1 00:00:02,520 --> 00:00:07,000 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, Radio News. 2 00:00:10,000 --> 00:00:13,159 Speaker 2: Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager and I'm Karen Moscow. Here 3 00:00:13,200 --> 00:00:14,920 Speaker 2: are the stories we're following today. 4 00:00:15,680 --> 00:00:17,920 Speaker 3: And Karen, we begin with big news in the chip 5 00:00:17,960 --> 00:00:21,439 Speaker 3: industry in Nvidia plans to resume sales of its EH 6 00:00:21,600 --> 00:00:24,959 Speaker 3: twenty AI chip in China, and that has shares of 7 00:00:24,960 --> 00:00:27,880 Speaker 3: the world's most valuable company up four and a half 8 00:00:27,960 --> 00:00:31,400 Speaker 3: percent in early trading to a record. This morning, we 9 00:00:31,440 --> 00:00:34,960 Speaker 3: get more on the late breaking developments from Bloomberg's Tom mackenzie. 10 00:00:35,200 --> 00:00:37,080 Speaker 4: You just need to put this in the context of 11 00:00:37,159 --> 00:00:41,640 Speaker 4: the last few years of continuingly tightening restrictions when it 12 00:00:41,680 --> 00:00:44,879 Speaker 4: comes to export controls, both under the Biden administration and 13 00:00:44,960 --> 00:00:47,600 Speaker 4: under the Trump administration, and the tightening of those export 14 00:00:47,640 --> 00:00:51,240 Speaker 4: restrictions has not seen any let up atol between both 15 00:00:51,280 --> 00:00:54,600 Speaker 4: administrations until now. And now you have a U turn 16 00:00:54,680 --> 00:00:58,760 Speaker 4: on an export restriction that was implemented in April, cutting 17 00:00:58,760 --> 00:01:02,520 Speaker 4: off the supply of these H twenty AI accelerators. We 18 00:01:02,560 --> 00:01:04,440 Speaker 4: haven't heard this directly from the US government, but in 19 00:01:04,480 --> 00:01:06,400 Speaker 4: video put out of blog post saying they will in 20 00:01:06,600 --> 00:01:09,319 Speaker 4: short order be able to resupply these H twenty chips 21 00:01:09,360 --> 00:01:11,440 Speaker 4: into the Chinese market ware. By the way, the CEO 22 00:01:11,520 --> 00:01:15,120 Speaker 4: Jensen Hunk currently is for a supply chain conference in Bloomberg. 23 00:01:15,120 --> 00:01:17,360 Speaker 3: Sim mackenzie says the move may add billions to in 24 00:01:17,480 --> 00:01:20,760 Speaker 3: Video's revenue this year, restoring its ability to fulfill orders 25 00:01:20,760 --> 00:01:23,640 Speaker 3: it had written off his loss due to government restrictions. 26 00:01:24,160 --> 00:01:26,520 Speaker 2: Nathan, we have new developments this morning in the global 27 00:01:26,640 --> 00:01:30,000 Speaker 2: trade war. The European Union has finalized a list of 28 00:01:30,120 --> 00:01:34,280 Speaker 2: counter measures to target US goods worth eighty four billion dollars. 29 00:01:34,640 --> 00:01:36,360 Speaker 2: And we go to London and get the latest with 30 00:01:36,400 --> 00:01:37,759 Speaker 2: Bloomberg's un parts you. 31 00:01:37,720 --> 00:01:39,560 Speaker 5: And good morning, Karen and Nathan. 32 00:01:39,680 --> 00:01:43,800 Speaker 6: American cars, bourbon whiskey, and Boeing aircraft. They're all on 33 00:01:43,800 --> 00:01:46,840 Speaker 6: the EU's finalized list of countermeasures should it decide to 34 00:01:46,840 --> 00:01:50,800 Speaker 6: retaliate against Donald Trump's tariff policy. In total, Brussels would 35 00:01:50,800 --> 00:01:54,280 Speaker 6: target eighty four billion dollars worth of US goods. This 36 00:01:54,400 --> 00:01:57,080 Speaker 6: after the EU's trade scheees, so that Trump's tariffs, set 37 00:01:57,120 --> 00:02:00,480 Speaker 6: to kick in on August first, would be effectively prohibitive 38 00:02:00,720 --> 00:02:04,320 Speaker 6: to transatlantic trade, so expacting the two sides are continuing 39 00:02:04,520 --> 00:02:05,000 Speaker 6: in London. 40 00:02:05,040 --> 00:02:06,480 Speaker 7: I'm Umpot Spinberg Radio. 41 00:02:06,560 --> 00:02:09,400 Speaker 3: Turning back to markets now, Karen bank earnings are about 42 00:02:09,440 --> 00:02:12,560 Speaker 3: to take center stage. JP Morgan, Chase, Wells Fargo, and 43 00:02:12,639 --> 00:02:15,720 Speaker 3: Citygroup all report before the opening bell. We get a 44 00:02:15,760 --> 00:02:19,160 Speaker 3: preview now from Bloomberg Global Financial correspondent Shanalie Bassik. 45 00:02:19,600 --> 00:02:22,080 Speaker 8: JP Morgan is kicking off big bank earnings and the 46 00:02:22,160 --> 00:02:24,880 Speaker 8: valuation has risen materially through the course of the year 47 00:02:24,960 --> 00:02:27,880 Speaker 8: because investors expect more and more M and A deals 48 00:02:27,880 --> 00:02:30,560 Speaker 8: to come through to fuel investment banking gains and net 49 00:02:30,600 --> 00:02:34,600 Speaker 8: interest income to hold up strong with interest rates relatively high. Now, 50 00:02:34,639 --> 00:02:37,480 Speaker 8: the question is who's winning in the Wall Street game? 51 00:02:37,840 --> 00:02:40,520 Speaker 8: Is JP Morgan going to bring in more trading revenue 52 00:02:40,560 --> 00:02:43,880 Speaker 8: than its two big investment banking rivals Morgan Stanley and 53 00:02:43,880 --> 00:02:47,040 Speaker 8: Goldman Sachs, which report the following day. We'll also be 54 00:02:47,080 --> 00:02:50,040 Speaker 8: hearing from Citygroup and Wells Fargo, and the question will 55 00:02:50,080 --> 00:02:52,280 Speaker 8: be around how much more net interest income can be 56 00:02:52,320 --> 00:02:55,240 Speaker 8: squeezed out of the US consumer in New York. I'm 57 00:02:55,240 --> 00:02:56,840 Speaker 8: Shinali Basic Bloomberg Radio. 