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Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to Betting Pros. It's down to place

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Speaker 1: your bets. This meet Joey P, joe P z Apia

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Speaker 1: and this is BP NFL. It's time to look to

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Speaker 1: the rest of the games for Week thirteen in the NFL.

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Speaker 1: The Thanksgiving games are in the books, as is Black Friday.

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Speaker 1: And of course now we've got to look to the Sunday,

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Speaker 1: Sunday Night and Monday games. And Sunday Night might have

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Speaker 1: some snow apparently, so that's exciting. I know the forty

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Speaker 1: nine ers love to play in the snow. I bet,

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Speaker 1: but to help me break down the games with the

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Speaker 1: best bets of the week, as Andrew Erickson the Undertaker

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Speaker 1: and Terrell Furman Junior, gentlemen, I hope you had a

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Speaker 1: wonderful Thanksgiving. It's time to get back to work, and

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Speaker 1: don't forget everybody. If you're gonna get back to work,

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Speaker 1: make sure you download the Betting Pros app and sink

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Speaker 1: your sportsbooks for free. Don't forget you also get the

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Speaker 1: three free days of Premium at the top there so

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Speaker 1: you can see the best tools in the business to

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Speaker 1: help you win all that cash. Let's begin here where

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Speaker 1: we always like to Tomlin as an underdog. Mike Tomlin as

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Speaker 1: an underdog is Trell Furman's favorite thing. I think in

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Speaker 1: the world, what do you love more? Let's see a

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Speaker 1: good Thanksgiving side, like a really good maca cheese, a

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Speaker 1: really good stuffing, or a Mike Tomlin underdog. What's your

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Speaker 1: favorite thing? Draw This is easy.

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Speaker 2: It's the Mike Tomlin underdog because that's gonna cash and

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Speaker 2: then I can go get me with that money some side,

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Speaker 2: so I have the best of both worlds. Like it's

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Speaker 2: really really easy there, come on now. I mean, shout

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Speaker 2: out to Jamis for being so lucky to get the

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Speaker 2: positive spot of playing Mike Tomlin as a favorite, because

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Speaker 2: that was the only chance that the Browns had and

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Speaker 2: guess what, they got it done. And now we come

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Speaker 2: back and get them as a dog against this Bengals

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Speaker 2: team that I mean, they're looking at that seventh loss

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Speaker 2: and they're like, guys, I know we said we're gonna

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Speaker 2: make it still, but we're running out of real estate here.

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Speaker 2: And I think that for a lot of teams, this

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Speaker 2: is either a spot where they can kind of get up.

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Speaker 1: You know.

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Speaker 2: We remember Aaron Rodgers and the R. E. Lax and

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Speaker 2: they went and got But what happens more often than not,

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Speaker 2: these teams just lay down and it's just over the seasons.

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Speaker 2: It's a bad season. Coaches get fired, people get blamed,

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Speaker 2: and that's what I think is going to be at

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Speaker 2: the end of this Bengals season. Like I think that

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Speaker 2: it's going to be a time to see of the season.

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Speaker 2: I don't think that the second f the season is

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Speaker 2: going to go well with them. They caught those Steelers

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Speaker 2: in a horrible spot where CJ. Watt's coming off a

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Speaker 2: bad game. I think he's going to get active around

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Speaker 2: Joe Burrow. And how do you beat Joe Burrow by

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Speaker 2: getting pressures to him constantly keeping him on his back,

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Speaker 2: not letting them get comfortable in the pocket. I think

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Speaker 2: the Steelers have the defense that is made where they

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Speaker 2: can give this Bengals offense some real, real problems here.

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Speaker 2: So I think the Steelers ugly up this game. Plus

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Speaker 2: three is way too many.

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Speaker 1: Ericson When we were talking about the look ahead, we

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Speaker 1: were like, is this wrong? Are we seeing this correctly?

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Speaker 1: It feels like the Steelers should be favored. They've got

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Speaker 1: the extra rest, you know. The flukiness of the weather

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Speaker 1: certainly has a big impact. Now, we did see a

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Speaker 1: lot more justin fields too. Maybe that was because of

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Speaker 1: the weather, but he also to look at some of

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Speaker 1: the inefficiencies in the red zone that Russell Wilson's had

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Speaker 1: some issues with since taking over, and I think that's

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Speaker 1: starting to rear its ugly head. That being said, it

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Speaker 1: does feel like the Steelers side of this game is

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Speaker 1: the right side to be on.

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Speaker 3: And you agree, Yeah, I want the Steelers with the points.

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Speaker 3: It's funny, you know, Mike Tomlin. He wakes up, He's like, yes,

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Speaker 3: we're road underdogs. We can win this game. Like that's

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Speaker 3: how he'sactly. He's feeling like.

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Speaker 2: To him, their favorites like whenever they're at all to him,

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Speaker 2: just hey, whenever you see Steelers plus anything, just think

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Speaker 2: of it as, oh, they're favorite. I need I should

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Speaker 2: actually I should actually take display because this is the

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Speaker 2: spy you want to give him in. This is amazing ericson,

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Speaker 2: it's so fun.

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Speaker 1: This is a holiday.

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Speaker 3: Yes, it is a very enjoyable week of holiday goodness.

