WEBVTT - Fantasy Baseball, predicting Paxton's value, Goldschmidt in St. Louis, and more... 0:00:00.560 --> 0:00:03.640 Hey, thanks for downloading the podcast, and remember, if you 0:00:03.680 --> 0:00:07.160 want to listen live, download the I Heart Radio app, 0:00:07.240 --> 0:00:10.080 download the tune and app and just search for Fantasy 0:00:10.240 --> 0:00:14.760 Sports Radio Network and you could listen to this program live. Also, 0:00:14.920 --> 0:00:17.360 if you want to watch the video of this podcast, 0:00:17.600 --> 0:00:21.000 check us out on YouTube, on Twitch, or on Periscope 0:00:21.120 --> 0:00:24.840 and type in you guess d Fantasy Sports Network. You'll 0:00:24.880 --> 0:00:28.160 find us there. Enjoy the show and thanks for listening. 0:00:30.200 --> 0:00:38.760 You're listening to the Fantasy Sports Radio Network Fantasy Best 0:00:38.760 --> 0:00:53.440 Friends Forever. Do Do Do Do Do Do Do Do 0:00:53.440 --> 0:00:58.920 Do Do Do Do Do Do? Did it too? Yeah? 0:01:00.040 --> 0:01:04.000 This is the Fantasy Best Friends Forever here in the 0:01:04.040 --> 0:01:08.840 Fantasy Sports Bringing In Network alongside Frankie standfll. I am Greg. Hey, 0:01:08.920 --> 0:01:14.840 what's going on? Greggy? What's up? Tuesday? January? Like? Something 0:01:14.880 --> 0:01:16.520 that I like to do while you were gone was 0:01:16.600 --> 0:01:18.920 I would ask Jim how did he sleep the night before? 0:01:19.319 --> 0:01:22.200 So I'll not ask you how did you sleep last night? Greg? 0:01:22.319 --> 0:01:25.040 I slept well. I slept well. It was very comfortable, 0:01:25.120 --> 0:01:28.320 little spoon, Greg, I was not a little. I was 0:01:28.920 --> 0:01:33.760 very comfortable. But this morning I have a massive headache. 0:01:33.800 --> 0:01:38.480 To be honestly hungover, big Monday night for zero drinking. 0:01:39.480 --> 0:01:43.040 Just the headache developed this morning. Is it the is 0:01:43.080 --> 0:01:45.840 it the flu hangover? Maybe? Nope, I know the voice 0:01:45.880 --> 0:01:48.560 is still little raspy. While editing the NBA recap, it 0:01:48.640 --> 0:01:50.560 was better than it was better than yesterday. It was 0:01:50.800 --> 0:01:53.080 you're trending in the right direction, trending up. But I 0:01:53.160 --> 0:01:54.440 was really excited to come in the day. I was 0:01:54.520 --> 0:01:58.800 really excited for our topics today on the program. But 0:01:58.920 --> 0:02:00.760 it's been a rough morning. Man. It's there's a lot 0:02:00.840 --> 0:02:04.560 going on or anything I missed. I don't never get married. 0:02:05.960 --> 0:02:10.120 Thanks for the advice, Greg, You got it. Man. It's unbelievable. 0:02:10.200 --> 0:02:14.200 It's like the dumbest arguments are just there, and I'm 0:02:14.200 --> 0:02:15.720 happy to do. I was looking forward to this and 0:02:15.760 --> 0:02:18.040 we're talking about a lot of baseball stuff on the show, 0:02:18.080 --> 0:02:21.080 which I'm really excited about. Like literally midway through yesterday, 0:02:21.400 --> 0:02:24.760 frank'sly working downstairs, I'm reading random fan graph stats like that. 0:02:24.880 --> 0:02:31.440 I mean, I'm in, I am in, So I'm not 0:02:31.520 --> 0:02:33.960 letting this one about. What are you arguing about? Marriage wise? 0:02:34.040 --> 0:02:36.280 Like what? Like, I'm there anything I need to know about. 0:02:36.639 --> 0:02:41.160 I certainly have not dove as deep as you have 0:02:41.360 --> 0:02:43.880 yet obviously you're getting married this year. No time to wait. 0:02:44.000 --> 0:02:47.679 Greg's years old. He's gotta get married this year for 0:02:47.800 --> 0:02:53.079 everything stops Worth shut up? Um, well, like what's in 0:02:53.160 --> 0:02:55.239 your mind? I actually had something to do with me, 0:02:55.480 --> 0:02:57.480 that's ridiculous. I had a dream last night that I 0:02:57.560 --> 0:02:59.600 was trying to we were trying to figure out our 0:02:59.639 --> 0:03:03.919 color scheme for the wedding. That was my dream. Of