1 00:00:02,520 --> 00:00:03,000 Speaker 1: Good morning. 2 00:00:03,080 --> 00:00:05,920 Speaker 2: I'm Nathan Hager and I'm Karen Moscow. Here are the 3 00:00:05,960 --> 00:00:07,440 Speaker 2: stories we're following today. 4 00:00:08,000 --> 00:00:11,960 Speaker 3: We begin overseas in China, Concerns continue over a slowdown 5 00:00:12,000 --> 00:00:15,480 Speaker 3: in the world's second largest economy. This morning, James McCormick, 6 00:00:15,520 --> 00:00:17,959 Speaker 3: global Head of Sovereigns at Fitch Ratings, tells us his 7 00:00:18,040 --> 00:00:21,160 Speaker 3: agency may reconsider China's A plus credit score. 8 00:00:21,600 --> 00:00:24,160 Speaker 4: Factors that we've moved are if there is some kind 9 00:00:24,200 --> 00:00:27,920 Speaker 4: of increase of some of these contingent liabilities in other 10 00:00:28,000 --> 00:00:31,520 Speaker 4: sectors and non financial corporate sector, and the banks themselves 11 00:00:31,640 --> 00:00:35,200 Speaker 4: become real liabilities for the government. So if it really 12 00:00:35,240 --> 00:00:38,680 Speaker 4: does extend its balance sheet to support the economy, and 13 00:00:38,720 --> 00:00:41,720 Speaker 4: I wouldn't say we're expecting that, certainly recent evidence doesn't 14 00:00:41,720 --> 00:00:43,560 Speaker 4: suggest that would be the case, then. 15 00:00:43,440 --> 00:00:44,320 Speaker 5: We might think again. 16 00:00:44,600 --> 00:00:47,519 Speaker 3: James McCormick with Fitch Rating says China's debt to GDP 17 00:00:47,720 --> 00:00:50,320 Speaker 3: ratio is a bit high for a single A credit rating. 18 00:00:50,720 --> 00:00:54,600 Speaker 2: Well, Nathan. Among the concerns Fitch is watching new home prices, 19 00:00:54,720 --> 00:00:57,760 Speaker 2: which slip for a second straight month, offering no relief 20 00:00:57,800 --> 00:01:01,000 Speaker 2: to developers like Country Garden, but he faces a potential 21 00:01:01,000 --> 00:01:04,640 Speaker 2: default after missing bond payments this month. Risks are also 22 00:01:04,800 --> 00:01:08,080 Speaker 2: spreading to the financial sector, with global investors like black 23 00:01:08,200 --> 00:01:11,200 Speaker 2: Rock and Alliance in focus due to their exposure to 24 00:01:11,240 --> 00:01:12,360 Speaker 2: Country Garden. 25 00:01:12,160 --> 00:01:14,679 Speaker 3: And another concerned for investors care in. One of China's 26 00:01:14,680 --> 00:01:18,240 Speaker 3: private financial services companies at risk of default, jong Rong 27 00:01:18,360 --> 00:01:22,360 Speaker 3: International Trust, says its missed payments on dozens of products. 28 00:01:22,480 --> 00:01:24,840 Speaker 3: Bloomberg's Brian Curtis has more from Hong Kong. 29 00:01:25,160 --> 00:01:28,000 Speaker 6: The board secretary of jong Rong says the firm missed 30 00:01:28,000 --> 00:01:30,880 Speaker 6: payments on a batch of products on August eighth, and 31 00:01:31,000 --> 00:01:33,880 Speaker 6: that the firm has no immediate plan to make clients hole. 32 00:01:34,200 --> 00:01:36,720 Speaker 6: That would suggest that issues at the firm are deeper 33 00:01:36,760 --> 00:01:40,480 Speaker 6: than previously known. Jong Rong International is owned by Jongjur 34 00:01:40,680 --> 00:01:44,560 Speaker 6: Enterprise Group. At least thirty products are now overdue in 35 00:01:44,640 --> 00:01:47,080 Speaker 6: Hong Kong. Brian Curtis, Bloomberg Daybreak. 36 00:01:46,680 --> 00:01:49,360 Speaker 2: Cory Brian thanks well. All these concerns over China weigh 37 00:01:49,440 --> 00:01:52,800 Speaker 2: on stocks in Asia. Today, Hong Kong's main index following 38 00:01:52,840 --> 00:01:55,960 Speaker 2: one point three percent, Stocks in China slump seven tens 39 00:01:56,000 --> 00:01:58,840 Speaker 2: of percent, and then Ek in Japan dropped one point 40 00:01:58,880 --> 00:01:59,600 Speaker 2: four percent. 