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Speaker 1: Hey, guys, Saga and Crystal here.

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Speaker 2: Independent media just played a truly massive role in this election,

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Speaker 3: We need your help to build the future of independent

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Speaker 1: Good morning, everybody, Happy Monday. We have a big show

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Speaker 1: for everybody today.

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Speaker 2: What do we have, Crystal, Yeah, the entire shows you

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Speaker 2: guys will not be surprised to learn, is going to

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Speaker 2: be focused on ran We've got a million updates for

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Speaker 2: you this morning, including three fighter jets being shot out

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Speaker 2: on the sky and what is being claimed as a

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Speaker 2: friendly fire incident, President Trump saying there are going to

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Speaker 2: be more dead Americans. We're taking a look at the

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Speaker 2: markets this morning as they open. Also already blowback here

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Speaker 2: in the US and abroad, against our illegal, aggressive war

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Speaker 2: against Iran. We've got some pulling indications that the American

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Speaker 2: people are unsurprisingly not behind this whatsoever. And then we

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Speaker 2: have two major gigantic gas. We're so fortunate to get

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Speaker 2: to talk to Professor Jeffrey Sacks this morning and also

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Speaker 2: Professor Jang. His first appearance on the show. He made

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Speaker 2: back in I think May of twenty twenty four to

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Speaker 2: three bold predictions one Trump was going to win, two

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Speaker 2: that he would go to war with Iran, in three

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Speaker 2: that the US would lose that war. So we're going

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Speaker 2: to check in with him about how he thinks that

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Speaker 2: prediction is panning out, if anything has surprised him in

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Speaker 2: the build up in the early phases of this war.

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Speaker 4: So it's going to be a huge one today.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, that's right. All right, let's go ahead and get

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Speaker 1: to the latest updates out of Iran.

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Speaker 2: All right, guys, we're going to start this morning with

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Speaker 2: shocking images. Let's put this up on the screen.

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Speaker 4: This is a.

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Speaker 2: US fighter jet after being hit allegedly by friendly fire

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Speaker 2: by our Kuwaiti allies, falling out of the sky. And

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Speaker 2: this is reportedly one of three fighter jets that sentkam

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Speaker 2: Is saying hit by friendly fire. The Iranians are saying

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Speaker 2: that they are claiming responsibility for at least one of

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Speaker 2: these jets, but our government is claiming this was friendly

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Speaker 2: fire from the Kuwaitis. Three US fighter jets being shot

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Speaker 2: out of the sky. Now, as far as we know,

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Speaker 2: all of the service members on board those fighter jets,

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Speaker 2: all of those pilots are safe. There are some crazy

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Speaker 2: videos out there too of them being recovered. In one

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Speaker 2: of them, the Kuwaitis who find one of the pilots says,

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Speaker 2: let's call an ambulance. The other one says, he's American,

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Speaker 2: Let's just leave them. Give a sense of the way

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Speaker 2: that people in the region outside of leadership feel about

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Speaker 2: American service members and about this operation overall.

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Speaker 4: But Sager, I.

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Speaker 2: Mean, before I even get into any of the other elements,

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Speaker 2: and we have a whole slew of them, did your reactions.

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Speaker 1: This is a humiliation on the world stage.

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Speaker 3: This is equivalent to what happened whenever those fighter jets

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Speaker 3: were lost on the carriers in the middle of high seas.

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Speaker 3: And this is what we've been warning about here for

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Speaker 3: a week, is about military readiness, lack of coordination with allies.

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Speaker 3: You have drones, I mean, by Centcom's own admission in

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Speaker 3: this alleged friendly fire incident, and by the way, they

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Speaker 3: call it a parent friendly fire. So obviously the facts

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Speaker 3: are still not one hundred percent known. Is you had

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Speaker 3: Iranian aircraft, Iranian missiles, and Iranian drones all in the

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Speaker 3: sky at the same time. Each one of these aircraft

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Speaker 3: has a pilot, a weapons systems officer. That's why the

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Speaker 3: six crew that have been ejected, and they're at least

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Speaker 3: safe for now, thank god. But these are one hundred

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Speaker 3: million dollar aircraft per piece, so the three hundred million

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Speaker 3: dollars just got evaporated in the sky. The scale of

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Speaker 3: what is happening here is unbelievable. We are talking about

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Speaker 3: potentially tens of billions already in munitions, in aircraft and

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Speaker 3: other assets which are already lost and have been used

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Speaker 3: in this operations. But perhaps more importantly is you don't

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Speaker 3: want to have these emperor have no clothes moments, because

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Speaker 3: you're looking at the seat of the global empire and look,

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Speaker 3: we're going to show you plenty of stuff. We are

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Speaker 3: capable of vaporizing a lot of things, but in long

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Speaker 3: sustained kinetic operations, as we're already watching. We have four

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Speaker 3: Americans dead. As of this morning, four Americans are already dead.

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Speaker 3: The President and the top general keep saying more to come,

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Speaker 3: more to come. Maybe there have been more, and they're

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Speaker 3: not even telling us.

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Speaker 5: Well.

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Speaker 2: The President actually indicated in an interview with The New

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Speaker 2: York Times that they're likely are already more dead, and

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Speaker 2: in it, I can't even call this really a speech

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Speaker 2: but a hastily edited statement that Trump gave yesterday. He

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Speaker 2: spoke about how there will likely be more dead Americans

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Speaker 2: out of this war. Let's go ahead and take a

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Speaker 2: listen to that.

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Speaker 6: Earlier today, Sentcom shared the news that three US military

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Speaker 6: service members have been killed in action. As one nation,

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Speaker 6: we a grieve for the true American patriots who have

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Speaker 6: made the ultimate sacrifice for our nation, even as we

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Speaker 6: continue the righteous mission for which they gave their lives.

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Speaker 6: We pray for the full recovery of the wounded and

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Speaker 6: send our immense love and eternal gratitude to the families

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Speaker 6: of the fallen. And sadly, there will likely be more

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Speaker 6: before it ends. That's the way it is likely be more.

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Speaker 6: But will do everything possible where that won't be the case.

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Speaker 6: But America will avenge their desks and deliver the most

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Speaker 6: punishing blow to the terrorists who have waged war against

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Speaker 6: basically civilization. They have waged war against civilization itself.

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Speaker 2: Interesting he doesn't, yeah, interesting, he doesn't send his own

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Speaker 2: military age son into this supposedly worthy cause. And we

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Speaker 2: can put a two up on the screen. This is

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Speaker 2: the court I was referencing to the New York Times.

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Speaker 2: I'll read this whole thing. Mister Trump spoke from mar

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Speaker 2: A Lago about thirty six hours into the conflict, soon

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Speaker 2: after he received news of American casualties, saying he could

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Speaker 2: only spring briefly because he was about to meet with

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Speaker 2: the generals, acknowledge that his administration expected more casualties based

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Speaker 2: on projections. Three is three too many as far as

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Speaker 2: I'm concerned. Of course, as Sager said, it's now up

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Speaker 2: to four one of the wounded service members to come

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Speaker 2: to their injuries.

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Speaker 4: He goes on to.

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Speaker 2: Say, if you look at projections, they do projections, you know,

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Speaker 2: it could be quite a bit higher than that we

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Speaker 2: expect casualties. But he professed confidence around wood. In the end,

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Speaker 2: ben to Americas and Israel's will, the country has been

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Speaker 2: very substantially weakened, to put it mildly. In other comments

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Speaker 2: that he gave recently, Sager he also was he was asked, okay,

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Speaker 2: you want the regime. You're going for the regime change.

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Speaker 2: How is this going to work? He offered a number

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Speaker 2: of different theories, including one of them being that the IRGC,

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Speaker 2: the Revolutionary Guard Corps, would just surrender their weapons to

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Speaker 2: the population. They would just hand over their weapons and

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Speaker 2: give it up.

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Speaker 3: Look, I mean, it's not time for victory lap, but

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Speaker 3: it's true. If you've been watching the show what we've

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Speaker 3: been saying, they're on a sugar high from Venezuela and

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Speaker 3: from mednine hammer. They really believed that it would be

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Speaker 3: the same. They didn't want to believe any of the

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Speaker 3: people from the top, General Dan Kane, to many of

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Speaker 3: the other advisors, who said, this one is very different.

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Speaker 3: If you want to know how fucked we are, let's

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Speaker 3: put a three up here. The Jonathan Carl at ABC

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Speaker 3: News talked to the President last night and he was

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Speaker 3: asked about possible candidates to take over Iran.

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Speaker 1: They were killed in the initial attack.

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Speaker 5: Quote.

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Speaker 3: The attack was so successful it knocked out most of

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Speaker 3: the candidates. It's not going to be anybody that what

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Speaker 3: we are thinking of because they're all dead, second or

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Speaker 3: third place is dead. He is enamored at the strength

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Speaker 3: of the US bob or actually even this case, it's

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Speaker 3: the Israeli bombs that were able to take out these leaders.

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Speaker 3: But this fantasy idea of the IRGC just handing over

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Speaker 3: their weapons to the people, yeah, I'm sure that's going

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Speaker 3: to happen, the very same people that just killed a

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Speaker 3: bunch of the protesters who rose up against him.

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Speaker 1: I mean, this is a incitement to civil war.

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Speaker 3: Already there are massive reports coming out of Iran of

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Speaker 3: attacks on border stations. You know, why do you think

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Speaker 3: that you want to do? This is the Syria model.

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Speaker 3: You eliminate the border and you flooded it with a

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Speaker 3: bunch of friendly Akacia backed assets. But does anyone want

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Speaker 3: who want to tell me who the great enemies of

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Speaker 3: the Shia people are Al Qaieda.

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Speaker 1: I mean, we've got an al Qaeda.

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Speaker 3: Leader sitting on the throne in Syria right over there.

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Speaker 1: Just think this is going to be Libya on steroids.

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Speaker 3: If the Israelis and I guess these Americans now get

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Speaker 3: their way, we're screwed. They had no plan, They really

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Speaker 3: believe some sort of delcea Rodriguez thing was going to happen.

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Speaker 3: And another way where you can see the lack of coordination,

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Speaker 3: look at the Gulf. These guys have been caught completely

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Speaker 3: flat footed. The Kuwaitis are throwing things up a This

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Speaker 3: is not a sophisticated military you have Doha.

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Speaker 1: I mean I used to live in Doha.

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Speaker 3: I am watching places where I know with ballistic missiles

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Speaker 3: falling out.

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Speaker 1: Of the sky.

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Speaker 3: Some of these hotels. You and I have been to

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Speaker 3: these hotels. Can you imagine Dubai. I've slept in that

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Speaker 3: airport a million times closed down.

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Speaker 4: It is hard to I mean, the Dubai piece is wild.

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Speaker 1: It's crazy.

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Speaker 2: And because the whole brand proposition of Dubai is like, oh,

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Speaker 2: we're sort of exempt from any instability from the region.

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Speaker 2: We're like exempt from that because this is where the

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Speaker 2: global leak keep their money, right, this is where you

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Speaker 2: can go and buy these palatial, multimillion dollar luxury properties.

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Speaker 2: This is where you can go on your you know,

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Speaker 2: your exclusive vacation and you know, with the beautiful beaches

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Speaker 2: and the manufactured you know, super high end luxury hotels

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Speaker 2: and all of this. The tallest building in the world,

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Speaker 2: et cetera, et cetera. Now you've had some of those

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Speaker 2: hotels hit, you've had them struck. You have all these

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Speaker 2: videos coming out of people who are shocked. And there

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Speaker 2: are tons of Americans there by the way, but people.

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Speaker 4: From all around the world. The global leak all around

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Speaker 4: the world.

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Speaker 2: This is a manufactured playground for the rich that is

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Speaker 2: now taking hits by Iran. The damage this will cause

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Speaker 2: long term to you know, their whole sort of value

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Speaker 2: proposition there. You can't even wrap your head around. Then

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Speaker 2: we're going to get to the market fallout. You know,

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Speaker 2: you had a soud A Ramco, you had some of

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Speaker 2: their assets hit. You have Qatar completely shutting down their

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Speaker 2: energy production already massive impacts. Straight up, Hoomus is de

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Speaker 2: facto closed because the insurers won't ensure the cargo ships

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Speaker 2: that are going through there, because the Iranians have attacked

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Speaker 2: a few ships that are there in the region, and

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Speaker 2: so the insurers say no, you can't travel through there.

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Speaker 2: So therefact that's all it took. That's de facto closed.

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Speaker 2: Now something that's agger. I mean, we've been hearing about

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Speaker 2: threats and how dire that would be because twenty percent,

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Speaker 2: twenty to twenty five percent of the world's oil passes

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Speaker 2: through there, so and it happens to be the you know,

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Speaker 2: the oil that's most influential in terms of setting the

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Speaker 2: price for the market. So it's an extraordinary disruption. You know,

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Speaker 2: you could sort of, I think equate it perhaps to

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Speaker 2: the level of disruption we saw in the early phases

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Speaker 2: of the Ukraine War in particular, that's at least where

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Speaker 2: we all are already, and.

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Speaker 4: We are mere days into this war.

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Speaker 2: So you have US fighter jets either being shot out

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Speaker 2: of the sky by Iranians or by our own ally,

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Speaker 2: you have damage to our allies throughout the region. We're

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Speaker 2: going to ask Professor Sachs later on about this clip

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Speaker 2: of a Saudi analyst saying the Americans abandoned us and

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Speaker 2: only care about protecting the Israelis. You have already dire

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Speaker 2: warnings and concerns about the number of interceptors that we

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Speaker 2: have remaining. The Iranians, which look, they're taking a lot

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Speaker 2: of damage. I mean, they've had hundreds of people killed,

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Speaker 2: huge damage in Tehran and other places in the country.

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Speaker 2: These horrifying images, obviously, these schoolgirls, the hospitals that are

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Speaker 2: being hit, etc. But they also seem to have learned

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Speaker 2: from the Twelve Day War, and their strategy is we're

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Speaker 2: going to send out all of these drones, which it's

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Speaker 2: the similar drones to what the Houthis we're using. By

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Speaker 2: the way, the Houthies have joined the fight. HSBLA has

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Speaker 2: joined the fight. These twenty to thirty thousand dollars drones

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Speaker 2: that they can produce, mass produce and just send down

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Speaker 2: and you exhaust the stockpile of interceptors of both the

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Speaker 2: Israelis and the Americans, and then later on you hold

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Speaker 2: your your bigger stuff for later on. Now that's a

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Speaker 2: risk for them because it's possible that they're that their

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Speaker 2: ability to launch those missiles gets destroyed. That's certainly the

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Speaker 2: goal of the US and the Israelis, but you know,

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Speaker 2: it's not a crazy bet that they're making right now,

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Speaker 2: and they know that we have much less stomach for

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Speaker 2: and capacity to take damage than they do, because for them,

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Speaker 2: it's existential. For us, we don't even want to be

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Speaker 2: doing this shit, right.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, we're already four more lives than this entire thing

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Speaker 3: was worth. And all the people at the top are

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Speaker 3: telling us are that there are going to be more.

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Speaker 3: Why don't we show some of the video just so

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Speaker 3: you guys can see it's not just us talking. This

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Speaker 3: is a region which is on fire. I mean, nobody

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Speaker 3: has scenes like this literally every I mean even at

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Speaker 3: the height of the Iraq War. It was in the

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Speaker 3: middle of Iraq. This is West Jerusalem last night. I

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Speaker 3: mean that Look at that. Can you imagine living in

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Speaker 3: the middle of downtown and watching a lab populated densely popular.

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Speaker 3: I've been to West Jerusalem. That is crazy. Look at this.

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Speaker 3: This is in Kuwait. You can see an American soldier

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Speaker 3: of American Service member filming this. Do you hear what

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Speaker 3: he says? They're starting to dial in our buildings. That

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Speaker 3: was a suicide drone. This is from the Straits of

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Speaker 3: hor moves. This was a skylight I believe is the

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Speaker 3: is the name of the ship which was attacked. There's

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Speaker 3: already been one confirmed death in an attack on a

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Speaker 3: ship which was off the coast of Oman.

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Speaker 1: This is Tehrod. I mean, this is unbelievable.

