above consensus, and maybe it is too high,

1239
00:58:08,360 --> 00:58:11,120
Speaker 3: but the Texans are kind of a slot funnel like

1240
00:58:11,280 --> 00:58:12,920
Speaker 3: in terms and I think I might have mentioned this

1241
00:58:13,000 --> 00:58:16,320
Speaker 3: on another show I was on with you worm in

1242
00:58:16,440 --> 00:58:19,480
Speaker 3: terms of the fantasy points the defenses have allowed to

1243
00:58:19,480 --> 00:58:23,120
Speaker 3: slot receivers as a percentage of the total fantasy points

1244
00:58:23,160 --> 00:58:26,760
Speaker 3: they've allowed to receivers, Texans are fourth highest in giving

1245
00:58:26,800 --> 00:58:30,160
Speaker 3: up slot points, behind only the forty nine Ers, Bills,

1246
00:58:30,160 --> 00:58:34,360
Speaker 3: and Colts. So I still think Rice can can get

1247
00:58:34,360 --> 00:58:37,800
Speaker 3: over in this game, but I don't want to bet

1248
00:58:37,840 --> 00:58:39,640
Speaker 3: on anything else in the Chiefs offense.

1249
00:58:40,760 --> 00:58:44,960
Speaker 2: Debra shout out to Will Anderson second in the NFL

1250
00:58:45,040 --> 00:58:48,919
Speaker 2: behind only freaking Aiden Hutchinson and Hurries this year. Yeah,

1251
00:58:48,960 --> 00:58:51,360
Speaker 2: I agree with everything FITZI said, and I'm just going

1252
00:58:51,400 --> 00:58:53,600
Speaker 2: to encapsulate this by telling everybody out there right now,

1253
00:58:54,640 --> 00:58:56,560
Speaker 2: I've already bet the Houston money line at over at

1254
00:58:56,560 --> 00:59:01,600
Speaker 2: hard rock plus one fifty. Bet it, enjoy it, love

1255
00:59:01,640 --> 00:59:04,280
Speaker 2: it case. He's not winning the freaking ball game. They're not.

1256
00:59:04,680 --> 00:59:07,200
Speaker 1: Nope, what's the spread? I was on the total?

1257
00:59:07,320 --> 00:59:07,520
Speaker 2: Three?

1258
00:59:07,960 --> 00:59:08,479
Speaker 3: Is it three?

1259
00:59:08,680 --> 00:59:12,640
Speaker 2: It's three? Yeah. I the other part about this, I

1260
00:59:13,040 --> 00:59:15,360
Speaker 2: think three and a half on hard rock bet. I

1261
00:59:15,440 --> 00:59:18,080
Speaker 2: think the Houston offense has a good day throwing the ball,

1262
00:59:18,360 --> 00:59:20,960
Speaker 2: and I think Houston wins this freaking ball game. I

1263
00:59:21,000 --> 00:59:23,120
Speaker 2: think their defense is going to smother Mahomes. It's going

1264
00:59:23,200 --> 00:59:23,680
Speaker 2: to look rough.

1265
00:59:24,760 --> 00:59:27,040
Speaker 1: We do a second question on Sunday Night Football. Every

1266
00:59:27,080 --> 00:59:30,360
Speaker 1: week we highlight our favorite three and four stop star prop.

1267
00:59:30,480 --> 00:59:33,240
Speaker 1: Excuse me, we highlight our favorite three and four star

1268
00:59:33,360 --> 00:59:35,720
Speaker 1: props from the prop bet cheat sheet ahead of Sunday

1269
00:59:35,760 --> 00:59:38,480
Speaker 1: Night Football. Deber, what's your favorite three or four star

1270
00:59:38,560 --> 00:59:39,320
Speaker 1: prop for this week?

