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Speaker 1: All right, here we go fifteen cuny twenty five, thirty

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Speaker 1: thirty five forty coty five fifty and the.

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Speaker 2: Chicks his black collegeball World stundar. Oh my goodness, he's

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Speaker 2: stumbled and bob the lateral turn a counter of the itself.

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Speaker 3: Do you the leavena came up the day of the night.

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Speaker 2: It's not the size of the dog in the fuddle,

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Speaker 2: it's the size of the fight in the dog.

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Speaker 4: What's up to genner Nation? Welcome to the Big Bets

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Speaker 4: on Campus Podcast. This is the week eleven betting recap

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Speaker 4: and Week twelve look ahead. I'm stucky in with me

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Speaker 4: as always, It's Colin Wilson. Look, I have to tell

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Speaker 4: you you would have been so proud of me.

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Speaker 1: Took a video of it in a bar in Lessington,

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Speaker 1: going wild, the only one of the people staring at

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Speaker 1: me for whoop big silly at the very end to

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Speaker 1: beat LSU. It was such a perfect marriage. You had

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Speaker 1: the first half LSU money line, I had Arkansas money line,

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Speaker 1: want to win?

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Speaker 5: Whoopig silly?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I'd say you can't handicap a game better than that.

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Speaker 3: Arkansas has now lost five straight games at halftime and

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Speaker 3: then manage these amazing comebacks Mississippi State LSU, and I

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Speaker 3: mean that's the reason I didn't wanted part of the

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Speaker 3: full game cap, because I thought this will go down

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Speaker 3: to the wire. Amazing game. I'm glad Arkansas has the bootback.

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Speaker 3: Sam Pittman is a little bit richer. He's going to

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Speaker 3: try to get even more richer against Missouri, and we're

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Speaker 3: gonna get a nice sunny bowl down in Florida, and

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Speaker 3: then you and I head to head in Nevada, San

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Speaker 3: Diego State. Everything we could want. I mean, if you.

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Speaker 1: Again, I forgot about that too, Yeah, I mean.

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Speaker 3: If if you were one of the ones with me

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Speaker 3: that saw the play come in on the Action Network

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Speaker 3: up on San Diego State line when it was released.

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Speaker 3: We got paid. If you got minus one, you got paid.

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Speaker 3: You got minus two. Get pushed so sadly for the

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Speaker 3: BBOC Live show on Saturday, I lost by a hook.

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Speaker 3: You gotta win by a hook. But I mean, hell

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Speaker 3: of a game. Sorry about it about the futures, but

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Speaker 3: I mean, to me, that was a fantastic watch from

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Speaker 3: a consumer perspective.

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Speaker 1: Oh yeah, I wish Colturna would have played by the

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Speaker 1: way overall for my week, eleven. It was another middling

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Speaker 1: week for me. Last fall season went twenty four and seven.

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Speaker 1: We were getting every bounce that's coming right, Like we

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Speaker 1: lose Clemson on a kick return for a touchdown and

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Speaker 1: to fumble at the one. It's unfortunate. We lose two

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Speaker 1: lane again, like that's that's just heartbring what as swing?

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Speaker 1: That was miss a twenty five year order to win

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Speaker 1: it and then losing overtime by seven. I mean, just crush,

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Speaker 1: just kill her. So it's coming, The run is coming.

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Speaker 1: We are right there. How was your week overall?

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Speaker 3: Yeah? I mean on the app, I finished up pretty

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Speaker 3: much even like down one unit went two and three

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Speaker 3: on our live but BBO C Live show with San

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Speaker 3: Diego State being the killer. But I'll just go.

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Speaker 1: Crushed us.

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Speaker 3: We'll go ahead and say, you know, best bet, worst bet,

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Speaker 3: you know bet regret. I mean my best bet by far.

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Speaker 3: There were three of them that we talked about on

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Speaker 3: the on the podcast, and to be real, short old

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Speaker 3: Miss was my big It was my best bet on

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Speaker 3: the show. Glad that came Yeah, Glad that came through

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Speaker 3: for everybody. Ohio State team total over cashed in the

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Speaker 3: second quarter in Oregon State just steamrolled a Stanford team

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Speaker 3: that's lifeless without Tanner McKee.

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Speaker 1: You set a best call, worst call, bet regret. Let's

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Speaker 1: go through my card here, best call. Sorry I was

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Speaker 1: against you here. Georgia State GRACEO McCall is worth that

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Speaker 1: much to the spread, Thank you very much. The rumors

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Speaker 1: hute steam didn't play Georgia State outright, And the reason

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Speaker 1: that was also my best call is because we have

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Speaker 1: Georgia State win total over so.

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Speaker 3: Definitely my worst Yeah, like Bryce Carper like, so the

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Speaker 3: whole narrative out there was is Grace McCall worth ten

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Speaker 3: points to the spread? Yes, I think we've proven that

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Speaker 3: the drop to Bryce Carpenter is twenty points to the spread.

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Speaker 3: So good call by you saying yes, he's worth more

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Speaker 3: than ten. And now I finally agree. I thought Carpenter

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Speaker 3: being there for four years and and and Jamie Chadwell

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Speaker 3: knowing him, they would have put up a better, you

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Speaker 3: know performance.

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Speaker 1: I was so nervous that once that that steam was

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Speaker 1: coming in, I was like, you gotta be kidding me.

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Speaker 1: Gray McCall is gonna suit up here. But he didn't.

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Speaker 1: So but that was huge for a winn't to a

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Speaker 1: little one out right by the way. I don't know

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Speaker 1: if we're the voice spills in a second that wyoming cover.

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Speaker 1: Have you ever seen anything more amazing?

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Speaker 3: I'll take the unit.

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Speaker 1: Deserve it.

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Speaker 3: Matt in Washington s.

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Speaker 1: Oh, yeah, the plush. We got to push that. Did

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Speaker 1: you have fourteen and a half? Yeah, I did, dirty

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Speaker 1: dog another best call this is about. Look, I listened

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Speaker 1: to you here. You pushed us on the Michigan Penn

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Speaker 1: State first half under yep, that was not a sweat.

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Speaker 1: And by the way, Michigan finally gets that win, that

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Speaker 1: big win on the road that Harball and Michigan fan's

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Speaker 1: been waiting for. But if you go back into that game,

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Speaker 1: what is James Franklin doing. He gets the fake punt

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Speaker 1: and then a fake field goal in the two after

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Speaker 1: we've already done a fake punt. Come on, man, no

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Speaker 1: need to get cute there. You go for it to

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Speaker 1: kick the field goal, I think.

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Speaker 3: And Lane Kiffin went to a no field goal fake

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Speaker 3: field goal convention. I've never seen so many miss points

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Speaker 3: in my I mean, for Lane Kiffin it didn't matter.

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Speaker 3: They had some pick sixes and stuff, But yeah, I mean,

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Speaker 3: this whole fake field goal thing is like a virus.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, let's see worst call. Iowa under never closed. Awful call,

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Speaker 1: but I mean under losses Clemson, Troy, even gain, they

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Speaker 1: just somehow didn't cover Tennessee. Man, this is every week

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Speaker 1: Tennessee first half gosh.

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Speaker 3: I mean that Tennessee had the great game plan in

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Speaker 3: the first three drives and then Georgia adjusted it. It

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Speaker 3: was over.

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Speaker 1: Plus eleven first plus eleven and a half first half though,

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Speaker 1: was Maryland plus thirteen? I mean that was even game.

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Speaker 1: Worst call I guess was I guess Washington State but

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Speaker 1: they pushed. But I'll say that's my worst call. And Iowa,

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Speaker 1: Iowa under for sure. That regret.

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Speaker 6: Every gambler knows that feeling. Let's talk that regret.

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Speaker 1: That regret is not jumping on a notre dame when

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Speaker 1: the line was steaming. I couldn't get full confirmation until

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Speaker 1: later the day that Brendan Armstrong was out. But you

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Speaker 1: could argue that Brennan Armstrong, that line didn't go up

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Speaker 1: high enough. Brennan Armstrong to these two stars that origin

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Speaker 1: his backups, it's close to the drop off of Grayce

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Speaker 1: and McCall the carpenter. That's an enormous drop. This is

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Speaker 1: a pro quarterback to two star. I'll be nice, just

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Speaker 1: two stars, So not jumping on Notre Dame. There there

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Speaker 1: was just no way that Virginia's defense is awful, so

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Speaker 1: there's no way that they were going to keep up

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Speaker 1: with Notre Dame. But there are rumors about Notre Dame

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Speaker 1: that flew. So but I do without without without Brendon Armstrong.

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Speaker 1: Without Brenn Armstrong, vision is nothing. So that was my bet.

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Speaker 1: Regret is not jumping on Notre Dame. Once I saw

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Speaker 1: Armstrong was out, how about you? Best called wors called

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Speaker 1: that Regret.

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Speaker 3: Morse call was definitely coastal that that was not even close.