41 00:02:00,160 --> 00:02:02,280 Speaker 3: Across the Pacific, Karen, Let's get you caught up on 42 00:02:02,320 --> 00:02:05,240 Speaker 3: the latest grim news out of Hawaii. The wildfires there 43 00:02:05,200 --> 00:02:07,600 Speaker 3: already the deadliest to hit the US in more than 44 00:02:07,640 --> 00:02:10,320 Speaker 3: a century. The death toll now stands at one hundred 45 00:02:10,320 --> 00:02:13,600 Speaker 3: and six As authorities try to identify victims and shelter 46 00:02:13,680 --> 00:02:17,320 Speaker 3: those displaced. Now, President Biden and First Lady Jill Biden 47 00:02:17,360 --> 00:02:20,079 Speaker 3: are preparing to visit the island of Maui. Bloomberg's Ed 48 00:02:20,120 --> 00:02:21,399 Speaker 3: Baxter has those details. 49 00:02:21,600 --> 00:02:24,880 Speaker 7: Risk modeling firm Karen Clark and Company, after using satellite 50 00:02:24,960 --> 00:02:28,640 Speaker 7: and aerial imagery of the Lehinotown area burn zone, says 51 00:02:28,639 --> 00:02:31,680 Speaker 7: it is three point two billion dollars. Says more than 52 00:02:31,720 --> 00:02:35,320 Speaker 7: twenty two hundred structures fell, with an additional three thousand 53 00:02:35,400 --> 00:02:38,800 Speaker 7: structures impacted. President Joe Biden, who has been criticized for 54 00:02:38,880 --> 00:02:41,639 Speaker 7: not being very visible, says work though, is getting done. 55 00:02:41,720 --> 00:02:45,920 Speaker 5: Almost five hundred federal personnelement deployed de Maui town, communities 56 00:02:45,919 --> 00:02:48,160 Speaker 5: and survivors get back on their feet. 57 00:02:48,320 --> 00:02:51,600 Speaker 7: The authorities are asking relatives of missing people to give 58 00:02:51,680 --> 00:02:55,720 Speaker 7: DNA samples and hopes of matching them up in San Francisco. 59 00:02:55,720 --> 00:02:57,359 Speaker 7: I'm at Baxter Bloomberg Daybreak. 60 00:02:57,560 --> 00:02:59,480 Speaker 2: All right, Ed, thank you well, let's turn to the 61 00:02:59,560 --> 00:03:03,080 Speaker 2: US economy now. In two reports on today's agenda, the 62 00:03:03,120 --> 00:03:05,680 Speaker 2: Fed issues minutes from last month's policy meeting, and we 63 00:03:05,720 --> 00:03:09,320 Speaker 2: also get data on industrial production. Meantime, FED officials are 64 00:03:09,320 --> 00:03:13,160 Speaker 2: making comments on future policy. Minneapolis Fed President Neil cash 65 00:03:13,160 --> 00:03:16,800 Speaker 2: Cary says the central bank is not done fighting inflation. 66 00:03:17,160 --> 00:03:19,680 Speaker 8: It's still too high. The good news is the labor 67 00:03:19,720 --> 00:03:22,760 Speaker 8: market has remained very strong. But it's a little bit 68 00:03:22,760 --> 00:03:25,280 Speaker 8: of a double edged sword, because the question in my 69 00:03:25,360 --> 00:03:28,600 Speaker 8: mind is have we done enough to actually get inflation 70 00:03:28,760 --> 00:03:31,160 Speaker 8: all the way back down to our two percent mark, 71 00:03:31,680 --> 00:03:32,960 Speaker 8: or do we have to do more. 72 00:03:33,200 --> 00:03:36,600 Speaker 2: Minneapolis Fed President Neil cash Carr said the US economy 73 00:03:36,640 --> 00:03:40,000 Speaker 2: has been surprisingly resilient in the face of rising rates. 74 00:03:39,880 --> 00:03:42,720 Speaker 3: And investors are also following a slew of retail news 75 00:03:42,800 --> 00:03:46,240 Speaker 3: this week, Karen, After retail sales beat estimates yesterday, we 76 00:03:46,320 --> 00:03:49,920 Speaker 3: get more consumer spending hints today from Target. Bloomberg's Charlie 77 00:03:49,960 --> 00:03:51,080 Speaker 3: Pellett reports. 