1 00:00:00,320 --> 00:00:03,720 Speaker 1: It's the Favorites Podcast presented by Fandoel. It might be cold, 2 00:00:03,760 --> 00:00:06,200 Speaker 1: but the sports calendar is heating up, and there's no 3 00:00:06,320 --> 00:00:09,600 Speaker 1: better place to get in on the action than FanDuel. 4 00:00:09,680 --> 00:00:11,880 Speaker 1: I love betting with fandel because They're app is safe, 5 00:00:11,880 --> 00:00:14,200 Speaker 1: secure and easy to use, and when I win, I 6 00:00:14,320 --> 00:00:18,480 Speaker 1: get paid fast. And FanDuel is now live in Maryland. 7 00:00:19,000 --> 00:00:21,400 Speaker 1: So use promo code Favorites and download the FanDuel app 8 00:00:21,440 --> 00:00:25,240 Speaker 1: today to make every moment more this football season. Must 9 00:00:25,280 --> 00:00:28,520 Speaker 1: be one or older and in select states called one 10 00:00:28,600 --> 00:00:32,240 Speaker 1: eight hundred gambler or visit FanDuel dot com slash r 11 00:00:32,320 --> 00:00:35,760 Speaker 1: G in Colorado, Iowa, Michigan, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Illinois, and 12 00:00:35,800 --> 00:00:39,880 Speaker 1: Virginia one eight hundred, next step or text next step 13 00:00:39,960 --> 00:00:42,760 Speaker 1: to five three three four two in Arizona one eight 14 00:00:42,840 --> 00:00:45,640 Speaker 1: eight seven eight nine seven seven seven seven or visit 15 00:00:45,760 --> 00:00:49,720 Speaker 1: CCPG dot org slash chat in Connecticut one eight hundred 16 00:00:49,800 --> 00:00:53,280 Speaker 1: nine with it in Indiana, visit ks gambling help dot 17 00:00:53,280 --> 00:00:56,320 Speaker 1: com in Kansas. Call one eight seven seven seven seven 18 00:00:56,440 --> 00:01:00,480 Speaker 1: zero stop in Louisiana one eight seven seven eight Hope 19 00:01:00,640 --> 00:01:04,440 Speaker 1: and Why or text hope and Why free six nine 20 00:01:04,440 --> 00:01:08,199 Speaker 1: in New York Tennessee. Redline is one eight eight nine 21 00:01:08,520 --> 00:01:11,320 Speaker 1: called one eight five to two four seven zero zero 22 00:01:11,400 --> 00:01:16,280 Speaker 1: in Wyoming, or visit www dot one gambler dot net 23 00:01:16,440 --> 00:01:28,240 Speaker 1: in West Virginia. Welcome to the favorites of the podcast 24 00:01:28,400 --> 00:01:32,199 Speaker 1: from the Volume Podcast Network. I am Chad Millman, Chief 25 00:01:32,240 --> 00:01:38,120 Speaker 1: Content Officer of the Action Network. I am joined as 26 00:01:38,160 --> 00:01:42,920 Speaker 1: I am every episode by my bff, my companion, my 27 00:01:42,959 --> 00:01:50,520 Speaker 1: compadre professional better Simon Hunted Hello. Saw him in Dad. 28 00:01:50,560 --> 00:01:56,880 Speaker 1: How you doing, brother, I'm living the life right now, Simon. 29 00:01:57,280 --> 00:02:01,080 Speaker 1: We got a game tonight that we've already talked about, 30 00:02:01,600 --> 00:02:05,320 Speaker 1: the Thursday night game. We said on Tuesday, bet it 31 00:02:05,400 --> 00:02:08,840 Speaker 1: right away, bet the Seahawks three and a half. Since then, 32 00:02:08,919 --> 00:02:11,760 Speaker 1: we've officially gotten news Deebo, Sandy U all out, Kenneth 33 00:02:11,760 --> 00:02:16,560 Speaker 1: Walker playing bounce back spot for Gino brock Purty, first 34 00:02:16,600 --> 00:02:19,720 Speaker 1: game on the road as a starter short week. We 35 00:02:19,800 --> 00:02:26,239 Speaker 1: like the circumstances we do, but in this episode we 36 00:02:26,320 --> 00:02:28,320 Speaker 1: got to settle on our big balls better the week, 37 00:02:29,160 --> 00:02:31,400 Speaker 1: we got to get closer to nailing our final five 38 00:02:31,680 --> 00:02:35,040 Speaker 1: no more buys in the contest. We're five games out. 39 00:02:35,440 --> 00:02:39,320 Speaker 1: We're place out of four thousand. We've lost a couple 40 00:02:39,320 --> 00:02:42,560 Speaker 1: of games the past few weeks in the standings because 41 00:02:42,919 --> 00:02:45,960 Speaker 1: the guy went twenty five, and oh, who's ahead of us? 42 00:02:46,639 --> 00:02:50,240 Speaker 1: And we gotta do stop calls, So let's get to it. 43 00:02:50,320 --> 00:03:04,880 Speaker 1: My friend Shop calls, Hello, who's there, I'm talking. Yeah, 44 00:03:05,160 --> 00:03:08,000 Speaker 1: a busy week with the calls. To no surprise, I 45 00:03:08,040 --> 00:03:10,359 Speaker 1: had a couple of calls about not just this week, 46 00:03:10,400 --> 00:03:13,320 Speaker 1: but last week about that group that had bet the 47 00:03:13,320 --> 00:03:16,160 Speaker 1: Browns and other guys were just asking about what went 48 00:03:16,240 --> 00:03:18,280 Speaker 1: on there. It's just one of those games they missed. 49 00:03:18,600 --> 00:03:20,280 Speaker 1: But we always asked how do you handle those kind 50 00:03:20,280 --> 00:03:22,640 Speaker 1: of things? And I would say, that's that's that's one 51 00:03:22,639 --> 00:03:24,240 Speaker 1: of those where they had to probably apologize to their 52 00:03:24,240 --> 00:03:26,280 Speaker 1: customers because that was a really bad and miss Where 53 00:03:26,840 --> 00:03:28,760 Speaker 1: why are you betting on Deshaun Watson after he didn't 54 00:03:28,760 --> 00:03:33,080 Speaker 1: play for two years? But handling that, I don't know 55 00:03:33,120 --> 00:03:36,000 Speaker 1: if everyone's different to me, if I if I got 56 00:03:36,000 --> 00:03:38,520 Speaker 1: a team of analysts working below, I mean, my lowest 57 00:03:38,520 --> 00:03:40,440 Speaker 1: graded guy has just been bad. I've been looking for 58 00:03:40,440 --> 00:03:42,800 Speaker 1: a reason to fire him. Maybe I fire him after 59 00:03:42,920 --> 00:03:45,760 Speaker 1: that kind of display on a bigger bet um, just 60 00:03:45,800 --> 00:03:49,119 Speaker 1: because that was truly a big swing and a miss um. 61 00:03:49,160 --> 00:03:50,360 Speaker 1: But that's Also when those you just kind of move 62 00:03:50,400 --> 00:03:53,200 Speaker 1: onto the next week. So it was funny guys talking 63 00:03:53,240 --> 00:03:56,520 Speaker 1: this week, UM just about that where you know it's 64 00:03:56,600 --> 00:03:57,960 Speaker 1: rare you wake up and you see a number of 65 00:03:57,960 --> 00:03:59,720 Speaker 1: move by two points or point and a half, and 66 00:03:59,800 --> 00:04:03,600 Speaker 1: you or about that in the night. So this week 67 00:04:04,240 --> 00:04:05,880 Speaker 1: I think guys are looking at games that are the 68 00:04:05,920 --> 00:04:08,640 Speaker 1: same kind of matchups of you know what, what is 69 00:04:08,680 --> 00:04:11,880 Speaker 1: the public thinking that last week that really doesn't matter 70 00:04:11,920 --> 00:04:14,680 Speaker 1: cater to this week. It's not really worth talking about 71 00:04:14,680 --> 00:04:17,000 Speaker 1: just because I guess it is for our livelisteners the 72 00:04:17,040 --> 00:04:20,400 Speaker 1: Seahawks game. But it is interesting that the public is 73 00:04:20,440 --> 00:04:24,200 Speaker 1: still benning the Seahawks despite Rock Purty. He didn't practice 74 00:04:24,240 --> 00:04:27,960 Speaker 1: all week. Apparently he can't throw UM. So I know 75 00:04:28,000 --> 00:04:30,039 Speaker 1: a really smart group that came in on the Seahawks. 76 00:04:30,520 --> 00:04:32,560 Speaker 1: I told you, Chad, this was a Sunday game. This 77 00:04:32,640 --> 00:04:34,640 Speaker 1: probably would be one of my bigger bets. But because 78 00:04:34,640 --> 00:04:37,080 Speaker 1: it's Thursday, we know how wonky and weird Thursdays could be. 79 00:04:37,720 --> 00:04:39,320 Speaker 1: I just couldn't do it. But we've seen the number 80 00:04:39,400 --> 00:04:41,920 Speaker 1: move from three and a half to three, so hopefully 81 00:04:41,920 --> 00:04:44,680 Speaker 1: you got that number. Like we talked about, UM, well 82 00:04:44,680 --> 00:04:47,039 Speaker 1: obviously talked about it a bunch today on Action Island. 83 00:04:47,279 --> 00:04:50,200 Speaker 1: So one board people to death on the podcast because 84 00:04:50,560 --> 00:04:53,040 Speaker 1: it's not useful information of them. But it is one thing. 85 00:04:53,160 --> 00:04:57,760 Speaker 1: One thing to say Seahawks three and a half if 86 00:04:57,800 --> 00:04:59,359 Speaker 1: it's in the contest of three and a half. The 87 00:04:59,360 --> 00:05:01,240 Speaker 1: reason we even spent any time on it the other 88 00:05:01,320 --> 00:05:04,040 Speaker 1: day is because we might put it in the contest. 89 00:05:05,400 --> 00:05:07,440 Speaker 1: What else did they call you about? One that I 90 00:05:07,440 --> 00:05:10,640 Speaker 1: saved Chad from stepping in was that Washington game. I 91 00:05:10,640 --> 00:05:12,880 Speaker 1: know a really smart, smart group. They're gonna come and 92 00:05:12,880 --> 00:05:15,080 Speaker 1: have you on Washington. They're hoping the line will get 93 00:05:15,120 --> 00:05:17,279 Speaker 1: down to four. With all the public love right now 94 00:05:17,360 --> 00:05:20,039 Speaker 1: on the Giants. Uh, they did take the four and 95 00:05:20,040 --> 00:05:21,400 Speaker 1: a half, but I know they're waiting to get to 96 00:05:21,440 --> 00:05:23,960 Speaker 1: the four. That's just a great game to me. I 97 00:05:24,000 --> 00:05:26,440 Speaker 1: feel like we're ending up on that game. I spotted 98 00:05:26,480 --> 00:05:29,360 Speaker 1: that last week where it's just like that's a big deal. 99 00:05:29,440 --> 00:05:31,560 Speaker 1: This team just had a bye week in between, so 100 00:05:32,160 --> 00:05:34,080 Speaker 1: that's when we're gonna break down. But I can tell 101 00:05:34,120 --> 00:05:36,080 Speaker 1: you a really smart group is gonna be in that one. 102 00:05:36,200 --> 00:05:38,279 Speaker 1: So uh, there's no way we end up on the 103 00:05:38,320 --> 00:05:41,200 Speaker 1: Giants and rightly there on Washington or uh, I would 104 00:05:41,200 --> 00:05:43,280 Speaker 1: just pass on that one. They're in line once on 105 00:05:43,320 --> 00:05:47,440 Speaker 1: the Colts. They love that Colds pick. A really really 106 00:05:47,480 --> 00:05:51,080 Speaker 1: really really really really smart guy who I highly respect, 107 00:05:51,560 --> 00:05:56,880 Speaker 1: basically told me this Colds team is they're terrible, but 108 00:05:56,920 --> 00:05:59,680 Speaker 1: they're every better dream of they're gonna be in these 109 00:05:59,720 --> 00:06:01,719 Speaker 1: closed games and they're kind of the team that doesn't 110 00:06:01,720 --> 00:06:03,719 Speaker 1: know they're terrible, Like in all these games, are always 111 00:06:03,720 --> 00:06:05,960 Speaker 1: fighting in they just haven't given up. Matt Ryan's not 112 00:06:06,000 --> 00:06:08,080 Speaker 1: given up. We see him every game. He's he's literally 113 00:06:08,120 --> 00:06:10,839 Speaker 1: going out there. Yeah, the Picts are brutal, but there 114 00:06:10,839 --> 00:06:13,080 Speaker 1: a team that just keeps staying in these close games. 