course, 0:03:04.000 --> 0:03:06.119 nothing came to me like I still don't have something 0:03:06.680 --> 0:03:08.720 that's not a me thing with me? You have like 0:03:08.760 --> 0:03:11.239 a color scheme yet is Yeah, she's doing like mostly 0:03:11.320 --> 0:03:14.160 like silver black white, like non colors like silver white, 0:03:14.200 --> 0:03:19.120 black gray shades. Sure. Right, So they're talking about like 0:03:19.240 --> 0:03:22.480 dresses now, like bridesmaid dress stuff like that. The thing 0:03:24.080 --> 0:03:26.200 why I am involved with? Why would you be involved 0:03:26.200 --> 0:03:30.400 in that? I'm gonna try my best not to be correct. 0:03:30.800 --> 0:03:35.600 I never thought I would be at all. So that's 0:03:35.640 --> 0:03:37.640 that's where we are, Frank, That's all I got for you. 0:03:37.840 --> 0:03:40.080 I'm sorry, Bud. Yeah, well, I'll try to cheer you up. 0:03:40.560 --> 0:03:43.360 Talk a little baseball today, and they'll be Hall of 0:03:43.400 --> 0:03:46.960 Fame induction ceremony today as well. We also have I 0:03:47.040 --> 0:03:49.800 believe the f s t a fantasy baseball draft tonight 0:03:49.880 --> 0:03:53.200 we do, so we'll have and something else to talk 0:03:53.240 --> 0:03:56.040 about as well starting tomorrow, you want to talk about 0:03:56.040 --> 0:03:59.800 that draft. I also saw Leonardo Dafino that Paul Charchi, 0:03:59.880 --> 0:04:01.760 in the head of the f c A, is changing 0:04:01.800 --> 0:04:03.280 the name of the fc A to the f s 0:04:03.360 --> 0:04:06.360 g A grad Fantasy Sports. I saw that as well, 0:04:06.480 --> 0:04:09.960 Fantasy towards Gaming Association, which makes sense with gambling and 0:04:10.080 --> 0:04:13.440 gaming becoming so popular. Training association never really made sense 0:04:13.800 --> 0:04:17.040 at all. Gaming. I like, I like what they're doing there. 0:04:17.360 --> 0:04:18.840 It's a good job, I pul charch Ch. I mean, 0:04:18.880 --> 0:04:22.000 everything is kind of being fused together anyway, because if 0:04:22.040 --> 0:04:26.120 you're into making projections for fantasy, it's very easily translatable 0:04:26.200 --> 0:04:29.480 to gaming and betting and player props and you know, 0:04:29.839 --> 0:04:31.880 picking a side in a game, so on and so forth. 0:04:32.000 --> 0:04:34.240 So there, you know, there's a lot of parallels. It 0:04:34.279 --> 0:04:37.960 makes sense. So on the program today, we decided that 0:04:39.120 --> 0:04:41.480 with all football still to come a k a. The 0:04:41.600 --> 0:04:44.480 Super Bowl, so we have a lot to come there, 0:04:45.800 --> 0:04:52.120 but we also have baseball right around the corner. And 0:04:52.560 --> 0:04:55.279 I was looking, as I said yesterday, looking at old tweets, 0:04:55.400 --> 0:04:57.960 old like my time hop old stuff that we were 0:04:57.960 --> 0:05:01.000 putting out and we were kind of because Florio is around, 0:05:01.160 --> 0:05:03.160 we don't need deep in this stuff. Last year we 0:05:03.240 --> 0:05:06.280 already had uh one of our drafts going on my 0:05:06.600 --> 0:05:08.800 our first draft of the year. I think Frank has 0:05:09.040 --> 0:05:12.600 several best balls done at this point and instead this 0:05:12.760 --> 0:05:14.760 year a little bit later on, maybe because we were 0:05:14.839 --> 0:05:17.599 so in a football which is fine, But this year 0:05:18.000 --> 0:05:21.560 Frank's first draft started. First best ball draft started yesterday. 0:05:21.760 --> 0:05:25.039 I literally pulled up fan graphs for the first time yesterday. 