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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Wednesday morning edition of the Daily Juice

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Speaker 1: podcast off of Bettingpros dot Com. My name's Matt Peralt.

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Speaker 1: We're all here thanks to bet MGM or bag for

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Speaker 1: another day of picks. Here on a Wednesday. So a

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Speaker 1: three to oh Monday, A one in two on Tuesday,

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Speaker 1: so not a great day, not horrible. We got the

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Speaker 1: Vegas Golden Knights over right, that hit. We played the

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Speaker 1: Boston Bruins and the Tip of Bay Lightning under. I

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Speaker 1: leaned towards Tampa winning that game went to overtime. Tampa

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Speaker 1: did win. That's serious. Now tied at one game apiece,

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Speaker 1: but the overtime victory, a four to three victory, a

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Speaker 1: pretty impressive win, a lot of goals, seven of them.

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Speaker 1: I didn't think that was gonna happen. I went with

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Speaker 1: the under, and the over wound up hitting, and then,

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Speaker 1: my goodness, gracious, the over continues today hit in the

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Speaker 1: Denver Utah series. Denver, I think it's something like twelve

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Speaker 1: straight games the over has hit. But Jamal Murray was incredible.

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Speaker 1: He didn't score fifty, scored forty two. He scored thirty

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Speaker 1: five points. Though in the second half he went crazy

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Speaker 1: and Utah had no answer for him. It was a

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Speaker 1: crazy game. Tip of the cap to Denver. We had

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Speaker 1: the Jazz expensively on the money line. I felt pretty

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Speaker 1: good going into the fourth quarter, and then Murray just

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Speaker 1: wouldn't stop making shots. I mean, no matter who was

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Speaker 1: on him, two pointers, three pointers, go into the rim,

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Speaker 1: pull up jumpers in transition. I mean, the guy hit everything.

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Speaker 1: And when that happens, you just kind of tip the

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Speaker 1: cap and say, Okay, it was your day, it was

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Speaker 1: your game. And coming up here for game number six

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Speaker 1: will wind up going ahead and laying or taking the

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Speaker 1: over in that game, I'm gonn tell you right now,

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Speaker 1: we'll already be on it. So just an incredible, incredible game.

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Speaker 1: So one, two, four and two week going so far here,

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Speaker 1: so not all four. We're still up, So we head

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Speaker 1: towards picks today and the picks today. Two on baseball,

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Speaker 1: I've got three in hockey, and I've got one on

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Speaker 1: a series. And I spend quite a bit of time

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Speaker 1: talking to book makers and people that I trust about

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Speaker 1: a couple of different lines that I found to be

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Speaker 1: very very interesting today. So we're gonna get into those games.

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Speaker 1: Come up here in just one second. But I got

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Speaker 1: a couple things I want to tell you about. First

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Speaker 1: and foremost. First, I have dropped with Betting Pros a

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Speaker 1: new weekly column called the Book Report. It's gonna hit

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Speaker 1: every single Tuesday morning where I'm talking to book makers

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Speaker 1: and I'm gonna report on what's happening across the country.

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Speaker 1: Good beats, bad beats, you know, easy covers, handle wins,

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Speaker 1: losses for the books, big games, and we're gonna drop

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Speaker 1: it every Tuesday following the Monday night football game, so

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Speaker 1: we'll have all the games here for the weekend. Every Tuesday,

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Speaker 1: the Book Report's gonna drop. It's a written piece off

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Speaker 1: of Bettingpros dot com, first episode, first edition. It's out

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Speaker 1: right now, volume one. I'm calling it so very cool stuff.

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Speaker 1: It's a book, a certain book you want me to highlight,

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Speaker 1: Please tell me. Let me know at Sports Talk Matt,

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Speaker 1: send me a DM and let me know, and I'll

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Speaker 1: do my best to go ahead and find out some information.

