1 00:00:01,280 --> 00:00:08,080 Speaker 1: The volume. It's Sports Gambling with money Line Monaco presented 2 00:00:08,119 --> 00:00:10,920 Speaker 1: by FanDuel. It might be cold, but the sports calendar 3 00:00:11,080 --> 00:00:13,440 Speaker 1: is heating up, and there's no better place to get 4 00:00:13,480 --> 00:00:17,240 Speaker 1: in on the action than FanDuel. The app is safe, secure, 5 00:00:17,560 --> 00:00:21,680 Speaker 1: easy to use. FanDuel always has exclusive offers, boosts, and more. 6 00:00:21,760 --> 00:00:25,480 Speaker 1: When you win, you'll get paid incredibly fast. Vanduel has 7 00:00:25,760 --> 00:00:27,880 Speaker 1: tons of ways to bet. You got to spread the 8 00:00:27,920 --> 00:00:31,000 Speaker 1: money line over under his team totals, player props, and 9 00:00:31,120 --> 00:00:34,000 Speaker 1: so much more. Jump into the action at any time 10 00:00:34,080 --> 00:00:36,800 Speaker 1: during the game. With live betting, you can also combine 11 00:00:36,880 --> 00:00:39,760 Speaker 1: multiple bets from the same game in a same game parlay, 12 00:00:40,040 --> 00:00:44,199 Speaker 1: and even try out the same game parlay plus combining 13 00:00:44,320 --> 00:00:48,840 Speaker 1: multiple bets within multiple games. And FanDuel is now live 14 00:00:49,080 --> 00:00:53,120 Speaker 1: in Maryland, So use promo code Monaco and download the 15 00:00:53,120 --> 00:01:09,279 Speaker 1: FanDuel app today to start making every moment more and 16 00:01:09,760 --> 00:01:14,200 Speaker 1: Welcome Mint to another episode of Sports Gambling with money 17 00:01:14,200 --> 00:01:18,119 Speaker 1: Line Monico. I'm your host, Alex Monico, checked Up, Fired 18 00:01:18,200 --> 00:01:22,559 Speaker 1: Up another week in the NFL. We are going as 19 00:01:22,560 --> 00:01:27,920 Speaker 1: outrageous as it sounds for our twelfth winning week on 20 00:01:28,000 --> 00:01:32,520 Speaker 1: the Weekend podcast. Ladies and Gentlemen are twelve out of thirteen. 21 00:01:32,600 --> 00:01:37,160 Speaker 1: Week thirteen is flying. We are officially in elf home alone. 22 00:01:37,600 --> 00:01:40,840 Speaker 1: Whatever Christmas with the Cranks you wanna watch. Happy December. 23 00:01:40,840 --> 00:01:44,200 Speaker 1: Shout out to my youngest brother Benjamin. It's his birthday 24 00:01:44,600 --> 00:01:50,080 Speaker 1: and this is a phenomenal slate. We are officially in 25 00:01:50,680 --> 00:01:54,280 Speaker 1: the month of winter. For football, it is win or 26 00:01:54,840 --> 00:02:00,000 Speaker 1: go home coming in Scorching. Over the last three four weeks, 27 00:02:00,720 --> 00:02:03,760 Speaker 1: we're hit and miss on Primetimes, Mondays and Thursdays hit 28 00:02:03,880 --> 00:02:07,160 Speaker 1: and miss, but the weekends I am Danny Dial got 29 00:02:07,160 --> 00:02:11,239 Speaker 1: five picks for you again. Please subscribe, rate Review all 30 00:02:11,320 --> 00:02:14,640 Speaker 1: wherever you get your podcast. If you're enjoying yourself, it 31 00:02:14,680 --> 00:02:19,920 Speaker 1: takes a village, everyone at volume making sure we deliver 32 00:02:20,040 --> 00:02:22,160 Speaker 1: you the goods. All right, let's get into it. Week 33 00:02:22,280 --> 00:02:26,520 Speaker 1: thirteen hap money Line Monica on all platforms, Alex Monico 34 00:02:26,639 --> 00:02:30,640 Speaker 1: on Twitter, and of course my picks on Action Network. 35 00:02:30,800 --> 00:02:35,280 Speaker 1: I am destroying the World Cup right now, by the way, 36 00:02:35,400 --> 00:02:39,360 Speaker 1: up over double digits and units, almost picking every single match, 37 00:02:39,520 --> 00:02:43,440 Speaker 1: multiple multiple fires per match. You don't want to recommend 38 00:02:43,480 --> 00:02:48,040 Speaker 1: that in the world professional betting, but I am living 39 00:02:48,240 --> 00:02:50,360 Speaker 1: for fireing on World Cup. So if you want action, 40 00:02:50,880 --> 00:02:53,320 Speaker 1: I got action, baby. Big ups to USA. I did 41 00:02:53,320 --> 00:02:56,320 Speaker 1: a live stream took USA under in a correct score 42 00:02:56,320 --> 00:03:00,400 Speaker 1: of one nil with pulistic I did not same game parlay. 43 00:03:00,400 --> 00:03:02,960 Speaker 1: It missed out on probably three or four months of 44 00:03:03,000 --> 00:03:05,920 Speaker 1: Manhattan rent, but we're still ate USA. Take it on 45 00:03:05,960 --> 00:03:09,239 Speaker 1: another one should be sensational and a full weekend slate. 