0:05:25.520 --> 0:05:28.520 So we're gonna start it now, and we're gonna start off. 0:05:29.000 --> 0:05:31.760 I mean, it's because the big shoes haven't fallen yet. 0:05:31.800 --> 0:05:35.680 Machado hasn't signed, Harper hasn't signed. But we wanted to 0:05:35.800 --> 0:05:38.200 do a show as we like to do always, to 0:05:38.240 --> 0:05:40.960 start off really any season, baseball, football, basketball, What have 0:05:41.120 --> 0:05:45.040 you in saying, Hey, this happened. Did you know that? 0:05:46.000 --> 0:05:47.960 Because a lot of thanks fall through the cracks when 0:05:47.960 --> 0:05:51.760 you're preparing for football season. You're looking into free agents 0:05:51.800 --> 0:05:54.200 in football every single week, you're trying to set your 0:05:54.240 --> 0:05:56.960 line up or answering start sit questions. You missed stuff 0:05:56.960 --> 0:05:59.040 and we can't talk about it because somebody cares. Now 0:05:59.160 --> 0:06:01.720 people care, and I think that's why we're gonna do 0:06:01.800 --> 0:06:05.559 that today. Here's a few things you missed from baseball season. Cool, Frank, 0:06:05.920 --> 0:06:09.680 Absolutely all right, So let's get right into that, and 0:06:09.760 --> 0:06:13.479 let's begin with someone near dear heart, Frank. Let's begin 0:06:13.880 --> 0:06:16.920 with new Yankee starting pitcher James Paxton. It wouldn't be 0:06:17.240 --> 0:06:19.520 the beginning of the fantasy baseball season without Greg wanting 0:06:19.560 --> 0:06:23.000 to talk about a Yankee. By the way, don't draft 0:06:23.040 --> 0:06:25.040 with your heart and fantasy baseball, So there might be 0:06:25.200 --> 0:06:26.880 things that, like you have to take a grain of 0:06:26.920 --> 0:06:29.799 salt with when it comes to Greg Susman, because yesterday 0:06:29.960 --> 0:06:32.800 he was legitimately upset at me for not drafting Aaron 0:06:32.880 --> 0:06:35.159 Judge in the second round of Baseball Fan, to which 0:06:35.200 --> 0:06:37.640 he says, what kind of Yankee fan are you? Yeah, 0:06:37.839 --> 0:06:41.920 like what I agree? It was. It was the second 0:06:41.920 --> 0:06:44.880 fantasy baseball player you it was the second round. It 0:06:45.040 --> 0:06:47.720 was great value. It's twelve team league, Greg, and it's 0:06:47.760 --> 0:06:54.000 best ball. You just don't think the best center in baseball. 0:06:54.080 --> 0:06:58.640 Let me do um. Anyway, So we'll start with James Paxton, 0:06:58.680 --> 0:07:01.400 who was traded to the Yankees. Ultimately, we'll just call 0:07:01.480 --> 0:07:04.000 it what it was. The Yankee top prospect and Justice Sheffield, 0:07:04.160 --> 0:07:06.520 who I do want to talk about a second um 0:07:07.120 --> 0:07:10.400 for James Paxton, the Big Maple is not as young 0:07:10.520 --> 0:07:13.160 as you were led to believe, the guy that is 0:07:13.400 --> 0:07:17.000 known for being really really good but also kind of 0:07:17.080 --> 0:07:19.000 really really hurt. He's a left hander that has a 0:07:19.080 --> 0:07:23.040 lot of success against right handed hitters. A couple of 0:07:23.080 --> 0:07:25.480 things I didn't like doing my little bit of a 0:07:25.560 --> 0:07:28.240 deep dive here last year. A lot of more flyballs 0:07:28.240 --> 0:07:31.760 than ever that that doesn't play well into Yankee Stadium. 0:07:32.000 --> 0:07:35.840 Obviously home run. The flyball ratio slightly up again for 0:07:36.160 --> 0:07:38.960 James Paxton, again not something great for Yankee Stadium, and 0:07:39.000 --> 0:07:41.080 number you think will probably go up because you're gonna 0:07:41.080 --> 0:07:44.760 play half your games in Yankee Stadium. What Altar surprised 0:07:44.800 --> 0:07:47.800 me is that the pitches the Paxson throws or fastballs, 0:07:47.800 --> 0:07:50.080 and the Yankees have what many believe is a anti 0:07:50.200 --> 0:07:52.720 fastball philosophy that they are going to focus on pictures 0:07:52.760 --> 0:07:55.760 that don't really throw fastballs all that often. Now it 0:07:55.800 --> 0:07:58.640 doesn't always hold true. They they Jay hap is another 0:07:58.680 --> 0:07:59.920 one of these guys that throws a lot of fast 0:08:00.000 --> 0:08:02.000 bold when you do really and Lance Lynn through a 0:08:02.040 --> 0:08:04.600 lot of fastballs, so maybe it's gone a wave enough 0:08:04.600 --> 0:08:07.400 philosophy in the last year or so, but James Paxson 0:08:07.440 --> 0:08:10.800 doesn't really fit this philosophy