1 00:00:00,280 --> 00:00:04,720 Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast podcast. 2 00:00:04,920 --> 00:00:12,960 Speaker 2: All right, here we go. 3 00:00:11,320 --> 00:00:15,079 Speaker 1: Spreading the corner ten seconds or maining. So just go 4 00:00:15,240 --> 00:00:16,240 Speaker 1: show up to the basket. 5 00:00:16,360 --> 00:00:17,800 Speaker 2: Under the basket, it's the. 6 00:00:17,800 --> 00:00:21,720 Speaker 1: Troop for the wind. God make a miracle. 7 00:00:22,480 --> 00:00:24,880 Speaker 3: I chop the water. 8 00:00:26,160 --> 00:00:30,800 Speaker 1: Hit that one from the parking lot and welcome, boys 9 00:00:30,800 --> 00:00:31,280 Speaker 1: and girls. 10 00:00:31,320 --> 00:00:34,279 Speaker 3: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast presented by Bett MGM. 11 00:00:34,360 --> 00:00:37,800 Speaker 3: I am your host, matthew Cox, joined by the usual cast. 12 00:00:37,560 --> 00:00:39,879 Speaker 1: Of three man. We have characters. There's only three of us. 13 00:00:40,000 --> 00:00:44,120 Speaker 1: That leaves two. KaiA is one in. Jim Root is two. 14 00:00:44,440 --> 00:00:47,600 Speaker 3: We're here again every Wednesday, a new episode of BBOC 15 00:00:48,320 --> 00:00:51,159 Speaker 3: talking about all the midweek to late midweek action of 16 00:00:51,200 --> 00:00:55,920 Speaker 3: college hoops. On today's episode, the same boiler plate format applies, 17 00:00:55,960 --> 00:00:59,960 Speaker 3: going through a six pack of section ski games, mid majors, 18 00:01:00,040 --> 00:01:02,440 Speaker 3: big boys, little guys, all that good stuff. 19 00:01:02,600 --> 00:01:03,320 Speaker 1: Fellows. How are we doing it? 20 00:01:03,400 --> 00:01:03,520 Speaker 3: Kai? 21 00:01:03,600 --> 00:01:04,880 Speaker 1: Opening thoughts before we get into it. 22 00:01:05,040 --> 00:01:08,080 Speaker 3: I'm just excited to talk, heeps. Matt per usual. Yes, 23 00:01:08,800 --> 00:01:10,640 Speaker 3: enthusiasm is mandatory on this podcast. 24 00:01:10,720 --> 00:01:12,080 Speaker 1: Jim, how are you We. 25 00:01:12,000 --> 00:01:14,880 Speaker 2: Got to stay cooking? Matt. We've been barely solid on 26 00:01:14,959 --> 00:01:17,800 Speaker 2: the pod recently, and I think we should continue to 27 00:01:17,800 --> 00:01:20,319 Speaker 2: do that. If we have to choose between that and 28 00:01:20,480 --> 00:01:23,040 Speaker 2: the alternative, I think we should continue to pick winners. 29 00:01:23,240 --> 00:01:27,200 Speaker 3: The key to our success has been targeting specific, very 30 00:01:27,240 --> 00:01:32,280 Speaker 3: specific team angles, specifically fading Memphis. We'll talk about Memphis 31 00:01:32,319 --> 00:01:34,560 Speaker 3: in a tongue in cheek light later on, but let's 32 00:01:34,560 --> 00:01:36,000 Speaker 3: get right to the live dog of the week where 33 00:01:36,040 --> 00:01:39,360 Speaker 3: I hammered at Memphis last week. Ray He's got the 34 00:01:39,400 --> 00:01:43,319 Speaker 3: outright winner. Fun, fun, fun, the Owls who got it done. 35 00:01:43,760 --> 00:01:46,920 Speaker 3: The group also got Georgia right for thirty six minutes, 36 00:01:46,920 --> 00:01:49,960 Speaker 3: but then they collapsed down the stretch against Alabama. 37 00:01:49,960 --> 00:01:51,240 Speaker 1: Alabama has that ability to. 38 00:01:51,200 --> 00:01:53,000 Speaker 3: Put on a twenty to zero run in a matter 39 00:01:53,040 --> 00:01:55,680 Speaker 3: of seconds, and they did that to us. They have 40 00:01:55,800 --> 00:01:58,440 Speaker 3: all West Virginia got it done, hosting the bear Cats, 41 00:01:58,440 --> 00:02:00,000 Speaker 3: got a juice, a little spread. There a few money 42 00:02:00,080 --> 00:02:04,000 Speaker 3: Line dog trailers out there. Hopefully you followed, so I'd 43 00:02:04,080 --> 00:02:06,360 Speaker 3: give us a two pats on the back for last 44 00:02:06,360 --> 00:02:09,840 Speaker 3: week's performance, and now we look ahead to this week's 45 00:02:10,040 --> 00:02:14,079 Speaker 3: slave for Moneyline Dogs of the week, Where's Mine dog? 46 00:02:15,360 --> 00:02:23,119 Speaker 3: U dog? Where's Mine Dog? We got a couple on Wednesday, 47 00:02:23,480 --> 00:02:25,880 Speaker 3: a couple on Thursday, and as usual, feel free to 48 00:02:25,880 --> 00:02:28,800 Speaker 3: pepper in some suggestions of your own. I will tolerate that, 49 00:02:29,400 --> 00:02:33,440 Speaker 3: assuming they're actually good suggestions. Of course, Wednesday, we have 50 00:02:33,600 --> 00:02:38,280 Speaker 3: Louisville question Mark, Yes we do Louisville Kai they're one O. 51 00:02:38,360 --> 00:02:40,960 Speaker 3: In their last one kind nice went over Florida State, 52 00:02:41,520 --> 00:02:46,880 Speaker 3: Tyler Johnson was cooking and sky Clark editioned by subtraction 53 00:02:47,040 --> 00:02:49,440 Speaker 3: maybe did not play. And yes they beat the Knowles 54 00:02:49,600 --> 00:02:51,880 Speaker 3: and now they go up to upstate New York where 55 00:02:51,880 --> 00:02:55,880 Speaker 3: they play Syracuse. Who has read Autrey claiming that walk 56 00:02:55,960 --> 00:02:58,440 Speaker 3: Ons might be singing the floor, So whenever you hear 57 00:02:58,520 --> 00:03:00,520 Speaker 3: walk On's threatened, that's using Now I could sign for 58 00:03:00,520 --> 00:03:02,840 Speaker 3: your program. We saw Michigan Juwan Howard give a similar 59 00:03:02,840 --> 00:03:05,880 Speaker 3: sentiment after his postgame presser, but Ken Pom has this 60 00:03:05,919 --> 00:03:07,000 Speaker 3: as Syracuse mine as twelve. 61 00:03:07,040 --> 00:03:08,519 Speaker 1: So you might get a pretty juicy number if you 62 00:03:08,560 --> 00:03:08,800 Speaker 1: want to. 63 00:03:08,760 --> 00:03:11,519 Speaker 3: Actually bet Louisville on the money line, which sounds like 64 00:03:11,560 --> 00:03:14,280 Speaker 3: an absolute preposterous proposal, but given the value and who 65 00:03:14,280 --> 00:03:17,000 Speaker 3: their opponent is, Jim, I do like that one. The 66 00:03:17,000 --> 00:03:19,480 Speaker 3: other one I'd picked out was our Georgia Bulldogs again 67 00:03:19,919 --> 00:03:22,520 Speaker 3: going on the road to Mississippi State, playing Chris Jans 68 00:03:23,200 --> 00:03:27,560 Speaker 3: and the Brittle Bulldogs of Starkville. Dwindlingked up there any 69 00:03:27,600 --> 00:03:29,880 Speaker 3: thoughts on either of those two I picked out for Wednesday? 70 00:03:30,120 --> 00:03:32,720 Speaker 2: Yeah, I think personnel is pretty enormous on both of them. 71 00:03:33,040 --> 00:03:36,120 Speaker 2: I'm kind of on board the sky Clark edition by subtraction. 72 00:03:36,200 --> 00:03:38,880 Speaker 2: I think we kind of saw it at Illinois last year. 73 00:03:38,960 --> 00:03:41,320 Speaker 2: And I know it's only been a game and a half, 74 00:03:41,360 --> 00:03:43,720 Speaker 2: but when he was out laid against Clemson is when 75 00:03:43,720 --> 00:03:46,200 Speaker 2: they rallied. They were down like twenty and ended up 76 00:03:46,200 --> 00:03:48,360 Speaker 2: making it somewhat competitive after he got hurt. And then 77 00:03:48,360 --> 00:03:51,800 Speaker 2: again that very solid performance is Florida State, so I'm 78 00:03:51,800 --> 00:03:54,680 Speaker 2: pretty interested there. Syracuse just kicked Benny Williams off the 79 00:03:54,720 --> 00:03:57,920 Speaker 2: team too, so you have maybe that aspect. Is that 80 00:03:58,040 --> 00:04:00,360 Speaker 2: audition by subtraction or is it just a sign of 81 00:04:00,400 --> 00:04:04,160 Speaker 2: the kind of chaos that is surrounding the Orange program 82 00:04:04,200 --> 00:04:07,440 Speaker 2: right now? And then the other game, Yeah, you said, Dwindling. 83 00:04:07,480 --> 00:04:11,000 Speaker 2: Depth of Mississippi State DJ Jeffries missed almost their entire 84 00:04:11,040 --> 00:04:14,680 Speaker 2: game over the weekend. He is super important as a defender, 85 00:04:14,880 --> 00:04:18,760 Speaker 2: multi positional, kind of embodies their style and what makes 86 00:04:18,760 --> 00:04:23,440 Speaker 2: Mississippi State difficult to play against. That said, Missisippi State's 87 00:04:23,440 --> 00:04:25,520 Speaker 2: played the toughest schedule in the SEC so far for 88 00:04:25,640 --> 00:04:28,600 Speaker 2: ken Pom. It's been a brutal gauntlet of good games 89 00:04:28,640 --> 00:04:32,640 Speaker 2: at home and tough road tests. I think they can 90 00:04:32,720 --> 00:04:34,839 Speaker 2: kind of get right there. I'm not going to back that, 91 00:04:34,920 --> 00:04:36,680 Speaker 2: but Matt, I think I am going to jump on 92 00:04:37,240 --> 00:04:41,039 Speaker 2: Louisville with you, just given the disarray that Syracuse is in, Guy. 93 00:04:41,920 --> 00:04:44,920 Speaker 3: I'm jumping on Louisville as well, which is crazy to say. 94 00:04:45,200 --> 00:04:48,040 Speaker 3: From the preseason perspective. Syracuse is a team that I 95 00:04:48,200 --> 00:04:50,360 Speaker 3: liked in the preseason. I thought they would be good. 96 00:04:50,880 --> 00:04:53,559 Speaker 3: Clearly has not happened. The last several games has been terrible. 97 00:04:53,600 --> 00:04:56,760 Speaker 3: It's no surprise at Autry is mad about his team's performances. 98 00:04:56,800 --> 00:04:59,280 Speaker 3: They lost by sixteen at home to Florida State. In 99 00:04:59,320 --> 00:05:02,640 Speaker 3: the last two games, they've lost in pretty big ways, 100 00:05:02,680 --> 00:05:04,960 Speaker 3: and Boston College was close, but it's still Boston College. 101 00:05:05,400 --> 00:05:08,400 Speaker 3: They've lost three out of four in Louisville. Look, they're 102 00:05:08,440 --> 00:05:11,680 Speaker 3: not super incompetent. I kind of buy the Clark addition. 103 00:05:11,800 --> 00:05:14,960 Speaker 3: By subtraction, the Forestay game was impressive. They only one 104 00:05:15,080 --> 00:05:18,440 Speaker 3: once on the road this entire season. That was against Miami, 105 00:05:18,720 --> 00:05:21,520 Speaker 3: so they beat up you know, a semi competent team 106 00:05:21,520 --> 00:05:23,680 Speaker 3: at least compared to Syracuse on the road already for 107 00:05:23,760 --> 00:05:27,520 Speaker 3: some precedents, But it's not the safest bet we'll safe 108 00:05:27,520 --> 00:05:29,880 Speaker 3: to take Louisville. I take it small for sure, but yeah, 109 00:05:29,880 --> 00:05:33,440 Speaker 3: I do believe that Syracuse is kind of twisting down 110 00:05:33,440 --> 00:05:34,120 Speaker 3: the drain a bit. 111 00:05:34,480 --> 00:05:36,479 Speaker 1: So I'll jump on Louisville with you, Matthew. 