1 00:00:15,200 --> 00:00:18,240 Speaker 1: Happy Sunday, guys. What's up? Welcome in to another episode 2 00:00:18,280 --> 00:00:20,480 Speaker 1: of the Daily Juice podcast with me Matt Paralt. You 3 00:00:20,520 --> 00:00:22,720 Speaker 1: guys can follow me across all of my socials at 4 00:00:22,760 --> 00:00:24,720 Speaker 1: Sports Talk Matts, and I hope to see you each 5 00:00:24,720 --> 00:00:27,760 Speaker 1: and every one of you guys in the live stream 6 00:00:28,000 --> 00:00:32,080 Speaker 1: chat coming up today. You'll join myself and Andrew Erickson 7 00:00:32,320 --> 00:00:36,000 Speaker 1: at noon Eastern time for a week eleven of the NFL. 8 00:00:36,080 --> 00:00:39,880 Speaker 1: We will go through every single game, line movement, picks, 9 00:00:39,960 --> 00:00:43,400 Speaker 1: props and more coming at you at nine am Pacific time, 10 00:00:43,560 --> 00:00:48,160 Speaker 1: noon Eastern as we will watch the excuse me International 11 00:00:48,200 --> 00:00:51,600 Speaker 1: game in Spain wrap up, and then head on into 12 00:00:51,640 --> 00:00:53,960 Speaker 1: the one o'clock Kick games with you guys. Lots of 13 00:00:54,040 --> 00:00:56,680 Speaker 1: bets given out in a lot of plays and thoughts, 14 00:00:56,720 --> 00:01:00,920 Speaker 1: breakdowns and more coming up at noon Eastern time. Now 15 00:01:01,000 --> 00:01:05,440 Speaker 1: for last night, at least I can see it coming 16 00:01:05,520 --> 00:01:09,080 Speaker 1: before it hits me. Because I told you yesterday that 17 00:01:09,160 --> 00:01:12,840 Speaker 1: I thought I should be betting hockey and other things. Well, 18 00:01:13,480 --> 00:01:17,120 Speaker 1: that would have been a disaster because well it would 19 00:01:17,120 --> 00:01:19,600 Speaker 1: have been as bad as the s yesterday because both 20 00:01:19,680 --> 00:01:23,600 Speaker 1: my hockey plays went down, my UFC play went down. 21 00:01:24,720 --> 00:01:27,160 Speaker 1: It didn't matter what I bet yesterday. Yesterday was just 22 00:01:27,200 --> 00:01:30,600 Speaker 1: a disaster, so it was pick and choose, and there 23 00:01:30,680 --> 00:01:32,880 Speaker 1: was one game that I got right, and that was 24 00:01:33,000 --> 00:01:35,800 Speaker 1: the Georgia game that came in Georgia wind. But other 25 00:01:35,880 --> 00:01:40,520 Speaker 1: than that, Alabama lost outright a and m outscored South 26 00:01:40,600 --> 00:01:43,960 Speaker 1: Carolina twenty eight to nothing in the second half. If 27 00:01:44,000 --> 00:01:45,760 Speaker 1: they had done that in the first half, we would 28 00:01:45,800 --> 00:01:48,880 Speaker 1: have covered. Instead we did not. The bad bet of 29 00:01:48,920 --> 00:01:51,400 Speaker 1: the day was pit They got housed by Notre Dame. 30 00:01:52,040 --> 00:01:54,560 Speaker 1: So we go down two point two units a one 31 00:01:54,600 --> 00:01:58,000 Speaker 1: in three day officially for the Daily Juice podcast, so 32 00:01:58,040 --> 00:02:01,640 Speaker 1: we go two and one, three inh and then one 33 00:02:02,120 --> 00:02:07,760 Speaker 1: in three. So over three days that's up. Okay, that's 34 00:02:07,840 --> 00:02:11,080 Speaker 1: not great, but it still gets us to a place 35 00:02:11,120 --> 00:02:16,360 Speaker 1: where we're like, okay, we won three point nine units 36 00:02:16,440 --> 00:02:20,400 Speaker 1: and then we gave back two point two. So you know, 37 00:02:20,520 --> 00:02:23,200 Speaker 1: over a three game stretch, three day stretch, if we 38 00:02:23,320 --> 00:02:26,680 Speaker 1: do that consistently, we're fine. So that's profit. So that's good. 39 00:02:27,160 --> 00:02:29,760 Speaker 1: It's not fun when it happens, I'll admit it. You 40 00:02:29,800 --> 00:02:32,320 Speaker 1: know that stinks. When you're five and one, you go 41 00:02:32,440 --> 00:02:35,120 Speaker 1: one in three, so you turn around and now you're 42 00:02:35,160 --> 00:02:38,280 Speaker 1: six and four. Now you're up, but it's not great. 