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Speaker 1: All right, and welcome into the Betting Pros College Football Show.

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Speaker 1: It's our week six preview episode where we'll give you

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Speaker 1: our official picks and predictions for the top ten games

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Speaker 1: on the slate. I'm your host of Seth Wilcock and

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Speaker 1: once again joined by the lads, including a man who

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Speaker 1: I'm actually surprised he's not already on the road to

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Speaker 1: Deskalosa to grab a front row seat for his Vanderbilt

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Speaker 1: Commodorees to take on the Alabama Crimson Tide. He's Treel

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Speaker 1: Firman Junior. What's going on today? Trell?

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Speaker 2: Oh, Well, when you've seen it last year, you don't

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Speaker 2: need to go see it again. You saw this happen

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Speaker 2: last year, and history is doing to repeat itself, so

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Speaker 2: I can't wait.

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Speaker 1: All right, Well, I'm excited for you to be locked

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Speaker 1: in load with us today, and we're also tapping back

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Speaker 1: into the big brain and the high vibes of Scott Bogman. Boggs,

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Speaker 1: how are you feeling about the upcoming slate as we

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Speaker 1: approach midweek here?

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Speaker 3: I like last week's better because I was six and

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Speaker 3: three yeah last week, so that can't get taken away.

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Speaker 4: We like that this slate is okay.

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Speaker 3: There are some stuff that I really like, and there

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Speaker 3: are also some games that I'm morbidly in between on

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Speaker 3: so that I can't. I just don't have a good

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Speaker 3: read on this week as well. So little Callum, a

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Speaker 3: little Colum b. But in general, I like that we're

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Speaker 3: learning more and more about these teams every week and

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Speaker 3: seeing who they are, so you know we're gonna learn

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Speaker 3: a lot this week too.

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Speaker 1: Completely agreed. Man, I've been staring at a couple of

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Speaker 1: tickets on my phone today. Should I place it? You know,

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Speaker 1: there's one or two things that maybe trip me up

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Speaker 1: about a game, but there's certainly some things I like

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Speaker 1: about a few games. We'll talk about a few we

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Speaker 1: won't talk about it as well as all weas shout

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Speaker 1: to everyone who continues to make us a part of

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Speaker 1: their weekly mix by tuning in either on the Bank

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Speaker 1: Pro's YouTube channel or the audio feed the easiest freeway

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Speaker 1: support us. Please give this video a thumbs up if

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Speaker 1: you enjoy this type of content. Also, if you're new,

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Speaker 1: make sure you're subscribing to the channel so you don't

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Speaker 1: miss a moment of college football betting coverage this season.

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Speaker 1: Let's start things off in the noonslay up here in

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Speaker 1: Big ten Country, where we've actually seen no line movement,

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Speaker 1: leading the number twenty Michigan Wolverines to sit as sixteen

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Speaker 1: and a half to seventeen and a half point home

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Speaker 1: favorites against the Wisconsin Badgers. We do have a bevy

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Speaker 1: of injuries for both teams, though Michigan has both their

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Speaker 1: guards and starting cornerback as questionable, but they are quote

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Speaker 1: in a good place right now coming off the buy.

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Speaker 1: According to schroe More, Wisconsin is starting free safety is out,

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Speaker 1: plus starting quarterback Billy Edwards Junior and their center at

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Speaker 1: Jake Frenfrow remain questionable. BP projections have set this line

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Speaker 1: at nineteen point seven, so showing about eight percent ev

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Speaker 1: on the Wolverines Bogs. Are you still betting on Big

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Speaker 1: Blue here, man?

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Speaker 4: Yeah?

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Speaker 3: I just feel like this Wisconsin team is about to

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Speaker 3: give up, right Like we all know, Luke Fickela is

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Speaker 3: out here pretty quick. I just think that this is

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Speaker 3: going to be one of those break the back of

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Speaker 3: this type of games here. And even if Wisconsin plays

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Speaker 3: harder than I give them credit for, I think in

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Speaker 3: the second half they're gonna be so worn out, they're

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Speaker 3: gonna start giving up big plays, which Michigan is below

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Speaker 3: average in ten plus yard plays. But they've also only

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Speaker 3: played four games compared to five for most but they

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Speaker 3: have five plays over fifty, which is eleventh in the country,

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Speaker 3: with one fewer game than most teams have played since

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Speaker 3: they've already had a bye week here. So I just

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Speaker 3: think that Michigan gets a lead and then poor Danny

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Speaker 3: O'Neill or Billy Edwards whoever is going to be behind

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Speaker 3: center here this week, because we just don't really know,

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Speaker 3: Like Edward's played in the last game two weeks ago,

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Speaker 3: but then we heard Fickle even admit we didn't save

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Speaker 3: him from himself and we put him back out there.

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Speaker 3: So it's just a mess at every level for Wisconsin.

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Speaker 3: Like the defense is still respectable, they could keep them

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Speaker 3: in this game, but I just don't think the offense

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Speaker 3: is And this isn't the best Michigan defense that we've

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Speaker 3: ever seen, but this is a defense that can lean

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Speaker 3: on a lead and bury a team. So I just

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Speaker 3: think that Wisconsin's not in a very good spot right now,

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Speaker 3: and Michigan is, and they're coming off a bye, it's

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Speaker 3: a good spot. To get some confidence for Underwood, maybe

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Speaker 3: run up to score a little bit.

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Speaker 1: True, we've seen a slew of head coaching firings over

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Speaker 1: the past few weeks in college football. Will Luke Fickle

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Speaker 1: be the next? And is this kind of the start

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Speaker 1: of that downfall against the Wolverines on Saturday.

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Speaker 2: I don't necessarily want to say this is the start

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Speaker 2: of the downfall. I think the downfall was happening. Is

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Speaker 2: it started way before this game. But in this instance, like,

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Speaker 2: I'm not necessarily looking to lay this amount of points

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Speaker 2: with this Michigan team just because I think that the

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Speaker 2: Wisconsin Badgers defense is good enough to keep them in

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Speaker 2: the game. First, you look at Michigan off the buy

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Speaker 2: here last ten games, they are seven and three straight up,

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Speaker 2: very good, but three six and one ATS, so they're

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Speaker 2: not getting the better of the number. And the thing

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Speaker 2: about this Wisconsin defense is how they can generate pass rush.

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Speaker 2: They have a very good pass rush. They don't have

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Speaker 2: to rush five to six seven people all the time.

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Speaker 2: They can rush for and get to the quarterback. And

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Speaker 2: that's going to be the difference in the game. Because

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Speaker 2: Bryce Underwood, he's throwing the ball at thirty eight point

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Speaker 2: nine percent completion percentage when he's under pressure opposed to

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Speaker 2: the sixty point seven percent without pressure. So if they

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Speaker 2: could send you to get pressure like they have been

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Speaker 2: on the defensive front, Bryce Underwood is going to make

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Speaker 2: a couple of bad throws and keep them in the games.

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Speaker 2: So I don't really want to lay all the points

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Speaker 2: with that. I'll take the plus the points with Wisconsin,

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Speaker 2: but I like the under more under forty two and

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Speaker 2: a half. This This just sounds like smash mout Big

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Speaker 2: ten football up there in Michigan.

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Speaker 4: All that's missing is the weather.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, it's coming, it's coming. It's especially October, so those

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Speaker 1: football weather nights are coming. And I'm kind of with

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Speaker 1: you Torell here that like, I'm looking for a place

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Speaker 1: to get invested in Michigan, but I don't think it

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Speaker 1: will be this week against Wisconsin, who has the top

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Speaker 1: rushing defense in the league, allowing just two point one

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Speaker 1: yards per carry fifty yards per game. As well. I

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Speaker 1: haven't faced a bunch of good rushing offenses yet, but

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Speaker 1: I think that could slow down Justice Haynes and company.

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Speaker 2: Here.

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Speaker 1: Let's go ahead, though, Let's shift to the SEC, where

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Speaker 1: we have not seen a lot of line movement between

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Speaker 1: the twelfth rank to Georgia Bulldogs and the Kentucky Wildcats.

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Speaker 1: You can still get the Bulldogs as twenty and a

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Speaker 1: half point favorites at some shops. For our friends over

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Speaker 1: at hard Rock Bet, they actually have moved this line

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Speaker 1: to twenty one and a half if you want the Wildcats.

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Speaker 1: Injuries rather minimal here as well. Kentucky there starting quarterback

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Speaker 1: DJ Waller he is questionable, and Georgia is starting right

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Speaker 1: tackle Ernest Green the third He is questionable after missing

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Speaker 1: last week's game against Bama. BP projections have this line

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Speaker 1: closer to eighteen points, so shown actually some value on

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Speaker 1: the Wildcats Andterrell. I know you've been on the right

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Speaker 1: side of betting against and for Mark Stoops squad a

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Speaker 1: few times this season. Will you once again have a

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Speaker 1: play in this matchup?

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Speaker 2: Not one that I feel too good about, because if

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Speaker 2: you've been betting Kentucky against Georgia enough, you know that

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Speaker 2: Kentucky actually gets the better of Georgia a good amount

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Speaker 2: of times, actually one in four in the last five

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Speaker 2: games ats Kentucky is going up against Georgia, they've been

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Speaker 2: able to keep this game closed and it's just because

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Speaker 2: that Mark Steus goes out and has a really really

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Speaker 2: good defense that has been able to battle Georgia, Whereas here,

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Speaker 2: I think that he's got a lot more work because

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Speaker 2: you got Cutter Bowley, who clearly is not good at all.

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Speaker 2: Somehow Gonzada won the job, and so if you can't

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Speaker 2: beat Conzada out for the job, I just can't think

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Speaker 2: that you're you know, mid season, they throw you in there,

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Speaker 2: you're gonna be good. He hasn't looked good at all

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Speaker 2: at any point this season. The offensive line's not helping

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Speaker 2: him out at all. They are one hundred and fifty

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Speaker 2: second graded in PFF. He's got a thirty three percent

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Speaker 2: adjusted COLI percentage under under pressure, and so I'm looking

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Speaker 2: to add all of that. On top of all of that,

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Speaker 2: they have one of the worst pass defenses in college football.

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Speaker 2: So gutter Stockton over passing yards sounds good. I really

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Speaker 2: want to sit here and say, yo, just lay to

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Speaker 2: twenty and a half with Georgia and they're gonna be

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Speaker 2: able to get it done. But I know Mark Stewkes

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Speaker 2: has given Georgia games in the past. However, a lot

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Speaker 2: of those games has come with him not scoring points

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Speaker 2: and not allowing Georgia to score points. Either. We can

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Speaker 2: see this be some type of seventeen to three twenty

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Speaker 2: to three type of game. And so for me, just

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Speaker 2: give me the Kentucky team total under thirteen and a half.

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Speaker 2: I Cutter Bowley has to come prove to me that

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Speaker 2: he can put up two touchdown. Look, although the George

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Speaker 2: defense is questionable at times this year, he is a

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Speaker 2: horrible college quarterback compared to his peers.

