1 00:00:03,360 --> 00:00:06,160 Speaker 1: This is Bloomberg Daybreak Europe for this Tuesday, the twenty 2 00:00:06,160 --> 00:00:09,720 Speaker 1: eighth of February in London. Coming up today, a breakthrough 3 00:00:09,800 --> 00:00:13,480 Speaker 1: deal on Northern Ireland soonac secures changes to post brexit 4 00:00:13,560 --> 00:00:17,200 Speaker 1: trading rules with the EU. No capital needed. A Danny's 5 00:00:17,239 --> 00:00:21,120 Speaker 1: CFO speaks exclusively to Bloomberg, saying the group isn't looking 6 00:00:21,320 --> 00:00:25,600 Speaker 1: for a cash injection. Staying the course. An ECB policymaker 7 00:00:25,640 --> 00:00:29,160 Speaker 1: tells us the Central Bank must push on with policy tightening. 8 00:00:29,640 --> 00:00:33,720 Speaker 1: Baker Bank soon acts Brexit deal, Britain risks been sidelined, 9 00:00:33,760 --> 00:00:37,000 Speaker 1: and more woman making it onto top boards. Those are 10 00:00:37,040 --> 00:00:39,479 Speaker 1: the stories we're looking at in today's papers. And I'm 11 00:00:39,600 --> 00:00:43,559 Speaker 1: Leanne Kern's plus back on top Elon Musk regains his 12 00:00:43,680 --> 00:00:46,600 Speaker 1: crown as the world's richest person as the value of 13 00:00:46,640 --> 00:00:53,560 Speaker 1: Tesla soars. That's all straight ahead on Bloomberg Daybreak Europe. 14 00:00:53,760 --> 00:00:56,000 Speaker 1: The Business news you need to start your day in 15 00:00:56,000 --> 00:01:00,360 Speaker 1: just one fifteen minute podcast on Apple, Spotify, the Berg 16 00:01:00,400 --> 00:01:07,759 Speaker 1: Business App, and everywhere you get your podcasts. Good morning, 17 00:01:07,800 --> 00:01:10,560 Speaker 1: I'm Stephen Carroll. Here are the stories we're following today. 18 00:01:10,880 --> 00:01:13,119 Speaker 1: The UK and the European Union have reached a new 19 00:01:13,120 --> 00:01:16,280 Speaker 1: deal on trading rules for Northern Ireland. The agreement includes 20 00:01:16,319 --> 00:01:18,920 Speaker 1: a green and red lane system for goods, as well 21 00:01:18,920 --> 00:01:22,800 Speaker 1: as a mechanism for politicians installment to oppose changes to 22 00:01:22,880 --> 00:01:26,520 Speaker 1: certain EU rules. Prime Minister Rishi Suonak hails the deal 23 00:01:26,560 --> 00:01:30,959 Speaker 1: as being good for all sides together. We have changed 24 00:01:31,000 --> 00:01:35,640 Speaker 1: the original protocol and are today announcing the new Windsor framework. 25 00:01:35,760 --> 00:01:39,160 Speaker 1: Today's agreement deliver smooth flowing trade within the whole. The 26 00:01:39,240 --> 00:01:43,120 Speaker 1: United Kingdom, protects Northern Ireland's place in our Union and 27 00:01:43,200 --> 00:01:47,960 Speaker 1: safeguard's sovereignty for the people of Northern Ireland. Soon, Acnal 28 00:01:48,040 --> 00:01:51,160 Speaker 1: needs to win over Northern Ireland's Democratic Unionist Party and 29 00:01:51,240 --> 00:01:54,440 Speaker 1: an influential group of pro Breggs at MPs from his 30 00:01:54,480 --> 00:01:57,160 Speaker 1: own party. Failure to do so could mean the PM 31 00:01:57,200 --> 00:02:00,240 Speaker 1: would need the support of opposition Labor MPs to at 32 00:02:00,280 --> 00:02:03,680 Speaker 1: the deal through Parliament. Now. If the deal is ratified, 33 00:02:03,680 --> 00:02:05,680 Speaker 1: it could pave the way for closer ties between the 34 00:02:05,800 --> 00:02:09,280 Speaker 1: UK and EU on issues like financial services, security and 35 00:02:09,360 --> 00:02:13,239 Speaker 1: scientific research. Speaking to us here on Daybreak, europe EISE 36 00:02:13,320 --> 00:02:17,839 Speaker 1: managing partner Andy Baldwin says