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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Action Network Podcast, the number one show

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Speaker 1: for the invested sports fan.

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Speaker 2: All right, here we got twenty twenty five, thirty thirty five,

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Speaker 2: forty forty.

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Speaker 3: Five fifty and the kicks block the college football world start.

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Speaker 3: Oh my goodness, please stumbled and football the lateral turn

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Speaker 3: tire of the episode.

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Speaker 2: Give you the lad table off the fal tonight. By god,

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Speaker 2: it's not the side on the game, the fighting, it's

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Speaker 2: the side of the fight. What's up the general nation?

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Speaker 2: Welcome to the Action Network Podcast. This is the week

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Speaker 2: three college football betting preview. I'm stucky and with me

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Speaker 2: as always is Colin Wilson. They say it's not a

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Speaker 2: great college football slate. They say there's no marquee games.

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Speaker 2: But every weekend is a market weekend when you're betting

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Speaker 2: on these games. What's going on, Colin? I got a

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Speaker 2: call from my grandmother.

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Speaker 4: She says, well, this weekend's college football slate is like

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Speaker 4: putting lipstim on a pig. I said, Grandma, you can

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Speaker 4: bet on at least sixty seventy games this weekend.

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Speaker 2: I don't know what you're talking about. I'm happy with

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Speaker 2: this slate. Yeah, Colin, you're headed up to Lambo to

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Speaker 2: see this year's Super Bowl champ Packers against the Vikings

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Speaker 2: in a game I like. But we'll still be on

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Speaker 2: live this weekend. On Saturday morning, we'll tweet out the links,

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Speaker 2: we'll go through Saturday's card. We'll also still have our

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Speaker 2: podcast that we'll record on Sunday. Macture. You don't forget

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Speaker 2: about the voicemails. Check out our Twitter accounts to get

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Speaker 2: the number. Rant rave, yell, screen, cry, whatever you need

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Speaker 2: to do. But today, as we always do, we go

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Speaker 2: through the Friday night and Saturday slate. We'll get to

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Speaker 2: Friday Night lights later. I think we disagree on a

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Speaker 2: few games. We'll get to our money line parlay as well.

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Speaker 2: But first let's start with our favorite segment which we

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Speaker 2: always start with, which is look ahead or look away?

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Speaker 5: Hangovers, sleepers and the dread and sandwich spot.

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Speaker 6: Is it time to look ahead or look away?

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Speaker 2: Look for those that are new, what we do is

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Speaker 2: we'll look ahead to next week and see how those

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Speaker 2: games on the dock it might influence this week's game.

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Speaker 2: You know, if a team might be looking ahead, they

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Speaker 2: might rest starters early, they might not be fully focused,

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Speaker 2: and you know, it ultimately comes down to the number.

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Speaker 2: It is, you know, sort of a guiding point for

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Speaker 2: how we start the conversation. So the first one we'll

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Speaker 2: start with is a pretty fascinating game between USC and BYU.

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Speaker 2: This line's been bouncing, you know, between three and a

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Speaker 2: half four, four and a half. USC a road favorite.

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Speaker 2: I believe they're ranked now, you know, up the twenty

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Speaker 2: four to twenty five USC. You know, they beat a

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Speaker 2: wounded Stanford team and now they have a massive game

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Speaker 2: with Utah on deck next Friday night. BYU I think

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Speaker 2: is a live home dog here. I think this line

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Speaker 2: is way too high. At any time I get a

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Speaker 2: chance to fad Clay Hilton, I'm jumping at the opportunity.

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Speaker 2: What do you see here?

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Speaker 4: Yeah, Clay Hilton on the road one of our favorite fades.

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Speaker 4: But no, you're right, our Action Network power rankings make

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Speaker 4: this USC minus one.

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Speaker 2: There's a lot going on here with both teams.

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Speaker 4: I mean, we got BYU off of an overtime win

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Speaker 4: on the road. We got USC coming off of a

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Speaker 4: conference a big conference win, a big emotional conference win

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Speaker 4: with their new quarterback, their new freshman quarterback, and this

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Speaker 4: is kind of a sandwich game before the big test

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Speaker 4: against Utah. Which is going to be only six days

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Speaker 4: away since they're playing on a Friday night. If you

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Speaker 4: look at this game BYU, they were the number one

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Speaker 4: team in the country last year. It's stopping the explosive play.

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Speaker 4: So what that means is you're not able to throw

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Speaker 4: for twenty thirty forty yards. Yet you watch USC last

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Speaker 4: week go up against Stanford and finally, somewhere around the

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Speaker 4: second quarter, keton slowvis figures out how to run Graham

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Speaker 4: Harrel's air raid and it's just being slung all over

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Speaker 4: the field and they're running Stanford out of the building.

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Speaker 4: So you know, the thing about BYU this year is

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Speaker 4: that they're still stopping explosive place. Tennessee only had one

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Speaker 4: play that went one pass that went over twenty yards,

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Speaker 4: but they're being pushed around all over the field. I mean,

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Speaker 4: you could still move the chains on them. So I

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Speaker 4: like the under in this I mean it's rising up

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Speaker 4: to fifty four, I have it less than that. I

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Speaker 4: definitely like BYU in this game. I've already taken them

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Speaker 4: in the app. I'll add to them if it gets

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Speaker 4: to six, if it steams up anymore. But BYU wants

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Speaker 4: to get into a slugfest. They want to get into

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Speaker 4: a pit with you and just you know, punch each

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Speaker 4: other in the face and grind it out.

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Speaker 2: And they're not gonna let you beat them deep. And

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Speaker 2: that's what I think this game's going to be. Yeah,

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Speaker 2: I mean, I don't get all of the sudden why

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Speaker 2: everyone loves USC. It seems like everything did a one

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Speaker 2: eighty on USC. But really, I mean, they beat Stafford.

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Speaker 2: Did something else happen last week that I didn't know about?

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Speaker 2: Did they did they beat the Chiefs or something? I

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Speaker 2: don't know where all this love's coming. They make this

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Speaker 2: line for at and look Stafford who is headed out

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Speaker 2: the UCF with Oregon on deck in another terrible spot

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Speaker 2: after USC. I don't know how much they can care

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Speaker 2: about this game. It looks like Castella will play, but

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Speaker 2: they lost Walker Little for the year, their future NFL tackle.

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Speaker 2: It looks like Foster Sarah will be out this game,

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Speaker 2: so their offensive line is in shambles. The more I

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Speaker 2: look at this game, the more I think UCF rolls.

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Speaker 2: I mean, it's just going to be tough for Stanford here.

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Speaker 2: The one thing that makes it tough is fading David

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Speaker 2: Shaw as a dog. It usually doesn't work out well,

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Speaker 2: he's going to try to go ultra conservative, try and

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Speaker 2: you know, eat up the clock. I'm assuming what do

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Speaker 2: you see in UCF Stanford.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, this is the game I hate. I hate, But

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Speaker 4: I'm actually glad that I'm flying up to Green Bay.

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Speaker 4: So for those of you that don't know, I've taken

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Speaker 4: my dad, like last ten years in a row. He

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Speaker 4: grew up in Wisconsin, big time Packers fan. He never

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Speaker 4: got to go to games as a kid or growing up.

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Speaker 4: And you know, if you can take if you could

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Speaker 4: do something for your parents, take them, you know, do

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Speaker 4: something like this, Like I'm flying Dad up to Green Bay.

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Speaker 4: I take him to a Packers game. And the old

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Speaker 4: man's just speechless for three hours while we sit there

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Speaker 4: and watch the pack And you know, we go up

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Speaker 4: there and have a few beers and catch up when

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Speaker 4: better than we do a Christmas or any other holiday.

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Speaker 4: So I'm actually glad that I'm going to be distracted

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Speaker 4: Saturday night while some of these games are going on.

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Speaker 4: I'll be watching them and I have an eye on everything,

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Speaker 4: and I'll read every box score. I don't need the

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Speaker 4: narrative shove down my throat about how good UCF is.

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Speaker 4: This shit happens every year, and I'm tired of hearing

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Speaker 4: about how UCF is the best group of five. I'm

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Speaker 4: tired of hearing about how they need to be in

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Speaker 4: the playoff. And this game sets up perfectly for them.

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Speaker 4: They finally got a Power five team to come into

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Speaker 4: their house. They get to play them at home. This

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Speaker 4: is the biggest game in program history. I don't want

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Speaker 4: to hear anything else. This is they got on their

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Speaker 4: own home turf, one of the big Power five teams

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Speaker 4: to come in, and it's a wounded team, like I

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Speaker 4: don't even know why Costello is playing. Not only did

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Speaker 4: they lose their left tackle, who was you know, all

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Speaker 4: packed twelve first team last year, they lost another guy

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Speaker 4: that was a potential, you know, going to be the

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Speaker 4: future starting left tackle, could have filled in a tackle.

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Speaker 4: Their offensive line is beat up. They're soft in the trench.

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Speaker 4: They could be deep. Keith On Slovans just prove that.

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Speaker 4: And meanwhile, you had Dylan Gabriel out here for UCF.

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Speaker 4: He only completed like eight passes for three hundred yards

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Speaker 4: last week. So these guys just throwing chunks. Dariel Mack

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Speaker 4: Junior is healthy again, so if they get in shortyard situation,

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Speaker 4: expect the tank to get back there and run over

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Speaker 4: Stanford's defensive line. I don't even know why Stanford cares

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Speaker 4: about this game. I mean, they have Orgon on deck,

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Speaker 4: they just got off usc Why would you even play Costello?

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Speaker 4: Why there's no reason to play Costello. I wouldn't be

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Speaker 4: surprised if he was a game time scratch. I mean,

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Speaker 4: the Lion is doing some funky business. I mean there's

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Speaker 4: a lot of I mean, if it's hanging around that

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Speaker 4: dead number seven and a half, eight and a half, I

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Speaker 4: just can't I don't know what's holding this number down

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Speaker 4: because it's just a really bad situation for Stanford.

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Speaker 2: Yeap, all right, so let's look at a few of

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Speaker 2: the ugliest games on the board that are in you know,

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Speaker 2: quote unquote good spots on paper. You know. So let's

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Speaker 2: you know, Auburn, they have Texas A and M on deck,

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Speaker 2: but they take on Kent State And if you haven't heard,

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Speaker 2: the Mac is atrocious. They went one in ten against

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Speaker 2: the spread last week. The only MAC team I liked

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Speaker 2: that I've seen so far. I think Ohio be okay,

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Speaker 2: it's Northern Illinois who I want again this week. So

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Speaker 2: is Colin against Nebraska. Maybe they can pull off another

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Speaker 2: outright upset there. But they look really good. I really

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Speaker 2: like their offense, and the kid from Cal who transferred

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Speaker 2: Ross Bowers a quarterback, looks great. But some of these

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Speaker 2: uglier games, I don't know if I can trust Kent State,

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Speaker 2: regardless of how little Auburn cares. Their offensive line should

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Speaker 2: just manhandle Kent State. Now you have Oklahoma State Tulsa.

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Speaker 2: That one is probably the most intriguing to me. Oklahoma

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Speaker 2: State has Texas on deck. Texas after that LSU game,

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Speaker 2: obviously has Oklahoma State on deck, and they get Rice

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Speaker 2: this weekend. The thing with Rice is Wiley Greens out,

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Speaker 2: which means you got Tom stored at quarterback. The Harvard transfer.

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Speaker 2: I do not trust him. Texas might just be able

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Speaker 2: to name it there. And then Notre Dame New Mexico.

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Speaker 2: Notre Dame has Georgia on deck. They have a lot

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Speaker 2: of injuries and I don't know how much they'll care,

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Speaker 2: but I'm not in a rush to at New Mexico.

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Speaker 2: The most interesting one to me there is Tulsa against

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Speaker 2: Oklahoma State, who's shown some things so far this year,

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Speaker 2: catching two touchdowns. Any thoughts on any of those, either Auburn, Oklahoma, State,

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Speaker 2: Texas or Notre Dame looking getting caught looking ahead there.

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Speaker 4: Listen, if Brian Kelly wants to run it up on

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Speaker 4: Bob Davy, He's gonna do it. There's no he has

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Speaker 4: no tie to Bob Davy or New Mexico, but they

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Speaker 4: do have overlooked in Georgia. You know, I wouldn't be

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Speaker 4: sure if they don't go Vanilla in the second half,

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Speaker 4: But then again there Vanilla could beat New Mexico any day.

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Speaker 2: Texas.

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Speaker 4: Rice is really interesting. You talked about a Wiley Green

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Speaker 4: is out. He's I mean, he lives up to his name.

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Speaker 4: Kid was just throwing all over wake Forest up and

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Speaker 4: down the field. He can get out of the pocket.

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Speaker 4: He could make some things happen. Took a pop to

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Speaker 4: the head, He's out. Tom Stewart's in. That doesn't make

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Speaker 4: Rice's effective in the passing game or anywhere really on

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Speaker 4: the field. So can't really do that. And then I

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Speaker 4: did some digging on like what does Tom Herman do

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Speaker 4: the week after a highly emotional game?

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Speaker 2: Can he pick it back up? And there was nothing there.

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Speaker 4: It turns out he was just five hundred it geinst

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Speaker 4: the spread after these massive dog situations in these big primetime games.

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Speaker 2: So no real angle there. You know.

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Speaker 4: The Kent State one, Listen, you worked all week. You're

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Speaker 4: probably gonna get paid on Friday when you're listening to

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Speaker 4: this the money hits the bank account. You can do

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Speaker 4: better than put your money on Kent State. Kent State's

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Speaker 4: one hundred and twenty second in the country and havoc allowed.

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Speaker 4: That means they snapped a ball and the ball is

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Speaker 4: all over the place. Woody Barrett won the quarterback job

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Speaker 4: during the summer. He's out there now. He's now got

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Speaker 4: a battle going on with a kid named Dustin Crumb.

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Speaker 4: Kent State is not worth your money.

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Speaker 2: But Barrett went to transferred from Auburn. But you'll just

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Speaker 2: be rooting right for the clock to run out.