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Speaker 1: There's a certain game you really are curious about as

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Speaker 1: we get into college and professional football. This is going

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Speaker 1: to be a really cool feature, I think, to get

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Speaker 1: kind of in deep, in depth into what's happening with

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Speaker 1: the sportsbooks around the country for wagers, for handle, for

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Speaker 1: revenue and whatnot. So book Report Episode one out right

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Speaker 1: now here on Bettingpros dot com. This podcast is being

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Speaker 1: brought to you by bet MGM, and there's only one

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Speaker 1: game left to watch, the Lakers and the Blazers, and

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Speaker 1: that is tonight for their game. The Lakers are fourteen

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Speaker 1: point favorites here against the Blazers. But if you want

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Speaker 1: at betmgm. You're going to go and bet on the

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Speaker 1: Blazers or the Lakers one dollar on either side. Either

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Speaker 1: team wins, you win one hundred dollars. If one three

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Speaker 1: pointer is hit in the game, that's it. Free money,

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Speaker 1: very easy Blazers. But that offer is going to end

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Speaker 1: tonight because the Lakers are going to beat the Blazers.

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Speaker 1: There is I will fall over if the Blazers were

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Speaker 1: to beat the Lakers coming up tonight. So this is

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Speaker 1: the last time to take advantage of the one dollar

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Speaker 1: offer to have one hundred dollars in free wagers from

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Speaker 1: bet mgm. To download their app, go to betmgm dot

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Speaker 1: com and use one dollar wagering and go ahead, and

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Speaker 1: you will win one hundred dollars if one three pointers

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Speaker 1: made here in this game BETMGM dot com. For terms

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Speaker 1: and conditions, you must be in Colorado, Indiana, New Jersey,

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Speaker 1: or West Virginia. Please gamble responsibly, and if you have

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Speaker 1: a gambling problem called one eight hundred five two two

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Speaker 1: forty seven hundred in Colorado, one hundred gambler in New Jersey,

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Speaker 1: in West Virginia or one eight hundred with it all right,

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Speaker 1: I got a lot to get to here, and I'm

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Speaker 1: going a little heavy today. I got a little bit nuts.

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Speaker 1: Maybe it's sometimes when I do this I get mad

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Speaker 1: at myself. But first, let's start with baseball. I haven't

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Speaker 1: talked much baseball. We maybe have made many baseball bets.

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Speaker 1: But I like to pick and choose, and I see

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Speaker 1: spots and I'm gonna fire on spots that I like.

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Speaker 1: The first game I like. I was talking to people

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Speaker 1: online after watching what Geolido did to the Pittsburgh Pirates.

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Speaker 1: The Pirates had won three straight games at home, but

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Speaker 1: on the road they're a very bad team. They're a

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Speaker 1: bad team, period, but they had had four wins before

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Speaker 1: they played the Brewers at home and they swept the Brewers.

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Speaker 1: So they got to seven and they're thinking, Okay, we're

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Speaker 1: feeling good and then they're no hit last night, I

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Speaker 1: mean for nothing, no hitter. So I was thinking to

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Speaker 1: myself and I was actually asking people on Twitter, like, okay,

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Speaker 1: so for teams as to what happens after they get

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Speaker 1: no hit? You know, what is the general consensus as

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Speaker 1: to what happens. So I was talking to Ralph Michaels

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Speaker 1: and going back and forth with people on Twitter at

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Speaker 1: cow Sports LV. He's a great follow on Twitter, and

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Speaker 1: he is uncovered that on the run line teams that

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Speaker 1: get no hit on the next game they are twenty

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Speaker 1: and twenty six against the run line. It's a pretty

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Speaker 1: good clip. Okay, that's pretty decent. And so when you

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Speaker 1: look at this game between the White Sox and the

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Speaker 1: Pittsburghs coming up today, I'm sorry, but you got to

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Speaker 1: take a long, hard look here at what may happen

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Speaker 1: for the Pittsburgh Pirates. Teams on the next day after

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Speaker 1: no hitting the opponent, they are thirty and nineteen with

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Speaker 1: an average line of minus one twenty two and they're

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Speaker 1: plus nine point eight units on the next day so

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Speaker 1: Lucas Glitto no hits the Pirates next day. What happens well,

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Speaker 1: for the most part, teams who win keep winning. In

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Speaker 1: the teams that lose keep losing, which shouldn't be that

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Speaker 1: big of a surprise, right, But you have one of

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Speaker 1: the worst offenses in the entire sport up against a

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Speaker 1: pitcher in Lucasgielito who was horrible two years ago but

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Speaker 1: has come into ace status now for the White Sox.