112 00:05:37,520 --> 00:05:41,279 Speaker 3: Yeah, Loisvill's might actually only official play of this section 113 00:05:41,440 --> 00:05:43,640 Speaker 3: just to full transparency before we get to the Thursday games. 114 00:05:43,640 --> 00:05:45,640 Speaker 3: But I just think the value you'll get there should 115 00:05:45,680 --> 00:05:48,600 Speaker 3: hopefully catch six to one, maybe seven to one, hopefully 116 00:05:48,640 --> 00:05:52,560 Speaker 3: maybe on the other Cardinals against the team. Yeah, Syracuse 117 00:05:52,680 --> 00:05:56,800 Speaker 3: just be completely batten and bruised. All right to Thursday, 118 00:05:56,839 --> 00:06:00,400 Speaker 3: we go UAB heading down to Florida Atlantic. I believe 119 00:06:00,440 --> 00:06:03,760 Speaker 3: I'm picking on my als here in this section, but Jim, 120 00:06:03,839 --> 00:06:07,120 Speaker 3: we both reluctantly discussed that in American play they have 121 00:06:07,240 --> 00:06:08,520 Speaker 3: not been as dominant. 122 00:06:08,520 --> 00:06:09,280 Speaker 1: They are two and seven. 123 00:06:09,279 --> 00:06:14,400 Speaker 3: AGA's the number in AAC play one in four away 124 00:06:14,400 --> 00:06:16,360 Speaker 3: from home here, So I'm sorry FAU is on the 125 00:06:16,440 --> 00:06:18,159 Speaker 3: road or that at home, I've already I'm messing up 126 00:06:18,160 --> 00:06:20,600 Speaker 3: my schedule here is on the road they're on the road, 127 00:06:20,640 --> 00:06:22,040 Speaker 3: thank you. Yes, I have it wrong on the outline, 128 00:06:22,040 --> 00:06:23,400 Speaker 3: but they are on the road. They're one and fourgaans 129 00:06:23,520 --> 00:06:25,960 Speaker 3: number on the road two and seven in league. Both 130 00:06:26,000 --> 00:06:29,040 Speaker 3: sets up like pretty good spots for uab Jim who 131 00:06:29,240 --> 00:06:32,880 Speaker 3: is playing better and certainly can play to a pretty 132 00:06:32,920 --> 00:06:36,279 Speaker 3: high number given their talent, and they're just their overall 133 00:06:36,600 --> 00:06:39,240 Speaker 3: dynamism that they have at all five positions. The other 134 00:06:39,279 --> 00:06:42,279 Speaker 3: game I picked out here are my Beavers Oregon State 135 00:06:42,360 --> 00:06:45,440 Speaker 3: back at home, who swept the Arizona's and their last 136 00:06:45,440 --> 00:06:48,120 Speaker 3: home stand struggled on the most recent road trip. But 137 00:06:48,640 --> 00:06:50,720 Speaker 3: different team home and road, as are many of these 138 00:06:50,760 --> 00:06:53,440 Speaker 3: Pac twelve teams, But Oregon State has really been a 139 00:06:53,600 --> 00:06:54,640 Speaker 3: jeck and hide home v. 140 00:06:54,760 --> 00:06:55,239 Speaker 1: Road team. 141 00:06:55,720 --> 00:06:57,960 Speaker 3: And I think if you're catching seven points at home, 142 00:06:58,800 --> 00:07:01,680 Speaker 3: you know, moneyline equivalent to three to one. I think 143 00:07:01,680 --> 00:07:03,800 Speaker 3: it's a pretty good bet there against Washington State, who 144 00:07:03,839 --> 00:07:06,359 Speaker 3: is really good, but again, I think mortal outside of 145 00:07:06,360 --> 00:07:10,040 Speaker 3: their own Bridley confines Jimbo to you thoughts, Yeah. 146 00:07:09,880 --> 00:07:12,760 Speaker 2: Both of these are really tempting the seven point home dog. 147 00:07:13,440 --> 00:07:16,280 Speaker 2: And you mentioned how good Oregon State has been at home. 148 00:07:16,320 --> 00:07:19,800 Speaker 2: They've shopped the ball really, really well when they're home 149 00:07:19,800 --> 00:07:22,400 Speaker 2: in core Vallas, and yeah, you would be like coming 150 00:07:22,400 --> 00:07:24,240 Speaker 2: into the year, I've picked this team third in the league. 151 00:07:24,280 --> 00:07:27,160 Speaker 2: A lot of talent thought they would kind of maybe 152 00:07:27,160 --> 00:07:29,960 Speaker 2: not in test with Memphis and FAU at top the league, 153 00:07:30,040 --> 00:07:32,040 Speaker 2: but at least have a chance to do it if 154 00:07:32,080 --> 00:07:35,480 Speaker 2: things broke right. And they struggled early non conference performance 155 00:07:35,520 --> 00:07:37,280 Speaker 2: was kind of odd that it just seemed like they 156 00:07:37,280 --> 00:07:40,520 Speaker 2: were disjointed. But they're playing well lately and in league 157 00:07:40,560 --> 00:07:43,120 Speaker 2: play if they haven't really done anything wrong. Their only 158 00:07:43,160 --> 00:07:45,760 Speaker 2: losses are at FAU, which is close most of the game, 159 00:07:46,200 --> 00:07:48,600 Speaker 2: at Charlotte, who sits at eight and one atop the league, 160 00:07:48,880 --> 00:07:52,720 Speaker 2: and at SMU by three. They've been very, very tough 161 00:07:52,760 --> 00:07:56,160 Speaker 2: at home, knocked off Memphis. They won at North Texas, 162 00:07:56,240 --> 00:07:59,680 Speaker 2: which is a rather difficult place to play, so at 163 00:07:59,680 --> 00:08:03,640 Speaker 2: bart Arena. Guy, I'm tempted by both of these. I 164 00:08:03,680 --> 00:08:06,920 Speaker 2: think they're both pretty solid bets. I'm only gonna officially 165 00:08:06,960 --> 00:08:09,680 Speaker 2: go with Oregon State for the show, but I like 166 00:08:09,720 --> 00:08:11,960 Speaker 2: what Matt's putting down here with you AB two. 167 00:08:12,200 --> 00:08:14,600 Speaker 1: I like you AB yep, I certainly do. You're not 168 00:08:14,600 --> 00:08:16,920 Speaker 1: gonna get seven, it won't happen. 169 00:08:17,160 --> 00:08:19,320 Speaker 3: But yeah, FAU man, they've been playing with fire just 170 00:08:19,320 --> 00:08:21,600 Speaker 3: about every single game in the American They come back 171 00:08:21,880 --> 00:08:23,880 Speaker 3: and they end up winning because they're a poised team 172 00:08:23,920 --> 00:08:26,800 Speaker 3: and they don't panic. But it's still getting a little 173 00:08:26,800 --> 00:08:30,480 Speaker 3: bit dicey, and maybe has been very good lately, agreed Jim. Preseason, 174 00:08:30,480 --> 00:08:32,640 Speaker 3: we thought this team would be pretty darn good, even 175 00:08:32,679 --> 00:08:34,280 Speaker 3: in Kim Palm. They were a top one hundred team 176 00:08:34,280 --> 00:08:37,160 Speaker 3: in the preseason, competed with Bradley and Clemson. Right off 177 00:08:37,200 --> 00:08:39,439 Speaker 3: the bat beat Maryland. They're six and one against the 178 00:08:39,480 --> 00:08:42,760 Speaker 3: spread their last seven games. They clearly are playing better. 179 00:08:42,920 --> 00:08:44,400 Speaker 1: FAU not so much. 180 00:08:44,440 --> 00:08:46,600 Speaker 3: In fact, if you filter and Bartrovic for the last 181 00:08:46,840 --> 00:08:49,640 Speaker 3: couple weeks of the season, u AB would be favored 182 00:08:49,679 --> 00:08:52,200 Speaker 3: by three or four points. So I think this would 183 00:08:52,200 --> 00:08:55,040 Speaker 3: be a good bet for the Blazers here, So I'm 184 00:08:55,120 --> 00:08:58,600 Speaker 3: riding with them. You know, I was gonna endurese Oregon State. 185 00:08:58,800 --> 00:09:00,800 Speaker 3: I'm going to back out of it. I've been really 186 00:09:00,840 --> 00:09:04,839 Speaker 3: impressive to wash with Wazoo lately. I'm going to stay away. 187 00:09:04,880 --> 00:09:07,840 Speaker 3: But I do respect a bet on the Beavers, Matthew, 188 00:09:07,840 --> 00:09:10,200 Speaker 3: because they are a lot tougher at home. Plus seven 189 00:09:10,240 --> 00:09:12,520 Speaker 3: would be tempting. Money line I'm not going to go there. 190 00:09:12,720 --> 00:09:15,160 Speaker 3: It's great, Kyle, you got me in on you AB. 191 00:09:15,480 --> 00:09:19,000 Speaker 2: I'm driving. I like talk through it, like I thought 192 00:09:19,040 --> 00:09:20,719 Speaker 2: it was a strong bet, and so why would I 193 00:09:20,800 --> 00:09:22,600 Speaker 2: not take it. I'd just be mad at myself for 194 00:09:23,040 --> 00:09:24,920 Speaker 2: talking through it and not taking it. So Matt, I'm 195 00:09:24,960 --> 00:09:26,319 Speaker 2: taking both your Thursday bets. 196 00:09:26,520 --> 00:09:28,599 Speaker 3: All right? Good, Hey, you're welcome to feel free to 197 00:09:28,679 --> 00:09:30,920 Speaker 3: hijack any of my suggestions. I will not be taking 198 00:09:31,240 --> 00:09:33,720 Speaker 3: UAB moneyline. I will probably betting them against the spread. 199 00:09:33,840 --> 00:09:36,280 Speaker 3: I just think the late game execution for FAU is 200 00:09:36,400 --> 00:09:38,360 Speaker 3: light years better than UAB from what. 201 00:09:38,280 --> 00:09:39,199 Speaker 1: I witnessed so far. 202 00:09:39,880 --> 00:09:41,680 Speaker 3: I like how you guys picked out the Rice in 203 00:09:41,760 --> 00:09:46,840 Speaker 3: Memphis angles Rice playing at home against SMU, a team 204 00:09:46,880 --> 00:09:48,520 Speaker 3: that was much better at home to start the year, 205 00:09:48,559 --> 00:09:51,120 Speaker 3: but then the recent trends have actually flip flopp. They've 206 00:09:51,120 --> 00:09:54,240 Speaker 3: been better away from Houston and they have been at home. 207 00:09:54,280 --> 00:09:56,160 Speaker 3: But if you're getting the money line equivalent of a 208 00:09:56,200 --> 00:09:59,200 Speaker 3: plus nine, it's a pretty good number against SMU, who 209 00:09:59,480 --> 00:10:01,600 Speaker 3: clearly has leveled off. They have not been as dominant 210 00:10:01,640 --> 00:10:03,280 Speaker 3: as we saw the first two months of the year. 211 00:10:03,840 --> 00:10:06,920 Speaker 3: And then Memphis, you know, they just squeak by who 212 00:10:06,920 --> 00:10:11,000 Speaker 3: do they just beat really at home by they were 213 00:10:13,080 --> 00:10:16,000 Speaker 3: They go to Temple, a tough place to go play, 214 00:10:16,080 --> 00:10:20,559 Speaker 3: especially Temple playing better. Just lost in overtime by twelve. 