Speaker 1: Hello, everybody, Welcome into the cycle.
Speaker 2: I am Ryan Warmley, joined as always by Mike Mayer.
Speaker 2: We are talking all things fantasy baseball. On this segment,
Speaker 2: we were talking to by Lows and Sell Highs. We're
Speaker 2: also going to do our waivers central heading into next week,
Speaker 2: we will start what we always do with the bye
Speaker 2: Low's and mayor you can go ahead and kick us
Speaker 2: off here.
Speaker 3: Sure, So I went with Roman Anthony as my BILO
Speaker 3: who I considered, can you really buy low on Roman
Speaker 3: Anthony right now? Just because the sample size is so small?
Speaker 3: And I based on you know, my DMS and some
Speaker 3: of the comments we got on last week's episode where
Speaker 3: you know, we kind of talked about Roman Anthony and
Speaker 3: Pete Armstrong and Dynasty and I said it was absurd
Speaker 3: to move PCA ahead of Roman Anthony, and you disagreed,
Speaker 3: and some people in the comments we're all, we're also
Speaker 3: already ready to just move PCA up above Roman Anthety
Speaker 3: and I just think slower role here a little bit.
Speaker 3: This is still the best prospect in baseball.
Speaker 4: We are.
Speaker 3: I just I wrote him up in this week's Players
Speaker 3: to Trade Now by Low Sell High article on Fantasy
Speaker 3: pros and I made the argument that one of the
Speaker 3: main things about it is when I watch him, he
Speaker 3: looks like a professional hitter. He's you know, he's having
Speaker 3: some bad luck, he's babbab is still one thirty eight
Speaker 3: right now, but he just looks like he takes professional
Speaker 3: at bats, even against lefties. And the Red Sox are
Speaker 3: showing that they agree because Alex Korra, who has been
Speaker 3: asked all year about like, you know, why are you
Speaker 3: not playing Marcela Meyer against lefties or what you know,
Speaker 3: why are you trying kind of like protecting these kids
Speaker 3: against left you know, these left handed hitters against lefties,
Speaker 3: he's batting Roman Anthony high in the lineup, and you know,
Speaker 3: even in lefties against lefties, he's batting him second in
Speaker 3: the lineup. And despite some of the early you know, struggles,
Speaker 3: at least numbers wise, the Red Sox are showing a
Speaker 3: lot of faith in him, and I think they're justified
Speaker 3: in doing so because I think he's going to get
Speaker 3: hot soon. And despite you know, his what is his
Speaker 3: batting average right now, It is one fourteen with the
Speaker 3: two twenty seven expected batting average, but he's also walking
Speaker 3: more than eighteen percent of the time. Strikeout rates twenty
Speaker 3: five percent. It's not great, it's not terrible for a
Speaker 3: young hitter. You know, we just talked about some young
Speaker 3: hitters with a strike out rate over thirty percent, And
Speaker 3: I just think we're going to see him get hot,
Speaker 3: either leading into the All Star break or coming out of.
Speaker 4: The second half.
Speaker 3: We've again talked ad nauseum about these young hitters who
Speaker 3: come up and struggle. I think I think we're seeing
Speaker 3: the same thing, and I think it's going to click
Speaker 3: for him soon and he's going to adjust to the
Speaker 3: league and he's going to get hot.
Speaker 2: For the record, I don't think it's knocking Roman Anthony
Speaker 2: to say that pekrar Strong has earned a spot higher
Speaker 2: than him and Dinosaur rankings. It's not like there's a
Speaker 2: huge age gap. PCA is like two years older than
Speaker 2: him and he's already having a dominant season, whereas Roman
Speaker 2: Anthony hasn't yet done it. Like I don't want to
Speaker 2: put I put a lot of weight in general in
Speaker 2: my fantasy analysis. I put a lot of stock into
Speaker 2: pedigree and prospect frankings because I think they matter. It's
Speaker 2: not the only thing that matters, but I think they matter.
Speaker 2: But I don't want to overweight that when a guy
Speaker 2: like Peek Armstrong is doing what he's doing right now.
Speaker 5: So that's my thought on those two in particular. But yeah,
Speaker 5: I think this is a totally valid one.
Speaker 1: I don't know how acquireable he is.
Speaker 2: If somebody has been holding on to Roman Anthony, they
Speaker 2: probably are having a similar optimistic view to what you have.
Speaker 2: But I agree that if he is attainable, he's worth
Speaker 2: buying low on. I mean, hadding one fourteen right, just
Speaker 2: one home or one soule and base like he's not
Speaker 2: doing anything yet, but I think you will.
Speaker 3: Yeah, And I think he is acquiable just because of
Speaker 3: some of the like the comments I'm seeing like in
Speaker 3: my DMS or like on the Fantas Spros discord where
Speaker 3: they're just like give me anything to Roman Anthony, or
Speaker 3: like I'm willing to cut roman Antic and I'm like,
Speaker 3: hold on, Like it's way too early for that, Like
Speaker 3: we've seen this story so many times, especially this year
Speaker 3: and last year. It's way too early to panic like that,
Speaker 3: Like you need to hold on and if you're going
Speaker 3: to trade him, you you better get fair value because
Speaker 3: if you trade to me, you know, I'm willing to,
Speaker 3: then I won't ask you each name. But like the
Speaker 3: the pictures I put out there that I would float
Speaker 3: for Roman Anthony, it was Nick Poveda, Code Sanga, Chris Boobich,
Speaker 3: Yusai Kakuchi who just had another good start. And then
Speaker 3: the most interesting one is if you'd be willing, you know,
Speaker 3: if probably the top name would be and Rabbit, you know,
Speaker 3: if you're willing to kind of like ex sell high
Speaker 3: on and Rabbit in order to builo on Roman Anthony.
