WEBVTT - Everything You Need to Know About The East 0:00:01.400 --> 0:00:05.120 Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly, a production of I Heart Radio. 0:00:07.240 --> 0:00:10.600 Time now for Fantasy Football Weekly from I Heart Radio, 0:00:10.880 --> 0:00:15.280 your weekly source for the nation's best fantasy football advice, speculation, 0:00:15.440 --> 0:00:19.000 and whatever stupid stuff they decided to drop into the show. Now, 0:00:19.040 --> 0:00:25.720 here's your host. Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly. I am 0:00:25.760 --> 0:00:28.880 Paul church In my co host this week. Very happy 0:00:28.920 --> 0:00:32.919 to have both of my typical co host in one 0:00:32.920 --> 0:00:37.279 place at one time. That's Brian Johnson and Matt Harrison. Hello, guys, Hi, 0:00:37.920 --> 0:00:40.479 should we should mention Scott Fish? Who's I know, we 0:00:40.560 --> 0:00:43.280 just haven't had scotten two months months, but he's super 0:00:43.280 --> 0:00:47.000 busy with what's doing X right now? That's gonna be 0:00:47.040 --> 0:00:49.640 pretty big deal. He's Scott Fish bowling right now. I 0:00:49.680 --> 0:00:54.480 saw he got Shane Batty a Shane Batty Scott Fish 0:00:54.520 --> 0:00:58.960 today he's in the Scottish Bowl to have a team. Yeah. So, 0:00:59.120 --> 0:01:03.080 is uh the the guy from that thing you do 0:01:03.360 --> 0:01:05.400 that movie that was a long time ago and I 0:01:05.440 --> 0:01:11.920 don't know which that is? No, that guy Hanks? Is 0:01:11.920 --> 0:01:14.720 he still in quarantine? By the way? He did? Uh, 0:01:14.880 --> 0:01:17.600 he's good, he did it is fine. He came home 0:01:17.640 --> 0:01:20.000 after Australia. He did like an SNL from his living room, 0:01:20.040 --> 0:01:22.720 or so he didn't he So, yeah, apparently he's okay. 0:01:23.360 --> 0:01:26.800 The next four shows are going to be everything you 0:01:26.880 --> 0:01:29.680 need to know about two of the divisions, each of 0:01:29.720 --> 0:01:31.480 the teams, and two the divisions of the NFL. We're 0:01:31.480 --> 0:01:32.679 going to do the a f C East from the 0:01:32.720 --> 0:01:36.640 NFC East this week. That means we're going to analyze 0:01:36.720 --> 0:01:43.120 how this offense operates and then identify the riskiest downside 0:01:43.160 --> 0:01:46.199 players to draft based on their average draft position. Who's 0:01:46.240 --> 0:01:49.240 got the who's got the possibility moving of actually finishing 0:01:49.280 --> 0:01:53.040 the lowest compared to their ADP, and who has the 0:01:53.040 --> 0:01:55.760 most upside compared to their ADP. Who's the guy who's 0:01:56.120 --> 0:01:59.560 going at a moderate level right now or a low 0:01:59.640 --> 0:02:01.400 level right now, but has the chance to have the 0:02:01.440 --> 0:02:05.640 most upside. So we'll answer those questions for all eight 0:02:05.800 --> 0:02:07.600 of the teams and the a f C East and 0:02:07.680 --> 0:02:11.560 the NFC East. It's kind of quick fire on these guys. Yeah, 0:02:11.600 --> 0:02:13.400 we begin in the a f C East and we 0:02:13.440 --> 0:02:16.440 begin with Brian and his new and I think most 0:02:16.480 --> 0:02:19.720 passionate team, the Buffalo Bills. Yeah, the Bills are gonna 0:02:19.760 --> 0:02:21.280 be a ton of fun. We kind of touched on 0:02:21.320 --> 0:02:24.200 some key members last week. Go through them again real quick. 0:02:24.240 --> 0:02:28.040 Stephen Diggs, the big free agent offseason acquisition wide receiver 0:02:28.120 --> 0:02:31.799 of course. Uh, rookies coming in. Zack Moss, running back 0:02:32.200 --> 0:02:34.880 drafted in the third round. Uh. Some wide receivers we 0:02:34.919 --> 0:02:38.480 won't mention. Gabriel Davis and Isaiah Hodges. Um you just mentioned, 0:02:38.480 --> 0:02:43.880 you just mentioned mentioning him, actually typed out their names. 0:02:43.919 --> 0:02:46.480 So I decided to mention them. You're the first person 0:02:46.520 --> 0:02:50.400 outside of the Buffalo media guys that's actually typed their names. Okay. 0:02:50.400 --> 0:02:54.360 Who I won't mention is the quarterback from Georgia the rookie. 