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Speaker 3: Assuming Brice Carpenter, who's been there forever, could take over

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Speaker 3: the offense and there wouldn't be that much of a drop.

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Speaker 3: But it shows you how important Grace and McCall is

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Speaker 3: and we'll see how high he goes at the next level.

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Speaker 3: Bet Regret is two of them. And I came on

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Speaker 3: here and made best bet on the podcast Missouri, and

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Speaker 3: the number was moving as we made that podcast. It

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Speaker 3: went from a pick to one to one and a half.

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Speaker 3: And even though I had like money my self on

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Speaker 3: the game, I wanted to put in the best number,

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Speaker 3: and I never put it in into the app, So

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Speaker 3: miszoo bet regret from an app perspective. After making it

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Speaker 3: the best bet on the podcast, and then Texas Tech,

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Speaker 3: I said, with you know Sugar, the new you know,

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Speaker 3: the the young kid, the Donovan kid coming in a quarterback.

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Speaker 3: They could win the game outright. They won the game

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Speaker 3: out right. It's ten, ten and a half point underdogs,

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Speaker 3: and that never got into the app. So two bet

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Speaker 3: regrets there.

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Speaker 1: Sixty two yard field goal to win it for Texas

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Speaker 1: Tech to crush any hope I had for my Higowa

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Speaker 1: State Big twelve futures after Oklahoma laid in an egg

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Speaker 1: and then Chulan can't make a twenty six yarder with

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Speaker 1: a kicker, a six year kicker. Great, all right, let's

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Speaker 1: go through some we'll get to the voicebous a one second.

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Speaker 1: But to recap what happened in the top twenty, we

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Speaker 1: had a big shake up. Oklahoma's dead dead done. See yeah,

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Speaker 1: Big twelve was done. I mean Oklahoma State, do they

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Speaker 1: have a chance. It's with Oklahoma. With Oklahoma losing, though

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Speaker 1: it makes them, I think that win's not going to

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Speaker 1: be as impressive.

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Speaker 3: I mean, if you follow the laws of the college

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Speaker 3: football player. Off a one loss conference champion with Trump

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Speaker 3: and undefeated G five, we've had that.

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Speaker 1: Cincinnati's done. I don't see any way they can't get in.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, but I'm just saying I don't think the Big

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Speaker 3: Twelve is done. It's just whoever wins Bedlam has got

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Speaker 3: to win again the next week. That's it. You've got

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Speaker 3: to win two in a row to make it to

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Speaker 3: the National Championship Game.

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Speaker 1: So but you think so, you're I just think that

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Speaker 1: sets up for for two lost Bama over the Big Twelve.

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Speaker 3: I can't see a two loss at large getting in

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Speaker 3: over a power five to one loss champion. I don't

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Speaker 3: see it at Michigan, you know what. I think Michigan

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Speaker 3: would get that at large bid before anybody.

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Speaker 1: So, yeah, if they don't go, if they don't go

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Speaker 1: to the well, they would have two losses though.

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Speaker 3: They out of Michigan State beats Ohio State and Michigan

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Speaker 3: beats Ohio State.

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Speaker 1: Yes, but that's not happening. Michigan State's not beating Ohio State.

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Speaker 1: We'regan is still alive. If we're wins out, they're going,

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Speaker 1: by the way, that's a I think they're gonna be

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Speaker 1: underdogs next weekend.

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Speaker 3: We're recording on Sunday mornings, so we don't know what

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Speaker 3: the line is gonna be. But I projected to be

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Speaker 3: Utah minus two, that.

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Speaker 1: Struly right in that neighborhood when we know Georgia's in. Well, yeah,

200
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Speaker 1: no matter what, the a SEC is dead. The PAC

201
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Speaker 1: twelve could die next week. If Utah beat Oregon, right,

202
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Speaker 1: the Big twelve could die. And it's gonna be really interesting.

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Speaker 1: This all is setting up. I'm telling you, it's all

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Speaker 1: setting up for at two loss Alabama.

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Speaker 3: I just it's interesting if the committee, I would watch

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Speaker 3: their rankings very closely this week, where does what if?

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Speaker 1: What if Dam splits? The Big Twelve's done, right, they

208
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Speaker 1: both have two losses.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, absolutely, Bedlam splits, They're done.

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Speaker 1: So that's gonna get away three losses, that's my prediction.

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Speaker 3: It's not gonna get into three.

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Speaker 1: Are They're gonna lose to ad Auburn. They're gonna lose

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Speaker 1: in the SEC Championship and get in.

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Speaker 3: Well, you're gonna get some about fifty to one odds

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Speaker 3: whenever they get their third loss, so you can take that.

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Speaker 3: But I won't be on that. I think the Committe.

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Speaker 3: I think everybody should pay attention to the rankings this

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Speaker 3: week because there's in some important questions to ask, where

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Speaker 3: does Wake with one loss fall? Where does Oklahoma with

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Speaker 3: one loss fall? Where does Oklahoma State faull one loss fall?

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Speaker 3: And then where does the Big ten East everybody with

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Speaker 3: one loss fall? Because your pecking orders are really important.

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Speaker 3: As far as Cincinnati being undefeated, I'm not sure Cincinnati

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Speaker 3: is going to slide like they did last year because

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Speaker 3: they actually moved up last week, so they're going to

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Speaker 3: have to start answering questions. Does a one loss Big

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Speaker 3: twelve or acc Champ overcome Cincinnati. That's that's the big question.

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Speaker 1: But if you're a Cincinnati fan of futures older, Oh,

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Speaker 1: there's a path Wake and ludes. Utah beats Oregon Big twelve,

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Speaker 1: Betham splits all of a sudden since you could get

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Speaker 1: in up to default, right.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, all of a sudden, he's the path. All of

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Speaker 3: a sudden you're in. You would be the largest point

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Speaker 3: spread in the history of college football playoff because I

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Speaker 3: believe a seventeen and a half is the largest bread

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Speaker 3: you ever had between Washington Alabama. I believe Notre Dame

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Speaker 3: had that against Alabama last year. So I don't think

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Speaker 3: I've ever seen a spread over eighteen points in the

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Speaker 3: college football playf There was that Michigan State year against

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Speaker 3: OU that might have been higher of the check, but

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Speaker 3: I mean it's going to be a large spread.

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Speaker 1: I don't know. I'm curious to stay. If the committee

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Speaker 1: moves up Cincinnati for beating Georgia by five, I'll wait

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Speaker 1: those college basketball all right, let's get through our voicemails.

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Speaker 6: Bad beats, back doors, and miracle covers.

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Speaker 7: However you're feeling, we want to hear from you.

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Speaker 1: You have reached the voicemail box off.

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Speaker 2: Podcast.

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Speaker 3: Leave a message after the bleep.

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Speaker 8: Are you fitting me with this middle of the week mass,

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Speaker 8: I've got Ohio over sixty and a half. Eastern Michigan

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Speaker 8: just trots their way straight down the field. These kids

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Speaker 8: are fighting their hearts out to get me this over.

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Speaker 8: Punge in the touchdown and mother Chris Creighton, son of them,

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Speaker 8: mother wants to go for two to cut it to

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Speaker 8: six instead of kicking the extra point and kind of

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Speaker 8: the step fig your analytics and stick them up your

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Speaker 8: seven holiday.

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Speaker 1: Chris Creighton, by the way, yeah, you had the over sixty.

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Speaker 3: Well, yeah, no, the game landed sixty. I pushed by sixty, but.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, you blessed it, but it sh should have landed

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Speaker 1: sixty one.

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Speaker 3: The game closed sixty one and a half. I mean,

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Speaker 3: did Creighton have the over? What was he doing?

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Speaker 1: Look for people that don't understand this, it does make sense.

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Speaker 1: If you're down eight. I mean, if you're down fourteen

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Speaker 1: and you score at the very end of the game,

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Speaker 1: you go for two, you try to cut it the six.

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Speaker 1: It increases your regulation win probability. Right, So you don't

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Speaker 1: get the two, you're gonna have another chance to go

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Speaker 1: for two and tie. But if you get it, then

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Speaker 1: you and you get the ball back. You win just

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Speaker 1: by scoring and kicking an extra point. There's math on it.

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Speaker 1: It does make sense. But let's ban it. Let's let's

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Speaker 1: ban this. This is just it's too much for betters.

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Speaker 1: We cannot allow this to happen. Kick the extra point.

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Speaker 1: I know what the analytics say, but come on.

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Speaker 9: Man, oh Colin Stuck, I cannot believe wyoming.

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Speaker 5: To the back door.

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Speaker 2: First of all, they were covering the whole game. They

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Speaker 2: throw that interception, and then Boise for some reasons, decides

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Speaker 2: to throw like in the four, Like, I don't even

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Speaker 2: know what to say. Thirty seconds clock rolling and that

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Speaker 2: miracle touchdown.