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Speaker 3: There were even video coming out late last night our

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Speaker 3: time where you could see that the bombs were so

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Speaker 3: light they were lighting up the mountains behind them. Who

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Speaker 3: knows how many thousands of people are being killed there

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Speaker 3: right now. This is in Israel, in Bet Schamesh. I

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Speaker 3: talked about this in my update. That's the Borsh Khalifa,

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Speaker 3: which we mentioned in the middle of Dubai, probably one

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Speaker 3: of the most iconic hotels in the world. Here we

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Speaker 3: have in the middle of Beirut. You have destruction everywhere.

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Speaker 3: Hasbola has launched.

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Speaker 1: Attacks into the middle of Israel.

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Speaker 3: Not to mention the the F fifteen's that we just

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Speaker 3: talked about that went down, That happened just you know,

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Speaker 3: middle of the night our time, in the middle of

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Speaker 3: what was that in the middle of Bahrain. You have

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Speaker 3: crazy situations playing in Bahrain.

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Speaker 1: You know, a lot of people may not remember this.

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Speaker 3: Bahrain has a very significant Shia population, but they're ruled

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Speaker 3: by a Sunni kingdom. Right well, guess what, every single

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Speaker 3: time the Iranian drones are making impact in Bahrain, the

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Speaker 3: local Shia are cheering. This is some Arab spring stuff,

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Speaker 3: which by the way, the United States actually intervened on

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Speaker 3: their behalf to actually make sure that they could quash

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Speaker 3: the Shia opposition inside of that country. This is tens

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Speaker 3: of thousands of Americans who are housed there. This is

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Speaker 3: a full blown regional conflict. The price of oil, the

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Speaker 3: price of gas, everything is being affected. I mean, the

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Speaker 3: number of people who are dead now has got to

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Speaker 3: be probably in the thousands, considering the number of casualties

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Speaker 3: which is happening. The vast majority of these are going

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Speaker 3: to be in Tehran. As you said, I mean, look,

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Speaker 3: these are Gaza level images. We're talking about hospitals and

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Speaker 3: schools and all this which are getting struck. And I'm

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Speaker 3: not going to let the Iranians off the hook either.

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Speaker 3: They hit one of the biggest hospitals and it was

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Speaker 3: a Palestinian hospital in West Jerusalem.

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Speaker 1: But this is war. This is this, you know, the.

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Speaker 3: Totality of all of it, and how do you pull

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Speaker 3: back from here? The off ramp that Trump, Trump, I think,

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Speaker 3: really believed that he could do midnight Hammer again. He's like,

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Speaker 3: I'll bomb them and then they'll capitulate and negotiate. He

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Speaker 3: but he didn't understand, which we did. So it's not

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Speaker 3: like he didn't have this same information. No, because at

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Speaker 3: a certain point, fool me once, shame on you, fool

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Speaker 3: me twice, shame on me.

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Speaker 1: Well, you could.

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Speaker 3: See all of this playing out right now for them,

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Speaker 3: They're like, I'm not gonna be bombed. You're gonna kill

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Speaker 3: the Iyatola and then I'm gonna come back to the

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Speaker 3: negotiating table with you. Also, the people with the monopoly

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Speaker 3: on the use of force, the IRGC, they are the

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Speaker 3: people mostlyle loyal to the Iyatola. They are the you

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Speaker 3: know what do they.

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Speaker 1: Tell us, Oh they're psychopats, Yeah, they hate us.

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Speaker 3: Okay, you think that they're gonna be the ones who

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Speaker 3: have all of this control over the military and they're

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Speaker 3: just gonna turn around and they're gonna say, oh, here

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Speaker 3: you go, mister Prett. No, okay, they'll fight to the death.

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Speaker 3: They have tens of thousands of these people.

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Speaker 1: I mean, the whole thing this is this is a disaster.

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Speaker 1: Does that even if it ends today, it's a disaster already?

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Speaker 2: An utter, shameful, destructive, chaotic catastrophe. I was telling you before, Zar,

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Speaker 2: it's hard for me to think of a more reckless

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Speaker 2: action taken by any country, not just our country, but

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Speaker 2: taken by any country in modern history. I mean, in

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Speaker 2: terms of level of recklessness, it exceeds a rock. I

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Speaker 2: mean the lies that we're we don't know what the

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Speaker 2: objective is, we don't know what the goals are. We

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Speaker 2: don't know what the strategy is. Our allies are not

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Speaker 2: with us. They don't even bother to manufacture consent. It's

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Speaker 2: complete and utter insanity. And I think you have to

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Speaker 2: chalk it up to, you know, Trump being high on

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Speaker 2: his own supply, with Venezuela being a complete fucking idiot.

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Speaker 2: And also, I mean you have to look at the

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Speaker 2: Epstein FILESEGA. I don't know, maybe that is part of

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Speaker 2: what's driving the calculus here, because the whole thing seems

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Speaker 2: so incredibly insane. And now you've got effectively so the

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Speaker 2: Iranians have engaged you know what they call their mosaic strategy.

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Speaker 2: So these IRGC commanders are relatively empowered to make their

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Speaker 2: own decisions. So even if you keep taking out Iranian leaders,

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Speaker 2: they are still empowered to keep going. That makes it

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Speaker 2: very difficult to see an immediate term regime collapse. Not

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Speaker 2: to mention like, look, I'm not saying that the current

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Speaker 2: government in Iran is super popular. I don't think anyone

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Speaker 2: knows what the popular is, but they do have a

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Speaker 2: base of support. I mean, there were people who came

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Speaker 2: out who were mourning the assassination of the Ayatola, who

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Speaker 2: were deeply upset, and it will predictably have an impact

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Speaker 2: of a rally around the flag effect and stoking Iranian

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Speaker 2: nationalism within the country. So, you know, I think what

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Speaker 2: has happened here is Trump thought that their initial salvos

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Speaker 2: would be devastating enough that the regime would either topple

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Speaker 2: or they would be on such thin ice or such

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Speaker 2: shaky ground that they would feel they had to come

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Speaker 2: back to.

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Speaker 4: The negotiating table. And that has not happened.

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Speaker 2: That is a fundamental miscalculation that you know, if you

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Speaker 2: were listening to Tree, to Parsi, if you're listening to us,

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Speaker 2: if you were listening to Jeffrey Sacks, if you're listening

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Speaker 2: to Professor Merhersheimer, you would have known that is not

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Speaker 2: what is going to happen here.

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Speaker 4: So now here we are.

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Speaker 2: The President announced this devastating war where now American service

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Speaker 2: members have been killed. Announced this, you know, from his

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Speaker 2: golf club down at mar A Lago, wearing a ball

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Speaker 2: cap and a shirt and no tie. He then went

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Speaker 2: on to a fundraiser, million dollar fundraiser with put his

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Speaker 2: tie on.

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Speaker 4: For that part.

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Speaker 2: We have only heard that from him, these little interviews

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Speaker 2: where he's calling up various you know New York Times

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Speaker 2: or whoever to give them two minute interviews, one other

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Speaker 2: you know, pre edited statement that we just put out,

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Speaker 2: no live address, not taking any questions. You do have

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Speaker 2: a Secretary of War Pete Hegseth out this morning as

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Speaker 2: we speak, giving some sort of a press conference. There

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Speaker 2: were no administration officials on any of the Sunday shows.

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Speaker 4: Just think about this.

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Speaker 2: They have brought us into an illegal war with no

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Speaker 2: congressional approval, no public approval, well, no public support, and

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Speaker 2: then they are hiding from us. They won't even tell

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Speaker 2: us what is really going on, what the goals really are,

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Speaker 2: what the planning for this is, and what is going.

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Speaker 4: To happen next.

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Speaker 2: They don't even have enough respect to go out and

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Speaker 2: defend their positions on the Sunday shows. And we can

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Speaker 2: put we have an element to that effect. This is

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Speaker 2: a part to a eleven guys that you can put

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Speaker 2: up on the screen just showing what I'm saying here.

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Speaker 2: But this is one of the things that is utterly

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Speaker 2: stunning to me. You have now a massive regional war

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Speaker 2: with all of these strikes on allies down through and

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Speaker 2: they're taking damage in Dubai and the straight up hormus

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Speaker 2: shut down. Four service members at least killed and more wounded.

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Speaker 2: And the Israelis take all this stuff and they didn't

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Speaker 2: even go on the Sunday shows. Put a twelve up

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Speaker 2: on the screen here as well. White House just called

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Speaker 2: a lid for the day, meaning Trump's not expecting to

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Speaker 2: make any appearances before reporters.

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Speaker 4: That was at four point thirty on Sunday. I mean, Zager,

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Speaker 4: what can you even what can you even say about this?

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Speaker 1: Yeah, we're screwed.

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Speaker 3: And it's not just about screwed, it is reflective of

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Speaker 3: Remember after Venezuela Secretary Rubio did a press conference the

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Speaker 3: next day. Now you could say, look, I opposed the

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Speaker 3: Venezuela thing, but there was a plan. You kidnapped Maduro,

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Speaker 3: put Delsi in power. We're good to go.

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Speaker 1: They don't know what to do now.

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Speaker 3: I really believe that they're in way over their head already.

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Speaker 3: It has gone past what they already expected to have,

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Speaker 3: full blown regional war. The coordination wasn't there. You have

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Speaker 3: multiple Americans who are dead. The Iranians did not capitulate.

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Speaker 3: They thought we could just punch them in the face

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Speaker 3: and they're just going to keep coming back. But what

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Speaker 3: did we say here over and over again, They have

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Speaker 3: planned that they're going to take ninety percent casualties, and

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Speaker 3: that actually did happen. At the top, all of them

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Speaker 3: are dead. All the national they didn't care. They have

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Speaker 3: it dispersed, they have it ready to go. The entire regime,

437
00:20:48,080 --> 00:20:50,600
Speaker 3: basically at the top of the national security establishment has

438
00:20:50,640 --> 00:20:53,000
Speaker 3: been killed. Didn't stop a bunch of missiles flying into

439
00:20:53,040 --> 00:20:57,160
Speaker 3: Israel last night. Israel got pounded yesterday. Remember this too.

440
00:20:57,560 --> 00:21:01,080
Speaker 3: Israel has a massive amount of censorship. They're broadcasting the

441
00:21:01,080 --> 00:21:03,600
Speaker 3: IDF telling do not post videos because it gives the

442
00:21:03,640 --> 00:21:06,520
Speaker 3: battle damage assessment. We have no idea what the catastrophe

443
00:21:06,560 --> 00:21:08,280
Speaker 3: is like inside of Israel. But you look at that

444
00:21:08,359 --> 00:21:10,960
Speaker 3: image of that missile, and there were videos of ambulances

445
00:21:10,960 --> 00:21:13,240
Speaker 3: on the way there. God only knows how many people

446
00:21:13,240 --> 00:21:16,240
Speaker 3: were killed or the damage that happened. So keep in

447
00:21:16,280 --> 00:21:19,239
Speaker 3: mind that it's already gone past what they expected. And

448
00:21:19,280 --> 00:21:22,560
Speaker 3: now that's why he's scrambling. He keeps floating these things. Oh,

449
00:21:22,640 --> 00:21:25,159
Speaker 3: we'll talk to them. Yesterday he said, where we'll be talking.

450
00:21:25,200 --> 00:21:27,760
Speaker 3: Barack Revide goes on TV and goes when he says talking,

451
00:21:27,800 --> 00:21:29,840
Speaker 3: He doesn't mean talking to the current regime. Who's he

452
00:21:29,880 --> 00:21:33,719
Speaker 3: talking to the Shaws, fail Sun, the polity, idiot, Like

453
00:21:33,800 --> 00:21:36,960
Speaker 3: that's what we're dealing with. Wow, and it's catastrophic, I

454
00:21:36,960 --> 00:21:39,280
Speaker 3: mean beyond because like you just said with Iraq, Iraq

455
00:21:39,400 --> 00:21:40,880
Speaker 3: was worse, okay in terms of damage.

456
00:21:40,920 --> 00:21:43,879
Speaker 1: But the plan was there in Stallach Mictalabi.

457
00:21:44,160 --> 00:21:48,200
Speaker 3: We go in, we find the fake WMD dune industed,

458
00:21:48,280 --> 00:21:51,359
Speaker 3: the Coalition Provisional Authority. We didn't have a real plan,

459
00:21:51,400 --> 00:21:53,560
Speaker 3: but we had a fake plan. This one they don't

460
00:21:53,560 --> 00:21:55,240
Speaker 3: even have a fake one. I mean, they truly have

461
00:21:55,320 --> 00:21:57,639
Speaker 3: no idea what they're doing. The Secretary of Defense is

462
00:21:57,680 --> 00:21:59,399
Speaker 3: talking while you and I are now. He says, it's

463
00:21:59,440 --> 00:22:01,919
Speaker 3: not a regime chain war, but the regime shir did change.

464
00:22:01,960 --> 00:22:03,920
Speaker 3: We did not start this We did not start this war.

465
00:22:04,000 --> 00:22:05,920
Speaker 3: This is literally what he says. We didn't start this war,

466
00:22:06,080 --> 00:22:08,800
Speaker 3: but we will finish it. The aims are not regime changed,

467
00:22:08,840 --> 00:22:11,000
Speaker 3: even though the regime has changed. We're just going to

468
00:22:11,119 --> 00:22:13,040
Speaker 3: kill the navy. You think the navy. We're going to

469
00:22:13,080 --> 00:22:15,520
Speaker 3: make sure that they can no longer project power outside

470
00:22:15,520 --> 00:22:16,000
Speaker 3: of the region.

471
00:22:16,000 --> 00:22:18,160
Speaker 1: What does that even means? That's meaningless.

472
00:22:18,400 --> 00:22:20,720
Speaker 3: So we're going to replace the government via the air

473
00:22:20,760 --> 00:22:22,320
Speaker 3: which has literally never happened.

474
00:22:22,560 --> 00:22:25,480
Speaker 2: Ever, Yes, that is worth underscoring because I was listening

475
00:22:25,520 --> 00:22:28,320
Speaker 2: to Robert Pape on this. He's studied, he's an expert

476
00:22:28,320 --> 00:22:30,639
Speaker 2: on this, right, he studied all of the sense in

477
00:22:30,680 --> 00:22:34,440
Speaker 2: the history of air power being used in military conflict.

478
00:22:34,760 --> 00:22:36,760
Speaker 2: Do you know how many times it has worked out

479
00:22:36,960 --> 00:22:41,240
Speaker 2: that a regime has been placed purely through airstrikes? Zero

480
00:22:42,040 --> 00:22:45,200
Speaker 2: zero times, that is how often this has worked out.

481
00:22:45,440 --> 00:22:48,720
Speaker 2: And yet here we are, with all of this arrogance,

482
00:22:48,840 --> 00:22:51,600
Speaker 2: with all of his egotism, with all of this idiocy,

483
00:22:52,080 --> 00:22:55,000
Speaker 2: thinking this will be this will be the one time

484
00:22:55,040 --> 00:22:57,719
Speaker 2: that it's worked. It will work with a government that

485
00:22:57,760 --> 00:23:00,879
Speaker 2: has survived so much of us trying to destroy for

486
00:23:01,000 --> 00:23:04,399
Speaker 2: close to fifty years. This will be the time that

487
00:23:04,480 --> 00:23:06,520
Speaker 2: does have some popular race of support, by the way,

488
00:23:06,560 --> 00:23:09,280
Speaker 2: in the country, this will be the time that it

489
00:23:09,359 --> 00:23:12,280
Speaker 2: works out. What a bunch of fools, you know, on

490
00:23:12,359 --> 00:23:15,520
Speaker 2: these fake negotiations that were going on that were clearly

491
00:23:15,600 --> 00:23:18,520
Speaker 2: just a ruse in order to you know, buy them

492
00:23:18,560 --> 00:23:21,639
Speaker 2: time so that they could amass this wholamar ar mada

493
00:23:21,680 --> 00:23:23,800
Speaker 2: in the region and all of the air power that

494
00:23:23,840 --> 00:23:25,720
Speaker 2: we have remaining, you know, all of the interceptors we

495
00:23:25,760 --> 00:23:29,040
Speaker 2: have remaining, and all of that. There are reports that

496
00:23:29,119 --> 00:23:32,040
Speaker 2: you know, Kushner and Witcoff they couldn't even understand what

497
00:23:32,119 --> 00:23:35,200
Speaker 2: the Iranians were offering because if this was truly about

498
00:23:35,280 --> 00:23:37,480
Speaker 2: nuclear weapons, and we you know doctor true to Parsi,

499
00:23:37,520 --> 00:23:39,040
Speaker 2: if we've had on this show many times and he

500
00:23:39,119 --> 00:23:42,280
Speaker 2: was speaking to another I think over on MSNBC was

501
00:23:42,320 --> 00:23:44,480
Speaker 2: speaking to them. He said, listen, I was an informal

502
00:23:44,560 --> 00:23:48,640
Speaker 2: advisor to the nuclear talks back under the Obama administration,

503
00:23:48,800 --> 00:23:51,360
Speaker 2: and there is no doubt that what the Iranians were

504
00:23:51,359 --> 00:23:56,040
Speaker 2: offering here went way beyond what Obama was able to achieve.

