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Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to betting pros. It's time to place

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Speaker 1: your bet. So this be Joey P. Joe P's apia,

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Speaker 1: and this is VP NFL with me as always is

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Speaker 1: my best friend Scott Bogman, and we're here previewing Sunday

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Speaker 1: Night Football. That's right, they gave us another one of

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Speaker 1: these because y'all made the Thursday Night Football Preview so

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Speaker 1: damn popular. It's probably the most popular show on the

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Speaker 1: YouTube channel. So I just want to shout out everybody

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Speaker 1: who watches that show, and I want to shout out

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Speaker 1: Scott Bogin and myself because it was a pretty good day.

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Speaker 1: We got the Javonte Williams touchdown to Ching the first half,

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Speaker 1: Jalen Hurts touchdown to Ching, and the SGP hit that's

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Speaker 1: right right out of the gate week one. Therefore, I'm

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Speaker 1: renaming it Scott Bogman. It's no longer the SGP. From

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Speaker 1: now on, every show Thursday Night Football, sun Night Football

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Speaker 1: will now be turned into that segment the SG Joey P.

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Speaker 1: And it's probably the last one I'll hit all year, right, Bogs.

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Speaker 1: That's pretty much plus seven hundred, Yeah, we'll seven hundred.

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Speaker 1: Let's go hope you bet I did.

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Speaker 2: It was great, didn't didn't we get the report that

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Speaker 2: like Vegas has made four billion dollars in the first

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Speaker 2: quarter on parlays alone.

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Speaker 1: All right, but again, but what are you talking about.

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Speaker 2: When they hit? They're they're great, They're amazing.

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Speaker 1: The thing is, you know, I think the process is

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Speaker 1: everybody adds too much to it, right, You're always adding,

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Speaker 1: Like people that I got seventeen leg parlay. Stop doing that.

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Speaker 1: Even three is pushing the limit. And I pushed the limit.

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Speaker 1: It was the first week, but I felt really good

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Speaker 1: about all three of those things. Right. The Jalen Hurts

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Speaker 1: touchdown thing that was like, that was like just to

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Speaker 1: give me. If you can find a gimme and find

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Speaker 1: one other thing that makes sense, that's good. And look,

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Speaker 1: even today's show, today's only a two leg. That's it.

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Speaker 1: I'm not mucking around here. It's early, it's week one,

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Speaker 1: and this is a great game. We got a great

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Speaker 1: Sunday night football game. This is premium stuff here.

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Speaker 2: So I think the best way to build those single

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Speaker 2: game parlays show is probably at least in college football. Well,

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Speaker 2: I do my bepe college football show. Shout out you guys.

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Speaker 2: Check that out as well. Uh, but the touchdown calls,

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Speaker 2: the rushing touchdown calls. When it's a good team playing

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Speaker 2: a bad team early, that lead back is almost always

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Speaker 2: going to score a touchdown. I'm talking.

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Speaker 1: Look and that Hurts is the lead back at the

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Speaker 1: goal line even over. It's crazy the lead back when

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Speaker 1: you get down to it. He had a great game too,

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Speaker 1: Jalen Hurts. Just terrific performance by him, all right, as

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Speaker 1: always too. Shout out to our sponsor, hard Rock Bets.

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Speaker 1: complete the form and either download the Betting Pros app,

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Speaker 1: leave a review of the Betting Pros podcast, or subscribe

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Speaker 1: to our social media channels at Betting Pros on x, on,

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Speaker 1: be announcing the winner right here on the channel. So

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Speaker 1: Auction dot Com. All right, bog, So this is a

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Speaker 1: marquee matchup. We're in a big one here. I like

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Speaker 1: this ill Sunday night, you know, the dust settles, and

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Speaker 1: you're gonna give me Ravens and Buffalo. It's in Buffalo.

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Speaker 1: I'm so glad Hard Knocks is over because it was

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Speaker 1: so eff and boring and it just like whatever store

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Speaker 1: bought vanilla ice cream tastes like that's the way Hard

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Speaker 1: Knocks and the Buffalo bills on to me, oh man,

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Speaker 1: And look look, I love Josh Allen, I love Lamar

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Speaker 1: Jackson just a little bit more. So. This one's real tight.

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Speaker 1: So right now, on Betting Pros, the consensus line is

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Speaker 1: you're getting plus one and a half at minus one

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Speaker 1: twenty five on Baltimore, same thing plus one half over

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Speaker 1: on Buffalo at minus one oh five. The total ranges

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Speaker 1: from fifty to fifty two and a half depending on

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Speaker 1: the book you're at, and then, of course the money line.

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Speaker 1: You're getting minus one awaight's the best number on Baltimore,

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Speaker 1: plus one await the best number on Buffalo. So for me,

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Speaker 1: I'm keeping this real simple. I'm looking towards the over

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Speaker 1: here fifty and a half. I just think it's a

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Speaker 1: little on the lower side. These are two incredibly talented

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Speaker 1: quarterbacks who can really make plays, make plays with their

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Speaker 1: legs to extend drives. And when you're taking Buffalo weather

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Speaker 1: out of the equation, for me, it makes it easier

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Speaker 1: to score points. I know it's week one, I know

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Speaker 1: it's early. I know all the blah blah blah whatever.