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Speaker 3: And yeah, back in Mike Tomlin as a road underdog. Look,

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Speaker 3: the Bengals have been terrible at home this year. They

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Speaker 3: haven't covered the spread and for their last five home games,

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Speaker 3: one and four straight up at home this year. So

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Speaker 3: I don't think there's really any home field advantage for

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Speaker 3: the Cincinnati Bengals. I think that's kind of where you're

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Speaker 3: seeing this three point line come from. Oh, well, the

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Speaker 3: Bank's playing at home. Well, they're not good at home.

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Speaker 3: They're not good overall. They still don't have a defense.

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Speaker 3: And I think that this is just the market holding

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Speaker 3: on to the preseason narratives and the Bengals offense and

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Speaker 3: oh well, little try and around they run the table

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Speaker 3: kind of like Furman said, It's like and we did

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Speaker 3: the same thing. The market was doing the same thing

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Speaker 3: with the Jets.

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Speaker 1: Oh they'll figure it out, and.

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Speaker 3: They were favored week after week after week, and then

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Speaker 3: they just kept losing games every single time. And yes,

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Speaker 3: I don't think that the Bengals are as much of

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Speaker 3: dysfunction as the Jets, but I mean they're one of

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Speaker 3: the other teams at the Patriots beat this year, right,

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Speaker 3: Like that's how you know your dysfunctional team when you

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Speaker 3: lose to Joe and I and our Patriots. So yeah,

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Speaker 3: give me the Steelers plus three again. I got plenty

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Speaker 3: of Bengals future. So if I'm wrong. I'll be happy

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Speaker 3: with it, but right now I'm gonna hedge my bets

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Speaker 3: and take this still.

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Speaker 2: To lead the league in passing such analysis actually still

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Speaker 2: still in play, believe it or not. For how bad

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Speaker 2: this team is like.

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Speaker 1: That, well, I mean, look, Joe Burrow has been okay,

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Speaker 1: it's not his fault. I can't blame Joe Burrow. Speaking

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Speaker 1: of our Patriots, let's get to that game next Patriots

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Speaker 1: and Colts. This one's gonna be in New England, and

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Speaker 1: because of the shortened holiday week, Best Bets today is

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Speaker 1: also not just games like we usually do, the three

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Speaker 1: of us, but also some props to and Torell. You've

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Speaker 1: got a prop on Drake May which is a prop

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Speaker 1: that we've been in on a lot, and it's the

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Speaker 1: rushing yard shoutal and it's twenty six and a half

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Speaker 1: this week and it's the over Why do you think

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Speaker 1: it's gonna go over this weekend?

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Speaker 2: Because he has the matchup. I think he has a

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Speaker 2: really good matchup going up against the Indianapolis Colts. First

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Speaker 2: of all, I think this is going to be a

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Speaker 2: get up game for the Patriots overall, because guess what, Oh,

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Speaker 2: it's back it's back the biting kneecaps trend of teams

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Speaker 2: playing the Lions and they're not covering the next week.

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Speaker 2: I mean, this is this is a test. This is

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Speaker 2: a trend that has the test of time thus far.

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Speaker 2: And nonetheless I like it here. I like it the

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Speaker 2: fact that how do they win? So if I think

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Speaker 2: that the Patriots are in this game, it's just that

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Speaker 2: Drake May is just going to be a baller and

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Speaker 2: I think that he actually shows a lot of promise.

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Speaker 2: Like I think him and bow Knicks actually are very

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Speaker 2: comparable in how they play on the season. Is just

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Speaker 2: the fact that bo Nicks has Sean Payton and Drake

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Speaker 2: May doesn't.

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Speaker 1: And that's really it.

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Speaker 2: Like if Sean Payton had Drake May, I think Drake

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Speaker 2: May we look like bow Knicks right now. And so

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Speaker 2: what do rookie quarterback do when they're feeling the pressure,

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Speaker 2: they're feeling everything coming down on them on their team

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Speaker 2: and everything they do and their mobile They run, run,

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Speaker 2: run run. Look at what the Colts have done against

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Speaker 2: running quarterbacks this season, and they actually kind of struggle.

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Speaker 2: They've given up this prop to Josh Allen, They've given

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Speaker 2: they almost gave it up to Snoop Huntly, believe it

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Speaker 2: or not, gave it up to Justin Fields, and they

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Speaker 2: gave it up to Leak Willis, So they're not good

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Speaker 2: against the rushing quarterback. They gave up two touchdowns to

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Speaker 2: Kyler Murray and they also gave up a touchdown to

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Speaker 2: Josh Allen. I think that a touchdown is in play.

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Speaker 2: I think you take the rushing yards and you ladder

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Speaker 2: them up because he's gonna be running for his life

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Speaker 2: and whenever he can't make a decision with the football,

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Speaker 2: he's just gonna take off. And I think that's what

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Speaker 2: he's gonna do, and that's what's gonna win them the

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Speaker 2: game because he continues to keep drives going. So I'm

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Speaker 2: really all in on the Patriots today, but I think

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Speaker 2: it's because of Jake May So. I took Drake may props.

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Speaker 1: All right, let's get to the game itself. The over

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Speaker 1: under for this game is forty two and a half undertaker,

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Speaker 1: where do you want to live on this one?

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Speaker 3: Well, I'm going to this game, so I I'm not

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Speaker 3: gonna be sitting in the stands hoping that nobody scores.

