1 00:00:15,200 --> 00:00:17,200 Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into a Wednesday 2 00:00:17,200 --> 00:00:19,720 Speaker 1: morning episode of the Daily Juice podcast. My name is 3 00:00:19,720 --> 00:00:21,720 Speaker 1: Matt Perolt. You guys can follow me across all of 4 00:00:21,720 --> 00:00:25,040 Speaker 1: my socials at Sports Talk Matt, and sometimes you just 5 00:00:25,160 --> 00:00:30,880 Speaker 1: have to laugh. Sometimes you're just ice cold. That would 6 00:00:30,880 --> 00:00:34,640 Speaker 1: be six consecutive losing days. But the way we got 7 00:00:34,680 --> 00:00:39,559 Speaker 1: there was the brutal part of all of this. We 8 00:00:39,720 --> 00:00:43,440 Speaker 1: bet I bet over eighty one and a half for UNLV. 9 00:00:44,280 --> 00:00:48,120 Speaker 1: It landed eighty one. We're zero and three to start 10 00:00:48,120 --> 00:00:52,000 Speaker 1: college basketball. That's got to change. The losing has to stop. 11 00:00:52,159 --> 00:00:54,520 Speaker 1: That's got to change. We get the prop bet cheat 12 00:00:54,560 --> 00:00:59,120 Speaker 1: sheet play right. The Vegas and Red Wings game woefully 13 00:00:59,200 --> 00:01:01,960 Speaker 1: under those one in the third period at last, look 14 00:01:01,960 --> 00:01:04,280 Speaker 1: at games not going over. So that was the bad 15 00:01:04,360 --> 00:01:06,920 Speaker 1: bet of the day. The Apollo bet was the good 16 00:01:06,959 --> 00:01:08,880 Speaker 1: bet of the day. And then the whole day Row 17 00:01:09,040 --> 00:01:11,240 Speaker 1: was writing on whether or not UNLV could hit one 18 00:01:11,280 --> 00:01:15,040 Speaker 1: more free throw to go over eighty one and a half. 19 00:01:15,560 --> 00:01:18,080 Speaker 1: They lost the game outright, I should have just taken 20 00:01:18,360 --> 00:01:20,600 Speaker 1: plus seventeen and a half. That would have been the 21 00:01:20,600 --> 00:01:23,679 Speaker 1: better bet, and I was very close to doing so. 22 00:01:23,760 --> 00:01:25,840 Speaker 1: I just didn't know enough about ut Martin to take 23 00:01:25,880 --> 00:01:28,080 Speaker 1: it because you U and LV only had eight scholarship 24 00:01:28,080 --> 00:01:30,800 Speaker 1: players and they got tired late in the game, and 25 00:01:30,840 --> 00:01:32,720 Speaker 1: then there were fouls and free throws and a lot 26 00:01:32,720 --> 00:01:35,319 Speaker 1: of nonsense that went on that drove that number all 27 00:01:35,319 --> 00:01:38,360 Speaker 1: the way to eighty one, where un LV ultimately lost 28 00:01:38,560 --> 00:01:42,880 Speaker 1: the game. But I mean good number. Books made a 29 00:01:42,920 --> 00:01:46,360 Speaker 1: good number right there. One free throw, one shot, one layup, 30 00:01:46,640 --> 00:01:48,800 Speaker 1: and it goes over instead, it goes under. We go 31 00:01:48,880 --> 00:01:52,120 Speaker 1: one and two down, one point five units on the day. 32 00:01:52,240 --> 00:01:55,440 Speaker 1: So we just keep on loading and keep on firing 33 00:01:55,520 --> 00:01:57,360 Speaker 1: and hoping we're going to get ourselves out of this. 34 00:01:57,520 --> 00:01:59,320 Speaker 1: Not a good start to the month of November, but 35 00:02:00,040 --> 00:02:02,040 Speaker 1: long month ago, a lot of time to go. This 36 00:02:02,200 --> 00:02:06,200 Speaker 1: is not unusual. If you are new, Okay, I understand 37 00:02:06,320 --> 00:02:08,600 Speaker 1: you guys are probably bent and mad, and I get it, 38 00:02:08,639 --> 00:02:10,720 Speaker 1: and I appreciate you coming in and watching and listening 39 00:02:10,720 --> 00:02:13,200 Speaker 1: to the podcast if you're new. But for those guys 40 00:02:13,200 --> 00:02:16,320 Speaker 1: who've been here for a long time, this is not unusual. 