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Speaker 1: The Action Network Podcast.

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Speaker 2: What's up the general nation? Welcome to the Action Network Podcast.

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Speaker 2: This is the Wimbledon betting preview. I'm stucky and joining

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Speaker 2: me today my partner in crime in the tennis world,

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Speaker 2: mister Daniel Scotti, who nailed pretty much nailed the French

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Speaker 2: Open on the men's side. How goes it, Scotty? It

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Speaker 2: goes good.

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Speaker 1: I'm not as confident that we will be nailing much

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Speaker 1: over the next two weeks of Wimbledon, but I think

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Speaker 1: that's the fun of it, and if we do nail something,

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Speaker 1: the price will be even higher.

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Speaker 2: So excited. Yeah, I mean, I have to say I'm

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Speaker 2: not mad at my cap for I mean, my only

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Speaker 2: future was Consabkina, who got to the Semis. Unfortunately, I

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Speaker 2: just needed someone else to take out IgA at the

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Speaker 2: French because it's just nightmare matchup for Conskina. She's it's

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Speaker 2: just like IgA is kind of her on steroids and

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Speaker 2: there's just nothing that she can do to hurt her.

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Speaker 2: Zang had her beat a setment upus was one of

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Speaker 2: the first set then got hurt. I would have really

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Speaker 2: helped us. But getting fifty five to one to the Semis,

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Speaker 2: I can't complain and look in order to hit some

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Speaker 2: of these big futures, like I had Chilich to win

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Speaker 2: the US Open, like Nische Corey took out Djokovic right

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Speaker 2: and then he had nothing left in the final. Stan

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Speaker 2: I had him the sixty to one when the Australian opened.

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Speaker 2: He played the doll in the final, who basically just

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Speaker 2: walked walked because he's hurt. So like you, to hit

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Speaker 2: some of these long shots, you're gonna need a and

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Speaker 2: that's with any future in any sport, You're gonna need

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Speaker 2: a break or two along the way. So hopefully if

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Speaker 2: we identify one or two here, we can get that

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Speaker 2: break in this tournament. But uh, Rafa, what are your

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Speaker 2: thoughts for what that did to? And another hat your

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Speaker 2: boy his legacy.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, he's my boy, But I gotta be honest. I

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Speaker 1: there were very random, few and far between years where

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Speaker 1: I'm really expecting Rafa to come out and win this tournament.

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Speaker 1: For whatever reason. I think it was twenty eighteen, the

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Speaker 1: one where he had that epic five set match against Novak.

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Speaker 1: I think it was the semi. I was super high

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Speaker 1: on him to win that tournament. But for whatever reason,

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Speaker 1: especially I think that the success he had at the

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Speaker 1: Austie in the French Open. I mean, it would be

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Speaker 1: a lot for him to win this tournament. I've always

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Speaker 1: been a guy that kind of looks the big picture

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Speaker 1: of things, and for Raf at his age right now

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Speaker 1: to be to go three for three, I rarely, if

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Speaker 1: ever bet against the guy, but even that one, I

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Speaker 1: don't think it's happening.

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Speaker 2: But we'll see the Semis in eighteen to nineteen. But

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Speaker 2: he hasn't made a final since twenty eleven, so in

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Speaker 2: ten years. Is obviously his worst surface, the way the

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Speaker 2: ball bounces, you know, his strength isn't necessarily serving for

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Speaker 2: various reasons. But we'll start on the men's I will

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Speaker 2: also talk women's I went through the entire drawl this morning,

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Speaker 2: so have some thoughts there. But let's you know, let's

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Speaker 2: start on the men's side. And Wimbledon's a really interesting

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Speaker 2: the tournament this year because the fields are watered down

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Speaker 2: because players from Russia and Belarus are prohibited from participating

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Speaker 2: in the tournament. So the number one and number two

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Speaker 2: players in the world right now, it's not nadahal Djokovic,

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Speaker 2: it's Zverev and Medvedev. Zverev's hurt and Medvedev is not

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Speaker 2: allowed to play in the Surnam so they won't be here.

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Speaker 2: And you also have mister Federer, who you know, when

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Speaker 2: people think of Wimbledon, they think of Roger Feeder. He

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Speaker 2: won't be here. Would you set the odds that he

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Speaker 2: ever wins another major again? It has to be I

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Speaker 2: would imagine it has to be like Wimbledon next year.

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Speaker 1: That's it fifty to one, and that's that's being generous

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Speaker 1: to Roger. There's a lot of respect built into that

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Speaker 1: fifty to one.

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Speaker 2: He's got to just prep do everything he can to

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Speaker 2: win wimbled in next year and then get a ton

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Speaker 2: of breaks and then but that's about it. But yeah,

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Speaker 2: so it's a water downfield and if you look at

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Speaker 2: the draw, it's kind of lacking a lot of star

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Speaker 2: part You look at some of these quarters and you're like,

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Speaker 2: oh my gosh, look at the path for some of

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Speaker 2: these players. So we will go through each quarter here

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Speaker 2: and share our thoughts. I should mention that Djokovic is

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Speaker 2: the favorite. Saw him like a minus one thirty to

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Speaker 2: take this. Som Barattini, who was hurt you know in

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Speaker 2: the I didn't participate in the French Open, has since

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Speaker 2: come back. His odds have crashed, and I saw him

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Speaker 2: at like fifteen to one. He's down to like seven

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Speaker 2: to one, six to one at some places, Nadal plus

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Speaker 2: seven fifty Alcarez, who this isn't his strongest surface. He

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Speaker 2: kind of reminds me of like Team Early Team, right,

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Speaker 2: like Early Team on Grass. It just you got to

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Speaker 2: feel it out. It's not his surface yet. And yeah,

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Speaker 2: I think that he has potential as on Grass in

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Speaker 2: the future, just not now. I don't see him. Hurcots,

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Speaker 2: who's playing extremely well and has the game built for Grass,

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Speaker 2: is now at fourteen to one. Then you got Faa

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Speaker 2: eighteen twenty to one, Titsipas twenty three to one, Chilich

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Speaker 2: twenty seven one, Curios twenty nine to one, and then

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Speaker 2: then you're down to like Mary seventy one, Chippawa one

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Speaker 2: hundred and twenty to one. So let's let's before we

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Speaker 2: dive into the quarters, let's start high level. Because we

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Speaker 2: talked about this a couple of weeks ago, right after

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Speaker 2: French we said who are the players that we think

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Speaker 2: can win this? And we we both kind of agreed

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Speaker 2: on the order at the time. Right, things have changed,

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Speaker 2: you see Grass form and see how players look. But

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Speaker 2: at the time we both said, you know, Djokovic, Chilich

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Speaker 2: FAA and then Barattini pending his health and all on

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Speaker 2: that front. Yeah, yep, which is why his odds have crashed.

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Speaker 2: Her coach, I think has entered the discussion to make

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Speaker 2: a deep run with the way that he has looked

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Speaker 2: of late, anyone else like this can I don't think

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Speaker 2: Mary can win this tournament, but can he make a run?

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Speaker 2: Sure curios? Could he ever put? Is he ever going

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Speaker 2: to take this serious enough? I mean, his peak on

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Speaker 2: grass is as good as anybody. You know, he's in

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Speaker 2: the and he gets respected. He's like twenty nine to one.

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Speaker 2: He's a six seventh favorite in this Chapablov sitsipas any

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Speaker 2: one of those that we should add to the the

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Speaker 2: docket of realistic chances of winning this tournament.

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Speaker 1: I think that there's there's one bucket for realistic chances

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Speaker 1: of winning this specific tournament, but I think another bucket,

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Speaker 1: just to keep in mind, that's some in some ways

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Speaker 1: equally as important. It's just guys that have grass court acumen,

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Speaker 1: and there are there is a bucket of them that

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Speaker 1: stand kind of above the rest of the pack. That's

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Speaker 1: your Murray's, that's your Chapavolov's, Shapovolovs, that's your Bautista Agouz.

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Speaker 1: There are a couple of good players like that. I

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Speaker 1: think we've named them all again. We're putting chilech in

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Speaker 1: that can win, Felix in that can win, Bertini and

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Speaker 1: that can win, Nadal, and Novak in that can win.

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Speaker 1: Then there's chap of all of RBA and Murray I

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Speaker 1: think in that next and Curios in that next bucket.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, we're gonna go through the drugs. You're gonna hear

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Speaker 2: a lot of like, oh, this is like a clay

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Speaker 2: court player. But one thing to keep in mind that

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Speaker 2: I like to bet on in Wimbledon to try and

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Speaker 2: find like some big underdogs early, especially on the women's side.

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Speaker 2: I think it applies to the men's side as well,

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Speaker 2: a little tougher though. But these top players who don't

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Speaker 2: play any tournaments in between the French Open and Wimbledon

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Speaker 2: and aren't necessarily really strong on grass, and then they

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Speaker 2: go up against you know, a woman that kind of

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Speaker 2: as a grass court specialist, that has played a couple

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Speaker 2: of tournaments and it's you know, they're not necessarily ready

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Speaker 2: for the adjustment. The ball bounce is different, and you

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Speaker 2: can catch someone on this quick surface change as a

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Speaker 2: big favorite. You can kind of catch them in a

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Speaker 2: good fade spot and hopefully we can identify some here.

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Speaker 1: And on that note, I always talk when I talk

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Speaker 1: about Wimbledon, it's typically a tale of two different tournaments

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Speaker 1: built into it. The first week, I mean, you got

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Speaker 1: to think about it. It's it's a grass court. This

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Speaker 1: is actual, you know, mode grass, live living grass. So

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Speaker 1: the first week of the tournament, the ball is going

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Speaker 1: to stay really low and move really fast through the

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Speaker 1: court because these grass courts are manicured in there and

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Speaker 1: they're kept pristine. By the second week of the tournament,

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Speaker 1: after guys have been chewing up the baseline, chewing up

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Speaker 1: the service line, just playing the wear and tear on

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Speaker 1: the court, that grass is going to turn into you know,

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Speaker 1: patches of dirt, and the ball is going to kick

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Speaker 1: up a bit higher and play closer to a clay court,

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Speaker 1: so that the conditions will definitely slow down in that

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Speaker 1: second week and they'll normalize closer to a hard court

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Speaker 1: in terms of kick and speed and pace and all

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Speaker 1: that stuff. But the first week is specifically the first

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Speaker 1: two days of the tournament on those outer courts, the ball,

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Speaker 1: it's gonna be a super exaggerated, dramatically different brand of

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Speaker 1: tennis than if the last match you saw was the

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Speaker 1: French Open. Is a noticeable different these early days of Wimbledon.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, it's But if we'll get to the women's side,

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Speaker 2: But like Serena Williams, who hasn't played since something, she

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Speaker 2: played a doubles match, which hasn't played since singles mentions

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Speaker 2: last Wimbledon when she retired in the first round. She

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Speaker 2: plays Harmony Tan who has some skill on grass, and

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Speaker 2: you know you're gonna see some of these players you

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Speaker 2: could use the slice and and throw some different variety

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Speaker 2: of players who's gonna really keep Serena off her game.

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Speaker 2: And you can see that on grass, especially in the

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Speaker 2: first week. The uglier the court gets, and when you

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Speaker 2: see it right, you know, on Sunday and Monday, it's

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Speaker 2: gonna look really pretty. That's like pure grass court tennis.