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Speaker 3: That's the worst way I could potentially have an enjoyable

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Speaker 3: Sunday afternoon. So I'm taking the over in this game

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Speaker 3: because that's one thing that I have seen with this

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Speaker 3: Patriots team that I don't think that the books have

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Speaker 3: still caught up on. This Patriots defense is so bad

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Speaker 3: it is horrible. Patriots at home this year four and

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Speaker 3: one towards the over. Drake May his three home starts,

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Speaker 3: three and zero towards the over. They have one good

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Speaker 3: player on defense. His name is Chritickanzalez. Christian Barmer also

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Speaker 3: a good player, but he's still coming back from his

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Speaker 3: blood caught injury, so I don't think he's had one

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Speaker 3: hundred percent. Cans also go on Michael Pittman, and then

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Speaker 3: it's going to be a freestyle between Alec peers Ath

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Speaker 3: and I Mitchell making big plays down the field. Jonathan Taylor,

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Speaker 3: Anthony Richardson, Joe, how many times how many Cam Newton

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Speaker 3: highlights you need to rewatch in our heads to know

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Speaker 3: that this Patriots defense traditionally has never been able to

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Speaker 3: stop mobile quarterbacks. The last one of the last Patriots

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Speaker 3: games I went to, one of the last Patriots games

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Speaker 3: I went to, was because again they also play a

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Speaker 3: lot of man coverage, so that really feeds into mobile

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Speaker 3: quarterbacks getting loose against this defense. One of the games

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Speaker 3: I went to a couple of years ago was Monday

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Speaker 3: night game against the Bears justin Fields with the Star

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Speaker 3: Patriots are a massive home.

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Speaker 1: Oh yeah, that one destroyed.

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Speaker 2: Cam Newton game.

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Speaker 3: I mean that game. I think was that that game too?

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Speaker 1: So yeah, the Fields one is well, maybe you shouldn't

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Speaker 1: go this weekend. Like I'm just saying maybe. And it's

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Speaker 1: another rushing quarterback with Anthony Richardson. Why do you go

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Speaker 1: to these games with quarter don't you play the games

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Speaker 1: the goats.

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Speaker 3: I don't care if they win. I want them to lose,

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Speaker 3: but I want to have fun. We want them to

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Speaker 3: watch the game. Yeah, and again let's will cover the spread,

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Speaker 3: like Chrell said, because of the honoluluflu. So yeah, we'll

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Speaker 3: be happy at the end of the day. It'll be

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Speaker 3: a fun game if they end up losing. So but

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Speaker 3: for me, I'm gonna go with the over. What is

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Speaker 3: it at forty forty two and a half? Yeah? Over easy.

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Speaker 1: There you go. Another fun thing is our discord betting

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Speaker 1: pros dot com slash chat, So if you're looking up

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Speaker 1: your game, go join for free betting pros dot com

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Speaker 1: slash chat. That's our discord and if you join our

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Speaker 1: community get extra picks there from Matt Perrault. You also

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Speaker 1: get some spectacular insights to a lot of wagering too.

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Speaker 1: Is a really cool community people, so make sure you

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Speaker 1: go out there and join that and don't forget. You

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Speaker 1: can also make your picks count, not just your bets,

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Speaker 1: but just picks even if gambling is not available or

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Speaker 1: sports wagering in your current state. That's okay. If you

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Speaker 1: download the Betting Pros app and you go to betting

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Speaker 1: pros dot com slash NFL contest or just go to

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Speaker 1: the NFL contest on the community tab on the app,

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Speaker 1: you can go ahead and sink your picks. Use the

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Speaker 1: quick pick feature on the Betting Pros app and you

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Speaker 1: get a chance to win weekly and monthly prizes. And

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Speaker 1: last time I checked, a new month is starting in December,

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Speaker 1: so this is the time to get in on that.

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Speaker 1: So again, Betting pros dot Com slash NFL contest to

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Speaker 1: make your picks count, Terrell, let's make another pick count. Here.

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Speaker 1: The Chargers are going against one of your favorite teams,

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Speaker 1: the Atlanta Falcons. What could go wrong? And the Atlanta

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Speaker 1: Falcons are at home coming off of buye and it

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Speaker 1: looks like the Chargers are not going to have JK.

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Speaker 1: Dobbins doing with a knee issue. So I don't know

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Speaker 1: if that changes the dynamic of your thought process or

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Speaker 1: you just Chargers all day no matter what against the Falcons.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, it actually did change the dynamic of our thought process. Nonetheless,

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Speaker 2: I don't think the Falcons are team. I am very

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Speaker 2: I think that the fall is about to come. I

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Speaker 2: think that the Bucks are going to find themselves somehow,

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Speaker 2: some way leading the division at the end of the year.

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Speaker 2: And unfortunately, the Chargers' offense just gives me so much

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Speaker 2: cost concern because they have so many people that just

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Speaker 2: can't catch the ball. And Quentin Johnson, you just I

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Speaker 2: understand your NFL talent and you are one of the

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Speaker 2: top football players in the world. Yes you are, but

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Speaker 2: compared to your peers, you suck. And I really just

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Speaker 2: need you to catch the ball, like I just, I

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Speaker 2: really really need you to catch the ball. You're great,

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Speaker 2: You're an amazing player compared to the rest of the world,

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Speaker 2: but compared to your peers, you're not there.

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Speaker 1: Man.