43 00:02:38,400 --> 00:02:42,320 Speaker 1: So today I like the card. Today, I'm actually pretty 44 00:02:42,320 --> 00:02:44,440 Speaker 1: bullish on the card. Today. I'm looking forward to seeing 45 00:02:44,440 --> 00:02:47,679 Speaker 1: how the plays go. Today. There are so many games 46 00:02:47,720 --> 00:02:51,200 Speaker 1: that are big that I'm staying away from now. Yesterday 47 00:02:51,240 --> 00:02:53,760 Speaker 1: I got involved with all the big games. Today I'm 48 00:02:53,800 --> 00:02:56,480 Speaker 1: really not getting involved with the big games. I'm gonna 49 00:02:56,480 --> 00:03:02,840 Speaker 1: go a little bit off the beaten path because Broncos, Chiefs, Rams, Seahawks, Cardinals, 50 00:03:02,919 --> 00:03:06,040 Speaker 1: forty nine Ers, Eagles, Lions like these are all really 51 00:03:06,080 --> 00:03:09,320 Speaker 1: really big games. It's a great week to watch football. 52 00:03:10,000 --> 00:03:12,799 Speaker 1: Don't think it's a great week to bet football per se, 53 00:03:12,880 --> 00:03:15,079 Speaker 1: but it's a great week to watch football. So when 54 00:03:15,080 --> 00:03:18,680 Speaker 1: everyone's going to be geared on and focused on those games, 55 00:03:19,080 --> 00:03:21,480 Speaker 1: we're going to go the other way here. But if 56 00:03:21,520 --> 00:03:24,640 Speaker 1: you guys have not downloaded the day the betting pros 57 00:03:24,680 --> 00:03:28,280 Speaker 1: app yet, you should absolutely go and do so. You 58 00:03:28,320 --> 00:03:31,880 Speaker 1: can use Sportsbooks Sync to automatically track your bets across 59 00:03:31,919 --> 00:03:34,440 Speaker 1: all major sports books in one spot. You can easily 60 00:03:34,480 --> 00:03:37,160 Speaker 1: monitor your bet performance by sport and bet type, including 61 00:03:37,200 --> 00:03:40,600 Speaker 1: game picks, props, and parlays. You can create custom betting systems, 62 00:03:40,640 --> 00:03:43,320 Speaker 1: define winning trends, and we have a special offer for 63 00:03:43,360 --> 00:03:45,760 Speaker 1: Betting Pros Premium, which is the prop bet cheat sheet 64 00:03:45,840 --> 00:03:47,920 Speaker 1: for six months for free. To claim the offer, just 65 00:03:47,960 --> 00:03:51,160 Speaker 1: head on over to Bettingpros dot com slash Premium, make 66 00:03:51,200 --> 00:03:54,440 Speaker 1: a deposit and a partner sportsbook place your wager and 67 00:03:54,520 --> 00:03:57,720 Speaker 1: you will get a seventy five dollars value offer for 68 00:03:57,840 --> 00:04:00,280 Speaker 1: US six months of Betting Pros Premium for fur free 69 00:04:00,360 --> 00:04:03,840 Speaker 1: with the Betting Pros app going downloaded today by searching 70 00:04:03,880 --> 00:04:08,360 Speaker 1: Betting Pros in your app store. Okay, the Dolphins are 71 00:04:08,400 --> 00:04:11,680 Speaker 1: playing in Madrid. I am going to give you a 72 00:04:11,760 --> 00:04:15,560 Speaker 1: bet I have made, but I don't think we're gonna 73 00:04:15,600 --> 00:04:17,640 Speaker 1: count it for the Daily Juice because of when it 74 00:04:17,720 --> 00:04:22,040 Speaker 1: kicks off. So it is ten to thirty Pacific time. 75 00:04:22,160 --> 00:04:24,960 Speaker 1: This game is kicking off at six thirty, so this 76 00:04:25,160 --> 00:04:28,760 Speaker 1: podcast will only be live for like eight hours for 77 00:04:28,800 --> 00:04:30,520 Speaker 1: you guys to be able to bet this. So it's 78 00:04:30,560 --> 00:04:33,599 Speaker 1: currently one thirty Eastern. Game picks off at nine to 79 