46 00:03:09,480 --> 00:03:11,239 Speaker 1: So again, if you want to follow me on World 47 00:03:11,240 --> 00:03:13,760 Speaker 1: Cup Picks, may go live as well on AMP. Let's 48 00:03:13,800 --> 00:03:21,679 Speaker 1: get into it first up, give me, give me the 49 00:03:21,840 --> 00:03:26,200 Speaker 1: mar Key matchup of the weekend. I will ride into 50 00:03:26,240 --> 00:03:30,640 Speaker 1: Cincinnati and then I will take the Chiefs with conviction 51 00:03:30,800 --> 00:03:36,520 Speaker 1: minus two and a half to your Cincinnati Jugulars. Whoever 52 00:03:36,560 --> 00:03:40,720 Speaker 1: wants to back to Bengals. I can't wait to take 53 00:03:40,760 --> 00:03:43,040 Speaker 1: the Chiefs in this one. A team that's won seven 54 00:03:43,080 --> 00:03:49,480 Speaker 1: in their last eight, five strike straight winning shriek, unbelievable, 55 00:03:49,840 --> 00:03:51,920 Speaker 1: and they're coming for a beer pong ra bottle. I 56 00:03:51,960 --> 00:03:54,720 Speaker 1: love the narrative in the storyline behind this game. Lost 57 00:03:54,800 --> 00:03:59,680 Speaker 1: to the Bengals not once twice last year, twice on 58 00:04:00,000 --> 00:04:05,400 Speaker 1: out one, but to come backs by my colleague Joey Burr. 59 00:04:05,880 --> 00:04:09,440 Speaker 1: Hold they are. But here's a fun little stump, the 60 00:04:09,440 --> 00:04:15,640 Speaker 1: Schwab fact for you. Okay, No One d I made. 61 00:04:15,920 --> 00:04:21,760 Speaker 1: No one has beaten Patrick Mahomes, Sir Patrick, three times. 62 00:04:22,240 --> 00:04:26,880 Speaker 1: Many have tried, many, many think about that. He's been 63 00:04:26,920 --> 00:04:30,720 Speaker 1: in a division going on four years. No one has 64 00:04:30,760 --> 00:04:38,960 Speaker 1: beat him three times. The Chiefs team. Again, this has 65 00:04:39,040 --> 00:04:44,120 Speaker 1: been the storyline with the Chiefs when they're laying points, 66 00:04:44,320 --> 00:04:47,839 Speaker 1: But laying points under a field goal is a different 67 00:04:47,880 --> 00:04:51,000 Speaker 1: conversation with this Patrick Mahomes Chiefs team. You go under 68 00:04:51,040 --> 00:04:54,160 Speaker 1: a field goal, you're eating. You have more money than 69 00:04:54,200 --> 00:04:56,000 Speaker 1: you have given to the sports book. If you have 70 00:04:56,080 --> 00:04:59,440 Speaker 1: back Patrick Mahomes under a field goal in his entire career. 71 00:05:00,080 --> 00:05:02,080 Speaker 1: If you're back the Chiefs more than a field goal, 72 00:05:02,400 --> 00:05:05,640 Speaker 1: I feel bad for your son. Not I, not I. 73 00:05:05,839 --> 00:05:09,000 Speaker 1: And you've seen me fade the Chiefs multiple times on 74 00:05:09,040 --> 00:05:13,080 Speaker 1: the weekend pod and cash I am feeling so utterly 75 00:05:13,160 --> 00:05:16,479 Speaker 1: confident in two and a half here, Now let's talk 76 00:05:16,560 --> 00:05:19,920 Speaker 1: this out. Because the Bengals I backed last week. Now 77 00:05:19,920 --> 00:05:21,960 Speaker 1: I didn't have a weekend pod because of the holiday, 78 00:05:21,960 --> 00:05:24,680 Speaker 1: but I did give it out on social one of 79 00:05:24,720 --> 00:05:29,160 Speaker 1: my favorite bets Bengals over Titans. This is this is 80 00:05:29,600 --> 00:05:32,520 Speaker 1: if you're listening to me, A week to week a perfect, 81 00:05:32,839 --> 00:05:35,960 Speaker 1: perfect time to take our Bengals money and give it 82 00:05:36,200 --> 00:05:40,400 Speaker 1: right back. So the other team going against the Bengals 83 00:05:40,440 --> 00:05:45,360 Speaker 1: the following week look in in a Bengals twenty points 84 00:05:45,520 --> 00:05:50,320 Speaker 1: or less outing since okay, so they put up twenty 85 00:05:50,400 --> 00:05:55,920 Speaker 1: points are less since the Bengals their three and thirty 86 00:05:55,960 --> 00:06:01,400 Speaker 1: four three in thirty four basil. Two of those wins 87 00:06:01,400 --> 00:06:06,320 Speaker 1: are against the Titans. They got away with one last week. 88 00:06:07,080 --> 00:06:10,200 Speaker 1: That was an ugly game. I capped it like a mensch. 89 00:06:10,600 --> 00:06:13,160 Speaker 1: What I'm telling you is this in the Chiefs five 90 00:06:13,240 --> 00:06:17,599 Speaker 1: game win streak, in their last five, they're allowing opponents 91 00:06:17,600 --> 00:06:20,160 Speaker 1: to eighteen point eight points per game. What is the 92 00:06:20,240 --> 00:06:22,240 Speaker 1: number I just gave you that the Bengals are three 93 00:06:22,240 --> 00:06:25,799 Speaker 1: and thirty four on when they don't get past eight 94 00:06:26,240 --> 00:06:31,240 Speaker 1: teen point eight. We're not talking cupcakes people. They went 95 00:06:31,240 --> 00:06:34,120 Speaker 1: against San Francisco, they went against the Titans, they went 96 00:06:34,120 --> 00:06:39,560 Speaker 1: against the Chargers. The Jaguars always make it competitive