78 00:03:51,000 --> 00:03:54,920 Speaker 5: Target is expected to report its first sales decline in 79 00:03:55,040 --> 00:03:59,120 Speaker 5: four years. The retailer is dealing with inventory missteps and 80 00:03:59,200 --> 00:04:02,800 Speaker 5: a consumer pull back from discretionary items such as home 81 00:04:02,800 --> 00:04:06,400 Speaker 5: goods and clothes. The bread and butter of targets. Cheap 82 00:04:06,560 --> 00:04:11,000 Speaker 5: chic merchandising analysts are looking for adjusted earnings per share 83 00:04:11,040 --> 00:04:14,200 Speaker 5: of a dollar thirty nine on revenue of twenty four 84 00:04:14,240 --> 00:04:19,080 Speaker 5: point nine billion dollars in New York. Charlie Pellett, Bloomberg Daybreak. 85 00:04:19,279 --> 00:04:21,080 Speaker 2: All right, Charlie, thank you will be having some other 86 00:04:21,120 --> 00:04:24,680 Speaker 2: company news to tell you about two. Tesla slashing prices 87 00:04:24,720 --> 00:04:28,880 Speaker 2: again in China, the second round of price cuts just 88 00:04:29,080 --> 00:04:31,760 Speaker 2: this week. This time it's reducing prices on the Model 89 00:04:31,880 --> 00:04:34,480 Speaker 2: S and Model X. That's feeling concerns that the car 90 00:04:34,520 --> 00:04:37,839 Speaker 2: makers reigniting our price war with evy makers in China. 91 00:04:38,200 --> 00:04:41,440 Speaker 3: Speaking of China and Karen, Apple's diversifying its supply chain 92 00:04:41,600 --> 00:04:44,239 Speaker 3: away from the country. Sources tell us the company's beginning 93 00:04:44,240 --> 00:04:48,400 Speaker 3: production of the iPhone fifteen in India as Apple increases 94 00:04:48,440 --> 00:04:51,000 Speaker 3: iPhone production there. It's aiming to narrow the gap between 95 00:04:51,000 --> 00:04:53,839 Speaker 3: facilities in India and China. New iPhones currently set to 96 00:04:53,880 --> 00:04:56,600 Speaker 3: ship from China will do so several weeks before they 97 00:04:56,640 --> 00:04:57,560 Speaker 3: do from India. 98 00:04:58,080 --> 00:05:01,520 Speaker 2: On the Chipspace, Nathan Intel walking away from a major 99 00:05:01,760 --> 00:05:04,480 Speaker 2: M and A deal, the company mutually agreed to abandon 100 00:05:04,520 --> 00:05:08,080 Speaker 2: plans to acquire Tower Semiconductor. That's after the five point 101 00:05:08,080 --> 00:05:11,320 Speaker 2: four billion dollar deal failed to win regulatory approval. 102 00:05:11,400 --> 00:05:14,880 Speaker 3: In time, we have another inflation note, Karen, this time overseas. 103 00:05:15,000 --> 00:05:17,920 Speaker 3: Inflation in the UK remained higher than expected last month 104 00:05:17,920 --> 00:05:21,159 Speaker 3: as the cost of travel and holidays climbed. UK's consumer 105 00:05:21,160 --> 00:05:23,760 Speaker 3: price index rows six point eight percent in July. That 106 00:05:23,800 --> 00:05:26,599 Speaker 3: exceeded expectations and continues to make the case for the 107 00:05:26,600 --> 00:05:28,760 Speaker 3: Bank of England raising interest rates again. 108 00:05:29,320 --> 00:05:31,440 Speaker 2: And finally, a sad note from the world of finance. 109 00:05:31,520 --> 00:05:34,280 Speaker 2: Nathan Mark Becker of Apollo Global Management has died a 110 00:05:34,360 --> 00:05:37,560 Speaker 2: pancreatic cancer. He was fifty one. In a message to 111 00:05:37,600 --> 00:05:40,560 Speaker 2: employee C R. Mark Rowan called Becker a larger than 112 00:05:40,600 --> 00:05:44,640 Speaker 2: life presence who made an indelible mark on Apollo. And 113 00:05:44,760 --> 00:05:52,479 Speaker 2: this is Bloomberg, This five zero seven on Wall Street. 114 00:05:52,480 --> 00:05:53,800 Speaker 2: Time Now for a look at some of the other 115 00:05:53,920 --> 00:05:56,800 Speaker 2: stories making news around the world. For that, we're joined 116 00:05:56,800 --> 00:06:00,559 Speaker 2: by Bloomberg's Amy Morris. Amy, Good morning, Karen. 117 00:06:00,680 --> 00:06:04,320 Speaker 9: Legal experts are now offering their predictions for former President 118 00:06:04,360 --> 00:06:08,640 Speaker 9: Donald Trump's latest criminal case concerning George's election in twenty twenty. 