58 00:02:57,000 --> 00:02:59,440 Speaker 2: All right, Chanelle, thank you. It's also a big day 59 00:02:59,440 --> 00:03:01,960 Speaker 2: on the economic front with a key reading on inflation 60 00:03:02,040 --> 00:03:04,920 Speaker 2: this morning at ain't thirty am. Wall Street Time, we 61 00:03:05,000 --> 00:03:07,560 Speaker 2: get the consumer price index for June and we get 62 00:03:07,600 --> 00:03:09,640 Speaker 2: a preview with Bloomberg's Charlie Pillett. 63 00:03:09,639 --> 00:03:11,960 Speaker 7: Wall Street will be focused on how much of an 64 00:03:12,000 --> 00:03:16,080 Speaker 7: uptick we might see an inflation because of tariffs. Christina 65 00:03:16,080 --> 00:03:19,040 Speaker 7: Hooper is chief market strategist at Man Group. 66 00:03:19,160 --> 00:03:23,160 Speaker 1: We could certainly get a significantly higher number if we 67 00:03:23,240 --> 00:03:27,520 Speaker 1: look at the Cleveland Fed now cast core CPI is 68 00:03:27,600 --> 00:03:30,160 Speaker 1: tracking at about three percent year over year. 69 00:03:30,200 --> 00:03:33,160 Speaker 7: The economist survey by Bloomberg are looking for a year 70 00:03:33,280 --> 00:03:36,560 Speaker 7: over year gain in the core CPI excluding food and 71 00:03:36,640 --> 00:03:40,600 Speaker 7: Energy of two point nine percent in New York. Charlie 72 00:03:40,600 --> 00:03:43,160 Speaker 7: Pellett Bloomberg Radio Night, Charlie, thank you. 73 00:03:43,240 --> 00:03:45,880 Speaker 3: And as we await that key inflation report, speculation is 74 00:03:45,920 --> 00:03:47,960 Speaker 3: growing about who will eventually replace j. 75 00:03:48,280 --> 00:03:48,680 Speaker 5: Powell. 76 00:03:48,760 --> 00:03:51,840 Speaker 3: The Washington Post is reporting the White House economic advisor 77 00:03:52,120 --> 00:03:55,520 Speaker 3: Kevin Hassett is emerging as a leading contender to become 78 00:03:55,560 --> 00:03:58,240 Speaker 3: the next FED chair. Hassett was a key advisor in 79 00:03:58,240 --> 00:04:01,400 Speaker 3: President Trump's first term. The Payer says the president thinks 80 00:04:01,440 --> 00:04:05,160 Speaker 3: he'll be more responsive to lowering interest rates. Powell's term 81 00:04:05,200 --> 00:04:07,200 Speaker 3: as chair doesn't expire until May. 82 00:04:07,440 --> 00:04:07,680 Speaker 9: Karen. 83 00:04:07,720 --> 00:04:10,600 Speaker 3: President Trump is threatening new tariffs on Russia over its 84 00:04:10,640 --> 00:04:14,000 Speaker 3: war in Ukraine. President aired his frustrations in an Oval 85 00:04:14,040 --> 00:04:16,719 Speaker 3: Office meeting with NATO's Secretary General Mark Rute. 86 00:04:17,080 --> 00:04:17,720 Speaker 10: We are very. 87 00:04:17,680 --> 00:04:23,440 Speaker 11: Unhappy, I am with Russia. But we'll discuss that maybe 88 00:04:23,520 --> 00:04:26,520 Speaker 11: a different day. But we're very, very unhappy with him, 89 00:04:26,520 --> 00:04:30,840 Speaker 11: and we're going to be doing very severe tariffs if 90 00:04:30,839 --> 00:04:32,920 Speaker 11: we don't have a deal in fifty days. 91 00:04:33,839 --> 00:04:35,480 Speaker 2: Tariff said about one hundred percent. 92 00:04:36,200 --> 00:04:38,279 Speaker 3: President Trump said the duties would come in the form 93 00:04:38,320 --> 00:04:41,320 Speaker 3: of secondary tariffs. He has used that term before for 94 00:04:41,440 --> 00:04:45,000 Speaker 3: import taxes on countries that do business with America's adversaries. 95 00:04:45,320 --> 00:04:47,760 Speaker 3: The President also says the US is sending top of 96 00:04:47,760 --> 00:04:50,599 Speaker 3: the line weapons to Ukraine paid for by NATO member 97 00:04:50,640 --> 00:04:53,720 Speaker 3: States Secretary General Rutas says all of it should send 98 00:04:53,720 --> 00:04:54,719 Speaker 3: a message to Russia. 99 00:04:54,920 --> 00:04:59,320 Speaker 12: I would reconsider what I should not take negotiations about 100 00:04:59,400 --> 00:05:01,400 Speaker 12: Ukraine more years lead, and I was doing a dumment 101 00:05:01,440 --> 00:05:04,520 Speaker 12: if I was, But when Ukraine, I think this is 102 00:05:04,560 --> 00:05:05,720 Speaker 12: really great an interest for that. 103 00:05:06,480 --> 00:05:09,680 Speaker 3: NATO Secretary General Mark Ruta says Germany, the Nordic States, 104 00:05:09,680 --> 00:05:12,760 Speaker 3: and Canada would play a major role in fulfilling Ukraine's 105 00:05:12,839 --> 00:05:13,680 Speaker 3: military needs. 