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Speaker 4: Right, absolutely, but barrt, Yeah, Barrett was at Auburn before

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Speaker 4: he transferred to Coopaya Lincoln Community College. Actually knew somebody

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Speaker 4: who went there, you know. So the Oklahoma State Tulsa

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Speaker 4: one's really interesting because the Golden Hurricane, you know, right

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Speaker 4: down the street here from me. They're in their second

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Speaker 4: year of their three three to five defense. They haven't

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Speaker 4: really improved in the numbers so far. It's early in

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Speaker 4: the season, but you know, offensively, I mean, Zack Smith's

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Speaker 4: running it over Boomer, but they're still one hundred and

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Speaker 4: twentyth in the nation offensive yards per place, so we

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Speaker 4: haven't seen any kind of increase on that side of

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Speaker 4: the ball whatsoever. Oklahoma State's had to Texas next week.

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Speaker 4: That's a money spot for us on the pod. I

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Speaker 4: think we've mentioned it before. Tom Herman has not beat

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Speaker 4: Mike Gundy since he was an assistant in two thousand

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Speaker 4: and nine at Iowa State, So it's been quite a

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Speaker 4: while since Tom Herman's gotten that off his back.

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Speaker 2: Tulsa's not sacking.

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Speaker 4: Anybody, they're not getting ay pressure on any quarterbacks, and

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Speaker 4: Oklahoma State's converting third downs at seventy two clips. So

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Speaker 4: I know, as much as this number is dancing around fourteen,

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Speaker 4: hitting a thirteen and a half and getting fired back up,

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Speaker 4: it's hard for me to, you know, to back Tulsa

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Speaker 4: in the spot.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, all these all these I have no play in

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Speaker 2: any of these. Yeah, I'll look, I'll dig a little

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Speaker 2: deeper on is Tulsa, But now we're interest in the others,

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Speaker 2: all right, So Let's look at some of the other

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Speaker 2: games of the Week one slate that we like.

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Speaker 1: It's another fabulous weekend of college football. Let's check out

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Speaker 1: the marquee matchups we'll all end up betting for Week three.

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Speaker 2: You mentioned the three three five defense of Tulsa. That's

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Speaker 2: a team Michigan State played this game. I know you

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Speaker 2: have the line a lot lower. I think this is

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Speaker 2: Michigan State playing Arizona State. This is a revenge game

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Speaker 2: from last year. Michigan State went down to Tempe and

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Speaker 2: lost early in one hundred and ten degree weather in

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Speaker 2: an ugly game. I think Michigan State absolutely trucks the

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Speaker 2: sun devils here and the reason for it is Arizona

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Speaker 2: State cannot run the ball. So coming into this season,

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Speaker 2: the main storyline was Eno Benjamin behind five senior starters

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Speaker 2: coming back on the offensive line. Well that hasn't happened.

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Speaker 2: They have a number of injuries up front. True freshman

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Speaker 2: at center, freshman at guard. Now all these guys are

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Speaker 2: out of position and they can't run the ball. They

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Speaker 2: couldn't run the ball against Sack State, the Hornets that

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Speaker 2: you backed, you know, they couldn't really run the ball.

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Speaker 2: Kent State had six sacks. I think Kent State five

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Speaker 2: or six sacks. So they can't move the ball. So

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Speaker 2: now they're going up against the number one rush defense

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Speaker 2: in the country last year and this year they're not

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Speaker 2: be able to move the ball on the ground. And

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Speaker 2: they lost their quarterback from last year, you know, Harry,

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Speaker 2: their first round draft pick, you know, went to the

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Speaker 2: Patriots at receiver, and they're gonna be relying on this

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Speaker 2: freshman at quarterback with Sparti with their ears pinned back.

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Speaker 2: I mean, I don't see Arizona State scoring. I like

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Speaker 2: the under. You know, you can grab fourteen to a

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Speaker 2: couple of places in Vegas. I think you have to

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Speaker 2: pay some juice for it elsewhere, but I think this

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Speaker 2: is like thirty one seven. The game goes under and

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Speaker 2: oh it's a low total. But they saw the three

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Speaker 2: to three five last year in Michigan State when they

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Speaker 2: played Arizona State, they saw the three to three five.

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Speaker 2: You know, it's a defense and not a lot of

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Speaker 2: teams run, so when you first see it, confuse you

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Speaker 2: a little. So I think that can work in their advantage.

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Speaker 2: The Arizona State defense is still pretty good and they're

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Speaker 2: playing well this year, so I don't think it gets

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Speaker 2: that out of hand. But I just don't think Arizona

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Speaker 2: State scores. What do you think here?

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Speaker 4: Yeah, the defense is what saved him against sax State.

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Speaker 4: That the whole I mean, the bet on that sax

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Speaker 4: State game was the fact that the Hornets had scored

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Speaker 4: like seventy seven points against a makeshift team that I

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Speaker 4: don't even know if it was a real team.

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Speaker 2: It could have been, could have just been make believe.

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Speaker 2: I don't know, because.

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Speaker 4: Innaia program they scored seventy seven against. But I thought,

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Speaker 4: if you have any kind of offensive polls, you're gonna

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Speaker 4: be able to cover a big number against Arizona State.

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Speaker 4: And sure enough, I watch that entire game and I

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Speaker 4: was just waiting for one drive. I wanted one Arizona

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Speaker 4: just Eno Benjamin, anybody, just give me one drive of efficiency,

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Speaker 4: move the chains. I know they can hit the big play.

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Speaker 4: That's the entire offense right now. Williams steps back, throws

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Speaker 4: it as deep as he can, and Eno Benjamin or

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Speaker 4: one of the wide receivers will try to get under it,

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Speaker 4: and that's their entire offensive playbook. It's pretty sad at

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Speaker 4: Arizona State from an offensive perspective. You look at what

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Speaker 4: Michigan State's done, allowed sixty seven rushing yards to Western Michigan,

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Speaker 4: negative seventy three to Tulsa, keep dravaging negative three rushing

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Speaker 4: yards per game against Michigan State. So you hand the

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Speaker 4: ball off and you lose three yards, I would probably

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Speaker 4: not ever rush the ball. Michigan State is fourth in

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Speaker 4: havoc in the nation. That's no surprise. That's a constant

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Speaker 4: you can bet on every year. So while the spread

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Speaker 4: is fourteen, fourteen and a half and Michigan State should

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Speaker 4: absolutely cover this, I think the question I mean, the

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Speaker 4: Michigan State's rush game on offense is what I think

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Speaker 4: is going to get to the window because Arizona State

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Speaker 4: does run the three three five also, and they should

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Speaker 4: be able to at least lock down a little bit

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Speaker 4: in the passing game. Whatever the work he's going to do.

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Speaker 4: It's the Michigan State rush that you're betting on to

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Speaker 4: cover that fourteen. But I said it stuck right before

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Speaker 4: we started podcasting. I wouldn't be surprised at all if

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Speaker 4: Arizona State covered because of the final score was thirteen

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Speaker 4: to zero, sixteen to three, something like that.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't. I can't see any way that Michigan

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Speaker 2: State and the under both lose. This Michigan State defense

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Speaker 2: should dominate. Another game that we mentioned before, and I Unitbraska.

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Speaker 2: We both like the dog here. You may get seven.

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Speaker 2: I agree this Nebraska team is just it's so loved

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Speaker 2: in the market and I don't get it. But we're

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Speaker 2: both on and IU there and Ohio State Indiana mentioned

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Speaker 2: another big ten matchup here. Ohio State's getting out to

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Speaker 2: what eighteen nineteen QB change? I think in Indiana there's

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Speaker 2: but he's PEEDIX has actually hurt. I think he's going

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Speaker 2: to go. I have no feeling that Ohio State Indiana again,

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Speaker 2: but Ohio State has looked better than I thought they

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Speaker 2: were going to be so far. Obviously it's only through

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Speaker 2: two weeks. But you like NIU, and how about Ohio State,

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Speaker 2: Indiana anything there.

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Speaker 4: Let's start off with Nebraska here for a second, because

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Speaker 4: you bring up a really good point. It's like there's

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Speaker 4: so much market love for Nebraska. It's like still carried

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Speaker 4: over from January February March. This thing builds up, and

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Speaker 4: then a team like Texas, I actually believe that they

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Speaker 4: deserve market love now after seeing what they did against LSU.

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Speaker 4: Nebraska is still getting all this love. And it's similar

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Speaker 4: to other teams. You don't know their ceiling and you

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Speaker 4: don't know their floor. I don't know Nebraska's floor. I

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Speaker 4: don't know Maryland's ceiling. I don't know a lot of

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Speaker 4: these teams. You know, factly how far they're going to

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Speaker 4: fall off the table, Like I think Syracuse is really

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Speaker 4: really bad. So in the case of Nebraska, their offensive

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Speaker 4: line is one hundred and thirtieth in the nation and

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Speaker 4: passing down sacrate one hundred and thirtieth out of one

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Speaker 4: hundred and thirty teams. That means anybody is going to

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Speaker 4: be able to get to Adrian Martinez. He's going to

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Speaker 4: have to go to the air. He's going to have

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Speaker 4: tons of pressure. His rushing has been horrid this year.

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Speaker 4: I mean, I make Nebraska minus seven. The numbers is

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Speaker 4: just way too big to play on. You know, NIU

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Speaker 4: was because of the number. I have it at seven.

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Speaker 4: If you follow us and P plus they have it

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Speaker 4: at nine. So I mean, this number is just way

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Speaker 4: too much. You know, both teams are outside the top

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Speaker 4: one hundred and rushing yards, you know, rushing yards per

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Speaker 4: attempt in Northern Illinois is top twenty and almost every

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Speaker 4: single defensive rushing category, So I don't expect Adrian Martinez

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Speaker 4: to go anywhere, and I don't expect his offensive line

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Speaker 4: to protect him.

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Speaker 2: So I like Northern Illinois in the.

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Speaker 4: Spot Indiana game. I can't trust Indiana in this spot.

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Speaker 4: I know that they've they've moved on from Peyton Ramsey.

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Speaker 4: The guy was efficient, but not explosive. I don't think

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Speaker 4: he ever completed to pass over five yards. It's just

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Speaker 4: you know, two step dropping out to the flats, and

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Speaker 4: Peyton Ramsey never did anything too exciting to get the

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Speaker 4: ball moveing. And now Michael Poenix is in there running

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Speaker 4: the offense for him, and he may be a little

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Speaker 4: bit more explosive.

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Speaker 2: But Ohio State, I don't know their ceiling.

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Speaker 4: I mean, they've looked really good and nothing's really stopped

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Speaker 4: them yet. So no play for me, no matter how

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Speaker 4: big the Indiana number gets, because I have it at

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Speaker 4: like fourteen, but still at sixteen, I'm not a buyer

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Speaker 4: on Indiana. I've seen this before. There's still a thing

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Speaker 4: between Kevin Wilson, the offensive coordinator Ohio State, and his

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Speaker 4: relationship with Tom Allen, the head coach of Indiana. That

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Speaker 4: goes back a few years and Wilson would try to

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Speaker 4: stomp a mud hole in Allen's ass. Andy to Eddy

399
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Speaker 4: has before in this series, so I'm not trusting in Indiana.

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Speaker 4: I'm not playing that side at all.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, and you mentioned Northern Illinois. Their offenses looked a

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Speaker 2: lot better. I watched that game against Utah. They compete

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Speaker 2: with Utah the entire time. Rod Carry who left for Temple,

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Speaker 2: who we're going to get to next, you could tell

405
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Speaker 2: their offenses taken the next step with Bowers and Tiers

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Speaker 2: at receiver. I like the way that NIU looks and

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Speaker 2: competes in the run defense. They lost a couple pieces

408
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Speaker 2: on defense, looks to be just as good. Speaking of

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Speaker 2: Rod Caerry, who went to Temple is now the I

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Speaker 2: think the third or fourth head coach that Temple had

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Speaker 2: in the offseason. They'll take on Maryland. This is basically

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Speaker 2: Temple's first game. Temple's the only team in the nation

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Speaker 2: that hasn't played a game yet. They think they played

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Speaker 2: Bucknell in like seven weeks ago. But they take on

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Speaker 2: a Maryland team coming off a huge win over a

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Speaker 2: fraudulent Syracuse team, and we'll get to the question i'd liked.

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Speaker 2: I love this Temple team coming into the year. There's

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Speaker 2: a lot to like about them. I like Russo a quarterback.

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Speaker 2: Their offensive line is solid. There's some pieces to like

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Speaker 2: on defense, you know, yea, their secondary has to really

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Speaker 2: come together. But I like their front seven, which is

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Speaker 2: going to be big against Maryland at the extra time

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Speaker 2: to prepare for this game. You know, Maryland does have

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Speaker 2: revenge here. I do think that they don't think they're

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Speaker 2: going to be necessarily overlooking Temple. I just think this

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Speaker 2: number is too high. The one question we had about

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Speaker 2: Temple is, you know, is Rod Carey, who we're not

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Speaker 2: a fan of, going to hold them back. But I

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Speaker 2: think over a touchdown here, we both agree you got

430
00:18:50,520 --> 00:18:52,280
Speaker 2: to go with Temple. I played the alls as soon

431
00:18:52,320 --> 00:18:54,880
Speaker 2: as I saw that seven and a half. And apparently

432
00:18:55,480 --> 00:18:58,280
Speaker 2: it's not high enough because from everything I'm reading, Yeah,

433
00:18:58,320 --> 00:19:00,600
Speaker 2: the whole world is on Maryland here. I guess just

434
00:19:00,680 --> 00:19:02,080
Speaker 2: overreacting to last weekend.

435
00:19:02,400 --> 00:19:05,400
Speaker 4: Yeah, overreaction city is how you know, that's the name

436
00:19:05,400 --> 00:19:07,440
Speaker 4: of the game in college football, especially the first few weeks.

437
00:19:07,440 --> 00:19:08,879
Speaker 4: You don't know what teams are for real and what

438
00:19:08,920 --> 00:19:11,160
Speaker 4: teams aren't and in the case of Maryland, we haven't

439
00:19:11,160 --> 00:19:13,239
Speaker 4: found their ceiling yet. Now for Temple, you're right, they

440
00:19:13,240 --> 00:19:16,240
Speaker 4: played Bucknell, not a very good team at all whatsoever.