41 00:02:16,680 --> 00:02:20,480 Speaker 1: You have seen this before. These things happen. It's never fun, 42 00:02:20,680 --> 00:02:23,440 Speaker 1: but you know, if we're gonna enjoy the ups and 43 00:02:23,480 --> 00:02:26,120 Speaker 1: we're gonna enjoy the wins, when we go, you know, 44 00:02:26,200 --> 00:02:29,000 Speaker 1: six wins out of seven days. You know, we wind 45 00:02:29,080 --> 00:02:31,080 Speaker 1: up with some weeks where we're like twenty and four. 46 00:02:31,720 --> 00:02:34,160 Speaker 1: We're gonna enjoy those runs. You have to understand that 47 00:02:34,200 --> 00:02:37,160 Speaker 1: we're gonna have runs like this where for six straight games, 48 00:02:37,200 --> 00:02:39,440 Speaker 1: strict six straight days, I can't pick a winner or 49 00:02:39,440 --> 00:02:42,680 Speaker 1: save my life. Fade away. Okay, go right ahead and 50 00:02:42,760 --> 00:02:46,040 Speaker 1: fade away before I give you the bets for today, 51 00:02:46,080 --> 00:02:50,280 Speaker 1: including my first Super Bowl future that I'm gonna jump 52 00:02:50,320 --> 00:02:54,080 Speaker 1: in with. Let's give it away. It is the Ricky 53 00:02:54,080 --> 00:03:02,320 Speaker 1: Piersall Jersey Seattle Sharks Dash. Please seven oh, if that's you, 54 00:03:02,919 --> 00:03:08,280 Speaker 1: if that's your handle, you have just won the autographed 55 00:03:08,480 --> 00:03:14,480 Speaker 1: Ricky Piarsall jersey. Congratulations, you have won this Ricky Pearson 56 00:03:14,600 --> 00:03:18,120 Speaker 1: Jerseys Seattle Sharks. Please get in touch with our customer 57 00:03:18,160 --> 00:03:22,040 Speaker 1: service agents at mailbag at Fantasypros dot com with your 58 00:03:22,040 --> 00:03:26,400 Speaker 1: mailing address and a screenshot of your YouTube account while 59 00:03:26,480 --> 00:03:30,400 Speaker 1: logged in. Once we confirm, we'll get your prize shipped out. 60 00:03:30,480 --> 00:03:33,760 Speaker 1: And again, congrats to Seattle Shark. You are the winner 61 00:03:33,960 --> 00:03:38,200 Speaker 1: of the autographed Ricky Piarsol jersey. If Seattle Shark is 62 00:03:38,640 --> 00:03:44,480 Speaker 1: a Seahawks fan, it fits in perfectly for today. If 63 00:03:44,480 --> 00:03:47,040 Speaker 1: he is a forty nine er fan living in Seattle, 64 00:03:47,280 --> 00:03:51,200 Speaker 1: that is in enemy territory. But let's make the announcement 65 00:03:51,240 --> 00:03:55,320 Speaker 1: as to what the next giveaway will be Thursday Night 66 00:03:55,400 --> 00:03:58,920 Speaker 1: Football with the Broncos hosting the Raiders. It is a 67 00:03:58,920 --> 00:04:03,400 Speaker 1: autographed mini helmet signed by the one and only bo Nix. 68 00:04:03,800 --> 00:04:06,320 Speaker 1: If you would like your chance to win this mini helmet, 69 00:04:06,600 --> 00:04:09,640 Speaker 1: we will give this away to one lucky Daily Juice 70 00:04:09,840 --> 00:04:12,920 Speaker 1: viewer or listener courtesy of our friends at Pristine auction 71 00:04:13,040 --> 00:04:15,880 Speaker 1: dot com. All you have to do is subscribe Jube 72 00:04:15,960 --> 00:04:18,039 Speaker 1: channel right now, drop a comment below in any of 73 00:04:18,040 --> 00:04:20,120 Speaker 1: our Daily Juice videos and you are entered. That's all 74 00:04:20,120 --> 00:04:22,159 Speaker 1: you gotta do. We'll make the announcement of the winner 75 00:04:22,240 --> 00:04:24,839 Speaker 1: right here on the podcast in December, so make sure 76 00:04:24,920 --> 00:04:27,880 Speaker 1: you have those notifications turned on so you know when 77 00:04:27,920 --> 00:04:31,520 Speaker 1: new videos are up and you could claim your prize. 78 00:04:31,720 --> 00:04:35,880 Speaker 1: Bo Nix autographed mini helmet up for grabs. Subscribe and 79 00:04:36,040 --> 00:04:40,280 Speaker 1: comment and you are entered into winning. That said, very cool, 80 00:04:41,040 --> 00:04:44,880 Speaker 1: very neat signed mini helmet from the quarterback for the 81 00:04:44,960 --> 00:04:49,159 Speaker 1: Denver Broncos one mister bo Nix. Okay, it is a 82 00:04:49,200 --> 00:04:52,800 Speaker 1: hard rock bet day. So we have a hard rock 83 00:04:52,800 --> 00:04:55,279 Speaker 1: bet to give you guys for today. But before we 84 00:04:55,320 --> 00:04:57,719 Speaker 1: do that, let me give you the other place speaking 85 00:04:57,800 --> 00:05:02,120 Speaker 1: of Seattle is time. So while my other show on 86 00:05:02,160 --> 00:05:04,479 Speaker 1: the Bostonian Versus of the Book, every Tuesday, I do 87 00:05:04,520 --> 00:05:07,520 Speaker 1: my own personal power ratings and I go one to 88 00:05:07,640 --> 00:05:12,040 Speaker 1: five top five teams in the NFL. And it struck 89 00:05:12,080 --> 00:05:14,279 Speaker 1: me that I haven't really been listening to myself for at 90 00:05:14,279 --> 00:05:17,160 Speaker 1: least not betting our building a portfolio by doing that. 91 00:05:17,200 --> 00:05:19,479 Speaker 1: Because for the last three weeks, I've had the Colts, 92 00:05:19,520 --> 00:05:22,159 Speaker 1: that's the number one team in football, but