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Speaker 1: Let's go, by the way, there's five teams. Yeah, let's

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Speaker 1: say there's not five teams that would have a less

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Speaker 1: likelier chance of scoring in that situation than Waomi. A

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Speaker 1: team that is just incapable of throwing the ball on

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Speaker 1: the field. But that kid there is their only good receiver,

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Speaker 1: and he's an explosive play, just a walking explosive play.

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Speaker 1: He caught the ball, jukes in, he looks back, and

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Speaker 1: I was at midfield and then someone sent me the

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Speaker 1: uh he said, me watching the that kid run and

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Speaker 1: trying to get him to the end zone, and it

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Speaker 1: was the Kramer gift from Seinfeld watching the horse, and

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Speaker 1: that was me. I was right near the TV. I

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Speaker 1: was like, is this really happening? And then I was like,

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Speaker 1: oh my god, it's gonna get caught. And you know,

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Speaker 1: if he got caught at the one Wyoming was getting,

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Speaker 1: was gonna run up the field and get stuffed at

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Speaker 1: the one. I was like, please don't review this, please

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Speaker 1: don't put he was in. And then all of a sudden,

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Speaker 1: this is how sick we are, sick as Gambers I said,

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Speaker 1: oh my god, we can't let them return the on

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Speaker 1: side kick touchdown because I've been traumatized by Louisiana Tech

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Speaker 1: doing that to me. What an amazing cover that we

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Speaker 1: did deserve, by the way, but what a roller coaster.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, Levi Williams, who Isaiah and Ay are gambling gods?

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Speaker 3: I got to be get thrown into the gambling Heisman

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Speaker 3: Trophy conversation for that cover.

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Speaker 1: Welcome to potentially the SCP bad beats real.

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Speaker 6: Hey, Colin and Stucky.

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Speaker 10: I just wanted to say thank y'all for fading Georgia

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Speaker 10: once again, betting against Georgia's number one defense again. Just

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Speaker 10: keep on stouting this, keep on telling yourself that they

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Speaker 10: haven't played anybody. This team's offense isn't good. This team's

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Speaker 10: offense is good.

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Speaker 6: Who who cares keep fading it?

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Speaker 10: They are the best defense in the country and you

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Speaker 10: deserve to lose when you do that. And I hope

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Speaker 10: you had fun betting on the balls and their horrible

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Speaker 10: trash at football team and their fat, multiple chinned coach.

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Speaker 1: Have fun you, by the way, I hope you had

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Speaker 1: fun betting Georgia against Kentucky a basketball school. Baby. We

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Speaker 1: covered BBN couldn't get a stop. Yeah, Tennessee cover the

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Speaker 1: game like Tennessee first half a million times over again.

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Speaker 3: I mean, the numbers don't say that this was a

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Speaker 3: complete blowout. I'm staring at it right now. I mean,

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Speaker 3: thirty thirty one percent methodical drives. That's more than double

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Speaker 3: the national average. They were way over the national average.

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Speaker 3: And two plus they actually moved the ball on Georgia.

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Speaker 3: That what team total was at seventeen seventeen and a half.

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Speaker 3: They got there on the on the points and you know,

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Speaker 3: when I look at this, you know, two offensive turnovers

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Speaker 3: killed them. Points per possession inside the forty is where

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Speaker 3: Tennessee fell apart only two point one compared to Georgia.

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Speaker 3: They scored four five point one points every time they

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Speaker 3: cross the forty yard line. But if you look at

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Speaker 3: the I'll just say this, I'm not going to get

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Speaker 3: into it, but if you look into the spits, the

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Speaker 3: standard downs and passing down splits, Tennessee was above national

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Speaker 3: average against Georgia in this game. They did a really

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Speaker 3: good job on offense. It's just you know, one score away,

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Speaker 3: one one turnover and a quick score by Georgia away

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Speaker 3: from this actually being a cover.

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Speaker 1: Yeah in the first half. I mean Georgia scored a

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Speaker 1: touchdown to cover the first half of the with a

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Speaker 1: long touchdown pass twenty seconds ago. But yeah, we had

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Speaker 1: a ton of fun at the bar when we when

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Speaker 1: we faded Georgia with Kentucky.

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Speaker 6: That was amazing, Tucky Colin, this is your president's KSE State,

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Speaker 6: and Kansas State is on the park on this podcast

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Speaker 6: for about seven leagues. All we are as a covering machine.

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Speaker 6: I only geting you guys all day on Twitter. But

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Speaker 6: let me tell you we are seven in morning at

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Speaker 6: Soisola comes to that quarterback fully healthy. Oh my godness,

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Speaker 6: talk about us for one time. Kansas State is here

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Speaker 6: to state and let me tell you this is the

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Speaker 6: recap bought. But listen to the next week Kansas State

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Speaker 6: at home against Baylor. I don't give me the points.

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Speaker 6: Candas State outright. It's a revenge her mother twenty twelve.

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Speaker 1: Cansas State by a million book it now twenty twelve revenge.

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Speaker 1: But this guy, I think this is the same guy

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Speaker 1: who's tweeting at us. I retweeted him, I said, yes here,

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Speaker 1: I'll talk about it for eball every man in Wildcat Baby. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: they're covering machines right now and that is a spectacular spot.

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Speaker 1: Next week at home against Baylor.

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Speaker 3: Okay, well you know West Virginia had three offensive turnovers

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Speaker 3: and Kansas State was stuffed on forty four percent of

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Speaker 3: their runs thirty nine times. They were stuffed seventeen times.

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Speaker 3: They barely average more than overall yards per play than

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Speaker 3: West Virginia. I can tell you, remembering from editing the

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Speaker 3: Powers last night, Kansas State didn't get a bump whatsoever.

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Speaker 3: Non impressive box score. Congrats on your cover, but not

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Speaker 3: enough for me to move the needle. So mean, sorry,

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Speaker 3: yes it was. It wasn't that impressed with a Libbut

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Speaker 3: next week, emilaw.

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Speaker 7: Baby Bodog Jim gets a done in Happy Valley. But

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Speaker 7: you want to know what the definition of pame is?

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Speaker 7: The Maryland team total over twenty three and a half.

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Speaker 7: They had scored twenty one point with eight minutes left

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Speaker 7: in the third quarter. I had already written it in

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Speaker 7: as a winner. And then whatever his first name.

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Speaker 5: Is ten of Bailoa too.

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Speaker 7: His little brother is in field goal range and takes

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Speaker 7: a intentional grounding, gets an not a field goal range

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Speaker 7: and then.

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Speaker 6: Shank it, shake it.

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Speaker 7: They blushed two fourth downs. I'm so pissed. I have

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Speaker 7: to keep my voice down because on that my wife's

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Speaker 7: family's house in the other room, calling you guys comes pissed.

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Speaker 1: Kidding, Yeah, I mean, I can't even make up the

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Speaker 1: Marron losses anymore. Maryland's last four drives of the game

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Speaker 1: just needed a one score to cover, turned it over

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Speaker 1: on downs three times in Michigan State territory, and then

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Speaker 1: missed a field goal. Didn't score in any of the drive.

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Speaker 1: I think that. I mean they didn't cover two touchdowns

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Speaker 1: again in the game where the yardage was equal. The

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Speaker 1: same thing is what happened with Penn State last week.

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Speaker 1: It's amazing.

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Speaker 3: I don't care what the point spread is. I don't

402
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Speaker 3: care how inflated it is. I don't I don't care

403
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Speaker 3: what advantages I see in the in the matrix. I'm

404
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Speaker 3: not betting Maryland. I'm tired of forking over a unit

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Speaker 3: every week on this team. They they what did they.

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Speaker 1: Play next week? Just tell me they will buy the

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Speaker 1: rest of the year.

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Speaker 3: They're gonna be about seventeen point dogs to Michigan at home.

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Speaker 3: Put Gym's gonna go rout.

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Speaker 1: Just killed me.

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Speaker 2: No games Franklin tried to give the ball to his

412
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Speaker 2: kicker to score a touchdown on fourth and goal. And

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Speaker 2: I swear to God, if anybody, anybody ever mentioned James

414
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Speaker 2: Franklin's name for a big.

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Speaker 6: Time college coaching job, I'm going to ruin my fine.

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Speaker 6: James Franklin is a dis great, exact chalda interception machine.

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Speaker 5: Poddy Toddy, Kucky Collin sveth Saturday afternoon here in DC,

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Speaker 5: watching my dog take a outside and frankly, that's a

419
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Speaker 5: little better than Clemson Yukon game. Are we ready to

420
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Speaker 5: talk about hot Dabbo just kind of isn't that good

421
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Speaker 5: of a coach without, you know, like all world quarterbacks?

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Speaker 6: He thinks.

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Speaker 5: The last bit before Deshaun Watson was that seventy point

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Speaker 5: knackdown at the hands of West Virginia. They stink. I

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Speaker 5: can't believe I bet this game. And I don't even

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Speaker 5: blame anyone else.