106 00:05:14,279 --> 00:05:17,400 Speaker 2: Nathan As President Trump and NATO look to support Ukraine, 107 00:05:17,560 --> 00:05:21,000 Speaker 2: China is pushing to deepen its ties with Russia. Chinese 108 00:05:21,040 --> 00:05:24,400 Speaker 2: President Xijin Ping me today with Russian Foreign Minister Sergei 109 00:05:24,480 --> 00:05:28,840 Speaker 2: Lavrov in Beijing. China's Shinwa News Agency reports President she 110 00:05:29,120 --> 00:05:32,880 Speaker 2: also met with top officials in the Shanghai Cooperation Organization, 111 00:05:33,360 --> 00:05:36,200 Speaker 2: a group set up by both China and Russia. The 112 00:05:36,279 --> 00:05:38,640 Speaker 2: Chinese leader is also putting a focus on his country 113 00:05:38,720 --> 00:05:42,480 Speaker 2: struggling property sector. Shinwa reports he called for a measured 114 00:05:42,520 --> 00:05:46,920 Speaker 2: approach to renovating urban villages and dilapidated houses from this 115 00:05:46,960 --> 00:05:50,600 Speaker 2: week's Central Urban Work Conference. Last year, the Chinese government 116 00:05:50,640 --> 00:05:54,560 Speaker 2: promised to renovate a million older rundown homes in large cities. 117 00:05:58,200 --> 00:05:59,360 Speaker 2: Time now for a look at some of the other 118 00:05:59,400 --> 00:06:01,520 Speaker 2: stories making news in New York and around the world, 119 00:06:01,600 --> 00:06:04,159 Speaker 2: and for that we're joined by Bloomberg's Michael Barr Michael, 120 00:06:04,160 --> 00:06:04,880 Speaker 2: Good Morning. 121 00:06:04,720 --> 00:06:08,400 Speaker 10: Good Morning. Care and heavy rain caused damaging flash floods 122 00:06:08,400 --> 00:06:12,520 Speaker 10: in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Pennsylvania, Virginia, and Maryland. 123 00:06:12,760 --> 00:06:15,760 Speaker 10: Six to ten inches of waterfell in parts of the 124 00:06:15,800 --> 00:06:20,000 Speaker 10: East Coast. In Plainfield, New Jersey, the rapid rainfall turned 125 00:06:20,000 --> 00:06:24,600 Speaker 10: streets into rivers, stalled out cars, rushing past homes and 126 00:06:24,839 --> 00:06:25,960 Speaker 10: knocking down trees. 127 00:06:26,600 --> 00:06:27,760 Speaker 5: I've never seen flooding like this. 128 00:06:27,920 --> 00:06:29,600 Speaker 11: To sat there, I'm sure the car, I mean, there's 129 00:06:29,600 --> 00:06:30,840 Speaker 11: nothing I could do with this is ruined. 130 00:06:30,839 --> 00:06:32,479 Speaker 7: So time for new car. 131 00:06:33,080 --> 00:06:36,239 Speaker 10: The storms prompted New Jersey Governor Phield Murphy to declare 132 00:06:36,279 --> 00:06:40,200 Speaker 10: a state of emergency. In New York, multiple subway stations 133 00:06:40,240 --> 00:06:44,680 Speaker 10: were inundated, forcing the MTA to suspend or severely delayed 134 00:06:44,720 --> 00:06:49,360 Speaker 10: operations across several lines. Residents across the Texas Hill Country 135 00:06:49,560 --> 00:06:53,080 Speaker 10: are on alert as heavy rains produce more flooding and 136 00:06:53,279 --> 00:06:57,400 Speaker 10: creeks are bursting their banks, just ten days after awful 137 00:06:57,400 --> 00:07:01,719 Speaker 10: floods hit the area. The July fourth flash floods killed 138 00:07:01,720 --> 00:07:03,760 Speaker 10: at least one hundred and thirty two people along the 139 00:07:03,760 --> 00:07:07,359 Speaker 10: Guadaloupe River. The number of people still missing has dropped 140 00:07:07,400 --> 00:07:09,960 Speaker 10: to one hundred and one as more victims have been 141 00:07:09,960 --> 00:07:13,800 Speaker 10: identified and more of the missing accounted for, and officials 142 00:07:13,880 --> 00:07:16,680 Speaker 10: warm the search could last up the six months. Kerr 143 00:07:16,720 --> 00:07:18,200 Speaker 10: County Judge Rob Killing. 144 00:07:18,680 --> 00:07:21,600 Speaker 2: It's the tourist that came in for the fourth weekend 145 00:07:22,000 --> 00:07:23,320 Speaker 2: the concert fireworks. 146 00:07:23,560 --> 00:07:24,680 Speaker 5: We don't know how many we lost. 147 00:07:24,720 --> 00:07:28,160 Speaker 10: We've heard accounts of trailer after trailer after trailer. 148 00:07:27,920 --> 00:07:30,560 Speaker 5: Being swept into the river with families in them. You 149 00:07:30,600 --> 00:07:31,480 Speaker 5: can't find traders. 150 00:07:32,360 --> 00:07:35,160 Speaker 10: Former New York Governor and Jrew Cuomo officially announced that 151 00:07:35,160 --> 00:07:37,920 Speaker 10: he will campaign for New York City mayor as an 152 00:07:37,920 --> 00:07:41,720 Speaker 10: independent candidate. In a video posted to social media, Cuomo 153 00:07:41,880 --> 00:07:46,280 Speaker 10: vowed to run against Democratic socialist Zoron Mamdani, who defeated 154 00:07:46,320 --> 00:07:48,480 Speaker 10: Cuomo in last month's Democratic primary. 