505
00:23:56,440 --> 00:24:01,360
Speaker 2: They offered significantly more concessions. Trump wanted to just take

506
00:24:01,400 --> 00:24:03,040
Speaker 2: that win and say, look at what I did what

507
00:24:03,119 --> 00:24:06,639
Speaker 2: Obama could never do. Blah blah blah. That was there.

508
00:24:06,920 --> 00:24:09,720
Speaker 2: But again there are First of all, that was never

509
00:24:09,720 --> 00:24:11,800
Speaker 2: the goal. I mean, we've heard, oh, we care about

510
00:24:11,840 --> 00:24:13,960
Speaker 2: the protesters, we care about freedom, but we care about

511
00:24:13,960 --> 00:24:14,960
Speaker 2: the ballistic missiles.

512
00:24:15,160 --> 00:24:15,679
Speaker 4: Then we had it.

513
00:24:15,760 --> 00:24:18,239
Speaker 2: Oh, we're worried about their navy and oh and by

514
00:24:18,280 --> 00:24:20,439
Speaker 2: the way, the way, we're still worried about the nuclear weapons,

515
00:24:20,480 --> 00:24:23,720
Speaker 2: which we told you we obliterated during the last war.

516
00:24:23,840 --> 00:24:26,119
Speaker 2: So you know, I don't want to give them credence

517
00:24:26,200 --> 00:24:28,640
Speaker 2: to any of the lies and bullshit that they've told here.

518
00:24:28,840 --> 00:24:31,280
Speaker 2: But if it was really about nuclear weapons, if it

519
00:24:31,320 --> 00:24:34,280
Speaker 2: was really about the nuclear program, they offered far and

520
00:24:34,320 --> 00:24:38,200
Speaker 2: away beyond with the previous nuclear deal entailed, and there

521
00:24:38,200 --> 00:24:43,359
Speaker 2: are reports that Kushner and Witkoff could not even comprehend.

522
00:24:42,920 --> 00:24:44,480
Speaker 4: What was being said to them.

523
00:24:44,720 --> 00:24:47,280
Speaker 2: And that is again it's intentional because they weren't there

524
00:24:47,320 --> 00:24:50,600
Speaker 2: to negotiate. They were there to install and buy time

525
00:24:50,840 --> 00:24:52,440
Speaker 2: for this pre planned operation.

526
00:24:52,520 --> 00:24:53,080
Speaker 1: Yeah, that's right.

527
00:24:53,119 --> 00:24:54,960
Speaker 3: Now, let's turn to what we have now so far.

528
00:24:55,080 --> 00:24:56,800
Speaker 3: So one of the what are the pretexts that the

529
00:24:56,840 --> 00:25:01,720
Speaker 3: president gave nuclear weapons? Here's Senator Ted Krue saying openly

530
00:25:02,080 --> 00:25:04,680
Speaker 3: no evidence they were close to nuclear weapons, also backed

531
00:25:04,720 --> 00:25:05,680
Speaker 3: up by a Democratic senator.

532
00:25:05,760 --> 00:25:06,359
Speaker 1: Let's take a listen.

533
00:25:06,520 --> 00:25:09,240
Speaker 7: In terms of containing the risk, who's securing the nuclear

534
00:25:09,280 --> 00:25:13,080
Speaker 7: material that you say still exists within Iran? Who's doing that?

535
00:25:14,040 --> 00:25:17,080
Speaker 8: Look the quantity of nuclear material. I didn't say one

536
00:25:17,720 --> 00:25:20,240
Speaker 8: anything one way or another on that. What I said

537
00:25:20,920 --> 00:25:23,439
Speaker 8: is they were building nuclear weapons a year ago, and

538
00:25:23,480 --> 00:25:27,760
Speaker 8: our bombing took that out. They also had an ongoing

539
00:25:27,800 --> 00:25:31,520
Speaker 8: desire to rebuild them. I don't have present day intelligence

540
00:25:32,000 --> 00:25:36,719
Speaker 8: on what progress they had made towards rebuilding nuclear weapons

541
00:25:36,760 --> 00:25:40,560
Speaker 8: since we bombed their facilities. I have no indication that

542
00:25:41,640 --> 00:25:44,679
Speaker 8: they were anywhere close to getting nuclear weapons because our

543
00:25:44,720 --> 00:25:48,400
Speaker 8: bombing was devastating, and Margaret, that's one of the reasons

544
00:25:48,440 --> 00:25:49,760
Speaker 8: I urged President Trump.

545
00:25:50,119 --> 00:25:53,560
Speaker 5: Now is the time I think the President has started

546
00:25:53,600 --> 00:25:59,040
Speaker 5: a war of choice. There was no imminent threat to

547
00:25:59,080 --> 00:26:04,960
Speaker 5: the United States. So the decision to put our service

548
00:26:05,000 --> 00:26:09,439
Speaker 5: members in harm's way and bases around the region in

549
00:26:09,520 --> 00:26:15,439
Speaker 5: harm's way was entirely based upon the president's decision, not

550
00:26:15,760 --> 00:26:20,640
Speaker 5: an imminent threat to America. I saw no intelligence that

551
00:26:21,240 --> 00:26:24,520
Speaker 5: Iran was on the verge of launching any kind of

552
00:26:24,600 --> 00:26:27,160
Speaker 5: preemptive strike against the United States of America.

553
00:26:28,119 --> 00:26:32,440
Speaker 1: None, none, none.

554
00:26:32,640 --> 00:26:34,520
Speaker 3: That is from Ted Cruz. And so these are two

555
00:26:34,560 --> 00:26:36,560
Speaker 3: as pro war as it gets. If you think that

556
00:26:36,760 --> 00:26:38,400
Speaker 3: those people are lying. By the way, if you want

557
00:26:38,400 --> 00:26:40,320
Speaker 3: a little bit more of a view into how bad

558
00:26:40,359 --> 00:26:43,000
Speaker 3: the situation is, here's Senator Tom Cotton saying that there

559
00:26:43,040 --> 00:26:47,240
Speaker 3: will be no large ground force in Iran. Did you

560
00:26:47,280 --> 00:26:50,760
Speaker 3: hear the word no large ground force, not no ground force?

561
00:26:50,920 --> 00:26:51,480
Speaker 1: Take a listen.

562
00:26:51,800 --> 00:26:54,320
Speaker 7: The President of the United States warned the American public

563
00:26:54,359 --> 00:26:59,120
Speaker 7: that there could be casualties. American casualties. Does that mean

564
00:26:59,160 --> 00:27:01,000
Speaker 7: the US is putting boo it's on the ground.

565
00:27:04,240 --> 00:27:06,679
Speaker 9: No, Margaret, the President has been clear that what we

566
00:27:06,680 --> 00:27:10,000
Speaker 9: should expect to see is an extended air and naval

567
00:27:10,040 --> 00:27:13,880
Speaker 9: campaign that's designed not only to continue to set back

568
00:27:13,880 --> 00:27:18,800
Speaker 9: Erun's nuclear ambitions, but most importantly to destroy its vast

569
00:27:18,920 --> 00:27:22,000
Speaker 9: missile arsenal. Many more missiles in the United States and

570
00:27:22,040 --> 00:27:25,040
Speaker 9: Israel have air defenses combined, as well as the missile

571
00:27:25,119 --> 00:27:30,040
Speaker 9: launchers and its missile manufacturing capability. Now, obviously, one risk

572
00:27:30,440 --> 00:27:32,680
Speaker 9: of that kind of campaign is that an aircraft could

573
00:27:32,680 --> 00:27:34,679
Speaker 9: be shot down, and the President would never leave a

574
00:27:34,720 --> 00:27:37,760
Speaker 9: pilot behind. So, no doubt we have combat search and

575
00:27:37,800 --> 00:27:40,520
Speaker 9: rescue assets in the region that are prepared to go

576
00:27:40,560 --> 00:27:43,480
Speaker 9: in and extract any down pilot. But barring that kind

577
00:27:43,480 --> 00:27:46,760
Speaker 9: of unusual circumstance, Margaret, the President has no plan for

578
00:27:46,800 --> 00:27:50,560
Speaker 9: any kind of large scale ground force inside of iran.

579
00:27:50,960 --> 00:27:52,320
Speaker 1: Large scale ground force.

580
00:27:52,359 --> 00:27:53,840
Speaker 3: Now, one of the reasons we have to play you

581
00:27:53,880 --> 00:27:56,639
Speaker 3: clips of Senator Ted Cruz and Senator Tom Cotton is

582
00:27:56,640 --> 00:27:59,000
Speaker 3: the White House explicitly said we're going to allow the

583
00:27:59,040 --> 00:28:01,560
Speaker 3: Senators to the talk for us on the Sunday shows.

584
00:28:01,560 --> 00:28:04,280
Speaker 3: As you referenced earlier, it is not a rule out

585
00:28:04,320 --> 00:28:07,360
Speaker 3: there of American ground troops that will set foot on Iranians.

586
00:28:07,400 --> 00:28:07,680
Speaker 1: Oil.

587
00:28:07,760 --> 00:28:10,520
Speaker 2: Well, I've got an update for you this morning. In

588
00:28:10,560 --> 00:28:13,480
Speaker 2: this Pete tag Seth press conference that's going on right now,

589
00:28:13,600 --> 00:28:15,760
Speaker 2: he got asked by a reporter are there currently any

590
00:28:15,800 --> 00:28:18,200
Speaker 2: American boots on the ground in Iran? And he said, no,

591
00:28:18,920 --> 00:28:20,840
Speaker 2: but we're not going to get into the exercise of

592
00:28:20,880 --> 00:28:23,600
Speaker 2: what we will or will not do. Let's take a

593
00:28:23,640 --> 00:28:24,080
Speaker 2: listen to that.

594
00:28:24,600 --> 00:28:28,080
Speaker 1: I have two questions for you. First, are there currently

595
00:28:28,119 --> 00:28:30,199
Speaker 1: any American boots on the ground in Iran?

596
00:28:32,720 --> 00:28:35,200
Speaker 10: No, but we're not going to go into the exercise

597
00:28:35,280 --> 00:28:37,200
Speaker 10: of what we will or will not do. I think

598
00:28:37,520 --> 00:28:40,080
Speaker 10: it's one of those fallacies for a long time that

599
00:28:40,640 --> 00:28:43,080
Speaker 10: this Department or presidents or others should tell the American

600
00:28:43,080 --> 00:28:45,560
Speaker 10: people and our enemies, by the way, here's exactly what

601
00:28:45,560 --> 00:28:48,880
Speaker 10: we'll do. Here's exactly how long we'll go, Here's exactly

602
00:28:48,920 --> 00:28:51,240
Speaker 10: how far we'll go. Here's what we're willing to do

603
00:28:51,280 --> 00:28:54,920
Speaker 10: and not do. It's foolishness, and so President Trump ensures

604
00:28:54,960 --> 00:28:57,320
Speaker 10: that our enemies understand, will go as far as we

605
00:28:57,400 --> 00:29:00,720
Speaker 10: need to go to advanced American inch But we're not

606
00:29:00,760 --> 00:29:02,760
Speaker 10: dumb about it. You don't have to roll two hundred

607
00:29:02,800 --> 00:29:05,600
Speaker 10: thousand people in there and stay for twenty years. We've

608
00:29:05,640 --> 00:29:08,800
Speaker 10: proven that you can achieve objectives that advance American interests

609
00:29:08,800 --> 00:29:11,080
Speaker 10: without being foolish about it. Now, will we be bold

610
00:29:11,120 --> 00:29:13,719
Speaker 10: about it? Are we willing to be decisive about it?

611
00:29:14,160 --> 00:29:16,080
Speaker 10: Do we put months and months of planning into what

612
00:29:16,200 --> 00:29:20,360
Speaker 10: kind of effects we want to achieve? Absolutely? But going forward,

613
00:29:20,600 --> 00:29:25,640
Speaker 10: why in the world would we tell you, you, the enemy, anybody,

614
00:29:25,720 --> 00:29:27,520
Speaker 10: what we will or will not do in pursuit of

615
00:29:27,520 --> 00:29:28,120
Speaker 10: an objective.

616
00:29:28,680 --> 00:29:29,520
Speaker 1: We fight to win.

617
00:29:29,960 --> 00:29:32,560
Speaker 10: We fight to achieve the objectives the President of the

618
00:29:32,640 --> 00:29:36,000
Speaker 10: United States has laid out, and we will do so unapologetically.

619
00:29:36,720 --> 00:29:39,240
Speaker 3: I mean and sager, well, they can't because now we're

620
00:29:39,240 --> 00:29:40,400
Speaker 3: in it, and we're in it now.

621
00:29:40,560 --> 00:29:43,320
Speaker 2: That's what scares me is what there is no offering there.

622
00:29:43,480 --> 00:29:45,320
Speaker 2: I mean, Trump cares about one thing. It's how things

623
00:29:45,360 --> 00:29:47,720
Speaker 2: look his ego and how things look on TVO and money.

624
00:29:47,760 --> 00:29:49,400
Speaker 4: You know, those are the things he cares about.

625
00:29:49,640 --> 00:29:52,920
Speaker 2: And for him to have said we are going to

626
00:29:53,080 --> 00:29:57,040
Speaker 2: there's going to be freedom in Iran and explicitly, remember guys,

627
00:29:57,160 --> 00:30:02,560
Speaker 2: explicitly frame this as a regime change war and to

628
00:30:02,640 --> 00:30:05,320
Speaker 2: go in and get your nose bloodied to have American

629
00:30:05,320 --> 00:30:08,120
Speaker 2: fighter just falling on the sky and getting killed. And

630
00:30:08,160 --> 00:30:09,840
Speaker 2: the Iranians are saying, no, we're not going back to

631
00:30:09,920 --> 00:30:12,960
Speaker 2: the Nogo shading table. How are you going to get

632
00:30:13,000 --> 00:30:15,960
Speaker 2: out of this? And you will not get I listen

633
00:30:16,040 --> 00:30:18,760
Speaker 2: to my words. They will not accomplish their goal here

634
00:30:18,840 --> 00:30:22,040
Speaker 2: of regime change through air power alone.

635
00:30:22,400 --> 00:30:24,280
Speaker 4: So what are you going to do? What are you

636
00:30:24,400 --> 00:30:24,959
Speaker 4: going to do?

637
00:30:25,240 --> 00:30:28,080
Speaker 2: And now we already have him saying, oh, you know,

638
00:30:28,160 --> 00:30:28,960
Speaker 2: we can't rule it out.

639
00:30:29,000 --> 00:30:30,479
Speaker 4: We're going to do what it takes.

640
00:30:30,600 --> 00:30:31,840
Speaker 1: Every day that this goes on.

641
00:30:32,120 --> 00:30:34,840
Speaker 3: The Kuwait thing, I mean that we're lucky that more

642
00:30:34,880 --> 00:30:36,760
Speaker 3: people have not already been killed. And by the way,

643
00:30:36,800 --> 00:30:39,400
Speaker 3: we don't even know what the real numbers. It only

644
00:30:39,480 --> 00:30:42,560
Speaker 3: takes one look at Afghanistan. Do you remember how we

645
00:30:42,560 --> 00:30:45,560
Speaker 3: would have the deadliest day in Afghanistan? It just takes

646
00:30:45,760 --> 00:30:50,640
Speaker 3: one Taliban guy, one lucky RPG and you've got like

647
00:30:50,800 --> 00:30:53,959
Speaker 3: thirty seals shot out of the sky. Right, That's it.

648
00:30:54,080 --> 00:30:56,720
Speaker 3: That's all it takes. And that happened twice in the

649
00:30:56,760 --> 00:30:59,800
Speaker 3: history of the War of Afghanistan. Helicopters, they're on their

650
00:30:59,800 --> 00:31:03,280
Speaker 3: way to something routine mission boom, all right, Now twenty

651
00:31:03,280 --> 00:31:08,520
Speaker 3: five people are without a they're widows, gold star families.