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Speaker 1: These two teams know each other. Baltimore has a bad

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Speaker 1: taste in their mouth. I actually rewatched that game. They

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Speaker 1: were replaying it this week, and I watched the last

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Speaker 1: Baltimore show. It should have won. Man, I'm watching that

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Speaker 1: game back and I'm watching Andrews get that ball punched

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Speaker 1: out and I'm watching the end. I'm like, man, watching

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Speaker 1: that drive with Derek Henry down the field once. It

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Speaker 1: was in the third quarter when he scored there, and

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Speaker 1: You're going, man, Baltimore really got this in hand now,

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Speaker 1: and it just kind of slipped out of their fingers

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Speaker 1: literally at the end. I think Baltimore is pissed off,

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Speaker 1: bad taste in their mouth. I think they're gonna show up,

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Speaker 1: but I'm not betting on them. I'm just betting on

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Speaker 1: the total. Bogs. Walk me through your thoughts on the game.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, first of all, I think the over is the

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Speaker 2: best bat. Okay, so I'm with you on that. That

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Speaker 2: is the number one if you're going to take a

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Speaker 2: bet in this game. I think I'm going with the

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Speaker 2: over as well. I will offer a side as well.

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Speaker 2: I like Baltimore, and I think it's for the reasons

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Speaker 2: that you said. You know, they should have won the

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Speaker 2: second game that they played in the I believe it

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Speaker 2: was the Division round. But in week four they played

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Speaker 2: and Baltimore won thirty five to ten. And in these

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Speaker 2: two games, they out gained Buffalo eight hundred and forty

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Speaker 2: three to five hundred and nine, and they ripped them

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Speaker 2: through the run. Game. I believe that the Bills offseason

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Speaker 2: because of these games. And you know, Philly is the

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Speaker 2: champs and they run very well. Kansas City can run well,

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Speaker 2: like you need you need to stop the run and

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Speaker 2: you need to pass rush. So they spent so much

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Speaker 2: draft capital and in free agency they went out and

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Speaker 2: got two defensive lineman. They got Michael Hoyt Larry Ogin

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Speaker 2: Jobi to help stop the run, and then they drafted

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Speaker 2: Dane Walker and TG Sanders, And I think these moves

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Speaker 2: were to stop Baltimore specifically. They could not stop Dereck

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Speaker 2: Henry at all last year. So Daniel Walker enormous and TJ.

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Speaker 2: Sanders had one of the best run grades in college

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Speaker 2: FOOTBA last year, so I think that's the plan. They

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Speaker 2: were twenty fifthe run run defense grade on PFF last year.

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Speaker 2: There were thirteenth, however in rushing yards allowed, but in

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Speaker 2: losses they allowed one hundred and forty two point eight

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Speaker 2: on average. Most of those were on the road. But

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Speaker 2: you know what Baltimore is going to do. They are

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Speaker 2: going to be a run for a team. Buffalo's going

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Speaker 2: to try and stop it. It's going to be a

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Speaker 2: good one. And I think once if Derrick Henry has

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Speaker 2: stopped go to Lamar through the air, and I think

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Speaker 2: that is actually a better advantage for Baltimore than running

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Speaker 2: the ball with Derek Lly.

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Speaker 1: Right. Look, I'm my lean is also Baltimore if you're

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Speaker 1: looking for a side on this game. But I'm just

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Speaker 1: taking the over. I think fifteen and a half is

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Speaker 1: just a little too low. I would have set this

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Speaker 1: in my brain. It's fifty two, fifty three somewhere in

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Speaker 1: that range. So I know people say that doesn't seem

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Speaker 1: like a lot. It is. It's a big difference those

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Speaker 1: extra one or two points. So I'm going to take that.

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Speaker 2: Feels like a thirty one to twenty eight to me.

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Speaker 1: Well, look, we've also seen Baltimore on primetime getting to

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Speaker 1: those pissing contests before, right with the Cincinnati Bengals time

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Speaker 1: after time. Right, Sometimes these big AFC teams, they get

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Speaker 1: these pissing contests with each other on primetime games. Happens

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Speaker 1: all the time.

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Speaker 2: Think of the Thursday night game, right, Like, you've been

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Speaker 2: scripting these drives for the entire offseason. So your first

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Speaker 2: two drives should work in this game. They did for

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Speaker 2: Dallas and Philly, you know, and then obviously in the

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Speaker 2: second half you had the lightning delay and all that stuff.

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Speaker 2: That game did end up going under, but I felt

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Speaker 2: ridiculous at halftime there are thirty one points on the board.

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Speaker 2: At after time, I was like, I'm definitely losing this

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Speaker 2: bat and it still went out.

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Speaker 1: So that lightning delay there, that was weird. You know me,

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Speaker 1: I'm old. I went to bed. I'm like, I'm not

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Speaker 1: staying away through that. I'm already tired. It was a

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Speaker 1: long day and I'm like, I know what's gonna happen

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Speaker 1: is these guys have flights to catch it when they

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Speaker 1: come back. This is gonna be an s show. And

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Speaker 1: it was. And I was just like, I'm over, and

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Speaker 1: I was right. I was right. I woke up the

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Speaker 1: next morning went, oh yeah, look it's the same score.

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Speaker 1: I went to ceedee.

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Speaker 2: Lamb left his see you, Lamb left his hands in

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Speaker 2: the locker room after that lightning.