115 00:06:13,120 --> 00:06:15,800 Speaker 1: So it surprises me they loved it now they did 116 00:06:15,880 --> 00:06:18,880 Speaker 1: love it at four above. So this is one of 117 00:06:18,880 --> 00:06:20,640 Speaker 1: these games where, yeah, if it's four and a half, 118 00:06:20,680 --> 00:06:22,760 Speaker 1: I'll put it in. But at four three and a 119 00:06:22,760 --> 00:06:24,719 Speaker 1: half chat, I don't know if I would put in 120 00:06:24,760 --> 00:06:27,039 Speaker 1: our contest, but four and a half. Just love that 121 00:06:27,120 --> 00:06:28,599 Speaker 1: value because that's where I had this number and I 122 00:06:28,600 --> 00:06:30,640 Speaker 1: have at four. Just interesting here that this is a 123 00:06:30,680 --> 00:06:34,120 Speaker 1: game that this guy loves just because to me, I 124 00:06:34,120 --> 00:06:36,159 Speaker 1: don't know, it's there's there's certain times if I make 125 00:06:36,200 --> 00:06:38,839 Speaker 1: big bets, I usually want to trust, really trust the quarterbacks, 126 00:06:39,600 --> 00:06:42,800 Speaker 1: um or the defense. I guess he's back in the 127 00:06:43,080 --> 00:06:46,039 Speaker 1: Colts d here against the Vikings team that scores on 128 00:06:46,080 --> 00:06:49,279 Speaker 1: everybody though, So just an interesting play to me where 129 00:06:49,279 --> 00:06:53,240 Speaker 1: he's he's going against, uh this Vikings team at one o'clock. 130 00:06:53,680 --> 00:06:55,840 Speaker 1: But like we said, yeah, we love that number as well. 131 00:06:56,560 --> 00:07:00,640 Speaker 1: Uh so, yeah, thats not a shocker he would take 132 00:07:00,640 --> 00:07:04,719 Speaker 1: that position and then for a game we're split on Bengals. 133 00:07:05,640 --> 00:07:09,560 Speaker 1: The pros absolutely love Tampa. I cannot get behind it, 134 00:07:09,640 --> 00:07:11,080 Speaker 1: and I think it's just one of these things with 135 00:07:11,160 --> 00:07:13,440 Speaker 1: these guys. Keep are gonna keep going against this Bengals 136 00:07:13,480 --> 00:07:16,239 Speaker 1: team because they've been an absolute cover machine. The public 137 00:07:16,360 --> 00:07:19,160 Speaker 1: is fat, they are fat off betting this Bengals team. 138 00:07:19,160 --> 00:07:21,080 Speaker 1: They've just been covering every week for him, and the 139 00:07:21,200 --> 00:07:22,800 Speaker 1: pros are trying to catch them, and they think they're 140 00:07:22,800 --> 00:07:25,280 Speaker 1: catching them here. They think this is an absolute trap 141 00:07:26,120 --> 00:07:28,000 Speaker 1: we already talked about. I just cannot get behind it. 142 00:07:28,280 --> 00:07:31,280 Speaker 1: I might maybe my model is it is spot on 143 00:07:31,360 --> 00:07:34,360 Speaker 1: and I'm overrating this, but I feel like this should 144 00:07:34,360 --> 00:07:37,000 Speaker 1: be six. If this was six, I could start thinking, Tampa, 145 00:07:37,800 --> 00:07:39,560 Speaker 1: what the hell? Two and a half different? Two and 146 00:07:39,560 --> 00:07:42,160 Speaker 1: a half point difference, at three and a half. The 147 00:07:42,200 --> 00:07:44,560 Speaker 1: money is absolutely pouring on sensing the number is just 148 00:07:44,640 --> 00:07:48,080 Speaker 1: not moving. So I'm not not sure what to do here, Chad. 149 00:07:48,080 --> 00:07:51,440 Speaker 1: We joke all the time the prosy they know, they know, 150 00:07:51,560 --> 00:07:53,920 Speaker 1: and this is a spot where they know, but I 151 00:07:54,040 --> 00:07:56,080 Speaker 1: just don't see it. I think the books still giving 152 00:07:56,080 --> 00:07:58,560 Speaker 1: too much value to Brady and this Buccaneers team, and 153 00:07:59,640 --> 00:08:02,880 Speaker 1: this is is a classic professional game. The pros are 154 00:08:02,880 --> 00:08:05,880 Speaker 1: taking a stance, the books are taking a stance. This 155 00:08:05,960 --> 00:08:09,480 Speaker 1: will be I'm just guessing here. I haven't talked to 156 00:08:09,480 --> 00:08:11,680 Speaker 1: anyone in any sports books yet, but I will before 157 00:08:11,760 --> 00:08:14,119 Speaker 1: we do our picks on Sunday. But I'm gonna guess 158 00:08:14,120 --> 00:08:17,360 Speaker 1: this is a ten to one, twelve to one tickets 159 00:08:17,760 --> 00:08:21,640 Speaker 1: money bets everything on the Bengals, so this could be 160 00:08:21,680 --> 00:08:23,840 Speaker 1: a huge trap spot. I just want people to be careful, 161 00:08:24,320 --> 00:08:26,280 Speaker 1: um if they are thinking of back in the sinse side. 162 00:08:28,440 --> 00:08:35,600 Speaker 1: All right, Um, still a lot to talk about. Uh. 163 00:08:35,760 --> 00:08:37,760 Speaker 1: I want to dig in a little bit deeper on 164 00:08:37,800 --> 00:08:42,000 Speaker 1: the Colts because that is a line that has moved 165 00:08:42,040 --> 00:08:44,880 Speaker 1: from four and a half down to four and then 166 00:08:44,920 --> 00:08:48,840 Speaker 1: went back up to four and a half. We wouldn't 167 00:08:48,840 --> 00:08:53,360 Speaker 1: put it into the contest at four. Unfortunately for one 168 00:08:53,400 --> 00:08:57,920 Speaker 1: of us. On Tuesday it moved from four and a 169 00:08:57,960 --> 00:09:00,439 Speaker 1: half to four. I was worried it was gonna go lower, 170 00:09:00,960 --> 00:09:04,200 Speaker 1: so I betted it for am I uncomfortable that I 171 00:09:04,240 --> 00:09:07,480 Speaker 1: betted it for no. I just say, you know, I 172 00:09:07,480 --> 00:09:09,840 Speaker 1: hate pushes. I just absolutely hate to push. We want that, 173 00:09:09,880 --> 00:09:12,559 Speaker 1: we want the hook. Yeah, we want that hook. Uh. 174 00:09:13,160 --> 00:09:16,640 Speaker 1: But yeah, I feel like our reasoning for loving it 175 00:09:16,720 --> 00:09:21,439 Speaker 1: is just true in the sense that this Vikings team 176 00:09:21,480 --> 00:09:24,120 Speaker 1: just plays close games and it's not any fault of 177 00:09:24,160 --> 00:09:26,400 Speaker 1: the offense. The offense we've seen all season. They've moved 178 00:09:26,400 --> 00:09:29,959 Speaker 1: the ball, Kirk has played pretty well. Um, justin Jefferson, 179 00:09:30,600 --> 00:09:32,720 Speaker 1: he might set the all time record for most receiving 180 00:09:32,800 --> 00:09:35,000 Speaker 1: yards in the season. I know people are like, but 181 00:09:35,040 --> 00:09:37,760 Speaker 1: it's unfair because they have the extra added game. I mean, 182 00:09:37,880 --> 00:09:40,280 Speaker 1: how long did they play with fourteen games, Chad, I 183 00:09:40,280 --> 00:09:42,400 Speaker 1: feel like that was a long time. So you kind 184 00:09:42,400 --> 00:09:44,080 Speaker 1: of have to get get over those kind of records 185 00:09:44,080 --> 00:09:48,520 Speaker 1: in those game records. Uh. Justin Jefferson, think about any 186 00:09:48,520 --> 00:09:51,120 Speaker 1: games he didn't have catchers their yards where he was open. 187 00:09:51,200 --> 00:09:53,439 Speaker 1: Kirk just wasn't getting it to him, So I kind 188 00:09:53,440 --> 00:09:55,959 Speaker 1: of don't fault him for playing an extra game, But 189 00:09:56,440 --> 00:09:59,800 Speaker 1: in this matchup the Colts, I just have to trust 190 00:09:59,840 --> 00:10:01,400 Speaker 1: the Colds will be able to keep this game close. 191 00:10:01,440 --> 00:10:05,320 Speaker 1: We've seen every team had success against this Vikings defense. 192 00:10:05,360 --> 00:10:07,960 Speaker 1: We've seen their secondary they're average and get up over 193 00:10:07,960 --> 00:10:11,480 Speaker 1: a hundred three ten yards per game passing two quarterbacks. 194 00:10:11,640 --> 00:10:13,439 Speaker 1: Do you go through the list of teams they played 195 00:10:13,480 --> 00:10:15,679 Speaker 1: the last couple of weeks, It's not like they're all 196 00:10:15,600 --> 00:10:17,680 Speaker 1: a bunch of all pro quarterbacks. There's a lot of 197 00:10:17,679 --> 00:10:20,679 Speaker 1: bad quarterbacks mixed in there. So I'm looking at a 198 00:10:20,760 --> 00:10:25,440 Speaker 1: matchup of Yeah, it's it's scary backing Matt Ryan, but 199 00:10:25,480 --> 00:10:27,520 Speaker 1: we're getting them after a by a week, Alright, He's 200 00:10:27,559 --> 00:10:29,240 Speaker 1: not gonna be all banged up because me for the 201 00:10:29,240 --> 00:10:31,160 Speaker 1: most part of filming, as good as he's felt all season, 202 00:10:31,600 --> 00:10:35,000 Speaker 1: and this offense, they have gotten healthier. We saw Pittman 203 00:10:35,080 --> 00:10:37,360 Speaker 1: come back before the by. We saw Jonathan Taylor finally 204 00:10:37,360 --> 00:10:39,920 Speaker 1: get some touches and more carries where he's like terrible 205 00:10:39,920 --> 00:10:41,480 Speaker 1: all season, he's kind of gotten things a little bit 206 00:10:41,520 --> 00:10:43,960 Speaker 1: going since he's come back from that injury. So just 207 00:10:44,000 --> 00:10:45,720 Speaker 1: on the offensive side of the ball, I really do 208 00:10:45,840 --> 00:10:48,600 Speaker 1: think this Colds team is matched up well for this 209 00:10:48,720 --> 00:10:54,400 Speaker 1: Vikings team. So it is one of those games that, um, 210 00:10:54,440 --> 00:10:55,959 Speaker 1: I know that no matter what, we were gonna be 211 00:10:56,000 --> 00:10:57,520 Speaker 1: on a chat. As soon as I saw the numbers 212 00:10:57,559 --> 00:10:59,080 Speaker 1: come out, I was like paying that where I was like, 213 00:10:59,120 --> 00:11:01,280 Speaker 1: this is the game we always love to take, especially 214 00:11:01,320 --> 00:11:04,160 Speaker 1: against the Vikings team that's gonna be over inflated just 215 00:11:04,200 --> 00:11:07,240 Speaker 1: because of their record. But it is surprising, Like you 216 00:11:07,320 --> 00:11:09,120 Speaker 1: just said, the number went down and it went back up. 217 00:11:09,440 --> 00:11:12,400 Speaker 1: I didn't really get that. So, uh still like the 218 00:11:12,440 --> 00:11:14,040 Speaker 1: four and a half, but it is it's your stream, 219 00:11:14,480 --> 00:11:16,840 Speaker 1: um that it has been bouncing up and down. Well, look, 220 00:11:16,840 --> 00:11:21,319 Speaker 1: the Minnesota defense is just bad, right, Uh. The Lions 221 00:11:21,440 --> 00:11:24,600 Speaker 1: only had two punts the week before. I think the 222 00:11:24,679 --> 00:11:29,160 Speaker 1: Jets they were in the red zone six times. Uh, 223 00:11:29,240 --> 00:11:34,040 Speaker 1: and they had they had nearly five yards against the 224 00:11:34,120 --> 00:11:39,280 Speaker 1: Vikings defense. Um. You look at our luck rankings, which 225 00:11:39,320 --> 00:11:43,200 Speaker 1: we love, which is the best measurement of regression for 226 00:11:43,360 --> 00:11:48,640 Speaker 1: the NFL in the country, and those numbers when the 227 00:11:48,679 --> 00:11:54,400 Speaker 1: delta for is sixteen or more, meaning the Cults are 228 00:11:55,200 --> 00:11:57,760 Speaker 1: in our luck rankings, they've been one of the unluckiest teams. 