1
00:00:10,840 --> 00:00:13,000
Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into a Wednesday

2
00:00:13,000 --> 00:00:15,440
Speaker 1: morning edition of the Daily Juice Podcast. My name is

3
00:00:15,440 --> 00:00:17,680
Speaker 1: Matt Parolt. You guys can follow me on Twitter at

4
00:00:17,720 --> 00:00:22,040
Speaker 1: Sports Talk Matt. Every morning here on Bettingpros dot Com,

5
00:00:22,079 --> 00:00:25,280
Speaker 1: always being brought to you by BETMGM. We're on YouTube,

6
00:00:25,320 --> 00:00:30,080
Speaker 1: and we are on every audio platform you can imagine. Okay,

7
00:00:30,080 --> 00:00:31,400
Speaker 1: a couple of things at the top here that I

8
00:00:31,400 --> 00:00:33,440
Speaker 1: want to get to right away. Okay. The first is

9
00:00:33,440 --> 00:00:35,760
Speaker 1: obviously the BETMGM off for one hundred dollars up for

10
00:00:35,800 --> 00:00:38,960
Speaker 1: grabs twenty bucks bet on anything you win automatically with

11
00:00:39,080 --> 00:00:42,000
Speaker 1: the promo code Juice one hundred. You get that bang

12
00:00:42,280 --> 00:00:44,400
Speaker 1: juice one hundred betmgm dot com. Or on the bet

13
00:00:44,560 --> 00:00:46,640
Speaker 1: mgm app twenty bucks gets you a hundred bucks with

14
00:00:46,640 --> 00:00:49,239
Speaker 1: the promo code Juice one hundred, use it on any

15
00:00:49,240 --> 00:00:52,519
Speaker 1: one of these bets. Because I am betting just college

16
00:00:52,520 --> 00:00:56,320
Speaker 1: football today, I have three more Week one plays to

17
00:00:56,400 --> 00:00:58,680
Speaker 1: give you. I am not playing. I'm not betting base

18
00:00:58,720 --> 00:01:04,240
Speaker 1: well today. Okay. I bet one game on Monday, one

19
00:01:04,280 --> 00:01:07,280
Speaker 1: game on Tuesday. We go zero and two in both

20
00:01:07,440 --> 00:01:10,360
Speaker 1: down a unit. I'm just not I just my heart's

21
00:01:10,400 --> 00:01:12,440
Speaker 1: not in it. Okay, I can't do it. I'm sorry.

22
00:01:12,520 --> 00:01:15,759
Speaker 1: I just I'm not into it. I had a big

23
00:01:15,840 --> 00:01:18,280
Speaker 1: argument on my radio show today about betting on baseball,

24
00:01:18,280 --> 00:01:20,520
Speaker 1: and I'm just I'm not into it. I don't like it.

25
00:01:20,520 --> 00:01:24,759
Speaker 1: It's it's just not fun, Okay. COVID now is running

26
00:01:24,760 --> 00:01:27,800
Speaker 1: through different teams like the Red Sox, so I'm just

27
00:01:27,840 --> 00:01:29,480
Speaker 1: not going to force it today. I'm not going to

28
00:01:29,560 --> 00:01:31,560
Speaker 1: make a pick on baseball just because I'm supposed to

29
00:01:31,560 --> 00:01:33,720
Speaker 1: make a pick on baseball. Like I'm going to give

30
00:01:33,760 --> 00:01:36,640
Speaker 1: you three plays to go along with the two plays

31
00:01:36,959 --> 00:01:40,520
Speaker 1: we've already given out for Week one. Now, there are

32
00:01:40,760 --> 00:01:45,240
Speaker 1: so many games to get into. I am eyeballing one game, however,

33
00:01:45,319 --> 00:01:47,640
Speaker 1: that I have not bet yet, and it may be

34
00:01:47,760 --> 00:01:52,560
Speaker 1: the play on the podcast for tomorrow. I'm watching Minnesota

35
00:01:52,600 --> 00:01:56,520
Speaker 1: and Ohio State. All right. I want that number to climb.

36
00:01:56,680 --> 00:01:59,520
Speaker 1: I want that number at fourteen and a half, at fifteen,

37
00:01:59,720 --> 00:02:05,640
Speaker 1: at sixteen, at fourteen, it's eh, okay, I want over fourteen.

38
00:02:06,360 --> 00:02:08,839
Speaker 1: I'm not teasing, by the way, don't in your brain

39
00:02:08,880 --> 00:02:11,320
Speaker 1: you're probably like, well, what if you tease, Noe, We're

40
00:02:11,320 --> 00:02:14,960
Speaker 1: not teasing anything, Okay, not doing teasers in week one

41
00:02:15,040 --> 00:02:18,120
Speaker 1: of college football. Uh huh, So I want fourteen and

42
00:02:18,160 --> 00:02:20,320
Speaker 1: a half, I want fifteen. I want to let the

43
00:02:20,360 --> 00:02:22,680
Speaker 1: public bet this. But it's been wild to watch the

44
00:02:22,720 --> 00:02:25,760
Speaker 1: line movement because basically it's going thirteen and a half

45
00:02:25,800 --> 00:02:28,519
Speaker 1: to fourteen, back down to thirteen and a half, back

46
00:02:28,560 --> 00:02:31,280
Speaker 1: up to fourteen. If it dips to fourteen and a half,

47
00:02:31,280 --> 00:02:33,160
Speaker 1: it comes right back down. They get the books, get

48
00:02:33,200 --> 00:02:35,240
Speaker 1: hit with a bet immediately, and it comes back down

49
00:02:35,280 --> 00:02:38,280
Speaker 1: to fourteen. So the pros are saying, look, if you

50
00:02:38,320 --> 00:02:42,120
Speaker 1: go over fourteen, we're taking Minnesota at home with CJ.