when 97 00:06:39,560 --> 00:06:43,240 Speaker 1: they went against the Rams. So four competitive matches. In 98 00:06:43,320 --> 00:06:46,080 Speaker 1: my humble opinion, I'm all in on soccer. I'm saying matches, 99 00:06:46,080 --> 00:06:50,520 Speaker 1: four competitive games and one cupcake and they're holding opponents 100 00:06:50,520 --> 00:06:54,560 Speaker 1: to eighteen point eight. Let's not forget that. This Chief's 101 00:06:54,600 --> 00:07:00,480 Speaker 1: defense is fourth fourth in sacking the quarterback. Do you know, 102 00:07:01,120 --> 00:07:06,279 Speaker 1: by the way, who the worst third down team in 103 00:07:06,400 --> 00:07:14,800 Speaker 1: the league's not getting off the field. The Cincinnati Bengals 104 00:07:16,720 --> 00:07:23,080 Speaker 1: literally getting converted on seventy six point five of third downs. 105 00:07:23,200 --> 00:07:25,320 Speaker 1: Do you know who the best team in the league 106 00:07:25,400 --> 00:07:31,240 Speaker 1: is at third down conversions? The Kansas City Andy Red 107 00:07:31,320 --> 00:07:38,880 Speaker 1: Rocket Chiefs at fifty one point two first. The defense 108 00:07:38,920 --> 00:07:44,239 Speaker 1: given up three fourths of third downs. To me, Kansas 109 00:07:44,280 --> 00:07:50,640 Speaker 1: City has an opportunity with this win. And might I say, 110 00:07:51,000 --> 00:07:55,440 Speaker 1: I'm jumping ahead to establish they're gonna be the one 111 00:07:55,480 --> 00:07:57,520 Speaker 1: seed in the a f C if they can win 112 00:07:57,720 --> 00:08:01,960 Speaker 1: this game. I think this is their this is their conference. 113 00:08:03,560 --> 00:08:07,520 Speaker 1: I think this is an incredibly important game. In that 114 00:08:07,600 --> 00:08:11,240 Speaker 1: locker room. Again, do you know how NFL players tick, 115 00:08:11,440 --> 00:08:14,480 Speaker 1: I work with several. You lose to a team, you 116 00:08:14,560 --> 00:08:20,000 Speaker 1: lose to a team in the playoffs last year, you're 117 00:08:20,040 --> 00:08:24,000 Speaker 1: coming back snickers angry. I'm telling you right now, this 118 00:08:24,120 --> 00:08:28,080 Speaker 1: Bengals team again, we're all on them right now, We're 119 00:08:28,120 --> 00:08:29,960 Speaker 1: all on them. It's a week to week leak. If 120 00:08:30,000 --> 00:08:32,920 Speaker 1: you're truly ten second Tom from fifty one States, if 121 00:08:32,960 --> 00:08:36,360 Speaker 1: you're truly men in black, and it's forgetting about last week. 122 00:08:37,040 --> 00:08:39,360 Speaker 1: This is still a Bengals team that has come in 123 00:08:39,400 --> 00:08:42,600 Speaker 1: on a Monday light night and lost by nineteen to 124 00:08:42,720 --> 00:08:47,520 Speaker 1: your Cleveland Jacoby Brissette Brown's this is a Bengals team 125 00:08:47,559 --> 00:08:52,800 Speaker 1: that lost to Cooper Rush. So before we crown the Bengals, 126 00:08:53,360 --> 00:08:57,880 Speaker 1: remind yourself they have had duds and Zach Taylor ain't 127 00:08:57,880 --> 00:09:02,320 Speaker 1: out coaching and the goat read. So what is this 128 00:09:02,360 --> 00:09:05,120 Speaker 1: team gonna do when they are They are at a 129 00:09:05,320 --> 00:09:10,120 Speaker 1: coaching mismatch, in my humble opinion, with a team that 130 00:09:10,240 --> 00:09:12,240 Speaker 1: could not be hotter. Now I could be walking in 131 00:09:12,400 --> 00:09:15,640 Speaker 1: the trap. I will happily lose money on Sir Patrick 132 00:09:16,000 --> 00:09:21,280 Speaker 1: this weekend, but this stat remains no one, I mean 133 00:09:21,640 --> 00:09:25,680 Speaker 1: nobody I'm on my w W this morning has beaten 134 00:09:25,800 --> 00:09:28,320 Speaker 1: Patrick Mahomes and it stays that way. I'll see on 135 00:09:28,360 --> 00:09:33,600 Speaker 1: the other side. Second pick, All right, there's been some 136 00:09:33,640 --> 00:09:38,360 Speaker 1: movement on this line again. I'm going right in to 137 00:09:38,520 --> 00:09:42,080 Speaker 1: the Lions den here. I'm gonna take at the moment 138 00:09:42,360 --> 00:09:45,600 Speaker 1: i've seen that plus five, we'll call it four and 139 00:09:45,640 --> 00:09:49,719 Speaker 1: a half right now as we speak. The Titans our 140 00:09:49,880 --> 00:09:56,280 Speaker 1: plus four and a half against the Eagles in Philly, 141 00:09:56,480 --> 00:10:01,400 Speaker 1: and a nice CRISP Sunday afternoon. All Right, you saw 142 00:10:01,480 --> 00:10:07,120 Speaker 1: me fade the Titans last week. You saw me fade 143 00:10:07,240 --> 00:10:10,000 Speaker 1: the Eagles last time I was on the pod. Took 144 00:10:10,000 --> 00:10:14,079 Speaker 1: the Colts to the bank with the points. This Eagles team, 145 00:10:14,120 --> 00:10:18,920 Speaker 1: it's it's starting to show that they are not far 146 00:10:19,040 --> 00:10:23,040 Speaker 1: and away the best team in the NFL. It's starting 147 00:10:23,080 --> 00:10:25,960 Speaker 1: to show that they do not have a Patrick Mahomes 148 00:10:26,760 --> 00:10:30,280 Speaker 1: type quarterback, although an m v P conversation quarterback one 149 00:10:30,360 --> 00:10:35,000 Speaker 1: of the best quarterbacks this season. Yes, Jalen hurts, but again, 150 00:10:35,600 --> 00:10:38,640 Speaker 1: let's not forget they don't play in many close games. 