Speaker 2: Okay, my bylow is George Kirby, and I put this
Speaker 2: together before he pitched yesterday where he only allowed one
Speaker 2: and run six innings, just three strikeouts. But maybe he's
Speaker 2: kind of getting starting to shake off more of that
Speaker 2: rust and get back to what we expect out of him.
Speaker 2: So hopefully it's not too late to go after him.
Speaker 2: But like I said, I did put him in here
Speaker 2: when his ERA was still above six. But Kirby's just
Speaker 2: always a picture that I really liked. His walk rate
Speaker 2: is like double what it's been in his career, but
Speaker 2: he didn't get a spring training really like obviously he's coming,
Speaker 2: you know, with this injury that cost him the start
Speaker 2: of the season. He's only what seven starts into this
Speaker 2: twenty five year, he's one in four. He does have
Speaker 2: a strikeout per inning, which is better than he's given
Speaker 2: us the last two innings. That's largely driven by his
Speaker 2: fourteen strikeout game that he had a few starts to go.
Speaker 2: But this is a picture where the fastball velocity is
Speaker 2: where it was last year. Like it looks like he's,
Speaker 2: you know, reasonably healthy. I am just assuming that his
Speaker 2: slow start is simply rust and he's only twenty seven
Speaker 2: years old. Like I think he will be the George
Speaker 2: Kirby of old very soon. And if you can acquire
Speaker 2: him in a trade for somebody who doesn't I'm not
Speaker 2: gonna say has lost patience, but maybe doesn't have the
Speaker 2: ability to be patient because it's halfway through the season
Speaker 2: and you know, maybe somebody just like they need somebody
Speaker 2: who can contribute now because of where they are in
Speaker 2: the standings. I would try to get George Kirby because again,
Speaker 2: I think the second half he's gonna be that he's
Speaker 2: gonna be that same guy right where he is the
Speaker 2: era I think in the mid threes, Like he's not
Speaker 2: gonna walk anybody. He's gonna have a low whip. I
Speaker 2: like George Kirby a lot. The other thing worth noting,
Speaker 2: just as some of his numbers, the home run to
Speaker 2: fly ball rate is like sky high. His previous career
Speaker 2: high is ten percent and it's currently at almost eighteen percent,
Speaker 2: so that's that's obviously hurting him. His expected FIP is
Speaker 2: three five seven, which is almost identical to what it
Speaker 2: was a year ago. Its current FIP is four four nine,
Speaker 2: So I think the numbers will come down and he's
Speaker 2: going to look like his usual self going forward. So
Speaker 2: a lot of times we look at like the underlying
Speaker 2: numbers to make this case. This is more of just
Speaker 2: like the track record some of the underlying numbers, like
Speaker 2: that home run rate, and just trusting that he's going
Speaker 2: to shake off the rust.
Speaker 3: Random was tach comparison. I just noticed while looking at
Speaker 3: the stats while you're talking and kind of jumping between tabs,
Speaker 3: is that I thought I was looking at George Kirby
Speaker 3: when you were talking about his home run to fly
Speaker 3: ball rate. I was actually looking at Peter Armstrong and
Speaker 3: he also has an eighteen percent home run to fly already.
Speaker 5: Nice.
Speaker 4: I largely agree with you on Kirby.
Speaker 3: I was like a little not like down on him,
Speaker 3: but like probably like slightly blow Conciens is coming into
Speaker 3: season just because of what you said, You're not normally
Speaker 3: going to get that strikeout erinning, which is kind of
Speaker 3: what like a barometer of your that you're like looking for.
Speaker 3: But I think I agree with you. I think he's
Speaker 3: just off to a slow start. We've seen this with
Speaker 3: pitches before, like a Blake Snell last year who got
Speaker 3: off to a really slow start after not really having
Speaker 3: a spring training. A lot of us expected numbers are better,
Speaker 3: And I think I agree. I think this is rust
Speaker 3: whether or not we see it before the All Star
Speaker 3: break or maybe he just kind of needs to get
Speaker 3: to the All Star break kind of catch his breath,
Speaker 3: and then we see George Kirby in the second half.
Speaker 4: You see that a lot with players.
Speaker 3: It's like an unofficial like turnaround, you know, even though
Speaker 3: that's not like the exact in the first half second
Speaker 3: half of the year, like mid to year break.
Speaker 4: Sometimes you see players.
Speaker 3: Just like need to kind of like catch their breath reset,
Speaker 3: and then we just see a different player on the
Speaker 3: second half of Sometimes.
Speaker 4: It works the other way. A player that's really hot
Speaker 4: Cools off in the second half.
Speaker 2: I mean, you can even just look in June, like
Speaker 2: his first two starts came in May. If you take
Speaker 2: those out and just look at his June stats since returning,
Speaker 2: it is a three fifty four ERA, twenty eight strikeouts
Speaker 2: and twenty eight innings and a one to eleven whip.
Speaker 2: So like more walks than you're used to with him.
Speaker 2: But besides like that basically is George Kirby, if not
Speaker 2: maybe even a little better than last year with the
Speaker 2: strike up per inning Again, that is heavily weighted by
Speaker 2: the fourteen strikeout game he had against the Angels. The
Speaker 2: rest of his outings he has not had the strike
Speaker 2: out numbers that you usually want to see, but he
Speaker 2: like basically already is kind of getting back to what
Speaker 2: we expect, and the numbers it's still early enough that
Speaker 2: they're dragged down by those early starts. So I would
Speaker 2: I would try to get him before he goes on
Speaker 2: a tear, which I think is coming.
Speaker 3: You want me to look at a couple names that
Speaker 3: you would trade him for or no, sure, So he's
Speaker 3: pretty high in the trade value chart, all right, let
Speaker 3: me see, let me let me look for some comps here,
Speaker 3: is his value was pretty high, so he's not really devaluable.
Speaker 2: Well, this is what this is one that I was
Speaker 2: curious what your reaction was going to be in terms of, like, oh,
Speaker 2: he's not actually a by Low, or he's like at
Speaker 2: least too obvious of one that people won't be willing
Speaker 2: to like he's not attainable. So I was kind of
Speaker 2: curious what your thoughts were going to be on that
Speaker 2: side of things.