229 00:11:58,080 --> 00:12:00,720 Speaker 1: The Vikings are second. They're one of the suckiest teams. 230 00:12:00,880 --> 00:12:03,960 Speaker 1: So that's a delta of twenty six. Yeah, it's an 231 00:12:04,000 --> 00:12:06,679 Speaker 1: auto play on the Colts, right, And so here's one 232 00:12:06,720 --> 00:12:09,240 Speaker 1: more stat again. I always mentioned the Action Network podcast 233 00:12:09,320 --> 00:12:13,720 Speaker 1: with Chris Raybond and Stucky It's Brilliant, comes out Thursday mornings. 234 00:12:14,920 --> 00:12:19,360 Speaker 1: Here's something from that from that uh podcast. The Cults 235 00:12:19,400 --> 00:12:24,480 Speaker 1: are actually outgaining their opponents. Minnesota is actually getting out 236 00:12:24,480 --> 00:12:28,920 Speaker 1: gained by sixty yards per game. The Vikings are just 237 00:12:28,960 --> 00:12:31,400 Speaker 1: a lucky team. And I know we like talked about 238 00:12:31,400 --> 00:12:35,160 Speaker 1: it on Tuesday. I don't hate the Vikings. I just 239 00:12:35,200 --> 00:12:38,320 Speaker 1: hate betting on the Vikings. I don't believe in them, 240 00:12:38,400 --> 00:12:42,440 Speaker 1: and like that's it I want. I mean, people are 241 00:12:42,440 --> 00:12:44,360 Speaker 1: gonna come back at you just saw. I'll say it 242 00:12:44,400 --> 00:12:46,959 Speaker 1: before they say they will simply say that's because the 243 00:12:47,040 --> 00:12:49,319 Speaker 1: Vikings are usually in a lead position where the Colts 244 00:12:49,320 --> 00:12:51,320 Speaker 1: have been behind probably in every game, which is a 245 00:12:51,320 --> 00:12:53,720 Speaker 1: fair argument. But I feel like what you're saying is 246 00:12:53,800 --> 00:12:56,120 Speaker 1: these teams are as far off as the records perceived. 247 00:12:56,120 --> 00:12:58,559 Speaker 1: They both like that. That's what he's talking about, the 248 00:12:58,600 --> 00:13:01,520 Speaker 1: luck factors. So I do think that does play into it, all, right, 249 00:13:01,720 --> 00:13:03,800 Speaker 1: culture culture in there. If we can get the four 250 00:13:03,800 --> 00:13:05,640 Speaker 1: and a half the culture in there. Yeah right, I 251 00:13:05,920 --> 00:13:11,840 Speaker 1: really do like that number h Jacksonville Jaguars. I love 252 00:13:11,880 --> 00:13:17,520 Speaker 1: how Jacksonville now they refer to it as Duval like 253 00:13:17,640 --> 00:13:21,520 Speaker 1: Jacksonville is so non to script. Nobody cares about Jacksonville. 254 00:13:21,559 --> 00:13:27,559 Speaker 1: There's no attitude with Jacksonville. But Duval County. Now, Duval, 255 00:13:28,320 --> 00:13:32,520 Speaker 1: now we're talking about. That's some character, that's a region. 256 00:13:32,679 --> 00:13:37,120 Speaker 1: That's what people are getting behind Duval. I don't give 257 00:13:37,120 --> 00:13:39,760 Speaker 1: a funk about Duval. I don't give a funk about Jacksonville. 258 00:13:40,960 --> 00:13:46,520 Speaker 1: I do like the Jaguars in this game. Uh as 259 00:13:46,559 --> 00:13:49,360 Speaker 1: the Florida Native. I do care about you, Jacksonville. Sorry 260 00:13:49,400 --> 00:13:51,800 Speaker 1: for all that slander there. Um you didn't see their 261 00:13:51,840 --> 00:13:54,600 Speaker 1: mascot last week in a speedo. That was great, fantastic, 262 00:13:54,800 --> 00:13:59,520 Speaker 1: It's great. I love it. Um. Yeah, another game where 263 00:14:01,360 --> 00:14:03,320 Speaker 1: me and check in help ourselves. What the hell are 264 00:14:03,320 --> 00:14:05,640 Speaker 1: we supposed to do? People and people I got I 265 00:14:05,720 --> 00:14:07,439 Speaker 1: got so many message about this that we just love 266 00:14:07,520 --> 00:14:10,560 Speaker 1: jackson What every week we take Jacksonville, it's fair to say, 267 00:14:10,679 --> 00:14:12,240 Speaker 1: I mean me and jad Joe, we would literally be 268 00:14:12,280 --> 00:14:15,240 Speaker 1: in first place if we just faded Jacksonville every week 269 00:14:15,280 --> 00:14:18,440 Speaker 1: this year. Our contest Uh, that is fact. That is 270 00:14:18,840 --> 00:14:21,600 Speaker 1: literally facts. It's true. But we are going strong with 271 00:14:21,680 --> 00:14:24,560 Speaker 1: Jacksonville down the stretch because we have Jacksonville plus seven 272 00:14:24,680 --> 00:14:27,040 Speaker 1: fifty to win the a f C South, and we 273 00:14:27,160 --> 00:14:30,120 Speaker 1: love it even better. I gotta like thirteen fourteen o 274 00:14:30,200 --> 00:14:34,400 Speaker 1: one where we were taking in May and June. I'm 275 00:14:34,440 --> 00:14:36,640 Speaker 1: all in on it. But it's also if you're one 276 00:14:36,640 --> 00:14:38,240 Speaker 1: of those people you have as big as I do, 277 00:14:38,920 --> 00:14:41,400 Speaker 1: you obviously eventually need to take a position on Tennessee 278 00:14:41,400 --> 00:14:44,320 Speaker 1: because those are just amazing odds and they have to 279 00:14:44,400 --> 00:14:46,800 Speaker 1: kind of run the table here. So this is a 280 00:14:46,840 --> 00:14:51,440 Speaker 1: great spot. It's not that it's the reason I'm mainly 281 00:14:51,480 --> 00:14:54,800 Speaker 1: taking the Bears, but I love look ahead spots, and 282 00:14:54,880 --> 00:14:58,320 Speaker 1: I doubt the Eagles are gonna overlook the Bears. They 283 00:14:58,520 --> 00:14:59,960 Speaker 1: claim they're saying all the right things, and I think 284 00:15:00,000 --> 00:15:02,000 Speaker 1: the same thing with Dallas. They're probably not gonna overlook 285 00:15:02,040 --> 00:15:05,080 Speaker 1: the Jaguars, but they are looking ahead. That each other 286 00:15:05,160 --> 00:15:07,200 Speaker 1: face each other the following week. That's a big deal. 287 00:15:07,280 --> 00:15:09,560 Speaker 1: The fact that Eagles and Cowboys play each other final week, 288 00:15:09,880 --> 00:15:12,440 Speaker 1: and the fact that they're both on the road as favorites, 289 00:15:13,480 --> 00:15:17,600 Speaker 1: that's a big deal. It's like transitioning to the Bears 290 00:15:17,600 --> 00:15:19,880 Speaker 1: and Eagles right now. No, I'm just saying, like that's 291 00:15:19,880 --> 00:15:22,000 Speaker 1: what's it's built into this line. I do believe that 292 00:15:22,360 --> 00:15:24,440 Speaker 1: this line would probably be higher if this wasn't such 293 00:15:24,480 --> 00:15:26,960 Speaker 1: a look ahead spot for the Cowboys are looking ahead 294 00:15:27,040 --> 00:15:29,480 Speaker 1: right saying with the Eagles, Um, I mean they're literally 295 00:15:29,480 --> 00:15:34,560 Speaker 1: already chatting about each other two weeks out. I mean, Michael, yeah, 296 00:15:34,720 --> 00:15:38,200 Speaker 1: so looking at this matchup of do I think the 297 00:15:38,240 --> 00:15:42,120 Speaker 1: Cowboys are gonna overlook the Jaguars? Not at all? But 298 00:15:42,240 --> 00:15:44,400 Speaker 1: how much more does this mean that the Jaguars team? 299 00:15:44,440 --> 00:15:45,800 Speaker 1: I mean, this is what we're just talking about. This 300 00:15:45,840 --> 00:15:47,240 Speaker 1: is kind of it. They have to kind of went 301 00:15:47,280 --> 00:15:49,840 Speaker 1: out to make the playoffs, and this is a game 302 00:15:49,840 --> 00:15:52,400 Speaker 1: they need to steal. I mean the fact that it's 303 00:15:52,400 --> 00:15:55,360 Speaker 1: still at this this point at four. I thought i'd 304 00:15:55,400 --> 00:15:57,040 Speaker 1: been down to three by now, because I didn't think 305 00:15:57,080 --> 00:16:00,320 Speaker 1: that's gonna be a big professional bet play um on 306 00:16:00,360 --> 00:16:03,840 Speaker 1: the simple fact that this Cowboys team has struggled, uh 307 00:16:03,840 --> 00:16:07,000 Speaker 1: this season with certain teams and certain matchups. But you know, 308 00:16:07,400 --> 00:16:10,000 Speaker 1: it is the Jaguars and that's why it probably is four, 309 00:16:10,080 --> 00:16:12,640 Speaker 1: right because they have so many disappointing losses this season 310 00:16:12,720 --> 00:16:14,600 Speaker 1: of they're in these games and all of a sudden 311 00:16:14,640 --> 00:16:16,840 Speaker 1: fourth quarter comes and they just actually have meltdowns. But 312 00:16:17,440 --> 00:16:19,680 Speaker 1: everything I've seen or Trevor Lawrence, it seems like he 313 00:16:19,720 --> 00:16:22,120 Speaker 1: stepped up to the plate. Like he talked about, he 314 00:16:22,160 --> 00:16:23,920 Speaker 1: can't keep losing like this. He needs to be the 315 00:16:24,000 --> 00:16:26,600 Speaker 1: leader of this team. He said the right things. After 316 00:16:26,600 --> 00:16:28,800 Speaker 1: that Ravens game. We saw the finaling week delayed the dud. 317 00:16:28,920 --> 00:16:30,680 Speaker 1: So that's the weirrire chat is We're back in a 318 00:16:30,760 --> 00:16:33,440 Speaker 1: team that just had a massive win on the road 319 00:16:33,480 --> 00:16:36,880 Speaker 1: against Tennessee. Now coming home, are they gonna lay dud? 320 00:16:37,520 --> 00:16:40,760 Speaker 1: That's the fear here. So I don't I do love it, 321 00:16:40,800 --> 00:16:42,240 Speaker 1: but I'm trying to listen to the fans and not 322 00:16:42,280 --> 00:16:44,440 Speaker 1: get too