WEBVTT - Bloomberg Businessweek Weekend-November 21, 2020

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week with Pierrol Mazer from Bloomberg Radio. Hi,

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<v Speaker 1>I'm Carol Masser. Welcome to the weekend edition of Bloomberg

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<v Speaker 1>Business Week. It's week thirty six. Working from home for

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<v Speaker 1>many still, although I was mostly in the office this week,

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<v Speaker 1>but it was a week. It was a tough one

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<v Speaker 1>where COVID nineteen deaths top two hundred fifty thousand in

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<v Speaker 1>the United States. We did have some good news. Fisor

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<v Speaker 1>and Maderna both had upbeat news when it came to

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<v Speaker 1>a vaccine, and yet the world was reminded constantly that

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<v Speaker 1>we still are in a health pandemic, probably well into one.

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<v Speaker 1>With that in mind, our stories are highlights this week,

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<v Speaker 1>mostly have a virus angle, but we do have a

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<v Speaker 1>few surprises. So coming up this hour, you're going to

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<v Speaker 1>hear from the CEO of Maderna and the CEO of

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome Leap. You'll also hear from the chief epidemiologist at

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<v Speaker 1>the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention. Also the

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<v Speaker 1>president CEO at Mahindra Agriculture of North America on who

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<v Speaker 1>is buying tractors during the shutdown. You will be surprised.

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<v Speaker 1>We begin the with the cover story of this week's magazine.

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<v Speaker 1>The cover art alone, I've got to say, you've got

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<v Speaker 1>to go online or check it out on the news

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<v Speaker 1>stance because it really encapsulates our love affair with our

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<v Speaker 1>pampered pets and how they are training all of us

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<v Speaker 1>to use the online retailer of everything and anything for pets.

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<v Speaker 1>We're talking about Chewy. Blumberg News Wealth reporter Ander's Melon

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<v Speaker 1>and Bloomberg business Week editor Joel Webber joined us for more.

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<v Speaker 1>It's a fun one, um. And this is one that, um,

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<v Speaker 1>I think we were we've been interested in for a

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<v Speaker 1>while because look like the staff of Business Week has

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of cats and dogs at home, UM, And

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<v Speaker 1>there have been acquisitions that were made during the pandemic.

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<v Speaker 1>And if you have a dog and go to a

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<v Speaker 1>dog park like I do, you also recognize that there

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<v Speaker 1>were many, many, many more dogs in this neighborhood than

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<v Speaker 1>there were before the pandemic. And one of the big

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<v Speaker 1>beneficial areas of this has been Chewy, the online pet

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<v Speaker 1>retailer that does pet deliveries. And that's what our stories

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<v Speaker 1>about it is. And I gotta say, Joel, it's one

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<v Speaker 1>of those things in the shutdown that as I would

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<v Speaker 1>walk Ey dog Scout around the very quiet neighborhood, I

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<v Speaker 1>would see boxes of things, and I often saw Chewy

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<v Speaker 1>boxes on the curb. Yeah, and you know they're coming

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<v Speaker 1>to our house to um. It's actually in one of

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<v Speaker 1>our story meetings that turns out that you know, there's

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of co op apartments in New York City

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<v Speaker 1>that aren't supposed to have pets, and Chewy Boxes are

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<v Speaker 1>outing them because it's like, oh, look delivery exactly. So

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<v Speaker 1>the story of Chewi, though, I think it's it's one

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<v Speaker 1>of these amazing ones because you know, the company has

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<v Speaker 1>been around for for nine years. Uh started basically by

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<v Speaker 1>a couple of guys who just realized they were going

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<v Speaker 1>to get into the jewelry business and then realized, wait

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<v Speaker 1>a second, there could be a bigger opportunity and pets,

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<v Speaker 1>and they basically scrapped it out for nine years, and

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<v Speaker 1>in the process of that sort of faded from the company,

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<v Speaker 1>and the company now has a has a new CEO,

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<v Speaker 1>and the story sort of starts with Andrew's crunching numbers

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<v Speaker 1>and realizing that he's actually incredibly highly compensated. How how

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<v Speaker 1>highly compensated is about a hundred eight million the twenty

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<v Speaker 1>nine team. That's what brought me onto to this story.

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<v Speaker 1>I am, we ran our highest paid CEOs list this

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<v Speaker 1>summer and assume It's thing made a hundred eight million

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<v Speaker 1>last year. And I turned to my editor and said,

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<v Speaker 1>who in the world assume it's thing? And it turns

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<v Speaker 1>out to see the CEO of Chewy And that's yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>that's where it all started, right, And it's kind of

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<v Speaker 1>like what is to Actually, we have a market guest

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<v Speaker 1>who comes on and every time she's like, by Chewy,

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<v Speaker 1>by Chewy, by Chewi. I mean, this is a business,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, and you put it in the story on

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<v Speaker 1>theres that it's very much kind of akin to Amazon

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<v Speaker 1>and it's early days. Yeah, it really is. It's it's

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<v Speaker 1>what sets it apart from Amazon. Amazon was a model

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<v Speaker 1>for much of the the quickness, the ease, and the pricing.

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<v Speaker 1>But what really sets Chew a part is the fact

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<v Speaker 1>that you actually have a customer so is number to

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<v Speaker 1>call and if you call it, there's a person that

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<v Speaker 1>responds to you within six seconds and it's willing to

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<v Speaker 1>talk to you four hours. If that's what you feel

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<v Speaker 1>like about your pet, about pet food, about the fact

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<v Speaker 1>that you know anything. I've heard stories of customer service

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<v Speaker 1>agains have literally been on the phone for several hours

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<v Speaker 1>with with pet owners that call in. One of the

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<v Speaker 1>things Carol, that I think is really interesting about the businesses.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, Amazon when it started, it had that one

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<v Speaker 1>area of expertise that it just nailed, which was books.

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<v Speaker 1>It was like, how do we bring as many books

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<v Speaker 1>as we possibly can online? And do um e commerce

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<v Speaker 1>says as a bookstore, right, And I think Chewy actually

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<v Speaker 1>kind of like it's almost like they surveyed the landscape

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<v Speaker 1>and said, what's the thing that we could have recurring

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<v Speaker 1>payments with that Amazon hasn't thought to do yet, and

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<v Speaker 1>how do we figure out what that is and then

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<v Speaker 1>do it at warp speed effectively? And they recognize that pets.

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<v Speaker 1>So this thing, it's a the number in the story

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<v Speaker 1>nine billion dollars a year being spent by Americans on pets.

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<v Speaker 1>If you could get one slice of that, it's a

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<v Speaker 1>great business. And what they figured out was that there's

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of things that you can do that are

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<v Speaker 1>recurring payments, whether it's dog food deliveries or medications and

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<v Speaker 1>all of those things are just cruise control. That's a

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<v Speaker 1>subscription revenue model, and it has just allowed them to

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<v Speaker 1>go sort of warp speed. And they were on a

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<v Speaker 1>pretty good trajectory before the pandemic, and then the pandemic

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<v Speaker 1>really played to it. And so Andrews tell us about

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<v Speaker 1>what they how how they've really capital capitalized on everything

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<v Speaker 1>this year. Yeah, they've already in the first two quarters

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<v Speaker 1>they added more customers than in all of the prior

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<v Speaker 1>fiscal years. And they're on track to finally turned EBIT

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<v Speaker 1>down positive this year. And they are also on track

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<v Speaker 1>to hit roughly seven billion dollars in revenue from if

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<v Speaker 1>I don't misremember around four point nine. They're definitely a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of growth during the pandemic. That was Bloomberg business

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<v Speaker 1>Week editor Joel Weber and Bloomberg News Wealth reporter Ander's

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<v Speaker 1>Melon on this week's cover story and why is the

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<v Speaker 1>Year of the Pet? Check Out that full cover story

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<v Speaker 1>and more great coverage in this week's issue of Bloomberg

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<v Speaker 1>Business Week magazine. It is online, on newsstands and always

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<v Speaker 1>on the Bloomberg Coming up, from pampered pets to giving

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<v Speaker 1>commercial renters a helping hand during the pandemic, This is Bloomberg.

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week with Garrol Masser from Bloomberg Radio.

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<v Speaker 1>We'll bring you some of the highlights from our daily

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<v Speaker 1>radio broadcast and podcast, and that included a conversation about

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<v Speaker 1>real estate in a week where we saw many stories

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<v Speaker 1>crossing the Bloomberg about central London rents plummeting as residents

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<v Speaker 1>fell to suburbs, office workers wanting to keep working at home,

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<v Speaker 1>just not every day. So with all of that in mind,

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<v Speaker 1>we caught up with Pierre de Bas. He is co

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<v Speaker 1>founder and managing partner of Romer Debas. It's a New

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<v Speaker 1>York City based law firm specializing in real estate. He

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<v Speaker 1>gave us an update on the hard hit retail in

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<v Speaker 1>restaurant industries. The biggest issue that we're encountering, especially in

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<v Speaker 1>you know, major cities around the country, is what's going

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<v Speaker 1>to happen, um if the second wave continues going down

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<v Speaker 1>this path, and how the local economies of densely populated

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<v Speaker 1>cities which are not having that same level of density

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<v Speaker 1>and the local demand coming from the workforce and from

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<v Speaker 1>people who fled the city impacting local businesses UM. And

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<v Speaker 1>I'll give you a good example. We're talking about one

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<v Speaker 1>of one of the most important topics right now is

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<v Speaker 1>retail and restaurant and what is the future retail restaurant

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<v Speaker 1>look like? And how is that going to impact the

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<v Speaker 1>commercial real estate market? And when you take a city,

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<v Speaker 1>you say, take from Manhattan for example. You know, we're

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<v Speaker 1>sitting here in midtown Manhattan and it's roughly depending where

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<v Speaker 1>you read, ten to fourteen of the workforces back in

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<v Speaker 1>the office. And you know, certain pockets of the city

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<v Speaker 1>are not resident their commercial neighborhoods where they're unit probably

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<v Speaker 1>office buildings, so on and so forth, not apartments where

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<v Speaker 1>people live and reside. So what impact we're seeing is that,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, what's that going to have on restaurants in

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<v Speaker 1>particular and retail And you know how our landlords renegotiating

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<v Speaker 1>rents to keep these businesses afloat, and what happens to

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<v Speaker 1>the local economies if these businesses go under. Well, and

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<v Speaker 1>help me out here, because you understand this industry. I

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<v Speaker 1>mean I think about and I look around the neighborhoods

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<v Speaker 1>as I go in and out of the city. I

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<v Speaker 1>mean there's a lot of empty retail. Uh, there's a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of boarding up of places, And I do wonder

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<v Speaker 1>that you know, the retail of the restaurants that we lose,

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<v Speaker 1>how long does it take for that to come back?

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, restaurants, It's unbelievable the cycle, right we know

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<v Speaker 1>it's a tough business, and yet we constantly see new

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<v Speaker 1>entries on the market on the marketplace. But you understand cycles.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, when we've got a really tough cycle like

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<v Speaker 1>the one we're going through right now, how long does

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<v Speaker 1>it take to build it back up? You know, with

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<v Speaker 1>a restaurant's based in particular, That's what everybody is sitting

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<v Speaker 1>here and speculating in terms of, you know what I'm

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<v Speaker 1>renegotiating leases with landlords, I'm seeing completely different you know,

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<v Speaker 1>opinions and tactics that landlords are using in responses in

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<v Speaker 1>terms of tenant um, concession requests and renegotiations. And from

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<v Speaker 1>my perspective, you know, if I'm looking at it from

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<v Speaker 1>as a landlord, you know you want to keep these

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<v Speaker 1>tenants and businesses afloat as long as possible because you

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<v Speaker 1>know there will be a light at the end of

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<v Speaker 1>the tunnel. We've had great news in the last two

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<v Speaker 1>weeks in terms of you know, the progress of a

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<v Speaker 1>vaccine and you know, you can see that life will

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<v Speaker 1>have some semblance of normalcy in the next year or so.

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<v Speaker 1>Um A long time though, right, that's a very long time. Note,

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<v Speaker 1>it's a it's a it's a great point to bring up.

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<v Speaker 1>That's a really long time next year. So you know,

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<v Speaker 1>I say that in an optimistic tone with the you know,

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<v Speaker 1>with it's in with negative news and reality. But you know,

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<v Speaker 1>the question though to ask is that if that tenant vacates,

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<v Speaker 1>when is there going to be a next someone else

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<v Speaker 1>who wants to come in and start a restaurant in

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<v Speaker 1>the middle of this, right, Like, that's the thing that's

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<v Speaker 1>mind blowing to me is that you know you're gonna

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<v Speaker 1>sit on that vacant, that space vacant for several years

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<v Speaker 1>in my opinion, UM where reading that unless there's relief

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<v Speaker 1>or a quick rebound in the market. You know, we're

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<v Speaker 1>talking roughly up to two thirds of restaurants potentially going

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<v Speaker 1>under UM in the New York City area. Now, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>to you to answer your question terms of how long

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<v Speaker 1>will that teach to recover? You know, and nobody knows,

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<v Speaker 1>but we're talking years, We're talking you know that it's

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<v Speaker 1>too much of an absorption rate. Well, you know, I

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<v Speaker 1>do wonder too, Um, Pierre, did the financial crisis give

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<v Speaker 1>us a little bit of a playbook on this. I

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<v Speaker 1>know it's not the same type of crisis, Um, but

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<v Speaker 1>it was a tough one and it lasted a long

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<v Speaker 1>time and took use a long time to come back. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>it certainly did. And and that's the most recent crisis

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<v Speaker 1>to compare this too. And clearly you know, that had

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<v Speaker 1>a financial ripple effect across all of New York City.

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<v Speaker 1>But this is just so you know, it's this is

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<v Speaker 1>impossible to find a point of comparison, you know, given them,

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<v Speaker 1>we're talking a global health pandemic which is causing you know,

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<v Speaker 1>the governor to intervene in cap capacity and restaurants, which

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<v Speaker 1>is causing people to have, you know, the fear for

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<v Speaker 1>their own health to go outside you and congregate with others.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, it's it's just drastically different. You know. Back

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<v Speaker 1>in two thousand and eight, you know, clearly, Um, the

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<v Speaker 1>city lost a lot of money, and there was you know,

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<v Speaker 1>people did flee the city, but it was nowhere near

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<v Speaker 1>the same exodus of people that have left the city

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<v Speaker 1>as a result of the pandemic. Yeah, it's pretty remarkable.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, you could feel it in the city. You

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<v Speaker 1>just can feel it. You know. It's interesting. What are

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<v Speaker 1>kind of some of the um offerings that landlords are

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<v Speaker 1>are are putting out for their tenants to kind of

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<v Speaker 1>help them out in this time. You know, my favorite one,

0:11:35.040 --> 0:11:38.560
<v Speaker 1>we are office renegotiated a lease for a restaurant tenant

0:11:38.640 --> 0:11:41.440
<v Speaker 1>where um they're located in Rockefeller Center. So when you

0:11:41.480 --> 0:11:45.240
<v Speaker 1>take the location, you know, the demographic that's going to

0:11:45.280 --> 0:11:48.719
<v Speaker 1>the restaurant is either tourists or people who work in

0:11:48.760 --> 0:11:51.040
<v Speaker 1>the area and are going to freak with the restaurant.