Speaker 3: I think he's trending towards not being a by Low.
Speaker 3: Like it's it's probably one of those situations where the
Speaker 3: window's closing, and maybe it already closed in some leagues,
Speaker 3: and maybe it's not closed yet another leagues.
Speaker 4: But I think.
Speaker 3: When you make a trade offer to someone and they
Speaker 3: look down and they see George Kirby's RAS five point four,
Speaker 3: I think there's still opportunity to buy there, even though
Speaker 3: he's pitch better of late. But I will say our
Speaker 3: trade value chart still hasn't pretty value valued pretty highly,
Speaker 3: and like he's in the range of Christian Yelich. Which
Speaker 3: would you rather have Yellich or Kirby rest this season?
Speaker 5: That probably just depends on what I need.
Speaker 3: Yeah, Alex Bregman, he just got hurt. But zach Netto like,
Speaker 3: these are pretty good names, so that tells you kind
Speaker 3: of where he's valued on the on the trade value.
Speaker 5: I think i'd rather have Bregman.
Speaker 2: I mean, I don't know what's really to expect the
Speaker 2: injury stuff with him, but if he gets back healthy,
Speaker 2: I'd rather have Bregmann. But I'd rather have Kurby than that.
Speaker 4: O your boy, Say a Suzuki is in that range.
Speaker 5: Say has crushing it man?
Speaker 4: Yeah? I love Sir Lawrence Butler.
Speaker 5: Yeah.
Speaker 2: So he's pretty highly valued, I think is the ultimate
Speaker 2: takeaway here, but maybe worth trying. But maybe he's not
Speaker 2: a buyelove. And if he is not, then I apologize,
Speaker 2: But you're right. The season long numbers for him so
Speaker 2: far would suggest that he is. All right, let's go
Speaker 2: to your cell high.
Speaker 3: My cell high is Clark Schmidt, who is someone who's
Speaker 3: been on a heater and if I can scroll down
Speaker 3: to my notes so I don't just fly blind here.
Speaker 3: So Clark Schmid is a is a picture who's been
Speaker 3: really hot lately. Through twelve starts and nearly three months
Speaker 3: of the full season, he's got a two point far
Speaker 3: eight four ERA one point zero six whip and a
Speaker 3: four and three record to go with sixty five strikeouts
Speaker 3: in sixty nine and two thirds inning, so almost a
Speaker 3: strike up running. And after kind of a rough April,
Speaker 3: we had some bad luck, he rebounded with a solid May,
Speaker 3: and he was even better in June. And he's running
Speaker 3: hot right now, making it the perfect time to sell
Speaker 3: high on him. And he has a nearly identical era
Speaker 3: to when he posted over eighty five innings in twenty
Speaker 3: twenty four four versus two point a five, and so
Speaker 3: it could just be, you know, kind of his expected
Speaker 3: numbers are like slightly worse than that. It could just
Speaker 3: be that he's a pitcher who just routinely will outperformance
Speaker 3: expected numbers. I don't think we have a large enough
Speaker 3: sample size for to know that that's true or to
Speaker 3: think that that's true. So I do think that regression
Speaker 3: is coming, negative regression, if I want me to clarify,
Speaker 3: and so I lean towards the regression coming for him.
Speaker 3: I don't think he's this good. I don't think he's bad,
Speaker 3: but I don't think he's this good. And I think
Speaker 3: it's like again, like when you when you present a
Speaker 3: player like this in a trade and you look at
Speaker 3: those stats, and you look at that he pictures for
Speaker 3: a good team. I think you can get a decent
Speaker 3: value for him. And one of the names I flipped
Speaker 3: for him is a name we mentioned in our previous video.
Speaker 3: She wanted to go back and see us to talk
Speaker 3: about some rookies. I posed, can you flip him for
Speaker 3: Jack Hackling right now? You know, maybe that maybe that's
Speaker 3: selling too high, or maybe that's aiming too high, But
Speaker 3: you know, that's kind of where I would start the conversation.
Speaker 3: And maybe I can if that manager is frustrated and
Speaker 3: it's already gotten a few weeks of just below two
Speaker 3: hundred batting average to Jack Kygileione, he's only got those
Speaker 3: two home runs, he could do some pitching. Maybe he's
Speaker 3: willing to get out of the Jack kygli on business,
Speaker 3: and I'm willing to get into the Jack kagli on business.
Speaker 4: And so that's kind of where I would start.
Speaker 3: And if not there, maybe I'd take a flyer on
Speaker 3: a new look Maximnsey now that he's got glasses.
Speaker 4: TJ.
Speaker 3: Friedel, who was ironically sell high for me last week,
Speaker 3: but I you know, I would sell high slash, you know,
Speaker 3: on Clark to buy high on Friedel. Maybe his his
Speaker 3: stackcast profile is kind of all over the places. But
Speaker 3: lewis Arias he's got it really bizarre stack cast page,
Speaker 3: but he kind of always does. Or someone like Tommy Edmond,
Speaker 3: who is kind of you know, slowing down a little bit.
Speaker 4: He might be able to acquire him. For Clerksmith.
Speaker 5: That was a lot of turn Well he I think
Speaker 5: you could get kagleon, do you think so? Well, maybe
Speaker 5: I'm wrong.
Speaker 1: I don't know.
Speaker 2: I mean, I get again, the young guys struggling is
Speaker 2: like a really common thing now. So if somebody again
Speaker 2: we're talking redraft, of course, but somebody says like I
Speaker 2: don't have the ability to wait on him to figure
Speaker 2: it out, and I need pitching help. I could see
Speaker 2: managers saying, oh, this guy's pitching for the Yankee, so
Speaker 2: he's gonna get win opportunities the ras under three, Like, yeah,
Speaker 2: I'll take that for I think that's doable.
