1 00:00:00,760 --> 00:00:03,720 Speaker 1: Hey, guys, ready or not, twenty twenty four is here 2 00:00:03,880 --> 00:00:06,360 Speaker 1: and we here at breaking points, are already thinking of 3 00:00:06,400 --> 00:00:08,600 Speaker 1: ways we can up our game for this critical election. 4 00:00:08,800 --> 00:00:11,719 Speaker 2: We rely on our premium subs to expand coverage, upgrade 5 00:00:11,760 --> 00:00:15,720 Speaker 2: the studio ad staff, give you, guys, the best independent. 6 00:00:15,160 --> 00:00:16,239 Speaker 3: Coverage that is possible. 7 00:00:16,280 --> 00:00:18,320 Speaker 2: If you like what we're all about, it just means 8 00:00:18,320 --> 00:00:20,840 Speaker 2: the absolute world to have your support. But enough with that, 9 00:00:21,040 --> 00:00:32,640 Speaker 2: let's get to the show. 10 00:00:38,120 --> 00:00:41,000 Speaker 3: Good morning, everybody, Happy Thursday. We have an amazing show 11 00:00:41,000 --> 00:00:42,440 Speaker 3: for everybody today. What do we have, ris soul? 12 00:00:42,520 --> 00:00:44,400 Speaker 1: Indeed, we do lots of drama to get to you 13 00:00:44,440 --> 00:00:47,120 Speaker 1: this morning. First of all, developments with regard to the 14 00:00:47,200 --> 00:00:49,120 Speaker 1: debt sealing. We will tell you what is likely to 15 00:00:49,159 --> 00:00:51,639 Speaker 1: happen there as best as we can possibly figure as 16 00:00:51,640 --> 00:00:53,280 Speaker 1: we are coming down to the wire. We also have 17 00:00:53,320 --> 00:00:56,760 Speaker 1: some big developments with regard to Jeffrey Epstein and one 18 00:00:56,800 --> 00:00:59,000 Speaker 1: of the banks that was happy to have his business 19 00:00:59,000 --> 00:01:02,280 Speaker 1: for years and years after he'd already been convicted of 20 00:01:02,600 --> 00:01:05,640 Speaker 1: being a sex criminal, So we will talk about that 21 00:01:05,760 --> 00:01:06,160 Speaker 1: as well. 22 00:01:06,200 --> 00:01:09,360 Speaker 4: And also no Jobski caught in Noo, my man, No, 23 00:01:09,640 --> 00:01:10,280 Speaker 4: I don't even know. 24 00:01:10,240 --> 00:01:10,680 Speaker 3: What to say. 25 00:01:10,720 --> 00:01:12,560 Speaker 2: The book might have to go, Chris, So I'm not 26 00:01:12,600 --> 00:01:14,839 Speaker 2: so sure. I'm not so sure we could keep that behind. 27 00:01:14,880 --> 00:01:17,080 Speaker 4: This not a good look. Let's just say that. 28 00:01:17,480 --> 00:01:20,160 Speaker 1: Also, some really dire numbers with regards to the housing market, 29 00:01:20,200 --> 00:01:23,560 Speaker 1: and some overall economic news, and actually some news about 30 00:01:23,600 --> 00:01:26,240 Speaker 1: just how Americans are doing, like at the core of 31 00:01:26,280 --> 00:01:29,720 Speaker 1: their being that we need to talk through as well. Wholme, 32 00:01:29,880 --> 00:01:34,040 Speaker 1: Meghan and Harry situation in Manhattan that I just it's 33 00:01:34,080 --> 00:01:36,240 Speaker 1: like literally the South Park epite. 34 00:01:35,840 --> 00:01:38,880 Speaker 2: I I've been upset the moment it came out. I said, 35 00:01:38,880 --> 00:01:41,520 Speaker 2: this is fake, calling them the Duke and Duchess of 36 00:01:41,560 --> 00:01:44,040 Speaker 2: small At. I'll make you make You can make up 37 00:01:44,040 --> 00:01:46,520 Speaker 2: your mind for yourself whether you think they're lying or not. 38 00:01:46,920 --> 00:01:49,400 Speaker 3: I don't think my view is all that. 39 00:01:49,520 --> 00:01:51,440 Speaker 1: I think it's pretty clear what happened at this point, 40 00:01:51,680 --> 00:01:53,520 Speaker 1: so we'll give you all those details. Also, there are 41 00:01:53,560 --> 00:01:55,800 Speaker 1: some rumors about what Fox News is going to do 42 00:01:55,880 --> 00:01:58,320 Speaker 1: now that they have Pushtucker Carlson out, how they're going 43 00:01:58,360 --> 00:02:01,520 Speaker 1: to reconfigure their prime time lineup. Also excited to have 44 00:02:01,600 --> 00:02:03,800 Speaker 1: a political reporter in the show that we haven't had before. 45 00:02:03,840 --> 00:02:07,200 Speaker 1: Shelby Talcachi is tracking closely run DeSantis versus Donald Trump. 46 00:02:07,240 --> 00:02:09,120 Speaker 1: So we want to get her report from the campaign 47 00:02:09,120 --> 00:02:09,760 Speaker 1: trail as well. 48 00:02:09,840 --> 00:02:11,600 Speaker 2: Old friend of mine, she actually took my job White 49 00:02:11,600 --> 00:02:13,480 Speaker 2: House correspondent. Oh that's right, A call her before me 50 00:02:13,600 --> 00:02:15,320 Speaker 2: and now she works over at sea for she's doing 51 00:02:15,360 --> 00:02:15,919 Speaker 2: a very good job. 52 00:02:16,040 --> 00:02:18,000 Speaker 3: That's outlet the GOP primary, that's right. 53 00:02:18,080 --> 00:02:20,120 Speaker 2: And by all accounts, I mean, she's allowed to do 54 00:02:20,160 --> 00:02:21,959 Speaker 2: what she needs to and she's she's doing a really 55 00:02:21,960 --> 00:02:24,720 Speaker 2: good job of just like beat to beat about DeSantis 56 00:02:24,720 --> 00:02:26,440 Speaker 2: and Trump and all that, and so I'm excited to 57 00:02:26,440 --> 00:02:29,000 Speaker 2: talk to her a little bit about that. So before 58 00:02:29,000 --> 00:02:30,240 Speaker 2: we get to that, though, we just want to say 59 00:02:30,240 --> 00:02:32,400 Speaker 2: thank you to everybody who watched the RFK interview. 60 00:02:32,440 --> 00:02:34,280 Speaker 3: I know that so many of you enjoyed it. 61 00:02:34,320 --> 00:02:36,080 Speaker 2: I guess my only regret about it is that we 62 00:02:36,080 --> 00:02:38,920 Speaker 2: didn't have enough time with the man. He unfortunately had 63 00:02:39,240 --> 00:02:41,400 Speaker 2: to go, But we talked to him about it afterwards, Crystal, 64 00:02:41,520 --> 00:02:44,680 Speaker 2: and he wants to come back, and we've even discussed 65 00:02:44,720 --> 00:02:46,679 Speaker 2: doing a town hall event or something of some kind 66 00:02:46,720 --> 00:02:49,320 Speaker 2: that you can try and organize. So by all accounts, 67 00:02:49,400 --> 00:02:51,600 Speaker 2: you know, we're happy with how that went, and we 68 00:02:51,600 --> 00:02:52,960 Speaker 2: want to make sure that we continue to do more 69 00:02:53,000 --> 00:02:53,240 Speaker 2: of these. 70 00:02:53,400 --> 00:02:56,919 Speaker 1: Oh, one hundred percent. Yes, really enjoyed the exchange with him. 71 00:02:57,440 --> 00:02:59,280 Speaker 1: I think we try to cover as much ground as 72 00:02:59,280 --> 00:03:01,560 Speaker 1: we could the time that he had available. Obviously, he's 73 00:03:01,560 --> 00:03:04,400 Speaker 1: extraordinarily busy here in DC, so you know, grateful to 74 00:03:04,480 --> 00:03:06,959 Speaker 1: him for his time, Grateful to you guys for watching 75 00:03:07,000 --> 00:03:09,120 Speaker 1: engaging with it, and also those of you who signed 76 00:03:09,160 --> 00:03:11,800 Speaker 1: up as premium subs, super super appreciate that as we 77 00:03:11,840 --> 00:03:14,320 Speaker 1: are getting very close to having the new set to reveal. 78 00:03:14,080 --> 00:03:16,520 Speaker 2: Yeah, we really do appreciate all of you, and you know, 79 00:03:16,520 --> 00:03:18,280 Speaker 2: we're going to have more of these interviews. We're going 80 00:03:18,320 --> 00:03:20,640 Speaker 2: to in the works right now scheduling Maryanne to come. 81 00:03:20,680 --> 00:03:22,320 Speaker 2: We're gonna grill her as well, and I think that's 82 00:03:22,320 --> 00:03:24,040 Speaker 2: something we're committed to. We're gonna grill every single one 83 00:03:24,080 --> 00:03:26,040 Speaker 2: of them whenever they have here. And I do think 84 00:03:26,120 --> 00:03:27,440 Speaker 2: in the future we're going to push for a little 85 00:03:27,480 --> 00:03:30,200 Speaker 2: bit more time in terms of this because, like you know, 86 00:03:30,320 --> 00:03:33,000 Speaker 2: I really don't like whenever people have to go and 87 00:03:33,120 --> 00:03:34,200 Speaker 2: all that, but we'll get to that. 88 00:03:34,960 --> 00:03:38,840 Speaker 1: These are busy folks. Yes, so totally understand. And like 89 00:03:38,880 --> 00:03:41,320 Speaker 1: I said, I think we got a lot of ground 90 00:03:41,400 --> 00:03:43,920 Speaker 1: covered with him in the time that we had available. Absolutely, 91 00:03:43,960 --> 00:03:46,240 Speaker 1: super grateful for him for taking the. 92 00:03:46,200 --> 00:03:48,240 Speaker 2: Time, and thanks for everybody who signed up. And if 93 00:03:48,240 --> 00:03:49,800 Speaker 2: you want to continue support our ability to. 94 00:03:49,720 --> 00:03:51,680 Speaker 3: Do that town hall events, new sets, all of that. 95 00:03:51,680 --> 00:03:54,640 Speaker 2: It's very expensive, so we appreciate you breakingpoints dot com 96 00:03:54,680 --> 00:03:56,160 Speaker 2: to become a premium describer today. 97 00:03:56,600 --> 00:03:59,040 Speaker 1: All right, let's get to the very latest with regard 98 00:03:59,160 --> 00:04:02,560 Speaker 1: to the debt sealing. Just as backdrop here again, guys, 99 00:04:02,560 --> 00:04:05,520 Speaker 1: we have this really weird and incredibly stupid system where 100 00:04:05,840 --> 00:04:08,280 Speaker 1: Congress votes to spend money and then weirdly, they have 101 00:04:08,360 --> 00:04:10,680 Speaker 1: this separate vote about whether or not they're actually going 102 00:04:10,720 --> 00:04:14,120 Speaker 1: to borrow enough to pay those bills down the line. 103 00:04:14,160 --> 00:04:17,080 Speaker 1: Republicans in particular have decided to use this as a 104 00:04:17,120 --> 00:04:19,520 Speaker 1: point of leverage try to get through things that they 105 00:04:19,560 --> 00:04:22,600 Speaker 1: otherwise could not get passed through the Congress. And so 106 00:04:22,720 --> 00:04:25,479 Speaker 1: now we are coming to a head here. By some accounts, 107 00:04:25,600 --> 00:04:27,800 Speaker 1: June first is kind of the drop dead date we 108 00:04:27,839 --> 00:04:29,640 Speaker 1: are going to go through in a moment if we 109 00:04:29,720 --> 00:04:32,720 Speaker 1: do breach the debt ceiling. What does the potential fallout? 110 00:04:32,960 --> 00:04:36,200 Speaker 1: I mean, the big takeaway is nobody really knows, but 111 00:04:36,240 --> 00:04:38,120 Speaker 1: it looks like it would be really really bad, And 112 00:04:38,240 --> 00:04:40,880 Speaker 1: obviously it is now May eighteenth, So we are inching 113 00:04:41,240 --> 00:04:45,880 Speaker 1: very close to that deadline. Joe Biden's original consistent stance 114 00:04:46,040 --> 00:04:49,160 Speaker 1: had been not going to negotiate it clean debt ceiling 115 00:04:49,360 --> 00:04:53,920 Speaker 1: that I'll accept, not going to negotiate with the hostage takers. Well, 116 00:04:54,120 --> 00:04:57,400 Speaker 1: now he has gone back on what was previously a 117 00:04:57,520 --> 00:04:59,840 Speaker 1: very clear position. He is in fact negotiating with the 118 00:05:00,000 --> 00:05:02,359 Speaker 1: stage takers, although he's trying to parse and pretend like 119 00:05:02,440 --> 00:05:05,160 Speaker 1: he's not. Here's how he is framing things and what 120 00:05:05,200 --> 00:05:05,719 Speaker 1: he is saying. 121 00:05:06,040 --> 00:05:09,479 Speaker 5: We're going to come together because there's no alternative to 122 00:05:09,520 --> 00:05:11,960 Speaker 5: do the right thing for the country. We have to 123 00:05:12,000 --> 00:05:16,479 Speaker 5: move on. And to be clear, this negotiation is about 124 00:05:16,520 --> 00:05:19,359 Speaker 5: the outlines of what the budget will look like, not 125 00:05:19,480 --> 00:05:22,200 Speaker 5: about whether or not we're going to infect para debts. 126 00:05:22,839 --> 00:05:26,480 Speaker 5: The leaders are all agreed we will not default. Every 127 00:05:26,520 --> 00:05:27,400 Speaker 5: leader has said that. 128 00:05:27,880 --> 00:05:30,920 Speaker 1: Well, so all have agreed we will not default. 129 00:05:31,040 --> 00:05:32,000 Speaker 3: I don't know we'll see it. 130 00:05:32,000 --> 00:05:34,799 Speaker 4: I don't know that, yeah exactly. 131 00:05:35,040 --> 00:05:36,720 Speaker 1: And then you can see how he's trying to parse. 132 00:05:36,800 --> 00:05:38,640 Speaker 1: He or trying to say, oh, we're not really negotiating 133 00:05:38,640 --> 00:05:41,920 Speaker 1: on the debt ceiling. We're talking about the budget. This 134 00:05:42,000 --> 00:05:44,880 Speaker 1: is all just word games. They are negotiating on the 135 00:05:44,880 --> 00:05:46,960 Speaker 1: debt ceiling, something that you know, I'll talk a little 136 00:05:46,960 --> 00:05:48,520 Speaker 1: bit more about in a moment. I think is a 137 00:05:48,600 --> 00:05:52,120 Speaker 1: dramatic mistake because what does this mean? Even putting aside 138 00:05:52,160 --> 00:05:54,479 Speaker 1: whether you think the GOP demands are good or bad 139 00:05:54,560 --> 00:05:57,359 Speaker 1: or indifferent or whatever. The minute you give into this, 140 00:05:57,440 --> 00:06:00,800 Speaker 1: people guess what. Every time this vote comes up, the 141 00:06:00,839 --> 00:06:04,719 Speaker 1: whole global economy is gonna be held hostage again by 142 00:06:04,920 --> 00:06:07,280 Speaker 1: you know, whoever wants to gain an edge and get 143 00:06:07,320 --> 00:06:09,880 Speaker 1: something through that they could not get through the legislative process. 144 00:06:10,000 --> 00:06:12,440 Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, I think people need This is also why, 145 00:06:12,440 --> 00:06:14,440 Speaker 2: though I will say Chris, I was actually very frustrated 146 00:06:14,600 --> 00:06:17,120 Speaker 2: several months ago because I'm like, listen, you're gonna negotiate. 147 00:06:17,160 --> 00:06:19,560 Speaker 2: There's no question about it, Like there is no getting 148 00:06:19,560 --> 00:06:20,760 Speaker 2: around this, But where. 149 00:06:20,720 --> 00:06:23,840 Speaker 1: Is getting around it? Like there are other options. There 150 00:06:23,880 --> 00:06:27,600 Speaker 1: are multiple other workarounds. There is a fourteenth Amendment workaround 151 00:06:27,680 --> 00:06:29,880 Speaker 1: what Constitution says like the debt shall. 152 00:06:29,640 --> 00:06:30,360 Speaker 4: Not be questioned. 153 00:06:30,400 --> 00:06:32,719 Speaker 1: You could pursue that, you could mint the coin. There's 154 00:06:32,760 --> 00:06:35,120 Speaker 1: another alternative where you can issue premium bonds. 155 00:06:35,120 --> 00:06:36,640 Speaker 4: So there are other workarounds. 156 00:06:36,880 --> 00:06:39,000 Speaker 1: Otherwise, God, we're just going to go back to this 157 00:06:39,200 --> 00:06:42,880 Speaker 1: same dynamic year after year after year, every time there's 158 00:06:42,880 --> 00:06:45,000 Speaker 1: a Democratic president and Republicans have one or the other 159 00:06:45,080 --> 00:06:45,880 Speaker 1: House recires. 160 00:06:45,960 --> 00:06:49,360 Speaker 2: I meant within the framework that the Biden jugs Joe Biden, Yes, Rich, 161 00:06:49,400 --> 00:06:51,400 Speaker 2: I will say, okay, look on the fourteenth Amendment. So 162 00:06:51,440 --> 00:06:53,200 Speaker 2: I've done a decent amount of research now and I'm 163 00:06:53,200 --> 00:06:55,480 Speaker 2: not even saying that these aren't feasible. Same with mint 164 00:06:55,480 --> 00:06:57,159 Speaker 2: the coin, A lot of it actually does come down 165 00:06:57,160 --> 00:06:58,800 Speaker 2: to whether the market would accept it. So I guess 166 00:06:58,800 --> 00:07:00,800 Speaker 2: we could talk a little bit about that in terms 167 00:07:00,800 --> 00:07:02,640 Speaker 2: of what a breach would look, but you could technically 168 00:07:02,720 --> 00:07:04,880 Speaker 2: mint the coin, and even if the Federal Reserve were 169 00:07:04,920 --> 00:07:08,760 Speaker 2: to accept the coin, and we let that actually is 170 00:07:08,800 --> 00:07:11,440 Speaker 2: not a given, there's actually no guarantee that the markets 171 00:07:11,440 --> 00:07:14,160 Speaker 2: would look at that as a genuine debt ceiling left. 172 00:07:14,200 --> 00:07:16,040 Speaker 2: So part of the problem is, you know, so much 173 00:07:16,080 --> 00:07:20,200 Speaker 2: of our feelings around debt are feelings, and they are 174 00:07:20,320 --> 00:07:23,680 Speaker 2: backed not necessarily by the technical raising of the debt ceiling, 175 00:07:23,680 --> 00:07:26,040 Speaker 2: but by everybody just kind of walking around and just 176 00:07:26,080 --> 00:07:27,480 Speaker 2: being like, yeah, the full faith in credit of the 177 00:07:27,560 --> 00:07:30,200 Speaker 2: United States, it's good, We're cool with it. When that 178 00:07:30,240 --> 00:07:33,160 Speaker 2: starts to come into question, even with the fourteenth Amendment, 179 00:07:33,200 --> 00:07:36,480 Speaker 2: the debt ceiling, the premium bonds. As you said, that uncertainty, 180 00:07:36,520 --> 00:07:38,480 Speaker 2: you're still looking likely looking at a crash. I mean, 181 00:07:38,520 --> 00:07:41,320 Speaker 2: it's just one of those where it's a very complicated situation. 182 00:07:41,440 --> 00:07:44,120 Speaker 2: So I also don't want to take responsibility away from 183 00:07:44,120 --> 00:07:47,080 Speaker 2: the Republicans because I think we should all be honest 184 00:07:47,080 --> 00:07:49,960 Speaker 2: about what they are asking for. And they have decided 185 00:07:49,960 --> 00:07:52,800 Speaker 2: that they want to cut spending and return spending levels 186 00:07:52,800 --> 00:07:53,560 Speaker 2: to six months ago. 187 00:07:53,600 --> 00:07:55,680 Speaker 3: When you put it that way, okay, it sounds reasonable. 188 00:07:55,680 --> 00:07:57,560 Speaker 2: But one of the ways that they want to cut 189 00:07:57,560 --> 00:08:00,560 Speaker 2: spending almost entirely is they don't want to touch the 190 00:08:00,960 --> 00:08:03,600 Speaker 2: military budget at all. They don't want to touch any 191 00:08:03,680 --> 00:08:07,200 Speaker 2: DoD spending or Ukraine spending. They don't want to touch 192 00:08:07,640 --> 00:08:10,760 Speaker 2: entitlement programs. Well, you just took off the two vast 193 00:08:11,120 --> 00:08:15,360 Speaker 2: portions of the entire federal expenditure. So what is left, Well, 194 00:08:15,360 --> 00:08:20,240 Speaker 2: what's left are effectively, you know, you have food stamp programs. 195 00:08:20,880 --> 00:08:24,200 Speaker 2: They've talked about welfare, They've talked about rescinding some of 196 00:08:24,200 --> 00:08:26,080 Speaker 2: the IRS money. I mean, I personally have a problem 197 00:08:26,160 --> 00:08:28,520 Speaker 2: with some of that, but they do have want to 198 00:08:28,520 --> 00:08:32,240 Speaker 2: rescind some of the money taken within the Inflation Reduction Act, 199 00:08:32,480 --> 00:08:35,840 Speaker 2: some of which has already been spent, some future tax credits. 200 00:08:35,840 --> 00:08:37,680 Speaker 2: And my other problem with it is they also don't 201 00:08:37,679 --> 00:08:40,120 Speaker 2: want to raise any taxes. There are actually ten different 202 00:08:40,160 --> 00:08:43,320 Speaker 2: tax loopholes that have could easily be closed. 203 00:08:43,320 --> 00:08:44,640 Speaker 3: We've talked about each. 204 00:08:44,480 --> 00:08:46,600 Speaker 2: One of them on the show Ad nauseum, the private 205 00:08:46,600 --> 00:08:50,520 Speaker 2: equity loophole, the carried interest sloop hole, step up basis loophole. 206 00:08:51,040 --> 00:08:52,679 Speaker 3: There are several other corporate loopholes. 207 00:08:53,000 --> 00:08:56,480 Speaker 2: None of these would ever touch anybody who is including 208 00:08:56,480 --> 00:08:58,120 Speaker 2: people at this desk, because it has nothing to do 209 00:08:58,160 --> 00:09:00,480 Speaker 2: with small business or middle clad. This is all corporate 210 00:09:00,559 --> 00:09:04,080 Speaker 2: or extremely high net worth individuals, which could raise billions 211 00:09:04,080 --> 00:09:06,280 Speaker 2: of dollars, and they've taken that off the tables. I 212 00:09:06,440 --> 00:09:09,160 Speaker 2: want to be very I want to lay out exactly 213 00:09:09,600 --> 00:09:10,840 Speaker 2: what the conversation. 214 00:09:10,480 --> 00:09:11,120 Speaker 4: Here I mean. 215 00:09:11,600 --> 00:09:13,079 Speaker 1: In a sense, like I said, I don't really care 216 00:09:13,120 --> 00:09:14,880 Speaker 1: what their demands are because I think the whole thing 217 00:09:14,960 --> 00:09:18,120 Speaker 1: is economic terrorism, and so even if what they were 218 00:09:18,160 --> 00:09:21,480 Speaker 1: saying was totally reasonable, as a matter of principle, I 219 00:09:21,480 --> 00:09:24,439 Speaker 1: don't think you should negotiate. But the details matter for 220 00:09:25,120 --> 00:09:29,520 Speaker 1: another reason, which is that it really shows how disingenuous 221 00:09:29,559 --> 00:09:32,560 Speaker 1: they are about actually caring about the debt. First of all, 222 00:09:32,640 --> 00:09:34,640 Speaker 1: there is no sign in the markets that we have 223 00:09:34,760 --> 00:09:37,360 Speaker 1: any sort of looming debt issue. Up until very recently 224 00:09:37,360 --> 00:09:39,760 Speaker 1: when the Fed started hiking rates, interest rates have been 225 00:09:39,840 --> 00:09:43,480 Speaker 1: incredibly low. The market has been very stable in terms 226 00:09:43,480 --> 00:09:45,800 Speaker 1: of treasury bonds. Like, there's no indication out there that 227 00:09:45,800 --> 00:09:47,599 Speaker 1: we have this looming debt crisis we have to deal with. 228 00:09:47,640 --> 00:09:52,120 Speaker 1: That's number one. Number two, if you were genuinely concerned 229 00:09:52,160 --> 00:09:53,960 Speaker 1: about the debt, guess what you would put on the 230 00:09:53,960 --> 00:09:58,199 Speaker 1: table the freaking Trump tax cuts for the top one percent. 231 00:09:58,559 --> 00:10:01,520 Speaker 1: You could keep whatever little pit pitdling, you know, pennies 232 00:10:01,559 --> 00:10:03,240 Speaker 1: they gave to like the middle class and the working 233 00:10:03,240 --> 00:10:06,440 Speaker 1: class line, keep that in there. Roll back the ones 234 00:10:06,480 --> 00:10:10,280 Speaker 1: that dramatically benefited Corporate America that they used to engage 235 00:10:10,280 --> 00:10:13,800 Speaker 1: in all their stock buybacks, that added massively to our dad, 236 00:10:13,880 --> 00:10:15,920 Speaker 1: that put a gigantic hole in our budget. Like, if 237 00:10:15,920 --> 00:10:18,360 Speaker 1: you actually cared about these things, that would be on 238 00:10:18,400 --> 00:10:20,520 Speaker 1: the table. And of course they're not interested in that. 239 00:10:20,600 --> 00:10:23,840 Speaker 1: They're not interested in a tax conversation whatsoever, because this 240 00:10:23,960 --> 00:10:26,920 Speaker 1: is an ideological project, and it's a specifically an ideological 241 00:10:26,960 --> 00:10:29,720 Speaker 1: project to appease one part of the Republican caucus that 242 00:10:29,800 --> 00:10:32,400 Speaker 1: you know, extracted their pound of flesh from Kevin McCarthy 243 00:10:32,400 --> 00:10:34,679 Speaker 1: in order to for him to get his speakership. Let's 244 00:10:34,720 --> 00:10:36,640 Speaker 1: go and put this next piece from Axios up on 245 00:10:36,679 --> 00:10:39,840 Speaker 1: the screen that has some of these details. So they're 246 00:10:39,880 --> 00:10:43,120 Speaker 1: talking about how McCarthy called Biden's bluff as you were 247 00:10:43,160 --> 00:10:48,920 Speaker 1: pointing out sober Biden being a you know, weakned institutionalist. Unfortunately, 248 00:10:49,000 --> 00:10:51,040 Speaker 1: the writing was kind of on the wall that ultimately 249 00:10:51,080 --> 00:10:53,520 Speaker 1: he would cave and he would negotiate. That's exactly what 250 00:10:53,960 --> 00:10:56,800 Speaker 1: is happening now. They say efforts to peel off vulnerable 251 00:10:56,800 --> 00:11:00,920 Speaker 1: House Republicans failed. None openly opposed mccarthy'strivelege of tying spending 252 00:11:00,920 --> 00:11:03,880 Speaker 1: cuts to a debt ceiling hike. House Rules Committee Chair 253 00:11:03,920 --> 00:11:06,640 Speaker 1: Tom Cole told Axios their negotiating now, and they weren't 254 00:11:06,640 --> 00:11:07,400 Speaker 1: doing it before. 255 00:11:07,679 --> 00:11:08,960 Speaker 4: So again he caved. 