441
00:19:16,920 --> 00:19:19,320
Speaker 4: The Als beat them fifty six to twelve. They allowed

442
00:19:19,320 --> 00:19:22,320
Speaker 4: just twenty one rushing yards on twenty six attempts. Maryland

443
00:19:22,320 --> 00:19:25,399
Speaker 4: outscored Howard and Syracuse one hundred and forty two to twenty.

444
00:19:25,480 --> 00:19:27,760
Speaker 4: I'm not trying to, you know, throw digs at Syracuse,

445
00:19:27,800 --> 00:19:29,840
Speaker 4: but I mean, you know, I'm not surprised that the

446
00:19:29,840 --> 00:19:31,359
Speaker 4: score has been one hundred and forty two to twenty.

447
00:19:31,359 --> 00:19:34,000
Speaker 4: They legitimately blew out Syracuse. They were eleven to fifteen

448
00:19:34,000 --> 00:19:36,879
Speaker 4: on third down was Maryland. They had four rushers with

449
00:19:37,080 --> 00:19:40,040
Speaker 4: explosive plays. They had four receivers with explosive catches. I

450
00:19:40,080 --> 00:19:41,719
Speaker 4: know it's early, and you guys got to take this

451
00:19:41,800 --> 00:19:44,320
Speaker 4: with everything. You know, when I say havoc rate and

452
00:19:44,359 --> 00:19:47,199
Speaker 4: lineyards and you know, opportunity rate and stuff rate. I

453
00:19:47,240 --> 00:19:49,120
Speaker 4: know it's only been one or two in the sample set,

454
00:19:49,160 --> 00:19:51,679
Speaker 4: and I know FCS games are mixed into these stats.

455
00:19:51,720 --> 00:19:54,960
Speaker 4: But Maryland, they're coming off one of the biggest victories

456
00:19:55,000 --> 00:19:57,439
Speaker 4: of an undranked team over a ranked team since nineteen

457
00:19:57,480 --> 00:20:00,760
Speaker 4: ninety nine, and I think at this point everybody thinks

458
00:20:00,760 --> 00:20:03,200
Speaker 4: that they're just on fire and they're a contender in

459
00:20:03,240 --> 00:20:06,320
Speaker 4: the Big Ten. This Temple team inherited Robinster should say

460
00:20:06,359 --> 00:20:08,679
Speaker 4: Rod Carey took this job. He inherited a ton of

461
00:20:08,720 --> 00:20:11,639
Speaker 4: great players from Jeff Collins. This is where we find

462
00:20:11,840 --> 00:20:14,720
Speaker 4: where Maryland's ceiling is. I think buying them at seven

463
00:20:14,880 --> 00:20:16,200
Speaker 4: and it looks like, you know, some of the Sharper

464
00:20:16,200 --> 00:20:17,600
Speaker 4: books we looked at, a couple of them come down

465
00:20:17,600 --> 00:20:19,239
Speaker 4: to six and a half. So I took this at

466
00:20:19,280 --> 00:20:20,920
Speaker 4: seven and a half. On the app down to seven.

467
00:20:20,960 --> 00:20:23,280
Speaker 4: I was suggested at seven or better. Maybe a little

468
00:20:23,280 --> 00:20:26,080
Speaker 4: money line this weekend on Temple, a little teaser there

469
00:20:26,640 --> 00:20:29,000
Speaker 4: on what we'll get to later. I think there's just

470
00:20:29,040 --> 00:20:31,399
Speaker 4: a pure marketing reaction that got this over seven.

471
00:20:31,800 --> 00:20:33,119
Speaker 2: And I think that's it. I mean, last year, if

472
00:20:33,160 --> 00:20:35,680
Speaker 2: you look at Temple's defense, what were they top ten

473
00:20:35,720 --> 00:20:38,760
Speaker 2: and defending explosiveness, I believe, and that's what you need

474
00:20:38,800 --> 00:20:42,360
Speaker 2: to do against Maryland. All right, let's get to two

475
00:20:42,440 --> 00:20:44,840
Speaker 2: of the more marke Key games of the weekend. Now

476
00:20:44,840 --> 00:20:47,879
Speaker 2: there's not you know, your blockbuster games, but there are

477
00:20:47,920 --> 00:20:49,919
Speaker 2: some good ones and we'll have we won't spend a

478
00:20:49,920 --> 00:20:51,720
Speaker 2: ton of time on either because we'll on the Action

479
00:20:51,800 --> 00:20:54,680
Speaker 2: Network app and Action neework dot com. We'll have really

480
00:20:54,720 --> 00:20:56,920
Speaker 2: in depth betting guides at Colin and I will both

481
00:20:57,040 --> 00:20:59,760
Speaker 2: contribute to previewing both of these games. But let's start

482
00:20:59,800 --> 00:21:03,200
Speaker 2: with Iowa. Iowa State. This total has come down a

483
00:21:03,280 --> 00:21:06,680
Speaker 2: little bit. Iowa as a two ish one and a

484
00:21:06,720 --> 00:21:09,040
Speaker 2: half point favorite. I've just been sitting here waiting for

485
00:21:09,119 --> 00:21:10,840
Speaker 2: it to get the three so I can take the cyclones,

486
00:21:10,920 --> 00:21:13,639
Speaker 2: and it just refuses to get there. The questions with

487
00:21:13,720 --> 00:21:16,520
Speaker 2: Iowa State, they have the best front seven I think

488
00:21:16,560 --> 00:21:19,359
Speaker 2: in the Big twelve, going against an Iowa offensive line

489
00:21:19,359 --> 00:21:21,879
Speaker 2: that's missing its best piece, and I think, you know,

490
00:21:21,960 --> 00:21:24,000
Speaker 2: they might struggle to run the ball. But the question

491
00:21:24,160 --> 00:21:28,440
Speaker 2: is what is Iowa State's offense because the only time

492
00:21:28,520 --> 00:21:31,400
Speaker 2: we've seen them is you know, in a near loss.

493
00:21:31,480 --> 00:21:33,600
Speaker 2: And I still can't believe that Northern Iowa didn't go

494
00:21:33,640 --> 00:21:39,119
Speaker 2: for two, but they clearly clearly missed Hakeem Butler and

495
00:21:39,200 --> 00:21:41,720
Speaker 2: David Montgomery. But is that just a one off game thing.

496
00:21:41,760 --> 00:21:43,600
Speaker 2: They've had a bunch of time to prepare for this.

497
00:21:43,720 --> 00:21:45,920
Speaker 2: These games have, you know, in recent years, have been

498
00:21:46,000 --> 00:21:49,119
Speaker 2: really really close Matt Campbell. We talked about him a lot.

499
00:21:49,160 --> 00:21:50,879
Speaker 2: We both love him. One of the best against the

500
00:21:50,880 --> 00:21:54,000
Speaker 2: spread coaches active coaches in NCAAA. What are you seeing

501
00:21:54,000 --> 00:21:55,920
Speaker 2: here in Iowa? Iowa State?

502
00:21:56,800 --> 00:21:58,960
Speaker 4: Matt Campbell made some comments this week about how he

503
00:21:59,040 --> 00:22:02,560
Speaker 4: enjoyed having the buy after the game against Northern Iowa.

504
00:22:02,680 --> 00:22:04,960
Speaker 2: So I guess it works to their benefit. They weren't,

505
00:22:05,080 --> 00:22:05,280
Speaker 2: you know.

506
00:22:05,320 --> 00:22:07,400
Speaker 4: I mean, this schedule was made long ago, but Matt

507
00:22:07,440 --> 00:22:09,000
Speaker 4: Campbell was really happy that he had two weeks to

508
00:22:09,040 --> 00:22:11,520
Speaker 4: prepare specifically for this game. As far as the points

509
00:22:11,520 --> 00:22:15,000
Speaker 4: spread is concerned, we have this as Iowa State minus one.

510
00:22:15,240 --> 00:22:17,000
Speaker 4: There are other power rating systems out there that have

511
00:22:17,040 --> 00:22:19,480
Speaker 4: this at Iowa minus three. So to me, I think

512
00:22:19,480 --> 00:22:21,200
Speaker 4: the line and the total as it kind of dips

513
00:22:21,240 --> 00:22:23,480
Speaker 4: around in between a field goal, I think it's kind

514
00:22:23,480 --> 00:22:25,359
Speaker 4: of spot on. I think at three on either side

515
00:22:25,400 --> 00:22:26,960
Speaker 4: plus three, you would definitely want to have value if

516
00:22:27,000 --> 00:22:28,560
Speaker 4: you're live betting this. It may not be a bad

517
00:22:28,600 --> 00:22:31,040
Speaker 4: idea to have a little plusterer on the Hawkeyes, a

518
00:22:31,040 --> 00:22:33,000
Speaker 4: little plus er on the Cyclones. But you know, Io

519
00:22:33,119 --> 00:22:35,719
Speaker 4: allowed just one hundred and twenty five yards to Rutgers

520
00:22:35,800 --> 00:22:38,479
Speaker 4: or Rutgers offense that we thought was good because of UMass.

521
00:22:38,600 --> 00:22:40,840
Speaker 4: We'll get to u Mass later, but they beat Rutgers

522
00:22:40,880 --> 00:22:43,040
Speaker 4: thirty to zero. Before that, they allowed two hundred and

523
00:22:43,040 --> 00:22:44,959
Speaker 4: forty five yards to Miami, Ohio and they beat them

524
00:22:44,960 --> 00:22:48,000
Speaker 4: thirty eight to fourteen. Stanley's missing some weapons, so we

525
00:22:48,040 --> 00:22:50,000
Speaker 4: don't know really where he's going to go, although I

526
00:22:50,000 --> 00:22:51,480
Speaker 4: will say this, the key matchup to me is the

527
00:22:51,520 --> 00:22:53,680
Speaker 4: fact that Iowa State lost both their corners from last

528
00:22:53,760 --> 00:22:56,200
Speaker 4: year's team. I think that's where Nate Stanley's going to target,

529
00:22:56,480 --> 00:22:58,240
Speaker 4: and specifically he's going to look at a Meer Smith

530
00:22:58,640 --> 00:23:01,000
Speaker 4: Marsette because that's the receiver two years ago that caught

531
00:23:01,040 --> 00:23:04,359
Speaker 4: the winning comeback TD in overtime, I think so, I

532
00:23:04,400 --> 00:23:06,040
Speaker 4: think he's going to take full advantage of the corners

533
00:23:06,080 --> 00:23:07,960
Speaker 4: of I was a fantasy player get Smith Mark Satt

534
00:23:07,960 --> 00:23:10,400
Speaker 4: in there. But you know, I'm not really worried about

535
00:23:10,400 --> 00:23:13,040
Speaker 4: the Northern Iowa game. We've talked about this before. Last year,

536
00:23:13,040 --> 00:23:15,280
Speaker 4: this shit happened against Drake. They'd be Drake by three

537
00:23:15,400 --> 00:23:18,000
Speaker 4: and like an ice storm mud ice storm that was

538
00:23:18,080 --> 00:23:21,360
Speaker 4: going on before Thanksgiving, it didn't affect them whatsoever. So

539
00:23:21,600 --> 00:23:23,879
Speaker 4: I just think it's one of those in State, don't

540
00:23:23,960 --> 00:23:27,239
Speaker 4: care pull it out by three. I'm not sure it

541
00:23:27,280 --> 00:23:30,240
Speaker 4: was at the top of Matt Campbell's list to really

542
00:23:30,240 --> 00:23:31,840
Speaker 4: put it hammered down on the Panthers.

543
00:23:32,240 --> 00:23:34,600
Speaker 2: Yep, I would agree there. The other game that a

544
00:23:34,600 --> 00:23:38,199
Speaker 2: lot of people are talking about is Alabama South Carolina.

545
00:23:38,520 --> 00:23:40,679
Speaker 2: And the reason for this is the only team in

546
00:23:40,720 --> 00:23:44,560
Speaker 2: the SEC to win its last meeting against Alabama is

547
00:23:44,760 --> 00:23:47,439
Speaker 2: South Carolina. That's it. That's the only team. Back in

548
00:23:47,440 --> 00:23:51,160
Speaker 2: twenty ten, when they pulled off an upset, people are

549
00:23:51,240 --> 00:23:53,360
Speaker 2: saying this monumental upset. Well, I mean there were seven

550
00:23:53,400 --> 00:23:56,840
Speaker 2: a half point home dogs, Alshon Jeffrey went nuts with

551
00:23:56,920 --> 00:24:00,320
Speaker 2: a no name quarterback who was it? Garcia? Garcia? Yeah,

552
00:24:00,320 --> 00:24:02,080
Speaker 2: they ended up pulling off the upset thirty five to

553
00:24:02,119 --> 00:24:04,520
Speaker 2: twenty one. What you have going on here, and the

554
00:24:04,560 --> 00:24:06,880
Speaker 2: hardest thing to cap is you have a freshman quarterback.

555
00:24:06,920 --> 00:24:09,199
Speaker 2: So Jake Bentley's obviously out for the year, and you

556
00:24:09,200 --> 00:24:10,880
Speaker 2: have a kid who's not This isn't his first start.

557
00:24:10,920 --> 00:24:13,679
Speaker 2: He looked pretty good last week, albeit against Charleston Southern,

558
00:24:14,080 --> 00:24:17,400
Speaker 2: But the key is what can he do against Alabama?

559
00:24:17,520 --> 00:24:20,840
Speaker 2: The other question is how good is Alabama? So that

560
00:24:20,920 --> 00:24:22,240
Speaker 2: was you know, they're great. They're one of the best

561
00:24:22,240 --> 00:24:24,960
Speaker 2: teams in the country. But they played two little sisters

562
00:24:24,960 --> 00:24:27,119
Speaker 2: of the poor to start the year. They played Duke

563
00:24:27,440 --> 00:24:29,600
Speaker 2: at Duke. They it was kind of close throughout, and

564
00:24:29,600 --> 00:24:31,439
Speaker 2: then last week just throw the game out, you know.