Speaker 3: And on the trade value but well I would I
Speaker 3: don't think you are way up because that's one of
Speaker 3: the reasons I picked him is that on the trade
Speaker 3: value chart they are within that same range, you know,
Speaker 3: and sometimes it takes you know, rookies a little bit
Speaker 3: longer to kind of a grocer fall, but you know
Speaker 3: where they are right now on the trade value chart,
Speaker 3: they're pretty pretty even, all right.
Speaker 2: My favorite sell high is Byron Buxton, who has been
Speaker 2: like kind of like, is it fair to say he's
Speaker 2: been sneaky awesome this year. I mean he's been on
Speaker 2: a heater as of late, which is which is really helped.
Speaker 2: But he's been insanely good. And it's a lot of
Speaker 2: red on the stat cast that there's there's some blue
Speaker 2: there too. There's not a lot of middle ground. It's
Speaker 2: pretty much every category it's either very red or very blue.
Speaker 2: You know, still has a pretty high wiff rate, strike
Speaker 2: cut rates of twenty seven percent, but he's hitting the
Speaker 2: ball really hard. His hard hit rate is over fifty
Speaker 2: percent and he's got seventeen home runs and thirteen stolen bases.
Speaker 2: Batting average is two seventy nine. Expected batting average is lower,
Speaker 2: but it's still over two fifty. This is like, I
Speaker 2: can kind of keep this really simple. It is strictly
Speaker 2: a this guy's never healthy, and if he's on this
Speaker 2: much of a heater, I would try and sell high
Speaker 2: while you can and get somebody back that you're a
Speaker 2: little more secure with, because you know, players don't tend
Speaker 2: to get healthier as they get older, and he's into
Speaker 2: his thirties now and obviously has a very long history
Speaker 2: of not playing full seasons. In fact, since twenty seventeen,
Speaker 2: he has played one hundred games in a season once.
Speaker 2: It was last year, and he only played one hundred
Speaker 2: and two games last season. He has not had four
Speaker 2: hundred plate appearances in his season since twenty seventeen, So, like,
Speaker 2: we know what the history is with this guy. He's
Speaker 2: playing so well right now, basically leading off every game
Speaker 2: with the homer that I think you should sell high
Speaker 2: while you can.
Speaker 3: Yeah, exclamation point co sign. I don't have a ton
Speaker 3: to add there, completely agree. I you know, he's kind
Speaker 3: of one of those talents that we were just robbed
Speaker 3: of because if he stays healthy for his entire career,
Speaker 3: like we're talking about a Hall of Famer here, because
Speaker 3: he's that good and can be that good when he
Speaker 3: is healthy. He's just never healthy. And then we've also
Speaker 3: seen him be kind of bad when he's healthy, but
Speaker 3: he's also he's so he's been so injured and so
Speaker 3: banged up throughout his career, Like it's impossible to know,
Speaker 3: like when was he like banged up when he put
Speaker 3: up those like poor numbers and just like leading into
Speaker 3: an injury kind of a thing. But you're always going
Speaker 3: to get that power speed.
Speaker 2: I will say, despite the fact that I'm saying you
Speaker 2: should sell high, I think his rest of season right now,
Speaker 2: King's really low. Like I'm very surprised by it. Overall,
Speaker 2: one hundred and twenty seconds. I think he's he's thirty
Speaker 2: fourth among outfielders in our consensus rest of season rankings.
Speaker 2: Like when healthy, he's going to far outperform that, and
Speaker 2: when not healthy, he's going to obviously be useless. So
Speaker 2: like I would have him higher honestly than Like, right
Speaker 2: right now in the overall rankings, he's one spot behind
Speaker 2: Anthony Santander.
Speaker 5: Like that to me just feels like that is a mistake.
Speaker 3: All injury, it's all people worried about the injury.
Speaker 2: Yeah, but Santander is hurt and has been garbage this year,
Speaker 2: So I like that. I mean, he's just the first
Speaker 2: name that I saw.
Speaker 4: But what's this consensus outfield ranking.
Speaker 5: I think it's thirty four.
Speaker 4: Oh, I haven't below that.
Speaker 5: I was just looking at it.
Speaker 4: What's that I have him below that I haven't had
Speaker 4: forty three.
Speaker 5: See, I think that's great.
Speaker 2: Dude is thirty combined home runs and steels halfway through
Speaker 2: the season and is playing well.
Speaker 3: I don't have him above Santander, who I have at
Speaker 3: fifty two.
Speaker 2: Yeah, that's that's more fair. Where do you You said
Speaker 2: you have forty three?
Speaker 5: Yeah? I mean he's really good.
Speaker 3: He's behind Michael Christia, Randi, Rosarana, Riley Green, Jason de Mingez.
Speaker 3: Maybe I should broke Jason ming Is down below him.
Speaker 5: Yeah, he should higher than Jason de Mingus in my opinion,
Speaker 5: I'll move him right now.
Speaker 3: But it's all it's all like injury, because it's like, sure,
Speaker 3: buying Buckson is better than him, but like, what if
Speaker 3: he's not here in August?
Speaker 2: Would you rather have for the rest of this season
Speaker 2: Mike Trout or Byron Bucks Mike Trout. I mean they're
Speaker 2: equally likely to get hurt, right.
Speaker 4: Yeah, but I have a lot invested in Mike Trout,
Speaker 4: so I need him to be better.
Speaker 5: So you're digging in your heels.
Speaker 4: Yeah.
Speaker 3: I took a firm stance before the season, and gosh
Speaker 3: darn it, I'm going to go down with the ship.
Speaker 2: I mean, Buckson has been like much better this year,
Speaker 2: and both have injury concerns, so like I would rather
Speaker 2: have Buckson than Trout.
Speaker 4: And Buckson is still running while Trout is not running much.