119 00:06:08,760 --> 00:06:11,159 Speaker 9: Bloomberg's Nancy Lyons reports Ty. 120 00:06:11,040 --> 00:06:13,880 Speaker 10: Cobb served as White House counsel during the Trump years. 121 00:06:13,920 --> 00:06:16,479 Speaker 10: He tells Bloomberg, this is a complex case. 122 00:06:16,760 --> 00:06:19,880 Speaker 3: There's a real possibility it never gets tried, or it 123 00:06:19,920 --> 00:06:21,480 Speaker 3: doesn't get tried for five years. 124 00:06:21,520 --> 00:06:24,400 Speaker 10: Former Assistant US Attorney for the Southern District of New York, 125 00:06:24,480 --> 00:06:27,960 Speaker 10: Jim Zion believes Fulton County DA Fannie Willis is up 126 00:06:27,960 --> 00:06:28,560 Speaker 10: to the task. 127 00:06:28,839 --> 00:06:32,760 Speaker 11: It might take some time before they can pick a jury. 128 00:06:32,800 --> 00:06:35,480 Speaker 11: It might take some time for her to get all 129 00:06:35,520 --> 00:06:38,840 Speaker 11: the sevenence in, but I think she'll try to prosecute 130 00:06:38,839 --> 00:06:41,480 Speaker 11: the case expeditiously in Washington. 131 00:06:41,560 --> 00:06:43,640 Speaker 10: I'm Nancy lyons Bloomberg Daybreak. 132 00:06:43,800 --> 00:06:47,920 Speaker 9: The slow process of rebuilding Malli is getting underway bit 133 00:06:48,080 --> 00:06:51,760 Speaker 9: by bit. The road leading to West Maui is now reopened, 134 00:06:51,800 --> 00:06:55,640 Speaker 9: but downtown Lahina is still off limits. Malli County Mayor 135 00:06:55,760 --> 00:06:59,039 Speaker 9: Richard Bisson says there's a process for reopening the town, 136 00:06:59,440 --> 00:07:01,200 Speaker 9: and it'll have to happen in phases. 137 00:07:01,279 --> 00:07:04,720 Speaker 12: Once we've determined that to be a safe zone and 138 00:07:04,839 --> 00:07:08,000 Speaker 12: the EPA has gone through there and they have removed 139 00:07:08,080 --> 00:07:12,560 Speaker 12: all the hazardous and toxic material out of Hawaii, then 140 00:07:12,600 --> 00:07:15,760 Speaker 12: we can begin the debris cleanup, which is a different phase. 141 00:07:16,600 --> 00:07:20,560 Speaker 12: And then at some point allow landowners and homeowners and 142 00:07:20,600 --> 00:07:23,600 Speaker 12: business owners to return to that location. 143 00:07:23,920 --> 00:07:26,320 Speaker 9: The death toll in Mali is now at least one 144 00:07:26,360 --> 00:07:29,880 Speaker 9: hundred and six as the search and recovery process continues. 145 00:07:30,240 --> 00:07:33,960 Speaker 9: The Pacific Northwest, meanwhile, is in for potentially record breaking 146 00:07:33,960 --> 00:07:37,400 Speaker 9: temperatures this week, as a dangerous heat wave is blanketing 147 00:07:37,440 --> 00:07:41,960 Speaker 9: that region. Forecasters urged people in Washington, Idaho, Oregon, Montana, 148 00:07:42,040 --> 00:07:45,960 Speaker 9: and California to prepare for triple digit temperatures through today 149 00:07:46,240 --> 00:07:50,680 Speaker 9: and into tomorrow. High winds, low humidity, and intense heat 150 00:07:51,000 --> 00:07:54,160 Speaker 9: also mean a greater risk of wildfires in some areas. 151 00:07:54,680 --> 00:07:57,440 Speaker 9: North Korea is confirming publicly for the first time that 152 00:07:57,520 --> 00:08:01,520 Speaker 9: American soldier Travis King did cross into that country. State 153 00:08:01,600 --> 00:08:05,400 Speaker 9: run media claimed that King admitted to entering North Korea illegally, 154 00:08:05,720 --> 00:08:08,960 Speaker 9: expressing a willingness to seek refuge either there or in 155 00:08:09,000 --> 00:08:12,200 Speaker 9: a third country. The report also says King confessed to 156 00:08:12,280 --> 00:08:16,680 Speaker 9: harboring ill feeling against quote in humane maltreatment and racial 157 00:08:16,720 --> 00:08:20,840 Speaker 9: discrimination within the US Army. US officials say those alleged 158 00:08:20,880 --> 00:08:24,640 Speaker 9: comments cannot be verified. Global News twenty four hours a day, 159 00:08:24,680 --> 00:08:28,080 Speaker 9: powered by more than twenty seven hundred journalists and analysts, 160 00:08:28,120 --> 00:08:31,040 Speaker 9: in more than one hundred twenty countries. I'm Amy Morris 161 00:08:31,080 --> 00:08:32,040 Speaker 9: and this is Bloomberg. 