215 00:10:20,679 --> 00:10:23,559 Speaker 3: Sorry to minus or plus ten and a half al 216 00:10:23,640 --> 00:10:26,560 Speaker 3: backers against Tulane, but clearly a confident team in Memphis 217 00:10:26,679 --> 00:10:29,880 Speaker 3: is still busting at the seams. I'm taking neither, but 218 00:10:30,040 --> 00:10:34,000 Speaker 3: just two more for your considerations. Kai, run through your 219 00:10:34,040 --> 00:10:37,280 Speaker 3: official money line slate for this week. Yeah, just real 220 00:10:37,360 --> 00:10:39,319 Speaker 3: quick on SMU Yeah, Owe and four against the spread, 221 00:10:39,440 --> 00:10:42,480 Speaker 3: last for Rice or too gets the spread. Last six 222 00:10:42,520 --> 00:10:44,920 Speaker 3: two teams opposite directions. Not taking anything there. 223 00:10:45,480 --> 00:10:46,240 Speaker 1: Temple sucks. 224 00:10:46,280 --> 00:10:51,199 Speaker 3: I'm not going back to. Yeah, I'm going believe the 225 00:10:51,559 --> 00:10:53,200 Speaker 3: little hold your nose money line there and then you 226 00:10:53,240 --> 00:10:53,439 Speaker 3: ad be. 227 00:10:53,920 --> 00:10:55,160 Speaker 1: I really think they have a good chance to win 228 00:10:55,200 --> 00:10:55,520 Speaker 1: out right. 229 00:10:55,880 --> 00:10:58,160 Speaker 3: Hey, if they don't, fantastic, I love that they you 230 00:10:58,280 --> 00:11:00,280 Speaker 3: and I wish nothing but success for that program. 231 00:11:00,280 --> 00:11:02,360 Speaker 1: So this is good. This is a win win for 232 00:11:02,400 --> 00:11:03,160 Speaker 1: me both ways here. 233 00:11:03,760 --> 00:11:06,720 Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm going to join Kai on Louisville and UAB 234 00:11:07,480 --> 00:11:10,120 Speaker 2: also going to give that the swing out in Corvallis 235 00:11:10,200 --> 00:11:13,000 Speaker 2: with the Oregon State taking non Washington State trying to 236 00:11:13,040 --> 00:11:15,240 Speaker 2: build an NCAA tournament case, and then I am going 237 00:11:15,320 --> 00:11:18,080 Speaker 2: to go Rice Matthew. I'm I'm not brave enough to 238 00:11:18,120 --> 00:11:22,800 Speaker 2: take Temple and that kind of cobbled together roster with 239 00:11:22,880 --> 00:11:25,240 Speaker 2: no size against Memphis, but I will go with the 240 00:11:25,240 --> 00:11:27,520 Speaker 2: allos at home against SMU. It just feels like SMU 241 00:11:27,559 --> 00:11:30,280 Speaker 2: is becoming a lot more mortal lately. I mentioned their 242 00:11:30,320 --> 00:11:34,480 Speaker 2: their ats trending downwards. I will take Rice back to 243 00:11:34,520 --> 00:11:37,040 Speaker 2: back weeks. You inspired me with your Rice take last week. 244 00:11:37,400 --> 00:11:40,600 Speaker 3: Thank you, uh more of an anti inspo against Memphis, 245 00:11:40,600 --> 00:11:42,760 Speaker 3: but glad that it worked out in Rice's favor. But yeah, 246 00:11:42,840 --> 00:11:46,199 Speaker 3: SMU four straight games decided by five points or less, 247 00:11:46,320 --> 00:11:49,520 Speaker 3: so tough to know exactly a team that's routing teams 248 00:11:49,559 --> 00:11:51,640 Speaker 3: as we saw earlier in the season. And for me, 249 00:11:51,760 --> 00:11:55,200 Speaker 3: just Louisville so one and done. Come on, Kenny Payne, 250 00:11:55,240 --> 00:11:59,200 Speaker 3: deliver for me please. We move forward to section number two. 251 00:11:59,200 --> 00:12:08,360 Speaker 3: Blowout City Fire. Decent week last week for the boys, 252 00:12:08,360 --> 00:12:11,040 Speaker 3: A couple of squeaky covers. If we're looking at this 253 00:12:11,160 --> 00:12:14,520 Speaker 3: of did we pick blowouts that would cover Colgate did 254 00:12:14,520 --> 00:12:16,040 Speaker 3: win by nineteen that would be a good enough for 255 00:12:16,080 --> 00:12:19,079 Speaker 3: a cover At the closing number U again continue to 256 00:12:19,120 --> 00:12:21,400 Speaker 3: pick on those Patriot teams at the bottom of the barrel. 257 00:12:21,440 --> 00:12:23,800 Speaker 3: That's just aren't that good. Colgate typically plays better against 258 00:12:23,840 --> 00:12:27,160 Speaker 3: those teams mentioned Memphis at length. We won't need this. 259 00:12:29,240 --> 00:12:33,720 Speaker 1: Yeah, I thought was gonna blow out Rice. I did, 260 00:12:33,760 --> 00:12:34,360 Speaker 1: I really did. 261 00:12:34,600 --> 00:12:38,200 Speaker 3: It's okay, you're forgiven. And then South Florida, I'm sorry, 262 00:12:38,240 --> 00:12:41,280 Speaker 3: South Florida. USF the other USF, the West Coast USF 263 00:12:41,320 --> 00:12:44,880 Speaker 3: San Francisco beat San Diego by sixteen points. That was 264 00:12:44,920 --> 00:12:47,520 Speaker 3: basically the push or a cover a non cover, depending 265 00:12:47,559 --> 00:12:49,320 Speaker 3: on what closing number you would have gotten there. I 266 00:12:49,360 --> 00:12:51,920 Speaker 3: was surprised that the Terrrero's hung around for as long 267 00:12:51,960 --> 00:12:54,040 Speaker 3: as they did with the Dons, just giving how those 268 00:12:54,040 --> 00:12:58,320 Speaker 3: teams profile. But look ahead and my first selection option 269 00:12:58,440 --> 00:13:02,600 Speaker 3: for this week stays in the WC. That's Gonzaga hosting Portland, 270 00:13:03,240 --> 00:13:06,160 Speaker 3: who has become kind of a you know, a pinata 271 00:13:06,200 --> 00:13:08,880 Speaker 3: in the WCC. My guys Chancy Leagans just cannot get 272 00:13:08,920 --> 00:13:12,480 Speaker 3: any defense from his pilots, the Zags laying twenty five 273 00:13:12,920 --> 00:13:13,800 Speaker 3: according to Ken Pop. 274 00:13:13,800 --> 00:13:15,120 Speaker 1: We'll see where that actually opens up. 275 00:13:15,120 --> 00:13:17,480 Speaker 3: That's a big number, but it doesn't feel like the 276 00:13:17,520 --> 00:13:20,640 Speaker 3: pilots kay have any hope of guarding Gonzaga. And then 277 00:13:20,640 --> 00:13:24,560 Speaker 3: another team that we like at home, Indiana State hosting Valpo. 278 00:13:24,679 --> 00:13:26,600 Speaker 3: Now this one's tricky because they're off that big win 279 00:13:26,800 --> 00:13:29,800 Speaker 3: that you two are both at in person against Drake. 280 00:13:30,400 --> 00:13:33,520 Speaker 3: Valpo comes to town. Are they playing inspired ball? I 281 00:13:33,600 --> 00:13:35,920 Speaker 3: just think Indiana State takes me to the woodshed spot 282 00:13:36,000 --> 00:13:39,960 Speaker 3: agnostic two for Wednesday. Kai any interest in Lowe's lay 283 00:13:40,040 --> 00:13:40,760 Speaker 3: in the wood. 284 00:13:40,880 --> 00:13:42,480 Speaker 1: Yeah, I think both are are worth it. 285 00:13:42,480 --> 00:13:44,960 Speaker 3: I would say Gonzaga more so because, yeah, the spot 286 00:13:44,960 --> 00:13:48,200 Speaker 3: coming off of Saint Mary's loss, Portland is not the 287 00:13:48,240 --> 00:13:50,600 Speaker 3: Portland of last season that the magical team. 288 00:13:50,640 --> 00:13:51,960 Speaker 1: Well they have, they've won two straight. 289 00:13:52,000 --> 00:13:54,679 Speaker 3: I mean they haven't been rolling over lately, but I 290 00:13:54,679 --> 00:13:57,400 Speaker 3: don't think they can bet with the Gonzaga's level. You 291 00:13:57,440 --> 00:13:59,559 Speaker 3: saw them lose by like forty to Saint Mary's. I 292 00:13:59,559 --> 00:14:02,360 Speaker 3: just don't think they step up well against the elite 293 00:14:02,360 --> 00:14:05,680 Speaker 3: teams of the league, of which there are two maybe three. 294 00:14:05,720 --> 00:14:07,680 Speaker 3: So yeah, I like Gonzaga, They're a lot. Any in 295 00:14:07,720 --> 00:14:12,120 Speaker 3: the State's incredible. I don't think Valpo's gonna hang around, Jim, 296 00:14:12,160 --> 00:14:13,720 Speaker 3: but I like that one a little bit less. Just 297 00:14:13,720 --> 00:14:17,000 Speaker 3: just given me the emotional victory over Drake. Crowd couldn't 298 00:14:17,000 --> 00:14:20,720 Speaker 3: be any better that night. So I'll endorse Gonzaga and 299 00:14:20,760 --> 00:14:22,160 Speaker 3: maybe fence right Indiana State. 300 00:14:22,840 --> 00:14:24,960 Speaker 2: Yeah, Indiana State's just fun to back. Is a big 301 00:14:25,000 --> 00:14:28,960 Speaker 2: favorite because the offense can explode. But I'm with you, guys, Gonzaga. 302 00:14:29,160 --> 00:14:32,560 Speaker 2: It's like, weirdly a by low of a minus twenty 303 00:14:32,560 --> 00:14:34,800 Speaker 2: five favorite and a cell high of a twenty five 304 00:14:34,840 --> 00:14:38,680 Speaker 2: point dog considering Portland's lost or one two in a row. 305 00:14:39,000 --> 00:14:41,280 Speaker 2: But they just can't get healthy. Man Tyler Harris returned 306 00:14:41,320 --> 00:14:44,320 Speaker 2: for two games, then has missed the two wins that 307 00:14:44,680 --> 00:14:47,400 Speaker 2: they've had. Corona's been out for a long time. He's 308 00:14:47,440 --> 00:14:52,360 Speaker 2: like the actual interior weapon they've got. Matt the big 309 00:14:52,440 --> 00:14:56,680 Speaker 2: Japanese guy, Yamanucci Williams been in there, but not like fully. 310 00:14:56,920 --> 00:14:59,440 Speaker 2: It doesn't clear. It seem like he's fully himself. They 311 00:14:59,600 --> 00:15:02,520 Speaker 2: just can't stop anybody. You can score insiding and score outside. 312 00:15:02,560 --> 00:15:04,440 Speaker 2: Their defensive rating in league play is one hundred and 313 00:15:04,440 --> 00:15:06,400 Speaker 2: twenty two. That's one hundred and twenty two points for 314 00:15:06,440 --> 00:15:10,000 Speaker 2: one hundred possessions. Gonzaga is a great offense, and at 315 00:15:10,000 --> 00:15:12,360 Speaker 2: home in Spokane for a loss, it all adds up 316 00:15:12,360 --> 00:15:14,120 Speaker 2: to me, Matthew, I'll be riding those acts. 317 00:15:14,720 --> 00:15:17,520 Speaker 3: Yeah, I should have raised concern or sound of the 318 00:15:17,560 --> 00:15:20,360 Speaker 3: alarm bells of Portland when Leagans was so geeked about 319 00:15:20,400 --> 00:15:24,400 Speaker 3: Yaminuci Williams of Lamar transfer in the offseason discussion. So 320 00:15:24,480 --> 00:15:26,480 Speaker 3: that's sort of an emblematic where this team is right 321 00:15:26,520 --> 00:15:31,960 Speaker 3: now talent wise. One more for consideration. On Thursday, Detroit 322 00:15:32,040 --> 00:15:35,280 Speaker 3: mercy and no teams have had any mercy against them 323 00:15:35,280 --> 00:15:38,120 Speaker 3: this season, looking for their first win on the year, 324 00:15:38,560 --> 00:15:41,000 Speaker 3: catching twenty points at right state, A team that can 325 00:15:41,080 --> 00:15:43,840 Speaker 3: certainly beat teams that are worse than them by big, 326 00:15:43,880 --> 00:15:44,640 Speaker 3: big margins. 