565
00:24:31,520 --> 00:24:34,200
Speaker 2: So this was their first really competitive game, and it's

566
00:24:34,200 --> 00:24:37,160
Speaker 2: on the road. But can you trust a freshman here

567
00:24:37,200 --> 00:24:40,880
Speaker 2: at quarterback for South Carolina and a South Carolina defense

568
00:24:40,880 --> 00:24:44,679
Speaker 2: that got absolutely torched by North Carolina? Can you trust

569
00:24:44,680 --> 00:24:46,959
Speaker 2: them not the win? Throw that out? I mean, may

570
00:24:47,119 --> 00:24:49,439
Speaker 2: the crazier things have happened, but can you trust them

571
00:24:49,480 --> 00:24:51,399
Speaker 2: to keep this within twenty four points?

572
00:24:51,640 --> 00:24:53,679
Speaker 4: You mean the South Carolina defense to get torched by

573
00:24:53,680 --> 00:24:55,800
Speaker 4: Sam Howe, the freshman of North Carolina.

574
00:24:56,160 --> 00:24:57,840
Speaker 2: We'll get the Sam Howe is finally going to be

575
00:24:57,840 --> 00:25:00,800
Speaker 2: out outside friendly confines of chap So.

576
00:25:00,960 --> 00:25:04,040
Speaker 4: Ryan Hilensky is our freshman quarterback here, you know, brother

577
00:25:04,080 --> 00:25:07,480
Speaker 4: of Tyler Helensky from Washington State. So he is the

578
00:25:07,520 --> 00:25:10,320
Speaker 4: freshman here playing for South Carolina. He steps in after

579
00:25:10,400 --> 00:25:12,879
Speaker 4: Jake Bentley had a season ending injury. I actually kind

580
00:25:12,920 --> 00:25:15,800
Speaker 4: of marked it as an upgrade. I think Helensky, you know,

581
00:25:15,960 --> 00:25:17,520
Speaker 4: is going to be a little bit more accurate and

582
00:25:17,520 --> 00:25:19,400
Speaker 4: have a little bit less, I int than Jake Bentley.

583
00:25:19,680 --> 00:25:21,560
Speaker 4: You know, South Carolina so far is top ten in

584
00:25:21,600 --> 00:25:23,440
Speaker 4: the nation and yards per play. They're getting it done

585
00:25:23,440 --> 00:25:25,880
Speaker 4: on offense. They're doing okay on defense, but I mean

586
00:25:25,920 --> 00:25:27,959
Speaker 4: it's not like they've played anybody. I mean, they did

587
00:25:27,960 --> 00:25:30,199
Speaker 4: play North Carolina and they were able to put up

588
00:25:30,240 --> 00:25:32,560
Speaker 4: some put up some yards and play some good defense there.

589
00:25:32,600 --> 00:25:35,240
Speaker 4: But Alabama is sixth and havoc allowed so far. They're

590
00:25:35,280 --> 00:25:37,840
Speaker 4: not beating themselves at all. South Carolina is not going

591
00:25:37,880 --> 00:25:39,760
Speaker 4: to be able to get any pressure on a young

592
00:25:39,840 --> 00:25:41,720
Speaker 4: offensive line of Alabama, and they're not going to be

593
00:25:41,720 --> 00:25:43,640
Speaker 4: able to, you know, make two of make bad decisions.

594
00:25:43,720 --> 00:25:46,080
Speaker 4: Alabama wants to get the run game going. I think

595
00:25:46,119 --> 00:25:49,160
Speaker 4: the reason why this number covers is if Saban sits

596
00:25:49,160 --> 00:25:49,560
Speaker 4: on the ball.

597
00:25:49,600 --> 00:25:49,719
Speaker 2: Now.

598
00:25:49,720 --> 00:25:51,240
Speaker 4: I went and I did a whole bunch of research

599
00:25:51,240 --> 00:25:53,760
Speaker 4: on mus Champ versus Saban, and I couldn't find a

600
00:25:53,800 --> 00:25:57,280
Speaker 4: time when Muschamp was a defensive coordinator or head coach,

601
00:25:57,320 --> 00:25:59,679
Speaker 4: whether it be Florida or Auburn. I mean, these two

602
00:25:59,720 --> 00:26:02,760
Speaker 4: were on the same staff at LSU together. Muschamp went

603
00:26:02,760 --> 00:26:04,480
Speaker 4: to the Miami Dolphins with him for the first year

604
00:26:04,480 --> 00:26:06,919
Speaker 4: before he left and came back to college football. And

605
00:26:06,960 --> 00:26:09,000
Speaker 4: the only time I can find must Champ evercovered against him,

606
00:26:09,000 --> 00:26:10,800
Speaker 4: I think was in two thousand and nine. So it's

607
00:26:10,800 --> 00:26:12,840
Speaker 4: been a really long time since mus Champ has had

608
00:26:12,880 --> 00:26:16,280
Speaker 4: a victory against the number against Saban, it's got backdoor

609
00:26:16,280 --> 00:26:16,919
Speaker 4: cover written all over.

610
00:26:16,920 --> 00:26:19,560
Speaker 2: It's sitting in a dead zone. Wait, let the steam

611
00:26:19,640 --> 00:26:19,919
Speaker 2: come in.

612
00:26:19,920 --> 00:26:21,280
Speaker 4: If it gets up to twenty seven and a half

613
00:26:21,320 --> 00:26:23,680
Speaker 4: for twenty eight, consider taking South Carolina. But still I

614
00:26:23,680 --> 00:26:25,920
Speaker 4: think you're banking on a back door. Yeah, I think

615
00:26:25,920 --> 00:26:27,680
Speaker 4: that's the way to go about it. If he gets

616
00:26:27,720 --> 00:26:30,160
Speaker 4: to twenty seven twenty eight, you gotta look South Carolina.

617
00:26:30,240 --> 00:26:33,320
Speaker 4: If not, I'll either ride with the fishes in back

618
00:26:33,359 --> 00:26:35,320
Speaker 4: dam or stay away. Do you think any think about

619
00:26:35,359 --> 00:26:37,000
Speaker 4: the under though, because I mean that game against New

620
00:26:37,000 --> 00:26:40,760
Speaker 4: Mexico State just there's no resistance against the Alabama rush whatsoever,

621
00:26:40,760 --> 00:26:43,879
Speaker 4: which turned in these huge, explosive touchdowns. Now the numbers

622
00:26:43,920 --> 00:26:47,320
Speaker 4: at sixty two, you know, and I made it somewhere

623
00:26:47,359 --> 00:26:48,160
Speaker 4: in the mid fifties.

624
00:26:48,200 --> 00:26:50,920
Speaker 2: And my thinking is if Alabama dies, they got it.

625
00:26:50,920 --> 00:26:52,520
Speaker 2: They got it just this freshman kid. They got it

626
00:26:52,560 --> 00:26:54,760
Speaker 2: dried and short in this game and run clock and

627
00:26:54,800 --> 00:26:57,399
Speaker 2: they can't play fast, I would agree. Yeah, I do

628
00:26:57,520 --> 00:27:00,639
Speaker 2: like the under Yeah. Speaking of BAMA team that's in

629
00:27:00,680 --> 00:27:04,080
Speaker 2: my backyard. Kentucky, they have a new quarterback who was

630
00:27:04,080 --> 00:27:08,560
Speaker 2: supposed to originally play baseball at Alabama. Sawyer Smith will

631
00:27:08,560 --> 00:27:11,360
Speaker 2: be the quarterback who some of you might say, Sawyer Smith?

632
00:27:11,720 --> 00:27:13,760
Speaker 2: The fuck do I know that name from? He's been

633
00:27:13,800 --> 00:27:16,760
Speaker 2: a quarterback in D one before at Troy, he had

634
00:27:16,800 --> 00:27:19,120
Speaker 2: like a huge bowl game. He's now the starter because

635
00:27:19,160 --> 00:27:21,320
Speaker 2: Terry Wilson's out for the year. They take on Florida.

636
00:27:21,600 --> 00:27:24,119
Speaker 2: This line has been floating in the dead zone. I

637
00:27:24,119 --> 00:27:27,520
Speaker 2: think it's up to nine. Maybe the big news here

638
00:27:27,720 --> 00:27:31,560
Speaker 2: is Florida has revenge over Kentucky, the first time you

639
00:27:31,560 --> 00:27:35,240
Speaker 2: could say that in seventeen billion years, because Kentucky beat

640
00:27:35,280 --> 00:27:38,080
Speaker 2: Florida last year twenty seven sixteen. It was the first

641
00:27:38,080 --> 00:27:40,120
Speaker 2: time I think in like thirty years that they beat them.

642
00:27:40,160 --> 00:27:44,119
Speaker 2: So it's tough ask for Kentucky here, but maybe Sawyer

643
00:27:44,160 --> 00:27:46,240
Speaker 2: Smith gives them a spark at quarterback. What do you

644
00:27:46,280 --> 00:27:48,560
Speaker 2: see here with the Cats? What's up?

645
00:27:48,560 --> 00:27:52,560
Speaker 4: EBN so Sawyer Smith of Troy, right, yep, that would

646
00:27:52,600 --> 00:27:54,600
Speaker 4: be That would mean it would be your favorite Bowl

647
00:27:54,600 --> 00:27:57,600
Speaker 4: of all time the Dollar General Bowl, which we'll get

648
00:27:57,600 --> 00:27:59,320
Speaker 4: to during bowl season. Stucky, I don't think he has

649
00:27:59,320 --> 00:28:01,479
Speaker 4: ever been to a Dollar General. Seeing a Dollar General,

650
00:28:01,720 --> 00:28:03,680
Speaker 4: we got to get you some one dollar items out.

651
00:28:03,640 --> 00:28:07,280
Speaker 2: The dollar line. I actually saw it the other day.

652
00:28:07,480 --> 00:28:09,200
Speaker 2: I'm due to the South, but I don't know why

653
00:28:09,200 --> 00:28:10,520
Speaker 2: the hell go in there? What am I going to

654
00:28:10,560 --> 00:28:12,920
Speaker 2: buy in the Dollar General? All right, so the gators

655
00:28:13,200 --> 00:28:17,040
Speaker 2: in the Dollar General? All right, go ahead before we

656
00:28:17,040 --> 00:28:18,639
Speaker 2: move on. Did you see that the Sun Bowl is

657
00:28:18,680 --> 00:28:20,600
Speaker 2: now called the Tony the Tiger Bowl. Like it's not

658
00:28:20,600 --> 00:28:22,639
Speaker 2: even frosted flakes, it's Tony the Tiger Bowl.

659
00:28:22,880 --> 00:28:24,920
Speaker 4: I can't wake up hungover on like New Year's even

660
00:28:24,920 --> 00:28:26,320
Speaker 4: talk about Tony the Tiger Bowl.

661
00:28:26,560 --> 00:28:28,280
Speaker 2: Anyways, all right, let's move on. That ble is going

662
00:28:28,320 --> 00:28:32,200
Speaker 2: to be great. Sorry, goud terrible. We're so off track.

663
00:28:32,240 --> 00:28:34,199
Speaker 4: All right, So Sawyer Smith, here's the book out on

664
00:28:34,200 --> 00:28:37,000
Speaker 4: Sawer Smith. Not an efficient quarterback, does not move the chains,

665
00:28:37,080 --> 00:28:38,800
Speaker 4: is not going to get you first down all the time.

666
00:28:39,040 --> 00:28:41,480
Speaker 4: Major arm can throw it fifty yards down the field,

667
00:28:41,680 --> 00:28:43,959
Speaker 4: put it on a dime, get you an explosive play.

668
00:28:44,120 --> 00:28:46,560
Speaker 4: That's how saw your Smith rolls. And that is the

669
00:28:46,560 --> 00:28:48,240
Speaker 4: thing I think they can keep this within the number.

670
00:28:48,360 --> 00:28:50,480
Speaker 4: The Gators offensive line, they're outside the top one hundred

671
00:28:50,520 --> 00:28:52,720
Speaker 4: and stuff rate and right now they're just not getting

672
00:28:52,720 --> 00:28:54,360
Speaker 4: the push they need to. We know that there's four

673
00:28:54,400 --> 00:28:56,880
Speaker 4: offensive linemen that are freshmen. That was the problem. That

674
00:28:56,920 --> 00:28:59,240
Speaker 4: was the handicapper in Miami. They're just not getting the

675
00:28:59,240 --> 00:29:01,800
Speaker 4: required rushing gear when they need it. Kentucky's offensive line

676
00:29:01,840 --> 00:29:04,400
Speaker 4: is fifteenth in opportunity rate, fortieth and stuff rate. When

677
00:29:04,400 --> 00:29:07,400
Speaker 4: they need the yards, they actually are getting movement, you know.

678
00:29:07,480 --> 00:29:10,120
Speaker 4: So Florida's defensive line sack rate is second in the nation.

679
00:29:10,520 --> 00:29:13,000
Speaker 4: They're highly ranked in havoc, their top fifteen in all

680
00:29:13,040 --> 00:29:15,840
Speaker 4: rushing category. So Sawyer Smith has his work cutout for him.

681
00:29:15,920 --> 00:29:18,080
Speaker 4: This Kentucky offensive line has their work cutout for them.

682
00:29:18,120 --> 00:29:20,280
Speaker 4: They're going to be under pressure all day, but that

683
00:29:20,520 --> 00:29:22,160
Speaker 4: arm is probably what's going to save him with some

684
00:29:22,200 --> 00:29:25,280
Speaker 4: explosive plays. So Florida has to beat them through the air.

685
00:29:26,200 --> 00:29:27,840
Speaker 4: I think Sawyer Smith can get it done. From a

686
00:29:27,920 --> 00:29:31,040
Speaker 4: covering the spread perspective, the number is about where we

687
00:29:31,080 --> 00:29:33,040
Speaker 4: make it. I think this kid is going to surprise.