155 00:07:48,800 --> 00:07:52,240 Speaker 11: For the next few months, it's my responsibility to earn 156 00:07:52,400 --> 00:07:54,160 Speaker 11: your vote. 157 00:07:54,240 --> 00:07:57,080 Speaker 10: In a letter sent to supporters, Cuomo pledged that if 158 00:07:57,080 --> 00:08:00,000 Speaker 10: the polls show that he is not the highest ranked 159 00:08:00,080 --> 00:08:03,920 Speaker 10: challenger to Momdane by mid September, he will drop out 160 00:08:04,000 --> 00:08:06,880 Speaker 10: of the race. Global News twenty four hours a day 161 00:08:06,960 --> 00:08:09,400 Speaker 10: and whenever you want it with the Bloomberg News. Now, 162 00:08:09,480 --> 00:08:11,800 Speaker 10: I'm Michael Barn. This is Bloomberg Hemick. 163 00:08:12,000 --> 00:08:18,680 Speaker 2: All right, Michael Barr, thank you time now for the 164 00:08:18,680 --> 00:08:21,960 Speaker 2: Bloomberg Sports Update, brought to you by Flushing Bank. And 165 00:08:21,960 --> 00:08:23,080 Speaker 2: here's John Stanshauer. 166 00:08:23,160 --> 00:08:24,440 Speaker 5: John, good morning, Good morning care. 167 00:08:24,520 --> 00:08:26,720 Speaker 11: The home run Derby and Atlanta began with a five 168 00:08:26,840 --> 00:08:30,480 Speaker 11: hundred and thirteen foot blast by the Pirates O'Neil Cruz 169 00:08:30,560 --> 00:08:34,040 Speaker 11: cal Raleigh Seattle switch it and catcher who leads MLB 170 00:08:34,160 --> 00:08:37,199 Speaker 11: this season with thirty eight home runs. Nearly knocked out 171 00:08:37,200 --> 00:08:39,320 Speaker 11: in the first round, he advanced in a narrow tie 172 00:08:39,320 --> 00:08:42,440 Speaker 11: breaker with the eighth brin Rookery, then beat Cruise in 173 00:08:42,520 --> 00:08:46,440 Speaker 11: the semifinals, and Raleigh defeated Sampa Bay's junior Camerinaro in 174 00:08:46,440 --> 00:08:50,080 Speaker 11: the finals eighteen to fifteen. The Yankees Jazz Chishem finished 175 00:08:50,080 --> 00:08:53,439 Speaker 11: a distant last. He only managed three home runs. 176 00:08:53,880 --> 00:08:55,240 Speaker 5: Nah, yeah, what do you leave? 177 00:08:55,440 --> 00:08:55,920 Speaker 7: Was it fun? 178 00:08:56,600 --> 00:08:59,000 Speaker 5: I had a lot of fun. I enjoyed every second 179 00:08:59,040 --> 00:08:59,360 Speaker 5: of it. 180 00:09:00,080 --> 00:09:03,280 Speaker 11: In one of three Yankees in tonight's game, joining Aaron 181 00:09:03,360 --> 00:09:06,440 Speaker 11: Judge and Carlos Rodonoo replaced his Yankee teammate Max Freed. 182 00:09:06,480 --> 00:09:09,000 Speaker 11: The Mets have Francisco Lindor in the starting lineup, also 183 00:09:09,320 --> 00:09:12,200 Speaker 11: Pete Alonzo, Edwin Diaz, and David Peterson, and was some 184 00:09:12,240 --> 00:09:16,840 Speaker 11: controversy with the late edition of Milwaukee rookie pitcher Jacob Misterlerowski. 185 00:09:16,880 --> 00:09:19,600 Speaker 11: Since he's only pitched twenty five innings, it's only allowed 186 00:09:19,720 --> 00:09:23,120 Speaker 11: twelve hits, has thirty three strikeouts. His manager tonight is 187 00:09:23,160 --> 00:09:24,520 Speaker 11: the Dodgers Dave Roberts. 188 00:09:24,880 --> 00:09:28,080 Speaker 9: This young kid to be named All Star I couldn't 189 00:09:28,120 --> 00:09:31,240 Speaker 9: be more excited for him. He is thrilled to be here. 190 00:09:31,960 --> 00:09:34,240 Speaker 9: I'm going to get him in there probably the fifth 191 00:09:34,240 --> 00:09:36,800 Speaker 9: of the sixth inning, something like that, the seventh, and 192 00:09:36,840 --> 00:09:39,160 Speaker 9: it's going to be electric. So the fans, the media, 193 00:09:39,200 --> 00:09:39,920 Speaker 9: you're gonna love it. 194 00:09:40,360 --> 00:09:42,920 Speaker 11: Aaron Brunell managed the American League, who has won ten 195 00:09:42,960 --> 00:09:45,240 Speaker 11: of the last eleven All Star Games, twenty two of 196 00:09:45,280 --> 00:09:47,960 Speaker 11: the last twenty six that Jets have locked up white 197 00:09:47,960 --> 00:09:50,120 Speaker 11: out Garrett Wilson with a four year, one hundred and 198 00:09:50,120 --> 00:09:53,440 Speaker 11: thirty million dollar extension ninety billion guaranteed. He's now signed 199 00:09:53,480 --> 00:09:56,199 Speaker 11: through twenty thirty. Good news for the Spurs. Their young 200 00:09:56,240 --> 00:09:58,880 Speaker 11: star Victor Webbin Yama cleared to play next season. He 201 00:09:58,920 --> 00:09:59,720 Speaker 11: has stopped playing. 202 00:09:59,559 --> 00:10:01,079 Speaker 5: Back in fifth be our do to a blood clot. 203 00:10:01,240 --> 00:10:03,600 Speaker 5: John stashy Our Bloomberg Sports Karen Nathan. 204 00:10:05,679 --> 00:10:10,280 Speaker 1: Coast to Coast on Bloomberg Radio nationwide on Sirius XM. 205 00:10:10,000 --> 00:10:12,840 Speaker 13: And around the world on Bloomberg dot Com and the 206 00:10:12,880 --> 00:10:14,120 Speaker 13: Bloomberg Business Apple. 207 00:10:14,360 --> 00:10:17,360 Speaker 5: This is Bloomberg Daybreak. Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager. 208 00:10:17,400 --> 00:10:20,040 Speaker 3: It is a major reversal from the Trump administration that 209 00:10:20,120 --> 00:10:22,960 Speaker 3: is giving markets to lift. This morning particularly in the 210 00:10:23,000 --> 00:10:25,960 Speaker 3: tech sector. In Nvidia says it has the governments go 211 00:10:26,000 --> 00:10:30,040 Speaker 3: ahead to sell its H twenty artificial intelligence chips again 212 00:10:30,280 --> 00:10:33,400 Speaker 3: in China, a move that could add billions of dollars 213 00:10:33,440 --> 00:10:34,480 Speaker 3: in revenue at what is. 214 00:10:34,400 --> 00:10:36,680 Speaker 5: Already the world's most valuable company. 215 00:10:36,679 --> 00:10:39,360 Speaker 3: For more, we are joined by Dan Ives, global head 216 00:10:39,360 --> 00:10:42,160 Speaker 3: of Tech research at Webbush Securities. 217 00:10:42,400 --> 00:10:43,199 Speaker 5: Dan, good morning. 218 00:10:43,200 --> 00:10:46,240 Speaker 3: We are certainly seeing a positive reaction in the stock 219 00:10:46,320 --> 00:10:49,600 Speaker 3: price for in Vidia this morning. Your reaction. What does 220 00:10:49,640 --> 00:10:53,440 Speaker 3: this mean in terms of in Vidia's overall growth strategy? 221 00:10:53,440 --> 00:10:57,680 Speaker 14: Good morning, And it's a game changer, because what this 222 00:10:57,880 --> 00:11:01,720 Speaker 14: means is that now got thirty billion plus a business 223 00:11:01,720 --> 00:11:03,880 Speaker 14: like back in the table for in video. I remember 224 00:11:03,920 --> 00:11:06,920 Speaker 14: that China business when that got taken away, that was 225 00:11:06,960 --> 00:11:09,840 Speaker 14: given to Huawei in a silver platter. So this is 226 00:11:09,880 --> 00:11:11,880 Speaker 14: not just bullsh for in video, it's bullsh for the 227 00:11:11,960 --> 00:11:15,079 Speaker 14: tech sector. And I believe it's a positive tea leave 228 00:11:15,360 --> 00:11:18,839 Speaker 14: around us try and negotiations. Given this chip on. 229 00:11:18,840 --> 00:11:22,160 Speaker 3: The table, how is it positive for the overall tech sector? 230 00:11:22,160 --> 00:11:24,920 Speaker 3: What's the read through from Nvidia getting this go ahead? 231 00:11:25,600 --> 00:11:27,240 Speaker 14: Well, what this means is now you're going to have 232 00:11:27,360 --> 00:11:30,520 Speaker 14: called thirty to forty billion more business for Nvidia and 233 00:11:30,559 --> 00:11:34,320 Speaker 14: potentially fifty billion and onwards over the next one two 234 00:11:34,320 --> 00:11:37,319 Speaker 14: three years as a ripple effect for that across suppliers 235 00:11:37,880 --> 00:11:41,640 Speaker 14: and across the whole in Vidia ecosystem. The other thing 236 00:11:41,679 --> 00:11:44,480 Speaker 14: that that's important is that you were essentially handing Huawe 237 00:11:44,559 --> 00:11:48,080 Speaker 14: in a silver platter of this business. Now that's not happening. 238 00:11:48,640 --> 00:11:52,840 Speaker 14: So it's very positive for the US tech sector, even 239 00:11:52,840 --> 00:11:55,800 Speaker 14: when you start to think about hyper scalers, chips and 240 00:11:56,200 --> 00:12:00,800 Speaker 14: called the second third derivatives that now play out relative 241 00:12:00,840 --> 00:12:02,240 Speaker 14: to those dark days in April. 242 00:12:02,960 --> 00:12:06,160 Speaker 3: When it comes to the AI arms race though between 243 00:12:06,200 --> 00:12:09,800 Speaker 3: the US and China, to have in Vidia's backing for 244 00:12:10,000 --> 00:12:13,680 Speaker 3: the Chinese AI sector, does that give China more of 245 00:12:13,679 --> 00:12:15,520 Speaker 3: an advantage over the US. 246 00:12:16,600 --> 00:12:19,760 Speaker 14: I actually think it gives the US more advantage over China. 247 00:12:19,840 --> 00:12:23,480 Speaker 14: Be China Beijing News. There's only one chip in the 248 00:12:23,520 --> 00:12:27,240 Speaker 14: world feeling the AI revolution. It's in video. They want 249 00:12:27,280 --> 00:12:32,320 Speaker 14: the best chips, they don't want necessary quality chips. So 250 00:12:33,080 --> 00:12:35,920 Speaker 14: this gives Nvidia to event the last thing you want 251 00:12:36,640 --> 00:12:40,719 Speaker 14: is to basically exit out for Nvideo and hand that 252 00:12:40,840 --> 00:12:43,679 Speaker 14: to Huaalwet, and that would ultimately give China and make 253 00:12:43,760 --> 00:12:46,440 Speaker 14: them more powerful when it comes to AI, and I 254 00:12:46,480 --> 00:12:50,480 Speaker 14: think Trump ministration knows that when Jensen and Trump met 255 00:12:50,559 --> 00:12:53,560 Speaker 14: last week, I think there's an understanding from the Trump 256 00:12:53,559 --> 00:12:58,600 Speaker 14: administration that this is an important historical moment in this 257 00:12:58,679 --> 00:13:00,520 Speaker 14: AI armsers to. 258 00:13:00,440 --> 00:13:03,480 Speaker 3: Your point, this does come just a week after Jensen 259 00:13:03,559 --> 00:13:06,600 Speaker 3: Wang met with President Trump. What does this tell you 260 00:13:06,679 --> 00:13:11,640 Speaker 3: about the relationship that Jensen Wang has with the president. 