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Speaker 1: Unfortunately, Yeah, I hate everyone. I laid the points here

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Speaker 1: and the sad thing that was the right side open

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Speaker 1: and kick return for touchdown for Yukon. Clemson fumbles it

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Speaker 1: on first and goal at the one going into the

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Speaker 1: end zone. I think Yukon finished with thirty yards somewhere

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Speaker 1: around there. They had I don't know, forty plays for

433
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Speaker 1: like fifty yards. One of the worst offensive performances in

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00:22:16,040 --> 00:22:19,040
Speaker 1: the history of college football. So what is it? What

435
00:22:19,080 --> 00:22:20,520
Speaker 1: does that bossber look like? It's ugly.

436
00:22:21,520 --> 00:22:26,240
Speaker 3: I've never seen anyone gets stuffed on ninety percent of runs.

437
00:22:25,600 --> 00:22:30,480
Speaker 3: Seventeen of nineteen runs by Connecticut were stuffed. They did

438
00:22:30,480 --> 00:22:33,440
Speaker 3: have two passes exceed fifteen yards, but they had overall

439
00:22:33,520 --> 00:22:36,879
Speaker 3: yards per play of one point seven for the entire

440
00:22:38,240 --> 00:22:43,880
Speaker 3: entire game, They're passing down success rate nineteen percent. This

441
00:22:44,080 --> 00:22:45,240
Speaker 3: was one of the and.

442
00:22:45,280 --> 00:22:47,200
Speaker 1: One of the catches, one of their catches did a

443
00:22:47,240 --> 00:22:52,000
Speaker 1: twenty five yard catch where it was thrown to the

444
00:22:52,040 --> 00:22:55,720
Speaker 1: Clemson defensive back just at midfield, clear pick, but it

445
00:22:55,800 --> 00:22:57,680
Speaker 1: hit him in the chest, bounce up in the air,

446
00:22:58,160 --> 00:23:02,439
Speaker 1: and then another Yukon receiver wasn't intended to caught it.

447
00:23:02,960 --> 00:23:04,800
Speaker 1: That was what that won't show up in the box.

448
00:23:04,840 --> 00:23:07,080
Speaker 1: But that was one of their twenty yard completions.

449
00:23:07,119 --> 00:23:09,960
Speaker 3: But one of the reasons you can cover three kickoff

450
00:23:10,000 --> 00:23:12,919
Speaker 3: returns for one hundred and ninety yar Yeah, one hundred

451
00:23:12,920 --> 00:23:14,600
Speaker 3: and ninety yards on kickoff returns.

452
00:23:14,880 --> 00:23:17,840
Speaker 1: Yeah, and they fumbled at the one and Yukon recovered

453
00:23:17,880 --> 00:23:20,080
Speaker 1: I think every fumble on sacks. I think they recovered

454
00:23:20,119 --> 00:23:23,520
Speaker 1: five fumbles, all five fumbles in the game. Amazing, But yeah,

455
00:23:23,560 --> 00:23:25,199
Speaker 1: that was frustrating. What are you gonna do?

456
00:23:25,920 --> 00:23:29,200
Speaker 3: How poverty is this Clemson offense?

457
00:23:29,359 --> 00:23:32,159
Speaker 7: We already knew it, but oh my got it.

458
00:23:32,320 --> 00:23:35,639
Speaker 6: I hope Dabo has bad plans tonight. Ten can't sleep

459
00:23:35,680 --> 00:23:37,560
Speaker 6: for a week because of that is.

460
00:23:37,520 --> 00:23:39,280
Speaker 7: Exploding like a volcano.

461
00:23:39,760 --> 00:23:40,400
Speaker 9: That guy.

462
00:23:40,640 --> 00:23:43,280
Speaker 1: I hope Clemson is in the doldrums for the next

463
00:23:43,280 --> 00:23:47,320
Speaker 1: ten years. Yeah, I mean the offense. I have to

464
00:23:47,320 --> 00:23:51,720
Speaker 1: say the offense was awful. Yeah, I mean DJ Look,

465
00:23:51,800 --> 00:23:53,320
Speaker 1: I mean you look at some of the metrics. It's

466
00:23:53,320 --> 00:23:55,800
Speaker 1: been one of the worst quarterbacks in college football. He

467
00:23:55,920 --> 00:23:58,679
Speaker 1: was seventeen to thirty seven at one point against Yukon.

468
00:23:59,560 --> 00:24:03,400
Speaker 3: Ugly, Yeah, twenty one to four, forty seven percent completion rate,

469
00:24:03,480 --> 00:24:07,119
Speaker 3: only a thirty percent success rate. Three different three different

470
00:24:07,160 --> 00:24:11,360
Speaker 3: quarterbacks got some playing times Clemson and passing downs. Now,

471
00:24:11,640 --> 00:24:16,600
Speaker 3: remember they're playing Yukon and forty one passing down attempts

472
00:24:17,000 --> 00:24:19,200
Speaker 3: they were only they only met the national average and

473
00:24:19,280 --> 00:24:22,600
Speaker 3: success rate and they average four point nine yards. That's pathetic.

474
00:24:23,359 --> 00:24:26,160
Speaker 1: Yeah, all right, before we get to three and out

475
00:24:26,320 --> 00:24:28,840
Speaker 1: and look at some of the games this upcoming weekend.

476
00:24:28,880 --> 00:24:31,680
Speaker 1: Next weekend, do have a quick reminder to check out

477
00:24:31,760 --> 00:24:34,960
Speaker 1: our friends three Man Weave kind of cue Jim R. Metcox,

478
00:24:34,960 --> 00:24:37,960
Speaker 1: who are releasing bonus college basketball betting episodes every Wednesday

479
00:24:37,960 --> 00:24:40,520
Speaker 1: morning here on the BBOC podcast. So if you're into

480
00:24:40,520 --> 00:24:43,360
Speaker 1: betting college hoops, check out this week's episode and we'll

481
00:24:43,359 --> 00:24:47,600
Speaker 1: transition to basketball full time in late December. Was just

482
00:24:47,640 --> 00:24:51,440
Speaker 1: talking with our producer, looking like we're going to have

483
00:24:51,840 --> 00:24:54,359
Speaker 1: three episodes a week in college basketball once we were

484
00:24:54,560 --> 00:24:59,960
Speaker 1: once you know, college football winds down Monday Wednesday from

485
00:25:00,600 --> 00:25:03,320
Speaker 1: is what it looks like. So excited for that. And

486
00:25:03,520 --> 00:25:05,000
Speaker 1: the reason we're able to do that is because of

487
00:25:05,040 --> 00:25:07,359
Speaker 1: you guys and your support. That's why we have our

488
00:25:07,400 --> 00:25:10,879
Speaker 1: own channel to release more college content across the board.

489
00:25:11,200 --> 00:25:12,840
Speaker 1: You're gonna have I don't know if I'll be doing

490
00:25:12,840 --> 00:25:16,480
Speaker 1: this with you you guys, some college baseball College World

491
00:25:16,600 --> 00:25:17,879
Speaker 1: Series content next year.

492
00:25:17,920 --> 00:25:19,640
Speaker 3: Yeah, Zarello is going to join us for a little

493
00:25:19,680 --> 00:25:23,560
Speaker 3: college baseball, so some good finally, something that we've always wanted.

494
00:25:23,840 --> 00:25:26,320
Speaker 3: Can't say anything about the app about having scores in there,

495
00:25:26,320 --> 00:25:28,800
Speaker 3: but you can expect by the time conference play starts,

496
00:25:29,160 --> 00:25:31,639
Speaker 3: we'll have at least one podcast. We're definitely going to

497
00:25:31,680 --> 00:25:34,680
Speaker 3: have a Regionals betting podcast, Super Regionals, and of course

498
00:25:34,720 --> 00:25:35,720
Speaker 3: the College World Series.

499
00:25:36,320 --> 00:25:38,720
Speaker 1: You guys gotta make it out of the first game

500
00:25:38,760 --> 00:25:39,160
Speaker 1: this year.

501
00:25:39,480 --> 00:25:40,840
Speaker 3: Oh boy, here we go.

502
00:25:41,440 --> 00:25:41,800
Speaker 1: We are.

503
00:25:42,040 --> 00:25:43,720
Speaker 3: We will be the number one team in the nation

504
00:25:43,800 --> 00:25:46,720
Speaker 3: and we will make Omaha. So don't fret, we'll be there.

505
00:25:47,200 --> 00:25:52,280
Speaker 1: Woo pick Sully, by the way, appreciate the reviews. Polish Driver.

506
00:25:52,720 --> 00:25:54,520
Speaker 1: It's finally taking me to a week ten to figure

507
00:25:54,560 --> 00:25:56,560
Speaker 1: out whatever these the gens say do the opposite of

508
00:25:56,680 --> 00:25:59,440
Speaker 1: finally making money whatever relief, Love the pod, love the comedy.