162 00:08:32,120 --> 00:08:34,719 Speaker 2: Karen all right, Amy, thank you. It is five h 163 00:08:34,960 --> 00:08:41,760 Speaker 2: nine on Wall Street as I'm now for the Bloomberg 164 00:08:41,800 --> 00:08:44,679 Speaker 2: Sports Update with John stashaur John. 165 00:08:44,720 --> 00:08:48,679 Speaker 13: Down The Inannapolis Colts drafted Anthony Richardson fourth overall and 166 00:08:48,840 --> 00:08:52,160 Speaker 13: they will start the rookie in week one. He says 167 00:08:52,160 --> 00:08:54,760 Speaker 13: he's shocked by the news. He only played thirteen games 168 00:08:54,760 --> 00:08:57,880 Speaker 13: in college at Florida, but Colts owner Jim Mersey had 169 00:08:57,920 --> 00:09:00,760 Speaker 13: already said that he has to play in order to 170 00:09:00,800 --> 00:09:03,040 Speaker 13: get better. So it looks like there'll be three rookie 171 00:09:03,160 --> 00:09:06,920 Speaker 13: quarterbacks starting Week one, with Bryce Young at Carolina c 172 00:09:07,160 --> 00:09:10,160 Speaker 13: J Stroud with Houston. Those two went one to two 173 00:09:10,640 --> 00:09:14,440 Speaker 13: in the draft. The mid season MLS tournament, the League Cup, 174 00:09:14,480 --> 00:09:18,280 Speaker 13: continuing with the semifinals victory by Nashville, who will host 175 00:09:18,320 --> 00:09:22,240 Speaker 13: Saturday's final against Leonel Messi and Inter Miami, a team 176 00:09:22,280 --> 00:09:26,280 Speaker 13: that wasn't very good until Messi arrived. He scored another goal. 177 00:09:26,360 --> 00:09:29,880 Speaker 13: He has nine in six games Miami. With a four 178 00:09:29,880 --> 00:09:34,120 Speaker 13: to one victory. In Chester, Pennsylvania baseball Red Sox got 179 00:09:34,120 --> 00:09:36,360 Speaker 13: a lead off home run from alex Verdugo and won 180 00:09:36,440 --> 00:09:38,840 Speaker 13: five to four at Washington. The Orioles lost in San 181 00:09:38,840 --> 00:09:40,400 Speaker 13: Diego ten to three. 182 00:09:40,720 --> 00:09:42,240 Speaker 5: The Giants held Tampa. 183 00:09:41,960 --> 00:09:44,079 Speaker 13: Bay the three hits and won seven and nothing. The 184 00:09:44,120 --> 00:09:47,320 Speaker 13: A's lost in Saint Louis six to two. Big series 185 00:09:47,320 --> 00:09:49,800 Speaker 13: in the ALS. The big win for Texas as Corey 186 00:09:49,840 --> 00:09:52,920 Speaker 13: Singer hit two home runs drove in five. The Rangers 187 00:09:52,920 --> 00:09:56,240 Speaker 13: beat the Angels seven to three. Big game of the WNBA. 188 00:09:56,320 --> 00:09:59,600 Speaker 13: They're having a midseason tournament as well, and the Liberty 189 00:10:00,120 --> 00:10:03,400 Speaker 13: won the championship by beating the Las Vegas Ations eighty 190 00:10:03,480 --> 00:10:06,600 Speaker 13: two to sixty three. They had Beaten Vegas by thirty 191 00:10:06,640 --> 00:10:09,679 Speaker 13: eight in the earlier meeting in New York. John Stashawer 192 00:10:09,720 --> 00:10:11,040 Speaker 13: Bloomberg Sports. 193 00:10:14,000 --> 00:10:17,000 Speaker 14: From coast to coast, from New York to San Francisco, 194 00:10:17,320 --> 00:10:21,360 Speaker 14: Boston to Washington, d C. Nationwide on Syrias Exam the 195 00:10:21,440 --> 00:10:26,199 Speaker 14: Bloomberg Business app in Bloomberg dot Com. This is Bloomberg Daybreak. 196 00:10:27,600 --> 00:10:29,960 Speaker 3: Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager, and the warning signs for 197 00:10:30,040 --> 00:10:32,000 Speaker 3: China's economy just seemed to keep on coming. 