00:04:33,600 --> 00:04:37,360 Speaker 1: thirty Eastern, so if you are an overnight late night owl, 80 00:04:37,520 --> 00:04:40,080 Speaker 1: you get this. If you're not well, I've got an 81 00:04:40,080 --> 00:04:41,960 Speaker 1: extra play on this, So we're not going to count 82 00:04:42,000 --> 00:04:43,720 Speaker 1: the Dolphins, but I am laying the two and a 83 00:04:43,800 --> 00:04:48,000 Speaker 1: half with the Miami Dolphins up against the Washington Commanders. Now, 84 00:04:48,040 --> 00:04:52,040 Speaker 1: the reason is this, favorites have done very well on 85 00:04:52,080 --> 00:04:55,680 Speaker 1: the international games. They're playing on a really fast surface, 86 00:04:55,760 --> 00:04:58,440 Speaker 1: one of the best surfaces they've ever played an international 87 00:04:58,480 --> 00:05:01,760 Speaker 1: game because of this new technology that the field, how 88 00:05:01,760 --> 00:05:04,400 Speaker 1: it's made in Spain. I'm sure they're gonna show all 89 00:05:04,440 --> 00:05:06,920 Speaker 1: about it on the broadcast, but it's pretty cool, very 90 00:05:06,920 --> 00:05:10,240 Speaker 1: good for the Dolphins given their speed and what they 91 00:05:10,320 --> 00:05:14,279 Speaker 1: have done. Tua as a pick them or an underdog, 92 00:05:14,400 --> 00:05:18,520 Speaker 1: is eight and seventeen away from home. He is stunk. Okay, 93 00:05:18,560 --> 00:05:21,080 Speaker 1: So I'm not saying that like two is going to 94 00:05:21,160 --> 00:05:24,159 Speaker 1: be great today. But this, I think is a game 95 00:05:24,240 --> 00:05:27,240 Speaker 1: in which the Dolphins have the advantage at the quarterback 96 00:05:27,240 --> 00:05:30,080 Speaker 1: position because of what we've seen with Marcus Mariota and 97 00:05:30,120 --> 00:05:32,440 Speaker 1: this offense. For the Commanders, I don't think I think 98 00:05:32,440 --> 00:05:34,799 Speaker 1: their defense is gonna be able to stop this running 99 00:05:34,800 --> 00:05:38,760 Speaker 1: attack either. Marcus Mariota has lost seven straight starts when 100 00:05:38,800 --> 00:05:40,960 Speaker 1: he's been listed as an underdog, and they are an 101 00:05:41,040 --> 00:05:44,000 Speaker 1: underdog here Dolphins laying two and a half points. I 102 00:05:44,080 --> 00:05:47,800 Speaker 1: just cannot trust Marcus Mariota. I cannot trust the Commanders. 103 00:05:48,480 --> 00:05:51,520 Speaker 1: They've just been you know, they're a bad football team. Okay, 104 00:05:51,600 --> 00:05:54,080 Speaker 1: straight up, they're just a bad football team. So I 105 00:05:54,160 --> 00:05:56,320 Speaker 1: like the Dolphins laying two and a half here today. 106 00:05:56,400 --> 00:05:59,599 Speaker 1: So it's Miami minus two and a half. It doesn't 107 00:05:59,600 --> 00:06:02,760 Speaker 1: really have officially kick in here, but it's to play 108 00:06:02,800 --> 00:06:05,440 Speaker 1: if you get this overnight and you have time, that's 109 00:06:05,480 --> 00:06:08,800 Speaker 1: the play that I would make, Dolphins minus two and 110 00:06:08,839 --> 00:06:13,240 Speaker 1: a half. Now let's talk about the Jamis Winston starting 111 00:06:13,360 --> 00:06:17,000 Speaker 1: for the Giants game. Look at this is a fad 112 00:06:17,080 --> 00:06:19,440 Speaker 1: on the Packers. Okay, it's much of anything. This is 113 00:06:19,480 --> 00:06:23,240 Speaker 1: a fad on the Packers. The Packers are not good 114 00:06:23,320 --> 00:06:27,680 Speaker 1: in November and December. It is wild to watch, but 115 00:06:27,720 --> 00:06:32,720 Speaker 1: when they are favored by seven points or more, they 116 00:06:32,800 --> 00:06:36,920 Speaker 1: just don't cover. Like, they just don't cover. You can 117 00:06:36,920 --> 00:06:40,320 