51
00:02:42,160 --> 00:02:45,920
Speaker 1: Stroud making his first making his first start in an

52
00:02:45,919 --> 00:02:49,840
Speaker 1: Ohio State uniform, with that incredible receiving corps. But the

53
00:02:49,840 --> 00:02:53,520
Speaker 1: pros are saying, hey, over fourteen, they're taking Minnesota, which

54
00:02:53,560 --> 00:02:56,680
Speaker 1: is what I want. I want the Gophers. Okay, So

55
00:02:57,440 --> 00:03:00,200
Speaker 1: I'm waiting. I'm waiting. I'm waiting. So that play will

56
00:03:00,200 --> 00:03:03,239
Speaker 1: probably be on tomorrow's podcast, will be on Thursday's podcast

57
00:03:03,680 --> 00:03:06,000
Speaker 1: for game day for Minnesota in Ohio State. But I

58
00:03:06,040 --> 00:03:07,959
Speaker 1: gotta wait and watch. Okay, So I'm waiting and watching.

59
00:03:08,040 --> 00:03:10,919
Speaker 1: I got three more plays to give you, guys, and

60
00:03:11,520 --> 00:03:16,079
Speaker 1: it's Friday, Saturday, Monday. Okay, Friday, Saturday, Monday that I'm

61
00:03:16,080 --> 00:03:18,960
Speaker 1: gonna give you plays for today because these numbers might move,

62
00:03:19,360 --> 00:03:21,320
Speaker 1: and I don't want the numbers to move. Alabama, by

63
00:03:21,320 --> 00:03:23,360
Speaker 1: the way, has already moved. It's nineteen and a half, okay,

64
00:03:23,360 --> 00:03:24,919
Speaker 1: So I hope you jumped on it because I told

65
00:03:24,960 --> 00:03:27,799
Speaker 1: you that number was gonna move. Alabama minus eighteen and

66
00:03:27,840 --> 00:03:30,280
Speaker 1: a half. I don't know what the first half number

67
00:03:30,360 --> 00:03:32,120
Speaker 1: is going to be, and it's gonna piss me off.

68
00:03:32,160 --> 00:03:33,720
Speaker 1: I can tell you right now, because I think the

69
00:03:33,760 --> 00:03:36,840
Speaker 1: first half number is gonna be like twelve or maybe thirteen,

70
00:03:37,080 --> 00:03:39,640
Speaker 1: and I'm gonna be really mad because the books are

71
00:03:39,640 --> 00:03:41,880
Speaker 1: gonna shade it and they're gonna dare ust to bet it,

72
00:03:42,000 --> 00:03:45,240
Speaker 1: and I hate that. So eighteen and a half for Alabama,

73
00:03:45,280 --> 00:03:48,040
Speaker 1: where we've already jumped onto that on that so that

74
00:03:48,120 --> 00:03:51,360
Speaker 1: number very well might move or has moved. Nineteen and

75
00:03:51,360 --> 00:03:52,680
Speaker 1: a half. The numbers are gonna give you, guys, come

76
00:03:52,760 --> 00:03:54,720
Speaker 1: up here today those numbers all three of these games.

77
00:03:54,760 --> 00:03:56,920
Speaker 1: I think the numbers will probably move a little bit.

78
00:03:57,000 --> 00:03:58,880
Speaker 1: So I want to get in. I want to get

79
00:03:58,880 --> 00:04:01,560
Speaker 1: down now, and I've already bet tonight, so we're locked

80
00:04:01,600 --> 00:04:03,920
Speaker 1: in and good to go. And sure I may have

81
00:04:03,960 --> 00:04:06,400
Speaker 1: other plays as we go throughout the entire weekend, but

82
00:04:06,600 --> 00:04:10,080
Speaker 1: pacing yourself is really important. You don't have to bet

83
00:04:10,160 --> 00:04:12,280
Speaker 1: every one of these games. You don't have to have

84
00:04:12,400 --> 00:04:16,160
Speaker 1: ten games in play, you don't have five parlays, you

85
00:04:16,200 --> 00:04:22,360
Speaker 1: don't need any of that. Come Thursday. Okay, we have Thursday, Friday, Saturday, Sunday, Monday.

86
00:04:22,480 --> 00:04:26,839
Speaker 1: We have five days of college football betting to get into.

87
00:04:27,160 --> 00:04:32,839
Speaker 1: All right, that's crazy, absolutely crazy. So just let's go

88
00:04:33,240 --> 00:04:37,000
Speaker 1: calmly through this, okay, and let's be smart about how

89
00:04:37,040 --> 00:04:39,120
Speaker 1: we do this. I've already given you Central Florida on

90
00:04:39,279 --> 00:04:42,599
Speaker 1: Thursday at minus four and a half. We're waiting to

91
00:04:42,600 --> 00:04:45,880
Speaker 1: see what's gonna happen here for Ohio State and Minnesota.

