1 00:00:13,000 --> 00:00:16,360 Speaker 1: Hey, guys, Welcome into another episode of the Dili Juce Podcast. 2 00:00:16,440 --> 00:00:19,600 Speaker 1: It is a Tuesday and we are beginning the NBA playoffs. 3 00:00:19,640 --> 00:00:21,599 Speaker 1: My name is Matt Parreltz. You guys can follow me 4 00:00:21,680 --> 00:00:25,280 Speaker 1: at Sports Talk met Betting Pros. Twitter handle is at 5 00:00:25,280 --> 00:00:28,680 Speaker 1: Betting Pros. Bet MGM is the tele sponsor of this podcast. 6 00:00:29,560 --> 00:00:31,680 Speaker 1: Ten dollars bet to do a one hundred and fifty dollars 7 00:00:31,720 --> 00:00:36,040 Speaker 1: The promo codes above me juice one fifty at betmgm 8 00:00:36,080 --> 00:00:41,959 Speaker 1: dot com. For new users, Okay, some of you are 9 00:00:42,000 --> 00:00:45,120 Speaker 1: being very supportive and I appreciate every single one of you. 10 00:00:45,760 --> 00:00:48,040 Speaker 2: Hopefully you are fading these bets. 11 00:00:48,600 --> 00:00:53,600 Speaker 1: Hopefully I'm making you money by going against my place. Look, 12 00:00:54,040 --> 00:00:56,680 Speaker 1: for those of you who might be new, my job 13 00:00:56,760 --> 00:00:58,920 Speaker 1: is to give you what I bet every day. If 14 00:00:58,960 --> 00:01:03,040 Speaker 1: I'm losing in boy, am I losing? You guys can 15 00:01:03,120 --> 00:01:05,120 Speaker 1: just fade the bets. You would have been two to 16 00:01:05,120 --> 00:01:07,680 Speaker 1: oh last night if you had faded my bets. I 17 00:01:07,800 --> 00:01:08,800 Speaker 1: liked the picks last night. 18 00:01:09,280 --> 00:01:09,680 Speaker 2: Man. 19 00:01:09,920 --> 00:01:12,479 Speaker 1: The only thing I got right was the Alex would 20 00:01:12,720 --> 00:01:17,400 Speaker 1: strikeout prop from my show from my other show. Everything 21 00:01:17,400 --> 00:01:20,959 Speaker 1: else I got wrong. Only made three bets, but zero 22 00:01:21,000 --> 00:01:24,639 Speaker 1: to two. As we get six goals in the hockey 23 00:01:24,680 --> 00:01:28,720 Speaker 1: game between Montreal and Winnipeg, not six and a half 24 00:01:28,800 --> 00:01:32,360 Speaker 1: or seven were one shy there and then a run 25 00:01:32,440 --> 00:01:34,880 Speaker 1: scores in the top of the fifth a two to one. 26 00:01:34,920 --> 00:01:36,200 Speaker 1: I told you it was going to be tight. I 27 00:01:36,240 --> 00:01:38,120 Speaker 1: knew it was going to be tight, two to one 28 00:01:38,760 --> 00:01:41,880 Speaker 1: first five. We lose that with the Giants. Alex Wood 29 00:01:41,920 --> 00:01:44,560 Speaker 1: did get over four and a half. K's still like 30 00:01:44,600 --> 00:01:47,240 Speaker 1: Alex Wood a lot, still like Logan Web a lot. 31 00:01:47,319 --> 00:01:50,160 Speaker 2: We'll still bet those guys a lot. It's just where 32 00:01:50,200 --> 00:01:50,560 Speaker 2: we are. 33 00:01:51,080 --> 00:01:53,360 Speaker 1: So I went and did a little accounting as to 34 00:01:53,760 --> 00:01:58,200 Speaker 1: how badly things are going. So over the last twelve days, 35 00:01:58,320 --> 00:02:02,960 Speaker 1: dating back to the thirty first of March, my picks 36 00:02:02,960 --> 00:02:06,280 Speaker 1: have gone twelve and twenty