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Speaker 1: Well, we got a team total already out of the

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Speaker 1: gate from Terrell Boggs. Do you have a play in

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Speaker 1: this one?

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Speaker 3: No, I don't. I hate this game. I hate every

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Speaker 3: single piece of this game. I am so sick of

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Speaker 3: losing money on Kentucky, whether I take them or bet

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Speaker 3: against them. I'm on the wrong side every single damn

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Speaker 3: time against Kentucky.

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Speaker 2: Me.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, look what Terrell just said is correct. Let's avoid

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Speaker 3: this game and take a player prop in it, right

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Speaker 3: I'll give you a player prop in this game for Friday.

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Speaker 3: I'm not gonna on Friday. I'm not going to mess

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Speaker 3: with this game right now. I think, look, in paper,

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Speaker 3: this should be Georgia thumping Kentucky. It should be that

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Speaker 3: on paper like every year and it never is. It's

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Speaker 3: always some close game, and we see Kentucky bow up

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Speaker 3: and play a good one. Last year was Old Miss,

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Speaker 3: and also Georgia they played hard last year. So it's

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Speaker 3: just I don't trust Kentucky at all, but I've lost

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Speaker 3: too much money betting against them, so I'm just going

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Speaker 3: to pass on this one.

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Speaker 4: I'll give you a player prop on Friday.

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Speaker 1: You can track these bets and get line alert straight

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Speaker 1: to your phone by downloading the free Betting Pros app

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Speaker 1: today and with sportsbook Sink, you can automatically track your

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Speaker 1: bets across all major books in just one spot. Easily

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00:11:22,720 --> 00:11:25,880
Speaker 1: monitor your bet performance by sport and bet type, including

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00:11:25,880 --> 00:11:29,520
Speaker 1: game picks, props, and of course parlays. Create custom betting

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00:11:29,520 --> 00:11:33,280
Speaker 1: systems to find winning trends and profitable opportunities. Get a

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00:11:33,360 --> 00:11:37,079
Speaker 1: seven day free trial of Betting Pros Premium by downloading

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00:11:37,120 --> 00:11:40,520
Speaker 1: theapp at bettingpros dot com slash apps, using the promo

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Speaker 1: code Juice and activating your trial on the upgrade screen.

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Speaker 1: We've also seen known line movement in Cincinnati as well,

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Speaker 1: with the Bearcats still favored by one and a half

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Speaker 1: points over the fourteenth ranked Iowa state side Clones for

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Speaker 1: Iowa State on the injury front, their starting cornerback John

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Speaker 1: tz Walker is out, plus their other starting cornerback, Jeremiah

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Speaker 1: Cooper is questionable since he's defensive tackle Dante Corleone is

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Speaker 1: questionable as well. BP projections have Iowa State as two

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Speaker 1: and a half point favorites. So Boggs, is this a

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Speaker 1: spot we still get down on the Bear cast despite

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Speaker 1: the projection saying this should be the other way around.

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Speaker 3: I'm walking into danger here picking against rock obect with

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Speaker 3: Trell on the show.

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Speaker 2: But yeah, look on the show, just in general, you're walking.

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Speaker 4: Into in life.

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Speaker 2: Betting against him is not smart.

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Speaker 3: Look, I think this is gonna be a really good game.

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Speaker 3: This is gonna be and for for the three of us,

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Speaker 3: this game is gonna be extra enjoyable because Trell and

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Speaker 3: I am sure are going to be on opposite sides

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Speaker 3: of it here. I like, since he at home, just

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Speaker 3: take on the money line. Like, the difference between laying

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Speaker 3: the one and a half and the money line is

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Speaker 3: like nothing here, So uh, it could be a one

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Speaker 3: point game.

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Speaker 4: I wouldn't be surprised.

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Speaker 3: The difference to me is that Cincinnati's run defense has

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Speaker 3: played very very well. Runs the ball over fifty percent.

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Speaker 3: Neither one of these teams are putting pressure on the

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Speaker 3: quarterback at all. Right, I think it's one hundred and

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Speaker 3: twenty second grade for Sincy in one hundred and twenty

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Speaker 3: fifth grade for Iowa State. Both teams are gonna be

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Speaker 3: able to pass Iowa State run zone at an incredibly

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Speaker 3: high rate. Sworsby has one of the best better passer

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Speaker 3: ratings against zone this season as well. I just think

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Speaker 3: home field and a little bit of an offensive advantage

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Speaker 3: for Swersby and the Bearcats is the difference in this game.

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Speaker 3: So that's why I'll take Sincy. If this one was

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Speaker 3: in Iowa State, I would probably be taking Iowa State.

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Speaker 3: I think that the home field advantage is a big

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Speaker 3: difference here in this one.

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Speaker 1: Yeah. True, it's a great point the Bogs makes. It

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Speaker 1: has kind of been two different versions of the Cyclone's

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Speaker 1: one dominant performance at home it feels like time and

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Speaker 1: time again, and then when they get on the road

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Speaker 1: they seem to get a little bit flustered here. I

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Speaker 1: had them a couple weeks ago to cover against an

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Speaker 1: FCS squad and they couldn't do it.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, but I mean, you guys just don't commit to

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Speaker 2: the gospel that is Rocoback in college football, and it's okay,

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Speaker 2: It's perfectly fine. Now, I will admit Roco does have

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Speaker 2: his faults. Yeah, the decision making under pressure is not there.

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Speaker 2: He's actually really really struggled when he's gotten under pressure

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Speaker 2: of forty two percent completion percentage opposed to seventy percent

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Speaker 2: when his claim. But again, the Sennessee team really struggles

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Speaker 2: at getting to the quarterback as much as Iowa State,

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Speaker 2: and sores be over seventy percent when he has a

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Speaker 2: clean pocket as well. So both of these two qbs

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Speaker 2: can put up a crazy game. But I just think

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Speaker 2: that this is going to be about the defenses. These

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Speaker 2: defenses are going to be so locked in on trying

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Speaker 2: to keep both of these quarterbacks off of their game

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Speaker 2: that I think that is actually going to go that way.

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Speaker 2: And we see both of the both of the offensive

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Speaker 2: lines which actually aren't too good offensive lines at all.

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Speaker 2: So it's gonna be which folds first, the defensive line

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Speaker 2: or the offensive line on both sides of the ball.

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Speaker 2: But here the Bear casts eleven five and two to

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Speaker 2: the under when playing ranked opponents. You've got since he

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Speaker 2: also the last couple of year years they're two and

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Speaker 2: seven ats as single digit conference favorites. I understand why

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Speaker 2: you think, you know, since he should go out there

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Speaker 2: and win the game. I think that it is competitive. However,

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Speaker 2: what I do know about watching Rocko Bett and Matt

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Speaker 2: Campbell is that they always just kind of find a

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Speaker 2: way to win these ugly one point two point three

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Speaker 2: point games, and that's just not the side of the

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Speaker 2: ball that you want to be fading here. So I

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Speaker 2: like under fifty three and a half. I think the

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Speaker 2: defense is actually going to get into it and this

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Speaker 2: is going to be more of a defensive game. But

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Speaker 2: I could not pick against Roco Bett because I just

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Speaker 2: know what that entails and it's nothing good.

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Speaker 1: So is it the money line for you then as well? Charelle,

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Speaker 1: where you just think I'm on the underside, I'm on

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Speaker 1: the under Okay.

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Speaker 2: I'm not really. I think both of these two teams

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Speaker 2: are even, and I think that it will be a

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Speaker 2: lot of momentum for both teams, and then it's a

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Speaker 2: it's a real game as well. And since he is

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Speaker 2: laying the points against the ranked team at home as

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Speaker 2: an unranked team, and that's been about a good sixty

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Speaker 2: eight sixty seven to sixty eight percent trend over the

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Speaker 2: last few years, and so I hate fading that, but

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Speaker 2: I also hate fitting Rono Beck. So I'm not going

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Speaker 2: to do either one of those things. I do think

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Speaker 2: it's an undergame though.

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Speaker 3: I used one of those trends last week on UCLA

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Speaker 3: get in the dead Cat bounce after firing Foster and worked.

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Speaker 3: So some trends work. They just you know, they're friendly

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Speaker 3: trends for a reason.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I'll tell you what, man. One of the bets

352
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Speaker 1: I've been staring at all week, you know, thinking I

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Speaker 1: might place it was the over on Cincinnati's team total.

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Speaker 1: I think you talked me off the ledge there with

355
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Speaker 1: throwing out that trend there against top twenty five teams.

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Speaker 1: So I appreciate that. Let's go ahead and get to

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Speaker 1: Scottie Scheffler's least favorite city in the country, Lowllville, Kentucky,

358
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Speaker 1: where the line has moved about a point at hard

359
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Speaker 1: Rock Bet, where you can now get the number twenty

360
00:16:41,120 --> 00:16:44,720
Speaker 1: four Virginia Cavaliers as six and a half point favorites

361
00:16:44,800 --> 00:16:47,920
Speaker 1: against the Cardinals. Not one hundred of injuries to report

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Speaker 1: for this one. Uvas starting center Brady Wilson he is questionable.

363
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Speaker 1: And then Louisville they have a cornerback and they're too

364
00:16:55,400 --> 00:16:59,320
Speaker 1: deep questionable. BP projections put this closer to an eight

365
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Speaker 1: point line. Some slight value on the Cardinals here is

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Speaker 1: that where you're heading to row after just a week

367
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Speaker 1: away from backing successfully the Virginia calves.

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Speaker 2: Yes, and first of all, come on Florida State coming

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Speaker 2: up into Virginia on the road thinking that they were

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Speaker 2: gonna get it done.

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Speaker 1: It was a great, great job.

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Speaker 2: Great Friday doll, great Friday dog there. And so with

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Speaker 2: that being said, this is now. They dumped the gatory,

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Speaker 2: they dumped the gatorade. They rushed the field, They partied.

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Speaker 1: Quick rushing the field.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, oh yeah, I mean scorel White was just disintegrated

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Speaker 2: into the crowd like he was freaking theys like the

378
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Speaker 2: theos snap and he just like just went away and

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Speaker 2: he was going into the crowd just like that. And

380
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Speaker 2: so yeah, no, I gotta fade that that UV eight

381
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Speaker 2: team going on the road here playing as little bit

382
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Speaker 2: team that somehow, some way found a way to get

383
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Speaker 2: it done and gets Pitt like Pitt was really giving

384
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Speaker 2: them their number, and they just continue to create turnovers

385
00:18:01,359 --> 00:18:03,840
Speaker 2: and give a battle back into the game and found

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Speaker 2: themselves covering the number. In fact, like I think that

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Speaker 2: this is a lous team that is here to stay

388
00:18:08,840 --> 00:18:11,520
Speaker 2: in the ACC. Right now, Miller Moss is playing okay,

389
00:18:12,040 --> 00:18:15,120
Speaker 2: and it's enough to take advantage of the Tony Elliott

390
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Speaker 2: defense and the Tony Elliott down spot after beating rank

391
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Speaker 2: Florida State at home going on the road here, so

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Speaker 2: laying seven this is a nice letdown spot for UVA Cavaliers.

