WEBVTT - Walmart Creates New Approach Toward ESG

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week. I'm Carol Masser and I'm

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim Stanovk. We're here every day bringing

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<v Speaker 1>pm Eastern Time on Bloomberg Radio or watch us on

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<v Speaker 1>YouTube search Bloomberg Global News. They are the nation's biggest

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<v Speaker 1>private employer, well known household corporate name, one known big

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<v Speaker 1>time to our financial and investment audiences. We're talking about Walmart.

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<v Speaker 1>It's also a company that is on a mission to

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<v Speaker 1>become a regenerative company on all levels. So let's get

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<v Speaker 1>into it with Walmart executive vice president and chief sustainability officer.

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<v Speaker 1>She's also president of the Walmart Foundation, Kathleen McLoughlin, and

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<v Speaker 1>she joins us on the phone from Canada. Kathleen, so

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<v Speaker 1>nice to have you here on Bloomberg Business Week. How

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<v Speaker 1>are you I'm great, Thanks Carol, thanks for having me.

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<v Speaker 1>It's super to be here. Well, it's super to have

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<v Speaker 1>you here because you guys see so much in our

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<v Speaker 1>global economy, have to deal with so much in our

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<v Speaker 1>global economy when it comes to supply chains. First of all,

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<v Speaker 1>step back if we could, or look back past year.

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<v Speaker 1>Tell us about the year on your world, uh, from

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<v Speaker 1>your perspective at Walmart and the impact on e s

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<v Speaker 1>G initiatives. Yeah, well, you know, our focus when it

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<v Speaker 1>comes to e f G really is on shared value meeting.

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<v Speaker 1>How do we as a business address the issues that

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<v Speaker 1>are most important to our stakeholders, the societal issues that

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<v Speaker 1>are relevant to our business important to the stakeholders, or

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<v Speaker 1>we can make a difference through our business. And boy,

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<v Speaker 1>what a year it's been. Um Covid obviously climates what

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<v Speaker 1>we're hearing about nature, equity, economic opportunity for people. You know,

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<v Speaker 1>we had it all and so you know, many ways

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<v Speaker 1>when when COVID really struck, we thought, gosh, this is

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<v Speaker 1>gonna make it things really challenging. Graphtakes step back. If anything,

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<v Speaker 1>it's actually strength and their resolved and how us go

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<v Speaker 1>faster on just about everything. Well, you know that's a

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<v Speaker 1>great point, and I do wonder this last year laid

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<v Speaker 1>bare things that we knew were already existing, existing in

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<v Speaker 1>our society, but nonetheless kind of hit us bam in

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<v Speaker 1>the face because we were all at home and kind

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<v Speaker 1>of taking it in or feeling it. Has it helped

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<v Speaker 1>in terms of the timelines and aggressiveness that you can

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<v Speaker 1>apply to E s G goals at your company, Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>it has, you know, as you say, it really has

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<v Speaker 1>been a moment when all of us, um, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>I had to sit back and take notice. And I

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<v Speaker 1>think we realized a few things. One is the power

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<v Speaker 1>of individual action. You know, everybody acting together can really

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<v Speaker 1>turn the corner on something that's global in scale. We

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<v Speaker 1>learned that with COVID, we're seeing the same thing with

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<v Speaker 1>climate or equity or other things. So it really did

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<v Speaker 1>help us elevator ambition and in many ways we have

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<v Speaker 1>moved faster. So you know, for example, in terms of

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<v Speaker 1>the response to COVID, our first concern was associate safety

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<v Speaker 1>and because we even continue to operate in terms of

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<v Speaker 1>PPE and protective equipment, plexic glass, all those kinds of safeguards,

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<v Speaker 1>additional emergency paid time off leave policies, hiring an additional

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<v Speaker 1>five thousand people to put some slack in the system,

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<v Speaker 1>will make it easier for folks to stay all that

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<v Speaker 1>they felt they needed to and so on. So all

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<v Speaker 1>of those kind of things. But in terms of our

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<v Speaker 1>omni channel transformation to serve the customer well in a

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<v Speaker 1>contact less way, we accelerated our expansion of O g

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<v Speaker 1>P for example online grocery pickup sites, and we now

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<v Speaker 1>offered that in three thousand, seven hundred to see locations,

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<v Speaker 1>So we moved faster on that. You know. In terms

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<v Speaker 1>of climate, we elevated our ambition. We were the first

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<v Speaker 1>retailer years ago, back in two thousand sixteen to set

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<v Speaker 1>a science based target for emissions reduction. Um, this last

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<v Speaker 1>year we elevated our ambition and said, okay, let's set

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<v Speaker 1>twenty forty as a date to get to zero emissions

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<v Speaker 1>in our own operations. Not met zero, but euro and

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<v Speaker 1>let's go faster. You know. UM, we did set out

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<v Speaker 1>a broader aspiration to be to become a regenerative company,

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<v Speaker 1>which for us means needing to go beyond just being

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<v Speaker 1>sustainable but actually build back. Whether you're talking about climate,

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<v Speaker 1>our natural ecosystems are equity and you know that's huge, right, Like,

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<v Speaker 1>it's not just about reducing your impact, but then kind

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<v Speaker 1>of bringing back our climate and our environment. Right, that's

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<v Speaker 1>just one example. You know, we're now at a point

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<v Speaker 1>we know from the science that we actually need to

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<v Speaker 1>draw down emissions, you know, not just avoid further emissions.

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<v Speaker 1>So it's a it's a higher bar. And similarly on equity,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, we all felt the impact in a very

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<v Speaker 1>visible way of what happened with George Floyd, and like

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<v Speaker 1>many others, caused us to reconsider what could we do,

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<v Speaker 1>What more could we do with the assets that we

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<v Speaker 1>have When it's our jobs, our purchase orders around equity,

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<v Speaker 1>and it's it's not a matter of holding steady on equity.

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<v Speaker 1>We got a lot of work to do to elevate people,

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<v Speaker 1>to address some of the wrongs of the past, and

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<v Speaker 1>newly addressed your harbors of systemic racism. Hey, I wanted

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<v Speaker 1>to ask you because you pointed out that you guys

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<v Speaker 1>are working towards zero missions across your global operations by

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<v Speaker 1>you know, without relying on all of those carbon offsets

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<v Speaker 1>that a lot of companies put into effect and use.

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<v Speaker 1>Why does it take help me out here? So that's

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<v Speaker 1>what nineteen years from now. Um, part of me wants

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<v Speaker 1>to say, and to be fair, I asked this of

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<v Speaker 1>all the companies when we talk E. S G and

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<v Speaker 1>all the big companies like yourself, why does it take

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<v Speaker 1>so long? What is so difficult? Because most scientists are

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<v Speaker 1>saying we're running out of time. If you look at

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<v Speaker 1>what's going on the Pacific Northwest, just this like couple

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<v Speaker 1>of weeks, the flooding in Germany, the flooding in China,

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<v Speaker 1>we just maybe don't have another twenty years. Yeah, So

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<v Speaker 1>let's be clear. Is the date will hit zero in

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<v Speaker 1>scope one and two. It's not the date that you

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<v Speaker 1>know we'll start working on stuff, right A. Scope one

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<v Speaker 1>and two is direct impact and indirect impact like through

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<v Speaker 1>suppliers and things. Correct. Um, that's go three. So our

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<v Speaker 1>science based target covers all of it. Here's what we're doing,

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<v Speaker 1>and here's to answer your question about So for our

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<v Speaker 1>own operations, that includes the electricity to power our stores

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<v Speaker 1>and our dcs you know, fulfillment centers and so on.