0:11:51.280 --> 0:11:55.480
<v Speaker 1>It's not a residential neighborhood. So clearly that that that

0:11:55.559 --> 0:11:57.720
<v Speaker 1>demographic is not in New York City right now. You're

0:11:57.840 --> 0:12:01.120
<v Speaker 1>on tourists in the workforce, it's not here. So we

0:12:01.200 --> 0:12:04.640
<v Speaker 1>renegotiate that specific um LESA and a couple of others

0:12:04.640 --> 0:12:07.760
<v Speaker 1>where the rent for the next twelve months is ten

0:12:07.840 --> 0:12:11.640
<v Speaker 1>percent of the gross receivables of the restaurant. So if

0:12:11.640 --> 0:12:13.960
<v Speaker 1>the restaurant makes a hundred thousand dollars this month, the

0:12:14.040 --> 0:12:16.840
<v Speaker 1>landlord gets ten thousand dollars. If the restaurant makes you know,

0:12:17.040 --> 0:12:19.880
<v Speaker 1>fifty dollars next month, land or gets five dollars UM,

0:12:20.000 --> 0:12:22.520
<v Speaker 1>And it's really a way for landlords to show vested

0:12:22.600 --> 0:12:26.960
<v Speaker 1>interest in preserving you know, small businesses and maintaining some

0:12:26.960 --> 0:12:29.640
<v Speaker 1>some semblance of cash flow right, which like we said,

0:12:29.640 --> 0:12:31.920
<v Speaker 1>it's when are you replacing that tenant? And it's better

0:12:31.960 --> 0:12:34.400
<v Speaker 1>than none. But do those tenants then have to peer

0:12:34.520 --> 0:12:36.840
<v Speaker 1>make it up later on or is that just like listen,

0:12:37.440 --> 0:12:39.440
<v Speaker 1>we understand you're not making a lot of money. This

0:12:39.480 --> 0:12:40.959
<v Speaker 1>is what your rent is going to be for this month,

0:12:41.000 --> 0:12:42.440
<v Speaker 1>and we're not going to try and come back later.

0:12:43.080 --> 0:12:46.160
<v Speaker 1>You know, I'm seeing all different approaches. The most common

0:12:46.160 --> 0:12:48.120
<v Speaker 1>one landlords will first come and say, we'll give you

0:12:48.200 --> 0:12:50.480
<v Speaker 1>deferment and we'll tack it onto the back end. But

0:12:50.920 --> 0:12:53.440
<v Speaker 1>like you said earlier, you know, restaurant business a tough

0:12:53.480 --> 0:12:55.720
<v Speaker 1>business to begin with, even in good times, could they

0:12:55.720 --> 0:12:59.199
<v Speaker 1>afford one point five times rent? So that's not viable

0:12:59.240 --> 0:13:03.000
<v Speaker 1>for most. UM. Some are giving you know, rent relief

0:13:03.080 --> 0:13:07.160
<v Speaker 1>and forgiveness. But you know, the smart ones are committing

0:13:07.200 --> 0:13:10.000
<v Speaker 1>to something for the next six to twelve months, giving

0:13:10.040 --> 0:13:12.240
<v Speaker 1>them something to keep them going UM and also have

0:13:12.360 --> 0:13:15.040
<v Speaker 1>incentive to keep going and then seeing what the world

0:13:15.040 --> 0:13:18.320
<v Speaker 1>looks like in reassessing UM. That's why you know, I

0:13:18.360 --> 0:13:21.320
<v Speaker 1>love the idea of the fixed percentage of gross revenue

0:13:21.320 --> 0:13:23.360
<v Speaker 1>for you know, twelve months time period. So I can

0:13:23.400 --> 0:13:25.559
<v Speaker 1>talk to you from it, from perspective of a lawyer

0:13:25.600 --> 0:13:27.840
<v Speaker 1>representing a number of businesses and also as a small

0:13:27.840 --> 0:13:30.920
<v Speaker 1>business owner. You know, I I co founded their firm.

0:13:30.960 --> 0:13:34.080
<v Speaker 1>We have about forty employees total, and I can tell

0:13:34.120 --> 0:13:38.000
<v Speaker 1>you the people love working from home. They ideally, in

0:13:38.040 --> 0:13:40.320
<v Speaker 1>a perfect world to have a hybrid model where you know,

0:13:40.400 --> 0:13:42.800
<v Speaker 1>they have access to an office but aren't required to

0:13:42.800 --> 0:13:44.920
<v Speaker 1>come in daily. And you know, if you would have

0:13:44.960 --> 0:13:47.600
<v Speaker 1>asked me back in March when we first had the shutdown,

0:13:47.920 --> 0:13:50.000
<v Speaker 1>you know, I'm I'm one of the few forty year

0:13:50.000 --> 0:13:51.880
<v Speaker 1>olds who still writes check. So I'm a little bit

0:13:51.880 --> 0:13:55.959
<v Speaker 1>of old school myself check occasionally, just occasionally to a

0:13:56.000 --> 0:13:58.000
<v Speaker 1>couple of times of months, just for old time's sake.

0:13:58.160 --> 0:14:00.800
<v Speaker 1>And you know, I I love coming in office. I

0:14:00.800 --> 0:14:03.320
<v Speaker 1>I don't I personally don't like working from home. That's

0:14:03.400 --> 0:14:05.719
<v Speaker 1>room or debas co founder and managing partner Pierre de

0:14:05.800 --> 0:14:08.040
<v Speaker 1>Bass not liking working from home, but as we know,

0:14:08.520 --> 0:14:11.679
<v Speaker 1>many do and they want flexibility. You are listening to

0:14:11.720 --> 0:14:14.520
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Business Week coming up real estate figures out life

0:14:14.520 --> 0:14:17.360
<v Speaker 1>in a pandemic, So too has the agg industry. And

0:14:17.400 --> 0:14:20.880
<v Speaker 1>who knew homeowners they're buying tractors while stuck at home.

0:14:21.200 --> 0:14:28.960
<v Speaker 1>That's coming up. This is Bloomberg. This is Bloomberg Business

0:14:28.960 --> 0:14:33.840
<v Speaker 1>Week with Carol Masser from Bloomberg Radio. One of the

0:14:33.920 --> 0:14:36.760
<v Speaker 1>areas impacted by COVID nineteen is one that was deemed

0:14:36.840 --> 0:14:39.640
<v Speaker 1>essential during the health pandemic. We're talking about the global

0:14:39.680 --> 0:14:44.040
<v Speaker 1>agricultural industry. A major player in that industry Mahindra, the

0:14:44.080 --> 0:14:47.120
<v Speaker 1>conglomerate based in India, And like other companies which were

0:14:47.160 --> 0:14:51.000
<v Speaker 1>initially shut down by the pandemic, Mahindra Agriculture North America

0:14:51.080 --> 0:14:54.280
<v Speaker 1>got a surprise when business actually picked up. We got

0:14:54.280 --> 0:14:56.600
<v Speaker 1>more on that from Vier and Popli, president CEO at

0:14:56.600 --> 0:15:00.480
<v Speaker 1>Mahindra Agriculture North America. He was in Houston, US seeing

0:15:00.520 --> 0:15:03.560
<v Speaker 1>a pretty large number of cases. And so everyone's, you know,

0:15:03.640 --> 0:15:05.800
<v Speaker 1>it's pretty much like the rest of the country. Everyone's

0:15:05.880 --> 0:15:09.800
<v Speaker 1>kind of bearing masks and kind of isolating themselves and

0:15:10.480 --> 0:15:12.920
<v Speaker 1>living further and further out from everyone each other. And

0:15:13.120 --> 0:15:15.120
<v Speaker 1>so at some level, somehow it seems to be working

0:15:15.160 --> 0:15:17.720
<v Speaker 1>well for the tractor business. Well, let's talk about this

0:15:17.840 --> 0:15:19.440
<v Speaker 1>I mean, first of all, if you could take me

0:15:19.480 --> 0:15:21.840
<v Speaker 1>back to the spring, what was going on for you

0:15:21.920 --> 0:15:24.200
<v Speaker 1>and your team at the company, And I'm curious, then

0:15:24.320 --> 0:15:26.840
<v Speaker 1>kind of take us forward how things have evolved. But

0:15:26.920 --> 0:15:29.840
<v Speaker 1>what was it like back in the spring. Well back

0:15:29.880 --> 0:15:32.240
<v Speaker 1>in the spring, I think in March when this thing started.

0:15:32.280 --> 0:15:35.200
<v Speaker 1>I think, like everyone else, we were completely panicked, and

0:15:35.560 --> 0:15:38.640
<v Speaker 1>you know, we really pulled back, you know, went down

0:15:38.720 --> 0:15:42.320
<v Speaker 1>the roads of shutting down the plants and manufacturing and

0:15:42.360 --> 0:15:45.800
<v Speaker 1>the supply chain kind of froze. We had our own

0:15:45.960 --> 0:15:51.000
<v Speaker 1>versions of layoffs and furloughs, but you know, you know,

0:15:51.040 --> 0:15:54.080
<v Speaker 1>we tried to focus on then. But what we found

0:15:54.160 --> 0:15:57.080
<v Speaker 1>was the retail industry suddenly took off somewhere towards the

0:15:57.160 --> 0:15:59.920
<v Speaker 1>end of April. And I guess as people were spent

0:16:00.200 --> 0:16:02.880
<v Speaker 1>more and more time and their farms and back in

0:16:02.920 --> 0:16:05.359
<v Speaker 1>their homes, they were wanting to do more home improvement

0:16:05.440 --> 0:16:08.240
<v Speaker 1>moving out. So we saw the tractor industry started to

0:16:08.280 --> 0:16:11.520
<v Speaker 1>pick up pretty quickly, and uh so we had to

0:16:11.560 --> 0:16:13.400
<v Speaker 1>figure a way to come back. And you know, we

0:16:13.440 --> 0:16:16.320
<v Speaker 1>started the same thing, which is temperature checks, you know,

0:16:16.400 --> 0:16:19.440
<v Speaker 1>split shift, slowly bringing people back, putting in all the

0:16:19.440 --> 0:16:23.040
<v Speaker 1>plastic barriers and separate and redesigning the production line and

0:16:23.080 --> 0:16:27.040
<v Speaker 1>production flow through. So ever since that happened has just

0:16:27.120 --> 0:16:31.320
<v Speaker 1>been momentum has been gaining. And so far the industries,

0:16:31.840 --> 0:16:34.800
<v Speaker 1>you know, just the year to day, I think industries

0:16:34.880 --> 0:16:37.720
<v Speaker 1>up twenty three. That's pretty remarkable. We'll talk to me

0:16:37.800 --> 0:16:41.120
<v Speaker 1>a little bit um. You're about the demographics of who

0:16:41.160 --> 0:16:43.880
<v Speaker 1>was buying because my understanding, my producer Paul Brenna was

0:16:43.920 --> 0:16:45.920
<v Speaker 1>filling me a little bit earlier that I think seven

0:16:45.960 --> 0:16:49.080
<v Speaker 1>percent of your sales were customers that actually never had

0:16:49.120 --> 0:16:55.880
<v Speaker 1>owned a tractor before. Actually that's the people. Wow, okay

0:16:55.880 --> 0:16:58.440
<v Speaker 1>we left out of zero. That's tremendous. I mean, first

0:16:58.440 --> 0:17:01.960
<v Speaker 1>of all, what kind of tractor are they buy? So basically,

0:17:02.040 --> 0:17:04.760
<v Speaker 1>we generally operate in the you know, the small track,

0:17:04.840 --> 0:17:09.640
<v Speaker 1>the midland compact tractors that are between twenty two horseper

0:17:10.359 --> 0:17:13.919
<v Speaker 1>and those are largely driven by you know, rural lifestyle

0:17:14.560 --> 0:17:17.840
<v Speaker 1>small farms and the second tractor, a third tractor and

0:17:17.920 --> 0:17:20.439
<v Speaker 1>a big farm. So they're not the really big road

0:17:20.480 --> 0:17:23.480
<v Speaker 1>cropping tractors. They're smaller in size and they operate more

0:17:23.520 --> 0:17:28.600
<v Speaker 1>in the large homeowners and rural lifestylers. A bit of

0:17:28.600 --> 0:17:32.040
<v Speaker 1>a surprise for you to see that market come alive. Yeah,

0:17:32.080 --> 0:17:34.520
<v Speaker 1>it was. You know, I think pretty much the whole

0:17:34.560 --> 0:17:38.040
<v Speaker 1>industry has been caught by surprise. Uh we've seen you know,

0:17:38.119 --> 0:17:42.200
<v Speaker 1>the industry inventory and the dealerships are down significantly obviously

0:17:42.240 --> 0:17:44.639
<v Speaker 1>because of the huge demand, and you know, the supply

0:17:44.720 --> 0:17:47.720
<v Speaker 1>chain being challenged, and you know, our ability to ramp

0:17:47.800 --> 0:17:50.280
<v Speaker 1>up globally and get parts in has been a bit

0:17:50.280 --> 0:17:52.680
<v Speaker 1>of a challenge. But now we're we're back on track

0:17:52.760 --> 0:17:55.720
<v Speaker 1>and you know, being able to supply back in. But

0:17:55.840 --> 0:17:58.359
<v Speaker 1>it was a big surprise. No, no, no, forgive me,

0:17:58.400 --> 0:18:01.480
<v Speaker 1>I cut you have the supply chain. Was it problematic

0:18:01.480 --> 0:18:04.479
<v Speaker 1>a little bit in the beginning, Oh, yes, it was.