Speaker 1: talk about the dead cat bounce here. Brian Damble gets fired, 118 00:06:40,640 --> 00:06:44,720 Speaker 1: you have interim staff coming in to taking over. Will 119 00:06:44,720 --> 00:06:47,640 Speaker 1: they be able to cover a seven and a half 120 00:06:47,640 --> 00:06:52,200 Speaker 1: point spread? I think we're going to Since twenty ten, 121 00:06:52,400 --> 00:06:56,200 Speaker 1: we've seen nineteen coaches fired entering week ten or later, 122 00:06:56,520 --> 00:06:59,520 Speaker 1: the teams go eleven and eight ats in their first 123 00:06:59,520 --> 00:07:03,520 Speaker 1: game five following that coaching change, okay, but the Packers 124 00:07:03,680 --> 00:07:08,000 Speaker 1: are a problem. The Packers have allowed thirty just thirty 125 00:07:08,080 --> 00:07:11,320 Speaker 1: nine total points and seven hundred and eighty total yards 126 00:07:11,360 --> 00:07:15,880 Speaker 1: in their three losses this season. It's amazing. They're the 127 00:07:15,920 --> 00:07:19,680 Speaker 1: first team in NFL history to allow forty points or 128 00:07:19,760 --> 00:07:22,040 Speaker 1: in fewer less than forty points in fewer than eight 129 00:07:22,160 --> 00:07:24,640 Speaker 1: hundred yards in their first three losses of the season 130 00:07:25,040 --> 00:07:29,239 Speaker 1: since well, I guess it was nineteen forty lions modern NFL. 131 00:07:29,560 --> 00:07:34,080 Speaker 1: It's never happened. They just don't win, Okay. I know 132 00:07:34,160 --> 00:07:37,000 Speaker 1: the Giants aren't great. I know the Giants are banged up, 133 00:07:37,000 --> 00:07:40,640 Speaker 1: but defensively, I think you look at where Jordan Love 134 00:07:40,800 --> 00:07:44,840 Speaker 1: is in what he has done late in seasons. From 135 00:07:44,840 --> 00:07:49,880 Speaker 1: week eleven on, Jordan Love isn't great. He's eleven seven 136 00:07:49,920 --> 00:07:54,200 Speaker 1: and one ats. He's okay. In the first ten weeks 137 00:07:54,200 --> 00:07:57,880 Speaker 1: of the regular season, Jordan Love is ten and sixteen ats. 138 00:07:58,560 --> 00:08:01,120 Speaker 1: But it really comes down to the number being seven 139 00:08:01,160 --> 00:08:04,720 Speaker 1: and a half. It feels just way too heavy in 140 00:08:04,760 --> 00:08:07,880 Speaker 1: my opinion for this Packer team when they just don't 141 00:08:07,920 --> 00:08:11,240 Speaker 1: cover big numbers seven and a half. I think we 142 00:08:11,280 --> 00:08:15,200 Speaker 1: could easily see the Giants have a shot here and 143 00:08:15,320 --> 00:08:19,239 Speaker 1: keep this game close. They're at home. I like Jamis Winston. 144 00:08:19,640 --> 00:08:21,960 Speaker 1: I'm taking the Giants. It's one of those games where 145 00:08:21,960 --> 00:08:25,040 Speaker 1: it's like, why isn't the number different? You know, where 146 00:08:25,080 --> 00:08:28,440 Speaker 1: are we? Why isn't it bigger? Packers last week did 147 00:08:28,440 --> 00:08:31,200 Speaker 1: not look good offensively at all against the Eagles. They 148 00:08:31,200 --> 00:08:33,000 Speaker 1: were at home, didn't look good at in the week 149 00:08:33,000 --> 00:08:35,920 Speaker 1: prior against the Panthers they were at home, And now 150 00:08:35,920 --> 00:08:38,720 Speaker 1: they're on the road to New York with this offense 151 00:08:38,800 --> 00:08:42,280 Speaker 1: as seven and a half point favorites, I'm taking the dog. 152 00:08:42,520 --> 00:08:44,679 Speaker 1: I'm ice cold. If you're a Packer fan, you like it, 153 00:08:44,760 --> 00:08:47,320 Speaker 1: but I'm taking the dog. Give me the Giants plus 154 00:08:47,400 --> 00:08:50,199 Speaker 1: seven and a half at minus one ten for one 155 00:08:50,280 --> 00:08:56,200 Speaker 1: point one units. Third bet Casey and Denver. Look, I 156 00:08:56,240 --> 00:08:59,199 Speaker 1: think the Chiefs win this game. Okay. Patrick Mahomes is 157 00:08:59,240 --> 00:09:02,200 Speaker 1: eighteen and one straight up all time against the Denver Broncos. 