I wasn't 93 00:05:22,200 --> 00:05:23,920 Speaker 1: sold that they were going to be able to win 94 00:05:23,960 --> 00:05:26,560 Speaker 1: the Super Bowl because of the fact that the Casey 95 00:05:26,720 --> 00:05:30,000 Speaker 1: Chiefs and the Buffalo Bills will be standing in their way. 96 00:05:30,160 --> 00:05:32,719 Speaker 1: So I wasn't comfortable saying, Okay, there's value in the 97 00:05:32,760 --> 00:05:36,360 Speaker 1: Colts to win the Super Bowl simply because of the path. Well, 98 00:05:36,400 --> 00:05:39,720 Speaker 1: that's not the case for the Seattle Seahawks. They are 99 00:05:39,760 --> 00:05:42,359 Speaker 1: my number one team this week, and I think we 100 00:05:42,480 --> 00:05:45,600 Speaker 1: need to jump in at fourteen to one for them 101 00:05:45,640 --> 00:05:49,040 Speaker 1: to win the Super Bowl. Why, well, let's look at 102 00:05:49,080 --> 00:05:52,359 Speaker 1: some of these numbers for the Seahawks. It's pretty darn impressive. 103 00:05:52,800 --> 00:05:56,520 Speaker 1: They are top five in points scored and they are 104 00:05:56,560 --> 00:06:01,480 Speaker 1: top five in points given up. They are top five 105 00:06:02,000 --> 00:06:06,080 Speaker 1: in plays per game yards per play offensively, and they 106 00:06:06,120 --> 00:06:11,680 Speaker 1: are top five in plays per yards per play defensively. 107 00:06:12,400 --> 00:06:16,040 Speaker 1: This is a team that is scoring over three touchdowns 108 00:06:16,120 --> 00:06:20,279 Speaker 1: per game that is top five, and giving up less 109 00:06:20,320 --> 00:06:24,440 Speaker 1: than two touchdowns per game that is also top five. 110 00:06:25,040 --> 00:06:28,920 Speaker 1: This team turns you over, but they don't turn the 111 00:06:28,920 --> 00:06:32,520 Speaker 1: football over. They are taking the ball away one point 112 00:06:32,520 --> 00:06:35,800 Speaker 1: three times per game, that's top ten, and they're just 113 00:06:35,880 --> 00:06:38,920 Speaker 1: giving the ball away one point six times per game. 114 00:06:39,120 --> 00:06:43,400 Speaker 1: That is twenty ninth in the NFL. Their turnover margin 115 00:06:43,920 --> 00:06:48,839 Speaker 1: is decent. It's negative. Actually it's zero point four negative 116 00:06:48,839 --> 00:06:52,560 Speaker 1: point four, which isn't really bad. They're pretty much flat. 117 00:06:52,960 --> 00:06:56,080 Speaker 1: They have the number one pass offense in football. They 118 00:06:56,120 --> 00:07:00,200 Speaker 1: have the number six pass defense in football. They are 119 00:07:00,360 --> 00:07:03,239 Speaker 1: right now throwing. Sam Donald is throwing for two hundred 120 00:07:03,240 --> 00:07:06,240 Speaker 1: and fifty five yards per game. That's top five. They 121 00:07:06,320 --> 00:07:09,400 Speaker 1: just traded for another wide out with the Saints in Shaheed, 122 00:07:09,560 --> 00:07:12,800 Speaker 1: so they got another weapon to go along with a Obviously, 123 00:07:13,360 --> 00:07:16,840 Speaker 1: you know Jackson Smith and Jigg has been amazing for them. 124 00:07:17,160 --> 00:07:19,040 Speaker 1: Cooper Cups out. We'll see what he looks like when 125 00:07:19,040 --> 00:07:21,720 Speaker 1: he comes back. They can run the football. They're not 126 00:07:21,760 --> 00:07:25,559 Speaker 1: outstanding at it, but they're good enough. Okay, they're good enough. 127 00:07:26,040 --> 00:07:29,040 Speaker 1: Three point seven yards per play is not good. But 128 00:07:29,080 --> 00:07:31,040 Speaker 1: they do run the ball twenty eight times a game, 129 00:07:31,240 --> 00:07:34,120 Speaker 1: So even though the numbers aren't great your yards per rush, 130 00:07:34,360 --> 00:07:36,280 Speaker 1: they do run the ball a ton. And they are 131 00:07:36,320 --> 00:07:39,160 Speaker 1: top ten and rushing touchdowns per game, averaging over one 132 00:07:39,240 --> 00:07:42,280 Speaker 1: rushing touchdown per game, and they're only giving up point 133 00:07:42,320 --> 00:07:46,680 Speaker 1: five rushing touchdowns per game. It's hard to get after them. 134 00:07:46,960 --> 00:07:50,480 Speaker 1: They are sacking the quarterback at a really good clip 135 00:07:50,560 --> 00:07:54,160 Speaker 1: top five and sack percentage. They are getting Sam Donald 136 00:07:54,280 --> 00:07:56,560 Speaker 1: hit a little bit more than I would like, but 137 00:07:56,880 --> 00:07:59,920 Speaker 1: not