0:02:54.480 --> 0:02:58.440 Won't mention that dude anyway. Uh, kicker talk. They drafted 0:02:58.440 --> 0:03:01.799 a kicker Buffalo, the kicker league. So sixth round pick 0:03:02.080 --> 0:03:04.600 Tyler Bass out of Georgia Southern. But always thought about 0:03:04.600 --> 0:03:08.600 the running backs. Steven Singletary, Zack Moss. Devin Singletary is 0:03:08.639 --> 0:03:11.760 going in the fourth round. He is your biggest downside 0:03:11.840 --> 0:03:15.640 risk by far. Only three carries inside the ten yard 0:03:15.639 --> 0:03:19.400 line last year eighteen for Frank Gore, eleven for Josh Allen. 0:03:19.560 --> 0:03:22.400 That brings us to Zack Moss, Who's ADP. We were 0:03:22.400 --> 0:03:25.160 all were we were gushing over him last week. He's 0:03:25.160 --> 0:03:27.000 already gone up two rounds since then. So the time 0:03:27.080 --> 0:03:29.600 is now to buy Zack Moss, who's going now in 0:03:29.639 --> 0:03:32.880 the thirteenth round around the hundred and six overall pick. 0:03:33.240 --> 0:03:35.720 He's gonna get all of Frank Um, all the Frank 0:03:35.760 --> 0:03:37.840 Gore touches inside the red zone eight. If you just 0:03:37.960 --> 0:03:39.840 all I need listen, I don't even care if Zack 0:03:39.880 --> 0:03:42.760 Moss doesn't get another carry. If he gets eighteen carries 0:03:42.840 --> 0:03:44.480 this year and they're all inside the five, he could 0:03:44.520 --> 0:03:46.440 be sitting on a ten touchdown season. I don't even 0:03:46.440 --> 0:03:48.320 need him to get another carry out of this season. 0:03:48.920 --> 0:03:51.200 And again he's been heralded as a five pound back. 0:03:51.240 --> 0:03:57.200 He will trucks. That's usually a pretty easy tackles. That's 0:03:57.280 --> 0:04:01.600 lighter than my dog. My bad on around, you run through, 0:04:01.640 --> 0:04:05.040 you make you miss, catch the ball, pass protect um, 0:04:05.640 --> 0:04:08.440 blow away in the way he's gonna Yeah, well he's 0:04:08.480 --> 0:04:10.280 gonna prot some wait before the season start. It's probably 0:04:10.280 --> 0:04:13.680 about two pounds a little twound short there, But Zack 0:04:13.760 --> 0:04:17.800 Moss your highest upside guy for sure. Eve been Stefon Diggs, 0:04:17.880 --> 0:04:20.600 John Brown. It's gonna be an exciting offense in Buffalo. 0:04:20.880 --> 0:04:22.440 It is could be exciting. I could go on and on, 0:04:22.480 --> 0:04:24.800 but yeah, Josh Allen of course not very accurate, but 0:04:25.000 --> 0:04:27.240 mobile threat. But and the big arm, I mean, you know, 0:04:27.279 --> 0:04:30.279 and he's got two receivers that can get down field. 0:04:30.720 --> 0:04:32.400 And so I think you're gonna have a lot. I 0:04:32.440 --> 0:04:34.760 think you're gonna have a lot of deep passing to 0:04:34.920 --> 0:04:38.760 impart set up the running game between those between Singletary 0:04:38.800 --> 0:04:41.520 and just hope Allen can be accurate, because this deep 0:04:41.520 --> 0:04:46.000 pass accuracy is terrible. Diggs will help improve on those numbers. 0:04:46.120 --> 0:04:49.800 I feel. Yeah, if there's anybody who's just the character 0:04:50.040 --> 0:04:56.480 is just perfect running and catching the football, Okay, alright, 0:04:56.560 --> 0:04:59.200 um yeah. The one downside for Buffalo from a fantasy 0:04:59.200 --> 0:05:01.520 football perspective of is the defense is pretty good. It's 0:05:01.560 --> 0:05:03.120 too bad they don't have an awful defense, because then 0:05:03.120 --> 0:05:05.400 they'd just be lightened up the scoreboard, Like I think 0:05:05.400 --> 0:05:07.520 they're gonna try to score anyway. They will, but they 0:05:07.560 --> 0:05:10.040 won't they won't necessarily be meeting points that they have 0:05:10.080 --> 0:05:12.080 in the past when they couldn't score any all Right, 0:05:12.160 --> 0:05:15.080 So the riskiest player to draft is Devin Singletary. The 0:05:15.120 --> 0:05:18.920 players got the most upside, yeah, Zack Moss and I'm ercent. 