688
00:29:33,080 --> 00:29:34,480
Speaker 4: I think he's going to show up. We've seen him

689
00:29:34,480 --> 00:29:36,080
Speaker 4: do it before. He always did a Troy. He was

690
00:29:36,080 --> 00:29:38,440
Speaker 4: the biggest reason why we love Troy. So you know,

691
00:29:38,600 --> 00:29:40,520
Speaker 4: I'm going to back Kentucky in the spot. It's at

692
00:29:40,520 --> 00:29:42,400
Speaker 4: a dead number again, you know, would love to get

693
00:29:42,400 --> 00:29:44,000
Speaker 4: a key number at the spot, but I'm willing to

694
00:29:44,000 --> 00:29:45,640
Speaker 4: weigh it out and see if it steams. You know,

695
00:29:45,760 --> 00:29:48,160
Speaker 4: Florida's just not owning the trench like they should on

696
00:29:48,200 --> 00:29:50,360
Speaker 4: the offensive side of the ball, and that's probably a

697
00:29:50,360 --> 00:29:51,880
Speaker 4: good reason to say that Kentucky can cover.

698
00:29:52,160 --> 00:29:54,800
Speaker 2: Yeah, if I had ten, I think about Kentucky is

699
00:29:54,800 --> 00:29:57,640
Speaker 2: a tough spot and Florida's special teams don't sleep on

700
00:29:57,720 --> 00:30:01,360
Speaker 2: them as well. And look what you really know about Kentucky,

701
00:30:01,680 --> 00:30:03,880
Speaker 2: they'd be two MAC teams, and from what we've seen

702
00:30:03,960 --> 00:30:08,680
Speaker 2: from the macugh so maybe we shouldn't be as impressed

703
00:30:08,680 --> 00:30:11,320
Speaker 2: with the two and oh star for Kentucky. But we'll see.

704
00:30:11,360 --> 00:30:12,640
Speaker 2: I think if there's a ten, you got to look

705
00:30:12,640 --> 00:30:14,680
Speaker 2: at the Cats, all right, A couple of games you

706
00:30:14,720 --> 00:30:16,560
Speaker 2: wanted to mention Speaking of the MAC, I'll throw a

707
00:30:16,560 --> 00:30:18,320
Speaker 2: game out here. I'll write this game up. I'm going

708
00:30:18,400 --> 00:30:22,760
Speaker 2: to back Akron on the road. I can't believe I'm

709
00:30:22,800 --> 00:30:25,080
Speaker 2: saying it. I know the line is crashed that's because

710
00:30:25,240 --> 00:30:28,680
Speaker 2: Central Michigan's entire team is out, so it's obviously adjusting

711
00:30:28,680 --> 00:30:31,840
Speaker 2: to that. So their quarterback Quinton Dormandy is out. David

712
00:30:31,880 --> 00:30:35,240
Speaker 2: Moore will take over our quarterback at community college transfer.

713
00:30:35,280 --> 00:30:38,720
Speaker 2: He I believe, is like three of eleven for one

714
00:30:38,800 --> 00:30:42,000
Speaker 2: yard against Wisconsin. He had one yard passing or something.

715
00:30:42,200 --> 00:30:45,200
Speaker 2: You know. They lost their running back Jonathan Ward, so

716
00:30:45,520 --> 00:30:47,480
Speaker 2: they're not gonna be able to pass on Akron. I

717
00:30:47,480 --> 00:30:50,040
Speaker 2: think Akron could actually have some success. So the strength

718
00:30:50,040 --> 00:30:52,560
Speaker 2: of Central Michigan, it's an oxymoor on the strength of

719
00:30:52,760 --> 00:30:55,440
Speaker 2: Central Michigan. Team's terrible, but they can defend the run

720
00:30:55,480 --> 00:30:58,640
Speaker 2: a little bit, so can Achron. So you can pass

721
00:30:58,680 --> 00:31:00,720
Speaker 2: on Acro. But Central Michigan's not going to other quarterbacks.

722
00:31:00,760 --> 00:31:02,760
Speaker 2: I don't think they're going to throw downfield. I don't

723
00:31:02,760 --> 00:31:04,120
Speaker 2: think Akron's gonna be able to run the ball in

724
00:31:04,120 --> 00:31:07,080
Speaker 2: Central Michigan. But I think Kato Nelson has found some

725
00:31:07,280 --> 00:31:10,040
Speaker 2: pretty good deep threats down the field. Some receivers have

726
00:31:10,120 --> 00:31:12,200
Speaker 2: emerged from Akron. It's one of the bright spots on

727
00:31:12,240 --> 00:31:14,040
Speaker 2: a terrible team, so I think they'll be able to

728
00:31:14,080 --> 00:31:16,400
Speaker 2: throw it. I believe Akron is just still just like

729
00:31:16,400 --> 00:31:18,400
Speaker 2: a one or two point dog here. I think Akron

730
00:31:18,440 --> 00:31:22,800
Speaker 2: wins at Central Michigan, who is just completely decimated from

731
00:31:22,840 --> 00:31:25,479
Speaker 2: that game against Wisconsin last week. I can't believe I'm

732
00:31:25,520 --> 00:31:27,800
Speaker 2: saying it, but I'm going to pack the zips on

733
00:31:27,840 --> 00:31:30,280
Speaker 2: the road? Am I crazy? Do you have any thoughts there?

734
00:31:30,600 --> 00:31:32,840
Speaker 4: You want Kato Nelson underside. I know it's his third game.

735
00:31:32,880 --> 00:31:35,000
Speaker 4: I know who's getting acclimated to the offense. I know

736
00:31:35,080 --> 00:31:37,520
Speaker 4: how bad Central Michigan is. If you want to go

737
00:31:37,560 --> 00:31:39,880
Speaker 4: with Kato Nelson, you got to do this alone, my friend.

738
00:31:40,120 --> 00:31:43,000
Speaker 2: I will be venturing out alone, just like I will

739
00:31:43,040 --> 00:31:45,320
Speaker 2: with Texas State. Thank you for getting me on them.

740
00:31:45,320 --> 00:31:47,080
Speaker 2: I'm about to be home and free against the spread

741
00:31:47,480 --> 00:31:50,440
Speaker 2: on Texas State, another game that I'm going to be betting.

742
00:31:50,480 --> 00:31:52,320
Speaker 2: I'll write this up as well on the Action Network

743
00:31:52,360 --> 00:31:54,440
Speaker 2: app at Action network dot Com. I'm going to be

744
00:31:54,480 --> 00:31:59,840
Speaker 2: back and meet meet UTSA. And it's not about the hang.

745
00:32:00,320 --> 00:32:02,520
Speaker 2: You could say that you know Army lost, that you

746
00:32:02,520 --> 00:32:04,920
Speaker 2: know they barely lost to Michigan in again, they maybe

747
00:32:04,920 --> 00:32:07,160
Speaker 2: should have won. Why are they throwing it by the

748
00:32:07,200 --> 00:32:08,840
Speaker 2: way to kick the field goal or just run it?

749
00:32:08,920 --> 00:32:11,920
Speaker 2: You probably run it in anyway. Army maybe these kids

750
00:32:11,920 --> 00:32:14,480
Speaker 2: are just like show up to work lunch pale. They

751
00:32:14,480 --> 00:32:17,560
Speaker 2: don't really have They're not really as susceptible to letdown

752
00:32:17,600 --> 00:32:21,240
Speaker 2: spots and hangovers. It could happen, but it's not really

753
00:32:21,240 --> 00:32:24,640
Speaker 2: my reasoning here. My reasoning is very simple. I got

754
00:32:24,640 --> 00:32:28,400
Speaker 2: away from it last weekend. Double digit Service Academy favorites

755
00:32:28,760 --> 00:32:32,520
Speaker 2: in college football are absolutely abysmal. I think they're under

756
00:32:32,560 --> 00:32:35,040
Speaker 2: forty percent. We did it in Week one with Rice.

757
00:32:35,240 --> 00:32:39,080
Speaker 2: An army barely beat Rice. They won fourteen to seven.

758
00:32:39,360 --> 00:32:42,520
Speaker 2: And I actually think UTSA has a better d line

759
00:32:42,640 --> 00:32:45,360
Speaker 2: than Rice. This is just a game where the possessions

760
00:32:45,400 --> 00:32:47,600
Speaker 2: will be few and far between. The clock will be

761
00:32:48,000 --> 00:32:51,320
Speaker 2: speed racing, and I'm betting that UTSA can keep it

762
00:32:51,360 --> 00:32:55,240
Speaker 2: within seventeen. Hold your noses, and.

763
00:32:55,200 --> 00:32:57,040
Speaker 4: The thing is, I'm with you, like you when you

764
00:32:57,080 --> 00:32:59,360
Speaker 4: said it, Like you know, when you and I first

765
00:32:59,400 --> 00:33:02,800
Speaker 4: convened Sunday and you said UTSA, I was like, oh God,

766
00:33:03,160 --> 00:33:04,800
Speaker 4: we have to do this, We have to do this.

767
00:33:05,240 --> 00:33:07,960
Speaker 4: Wrote up an article for my Week three preview. I

768
00:33:08,040 --> 00:33:11,520
Speaker 4: compared this to my son taking nasty cough medicine and

769
00:33:11,560 --> 00:33:13,280
Speaker 4: staring at me, just giving me the eyes like I

770
00:33:13,320 --> 00:33:15,760
Speaker 4: can't believe you're making me do this. I'm actually on

771
00:33:15,880 --> 00:33:17,920
Speaker 4: UTSA too, but I'm on it for different reasons of Stock.

772
00:33:17,920 --> 00:33:20,000
Speaker 4: Stock has very valid and good reasons about why you

773
00:33:20,000 --> 00:33:22,200
Speaker 4: should be on UTSA, But I'm going to go with

774
00:33:22,200 --> 00:33:24,600
Speaker 4: the fact that Utsa actually might put up more of

775
00:33:24,640 --> 00:33:26,640
Speaker 4: a fight on the defensive line in the front seven

776
00:33:26,680 --> 00:33:29,120
Speaker 4: than Michigan. This is a huge hangover spot and I

777
00:33:29,120 --> 00:33:31,640
Speaker 4: actually make the game over. But both teams have a

778
00:33:31,720 --> 00:33:34,360
Speaker 4: subnet yards per play differential. What that means is neither

779
00:33:34,440 --> 00:33:37,360
Speaker 4: both of them are offensively not doing what they should

780
00:33:37,400 --> 00:33:38,080
Speaker 4: be doing or what you.

781
00:33:38,040 --> 00:33:38,840
Speaker 2: Think Army is doing.

782
00:33:38,880 --> 00:33:40,920
Speaker 4: They're actually allowing more yards to play on the defensive

783
00:33:40,920 --> 00:33:42,280
Speaker 4: side of the ball than they are on the offensive

784
00:33:42,280 --> 00:33:44,040
Speaker 4: side of the ball. For me, this comes down to

785
00:33:44,120 --> 00:33:46,680
Speaker 4: stuff rate. If you ever listened to the podcast, whether

786
00:33:46,840 --> 00:33:49,800
Speaker 4: last year, two years, whatever. If you're going to handicap

787
00:33:49,920 --> 00:33:52,040
Speaker 4: Army and you're going to take a stance against Army,

788
00:33:52,320 --> 00:33:54,320
Speaker 4: it's going to be with teams that are good on

789
00:33:54,360 --> 00:33:57,000
Speaker 4: the defensive line and stuff rate and opportunity rate, not

790
00:33:57,080 --> 00:33:58,960
Speaker 4: allowing them to get two yards when they need to

791
00:33:59,000 --> 00:34:00,880
Speaker 4: and not allowing them to get out four yards when

792
00:34:00,880 --> 00:34:04,160
Speaker 4: they need to. Stopping them in short yarder situation. UTSA

793
00:34:04,320 --> 00:34:06,680
Speaker 4: was thirty seventh last season and stuff twenty third in

794
00:34:06,680 --> 00:34:09,320
Speaker 4: opposition rate. They're putting up good numbers again on the

795
00:34:09,360 --> 00:34:11,399
Speaker 4: defensive line so far. Even though they got blown out

796
00:34:11,400 --> 00:34:14,960
Speaker 4: by Baylor, they still held Baylor to being only fifty

797
00:34:15,000 --> 00:34:18,560
Speaker 4: percent successful and short yard situation. They were able to

798
00:34:18,560 --> 00:34:21,239
Speaker 4: stop a couple second in goals, first in goals. If

799
00:34:21,239 --> 00:34:23,160
Speaker 4: you go through the playlog, UTSA to have a problem

800
00:34:23,200 --> 00:34:25,399
Speaker 4: stop in the run in short yard of situations. That's

801
00:34:25,440 --> 00:34:27,359
Speaker 4: what you have to have to beat Army. So I'm

802
00:34:27,360 --> 00:34:29,400
Speaker 4: going to take the seventeen. I've got the number higher,

803
00:34:29,400 --> 00:34:31,480
Speaker 4: but I mean it's service Academy. This is going to

804
00:34:31,520 --> 00:34:32,960
Speaker 4: be fun. This one's gonna be tough because it's on

805
00:34:32,960 --> 00:34:33,359
Speaker 4: the NFL.

806
00:34:33,560 --> 00:34:36,279
Speaker 2: Just take the damn cough medicine. Yeah, and it's on

807
00:34:36,400 --> 00:34:39,399
Speaker 2: NFL network. NFL Network for some reason signed a deal

808
00:34:39,440 --> 00:34:42,840
Speaker 2: with the Conference USA, which is hilarious. So yeah, you

809
00:34:42,840 --> 00:34:45,520
Speaker 2: can get your NFL network fixed in on Saturday. Yeah.

810
00:34:45,560 --> 00:34:49,480
Speaker 2: So that'll cover the ugly portion of the episode with

811
00:34:49,840 --> 00:34:54,040
Speaker 2: Central Michigan, Acron and Army UTSA. I do before we

812
00:34:54,120 --> 00:34:56,839
Speaker 2: get to know our fcs and go three and out here,

813
00:34:56,960 --> 00:34:59,960
Speaker 2: I do have to mention Clemson, Sarah Use it's at

814
00:35:00,080 --> 00:35:04,200
Speaker 2: twenty eight ish now, and this is the Syracuse team

815
00:35:04,200 --> 00:35:07,920
Speaker 2: that has played Clemson very tough the last two years.