92
00:04:46,080 --> 00:04:49,680
Speaker 1: Those maybe the two games I play on Thursday. Friday,

93
00:04:50,160 --> 00:04:54,040
Speaker 1: I am watching the line for North Carolina and VA Tech.

94
00:04:54,520 --> 00:04:57,240
Speaker 1: I love North Carolina this year. I just want to

95
00:04:57,240 --> 00:05:00,359
Speaker 1: see where that line goes. Okay, just gotta see how

96
00:05:00,720 --> 00:05:03,360
Speaker 1: I'm gonna watch it, Okay, before we bet it. That'll

97
00:05:03,400 --> 00:05:06,560
Speaker 1: be one of the plays on Friday's podcast. Already giving

98
00:05:06,560 --> 00:05:09,599
Speaker 1: you Alabama on Saturday minus eighteen and a half. That

99
00:05:09,680 --> 00:05:12,960
Speaker 1: numbers moved, but I've got more games on Saturday. Give

100
00:05:13,000 --> 00:05:15,040
Speaker 1: you guys here in just one second. Okay, so before

101
00:05:15,040 --> 00:05:17,200
Speaker 1: I give you three plays, just a couple other things.

102
00:05:17,240 --> 00:05:21,839
Speaker 1: One the giveaway for the Pete Rose signed jersey. We

103
00:05:21,920 --> 00:05:24,600
Speaker 1: will pull the name today and we will Can you

104
00:05:24,640 --> 00:05:27,479
Speaker 1: be a September By the way, how is it September?

105
00:05:27,520 --> 00:05:31,040
Speaker 1: In September? What? Anyways? We're gonna give away that jersey,

106
00:05:31,040 --> 00:05:33,000
Speaker 1: the Pete Rose sign jersey, will pull a name, will

107
00:05:33,040 --> 00:05:35,880
Speaker 1: notify you via email if you have one. The giveaway

108
00:05:36,120 --> 00:05:43,039
Speaker 1: for the month of September is a Gale Sayers autograph jersey.

109
00:05:43,240 --> 00:05:47,159
Speaker 1: You're if you're a diehard football fan, that's cool. If

110
00:05:47,160 --> 00:05:50,400
Speaker 1: you are a Bears fan, that's cool. Excuse me to

111
00:05:50,440 --> 00:05:53,559
Speaker 1: have that in your man cave, to have that somewhere

112
00:05:53,600 --> 00:05:55,760
Speaker 1: where you I mean, that's cool. Okay, that's really cool.

113
00:05:56,040 --> 00:05:58,880
Speaker 1: Gale Sayers autograph jersey. How Matt, how do I win

114
00:05:58,920 --> 00:06:02,120
Speaker 1: the autograph Gail Sales? It's really easy. You go too,

115
00:06:02,360 --> 00:06:06,920
Speaker 1: say it with me Apple Podcasts and you one subscribe,

116
00:06:07,040 --> 00:06:10,039
Speaker 1: but two leave a review. Take a screenshot up that

117
00:06:10,080 --> 00:06:13,559
Speaker 1: review and go to bettingpros dot com slash juice. There's

118
00:06:13,600 --> 00:06:16,680
Speaker 1: a form drop that screenshot under the form filled out,

119
00:06:16,720 --> 00:06:19,480
Speaker 1: and you're entered into every contest we have from here

120
00:06:19,520 --> 00:06:22,880
Speaker 1: on out. Okay, that would be very cool. Now, I

121
00:06:22,920 --> 00:06:25,320
Speaker 1: would love to see you guys. And we didn't get there.

122
00:06:25,400 --> 00:06:27,520
Speaker 1: We failed one of the first times I've set a

123
00:06:27,560 --> 00:06:30,680
Speaker 1: bar for you guys, and we failed. I wanted five

124
00:06:30,720 --> 00:06:34,120
Speaker 1: thousand subscribers on YouTube by the end of August. I

125
00:06:34,120 --> 00:06:36,480
Speaker 1: think we're at four thousand and seven hundred, So we

126
00:06:36,640 --> 00:06:39,720
Speaker 1: failed there. But if you have a Google account and

127
00:06:39,760 --> 00:06:43,240
Speaker 1: you're on YouTube, do me a favor and hit subscribe.

128
00:06:43,240 --> 00:06:45,600
Speaker 1: If you're watching on YouTube below me, we oh, I

129
00:06:45,720 --> 00:06:49,919
Speaker 1: said it. Underneath me, you've got the You've got a

130
00:06:49,920 --> 00:06:53,200
Speaker 1: little button you hit to hit subscribe to the Betting

131
00:06:53,200 --> 00:06:57,520
Speaker 1: Pros channel. Okay. Remember this is where on YouTube we

132
00:06:57,600 --> 00:07:01,560
Speaker 1: do our Sunday morning live stream for the NFL. That

133
00:07:01,680 --> 00:07:03,760
Speaker 1: will be back, by the way, We're right back doing

134
00:07:03,880 --> 00:07:06,640
Speaker 1: NFL live streams. It's all going to be very fun

135
00:07:06,680 --> 00:07:11,280
Speaker 1: and very busy for us here on Sundays. So yeah,

136
00:07:11,360 --> 00:07:14,520
Speaker 1: we've got that going on. Remember also on Saturdays, the

137
00:07:14,560 --> 00:07:17,600
Speaker 1: Discord bet starts. This week. We will have a Discord bet.