0:05:19.000 --> 0:05:22.599 Don't touch Devon Singletary basically is my recommendation. I traded 0:05:22.720 --> 0:05:25.880 Devin Singletary in an Empire League to our friend Ryan 0:05:25.920 --> 0:05:29.280 Boser not too long ago for Keenan Allen. Straight up, Wow, 0:05:29.440 --> 0:05:31.479 did I get a good deal? Did I get a 0:05:31.480 --> 0:05:33.200 bad deal? Because I had a little bit of regret 0:05:33.279 --> 0:05:36.240 letting go of Devin Singletary. This was prior to the draft, though. 0:05:37.120 --> 0:05:38.800 I just don't like. I don't like Keenan Allen. I 0:05:38.800 --> 0:05:40.600 can't even tell you his quarterback is gonna be, So 0:05:40.800 --> 0:05:44.040 I don't love that deal. Miami, Matt, let's go there. 0:05:44.480 --> 0:05:47.200 Tell us about them, the new look Miami offense. So 0:05:47.360 --> 0:05:50.240 they had a lot of additions this offseason. UM, and 0:05:50.400 --> 0:05:53.400 that's good because UM A lot of it stems from 0:05:53.440 --> 0:05:56.839 the offensive line being Pro Football focuses thirty second ranked 0:05:57.160 --> 0:06:00.280 out of thirty two offensive lines in the league. So 0:06:00.320 --> 0:06:04.480 they addressed that with Eric Flowers, Austin Jackson at the 0:06:04.600 --> 0:06:07.400 eighteen pick and Robert Hunt at the thirty ninth pick. 0:06:07.520 --> 0:06:10.279 So U two guys in the top thirty nine and 0:06:10.279 --> 0:06:16.040 then Eric Flowers, he's upgrade on nobody, nobody, No, he's awful? 0:06:16.600 --> 0:06:20.440 Is he? An upgrade on JaMarcus Webb, who left. Maybe maybe, 0:06:20.600 --> 0:06:22.800 but not like you can't know, because at best you 0:06:22.800 --> 0:06:25.000 could be a lateral move from awful to awful. Maybe 0:06:25.080 --> 0:06:27.720 The only thing Eric Flower is gonna address is an 0:06:27.800 --> 0:06:31.720 envelope if she wanted to. You know, they don't even 0:06:31.800 --> 0:06:38.559 let him have an email address. Erech email h Jordan 0:06:38.640 --> 0:06:41.920 Howard Matt Brita joined the team as running backs and 0:06:42.279 --> 0:06:44.920 to a tag of Viola looa. I'm never going to 0:06:45.000 --> 0:06:50.080 get that name perfectly correct hashtag to uh who was 0:06:50.080 --> 0:06:54.200 picked with the fifth pick. So the thing about the 0:06:54.440 --> 0:06:59.000 Miami offense is a dps are so low on every player. 0:06:59.160 --> 0:07:01.880 There's not really a guy with that much risk. The 0:07:02.000 --> 0:07:05.680 highest player in a DP according to Fantasy Pros Consensus 0:07:05.720 --> 0:07:09.479 ADP is DeVante Parker, who's going at sixty two, so 0:07:09.480 --> 0:07:11.520 you don't have to take him to the sixth round, right, 0:07:11.720 --> 0:07:14.400 and he was. He was a top ten fantasy wide 0:07:14.400 --> 0:07:17.320 receiver last year in the second half, and he was. 0:07:17.640 --> 0:07:20.440 He had seventy two catches for over yards and nine 0:07:20.440 --> 0:07:24.400 touchdowns last season. Basically is the only option. From November on. 0:07:25.040 --> 0:07:28.400 Preston Williams tours a c L In November, the Dolphins 0:07:28.400 --> 0:07:30.800 are hopeful that he returns by week one, but there's 0:07:30.800 --> 0:07:35.680 not guarantee there. So while DeVante Parker is just the 0:07:35.760 --> 0:07:37.960 highest on the board, I think that's what makes him 0:07:37.960 --> 0:07:42.080 the riskiest. But there's not really that much risk this guy. Um. 0:07:42.240 --> 0:07:46.240 The biggest upside I think is the combination of both 0:07:46.280 --> 0:07:49.760 of the quarterbacks. Um, you got to a who's going 0:07:49.880 --> 0:07:54.600 at quarterback right now and Ryan Fitzpatrick going at quarterback 0:07:54.760 --> 0:07:57.880 twenty nine and they're basically going in like the eighteenth 0:07:58.000 --> 0:08:00.960 round of redraft leagues right now. So what about a 0:08:01.000 --> 0:08:06.080 handcuff situation where you've got both quarterbacks. We saw Fitzpatrick 0:08:06.120 --> 0:08:10.040 be a very serviceaball uh fantasy quarterback last year. And 0:08:10.040 --> 0:08:12.960 they're always behind it, they're always passing. Well, that's that's 0:08:12.960 --> 0:08:15.680 the thing. Is Stupird through the ball thirty five or 0:08:15.720 --> 0:08:18.120 more times in nine of his last eleven games, had 0:08:18.240 --> 0:08:21.200 seven games of over two seventy five yards in that span. 0:08:21.680 --> 0:08:24.920 Six of those games had multiple touchdowns. Baby, He's single 0:08:24.960 --> 0:08:28.840 handedly ruined the Dolphins tank for two US and they 0:08:28.960 --> 0:08:32.719 still got Yeah, thank you watching. So, especially if you're 0:08:32.720 --> 0:08:35.080 in a best ball league, I really like the idea 0:08:35.080 --> 0:08:38.360 of getting to h and Fitzpatrick both in the same thing. 