256 00:11:09,640 --> 00:11:13,080 Speaker 1: Now the cope here from the Biden side, and this 257 00:11:13,160 --> 00:11:16,280 Speaker 1: is the politics that come into this. They say, if 258 00:11:16,320 --> 00:11:19,440 Speaker 1: Biden conceded to direct one on one negotiations, McCarthy is 259 00:11:19,480 --> 00:11:21,640 Speaker 1: prepared to give ground as well. He's open to a 260 00:11:21,679 --> 00:11:24,160 Speaker 1: deal that lifts the debt ceiling until twenty twenty five 261 00:11:24,600 --> 00:11:26,280 Speaker 1: beyond the next election. 262 00:11:26,920 --> 00:11:27,960 Speaker 4: And there it is. 263 00:11:28,040 --> 00:11:31,560 Speaker 1: I mean, that's the real trump card that the Republicans have, 264 00:11:31,679 --> 00:11:33,439 Speaker 1: is they can hold out to him like, we'll make 265 00:11:33,480 --> 00:11:35,800 Speaker 1: these economic problems for you go away. All you have 266 00:11:35,840 --> 00:11:37,920 Speaker 1: to do is like throw poor people under the bus, basically, 267 00:11:38,200 --> 00:11:40,320 Speaker 1: and we'll make this go away until after the next 268 00:11:40,360 --> 00:11:42,240 Speaker 1: election so that we don't have some sort of global 269 00:11:42,280 --> 00:11:45,480 Speaker 1: financial catastrophe that is going to hurt you in your 270 00:11:45,520 --> 00:11:46,200 Speaker 1: re elect bid. 271 00:11:46,240 --> 00:11:47,360 Speaker 4: And so that's what this comes down to. 272 00:11:47,480 --> 00:11:49,800 Speaker 3: And he actually spoke a little bitbout on CNBC yesterday. 273 00:11:49,840 --> 00:11:50,600 Speaker 3: Let's take a listen. 274 00:11:50,880 --> 00:11:52,360 Speaker 6: So first of all, there is not going to be 275 00:11:52,400 --> 00:11:55,200 Speaker 6: a tax discussion in this debt seiling. The President admitted 276 00:11:55,240 --> 00:11:58,360 Speaker 6: debt yesterday at the beginning, less curve what we were spending, 277 00:11:58,400 --> 00:12:01,080 Speaker 6: less than we spent last year, go back five months. 278 00:12:01,280 --> 00:12:04,600 Speaker 6: Let's put in things that make us grow, right, permitting reform, 279 00:12:04,679 --> 00:12:07,559 Speaker 6: cut the red tape if you like, renewable energy, be 280 00:12:07,640 --> 00:12:09,760 Speaker 6: able to get the permit to do it, build the roads, 281 00:12:09,920 --> 00:12:12,840 Speaker 6: but also the other energy we talked about. Let's help 282 00:12:12,880 --> 00:12:16,160 Speaker 6: people get jobs again, let's be less dependent upon China. 283 00:12:16,480 --> 00:12:17,560 Speaker 3: I think that's reasonable. 284 00:12:17,559 --> 00:12:19,880 Speaker 6: And sensible, but I didn't think it was reasonable that 285 00:12:19,920 --> 00:12:21,839 Speaker 6: I had to wait one hundred and four days till 286 00:12:21,840 --> 00:12:24,280 Speaker 6: they finally admit they'd come into the room and negotiate. 287 00:12:24,520 --> 00:12:26,800 Speaker 2: I actually do agree with them on permitting reform, but 288 00:12:27,040 --> 00:12:29,840 Speaker 2: on the rest of it, that's always the issue, which 289 00:12:29,840 --> 00:12:32,000 Speaker 2: is it sounds reasonable and then you start looking at 290 00:12:32,160 --> 00:12:34,040 Speaker 2: what's actually being cut. That's why I wanted to lay 291 00:12:34,040 --> 00:12:36,000 Speaker 2: it out for people. You know, listen, if you do 292 00:12:36,080 --> 00:12:38,000 Speaker 2: care about the debt, and there are reasons that you 293 00:12:38,000 --> 00:12:40,480 Speaker 2: you know, maybe should or maybe shouldn't, and there it's 294 00:12:40,520 --> 00:12:43,320 Speaker 2: a multifaceted conversation. But if you would then some there 295 00:12:43,320 --> 00:12:45,400 Speaker 2: are many other things that should be on the table. 296 00:12:45,400 --> 00:12:48,200 Speaker 2: As he said, he doesn't want to have a tax conversation. 297 00:12:48,280 --> 00:12:51,800 Speaker 2: And you know, most Republicans are not against raising taxes 298 00:12:51,880 --> 00:12:57,000 Speaker 2: on corporations or on closing tax loopholes for the financial industry. 299 00:12:57,160 --> 00:13:00,959 Speaker 2: Regular Republican we're talking about actual Republican vote elected. Well, 300 00:13:01,040 --> 00:13:04,040 Speaker 2: there's a dreams of polling on this, Like Republicans don't 301 00:13:04,040 --> 00:13:06,880 Speaker 2: want to touch entitlements, and they don't have any problem 302 00:13:06,920 --> 00:13:12,200 Speaker 2: with raising taxes on corporations and specifically on wealthy tax 303 00:13:12,480 --> 00:13:15,880 Speaker 2: loopholes that only benefit financial billionaires. 304 00:13:15,880 --> 00:13:16,560 Speaker 3: There are many. 305 00:13:16,760 --> 00:13:18,440 Speaker 2: I mean, this is almost where it's like just turn 306 00:13:18,440 --> 00:13:20,640 Speaker 2: it into a culture war thing and be like George. 307 00:13:20,280 --> 00:13:23,360 Speaker 3: Sorrows and all other people, let's tax them. I'd be like, okay, 308 00:13:23,440 --> 00:13:23,760 Speaker 3: let's go. 309 00:13:24,120 --> 00:13:29,320 Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, that's actually these esg terrorists, which kind of 310 00:13:29,360 --> 00:13:31,559 Speaker 2: true should pay taxes. 311 00:13:31,760 --> 00:13:34,200 Speaker 3: Okay, you know, let's let's go. There's a lot of 312 00:13:34,200 --> 00:13:34,800 Speaker 3: different ways. 313 00:13:35,120 --> 00:13:37,560 Speaker 2: So this is always why I just find the conversation 314 00:13:37,760 --> 00:13:39,800 Speaker 2: very difficult. And you know, look in terms of the 315 00:13:39,840 --> 00:13:42,679 Speaker 2: dead ceiling and all that, as you said, I mean, 316 00:13:43,000 --> 00:13:45,480 Speaker 2: just I think I come back to this. I think 317 00:13:45,520 --> 00:13:47,480 Speaker 2: hardcore Republicans are going to be with them no matter what. 318 00:13:47,600 --> 00:13:49,880 Speaker 2: They like a fighter. They like somebody who's going to fight. 319 00:13:50,160 --> 00:13:53,720 Speaker 2: The question remains, are people really like when they hear 320 00:13:53,880 --> 00:13:56,160 Speaker 2: and understand, let's say your four oh one K drops 321 00:13:56,160 --> 00:13:58,880 Speaker 2: by twenty five percent, and they're like, wait, we're doing 322 00:13:58,920 --> 00:14:03,920 Speaker 2: this for for for work reform, work requirements in the 323 00:14:03,960 --> 00:14:06,720 Speaker 2: food stamp program, regardless of how you feel or not 324 00:14:06,800 --> 00:14:09,800 Speaker 2: about that, Like do you feel enough about that to 325 00:14:09,920 --> 00:14:12,439 Speaker 2: have your retirement portfolio go down by twenty. 326 00:14:12,160 --> 00:14:14,600 Speaker 4: Five the entire global economy or. 327 00:14:14,960 --> 00:14:16,080 Speaker 3: You know, this is another one. 328 00:14:16,240 --> 00:14:18,920 Speaker 2: So let's say that the last time twenty eleven we 329 00:14:18,920 --> 00:14:21,320 Speaker 2: didn't even go over the debt ceiling, we still had 330 00:14:21,360 --> 00:14:25,880 Speaker 2: our debt downgraded, that had significant ramifications for pension funds 331 00:14:25,960 --> 00:14:28,200 Speaker 2: and for t bills, and a lot of it was 332 00:14:28,200 --> 00:14:31,520 Speaker 2: erase the problems for that by very very low interest 333 00:14:31,560 --> 00:14:33,800 Speaker 2: rates and the zero interst rate economy. Well, we don't 334 00:14:33,800 --> 00:14:36,400 Speaker 2: live in that environment anymore, so this actually could only 335 00:14:36,480 --> 00:14:40,440 Speaker 2: further propel us into a recession. Now cynically, though, I mean, 336 00:14:40,440 --> 00:14:42,080 Speaker 2: this is kind of exactly what you want if you 337 00:14:42,080 --> 00:14:45,360 Speaker 2: are a Republican, like if you are politically and cynically, 338 00:14:45,400 --> 00:14:47,400 Speaker 2: at the end of the day, Crystal, I do believe 339 00:14:47,640 --> 00:14:49,800 Speaker 2: that in the short term, while it would not be 340 00:14:49,840 --> 00:14:52,360 Speaker 2: good for the Republican Party and they may suffer some 341 00:14:52,440 --> 00:14:56,200 Speaker 2: cost overall, that in the net, having a worse off 342 00:14:56,280 --> 00:14:58,200 Speaker 2: economy is going to be worse off for Joe Bidens 343 00:14:58,720 --> 00:14:59,640 Speaker 2: whenever he becomes present. 344 00:15:00,120 --> 00:15:02,720 Speaker 1: Absolutely psychopathic way for them to look at this, I 345 00:15:03,960 --> 00:15:06,080 Speaker 1: agree with you. That's not named to you, that's not 346 00:15:06,320 --> 00:15:08,880 Speaker 1: to them. I mean, that is psychopathic for them to 347 00:15:08,920 --> 00:15:10,560 Speaker 1: look at it that way. But I think you're right, 348 00:15:10,640 --> 00:15:13,560 Speaker 1: that is the gamble that they're taking because they're playing 349 00:15:13,560 --> 00:15:17,000 Speaker 1: with people's lives here, and so in terms of the 350 00:15:17,000 --> 00:15:19,200 Speaker 1: mechanics of how this is going to work, there's been 351 00:15:19,240 --> 00:15:21,400 Speaker 1: a lot of happy talk in DC this week about oh, 352 00:15:21,400 --> 00:15:25,560 Speaker 1: they're going to come to a deal. Maybe, maybe, but 353 00:15:25,600 --> 00:15:28,560 Speaker 1: there's still a long way to go before that actually 354 00:15:28,600 --> 00:15:32,760 Speaker 1: comes together, because you have Democrats who are pissed off, 355 00:15:32,800 --> 00:15:34,520 Speaker 1: Progressives who are pissed off with this up on the 356 00:15:34,560 --> 00:15:37,400 Speaker 1: screen from Jeff Stein. You've got a number of Senate 357 00:15:37,440 --> 00:15:41,160 Speaker 1: Democrats in particular, including Elizabeth Warren, Bernie Sanders, and others, 358 00:15:41,480 --> 00:15:44,720 Speaker 1: who just sent a letter urging Biden to prep that 359 00:15:44,840 --> 00:15:48,960 Speaker 1: Fourteenth Amendment solution again, the fourteenth Amendment saying that the 360 00:15:49,000 --> 00:15:51,480 Speaker 1: validity of the public debt of the United States shall 361 00:15:51,520 --> 00:15:54,800 Speaker 1: not be questioned. Because keep in mind here, what is 362 00:15:54,840 --> 00:15:58,880 Speaker 1: basically happening is Congress is sending the president to conflicting 363 00:15:58,920 --> 00:16:02,560 Speaker 1: sets of instructions. One set of instruction says, spend this money, 364 00:16:02,760 --> 00:16:04,800 Speaker 1: and the other says, don't do what you need to 365 00:16:04,840 --> 00:16:07,200 Speaker 1: do to be able to spend this money. So the 366 00:16:07,200 --> 00:16:10,320 Speaker 1: basic constitutional argument here is you've got the fourteenth Amendment, 367 00:16:10,360 --> 00:16:12,680 Speaker 1: which says the debt shall not be questioned, take it 368 00:16:12,720 --> 00:16:15,560 Speaker 1: to the courts and let the Supreme Court make the 369 00:16:15,600 --> 00:16:17,440 Speaker 1: call as to whether they want to be the ones 370 00:16:17,440 --> 00:16:20,120 Speaker 1: that crash the economy. And even though the Court, you know, 371 00:16:20,240 --> 00:16:23,280 Speaker 1: very partisan institution, but it's not clear that you would 372 00:16:23,320 --> 00:16:27,240 Speaker 1: have all of the conservatives like committed to the potential 373 00:16:27,280 --> 00:16:30,359 Speaker 1: chaos that could be unleashed by taking that perspective. 374 00:16:30,400 --> 00:16:31,960 Speaker 4: So progressives are pissed. 375 00:16:32,280 --> 00:16:35,880 Speaker 1: You increasingly getting strong words from them about their upset 376 00:16:36,560 --> 00:16:38,400 Speaker 1: about what the White House is putting on the table, 377 00:16:38,440 --> 00:16:40,640 Speaker 1: the work requirements, the fact that Biden's been opener work 378 00:16:40,680 --> 00:16:42,640 Speaker 1: requirements on any of this stuff, the fact that he 379 00:16:43,040 --> 00:16:46,480 Speaker 1: caved and is negotiating. You're getting an increasing upset there. 380 00:16:46,520 --> 00:16:49,480 Speaker 1: So that's the Democratic side in some ways, though even 381 00:16:49,520 --> 00:16:53,640 Speaker 1: more seriously on the Republican side, there were some pretty 382 00:16:53,640 --> 00:16:57,560 Speaker 1: stringent demands made from the furthest right part of the caucus, 383 00:16:58,000 --> 00:16:59,920 Speaker 1: and it's not at all clear that whatever do you 384 00:17:00,240 --> 00:17:03,440 Speaker 1: Biden and McCarthy would make would be acceptable to the 385 00:17:03,480 --> 00:17:07,760 Speaker 1: Republican entirety of the Republican Caucus. So there's still even 386 00:17:07,800 --> 00:17:09,520 Speaker 1: though there was a lot of happy talk in Washington 387 00:17:09,600 --> 00:17:11,480 Speaker 1: this week about oh, we think they're getting close and 388 00:17:11,480 --> 00:17:14,159 Speaker 1: we think there may be a deal, I'm still skeptical 389 00:17:14,359 --> 00:17:17,320 Speaker 1: that that is really going to ultimately come together, because 390 00:17:17,359 --> 00:17:19,360 Speaker 1: it's not just up. If it was just Joe Biden 391 00:17:19,720 --> 00:17:24,199 Speaker 1: and Kevin McCarthy, Almos said John Bayner, my god, PTSD, 392 00:17:25,000 --> 00:17:27,840 Speaker 1: If it was just Joe Bien Kevin McCarthy, Yes, I 393 00:17:27,880 --> 00:17:29,880 Speaker 1: think they could probably come up with something that both 394 00:17:29,920 --> 00:17:32,919 Speaker 1: of them would be comfortable with because they're both basically institutionalists, 395 00:17:32,960 --> 00:17:36,400 Speaker 1: they're both basically quote unquote moderates. But when you add 396 00:17:36,400 --> 00:17:38,960 Speaker 1: in all these other factors, it makes it a lot 397 00:17:39,040 --> 00:17:42,280 Speaker 1: more complicated to actually get to the finish line here. 398 00:17:42,359 --> 00:17:44,800 Speaker 4: So I think, you know. 399 00:17:45,080 --> 00:17:49,000 Speaker 1: All of the sort of solutions, the workarounds, all those 400 00:17:49,000 --> 00:17:51,639 Speaker 1: things are in sense still on the table, even as 401 00:17:51,760 --> 00:17:53,719 Speaker 1: I have a little confidence that Joe Biden really has 402 00:17:53,760 --> 00:17:54,959 Speaker 1: the spine to pursue any of them. 403 00:17:55,040 --> 00:17:55,200 Speaker 7: Yeah. 404 00:17:55,280 --> 00:17:58,560 Speaker 2: My thing is, I am increasingly believe that we are 405 00:17:58,560 --> 00:18:01,720 Speaker 2: going to default, at least in some name only, and 406 00:18:01,760 --> 00:18:04,760 Speaker 2: that only after that where we see some sort of deal. 407 00:18:04,840 --> 00:18:06,560 Speaker 3: This part of what I was talking about. 408 00:18:06,560 --> 00:18:09,320 Speaker 2: So I think June one, the likelihood of having a 409 00:18:09,680 --> 00:18:14,040 Speaker 2: deal between McCarthy and Biden which is acceptable to Democrats 410 00:18:14,080 --> 00:18:16,520 Speaker 2: in the Senate and Republicans in the House just seems 411 00:18:16,880 --> 00:18:19,680 Speaker 2: like zero and remember this also McCarthy has what twenty 412 00:18:19,720 --> 00:18:22,159 Speaker 2: something votes or whatever to play with. Well, it's not 413 00:18:22,240 --> 00:18:24,679 Speaker 2: like they have all that many votes on the Democratic 414 00:18:24,720 --> 00:18:27,080 Speaker 2: side to actually get this through. There are many Republicans 415 00:18:27,080 --> 00:18:28,960 Speaker 2: who may not even vote to advance the debt ceiling 416 00:18:29,000 --> 00:18:31,240 Speaker 2: deal out of Congress, out of the Senate for a cloture. 417 00:18:31,280 --> 00:18:33,040 Speaker 2: So you have to put that, you know, in the 418 00:18:33,080 --> 00:18:34,879 Speaker 2: Senate and think about where that comes from. But then 419 00:18:34,920 --> 00:18:37,320 Speaker 2: you have the House of Representatives. Then there's a flipping 420 00:18:37,359 --> 00:18:39,960 Speaker 2: where there's also a clean debt ceiling which is on 421 00:18:40,080 --> 00:18:45,520 Speaker 2: the floor for the House of Representatives, and they the Democrats, 422 00:18:45,520 --> 00:18:47,720 Speaker 2: only need five Republicans to sign on for them. 423 00:18:47,800 --> 00:18:49,679 Speaker 3: So I actually think there. 424 00:18:49,560 --> 00:18:51,680 Speaker 2: Could be a likelihood that we get to June one 425 00:18:52,160 --> 00:18:55,440 Speaker 2: and people are like the markets crash, that's the only 426 00:18:55,680 --> 00:18:58,200 Speaker 2: let's be honest, you know, until Wall Street gets mad, 427 00:18:58,560 --> 00:18:59,479 Speaker 2: that's they don't care. 428 00:18:59,520 --> 00:18:59,960 Speaker 3: They don't care. 429 00:19:00,200 --> 00:19:03,520 Speaker 2: So the Marcus crash, the hedge fund managers and everybody, 430 00:19:03,520 --> 00:19:04,480 Speaker 2: and the banks. 431 00:19:04,160 --> 00:19:05,640 Speaker 3: All blow up the phones. 432 00:19:05,880 --> 00:19:09,280 Speaker 2: And it's certainly possible, given to discharge petition and more, 433 00:19:09,359 --> 00:19:11,240 Speaker 2: that they were able to get a clean debt ceiling 434 00:19:11,240 --> 00:19:14,119 Speaker 2: through because five moderate ish Republicans are like you know what, 435 00:19:14,160 --> 00:19:15,520 Speaker 2: I don't want to deal with this. Let's kick it 436 00:19:15,520 --> 00:19:17,119 Speaker 2: down the road for a month or something like that. 437 00:19:17,440 --> 00:19:18,800 Speaker 2: Then it would go to the Senate. But then there's 438 00:19:18,800 --> 00:19:21,440 Speaker 2: no guarantee that the Senate of the Republicans would vote 439 00:19:21,480 --> 00:19:23,600 Speaker 2: for that. So I'm looking at this on both sides, 440 00:19:23,600 --> 00:19:27,160 Speaker 2: and I just see tremendous amounts of uncertainty. Is it possible, 441 00:19:27,240 --> 00:19:29,920 Speaker 2: I don't know, but I don't think that the impetus 442 00:19:29,960 --> 00:19:35,080 Speaker 2: for forcing negotiating power right now is there enough. There 443 00:19:35,160 --> 00:19:37,240 Speaker 2: has to be a crash of some kind for people 444 00:19:37,280 --> 00:19:39,800 Speaker 2: to get serious. I don't say this, but you know, 445 00:19:39,840 --> 00:19:42,200 Speaker 2: I don't want there to be a brass but I 446 00:19:42,320 --> 00:19:45,960 Speaker 2: really don't believe that they will genuinely do anything both 447 00:19:45,960 --> 00:19:48,160 Speaker 2: sides right. There's no way that Elizabeth Warren and John 448 00:19:48,160 --> 00:19:50,240 Speaker 2: Fetterman and all these people are going to vote for 449 00:19:50,280 --> 00:19:53,600 Speaker 2: work requirements unless there's a massive crash. There's also no 450 00:19:53,680 --> 00:19:56,400 Speaker 2: way that a lot of these spending people who are 451 00:19:56,440 --> 00:19:58,560 Speaker 2: like I want to cut the Department of Education. I'm 452 00:19:58,600 --> 00:20:00,600 Speaker 2: not going to vote for anything until that goes through. 453 00:20:00,640 --> 00:20:02,639 Speaker 2: There's no way they're going to vote until unless we 454 00:20:02,680 --> 00:20:04,040 Speaker 2: have a large crash either. 455 00:20:04,119 --> 00:20:06,320 Speaker 1: I mean, there's a few Republicans in the House who 456 00:20:06,320 --> 00:20:08,520 Speaker 1: are like, I'm not voting for a debt ceiling increase. 457 00:20:08,240 --> 00:20:11,160 Speaker 4: At all, right, exactly, So it just just to show you, 458 00:20:11,240 --> 00:20:13,480 Speaker 4: like the polarity of the views here. 459 00:20:13,520 --> 00:20:15,720 Speaker 1: So just to type this part of the conversation before 460 00:20:15,760 --> 00:20:19,680 Speaker 1: we get to all right, what could happen theoretically if 461 00:20:19,680 --> 00:20:22,239 Speaker 1: we do breach the debt ceiling, especially for some kind 462 00:20:22,280 --> 00:20:26,600 Speaker 1: of extended period of time. The basic paths that are 463 00:20:26,680 --> 00:20:29,560 Speaker 1: available right now is they are able to strike some 464 00:20:29,640 --> 00:20:32,640 Speaker 1: kind of a deal that is acceptable to enough Republicans 465 00:20:32,680 --> 00:20:34,960 Speaker 1: and enough Democrats in the House and the Senate in 466 00:20:35,080 --> 00:20:38,560 Speaker 1: order for it to actually get through. That is one 467 00:20:38,800 --> 00:20:41,880 Speaker 1: potential outcome, and I think we've laid out how dicey 468 00:20:42,280 --> 00:20:45,720 Speaker 1: a prospect that is, there's what you were referring to, Sager, 469 00:20:45,800 --> 00:20:49,440 Speaker 1: this idea of a discharge petition, which is there is 470 00:20:49,520 --> 00:20:53,280 Speaker 1: a sort of ourcane legislative procedure that if you have 471 00:20:53,440 --> 00:20:57,000 Speaker 1: a majority of members of the House sign on to it, 472 00:20:57,320 --> 00:21:01,160 Speaker 1: you can bring something onto the floor without from House 473 00:21:01,160 --> 00:21:02,520 Speaker 1: Speaker Kevin McCarthy. 474 00:21:03,080 --> 00:21:04,200 Speaker 4: So that's where you're talking about. 475 00:21:04,200 --> 00:21:06,600 Speaker 1: If you could get five Republicans to join with all 476 00:21:06,680 --> 00:21:09,800 Speaker 1: the Democrats on a clean debt ceiling increase through a 477 00:21:09,840 --> 00:21:13,960 Speaker 1: discharge petition. That is another potential alternative. As you're laying out, 478 00:21:14,040 --> 00:21:16,080 Speaker 1: in some ways, the bigger barrier there is the Senate, 479 00:21:16,119 --> 00:21:18,080 Speaker 1: because you have to get sixty votes in the Senate 480 00:21:18,400 --> 00:21:20,399 Speaker 1: still for that thing to go through. So that's the 481 00:21:20,440 --> 00:21:24,600 Speaker 1: discharge petition, and then you have this raft of workarounds. 482 00:21:24,600 --> 00:21:26,520 Speaker 1: I think the fourteenth Amendment one is the one that 483 00:21:26,520 --> 00:21:30,840 Speaker 1: seems to be considered most most sort of seriously within 484 00:21:31,000 --> 00:21:33,560 Speaker 1: the White House, even though they have expressed to Jefstin 485 00:21:33,680 --> 00:21:36,880 Speaker 1: and others that they're very skeptical of that as well, 486 00:21:36,920 --> 00:21:38,719 Speaker 1: and they're nervous about what it would mean. There are 487 00:21:38,760 --> 00:21:41,280 Speaker 1: other work errounds that are sort of gimmicky, like the mint, 488 00:21:41,320 --> 00:21:43,879 Speaker 1: the coin and other directions they could go there. So 489 00:21:43,920 --> 00:21:46,280 Speaker 1: we'll put that all in the basket of different workarounds. 490 00:21:46,840 --> 00:21:50,720 Speaker 1: And at this point, you know, I can make a 491 00:21:50,800 --> 00:21:53,600 Speaker 1: case against each one of those very clearly, and it's 492 00:21:53,640 --> 00:21:56,160 Speaker 1: hard for me to make an affirmative case for any 493 00:21:56,240 --> 00:21:58,840 Speaker 1: one of them because they all have major risk challenges 494 00:21:58,880 --> 00:22:01,199 Speaker 1: and political you know, uncertainty. 495 00:22:01,359 --> 00:22:03,320 Speaker 4: So that's kind of where we stand with things. 496 00:22:03,359 --> 00:22:04,679 Speaker 2: No, I think you're right. I think we should just 497 00:22:04,680 --> 00:22:06,920 Speaker 2: tell people like, what's going to happen, what's possible? 498 00:22:07,040 --> 00:22:09,600 Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, those are all the scenarios. Okay, So let's 499 00:22:09,640 --> 00:22:12,280 Speaker 1: talk about if they are unable to come to a 500 00:22:12,320 --> 00:22:17,080 Speaker 1: deal and the Biden administration doesn't employ one of these workarounds, 501 00:22:17,119 --> 00:22:20,200 Speaker 1: and we do, in fact breach the debt ceiling, what. 502 00:22:20,280 --> 00:22:21,439 Speaker 4: Is this going to look like? 503 00:22:21,640 --> 00:22:24,399 Speaker 1: And the truth of the matter is nobody really knows, 504 00:22:24,600 --> 00:22:27,679 Speaker 1: because even though we technically breached it before, you know, 505 00:22:27,720 --> 00:22:30,040 Speaker 1: there was a resolution quickly enough that we didn't get 506 00:22:30,080 --> 00:22:32,479 Speaker 1: to some of the most dire scenarios. Although even in 507 00:22:32,480 --> 00:22:35,800 Speaker 1: that scenario those back in twenty eleven, we lost trillions 508 00:22:35,840 --> 00:22:38,879 Speaker 1: of dollars in household wealth just from that brief breach 509 00:22:39,040 --> 00:22:40,840 Speaker 1: of the debt ceiling. So it shows you there could 510 00:22:40,840 --> 00:22:43,520 Speaker 1: be tremendous consequences. Here go and put this up on 511 00:22:43,560 --> 00:22:46,720 Speaker 1: the screen from the Washington Post. The headline here is 512 00:22:46,840 --> 00:22:51,439 Speaker 1: seven doomsday scenarios if the US crashes through the debt ceiling. 