0:18:04.840 --> 0:18:08.200
<v Speaker 1>I think you know, with shipping shut down, ports, shut

0:18:08.240 --> 0:18:11.320
<v Speaker 1>down factories all over the world, also going through their

0:18:11.359 --> 0:18:13.680
<v Speaker 1>own world. You know, the pandemic is global, so it's

0:18:13.720 --> 0:18:16.720
<v Speaker 1>not just one country that's impacted, right, So everything was

0:18:16.760 --> 0:18:20.000
<v Speaker 1>shut down, so we had a tough time getting parts made,

0:18:20.040 --> 0:18:22.159
<v Speaker 1>getting them moved, bringing them in. Then you know, the

0:18:22.160 --> 0:18:24.800
<v Speaker 1>whole challenges of the local market of getting the workers in,

0:18:25.080 --> 0:18:28.040
<v Speaker 1>getting them you know, protecting them and keeping them safe.

0:18:28.280 --> 0:18:30.280
<v Speaker 1>And then even our dealers, you know, many of our

0:18:30.280 --> 0:18:33.400
<v Speaker 1>dealers had to transition to this new environment, so helping

0:18:33.440 --> 0:18:35.960
<v Speaker 1>them on the journey of digital marketing, helping them on

0:18:36.000 --> 0:18:39.200
<v Speaker 1>the journey of safe delivery cleaning equipment. So there was

0:18:39.240 --> 0:18:42.359
<v Speaker 1>a it was a pretty interesting and a lot of

0:18:42.400 --> 0:18:44.120
<v Speaker 1>work to be done in the last six sad months

0:18:44.200 --> 0:18:45.800
<v Speaker 1>that we had to go through. I hear and one

0:18:45.840 --> 0:18:47.840
<v Speaker 1>thing I want to ask you, so Charlie Pallatt are

0:18:47.960 --> 0:18:52.200
<v Speaker 1>our news broadcaster bringing that headline US covered nineteen deaths

0:18:52.240 --> 0:18:55.080
<v Speaker 1>to two fifty thousand. That is according to Johns Hopkins,

0:18:55.080 --> 0:18:58.160
<v Speaker 1>these are really troubling numbers. When you see these numbers,

0:18:58.200 --> 0:19:01.760
<v Speaker 1>you know, and we're starting to see cities and certainly

0:19:01.800 --> 0:19:04.800
<v Speaker 1>states are continuing to do rollbacks and shutting down parts

0:19:04.800 --> 0:19:08.000
<v Speaker 1>of their economy. What do you think about and how

0:19:08.080 --> 0:19:10.159
<v Speaker 1>might that impact your business? I mean, you guys have

0:19:10.240 --> 0:19:12.520
<v Speaker 1>seen kind of a benefit as more people have been home.

0:19:12.600 --> 0:19:15.720
<v Speaker 1>Do you anticipate then, in an odd way like we've

0:19:15.720 --> 0:19:17.680
<v Speaker 1>seen with a lot of businesses, whether it was Netflix

0:19:17.760 --> 0:19:21.639
<v Speaker 1>or some others or zoom Um or Peloton, that you

0:19:21.720 --> 0:19:26.560
<v Speaker 1>will continue to benefit as a result. Well, you know

0:19:26.640 --> 0:19:29.080
<v Speaker 1>it is it is a really sad situation and you know,

0:19:29.160 --> 0:19:34.240
<v Speaker 1>every LifeLock is tough to deal with. Since the point

0:19:34.359 --> 0:19:36.680
<v Speaker 1>is that the FED is announced. I think very a

0:19:36.760 --> 0:19:39.879
<v Speaker 1>benign interest rate regime over the next twelve to eighteen months.

0:19:39.880 --> 0:19:42.359
<v Speaker 1>So you know, money availability is there, and I'm hoping

0:19:42.400 --> 0:19:45.160
<v Speaker 1>that you know, there will be one more stimulus announced

0:19:45.480 --> 0:19:48.440
<v Speaker 1>fairly soon. And when these two come in, and if

0:19:48.480 --> 0:19:51.359
<v Speaker 1>this trend continues, I guess you know, people are going

0:19:51.400 --> 0:19:54.000
<v Speaker 1>to be stuck at home and you know, they need

0:19:54.040 --> 0:19:56.040
<v Speaker 1>things to do. And yeah, I do think that the

0:19:56.080 --> 0:19:58.760
<v Speaker 1>tractor industry will continue to do well, and you know,

0:19:58.800 --> 0:20:01.399
<v Speaker 1>people will want to improve their homes or you know,

0:20:01.400 --> 0:20:03.240
<v Speaker 1>you're also seeing a trend of people, you know, with

0:20:03.400 --> 0:20:07.400
<v Speaker 1>this work from home, the concept of distance to distance

0:20:07.440 --> 0:20:10.119
<v Speaker 1>has vanished. He's right, so many things have changed as

0:20:10.160 --> 0:20:13.679
<v Speaker 1>a result of COVID. That's Mahindra Agriculture North America's CEO

0:20:13.720 --> 0:20:17.240
<v Speaker 1>and president, Baron pop Late. You're listening to Bloomberg Business Week,

0:20:17.280 --> 0:20:21.000
<v Speaker 1>Still Ahead, Never Again, preventing Tomorrow's health crisis from the

0:20:21.000 --> 0:20:26.200
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg New Economy Forum. This is Bloomberg. This is Bloomberg

0:20:26.280 --> 0:20:30.640
<v Speaker 1>Business Week with GARYL. Masser from Bloomberg Radio. This week,

0:20:30.680 --> 0:20:34.200
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg hosted virtually it's third annual New Economy Forum. It's

0:20:34.200 --> 0:20:36.919
<v Speaker 1>four days of virtual programming each day focusing on a

0:20:36.960 --> 0:20:40.520
<v Speaker 1>different pillar that's facing the world. I moderated a conversation

0:20:40.560 --> 0:20:43.080
<v Speaker 1>on how the world can ensure that we never never

0:20:43.240 --> 0:20:47.040
<v Speaker 1>have another catastrophe like COVID nineteen and the panel included

0:20:47.080 --> 0:20:51.920
<v Speaker 1>Stefan Bonsal, chief executive Officer of Maderna, Regina, Dugan, CEO

0:20:52.000 --> 0:20:56.199
<v Speaker 1>at Welcome Leap, and Dr Woo Zoo, chief epidemiologist at

0:20:56.200 --> 0:20:59.359
<v Speaker 1>the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention. Here's some

0:20:59.440 --> 0:21:03.160
<v Speaker 1>of that conver station, including Durner's big news this week.

0:21:03.400 --> 0:21:07.399
<v Speaker 1>On Monday, we announced that the first deterim analysis of

0:21:07.560 --> 0:21:12.040
<v Speaker 1>face free study, the study of fluty thousand participants, so

0:21:12.280 --> 0:21:15.359
<v Speaker 1>the most ninety five percent pause see. But the piece

0:21:15.359 --> 0:21:17.879
<v Speaker 1>that makes me are most more excited is the fact

0:21:17.880 --> 0:21:21.120
<v Speaker 1>that of the eleven people with severe this is they

0:21:21.119 --> 0:21:23.840
<v Speaker 1>were all on plastival. We are none on the vaccine.

0:21:23.840 --> 0:21:25.680
<v Speaker 1>And so if you think about it, what does that mean.

0:21:26.240 --> 0:21:28.920
<v Speaker 1>I mean that once we get the final data within

0:21:28.960 --> 0:21:32.160
<v Speaker 1>the next you know, seven to fifteen days, we should

0:21:32.160 --> 0:21:33.879
<v Speaker 1>be able to see if this is confirmed that if

0:21:33.920 --> 0:21:36.520
<v Speaker 1>you get all vaccine, we have a ninety five percentation.

0:21:36.600 --> 0:21:40.280
<v Speaker 1>So having noticed this, and if you get disease you

0:21:40.280 --> 0:21:43.359
<v Speaker 1>will have mild symptoms, I mean, do not have severe disease.

0:21:43.400 --> 0:21:45.520
<v Speaker 1>And as we know, because well it's been a big

0:21:45.560 --> 0:21:49.320
<v Speaker 1>impact in terms of hospitalization of a patient during the

0:21:49.320 --> 0:21:52.320
<v Speaker 1>worst I tu for passion, during the world's death and

0:21:52.359 --> 0:21:54.600
<v Speaker 1>all the impact it has had, but only a human life,

0:21:54.600 --> 0:21:58.360
<v Speaker 1>of course, but on the mental health, on the economy,

0:21:58.640 --> 0:22:00.280
<v Speaker 1>we think this could be a game plan. And so

0:22:00.320 --> 0:22:04.399
<v Speaker 1>what's bothering now is getting the final data all looked up,

0:22:04.920 --> 0:22:08.960
<v Speaker 1>submitting these two regulatory agencies around the world, and hopefully

0:22:09.160 --> 0:22:12.200
<v Speaker 1>I wipe, getting the vaccine approven, the emergency used before

0:22:12.240 --> 0:22:14.560
<v Speaker 1>the end of a year. We're making as much product

0:22:14.560 --> 0:22:16.720
<v Speaker 1>as we can. And then we said, will I before

0:22:17.359 --> 0:22:20.119
<v Speaker 1>twenty million doses ready to ship as soon as we

0:22:20.119 --> 0:22:22.960
<v Speaker 1>have a regulatory report. All right, So that's certainly some

0:22:23.040 --> 0:22:25.000
<v Speaker 1>upbeat news. Dr who I want to bring you into

0:22:25.040 --> 0:22:27.280
<v Speaker 1>this conversation. When you and I spoke over the weekend,

0:22:27.640 --> 0:22:29.880
<v Speaker 1>I believe you were in shin Jong or had been

0:22:29.880 --> 0:22:32.640
<v Speaker 1>in shin Jong. China has done and I think most

0:22:32.680 --> 0:22:36.880
<v Speaker 1>would argue that as among the biggest, the most developed country,

0:22:36.920 --> 0:22:39.199
<v Speaker 1>you guys have done a good job in terms of

0:22:39.240 --> 0:22:43.760
<v Speaker 1>containing the virus. But even so, there continues to be breakout.

0:22:43.920 --> 0:22:46.320
<v Speaker 1>Where are we in China when it comes to COVID nineteen.

0:22:49.600 --> 0:22:51.840
<v Speaker 1>I just come back from a sin John. Now back

0:22:51.880 --> 0:22:56.320
<v Speaker 1>to the Beijing. We are just controlled another outbreak in

0:22:56.440 --> 0:23:01.199
<v Speaker 1>the Kashka shin Joan Wi, a parliament region. The epidemic

0:23:01.280 --> 0:23:05.400
<v Speaker 1>has started in the letter of October and brought under

0:23:05.440 --> 0:23:09.520
<v Speaker 1>control in the November. In the China, I think what

0:23:09.720 --> 0:23:14.080
<v Speaker 1>we did it to have very stronger sibilants and peaked

0:23:14.200 --> 0:23:18.439
<v Speaker 1>control the epidemic as a war. So go back to

0:23:18.480 --> 0:23:22.240
<v Speaker 1>the earlier response to the initial outbreak in Oha. Most

0:23:22.240 --> 0:23:25.840
<v Speaker 1>of the people suspect China delayed or does not responded

0:23:26.000 --> 0:23:29.280
<v Speaker 1>very quickly. Actually, I give you two examples. We did

0:23:29.320 --> 0:23:35.080
<v Speaker 1>a very bold decision. For example, when the outbreak first

0:23:35.240 --> 0:23:39.600
<v Speaker 1>noticed by doctors, that's a last December twenty seventh, and

0:23:39.680 --> 0:23:43.520
<v Speaker 1>the national experts arrived in the Wuhan, they made a

0:23:44.000 --> 0:23:48.640
<v Speaker 1>decision to close the seafood market. At that time they

0:23:48.640 --> 0:23:53.520
<v Speaker 1>were only forty cases and the twenty seven of them

0:23:53.560 --> 0:23:57.720
<v Speaker 1>had exposure to a seafood market. Methodic decision is a

0:23:57.800 --> 0:24:01.719
<v Speaker 1>tough and the national acts and the local expert as

0:24:01.800 --> 0:24:06.879
<v Speaker 1>different opinion, and the local expert has gone against to

0:24:07.400 --> 0:24:10.679
<v Speaker 1>achieve that a decision, and now that decision, it's a

0:24:10.760 --> 0:24:15.040
<v Speaker 1>chap down whist city. So we are responded to the

0:24:15.160 --> 0:24:17.840
<v Speaker 1>COVID nine team very quickly. We're quite to remove all

0:24:17.920 --> 0:24:22.040
<v Speaker 1>the right virus from a community to cleia up. That

0:24:22.080 --> 0:24:25.439
<v Speaker 1>makes society is say so now, China, I think it's

0:24:25.480 --> 0:24:31.639
<v Speaker 1>the best to the zero local transmission. Now, oh, y Riggin,

0:24:31.760 --> 0:24:33.080
<v Speaker 1>I want you to come in on this too. What

0:24:33.119 --> 0:24:35.119
<v Speaker 1>are you hearing from your network about kind of where

0:24:35.119 --> 0:24:37.440
<v Speaker 1>we are in this process and in this cycle in

0:24:37.520 --> 0:24:40.199
<v Speaker 1>terms of dealing with the virus. Well, I want to

0:24:40.240 --> 0:24:43.800
<v Speaker 1>calibrate for a moment, because remember, the normal time to

0:24:43.880 --> 0:24:47.119
<v Speaker 1>go from an outbreak to a vaccine is something like

0:24:47.240 --> 0:24:53.600
<v Speaker 1>five to ten years. So this achievement here is remarkable, unprecedented.

0:24:53.720 --> 0:24:56.639
<v Speaker 1>The team at Maderna goes from virus sequence to first

0:24:56.640 --> 0:25:00.240
<v Speaker 1>dosing in humans in sixty three days, and as fun

0:25:00.400 --> 0:25:03.000
<v Speaker 1>is fond of saying, that's an advance a decade in

0:25:03.000 --> 0:25:06.400
<v Speaker 1>the making. In fact, I remember a decade ago when

0:25:06.680 --> 0:25:11.080
<v Speaker 1>m RNA based vaccines were first proposed and the critics

0:25:11.080 --> 0:25:13.760
<v Speaker 1>said there was no evidence to suggest it would work,

0:25:14.280 --> 0:25:18.439
<v Speaker 1>and others said there is no evidence to suggest it won't.