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<v Speaker 1>It's our on site fuels, it's refrigeration equipment, refrigerants, and

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<v Speaker 1>it's the tractor trailers you see on the road that

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<v Speaker 1>our labeled Walmart. Right, it's the heavy rigs that are

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<v Speaker 1>carrying products around. So all of that getting to zero

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<v Speaker 1>takes time. Some of it goes fast, and by the way,

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<v Speaker 1>we're working on it every day. So the science based

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<v Speaker 1>target has us reducing emissions every year. It's not as

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<v Speaker 1>if we wait. So you'll see if you look at

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<v Speaker 1>our reporting, we've reduced our cumulative admission since two thousands,

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<v Speaker 1>five teams substantially. You started on this, and every year

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<v Speaker 1>we reduced for what will take the longest and what

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<v Speaker 1>requires the technical breakthrough in those categories the long haul

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<v Speaker 1>transportation and Kathleen, you know it is impressive. You go

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<v Speaker 1>to your website and you look at the different you know,

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<v Speaker 1>programs and initiatives that you guys are working on specifically

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<v Speaker 1>and making progress. Uh. And when it comes to your

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<v Speaker 1>impact on the environment, I do wonder when you set

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<v Speaker 1>out goals. We had an interesting Bloomberg story last week

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<v Speaker 1>that just said governments need to get more proactive, that

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<v Speaker 1>we almost need a response to climate and e s G.

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<v Speaker 1>We need the government to kind of create crisis programming

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<v Speaker 1>just like they did for the pandemic, to get to

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<v Speaker 1>be able to kind of help the world and companies

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<v Speaker 1>get two goals faster. What's the company's take on that? Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, absolutely, science based government policy that's consistent about

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<v Speaker 1>a predictable operating environment and creates the appropriate incentive. You know,

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<v Speaker 1>again align with the science is needed. Um. We saw

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<v Speaker 1>it in COVID. I think the same can be said

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<v Speaker 1>for climate. Um. Having some type of mechanism to encourage

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<v Speaker 1>climate action is something we would really welcome. Well, and

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<v Speaker 1>then are there any specific initiatives that you think that

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<v Speaker 1>the government could be helpful on? Well, I think what

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<v Speaker 1>you raised in terms of climate action, um, And you know,

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<v Speaker 1>I'm not a policy maker. I don't know the specific

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<v Speaker 1>public policy mechanisms that would be best, but something that

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<v Speaker 1>would encourage climate action in line with what we need

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<v Speaker 1>to get to around a one and a half degree

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<v Speaker 1>warming scenario. You know, that's what we're shooting for through

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<v Speaker 1>our own actions. And you know, I'd say we're going

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<v Speaker 1>to do what we're doing in line with the science regardless.

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<v Speaker 1>But I think it would help, especially in some of

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<v Speaker 1>these areas. I mentioned transportation as one where we need

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<v Speaker 1>technological innovation to actually achieve our goal by driving forty

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<v Speaker 1>for certainly long haul transportation. Having favorable policy environment for

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<v Speaker 1>something like the carbonizing transportation would be just an example. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>it's interesting too because I've been talking m We had

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<v Speaker 1>a Bloomberg Global Sustainable Summit here recently and talking with

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<v Speaker 1>the Cisco CFO and the CFO over at a bm

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<v Speaker 1>BEV in there chief sustainability officers as well, and you know,

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<v Speaker 1>there's lots of conversations about, you know, using government policy

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<v Speaker 1>maybe to impact truckers to some extent because they create

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<v Speaker 1>the most usage and destruction, if you will, to our

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<v Speaker 1>roadways when we're talking about infrastructure, and how by doing

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<v Speaker 1>so that might help create more innovation right to a

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<v Speaker 1>more sustainable way. And so I hear what you're saying

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<v Speaker 1>when it comes to trucking, because that's a big initiative,

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<v Speaker 1>and you do wonder whether you know government policy along

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<v Speaker 1>those lines can make a difference, right right, So, and

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<v Speaker 1>then you know, coming back something you're asking me before

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<v Speaker 1>the break in terms of emissions reduction, Um, you asked

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<v Speaker 1>a really good question, which is, gosh, doesn't twenty four

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<v Speaker 1>you seemilate certainly would be late for the action. But

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<v Speaker 1>the science based targets set out a trajectory that we

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<v Speaker 1>are following that has us reducing, um, you know, day

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<v Speaker 1>by days. So for example, our most recent reporting of

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<v Speaker 1>our calendar year two dozen nineteen emissions, we're down over

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<v Speaker 1>twelve percent where we started in our two fifteen baseline,

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<v Speaker 1>and we're about to come out with our latest numbers

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<v Speaker 1>for which you'll see that, you know, for the decrease.

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<v Speaker 1>So um, please don't take me as to just wait

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<v Speaker 1>till we're moving as quickly as we and day by

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<v Speaker 1>day that's the that's the day we get to zero

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<v Speaker 1>on our scope one and two. Well, I have to say,

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<v Speaker 1>what really caught my attention, and we were talking about

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<v Speaker 1>this in our planning, is you guys are committed to protecting,

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<v Speaker 1>restoring fifty million acres of land, one million square miles

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<v Speaker 1>of ocean. Uh, you know you're doing these things aggressively.

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<v Speaker 1>You're thinking about our community at large? What really moves

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<v Speaker 1>the needle? Do you think when it comes to reducing

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<v Speaker 1>our world, our corporate world are everyone's impact on the

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<v Speaker 1>environment And just got about forty seconds left here? Okay,

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<v Speaker 1>well sorry, environmental goals we're now we're now learning that

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<v Speaker 1>natural ecosystems are as challenge a climate. So that's why

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<v Speaker 1>we set that goal and it is about rewiring food production,

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<v Speaker 1>production of other products so that the way we do

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<v Speaker 1>that is regenerative to nature. We enhance for our health,

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<v Speaker 1>we can improve water quality, we can improve our diversity.

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<v Speaker 1>That's what's needed in our secret sauce as Walmart, and

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<v Speaker 1>we invite other companies to do this too. Is to

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<v Speaker 1>connect the big goals that we have to achieve a

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<v Speaker 1>society to the practical action we can take through you know,

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<v Speaker 1>in our case, business to retail business. And it's true

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<v Speaker 1>for any company. And that's really what he has He

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<v Speaker 1>is about and recognizing that those things create value, financial

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<v Speaker 1>value for the company as well as health society address

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<v Speaker 1>these tough challenges absolutely. It's why you see, you know increasingly, right,

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<v Speaker 1>the CFO and the chief Sustainability Officer like yourself working

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<v Speaker 1>hand in hand, because they do go hand in hand. Um, Kathleen,

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<v Speaker 1>I know it's a big world and a big conversation,

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<v Speaker 1>but thank you so much, and I hope we can

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<v Speaker 1>continue it in the future because it's certainly something I

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<v Speaker 1>know our audience increasingly cares about. She is Kathleen McLoughlin.

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<v Speaker 1>She's Walmart Executive vice president, chief Sustainability Officer. On the

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<v Speaker 1>phone in Canada. You're listening to Bloomberg Business Week with

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<v Speaker 1>Carol Measure and Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim Stenovic on Bloomberg

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<v Speaker 1>Radio the World the financial markets. You know, we've been

0:12:05.280 --> 0:12:07.560
<v Speaker 1>obsessed this week a bit with the COVID delta variant,

0:12:07.600 --> 0:12:10.360
<v Speaker 1>and rightfully so. One story in the Bloomberg Today warning

0:12:10.440 --> 0:12:12.920
<v Speaker 1>us that more variants are coming and the US is

0:12:12.960 --> 0:12:15.440
<v Speaker 1>not ready to track them. This story also a Bloomberg

0:12:15.480 --> 0:12:18.120
<v Speaker 1>Big Take and in the upcoming new issue of Bloomberg

0:12:18.120 --> 0:12:21.280
<v Speaker 1>Business Week magazine on newsstands, online and on the Bloomberg

0:12:21.320 --> 0:12:23.560
<v Speaker 1>All Happening Tomorrow. Let's get to it with Bloomberg Business

0:12:23.600 --> 0:12:26.760
<v Speaker 1>Week editor Jill Webber and Bloomberg News US Healthcare reporter

0:12:27.000 --> 0:12:32.120
<v Speaker 1>Cynthia Kons, both of them in our Interactive Broker studio. Um,

0:12:32.160 --> 0:12:34.280
<v Speaker 1>it's a mustry. There's a lot of information here. Is

0:12:34.280 --> 0:12:37.960
<v Speaker 1>it a feel good story? It's well no, I don't

0:12:37.960 --> 0:12:41.199
<v Speaker 1>think so. There's a little bit of Colonel of Hope

0:12:41.240 --> 0:12:44.800
<v Speaker 1>in here. But you know, the thing down we actually

0:12:44.840 --> 0:12:48.360
<v Speaker 1>started talking about this story, um a while ago, and