327 00:15:45,160 --> 00:15:45,840 Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't know. 328 00:15:45,880 --> 00:15:48,120 Speaker 3: I think Detroit sort of at this point when you're 329 00:15:48,480 --> 00:15:51,600 Speaker 3: three hundred and sixty, I think MHM shouts to the horizon. 330 00:15:51,600 --> 00:15:53,360 Speaker 3: By the way, two of the bottom four teams in 331 00:15:53,400 --> 00:15:57,040 Speaker 3: the country are in the horizon this season. But yeah, 332 00:15:57,080 --> 00:15:59,360 Speaker 3: tough to say there's value on fading Detroit at this point. 333 00:15:59,480 --> 00:16:02,240 Speaker 3: Kai on the raid is at home or is it 334 00:16:02,360 --> 00:16:04,560 Speaker 3: just like a stupid spread where it's not even worth considering. 335 00:16:04,880 --> 00:16:06,600 Speaker 1: Yeah, not really. I think they can name their number 336 00:16:06,600 --> 00:16:08,160 Speaker 1: in terms of points score. 337 00:16:08,240 --> 00:16:10,320 Speaker 3: I think they'll score at least one hundred, you know, 338 00:16:10,360 --> 00:16:12,600 Speaker 3: probably one hundred and ten tarm of the best offense 339 00:16:12,640 --> 00:16:15,080 Speaker 3: in the league against the worst defense, and I don't 340 00:16:15,080 --> 00:16:17,640 Speaker 3: think either stat is particularly close, So I think it's 341 00:16:17,640 --> 00:16:20,520 Speaker 3: gonna be points points points for Right State. We'll see 342 00:16:20,600 --> 00:16:24,240 Speaker 3: how much Right State cares about playing defense, because that's 343 00:16:24,280 --> 00:16:25,520 Speaker 3: really the only limiting factor. 344 00:16:26,280 --> 00:16:28,240 Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, I agree. I'm going to bet the first 345 00:16:28,280 --> 00:16:30,280 Speaker 2: half over in that game, Matt. How's that for a 346 00:16:30,280 --> 00:16:33,600 Speaker 2: little niche market. I think they get up and down 347 00:16:33,600 --> 00:16:35,320 Speaker 2: and maybe in the second half of it's a blowout. 348 00:16:35,400 --> 00:16:38,560 Speaker 2: Right State isn't as incentivized to keep the gas pedal down, 349 00:16:38,600 --> 00:16:42,840 Speaker 2: but I'm envisioning something like fifty six to forty two 350 00:16:42,880 --> 00:16:45,640 Speaker 2: at halftime. I think this is going to be inefficiency 351 00:16:45,680 --> 00:16:47,040 Speaker 2: bonanza on both ends. 352 00:16:47,280 --> 00:16:49,200 Speaker 3: Yeah, right, so he plays man at or defense. They 353 00:16:49,240 --> 00:16:50,920 Speaker 3: just don't have any interest on outside of the ball. 354 00:16:50,920 --> 00:16:52,920 Speaker 1: But we shall see time. 355 00:16:52,760 --> 00:16:54,680 Speaker 2: They don't need to they score, so officially. 356 00:16:54,280 --> 00:16:56,280 Speaker 3: Who cares exactly Right, you're up ten. You can kind 357 00:16:56,280 --> 00:16:58,400 Speaker 3: of give up some easy ones in transition, No big deal. 358 00:16:58,960 --> 00:17:00,440 Speaker 3: All right, those are lame games. Le's tab out some 359 00:17:00,480 --> 00:17:03,760 Speaker 3: actual power conference games. But before we get there, or 360 00:17:03,800 --> 00:17:07,560 Speaker 3: from our sponsor, let's bet MGM BBOC is proudly presented 361 00:17:07,600 --> 00:17:10,960 Speaker 3: by bet MGM. Please use bonus code action when signing 362 00:17:11,080 --> 00:17:13,440 Speaker 3: up to get one hundred and fifty eight dollars in 363 00:17:13,480 --> 00:17:16,440 Speaker 3: bonus bets when you bet five dollars. Pretty good deal 364 00:17:16,440 --> 00:17:23,360 Speaker 3: there for new users in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, 365 00:17:23,480 --> 00:17:28,440 Speaker 3: New Jersey, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Virginia, West Virginia, and Wyoming. 366 00:17:29,040 --> 00:17:30,920 Speaker 3: Terms of conditions apply. Must be twenty one or older. 367 00:17:30,960 --> 00:17:34,199 Speaker 3: Gambling problem called one eight hundred gambler. How game of 368 00:17:34,200 --> 00:17:36,000 Speaker 3: the Week, I'll be honest, A lot of the heavy 369 00:17:36,200 --> 00:17:39,080 Speaker 3: hitters are on Saturday, so stuck you in. The crew 370 00:17:39,119 --> 00:17:41,439 Speaker 3: will get you all teed up for those. But we 371 00:17:41,520 --> 00:17:44,120 Speaker 3: have iron bolt to break down here, fellas. That's Wednesday, 372 00:17:44,640 --> 00:17:45,880 Speaker 3: Alabama at. 373 00:17:45,720 --> 00:17:51,560 Speaker 1: Auburn, oh I could feel it should. 374 00:17:51,320 --> 00:17:53,080 Speaker 3: Be a fun one, Kay, Bruce Pearl and the boys 375 00:17:53,119 --> 00:17:56,480 Speaker 3: looking for a big signature murky resume win after their 376 00:17:56,480 --> 00:17:59,840 Speaker 3: tough road trip last week. But Kemp Pom has to 377 00:18:00,040 --> 00:18:02,679 Speaker 3: Auburn minus three. I see a lot of back and 378 00:18:02,720 --> 00:18:04,879 Speaker 3: forth market push and pull with this one. I think 379 00:18:04,920 --> 00:18:07,640 Speaker 3: there's a very a lot of dissenting opinions in the market. 380 00:18:07,680 --> 00:18:08,400 Speaker 1: I guess on both teams. 381 00:18:08,440 --> 00:18:10,040 Speaker 3: Where do you stand on the iron ball? Yeah, this 382 00:18:10,080 --> 00:18:12,800 Speaker 3: is for first place in the SEC. Bama takes a 383 00:18:12,800 --> 00:18:15,720 Speaker 3: pretty nice lead if they win. If they lose, it's 384 00:18:15,720 --> 00:18:18,080 Speaker 3: a tie between Alabama and Auburn. Game one is really 385 00:18:18,119 --> 00:18:21,800 Speaker 3: good as well. In Tuscaloosa. Alabama kind of controlled it 386 00:18:21,880 --> 00:18:24,200 Speaker 3: the entire way. You know, Auburn only lost by four, 387 00:18:24,280 --> 00:18:27,200 Speaker 3: but it was Bama's game start to finish. Very impressive. 388 00:18:27,760 --> 00:18:30,920 Speaker 3: I like Auburn a lot better at home. They clearly 389 00:18:30,960 --> 00:18:32,600 Speaker 3: have not been the same team on the road. Their 390 00:18:32,600 --> 00:18:35,479 Speaker 3: defense has been incredible this season in general. I do 391 00:18:35,520 --> 00:18:37,520 Speaker 3: think they give Alabama problems on that inn, or at 392 00:18:37,560 --> 00:18:40,960 Speaker 3: least have the potential to holding them to barely over 393 00:18:41,040 --> 00:18:44,760 Speaker 3: one point per possession in Game one is impressive. They 394 00:18:44,760 --> 00:18:47,920 Speaker 3: did forest turnovers. Mark Sears five turnovers in that first game. 395 00:18:48,240 --> 00:18:50,240 Speaker 3: I think Auburn slaps them back here at home, so 396 00:18:50,359 --> 00:18:51,440 Speaker 3: I lean their way here. 397 00:18:51,640 --> 00:18:52,280 Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm kay. 398 00:18:52,520 --> 00:18:55,919 Speaker 2: You mentioned trusting Auburn at home more. I agree with that. 399 00:18:55,960 --> 00:18:58,119 Speaker 2: I also trust Alabama at home more, and they're not 400 00:18:58,160 --> 00:19:00,480 Speaker 2: at home. They have shot the ball way better at 401 00:19:00,480 --> 00:19:02,760 Speaker 2: home than they have on the road. We know they 402 00:19:02,760 --> 00:19:04,840 Speaker 2: don't live in the mid range. They don't take floaters much. 403 00:19:04,880 --> 00:19:07,159 Speaker 2: It's pretty much rim and three when you're talking to 404 00:19:07,200 --> 00:19:10,520 Speaker 2: Alabama and Auburn is terrific defending the rim. I think 405 00:19:10,560 --> 00:19:13,080 Speaker 2: you get the swell of that atmosphere, the way that 406 00:19:13,119 --> 00:19:17,560 Speaker 2: they elevate the Tigers in the jungle there. So I think, yeah, 407 00:19:17,600 --> 00:19:20,800 Speaker 2: Auburn gets the rebuttal victory. Matthew, They've only have one 408 00:19:20,880 --> 00:19:23,520 Speaker 2: quad one win right now. Their profile in the nca 409 00:19:23,560 --> 00:19:27,600 Speaker 2: tournament is like the resume doesn't match up with the metrics, 410 00:19:27,600 --> 00:19:29,760 Speaker 2: so they're hard to seed. I think we start to 411 00:19:29,760 --> 00:19:32,520 Speaker 2: see that correct here. I was against them last week 412 00:19:32,680 --> 00:19:35,159 Speaker 2: on the road. I thought they're kind of overvalued. But 413 00:19:35,200 --> 00:19:39,000 Speaker 2: now back home picking off riding high Alabama. Yeah, I 414 00:19:39,040 --> 00:19:39,480 Speaker 2: like Auburn. 415 00:19:39,920 --> 00:19:42,879 Speaker 3: Yeah, number five and number seven in Kempom respectively. I 416 00:19:42,960 --> 00:19:47,120 Speaker 3: still hesitant to anoint them both as true elite elite, but. 417 00:19:47,560 --> 00:19:49,000 Speaker 1: They're right there. They're knock, going to have the door. 418 00:19:49,000 --> 00:19:51,040 Speaker 3: Maybe at the end of this game I'll have some 419 00:19:51,080 --> 00:19:55,080 Speaker 3: conviction on either one the other two. To note on Wednesday, 420 00:19:55,400 --> 00:19:59,320 Speaker 3: I'm calling this the Big East Double Bubble Trouble. Two 421 00:19:59,400 --> 00:20:02,320 Speaker 3: matchups with Bubble isshes teams in action. Creighton going to 422 00:20:02,480 --> 00:20:06,720 Speaker 3: Providence Villanova going to Xavier. Villanova is just a whack 423 00:20:06,760 --> 00:20:08,440 Speaker 3: a mole type team, and it feels like their roller 424 00:20:08,440 --> 00:20:12,920 Speaker 3: coaster year is somewhat predictable in a sense. Spots seem 425 00:20:13,000 --> 00:20:14,960 Speaker 3: to be pretty obvious with this team. Whether they play 426 00:20:15,000 --> 00:20:17,160 Speaker 3: also whether they play terrible, but it all comes down 427 00:20:17,200 --> 00:20:19,959 Speaker 3: to do they make threes and do their opponents make threes? 428 00:20:20,480 --> 00:20:22,720 Speaker 3: Creton at Providence. I think the story here kai is 429 00:20:22,760 --> 00:20:25,600 Speaker 3: Bryce Hopkins not in the lineup, hasn't been for a while. 