151 00:10:38,679 --> 00:10:42,200 Speaker 1: What happened when he needed to score down against the 152 00:10:42,200 --> 00:10:44,560 Speaker 1: Commanders late a couple of weeks ago, he went three 153 00:10:44,600 --> 00:10:47,959 Speaker 1: and out in the fourth quarter. So you can crown 154 00:10:48,000 --> 00:10:50,640 Speaker 1: the Eagles as well. I'm not going to. I'm taking 155 00:10:51,120 --> 00:10:57,160 Speaker 1: and unbelievably fundamentally sound Tennessee Titans team awful loss. Historically speaking, 156 00:10:57,360 --> 00:11:00,360 Speaker 1: you already know it if you follow fables tie since 157 00:11:01,360 --> 00:11:06,040 Speaker 1: you're eating steak and potatoes. If you have taken Vrabel 158 00:11:06,200 --> 00:11:09,960 Speaker 1: as a dog more than three points, we're getting four 159 00:11:10,000 --> 00:11:12,120 Speaker 1: and a half. Here. What have the Eagles done all year? 160 00:11:12,360 --> 00:11:16,200 Speaker 1: They've turned the ball over What do the Titans not do? 161 00:11:16,600 --> 00:11:19,880 Speaker 1: They do not turn the ball over. Tannehill has one 162 00:11:19,920 --> 00:11:23,720 Speaker 1: interception one in his last six weeks of work, and 163 00:11:23,800 --> 00:11:27,280 Speaker 1: that was a throwaway ball on Thursday night on his 164 00:11:27,400 --> 00:11:30,800 Speaker 1: best three D and thirty three yard performance against the 165 00:11:30,840 --> 00:11:33,920 Speaker 1: Packers in front of the whole wide world. Here's the 166 00:11:33,960 --> 00:11:37,240 Speaker 1: other element I love. The Titans have rushed for less 167 00:11:37,240 --> 00:11:42,079 Speaker 1: than a hundred yards in three straight outings, the longest 168 00:11:42,360 --> 00:11:45,680 Speaker 1: under the label tenure. What do the Eagles do the 169 00:11:45,760 --> 00:11:50,760 Speaker 1: worst on defense? They let you run all over the field. 170 00:11:51,400 --> 00:11:54,240 Speaker 1: Can stop the run, cannot stop the run well over 171 00:11:54,280 --> 00:11:55,880 Speaker 1: a hundred yards of game on the ground. This is 172 00:11:55,920 --> 00:11:58,480 Speaker 1: an Eagles team that gave up thirty three points to 173 00:11:58,600 --> 00:12:01,800 Speaker 1: a Packers team where the Aaron Rodgers broken thumb and 174 00:12:01,840 --> 00:12:06,600 Speaker 1: love playing. They scored in four or five trips to 175 00:12:06,640 --> 00:12:10,760 Speaker 1: the red zone last week. That's not gonna happen against 176 00:12:10,800 --> 00:12:14,960 Speaker 1: a top ten Titans defense. Who oh, by the way, 177 00:12:15,400 --> 00:12:17,800 Speaker 1: is top ten, not just in points against top ten 178 00:12:17,840 --> 00:12:21,000 Speaker 1: and interceptions top ten and sas right up there with 179 00:12:21,040 --> 00:12:25,560 Speaker 1: the Eagles. Baby, They're giving up eighteen point six the 180 00:12:25,559 --> 00:12:29,520 Speaker 1: Titans also in the red zone. And I remember vividly 181 00:12:29,559 --> 00:12:31,400 Speaker 1: saying this that earlier in the year, they were off 182 00:12:31,400 --> 00:12:34,360 Speaker 1: to a historic red zone start, their top five in 183 00:12:34,440 --> 00:12:38,520 Speaker 1: red zone efficiency. So a Titans team that has only 184 00:12:38,520 --> 00:12:41,400 Speaker 1: lost back to back once all year getting four and 185 00:12:41,440 --> 00:12:44,160 Speaker 1: a half points against an Eagles team that has given 186 00:12:44,240 --> 00:12:46,640 Speaker 1: up over thirty points in the last several weeks. To 187 00:12:46,800 --> 00:12:54,240 Speaker 1: the Commanders and the Packers. Stop tripping. Stop tripping, baby, 188 00:12:54,480 --> 00:12:57,520 Speaker 1: Come with me, Come with me to the tighten up side. 189 00:12:57,720 --> 00:13:00,360 Speaker 1: All right, I'm ready to go. Baker Mayfield banks some 190 00:13:00,480 --> 00:13:03,600 Speaker 1: helmets Brabel style for this defense to get up. I'm 191 00:13:03,600 --> 00:13:07,200 Speaker 1: telling you, I'm telling you watch this defensive scheme for 192 00:13:07,240 --> 00:13:13,200 Speaker 1: the Titans all over all over the Seagles scene. They 193 00:13:13,240 --> 00:13:15,520 Speaker 1: were for three hundred yards last week. You think they're 194 00:13:15,559 --> 00:13:18,400 Speaker 1: doing that this week. No, they had their pickings against 195 00:13:18,400 --> 00:13:21,559 Speaker 1: the Packers, not against the Titans. It's a route awakening, 196 00:13:21,760 --> 00:13:26,720 Speaker 1: it really is. Give me, give me the Tennessee Titans. 