0:25:18.560 --> 0:25:21.720
<v Speaker 1>We should try and if we are successful, it would matter,

0:25:22.080 --> 0:25:25.359
<v Speaker 1>And here we are today, in fact it matters. So

0:25:25.640 --> 0:25:29.480
<v Speaker 1>I think what we're hearing now is how do we

0:25:29.520 --> 0:25:33.800
<v Speaker 1>begin to work on the next pieces? So how do

0:25:33.840 --> 0:25:36.800
<v Speaker 1>we shorten the clinical trial? How do we begin to

0:25:37.119 --> 0:25:41.199
<v Speaker 1>get manufacturing underway so that we can couple the early

0:25:41.280 --> 0:25:44.240
<v Speaker 1>warning with a rapid response. And there's still much more

0:25:44.320 --> 0:25:47.560
<v Speaker 1>to do there. And in my view, this is the

0:25:47.840 --> 0:25:51.439
<v Speaker 1>spot Nick moment of our generation, right and in the

0:25:51.600 --> 0:25:55.280
<v Speaker 1>same way that sput Nick inspired a space age, so

0:25:55.400 --> 0:25:59.439
<v Speaker 1>to might this pandemic inspire a health age? Lots to do?

0:26:00.920 --> 0:26:03.159
<v Speaker 1>So I want to continue this conversation because now I

0:26:03.200 --> 0:26:05.120
<v Speaker 1>want to kind of look forward to the pull that's

0:26:05.119 --> 0:26:07.520
<v Speaker 1>out there. We'd love to hear your response the question.

0:26:07.560 --> 0:26:10.680
<v Speaker 1>We're asking, what are the lessons from Asia's successful response

0:26:10.680 --> 0:26:14.040
<v Speaker 1>to COVID nineteen. Some individual freedom must be sacrificed for

0:26:14.080 --> 0:26:17.359
<v Speaker 1>the public good, that's answer A answer B Early lockdowns,

0:26:17.400 --> 0:26:21.399
<v Speaker 1>reduced overall economic impact answers C more investment in digital

0:26:21.440 --> 0:26:25.680
<v Speaker 1>health infrastructure, including contact tracing and d face coverings work.

0:26:26.040 --> 0:26:28.600
<v Speaker 1>So having said that, we'll look for those responses. So

0:26:28.720 --> 0:26:31.000
<v Speaker 1>let me ask you, how do we make sure this

0:26:31.200 --> 0:26:34.639
<v Speaker 1>never ever happens again. Bloomberg New Economy said, there is

0:26:34.680 --> 0:26:37.120
<v Speaker 1>no greater challenge for our global leaders and figuring out

0:26:37.280 --> 0:26:40.680
<v Speaker 1>how to make sure this never happens again. Stefan, can

0:26:40.760 --> 0:26:44.439
<v Speaker 1>we do this? Do we now have the playbook? I

0:26:44.480 --> 0:26:46.919
<v Speaker 1>think we've learned a lot, And as Regina said, I mean,

0:26:47.040 --> 0:26:49.960
<v Speaker 1>first what has been done this year by scientists around

0:26:49.960 --> 0:26:53.400
<v Speaker 1>the world and the collaboration we have seen. He's unprecedented

0:26:53.400 --> 0:26:56.320
<v Speaker 1>in some of the speen. But we've learned a lot

0:26:56.359 --> 0:26:59.359
<v Speaker 1>as well. And I think there are two dimensions where

0:26:59.720 --> 0:27:04.280
<v Speaker 1>we should invest aggressively across the world in public private

0:27:04.320 --> 0:27:08.440
<v Speaker 1>partnership to reduce the time to get to a vacuum,

0:27:08.640 --> 0:27:11.920
<v Speaker 1>because as we know, you know, public measures are extremely

0:27:11.960 --> 0:27:15.920
<v Speaker 1>important and right now wearing a mask and social distancing

0:27:16.000 --> 0:27:19.240
<v Speaker 1>are critical. Treatment are very important to take care of

0:27:19.240 --> 0:27:22.080
<v Speaker 1>people in the hospital, but to really get back to normal,

0:27:22.119 --> 0:27:24.560
<v Speaker 1>we need to vaccinate people. And some of the focus

0:27:24.560 --> 0:27:27.240
<v Speaker 1>on the vaccine front, which is really the piece side

0:27:27.240 --> 0:27:30.080
<v Speaker 1>of the most So there are two things that I

0:27:30.080 --> 0:27:32.120
<v Speaker 1>think we need to really invest a lot of. One

0:27:32.400 --> 0:27:37.040
<v Speaker 1>is going after the top ten or twenty patrogens arrasies

0:27:37.640 --> 0:27:40.840
<v Speaker 1>that are known to be at risk and doing extensive

0:27:40.880 --> 0:27:46.520
<v Speaker 1>work doing all the poltical trilnical work in animals, run

0:27:46.600 --> 0:27:49.600
<v Speaker 1>phase one, which is when you decide what those do

0:27:49.640 --> 0:27:51.960
<v Speaker 1>you need, and then run phase two to give you

0:27:52.000 --> 0:27:55.199
<v Speaker 1>around the fousand people of safety. Because if we had

0:27:55.240 --> 0:27:59.680
<v Speaker 1>done that, for for example, mirth or salves the first

0:27:59.680 --> 0:28:03.040
<v Speaker 1>sal us before the start of a year, when we

0:28:03.119 --> 0:28:06.200
<v Speaker 1>got the sequence put online by the Chinese, we could

0:28:06.240 --> 0:28:08.720
<v Speaker 1>have right away gone into a phase three. So instead,

0:28:08.720 --> 0:28:11.240
<v Speaker 1>as Regina said on March six, seemed to start a

0:28:11.280 --> 0:28:13.560
<v Speaker 1>phase when we could have started the phase three if

0:28:13.600 --> 0:28:16.359
<v Speaker 1>we knew the dose and that already exposed enough people.

0:28:16.440 --> 0:28:20.320
<v Speaker 1>Because it's only a few sequence change of mutation. So

0:28:20.320 --> 0:28:23.560
<v Speaker 1>that's number one pre clinical and clinical work. And think

0:28:23.600 --> 0:28:27.240
<v Speaker 1>about it. I will guess estimate it's around twenty four

0:28:27.440 --> 0:28:30.760
<v Speaker 1>million dollar per virus, so times tennal twenty virus. It

0:28:30.880 --> 0:28:35.240
<v Speaker 1>is nothing at the global scalaber granet. The complete is manufacturing.

0:28:36.080 --> 0:28:39.440
<v Speaker 1>If we have had a big plant in Asia, a

0:28:39.480 --> 0:28:42.720
<v Speaker 1>big plant in Europe, a big in Africa, one in

0:28:42.760 --> 0:28:47.040
<v Speaker 1>the US North and Northern and souven hemisphere, that could

0:28:47.120 --> 0:28:50.480
<v Speaker 1>make say fifteen million dollars a month, you could have

0:28:50.520 --> 0:28:53.800
<v Speaker 1>had starting right away in January, fifty millions of the

0:28:53.840 --> 0:28:57.160
<v Speaker 1>month that will make you around for army and those plants.

0:28:57.160 --> 0:28:59.520
<v Speaker 1>By the summer, we have your face pre data. In

0:28:59.600 --> 0:29:05.200
<v Speaker 1>June we have fermiaca. Other people think about the different

0:29:05.280 --> 0:29:07.680
<v Speaker 1>the winter we will hopefully right now, step on. I

0:29:07.680 --> 0:29:09.640
<v Speaker 1>want to jump in because right I understand that we

0:29:09.640 --> 0:29:12.040
<v Speaker 1>could reduce the timeline. Dr Wu come in on this

0:29:12.040 --> 0:29:14.560
<v Speaker 1>because I think a big part of this discussion is

0:29:14.560 --> 0:29:17.120
<v Speaker 1>is it all about vaccines? Is it vaccines that save

0:29:17.200 --> 0:29:19.640
<v Speaker 1>the world. I mean the w h O warning that

0:29:19.720 --> 0:29:21.600
<v Speaker 1>they're not going to arrive in time for us to

0:29:21.600 --> 0:29:23.920
<v Speaker 1>really deal with this second wave of COVID and that

0:29:23.960 --> 0:29:26.520
<v Speaker 1>they should not be seen as a unicorn magic solution.

0:29:26.640 --> 0:29:29.240
<v Speaker 1>Dr Wu, Are vaccines the answer to all of this?

0:29:31.360 --> 0:29:33.600
<v Speaker 1>I think at this a moment is not yet. I

0:29:33.640 --> 0:29:37.880
<v Speaker 1>think because the question you asked about how to let

0:29:37.960 --> 0:29:41.160
<v Speaker 1>this happen again, I think most of the urgent question

0:29:41.280 --> 0:29:46.200
<v Speaker 1>how to bring the epidemic under control. It's a very urgent.

0:29:46.680 --> 0:29:48.880
<v Speaker 1>So just look at the beginning of the winter, the

0:29:48.960 --> 0:29:52.960
<v Speaker 1>number of the cases continue to rise in the European countries.

0:29:53.000 --> 0:29:56.480
<v Speaker 1>In the United States, number of dedy cases reaching over

0:29:57.200 --> 0:30:02.080
<v Speaker 1>sixty six hundred of sound in the that's enormous, So

0:30:02.240 --> 0:30:05.800
<v Speaker 1>when get to the winter, the number of kids that

0:30:05.840 --> 0:30:10.160
<v Speaker 1>will continue. I think the public health methods like we're masks,

0:30:10.280 --> 0:30:13.760
<v Speaker 1>social distance, hand washing and venti nation, all of these

0:30:13.840 --> 0:30:18.240
<v Speaker 1>public health and meathods still the major effective methods to

0:30:18.320 --> 0:30:22.280
<v Speaker 1>be used to control the epidemic. So the like saying

0:30:22.360 --> 0:30:27.640
<v Speaker 1>it's a good message is a good uh. Technical weapons

0:30:27.760 --> 0:30:32.320
<v Speaker 1>for control the epidemic, However, that cannot be used in

0:30:32.360 --> 0:30:37.040
<v Speaker 1>the winter or cannot be brought the epidemic under control

0:30:37.360 --> 0:30:40.880
<v Speaker 1>before next spring. So now we we think we need

0:30:40.920 --> 0:30:43.760
<v Speaker 1>to have two strategic go hand by hands of the

0:30:43.840 --> 0:30:48.920
<v Speaker 1>health at one hand and push vaccine other hands. That

0:30:49.040 --> 0:30:52.440
<v Speaker 1>was Dr who Uno, chief epidemiologist at the Chinese Center

0:30:52.440 --> 0:30:55.760
<v Speaker 1>for Disease Control and Prevention, along with Stefan Boncell, chief

0:30:55.760 --> 0:30:58.880
<v Speaker 1>executive officer at Maderna, and Regina do Gain, CEO at

0:30:58.880 --> 0:31:01.440
<v Speaker 1>Welcome Leap, and they were at this week's Bloomberg New

0:31:01.440 --> 0:31:04.680
<v Speaker 1>Economy Form talking about how to avoid another virus and

0:31:04.760 --> 0:31:08.680
<v Speaker 1>rebuild global public health catch more discussions with global leaders.

0:31:08.680 --> 0:31:11.040
<v Speaker 1>You could find that from the New Economy Forum just

0:31:11.080 --> 0:31:14.040
<v Speaker 1>go to New Economy form dot com and also Bloomberg

0:31:14.080 --> 0:31:16.120
<v Speaker 1>dot com. That wraps up the first hour of the

0:31:16.160 --> 0:31:18.880
<v Speaker 1>weekend edition of Bloomberg Business Week from Bloomberg Radio. I'm

0:31:18.920 --> 0:31:22.480
<v Speaker 1>Carol Masser. Were coming up in our next hour, including

0:31:22.960 --> 0:31:25.760
<v Speaker 1>exciting results when it comes to the vaccine this week,

0:31:25.760 --> 0:31:27.640
<v Speaker 1>but we've got to slow down. There are still lots

0:31:27.640 --> 0:31:31.320
<v Speaker 1>of questions to be answered about those results from Fiser

0:31:31.400 --> 0:31:34.320
<v Speaker 1>and Maderna will cover that story, plus creating the world's

0:31:34.320 --> 0:31:37.880
<v Speaker 1>safest restaurant franchise and the magic mushrooms that could change

0:31:37.920 --> 0:31:40.880
<v Speaker 1>the world for millions of people. That's coming up on

0:31:40.960 --> 0:31:47.200
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Business Week. This is Bloomberg. This is Bloomberg Business

0:31:47.280 --> 0:31:51.880
<v Speaker 1>Week with Carol Masser from Bloomberg Radio. Hi, I'm Carol Masser.

0:31:52.040 --> 0:31:54.000
<v Speaker 1>Coming up in our second hour of the weekend edition

0:31:54.000 --> 0:31:56.880
<v Speaker 1>of Bloomberg Business Week. Highlights from our daily radio show,

0:31:56.920 --> 0:31:59.440
<v Speaker 1>including stories in the magazine and some of our favorite

0:31:59.440 --> 0:32:03.240
<v Speaker 1>interview and then includes the restaurant franchise idea that started

0:32:03.280 --> 0:32:06.000
<v Speaker 1>out to do one thing and then found its footing

0:32:06.040 --> 0:32:08.360
<v Speaker 1>in a COVID nineteen world. We'll talk about that with

0:32:08.440 --> 0:32:12.160
<v Speaker 1>John Taffer, bar rescue host an executive producer. Also the

0:32:12.200 --> 0:32:15.600
<v Speaker 1>Insider's Guide to Jeopardy Yes, that wildly successful and long

0:32:15.680 --> 0:32:19.040
<v Speaker 1>running game show, and the magic mushrooms that the FDA

0:32:19.200 --> 0:32:23.160
<v Speaker 1>says are a breakthrough therapy. First up, though, another story

0:32:23.200 --> 0:32:27.240
<v Speaker 1>reported for Business Week about the optimism over vaccine developments

0:32:27.240 --> 0:32:30.560
<v Speaker 1>from both Fiser and Maderna, and yet, as Bloomberg News

0:32:30.560 --> 0:32:34.000
<v Speaker 1>health reporter James Patton points out, the remarkable vaccine results

0:32:34.080 --> 0:32:37.320
<v Speaker 1>leave a lot of questions unanswered. James joined us from London,

0:32:37.440 --> 0:32:40.600
<v Speaker 1>along with Bloomberg business Week editor Jill Weber, James Um

0:32:40.680 --> 0:32:43.120
<v Speaker 1>and Bob Lang wrote, this story actually just sort of

0:32:43.200 --> 0:32:45.280
<v Speaker 1>right off the heels of the Fightser News and then

0:32:45.280 --> 0:32:49.160
<v Speaker 1>then Dinners stuff happened. And I still think that all

0:32:49.200 --> 0:32:52.480
<v Speaker 1>the stuff that they raised in their story remains relevant.