652
00:31:08,600 --> 00:31:10,200
Speaker 3: That's all it takes. That's all it takes. And then

653
00:31:10,240 --> 00:31:14,000
Speaker 3: that changes everything. Now, don't forget this. This I mean

654
00:31:14,040 --> 00:31:16,560
Speaker 3: one of the pretexts for the war is about what

655
00:31:16,600 --> 00:31:18,920
Speaker 3: Iran did to the United States during the war in Iraq,

656
00:31:19,120 --> 00:31:23,040
Speaker 3: which was basically take over much of the insurgency and

657
00:31:23,120 --> 00:31:28,120
Speaker 3: supply them with the sophisticated means to manufacture these IEDs.

658
00:31:28,240 --> 00:31:30,600
Speaker 3: This is called it was efp if I recall, which

659
00:31:30,640 --> 00:31:33,280
Speaker 3: is a very specific, deadly type of IED that was

660
00:31:33,360 --> 00:31:36,080
Speaker 3: dramatically more lethal than anything else that was seen on

661
00:31:36,120 --> 00:31:36,760
Speaker 3: the battlefield.

662
00:31:37,000 --> 00:31:39,040
Speaker 1: Now, look, that's true. It is true.

663
00:31:39,120 --> 00:31:41,360
Speaker 3: They are responsible for hundreds of debts in the war

664
00:31:41,360 --> 00:31:43,440
Speaker 3: in Iraq. We should have been there in the first place.

665
00:31:43,480 --> 00:31:46,040
Speaker 3: But I love that this pretext is now currently being used.

666
00:31:46,160 --> 00:31:49,440
Speaker 3: If you wanted to strike Iran for doing that, that

667
00:31:49,480 --> 00:31:51,960
Speaker 3: would have been the time. There are people alive watching

668
00:31:52,040 --> 00:31:54,600
Speaker 3: the show today who probably are There are people who

669
00:31:54,640 --> 00:31:57,280
Speaker 3: are watching the show today literally probably right now, who

670
00:31:57,320 --> 00:32:00,560
Speaker 3: were not even alive at the time when all that happened.

671
00:32:00,560 --> 00:32:02,920
Speaker 3: You can't use some twenty year old pretext. If you

672
00:32:02,920 --> 00:32:04,360
Speaker 3: wanted to kill him, he should have done it then.

673
00:32:04,440 --> 00:32:06,360
Speaker 3: And you think the Bush administration wasn't up to it.

674
00:32:06,480 --> 00:32:08,000
Speaker 3: Do you know why they didn't do it? Because they

675
00:32:08,040 --> 00:32:10,080
Speaker 3: were bogged down in Iraq already and they're like, well,

676
00:32:10,120 --> 00:32:12,160
Speaker 3: there's nothing that we can really do if we want

677
00:32:12,160 --> 00:32:13,600
Speaker 3: to branch into Iran.

678
00:32:13,800 --> 00:32:16,600
Speaker 1: That's really what this is about. But also think about

679
00:32:17,120 --> 00:32:17,680
Speaker 1: what that.

680
00:32:17,560 --> 00:32:21,160
Speaker 3: Means is that we're supposed to believe that this army,

681
00:32:21,360 --> 00:32:23,880
Speaker 3: which yes has this conventional capability right now of ballistic

682
00:32:23,960 --> 00:32:25,640
Speaker 3: missiles and all of that, is just going to go

683
00:32:25,720 --> 00:32:28,600
Speaker 3: quietly into the good night. If by your own admission,

684
00:32:28,800 --> 00:32:31,560
Speaker 3: they were capable of killing over a thousand Americans through

685
00:32:31,600 --> 00:32:33,320
Speaker 3: all these what you think they still don't have all

686
00:32:33,360 --> 00:32:36,400
Speaker 3: that technology. The IED still doesn't work, not even in

687
00:32:36,440 --> 00:32:40,120
Speaker 3: terms of occupations, SERMs sponsored terrorism. We're talking the blowback segment.

688
00:32:40,160 --> 00:32:43,000
Speaker 3: There's some very sketchy stuff going on with that terrorist attack.

689
00:32:43,080 --> 00:32:45,720
Speaker 3: You got a guy with an Iranian flag or with

690
00:32:45,840 --> 00:32:48,880
Speaker 3: Iranian flag underneath his garb, with the praise a lah

691
00:32:49,000 --> 00:32:52,120
Speaker 3: sweatshirt got pictures of the Iranian leader in his house,

692
00:32:52,320 --> 00:32:55,080
Speaker 3: according to police authorities, and this guy is from Senegal.

693
00:32:55,280 --> 00:32:57,560
Speaker 1: What the hell is going on here? Right? I mean,

694
00:32:57,600 --> 00:33:01,719
Speaker 1: this is bad. And we had no like planning or anything,

695
00:33:01,880 --> 00:33:03,880
Speaker 1: you know. I had to fly after the day after.

696
00:33:03,960 --> 00:33:05,440
Speaker 3: It's the first time in I don't even know a

697
00:33:05,440 --> 00:33:07,800
Speaker 3: decade where I'm like, I don't know, man, you know,

698
00:33:07,920 --> 00:33:09,840
Speaker 3: I mean, it shouldn't even be a question, right, It's

699
00:33:09,840 --> 00:33:11,520
Speaker 3: one of those where I was like, hope. So, by

700
00:33:11,520 --> 00:33:13,120
Speaker 3: the way, it's flying from Austin and in the time

701
00:33:13,120 --> 00:33:16,040
Speaker 3: that this terrorist attack literally broke out, how many people

702
00:33:16,040 --> 00:33:17,480
Speaker 3: are going to have that up there? You think I'm

703
00:33:17,480 --> 00:33:19,800
Speaker 3: going to Dubai anytime soon, which is the gateway too

704
00:33:19,840 --> 00:33:22,640
Speaker 3: much of Asia for a lot, for a lot of America. No,

705
00:33:23,120 --> 00:33:26,120
Speaker 3: most people shouldn't. This is the danger in what has

706
00:33:26,200 --> 00:33:29,520
Speaker 3: now been unleashed. And yeah, even though it's day three,

707
00:33:29,600 --> 00:33:32,239
Speaker 3: they're not backing down. Trump says it's going to take

708
00:33:32,280 --> 00:33:33,040
Speaker 3: what four weeks?

709
00:33:33,200 --> 00:33:35,280
Speaker 1: Is that what he said? He said four weeks, five weeks,

710
00:33:35,360 --> 00:33:36,760
Speaker 1: We'll see already.

711
00:33:36,960 --> 00:33:40,560
Speaker 3: Just yesterday in the New York Times, he floated cannibalizing

712
00:33:40,600 --> 00:33:42,880
Speaker 3: global stocks of ammunition. He says it won't be difficult.

713
00:33:42,920 --> 00:33:45,280
Speaker 3: We have tremendous amounts of AMMO. We have AMMO stored

714
00:33:45,360 --> 00:33:47,080
Speaker 3: all over the world. This is a nightmare if you

715
00:33:47,120 --> 00:33:49,960
Speaker 3: care about China and deterring Taiwan. We're done, all right,

716
00:33:50,040 --> 00:33:52,640
Speaker 3: We're done. We're already probably fifty percent blown through the

717
00:33:52,640 --> 00:33:53,400
Speaker 3: interceptor stock.

718
00:33:53,480 --> 00:33:55,120
Speaker 1: We have maybe three or four weeks left.

719
00:33:55,200 --> 00:33:58,240
Speaker 2: And last thing here, I'm just seeing this now because

720
00:33:58,640 --> 00:34:03,040
Speaker 2: European gas prices skyrocketing like fifty percent because of all

721
00:34:03,080 --> 00:34:06,400
Speaker 2: the you know, the shutdown of the Qatari LNG production

722
00:34:06,560 --> 00:34:08,640
Speaker 2: and you know, everything that's going on. The EU has

723
00:34:08,680 --> 00:34:12,280
Speaker 2: now reached a quote panic moment, as not all member.

724
00:34:12,040 --> 00:34:13,560
Speaker 4: States have sufficient energy reserves.

725
00:34:13,560 --> 00:34:16,040
Speaker 2: A leading energy analyst says that EU is likely to

726
00:34:16,040 --> 00:34:19,640
Speaker 2: do what increase energy imports from Russia.

727
00:34:19,719 --> 00:34:21,279
Speaker 4: So congrats, guys, way to go.

728
00:34:21,440 --> 00:34:22,560
Speaker 1: Yeah, congratulations.

729
00:34:22,840 --> 00:34:26,839
Speaker 3: Actually, Regula putin the Kremlin doing backflips right now. Oh yeah,

730
00:34:26,880 --> 00:34:29,360
Speaker 3: Oil at one hundred will fund the war in Ukraine

731
00:34:29,360 --> 00:34:31,680
Speaker 3: for five years. For all of you neo Kon idiots

732
00:34:31,760 --> 00:34:34,520
Speaker 3: who supported, you know, taking or doing the war with

733
00:34:34,560 --> 00:34:36,640
Speaker 3: Iran and quote support Ukraine.

734
00:34:36,840 --> 00:34:39,320
Speaker 1: You just bought another one hundred k casualties on the battlefield.

735
00:34:39,400 --> 00:34:40,359
Speaker 1: So congrats to you.

736
00:34:43,320 --> 00:34:47,359
Speaker 3: Turning down to the global markets absolutely royaled this morning. Well,

737
00:34:47,360 --> 00:34:49,319
Speaker 3: start with the most important Let's put this up here

738
00:34:49,640 --> 00:34:53,560
Speaker 3: on the screen. Qatar Energy has now stopped all LNG production.

739
00:34:53,960 --> 00:34:56,680
Speaker 3: If they shut down production fourteen trains. A statements war

740
00:34:56,880 --> 00:35:00,360
Speaker 3: suggests that is twenty percent of the global output. Single

741
00:35:00,360 --> 00:35:05,040
Speaker 3: company is the world's largest LNG producer. European markets spiking

742
00:35:05,160 --> 00:35:10,200
Speaker 3: fifty percent this morning for liquefied natural gas, indicating that

743
00:35:10,280 --> 00:35:13,920
Speaker 3: they may have to wait for it buy gas from Russia.

744
00:35:14,080 --> 00:35:18,440
Speaker 3: In addition, we are now watching oil skyrocket in price. Guys,

745
00:35:18,440 --> 00:35:20,120
Speaker 3: can we go ahead and put that one up here

746
00:35:20,160 --> 00:35:23,279
Speaker 3: on the screen from B four oil markets that are

747
00:35:23,320 --> 00:35:26,319
Speaker 3: currently at least ten percent of a spike, and it

748
00:35:26,400 --> 00:35:31,400
Speaker 3: is potentially headed for some one hundred dollars per barrel. Already,

749
00:35:31,520 --> 00:35:34,839
Speaker 3: they are indicating that gas will likely rise within the

750
00:35:34,880 --> 00:35:38,239
Speaker 3: next week as there's some restock and negotiations that are

751
00:35:38,239 --> 00:35:41,960
Speaker 3: currently happening. As I indicated to everyone earlier, let's put

752
00:35:42,000 --> 00:35:44,239
Speaker 3: B two on the screen. You can see that the

753
00:35:44,280 --> 00:35:47,280
Speaker 3: insurers have already said that they're going to dramatically raise

754
00:35:47,480 --> 00:35:49,640
Speaker 3: the insurance price for any ship which is in the

755
00:35:49,680 --> 00:35:52,319
Speaker 3: vicinity of the Straits of Hormuz at least by as

756
00:35:52,360 --> 00:35:56,000
Speaker 3: much as fifty percent, several hundred thousand dollars per shipment

757
00:35:56,239 --> 00:36:00,000
Speaker 3: for probably not only the world's choke point for oil,

758
00:36:00,160 --> 00:36:04,239
Speaker 3: but in particular this will massively impact markets in Asia,

759
00:36:04,280 --> 00:36:06,960
Speaker 3: where the predominant number of their amount of their oil

760
00:36:07,160 --> 00:36:10,000
Speaker 3: moves through. Also, we have significant amounts of other goods

761
00:36:10,080 --> 00:36:12,480
Speaker 3: that move through the Straits, and the shutdown of that

762
00:36:12,520 --> 00:36:15,640
Speaker 3: could cause crises in the Gulf very very soon. Now,

763
00:36:15,640 --> 00:36:18,120
Speaker 3: in terms of our own markets, we're recording this right

764
00:36:18,160 --> 00:36:20,360
Speaker 3: after the market open, so we can go ahead and

765
00:36:20,400 --> 00:36:22,520
Speaker 3: put the CNBC tear sheet up on the screen. Keep

766
00:36:22,520 --> 00:36:24,879
Speaker 3: in mind, you know, we are doing our best right now,

767
00:36:24,920 --> 00:36:27,200
Speaker 3: because things may move and change by the end of

768
00:36:27,239 --> 00:36:29,400
Speaker 3: the day. But at the moment that we are recording this,

769
00:36:29,520 --> 00:36:31,680
Speaker 3: it looks like the Dow is down by five hundred

770
00:36:31,719 --> 00:36:33,839
Speaker 3: points by down at least one percent, about a one

771
00:36:33,840 --> 00:36:36,040
Speaker 3: percent drop in the s and P five hundred, a

772
00:36:36,040 --> 00:36:38,440
Speaker 3: one percent drop in the Nasdaq. The rustle is down

773
00:36:38,440 --> 00:36:40,719
Speaker 3: by about one point six to eight percent, and US

774
00:36:40,760 --> 00:36:44,120
Speaker 3: Tenure looks like it's down by about four percent. The VIX,

775
00:36:44,160 --> 00:36:46,680
Speaker 3: which is like a volatility index, up some seventeen point

776
00:36:46,760 --> 00:36:50,040
Speaker 3: nine percent, and gold and bitcoin both moving a little

777
00:36:50,040 --> 00:36:54,160
Speaker 3: bit in a higher direction. The dollar also increasing in value,

778
00:36:54,200 --> 00:36:56,880
Speaker 3: So you can see that there's already been global market reaction.

779
00:36:56,960 --> 00:36:59,320
Speaker 3: But by far, I would say the number one headline

780
00:36:59,320 --> 00:37:03,320
Speaker 3: out of this crystal is LNG liquified natural gas. Remember

781
00:37:03,480 --> 00:37:06,400
Speaker 3: this is how you We're all getting electricity, and so

782
00:37:06,440 --> 00:37:10,600
Speaker 3: our electric prices might be going up. Energy, LNG and

783
00:37:10,640 --> 00:37:13,359
Speaker 3: oil are global commodities. So just because the price goes

784
00:37:13,400 --> 00:37:16,400
Speaker 3: up somewhere else doesn't mean that it won't necessarily affect you.

785
00:37:16,680 --> 00:37:18,759
Speaker 3: And then we also will have to show you this

786
00:37:19,040 --> 00:37:22,040
Speaker 3: Saudi Aramco. Let's put B one B up here on

787
00:37:22,080 --> 00:37:25,680
Speaker 3: the screen. This was video just coming out this morning,

788
00:37:26,000 --> 00:37:29,800
Speaker 3: Saudi official telling all Arabia that spires at Saudi Aramco

789
00:37:29,920 --> 00:37:32,160
Speaker 3: are quote not the result of a directive of Trannian strike,

790
00:37:32,280 --> 00:37:35,720
Speaker 3: but were caused by falling debris from an intercepted drone.

791
00:37:35,719 --> 00:37:39,840
Speaker 3: But regardless, obviously a drone going after Saudi Aramco the

792
00:37:40,080 --> 00:37:43,160
Speaker 3: largest oil refining export facility in the entire world.

793
00:37:43,400 --> 00:37:44,719
Speaker 1: The refinery has.

794
00:37:44,600 --> 00:37:47,400
Speaker 3: The capacity of some five hundred and fifty thousand barrels

795
00:37:47,520 --> 00:37:50,480
Speaker 3: per day, in a significant portion of the global oil

796
00:37:50,520 --> 00:37:54,120
Speaker 3: supply in that single field at that processing facility. So

797
00:37:54,120 --> 00:37:57,480
Speaker 3: the Iranians are awaging a full blown economic war, I

798
00:37:57,480 --> 00:37:59,759
Speaker 3: think on multiple fronts. So if we think about the

799
00:38:00,200 --> 00:38:04,440
Speaker 3: states outside of Saudi, for them, it was energy plus prestige.