261 00:13:12,440 --> 00:13:15,599 Speaker 3: Is it a good idea to have a close relationship 262 00:13:15,640 --> 00:13:19,040 Speaker 3: with President Trump after what we saw with Elon Musk 263 00:13:19,520 --> 00:13:20,480 Speaker 3: just a few weeks ago. 264 00:13:21,280 --> 00:13:25,319 Speaker 14: Sure, I mean, I'm sure. Look some will will make 265 00:13:25,360 --> 00:13:30,439 Speaker 14: the comparisons. I think it's different because Trump needs Jensen 266 00:13:31,000 --> 00:13:34,080 Speaker 14: not just politically. But we start on the Middle East 267 00:13:34,080 --> 00:13:36,480 Speaker 14: trip right who is right next to him? It is Jensen. 268 00:13:37,559 --> 00:13:41,480 Speaker 14: But he understands that Jensen understands the AI market better 269 00:13:41,480 --> 00:13:44,440 Speaker 14: than anyone out there. He needs Jensen support just like 270 00:13:44,480 --> 00:13:47,160 Speaker 14: the onshuring and all the job creation. But on the 271 00:13:47,200 --> 00:13:50,840 Speaker 14: other hand, Jensen is not going to be on the 272 00:13:50,880 --> 00:13:55,440 Speaker 14: outside looking into China market. So it speaks to why 273 00:13:55,480 --> 00:13:59,440 Speaker 14: this relationship is so important between Trump and Jensen. 274 00:14:00,280 --> 00:14:04,439 Speaker 3: Could this relationship have some kind of effect on the 275 00:14:04,520 --> 00:14:09,880 Speaker 3: ongoing trade difficulties that the US and China still have 276 00:14:10,040 --> 00:14:12,840 Speaker 3: even after the breakthroughs in Geneva and London. 277 00:14:13,880 --> 00:14:16,640 Speaker 14: Oh, I think this is a positive signal around the 278 00:14:16,720 --> 00:14:22,600 Speaker 14: US China legoizations, which is the US doing this they're 279 00:14:22,760 --> 00:14:26,680 Speaker 14: now reading videos sell into China has been to be 280 00:14:26,840 --> 00:14:29,440 Speaker 14: huge positive for deal negotiations. 281 00:14:29,760 --> 00:14:31,240 Speaker 5: So what do you see going forward? 282 00:14:31,320 --> 00:14:35,080 Speaker 3: I know that Jensen Wang is attending a government sponsored 283 00:14:35,120 --> 00:14:39,000 Speaker 3: conference in China as well. Could we see more breakthroughs 284 00:14:39,040 --> 00:14:42,920 Speaker 3: coming after? You know, the US hasn't really confirmed that 285 00:14:43,080 --> 00:14:46,280 Speaker 3: this go ahead for the age twenty chips has gone forward? 286 00:14:46,280 --> 00:14:48,240 Speaker 3: But could we see more coming in video's way? 287 00:14:48,920 --> 00:14:53,200 Speaker 14: Oh? Yeah, I would expect over the next twelve hours 288 00:14:53,320 --> 00:14:57,400 Speaker 14: positive statements from China around there now would show further 289 00:14:57,560 --> 00:15:00,880 Speaker 14: t leaves in video could get more big. And let 290 00:15:00,920 --> 00:15:04,440 Speaker 14: me tell you, it's not a happy camper Huawei because 291 00:15:04,480 --> 00:15:07,920 Speaker 14: they thought they had a green light and now the 292 00:15:07,960 --> 00:15:10,760 Speaker 14: big dog came back in And that's in video. 293 00:15:10,880 --> 00:15:13,920 Speaker 3: Of course, in videos trading at a four trillion dollar 294 00:15:14,000 --> 00:15:19,080 Speaker 3: market cap already days after it was predicted. Do you 295 00:15:19,120 --> 00:15:23,480 Speaker 3: see in video hitting a five trillion dollar cap anytime soon? 296 00:15:23,600 --> 00:15:24,840 Speaker 5: And if so, when? 297 00:15:26,000 --> 00:15:27,800 Speaker 14: Look me and you've talked about it along with our 298 00:15:27,840 --> 00:15:32,360 Speaker 14: good friend gene monster. I believe it's a matter of when, 299 00:15:32,480 --> 00:15:35,120 Speaker 14: not if five trillion gets hit. I mean we think 300 00:15:35,920 --> 00:15:40,080 Speaker 14: in twenty twenty six or potentially. You know what is 301 00:15:40,120 --> 00:15:43,440 Speaker 14: when you see that, because this is shows there's one 302 00:15:43,880 --> 00:15:46,960 Speaker 14: ship in the world you want to it's in video 303 00:15:47,120 --> 00:15:49,840 Speaker 14: and I see a five trillion dollar markup on the horizon. 304 00:15:51,440 --> 00:15:54,920 Speaker 3: And as we say in videos, trading up five percent 305 00:15:55,040 --> 00:15:58,080 Speaker 3: in the pre market right now, following this news from 306 00:15:58,160 --> 00:16:01,520 Speaker 3: a blog post from in vide that it has gotten 307 00:16:01,520 --> 00:16:04,280 Speaker 3: the go ahead to sell the H twenty chip once 308 00:16:04,360 --> 00:16:07,400 Speaker 3: again in China. Dan Ives, thanks for joining us from 309 00:16:07,440 --> 00:16:11,080 Speaker 3: the airport this morning. Really appreciate getting your time following 310 00:16:11,120 --> 00:16:13,680 Speaker 3: this breaking news. Dan Ives, of course, is the global 311 00:16:13,680 --> 00:16:17,680 Speaker 3: head of tech research at Wedbush Securities. Coming up on 312 00:16:17,760 --> 00:16:20,960 Speaker 3: five nineteen on Wall Street, let's stay on the topic 313 00:16:21,120 --> 00:16:24,920 Speaker 3: of tariffs. It is topic A four markets and for 314 00:16:25,720 --> 00:16:28,720 Speaker 3: trading partners around the