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Speaker 2: I will take Littleville here to get it done.

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Speaker 1: Bogs. It's probably been years since I've ever like faded

395
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Speaker 1: or backed Jeff Brom. I don't know why you say

396
00:18:34,320 --> 00:18:36,399
Speaker 1: a coach that kind of scares me. I don't know

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Speaker 1: if it's the shiny head or what it really is,

398
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Speaker 1: but I usually try to stay away from Aullsville games.

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Speaker 1: Do you have a play here?

400
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Speaker 4: Yeah?

401
00:18:42,160 --> 00:18:44,280
Speaker 3: I like the over in this game, and it's because

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00:18:44,280 --> 00:18:47,879
Speaker 3: of what Virginia offers on offense and defense, which is

403
00:18:47,920 --> 00:18:51,040
Speaker 3: a lot of offense and no defense at all. There

404
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Speaker 3: are five and oho playing to the over wow this season,

405
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Speaker 3: and it's a high over. I believe it's sixty one

406
00:18:57,240 --> 00:19:00,760
Speaker 3: and a half still is the number, but I think

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Speaker 3: what we saw last week from Virginia was the big test.

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Speaker 3: Can they score against Florida State? Well, obviously they put

409
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Speaker 3: up forty six points and four hundred and forty yards.

410
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Speaker 3: Now also gave up over five hundred yards to Florida State. Right,

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Speaker 3: So I think Louisville is going to be able to

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Speaker 3: move the ball with Miller Moss, but I think Virginia

413
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Speaker 3: can score as well. Louisville's defense is good. It's one

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Speaker 3: of the better defensive teams in the ACC. Louisville is,

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Speaker 3: but they're not better than Florida State. They're probably right

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Speaker 3: around the same. So Virginia just scored a bunch of

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Speaker 3: points against Florida State and look great doing it. Tomory

418
00:19:33,920 --> 00:19:38,320
Speaker 3: Taylor looks awesome. Chandler Morris scoring three rushing touchdowns adds

419
00:19:38,359 --> 00:19:40,280
Speaker 3: a little juice at the goal line as well. Like

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Speaker 3: this offense is moving the ball. I know Tony Elliott's

421
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Speaker 3: a defensive guy, but give me the over in this game.

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Speaker 3: I think they go point for point and I think

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Speaker 3: Chandler Morris is going to continue to move the ball.

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Speaker 1: Tuscolosa host College Game Day on Saturday, where we've actually

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Speaker 1: seen some money come in on the tenth ranked Alabama

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Speaker 1: crimson tide that has pushed the sixteenth ranked Vanderbilt Commodoors

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Speaker 1: to eleven point a row dogs. Vandy is healthy coming

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Speaker 1: in other than their starting defensive tackle is questionable. For Bama,

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Speaker 1: They're starting linebacker Kua Rusaw. He is out of this game,

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00:20:13,440 --> 00:20:16,600
Speaker 1: and BP projections are calling it to stay away. Our

431
00:20:16,680 --> 00:20:18,719
Speaker 1: line is right in line with the book. So Boggs,

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Speaker 1: do you have an official bet on this big game?

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Speaker 3: I mean I have a lean on this game, and

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Speaker 3: I think that Vandy has been very impressive. But remember

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Speaker 3: they played the ninety third strength of schedule so far

436
00:20:31,119 --> 00:20:34,320
Speaker 3: this season, and Obama has the last week one and

437
00:20:34,600 --> 00:20:38,000
Speaker 3: we're not at all crazy impressed by what they have done.

438
00:20:38,040 --> 00:20:41,679
Speaker 3: But they beat Georgia and there is no way that

439
00:20:41,800 --> 00:20:44,399
Speaker 3: this game is a look ahead spot after what happened

440
00:20:44,400 --> 00:20:48,239
Speaker 3: to Bama looking ahead last season in Vandy. So I

441
00:20:48,280 --> 00:20:52,080
Speaker 3: think you get a concentrated team here now. Vandy's been

442
00:20:52,080 --> 00:20:55,080
Speaker 3: great against the past this season, nineteenth in coverage and

443
00:20:55,480 --> 00:20:58,239
Speaker 3: better than average statistically as well. They're allowing fewer than

444
00:20:58,240 --> 00:21:00,720
Speaker 3: two hundred yards per game. But Alabama is coming off

445
00:21:00,760 --> 00:21:03,600
Speaker 3: a clean game from Simpson where he wasn't sacked and

446
00:21:03,720 --> 00:21:06,760
Speaker 3: rarely pressured. If Vandy can put pressure on Simpson, I

447
00:21:06,800 --> 00:21:09,280
Speaker 3: think they can stay in this game and beat the spread.

448
00:21:09,640 --> 00:21:12,200
Speaker 3: But I think we're gonna see what we have seen

449
00:21:12,560 --> 00:21:15,639
Speaker 3: from Alabama is a different offensive line than what we

450
00:21:15,680 --> 00:21:18,960
Speaker 3: saw Week one against Florida State. They allowed three sacks

451
00:21:19,000 --> 00:21:21,800
Speaker 3: in that game. They've allowed one in the next three games.

452
00:21:21,960 --> 00:21:26,400
Speaker 3: So I just think Bama at home with Ty Simpson

453
00:21:26,680 --> 00:21:28,639
Speaker 3: is going to be a little bit too strong for

454
00:21:28,720 --> 00:21:33,280
Speaker 3: this Vandy team. So I'll lean that way. But you know, look,

455
00:21:33,359 --> 00:21:36,440
Speaker 3: I'm confident in Cincinnati. I'm not super confident in Alabama.

456
00:21:36,520 --> 00:21:39,480
Speaker 3: I'm not gonna take this game. This is just a

457
00:21:39,560 --> 00:21:42,760
Speaker 3: lean for Alabama. So I'll let Terrell have the floor

458
00:21:42,840 --> 00:21:44,960
Speaker 3: and tell you why you should take Diego Pavia. It's

459
00:21:45,000 --> 00:21:46,040
Speaker 3: way more fun.

460
00:21:46,000 --> 00:21:49,720
Speaker 2: Yeah, because this is clearly a letdown off of the

461
00:21:49,760 --> 00:21:53,240
Speaker 2: Georgia win. I mean, to start the season how they

462
00:21:53,280 --> 00:21:57,280
Speaker 2: did in a complete no show game against Florida State,

463
00:21:57,440 --> 00:22:00,600
Speaker 2: and then to go on the route in Georgie to

464
00:22:00,640 --> 00:22:03,520
Speaker 2: hear all those Georgia fans that had complaining about how

465
00:22:03,600 --> 00:22:11,120
Speaker 2: Alabama never comes to Athens, neverver comes to Athens, and

466
00:22:11,200 --> 00:22:13,760
Speaker 2: they come in there and put a w up on.

467
00:22:13,760 --> 00:22:19,280
Speaker 6: You, simps, I don't need I don't need to look

468
00:22:19,320 --> 00:22:22,840
Speaker 6: ahead spot in this game, because they've already got the

469
00:22:22,920 --> 00:22:25,080
Speaker 6: letdown spot sitting there right for me.

470
00:22:25,480 --> 00:22:29,160
Speaker 2: They're already riding the high of beating Georgia and we're back.

471
00:22:29,440 --> 00:22:33,320
Speaker 2: Alabama football is back. They're on fine baumb talking about Yes,

472
00:22:33,760 --> 00:22:37,200
Speaker 2: it's working, We're back. The bower y'all wanted to fire

473
00:22:37,280 --> 00:22:39,480
Speaker 2: the Bauer late till you see what happens when he

474
00:22:39,560 --> 00:22:41,880
Speaker 2: loses to Vandy two years in a row, this time

475
00:22:41,920 --> 00:22:47,280
Speaker 2: at home. Because that offense is rolling and getting pressure

476
00:22:47,359 --> 00:22:51,439
Speaker 2: to the quarterback is key. Both lines very shaky for me.

477
00:22:51,600 --> 00:22:55,080
Speaker 2: Even though Alabama NFL prospects, they've still been very, very

478
00:22:55,119 --> 00:22:57,119
Speaker 2: shaky over the course at the start of the season.

479
00:22:57,440 --> 00:23:00,159
Speaker 2: I think that that Vandy defense is legit and can

480
00:23:00,240 --> 00:23:01,959
Speaker 2: be able to get to the quarterback. They look good

481
00:23:02,000 --> 00:23:04,639
Speaker 2: in SEC play thus far. And Pavia is a baller.

482
00:23:04,920 --> 00:23:07,800
Speaker 2: Pavia is able to see pressure and be able to

483
00:23:07,840 --> 00:23:11,200
Speaker 2: still perform. Like Pavia throws a little bit better under

484
00:23:11,200 --> 00:23:12,200
Speaker 2: pressure that he does.

485
00:23:14,280 --> 00:23:16,679
Speaker 3: Than he has been. Like he's just he's playing at

486
00:23:16,720 --> 00:23:17,679
Speaker 3: a different level he is.

487
00:23:17,840 --> 00:23:19,879
Speaker 2: And what happened when they saw a quarterback with that

488
00:23:19,960 --> 00:23:22,000
Speaker 2: kind of moxy and that kind of drive in saying

489
00:23:22,040 --> 00:23:23,800
Speaker 2: that I'm going to go out here and put up

490
00:23:23,800 --> 00:23:26,320
Speaker 2: points on this Alabama defense. They took an O and

491
00:23:26,320 --> 00:23:28,440
Speaker 2: get and put up thirty something points against Florida State.

492
00:23:28,600 --> 00:23:31,480
Speaker 2: So I think that this is another opportunity where it's

493
00:23:31,520 --> 00:23:33,560
Speaker 2: just the style of play is going to be a

494
00:23:33,560 --> 00:23:35,240
Speaker 2: lot for Alabama. They're going to it's going to be

495
00:23:35,240 --> 00:23:36,840
Speaker 2: a little bit of a back and forth game, and

496
00:23:36,880 --> 00:23:39,240
Speaker 2: you better not hope that Diego Pavia gets the ball

497
00:23:39,280 --> 00:23:41,359
Speaker 2: with the chance to go up for the league because

498
00:23:41,359 --> 00:23:46,040
Speaker 2: it's going to be scary. I mean just taking a

499
00:23:46,119 --> 00:23:49,480
Speaker 2: leak all over the Alabama field here, Diego Pavia gets

500
00:23:49,480 --> 00:23:49,840
Speaker 2: it done.

501
00:23:51,520 --> 00:23:53,320
Speaker 1: Money line as well as the spread for you.