513 00:22:51,440 --> 00:22:53,240 Speaker 1: This was written up by Jeff Stein. 514 00:22:54,080 --> 00:22:54,720 Speaker 4: Just at the top. 515 00:22:54,800 --> 00:22:57,600 Speaker 1: You know, they've got quotes from a few economists saying 516 00:22:57,880 --> 00:23:00,400 Speaker 1: Mark Zandi, a chief economist at Moody's, says it would 517 00:23:00,440 --> 00:23:03,199 Speaker 1: be a lethal combination, you can see how this thing 518 00:23:03,280 --> 00:23:07,399 Speaker 1: could really metastasize and take down the entire financial system, 519 00:23:07,400 --> 00:23:10,080 Speaker 1: which would ultimately take out the economy. I've seen many 520 00:23:10,119 --> 00:23:12,560 Speaker 1: other economists say this could be way worse than the 521 00:23:12,560 --> 00:23:15,760 Speaker 1: two thousand and eight financial crash if allowed to fester 522 00:23:15,880 --> 00:23:18,960 Speaker 1: firs sufficient period of time. So going through the seven 523 00:23:19,040 --> 00:23:21,159 Speaker 1: scenarios here, I mean number one, the first thing that 524 00:23:21,160 --> 00:23:24,600 Speaker 1: would probably happen as stocks would crash, and you have 525 00:23:24,960 --> 00:23:28,719 Speaker 1: estimates that stock prices could fall by roughly one fifth, 526 00:23:29,280 --> 00:23:33,199 Speaker 1: that's from Moody's analytics. You would have stocks plummeting on 527 00:23:33,240 --> 00:23:37,200 Speaker 1: the expectation of a wider economic downturn. Interest rates would rise, 528 00:23:37,240 --> 00:23:39,520 Speaker 1: investors would pull funds out of the market to preserve 529 00:23:39,560 --> 00:23:43,879 Speaker 1: their access to short term cash, and that piece, I 530 00:23:43,880 --> 00:23:46,359 Speaker 1: think is pretty clear that you would have a rather 531 00:23:46,400 --> 00:23:49,560 Speaker 1: instantaneous stock crash. And you know, we did see sager 532 00:23:49,600 --> 00:23:53,520 Speaker 1: previously in the when there was the coronavirus crash, which 533 00:23:53,600 --> 00:23:56,520 Speaker 1: was so brief that people like apparently forgot that it 534 00:23:56,600 --> 00:23:58,600 Speaker 1: even happened. And by people, I mean like elites who 535 00:23:58,600 --> 00:24:02,160 Speaker 1: weren't paying that close of attention because it galvanized forces 536 00:24:02,200 --> 00:24:05,159 Speaker 1: in Washington actually act. So it is possible if you 537 00:24:05,200 --> 00:24:07,040 Speaker 1: had stocks fall off a cliff, then maybe people will 538 00:24:07,080 --> 00:24:09,080 Speaker 1: get their act together at that point and get something done. 539 00:24:09,160 --> 00:24:09,360 Speaker 3: Yeah. 540 00:24:09,400 --> 00:24:11,679 Speaker 2: I mean, looking at all of these stocks crashing is 541 00:24:11,720 --> 00:24:15,440 Speaker 2: obviously going to force that couldn't be everything. The sudden recession. 542 00:24:15,720 --> 00:24:18,720 Speaker 2: Federal workers in limbo, I don't think. I'm not saying 543 00:24:18,720 --> 00:24:20,400 Speaker 2: they don't matter, but I am saying I don't think 544 00:24:20,400 --> 00:24:21,800 Speaker 2: a lot of people are going to care. Well. 545 00:24:22,400 --> 00:24:24,120 Speaker 1: I don't want to just write that one off, because 546 00:24:24,160 --> 00:24:27,040 Speaker 1: you are talking about US military personnel, We're talking about 547 00:24:27,040 --> 00:24:30,880 Speaker 1: air traffic controllers, we're talking about food safety inspectors. Federal 548 00:24:30,960 --> 00:24:33,880 Speaker 1: Garment is the largest employer in the whole country. True, 549 00:24:34,000 --> 00:24:37,240 Speaker 1: so that's not enoughing to wave off. And of course 550 00:24:37,640 --> 00:24:40,520 Speaker 1: when you have the largest employer in the whole country basically, 551 00:24:40,640 --> 00:24:44,960 Speaker 1: like you know, not paying their workers, then that obviously 552 00:24:44,960 --> 00:24:47,159 Speaker 1: feeds into much broader economic issues. 553 00:24:47,200 --> 00:24:48,359 Speaker 4: With regard to the instant. 554 00:24:48,080 --> 00:24:50,240 Speaker 2: Recess, the one that really hit me was the Social 555 00:24:50,280 --> 00:24:53,080 Speaker 2: Security so who said that it's possible that we could 556 00:24:53,080 --> 00:24:55,879 Speaker 2: reach a point where sixty million people who get monthly 557 00:24:55,920 --> 00:24:59,200 Speaker 2: Social Security payments would not be getting some of their payments. 558 00:24:59,200 --> 00:25:02,280 Speaker 2: In addition to federal reimbursement for Medicare. I was like, 559 00:25:02,400 --> 00:25:07,200 Speaker 2: that is one which actually would really change things. Now, 560 00:25:07,320 --> 00:25:10,040 Speaker 2: some Republicans have said that the government actually can continue 561 00:25:10,040 --> 00:25:12,720 Speaker 2: to make these payments, but some budget experts are skeptical 562 00:25:12,720 --> 00:25:14,880 Speaker 2: of the Treasury Department will have the ability. The other 563 00:25:14,920 --> 00:25:17,200 Speaker 2: thing is cynically, if the Republicans are like, no, you can, 564 00:25:17,280 --> 00:25:19,199 Speaker 2: and the treasury departments are like, no, we can, it's like, well, 565 00:25:19,200 --> 00:25:21,360 Speaker 2: who has the authority to pay the Treasury Department? Right, 566 00:25:21,400 --> 00:25:22,920 Speaker 2: so they may do it just to try and force 567 00:25:22,960 --> 00:25:25,359 Speaker 2: the hand of somebody. Let's all be honest, like nobody 568 00:25:25,359 --> 00:25:28,480 Speaker 2: really knows how and what to do. Because what happens 569 00:25:28,600 --> 00:25:31,159 Speaker 2: is the Treasury Department will still have incoming revenues. All 570 00:25:31,200 --> 00:25:33,919 Speaker 2: of us will continue to pay taxes business owners. You know, 571 00:25:33,960 --> 00:25:36,080 Speaker 2: we have to pay on a quarterly basis or whatever, 572 00:25:36,160 --> 00:25:39,000 Speaker 2: so we'll pay our quarterly tax estimate. Well, they can 573 00:25:39,200 --> 00:25:42,520 Speaker 2: use that money coming in because it's non congressionally appropriated. 574 00:25:42,560 --> 00:25:45,280 Speaker 2: So then they though have to go and decide what 575 00:25:45,400 --> 00:25:47,600 Speaker 2: to spend it on. But that itself comes to a 576 00:25:47,600 --> 00:25:50,879 Speaker 2: constitutional question of like you shouldn't be making decisions about 577 00:25:50,880 --> 00:25:51,879 Speaker 2: what to spend and whatnot. 578 00:25:51,960 --> 00:25:54,280 Speaker 3: So it's yeah, it is complicated. 579 00:25:53,840 --> 00:25:56,679 Speaker 1: Right, And also you know, think about this choice that 580 00:25:56,720 --> 00:26:00,040 Speaker 1: they would be making. Are you going to pay the 581 00:26:00,080 --> 00:26:05,600 Speaker 1: holders over like the seniors who which is social Security? 582 00:26:05,680 --> 00:26:07,919 Speaker 1: Of course that's what Wall Street wants one hundred percent. 583 00:26:08,840 --> 00:26:11,400 Speaker 1: And you know, to make the other side of this, 584 00:26:11,600 --> 00:26:13,600 Speaker 1: there are Republicans who say, oh, we've gone through we 585 00:26:13,680 --> 00:26:16,520 Speaker 1: prioritize how we'd make the payments, so you know, it 586 00:26:16,560 --> 00:26:19,560 Speaker 1: wouldn't be as dire as what you're laying out. But again, 587 00:26:19,680 --> 00:26:23,720 Speaker 1: this is all completely uncharted territory, and so there's a 588 00:26:23,720 --> 00:26:26,720 Speaker 1: lot of skepticism that, however, it's like billions of payments 589 00:26:27,040 --> 00:26:29,520 Speaker 1: have to go on from the federal government that do 590 00:26:29,520 --> 00:26:31,679 Speaker 1: you really trust the federal government to be able to 591 00:26:31,680 --> 00:26:34,440 Speaker 1: accurately like prioritize those in a way that everybody is 592 00:26:34,480 --> 00:26:37,440 Speaker 1: going to find acceptable. Very likely they would privilege Wall 593 00:26:37,440 --> 00:26:41,960 Speaker 1: Street over like veterans, seniors, et cetera. So so yeah, 594 00:26:42,000 --> 00:26:44,400 Speaker 1: I think that's a really important one, and this could 595 00:26:44,400 --> 00:26:48,600 Speaker 1: be a global catastrophe. Why Because more than half of 596 00:26:48,640 --> 00:26:51,920 Speaker 1: the world's foreign currency reserves are held in US dollars. 597 00:26:52,560 --> 00:26:57,320 Speaker 1: Treasury bonds are used as collateral routinely because they're considered 598 00:26:57,359 --> 00:27:00,200 Speaker 1: to be like the safest possible financial instrument. Sometimes they're 599 00:27:00,200 --> 00:27:06,640 Speaker 1: considered like safer than cash. This backstops as collateral transactions, 600 00:27:06,800 --> 00:27:10,440 Speaker 1: major corporate transactions all around the globe. And that's why, 601 00:27:10,480 --> 00:27:14,200 Speaker 1: again it's so hard to predict. Okay, when that stops 602 00:27:14,240 --> 00:27:17,479 Speaker 1: being so certain and becomes instantly. 603 00:27:17,119 --> 00:27:19,920 Speaker 4: This risky asset, what does that do? 604 00:27:20,520 --> 00:27:22,680 Speaker 1: What does it mean in terms of our status is 605 00:27:22,720 --> 00:27:25,720 Speaker 1: still being the world's reserve currency. You already have countries 606 00:27:25,760 --> 00:27:27,679 Speaker 1: that are trying to move in another direction from that, 607 00:27:28,160 --> 00:27:31,720 Speaker 1: so huge and very frightening question marks about what that 608 00:27:31,800 --> 00:27:33,840 Speaker 1: would all look like. I always remember, you know what 609 00:27:33,920 --> 00:27:36,480 Speaker 1: happened in the UK when you had that mini budget 610 00:27:36,560 --> 00:27:39,359 Speaker 1: disastrously released by Liz Trust and it had all of 611 00:27:39,400 --> 00:27:43,800 Speaker 1: these follow on, catastrophic, instant economic impacts that nobody really 612 00:27:43,840 --> 00:27:47,600 Speaker 1: saw coming. Because the global financial system is so intertwined 613 00:27:47,600 --> 00:27:50,960 Speaker 1: and so complex that even the most intelligent and well 614 00:27:51,080 --> 00:27:54,560 Speaker 1: versed economist can't lay out what all of the follow 615 00:27:54,600 --> 00:27:56,920 Speaker 1: on effects are. So that's what makes this so frightening. 616 00:27:56,920 --> 00:27:59,200 Speaker 1: You of course would have the dollar drop. You would 617 00:27:59,240 --> 00:28:02,239 Speaker 1: have us barrowingst sore, which is the opposite of what 618 00:28:02,280 --> 00:28:04,560 Speaker 1: you want if you're worried about the debt. That means 619 00:28:04,600 --> 00:28:07,280 Speaker 1: the debt becomes even more expensive, and we're even in 620 00:28:07,320 --> 00:28:10,320 Speaker 1: a deeper hole. So that's why this is not something 621 00:28:10,640 --> 00:28:12,679 Speaker 1: to play around with. You know, this is not a 622 00:28:12,720 --> 00:28:15,359 Speaker 1: game and it's not something to be casual about. There 623 00:28:15,359 --> 00:28:18,439 Speaker 1: are potentially very dire and very serious consequences here, and 624 00:28:18,440 --> 00:28:19,200 Speaker 1: they're playing with fire. 625 00:28:19,240 --> 00:28:20,760 Speaker 2: So let's go put the next one on there because 626 00:28:20,760 --> 00:28:23,399 Speaker 2: it's important, actually, which is they say the consequences from 627 00:28:23,400 --> 00:28:26,320 Speaker 2: Bloomberg of the debts healing are already here. And what 628 00:28:26,359 --> 00:28:29,000 Speaker 2: they say is that this is even JP Morgan CEO 629 00:28:29,119 --> 00:28:32,800 Speaker 2: Jamie Diamond, the consequences could be catastrophic. One person that 630 00:28:32,800 --> 00:28:35,120 Speaker 2: they quote, the former chief of staff at the Treasury Department, said, 631 00:28:35,119 --> 00:28:37,480 Speaker 2: people get the joke that's going on in Washington. It's 632 00:28:37,480 --> 00:28:39,800 Speaker 2: the strongest economy in the world, the most powerfulmation. If 633 00:28:39,800 --> 00:28:41,680 Speaker 2: it's not going to pay its debts when due, you've 634 00:28:41,680 --> 00:28:43,480 Speaker 2: got to be kidding. And then what they point to 635 00:28:43,600 --> 00:28:46,800 Speaker 2: is that this could cause global financial panic, as you said, Crystal, 636 00:28:47,000 --> 00:28:49,880 Speaker 2: and that's why when you're messing with something which seems 637 00:28:49,920 --> 00:28:52,720 Speaker 2: so ironclad in the global financial system, you really just 638 00:28:52,760 --> 00:28:55,440 Speaker 2: have no idea what's going to happen. They point to 639 00:28:55,440 --> 00:28:58,480 Speaker 2: the fifty trillion dollars capital markets, debt and equity. Any 640 00:28:58,520 --> 00:29:01,480 Speaker 2: hiccups in repo markets that could take those markets off 641 00:29:01,560 --> 00:29:05,200 Speaker 2: course have hundreds of billions of dollars in implications, even 642 00:29:05,200 --> 00:29:08,280 Speaker 2: a couple of percent, you know, both ways, and the 643 00:29:08,320 --> 00:29:12,440 Speaker 2: overnight lending through the banks and financial markets as primary collateral. 644 00:29:12,600 --> 00:29:14,960 Speaker 2: He says, there could be a huge contraction of credit 645 00:29:15,000 --> 00:29:17,880 Speaker 2: and capital markets liquidity that greases the skids of all 646 00:29:17,920 --> 00:29:20,680 Speaker 2: of those markets, as well as a huge liquidity call. 647 00:29:20,960 --> 00:29:24,120 Speaker 2: What's more, corporations with triple A ratings cannot be rated 648 00:29:24,200 --> 00:29:26,320 Speaker 2: more safe than the country that they are hosted in, 649 00:29:26,680 --> 00:29:30,960 Speaker 2: meaning that corporations themselves could face mandatory downgrades and higher 650 00:29:31,040 --> 00:29:34,000 Speaker 2: borrowing costs. That's what I referenced earlier in our show 651 00:29:34,120 --> 00:29:37,040 Speaker 2: whenever we had a debt a downgrade in the way 652 00:29:37,040 --> 00:29:38,959 Speaker 2: that we were. You know, all of these things have 653 00:29:39,000 --> 00:29:42,960 Speaker 2: automatic kick ins for pensions and for higher borrowing costs. 654 00:29:42,960 --> 00:29:45,360 Speaker 2: And if we have higher borrowing costs across not only 655 00:29:45,360 --> 00:29:48,280 Speaker 2: as a government, but for our individual corporations, that bleeds 656 00:29:48,280 --> 00:29:50,200 Speaker 2: into what they're able to do, what they're able to 657 00:29:50,240 --> 00:29:52,840 Speaker 2: borrow money for. So yeah, it's just a real mess 658 00:29:53,920 --> 00:29:54,479 Speaker 2: all around. 659 00:29:54,680 --> 00:29:57,000 Speaker 1: I think that's the only way you could possibly sum 660 00:29:57,040 --> 00:29:59,440 Speaker 1: it up, and let me just say again, look, I 661 00:29:59,440 --> 00:30:02,560 Speaker 1: think Biden has made a catastrophic error here by a 662 00:30:02,640 --> 00:30:05,760 Speaker 1: goring to negotiate, because I think the consequences of this 663 00:30:05,840 --> 00:30:07,800 Speaker 1: are so dire, and I do want to be clear 664 00:30:07,840 --> 00:30:09,800 Speaker 1: on like the fourteenth Amendment work around or whatever. No 665 00:30:09,800 --> 00:30:11,720 Speaker 1: one is saying that would be painless. It would be 666 00:30:11,840 --> 00:30:14,600 Speaker 1: you know, there would be economic consequences to that as well, 667 00:30:14,960 --> 00:30:17,320 Speaker 1: because tagar are what you're pointing to the uncertainty of 668 00:30:17,360 --> 00:30:19,360 Speaker 1: how this will work out within the legal system. And 669 00:30:19,560 --> 00:30:21,360 Speaker 1: was this you know, debt really going to be honored 670 00:30:21,360 --> 00:30:23,520 Speaker 1: in the way that our other debt. That is all 671 00:30:23,560 --> 00:30:27,760 Speaker 1: really true, But we cannot keep having these hostage situations 672 00:30:27,840 --> 00:30:30,040 Speaker 1: year after year after year. We have got to find 673 00:30:30,040 --> 00:30:33,120 Speaker 1: a way to take this thing off the table because 674 00:30:33,360 --> 00:30:36,680 Speaker 1: this is a potential catastrophic disaster for people in this 675 00:30:36,760 --> 00:30:39,400 Speaker 1: country and people around the world in the making, and 676 00:30:39,600 --> 00:30:42,200 Speaker 1: we need to not repeat the errors of the past, 677 00:30:42,280 --> 00:30:44,640 Speaker 1: is what I would say. So we will see how 678 00:30:44,680 --> 00:30:49,960 Speaker 1: this all works out. If it does work out, okay. 679 00:30:49,800 --> 00:30:52,240 Speaker 2: Let's go to the next one here, This one all 680 00:30:52,360 --> 00:30:55,920 Speaker 2: Gnome Chomski and just the Jeffrey Epstein story. It never 681 00:30:55,960 --> 00:30:58,520 Speaker 2: really does die, does it? So let's go ahead and 682 00:30:58,560 --> 00:31:00,520 Speaker 2: put this one up on the screen. 683 00:31:00,720 --> 00:31:01,320 Speaker 3: This is. 684 00:31:02,800 --> 00:31:04,880 Speaker 2: It's you know, it's hard to say for somebody who 685 00:31:05,000 --> 00:31:08,640 Speaker 2: is certainly respected the book that we have literally on 686 00:31:08,720 --> 00:31:12,440 Speaker 2: the shelf, which I've always thought was very important, foundational 687 00:31:12,480 --> 00:31:16,560 Speaker 2: to understanding manufacturing consent and media incentives and all that 688 00:31:16,640 --> 00:31:19,960 Speaker 2: by the intellectual Nom Chomsky linguist somebody, you know, I 689 00:31:20,000 --> 00:31:23,880 Speaker 2: still do respect, I guess somewhat intellectual leads respected scholarship. 690 00:31:23,960 --> 00:31:27,040 Speaker 2: I can respect a scholarship that said. We now have 691 00:31:27,360 --> 00:31:30,360 Speaker 2: proof from the Wall Street Journal that Jeffrey Epstein moved 692 00:31:30,440 --> 00:31:33,960 Speaker 2: two hundred and seventy thousand dollars for Nom Chomsky and 693 00:31:34,000 --> 00:31:36,280 Speaker 2: paid an addition one hundred and fifty thousand dollars to 694 00:31:36,360 --> 00:31:39,520 Speaker 2: an academic named Leon Botstein. So what the journal says 695 00:31:39,640 --> 00:31:42,640 Speaker 2: is that this transfer between accounts for Noam Chomsky the 696 00:31:42,680 --> 00:31:46,000 Speaker 2: two academics have all been confirmed, both by Chomsky as 697 00:31:46,040 --> 00:31:49,160 Speaker 2: well as financial wreckers that the Wall Street Journal has 698 00:31:49,200 --> 00:31:51,920 Speaker 2: been able to get their hands on, says that Chomsky 699 00:31:51,960 --> 00:31:53,840 Speaker 2: met with Epstein, not just the one time that we 700 00:31:53,920 --> 00:31:58,760 Speaker 2: had previously said, but actually on multiple occasions. Now Chomsky 701 00:31:58,800 --> 00:32:01,720 Speaker 2: says that they quote met occasionally to discuss political and 702 00:32:01,800 --> 00:32:06,400 Speaker 2: academic topics, and in response to those questions, Actually what 703 00:32:06,440 --> 00:32:10,360 Speaker 2: they say is that previously one of the payoffs Fisiness 704 00:32:10,440 --> 00:32:14,560 Speaker 2: to Botstein was one hundred and fifty grand because Epstein 705 00:32:14,600 --> 00:32:16,920 Speaker 2: had donated a sum to bar that year as more 706 00:32:16,960 --> 00:32:19,920 Speaker 2: than a one million dollar donation. A spokesperson then said 707 00:32:19,920 --> 00:32:23,120 Speaker 2: that they did receive this like weird pass through donation 708 00:32:23,600 --> 00:32:27,360 Speaker 2: through Leon Botstein. Not exactly sure what's going on there, 709 00:32:27,920 --> 00:32:31,600 Speaker 2: you know, with Chomsky, he doesn't really have a particularly 710 00:32:31,720 --> 00:32:36,320 Speaker 2: good explanation. He says he received a March twenty eighteen 711 00:32:36,360 --> 00:32:38,760 Speaker 2: transfer of two hundred and seventy thousand dollars from an 712 00:32:38,760 --> 00:32:42,160 Speaker 2: Epstein account. He says, quote, it was restricted to a 713 00:32:42,200 --> 00:32:45,840 Speaker 2: rearrangement of my own funds and did not involve one 714 00:32:45,920 --> 00:32:48,880 Speaker 2: penny from Epstein. He explained he had asked him for 715 00:32:48,960 --> 00:32:52,760 Speaker 2: help quote with a technical matter that involved the disbursement 716 00:32:52,800 --> 00:32:56,520 Speaker 2: of common funds related to his first marriage. He says, 717 00:32:56,600 --> 00:32:59,560 Speaker 2: my wife died fifteen years ago. We paid no attention 718 00:32:59,600 --> 00:33:02,120 Speaker 2: to financial issues. We asked Epstein for advice. The simplest 719 00:33:02,120 --> 00:33:04,040 Speaker 2: way would be a transfer funds from one account in 720 00:33:04,120 --> 00:33:06,680 Speaker 2: my name to another by way of his office. Chomsky 721 00:33:06,680 --> 00:33:08,920 Speaker 2: said he did not hire Epstein. It was just quick 722 00:33:08,960 --> 00:33:10,680 Speaker 2: and a simple transfer of funds. 723 00:33:11,120 --> 00:33:14,200 Speaker 3: Look, I mean maybe, uh. 724 00:33:14,440 --> 00:33:17,920 Speaker 2: You know, his initial response to the question Crystal was 725 00:33:18,560 --> 00:33:20,880 Speaker 2: remember whenever they would deal that he'd met. First response 726 00:33:20,960 --> 00:33:22,880 Speaker 2: is none of your business or anyone. Second is I 727 00:33:22,960 --> 00:33:26,320 Speaker 2: knew him and we met occasionally. So is it possible 728 00:33:26,480 --> 00:33:28,000 Speaker 2: that it's an innocent explanation? 729 00:33:28,200 --> 00:33:28,600 Speaker 3: Maybe? 730 00:33:28,640 --> 00:33:32,080 Speaker 2: But I mean, ever, it boggles the mind to think 731 00:33:32,360 --> 00:33:36,000 Speaker 2: of a true scenario where you need a quarter of 732 00:33:36,040 --> 00:33:39,360 Speaker 2: a million dollar bridge loan from Jeffrey Epstein, Like there, 733 00:33:39,480 --> 00:33:42,520 Speaker 2: we have a legitimate financial system, and we have ways 734 00:33:42,600 --> 00:33:46,040 Speaker 2: to rectify those problems. Why would it make sense for 735 00:33:46,080 --> 00:33:49,040 Speaker 2: you to transfer money from one account to another guy's account, 736 00:33:49,080 --> 00:33:51,280 Speaker 2: who then transfers money to you. If you do need 737 00:33:51,320 --> 00:33:53,720 Speaker 2: to transfer money to yourself, why don't you just wire 738 00:33:53,760 --> 00:33:56,959 Speaker 2: money to yourself or you know what I mean? Like there, 739 00:33:57,000 --> 00:34:00,120 Speaker 2: I'm just like, it's like, there are many ways to 740 00:34:00,120 --> 00:34:03,200 Speaker 2: give money to yourself, very few of them involve me 741 00:34:03,720 --> 00:34:06,280 Speaker 2: sending it to you to send it to me. And 742 00:34:06,520 --> 00:34:08,880 Speaker 2: you know, if we're have a closer relationship, hopefully than 743 00:34:09,160 --> 00:34:12,279 Speaker 2: Jeffrey Epstein and Nomchovsky. So anyway, I think it's a 744 00:34:12,320 --> 00:34:13,640 Speaker 2: little bit odd it just. 745 00:34:14,480 --> 00:34:17,560 Speaker 1: It lines up with so many of these things that 746 00:34:17,600 --> 00:34:21,720 Speaker 1: come out where it's you know, Epstein is doing financial 747 00:34:21,719 --> 00:34:24,760 Speaker 1: transactions for people that you're like, why was this person 748 00:34:24,840 --> 00:34:25,680 Speaker 1: in the middle of this? 749 00:34:25,920 --> 00:34:27,040 Speaker 4: Why were they involved? 750 00:34:27,440 --> 00:34:30,120 Speaker 1: He clearly made himself in the business of like solving 751 00:34:30,160 --> 00:34:33,600 Speaker 1: whatever little issue, whatever little problem that people with power 752 00:34:33,719 --> 00:34:38,879 Speaker 1: or money had, and so somehow I don't understand how 753 00:34:39,000 --> 00:34:42,160 Speaker 1: or why it makes sense to put himself in the 754 00:34:42,200 --> 00:34:45,440 Speaker 1: middle of this just transfer of funds between accounts. I mean, 755 00:34:45,480 --> 00:34:49,520 Speaker 1: we do lots of fun transfers here at breaking points. Yes, 756 00:34:49,760 --> 00:34:52,240 Speaker 1: number once have we been like, let's get this weird 757 00:34:52,239 --> 00:34:55,319 Speaker 1: pedophile to help us with the transaction, Like let's send 758 00:34:55,320 --> 00:34:56,320 Speaker 1: it to him and then send. 759 00:34:56,200 --> 00:34:57,520 Speaker 3: It back to us, just take it out. 760 00:34:57,520 --> 00:34:59,520 Speaker 2: I don't know, we send it to the person we 761 00:34:59,560 --> 00:35:00,600 Speaker 2: own money to right. 