world, with the European Union in 315 00:16:28,760 --> 00:16:31,280 Speaker 3: particular now racing to reach a trade deal with the 316 00:16:31,360 --> 00:16:34,600 Speaker 3: US before the August first deadline, with the President says 317 00:16:35,280 --> 00:16:38,760 Speaker 3: higher duties will kick in barring that. The EU has 318 00:16:38,800 --> 00:16:41,200 Speaker 3: now put out a second list of US goods that 319 00:16:41,280 --> 00:16:44,360 Speaker 3: could be hit with counter tariffs. For more on this 320 00:16:44,520 --> 00:16:48,880 Speaker 3: joining us from Brussels is Bloomberg Daybreak. You're a banker, Stephen, 321 00:16:48,960 --> 00:16:52,200 Speaker 3: Carroll and Steven. It's a pretty exhaustive list, more than 322 00:16:52,240 --> 00:16:53,320 Speaker 3: two hundred pages. 323 00:16:53,960 --> 00:16:56,280 Speaker 5: Give us the highlights. Good morning, good morning. 324 00:16:56,360 --> 00:16:56,520 Speaker 7: Yeah. 325 00:16:56,560 --> 00:16:59,440 Speaker 13: Look, it's seventy two billion euros eighty four billion dollars 326 00:16:59,480 --> 00:17:02,600 Speaker 13: worth of good that are targeted in this second package 327 00:17:02,640 --> 00:17:07,720 Speaker 13: of retaliations. It's dominated mainly by industrial goods, so aircraft 328 00:17:07,760 --> 00:17:10,520 Speaker 13: worth a rut eleven billion euros, machinery worth about nine 329 00:17:10,520 --> 00:17:13,680 Speaker 13: billion euros. Cars are in there as well. We've also 330 00:17:13,720 --> 00:17:17,440 Speaker 13: got agrifood products around six billion euros worth of US 331 00:17:17,480 --> 00:17:20,240 Speaker 13: agrifood products would be hit as well. Fruits and vegetables, 332 00:17:20,280 --> 00:17:24,400 Speaker 13: Alcoholic drinks in there too. There's also some precision equipment 333 00:17:24,440 --> 00:17:26,840 Speaker 13: and instruments in there too. Even some toys managed to 334 00:17:26,840 --> 00:17:29,800 Speaker 13: make the cuts as well, and musical instruments if you 335 00:17:29,840 --> 00:17:32,600 Speaker 13: can believe it. Now, some things we know are excluded 336 00:17:32,640 --> 00:17:35,119 Speaker 13: from the list. Imported military products, for example, won't be 337 00:17:35,160 --> 00:17:37,679 Speaker 13: subject to any duties. And this was a list that 338 00:17:37,760 --> 00:17:39,960 Speaker 13: was drawn up in response to You'll have to go 339 00:17:40,080 --> 00:17:43,120 Speaker 13: back a few steps in this trade dispute to find it. 340 00:17:43,119 --> 00:17:46,520 Speaker 13: It was the twenty percent reciprocal tariff before that was 341 00:17:46,600 --> 00:17:49,520 Speaker 13: reduced to ten percent, before it was up to again 342 00:17:49,600 --> 00:17:52,040 Speaker 13: to thirty percent. If you're still following me, So this 343 00:17:52,119 --> 00:17:54,760 Speaker 13: is a list that actually responds to an earlier move 344 00:17:54,960 --> 00:17:58,280 Speaker 13: by the Trump administration to impose tariffs. It is like 345 00:17:58,359 --> 00:18:00,600 Speaker 13: the other list that was responding to the steel and 346 00:18:00,640 --> 00:18:04,560 Speaker 13: aluminum tariffs suspended until the first of August. But it 347 00:18:04,640 --> 00:18:07,520 Speaker 13: is an attempt by the European Union to show that 348 00:18:07,600 --> 00:18:10,679 Speaker 13: it is ready to respond. It's choosing not to for 349 00:18:10,800 --> 00:18:13,760 Speaker 13: now because it's leaving space for negotiations with the US, 350 00:18:13,960 --> 00:18:16,600 Speaker 13: but it is nonetheless showing I suppose a bit of 351 00:18:16,640 --> 00:18:20,159 Speaker 13: teeth about what the EU could do if those talks 352 00:18:20,200 --> 00:18:21,040 Speaker 13: don't go to plan. 353 00:18:21,440 --> 00:18:25,040 Speaker 3: So, as you mentioned, it doesn't include military equipment, so 354 00:18:25,320 --> 00:18:28,960 Speaker 3: the list might not have been as exhaustive as it 355 00:18:29,040 --> 00:18:29,640 Speaker 3: could have been. 356 00:18:30,080 --> 00:18:33,040 Speaker 5: Is that the sense we're getting. Well, it was initially reduced. 357 00:18:33,080 --> 00:18:35,199 Speaker 13: The initial value that was put on this list was 358 00:18:35,320 --> 00:18:37,760 Speaker 13: ninety five billion euros. That was the list of products 359 00:18:37,760 --> 00:18:41,960 Speaker 13: of the European Commission had initially identified as this stage 360 00:18:41,960 --> 00:18:45,320 Speaker 13: of its response. That got reduced to seventy two billion euros. 