800
00:38:04,520 --> 00:38:07,560
Speaker 3: So they've crippled now the Katari gas field. Now they've

801
00:38:07,560 --> 00:38:09,840
Speaker 3: already had bombs and things go off in the middle

802
00:38:09,880 --> 00:38:13,759
Speaker 3: of Doha falling intercepted missiles the UAE. The way that

803
00:38:13,880 --> 00:38:16,840
Speaker 3: Dubai was trying to get, you know, past its energy

804
00:38:16,880 --> 00:38:19,640
Speaker 3: image was to become this global powerhouse for the rich.

805
00:38:19,880 --> 00:38:23,239
Speaker 3: The Fairmount Hotel and the Bersh Khalifa literally on fire. Right,

806
00:38:23,480 --> 00:38:27,120
Speaker 3: You've got all these like Western girl influencers who are

807
00:38:27,120 --> 00:38:30,040
Speaker 3: probably being paid to be over there, like hanging out

808
00:38:30,040 --> 00:38:33,520
Speaker 3: in tank tops at the gym. Now scrambling to the airport.

809
00:38:33,600 --> 00:38:35,879
Speaker 3: Oh oops, except you can't get out because the entire

810
00:38:35,920 --> 00:38:39,920
Speaker 3: airport shut down. Semaphore reporting this morning. The going rate

811
00:38:39,960 --> 00:38:42,920
Speaker 3: for a PJ out of Saudi today is three hundred

812
00:38:42,960 --> 00:38:45,799
Speaker 3: and fifty grand for a single one way flight. For

813
00:38:45,880 --> 00:38:48,400
Speaker 3: a single one way flight, So the princes might be

814
00:38:48,400 --> 00:38:50,520
Speaker 3: able to make it, some of the you know, people

815
00:38:50,520 --> 00:38:52,880
Speaker 3: who pay those influencers might be able to make it.

816
00:38:52,880 --> 00:38:55,480
Speaker 3: But if you're there on a tourist visa. You're stuck

817
00:38:55,760 --> 00:38:59,320
Speaker 3: for the time being. The entire region's airspace is basically

818
00:38:59,360 --> 00:39:02,279
Speaker 3: shut down. I think single commercial passenger plane has left.

819
00:39:02,320 --> 00:39:05,320
Speaker 3: I think Abu Dhabi like in the last twenty four hours.

820
00:39:05,400 --> 00:39:08,360
Speaker 3: If you look at global air traffic, it's all going around.

821
00:39:09,000 --> 00:39:11,280
Speaker 3: You got missiles, drones and all this stuff that's flying

822
00:39:11,360 --> 00:39:14,240
Speaker 3: up there. Don't forget what happened in Ukraine. You remember

823
00:39:14,239 --> 00:39:17,280
Speaker 3: when those passenger planes got accidentally shot out of the skool,

824
00:39:17,360 --> 00:39:20,160
Speaker 3: accidentally shot out of the sky literally, So I mean.

825
00:39:20,080 --> 00:39:23,480
Speaker 1: This is serious stuff. This is danger this is extremely dangerous.

826
00:39:23,520 --> 00:39:26,080
Speaker 3: And the global economic impact in the gas market, we

827
00:39:26,120 --> 00:39:29,200
Speaker 3: haven't seen anything like this since Ukraine. Except now, ironically,

828
00:39:29,280 --> 00:39:31,520
Speaker 3: we're going to massively fund the Russian war efforts. So

829
00:39:31,560 --> 00:39:35,520
Speaker 3: congratulations to all of the neocons for dramatically enriching the Kremlin.

830
00:39:35,640 --> 00:39:38,400
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, those images of the burning Dubai hotels

831
00:39:38,440 --> 00:39:41,719
Speaker 2: are crazy. And the theory is that Iran targeted some

832
00:39:41,719 --> 00:39:44,160
Speaker 2: of these hotels because service members have kept had been

833
00:39:44,239 --> 00:39:47,279
Speaker 2: moved off of bases to be kept safe, and so

834
00:39:47,440 --> 00:39:49,440
Speaker 2: the Iranians targeted with these.

835
00:39:49,280 --> 00:39:51,759
Speaker 4: Again, these are like thirty.

836
00:39:51,440 --> 00:39:55,320
Speaker 2: To fifty thousand dollars drones that they're using en mass

837
00:39:55,320 --> 00:39:57,640
Speaker 2: that they mass produce is the same thing that you know,

838
00:39:57,640 --> 00:40:00,879
Speaker 2: the houthis were armed with by the Iranian that they're

839
00:40:01,000 --> 00:40:04,000
Speaker 2: using to you know, attack hotels in Dubai.

840
00:40:04,440 --> 00:40:07,200
Speaker 4: Crazy crazy stuff. Let's put this B six up on

841
00:40:07,200 --> 00:40:07,560
Speaker 4: the screen.

842
00:40:07,600 --> 00:40:10,279
Speaker 2: And Financial Times had good analysis about what all this

843
00:40:10,440 --> 00:40:13,120
Speaker 2: could mean. They talked to an analyst who said, yes,

844
00:40:13,360 --> 00:40:15,360
Speaker 2: oil could go up to you know, one hundred dollars

845
00:40:15,400 --> 00:40:17,759
Speaker 2: a barrel. They said, how dangerous would that be to

846
00:40:17,880 --> 00:40:20,360
Speaker 2: US growth? Given the fact that we are largely energy

847
00:40:20,480 --> 00:40:23,240
Speaker 2: self sufficient at this point. It is a different dynamic

848
00:40:23,320 --> 00:40:26,760
Speaker 2: than you know in the seventies or whatever. And they say,

849
00:40:26,880 --> 00:40:29,400
Speaker 2: but that doesn't mean in an interruption to Gulf oil

850
00:40:29,400 --> 00:40:32,000
Speaker 2: flows would be irrelevant to the US economy. Given the

851
00:40:32,040 --> 00:40:35,440
Speaker 2: impact on oil benchmarks, sharply, higher global oil prices can

852
00:40:35,440 --> 00:40:38,879
Speaker 2: inflict pain on US consumers and corporate America. This would

853
00:40:38,880 --> 00:40:42,280
Speaker 2: feed into higher gas prices, placing a visible strand on consumers,

854
00:40:42,480 --> 00:40:44,520
Speaker 2: many of whom are already complaining about a cost of

855
00:40:44,520 --> 00:40:47,319
Speaker 2: living crisis ahead of November's crucial midterm elections. Oil of

856
00:40:47,320 --> 00:40:50,760
Speaker 2: one hundred dollars a barrel could push consumer price inflation

857
00:40:50,840 --> 00:40:53,400
Speaker 2: from two point four percent in this year to January

858
00:40:53,480 --> 00:40:56,759
Speaker 2: to above four percent. FED targets two percent inflation is

859
00:40:56,760 --> 00:40:58,880
Speaker 2: measured by the annual change in the price index for

860
00:40:58,960 --> 00:41:01,880
Speaker 2: personal consumption expenditures. In the short term, that would make

861
00:41:01,920 --> 00:41:05,319
Speaker 2: the US Federal Reserve less likely to cut interest rates,

862
00:41:05,360 --> 00:41:07,280
Speaker 2: which of course is something that Trump has been wanting

863
00:41:07,320 --> 00:41:09,840
Speaker 2: them to do. So you're talking about interest rates staying

864
00:41:10,160 --> 00:41:14,640
Speaker 2: relatively high. You're talking about inflation overall because of the way,

865
00:41:14,680 --> 00:41:18,560
Speaker 2: of course oil prices feed into everything, and you're talking

866
00:41:18,800 --> 00:41:22,400
Speaker 2: higher prices at the pump, and you know, you'll recall

867
00:41:22,520 --> 00:41:24,919
Speaker 2: back at the beginning early days of the Ukraine War,

868
00:41:25,320 --> 00:41:28,120
Speaker 2: there was polling that people were like, yes, I am

869
00:41:28,160 --> 00:41:30,799
Speaker 2: actually willing to pay more at the pump because I

870
00:41:30,840 --> 00:41:34,359
Speaker 2: believe this was an unjust, unprovoked war of aggression from

871
00:41:34,400 --> 00:41:36,799
Speaker 2: the Russians. We want to support Ukraine, like we want

872
00:41:36,800 --> 00:41:38,719
Speaker 2: to be on their side. We're willing to take some pain.

873
00:41:38,800 --> 00:41:40,560
Speaker 2: I think we're both a little skeptical at the time

874
00:41:40,640 --> 00:41:43,600
Speaker 2: how long that would last, rightly so, but this time

875
00:41:43,920 --> 00:41:46,719
Speaker 2: I want to see the polling go, ask people you

876
00:41:46,760 --> 00:41:49,440
Speaker 2: willing to pay four bucks a gallon for gas so

877
00:41:49,480 --> 00:41:51,799
Speaker 2: that we can do whatever the hell we're doing right

878
00:41:51,840 --> 00:41:53,480
Speaker 2: now and have American service members.

879
00:41:53,280 --> 00:41:56,560
Speaker 4: Killed, et cetera. There is zero appetite for this.

880
00:41:56,680 --> 00:41:59,640
Speaker 2: I mean, going into this war, you had maybe twenty

881
00:41:59,680 --> 00:42:02,640
Speaker 2: to three thirty percent of the American public who were like, yes,

882
00:42:03,000 --> 00:42:05,560
Speaker 2: we're with Iran. Many of them live right here in

883
00:42:05,600 --> 00:42:09,520
Speaker 2: the broader DMV region. In any case, you think that

884
00:42:09,560 --> 00:42:12,880
Speaker 2: people are willing to pay any like, have any pain

885
00:42:13,040 --> 00:42:16,000
Speaker 2: in their lives because of this, and then you look

886
00:42:16,000 --> 00:42:17,920
Speaker 2: at the fact, you know, we've had these massive cuts

887
00:42:17,960 --> 00:42:21,280
Speaker 2: to the social safety net this year, You've had healthcare cuts,

888
00:42:21,640 --> 00:42:23,520
Speaker 2: You've had you know, you had the whole Doge thing,

889
00:42:23,600 --> 00:42:25,680
Speaker 2: and all kinds of you know, things that were that

890
00:42:25,800 --> 00:42:28,800
Speaker 2: have been made more the life made more difficult for people.

891
00:42:29,080 --> 00:42:32,440
Speaker 2: And meanwhile, we're letting one hundred million dollar fighter jets

892
00:42:32,440 --> 00:42:36,000
Speaker 2: get drop down to the sky reportedly by our allies,

893
00:42:36,080 --> 00:42:38,359
Speaker 2: and God only knows how much is being spent on

894
00:42:38,400 --> 00:42:40,440
Speaker 2: this whole absolute catastrophe.

895
00:42:40,480 --> 00:42:41,120
Speaker 1: They'll never tell you.

896
00:42:41,160 --> 00:42:42,640
Speaker 3: I mean, do you do you want to know what

897
00:42:42,719 --> 00:42:45,279
Speaker 3: the operating costs? And a B two bomber is, that's

898
00:42:45,320 --> 00:42:48,480
Speaker 3: a thirty six hour mission from the United States over there.

899
00:42:48,640 --> 00:42:51,719
Speaker 3: It's millions of dollars. Everything that think even every time

900
00:42:51,760 --> 00:42:56,160
Speaker 3: it leaves the base. Every Tomahawk missile mill in hundreds

901
00:42:56,200 --> 00:42:59,600
Speaker 3: of thousands, half of them, not half, but a decent

902
00:42:59,680 --> 00:43:01,360
Speaker 3: number of Sometimes they don't even explode.

903
00:43:01,400 --> 00:43:03,160
Speaker 4: In Nigeria, quarter of them didn't explode.

904
00:43:03,160 --> 00:43:03,759
Speaker 1: That's what I'm saying.

905
00:43:03,840 --> 00:43:05,560
Speaker 3: And then you know the amount of money that were

906
00:43:05,600 --> 00:43:10,120
Speaker 3: spent to General Kine this morning said more troops already

907
00:43:10,120 --> 00:43:12,400
Speaker 3: on the way. So we already had tens of thousands

908
00:43:12,600 --> 00:43:14,239
Speaker 3: of troops who were in the region. Now he's saying

909
00:43:14,360 --> 00:43:16,920
Speaker 3: more troops. Anybody remember what it was like in the

910
00:43:16,920 --> 00:43:19,760
Speaker 3: middle of a rock God, you know, I really feel

911
00:43:19,760 --> 00:43:22,319
Speaker 3: Already there was a report coming out for one of

912
00:43:22,360 --> 00:43:25,680
Speaker 3: the guys who was injured, Navy reservist nine to one

913
00:43:25,719 --> 00:43:29,359
Speaker 3: to one dispatcher. I mean, can this person probably signed up,

914
00:43:29,640 --> 00:43:31,080
Speaker 3: you know, for extra month. I mean, look, I'm not

915
00:43:31,080 --> 00:43:32,719
Speaker 3: saying he's not a patriot or any of that, but

916
00:43:32,760 --> 00:43:34,600
Speaker 3: he probably never imagined he's going to be in the

917
00:43:34,640 --> 00:43:37,160
Speaker 3: middle of a war zone like one weekend a month,

918
00:43:37,360 --> 00:43:38,480
Speaker 3: one week in a month or whatever.

919
00:43:38,560 --> 00:43:41,040
Speaker 1: And it's I mean, just this is what I watched

920
00:43:41,040 --> 00:43:42,520
Speaker 1: this happen with the rock. I know people like.

921
00:43:42,520 --> 00:43:46,000
Speaker 3: That, and'm sure that fired firemen in the National Guard.

922
00:43:46,120 --> 00:43:47,799
Speaker 3: Next thing you know, he's pulling a sixteen month tour

923
00:43:47,840 --> 00:43:51,279
Speaker 3: in Iraq right watching people getting blown up by IEDs.

924
00:43:51,480 --> 00:43:53,920
Speaker 3: We may not be that far away from that, unfortunately,

925
00:43:53,960 --> 00:43:57,360
Speaker 3: considering what Secretary headsect this morning. But considering, you know,

926
00:43:57,480 --> 00:44:01,239
Speaker 3: just on the global economic implication here, it's only day three.

927
00:44:01,480 --> 00:44:04,319
Speaker 3: We got to shut down here in LNG. Even if

928
00:44:04,400 --> 00:44:06,880
Speaker 3: things quote unquote go back to normal, like if the

929
00:44:06,920 --> 00:44:11,160
Speaker 3: war ended today, think about already you have the Straits

930
00:44:11,200 --> 00:44:14,400
Speaker 3: of Hornmoz problem. The Iranians at least have some limited

931
00:44:14,400 --> 00:44:17,920
Speaker 3: amount of deterrence in that region. You also have a

932
00:44:17,960 --> 00:44:20,759
Speaker 3: hardline faction in Iran, which I'm doubtful is ever really

933
00:44:20,800 --> 00:44:25,000
Speaker 3: going to truly surrender. Then you've got the Gulf Arab prestige.

934
00:44:25,080 --> 00:44:27,440
Speaker 3: What's happened to them? Have we talked about the UAE

935
00:44:27,520 --> 00:44:29,879
Speaker 3: stock market. I think we have, yeah, B three put

936
00:44:29,920 --> 00:44:32,839
Speaker 3: that one up there. The UAE literally is closing its

937
00:44:32,960 --> 00:44:36,400
Speaker 3: entire stock exchange for two days in order to stop

938
00:44:36,600 --> 00:44:39,680
Speaker 3: the amount of drop, in order to stop the losses

939
00:44:39,840 --> 00:44:42,640
Speaker 3: that they're likely to incur. We'll talk about this later

940
00:44:42,680 --> 00:44:45,800
Speaker 3: with Professor Zong. I mean, you had a Amazon data

941
00:44:45,840 --> 00:44:48,680
Speaker 3: center take a hit in the middle of the UAE.

942
00:44:49,160 --> 00:44:54,399
Speaker 3: That is disastrous for them because their whole economic pitch was, hey, guys, we've.

943
00:44:54,320 --> 00:44:56,080
Speaker 1: Got plenty of cheap energy over here.