that they've been working through 0:08:10.840 --> 0:08:14.080 with their signings and their free and their minor league 0:08:14.640 --> 0:08:17.960 starters as well. Paxton goes away from that. So those 0:08:18.000 --> 0:08:19.920 are the things that I really noticed on first glass 0:08:20.000 --> 0:08:24.280 rank you mentioned the the injury pro nature I think 0:08:24.400 --> 0:08:27.400 is is where to start With James Packson. He's pitched 0:08:27.720 --> 0:08:30.800 four hundred and seventeen and one third endings over the 0:08:30.880 --> 0:08:34.800 past three years. It's been trending up the past couple 0:08:34.840 --> 0:08:39.120 of seasons, but it's still last year career high on 0:08:39.640 --> 0:08:46.760 sixty point one endings pitched six and the one you mentioned. 0:08:46.800 --> 0:08:48.560 Some of the things that just kind of jump off 0:08:48.600 --> 0:08:50.520 the page right away with the battle ball profile when 0:08:50.559 --> 0:08:54.680 it comes to James Packson, the fact that normally forty 0:08:54.760 --> 0:08:57.360 six point seven percent groundball rate for his career GREG 0:08:57.440 --> 0:09:00.199 that was down um quite a bit last year the 0:09:00.240 --> 0:09:03.320 groundball rate at thirty nine point six percent, So at 0:09:03.360 --> 0:09:05.880 first glance, it is something that's going to play into 0:09:05.960 --> 0:09:08.160 your mind in Yankee Stadium. The fact that he gives 0:09:08.240 --> 0:09:13.679 up more fly balls and typically in his career has 0:09:13.960 --> 0:09:18.439 been better against right handed batters um than lefties. So 0:09:18.559 --> 0:09:20.880 what I really liked about James Paxson going into last 0:09:21.000 --> 0:09:25.439 year was that in seventeen he had corrected that. Like 0:09:25.559 --> 0:09:27.640 he was awesome against lefties, he was basically him and 0:09:27.720 --> 0:09:30.480 Chris Sale who were just the best pitchers starting pitchers 0:09:30.480 --> 0:09:35.559 against left handed batters in baseball UM in batting average 0:09:35.600 --> 0:09:40.760 against or sixty three ops pitching against left handed batters right, 0:09:40.840 --> 0:09:49.400 those numbers in three thirty batting average eights against left 0:09:49.440 --> 0:09:53.680 handed battersen. So again it was a small sample size. 0:09:53.679 --> 0:09:55.199 I think it's something like a hundred or a hundred 0:09:55.240 --> 0:09:57.760 fifty plate appearances. So obviously not a lot of teams 0:09:57.800 --> 0:10:00.559 play their lefties against him. But for whatever reason, he 0:10:00.720 --> 0:10:03.640 was getting hit harder by lefties last year than we're 0:10:03.720 --> 0:10:05.719 used to seeing. Alex if you have that um that 0:10:05.880 --> 0:10:08.079 that full screen that you could throw up now for 0:10:08.200 --> 0:10:11.080 people watching at home. I looked into this a little bit. 0:10:11.160 --> 0:10:14.280 These these are via fan graphs, right, so we have 0:10:14.400 --> 0:10:17.840 heat maps here. This is from the pitching perspective greg Um. 0:10:18.160 --> 0:10:21.319 You can see on the left is where he kind 0:10:21.320 --> 0:10:24.719 of pitched to the lower third the outside quadrant where 0:10:24.760 --> 0:10:27.760 he was kind of painting that outside corner away from 0:10:27.840 --> 0:10:31.640 left hand batters, whereas in a lot of his pictures, 0:10:31.960 --> 0:10:34.560 pitches to lefties were, you know, in the middle. They 0:10:34.600 --> 0:10:37.240 were on the outer third of the plate, but he 0:10:37.320 --> 0:10:38.920 was still in the middle much more than he was 0:10:38.960 --> 0:10:40.920 in So I think that's something that has to be 0:10:41.000 --> 0:10:43.960 corrected this year, and I have faith that the Yankees 0:10:44.040 --> 0:10:46.520 will will be able to do that. The problem here, 0:10:46.600 --> 0:10:51.120 Greg is if you want James Paxson, you you still 0:10:51.160 --> 0:10:54.480 have to draft him as your SP two. I don't 0:10:54.559 --> 0:10:57.920 know how comfortable