158 00:09:02,280 --> 00:09:06,240 Speaker 1: He owns Denver. I don't trust Bonicks, but I do 159 00:09:06,320 --> 00:09:09,839 Speaker 1: trust this defense, and I do think that the overall 160 00:09:10,120 --> 00:09:15,720 Speaker 1: offense for the Chiefs is not that explosive. So even 161 00:09:15,720 --> 00:09:18,319 Speaker 1: though Mahomes has played very well this year, I think 162 00:09:18,360 --> 00:09:21,839 Speaker 1: this Broncos defense, with the best pass rush in football 163 00:09:22,000 --> 00:09:24,400 Speaker 1: it's going to be able to keep Patrick Mahomes in 164 00:09:24,440 --> 00:09:26,880 Speaker 1: the pocket, not allow him to beat them with their 165 00:09:26,960 --> 00:09:29,080 Speaker 1: leg with his legs. And I do think the running 166 00:09:29,080 --> 00:09:32,480 Speaker 1: attack for this Chief team will be stagnated and slowed 167 00:09:32,520 --> 00:09:36,120 Speaker 1: down by this offense, by this defense for the Broncos. 168 00:09:36,400 --> 00:09:38,520 Speaker 1: And on the flip side, I don't like bon Nicks. 169 00:09:39,080 --> 00:09:41,199 Speaker 1: Just don't think bo Nicks is going to score very much. 170 00:09:41,280 --> 00:09:42,960 Speaker 1: I don't think they're gonna move to the football. We 171 00:09:43,040 --> 00:09:45,480 Speaker 1: saw them play it against then against the Raiders, and 172 00:09:45,559 --> 00:09:48,200 Speaker 1: what they did against the Raider defense. Chief defense is 173 00:09:48,320 --> 00:09:53,079 Speaker 1: way better and a much better defensive coordinator in Steve Spagnolo. Look, 174 00:09:53,320 --> 00:09:54,800 Speaker 1: I think the only way to play this game is 175 00:09:54,840 --> 00:09:56,600 Speaker 1: really to go ahead and bet the under. I think 176 00:09:56,679 --> 00:09:59,200 Speaker 1: under forty five is the way you jump in here 177 00:09:59,200 --> 00:10:03,760 Speaker 1: with these two teams. I just divisional game, big game, brawl, 178 00:10:04,240 --> 00:10:07,840 Speaker 1: rock fight, low scoring. Just I don't think we're going 179 00:10:07,880 --> 00:10:09,920 Speaker 1: to see a lot of offense between these two teams 180 00:10:09,920 --> 00:10:13,160 Speaker 1: at all. They're not converting in the red zone nearly enough. 181 00:10:13,600 --> 00:10:16,120 Speaker 1: These you know, it's altitudes, so you're gonna get kicks 182 00:10:16,160 --> 00:10:18,079 Speaker 1: that can go far, but you know it could very 183 00:10:18,080 --> 00:10:22,120 Speaker 1: well be you know, the Broncos are one in four 184 00:10:22,280 --> 00:10:25,040 Speaker 1: in the red zone over the last two games. They 185 00:10:25,120 --> 00:10:29,240 Speaker 1: just haven't scored. It's crazy. Here's a stat after facing 186 00:10:29,240 --> 00:10:32,000 Speaker 1: the Raiders. Denver hasn't won a game by double digits 187 00:10:32,240 --> 00:10:36,960 Speaker 1: since September of twenty thirteen. Always tight with the Raiders, 188 00:10:37,480 --> 00:10:40,040 Speaker 1: you know since twenty seventeen. The Broncos are three and 189 00:10:40,200 --> 00:10:43,559 Speaker 1: ten ats in the game following facing the Raiders. If 190 00:10:43,600 --> 00:10:45,840 Speaker 1: you like the next game and it's the Chiefs, so 191 00:10:45,920 --> 00:10:47,480 Speaker 1: I think you can bet the Chiefs here. I do. 192 00:10:47,520 --> 00:10:49,400 Speaker 1: I think the Chiefs laying three and a half are 193 00:10:49,440 --> 00:10:52,040 Speaker 1: laying four. I think you're going to be safe. You 194 00:10:52,080 --> 00:10:55,000 Speaker 1: can bet team total Broncos under, but I think game 195 00:10:55,120 --> 00:10:57,680 Speaker 1: under forty five is the best way to play this. 196 00:10:58,440 --> 00:11:03,000 Speaker 1: Broncos Chiefs under forty five for one point one units. 