Speaker 2: So yeah, Buckson is when he hasn't been in the
Speaker 2: last few years. But I mean this is his most
Speaker 2: stolen bases he's had in a season since twenty nineteen,
Speaker 2: and he's only one behind that number, So he's like
Speaker 2: two stolen bases away from his second most in his career.
Speaker 4: Yeah, that's wilds down.
Speaker 5: Yeah all right.
Speaker 2: If you are struggling with lineup decisions, our lineup assistant
Speaker 2: recommends optimal lineup suggestions to maximize your team's performance each
Speaker 2: day or week. Just sink your league for tailored guidance
Speaker 2: based on your roster and league settings. Download the Fantasy
Speaker 2: Baseball My Playbook app or visit Fantasypros dot com slash
Speaker 2: MLB My Playbook to set your winning lineup today. Let's
Speaker 2: do waivers Central. I have Dominic canzone. Who is We
Speaker 2: often write down like where these guys are available? Sometimes
Speaker 2: I think I tend to go for the guys are
Speaker 2: who are much lower and it's like the kind of
Speaker 2: the deeper league, like something where your guys tend to
Speaker 2: be a little bit more rostered. This is an example
Speaker 2: where rather than writing down the percentages he is available
Speaker 2: everywhere there are I think it's like three percent rostered
Speaker 2: on fan tracks, one percent on Yahoo, one percent is
Speaker 2: like he is availab pretty much anywhere. I'm not saying
Speaker 2: this is this guy's gonna be a league winner for
Speaker 2: you the rest of the year or anything like that,
Speaker 2: but he is on a hot streak. The stack cast
Speaker 2: data is not he hasn't had enough at bats to
Speaker 2: kind of qualify for stuff, but it's pretty red. Is
Speaker 2: expected batting average to ninety two. Expected slugging it was
Speaker 2: over five hundred. His average exitvelocity is ninety two miles
Speaker 2: per hour. And what really stands out to me is
Speaker 2: his max ex velocity, which does kind of like reflect
Speaker 2: how well you're hitting pretty early on, it's one hundred
Speaker 2: and fifteen point nine miles per hour. That's top three
Speaker 2: percent in baseball, so impacting the ball like very hard.
Speaker 2: His strikeout rate is twelve point eight percent. Last year
Speaker 2: it was twenty eight point two percent. Again, these are
Speaker 2: in somewhat smaller sample sizes. He only h had under
Speaker 2: two hundred play appearances last year. He has under fifty
Speaker 2: this year. Still, that's a pretty steep drop off. Walkerates
Speaker 2: a little lower, but the striker being that low is
Speaker 2: you know, kind of makes me raise my eyebrows. This
Speaker 2: is one where I kind of just want to pick
Speaker 2: him up and ride the hot streak and he becomes
Speaker 2: a very droppable guy if he starts to fall off.
Speaker 5: But for the time.
Speaker 2: Being, if you need somebody who's on a bit of
Speaker 2: a power hot streak that maybe he maintains it longer
Speaker 2: than you expect, but if he doesn't, he becomes a
Speaker 2: droppable piece. I like having that kind of player on
Speaker 2: my team, honestly, So that's why he is my pick,
Speaker 2: despite the fact that he is at HEA's twelve percent
Speaker 2: roster on a fan tracks, so that's going up. But yeah,
Speaker 2: what do you think of Canzone.
Speaker 3: I think he's probably more of a deeply target for me,
Speaker 3: just because I don't know if there's a very high
Speaker 3: ceiling there. But yeah, I was trying to look at
Speaker 3: some of his like minor league stat members to see
Speaker 3: like because of the strike out Nomber is so low
Speaker 3: despite being higher last year, and he's kind of bounced
Speaker 3: around so much, but whether it's like between teams or
Speaker 3: between like levels, it's almost kind of hard to like
Speaker 3: pinpoint what his two strikeout number is like supposed to
Speaker 3: be because it's like it's like twenty five games here,
Speaker 3: twenty one games here, forty four games here, thirty five
Speaker 3: games here, and it's like it's twelve percent strikeout, seventeen
Speaker 3: percent fourteen, twenty two, nineteen, twenty thirty three, So it's
Speaker 3: kind of all over the place. It's we might just
Speaker 3: not know what his strikeout rate is supposed to be
Speaker 3: because a lot of times you can.
Speaker 2: We've had over he's had over twenty five at bats
Speaker 2: since his last strikeout.
Speaker 4: That's pretty corazy.
Speaker 5: His last strikeout was June fourteenth.
Speaker 4: Yeah, and he usually walks more.
Speaker 3: According to some of these sample sizes, you know, in
Speaker 3: like Triple you know, like in seventy one.
Speaker 4: Games in twenty twenty three Triple A, he.
Speaker 3: Walked him with thirteen percent of the time. His his
Speaker 3: walker was toow point eight and his strike card was
Speaker 3: third thirteen point two, so almost identical walk to strikeout rates.
Speaker 3: He's got a little bit of power, like a little
Speaker 3: bit of speed, but like not a ton of both.
Speaker 3: So the ceiling probably isn't really high there, which is
Speaker 3: what I kind of like consider with some of these things.
Speaker 3: But so I think it's either like a deep league
Speaker 3: target or like you said, a streamer of like if
Speaker 3: you just need a warm body who's like, you know,
Speaker 3: going to produce in the short term for you, but
Speaker 3: not a long term answer.
Speaker 4: I would say no.
Speaker 5: And I'm not trying to paint the case that he is.
Speaker 5: All Right, who's your favorite here?
Speaker 3: So mine is, uh, someone we've we've talked about a
Speaker 3: lot on the show that we both really like is
Speaker 3: Chandler Simpson, who got called up. And the reason I
Speaker 3: included him here is because he was called up like
Speaker 3: earlier this week and in a lot of leagues you
Speaker 3: may like missed a window to pick him up because
Speaker 3: it was like after like lineups locked. I know there
Speaker 3: were a couple leagues where I was able to, like
Speaker 3: if I was stashing him and I was able to
Speaker 3: like sneak him in before you know, like.
