1 00:00:13,760 --> 00:00:16,160 Speaker 1: Hey guys, how are you welcome into a Saturday morning 2 00:00:16,239 --> 00:00:18,600 Speaker 1: edition of the Daily Juice podcast with me Matt Peraltire 3 00:00:18,640 --> 00:00:21,560 Speaker 1: on Bettingpros dot com. We are here with YouTube, video 4 00:00:22,079 --> 00:00:25,360 Speaker 1: audio wherever you get your audio podcasts and bet MGM 5 00:00:25,440 --> 00:00:28,280 Speaker 1: as a title sponsor. Bet MGM bet ten dollars to 6 00:00:28,320 --> 00:00:30,360 Speaker 1: win one hundred and fifty dollars in any event with 7 00:00:30,440 --> 00:00:32,159 Speaker 1: that promo co Juice one fifty when you sign up 8 00:00:32,159 --> 00:00:36,519 Speaker 1: for a new account with BETMGM betmgm dot com. Okay, 9 00:00:37,000 --> 00:00:40,239 Speaker 1: so we've come to Saturday of Super Bowl Week. I 10 00:00:40,360 --> 00:00:44,400 Speaker 1: have just driven five hours back from Los Angeles to 11 00:00:44,560 --> 00:00:49,600 Speaker 1: Las Vegas. I am extraordinarily tired. What a damn week, man, 12 00:00:50,240 --> 00:00:53,640 Speaker 1: so much fun. First time trip on Radio Row, just 13 00:00:53,720 --> 00:00:57,639 Speaker 1: an unbelievable experience. I feel incredibly lucky that I had 14 00:00:57,680 --> 00:00:59,400 Speaker 1: the chance to go over there and be a part 15 00:00:59,520 --> 00:01:03,160 Speaker 1: of what was just an unbelievable week. The biggest takeaway, 16 00:01:03,760 --> 00:01:08,959 Speaker 1: Pat McAfee is the biggest star in media today. That's 17 00:01:09,000 --> 00:01:13,800 Speaker 1: just a takeaway. It's unbelievable. What that guy watching his crew. 18 00:01:14,160 --> 00:01:17,959 Speaker 1: We interviewed pretty much the entire you know, the hammer 19 00:01:18,120 --> 00:01:20,800 Speaker 1: Dong people, and I'm not saying that right, but I 20 00:01:20,800 --> 00:01:24,559 Speaker 1: don't care. I'm tired, and just Pat and everybody else. 21 00:01:24,600 --> 00:01:26,319 Speaker 1: It just it was super fun. It really was an 22 00:01:26,400 --> 00:01:29,880 Speaker 1: unbelievable experience. But the room, just the way that they 23 00:01:30,000 --> 00:01:35,120 Speaker 1: captivated the room. I mean, these are stars amongst stars, 24 00:01:35,440 --> 00:01:38,760 Speaker 1: and it was incredible. It just it was my biggest 25 00:01:38,760 --> 00:01:41,600 Speaker 1: takeaway that the Pat McAfee show is just as unbelievable. 26 00:01:41,600 --> 00:01:44,240 Speaker 1: What they've done is just insane. But a lot of 27 00:01:44,280 --> 00:01:48,480 Speaker 1: people like the Rams. Okay, I'm still going with the Bengals. 28 00:01:48,760 --> 00:01:51,400 Speaker 1: I got the hat, wearing the Bengals hat today, wearing 29 00:01:51,400 --> 00:01:53,480 Speaker 1: the hat. Got the hat for the Super Bowl here, 30 00:01:53,800 --> 00:01:56,200 Speaker 1: Gonna wear it all weekend. The Bengals can make some 31 00:01:56,320 --> 00:01:58,960 Speaker 1: noise here. Shock the world if you will. Although the 32 00:01:59,000 --> 00:02:01,880 Speaker 1: public loves the money, I like plus four and a half. 33 00:02:01,920 --> 00:02:04,360 Speaker 1: I like the Rams to win twenty three twenty. I 34 00:02:04,400 --> 00:02:07,120 Speaker 1: will come back with the Rams moneyline bet live stream 35 00:02:07,120 --> 00:02:09,440 Speaker 1: coming up tomorrow. I'll explain everything how I'm betting coming 36 00:02:09,480 --> 00:02:11,240 Speaker 1: up with tomorrow with the live stream, with some more 37 00:02:11,280 --> 00:02:14,239 Speaker 1: player props as well, coming up tomorrow on giving you 38 