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Speaker 1: That's tough. You know, football players aren't used to that

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Speaker 1: where you gotta like have the big you know, hour

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Speaker 1: and then you gotta come back and play like this.

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Speaker 1: It's not something you're used to get out of the

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Speaker 1: got the rhythm of the game too, and we're in

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Speaker 1: our rhythm already to start the year. So we're gonna

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Speaker 1: get to the props, we're gonna get to the touchdown calls,

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Speaker 1: we're gonna get to the same game parlay. Before we

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Speaker 1: eight eight Admit it. In Indiana if you are something

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Speaker 1: you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call

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Speaker 1: one eight hundred and nine with it gambling problem called

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Speaker 1: one hundred gambler in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, in New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia.

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Speaker 1: Let's get to the props here box. Let's start with

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Speaker 1: our boy, Lamar Jackson. All right, So Lamar Jackson here

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Speaker 1: over under two thirty seven and a half passing yards.

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Speaker 1: Where do you want to go for Lamar?

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Speaker 2: We're gonna go over this one. This one feels like

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Speaker 2: a shootout. As we allude to before, he had over

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Speaker 2: two hundred and fifty yards in the passing yards in

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Speaker 2: the playoff game against Buffalo, and he hit this in

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Speaker 2: nine games games last season. And like I said, I

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Speaker 2: think Buffalo is building towards trying to stop the run.

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Speaker 2: I think that is the purpose of these signings. Now,

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Speaker 2: Hoyd and Ogen Joebi both suspended to start the year,

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Speaker 2: so the rookies are going to see a decent amount

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Speaker 2: of snaps. But I think Buffalo is going to do

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Speaker 2: a decent job trying to wrangle this run up and

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Speaker 2: that that's why you have to push it to Lamar,

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Speaker 2: and I think that's a good thing for Baltimore. I

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Speaker 2: think people think that Lamar is not good at passing

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Speaker 2: the ball. He's very good last year.

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Speaker 1: Have like seven still the narrative, what was the interception

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Speaker 1: line on him last year?

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Speaker 2: I was forty six. I mean come on, yeah, yeah,

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Speaker 2: I mean look, I and they drafted Harrison and he's

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Speaker 2: not playing in this game. Their first round pick a corner.

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Speaker 2: So you know, the secondary's rough in Buffalo right now,

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Speaker 2: and I think that it's going to be That is

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Speaker 2: the way to beat Buffalo is to outscore them. And

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Speaker 2: I think you're going to see Lamar try to do that.

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Speaker 2: So let's go with the over two hundred thirty seven

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Speaker 2: and a half pass.

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Speaker 1: I like that too, because I think a lot of

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Speaker 1: people automatically they see Lamar on the board and they

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Speaker 1: just go right to the rushing yards all the time.

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Speaker 1: But to your point too, you make a great point

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Speaker 1: about Look, they've they've tried to fortify with the kids.

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Speaker 1: Now the defensive line they're they're trying again. Whether or

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Speaker 1: not it works against Derek Henry and the Baltimore Ravens,

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Speaker 1: that's a different story. But I think it's a very

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Speaker 1: smart pivot here, and it's a very non chalk kind

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Speaker 1: of a move here. I like it a lot. Let's

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Speaker 1: get to Mark Andrews. If anybody needs a redemption story

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Speaker 1: from the last game against the Buffalo Bills, it's Mark Andrews.

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Speaker 1: So let's let's write a tale of redemption for mister Andrews,

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Speaker 1: shall we?

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Speaker 2: Yeah? I mean, look, Mark Andrews went to my high

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Speaker 2: school but then went to Oklahoma, so I have mixed

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Speaker 2: about my guy. He's also on Baltimore, right, so strikes again.

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Speaker 1: I know.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, here we're going over forty five and a half

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Speaker 2: because no likely, There's gonna be no likely in this game,

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Speaker 2: and Mark Andrews is going to be one of the

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Speaker 2: main targets. Like I said, I think we focus more

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Speaker 2: on passing in this game if you're Baltimore, and I think,

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Speaker 2: like you said, there's just nothing better to do for

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Speaker 2: this guy than to have him go out in Like

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Speaker 2: if he could score the game winning touchdown, that's the

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Speaker 2: best thing that could happen in this game. Doesn't make

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Speaker 2: up for what happened in the playoffs, obviously, but it

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Speaker 2: would be a little bit of redemption. So I think

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Speaker 2: we see Mark Andrews involved quickly. And he's not going

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Speaker 2: to start this year like he did last year coming

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Speaker 2: off that car wreck and he had that slow start

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Speaker 2: and that was probably underreported as we found out looking

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Speaker 2: at what he did in the back half of the

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Speaker 2: season was much much better. So I think we get

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Speaker 2: fully healthy, normal Mark Andrews and hopefully it doesn't drop

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Speaker 2: a pass to end the game this time.

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Speaker 1: From week seven on he had ten touchdowns. That's more

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Speaker 1: than any other tight end. He was actually tight end

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Speaker 1: four in Fantasy from that time on too, So just

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Speaker 1: putting it out there, everybody, what are you gonna do

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Speaker 1: when you get down to the goal line and you've

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Speaker 1: got to worry about Derrick Henry and Lamar Jackson. This

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Speaker 1: is why Mark Andrews got a million touchdowns in the

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Speaker 1: second half last year. His number, by the way, for

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Speaker 1: anytime touchdown score plus one seventy five into spots plus ones.