three. We are down six 37 00:02:06,320 --> 00:02:11,079 Speaker 1: point two units. But this is a free podcast. This 38 00:02:11,160 --> 00:02:13,280 Speaker 1: is the thing about the Daily Juice. I know some 39 00:02:13,320 --> 00:02:15,520 Speaker 1: of you are new and some of you are like, Wow, 40 00:02:15,520 --> 00:02:18,400 Speaker 1: I can't believe how transparent you are. This is what 41 00:02:18,440 --> 00:02:21,160 Speaker 1: we do, guys like this is nothing new for you. 42 00:02:21,160 --> 00:02:23,120 Speaker 1: Guys who've been around for a while. You've seen me 43 00:02:23,280 --> 00:02:25,960 Speaker 1: go this cold before. This is one of the worst 44 00:02:26,639 --> 00:02:30,600 Speaker 1: unit losses stretches. I've gone twelve and twenty three before, 45 00:02:30,680 --> 00:02:35,240 Speaker 1: but down six units. That's over a twelve day period. 46 00:02:35,720 --> 00:02:38,120 Speaker 1: That's a little steep, that's deeper than normal. The Master's 47 00:02:38,160 --> 00:02:41,000 Speaker 1: kicked my ass. I mean that's the reason. The biggest 48 00:02:41,000 --> 00:02:42,959 Speaker 1: reason why it's that is because I went a little 49 00:02:42,960 --> 00:02:46,720 Speaker 1: aggressive into the masters, and that's really not not all 50 00:02:46,760 --> 00:02:50,960 Speaker 1: that good. If you add in the futures, by the way, 51 00:02:51,040 --> 00:02:53,600 Speaker 1: I guess it's worse. I guess, no, I guess if 52 00:02:53,639 --> 00:03:00,640 Speaker 1: they added in, it's actually thirteen and twenty five because 53 00:03:00,919 --> 00:03:03,919 Speaker 1: we got we went one and two on the futures. 54 00:03:03,919 --> 00:03:06,959 Speaker 1: You got the Warriors win total, right, we bet nets 55 00:03:07,040 --> 00:03:10,480 Speaker 1: over Sorry, Nick's over and Hawks over. We missed both 56 00:03:10,520 --> 00:03:13,720 Speaker 1: of those, so that would be down another unit on that, 57 00:03:13,840 --> 00:03:17,639 Speaker 1: so it's actually down seven point two units, so even worse. 58 00:03:18,280 --> 00:03:21,480 Speaker 1: So it's yeah, this is an approaching record territory in 59 00:03:21,520 --> 00:03:23,200 Speaker 1: the two and a half year history of the Juice 60 00:03:23,480 --> 00:03:27,760 Speaker 1: to have this type of bad run. But look, I 61 00:03:27,880 --> 00:03:30,639 Speaker 1: keep going, I keep firing, And if you guys want 62 00:03:30,639 --> 00:03:32,840 Speaker 1: to fade the bets today, I do not, will not 63 00:03:33,160 --> 00:03:36,240 Speaker 1: and will never be upset if you guys fade it. 64 00:03:36,280 --> 00:03:38,120 Speaker 1: Don't be a jerk about it. But if you say, hey, 65 00:03:38,160 --> 00:03:40,240 Speaker 1: Matt you're just I can't. I can't bet with you, man, 66 00:03:40,280 --> 00:03:42,600 Speaker 1: You're too cold. You're going to make me money going 67 00:03:42,640 --> 00:03:46,400 Speaker 1: other ways, thank you. Yes, there's all sorts of people 68 00:03:46,440 --> 00:03:50,200 Speaker 1: on Twitter call themselves fade gods and whatever. Yes, if 69 00:03:50,240 --> 00:03:52,320 Speaker 1: you want to fade everything I'm doing, I'm not going 70 00:03:52,400 --> 00:03:55,600 Speaker 1: to be mad