762 00:35:00,600 --> 00:35:03,160 Speaker 1: There, you put on a wire like it's not really 763 00:35:03,160 --> 00:35:05,600 Speaker 1: that already you can do it online these days. So 764 00:35:06,160 --> 00:35:09,360 Speaker 1: that yes, And at the same time, there's some additional 765 00:35:09,400 --> 00:35:12,800 Speaker 1: news about some of the banks and their relationships with Epstein. 766 00:35:12,880 --> 00:35:15,840 Speaker 1: So he was originally a JP Morgan Chase customer for 767 00:35:15,880 --> 00:35:17,719 Speaker 1: many years, and they're in trouble over that, and they're 768 00:35:17,760 --> 00:35:21,719 Speaker 1: facing discovery over their relationship. Jamie Diamond's been subpoena and 769 00:35:21,760 --> 00:35:22,680 Speaker 1: all these sorts of things. 770 00:35:22,680 --> 00:35:23,600 Speaker 4: So that happened. 771 00:35:23,600 --> 00:35:25,520 Speaker 1: Then after JP Morgan, Chase was like, all right, I 772 00:35:25,520 --> 00:35:27,000 Speaker 1: think we'd better be done with this dude. 773 00:35:27,239 --> 00:35:29,320 Speaker 4: Then Deutsche Bank picks up where. 774 00:35:29,200 --> 00:35:32,680 Speaker 1: They left off, and they had this relationship with Epstein 775 00:35:32,760 --> 00:35:36,680 Speaker 1: for years after he was already convicted. So there's really 776 00:35:36,680 --> 00:35:38,359 Speaker 1: no excuse, and they've been in a lot of hot 777 00:35:38,400 --> 00:35:44,120 Speaker 1: water for ignoring what were like really obviously suspicious transactions 778 00:35:44,120 --> 00:35:46,080 Speaker 1: that were going on. So put this next piece up 779 00:35:46,080 --> 00:35:49,160 Speaker 1: on the screen. We now have Deutsche Bank paying seventy 780 00:35:49,200 --> 00:35:52,120 Speaker 1: five million dollars to victims of Jeffrey Epstein. This is 781 00:35:52,120 --> 00:35:54,719 Speaker 1: a proposed court settlement closes, they say, another chapter in 782 00:35:54,719 --> 00:35:58,240 Speaker 1: the German bank's relationship with the disgraced financier, which began 783 00:35:58,320 --> 00:36:00,799 Speaker 1: in twenty thirteen and continued up until. 784 00:36:00,840 --> 00:36:04,839 Speaker 4: Late twenty eighteen. So this was to. 785 00:36:04,840 --> 00:36:09,680 Speaker 1: Settle a potential class action lawsuit charging that this financial 786 00:36:09,680 --> 00:36:13,640 Speaker 1: institution facilitated his sex trafficking ring. According to lawyers who 787 00:36:13,680 --> 00:36:17,160 Speaker 1: sued the bank on behalf of alleged victims, you had 788 00:36:17,160 --> 00:36:20,319 Speaker 1: a woman who was listed anonymously as Jane Doe in 789 00:36:20,400 --> 00:36:23,200 Speaker 1: court papers who filed this suit last year in New York, 790 00:36:23,440 --> 00:36:26,239 Speaker 1: and this was on behalf of herself and other accusers 791 00:36:26,320 --> 00:36:29,960 Speaker 1: of Epstein. So you know, they want to make this 792 00:36:30,040 --> 00:36:32,880 Speaker 1: go away. And I would say for a gigantic financial 793 00:36:32,960 --> 00:36:36,360 Speaker 1: global financial institution like Deutsche Bank, seventy five million dollars 794 00:36:36,400 --> 00:36:37,760 Speaker 1: to them, it's nothing. 795 00:36:38,080 --> 00:36:41,560 Speaker 2: Yes, you're right, And Deutsche Bank has long had problems 796 00:36:41,640 --> 00:36:44,319 Speaker 2: and links to Jeffrey Epstein. They were one of the 797 00:36:44,320 --> 00:36:47,840 Speaker 2: originals that were cited by the New York Financial Department 798 00:36:48,040 --> 00:36:51,600 Speaker 2: for some of the activities that they had taken on 799 00:36:51,680 --> 00:36:55,640 Speaker 2: behalf of them. And what was revealed actually in the 800 00:36:55,680 --> 00:36:58,399 Speaker 2: Deutsche Bank complaint and the complaint by them by from 801 00:36:58,400 --> 00:37:01,799 Speaker 2: the New York Financial Services Department is basically that they 802 00:37:01,880 --> 00:37:05,120 Speaker 2: knew that he was involved in sketchy transactions, They knew 803 00:37:05,120 --> 00:37:07,239 Speaker 2: he was a sex offender. They never kicked him off 804 00:37:07,239 --> 00:37:09,680 Speaker 2: of their client list. Despite the fact that they knew 805 00:37:09,719 --> 00:37:11,840 Speaker 2: all of what was going on, they continued to pursue 806 00:37:11,880 --> 00:37:15,640 Speaker 2: him for business transactions. And really some of the most 807 00:37:15,640 --> 00:37:19,319 Speaker 2: troubling was that they were facilitating transactions which would be 808 00:37:19,360 --> 00:37:22,800 Speaker 2: illegal in any or not or which would be flagged 809 00:37:22,800 --> 00:37:26,160 Speaker 2: to federal authorities by any other client So, for example, Christal, 810 00:37:26,200 --> 00:37:27,759 Speaker 2: if you or I were to go to our bank 811 00:37:27,920 --> 00:37:30,640 Speaker 2: and we were to ask this question, how much money 812 00:37:30,880 --> 00:37:33,040 Speaker 2: can we withdraw without alerting the feds? 813 00:37:33,440 --> 00:37:35,720 Speaker 3: They're supposed to alert the feds. 814 00:37:36,200 --> 00:37:38,520 Speaker 2: He asked that question, and then after they told him 815 00:37:38,520 --> 00:37:41,120 Speaker 2: the answer, he would take out basically up until one 816 00:37:41,200 --> 00:37:44,000 Speaker 2: dollar in cash. For all of that, his assistants would 817 00:37:44,000 --> 00:37:47,040 Speaker 2: say that it was for tips. They also were wiring 818 00:37:47,080 --> 00:37:50,200 Speaker 2: all kinds of crazy amounts of money to Eastern Europe 819 00:37:50,280 --> 00:37:55,920 Speaker 2: for potential sex trafficking, you know, potential like sex trafficking purposes. 820 00:37:56,400 --> 00:38:01,520 Speaker 2: There was some financial behavior where's no normal person would ever, ever, ever, 821 00:38:01,719 --> 00:38:04,600 Speaker 2: ever get away with, and that they knew was sketchy 822 00:38:04,680 --> 00:38:07,040 Speaker 2: because they were flagging it internally and continue to do 823 00:38:07,080 --> 00:38:07,680 Speaker 2: business with them. 824 00:38:07,760 --> 00:38:10,680 Speaker 1: Yeah, that's that's exactly right. And so you know, they 825 00:38:10,719 --> 00:38:13,040 Speaker 1: didn't want any sort of discovery with regard to this. 826 00:38:13,239 --> 00:38:15,680 Speaker 1: They didn't want any of their dirty laundry to be 827 00:38:15,719 --> 00:38:18,080 Speaker 1: aired publicly. And so, like I said, I think seventy 828 00:38:18,080 --> 00:38:20,879 Speaker 1: five million dollars is them getting off really easy here. 829 00:38:21,000 --> 00:38:23,760 Speaker 2: Oh it's easy as hell, because I mean, somebody who 830 00:38:23,800 --> 00:38:25,520 Speaker 2: even knows they might have made more than that just 831 00:38:25,560 --> 00:38:27,440 Speaker 2: in the fees that they had from banking with him. 832 00:38:27,480 --> 00:38:30,279 Speaker 2: I mean they certainly paid a fine there, but even reputationally, 833 00:38:30,320 --> 00:38:32,759 Speaker 2: as you said, like to expose the level of safeguards 834 00:38:32,760 --> 00:38:34,640 Speaker 2: that they didn't have in place while this was happening, 835 00:38:34,640 --> 00:38:36,520 Speaker 2: which these banks all supposedly do have. 836 00:38:36,960 --> 00:38:38,200 Speaker 3: Again, you know, for you and. 837 00:38:38,120 --> 00:38:41,960 Speaker 2: Me, for somebody who has let's say somebody fell on 838 00:38:42,040 --> 00:38:44,560 Speaker 2: hard times and declared bankruptcy or something, it's like, well, 839 00:38:44,600 --> 00:38:46,680 Speaker 2: then the bank has all these regulations about how they 840 00:38:46,680 --> 00:38:49,640 Speaker 2: can and can't do posinis. But if you are literally 841 00:38:49,640 --> 00:38:52,600 Speaker 2: convicted sex offender and you have a proven track record 842 00:38:52,600 --> 00:38:56,279 Speaker 2: of moving money around for trafficking purposes, apparently that's all 843 00:38:56,320 --> 00:38:58,600 Speaker 2: good as long as you bring in enough money. 844 00:38:58,719 --> 00:39:00,799 Speaker 3: I mean, that's all take to be a client for 845 00:39:00,840 --> 00:39:01,440 Speaker 3: one of these people. 846 00:39:01,520 --> 00:39:04,040 Speaker 1: It's so dirty, It really is so dirty. I mean 847 00:39:04,080 --> 00:39:06,920 Speaker 1: this is this unrelated to Epstein, but Wells Fargo, which 848 00:39:06,920 --> 00:39:09,799 Speaker 1: has been yeah, really bad actor. And they claim they 849 00:39:09,800 --> 00:39:11,600 Speaker 1: had that whole fake account scandal. I don't know if 850 00:39:11,640 --> 00:39:13,719 Speaker 1: you guys remember that, but it was just they were 851 00:39:13,760 --> 00:39:16,360 Speaker 1: opening up accounts and people's names that they never asked for. 852 00:39:16,520 --> 00:39:19,000 Speaker 1: They were creating fake accounts just routinely as part of 853 00:39:19,040 --> 00:39:22,839 Speaker 1: their culture and they just had an issue where their 854 00:39:22,880 --> 00:39:26,399 Speaker 1: shareholders are accusing them of lying about that they had 855 00:39:26,440 --> 00:39:29,239 Speaker 1: things under control and that they had cleaned up their 856 00:39:29,280 --> 00:39:32,239 Speaker 1: act et cetera, et cetera. So yeah, these are so 857 00:39:32,360 --> 00:39:34,640 Speaker 1: many of these institutions, if not all of them, are 858 00:39:34,680 --> 00:39:36,320 Speaker 1: just so incredibly dirty. 859 00:39:36,480 --> 00:39:37,520 Speaker 3: Yeah, dirty as hell. 860 00:39:38,400 --> 00:39:40,680 Speaker 1: All right, As we said, we had some big and 861 00:39:40,800 --> 00:39:43,680 Speaker 1: very disturbing news about the housing market. How Americans are 862 00:39:43,680 --> 00:39:45,719 Speaker 1: feeling about the housing market right now, let's put this 863 00:39:45,800 --> 00:39:49,320 Speaker 1: up on the screen from Gallop. You now have views 864 00:39:49,400 --> 00:39:53,680 Speaker 1: of the US housing market reaching new depths, a new 865 00:39:53,920 --> 00:39:56,080 Speaker 1: low in the US say it is a good time 866 00:39:56,120 --> 00:39:57,960 Speaker 1: to buy a house. Leaves us up on the screen 867 00:39:58,000 --> 00:39:59,920 Speaker 1: for a little bit, just so people can take in 868 00:40:00,080 --> 00:40:02,400 Speaker 1: the trend here. You know, back in nineteen eighty you 869 00:40:02,480 --> 00:40:04,959 Speaker 1: had about fifty percent of people who said a little 870 00:40:04,960 --> 00:40:07,440 Speaker 1: bit more than fifty percent, a majority saying Okay, it's 871 00:40:07,440 --> 00:40:09,719 Speaker 1: a good time to buy a house. That continues to 872 00:40:09,800 --> 00:40:11,920 Speaker 1: go up until right about the time that you have 873 00:40:12,040 --> 00:40:15,640 Speaker 1: the financial crash, it dips down to about fifty percent. 874 00:40:15,880 --> 00:40:18,600 Speaker 1: Then after the financial crash around twenty ten, things pick 875 00:40:18,680 --> 00:40:22,520 Speaker 1: back up, and now you've been on a basically consistent 876 00:40:22,719 --> 00:40:26,240 Speaker 1: decline over the past decade, reaching. 877 00:40:25,960 --> 00:40:26,720 Speaker 4: A new loan. 878 00:40:26,800 --> 00:40:30,000 Speaker 1: Now where only twenty one percent of Americans feel like 879 00:40:30,120 --> 00:40:32,520 Speaker 1: it's a decent time to go out and buy a house, 880 00:40:32,560 --> 00:40:35,400 Speaker 1: seventy eight percent say it is a bad time to 881 00:40:35,520 --> 00:40:38,040 Speaker 1: buy a house now. It will be no surprise the 882 00:40:38,120 --> 00:40:41,080 Speaker 1: viewers of this program. Why that is you have the 883 00:40:41,080 --> 00:40:44,160 Speaker 1: Federal Reserve hiking interest rates that has had a dramatic 884 00:40:44,239 --> 00:40:47,920 Speaker 1: impact on mortgage interest rates that is made already unaffordable 885 00:40:47,960 --> 00:40:53,440 Speaker 1: housing even more wildly unaffordable. Now as home prices have 886 00:40:53,719 --> 00:40:56,120 Speaker 1: just started to fall around the country. You've got a 887 00:40:56,160 --> 00:40:59,279 Speaker 1: median of four hundred and thirty six thousand dollars is 888 00:40:59,320 --> 00:41:02,520 Speaker 1: the median home price in twenty twenty three, and you 889 00:41:02,600 --> 00:41:05,200 Speaker 1: do have fewer Americans expecting home values in their area 890 00:41:05,320 --> 00:41:07,000 Speaker 1: to rise in the coming year. So it's not that 891 00:41:07,120 --> 00:41:11,680 Speaker 1: prices are like continuing to skyrocket, but because of mortgage rates, 892 00:41:11,960 --> 00:41:14,680 Speaker 1: it's so wildly unaffordable. 893 00:41:14,719 --> 00:41:16,000 Speaker 4: And of course, housing prices have. 894 00:41:16,040 --> 00:41:17,959 Speaker 1: Been going up and up and up and up even 895 00:41:18,000 --> 00:41:22,720 Speaker 1: before we started this whole conversation about inflation. Inflation within housing, healthcare, 896 00:41:22,760 --> 00:41:24,200 Speaker 1: and education has been out. 897 00:41:24,120 --> 00:41:25,600 Speaker 4: Of control four years. 898 00:41:26,040 --> 00:41:30,960 Speaker 1: So this basic building block of middle class stability has 899 00:41:31,040 --> 00:41:34,839 Speaker 1: become out of reach for most people who are you know, 900 00:41:34,920 --> 00:41:38,400 Speaker 1: even college educated professionals who are earning decent salaries, if 901 00:41:38,400 --> 00:41:40,719 Speaker 1: they live in a major metro area, they're screwed. If 902 00:41:40,760 --> 00:41:43,360 Speaker 1: they don't have a cash handout for mommy and daddy 903 00:41:43,400 --> 00:41:46,320 Speaker 1: to put down you know, major cash upfront, they're screwed. 904 00:41:46,360 --> 00:41:49,680 Speaker 1: And they've only become more screwed from the mortgage interest rates. 905 00:41:49,800 --> 00:41:50,320 Speaker 3: Yeah, exactly. 906 00:41:50,320 --> 00:41:52,520 Speaker 2: I mean, I think that the mortgage interest is the 907 00:41:52,560 --> 00:41:57,040 Speaker 2: biggest problem in terms of affordability, because you know what 908 00:41:57,080 --> 00:41:59,440 Speaker 2: people do is they're saving up, they look at their 909 00:41:59,440 --> 00:42:02,200 Speaker 2: down payment, they think, okay, great, I can make this happen, 910 00:42:02,239 --> 00:42:03,560 Speaker 2: and then they go and they play with one of 911 00:42:03,600 --> 00:42:06,359 Speaker 2: those tools and they're like, wait, so two years ago, 912 00:42:06,560 --> 00:42:08,839 Speaker 2: definitely I could have made that happen, but now I 913 00:42:08,880 --> 00:42:11,920 Speaker 2: can't because the interest payments are sky high. And then 914 00:42:11,960 --> 00:42:13,719 Speaker 2: even if you can afford the interest, here like do 915 00:42:13,800 --> 00:42:16,360 Speaker 2: I really want to be paying more than half my 916 00:42:16,440 --> 00:42:18,640 Speaker 2: paying or do I really want to be paying so 917 00:42:18,800 --> 00:42:23,160 Speaker 2: many thousands of dollars per year to the bank. And sure, 918 00:42:23,200 --> 00:42:25,640 Speaker 2: you know it's tax deductible and all of that, but 919 00:42:25,760 --> 00:42:28,680 Speaker 2: you know, why would you spend you know, why throw 920 00:42:28,719 --> 00:42:30,759 Speaker 2: away a dollar so that you can save twenty five 921 00:42:31,080 --> 00:42:34,600 Speaker 2: cents or whatever whenever it comes to your taxes. And 922 00:42:34,640 --> 00:42:37,520 Speaker 2: that's always one of the like stupidest ways that people 923 00:42:37,520 --> 00:42:40,160 Speaker 2: can think about it. The other one, as appointed to here, 924 00:42:40,360 --> 00:42:43,200 Speaker 2: is that when you have a decrease in the housing market, 925 00:42:43,480 --> 00:42:46,640 Speaker 2: and in views of the housing market, yeah, it restricts 926 00:42:46,840 --> 00:42:51,040 Speaker 2: the further supply of housing because home builders and new 927 00:42:51,080 --> 00:42:51,440 Speaker 2: homes of. 928 00:42:51,440 --> 00:42:54,120 Speaker 3: Which we are desperately in need of. We really do 929 00:42:54,239 --> 00:42:55,760 Speaker 3: need a lot of new housing. 930 00:42:55,880 --> 00:42:58,719 Speaker 2: And that is a whole other conversation about how you 931 00:42:58,760 --> 00:43:01,600 Speaker 2: balance neighborhood hoods and all that other stuff, which I'm 932 00:43:01,640 --> 00:43:04,560 Speaker 2: sympathetic to, you know, to some respect. But the question 933 00:43:04,719 --> 00:43:06,520 Speaker 2: is like, at the very least the ones that are 934 00:43:06,560 --> 00:43:09,640 Speaker 2: getting built need to continue. Many home builders are simply 935 00:43:09,680 --> 00:43:12,160 Speaker 2: dropping their projects or putting them on pause because they 936 00:43:12,200 --> 00:43:15,799 Speaker 2: a cannot afford the building materials and b they do 937 00:43:15,840 --> 00:43:18,200 Speaker 2: not feel that they will be able to sell at 938 00:43:18,239 --> 00:43:20,759 Speaker 2: their current rate. Or and we have this right here, 939 00:43:20,960 --> 00:43:22,840 Speaker 2: let's put this up there on the screen. The housing 940 00:43:22,840 --> 00:43:25,600 Speaker 2: market is now so unaffordable. Builders say, quote, they have 941 00:43:25,680 --> 00:43:28,399 Speaker 2: no choice but to build smaller homes. Now, again, that's 942 00:43:28,400 --> 00:43:31,160 Speaker 2: not necessarily a bad thing, because in some cases, we 943 00:43:31,280 --> 00:43:34,960 Speaker 2: kind of do need more starter home invatory because some people, 944 00:43:35,040 --> 00:43:37,000 Speaker 2: you know, not everybody has to buy a four thousand 945 00:43:37,000 --> 00:43:38,960 Speaker 2: square foot house. I'm not really sure where this came from, 946 00:43:39,040 --> 00:43:42,319 Speaker 2: but let's put that aside. The idea, though, is that 947 00:43:42,480 --> 00:43:45,040 Speaker 2: by building smaller, one of the things that they're finding 948 00:43:45,120 --> 00:43:46,839 Speaker 2: is that it's going to just deeply cut into their 949 00:43:46,840 --> 00:43:50,400 Speaker 2: profit margin, which would only mean that they will continue 950 00:43:50,440 --> 00:43:52,799 Speaker 2: to build less and less, or they may just not 951 00:43:53,040 --> 00:43:55,920 Speaker 2: they may abandoned the project altogether. So there's just like 952 00:43:56,160 --> 00:43:58,799 Speaker 2: all within the chain of custody. I guess of all 953 00:43:58,880 --> 00:44:01,279 Speaker 2: this is it's just a really bad outlook. We'll have 954 00:44:01,360 --> 00:44:04,600 Speaker 2: less housing and then we'll only have even more expensive payments. 955 00:44:04,680 --> 00:44:06,960 Speaker 1: Yeah. Yeah. And one of the problems too is people 956 00:44:06,960 --> 00:44:09,680 Speaker 1: who already own a home who might have been interested 957 00:44:09,719 --> 00:44:12,000 Speaker 1: in moving, which would open up their house to be 958 00:44:12,320 --> 00:44:14,279 Speaker 1: sold and you know, some new buyer to be able 959 00:44:14,360 --> 00:44:16,839 Speaker 1: to come in. They don't want to move because they 960 00:44:16,840 --> 00:44:19,400 Speaker 1: have really low mortgage interest rate. They don't want to 961 00:44:19,400 --> 00:44:21,239 Speaker 1: have to take out a new mortgage that's going to 962 00:44:21,280 --> 00:44:23,280 Speaker 1: have a much higher interest rate. It makes no sense 963 00:44:23,640 --> 00:44:25,680 Speaker 1: because they're not going to be able to afford even 964 00:44:25,719 --> 00:44:28,279 Speaker 1: the house that they already have given the way that 965 00:44:28,360 --> 00:44:30,719 Speaker 1: mortgage interest rates have gone up. Now they have come 966 00:44:30,760 --> 00:44:32,760 Speaker 1: down a little bit from their peak, but is still 967 00:44:32,960 --> 00:44:36,879 Speaker 1: significantly higher than where it was before. And as you're 968 00:44:36,920 --> 00:44:39,239 Speaker 1: referring to soccer, in terms of the builders, it's kind 969 00:44:39,239 --> 00:44:42,319 Speaker 1: of a worst of all worlds for them because on 970 00:44:42,360 --> 00:44:45,560 Speaker 1: the one hand, inflation has made materials very expensive for 971 00:44:45,680 --> 00:44:49,080 Speaker 1: them in terms of building. On the other hand, even 972 00:44:49,120 --> 00:44:51,040 Speaker 1: though the Fed has been hiking rates, you know, it 973 00:44:51,120 --> 00:44:54,239 Speaker 1: hasn't combated that inflation in terms of their materials and 974 00:44:54,280 --> 00:44:57,760 Speaker 1: their expenses, but it has jacked up also their borrowing costs. 975 00:44:57,760 --> 00:44:59,320 Speaker 4: So that's an issue for them as well. 976 00:44:59,520 --> 00:45:01,440 Speaker 1: One of the things things that frankly, we weren't about 977 00:45:01,520 --> 00:45:05,120 Speaker 1: very early in the Federal Reserve program of hiking interest 978 00:45:05,160 --> 00:45:08,560 Speaker 1: rates because it has constrained supply of housing and it 979 00:45:08,560 --> 00:45:12,080 Speaker 1: has made the housing situation even that much more difficult. 980 00:45:12,400 --> 00:45:15,640 Speaker 1: So you have low housing stock, you don't have enough homes, 981 00:45:15,680 --> 00:45:18,640 Speaker 1: you certainly don't have enough affordable homes. You have decades 982 00:45:18,680 --> 00:45:21,040 Speaker 1: of prices going up and up and up, making housing 983 00:45:21,120 --> 00:45:23,640 Speaker 1: unaffordable to start with. Then you layer on top of 984 00:45:23,680 --> 00:45:27,520 Speaker 1: that the mortgage interest that is just absolutely killing people, 985 00:45:27,560 --> 00:45:29,719 Speaker 1: and that's how you come to this place where so 986 00:45:29,920 --> 00:45:33,000 Speaker 1: few Americans feel that it is a decent time to 987 00:45:33,080 --> 00:45:36,440 Speaker 1: buy a house, record low feeling like it's a decent 988 00:45:36,480 --> 00:45:38,759 Speaker 1: time to buy a house. And you know, we talk 989 00:45:38,800 --> 00:45:41,720 Speaker 1: a lot about the housing market here, and the reason 990 00:45:41,760 --> 00:45:45,160 Speaker 1: we do is because it is so central to building 991 00:45:45,320 --> 00:45:48,120 Speaker 1: basic wealth and prosperity. I mean, that is the real 992 00:45:48,200 --> 00:45:52,000 Speaker 1: divide increasingly in America is between asset owners and particular 993 00:45:52,080 --> 00:45:55,400 Speaker 1: homeowners and people who do not own assets and do 994 00:45:55,480 --> 00:45:58,279 Speaker 1: not own wealth. And as Sober you cover in your 995 00:45:58,280 --> 00:46:00,400 Speaker 1: monologue the other day, those problems are only going to 996 00:46:00,440 --> 00:46:04,560 Speaker 1: get worse as boomers hand down their inheritances to their 997 00:46:04,760 --> 00:46:05,080 Speaker 1: you know. 998 00:46:05,080 --> 00:46:06,320 Speaker 4: Lucky children. 