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Speaker 2: And nonetheless, give me the Falcons team total under twenty

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Speaker 2: three and a half because I don't think they're gonna

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Speaker 2: be able to score. I don't think they're gonna be

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Speaker 2: able to put up points. By the way, the only

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Speaker 2: time that teams have scored on this Charger team was

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Speaker 2: the last two weeks when they played the Ravens, who

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Speaker 2: have an MVP leader Lamar Jackson, and the Bengals who

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Speaker 2: have Jamar Chase and Joe Burrow, who's leading the league

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Speaker 2: in past such shows. So I think that this is

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Speaker 2: a good spot for a bounce back for the Chargers

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Speaker 2: to step up defensively. Slight concern for the rest advantage

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Speaker 2: that the Falcons have here, but at the end of

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Speaker 2: the day, I don't think the Falcons really actually do

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Speaker 2: anything good on offense. They just kind of nickel and

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Speaker 2: dime their way through these games and figure it out

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Speaker 2: and then somehow fall out with the win. And so

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Speaker 2: if they even surprise me and get a win here

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Speaker 2: against the Chargers, I don't think they're putting up twenty

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Speaker 2: four points to do so. I think it's going to

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Speaker 2: be an ugly game and where the Chargers can't score

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Speaker 2: and they somehow someway lose a nasty kind of seventeen, fourteen,

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Speaker 2: twenty seventeen type of game like they did against the Cardinals.

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Speaker 2: So yeah, give me Falcons team to under twenty three

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Speaker 2: and a half. Regardless of what happens. I don't think

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Speaker 2: they get over this.

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Speaker 1: I think the one thing that did happen was the

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Speaker 1: Justin Herbert post game press conference last week where he

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Speaker 1: just like took the burden. He's like, well, I gotta

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Speaker 1: throw better balls and this and that, and you know what,

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Speaker 1: that's what leadership looks like. From the quarterback position. Aaron

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Speaker 1: Rodgers should take a page out of Justin Herbert's book

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Speaker 1: and some other quarterbacks in this league too. That's that's

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Speaker 1: what it looks like. That's what leadership looks like. He

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Speaker 1: knows that Quentin Johnston failed. Everybody knows, everybody with eyes knows.

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Speaker 1: But what leadership does is you don't let those guys

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Speaker 1: just get dogged out there. You go in front and

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Speaker 1: you say, hey, you know, we're all responsible win as

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Speaker 1: the team we loses. All that platitude and cliche nonsense

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Speaker 1: gets fine, goes a long way in that locker room.

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Speaker 1: That's what you're looking for in leadership. And I love

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Speaker 1: that you saw that ad justin Herbert, because I think

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Speaker 1: sometimes we get a sense that Herbert is a little

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Speaker 1: bit of a you know, kind of a Nella personality.

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Speaker 1: I like that. I like that a lot. And I

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Speaker 1: don't know if that's like maybe some hardball stuff rubbing

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Speaker 1: off on him a little bit, but whatever it was,

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Speaker 1: I really liked it, and that bodes well.

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Speaker 2: For him in the future with this team hashtag right line.

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Speaker 1: Yeah yeah, all right, let's get to your next pick here,

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Speaker 1: number three for you, Andrew Erickson, and you're in.

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Speaker 2: On by the way, love this pick?

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Speaker 1: Oh yeah, So let's let's set it up here. Jacksonville

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Speaker 1: Jaguars at home, four and a half point underdogs. Houston

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Speaker 1: Texans continued to struggle. I gotta say this was one

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Speaker 1: that I was kind of looking at. He was like,

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Speaker 1: do I believe in the Jaguars enough for an upset?

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Speaker 1: I don't know. But you're in on the five and

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Speaker 1: you're getting that number on betting Pros. Again, this is

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Speaker 1: why you shop the lines on VP on the app.

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Speaker 1: So let's talk about this one. What do you see

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Speaker 1: here where you're a little worried about that Texans? And

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Speaker 1: then again in one of these division games where we've

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Speaker 1: seen this year. These Indivision games get real free game.

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Speaker 3: Well, the Texans just can't cover the spread as favorites.

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Speaker 3: Like they're just the one of the most overrated teams

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Speaker 3: since the beginning of last year, basically once CJ. Stroud

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Speaker 3: kind of got into the spotlight. Just been too much

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Speaker 3: attention on them, and they've been overrated ever since. They

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Speaker 3: failed to cover the spread in six of their last

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Speaker 3: thirteen games as favorites. So for me, it's looking at

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Speaker 3: I guess divisional matchup. They're playing on the road. We

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Speaker 3: already saw this matchup play out the season, and the

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Speaker 3: Jaguars covered. They covered the six point spread. They lost

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Speaker 3: by four points, but that was a four point game

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Speaker 3: heading into the fourth quarter, and we look at that

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Speaker 3: specific matchup. The game went in the first half, they

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Speaker 3: scored their three of their first four drives, and then

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Speaker 3: they punted five straight times in the second half before scoring.

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Speaker 3: They needed a game winning touch down to beat the

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Speaker 3: Jaguars at home. So now I'm getting points with Jacksonville

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Speaker 3: at home. Again. This is under the presumption that Trevor

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Speaker 3: Lawrence is playing. He's practicing this week, so I'm assuming

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Speaker 3: that he's gonna I don't want to. I'm not doing

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Speaker 3: the Mac Johnson anymore. We're not doing that. But if

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Speaker 3: it is Trevor Lawrence under center, I feel confident about

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Speaker 3: him covering this spread. I mean, honestly, as I was

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Speaker 3: writing up this game, I opened, Okay, Texas Bro's gonna

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Speaker 3: win this game, but I think jag warl is covered.