sucked in. Like they said, they're begging us 323 00:16:44,480 --> 00:16:47,400 Speaker 1: not to make it one of our five. Probably listen 324 00:16:47,480 --> 00:16:49,520 Speaker 1: to you people. But I do love it. I feel 325 00:16:49,520 --> 00:16:51,840 Speaker 1: like we're getting such good value around Jacksonville. But I 326 00:16:51,840 --> 00:16:58,320 Speaker 1: get Look, here's the thing, it's the value. If this 327 00:16:58,360 --> 00:17:01,840 Speaker 1: game was three, we would have been bad. But how 328 00:17:02,000 --> 00:17:04,679 Speaker 1: is it four and a half? Look, the Cowboys have 329 00:17:04,760 --> 00:17:08,560 Speaker 1: injuries on their offensive line. The Cowboys have injuries in 330 00:17:08,640 --> 00:17:13,240 Speaker 1: their secondary Trevor Lawrence. Something has clicked in the second 331 00:17:13,240 --> 00:17:15,040 Speaker 1: half of the year, and a lot of those losses 332 00:17:15,080 --> 00:17:17,280 Speaker 1: we had with the Jaguars, they were earlier in the 333 00:17:17,359 --> 00:17:20,040 Speaker 1: year where we were buying into Trevor Lawrence thinking that 334 00:17:20,080 --> 00:17:22,840 Speaker 1: the chemistry with him and Doug Peterson was going to 335 00:17:22,880 --> 00:17:27,199 Speaker 1: be better than it was, and it's finally starting to 336 00:17:27,320 --> 00:17:31,560 Speaker 1: get there. Um and look, did Jack's have a good 337 00:17:31,640 --> 00:17:34,520 Speaker 1: rush defense? I think that helps them against the Cowboys, 338 00:17:35,160 --> 00:17:39,920 Speaker 1: and they've got a really good offensive line against the 339 00:17:39,920 --> 00:17:44,000 Speaker 1: pass rush. So it's just too big of a number. 340 00:17:45,400 --> 00:17:48,000 Speaker 1: That's it. I I get where people are coming from, though, 341 00:17:48,080 --> 00:17:51,480 Speaker 1: I am sorry. We just I love we love this team. 342 00:17:51,520 --> 00:17:53,880 Speaker 1: We love these like these are such good matchups. And 343 00:17:53,880 --> 00:17:55,440 Speaker 1: this is the public hates him. This is why we're 344 00:17:55,440 --> 00:18:00,000 Speaker 1: getting value. Simon. As I tell my kids, don't apologie 345 00:18:00,040 --> 00:18:04,520 Speaker 1: us for who you are. We are a Jaguars loving team. 346 00:18:04,600 --> 00:18:07,040 Speaker 1: We are a cult's loving team. We are going to 347 00:18:07,080 --> 00:18:09,400 Speaker 1: ask people to do ugly things. We're going to ask 348 00:18:09,440 --> 00:18:11,640 Speaker 1: them to believe in us and over the long haul 349 00:18:12,480 --> 00:18:15,280 Speaker 1: and by the way, long haul meaning a season you're 350 00:18:15,320 --> 00:18:18,760 Speaker 1: gonna win. True, I mean, and I messages people back, 351 00:18:18,800 --> 00:18:20,880 Speaker 1: I tell them I'm losing with you like, this isn't 352 00:18:20,920 --> 00:18:22,640 Speaker 1: like I sent them tickets. It's like I bet beg 353 00:18:22,680 --> 00:18:25,280 Speaker 1: on the Jaguars. I'm hurting with you because I get it. 354 00:18:25,280 --> 00:18:27,440 Speaker 1: People are like, I hate putting my hard earned money 355 00:18:27,440 --> 00:18:30,440 Speaker 1: on this Jaguars team, but you got you gotta trust 356 00:18:30,520 --> 00:18:36,480 Speaker 1: the process. People, please, speaking of trusting the process. So 357 00:18:37,600 --> 00:18:41,480 Speaker 1: it's really interesting to me this has been a year 358 00:18:41,680 --> 00:18:47,600 Speaker 1: in which underdogs of more than three have been crushing. Yeah, 359 00:18:48,000 --> 00:18:52,080 Speaker 1: and so here's what we've been talking about. Jags plus 360 00:18:52,119 --> 00:18:55,119 Speaker 1: four and a half, Colts plus four and four and 361 00:18:55,160 --> 00:19:02,200 Speaker 1: a half, Bears plus nine. Look the Rams two weeks ago, 362 00:19:02,680 --> 00:19:09,080 Speaker 1: the Broncos last week, the Bears this week. I want 363 00:19:09,080 --> 00:19:12,640 Speaker 1: to get your take on this because we know we're 364 00:19:12,640 --> 00:19:15,560 Speaker 1: going to bet the Bears. But this is one of 365 00:19:15,560 --> 00:19:17,320 Speaker 1: those things that we talked about all the time, and 366 00:19:17,359 --> 00:19:24,000 Speaker 1: that you play the number, you play the situation, but 367 00:19:24,040 --> 00:19:25,560 Speaker 1: you also got to think about the teams at this 368 00:19:25,560 --> 00:19:29,000 Speaker 1: point in the year. I love the Bears here, I'm 369 00:19:29,040 --> 00:19:33,040 Speaker 1: not walking away from the Bears plus nine, but their 370 00:19:33,040 --> 00:19:35,679 Speaker 1: defense does scare me a little bit. Like the reason 371 00:19:35,760 --> 00:19:37,919 Speaker 1: we liked the Broncos at plus nine because we like 372 00:19:38,040 --> 00:19:40,760 Speaker 1: their defense so much. The reason why we liked the 373 00:19:40,840 --> 00:19:45,399 Speaker 1: Rams at plus nine is because we thought their defense 374 00:19:45,440 --> 00:19:50,480 Speaker 1: could sustain against the I think it was the Seahawks, 375 00:19:50,520 --> 00:19:53,840 Speaker 1: so I mean they were that's plus seven and a half, 376 00:19:53,840 --> 00:19:56,439 Speaker 1: plus eight, whatever it was. The Bears do not have 377 00:19:56,560 --> 00:19:59,680 Speaker 1: their Bears are playing in JV defense right now. Yeah, 378 00:19:59,680 --> 00:20:02,320 Speaker 1: they're all full, but it's the game changer of fields. 379 00:20:02,480 --> 00:20:04,240 Speaker 1: And I'm not gonna lie chat. When I saw that 380 00:20:04,320 --> 00:20:07,520 Speaker 1: he had illness and wasn't practiced in this week, not ideal. 381 00:20:07,640 --> 00:20:10,280 Speaker 1: We've got a guy who's a vegan who's got apparently 382 00:20:10,320 --> 00:20:12,240 Speaker 1: some type of flu or maybe it's a stomach buck. 383 00:20:12,240 --> 00:20:14,560 Speaker 1: I don't know what he's sick with, but he's sick 384 00:20:14,600 --> 00:20:17,919 Speaker 1: and he's missed I think two practices now not ideal, 385 00:20:18,119 --> 00:20:20,120 Speaker 1: especially the fact that I've already met this damn game. 386 00:20:20,160 --> 00:20:22,280 Speaker 1: I bet the nine and a half at the nine 387 00:20:22,880 --> 00:20:24,240 Speaker 1: because I did think this is gonna go down to 388 00:20:24,280 --> 00:20:26,200 Speaker 1: eight eight and a half from the next couple of days. 389 00:20:26,240 --> 00:20:30,879 Speaker 1: But you just touched on it though. It's like, what 390 00:20:30,920 --> 00:20:33,240 Speaker 1: can we do? This is an inflated line though this 391 00:20:33,359 --> 00:20:36,399 Speaker 1: Egos team, yes, they are very good, they are very talented. 392 00:20:36,840 --> 00:20:39,480 Speaker 1: We see how hard it is to cover big numbers. 393 00:20:39,560 --> 00:20:41,560 Speaker 1: Because it's hard to sustain it for an entire game. 394 00:20:41,880 --> 00:20:44,280 Speaker 1: It's just human nature. If they go up twenty one nothing, 395 00:20:45,200 --> 00:20:46,959 Speaker 1: you know you head into half, are you gonna come 396 00:20:47,000 --> 00:20:49,760 Speaker 1: out with the same kind of energy in the second half. Probably. 397 00:20:49,760 --> 00:20:51,640 Speaker 1: Note we've seen this that with this Ego seam as sure, 398 00:20:51,640 --> 00:20:53,840 Speaker 1: they get up big on teams and they've let teams 399 00:20:53,840 --> 00:20:56,240 Speaker 1: back in the second half. That's happened multiple times this year. 400 00:20:56,320 --> 00:21:00,240 Speaker 1: So I'm with you on the fact that this Eagles 401 00:21:00,240 --> 00:21:03,800 Speaker 1: team is clearly a jugger not We talked in all 402 00:21:03,840 --> 00:21:06,520 Speaker 1: off season. This was the best put together team on paper. 403 00:21:06,720 --> 00:21:09,159 Speaker 1: This is better than the Ego Super Bowl team the 404 00:21:09,200 --> 00:21:12,480 Speaker 1: whole the questions was ken Jalen Hurts learned to read 405 00:21:12,480 --> 00:21:15,720 Speaker 1: a defense. Clearly he has. I mean, this is incredible. 406 00:21:15,720 --> 00:21:18,280 Speaker 1: He's playing at m VP level. Every reader is right. 407 00:21:18,320 --> 00:21:19,840 Speaker 1: When he should run it, he runs, When he should 408 00:21:19,840 --> 00:21:23,440 Speaker 1: pass it, he passes. He takes the deep shots. Bears 409 00:21:23,440 --> 00:21:25,800 Speaker 1: are probably one of the worst defenses of football. But 410 00:21:25,920 --> 00:21:27,639 Speaker 1: we're back in here is the fact that you guys 411 00:21:28,119 --> 00:21:31,520 Speaker 1: are a great team offensively. We've seen it every week 412 00:21:31,520 --> 00:21:35,119 Speaker 1: with Justin Fields. He he really does produce. I believe 413 00:21:35,160 --> 00:21:39,040 Speaker 1: Herbert's back right the second number two running back for 414 00:21:39,080 --> 00:21:41,639 Speaker 1: you guys. I believe he's back off the injury reserve, 415 00:21:41,760 --> 00:21:45,240 Speaker 1: so that's another weapon this offense is getting back. Um, 416 00:21:45,280 --> 00:21:46,920 Speaker 1: it's just too big of a number. Chat. That's why 417 00:21:46,960 --> 00:21:50,560 Speaker 1: it's like I'm I'm with everyone. That's why it's a 418 00:21:50,560 --> 00:21:52,919 Speaker 1: foxhole bet. This is terrified. This is gonna be one 419 00:21:52,920 --> 00:21:56,080 Speaker 1: of the least bet teams of the week. Every teaser, 420 00:21:56,119 --> 00:21:57,919 Speaker 1: every money on, everything is going to be connected to 421 00:21:57,920 --> 00:22:01,600 Speaker 1: this Eagles team. Are Eagles really going sixteen and one? 422 00:22:02,080 --> 00:22:03,480 Speaker 1: I mean think of all through all the history of 423 00:22:03,480 --> 00:22:05,240 Speaker 1: all the teams with just one loss to the season. 