he's positive about the benefits 37 00:02:17,919 --> 00:02:21,640 Speaker 1: of an agreement. The deal between the UK and the 38 00:02:21,680 --> 00:02:24,400 Speaker 1: EU around the Northern Ireland Protocol. I do believe we'll 39 00:02:24,520 --> 00:02:27,840 Speaker 1: see a shifting improvements in business sentiment generally, which ultimately 40 00:02:28,000 --> 00:02:30,160 Speaker 1: lead to an improvement in cross border trade. The EU 41 00:02:30,280 --> 00:02:32,799 Speaker 1: is still the UK's largest training partner. I think sometimes 42 00:02:32,840 --> 00:02:36,480 Speaker 1: people forget that. Andy Baldwin's view was echoed by Blackrock 43 00:02:36,560 --> 00:02:39,960 Speaker 1: and Aberdeen, who expects the deal to remove only some 44 00:02:40,080 --> 00:02:43,560 Speaker 1: of the uncertainty that has dogged the UK since Britain 45 00:02:43,680 --> 00:02:48,480 Speaker 1: chose to leave the European Union. Britain's improving economic prospects 46 00:02:48,520 --> 00:02:51,840 Speaker 1: of putting Chancellor Jeremy Hunt under pressure to improve salaries 47 00:02:51,840 --> 00:02:56,000 Speaker 1: for public sector workers. You and Pots reports it's little 48 00:02:56,040 --> 00:02:58,960 Speaker 1: more than two weeks until Jeremy Hunt delivers his budgets, 49 00:02:59,000 --> 00:03:02,040 Speaker 1: and latest forecast on Bloomberg Economics say the Chancellor may 50 00:03:02,080 --> 00:03:05,840 Speaker 1: have more room to maneuver than he's publicly admitted. Sliding 51 00:03:05,960 --> 00:03:09,560 Speaker 1: energy prices have contributed to roughly doubling the headroom against 52 00:03:09,560 --> 00:03:13,080 Speaker 1: his key fiscal targets, leaving public sector net borrowing almost 53 00:03:13,240 --> 00:03:17,160 Speaker 1: forty billion pounds lower than in the OBAS November forecast. 54 00:03:17,560 --> 00:03:19,560 Speaker 1: That's what the chancellors should do with his new wiggle 55 00:03:19,639 --> 00:03:22,600 Speaker 1: room economists at the Institute for Fiscal Studies have weighed 56 00:03:22,639 --> 00:03:25,600 Speaker 1: in on the debate about public sector pay. They say 57 00:03:25,639 --> 00:03:27,919 Speaker 1: the government's argument that increases the pay would add to 58 00:03:28,040 --> 00:03:31,840 Speaker 1: inflation are a distraction tactic. In London, Immune pots to 59 00:03:31,840 --> 00:03:35,720 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Day Britt Europe, the Danne Groups CFO has told 60 00:03:35,720 --> 00:03:39,680 Speaker 1: Bloomberg that the group's Asia focused investor meetings are to 61 00:03:39,800 --> 00:03:43,720 Speaker 1: rebuild trust and not to ask for cash. The Indian 62 00:03:43,760 --> 00:03:47,000 Speaker 1: Conglomorates has seen one hundred and fifty billion dollars wiped 63 00:03:47,040 --> 00:03:50,680 Speaker 1: AARF its value after a short seller Hindenburg made allegations 64 00:03:50,720 --> 00:03:54,680 Speaker 1: of accounting fraud and stock manipulation. A Danny has repeatedly 65 00:03:54,760 --> 00:03:57,520 Speaker 1: denied those claims. Let's take a lessen to what the 66 00:03:57,520 --> 00:04:00,640 Speaker 1: group's CFO, Jugashender Sings had to say to us in 67 00:04:00,680 --> 00:04:04,800 Speaker 1: an exclusive interview on the matter. We have an obligation 68 00:04:04,880 --> 00:04:11,280 Speaker 1: in duty to face people in environment like this and 69 00:04:11,400 --> 00:04:16,120 Speaker 1: not the simply luev season calls, but to actually meet 70 00:04:16,200 --> 00:04:21,360 Speaker 1: in Pusson and answer the pushing from posture, Danny's Jugatender saying, 71 00:04:21,480 --> 00:04:25,600 Speaker 1: speaking as it emerged that JP Morgan Asset Management has 72 00:04:25,680 --> 00:04:30,200 Speaker 1: removed any exposure to the conglomerate from its EESG portfolios. 