999 00:46:06,680 --> 00:46:09,600 Speaker 1: There's going to be a growing divide between those who 1000 00:46:09,600 --> 00:46:13,719 Speaker 1: can ever dream of getting onto the you know, home 1001 00:46:13,760 --> 00:46:17,000 Speaker 1: ownership ladder versus those who are going to be Listen, 1002 00:46:17,040 --> 00:46:19,000 Speaker 1: if you love renting and that's your thing. I'm not 1003 00:46:19,080 --> 00:46:21,719 Speaker 1: like there's no judgment here whatsoever, But a lot of 1004 00:46:21,719 --> 00:46:24,560 Speaker 1: people want to have a home, have that stability, be 1005 00:46:24,600 --> 00:46:26,560 Speaker 1: able to build well through it. And it is increasingly 1006 00:46:26,640 --> 00:46:29,600 Speaker 1: impossible for people to be able to do that last 1007 00:46:29,920 --> 00:46:33,239 Speaker 1: piece with regard to housing. You know, just to show 1008 00:46:33,280 --> 00:46:36,000 Speaker 1: you how much the mortgage rates here matter put this 1009 00:46:36,080 --> 00:46:38,800 Speaker 1: up on the screen from Politico. They had a piece 1010 00:46:39,160 --> 00:46:41,680 Speaker 1: a little while ago that said how the Fed's rate 1011 00:46:41,760 --> 00:46:44,719 Speaker 1: hikes helped drive up mortgage payments. You can see the 1012 00:46:44,800 --> 00:46:47,719 Speaker 1: average monthly mortgage payment for a typical US home has 1013 00:46:47,760 --> 00:46:51,880 Speaker 1: grown fifty percent since January thirty one, twenty twenty two. 1014 00:46:52,000 --> 00:46:56,440 Speaker 1: So basically, in a year, the average monthly mortgage payment 1015 00:46:56,760 --> 00:47:01,239 Speaker 1: has gone up by fifty percent. Just let I mean, 1016 00:47:01,360 --> 00:47:03,879 Speaker 1: let that soak in. And so that's why people who 1017 00:47:04,200 --> 00:47:06,480 Speaker 1: already have a home and have a lower mortgage interust rate, 1018 00:47:06,520 --> 00:47:09,280 Speaker 1: they're definitely not interested in selling if they can at 1019 00:47:09,280 --> 00:47:11,200 Speaker 1: all avoid it. They want to stay put until things 1020 00:47:11,239 --> 00:47:14,440 Speaker 1: come back down. If you're trying to get in to 1021 00:47:14,680 --> 00:47:17,160 Speaker 1: the market, this has made it so that what you're 1022 00:47:17,239 --> 00:47:20,080 Speaker 1: able to obtain is going to be so much less 1023 00:47:20,080 --> 00:47:22,000 Speaker 1: than what it was before, and in some cases, in 1024 00:47:22,040 --> 00:47:23,960 Speaker 1: many cases, it's just going to be completely off the 1025 00:47:23,960 --> 00:47:24,600 Speaker 1: table altogether. 1026 00:47:24,640 --> 00:47:25,160 Speaker 3: Yeah, exactly. 1027 00:47:25,239 --> 00:47:26,840 Speaker 2: I mean, I think that's why that graphic is just 1028 00:47:26,880 --> 00:47:29,560 Speaker 2: so poignant about the fifty percent increase over two years, 1029 00:47:29,560 --> 00:47:31,399 Speaker 2: and really sad part is you probably just won't ever 1030 00:47:31,440 --> 00:47:34,440 Speaker 2: go back. I saw a graphic going around that if 1031 00:47:34,440 --> 00:47:36,040 Speaker 2: you were able to get a less than two percent 1032 00:47:36,120 --> 00:47:38,480 Speaker 2: or two point five percent interest rate on your mortgage. 1033 00:47:38,520 --> 00:47:41,520 Speaker 2: It may be the single best trade that you'll ever 1034 00:47:41,600 --> 00:47:45,040 Speaker 2: make in your entire life. Wow, just through you know, 1035 00:47:45,680 --> 00:47:48,840 Speaker 2: fortuitous circumstances. For those who did it, God bless you. 1036 00:47:48,840 --> 00:47:52,319 Speaker 2: Although I guess you can't really leave. But for those 1037 00:47:52,360 --> 00:47:52,960 Speaker 2: who like. 1038 00:47:52,880 --> 00:47:53,960 Speaker 4: Your house, you'll be there forever. 1039 00:47:54,200 --> 00:47:56,560 Speaker 3: Yeah, exactly. I hope you like it because you're not leaving. 1040 00:47:57,360 --> 00:47:59,839 Speaker 2: But you know, for those who didn't get who did 1041 00:48:00,040 --> 00:48:02,239 Speaker 2: missed out on that, just as a matter of circumstance, 1042 00:48:02,400 --> 00:48:03,160 Speaker 2: it's still not fair. 1043 00:48:03,239 --> 00:48:04,239 Speaker 3: So we got to fix it something. 1044 00:48:04,280 --> 00:48:06,760 Speaker 1: Yeah, but I'm kind of kicking myself because I started 1045 00:48:06,800 --> 00:48:10,160 Speaker 1: the process of refinancing my mortgage at the time when 1046 00:48:10,560 --> 00:48:13,200 Speaker 1: it was like Atith Lewis, and then I like dropped 1047 00:48:13,239 --> 00:48:14,719 Speaker 1: the ball and didn't get my shit together and then 1048 00:48:14,719 --> 00:48:15,600 Speaker 1: the rates started going up. 1049 00:48:15,640 --> 00:48:17,120 Speaker 2: I have a friend who's got a one point out 1050 00:48:17,120 --> 00:48:19,319 Speaker 2: Crystal one point nine. 1051 00:48:19,560 --> 00:48:23,040 Speaker 3: Wow. Wow, man, you you lucked out, so good for him. 1052 00:48:23,120 --> 00:48:26,800 Speaker 1: Yes, indeed, there's another piece that you know. It tracks 1053 00:48:26,840 --> 00:48:29,800 Speaker 1: with the dire views of the housing market. It tracks 1054 00:48:29,800 --> 00:48:32,720 Speaker 1: with you know, people's just sense of hopelessness. It tracks 1055 00:48:32,760 --> 00:48:35,440 Speaker 1: with the fallout from the pandemic. God put this up 1056 00:48:35,480 --> 00:48:37,240 Speaker 1: on the screen. I mean, this is in some ways 1057 00:48:37,320 --> 00:48:39,520 Speaker 1: one of the worst metrics of how the country is 1058 00:48:39,560 --> 00:48:42,239 Speaker 1: doing that I've seen in a long time. US depression 1059 00:48:42,480 --> 00:48:46,960 Speaker 1: rates have reached a new high. So people who have 1060 00:48:47,040 --> 00:48:50,719 Speaker 1: been diagnosed with depression, who have ever had depression, who 1061 00:48:50,760 --> 00:48:54,200 Speaker 1: are currently being treated for depression, both of those metrics 1062 00:48:54,360 --> 00:48:59,040 Speaker 1: have reached an all time high, so twenty nine percent. 1063 00:48:59,360 --> 00:49:02,720 Speaker 1: That's a nearly ten percentage point hike since twenty fifteen. 1064 00:49:02,840 --> 00:49:04,600 Speaker 1: So we're not talking about a long time ago, but 1065 00:49:04,640 --> 00:49:07,000 Speaker 1: we've had a ten point hike in the percentage of 1066 00:49:07,000 --> 00:49:10,120 Speaker 1: Americans who currently have or are being treated for depression. 1067 00:49:10,120 --> 00:49:13,080 Speaker 1: That's at seventeen point eight percent. That's up about seven 1068 00:49:13,200 --> 00:49:17,560 Speaker 1: points over that period, highest recorded by Gallop since they 1069 00:49:17,600 --> 00:49:22,120 Speaker 1: started measuring depression. You have higher rates among women, so 1070 00:49:22,680 --> 00:49:24,960 Speaker 1: over one third of women thirty six point seven percent 1071 00:49:25,040 --> 00:49:27,960 Speaker 1: now report having been diagnosed at some point in their lifetime. 1072 00:49:28,120 --> 00:49:31,520 Speaker 1: That's compared to twenty point four percent of men. Their 1073 00:49:31,600 --> 00:49:33,920 Speaker 1: rate has also risen at nearly twice the rate of 1074 00:49:33,960 --> 00:49:38,160 Speaker 1: men since twenty seventeen. You've got young people who also 1075 00:49:38,200 --> 00:49:41,719 Speaker 1: have seen significant increases, So those aged eighteen to twenty nine, 1076 00:49:41,760 --> 00:49:44,440 Speaker 1: they're at thirty four percent. Those who are aged thirty 1077 00:49:44,440 --> 00:49:47,919 Speaker 1: to forty four, they're at thirty five percent, and their 1078 00:49:47,960 --> 00:49:51,600 Speaker 1: depression diagnosis rates have been among the ones that have 1079 00:49:51,640 --> 00:49:55,359 Speaker 1: spiked the most. Now in some of this is, you know, 1080 00:49:55,680 --> 00:49:58,080 Speaker 1: for example, the difference between men and women. I wonder 1081 00:49:58,080 --> 00:50:00,600 Speaker 1: how much of that is there's actually different differing rates 1082 00:50:00,600 --> 00:50:02,480 Speaker 1: of depression between men and women, and how much of 1083 00:50:02,520 --> 00:50:05,319 Speaker 1: it is women feel more comfortable admitting this and seeking help, 1084 00:50:05,480 --> 00:50:07,279 Speaker 1: And because you have the image of like, you know, 1085 00:50:07,400 --> 00:50:10,719 Speaker 1: masculinity and the strong, silent type of whatever, if there's 1086 00:50:10,760 --> 00:50:13,040 Speaker 1: more of a stigma there around seeking help and admitting 1087 00:50:13,080 --> 00:50:15,480 Speaker 1: you've been diagnosed or admitting you've struggled with depression, I 1088 00:50:15,520 --> 00:50:17,400 Speaker 1: genuinely don't know. I'm just putting that out there for 1089 00:50:17,400 --> 00:50:20,160 Speaker 1: people to consider. But the other thing they point to 1090 00:50:20,320 --> 00:50:22,520 Speaker 1: here is not going to be surprised, which is that 1091 00:50:23,440 --> 00:50:27,600 Speaker 1: you know, COVID nineteen and the social isolation and lockdowns 1092 00:50:27,640 --> 00:50:29,640 Speaker 1: and the fact that people were just at their home 1093 00:50:30,080 --> 00:50:33,399 Speaker 1: alone or with just their close nuclear family that has 1094 00:50:33,520 --> 00:50:37,800 Speaker 1: really exacerbated what was already a crisis in terms of depression. 1095 00:50:38,080 --> 00:50:42,920 Speaker 1: It's also contributed to significant substance abuse. So, and you know, 1096 00:50:43,080 --> 00:50:45,440 Speaker 1: mental health in this country. Mental health care in this 1097 00:50:45,520 --> 00:50:48,200 Speaker 1: country is really poorly lacking, so that contributes to this 1098 00:50:48,280 --> 00:50:48,839 Speaker 1: picture as well. 1099 00:50:49,040 --> 00:50:51,400 Speaker 2: Yeah, so I actually think I'm most concerned about the 1100 00:50:51,400 --> 00:50:54,759 Speaker 2: percent change because the percent change has gone up by 1101 00:50:54,800 --> 00:50:57,680 Speaker 2: eight point four percent in the last eight years. For men, 1102 00:50:57,719 --> 00:50:59,359 Speaker 2: it's gone up by five point seven. For women, it's 1103 00:50:59,360 --> 00:51:01,319 Speaker 2: gone up by ten point five. For those who are 1104 00:51:01,320 --> 00:51:03,879 Speaker 2: eighteen to twenty nine, it's gone up by thirteen point nine, 1105 00:51:04,000 --> 00:51:06,880 Speaker 2: thirty to thirty four, twelve point six, forty five to 1106 00:51:06,920 --> 00:51:09,480 Speaker 2: sixty four, or five point seven sixty five. On older 1107 00:51:09,800 --> 00:51:12,439 Speaker 2: it's only gone up by two percent. So the net 1108 00:51:12,520 --> 00:51:15,799 Speaker 2: increase specifically amongst people between eighteen to twenty nine and 1109 00:51:15,840 --> 00:51:18,439 Speaker 2: thirty to forty four just comes from a general sense 1110 00:51:18,480 --> 00:51:22,160 Speaker 2: of malaise and also your inability to think that you 1111 00:51:22,160 --> 00:51:24,359 Speaker 2: can get out of your current circumstances. And I think 1112 00:51:24,440 --> 00:51:27,200 Speaker 2: that is probably the toughest single thing, and it's also 1113 00:51:27,280 --> 00:51:29,839 Speaker 2: explains a lot of our social ills. It's why people 1114 00:51:29,840 --> 00:51:31,719 Speaker 2: are angry so much, a lot of violence right now. 1115 00:51:31,719 --> 00:51:34,040 Speaker 2: It's just people are pissed. They're like they're popping off 1116 00:51:34,040 --> 00:51:37,800 Speaker 2: for literally no reason. Ask anybody who works in law enforcement. Also, 1117 00:51:37,880 --> 00:51:42,200 Speaker 2: the amount of rage road rage incidents is sky high. 1118 00:51:42,480 --> 00:51:44,320 Speaker 3: I actually witnessed two or three today. 1119 00:51:44,400 --> 00:51:46,319 Speaker 2: Wow, well, you know what you just want to You'll 1120 00:51:46,360 --> 00:51:47,600 Speaker 2: be like, I want to be in the brain of 1121 00:51:47,640 --> 00:51:49,960 Speaker 2: somebody who thinks it's okay. I do not want to 1122 00:51:50,000 --> 00:51:51,680 Speaker 2: be in that brain. No, I'm just want to be 1123 00:51:51,719 --> 00:51:53,920 Speaker 2: like a horrible place to explain it to me. Explain 1124 00:51:53,960 --> 00:51:55,920 Speaker 2: to me why you're more important than five hundred other 1125 00:51:55,960 --> 00:51:58,640 Speaker 2: people who are in line. Well, what's happening inside of you? 1126 00:51:58,800 --> 00:52:00,680 Speaker 2: It's like how were you raised to get to this point? 1127 00:52:00,719 --> 00:52:03,040 Speaker 2: And then also you know what happened on this particular day. 1128 00:52:03,080 --> 00:52:04,000 Speaker 3: Everybody has bad days. 1129 00:52:04,000 --> 00:52:06,200 Speaker 2: It's okay, but we're having a lot more bad days 1130 00:52:06,239 --> 00:52:07,800 Speaker 2: on average than good days. 1131 00:52:07,880 --> 00:52:09,839 Speaker 3: And then that's the question of like why how does 1132 00:52:09,880 --> 00:52:12,040 Speaker 3: this all happen? And I think, you know. 1133 00:52:12,120 --> 00:52:16,200 Speaker 2: It's COVID lockdowns. It just accelerated it, Like it's not 1134 00:52:16,680 --> 00:52:18,520 Speaker 2: the answer. I was also looking at, you know, not 1135 00:52:18,560 --> 00:52:20,640 Speaker 2: only the team depression rate, it's also it's been on 1136 00:52:20,680 --> 00:52:23,120 Speaker 2: the rise now for quite a long time, and I 1137 00:52:23,120 --> 00:52:25,799 Speaker 2: think I have to go back to the phone analysis 1138 00:52:25,840 --> 00:52:28,640 Speaker 2: a lot of it as you see a huge spike 1139 00:52:29,160 --> 00:52:33,400 Speaker 2: in depression between eighteen to forty four year olds. 1140 00:52:33,600 --> 00:52:35,960 Speaker 3: That happened right around twenty eleven. 1141 00:52:36,000 --> 00:52:38,960 Speaker 2: And the reason why twenty eleven or twenty twelve is 1142 00:52:39,000 --> 00:52:41,840 Speaker 2: a pretty good benchmark is because that is when mass 1143 00:52:41,880 --> 00:52:44,480 Speaker 2: availability of smartphones, not just when the iPhone came out, 1144 00:52:44,480 --> 00:52:46,600 Speaker 2: but whenever I am massive iPhone four. It really was a 1145 00:52:46,680 --> 00:52:49,560 Speaker 2: jump off for a lot of people. The move from 1146 00:52:49,600 --> 00:52:53,520 Speaker 2: the BlackBerry to the smartphone, and also the rise of Facebook, Twitter, 1147 00:52:53,760 --> 00:52:56,680 Speaker 2: and Instagram and all of these other apps kind of 1148 00:52:56,760 --> 00:52:58,879 Speaker 2: right hits that on. Now. You know, can you live 1149 00:52:58,880 --> 00:53:01,359 Speaker 2: without them? No, wouldn't literally it wouldn't be here without them. 1150 00:53:01,360 --> 00:53:04,319 Speaker 2: So you know, it's complicated, but it's very complicated. It's 1151 00:53:04,320 --> 00:53:07,640 Speaker 2: complicated that said, I mean, we got to find some 1152 00:53:07,680 --> 00:53:09,840 Speaker 2: sort of balance and I you know here and we 1153 00:53:09,880 --> 00:53:12,680 Speaker 2: see it a lot from people. People feel very not 1154 00:53:12,800 --> 00:53:15,759 Speaker 2: optimistic about starting a family, about even getting in a relationship. 1155 00:53:15,800 --> 00:53:19,840 Speaker 2: Everything's kind of been gamified, smartphoneified. And again, you know, 1156 00:53:19,880 --> 00:53:22,160 Speaker 2: you can't go back from where we are right now, 1157 00:53:22,200 --> 00:53:24,920 Speaker 2: but I think acknowledging it at the very least is important. 1158 00:53:25,000 --> 00:53:25,239 Speaker 3: Yeah. 1159 00:53:25,280 --> 00:53:26,640 Speaker 2: Also, you know, it should open up a lot of 1160 00:53:26,640 --> 00:53:29,560 Speaker 2: discussion Gristle about SSRIs. We have covered all those stories 1161 00:53:29,760 --> 00:53:32,799 Speaker 2: about whether SSRIs even work, you know, relative to all 1162 00:53:32,880 --> 00:53:36,680 Speaker 2: of the downsides, how exercise itself seems to have the 1163 00:53:36,760 --> 00:53:40,040 Speaker 2: exact same level of upside without any of the risk. 1164 00:53:40,200 --> 00:53:43,680 Speaker 2: I'm totally open now having watched Michael Pollin's documentary and 1165 00:53:43,760 --> 00:53:47,680 Speaker 2: book about the use of potential you know, psychedelics in. 1166 00:53:47,640 --> 00:53:49,200 Speaker 3: A clinical setting. 1167 00:53:49,520 --> 00:53:51,960 Speaker 2: But more importantly, it's like we have to pursue all 1168 00:53:52,040 --> 00:53:54,600 Speaker 2: options with a vigorous I think, and yeah, with a 1169 00:53:54,680 --> 00:53:55,560 Speaker 2: vigorous attitude. 1170 00:53:55,600 --> 00:53:58,640 Speaker 1: I do want to point out to that, you know, 1171 00:53:58,719 --> 00:54:01,439 Speaker 1: some of the trends that we track here are really 1172 00:54:01,520 --> 00:54:05,600 Speaker 1: unique to the US. This one is actually not. This 1173 00:54:05,760 --> 00:54:10,080 Speaker 1: is actually pretty consistent with global rates of depression and anxiety, 1174 00:54:10,440 --> 00:54:13,399 Speaker 1: which I think also would fit with the idea that 1175 00:54:13,520 --> 00:54:16,040 Speaker 1: you know, the smartphone has been a major contributor, because 1176 00:54:16,040 --> 00:54:20,680 Speaker 1: obviously that's not a US specific phenomenon, so it's it's 1177 00:54:20,800 --> 00:54:24,160 Speaker 1: very multifaceted. I also agree with you that COVID was 1178 00:54:24,160 --> 00:54:28,640 Speaker 1: an accelerant of trends that were already existing. And you know, 1179 00:54:28,840 --> 00:54:30,920 Speaker 1: I think this is a major crisis just in terms 1180 00:54:30,920 --> 00:54:36,280 Speaker 1: of oftentimes the only way that the US, the US government, 1181 00:54:36,719 --> 00:54:39,160 Speaker 1: media pundits know how to track well being in the 1182 00:54:39,280 --> 00:54:41,960 Speaker 1: US is like by money or the unemployment rate, or 1183 00:54:42,080 --> 00:54:44,839 Speaker 1: you know, or the stock market, which is a particularly 1184 00:54:44,880 --> 00:54:48,000 Speaker 1: poor indicator of how the country is doing. But to me, 1185 00:54:48,880 --> 00:54:51,919 Speaker 1: core issues like you know, whether people feel like they'll 1186 00:54:51,920 --> 00:54:54,240 Speaker 1: ever be able to buy a house, how they're feeling 1187 00:54:54,239 --> 00:54:56,520 Speaker 1: about themselves day to day, how much of a struggle 1188 00:54:56,560 --> 00:54:58,600 Speaker 1: it is for them to get through their day. You know, 1189 00:54:58,640 --> 00:55:03,040 Speaker 1: the levels of depression, anxiety, self reported loneliness. Loneliness can 1190 00:55:03,080 --> 00:55:06,920 Speaker 1: be really devastating, and it's under discussed as well. These 1191 00:55:06,960 --> 00:55:08,799 Speaker 1: are the sort of core metrics that I think really 1192 00:55:08,800 --> 00:55:11,560 Speaker 1: make up a healthy society and unfortunately we're failing on 1193 00:55:11,600 --> 00:55:12,120 Speaker 1: a lot of them. 1194 00:55:12,280 --> 00:55:12,800 Speaker 3: Yeah. 1195 00:55:12,840 --> 00:55:14,480 Speaker 2: You know, it's one of those where at the very 1196 00:55:14,600 --> 00:55:16,839 Speaker 2: least people need to take it seriously. 1197 00:55:17,120 --> 00:55:18,640 Speaker 3: Yeah, and that's the most important thing. 1198 00:55:21,480 --> 00:55:25,000 Speaker 2: Speaking of mental illness and things that are you know, 1199 00:55:25,600 --> 00:55:29,200 Speaker 2: really out of whacking that turn for a while, people 1200 00:55:29,200 --> 00:55:33,240 Speaker 2: who have been maybe displaying narcissistic behavior now for years. 1201 00:55:33,560 --> 00:55:38,480 Speaker 2: There was a fascinating incident that happened yesterday, So we 1202 00:55:38,600 --> 00:55:41,319 Speaker 2: began the day. There was a statement that was put 1203 00:55:41,320 --> 00:55:44,320 Speaker 2: out by the Duke and Duchess, the Duke and Duchess 1204 00:55:44,360 --> 00:55:46,960 Speaker 2: Harry and Megan that we may call them here in 1205 00:55:47,000 --> 00:55:49,480 Speaker 2: the United States. Let's put this up there on the screen. 1206 00:55:49,480 --> 00:55:52,239 Speaker 2: They put out a statement, they say, last night, the 1207 00:55:52,320 --> 00:55:55,600 Speaker 2: Duke and Duchess of Sussex and missus Raglan that's the 1208 00:55:55,640 --> 00:55:58,759 Speaker 2: mother in law, were involved in a near catastrophic car 1209 00:55:58,840 --> 00:56:03,759 Speaker 2: chase at the of a ring of highly aggressive paparazzi. 1210 00:56:04,280 --> 00:56:09,840 Speaker 2: This relentless pursuit, lasting over two hours, resulted in multiple 1211 00:56:10,040 --> 00:56:15,000 Speaker 2: near collisions involving other drivers on the road, pedestrians, and 1212 00:56:15,080 --> 00:56:18,600 Speaker 2: two NYPD officers. While being a public figure comes with 1213 00:56:18,640 --> 00:56:20,680 Speaker 2: a level of interest from the public, it should never 1214 00:56:20,760 --> 00:56:24,600 Speaker 2: come at the cost of anyone's safety. Disseminations of these images, 1215 00:56:24,600 --> 00:56:26,560 Speaker 2: given the way in which they were obtained, encourages a 1216 00:56:26,600 --> 00:56:29,280 Speaker 2: highly intrusive practice that is dangerous to all involved. 1217 00:56:29,360 --> 00:56:29,640 Speaker 3: Hmm. 1218 00:56:30,160 --> 00:56:33,239 Speaker 2: Okay, so we have a couple of questions here immediately 1219 00:56:33,320 --> 00:56:35,640 Speaker 2: about this. Obviously, you know we can we should have 1220 00:56:35,640 --> 00:56:38,279 Speaker 2: some empathy for Prince Harry. His mother literally died in 1221 00:56:38,320 --> 00:56:43,400 Speaker 2: an incident where well, maybe we're racing away from paparazzi. Okay, 1222 00:56:43,400 --> 00:56:45,480 Speaker 2: so at least that's the official narrative. Maybe that's what 1223 00:56:45,560 --> 00:56:47,960 Speaker 2: he believes. So if so, maybe he's going to be 1224 00:56:48,000 --> 00:56:50,600 Speaker 2: sensitive about that. All right, so let's break some of 1225 00:56:50,640 --> 00:56:53,040 Speaker 2: it down. So first and foremost, what are we all 1226 00:56:53,080 --> 00:56:54,080 Speaker 2: asking about? 1227 00:56:54,239 --> 00:56:55,000 Speaker 3: Two hours? 1228 00:56:55,360 --> 00:56:59,200 Speaker 2: Yeah, two hour near catastrophic car chase in the middle 1229 00:56:59,200 --> 00:57:02,800 Speaker 2: of down mid Town Manhattan. That's pretty interesting for anybody 1230 00:57:02,840 --> 00:57:05,239 Speaker 2: who's ever lived there, who's ever spent any time there. 1231 00:57:05,719 --> 00:57:07,920 Speaker 1: You guys, Now, Midtown is like Times Square. 1232 00:57:07,760 --> 00:57:11,680 Speaker 2: Yeah, Times Square, So we're this place has bump bumper 1233 00:57:11,719 --> 00:57:15,239 Speaker 2: traffic like twenty four to seven, especially at the time 1234 00:57:15,560 --> 00:57:17,600 Speaker 2: that they were leaving, So that's kind of crazy. How 1235 00:57:17,600 --> 00:57:20,080 Speaker 2: do you have a near catastrophic car chase? Then they 1236 00:57:20,120 --> 00:57:22,800 Speaker 2: say that it had near collisions with other drivers on 1237 00:57:22,840 --> 00:57:29,000 Speaker 2: the road, pedestrians and two NYPD officers. So immediately, of course, okay, well, 1238 00:57:29,040 --> 00:57:32,000 Speaker 2: you know, maybe this happened. Let's talk to the NYPD. 1239 00:57:32,080 --> 00:57:33,480 Speaker 2: So here's what they had to say. Let's put this 1240 00:57:33,560 --> 00:57:35,960 Speaker 2: up there on the screen. Here's what they say. On 1241 00:57:36,000 --> 00:57:39,440 Speaker 2: Wednesday evening May sixteen, the NYPD assisted the private security 1242 00:57:39,440 --> 00:57:41,920 Speaker 2: team protecting the Duke and Duchess of Sussex. They were 1243 00:57:42,040 --> 00:57:45,800 Speaker 2: numerous photographers that made their transport challenging. The Duke and 1244 00:57:45,880 --> 00:57:50,000 Speaker 2: Duchess arrived at their destination and there were no reported collisions. 1245 00:57:50,040 --> 00:57:55,320 Speaker 2: Summons says injuries, arrest in regard. Oh so no collisions, 1246 00:57:55,320 --> 00:57:58,080 Speaker 2: no summons says, no injuries, no arrests in regard, no 1247 00:57:58,160 --> 00:58:01,480 Speaker 2: officers were put at risk as were originally claimed. So 1248 00:58:01,600 --> 00:58:04,160 Speaker 2: already we have some questions here about the two hour thing. 1249 00:58:04,240 --> 00:58:07,680 Speaker 2: Now the NYPD basically says that's actually not what happened 1250 00:58:07,840 --> 00:58:11,320 Speaker 2: at all. Then Mayor Eric Adams, who presumably also had 1251 00:58:11,520 --> 00:58:13,760 Speaker 2: been read in a little bit on the incident, he 1252 00:58:14,000 --> 00:58:15,680 Speaker 2: poured cold water on the entire thing. 1253 00:58:15,920 --> 00:58:17,120 Speaker 3: Let's take a listen to what he said. 1254 00:58:17,720 --> 00:58:20,880 Speaker 8: I would find it hard to believe that there was 1255 00:58:20,960 --> 00:58:24,600 Speaker 8: a two hour high speed chase. That would be I 1256 00:58:24,680 --> 00:58:26,840 Speaker 8: find out hard to believe. But we will find out 1257 00:58:26,880 --> 00:58:30,560 Speaker 8: the exact duration of it. But if it's a ten minutes, 1258 00:58:30,600 --> 00:58:33,680 Speaker 8: a ten minute chase is extremely dangerous in New York City. 1259 00:58:33,840 --> 00:58:36,959 Speaker 2: Ten minute chase is extremely dangerously right And unfortunately though 1260 00:58:37,000 --> 00:58:38,880 Speaker 2: for them and their version of events, it doesn't even 1261 00:58:38,960 --> 00:58:40,760 Speaker 2: look like even that ten minute chase happened. 