1271
00:59:40,000 --> 00:59:42,080
Speaker 2: Just kind of alluded to him man Jaden Higgins over

1272
00:59:42,120 --> 00:59:44,520
Speaker 2: three and a half receptions, that's four stars on the

1273
00:59:44,520 --> 00:59:47,520
Speaker 2: prop bet cheat sheet. And what do you want to

1274
00:59:47,520 --> 00:59:49,840
Speaker 2: talk about, Like, Okay, this is too high coverage and

1275
00:59:49,960 --> 00:59:52,200
Speaker 2: Jadan Higgins has a thirty percent target per round run

1276
00:59:52,280 --> 00:59:55,280
Speaker 2: rate against too high since week ten? Or we want

1277
00:59:55,320 --> 00:59:57,000
Speaker 2: to mention that the Chiefs have been giving it up

1278
00:59:57,040 --> 01:00:00,400
Speaker 2: to perimeter wide receivers since Week nine, there giving up

1279
01:00:00,440 --> 01:00:02,320
Speaker 2: the fourth highest pass rating when target.

1280
01:00:02,920 --> 01:00:05,560
Speaker 1: Yeah, jayde Higgins, give me that easy over to pull

1281
01:00:05,560 --> 01:00:08,000
Speaker 1: back the curtain. Debra first sent in a prop that

1282
01:00:08,160 --> 01:00:10,040
Speaker 1: was a two star props so we didn't want to

1283
01:00:10,120 --> 01:00:12,000
Speaker 1: use it, and it was a Jaden Higgins prop and

1284
01:00:12,040 --> 01:00:13,960
Speaker 1: we were like, it actually needs to be another one.

1285
01:00:14,040 --> 01:00:15,840
Speaker 1: He was like, all right, I'll find another Jaden Higgins

1286
01:00:16,120 --> 01:00:18,240
Speaker 1: Like he was flowing to pick Jayden Higgins at the.

1287
01:00:18,280 --> 01:00:21,160
Speaker 2: Over receiving yard spent the anytime touchdown. Just just Jye Niggins,

1288
01:00:21,240 --> 01:00:23,800
Speaker 2: Jay Niggins, Jack Natan Higgs fits.

1289
01:00:23,840 --> 01:00:24,720
Speaker 1: What's your favorite prop?

1290
01:00:24,760 --> 01:00:24,960
Speaker 4: Here?

1291
01:00:25,240 --> 01:00:28,480
Speaker 3: Xavier Worthy under three and a half receptions And you

1292
01:00:28,480 --> 01:00:30,680
Speaker 3: know what I just said about the Texans pass defense

1293
01:00:30,720 --> 01:00:33,280
Speaker 3: being kind of a slot funnel, It means they smother

1294
01:00:33,360 --> 01:00:36,880
Speaker 3: outside receivers. And Worthy has had three or fewer catches

1295
01:00:36,920 --> 01:00:39,280
Speaker 3: in five of his last eight games anyway, and those

1296
01:00:39,280 --> 01:00:42,280
Speaker 3: games were against worse defenses than the Texans except for

1297
01:00:42,320 --> 01:00:47,800
Speaker 3: maybe the Broncos, and Worthy only had three catches against them.

1298
01:00:48,040 --> 01:00:50,280
Speaker 1: Those were our top prop bets for Sunday Night Football

1299
01:00:50,320 --> 01:00:52,120
Speaker 1: this week. Courtesy of Betting Pros you can check out

1300
01:00:52,120 --> 01:00:54,720
Speaker 1: our NFL prop bet she sheet at Bettingpros dot com.