424 00:22:05,320 --> 00:22:07,680 Speaker 1: So there's just there's just tend to be games that 425 00:22:07,760 --> 00:22:10,080 Speaker 1: trip up teams, and it just feels like a good 426 00:22:10,080 --> 00:22:12,439 Speaker 1: spot to take against the Eagles team. This is their 427 00:22:12,480 --> 00:22:15,520 Speaker 1: second road game, just before they played Dallas the following 428 00:22:15,520 --> 00:22:18,760 Speaker 1: week on Christmas. There's just so many little distractions. I 429 00:22:18,760 --> 00:22:20,400 Speaker 1: know Jalen Hurts saying all the right things and he's 430 00:22:20,400 --> 00:22:23,720 Speaker 1: all he's laser focused. But man, if there if there's 431 00:22:23,720 --> 00:22:25,280 Speaker 1: a spot to overlook a team that's coming off a 432 00:22:25,320 --> 00:22:27,520 Speaker 1: bye week, we got we gotta buy this Bearers team. 433 00:22:27,760 --> 00:22:30,359 Speaker 1: That's such a big number. But I'm with each other's 434 00:22:30,440 --> 00:22:31,960 Speaker 1: there's a couple of games this week that that's what's 435 00:22:32,000 --> 00:22:34,240 Speaker 1: gonna be tough on Sunday. It's like we're gonna take 436 00:22:34,280 --> 00:22:36,560 Speaker 1: all four of these games that make a sicker. We 437 00:22:36,680 --> 00:22:38,720 Speaker 1: dropped one or two out of here. So if the 438 00:22:38,760 --> 00:22:40,439 Speaker 1: Bearers will make the list, I wouldn't be shocked. But 439 00:22:40,480 --> 00:22:42,960 Speaker 1: at nine and a half in contest, it has to 440 00:22:43,000 --> 00:22:45,720 Speaker 1: be in. That's just a huge number in the contest. Simon, 441 00:22:47,520 --> 00:22:51,800 Speaker 1: the sicker the better is that you're saying. That's her 442 00:22:51,880 --> 00:22:55,400 Speaker 1: saying the sicker the better. If we don't feel gross, 443 00:22:55,680 --> 00:22:59,080 Speaker 1: if we don't look like the goddamn puke emoji on Sunday, 444 00:22:59,320 --> 00:23:03,440 Speaker 1: then we're just not doing our jobs. Um. I also 445 00:23:03,520 --> 00:23:08,879 Speaker 1: do wonder if if the Eagles are a big in 446 00:23:08,880 --> 00:23:10,720 Speaker 1: the first half, because they do play so well in 447 00:23:10,760 --> 00:23:13,560 Speaker 1: the first half, do they pull back a little bit 448 00:23:13,640 --> 00:23:15,520 Speaker 1: in the second half. And I don't mean they're not 449 00:23:15,560 --> 00:23:19,240 Speaker 1: trying as hard, but are they more conservative with the offense? 450 00:23:19,640 --> 00:23:22,080 Speaker 1: Are they not pulling everything out of the playbook to 451 00:23:22,119 --> 00:23:25,000 Speaker 1: try to build the lead? You know, because they do 452 00:23:25,040 --> 00:23:28,359 Speaker 1: have the Cowboys the next week, they want to be healthy. Um, 453 00:23:28,480 --> 00:23:31,040 Speaker 1: you can start to take your foot off the gas 454 00:23:31,400 --> 00:23:34,240 Speaker 1: a little tiny bit and that leaves it open for 455 00:23:34,880 --> 00:23:38,479 Speaker 1: Justin Field to joke and make his moves and you know, 456 00:23:38,600 --> 00:23:40,960 Speaker 1: do all the backdoor cover things that we think he 457 00:23:40,960 --> 00:23:44,120 Speaker 1: can do while the Bears still lose the game. Well 458 00:23:44,560 --> 00:23:47,000 Speaker 1: I will I will say this as a Bears fan. 459 00:23:47,080 --> 00:23:50,359 Speaker 1: Me and my buddies have been texting about this. This 460 00:23:50,440 --> 00:23:55,679 Speaker 1: is the greatest season ever because because we all believe 461 00:23:55,720 --> 00:23:58,280 Speaker 1: in Justin Fields and for the first time in what 462 00:23:58,359 --> 00:24:02,080 Speaker 1: feels like a generation, it looks like the Bears have 463 00:24:02,119 --> 00:24:06,479 Speaker 1: a roadmap. The the management team feels competent right and 464 00:24:06,520 --> 00:24:08,960 Speaker 1: you can see where the holes need to be plugged. 465 00:24:09,320 --> 00:24:13,600 Speaker 1: And every week our expectations aren't to win. Our expectations 466 00:24:13,600 --> 00:24:17,960 Speaker 1: are let's have fun watching Justin Fields, let's pray to 467 00:24:18,040 --> 00:24:21,320 Speaker 1: the football gods he stays healthy, and let's move on 468 00:24:21,440 --> 00:24:24,520 Speaker 1: next week. Win or lose, we don't care. I mean, Bears, 469 00:24:24,720 --> 00:24:29,680 Speaker 1: you want to lose though, like this great, absolutely amazing 470 00:24:29,800 --> 00:24:33,840 Speaker 1: draft to be bad and not need a quarterback. I 471 00:24:33,840 --> 00:24:36,000 Speaker 1: mean your front office. I do think they are smart 472 00:24:36,000 --> 00:24:38,160 Speaker 1: because they made picks and you guys had nothing last 473 00:24:38,200 --> 00:24:40,720 Speaker 1: year to players that really look pretty good. Again, it's 474 00:24:40,720 --> 00:24:42,480 Speaker 1: still early in their careers, but they look good for 475 00:24:42,520 --> 00:24:47,919 Speaker 1: your defense, Um, Bears. Oh yeah, there, that's the craziest thing. 476 00:24:48,000 --> 00:24:49,560 Speaker 1: We talk about the time about the draft. It's like 477 00:24:50,680 --> 00:24:53,240 Speaker 1: it's such hit and missed, such hit and miss stuff, 478 00:24:53,280 --> 00:24:56,399 Speaker 1: where going back it's a no brainer. We even go 479 00:24:56,480 --> 00:24:58,359 Speaker 1: back and listen with you. We talk We talked that 480 00:24:58,520 --> 00:25:00,560 Speaker 1: at nauseam in that draft about how we didn't get 481 00:25:00,560 --> 00:25:04,720 Speaker 1: why Fields is on the number two quarterback And look 482 00:25:04,720 --> 00:25:07,159 Speaker 1: at this Jets team. Now if they had Fields, they 483 00:25:07,200 --> 00:25:10,680 Speaker 1: know how different this year all of that, and then 484 00:25:11,040 --> 00:25:13,040 Speaker 1: think about that with the forty niners, if they had 485 00:25:13,040 --> 00:25:15,919 Speaker 1: a weapon, if Shanahan had a weapon, like justin Field. 486 00:25:16,000 --> 00:25:18,200 Speaker 1: So so I can't wait till this upcoming draft. I 487 00:25:18,200 --> 00:25:20,160 Speaker 1: think there is an other three or four quarterbacks that's 488 00:25:20,200 --> 00:25:22,840 Speaker 1: kind of same thing. It's it's all in there. But 489 00:25:22,880 --> 00:25:24,560 Speaker 1: that's why the Bears have to be feeling so good 490 00:25:24,560 --> 00:25:29,760 Speaker 1: where you have never ending amount of money next in 491 00:25:29,760 --> 00:25:32,720 Speaker 1: this upcoming off season to get an offensive line, and 492 00:25:32,760 --> 00:25:34,480 Speaker 1: then you should have enough draft picks to try to 493 00:25:34,480 --> 00:25:36,880 Speaker 1: fill in going ahead all the pieces you're missing on defense. 494 00:25:36,920 --> 00:25:38,879 Speaker 1: So I'm right there with the Bears fans. This is 495 00:25:38,920 --> 00:25:41,439 Speaker 1: like this probably to me would be the most exciting 496 00:25:41,480 --> 00:25:44,040 Speaker 1: I'd feel about this team since that um that season 497 00:25:44,080 --> 00:25:46,840 Speaker 1: with Mitch the double doingk season, where like that was 498 00:25:46,880 --> 00:25:50,199 Speaker 1: a great season for the Bangs. Uh because Mitch, you 499 00:25:50,200 --> 00:25:52,560 Speaker 1: guys all believe. I believe too. I mean I was like, Okay, 500 00:25:52,600 --> 00:25:55,439 Speaker 1: Mitch is gonna be the Bears quarterback. Now we saw 501 00:25:55,480 --> 00:25:58,200 Speaker 1: quickly that can change. I still see that same fate 502 00:25:58,240 --> 00:26:01,520 Speaker 1: with fields. Here. Old Barnwell, who we've had on the 503 00:26:01,520 --> 00:26:05,680 Speaker 1: podcast before and as a brilliant columnist at ESPN, has 504 00:26:05,720 --> 00:26:07,720 Speaker 1: a great story. It's on the front page of ESPN 505 00:26:07,800 --> 00:26:10,960 Speaker 1: right now, looking at and it's Germaine to what you 506 00:26:11,000 --> 00:26:15,080 Speaker 1: said about the draft, looking at the moves, the picks, 507 00:26:15,119 --> 00:26:19,240 Speaker 1: the Denver trader to Seattle for Russell Wilson, that um, 508 00:26:19,280 --> 00:26:21,920 Speaker 1: the Rams traded to Detroit from Matthew Stafford, and that 509 00:26:22,000 --> 00:26:25,480 Speaker 1: New Orleans trader to Philly for like a variety of yours. 510 00:26:25,760 --> 00:26:29,160 Speaker 1: They end up getting Christal Love. Right. So now we're 511 00:26:29,160 --> 00:26:34,520 Speaker 1: talking about Seattle, Detroit, and Philly all having really high 512 00:26:34,920 --> 00:26:40,160 Speaker 1: first round picks. The Eagles like, how is the goat? Dude? 513 00:26:40,720 --> 00:26:46,280 Speaker 1: It's Super Bowl with Jailee hurtson quarterback, and then they 514 00:26:46,320 --> 00:26:50,160 Speaker 1: have all these picks to make, like to get people 515 00:26:50,200 --> 00:26:53,080 Speaker 1: on the edge or to like it's gonna be insane, 516 00:26:53,119 --> 00:26:55,760 Speaker 1: insane with the Lions, Like the Lions can plug some 517 00:26:55,840 --> 00:26:59,159 Speaker 1: really important holes. There's options for Jared Goff over the 518 00:26:59,240 --> 00:27:04,159 Speaker 1: next couple of years. Like it's insane. I try not to. 519 00:27:04,640 --> 00:27:06,320 Speaker 1: I try not to beat people down with like my 520 00:27:06,359 --> 00:27:09,400 Speaker 1: Egos fandom, but like, yeah, I think every Egos fan 521 00:27:09,520 --> 00:27:11,760 Speaker 1: right now is just like holy ship, this is really 522 00:27:11,760 --> 00:27:15,880 Speaker 1: our lives right now. Like this team is stacked, very young, 523 00:27:16,800 --> 00:27:19,680 Speaker 1: and there's just tons of draft capital coming forward. So 524 00:27:19,760 --> 00:27:21,360 Speaker 1: it could be a great four or five year round 525 00:27:21,400 --> 00:27:24,200 Speaker 1: for the Eagles. Yeah, how he how he is? He's 526 00:27:24,200 --> 00:27:27,560 Speaker 1: playing chess. Everyone has playing checkers. All right. We talked Bears, 527 00:27:27,600 --> 00:27:31,560 Speaker 1: we talked Colts, we talked Jags. One wild card for 528 00:27:31,600 --> 00:27:33,840 Speaker 1: you real quick. All right, Well we haven't we haven't 529 00:27:34,080 --> 00:27:36,600 Speaker 1: done a big balls yet. Um, and let me remind 530 00:27:36,600 --> 00:27:39,320 Speaker 1: people you mentioned foxhole. Bears plus nine is our foxhole? 531 00:27:39,800 --> 00:27:42,639 Speaker 1: Simon says, Jack's plus four and a half. The exact 532 00:27:42,680 --> 00:27:46,920 Speaker 1: decision Cults plus four. Um, if you have a wild card, 533 00:27:46,960 --> 00:27:52,679 Speaker 1: is it our big balls? Yeah? You want the big balls? Well, 534 00:27:53,000 --> 00:27:54,360 Speaker 1: is it the same as the wild card? I want 535 00:27:54,359 --> 00:27:58,280 Speaker 1: the wild card first? No, my wild card. I just 536 00:27:58,359 --> 00:28:00,760 Speaker 1: wanted to hear what your view was of this Chief's 537 00:28:00,920 --> 00:28:07,480 Speaker 1: Houston game pass normally here here's why all week I've 538 00:28:07,520 --> 00:28:11,960 Speaker 1: been waiting for this line to go higher. I'm saying, 539 00:28:12,000 --> 00:28:13,880 Speaker 1: what if it was thirteen and a half? Then contest? 