0:32:53.200 --> 0:32:55.320
<v Speaker 1>And you know, the one that I think is the

0:32:55.400 --> 0:32:58.440
<v Speaker 1>elephant in the room is is one that I think, Carol,

0:32:58.560 --> 0:33:00.200
<v Speaker 1>just playing off of what you just said, I think

0:33:00.200 --> 0:33:03.680
<v Speaker 1>everyone is really interested in, which is how long will

0:33:03.720 --> 0:33:07.480
<v Speaker 1>this efficacy last? UM? So okay, it over to Mr

0:33:07.520 --> 0:33:09.840
<v Speaker 1>Patton with that what other question? Let's let's talk about

0:33:09.840 --> 0:33:13.080
<v Speaker 1>that question. But I'm also interested in the other unknowns

0:33:13.120 --> 0:33:15.800
<v Speaker 1>that UM. You know, we as journalists are are asking

0:33:15.800 --> 0:33:18.840
<v Speaker 1>about UM and will continue to ask about as the

0:33:19.560 --> 0:33:22.640
<v Speaker 1>race for a vaccine continues. Well, Joel mentioned one of

0:33:22.640 --> 0:33:25.360
<v Speaker 1>the big questions is how long that protection is going

0:33:25.400 --> 0:33:28.200
<v Speaker 1>to last. We we simply don't know the answer to

0:33:28.240 --> 0:33:32.640
<v Speaker 1>that or when the immunity could wear off. So we

0:33:32.680 --> 0:33:36.320
<v Speaker 1>don't know how often people may need to get booster

0:33:36.360 --> 0:33:40.640
<v Speaker 1>shots down the road. That's a significant UM question. UM

0:33:40.840 --> 0:33:44.520
<v Speaker 1>researchers are UM you know, also waiting for more data

0:33:44.640 --> 0:33:48.880
<v Speaker 1>on the vaccine's ability to prevent not just serious illness

0:33:48.920 --> 0:33:51.800
<v Speaker 1>but infections and to stop people from passing it on

0:33:51.840 --> 0:33:55.560
<v Speaker 1>to others. UM. So you know, we've seen two press

0:33:55.600 --> 0:34:00.680
<v Speaker 1>releases from from Viser and its German part or BioNTech,

0:34:00.720 --> 0:34:03.880
<v Speaker 1>and now from Maderna UH. And you know these are

0:34:03.960 --> 0:34:09.000
<v Speaker 1>hugely promising and the results are extraordinary. UM. But we

0:34:09.120 --> 0:34:12.320
<v Speaker 1>don't you know, have all the data yet that experts

0:34:12.400 --> 0:34:15.239
<v Speaker 1>need to UM to assess these products. Are still waiting

0:34:15.280 --> 0:34:19.200
<v Speaker 1>for some key UH safety data. The people who UM

0:34:19.280 --> 0:34:22.799
<v Speaker 1>ultimately receive the vaccines will need to be tracked you know,

0:34:22.880 --> 0:34:27.200
<v Speaker 1>for many months UH to monitor safety. So UM, you

0:34:27.239 --> 0:34:30.480
<v Speaker 1>know there are you know, not to mention the issues,

0:34:30.520 --> 0:34:33.560
<v Speaker 1>I mean you're talking about vaccine insitancy, How many people

0:34:33.600 --> 0:34:36.920
<v Speaker 1>are actually gonna take vaccines once they're rolled out, the

0:34:37.000 --> 0:34:42.719
<v Speaker 1>production and logistics, storage, distribution, all of those, all those

0:34:42.760 --> 0:34:45.759
<v Speaker 1>issues remain. So again, you know, we have to keep

0:34:45.800 --> 0:34:48.080
<v Speaker 1>in mind that what we're seeing in the past week

0:34:48.320 --> 0:34:51.279
<v Speaker 1>is a big turning point and and this is really

0:34:51.360 --> 0:34:54.560
<v Speaker 1>positive news, but we still have to uh, we still

0:34:54.600 --> 0:34:58.280
<v Speaker 1>have to wait to get answers to bunt of these questions. Okay, James,

0:34:58.280 --> 0:35:00.920
<v Speaker 1>I want to ask um specific just um, you know,

0:35:00.920 --> 0:35:02.799
<v Speaker 1>we had the Fiser stuff last week, We've had the

0:35:02.800 --> 0:35:07.520
<v Speaker 1>Mandernal stuff. I'm wondering, UM, how much we should be

0:35:07.719 --> 0:35:11.120
<v Speaker 1>reading into the differences between those two vaccines so far,

0:35:11.360 --> 0:35:13.480
<v Speaker 1>since that's you know, one of those other questions that

0:35:13.680 --> 0:35:17.200
<v Speaker 1>remains sort of um unanswered but very of the moment.

0:35:17.280 --> 0:35:21.480
<v Speaker 1>How how are you looking at the differences between them? Yeah, well,

0:35:21.520 --> 0:35:23.880
<v Speaker 1>it's a good it's a good question. I mean, the

0:35:23.880 --> 0:35:27.320
<v Speaker 1>the obvious um similarity is that both of these rely

0:35:27.840 --> 0:35:32.520
<v Speaker 1>on uh, you know, this novel technology known as messenger RNA.

0:35:33.800 --> 0:35:36.640
<v Speaker 1>Uh So you know that is an approach that's never

0:35:36.680 --> 0:35:42.120
<v Speaker 1>been used before to develop uh an approved vaccine. And um,

0:35:42.160 --> 0:35:45.319
<v Speaker 1>you know a number of others are using very different approaches.

0:35:45.719 --> 0:35:48.960
<v Speaker 1>But one of the um uh they actually I'm in

0:35:49.000 --> 0:35:53.239
<v Speaker 1>common is many of these vaccines under development are targeting uh.

0:35:53.320 --> 0:35:57.160
<v Speaker 1>You know, everyone's heard of the spike protein now, UM,

0:35:57.320 --> 0:36:01.040
<v Speaker 1>and that actually bodes well for many of the others

0:36:01.040 --> 0:36:04.880
<v Speaker 1>as well, like Astra Zeneca and its partner UM University

0:36:04.880 --> 0:36:08.719
<v Speaker 1>of Oxford that are going to have data coming coming soon.

0:36:09.239 --> 0:36:13.720
<v Speaker 1>But there is also a difference distinction between the Fiser

0:36:13.840 --> 0:36:18.800
<v Speaker 1>Majornas Majornay vaccines in terms of in terms of storage

0:36:18.880 --> 0:36:21.600
<v Speaker 1>and so that is um uh you know, that's another

0:36:21.719 --> 0:36:23.759
<v Speaker 1>another one that people are going to be closely um

0:36:23.920 --> 0:36:27.600
<v Speaker 1>following because UM that could you know, especially in the

0:36:27.600 --> 0:36:31.440
<v Speaker 1>case of the Fiser vaccine, that could uh could slow

0:36:31.480 --> 0:36:33.840
<v Speaker 1>things down a bit well. And actually, just to be

0:36:33.920 --> 0:36:36.479
<v Speaker 1>very specific though, yeah, James tell us, tell us about

0:36:36.480 --> 0:36:39.600
<v Speaker 1>the specific differences there, because the Fiser one obviously requires

0:36:39.920 --> 0:36:45.840
<v Speaker 1>a cold storage that's colder, colder than my Freds. Yeah,

0:36:45.880 --> 0:36:50.640
<v Speaker 1>exactly exactly. So UM. Basically today what was interesting is

0:36:50.800 --> 0:36:53.560
<v Speaker 1>and this is a this is a positive um, a

0:36:53.640 --> 0:36:57.920
<v Speaker 1>positive development. The UM the company pointed to data that

0:36:58.000 --> 0:37:02.720
<v Speaker 1>basically shows that the vaccine is able at refrigerator temperatures

0:37:02.880 --> 0:37:09.279
<v Speaker 1>for thirty days. Now that is much longer than previously estimated,

0:37:09.440 --> 0:37:12.719
<v Speaker 1>and that is very important because of those storage and

0:37:12.760 --> 0:37:15.839
<v Speaker 1>distribution uh issues that we're talking about that are seen

0:37:15.880 --> 0:37:18.920
<v Speaker 1>as big challenges. So, you know, Fiser's vaccine needs to

0:37:18.920 --> 0:37:22.120
<v Speaker 1>be stored at these like ultra cold temperatures until a

0:37:22.120 --> 0:37:24.759
<v Speaker 1>few days before it's used. Um. And so those are

0:37:24.760 --> 0:37:27.919
<v Speaker 1>important distinctions between the two. I think in the case

0:37:27.920 --> 0:37:30.400
<v Speaker 1>of the Madurna vaccine, it could be kept in freezers

0:37:30.440 --> 0:37:33.200
<v Speaker 1>though um it doesn't need um. You know, it doesn't

0:37:33.239 --> 0:37:36.160
<v Speaker 1>need the same kind of facilities that the Fiser vaccine

0:37:36.200 --> 0:37:39.080
<v Speaker 1>will will will need ultimately. So so that's a big

0:37:39.880 --> 0:37:43.160
<v Speaker 1>that's a big issue, uh down the track. Yeah, that's

0:37:43.160 --> 0:37:45.239
<v Speaker 1>a reminder that there are still several big issues about

0:37:45.239 --> 0:37:47.920
<v Speaker 1>getting a vaccine out to the world. That was Bloomberg

0:37:47.920 --> 0:37:50.920
<v Speaker 1>Health reporter James Patton and Bloomberg business Week getitor Joel Weber.

0:37:51.000 --> 0:37:53.040
<v Speaker 1>That story, by the way, written by James along with

0:37:53.040 --> 0:37:56.719
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg healthcare reporter Bob la Greth. You're listening to Bloomberg

0:37:56.760 --> 0:37:59.319
<v Speaker 1>Business Week. I suggest that the next thing people are

0:37:59.360 --> 0:38:01.640
<v Speaker 1>gonna do after they get the vaccine as go to dinner.

0:38:01.880 --> 0:38:04.480
<v Speaker 1>It started as an idea before COVID as a solution

0:38:04.520 --> 0:38:07.200
<v Speaker 1>to a very tight labor market. Now it's finding itself

0:38:07.280 --> 0:38:09.879
<v Speaker 1>right at home in the pandemic that's coming up. This

0:38:09.920 --> 0:38:18.000
<v Speaker 1>is Bloomberg. This is Bloomberg Business Week with Carol Masser

0:38:18.280 --> 0:38:21.920
<v Speaker 1>from Bloomberg Radio. Hi, I'm Karl Masser. Coming up in

0:38:21.920 --> 0:38:24.560
<v Speaker 1>our second hour of the weekend edition of Bloomberg Business Week.

0:38:24.719 --> 0:38:27.279
<v Speaker 1>Highlights from our daily radio show, including stories in the

0:38:27.280 --> 0:38:30.480
<v Speaker 1>magazine and some of our favorite interviews, and then includes

0:38:30.520 --> 0:38:33.520
<v Speaker 1>the restaurant franchise idea that started out to do one

0:38:33.600 --> 0:38:36.880
<v Speaker 1>thing and then found its footing in a COVID nineteen world.

0:38:37.040 --> 0:38:39.439
<v Speaker 1>We'll talk about that with John Taffer, bar rescue host

0:38:39.480 --> 0:38:43.439
<v Speaker 1>an executive producer. Also the Insider's Guide to Jeopardy, Yes,

0:38:43.480 --> 0:38:46.880
<v Speaker 1>that wildly successful and long running game show, and the

0:38:46.920 --> 0:38:51.520
<v Speaker 1>magic mushrooms that the FDA says our breakthrough therapy. First up,

0:38:51.520 --> 0:38:55.239
<v Speaker 1>though another story reported for Business Week about the optimism

0:38:55.400 --> 0:38:58.960
<v Speaker 1>over vaccine developments from both Fiser and Maderna, and yet,

0:38:59.120 --> 0:39:02.000
<v Speaker 1>as Bloomberg News health reporter James Patton points out, the

0:39:02.080 --> 0:39:05.719
<v Speaker 1>remarkable vaccine results leave a lot of questions unanswered. James

0:39:05.800 --> 0:39:08.440
<v Speaker 1>joined us from London along with Bloomberg Business we getitor

0:39:08.560 --> 0:39:11.320
<v Speaker 1>Joe Weber, James m and Bob Langwith wrote this story

0:39:11.400 --> 0:39:13.520
<v Speaker 1>actually just sort of right off the heels of the

0:39:13.520 --> 0:39:16.719
<v Speaker 1>Fighter News and then the Benners stuff happens, and I

0:39:16.719 --> 0:39:19.880
<v Speaker 1>still think that all the stuff that they raised in

0:39:20.080 --> 0:39:23.880
<v Speaker 1>their story remains relevant. And you know, the one that

0:39:24.080 --> 0:39:26.560
<v Speaker 1>I think is the elephant in the room is is

0:39:26.640 --> 0:39:28.799
<v Speaker 1>one that I think, Carol, just playing off of what

0:39:28.880 --> 0:39:31.000
<v Speaker 1>you just said, I think everyone is really interested in,

0:39:31.040 --> 0:39:36.240
<v Speaker 1>which is how long will this efficacy last? UM? So Okay,

0:39:36.280 --> 0:39:38.320
<v Speaker 1>it over to Mr Patton with that what other question?

0:39:38.400 --> 0:39:40.720
<v Speaker 1>Let's let's talk about that question. But I'm also interested

0:39:40.719 --> 0:39:43.680
<v Speaker 1>in the other unknowns that UM. You know, we as

0:39:43.760 --> 0:39:46.800
<v Speaker 1>journalists are are asking about UM and will continue to

0:39:46.840 --> 0:39:51.560
<v Speaker 1>ask about as the race for a vaccine continues. Mentioned

0:39:51.840 --> 0:39:54.400
<v Speaker 1>one of the big questions is how long that protection

0:39:54.520 --> 0:39:57.000
<v Speaker 1>is going to ask we we simply don't know the

0:39:57.080 --> 0:40:01.200
<v Speaker 1>answer to that or when we immediate would wear off,

0:40:01.640 --> 0:40:05.160
<v Speaker 1>So we don't know how often people may need to

0:40:05.160 --> 0:40:09.080
<v Speaker 1>get booster shots down the road. That's a significant UM question.