198 00:10:32,040 --> 00:10:32,440 Speaker 5: This morning. 199 00:10:32,480 --> 00:10:35,080 Speaker 3: Bloomberg News is reporting one of the country's largest trust 200 00:10:35,120 --> 00:10:37,400 Speaker 3: banks has missed payments on a lot more products than 201 00:10:37,400 --> 00:10:41,640 Speaker 3: had previously been reported, adding to ongoing concern about the 202 00:10:41,679 --> 00:10:45,400 Speaker 3: debt crisis in China's property sector that's been rattling investors 203 00:10:45,440 --> 00:10:48,160 Speaker 3: and has now led China Central Bank to take some action. 204 00:10:48,320 --> 00:10:50,360 Speaker 3: For more on this, we're joined by Bloomberg News China 205 00:10:50,400 --> 00:10:53,840 Speaker 3: Economy and Government editor Jill Desis with us this morning 206 00:10:53,960 --> 00:10:57,320 Speaker 3: from Hong Kong. Jill, good morning. What more do we 207 00:10:57,400 --> 00:11:00,880 Speaker 3: know about these misspayments at the Shadow Bank? How deep 208 00:11:01,040 --> 00:11:02,120 Speaker 3: do these problems go? 209 00:11:03,280 --> 00:11:03,480 Speaker 2: Yes? 210 00:11:03,559 --> 00:11:06,280 Speaker 15: So, ultimately, I think part of the issue here is 211 00:11:06,280 --> 00:11:08,600 Speaker 15: what we're hearing is that this trust companies on growing 212 00:11:08,880 --> 00:11:11,520 Speaker 15: payments on dozens of products and that they have no 213 00:11:11,559 --> 00:11:16,120 Speaker 15: immediate plan to make clients whole. The issues here that 214 00:11:16,160 --> 00:11:19,600 Speaker 15: we're exploring essentially ignite this idea that there could be 215 00:11:19,640 --> 00:11:23,040 Speaker 15: some contagion risk from these ongoing issues that we've seen 216 00:11:23,080 --> 00:11:26,439 Speaker 15: within China's property sector that have lasted for years at 217 00:11:26,440 --> 00:11:29,040 Speaker 15: this point. A big reason why is because within the 218 00:11:29,080 --> 00:11:32,520 Speaker 15: country's three trillion dollar trust industry, a lot of these 219 00:11:32,559 --> 00:11:35,160 Speaker 15: trust products are backed by real estate projects, and so 220 00:11:35,760 --> 00:11:39,960 Speaker 15: those projects are run by the troubled developers that sort 221 00:11:39,960 --> 00:11:41,640 Speaker 15: of has a lot of fears about, you know how 222 00:11:41,720 --> 00:11:44,360 Speaker 15: much that is actually spilling over into the financial sector. 223 00:11:44,679 --> 00:11:47,600 Speaker 15: Of course, these issues that we're hearing about from this 224 00:11:47,640 --> 00:11:50,920 Speaker 15: trust farm are now coming just days after you've been 225 00:11:51,000 --> 00:11:54,800 Speaker 15: reporting about one of the largest developers real estate developers 226 00:11:54,800 --> 00:11:58,479 Speaker 15: in China, a company called Country Garden, has had difficulty 227 00:11:59,040 --> 00:12:02,760 Speaker 15: making some of their payment that's led to fears that 228 00:12:02,800 --> 00:12:04,839 Speaker 15: we could see a liquidity crisis on the scale of 229 00:12:05,000 --> 00:12:07,720 Speaker 15: what we saw with Evergrand a couple of years ago. 230 00:12:07,760 --> 00:12:10,040 Speaker 15: And so really it just kind of shows that a 231 00:12:10,040 --> 00:12:11,800 Speaker 15: lot of these fears that we have about what's happening 232 00:12:11,800 --> 00:12:14,280 Speaker 15: in China right now are all interconnected and could ultimately 233 00:12:14,920 --> 00:12:17,480 Speaker 15: lead to some more widespread financial risks. And so that's 234 00:12:17,559 --> 00:12:18,760 Speaker 15: what we're ultimately looking for. 235 00:12:19,080 --> 00:12:21,400 Speaker 3: Yeah, and we've seen the People's Bank of China start 236 00:12:21,440 --> 00:12:24,360 Speaker 3: to step in here with