540 00:28:13,920 --> 00:28:18,719 Speaker 1: Would you chake Chiefs? That's interesting. I think about it 541 00:28:18,760 --> 00:28:21,800 Speaker 1: over the weekend because literally, Houston, they have no no 542 00:28:21,920 --> 00:28:24,480 Speaker 1: one left. Well that's that, That's what I mean. All 543 00:28:24,480 --> 00:28:27,240 Speaker 1: these injuries. It would be an autoplayer on the Texans, right, 544 00:28:27,560 --> 00:28:30,639 Speaker 1: but every injury, right, but they don't have like Cooks 545 00:28:30,720 --> 00:28:34,560 Speaker 1: might not be playing, Damian Pierce isn't playing, like their 546 00:28:34,600 --> 00:28:38,720 Speaker 1: top two corners aren't playing. Yeah, so it's very possible. 547 00:28:39,640 --> 00:28:41,760 Speaker 1: And by the way, in a half, let me just 548 00:28:41,760 --> 00:28:46,560 Speaker 1: say this, all right, let's flip it right. Our worldview 549 00:28:46,720 --> 00:28:51,440 Speaker 1: is always take the docks, and so for us, a 550 00:28:51,520 --> 00:28:55,600 Speaker 1: big balls better the week is Titans plus three or 551 00:28:55,760 --> 00:28:59,920 Speaker 1: Raiders plus one. It's actually a favorite. But what if I, 552 00:29:00,120 --> 00:29:01,600 Speaker 1: like a couple of weeks ago, I made us take 553 00:29:01,640 --> 00:29:04,280 Speaker 1: the Bengals as a big balls better the week is 554 00:29:04,320 --> 00:29:07,680 Speaker 1: a favorite? Yeah? What if what if the Chiefs as 555 00:29:07,680 --> 00:29:10,040 Speaker 1: two touchdown favorites? Was there big balls better the week? 556 00:29:12,440 --> 00:29:13,880 Speaker 1: I don't got the balls to do it, I'd play 557 00:29:13,880 --> 00:29:17,200 Speaker 1: a contest. Yeah, I honestly, your face the way you 558 00:29:17,280 --> 00:29:20,800 Speaker 1: just your face just looked. Yeah, it might as well 559 00:29:20,840 --> 00:29:23,640 Speaker 1: have been our big balls Better the week because my 560 00:29:23,720 --> 00:29:25,960 Speaker 1: other one I want to give our I got another one. 561 00:29:26,240 --> 00:29:28,680 Speaker 1: I feel like it more confident. I just I just 562 00:29:28,760 --> 00:29:30,920 Speaker 1: think if it's thirteen a half, that's really hard to 563 00:29:30,920 --> 00:29:32,560 Speaker 1: pass on that because I could see a closing at 564 00:29:32,640 --> 00:29:38,320 Speaker 1: fifteen sixteen kick off. Yeah, I'm not uncomfortable with playing 565 00:29:38,320 --> 00:29:40,840 Speaker 1: the Chiefs is a favorite in the spot, all right, 566 00:29:41,040 --> 00:29:43,240 Speaker 1: love it, but yeah, you're righty for the big balls. 567 00:29:43,880 --> 00:29:46,560 Speaker 1: I wish I was mainly enough to take Tampa. I do, people, 568 00:29:46,640 --> 00:29:49,719 Speaker 1: I really do. I just I just cannot do it. 569 00:29:49,840 --> 00:29:53,000 Speaker 1: I cannot do it. Big balls better the week going 570 00:29:53,040 --> 00:29:59,000 Speaker 1: against my guy Chad Washington football team at home. Why 571 00:29:59,000 --> 00:30:02,360 Speaker 1: would you do that to me? No, no, no, no, no, 572 00:30:02,960 --> 00:30:06,240 Speaker 1: yeah no. Look I haven't bet the Giants yet. Everyone's 573 00:30:06,240 --> 00:30:08,160 Speaker 1: saying the same thing. This game played in the tie? 574 00:30:08,200 --> 00:30:09,920 Speaker 1: Why is this in the game not three? Why is 575 00:30:10,040 --> 00:30:12,360 Speaker 1: this game out three and a half? Once you hear 576 00:30:12,360 --> 00:30:14,360 Speaker 1: every Joe Schmo, even the guy in the seven eleven 577 00:30:14,400 --> 00:30:16,120 Speaker 1: is talking about it. Because I live near a lot 578 00:30:16,120 --> 00:30:18,840 Speaker 1: of Giants fans. I was like, holy shit, this this 579 00:30:18,920 --> 00:30:21,000 Speaker 1: is gonna be a monster for the book, isn't it. 580 00:30:21,360 --> 00:30:23,800 Speaker 1: So this gotta be the Big Balls? But you don't 581 00:30:23,800 --> 00:30:26,280 Speaker 1: want to do it? Hold on, what do you mean 582 00:30:26,320 --> 00:30:27,920 Speaker 1: the guy's seven eleven is talking about like you when 583 00:30:27,920 --> 00:30:31,160 Speaker 1: you walked into seven eleven. He started talking about it. Yeah, 584 00:30:31,200 --> 00:30:34,680 Speaker 1: and my Eagles head on. He's like, you you're an 585 00:30:34,720 --> 00:30:36,880 Speaker 1: Eagles fan. I was like, no, I just stole the hoodie, 586 00:30:38,920 --> 00:30:42,120 Speaker 1: fun fun jersey comma, but yeah, it's just a classic 587 00:30:42,160 --> 00:30:44,280 Speaker 1: Giants fan trying to get into my skin. He's like, 588 00:30:44,320 --> 00:30:46,240 Speaker 1: you're scared, right if they make the playoffs. It's like, 589 00:30:46,240 --> 00:30:48,560 Speaker 1: you guys ain't making the playoffs. But and then he 590 00:30:48,600 --> 00:30:51,160 Speaker 1: started going on without this line. I was like, holy shit. 591 00:30:51,760 --> 00:30:55,880 Speaker 1: And maybe I'm overthinking it here, but you just feel 592 00:30:55,880 --> 00:30:57,400 Speaker 1: like every one of their grandma's gonna be taking this 593 00:30:57,480 --> 00:30:59,240 Speaker 1: four and a half. They think they're getting a gift here. 594 00:30:59,640 --> 00:31:02,400 Speaker 1: That is that is, that is the spirit of the 595 00:31:02,400 --> 00:31:07,920 Speaker 1: Big Balls. Better the week is to do the exact opposite, 596 00:31:08,400 --> 00:31:11,400 Speaker 1: And all anyone who's talking about is the Giants plus 597 00:31:11,440 --> 00:31:13,400 Speaker 1: four and a half. I listened to Raybund and Stucky 598 00:31:13,480 --> 00:31:16,880 Speaker 1: this morning. Stucky loves the Giants. I gave you all 599 00:31:16,880 --> 00:31:21,320 Speaker 1: the reasons I love the Giants. I went on, I 600 00:31:21,360 --> 00:31:23,240 Speaker 1: went on more ways to win. It's a show on 601 00:31:23,360 --> 00:31:27,920 Speaker 1: FanDuel TV. All the experts there love the Giant, love 602 00:31:28,080 --> 00:31:33,360 Speaker 1: the Giants. Keep going the Giant. Let any dimes on 603 00:31:33,400 --> 00:31:36,840 Speaker 1: the road. Like they played to a tie, the Giants 604 00:31:36,840 --> 00:31:39,440 Speaker 1: were up by seven. Lad they had the field goal 605 00:31:39,520 --> 00:31:44,160 Speaker 1: they missed. Let's go Cheff. Yeah you all right? I 606 00:31:44,200 --> 00:31:48,080 Speaker 1: love it now, you know you know I love these 607 00:31:48,080 --> 00:31:51,480 Speaker 1: home favorites and the public loves these road dogs. So um, 608 00:31:51,480 --> 00:31:53,480 Speaker 1: this has been very profitable me all season. I'm gonna 609 00:31:53,560 --> 00:31:56,800 Speaker 1: keep riding this trend. It said them nicely, especially Chad 610 00:31:56,880 --> 00:31:59,200 Speaker 1: is saying that it feels like the public and a 611 00:31:59,240 --> 00:32:01,959 Speaker 1: lot of these like guys who bet big money are 612 00:32:01,960 --> 00:32:04,600 Speaker 1: all gonna be on this Giant side. I don't see 613 00:32:04,680 --> 00:32:07,120 Speaker 1: us putting this in the contest, for sure, it's gonna 614 00:32:07,160 --> 00:32:08,760 Speaker 1: be in there. I'm not I'm not going to be 615 00:32:08,800 --> 00:32:11,520 Speaker 1: the nice, nice guy on Sunday. I'm forcing one inn 616 00:32:11,600 --> 00:32:13,680 Speaker 1: force this one in. I just know, I just know 617 00:32:13,720 --> 00:32:15,640 Speaker 1: a really smart group that's gonna come in on them, 618 00:32:16,120 --> 00:32:19,080 Speaker 1: or maybe they already have, but it's there's just a 619 00:32:19,120 --> 00:32:21,000 Speaker 1: lot of things that point to this being a great number. 620 00:32:21,400 --> 00:32:25,800 Speaker 1: Got the pros on it a good number. Every week 621 00:32:25,880 --> 00:32:29,760 Speaker 1: there's a game that we're convinced we're on the right 622 00:32:29,800 --> 00:32:35,360 Speaker 1: side of with like an ugly dog, and oftentimes it 623 00:32:35,400 --> 00:32:39,720 Speaker 1: doesn't work right, And so is this the game this 624 00:32:39,760 --> 00:32:43,760 Speaker 1: week you're talking about? Were for the season? Usually, but 625 00:32:43,840 --> 00:32:46,560 Speaker 1: every every week there is a game that maybe we 626 00:32:46,600 --> 00:32:48,320 Speaker 1: don't put it in the contest, but that we love 627 00:32:49,280 --> 00:32:54,480 Speaker 1: and that is like, it makes total sense to bet it, 628 00:32:54,560 --> 00:32:56,520 Speaker 1: and then the game happens. You're like, what the funk 629 00:32:56,560 --> 00:32:59,680 Speaker 1: happened there? Right? Who knows? This could be the game 630 00:33:00,120 --> 00:33:01,960 Speaker 1: I happen to think you're wrong, But we're not going 631 00:33:02,040 --> 00:33:05,360 Speaker 1: to get off because it's a beat off. Then I 632 00:33:05,400 --> 00:33:06,840 Speaker 1: don't want it to be a bet off because you're 633 00:33:06,840 --> 00:33:08,560 Speaker 1: already four. You might as well try to end your 634 00:33:08,600 --> 00:33:13,600 Speaker 1: own five. Don't fucking bait me. Now, you're gonna cheer 635 00:33:13,640 --> 00:33:15,600 Speaker 1: for this one because we're probably gonna have this one 636 00:33:15,600 --> 00:33:17,800 Speaker 1: in there, right, Like, I'm not. I'm not I'm not 637 00:33:19,120 --> 00:33:20,920 Speaker 1: doing that because I'm not going to bet on the 638 00:33:20,920 --> 00:33:25,720 Speaker 1: game that I'm ment secretly hoping the upside honestly, the 639 00:33:25,840 --> 00:33:29,120 Speaker 1: upside of winning in the contest is greater than any 640 00:33:29,160 --> 00:33:31,400 Speaker 1: amount I will bet on this game. I wish you 641 00:33:31,440 --> 00:33:33,520 Speaker 1: felt that way when we put Tennessee over the Eagles 642 00:33:33,520 --> 00:33:36,000 Speaker 1: in that was one of them. That was one of 643 00:33:36,040 --> 00:33:40,720 Speaker 1: those picks, right that I'm talking I'm talking about I 644 00:33:40,760 --> 00:33:43,480 Speaker 1: feel like I got good calls on it, and it 645 00:33:43,600 --> 00:33:45,200 Speaker 1: just feels