I feel with that. It's just that's me. 0:10:58.480 --> 0:11:04.400 And currently his a DP is like in the in 0:11:04.520 --> 0:11:07.800 the fourth, fourth round of there you go. It's fifty six, 0:11:08.040 --> 0:11:10.360 so fourth round of a fifteen team league. He's in 0:11:10.400 --> 0:11:13.080 the fifth round of twelve team league. Typically he's going 0:11:13.120 --> 0:11:15.839 to be your SP two. I think I would feel 0:11:16.000 --> 0:11:18.440 much more confident, obviously with him as my SP three, 0:11:18.840 --> 0:11:21.680 but it's not gonna happen. Obviously. We haven't done right 0:11:22.880 --> 0:11:24.640 starting pitcher off the board. Right now, we're in an 0:11:24.720 --> 0:11:28.760 NFBC a DP being drafted as an SP two, solid 0:11:28.920 --> 0:11:31.720 SP two, but he hasn't gone more than a hundred 0:11:31.720 --> 0:11:33.880 and sixty and he's pitched ever in his career. He 0:11:33.960 --> 0:11:37.280 did have that career high last year. Um, but yeah, 0:11:37.280 --> 0:11:40.640 there are some morning signs. Fly ball rate you mentioned 0:11:40.720 --> 0:11:43.319 one point to nine home runs per nine also a 0:11:43.400 --> 0:11:46.360 career wors thirty percent hard hit rates, so allowed more 0:11:46.440 --> 0:11:49.400 hard contact last year. That was a career worst. On 0:11:49.480 --> 0:11:51.800 the home runs specifically, great, I mentioned what they were 0:11:51.880 --> 0:11:54.640 per nine. He allowed nine home runs in seen that 0:11:54.720 --> 0:11:59.439 number one up to twenty three. So just at first glance, 0:11:59.480 --> 0:12:01.839 it doesn't seem like what he's doing is going to 0:12:01.960 --> 0:12:04.160 play well into Yankee Stadium. And I think the fact 0:12:04.240 --> 0:12:06.280 that his ADP is basically the same world was last 0:12:06.360 --> 0:12:09.640 year Greg, even with the move to Yankee Stadium, tells 0:12:09.679 --> 0:12:11.040 me that other people don't really know what to do 0:12:11.120 --> 0:12:13.640 with James Paxson either. I agree with that. I think 0:12:13.800 --> 0:12:16.080 what was interesting, smilar some other things that I looked 0:12:16.160 --> 0:12:19.839 up that we're kind of similar in the past. Right, 0:12:20.160 --> 0:12:23.000 So his caper nine went up pretty significant, Lady from 0:12:23.080 --> 0:12:26.160 tem eleven point six, eight walks for nine went down 0:12:26.240 --> 0:12:30.120 just a little bit. His babbit basically the same. Let 0:12:30.200 --> 0:12:33.080 the base percentage basically the same K minus walk rate 0:12:33.160 --> 0:12:35.320 is always great, always great. I was reading an article 0:12:35.440 --> 0:12:38.760 via Paul Sporer on fan graphs and it was basically, 0:12:38.760 --> 0:12:41.760 over the past three years his home his K minus 0:12:41.800 --> 0:12:45.079 walk percentage is sixth best on starting pictures. And he's 0:12:45.240 --> 0:12:47.959 very consistent with that, very consistent, and you could buy that, 0:12:48.559 --> 0:12:51.079 um the big number. And Frank and I really keep 0:12:51.160 --> 0:12:53.760 harping on it. He's the home runs and the flyball 0:12:53.840 --> 0:12:55.839 and and the flyballs in general, which you just see 0:12:55.840 --> 0:12:58.079 a lot more of. And I think we're just scared 0:12:58.160 --> 0:13:00.520 of when it comes to Yankee Stadium, like that home 0:13:00.600 --> 0:13:02.200 run of fly ball ration. I'm gonna say it again 0:13:02.559 --> 0:13:09.360 seven you could basically double it last year. Bad luck, sure, 0:13:10.000 --> 0:13:12.760 but going in a Yankee stadium, that bad luck is 0:13:12.800 --> 0:13:16.360 going to get worse. And I think that's what a 0:13:16.600 --> 0:13:21.480 real reason to be very very nervous. Now. I Frank 0:13:21.520 --> 0:13:26.360 gave you the chart about left handers. I think most teams, 0:13:26.440 --> 0:13:29.199 in all honesty are too dumb to realize that. And 0:13:29.280 --> 0:13:31.760 I know they use analytics, but like, you're never going 0:13:31.840 --> 0:13:34.680 