1262 00:58:41,000 --> 00:58:41,880 Speaker 3: Let's put this up there. 1263 00:58:41,800 --> 00:58:45,120 Speaker 2: On the screen because the taxi driver that they got 1264 00:58:45,160 --> 00:58:47,480 Speaker 2: into a taxi he says, I don't. 1265 00:58:47,240 --> 00:58:48,520 Speaker 3: Think I would call it a chase. 1266 00:58:49,000 --> 00:58:51,200 Speaker 2: He says, I never felt like I was in danger, 1267 00:58:51,440 --> 00:58:53,080 Speaker 2: they were quiet, they seem scared. 1268 00:58:53,160 --> 00:58:54,720 Speaker 3: But it's New York. It's safe. 1269 00:58:54,840 --> 00:58:57,360 Speaker 2: By the way, whenever he says that, what he's actually 1270 00:58:57,400 --> 00:59:01,160 Speaker 2: saying is it's midtown Manhattan, that it's safe. And look, 1271 00:59:01,280 --> 00:59:05,120 Speaker 2: I think that that is very obviously true. Now, furthermore, 1272 00:59:05,360 --> 00:59:09,480 Speaker 2: there's actually been even more reporting since we put these together, Crystal, 1273 00:59:09,760 --> 00:59:13,840 Speaker 2: And in fact, according to police sources who are countering 1274 00:59:13,880 --> 00:59:17,160 Speaker 2: this claim, not only was there no car chase all 1275 00:59:17,200 --> 00:59:21,600 Speaker 2: of that, but they say that this entire episode lasted 1276 00:59:21,720 --> 00:59:25,320 Speaker 2: only twenty minutes and did not involve the amount of 1277 00:59:25,360 --> 00:59:29,920 Speaker 2: paparazzi that they claim. In fact, the cops who escorted 1278 00:59:29,960 --> 00:59:32,920 Speaker 2: Harry and Megan out of the event and to their 1279 00:59:33,000 --> 00:59:36,480 Speaker 2: home or wherever they were staying, they say they. 1280 00:59:36,320 --> 00:59:40,920 Speaker 3: Were home twenty minutes after leaving the event. 1281 00:59:41,280 --> 00:59:45,640 Speaker 2: This entire thing appears to be, based on the full 1282 00:59:45,800 --> 00:59:50,480 Speaker 2: availability of the evidence as it currently exists, does not 1283 00:59:50,600 --> 00:59:53,160 Speaker 2: appear to have happened in the way that they said, Crystal, 1284 00:59:53,480 --> 00:59:56,240 Speaker 2: And we can say that from the taxi drivers on record, 1285 00:59:56,280 --> 00:59:59,000 Speaker 2: from the NYPD, from the mayor, from the police sources 1286 00:59:59,040 --> 01:00:00,720 Speaker 2: that have all put this out, a. 1287 01:00:00,680 --> 01:00:03,760 Speaker 1: Lack of video, the lack of video, this is Mintown, Manhattan. 1288 01:00:03,760 --> 01:00:05,440 Speaker 1: There's people with cell phone cameras everywhere. 1289 01:00:05,480 --> 01:00:06,800 Speaker 4: The video arps do anything. 1290 01:00:06,680 --> 01:00:10,280 Speaker 2: Come out from people who showed the paparazzi around the 1291 01:00:10,280 --> 01:00:12,919 Speaker 2: car out of red light by the way, doing anything wrong? 1292 01:00:13,120 --> 01:00:15,439 Speaker 2: Then a cop car was coming, except the cop car 1293 01:00:15,520 --> 01:00:17,880 Speaker 2: wasn't escorting them. He just came through and he turned right. 1294 01:00:18,160 --> 01:00:19,880 Speaker 2: He didn't go in the same direction. So even their 1295 01:00:19,960 --> 01:00:23,400 Speaker 2: version of events on that one is total BS. So look, 1296 01:00:23,480 --> 01:00:26,040 Speaker 2: I mean, looking at all of this, it is very 1297 01:00:26,080 --> 01:00:29,360 Speaker 2: clear that this did not happen that the way that 1298 01:00:29,440 --> 01:00:32,080 Speaker 2: they said it did, based upon their recollections and all 1299 01:00:32,120 --> 01:00:34,920 Speaker 2: the stuff that is in the public domain at this moment. 1300 01:00:34,960 --> 01:00:37,000 Speaker 2: And it's just a further part of the we want 1301 01:00:37,040 --> 01:00:37,680 Speaker 2: Privacy tour. 1302 01:00:37,800 --> 01:00:40,439 Speaker 1: Yes, I don't know how many of you watched the 1303 01:00:40,560 --> 01:00:42,640 Speaker 1: South Park episode. Yeah, Harry and Meghan that they were 1304 01:00:42,680 --> 01:00:45,280 Speaker 1: suing them over right, the whole. 1305 01:00:45,120 --> 01:00:46,840 Speaker 3: Well, they could, they considered it. They considered it. 1306 01:00:46,840 --> 01:00:47,280 Speaker 4: Oh they didn't. 1307 01:00:47,280 --> 01:00:47,640 Speaker 3: There's a thing. 1308 01:00:47,880 --> 01:00:50,320 Speaker 2: They're in America, Sorry, Harry and Meghan. You're not in 1309 01:00:50,360 --> 01:00:52,840 Speaker 2: your BS country where you can just sue people for 1310 01:00:52,880 --> 01:00:54,600 Speaker 2: no reason and may impossibly win. 1311 01:00:54,960 --> 01:00:57,080 Speaker 3: In America, we have much better laws. 1312 01:00:57,560 --> 01:01:00,680 Speaker 1: So in the South Park episode, the whole central core 1313 01:01:00,720 --> 01:01:03,120 Speaker 1: of the plot is that Harry and Meghan are going 1314 01:01:03,160 --> 01:01:06,640 Speaker 1: on people who look like Harry yea bear some resemblance 1315 01:01:06,680 --> 01:01:10,280 Speaker 1: to them, are going on a worldwide privacy tour where 1316 01:01:10,320 --> 01:01:12,200 Speaker 1: they go and they decide they're going to move to 1317 01:01:12,280 --> 01:01:14,760 Speaker 1: South Park to like get their privacy, and they're out 1318 01:01:14,800 --> 01:01:17,520 Speaker 1: like picketing, like we just want to be left alone, 1319 01:01:17,520 --> 01:01:19,920 Speaker 1: and everyone's like, we're trying to leave you alone, like 1320 01:01:19,960 --> 01:01:23,440 Speaker 1: please leave us alone. And this is almost literally like 1321 01:01:23,520 --> 01:01:27,400 Speaker 1: it is literally the South Park episode, Like you, okay, 1322 01:01:27,480 --> 01:01:29,760 Speaker 1: there were some paparazzi. I don't think anyone is going 1323 01:01:29,840 --> 01:01:32,200 Speaker 1: to be shocked by that. Paparazzi can be aggressive. I 1324 01:01:32,240 --> 01:01:34,240 Speaker 1: don't think anybody, including yourselves, are going to be shocked 1325 01:01:34,280 --> 01:01:38,800 Speaker 1: by that either. But by wildly overstating this, it's like, yeah, 1326 01:01:38,840 --> 01:01:40,720 Speaker 1: we are trying to leave you alone, but you just 1327 01:01:40,800 --> 01:01:42,160 Speaker 1: keep putting yourself at our faces. 1328 01:01:42,200 --> 01:01:43,400 Speaker 4: Do I want to cover Harry and Meghan? 1329 01:01:43,400 --> 01:01:46,480 Speaker 1: No, not really, but like this is just too absurd 1330 01:01:46,760 --> 01:01:49,760 Speaker 1: to not talk about. In the direct contradiction from the police, 1331 01:01:49,800 --> 01:01:52,520 Speaker 1: from the mayor, from like everybody who had anything to 1332 01:01:52,600 --> 01:01:54,800 Speaker 1: the taxi driver, for anybody who had anything to do 1333 01:01:54,840 --> 01:01:55,280 Speaker 1: with it. 1334 01:01:55,120 --> 01:01:58,520 Speaker 2: It's the reason I feel compelled to debunk this and 1335 01:01:58,560 --> 01:02:01,240 Speaker 2: to talk about this is because I know that this 1336 01:02:01,320 --> 01:02:04,800 Speaker 2: will just be regurgitated by the page sixes and all 1337 01:02:04,840 --> 01:02:06,960 Speaker 2: of these other people. In fact, the funniest thing is 1338 01:02:07,040 --> 01:02:10,440 Speaker 2: in Britain they think that Harry and Meghan are a 1339 01:02:10,520 --> 01:02:12,960 Speaker 2: joke and they are reviled. The only people who believe 1340 01:02:13,000 --> 01:02:16,240 Speaker 2: her and anything that she says are idiots in America. 1341 01:02:15,840 --> 01:02:17,920 Speaker 3: Who are like, oh my god, it's a real life princess. 1342 01:02:18,280 --> 01:02:21,160 Speaker 2: And that's the issue is like we are the suckers, 1343 01:02:21,240 --> 01:02:22,360 Speaker 2: our media are the life. 1344 01:02:22,560 --> 01:02:24,480 Speaker 1: How much of that sentiment still exists in this way? 1345 01:02:24,560 --> 01:02:27,440 Speaker 1: I'm genuinely asking, because I have my sense is that 1346 01:02:27,520 --> 01:02:29,320 Speaker 1: everybody is like, please go away. 1347 01:02:29,440 --> 01:02:31,520 Speaker 2: That's words, you're around the normal people. There are a 1348 01:02:31,600 --> 01:02:34,640 Speaker 2: lot of girls out there who love Megan. They think 1349 01:02:34,680 --> 01:02:36,880 Speaker 2: that she told the truth in her OPRAH interview, even 1350 01:02:36,920 --> 01:02:38,480 Speaker 2: though there's not a lot of evidence to say that 1351 01:02:38,520 --> 01:02:41,000 Speaker 2: she told the truth in her OPRAH interview. I mean, 1352 01:02:41,240 --> 01:02:42,760 Speaker 2: and look, you can hate the royal family if you 1353 01:02:42,760 --> 01:02:44,360 Speaker 2: want to, that's fine, but like that doesn't mean you 1354 01:02:44,360 --> 01:02:47,440 Speaker 2: have to believe a complete narcissist. And like that's it's 1355 01:02:47,520 --> 01:02:51,160 Speaker 2: very clear what her game has been too normal folks 1356 01:02:51,200 --> 01:02:55,280 Speaker 2: like us, but not everybody feels that way. And the 1357 01:02:55,360 --> 01:02:58,160 Speaker 2: point is is that, you know, looking at the way 1358 01:02:58,200 --> 01:03:02,280 Speaker 2: that her claims were reported, immediately was as truth. They 1359 01:03:02,320 --> 01:03:05,160 Speaker 2: were like, oh my gosh, this is terrible, catastrophic all 1360 01:03:05,240 --> 01:03:09,840 Speaker 2: that not one ounce of skepticism, except again from the 1361 01:03:09,880 --> 01:03:13,280 Speaker 2: Brits and you know, Megan Kelly, people like me and 1362 01:03:13,920 --> 01:03:16,160 Speaker 2: a few others who are like, yeah, I don't think so, man, 1363 01:03:16,520 --> 01:03:18,720 Speaker 2: this whole thing doesn't really add up. 1364 01:03:18,800 --> 01:03:21,040 Speaker 1: I don't want to a smirch page six, which I 1365 01:03:21,080 --> 01:03:22,400 Speaker 1: think does some phoenomenal report. 1366 01:03:22,560 --> 01:03:25,240 Speaker 3: Right, you're right, I'm sorry I did not go after that. 1367 01:03:25,320 --> 01:03:27,520 Speaker 2: They're only doing what they're told, I guess just you know, 1368 01:03:27,600 --> 01:03:29,160 Speaker 2: technically their entire job. 1369 01:03:29,200 --> 01:03:31,320 Speaker 1: But yeah, we may trade in gossip, that's what they do. 1370 01:03:31,440 --> 01:03:33,120 Speaker 1: But you would think that there would be a moment 1371 01:03:33,120 --> 01:03:35,480 Speaker 1: of like, two are car chase in midtown men? Yeah? 1372 01:03:35,560 --> 01:03:36,000 Speaker 3: Exactly. 1373 01:03:36,320 --> 01:03:38,520 Speaker 2: That's my thing is, how do you say with a 1374 01:03:38,600 --> 01:03:42,360 Speaker 2: straight face, but you had a car chase in midtown 1375 01:03:42,360 --> 01:03:45,360 Speaker 2: Manhattan for two hours. Most of that time you'd be 1376 01:03:45,400 --> 01:03:48,240 Speaker 2: sitting in traffic, and all of the evidence that came 1377 01:03:48,280 --> 01:03:51,120 Speaker 2: out from it is people sitting in traffic So there 1378 01:03:51,120 --> 01:03:53,600 Speaker 2: you go. All right, let's talk about Fox News and 1379 01:03:53,840 --> 01:03:55,560 Speaker 2: let's put this up there on the screen. This is 1380 01:03:55,600 --> 01:03:58,080 Speaker 2: big news being reported by Matt Drudge over at the 1381 01:03:58,160 --> 01:04:01,200 Speaker 2: Drudge Report. Fox News is currently denying it, but Drudge 1382 01:04:01,240 --> 01:04:04,240 Speaker 2: Report says that Sean Hannity appears to be ready to 1383 01:04:04,320 --> 01:04:07,440 Speaker 2: replace Tucker Carlson in a major shakeup. 1384 01:04:07,520 --> 01:04:09,440 Speaker 3: Now here's what he says from Drudge. 1385 01:04:09,480 --> 01:04:13,080 Speaker 2: He says, world exclusive, Fox News sets a new schedule. 1386 01:04:13,160 --> 01:04:16,920 Speaker 2: So Drudge is claiming that the new primetime gigs will 1387 01:04:16,960 --> 01:04:20,080 Speaker 2: both go to Sean Hannity, to Jesse Waters, and to 1388 01:04:20,200 --> 01:04:24,520 Speaker 2: Greg Guttfeld to stack the primetime lineup. Seven PM currently 1389 01:04:24,640 --> 01:04:28,120 Speaker 2: is where they might move him too, because Guttfeld is 1390 01:04:28,120 --> 01:04:30,880 Speaker 2: currently on at eleven PM and also on the five 1391 01:04:30,920 --> 01:04:34,080 Speaker 2: PM show called The Five. The reason why that this 1392 01:04:34,120 --> 01:04:35,960 Speaker 2: is a big deal is not only would they say 1393 01:04:35,960 --> 01:04:38,520 Speaker 2: that Hannity, their current higher rated host, is just going 1394 01:04:38,600 --> 01:04:42,760 Speaker 2: to slot in and take over Tucker Carlson's timeslot, It's 1395 01:04:42,840 --> 01:04:46,960 Speaker 2: that it would also involve a drop of Laura Ingram. Now, again, 1396 01:04:47,120 --> 01:04:49,240 Speaker 2: as I said, let's put this up there. Fox is 1397 01:04:49,320 --> 01:04:51,800 Speaker 2: denying that any of this is the case. They say 1398 01:04:51,840 --> 01:04:54,680 Speaker 2: no decision has been made on a new primetime lineup, 1399 01:04:54,720 --> 01:04:59,320 Speaker 2: and there are multiple scenarios under consideration, not really a 1400 01:04:59,360 --> 01:05:02,000 Speaker 2: full scale de Nile, because all Drudge is saying is 1401 01:05:02,040 --> 01:05:04,160 Speaker 2: a major shakeup is happening, and the main thing that 1402 01:05:04,200 --> 01:05:06,880 Speaker 2: he is reporting is that Sean Hannity is going to 1403 01:05:07,200 --> 01:05:09,960 Speaker 2: the eight pm hour. It's certainly possible that it doesn't happen, 1404 01:05:10,200 --> 01:05:12,560 Speaker 2: you know, I guess it's possible it doesn't. Drudge though, 1405 01:05:12,920 --> 01:05:17,160 Speaker 2: generally pretty good whenever it comes to internal news. I 1406 01:05:17,200 --> 01:05:19,560 Speaker 2: guess you could say of the Fox News channel because 1407 01:05:19,560 --> 01:05:21,600 Speaker 2: he was very tight and has a lot of sources there. 1408 01:05:21,600 --> 01:05:23,040 Speaker 3: He actually used to work there. You know. 1409 01:05:23,200 --> 01:05:26,000 Speaker 2: Now at some point the real question is, uh, you know, 1410 01:05:26,080 --> 01:05:29,040 Speaker 2: will lor Ingram get the boot? And then second, this 1411 01:05:29,320 --> 01:05:33,120 Speaker 2: only only codifies so much of what I've talked about 1412 01:05:33,120 --> 01:05:34,680 Speaker 2: here is there. If they're not even gonna try and 1413 01:05:34,720 --> 01:05:37,880 Speaker 2: replace Tucker, they're just going to slot in Sean Hannity yea, 1414 01:05:37,960 --> 01:05:40,200 Speaker 2: and move in there, that's an admission of failure. 1415 01:05:40,280 --> 01:05:41,240 Speaker 3: It's a huge admission. 1416 01:05:41,280 --> 01:05:45,080 Speaker 1: It's such it's very consistent, Yeah, with MSNBC's approach to 1417 01:05:45,840 --> 01:05:48,200 Speaker 1: not even trying to replace Rachel Mack, really putting in 1418 01:05:48,240 --> 01:05:50,280 Speaker 1: Alex Wagner, who's just like a you know, sort of 1419 01:05:50,320 --> 01:05:54,280 Speaker 1: standard issue news host. It's consistent with CNN just moving 1420 01:05:54,320 --> 01:05:57,160 Speaker 1: Caitlyn Collins to primetime. I mean, does anyone really expect 1421 01:05:57,160 --> 01:05:59,520 Speaker 1: she's Maybe they're deluding themselves and I'm thinking she's going 1422 01:05:59,560 --> 01:06:01,440 Speaker 1: to be some good luck star, but you know, to me, 1423 01:06:01,520 --> 01:06:04,400 Speaker 1: she's just another sort of like standard issue news hosts 1424 01:06:04,480 --> 01:06:07,440 Speaker 1: like many of the other ones. So it is consistent 1425 01:06:07,960 --> 01:06:11,520 Speaker 1: with a pattern of effectively managed to climb that is 1426 01:06:12,120 --> 01:06:15,240 Speaker 1: quite evident at every one of these networks. We have 1427 01:06:15,680 --> 01:06:19,120 Speaker 1: a non denial denial about the Laura Ingram thing as 1428 01:06:19,160 --> 01:06:22,520 Speaker 1: well that we can report. So a network spokesperson said, 1429 01:06:22,680 --> 01:06:25,720 Speaker 1: this is kind of funny. Reports based on various tweets 1430 01:06:25,760 --> 01:06:28,360 Speaker 1: by left wing activists are wildly inaccurate. 1431 01:06:28,400 --> 01:06:30,440 Speaker 4: Since when did Drudge become a left wing activist? 1432 01:06:30,560 --> 01:06:34,320 Speaker 1: Okay, Laura Ingram, the top rated woman in cable news, 1433 01:06:34,560 --> 01:06:37,400 Speaker 1: is now and will continue to be a prominent host 1434 01:06:37,520 --> 01:06:40,280 Speaker 1: and integral part of the Fox News lineup. Doesn't say 1435 01:06:40,280 --> 01:06:42,680 Speaker 1: she's going to remain in primetime though, does it? Yeah? No, So, 1436 01:06:42,800 --> 01:06:45,760 Speaker 1: I mean it is interesting what is being omitted, and 1437 01:06:45,800 --> 01:06:48,600 Speaker 1: you can bet very intentionally so from these little statements 1438 01:06:48,640 --> 01:06:49,440 Speaker 1: that they're putting. 1439 01:06:49,160 --> 01:06:49,720 Speaker 3: Out yeah, yeah. 1440 01:06:49,720 --> 01:06:51,880 Speaker 2: I mean that's actually the big takeaway for me is like, 1441 01:06:52,000 --> 01:06:55,760 Speaker 2: oh wow, so clearly something is going on over there. 1442 01:06:55,760 --> 01:06:57,000 Speaker 2: I mean, I just think, look, if you're going to 1443 01:06:57,040 --> 01:06:59,919 Speaker 2: slot in Hannity, that is the biggest admission of fail. 1444 01:07:00,320 --> 01:07:03,919 Speaker 2: Whenever O'Reilly left the network, Hannity stayed in his nine 1445 01:07:03,960 --> 01:07:06,920 Speaker 2: PM slot and they tried out a bunch of different stuff. 1446 01:07:06,960 --> 01:07:09,280 Speaker 2: I forget exactly what the drama was because, like Megan 1447 01:07:09,360 --> 01:07:11,760 Speaker 2: Kelly was leaving, so they replaced her, and then Tucker 1448 01:07:11,840 --> 01:07:15,000 Speaker 2: was moved APM hour. Eventually that's where he found his success. 1449 01:07:15,040 --> 01:07:18,240 Speaker 2: But they're only keeping existing talent. They're not even hiring 1450 01:07:18,240 --> 01:07:21,080 Speaker 2: anybody new. Tucker was actually brought in new to the network, 1451 01:07:21,080 --> 01:07:22,840 Speaker 2: at least to the primetime here to. 1452 01:07:22,920 --> 01:07:25,320 Speaker 1: Primetime before that, he had been hosting I think weekend. 1453 01:07:25,560 --> 01:07:28,000 Speaker 2: I was gonna say, he's only on weekend Fox and Friends. 1454 01:07:28,040 --> 01:07:31,560 Speaker 2: Just completely not the same thing at all. So look, 1455 01:07:31,720 --> 01:07:34,760 Speaker 2: I mean, what you could say around all of this 1456 01:07:35,000 --> 01:07:37,640 Speaker 2: is that what you can say is that this has 1457 01:07:37,760 --> 01:07:41,520 Speaker 2: managed decline at its absolute finest. And I don't think 1458 01:07:41,600 --> 01:07:44,439 Speaker 2: anybody could say that Sean Hannby is in any way 1459 01:07:44,560 --> 01:07:47,600 Speaker 2: in the same caliber. I mean, he is just like 1460 01:07:48,840 --> 01:07:51,920 Speaker 2: You can accuse Tucker of many things, but with Hannity, 1461 01:07:52,600 --> 01:07:58,360 Speaker 2: he is just like copy cut like cookie cutter. Whatever 1462 01:07:58,520 --> 01:08:02,560 Speaker 2: Republican talking point of day is, Yeah, it's. 1463 01:08:02,400 --> 01:08:05,080 Speaker 1: Like a wind up doll, like freedom and low taxes 1464 01:08:05,280 --> 01:08:08,120 Speaker 1: is just it's very predictable. That's what I would say, 1465 01:08:08,320 --> 01:08:11,480 Speaker 1: is he's very predictable. He's always going to be on 1466 01:08:11,520 --> 01:08:13,880 Speaker 1: the side of like whatever is the Republican thing of 1467 01:08:13,920 --> 01:08:15,840 Speaker 1: the day, He's going to be on the talking points 1468 01:08:15,880 --> 01:08:17,920 Speaker 1: like it just is. You know, it is what it is. 1469 01:08:18,240 --> 01:08:21,160 Speaker 1: So you're not going to break a lot of ground there. Obviously, 1470 01:08:21,200 --> 01:08:23,000 Speaker 1: he's had a lot of success at the network for 1471 01:08:23,000 --> 01:08:24,880 Speaker 1: a lot of years. I think he's been there the 1472 01:08:24,880 --> 01:08:27,200 Speaker 1: whole like the whole time since the launch of the network. 1473 01:08:27,240 --> 01:08:28,920 Speaker 3: I don't know if he was there at the very beginning, 1474 01:08:28,920 --> 01:08:29,519 Speaker 3: but he's. 1475 01:08:29,320 --> 01:08:31,479 Speaker 1: Been there a long time, and you know, he's held 1476 01:08:31,520 --> 01:08:35,040 Speaker 1: down a stable core of audience. But as we've discussed before, 1477 01:08:35,479 --> 01:08:39,479 Speaker 1: there were only a couple people in cable news who 1478 01:08:39,520 --> 01:08:42,920 Speaker 1: really were a magnet to draw viewers in, and then 1479 01:08:43,000 --> 01:08:44,840 Speaker 1: much of the cable news game is trying to hold 1480 01:08:44,880 --> 01:08:47,600 Speaker 1: on to whatever you get in terms of audience. That 1481 01:08:47,720 --> 01:08:50,639 Speaker 1: carries over from the last host so you know, Rachel 1482 01:08:50,680 --> 01:08:54,400 Speaker 1: Baddow was a tent pole at AMSNBC, and Tucker was 1483 01:08:54,439 --> 01:08:57,439 Speaker 1: a tent pole over at Fox News, and you know, 1484 01:08:57,520 --> 01:09:01,400 Speaker 1: they clearly don't have anyone to replace him with in 1485 01:09:01,479 --> 01:09:04,360 Speaker 1: terms of that sort of like tent pole draw. What 1486 01:09:04,400 --> 01:09:06,800 Speaker 1: do you make of the Laura if we're taking this 1487 01:09:07,000 --> 01:09:09,760 Speaker 1: Laura rumor at face value, which frankly, the Fox News 1488 01:09:09,760 --> 01:09:12,280 Speaker 1: statement just to me almost like confirms that she's being 1489 01:09:12,280 --> 01:09:15,559 Speaker 1: moved down in prime time. She was also caught up 1490 01:09:15,560 --> 01:09:19,000 Speaker 1: in some of the Dominion revelations. You know, I can't 1491 01:09:19,000 --> 01:09:21,960 Speaker 1: remember specifically that, but I know there were texts or 1492 01:09:21,960 --> 01:09:26,160 Speaker 1: messages between her producers and some people who were involved 1493 01:09:26,200 --> 01:09:28,599 Speaker 1: with Stop the Steal. You know, do you think that 1494 01:09:28,600 --> 01:09:30,760 Speaker 1: that could be related to why she's being moved down 1495 01:09:30,760 --> 01:09:31,360 Speaker 1: in prime time? 1496 01:09:31,560 --> 01:09:32,240 Speaker 3: As possible. 1497 01:09:32,280 --> 01:09:34,479 Speaker 2: It's certainly possible that she's that's one of the reasons 1498 01:09:34,479 --> 01:09:37,120 Speaker 2: that she got moved out of primetime. It's also you know, 1499 01:09:37,160 --> 01:09:39,360 Speaker 2: her ratings, not me, may not be the best. They 1500 01:09:39,400 --> 01:09:41,280 Speaker 2: also could I mean, look what they may want to 1501 01:09:41,280 --> 01:09:43,759 Speaker 2: try and develop talent, Like they've given her several years 1502 01:09:43,760 --> 01:09:46,400 Speaker 2: there and she hasn't made it into some Gangbusters thing. 1503 01:09:46,640 --> 01:09:48,000 Speaker 3: You know, it's also hard to work with. 1504 01:09:48,080 --> 01:09:49,800 Speaker 2: I mean, ten pm is not a great time to 1505 01:09:49,800 --> 01:09:52,800 Speaker 2: be on television, and you know, in general, she's hard 1506 01:09:52,840 --> 01:09:53,280 Speaker 2: to work with. 1507 01:09:53,400 --> 01:09:55,200 Speaker 1: Yeah, I was going to say, I know, behind the scenes, 1508 01:09:55,240 --> 01:09:56,120 Speaker 1: she's not be loved. 1509 01:09:56,160 --> 01:09:58,760 Speaker 3: That's what the people say. Yeah, allegedly according to a 1510 01:09:58,840 --> 01:09:59,360 Speaker 3: rumor mill. 1511 01:10:00,120 --> 01:10:02,320 Speaker 2: So you know, it could be. It's probably just a 1512 01:10:02,360 --> 01:10:04,800 Speaker 2: combination of factors. The real thing is, if you move 1513 01:10:04,800 --> 01:10:07,280 Speaker 2: gut Failed into primetime, you were taking effectively was one 1514 01:10:07,320 --> 01:10:09,439 Speaker 2: of your biggest stars in the network and somebody who's 1515 01:10:09,439 --> 01:10:12,000 Speaker 2: found success in the eleven pm hour, and you're just 1516 01:10:12,000 --> 01:10:13,800 Speaker 2: going to bet on him to try and do that, 1517 01:10:13,880 --> 01:10:16,320 Speaker 2: to bring some comedy or something new, you know, for 1518 01:10:16,360 --> 01:10:20,080 Speaker 2: that Waters, I mean, listen, Waters, I think he's very 1519 01:10:20,120 --> 01:10:23,120 Speaker 2: much in the same league Hannity and all that. But 1520 01:10:23,280 --> 01:10:25,400 Speaker 2: all of these people, this has just managed to climb, 1521 01:10:25,560 --> 01:10:27,840 Speaker 2: you know, at its very least. It definitely would be 1522 01:10:27,840 --> 01:10:29,799 Speaker 2: bad for Laura Ingram though, if that's what happened. 