502
00:23:53,359 --> 00:23:57,760
Speaker 6: Of course, of course you always money silly questions.

503
00:23:58,000 --> 00:24:01,200
Speaker 2: Why would you not money? And this is the thing

504
00:24:01,240 --> 00:24:02,920
Speaker 2: that people would be like, oh, I'm not I think

505
00:24:02,960 --> 00:24:04,680
Speaker 2: I might cover. I'm not going to play the one.

506
00:24:04,760 --> 00:24:07,160
Speaker 2: Let's say you don't bet it and you're watching the game,

507
00:24:07,240 --> 00:24:10,080
Speaker 2: You're like, man, they're up fifteen points and I got

508
00:24:10,119 --> 00:24:12,320
Speaker 2: plus seven and a half, plus eight and a half. Whatever,

509
00:24:12,560 --> 00:24:14,320
Speaker 2: aren't you gonna be sitting there like, man, if I

510
00:24:14,320 --> 00:24:14,639
Speaker 2: had that.

511
00:24:14,840 --> 00:24:17,720
Speaker 1: Money line right now, I've over three to one.

512
00:24:17,560 --> 00:24:20,399
Speaker 2: And then it's a great sweat because how many times

513
00:24:20,600 --> 00:24:22,639
Speaker 2: imagine if you had the Mississippi State money line like

514
00:24:22,680 --> 00:24:26,320
Speaker 2: me last week, that was an amazing sweat, amazing sweat.

515
00:24:26,400 --> 00:24:29,720
Speaker 2: I got an overtime knowing that I cashed one bet already,

516
00:24:30,119 --> 00:24:33,719
Speaker 2: and then I'm just like, Okay, maybe Mississippi stea can

517
00:24:33,720 --> 00:24:35,840
Speaker 2: get it done and get me an out right whin here.

518
00:24:36,160 --> 00:24:39,360
Speaker 2: Same thing with the Iowa game. It was a great sweat,

519
00:24:39,359 --> 00:24:43,440
Speaker 2: sweating Iowa, very very good sweat. Sorry, Stef, I didn't

520
00:24:43,440 --> 00:24:44,159
Speaker 2: even bring that up.

521
00:24:45,480 --> 00:24:48,199
Speaker 1: That's all right, man. We moved forward. And yeah, I

522
00:24:48,240 --> 00:24:50,400
Speaker 1: can't give anyone credit for this because I don't remember

523
00:24:50,400 --> 00:24:53,280
Speaker 1: who tweeted it, but it was an Alabama beat reporter

524
00:24:53,400 --> 00:24:56,520
Speaker 1: or TV anchor someone in the media space down Tuscaloosa,

525
00:24:57,040 --> 00:24:59,480
Speaker 1: and they said something along along lines is never in

526
00:24:59,520 --> 00:25:01,800
Speaker 1: a million year what I've ever thought college game Day

527
00:25:01,840 --> 00:25:04,840
Speaker 1: would come to Tuscaloosa for a game against Vanderbilt. But

528
00:25:05,200 --> 00:25:07,120
Speaker 1: here we are, man, here we are.

529
00:25:07,320 --> 00:25:10,000
Speaker 4: So it's a different era of football. Man, it's way better.

530
00:25:10,240 --> 00:25:11,520
Speaker 4: Lee is a good coach.

531
00:25:11,280 --> 00:25:14,600
Speaker 1: Man, Yeah, he absolutely is. Let's go ahead, though, Let's

532
00:25:14,600 --> 00:25:17,200
Speaker 1: get to Gainesville, where six and a half point tickets

533
00:25:17,200 --> 00:25:21,359
Speaker 1: for the number nine Texas Longhorns are slowly disappearing against

534
00:25:21,400 --> 00:25:24,359
Speaker 1: the Florida Gators. Injuries could play a big part in

535
00:25:24,400 --> 00:25:27,639
Speaker 1: the handicapping here as well. Gentlemen, Texas, they're hoping to

536
00:25:27,680 --> 00:25:31,280
Speaker 1: get back running backs Trey Wisner and CJ. Baxter, plus

537
00:25:31,320 --> 00:25:34,600
Speaker 1: their wide receiver Emmitt Mosley, who he has not made

538
00:25:34,600 --> 00:25:37,600
Speaker 1: his season debut yet. We also have center Cole Hudson

539
00:25:37,680 --> 00:25:41,800
Speaker 1: and defensive tackle Alex January who are questionable for the Longhorns.

540
00:25:42,119 --> 00:25:45,680
Speaker 1: Florida they hope to get starting wide receiver, flanker back

541
00:25:45,800 --> 00:25:49,840
Speaker 1: a J. Michael Sturdivant and his backup Aiden Mazzelli who've

542
00:25:49,880 --> 00:25:51,879
Speaker 1: been out for a little while now. We also have

543
00:25:51,960 --> 00:25:56,639
Speaker 1: questionable for the Gators nickelback Aaron Gates, linebacker George Gumms Junior,

544
00:25:56,920 --> 00:25:59,680
Speaker 1: and a few members of the defenses too deep as well.

545
00:26:00,080 --> 00:26:02,359
Speaker 1: VP projections have this closer to an eight and a

546
00:26:02,359 --> 00:26:05,399
Speaker 1: half point line. So given Texas just a bit just

547
00:26:05,480 --> 00:26:08,040
Speaker 1: I mean just a bit like one percent expected value,

548
00:26:08,160 --> 00:26:10,880
Speaker 1: So That's where I'm going here. I just don't think

549
00:26:10,920 --> 00:26:13,800
Speaker 1: Florida can get after the quarterback. They are one hundred

550
00:26:13,840 --> 00:26:16,760
Speaker 1: and thirty plus in sacks. I think this offensive line

551
00:26:16,760 --> 00:26:18,639
Speaker 1: will be able to hold Arch accountable. If you can

552
00:26:18,640 --> 00:26:20,480
Speaker 1: get a couple of these running backs back as well,

553
00:26:20,640 --> 00:26:23,000
Speaker 1: I think they'll be able to run over this Florida

554
00:26:23,160 --> 00:26:26,439
Speaker 1: defense that has some secondary issues and some issues in

555
00:26:26,480 --> 00:26:29,680
Speaker 1: that linebacking core right now with hell, So, Terrell, are

556
00:26:29,800 --> 00:26:32,879
Speaker 1: you with me here on the Texas long horns or

557
00:26:32,920 --> 00:26:35,800
Speaker 1: is this another one of your long horns down spot

558
00:26:35,840 --> 00:26:37,000
Speaker 1: for you?

559
00:26:37,040 --> 00:26:39,360
Speaker 2: No? I mean, it's not even fun this year anymore,

560
00:26:39,480 --> 00:26:44,240
Speaker 2: to be honest, maybe if you're not taking the Yeah,

561
00:26:44,240 --> 00:26:48,320
Speaker 2: it's not even fun this year anymore. But Texas in

562
00:26:48,400 --> 00:26:51,800
Speaker 2: this spot one in three eight cs in the last

563
00:26:51,840 --> 00:26:55,880
Speaker 2: four games after a bye here, I do think Florida

564
00:26:55,880 --> 00:26:58,320
Speaker 2: actually can kind of generate some pressure on the defense

565
00:26:58,400 --> 00:27:00,399
Speaker 2: and playing in the swamp, like you gotta add that

566
00:27:00,520 --> 00:27:02,640
Speaker 2: aspect of playing on the room. This is a really

567
00:27:02,680 --> 00:27:05,679
Speaker 2: big game, both of these qbs. I'm just not really

568
00:27:05,720 --> 00:27:08,200
Speaker 2: into right now, And so that's what makes it really

569
00:27:08,200 --> 00:27:11,560
Speaker 2: hard for me, Like does somebody have a worse game?

570
00:27:11,640 --> 00:27:14,200
Speaker 2: And I'm not sold on the offensive line for Texas,

571
00:27:14,200 --> 00:27:16,760
Speaker 2: by the way, I think that there's been too many

572
00:27:16,840 --> 00:27:19,120
Speaker 2: spots where they've kind of gotten Arch in some bad

573
00:27:19,160 --> 00:27:21,800
Speaker 2: situations and then Arches made. A bad makes bad decisions

574
00:27:21,840 --> 00:27:25,000
Speaker 2: sometimes as well. And I just think the Aura Farm

575
00:27:25,200 --> 00:27:29,199
Speaker 2: after you know, Sam Houston State and doing what they

576
00:27:29,240 --> 00:27:33,720
Speaker 2: did Sam Houston, the Aura Farm of that, and then

577
00:27:33,800 --> 00:27:36,280
Speaker 2: coming in here and attempting to do that again against

578
00:27:36,280 --> 00:27:39,080
Speaker 2: an SEC defense. I don't think it's gonna work here.

579
00:27:39,160 --> 00:27:41,600
Speaker 2: So I think this is a closer game. Maybe Texas

580
00:27:41,600 --> 00:27:45,000
Speaker 2: gets the one. Maybe that is not even committing to that,

581
00:27:45,320 --> 00:27:47,359
Speaker 2: But I do think that this is gonna be. This

582
00:27:47,440 --> 00:27:49,399
Speaker 2: is gonna be in a touchdown. I think this is

583
00:27:49,440 --> 00:27:51,480
Speaker 2: gonna be in a touchdown. And this this was one

584
00:27:51,480 --> 00:27:53,440
Speaker 2: of those games that got in overtime. And I'm sitting

585
00:27:53,480 --> 00:27:55,720
Speaker 2: here sitting on a plus six and a half ticket,

586
00:27:55,920 --> 00:27:58,720
Speaker 2: and overtime again, I wouldn't be surprised. So yeah, I

587
00:27:58,720 --> 00:27:59,760
Speaker 2: think Floria's in this game.

588
00:28:00,240 --> 00:28:02,159
Speaker 1: Bugs. I'm all about hook them this week, are you

589
00:28:02,200 --> 00:28:02,600
Speaker 1: as well?

590
00:28:03,480 --> 00:28:05,960
Speaker 4: Look what do we know in this game?

591
00:28:06,240 --> 00:28:06,440
Speaker 2: Right?

592
00:28:06,720 --> 00:28:07,800
Speaker 4: I think that's the big.

593
00:28:07,640 --> 00:28:09,360
Speaker 1: Thing in Texas defense is awesome.

594
00:28:09,600 --> 00:28:12,520
Speaker 3: Texas defense is really good, right, That's what we know.

595
00:28:12,920 --> 00:28:15,840
Speaker 3: We Also, I feel like know that Florida's offense sucks.

596
00:28:16,040 --> 00:28:18,880
Speaker 3: It's just not good right now. It could be because

597
00:28:19,600 --> 00:28:22,200
Speaker 3: Lagway was playing hurt to begin he's coming off a

598
00:28:22,240 --> 00:28:25,120
Speaker 3: bye week. Maybe he's better now, right, that could be it.