0:12:48.640 --> 0:12:51.040
<v Speaker 1>the thing that just made me um my ears perk

0:12:51.080 --> 0:12:54.880
<v Speaker 1>cup was because at that time, variants, I don't they

0:12:54.880 --> 0:12:58.240
<v Speaker 1>were not part of the bigger conversation, And in Cynthia

0:12:58.360 --> 0:13:01.199
<v Speaker 1>was like, you know, there's this a threat that variants

0:13:01.200 --> 0:13:03.280
<v Speaker 1>are going to come at us. We're gonna have more

0:13:03.320 --> 0:13:06.360
<v Speaker 1>than one of them. But the bigger thing is we

0:13:06.400 --> 0:13:09.560
<v Speaker 1>don't actually know how to track them the US. Other

0:13:09.600 --> 0:13:12.040
<v Speaker 1>people actually do do a better job of this, But

0:13:12.480 --> 0:13:15.240
<v Speaker 1>that sort of the takeaway from the story is genetic

0:13:15.480 --> 0:13:18.200
<v Speaker 1>sequencing is not something that has really been prioritized in

0:13:18.200 --> 0:13:20.400
<v Speaker 1>the US. So the little kernel of hope is that

0:13:20.440 --> 0:13:22.400
<v Speaker 1>there is this little patchwork quilt that I think we're

0:13:22.400 --> 0:13:24.600
<v Speaker 1>going to talk about a little bit. But but Cynthia,

0:13:24.640 --> 0:13:28.920
<v Speaker 1>why is the US not doing genetic sequencing at scale

0:13:28.960 --> 0:13:33.640
<v Speaker 1>and and why are we effectively flying blind without it? Yeah, well,

0:13:33.679 --> 0:13:37.120
<v Speaker 1>it's a money issue. Um, there's no real center. Now.

0:13:37.160 --> 0:13:39.920
<v Speaker 1>The CDC has some money from the Biden administration, but

0:13:40.000 --> 0:13:43.200
<v Speaker 1>they're giving it out. It's not moving very quickly from

0:13:43.400 --> 0:13:45.800
<v Speaker 1>what I hear from scientists in the field. But when

0:13:45.800 --> 0:13:48.040
<v Speaker 1>it came down to it, we had these genomic labs

0:13:48.040 --> 0:13:51.720
<v Speaker 1>at academic universities and they would seek, you know, grants,

0:13:51.880 --> 0:13:54.680
<v Speaker 1>or they would apply for money and they would get rejected.

0:13:54.679 --> 0:13:56.800
<v Speaker 1>And this happened to so many scientists. I know one

0:13:56.840 --> 0:13:59.600
<v Speaker 1>turn to crowdfunding, but he didn't get much money from that,

0:13:59.720 --> 0:14:03.319
<v Speaker 1>and their one actually was very dejected and about to

0:14:03.360 --> 0:14:05.760
<v Speaker 1>run out of money, and someone who turned her down

0:14:06.080 --> 0:14:08.480
<v Speaker 1>five months prior because they didn't realize the importance of

0:14:08.600 --> 0:14:10.960
<v Speaker 1>variant tracking came back and said, wait, wait, we want

0:14:11.000 --> 0:14:12.559
<v Speaker 1>to give you money. So she reapplied. So it was

0:14:12.600 --> 0:14:15.240
<v Speaker 1>a lot of really slap dash getting money where and

0:14:15.240 --> 0:14:17.840
<v Speaker 1>how you could. And it wasn't Hey, here's a substantial

0:14:17.840 --> 0:14:20.240
<v Speaker 1>amount of money. It's going to be invested through academic

0:14:20.320 --> 0:14:23.160
<v Speaker 1>centers and different parts of the healthcare system to get

0:14:23.200 --> 0:14:24.760
<v Speaker 1>this done to well. First of all, I feel like

0:14:24.760 --> 0:14:27.280
<v Speaker 1>you went through went out a rabbit hole when it

0:14:27.360 --> 0:14:30.160
<v Speaker 1>came to labs that are trying to do this and

0:14:30.160 --> 0:14:32.640
<v Speaker 1>put it together. Why is it so important that we

0:14:32.680 --> 0:14:35.960
<v Speaker 1>do this sequencing? So this is how we find mutations,

0:14:36.080 --> 0:14:38.840
<v Speaker 1>and so virus like COVID's changing all the time and

0:14:38.880 --> 0:14:40.960
<v Speaker 1>you have to do a lot of sequencing to figure

0:14:40.960 --> 0:14:43.400
<v Speaker 1>out what's important, and that there are tons of changes

0:14:43.440 --> 0:14:46.200
<v Speaker 1>within the virus that don't matter, and to matter, it

0:14:46.240 --> 0:14:48.200
<v Speaker 1>has to be, you know, significant in terms of its

0:14:48.200 --> 0:14:50.960
<v Speaker 1>infectiousness or how it harms a person. Potentially they get

0:14:51.000 --> 0:14:54.640
<v Speaker 1>sicker things of that nature, artifacts, younger patients worse, or

0:14:54.720 --> 0:14:58.080
<v Speaker 1>something like that. There are distinct things that make mutations concerning,

0:14:58.360 --> 0:15:00.720
<v Speaker 1>but the very virus is changing all the time, so

0:15:00.800 --> 0:15:02.160
<v Speaker 1>you need to be keeping an eye on it in

0:15:02.240 --> 0:15:04.680
<v Speaker 1>such a huge way in order to get enough data

0:15:04.840 --> 0:15:07.960
<v Speaker 1>to say that this specific mutation is doing X, y

0:15:08.040 --> 0:15:10.400
<v Speaker 1>or z to patients. And once you have that data,

0:15:10.520 --> 0:15:13.640
<v Speaker 1>then you have a better handle on how to enact measures.

0:15:13.680 --> 0:15:15.840
<v Speaker 1>This is how they decide, say the mask mandate may

0:15:15.840 --> 0:15:18.720
<v Speaker 1>come back, or there may be longer quarantine time, versus

0:15:18.720 --> 0:15:21.400
<v Speaker 1>waiting to see the impact on the population. We need

0:15:21.400 --> 0:15:23.360
<v Speaker 1>to see it's too late because then the disease just

0:15:23.400 --> 0:15:26.080
<v Speaker 1>continues to exactly exactly. That's kind of how you would

0:15:26.080 --> 0:15:28.120
<v Speaker 1>think of it in terms of the best key scenario

0:15:28.200 --> 0:15:31.240
<v Speaker 1>of public health officials had the information fast enough, they

0:15:31.240 --> 0:15:34.040
<v Speaker 1>could lock it down really fast. Granted, it feels like

0:15:34.040 --> 0:15:37.120
<v Speaker 1>we're in a post lockdown world, but not necessarily just

0:15:37.160 --> 0:15:39.440
<v Speaker 1>in the US, it doesn't. It seems like that might

0:15:39.440 --> 0:15:41.280
<v Speaker 1>not be the next That might be a strategy that's

0:15:41.280 --> 0:15:43.360
<v Speaker 1>readily employed at this stage, but still it could be.