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Speaker 3: And then as I dove more into it, I'm like, dude,

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Speaker 3: Jacksonville can win this game. I just said that Texas

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00:14:27,680 --> 00:14:29,480
Speaker 3: have so many problems up and down. I get that

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Speaker 3: they have a good defense, but their offense is just

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Speaker 3: a mess right now. And yeah, I get the Jaguars

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Speaker 3: defense isn't good, but they're playing at home in the

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Speaker 3: Jaguars seven to two against the spread as home underdogs,

350
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Speaker 3: like they've been a team. When you're looking at just

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Speaker 3: the trends, do you want to back the Texans as

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Speaker 3: road favorites or the Jaguars at home underdogs. It's home

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Speaker 3: underdogs for the Jacksonville Jaguars. So I will say, though

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Speaker 3: I have to bring this to the table because Furman

355
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Speaker 3: mentioned it. The Honoluluflu is still in play here for

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Speaker 3: the Jaguars, unfortunately, which I didn't actually think about because

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Speaker 3: it has even gone over by weeks. We look at

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Speaker 3: the Dallas Cowboys when they played the lines, they had

359
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Speaker 3: a bio and they got destroyed the next week too.

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Speaker 1: Oh my god, what still it survives?

361
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Speaker 2: We dear Lord, I made mine.

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Speaker 3: But yeah, other than that, everything else checks out for

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Speaker 3: the Jaguars to cover the spread at home.

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Speaker 2: So the reason I didn't get on this, and it's

365
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Speaker 2: because it's just a flowchart game. The Jags haven't beat

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Speaker 2: the Texans at home since twenty seventeen. There's a lot

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Speaker 2: of bad Texas teams from twenty seventeen, so now they

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Speaker 2: haven't beaten them at home since twenty seventeen. That's the

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Speaker 2: only reason I couldn't get there on this play.

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Speaker 1: But love the play. Yeah, Torell, your next pick is

371
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Speaker 1: my lock of the week and you're still getting plus

372
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Speaker 1: money on it, and I love it. The way you

373
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Speaker 1: attack the Ravens is through the air, and that Ravens

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Speaker 1: Eagles matchup is staring us in the face. It's going

375
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Speaker 1: to be a very exciting, fun game. Who knows, could

376
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Speaker 1: even be a Super Bowl preview. We'll see. But you're

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Speaker 1: going with a touchdown call, And again, I think this

378
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Speaker 1: was an absolute lock.

379
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Speaker 2: Yeah, as much as I hate the Eagles, AJ Brown

380
00:16:00,120 --> 00:16:02,480
Speaker 2: gets an end zone. Eagles are really really good with

381
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Speaker 2: AJ Brown in lineup. AJ Brown is going to torch

382
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Speaker 2: the little Ravens here, who they haven't made any moves,

383
00:16:09,400 --> 00:16:11,240
Speaker 2: and it's probably because they don't have any moves to

384
00:16:11,320 --> 00:16:14,760
Speaker 2: make and they don't really have another scheme. And that's

385
00:16:14,800 --> 00:16:17,920
Speaker 2: where the issue is. Where these coordinators get jobs and

386
00:16:18,040 --> 00:16:20,520
Speaker 2: lead teams and you're you're looking and see what the

387
00:16:20,600 --> 00:16:23,800
Speaker 2: new coordinator is doing and how they fix these mistakes,

388
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Speaker 2: and it just doesn't seem like they're doing anything to

389
00:16:25,680 --> 00:16:28,520
Speaker 2: fix the secondary right now, Like they're just content on

390
00:16:28,600 --> 00:16:31,600
Speaker 2: the secondary being bad and hoping that Lamar Jackson's office

391
00:16:31,600 --> 00:16:34,280
Speaker 2: can kind of bail them out. And so nonetheless, if

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Speaker 2: you're gonna do that, that's fine. But AJ Brown is

393
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Speaker 2: one hundred percent getting that touchdown, Like that's just go

394
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Speaker 2: ahead and shock AJ Brown, Mike Evans. Those are two

395
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Speaker 2: guys that you don't care about the matchup, whether it's

396
00:16:44,680 --> 00:16:46,400
Speaker 2: good or bad. You're like, oh, yeah, they're probably gonna

397
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Speaker 2: find the en zone at some point, and so yeah,

398
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Speaker 2: I love a big AJ Brown game, believe it or not.

399
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Speaker 2: AJ Brown is also in like the top ten in

400
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Speaker 2: terms of MVP odds, So I think that this is

401
00:16:56,360 --> 00:16:58,720
Speaker 2: a good spot. Sequon had a big game that they

402
00:16:58,800 --> 00:17:00,920
Speaker 2: go through the air in this game, really really attack

403
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Speaker 2: that secondary for the Ravens, where I think the Ravens

404
00:17:03,360 --> 00:17:04,560
Speaker 2: are gonna be able to put up pots on this

405
00:17:04,600 --> 00:17:06,840
Speaker 2: Eagles defense and the Eagles are gonna have to respond.