599
00:28:25,200 --> 00:28:27,919
Speaker 3: But the Texas defense has been great so far to

600
00:28:27,960 --> 00:28:31,480
Speaker 3: start the season. Look, laying the points with Texas is

601
00:28:31,480 --> 00:28:33,959
Speaker 3: a dangerous proposition until we see them play to their

602
00:28:34,000 --> 00:28:36,560
Speaker 3: full ability, which we have not seen yet. So I

603
00:28:36,600 --> 00:28:39,440
Speaker 3: don't really like a piece of this game on the side. Here,

604
00:28:39,880 --> 00:28:42,360
Speaker 3: give me the under seventeen and a half or sixteen

605
00:28:42,360 --> 00:28:44,440
Speaker 3: and a half. I think it's fall into team total

606
00:28:44,520 --> 00:28:47,320
Speaker 3: for Florida. That's what I wanted this game. I think

607
00:28:47,360 --> 00:28:49,760
Speaker 3: this is going to be the clock is controlled by

608
00:28:49,800 --> 00:28:51,600
Speaker 3: the Longhorns. I think you're going to see a lot

609
00:28:51,600 --> 00:28:54,400
Speaker 3: of three and outs, and even like you know, if

610
00:28:54,400 --> 00:28:57,400
Speaker 3: Florida could develop some big plays, they haven't done it

611
00:28:57,720 --> 00:29:01,200
Speaker 3: so far this season. Florida's played the sixteen target strength

612
00:29:01,200 --> 00:29:04,600
Speaker 3: to schedule. But the best measure to me is Texas

613
00:29:04,640 --> 00:29:07,920
Speaker 3: over six over on defense, eleventh and coverage, sixth and

614
00:29:08,000 --> 00:29:11,240
Speaker 3: pass Rutch grade and Florida is having to pass at

615
00:29:11,320 --> 00:29:14,280
Speaker 3: sixty two at a sixty two percent clip because they're

616
00:29:14,280 --> 00:29:17,880
Speaker 3: losing every single game so far this season. Like they've

617
00:29:17,920 --> 00:29:20,360
Speaker 3: been down in every game except for the first one.

618
00:29:20,200 --> 00:29:21,160
Speaker 4: Where they beat whoever.

619
00:29:21,200 --> 00:29:23,440
Speaker 3: It was Long Island fifty five to zip or whatever.

620
00:29:23,760 --> 00:29:26,680
Speaker 3: So every other game, uh, they've just been losing and

621
00:29:26,720 --> 00:29:30,080
Speaker 3: having to pass. So I just think that Texas gets

622
00:29:30,080 --> 00:29:32,680
Speaker 3: a lead early and then they just stand on it.

623
00:29:33,040 --> 00:29:35,640
Speaker 3: You force Florida to pass, they haven't been doing it well,

624
00:29:35,680 --> 00:29:37,120
Speaker 3: and you hit the crap out of Lagway.

625
00:29:37,280 --> 00:29:38,680
Speaker 4: So I think this is.

626
00:29:38,640 --> 00:29:42,680
Speaker 3: Going to be a slow bleed. You know, maybe the

627
00:29:42,720 --> 00:29:45,600
Speaker 3: scripted drive or maybe even the first couple of scripted

628
00:29:45,640 --> 00:29:48,520
Speaker 3: drives for Florida are okay. But if Texas can hold

629
00:29:48,520 --> 00:29:49,920
Speaker 3: them the field goals and I think they're going to

630
00:29:49,960 --> 00:29:53,240
Speaker 3: be able to. I just don't see Florida crossing sixteen

631
00:29:53,240 --> 00:29:55,600
Speaker 3: and a half points, So give me the under on

632
00:29:55,640 --> 00:29:56,480
Speaker 3: Florida's team total.

633
00:29:57,080 --> 00:29:59,920
Speaker 1: I know Arch hasn't like lived up to expectations or anything,

634
00:30:00,080 --> 00:30:02,600
Speaker 1: but when you talk about DJ Lagways, there's just like

635
00:30:02,640 --> 00:30:05,080
Speaker 1: a chance guys that like, this guy's accidentally just like

636
00:30:05,120 --> 00:30:07,400
Speaker 1: garbage and what we saw last year in that stretch

637
00:30:07,480 --> 00:30:09,320
Speaker 1: down this you know towards the end of the season

638
00:30:09,600 --> 00:30:11,120
Speaker 1: was just like he didn't know what he didn't know

639
00:30:11,280 --> 00:30:14,280
Speaker 1: SEC defenses, you know, hadn't had enough film on him.

640
00:30:14,320 --> 00:30:16,600
Speaker 1: They didn't really know what type of quarterback he was

641
00:30:16,680 --> 00:30:20,080
Speaker 1: because he's been awful. I mean, he's argued been I mean,

642
00:30:20,240 --> 00:30:21,760
Speaker 1: I think it's what I don't.

643
00:30:21,840 --> 00:30:24,640
Speaker 2: I mean, the last two games you went on the road,

644
00:30:24,720 --> 00:30:26,560
Speaker 2: You played a bat to back road spot, and you

645
00:30:26,640 --> 00:30:29,360
Speaker 2: went on the road LSU and Miami before the bye,

646
00:30:29,520 --> 00:30:32,920
Speaker 2: like me, and that's your first, that's your first. That

647
00:30:33,040 --> 00:30:36,360
Speaker 2: is your first time on the road in the SEC.

648
00:30:36,840 --> 00:30:41,000
Speaker 2: That is your first time going on the road in Miami, Like, like,

649
00:30:41,720 --> 00:30:44,840
Speaker 2: how much do we really give you? Yeah? Now, they

650
00:30:44,880 --> 00:30:46,960
Speaker 2: had a tough schedule, they had a tough schedule, and

651
00:30:46,960 --> 00:30:48,760
Speaker 2: we knew that this schedule was gonna be tough for him.

652
00:30:48,760 --> 00:30:50,960
Speaker 2: So I'm not jumping. I'm not jumping to say that

653
00:30:51,000 --> 00:30:53,640
Speaker 2: he's the worst thing ever. And I think, if anything,

654
00:30:53,720 --> 00:30:56,200
Speaker 2: this is a good bounce back spot, just being at home,

655
00:30:56,600 --> 00:30:58,680
Speaker 2: having a chance to go back and get the home

656
00:30:58,720 --> 00:31:00,800
Speaker 2: crowd behind you, especially because the last time you were

657
00:31:00,800 --> 00:31:04,160
Speaker 2: here you took a very unfortunate loss to a baller

658
00:31:04,280 --> 00:31:07,920
Speaker 2: in Yeah, South Florida. So I think the first SEC

659
00:31:08,000 --> 00:31:10,200
Speaker 2: home game this place is going to be late, the

660
00:31:10,400 --> 00:31:12,680
Speaker 2: atmosphere is gonna be crazy, and they're gonna go out here.

661
00:31:12,680 --> 00:31:15,320
Speaker 2: They're gonna put on a performance before we.

662
00:31:15,320 --> 00:31:17,400
Speaker 1: Keep it moving. If you want a chance to score

663
00:31:17,480 --> 00:31:21,800
Speaker 1: this sign Nick Chubbs Cleveland Brown's helmet for free courtisyr

664
00:31:21,840 --> 00:31:24,760
Speaker 1: friends over at Pristine Auction dot com. All you need

665
00:31:24,800 --> 00:31:27,560
Speaker 1: to do is head to Bettingpros dot com slash contest,

666
00:31:27,800 --> 00:31:31,400
Speaker 1: complete the form neither a download the free Betting Pros

667
00:31:31,400 --> 00:31:34,280
Speaker 1: app b leave a review for the Betting Pros podcast

668
00:31:34,400 --> 00:31:37,080
Speaker 1: or see subscribe to our social media channels. We're at

669
00:31:37,120 --> 00:31:40,080
Speaker 1: Betting Pros on x and TikTok and at Betting Pros

670
00:31:40,200 --> 00:31:43,280
Speaker 1: NFL on Instagram. The more actions you complete, the more

671
00:31:43,400 --> 00:31:45,720
Speaker 1: entries are going to receive, and we will be announcing

672
00:31:45,720 --> 00:31:47,680
Speaker 1: a winner right here on the channel. So make sure

673
00:31:47,720 --> 00:31:49,360
Speaker 1: you ring the bell so you can be alerted when

674
00:31:49,400 --> 00:31:51,400
Speaker 1: new episodes are up and they claim your prize. If

675
00:31:51,440 --> 00:31:55,280
Speaker 1: you are that lucky winner in primetime money must have

676
00:31:55,360 --> 00:31:58,680
Speaker 1: come on the Houston Cougars overnight because this line is

677
00:31:58,720 --> 00:32:00,920
Speaker 1: shrunk to a point where you can now have the

678
00:32:00,960 --> 00:32:04,440
Speaker 1: eleventh ranked Texas Tech Red Raiders as ten and a

679
00:32:04,440 --> 00:32:08,280
Speaker 1: half point favorites. Tech gets back Quarterback Baron Morton and

680
00:32:08,560 --> 00:32:12,400
Speaker 1: Houston should also be at full strength. BP Projections say

681
00:32:12,440 --> 00:32:16,160
Speaker 1: this is another stayaway spot. Projecting this line at eleven

682
00:32:16,200 --> 00:32:18,480
Speaker 1: and a half. But Boggs, as it stopped you in

683
00:32:18,520 --> 00:32:20,440
Speaker 1: the past from laying some points, is that the move

684
00:32:20,480 --> 00:32:21,320
Speaker 1: here for you again?

685
00:32:22,000 --> 00:32:26,440
Speaker 3: Yeah, and listen, I've lost this game betting against Houston

686
00:32:26,480 --> 00:32:28,920
Speaker 3: at home before, so take it with a grain AsSalt.

687
00:32:28,960 --> 00:32:29,960
Speaker 4: That was Colorado. Though.

688
00:32:30,440 --> 00:32:33,600
Speaker 3: We saw Texas Tech go into Utah and smokey Utah

689
00:32:33,880 --> 00:32:34,440
Speaker 3: right like.

690
00:32:34,760 --> 00:32:36,360
Speaker 4: That is a dangerous game.

691
00:32:36,400 --> 00:32:38,520
Speaker 3: And they went down there and they went up there

692
00:32:38,520 --> 00:32:40,840
Speaker 3: and handled it like it was no issue. I don't

693
00:32:40,840 --> 00:32:43,440
Speaker 3: think Houston's going to be a problem. The big difference

694
00:32:43,480 --> 00:32:46,560
Speaker 3: here to me is that this Houston offensive line and

695
00:32:46,600 --> 00:32:51,160
Speaker 3: defensive line just does not match up well either side.

696
00:32:51,400 --> 00:32:54,720
Speaker 3: It is just a rough matchup for them against Texas Tech.