like what you just talked about just feels 646 00:33:45,240 --> 00:33:46,560 Speaker 1: like the public will be on it as well with 647 00:33:46,640 --> 00:33:49,880 Speaker 1: the Giants. So one of those spots, well, let's look 648 00:33:49,960 --> 00:33:53,600 Speaker 1: right now. Let me tell you right now, the where 649 00:33:53,640 --> 00:33:56,640 Speaker 1: is the public on this game? I'm telling you they're 650 00:33:56,640 --> 00:34:00,080 Speaker 1: gonna be Giants? Dude, this guy is the public is 651 00:34:00,120 --> 00:34:07,760 Speaker 1: the worst seven eleven of the tickets. Of the money, 652 00:34:07,760 --> 00:34:14,080 Speaker 1: where is it? Who's it on the Giants? Oh Jesus, yeah, Chad. 653 00:34:14,239 --> 00:34:19,160 Speaker 1: But here's what's interesting. To prove your point, I'm going 654 00:34:19,200 --> 00:34:22,120 Speaker 1: to be a mention. I'm going to prove your point 655 00:34:22,719 --> 00:34:25,799 Speaker 1: of the money is on the Giants. The line hasn't 656 00:34:25,840 --> 00:34:30,840 Speaker 1: moved all week. What does that tell you? Right? For 657 00:34:30,000 --> 00:34:33,279 Speaker 1: those but I told you this group is literally they're 658 00:34:33,280 --> 00:34:35,080 Speaker 1: waiting as soon as it touched for is that they're 659 00:34:35,120 --> 00:34:37,000 Speaker 1: hitting it. So it tells you that the wise guys 660 00:34:37,040 --> 00:34:40,600 Speaker 1: are gonna like the Washington commanders find Simon, you did 661 00:34:40,600 --> 00:34:44,040 Speaker 1: what you're supposed to do. You did your job. You 662 00:34:44,120 --> 00:34:48,600 Speaker 1: showed me the light. Thank you. You took me from 663 00:34:48,920 --> 00:34:55,319 Speaker 1: journalist who knows this to professional level insight. Okay, peek 664 00:34:55,320 --> 00:34:59,960 Speaker 1: behind the curtains, peek behind the curtain. You did it. Congratulations. 665 00:35:00,320 --> 00:35:04,319 Speaker 1: All right. So that's our big balls and now God 666 00:35:04,360 --> 00:35:07,160 Speaker 1: only knows. I'll be heavier on Washington than I will 667 00:35:07,200 --> 00:35:10,600 Speaker 1: in any game this weekend, and it'll probably end up 668 00:35:10,600 --> 00:35:15,040 Speaker 1: in the contest. Start the NFL week off right with 669 00:35:15,160 --> 00:35:18,920 Speaker 1: NFL Same Game Parley Insurance from FanDuel, America's number one 670 00:35:18,920 --> 00:35:21,280 Speaker 1: sports book. It doesn't matter if you're new to FanDuel 671 00:35:21,360 --> 00:35:23,560 Speaker 1: or already have an account. 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Two other games Tennessee still plus 726 00:38:44,920 --> 00:38:51,279 Speaker 1: three against Los Angeles Chargers, feeling a little queasy about it. Yeah, 727 00:38:51,400 --> 00:38:55,279 Speaker 1: and the Raiders. I like I still like him at home. Yeah, 728 00:38:55,440 --> 00:38:57,520 Speaker 1: obviously one and a half. We were in a static 729 00:38:57,640 --> 00:38:59,640 Speaker 1: We're hoping it was gonna keep keeping up the two 730 00:39:00,080 --> 00:39:03,720 Speaker 1: the pros came in that was just too big a number. Um, yeah, 731 00:39:04,080 --> 00:39:05,920 Speaker 1: Raiders are the right side of that one. So we 732 00:39:05,920 --> 00:39:08,520 Speaker 1: we might. We might. I might end up talking chatting 733 00:39:08,560 --> 00:39:10,160 Speaker 1: to it. He might end up talking me into it. 734 00:39:11,040 --> 00:39:14,239 Speaker 1: The Patriots just clearly aren't the team are used to 735 00:39:14,320 --> 00:39:17,680 Speaker 1: They've only been beating up on bad backup quarterbacks. Um, 736 00:39:18,040 --> 00:39:20,359 Speaker 1: the record looks way better than it should be. They've 737 00:39:20,360 --> 00:39:23,160 Speaker 1: been very fortunate this season. It should be a good 738 00:39:23,160 --> 00:39:25,400 Speaker 1: game for this Vegas team. This is exactly one Vegas 739 00:39:25,440 --> 00:39:31,239 Speaker 1: disappoints us. So that's a tough one. Um, Tennessee. I 740 00:39:31,239 --> 00:39:32,560 Speaker 1: don't know. I was hoping for a shure. I was 741 00:39:32,600 --> 00:39:34,520 Speaker 1: hoping for more pro calls on it, hope when the 742 00:39:34,520 --> 00:39:37,560 Speaker 1: pros were gonna love that one with US split, it's 743 00:39:37,560 --> 00:39:41,160 Speaker 1: all split. They think the books are undervaluing a healthy team. 744 00:39:41,160 --> 00:39:44,759 Speaker 1: Now on this Chargers team, right, they got Mike Williams back. Yeah, 745 00:39:44,960 --> 00:39:48,520 Speaker 1: they're They're just healthy. And the fact that Herbert you 746 00:39:48,600 --> 00:39:51,000 Speaker 1: can watch it on film, he took that shot. Was 747 00:39:51,000 --> 00:39:53,760 Speaker 1: it week two or three at the ribs for the Chiefs. 748 00:39:53,920 --> 00:39:57,160 Speaker 1: Whenever you heard those he heard his ribs. Um, he 749 00:39:57,200 --> 00:39:59,479 Speaker 1: didn't look good for about four weeks there and every 750 00:39:59,520 --> 00:40:02,480 Speaker 1: week since, and he's progressively looked better. Now you look 751 00:40:02,560 --> 00:40:05,040 Speaker 1: up and he's like top five in passing and pretty 752 00:40:05,160 --> 00:40:09,120 Speaker 1: much every category. Herbert's just an animal. So, oh, man, 753 00:40:09,560 --> 00:40:12,080 Speaker 1: I get where they're coming from. The Tennessee's defense struggles 754 00:40:12,080 --> 00:40:15,880 Speaker 1: against big body receivers. Look at who they just lost to. 755 00:40:17,000 --> 00:40:20,640 Speaker 1: He started with the Bengals. Um they went down there 756 00:40:20,640 --> 00:40:23,480 Speaker 1: in Tennessee. They beat him, then they lost the Eagles 757 00:40:23,920 --> 00:40:26,160 Speaker 1: big body receivers, and then they just lost to Jacksonville 758 00:40:26,200 --> 00:40:29,319 Speaker 1: where's a Jones had an incredible game against him. Who 759 00:40:29,400 --> 00:40:32,839 Speaker 1: Jay Jones is a big body receiver. So the matchup, Yeah, 760 00:40:32,960 --> 00:40:35,719 Speaker 1: favor is a Chargers team, but means chat, I feel 761 00:40:35,719 --> 00:40:38,600 Speaker 1: like it's been good to us taking Tennessee as a 762 00:40:38,640 --> 00:40:40,960 Speaker 1: dog bigger than three, and it's been good to us 763 00:40:40,960 --> 00:40:43,200 Speaker 1: to fade the Chargers as a favorite bigger than three. 764 00:40:43,239 --> 00:40:46,600 Speaker 1: So it won't end up, I guess in our five um, 765 00:40:46,719 --> 00:40:48,239 Speaker 1: but I feel like it just saw my principal. I 766 00:40:48,320 --> 00:40:52,200 Speaker 1: just have to blindly take Tennessee here that the it 767 00:40:52,239 --> 00:40:54,400 Speaker 1: feels like they are reeling right. They're going through injuries, 768 00:40:54,440 --> 00:40:58,040 Speaker 1: everything like that. But if Burke's is back the wide receiver, 769 00:40:58,080 --> 00:41:00,680 Speaker 1: if they have more than two healthy receivers, I'll probably 770 00:41:00,760 --> 00:41:03,400 Speaker 1: end up on Tennessee. If not, I'll just avoid this 771 00:41:03,440 --> 00:41:05,279 Speaker 1: game with us, likely because it is split. I know 772 00:41:05,320 --> 00:41:07,719 Speaker 1: a really smart group that is pounding the charges of 773 00:41:07,760 --> 00:41:09,480 Speaker 1: two and a half. They think they're getting great value. 774 00:41:09,840 --> 00:41:11,640 Speaker 1: We've seen this number. It's been three and it really 775 00:41:11,640 --> 00:41:15,400 Speaker 1: hasn't moved. So um. Definitely an interesting game this week. 776 00:41:16,880 --> 00:41:18,759 Speaker 1: I forgot. I lad there's one more game I want 777 00:41:18,800 --> 00:41:21,560 Speaker 1: to talk about. Takes a little bit about it. The 778 00:41:21,600 --> 00:41:26,520 Speaker 1: other day. We didn't settle on anything. Ravens plus three 779 00:41:26,600 --> 00:41:30,719 Speaker 1: right now against the Browns. But it's like, what are 780 00:41:30,719 --> 00:41:32,840 Speaker 1: we doing. We're gonna back to the third string quarterback 781 00:41:32,880 --> 00:41:35,400 Speaker 1: for the Ravens. I know we're supposed to like Ravens 782 00:41:35,440 --> 00:41:39,239 Speaker 1: defense verse a broken Watson and if you even go 783 00:41:39,320 --> 00:41:42,600 Speaker 1: through the Nick Chubb's numbers, he's been suffering since Watson 784 00:41:42,640 --> 00:41:46,480 Speaker 1: has come back. So I mean, I get it. I 785 00:41:46,520 --> 00:41:48,520 Speaker 1: get why the pros they're betting the Ravens. I'll probably 786 00:41:48,560 --> 00:41:50,000 Speaker 1: end up on them too, but I don't still know 787 00:41:50,040 --> 00:41:52,480 Speaker 1: if I can make it my five chat. It's like, man, 788 00:41:52,640 --> 00:41:54,960 Speaker 1: third the third stringer. I know we got away, we 789 00:41:55,000 --> 00:41:56,799 Speaker 1: got away with the last week with Rock Party, but 790 00:41:56,840 --> 00:41:59,640 Speaker 1: that was like we're back in that amazing system and 791 00:41:59,640 --> 00:42:02,160 Speaker 1: all that the offensive weapons on the four nineers. They 792 00:42:02,160 --> 00:42:04,160 Speaker 1: do not have that on this Ravens team. Like I 793 00:42:04,200 --> 00:42:06,120 Speaker 1: know Dobbins was able to move the ball last week 794 00:42:06,160 --> 00:42:09,680 Speaker 1: against Pittsburgh, but I don't know. Mark Andrews just hasn't 795 00:42:09,680 --> 00:42:12,040 Speaker 1: looked himself for weeks now, and they don't really have 796 00:42:12,080 --> 00:42:13,600 Speaker 1: a number one receiver, and now we have a third 797 00:42:13,600 --> 00:42:16,840 Speaker 1: string quarterback. So I get what you're saying, Like, on principal, 798 00:42:16,880 --> 00:42:20,960 Speaker 1: I should love the plus three, but and they's just 799 00:42:21,360 --> 00:42:24,880 Speaker 1: I'm saying, I'm getting sucked in on Chad's August Darling 800 00:42:25,080 --> 00:42:27,360 Speaker 1: and this Carolina team to win this division. So I 801 00:42:27,360 --> 00:42:29,920 Speaker 1: don't know. I think I'm drinking the juju. The juice 802 00:42:30,520 --> 00:42:33,799 Speaker 1: I see the Ravens dropping a game here and this, 803 00:42:33,800 --> 00:42:37,200 Speaker 1: this feels like a good number. So three, I'm just 804 00:42:37,600 --> 00:42:42,000 Speaker 1: I'm stuck. I wouldn't pick either side in honestly, Mike White, 805 00:42:42,200 --> 00:42:45,200 Speaker 1: we talked a lot about the Jets and the Lions. 