0:15:43.440 --> 0:15:45.360
<v Speaker 1>If we know we have a highly infectious or highly

0:15:45.400 --> 0:15:48.160
<v Speaker 1>deadly version things could be done to stop it from

0:15:48.160 --> 0:15:52.000
<v Speaker 1>spreading too quickly. So the some of this sequencing is

0:15:52.040 --> 0:15:55.280
<v Speaker 1>actually happening in New York in in Queens right. Talk

0:15:55.320 --> 0:15:57.440
<v Speaker 1>to us about the Pandemic Response Lab and the work

0:15:57.440 --> 0:15:59.120
<v Speaker 1>that they do. It's Pearl for those of us who

0:15:59.120 --> 0:16:03.880
<v Speaker 1>are cool Jill so Pearl, as it's called. This was

0:16:03.920 --> 0:16:06.320
<v Speaker 1>an effort by a company called opent Trons. They do

0:16:06.680 --> 0:16:09.560
<v Speaker 1>they create robots that help automate labs, and they basically

0:16:09.600 --> 0:16:11.880
<v Speaker 1>applied to be a COVID testing center and they became

0:16:11.920 --> 0:16:14.360
<v Speaker 1>this pandemic Response Lab and they were a COVID testing

0:16:14.400 --> 0:16:16.440
<v Speaker 1>center for New York City and they augmented the city

0:16:16.440 --> 0:16:18.960
<v Speaker 1>health efforts and that started in the fall. And what

0:16:19.040 --> 0:16:21.520
<v Speaker 1>happened was early on they thought, okay, but let's figure

0:16:21.520 --> 0:16:24.120
<v Speaker 1>out what's going on mutations. So they tried to, you know,

0:16:24.160 --> 0:16:26.240
<v Speaker 1>convene with health officials and figure out if they could

0:16:26.280 --> 0:16:28.640
<v Speaker 1>get some money to start sequencing. And there was just

0:16:28.720 --> 0:16:31.480
<v Speaker 1>no money for it. Again coming back to the initial

0:16:31.920 --> 0:16:34.720
<v Speaker 1>issue of money. So because there's no money for it,

0:16:34.760 --> 0:16:36.600
<v Speaker 1>but they were actually in a good position. They had

0:16:36.600 --> 0:16:38.840
<v Speaker 1>a lot of the technology. They decided to set this

0:16:38.960 --> 0:16:41.360
<v Speaker 1>up and do the sequencing on their own dime to

0:16:41.840 --> 0:16:44.320
<v Speaker 1>start out, and so they're doing the sequencing, and they're

0:16:44.360 --> 0:16:47.160
<v Speaker 1>giving New York all their data, and now they're participating

0:16:47.200 --> 0:16:50.080
<v Speaker 1>in trying to get funding from other sources. But they

0:16:50.120 --> 0:16:52.440
<v Speaker 1>did it basically on their own dime, which is pretty

0:16:52.480 --> 0:16:55.800
<v Speaker 1>remarkable when you consider that's not how businesses typically operate.

0:16:55.960 --> 0:16:58.200
<v Speaker 1>Right Who else is doing a good job of this

0:16:58.320 --> 0:17:01.640
<v Speaker 1>in the US? There's states that are doing better than others,

0:17:01.720 --> 0:17:04.480
<v Speaker 1>but they're still not There's still a lot of limitations

0:17:04.480 --> 0:17:07.479
<v Speaker 1>within state based systems. But Michigan has a really strong system,

0:17:07.520 --> 0:17:09.840
<v Speaker 1>but it still takes up to two weeks to identify

0:17:09.880 --> 0:17:12.760
<v Speaker 1>and communicate a variant through the system that Michigan set up.

0:17:12.800 --> 0:17:14.960
<v Speaker 1>But they are one of the bigger systems. There are

0:17:15.000 --> 0:17:17.159
<v Speaker 1>some big labs around the country doing a lot of it,

0:17:17.240 --> 0:17:21.960
<v Speaker 1>like Scripts in California. UM, there's different UM, the Chance

0:17:22.000 --> 0:17:24.120
<v Speaker 1>Zuckerberg Group was doing it for a while. Now they're

0:17:24.160 --> 0:17:26.560
<v Speaker 1>trying to move into helping educate labs around the country

0:17:26.600 --> 0:17:28.919
<v Speaker 1>and get up and going. But there are definitely a

0:17:28.920 --> 0:17:31.359
<v Speaker 1>lot of places that are doing it. The problem is

0:17:31.400 --> 0:17:34.119
<v Speaker 1>there there's a lack of cohesion to create something that

0:17:34.160 --> 0:17:37.159
<v Speaker 1>we would consider really a system through which these books

0:17:37.160 --> 0:17:39.320
<v Speaker 1>are all participating in the same way. Well, if anything

0:17:39.320 --> 0:17:41.359
<v Speaker 1>we've learned through the pandemic is that we need like

0:17:41.880 --> 0:17:44.200
<v Speaker 1>a coordinated response, right, and somebody in charge of But

0:17:44.240 --> 0:17:46.359
<v Speaker 1>where's the CDC or the U. S. Government on this

0:17:46.440 --> 0:17:47.960
<v Speaker 1>saying well, wait a minute, we do not want this

0:17:48.000 --> 0:17:51.200
<v Speaker 1>to happen again, So let's create a coordinated effort, maybe

0:17:51.280 --> 0:17:54.639
<v Speaker 1>led by the CDC, and coordinate all these labs. Yeah. See,

0:17:54.640 --> 0:17:56.600
<v Speaker 1>this is a piece of the CDC. And they did

0:17:56.600 --> 0:17:58.560
<v Speaker 1>get this money and they are going to spend it.

0:17:58.600 --> 0:18:00.679
<v Speaker 1>But they told me, for example, are supposed to set

0:18:00.720 --> 0:18:03.800
<v Speaker 1>up centers Centers of Excellence as part of the Biden proposal,

0:18:03.840 --> 0:18:07.640
<v Speaker 1>which would help bridge the gap between some academic research

0:18:07.680 --> 0:18:09.679
<v Speaker 1>where this is going on, and commercial labs and so

0:18:09.760 --> 0:18:12.000
<v Speaker 1>on and so forth state labs. But they're not going

0:18:12.040 --> 0:18:14.640
<v Speaker 1>to fund that until next year, the next fiscal years.

0:18:14.680 --> 0:18:18.040
<v Speaker 1>So that's a problem. It's there's there's money, but it's

0:18:18.320 --> 0:18:20.639
<v Speaker 1>taking a long time to flow through the system. And

0:18:20.720 --> 0:18:23.679
<v Speaker 1>so basically, you know, someone proposed something to be At

0:18:23.680 --> 0:18:25.120
<v Speaker 1>one point in my reporting, I thought it was really

0:18:25.200 --> 0:18:28.440
<v Speaker 1>quite an interesting idea, like should pandemic preparedness sit inside

0:18:28.480 --> 0:18:31.000
<v Speaker 1>of these big government groups or should it be its

0:18:31.040 --> 0:18:34.040
<v Speaker 1>own segment of the government. Should there be an agency

0:18:34.080 --> 0:18:36.439
<v Speaker 1>around pandemic preparedness because if you look at it, and

0:18:36.480 --> 0:18:40.040
<v Speaker 1>I've covered this through vaccines as well, it's pieces of

0:18:40.080 --> 0:18:43.320
<v Speaker 1>pandemic preparedness are kind of scattered throughout different parts of

0:18:43.320 --> 0:18:46.840
<v Speaker 1>the government. And we do have a lot of pieces

0:18:46.840 --> 0:18:49.480
<v Speaker 1>of pandemic comparedness, but we don't have a lot of cohesion,

0:18:49.840 --> 0:18:53.880
<v Speaker 1>not yet, even after all we've been through. Okay, so

0:18:54.080 --> 0:18:55.560
<v Speaker 1>there's a little Like I said, there was a little

0:18:55.560 --> 0:18:58.119
<v Speaker 1>bit of hope, it's not all bad, but you know,

0:18:59.640 --> 0:19:04.080
<v Speaker 1>stuff we could fix now, um abroad, does anybody else

0:19:04.119 --> 0:19:07.480
<v Speaker 1>do this better? You know, are effectively I feel like

0:19:07.480 --> 0:19:09.560
<v Speaker 1>we're flying blind. We don't know what variants are out there,

0:19:09.560 --> 0:19:12.760
<v Speaker 1>how bad they are, what the what their capacity spread is.

0:19:12.760 --> 0:19:14.720
<v Speaker 1>But has anybody else figured out how to do this

0:19:14.840 --> 0:19:17.679
<v Speaker 1>yet or just just about the UK has done a

0:19:17.720 --> 0:19:19.840
<v Speaker 1>remarkable job that came out of the gate really early

0:19:19.960 --> 0:19:23.520
<v Speaker 1>March April. They were doing a remarkable amount of sequencing.

0:19:23.560 --> 0:19:26.200
<v Speaker 1>When we say there's a UK variant, that's just because

0:19:26.240 --> 0:19:28.640
<v Speaker 1>they've done the work to discover something that easily could

0:19:28.640 --> 0:19:31.200
<v Speaker 1>have come from somewhere else. Um, when you think about it,

0:19:31.240 --> 0:19:33.600
<v Speaker 1>possibly that's the same story with South Africa. So there

0:19:33.600 --> 0:19:36.280
<v Speaker 1>are some countries and places doing it. We definitely need

0:19:36.320 --> 0:19:38.560
<v Speaker 1>more of this around the world. We need some flexibility.