944
00:44:55,960 --> 00:44:59,520
Speaker 3: There ain't no nimbiism out you know, out in the desert.

945
00:45:00,000 --> 00:45:02,480
Speaker 3: Fill to whatever you want, take as much stuck, as

946
00:45:02,520 --> 00:45:04,839
Speaker 3: much oil out of the ground, will power it for you.

947
00:45:05,000 --> 00:45:07,279
Speaker 3: And we've got millions of dollars to boot. You think

948
00:45:07,280 --> 00:45:09,879
Speaker 3: they're not going to rethink that all of these data

949
00:45:09,880 --> 00:45:12,200
Speaker 3: center companies and others, they're going to be building them

950
00:45:12,360 --> 00:45:12,759
Speaker 3: out in.

951
00:45:12,719 --> 00:45:13,400
Speaker 1: The Middle East.

952
00:45:13,440 --> 00:45:18,760
Speaker 3: I mean, this is a I mean an absolute disaster already. Also,

953
00:45:19,320 --> 00:45:22,680
Speaker 3: what we have shown for the golf, they can't have

954
00:45:22,800 --> 00:45:24,840
Speaker 3: nearly that much faith in the United For years, the

955
00:45:24,920 --> 00:45:28,200
Speaker 3: trade was we sell you the oil, we buy your weapons,

956
00:45:28,400 --> 00:45:29,440
Speaker 3: you protect us.

957
00:45:29,760 --> 00:45:30,440
Speaker 1: It's not working.

958
00:45:30,719 --> 00:45:33,439
Speaker 3: I mean at the very like with these drones, there's

959
00:45:33,480 --> 00:45:35,440
Speaker 3: not much you can do against them as far as

960
00:45:35,440 --> 00:45:37,320
Speaker 3: I know from what I talk to some of the experts.

961
00:45:38,000 --> 00:45:40,600
Speaker 3: The way that the Ukrainians deal with these Iranian drones,

962
00:45:40,840 --> 00:45:42,600
Speaker 3: you put a belt fed machine gun and you just

963
00:45:42,640 --> 00:45:43,279
Speaker 3: fire it at them.

964
00:45:43,480 --> 00:45:46,280
Speaker 1: That's basically all you can do, although.

965
00:45:45,920 --> 00:45:48,840
Speaker 3: That requires a lot of ammunition, which you know, even

966
00:45:48,880 --> 00:45:53,240
Speaker 3: then we're already talking about having to cannibalize global stocks,

967
00:45:53,520 --> 00:45:57,040
Speaker 3: our companies, our defense base is not prepared for the

968
00:45:57,080 --> 00:45:59,080
Speaker 3: spin up that was going to be required. If this

969
00:45:59,280 --> 00:46:03,280
Speaker 3: last more than three months, we're going to have serious problems,

970
00:46:03,520 --> 00:46:06,239
Speaker 3: serious serious problems, like we're going to be down to

971
00:46:06,320 --> 00:46:09,640
Speaker 3: the absolute scraps. This is what the generals were warning about.

972
00:46:09,760 --> 00:46:13,560
Speaker 3: I just saw a report this morning from inside of Iran.

973
00:46:13,880 --> 00:46:17,360
Speaker 3: They say, so far, Iran has declined three requests for mediation.

974
00:46:17,760 --> 00:46:20,880
Speaker 3: From day Tehran's perspective, the country possesses the capacity and

975
00:46:20,920 --> 00:46:23,840
Speaker 3: preparedness to sustain high intensity conflict for a period of

976
00:46:23,840 --> 00:46:27,280
Speaker 3: approximately sixty to ninety days. Within this strategic calculus, accepting

977
00:46:27,280 --> 00:46:30,439
Speaker 3: a ceasefire in early stage would not constitute an advantage. Rather,

978
00:46:30,480 --> 00:46:33,360
Speaker 3: it would carry greater long term strategic costs than continuing

979
00:46:33,400 --> 00:46:36,040
Speaker 3: the confrontation. For them, they're going to say, let's take

980
00:46:36,080 --> 00:46:39,000
Speaker 3: as many casualties as we can to sustain for sixty

981
00:46:39,040 --> 00:46:42,720
Speaker 3: to ninety days, inflect maximum damage on all of these people,

982
00:46:42,880 --> 00:46:45,319
Speaker 3: cripple them, and bring them to high risk strategy, right

983
00:46:45,480 --> 00:46:47,880
Speaker 3: because I mean, look at the videos that we've already

984
00:46:47,880 --> 00:46:48,319
Speaker 3: showed you.

985
00:46:48,600 --> 00:46:51,120
Speaker 1: Who knows how many thousands of people are dead? In Tehran.

986
00:46:51,280 --> 00:46:53,799
Speaker 3: Do you think the Israelis care about civilian casualty? They're

987
00:46:53,920 --> 00:46:57,279
Speaker 3: carpet bombing that place from what we already saw last night,

988
00:46:57,360 --> 00:47:00,719
Speaker 3: So I mean it's it's a catastrophe. Like literally it

989
00:47:00,760 --> 00:47:02,800
Speaker 3: could end today and already everything has changed.

990
00:47:03,360 --> 00:47:05,320
Speaker 4: Absolutely okay, absolutely the case.

991
00:47:05,360 --> 00:47:07,400
Speaker 2: And I just can't get some of these images on

992
00:47:07,480 --> 00:47:11,400
Speaker 2: my head, that plane plummeting to the ground, the you know,

993
00:47:11,440 --> 00:47:13,120
Speaker 2: there's one going around. We didn't put in the show

994
00:47:13,160 --> 00:47:16,600
Speaker 2: because we weren't one hundred percent sure that this is real,

995
00:47:16,719 --> 00:47:19,560
Speaker 2: but it appears to show an American service member on

996
00:47:19,600 --> 00:47:23,480
Speaker 2: the ground surrendering as a local KUWAITI who found him,

997
00:47:23,560 --> 00:47:25,640
Speaker 2: you know, has a stick over his head ready to

998
00:47:25,680 --> 00:47:30,960
Speaker 2: beat his ass. I mean, humiliation, like this is horrifying humiliation.

999
00:47:31,200 --> 00:47:35,919
Speaker 2: And we're supposed to be the whole point of all

1000
00:47:35,960 --> 00:47:39,160
Speaker 2: of the foreign adventurism from this maniac of a president

1001
00:47:39,200 --> 00:47:42,759
Speaker 2: that we have is supposed to be about maintaining our

1002
00:47:42,800 --> 00:47:47,560
Speaker 2: status as the undisputed global hedgemon. That's what it's, that's

1003
00:47:47,600 --> 00:47:50,240
Speaker 2: what really at its core, you know, And he functions

1004
00:47:50,280 --> 00:47:52,839
Speaker 2: in this like mob boss, ego driven way.

1005
00:47:53,280 --> 00:47:54,319
Speaker 4: That's what it's supposed to be.

1006
00:47:54,360 --> 00:47:56,719
Speaker 2: Throwing our weight around. This is what it means to

1007
00:47:56,760 --> 00:47:57,839
Speaker 2: make America great again.

1008
00:47:57,920 --> 00:47:58,880
Speaker 1: Blah blah blah.

1009
00:47:59,200 --> 00:48:02,399
Speaker 2: You have these menches of American service members at the

1010
00:48:02,840 --> 00:48:07,160
Speaker 2: mercy of just random local people in Kuwait or in

1011
00:48:07,239 --> 00:48:10,799
Speaker 2: other places that are supposed to be our allies. It's

1012
00:48:11,560 --> 00:48:13,400
Speaker 2: you know, how are you going to persist as the

1013
00:48:13,400 --> 00:48:17,319
Speaker 2: global superpower when this is the level of humiliation that

1014
00:48:17,360 --> 00:48:19,879
Speaker 2: you're already suffering. And listen, I mean, let me be clear,

1015
00:48:19,960 --> 00:48:22,759
Speaker 2: Like there's no doubt our military is much bigger than

1016
00:48:22,800 --> 00:48:25,480
Speaker 2: the Irani military, like us in the Israelis, we can

1017
00:48:25,520 --> 00:48:27,760
Speaker 2: inflict much more damage on them than they can.

1018
00:48:27,640 --> 00:48:30,759
Speaker 4: Do to us. But for them, this is existential. They

1019
00:48:30,840 --> 00:48:31,719
Speaker 4: will fight to the death.

1020
00:48:31,760 --> 00:48:33,400
Speaker 2: And by the way, a lot of people in the

1021
00:48:33,440 --> 00:48:37,000
Speaker 2: Iranian government like they actually believe in what they're fighting for,

1022
00:48:37,239 --> 00:48:40,080
Speaker 2: Like they are actually committed to some principle. It might

1023
00:48:40,080 --> 00:48:42,000
Speaker 2: not be principles we agree with, but they are actually

1024
00:48:42,000 --> 00:48:45,640
Speaker 2: committed to some principle and willing to fight for those principles,

1025
00:48:45,880 --> 00:48:48,040
Speaker 2: which we're seeing. Not to mention that they're fighting for

1026
00:48:48,200 --> 00:48:50,759
Speaker 2: their lives and the very existence of their country and

1027
00:48:50,800 --> 00:48:53,759
Speaker 2: their government to continue. They have I mean to say,

1028
00:48:53,800 --> 00:48:55,640
Speaker 2: they have more skin in the game. Here is just

1029
00:48:55,719 --> 00:49:01,080
Speaker 2: like the unbelievable understatement. So listen, the economic warfare is

1030
00:49:01,120 --> 00:49:03,359
Speaker 2: going to be just as central to this as the

1031
00:49:03,400 --> 00:49:08,560
Speaker 2: military warfare. And the Iranians know that with our allies

1032
00:49:08,600 --> 00:49:12,440
Speaker 2: and Gulf they are incredibly vulnerable. The Israelis and their

1033
00:49:12,440 --> 00:49:16,040
Speaker 2: whole defense tech sector, they're very vulnerable orthough they think

1034
00:49:16,040 --> 00:49:18,080
Speaker 2: they are actually willing to take some pain in order

1035
00:49:18,120 --> 00:49:21,759
Speaker 2: to take the Iranian government off the map. And let

1036
00:49:21,760 --> 00:49:25,080
Speaker 2: me say something else about our great Israeli friends. Do

1037
00:49:25,120 --> 00:49:28,360
Speaker 2: you think that they care that much if we're weakened?

1038
00:49:28,760 --> 00:49:32,200
Speaker 2: And no, no, because guess what, then we're not as

1039
00:49:32,280 --> 00:49:34,120
Speaker 2: much of a factor in the Middle East. They can

1040
00:49:34,160 --> 00:49:38,000
Speaker 2: be even more of the undisputed heavyweight in the Middle

1041
00:49:38,040 --> 00:49:39,360
Speaker 2: East throwing their weight around.

1042
00:49:39,560 --> 00:49:40,479
Speaker 4: So they don't give a shit.

1043
00:49:40,560 --> 00:49:42,359
Speaker 2: They don't give a shit about American lives, they don't

1044
00:49:42,360 --> 00:49:46,640
Speaker 2: give a shit about American equipment, American hedgemond, they don't

1045
00:49:46,680 --> 00:49:49,360
Speaker 2: care that, you could argue they have an interest in

1046
00:49:49,440 --> 00:49:53,480
Speaker 2: seeing us get into this foolish war and be humiliated

1047
00:49:53,560 --> 00:49:56,600
Speaker 2: and have our economy tank and collapse on the global stage.

1048
00:49:56,640 --> 00:49:59,759
Speaker 2: So listen, that's why paying attention to what happens here

1049
00:49:59,800 --> 00:50:03,719
Speaker 2: with with oil, with natural gas with you know, the

1050
00:50:04,000 --> 00:50:06,560
Speaker 2: tourism economies that all of these you know, goldfare up

1051
00:50:06,560 --> 00:50:10,040
Speaker 2: states have tried to build up. All of that is

1052
00:50:10,080 --> 00:50:12,719
Speaker 2: going to make a huge difference in terms of how

1053
00:50:12,760 --> 00:50:15,440
Speaker 2: long the US is going to be able to sustain

1054
00:50:15,640 --> 00:50:18,040
Speaker 2: any sort of political will for this conflict.

1055
00:50:18,080 --> 00:50:19,759
Speaker 4: And I'll tell you that Warpowers.

1056
00:50:19,280 --> 00:50:22,160
Speaker 2: Resolution vote is going to be very interesting this week,

1057
00:50:22,600 --> 00:50:25,960
Speaker 2: as you already see, you know, as you already see

1058
00:50:26,080 --> 00:50:28,200
Speaker 2: like blowback obviously in terms of the markets. So then

1059
00:50:28,200 --> 00:50:30,560
Speaker 2: we're going to talk about the global blowback as well.

1060
00:50:30,600 --> 00:50:33,240
Speaker 1: I hope that we get the vote. I'm not sure.

1061
00:50:33,520 --> 00:50:34,719
Speaker 1: All right, let's get to blowback.

1062
00:50:37,680 --> 00:50:41,200
Speaker 3: Turning now to blowback, of course, the term coined originally

1063
00:50:41,280 --> 00:50:44,880
Speaker 3: by the CIA back in the nineteen fifties about operations

1064
00:50:44,920 --> 00:50:47,640
Speaker 3: abroad which may blowback on the United States at home,

1065
00:50:47,719 --> 00:50:50,920
Speaker 3: is already materializing as a result of this Iran conflict.

1066
00:50:51,000 --> 00:50:53,800
Speaker 3: Let's start already with a very sketchy and strange incident

1067
00:50:54,000 --> 00:50:56,359
Speaker 3: in Austin, Texas, where I literally was at the time

1068
00:50:56,400 --> 00:50:58,000
Speaker 3: of the shooting. Let's go and put this up here

1069
00:50:58,160 --> 00:51:01,080
Speaker 3: on the screen. The FBI is currently a Texas bar

1070
00:51:01,160 --> 00:51:04,640
Speaker 3: shooting that killed two and wounded fourteen. As a possible

1071
00:51:04,800 --> 00:51:07,360
Speaker 3: terrorist act. So what they say is that the gunman

1072
00:51:07,520 --> 00:51:10,600
Speaker 3: was wearing clothes with an Iranian flag design and the

1073
00:51:10,640 --> 00:51:14,520
Speaker 3: words property of Allah. Killed two people and wounded fourteen

1074
00:51:14,880 --> 00:51:17,880
Speaker 3: in early Sunday morning at a Texas bar. The FBI

1075
00:51:18,000 --> 00:51:22,319
Speaker 3: already investigating the shooting already. There's some indications that this

1076
00:51:22,400 --> 00:51:26,719
Speaker 3: man had pictures actually of the Iranian leader in his

1077
00:51:26,840 --> 00:51:29,239
Speaker 3: home at the time of the shooting, whenever it was

1078
00:51:29,280 --> 00:51:32,040
Speaker 3: busted down by the FBI. He was killed in the

1079
00:51:32,080 --> 00:51:35,160
Speaker 3: incident by the Austin Police Department. However, all of the

1080
00:51:35,200 --> 00:51:40,319
Speaker 3: circumstances around this are extremely bizarre. The perpetrator appears to

1081
00:51:40,320 --> 00:51:45,120
Speaker 3: be a Senegalese naturalized citizen of the United States who

1082
00:51:45,200 --> 00:51:49,440
Speaker 3: came back I believe under Bill Clinton over state of Visa,

1083
00:51:50,360 --> 00:51:53,000
Speaker 3: married a US citizen, was able to get a green

1084
00:51:53,040 --> 00:51:57,359
Speaker 3: cart eventually became a naturalized US citizen under several years ago,

1085
00:51:57,480 --> 00:52:00,080
Speaker 3: so it's been a citizen for over fifteen years. But

1086
00:52:00,160 --> 00:52:02,520
Speaker 3: I mean, you've got a person here who's again literally

1087
00:52:02,520 --> 00:52:03,840
Speaker 3: from Senegal, which I.

1088
00:52:03,840 --> 00:52:04,239
Speaker 1: Didn't even know.

1089
00:52:04,280 --> 00:52:06,280
Speaker 3: There are a lot of Muslims in Senegal, but whatever,

1090
00:52:06,840 --> 00:52:10,239
Speaker 3: who is now apparently some sort of acolyte or inspired

1091
00:52:10,480 --> 00:52:13,800
Speaker 3: by the attack on the Iranians, which has already happened

1092
00:52:13,840 --> 00:52:16,560
Speaker 3: on the very day of the attack. I mean, look,

1093
00:52:16,560 --> 00:52:17,920
Speaker 3: you know, if you ask me, you shouldn't be here,

1094
00:52:17,960 --> 00:52:18,839
Speaker 3: but you're here now.