806 00:42:46,000 --> 00:42:51,960 Speaker 1: We love the Lions generally. UM, Jets with the superior defense, 807 00:42:52,000 --> 00:42:59,200 Speaker 1: Mike White now playing outside, Jared Goff kryptonite. Um, everything 808 00:42:59,239 --> 00:43:03,279 Speaker 1: here is splitty. We take its money, everything, no consensus. 809 00:43:04,040 --> 00:43:06,680 Speaker 1: I mean we know our side though, like we have 810 00:43:06,800 --> 00:43:08,640 Speaker 1: to take the Jets. We have to take Jets the 811 00:43:08,680 --> 00:43:13,960 Speaker 1: defense outdoors and against golf. UM. I love it though, 812 00:43:14,000 --> 00:43:16,640 Speaker 1: because this is this to me is like why I 813 00:43:16,640 --> 00:43:19,279 Speaker 1: love December football. This is a true playoff game. Both 814 00:43:19,360 --> 00:43:21,319 Speaker 1: these teams. This is a playoff game for both. It 815 00:43:21,320 --> 00:43:23,319 Speaker 1: seems to make the playoffs they need to win this game. 816 00:43:23,400 --> 00:43:25,400 Speaker 1: So I love it. I love the lines, like you 817 00:43:25,440 --> 00:43:27,880 Speaker 1: just said, the lines just sitting there to pick all week. 818 00:43:28,400 --> 00:43:30,160 Speaker 1: Love it, Love everything about this game. One of those 819 00:43:30,160 --> 00:43:32,600 Speaker 1: where we're not really getting much value either side, So 820 00:43:32,600 --> 00:43:34,000 Speaker 1: maybe we won't have it as one of our five, 821 00:43:34,400 --> 00:43:35,879 Speaker 1: but I'll be on the Jets and I cannot wait 822 00:43:35,920 --> 00:43:40,160 Speaker 1: to watch this game. I love Dan Campbell so much. 823 00:43:40,200 --> 00:43:42,000 Speaker 1: I'm so glad that he's gonna be coaching this team 824 00:43:42,040 --> 00:43:44,399 Speaker 1: next year, and I think he will be um all right, 825 00:43:45,040 --> 00:43:48,680 Speaker 1: our Foxhold Bears plus nine, our son sex Jack's plus 826 00:43:48,680 --> 00:43:51,080 Speaker 1: four and a half are e d exact decision. Colts 827 00:43:51,080 --> 00:43:55,600 Speaker 1: plus four are big balls better the week, Washington minus 828 00:43:55,640 --> 00:43:59,360 Speaker 1: four and a half. We are. We're gonna talk about it. 829 00:43:59,440 --> 00:44:02,759 Speaker 1: We put and see adle in or not, because let 830 00:44:02,760 --> 00:44:09,160 Speaker 1: me say this, we like the Colts, we like the Bears, 831 00:44:09,360 --> 00:44:14,600 Speaker 1: we like the Jags, we like Washington. We're thinking about 832 00:44:14,640 --> 00:44:20,080 Speaker 1: the Chiefs, like thinking about Vegas. We're thinking about Vegas. 833 00:44:21,560 --> 00:44:25,480 Speaker 1: I don't know, man, I know that's that's that's when 834 00:44:25,520 --> 00:44:28,279 Speaker 1: we'll talk more after we do the Island Show. But 835 00:44:28,360 --> 00:44:31,200 Speaker 1: as we sit here right now, I freaking love the Seahawks, 836 00:44:31,280 --> 00:44:34,840 Speaker 1: like Broc Purty not throwing the ball all week, Like 837 00:44:34,920 --> 00:44:36,840 Speaker 1: that's a that's a big deal. We might be getting 838 00:44:37,080 --> 00:44:42,120 Speaker 1: stringer tonight. I think my feeling is that if this 839 00:44:42,160 --> 00:44:45,360 Speaker 1: were a game on Sunday, we wouldn't be hesitating. And 840 00:44:48,360 --> 00:44:50,279 Speaker 1: it's always scary to us to do it on a 841 00:44:50,280 --> 00:44:52,319 Speaker 1: Thursday on Thursday because I hate that, oh on one 842 00:44:52,360 --> 00:44:55,240 Speaker 1: headed in the Sunday. But I'm trying to convince myself 843 00:44:55,239 --> 00:44:57,080 Speaker 1: it's all good chat because we can either we can 844 00:44:57,080 --> 00:44:59,800 Speaker 1: do a pick on Saturday anyway. So I'm trying to 845 00:45:00,000 --> 00:45:01,520 Speaker 1: and zone it. So it's like we should end up 846 00:45:01,520 --> 00:45:03,160 Speaker 1: on this game, you know what. I think we gotta 847 00:45:03,200 --> 00:45:05,560 Speaker 1: do it all right, let's we're gonna put it in. 848 00:45:05,719 --> 00:45:08,800 Speaker 1: Is it three and a half? Yeah, yeah, I'll be 849 00:45:08,840 --> 00:45:12,560 Speaker 1: three and a half definitely. Okay, so people listening know 850 00:45:12,680 --> 00:45:14,239 Speaker 1: that we're putting Seattle in. I'll put it in the 851 00:45:14,239 --> 00:45:17,920 Speaker 1: app under the phase five. Um, so you'll see that 852 00:45:17,960 --> 00:45:21,440 Speaker 1: we put that pick in. Uh, what is our scoot 853 00:45:21,560 --> 00:45:29,160 Speaker 1: Roulette this week? Simon? Oh my scoot rot geez, Like 854 00:45:29,280 --> 00:45:33,880 Speaker 1: you just said, there's so many games I love. Um, 855 00:45:33,960 --> 00:45:35,839 Speaker 1: should you suhoually ever written down I gotta do it, 856 00:45:35,880 --> 00:45:37,640 Speaker 1: then I guess I'm like, I'll in on it. I'll 857 00:45:37,640 --> 00:45:41,040 Speaker 1: go Washington. I knew you were gonna do. I have 858 00:45:41,120 --> 00:45:43,719 Speaker 1: to you have to scroll off to the list here. 859 00:45:43,719 --> 00:45:45,239 Speaker 1: It's like, who who who? Who am I stick and 860 00:45:45,239 --> 00:45:49,200 Speaker 1: claim on this week? It's gotta be the commies. Uh, 861 00:45:49,320 --> 00:45:51,000 Speaker 1: you know what I'm gonna do. Then I'm gonna do 862 00:45:51,080 --> 00:45:53,640 Speaker 1: Jags four and a half even though it's yours, Simon says, 863 00:45:54,760 --> 00:45:56,920 Speaker 1: because it was gonna be my exact decision, but you 864 00:45:56,960 --> 00:46:00,800 Speaker 1: pulled it first. So I'm doing Jags plus four and 865 00:46:00,840 --> 00:46:05,680 Speaker 1: a half. Our money line round Robin, I would do Jags. 866 00:46:06,640 --> 00:46:10,720 Speaker 1: And this has been anyone listening. I've I've way lowered 867 00:46:10,800 --> 00:46:14,719 Speaker 1: my bets every week. We've just been not us particularly, 868 00:46:14,719 --> 00:46:17,000 Speaker 1: we just football in journal. The dogs have not been 869 00:46:17,000 --> 00:46:19,960 Speaker 1: winning out right, They've been covering. But our win weight 870 00:46:20,040 --> 00:46:23,600 Speaker 1: went right went way down for out for underdogs out right. 871 00:46:23,680 --> 00:46:25,960 Speaker 1: So just don't be don't be going as crazy as 872 00:46:25,960 --> 00:46:28,000 Speaker 1: we were earlier in the year on these uh money 873 00:46:28,040 --> 00:46:36,760 Speaker 1: line around Robins, Jags, Colts, Colts Raisers. Yeah, okay, that's fair. 874 00:46:37,120 --> 00:46:38,439 Speaker 1: I mean, what are you gonna do? You not gonna 875 00:46:38,440 --> 00:46:41,759 Speaker 1: put the Bears in there. No, let's go to Tennessee 876 00:46:42,520 --> 00:46:43,920 Speaker 1: and we gotta go. We gotta got balls in this 877 00:46:44,000 --> 00:46:48,879 Speaker 1: last one, this big one. I gotta go with Miami. Interesting, 878 00:46:49,760 --> 00:46:53,000 Speaker 1: it's gotta gotta get weird with it because we didn't 879 00:46:53,000 --> 00:46:56,040 Speaker 1: even talk about Miami as a game. Well, it's left 880 00:46:56,040 --> 00:46:57,359 Speaker 1: the seven and a half, and that's what I want. 881 00:46:57,440 --> 00:46:58,759 Speaker 1: I want the seven and a half. I don't want 882 00:46:58,800 --> 00:47:01,240 Speaker 1: the seven. So that's one of those we just wouldn't 883 00:47:01,280 --> 00:47:06,279 Speaker 1: have in um at that number. And we already know 884 00:47:06,400 --> 00:47:08,720 Speaker 1: the deal like this is you go. We were taking 885 00:47:08,880 --> 00:47:12,520 Speaker 1: Miami outdoors, a team that struggled in the elements, uh 886 00:47:12,719 --> 00:47:14,400 Speaker 1: not ideal. So that's why I just didn't think it 887 00:47:14,400 --> 00:47:16,080 Speaker 1: would be one of our five because there's so many 888 00:47:16,360 --> 00:47:20,640 Speaker 1: unknowns that don't really not even right. In fact, I 889 00:47:20,640 --> 00:47:23,560 Speaker 1: would I'd almost be more comfortable making our big balls 890 00:47:23,640 --> 00:47:30,600 Speaker 1: Buffalo and then Washington, but whatever you love Washington, that's everything. 891 00:47:31,200 --> 00:47:34,120 Speaker 1: Bears plus nine is Foxall. Simon says, Jack's plus four 892 00:47:34,160 --> 00:47:38,080 Speaker 1: and a half. Exact decision, Colts Uh plus four Big Balls, 893 00:47:38,160 --> 00:47:43,680 Speaker 1: Washington minus four and a half. Scoot Roulette Simon Washington 894 00:47:43,800 --> 00:47:45,839 Speaker 1: minus four and a half. Chat is under the Jack's 895 00:47:45,840 --> 00:47:48,120 Speaker 1: plus four and a half for a scoot Roulette money 896 00:47:48,200 --> 00:47:54,880 Speaker 1: line round robin one more time, Jack's Colts, Raiders, Titans Miami. 897 00:47:55,520 --> 00:47:57,760 Speaker 1: Do you expect us to be putting in Seattle plus 898 00:47:57,760 --> 00:47:59,440 Speaker 1: three and a half in the contest? I will put 899 00:47:59,480 --> 00:48:02,040 Speaker 1: that in the act A network app follow the phase five. 900 00:48:02,800 --> 00:48:06,600 Speaker 1: All right, silent, We've done it all, my brother, I 901 00:48:06,640 --> 00:48:10,800 Speaker 1: have done it all. Uh. This has been the Favorites 902 00:48:10,840 --> 00:48:14,280 Speaker 1: podcast from the Volume Podcast Network. Four might bff Simon 903 00:48:14,360 --> 00:48:19,200 Speaker 1: Hunter for our producer extraordinaire Matt Mitchell. I am Chad Mellman. 904 00:48:19,280 --> 00:48:23,400 Speaker 1: Download us from Spotify, from Apple Podcast, wherever you get 905 00:48:23,480 --> 00:48:27,759 Speaker 1: your podcasts. Don't forget rate reviews, subscribe and he was 906 00:48:27,840 --> 00:48:30,440 Speaker 1: five stars say whatever you want. Feedback is the gifts. 907 00:48:30,440 --> 00:48:32,520 Speaker 1: More importantly, listen all the way through people. We know 908 00:48:32,680 --> 00:48:36,160 Speaker 1: that helps juice the Apple Podcast rankings. We like staying 909 00:48:36,160 --> 00:48:39,360 Speaker 1: in the fat two hundred until next time, Love you. 910 00:48:44,640 --> 00:48:48,759 Speaker 1: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. 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