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Speaker 2: And then as the baseline gets uglier, then the conditions

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Speaker 2: change in that second week, as you said, but that's

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Speaker 2: the first the first quarter on the men's side, Djokovic

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Speaker 2: heavy favorite here, I mean he's a heavy fav to

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Speaker 2: win the tournament, you know, on his side of the

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Speaker 2: quarter I mean, you gotta his seeds are Opelka, Basil

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Speaker 2: shpili Kekmanovich. I mean, there's just nothing there for me

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Speaker 2: to say, Oh, Djokovic looks like he's and he's not

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Speaker 2: the type that really gets upset. Djokovic should get to

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Speaker 2: the fourth round here. On the other side, you know,

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Speaker 2: you'll see Vavrika's name. He's kind of passed his prime

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Speaker 2: and this is not his surface. He takes on center

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Speaker 2: in the first round. Who's a seeded player on the

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Speaker 2: other side, Isner. You know Isner's game on grass, it's

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Speaker 2: always gonna play because of the serve. He's gonna get

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Speaker 2: into breakers and we'll see how long he can hold

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Speaker 2: up for That's kind of his problem in these majors,

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Speaker 2: best of five sets. And you have aught Alcarez, who

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Speaker 2: we talked about, who we just I don't think we

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Speaker 2: trust him on grass to make a deep run of Wimbledon.

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Speaker 2: Maybe he can get to the quarters here, but I

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Speaker 2: don't think he would be Djokovic on grass here. So

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Speaker 2: is this just as simple as look, Djokovic is coming

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Speaker 2: through this quarter unless something really funky happens. There's not

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Speaker 2: much to really dive into.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, but but it does get a bit complicated. I

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Speaker 1: think you touched on the fourth the fourth round, he

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Speaker 1: could potentially and this is there's a lot contingent on

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Speaker 1: Basilicivilly getting there. But if it's Basila Shaville Novak in

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Speaker 1: the fourth round, I mean that that is the type

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Speaker 1: of player that that beats Novak. Guy with just ruthless

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Speaker 1: hitting and you know, brutal ground strokes and Basilicvilly definitely

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Speaker 1: probably has the heaviest strokes, the biggest hitter on the tour.

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Speaker 1: And he's a guy that you know, you hear a

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Speaker 1: lot about servers can take the run get out of

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Speaker 1: you know, good players hands. He can take the racket

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Speaker 1: out of your hand with his ground strokes. He hits

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Speaker 1: that big so and a lot of tennis fans, even casuals,

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Speaker 1: will remember that Basilicilli in a doll match.

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Speaker 2: I think it was the US Open.

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Speaker 1: So of all the names in this quarter, even the

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Speaker 1: guy that can that can potentially prevent Novak the most

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Speaker 1: is going to be Basilla Shavilly. But as for this

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Speaker 1: the other names and here Murray, he's the second best

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Speaker 1: grass court even mentioned the wild card here. Yeah, he

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Speaker 1: is the second best grass quarter in the quarter.

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Speaker 2: But you're not taking a flyer in anyway, like you

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Speaker 2: don't think you agree to Alcaz isn't ready center not Yes,

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Speaker 2: I think I think the quarterfinal is going to be

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Speaker 2: Novak Murty second quarter. Rude is the top seed on

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Speaker 2: his half of the quarter. The other seeds are Baiaz

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Speaker 2: Tiafo and Corna Busta. I just uh, pretty ugly on

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Speaker 2: the bottom half of the quarter. The seeds are Nori Dimitrov.

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Speaker 2: There's a potentially tough first round matchup with Stevie Johnson,

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Speaker 2: Paul and her Cotch. I think her Cotch is the

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Speaker 2: clear favorite in this quarter. You were we were talking

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Speaker 2: earlier when the draws just came out and you were

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Speaker 2: kind of intrigued by Dimitrov. Make your case and are

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Speaker 2: you're still high on him?

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I like the path for Dimitrov. I mean, first

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Speaker 1: of all, you asked me on grass. That's my favorite

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Speaker 1: surface for Dematrov. I mean, if you guys were watching

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Speaker 1: tennis back and I think twenty fourteen he took out

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Speaker 1: Pete Murray here. Obviously it was a different time, but

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Speaker 1: I think at this point in Dematrov's career, I don't

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Speaker 1: trust his rally stamina, his rally tolerance and longer points

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Speaker 1: on a clay court or even some of these slower

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Speaker 1: hard courts. I think he's got to play first strike tennis,

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Speaker 1: be big with the first serve in the forehand. Use

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Speaker 1: the slice. He's got a pretty diabolical slice. On a

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Speaker 1: grass court, he could keep it low. I like his

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Speaker 1: game on the grass court. Now you put that with

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Speaker 1: his potential path. You mentioned it Steve Johnson in the

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Speaker 1: first round, potentially tricky. Sure, they play similar games, both

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Speaker 1: have big serves, both have the foe hands. I don't

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Speaker 1: think you beat Dematrov if you're Stevie Johnson with the

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Speaker 1: slice that he did it. Like you said when we

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Speaker 1: talked earlier a couple of years ago Wimbledon, I don't

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Speaker 1: think it'll happen again. I like Demitrov to get through that.

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Speaker 1: And then he has Nori. I think in the second

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Speaker 1: beat who he just beat, and I was on him there.

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Speaker 1: It was a great price on him back then. I

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Speaker 1: love him the style wise. Nori can tend to push

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Speaker 1: a bit on these types of courts. Demitrov is gonna

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Speaker 1: look to hit you in the mouth and and and

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Speaker 1: if he's on that punch is gonna, you know, knock

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Speaker 1: you down more more often than it's not. So I

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Speaker 1: like Demitrov this tournament, I think, and her catch is

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Speaker 1: in that's part of the draw. And I think he's

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Speaker 1: got a decent track record against her catch too. I

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Speaker 1: think he beat him at Indian Wells last year, and

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Speaker 1: that that's that was when we were talking through it.

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Speaker 1: My my kind of mental path was, all right, if

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Speaker 1: if we do get a fourth round matchup of Dimitrov

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Speaker 1: her catch, and I could kind of see that in

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Speaker 1: my head, the potential price all that it will be

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Speaker 1: her catch minus two forty in that in that department,

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Speaker 1: I'm ripping Demi plus one eighty. It just like it

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Speaker 1: feels right one that Demitrov could easily be out early.

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Speaker 1: And I can sit here with pie in my face.

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Speaker 1: I don't usually call for Dimitrov in these spots, so

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Speaker 1: I will follow my gut here and trust that if

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Speaker 1: I am getting Dimmi vibes, as they say, ride him out.

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Speaker 2: You'd rather win the quarter over like one hundred and

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Speaker 2: sixty to one to.

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Speaker 1: Win, yeah, because it all roads will ultimately go through Novak,

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Speaker 1: and I don't like him in that matchup, but even

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Speaker 1: I mean, yeah, yeah, well, I'll just stop it with that.

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Speaker 1: I don't want to get ahead of myself with him

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Speaker 1: winning Tory, but I could easily see.

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Speaker 2: Plus plus it'll be these editions will be playing much

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Speaker 2: different if he gets to Djokovic. Like we talked about,

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Speaker 2: I like the idea of first week dimitrovvia flying him

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Speaker 2: to win the quarter. Third quarter. Barrettini, who has had

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Speaker 2: success here as a game that really fits the grass well,

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Speaker 2: he is the top seed in the top half of

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Speaker 2: the third quarter. Other seeds here Brooksby, de Minar and Schwartzman.

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Speaker 2: I mean just looking at some of the names, and

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Speaker 2: Barattini is this little section. I mean Kukushkin, Bonzi, Kohler, Brooksby, Greniere, Hoysler,

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Speaker 2: and Garren. Yeah, pretty favorable path for Barattini in the

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Speaker 2: bottom half. Many more in shrigging names. You have Chappabolov,

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Speaker 2: you know RBA, who's class on grass. You have Kurrios

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Speaker 2: and Sisypas curios Is. So we're gonna assume I think

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Speaker 2: we both can agree Bartini is getting to the fourth

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Speaker 2: round from the top half. Right, Maybe probably the quarterfinal,

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Speaker 2: you'll be in the quarterfinal. Depend who he faces is

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Speaker 2: what we're discussing, correct, And he's you know on the

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Speaker 2: other side. Chappabolov, rb A, Sisypas, Currios. Those are the

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Speaker 2: four names that I think that you can narrow it

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Speaker 2: down to and you can make a case price dependent

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Speaker 2: on any one of those. Let's start with Kirios. I mean,

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Speaker 2: if he cares and like he's saying all the right things, now,

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Speaker 2: we should have We're gonna get him on one of

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Speaker 2: these podcasts. We should have had him on. We did

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Speaker 2: this last second Wimbledon. It's like it comes out on

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Speaker 2: Friday mornings on radio, and the timing is not ideal,

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Speaker 2: but we'll get him on. I know that you talk

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Speaker 2: to can we tweet at him? But he's saying all

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Speaker 2: the right things, like he cares now, But but and look,

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Speaker 2: he's he's the type of guy that he doesn't just

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Speaker 2: say the right things to say the right things. So

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Speaker 2: maybe there's some some truth to it, because we do

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Speaker 2: know with his serve on this surface, if he cares,

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Speaker 2: he can beat anyone in the world. He flashed them

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Speaker 2: form coming in to the tournament. So it's not like

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Speaker 2: we haven't seen any of him, and it just comes

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Speaker 2: down to like his head and he's gonna get in

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Speaker 2: some breakers, right, and then like if a breaker goes wrong,

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Speaker 2: does he just be like, ah, fuck it, I'm gonna

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Speaker 2: go home and play video games. That's the question. He's

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Speaker 2: not You're not getting a lot of You're not getting

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Speaker 2: like the most you're getting twenty nine to one. The

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Speaker 2: books know that he's talented, but is this the tournament

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Speaker 2: that he can finally break through? Is it citsy pass

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Speaker 2: a chappablo? How do you see this? I think it's

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Speaker 2: probably the most intriguing. You know, bottom half of a quarter,

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Speaker 2: bottom or top half of a quarter in the entire draw.

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Speaker 2: Make a case for someone here.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, it's interesting you you've already keate it on the

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Speaker 1: four names at Sitsipas Curios, RBA, shap of Olov, and

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Speaker 1: they both kind of play each other. The you got

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Speaker 1: curios will first play citypas. I like Kyrios versus citypas.

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Speaker 1: I like Shapavolov's game against RBA. Chapo already beat RBA.

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Speaker 1: I believe, if my memory serves me, one of these

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Speaker 1: a few years ago a straight sets, and that's the

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Speaker 1: same type of thing as the Dimitrov thing. I'm kind

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Speaker 1: of backing these one handers with the firepower here. If

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Speaker 1: you're gonna play a guy.