1523 01:10:29,920 --> 01:10:32,519 Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm just looking at what her involvement was and 1524 01:10:32,560 --> 01:10:34,519 Speaker 1: the like what came out in the Dominion thing. Apparently 1525 01:10:34,560 --> 01:10:37,920 Speaker 1: she and Tucker had been privately discussing Sidney Powell. Tucker 1526 01:10:37,960 --> 01:10:40,200 Speaker 1: called her a nut and said a bunch of other stuff, 1527 01:10:40,240 --> 01:10:43,240 Speaker 1: and then like that very the very next day where 1528 01:10:43,400 --> 01:10:46,599 Speaker 1: Laura is agreeing that basically Sidney Powell is an unhinched lunatic. 1529 01:10:46,880 --> 01:10:49,880 Speaker 1: And then the very next day she's saying she believed 1530 01:10:49,880 --> 01:10:52,559 Speaker 1: the election was rife with problems and potential frauds, So 1531 01:10:52,720 --> 01:10:55,280 Speaker 1: very different what she was saying behind the scenes beside 1532 01:10:55,320 --> 01:10:58,960 Speaker 1: what she was presenting to her viewing audience. So was 1533 01:10:59,000 --> 01:11:02,240 Speaker 1: that a factor? You know, who knows who knows what's 1534 01:11:02,240 --> 01:11:05,040 Speaker 1: going Only time will tell, right, Yeah, I may never. 1535 01:11:04,920 --> 01:11:08,800 Speaker 3: Know, Crystal, What do you take a look at? 1536 01:11:08,880 --> 01:11:12,040 Speaker 1: Wow, mass surveillance is class warfare. That is the major 1537 01:11:12,080 --> 01:11:14,679 Speaker 1: takeaway from a new Washington Post report about how facial 1538 01:11:14,720 --> 01:11:17,519 Speaker 1: recognition and surveillance cameras are being used to strip the 1539 01:11:17,600 --> 01:11:20,840 Speaker 1: rights and the dignity from poor residents of public housing projects. 1540 01:11:21,200 --> 01:11:23,439 Speaker 1: So here's that report. The headline is Eyes on the 1541 01:11:23,439 --> 01:11:27,360 Speaker 1: Poor Cameras, Facial recognition watch over public Housing, and it 1542 01:11:27,479 --> 01:11:31,040 Speaker 1: tracks how public housing projects are increasingly using surveillance tech 1543 01:11:31,080 --> 01:11:35,720 Speaker 1: to track every little movement of residents, weaponizing the technology 1544 01:11:35,720 --> 01:11:39,840 Speaker 1: to evict residents over really minor infractions. According to Post, 1545 01:11:39,880 --> 01:11:42,519 Speaker 1: this is happening in small, rural communities and major metro 1546 01:11:42,600 --> 01:11:44,640 Speaker 1: areas alike. Just take a look at this graphic. It 1547 01:11:44,680 --> 01:11:48,400 Speaker 1: shows the number of cameras installed per resident in public 1548 01:11:48,400 --> 01:11:51,240 Speaker 1: housing projects from New York City to Rolette, North Dakota. 1549 01:11:51,479 --> 01:11:54,320 Speaker 1: Some of these places have more cameras per person than 1550 01:11:54,360 --> 01:11:57,439 Speaker 1: the Louver and the and many casinos, which are famous, 1551 01:11:57,439 --> 01:12:00,759 Speaker 1: of course, for sophisticated player surveillance. There is no tracking 1552 01:12:00,840 --> 01:12:03,280 Speaker 1: of how many residents have been evicted based on these 1553 01:12:03,320 --> 01:12:07,160 Speaker 1: monitoring systems, but evidence suggests that the number is significant 1554 01:12:07,240 --> 01:12:11,280 Speaker 1: and rising. So first of all, overall, evictions have skyrocketed 1555 01:12:11,280 --> 01:12:14,920 Speaker 1: in public housing post pandemic. Princeton's Eviction Lab tracks a 1556 01:12:14,960 --> 01:12:17,599 Speaker 1: portion of these public housing projects. They found that evictions 1557 01:12:17,640 --> 01:12:19,559 Speaker 1: in the ten States and thirty four cities that they 1558 01:12:19,600 --> 01:12:23,880 Speaker 1: monitor have doubled since the end of the pandemic era moratoriums, 1559 01:12:24,240 --> 01:12:27,000 Speaker 1: rising to five thousand, five hundred seventy six in twenty 1560 01:12:27,040 --> 01:12:29,400 Speaker 1: twenty two. That was a faster rate of increase than 1561 01:12:29,400 --> 01:12:32,760 Speaker 1: evictions from other housing units across the country. What's more, 1562 01:12:33,280 --> 01:12:36,479 Speaker 1: interviews with advocates suggest that these newly installed high tech 1563 01:12:36,479 --> 01:12:39,679 Speaker 1: camera systems have been crucial in trying to push people out. 1564 01:12:40,040 --> 01:12:42,839 Speaker 1: The Post spoke with numerous residents who had been tracked, harassed, 1565 01:12:42,840 --> 01:12:45,639 Speaker 1: and kicked out for violating rules about guests, or about 1566 01:12:45,680 --> 01:12:48,040 Speaker 1: smoking too close to the building, or even for removing 1567 01:12:48,080 --> 01:12:51,000 Speaker 1: a cart from the laundry room. They interviewed one single mom, 1568 01:12:51,040 --> 01:12:53,960 Speaker 1: Tanya Akabu, in New Bedford, Massachusetts, who is trying to 1569 01:12:54,000 --> 01:12:56,559 Speaker 1: balance childcare with her day job. She's a bus driver 1570 01:12:56,640 --> 01:12:58,519 Speaker 1: and she's also going to night school training to be 1571 01:12:58,560 --> 01:13:00,920 Speaker 1: a lab technician. From the sound of things, she was 1572 01:13:00,960 --> 01:13:03,200 Speaker 1: trying to do everything right, trying to educate herself so 1573 01:13:03,240 --> 01:13:05,160 Speaker 1: she could get a higher paying job to better support 1574 01:13:05,200 --> 01:13:08,040 Speaker 1: herself and her kiddos, but given the expense of childcare 1575 01:13:08,080 --> 01:13:09,800 Speaker 1: in this country, she had to rely on her ex 1576 01:13:09,920 --> 01:13:12,080 Speaker 1: husband to help care for her kids while she was 1577 01:13:12,120 --> 01:13:14,639 Speaker 1: at work and while she was at school. The building 1578 01:13:14,720 --> 01:13:18,479 Speaker 1: accused him of actually living at the apartment, violating their rules, 1579 01:13:18,479 --> 01:13:21,360 Speaker 1: and they used the surveillance tech to make their case. 1580 01:13:21,760 --> 01:13:24,679 Speaker 1: The housing authority actually used software to place a digital 1581 01:13:24,720 --> 01:13:27,280 Speaker 1: marker next to a Kabu's front door and told the 1582 01:13:27,280 --> 01:13:30,000 Speaker 1: system to retrieve every moment when motion was detected near 1583 01:13:30,080 --> 01:13:32,639 Speaker 1: the marker. Documents in interviews show going from the post 1584 01:13:32,640 --> 01:13:36,200 Speaker 1: here when her property manager suspected that a Kabu's ax 1585 01:13:36,360 --> 01:13:38,559 Speaker 1: was leaving through the back door. She set up a 1586 01:13:38,600 --> 01:13:42,240 Speaker 1: portable camera in the backyard pointed directly at that door. 1587 01:13:42,400 --> 01:13:44,840 Speaker 1: It's according to housing authority officials and a review of 1588 01:13:44,880 --> 01:13:48,000 Speaker 1: the surveillance video obtained and verified by the Post, it 1589 01:13:48,080 --> 01:13:50,280 Speaker 1: got to the point where it was like harassment. A 1590 01:13:50,360 --> 01:13:53,760 Speaker 1: Kabu thirty three said, they really made my life hell. 1591 01:13:54,400 --> 01:13:56,519 Speaker 1: She says she presented evidence to the building that her 1592 01:13:56,520 --> 01:13:58,519 Speaker 1: ex was not in fact living there, that he had 1593 01:13:58,560 --> 01:14:01,680 Speaker 1: another different residence, but they didn't believe her and she 1594 01:14:01,800 --> 01:14:04,759 Speaker 1: still was evicted. Now, another sixty eight year old woman 1595 01:14:04,760 --> 01:14:06,920 Speaker 1: was evicted when cameras caught her smoking too close to 1596 01:14:06,920 --> 01:14:10,200 Speaker 1: the building and allegedly getting into disputes with the other residents. 1597 01:14:10,240 --> 01:14:12,559 Speaker 1: After being forced down in public housing, she landed on 1598 01:14:12,560 --> 01:14:16,599 Speaker 1: her sister's couch, desperately searching for some other stable living situation. 1599 01:14:17,240 --> 01:14:18,960 Speaker 1: Just once she thought that she had caught a break 1600 01:14:18,960 --> 01:14:22,000 Speaker 1: with another building accepting her rental application, she's back to 1601 01:14:22,000 --> 01:14:24,519 Speaker 1: square one after they talked to the public housing management 1602 01:14:24,520 --> 01:14:26,519 Speaker 1: and decided they did not want her in their building 1603 01:14:26,600 --> 01:14:29,200 Speaker 1: after all. It shows you how a single eviction can 1604 01:14:29,240 --> 01:14:32,280 Speaker 1: really derail an entire life. So what is behind the 1605 01:14:32,360 --> 01:14:35,559 Speaker 1: rise of this level of surveillance. Now in part, the 1606 01:14:35,600 --> 01:14:39,839 Speaker 1: installation is reaction to entirely justified concerns about crime, violence, 1607 01:14:39,880 --> 01:14:43,760 Speaker 1: and theft. Residents and management alike. They want these complexes 1608 01:14:43,800 --> 01:14:45,880 Speaker 1: to be safe and calm, of course, not dens of 1609 01:14:46,000 --> 01:14:48,920 Speaker 1: drug use or gang infighting. A pandemic crime surge is 1610 01:14:49,000 --> 01:14:51,840 Speaker 1: hit poor neighborhoods such as these particularly hard and public 1611 01:14:51,880 --> 01:14:54,240 Speaker 1: housing projects don't have the resources to do much of 1612 01:14:54,280 --> 01:14:56,960 Speaker 1: anything other than apply a clumsy surveillance band aid to 1613 01:14:57,080 --> 01:14:59,000 Speaker 1: a gaping national social problem. 1614 01:14:59,360 --> 01:15:00,760 Speaker 4: The problem goes back further too. 1615 01:15:00,800 --> 01:15:03,120 Speaker 1: In nineteen eighty nine, at the height of the crack epidemic, 1616 01:15:03,200 --> 01:15:06,120 Speaker 1: federal legislators passed one hundred million dollars in funding to 1617 01:15:06,160 --> 01:15:09,559 Speaker 1: provide a wide range of social services, drug rehab, and 1618 01:15:09,640 --> 01:15:13,519 Speaker 1: enhance security to public housing. That funding was stripped under 1619 01:15:13,520 --> 01:15:16,679 Speaker 1: the Bush administration and replaced with a much smaller grant 1620 01:15:16,720 --> 01:15:19,760 Speaker 1: of just ten million dollars to install security features things 1621 01:15:19,840 --> 01:15:24,360 Speaker 1: like cameras, doors, carbon monoxide detectors, and the like. So Unfortunately, 1622 01:15:24,400 --> 01:15:26,680 Speaker 1: while it's pretty clear the cameras have been intrusive to 1623 01:15:26,720 --> 01:15:29,720 Speaker 1: residents and have turned their entire lives into police state nightmare, 1624 01:15:29,920 --> 01:15:32,960 Speaker 1: there is no real evidence that they've been successful in 1625 01:15:33,000 --> 01:15:36,000 Speaker 1: combating crime that residents would want them to. In rural 1626 01:15:36,000 --> 01:15:39,559 Speaker 1: Scott County, Virginia, their algorithm base surveillance system has only 1627 01:15:39,600 --> 01:15:41,960 Speaker 1: turned up a single match for an individual who is 1628 01:15:42,000 --> 01:15:45,320 Speaker 1: banned from the complex. And these bandlifts list our in 1629 01:15:45,360 --> 01:15:47,920 Speaker 1: and of themselves actually controversial since people can end up 1630 01:15:47,960 --> 01:15:50,559 Speaker 1: on them without ever having been charged with or convicted 1631 01:15:50,600 --> 01:15:53,200 Speaker 1: of a crime. The person this system match too, had 1632 01:15:53,200 --> 01:15:56,040 Speaker 1: been accused of domestic violence, the charges were never filed. 1633 01:15:56,520 --> 01:15:58,599 Speaker 1: In this story, we kind of see the perfect storm 1634 01:15:58,640 --> 01:16:01,400 Speaker 1: of societal ills that were gropped with all across the country. 1635 01:16:01,400 --> 01:16:03,559 Speaker 1: You've got a mistrust of and contempt for the poor 1636 01:16:03,800 --> 01:16:05,799 Speaker 1: that justifies dehumanizing treatment. 1637 01:16:05,960 --> 01:16:07,520 Speaker 4: You've got a post pandemic. 1638 01:16:07,080 --> 01:16:10,120 Speaker 1: Crime spike that has disproportionately victimized the poor. You've got 1639 01:16:10,120 --> 01:16:12,720 Speaker 1: a response to that crime spike that lacks resources and 1640 01:16:12,760 --> 01:16:15,439 Speaker 1: will to deal with root causes and instead just further 1641 01:16:15,479 --> 01:16:16,439 Speaker 1: emiserates the poor. 1642 01:16:16,680 --> 01:16:17,840 Speaker 4: A tech search that is. 1643 01:16:17,720 --> 01:16:21,400 Speaker 1: Increasingly penetrating even the most intimate of spaces for everyone, 1644 01:16:21,720 --> 01:16:24,839 Speaker 1: and looming over all of it, a housing affordability crisis 1645 01:16:24,840 --> 01:16:28,200 Speaker 1: that squeezes everyone except the wealthy, and constantly threatens the 1646 01:16:28,240 --> 01:16:32,080 Speaker 1: working poor with outright homelessness. People don't need Big Brother 1647 01:16:32,160 --> 01:16:35,040 Speaker 1: watching them. They need healthcare, a living wage, childcare, and 1648 01:16:35,080 --> 01:16:38,920 Speaker 1: perhaps above all, decent affordable housing. All the cameras in 1649 01:16:38,960 --> 01:16:41,240 Speaker 1: the world are not going to fix what ails us. 1650 01:16:41,439 --> 01:16:43,400 Speaker 1: And that's the Rubsager is a lot of these rests. 1651 01:16:43,439 --> 01:16:46,160 Speaker 2: And if you want to hear my reaction to Crystal's monologue, 1652 01:16:46,160 --> 01:16:51,640 Speaker 2: become a premium subscriber today at Breakingpoints dot Com. 1653 01:16:51,680 --> 01:16:52,920 Speaker 4: All right, Saga, what are you looking at? 1654 01:16:53,000 --> 01:16:55,479 Speaker 2: Well, it's time to check in with the cable ratings. Yes, 1655 01:16:55,560 --> 01:16:58,240 Speaker 2: I know it can seem gratuitous my honest answer. Maybe 1656 01:16:58,240 --> 01:17:00,920 Speaker 2: you're right, but sometimes I can not help myself. And 1657 01:17:00,960 --> 01:17:03,120 Speaker 2: the more that we remind everyone just how pathetic and 1658 01:17:03,120 --> 01:17:05,360 Speaker 2: badly they are doing, the better. One of the big 1659 01:17:05,400 --> 01:17:08,040 Speaker 2: predictions we've made here here after Tucker Carlston's departure from 1660 01:17:08,080 --> 01:17:11,080 Speaker 2: Fox News comes true is that this time it really 1661 01:17:11,120 --> 01:17:14,120 Speaker 2: is different. Fox would have a very difficult time recovering 1662 01:17:14,120 --> 01:17:16,600 Speaker 2: their primetime lineup and has given the median age of 1663 01:17:16,640 --> 01:17:19,160 Speaker 2: their viewers it is now mid seventies, they just don't 1664 01:17:19,160 --> 01:17:21,640 Speaker 2: have that much time to get it right. Already, that 1665 01:17:21,640 --> 01:17:24,920 Speaker 2: prediction is bearing fruit MSNBC, for the first time in years, 1666 01:17:25,000 --> 01:17:28,080 Speaker 2: is now consistently beating Fox in primetime across the board, 1667 01:17:28,160 --> 01:17:31,800 Speaker 2: and MSNBC averaged one point eight million viewers between eight 1668 01:17:31,840 --> 01:17:35,320 Speaker 2: to eleven. Fox averaged one point seven million, CNN average 1669 01:17:35,320 --> 01:17:37,880 Speaker 2: four hundred and eighty five thousand, Newsmax four hundred and 1670 01:17:37,880 --> 01:17:40,200 Speaker 2: twenty thousand. Now, of course, at least on their face, 1671 01:17:40,280 --> 01:17:43,320 Speaker 2: MSNBC and Fox numbers sound impressive, and CNN, though, is 1672 01:17:43,320 --> 01:17:46,080 Speaker 2: in another league of pathetic. But once again, consider the 1673 01:17:46,160 --> 01:17:48,800 Speaker 2: number of viewers that they have in their key demographic. 1674 01:17:49,160 --> 01:17:52,040 Speaker 2: Even here, MSNBC may beat Fox, but they're still only 1675 01:17:52,040 --> 01:17:54,280 Speaker 2: getting one hundred and eighty eight thousand viewers below the 1676 01:17:54,280 --> 01:17:56,439 Speaker 2: age of fifty four. Fox is only able to get 1677 01:17:56,439 --> 01:17:59,240 Speaker 2: one hundred and seventy four thousand, CNN one point seventeen, 1678 01:17:59,479 --> 01:18:03,240 Speaker 2: News Max forty four terrestrial and old TV. Cable TV 1679 01:18:03,439 --> 01:18:06,280 Speaker 2: is truly the last home of the boomer. I recently 1680 01:18:06,320 --> 01:18:08,000 Speaker 2: was told by an insider, and I swear I am 1681 01:18:08,040 --> 01:18:10,519 Speaker 2: not making this up, is that one reason Fox News 1682 01:18:10,560 --> 01:18:13,160 Speaker 2: is not too worried about losing its overall audience is 1683 01:18:13,160 --> 01:18:16,280 Speaker 2: because their audience is so old they quote have difficulty 1684 01:18:16,400 --> 01:18:20,240 Speaker 2: physically handling the remote and changing the check. I swear 1685 01:18:20,320 --> 01:18:22,599 Speaker 2: that's a true story, directly told to me by someone 1686 01:18:22,640 --> 01:18:23,240 Speaker 2: with knowledge. 1687 01:18:23,320 --> 01:18:24,519 Speaker 3: That is a direct quote. 1688 01:18:24,600 --> 01:18:27,680 Speaker 2: But even with the last holdout of Boomers over our 1689 01:18:27,760 --> 01:18:30,679 Speaker 2: mass culture, here too, there are signs of big trouble. 1690 01:18:30,920 --> 01:18:33,920 Speaker 2: CNN has lost out to Newsmax and its overall number 1691 01:18:33,920 --> 01:18:36,479 Speaker 2: of viewers in primetime on Friday night, and they were 1692 01:18:36,520 --> 01:18:38,599 Speaker 2: only able to pull some three hundred and thirty five 1693 01:18:38,640 --> 01:18:41,759 Speaker 2: thousand viewers on average throughout the eight eight to eleven 1694 01:18:41,760 --> 01:18:44,559 Speaker 2: PM hour. Ten PM, Chris Wallace was actually able to 1695 01:18:44,600 --> 01:18:46,840 Speaker 2: pull in only two hundred and sixty three This put 1696 01:18:46,920 --> 01:18:50,600 Speaker 2: Anderson Cooper's show also behind Eric Bowling over on Newsmax. 1697 01:18:50,920 --> 01:18:53,639 Speaker 2: Consider how crazy all of this is when you think 1698 01:18:53,640 --> 01:18:56,880 Speaker 2: about these people's salaries. Cooper is supposedly a household name, 1699 01:18:56,920 --> 01:18:59,320 Speaker 2: a literal Vanderbilt. Surely he should be able to get 1700 01:18:59,320 --> 01:19:02,200 Speaker 2: some people to watch show, yet year after year to 1701 01:19:02,280 --> 01:19:05,320 Speaker 2: do so and still command some twelve million dollars per year. 1702 01:19:05,600 --> 01:19:09,000 Speaker 2: Chris Wallace, same thing, supposedly a household name, famous dad. 1703 01:19:09,280 --> 01:19:12,400 Speaker 2: Huge coup for CNN, plus after leaving Fox News is 1704 01:19:12,439 --> 01:19:15,439 Speaker 2: making millions at CNN to do the lowest rated show 1705 01:19:15,439 --> 01:19:18,160 Speaker 2: on cable TV and get beaten by Newsmax. None of 1706 01:19:18,160 --> 01:19:20,240 Speaker 2: it really makes any sense at all, and it's why 1707 01:19:20,280 --> 01:19:22,600 Speaker 2: I can't stop talking about it, because the absurdity of 1708 01:19:22,640 --> 01:19:24,880 Speaker 2: it all eventually has to catch up to reality. So 1709 01:19:24,880 --> 01:19:26,920 Speaker 2: many people inside the system are so captured by it 1710 01:19:26,920 --> 01:19:29,479 Speaker 2: they will pretend to be surprised when it all crumbles down. 1711 01:19:29,680 --> 01:19:32,759 Speaker 2: At the same time, Over in sports media, though, something 1712 01:19:32,920 --> 01:19:36,360 Speaker 2: very interesting indeed is happening. Sports media is important to 1713 01:19:36,400 --> 01:19:38,679 Speaker 2: watch because many of the trends that end up happening 1714 01:19:38,720 --> 01:19:42,600 Speaker 2: in political media start over there. Pat McAfee, the sports jruggernaut, 1715 01:19:42,680 --> 01:19:45,280 Speaker 2: in a shocking move, is going to air his show 1716 01:19:45,560 --> 01:19:46,439 Speaker 2: on ESPN. 1717 01:19:46,720 --> 01:19:47,479 Speaker 3: But here's the deal. 1718 01:19:47,640 --> 01:19:49,760 Speaker 2: He's walking away from one hundred and twenty million dollar 1719 01:19:49,840 --> 01:19:52,599 Speaker 2: deal with FanDuel for sponsorship of his current show. Instead, 1720 01:19:52,680 --> 01:19:54,479 Speaker 2: he will be now airing all three hours of his 1721 01:19:54,520 --> 01:19:58,280 Speaker 2: show on ESPN ESPN Plus. But what's surprising here not 1722 01:19:58,360 --> 01:20:02,400 Speaker 2: the dollars, it's the terms of his contract. All reporting 1723 01:20:02,479 --> 01:20:05,600 Speaker 2: indicates all McAfee had to really give up was the 1724 01:20:05,640 --> 01:20:08,280 Speaker 2: ability to say the F word during his show. His 1725 01:20:08,360 --> 01:20:12,040 Speaker 2: show will remain streaming live for free on YouTube. He 1726 01:20:12,120 --> 01:20:15,760 Speaker 2: will maintain editorial control. His deal is more like a 1727 01:20:15,800 --> 01:20:19,559 Speaker 2: licensing agreement than a full blown acquisition. Think about what 1728 01:20:19,600 --> 01:20:23,160 Speaker 2: it means. Pat McAfee is so valuable now to ESPN 1729 01:20:23,200 --> 01:20:26,240 Speaker 2: and to Disney they are willing to pay him upwards 1730 01:20:26,280 --> 01:20:29,640 Speaker 2: of ten million dollars a year, probably more, just to 1731 01:20:29,680 --> 01:20:33,960 Speaker 2: have his stuff on their program while you can continue 1732 01:20:34,000 --> 01:20:37,000 Speaker 2: to watch it for free on YouTube. No network deal 1733 01:20:37,240 --> 01:20:40,040 Speaker 2: in history has ever been more friendly to somebody on 1734 01:20:40,080 --> 01:20:40,559 Speaker 2: the Internet. 1735 01:20:40,760 --> 01:20:40,920 Speaker 1: Now. 1736 01:20:40,920 --> 01:20:42,800 Speaker 2: The only caveat I'm going to give is if Pat 1737 01:20:42,800 --> 01:20:45,200 Speaker 2: thinks he's getting away just so easy as to stop 1738 01:20:45,240 --> 01:20:47,400 Speaker 2: saying the F word, probably has another thing coming. 1739 01:20:47,600 --> 01:20:47,880 Speaker 6: Just out. 1740 01:20:47,960 --> 01:20:50,559 Speaker 2: Yesterday, for example, a news broke that ESPN had dropped 1741 01:20:50,560 --> 01:20:53,559 Speaker 2: a documentary about the Chinese American tennis star Michael Chang, 1742 01:20:53,680 --> 01:20:56,479 Speaker 2: who won the nineteen eighty nine French Open as a 1743 01:20:56,520 --> 01:20:59,320 Speaker 2: young man and was inspired by the Tanaman Square masaker. 1744 01:21:00,000 --> 01:21:01,000 Speaker 3: And guess why they dropped it. 1745 01:21:01,160 --> 01:21:03,280 Speaker 2: I'm just sure it has editorial had nothing to do 1746 01:21:03,320 --> 01:21:06,320 Speaker 2: with Disney's parent company's relationship to the Chinese Communist Party. 1747 01:21:06,479 --> 01:21:08,320 Speaker 2: But the broader point that I am making is that 1748 01:21:08,400 --> 01:21:11,320 Speaker 2: a network acquiring a streamer and letting him continue to 1749 01:21:11,360 --> 01:21:14,599 Speaker 2: stream where he continued to own his IP is crazy. 1750 01:21:14,800 --> 01:21:16,040 Speaker 3: That's how desperate that they. 1751 01:21:15,920 --> 01:21:18,200 Speaker 2: Are just to squeeze even a few more people watching 1752 01:21:18,200 --> 01:21:21,160 Speaker 2: their dwindling channels. Now rest assured, that is not going 1753 01:21:21,200 --> 01:21:23,080 Speaker 2: to happen over here, nor do we want it to. 1754 01:21:23,360 --> 01:21:25,479 Speaker 2: It is only just a big sign of how things 1755 01:21:25,520 --> 01:21:28,559 Speaker 2: are going in the opposite direction from the arrogance and 1756 01:21:28,600 --> 01:21:31,800 Speaker 2: the confidence which the mainstream media consider their role in 1757 01:21:31,840 --> 01:21:34,920 Speaker 2: our society. And it's very fitting since Tucker's departure, the 1758 01:21:34,920 --> 01:21:36,760 Speaker 2: only person who's been able to pull real numbers on 1759 01:21:36,840 --> 01:21:39,960 Speaker 2: MSNBC Rachel Maddow. She only works one day a week 1760 01:21:40,040 --> 01:21:43,120 Speaker 2: on MSNBC, yet she still continues to petter her nonsense. 