Speaker 4: That position locked.
Speaker 3: But he's still only thirty one percent roster around Yahoo,
Speaker 3: and so he's still widely available everywhere. He's only eleven
Speaker 3: percent ROSTERU on ESPN. And one of the reasons I
Speaker 3: stashed him in in a couple of leagues is because
Speaker 3: he's like a stolen base cheed code. He's the kind
Speaker 3: of guy where if you're struggling, especially in like a
Speaker 3: rot league, if you're struggling at stolen base, he's good
Speaker 3: for like four or five spots in the standings just
Speaker 3: by himself. Just he'll he'll just pull, you know, assuming
Speaker 3: the Rays keep him up and he runs the way
Speaker 3: he can. He's he's a category changer, and he will
Speaker 3: almost carry that.
Speaker 4: Category on his own.
Speaker 3: And you know there are very few players who can
Speaker 3: do that with one category. For you, He's not going
Speaker 3: to offer much power, but he's showed he's gonna he
Speaker 3: can have a really good average. He's going to score
Speaker 3: some runs and steal some bases and uh, you know,
Speaker 3: especially the stile bases alone.
Speaker 4: You know, he's a game changer for especially in ROTO.
Speaker 2: Like totally agree, I was stashing him everywhere I could
Speaker 2: for the exact reasons you laid out. So if he's
Speaker 2: available anywhere because of him getting dropped from the surprise
Speaker 2: send down, like pick him up. I want to start
Speaker 2: him in every categories league that I can, because he,
Speaker 2: like you said, he'll single handedly get you to competitive
Speaker 2: and steals if not winning steals for you.
Speaker 3: Yeah, the bonus I had there is Austin Hayes, who's
Speaker 3: working his baby way back from an injury, has been
Speaker 3: really productive this year and was dropped in a lot
Speaker 3: of places because he's just been like, I don't off
Speaker 3: the injured.
Speaker 4: List if I look at his roster, right.
Speaker 3: I looked it up before and I almost didn't include
Speaker 3: him because I thought it's roster I was going to
Speaker 3: be too high. Eighteen percent on Yahoo, so he's still
Speaker 3: widely available, only twelve percent in ESPN. So if you
Speaker 3: need an outfielder who's capable of producing for you, Austin
Speaker 3: Hayes is available in a lot of places, so I
Speaker 3: would pick him up for sure.
Speaker 2: Two pictures that I'm going to give you, I considered
Speaker 2: both Orioles, guys who have been kind of pitching well,
Speaker 2: as of late Trevor Rodgers, who ended up not being
Speaker 2: my main choice. But I just wanted to shout him
Speaker 2: out because he's made three starts since getting called back up,
Speaker 2: and two of them he's been like really awesome. He
Speaker 2: legitimately shoved and the velocity is up for him. I
Speaker 2: didn't actually write down what it was, so I'm gonna
Speaker 2: pull it up while i'm talking here, But the fastball
Speaker 2: velocity was looking much better than it had been previously
Speaker 2: in the last Yeah, it's up two miles per hour
Speaker 2: over last year, and that just gets it to ninety
Speaker 2: three point seven. But in the last game it was
Speaker 2: like he was like sitting ninety five, like touching ninety six.
Speaker 5: So whatever the Oils did.
Speaker 2: At least three starts in appears to be working pretty well,
Speaker 2: even with one bad start in that mix. He's got
Speaker 2: a one sixty two ERA, thirteen strikeouts in sixteen and
Speaker 2: two thirds innings, a zero point seven to eight whips,
Speaker 2: So I.
Speaker 1: Don't know how it's gonna last. But this is somebody they.
Speaker 2: Went out and traded for last year, giving up two
Speaker 2: like reasonable prospects and Kyle Stowers and Connor Norby.
Speaker 5: So and he's only twenty seven.
Speaker 2: He's had a good year in the past, even though
Speaker 2: it was like four years ago, so I'd be interested
Speaker 2: in him. But then the other the Orols picture that
Speaker 2: I really with is Charlie Morton, who's thirty six percent
Speaker 2: roster on Yah who thirteen percent ESPN forty seven percent
Speaker 2: on CBS, And like, his season long stats are going
Speaker 2: to look terrible because he was so bad, I thought
Speaker 2: he should retire after April. Like he he could not
Speaker 2: have been worse in the first month of the season.
Speaker 2: In fact, the first six starts he made he got
Speaker 2: the loss he gave up at least I think it
Speaker 2: was four earned runs in each one of those.
Speaker 5: Like he was, he was horrific.
Speaker 2: They they kind of gave him a reset, put him
Speaker 2: in the bullpen for a few games in mid May,
Speaker 2: they brought him back to the starting rotation, and he's
Speaker 2: been really good since then. What he didn't have in
Speaker 2: April was the use of his curve ball, which is
Speaker 2: his like, you know, his main best pitch, and it
Speaker 2: was not working for him in April for whatever reason.
Speaker 2: This guy's in his forties, Like sometimes you just lose it.
Speaker 2: It's been working for him since coming back since May
Speaker 2: twenty sixth. These are his outings six innings, two earned runs,
Speaker 2: five strikeouts, seven and two thirds innings, no earned runs,
Speaker 2: seven strikeouts, one bad start in there, two and a
Speaker 2: third innings, four earned runs, five strikeouts, five innings, no
Speaker 2: earned runs, ten strikeouts, six innings, one earned runs, seven strikeouts,
Speaker 2: and then five innings, three earned runs, three strikeouts. So
Speaker 2: even in the games that are now bad for him,
Speaker 2: there are not disastrous, going to ruin your weak type
Speaker 2: of bad. Like we saw against the Rangers. He wasn't
Speaker 2: his best attic, but it was still three and run
Speaker 2: in five innings. Like, if that's your your floor at picture,
Speaker 2: with what he's given you as a ceiling last month,
Speaker 2: I think that's pretty good. I'm not saying I'm gonna
Speaker 2: hold on him the rest of the season, but I
Speaker 2: want to be picking him up. I want to at
Speaker 2: least have him rostered in case like this turnaround is
Speaker 2: legitimate and he's something close to Charlie Morton of old
Speaker 2: moving forward, because that's basically what he's been the last
Speaker 2: you know, five six weeks.