at you at all. Right now, it's 71 00:03:55,640 --> 00:03:58,280 Speaker 1: been a bad stretch. So here is where I go. 72 00:03:58,440 --> 00:04:01,920 Speaker 1: I turtle, I make two plays a podcast, and I 73 00:04:01,960 --> 00:04:04,920 Speaker 1: bet half units on each one until we figure out 74 00:04:04,920 --> 00:04:07,400 Speaker 1: our way out of it. Okay, there are two NBA 75 00:04:07,520 --> 00:04:10,200 Speaker 1: basketball games here today. I'm gonna bet them both. If 76 00:04:10,240 --> 00:04:12,839 Speaker 1: you want to fade it, go right ahead. Okay, I'm 77 00:04:12,880 --> 00:04:15,640 Speaker 1: not going to be mad. In fact, if you are 78 00:04:15,960 --> 00:04:18,640 Speaker 1: liking the other side, you should be happy that I'm 79 00:04:18,640 --> 00:04:21,400 Speaker 1: on this side. This would this is profitable for you, 80 00:04:21,640 --> 00:04:24,919 Speaker 1: for you to be up against me here. Going into 81 00:04:24,960 --> 00:04:27,640 Speaker 1: these two games, let's start with the early one. The 82 00:04:27,680 --> 00:04:31,960 Speaker 1: Nets are hosting the Cleveland cap the Cleveland Cavaliers. Cavaliers 83 00:04:32,000 --> 00:04:34,520 Speaker 1: will not have Jared Allen available. He's been ruled out 84 00:04:34,520 --> 00:04:37,680 Speaker 1: for the game, which is a big, big problem. Okay, 85 00:04:37,720 --> 00:04:41,800 Speaker 1: So Kevin Durant, Kyrie Irving are together, these guys have 86 00:04:41,920 --> 00:04:44,120 Speaker 1: been absolute steam. 87 00:04:43,920 --> 00:04:46,240 Speaker 2: Rollers when they're on right. 88 00:04:46,720 --> 00:04:49,240 Speaker 1: It's one game, they win the game, they are the 89 00:04:49,279 --> 00:04:51,120 Speaker 1: seventh seed, and they move on to take on the 90 00:04:51,120 --> 00:04:54,360 Speaker 1: Boston Celtics in a best of seven series. Do not 91 00:04:54,480 --> 00:04:58,279 Speaker 1: like that Boston's gonna play Brooklyn. But Brooklyn wins this game. Okay, 92 00:04:58,360 --> 00:05:01,560 Speaker 1: I'm not gonna argue Brooklyn's gonna win this game. The 93 00:05:01,680 --> 00:05:08,239 Speaker 1: question is do they cover? Cleveland's been extraordinarily inconsistent. Both 94 00:05:08,320 --> 00:05:13,800 Speaker 1: these teams against the number have sucked recently. The Nets 95 00:05:13,920 --> 00:05:18,039 Speaker 1: at home, Yeah, Brooklyn at home is nine thirty one 96 00:05:18,160 --> 00:05:24,000 Speaker 1: in one ats nine thirty one in one. On the road, 97 00:05:24,240 --> 00:05:28,400 Speaker 1: Cleveland is twenty nineteen and two. And I fully understand 98 00:05:28,400 --> 00:05:30,840 Speaker 1: you going to go well, Matt without Jared Allen, I mean, 99 00:05:30,839 --> 00:05:33,280 Speaker 1: that's gonna be that's a huge deal. You know, that's 100 00:05:33,320 --> 00:05:36,479 Speaker 1: a really big problem for them. Okay, I'll give you 101 00:05:36,520 --> 00:05:42,120 Speaker 1: that seth Curry's probable, Okay, Dragics is probable. 102 00:05:42,560 --> 00:05:45,360 Speaker 2: Simmons is out, Harris is done for the season. 103 00:05:45,800 --> 00:05:49,000 Speaker 1: For the Nets. Eight and a half is the total 104 00:05:49,440 --> 00:05:54,440 Speaker 1: is the spread? I just don't think Brooklyn covers the spread. 