138
00:07:17,640 --> 00:07:19,520
Speaker 1: You guys will will do a live chat on the

139
00:07:19,560 --> 00:07:22,360
Speaker 1: Discord channel bettingpros dot Com slash chat to get in

140
00:07:22,560 --> 00:07:24,640
Speaker 1: or underneath me. There's another link underneath me here on

141
00:07:24,680 --> 00:07:27,720
Speaker 1: YouTube to get in a discord channel. Saturday mornings, we

142
00:07:27,760 --> 00:07:30,640
Speaker 1: will do that. We will have a discord conversation and

143
00:07:30,680 --> 00:07:33,480
Speaker 1: a discord bet to be crowdsourced from you guys for

144
00:07:33,680 --> 00:07:37,560
Speaker 1: a game on Saturday for college football. So I'll talk

145
00:07:37,600 --> 00:07:40,040
Speaker 1: to you Saturday morning, I'll talk to you Sunday morning.

146
00:07:40,080 --> 00:07:42,880
Speaker 1: I'll talk to you for the podcast every day. And

147
00:07:42,960 --> 00:07:47,000
Speaker 1: the Sharp Report just dropped. Raheem Palmer from the Action Network,

148
00:07:47,040 --> 00:07:49,040
Speaker 1: a guy I met here in Vegas a week ago.

149
00:07:49,360 --> 00:07:52,200
Speaker 1: He is the guest this week talking about his journey

150
00:07:52,200 --> 00:07:54,640
Speaker 1: in sports betting. And if you have not subscribed to

151
00:07:54,760 --> 00:07:58,880
Speaker 1: the Sharp Support wherever you get your podcasts Apple or

152
00:07:59,120 --> 00:08:02,480
Speaker 1: Spotify or what, go do that. Do me a favor.

153
00:08:02,640 --> 00:08:05,560
Speaker 1: Go do that? Very very cool. Raheen Palmer and I

154
00:08:05,560 --> 00:08:08,240
Speaker 1: had a very fun conversation about NFL futures as well

155
00:08:08,320 --> 00:08:10,559
Speaker 1: some picks in place he likes for the upcoming NFL season.

156
00:08:10,600 --> 00:08:13,040
Speaker 1: So that is on episode eight of The Sharp Support,

157
00:08:13,040 --> 00:08:16,520
Speaker 1: which is out to day. Okay, without further ado, let's

158
00:08:16,520 --> 00:08:18,160
Speaker 1: get to the picks in the place here, all right,

159
00:08:18,240 --> 00:08:21,240
Speaker 1: Let's start with a game that's going to take place

160
00:08:22,320 --> 00:08:27,400
Speaker 1: on Friday, Michigan State at Northwestern. The total for this

161
00:08:27,520 --> 00:08:32,439
Speaker 1: game is forty five. All right, Michigan State averaged eighteen

162
00:08:32,480 --> 00:08:35,840
Speaker 1: points per game last year. That's their lowest since two thousand.

163
00:08:35,920 --> 00:08:39,640
Speaker 1: Melt Tucker's back for his second season. Sixteen returning starters

164
00:08:39,679 --> 00:08:44,760
Speaker 1: for the Michigan State Spartans, including quarterback Anthony Russo. They

165
00:08:44,800 --> 00:08:48,520
Speaker 1: won twenty nine to twenty last year over Northwestern. They

166
00:08:48,520 --> 00:08:50,760
Speaker 1: were up seventeen nothing in that game and they blew it.

167
00:08:50,800 --> 00:08:53,600
Speaker 1: They were down twenty seventeen and then they scored nine

168
00:08:53,640 --> 00:08:57,280
Speaker 1: points to win the game against Northwestern. Twenty nine points

169
00:08:57,400 --> 00:09:00,240
Speaker 1: was the season high for the offense for Michigan's State

170
00:09:00,280 --> 00:09:03,760
Speaker 1: for the Spartans last season, and they beat a nationally

171
00:09:03,840 --> 00:09:07,160
Speaker 1: ranked top fifteen team in Northwestern, So revenge it will

172
00:09:07,160 --> 00:09:10,680
Speaker 1: be on the minds of Pat Fitzgerald and the Wildcats.

173
00:09:10,880 --> 00:09:15,360
Speaker 1: Michigan State averaged a pathetic two point nine yards rushing

174
00:09:15,480 --> 00:09:18,960
Speaker 1: per rush last year. That can only go up, but

175
00:09:19,080 --> 00:09:22,880
Speaker 1: Northwestern's defense is really really good. Northwestern went seven to

176
00:09:22,920 --> 00:09:26,480
Speaker 1: two last year. Pat Fitzgerald's back for his sixteenth season.

177
00:09:26,559 --> 00:09:29,080
Speaker 1: He did have some NFL in Quergies again, but he

178
00:09:29,120 --> 00:09:33,680
Speaker 1: did not take an NFL job. He's back. The Northwestern

179
00:09:33,720 --> 00:09:37,360
Speaker 1: only returns eight starters. That's the fewest in the Big Ten.

180
00:09:37,760 --> 00:09:40,719
Speaker 1: Not great. Ryan Helsinki is back, but so is the

181
00:09:40,800 --> 00:09:44,640
Speaker 1: quarterback Hunter Johnson. They'll both go back and forth. Clemson transfer,

182
00:09:44,720 --> 00:09:47,840
Speaker 1: South Carolina transfer. I didn't like either one last year.