816
00:35:07,960 --> 00:35:11,239
Speaker 2: They could have won the last two years. They won

817
00:35:11,840 --> 00:35:15,200
Speaker 2: two years ago, and last year they gave Clemson a scare.

818
00:35:16,040 --> 00:35:19,680
Speaker 2: But this Syracuse team is just not good and they

819
00:35:19,680 --> 00:35:23,479
Speaker 2: were exposed against Maryland. Tommy Devido is just not good.

820
00:35:23,560 --> 00:35:25,239
Speaker 2: I do not trust him as far as I can

821
00:35:25,280 --> 00:35:29,120
Speaker 2: throw him. And look, the defense is just not as good.

822
00:35:29,160 --> 00:35:32,479
Speaker 2: The defensive line is great, but that's about it. And

823
00:35:33,000 --> 00:35:35,480
Speaker 2: what they're gonna have to do is punt and their

824
00:35:35,520 --> 00:35:37,480
Speaker 2: special teams are still elite. They're gonna have to like

825
00:35:37,520 --> 00:35:40,239
Speaker 2: punt to the one Hope's I don't know, this could

826
00:35:40,239 --> 00:35:42,719
Speaker 2: get ugly, but the line's too high, So I can't

827
00:35:42,760 --> 00:35:45,279
Speaker 2: lay twenty eight anything on Clemson and Syracuse is or

828
00:35:45,320 --> 00:35:46,640
Speaker 2: any shot of the scare again.

829
00:35:46,920 --> 00:35:48,880
Speaker 4: Yeah, you're paying a premium here because we make this

830
00:35:48,960 --> 00:35:51,080
Speaker 4: number twenty three, So twenty seven and a half twenty

831
00:35:51,160 --> 00:35:53,520
Speaker 4: eight is a high number. But at the same time,

832
00:35:53,960 --> 00:35:56,560
Speaker 4: Stuck mentions as Syracuse was kind of exposed against Maryland,

833
00:35:56,560 --> 00:35:58,760
Speaker 4: I'd argue that they were exposed the week before against Liberty.

834
00:35:58,800 --> 00:35:59,439
Speaker 2: They needed some.

835
00:35:59,320 --> 00:36:02,080
Speaker 4: Red zone turn by Buckshot Calvert and the Liberty offense

836
00:36:04,120 --> 00:36:06,919
Speaker 4: to cover that number. The box scores have not been clean.

837
00:36:07,239 --> 00:36:09,840
Speaker 4: Syracuse is not good under Tommy DeVito. They're not the

838
00:36:09,840 --> 00:36:12,000
Speaker 4: same defense they were the last two years. And don't

839
00:36:12,000 --> 00:36:14,239
Speaker 4: think for one second that Clemson doesn't remember going up

840
00:36:14,239 --> 00:36:16,160
Speaker 4: there on a Friday night two years ago and Kelly

841
00:36:16,200 --> 00:36:18,239
Speaker 4: Brighton getting popped and knocked out of the game, and

842
00:36:18,280 --> 00:36:20,239
Speaker 4: that was their one lost during the regular season two

843
00:36:20,280 --> 00:36:22,520
Speaker 4: years ago, or last year, Trevor Lawrence getting popped and

844
00:36:22,560 --> 00:36:24,680
Speaker 4: it was the biggest scare of their entire season. I

845
00:36:24,760 --> 00:36:26,759
Speaker 4: don't care what number you throw up there. I think

846
00:36:26,760 --> 00:36:29,919
Speaker 4: Clemson's defense is going to absolutely shut Syracuse down. I'd

847
00:36:29,920 --> 00:36:33,200
Speaker 4: be shocked if Syracuse got over ten thirteen points. Like

848
00:36:33,239 --> 00:36:34,919
Speaker 4: I said, you're buying it at a premium. I would

849
00:36:34,920 --> 00:36:36,600
Speaker 4: take Clemson in the end. I don't care about all

850
00:36:36,600 --> 00:36:38,160
Speaker 4: the money and all the tickets being on Clemson. I

851
00:36:38,200 --> 00:36:41,040
Speaker 4: don't care about any of the rolm or the contrarian

852
00:36:41,120 --> 00:36:43,200
Speaker 4: or any of that shit. I'm telling you Clemson is

853
00:36:43,440 --> 00:36:45,760
Speaker 4: centered on this game. And by the way, Trevor Lawrence

854
00:36:46,080 --> 00:36:48,360
Speaker 4: has heard that everybody else is ahead of him. In

855
00:36:48,400 --> 00:36:50,880
Speaker 4: the Heisman standings. So I just I wouldn't want any

856
00:36:50,880 --> 00:36:52,200
Speaker 4: part of fading Clemson this week.

857
00:36:52,640 --> 00:36:55,040
Speaker 2: I agree with you. You give me thirty one. Maybe

858
00:36:55,040 --> 00:36:56,960
Speaker 2: I'll think about it, but I don't know. I don't

859
00:36:57,000 --> 00:36:59,799
Speaker 2: want any part of Qus this week. A game that

860
00:36:59,840 --> 00:37:03,239
Speaker 2: you make, you're gonna make me talk about, uh, so

861
00:37:03,320 --> 00:37:05,279
Speaker 2: I might as well mention it beforehand as a team

862
00:37:05,320 --> 00:37:08,080
Speaker 2: that you love. And speaking of Clemson is a good

863
00:37:08,080 --> 00:37:10,719
Speaker 2: tradition because they play Clemson next Teme. I can't wait

864
00:37:10,760 --> 00:37:12,800
Speaker 2: to see what that number is and if you're gonna

865
00:37:13,320 --> 00:37:16,040
Speaker 2: have the balls to bet it. But Charlotte taking on

866
00:37:16,160 --> 00:37:19,360
Speaker 2: you Mass, I'm gonna say it again people, U Mass

867
00:37:19,480 --> 00:37:25,560
Speaker 2: is the new Yukon. What's that smell? It dings?

868
00:37:25,560 --> 00:37:28,360
Speaker 6: The trash, the sweet sweet trash.

869
00:37:29,280 --> 00:37:34,880
Speaker 2: The trash is a gold mine mine and Charlotte, you've

870
00:37:34,880 --> 00:37:36,959
Speaker 2: fallen in love with it. They just blow you Mass

871
00:37:37,000 --> 00:37:39,360
Speaker 2: out of the water. We need a T shirt. U

872
00:37:39,360 --> 00:37:40,759
Speaker 2: Mass is the new Yukon. I like that.

873
00:37:41,200 --> 00:37:44,520
Speaker 4: Charlotte has now been offensively just a juggernaut in their

874
00:37:44,600 --> 00:37:47,400
Speaker 4: last two Box scores. Their new head coach came from

875
00:37:47,440 --> 00:37:50,480
Speaker 4: Austin p If that sounds familiar, Will Healey at Austin

876
00:37:50,520 --> 00:37:53,720
Speaker 4: p They gave Central Florida a scare when they played

877
00:37:53,719 --> 00:37:57,040
Speaker 4: them up until halftime before the governors finally couldn't keep

878
00:37:57,080 --> 00:37:58,560
Speaker 4: up with the pace of play and everything. But for

879
00:37:58,600 --> 00:38:01,440
Speaker 4: an entire half, will Heally gave Central Florida everything that

880
00:38:01,440 --> 00:38:03,439
Speaker 4: they could handle. Now he's at Charlotte and they're putting

881
00:38:03,520 --> 00:38:06,640
Speaker 4: up very impressive box scores. Last week, that game against

882
00:38:06,680 --> 00:38:08,520
Speaker 4: app State, which I may be the only one that

883
00:38:08,640 --> 00:38:11,600
Speaker 4: watched this game, Charlton was contending. Charlton was there the

884
00:38:11,600 --> 00:38:13,480
Speaker 4: whole entire time. There was an on side kick at

885
00:38:13,480 --> 00:38:15,600
Speaker 4: the end that app State actually ran back for a

886
00:38:15,600 --> 00:38:18,080
Speaker 4: touchdown to make this score look like it was fifteen points,

887
00:38:18,200 --> 00:38:20,160
Speaker 4: but Charlotte was within one possession with just a couple

888
00:38:20,160 --> 00:38:21,239
Speaker 4: of minutes left in that game.

889
00:38:21,600 --> 00:38:22,120
Speaker 2: You look at you.

890
00:38:22,160 --> 00:38:24,640
Speaker 4: Mass one of the most embarrassing losses by an FBS

891
00:38:24,680 --> 00:38:27,440
Speaker 4: team since oh god, I almost said Arkansas losing to

892
00:38:27,440 --> 00:38:29,040
Speaker 4: Citadel in ninety two. I mean, this is just an

893
00:38:29,080 --> 00:38:29,920
Speaker 4: embarrassing loss.

894
00:38:29,920 --> 00:38:30,600
Speaker 2: So u Mass.

895
00:38:30,760 --> 00:38:33,040
Speaker 4: They started off with you know, they've got Randall West.

896
00:38:33,080 --> 00:38:36,319
Speaker 4: He got pulled for quarterback Brito. These guys got blown

897
00:38:36,320 --> 00:38:37,799
Speaker 4: out by Rutgers at the end of their game. They

898
00:38:37,840 --> 00:38:40,440
Speaker 4: got blown out by Southern Illinois last week. Lots of

899
00:38:40,440 --> 00:38:43,319
Speaker 4: players are talking about not losing the locker room. They

900
00:38:43,320 --> 00:38:45,200
Speaker 4: need to improve the way they eat, improve the way

901
00:38:45,239 --> 00:38:48,200
Speaker 4: they go to class. You know, Southern Illinois limited U

902
00:38:48,200 --> 00:38:51,280
Speaker 4: Mass to two yards per carry. They played only five

903
00:38:51,320 --> 00:38:53,080
Speaker 4: in the box most of the game. That was the

904
00:38:53,080 --> 00:38:55,560
Speaker 4: stat stuck. I could not absolutely believe when I read it.

905
00:38:55,719 --> 00:38:59,080
Speaker 4: Southern Illinois only played five guys in the box and

906
00:38:59,120 --> 00:39:01,520
Speaker 4: they limited you maas to two yards per carry.

907
00:39:01,600 --> 00:39:04,160
Speaker 2: That is how many yards they got per play. And

908
00:39:04,280 --> 00:39:06,719
Speaker 2: this is a Southern Illinois team that got blown out

909
00:39:06,800 --> 00:39:08,480
Speaker 2: by Simo the week one.

910
00:39:08,920 --> 00:39:11,840
Speaker 4: Simo, Yeah, not far from not far here in the Midwest.

911
00:39:11,840 --> 00:39:14,920
Speaker 4: So to end on Charlotte, Charlotte's on revenge from last year.

912
00:39:14,920 --> 00:39:17,080
Speaker 4: They lost forty nine to thirty one up in Amherst

913
00:39:17,160 --> 00:39:19,600
Speaker 4: last year. You need to get running back Benny LeMay

914
00:39:19,600 --> 00:39:22,680
Speaker 4: in your fantasy lineup. He's just mister everything for Charlotte

915
00:39:23,280 --> 00:39:26,280
Speaker 4: U Mass. His yards per played differential so far minus

916
00:39:26,320 --> 00:39:29,160
Speaker 4: two point nine to seven Charlotte positive one point one

917
00:39:29,160 --> 00:39:32,920
Speaker 4: point five. Charlotte's defense ranks top ten in sacks so

918
00:39:33,000 --> 00:39:35,839
Speaker 4: far this year. They're averaging four per game they played.

919
00:39:35,840 --> 00:39:37,960
Speaker 4: App State I mean, it's not like they played somebody bad.

920
00:39:37,960 --> 00:39:40,640
Speaker 4: They played app State Charlotte against Clemson. So I want

921
00:39:40,680 --> 00:39:43,480
Speaker 4: everybody to hear this, because yes, I'm going to be

922
00:39:43,520 --> 00:39:46,399
Speaker 4: playing I mean, Clemson moves on to North Carolina after

923
00:39:46,440 --> 00:39:48,560
Speaker 4: next week, so they're not going to care about Charlotte,

924
00:39:48,600 --> 00:39:50,439
Speaker 4: but Charlotte's going to care a lot about that game.

925
00:39:50,520 --> 00:39:53,280
Speaker 4: I project the spread right now before box score grading

926
00:39:53,280 --> 00:39:55,359
Speaker 4: of this weekend for Clemson to be a forty three

927
00:39:55,400 --> 00:39:57,839
Speaker 4: point favorite over Charlotte. The number is going to open

928
00:39:57,880 --> 00:40:00,640
Speaker 4: at circa. Everybody else is gonna probably we copy and

929
00:40:00,680 --> 00:40:02,799
Speaker 4: open up their own number. The money's gonna come in

930
00:40:02,840 --> 00:40:04,920
Speaker 4: on Clemson. It's going to steam all week. And when

931
00:40:04,920 --> 00:40:07,000
Speaker 4: I see that there's resistance in the market, I'm gonna

932
00:40:07,040 --> 00:40:08,920
Speaker 4: take it. I will be on Charlotte against Clemson, but

933
00:40:08,960 --> 00:40:11,439
Speaker 4: I'm gonna wait until I get whatever a key number

934
00:40:11,520 --> 00:40:13,680
Speaker 4: up is in the forties, like a forty five, right,

935
00:40:13,719 --> 00:40:16,360
Speaker 4: hopefully over forty two. But that's how we play Charlotte.

936
00:40:16,520 --> 00:40:18,600
Speaker 2: Yeah, if you're gonna bet any forty nine ers this

937
00:40:18,640 --> 00:40:20,799
Speaker 2: week and I bet Charlotte, don't bet Sam Fred. All right,

938
00:40:20,840 --> 00:40:22,799
Speaker 2: So do you have anything else to say about North Carolina?