197 00:11:03,600 --> 00:11:08,920 Speaker 1: The teaser of the week Baker as a dog Bills. 198 00:11:09,400 --> 00:11:11,760 Speaker 1: I just don't think the Bills. I think there's something 199 00:11:11,760 --> 00:11:15,360 Speaker 1: wrong to be frank with the Buffalo Bills. They got 200 00:11:15,400 --> 00:11:18,680 Speaker 1: spanked by the Dolphins last week, and I think that's 201 00:11:18,720 --> 00:11:21,440 Speaker 1: a sign of some bigger problems going on with this 202 00:11:21,480 --> 00:11:25,520 Speaker 1: Bills defense. Their inability to stop the run, and I 203 00:11:25,559 --> 00:11:27,839 Speaker 1: think you're gonna see the offense move the football. I 204 00:11:27,840 --> 00:11:30,079 Speaker 1: think Baker Mayfield is gonna be able to put points 205 00:11:30,120 --> 00:11:32,720 Speaker 1: up here. I don't mind an over bet on the Bills. 206 00:11:32,720 --> 00:11:35,080 Speaker 1: In the Broncos are the Bills and the Bucks here, 207 00:11:35,240 --> 00:11:37,280 Speaker 1: I think the Bills are gonna throw. I think the 208 00:11:37,320 --> 00:11:39,560 Speaker 1: Bucks are gonna throw. I think we see offense on 209 00:11:39,600 --> 00:11:41,600 Speaker 1: both sides of the ball. But I'm gonna give the 210 00:11:41,640 --> 00:11:45,800 Speaker 1: Bucks twelve from plus six to plus twelve here. Just 211 00:11:45,920 --> 00:11:48,320 Speaker 1: keep the game within ten points or eleven points, really 212 00:11:48,440 --> 00:11:50,400 Speaker 1: eleven or fewer. I think they got a shot to 213 00:11:50,440 --> 00:11:52,840 Speaker 1: do so, and just don't lose the game by two touchdowns. 214 00:11:52,840 --> 00:11:54,920 Speaker 1: Don't get blown out. I think the Bucks will play good. 215 00:11:55,040 --> 00:11:56,960 Speaker 1: We'll play well. I think they'll keep the game close. 216 00:11:57,320 --> 00:11:59,679 Speaker 1: I like the Bucks plus twelve. On the other side, 217 00:12:00,160 --> 00:12:03,440 Speaker 1: it's the Ravens against Cleveland, and the Ravens are on 218 00:12:03,480 --> 00:12:06,000 Speaker 1: a mission. The Ravens are the hottest team in football 219 00:12:06,080 --> 00:12:09,520 Speaker 1: not named the Patriots, and they've got a great quarterback 220 00:12:09,559 --> 00:12:12,040 Speaker 1: in Lamar Jackson. Look, they don't need to do much 221 00:12:12,040 --> 00:12:14,319 Speaker 1: besides just win the football game. Okay, don't cover the 222 00:12:14,400 --> 00:12:17,120 Speaker 1: seven and a half. Just win by two or more 223 00:12:17,480 --> 00:12:19,560 Speaker 1: and we're good. I think the Ravens had a real 224 00:12:19,600 --> 00:12:23,120 Speaker 1: shot here to get a w I'm taking bucks plus 225 00:12:23,160 --> 00:12:26,680 Speaker 1: twelve teas with the Ravens minus one and a half 226 00:12:26,960 --> 00:12:31,120 Speaker 1: for one point two five units. That brings us to 227 00:12:31,200 --> 00:12:33,800 Speaker 1: the hard rock bet of the day. I have not 228 00:12:33,960 --> 00:12:36,280 Speaker 1: missed one of these yet. I am three and oh 229 00:12:36,840 --> 00:12:39,760 Speaker 1: on the hard rock bet of the day. What is 230 00:12:39,840 --> 00:12:42,880 Speaker 1: the hard rock bet of the day? Well, I'm taking 231 00:12:42,880 --> 00:12:45,480 Speaker 1: the Vikings laying two and a half up against the 232 00:12:45,640 --> 00:12:51,040 Speaker 1: Chicago Bears. Why the numbers are quite stark here for Chicago. 