105 00:05:54,640 --> 00:05:57,400 Speaker 1: These two teams played two games ago. Okay, in Brooklyn, 106 00:05:57,640 --> 00:06:00,680 Speaker 1: line was eight and a half, lost by eleven. They 107 00:06:00,720 --> 00:06:03,599 Speaker 1: covered okay, But in the first meeting between these two teams, 108 00:06:04,320 --> 00:06:07,320 Speaker 1: the Cleveland Cavaliers won the game outright. Now, they were 109 00:06:07,320 --> 00:06:10,240 Speaker 1: catching five and a half. Sorry, that was the second game. 110 00:06:10,320 --> 00:06:12,560 Speaker 1: Sorry they played. Let me run through the whole schedule. 111 00:06:12,720 --> 00:06:15,720 Speaker 1: First time they played, they were catching five and a 112 00:06:15,800 --> 00:06:23,520 Speaker 1: half and they lost by started catching ten, lost by ten. 113 00:06:23,760 --> 00:06:27,040 Speaker 1: It was a push on the road, and the games 114 00:06:27,120 --> 00:06:31,599 Speaker 1: in Cleveland against Brooklyn they were laying four. They won 115 00:06:31,680 --> 00:06:34,680 Speaker 1: by seven. That was without Kyrie irving. And then late 116 00:06:34,720 --> 00:06:37,360 Speaker 1: in the year they took on Brooklyn and they were 117 00:06:37,600 --> 00:06:39,120 Speaker 1: laying they were catching it in a half and they 118 00:06:39,240 --> 00:06:42,800 Speaker 1: lost by eleven. Here's the thing, I don't think the 119 00:06:42,839 --> 00:06:44,880 Speaker 1: Nets really care about how much that they win the 120 00:06:44,920 --> 00:06:46,680 Speaker 1: game by. I could see them be up by twenty 121 00:06:46,720 --> 00:06:50,360 Speaker 1: points and then they pulled the dogs off and then 122 00:06:50,440 --> 00:06:54,240 Speaker 1: we see the lead just melt and it turned into 123 00:06:54,279 --> 00:06:56,760 Speaker 1: a five point win for the Nets. Can they blow 124 00:06:56,800 --> 00:07:00,200 Speaker 1: out the Cavaliers? Absolutely? Could this be just an epic perform? 125 00:07:00,560 --> 00:07:04,200 Speaker 1: Kdi goes for forty, Kyrie goes for thirty. They win 126 00:07:04,240 --> 00:07:06,600 Speaker 1: this game going away, and they remind everybody that they 127 00:07:06,600 --> 00:07:08,400 Speaker 1: are the Brooklyn Nets. When they want to turn it on. 128 00:07:08,680 --> 00:07:11,680 Speaker 1: They can kill people, yes, Will, I will give you that. 129 00:07:12,160 --> 00:07:14,840 Speaker 1: But they have shook up this team, okay, and a 130 00:07:14,840 --> 00:07:17,240 Speaker 1: lot of these games when Brooklyn they had James Harden 131 00:07:17,280 --> 00:07:21,040 Speaker 1: playing with this roster okay, before the big trade happened. 132 00:07:21,040 --> 00:07:24,760 Speaker 1: So we haven't seen much about this. Cleveland against the 133 00:07:24,840 --> 00:07:28,520 Speaker 1: Eastern Conference this season was twenty six, twenty three and three. 134 00:07:29,040 --> 00:07:32,520 Speaker 1: Brooklyn was twenty two, twenty eight and two, losing record 135 00:07:32,560 --> 00:07:36,080 Speaker 1: against the East, winning record against the East. Don't think 136 00:07:36,080 --> 00:07:38,200 Speaker 1: they win, but I'm taking the eight and a half points. 