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Speaker 2: Like just a back up, by the way, because I

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Speaker 2: forgot that at Dimitrov. Demitrov is t and o versu hercut.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, he's gotta get and I felt like I

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Speaker 1: remembered that he's got a good track record him. So here,

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Speaker 1: if if Shapavollov is getting RBA again in one of

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Speaker 1: these first three rounds, it's defense against offense, and if

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Speaker 1: Chapo's sharp like he was the last time they played,

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Speaker 1: which was straight sets, he will beat him again. So

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Speaker 1: that leads us to shap of Allov Curios in a

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Speaker 1: popcorn fourth round for the opportunity to play Berettini. I

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Speaker 1: don't if Curios loses that match, I do not think

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Speaker 1: it will be because of motivation, fitness or hot headedness.

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Speaker 1: I think we'll get a good tennis match there. And

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Speaker 1: I honestly, I hate to say it, but I'm getting

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Speaker 1: shap of all love vibes again, which I said to

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Speaker 1: it was either you or myither buddy Nico after he

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Speaker 1: lost his sixth straight match after beating Nadal on Clay

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Speaker 1: shap of Olive and he hasn't won a grass match

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Speaker 1: in any of these tune ups. I'm like, he's gonna

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Speaker 1: have a good wingledon because that's just how it works.

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Speaker 1: It's it's a funny, fickle game. I think the best

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Speaker 1: of five format suits shap of All Love. I think

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Speaker 1: the atmosphere and the crowd, the big crowd suits shap

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Speaker 1: of Olive. He's always a player that brings his best

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Speaker 1: in getting Grand slams and in the big matches. And

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Speaker 1: if it comes down to a shap of All of

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Speaker 1: Curios fourth round, Chapo is one of the few few

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Speaker 1: players that can wrangle the crowd behind him without Curios

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Speaker 1: doing anything necessarily malicious. He's just a flashy type of

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Speaker 1: player who the crowds like. So I'm hoping for that matchup.

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Speaker 1: I think it'll be a great matchup. I think both

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Speaker 1: players have a chance against Barrettini, either one that comes

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Speaker 1: through there, Shop of a Love or Curios if that

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Speaker 1: is who gets through. But this is the most intriguing

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Speaker 1: quarter for me. I will say I don't think Barrettini

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Speaker 1: gets through. That will be my hot take.

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Speaker 2: Well, yeah, I mean, for what it's worth, KOs is

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Speaker 2: three and one against Titsipas and just beat him on

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Speaker 2: just all of them.

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Speaker 1: It was really not that score line look closer than

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Speaker 1: it really was.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't how are there How are there no

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Speaker 2: tie breaks in three sets between Kiros and Yeah? That

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Speaker 2: confuses me. So, yeah, he is three to zero against him.

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Speaker 2: I'm having a tough time figuring out who comes out

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Speaker 2: of that. So I think that this is just a

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Speaker 2: you know, you can have some fun. I think I'm

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Speaker 2: gonna have it for fun. Bet On. It'll be fun

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Speaker 2: regardless whether he melts down in the first round against

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Speaker 2: who Rube.

401
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Speaker 1: Jube with you, I'm gonna take care of to win

402
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Speaker 1: the quarter. Yeah, I'll probably have a little bit there this.

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Speaker 1: Like I said, I think there are a few options

404
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Speaker 1: in here. I think if you were to so here

405
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Speaker 1: are my two plays officially here, I'll co sign if

406
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Speaker 1: you want to cover the curio side, I'll probably have

407
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Speaker 1: some exposure there. But my pick here is shapav All

408
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Speaker 1: love to win this quarter. I think there's a lot

409
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Speaker 1: of value here given Barrettini's form. If you guys have

410
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Speaker 1: followed me on Twitter, stucky you know me from real life.

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Speaker 1: I do have a bit of a numbers based betting

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Speaker 1: system that I like to go by, and Barattini not

413
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Speaker 1: having stumbled at all leading up to this tournament. It

414
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Speaker 1: just kind of gives me, did he, you know, harden

415
00:21:36,720 --> 00:21:38,840
Speaker 1: the phrasing shoot his load a little too early, so

416
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Speaker 1: to speak, or is he just rounding into form? But

417
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Speaker 1: it's still early to tell. With Barretini, the sample size

418
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Speaker 1: of his game is still relatively small, so there is

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Speaker 1: a chance to kind of find Vegas with their pants

420
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Speaker 1: down here, especially with that line crashing as you've mentioned.

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Speaker 2: All right, fourth quarter another I think, pretty intriguing quarter.

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Speaker 2: You got Felix the top seed here, I don't see. Look,

423
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Speaker 2: I mean he has to take on Kressi in the

424
00:22:03,080 --> 00:22:05,880
Speaker 2: first round, which is a tricky first round matchup because

425
00:22:05,920 --> 00:22:08,719
Speaker 2: Cressy is one of the biggest servers on tour, and

426
00:22:09,359 --> 00:22:11,960
Speaker 2: you could get tiebreak variants there in the match, and

427
00:22:12,040 --> 00:22:14,040
Speaker 2: you know, a couple of sets, a couple of tie

428
00:22:14,040 --> 00:22:16,040
Speaker 2: breakers go against you, a couple of points here there

429
00:22:16,520 --> 00:22:18,640
Speaker 2: all of a sudden, holy shit, I'm out of the tournament.

430
00:22:19,160 --> 00:22:21,760
Speaker 2: But Felix on his the top half of the quarter

431
00:22:21,920 --> 00:22:24,320
Speaker 2: if you assume he gets by Cressy, I mean the

432
00:22:24,359 --> 00:22:29,040
Speaker 2: other names Morales sak Novak, Bagnus, Koubler, Evans, your boy

433
00:22:29,520 --> 00:22:35,000
Speaker 2: is the other seeded player, Rune, Doron, Martinez, Molkan Gray

434
00:22:35,480 --> 00:22:39,160
Speaker 2: saying Mussetti and Fritz. I mean the seated players are

435
00:22:39,160 --> 00:22:43,080
Speaker 2: Evans ruined Fritz. We said a couple of weeks ago

436
00:22:43,119 --> 00:22:45,320
Speaker 2: you tipped. You said Felix because we said he was

437
00:22:45,320 --> 00:22:47,760
Speaker 2: a top three favorite here, you know, and now we

438
00:22:47,800 --> 00:22:50,160
Speaker 2: have we've seen Barattini. I still think that he's one

439
00:22:50,160 --> 00:22:54,119
Speaker 2: of the top five favorites. You've seen him. Since you've

440
00:22:54,160 --> 00:22:56,440
Speaker 2: soured a little bit, He's still my pick to win

441
00:22:56,480 --> 00:22:59,080
Speaker 2: this tournament. He's definitely my pick to come out of

442
00:22:59,080 --> 00:23:01,000
Speaker 2: the top half of this or. I don't think that

443
00:23:01,080 --> 00:23:03,560
Speaker 2: there's any question there. The only thing I'm worried about

444
00:23:03,800 --> 00:23:07,720
Speaker 2: is Cressy tie breakers. But I'll take my chances there,

445
00:23:08,800 --> 00:23:12,840
Speaker 2: and Felix is my only future to win this tournament.

446
00:23:13,119 --> 00:23:15,400
Speaker 2: You know, sometimes the draws work for you, sometimes they don't.

447
00:23:15,480 --> 00:23:18,520
Speaker 2: You can wait before I mean, you're the price you

448
00:23:18,520 --> 00:23:20,200
Speaker 2: got it came down. I think I got eighteen to one,

449
00:23:20,960 --> 00:23:23,439
Speaker 2: logged it on the Action Network AP. But you soured

450
00:23:23,440 --> 00:23:24,160
Speaker 2: a little bit on him.

451
00:23:24,160 --> 00:23:27,600
Speaker 1: But yeah, well I actually got it. It was literally

452
00:23:27,760 --> 00:23:31,840
Speaker 1: minutes minutes after he bowed out in five inn a

453
00:23:31,920 --> 00:23:34,760
Speaker 1: doll at the French and I was like, all right,

454
00:23:34,760 --> 00:23:37,600
Speaker 1: if he's taking in a doll five on this court,

455
00:23:37,800 --> 00:23:39,800
Speaker 1: and I've always loved his game on grass, you know

456
00:23:39,880 --> 00:23:41,199
Speaker 1: the deal. So I actually got him.

457
00:23:41,600 --> 00:23:43,480
Speaker 2: He looked ready. By the way. I love that call

458
00:23:43,560 --> 00:23:48,320
Speaker 2: because he was like the moment wasn't too big, nothing wrong.

459
00:23:48,359 --> 00:23:52,240
Speaker 1: Nothing on that set that he dropped. Yes, correct, you know,

460
00:23:52,640 --> 00:23:55,200
Speaker 1: he looked amazing. It was one of those that like, yes,

461
00:23:55,280 --> 00:23:57,359
Speaker 1: sure it was a lost, the results of what you wanted.

462
00:23:57,400 --> 00:24:01,280
Speaker 1: But I was so freaking impressed Felix after that match.

463
00:24:01,280 --> 00:24:03,760
Speaker 1: So I got in at twenty one to one, expecting

464
00:24:03,800 --> 00:24:07,159
Speaker 1: that he was gonna have this great grass court season.

465
00:24:07,640 --> 00:24:11,919
Speaker 1: Allah what Barrettini actually did winning two titles. I figured

466
00:24:11,920 --> 00:24:15,680
Speaker 1: Felix would get at least one, and had he done that,

467
00:24:15,800 --> 00:24:18,080
Speaker 1: the line should have would have came down to probably

468
00:24:18,119 --> 00:24:20,720
Speaker 1: around seven to fifty eight hundred on Felix. It had

469
00:24:20,760 --> 00:24:23,040
Speaker 1: gotten down to ten to one at some point, but

470
00:24:23,080 --> 00:24:25,680
Speaker 1: then after he lost that second tournament, they went back

471
00:24:25,760 --> 00:24:27,920
Speaker 1: up to eighteen, so it's sitting at eighteen now.

472
00:24:28,480 --> 00:24:30,639
Speaker 2: To be fair. He lost. He lost to Herkotch in

473
00:24:30,680 --> 00:24:34,840
Speaker 2: the quarters you know, in tire breaks, in tire breaks,

474
00:24:35,240 --> 00:24:37,760
Speaker 2: and then I don't know. I mean, guess we have

475
00:24:37,800 --> 00:24:40,920
Speaker 2: to talk about him Van Ritthoven, who came out of

476
00:24:41,359 --> 00:24:46,200
Speaker 2: nowhere and won a tournament by beating Ebden, Fritz, Gaston,

477
00:24:46,600 --> 00:24:50,320
Speaker 2: Felix and Medvedev just crushed Mevedev in the final. I mean,

478
00:24:50,320 --> 00:24:52,240
Speaker 2: this is a guy that I don't think he's ever

479
00:24:52,320 --> 00:24:56,280
Speaker 2: won like a main draw match on grass on tour.

480
00:24:56,359 --> 00:24:58,240
Speaker 2: I don't know. He came out of nowhere. He was right,

481
00:24:58,359 --> 00:25:00,879
Speaker 2: you know, one hundred and fifty tournament on grass, So

482
00:25:00,920 --> 00:25:02,919
Speaker 2: I don't know what happened with him that week, But

483
00:25:03,280 --> 00:25:06,920
Speaker 2: I don't know. I didn't sour too much on Felix's losses.