406
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Speaker 2: So I love a huge game. I just put any

407
00:17:09,440 --> 00:17:11,639
Speaker 2: sound such down here at plus one twenty five. But

408
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Speaker 2: I'm taking the yards too. I think this is a

409
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Speaker 2: big AJ Brown game.

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Speaker 1: All right, ericson your next bet here has to do

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Speaker 1: with Kyler Murray, who did not look good last time

412
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Speaker 1: we saw him. I know the Seattle Seahawks defense played well,

413
00:17:22,040 --> 00:17:24,720
Speaker 1: and they've played better in recent weeks for sure, but

414
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Speaker 1: still this was a very ugly performance for Kyler Murray.

415
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Speaker 1: So he's heading into Minnesota to play the Vikings, a

416
00:17:30,359 --> 00:17:34,960
Speaker 1: very unfriendly building with an unfriendly defense. So when it

417
00:17:35,000 --> 00:17:36,960
Speaker 1: comes to the twenty nine and a half passing attempts,

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Speaker 1: you're taking the over. Let's talk about why.

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Speaker 3: Well, Kyler Murray's been over this number last week and

420
00:17:41,760 --> 00:17:43,800
Speaker 3: in every single road game he's played this year. Right,

421
00:17:44,359 --> 00:17:46,840
Speaker 3: Kyler Murray has been one of the most toughest players

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Speaker 3: to project in fantasy football because he has so many

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Speaker 3: top five finishes and then so many outside the top

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Speaker 3: twenty overall, where you get really good games, and you

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Speaker 3: get games like last week, like you said, Joe, where

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Speaker 3: it's total mess and you're pulling your hair out thinking

427
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Speaker 3: how could I ever start this guy again? And then

428
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Speaker 3: he goes off the next week. So I am a

429
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Speaker 3: little bit more optimistic about Kyler Murray in this particular

430
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Speaker 3: match up. Again, it's not great on paper, but the

431
00:18:06,840 --> 00:18:10,800
Speaker 3: thing that I'm confident about is Minnesota's defense drives passing

432
00:18:10,880 --> 00:18:14,000
Speaker 3: volume from their opponents their second and passes face per

433
00:18:14,080 --> 00:18:16,720
Speaker 3: game this season, and like I said, Murray when he

434
00:18:16,760 --> 00:18:18,880
Speaker 3: goes on the road, usually in games where they're facing

435
00:18:18,960 --> 00:18:21,639
Speaker 3: negative game script, he's attempted twenty nine and a half

436
00:18:21,680 --> 00:18:25,000
Speaker 3: passing attempts in every single one. So I like pairing

437
00:18:25,080 --> 00:18:27,440
Speaker 3: him with his tight end. Trade McBride like the over

438
00:18:27,520 --> 00:18:29,040
Speaker 3: on his receiving art because I think there's gonna be

439
00:18:29,080 --> 00:18:30,720
Speaker 3: a lot of volume from Kyler Murray. I'm kind of

440
00:18:30,720 --> 00:18:32,280
Speaker 3: staying away from the sides and totals in this game.

441
00:18:32,320 --> 00:18:34,399
Speaker 3: I think it's a really weird matchup with two teams

442
00:18:34,440 --> 00:18:37,280
Speaker 3: coming off divisional games. So I'm gonna look at pass

443
00:18:37,280 --> 00:18:38,680
Speaker 3: attempts for Kyler Murray going over.

444
00:18:39,080 --> 00:18:41,960
Speaker 1: So the over on Murray. We've got two more from

445
00:18:41,960 --> 00:18:43,520
Speaker 1: the guys here, and then we'll get the upset special

446
00:18:43,520 --> 00:18:45,680
Speaker 1: of the week. I'll start with the Broncos here, Terrell.

447
00:18:45,800 --> 00:18:49,080
Speaker 1: They are five and a half point favorites in this contest,

448
00:18:49,160 --> 00:18:50,960
Speaker 1: and who'd thought we'd get here at this juncture in

449
00:18:51,000 --> 00:18:54,240
Speaker 1: the season and we'd feel so good about the Denver Broncos.

450
00:18:54,640 --> 00:18:56,359
Speaker 1: But they are seven to five. Their playoff team. I

451
00:18:56,440 --> 00:18:58,600
Speaker 1: told everybody last week meant them to make the playoffs,

452
00:18:58,640 --> 00:19:02,240
Speaker 1: because after they win this game last weekend, then it

453
00:19:02,280 --> 00:19:04,399
Speaker 1: would be clear sailing. It was minus one twenty at

454
00:19:04,440 --> 00:19:06,520
Speaker 1: the time. Now forgetting it's way in the minus. So

455
00:19:06,640 --> 00:19:08,879
Speaker 1: they've got the Cleveland Browns, who came off a very

456
00:19:08,920 --> 00:19:11,560
Speaker 1: fun victory and some extra rest. But you're pretty confident

457
00:19:11,600 --> 00:19:13,480
Speaker 1: Denver handles their business. Why is that?

458
00:19:14,040 --> 00:19:16,520
Speaker 2: Oh, because the only reason the Browns got that win

459
00:19:16,640 --> 00:19:19,159
Speaker 2: is because they were also lucky, oh so lucky to

460
00:19:19,200 --> 00:19:21,159
Speaker 2: get my boy Mike Tomlin as a favorite like that.