137 00:07:38,440 --> 00:07:40,040 Speaker 1: The reason why this number is eight and a half 138 00:07:40,160 --> 00:07:42,360 Speaker 1: is because they had to put a number high enough 139 00:07:42,400 --> 00:07:45,640 Speaker 1: for the pros to at least be quasi interested in Cleveland, 140 00:07:45,640 --> 00:07:47,960 Speaker 1: because the public's going to come in here and bet 141 00:07:48,000 --> 00:07:51,480 Speaker 1: the Brooklyn Nets. I'm taking the points in a playoff 142 00:07:51,520 --> 00:07:54,880 Speaker 1: game Cleveland plus eight and a half on the road 143 00:07:55,360 --> 00:07:59,000 Speaker 1: at the Brooklyn Nets for a half a unit. Other 144 00:07:59,120 --> 00:08:02,240 Speaker 1: game is the late game, and this game is going 145 00:08:02,280 --> 00:08:07,440 Speaker 1: to be really fun. Will Cleveland versus versus Brooklyn might 146 00:08:07,480 --> 00:08:11,680 Speaker 1: not be that close. Clippers at Minnesota could be outstanding. 147 00:08:11,840 --> 00:08:16,560 Speaker 1: Basketball line is great home team favored by three tea, 148 00:08:16,600 --> 00:08:19,920 Speaker 1: Wolves by three on the road this year, the Clippers 149 00:08:20,200 --> 00:08:24,400 Speaker 1: are twenty twenty and one at home this year. Minnesota 150 00:08:24,520 --> 00:08:28,040 Speaker 1: is twenty eight, eighteen and two against the West this 151 00:08:28,200 --> 00:08:32,480 Speaker 1: year Tea Wolves thirty twenty one in one, the Clippers 152 00:08:32,679 --> 00:08:36,280 Speaker 1: twenty six and twenty six on the year, forty forty 153 00:08:36,320 --> 00:08:39,559 Speaker 1: one in one for the Clippers for Minnesota forty two, 154 00:08:39,920 --> 00:08:43,520 Speaker 1: thirty eight and two. I mean, we're talking a razor 155 00:08:44,080 --> 00:08:49,720 Speaker 1: thin difference between these two teams. Most often when I 156 00:08:49,800 --> 00:08:54,440 Speaker 1: see teams this closely in a playoff series. For the 157 00:08:54,520 --> 00:08:58,280 Speaker 1: last five the Clippers have covered. Clippers have won games. 158 00:08:58,320 --> 00:09:00,480 Speaker 1: They've won five games in a row. Four of those 159 00:09:00,520 --> 00:09:04,200 Speaker 1: five they covered. Clippers beat Okac by fifty, they beat 160 00:09:04,200 --> 00:09:07,920 Speaker 1: Sacramento by nineteen, beat Phoenix by four, beat New Orleans 161 00:09:07,960 --> 00:09:11,760 Speaker 1: by nineteen, beat Milwaukee by thirty four. On the flip side, 162 00:09:11,880 --> 00:09:14,760 Speaker 1: last four games in a row, we do not see 163 00:09:14,760 --> 00:09:18,400 Speaker 1: the Timberwolves cover. They lost by four, Chicago, beat San 164 00:09:18,400 --> 00:09:22,440 Speaker 1: Antonio by six, lost to Washington by eighteen, beat Houston 165 00:09:22,520 --> 00:09:25,679 Speaker 1: by seven. They lost to Toronto by twenty three, lost 166 00:09:25,679 --> 00:09:29,400 Speaker 1: to Boston by twenty two. They've won two games in 167 00:09:29,440 --> 00:09:33,680 Speaker 1: their last what is that seven and they've only covered 168 00:09:33,679 --> 00:09:36,400 Speaker 1: two of them. I think the Clippers win the game outright, 169 00:09:36,640 --> 