0:08:38.640 --> 0:08:40.800 The whole team. I mean, you get Parker cheap, and 0:08:40.800 --> 0:08:43.520 then you you handcuff Preston Williams to him in Best 0:08:43.520 --> 0:08:45.320 Ball that you can get Howard and bred it cheap. 0:08:45.360 --> 0:08:46.640 I love the whole team in best Ball, you can 0:08:46.640 --> 0:08:50.160 get them. Dolphins are a there a fantastic do the 0:08:50.200 --> 0:08:53.520 opposite team for their running back? Um, yeah, Matt Brita 0:08:53.600 --> 0:08:56.560 is going above Jordan Howard, right, get that. I don't 0:08:56.640 --> 0:08:58.840 understand that at all. Howard scored six times on the 0:08:58.840 --> 0:09:00.800 ground in only ten games. Last steer for the Eagles 0:09:01.000 --> 0:09:04.040 had nine touchdowns in the previous two years. Matt Britas 0:09:04.040 --> 0:09:06.920 scored six times on the ground in his career, So 0:09:07.080 --> 0:09:09.240 the touchdowns are gonna go to Howard. It's this he's 0:09:09.280 --> 0:09:12.160 the fastest running back thing that that keeps popping up 0:09:12.200 --> 0:09:14.400 like he's the fastest clocked running back last year, so 0:09:14.440 --> 0:09:18.040 everyone's always like, okay, Yeah. The other guy that's kind 0:09:18.040 --> 0:09:21.840 of interesting is Mike GASSICKI I've seen him go up 0:09:21.960 --> 0:09:25.160 quite a bit in UH and and in our auctions 0:09:25.160 --> 0:09:27.000 and stuff. A lot of interest in him. UH. In 0:09:27.120 --> 0:09:29.720 five of his last six games he was targeted seven 0:09:29.760 --> 0:09:32.240 times or more and scored all five of his touchdowns 0:09:32.240 --> 0:09:35.400 from week twelve on. So people are really excited about 0:09:35.440 --> 0:09:38.439 Mike Gassicki coming in on his third year, finally figuring 0:09:38.440 --> 0:09:42.720 out the offense and getting ready to be that next 0:09:42.760 --> 0:09:47.360 Mark Andrews kind of guy. When you, Matt, divvied up 0:09:47.600 --> 0:09:50.199 the teams that we'd each be talking to talking about. 0:09:50.559 --> 0:09:56.760 You gave me the team that ranked thirty first in 0:09:56.760 --> 0:09:59.520 in total yard thirty feet and points per game and 0:09:59.559 --> 0:10:02.520 dead lack in total yards per game. And then the 0:10:02.559 --> 0:10:05.400 other team you gave me ranked dead last in points 0:10:05.400 --> 0:10:07.599 per game and thirty one in total yards per I 0:10:07.640 --> 0:10:10.040 wanted to make it easier. Thank you for giving me 0:10:10.160 --> 0:10:15.559 the Jets and the Redskins. Okay, so let's let's talk 0:10:15.640 --> 0:10:19.360 Jets first. This is a completely retooled offensive line in 0:10:19.400 --> 0:10:23.360 wide receivers, potentially five new starters from last year's offensive line, 0:10:23.360 --> 0:10:26.880 five new which ranked and pass blocking and and run 0:10:26.920 --> 0:10:29.960 blacking last last year. They spent a first round pick 0:10:30.040 --> 0:10:35.040 on Mackay peck Beckton from Louisville, and then center Connor 0:10:35.120 --> 0:10:38.079 McGovern was signed from Denver. Right tackle is going to 0:10:38.160 --> 0:10:40.440 be a battle between two different guys, including George Fan 0:10:40.600 --> 0:10:43.800 from Seattle Greg Van Roten was also added. He could 0:10:43.800 --> 0:10:47.240 push Brian Winters at right guards so effectively they will 0:10:47.240 --> 0:10:50.160 have no less than three new starters on the offensive 0:10:50.200 --> 0:10:55.080 line for the Jets, and up to five. Now that 0:10:55.160 --> 0:10:57.960 means it's going to take time to gel that offensive line, 0:10:58.040 --> 0:10:59.880 even if even if there's a talent