73 00:04:30,680 --> 00:04:35,400 Speaker 1: Data compiled by Bloomberg shows that around five HUNDREDSG funds 74 00:04:35,440 --> 00:04:39,880 Speaker 1: in Europe continue to hold at Danny stocks. A third 75 00:04:40,120 --> 00:04:44,560 Speaker 1: ECB policymaker this week has doubled down on tightening. Croatia 76 00:04:44,640 --> 00:04:49,200 Speaker 1: National Bank Governor Boris Vuchich tells Bloomberg taming core inflation 77 00:04:49,480 --> 00:04:53,400 Speaker 1: is the main priority. As long as the core prosists 78 00:04:53,560 --> 00:04:56,560 Speaker 1: at the levels that we're talking about, and this is 79 00:04:56,880 --> 00:05:01,160 Speaker 1: vioicle car then our rates are and significantly higher than 80 00:05:01,360 --> 00:05:05,719 Speaker 1: where our target is. We should persevere and we should 81 00:05:05,720 --> 00:05:08,880 Speaker 1: really bring it down to the levels where we needed 82 00:05:08,920 --> 00:05:11,240 Speaker 1: to be in the medium term. For which Itch is 83 00:05:11,279 --> 00:05:14,400 Speaker 1: the European Central Bank's newest policymaker since Croatia joined the 84 00:05:14,440 --> 00:05:16,920 Speaker 1: Euro at the start of this year. Although he won't 85 00:05:17,000 --> 00:05:20,000 Speaker 1: vote on March's rate decision, where markets see a hike 86 00:05:20,080 --> 00:05:23,280 Speaker 1: of fifty basis points or higher is near certain, for 87 00:05:23,360 --> 00:05:26,240 Speaker 1: which it will have voting rights on the ECB from 88 00:05:26,360 --> 00:05:31,000 Speaker 1: April to September. And Elon Musk has regained his spot 89 00:05:31,040 --> 00:05:33,679 Speaker 1: as the world's richest person after briefly losing the title 90 00:05:33,720 --> 00:05:39,400 Speaker 1: to LVMH's Arnau with more Heirsboomberg's Charlie Palace. Musque's wealth 91 00:05:39,520 --> 00:05:42,800 Speaker 1: has been boosted by a nearly seventy percent surge in 92 00:05:42,960 --> 00:05:46,640 Speaker 1: Tesla's stock price this year. It is up about one 93 00:05:46,800 --> 00:05:50,760 Speaker 1: hundred percent from its intraday low on January sixth, as 94 00:05:50,880 --> 00:05:54,919 Speaker 1: investors pile back into bets on riskier growth stocks amid 95 00:05:55,080 --> 00:05:58,560 Speaker 1: signs of economic strength and a slower pace of Federal 96 00:05:58,640 --> 00:06:03,120 Speaker 1: Reserve interest rate increases. The company has also benefited from 97 00:06:03,200 --> 00:06:06,840 Speaker 1: more demand for its electric vehicles after cutting prices on 98 00:06:07,040 --> 00:06:11,440 Speaker 1: several models in New York. Charlie Pellett, Bloomberg Daybreak Europe. 99 00:06:12,320 --> 00:06:14,080 Speaker 1: Those are our top stories this morning. In case you're 100 00:06:14,080 --> 00:06:16,560 Speaker 1: feeling depressed on your own pay day. Elon Musk's one 101 00:06:16,640 --> 00:06:19,159 Speaker 1: day change in his wealth was worth some seven billion 102 00:06:19,200 --> 00:06:21,320 Speaker 1: dollars according to our rich list. Rich go if you've 103 00:06:21,360 --> 00:06:23,680 Speaker 1: got the terminal in front of you the change of 104 00:06:23,800 --> 00:06:27,000 Speaker 1: year to day to see Elon Musk's fortune rise by 105 00:06:27,480 --> 00:06:32,279 Speaker 1: fifty billion dollars. Bellar Arno Poor Bernard Arno only twenty 106 00:06:32,360 --> 00:06:37,000 Speaker 1: three billion dollars increase in his fortune over the last year, 107 00:06:37,320 --> 00:06:39,839 Speaker 1: so the difference between them