197 00:13:27,080 --> 00:13:30,040 Speaker 1: We're going Marquee game after Marquee game, Baby, I'm going 198 00:13:30,240 --> 00:13:38,680 Speaker 1: right back in to the lab Niners hosting the Miami Dolphins. 199 00:13:38,720 --> 00:13:41,560 Speaker 1: I can't wait to give you my pick on this one. 200 00:13:42,240 --> 00:13:50,080 Speaker 1: The understudy takes on the boss, the mentor Shanahan versus McDaniel, 201 00:13:50,360 --> 00:13:54,240 Speaker 1: the man that was on the staff learning the new school. 202 00:13:54,480 --> 00:13:58,800 Speaker 1: McVeigh some callum coming in five. You know the Miami 203 00:13:58,840 --> 00:14:01,960 Speaker 1: Dolphins in their last five be San Francisco forty Niners 204 00:14:02,000 --> 00:14:04,560 Speaker 1: four and one in their last five. But let's pause, 205 00:14:04,800 --> 00:14:07,160 Speaker 1: all right for a segment of refreshment. Who if the 206 00:14:07,200 --> 00:14:10,200 Speaker 1: Dolphins beat in the last five weeks of a Spentura 207 00:14:10,280 --> 00:14:15,920 Speaker 1: football you beat Houston, you beat Jacoby Purcett's Brown's, you 208 00:14:16,040 --> 00:14:18,920 Speaker 1: beat Chicago by three. I'm not even giving you a 209 00:14:18,960 --> 00:14:23,080 Speaker 1: golf club. You beat Detroit by four when they were 210 00:14:23,120 --> 00:14:27,680 Speaker 1: not cooking, and then you beat Pittsburgh by six. All Right, 211 00:14:28,400 --> 00:14:31,480 Speaker 1: you're not blowing teams out. You're getting by by the 212 00:14:31,720 --> 00:14:38,560 Speaker 1: skin of your laces out there in football teeth. The Niners, meanwhile, 213 00:14:38,600 --> 00:14:41,000 Speaker 1: in the last four weeks of work since they're eld 214 00:14:41,000 --> 00:14:46,000 Speaker 1: to the Chiefs, have blown out three or four teams. 215 00:14:47,800 --> 00:14:51,760 Speaker 1: I am, without question backing the San Francisco forty Niners 216 00:14:52,360 --> 00:14:55,080 Speaker 1: and swallowing the three and a half I have to take. 217 00:14:55,760 --> 00:14:59,520 Speaker 1: I have to take the San Francisco Niners. This is 218 00:14:59,560 --> 00:15:05,680 Speaker 1: a deep offense, giving up fIF teen point seven points 219 00:15:05,720 --> 00:15:12,000 Speaker 1: per game, including giving up over forty over forty to 220 00:15:12,120 --> 00:15:15,040 Speaker 1: the Chiefs, and they still statistically only given up fifteen 221 00:15:15,040 --> 00:15:18,600 Speaker 1: point seven. It's the number one rush d in the NFL, 222 00:15:18,640 --> 00:15:21,760 Speaker 1: given up under eighty on the ground, it's a barely 223 00:15:21,840 --> 00:15:26,880 Speaker 1: given up over two D in the year. Defense pasty. 224 00:15:27,280 --> 00:15:29,560 Speaker 1: They just came off shutting out the Saints for the 225 00:15:29,640 --> 00:15:36,880 Speaker 1: first time since two thousand one one. Here's something even 226 00:15:36,920 --> 00:15:40,800 Speaker 1: more unfathomable. The Niners have shut out opponents in the 227 00:15:40,880 --> 00:15:45,560 Speaker 1: last month in the second half every single game. No 228 00:15:45,720 --> 00:15:50,560 Speaker 1: team has done that five straight since the nineteen thirties. 229 00:15:50,720 --> 00:15:54,360 Speaker 1: The Giants, all my stats are everywhere. They've also held 230 00:15:54,720 --> 00:15:56,880 Speaker 1: opponents to under seventy five rush yards in their last 231 00:15:56,920 --> 00:16:00,440 Speaker 1: four second largest market franchise history. My me comes in. 232 00:16:00,440 --> 00:16:04,480 Speaker 1: They've scored thirty plus in the last four thirty plus 233 00:16:05,560 --> 00:16:07,400 Speaker 1: versus a team that's given up fifty point seven on 234 00:16:07,440 --> 00:16:09,800 Speaker 1: the year, who has got five straight games with two 235 00:16:09,800 --> 00:16:12,000 Speaker 1: fifty plus and not picks. He couldn't be coming in 236 00:16:12,040 --> 00:16:15,120 Speaker 1: anymore cook. But guess what. Jimmy g in the last 237 00:16:15,120 --> 00:16:19,520 Speaker 1: month of football now joins Joe Montana and Steve Young 238 00:16:19,560 --> 00:16:21,720 Speaker 1: as a third Niner in quarterback history to give you 239 00:16:21,800 --> 00:16:24,160 Speaker 1: four wins and note