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Speaker 1: So this game coming up today is an early game. Okay,

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Speaker 1: this is an early early game. Get to this immediately.

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Speaker 1: Dallas kikel on the mound four and two, two point

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Speaker 1: sixty five Era nineteen. K's Trevor Williams goes to the

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Speaker 1: mound one in four with a three point seven zero

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Speaker 1: ear for the Pittsburgh Pirates. We're betting the run line,

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Speaker 1: White Sox run line. We're probably betting the run line

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Speaker 1: every game the rest of the way. Here for the

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Speaker 1: White Sox against the Pittsburgh Pirates. This is a good

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Speaker 1: team with a good offense at home where they've played well,

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Speaker 1: up against the worst team in baseball in the Pittsburgh Pirates.

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Speaker 1: I got it on the run line at minus one

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Speaker 1: thirty first play of the day, early start time, day

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Speaker 1: game at home White Sox bats stay hot run line

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Speaker 1: victory for the White Sox over the Pittsburgh Pirates following.

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Speaker 1: I mean, look at they had a horrible night, they

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Speaker 1: get no hit and they gotta come right back to

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Speaker 1: the ballpark for a day game. Yeah, that's not a

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Speaker 1: good recipe. And Kikel's pitch very well. Dominant left hander.

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Speaker 1: In his last start on Friday against the Cubs, he

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Speaker 1: worked eight innings, one hundred and fourteen pitches, allowned one

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Speaker 1: run and struck out three. According to MLB dot Com,

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Speaker 1: Kykel has a ten and seven interleague record with a

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Speaker 1: two point eight to seven ELRA Kikel in the White

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Speaker 1: Sox run line and minus one P thirty is our

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Speaker 1: first play, second play for baseball. It's a Garrett Cole day,

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Speaker 1: and when Garrett Cole is pitching, we like to bet unders.

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Speaker 1: In baseball. Yankees taking on the Atlanta Braves this game

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Speaker 1: being played in Atlanta. Garrett Cole four to oh with

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Speaker 1: a two point seventy five ERA, forty four k's so

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Speaker 1: far for him when twenty consecutive regularlyas starts dating back

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Speaker 1: to last May that's tied for the third longest streak

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Speaker 1: in history, undefeated in his last twenty eight starts dating

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Speaker 1: back to May twenty seventh, according to MLB dot com,

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Speaker 1: going twenty to oh with a one point nine to

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Speaker 1: seventy lra incredible, right, There's no real value in betting

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Speaker 1: on the Yankees because it's so high, the juice is

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Speaker 1: so outstanding that it's not really worth playing this. So

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Speaker 1: you go ahead and you can play the under. You

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Speaker 1: can get it at MISUS one. Ten nine runs is

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Speaker 1: the total Ian Anderson's going. He's the braves third ranked

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Speaker 1: pitching prospect. He'll make his debut coming up here, third

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Speaker 1: overall pick in twenty sixteen. This kid's probably probably pretty good.

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Speaker 1: Yankees hitters haven't seen the kid before. I mean, he

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Speaker 1: could blow up and the Yankees could wind up scoring

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Speaker 1: a ton of runs. But I don't think the Yankees

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Speaker 1: are gonna score nine runs by themselves. We might get

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Speaker 1: you know, that might be a danger zone here to

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Speaker 1: go ahead and bet the under, but nine runs is

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Speaker 1: the total. I'm taking the under with Garrett Cole on

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Speaker 1: the mound. It's kind of like how we used to

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Speaker 1: do it whenever we saw Jacob deGrom pitch. Garrett Cole

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Speaker 1: is kind of in that same vein here. I mean,

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Speaker 1: he's not gonna give up. He's gonna go six, seven innings.