697
00:32:54,840 --> 00:32:57,080
Speaker 3: Houston is one hundred and thirty fifth out of one

698
00:32:57,120 --> 00:33:00,320
Speaker 3: hundred and thirty six in pass block grade and David

699
00:33:00,320 --> 00:33:04,959
Speaker 3: Bailey Romelo Height have been stomping people into the ground

700
00:33:05,000 --> 00:33:06,960
Speaker 3: for the Raiders and they only have to rush three

701
00:33:07,040 --> 00:33:09,680
Speaker 3: or four to get home every single time, which makes

702
00:33:09,760 --> 00:33:10,360
Speaker 3: them dangerous.

703
00:33:10,360 --> 00:33:11,160
Speaker 4: And coverage too.

704
00:33:11,440 --> 00:33:13,520
Speaker 3: And Connor Weigman, I feel like is going to have

705
00:33:13,560 --> 00:33:15,160
Speaker 3: a rough game in this one.

706
00:33:15,320 --> 00:33:17,360
Speaker 4: So it's more about that side.

707
00:33:17,400 --> 00:33:21,440
Speaker 3: But look, Baron Morton's back when we saw the backup

708
00:33:21,560 --> 00:33:23,600
Speaker 3: go in there and just zip it all over the

709
00:33:23,600 --> 00:33:27,640
Speaker 3: place like this offense is moving well. This defense, specifically

710
00:33:27,680 --> 00:33:29,520
Speaker 3: the line is gonna have a field day with this

711
00:33:29,600 --> 00:33:32,760
Speaker 3: Houston O line in my opinion. So I just I

712
00:33:32,840 --> 00:33:35,680
Speaker 3: don't see how Houston pulls this game out.

713
00:33:36,160 --> 00:33:38,640
Speaker 4: I'm gonna tease it down a little bit.

714
00:33:38,800 --> 00:33:40,080
Speaker 1: Nine and a half maybe.

715
00:33:40,000 --> 00:33:41,680
Speaker 4: Yeah, I think this is a bit much.

716
00:33:41,800 --> 00:33:44,400
Speaker 3: I got an alt line for my parlay as well

717
00:33:44,440 --> 00:33:45,640
Speaker 3: for this game that I'll give you.

718
00:33:45,920 --> 00:33:48,120
Speaker 4: But I'm on the Raiders here winning big.

719
00:33:48,280 --> 00:33:49,080
Speaker 1: What about you, Chrell?

720
00:33:49,680 --> 00:33:52,000
Speaker 2: Yeah, same thing here. I like sex and sex be

721
00:33:52,040 --> 00:33:54,480
Speaker 2: able to get it done. It's really the offensive line

722
00:33:54,600 --> 00:33:56,720
Speaker 2: for me in Houston. I just don't think that they'll

723
00:33:56,720 --> 00:33:59,520
Speaker 2: be able to protect Connor Wigman enough, and that's not

724
00:33:59,560 --> 00:34:01,800
Speaker 2: one I want to back, especially with there's a bunch

725
00:34:01,880 --> 00:34:04,000
Speaker 2: of guys that like that sex sec defensive line in

726
00:34:04,080 --> 00:34:06,760
Speaker 2: his face. So I think I'm glad that they were

727
00:34:06,800 --> 00:34:09,200
Speaker 2: able to knuckle up and get the win last week

728
00:34:09,400 --> 00:34:11,920
Speaker 2: and didn't outright lose that game because it might have

729
00:34:11,960 --> 00:34:14,320
Speaker 2: been a little bit of extra motivation here. But now

730
00:34:14,440 --> 00:34:17,120
Speaker 2: I'm feel pretty good about fating this team all the

731
00:34:17,120 --> 00:34:18,800
Speaker 2: way here in this spot. I think that's Sex is

732
00:34:18,800 --> 00:34:19,799
Speaker 2: gonna roll them on the route.

733
00:34:20,800 --> 00:34:23,759
Speaker 1: Let's head to another top twenty five matchup in Tallahassee,

734
00:34:23,840 --> 00:34:26,560
Speaker 1: where the line movement has been absolutely wild between the

735
00:34:26,640 --> 00:34:30,799
Speaker 1: number three Miami Hurricanes and the eighteenth ranked Florida State Seminals.

736
00:34:30,920 --> 00:34:33,400
Speaker 1: It's now settled in at Miami minus four and a

737
00:34:33,440 --> 00:34:36,120
Speaker 1: half at most books. Hard Rock Bet has minus five

738
00:34:36,160 --> 00:34:38,879
Speaker 1: and a half as well. Miami should be a full

739
00:34:38,880 --> 00:34:42,200
Speaker 1: strength they're coming off their bye week. FSU is just

740
00:34:42,320 --> 00:34:45,000
Speaker 1: waiting on the status of their starting flanker wide receiver

741
00:34:45,400 --> 00:34:49,120
Speaker 1: Javin Boggs. BP projections have this as another stay away

742
00:34:49,440 --> 00:34:51,720
Speaker 1: as well, setting our line at four points.

743
00:34:51,760 --> 00:34:53,960
Speaker 4: So, Terrell, do you have a play.

744
00:34:53,760 --> 00:34:54,320
Speaker 1: In this one?

745
00:34:54,640 --> 00:34:58,520
Speaker 2: Yeah? On Florida State. Definitely on Florida State. This is

746
00:34:59,280 --> 00:35:02,040
Speaker 2: this is where you Tommy c to go have that game.

747
00:35:02,360 --> 00:35:04,680
Speaker 2: Do you remember in the beginning of the season when

748
00:35:04,719 --> 00:35:07,920
Speaker 2: I said, no shot he beat Alabama, especially after talking

749
00:35:07,920 --> 00:35:09,959
Speaker 2: about Alabama, and then he went and put his money

750
00:35:09,960 --> 00:35:12,239
Speaker 2: where his mouth is and he gave Alabama everything that

751
00:35:12,280 --> 00:35:14,160
Speaker 2: he said he was gonna do to them. This is

752
00:35:14,200 --> 00:35:16,520
Speaker 2: the spots that you bet him. You bet him in

753
00:35:16,600 --> 00:35:19,879
Speaker 2: the spots where he's an underdog. Nobody thinks that he's

754
00:35:19,880 --> 00:35:22,040
Speaker 2: gonna be able to go in there, be competitive, get

755
00:35:22,040 --> 00:35:23,719
Speaker 2: a win, and he goes and gives them a win.

756
00:35:24,120 --> 00:35:27,640
Speaker 2: But in spots like last week where all the pressure

757
00:35:27,719 --> 00:35:29,600
Speaker 2: is on him, they gotta go on the road. You

758
00:35:29,680 --> 00:35:32,279
Speaker 2: got the fans and everybody's showing up for this top

759
00:35:32,320 --> 00:35:35,640
Speaker 2: ten team coming into town, and they completely folded and

760
00:35:35,680 --> 00:35:38,320
Speaker 2: the defense never got right. This is one of the

761
00:35:38,360 --> 00:35:40,279
Speaker 2: games where I think that they're gonna coach up the

762
00:35:40,320 --> 00:35:42,359
Speaker 2: defensive side of the ball. The defense is gonna be solid.

763
00:35:42,360 --> 00:35:45,400
Speaker 2: They're gonna get to Carson Beck here, and that's really

764
00:35:45,440 --> 00:35:47,600
Speaker 2: the big thing is the Miami offensive line and how

765
00:35:47,640 --> 00:35:49,080
Speaker 2: they've been able to protect him. But I think that

766
00:35:49,760 --> 00:35:52,799
Speaker 2: Florida defensive line is gonna come in, They're gonna have

767
00:35:52,880 --> 00:35:55,600
Speaker 2: something to say. They're gonna rattle Carson Beck. The offense

768
00:35:55,680 --> 00:35:57,800
Speaker 2: is gonna be as clean here, and Tommy c is

769
00:35:57,800 --> 00:36:00,640
Speaker 2: gonna do what he does, run the football effective, get

770
00:36:00,640 --> 00:36:03,160
Speaker 2: this offense moving and makes time he throws down the field.

771
00:36:03,280 --> 00:36:05,359
Speaker 2: So I like Florida State plus the points. I think

772
00:36:05,400 --> 00:36:06,120
Speaker 2: they went out right.

773
00:36:07,040 --> 00:36:07,360
Speaker 4: Scott.

774
00:36:07,400 --> 00:36:09,560
Speaker 1: We don't have a lot of unbeaten teams currently in

775
00:36:09,640 --> 00:36:12,200
Speaker 1: the ACC, just a few of them, including the Georgia

776
00:36:12,239 --> 00:36:16,200
Speaker 1: Tech Yellow Jackets as well. So is this where we

777
00:36:16,280 --> 00:36:19,479
Speaker 1: lose one of those undefeated teams potentially here in.

778
00:36:19,400 --> 00:36:22,880
Speaker 3: Tallasse I think we could, right, Like, this is a

779
00:36:23,000 --> 00:36:25,520
Speaker 3: much more email game and gun to my head, give

780
00:36:25,560 --> 00:36:27,480
Speaker 3: me points for Florida State at home.

781
00:36:27,840 --> 00:36:29,120
Speaker 4: So I'm with Terrell.

782
00:36:29,520 --> 00:36:32,759
Speaker 3: I feel like you're with us too here on this one, Sethi, Like,

783
00:36:33,280 --> 00:36:35,879
Speaker 3: I just this defensive line.

784
00:36:35,920 --> 00:36:37,160
Speaker 4: The thing that worries me about this and.

785
00:36:37,160 --> 00:36:39,680
Speaker 3: Why I'm a lean and not a pick in this one,

786
00:36:39,840 --> 00:36:42,960
Speaker 3: is this Miami defensive line might be the best in

787
00:36:43,000 --> 00:36:45,120
Speaker 3: the country. Ruben Bain is the best defensive player in

788
00:36:45,120 --> 00:36:48,120
Speaker 3: the country right now by a decent margin, like and

789
00:36:48,680 --> 00:36:54,120
Speaker 3: Mesidora has been amazing as well. But Malson designs the

790
00:36:54,239 --> 00:36:57,600
Speaker 3: run game to take advantage of defenses. I just don't

791
00:36:57,640 --> 00:36:59,960
Speaker 3: know if there's anywhere to take advantage of Miami.

792
00:37:00,239 --> 00:37:00,879
Speaker 4: That's the thing.

793
00:37:01,239 --> 00:37:04,120
Speaker 3: If they get this running game rolling and then Tommy

794
00:37:04,120 --> 00:37:06,719
Speaker 3: can play off of that, I think Florida State could

795
00:37:06,760 --> 00:37:08,040
Speaker 3: easily win this game out right.

796
00:37:08,440 --> 00:37:10,600
Speaker 4: I'm with Trell. I think that's what's going to happen.