upgrade. And by 0:10:59.880 --> 0:11:01.440 the we don't even know that. Most of these guys 0:11:01.440 --> 0:11:03.599 aren't aren't proven, and aren't good. We don't even know 0:11:03.640 --> 0:11:05.520 if there really is a talent upgrade. But if it 0:11:05.559 --> 0:11:07.520 does come, it's going to any time to gel. That 0:11:07.559 --> 0:11:10.240 worries me about this, plenty of time in training camp 0:11:10.559 --> 0:11:15.520 O crap. Both outside receivers are new this year, Breshad 0:11:15.600 --> 0:11:18.400 Perriman and Denzel Mims. Both guys are cut from the 0:11:18.440 --> 0:11:21.280 same cloth. They run fast, they run straight, and they 0:11:21.320 --> 0:11:23.520 don't do a lot else. Pairman's games developed a little 0:11:23.520 --> 0:11:25.520 bit over the years, but Mims was used almost entirely 0:11:25.559 --> 0:11:29.320 as a run straight, go route vertical receiver last year Baylor, 0:11:29.720 --> 0:11:31.600 and that will probably be the case here. So they 0:11:31.600 --> 0:11:33.360 are going to be It's all about the deep speed 0:11:33.360 --> 0:11:37.319 on the outside receivers. So how does this whole Jets 0:11:37.360 --> 0:11:41.240 offense function well with Perriman and Mims looking for these 0:11:41.240 --> 0:11:43.840 deep balls. The question is can Sam Donald deliver these 0:11:43.840 --> 0:11:46.040 deep balls, because that's what these receivers want to do. 0:11:46.679 --> 0:11:49.600 Last year he was brutal as a deep ball passer. 0:11:49.960 --> 0:11:53.520 He completed He threw fifty one deep balls. Of the 0:11:53.520 --> 0:11:59.319 fifty one he completed fifteen. He's just gotta stop smooching 0:11:59.320 --> 0:12:03.640 with everybody is smooching with my sister. His deep ball 0:12:03.720 --> 0:12:09.520 passer rating was seventy five, which put him behind Eli 0:12:09.600 --> 0:12:12.880 Manning is on deep ball passes for for Sam Donald, 0:12:13.000 --> 0:12:20.320 he was behind Eli Manning, Mason Rudolph and wait, wrong 0:12:20.360 --> 0:12:25.120 one nothing not trump bone, Oh the duck, the duck 0:12:25.800 --> 0:12:31.440 behind It wasn't it could have been, It could have 0:12:31.440 --> 0:12:37.160 been worse. Many apologies, Stephane Hodges. Or it was, in 0:12:37.240 --> 0:12:40.480 fact Duck Hodges a better deep ball passer and Mason 0:12:40.559 --> 0:12:43.200 ro Rudolph. By the way, Duck Hodges, Eli Manning and 0:12:43.240 --> 0:12:46.840 Mason Rudolph all benched at various times last year, and 0:12:46.880 --> 0:12:49.080 they were all a better deep ball passer than Sam Donald. 0:12:49.080 --> 0:12:50.559 Now I'd like to say that Donald's deep ball is 0:12:50.559 --> 0:12:52.079 gonna get better this year, and his arm string is 0:12:52.080 --> 0:12:54.000 good enough to do it. But this offensive line might 0:12:54.040 --> 0:12:56.079 not give him the chance, so it might not matter. 0:12:56.480 --> 0:12:59.199 Jets called the seventh fewest runs last year, which also 0:12:59.240 --> 0:13:02.520 tells me that they like to get a passing game going. Um, 0:13:02.559 --> 0:13:04.600 but I don't know that they can. I don't know 0:13:04.640 --> 0:13:06.520 that they can do it. Levy On Bell figures to 0:13:06.600 --> 0:13:09.000 get the majority of the work. But they added depth 0:13:09.000 --> 0:13:11.720 that they did not have last year. They added Frank Gore, 0:13:12.160 --> 0:13:14.360 they added Lea Michael p Ryan in the fourth round, 0:13:14.559 --> 0:13:16.640 and I think if you look back through Adam Gaze 0:13:16.679 --> 0:13:18.760 his career, he's been more of a running back by 0:13:18.800 --> 0:13:21.240 committee guy. Last year they said, have anybody else to 0:13:21.280 --> 0:13:23.640 carry the ball, so they gave levy On Bell the 0:13:23.679 --> 0:13:26.480 vast majority of the carries. Last year, the Jets ran 0:13:26.559 --> 0:13:29.640 for the league's worst yards per carry as a team, 0:13:29.640 --> 0:13:33.559 three point three. That's it. There's nothing to like here, really, 0:13:33.840 --> 0:13:37.839 So who's the riskiest Jet by a DP? Even after 0:13:37.960 --> 0:13:41.080 last year's brutal season, Levian Bell is still