939
00:40:22,880 --> 00:40:24,960
Speaker 2: North Carolina schools. You have Duke before we get to

940
00:40:25,040 --> 00:40:27,520
Speaker 2: Friday Night Lights, you have Duke ECU who you love.

941
00:40:27,719 --> 00:40:31,000
Speaker 2: App stay but Wake. This is North Carolina. Battle's gonna

942
00:40:31,000 --> 00:40:32,560
Speaker 2: be interesting. We'll get to that. We'll get to that.

943
00:40:32,560 --> 00:40:33,719
Speaker 2: I should pick up and move there.

944
00:40:33,719 --> 00:40:36,399
Speaker 4: I'm not paying attention to these Oklahoma teams and Arkansas teams.

945
00:40:36,440 --> 00:40:38,640
Speaker 2: I should move to North Carolina. All right, let's get

946
00:40:38,680 --> 00:40:40,920
Speaker 2: to one of my favorite segments. But it's not going

947
00:40:41,000 --> 00:40:42,480
Speaker 2: to be this week. Maybe you'll have to carry it.

948
00:40:42,920 --> 00:40:45,640
Speaker 2: FCS or no. Where we look at any of the

949
00:40:45,719 --> 00:40:47,480
Speaker 2: FCSFBS matchups that we.

950
00:40:47,600 --> 00:41:00,359
Speaker 5: Like, Southland or SEC, Big Sky or Big Ten, it's

951
00:41:00,400 --> 00:41:03,279
Speaker 5: time to play FC yes or no.

952
00:41:07,719 --> 00:41:10,080
Speaker 2: First couple of weeks have gone well, there's not much

953
00:41:10,080 --> 00:41:12,560
Speaker 2: I really like this week. I don't think I'm going

954
00:41:12,600 --> 00:41:14,600
Speaker 2: to write up anything. I might not bet anything if you.

955
00:41:14,800 --> 00:41:18,000
Speaker 2: Someone on Twitter asked me about Colgate. William and Mary

956
00:41:18,480 --> 00:41:20,480
Speaker 2: been fading Colgate, but I looked into that game. I

957
00:41:20,520 --> 00:41:23,239
Speaker 2: actually think it's cheap. I would lean Colgate, but have

958
00:41:23,280 --> 00:41:25,480
Speaker 2: no interest in betting them as an eleven half point favorite.

959
00:41:25,719 --> 00:41:28,400
Speaker 2: If I had to pick one FBS matchup to bet

960
00:41:28,680 --> 00:41:31,000
Speaker 2: this week, and I don't think I'm going to not

961
00:41:31,040 --> 00:41:34,240
Speaker 2: gonna be throwing any peanuts that way. Is Weaber State,

962
00:41:34,480 --> 00:41:35,759
Speaker 2: Nevada is trash.

963
00:41:36,080 --> 00:41:38,600
Speaker 6: This team is officially trash.

964
00:41:38,719 --> 00:41:43,440
Speaker 2: That's a look out for Weaver State's return man Rashid

965
00:41:43,560 --> 00:41:44,960
Speaker 2: is one of the best in the country. I think

966
00:41:44,960 --> 00:41:47,600
Speaker 2: Weaver State makes that a game. They should have beat

967
00:41:47,680 --> 00:41:51,359
Speaker 2: San Diego State if his punt returns kicked nine nine

968
00:41:51,400 --> 00:41:53,480
Speaker 2: yard kick return doesn't get called back. But he's gonna

969
00:41:53,480 --> 00:41:56,680
Speaker 2: be returning in the NFL. So I don't really love anything,

970
00:41:56,680 --> 00:41:58,360
Speaker 2: So I'm gonna leave it to you. Do you have

971
00:41:58,360 --> 00:42:00,960
Speaker 2: anything in the FCS space for people to dabble it?

972
00:42:01,120 --> 00:42:03,520
Speaker 4: Yeah, I'll do two real quick. I took Citadel Georgia

973
00:42:03,520 --> 00:42:05,279
Speaker 4: Tech on the under sixty one. It's just going to

974
00:42:05,320 --> 00:42:07,560
Speaker 4: be the pace of play Citadel with a triple option offense.

975
00:42:07,600 --> 00:42:10,040
Speaker 4: Georgia Tech. I don't think Jeff Collin wants to attempt

976
00:42:10,080 --> 00:42:11,520
Speaker 4: to pass for the rest of the season. I think

977
00:42:11,520 --> 00:42:13,799
Speaker 4: he's happy with just getting whoever he can line up

978
00:42:13,800 --> 00:42:15,960
Speaker 4: behind the offensive line and run the ball. I thought

979
00:42:16,000 --> 00:42:17,680
Speaker 4: sixty one was way too I took the under. It's

980
00:42:17,680 --> 00:42:19,359
Speaker 4: at fifty seven and a half. I'd keep on taking

981
00:42:19,400 --> 00:42:21,399
Speaker 4: it on the under and Citadel should cover a large

982
00:42:21,440 --> 00:42:23,279
Speaker 4: number at twenty six, so we'll see which way that goes.

983
00:42:23,280 --> 00:42:27,840
Speaker 4: The other one, South Carolina State is taking on South Florida.

984
00:42:27,920 --> 00:42:30,120
Speaker 4: South Florida is on a bender. They have a won

985
00:42:30,200 --> 00:42:33,960
Speaker 4: a game. It's been damn near a whole entire calendar year.

986
00:42:34,680 --> 00:42:36,919
Speaker 4: South Florida is on one heck of a bender after

987
00:42:36,960 --> 00:42:39,200
Speaker 4: winning I think six straight and then losing their final

988
00:42:39,239 --> 00:42:42,440
Speaker 4: seven last year. Kerwin Bell, the new offensive coordinator from

989
00:42:42,480 --> 00:42:45,040
Speaker 4: Valdez to State, has pulled Blake Barnett. He says there's

990
00:42:45,080 --> 00:42:49,920
Speaker 4: going to be new quarterback, new system, new scheme, new everything. Meanwhile,

991
00:42:49,960 --> 00:42:52,600
Speaker 4: South Carolina State two weeks ago beat Wolford, beat him

992
00:42:52,600 --> 00:42:54,240
Speaker 4: pretty handily. I mean it was kind of a fraud

993
00:42:54,239 --> 00:42:55,960
Speaker 4: box score. They didn't win the total yards, it had

994
00:42:56,000 --> 00:42:59,360
Speaker 4: some turnovers. But the Terriers are actually ranked in the

995
00:42:59,400 --> 00:43:02,480
Speaker 4: FCS poll, so it's a quality win. But the number is,

996
00:43:02,520 --> 00:43:04,279
Speaker 4: you know, twenty four and a half. That's way too

997
00:43:04,320 --> 00:43:07,160
Speaker 4: many points when Kerwin Bell is polling Blake Burnett and

998
00:43:07,160 --> 00:43:10,160
Speaker 4: everybody in switching schemes and completely changing what's going on

999
00:43:10,200 --> 00:43:12,279
Speaker 4: in South Florida. So I think there's some value there

1000
00:43:12,840 --> 00:43:14,239
Speaker 4: on South Carolina State.

1001
00:43:14,600 --> 00:43:17,720
Speaker 2: There you have it some FCS games to dabblins before

1002
00:43:17,960 --> 00:43:20,279
Speaker 2: we get out of here, it's time to go three

1003
00:43:20,360 --> 00:43:20,759
Speaker 2: and out.

1004
00:43:21,560 --> 00:43:25,600
Speaker 5: Oh great, let's make it a quick three and out.

1005
00:43:26,719 --> 00:43:30,000
Speaker 2: First, I'll make you lie to me, and you got

1006
00:43:30,040 --> 00:43:33,880
Speaker 2: to tell me about your hogs who for those not

1007
00:43:33,920 --> 00:43:37,640
Speaker 2: familiar with Colin went to Arkansas as an Arkansas fan. Unfortunately,

1008
00:43:38,480 --> 00:43:43,920
Speaker 2: WPS wee phucking suck their ten point favorite, so over

1009
00:43:44,080 --> 00:43:49,400
Speaker 2: Colorado State. Colorado State is seeking revenge. This game was

1010
00:43:49,440 --> 00:43:51,600
Speaker 2: one of our the games that we got called on

1011
00:43:51,640 --> 00:43:54,839
Speaker 2: our voicemails the most about last year when Power State

1012
00:43:54,880 --> 00:43:55,879
Speaker 2: came back to win that game.

1013
00:43:56,120 --> 00:43:58,240
Speaker 4: I believe we were of either by fourteen or seventeen,

1014
00:43:58,320 --> 00:44:01,680
Speaker 4: and the spread was what fourteen? Yeah, but Arkansas shit

1015
00:44:01,840 --> 00:44:04,240
Speaker 4: the bed in the second half of that game.

1016
00:44:04,600 --> 00:44:09,399
Speaker 2: Woo pick sue absolute dumpster fined, dumpster fine. I don't

1017
00:44:09,400 --> 00:44:10,879
Speaker 2: know how we win a game the rest of the year,

1018
00:44:11,160 --> 00:44:13,800
Speaker 2: just blowing program up. Give us a death sentence.

1019
00:44:13,880 --> 00:44:16,200
Speaker 6: Collins talking razorback football.

1020
00:44:17,480 --> 00:44:20,239
Speaker 4: And you know this year the spread opened up above ten,

1021
00:44:20,360 --> 00:44:22,120
Speaker 4: it's fallen down to eight and a half. Got some

1022
00:44:22,200 --> 00:44:27,279
Speaker 4: buyback on Arkansas. Listen, we've switched to Nick Starkle. Thank

1023
00:44:27,320 --> 00:44:30,839
Speaker 4: you for transferring Ben Hicks. Your time is up. Nick

1024
00:44:30,880 --> 00:44:34,040
Speaker 4: Starkle can have one explosive play and then two penalties

1025
00:44:34,040 --> 00:44:35,399
Speaker 4: followed right after that to take that.

1026
00:44:35,400 --> 00:44:35,960
Speaker 2: Off the board.

1027
00:44:36,480 --> 00:44:39,960
Speaker 4: We are a very incapable offense that showed against Ole

1028
00:44:40,040 --> 00:44:44,120
Speaker 4: Miss Starkle is capable of making of connecting on plays,

1029
00:44:44,120 --> 00:44:46,360
Speaker 4: but he's not He's not capable of doing that in

1030
00:44:46,400 --> 00:44:50,080
Speaker 4: a series of plays, so you can't trust them whatsoever. Meanwhile,

1031
00:44:50,360 --> 00:44:53,520
Speaker 4: Colin hill Over at Colorado State is hitting two different

1032
00:44:53,560 --> 00:44:56,920
Speaker 4: wide receivers on seventy five yard bombs. He had almost

1033
00:44:56,920 --> 00:44:59,759
Speaker 4: four hundred yards passing last week they won Colora was

1034
00:44:59,800 --> 00:45:00,880
Speaker 4: a won the box.

1035
00:45:00,680 --> 00:45:04,160
Speaker 2: Score against Colorado. I mean they legitimately won the box score.

1036
00:45:04,200 --> 00:45:04,680
Speaker 2: It was clean.

1037
00:45:04,920 --> 00:45:07,720
Speaker 4: They lost the game outright, But that's Colorado State football.

1038
00:45:07,760 --> 00:45:09,680
Speaker 4: So I think Colorida State's gonna be able to get

1039
00:45:09,680 --> 00:45:11,239
Speaker 4: the ball down the field. I think it's gonna be

1040
00:45:11,280 --> 00:45:13,560
Speaker 4: hit and miss for us a couple explosive plays. I

1041
00:45:13,640 --> 00:45:15,880
Speaker 4: will say in alight to me segment, I won't have

1042
00:45:15,960 --> 00:45:17,239
Speaker 4: any more than two tweets about argus.

1043
00:45:17,280 --> 00:45:23,600
Speaker 2: So after we lose this game, that of me, you're

1044
00:45:23,640 --> 00:45:25,920
Speaker 2: gonna bet? Do you have a betting already on college?

1045
00:45:26,160 --> 00:45:28,160
Speaker 2: Colorado State? I'm probably gonna get a money line in

1046
00:45:28,239 --> 00:45:30,640
Speaker 2: here right after we get off the horn here, all right,

1047
00:45:30,920 --> 00:45:32,279
Speaker 2: can you talk, by the way, can you talk to

1048
00:45:32,360 --> 00:45:34,320
Speaker 2: one of your many oddsmaker's friends that tell them to

1049
00:45:34,400 --> 00:45:37,759
Speaker 2: move Arizona to plus three? For me? Tired of getting

1050
00:45:37,800 --> 00:45:39,120
Speaker 2: waiting for alerts on that game.

1051
00:45:39,600 --> 00:45:41,800
Speaker 4: I'm sitting around like all these NFL lines, sitting on

1052
00:45:41,840 --> 00:45:43,239
Speaker 4: two and a half. Right, you can never get to

1053
00:45:43,239 --> 00:45:44,120
Speaker 4: wait for that three to clip.

1054
00:45:44,440 --> 00:45:46,600
Speaker 2: Yeah. By the way, are we betting UCLA if it

1055
00:45:46,680 --> 00:45:50,359
Speaker 2: touches twenty four? Yes? Right, absolutely not, No, you can

1056
00:45:50,440 --> 00:45:52,239
Speaker 2: touch I had to think I had to bet it

1057
00:45:52,280 --> 00:45:53,799
Speaker 2: at twenty four? What do you make get? I made

1058
00:45:53,800 --> 00:45:55,839
Speaker 2: it nineteen. It's way too it's way too high. Four.

1059
00:45:55,880 --> 00:45:57,560
Speaker 2: I gotta bet I got a bet of you get

1060
00:45:57,640 --> 00:45:58,080
Speaker 2: twenty four.

1061
00:45:58,239 --> 00:46:01,680
Speaker 4: You realize Jalen Hurts has touchdowns and seven incompletions?

1062
00:46:02,160 --> 00:46:06,000
Speaker 2: Sell, Hi, brother, you know that this line is crazy?

1063
00:46:06,040 --> 00:46:08,240
Speaker 2: All right? So I mean you see, Ali is terrible.