now is only just around 108 00:06:39,880 --> 00:06:43,200 Speaker 1: two billion dollars. So we may see more fluctuations to 109 00:06:43,320 --> 00:06:46,400 Speaker 1: come further ahead as well. But that's the latest on 110 00:06:46,480 --> 00:06:50,080 Speaker 1: the rich list anyway. From Bloomberg up next, Baker backs Sunacs, 111 00:06:50,120 --> 00:06:53,880 Speaker 1: bregsit deal, Britain risks being sidelined, and more women making 112 00:06:53,920 --> 00:06:58,919 Speaker 1: it onto top boards. Now the paper review on Bluebird 113 00:06:59,040 --> 00:07:01,960 Speaker 1: Daybreak Europe. The news you need to know from today's 114 00:07:02,000 --> 00:07:05,960 Speaker 1: papers Blue began. Garans is with me in studio to 115 00:07:06,040 --> 00:07:08,960 Speaker 1: look through today's paper is good morning to you, Leanne. 116 00:07:09,080 --> 00:07:11,520 Speaker 1: The headline we're starting with us in the Telegraph this 117 00:07:11,680 --> 00:07:14,520 Speaker 1: morning it says Rishi Sunacs Bregsit deal is the start 118 00:07:14,560 --> 00:07:19,160 Speaker 1: of a positive new era in our relationship with the EU. Yes, indeed, Stephen, 119 00:07:19,280 --> 00:07:21,480 Speaker 1: good morning to you. So this is actually a comment 120 00:07:21,560 --> 00:07:23,760 Speaker 1: piece so written up by the Minister of State for 121 00:07:23,960 --> 00:07:27,200 Speaker 1: Northern Ireland, Steve Baker. And what I feel when I 122 00:07:27,320 --> 00:07:30,560 Speaker 1: read this is this article really reflects the mud music 123 00:07:31,000 --> 00:07:35,520 Speaker 1: coming out of Prime Minister Rishi Sunac and Erschela vonder 124 00:07:35,560 --> 00:07:39,560 Speaker 1: Lyon's meeting yesterday. It seemed to be very amicable. Ershela 125 00:07:39,640 --> 00:07:42,600 Speaker 1: vonder lyon calling Rishi Sunac dear Rishi on more than 126 00:07:42,720 --> 00:07:47,160 Speaker 1: one occasion. Now, the Euroskeptic MP says the Windsor Framework, 127 00:07:47,240 --> 00:07:51,760 Speaker 1: that's what it's been renamed, finally ends the uncertainty created 128 00:07:51,800 --> 00:07:54,920 Speaker 1: with the Northern Ireland Protocol and calls it a real 129 00:07:55,120 --> 00:07:59,440 Speaker 1: turning point for the relationship between the UK and the EU. 130 00:08:00,000 --> 00:08:04,160 Speaker 1: We obviously chose to Brexit in more than half a 131 00:08:04,280 --> 00:08:07,320 Speaker 1: decade ago, Stephen, so this is positive news on the horizon. 132 00:08:07,680 --> 00:08:10,120 Speaker 1: He also says now has time to focus on the 133 00:08:10,200 --> 00:08:14,440 Speaker 1: opportunities that await us to benefit of the people in 134 00:08:14,600 --> 00:08:19,440 Speaker 1: businesses across the United Kingdom. Baker also says those opportunities 135 00:08:19,520 --> 00:08:23,680 Speaker 1: will be unlocked after taking three big steps forward through 136 00:08:23,760 --> 00:08:26,720 Speaker 1: the new Brexit deal, and you mentioned them earlier, Stephen, 137 00:08:26,880 --> 00:08:30,560 Speaker 1: free flowing trade by removing the board in the IRISHI, 138 00:08:30,840 --> 00:08:34,959 Speaker 1: changes to VAT, and also the Stormont break and so 139 00:08:35,160 --> 00:08:37,760 Speaker 1: these are positive things moving forward. But I think it's 140 00:08:37,760 --> 00:08:40,960 Speaker 1: also important to mention while we are talking about the story, 141 00:08:40,960 --> 00:08:44,760 Speaker 1: because Steve Baker has been instrumental in lots of Brexit 142 00:08:44,800 --> 00:08:48,520 Speaker 1: agreements we've had before, and was really the downfall of 143 00:08:48,679 --> 00:08:53,239 Speaker 1: Theresa Mas