to see lineups that are stacked with lefties against James Paxton, 0:13:34.760 --> 0:13:36.520 even though he's better in the reverse flitt You're never 0:13:36.559 --> 0:13:39.000 gonna see that. These managers are too old school when 0:13:39.040 --> 0:13:40.840 it comes to that, even though so many hused analytics, 0:13:41.080 --> 0:13:43.160 you're never gonna see it. So that doesn't scare me 0:13:43.240 --> 0:13:46.760 as much as what we're seeing about the launch angle, 0:13:46.840 --> 0:13:50.080 the flyballs and going the Yankee Stadium. That's what scares 0:13:50.120 --> 0:13:52.800 me the most. You said, he's around the sevente pitcher 0:13:52.840 --> 0:13:54.520 off the board. Do you have some of the guys 0:13:54.559 --> 0:13:59.559 that are going around him? And this is via NFBC ADP. 0:13:59.679 --> 0:14:04.160 It's Ational Fantasy Baseball Championship. If you if you listen 0:14:04.280 --> 0:14:06.959 to h if you listen to Mattmodica, our friend Mettmodica 0:14:06.960 --> 0:14:09.040 at all last year, you have heard of the NFBC. 0:14:09.200 --> 0:14:11.600 I'm sure Matt Moodica has probably done twenty of these drafts. 0:14:12.640 --> 0:14:15.400 And this is via This is from the beginning of January, 0:14:15.440 --> 0:14:20.040 so January one through January one. Um, let's see acton 0:14:20.760 --> 0:14:23.600 seventeen pitcher off the board. It's picture overall, So Edwin 0:14:23.680 --> 0:14:26.040 Diaz is actually going ahead of him, So he's sixteenth 0:14:26.080 --> 0:14:30.440 starting pitcher. Just ahead of him are Patrick Corbin, Noah 0:14:30.520 --> 0:14:33.080 synder Guard and Clayton Kershaw and Walker Bueller's just ahead 0:14:33.080 --> 0:14:36.240 of him. Those are four ahead of him behind him, 0:14:37.120 --> 0:14:38.840 and he's going to be a hype guy this year. 0:14:39.680 --> 0:14:46.000 Jameson Tye On, Steven Strasburg, Clevinger, another hype guy, Zach Granky, 0:14:46.600 --> 0:14:50.360 Jack Flaherty, I mean Flaherty, Clevinger, Tyne or met to 0:14:50.480 --> 0:14:52.520 me are guys that kind of stand out like in 0:14:52.600 --> 0:14:54.840 a similar tier, like their young starting pitchers and everyone's 0:14:54.840 --> 0:14:58.520 expecting to like take another step for sure. Yeah, so 0:14:59.040 --> 0:15:02.680 you know, honestly, it is also behind him, you all honesty, 0:15:04.000 --> 0:15:07.040 it's probably right. Guy's probably where he should go. Like 0:15:07.160 --> 0:15:08.960 maybe you don't want to take that plunge. Maybe you 0:15:09.000 --> 0:15:11.920 want to get the guy earlier than that. That's fine, 0:15:13.000 --> 0:15:15.320 but that's probably where he should go. If you play 0:15:15.360 --> 0:15:16.800 in the twelve team league, you could get him in 0:15:16.800 --> 0:15:21.320 the fifth round as your SP three. I believe that's 0:15:21.360 --> 0:15:23.360 if you start the Great Fantasy base you start with 0:15:23.640 --> 0:15:26.600 if you start with three, I got Paxton if you 0:15:26.640 --> 0:15:28.400 have if you have three starting pitchers in the first 0:15:28.440 --> 0:15:30.840 five rounds. The Great Fantasy Baseball Invitation with which I 0:15:30.920 --> 0:15:33.800 was in last year, I won my individual league. I 0:15:33.880 --> 0:15:35.760 got Paxson as my SP three in that and it 0:15:35.840 --> 0:15:38.360 was a Rhodo draft. I believe my first two pitchers 0:15:38.360 --> 0:15:41.560 were Aaron Nolah and you Darvish Harvish was obviously terrible, 0:15:42.080 --> 0:15:44.320 and then I got Paxson as my SP three in 0:15:44.360 --> 0:15:47.520 the fifth round. I agree with you, it's kind of 0:15:47.560 --> 0:15:50.120 seems like where he should go in terms of like 0:15:50.200 --> 0:15:51.800 the other names that he's around, and just kind of 0:15:51.840 --> 0:15:54.000 looking at it right now, and it's worth mentioning. Just 0:15:54.080 --> 0:15:56.720 like on the surface, he's been much better in his 0:15:56.840 --> 0:15:59.280 career at safe Co and he has been on the 0:15:59.400 --> 