0:19:38.720 --> 0:19:41.760
<v Speaker 1>But technology is also moving quickly, and as we're developing

0:19:41.800 --> 0:19:45.600
<v Speaker 1>smaller and smaller and more handheld or easily use sequencing devices,

0:19:45.680 --> 0:19:48.600
<v Speaker 1>perhaps we can get this technology out into the field faster.

0:19:48.960 --> 0:19:51.320
<v Speaker 1>But it's going to take you know, money and sinkers

0:19:51.320 --> 0:19:55.280
<v Speaker 1>crossed and money. Money is what makes it all happen,

0:19:55.560 --> 0:19:57.960
<v Speaker 1>all right, Jil Webber Cynthia Coon's check out that story

0:19:58.200 --> 0:20:00.240
<v Speaker 1>in a new issue of the magazine. This is Blue Bark.

0:20:01.440 --> 0:20:05.480
<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week with Carol Messer and Bloomberg

0:20:05.600 --> 0:20:11.600
<v Speaker 1>Quick Takes. Tim Stinovic on Bloomberg Radio. Stop yourself in, everyone, because,

0:20:11.680 --> 0:20:15.280
<v Speaker 1>as he writes, a sloppy summer for stocks is going

0:20:15.320 --> 0:20:17.920
<v Speaker 1>to test investor's stomachs. Here with more on his thinking,

0:20:17.960 --> 0:20:20.560
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Market Senior Editor Mike Reagan, he joins us on

0:20:20.600 --> 0:20:23.600
<v Speaker 1>the phone in New Jersey. You know, this is one

0:20:23.600 --> 0:20:25.959
<v Speaker 1>of those things, you know, Mike, where it's like Monday

0:20:26.040 --> 0:20:28.320
<v Speaker 1>was one day in the markets, and then Tuesday was

0:20:28.359 --> 0:20:30.639
<v Speaker 1>a completely different day in the markets, and it's kind

0:20:30.640 --> 0:20:33.760
<v Speaker 1>of a continuation of what we're seeing today. I don't

0:20:33.800 --> 0:20:36.560
<v Speaker 1>know when someone gives you a mission, especially like on Monday,

0:20:36.640 --> 0:20:39.200
<v Speaker 1>what are they saying to Mike, Mike, are we coming undone?

0:20:39.280 --> 0:20:44.160
<v Speaker 1>What's going on? Yeah, that's that's kind of it. I mean, obviously,

0:20:44.560 --> 0:20:46.560
<v Speaker 1>you know, we wanted to make some sense of that

0:20:46.960 --> 0:20:49.760
<v Speaker 1>told me on Monday. Only not just Monday, but it

0:20:49.960 --> 0:20:52.119
<v Speaker 1>started I don't know a little bit more more than

0:20:52.160 --> 0:20:55.600
<v Speaker 1>a week ago, last Monday. And but even if you

0:20:55.680 --> 0:20:58.119
<v Speaker 1>go further back and look under the hood of the

0:20:58.160 --> 0:21:02.199
<v Speaker 1>market as you full full, No, I'm sure, it's just

0:21:02.320 --> 0:21:05.320
<v Speaker 1>been odd to see the shift and leadership. You know,

0:21:05.400 --> 0:21:07.879
<v Speaker 1>I've seen there was a lot of optimism about the

0:21:08.000 --> 0:21:11.320
<v Speaker 1>vaccine early in the year, and kind of the sense

0:21:11.400 --> 0:21:14.280
<v Speaker 1>that you know, the vaccine would sort of be a

0:21:14.320 --> 0:21:16.880
<v Speaker 1>switch that would end the buyers. We'd all get back

0:21:16.920 --> 0:21:21.840
<v Speaker 1>to life is normal. These reopening stocks, you your cruise lines,

0:21:21.840 --> 0:21:25.800
<v Speaker 1>your hotels, your airlines, anything else that you know involves

0:21:25.840 --> 0:21:28.159
<v Speaker 1>just getting out of the house would really be in

0:21:28.160 --> 0:21:30.840
<v Speaker 1>the leadership um. And you know, the bond market given

0:21:30.840 --> 0:21:33.720
<v Speaker 1>a sick similar signal that you know, good times we're

0:21:33.720 --> 0:21:37.679
<v Speaker 1>on the horizon. Yields for rising, so for months are

0:21:37.840 --> 0:21:40.280
<v Speaker 1>all that is un land. It's it's just made a

0:21:40.320 --> 0:21:43.520
<v Speaker 1>big U turn UM. So it's kind of a fascinating

0:21:43.840 --> 0:21:48.800
<v Speaker 1>sort of thing because you know, the vaccines are progressing UM.

0:21:48.840 --> 0:21:53.320
<v Speaker 1>But I think the big thing is that the reopening UM,

0:21:53.440 --> 0:21:55.600
<v Speaker 1>rather than being full steam ahead, sort of flick a

0:21:55.640 --> 0:21:58.440
<v Speaker 1>switch and everyone's back to normal. UM. It's kind of

0:21:58.440 --> 0:22:02.159
<v Speaker 1>about two steps forward and step back thing, especially with

0:22:02.200 --> 0:22:05.560
<v Speaker 1>this delta variant and and all the other variants UH

0:22:05.600 --> 0:22:08.720
<v Speaker 1>that are cropping up and may crop up in the future,

0:22:09.440 --> 0:22:11.560
<v Speaker 1>and that it's really kind of taking the life out

0:22:11.600 --> 0:22:14.199
<v Speaker 1>of that reopening trade. So so the stories trying to

0:22:14.320 --> 0:22:17.080
<v Speaker 1>trying to make sense of that. At the same time,

0:22:17.160 --> 0:22:20.119
<v Speaker 1>you know, people are still buying stocks regardless. Right. The

0:22:20.119 --> 0:22:22.240
<v Speaker 1>experience be tied over the last year and a half

0:22:22.320 --> 0:22:25.760
<v Speaker 1>is the market keeps going up, but it's that sort

0:22:25.760 --> 0:22:29.080
<v Speaker 1>of back and forth and volatili among the leadership that

0:22:29.119 --> 0:22:32.679
<v Speaker 1>I think for a professional investors it's very frustrating and

0:22:32.880 --> 0:22:36.600
<v Speaker 1>very hard to navigate true UM. And this week is

0:22:36.600 --> 0:22:38.560
<v Speaker 1>a pretty prime example of that. I mean again we're

0:22:38.560 --> 0:22:41.679
<v Speaker 1>seeing now we're seeing those sort of cyclical energy and

0:22:41.720 --> 0:22:46.640
<v Speaker 1>financial stocks taking the lead once again, with bond yields

0:22:46.640 --> 0:22:48.719
<v Speaker 1>coming back up a little bit, oil coming back up,

0:22:49.160 --> 0:22:51.919
<v Speaker 1>but you know it's a it's another case where like

0:22:51.960 --> 0:22:54.080
<v Speaker 1>you said, you wake up tomorrow and and and and

0:22:54.119 --> 0:22:56.520
<v Speaker 1>see if it's take a step back day rather than

0:22:56.560 --> 0:22:59.280
<v Speaker 1>take a step forward day in that reopening trade. Well,

0:22:59.320 --> 0:23:02.560
<v Speaker 1>the bond market also fascinating right to juxtapose against the

0:23:02.600 --> 0:23:04.959
<v Speaker 1>equity market, and they obviously go hand in hand. You've

0:23:05.000 --> 0:23:07.000
<v Speaker 1>got to look at both of them in this environment.

0:23:07.040 --> 0:23:10.360
<v Speaker 1>But it's interesting, Mike, in terms of how equity investors

0:23:10.440 --> 0:23:12.760
<v Speaker 1>read the bond market. I mean, we've got the tenure

0:23:12.840 --> 0:23:15.720
<v Speaker 1>went what close to her hit one thirty maybe earlier

0:23:15.760 --> 0:23:20.760
<v Speaker 1>today we're now at um. But what's interesting is higher

0:23:20.840 --> 0:23:26.160
<v Speaker 1>rates usually indicate some inflation, the economy getting back to normal,

0:23:27.080 --> 0:23:30.720
<v Speaker 1>but that can free so there's some you know, left brain,

0:23:30.840 --> 0:23:33.040
<v Speaker 1>right brain. Some equity investors say, that's good, we're getting

0:23:33.040 --> 0:23:35.040
<v Speaker 1>back to normal and growth. That's what we want to see.