484
00:25:06,760 --> 00:25:10,120
Speaker 1: And also the match he lost. The match he lost

485
00:25:10,119 --> 00:25:12,520
Speaker 1: to her catch, I watched every point of and he

486
00:25:12,600 --> 00:25:16,399
Speaker 1: was he was distinctly the better player for both of

487
00:25:16,440 --> 00:25:19,040
Speaker 1: those sets. It's just one of those ones where and

488
00:25:19,040 --> 00:25:21,920
Speaker 1: that's why I love her Catch in the tournament on grass,

489
00:25:21,960 --> 00:25:23,800
Speaker 1: because he's one of the guys that could play worse

490
00:25:23,840 --> 00:25:26,960
Speaker 1: for a set, grit his way, grit his teeth through,

491
00:25:27,119 --> 00:25:29,400
Speaker 1: holding six games, get to a tie break, and then

492
00:25:29,440 --> 00:25:31,920
Speaker 1: play his best tennis. And that's what happened. Felix played

493
00:25:31,960 --> 00:25:34,679
Speaker 1: better for you know, twelve games of each of those sets,

494
00:25:34,920 --> 00:25:37,400
Speaker 1: and in the thirteenth game you didn't play as well.

495
00:25:37,800 --> 00:25:41,679
Speaker 1: So I haven't soured entirely on Felix. I still like

496
00:25:41,760 --> 00:25:45,040
Speaker 1: his outlook for this tournament, and especially given the names

497
00:25:45,080 --> 00:25:48,919
Speaker 1: you just mentioned. You know, you got Fritz, the seeded

498
00:25:48,920 --> 00:25:51,960
Speaker 1: players in his section, Fritz, Runa and Evo Evo could

499
00:25:52,040 --> 00:25:54,600
Speaker 1: be tough for him. Field should have the eventage from

500
00:25:54,600 --> 00:25:57,200
Speaker 1: the baseline, be big with the forehand, and be able

501
00:25:57,200 --> 00:25:58,800
Speaker 1: to outrally him if that's the way they want to

502
00:25:58,800 --> 00:26:01,640
Speaker 1: play that match. But it I like Felix going forward here.

503
00:26:02,400 --> 00:26:04,600
Speaker 1: I'm just glad for the top half with which we

504
00:26:04,800 --> 00:26:05,639
Speaker 1: which we've mentioned.

505
00:26:06,080 --> 00:26:08,000
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm glad that you'd make a case for Jack Sock,

506
00:26:09,560 --> 00:26:12,960
Speaker 2: all right, and then the bottom half of the fourth quarter. Chilic,

507
00:26:13,160 --> 00:26:18,399
Speaker 2: who just had a renaissance at the French Open, just

508
00:26:18,840 --> 00:26:22,000
Speaker 2: looked incredible at times and when he's serving big and

509
00:26:22,040 --> 00:26:25,639
Speaker 2: he was hitting big, and but this is his arguably

510
00:26:25,720 --> 00:26:28,160
Speaker 2: his best surface. He's the top seed in the bottom

511
00:26:28,160 --> 00:26:30,639
Speaker 2: half where I should say seated player in the bottom

512
00:26:30,640 --> 00:26:34,000
Speaker 2: half along with Nadal Felly Lopez, by the way, is

513
00:26:34,160 --> 00:26:37,400
Speaker 2: uh it's his last hurrah here at Wimbledon. You also

514
00:26:37,400 --> 00:26:40,639
Speaker 2: have Van de xan Chop who will take on Pelly

515
00:26:40,720 --> 00:26:44,880
Speaker 2: in the first round, and Stenago. Other intriguing names here,

516
00:26:44,920 --> 00:26:53,359
Speaker 2: I mean Kuba Querry uh coloring Querry uh casque the

517
00:26:53,960 --> 00:26:58,320
Speaker 2: class backhand on grass. You know. So I guess the

518
00:26:58,400 --> 00:27:03,000
Speaker 2: argument here is is the just versus Chilich eventually or

519
00:27:03,080 --> 00:27:05,679
Speaker 2: is there someone else that can kind of crash that party?

520
00:27:05,720 --> 00:27:09,119
Speaker 2: And if that does become the matchup to get to

521
00:27:09,160 --> 00:27:12,800
Speaker 2: who we presume will be FAA, how does that play out?

522
00:27:13,040 --> 00:27:16,320
Speaker 1: I think this is the most volatile of all the quarters.

523
00:27:16,600 --> 00:27:17,720
Speaker 1: Should Nadal get there?

524
00:27:17,840 --> 00:27:18,040
Speaker 2: Yet?

525
00:27:18,119 --> 00:27:21,080
Speaker 1: If Nidal lost to Querry in the second round, would

526
00:27:21,080 --> 00:27:25,040
Speaker 1: any real tennis fan be you know, sitting there wondering

527
00:27:25,119 --> 00:27:28,680
Speaker 1: how it happened? No, there's a path forward for the scenario.

528
00:27:29,080 --> 00:27:31,600
Speaker 2: Yeah, it'll be pure grass and they meet and then

529
00:27:31,600 --> 00:27:34,000
Speaker 2: it'll be probably be breakers.

530
00:27:34,080 --> 00:27:37,400
Speaker 1: Breakers, and he's just hit so big. Querry is one

531
00:27:37,440 --> 00:27:39,359
Speaker 1: of those guys and if he's if he takes that

532
00:27:39,480 --> 00:27:43,280
Speaker 1: first set and gets confidence, all bets are off. If

533
00:27:43,280 --> 00:27:46,199
Speaker 1: he loses the first set, Quarry probably goes down. You know,

534
00:27:46,480 --> 00:27:48,640
Speaker 1: Nadala could take him, put him out behind the Woodshed.

535
00:27:49,040 --> 00:27:51,120
Speaker 1: But if Querry takes that first set, this is how

536
00:27:51,160 --> 00:27:54,480
Speaker 1: things can get complicated within tennis matches, because Querry is

537
00:27:54,520 --> 00:27:56,960
Speaker 1: a guy that needs confidence and once he reels off

538
00:27:57,000 --> 00:27:59,600
Speaker 1: that first set, just like he beat Novak back in

539
00:27:59,640 --> 00:28:01,800
Speaker 1: the day and they played like he can reel off sets.

540
00:28:01,840 --> 00:28:03,480
Speaker 1: He's got the game for it. He's a guy that

541
00:28:03,520 --> 00:28:06,200
Speaker 1: can serve his way, serve the racket out of your hand.

542
00:28:06,200 --> 00:28:08,439
Speaker 1: He can hit four hands and his backhand. It was

543
00:28:08,520 --> 00:28:10,639
Speaker 1: very strange. I forget who he even played. I was,

544
00:28:10,720 --> 00:28:13,680
Speaker 1: I faded him. I'll pull it up right here. I

545
00:28:13,800 --> 00:28:16,200
Speaker 1: was Krainovich. And for the first set of the Query

546
00:28:16,240 --> 00:28:20,359
Speaker 1: Krinovic match last week in Queen's I was like, Query

547
00:28:20,440 --> 00:28:22,880
Speaker 1: can can, can win, can make a deep run at Wimbledon,

548
00:28:23,560 --> 00:28:25,680
Speaker 1: and then six to one first set, and then before

549
00:28:25,720 --> 00:28:28,919
Speaker 1: you know He's loses in three. So Query's level is

550
00:28:28,960 --> 00:28:32,000
Speaker 1: still not something you could reliably say he will test

551
00:28:32,040 --> 00:28:35,679
Speaker 1: in Nadal, but he can. As for Chilich, I was

552
00:28:35,760 --> 00:28:37,760
Speaker 1: very high on Chilich. When we spoke during the French

553
00:28:37,800 --> 00:28:39,960
Speaker 1: I even I said Chilich is like my third favorite

554
00:28:39,960 --> 00:28:42,160
Speaker 1: for the tournament, and then I look at the draw.

555
00:28:42,680 --> 00:28:46,280
Speaker 1: Gasquez is a nightmare matchup for Chilich. He's just a

556
00:28:46,320 --> 00:28:49,160
Speaker 1: guy that can absorb that pace and hit angles with

557
00:28:49,200 --> 00:28:51,360
Speaker 1: the with the with the pace that Chilch gives him.

558
00:28:51,600 --> 00:28:53,920
Speaker 1: I have to look at the head to head now,

559
00:28:54,720 --> 00:28:58,200
Speaker 1: So it's two two. They've never played on the grass court,

560
00:28:58,440 --> 00:29:03,320
Speaker 1: but I have I have withdrawn my Chillich steak because

561
00:29:03,360 --> 00:29:05,920
Speaker 1: I am I am shaking in my boots about Gasca

562
00:29:06,000 --> 00:29:08,080
Speaker 1: in the second round. I like Gasca in that matchup.

563
00:29:08,280 --> 00:29:11,320
Speaker 1: I think Gasca is the story here as far as

564
00:29:11,360 --> 00:29:14,120
Speaker 1: our old guard who comes out and reminds you that

565
00:29:14,120 --> 00:29:17,160
Speaker 1: they're still playing, because Gasca has been bawling on clay

566
00:29:17,200 --> 00:29:19,400
Speaker 1: courts all these and he's been playing good tennis. So

567
00:29:19,520 --> 00:29:20,600
Speaker 1: Gaska is still a threat.

568
00:29:21,040 --> 00:29:25,200
Speaker 2: Yeah. And by the way, Query has beat Nadal. Do

569
00:29:25,200 --> 00:29:29,400
Speaker 2: you remember where akapolco yep twenty seventeen. They did meat

570
00:29:29,400 --> 00:29:33,959
Speaker 2: it women to twenty nineteen and Nadal destroyed him for

571
00:29:34,000 --> 00:29:36,960
Speaker 2: what it's worth. But yeah, I can see I could

572
00:29:36,960 --> 00:29:40,360
Speaker 2: see Gasca making a little noise. I'm gonna go I'm

573
00:29:40,360 --> 00:29:43,080
Speaker 2: gonna say the way that this quarter plays out, so

574
00:29:43,080 --> 00:29:46,320
Speaker 2: I'm sticking to my initial take with Felix as my

575
00:29:46,400 --> 00:29:48,600
Speaker 2: own future to win this. I've already have a bet

576
00:29:48,640 --> 00:29:51,400
Speaker 2: on it. Nothing I do Now, I'm gonna say that

577
00:29:51,480 --> 00:29:56,400
Speaker 2: Nadal comes through to Felix and Felix gets revenge. Yeah,

578
00:29:56,640 --> 00:29:59,720
Speaker 2: I'm from the French and then comes out of this quarter.

579
00:30:00,040 --> 00:30:03,000
Speaker 2: It's my same matchup, yep, same matchup. I got Felix

580
00:30:03,000 --> 00:30:04,840
Speaker 2: over Nadal here, I've got so.

581
00:30:04,800 --> 00:30:07,680
Speaker 1: For all my quarters I have, I have all right,

582
00:30:07,680 --> 00:30:10,440
Speaker 1: So lets you just go to week two. I have

583
00:30:10,480 --> 00:30:13,160
Speaker 1: an early out and give you so I've got I've

584
00:30:13,200 --> 00:30:18,080
Speaker 1: got in the semis, I have Novak over Dimitrov, I

585
00:30:18,120 --> 00:30:23,120
Speaker 1: have Felix over Shapovolov, and then I've got Felix over

586
00:30:23,200 --> 00:30:25,600
Speaker 1: Nova in the final. I think Felix wins the tournament.