a Chequers agreement which he vehemently was against, 144 00:08:53,600 --> 00:08:56,600 Speaker 1: and also Northern Ireland Protocol of course brought in by 145 00:08:56,760 --> 00:09:00,480 Speaker 1: Boris Johnson, so really a glowing endorsement for Rishi Sunak 146 00:09:00,520 --> 00:09:03,800 Speaker 1: and what they managed to achieve yesterday. However, the DUP 147 00:09:04,040 --> 00:09:06,840 Speaker 1: is still going through the fine details of the deal 148 00:09:07,200 --> 00:09:10,000 Speaker 1: and still a few things to hash out, I'm sure. Yeah, 149 00:09:10,040 --> 00:09:12,160 Speaker 1: still so much to unpack in that story. But interesting 150 00:09:12,200 --> 00:09:14,880 Speaker 1: to get the respective of Steve Baker, as you say, LeeAnne, 151 00:09:14,920 --> 00:09:17,640 Speaker 1: such an important figure over the history of this story. 152 00:09:17,720 --> 00:09:19,400 Speaker 1: I mean, checkers, you're talking about going back to twenty 153 00:09:19,440 --> 00:09:21,840 Speaker 1: eighteen already, which feels like at least three lifetimes ago, 154 00:09:22,360 --> 00:09:24,880 Speaker 1: and well is three three ministers ago? Actually four at 155 00:09:24,920 --> 00:09:27,959 Speaker 1: this stage anyway of last count. Let's turn to The 156 00:09:28,000 --> 00:09:31,000 Speaker 1: Times next lean the headline Britain risks being sidelined and 157 00:09:31,080 --> 00:09:34,040 Speaker 1: funding war. Yes, Steven, so we appear to have ended 158 00:09:34,120 --> 00:09:37,480 Speaker 1: one fight and now we might be internewering another fray. 159 00:09:37,880 --> 00:09:41,080 Speaker 1: And this is Washington and Brussels and also Britain are 160 00:09:41,120 --> 00:09:45,560 Speaker 1: preparing for a fight over the feature of green energy projects. Now. 161 00:09:45,640 --> 00:09:48,920 Speaker 1: The newspaper article in The Times is highlighting these quiet 162 00:09:49,040 --> 00:09:52,040 Speaker 1: fears in Britain over the effect of the President Joe 163 00:09:52,080 --> 00:09:56,199 Speaker 1: Biden's new Inflation Reduction Act and what impact it may 164 00:09:56,320 --> 00:10:00,480 Speaker 1: have on British industry. We do know the packages designed 165 00:10:00,520 --> 00:10:03,600 Speaker 1: to drive the US to net zero emissions by twenty 166 00:10:03,720 --> 00:10:07,480 Speaker 1: fifty and provide investment and tax breaks to fund clean 167 00:10:07,760 --> 00:10:10,680 Speaker 1: energy projects. Now, I don't know if you can recall 168 00:10:10,840 --> 00:10:13,520 Speaker 1: last week. I know the lot has happened, but Drax 169 00:10:13,600 --> 00:10:16,120 Speaker 1: we spoke about the power company in northern England as 170 00:10:16,160 --> 00:10:19,120 Speaker 1: warning that it's two billion pound investment was its serious 171 00:10:19,360 --> 00:10:23,559 Speaker 1: risk without urgent government action, as Biden's new measures have 172 00:10:23,760 --> 00:10:27,920 Speaker 1: made investing in America just so much more attractive. Stephen 173 00:10:28,320 --> 00:10:31,160 Speaker 1: and the Trade secretary here, Kemmy Badenox says the government 174 00:10:31,280 --> 00:10:35,160 Speaker 1: is working with the EU to lobby Washington. But listen 175 00:10:35,400 --> 00:10:39,800 Speaker 1: Westminster's reluctions to get involved in global green energy subsidies. 