233 00:12:52,200 --> 00:12:56,280 Speaker 1: It really is a fade on Caleb Williams. He's been atrocious. 234 00:12:56,720 --> 00:12:59,400 Speaker 1: Caleb is one in seven straight up and eight starts 235 00:12:59,400 --> 00:13:03,600 Speaker 1: against his own division, beat the Packers at Lambeau at 236 00:13:03,600 --> 00:13:06,400 Speaker 1: the end of last year on a normal seven day rest. 237 00:13:06,520 --> 00:13:09,640 Speaker 1: Caleb's oho to five straight up against the NFC North, 238 00:13:09,920 --> 00:13:12,520 Speaker 1: losing by an average of eleven points per game. On 239 00:13:12,559 --> 00:13:16,320 Speaker 1: the flip side, JJ McCarthy has gone and made four 240 00:13:16,400 --> 00:13:19,319 Speaker 1: career starts against the NFC North. He's done it twice 241 00:13:19,520 --> 00:13:21,880 Speaker 1: so far. He's two and oh straight up and two 242 00:13:21,880 --> 00:13:24,480 Speaker 1: to zero against the number. Both those games came on 243 00:13:24,520 --> 00:13:29,080 Speaker 1: the road, So Caleb one win against the North with 244 00:13:29,240 --> 00:13:33,400 Speaker 1: eight starts. JJ two wins against the North with two starts. 245 00:13:33,720 --> 00:13:37,240 Speaker 1: That's not great. The Bears are playing close games like crazy. 246 00:13:37,440 --> 00:13:39,880 Speaker 1: They've been living on the edge. You could say, okay, 247 00:13:39,920 --> 00:13:42,199 Speaker 1: they've pulled rabbits out of the hat. I'm not sure 248 00:13:42,240 --> 00:13:44,920 Speaker 1: they can do that on the road against this defense 249 00:13:45,000 --> 00:13:47,520 Speaker 1: for the Vikings. The Vikings at home are just a 250 00:13:47,520 --> 00:13:51,280 Speaker 1: different beast. Since twenty twenty the Bears are seven and 251 00:13:51,360 --> 00:13:54,440 Speaker 1: twenty five straight up against the North. Only the Jets 252 00:13:54,679 --> 00:13:57,920 Speaker 1: have fewer wins against their own division than Chicago does. 253 00:13:58,160 --> 00:14:00,840 Speaker 1: This year, they're zero to two, and they're six and 254 00:14:00,920 --> 00:14:04,079 Speaker 1: one straight up outside the division zero and two straight up, 255 00:14:04,160 --> 00:14:06,960 Speaker 1: So in road games, the Bears are four and twenty 256 00:14:07,000 --> 00:14:11,320 Speaker 1: two straight up here. Since the start of twenty twenty two, 257 00:14:11,760 --> 00:14:14,640 Speaker 1: it's been very very ugly here. And now we've got 258 00:14:14,679 --> 00:14:19,000 Speaker 1: this Vikings team, who look, they've been bad against the Lions, 259 00:14:19,160 --> 00:14:21,600 Speaker 1: They've been bad against good football teams. This is not 260 00:14:21,640 --> 00:14:24,080 Speaker 1: a good football team. I think the Bears are overrated 261 00:14:24,120 --> 00:14:26,800 Speaker 1: in my mind. Caleb Williams, I think is going to 262 00:14:26,840 --> 00:14:29,600 Speaker 1: have a difficult time. He's had a relatively clean pocket 263 00:14:29,680 --> 00:14:33,040 Speaker 1: this season. The one benefit here for having Ben Johnson 264 00:14:33,120 --> 00:14:35,920 Speaker 1: is that they're not having negative plays that Kayleb Williams 265 00:14:35,960 --> 00:14:38,200 Speaker 1: is not taking sacks and Kayleb Williams is getting rid 266 00:14:38,240 --> 00:14:41,040 Speaker 1: of the football, but I think this Vikings team will 267 00:14:41,040 --> 00:14:43,440 Speaker 1: make his life difficult. Here today, it's only two and 268 00:14:43,480 --> 00:14:47,040 Speaker 1: a half. I'm laying it with the Vikings Vikings minus 269 00:14:47,080 --> 00:14:50,240 Speaker 1: two and a half for one point one units for 270 00:14:50,320 --> 00:14:53,760 Speaker 1: our hard Rock Bet Play of the Day. This podcast 271 00:14:53,800 --> 00:14:55,680 