horrible. It's not awful for them to do that 138 00:08:00,560 --> 00:08:03,800 Speaker 1: red zone scoring percentage. From a touchdown perspective, they're scoring 139 00:08:03,840 --> 00:08:06,680 Speaker 1: a touchdown seventy percent of the time when they go 140 00:08:06,840 --> 00:08:10,560 Speaker 1: into the red zone. That's tremendous. That's top five in 141 00:08:10,600 --> 00:08:13,080 Speaker 1: the NFL. And they're only giving up a touchdown in 142 00:08:13,080 --> 00:08:15,320 Speaker 1: the red zone fifty four percent of the time. That's 143 00:08:15,440 --> 00:08:18,960 Speaker 1: ninth in the NFL. The numbers are tremendous. And here's 144 00:08:19,000 --> 00:08:21,679 Speaker 1: the one I like even more because I'm not sure 145 00:08:21,680 --> 00:08:25,240 Speaker 1: Seattle's going to win the division. Okay, they've got real 146 00:08:25,280 --> 00:08:28,280 Speaker 1: competition at six and two, they've got real competition. They 147 00:08:28,320 --> 00:08:33,319 Speaker 1: may not be able to get home field throughout the playoffs. 148 00:08:33,520 --> 00:08:35,840 Speaker 1: They may not be able to They may be on 149 00:08:35,880 --> 00:08:37,360 Speaker 1: the road. They may have to go on the road. 150 00:08:38,240 --> 00:08:41,720 Speaker 1: Here's what I love. They're actually really bad at home. 151 00:08:42,520 --> 00:08:46,319 Speaker 1: It's weird. Under Mike McDonald. They're actually a much better 152 00:08:46,480 --> 00:08:50,760 Speaker 1: road team, like a much better road team. The last 153 00:08:50,760 --> 00:08:53,520 Speaker 1: home game the Seahawks on October of the twentieth, they 154 00:08:53,520 --> 00:08:56,280 Speaker 1: won and covered against the Texans. You have to go 155 00:08:56,360 --> 00:08:59,440 Speaker 1: back to October of twenty three to find the last 156 00:08:59,480 --> 00:09:03,280 Speaker 1: time that Seattle one in covered for consecutive home games. 157 00:09:03,679 --> 00:09:07,040 Speaker 1: Since that streak, they have gone eight and ten straight 158 00:09:07,120 --> 00:09:10,440 Speaker 1: up at home in five twelve and one against the 159 00:09:10,520 --> 00:09:15,480 Speaker 1: number at home since October of twenty twenty three. I 160 00:09:15,559 --> 00:09:18,679 Speaker 1: have no idea why. It just doesn't make any sense. 161 00:09:19,240 --> 00:09:23,080 Speaker 1: But when Seattle plays out East, like say they have 162 00:09:23,120 --> 00:09:26,439 Speaker 1: to go play the Eagles in the NFC Championship game. Okay, 163 00:09:26,520 --> 00:09:30,920 Speaker 1: get this. Since twenty eighteen, the Seahawks are eighteen eight 164 00:09:31,080 --> 00:09:34,440 Speaker 1: and two against the spread in the Eastern time Zone 165 00:09:34,520 --> 00:09:37,640 Speaker 1: and under Mike McDonald, Seattle is six and one, six 166 00:09:37,679 --> 00:09:40,959 Speaker 1: and one straight up in the Eastern time Zone and 167 00:09:41,000 --> 00:09:45,480 Speaker 1: they're five to one and one against the spread. So far, 168 00:09:46,480 --> 00:09:49,640 Speaker 1: Seattle has been phenomenal. They just went to Washington on 169 00:09:49,720 --> 00:09:52,240 Speaker 1: Monday on Sunday Night Football and they beat up on 170 00:09:52,760 --> 00:09:55,960 Speaker 1: the Commanders on the Eastern time Zone. I think we 171 00:09:56,040 --> 00:09:57,600 Speaker 1: got to take it. I think it's I think this 172 00:09:57,679 --> 00:10:00,400 Speaker 1: number is going to start to come down dramatically. Let's 173 00:10:00,440 --> 00:10:03,160 Speaker 1: take it. Seattle to win the Super Bowl at fourteen 174 00:10:03,200 --> 00:10:07,680 Speaker 1: to one, one unit down. Seahawks plus fourteen hundred at 175 00:10:07,720 --> 00:10:09,960 Speaker 1: one for one unit here. Shop around and find the 176 00:10:09,960 --> 00:10:12,240 Speaker 1: best price. Books are either at twelve to one or 177 00:10:12,280 --> 00:10:15,640 Speaker 1: fourteen to one. I'm taking Seattle to win the Super Bowl. 178 00:10:16,120 --> 00:10:19,760 Speaker 1: First play of the year from a future perspective, Seahawks 179 00:10:20,000 --> 00:10:24,560 Speaker 1: fourteen to one to win the Super Bowl at number two. 180 00:10:24,960 --> 00:10:27,680 Speaker 1: Let's go and talk some NBA basketball with the prop 181 00:10:27,720 --> 00:10:31,560 Speaker 1: bet cheat sheet in Louri Marketing from the Utah Jazz. 182 00:10:31,559 --> 00:10:34,640 Speaker 