picks. He's taking excellent care of 240 00:16:24,200 --> 00:16:27,400 Speaker 1: the football he's taking command of the offense. He's looking 241 00:16:27,440 --> 00:16:30,360 Speaker 1: more comfortable since c Mac. They truly, they truly have 242 00:16:30,400 --> 00:16:32,880 Speaker 1: a two headed monstar. Elijah Mitchell was nothing to sleep 243 00:16:32,920 --> 00:16:39,920 Speaker 1: at in the backfield. So for me, I see great offense, 244 00:16:40,080 --> 00:16:44,040 Speaker 1: verse great defense, and the great defenses at home. And again, 245 00:16:44,440 --> 00:16:47,080 Speaker 1: this has to be in Miami regression spot. They're playing 246 00:16:47,120 --> 00:16:49,080 Speaker 1: out of their minds. Remember they were on a hot 247 00:16:49,120 --> 00:16:51,320 Speaker 1: street earlier, they got a little cold, everyone kind of 248 00:16:51,360 --> 00:16:53,760 Speaker 1: moved off and reassessed. Then they play a month of 249 00:16:53,960 --> 00:16:57,640 Speaker 1: mediocre teams and all of a sudden, we're back on miam. 250 00:16:57,680 --> 00:17:01,560 Speaker 1: This is a short, long This is a short line 251 00:17:01,600 --> 00:17:05,480 Speaker 1: for a team that just shut out Andy Dalton in 252 00:17:05,520 --> 00:17:07,400 Speaker 1: the Saints. I gotta take the three and a half 253 00:17:07,440 --> 00:17:11,719 Speaker 1: baby terrible San Francisco Bank. All right. We wrap up 254 00:17:11,760 --> 00:17:18,760 Speaker 1: with two picks, two picks that are both divisional dances, 255 00:17:20,119 --> 00:17:22,640 Speaker 1: and I'm going right in and it could go either 256 00:17:22,680 --> 00:17:25,479 Speaker 1: way on these, so just know that, but I'm sticking 257 00:17:25,480 --> 00:17:28,760 Speaker 1: to my guns. One of them certainly emotional. It's the Chargers, 258 00:17:29,280 --> 00:17:34,240 Speaker 1: my toxic X against the Las Vegas Raiders, who since 259 00:17:34,320 --> 00:17:38,080 Speaker 1: Derek Carr has cried at the podium since Jeff Saturday. 260 00:17:38,080 --> 00:17:41,840 Speaker 1: On a Sunday made baby. You can drive my car 261 00:17:43,400 --> 00:17:49,320 Speaker 1: weep in front of the entire world. The Raiders are 262 00:17:49,359 --> 00:17:54,240 Speaker 1: doing now and this game, look, I know this division 263 00:17:54,280 --> 00:17:57,680 Speaker 1: like the back of my frow sticks to the last 264 00:17:57,760 --> 00:18:00,320 Speaker 1: seven between the Raiders and Chargers. Seven points are less 265 00:18:01,720 --> 00:18:04,200 Speaker 1: week one, no different if you get the opportunity because 266 00:18:04,200 --> 00:18:06,880 Speaker 1: the Chargers could not start out games worse. You saw 267 00:18:06,880 --> 00:18:09,920 Speaker 1: it last week against the Cardinals. To get the Raiders 268 00:18:10,000 --> 00:18:12,520 Speaker 1: or the Chargers with over seven points in this game, 269 00:18:12,840 --> 00:18:14,720 Speaker 1: fire on it live because that is about to be 270 00:18:14,800 --> 00:18:17,520 Speaker 1: seven of eight going down the wire, one point line. 271 00:18:17,680 --> 00:18:23,280 Speaker 1: Pick them game. Give me the Las Vegas Raiders coming 272 00:18:23,359 --> 00:18:27,800 Speaker 1: off their second consecutive over time win. Haven't done that 273 00:18:27,840 --> 00:18:32,280 Speaker 1: since nineteen seventy five for the franchise with Josh Jacobs 274 00:18:32,320 --> 00:18:38,960 Speaker 1: absolutely j J in the Cranston Lap Cooking eighties six 275 00:18:39,000 --> 00:18:43,840 Speaker 1: yard game winning touchdown, ok all game last two weeks 276 00:18:43,960 --> 00:18:48,359 Speaker 1: to nine and one oh nine Chargers giving up one 277 00:18:48,800 --> 00:18:54,560 Speaker 1: fifty one on the ground. This is a Chargers team 278 00:18:54,600 --> 00:18:56,680 Speaker 1: that wins and loses, wins and loses, wins and loses. 279 00:18:56,680 --> 00:18:58,800 Speaker 1: Six and five cannot be more evident. They've only strung 280 00:18:58,840 --> 00:19:02,119 Speaker 1: together one winning street one and it was three wins 281 00:19:02,160 --> 00:19:07,680 Speaker 1: against the Browns, the Proncos, and the Texans shouldn't even 282 00:19:07,760 --> 00:19:14,879 Speaker 1: count this Raiders seem to me. To me is coming 283 00:19:14,920 --> 00:19:18,920 Speaker 1: in with way more momentum to spite a two point 284 00:19:19,000 --> 00:19:23,600 Speaker 1: conversion game winning moment for the Chargers. They did not 285 00:19:23,680 --> 00:19:28,040 Speaker 1: look great against the very mediocre Cardinals with K one 286 00:19:28,080 --> 00:19:31,439 Speaker 1: coming off an injury. And again I don't need to 287 00:19:31,480 --> 00:19:34,440 Speaker 