509
00:26:00,080 --> 00:26:03,359
Speaker 1: You're not getting a Heaves five star though, you're not

510
00:26:03,400 --> 00:26:07,480
Speaker 1: getting any year though Dalton Brown, the show consistently makes

511
00:26:07,480 --> 00:26:09,159
Speaker 1: me some lunchbox money. Will give me two hours of

512
00:26:09,200 --> 00:26:13,440
Speaker 1: enjoyable and informative college football content every week. The voicemails

513
00:26:13,440 --> 00:26:15,200
Speaker 1: are goal the picks win more often than they don't,

514
00:26:15,359 --> 00:26:17,520
Speaker 1: and you'll learn a lot if you're new to betting

515
00:26:17,720 --> 00:26:19,960
Speaker 1: or not following college football closely. And every once in

516
00:26:20,000 --> 00:26:21,840
Speaker 1: a while you get to hear Collins Grandma, what more

517
00:26:21,840 --> 00:26:24,760
Speaker 1: could you ask for? Reach out to me? Our our

518
00:26:25,200 --> 00:26:28,320
Speaker 1: producer will send you some gear. Whole weekend of college

519
00:26:28,359 --> 00:26:31,040
Speaker 1: football back to an hour podcast. They evaluate games the

520
00:26:31,119 --> 00:26:32,480
Speaker 1: right way and are clear about what you should or

521
00:26:32,480 --> 00:26:34,720
Speaker 1: shouldn't take a line. A great Friday morning listen. Oh

522
00:26:34,720 --> 00:26:38,560
Speaker 1: and the voicemails on Monday are elite. I agree, yo, Lin,

523
00:26:38,560 --> 00:26:41,880
Speaker 1: that you're getting some gear. So appreciate the reviews. Make

524
00:26:41,880 --> 00:26:45,120
Speaker 1: sure they really help us out. So go on there

525
00:26:45,160 --> 00:26:47,840
Speaker 1: and every Monday, I'll just read out your name and

526
00:26:48,240 --> 00:26:50,560
Speaker 1: you'll get gear. But sorry, Tolar stock Driver, you're not

527
00:26:50,600 --> 00:26:53,000
Speaker 1: getting anything. All right, Before we get out of here, let's

528
00:26:53,040 --> 00:26:53,640
Speaker 1: go three and now.

529
00:26:55,720 --> 00:26:57,879
Speaker 7: Let's make it a quick three and out.

530
00:26:59,240 --> 00:27:03,560
Speaker 1: All right. First's hey, look, it's a November week. You

531
00:27:03,560 --> 00:27:19,280
Speaker 1: know what that means. Weekday action. Let's talk some Tuesday action.

532
00:27:19,480 --> 00:27:24,600
Speaker 1: We have Toledo at Ohio. Toledo's offense did it come alive?

533
00:27:24,680 --> 00:27:27,120
Speaker 1: Yeah last week? Or was it just bowling Green? Ohio

534
00:27:27,200 --> 00:27:31,240
Speaker 1: has been a covering machine of late. The Bobs have

535
00:27:31,359 --> 00:27:34,320
Speaker 1: figured it out. They looked really bad early on in

536
00:27:34,400 --> 00:27:36,800
Speaker 1: the season. They obviously lost their coach unexpectedly late in

537
00:27:36,840 --> 00:27:39,080
Speaker 1: the year, but it looks like they're starting to come around.

538
00:27:39,600 --> 00:27:44,760
Speaker 1: We have Western Michigan at Eastern Michigan. Western Michigan escapes

539
00:27:44,880 --> 00:27:48,280
Speaker 1: Achron two six and four teams there, and we have

540
00:27:48,400 --> 00:27:52,840
Speaker 1: Bowling Green three and seven at Miami, Ohio. The most

541
00:27:52,920 --> 00:27:55,160
Speaker 1: interesting part of that game, and by the way, we'll

542
00:27:55,200 --> 00:27:58,320
Speaker 1: have right ups on all these games on Action network

543
00:27:58,359 --> 00:28:00,840
Speaker 1: dot Com and the Action Network got the most interesting

544
00:28:00,840 --> 00:28:04,040
Speaker 1: part of this Bowling Green Mind of Ohio. And then

545
00:28:04,080 --> 00:28:09,280
Speaker 1: on Wednesday you have Kent State taking on Acron. Now

546
00:28:09,320 --> 00:28:12,280
Speaker 1: both teams Mya, Ohio and Kent State are five and five,

547
00:28:13,320 --> 00:28:15,920
Speaker 1: so they're playing for bo El eligibility, right, So that's

548
00:28:16,000 --> 00:28:18,359
Speaker 1: you would think there would be some motivation. They're also

549
00:28:18,400 --> 00:28:22,680
Speaker 1: playing these you know, the bottom feeders of the MAC.

550
00:28:23,080 --> 00:28:25,760
Speaker 1: But no matter what happens in either of those games,

551
00:28:26,840 --> 00:28:31,359
Speaker 1: next week's game in Kent State between Mina, Ohio and

552
00:28:31,480 --> 00:28:35,600
Speaker 1: Kent State will decide the division. So like they're not

553
00:28:35,640 --> 00:28:38,080
Speaker 1: gonna run it up, You're gonna stay You're gonna stay healthy.

554
00:28:38,080 --> 00:28:40,320
Speaker 1: They're gonna be big favorites. So are they looking ahead

555
00:28:40,320 --> 00:28:42,880
Speaker 1: to it? Like you could lose Kent State, could lose

556
00:28:42,880 --> 00:28:45,480
Speaker 1: to Akron, go to five and six on the year,

557
00:28:45,600 --> 00:28:47,480
Speaker 1: and it wouldn't matter for the division. They could beat

558
00:28:47,520 --> 00:28:49,680
Speaker 1: my Ohio next week and they would win the division.

559
00:28:49,840 --> 00:28:53,640
Speaker 1: So interesting motivation angle there. But let's start with Tuesday

560
00:28:54,040 --> 00:28:56,480
Speaker 1: to the Ohio Western Michigan East Michigan Bowling Green on

561
00:28:56,560 --> 00:28:59,240
Speaker 1: minad of Ohio. Anything stick out to you there or

562
00:28:59,360 --> 00:28:59,960
Speaker 1: any of those games.

563
00:29:00,360 --> 00:29:03,040
Speaker 3: Well, we'll start off with Toledo in Ohio. Toledo should

564
00:29:03,040 --> 00:29:05,640
Speaker 3: be seven point favorites on the road. Lines have not

565
00:29:05,680 --> 00:29:08,240
Speaker 3: been released yet as we record this in the morning,

566
00:29:08,240 --> 00:29:10,560
Speaker 3: And I think the big handicap here is that Ohio

567
00:29:10,600 --> 00:29:12,400
Speaker 3: loves to run the ball sixty percent of the time.

568
00:29:12,440 --> 00:29:17,160
Speaker 3: With de Monterrey Tuggle and Curtis Rourke and now Armani

569
00:29:17,200 --> 00:29:18,880
Speaker 3: Rodgers is getting a whole bunch of playing time and

570
00:29:18,960 --> 00:29:21,320
Speaker 3: so the strength of the team is being eleventh in

571
00:29:21,440 --> 00:29:23,840
Speaker 3: line yards, twenty fourth and rushing success rate. But the

572
00:29:23,920 --> 00:29:27,440
Speaker 3: problem is is that is Toledo's strength is defending the

573
00:29:27,440 --> 00:29:30,160
Speaker 3: ground game their top ten and defensive rushing success rate

574
00:29:30,440 --> 00:29:35,040
Speaker 3: their fourth and PFF being graded against tackling, and so

575
00:29:35,720 --> 00:29:37,840
Speaker 3: this is going to be a really tough matchup for

576
00:29:37,880 --> 00:29:39,880
Speaker 3: Ohio because they like to go to the ground game

577
00:29:40,720 --> 00:29:44,520
Speaker 3: big contrasted tackling. Like I said, Toledo's fourth Ohio's defense

578
00:29:44,520 --> 00:29:46,960
Speaker 3: one hundred and twenty seventh in tackling, they're one hundred

579
00:29:47,000 --> 00:29:49,840
Speaker 3: and twenty fifth in havoc. They're terrible at defending the air,

580
00:29:50,240 --> 00:29:54,200
Speaker 3: and most importantly, Toledo with Finn they are number one

581
00:29:54,240 --> 00:29:57,000
Speaker 3: in the nation in standard downs explosiveness. So this may

582
00:29:57,000 --> 00:29:59,320
Speaker 3: be a spot where I'm looking to lay Toledo. There's

583
00:29:59,360 --> 00:30:01,520
Speaker 3: definitely going to be a lot of Ohio love because

584
00:30:01,520 --> 00:30:02,800
Speaker 3: they've been covering machines.

585
00:30:03,800 --> 00:30:07,000
Speaker 2: You wo be kidding me, now, this is peak Mac.