176 00:10:39,920 --> 00:10:43,240 Speaker 1: Race has really been criticized for being too slow. Guess 177 00:10:43,280 --> 00:10:46,080 Speaker 1: what we've spoken about this too. The budget by Jeremy 178 00:10:46,160 --> 00:10:49,640 Speaker 1: Hunter is not expected to announce any bonanza climate measures 179 00:10:50,440 --> 00:10:53,040 Speaker 1: next month, as I said on the fifteenth of March, 180 00:10:53,160 --> 00:10:55,319 Speaker 1: not too far away now, So there we are. This 181 00:10:55,600 --> 00:10:58,400 Speaker 1: is just something that's saying have we been too slow 182 00:10:58,480 --> 00:11:02,760 Speaker 1: to act? Something definitely interesting to watch as we go forward. 183 00:11:02,880 --> 00:11:07,120 Speaker 1: Let's turn next to Financial Times. Leanne due UK executive 184 00:11:07,160 --> 00:11:09,920 Speaker 1: target for women met three years ahead of schedule. Yes, 185 00:11:10,040 --> 00:11:13,200 Speaker 1: so women occupied two out of five board seats at 186 00:11:13,280 --> 00:11:17,360 Speaker 1: foot See three fifty companies reaching the target three years earlier, 187 00:11:17,520 --> 00:11:20,760 Speaker 1: according to the Financial Times. Now they've been looking at 188 00:11:21,720 --> 00:11:25,679 Speaker 1: this government back campaign to encourage more female representatives in 189 00:11:25,840 --> 00:11:30,440 Speaker 1: executive roles. The annual Footsie Woman's Leader Review found forty 190 00:11:30,600 --> 00:11:34,439 Speaker 1: point two percent of directors at the largest limited companies 191 00:11:34,679 --> 00:11:37,880 Speaker 1: were actually women. Last year the foot See one hundred 192 00:11:37,960 --> 00:11:41,599 Speaker 1: listed companies with the highest proportion of female board represented 193 00:11:42,520 --> 00:11:47,000 Speaker 1: include the Drinks Group, Diagio, Auto Trader, and also seven 194 00:11:47,080 --> 00:11:49,800 Speaker 1: Trent that's a water company. We've spoken about them before 195 00:11:50,120 --> 00:11:52,400 Speaker 1: and later on our show today in the eight o'clock hour, 196 00:11:52,559 --> 00:11:55,720 Speaker 1: Denise Wilson, the foot See Woman Leaders CEO, is going 197 00:11:55,800 --> 00:11:57,960 Speaker 1: to be speaking to us and I found it really 198 00:11:58,040 --> 00:12:00,520 Speaker 1: interesting what she said in this article. She said, the 199 00:12:00,640 --> 00:12:03,920 Speaker 1: hushed water cooler conversation on the lack of women from 200 00:12:04,120 --> 00:12:09,520 Speaker 1: yesterday has evolved into a core and critical business topic. Also, 201 00:12:09,679 --> 00:12:11,959 Speaker 1: Greggs has a lot of women on the board, So 202 00:12:12,080 --> 00:12:14,440 Speaker 1: there we are. This is a positive story for getting 203 00:12:14,640 --> 00:12:17,839 Speaker 1: more women in the workplace. Okay, Lean Garan's thank you 204 00:12:17,960 --> 00:12:20,920 Speaker 1: very much for that. Look at today's paper is let's 205 00:12:20,960 --> 00:12:23,640 Speaker 1: turn back to the story around that Breggsit deal. Months 206 00:12:23,679 --> 00:12:25,679 Speaker 1: of talk, talk, but the European Union of the UK 207 00:12:25,840 --> 00:12:28,400 Speaker 1: have done a deal on post Braggsitt trading rules for 208 00:12:28,720 --> 00:12:30,719 Speaker 1: Northern Ireland. Will it be enough though to convince the 209 00:12:30,760 --> 00:12:33,760 Speaker 1: Democratic Union's party to rejoin a para sharing government in 210 00:12:33,960 --> 00:12:36,559 Speaker 1: Storm and plenty of other hurdles to worry about as well. 211 00:12:36,600 --> 00:12:39,800 Speaker 1: Our UK correspondent Lizzie Burden is with us in studio. Lizzie, 212 00:12:39,960 --> 00:12:43,480 Speaker 1: let's talk about the deal. First of all, has Ritchie 213 00:12:43,520 --> 00:12:46,719 Speaker 1: Sonac been able to get a better deal than his 214 00:12:46,800 --> 00:12:50,000 Speaker 1: predecessors or Stephen I'm sure that you've read through every page, 215 00:12:50,080 --> 00:12:52,719 Speaker 1: every line of this document, but at first glance it 216 00:12:52,800 --> 00:12:55,840 Speaker 1: seems that he's done the impossible. But it's all, of course, 217 00:12:55,880 --> 00:12:58,920 Speaker 1: as you imply. Going to Hinge on the Northern Ireland Unionists, 218 00:12:59,040 --> 00:13:03,319 Speaker 1: he claims that the Windsor Framework has fundamentally rewritten the 219 00:13:03,400 --> 00:13:07,040 Speaker 1: Northern Ireland Protocol because, for one, it allows London rather 220 00:13:07,160 --> 00:13:11,240 Speaker 1: than Brussels to set vat rates in Northern Ireland, which 221 00:13:11,360 --> 00:13:15,520 Speaker 1: Brussels previously had said couldn't be done. It also removes 222 00:13:15,600 --> 00:13:18,600 Speaker 1: lots of the red tape on goods going between gb 223 00:13:19,120 --> 00:13:21,719 Speaker 1: and Northern Ireland by setting up so called red and 224 00:13:21,920 --> 00:13:25,200 Speaker 1: Green lanes, and the rabbit out of the hat moment 225 00:13:25,320 --> 00:13:28,920 Speaker 1: yesterday was the storm Ont break, which gives the Northern 226 00:13:28,960 --> 00:13:32,840 Speaker 1: Ireland Assembly the power to delay and potentially stop EU 227 00:13:33,000 --> 00:13:36,840 Speaker 1: laws taking effect in Northern Ireland. But as was always 228 00:13:36,880 --> 00:13:39,360 Speaker 1: going to be the case, and you predicted this, the 229 00:13:39,480 --> 00:13:42,959 Speaker 1: European Court of Justice remains the final arbiter on the 230 00:13:43,040 --> 00:13:46,599 Speaker 1: application of EU laws and the deal only reduces it 231 00:13:46,640 --> 00:13:50,280 Speaker 1: doesn't remove the number of EU laws that apply in 232 00:13:50,400 --> 00:13:53,400 Speaker 1: Northern Ireland. So we've got a deal, but the tension 233 00:13:53,440 --> 00:13:57,439 Speaker 1: isn't going away until the Brexitters and the unionists have 234 00:13:57,600 --> 00:14:01,319 Speaker 1: digested a deal, till it's voted through Parliament, and until 235 00:14:01,400 --> 00:14:06,640 Speaker 1: power sharing's restored in Stormont. Okay, So what changed in 236 00:14:07,000 --> 00:14:09,559 Speaker 1: the kind of development of this deal then? How do 237 00:14:09,640 --> 00:14:13,480 Speaker 1: they manage to guess things to where they are? Yeah? Well, 238 00:14:13,520 --> 00:14:17,240 Speaker 1: what was striking yesterday if you watched the press conference, 239 00:14:17,480 --> 00:14:21,320 Speaker 1: was the warmth with which European Commission President Ursula vonde 240 00:14:21,360 --> 00:14:24,600 Speaker 1: Lyon addressed Rishi soon act. She called him dear Rishi 241 00:14:25,600 --> 00:14:28,440 Speaker 1: and he's seen in Brussels as a pragmatist, even if 242 00:14:28,480 --> 00:14:32,240 Speaker 1: he's a Brexitter. She said he'd been constructive and understanding 243 00:14:32,320 --> 00:14:35,880 Speaker 1: of the parameters of brussels position, especially compared to Boris 244 00:14:35,960 --> 00:14:39,560 Speaker 1: Johnson and Liz Trust and indeed he himself said that 245 00:14:39,680 --> 00:14:43,720 Speaker 1: this deal is decisively better than anything that's come before. Now, 246 00:14:44,200 --> 00:14:48,480 Speaker 1: the substance that's different is two crucial points. First of all, 247 00:14:49,000 --> 00:14:52,720 Speaker 1: he's dropped Boris Johnson's Northern Ireland Protocol Bill, which would 248 00:14:52,720 --> 00:14:56,480 Speaker 1: have allowed the UK to unilaterally override parts of the 249 00:14:56,520 --> 00:15:00,920 Speaker 1: Northern Ireland Protocol. And secondly, the UK has given Brussels 250 00:15:01,000 --> 00:15:04,000 Speaker 1: access