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Speaker 1: He's not gonna give up more than a run or two.

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Speaker 1: And so how many runs with the Yankees score up

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Speaker 1: against the Braves. Just got to hope that they don't

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Speaker 1: go up there and score, you know, seven runs, eight runs.

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Speaker 1: You hope they scored five or six and it's a

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Speaker 1: five to one, five, you know, six to two type

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Speaker 1: victory here for the New York Yankees over the Atlanta Braves.

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Speaker 1: I know, betting unders is it's somewhat dangerous in baseball,

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Speaker 1: but we're gonna bet the under with Garrett Cole on

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Speaker 1: the mound, just because he is so incredibly dominant. So

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Speaker 1: baseball plays White Sox run line minus one thirty Braves

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Speaker 1: Yankees under nine runs at minus one ten. Okay, we

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Speaker 1: go to hockey. We've got two plays in hockey, and

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna add a third one, and I guess we

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Speaker 1: can go ahead and count this like two plays for

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Speaker 1: one game. And then we're kind of playing a thing

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Speaker 1: that we have to play just because I told you

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Speaker 1: I'd bet it every time until we lose it. So

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Speaker 1: I understand that I might be getting into trouble here

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Speaker 1: by picking this many games. But here's what we're doing

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Speaker 1: with hockey, all right. Have you seen what's going on

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Speaker 1: with the total goals for Game two with the Islanders

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Speaker 1: and the Flyers. So Caesar's has it set at four

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Speaker 1: and a half goals, but BETMGM is at five, and

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Speaker 1: nearly everybody else is also at five. And I was

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Speaker 1: talking to a couple of different book makers and it

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Speaker 1: really is an interesting conversation because they believe this game

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Speaker 1: is going to be extremely low scoring. They don't think

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Speaker 1: goals are being scored at all. So Caesar set the

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Speaker 1: market low at four and a half. BETMGM is at five,

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Speaker 1: other books are at five. If you're listening to this

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Speaker 1: early in the morning, get on the under five quickly,

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Speaker 1: all right, under five minus one thirty. In fact, if

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Speaker 1: you can find a plus one thirty this is something

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Speaker 1: I think it's in New Jersey where I saw this.

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Speaker 1: But you may be able to get under four and

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Speaker 1: a half goals. You may be able to get four,

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Speaker 1: and that would be plus money with an alternative number.

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Speaker 1: I can't be an official play because I can't play it,

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Speaker 1: but I just played it at five under five goals

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Speaker 1: at minus one thirty. If you get plus money, maybe

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Speaker 1: you go under four at plus one thirty. This is

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Speaker 1: going to be a two to one type of hockey game.

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Speaker 1: Nobody is expecting many goals at all. I mean, four

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Speaker 1: to nothing was the kind of a fluky game there

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Speaker 1: in Game number one. Goals are going to be very

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Speaker 1: hard to come by here in this series, between the

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Speaker 1: Flyers and the Islanders style of play, goaltenders, everything the

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Speaker 1: way this series is going to go, and not a

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Speaker 1: little ice to skid around on. So we're going under

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Speaker 1: five goals and the next two plays you can probably

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Speaker 1: guess where I'm going, right. It's a little expensive, But

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Speaker 1: first period under it's minus one. Dave Sherripin told me

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Speaker 1: after we got that bet correctly in game one when

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Speaker 1: the first period under hit, he said, it's gonna be

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Speaker 1: one eighty. He goes, you're hit it. You're gonna hit

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Speaker 1: it. It's gonna hit in game two, and then it will

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Speaker 1: be minus two hundred in Game three, and you should

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Speaker 1: probably keep on playing it because it's going to hit.