00:02:14,280 --> 00:02:16,040 Speaker 1: guys a bunch already, but I'll give you a couple 39 00:02:16,040 --> 00:02:17,920 Speaker 1: of more coming up for the live stream at eight 40 00:02:17,960 --> 00:02:22,040 Speaker 1: o'clock in the morning eleven eight ams Pacific eleven am 41 00:02:22,560 --> 00:02:26,320 Speaker 1: Eastern time for the live stream for US on Super 42 00:02:26,360 --> 00:02:29,359 Speaker 1: Bowl Sunday. Okay, so real fast, this is going to 43 00:02:29,400 --> 00:02:31,640 Speaker 1: be a very quick podcast because I said, I'm very, 44 00:02:31,720 --> 00:02:34,720 Speaker 1: very tired. Okay, can we talk about the UFC fights 45 00:02:34,720 --> 00:02:37,919 Speaker 1: tonight because I've got there are like eight thousand college 46 00:02:37,960 --> 00:02:41,120 Speaker 1: basketball games. I'm gonna bet one college basketball game. But 47 00:02:41,639 --> 00:02:44,760 Speaker 1: I am going to be involved with both the Komaine 48 00:02:44,880 --> 00:02:48,280 Speaker 1: and the main coming up for the UFC card pay 49 00:02:48,280 --> 00:02:51,680 Speaker 1: per view in Houston, Texas, UFC two seventy one outa 50 00:02:51,760 --> 00:02:55,160 Speaker 1: Sannia against Whittaker two. Can we start with the Comaine 51 00:02:55,200 --> 00:02:59,400 Speaker 1: Derek Lewis the Black Beasts up against Bam Bam Taya 52 00:02:59,520 --> 00:03:03,960 Speaker 1: Toya to a fighte Vesa aka Shoey. All right, so 53 00:03:04,040 --> 00:03:07,880 Speaker 1: to of BESA average fight time is six thirty Derek 54 00:03:07,960 --> 00:03:10,600 Speaker 1: Lewis average fight time nine to twenty three, which is 55 00:03:10,600 --> 00:03:14,720 Speaker 1: a little bit surprising here for a heavyweight. Okay, two 56 00:03:14,800 --> 00:03:18,720 Speaker 1: of us a big striker averages four point six strikes 57 00:03:18,800 --> 00:03:24,280 Speaker 1: landed per per round. That is high. That is volative 58 00:03:24,360 --> 00:03:27,639 Speaker 1: as vall volume and very volatile on the heavyweight division. 59 00:03:28,200 --> 00:03:31,280 Speaker 1: But Derek Lewis fights tends to go kind of long here, 60 00:03:31,520 --> 00:03:35,400 Speaker 1: and Derek Lewis fights sometimes if he's concerned about the power. 61 00:03:35,880 --> 00:03:37,600 Speaker 1: Like in the Gone fight, that thing went to the 62 00:03:37,640 --> 00:03:40,560 Speaker 1: third round. He lost, but it was a five round fight, 63 00:03:40,640 --> 00:03:42,360 Speaker 1: but he was able to sort of keep himself out 64 00:03:42,360 --> 00:03:45,600 Speaker 1: of trouble for a while before Seial Gone got after him. 65 00:03:45,960 --> 00:03:48,640 Speaker 1: I think the same thing's gonna happen here. Okay, it's 66 00:03:48,680 --> 00:03:51,440 Speaker 1: one and a half for total rounds. I'm not sure 67 00:03:51,440 --> 00:03:53,600 Speaker 1: who wins, but I think the fight might go a 68 00:03:53,680 --> 00:03:56,120 Speaker 1: little bit longer than people think. I need this thing 69 00:03:56,160 --> 00:03:58,920 Speaker 1: to go seven minutes and thirty seconds. That's one minute 70 00:03:59,000 --> 00:04:02,360 Speaker 1: longer than the average to Avasa fight, but that's less 71 00:04:02,520 --> 00:04:05,080 Speaker 1: than the average Derek Lewis fight, which is nine minutes 72 00:04:05,280 --> 00:04:08,600 Speaker 1: in twenty nine seconds. Derek Lewis's last fight ended in 73 00:04:08,640 --> 00:04:11,440 Speaker 1: the first round where he had a KO victory. However, 74 00:04:11,680 --> 00:04:14,520 Speaker 1: he lost in the third round to Cereal Gone second 75 00:04:14,560 --> 00:04:18,799 Speaker 1: round knockout over Curtis Blades, which would be like right 76 00:04:18,960 --> 00:04:22,800 Speaker 1: on the nose, okay, kind of close second round against 77 00:04:22,960 --> 00:04:26,440 Speaker 1: Link that was a twenty one seconds into the second round. 