1301
01:00:54,760 --> 01:00:57,640
Speaker 1: Slash Props Premium subscribers have access to our five star

1302
01:00:57,680 --> 01:00:59,960
Speaker 1: prop bets, which have a fifty eight percent win rate,

1303
01:01:00,080 --> 01:01:02,640
Speaker 1: and we're up over eighty five units this season. Luckily,

1304
01:01:02,680 --> 01:01:05,040
Speaker 1: we've also got a special offer for everyone to unlock

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01:01:05,080 --> 01:01:07,560
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01:01:07,600 --> 01:01:10,080
Speaker 1: Betting Pros app today and use promo code FP one

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01:01:10,160 --> 01:01:12,960
Speaker 1: month at checkout to redeem your offer. That's the number

1308
01:01:12,960 --> 01:01:15,960
Speaker 1: one not spelled out. Let's go to Monday Night Football

1309
01:01:15,960 --> 01:01:19,120
Speaker 1: here to wrap things up, guys, Eagles at Chargers. AJ

1310
01:01:19,240 --> 01:01:22,080
Speaker 1: Brown finally delivered for fantasy managers last week, but the

1311
01:01:22,160 --> 01:01:24,600
Speaker 1: rest of the offense struggled and the Eagles only scored

1312
01:01:24,640 --> 01:01:27,840
Speaker 1: fifteen points against the Bears. Can Aj Brown be trusted again?

1313
01:01:28,040 --> 01:01:31,320
Speaker 1: Or will this be more of a game for Hurtz, Barkley, Smith, Goddard, etc.

1314
01:01:31,720 --> 01:01:33,280
Speaker 1: Anybody else here fits.

1315
01:01:33,240 --> 01:01:35,520
Speaker 3: Trust It is not a good word to use with

1316
01:01:35,560 --> 01:01:38,280
Speaker 3: the Eagles offense these days. I don't know if there's

1317
01:01:38,320 --> 01:01:42,680
Speaker 3: anything you can trust in Kevin Patillo's system, but I

1318
01:01:42,680 --> 01:01:47,040
Speaker 3: have Aj Brown ranks wide receiver ten and under no circumstances,

1319
01:01:47,040 --> 01:01:49,080
Speaker 3: what I ever consider benching him except maybe in a

1320
01:01:49,080 --> 01:01:51,440
Speaker 3: guillotine league where everyone's got an all star team this

1321
01:01:51,800 --> 01:01:53,000
Speaker 3: deep in the season.

1322
01:01:53,880 --> 01:01:58,880
Speaker 2: Debra, Yeah, I mean I'm starting aj Brown regardless at

1323
01:01:58,880 --> 01:02:01,360
Speaker 2: this point because the time you sit him, you're gonna

1324
01:02:01,600 --> 01:02:05,520
Speaker 2: you're gonna hate life. But I will also point to yeah, man,

1325
01:02:05,560 --> 01:02:08,600
Speaker 2: like it's you're starting Saquon Barkley again, this is just

1326
01:02:08,680 --> 01:02:10,960
Speaker 2: the idea of Saquon Barkley. But I will say that,

1327
01:02:11,080 --> 01:02:14,480
Speaker 2: like I've been on this train the entire year, the

1328
01:02:14,520 --> 01:02:18,240
Speaker 2: Los Angeles Chargers run defense is massively overrated, Like they're

1329
01:02:18,280 --> 01:02:20,040
Speaker 2: not giving up a ton of rushing yards and all

1330
01:02:20,040 --> 01:02:21,920
Speaker 2: that kind of stuff like that you peel back like

1331
01:02:22,280 --> 01:02:26,080
Speaker 2: the Deeper Metrics' fourth highest misstackle rate since Week nine,

1332
01:02:26,440 --> 01:02:30,440
Speaker 2: tenth highest rushing success rate. Saquon's had a lot of

1333
01:02:30,440 --> 01:02:32,680
Speaker 2: good spots to get going. This is another one. We'll

1334
01:02:32,680 --> 01:02:34,440
Speaker 2: see if he can actually do it. But the guy

1335
01:02:34,440 --> 01:02:36,840
Speaker 2: that I want to highlight, I was surprised by this man, Like,

1336
01:02:37,400 --> 01:02:41,520
Speaker 2: why the heck is Dallas Goddard so freaking low in ECR,

1337
01:02:41,880 --> 01:02:46,800
Speaker 2: Like he's tied in freaking sixteen. Why, Like I don't

1338
01:02:46,880 --> 01:02:49,120
Speaker 2: I don't get it fitsy go ahead before, like I

1339
01:02:49,280 --> 01:02:51,280
Speaker 2: just spit the love letter on Goddard this week, like

1340
01:02:51,320 --> 01:02:52,560
Speaker 2: why is he that low? Oh?