183
00:09:47,880 --> 00:09:49,760
Speaker 1: To be quite honest, I'm not really in love with

184
00:09:49,840 --> 00:09:54,440
Speaker 1: either quarterback for Northwestern. Northwestern scored just twenty four point

185
00:09:54,440 --> 00:09:56,480
Speaker 1: seven points per game last year, and that's when they

186
00:09:56,520 --> 00:09:59,160
Speaker 1: had some pretty decent players. Now they're really young in

187
00:09:59,160 --> 00:10:02,360
Speaker 1: and experienced. They did beat Maryland forty three to three

188
00:10:02,480 --> 00:10:05,240
Speaker 1: in their opener, but they didn't score more than twenty

189
00:10:05,280 --> 00:10:08,320
Speaker 1: eight points the rest of the season in any game.

190
00:10:08,880 --> 00:10:11,120
Speaker 1: It was a seventeen to nothing Michigan State lead, like

191
00:10:11,200 --> 00:10:14,160
Speaker 1: I mentioned, but you know, this is a team in northwesterns.

192
00:10:14,160 --> 00:10:17,400
Speaker 1: It's very young and an inexperience. The offensive line is back,

193
00:10:17,440 --> 00:10:19,360
Speaker 1: which is good news for them, but they were two

194
00:10:19,360 --> 00:10:23,040
Speaker 1: and seven to the over last year, and their defense

195
00:10:23,040 --> 00:10:26,160
Speaker 1: should be really really good again. I don't think Michigan

196
00:10:26,160 --> 00:10:29,200
Speaker 1: State scores. I'm not in love with Northwestern either, but

197
00:10:29,800 --> 00:10:33,719
Speaker 1: I'm going under here under forty five Michigan State in

198
00:10:33,840 --> 00:10:39,840
Speaker 1: Northwestern in a slaberdocker, boring, blah football game on Friday night.

199
00:10:40,200 --> 00:10:42,760
Speaker 1: Bad football to start the year for these two teams.

200
00:10:43,240 --> 00:10:46,720
Speaker 1: Hopefully the defense has come to play. Hopefully mel Tucker's

201
00:10:46,760 --> 00:10:48,960
Speaker 1: got his defense ready to go, because I know Pat

202
00:10:49,000 --> 00:10:54,280
Speaker 1: Fitzgerald will at home under forty five one unit Michigan

203
00:10:54,280 --> 00:10:59,079
Speaker 1: State at Northwestern. That game's on Friday. All right, Thursday play,

204
00:10:59,520 --> 00:11:03,720
Speaker 1: Friday play, Saturday play. I may have one more Thursday play.

205
00:11:04,080 --> 00:11:07,200
Speaker 1: I may have one more Friday play. And let's talk

206
00:11:07,240 --> 00:11:10,280
Speaker 1: about the Saturday games, and I will have a lot

207
00:11:10,320 --> 00:11:13,600
Speaker 1: going on Saturday. We already have Alabama. Let's talk about

208
00:11:13,600 --> 00:11:19,400
Speaker 1: another SEC school, LSU at Ucla. I missed the four. Okay,

209
00:11:19,440 --> 00:11:22,600
Speaker 1: this number open at four. It's been bet down to three.

210
00:11:23,040 --> 00:11:28,199
Speaker 1: Saturday afternoon, Ucla thumped Hawaii. It looked great in their

211
00:11:28,240 --> 00:11:31,360
Speaker 1: first game. They ran the ball down Hawaii's throats. They

212
00:11:31,440 --> 00:11:34,319
Speaker 1: won forty four to ten. In that game, Dorian Thompson

213
00:11:34,400 --> 00:11:36,840
Speaker 1: Robinson had nothing really to do but hand the ball off.

214
00:11:37,240 --> 00:11:39,760
Speaker 1: Didn't throw the ball that much, didn't need to. They

215
00:11:39,840 --> 00:11:42,000
Speaker 1: ran for two hundred and forty four yards on the

216
00:11:42,040 --> 00:11:47,120
Speaker 1: ground at over Hawaii twenty returning starters. They looked phenomenal

217
00:11:47,640 --> 00:11:50,679
Speaker 1: and man, they've got a really big test in taking

218
00:11:50,720 --> 00:11:54,560
Speaker 1: on LSU. Five of UCLA's seven games last year were

219
00:11:54,559 --> 00:11:57,520
Speaker 1: decided by seven points or less, and they really want

220
00:11:57,520 --> 00:12:01,280
Speaker 1: to learn how to finish games. But own dog catching

221
00:12:01,400 --> 00:12:04,720
Speaker 1: three against LSU first game of the year for LSU.

222
00:12:04,800 --> 00:12:07,559
Speaker 1: They were five and five last year. Eighteen starters back

223
00:12:07,559 --> 00:12:10,280
Speaker 1: for the Tigers at Ordron's back into the Pac twelve

224
00:12:10,320 --> 00:12:13,120
Speaker 1: where he coached at USC at Oorgrowan is fifteen and

225
00:12:13,240 --> 00:12:16,400
Speaker 1: seven straight up in fourteen and six against the spread

226
00:12:16,480 --> 00:12:20,160
Speaker 1: on the road at LSU, but man died. LSU have

227
00:12:20,200 --> 00:12:22,880
Speaker 1: a tough ride here with Hurricane Ida. They took a

228
00:12:22,920 --> 00:12:25,920
Speaker 1: bus ride eleven hours from Baton Rouge to Houston to

229
00:12:25,960 --> 00:12:29,680
Speaker 1: get away from Hurricane Ida. They had to practice in Houston.