361 00:18:45,320 --> 00:18:47,080 Speaker 13: There were some things knocked off the list that was 362 00:18:47,119 --> 00:18:50,560 Speaker 13: after consultation with industry and with member states as well, 363 00:18:50,600 --> 00:18:52,560 Speaker 13: because of course this is a list that has to 364 00:18:52,600 --> 00:18:54,840 Speaker 13: be signed off by the twenty seven members of the 365 00:18:54,880 --> 00:18:57,480 Speaker 13: European Union, so they get to have their say when 366 00:18:57,480 --> 00:18:59,920 Speaker 13: the Commission makes an announcement like this as well. They still, 367 00:19:00,000 --> 00:19:02,560 Speaker 13: by the way, have to sign off on this finalized 368 00:19:02,600 --> 00:19:05,160 Speaker 13: list of seventy two billion as well. But we're told 369 00:19:05,160 --> 00:19:08,240 Speaker 13: this is where the compromise has arrived at. So they 370 00:19:08,240 --> 00:19:11,159 Speaker 13: have scaled back some of those things that they're expected 371 00:19:11,320 --> 00:19:14,160 Speaker 13: to hit or that could potentially hit with tariffs as well, 372 00:19:14,400 --> 00:19:17,080 Speaker 13: and that's sort of an indication of there's some divergence 373 00:19:17,080 --> 00:19:20,400 Speaker 13: of opinion among European countries about how exactly they want 374 00:19:20,440 --> 00:19:22,480 Speaker 13: to respond to what Donald Trump is doing. We heard 375 00:19:22,480 --> 00:19:25,440 Speaker 13: from all those trade ministers filing into a meeting yesterday 376 00:19:25,480 --> 00:19:29,040 Speaker 13: morning here in Brussels talking about not being willing to 377 00:19:29,119 --> 00:19:33,280 Speaker 13: hold back on retaliating for now to allow space for negotiations, 378 00:19:33,640 --> 00:19:36,480 Speaker 13: but ultimately wanting to show that they were ready to 379 00:19:36,520 --> 00:19:40,160 Speaker 13: retaliate if that became necessary. Now, the latest that we've 380 00:19:40,160 --> 00:19:43,399 Speaker 13: heard in terms of talks, we know that Marschefovich, the 381 00:19:43,440 --> 00:19:46,200 Speaker 13: EU Trade negotiator was due to speak to his US 382 00:19:46,320 --> 00:19:49,400 Speaker 13: counterparts late yesterday. We still haven't heard anything about how 383 00:19:49,440 --> 00:19:52,679 Speaker 13: that particular meeting went, but Mahrscheftovitch had said that the 384 00:19:52,720 --> 00:19:55,000 Speaker 13: threat of thirty percent that Donald Trump came out with 385 00:19:55,080 --> 00:19:59,520 Speaker 13: over the weekend was unacceptable and prohibitive to any trade 386 00:20:00,000 --> 00:20:03,800 Speaker 13: between the EU and the US. We know that European 387 00:20:03,840 --> 00:20:07,200 Speaker 13: countries are very worried to differing degrees about what impacts 388 00:20:07,240 --> 00:20:10,159 Speaker 13: the tariffs could have if eventually they do coming to 389 00:20:10,240 --> 00:20:12,879 Speaker 13: force at the level they're currently threatened. But I would 390 00:20:12,960 --> 00:20:15,720 Speaker 13: just note a key survey coming out of Germany this morning, 391 00:20:15,720 --> 00:20:20,760 Speaker 13: the ZW industry survey and investor confidence actually improving in 392 00:20:20,800 --> 00:20:22,520 Speaker 13: the last month that they measured as well. Now, it 393 00:20:22,560 --> 00:20:24,720 Speaker 13: came before the thirty percent tariff threat, but the survey 394 00:20:24,760 --> 00:20:26,520 Speaker 13: was done in early July, so it's not that out 395 00:20:26,520 --> 00:20:30,120 Speaker 13: of date either, showing that actually, despite the threat of tariffs, 396 00:20:30,119 --> 00:20:34,000 Speaker 13: the business sentiment in Europe's largest economy is turning more positive. 397 00:20:34,240 --> 00:20:36,600 Speaker 3: And in our last minute Stephen, this is coming, of course, 398 00:20:36,640 --> 00:20:38,879 Speaker 3: after our earlier reporting that the EU was looking to 399 00:20:39,000 --> 00:20:42,560 Speaker 3: expand outreach to other countries that have come under the 400 00:20:42,960 --> 00:20:46,760 Speaker 3: US tariff crosshairs. How does this list put that into context? 401 00:20:47,359 --> 00:20:49,879 Speaker 13: I mean, look, it's an added thread of the strategy 402 00:20:49,920 --> 00:20:53,280 Speaker 13: the European Union is working on. They're also, of course, 403 00:20:53,320 --> 00:20:56,520 Speaker 13: trying to de escalate with the US, but looking for alternatives. 404 00:20:56,600 --> 00:20:59,560 Speaker 13: We heard that from Teresa Rivera, the European Commission's vice president, 405 00:20:59,600 --> 00:21:03,080 Speaker 13: who was in Shiny yesterday, talking about the possibilities that 406 00:21:03,119 --> 00:21:05,360 Speaker 13: they might have to expand with Asian partners. 407 00:21:05,359 --> 00:21:05,720 Speaker 7: As well. 408 00:21:05,720 --> 00:21:08,840 Speaker 13: There was the conversation between Mark Karney and our Slavanga line. 409 00:21:08,680 --> 00:21:09,560 Speaker 5: Yesterday as well. 410 00:21:09,640 --> 00:21:12,800 Speaker 13: This is the EU, I suppose, keeping its options open, 411 00:21:13,119 --> 00:21:15,959 Speaker 13: making sure that if things don't go as they planned, 412 00:21:16,040 --> 00:21:19,119 Speaker 13: because although they're all sounding very hopeful, they're also quite 413 00:21:19,160 --> 00:21:21,479 Speaker 13: worried as to how things might turn out between now 414 00:21:21,520 --> 00:21:23,880 Speaker 13: and the first of August. 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