1: sell you on one side of the other. The Raiders 288 00:19:34,440 --> 00:19:37,679 Speaker 1: have a fairy mediocre defense. It just gave up thirty 289 00:19:37,680 --> 00:19:42,280 Speaker 1: four to Gino Smith. The Chargers have a fairy mediocre defense, 290 00:19:42,760 --> 00:19:47,399 Speaker 1: at least in the run. Dy Both of these quarterbacks 291 00:19:48,160 --> 00:19:51,359 Speaker 1: can ball out on this game. But I look at 292 00:19:51,400 --> 00:19:54,240 Speaker 1: the records, Herbert's three and two against the Raiders Cars 293 00:19:54,320 --> 00:19:58,800 Speaker 1: eight and nine. It is the true epitome Raiders. Chargers 294 00:19:59,320 --> 00:20:02,600 Speaker 1: to sell you on one thing of a split series. 295 00:20:03,200 --> 00:20:07,159 Speaker 1: Year after year they go one and one more times 296 00:20:07,160 --> 00:20:10,320 Speaker 1: than I can think. One and one the Chargers one 297 00:20:10,320 --> 00:20:14,400 Speaker 1: week one. I bet it on this podcast. I took 298 00:20:14,440 --> 00:20:19,520 Speaker 1: the Chargers. We are taking the Raiders all day long, 299 00:20:19,880 --> 00:20:22,880 Speaker 1: and if we don't, I will join Derek Carr on 300 00:20:22,920 --> 00:20:28,280 Speaker 1: the podium and weep bolt els. But I love the 301 00:20:28,320 --> 00:20:31,879 Speaker 1: Raiders in this one. This is a game where the 302 00:20:32,040 --> 00:20:36,320 Speaker 1: Raiders truly lean on their home field, and I see 303 00:20:36,359 --> 00:20:40,280 Speaker 1: a Crosby making a play, I see the defense getting 304 00:20:40,280 --> 00:20:43,720 Speaker 1: a stop, and they'll win the game. And we go 305 00:20:43,840 --> 00:20:49,040 Speaker 1: from one divisional dance to the other. The g Men 306 00:20:50,320 --> 00:20:56,960 Speaker 1: hosting the Commanders, looking the hottest team in the league 307 00:20:57,000 --> 00:21:00,040 Speaker 1: not named the Kansas City Chiefs six and one in 308 00:21:00,080 --> 00:21:07,359 Speaker 1: their last seven, favorite on the road, public loving them, Giants, 309 00:21:08,440 --> 00:21:12,960 Speaker 1: losing streak, CVS laundry list of injuries headed to Dallas. 310 00:21:13,359 --> 00:21:17,720 Speaker 1: Do they do backdoor cover Danny backdoor dimes? But it's 311 00:21:17,760 --> 00:21:20,960 Speaker 1: their first back to back losing streak. Lions and Cowboys 312 00:21:21,440 --> 00:21:28,359 Speaker 1: all season, coming in there with extra ethos path those logos. 313 00:21:30,000 --> 00:21:33,240 Speaker 1: Washington won both last year against the Giants, first season 314 00:21:33,320 --> 00:21:37,080 Speaker 1: sweeps since two thousand and eleven, looking for their first 315 00:21:37,200 --> 00:21:40,359 Speaker 1: three game dance since they won four against the Giants 316 00:21:40,359 --> 00:21:45,600 Speaker 1: in two thousands. So similar, not as quite Raiders Chargers, 317 00:21:45,600 --> 00:21:48,440 Speaker 1: but a lot of back and forth between these two. 318 00:21:49,440 --> 00:21:56,560 Speaker 1: And let's not let's not crown ouch out. You're on 319 00:21:56,640 --> 00:22:00,879 Speaker 1: my hinarchy, all right, Yeah, you'd be some good teams, 320 00:22:01,119 --> 00:22:03,280 Speaker 1: all right. You beat the Eagles in primetime, you gotta 321 00:22:03,359 --> 00:22:06,399 Speaker 1: tip your frow to them. You also beat though the Texans, 322 00:22:06,840 --> 00:22:11,719 Speaker 1: the Falcons, the Cults. You caught the Packers at the 323 00:22:11,840 --> 00:22:16,360 Speaker 1: lowest moment of their empire lives under the Aaron Rodgers tenure. 324 00:22:17,880 --> 00:22:20,960 Speaker 1: This statistically is all down the middle. Twenty points in 325 00:22:21,080 --> 00:22:26,320 Speaker 1: nineteen four for both teams, eight nineteen points against. But 326 00:22:26,400 --> 00:22:31,080 Speaker 1: the Giants are plus three in the turnover category. Washington 327 00:22:31,160 --> 00:22:33,719 Speaker 1: has pride themselves on turning over the football. In this 328 00:22:33,760 --> 00:22:37,639 Speaker 1: little wind streak. There are let's not forget and the Giants, 329 00:22:39,119 --> 00:22:41,639 Speaker 1: and it was evident last week after a loss are 330 00:22:41,760 --> 00:22:45,480 Speaker 1: four and oh against the spread covering so they lose 331 00:22:45,560 --> 00:22:47,840 Speaker 1: the week before they button it up. They're also four 332 00:22:47,880 --> 00:22:49,880 Speaker 1: and one against the spread their last five versus team 333 00:22:49,920 --> 00:22:53,320 Speaker 1: with a winning record. Here's a fascinating one I found 334 00:22:53,320 --> 00:22:56,280 Speaker 1: this little nugget. You know the number one team is 335 00:22:56,720 --> 00:23:01,520 Speaker 1: in games decided by one score this season, the Giants. 