Speaker 1: is being brought to you by our friends at hard 272 00:14:55,800 --> 00:15:00,320 Speaker 1: rock Bet. Pro football, college football, college basketball, and are 273 00:15:00,360 --> 00:15:03,600 Speaker 1: all available this week. At hard rock Bet, you guys 274 00:15:03,680 --> 00:15:06,080 Speaker 1: can bet five dollars and if that bet hits, you'll 275 00:15:06,080 --> 00:15:09,200 Speaker 1: score one hundred and fifty dollars in bonus bets on 276 00:15:09,280 --> 00:15:11,800 Speaker 1: top of your winnings for that bet. If you don't 277 00:15:11,800 --> 00:15:13,440 Speaker 1: know what to bet on for your first bet, head 278 00:15:13,480 --> 00:15:15,920 Speaker 1: on over to the hard Rock Bet Stat's hub and 279 00:15:15,960 --> 00:15:18,080 Speaker 1: you'll see trend streaks in stat to help you guide 280 00:15:18,120 --> 00:15:20,320 Speaker 1: with your picks. Hard Rock Bet Sports Book is the 281 00:15:20,360 --> 00:15:24,000 Speaker 1: only legal book in Florida, but it's also live in Arizona, Ohio, 282 00:15:24,200 --> 00:15:28,600 Speaker 1: New Jersey, Indiana, Tennessee, Virginia, Illinois, and Colorado. More states 283 00:15:28,600 --> 00:15:31,440 Speaker 1: coming soon. Plus. Hard rock Bet offers new promos every 284 00:15:31,440 --> 00:15:34,080 Speaker 1: single day. Download the hard rock Bet app and make 285 00:15:34,120 --> 00:15:38,240 Speaker 1: your first deposit two days. So four bets for us 286 00:15:38,320 --> 00:15:41,840 Speaker 1: here really five you include the Dolphins, but four officially 287 00:15:41,880 --> 00:15:44,120 Speaker 1: because like most of you, are going to wind up 288 00:15:44,120 --> 00:15:46,840 Speaker 1: waking up and go, oh right, go listen to the 289 00:15:46,880 --> 00:15:50,080 Speaker 1: dearly juice. So the Dolphin play is not official, but 290 00:15:50,120 --> 00:15:52,240 Speaker 1: it is in there. I have bet the Dolphins here 291 00:15:52,280 --> 00:15:55,040 Speaker 1: to beat the Commanders over in Spain. So I'm laying 292 00:15:55,040 --> 00:15:57,560 Speaker 1: the two and a half points with that Dolphins past 293 00:15:57,560 --> 00:15:59,800 Speaker 1: two and a half, Giants plus seven and a half 294 00:16:00,080 --> 00:16:02,440 Speaker 1: at home. Let's go with the fighting jamis Winston and 295 00:16:02,480 --> 00:16:05,920 Speaker 1: the dead cat bounce for the New York Giants, Casey 296 00:16:06,000 --> 00:16:11,040 Speaker 1: Denver under forty five for the afternoon game. Teaser is 297 00:16:11,080 --> 00:16:14,040 Speaker 1: Bucks plus twelve and the Ravens minus one and a 298 00:16:14,040 --> 00:16:16,960 Speaker 1: half and their two games at minus one twenty five, 299 00:16:17,280 --> 00:16:19,200 Speaker 1: and the hard rock bet of the day the Vikings 300 00:16:19,280 --> 00:16:21,960 Speaker 1: laying two and a half at home up against Chicago 301 00:16:22,080 --> 00:16:25,440 Speaker 1: Bears and taking JJ McCarthy and company over Chicago laying 302 00:16:25,480 --> 00:16:27,560 Speaker 1: two and a half points there. I will talk to 303 00:16:27,600 --> 00:16:30,320 Speaker 1: you guys with Andrew Rickson coming up at noon Eastern time. 304 00:16:30,560 --> 00:16:32,880 Speaker 1: Full breakdown of the entire betting slates here for week 305 00:16:32,880 --> 00:16:35,280 Speaker 1: eleven of the NFL. Hope to see you there with 306 00:16:35,360 --> 00:16:37,920 Speaker 1: us for the live stream on the Betting Pros YouTube 307 00:16:38,000 --> 00:16:40,200 Speaker 1: channel minus Matt Parole. You guys can follow me across 308 00:16:40,200 --> 00:16:43,520 Speaker 1: all my socials at sports Doc Matt every morning wherever 309 00:16:43,560 --> 00:17:01,840 Speaker 1: you guys get your podcasts. It is the Daily Juice.