1: They're on the road against the Detroit Pistons coming up 183 00:10:34,640 --> 00:10:39,560 Speaker 1: here for tonight. Prop bet cheat Sheet has Marketing projected 184 00:10:39,600 --> 00:10:42,840 Speaker 1: to just have twenty two points and assists in this game, 185 00:10:42,920 --> 00:10:46,800 Speaker 1: but his prop is twenty seven and a half. The 186 00:10:47,000 --> 00:10:49,440 Speaker 1: cover probability, according to the prop bet cheat sheet is 187 00:10:49,480 --> 00:10:52,840 Speaker 1: seventy three percent. It is an expected value of plus 188 00:10:53,000 --> 00:10:56,120 Speaker 1: thirty nine percent. Forty percent is the best. It is 189 00:10:56,160 --> 00:10:58,760 Speaker 1: a five star play as you would expect. What's crazy 190 00:10:58,800 --> 00:11:02,120 Speaker 1: is that this prop has hit five straight games before 191 00:11:02,120 --> 00:11:05,920 Speaker 1: the last game against the Celtics. Okay, this prop is 192 00:11:06,000 --> 00:11:08,840 Speaker 1: five and one over the last six games, a different 193 00:11:08,880 --> 00:11:13,800 Speaker 1: way of saying that, but looking at defense, looking at numbers, 194 00:11:13,840 --> 00:11:16,840 Speaker 1: looking at the way this team may be able to play, 195 00:11:17,600 --> 00:11:21,800 Speaker 1: this is interesting to look at. I'm gonna trust the 196 00:11:21,840 --> 00:11:24,440 Speaker 1: prop at cheat sheet. Here a cash last night with 197 00:11:24,480 --> 00:11:28,480 Speaker 1: an over for US points and assists for Lori Marketing, 198 00:11:28,520 --> 00:11:31,640 Speaker 1: we're going under twenty seven and a half. He got 199 00:11:31,679 --> 00:11:36,119 Speaker 1: a little hot over that five game stretch, but mostly 200 00:11:36,240 --> 00:11:39,160 Speaker 1: this has been an under nine of the last fifteen 201 00:11:39,240 --> 00:11:42,199 Speaker 1: games for market and he's gone under twenty seven and 202 00:11:42,280 --> 00:11:45,199 Speaker 1: a half for points and assists. He only gets about 203 00:11:45,200 --> 00:11:48,000 Speaker 1: two or three assists a game, so his season high 204 00:11:48,080 --> 00:11:50,880 Speaker 1: is five and that was in the season opener, so 205 00:11:51,320 --> 00:11:54,440 Speaker 1: mostly it's like two. So he has two assists, we 206 00:11:54,520 --> 00:11:56,200 Speaker 1: just don't need to as long as he doesn't go 207 00:11:56,240 --> 00:11:59,120 Speaker 1: off offensively and scores a ton of points. We're okay. 208 00:11:59,280 --> 00:12:02,520 Speaker 1: Now he scored thirty, you've scored fifty one against Phoenix. 209 00:12:02,720 --> 00:12:06,880 Speaker 1: He scored thirty two against Portland, thirty three against Phoenix 210 00:12:06,880 --> 00:12:10,160 Speaker 1: on the road in twenty nine against Charlotte. We don't 211 00:12:10,160 --> 00:12:12,080 Speaker 1: want that to happen here tonight. We want to have 212 00:12:12,080 --> 00:12:13,920 Speaker 1: a game like he had against the Clippers where he 213 00:12:13,960 --> 00:12:17,040 Speaker 1: had twenty, or the Celtics when he had twenty. Here 214 00:12:17,240 --> 00:12:19,280 Speaker 1: going up against the Pistons, we don't want him to 215 00:12:19,320 --> 00:12:22,440 Speaker 1: go off and go crazy. But prop bet cheat sheet 216 00:12:22,559 --> 00:12:25,720 Speaker 1: likes it. I'm going to follow it. Louri marketen under 217 00:12:25,800 --> 00:12:28,880 Speaker 1: twenty seven and a half points and assists for one 218 00:12:29,000 --> 00:12:32,720 Speaker 1: point one units. Before I give you the hard rock 219 00:12:32,800 --> 00:12:35,439 Speaker 1: bet of the day Play of the day, let's talk 220 00:12:35,520 --> 00:12:39,560 Speaker 1: one more play in the game between ball State and 221 00:12:39,720 --> 00:12:44,520 Speaker 1: Kent State. So ball State laying one and a half. 222 00:12:44,920 --> 00:12:48,040 Speaker 1: Some books have moved to two and a half already here, 223 00:12:48,120 --> 00:12:50,280 Speaker 1: so there's some discrepancy in the market on this game. 224 00:12:50,559 --> 00:12:54,520 Speaker 1: Maction in November is beautiful. We love betting maction. It's 225 00:12:54,559 --> 00:12:57,920 Speaker 1: been a staple of the Daily Juice podcast. So Ball 226 00:12:57,960 --> 00:13:00,480 Speaker 1: State is seven and three straight up over the ten 227 00:13:00,520 --> 00:13:02,800 Speaker 1: meetings between these two teams, and over