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Speaker 1: Now it gets expensive, but it's gonna hit in this series,

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Speaker 1: they are just gonna take their lumps. The books are

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Speaker 1: expecting it. We're going first period under Islanders Flyers, so

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Speaker 1: game under at minus one thirty at five and the

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Speaker 1: first period under minus one eighty expensive, I know, but

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Speaker 1: I think it's gonna hit. So that's in terms of juice,

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Speaker 1: one eighty might be in my mind. I mean, that's

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Speaker 1: pretty much like my high. I don't go much higher

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Speaker 1: than one eighty. It's now two hundred, very very rarely,

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Speaker 1: but one eighty is is kind of my ceiling. But

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna play it because we've been hitting on it

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Speaker 1: and it's been successful. Speaking of hitting on it, all right,

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Speaker 1: you know where I'm going, guys, right, Avalanche and the Stars.

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Speaker 1: This is crazy. We have bet this four straight times

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Speaker 1: for the Avalanche for overs, and it's hit and the

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Speaker 1: books aren't adjusting the number for whatever reason, they adjusted it.

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Speaker 1: With the Vegas gold Knights, six was the number at

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Speaker 1: certain books after we bet the over. Five Seven goals

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Speaker 1: were scored last night. Actually, so even that hit where

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Speaker 1: an empty ender went late for the Vancouver Canucks, so

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Speaker 1: it was a five to two win. These seven goals

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Speaker 1: were scored, but it's still five and a half for

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Speaker 1: the Avalanche and the Stars. So the Stars play a

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Speaker 1: defensive minded you know, they want to play defense more,

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Speaker 1: they don't want to score a ton, but they're the

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Speaker 1: one scoring a ton. So at some point I think

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Speaker 1: the Avalanche they're gonna have a big explosion offensively. So

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Speaker 1: I'm just waiting on it, and I'm just going to

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Speaker 1: keep on betting the over five and a half goals.

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Speaker 1: It's been profitable. It's hit for us, so I mean again,

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Speaker 1: the first period under Islanders has been very profitable for us,

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Speaker 1: and the overs on Avalanche games have also been very profitable.

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Speaker 1: So I'm just going to keep on betting it until

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Speaker 1: it doesn't hit. And I mean, just keep on playing

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Speaker 1: it until it hits. It's how people have been doing

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Speaker 1: it with the overs in basketball. They've just been blindly

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Speaker 1: betting the overs. It keeps on hitting. It's just just

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Speaker 1: sort of like, well, we've made money on it, let's

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Speaker 1: just keep on betting it until we lose. So three

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Speaker 1: plays in hockey, Islanders under for the game first period

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Speaker 1: under under one and a half goals, and then we're

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Speaker 1: taking the over five and a half goals for the Avalanche.

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Speaker 1: In the Dallas Stars, for those three plays, so five

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Speaker 1: plays going here on a Wednesday, and I've got one

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Speaker 1: future bet to make here as well. Let's talk about

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Speaker 1: the Boston Celtics and the Toronto Raptors. This series is

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Speaker 1: going to be very interesting. Boston right now is plus

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Speaker 1: one twenty five to win the series. Toronto comes in

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Speaker 1: at minus one fifty. Kyle Lowry's ankle, his arch is

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Speaker 1: a major conversation point and he may not be available

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Speaker 1: in Game number one. If he plays, he may not

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Speaker 1: be up to speed coming up in Game number one.

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Speaker 1: Boston is now rested. They don't have Gordon Hayward. But

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Speaker 1: we've talked about it before that they might be a

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Speaker 1: better team without Gordon Hayward because that means they're getting

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Speaker 1: more shots for their superstar backcourt in Jason Tatum, Jalen

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Speaker 1: Brown and Kemba Walker. So Kyle Lowry is a very

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Speaker 1: difficult guy to stop getting to the rim. Fred van

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Speaker 1: Fleet has a guy who's been shooting really really well,

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Speaker 1: Norman Powell as well, So the backcourt can definitely, I mean,

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Speaker 1: they've got the firepower in the backcourt to match the

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Speaker 1: Boston Celtics. But this is where I'm kind of going.