586
00:30:07,480 --> 00:30:12,160
Speaker 3: It is peak max sh Switching over to Western Michigan

587
00:30:12,760 --> 00:30:15,200
Speaker 3: and Eastern Michigan, this is a game where I'm not

588
00:30:15,640 --> 00:30:18,880
Speaker 3: really positive how you take an under here Ben Bryant.

589
00:30:18,920 --> 00:30:21,520
Speaker 3: In the offense, they you know, it's a balanced offense.

590
00:30:21,640 --> 00:30:24,440
Speaker 3: Pass run about a forty nine percent rate for the rush,

591
00:30:24,560 --> 00:30:26,200
Speaker 3: so they do throw a lot though. That's where they're

592
00:30:26,240 --> 00:30:29,640
Speaker 3: most successful, top twenty five and passing success rate. That's

593
00:30:29,680 --> 00:30:32,320
Speaker 3: going to be really tough for a Western Michigan team

594
00:30:32,320 --> 00:30:35,160
Speaker 3: that is one hundred and eighteenth in coverage graded by

595
00:30:35,200 --> 00:30:38,360
Speaker 3: PFF and they're outside the top one hundred and allowing

596
00:30:38,400 --> 00:30:42,280
Speaker 3: big plays. Eastern Michigan should get their points more importantly

597
00:30:42,320 --> 00:30:46,040
Speaker 3: with this game. Both teams have heavy, heavy offensive finishing

598
00:30:46,160 --> 00:30:50,400
Speaker 3: drive advantages over the respective defenses that they're going up against.

599
00:30:50,680 --> 00:30:53,600
Speaker 3: And let's not forget Western Michigan is dead last one

600
00:30:53,680 --> 00:30:56,000
Speaker 3: hundred and thirtieth and special teams, and this has to

601
00:30:56,040 --> 00:30:58,320
Speaker 3: be in the handicap about taking I don't know you

602
00:30:58,360 --> 00:31:01,000
Speaker 3: could take an under with Western Michigan again because the

603
00:31:01,080 --> 00:31:03,920
Speaker 3: number of kickoffs and punts that get returned is insane.

604
00:31:04,120 --> 00:31:06,640
Speaker 3: And Eastern Michigan's top twenty and special teams, so they're

605
00:31:06,720 --> 00:31:08,400
Speaker 3: really a team that could take it to the house.

606
00:31:08,760 --> 00:31:10,760
Speaker 3: Western Michigan's offense is going to be able to do

607
00:31:11,240 --> 00:31:14,800
Speaker 3: whatever they want. They're mostly ground based, sixty percent running

608
00:31:14,800 --> 00:31:17,640
Speaker 3: the zone lead, they're fourteenth and rushing success rate, and

609
00:31:17,680 --> 00:31:20,160
Speaker 3: Eastern Michigan is almost dead last in defending the rush.

610
00:31:20,240 --> 00:31:23,360
Speaker 3: So definitely an overplay there a game that I project

611
00:31:23,360 --> 00:31:25,600
Speaker 3: to be actually less than a field goal. So that's

612
00:31:25,600 --> 00:31:27,360
Speaker 3: going to be your live betting game of the night

613
00:31:27,840 --> 00:31:32,400
Speaker 3: on Tuesday. How beautiful is Mation? Beautiful is maction?

614
00:31:32,920 --> 00:31:33,560
Speaker 1: Oh Man?

615
00:31:33,800 --> 00:31:36,400
Speaker 3: Just when we thought we had peak Max and then

616
00:31:36,440 --> 00:31:38,880
Speaker 3: with Bowling Green in Miami of Ohio, this is, you know,

617
00:31:38,920 --> 00:31:41,480
Speaker 3: a game that the RedHawks have to have here. Not

618
00:31:41,600 --> 00:31:43,520
Speaker 3: much that I can say about Bowling Green, they've kind

619
00:31:43,520 --> 00:31:46,040
Speaker 3: of been floundering lately. Is we thought their defense had

620
00:31:46,080 --> 00:31:48,520
Speaker 3: something and when you look at the entire season, their

621
00:31:48,560 --> 00:31:51,920
Speaker 3: top twenty five in defensive passing success rate, so there's

622
00:31:51,960 --> 00:31:55,040
Speaker 3: definitely something there for Gabbert to work on. Miami Ohio

623
00:31:55,160 --> 00:31:59,440
Speaker 3: has been an extremely explosive offense fifteenth and big play percentage,

624
00:31:59,640 --> 00:32:01,640
Speaker 3: So you're gonna have to look at you know, Bowling

625
00:32:01,640 --> 00:32:04,680
Speaker 3: Green defending that Bowling Green's terrible bottom ten against the

626
00:32:04,760 --> 00:32:07,280
Speaker 3: rush bottom ten and the line yards. So this is

627
00:32:07,280 --> 00:32:08,880
Speaker 3: a spot where I think you just lay it with

628
00:32:08,920 --> 00:32:11,280
Speaker 3: Miami of Ohio, although it is a look ahead spot,

629
00:32:11,320 --> 00:32:13,920
Speaker 3: but you know their twentieth in defensive havoc and Bowling

630
00:32:13,920 --> 00:32:16,120
Speaker 3: Green's near dead last and protection of the football, So

631
00:32:16,240 --> 00:32:18,680
Speaker 3: Miami Ohio is definitely going to be the look there.

632
00:32:19,080 --> 00:32:22,840
Speaker 3: How are you serious? You gotta love it.

633
00:32:23,320 --> 00:32:26,400
Speaker 1: They're still playing for Bowl eligibility, and you know, if

634
00:32:26,400 --> 00:32:28,560
Speaker 1: Gabet backed, they've looked a lot better. And then this

635
00:32:28,680 --> 00:32:34,160
Speaker 1: Bowling Green defense, maybe they tricked this. I think. I mean, look,

636
00:32:34,440 --> 00:32:37,400
Speaker 1: it's a bizarre results where they've got their defense dominated.

637
00:32:37,440 --> 00:32:41,080
Speaker 1: Look at the Minnesota game where Minnesota had like one

638
00:32:41,120 --> 00:32:43,040
Speaker 1: hundred and fifty total yards and the loss is a

639
00:32:43,080 --> 00:32:46,880
Speaker 1: thirty point favorite. So they looked great early in the year,

640
00:32:46,920 --> 00:32:52,040
Speaker 1: but looks like they were not as good as I

641
00:32:52,080 --> 00:32:54,120
Speaker 1: thought that they potentially were after's some of those early

642
00:32:54,160 --> 00:32:58,600
Speaker 1: season results. Moving on to second down, we do have

643
00:32:58,760 --> 00:33:04,640
Speaker 1: more maction on Wednesday. Matt's mach for sidify right, all

644
00:33:04,720 --> 00:33:08,880
Speaker 1: right for second down? Two other MAC games on Wednesday.

645
00:33:09,000 --> 00:33:12,080
Speaker 1: We have Northern Illinois at Buffalo. I'm assuming Northern Illinois

646
00:33:12,120 --> 00:33:14,640
Speaker 1: will find a way to convert on fourth downs and

647
00:33:14,960 --> 00:33:17,160
Speaker 1: steal the game late. And then we have Central Michigan

648
00:33:17,160 --> 00:33:18,840
Speaker 1: at ball State, which would be a good one. Central

649
00:33:18,880 --> 00:33:21,600
Speaker 1: Michigan is now at ball eligible. Ball State is five

650
00:33:21,640 --> 00:33:24,600
Speaker 1: and five, still fighting for that. Northern Illinois looks like

651
00:33:24,600 --> 00:33:26,120
Speaker 1: they're going to win the division. I think they clinch

652
00:33:26,120 --> 00:33:27,520
Speaker 1: if they beat Buffalo. What do you got in these

653
00:33:27,520 --> 00:33:28,800
Speaker 1: two games? Anything? Yeah?

654
00:33:28,800 --> 00:33:31,000
Speaker 3: I'll start with Central Michigan and ball State. Both teams

655
00:33:31,040 --> 00:33:33,440
Speaker 3: top twenty five in place per minuted. This is going

656
00:33:33,560 --> 00:33:36,560
Speaker 3: to be super super fast. Central Michigan is going to

657
00:33:36,640 --> 00:33:40,080
Speaker 3: run that zone. Lead ball State one hundred and twenty

658
00:33:40,120 --> 00:33:42,800
Speaker 3: eighth in defensive passing success rates. So when Central Michigan

659
00:33:42,880 --> 00:33:44,760
Speaker 3: does decide to take it to the air. You're going

660
00:33:44,840 --> 00:33:46,720
Speaker 3: to feel the fact that they're ranked twenty first in

661
00:33:46,760 --> 00:33:50,440
Speaker 3: big play percentage. I expect tons of scoring to happen there.