to its customs databases. I'd say it came down 251 00:15:04,040 --> 00:15:07,240 Speaker 1: to the tone and those two big concessions. Yeah, certainly 252 00:15:07,240 --> 00:15:09,480 Speaker 1: the data sharing was seemed to unlock an awful lot 253 00:15:09,520 --> 00:15:12,000 Speaker 1: of the practicality around this, because the whole idea and 254 00:15:12,040 --> 00:15:15,000 Speaker 1: the thing that matters most to people and businesses on 255 00:15:15,040 --> 00:15:17,160 Speaker 1: the Northern Ireland is how easily goods will be able 256 00:15:17,160 --> 00:15:18,920 Speaker 1: to flow from Great Britain to Northern Ireland, and the 257 00:15:19,000 --> 00:15:21,320 Speaker 1: data sharing was the key point, as he say, Lezzie, 258 00:15:21,360 --> 00:15:24,440 Speaker 1: that'll unlock that. Let's look at what happens next parliamentary votecoming. 259 00:15:24,440 --> 00:15:26,400 Speaker 1: Who do we need to be watching? Well, there are 260 00:15:26,440 --> 00:15:28,600 Speaker 1: two questions. Can he get the deal through Parliament and 261 00:15:28,640 --> 00:15:31,320 Speaker 1: can he restore power sharing in Northern Ireland On the first. 262 00:15:31,640 --> 00:15:34,400 Speaker 1: MP's are expected to vote on the deal next week. 263 00:15:34,520 --> 00:15:37,400 Speaker 1: Sunac has got the numbers because Labors said it will 264 00:15:37,440 --> 00:15:40,080 Speaker 1: support him, but he needs the DUP to back it 265 00:15:40,240 --> 00:15:43,400 Speaker 1: to heal his party because Tory Brexitters are going to 266 00:15:43,440 --> 00:15:47,680 Speaker 1: follow the unionist's lead and relying on Labour's votes would 267 00:15:47,680 --> 00:15:52,200 Speaker 1: be humiliating, it would be an admission of his weakness. 268 00:15:52,640 --> 00:15:55,320 Speaker 1: So on the second point, he's gone to Belfast to 269 00:15:55,480 --> 00:15:58,680 Speaker 1: convince the Unionists to get on side. Really, the whole 270 00:15:58,760 --> 00:16:02,880 Speaker 1: deal was aimed at passing the DUP's seven tests. That's 271 00:16:02,960 --> 00:16:06,360 Speaker 1: precisely the task that Soonac set his negotiators when he 272 00:16:06,480 --> 00:16:10,320 Speaker 1: became Prime Minister. And one hopeful sign is that the 273 00:16:10,400 --> 00:16:14,680 Speaker 1: DUP leader Jeffrey Donaldson yesterday said he was thankful to Sunak. 274 00:16:14,760 --> 00:16:18,720 Speaker 1: He took credit for pressuring Brussels to move this far. 275 00:16:19,280 --> 00:16:22,440 Speaker 1: And after that not one Tory came out against the deal, 276 00:16:22,520 --> 00:16:26,880 Speaker 1: including Boris Johnson and Lisztrust. This is Bloomberg Daybreak Europe, 277 00:16:26,880 --> 00:16:29,560 Speaker 1: your morning brief on the stories making news from London 278 00:16:29,600 --> 00:16:31,960 Speaker 1: to Wall Street and beyond. Look for us on your 279 00:16:32,000 --> 00:16:35,320 Speaker 1: podcast feed every morning on Apple, Spotify, and anywhere you 280 00:16:35,480 --> 00:16:38,120 Speaker 1: get your podcasts. You can also listen live each morning 281 00:16:38,200 --> 00:16:41,880 Speaker 1: on London DAB Radio, the Bloomberg Business app, and Bloomberg 282 00:16:42,000 --> 00:16:44,920 Speaker 1: dot Com. Our flagship New York station, is also available 283 00:16:45,000 --> 00:16:48,800 Speaker 1: on your Amazon Alexa device. Just say Alexa Play Bloomberg 284 00:16:48,840 --> 00:16:52,280 Speaker 1: eleven thirty. I'm Stephen Carroll. Join us again tomorrow for 285 00:16:52,440 --> 00:16:55,000 Speaker 1: all the news you need to start your day right 286 00:16:55,080 --> 00:16:56,920 Speaker 1: here on Bloomberg Daybreak Europe