430 00:20:25,600 --> 00:20:27,760 Speaker 3: Providences still playing pretty well without them, you know, kind 431 00:20:27,760 --> 00:20:31,400 Speaker 3: of gritty, gutty, defensive minded and the Creighton jumps suit 432 00:20:31,400 --> 00:20:33,959 Speaker 3: and jays Man losing at home to Butler giving up 433 00:20:33,960 --> 00:20:36,879 Speaker 3: one hundred and fifty points or whatever that final tally was. 434 00:20:37,440 --> 00:20:40,160 Speaker 3: I am officially worried about my Jay's thoughts on either 435 00:20:40,200 --> 00:20:43,960 Speaker 3: of these two angles bets. Yeah, I've said I've been 436 00:20:44,000 --> 00:20:46,640 Speaker 3: shocked by how competitive Province has been without Hopkins. They're 437 00:20:46,640 --> 00:20:48,680 Speaker 3: five and three against the spread. But the kicker here 438 00:20:48,840 --> 00:20:50,760 Speaker 3: is they're one and two against the spread as a 439 00:20:50,760 --> 00:20:52,720 Speaker 3: favorite without Hopkins, and one of those is to Paul. 440 00:20:53,119 --> 00:20:55,240 Speaker 3: So I really do think they play better as a dog. 441 00:20:55,280 --> 00:20:57,560 Speaker 3: They just don't die they're kind of a cockroach. Game 442 00:20:57,600 --> 00:20:59,840 Speaker 3: one against Creighton, if you watch that game, Creyton got 443 00:20:59,880 --> 00:21:02,520 Speaker 3: it by as many as I mean, I want to say, 444 00:21:02,520 --> 00:21:05,199 Speaker 3: eighteen Yeah, eighteen points. It looks like it was in 445 00:21:05,240 --> 00:21:07,520 Speaker 3: the bag, and then Providence just did some voodoo magic 446 00:21:07,640 --> 00:21:10,040 Speaker 3: came back. Still almost covered that game that eleven points 447 00:21:10,040 --> 00:21:13,840 Speaker 3: spread as a pick as a small favorite. I really 448 00:21:13,920 --> 00:21:16,280 Speaker 3: don't like backing Providence here. I think Creighton's a much 449 00:21:16,320 --> 00:21:19,520 Speaker 3: better team. Again, Providence has two guys who can score. 450 00:21:19,800 --> 00:21:22,560 Speaker 3: It's Carter and o'duro. You have to think McDermott has 451 00:21:22,560 --> 00:21:24,480 Speaker 3: a good game plan the second time around here. 452 00:21:24,640 --> 00:21:25,800 Speaker 1: So I like Creighton here. 453 00:21:25,880 --> 00:21:28,960 Speaker 2: Jim Crighton's is such a strange team. Defensively, it's like 454 00:21:29,000 --> 00:21:32,040 Speaker 2: they've taken everything that people have ever talked about schematic 455 00:21:32,240 --> 00:21:35,440 Speaker 2: or like mathematically to the extreme, like we're not gonna follow, 456 00:21:35,440 --> 00:21:37,639 Speaker 2: we're not going to force turnovers, but we're going to 457 00:21:37,720 --> 00:21:39,159 Speaker 2: force you into the mid range. You won't get to 458 00:21:39,200 --> 00:21:41,880 Speaker 2: shoot threes. We have Kalkbrenner at the rim, so they're 459 00:21:41,920 --> 00:21:46,240 Speaker 2: just like trusting math and they'll get get defensive rebounds. 460 00:21:46,600 --> 00:21:48,639 Speaker 2: I just I think it can be a problem that 461 00:21:48,760 --> 00:21:53,520 Speaker 2: the other team is always comfortable and always know their spots. Yeah, 462 00:21:53,760 --> 00:21:57,000 Speaker 2: you're just not bothered by Steven Ashworth's un ball pressure 463 00:21:57,080 --> 00:22:00,160 Speaker 2: or Baylor Shireman's on ball pressure, and it lets other 464 00:22:00,160 --> 00:22:02,399 Speaker 2: teams get a little bit comfortable sometimes. And at home, 465 00:22:03,000 --> 00:22:05,560 Speaker 2: Providence kind of back against the wall. They just got 466 00:22:05,680 --> 00:22:08,840 Speaker 2: blitzed over the weekend on Sunday at Villanova kind of 467 00:22:08,840 --> 00:22:14,720 Speaker 2: an embarrassing offensive performance. I'm scared enough of Creighton's defensive 468 00:22:14,800 --> 00:22:17,320 Speaker 2: question marks on the road. I'm not going to bet 469 00:22:17,320 --> 00:22:19,359 Speaker 2: this one that I think there's a chance Providence picks 470 00:22:19,400 --> 00:22:21,200 Speaker 2: up a huge eNCA tournament resume win. 471 00:22:22,040 --> 00:22:23,960 Speaker 3: I think I lean that way, But you mentioned the 472 00:22:24,440 --> 00:22:27,760 Speaker 3: Villanova game from the weekend against Province, which is why 473 00:22:27,760 --> 00:22:29,720 Speaker 3: I think it sets up for a good spot for Xavier, 474 00:22:29,840 --> 00:22:31,840 Speaker 3: especially at home, who has been, you know, one of 475 00:22:31,880 --> 00:22:35,439 Speaker 3: the strongest home versus road split teams in the country. Now, 476 00:22:35,520 --> 00:22:38,199 Speaker 3: they just went into De Paul and one by a million, 477 00:22:38,200 --> 00:22:40,560 Speaker 3: but that's a that's doesn't count because De Paul's not 478 00:22:40,680 --> 00:22:43,600 Speaker 3: a real team at this point. I think Xavier minus three, 479 00:22:43,720 --> 00:22:46,080 Speaker 3: if that's what the actual number opens, is what kem 480 00:22:46,160 --> 00:22:46,600 Speaker 3: Pom has it. 481 00:22:46,680 --> 00:22:47,760 Speaker 1: Kai is a great wager. 482 00:22:48,119 --> 00:22:49,920 Speaker 3: I will be on the x Men if I can 483 00:22:49,920 --> 00:22:51,440 Speaker 3: find that price, I'm sure I'll be shaded up a 484 00:22:51,480 --> 00:22:54,000 Speaker 3: little bit given the markets. So in tune to to 485 00:22:54,119 --> 00:22:58,600 Speaker 3: Nova and especially Xavier at home. But we'll see on Thursday. 486 00:22:59,200 --> 00:23:01,199 Speaker 3: Not a lot of action, I'll be honest, kind of 487 00:23:01,280 --> 00:23:05,600 Speaker 3: light week slate, Sorry PAC twelve fans. We will mention 488 00:23:05,680 --> 00:23:08,800 Speaker 3: Arizona at Utah could be a real doozy up on 489 00:23:08,840 --> 00:23:12,120 Speaker 3: the Mountain. Key injury question marks for the Utes here. 490 00:23:12,960 --> 00:23:15,320 Speaker 3: Who's gonna play? Utah did get that big one at 491 00:23:15,320 --> 00:23:18,720 Speaker 3: home despite being short handed against Colorado, but I still 492 00:23:18,720 --> 00:23:20,240 Speaker 3: think they're gonna need all their hands on deck to 493 00:23:20,240 --> 00:23:23,840 Speaker 3: beat Arizona. Ki Roley Wooster not in the lineup. I 494 00:23:23,920 --> 00:23:25,080 Speaker 3: think he's key in this matchup. 495 00:23:25,080 --> 00:23:25,520 Speaker 1: What do you think? 496 00:23:26,000 --> 00:23:28,840 Speaker 3: Yeah, I think he's he lovering came back. That's huge 497 00:23:28,880 --> 00:23:32,000 Speaker 3: against Arizona's front line. Yeah, it's kind of the same 498 00:23:32,400 --> 00:23:34,800 Speaker 3: story a little bit. As the SEC teams Arizona on 499 00:23:34,800 --> 00:23:37,800 Speaker 3: the road, they haven't been you know, fantastic teams. They're 500 00:23:37,800 --> 00:23:40,240 Speaker 3: certainly shooting well against them, let's just caveat that. But 501 00:23:40,640 --> 00:23:42,600 Speaker 3: their three losses in conference play have been on the 502 00:23:42,640 --> 00:23:47,120 Speaker 3: road Stanford, Wazoo, Oregon State, and they've had a couple 503 00:23:47,200 --> 00:23:49,160 Speaker 3: wins there, but they're just certainly not the same team. 504 00:23:49,640 --> 00:23:51,919 Speaker 3: Utah one of the toughest places to play in the 505 00:23:52,000 --> 00:23:55,720 Speaker 3: entire country. I would be very hesitant to back Arizona 506 00:23:55,800 --> 00:23:59,280 Speaker 3: at a big ish number here. I'm not sure what 507 00:23:59,320 --> 00:24:01,200 Speaker 3: you taught, like plus three or something, because I still 508 00:24:01,240 --> 00:24:03,480 Speaker 3: think the Wildcats are the best team in the country. 509 00:24:04,480 --> 00:24:08,840 Speaker 3: But yeah, I would. Man, it's really spread depending here, Jim. 510 00:24:09,040 --> 00:24:12,080 Speaker 3: If it's like six, I'm leaning towards Utah. It was 511 00:24:12,160 --> 00:24:13,800 Speaker 3: like three, I'd lean towards Arizona. 512 00:24:14,400 --> 00:24:15,080 Speaker 1: Yeah, I buy that. 513 00:24:15,320 --> 00:24:17,440 Speaker 2: And just to back up what you're saying with Arizona 514 00:24:17,440 --> 00:24:20,280 Speaker 2: on the road, teams are shooting forty three percent from 515 00:24:20,320 --> 00:24:23,119 Speaker 2: three when Arizona's on the road, like Oregon State let 516 00:24:23,200 --> 00:24:27,439 Speaker 2: them up Stanford. Yeah, and Stanford SHOT's sixty four percent 517 00:24:27,520 --> 00:24:31,880 Speaker 2: or something from three at Maple Pavilion. So I don't 518 00:24:31,880 --> 00:24:34,480 Speaker 2: think Arizona's is flawed on the road, as people maybe 519 00:24:34,520 --> 00:24:36,040 Speaker 2: making it out to be, because it's been a little 520 00:24:36,040 --> 00:24:39,840 Speaker 2: bit of outlier performances. However, I'm not anxious to backtime 521 00:24:39,880 --> 00:24:41,520 Speaker 2: on the mountain trip. You're going to Utah and then 522 00:24:41,520 --> 00:24:44,840 Speaker 2: you got Colorado over the weekend. I think if they 523 00:24:44,960 --> 00:24:48,199 Speaker 2: beat or if they beat Utah, you bet Colorado on 524 00:24:48,760 --> 00:24:51,959 Speaker 2: over the weekend, and vice versa. If Utah takes them 525 00:24:52,000 --> 00:24:53,639 Speaker 2: down here, I think you get a bounce back. But 526 00:24:53,680 --> 00:24:56,640 Speaker 2: this feels like a big time split the Mountain trip. 527 00:24:56,680 --> 00:24:59,879 Speaker 3: Matthew, Yeah, I would agree with that. Real quick shouts 528 00:25:00,080 --> 00:25:00,800 Speaker 3: to Friday. 529 00:25:01,800 --> 00:25:05,400 Speaker 1: Why let football have all the fun. Let's bet Friday 530 00:25:05,480 --> 00:25:08,520 Speaker 1: night lights. We have Dayton at VCU. 531 00:25:08,600 --> 00:25:11,800 Speaker 3: You boys were both just at Dayton Arena last weekend. 532 00:25:11,880 --> 00:25:14,639 Speaker 3: Now they go to Richmond to take on the Rams, 533 00:25:14,640 --> 00:25:16,760 Speaker 3: who are obviously trending up right now. Battle from the 534 00:25:16,800 --> 00:25:18,720 Speaker 3: top of the A ten. Dayton at eight to one, 535 00:25:18,880 --> 00:25:22,360 Speaker 3: Richmond eight and one, VCU at six and three, still 536 00:25:22,400 --> 00:25:24,960 Speaker 3: two games back. I think VCU at home here gets 537 00:25:24,960 --> 00:25:27,080 Speaker 3: it done. I just think it's an ugly, low scoring game. 538 00:25:27,160 --> 00:25:30,119 Speaker 3: The way the Rams have been defending has been fairly impressive. 