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Speaker 2: Might hear about that later.

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Speaker 1: Maybe I'm just saying just interesting too. That's pretty low

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Speaker 1: for a tight end, especially. You don't see that very often.

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Speaker 1: So all right, let's go to another one here. Let's

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Speaker 1: talk about Keon Coleman, another guy who is I think

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Speaker 1: a disappointment last year. I think around the world we'd

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Speaker 1: all agree on that. Second year, maybe things get a

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Speaker 1: little better, Maybe they don't. Key On Coleman, how do

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Speaker 1: we start with him in week one in this contest?

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Speaker 2: I'm very excited for two Buffalo second year guys. Keon

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Speaker 2: Coleman is number one, Cold Bishop number two, the safety.

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Speaker 2: I think Cold Bishop's going to be a great safety.

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Speaker 2: But Keyon Coleman. Last year, we know Sean McDermott is

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Speaker 2: notoriously rough on rookies, right, doesn't like to play them,

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Speaker 2: doesn't like to start them. He wants them to develop

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Speaker 2: and then get on the field. So he was rough

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Speaker 2: on Keon Coleman. Kyon Coleman is also late to a

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Speaker 2: meeting earlier in the year, which does not sit well

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Speaker 2: with McDermott, so he's in the doghouse after that. Then

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Speaker 2: he had that risk fracture. It was a weird year

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Speaker 2: for Keon Coleman, but I think he comes in healthy

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Speaker 2: this year, gained a little bit of respect for taking,

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Speaker 2: you know, responsibility for his mistakes with Sean McDermott. And

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Speaker 2: this dude had an A dot A fifteen point four

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Speaker 2: last year. His longest reception in this game is nineteen

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Speaker 2: and a half. And listen, I understand I didn't hit

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Speaker 2: the George Pickens one. He had that wrapped up in

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Speaker 2: the first quarter and he got past interfered, he drew

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Speaker 2: the flag, but they didn't go back to him on

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Speaker 2: a deep route. Keyon Coleman needs like two or three

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Speaker 2: targets to get this. I feel like nineteen and a

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Speaker 2: half is going to be easy for him. We know

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Speaker 2: that the Ravens problem in the secondary was getting beat

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Speaker 2: deep last year. That's why they brought in a guy

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Speaker 2: like Malachi Starks to try to cut that off. So

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Speaker 2: I'm excited to see this matchup. But I just think

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Speaker 2: that longest reception for nineteen and a half, and let's

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Speaker 2: not forget if they hit him short. This is a

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Speaker 2: dude that is fantastic with the ball in his hands

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Speaker 2: at his size. He returned kicks some punts at Florida State,

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Speaker 2: so he's great with the ball in his hands, and

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Speaker 2: his a dot is over fifteen yards already. I think

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Speaker 2: this one, as long as he gets the targets, should

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Speaker 2: be an easy hit.

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Speaker 1: Side note, I'm a huge Starks fan. I really like Starks.

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Speaker 2: I thought that was a good player, great pickup.

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Speaker 1: But that's what the Ravens do, right. This is why

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Speaker 1: they're in the playoffs every.

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Speaker 2: Yes, it's so annoying, Joe. All they do is and

342
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Speaker 2: take the best player available every time, and it works.

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Speaker 1: They're always picking between like twenty five and thirty and

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Speaker 1: they're like, who's the best player. Yeah, we'll just take

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Speaker 1: that guy. We'll just take that.

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Speaker 2: Well, that guy was twelve on our board and we're

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Speaker 2: at twenty five. Yeah, we'll take him. Yeah, we'll take

348
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Speaker 2: Kyle Hamilton. Sure, we'll take Tyler Linderbaum way late.

349
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Speaker 1: I remember the year they took Patrick.

350
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Speaker 2: Sure, we'll take Lamar Jackson, remember, and you take Terrell

351
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Speaker 2: Edmonds instead to Patrick Queen that.

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Speaker 1: One year too. Remember he like slipped all the way

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Speaker 1: down and I was like Jeseus, like, why do you

354
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Speaker 1: make it that? It's crazy?

355
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Speaker 2: Patrick Queen is probably the only mistake they made.

356
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Speaker 1: And nobody.

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Speaker 2: No I used to the.

358
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Speaker 1: Time, Everyone's like, oh my god, how that happened, But

359
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Speaker 1: like it just it's just what they do. It's how

360
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Speaker 1: they run their board there. All right, let's talk about

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Speaker 1: Derrick Henry because the usage here out of the gate

362
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Speaker 1: is going to be interesting because it's going to be

363
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Speaker 1: a long schedule. They're going to be playing obviously well

364
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Speaker 1: into January. This Ravens team, we all think they're my

365
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Speaker 1: Super Bowl pick. I've already been on all the shows

366
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Speaker 1: talking about it. But this is a tough open to

367
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Speaker 1: the season. They play the Bills, then they go home

368
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Speaker 1: for an Indivision game against the Browns, followed by at

369
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Speaker 1: home against the Lions, and then on the road against

370
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Speaker 1: the Chiefs and then back home against the Texans. So again,

371
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Speaker 1: this is not the easiest schedule here, so they're going

372
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Speaker 1: to have to make sure that they I think are