78 00:04:26,640 --> 00:04:30,760 Speaker 1: Against other fighters, he's gone three rounds for decision before 79 00:04:30,800 --> 00:04:33,480 Speaker 1: that it's not impossible to see Derek Lewis get going 80 00:04:33,480 --> 00:04:35,240 Speaker 1: for a little while and be kind of a slower starter. 81 00:04:35,680 --> 00:04:38,080 Speaker 1: Tuoy Vasa is much different. Okay, this dude is a 82 00:04:38,120 --> 00:04:40,960 Speaker 1: fast fighter. Second round knockout twenty six seconds into the 83 00:04:41,000 --> 00:04:44,240 Speaker 1: second round for his last fight, Hardy Greg Hardy was 84 00:04:44,240 --> 00:04:47,279 Speaker 1: in the first round. And then he's got a run 85 00:04:47,720 --> 00:04:51,760 Speaker 1: really of three straight victories in the first round. He's 86 00:04:51,800 --> 00:04:54,760 Speaker 1: won four straight fights overall. That's why I think Derek 87 00:04:54,839 --> 00:04:57,560 Speaker 1: Lewis might be a little bit less enticed. He's at 88 00:04:57,600 --> 00:04:59,840 Speaker 1: home here and I think he might be a little 89 00:04:59,839 --> 00:05:02,719 Speaker 1: bit not gunshy. But I'm not going to bet against 90 00:05:02,800 --> 00:05:06,360 Speaker 1: Derek Lewis here when it comes to in Houston, Texas. 91 00:05:06,400 --> 00:05:09,039 Speaker 1: Even though Tuyvasa is an incredible fighter, I do lean 92 00:05:09,080 --> 00:05:12,039 Speaker 1: towards him. But I got plus money on plus one 93 00:05:12,120 --> 00:05:15,400 Speaker 1: fifty five on the over one and a half rounds here. 94 00:05:15,839 --> 00:05:17,320 Speaker 1: I want to bet this fight goes a little bit 95 00:05:17,360 --> 00:05:20,240 Speaker 1: longer than people think. Everyone's gonna think quick knockout. It's 96 00:05:20,320 --> 00:05:24,640 Speaker 1: juiced up pretty good. One eighty to the under. I'll 97 00:05:24,640 --> 00:05:26,640 Speaker 1: take the plus money half of a half a unit 98 00:05:26,680 --> 00:05:30,080 Speaker 1: at plus one fifty five for Touyvasa in lewis to 99 00:05:30,240 --> 00:05:32,520 Speaker 1: go longer than one and a half rounds. That's seven 100 00:05:32,560 --> 00:05:35,479 Speaker 1: minutes and thirty seconds for this fight for us to 101 00:05:35,520 --> 00:05:40,320 Speaker 1: get ourselves to cash. And in the main event, you've 102 00:05:40,360 --> 00:05:43,920 Speaker 1: got Israel Atisanya up against I don't know, maybe you 103 00:05:43,960 --> 00:05:46,160 Speaker 1: want to call him his arch rival in Robert Whittaker. 104 00:05:46,400 --> 00:05:48,560 Speaker 1: This fight probably should be happening in New Zealand, but 105 00:05:48,640 --> 00:05:51,679 Speaker 1: it's not. Israel's twenty one and one, Whittaker is twenty 106 00:05:51,680 --> 00:05:55,520 Speaker 1: four and five. Last loss for Whittaker came against Adasanya. 107 00:05:55,800 --> 00:05:59,640 Speaker 1: Last lost for ad Asanya was at light heavyweight against Blankkovich. 