0:40:09.840 --> 0:40:13.520
<v Speaker 1>UM researchers are UM you know, also waiting for more

0:40:13.600 --> 0:40:17.880
<v Speaker 1>data on the vaccine's ability to prevent not just serious

0:40:17.880 --> 0:40:21.080
<v Speaker 1>illness but infections and to stop people from passing it

0:40:21.120 --> 0:40:24.640
<v Speaker 1>on to others. UM. So you know, we've seen two

0:40:24.680 --> 0:40:29.680
<v Speaker 1>press releases from from Fiser and its German partner by

0:40:29.719 --> 0:40:32.960
<v Speaker 1>on Tech and now from Manserta. UH. And you know,

0:40:33.000 --> 0:40:38.160
<v Speaker 1>these are hugely promising and the results are extraordinary. UM,

0:40:38.160 --> 0:40:41.000
<v Speaker 1>but we don't you know, have all the data yet

0:40:41.000 --> 0:40:44.200
<v Speaker 1>that experts need to um to assess these products. Are

0:40:44.200 --> 0:40:47.720
<v Speaker 1>still waiting for some key UH safety data. The people

0:40:47.760 --> 0:40:50.879
<v Speaker 1>who UM ultimately receive the vaccines will need to be

0:40:51.440 --> 0:40:54.800
<v Speaker 1>tracked you know, for many months uh to monitor safety.

0:40:55.040 --> 0:40:58.680
<v Speaker 1>So UM, you know there are you know, not to

0:40:58.719 --> 0:41:02.080
<v Speaker 1>mention the issues. I mean you were talking about vaccine hesitancy,

0:41:02.400 --> 0:41:04.879
<v Speaker 1>how many people are actually gonna take vaccines once they're

0:41:04.960 --> 0:41:10.960
<v Speaker 1>rolled out, the production and logistics, storage, distribution, all of those,

0:41:11.640 --> 0:41:14.719
<v Speaker 1>all of those issues remain. So again, you know, we

0:41:14.760 --> 0:41:16.759
<v Speaker 1>have to give in mind that what we're seeing in

0:41:16.760 --> 0:41:19.879
<v Speaker 1>the past week is a big turning point and and

0:41:20.080 --> 0:41:23.600
<v Speaker 1>this is really positive news, but we still have to uh,

0:41:23.680 --> 0:41:25.640
<v Speaker 1>we still have to wait to get answers to onto

0:41:25.680 --> 0:41:30.120
<v Speaker 1>these questions. James, I want to ask um specifically just UM,

0:41:30.160 --> 0:41:32.040
<v Speaker 1>you know, we had the Visor stuff last week, we've

0:41:32.040 --> 0:41:36.480
<v Speaker 1>had the Mandernist stuff. I'm wondering, UM, how much we

0:41:36.520 --> 0:41:39.880
<v Speaker 1>should be reading into the differences between those two vaccines

0:41:40.160 --> 0:41:42.279
<v Speaker 1>so far since that's you know, one of those other

0:41:42.360 --> 0:41:46.160
<v Speaker 1>questions that remains sort of um unanswered but very of

0:41:46.200 --> 0:41:48.320
<v Speaker 1>the moment. How how are you looking at the differences

0:41:48.360 --> 0:41:52.080
<v Speaker 1>between them? Yeah, well, it's a good it's a good question.

0:41:52.120 --> 0:41:55.799
<v Speaker 1>I mean, the the obvious um similarity is that both

0:41:55.800 --> 0:41:59.719
<v Speaker 1>of these rely on uh you know this novel technology

0:41:59.719 --> 0:42:05.239
<v Speaker 1>known messenger RNA. UH. So you know that is an

0:42:05.239 --> 0:42:08.359
<v Speaker 1>approach that's never been used before to develop uh an

0:42:08.360 --> 0:42:12.800
<v Speaker 1>approved vaccine. And um you know a number of others

0:42:12.800 --> 0:42:16.960
<v Speaker 1>are using very different approaches. But one of the um

0:42:17.080 --> 0:42:19.640
<v Speaker 1>uh they actually have in common is many of these

0:42:20.239 --> 0:42:24.120
<v Speaker 1>vaccines under development are targeting uh you know, everyone's heard

0:42:24.120 --> 0:42:28.400
<v Speaker 1>of the spike protein now um, and that actually bodes

0:42:28.480 --> 0:42:31.400
<v Speaker 1>well for many of the others as well, like astros

0:42:31.440 --> 0:42:35.040
<v Speaker 1>Eneka and its partner UM University of Oxford that are

0:42:35.040 --> 0:42:39.000
<v Speaker 1>going to have a data coming coming soon. But there

0:42:39.120 --> 0:42:45.240
<v Speaker 1>is also a difference distinction between the fiveser Majorna's Majorna

0:42:45.360 --> 0:42:48.600
<v Speaker 1>vaccines in terms of in terms of storage and so

0:42:48.640 --> 0:42:51.560
<v Speaker 1>that is um uh you know, that's another another one

0:42:51.600 --> 0:42:54.360
<v Speaker 1>that people are going to be closely um following, because

0:42:54.719 --> 0:42:57.440
<v Speaker 1>um that could you know, especially in the case of

0:42:57.480 --> 0:43:01.680
<v Speaker 1>the Fiser vaccine, that could could slow things down a bit.

0:43:02.120 --> 0:43:05.080
<v Speaker 1>Well actually, just to be very specific though, yeah, tell

0:43:05.160 --> 0:43:07.520
<v Speaker 1>us tell us about the specific differences there, because the

0:43:07.520 --> 0:43:11.960
<v Speaker 1>Fiser one obviously requires a cold storage that's colder, colder

0:43:12.000 --> 0:43:19.200
<v Speaker 1>than myphreds. Yeah, exactly exactly. So UM basically today what

0:43:19.280 --> 0:43:21.200
<v Speaker 1>was interesting is and this is a this is a

0:43:21.239 --> 0:43:26.760
<v Speaker 1>positive UM, a positive development. The UM the company pointed

0:43:26.800 --> 0:43:29.719
<v Speaker 1>to data that basically shows that the vaccine is stable

0:43:30.320 --> 0:43:35.839
<v Speaker 1>at refrigerator temperatures for thirty days. Now that is much

0:43:35.920 --> 0:43:41.480
<v Speaker 1>longer than previously estimated, and that is very important because

0:43:41.520 --> 0:43:44.560
<v Speaker 1>of those storage and distribution uh issues that we're talking

0:43:44.560 --> 0:43:47.000
<v Speaker 1>about that they're seen as big challenges. So you know,

0:43:47.080 --> 0:43:50.160
<v Speaker 1>Fisers vaccine needs to be stored at these like ultra

0:43:50.280 --> 0:43:53.600
<v Speaker 1>cold temperatures until a few days before it's used. Um.

0:43:53.640 --> 0:43:56.680
<v Speaker 1>And so those are important distinctions between the two. I

0:43:56.719 --> 0:43:58.680
<v Speaker 1>think in the case of the Majorna vaccine, it could

0:43:58.719 --> 0:44:02.319
<v Speaker 1>be kept in freezers. UM. It doesn't need um, you know,

0:44:02.320 --> 0:44:04.239
<v Speaker 1>it doesn't need the same kind of facilities that the

0:44:04.520 --> 0:44:08.200
<v Speaker 1>Defiser vaccine will will will need ultimately. So so that's

0:44:08.200 --> 0:44:12.399
<v Speaker 1>a big that's a big issue, uh down the track. Yeah,

0:44:12.400 --> 0:44:14.399
<v Speaker 1>that's a reminder that there are still several big issues

0:44:14.440 --> 0:44:16.840
<v Speaker 1>about getting a vaccine out to the world. That was

0:44:16.880 --> 0:44:19.760
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Health reporter James Patton and Bloomberg Business wee getitor

0:44:19.840 --> 0:44:22.080
<v Speaker 1>Joel Webber. That's story, by the way, written by James

0:44:22.160 --> 0:44:25.560
<v Speaker 1>along with Bloomberg healthcare reporter Bob blain Grith. You're listening

0:44:25.600 --> 0:44:28.359
<v Speaker 1>to Bloomberg Business Week. I suggest that the next thing

0:44:28.440 --> 0:44:30.480
<v Speaker 1>people are gonna do after they get the vaccine is

0:44:30.480 --> 0:44:33.160
<v Speaker 1>go to dinner. It started as an idea before COVID

0:44:33.239 --> 0:44:35.799
<v Speaker 1>as a solution to a very tight labor market. Now

0:44:35.800 --> 0:44:38.520
<v Speaker 1>it's finding itself right at home in the pandemic that's

0:44:38.520 --> 0:44:45.959
<v Speaker 1>coming up. This is Bloomberg. This is Bloomberg Business Week

0:44:46.120 --> 0:44:55.360
<v Speaker 1>with Carol Masser from Bloomberg Radio. You know that sound

0:44:55.400 --> 0:44:58.120
<v Speaker 1>that is, of course from the game show Jeopardy. And

0:44:58.160 --> 0:45:00.200
<v Speaker 1>we recently got the sad news of the past thing

0:45:00.200 --> 0:45:02.600
<v Speaker 1>of Alex Trebek at the age of eighty. Now he

0:45:02.680 --> 0:45:05.840
<v Speaker 1>and the show Jeopardy inextricably linked, as Trebek hosted the

0:45:05.880 --> 0:45:09.800
<v Speaker 1>show for thirty seven years. Journalist Claire mcneir has written

0:45:09.800 --> 0:45:12.200
<v Speaker 1>a book about the show. It's entitled Answers in the

0:45:12.200 --> 0:45:15.879
<v Speaker 1>Form of Questions, A Definitive History and Insider's Guide to Jeopardy.

0:45:16.040 --> 0:45:18.120
<v Speaker 1>She gives us behind the scenes look into one of

0:45:18.160 --> 0:45:21.360
<v Speaker 1>America's most popular and successful game shows, clear by the

0:45:21.360 --> 0:45:23.680
<v Speaker 1>Way as a writer for The Ringer, where she covers

0:45:23.680 --> 0:45:26.759
<v Speaker 1>sports and culture. We began by talking about the top

0:45:26.760 --> 0:45:30.920
<v Speaker 1>performing contestant, Ken Jennings. Kind of such an interesting figure

0:45:31.120 --> 0:45:34.440
<v Speaker 1>in Jeopardy's history, and obviously I am biased now that

0:45:34.480 --> 0:45:37.200
<v Speaker 1>he has written my forward, but he is really a delight.

0:45:37.520 --> 0:45:39.759
<v Speaker 1>He was first on the show in in two thousand four,

0:45:39.800 --> 0:45:41.920
<v Speaker 1>and he won seventy four games and of course became

0:45:41.960 --> 0:45:44.239
<v Speaker 1>this kind of national sensation in this been on the

0:45:44.239 --> 0:45:48.720
<v Speaker 1>show um many times since then, including this past January

0:45:48.719 --> 0:45:50.600
<v Speaker 1>when he won the Greatest of All Time tournament, and

0:45:50.920 --> 0:45:53.080
<v Speaker 1>so that he had kind of retired from Jeopardy game

0:45:53.080 --> 0:45:55.720
<v Speaker 1>plan now is actually a consulting producer with the show.

0:45:55.800 --> 0:46:00.839
<v Speaker 1>But he's really interesting case because he he has been

0:46:00.880 --> 0:46:04.760
<v Speaker 1>able to sort of track these changes in the way

0:46:04.840 --> 0:46:09.000
<v Speaker 1>that m Jeopardy is played over the years, and that

0:46:09.040 --> 0:46:10.839
<v Speaker 1>was that was really something I was curious about going

0:46:10.880 --> 0:46:12.759
<v Speaker 1>into the book and wanted to highlight. He He has

0:46:12.800 --> 0:46:15.640
<v Speaker 1>said that really what we're seeing right now is kind

0:46:15.640 --> 0:46:18.080
<v Speaker 1>of a moneyball moment for Jeopardy where it used to

0:46:18.080 --> 0:46:21.000
<v Speaker 1>be in two thousand four, even ten years ago, but

0:46:21.080 --> 0:46:23.120
<v Speaker 1>even less than that. It used to be like, if

0:46:23.160 --> 0:46:25.080
<v Speaker 1>you were preparing for Jeopardy, you got the call to

0:46:25.120 --> 0:46:27.200
<v Speaker 1>go on and and tape an episode, you had baby

0:46:27.239 --> 0:46:29.360
<v Speaker 1>three weeks before your taping, you know, make some flash

0:46:29.400 --> 0:46:31.480
<v Speaker 1>cards for the presidents and vice presidents and then you'd

0:46:31.520 --> 0:46:34.799
<v Speaker 1>you'd be good to go. But now people prepare in

0:46:34.840 --> 0:46:38.440
<v Speaker 1>this rigorous kind of academic way. In physical ways, people

0:46:38.480 --> 0:46:41.640
<v Speaker 1>try to shave down uh their reaction time so that

0:46:41.680 --> 0:46:44.520
<v Speaker 1>they can master the buzzer more effectively. They they you know,

0:46:44.680 --> 0:46:46.759
<v Speaker 1>use all kinds of mass to tell them what to

0:46:46.760 --> 0:46:49.439
<v Speaker 1>do in Final Jeopardy, and with daily doubles, it's it's

0:46:49.480 --> 0:46:53.239
<v Speaker 1>become this really kind of advanced statistic sort of thing. Yeah,

0:46:53.239 --> 0:46:54.759
<v Speaker 1>it's like the good old days and we just take

0:46:54.800 --> 0:46:56.719
<v Speaker 1>the s a T and we didn't really think about it.