373
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Speaker 1: just a little bit careful with the workload. I'm not

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Speaker 1: saying this game isn't important, it is. This is a

375
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Speaker 1: tiebreaker kind of situation game. I think Baltimore wants to

376
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Speaker 1: go out there and win. But how does this affect

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Speaker 1: Derrick Henry and his usage in this contest?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, to me, I feel like everything you said is

379
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Speaker 2: true and at the forefront of the season, and he

380
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Speaker 2: hasn't hit this total in the last two openers, and

381
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Speaker 2: I think it's you kind of want to ratchet Derek

382
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Speaker 2: Henry back early in the season to have him there

383
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Speaker 2: for the long run, because where he makes his money

384
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Speaker 2: is at the end of games, burning out the clock

385
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Speaker 2: and going against those tired linebackers that don't want to

386
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Speaker 2: hit anymore. And now here comes Derrick Henry running at

387
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Speaker 2: you like a bowling ball and you have to get

388
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Speaker 2: in front of him and hit him. So you know,

389
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Speaker 2: it works best in the weather late in the season.

390
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Speaker 2: So I think that, like I said, Buffalo's folks is

391
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Speaker 2: going to be to stop Derek Henry because they got

392
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Speaker 2: embarrassed that first week. They give up over two hundred

393
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Speaker 2: rushing yards to the bill or to the Ravens. So

394
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Speaker 2: I think that is going to be their game plan.

395
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Speaker 2: They're going to be focused in on stopping Derrick Henry

396
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Speaker 2: and they're going to force Baltimore to pass. So to me,

397
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Speaker 2: I think Derrick Henry is under this total because I

398
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Speaker 2: think it's closer. And when you get in the fourth quarter,

399
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Speaker 2: if you're playing from behind or you're playing in a

400
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Speaker 2: tight game, you're gonna pass ball a little bit more

401
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Speaker 2: in my opinion. So I'm gonna go under these seventeen

402
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Speaker 2: and a half rush attempts for Dereck Henry in Week one.

403
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Speaker 1: All right, Next up, we got James Cook for our

404
00:17:33,200 --> 00:17:35,439
Speaker 1: last of the props. We're going to talk about the

405
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Speaker 1: rushing attempts thirteen and a half for him. You're going

406
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Speaker 1: over or under that.

407
00:17:40,400 --> 00:17:42,320
Speaker 2: I'll go over this one. I think this one is

408
00:17:42,320 --> 00:17:44,560
Speaker 2: a bit too low. James Cook just got the bag right,

409
00:17:44,920 --> 00:17:46,840
Speaker 2: so it should be Hey, hey, bro, all the money

410
00:17:46,880 --> 00:17:49,960
Speaker 2: wheels up. Let's give this dude the football a bunch, right,

411
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Speaker 2: And the time of possession leader won this game both

412
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Speaker 2: times last season, So I think you're gonna see Buffalo

413
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Speaker 2: want to run the ball, want to control the clock,

414
00:17:57,960 --> 00:18:01,399
Speaker 2: wear that defense out, and keep that offense that is

415
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Speaker 2: very potent on the sideline. I think that should be

416
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Speaker 2: the plan for the Bills in this game. And he

417
00:18:07,800 --> 00:18:10,880
Speaker 2: isn't irreplaceable like Henry had Like you know, we do

418
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Speaker 2: have a good reason for Derrick Henry maybe being under

419
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Speaker 2: his first of all, his total is four carries higher

420
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Speaker 2: than James Cook. James Cook does have a good backup

421
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Speaker 2: like Ray Davis, but he just got the money. He

422
00:18:22,359 --> 00:18:24,480
Speaker 2: isn't irreplaceable. They could go to Ray Davis, who I

423
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Speaker 2: think is not a downgrade to James Cook really at all.

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Speaker 2: So I think he gets a bunch of carries to

425
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Speaker 2: start the season. So thirteen and a half I think

426
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Speaker 2: it might just be a little bit too low for Cook.

427
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Speaker 1: Now, remember, don't be a tool. Use the tools. Go

428
00:18:37,320 --> 00:18:39,159
Speaker 1: download the bank Pros app and use the tools like

429
00:18:39,160 --> 00:18:41,119
Speaker 1: the prop bet cheat sheet to find more props that

430
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Speaker 1: you can wager on this weekend in all the games.

431
00:18:43,560 --> 00:18:47,040
Speaker 1: Go to bankpros dot com, slash props, or just download

432
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Speaker 1: the app the silly Goose. That's what you do, because

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Speaker 1: that's what everybody does. Now. Everything's on the apps right now,

434
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Speaker 1: so you can get daily prop bet values based on projections.