461
00:19:21,359 --> 00:19:25,080
Speaker 2: That's just the fade right there. But now they go

462
00:19:25,240 --> 00:19:27,840
Speaker 2: back on the road this Browns defense home road splits

463
00:19:27,840 --> 00:19:30,840
Speaker 2: over the last two years have been abysmal in terms

464
00:19:30,880 --> 00:19:33,800
Speaker 2: of they can't stop anybody, they can't do anything. And

465
00:19:34,040 --> 00:19:36,479
Speaker 2: every time I am disappointed to myself that I take

466
00:19:36,520 --> 00:19:38,880
Speaker 2: the Browns on the road because I know they can't

467
00:19:38,880 --> 00:19:40,800
Speaker 2: stop anything on the road. There's not a reason to

468
00:19:40,880 --> 00:19:43,160
Speaker 2: do that. That is a team that you fade. Nonetheless,

469
00:19:43,280 --> 00:19:45,919
Speaker 2: this Denver defense is really really good. And again Jamis,

470
00:19:46,000 --> 00:19:48,440
Speaker 2: thank you for all the quotes that you have given

471
00:19:48,560 --> 00:19:52,960
Speaker 2: over the past week. Thank you. I mean, I don't

472
00:19:53,280 --> 00:19:54,960
Speaker 2: I don't know if you're ever gonna hear this, but

473
00:19:55,080 --> 00:19:57,280
Speaker 2: you are a national treasure. He is, and you should

474
00:19:57,320 --> 00:20:00,159
Speaker 2: be protected. And I hope you are new y a

475
00:20:00,200 --> 00:20:02,680
Speaker 2: giant next year, just so I can have something to

476
00:20:02,720 --> 00:20:03,920
Speaker 2: look forward to on Sundays.

477
00:20:04,640 --> 00:20:07,000
Speaker 1: Well, at least the miked up moments will be worth it,

478
00:20:07,280 --> 00:20:10,240
Speaker 1: certainly more entertation Daniel Jones. I think we can agree

479
00:20:10,280 --> 00:20:10,960
Speaker 1: on that and.

480
00:20:11,040 --> 00:20:12,600
Speaker 2: Then a couple of wins to go with it.

481
00:20:12,760 --> 00:20:14,200
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm perfectly fine with that.

482
00:20:14,480 --> 00:20:18,280
Speaker 2: Nonetheless, when Jamis faces real defensive competition, yeah, he looks

483
00:20:18,359 --> 00:20:21,680
Speaker 2: like Jamis without Lasik again, and there's some bad decisions.

484
00:20:21,840 --> 00:20:23,960
Speaker 2: There's sometimes when he holds onto the football too long.

485
00:20:24,240 --> 00:20:25,920
Speaker 2: There are reasons that you're like, oh yeah, this is

486
00:20:25,920 --> 00:20:28,560
Speaker 2: why James is not a starting quarterback anymore. But nonetheless,

487
00:20:29,320 --> 00:20:32,680
Speaker 2: Bronco is gonna take advantage Sean Payton again. The coddling

488
00:20:32,760 --> 00:20:36,160
Speaker 2: of bo Nicks this season is amazing. I mean, it's

489
00:20:36,280 --> 00:20:40,200
Speaker 2: just like a nurturing mother. Hey, oh, relax, relas, don't

490
00:20:40,200 --> 00:20:41,879
Speaker 2: don't toush them, don't tosh them. Give him a second,

491
00:20:41,960 --> 00:20:43,400
Speaker 2: let him make the throw. Let him make the throw.

492
00:20:43,440 --> 00:20:46,720
Speaker 1: He's got it. Yeah, yeah, ooh yeah.

493
00:20:47,440 --> 00:20:49,479
Speaker 2: They are one hundred percent covering five and a half here.

494
00:20:49,480 --> 00:20:50,600
Speaker 2: I think they're gonna win by ten.

495
00:20:50,720 --> 00:20:52,480
Speaker 1: It was a really good reenactment. I really enjoyed that.

496
00:20:52,600 --> 00:20:55,919
Speaker 1: Well all right, all right, let's and things with an

497
00:20:56,080 --> 00:20:59,480
Speaker 1: ericson touchdown call? Where are you going for yours this weekender?

498
00:21:00,040 --> 00:21:02,600
Speaker 3: And into MetLife Stadium, which is usually where points go

499
00:21:02,720 --> 00:21:04,520
Speaker 3: to die. You really don't see like a lot of

500
00:21:04,520 --> 00:21:06,359
Speaker 3: scoring in this but in this particular matchup, do you

501
00:21:06,440 --> 00:21:08,239
Speaker 3: like Ken Walker to find the end zone? We look

502
00:21:08,280 --> 00:21:10,720
Speaker 3: at the Jets defense. No defense has allowed a higher

503
00:21:10,800 --> 00:21:13,760
Speaker 3: rate of rushing touchdowns versus passing touchdowns this year than

504
00:21:14,200 --> 00:21:17,280
Speaker 3: Gang Green's defense. The Jets all's ranked second in terms

505
00:21:17,280 --> 00:21:19,800
Speaker 3: of overall rush rate face this year. So ken Walker

506
00:21:20,040 --> 00:21:21,480
Speaker 3: been kind of slow the last couple of weeks, hasn't

507
00:21:21,480 --> 00:21:22,960
Speaker 3: really broke up a lot of big runs. But I

508
00:21:23,040 --> 00:21:24,680
Speaker 3: think he's gonna find the end zone in a favorable

509
00:21:24,720 --> 00:21:27,040
Speaker 3: matchup against the New York Jets, where the Seahawks are

510
00:21:27,200 --> 00:21:27,760
Speaker 3: road favorites.