230
00:12:29,800 --> 00:12:34,200
Speaker 1: They're all dismantled and disheveled here. Really rough situation. Their

231
00:12:34,240 --> 00:12:37,720
Speaker 1: minds are not completely set on football right now, and

232
00:12:37,760 --> 00:12:39,640
Speaker 1: it's just been a tough ride for them to then

233
00:12:39,720 --> 00:12:41,240
Speaker 1: have to go all the way out to the West

234
00:12:41,280 --> 00:12:45,120
Speaker 1: Coast to play in California. Max Johnson will start for

235
00:12:45,240 --> 00:12:47,720
Speaker 1: LSU on the road. He played six games last year,

236
00:12:47,760 --> 00:12:51,560
Speaker 1: eight touchdowns to one interception five times. Last year, LSU's

237
00:12:51,600 --> 00:12:55,520
Speaker 1: defense gave up forty or more points, including fifty five

238
00:12:55,600 --> 00:12:59,320
Speaker 1: to Bama, forty five to Missouri, and forty four to Michigan.

239
00:12:59,320 --> 00:13:03,120
Speaker 1: To Mississipi date, LSU gave up nearly five yards per

240
00:13:03,200 --> 00:13:07,559
Speaker 1: rush last year on defense, Bo Polini fired, new DC

241
00:13:07,840 --> 00:13:11,400
Speaker 1: comes in. But this is a first game, a tough

242
00:13:11,520 --> 00:13:15,320
Speaker 1: first game for LSU on the road, and look like

243
00:13:15,360 --> 00:13:18,000
Speaker 1: we talk about when in the NFL, where like hey,

244
00:13:18,120 --> 00:13:21,520
Speaker 1: if you've played a game already, it's significant. I mean

245
00:13:21,640 --> 00:13:23,880
Speaker 1: even if Hawaii was just a speed bump. I think

246
00:13:23,960 --> 00:13:26,520
Speaker 1: Chip Kelly did a great job of scheduling a game.

247
00:13:26,960 --> 00:13:31,200
Speaker 1: Before this LSU game, everybody was worried, like would would

248
00:13:31,240 --> 00:13:35,160
Speaker 1: UCLA be caught looking ahead to LSU. I don't think so. Here,

249
00:13:35,440 --> 00:13:38,000
Speaker 1: I think UCLA has a really good shot to win

250
00:13:38,080 --> 00:13:40,920
Speaker 1: this game. Outrights, I'm gonna sprinkle on the money line

251
00:13:40,960 --> 00:13:44,959
Speaker 1: for UCLA, much like Illinois and Nebraska. I think UCLA

252
00:13:45,520 --> 00:13:52,520
Speaker 1: beats LSU. I'll take the three points here UCLA plus three. Privately, personally,

253
00:13:52,559 --> 00:13:55,559
Speaker 1: I'll sprinkle on the money line. But I know everyone

254
00:13:55,640 --> 00:13:58,880
Speaker 1: sees LSU and nationally ranked and this and that. Edwards

255
00:13:58,920 --> 00:14:01,480
Speaker 1: Juan's got a lot to to me after last year.

256
00:14:02,280 --> 00:14:04,719
Speaker 1: I think this is Chip Kelly's best team at UCLA,

257
00:14:04,760 --> 00:14:06,480
Speaker 1: and I think they want to make a big statement

258
00:14:06,520 --> 00:14:11,680
Speaker 1: here against LSU. I love Dorian Thompson Robinson don't turn

259
00:14:11,720 --> 00:14:13,880
Speaker 1: the football over, but I don't think LSU's defense is

260
00:14:13,880 --> 00:14:15,679
Speaker 1: all that good. I think this is a shootout, back

261
00:14:15,720 --> 00:14:18,120
Speaker 1: and forth type of football game. But UCLA I think

262
00:14:18,160 --> 00:14:23,240
Speaker 1: makes enough plays UCLA plus three on Saturday afternoon for

263
00:14:23,400 --> 00:14:27,560
Speaker 1: one full unit and one more game to get to.

264
00:14:27,800 --> 00:14:34,000
Speaker 1: It is a Monday night game standalone. Ole Miss Louisville

265
00:14:34,120 --> 00:14:37,600
Speaker 1: in Atlanta, ole Miss laying nine and a half. Welcome

266
00:14:37,640 --> 00:14:40,960
Speaker 1: to the coming out party for Matt Corral. Ole Miss

267
00:14:40,960 --> 00:14:44,520
Speaker 1: returned seventeen starters, including eight on offense. Corral is seven

268
00:14:44,560 --> 00:14:46,600
Speaker 1: and two when he doesn't throw a pick, oh and

269
00:14:46,720 --> 00:14:49,960
Speaker 1: five when he does. Watch that. If Matt Corral can

270
00:14:50,000 --> 00:14:53,000
Speaker 1: avoid turning the football over against Louisville, I think ole

271
00:14:53,080 --> 00:14:56,640
Speaker 1: Miss walks over Louisville. Here the problem, or there's the

272
00:14:56,680 --> 00:15:00,520
Speaker 1: good news for ole Miss fans. Louisville so second to