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Speaker 1: There's a value play here on the Celtics. Even though

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Speaker 1: Toronto is a really good team, Boston can beat the

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Speaker 1: Raptors and they've got plus money on it. It's plus

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Speaker 1: one twenty five on this. So while you go, all right,

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Speaker 1: Philly was one dimensional and Celtics dominated them. They swept

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Speaker 1: them out like they're supposed to. And this is a

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Speaker 1: much different task, a much more difficult team. But Toronto

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Speaker 1: played a cupcake team in the Brooklyn Nets, and they

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Speaker 1: did what they're supposed to do to a cupcake team.

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Speaker 1: They blew them out. I'm just looking at Boston here,

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Speaker 1: and I don't need to four to six, you know,

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Speaker 1: five seven games, It doesn't matter to me. All we

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Speaker 1: need is Boston to win four games out of seven

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Speaker 1: against the Toronto Raptors. And look, I think this is

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Speaker 1: gonna be a back and forth series. But I'm looking

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Speaker 1: at this Boston team and I'm thinking, hold on a second,

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Speaker 1: I get plus money on a team that might be

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Speaker 1: in the top five in the NBA. Now. Nick Nurse

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Speaker 1: is an incredible coach, but Brad Stevens is no slouch either.

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Speaker 1: So I mean from a you know, from a matchup standpoint,

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Speaker 1: coaching wise, I think it's a wash. Jalen Brown versus

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Speaker 1: Pascal Siakam is gonna be really fun to watch and

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Speaker 1: that could have I mean, that's a really important matchup

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Speaker 1: for Boston to win. But I mean Siakam is six

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Speaker 1: foot nine, He's a big dude, tough to handle. Jalen

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Speaker 1: Brown's gonna need to have a really athletic series, get

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Speaker 1: to the rim, get fouled, get guys in foul trouble.

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Speaker 1: I'm just going to go ahead and take Boston at

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Speaker 1: plus one twenty five, and yeah, the Raptors might wind

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Speaker 1: up winning the series in seven, but I got plus

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Speaker 1: money on the Celtics here, and maybe it's a Homer play,

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Speaker 1: you know, maybe it's just a Bostonian to me take

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Speaker 1: the pick, but I got plus money on the Boston Celtics.

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Speaker 1: I'm taking that. If it doesn't hit, it's the right side,

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Speaker 1: the right side to bet on here, given how close

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Speaker 1: these two teams are where it's not a coin flip series,

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Speaker 1: but it could go four to three one way or

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Speaker 1: the other. And I'm gonna take Boston at plus one

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Speaker 1: twenty five to win the series and knock out the

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Speaker 1: Toronto Raptors, the defending champs. So five plays in one

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Speaker 1: future six plays to give you here, giving you your

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Speaker 1: money's worth here on the Wednesday's Daily Juice. Huh, We're

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Speaker 1: going White Sox run line miss one thirty, Atlanta Yankees

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Speaker 1: nine under at misus one ten. We're taking first period

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Speaker 1: under minus one eighty Islanders and the Flyers. That's steep.

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Speaker 1: We're taking the under five goals here for the Islanders

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Speaker 1: and the Flyers. That's at misus one thirty. We're taking

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Speaker 1: the Avalanche over five and a half goals at minus

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Speaker 1: one ten, and then we're going Boston at plus one

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Speaker 1: twenty five to win their series against the Toronto Raptors.

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Speaker 1: I get it. You want overs in the NBA, be

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Speaker 1: my guest and go play them. I'm just gonna sit

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Speaker 1: out today with the NBA from a day from a

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Speaker 1: game perspective, kind of lick my wounds a little bit,

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Speaker 1: watch a little bit more. My name's Matt Perrault. You

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Speaker 1: can follow me on Twitter at Sports Talk Matt dm mes.

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Speaker 1: Dms are open. Let's get after it here on a Wednesday,

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Speaker 1: and we're back tomorrow for a Thursday edition of the

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Speaker 1: Dally Juice Podcast. Here off beennipros dot com