some relief adding liquidity a 237 00:12:24,400 --> 00:12:27,440 Speaker 3: couple of days after cutting the rate on one of 238 00:12:27,480 --> 00:12:31,439 Speaker 3: their key interest rates. Is there more in the toolbox 239 00:12:31,559 --> 00:12:34,320 Speaker 3: that the People's Bank of China can do to try 240 00:12:34,320 --> 00:12:36,000 Speaker 3: to boost investor confidence here? 241 00:12:36,920 --> 00:12:39,320 Speaker 15: Yeah, So that's ultimately what we're looking out for. So 242 00:12:39,600 --> 00:12:42,080 Speaker 15: just yesterday what we saw was the People's Bank of 243 00:12:42,160 --> 00:12:44,520 Speaker 15: China lowering the rate on its one year policy loans 244 00:12:44,559 --> 00:12:46,720 Speaker 15: what they called medium term lending facility, that's a pretty 245 00:12:46,800 --> 00:12:50,400 Speaker 15: key interest rate within China, might lead to the lowering 246 00:12:50,440 --> 00:12:52,280 Speaker 15: of some other benchmark lending rates a little bit later 247 00:12:52,320 --> 00:12:56,760 Speaker 15: this month. We were expecting the PBOC to cut that 248 00:12:56,880 --> 00:12:59,520 Speaker 15: rate at some point within this quarter or next quarter. 249 00:12:59,520 --> 00:13:01,680 Speaker 15: But the fact that but this rate actually came, this 250 00:13:01,800 --> 00:13:03,880 Speaker 15: rate cut came a lot earlier than we respected, was 251 00:13:03,920 --> 00:13:06,080 Speaker 15: quite a surprise. And so what we've been talking to 252 00:13:06,160 --> 00:13:09,520 Speaker 15: economists about is the idea that could actually mean that, 253 00:13:09,800 --> 00:13:12,600 Speaker 15: you know, maybe there's additional rate cuts that we see 254 00:13:12,679 --> 00:13:15,760 Speaker 15: from the central Bank in the coming months. Maybe they 255 00:13:15,760 --> 00:13:18,439 Speaker 15: also do things like adjust the reserve requirement ratio, the 256 00:13:18,480 --> 00:13:20,800 Speaker 15: amount of cash that banks have to keep in reserve, 257 00:13:20,840 --> 00:13:22,520 Speaker 15: in order to free up some more liquidity. So there 258 00:13:22,520 --> 00:13:25,280 Speaker 15: are some additional options within their toolbox that they can 259 00:13:25,280 --> 00:13:28,760 Speaker 15: deploy in the coming weeks and months. The question, though, 260 00:13:28,760 --> 00:13:31,800 Speaker 15: is how much can they actually do. We've been talking 261 00:13:31,840 --> 00:13:34,520 Speaker 15: for months at this point about the fact that the 262 00:13:34,679 --> 00:13:38,120 Speaker 15: policy within China is somewhat strained to somewhat limited. I 263 00:13:38,120 --> 00:13:41,520 Speaker 15: think the government is wary about, you know, the fiscal 264 00:13:41,559 --> 00:13:43,719 Speaker 15: side taking on too much debt. There are some other 265 00:13:43,800 --> 00:13:47,480 Speaker 15: constraints that the PBOC is operating operating under They obviously 266 00:13:47,480 --> 00:13:50,720 Speaker 15: want to be careful about the currency weakening too much, 267 00:13:50,760 --> 00:13:52,880 Speaker 15: and so there are some constraints there, but ultimately it 268 00:13:52,880 --> 00:13:55,360 Speaker 15: does seem like maybe there's at least some room for 269 00:13:55,440 --> 00:13:56,320 Speaker 15: some additional using. 270 00:13:56,960 --> 00:13:59,160 Speaker 3: Of course, we've spoken as well with the global head 271 00:13:59,160 --> 00:14:01,280 Speaker 3: of Sovereigns at Fitch Ratings and joined us on Bloomberg 272 00:14:01,320 --> 00:14:03,960 Speaker 3: Television saying that Fitch may have to reconsider China's A 273 00:14:04,080 --> 00:14:06,560 Speaker 3: plus credit score. When you hear that kind of rhetoric, 274 00:14:06,640 --> 00:14:08,200 Speaker 3: is that the kind of thing that gets the People's 275 00:14:08,200 --> 00:14:09,520 Speaker 3: Bank of China's notice? 