1341
01:02:52,600 --> 01:02:55,840
Speaker 3: Because so like back in Week ten they played the

1342
01:02:56,320 --> 01:02:59,960
Speaker 3: Packers and he had I think three catches for four

1343
01:03:00,160 --> 01:03:03,720
Speaker 3: two yards and like six targets. Those were his highest

1344
01:03:03,920 --> 01:03:07,640
Speaker 3: catch yardage and target totals of like the last seven

1345
01:03:07,840 --> 01:03:11,880
Speaker 3: weeks or something like that. He's been terrible, that's why.

1346
01:03:12,240 --> 01:03:15,920
Speaker 2: So I'll point back to, Okay, he's got touchdown equity

1347
01:03:15,920 --> 01:03:20,040
Speaker 2: in this offense and low key. The Chargers have not

1348
01:03:20,080 --> 01:03:23,040
Speaker 2: been good at defending tight ends. Like, yes, we could

1349
01:03:23,040 --> 01:03:25,520
Speaker 2: talk about okay, they've given up the six fews receiving

1350
01:03:25,560 --> 01:03:28,040
Speaker 2: yards per game to tight ends. That's more of a

1351
01:03:28,080 --> 01:03:30,120
Speaker 2: function of they have not been like tight ends have

1352
01:03:30,200 --> 01:03:33,280
Speaker 2: not been targeted versus them, and talk about brock Bowers

1353
01:03:33,360 --> 01:03:36,280
Speaker 2: versus the Chargers also, like look at what they've done

1354
01:03:36,400 --> 01:03:39,800
Speaker 2: versus tight ends on a per play basis, like fourth

1355
01:03:39,840 --> 01:03:42,360
Speaker 2: views targets per game to the position that they've faced.

1356
01:03:42,800 --> 01:03:46,520
Speaker 2: But when teams have targeted the tight ends, they've given

1357
01:03:46,560 --> 01:03:49,040
Speaker 2: up the twelve highest yards per reception and the eighth

1358
01:03:49,160 --> 01:03:52,960
Speaker 2: most receiving touchdowns per game to that position. So I

1359
01:03:53,480 --> 01:03:55,280
Speaker 2: think Dallas godd should be a top twelve tight end

1360
01:03:55,320 --> 01:03:55,760
Speaker 2: this week.

1361
01:03:56,760 --> 01:03:59,600
Speaker 3: Yeah. Oh I, by the way, tight end twenty six

1362
01:03:59,800 --> 01:04:01,960
Speaker 3: in PPR points per game since Week seven.

1363
01:04:03,160 --> 01:04:04,520
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's a fair point.

1364
01:04:04,840 --> 01:04:08,120
Speaker 1: I do a predictions show with ericson early in the week,

1365
01:04:08,160 --> 01:04:10,520
Speaker 1: and my number one best like bet we had to do,

1366
01:04:10,600 --> 01:04:12,760
Speaker 1: like a hard rock best bet of the week, Mine

1367
01:04:12,920 --> 01:04:15,080
Speaker 1: was the Eagles minus two and a half. I think

1368
01:04:15,120 --> 01:04:17,720
Speaker 1: they're going to smash the Chargers. Honestly, do you guys

1369
01:04:17,720 --> 01:04:19,560
Speaker 1: think I'm crazy for that? Like, I just I think

1370
01:04:19,600 --> 01:04:21,000
Speaker 1: the Eagles are going to win this game running a well.

1371
01:04:21,000 --> 01:04:23,080
Speaker 2: I think there's a possibility we get Trey Lance this week.