539 00:25:30,560 --> 00:25:32,600 Speaker 3: As awesome as Dayton's ben I do feel like they 540 00:25:32,640 --> 00:25:34,600 Speaker 3: are a body short. I worry about their depth. Kay, 541 00:25:34,680 --> 00:25:36,440 Speaker 3: any take on Dayton VC real quick here before we 542 00:25:36,520 --> 00:25:39,200 Speaker 3: get to the mid majors, the Truman majors. I guess 543 00:25:39,200 --> 00:25:41,480 Speaker 3: I'd pay attention for recording this on Tuesday, but I'd 544 00:25:41,480 --> 00:25:44,439 Speaker 3: pay attention to what happens tonight between Dayton and Saint Jose. 545 00:25:44,600 --> 00:25:47,240 Speaker 3: If Dayton drops that game, it's hard to see Dayton 546 00:25:47,320 --> 00:25:48,840 Speaker 3: dropping two in a row in this league. They are 547 00:25:48,880 --> 00:25:50,640 Speaker 3: that good, you know, Jim and I saw this team 548 00:25:50,680 --> 00:25:54,280 Speaker 3: in person last weekend as well. They are incredible. Doron 549 00:25:54,280 --> 00:25:57,520 Speaker 3: Holmes is unstoppable. VCU has no chance against Doron Holmes, 550 00:25:57,600 --> 00:25:58,640 Speaker 3: absolutely zero chance. 551 00:26:00,400 --> 00:26:00,600 Speaker 1: Man. 552 00:26:01,000 --> 00:26:03,560 Speaker 3: VC is tough at home, man, but I really hesitate 553 00:26:03,640 --> 00:26:05,920 Speaker 3: to bet to fade Dayton in this league. 554 00:26:06,200 --> 00:26:08,720 Speaker 2: Yeah, VC, you also got to figure out Bearstoe's status. 555 00:26:08,560 --> 00:26:11,440 Speaker 1: He missed last game, should be back today. 556 00:26:11,560 --> 00:26:13,800 Speaker 2: Has been to this solid piece for them. Supposed to 557 00:26:13,800 --> 00:26:17,600 Speaker 2: play this week's Ford Tom Kai saying, yeah, this one 558 00:26:17,640 --> 00:26:19,720 Speaker 2: that it's hard to You can't get a feel for 559 00:26:19,760 --> 00:26:21,760 Speaker 2: the spot without knowing what happens in the Tuesday night. 560 00:26:21,840 --> 00:26:23,680 Speaker 1: Yeah, and I think I was there as well. 561 00:26:23,680 --> 00:26:26,720 Speaker 2: Give it anything strong. I'm sure the Friday BBOC pod 562 00:26:26,760 --> 00:26:28,040 Speaker 2: will have a quick take on that game. 563 00:26:28,400 --> 00:26:30,959 Speaker 3: All right, Mid Majors, we got a couple of doozies 564 00:26:31,520 --> 00:26:34,840 Speaker 3: this week. Wednesday high Point at unc Asheville. We're going 565 00:26:34,840 --> 00:26:37,240 Speaker 3: to the Big South. High Point has been the darling 566 00:26:37,520 --> 00:26:40,120 Speaker 3: of the Mid major kingdom this year. Twenty and four 567 00:26:40,200 --> 00:26:43,359 Speaker 3: overall nine to zero in the league. Mister McKeon going 568 00:26:43,359 --> 00:26:45,440 Speaker 3: to unc Asheville, this should be a round to pick 569 00:26:45,640 --> 00:26:48,480 Speaker 3: because unc Ashville, who got bludgeoned in some non con 570 00:26:48,560 --> 00:26:51,520 Speaker 3: games stepping up in class, has been cruising throughout the 571 00:26:51,520 --> 00:26:53,840 Speaker 3: Big South as they did last year, led by Drew 572 00:26:53,880 --> 00:26:57,440 Speaker 3: pember our boy, the ponytail King, the long haired King. 573 00:26:57,960 --> 00:27:00,480 Speaker 3: But high Point got two miles back last out that 574 00:27:00,560 --> 00:27:02,840 Speaker 3: it matters because his sidekick has a gift that has 575 00:27:02,840 --> 00:27:05,240 Speaker 3: been an absolute star. This game is gonna be awesome. 576 00:27:05,760 --> 00:27:07,920 Speaker 3: I don't really have a hard take or hard lean 577 00:27:07,960 --> 00:27:09,359 Speaker 3: in this game. I just wanted to call it to 578 00:27:09,440 --> 00:27:11,720 Speaker 3: your attention as a college basketball fan listener, you should 579 00:27:11,720 --> 00:27:13,600 Speaker 3: be watching this game if you can get on your television. 580 00:27:14,320 --> 00:27:16,200 Speaker 1: Kaivt's around a pick while you have an angle a 581 00:27:16,320 --> 00:27:17,240 Speaker 1: leen in this one. 582 00:27:18,320 --> 00:27:21,360 Speaker 3: Ashville is my lean. You know, high Point's been fantastic, 583 00:27:21,440 --> 00:27:23,960 Speaker 3: but I still think this team is better. You know 584 00:27:24,040 --> 00:27:27,000 Speaker 3: at home. We certainly saw that to an extreme last season. 585 00:27:27,040 --> 00:27:28,840 Speaker 3: This year they have been covering on the road in 586 00:27:28,880 --> 00:27:32,040 Speaker 3: conference play, though, interestingly enough, despite being nine to zero 587 00:27:32,119 --> 00:27:34,679 Speaker 3: high point five and four against the spread, teams are 588 00:27:34,760 --> 00:27:38,000 Speaker 3: competing against them Presbyteria took them to the wire. Winthrop 589 00:27:38,000 --> 00:27:40,400 Speaker 3: took them to the wire both those games on the road. 590 00:27:40,440 --> 00:27:43,520 Speaker 3: Asheville even had this game within one point at high 591 00:27:43,560 --> 00:27:46,920 Speaker 3: Point when they played earlier this season. I think Ashville 592 00:27:46,960 --> 00:27:48,800 Speaker 3: gets it done. It's a team that I thought would 593 00:27:48,800 --> 00:27:51,280 Speaker 3: be the best in the league coming into the year 594 00:27:51,359 --> 00:27:53,520 Speaker 3: along with Winthrop, and I still think they have a 595 00:27:53,600 --> 00:27:55,160 Speaker 3: chance to be. They're going to have the best player 596 00:27:55,160 --> 00:27:57,399 Speaker 3: on the floor and member that's always going to give 597 00:27:57,440 --> 00:28:00,440 Speaker 3: you an advantage to win. Obviously, being at home helps out, 598 00:28:00,480 --> 00:28:01,720 Speaker 3: so I lean towards Ashville. 599 00:28:02,160 --> 00:28:04,720 Speaker 2: Yeah, if high Point wins this, they're taking their ball 600 00:28:04,760 --> 00:28:06,520 Speaker 2: and going home in Big South play like they're going 601 00:28:06,520 --> 00:28:09,920 Speaker 2: to be a major league at the top of the standings. 602 00:28:10,760 --> 00:28:12,639 Speaker 2: But high Point on the road. You mentioned the home 603 00:28:12,720 --> 00:28:16,600 Speaker 2: road splits defensively, like they're just much better at home. 604 00:28:16,680 --> 00:28:19,480 Speaker 2: Sounds like a compliment, but they're just that bad defensively 605 00:28:19,520 --> 00:28:21,879 Speaker 2: on the road, like they can't guard anybody. If you 606 00:28:21,920 --> 00:28:24,440 Speaker 2: filter Bart Torrik for just road games, they're three hundred 607 00:28:24,480 --> 00:28:28,440 Speaker 2: and fourth nationally in defense when playing in the road. 608 00:28:29,000 --> 00:28:32,200 Speaker 2: Asheville can really score. So, Matt, this feels like over 609 00:28:32,800 --> 00:28:35,520 Speaker 2: and I do think Asheville gets it done and keeps 610 00:28:35,560 --> 00:28:38,560 Speaker 2: this race at least somewhat close down the stretch of February. 611 00:28:38,640 --> 00:28:41,360 Speaker 3: Here, it does feel like an over I don't Yeah, 612 00:28:41,440 --> 00:28:44,080 Speaker 3: high points defense is I feel like they can play 613 00:28:44,120 --> 00:28:46,640 Speaker 3: defense when they're engaged. They just haven't been engaged all 614 00:28:46,680 --> 00:28:48,560 Speaker 3: that much this year because they're always up by ten 615 00:28:48,600 --> 00:28:49,200 Speaker 3: points or more. 616 00:28:49,280 --> 00:28:50,160 Speaker 1: So we'll see. 617 00:28:50,200 --> 00:28:52,720 Speaker 3: You could actually argue the defense is undervalued, but I'm 618 00:28:52,720 --> 00:28:54,440 Speaker 3: not going to go there. I think Pember could actually 619 00:28:54,480 --> 00:28:57,640 Speaker 3: expose them. A quick nod to a Thursday showdown, and 620 00:28:57,680 --> 00:29:00,960 Speaker 3: we've been hitting the coastal is probably known as the 621 00:29:01,000 --> 00:29:05,200 Speaker 3: Colonial pretty hard. In this section, UNC Wilmington at Drexel rematch, 622 00:29:05,280 --> 00:29:07,560 Speaker 3: Kai teed up two teams the top of the totem 623 00:29:07,560 --> 00:29:11,680 Speaker 3: pole there. Drexel took down the Seahawks way back in 624 00:29:11,720 --> 00:29:15,200 Speaker 3: early January. Now the revenge spot starts up here. 625 00:29:15,600 --> 00:29:16,080 Speaker 1: What do you like? 626 00:29:16,120 --> 00:29:18,000 Speaker 3: I think this is a low scoring rock fight that 627 00:29:18,200 --> 00:29:22,160 Speaker 3: the Seahawks prevail on. Yeah, it's Wilmington at Trask For me, Matthews, 628 00:29:22,240 --> 00:29:26,960 Speaker 3: Game one was shooting split bonanza. Drexel forty seven percent 629 00:29:27,000 --> 00:29:29,680 Speaker 3: from three and Wilmington was twenty percent. I don't think 630 00:29:29,680 --> 00:29:31,960 Speaker 3: that's even close to reality. Between these two teams. Not 631 00:29:32,000 --> 00:29:34,800 Speaker 3: that Wilmington's shot well at all this season, but Drexel 632 00:29:35,160 --> 00:29:37,640 Speaker 3: shooting that well is an aberration. They've been shooting that 633 00:29:37,640 --> 00:29:40,440 Speaker 3: well in conference play all year. I think it's due 634 00:29:40,440 --> 00:29:43,200 Speaker 3: to regress, you know. Ats wise, they're one and four 635 00:29:43,280 --> 00:29:45,760 Speaker 3: last five. They've been struggling lately. That's kind of what 636 00:29:45,760 --> 00:29:48,760 Speaker 3: we expected. They're a solid team, but it's mainly the 637 00:29:48,800 --> 00:29:53,200 Speaker 3: defensive end. They stagnate like crazy offensively. I think at 638 00:29:53,360 --> 00:29:56,920 Speaker 3: UNC Wilmington arguably the best home court advantage in the conference. 