Speaker 3: Yeah, it's kind of hard to get that floor out
Speaker 3: of your mouth when you've seen like what he can be. Also,
Speaker 3: what do you how many more stars do you think
Speaker 3: he makes for the LS before he gets traded.
Speaker 2: I don't know if he does end up getting traded,
Speaker 2: though he's likely going to a better team and more
Speaker 2: opportunity for wins, so it's a reasonable question he in
Speaker 2: the oh. I was looking at this the other day
Speaker 2: and now I don't have it up in front of me.
Speaker 2: I was looking at just kind of where he ranks
Speaker 2: amongst all pitchers since mid May. I think I put
Speaker 2: the number at like May eighteenth or something, and he
Speaker 2: is like, he's been very, very good.
Speaker 5: Like it's not just that he's improved.
Speaker 2: From the point I'm trying to make is that it's
Speaker 2: not just that he's improved from where he was in April.
Speaker 2: He's been one of the better pitchers in fantasy baseball.
Speaker 2: Not the best, but one of the better pictures in
Speaker 2: fantasy baseball for over a month at this point.
Speaker 3: Yeah, for me, the only thing I would like would
Speaker 3: be hard for me to forget is like, is you
Speaker 3: know we've seen what like the bad bad can be
Speaker 3: from Charlie Morton, and like when you pick him up
Speaker 3: and you're starting him, like I would always be wondering, like,
Speaker 3: please don't let this be the Niner and run start,
Speaker 3: Please don't let this be the Niner and run stars.
Speaker 2: And then Rogers say I'd pick him up and like
Speaker 2: auto start him, but like I would just want to
Speaker 2: get him on the roster.
Speaker 3: Yeah, and then Trevor Rodgers first off, bad trade, Like
Speaker 3: I didn't understand that trade at the time. I don't
Speaker 3: get it now at least he's finally starting to pitch good.
Speaker 3: I wrote a pitch well, sorry bad English, but I
Speaker 3: remember being like liking Trevor Rodgers in Dynasty five years
Speaker 3: ago and then just wondering kind of what happened, because
Speaker 3: he came you know, twenty twenty one, one hundred and
Speaker 3: fifty seven strikeouts and one hundred and thirty three innings
Speaker 3: like mid twos CRA and you were like, all right,
Speaker 3: like this guy might be something. And then he came
Speaker 3: out the next year and he just dunk five point
Speaker 3: four to seven ERA. And then even when he kind
Speaker 3: of came back worked his way back from some injuries
Speaker 3: and was back in twenty twenty four, it was almost
Speaker 3: five YRA, and he wasn't like, you know, we saw
Speaker 3: one hundred and fifty seven strikeouts and one hundred and thirty three innings.
Speaker 3: Now he wasn't even striking out a bat or perinning.
Speaker 3: It was ninety seven strikeouts and one hundred and twenty four innings.
Speaker 3: So I hope for his sake he is really back
Speaker 3: and is like turning into the you know, the pitcher
Speaker 3: who you know, this guy's a former first round pick,
Speaker 3: Like he's not just a crumb that they pulled out
Speaker 3: of nowhere. You know, he does have some some pedigree
Speaker 3: that people saw coming up, and so for his sake,
Speaker 3: I hope he figured it out. It's a really small
Speaker 3: sample size, though, it's kind of hard to know what
Speaker 3: we're looking at here.
Speaker 5: All right, run me through your favorite pitture.
Speaker 3: So my favorite picture is Jacob Lopez, who just kind
Speaker 3: of he kind of did come out of nowhere, maybe
Speaker 3: not necessarily, but kind of kind of came out of nowhere.
Speaker 3: And he's just been continued continuing to pitch really well.
Speaker 3: Mid three is era fifty five strikeouts and forty three innings.
Speaker 3: He's just been pitching even better of late. You know,
Speaker 3: he just against the Tigers, you know, one of the
Speaker 3: better surprisingly better teams in baseball.
Speaker 4: Seven shoutout in.
Speaker 3: Six strikeouts, and that was his third quality start in
Speaker 3: a row with he had six strikeouts in that start
Speaker 3: and then his previous stew he had nine strikeouts in
Speaker 3: each of those quality starts and only wonder and run
Speaker 3: over those last three starts. So he's on a heater
Speaker 3: right now, pitching really well. And you know, I don't
Speaker 3: love that he has to pitch in that home ballpark,
Speaker 3: but overall, he's someone who's like streaking running hot right now.
Speaker 3: And if you can, you know, get a pitcher who's
Speaker 3: doing some good things, he is one of them.
Speaker 4: My bonus.
Speaker 5: The other guys my boness I wrote.
Speaker 3: That a few My bonus is Ema She and who
Speaker 3: you talked about last week, and like you talked about
Speaker 3: how you wrote up or you talked up Chase Burns
Speaker 3: and then got called up. I talked up m and
Speaker 3: she and it got sent down and it was no
Speaker 3: fault of his own. They just like needed some bullpen help.
Speaker 3: But it seems like he's gonna be coming back up soon.
Speaker 3: They have some limitations and when they can pick him
Speaker 3: back up just because of the rules unless there's an injury.
Speaker 3: But the Dodgers need so much pitching. But I think
Speaker 3: he's gonna be back up soon, and so I would
Speaker 3: definitely pick him up and stash him for now because
Speaker 3: I think he's gonna be back up soon and he
Speaker 3: should be pitching pretty well for a really good Dodgers team.
Speaker 3: And you can kind of get him for nothing now.