1372
01:04:23,120 --> 01:04:24,880
Speaker 2: Like I don't. I'm not believing all this motive that

1373
01:04:24,960 --> 01:04:27,440
Speaker 2: Jim Harbaugh is like dealing out there. Trey Lance is

1374
01:04:27,480 --> 01:04:31,840
Speaker 2: taking taking first team reps. And if there's anybody in

1375
01:04:31,880 --> 01:04:35,160
Speaker 2: the entire freaking out NFL we cannot trust with injury

1376
01:04:35,200 --> 01:04:40,560
Speaker 2: information reporting, it's freaking Jim Harball. And for all the

1377
01:04:40,600 --> 01:04:43,520
Speaker 2: Chargers fans out there that hate that take. Really, so,

1378
01:04:44,000 --> 01:04:47,120
Speaker 2: how much conversations have we had about like QJ was

1379
01:04:47,120 --> 01:04:49,720
Speaker 2: dealing with a hamstring injury and how many conversations and

1380
01:04:49,920 --> 01:04:53,080
Speaker 2: details have you heard about a Marian Hampton. Oh okay,

1381
01:04:53,600 --> 01:04:54,000
Speaker 2: I mean.

1382
01:04:54,120 --> 01:04:56,360
Speaker 1: Even if Herbert was health fully healthy, I wouldn't like

1383
01:04:56,400 --> 01:04:58,560
Speaker 1: this offensive line going up against the Eagles.

1384
01:04:58,280 --> 01:04:59,800
Speaker 2: Got one working hand and robot.

1385
01:05:00,040 --> 01:05:03,920
Speaker 3: Okay, I'm still taking Kyle Shanahan as being less trustworthy.

1386
01:05:04,000 --> 01:05:06,920
Speaker 1: Sorry, No, that's fair, that's fair, super fair.

1387
01:05:07,400 --> 01:05:09,520
Speaker 2: They're writing in the same clown car FITSI.

1388
01:05:09,720 --> 01:05:12,400
Speaker 1: All right, We're off up there. Thanks everybody for tuning in.

1389
01:05:12,440 --> 01:05:14,160
Speaker 1: Best of luck getting into the playoffs here. If this

1390
01:05:14,200 --> 01:05:15,600
Speaker 1: is kind of a do or die week for you,

1391
01:05:15,920 --> 01:05:19,120
Speaker 1: if you have any other questions about specific start, sit, matchup,

1392
01:05:19,160 --> 01:05:21,080
Speaker 1: you know, anything, you know. The guys are on Discord

1393
01:05:21,240 --> 01:05:24,280
Speaker 1: all the time. FITS will be doing a Twitter takeover

1394
01:05:24,320 --> 01:05:27,200
Speaker 1: on Sunday. We'll have opportunities to answer more specific questions.

1395
01:05:27,320 --> 01:05:29,600
Speaker 1: Please hit us up on social, discord, everywhere else, but

1396
01:05:29,800 --> 01:05:31,520
Speaker 1: best of luck here this week. Thanks for tuning in

1397
01:05:31,720 --> 01:05:33,960
Speaker 1: for Debro and Fits. I'm Ryan Warmley. We'll see you

1398
01:05:33,960 --> 01:05:36,680
Speaker 1: next time. Thanks for listening to the Fantasy Pros Fantasy

1399
01:05:36,680 --> 01:05:39,680
Speaker 1: Football podcast. If you love the show, the best free

1400
01:05:39,680 --> 01:05:42,280
Speaker 1: way to support us is by leaving a positive review

1401
01:05:42,320 --> 01:05:46,160
Speaker 1: on Apple podcasts, at Fantasypros dot com, slash review, or

1402
01:05:46,200 --> 01:05:50,000
Speaker 1: on Spotify. Follow us on x, Instagram, and TikTok At

1403
01:05:50,040 --> 01:05:52,960
Speaker 1: Fantasy Pros and subscribe to our YouTube channel at YouTube

1404
01:05:52,960 --> 01:05:54,520
Speaker 1: dot com Slash Fantasypros.

1405
01:06:14,080 --> 01:06:16,360
Speaker 2: About the sh