the last three 228 00:13:02,840 --> 00:13:05,679 Speaker 1: meetings it's been thirty seven to thirty five, thirty four 229 00:13:05,720 --> 00:13:08,600 Speaker 1: to three, and twenty seven to twenty the wins for 230 00:13:08,720 --> 00:13:10,640 Speaker 1: ball State. They've been able to move the football and 231 00:13:10,679 --> 00:13:14,920 Speaker 1: score against Kent pretty consistently. Three and five record for 232 00:13:14,960 --> 00:13:17,600 Speaker 1: both these two teams. Both teams are five and three 233 00:13:17,640 --> 00:13:20,959 Speaker 1: against the spread. At home. Ball State is three and 234 00:13:21,040 --> 00:13:24,400 Speaker 1: oh against the number, while Kent is zero to four 235 00:13:24,760 --> 00:13:27,920 Speaker 1: on the road against the number. That's a pretty big 236 00:13:27,960 --> 00:13:31,400 Speaker 1: discrepancy in my opinion. That's a pretty big difference in 237 00:13:31,440 --> 00:13:35,000 Speaker 1: this game. In my opinion. Ball State has been the 238 00:13:35,000 --> 00:13:37,960 Speaker 1: money line favorite just one other time this year, and 239 00:13:38,040 --> 00:13:41,760 Speaker 1: they did win the game outrights at home. That was 240 00:13:41,760 --> 00:13:46,000 Speaker 1: against you and h against New Hampshire. At home against 241 00:13:46,040 --> 00:13:49,200 Speaker 1: New Hampshire laying three one by five, at home against 242 00:13:49,200 --> 00:13:53,240 Speaker 1: Ohio catching fourteen one by six, and at home against 243 00:13:53,280 --> 00:13:57,200 Speaker 1: Akron catching one and a half they won by fourteen points. 244 00:13:57,400 --> 00:13:59,800 Speaker 1: This ball State team plays well at home. They win 245 00:14:00,040 --> 00:14:02,319 Speaker 1: games at home. On the flip side for Kent State, 246 00:14:02,559 --> 00:14:05,679 Speaker 1: they lost to Toledo as twenty five point dogs. They 247 00:14:05,720 --> 00:14:08,800 Speaker 1: lost by thirty five. In that game, they were at Oklahoma. 248 00:14:08,840 --> 00:14:11,120 Speaker 1: They were catching forty six and a half, they lost 249 00:14:11,120 --> 00:14:14,280 Speaker 1: by forty four. They're at Florida State catching forty five, 250 00:14:14,559 --> 00:14:17,640 Speaker 1: they lost by fifty six. They were at Texas Tech 251 00:14:17,720 --> 00:14:20,640 Speaker 1: catching forty six and a half, they lost by forty eight. 252 00:14:20,720 --> 00:14:23,800 Speaker 1: So clearly, when you're playing Texas Tech, Florida State, and Oklahoma, 253 00:14:23,960 --> 00:14:26,160 Speaker 1: you're going to get your doors blown off. You play 254 00:14:26,200 --> 00:14:29,040 Speaker 1: Bowling Green catching seven and a half points, you'll only 255 00:14:29,040 --> 00:14:31,760 Speaker 1: lose by three. But you were at home Kent State 256 00:14:31,840 --> 00:14:34,040 Speaker 1: in that game. This is now you going back on 257 00:14:34,080 --> 00:14:36,080 Speaker 1: the road to take on a ball State team that's 258 00:14:36,080 --> 00:14:39,160 Speaker 1: been very good at home and recent history has been 259 00:14:39,160 --> 00:14:42,400 Speaker 1: in favor of ball State. Let's take the Munchie Boys 260 00:14:42,400 --> 00:14:45,960 Speaker 1: in Indiana ball State minus one and a half for 261 00:14:46,160 --> 00:14:50,240 Speaker 1: one point one units, so Seahawks to win the Super 262 00:14:50,280 --> 00:14:52,960 Speaker 1: Bowl Lori market in under twenty seven and a half 263 00:14:53,000 --> 00:14:57,000 Speaker 1: points and assists and ball State minus one and a half. 264 00:14:57,440 --> 00:15:01,600 Speaker 1: Let's get to the hard rock bet bet of the day. 265 00:15:02,600 --> 00:15:05,360 Speaker 1: It's Creighton basketball time, boys and girls. If you are 266 00:15:05,400 --> 00:15:07,600 Speaker 1: new to the podcast, if you, well, you can't kind 267 00:15:07,640 --> 00:15:10,120 Speaker 1: of see it behind me, but there's a Creighton symbol 268 00:15:10,200 --> 00:15:14,000 Speaker 1: behind me on the wall. I am the former pregame 269 00:15:14,040 --> 00:15:17,400 Speaker 1: in postgame show host of the Creighton Blue Jays, I 270 00:15:17,440 --> 00:15:20,200 Speaker 1: am the former owner of the first ever rival site 271 00:15:20,360 --> 00:15:25,480 Speaker 1: covering Creighton basketball. I bet the Jays a ton Okay, 272 00:15:26,040 --> 00:15:29,080 Speaker 1: So let's talk about the Creighton Blue Jays. Their home 