0:16:03.360 road at safe Co in his career um three point 0:16:03.480 --> 0:16:09.120 three five e r A, and I think it's just 0:16:09.320 --> 0:16:12.080 last year. This might be just but three point three 0:16:12.160 --> 0:16:14.600 five year A last year in his career at home 0:16:14.760 --> 0:16:17.840 at safe Co, it is two point nine eight in 0:16:18.560 --> 0:16:21.200 fifty starts two ninety six and a third endings pitched 0:16:21.320 --> 0:16:24.560 two r A at home three point eight seven e 0:16:24.760 --> 0:16:26.920 r A on the road. So there are things that 0:16:26.960 --> 0:16:29.720 he needs to fix from last year in terms of, 0:16:30.040 --> 0:16:32.040 you know, pitching lower in the zone, trying to induce 0:16:32.120 --> 0:16:34.400 more groundballs. It seemed like he might have been selling 0:16:34.400 --> 0:16:36.200 out a little bit to try and get more strikeouts 0:16:36.280 --> 0:16:38.360 last year that you see like in the Cape or nine, 0:16:38.600 --> 0:16:40.520 he had some monster performance, has had the no hitter. 0:16:40.680 --> 0:16:42.560 I think he had like a seventeen strikeout game, like 0:16:42.640 --> 0:16:45.200 something massive like that. We know what his upside can be, 0:16:45.600 --> 0:16:47.200 and to be fair, his fit and x fit were 0:16:47.240 --> 0:16:49.200 both much lower than his three point seven six e 0:16:49.360 --> 0:16:52.800 r A. Steamer soundly alarmed for Steamer as him for 0:16:52.880 --> 0:16:55.680 a three point four six e r A this season 0:16:55.920 --> 0:16:58.240 a hundred and seventy two innings pitched. Both of those 0:16:58.320 --> 0:17:01.120 numbers seem a little ambitious to he was traded away 0:17:01.240 --> 0:17:04.119 for Justice Sheffield as I mentioned any interest in draft 0:17:04.200 --> 0:17:07.359 in Sheffield this year in one of these like fifty 0:17:07.400 --> 0:17:10.560 team drafting holes, Definitely, I think he uh. He has 0:17:10.760 --> 0:17:13.720 obviously a much better opportunity to correct the starting rotation 0:17:13.760 --> 0:17:15.520 with the Marriner thingy thing with the game all right, 0:17:15.720 --> 0:17:19.000 when we come back on all the things happened this offseason, 0:17:19.080 --> 0:17:22.119 including one of the top first basement off board is 0:17:22.160 --> 0:17:24.639 now playing for a new team. Goldschmidt's up next, the 0:17:24.640 --> 0:17:31.760 Fantasy Best Friend's Red Daily Roado dot Com learned from 0:17:31.800 --> 0:17:35.560 the game's best DFS players. We don't just give you advice. 0:17:36.080 --> 0:17:40.800 We play every day, all major sports, all year round. 0:17:41.400 --> 0:17:45.320 We never stopped industry leading DFS tools and custom projections, 0:17:45.680 --> 0:17:49.600 and now the Daily roado dot Com Optimizer in minutes 0:17:49.760 --> 0:17:53.480 build an optimized line for cash games and attorneys learned 0:17:53.480 --> 0:17:58.080 from the game's best DFS players joined daily roado dot com. 0:17:58.720 --> 0:18:03.000 The following ad contain shocking material. Listener discretion is advised. 0:18:04.160 --> 0:18:06.760 Is someone in your family playing a dangerous game of 0:18:06.880 --> 0:18:10.520 Russian Roulette? Over forty three thousand people die a year 0:18:10.640 --> 0:18:13.520 from drug overdose. A hundred and twenty people a day, 0:18:13.960 --> 0:18:19.359 five people every hour, one person every twelve minutes. 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Here is Area's calling the shots. 