going off 0:13:41.080 --> 0:13:44.840 the board at pick forty one. That's still too high. 0:13:44.920 --> 0:13:47.520 He's he's a year older, he's got far more competition 0:13:47.520 --> 0:13:49.839 for carries this year, and his rebuilt offensive line starting 0:13:49.840 --> 0:13:52.040 from ground zero, he can still go down from pick 0:13:52.080 --> 0:13:55.960 forty one. The biggest upside guy I believe is Denzel Mims, 0:13:55.960 --> 0:14:02.120 whose average draft position is pick number four. He's seventy 0:14:02.240 --> 0:14:05.199 first wide receiver going off the board, and that makes 0:14:05.320 --> 0:14:09.600 Denzel Mims almost free. When we'll take a break. When 0:14:09.600 --> 0:14:12.440 we come back, let's talk about the new look New 0:14:12.480 --> 0:14:16.280 England Patriots. Now obviously without Tom Brady. What can we 0:14:16.320 --> 0:14:20.160 expect from that offense? And it's it's been twenty plus 0:14:20.240 --> 0:14:23.240 years since we've had to talk about a really different 0:14:23.280 --> 0:14:26.120 looking Patriots offense. We'll find out about that when we 0:14:26.240 --> 0:14:32.320 return to Fantasy Football Weekly. Welcome back to Fantasy Football Weekly. 0:14:32.320 --> 0:14:34.600 Paul Charchi and Matt Harrison, Brian Johnson with you, were 0:14:34.640 --> 0:14:38.600 breaking down eight different teams fantasy style in quick action 0:14:38.800 --> 0:14:42.600 and identifying the one player who has the riskiest downside 0:14:43.000 --> 0:14:44.800 and the one player in each team that has the 0:14:44.800 --> 0:14:47.840 most upside. We shift now to the new England Patriots 0:14:47.840 --> 0:14:51.520 way for reason to believe there'll be a change of quarterback. Yeah, 0:14:51.560 --> 0:14:54.560 I'm more interested in the change of kicker. Stephens no 0:14:54.680 --> 0:14:58.840 longer kicking, foot punching for the Patriots. After fourteen years 0:14:58.880 --> 0:15:01.040 they to draft did a kicker. I'm looking at the 0:15:01.080 --> 0:15:03.160 Pills and the Patriots. I'm like, what do you drafting kickers? 0:15:03.160 --> 0:15:08.520 So justin Roar Vasser out of Marshall. Okay, if you're 0:15:08.520 --> 0:15:10.920 in a kicker league you like Patriots kickers, that's your guy. 0:15:11.040 --> 0:15:13.960 Um in the draft of Patriots also drafted two tight ends, 0:15:13.960 --> 0:15:17.640 Devin Asiasi and Dalton Keene. I'm starting at the tight 0:15:17.720 --> 0:15:21.040 end position. They'll compete with Matt Lacosse. I don't advocate 0:15:21.280 --> 0:15:24.160 drafting any of these guys and redraft, so we'll move 0:15:24.240 --> 0:15:27.080 on to another guy that I'm not going to advocate 0:15:27.160 --> 0:15:31.120 drafted and redraft, and that's the quarterback now, Jared stid Him, 0:15:31.200 --> 0:15:34.280 who Fantasy Pros has as quarterback thirty one right now, 0:15:34.320 --> 0:15:38.440 basically to Rod Taylor is the only starting quarterback getting drafted. 0:15:41.200 --> 0:15:43.760 You who wouldn't rather have Taylor is Chris Simms. Have 0:15:43.840 --> 0:15:47.440 you heard this? No, Chris Simms says Stidham is better 0:15:47.480 --> 0:15:53.760 than Tuah already, you'd rather have Jared Stidham, whatever, moving forward, Yeah, 0:15:53.800 --> 0:15:57.080 Jared stid Him. In his four career pass attempts to completions, 0:15:57.120 --> 0:16:00.120 one was an interception. Granted it was Jamal Adam is 0:16:00.120 --> 0:16:03.160 the best safety in the NFL in my opinion, but um, 0:16:03.200 --> 0:16:04.880 there's not a lot of tape on Stidham, of course, 0:16:04.960 --> 0:16:11.200 just four career pass attempts. His preseason was overwhelmingly positive though. Uh. 0:16:11.200 --> 0:16:13.880 In yards for attempt he was tied for tenth quarterback 0:16:13.960 --> 0:16:16.880 rating tied for twelve. There's similar statistics that are kind 0:16:16.880 --> 0:16:18.880 of impressive, but it's preseasons, so we're not gonna glue 0:16:18.920 --> 0:16:22.960 too much for that. I'm there's certainly risk and reward here, 0:16:22.960 --> 0:16:24.400 but I don't want to mess with Stidham. We're not 0:16:24.440 --> 0:16:26.680 going to