587
00:30:25,640 --> 00:30:29,280
Speaker 1: I have not I have not done a position. But

588
00:30:29,440 --> 00:30:31,160
Speaker 1: like you said, what can I do now? I mean

589
00:30:31,200 --> 00:30:33,880
Speaker 1: that that's in, But I do the path. I've worked

590
00:30:33,880 --> 00:30:37,360
Speaker 1: that out. That was unbiased. I truly see the Canadian

591
00:30:37,600 --> 00:30:41,200
Speaker 1: semi That's my big storyline hot take for this tournament,

592
00:30:41,240 --> 00:30:44,520
Speaker 1: that we get Chapo Felix semifinal on the bottom half,

593
00:30:44,920 --> 00:30:47,760
Speaker 1: Dimitrov Novak in the top half, a rematch of the

594
00:30:47,800 --> 00:30:50,000
Speaker 1: twenty fourteen semifinals at Wimbledon.

595
00:30:50,440 --> 00:30:52,760
Speaker 2: Yeah, the one. The one thing with Felix. It does

596
00:30:52,800 --> 00:30:55,000
Speaker 2: scare with This is gonna happen a lot of players

597
00:30:55,000 --> 00:30:58,400
Speaker 2: on this surface. There's gonna be tiebreakers, and hopefully he

598
00:30:58,520 --> 00:31:00,840
Speaker 2: has some time breaker luck. I'm gonna agree with you.

599
00:31:00,880 --> 00:31:03,520
Speaker 2: I'm gonna for the most part, i'm gonna say Djokovic

600
00:31:03,600 --> 00:31:06,840
Speaker 2: comes out of the first quarter. I'm gonna say her

601
00:31:06,880 --> 00:31:10,960
Speaker 2: Couch comes out of the second quarter. I'm gonna say

602
00:31:12,280 --> 00:31:15,960
Speaker 2: Curios comes out of the third quarter, and then Felix,

603
00:31:16,040 --> 00:31:21,800
Speaker 2: Felix beats Kirios and Novak beats her Couch, and then

604
00:31:22,160 --> 00:31:27,120
Speaker 2: Felix beats Novak in the final. Close to the same page. Yeah,

605
00:31:27,200 --> 00:31:31,280
Speaker 2: throw throw a little for fun, money on on Kurios

606
00:31:31,360 --> 00:31:35,680
Speaker 2: to win the quarter, and you like to win the quarter,

607
00:31:35,760 --> 00:31:37,480
Speaker 2: I'll throw a little on both of that, and then

608
00:31:37,840 --> 00:31:40,040
Speaker 2: Felix to win the tournament. Think you can still find

609
00:31:40,040 --> 00:31:45,280
Speaker 2: a me around. Okay, all right, let's move on to

610
00:31:46,280 --> 00:31:52,240
Speaker 2: the women's draw, and it's a really fascinating draw. You

611
00:31:52,320 --> 00:31:56,120
Speaker 2: got to mention here who's not here of note because

612
00:31:56,120 --> 00:32:01,120
Speaker 2: of the band uh sabal Anka is not here and Azarenka,

613
00:32:01,200 --> 00:32:03,480
Speaker 2: and then there's obviously some other Russians got your girl

614
00:32:03,600 --> 00:32:07,200
Speaker 2: Kasa Kina. So yeah, a couple of Russians Bella Russians

615
00:32:07,200 --> 00:32:09,720
Speaker 2: are in here. Savalnka is probably the most noteworthy name

616
00:32:09,800 --> 00:32:15,320
Speaker 2: on this surface. Quarter one spy Tech is the favorite

617
00:32:15,360 --> 00:32:17,720
Speaker 2: to win the old tournament, and of course quarter one

618
00:32:17,760 --> 00:32:20,680
Speaker 2: she's plus one fifty five to win the tournament. She's

619
00:32:20,680 --> 00:32:24,000
Speaker 2: won thirty five straight matches. However, she's never been passed

620
00:32:24,120 --> 00:32:27,960
Speaker 2: the fourth round here. She won her first main drawl

621
00:32:28,680 --> 00:32:32,080
Speaker 2: grass match last year. This is not her surface again,

622
00:32:32,240 --> 00:32:35,560
Speaker 2: not this there's it's a big difference between how the

623
00:32:35,600 --> 00:32:38,280
Speaker 2: ball bounces and you know, serves under her string. Now, look,

624
00:32:38,840 --> 00:32:40,800
Speaker 2: she's the best player in the world right now. She

625
00:32:41,120 --> 00:32:43,560
Speaker 2: was a junior Wimbledon champion, but this is just not

626
00:32:43,720 --> 00:32:46,640
Speaker 2: her best surface and she hasn't played since Paris, right,

627
00:32:46,680 --> 00:32:49,280
Speaker 2: so this is can she get tripped up early on?

628
00:32:49,440 --> 00:32:51,080
Speaker 2: I don't think she's winning this tournament. I don't think

629
00:32:51,080 --> 00:32:53,480
Speaker 2: there's any diye on her plus one fifty five on

630
00:32:53,640 --> 00:32:57,800
Speaker 2: grass at Wimbledon to win this tourneys.

631
00:32:56,440 --> 00:32:59,720
Speaker 1: Advocate there, Yeah, and just because I feel like I

632
00:32:59,720 --> 00:33:02,840
Speaker 1: had to due diligence because of the lack sample size,

633
00:33:03,200 --> 00:33:05,200
Speaker 1: but you I just looked through the flash score now

634
00:33:05,680 --> 00:33:09,040
Speaker 1: years back. I'm kind of surprised with the acumen there

635
00:33:09,080 --> 00:33:10,920
Speaker 1: on the grasscourt. I didn't know she was a Wimbledon

636
00:33:11,000 --> 00:33:14,200
Speaker 1: champ as a junior. Would you be that? Obviously she

637
00:33:14,320 --> 00:33:17,720
Speaker 1: is like approaching Nadal levels on the clay, so it's

638
00:33:17,800 --> 00:33:20,680
Speaker 1: kind of hard to compare, but let's do it for

639
00:33:20,720 --> 00:33:23,560
Speaker 1: the sake of argument. In five years, would it be

640
00:33:23,600 --> 00:33:26,080
Speaker 1: out of out of the realm of possibility that we're

641
00:33:26,160 --> 00:33:29,760
Speaker 1: saying right now that that Sriantek's best surface is grass?

642
00:33:30,120 --> 00:33:30,320
Speaker 2: Yeah?

643
00:33:31,240 --> 00:33:34,040
Speaker 1: Is it a surface she can grow into with more

644
00:33:34,200 --> 00:33:37,480
Speaker 1: with tournaments going into them as the one as the

645
00:33:37,560 --> 00:33:38,280
Speaker 1: faith to win.

646
00:33:38,760 --> 00:33:41,480
Speaker 2: So yeah, but she's never it's never gonna be better

647
00:33:41,520 --> 00:33:43,360
Speaker 2: than clay, and she can. I think she's gonna win

648
00:33:43,400 --> 00:33:45,560
Speaker 2: to Wimbledon. The other thing, I mean, she's won thirty

649
00:33:45,640 --> 00:33:49,200
Speaker 2: five straight matches and that's that's the most in this

650
00:33:49,280 --> 00:33:52,160
Speaker 2: since two thousand. Like, you can't you're gonna have an

651
00:33:52,160 --> 00:33:55,040
Speaker 2: off day and it's gonna probably happen on grass, on

652
00:33:55,080 --> 00:33:57,720
Speaker 2: the surface that she hasn't played in this year. Yeah,

653
00:33:57,760 --> 00:33:59,959
Speaker 2: I mean she's good. She's good on grass. She's just

654
00:34:00,120 --> 00:34:02,280
Speaker 2: not elite yet and she's going to grow into it

655
00:34:02,280 --> 00:34:04,280
Speaker 2: as she gets matches. She could win the start she's

656
00:34:04,280 --> 00:34:06,560
Speaker 2: the favorite. I mean, that's what I'm saying. I'm just

657
00:34:06,560 --> 00:34:08,600
Speaker 2: trying to play devil's advocate there. There may be some

658
00:34:08,760 --> 00:34:11,680
Speaker 2: value at one fifty five if she can even get

659
00:34:11,719 --> 00:34:14,400
Speaker 2: a fraction of her clay form for just this torment,

660
00:34:14,480 --> 00:34:16,520
Speaker 2: let alone, where she'll be in five years.

661
00:34:16,760 --> 00:34:18,440
Speaker 1: She doesn't have to. And the thing is, with the

662
00:34:18,480 --> 00:34:21,759
Speaker 1: weak diminished field that we have, she has to be

663
00:34:21,800 --> 00:34:24,480
Speaker 1: about seventy five percent as good as she is on

664
00:34:24,560 --> 00:34:25,600
Speaker 1: clay to win this tournament.

665
00:34:26,239 --> 00:34:28,759
Speaker 2: Yeah, all right, well quarter one that she has a

666
00:34:28,760 --> 00:34:31,319
Speaker 2: pretty good draw. I mean on the top half of

667
00:34:31,360 --> 00:34:35,640
Speaker 2: her quarter. You know you have kretchak Kova, worst slam

668
00:34:35,760 --> 00:34:37,560
Speaker 2: champ ever. She's one hundred and twenty one. She's zero

669
00:34:37,560 --> 00:34:41,680
Speaker 2: and two since returning from injury. That she's meaningless. Taike

670
00:34:41,760 --> 00:34:44,360
Speaker 2: Man who has just no good on grass. She's returning

671
00:34:44,360 --> 00:34:46,640
Speaker 2: from injury as well. She has an injury. I should

672
00:34:46,640 --> 00:34:50,160
Speaker 2: say she's dealing with Muka rutha champion here made the final.

673
00:34:50,560 --> 00:34:54,480
Speaker 2: She's in absolutely no form. She's the reason she's seventy one. Now,

674
00:34:54,520 --> 00:34:56,239
Speaker 2: she got to like the fourth round, she could win it.

675
00:34:56,920 --> 00:34:59,479
Speaker 2: There's one back to back matches and forever. Don't trust

676
00:34:59,520 --> 00:35:02,680
Speaker 2: her right now, now Sloan Stevens forty five to once.

677
00:35:02,719 --> 00:35:05,920
Speaker 2: She's had success here once she gets in. She's no

678
00:35:06,040 --> 00:35:09,040
Speaker 2: form right now on grass. But but she's got a

679
00:35:09,040 --> 00:35:12,680
Speaker 2: tough first round matchup. She's forty five to one Andrescu

680
00:35:12,800 --> 00:35:17,479
Speaker 2: twenty six to one. Yeah on grass, right a. Keena

681
00:35:17,560 --> 00:35:19,000
Speaker 2: is a mess right now. Think I think there are

682
00:35:19,000 --> 00:35:21,280
Speaker 2: things that are going on with her coach. She's seeded

683
00:35:21,320 --> 00:35:24,000
Speaker 2: here Rogers third rounds are best result here. That's probably

684
00:35:24,000 --> 00:35:28,720
Speaker 2: your ceiling. And then you got Pegoula, who's the next

685
00:35:28,800 --> 00:35:32,320
Speaker 2: highest seed in this quarter. She's dealing with an injury,

686
00:35:32,880 --> 00:35:35,280
Speaker 2: and she has Vekis in the first round who's showing

687
00:35:35,360 --> 00:35:37,480
Speaker 2: form and is good on grass. I think Vekicch actually

688
00:35:37,560 --> 00:35:40,279
Speaker 2: wins that first round matchup. So it's like, I don't know.