273
00:15:00,640 --> 00:15:03,000
Speaker 1: last in the nation in turnover margin last year, and

274
00:15:03,000 --> 00:15:06,080
Speaker 1: they were one hundred and fourth interceptions. And that was

275
00:15:06,120 --> 00:15:09,240
Speaker 1: a team that lost the head that has just this

276
00:15:09,320 --> 00:15:13,080
Speaker 1: defense lost five of their top seven tackulars tacklers from

277
00:15:13,160 --> 00:15:16,200
Speaker 1: last year. So the defense was bad last year, they

278
00:15:16,200 --> 00:15:19,600
Speaker 1: could be even worse this coming year. Louisville is breaking

279
00:15:19,640 --> 00:15:22,840
Speaker 1: in two new safeties against an offense that is expected

280
00:15:22,880 --> 00:15:26,520
Speaker 1: to score over forty points per game this year. All

281
00:15:26,520 --> 00:15:30,440
Speaker 1: Ole Miss has to do is play competent defense, not

282
00:15:30,520 --> 00:15:34,800
Speaker 1: great defense, just competent defense five you know, middle of

283
00:15:34,800 --> 00:15:39,200
Speaker 1: the pack, you know, top seventy five defense, and they're

284
00:15:39,200 --> 00:15:41,960
Speaker 1: going to be really, really tough to beat. They're returning

285
00:15:42,080 --> 00:15:45,840
Speaker 1: all their running backs, three outstanding wide receivers. I totally

286
00:15:45,920 --> 00:15:48,440
Speaker 1: understand Ole Miss has lost a couple of phenomenal wide

287
00:15:48,440 --> 00:15:50,520
Speaker 1: outs to the NFL and a good running back. I

288
00:15:50,560 --> 00:15:53,680
Speaker 1: get that. But Ole Miss is gonna be a ferocious

289
00:15:53,720 --> 00:15:56,360
Speaker 1: team with Matt Corral at the quarterback spot as long

290
00:15:56,360 --> 00:15:58,600
Speaker 1: as he stays healthy. My oh my, this is gonna

291
00:15:58,600 --> 00:16:00,760
Speaker 1: be a good team. Now. Louisville as a major weapon

292
00:16:00,760 --> 00:16:03,200
Speaker 1: at quarterback. Malie Cunningham is a really good player. But

293
00:16:03,240 --> 00:16:05,320
Speaker 1: they were four and seven last year. They were turning

294
00:16:05,360 --> 00:16:08,440
Speaker 1: thirteen starters, not great. Scott Sanderfield had a I mean,

295
00:16:08,440 --> 00:16:10,120
Speaker 1: people were in love with this dude a couple of

296
00:16:10,200 --> 00:16:13,080
Speaker 1: years ago, but he's lost some of his shine here

297
00:16:13,160 --> 00:16:15,360
Speaker 1: and people are kind of concerned about Look, the defense

298
00:16:15,440 --> 00:16:18,040
Speaker 1: is really bad. They lost to both ranked teams they

299
00:16:18,080 --> 00:16:21,520
Speaker 1: played last year. The old line is back, but this

300
00:16:21,600 --> 00:16:25,640
Speaker 1: feels like it's Cunningham and nobody else. They don't have

301
00:16:25,760 --> 00:16:28,160
Speaker 1: the playmakers or the receivers that you would like. They

302
00:16:28,240 --> 00:16:30,080
Speaker 1: graduated a couple of guys, lost a couple of guys

303
00:16:30,080 --> 00:16:32,360
Speaker 1: to the NFL who went out early. There's just not

304
00:16:32,440 --> 00:16:35,920
Speaker 1: a ton of proven talent back for Louisville. They're young,

305
00:16:36,320 --> 00:16:38,560
Speaker 1: and they've got some players that might be able to

306
00:16:38,600 --> 00:16:41,080
Speaker 1: help Cunningham, but it feels like it's all on Malie

307
00:16:41,160 --> 00:16:45,480
Speaker 1: Cunningham to keep pace with this Lane Kiffin offense. I'm

308
00:16:45,560 --> 00:16:48,080
Speaker 1: laying the nine and a half All Miss minus nine

309
00:16:48,120 --> 00:16:52,160
Speaker 1: and a half in Atlanta, Alabama's playing up against Miami.

310
00:16:52,440 --> 00:16:54,840
Speaker 1: I think that's a blowout. I think Ole Miss against

311
00:16:54,840 --> 00:16:58,800
Speaker 1: Louisville on Monday, two days later, that's a blowout. By

312
00:16:58,840 --> 00:17:01,680
Speaker 1: the way, both games, the roof is going to be

313
00:17:01,760 --> 00:17:04,880
Speaker 1: open in both games. I don't think that matters all

314
00:17:04,880 --> 00:17:08,399
Speaker 1: that much, but due to COVID nineteen protocols, the roof

315
00:17:08,440 --> 00:17:11,600
Speaker 1: is going to be open for these games, so just

316
00:17:11,600 --> 00:17:14,480
Speaker 1: a heads up on that. I don't think it's gonna

317
00:17:14,480 --> 00:17:17,280
Speaker 1: be very windy, but sometimes, you know, storms can creep

318
00:17:17,400 --> 00:17:20,159
Speaker 1: up and sometimes you can get pop up thunderstorms in

319
00:17:20,240 --> 00:17:23,280
Speaker 1: the in the August September heat of Atlanta. So just

320
00:17:23,359 --> 00:17:25,359
Speaker 1: keep that in mind that the roof is going to

321
00:17:25,359 --> 00:17:28,760
Speaker 1: be open for both games, both Alabama against Miami and

322
00:17:28,800 --> 00:17:31,439
Speaker 1: Louisville and ole Miss. The roof in Atlanta at the

323
00:17:31,440 --> 00:17:34,399
Speaker 1: Mercedes Benz Dome is going to be open, so okay.