435
00:18:56,240 --> 00:18:59,439
Speaker 1: You find the best props for all of passing, rushing,

436
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Speaker 1: receiving stack categories. Everything is on there. You can even

437
00:19:02,160 --> 00:19:05,680
Speaker 1: just hyper target games specifically define your favorite props again

438
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Speaker 1: prop bet Chi sheet one of the many incredible tools

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Speaker 1: at betting pros on the app Again three point zero

440
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441
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Speaker 1: have not seen your sports books for free bets Smarter

442
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Speaker 1: or not Harder. All right, it's what you all been

443
00:19:17,040 --> 00:19:20,080
Speaker 1: waiting for. Let's get to our new favorite segment on

444
00:19:20,119 --> 00:19:23,840
Speaker 1: the show, the newly coined not the SGP no no, no,

445
00:19:23,920 --> 00:19:28,200
Speaker 1: same game parlayser done. We're doing the SG Joey p

446
00:19:28,920 --> 00:19:31,240
Speaker 1: and this one's only two legs. Now. I talked to

447
00:19:31,280 --> 00:19:36,160
Speaker 1: you on Thursday, didn't I about Let's pace ourselves slowly, slowly, Right,

448
00:19:36,600 --> 00:19:39,679
Speaker 1: it's week one. Can't get crazy. The more variance we add,

449
00:19:40,200 --> 00:19:43,240
Speaker 1: the worse the returns become. Right. The more variance we add,

450
00:19:43,240 --> 00:19:46,000
Speaker 1: the more hotels they build. And I want hard Rock

451
00:19:46,040 --> 00:19:48,040
Speaker 1: to build lots of hotels, Okay, because I love them.

452
00:19:48,040 --> 00:19:50,399
Speaker 1: They're sponsored to the show, but still I want to

453
00:19:50,400 --> 00:19:52,760
Speaker 1: help you win some money. So we're gonna do the

454
00:19:52,800 --> 00:19:55,119
Speaker 1: same thing process wise that we did on Thursday night

455
00:19:55,160 --> 00:19:58,160
Speaker 1: with Jalen Hurts, which was Jalen Hurts was minus money

456
00:19:58,160 --> 00:19:59,840
Speaker 1: to score a touchdown because you knew it was gonna

457
00:19:59,840 --> 00:20:02,000
Speaker 1: have at some point. So what do we do. We

458
00:20:02,040 --> 00:20:04,040
Speaker 1: turned it around and cut it in half, and we

459
00:20:04,080 --> 00:20:06,920
Speaker 1: flipped it from minus money to plus money. So let's

460
00:20:06,920 --> 00:20:10,080
Speaker 1: do the same thing with Dereck Henry. First touchdown score

461
00:20:10,119 --> 00:20:14,040
Speaker 1: too much? Too much? How about just anytime touchdown in

462
00:20:14,119 --> 00:20:17,320
Speaker 1: the first half of this game, announce your presence with authority,

463
00:20:17,440 --> 00:20:19,679
Speaker 1: try to stop. As Bogman said, these drives they've been

464
00:20:19,680 --> 00:20:21,360
Speaker 1: working on to open the season. They've had a ton

465
00:20:21,400 --> 00:20:24,200
Speaker 1: of practice time. Derek Henry's going to be ready, fresh

466
00:20:24,280 --> 00:20:27,000
Speaker 1: legs out of the gate. So you put that together,

467
00:20:27,080 --> 00:20:29,800
Speaker 1: that's plus one sixty five. So you go for minus money.

468
00:20:30,160 --> 00:20:32,359
Speaker 1: You flip it to plus money just by cutting the

469
00:20:32,400 --> 00:20:35,840
Speaker 1: game in half. And then you add in Rashad Bateman

470
00:20:35,960 --> 00:20:38,320
Speaker 1: under thirty six and a half. There's so many reasons

471
00:20:38,320 --> 00:20:40,520
Speaker 1: why Rashad Bateman's number is too high. I don't even

472
00:20:40,520 --> 00:20:41,760
Speaker 1: want to get into him because I don't want to

473
00:20:41,760 --> 00:20:43,720
Speaker 1: make the show run long. Thirty six and a half

474
00:20:43,760 --> 00:20:45,840
Speaker 1: is a law for Shot Bateman to come down with. Okay,

475
00:20:45,960 --> 00:20:47,960
Speaker 1: we've got more guys in there. We'll see what Hopkins

476
00:20:48,000 --> 00:20:50,879
Speaker 1: can do. We already know Mark Andrew's gonna be a

477
00:20:50,920 --> 00:20:54,120
Speaker 1: big part of this Game's a flowers, But Lamar Jackson

478
00:20:54,520 --> 00:20:56,800
Speaker 1: his evolution is a QB Bogs and you alluded to

479
00:20:56,840 --> 00:20:59,160
Speaker 1: it earlier. It's really come a long way. He's finding

480
00:20:59,200 --> 00:21:02,000
Speaker 1: the open guy. Sometimes that might be Bateman, but I

481
00:21:02,000 --> 00:21:04,120
Speaker 1: don't trust Rashot Bateman in week one to go over

482
00:21:04,160 --> 00:21:06,199
Speaker 1: this number. I think it's ridiculous. So again, this is

483
00:21:06,400 --> 00:21:09,560
Speaker 1: very boring. It's an under on the receiving yards thirty

484
00:21:09,560 --> 00:21:13,359
Speaker 1: six and a half. It's a first half anytime touchdown

485
00:21:13,400 --> 00:21:16,000
Speaker 1: score for Derek Henry. You put these two boring ass

486
00:21:16,040 --> 00:21:19,119
Speaker 1: things together along with my over right, so we're adding

487
00:21:19,119 --> 00:21:20,960
Speaker 1: that third thing, which I already said, the over is

488
00:21:20,960 --> 00:21:23,760
Speaker 1: where I want to live. It's plus six zh five.