1761 01:21:43,320 --> 01:21:45,480 Speaker 3: Nonetheless, though people love that nonsense. 1762 01:21:45,600 --> 01:21:48,080 Speaker 2: She's basically the very last of her breed capable of 1763 01:21:48,120 --> 01:21:50,760 Speaker 2: doing that. Tucker and Rachel, in my opinion i've said before, 1764 01:21:50,840 --> 01:21:53,080 Speaker 2: probably the very last to play the game at this level, 1765 01:21:53,240 --> 01:21:55,920 Speaker 2: and even their numbers poultry compared to the ten years ago. 1766 01:21:56,120 --> 01:21:58,640 Speaker 2: As I've showed you all before, the total collapse of 1767 01:21:58,680 --> 01:22:01,719 Speaker 2: the cable news business now decade is all but assured, 1768 01:22:01,880 --> 01:22:04,240 Speaker 2: but it also will not stop a Feinstein level of 1769 01:22:04,320 --> 01:22:07,439 Speaker 2: delusion from remaining on here. The only question is about 1770 01:22:07,479 --> 01:22:09,720 Speaker 2: power and whether they wake up to how much the 1771 01:22:09,760 --> 01:22:12,880 Speaker 2: world is changing every year and every day. I thought 1772 01:22:12,920 --> 01:22:15,000 Speaker 2: the McAfee deal is actually the most important. 1773 01:22:15,040 --> 01:22:17,880 Speaker 1: And if you want to hear my reaction to Sagres's monologue, 1774 01:22:17,920 --> 01:22:23,760 Speaker 1: become a premium subscriber today at breakingpoints dot com. 1775 01:22:24,000 --> 01:22:26,280 Speaker 2: Joining us now, old friend of mine, Shelby Talcotch. He's 1776 01:22:26,280 --> 01:22:28,280 Speaker 2: a political reporter over at Semaphore's rich. 1777 01:22:28,200 --> 01:22:28,479 Speaker 3: To see you. 1778 01:22:28,680 --> 01:22:29,360 Speaker 1: Nice to be here. 1779 01:22:29,479 --> 01:22:31,839 Speaker 2: Okay, so Shelby, you've been all over the GOP primer 1780 01:22:31,920 --> 01:22:34,480 Speaker 2: or I guess the not technical primary yet but officially 1781 01:22:34,560 --> 01:22:37,679 Speaker 2: probably primary that's happening right now. We were just talking 1782 01:22:37,680 --> 01:22:40,880 Speaker 2: about news drawn DeSantis very likely set to launch his 1783 01:22:40,960 --> 01:22:43,360 Speaker 2: campaign either next week or sometime within that. 1784 01:22:43,400 --> 01:22:45,080 Speaker 3: You wrote a new piece. Let's put it up there 1785 01:22:45,080 --> 01:22:45,920 Speaker 3: on the screen. 1786 01:22:46,000 --> 01:22:49,320 Speaker 2: The real twenty twenty four campaign started in Iowa this weekend. 1787 01:22:49,439 --> 01:22:51,160 Speaker 2: Desant is giving us a little bit of a preview 1788 01:22:51,360 --> 01:22:52,600 Speaker 2: of what he's going to be doing. Tell us a 1789 01:22:52,600 --> 01:22:54,479 Speaker 2: little bit about what you learned what this primary is 1790 01:22:54,479 --> 01:22:55,040 Speaker 2: going to look like. 1791 01:22:55,240 --> 01:22:58,200 Speaker 7: Yeah, I think it's been obvious that DeSantis is running 1792 01:22:58,200 --> 01:23:00,320 Speaker 7: for a long time, but this was the first speak 1793 01:23:00,320 --> 01:23:02,960 Speaker 7: and that I really noticed him kind of branch out 1794 01:23:03,000 --> 01:23:06,960 Speaker 7: of his Florida focused rhetoric, and so I'm sure you 1795 01:23:07,000 --> 01:23:09,080 Speaker 7: guys saw over the past few months when he was 1796 01:23:09,120 --> 01:23:11,280 Speaker 7: doing his book tour, it was very Florida focused. This 1797 01:23:11,360 --> 01:23:13,720 Speaker 7: time he started branching out and he started giving kind 1798 01:23:13,720 --> 01:23:17,920 Speaker 7: of indirect jobs over at at Trump he did the 1799 01:23:18,000 --> 01:23:21,120 Speaker 7: you know, handshaking and the flipping the burgers for the 1800 01:23:21,280 --> 01:23:24,320 Speaker 7: for the press. He didn't give a press he didn't 1801 01:23:24,360 --> 01:23:28,640 Speaker 7: speak to the press, which was notable because Congressman Fiinstra's 1802 01:23:28,680 --> 01:23:31,240 Speaker 7: people were really pushing his team to do so, and 1803 01:23:31,280 --> 01:23:34,960 Speaker 7: they essentially, from my understanding, were telling his team, well, hey, 1804 01:23:35,040 --> 01:23:37,639 Speaker 7: this is this is how we do things every year, 1805 01:23:37,720 --> 01:23:40,240 Speaker 7: and this is you know, your your WoT to launch. 1806 01:23:40,040 --> 01:23:42,080 Speaker 1: R presidential campaign. This is how things have to be. 1807 01:23:42,840 --> 01:23:45,080 Speaker 7: But by and large, it was really the first indication 1808 01:23:45,160 --> 01:23:47,120 Speaker 7: I felt like that things are heating up. 1809 01:23:47,920 --> 01:23:49,240 Speaker 1: He's about to announce, got it. 1810 01:23:49,320 --> 01:23:50,640 Speaker 4: So how did he do? 1811 01:23:50,760 --> 01:23:52,559 Speaker 1: In terms of the knock on him has been like, oh, 1812 01:23:52,600 --> 01:23:55,839 Speaker 1: he's not very personable, he's not very comfortable around people. 1813 01:23:55,880 --> 01:23:59,280 Speaker 1: He doesn't do like the glad handed handling a piece 1814 01:23:59,320 --> 01:24:02,120 Speaker 1: of politics very well. And there have been some indications 1815 01:24:02,160 --> 01:24:04,880 Speaker 1: of that. I mean, there was, you know, the one 1816 01:24:05,080 --> 01:24:07,320 Speaker 1: member of Congress that he met with and then directly 1817 01:24:07,360 --> 01:24:10,559 Speaker 1: afterwards endorsed Donald Trump. You had stories coming out about, Hey, 1818 01:24:10,560 --> 01:24:12,479 Speaker 1: I sat next to this dude for years, we served 1819 01:24:12,479 --> 01:24:14,679 Speaker 1: on the same committee, and he didn't even learn my name. 1820 01:24:15,560 --> 01:24:18,479 Speaker 1: Do you see any evidence of that on the nascent 1821 01:24:18,640 --> 01:24:19,880 Speaker 1: campaign trail thus far. 1822 01:24:20,280 --> 01:24:22,360 Speaker 7: Yeah, Listen, I think and I've talked to people close 1823 01:24:22,400 --> 01:24:24,120 Speaker 7: to him, and they acknowledge that it is not his 1824 01:24:24,160 --> 01:24:24,800 Speaker 7: bread and butter. 1825 01:24:25,920 --> 01:24:28,040 Speaker 1: He prefers to be at home. 1826 01:24:27,920 --> 01:24:30,040 Speaker 7: With his family, which I think is completely fine, but 1827 01:24:30,080 --> 01:24:33,000 Speaker 7: for presidential campaign you have to kind of branch out. 1828 01:24:33,240 --> 01:24:37,520 Speaker 7: So I'm seeing evidence that he is taking those criticisms 1829 01:24:37,600 --> 01:24:41,879 Speaker 7: and trying to apply them, but I'm also seeing evidence 1830 01:24:41,880 --> 01:24:44,200 Speaker 7: that it is not natural for him. You know, in Iowa, 1831 01:24:44,280 --> 01:24:46,400 Speaker 7: there was a clip of him as he was talking 1832 01:24:46,439 --> 01:24:50,439 Speaker 7: to prospective voters that went viral among the Trump team 1833 01:24:50,479 --> 01:24:53,960 Speaker 7: where he was like laughing really aggressively, and so, yeah, 1834 01:24:54,400 --> 01:24:56,680 Speaker 7: it's a little it's a little bit of awkwardness. 1835 01:24:56,760 --> 01:24:58,680 Speaker 2: The egregious part to me was the guy who was like, 1836 01:24:58,720 --> 01:25:00,640 Speaker 2: I drove two hours to come you, and he was 1837 01:25:00,640 --> 01:25:03,080 Speaker 2: like thanks and just turned around. I was like, oh, dude, 1838 01:25:03,120 --> 01:25:04,880 Speaker 2: I didn't even sav was not it was part of 1839 01:25:04,920 --> 01:25:06,479 Speaker 2: the same clip, but that one. 1840 01:25:06,520 --> 01:25:08,519 Speaker 3: I was like, that actually might be worse. Whenever you 1841 01:25:08,560 --> 01:25:09,160 Speaker 3: make people. 1842 01:25:08,920 --> 01:25:11,439 Speaker 2: Feel that way, tell us about the actual infrastruction of 1843 01:25:11,439 --> 01:25:11,880 Speaker 2: the campaign. 1844 01:25:11,960 --> 01:25:13,719 Speaker 3: Been covering now for quite some time. 1845 01:25:14,439 --> 01:25:16,280 Speaker 2: One of the you know things that we saw was 1846 01:25:16,280 --> 01:25:19,639 Speaker 2: that Trump canceled this event and des Moines and Everyone's like, oh, 1847 01:25:19,680 --> 01:25:21,799 Speaker 2: you know, de Santa's going to go in on Iowa. 1848 01:25:22,080 --> 01:25:23,439 Speaker 2: He's going to try and make the early stage part 1849 01:25:23,439 --> 01:25:25,400 Speaker 2: of his strategy. How would you assess the strength of 1850 01:25:25,439 --> 01:25:27,799 Speaker 2: their relative campaigns. I guess, you know, at the starting 1851 01:25:27,800 --> 01:25:28,719 Speaker 2: line right now. 1852 01:25:28,880 --> 01:25:29,880 Speaker 1: Well, I think it's early on. 1853 01:25:29,960 --> 01:25:32,360 Speaker 7: He certainly had a really tough month last month, and 1854 01:25:32,400 --> 01:25:35,120 Speaker 7: the Trump team was really on point. And you know, 1855 01:25:35,160 --> 01:25:38,360 Speaker 7: when he came out to Washington, d C. They announced 1856 01:25:38,400 --> 01:25:41,080 Speaker 7: a whole slew of Florida enforcements right in his backyard. 1857 01:25:42,280 --> 01:25:43,920 Speaker 7: And I think it was a little bit difficult for 1858 01:25:44,000 --> 01:25:47,200 Speaker 7: him because he's been of the mindset. Desanta's has been 1859 01:25:47,200 --> 01:25:50,280 Speaker 7: of the mindset that we're going to keep everything really 1860 01:25:50,320 --> 01:25:53,920 Speaker 7: locked down until we officially announced. I don't know if 1861 01:25:53,960 --> 01:25:58,080 Speaker 7: that's a missed up by his team, given you have 1862 01:25:58,160 --> 01:26:01,200 Speaker 7: Trump so aggressively for so long, kind of taking a 1863 01:26:01,240 --> 01:26:01,880 Speaker 7: beating on him. 1864 01:26:02,040 --> 01:26:03,000 Speaker 1: But as for Iowa. 1865 01:26:03,080 --> 01:26:06,639 Speaker 7: I actually think his team showed a lot of political 1866 01:26:06,680 --> 01:26:10,360 Speaker 7: savviness in you know, after they stayed on the ground 1867 01:26:10,400 --> 01:26:14,479 Speaker 7: first of all, in Iowa when there was a tornado watch, 1868 01:26:14,479 --> 01:26:16,720 Speaker 7: which I was in the state and it was a 1869 01:26:16,720 --> 01:26:21,679 Speaker 7: little bit rainy, but it was fine, fine. And then 1870 01:26:22,160 --> 01:26:24,960 Speaker 7: you know, they after the second event, they went and 1871 01:26:25,080 --> 01:26:27,920 Speaker 7: they posted up right in the backyard of where the 1872 01:26:27,920 --> 01:26:29,519 Speaker 7: Trump rally was supposed to be, and I thought that 1873 01:26:29,560 --> 01:26:33,600 Speaker 7: was that was really smart. And they were outside, you know, indicating, 1874 01:26:33,960 --> 01:26:36,559 Speaker 7: you know, what a beautiful night. So, yeah, there is 1875 01:26:36,640 --> 01:26:40,280 Speaker 7: political savvy there. A lot of his team, his official 1876 01:26:40,320 --> 01:26:42,320 Speaker 7: campaign team is going to be comprised of people who 1877 01:26:42,320 --> 01:26:45,599 Speaker 7: have been around him for a long time. Now, how 1878 01:26:45,640 --> 01:26:47,800 Speaker 7: that ends up expanding, I don't know. I know that 1879 01:26:47,880 --> 01:26:51,720 Speaker 7: Deshantis has been historically very focused on you know, he's 1880 01:26:51,800 --> 01:26:54,080 Speaker 7: very insular. It's him, it's his wife, and those are 1881 01:26:54,120 --> 01:26:55,680 Speaker 7: the two main people. And he's going to have to 1882 01:26:56,120 --> 01:26:59,400 Speaker 7: expand that a lot and figure out kind of new 1883 01:26:59,479 --> 01:27:01,599 Speaker 7: hires that he can trust. And I think that's going 1884 01:27:01,640 --> 01:27:03,639 Speaker 7: to be a really big test for him because he's 1885 01:27:03,720 --> 01:27:04,679 Speaker 7: never had to do that before. 1886 01:27:04,760 --> 01:27:08,519 Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree, what is their theory of case of 1887 01:27:08,560 --> 01:27:11,479 Speaker 1: the case about how to or weather even to go 1888 01:27:11,560 --> 01:27:13,760 Speaker 1: directly at Trump, because this is one of the things 1889 01:27:13,800 --> 01:27:16,080 Speaker 1: we've been talking about here. There's there's really double stareing. 1890 01:27:16,080 --> 01:27:18,080 Speaker 1: I mean, Trump has been saying all kinds of crazy 1891 01:27:18,080 --> 01:27:20,439 Speaker 1: stuff about to say he like basically said he's a groom, 1892 01:27:20,479 --> 01:27:24,160 Speaker 1: or I mean like just unleashing a slew of attacks 1893 01:27:24,240 --> 01:27:27,479 Speaker 1: against Ron DeSantis. DeSantis will make this little like sort 1894 01:27:27,520 --> 01:27:29,759 Speaker 1: of side job like I don't know anything about payments 1895 01:27:29,760 --> 01:27:32,000 Speaker 1: to porn stars, and people will freak out about it. 1896 01:27:32,360 --> 01:27:34,640 Speaker 1: So it's a very different standard he's held to. It 1897 01:27:34,680 --> 01:27:36,840 Speaker 1: may not be fair, but that's reality. Donald Trump gets 1898 01:27:36,840 --> 01:27:39,040 Speaker 1: away with a lot more than other politicians do and 1899 01:27:39,120 --> 01:27:42,160 Speaker 1: basically every sphere of his life and his political campaigns. 1900 01:27:42,640 --> 01:27:45,400 Speaker 1: But at the same time, DeSantis, I think, is going 1901 01:27:45,439 --> 01:27:48,520 Speaker 1: to have to make some sort of cojin argument against 1902 01:27:48,520 --> 01:27:52,040 Speaker 1: Trump that would land with a Republican base in order 1903 01:27:52,080 --> 01:27:55,559 Speaker 1: to supplant him, as you know, the Republican nominee. So 1904 01:27:55,720 --> 01:27:58,280 Speaker 1: how are they thinking about how to navigate that challenge? 1905 01:27:58,400 --> 01:28:01,240 Speaker 7: Yeah, So the big thing, and you noted it, it's 1906 01:28:01,280 --> 01:28:04,599 Speaker 7: not just Dysantis who's kind of sidestepping these attackskins Trump. 1907 01:28:04,680 --> 01:28:06,960 Speaker 7: It's virtually the entire twenty four. 1908 01:28:06,880 --> 01:28:09,240 Speaker 1: Field and Nikki Haley's not kicking. 1909 01:28:10,880 --> 01:28:14,759 Speaker 7: But there's like a legitimate I think there's a legitimate reason. 1910 01:28:14,840 --> 01:28:17,280 Speaker 7: Whether or not it should be a legitimate reason. It 1911 01:28:17,360 --> 01:28:19,240 Speaker 7: is when you go on the ground and talk to 1912 01:28:19,280 --> 01:28:23,160 Speaker 7: these voters, even the ones who don't want Trump to 1913 01:28:23,200 --> 01:28:25,840 Speaker 7: be president again also don't want to vote for someone 1914 01:28:25,840 --> 01:28:27,720 Speaker 7: who's directly attacking him. 1915 01:28:28,120 --> 01:28:29,200 Speaker 1: They like, they like. 1916 01:28:29,200 --> 01:28:32,000 Speaker 7: His record, They feel defensive because of the media, and 1917 01:28:32,040 --> 01:28:35,960 Speaker 7: so it's this like constant what line do can we 1918 01:28:36,040 --> 01:28:38,400 Speaker 7: cross without alienating the voter? 1919 01:28:38,520 --> 01:28:38,880 Speaker 1: Price? 1920 01:28:39,680 --> 01:28:43,000 Speaker 7: But I think, you know, I think Desantage is from 1921 01:28:43,360 --> 01:28:46,840 Speaker 7: people I've spoken to. His argument for the case against 1922 01:28:46,840 --> 01:28:49,240 Speaker 7: Trump is going to be look at my Florida record, 1923 01:28:49,720 --> 01:28:51,800 Speaker 7: and he's going to try to get to the right 1924 01:28:51,880 --> 01:28:53,200 Speaker 7: on Trump on almost every issue. 1925 01:28:53,200 --> 01:28:54,000 Speaker 1: We've already seen it. 1926 01:28:54,120 --> 01:28:56,400 Speaker 2: So tell us about that then, So you were on 1927 01:28:56,439 --> 01:28:58,160 Speaker 2: the ground with voters, the voters, the old people that 1928 01:28:58,240 --> 01:29:00,640 Speaker 2: actually matter, not any of our So what do you 1929 01:29:00,720 --> 01:29:02,759 Speaker 2: hear from them about people who are for DeSantis? 1930 01:29:02,840 --> 01:29:04,200 Speaker 3: What are they saying? What do they look? Are they 1931 01:29:04,200 --> 01:29:05,559 Speaker 3: college educated? Are they normal? 1932 01:29:05,600 --> 01:29:07,840 Speaker 2: Iowa voters like, who are these people? What do they 1933 01:29:07,880 --> 01:29:09,400 Speaker 2: want from the man? And why do they like him 1934 01:29:09,439 --> 01:29:10,000 Speaker 2: over Trump? 1935 01:29:10,200 --> 01:29:11,040 Speaker 1: I think there's a mix. 1936 01:29:11,080 --> 01:29:15,720 Speaker 7: It's certainly and I read an NBC article a few 1937 01:29:15,720 --> 01:29:18,880 Speaker 7: weeks ago that is one hundred percent accurate that even 1938 01:29:19,080 --> 01:29:22,800 Speaker 7: with Desanti's struggles the past month, he's still getting huge 1939 01:29:22,880 --> 01:29:25,439 Speaker 7: numbers of people to his events, like they're having to 1940 01:29:26,280 --> 01:29:29,160 Speaker 7: the Fiendstra event, I think was the most RSVPs that 1941 01:29:29,200 --> 01:29:32,040 Speaker 7: they've ever had. The second event, the GOP County Dinner, 1942 01:29:32,040 --> 01:29:36,200 Speaker 7: they had to like extend invites like he's he's people 1943 01:29:36,200 --> 01:29:39,960 Speaker 7: are very interested in him, and I think it's a 1944 01:29:40,000 --> 01:29:44,880 Speaker 7: mix of people, but they like him because they're by 1945 01:29:44,920 --> 01:29:48,120 Speaker 7: and large they're tired of the drama, yes, from the 1946 01:29:48,120 --> 01:29:51,040 Speaker 7: Trump administration. And that's what I'm hearing consistently is they're like, 1947 01:29:51,320 --> 01:29:55,439 Speaker 7: we like Trump, he did a great job, but we're 1948 01:29:55,479 --> 01:29:57,800 Speaker 7: just tired of the drama. We want someone younger, like 1949 01:29:58,240 --> 01:30:00,640 Speaker 7: Ronda Santis in Florida has been like really tight with 1950 01:30:00,720 --> 01:30:04,080 Speaker 7: his messaging. There's no you know, drama, there's no leaks, 1951 01:30:04,080 --> 01:30:07,439 Speaker 7: and they really like that. So really, the big thing, 1952 01:30:07,640 --> 01:30:11,040 Speaker 7: in my opinion from talking to voters is just they're 1953 01:30:11,040 --> 01:30:11,840 Speaker 7: tired of drama. 1954 01:30:12,360 --> 01:30:14,840 Speaker 1: What about What do you think of the attempt to 1955 01:30:14,880 --> 01:30:17,479 Speaker 1: get to Trump's right on certain issues? I mean, the 1956 01:30:17,479 --> 01:30:21,639 Speaker 1: two that come to mind are abortion and entitlements, because 1957 01:30:21,720 --> 01:30:24,240 Speaker 1: on the one hand, those for the right positions may 1958 01:30:24,280 --> 01:30:27,160 Speaker 1: certainly land with a significant portion of the Republican base. 1959 01:30:27,560 --> 01:30:29,559 Speaker 1: On the other hand, they kind of undercut his other 1960 01:30:29,680 --> 01:30:32,320 Speaker 1: argument that he would be more electable than Donald Trump. 1961 01:30:32,320 --> 01:30:33,759 Speaker 1: I mean, we all see the way that the abortion 1962 01:30:33,840 --> 01:30:37,200 Speaker 1: issue has been devastating for Republican candidates who who have 1963 01:30:37,960 --> 01:30:41,760 Speaker 1: taken extreme positions. We've certainly seen the way that you know, 1964 01:30:42,240 --> 01:30:45,479 Speaker 1: it's touching entitlements in any way is really off the table. 1965 01:30:45,520 --> 01:30:47,920 Speaker 1: And Ronda Santis talked about that certainly in the past, 1966 01:30:47,920 --> 01:30:50,160 Speaker 1: that he was open to cuts to social Security and medicare. 1967 01:30:50,600 --> 01:30:53,720 Speaker 1: So how are they looking at those challenges? How are 1968 01:30:53,800 --> 01:30:56,080 Speaker 1: voters seeing those And we've also had reports that some 1969 01:30:56,200 --> 01:30:59,080 Speaker 1: donors were upset by comments, especially on Ukraine and abortion. 1970 01:30:59,479 --> 01:31:02,760 Speaker 7: Yeah, I think in terms of how voters are looking 1971 01:31:02,760 --> 01:31:07,760 Speaker 7: at it, they still view him as more electable than Trump. 1972 01:31:08,160 --> 01:31:09,320 Speaker 1: Just because of the messiness. 1973 01:31:09,360 --> 01:31:12,599 Speaker 7: They view him as being less messy, yes, and so 1974 01:31:12,680 --> 01:31:14,840 Speaker 7: for them, And whether that's accurate or not, I've heard 1975 01:31:14,840 --> 01:31:19,519 Speaker 7: from the you know, Democratic operatives who are texting me saying, 1976 01:31:19,760 --> 01:31:22,000 Speaker 7: oh Ron DeSantis said this about abortion, Like we're going 1977 01:31:22,080 --> 01:31:24,799 Speaker 7: to use this in the future, like this recent comment 1978 01:31:24,840 --> 01:31:28,120 Speaker 7: about hitting Trump over the abortion thing. They said, this 1979 01:31:28,200 --> 01:31:30,000 Speaker 7: is going to be a talking point for us. So 1980 01:31:30,040 --> 01:31:31,519 Speaker 7: it is going to be a struggle, like how far 1981 01:31:31,600 --> 01:31:33,519 Speaker 7: right can you go before you lose some of those 1982 01:31:33,560 --> 01:31:35,519 Speaker 7: independent voters or some of those people who are maybe 1983 01:31:35,520 --> 01:31:39,759 Speaker 7: a little bit more moderate socially particularly. 1984 01:31:39,240 --> 01:31:41,400 Speaker 2: Yeah, exactly, I mean that's the you know, the real 1985 01:31:41,760 --> 01:31:43,439 Speaker 2: problem I think that he has. 1986 01:31:43,479 --> 01:31:44,639 Speaker 3: And it's kind of interesting. 1987 01:31:44,680 --> 01:31:46,920 Speaker 2: I mean, whenever you okay, let's let's flip to the 1988 01:31:46,920 --> 01:31:48,519 Speaker 2: Trump side, you know, whenever you talk not surely the 1989 01:31:48,520 --> 01:31:50,200 Speaker 2: Trump campaign, the voters that you actually see on the 1990 01:31:50,200 --> 01:31:52,559 Speaker 2: ground that love Trump, why do they want to stick 1991 01:31:52,600 --> 01:31:55,160 Speaker 2: with him and not DeSantis? What do they say about DeSantis? 1992 01:31:55,240 --> 01:31:57,080 Speaker 2: I like the guy, but I love Trump? Like what 1993 01:31:57,120 --> 01:31:57,720 Speaker 2: does it look like? 1994 01:31:58,360 --> 01:32:01,680 Speaker 7: The big message I hear is I like DeSantis, but 1995 01:32:01,760 --> 01:32:04,840 Speaker 7: it's not his turn? Yes, right, But but the thing 1996 01:32:04,920 --> 01:32:07,280 Speaker 7: with the Trump based when I go to Trump events, 1997 01:32:07,320 --> 01:32:11,760 Speaker 7: it's different than any other candidate that I that I. 1998 01:32:11,600 --> 01:32:13,439 Speaker 2: This is hard to explain to people. Can you explain 1999 01:32:13,479 --> 01:32:14,880 Speaker 2: that because I've been to events like this. 2000 01:32:14,880 --> 01:32:17,360 Speaker 7: Is it's like you go to a Disanta's event and 2001 01:32:17,400 --> 01:32:21,639 Speaker 7: there's kind of like normal voters who are looking into 2002 01:32:21,680 --> 01:32:24,599 Speaker 7: the fields. They're not necessarily committed to any one candidate. 2003 01:32:24,680 --> 01:32:26,519 Speaker 7: They're just you know, kind of you know, they like 2004 01:32:26,560 --> 01:32:29,360 Speaker 7: being courted. It's Iowa, okay, I'm sure. And then you 2005 01:32:29,400 --> 01:32:31,600 Speaker 7: go to these Trump events and these Trump valleys, and 2006 01:32:31,640 --> 01:32:34,200 Speaker 7: these are like it's like fans. Yeah, it's like a 2007 01:32:35,160 --> 01:32:39,960 Speaker 7: yes exactly, and so it's very different talking to them 2008 01:32:40,080 --> 01:32:42,960 Speaker 7: versus talking to voters at some of these other events. 2009 01:32:43,000 --> 01:32:45,559 Speaker 3: Yes, yeah, well I always tried to handle that home 2010 01:32:45,600 --> 01:32:47,000 Speaker 3: to people. It literally is. 2011 01:32:46,960 --> 01:32:49,360 Speaker 2: Like nothing else in politics, and I haven't seen it 2012 01:32:49,400 --> 01:32:50,080 Speaker 2: in a long time. 2013 01:32:50,280 --> 01:32:51,439 Speaker 3: Shelby, thank you so much for joining us. 2014 01:32:51,760 --> 01:32:52,280 Speaker 1: Thanks you coming. 2015 01:32:53,160 --> 01:32:54,600 Speaker 2: It was great talking to you. Thank you guys so 2016 01:32:54,680 --> 01:32:56,600 Speaker 2: much for watching. We appreciate it. Thanks for all of 2017 01:32:56,640 --> 01:32:59,080 Speaker 2: your support breakingpoints dot com if you're able otherwise, we 2018 01:32:59,080 --> 01:33:09,200 Speaker 2: will see you all next week.