324
00:17:34,960 --> 00:17:37,640
Speaker 1: So to recap the plays for today, for a Wednesday,

325
00:17:37,680 --> 00:17:40,240
Speaker 1: there is no baseball place, okay. I am just gonna

326
00:17:40,359 --> 00:17:42,440
Speaker 1: relax and get ready for football. I'm not going to

327
00:17:42,480 --> 00:17:45,520
Speaker 1: stress out me losing money betting baseball because I'm so

328
00:17:45,600 --> 00:17:49,760
Speaker 1: bad at it. Michigan State Northwestern under forty five, LSU

329
00:17:49,920 --> 00:17:54,520
Speaker 1: UCLA Bruins plus three home dogs, Ole Miss minus nine

330
00:17:54,560 --> 00:17:56,560
Speaker 1: and a half against Louisville. We're laying the nine and

331
00:17:56,600 --> 00:17:58,920
Speaker 1: a half for ole Miss on the road or gets

332
00:17:58,960 --> 00:18:01,879
Speaker 1: on a neutral field up against Louisville. So we have

333
00:18:02,160 --> 00:18:05,919
Speaker 1: five one unit plays going so far. There will be

334
00:18:05,920 --> 00:18:08,440
Speaker 1: at least one more on Thursday. At least one more

335
00:18:08,480 --> 00:18:14,280
Speaker 1: on Friday. Who knows. I'm still eyeballing Georgia Clemson. Someone

336
00:18:14,359 --> 00:18:16,160
Speaker 1: might need to talk to me out of taking Georgia.

337
00:18:16,480 --> 00:18:18,720
Speaker 1: People are yelling at me. My friends are going, you're

338
00:18:18,760 --> 00:18:22,879
Speaker 1: gonna take Georgia in that spot? Oh my, I don't know, man,

339
00:18:23,000 --> 00:18:25,520
Speaker 1: I may just watch it. But dj ougule Ale is

340
00:18:25,560 --> 00:18:27,840
Speaker 1: going to do a lot to impress me. He's good

341
00:18:28,000 --> 00:18:32,280
Speaker 1: not debating it. But Georgia is top five team. I

342
00:18:32,320 --> 00:18:35,600
Speaker 1: don't know, man, that's gonna be really hard for Clemson.

343
00:18:35,640 --> 00:18:37,480
Speaker 1: I think I think Georgia could win that game. But

344
00:18:38,160 --> 00:18:40,000
Speaker 1: we'll get further into that a little bit later on.

345
00:18:40,119 --> 00:18:42,399
Speaker 1: But we are right around the corner from a gigantic

346
00:18:42,440 --> 00:18:46,040
Speaker 1: college football Labor Day weekend. I'm hoping you're enjoying me

347
00:18:46,119 --> 00:18:49,040
Speaker 1: giving you the plays now because you may have to scatter,

348
00:18:49,200 --> 00:18:51,159
Speaker 1: go on vacation whatever it might be, and you get

349
00:18:51,200 --> 00:18:52,800
Speaker 1: your picks in and have to worry about the line

350
00:18:52,800 --> 00:18:56,440
Speaker 1: movement and whatnot. So let's go with five games right now.

351
00:18:56,520 --> 00:18:59,240
Speaker 1: I will add as we go forward, I'll probably have more,

352
00:18:59,560 --> 00:19:02,640
Speaker 1: at least one more on the Thursday Morning podcast. Friday,

353
00:19:02,640 --> 00:19:04,720
Speaker 1: I'll have at least one more Saturday. I know we'll

354
00:19:04,720 --> 00:19:07,960
Speaker 1: have more Sunday. I don't know if we'll get involved

355
00:19:07,960 --> 00:19:10,760
Speaker 1: with Notre Dame in their game against Florida State. I

356
00:19:10,840 --> 00:19:13,320
Speaker 1: just I don't know yet for that Sunday night game.

357
00:19:14,359 --> 00:19:18,240
Speaker 1: Maybe maybe not not entirely positive about that, but we'll

358
00:19:18,280 --> 00:19:21,000
Speaker 1: probably have something going in that game. And then if

359
00:19:21,000 --> 00:19:23,800
Speaker 1: I have to bet something on baseball, maybe I will.

360
00:19:23,840 --> 00:19:26,920
Speaker 1: But those are the plays for today's Daily Juice Podcast.

361
00:19:27,000 --> 00:19:29,160
Speaker 1: My name is Matt Parolt followed me on Twitter at

362
00:19:29,200 --> 00:19:32,200
Speaker 1: sports Talk Matt. Every morning it's the Daily Juice Podcast

363
00:19:32,240 --> 00:19:34,560
Speaker 1: on bettingpros dot Com. Always being brought to you. I

364
00:19:34,800 --> 00:19:43,359
Speaker 1: Bet THEMJM