797
00:37:10,840 --> 00:37:13,160
Speaker 3: I think this is going to be a much tighter game,

798
00:37:13,360 --> 00:37:16,440
Speaker 3: and people give it credit for and I think Florida

799
00:37:16,480 --> 00:37:19,200
Speaker 3: State wins on like a last second field goal or something,

800
00:37:19,239 --> 00:37:22,160
Speaker 3: so i'd take them plus the points. But if that

801
00:37:22,360 --> 00:37:26,239
Speaker 3: doesn't work, Miami's gonna beat the crap out of Florida State.

802
00:37:26,640 --> 00:37:28,919
Speaker 3: So it's gonna be one of those like where it's

803
00:37:28,920 --> 00:37:31,919
Speaker 3: either a real tight, narrow margin one way or the other,

804
00:37:32,360 --> 00:37:35,080
Speaker 3: or Miami wins this one. It's a joke in the

805
00:37:35,080 --> 00:37:37,920
Speaker 3: middle of the third quarter. So I just don't think

806
00:37:37,960 --> 00:37:39,840
Speaker 3: Florida State is bad enough to get beat like that.

807
00:37:40,000 --> 00:37:42,279
Speaker 3: I think you can surprise them like Uva did, but

808
00:37:43,120 --> 00:37:45,160
Speaker 3: they give you your best effort, their best effort every

809
00:37:45,160 --> 00:37:47,239
Speaker 3: single time out. We saw that against Alabama week one,

810
00:37:47,280 --> 00:37:48,320
Speaker 3: so give me the knowles.

811
00:37:49,239 --> 00:37:52,080
Speaker 1: There's been no line movement for a Big Ten matchup

812
00:37:52,160 --> 00:37:55,040
Speaker 1: in Columbus with the top ranked Ohio State Buck Guys.

813
00:37:55,080 --> 00:37:57,120
Speaker 1: They're laying twenty three and a half to twenty four

814
00:37:57,120 --> 00:38:01,239
Speaker 1: and a half points on the Minnesota Golden Gop. Minnesota

815
00:38:01,320 --> 00:38:04,399
Speaker 1: starting running back Darius Taylor he is questionable and they're

816
00:38:04,480 --> 00:38:07,359
Speaker 1: running back to aj Turner. He is out of this one.

817
00:38:07,600 --> 00:38:10,880
Speaker 1: OSU should be at full strength coming off a West

818
00:38:10,880 --> 00:38:14,520
Speaker 1: coast trip here, and this is another staway spot from

819
00:38:14,520 --> 00:38:17,520
Speaker 1: the VP projection setting this line at twenty four points.

820
00:38:17,560 --> 00:38:21,239
Speaker 1: So I'm rolling with the alt Minnesota team total under

821
00:38:21,280 --> 00:38:24,399
Speaker 1: eleven and a half minus one fifty six. What say

822
00:38:24,440 --> 00:38:25,400
Speaker 1: you on this one, Boggin?

823
00:38:25,960 --> 00:38:28,760
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, look, Drake Lindsay has been very good

824
00:38:29,400 --> 00:38:31,400
Speaker 3: to start for the Gophers this season. He led them

825
00:38:31,400 --> 00:38:34,839
Speaker 3: in the comeback win against Rutgers. But I mean, that's

826
00:38:34,880 --> 00:38:37,600
Speaker 3: all well and good. Now you have Ohio State, so

827
00:38:38,080 --> 00:38:40,319
Speaker 3: good luck with that. You have Allo with at night

828
00:38:40,760 --> 00:38:43,760
Speaker 3: in Columbus at night with maybe both of your running

829
00:38:43,760 --> 00:38:47,560
Speaker 3: backs down. So if Lindsay has to throw the ball

830
00:38:47,640 --> 00:38:50,600
Speaker 3: forty one times against the buck Eyes, he is going

831
00:38:50,640 --> 00:38:53,400
Speaker 3: to die in this game. That is not you can't

832
00:38:53,440 --> 00:38:56,480
Speaker 3: do that against the buck Gys. So if this was

833
00:38:56,520 --> 00:38:59,560
Speaker 3: a strong year for the Minnesota defense, they might get

834
00:38:59,600 --> 00:39:02,239
Speaker 3: some c it but a true you know, against the

835
00:39:02,280 --> 00:39:05,200
Speaker 3: true freshman and Julian saying, but he just went to

836
00:39:05,280 --> 00:39:07,239
Speaker 3: Washington and beat them on the road and they look

837
00:39:07,280 --> 00:39:09,640
Speaker 3: pretty efficient, and he started to gain his rapport with

838
00:39:09,800 --> 00:39:14,840
Speaker 3: Jeremiah Smith finally, and now you're gonna ask Drake Lindsay

839
00:39:14,880 --> 00:39:18,800
Speaker 3: to pass into a Caleb Downs led secondary. You're gonna

840
00:39:18,800 --> 00:39:22,920
Speaker 3: ask this defense to man up Smith, Tate, and Ennis

841
00:39:22,960 --> 00:39:27,600
Speaker 3: and the former Gopher Claire like these teams are one

842
00:39:27,680 --> 00:39:29,480
Speaker 3: hundred and twenty third and one hundred and twenty fifth

843
00:39:29,480 --> 00:39:32,880
Speaker 3: in pace as well, I can't. I don't know if

844
00:39:32,920 --> 00:39:35,120
Speaker 3: I want to lay this many points just because Ohio

845
00:39:35,120 --> 00:39:38,440
Speaker 3: States offense hasn't been that yeah master quite yet, But

846
00:39:38,520 --> 00:39:40,759
Speaker 3: give me the under in this game. I don't know

847
00:39:40,760 --> 00:39:44,160
Speaker 3: if Minnesota scores any points in this game, and if

848
00:39:44,160 --> 00:39:47,120
Speaker 3: they do, it's not gonna be fourteen. I bet I

849
00:39:47,239 --> 00:39:49,600
Speaker 3: like this team total under the you're on seth, So

850
00:39:49,880 --> 00:39:53,560
Speaker 3: I just I don't see a lot of positivity for

851
00:39:53,680 --> 00:39:56,520
Speaker 3: the Gophers in this game. So the positivity is that

852
00:39:57,360 --> 00:40:01,719
Speaker 3: they the Ohio State Buckeyes have played slow and you

853
00:40:01,760 --> 00:40:04,960
Speaker 3: know they're not gonna score an insane amount of points,

854
00:40:05,640 --> 00:40:06,719
Speaker 3: but they easily could.

855
00:40:06,719 --> 00:40:07,000
Speaker 4: Here.

856
00:40:07,360 --> 00:40:09,040
Speaker 3: I think there's gonna be a lot of three and outs,

857
00:40:09,040 --> 00:40:12,040
Speaker 3: a lot of short fields, and a lot of mismatches

858
00:40:12,080 --> 00:40:16,520
Speaker 3: for the Ohio State offense. So yeah, I just give

859
00:40:16,520 --> 00:40:17,280
Speaker 3: me the under.

860
00:40:17,040 --> 00:40:21,640
Speaker 1: Here, Okay. Yeah. Ohio State is currently averaging allowing just

861
00:40:21,800 --> 00:40:24,400
Speaker 1: under six points per game to opposing opponents. No one

862
00:40:24,440 --> 00:40:27,279
Speaker 1: has scored double digit points on them this season. So

863
00:40:27,400 --> 00:40:31,480
Speaker 1: with that said Terrell. Is there hope that Minnesota can

864
00:40:31,520 --> 00:40:32,640
Speaker 1: maybe cover this number?

865
00:40:33,440 --> 00:40:36,120
Speaker 2: I mean maybe like some type of backdoor covers on

866
00:40:36,160 --> 00:40:38,960
Speaker 2: the table here. But I'm good on this game. I

867
00:40:39,000 --> 00:40:41,279
Speaker 2: mean I'm not sold on the High State. I'm not

868
00:40:41,320 --> 00:40:43,960
Speaker 2: all sold on Ohio State even caring about this game,

869
00:40:44,000 --> 00:40:45,839
Speaker 2: to be honest, Like if you sat here and told

870
00:40:45,880 --> 00:40:48,440
Speaker 2: me that this was a three point game at halftime

871
00:40:48,920 --> 00:40:51,799
Speaker 2: and then Ohio State just kind of sits up in

872
00:40:51,840 --> 00:40:54,399
Speaker 2: the gaming chair focuses in a little bit. Next thing

873
00:40:54,440 --> 00:40:57,560
Speaker 2: you know is thirty to six or something like that,

874
00:40:57,760 --> 00:41:01,040
Speaker 2: I wouldn't be surprised at all. So nothing here from me,

875
00:41:01,200 --> 00:41:02,920
Speaker 2: nothing good. I don't even know how this made the car.

876
00:41:03,080 --> 00:41:04,879
Speaker 2: How do we end up talking about this?

877
00:41:05,080 --> 00:41:07,640
Speaker 1: It's a big game. You don't get Benny, Ohio State

878
00:41:07,640 --> 00:41:10,200
Speaker 1: and Ohims in Columbus. Yeah, come on, baby, let's go

879
00:41:10,280 --> 00:41:13,799
Speaker 1: have some respect, have some respect. Let's go ahead, though,

880
00:41:13,840 --> 00:41:17,200
Speaker 1: let's round out the program in college station where there's

881
00:41:17,239 --> 00:41:19,520
Speaker 1: been no line movement and you can still get the

882
00:41:19,520 --> 00:41:23,080
Speaker 1: Mississippi State Bulldogs as fourteen and a half point road

883
00:41:23,160 --> 00:41:26,520
Speaker 1: dogs against the sixth ranked Texas A and m Aggie's.

884
00:41:26,520 --> 00:41:30,719
Speaker 1: Mississippi State's right tackle Blake Steen he is questionable. A

885
00:41:30,760 --> 00:41:33,279
Speaker 1: and m's linebacker Scooby Williams he's out of this one,

886
00:41:33,440 --> 00:41:37,440
Speaker 1: and Bryce Anderson, their starting safety, is questionable. BP projections

887
00:41:37,480 --> 00:41:39,880
Speaker 1: set this line at ten and a half, giving the

888
00:41:39,880 --> 00:41:43,080
Speaker 1: Bulldogs a fifty nine percent chance of covering the spread

889
00:41:43,360 --> 00:41:46,720
Speaker 1: at its current number. So is it another lap around

890
00:41:46,800 --> 00:41:48,400
Speaker 1: back in the Bulldogs for Terrell?

891
00:41:48,960 --> 00:41:52,680
Speaker 2: No? No, this is Texas A and M all the

892
00:41:52,719 --> 00:42:00,480
Speaker 2: way here, boo. It was absolutely everything Mississippi States to

893
00:42:00,520 --> 00:42:03,319
Speaker 2: get that game and overtime and to try to go

894
00:42:03,400 --> 00:42:06,160
Speaker 2: out there and get the win, and they didn't do it,

895
00:42:06,560 --> 00:42:08,920
Speaker 2: and now they have to try to get up again

896
00:42:09,520 --> 00:42:13,200
Speaker 2: going on their first game outside of the state of

897
00:42:13,280 --> 00:42:18,520
Speaker 2: Mississippi in week six. This is week six. This is

898
00:42:18,560 --> 00:42:21,400
Speaker 2: Mississippi State's first game outside of the state of Mississippi

899
00:42:21,480 --> 00:42:22,160
Speaker 2: to going to College State.