draft him. Moving on to the running backs 0:16:26.960 --> 0:16:30.200 a position from New England right always said don't draft 0:16:30.200 --> 0:16:32.840 any of these guys, and I continue to do that. Uh. 0:16:32.880 --> 0:16:36.720 Sony Michelle is outside of Julian Edmond Edelman, who will 0:16:36.720 --> 0:16:41.320 get to is the highest UH has ADP on New England. Uh, 0:16:41.360 --> 0:16:43.000 they might have higher a DPS in the Jets. This 0:16:43.080 --> 0:16:45.520 team is looking so brutal on paper. Uh. He's going 0:16:45.560 --> 0:16:48.600 in the seventh round, James White and late ninth James 0:16:48.600 --> 0:16:51.680 White only viable and PPR over ninety targets over the 0:16:51.720 --> 0:16:55.520 last two years. Julian Edelman in the late seventh. I 0:16:55.520 --> 0:16:57.520 don't think he's gonna fall off a cliff per se, 0:16:58.080 --> 0:17:00.280 that's coming, though it may not be this year, it's 0:17:00.280 --> 0:17:02.800 next year. He doesn't have your biggest downside yet he's 0:17:02.840 --> 0:17:06.560 your safest player. But there's no ceiling. No you don't. 0:17:06.600 --> 0:17:08.760 The upside isn't there? That he that he had under Brady. 0:17:08.800 --> 0:17:10.720 But he still probably catches a bunch of balls. He 0:17:10.760 --> 0:17:13.320 probably does, but a man with age, No, Tom Brady 0:17:13.400 --> 0:17:16.040 does have an injury history. I'm out on him entirely. 0:17:16.200 --> 0:17:17.760 Probably a year early, but it's better to be a 0:17:17.840 --> 0:17:19.840 year early than a year late in this regard. So 0:17:19.880 --> 0:17:21.960 that brings me to the end. Kill Harry by far 0:17:22.280 --> 0:17:24.560 the highest upside of anyone on New England going in 0:17:24.600 --> 0:17:29.520 the twelfth round. Right now, overall player wide receiver fifty five. 0:17:29.600 --> 0:17:32.239 People are acting like Harry is old and washed up. 0:17:34.440 --> 0:17:37.480 Treat like a decrepit injury injury riddled. I mean his 0:17:37.600 --> 0:17:41.840 name is Harry, so he old, washed up, Hary, Harold 0:17:42.359 --> 0:17:46.560 he he uh Granted, Harry graded out is a better 0:17:46.720 --> 0:17:51.280 rusher receiver by Pro Football Focus last year forty yards 0:17:51.280 --> 0:17:53.359 on five carries, so he's a pretty good ball uh 0:17:53.440 --> 0:17:55.560 ball carry. But again it was the last season due 0:17:55.600 --> 0:17:58.240 to injury. Only twenty three targets. I like Harry. I 0:17:58.240 --> 0:18:01.959 think Harry is gonna outscore every single rookie wide receiver 0:18:02.119 --> 0:18:06.240 this year. How's that for a call? Yes, he kill 0:18:06.280 --> 0:18:10.200 Harry is gonna outscore every Harry Judy can outscore Ceedee Lamb. 0:18:10.480 --> 0:18:13.000 And there's this can only really be a gut feeling. 0:18:13.040 --> 0:18:14.919 But he has all the intangibles. He's one year in 0:18:15.440 --> 0:18:21.800 and let on that Fie upside by far is in Kiel. 0:18:21.840 --> 0:18:24.160 Harry is going to get a shot as the number 0:18:24.160 --> 0:18:27.040 one wide receiver. Julian Edelman is not that never was, 0:18:27.520 --> 0:18:33.000 so I believe you with that. But this, Yeah, the 0:18:33.040 --> 0:18:35.879 notion that he's gonna outscore the best wide receiver crop 0:18:36.040 --> 0:18:40.040 of in our memory is absurd, coming in with no 0:18:40.160 --> 0:18:44.400 mini camp, a shortened preseason. Don't care. I cannot wait 0:18:44.440 --> 0:18:46.120 to be ready. That's the a f C East. Let's 0:18:46.119 --> 0:18:48.879 shift over to the NFC East. Matt. You've got the 0:18:49.000 --> 0:18:53.040 Dallas Cowboys. This is quite quite a difference from most 0:18:53.080 --> 0:18:55.840 of the offenses we've just been talking about. Man, I 0:18:55.880 --> 0:18:59.439 think you know I want every Cowboy. Basically, should I 0:18:59.440 --> 0:19:03.480 have given you the Cowboys to talk about a Jets 0:19:03.560 --> 0:19:07.680 and the Red Sky They added Ceedee Lamb of course 0:19:07.680 --> 0:19:10.119 in the first round of the draft. Andy Dalton is 0:19:10.160 --> 0:19:13.800 the backup quarterback. Cameron Irving joins the old