273 00:15:29,160 --> 00:15:33,360 Speaker 1: opener season opener tonight up against a team in South 274 00:15:33,400 --> 00:15:36,360 Speaker 1: Dakota where a lot of these kids dream of playing 275 00:15:36,440 --> 00:15:40,440 Speaker 1: basketball in Omaha for Greg McDermott at Creighton. Here's the 276 00:15:40,480 --> 00:15:44,320 Speaker 1: thing about South Dakota. They're bringing back a couple of 277 00:15:44,320 --> 00:15:48,480 Speaker 1: decent players. Six of thirteen come back. They were picked 278 00:15:48,560 --> 00:15:52,560 Speaker 1: fifth in the Summit League. But style of play here. 279 00:15:53,080 --> 00:15:57,960 Speaker 1: The Coyotes last year finished first in turnover percentage. They 280 00:15:58,000 --> 00:16:02,400 Speaker 1: finished second in adjusted tempo seventy five possessions per forty minutes, 281 00:16:02,680 --> 00:16:06,200 Speaker 1: and third in points per game at eighty five point two. 282 00:16:07,520 --> 00:16:10,560 Speaker 1: They're gonna run. South Dakota is gonna go up tempo. 283 00:16:11,200 --> 00:16:14,280 Speaker 1: That's great news because the Jays are gonna go up tempo. 284 00:16:14,560 --> 00:16:18,960 Speaker 1: The Jays have a lot of talent returning, including Jackson mcsanrew, 285 00:16:19,240 --> 00:16:22,160 Speaker 1: who had a big East All freshman season last year. 286 00:16:22,440 --> 00:16:25,120 Speaker 1: He is back. He hit sixty nine to three pointers, 287 00:16:25,120 --> 00:16:27,560 Speaker 1: setting a Blue Jay freshman record, and that's a record 288 00:16:27,600 --> 00:16:29,800 Speaker 1: that was broken. I mean he had. It's Kyle Korver, 289 00:16:30,120 --> 00:16:34,080 Speaker 1: that's Doug McDermott, Jason mcxandrews. That's up of talent. He's 290 00:16:34,160 --> 00:16:36,520 Speaker 1: really really damn good. There's a bunch of new players. 291 00:16:36,520 --> 00:16:39,120 Speaker 1: There's nine new players on the roster, a couple of 292 00:16:39,120 --> 00:16:42,880 Speaker 1: transfers who have come in who have have wowed. There's 293 00:16:42,880 --> 00:16:45,200 Speaker 1: a couple of freshmen here coming in that are expected 294 00:16:45,240 --> 00:16:47,440 Speaker 1: to do some big things for the Creighton Blue Jays. 295 00:16:48,160 --> 00:16:52,720 Speaker 1: They're gonna go up tempo. First half overs and first 296 00:16:52,800 --> 00:16:57,200 Speaker 1: half team totals. Overs have been very profitable betting on 297 00:16:57,200 --> 00:17:00,240 Speaker 1: the Cryton Blue Jays. Again, this is game one for 298 00:17:00,280 --> 00:17:02,080 Speaker 1: these teams. We don't know what these teams are going 299 00:17:02,160 --> 00:17:04,760 Speaker 1: to look like. Okay, so we're flying blind, we're flying 300 00:17:04,800 --> 00:17:07,760 Speaker 1: off last year's stats. There's tons of recruits, there's tons 301 00:17:07,760 --> 00:17:09,959 Speaker 1: of transfers. Like, you know, I'm not really all that 302 00:17:10,000 --> 00:17:12,320 Speaker 1: mad that I opened up zero to three here. However, 303 00:17:13,119 --> 00:17:15,760 Speaker 1: I do think this is a good opportunity to take 304 00:17:15,800 --> 00:17:18,960 Speaker 1: a first half over for the Creighton Blue Jays where 305 00:17:19,160 --> 00:17:22,480 Speaker 1: they're at home, gonna have you a sellout. They're ranked 306 00:17:22,560 --> 00:17:25,040 Speaker 1: top twenty five and South Dakota's going to come in 307 00:17:25,080 --> 00:17:27,439 Speaker 1: and push them. I think South Dicot is going to run. 308 00:17:27,760 --> 00:17:30,160 Speaker 1: I don't want to lay sixteen points in the first half. 309 00:17:30,280 --> 00:17:31,640 Speaker 1: I don't want to lay twenty eight and a half 310 00:17:31,640 --> 00:17:33,600 Speaker 1: points for the game. I just want to come in 311 00:17:33,640 --> 00:17:36,840 Speaker 1: here and just cake Creighton. First half over seventy nine 312 00:17:36,880 --> 00:17:39,359 Speaker 1: and a half for both Creighton and South Dakota. Let's 313 00:17:39,359 --> 00:17:41,720 Speaker 1: go over in the first half at seventy nine and 314 00:17:41,760 --> 00:17:44,639 Speaker 1: a half at minus one twenty. Let's get a fifty 315 00:17:44,680 --> 00:17:47,119 Speaker 1: to thirty score here in the first half. And I 316 00:17:47,119 --> 00:17:48,840 Speaker 1: think the Jays can put up fifty points in the 317 00:17:48,840 --> 00:17:51,359 Speaker 1: first half. I really do if their threes are falling. 