639 00:29:57,440 --> 00:29:59,920 Speaker 3: I think that comes that comes to fruition in this one. 640 00:30:00,160 --> 00:30:01,560 Speaker 3: So I like Wilmington here. 641 00:30:01,640 --> 00:30:05,000 Speaker 2: Jim, Yeah, I just again, I don't think Drexel is 642 00:30:05,240 --> 00:30:08,080 Speaker 2: the clear cut best team that's going to start to 643 00:30:08,120 --> 00:30:11,760 Speaker 2: separate atop the standings and going to such a difficult environment, 644 00:30:11,760 --> 00:30:14,760 Speaker 2: it's going to be packed house, sold out. Even if 645 00:30:14,880 --> 00:30:17,760 Speaker 2: Wellington gets down early. We've seen over the past year 646 00:30:17,760 --> 00:30:20,600 Speaker 2: and a half this loves to come back from any 647 00:30:20,720 --> 00:30:23,560 Speaker 2: kind of deficit, mostly double digits last year. 648 00:30:23,560 --> 00:30:25,200 Speaker 1: But I don't think they get down double digits here. 649 00:30:25,920 --> 00:30:28,400 Speaker 2: They've got enough bodies to kind of throw at Maury 650 00:30:28,440 --> 00:30:31,640 Speaker 2: Williams inside. It's not like they're going to dominate that matchup, 651 00:30:31,640 --> 00:30:33,720 Speaker 2: but they can neutralize him a little bit. And I 652 00:30:33,800 --> 00:30:36,320 Speaker 2: just trust Trexel, especially justin More a lot less on 653 00:30:36,360 --> 00:30:38,880 Speaker 2: the road Matthew. He can be very erratic in the 654 00:30:38,880 --> 00:30:41,440 Speaker 2: back court for the Dragons, and I think this one 655 00:30:41,640 --> 00:30:44,160 Speaker 2: sets up like a sort of down performance for him. 656 00:30:44,880 --> 00:30:46,760 Speaker 3: Yeah, we thought Direx would be good, but I think 657 00:30:46,760 --> 00:30:49,040 Speaker 3: we all agree we don't trust them in certain spots. 658 00:30:49,080 --> 00:30:51,080 Speaker 3: It's just we've seen enough of the bad too much 659 00:30:51,120 --> 00:30:53,120 Speaker 3: where you know, I know what they truly are. Their 660 00:30:53,160 --> 00:30:56,120 Speaker 3: true colors may shine through here exposed at that rockets 661 00:30:56,240 --> 00:30:59,800 Speaker 3: trask environment. All Right, we pivot to the trash man 662 00:31:00,280 --> 00:31:02,560 Speaker 3: of the week. We'll hit it quick and we'll move forward, 663 00:31:02,600 --> 00:31:04,280 Speaker 3: because nothing exciting to talk about here. 664 00:31:04,480 --> 00:31:08,000 Speaker 1: The trash man pick of the week. I'm the trash man. 665 00:31:08,320 --> 00:31:11,360 Speaker 1: Just throw me the trash, your garbage, and you know it, 666 00:31:11,680 --> 00:31:15,120 Speaker 1: totally unreliable, undependable it that's it. You've been told off. 667 00:31:15,160 --> 00:31:15,720 Speaker 3: How do you like that? 668 00:31:16,160 --> 00:31:16,440 Speaker 1: Good? 669 00:31:17,440 --> 00:31:20,600 Speaker 3: I wanted to give our patriot brethren a reprieve from 670 00:31:20,640 --> 00:31:23,680 Speaker 3: being battered and slapped around on this section, so I 671 00:31:23,680 --> 00:31:27,000 Speaker 3: wanted to rise up in class to find some trash 672 00:31:27,080 --> 00:31:28,800 Speaker 3: in the middle of the trash pile. 673 00:31:28,840 --> 00:31:29,840 Speaker 1: The bigger trash pile. 674 00:31:30,440 --> 00:31:34,959 Speaker 3: I find Illanoi Chicago at Illinois State. Who cares Missouri 675 00:31:35,080 --> 00:31:39,360 Speaker 3: Valley game on Wednesday? Interesting angle there here, though, Luke Yaklich, 676 00:31:40,040 --> 00:31:44,160 Speaker 3: former Illinois State man, going back to his former stopping grounds. 677 00:31:44,600 --> 00:31:47,600 Speaker 3: Two bad teams here. Kempom has an Illinois State minus three. 678 00:31:47,640 --> 00:31:50,560 Speaker 3: I think the Flames, who are one and eleven and 679 00:31:50,640 --> 00:31:52,800 Speaker 3: now down to two hundred and Kempom after getting as 680 00:31:52,840 --> 00:31:53,200 Speaker 3: high as. 681 00:31:53,120 --> 00:31:54,320 Speaker 1: One hundred and fifteenth. 682 00:31:54,320 --> 00:31:57,120 Speaker 3: I think in early non conference I think at this 683 00:31:57,200 --> 00:32:00,520 Speaker 3: road went Jim. But any take on my trash I 684 00:32:00,520 --> 00:32:02,280 Speaker 3: guess was my question to you? 685 00:32:02,320 --> 00:32:04,400 Speaker 2: No, I just I have no interest in either of 686 00:32:04,400 --> 00:32:07,000 Speaker 2: these teams. I actually thought Illinois State had been worse 687 00:32:07,040 --> 00:32:09,960 Speaker 2: against the spread in league play. They're only five and seven, 688 00:32:10,560 --> 00:32:13,440 Speaker 2: But Illinoi Chicago is one and eleven against the spread 689 00:32:13,480 --> 00:32:17,520 Speaker 2: in league play. Not just straight upstandings, they're the worst ATS. 690 00:32:17,680 --> 00:32:19,360 Speaker 2: We talked about it a little in last week's episode 691 00:32:19,360 --> 00:32:22,240 Speaker 2: in Kaive spotlight section. But they're the worst ATS team 692 00:32:22,240 --> 00:32:25,320 Speaker 2: in league play in the country. Not a horse I'm 693 00:32:25,360 --> 00:32:27,880 Speaker 2: excited to back, so I will stay away from this. Kai. 694 00:32:28,040 --> 00:32:30,840 Speaker 2: I also know that I've been terrible betting State of 695 00:32:30,840 --> 00:32:34,840 Speaker 2: Illinois teams while living here, so it's been it's stay 696 00:32:34,880 --> 00:32:35,920 Speaker 2: away for old Jimbo. 697 00:32:36,480 --> 00:32:38,520 Speaker 3: Yeah, it's one of the most wild splits in the country. 698 00:32:38,560 --> 00:32:42,080 Speaker 3: From an ATS perspective, UIC was eight and two against 699 00:32:42,080 --> 00:32:44,280 Speaker 3: the spread in non con and now they're one and 700 00:32:44,320 --> 00:32:47,720 Speaker 3: eleven against the spread in valley play. It's almost like 701 00:32:47,720 --> 00:32:50,680 Speaker 3: a total give up. I'm not sure what the issue 702 00:32:50,720 --> 00:32:53,560 Speaker 3: is I and against Illinois State. Look, they're not a 703 00:32:53,600 --> 00:32:55,960 Speaker 3: world beater, but they have some talent on their team. 704 00:32:56,000 --> 00:32:58,840 Speaker 3: They're a really old, experienced squad. They've they have won 705 00:32:58,920 --> 00:33:02,440 Speaker 3: five games in league play. Number one free throw temp 706 00:33:02,520 --> 00:33:04,120 Speaker 3: rate in the league against the team that fouls the 707 00:33:04,160 --> 00:33:06,120 Speaker 3: most is a pretty good start. You I see not 708 00:33:06,240 --> 00:33:09,240 Speaker 3: very disciplined this season Illinois Stay due for some aggression 709 00:33:09,280 --> 00:33:11,320 Speaker 3: to shooting wise in conference play. 710 00:33:11,360 --> 00:33:13,120 Speaker 1: I lean towards the Red Birds here. 711 00:33:13,680 --> 00:33:17,040 Speaker 3: Nothing strong, and again, like Matt said, it's the trash 712 00:33:17,080 --> 00:33:19,120 Speaker 3: Man pick of the week for a reason, and my 713 00:33:19,280 --> 00:33:22,880 Speaker 3: second piece of trash for Thursday. I have zero interest 714 00:33:22,960 --> 00:33:25,680 Speaker 3: in backing Sienna the Saints who had a little bit 715 00:33:25,720 --> 00:33:29,920 Speaker 3: a glimmer of hope when they got Sean d'Or gordon back, 716 00:33:30,160 --> 00:33:32,360 Speaker 3: and now they're just back to being absolutely awful. I 717 00:33:32,400 --> 00:33:34,560 Speaker 3: bet them against Ryder and I think they were down 718 00:33:34,560 --> 00:33:37,400 Speaker 3: to fifty with him the first five minutes. They will 719 00:33:37,400 --> 00:33:40,920 Speaker 3: be hosting the Red Foxes of Marist. Let's just move forward. 720 00:33:41,000 --> 00:33:46,880 Speaker 3: Any take on this game, guys, impossible team to get right. 721 00:33:47,240 --> 00:33:50,360 Speaker 3: They covered last game, but they were down twenty again 722 00:33:50,440 --> 00:33:53,080 Speaker 3: versus to Mount Saint Mary's. It's a really hard team 723 00:33:53,120 --> 00:33:53,520 Speaker 3: to get right. 724 00:33:53,920 --> 00:33:57,040 Speaker 2: If any of the three of Eely do or Gordon 725 00:33:57,040 --> 00:33:59,080 Speaker 2: and tech In are out, I think they're just like 726 00:33:59,120 --> 00:34:02,040 Speaker 2: a artist of AA is likely an under and Techan 727 00:34:02,160 --> 00:34:03,800 Speaker 2: was out last game and banged up. 728 00:34:03,920 --> 00:34:08,840 Speaker 3: So yeah, Well let's check off Cia, so Cianna, Detroit, Mercy, IPUI. 729 00:34:08,960 --> 00:34:11,279 Speaker 3: We mentioned that's three of the bottom five teams in 730 00:34:11,280 --> 00:34:14,759 Speaker 3: the country. On this program, we cover every team. We 731 00:34:14,800 --> 00:34:17,799 Speaker 3: mean it, We take it seriously. Here spotlight on our 732 00:34:17,840 --> 00:34:21,520 Speaker 3: final section, Matty Macros, we're talking some conference trends. 733 00:34:22,880 --> 00:34:25,160 Speaker 1: Just a quick little trivia batch for you guys. 734 00:34:25,239 --> 00:34:29,640 Speaker 3: In superlative fashion, went through the Ken Palm conference only page. 735 00:34:29,680 --> 00:34:31,319 Speaker 3: Fun little page for those who don't use that tool 736 00:34:31,320 --> 00:34:34,360 Speaker 3: out there, kind of see how conferences are trending. You know, 737 00:34:34,400 --> 00:34:36,440 Speaker 3: it sort of explains a lot of the Macro There 738 00:34:36,440 --> 00:34:40,200 Speaker 3: are lots of overs or unders favorites dogs home road splits, 739 00:34:40,239 --> 00:34:44,040 Speaker 3: which we've talked about in prior weeks, but a pretty 740 00:34:44,080 --> 00:34:46,880 Speaker 3: good sample at this point February sixth. So my question 741 00:34:46,960 --> 00:34:51,040 Speaker 3: to you both trivia, what is the most efficient conference today? 742 00:34:51,160 --> 00:34:54,440 Speaker 2: Jim, I had two guesses. I'm going I'm gonna hog 743 00:34:54,520 --> 00:34:57,080 Speaker 2: the ball and guess too, either the WCC or the 744 00:34:57,080 --> 00:34:59,080 Speaker 2: A Sun or my two guesses. 745 00:34:58,880 --> 00:35:02,760 Speaker 3: The A Sun is is correct, which makes sense given 746 00:35:03,719 --> 00:35:05,439 Speaker 3: let me actually who's leading the charge in the sun. 747 00:35:07,320 --> 00:35:09,279 Speaker 1: Everybody? Eastern Kentucky, no one. 748 00:35:09,640 --> 00:35:11,680 Speaker 2: No one plays any defense except Eastern Kentucky. 749 00:35:11,760 --> 00:35:12,440 Speaker 1: Except it's right. 