900
00:42:22,280 --> 00:42:22,560
Speaker 1: Crazy.

901
00:42:22,680 --> 00:42:25,040
Speaker 2: It's because they had the earlier game against USM, so

902
00:42:26,160 --> 00:42:28,279
Speaker 2: I'm fading them in this road spot. I think that

903
00:42:28,280 --> 00:42:30,480
Speaker 2: they gave it all they could in the Texas game.

904
00:42:30,520 --> 00:42:32,560
Speaker 2: I think this is going to be the Texas A

905
00:42:32,680 --> 00:42:36,279
Speaker 2: and M explosion on offense at home game where they

906
00:42:36,280 --> 00:42:39,440
Speaker 2: put up some thirty forty something points of offense here

907
00:42:39,480 --> 00:42:42,040
Speaker 2: at home and Mississippi State really just struggles to find

908
00:42:42,040 --> 00:42:44,239
Speaker 2: their footing and being able to consistently move the ball

909
00:42:44,280 --> 00:42:46,640
Speaker 2: in the Texas A and M defense, So I think

910
00:42:46,680 --> 00:42:49,360
Speaker 2: that this is a smash spot. I love Texas A

911
00:42:49,400 --> 00:42:53,040
Speaker 2: and M walk in here and cover two touchdowns Againssissippi.

912
00:42:52,280 --> 00:42:55,719
Speaker 3: State, Wow, what about you, bogmin Yeah, I love this

913
00:42:55,760 --> 00:42:58,520
Speaker 3: one moving away from Mississippi State because I think I

914
00:42:58,560 --> 00:43:00,719
Speaker 3: want to take them. I have a better bet than

915
00:43:00,760 --> 00:43:03,480
Speaker 3: that in this game. But I do like Mississippi State

916
00:43:03,520 --> 00:43:06,560
Speaker 3: catching more points and I think we can look at

917
00:43:06,560 --> 00:43:09,920
Speaker 3: these teams records against the spread. But digging in, I

918
00:43:09,920 --> 00:43:11,840
Speaker 3: think it's going to be another back and forth shootout.

919
00:43:11,880 --> 00:43:13,920
Speaker 3: Last week was so low scoring for A and M,

920
00:43:14,160 --> 00:43:15,719
Speaker 3: but they moved the ball. They had four hundred and

921
00:43:15,719 --> 00:43:19,120
Speaker 3: fourteen yards and it was exactly perfect split two hundred

922
00:43:19,120 --> 00:43:21,080
Speaker 3: and seven rushing, two hundred and seven passing.

923
00:43:21,280 --> 00:43:22,440
Speaker 4: They just didn't punch it in.

924
00:43:22,680 --> 00:43:25,200
Speaker 3: Mississippi State's defense is a little better than Auburn's and

925
00:43:25,239 --> 00:43:27,480
Speaker 3: grades so far, but the real difference is that their

926
00:43:27,520 --> 00:43:30,880
Speaker 3: offense moves fast twelfth quickest pace in the country From

927
00:43:30,880 --> 00:43:34,360
Speaker 3: Mississippi State. Their balanced with Bothwell and Booth in the backfield,

928
00:43:34,640 --> 00:43:38,759
Speaker 3: along with Blake Shapen under center, so I think they're

929
00:43:38,760 --> 00:43:39,520
Speaker 3: going to be able to score.

930
00:43:39,600 --> 00:43:39,680
Speaker 2: Now.

931
00:43:39,760 --> 00:43:41,680
Speaker 3: Texas A and M is running hot with Marcel Reid

932
00:43:42,040 --> 00:43:45,880
Speaker 3: and the coverage GRAE grades well. From Misissippi State, Tennessee

933
00:43:45,920 --> 00:43:47,680
Speaker 3: moved the ball on them. They had three hundred and

934
00:43:47,680 --> 00:43:49,799
Speaker 3: thirty five passing yards and forty one points. I think

935
00:43:49,840 --> 00:43:53,719
Speaker 3: this Notre Dame put up forty points on Texas A

936
00:43:53,719 --> 00:43:56,600
Speaker 3: and M. I think Jackson Arnold is like the whole

937
00:43:56,680 --> 00:43:59,279
Speaker 3: run game for Auburn and it didn't work, and then

938
00:43:59,360 --> 00:44:03,239
Speaker 3: therefore nothing else did work for the Auburn Tigers here.

939
00:44:03,280 --> 00:44:06,880
Speaker 3: I think this one will be higher scoring, quicker paced,

940
00:44:07,000 --> 00:44:09,960
Speaker 3: more of a shootout, therefore a little bit closer as well.

941
00:44:10,400 --> 00:44:13,080
Speaker 3: But to Terrell's point, this is a tough road game

942
00:44:13,280 --> 00:44:15,640
Speaker 3: for Mississippi State going on the road to College Station,

943
00:44:15,800 --> 00:44:19,359
Speaker 3: like you're used to the noise, sure, because Misssippi State

944
00:44:19,400 --> 00:44:21,600
Speaker 3: has been super loud in Starkville so far this year,

945
00:44:21,800 --> 00:44:23,680
Speaker 3: but now it's going to be against you, not with you,

946
00:44:24,160 --> 00:44:27,120
Speaker 3: and so that's tough. But the team total twenty one

947
00:44:27,120 --> 00:44:29,960
Speaker 3: and a half for Mississippi State, give me over twenty

948
00:44:29,960 --> 00:44:31,520
Speaker 3: one and a half for Mississippi State. I think they

949
00:44:31,560 --> 00:44:34,040
Speaker 3: can go over this against A and M because A

950
00:44:34,239 --> 00:44:36,279
Speaker 3: m's run defense has been bad when it's not just

951
00:44:36,520 --> 00:44:38,920
Speaker 3: the quarterback trying to run the ball. Remember Auburn had

952
00:44:38,920 --> 00:44:41,520
Speaker 3: two running backs down last week. So I just think

953
00:44:41,560 --> 00:44:44,400
Speaker 3: this is going to be a higher scoring game. Doesn't

954
00:44:44,400 --> 00:44:47,400
Speaker 3: mean that Texas A and M doesn't win it going away.

955
00:44:47,480 --> 00:44:50,680
Speaker 3: This could be forty two twenty four, and you know,

956
00:44:50,760 --> 00:44:53,160
Speaker 3: the Aggies crawl away with this one. But I think

957
00:44:53,160 --> 00:44:54,799
Speaker 3: it's going to play a little bit closer. And I

958
00:44:54,920 --> 00:44:56,799
Speaker 3: like Mississippi State to be able to score here.

959
00:44:57,239 --> 00:44:59,000
Speaker 1: A lot of team totals on the show today.

960
00:44:59,000 --> 00:44:59,400
Speaker 2: I like it.

961
00:44:59,440 --> 00:45:02,160
Speaker 1: That's really a fun market here, especially in Pennsylvania where

962
00:45:02,200 --> 00:45:04,719
Speaker 1: we can't bet player props. It's just a great way

963
00:45:04,760 --> 00:45:07,480
Speaker 1: to find some additional value on a couple of teams

964
00:45:07,520 --> 00:45:09,399
Speaker 1: on a couple of games. Let's go ahead and get

965
00:45:09,400 --> 00:45:11,600
Speaker 1: out of here on best bets for me. I'm sorry

966
00:45:11,600 --> 00:45:14,719
Speaker 1: Fogs to do it to you. I'm going to Texas

967
00:45:15,200 --> 00:45:20,600
Speaker 1: right now. That's death right now, Boggs, what about you, man?

968
00:45:20,600 --> 00:45:22,000
Speaker 1: Do you wanna you want to join me on that?

969
00:45:22,440 --> 00:45:22,600
Speaker 4: Well?

970
00:45:22,640 --> 00:45:25,640
Speaker 3: I was gonna go with the Florida team total under

971
00:45:25,680 --> 00:45:27,400
Speaker 3: sixteen and a half, but you know, what because you

972
00:45:27,520 --> 00:45:29,839
Speaker 3: just did that, I'm gonna switch it to Mississippi State

973
00:45:29,920 --> 00:45:30,640
Speaker 3: over twenty one.

974
00:45:30,560 --> 00:45:30,879
Speaker 2: And a half.

975
00:45:30,880 --> 00:45:33,279
Speaker 4: Okay, that's what I'm gonna do. Okay, let's go Mississippi

976
00:45:33,280 --> 00:45:36,560
Speaker 4: State over twenty one and a half. At the Aggies, Trell.

977
00:45:36,800 --> 00:45:40,720
Speaker 2: Louville gets it done laying to seven and eight prime

978
00:45:40,840 --> 00:45:42,960
Speaker 2: and I just mean crime let down the spot for

979
00:45:43,040 --> 00:45:44,200
Speaker 2: Virginia after knocking off.

980
00:45:44,080 --> 00:45:44,560
Speaker 4: The top six.

981
00:45:45,640 --> 00:45:47,840
Speaker 1: Love it, gentlemen, great stuff today. That is going to

982
00:45:47,920 --> 00:45:50,120
Speaker 1: do it for us on this episode of the Betting

983
00:45:50,160 --> 00:45:53,239
Speaker 1: FROs College Football Show. Still to come later this week

984
00:45:53,280 --> 00:45:55,880
Speaker 1: and every week right here on the VP YouTube channel

985
00:45:56,120 --> 00:45:59,359
Speaker 1: and audio feed bogs best bets and props plus our

986
00:45:59,400 --> 00:46:02,240
Speaker 1: parlay Pa. Let us know down below in the comments

987
00:46:02,280 --> 00:46:04,759
Speaker 1: your favorite week six picks, and while you're here, make

988
00:46:04,800 --> 00:46:07,440
Speaker 1: sure you're subscribing to the channel and smashing that like.

989
00:46:07,480 --> 00:46:10,240
Speaker 1: But if you enjoyed this video for Scott Bogman Antrell

990
00:46:10,280 --> 00:46:13,400
Speaker 1: Firma Junior, I'm Seth Welcock take care of y'all.

991
00:46:13,440 --> 00:46:15,560
Speaker 4: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast.

992
00:46:15,800 --> 00:46:18,200
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993
00:46:18,280 --> 00:46:20,319
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994
00:46:20,280 --> 00:46:23,760
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995
00:46:23,800 --> 00:46:26,760
Speaker 3: at Betting Pros and Instagram at Betting Pros NFL.

996
00:46:27,160 --> 00:46:30,080
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997
00:46:30,120 --> 00:46:32,120
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