662
00:33:50,800 --> 00:33:54,080
Speaker 3: Switching over to the ball state side for offense with Plitt,

663
00:33:54,120 --> 00:33:57,720
Speaker 3: I mean it's it's been hit or miss. The offense

664
00:33:57,760 --> 00:34:00,360
Speaker 3: has been good at ball protection top twenty five and

665
00:34:00,400 --> 00:34:02,840
Speaker 3: havoc allowed, which is what you need against Central Michigan

666
00:34:02,880 --> 00:34:05,960
Speaker 3: since they're twenty third in defensive havoc. This game is

667
00:34:06,000 --> 00:34:09,520
Speaker 3: going to be extremely fast. Both offenses are not the

668
00:34:09,560 --> 00:34:13,000
Speaker 3: best forty seventh and sixty third and finishing drives, but

669
00:34:13,080 --> 00:34:15,880
Speaker 3: they have major advantages over the defenses which are outside

670
00:34:15,920 --> 00:34:18,440
Speaker 3: the top ninety and keeping points off of the board.

671
00:34:19,000 --> 00:34:21,800
Speaker 3: Both teams have advantages on offenses here and the speed

672
00:34:21,880 --> 00:34:23,359
Speaker 3: is going to be top twenty five in the nation.

673
00:34:23,440 --> 00:34:26,560
Speaker 3: So I projected at sixty one. I think the total

674
00:34:26,560 --> 00:34:28,560
Speaker 3: will come out there, but an over is the way

675
00:34:28,600 --> 00:34:30,719
Speaker 3: to play. This is also a spread where I see

676
00:34:30,760 --> 00:34:33,640
Speaker 3: Central Michigan minus two and a half on the road,

677
00:34:33,719 --> 00:34:35,960
Speaker 3: So again, this is a live trading game similar to

678
00:34:36,000 --> 00:34:39,120
Speaker 3: Western Michigan Eastern Michigan. There's gonna be a lot of

679
00:34:39,160 --> 00:34:40,960
Speaker 3: points and it's a live trading game.

680
00:34:41,200 --> 00:34:43,600
Speaker 1: Could not bet them under there any.

681
00:34:43,000 --> 00:34:47,839
Speaker 3: World, And with Northern Illinois and Buffalo, I'm I'm not

682
00:34:47,880 --> 00:34:50,919
Speaker 3: sure you can bet at Northern ill You can't bet

683
00:34:50,960 --> 00:34:53,880
Speaker 3: against Northern Illinois. They are the ultimate horseshoe up the

684
00:34:53,960 --> 00:34:57,279
Speaker 3: ass team and you know, probably going to represent the

685
00:34:57,320 --> 00:35:00,520
Speaker 3: division and have some key wins, all by small margins,

686
00:35:01,080 --> 00:35:04,920
Speaker 3: huge offensive advantages over Buffalo. Here we talked about how

687
00:35:04,960 --> 00:35:06,920
Speaker 3: Buffalo should not be laying points to teams on the

688
00:35:06,960 --> 00:35:09,080
Speaker 3: road earlier a couple of weeks ago, and now they're

689
00:35:09,120 --> 00:35:10,800
Speaker 3: going to be at home, and I project Buffalo to

690
00:35:10,880 --> 00:35:13,600
Speaker 3: be minus one and a half. That is bonkers. I'm

691
00:35:13,600 --> 00:35:15,840
Speaker 3: looking at spplus. They're also saying the Buffalo is going

692
00:35:15,880 --> 00:35:18,640
Speaker 3: to be favorite at home. So Northern Illinois is going

693
00:35:18,680 --> 00:35:21,719
Speaker 3: to be a very trendy Wednesday night dog because they

694
00:35:21,840 --> 00:35:25,359
Speaker 3: lead their division. But at the same time, Buffalo is

695
00:35:25,480 --> 00:35:29,600
Speaker 3: absolutely atrocious at defending the rush, almost outside the top

696
00:35:29,600 --> 00:35:31,960
Speaker 3: one hundred and lineyards and rushing success. But that's what

697
00:35:32,000 --> 00:35:34,680
Speaker 3: Northern Illinois does. They're sixty three percent run the ball

698
00:35:35,000 --> 00:35:37,319
Speaker 3: top twenty five and rushing success right in thirteenth in

699
00:35:37,400 --> 00:35:40,640
Speaker 3: line yards. So am I laying am I taking Northern

700
00:35:40,680 --> 00:35:43,480
Speaker 3: Illinois is a dog here with this terrible defensive numbers

701
00:35:43,480 --> 00:35:45,799
Speaker 3: that I'm staring at. I think that I am, you know,

702
00:35:45,840 --> 00:35:48,840
Speaker 3: and Kyle Van Tries has been terrible with ball protection lately.

703
00:35:48,920 --> 00:35:51,040
Speaker 3: So it looks like I'm going to be back in

704
00:35:51,040 --> 00:35:53,280
Speaker 3: the Huskies here project the totally.

705
00:35:53,320 --> 00:35:56,399
Speaker 1: I'll probably on Buffalo, this fort Down, Thisport down there.

706
00:35:56,760 --> 00:35:59,720
Speaker 1: They're top ten in the country in fourth down defense,

707
00:36:00,040 --> 00:36:01,720
Speaker 1: one of the worst defenses in the country, and fourth

708
00:36:01,719 --> 00:36:04,400
Speaker 1: down offense. They are now seventeen of twenty one on

709
00:36:04,440 --> 00:36:06,960
Speaker 1: the year. That's outrageous on fourth downs. You know what

710
00:36:07,000 --> 00:36:09,920
Speaker 1: their opponents are seven of twenty one. I mean, so

711
00:36:09,960 --> 00:36:11,799
Speaker 1: you're playing you're playing a dangerous game with the fourth

712
00:36:11,840 --> 00:36:14,399
Speaker 1: down regression. Yeah, back in Northern Illinois, I.

713
00:36:14,360 --> 00:36:16,200
Speaker 3: Know, I know. And then there's something else in the

714
00:36:16,680 --> 00:36:19,600
Speaker 3: advanced numbers. Boy, you won't hear this on any other podcasts.

715
00:36:19,840 --> 00:36:22,600
Speaker 3: This is the biggest discrepancy in middle eight right here.

716
00:36:22,719 --> 00:36:25,920
Speaker 3: Buffalo their new coach, top twenty in middle eight, Northern

717
00:36:25,960 --> 00:36:29,440
Speaker 3: Illinois with with Thomas Hammock bottom twenty and middle eight.

718
00:36:29,480 --> 00:36:30,920
Speaker 3: So what does that tell me? If I don't like

719
00:36:30,960 --> 00:36:34,120
Speaker 3: Northern Illinois early with this short number, I probably can

720
00:36:34,200 --> 00:36:36,360
Speaker 3: get a great live number about four minutes into the

721
00:36:36,400 --> 00:36:36,919
Speaker 3: third quarter.

722
00:36:38,160 --> 00:36:40,040
Speaker 1: Yeah, Northern on On does like scored in the middle eight.

723
00:36:40,040 --> 00:36:42,200
Speaker 1: They scored at the end on fourth downs.

724
00:36:42,400 --> 00:36:42,719
Speaker 3: All right.

725
00:36:42,760 --> 00:36:46,080
Speaker 1: Next week, by the way, Sanego State under again, you

726
00:36:46,120 --> 00:36:46,840
Speaker 1: do bet the other.

727
00:36:46,760 --> 00:36:48,040
Speaker 3: Right, I did not bet the over.

728
00:36:48,120 --> 00:36:51,359
Speaker 1: No next week, next Saturday. We'll be breaking this card

729
00:36:51,400 --> 00:36:53,920
Speaker 1: down all week and sharing what we got come up

730
00:36:53,960 --> 00:36:57,920
Speaker 1: with later the week on our Thursday night episode. Oklahoma

731
00:36:58,000 --> 00:37:01,400
Speaker 1: Iowa State Man that came now does not look as

732
00:37:01,800 --> 00:37:03,920
Speaker 1: as good it was as it was gonna be if

733
00:37:04,239 --> 00:37:07,840
Speaker 1: Iowa State and Oklahoma with won last week. Oregon Utah

734
00:37:07,960 --> 00:37:11,120
Speaker 1: should be a dandy Oregon playing These two teams were

735
00:37:11,120 --> 00:37:13,680
Speaker 1: basically gonna see again in the Pac twelve Championship. But

736
00:37:14,400 --> 00:37:17,880
Speaker 1: Oregon is obviously playing for their college football playoff lives.

737
00:37:17,920 --> 00:37:21,200
Speaker 1: If they lose this game, they're done. That's probably the

738
00:37:21,239 --> 00:37:24,480
Speaker 1: game of the weekend. We have Wakefest Dot Clemson might

739
00:37:24,520 --> 00:37:27,719
Speaker 1: be backing my guy Sam Hartman again. Michigan State at

740
00:37:27,719 --> 00:37:32,879
Speaker 1: Ohio State. Here's a prediction of the Michigan Michigan State

741
00:37:32,960 --> 00:37:34,960
Speaker 1: people that we're saying, Oh, we're gonna upset Ohio State,

742
00:37:35,000 --> 00:37:38,720
Speaker 1: and I think you're gonna be twenty point underdogs. Here Georgia. Finally,

743
00:37:38,719 --> 00:37:40,160
Speaker 1: I don't have to fad them. This week. They're playing

744
00:37:40,200 --> 00:37:44,200
Speaker 1: Charleston Southern, so we can see we can try to

745
00:37:44,239 --> 00:37:48,640
Speaker 1: break down some Charleston Southern. Later on, Arkansas at Alabama, baby,

746
00:37:48,719 --> 00:37:51,680
Speaker 1: Woo pig silly, might be going back to your.