750 00:35:12,440 --> 00:35:14,120 Speaker 3: They're they're they're the outlier, and there's a reason why 751 00:35:14,200 --> 00:35:16,120 Speaker 3: they're probably a top the standing. It's basically like the 752 00:35:16,160 --> 00:35:18,480 Speaker 3: North Dakota State of the Summer in years past, like 753 00:35:18,560 --> 00:35:20,440 Speaker 3: the reason they always win are always good because it's 754 00:35:20,440 --> 00:35:22,840 Speaker 3: the only team that actually plays defense. 755 00:35:23,360 --> 00:35:25,120 Speaker 1: The least efficient conference. 756 00:35:26,760 --> 00:35:28,319 Speaker 2: I want k to guess that because I don't have 757 00:35:28,360 --> 00:35:29,720 Speaker 2: a I don't have a good guess. 758 00:35:29,920 --> 00:35:35,240 Speaker 3: The Swack close if you catch yes, the mes actually 759 00:35:35,280 --> 00:35:37,480 Speaker 3: a whole two points worse than the Swack. So Miak 760 00:35:37,640 --> 00:35:40,359 Speaker 3: really really struggling to throw in the ocean up there 761 00:35:40,640 --> 00:35:44,799 Speaker 3: below one hundred, below an average of less than one 762 00:35:44,840 --> 00:35:45,560 Speaker 3: points possession. 763 00:35:45,640 --> 00:35:46,880 Speaker 1: Not great there, Bob. 764 00:35:48,040 --> 00:35:51,920 Speaker 2: And State Maryland Eastern Shore game, Matthew, and it was horrendous. 765 00:35:51,920 --> 00:35:54,200 Speaker 2: I think it went to overtime and understill was was 766 00:35:54,320 --> 00:35:55,040 Speaker 2: very very safe. 767 00:35:55,719 --> 00:35:57,560 Speaker 1: I'd ask why, But we don't need to get to 768 00:35:57,640 --> 00:35:58,080 Speaker 1: that now, Jim. 769 00:35:58,120 --> 00:35:59,600 Speaker 2: I think I appreciated that. 770 00:36:00,000 --> 00:36:00,920 Speaker 1: Okay, Yeah, there you go. 771 00:36:01,760 --> 00:36:05,640 Speaker 3: The most foul prone conference, basically the which conference is 772 00:36:05,719 --> 00:36:11,160 Speaker 3: most annoying to watch from a flow perspective, Go West, 773 00:36:11,280 --> 00:36:14,960 Speaker 3: Kai to you go West is my goal. Whack forty 774 00:36:14,960 --> 00:36:17,719 Speaker 3: two percent of foul rate. And I've heard a ton 775 00:36:17,760 --> 00:36:20,000 Speaker 3: of groaning on Twitter from Whack fans about how the 776 00:36:20,040 --> 00:36:23,239 Speaker 3: referees have just taken over those games. But I also 777 00:36:23,320 --> 00:36:25,359 Speaker 3: think those teams foul a lot, They pressed a lot. 778 00:36:25,440 --> 00:36:32,000 Speaker 1: There's a league, right, these are teams in the foul constantly. 779 00:36:32,680 --> 00:36:34,480 Speaker 3: So on Twitter, I did not say this, but I 780 00:36:34,480 --> 00:36:36,160 Speaker 3: wanted to say, look in the mirror, all of you, 781 00:36:37,600 --> 00:36:40,360 Speaker 3: what is the least foul prone league, Jim, most flow 782 00:36:40,800 --> 00:36:43,759 Speaker 3: to these games, probably not as good for overs potentially. 783 00:36:44,800 --> 00:36:47,279 Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm thinking either Ivy or Patriot is Mike. 784 00:36:47,640 --> 00:36:51,280 Speaker 3: It's just the smart the smart leagues, right, technically sound smart, 785 00:36:51,280 --> 00:36:52,120 Speaker 3: that's exactly. 786 00:36:51,920 --> 00:36:53,720 Speaker 2: Right and execution based. 787 00:36:53,880 --> 00:36:57,800 Speaker 3: Yeah, yes, that Yelle Princeton game was just awesome. Cornell 788 00:36:57,920 --> 00:37:02,080 Speaker 3: saying what even Cornell presses, they don't Vallaton best home 789 00:37:02,120 --> 00:37:05,799 Speaker 3: winning percentage? KAI, what conference has been the friendliest to 790 00:37:05,800 --> 00:37:08,120 Speaker 3: the home teams? We talked about this tangentially a few 791 00:37:08,160 --> 00:37:09,959 Speaker 3: weeks ago. But where are we at right now? 792 00:37:10,280 --> 00:37:12,920 Speaker 1: I'm going to guess the Big ten and I'm going 793 00:37:13,120 --> 00:37:13,399 Speaker 1: up there. 794 00:37:13,440 --> 00:37:15,560 Speaker 2: Therefore, it is a Conference USA. 795 00:37:16,040 --> 00:37:19,240 Speaker 3: Conference USA is number one GYM twenty eight and seven 796 00:37:19,760 --> 00:37:21,640 Speaker 3: eight win rate home. 797 00:37:21,719 --> 00:37:24,840 Speaker 2: I wonder adding like New Mexico State to that is 798 00:37:24,920 --> 00:37:27,360 Speaker 2: part of that, like a lot tougher travel. 799 00:37:27,600 --> 00:37:31,560 Speaker 3: YEP, you've got the ute trip and fiu U Western Kentucky. 800 00:37:31,560 --> 00:37:33,440 Speaker 3: It's just like it's sort of like the whack, but 801 00:37:33,600 --> 00:37:36,960 Speaker 3: like the L is the vertical and then the horednal 802 00:37:37,080 --> 00:37:37,600 Speaker 3: is the. 803 00:37:37,640 --> 00:37:39,839 Speaker 1: Is the Conference USA. It's just a weird setup there. 804 00:37:41,480 --> 00:37:45,160 Speaker 3: Yeah, A Sun second, Pac twelve, third, Hi Big ten, 805 00:37:45,320 --> 00:37:49,120 Speaker 3: fourth in Big twelve, fifth, Mountain West sixth, WHAX seven. 806 00:37:49,160 --> 00:37:51,399 Speaker 3: So basically all of those make total sense in terms 807 00:37:51,440 --> 00:37:54,799 Speaker 3: of best home win percentages. How about the worst And 808 00:37:54,920 --> 00:37:58,279 Speaker 3: the answer to this question is sub five hundred home 809 00:37:58,320 --> 00:38:00,799 Speaker 3: teams are actually below five hundred and is conference kai. 810 00:38:01,719 --> 00:38:05,880 Speaker 3: This one makes sense to Northeast, I'll go close, but 811 00:38:06,000 --> 00:38:10,000 Speaker 3: no cigar Jim uh hatred mm hmm. 812 00:38:10,920 --> 00:38:12,719 Speaker 1: That's true Atlantics mm hmm. 813 00:38:13,600 --> 00:38:19,200 Speaker 3: Vermont Vermont Park East, uh sixteen and twenty. Our home 814 00:38:19,200 --> 00:38:21,359 Speaker 3: teams tough. 815 00:38:21,320 --> 00:38:23,040 Speaker 2: So you want to be playing on the road. 816 00:38:23,040 --> 00:38:24,560 Speaker 1: It's what I was getting was bad. 817 00:38:25,239 --> 00:38:27,560 Speaker 3: Interesting because that conference tournament, I believe is all home 818 00:38:27,640 --> 00:38:29,879 Speaker 3: venues again or they change that this year. So maybe 819 00:38:29,960 --> 00:38:32,120 Speaker 3: you're you actually are gonna be fine if you're not hosting. 820 00:38:32,160 --> 00:38:33,480 Speaker 3: But Vermont always wins, so it doesn't matter. 821 00:38:33,480 --> 00:38:35,799 Speaker 1: It's not worth discussing the Vermont Invitational. 822 00:38:36,000 --> 00:38:40,360 Speaker 3: Nons hateal exactly, a final two for here, the fastest 823 00:38:40,440 --> 00:38:47,960 Speaker 3: league playing well for overs, Jim, it's wack or your sons. 824 00:38:48,040 --> 00:38:48,879 Speaker 1: I was going to say that. 825 00:38:50,280 --> 00:38:54,359 Speaker 2: I was going to say, I guess coaches recently, Yeah, 826 00:38:55,200 --> 00:38:56,719 Speaker 2: and even at New. 827 00:38:57,680 --> 00:38:58,400 Speaker 1: And New Hampshire. 828 00:38:58,480 --> 00:39:01,640 Speaker 3: Yes, those four like you know Bryant, you know U 829 00:39:01,719 --> 00:39:03,799 Speaker 3: NBC probably, but I don't think you'll realize how like 830 00:39:03,840 --> 00:39:06,839 Speaker 3: Albany is just going and blowing, and then yeah, New 831 00:39:06,840 --> 00:39:10,240 Speaker 3: Hampshire Nathan Davis going and blowing, going and blowing blowing 832 00:39:10,320 --> 00:39:10,880 Speaker 3: and going. 833 00:39:11,080 --> 00:39:13,200 Speaker 2: Way for the listeners out there. My big tip is 834 00:39:13,360 --> 00:39:15,239 Speaker 2: every time Matt asked me a question, I guess too. 835 00:39:15,360 --> 00:39:18,399 Speaker 2: That's that's that's my strategy, just sneaking both in there. 836 00:39:18,440 --> 00:39:20,200 Speaker 1: Not good for Jeopardy, good for this format. 837 00:39:21,160 --> 00:39:25,919 Speaker 3: Kai slowest conference, the slowest conference in America is. 838 00:39:27,360 --> 00:39:30,080 Speaker 1: Wow, that's a tough one. I'm gonna go ivy close, 839 00:39:30,719 --> 00:39:31,520 Speaker 1: give you a second. Guess. 840 00:39:31,560 --> 00:39:34,480 Speaker 3: It's featured heavily in our trash man section usually is 841 00:39:34,520 --> 00:39:38,759 Speaker 3: a Patriot. Yeah, patriot sixty four point seven possessions on 842 00:39:38,880 --> 00:39:39,760 Speaker 3: average per game. 843 00:39:40,200 --> 00:39:44,080 Speaker 1: Yeah, not even gross. 844 00:39:44,400 --> 00:39:47,160 Speaker 2: Yeah, there's like rarely a team that actually wants to 845 00:39:47,239 --> 00:39:50,839 Speaker 2: run there. It's it's yeah. 846 00:39:49,800 --> 00:39:52,520 Speaker 1: Not a ton of speed or athletes in that league. Shame. 847 00:39:52,960 --> 00:39:53,920 Speaker 1: All right, that's all we have. 848 00:39:53,960 --> 00:39:55,800 Speaker 3: I just want to kind of talk about those angles, 849 00:39:55,840 --> 00:39:57,680 Speaker 3: cause I think all those kind of play into over 850 00:39:57,800 --> 00:40:00,520 Speaker 3: vers unders if you're looking to you know, bet especially 851 00:40:00,600 --> 00:40:01,880 Speaker 3: get this late in the year. I think some of 852 00:40:01,920 --> 00:40:06,440 Speaker 3: these conference trends means something until they don't. Of course, 853 00:40:06,600 --> 00:40:09,919 Speaker 3: until they don't, but until they do or for now 854 00:40:10,000 --> 00:40:12,239 Speaker 3: they do. So there it is a little intel for 855 00:40:12,360 --> 00:40:16,280 Speaker 3: you in your betting wallet's fellas. That concludes today's BBOC episode. 856 00:40:16,280 --> 00:40:18,560 Speaker 3: Come back and join us next Wednesday, same time as always, 857 00:40:18,920 --> 00:40:21,240 Speaker 3: but definitely check out Stucky in the Guys this weekends 858 00:40:21,239 --> 00:40:25,000 Speaker 3: they break down, then other Monstrous Conference Saturday slate until 859 00:40:25,000 --> 00:40:27,320 Speaker 3: that time. Good luck it made the three point variants. 860 00:40:27,480 --> 00:40:28,760 Speaker 1: The Ever in Your. 861 00:40:28,600 --> 00:40:44,799 Speaker 3: Faith Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you 862 00:40:45,040 --> 00:40:47,799 Speaker 3: or someone you care about has a gambling problem, help 863 00:40:47,880 --> 00:40:50,600 Speaker 3: is available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred 864 00:40:50,640 --> 00:40:51,120 Speaker 3: Gambler