0:46:56.840 --> 0:47:01.440
<v Speaker 1>Now it's like, man, everybody's got like, hey, listen, tell

0:47:01.520 --> 0:47:04.400
<v Speaker 1>us about the test that contestants take, because my understanding

0:47:04.480 --> 0:47:07.640
<v Speaker 1>is that Alex used to take it a lot, and

0:47:07.680 --> 0:47:12.040
<v Speaker 1>I'm wondering, didn't you take it? I did? Unfortunately yes,

0:47:12.320 --> 0:47:17.120
<v Speaker 1>M Yeah, So the any any aspiring Jeopardy contestant takes

0:47:17.160 --> 0:47:20.520
<v Speaker 1>a fifty question UM online tests and it's the kind

0:47:20.560 --> 0:47:22.439
<v Speaker 1>of material you would see on the show. You don't

0:47:22.480 --> 0:47:24.920
<v Speaker 1>have to write in UM the who is or the

0:47:24.960 --> 0:47:26.880
<v Speaker 1>what is, but it is that same kind of general

0:47:26.920 --> 0:47:28.919
<v Speaker 1>interest sort of stuff you would see on any any

0:47:28.920 --> 0:47:32.719
<v Speaker 1>given night. And it is generally thought that thirty five

0:47:32.800 --> 0:47:35.320
<v Speaker 1>out of fifty is a passing score. It's a really

0:47:35.360 --> 0:47:37.839
<v Speaker 1>hard test, but they don't even tell you how you do,

0:47:38.080 --> 0:47:41.359
<v Speaker 1>much less what a passing score is. So of course

0:47:41.400 --> 0:47:43.279
<v Speaker 1>it becomes this thing where after people take the test,

0:47:43.360 --> 0:47:46.000
<v Speaker 1>they huddle with other contestants to compare answers and they

0:47:46.000 --> 0:47:48.040
<v Speaker 1>figure out exactly how they did. It's like being in

0:47:48.160 --> 0:47:52.960
<v Speaker 1>high school again, right exactly exactly, And and if they

0:47:53.000 --> 0:47:56.560
<v Speaker 1>do pass, they might get invited then to an audition

0:47:56.800 --> 0:47:58.600
<v Speaker 1>where they basically do the same thing over again. And

0:47:58.640 --> 0:48:00.880
<v Speaker 1>of course what that looks like now is you do

0:48:00.960 --> 0:48:03.400
<v Speaker 1>it over a video with with one of the show's

0:48:03.440 --> 0:48:06.480
<v Speaker 1>producers and contesting coordinators UM, and it kind of in

0:48:06.520 --> 0:48:09.520
<v Speaker 1>real time saying the answers UM, and then if you

0:48:09.560 --> 0:48:12.440
<v Speaker 1>pass that, you move on to sort of a buzzer audition.

0:48:12.480 --> 0:48:14.560
<v Speaker 1>Can you play the game? Would you? Would you work

0:48:14.640 --> 0:48:17.640
<v Speaker 1>on television kind of thing. Um, and and then you

0:48:17.719 --> 0:48:20.160
<v Speaker 1>might get invited to the show after after that final stuff.

0:48:20.200 --> 0:48:23.920
<v Speaker 1>But yes, I was more or less tricked into taking

0:48:23.920 --> 0:48:26.759
<v Speaker 1>the test by the producers. I'd I had gone to

0:48:27.120 --> 0:48:29.680
<v Speaker 1>for the book basically file and one of one of

0:48:29.680 --> 0:48:33.000
<v Speaker 1>the auditions last year, and uh, at the last minute

0:48:33.000 --> 0:48:35.359
<v Speaker 1>they informed me that I would be required to take

0:48:35.400 --> 0:48:38.120
<v Speaker 1>the past as well, and need lessen said, you will

0:48:38.160 --> 0:48:40.600
<v Speaker 1>not be seeing me on Jeopardy anytime, and which is

0:48:40.680 --> 0:48:43.960
<v Speaker 1>absolutely for the best. I know. That's that's UM with you.

0:48:44.120 --> 0:48:46.319
<v Speaker 1>I'm with you on that. Um. What I want to

0:48:46.360 --> 0:48:52.479
<v Speaker 1>ask you is Alex Trebeck. What was he like? Yeah,

0:48:52.760 --> 0:48:56.880
<v Speaker 1>he he was. He was so what he seemed like

0:48:57.120 --> 0:49:00.200
<v Speaker 1>on the show. He he so much. Was that that

0:49:00.320 --> 0:49:05.120
<v Speaker 1>kind of scholarly, smart, sharp, curious, kind of a cerbic,

0:49:05.200 --> 0:49:11.000
<v Speaker 1>self deprecating person. He was really funny too, and I think, well,

0:49:11.160 --> 0:49:15.279
<v Speaker 1>one of my favorite discoveries in this was, um, you

0:49:15.280 --> 0:49:18.319
<v Speaker 1>could see at the end of episodes Alex Turbec approaches

0:49:18.440 --> 0:49:21.080
<v Speaker 1>the contestants podiums and and kind of has like a

0:49:21.120 --> 0:49:23.560
<v Speaker 1>chit chat, shakes the champions hand, but you can't hear

0:49:23.560 --> 0:49:25.359
<v Speaker 1>what they're saying. They turned the mics off for that,

0:49:25.840 --> 0:49:28.239
<v Speaker 1>and I talked to a whole lot of contestants who

0:49:28.239 --> 0:49:30.160
<v Speaker 1>had been on the stage, and what they said is

0:49:30.200 --> 0:49:32.440
<v Speaker 1>that more often than not, what he was saying was

0:49:32.680 --> 0:49:34.960
<v Speaker 1>he just wanted to talk about whatever the final Jeopardy

0:49:35.040 --> 0:49:37.080
<v Speaker 1>question is. Then he wanted to ask the people who

0:49:37.120 --> 0:49:38.880
<v Speaker 1>got it, how did you work that out? And he

0:49:39.360 --> 0:49:42.120
<v Speaker 1>wanted to kind of softly chib the people who didn't

0:49:42.120 --> 0:49:44.279
<v Speaker 1>get there, who of course are heartbroken that they were

0:49:44.320 --> 0:49:47.719
<v Speaker 1>just lost on Jeopardy, And he just he he really

0:49:47.760 --> 0:49:50.320
<v Speaker 1>did care about those things. He cared about the trivia.

0:49:50.400 --> 0:49:52.560
<v Speaker 1>It was important to him, um and I think that

0:49:52.680 --> 0:49:54.960
<v Speaker 1>just it came through in his hosting, and I think

0:49:54.960 --> 0:49:57.520
<v Speaker 1>it did so much to help the show have that identity.

0:49:58.320 --> 0:50:01.280
<v Speaker 1>I mean, it is it is so hard to imagine

0:50:01.360 --> 0:50:04.040
<v Speaker 1>Jeopardy without Alex Trebeck. You know. I think Ken Jennings

0:50:04.080 --> 0:50:07.200
<v Speaker 1>and bodies a lot of what people would want in

0:50:07.200 --> 0:50:09.440
<v Speaker 1>the Jeopardy contestant in that he has a lot of

0:50:09.440 --> 0:50:11.759
<v Speaker 1>those same qualities, and that he is very smart, he

0:50:11.840 --> 0:50:14.920
<v Speaker 1>does care very much about these things. He is funny,

0:50:15.320 --> 0:50:17.680
<v Speaker 1>obviously because he's been on the show so much over

0:50:17.680 --> 0:50:21.480
<v Speaker 1>the last sixteen years. He is kind of synonymous with Jeopardy,

0:50:21.760 --> 0:50:24.719
<v Speaker 1>we shall see what happens. That's Clara mcneir, writer for

0:50:24.719 --> 0:50:26.960
<v Speaker 1>The Ringer, where she covers sports and culture. Her book

0:50:27.040 --> 0:50:30.279
<v Speaker 1>Answers in the Form of Questions, A Definitive History and

0:50:30.360 --> 0:50:33.680
<v Speaker 1>Insider's Guide to Jeopardy. Here's a question, who will be

0:50:33.760 --> 0:50:36.279
<v Speaker 1>the next host of Jeopardy? All right? Straight ahead on

0:50:36.360 --> 0:50:39.400
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Business Week. Someone who is trying to find answers

0:50:39.440 --> 0:50:42.600
<v Speaker 1>for millions of sufferers and the answer that may lay

0:50:42.680 --> 0:50:45.600
<v Speaker 1>in something that's been around for thousands of years. This

0:50:45.719 --> 0:50:50.440
<v Speaker 1>is Bloomberg. This is Bloomberg Business Week with GARYL. Masser

0:50:50.760 --> 0:50:53.759
<v Speaker 1>from Bloomberg Radio. We're gonna wrap up this week with

0:50:53.880 --> 0:50:57.240
<v Speaker 1>something innovative, provocative and still yet in the early phase

0:50:57.360 --> 0:51:00.000
<v Speaker 1>and be featured in an upcoming edition of Bloomberg bus

0:51:00.000 --> 0:51:02.840
<v Speaker 1>As we talks. It's about one of this year's successful

0:51:02.880 --> 0:51:05.120
<v Speaker 1>I p O is a company that has patented a

0:51:05.160 --> 0:51:08.040
<v Speaker 1>synthetic version of the active ingredient and so called magic

0:51:08.120 --> 0:51:11.759
<v Speaker 1>mushrooms for use in treatment resistant depression. We caught up

0:51:11.760 --> 0:51:15.200
<v Speaker 1>with Compass Pathways chairman, CEO and co founder George Goldsmith.

0:51:15.480 --> 0:51:17.720
<v Speaker 1>He joined us from London and talked to us about

0:51:17.840 --> 0:51:20.879
<v Speaker 1>what has been a very personal story from our point

0:51:20.880 --> 0:51:24.880
<v Speaker 1>of view. We had our son really struggled with mental

0:51:24.880 --> 0:51:27.480
<v Speaker 1>health issues when he lent to university, like far too

0:51:27.480 --> 0:51:31.399
<v Speaker 1>many young people do. We thought, how hard could this be?

0:51:31.440 --> 0:51:34.080
<v Speaker 1>You know, they're good treatments and therapies, Yet the more

0:51:34.120 --> 0:51:37.400
<v Speaker 1>he encountered, the more difficult it was for him to

0:51:37.760 --> 0:51:40.279
<v Speaker 1>be recognizable to us with the side effects, and it

0:51:40.360 --> 0:51:43.759
<v Speaker 1>didn't really help him. So we then started talking to

0:51:44.080 --> 0:51:46.440
<v Speaker 1>lots of different people doing our own research, my co

0:51:46.560 --> 0:51:51.400
<v Speaker 1>founder and wife as Guy, as a doctor and in

0:51:51.480 --> 0:51:56.760
<v Speaker 1>her own researchers, she stumbled across philocybin and philocybin research

0:51:56.840 --> 0:52:00.359
<v Speaker 1>and we became really intrigued by this um. The other

0:52:00.400 --> 0:52:03.400
<v Speaker 1>thing that happened simultaneously is the more people we talked

0:52:03.440 --> 0:52:07.359
<v Speaker 1>about our own challenges that we were facing, the more

0:52:07.360 --> 0:52:10.120
<v Speaker 1>we heard from others about their challenges. These would be

0:52:10.160 --> 0:52:13.120
<v Speaker 1>long term friends who we've known for quite a while,

0:52:13.280 --> 0:52:16.960
<v Speaker 1>but they never felt comfortable sharing their own challenges until

0:52:17.000 --> 0:52:19.800
<v Speaker 1>we did. And that really led us to to understand

0:52:19.800 --> 0:52:23.399
<v Speaker 1>that almost everybody has a story of you know, how

0:52:23.440 --> 0:52:26.600
<v Speaker 1>the current system isn't quite helping enough people well enough,

0:52:26.680 --> 0:52:30.120
<v Speaker 1>and that really inspired us to look at this research.

0:52:30.200 --> 0:52:34.080
<v Speaker 1>We saw this promise, and and the issue is how

0:52:34.080 --> 0:52:36.120
<v Speaker 1>do we bring it to patients, not just bring it

0:52:36.160 --> 0:52:40.120
<v Speaker 1>into the next journal article. And journal articles are critically important,

0:52:40.160 --> 0:52:43.680
<v Speaker 1>but they're necessary but not sufficient to bring this to patients.

0:52:43.680 --> 0:52:45.960
<v Speaker 1>And that's really our well. And I do you know,

0:52:46.000 --> 0:52:47.799
<v Speaker 1>it's interesting I was doing some reading on this and

0:52:47.800 --> 0:52:50.759
<v Speaker 1>that my understanding is for those you know, patients and

0:52:51.080 --> 0:52:56.080
<v Speaker 1>individuals who deal with and and suffer depression, that there

0:52:56.080 --> 0:52:59.440
<v Speaker 1>the existing treatments only really work for about seventy patients,

0:52:59.520 --> 0:53:03.719
<v Speaker 1>leaving as many as ninety millions still struggling around the world.

0:53:03.760 --> 0:53:06.400
<v Speaker 1>I think that's some world health organization. So it is

0:53:06.440 --> 0:53:08.680
<v Speaker 1>a huge and I hate to put it in business terms,

0:53:08.680 --> 0:53:12.719
<v Speaker 1>but we are Bloomberg. It's a huge market. It is

0:53:12.880 --> 0:53:16.320
<v Speaker 1>hate give me great markets of suffering, for it is

0:53:16.400 --> 0:53:19.399
<v Speaker 1>a huge market, right in that sense. And so there's

0:53:19.400 --> 0:53:22.560
<v Speaker 1>a tremendous amount of suffering and I think we've been

0:53:22.640 --> 0:53:26.600
<v Speaker 1>pretty good at developing tools to ameliorate of that, but

0:53:27.520 --> 0:53:31.560
<v Speaker 1>is quite quite difficult because what happens is with each

0:53:31.600 --> 0:53:34.399
<v Speaker 1>new treatment, those people actually have less and less likely

0:53:34.520 --> 0:53:36.319
<v Speaker 1>that to be helped by what's next. And there's been

0:53:36.320 --> 0:53:38.560
<v Speaker 1>a very large studies in the US by the National

0:53:38.640 --> 0:53:42.839
<v Speaker 1>Sudamental Health and we really have documentation for that. So

0:53:43.360 --> 0:53:47.239
<v Speaker 1>if we have the opportunity to do something unique here,

0:53:47.280 --> 0:53:50.520
<v Speaker 1>which is well do so what we do is we

0:53:50.680 --> 0:53:54.360
<v Speaker 1>provide a very high dose of suicide in a carefully

0:53:54.360 --> 0:53:58.680
<v Speaker 1>controlled setting under supervision by especially trained therapists. So this

0:53:58.760 --> 0:54:03.640
<v Speaker 1>isn't anything that anyone do at home and um patients

0:54:03.680 --> 0:54:07.279
<v Speaker 1>listen to a special soundtrack and they're really supported through

0:54:07.320 --> 0:54:12.040
<v Speaker 1>this process. And what happens is that afterwards, for many

0:54:12.080 --> 0:54:17.640
<v Speaker 1>patients they experience an immediate reduction and depression that actually

0:54:17.760 --> 0:54:21.040
<v Speaker 1>lasts for quite a while. And what are research really

0:54:21.080 --> 0:54:24.640
<v Speaker 1>looking at is well, who benefits not everyone, so who

0:54:24.680 --> 0:54:28.600
<v Speaker 1>doesn't and what separates the people who benefit for a

0:54:28.640 --> 0:54:31.240
<v Speaker 1>few weeks from the single dose for a few months

0:54:31.239 --> 0:54:35.560
<v Speaker 1>of people who actually have even longer experiences. So we've

0:54:35.600 --> 0:54:38.279
<v Speaker 1>went to the FDA and actually we're operating now in

0:54:38.400 --> 0:54:43.239
<v Speaker 1>ten countries dueing clinical research, twenty one research sites, and

0:54:43.360 --> 0:54:47.000
<v Speaker 1>we're really looking at how do we do the real

0:54:47.440 --> 0:54:52.239
<v Speaker 1>deep research to generate the information and insight. We need

0:54:52.320 --> 0:54:54.359
<v Speaker 1>to go to what's the next phase rest which would

0:54:54.360 --> 0:54:57.239
<v Speaker 1>be phase three trials, and we'll be reporting out on

0:54:57.280 --> 0:54:59.560
<v Speaker 1>our Phase two trials about a year from now. So

0:54:59.719 --> 0:55:02.720
<v Speaker 1>we're and really excited about the progress. And I should

0:55:02.719 --> 0:55:06.240
<v Speaker 1>say that the FDA has named your experimental treatment quote

0:55:06.239 --> 0:55:09.840
<v Speaker 1>a breakthrough therapy, which is, you know, really wonderful to

0:55:09.880 --> 0:55:12.279
<v Speaker 1>kind of get that acknowledgement, but it also means now

0:55:12.280 --> 0:55:15.320
<v Speaker 1>you've got to do more rigorous, more risk adverse testing.