276 00:14:10,040 --> 00:14:12,400 Speaker 15: I mean, I think certainly. And he's not the only 277 00:14:12,440 --> 00:14:15,760 Speaker 15: one that's been saying comments in recent days. I mean, 278 00:14:15,800 --> 00:14:18,120 Speaker 15: you know, look at what other global policy makers and 279 00:14:18,200 --> 00:14:20,920 Speaker 15: leaders have been saying. You had, you know, Joe Biden 280 00:14:21,040 --> 00:14:25,040 Speaker 15: call the China a ticking time bomb. Late last week, 281 00:14:25,320 --> 00:14:27,680 Speaker 15: we heard from Janet Yellen just a couple of days 282 00:14:27,680 --> 00:14:30,200 Speaker 15: ago sort of assessing risks within the Chinese economy. And 283 00:14:30,240 --> 00:14:34,160 Speaker 15: then today the Central Bank of New Zealand actually came 284 00:14:34,200 --> 00:14:35,840 Speaker 15: out and said, you know, they were worried about some 285 00:14:35,920 --> 00:14:39,760 Speaker 15: global risks from what's happening with the Chinese economy and 286 00:14:39,800 --> 00:14:41,480 Speaker 15: some concerns that they have about you know what that 287 00:14:41,480 --> 00:14:44,320 Speaker 15: means for export garth for example. So yes, I think 288 00:14:44,360 --> 00:14:47,120 Speaker 15: that certainly the fact that you're seeing you know, global 289 00:14:47,200 --> 00:14:51,640 Speaker 15: ratings agencies, you know politicians, you know other policy makers 290 00:14:51,720 --> 00:14:53,480 Speaker 15: kind of come together and say, you know, they're keeping 291 00:14:53,520 --> 00:14:55,080 Speaker 15: an eye on what's happening in China is going to 292 00:14:55,080 --> 00:14:59,080 Speaker 15: get the attention it just but again, I do think 293 00:14:59,120 --> 00:15:02,320 Speaker 15: that you have to keep in mind that the Chinese 294 00:15:02,360 --> 00:15:04,840 Speaker 15: government thinks that there's some constraints to what they can 295 00:15:04,880 --> 00:15:07,160 Speaker 15: ultimately do with policy, and that they're not likely to 296 00:15:07,200 --> 00:15:09,440 Speaker 15: repeat something on the scale of the massive amount of 297 00:15:09,480 --> 00:15:12,120 Speaker 15: simulas you saw them deployed during the global financial crisis. 298 00:15:14,080 --> 00:15:17,000 Speaker 1: This is Bloomberg day Break Today, your morning brief on 299 00:15:17,040 --> 00:15:20,600 Speaker 1: the stories making news from Wall Street to Washington and beyond. 300 00:15:20,880 --> 00:15:23,640 Speaker 2: Look for us on your podcast feed at six am 301 00:15:23,720 --> 00:15:27,360 Speaker 2: Eastern each morning, on Apple, Spotify, and anywhere else you 302 00:15:27,440 --> 00:15:28,600 Speaker 2: get your podcasts. 303 00:15:28,720 --> 00:15:31,440 Speaker 1: You can also listen live each morning starting at five 304 00:15:31,480 --> 00:15:34,040 Speaker 1: am Wall Street time on Bloomberg eleven three to zero 305 00:15:34,120 --> 00:15:36,920 Speaker 1: in New York, Bloomberg ninety nine to one in Washington, 306 00:15:37,080 --> 00:15:39,960 Speaker 1: Bloomberg one oh six to one in Boston, and Bloomberg 307 00:15:40,040 --> 00:15:41,720 Speaker 1: ninety sixty in San Francisco. 308 00:15:42,080 --> 00:15:45,240 Speaker 2: Our flagship New York station is also available on your 309 00:15:45,280 --> 00:15:50,720 Speaker 2: Amazon alection devices. Just say Alexa play Bloomberg eleven thirty plus. 310 00:15:50,760 --> 00:15:53,720 Speaker 1: Listen coast to coast on the Bloomberg Business app, serious 311 00:15:53,920 --> 00:15:57,840 Speaker 1: XM Channel one nineteen, the iHeartRadio app, and on Bloomberg 312 00:15:57,960 --> 00:16:00,800 Speaker 1: dot Com. I'm Nathan Hager, are in Moscow. 313 00:16:00,960 --> 00:16:03,760 Speaker 2: Join us again tomorrow morning for all the news you 314 00:16:03,880 --> 00:16:07,080 Speaker 2: need to start your day right here on Bloomberg Daybreak