336 00:23:02,400 --> 00:23:08,600 Speaker 1: There's seven and two. So the Giants have been pretty 337 00:23:09,000 --> 00:23:12,560 Speaker 1: pretty mediocre at stopping the run. The Commanders don't particularly 338 00:23:12,640 --> 00:23:14,280 Speaker 1: run the ball very well. Be rob just got his 339 00:23:14,280 --> 00:23:16,639 Speaker 1: first hundred yard outing last week. The the fifth worst 340 00:23:16,760 --> 00:23:19,920 Speaker 1: in yards per carry, sixth lowest with rushing touchdowns, fifteen 341 00:23:19,960 --> 00:23:23,680 Speaker 1: lowest in total yards per game, and that's despite being 342 00:23:23,680 --> 00:23:25,879 Speaker 1: the eight highest number of rushi attempts. They're trying to 343 00:23:25,920 --> 00:23:30,159 Speaker 1: run the ball because it's Heinekey, people, It's Heineke. Giants 344 00:23:30,200 --> 00:23:33,320 Speaker 1: are also much better in the red zone eleven eleventh 345 00:23:33,359 --> 00:23:38,160 Speaker 1: in red zone efficiency to the Commanders, Look, this game 346 00:23:38,280 --> 00:23:41,400 Speaker 1: is gonna come down to the wire again. It's gonna 347 00:23:41,480 --> 00:23:46,879 Speaker 1: be disgusting, it's gonna be gross, it's gonna be frustrating. 348 00:23:47,960 --> 00:23:52,240 Speaker 1: But this is if we're if we're pitching you a 349 00:23:52,440 --> 00:23:54,840 Speaker 1: perfect spot and the Giants are plus two and a half, 350 00:23:55,160 --> 00:23:58,680 Speaker 1: maybe they jumped to three. I'm taking plus money money 351 00:23:58,680 --> 00:24:02,080 Speaker 1: line unless it goes to plus three. Give me the 352 00:24:02,160 --> 00:24:06,120 Speaker 1: plus money money line right now. If you're tailing all 353 00:24:06,160 --> 00:24:09,639 Speaker 1: my picks, just no Giants money line. If it stays 354 00:24:09,640 --> 00:24:13,360 Speaker 1: at two and a half. I'm waiting on this one. Specifically, 355 00:24:13,800 --> 00:24:16,920 Speaker 1: public is all over the Commanders. Tickets on that outside 356 00:24:17,000 --> 00:24:21,240 Speaker 1: money on the Giants, depending where you look. Washington's won 357 00:24:21,280 --> 00:24:24,600 Speaker 1: four straight road games. People holding opponents to under fifty 358 00:24:24,600 --> 00:24:26,879 Speaker 1: four points. That has not been done since two thousand 359 00:24:26,920 --> 00:24:29,639 Speaker 1: one from this team. I cannot get over them. You 360 00:24:29,760 --> 00:24:34,080 Speaker 1: got three one ops here, haven't swept The Giants haven't 361 00:24:34,119 --> 00:24:38,800 Speaker 1: done this road outing like this since so one, and 362 00:24:40,480 --> 00:24:44,480 Speaker 1: you're coming in on one of the hottest streaks his 363 00:24:44,520 --> 00:24:48,240 Speaker 1: Commanders team has ever been on ever, at least in 364 00:24:48,280 --> 00:24:52,240 Speaker 1: a recent memory, since the three time name change. So 365 00:24:52,359 --> 00:24:54,159 Speaker 1: to me, I think this game comes down to again 366 00:24:54,960 --> 00:24:59,119 Speaker 1: we get a divisional dog at home times two on 367 00:24:59,160 --> 00:25:02,160 Speaker 1: this pot, we have to take it. So that's how 368 00:25:02,200 --> 00:25:05,119 Speaker 1: we dance. I will go with the Chiefs over the 369 00:25:05,119 --> 00:25:07,639 Speaker 1: Bengals minus two and a half. I will take the 370 00:25:07,640 --> 00:25:10,960 Speaker 1: Titans plus four and a half at Fly Eagles Fly, 371 00:25:11,240 --> 00:25:13,440 Speaker 1: I will take the Niners minus three and a half. 372 00:25:13,760 --> 00:25:17,960 Speaker 1: At home against laces out Dan, I will take the Dolphins. 373 00:25:18,040 --> 00:25:21,000 Speaker 1: I will take the Raiders. It's plus one right now, 374 00:25:21,000 --> 00:25:23,240 Speaker 1: we'll take plus one. Why not if the Charges win 375 00:25:23,280 --> 00:25:24,760 Speaker 1: by one again and we get plus one and we 376 00:25:24,760 --> 00:25:27,040 Speaker 1: get a push, won't happen, But I'll take it, don't. 377 00:25:27,160 --> 00:25:29,720 Speaker 1: It's it's minus one ten versus minus one oh eight. 378 00:25:29,880 --> 00:25:32,480 Speaker 1: I mean, just take take the free point and then 379 00:25:32,480 --> 00:25:35,000 Speaker 1: I'm taking the Giants plus money on the money line 380 00:25:35,080 --> 00:25:37,760 Speaker 1: right now a plus one fourteen and unless it goes 381 00:25:37,840 --> 00:25:40,480 Speaker 1: to three, I'll sit back. I'll take the three. Swallow 382 00:25:40,480 --> 00:25:43,600 Speaker 1: little juice. 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