line, and 0:19:14.000 --> 0:19:18.919 uh Legatron Greg's urline joins that team. Uh. Not that 0:19:18.920 --> 0:19:21.160 we talked about kickers very much, but he's currently going 0:19:21.200 --> 0:19:23.400 off the board is the third kicker right now. So 0:19:24.040 --> 0:19:28.040 high powered offense and a good way. Uh. They lost 0:19:28.280 --> 0:19:31.760 Tavon Austin Randall, Cob Jason Witten. Now let's put lost 0:19:31.800 --> 0:19:33.640 in air quotes for those three. Can we just lose 0:19:33.880 --> 0:19:38.320 von Austin forever? That dudes made like a hundred million 0:19:38.359 --> 0:19:41.640 dollars in his career. Eighth overall pick um. They did 0:19:41.680 --> 0:19:46.840 lose Cameron Fleming from the offensive line and Travis Frederick retired. Um, 0:19:46.880 --> 0:19:49.919 and that was from Pro Football focuses number four offensive 0:19:49.960 --> 0:19:52.439 line last year. So uh, they got they got a 0:19:52.440 --> 0:19:55.040 little bit of a churn on the old line there. Um. 0:19:55.080 --> 0:19:57.960 As far as the riskiest player, I think you gotta 0:19:58.000 --> 0:20:00.480 go right to the top, and you guys really have 0:20:00.560 --> 0:20:04.440 covered it over the last two weeks. Ezekiel Elliott, who 0:20:04.920 --> 0:20:07.800 by Fantasy Pros consensus ADPs going off the board at 0:20:07.880 --> 0:20:11.600 number four right now, which is surprisingly behind Dalvin Cook. 0:20:11.640 --> 0:20:13.960 I feel like Zeke is going three in most of 0:20:13.960 --> 0:20:17.960 the league's I see. But the fact that he's going 0:20:18.000 --> 0:20:21.120 in the top three means there's just not that much upside. 0:20:22.160 --> 0:20:23.960 Um and and and the two of you guys have 0:20:24.040 --> 0:20:27.199 been spouting the virtues of Tommy Pollard for quite a 0:20:27.200 --> 0:20:29.520 while now, so a little about a year or two 0:20:29.520 --> 0:20:35.240 early on the Tony Pollard. Um. Yeah, so I I 0:20:35.440 --> 0:20:40.400 think that's your riskiest guy right there. Um, You're safest, 0:20:40.600 --> 0:20:46.320 but not safest players probably Dek Prescott because of the offense. 0:20:48.119 --> 0:20:50.360 It's gonna gonna be a part of anything. You don't 0:20:50.359 --> 0:20:54.080 want to worry about which of his capable electrifying receivers 0:20:54.240 --> 0:20:56.399 is going to catch the ball. Absolutely, they just take that. 0:20:56.480 --> 0:20:58.879 Prescott have to sweat trying to figure out which receivers, 0:20:58.920 --> 0:21:01.800 which Dal's receivers can the big The not safest part 0:21:02.000 --> 0:21:05.119 is what if he holds out and then Andy Dalton 0:21:05.200 --> 0:21:06.960 starting a couple of games at the beginning of the year. 0:21:07.520 --> 0:21:11.120 But Dak did put up yards and thirty touchdowns through 0:21:11.160 --> 0:21:14.600 the air last year, had two seventy seven yards on 0:21:14.640 --> 0:21:17.639 the ground and three touchdowns, and that was his worst 0:21:17.720 --> 0:21:20.199 rushing year. He's had six touchdowns on the ground in 0:21:20.280 --> 0:21:23.080 every other year and at least three hundred yards, So 0:21:23.480 --> 0:21:26.040 uh DA's pretty safe. Although I do want to give 0:21:26.040 --> 0:21:29.480 a special mention to Michael Gallup. He's going a little 0:21:29.520 --> 0:21:32.080 bit too high in ADP right now. He's sixty five 0:21:32.160 --> 0:21:35.360 off the board and wide receiver thirty. But he finished 0:21:35.359 --> 0:21:39.359 his wide receiver nineteen. Last year he had eleven hundred 0:21:39.440 --> 0:21:42.160 yards and six scores on sixty six catches. Now, granted, 0:21:42.960 --> 0:21:45.680 there's some open targets now that Cobb has gone, Witton 0:21:45.760 --> 0:21:51.960 has gone. Sure, Lamb is better than probably be better 0:21:52.000 --> 0:21:55.400 than Gallop overall, uh as as we go down the road. 0:21:55.720 --> 0:21:58.920 But I'm not gonna quite give up on Michael Gallup yet. 0:21:59.359 --> 0:22:02.400 You're getting a guy who's in a great offense. He's 0:22:02.400 --> 0:22:06.320 got wide receiver to potential, and and he's just sitting there, 0:22:06.320 --> 0:22:09.160