0:55:15.360 --> 0:55:17.319
<v Speaker 1>It's a lot of pressure, I'm assuming, and you've got

0:55:17.320 --> 0:55:19.400
<v Speaker 1>to make sure you're working with the right scientists, the

0:55:19.400 --> 0:55:24.640
<v Speaker 1>best scientists, the best clinical trials correct well, absolutely and

0:55:25.360 --> 0:55:29.120
<v Speaker 1>absolutely and then even more so right because obviously there's

0:55:29.160 --> 0:55:32.600
<v Speaker 1>a history here um as what we're looking to do

0:55:32.719 --> 0:55:36.480
<v Speaker 1>is the highest quality, rigorous, most rigorous research. The first

0:55:36.520 --> 0:55:39.440
<v Speaker 1>support of Call for Us was actually even before we

0:55:39.520 --> 0:55:43.040
<v Speaker 1>formed the company, to speak with regulators players just to

0:55:43.160 --> 0:55:45.520
<v Speaker 1>understand what did they think about this and what we

0:55:45.560 --> 0:55:48.279
<v Speaker 1>were really struck by in all the conversations, and the

0:55:48.320 --> 0:55:51.920
<v Speaker 1>breakthrough therapy designation is I think a perfect example of this.

0:55:52.719 --> 0:55:55.319
<v Speaker 1>The problem is so big, and that's what you said,

0:55:55.400 --> 0:55:58.560
<v Speaker 1>you know, there's such a huge amount of suffering here.

0:55:58.600 --> 0:56:01.200
<v Speaker 1>The tools we have are good for some, but not enough.

0:56:01.920 --> 0:56:05.760
<v Speaker 1>They saw this is the promising So what we found

0:56:05.920 --> 0:56:08.680
<v Speaker 1>is that a huge amount of support, but we really

0:56:08.680 --> 0:56:10.319
<v Speaker 1>have to get this right. We have to get it

0:56:10.400 --> 0:56:13.479
<v Speaker 1>right for patients, for their families and society. How big

0:56:13.480 --> 0:56:15.400
<v Speaker 1>of a market opportunity do you think is there for

0:56:15.440 --> 0:56:20.680
<v Speaker 1>compass pathways just quickly, Well, I think that what we

0:56:20.800 --> 0:56:23.920
<v Speaker 1>see and this is not obviously they're about ninety million

0:56:23.960 --> 0:56:27.440
<v Speaker 1>people suffering from so called treatment resistent depression. But to

0:56:27.520 --> 0:56:30.160
<v Speaker 1>be clear, this isn't people who is not a group

0:56:30.160 --> 0:56:32.959
<v Speaker 1>of people who are resisting treatment. This is a group

0:56:32.960 --> 0:56:36.120
<v Speaker 1>of people for whom are treatment stoke work and so

0:56:36.400 --> 0:56:39.320
<v Speaker 1>perhaps you know, I think this is really really important,

0:56:39.560 --> 0:56:43.000
<v Speaker 1>but that's just the start, because really what we're looking

0:56:43.040 --> 0:56:47.120
<v Speaker 1>at is working on areas of mental health where people

0:56:47.160 --> 0:56:50.600
<v Speaker 1>get caught in patterns of negative thinking or patterns of

0:56:50.640 --> 0:56:54.200
<v Speaker 1>obsessive thinking that happens in other areas like anxiety or

0:56:54.239 --> 0:56:57.360
<v Speaker 1>O c D or other things. And we're really curious

0:56:57.400 --> 0:57:01.040
<v Speaker 1>about how could this mechan is um of a high

0:57:01.120 --> 0:57:05.520
<v Speaker 1>dose of psilocybin therapy yield benefit for other classes of

0:57:05.520 --> 0:57:07.560
<v Speaker 1>people who aren't help enough. So is this like a

0:57:07.680 --> 0:57:14.399
<v Speaker 1>potentially a multibillion dollar drug potential um? Well, I think

0:57:14.440 --> 0:57:17.080
<v Speaker 1>that it is potential to have it be a therapy.

0:57:17.160 --> 0:57:20.160
<v Speaker 1>It's really important that it's not a drug drugs. It's

0:57:20.200 --> 0:57:25.560
<v Speaker 1>given in constant combination with psychological support and that's the

0:57:25.640 --> 0:57:28.000
<v Speaker 1>critical pick. Hey, So before I move on, though, you

0:57:28.000 --> 0:57:30.480
<v Speaker 1>did say and I thought this was a really important distinction, George,

0:57:30.480 --> 0:57:32.800
<v Speaker 1>as you said, it's not a drug, it's a potential therapy.

0:57:33.200 --> 0:57:35.920
<v Speaker 1>Having said that, I do think you know our listeners

0:57:35.920 --> 0:57:40.200
<v Speaker 1>are curious, UM about how big that market size might

0:57:40.200 --> 0:57:43.440
<v Speaker 1>be anxiety disorders to print it, the depression treatment market,

0:57:43.520 --> 0:57:48.840
<v Speaker 1>it's expected to be something like So what's your expectation

0:57:48.960 --> 0:57:53.200
<v Speaker 1>or thoughts on this? So a few things. One is

0:57:53.480 --> 0:57:56.880
<v Speaker 1>I appreciate your digging into this. So just to give

0:57:56.920 --> 0:58:01.080
<v Speaker 1>you some and your listeners some perspective. Depression is the

0:58:01.160 --> 0:58:06.640
<v Speaker 1>leading cause of disability worldwide, just depression, UM. And in

0:58:06.720 --> 0:58:09.880
<v Speaker 1>the US, the annual costs of depression is forecast to

0:58:09.920 --> 0:58:13.560
<v Speaker 1>be about two hundred billion per year and a large

0:58:13.680 --> 0:58:16.400
<v Speaker 1>number of that is direct costs of out patients in

0:58:16.480 --> 0:58:20.640
<v Speaker 1>patient medical services, pharmaceutical services, and the number you referred

0:58:20.640 --> 0:58:24.880
<v Speaker 1>to is largely in the pharmaceutical space. Now, what we

0:58:24.960 --> 0:58:27.840
<v Speaker 1>know is that about a third of patients, as you mentioned,

0:58:27.840 --> 0:58:30.680
<v Speaker 1>simply aren't helped, and the third of patients that aren't

0:58:30.720 --> 0:58:34.280
<v Speaker 1>helped actually are about three or four times more expensive

0:58:34.320 --> 0:58:36.600
<v Speaker 1>two or three depends on kind of where where you're

0:58:36.600 --> 0:58:39.680
<v Speaker 1>doing the data UM than patients who are helped by

0:58:39.680 --> 0:58:43.000
<v Speaker 1>these medicines UM. And so we have not only a

0:58:43.160 --> 0:58:45.960
<v Speaker 1>very large group of patients who aren't helped, but also

0:58:46.040 --> 0:58:49.240
<v Speaker 1>those are the most expensive patients. And so if we

0:58:49.280 --> 0:58:51.360
<v Speaker 1>could make a difference in their lives, I think there's

0:58:51.360 --> 0:58:56.080
<v Speaker 1>a huge opportunity to really um develop a new model

0:58:56.120 --> 0:58:58.480
<v Speaker 1>of care for them. And this is what's so interesting

0:58:58.520 --> 0:59:01.200
<v Speaker 1>about what we're doing. It is therapy, right, It's a

0:59:01.280 --> 0:59:06.920
<v Speaker 1>single dose under supervised circumstances, with preparation and then some

0:59:07.040 --> 0:59:10.320
<v Speaker 1>follow up afterwards. And what's really unique about this. So

0:59:10.400 --> 0:59:13.240
<v Speaker 1>they did some really fascinating work at Johns Hopkins where

0:59:13.280 --> 0:59:17.480
<v Speaker 1>a lot of this research was reborn in the over

0:59:17.520 --> 0:59:20.760
<v Speaker 1>ten years ago. One of the questions they asked patients

0:59:20.760 --> 0:59:22.560
<v Speaker 1>who had gone through this, and they asked this question

0:59:22.680 --> 0:59:26.720
<v Speaker 1>six weeks after this experience, They said, how meaningful would

0:59:26.720 --> 0:59:30.280
<v Speaker 1>you say this experience was in your life? Personally meaningful?

0:59:31.000 --> 0:59:33.880
<v Speaker 1>And people were given you know, is at the most

0:59:33.960 --> 0:59:37.800
<v Speaker 1>meaningful of the top five you know? And so over

0:59:37.880 --> 0:59:41.240
<v Speaker 1>seventy said the single experience was one of the top

0:59:41.360 --> 0:59:44.880
<v Speaker 1>five most meaningful experiences of their life. Right, So you

0:59:44.920 --> 0:59:49.760
<v Speaker 1>can't you can't really put you can't you can't write no, no, no.

0:59:49.840 --> 0:59:51.960
<v Speaker 1>And I wish you we were in person because you

0:59:51.960 --> 0:59:53.760
<v Speaker 1>could see me smiling, because you can't put a value

0:59:53.840 --> 0:59:56.280
<v Speaker 1>on it. And I have a sister who works in

0:59:56.320 --> 0:59:58.920
<v Speaker 1>this area, so I've kind of grown up learning about this,

0:59:59.120 --> 1:00:02.560
<v Speaker 1>and I agree that there's an unbelievable cost by not,

1:00:02.840 --> 1:00:05.520
<v Speaker 1>you know, helping out this sector of our population. And

1:00:05.560 --> 1:00:08.520
<v Speaker 1>also it's invaluable in terms of they basically get their

1:00:08.520 --> 1:00:11.360
<v Speaker 1>lives back. Having said that, you kind of evaded my answer.

1:00:11.680 --> 1:00:15.320
<v Speaker 1>So there was this like a multibillion dollar potential treatment

1:00:15.640 --> 1:00:21.000
<v Speaker 1>or tens of Yes, I think it is multi billion. Yeah, um,

1:00:21.440 --> 1:00:25.320
<v Speaker 1>and you know we've had so But again that's if

1:00:25.360 --> 1:00:30.160
<v Speaker 1>the trials were well, what's let's let's talk about that,

1:00:30.200 --> 1:00:32.120
<v Speaker 1>because that's a big deal. I mean, listen, we're all

1:00:32.200 --> 1:00:34.840
<v Speaker 1>learning about the drug process, right because of the drug

1:00:34.840 --> 1:00:38.680
<v Speaker 1>approval process, because of COVID. What challenges does does the

1:00:38.800 --> 1:00:42.160
<v Speaker 1>US present? What regulatory hurdles still remain? And I do

1:00:42.240 --> 1:00:44.960
<v Speaker 1>wonder if you're following kind of the playbook from marijuana

1:00:45.280 --> 1:00:48.080
<v Speaker 1>kind of prescription first, recreational second, how are you thinking

1:00:48.080 --> 1:00:52.040
<v Speaker 1>about it? Not at all. We're really thinking about the

1:00:52.200 --> 1:00:56.520
<v Speaker 1>huge unmet needs there is for patients. Uh, And that's

1:00:57.120 --> 1:01:00.520
<v Speaker 1>you know, what we're really focused on is access. Nuts

1:01:00.520 --> 1:01:05.520
<v Speaker 1>means approval by medicaid, by you know, insurers. So from

1:01:05.600 --> 1:01:08.400
<v Speaker 1>day one, we've been really focusing on making sure that

1:01:08.440 --> 1:01:11.520
<v Speaker 1>if this in fact is successful in trials, people have

1:01:11.640 --> 1:01:15.200
<v Speaker 1>access to it, and that means working with insurers even

1:01:15.240 --> 1:01:17.440
<v Speaker 1>in the design of clinical trials to make sure they

1:01:17.440 --> 1:01:21.360
<v Speaker 1>have the evidence because hey, this for this patient population,

1:01:21.480 --> 1:01:24.680
<v Speaker 1>so that's super important to us. It's a different model

1:01:24.720 --> 1:01:28.320
<v Speaker 1>than a recreational model, and that's Compass Pathways chairman, CEO

1:01:28.360 --> 1:01:30.960
<v Speaker 1>and co founder George Goldsmith. And that wraps up the

1:01:30.960 --> 1:01:33.680
<v Speaker 1>weekend edition of Bloomberg Business Week from Bloomberg Radio. Thanks

1:01:33.720 --> 1:01:36.240
<v Speaker 1>so much for joining us. I'm Carol Masser. Be sure

1:01:36.280 --> 1:01:38.680
<v Speaker 1>to tune into our daily show Monday through Friday, starting

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<v Speaker 1>at two pm Wall Street Time on Bloomberg Radio. Be

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<v Speaker 1>sure to also check out our Bloomberg Business Week podcast

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<v Speaker 1>wherever you get your podcasts, and don't forget we're also

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<v Speaker 1>on YouTube. Just search on Bloomberg Global News and check

1:01:50.920 --> 1:01:53.320
<v Speaker 1>out our Bloomberg Business Week Extra podcast. We had a

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<v Speaker 1>chat with Mattel President Richard Dixon on a new digital

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<v Speaker 1>platform called Hotel Creations. Bloomberg Business Week available on newse

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<v Speaker 1>Stance Now online and of course always on the Bloomberg.

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<v Speaker 1>Have a safe weekend, everybody. This is Bloomberg.