489
00:21:24,080 --> 00:21:26,200
Speaker 1: So those are the three things. But if you want

490
00:21:26,200 --> 00:21:27,800
Speaker 1: to just tear it down a little bit, just do

491
00:21:27,840 --> 00:21:29,560
Speaker 1: the other two. You can do the other two too.

492
00:21:29,600 --> 00:21:31,680
Speaker 1: You don't have to add in the over as well.

493
00:21:31,880 --> 00:21:33,480
Speaker 1: You can take some of that variance out of it.

494
00:21:33,560 --> 00:21:36,359
Speaker 1: If you want to do that, that's perfectly fine. Boggs.

495
00:21:36,400 --> 00:21:38,800
Speaker 1: What do you think about this combination here for this game?

496
00:21:39,280 --> 00:21:42,080
Speaker 2: I like it. I would I would play this and

497
00:21:42,880 --> 00:21:44,919
Speaker 2: the one that I would worry about, I feel like

498
00:21:45,200 --> 00:21:48,880
Speaker 2: is Rashad Bateman possibly going over because I, like I said,

499
00:21:48,880 --> 00:21:50,359
Speaker 2: I think the Bills are going to try to force

500
00:21:50,400 --> 00:21:53,760
Speaker 2: the Ravens to pass and there's no likely in this game.

501
00:21:53,840 --> 00:21:57,200
Speaker 2: But like you said, they add Andandre Hopkins. So where

502
00:21:57,440 --> 00:22:00,720
Speaker 2: is Rashad Bateman in the pecking order now? Is he?

503
00:22:02,080 --> 00:22:06,000
Speaker 2: He's not? He's probably four, honestly, and in touching the ball,

504
00:22:06,320 --> 00:22:09,520
Speaker 2: like everyone touching the ball, he's sixth because lamar is

505
00:22:09,520 --> 00:22:15,080
Speaker 2: Is is one. Then we have Derrick Henry, Zay Flowers,

506
00:22:15,480 --> 00:22:20,239
Speaker 2: Mark Andrews. It's gonna be Isaiah likely and then uh

507
00:22:20,640 --> 00:22:23,320
Speaker 2: DeAndre Hopkins as well for this game, no like but

508
00:22:23,320 --> 00:22:25,600
Speaker 2: but in most cases but but okay, so put him

509
00:22:25,640 --> 00:22:28,120
Speaker 2: at you know, five or six, Like he's just low

510
00:22:28,160 --> 00:22:29,840
Speaker 2: in the pecking orders, so he has to make a

511
00:22:29,840 --> 00:22:32,320
Speaker 2: big play I think to get this and that could

512
00:22:32,400 --> 00:22:35,119
Speaker 2: happen like that that that could be something that burns you.

513
00:22:35,160 --> 00:22:37,600
Speaker 2: But you have to admit that. But I think most

514
00:22:37,880 --> 00:22:41,000
Speaker 2: most weeks, specifically this week, I'm not. I'm not too

515
00:22:41,080 --> 00:22:42,080
Speaker 2: afraid of a shot, Babman.

516
00:22:42,400 --> 00:22:44,160
Speaker 1: So once again, if you want to pull it out

517
00:22:44,400 --> 00:22:47,959
Speaker 1: of the third leg you're gonna get the Derrick Henry

518
00:22:48,119 --> 00:22:51,000
Speaker 1: anytime first half touchdown score, and Rashad Babman under thirty

519
00:22:51,040 --> 00:22:52,800
Speaker 1: six and a half you can get the plus three

520
00:22:52,880 --> 00:22:55,080
Speaker 1: forty six. So I'm gonna let you, guys choose your

521
00:22:55,080 --> 00:22:57,800
Speaker 1: own adventure here, all right. I'm telling you that these

522
00:22:57,800 --> 00:22:59,680
Speaker 1: are both. If you want to just take the safe

523
00:22:59,760 --> 00:23:02,200
Speaker 1: route with the two leg, it's plus three forty six.

524
00:23:02,600 --> 00:23:04,639
Speaker 1: If you want to add in that over on the total,

525
00:23:04,760 --> 00:23:07,080
Speaker 1: it jumps to six oh five, it almost doubles. So

526
00:23:07,840 --> 00:23:10,080
Speaker 1: everyone gets to choose their on avenger here. However, if

527
00:23:10,119 --> 00:23:11,840
Speaker 1: I'm right on the two leg, I'm going to call

528
00:23:11,880 --> 00:23:14,840
Speaker 1: it a victory because that is my og original thing.

529
00:23:15,320 --> 00:23:18,320
Speaker 1: And if I get both right, forget it like it's

530
00:23:18,359 --> 00:23:19,560
Speaker 1: just you might never come.

531
00:23:19,400 --> 00:23:24,359
Speaker 2: Back, guysying now, yeah, absolutely.

532
00:23:23,840 --> 00:23:26,320
Speaker 1: All right, speaking of me being annoying, let's cost more touchdowns.

533
00:23:26,320 --> 00:23:30,000
Speaker 1: I already gave mine away. Derrick Henry first half touchdown score.