689
00:35:40,760 --> 00:35:42,719
Speaker 2: You know, you can make a case for like if

690
00:35:42,800 --> 00:35:47,520
Speaker 2: Sloan finds form or Muka Ruta finds form right and

691
00:35:47,600 --> 00:35:49,799
Speaker 2: they win a couple of matches and then they run

692
00:35:49,800 --> 00:35:52,720
Speaker 2: into IgA, but I don't trust either of them right now.

693
00:35:53,160 --> 00:35:55,799
Speaker 2: Ry Akina, I don't trust right now. And then like

694
00:35:55,840 --> 00:35:59,600
Speaker 2: Crejit Covid, tipman, you know up top, if I'm looking

695
00:35:59,600 --> 00:36:01,959
Speaker 2: for some one, you know you putin Saber, who hadn't

696
00:36:01,960 --> 00:36:06,440
Speaker 2: even mentioned. It's just meaningless here on grass. She's a seed,

697
00:36:06,760 --> 00:36:09,440
Speaker 2: the next the seed in Bigga's part of the quarter.

698
00:36:09,800 --> 00:36:11,839
Speaker 2: But she has Corney in the first round. Corne let

699
00:36:11,880 --> 00:36:17,080
Speaker 2: me down. I mean she lost to Garcia today. Corney's yeah.

700
00:36:17,120 --> 00:36:20,399
Speaker 2: I can we trust Corney to beat it, to hold

701
00:36:20,440 --> 00:36:22,680
Speaker 2: her head? I don't know, but she's you know, she's

702
00:36:22,680 --> 00:36:25,279
Speaker 2: beat Serena before. Corne's three and over its boots. By

703
00:36:25,320 --> 00:36:27,560
Speaker 2: the way, I don't think she's lost more than three

704
00:36:27,560 --> 00:36:29,600
Speaker 2: games in a set. I love that first round matchup,

705
00:36:30,200 --> 00:36:32,680
Speaker 2: but I just don't know who I can trust to

706
00:36:32,760 --> 00:36:35,320
Speaker 2: come out of here. CanVec It make a run and

707
00:36:35,560 --> 00:36:38,680
Speaker 2: URISKI I don't just I don't trust her game on

708
00:36:38,840 --> 00:36:41,919
Speaker 2: grass yet. I'll say she Andresca comes out of here,

709
00:36:42,520 --> 00:36:44,880
Speaker 2: but it's I don't want any part of any future

710
00:36:45,440 --> 00:36:48,840
Speaker 2: or stab in this quarter. IgA. Look, I think that

711
00:36:48,880 --> 00:36:51,200
Speaker 2: she's going to lose, but she's the favorite and she

712
00:36:51,239 --> 00:36:53,400
Speaker 2: has a pretty favorable path. There's some names here, but

713
00:36:53,400 --> 00:36:56,680
Speaker 2: there's some players dealing with injuries and some players that

714
00:36:56,719 --> 00:36:59,320
Speaker 2: aren't great on grass, and so I don't see anything

715
00:36:59,320 --> 00:37:02,840
Speaker 2: worth betting here from a quarter perspective. Maybe Tom Yanovitch.

716
00:37:03,080 --> 00:37:04,680
Speaker 2: Can you really have her? Trust her? Is?

717
00:37:04,960 --> 00:37:05,800
Speaker 1: What is gallibic?

718
00:37:07,760 --> 00:37:09,959
Speaker 2: Her odds? Yeah?

719
00:37:10,000 --> 00:37:12,239
Speaker 1: She I love her on grass, the one handed back end.

720
00:37:12,360 --> 00:37:15,279
Speaker 1: She's super linear and holds your serve. She made the

721
00:37:15,320 --> 00:37:18,960
Speaker 1: quarters last year, dog keys, So did tom Yanovitch, by

722
00:37:19,000 --> 00:37:21,000
Speaker 1: the way, Yeah, underrated and then.

723
00:37:20,840 --> 00:37:23,960
Speaker 2: Lost to Barty. Yeah, so there's some land mines here

724
00:37:24,000 --> 00:37:27,200
Speaker 2: for a guy. I just don't have any conviction on

725
00:37:27,280 --> 00:37:31,560
Speaker 2: who I think is going to actually do it, So

726
00:37:31,719 --> 00:37:33,799
Speaker 2: I'm staying away from a betting perspective in this quarter.

727
00:37:34,480 --> 00:37:37,719
Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't have anything I would necessarily formally tip,

728
00:37:37,760 --> 00:37:41,080
Speaker 1: but I will say Gollibik is a tough player, might.

729
00:37:40,920 --> 00:37:43,200
Speaker 2: Be worth a better two, and keep your eye on her.

730
00:37:43,920 --> 00:37:48,640
Speaker 2: Second quarter. Bodosa is the top seed. She's yeah, she's injured.

731
00:37:48,840 --> 00:37:51,799
Speaker 2: Yastremska's up there with her. She's dangerous, but I'm not

732
00:37:51,800 --> 00:37:53,440
Speaker 2: sure what's up with her. That Vekiche match, I don't know.

733
00:37:53,560 --> 00:37:55,000
Speaker 2: She was throwing the metros, lost the first set in

734
00:37:55,040 --> 00:37:58,480
Speaker 2: like nineteen minutes, got bageled. It was very odd. Kvitova

735
00:37:59,200 --> 00:38:05,680
Speaker 2: twenty seven one one mer resurgent Petra who looks like

736
00:38:06,000 --> 00:38:08,200
Speaker 2: old Petra, and there's always dangerous on grass I mean

737
00:38:08,200 --> 00:38:10,840
Speaker 2: she hasn't look she's into her first grass final in

738
00:38:10,960 --> 00:38:14,040
Speaker 2: four years. She'd beat Huded Maya, who hadn't lost in forever.

739
00:38:14,400 --> 00:38:16,799
Speaker 2: She beat her earlier today. She hasn't made a big

740
00:38:16,840 --> 00:38:20,279
Speaker 2: run on Wimbledon since twenty fourteen. The old guard. Do

741
00:38:20,320 --> 00:38:23,239
Speaker 2: you trust her to make a run, especially after you know,

742
00:38:23,360 --> 00:38:26,399
Speaker 2: making a run the week before, Maybe it'll be tough.

743
00:38:26,719 --> 00:38:31,160
Speaker 2: There's something that's still says I shouldn't trust her. Georgie

744
00:38:31,880 --> 00:38:34,120
Speaker 2: one hundred and ten to one, I think is worth

745
00:38:34,120 --> 00:38:37,520
Speaker 2: a flyer, either to win the quarter or one hundred

746
00:38:37,520 --> 00:38:39,200
Speaker 2: and ten to won to win the tournament. She's dangerous

747
00:38:39,239 --> 00:38:42,920
Speaker 2: on grass. Maybe a potentially tricky first round matchup against Magna,

748
00:38:43,040 --> 00:38:45,800
Speaker 2: but playing with a lot of confidence on this surface.

749
00:38:45,840 --> 00:38:47,880
Speaker 2: She can hit so well. It reminds me she's playing

750
00:38:47,920 --> 00:38:49,600
Speaker 2: sort of like she played when I backed her one

751
00:38:49,680 --> 00:38:51,800
Speaker 2: hundred and fifty to one and she ran to the

752
00:38:51,800 --> 00:38:54,640
Speaker 2: peak Serena and gave Peak Serena a run. That was

753
00:38:54,680 --> 00:38:59,799
Speaker 2: an awesome match. Then you got Hall up who good

754
00:38:59,840 --> 00:39:02,360
Speaker 2: furrmon grass is one here in twenty nineteen, but she

755
00:39:02,480 --> 00:39:05,880
Speaker 2: withdrew from Eastbourne and then she's got Mukhova in the

756
00:39:05,920 --> 00:39:09,200
Speaker 2: first round which is a brutal, brutal first round match

757
00:39:09,200 --> 00:39:12,640
Speaker 2: on Mcova great on grass, made the quarterfinal the last

758
00:39:12,680 --> 00:39:17,080
Speaker 2: two times here, so who wins that match? I don't know.

759
00:39:17,120 --> 00:39:18,719
Speaker 2: And then what's up with hal when the withdrawals are

760
00:39:18,719 --> 00:39:23,080
Speaker 2: just precautionary golf? Twelve to one. She's the third favorite here.

761
00:39:23,160 --> 00:39:25,120
Speaker 2: She's trending up. She's made the second week both times

762
00:39:25,160 --> 00:39:27,600
Speaker 2: she's been at Wimbledon. And then you have a Nissimova

763
00:39:27,800 --> 00:39:30,520
Speaker 2: who's seated. I do not like her. She's thirtieth to one.

764
00:39:30,520 --> 00:39:32,480
Speaker 2: I do not like your game on grass. I like

765
00:39:32,600 --> 00:39:36,000
Speaker 2: her overall and the way that she's kind of trending,

766
00:39:36,280 --> 00:39:40,000
Speaker 2: but she struggles with lower bounces. She might also be

767
00:39:40,040 --> 00:39:43,520
Speaker 2: dealing with a little injury. So no thanks, Sorbis Tormo,

768
00:39:43,800 --> 00:39:46,919
Speaker 2: No thanks. And then you have Serena nineteen to one.

769
00:39:48,800 --> 00:39:51,320
Speaker 2: She is her best surface. She's ninety eight and thirteen

770
00:39:51,640 --> 00:39:54,799
Speaker 2: at Wimbledonti her first match in the year, and I

771
00:39:54,840 --> 00:39:57,160
Speaker 2: said she has a dangerous first round matchup. There might

772
00:39:57,160 --> 00:39:59,439
Speaker 2: be value in fading her against Harmony Tan. I can't

773
00:39:59,440 --> 00:40:02,840
Speaker 2: see Serena. I mean, maybe she's kind of like mukar

774
00:40:02,960 --> 00:40:05,960
Speaker 2: Utha or you know, Stevens if she gets to like

775
00:40:06,000 --> 00:40:08,000
Speaker 2: the fourth round, then it's like, all right, look out

776
00:40:08,000 --> 00:40:09,920
Speaker 2: in our service. Fire. But I can't trust her, especially

777
00:40:09,920 --> 00:40:12,879
Speaker 2: in nineteen to one. If you say, look, she's the goat,

778
00:40:12,880 --> 00:40:16,080
Speaker 2: and it's Wimbledon and she's the greatest women's grass court

779
00:40:16,080 --> 00:40:17,640
Speaker 2: player of all time by far, and you want a

780
00:40:17,680 --> 00:40:19,399
Speaker 2: backer at nineteen to one in a tournament that she's

781
00:40:19,480 --> 00:40:22,920
Speaker 2: usually like minus one fifty, go for it. I can't

782
00:40:22,920 --> 00:40:25,799
Speaker 2: get there. She's down there with Polishkova, who made the

783
00:40:25,840 --> 00:40:28,359
Speaker 2: final last year. She's thirty two to one. Do not

784
00:40:28,360 --> 00:40:32,400
Speaker 2: trust those go right now. The craziest thing about this

785
00:40:32,520 --> 00:40:36,520
Speaker 2: quarter in the entire field, here are the champions Serena

786
00:40:36,600 --> 00:40:43,160
Speaker 2: seven times, how Kivitova twice. That's ten champions. They're all

787
00:40:43,360 --> 00:40:47,960
Speaker 2: in this quarter. The only championship, the only championship one

788
00:40:48,000 --> 00:40:50,280
Speaker 2: that's not in this quarter in the field is Kerber,

789
00:40:50,520 --> 00:40:52,520
Speaker 2: who's not in this quarter. So there's a lot of

790
00:40:52,560 --> 00:40:57,520
Speaker 2: pedigree in this quarter. I think Georgie's worth a flyer

791
00:40:57,920 --> 00:41:01,200
Speaker 2: to win the quarter. I'll throw a little on her, dude,

792
00:41:01,200 --> 00:41:04,200
Speaker 2: we for a little fire and Camilla Goatmella with me.