747
00:37:51,600 --> 00:37:53,720
Speaker 7: Boys, Woo pig silly.

748
00:37:53,920 --> 00:37:58,000
Speaker 1: Can we trust kJ Jefferson there looking forward to that. Michigan,

749
00:37:58,120 --> 00:38:02,200
Speaker 1: as we mentioned, travels to Maryland. Oh god. So those

750
00:38:02,200 --> 00:38:06,200
Speaker 1: are some of the highlights of next weekend. Anything jumping

751
00:38:06,200 --> 00:38:08,719
Speaker 1: out to you, why you got anything? Circle of at

752
00:38:08,800 --> 00:38:09,839
Speaker 1: least one game? What he got?

753
00:38:10,040 --> 00:38:12,239
Speaker 3: Yeah, a few games openers haven't come out yet. But

754
00:38:12,480 --> 00:38:14,919
Speaker 3: Missouri gets to win over South Carolina and now they're

755
00:38:14,920 --> 00:38:17,759
Speaker 3: going to be about eight to nine point underdogs at

756
00:38:17,760 --> 00:38:24,560
Speaker 3: home against Florida, who I think is quit holy shit.

757
00:38:24,719 --> 00:38:28,120
Speaker 3: So yeah, Missouri, you can plan on them probably being

758
00:38:28,120 --> 00:38:32,480
Speaker 3: a play. Arkansas is going to be. Arkansas is going

759
00:38:32,520 --> 00:38:37,200
Speaker 3: to be about eighteen point underdogs against Alabama. I don't

760
00:38:37,239 --> 00:38:39,120
Speaker 3: think that we have the blitz package with Barry Odam.

761
00:38:39,200 --> 00:38:41,120
Speaker 3: He likes to sit back and prevent big plays. That's

762
00:38:41,120 --> 00:38:43,080
Speaker 3: not going to work against Alabama. You have to pressure

763
00:38:43,120 --> 00:38:44,880
Speaker 3: the quarterback. So I think it's a bad matchup for

764
00:38:44,960 --> 00:38:49,680
Speaker 3: Arkansas Illinois Red Beelama's old stomping ground of Iowa where

765
00:38:49,719 --> 00:38:51,479
Speaker 3: he played. They're going to go in to be about

766
00:38:51,480 --> 00:38:54,600
Speaker 3: a sixteen point underdog against Iowa. See how Kirk Farnz

767
00:38:54,640 --> 00:38:56,440
Speaker 3: treats that. It's a big spread for Iowa. But I

768
00:38:56,440 --> 00:38:59,160
Speaker 3: think they got some motivation here. Utah, like we said,

769
00:38:59,239 --> 00:39:01,359
Speaker 3: is going to be a short favorite at home. Any

770
00:39:01,360 --> 00:39:03,520
Speaker 3: team that can run on Oregon, can estab, you know,

771
00:39:03,560 --> 00:39:05,480
Speaker 3: and keep keep the ground game going, is a team

772
00:39:05,480 --> 00:39:07,319
Speaker 3: that can beat them. That's I'll have to dive deep

773
00:39:07,360 --> 00:39:10,480
Speaker 3: dive into that one. It's a sloberor knocker TCU or

774
00:39:10,520 --> 00:39:12,279
Speaker 3: is there season done? Now that they got the win,

775
00:39:13,160 --> 00:39:14,800
Speaker 3: you know, they got the big upset victory.

776
00:39:15,000 --> 00:39:16,960
Speaker 1: What did they go to Olahoma State? Seventy?

777
00:39:17,360 --> 00:39:20,000
Speaker 3: Yeah? Yeah, ton And now they're going to be favored

778
00:39:20,040 --> 00:39:22,480
Speaker 3: by twenty over Kansas. And do you fade Kansas off

779
00:39:22,520 --> 00:39:26,000
Speaker 3: of that went overtime win against Texas. So TCU's growth

780
00:39:26,360 --> 00:39:27,520
Speaker 3: possibly going to be a look.

781
00:39:28,120 --> 00:39:28,239
Speaker 2: Uh.

782
00:39:28,560 --> 00:39:32,799
Speaker 3: And then Cincinnati only eight going to be favored by

783
00:39:32,840 --> 00:39:35,600
Speaker 3: eight over SMU, a game that they absolutely have to

784
00:39:35,640 --> 00:39:37,080
Speaker 3: have to maintain their standing.

785
00:39:37,560 --> 00:39:37,719
Speaker 1: Uh.

786
00:39:37,760 --> 00:39:40,200
Speaker 3: And the College Football Playoff is definitely worth a look,

787
00:39:40,480 --> 00:39:42,439
Speaker 3: and then we may be right back on UTEP because

788
00:39:42,520 --> 00:39:45,399
Speaker 3: Rice is crumbling. UTEP has lost a couple didn't look

789
00:39:45,400 --> 00:39:48,600
Speaker 3: good against North Texas. They should be around seven point

790
00:39:48,640 --> 00:39:51,040
Speaker 3: favorites against Rice. I think we'll be jumping right back

791
00:39:51,080 --> 00:39:54,200
Speaker 3: on that train and then tell me what the final time?

792
00:39:54,200 --> 00:39:56,399
Speaker 1: Wait, wait, we didn't hear from our minor nation guy again.

793
00:39:56,400 --> 00:39:57,280
Speaker 1: Where are you at? Buddy?

794
00:39:57,480 --> 00:39:58,960
Speaker 3: He disappears weeks in a row.

795
00:39:59,160 --> 00:40:03,000
Speaker 11: You're no pizza party and Uh, all you need to

796
00:40:03,000 --> 00:40:08,279
Speaker 11: do is we could solve poverty and world hunger if

797
00:40:08,280 --> 00:40:10,120
Speaker 11: you just bet on UTAP.

798
00:40:10,080 --> 00:40:13,480
Speaker 1: We could solve all of the homelessness and the US.

799
00:40:13,200 --> 00:40:15,360
Speaker 11: We could give pizza parties to everybody.

800
00:40:15,400 --> 00:40:19,040
Speaker 1: What's going on, buddy, give us a call. West Texas silence.

801
00:40:19,560 --> 00:40:22,520
Speaker 3: And then finally, Florida Atlantic and Western Kentucky to the

802
00:40:22,640 --> 00:40:27,840
Speaker 3: absolute fastest paces in the nation. Western Kentucky team total

803
00:40:27,880 --> 00:40:30,279
Speaker 3: bet has got to be in there. They don't put

804
00:40:30,280 --> 00:40:33,040
Speaker 3: team total numbers up till like Tuesday, but I bean,

805
00:40:33,080 --> 00:40:35,439
Speaker 3: considering the pace these two play and at the rate

806
00:40:35,480 --> 00:40:38,440
Speaker 3: Western Kentucky scoring points right now, holy shit, I mean

807
00:40:38,520 --> 00:40:40,160
Speaker 3: this is a fifty burger coming.

808
00:40:41,840 --> 00:40:46,840
Speaker 1: The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers, the pride of the Commonwealth.

809
00:40:48,360 --> 00:40:50,240
Speaker 3: Oh no, no.

810
00:40:50,239 --> 00:40:55,640
Speaker 1: Hell now no kadune, Oh no, hell no. By the way,

811
00:40:55,800 --> 00:41:01,919
Speaker 1: are Western Kentucky Conference Futures of Life? You have life

812
00:41:02,320 --> 00:41:07,680
Speaker 1: Zappy hour, baily zappy All right, time for us to go,

813
00:41:07,680 --> 00:41:11,400
Speaker 1: get to work on next week's card. Make sure you

814
00:41:11,480 --> 00:41:13,799
Speaker 1: check out all of our weekday and content for next

815
00:41:13,840 --> 00:41:16,359
Speaker 1: weekend at actionework dot com and the Action Network AP.

816
00:41:16,840 --> 00:41:19,720
Speaker 1: Appreciate all of you listening. Make sure you subscribe, unsubscribe, subscribe,

817
00:41:19,840 --> 00:41:22,560
Speaker 1: leave a review, tell a friend, telling enemy. Appreciate you

818
00:41:22,600 --> 00:41:25,480
Speaker 1: guys listening. Let's have a huge close to the year.

819
00:41:26,120 --> 00:41:28,160
Speaker 1: We will catch you all later in the week. Cheers,

820
00:41:28,800 --> 00:41:29,279
Speaker 1: peace Out,