1095
00:52:18,960 --> 00:52:20,800
Speaker 1: I mean, what do we do? This is the exact

1096
00:52:20,880 --> 00:52:22,920
Speaker 1: problem that we have right now.

1097
00:52:23,120 --> 00:52:26,160
Speaker 3: I mean some of the right wing fever dream has

1098
00:52:26,200 --> 00:52:28,920
Speaker 3: always been like, look, there could be like terrorists other people,

1099
00:52:29,440 --> 00:52:31,520
Speaker 3: but like, actually, I mean, for real, though, this is crazy.

1100
00:52:31,560 --> 00:52:33,880
Speaker 3: You literally have a guy from Senegal who's been a

1101
00:52:33,960 --> 00:52:36,680
Speaker 3: naturalized citizen with pictures of it. Look, he could be crazy, right,

1102
00:52:37,120 --> 00:52:39,279
Speaker 3: I'm not going to put that past anybody. But of

1103
00:52:39,320 --> 00:52:41,239
Speaker 3: course this is the same problem that we would have

1104
00:52:41,400 --> 00:52:43,879
Speaker 3: during the global War on Terror. And I'm not saying

1105
00:52:43,880 --> 00:52:45,719
Speaker 3: that's you know, just because people are here and they

1106
00:52:45,840 --> 00:52:48,359
Speaker 3: want to throw at a TERI stac doesn't mean that

1107
00:52:48,440 --> 00:52:51,040
Speaker 3: we shouldn't do something abroad. But you should think about

1108
00:52:51,040 --> 00:52:53,600
Speaker 3: it a little bit, and maybe the FBI director shouldn't

1109
00:52:53,600 --> 00:52:57,280
Speaker 3: be chugging beers in Milan at the time, allegedly around

1110
00:52:57,280 --> 00:52:59,480
Speaker 3: the same go time that the order was issued by

1111
00:52:59,480 --> 00:53:01,839
Speaker 3: the United States government, So did anybody think about it

1112
00:53:01,960 --> 00:53:02,359
Speaker 3: at all?

1113
00:53:02,600 --> 00:53:03,560
Speaker 1: They're like, hey, maybe we.

1114
00:53:03,480 --> 00:53:05,920
Speaker 3: Should heighten our terror alert maybe we should think about

1115
00:53:06,040 --> 00:53:08,440
Speaker 3: potential terrorist attacks here or is that going to happen

1116
00:53:08,640 --> 00:53:10,920
Speaker 3: here at home? Apparently to them the cost was worth it.

1117
00:53:10,960 --> 00:53:12,560
Speaker 3: Not worth it to me, Yeah, it's not worth it

1118
00:53:12,560 --> 00:53:12,759
Speaker 3: to me.

1119
00:53:12,880 --> 00:53:15,759
Speaker 2: And here's the thing is, without buying into a bunch

1120
00:53:15,760 --> 00:53:19,000
Speaker 2: of unproven whatever about Iranian sleeper cells here in the US,

1121
00:53:19,880 --> 00:53:22,520
Speaker 2: is it any support? Like, do you think our actions

1122
00:53:22,600 --> 00:53:24,440
Speaker 2: around the globe right now are going to make people

1123
00:53:24,440 --> 00:53:26,440
Speaker 2: love us? Do you think they're going to inspire love

1124
00:53:26,680 --> 00:53:29,440
Speaker 2: for this country and desire to see, you know, to

1125
00:53:29,480 --> 00:53:33,000
Speaker 2: see to our well being. We oversaw a genocide for years.

1126
00:53:33,040 --> 00:53:34,880
Speaker 2: I mean that is our genocide as much as it

1127
00:53:35,000 --> 00:53:40,400
Speaker 2: was the Israelis just utterly obliterated Gaza. We just bombed

1128
00:53:40,400 --> 00:53:44,840
Speaker 2: alongside the Israelis. We just bombed schoolgirls, murdering over a

1129
00:53:44,960 --> 00:53:48,359
Speaker 2: hundred of them already. There have been something like eight

1130
00:53:48,440 --> 00:53:53,040
Speaker 2: hospitals in Iran that have been bombed. Just a bully,

1131
00:53:53,440 --> 00:53:56,200
Speaker 2: just a bully throwing our weight around might mix right,

1132
00:53:56,600 --> 00:54:01,600
Speaker 2: no care concern about the barbarism. And look, the Ayatola

1133
00:54:01,680 --> 00:54:03,479
Speaker 2: was not only the leader of Iran, he was also

1134
00:54:03,600 --> 00:54:08,480
Speaker 2: a spiritual leader for Shia Muslims. Okay, And just imagine

1135
00:54:08,520 --> 00:54:10,399
Speaker 2: if like, you know, we seem to have this sort

1136
00:54:10,400 --> 00:54:12,359
Speaker 2: of aniseptic view of like, oh, of course we can

1137
00:54:12,440 --> 00:54:14,719
Speaker 2: just like assassinate world leaders. That's fine and good. And

1138
00:54:14,760 --> 00:54:17,160
Speaker 2: by the way, his family, his wife and his grandchildren

1139
00:54:17,200 --> 00:54:19,439
Speaker 2: and whatever alongside it. Imagine that was done for Trump

1140
00:54:19,520 --> 00:54:22,440
Speaker 2: and Milania and Baron, Like, just put it in that perspective.

1141
00:54:22,760 --> 00:54:24,920
Speaker 4: How do you think that's going to make people feel?

1142
00:54:25,200 --> 00:54:27,480
Speaker 2: And of course, if you can't, you know, project your

1143
00:54:27,520 --> 00:54:31,520
Speaker 2: own like consciousness onto the situation, you don't have to.

1144
00:54:31,640 --> 00:54:34,480
Speaker 2: Because we lived through the Iraq War. We saw the

1145
00:54:34,520 --> 00:54:37,680
Speaker 2: way that it created chaos and spun up terror groups

1146
00:54:37,719 --> 00:54:39,680
Speaker 2: and caused all sorts of problems not only for our

1147
00:54:39,719 --> 00:54:43,319
Speaker 2: service members, but created chaos throughout the entire region and

1148
00:54:43,400 --> 00:54:47,319
Speaker 2: dealt a devastating blow to the US in terms of,

1149
00:54:47,400 --> 00:54:49,320
Speaker 2: you know, the future and the status of our country,

1150
00:54:49,320 --> 00:54:51,839
Speaker 2: and not to mention the amount of money and obviously

1151
00:54:51,880 --> 00:54:54,839
Speaker 2: the horror and the lives lost that you know of

1152
00:54:54,840 --> 00:54:56,880
Speaker 2: our own service members and also of the many innocent

1153
00:54:56,880 --> 00:54:59,600
Speaker 2: civilians millions of innocent civilians who were killed in that

1154
00:54:59,680 --> 00:55:00,759
Speaker 2: concent liked as well.

1155
00:55:00,880 --> 00:55:02,840
Speaker 4: So no, I mean.

1156
00:55:02,719 --> 00:55:09,080
Speaker 2: It's entirely predictable that, far from keeping us safer, which

1157
00:55:09,120 --> 00:55:10,360
Speaker 2: is what we're being sold.

1158
00:55:10,960 --> 00:55:13,440
Speaker 4: Far from keeping us safer or preventing some.

1159
00:55:14,080 --> 00:55:18,479
Speaker 2: Undefined risk, this has created much more danger and put

1160
00:55:18,560 --> 00:55:20,560
Speaker 2: everybody at much more risk.

1161
00:55:20,719 --> 00:55:22,200
Speaker 4: That is the direct impact of what.

1162
00:55:22,120 --> 00:55:23,759
Speaker 3: We're I'm going to be at risk. It better be

1163
00:55:23,760 --> 00:55:25,880
Speaker 3: for something important. It better not be for some shit

1164
00:55:26,000 --> 00:55:28,480
Speaker 3: like this. Let's continue, by the way to your point.

1165
00:55:28,560 --> 00:55:31,320
Speaker 3: I mean already, the signs are all around the globe.

1166
00:55:31,440 --> 00:55:33,799
Speaker 3: Let's put this video up here on the screen. This

1167
00:55:33,880 --> 00:55:37,439
Speaker 3: is from Baghdad just yesterday, inside of the green zone,

1168
00:55:37,560 --> 00:55:39,880
Speaker 3: the perimeter where the US embassy is, the most expensive

1169
00:55:39,960 --> 00:55:44,200
Speaker 3: US embassy ever built, where you could see thousands of

1170
00:55:44,520 --> 00:55:48,600
Speaker 3: maybe hundreds of protesters with flash bang grenades and other

1171
00:55:48,680 --> 00:55:52,000
Speaker 3: things that are all going off clashes between the security forces.

1172
00:55:52,120 --> 00:55:56,320
Speaker 3: Shall I remind everybody there's a massive Shia population inside

1173
00:55:56,560 --> 00:55:58,680
Speaker 3: of Iraq. That was the whole problem that we had

1174
00:55:58,840 --> 00:56:01,920
Speaker 3: with the civil war that broke well here is exactly

1175
00:56:02,000 --> 00:56:02,440
Speaker 3: the reason.

1176
00:56:02,680 --> 00:56:03,800
Speaker 1: You know, one of the things that we've.

1177
00:56:03,640 --> 00:56:05,560
Speaker 3: Talked about is that how we rock became basically an

1178
00:56:05,600 --> 00:56:08,480
Speaker 3: Iranian proxy state as a result of the US invasion.

1179
00:56:08,719 --> 00:56:11,560
Speaker 3: This is you know, prototypical example number one. They have

1180
00:56:11,600 --> 00:56:14,880
Speaker 3: a lot of sympathy you have US Basis embassy in Airbel.

1181
00:56:15,239 --> 00:56:18,600
Speaker 3: We had some video, actually at least some of we

1182
00:56:18,719 --> 00:56:20,840
Speaker 3: know for sure that there was some sort of Iranian

1183
00:56:20,840 --> 00:56:24,400
Speaker 3: strike on Airbel in northern Iraq, where there's a significant

1184
00:56:24,400 --> 00:56:27,239
Speaker 3: amount of US forces and ammunition which is stored there,

1185
00:56:27,239 --> 00:56:30,640
Speaker 3: and of course was under attack by proportedly some Shia

1186
00:56:30,680 --> 00:56:34,560
Speaker 3: militias and potentially even some of these Iranian drones. They're

1187
00:56:34,600 --> 00:56:39,080
Speaker 3: also major confrontation that happened in Pakistan. If we put

1188
00:56:39,080 --> 00:56:41,560
Speaker 3: this video up here on the screen, I mean, you're

1189
00:56:41,640 --> 00:56:46,400
Speaker 3: what you're watching here was this consulate in Karachi in Pakistan.

1190
00:56:46,880 --> 00:56:51,640
Speaker 3: Violent clashes in two instances where at least ten fifteen

1191
00:56:51,640 --> 00:56:54,560
Speaker 3: people were killed. The Pakistanis are saying that it's by

1192
00:56:54,600 --> 00:56:57,120
Speaker 3: the local security forces, but you could also see, you know,

1193
00:56:57,280 --> 00:57:00,640
Speaker 3: US personnel are behind these walls and these compounds, and

1194
00:57:00,719 --> 00:57:05,719
Speaker 3: it has erupted all over Pakistan with violent protests against

1195
00:57:05,760 --> 00:57:08,600
Speaker 3: the United States. You can see very clearly that this

1196
00:57:08,680 --> 00:57:11,840
Speaker 3: is already happening. I mean, look, just read a book

1197
00:57:12,560 --> 00:57:15,880
Speaker 3: I'm talked about Israel. Sure, I mean, look, I'm not

1198
00:57:16,080 --> 00:57:19,280
Speaker 3: excusing in any way Al Qaeda, but I do think

1199
00:57:19,280 --> 00:57:22,440
Speaker 3: it's important to understand what led to the attacks on

1200
00:57:22,520 --> 00:57:25,880
Speaker 3: nine to eleven. It was US basis in Saudi Arabia.

1201
00:57:26,160 --> 00:57:29,040
Speaker 3: It was this fanatical belief of the US of the

1202
00:57:29,080 --> 00:57:31,360
Speaker 3: Great Satan, etc. But a lot of it was also

1203
00:57:31,440 --> 00:57:33,800
Speaker 3: about Israel and Israeli attacks. So now we've had just

1204
00:57:33,840 --> 00:57:36,440
Speaker 3: had the situation in Gaza, we've also had now the

1205
00:57:36,480 --> 00:57:39,320
Speaker 3: assassination of the Ayatola, who was not only the leader

1206
00:57:39,360 --> 00:57:43,080
Speaker 3: of the country but a literal religious figure inside for

1207
00:57:43,200 --> 00:57:45,120
Speaker 3: millions of Shia Muslim.

1208
00:57:45,000 --> 00:57:45,920
Speaker 1: All over the world.

1209
00:57:46,080 --> 00:57:48,760
Speaker 3: Well, all of this is going to be seen as

1210
00:57:48,880 --> 00:57:51,920
Speaker 3: a US attack, not only on the religion. So you

1211
00:57:51,920 --> 00:57:54,160
Speaker 3: could look at it as at a secular level about

1212
00:57:54,160 --> 00:57:57,920
Speaker 3: attacking this other country under insane pretenses. You could look

1213
00:57:57,920 --> 00:57:59,800
Speaker 3: at it at a religious level. You could look at the

1214
00:58:00,000 --> 00:58:03,200
Speaker 3: aren't US support for Israel. You've got these Gulf populations,

1215
00:58:03,480 --> 00:58:06,960
Speaker 3: They're sitting on ticking time bombs, these monarchies because the

1216
00:58:07,160 --> 00:58:09,200
Speaker 3: I mean Bahrain I talked about earlier.

1217
00:58:09,280 --> 00:58:10,760
Speaker 1: Bahrain has a huge Sha population.

1218
00:58:11,080 --> 00:58:12,320
Speaker 4: Isn't a majority of shit I think?

1219
00:58:12,400 --> 00:58:15,919
Speaker 3: So now they are literally rioting in the streets where

1220
00:58:16,000 --> 00:58:20,680
Speaker 3: they are cheering on Iranian drones which are landing in

1221
00:58:20,720 --> 00:58:24,040
Speaker 3: the middle of Bahrain. You have Saudi Arabia there you go.

1222
00:58:24,080 --> 00:58:25,720
Speaker 3: So it's like a fifty fit. I knew it was

1223
00:58:25,760 --> 00:58:28,360
Speaker 3: a decent number, but I wasn't exactly sure. But let's

1224
00:58:28,360 --> 00:58:31,320
Speaker 3: say in Saudi Arabia they have always had this problem.

1225
00:58:31,600 --> 00:58:34,040
Speaker 3: The deal with the clerics is you guys, say what

1226
00:58:34,120 --> 00:58:34,479
Speaker 3: you want.

1227
00:58:34,760 --> 00:58:35,560
Speaker 1: We get to keep.

1228
00:58:35,440 --> 00:58:38,400
Speaker 3: All the oil money and live in London. Cool, all right,

1229
00:58:38,400 --> 00:58:40,280
Speaker 3: I get to have my ferrari. You guys get to

1230
00:58:40,280 --> 00:58:42,920
Speaker 3: do what you want. Well, the population there is going

1231
00:58:42,960 --> 00:58:46,200
Speaker 3: to be furious right now, especially not only in terms

1232
00:58:46,200 --> 00:58:49,600
Speaker 3: of Iran, but if this becomes some sort of massive

1233
00:58:49,600 --> 00:58:52,560
Speaker 3: alliance with the United States, and especially if they find

1234
00:58:52,560 --> 00:58:55,040
Speaker 3: themselves fighting on the same side as Israel, They're not

1235
00:58:55,080 --> 00:58:55,680
Speaker 3: going to like that.

1236
00:58:55,960 --> 00:58:59,280
Speaker 1: Doha Qatar, same problem. You have this delicate.