Speaker 3: And then, first and foremost, because of the timing last week,
Speaker 3: like we talked about Chandler Simpson, Chase Burns was also
Speaker 3: kind of called up at an interesting time. And so
Speaker 3: there are leagues like like I'm in tgfbis is n
Speaker 3: f NFBC league. You couldn't pick up Chase Burns before
Speaker 3: we made an appearance, And so he's available in NF
Speaker 3: NFBC leagues this weekend, and he's going to go for
Speaker 3: massive fab bids like four hundred dollars fat bids of
Speaker 3: a thousand dollar budget like forty.
Speaker 4: And so.
Speaker 3: And you know, in our ESPN Fantasy League for work,
Speaker 3: I picked up Chase Burns today because it's a daily
Speaker 3: roster league and it's like really small rosters. I know
Speaker 3: when to picked him up yet, and I had just
Speaker 3: not considered, Like I'm you know, every whenever I think
Speaker 3: about like a player like that, I'm like, oh, he's
Speaker 3: already rostered in my leagues. And I was like, let
Speaker 3: me check that ESPN league. I bet he's not rostered.
Speaker 3: I already wasn't, So I picked him up. I ended
Speaker 3: up dropping Kevin Gosman for him. What do you think
Speaker 3: about that move.
Speaker 2: Bad Kevin Gosman shoved today, that's all right, eight shutout innings.
Speaker 4: Nice. I think I actually got at it for that start.
Speaker 5: Oh, because of when he picked him up. Then that's helpful. Yeah.
Speaker 2: Now I am in this league, yes, I like that.
Speaker 2: I don't know how I feel in other leagues, but
Speaker 2: in this league, yes, I like that move.
Speaker 4: Yeah, And I'm kind of in that league.
Speaker 3: For context, we we end the season this week and
Speaker 3: already start like a long playoffs and then we have
Speaker 3: like multiple leagues where you have to win your league
Speaker 3: and then go to playoff against someone else. And I'm
Speaker 3: already trying to like I'm in first place or no,
Speaker 3: I'm in second place, but I'm like tied with the
Speaker 3: first place person, and we're head to head this week
Speaker 3: for first overall in that league. And so I'm already
Speaker 3: trying to like line up my playoff roster because you
Speaker 3: because of like the different rules and stuff, you're limited
Speaker 3: who you can pick up. So I want to burn
Speaker 3: some my roster.
Speaker 2: Now I'm facing our pal fits to try and make
Speaker 2: the playoffs in that league.
Speaker 3: Concerns for me in that league because you know it's
Speaker 3: over in July.
Speaker 5: Exactly, all right, very quickly run through your deep league targets.
Speaker 3: All right, So deep league targets pitchers who should be
Speaker 3: pictures and hitters who should be available in most places.
Speaker 3: They can help you either like short term or yeah,
Speaker 3: mostly short term. I would say a couple of them
Speaker 3: are more longer term, but more mostly short term. Ryan Nelson,
Speaker 3: a pitcher for the Diamondbacks, has been picturing pretty well.
Speaker 3: Edward Cabrera is surprisingly not rostered everywhere, and we'll talk
Speaker 3: about him a little bit on the next video, and
Speaker 3: we talk about streaming pitchers, but he has an upcoming
Speaker 3: two start week and is pretty available. And you know,
Speaker 3: someone that we've liked in the past, Colton Gordon, the
Speaker 3: pitcher for the Astros, is pitching pretty well. Tyler Anderson.
Speaker 3: I feel like I've mentioned him just kind of throughout
Speaker 3: the year. He continues to be under rostered and continues
Speaker 3: to be very valuable in deep leagues, continues to pitch well.
Speaker 3: He's just a savvy veteran. He doesn't have like sexy stuff,
Speaker 3: but he's just really good at limiting hard contact and
Speaker 3: continuing to put up, you know, solid numbers in deeper leagues,
Speaker 3: not necessarily in like your standard league, he's not going
Speaker 3: to do a whole lot for you, but like in
Speaker 3: those fifteen team leagues, absolutely you need to roster Tyler Anderson.
Speaker 3: He's been doing really well. Connor Norby is someone I've
Speaker 3: been surviving on third base in some deeper leagues just
Speaker 3: you know, like a little bit power, a little bit
Speaker 3: of speed, a.
Speaker 4: Little bit of production.
Speaker 3: They didn't really have a whole lot else going there,
Speaker 3: and so you know, in a deeper league, Connor Norby
Speaker 3: is available and can help you out at a week
Speaker 3: third base position. Gary Sanchez your boy now that Adley
Speaker 3: Rutchman is hurt in two catcher.
Speaker 5: League, not my boy.
Speaker 3: In two catcher league, Gary Sanchez is available. It's been
Speaker 3: doing some things. You know, it's kind of gross to
Speaker 3: think about in twenty twenty five Gary Sanchez, but in
Speaker 3: two catcher league he's he can help you. And then
Speaker 3: when Seale Prez is the last one who's been hitting
Speaker 3: pretty well and is still available in a lot of leaks.
Speaker 2: All right, we'll go ahead and wrap up this segment. There,
Speaker 2: be sure to check out Round on the Bases.
Speaker 5: If you miss it should already be posted on YouTube
Speaker 5: or wherever you listen.
Speaker 2: To your podcast, and keep an eye out for our
Speaker 2: Pitching Streamers segment coming up later this weekend.
Speaker 5: For Mayor, I'm Ryan Warmlan. Thanks for tuning in. We'll
Speaker 5: see you next time.
Speaker 2: Thanks for listening to the Fantasy Pros Fantasy Baseball podcast.
Speaker 1: If you love the show, the best freeway to support us.
Speaker 2: Is by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify.
Speaker 2: Follow us on x, Instagram, and TikTok at Fantasy Pros,
Speaker 2: and subscribe to our YouTube channel at YouTube dot com
Speaker 2: slash Fantasy Pros MLB