0:23:35.280 --> 0:23:37.080
<v Speaker 1>But then there's the other side. Oh wait, now the

0:23:37.119 --> 0:23:39.639
<v Speaker 1>Fed's going to back off. But we should want to

0:23:39.680 --> 0:23:42.119
<v Speaker 1>see the fedback off, right, because the only reason Fed's

0:23:42.160 --> 0:23:46.320
<v Speaker 1>been so low and doing all these you know, quantitative measures,

0:23:46.480 --> 0:23:48.840
<v Speaker 1>is because we needed it because of the pandemic. So

0:23:49.080 --> 0:23:51.280
<v Speaker 1>how do you look at the two sides of this

0:23:51.400 --> 0:23:54.879
<v Speaker 1>financial market. I think it's a matter of Carol of

0:23:55.040 --> 0:23:58.320
<v Speaker 1>and you're absolutely right. You know, Uh, interest rates spodules

0:23:58.320 --> 0:24:02.640
<v Speaker 1>are rising very fastly. That's that's scary. That's the states

0:24:02.680 --> 0:24:04.320
<v Speaker 1>are gonna rise and then we're gonna go the other

0:24:04.320 --> 0:24:06.440
<v Speaker 1>way when everyone's buying. But it's like, oh, well, that's bad.

0:24:06.480 --> 0:24:08.639
<v Speaker 1>Someone in the bond market knows that, you know, the

0:24:08.880 --> 0:24:11.320
<v Speaker 1>growth is gonna slow and and you know this is

0:24:11.359 --> 0:24:13.879
<v Speaker 1>all you know coming to an end. But to me,

0:24:14.000 --> 0:24:15.439
<v Speaker 1>I think and I think, oh, there's a lot of

0:24:15.440 --> 0:24:17.800
<v Speaker 1>research that sort of backs this up. Is what really

0:24:18.680 --> 0:24:21.080
<v Speaker 1>um scares people in the equity market is when the

0:24:21.119 --> 0:24:25.000
<v Speaker 1>bond market behaves in an unexpected way, uh, and in

0:24:25.280 --> 0:24:28.320
<v Speaker 1>a fast way. If if rates are rising and everyone's

0:24:28.359 --> 0:24:32.080
<v Speaker 1>comfortable that, okay, we've got a rising rate environment. Um,

0:24:32.160 --> 0:24:34.720
<v Speaker 1>they're not going up too fast. But we know what

0:24:34.800 --> 0:24:37.160
<v Speaker 1>kind of stocks will benefit in that. So so we'll

0:24:37.160 --> 0:24:41.320
<v Speaker 1>load on into banks and other sort of reflationary trades

0:24:41.560 --> 0:24:44.480
<v Speaker 1>and that will be our leader. Kip and the On

0:24:44.520 --> 0:24:46.520
<v Speaker 1>the other side, you know, the traders in the bond

0:24:46.640 --> 0:24:49.879
<v Speaker 1>market are taken similar in they're saying, well, let's short

0:24:49.440 --> 0:24:52.960
<v Speaker 1>the treasury. Let's let's all load into shorts on the

0:24:52.960 --> 0:24:56.680
<v Speaker 1>treasury market and bet that they'll go down. So then

0:24:57.160 --> 0:25:00.399
<v Speaker 1>you know when that positioning turns out to be off size.

0:25:00.680 --> 0:25:03.480
<v Speaker 1>When okay, all of a sudden, everybody is betting on

0:25:03.480 --> 0:25:06.679
<v Speaker 1>on a drop in bond prices and a rising yields,

0:25:07.240 --> 0:25:09.040
<v Speaker 1>and all of a sudden they start going the other way. Well,

0:25:09.080 --> 0:25:12.000
<v Speaker 1>that really just catches everyone on the wrong side of

0:25:12.000 --> 0:25:14.560
<v Speaker 1>the playing field, right, and so they have to cover

0:25:14.680 --> 0:25:17.360
<v Speaker 1>those shorts, and I think that sort of then bounces

0:25:17.400 --> 0:25:19.280
<v Speaker 1>back into the equity market to some degree. If you

0:25:19.320 --> 0:25:21.439
<v Speaker 1>if you have to buy bonds to cover your shorts,

0:25:21.440 --> 0:25:24.080
<v Speaker 1>well maybe if you're a multi asset hedge fund, you're

0:25:24.080 --> 0:25:27.520
<v Speaker 1>selling stocks to do that. Pay just quickly seconds here,

0:25:27.560 --> 0:25:31.000
<v Speaker 1>I mean, there's also so much cash slashing around still, right,

0:25:31.040 --> 0:25:33.040
<v Speaker 1>that's got to be given some support to the equity

0:25:33.080 --> 0:25:36.440
<v Speaker 1>markets just quickly. Yeah. To me, that's a big sort

0:25:36.440 --> 0:25:39.480
<v Speaker 1>of undertold story. I looked at the amount of money

0:25:39.480 --> 0:25:43.320
<v Speaker 1>on deposit at commercial banks, the US seventeen trillion dollars,

0:25:43.680 --> 0:25:46.480
<v Speaker 1>a third above where it was at this time in

0:25:46.520 --> 0:25:49.280
<v Speaker 1>two thousand and nineteen before the pandemic. So to me,

0:25:49.359 --> 0:25:51.760
<v Speaker 1>that's you know, that's a lot of money burning a

0:25:51.800 --> 0:25:54.080
<v Speaker 1>hole in people's pockets. That's going to get spent somewhere.

0:25:54.400 --> 0:25:57.399
<v Speaker 1>All right, good, good, good, good reporting as always, and

0:25:57.400 --> 0:26:00.280
<v Speaker 1>this is in uh Business Week magazine. Mike, thank you

0:26:00.320 --> 0:26:02.760
<v Speaker 1>so much for that. Really appreciate it. Bloomberg Markets Editor

0:26:03.119 --> 0:26:07.359
<v Speaker 1>Mike Reagan on the phone in New Jersey. I'm groom

0:26:07.720 --> 0:26:13.680
<v Speaker 1>Macro journal now, but you let me drive. No, no,

0:26:13.840 --> 0:26:19.919
<v Speaker 1>no home, honey please, I'll do the riding drivel. I

0:26:20.000 --> 0:26:35.280
<v Speaker 1>want to drive, Just drive baby, good question trying. This

0:26:35.760 --> 0:26:39.000
<v Speaker 1>is the drive to the Globe Commune. Thanks. We'll drying

0:26:39.119 --> 0:26:43.399
<v Speaker 1>us down on Bloomberg Radio. Just about ten and a

0:26:43.440 --> 0:26:46.040
<v Speaker 1>half minutes left in today's trading session. It's been an

0:26:46.040 --> 0:26:48.760
<v Speaker 1>interesting week already. But again here we are two days

0:26:48.760 --> 0:26:51.879
<v Speaker 1>in a row. We see stocks trading higher after a

0:26:51.960 --> 0:26:54.439
<v Speaker 1>Monday sell off. Let's get to it. Drive to the

0:26:54.440 --> 0:26:56.919
<v Speaker 1>close with David Dietz back with us, managing Principal and

0:26:56.960 --> 0:27:00.360
<v Speaker 1>senior portfolio strategist at Peapack Private Wealth. Manage it once

0:27:00.400 --> 0:27:02.840
<v Speaker 1>again on the phone from SEMIT, New Jersey. Nine point

0:27:02.880 --> 0:27:08.040
<v Speaker 1>four billion dollars in assets under management. David, So, it's

0:27:08.080 --> 0:27:10.960
<v Speaker 1>been an interesting week. Uh, there's been some concerns about

0:27:11.040 --> 0:27:14.600
<v Speaker 1>the delta variant. There's concerns about economic growth here in

0:27:14.640 --> 0:27:17.600
<v Speaker 1>the US peaking. How do you see it, especially as

0:27:17.640 --> 0:27:19.800
<v Speaker 1>we are just kind of smack in the middle of

0:27:19.880 --> 0:27:23.439
<v Speaker 1>corporate earnings. Yeah. Absolutely. I mean, you know, if you

0:27:23.520 --> 0:27:26.159
<v Speaker 1>had taken Monday and Tuesday off, you come in today

0:27:26.160 --> 0:27:29.120
<v Speaker 1>after Friday, you would have thought nothing had happened when

0:27:29.119 --> 0:27:31.720
<v Speaker 1>we had a uh, you know, a terrible day in

0:27:31.760 --> 0:27:34.000
<v Speaker 1>the markets on Monday. But now we've got two back

0:27:34.040 --> 0:27:39.240
<v Speaker 1>to back days with up volume and risk assets in favor.