00:09:40,320 Speaker 1: but given how cold, I am gonna take the points here. 170 00:09:40,960 --> 00:09:45,280 Speaker 1: Take the Clippers at plus three against the Timberwolves. I 171 00:09:45,320 --> 00:09:49,200 Speaker 1: am fascinated by this game. I can't wait to watch 172 00:09:49,280 --> 00:09:52,120 Speaker 1: this game. I think these teams are so evenly matched, 173 00:09:52,440 --> 00:09:54,760 Speaker 1: so I'll take the points. I think it may come 174 00:09:54,800 --> 00:09:57,760 Speaker 1: down to one or two possessions, may come down to 175 00:09:58,080 --> 00:10:02,199 Speaker 1: a rebound here a loose. I just think the Clippers 176 00:10:02,200 --> 00:10:04,520 Speaker 1: have been playing better basketball down the stretch. I don't 177 00:10:04,520 --> 00:10:07,000 Speaker 1: care that they're on the road. I'm gonna take the 178 00:10:07,040 --> 00:10:10,920 Speaker 1: Clippers here, Clippers plus three for a half of units. 179 00:10:10,920 --> 00:10:13,480 Speaker 1: In the second game for our play in for the 180 00:10:13,600 --> 00:10:15,120 Speaker 1: NBA playoffs. 181 00:10:14,960 --> 00:10:17,760 Speaker 2: Dog dog, Okay, let's have a dog. 182 00:10:17,640 --> 00:10:23,040 Speaker 1: Barking Tuesday night here. I'll probably have some personal plays going. 183 00:10:23,080 --> 00:10:25,120 Speaker 1: I'll probably pop into the Discord channel. By the way, 184 00:10:25,120 --> 00:10:28,040 Speaker 1: if you've not joined it, rejoined it. If you got booted, 185 00:10:28,360 --> 00:10:31,600 Speaker 1: come back in bettingpros dot com slash chat to get 186 00:10:31,600 --> 00:10:33,679 Speaker 1: into it, or the link underneath me on YouTube gets 187 00:10:33,679 --> 00:10:36,319 Speaker 1: you right in. It's free, don't sell you anything, just 188 00:10:36,400 --> 00:10:39,040 Speaker 1: a way of hanging out with us. We had thirteen 189 00:10:39,120 --> 00:10:42,640 Speaker 1: thousand users, and we cut it in half because This 190 00:10:42,720 --> 00:10:46,120 Speaker 1: was a bad deal, so hopefully that never happens again. 191 00:10:46,760 --> 00:10:48,960 Speaker 1: Hopefully we get you guys back in on the Discord channel, 192 00:10:49,000 --> 00:10:50,360 Speaker 1: so come back in at least sign up. Even if 193 00:10:50,400 --> 00:10:52,000 Speaker 1: you don't hang up, just come back or hang out, 194 00:10:52,080 --> 00:10:54,000 Speaker 1: come back and sign up so you can't hang out 195 00:10:54,000 --> 00:10:54,560 Speaker 1: when you want. 196 00:10:54,800 --> 00:10:57,760 Speaker 2: All right, Ice cold fade away. 197 00:10:58,120 --> 00:11:01,040 Speaker 1: If you like favorites, you're gonna like my bat bet 198 00:11:01,160 --> 00:11:06,679 Speaker 1: nets Timberwolves, because I'm betting Cavaliers and the Clippers plus 199 00:11:06,679 --> 00:11:09,600 Speaker 1: eight and a half and plus three here on a Tuesday, 200 00:11:09,840 --> 00:11:11,840 Speaker 1: minus Matt Parolt to follow me on Twitter at Sports 201 00:11:11,840 --> 00:11:12,400 Speaker 1: Talk Matt. 202 00:11:12,600 --> 00:11:14,320 Speaker 2: Each and every morning, it's the Dili 203 00:11:14,360 --> 00:11:17,120 Speaker 1: Juice Podcast, always being brought to you by BETEMGM