793
00:41:04,680 --> 00:41:08,479
Speaker 1: Yeah, I like Georgie that. I like Georgie the one

794
00:41:08,520 --> 00:41:12,400
Speaker 1: The one name that is a landmine potentially is Lauren

795
00:41:12,520 --> 00:41:17,000
Speaker 1: Davis if anyone is potentially backing Anasamova, who you warned against.

796
00:41:17,400 --> 00:41:20,560
Speaker 1: Lauren Davis always usually good for an upset early on

797
00:41:20,719 --> 00:41:23,160
Speaker 1: at Wimbledon, Just to keep that in mind. But yeah,

798
00:41:23,160 --> 00:41:24,040
Speaker 1: I like Georgie here.

799
00:41:24,160 --> 00:41:27,120
Speaker 2: By the way, Georgie did get dogged by Austa Penka today,

800
00:41:27,400 --> 00:41:31,560
Speaker 2: who is extremely dangerous on the surface, really any surface.

801
00:41:31,560 --> 00:41:34,200
Speaker 2: She's in the fourth quarter, we'll get there. Third quarter Collins,

802
00:41:34,680 --> 00:41:37,640
Speaker 2: Danielle Collins is the good. The top two seats in

803
00:41:37,680 --> 00:41:40,799
Speaker 2: this quarter are Jibor, who I think was ready to

804
00:41:40,800 --> 00:41:43,640
Speaker 2: break through at the quarterfinal last year. She's been on

805
00:41:43,680 --> 00:41:46,239
Speaker 2: her roll. I think this is her best surface. She's

806
00:41:46,280 --> 00:41:48,280
Speaker 2: ten to one, but she got injured in Eastbourne playing

807
00:41:48,320 --> 00:41:50,319
Speaker 2: doubles with Serena. Hurt her knee. I don't know what's

808
00:41:50,360 --> 00:41:53,200
Speaker 2: up with her. I can't advise back here now because

809
00:41:53,200 --> 00:41:55,080
Speaker 2: I don't know how healthy she's. And then the other

810
00:41:55,080 --> 00:41:58,400
Speaker 2: top seed is Collins, who pulled out of the sport

811
00:41:58,440 --> 00:42:01,000
Speaker 2: with an injury that she's she hasn't played on grass.

812
00:42:01,520 --> 00:42:03,839
Speaker 2: She's got a tough first round matchup against boost Cova.

813
00:42:03,840 --> 00:42:07,239
Speaker 2: There's a reason she's seventy to one. Can't advise backing her.

814
00:42:08,120 --> 00:42:10,319
Speaker 2: There's also I mean Collins Hays Beustkova in the first round.

815
00:42:10,320 --> 00:42:13,520
Speaker 2: There's Cinya Kova looming up there, who's always dangerous on grass,

816
00:42:13,520 --> 00:42:17,080
Speaker 2: and Risk the seeded player right there, who's great on grass,

817
00:42:17,400 --> 00:42:20,279
Speaker 2: good form. You also have Keys, but she had an

818
00:42:20,320 --> 00:42:23,640
Speaker 2: ab injury at Eastbourne and had to retire. She's made

819
00:42:23,640 --> 00:42:25,839
Speaker 2: a lot of runs here fifty five to one. Maybe

820
00:42:25,840 --> 00:42:29,719
Speaker 2: that's intriguing, right o'kanu. You said to me that she's

821
00:42:29,719 --> 00:42:33,960
Speaker 2: intrigues you, but she's injured. She's not fit at all

822
00:42:34,040 --> 00:42:36,080
Speaker 2: right now, I could not trust her. And she's got

823
00:42:36,640 --> 00:42:39,560
Speaker 2: van Eudlink in the first round, really tough matchup on

824
00:42:39,600 --> 00:42:42,239
Speaker 2: the surface, and van Oidpek's in great form right now.

825
00:42:42,440 --> 00:42:44,680
Speaker 2: I think then, oh think actually pulls off that upset.

826
00:42:45,280 --> 00:42:49,160
Speaker 2: So the top half, it's like who comes out of there, Collins, Risk, Keys, right, Okana,

827
00:42:49,400 --> 00:42:51,600
Speaker 2: I mean Risk has won seven she's the Keys has

828
00:42:51,640 --> 00:42:54,120
Speaker 2: won seven straight against Risk if they get there, but

829
00:42:54,120 --> 00:42:56,279
Speaker 2: none of them have been on grass, and like Risk

830
00:42:56,400 --> 00:42:59,759
Speaker 2: is either grass or like Asian hardcore. Otherwise she's just

831
00:43:00,000 --> 00:43:02,880
Speaker 2: cletely irrelevant. So I'm gonna say Risk comes out of

832
00:43:02,920 --> 00:43:05,880
Speaker 2: the top half this quarter. Bottom half, you have Kerber,

833
00:43:06,000 --> 00:43:09,120
Speaker 2: who's won here before, mentioned that twenty eighteen. She made

834
00:43:09,120 --> 00:43:11,880
Speaker 2: the semis last year as well. She's twenty seven to one.

835
00:43:11,920 --> 00:43:15,960
Speaker 2: He got mertens oh and three in her last three Caneppis.

836
00:43:16,000 --> 00:43:19,800
Speaker 1: He seeded Ducky for the first time since twenty fourteen.

837
00:43:19,960 --> 00:43:24,480
Speaker 1: I believe is a seated player in a granted, she

838
00:43:24,640 --> 00:43:26,239
Speaker 1: is one of the players that you and I for

839
00:43:26,400 --> 00:43:29,640
Speaker 1: years have made a racket out of betting her as

840
00:43:29,680 --> 00:43:32,759
Speaker 1: a big dog against top players in the first round

841
00:43:32,800 --> 00:43:35,359
Speaker 1: of Grand Slams. So I will say upset that she's

842
00:43:35,440 --> 00:43:39,200
Speaker 1: seated so that she can't be the Giant Slayer. But interesting,

843
00:43:39,200 --> 00:43:40,080
Speaker 1: I just want to point that out.

844
00:43:40,440 --> 00:43:43,480
Speaker 2: Yeah, it sucks. And then Jabbor, who she's healthy. I

845
00:43:43,480 --> 00:43:45,160
Speaker 2: think she comes out of this quarter, but I'm not

846
00:43:45,160 --> 00:43:47,040
Speaker 2: sure she is. So I'm gonna say I'm gonna take

847
00:43:47,040 --> 00:43:48,560
Speaker 2: another fire and I'm gonna say Risk comes out of

848
00:43:48,560 --> 00:43:50,960
Speaker 2: this quarter. But I have no conviction because of the

849
00:43:51,040 --> 00:43:54,400
Speaker 2: Jabbor injury. You have college injury, you have keys injury.

850
00:43:54,400 --> 00:43:59,680
Speaker 2: There's so much Rdicano injury, so much uncertainty. Hear, I'm

851
00:43:59,719 --> 00:44:01,960
Speaker 2: gonna throw a flyer on Risk on grass.

852
00:44:02,880 --> 00:44:05,080
Speaker 1: Yeah, I like one of the Americans to come out

853
00:44:05,080 --> 00:44:07,759
Speaker 1: of this quarter, be it probably in this order. I

854
00:44:08,040 --> 00:44:10,160
Speaker 1: agree with you with Risk being the first. She is

855
00:44:10,200 --> 00:44:12,600
Speaker 1: again when we talk about when you brought up a

856
00:44:12,600 --> 00:44:16,320
Speaker 1: guy like von Ritthoven and winning a tournament his first

857
00:44:16,440 --> 00:44:19,759
Speaker 1: main draw Torn Entry. Ever, it's one of the surfaces

858
00:44:19,800 --> 00:44:23,520
Speaker 1: that if you are a master or are approaching mastery

859
00:44:23,600 --> 00:44:26,440
Speaker 1: of the surface, you have a great head up on

860
00:44:26,520 --> 00:44:28,840
Speaker 1: other players who may be better tennis players than you.

861
00:44:29,080 --> 00:44:31,279
Speaker 1: And Ali Risk is one of those players who has

862
00:44:31,320 --> 00:44:35,680
Speaker 1: a great advantage on grass courts. Her game gets elevated

863
00:44:35,719 --> 00:44:39,200
Speaker 1: by the surface, whereas many other players their games diminished

864
00:44:39,200 --> 00:44:41,480
Speaker 1: by playing on a grass court. So I love Ali Risk.

865
00:44:42,080 --> 00:44:47,480
Speaker 1: I'm gonna call or hopefully that Danielle Rose Collins injury

866
00:44:47,520 --> 00:44:48,920
Speaker 1: is not as bad as you make it out to

867
00:44:48,960 --> 00:44:51,560
Speaker 1: be because she's another player who I love on fast,

868
00:44:51,719 --> 00:44:56,640
Speaker 1: hard fast surfaces like this. So I like Danny Rose

869
00:44:56,920 --> 00:44:58,359
Speaker 1: or Risk to come through.

870
00:44:58,920 --> 00:45:01,400
Speaker 2: If we don't really know much of she just was

871
00:45:01,440 --> 00:45:02,920
Speaker 2: out of Eastbourne, so it could have been just some

872
00:45:03,120 --> 00:45:05,200
Speaker 2: It could have just been precautionary. It's not like I

873
00:45:05,200 --> 00:45:08,360
Speaker 2: saw her get injured or anything. Fourth and final quarter

874
00:45:09,120 --> 00:45:12,359
Speaker 2: t Sakari twenty seven to one, contivt or the top

875
00:45:12,360 --> 00:45:15,279
Speaker 2: two seats, but contivent is long COVID, she's fifty five

876
00:45:15,320 --> 00:45:17,279
Speaker 2: to one. I love her on grass, but can't back

877
00:45:17,320 --> 00:45:20,719
Speaker 2: her right now Klein, and she's also I think maybe

878
00:45:20,760 --> 00:45:23,319
Speaker 2: dealing with an injury. Very talented player. Then he got

879
00:45:23,320 --> 00:45:27,960
Speaker 2: like sorry Trevis soon meaningless on grass. Asta Panko is

880
00:45:28,000 --> 00:45:31,080
Speaker 2: in extremely good form. She made the semis here in

881
00:45:31,080 --> 00:45:34,319
Speaker 2: twenty eighteen. She's a Wimbledon Junior champ. She is in

882
00:45:34,360 --> 00:45:38,440
Speaker 2: the finals in Eastbourn. Extremely dangerous. Ben Chicic, who I

883
00:45:38,440 --> 00:45:41,160
Speaker 2: think is a top three easily grass player in the world.