0:19:02.240 --> 0:19:04.640 Unless you're gonna just hand the ball straight up to God. 0:19:04.680 --> 0:19:06.840 If Casey mill is gonna be running around, I'd rather 0:19:07.200 --> 0:19:10.720 the ball in Drew Brees hand and let him do 0:19:10.960 --> 0:19:15.159 his thing. We sometimes crushed coaches for running, running, running, 0:19:15.200 --> 0:19:16.600 and just taking the airt of the ball. But if 0:19:16.600 --> 0:19:18.800 I'm Sean Payton, I would have ran the ball three times, 0:19:18.920 --> 0:19:20.600 kick a field goal, rams, get the ball with like 0:19:20.720 --> 0:19:23.000 thirty seconds left, and I'll bank on my defense there 0:19:23.040 --> 0:19:25.440 week days a pm to eleven pm Eastern on the 0:19:25.480 --> 0:19:37.479 Fantasy Sports networking on your popular podcast Providers, Frankie Us. 0:19:37.560 --> 0:19:44.080 Today is terrible day because this is Dave Mann Steve 0:19:44.160 --> 0:19:48.000 Matthews Ben tour announcement that Greig, don't tell me you're 0:19:48.000 --> 0:19:51.600 going on another one of these. So you were disappointed 0:19:51.680 --> 0:19:55.080 last time. It was very disappoted. Last disappointed because, as 0:19:55.119 --> 0:19:59.399 you know, I'm doing my bachelor party in Florida, and 0:20:01.000 --> 0:20:02.359 I was going to this. I was going to do 0:20:02.480 --> 0:20:09.960 it around you mean July. It's baseball game. Originally was 0:20:09.960 --> 0:20:12.000 gonna do in Tampa and potentially see the Yankees in Tampa. 0:20:13.600 --> 0:20:17.680 The Yankees whenever you want, Greg, that's the other thing Kees, 0:20:17.680 --> 0:20:20.000 whatever I want. Um. I'm not sure you and your 0:20:20.000 --> 0:20:22.560 Baskett party are dying to go to Tropic Canada exactly. 0:20:23.280 --> 0:20:24.960 I don't really think we're gonna the Yanks me the 0:20:25.000 --> 0:20:27.080 Marlins is here like the Sting Rays, right or something. 0:20:28.040 --> 0:20:30.680 Probably not one of the things we were gonna do. 0:20:30.720 --> 0:20:32.640 We should see Dave Matthews band in West Palm Beach, 0:20:33.200 --> 0:20:35.879 just different location. Like it's kind of cool, but like 0:20:36.000 --> 0:20:38.639 the dates isn't exactly they were what I thought they were, 0:20:38.680 --> 0:20:42.960 which is not the dates I wanted. Um, So I 0:20:43.000 --> 0:20:44.520 don't know I'm gonna be able to make it this year. 0:20:44.760 --> 0:20:47.560 Oh gosh, what are we ever gonna do? I'm probably 0:20:47.560 --> 0:20:49.040 just going somewhere else. I'm gonna be able to see 0:20:49.160 --> 0:20:52.840 Dave just not just not during my bachelor party week. Really, 0:20:52.880 --> 0:20:56.639 you could do anything except see Dave Matthews, Ben, How 0:20:56.680 --> 0:20:59.919 long are you gonna be there? Um? Think Thursday through Sunday, 0:21:00.840 --> 0:21:04.479 all the older almost almost the round. I would never 0:21:04.600 --> 0:21:06.440 do the rap around to you, Frank, can't do the 0:21:06.480 --> 0:21:08.879 old rap around. What are you? What's going on with you? 0:21:09.000 --> 0:21:10.440 What are you? What are you taking off? I feel like, 0:21:10.520 --> 0:21:12.800 I know, I feel like it's brewing. Probably I feel 0:21:12.800 --> 0:21:14.200 like he's brewing. Are you gonna drop it at some 0:21:14.280 --> 0:21:17.840 point soon? I had I wanted to go visit our 0:21:17.840 --> 0:21:19.600 guy Florida. He's in the chat right now, he's listening 0:21:19.640 --> 0:21:21.960 and he's watching. I wanted to go visit Florio in 0:21:22.040 --> 0:21:25.119 Los Angeles in the month of February. It's kind of 0:21:25.200 --> 0:21:27.720 like a dry month super Bowl, and that's when you're 0:21:27.720 --> 0:21:30.440 going away. I'm going for that exact reason, like in 0:21:30.560 --> 0:21:32.760 between it's like the NBA All Star Break. It's like 0:21:32.840 --> 0:21:35.240 kind of like that, like that's what I'm doing, That's 0:21:35.280 --> 0:21:37.359 why I'm doing it. I wanted to do that, right 0:21:37.720 --> 0:21:39.239 he told me you were going. Doesn't seem like it's 0:21:39.240 --> 0:21:40.639 gonna happen. You told me you were going to. Now 0:21:40.720 --> 0:21:42.440 there might be plants like go to Poland later on 0:21:42.520 --> 0:21:46.160 in the year. You visited that one. Yes, that's cool 0:21:46.680 --> 0:21:51.480 Inga's grandparents have like a fiftieth anniversary. When is that. Unfortunately, 0:21:51.480 --> 0:21:53.200 the thing is, it's like it's in the middle of August, 0:21:53.359 --> 0:21:57.080