0:27:39.280 --> 0:27:42.600
<v Speaker 1>Again see for me, Carol. I mean, basically, if that

0:27:42.800 --> 0:27:46.600
<v Speaker 1>was the extreme focus on the spike in the COVID

0:27:46.640 --> 0:27:49.719
<v Speaker 1>cases due to the delta variant got people very worried.

0:27:49.760 --> 0:27:53.320
<v Speaker 1>We heard about more mass mandates, potential lockdowns and so forth.

0:27:53.520 --> 0:27:57.920
<v Speaker 1>Plus the plummeting ten year treasury yield really spooked investors.

0:27:58.000 --> 0:28:01.680
<v Speaker 1>But what we've seen here is with earnings overall expected

0:28:01.760 --> 0:28:05.480
<v Speaker 1>to be up seventy percent year over year, the best

0:28:05.560 --> 0:28:07.600
<v Speaker 1>we've seen in terms of you over year for well

0:28:07.600 --> 0:28:11.359
<v Speaker 1>over a decade. Getting some good reports. People are saying, hey,

0:28:11.560 --> 0:28:17.280
<v Speaker 1>look at these earnings. These companies are powering through. Um. Uh,

0:28:17.440 --> 0:28:20.400
<v Speaker 1>you know, the concerns we have over the COVID virus,

0:28:20.600 --> 0:28:23.240
<v Speaker 1>and uh, the bond market woke up to that. We

0:28:23.280 --> 0:28:26.200
<v Speaker 1>went from close to one point one to well into

0:28:26.200 --> 0:28:31.199
<v Speaker 1>our one point to eight area. Um, suggesting that you know,

0:28:31.560 --> 0:28:34.000
<v Speaker 1>risk austs that there are back in favor earnings backward

0:28:34.040 --> 0:28:36.919
<v Speaker 1>looking outlooks are not h In terms of what you're

0:28:36.960 --> 0:28:40.160
<v Speaker 1>hearing on outlook commentary, does it say to you that

0:28:40.200 --> 0:28:43.200
<v Speaker 1>the growth momentum continues? We expected second quarter numbers to

0:28:43.240 --> 0:28:46.120
<v Speaker 1>be pretty impressive, correct, I mean, if if they didn't

0:28:46.160 --> 0:28:49.440
<v Speaker 1>come in impressive, we'd really have some problems here. Um.

0:28:49.600 --> 0:28:52.360
<v Speaker 1>But so in terms of what you're hearing from the

0:28:52.400 --> 0:28:55.400
<v Speaker 1>corporate community about whether or not the growth continues the

0:28:55.520 --> 0:28:59.640
<v Speaker 1>second half, does it give you enough confidence to say

0:28:59.680 --> 0:29:01.680
<v Speaker 1>that the an ups that we continue to see inequities

0:29:01.680 --> 0:29:04.760
<v Speaker 1>make sense? So, you know, that really is a great question,

0:29:04.840 --> 0:29:08.040
<v Speaker 1>because yeah, the problem with now turning says they are

0:29:08.040 --> 0:29:10.720
<v Speaker 1>in the rear view mirror and investors really care about what,

0:29:11.040 --> 0:29:15.320
<v Speaker 1>uh it's gonna happen going forward here. But you know, unbalanced. Um.

0:29:16.200 --> 0:29:18.200
<v Speaker 1>One of the things we're looking at is the amount

0:29:18.240 --> 0:29:22.320
<v Speaker 1>of cast is on corporate balance sheets. Now it's huge

0:29:22.360 --> 0:29:25.160
<v Speaker 1>because since about two thousand and eighteen, and we also

0:29:25.280 --> 0:29:27.760
<v Speaker 1>like the fact that a lot of buy backs are

0:29:27.760 --> 0:29:31.360
<v Speaker 1>being announced. So for example, you know, Prudential just sold

0:29:31.360 --> 0:29:34.040
<v Speaker 1>the division, they're gonna buy back about eleven percent of

0:29:34.080 --> 0:29:36.520
<v Speaker 1>it's company in the next thirty months. Stuff like that

0:29:36.560 --> 0:29:39.360
<v Speaker 1>gives premendous support. And what we'd like about that is

0:29:39.400 --> 0:29:43.040
<v Speaker 1>that shows confidence that they're not going to need that

0:29:43.200 --> 0:29:46.280
<v Speaker 1>cash for a crisis going forward. It shows confidence in

0:29:46.280 --> 0:29:48.640
<v Speaker 1>the current valuations of the stocks, and I think it

0:29:48.680 --> 0:29:51.520
<v Speaker 1>gives investors confidence that there's some served floor under the market,

0:29:51.680 --> 0:29:54.000
<v Speaker 1>right But it's not like they're putting it to building

0:29:54.000 --> 0:29:57.800
<v Speaker 1>new facilities, hiring more workers, giving workers pay raises that

0:29:57.840 --> 0:30:01.800
<v Speaker 1>trickle down into the economy. David On, you know that, well,

0:30:01.840 --> 0:30:04.920
<v Speaker 1>you know that's true, um But I've got my investor

0:30:05.000 --> 0:30:08.320
<v Speaker 1>had On here and and sometimes you like it when companies,

0:30:08.760 --> 0:30:11.240
<v Speaker 1>um are are not pie in the sky in terms

0:30:11.240 --> 0:30:12.680
<v Speaker 1>of what they can do with the money in terms

0:30:12.720 --> 0:30:16.120
<v Speaker 1>expand their business. They're taking a very measured approach, which

0:30:16.240 --> 0:30:19.200
<v Speaker 1>actually may be the best from an investing point of view.

0:30:19.320 --> 0:30:21.360
<v Speaker 1>You know, it's great to expand if you know that

0:30:21.400 --> 0:30:22.800
<v Speaker 1>demand is going to be there. But if you have

0:30:22.880 --> 0:30:26.640
<v Speaker 1>some expansion, some return of capital. Historically that's been best

0:30:26.640 --> 0:30:28.920
<v Speaker 1>for stock prices. What does it mean for easing some

0:30:29.000 --> 0:30:31.360
<v Speaker 1>of the supply chain problems if companies are not willing

0:30:31.400 --> 0:30:33.520
<v Speaker 1>to maybe step up and boost what's needed to meet

0:30:33.520 --> 0:30:36.960
<v Speaker 1>those supply demands, or if they don't get those workers back,

0:30:37.760 --> 0:30:40.840
<v Speaker 1>how much of a kind of draw down or pullback

0:30:40.840 --> 0:30:43.600
<v Speaker 1>will that create on the system That might then pull

0:30:43.640 --> 0:30:47.480
<v Speaker 1>in some of the economic growth expectations and realities. Well,

0:30:47.840 --> 0:30:50.520
<v Speaker 1>that you just touched on a key worry going forward,

0:30:50.880 --> 0:30:52.760
<v Speaker 1>But I think you have to analyze what are all

0:30:52.800 --> 0:30:55.560
<v Speaker 1>these bottlenecks due to. And it's a myriad of factors,

0:30:55.840 --> 0:30:58.440
<v Speaker 1>but I would submit that one of them is the

0:30:58.480 --> 0:31:03.160
<v Speaker 1>fact that a lot of employees, potential employees are hesitant

0:31:03.200 --> 0:31:05.800
<v Speaker 1>to go back to work. All sorts of small businesses

0:31:05.800 --> 0:31:09.480
<v Speaker 1>in our community are having trouble finding employees. We know

0:31:09.640 --> 0:31:12.600
<v Speaker 1>with the high unemployment rates that they're out there. But

0:31:12.680 --> 0:31:14.240
<v Speaker 1>what's going to make them go back. Well, I think

0:31:14.280 --> 0:31:18.200
<v Speaker 1>the opening up of schools. I think perhaps when a

0:31:18.320 --> 0:31:21.640
<v Speaker 1>supplemental payments from the government start to wane. I think

0:31:21.680 --> 0:31:24.719
<v Speaker 1>also when we can finally get COVID better under control.