884
00:45:41,200 --> 00:45:44,000
Speaker 2: But is she healthy? And she's made the fourth round

885
00:45:44,000 --> 00:45:48,760
Speaker 2: here twice. Hotted Maya, who's the hottest grass player on tour.

886
00:45:49,480 --> 00:45:51,360
Speaker 2: She won twelve in a row before losing today to

887
00:45:51,400 --> 00:45:54,480
Speaker 2: conve the longest streak on grass and Serena between twenty

888
00:45:54,520 --> 00:45:58,680
Speaker 2: fifteen and twenty eighteen. And she's won two titles on

889
00:45:58,800 --> 00:46:01,560
Speaker 2: grass then not many women have done that in the

890
00:46:01,640 --> 00:46:05,200
Speaker 2: history of the sport. Benchitz, how did Maya projected the

891
00:46:05,239 --> 00:46:09,440
Speaker 2: third round matchup? I think the winner of that eventually

892
00:46:09,840 --> 00:46:12,560
Speaker 2: goes on to face Sastapenka. I don't really trust the

893
00:46:12,640 --> 00:46:14,960
Speaker 2: caaria on grass, yet she says that she feels like

894
00:46:15,000 --> 00:46:16,960
Speaker 2: a cow when she plays it. It was funny clip they said,

895
00:46:16,960 --> 00:46:18,680
Speaker 2: how do you feel when you what's it like the

896
00:46:18,719 --> 00:46:21,200
Speaker 2: play on grass? So it feels like we're cows? Thought

897
00:46:21,200 --> 00:46:26,680
Speaker 2: that was funny. Good head Wimbledon, How in my hut

898
00:46:26,840 --> 00:46:29,600
Speaker 2: is just I think some of my friend boiled egg

899
00:46:29,640 --> 00:46:33,839
Speaker 2: calls her the the uh Brazilian Kvitova. And she's never

900
00:46:33,880 --> 00:46:36,360
Speaker 2: been past the second round of a slam though, so

901
00:46:36,400 --> 00:46:39,200
Speaker 2: I think as long as Benchic is fit, which I

902
00:46:39,280 --> 00:46:41,480
Speaker 2: don't know, so I can't She's my only future to

903
00:46:41,560 --> 00:46:44,440
Speaker 2: win it. But I can't really recommend her. I have

904
00:46:44,520 --> 00:46:46,520
Speaker 2: her twenty seven to one. She's like twenty one to one.

905
00:46:46,560 --> 00:46:47,960
Speaker 2: If you could find her thirty to one and you

906
00:46:48,000 --> 00:46:49,680
Speaker 2: want to throw something on the sweat with me, fine,

907
00:46:49,719 --> 00:46:52,000
Speaker 2: but she I don't know how healthy her ankle is

908
00:46:52,400 --> 00:46:55,000
Speaker 2: because she got to the final against Jabor and then

909
00:46:55,320 --> 00:46:58,200
Speaker 2: hurt her ankle like had a It was bad, and

910
00:46:58,280 --> 00:47:01,000
Speaker 2: then she had to retire. So I'm gonna say I'm

911
00:47:01,000 --> 00:47:02,880
Speaker 2: gonna stick to my guns. Let's say Benchic comes out

912
00:47:02,920 --> 00:47:07,440
Speaker 2: of here and she dogged how died my earlier this

913
00:47:07,520 --> 00:47:09,680
Speaker 2: year in Sydney wasn't on grass and they're only meeting.

914
00:47:10,360 --> 00:47:12,640
Speaker 2: I think she'll force a lot of errors from Ustapenko.

915
00:47:13,160 --> 00:47:15,279
Speaker 2: So I don't know the health is. There's a lot

916
00:47:15,320 --> 00:47:17,080
Speaker 2: of health questions on the women's side. I'm gonna say

917
00:47:17,120 --> 00:47:19,279
Speaker 2: Benchi comes out of here. I think it's her time.

918
00:47:19,320 --> 00:47:22,120
Speaker 2: As long as she's healthy, I think she wins this tournament.

919
00:47:22,160 --> 00:47:25,040
Speaker 2: By the way, wild cards to watch Katie Boulder, local favorite.

920
00:47:25,040 --> 00:47:28,600
Speaker 2: She beat Plushkeba and Risk. She's in good form and

921
00:47:28,760 --> 00:47:30,160
Speaker 2: she beat them recently on grass.

922
00:47:30,680 --> 00:47:34,040
Speaker 1: A lot of those young Englishmen are tough, dart bolter, berge,

923
00:47:34,160 --> 00:47:38,120
Speaker 1: they're they're all dangerous in bur Marino.

924
00:47:38,840 --> 00:47:41,279
Speaker 2: They don't have great first time much name is big game.

925
00:47:41,600 --> 00:47:44,480
Speaker 2: She challenge a lot of the top seeds and she

926
00:47:44,560 --> 00:47:47,000
Speaker 2: has a game built for grass. I like her for

927
00:47:47,120 --> 00:47:49,000
Speaker 2: him some names that might be off the Raider to

928
00:47:49,040 --> 00:47:50,680
Speaker 2: keep in mind, it's just for like one off bets.

929
00:47:51,360 --> 00:47:54,080
Speaker 1: Serenko has been back and in great form. I don't

930
00:47:54,080 --> 00:47:57,359
Speaker 1: know if you've been watching her over the past few weeks. Yeah,

931
00:47:57,640 --> 00:48:00,439
Speaker 1: and she was a player who was classy one point,

932
00:48:00,480 --> 00:48:03,040
Speaker 1: I think, in the top thirty pretty consistently, and then

933
00:48:03,160 --> 00:48:04,680
Speaker 1: just fell off. I don't know where she went, but

934
00:48:04,800 --> 00:48:07,200
Speaker 1: now she's back and winning, so she can make some

935
00:48:07,280 --> 00:48:07,759
Speaker 1: noise in that.

936
00:48:08,200 --> 00:48:10,080
Speaker 2: I'm gonna say, who comes out of the quarters? I mean,

937
00:48:10,080 --> 00:48:15,080
Speaker 2: who knows it's a women's Slam. I'm gonna say, Andrescu hesitantly.

938
00:48:15,840 --> 00:48:19,120
Speaker 2: I just have no idea it's coming out of that quarter. Andrescu,

939
00:48:19,960 --> 00:48:22,239
Speaker 2: I'm gonna say, Georgie comes out of the championship quarter

940
00:48:22,320 --> 00:48:24,920
Speaker 2: with all the champions, and then Risk. I'm gonna throw

941
00:48:24,960 --> 00:48:28,120
Speaker 2: little flyers on Risk and Georgie one of them hits

942
00:48:28,280 --> 00:48:31,359
Speaker 2: to win their quarters. And then Bench and my pick

943
00:48:31,560 --> 00:48:33,600
Speaker 2: is I gotta stick in my gum pick. Is benchage

944
00:48:33,640 --> 00:48:35,200
Speaker 2: to win it? She's not in the future to win it.

945
00:48:35,680 --> 00:48:38,000
Speaker 2: Will you be dabbling in any women's bets?

946
00:48:39,280 --> 00:48:42,000
Speaker 1: I gotta be honest, most likely not. I want to

947
00:48:42,080 --> 00:48:46,360
Speaker 1: see Bench, which I wish I knew how much she's recovered,

948
00:48:46,360 --> 00:48:48,440
Speaker 1: because the injury looked really bad when she went down.

949
00:48:48,480 --> 00:48:50,520
Speaker 1: But I watched her in all of those build up

950
00:48:50,560 --> 00:48:53,000
Speaker 1: matches to the final when she got hurt, and she

951
00:48:53,160 --> 00:48:56,560
Speaker 1: looked so good. She was She was really my favorite

952
00:48:56,600 --> 00:48:57,399
Speaker 1: for Wimbledon as well.

953
00:48:57,440 --> 00:48:58,960
Speaker 2: Bench we can get we get a video of her,

954
00:48:59,120 --> 00:49:01,480
Speaker 2: like we'll see if her warming up and practicing. I'll

955
00:49:01,520 --> 00:49:05,520
Speaker 2: tweet it out leading up to the tournament and I'll

956
00:49:05,560 --> 00:49:09,479
Speaker 2: convince you to sprinkle on goat Miller to win her quarter,

957
00:49:10,120 --> 00:49:11,640
Speaker 2: but it maybe risk I will.

958
00:49:11,760 --> 00:49:15,520
Speaker 1: And outside of that, I gotta say, Serena nineteen to one.

959
00:49:16,360 --> 00:49:18,640
Speaker 1: I watched her in the doubles matches are timing on

960
00:49:18,680 --> 00:49:20,879
Speaker 1: the back end, and then the groundstrokes look really bad.

961
00:49:21,080 --> 00:49:24,640
Speaker 1: But it's nineteen to one, and I probably will be

962
00:49:24,719 --> 00:49:27,239
Speaker 1: having a little bit of an investment on striantech at

963
00:49:27,280 --> 00:49:29,960
Speaker 1: one fifty five, just because you know, I think that

964
00:49:30,080 --> 00:49:33,360
Speaker 1: she's deserved the benefit of the doubt, so to speak.

965
00:49:33,480 --> 00:49:36,239
Speaker 1: At this point in time, thirty five straight wins, I

966
00:49:36,320 --> 00:49:38,840
Speaker 1: think there's a good chance you can make it sixty

967
00:49:39,120 --> 00:49:42,239
Speaker 1: fifty one if they're forty one, my mess fifty one.

968
00:49:42,440 --> 00:49:46,920
Speaker 2: I hope no one needs sixteen, all right, perfect way

969
00:49:47,239 --> 00:49:48,960
Speaker 2: to end this. We said we wanted to just do

970
00:49:49,040 --> 00:49:50,799
Speaker 2: twenty minutes, but of course we go for an hour

971
00:49:51,280 --> 00:49:54,560
Speaker 2: as always. Hope you enjoyed it. Make sure you follow

972
00:49:54,560 --> 00:49:57,600
Speaker 2: along on the Action NEWORKAP and our twitters at Scottie

973
00:49:57,680 --> 00:50:00,719
Speaker 2: Pippin a S C O T T I and then

974
00:50:00,760 --> 00:50:04,080
Speaker 2: at Stucky two and of course on the action of

975
00:50:04,120 --> 00:50:07,840
Speaker 2: our gap for our place and good luck regardless of

976
00:50:07,840 --> 00:50:10,200
Speaker 2: what you're wagering, but especially if you're following along with

977
00:50:10,280 --> 00:50:13,200
Speaker 2: any of our futures or darts, and let's have a

978
00:50:13,280 --> 00:50:18,320
Speaker 2: profitable tournament. Thanks for tuning in, and happy tens to