1237
00:58:58,880 --> 00:59:03,200
Speaker 3: Balance of Kuwait as well, you know, with their own population,

1238
00:59:03,400 --> 00:59:06,520
Speaker 3: Like we may have unleashed a literal same level of

1239
00:59:06,600 --> 00:59:10,000
Speaker 3: like Arab spring and requestioning of a lot of the

1240
00:59:10,040 --> 00:59:13,520
Speaker 3: security doctrine that everyone quietly lives with in the Gulf

1241
00:59:13,560 --> 00:59:16,440
Speaker 3: and just succepts. But right now they're asking big questions,

1242
00:59:16,480 --> 00:59:18,080
Speaker 3: like we're going to talk later about this clip of

1243
00:59:18,080 --> 00:59:21,040
Speaker 3: a Saudi on Al Jazeera who's like America has abandoned us.

1244
00:59:21,080 --> 00:59:23,160
Speaker 3: They're letting us get struck so that they can strike

1245
00:59:23,240 --> 00:59:25,880
Speaker 3: down Israel. And this is the other problem with constraints

1246
00:59:25,920 --> 00:59:27,800
Speaker 3: on our military. We literally have to choose, and of

1247
00:59:27,800 --> 00:59:29,960
Speaker 3: course we're choosing Israel, which we have to do by law.

1248
00:59:30,200 --> 00:59:31,600
Speaker 4: I mean, think of the UAE.

1249
00:59:31,880 --> 00:59:36,600
Speaker 2: Okay, somewhere around ninety percent of the population the UAE

1250
00:59:36,760 --> 00:59:42,240
Speaker 2: are foreign expath it's wealthy foreigners, but it's predominantly actually

1251
00:59:42,280 --> 00:59:45,120
Speaker 2: the poor laboring class that are brought in and treated

1252
00:59:45,120 --> 00:59:49,120
Speaker 2: horrifically like indentured servants effectively, And so you know, the

1253
00:59:49,360 --> 00:59:52,560
Speaker 2: if you if the wealthy, you know, the wealthy foreigners, like,

1254
00:59:53,000 --> 00:59:55,040
Speaker 2: I'm going to find some other destination for my money

1255
00:59:55,080 --> 00:59:56,160
Speaker 2: that's not getting bombed.

1256
00:59:56,560 --> 00:59:57,120
Speaker 1: How about that?

1257
00:59:57,480 --> 01:00:00,520
Speaker 2: If they leave, then you have an economic collapse. And

1258
01:00:00,520 --> 01:00:03,360
Speaker 2: by the way, the you know, the indentured servant class

1259
01:00:03,600 --> 01:00:06,680
Speaker 2: who are there, you know, driving the taxis and doing

1260
01:00:06,680 --> 01:00:08,760
Speaker 2: the door dash and all that sort of stuff. You

1261
01:00:08,840 --> 01:00:11,000
Speaker 2: think there aren't other places in the world they might

1262
01:00:11,040 --> 01:00:13,360
Speaker 2: prefer to go also that isn't getting bombed. And by

1263
01:00:13,400 --> 01:00:15,280
Speaker 2: the way, if the economy collapses there, there may not

1264
01:00:15,320 --> 01:00:18,360
Speaker 2: be so much work for them there anyway, Like you're

1265
01:00:18,360 --> 01:00:21,360
Speaker 2: talking about a very precarious system here. And you know,

1266
01:00:21,520 --> 01:00:24,160
Speaker 2: again it come back to that photo that I don't

1267
01:00:24,160 --> 01:00:25,480
Speaker 2: know if it's real or not, but I do know

1268
01:00:25,520 --> 01:00:28,120
Speaker 2: the video of the service member who got picked up

1269
01:00:28,440 --> 01:00:29,400
Speaker 2: and the local.

1270
01:00:29,240 --> 01:00:31,320
Speaker 4: Kuwaitis are like, ay, he's an American, just leave him.

1271
01:00:31,960 --> 01:00:35,520
Speaker 2: We've got video also of the of Bahrainis who are

1272
01:00:35,560 --> 01:00:38,160
Speaker 2: celebrating as they're watching their own country get bombed by

1273
01:00:38,160 --> 01:00:40,680
Speaker 2: Iran because it's you know, us assets that are being hit,

1274
01:00:41,040 --> 01:00:43,120
Speaker 2: Like that's what we're talking about here in the region.

1275
01:00:43,560 --> 01:00:45,360
Speaker 2: Just like here, the view of the leaders do not

1276
01:00:45,480 --> 01:00:48,360
Speaker 2: necessarily represent the view of the public. And you know,

1277
01:00:48,400 --> 01:00:50,440
Speaker 2: we've had to sort of pressure and control the Europeans

1278
01:00:50,480 --> 01:00:52,160
Speaker 2: to go along with this at all. They're all issuing

1279
01:00:52,160 --> 01:00:54,680
Speaker 2: statements at the top that are like supportive in general,

1280
01:00:54,800 --> 01:00:57,600
Speaker 2: but they're not exactly. They weren't excited about this fight either,

1281
01:00:57,640 --> 01:01:00,400
Speaker 2: and their populations are going to be even more posed

1282
01:01:00,440 --> 01:01:02,640
Speaker 2: to it. And they're the ones who are facing fifty

1283
01:01:02,680 --> 01:01:06,120
Speaker 2: percent spike in LNG prices right now, are like, I

1284
01:01:06,120 --> 01:01:08,560
Speaker 2: guess we're gonna have to buy more from Russia at

1285
01:01:08,600 --> 01:01:11,720
Speaker 2: whatever prices is on off or there So no, I mean,

1286
01:01:11,800 --> 01:01:16,120
Speaker 2: it's it's unbelievable. It is absolutely unbelievable. And these are

1287
01:01:16,200 --> 01:01:18,959
Speaker 2: just like we're in the early days here, guys. We're

1288
01:01:19,000 --> 01:01:22,120
Speaker 2: just seeing the rough edges of what is going to

1289
01:01:22,400 --> 01:01:23,000
Speaker 2: come to pass.

1290
01:01:23,000 --> 01:01:23,160
Speaker 5: You know.

1291
01:01:23,200 --> 01:01:26,200
Speaker 2: In Pakistan alone, it wasn't just that one incident at

1292
01:01:26,240 --> 01:01:26,720
Speaker 2: the embassy.

1293
01:01:26,720 --> 01:01:27,520
Speaker 4: There have been thirty for this.

1294
01:01:27,520 --> 01:01:30,960
Speaker 2: According to drop site, thirty five people killed in Pakistan

1295
01:01:31,160 --> 01:01:34,320
Speaker 2: amid protest over US Israeli attacks on Iran. At least

1296
01:01:34,360 --> 01:01:37,080
Speaker 2: thirty five civilians have been killed across Pakistan after protests

1297
01:01:37,160 --> 01:01:40,560
Speaker 2: erupted denouncing the joint US Israeli strikes on neighboring Iran

1298
01:01:40,640 --> 01:01:44,360
Speaker 2: that also killed Supreme Leader Ayatola Ali comedy, the death

1299
01:01:44,360 --> 01:01:47,600
Speaker 2: toll was sixteen people in Karachi, seven in I'm gonna

1300
01:01:47,600 --> 01:01:50,520
Speaker 2: screw up these names, Gildget six in Scardu, six in Islamabad,

1301
01:01:51,080 --> 01:01:54,360
Speaker 2: according to local journalists, and local journalists are claiming that

1302
01:01:54,400 --> 01:01:58,040
Speaker 2: it was not just local police that killed the ones

1303
01:01:58,040 --> 01:02:01,240
Speaker 2: at the protesters at the embassy, that marine security guards

1304
01:02:01,280 --> 01:02:03,200
Speaker 2: were also involved in that. So I don't know whether

1305
01:02:03,200 --> 01:02:05,280
Speaker 2: that's true or not, but that is what's being reported locally.

1306
01:02:05,320 --> 01:02:07,920
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean exactly, and we're not exactly sure what's happened.

1307
01:02:08,080 --> 01:02:09,720
Speaker 3: I looked for the marine stack because it would be

1308
01:02:09,720 --> 01:02:12,760
Speaker 3: insane news. A US marine open fire on a crowd.

1309
01:02:12,840 --> 01:02:16,000
Speaker 3: Hasn't been any confirmation. The pakstudies were saying various different

1310
01:02:16,000 --> 01:02:19,840
Speaker 3: things that were out of their mouth, but regardless, it's bad, right,

1311
01:02:19,880 --> 01:02:22,240
Speaker 3: I mean, what you're watching is a heightened alert.

1312
01:02:22,480 --> 01:02:23,439
Speaker 1: And think about this too.

1313
01:02:23,680 --> 01:02:25,160
Speaker 3: You know how many I don't even want to know

1314
01:02:25,200 --> 01:02:28,040
Speaker 3: the number of American citizens who are stuck in Dubai

1315
01:02:28,080 --> 01:02:32,360
Speaker 3: International Airport or Doha International Airport or Abu Dhabi's airport.

1316
01:02:32,480 --> 01:02:35,000
Speaker 3: I mean, you do know how many people fly from

1317
01:02:35,080 --> 01:02:39,320
Speaker 3: here to Asia via the Gulf. Tens of thousands of

1318
01:02:39,360 --> 01:02:42,320
Speaker 3: people probably per day that are moving through the country.

1319
01:02:42,640 --> 01:02:45,440
Speaker 3: Just think about that entire choke point where all of

1320
01:02:45,440 --> 01:02:47,960
Speaker 3: these people are now stuck. When I lived in Katar,

1321
01:02:48,280 --> 01:02:50,560
Speaker 3: the number you couldn't even like throw a this was

1322
01:02:50,600 --> 01:02:52,360
Speaker 3: two thousand and eight. You can even throw a brick

1323
01:02:52,400 --> 01:02:55,600
Speaker 3: without hitting another American citizen or somebody from the UK.

1324
01:02:56,000 --> 01:03:00,520
Speaker 3: Dubai is even more British and American, right. And then

1325
01:03:00,720 --> 01:03:03,880
Speaker 3: even where I was, the expats are everywhere. They're all

1326
01:03:03,880 --> 01:03:06,360
Speaker 3: over Jordan, there are I mean anywhere where there's oil

1327
01:03:06,360 --> 01:03:09,360
Speaker 3: in the UAE. All of these people, their lives I

1328
01:03:09,400 --> 01:03:11,320
Speaker 3: mean they're probably they're gone, right, They're going to be

1329
01:03:11,320 --> 01:03:13,320
Speaker 3: selling their houses in their cars within a year. I

1330
01:03:13,320 --> 01:03:15,400
Speaker 3: don't think any of them are going to keep living there.

1331
01:03:15,560 --> 01:03:19,440
Speaker 3: This has dramatically shifted that the blowback Section two I

1332
01:03:19,480 --> 01:03:22,400
Speaker 3: think is really important just to consider. And look, I

1333
01:03:22,440 --> 01:03:24,960
Speaker 3: wasn't even talking about Iranian sleep. Although again I still

1334
01:03:24,960 --> 01:03:28,400
Speaker 3: think it's weird the circumstances of all this. It's still

1335
01:03:28,400 --> 01:03:30,880
Speaker 3: bad if it's just like a quote unquote lone wolf attack,

1336
01:03:31,200 --> 01:03:34,919
Speaker 3: which you could easily expect as a result of this, right,

1337
01:03:35,000 --> 01:03:37,360
Speaker 3: especially with the population and all these people that we

1338
01:03:37,400 --> 01:03:39,160
Speaker 3: have in the country, we have no idea in some

1339
01:03:39,200 --> 01:03:41,680
Speaker 3: cases who any of these people are. And you've got that,

1340
01:03:41,800 --> 01:03:44,920
Speaker 3: and then you've got the international situation. Every US base

1341
01:03:45,040 --> 01:03:48,080
Speaker 3: is now on a heightened alert. We've got confrontations with Turkey,

1342
01:03:48,080 --> 01:03:50,480
Speaker 3: which is a NATO ally. I mean, there are Americans

1343
01:03:50,520 --> 01:03:53,480
Speaker 3: who live all over the world, and it only takes

1344
01:03:53,720 --> 01:03:55,960
Speaker 3: a single thing. Think back to you know, the al

1345
01:03:56,040 --> 01:03:58,840
Speaker 3: Qaeda days of what all of the various bombings that

1346
01:03:58,880 --> 01:04:02,320
Speaker 3: took place on very different installations. You can't protect everything

1347
01:04:02,440 --> 01:04:04,560
Speaker 3: all the time, and things will crop up, Like nobody

1348
01:04:04,600 --> 01:04:06,800
Speaker 3: thought that the embassy in Kenya was going to get

1349
01:04:06,840 --> 01:04:09,840
Speaker 3: bombed in the nineteen ninety They never even dreamed that

1350
01:04:09,960 --> 01:04:10,920
Speaker 3: such a thing would happen.

1351
01:04:11,000 --> 01:04:13,680
Speaker 2: I mean, this guy who showed up at mar A

1352
01:04:13,760 --> 01:04:17,840
Speaker 2: Lago and with like intending to kill Trump, secret Service

1353
01:04:17,880 --> 01:04:20,360
Speaker 2: took him out. Apparently he was discussed. He was a

1354
01:04:20,400 --> 01:04:21,200
Speaker 2: former Trump.

1355
01:04:21,000 --> 01:04:23,240
Speaker 1: Supporter who was concerned, disgusted about.

1356
01:04:23,040 --> 01:04:26,720
Speaker 2: The Epstein files and the economy. So I mean, yeah,

1357
01:04:26,840 --> 01:04:32,680
Speaker 2: when you listen, you have a president who has taken

1358
01:04:32,720 --> 01:04:35,439
Speaker 2: this country into a war that we did not want,

1359
01:04:35,720 --> 01:04:39,919
Speaker 2: right and who is covering up for some things in

1360
01:04:40,040 --> 01:04:43,520
Speaker 2: the Epstein files, and everybody's gotten a glimpse now of how.

1361
01:04:43,400 --> 01:04:45,320
Speaker 4: The world really works.

1362
01:04:45,920 --> 01:04:48,360
Speaker 2: You don't think that's going to be a radicalizing experience

1363
01:04:48,560 --> 01:04:51,320
Speaker 2: for some people and including you know, in ways that

1364
01:04:51,360 --> 01:04:56,160
Speaker 2: could Obviously this is analysis, not this is a horrifying

1365
01:04:56,200 --> 01:04:57,800
Speaker 2: direction that we're going in, right.

1366
01:04:57,840 --> 01:04:58,680
Speaker 4: But you'd be crazy.

1367
01:04:58,800 --> 01:05:01,280
Speaker 2: We're a country, you know, full of guns, an untreated

1368
01:05:01,360 --> 01:05:04,840
Speaker 2: mental illness, and you know, being led by a mad

1369
01:05:04,920 --> 01:05:07,760
Speaker 2: king who doesn't care about anything but like his ego

1370
01:05:07,880 --> 01:05:11,760
Speaker 2: and his money and his corrupt regime. It's a it

1371
01:05:11,880 --> 01:05:15,640
Speaker 2: is a recipe for disaster on every single level. And

1372
01:05:15,680 --> 01:05:18,080
Speaker 2: the fact that we're already starting to see. You know

1373
01:05:18,160 --> 01:05:22,040
Speaker 2: that that blowback is is unbelievable. You can't control the

1374
01:05:22,080 --> 01:05:24,680
Speaker 2: whole world with the barrel of a gun. You know,

1375
01:05:24,760 --> 01:05:27,800
Speaker 2: you just can't do it. It's not gonna work. So as

1376
01:05:27,880 --> 01:05:29,560
Speaker 2: much as he thinks he can just throw his weight

1377
01:05:29,600 --> 01:05:31,640
Speaker 2: around the world and he's got the biggest guns and

1378
01:05:31,720 --> 01:05:34,000
Speaker 2: might makes right, et cetera, like the people of the

1379
01:05:34,160 --> 01:05:37,480
Speaker 2: of the world are going to have their say as well,

1380
01:05:37,560 --> 01:05:40,160
Speaker 2: and effectively the only ones that support it are like

1381
01:05:40,440 --> 01:05:45,720
Speaker 2: a small Iranian diaspora mostly here and and the Israelis

1382
01:05:45,800 --> 01:05:48,280
Speaker 2: like that's that's pretty much it. The rest of like,

1383
01:05:48,360 --> 01:05:51,480
Speaker 2: the citizens of the entire world are like, what the

1384
01:05:51,480 --> 01:05:52,640
Speaker 2: fuck is wrong with you right now?