0:31:24.840 --> 0:31:28.440
<v Speaker 1>Knock on wood, please everyone get their vaccines done. I

0:31:28.480 --> 0:31:30.520
<v Speaker 1>think that's going to help the bottle change right there.

0:31:30.560 --> 0:31:33.480
<v Speaker 1>And of course some of it is is global um

0:31:33.640 --> 0:31:36.560
<v Speaker 1>supply chains and easing of COVID. There was gonna help

0:31:36.760 --> 0:31:38.920
<v Speaker 1>just when I mention a headline crossing the Bloomberg term

0:31:38.920 --> 0:31:41.080
<v Speaker 1>and all we were expecting. The Senate Republicans blocking the

0:31:41.080 --> 0:31:43.640
<v Speaker 1>start of a debate on infrastructure. The Republicans want to

0:31:43.680 --> 0:31:47.640
<v Speaker 1>finalize the bill before starting that debate, check Schumer. Of course,

0:31:47.920 --> 0:31:50.240
<v Speaker 1>Senate Majority leader can call another vote to debate the

0:31:50.240 --> 0:31:52.640
<v Speaker 1>bill next week. They were currently voting on the motion

0:31:52.640 --> 0:31:56.040
<v Speaker 1>to vote closure culture, on the motion to proceed with

0:31:56.120 --> 0:32:00.520
<v Speaker 1>that massive infrastructure wide ranging infrastructure building and HR three

0:32:00.600 --> 0:32:04.160
<v Speaker 1>six eight four. We're talking about aid for highways, safety

0:32:04.160 --> 0:32:07.680
<v Speaker 1>programs on highways, transit programs and others. But again Senate

0:32:07.720 --> 0:32:11.440
<v Speaker 1>Republicans blocking that start of a debate on infrastructure. Hey David,

0:32:11.440 --> 0:32:13.200
<v Speaker 1>you know that has been I think one of the

0:32:13.200 --> 0:32:15.320
<v Speaker 1>other macro trends that we've been watching. If we're looking

0:32:15.360 --> 0:32:18.040
<v Speaker 1>for things to provide some stimulus to the economy and

0:32:18.080 --> 0:32:21.920
<v Speaker 1>even the financial market trade is infrastructure, which I'm kind

0:32:21.920 --> 0:32:24.720
<v Speaker 1>of tired of talking about because how many administrations do

0:32:24.720 --> 0:32:26.120
<v Speaker 1>we have to talk about before whether or not we

0:32:26.160 --> 0:32:28.600
<v Speaker 1>get something done. Ultimately, do we get something done? In

0:32:28.600 --> 0:32:31.720
<v Speaker 1>your view? Yeah, I do. Um, I think there's a

0:32:31.720 --> 0:32:36.560
<v Speaker 1>general consensus that you're basic traditional infrastructure, road bridges and

0:32:36.760 --> 0:32:39.880
<v Speaker 1>things for the bring the internet to everyone will get done.

0:32:40.000 --> 0:32:41.720
<v Speaker 1>I think what the market kind of life here is

0:32:41.840 --> 0:32:43.760
<v Speaker 1>to talk about how to pay for it? Seems to

0:32:43.760 --> 0:32:47.719
<v Speaker 1>be keep being put off. Um, people like my daughters say,

0:32:47.800 --> 0:32:50.560
<v Speaker 1>you know why worry about a bundget deficits. It doesn't

0:32:50.560 --> 0:32:53.040
<v Speaker 1>seem to matter here. And so I think tax hikes

0:32:53.160 --> 0:32:55.680
<v Speaker 1>are not going to be anytime soon. And so basically,

0:32:56.040 --> 0:32:58.200
<v Speaker 1>again does the positive tie win to the market, more

0:32:58.240 --> 0:33:02.560
<v Speaker 1>government spending in the risk higher taxes spoiling the party

0:33:02.640 --> 0:33:04.640
<v Speaker 1>seems to be receiving a little bit Carol, all right,

0:33:04.720 --> 0:33:07.200
<v Speaker 1>So where would you commit new money right now? Hey,

0:33:07.240 --> 0:33:11.720
<v Speaker 1>you know we still like tilting two stocks. I mean,

0:33:11.880 --> 0:33:14.040
<v Speaker 1>here's the number one thing to know that David and

0:33:14.120 --> 0:33:17.080
<v Speaker 1>yield the sp F one point three five. It's rare

0:33:17.160 --> 0:33:19.600
<v Speaker 1>that it's above the tenier treasure, which means over the

0:33:19.640 --> 0:33:21.360
<v Speaker 1>next ten years are gonna get a lot more incoming

0:33:21.360 --> 0:33:25.320
<v Speaker 1>stocks and then abunk stocks. We would tilt towards value. Now,

0:33:25.440 --> 0:33:29.440
<v Speaker 1>why would we do that is because valuations are so

0:33:29.560 --> 0:33:33.760
<v Speaker 1>much favor value versus growth. Now always since growth stocks

0:33:33.960 --> 0:33:37.240
<v Speaker 1>generate earnings faster, there they have higher p s. But

0:33:37.320 --> 0:33:40.640
<v Speaker 1>in this case they're about twelve percentage points higher than

0:33:40.720 --> 0:33:43.360
<v Speaker 1>growth in in in terms of price to earnings ratio,

0:33:43.520 --> 0:33:46.840
<v Speaker 1>that's three times what we normally see. Yet actually um

0:33:47.720 --> 0:33:51.160
<v Speaker 1>growth in terms of earnings and growth stocks isn't projected

0:33:51.200 --> 0:33:52.960
<v Speaker 1>to beat that much more than value stocks for the

0:33:52.960 --> 0:33:55.760
<v Speaker 1>next five years. So I think that value offers you

0:33:55.920 --> 0:33:58.480
<v Speaker 1>better opportunities that don't forget that sector of the market

0:34:00.000 --> 0:34:04.800
<v Speaker 1>and Viacom CBS, uh slumberg A, Wells Fargo. Yes, so

0:34:05.000 --> 0:34:09.160
<v Speaker 1>Schlumberg A, Wells Fargo traditional reopening stocks. I think as

0:34:09.200 --> 0:34:11.880
<v Speaker 1>the world reopens you have more energy. Man slumber j

0:34:11.920 --> 0:34:14.840
<v Speaker 1>A is your blue chip in that area. Wells Fargo

0:34:14.880 --> 0:34:17.640
<v Speaker 1>of course, as you're one of your best bank franchises

0:34:17.680 --> 0:34:20.760
<v Speaker 1>trading not too far above book value coast to coast.

0:34:21.200 --> 0:34:23.640
<v Speaker 1>They're cleaning up some mishaps over the past couple of years,

0:34:23.640 --> 0:34:26.680
<v Speaker 1>so that's going to take advantage of ultimately higher interest rates.

0:34:26.800 --> 0:34:31.840
<v Speaker 1>Viacom CBS, they're in talked to perhaps partner up with

0:34:31.920 --> 0:34:35.319
<v Speaker 1>Comcast streaming overseas now Carols at a first day or

0:34:35.360 --> 0:34:38.759
<v Speaker 1>something that is going to go a little further Uporizon

0:34:38.840 --> 0:34:42.319
<v Speaker 1>just reported today great growth and subscribers. Um. If you

0:34:42.360 --> 0:34:44.719
<v Speaker 1>want a five G play, which is your right, with

0:34:44.800 --> 0:34:47.360
<v Speaker 1>a good dividend, you can't go wrong there. I gotta run. David.

0:34:47.400 --> 0:34:50.239
<v Speaker 1>Thanks David, d It's managing principal, senior portfolio strategy at

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<v Speaker 1>Pepack Private Wealth Management, on the phone in Summit, New Jersey.

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