1064
00:46:08,320 --> 00:46:10,800
Speaker 2: This is a classic by low Sell high spot, and

1065
00:46:10,920 --> 00:46:12,800
Speaker 2: that's why the line is maybe going to get the

1066
00:46:12,800 --> 00:46:17,000
Speaker 2: twenty four on second down. Let's talk Friday night lights.

1067
00:46:17,719 --> 00:46:20,400
Speaker 6: Let's hear gentlemen, clear eyes, full hearts.

1068
00:46:20,719 --> 00:46:24,520
Speaker 2: Hey, let's go play some football. We have an interesting

1069
00:46:25,040 --> 00:46:27,320
Speaker 2: Friday night slate with a couple of games that I

1070
00:46:27,440 --> 00:46:30,239
Speaker 2: actually bet. You know, one of the more intriguing games

1071
00:46:30,280 --> 00:46:32,160
Speaker 2: I think for a lot of people just on paper,

1072
00:46:32,760 --> 00:46:36,399
Speaker 2: is Wazoo and Houston. Bazoo's out to a ten point

1073
00:46:36,440 --> 00:46:39,120
Speaker 2: favor their yards per player silly. I mean, this offense

1074
00:46:39,160 --> 00:46:43,160
Speaker 2: looks ridiculous Washington State and Leach out there whereile Houston

1075
00:46:43,200 --> 00:46:45,799
Speaker 2: looks dreadful. The over under seventy three and a half.

1076
00:46:46,160 --> 00:46:47,960
Speaker 2: You'll hear a lot of and it came down from

1077
00:46:48,000 --> 00:46:50,200
Speaker 2: seventy five. You'll hear a lot of square betters be like, oh,

1078
00:46:50,280 --> 00:46:53,320
Speaker 2: two air raids. I bet the over. But Houston's a

1079
00:46:53,360 --> 00:46:56,560
Speaker 2: snail under data this year. It's very odd. They're playing

1080
00:46:56,880 --> 00:46:59,000
Speaker 2: a lot differently. Maybe he's gonna come out and play

1081
00:46:59,400 --> 00:47:02,640
Speaker 2: how he had before at West Virginia, but they're snailish,

1082
00:47:02,680 --> 00:47:05,040
Speaker 2: so I can't recommend the over. I don't know if

1083
00:47:05,040 --> 00:47:07,800
Speaker 2: I necessarily play the under either, but Washington State doesn't

1084
00:47:07,800 --> 00:47:09,880
Speaker 2: necessarily play fast, but they might score every possession on

1085
00:47:09,920 --> 00:47:12,839
Speaker 2: this Houston defense. I also played Kansas Man. I played

1086
00:47:12,840 --> 00:47:14,200
Speaker 2: a lot of ugly teams this weekend. It got the

1087
00:47:14,239 --> 00:47:16,640
Speaker 2: twenty one and a half and I said, nope, too high.

1088
00:47:17,320 --> 00:47:19,320
Speaker 2: Puka came back last week. Hopefully he can give me

1089
00:47:19,360 --> 00:47:22,480
Speaker 2: a couple big plays. Anything over three touchdowns I think

1090
00:47:22,560 --> 00:47:25,400
Speaker 2: is crazy. At twenty one, I'd still play it, but

1091
00:47:25,480 --> 00:47:26,600
Speaker 2: I had to take twenty one and a half. And

1092
00:47:26,600 --> 00:47:29,480
Speaker 2: then the game. We disagree on Wake UNC in a

1093
00:47:29,520 --> 00:47:33,360
Speaker 2: battle of Too Carolina schools. I like Wake and you

1094
00:47:33,520 --> 00:47:35,719
Speaker 2: obviously love UNC. I just think the UNC love is

1095
00:47:35,719 --> 00:47:38,080
Speaker 2: getting out of hand here. Look, they won two games,

1096
00:47:38,120 --> 00:47:40,480
Speaker 2: but they probably should have lost to Miami. They got

1097
00:47:40,520 --> 00:47:42,600
Speaker 2: out gained by one hundred yards. They converted a fourth

1098
00:47:42,640 --> 00:47:46,120
Speaker 2: in Forever at the end of the game. Sam hows

1099
00:47:46,239 --> 00:47:48,759
Speaker 2: led all these miraculous hundred yard touchdown draws, which you

1100
00:47:48,760 --> 00:47:51,120
Speaker 2: have to give him credit for. But now he leaves

1101
00:47:51,400 --> 00:47:55,359
Speaker 2: the friendly confines of Chapel Hill for his first road game,

1102
00:47:55,400 --> 00:47:58,120
Speaker 2: and it should be a pretty electric environment at Wake Forest.

1103
00:47:58,239 --> 00:48:01,760
Speaker 2: And one thing that people aren't talking about, Nick Polino.

1104
00:48:01,800 --> 00:48:04,759
Speaker 2: Their center is out, but the freshman came in during

1105
00:48:05,000 --> 00:48:07,360
Speaker 2: two of their biggest drives against Miamian he was okay.

1106
00:48:07,800 --> 00:48:11,040
Speaker 2: Antoine Green their receiver is questionable. But the biggest loss

1107
00:48:11,080 --> 00:48:14,400
Speaker 2: to me for North Carolina is Patrese Renee, their corner

1108
00:48:14,719 --> 00:48:18,680
Speaker 2: who Pro Football Focus led the ACC last year in

1109
00:48:19,320 --> 00:48:25,279
Speaker 2: opponent quarterback rating and completion percentage. Most importantly, he was

1110
00:48:25,320 --> 00:48:27,960
Speaker 2: their tallest corner. He was a senior, he's played. This

1111
00:48:28,080 --> 00:48:29,719
Speaker 2: is his fourth year that he's playing at corner two

1112
00:48:30,000 --> 00:48:32,680
Speaker 2: at North Carolina, and he was their tallest corner. So

1113
00:48:32,800 --> 00:48:34,640
Speaker 2: they lose their best and tallest corner, which is a

1114
00:48:34,680 --> 00:48:38,320
Speaker 2: big deal against those towers that Wake Forest throws to.

1115
00:48:38,600 --> 00:48:41,040
Speaker 2: I think this should be a touch over a field goal.

1116
00:48:41,360 --> 00:48:43,120
Speaker 2: And I know if the game is late and Wake

1117
00:48:43,239 --> 00:48:45,879
Speaker 2: is trailing, I have missed their clutch on my side,

1118
00:48:46,000 --> 00:48:48,239
Speaker 2: Jamie Newman, to drive me down the field and get

1119
00:48:48,280 --> 00:48:51,120
Speaker 2: me a win and cover ilight Wake. And you vehemently

1120
00:48:51,160 --> 00:48:53,200
Speaker 2: disagree here, we'll be on opposing sides here. What are

1121
00:48:53,200 --> 00:48:54,480
Speaker 2: your thoughts on the Friday Night Slate?

1122
00:48:54,880 --> 00:48:57,640
Speaker 4: Absolutely, I'm gonna agree with you on the under on

1123
00:48:57,719 --> 00:49:00,279
Speaker 4: Washington Houston. I actually made a little bit here live

1124
00:49:00,360 --> 00:49:01,960
Speaker 4: on the podcast, taking a little bit of money on

1125
00:49:02,000 --> 00:49:03,960
Speaker 4: the under seventy three and a half. The pace of

1126
00:49:04,000 --> 00:49:07,200
Speaker 4: play for Houston's been a lot slower than people expected

1127
00:49:07,280 --> 00:49:09,600
Speaker 4: under data, so I expect there to be a lot

1128
00:49:09,640 --> 00:49:11,520
Speaker 4: more stops and a lot more punts and people expect

1129
00:49:11,840 --> 00:49:14,480
Speaker 4: Kansas game. I make it BC minus seventeen, So there

1130
00:49:14,560 --> 00:49:16,200
Speaker 4: is value in Kansas if you want to go that

1131
00:49:16,360 --> 00:49:18,520
Speaker 4: route with them on the road. As far as North Carolina,

1132
00:49:18,520 --> 00:49:21,040
Speaker 4: wake Forest goes listen, I think Sam Howe is elite.

1133
00:49:21,320 --> 00:49:24,080
Speaker 4: I make the game North Carolina minus one on the road.

1134
00:49:25,680 --> 00:49:27,799
Speaker 4: I love Phil Longo the offensive quarter of boot Over.

1135
00:49:27,880 --> 00:49:30,480
Speaker 4: I love Jay Bateman from Army. Here's here's the handicap.

1136
00:49:30,600 --> 00:49:33,800
Speaker 4: Both wake Forest and North Carolina are extremely explosive offenses,

1137
00:49:34,160 --> 00:49:36,960
Speaker 4: and I don't trust wake Forest's defense to get the

1138
00:49:37,040 --> 00:49:40,040
Speaker 4: stop as much as I do North Carolinas. So for

1139
00:49:40,120 --> 00:49:41,879
Speaker 4: that reason, I'm happy with the three and a half

1140
00:49:41,920 --> 00:49:43,960
Speaker 4: that I got on opener. If you can't get three

1141
00:49:44,000 --> 00:49:45,600
Speaker 4: and a half, which is none on the market right now,

1142
00:49:45,880 --> 00:49:48,279
Speaker 4: or it dips underneath the three, play this thing live.

1143
00:49:48,640 --> 00:49:51,120
Speaker 4: These are two extremely explosive offenses. This sam is going

1144
00:49:51,200 --> 00:49:54,000
Speaker 4: to be seven zero fourteen zero fourteen seven number. The

1145
00:49:54,080 --> 00:49:55,120
Speaker 4: number is going to be all over the place.

1146
00:49:55,200 --> 00:49:55,359
Speaker 1: Live.

1147
00:49:55,440 --> 00:49:57,200
Speaker 2: Try to get it on both sides. I would rather

1148
00:49:57,239 --> 00:49:59,920
Speaker 2: wait than probably take up a side right now. Faaradephia.

1149
00:50:00,040 --> 00:50:02,080
Speaker 2: We'll have much more on that on the site and

1150
00:50:03,040 --> 00:50:05,040
Speaker 2: Colin and I maybe will be tweeting at each other

1151
00:50:05,120 --> 00:50:08,080
Speaker 2: during the game on imposing side, So pick a side

1152
00:50:08,120 --> 00:50:10,040
Speaker 2: and join one of us. And then before we get

1153
00:50:10,080 --> 00:50:12,120
Speaker 2: out of here on third down, let's do our money

1154
00:50:12,160 --> 00:50:13,200
Speaker 2: line underdog.

1155
00:50:13,040 --> 00:50:19,600
Speaker 1: Arlay turning good weekends into great weekends.

1156
00:50:20,280 --> 00:50:22,800
Speaker 6: It's time for the money line parlay.

1157
00:50:24,400 --> 00:50:27,040
Speaker 2: Colin has at both legs of his the first two weeks.

1158
00:50:27,480 --> 00:50:30,600
Speaker 2: I feel like I've been just unjustly fucked and both

1159
00:50:30,600 --> 00:50:32,560
Speaker 2: of my teams at least should have had a shy

1160
00:50:32,560 --> 00:50:35,359
Speaker 2: at least I should have split them. But this week,

1161
00:50:35,600 --> 00:50:38,879
Speaker 2: so I'm going really simple. This week, I'm going really low.

1162
00:50:39,480 --> 00:50:42,440
Speaker 2: And I decided to do this during the podcast when

1163
00:50:42,440 --> 00:50:44,680
Speaker 2: I saw your reaction to the team. I'm betting. I'm

1164
00:50:44,760 --> 00:50:46,920
Speaker 2: going with the Zips. I'm going with Acron on the

1165
00:50:47,040 --> 00:50:50,120
Speaker 2: road as very very short one one and a half

1166
00:50:50,200 --> 00:50:54,320
Speaker 2: point dog. I'm telling you Central Michigan with their backups

1167
00:50:54,680 --> 00:50:57,400
Speaker 2: are it's going to look atrocious. We're going with the

1168
00:50:57,480 --> 00:51:00,440
Speaker 2: Zips on the road. What are we are?

1169
00:51:00,480 --> 00:51:03,200
Speaker 4: Not go three because I'm going Temple. I'm going Temple

1170
00:51:03,200 --> 00:51:05,800
Speaker 4: plus two fifteen is my money line money line parlay.

1171
00:51:05,920 --> 00:51:08,000
Speaker 2: All right, there you have it. We got the Zips

1172
00:51:08,800 --> 00:51:12,400
Speaker 2: on the Road in a Mac game, which is you know,

1173
00:51:12,560 --> 00:51:17,160
Speaker 2: be around plus one fifteen ish and we have Temple

1174
00:51:17,239 --> 00:51:19,800
Speaker 2: player on plus two fifty so it'll pay out around

1175
00:51:20,200 --> 00:51:23,319
Speaker 2: six seven to one ish. So hopefully we can cast

1176
00:51:23,400 --> 00:51:25,000
Speaker 2: us one, I can get on the winning side. And

1177
00:51:25,080 --> 00:51:27,239
Speaker 2: now I'm gonna make you have to pay attention and

1178
00:51:27,360 --> 00:51:30,560
Speaker 2: rood for Acron on the Road in some maction. Thanks

1179
00:51:30,640 --> 00:51:33,920
Speaker 2: everyone for listening, Thanks for joining me. As always, Colin,

1180
00:51:34,280 --> 00:51:38,359
Speaker 2: if you haven't rate review, you know the drill, catch

1181
00:51:38,440 --> 00:51:40,960
Speaker 2: us Saturday morning on our live show. You can catch

1182
00:51:41,000 --> 00:51:44,920
Speaker 2: me on Twitter at Stucky two. Colin is at Underscore

1183
00:51:45,000 --> 00:51:48,759
Speaker 2: Colin two, L's one lead voicemails this weekend. Good luck

1184
00:51:49,280 --> 00:51:51,080
Speaker 2: in some money. We'll catch you out next week here,

1185
00:51:51,160 --> 00:51:52,560
Speaker 2: so be's out.

1186
00:52:07,800 --> 00:52:07,840
Speaker 1: I