511
00:21:27,800 --> 00:21:30,200
Speaker 1: So I like Walker all right. So Walker it is

512
00:21:30,240 --> 00:21:32,879
Speaker 1: that brings us to our upset special. So give me

513
00:21:33,400 --> 00:21:37,440
Speaker 1: the New Orleans Saints at home, fresh off the buy. Yeah,

514
00:21:37,520 --> 00:21:40,879
Speaker 1: that coach bounce seems to really be bouncing, continues to bounce.

515
00:21:40,960 --> 00:21:43,359
Speaker 1: It's like Tigger from Way the Pooh, which is just

516
00:21:43,440 --> 00:21:46,400
Speaker 1: never ending bounce there. And you know what, there's something

517
00:21:46,400 --> 00:21:48,399
Speaker 1: about the Saints team now just seems really free and

518
00:21:48,520 --> 00:21:50,920
Speaker 1: happy and having a good time. And that's very dangerous.

519
00:21:50,960 --> 00:21:52,439
Speaker 1: And I think the Rams are playing a little tight.

520
00:21:52,480 --> 00:21:55,120
Speaker 1: You know, they got their ass kicked on Prime Time

521
00:21:55,480 --> 00:21:58,000
Speaker 1: and they're gonna have Album Kamara, who's at a steady

522
00:21:58,040 --> 00:22:02,360
Speaker 1: workload all season, run through them again. And on that note,

523
00:22:02,440 --> 00:22:05,119
Speaker 1: I just I'm just very concerned here with the Rams

524
00:22:05,200 --> 00:22:07,080
Speaker 1: kind of fading into oblivion. And it's like you kind

525
00:22:07,119 --> 00:22:08,840
Speaker 1: of looking around, like does anybody want to win the

526
00:22:08,960 --> 00:22:12,399
Speaker 1: NFC West. Does anybody anybody want to win it? I

527
00:22:12,440 --> 00:22:15,240
Speaker 1: would like to see somebody try that. Being said, I

528
00:22:15,320 --> 00:22:17,480
Speaker 1: think New Orleans can scratch out of victory here. I

529
00:22:17,520 --> 00:22:19,320
Speaker 1: don't feel great about the Rams on the road, so

530
00:22:19,600 --> 00:22:21,560
Speaker 1: I think that defense is played a little bit better.

531
00:22:21,600 --> 00:22:24,760
Speaker 1: And look now that you have weaponex Taysom Hill w

532
00:22:24,760 --> 00:22:27,880
Speaker 1: reckon games too, I think you've got a good opportunity

533
00:22:27,920 --> 00:22:29,600
Speaker 1: here for New Orleans to come up with a victory

534
00:22:29,600 --> 00:22:31,920
Speaker 1: again plus one twenty eight on the money line. Let's

535
00:22:31,960 --> 00:22:33,760
Speaker 1: put that together in the parlay of the week. Let's

536
00:22:33,800 --> 00:22:36,680
Speaker 1: put that with the Bills in the snow against the

537
00:22:36,920 --> 00:22:38,879
Speaker 1: San Francisco forty nine ers. You can lock that one

538
00:22:38,960 --> 00:22:41,000
Speaker 1: up on the money line. And then the Seattle Seahawks

539
00:22:41,000 --> 00:22:42,520
Speaker 1: as well on the money line too. We already talked

540
00:22:42,560 --> 00:22:44,800
Speaker 1: about that one. Put those three things together, you get

541
00:22:44,800 --> 00:22:46,919
Speaker 1: plus four twenty five. That, my friends, is a good

542
00:22:47,040 --> 00:22:50,480
Speaker 1: holiday Sunday. And of course make sure you subscribe to

543
00:22:50,560 --> 00:22:54,480
Speaker 1: the channel and download the betting pros app. Too great

544
00:22:54,560 --> 00:22:56,239
Speaker 1: to hang out with you guys. I hope everybody had

545
00:22:56,280 --> 00:22:59,080
Speaker 1: a nice holiday weekend. And again we are back to

546
00:22:59,160 --> 00:23:01,800
Speaker 1: the grind next week as usual. That'll do it for us,

547
00:23:01,840 --> 00:23:03,520
Speaker 1: but the story of the game goes on for Terrell

548
00:23:03,560 --> 00:23:06,560
Speaker 1: Firman and Andrew Erickson. I'm Joey p Well see you

549
00:23:06,640 --> 00:23:10,880
Speaker 1: next time. Kids. Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast.

550
00:23:11,160 --> 00:23:13,560
Speaker 1: If you love the show, the best freeway to support

551
00:23:13,640 --> 00:23:16,480
Speaker 1: us is by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts

552
00:23:16,600 --> 00:23:17,240
Speaker 1: or Spotify.

553
00:23:17,560 --> 00:23:20,159
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554
00:23:20,280 --> 00:23:22,080
Speaker 2: Instagram at Betting Pros NFL.

555
00:23:22,520 --> 00:23:25,359
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556
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