318 00:17:51,440 --> 00:17:54,000 Speaker 1: I do think they have a massive advantage inside, massive 319 00:17:54,040 --> 00:17:57,600 Speaker 1: size advantage, massive athletic advantage against South Dakota. But again, 320 00:17:57,960 --> 00:18:00,600 Speaker 1: Celticota doesn't turn the ball over they want to, and 321 00:18:00,640 --> 00:18:03,399 Speaker 1: they're going to look to score in bunches. Let's go 322 00:18:03,520 --> 00:18:06,159 Speaker 1: over seventy nine and a half and minus one twenty 323 00:18:06,400 --> 00:18:10,760 Speaker 1: for one point two units. That was the hard rock 324 00:18:10,920 --> 00:18:16,040 Speaker 1: bet of the day here for us on a Wednesday. 325 00:18:16,080 --> 00:18:18,840 Speaker 1: You guys know that hard Rock Bet is the sponsor 326 00:18:19,240 --> 00:18:21,760 Speaker 1: of the Daily Juice podcast. It's that time of the year, 327 00:18:21,800 --> 00:18:23,720 Speaker 1: a golden time of the year. Not just pro football. 328 00:18:23,760 --> 00:18:26,080 Speaker 1: We have the NBA, College football, college hoops, and hockey 329 00:18:26,160 --> 00:18:28,479 Speaker 1: all sharing the stage. There's always something to bet on. 330 00:18:28,760 --> 00:18:30,480 Speaker 1: If you have not tried your first bet on hard 331 00:18:30,560 --> 00:18:32,679 Speaker 1: Rock Bet yet, there's still time to do so. You 332 00:18:32,680 --> 00:18:34,719 Speaker 1: can get one hundred freey dollars in bonus bets if 333 00:18:34,720 --> 00:18:36,560 Speaker 1: you place a five dollars wager and if it hits, 334 00:18:36,560 --> 00:18:38,399 Speaker 1: you get your winnings, but you also get one hundred 335 00:18:38,400 --> 00:18:40,520 Speaker 1: and three dollars in bonus bets. The hard Rock Bet 336 00:18:40,560 --> 00:18:43,360 Speaker 1: sportsbook app is the only legal sportsbook in Florida. There's 337 00:18:43,359 --> 00:18:47,320 Speaker 1: also live in Arizona, Ohio, New Jersey, Indiana, Tennessee, Virginia, Illinois, 338 00:18:47,359 --> 00:18:50,320 Speaker 1: in Colorado more states coming too soon. Plus hard Rock 339 00:18:50,359 --> 00:18:53,200 Speaker 1: Bet offers new promos every single day. Download the hard 340 00:18:53,280 --> 00:18:57,000 Speaker 1: Rock Bet app and make your first deposit coming up 341 00:18:57,040 --> 00:19:03,119 Speaker 1: here to day for us. So good stuff there. There's 342 00:19:03,160 --> 00:19:06,760 Speaker 1: the hard Rock Bet of the day. So what are 343 00:19:06,760 --> 00:19:09,080 Speaker 1: we doing today, Well, we're trying to have a winning 344 00:19:09,160 --> 00:19:11,520 Speaker 1: day first time in a week. See if we can 345 00:19:11,560 --> 00:19:14,520 Speaker 1: do it. Here but plays for today Seahawks to win 346 00:19:14,600 --> 00:19:18,040 Speaker 1: the Super Bowl at fourteen hundred plus fourteen hundred for 347 00:19:18,080 --> 00:19:21,320 Speaker 1: one unit. Lori marketing of the Jazz under twenty seven 348 00:19:21,359 --> 00:19:23,800 Speaker 1: and a half points and assists at minus won ten. 349 00:19:24,200 --> 00:19:28,240 Speaker 1: Ball State action at home against Kent State at minus one, 350 00:19:28,760 --> 00:19:31,240 Speaker 1: minus one and a half for one point one units, 351 00:19:31,320 --> 00:19:32,679 Speaker 1: and the play of the day for the hard Rock 352 00:19:32,720 --> 00:19:35,919 Speaker 1: bet is the creating basketball. Creating basketball against South Dakota. 353 00:19:35,960 --> 00:19:38,960 Speaker 1: We're going over in the first half over seventy nine 354 00:19:39,040 --> 00:19:41,960 Speaker 1: and a half at minus one twenty for one point 355 00:19:42,000 --> 00:19:44,560 Speaker 1: two units. So three bets in action for tonight in 356 00:19:44,600 --> 00:19:46,800 Speaker 1: one future to give you guys here on a Wednesday. 357 00:19:46,880 --> 00:19:49,439 Speaker 1: Hopefully that snaps us out of this cold streak and 358 00:19:49,480 --> 00:19:51,520 Speaker 1: we can get going here with Thursday Night football with 359 00:19:51,520 --> 00:19:55,040 Speaker 1: the Raiders and the Broncos and more to come. Minus 360 00:19:55,040 --> 00:19:56,560 Speaker 1: Matt Parol to you guys and follow Micross all my 361 00:19:56,600 --> 00:19:59,400 Speaker 1: socials at Sports Talk Matt every morning wherever you guys 362 00:19:59,400 --> 00:20:03,320 Speaker 1: get your podcast. It is the Daily Juice