108 00:05:59,720 --> 00:06:02,680 Speaker 1: But he dominated and cleaned out this division so much 109 00:06:02,720 --> 00:06:05,320 Speaker 1: so they got to go back to let Robert Whittaker 110 00:06:05,400 --> 00:06:10,280 Speaker 1: have a second crack at Izzy Isy. Eight eighty inch 111 00:06:10,400 --> 00:06:14,480 Speaker 1: reach seven inch reach advantage over Robert Whittaker is a 112 00:06:14,600 --> 00:06:19,360 Speaker 1: significant significant factor. Out of Sonya knocked out Robert Whittaker 113 00:06:20,000 --> 00:06:23,640 Speaker 1: in the second round. In the first fight here against 114 00:06:23,680 --> 00:06:26,839 Speaker 1: Jo Romero, it went the distance. Three of the last 115 00:06:26,880 --> 00:06:30,960 Speaker 1: five fights for Israe out of Sonya have gone the distance, 116 00:06:32,000 --> 00:06:34,880 Speaker 1: and I think there's a good chance that Israel out 117 00:06:34,880 --> 00:06:38,880 Speaker 1: of Sonya goes all five rounds. Here against Robert Whittaker. 118 00:06:39,920 --> 00:06:44,760 Speaker 1: This is a value play for me. Okay. Circus Sports 119 00:06:44,760 --> 00:06:48,000 Speaker 1: in Vegas has got Israel out of Sonya by knockout 120 00:06:48,040 --> 00:06:51,719 Speaker 1: at plus one sixty five by decision at plus one seventy, 121 00:06:52,000 --> 00:06:54,560 Speaker 1: and to win is minus two eighty. If you want 122 00:06:54,600 --> 00:06:56,480 Speaker 1: to take away any of the doubt here as to 123 00:06:56,520 --> 00:06:58,800 Speaker 1: how he wins, you can lay the minus to eighty. 124 00:06:58,920 --> 00:07:01,880 Speaker 1: But I like Israel Sonya to win this fight. But 125 00:07:01,960 --> 00:07:03,920 Speaker 1: I'm not gonna lay the three dollars is going to 126 00:07:04,000 --> 00:07:06,080 Speaker 1: cost to bet on this. Instead, I'm gonna look for 127 00:07:06,120 --> 00:07:09,679 Speaker 1: what's logical. The total rounds are four and a half here, Okay, 128 00:07:09,880 --> 00:07:12,000 Speaker 1: So the books expect Robert Whitaker to be a bit 129 00:07:12,040 --> 00:07:14,320 Speaker 1: more durable. The books expect this book this fight to 130 00:07:14,360 --> 00:07:16,640 Speaker 1: go deep. I don't think it's that crazy for this 131 00:07:16,680 --> 00:07:19,880 Speaker 1: fight to go to the cards. Israel to Sonia half 132 00:07:19,920 --> 00:07:24,280 Speaker 1: a unit to win by decision here up against Robert 133 00:07:24,280 --> 00:07:28,400 Speaker 1: Whitaker plus one seventy takes some plus money there plus 134 00:07:28,400 --> 00:07:30,560 Speaker 1: one fifty five on the over one and a half 135 00:07:30,640 --> 00:07:33,840 Speaker 1: rounds and the comain in Israel to Sonya by decision 136 00:07:34,160 --> 00:07:36,920 Speaker 1: going all five rounds for a half unit at plus 137 00:07:36,960 --> 00:07:40,800 Speaker 1: one seventy for one unit in play for UFC two 138 00:07:41,040 --> 00:07:44,040 Speaker 1: seventy one the only college basketball get my betting, and 139 00:07:44,080 --> 00:07:46,320 Speaker 1: there is a litany of them. I'm gonna lay the 140 00:07:46,400 --> 00:07:48,720 Speaker 1: nine and a half points here with Houston at home. 141 00:07:49,080 --> 00:07:51,560 Speaker 1: Memphis is a bad basketball team. They're eight twelve and 142 00:07:51,600 --> 00:07:53,200 Speaker 1: one against the spread on top of that, and they're 143 00:07:53,240 --> 00:07:56,559 Speaker 1: two and seven on the road. Memphis at home laying 144 00:07:56,640 --> 00:07:59,200 Speaker 1: nine and a half points. Memphis is seventy five against 145 00:07:59,200 --> 00:08:02,440 Speaker 1: the spread at home this year, fourteen and nineteen on 146 00:08:02,520 --> 00:08:05,960 Speaker 1: this season. Houston's been playing some really, really good basketball, 147 00:08:06,000 --> 00:08:08,600 Speaker 1: but they're coming off a loss to SMU in their 148 00:08:08,680 --> 00:08:11,920 Speaker 1: last game. I expect them to bounce back in a 149 00:08:11,960 --> 00:08:15,240 Speaker 1: really big way. Memphis isn't playing some pretty big good basketball. 150 00:08:15,320 --> 00:08:17,960 Speaker 1: They've won four games in a row here. I think 151 00:08:18,000 --> 00:08:21,480 Speaker 1: this is an angry Houston Cougar team take out some frustration. 152 00:08:21,840 --> 00:08:24,040 Speaker 1: Don't think Memphis scores all that much. I don't think 153 00:08:24,040 --> 00:08:26,000 Speaker 1: they're a well coached basketball team. I don't think Penny 154 00:08:26,000 --> 00:08:28,080 Speaker 1: Hardway is a very good coach. I think Calvin SAMs 155 00:08:28,120 --> 00:08:30,240 Speaker 1: is going to coach circles around him. I'llay the nine 156 00:08:30,240 --> 00:08:31,960 Speaker 1: and a half points here. It's a big number. I'm 157 00:08:31,960 --> 00:08:35,240 Speaker 1: gonna lay it anyway, half a unit on Memphis at Houston. 158 00:08:35,480 --> 00:08:38,680 Speaker 1: We're coming in with that one half unit kind of 159 00:08:38,679 --> 00:08:41,760 Speaker 1: flying around, and I may come back in and take 160 00:08:41,800 --> 00:08:44,240 Speaker 1: the points. In the Creighton game, I have a little 161 00:08:44,240 --> 00:08:46,880 Speaker 1: birdie telling me that their top two players are out 162 00:08:46,960 --> 00:08:50,719 Speaker 1: due to COVID at Georgetown and there may be a 163 00:08:50,760 --> 00:08:53,680 Speaker 1: little bit of an issue for that roster for the JS. 164 00:08:54,040 --> 00:08:57,440 Speaker 1: So if by chance this number continues to climb and 165 00:08:57,480 --> 00:08:59,640 Speaker 1: then we get the news that there could be as 166 00:08:59,640 --> 00:09:02,000 Speaker 1: many as you know, two top players out, we make 167 00:09:02,040 --> 00:09:05,439 Speaker 1: them in and jump right away and take Georgetown at home. Georgetown. 168 00:09:05,480 --> 00:09:07,880 Speaker 1: This is a perfect spot here. So we may come 169 00:09:07,880 --> 00:09:10,719 Speaker 1: back in a half a unit with Georgetown plus four 170 00:09:10,720 --> 00:09:14,760 Speaker 1: and a half plus five going into this game. Gottait 171 00:09:14,800 --> 00:09:17,280 Speaker 1: and see kind of how it all kind of plays out. 172 00:09:17,280 --> 00:09:21,360 Speaker 1: But I very much think Georgetown is live here at home. 173 00:09:21,400 --> 00:09:23,880 Speaker 1: It's another one of these situations. Jays aren't nationally ranks, 174 00:09:24,120 --> 00:09:25,920 Speaker 1: but you get four and a half, five, five and 175 00:09:25,960 --> 00:09:28,880 Speaker 1: a half, six points for Georgetown at home, that last 176 00:09:28,880 --> 00:09:30,920 Speaker 1: half a unit very well might be going to that game. 177 00:09:31,000 --> 00:09:33,000 Speaker 1: Taking the Hoyas at home, even though they lost twelve 178 00:09:33,040 --> 00:09:36,600 Speaker 1: straight games straight up. Take the points with Georgetown. Okay, 179 00:09:36,920 --> 00:09:39,400 Speaker 1: here we had a signing by decision plus one seventy. 180 00:09:39,960 --> 00:09:42,319 Speaker 1: Comane goes over one and a half rounds at plus 181 00:09:42,320 --> 00:09:45,360 Speaker 1: one fifty five Houston minus nine and a half against 182 00:09:45,360 --> 00:09:47,679 Speaker 1: Memphis at home for a half a unit, and then 183 00:09:47,720 --> 00:09:49,839 Speaker 1: one pending. We'll see what happens with the other ones. 184 00:09:50,120 --> 00:09:52,520 Speaker 1: I'm Att Paroltz, following me on Twitter at sports Doc Matt. 185 00:09:52,679 --> 00:09:55,160 Speaker 1: Each Andy morning, it's the Deal Juice podcast, always being 186 00:09:55,160 --> 00:09:56,440 Speaker 1: brought to you by bet MGM