534
00:23:30,080 --> 00:23:31,960
Speaker 1: I love that. I think you can look at James

535
00:23:31,960 --> 00:23:34,760
Speaker 1: Cook also as a touchdown scorer, because my god, he

536
00:23:34,880 --> 00:23:37,680
Speaker 1: scored so many last year. But the problem is you're

537
00:23:37,680 --> 00:23:39,520
Speaker 1: not getting a great number. It's almost even money plus

538
00:23:39,560 --> 00:23:41,439
Speaker 1: one hundred for James Cook, So I don't love that

539
00:23:41,480 --> 00:23:43,760
Speaker 1: one as much, but the Derreck Henry one, I'm sticking

540
00:23:43,800 --> 00:23:44,800
Speaker 1: with Bogs. Where are you going?

541
00:23:45,119 --> 00:23:46,840
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm gonna go with Mark Andrews. You mentioned it

542
00:23:46,840 --> 00:23:49,320
Speaker 2: before plus one seventy five, and this is just like

543
00:23:50,800 --> 00:23:53,640
Speaker 2: if there's ever a team that's gonna design a touchdown

544
00:23:53,720 --> 00:23:57,760
Speaker 2: to go to a player after a disaster like last season,

545
00:23:57,840 --> 00:24:00,360
Speaker 2: I think it's this game. You want to exercise those

546
00:24:00,359 --> 00:24:04,639
Speaker 2: demons very quickly if you're Mark Andrews and so I

547
00:24:05,000 --> 00:24:07,560
Speaker 2: think that they probably have a bunch of goal line

548
00:24:07,600 --> 00:24:09,720
Speaker 2: stuff designed for Mark Andrews this week, and I think

549
00:24:09,760 --> 00:24:11,520
Speaker 2: he gets in the end zone at least once.

550
00:24:11,880 --> 00:24:14,520
Speaker 1: There you have it everybody. So those are the props.

551
00:24:15,040 --> 00:24:18,080
Speaker 1: That's the sides of the games, the sg joeps, the

552
00:24:18,119 --> 00:24:20,679
Speaker 1: touchdown calls. What more do you need? I don't know.

553
00:24:21,000 --> 00:24:23,480
Speaker 1: I mean, I can't think of anything except maybe subscribing

554
00:24:23,480 --> 00:24:25,160
Speaker 1: to the channel. Of course we're giving away that Alvin

555
00:24:25,200 --> 00:24:27,600
Speaker 1: Kamara helmet. And again, if you need more help building

556
00:24:27,600 --> 00:24:29,560
Speaker 1: a same game parlay, the best way to do it

557
00:24:29,600 --> 00:24:31,640
Speaker 1: is to go and use the tools bettingpros dot Com

558
00:24:31,640 --> 00:24:34,080
Speaker 1: slash Parlay on the app, that's where you can go.

559
00:24:34,440 --> 00:24:36,800
Speaker 1: It'll give you the correlations to You know, we talk

560
00:24:36,880 --> 00:24:39,760
Speaker 1: about building narratives for games. Well, if you're building a narrative,

561
00:24:39,800 --> 00:24:42,320
Speaker 1: it'll tell you which narratives string together in the best

562
00:24:42,359 --> 00:24:44,560
Speaker 1: possible way. It's an incredible tool. I've used it a

563
00:24:44,560 --> 00:24:47,440
Speaker 1: bunch last year. Really cool stuff. They just came out

564
00:24:47,480 --> 00:24:49,439
Speaker 1: with it last year and it's a great way to

565
00:24:49,440 --> 00:24:53,200
Speaker 1: build again. Two three at the most, don't go crazy.

566
00:24:53,560 --> 00:24:55,640
Speaker 1: This is how you lose. We don't want to lose here,

567
00:24:55,840 --> 00:24:57,679
Speaker 1: but that's what you got to do. And nobody loses.

568
00:24:57,720 --> 00:25:00,440
Speaker 1: Whenever you subscribe to the channel like this video. Drop

569
00:25:00,440 --> 00:25:02,280
Speaker 1: your comments. I want to know who's going to touchdown

570
00:25:02,280 --> 00:25:04,280
Speaker 1: in the Sunday night football game. Tell me who your

571
00:25:04,320 --> 00:25:07,040
Speaker 1: picks are. And of course, don't forget to support our

572
00:25:07,080 --> 00:25:09,720
Speaker 1: sponsor of the show, hard Rock Bets. Bet five bucks,

573
00:25:09,720 --> 00:25:12,399
Speaker 1: get one hundred and FIFTYMPONUS bets. When you do that'll

574
00:25:12,400 --> 00:25:13,840
Speaker 1: do it for us. But the story of the game

575
00:25:13,920 --> 00:25:16,280
Speaker 1: goes on for Scott bog But I'm Joey p. We'll

576
00:25:16,280 --> 00:25:18,879
Speaker 1: see you next time. Kids. Enjoy this banger of a

577
00:25:18,960 --> 00:25:21,480
Speaker 1: Sunday night game. He's good.

578
00:25:21,680 --> 00:25:21,720
Speaker 2: Go.

579
00:25:22,760 --> 00:25:25,399
Speaker 3: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you

580
00:25:25,440 --> 00:25:27,800
Speaker 3: love the show. The best freeway to support us is

581
00:25:27,840 --> 00:25:31,240
Speaker 3: by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify.

582
00:25:31,520 --> 00:25:34,159
Speaker 3: Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and

583
00:25:34,240 --> 00:25:37,879
Speaker 3: Instagram at betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to our YouTube

584
00:25:37,960 --> 00:25:46,119
Speaker 3: channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros