WEBVTT - The Cycle: Buy Low and Sell High Targets + Waiver Wire Deep Dive (Ep. 1069) 0:00:05.200 --> 0:00:07.320 Hello, everybody, Welcome into the cycle. 0:00:07.400 --> 0:00:10.120 I am Ryan Warmley, joined as always by Mike Mayer. 0:00:10.240 --> 0:00:13.320 We are talking all things fantasy baseball. On this segment, 0:00:13.320 --> 0:00:16.239 we were talking to by Lows and Sell Highs. We're 0:00:16.239 --> 0:00:19.880 also going to do our waivers central heading into next week, 0:00:20.040 --> 0:00:21.959 we will start what we always do with the bye 0:00:22.360 --> 0:00:24.079 Low's and mayor you can go ahead and kick us 0:00:24.079 --> 0:00:24.439 off here. 0:00:25.000 --> 0:00:29.280 Sure, So I went with Roman Anthony as my BILO 0:00:29.480 --> 0:00:33.639 who I considered, can you really buy low on Roman 0:00:33.640 --> 0:00:36.120 Anthony right now? Just because the sample size is so small? 0:00:36.159 --> 0:00:40.640 And I based on you know, my DMS and some 0:00:40.680 --> 0:00:43.640 of the comments we got on last week's episode where 0:00:44.320 --> 0:00:46.600 you know, we kind of talked about Roman Anthony and 0:00:46.640 --> 0:00:49.360 Pete Armstrong and Dynasty and I said it was absurd 0:00:49.400 --> 0:00:51.919 to move PCA ahead of Roman Anthony, and you disagreed, 0:00:51.960 --> 0:00:54.360 and some people in the comments we're all, we're also 0:00:54.480 --> 0:00:57.320 already ready to just move PCA up above Roman Anthety 0:00:57.680 --> 0:01:00.400 and I just think slower role here a little bit. 0:01:00.400 --> 0:01:02.120 This is still the best prospect in baseball. 0:01:02.680 --> 0:01:03.040 We are. 0:01:03.400 --> 0:01:06.839 I just I wrote him up in this week's Players 0:01:06.880 --> 0:01:09.120 to Trade Now by Low Sell High article on Fantasy 0:01:09.160 --> 0:01:13.039 pros and I made the argument that one of the 0:01:13.080 --> 0:01:16.080 main things about it is when I watch him, he 0:01:16.120 --> 0:01:19.000 looks like a professional hitter. He's you know, he's having 0:01:19.000 --> 0:01:20.960 some bad luck, he's babbab is still one thirty eight 0:01:21.040 --> 0:01:23.560 right now, but he just looks like he takes professional 0:01:23.560 --> 0:01:26.840 at bats, even against lefties. And the Red Sox are 0:01:26.880 --> 0:01:29.880 showing that they agree because Alex Korra, who has been 0:01:29.920 --> 0:01:31.399 asked all year about like, you know, why are you 0:01:31.400 --> 0:01:33.520 not playing Marcela Meyer against lefties or what you know, 0:01:33.560 --> 0:01:36.920 why are you trying kind of like protecting these kids 0:01:36.959 --> 0:01:39.200 against left you know, these left handed hitters against lefties, 0:01:40.040 --> 0:01:42.640 he's batting Roman Anthony high in the lineup, and you know, 0:01:42.680 --> 0:01:45.720 even in lefties against lefties, he's batting him second in 0:01:45.720 --> 0:01:49.480 the lineup. And despite some of the early you know, struggles, 0:01:49.520 --> 0:01:53.120 at least numbers wise, the Red Sox are showing a 0:01:53.160 --> 0:01:54.800 lot of faith in him, and I think they're justified 0:01:54.840 --> 0:01:57.080 in doing so because I think he's going to get 0:01:57.120 --> 0:02:00.320 hot soon. And despite you know, his what is his 0:02:00.360 --> 0:02:03.160 batting average right now, It is one fourteen with the 0:02:03.200 --> 0:02:06.200 two twenty seven expected batting average, but he's also walking 0:02:06.200 --> 0:02:09.080 more than eighteen percent of the time. Strikeout rates twenty 0:02:09.080 --> 0:02:11.000 five percent. It's not great, it's not terrible for a 0:02:11.040 --> 0:02:13.200 young hitter. You know, we just talked about some young 0:02:13.280 --> 0:02:17.560 hitters with a strike out rate over thirty percent, And 0:02:17.600 --> 0:02:19.880 I just think we're going to see him get hot, 0:02:19.919 --> 0:02:22.200 either leading into the All Star break or coming out of. 0:02:22.160 --> 0:02:22.840 The second half. 0:02:23.240 --> 0:02:26.480 We've again talked ad nauseum about these young hitters who 0:02:26.480 --> 0:02:28.000 come up and struggle. I think I think we're seeing 0:02:28.000 --> 0:02:30.399 the same thing, and I think it's going to click 0:02:30.440 --> 0:02:32.359 for him soon and he's going to adjust to the 0:02:32.440 --> 0:02:33.680 league and he's going to get hot. 0:02:35.120 --> 0:02:37.680 For the record, I don't think it's knocking Roman Anthony 0:02:37.800 --> 0:02:41.560 to say that pekrar Strong has earned a spot higher 0:02:41.560 --> 0:02:43.959 than him and Dinosaur rankings. It's not like there's a 0:02:44.040 --> 0:02:46.680 huge age gap. PCA is like two years older than 0:02:46.720 --> 0:02:50.640 him and he's already having a dominant season, whereas Roman 0:02:50.639 --> 0:02:52.799 Anthony hasn't yet done it. Like I don't want to 0:02:52.800 --> 0:02:55.800 put I put a lot of weight in general in 0:02:55.840 --> 0:02:58.640 my fantasy analysis. I put a lot of stock into 0:02:59.480 --> 0:03:04.079 pedigree and prospect frankings because I think they matter. It's 0:03:04.080 --> 0:03:05.560 not the only thing that matters, but I think they matter. 0:03:05.840 --> 0:03:08.040 But I don't want to overweight that when a guy 0:03:08.040 --> 0:03:10.120 like Peek Armstrong is doing what he's doing right now. 0:03:10.400 --> 0:03:13.959 So that's my thought on those two in particular. But yeah, 0:03:13.960 --> 0:03:15.240 I think this is a totally valid one. 0:03:15.320 --> 0:03:17.240 I don't know how acquireable he is. 0:03:17.280 --> 0:03:20.200 If somebody has been holding on to Roman Anthony, they 0:03:20.240 --> 0:03:23.120 probably are having a similar optimistic view to what you have. 0:03:24.160 --> 0:03:26.880 But I agree that if he is attainable, he's worth 0:03:27.200 --> 0:03:30.280 buying low on. I mean, hadding one fourteen right, just 0:03:30.280 --> 0:03:32.480 one home or one soule and base like he's not 0:03:32.520 --> 0:03:35.240 doing anything yet, but I think you will. 0:03:35.320 --> 0:03:37.160 Yeah, And I think he is acquiable just because of 0:03:37.200 --> 0:03:39.200 some of the like the comments I'm seeing like in 0:03:39.280 --> 0:03:42.080 my DMS or like on the Fantas Spros discord where 0:03:42.200 --> 0:03:44.040 they're just like give me anything to Roman Anthony, or 0:03:44.080 --> 0:03:45.800 like I'm willing to cut roman Antic and I'm like, 0:03:45.960 --> 0:03:47.880 hold on, Like it's way too early for that, Like 0:03:48.040 --> 0:03:50.839 we've seen this story so many times, especially this year 0:03:51.080 --> 0:03:54.120 and last year. It's way too early to panic like that, 0:03:54.160 --> 0:03:55.840 Like you need to hold on and if you're going 0:03:55.880 --> 0:03:58.000 to trade him, you you better get fair value because 0:03:58.000 --> 0:04:00.440 if you trade to me, you know, I'm willing to, 0:04:00.520 --> 0:04:03.720 then I won't ask you each name. But like the 0:04:03.720 --> 0:04:06.040 the pictures I put out there that I would float 0:04:06.320 --> 0:04:09.200 for Roman Anthony, it was Nick Poveda, Code Sanga, Chris Boobich, 0:04:09.720 --> 0:04:12.040 Yusai Kakuchi who just had another good start. And then 0:04:12.040 --> 0:04:14.520 the most interesting one is if you'd be willing, you know, 0:04:14.520 --> 0:04:17.120 if probably the top name would be and Rabbit, you know, 0:04:17.160 --> 0:04:18.720 if you're willing to kind of like ex sell high 0:04:18.720 --> 0:04:22.440 on and Rabbit in order to builo on Roman Anthony. 0:04:22.520 --> 0:04:26.520 Okay, my bylow is George Kirby, and I put this 0:04:26.560 --> 0:04:30.800 together before he pitched yesterday where he only allowed one 0:04:30.839 --> 0:04:34.440 and run six innings, just three strikeouts. But maybe he's 0:04:34.520 --> 0:04:37.120 kind of getting starting to shake off more of that 0:04:37.200 --> 0:04:39.560 rust and get back to what we expect out of him. 0:04:39.600 --> 0:04:42.039 So hopefully it's not too late to go after him. 0:04:42.080 --> 0:04:43.640 But like I said, I did put him in here 0:04:43.680 --> 0:04:46.760 when his ERA was still above six. But Kirby's just 0:04:46.800 --> 0:04:49.640 always a picture that I really liked. His walk rate 0:04:50.640 --> 0:04:52.320 is like double what it's been in his career, but 0:04:52.360 --> 0:04:55.240 he didn't get a spring training really like obviously he's coming, 0:04:55.560 --> 0:04:57.800 you know, with this injury that cost him the start 0:04:57.800 --> 0:05:01.839 of the season. He's only what seven starts into this 0:05:02.160 --> 0:05:05.680 twenty five year, he's one in four. He does have 0:05:05.800 --> 0:05:08.120 a strikeout per inning, which is better than he's given 0:05:08.200 --> 0:05:10.600 us the last two innings. That's largely driven by his 0:05:10.600 --> 0:05:13.960 fourteen strikeout game that he had a few starts to go. 0:05:14.120 --> 0:05:18.160 But this is a picture where the fastball velocity is 0:05:18.200 --> 0:05:20.240 where it was last year. Like it looks like he's, 0:05:20.520 --> 0:05:24.240 you know, reasonably healthy. I am just assuming that his 0:05:24.279 --> 0:05:27.479 slow start is simply rust and he's only twenty seven 0:05:27.560 --> 0:05:29.159 years old. Like I think he will be the George 0:05:29.200 --> 0:05:32.960 Kirby of old very soon. And if you can acquire 0:05:33.040 --> 0:05:36.000 him in a trade for somebody who doesn't I'm not 0:05:36.000 --> 0:05:39.120 gonna say has lost patience, but maybe doesn't have the 0:05:39.360 --> 0:05:43.240 ability to be patient because it's halfway through the season 0:05:43.360 --> 0:05:45.880 and you know, maybe somebody just like they need somebody 0:05:45.880 --> 0:05:47.760 who can contribute now because of where they are in 0:05:47.800 --> 0:05:51.240 the standings. I would try to get George Kirby because again, 0:05:51.279 --> 0:05:53.800 I think the second half he's gonna be that he's 0:05:53.839 --> 0:05:55.480 gonna be that same guy right where he is the 0:05:55.520 --> 0:05:58.839 era I think in the mid threes, Like he's not 0:05:58.880 --> 0:06:01.040 gonna walk anybody. He's gonna have a low whip. I 0:06:01.160 --> 0:06:04.000 like George Kirby a lot. The other thing worth noting, 0:06:04.800 --> 0:06:07.640 just as some of his numbers, the home run to 0:06:07.760 --> 0:06:10.479 fly ball rate is like sky high. His previous career 0:06:10.560 --> 0:06:14.440 high is ten percent and it's currently at almost eighteen percent, 0:06:14.800 --> 0:06:21.000 so that's that's obviously hurting him. His expected FIP is 0:06:21.040 --> 0:06:24.000 three five seven, which is almost identical to what it 0:06:24.040 --> 0:06:27.680 was a year ago. Its current FIP is four four nine, 0:06:28.160 --> 0:06:30.800 So I think the numbers will come down and he's 0:06:30.800 --> 0:06:33.279 going to look like his usual self going forward. So 0:06:33.800 --> 0:06:35.440 a lot of times we look at like the underlying 0:06:35.520 --> 0:06:37.600 numbers to make this case. This is more of just 0:06:37.920 --> 0:06:41.120 like the track record some of the underlying numbers, like 0:06:41.160 --> 0:06:43.760 that home run rate, and just trusting that he's going 0:06:43.800 --> 0:06:44.640 to shake off the rust. 0:06:45.040 --> 0:06:48.680 Random was tach comparison. I just noticed while looking at 0:06:48.680 --> 0:06:51.080 the stats while you're talking and kind of jumping between tabs, 0:06:51.520 --> 0:06:54.520 is that I thought I was looking at George Kirby 0:06:54.520 --> 0:06:55.760 when you were talking about his home run to fly 0:06:55.839 --> 0:06:58.200 ball rate. I was actually looking at Peter Armstrong and 0:06:58.240 --> 0:07:00.560 he also has an eighteen percent home run to fly already. 0:07:02.600 --> 0:07:03.400 Nice. 0:07:03.680 --> 0:07:05.400 I largely agree with you on Kirby. 0:07:05.480 --> 0:07:08.360 I was like a little not like down on him, 0:07:08.400 --> 0:07:10.560 but like probably like slightly blow Conciens is coming into 0:07:10.640 --> 0:07:12.480 season just because of what you said, You're not normally 0:07:12.520 --> 0:07:14.680 going to get that strikeout erinning, which is kind of 0:07:14.680 --> 0:07:17.240 what like a barometer of your that you're like looking for. 0:07:17.320 --> 0:07:19.760 But I think I agree with you. I think he's 0:07:19.840 --> 0:07:21.440 just off to a slow start. We've seen this with 0:07:21.440 --> 0:07:24.080 pitches before, like a Blake Snell last year who got 0:07:24.080 --> 0:07:25.960 off to a really slow start after not really having 0:07:25.960 --> 0:07:29.800 a spring training. A lot of us expected numbers are better, 0:07:30.400 --> 0:07:32.400 And I think I agree. I think this is rust 0:07:32.480 --> 0:07:33.960 whether or not we see it before the All Star 0:07:34.000 --> 0:07:35.480 break or maybe he just kind of needs to get 0:07:35.520 --> 0:07:37.320 to the All Star break kind of catch his breath, 0:07:37.560 --> 0:07:39.559 and then we see George Kirby in the second half. 0:07:39.680 --> 0:07:40.920 You see that a lot with players. 0:07:40.920 --> 0:07:44.040 It's like an unofficial like turnaround, you know, even though 0:07:44.040 --> 0:07:47.160 that's not like the exact in the first half second 0:07:47.200 --> 0:07:48.680 half of the year, like mid to year break. 0:07:49.080 --> 0:07:51.280 Sometimes you see players. 0:07:50.840 --> 0:07:52.720 Just like need to kind of like catch their breath reset, 0:07:52.760 --> 0:07:54.040 and then we just see a different player on the 0:07:54.040 --> 0:07:55.360 second half of Sometimes. 0:07:55.040 --> 0:07:56.480 It works the other way. A player that's really hot 0:07:56.520 --> 0:07:57.600 Cools off in the second half. 0:07:58.480 --> 0:08:00.920 I mean, you can even just look in June, like 0:08:01.360 --> 0:08:03.200 his first two starts came in May. If you take 0:08:03.240 --> 0:08:06.080 those out and just look at his June stats since returning, 0:08:06.520 --> 0:08:09.840 it is a three fifty four ERA, twenty eight strikeouts 0:08:09.840 --> 0:08:12.239 and twenty eight innings and a one to eleven whip. 0:08:12.320 --> 0:08:14.880 So like more walks than you're used to with him. 0:08:14.920 --> 0:08:17.720 But besides like that basically is George Kirby, if not 0:08:17.760 --> 0:08:19.680 maybe even a little better than last year with the 0:08:19.720 --> 0:08:22.560 strike up per inning Again, that is heavily weighted by 0:08:22.640 --> 0:08:25.080 the fourteen strikeout game he had against the Angels. The 0:08:25.120 --> 0:08:27.200 rest of his outings he has not had the strike 0:08:27.240 --> 0:08:30.080 out numbers that you usually want to see, but he 0:08:30.400 --> 0:08:32.200 like basically already is kind of getting back to what 0:08:32.240 --> 0:08:34.920 we expect, and the numbers it's still early enough that 0:08:34.920 --> 0:08:39.320 they're dragged down by those early starts. So I would 0:08:39.440 --> 0:08:41.760 I would try to get him before he goes on 0:08:41.800 --> 0:08:43.040 a tear, which I think is coming. 0:08:43.160 --> 0:08:44.480 You want me to look at a couple names that 0:08:44.480 --> 0:08:48.480 you would trade him for or no, sure, So he's 0:08:48.480 --> 0:08:50.200 pretty high in the trade value chart, all right, let 0:08:50.240 --> 0:08:52.480 me see, let me let me look for some comps here, 0:08:52.559 --> 0:08:55.240 is his value was pretty high, so he's not really devaluable. 0:08:55.240 --> 0:08:56.920 Well, this is what this is one that I was 0:08:57.000 --> 0:09:00.840 curious what your reaction was going to be in terms of, like, oh, 0:09:00.880 --> 0:09:03.400 he's not actually a by Low, or he's like at 0:09:03.480 --> 0:09:06.319 least too obvious of one that people won't be willing 0:09:06.360 --> 0:09:08.679 to like he's not attainable. So I was kind of 0:09:08.679 --> 0:09:10.520 curious what your thoughts were going to be on that 0:09:10.559 --> 0:09:11.240 side of things. 0:09:11.440 --> 0:09:14.040 I think he's trending towards not being a by Low. 0:09:14.240 --> 0:09:16.319 Like it's it's probably one of those situations where the 0:09:16.360 --> 0:09:19.199 window's closing, and maybe it already closed in some leagues, 0:09:19.200 --> 0:09:20.960 and maybe it's not closed yet another leagues. 0:09:21.000 --> 0:09:21.640 But I think. 0:09:22.920 --> 0:09:24.520 When you make a trade offer to someone and they 0:09:24.520 --> 0:09:26.800 look down and they see George Kirby's RAS five point four, 0:09:26.840 --> 0:09:28.719 I think there's still opportunity to buy there, even though 0:09:28.720 --> 0:09:31.280 he's pitch better of late. But I will say our 0:09:31.280 --> 0:09:34.520 trade value chart still hasn't pretty value valued pretty highly, 0:09:35.559 --> 0:09:40.120 and like he's in the range of Christian Yelich. Which 0:09:40.800 --> 0:09:42.839 would you rather have Yellich or Kirby rest this season? 0:09:43.480 --> 0:09:46.640 That probably just depends on what I need. 0:09:47.000 --> 0:09:52.760 Yeah, Alex Bregman, he just got hurt. But zach Netto like, 0:09:52.840 --> 0:09:54.520 these are pretty good names, so that tells you kind 0:09:54.520 --> 0:09:56.400 of where he's valued on the on the trade value. 0:09:56.559 --> 0:09:57.960 I think i'd rather have Bregman. 0:09:59.600 --> 0:10:01.280 I mean, I don't know what's really to expect the 0:10:01.320 --> 0:10:03.200 injury stuff with him, but if he gets back healthy, 0:10:03.200 --> 0:10:05.160 I'd rather have Bregmann. But I'd rather have Kurby than that. 0:10:05.320 --> 0:10:08.479 O your boy, Say a Suzuki is in that range. 0:10:09.160 --> 0:10:10.240 Say has crushing it man? 0:10:10.480 --> 0:10:13.000 Yeah? I love Sir Lawrence Butler. 0:10:14.880 --> 0:10:15.160 Yeah. 0:10:15.200 --> 0:10:17.080 So he's pretty highly valued, I think is the ultimate 0:10:17.080 --> 0:10:20.079 takeaway here, but maybe worth trying. But maybe he's not 0:10:20.120 --> 0:10:22.280 a buyelove. And if he is not, then I apologize, 0:10:23.960 --> 0:10:25.679 But you're right. The season long numbers for him so 0:10:25.720 --> 0:10:29.920 far would suggest that he is. All right, let's go 0:10:29.960 --> 0:10:30.720 to your cell high. 0:10:30.960 --> 0:10:33.560 My cell high is Clark Schmidt, who is someone who's 0:10:33.640 --> 0:10:36.520 been on a heater and if I can scroll down 0:10:36.559 --> 0:10:38.520 to my notes so I don't just fly blind here. 0:10:40.280 --> 0:10:42.160 So Clark Schmid is a is a picture who's been 0:10:42.200 --> 0:10:44.480 really hot lately. Through twelve starts and nearly three months 0:10:44.480 --> 0:10:46.240 of the full season, he's got a two point far 0:10:46.480 --> 0:10:49.760 eight four ERA one point zero six whip and a 0:10:49.760 --> 0:10:51.920 four and three record to go with sixty five strikeouts 0:10:51.960 --> 0:10:53.559 in sixty nine and two thirds inning, so almost a 0:10:53.559 --> 0:10:57.120 strike up running. And after kind of a rough April, 0:10:57.120 --> 0:10:59.480 we had some bad luck, he rebounded with a solid May, 0:10:59.760 --> 0:11:01.920 and he was even better in June. And he's running 0:11:01.960 --> 0:11:04.920 hot right now, making it the perfect time to sell 0:11:04.960 --> 0:11:08.440 high on him. And he has a nearly identical era 0:11:08.600 --> 0:11:10.439 to when he posted over eighty five innings in twenty 0:11:10.480 --> 0:11:14.640 twenty four four versus two point a five, and so 0:11:15.040 --> 0:11:17.080 it could just be, you know, kind of his expected 0:11:17.120 --> 0:11:18.680 numbers are like slightly worse than that. It could just 0:11:18.679 --> 0:11:22.040 be that he's a pitcher who just routinely will outperformance 0:11:22.040 --> 0:11:24.560 expected numbers. I don't think we have a large enough 0:11:24.600 --> 0:11:26.840 sample size for to know that that's true or to 0:11:26.840 --> 0:11:29.160 think that that's true. So I do think that regression 0:11:29.200 --> 0:11:33.959 is coming, negative regression, if I want me to clarify, 0:11:34.040 --> 0:11:36.320 and so I lean towards the regression coming for him. 0:11:36.400 --> 0:11:38.760 I don't think he's this good. I don't think he's bad, 0:11:38.880 --> 0:11:40.840 but I don't think he's this good. And I think 0:11:41.200 --> 0:11:43.040 it's like again, like when you when you present a 0:11:43.080 --> 0:11:44.440 player like this in a trade and you look at 0:11:44.440 --> 0:11:46.880 those stats, and you look at that he pictures for 0:11:46.920 --> 0:11:48.240 a good team. I think you can get a decent 0:11:48.280 --> 0:11:51.920 value for him. And one of the names I flipped 0:11:51.920 --> 0:11:53.880 for him is a name we mentioned in our previous video. 0:11:54.160 --> 0:11:55.679 She wanted to go back and see us to talk 0:11:55.679 --> 0:11:59.439 about some rookies. I posed, can you flip him for 0:11:59.520 --> 0:12:02.520 Jack Hackling right now? You know, maybe that maybe that's 0:12:02.520 --> 0:12:05.880 selling too high, or maybe that's aiming too high, But 0:12:05.960 --> 0:12:07.600 you know, that's kind of where I would start the conversation. 0:12:07.679 --> 0:12:10.880 And maybe I can if that manager is frustrated and 0:12:10.920 --> 0:12:12.800 it's already gotten a few weeks of just below two 0:12:12.840 --> 0:12:14.840 hundred batting average to Jack Kygileione, he's only got those 0:12:14.840 --> 0:12:17.559 two home runs, he could do some pitching. Maybe he's 0:12:17.559 --> 0:12:19.240 willing to get out of the Jack kygli on business, 0:12:19.280 --> 0:12:21.640 and I'm willing to get into the Jack kagli on business. 0:12:21.679 --> 0:12:23.640 And so that's kind of where I would start. 0:12:24.400 --> 0:12:27.840 And if not there, maybe I'd take a flyer on 0:12:27.920 --> 0:12:30.040 a new look Maximnsey now that he's got glasses. 0:12:30.400 --> 0:12:30.679 TJ. 0:12:30.800 --> 0:12:33.600 Friedel, who was ironically sell high for me last week, 0:12:33.640 --> 0:12:36.200 but I you know, I would sell high slash, you know, 0:12:36.280 --> 0:12:40.360 on Clark to buy high on Friedel. Maybe his his 0:12:40.400 --> 0:12:42.360 stackcast profile is kind of all over the places. But 0:12:42.440 --> 0:12:45.200 lewis Arias he's got it really bizarre stack cast page, 0:12:45.200 --> 0:12:48.959 but he kind of always does. Or someone like Tommy Edmond, 0:12:48.960 --> 0:12:51.560 who is kind of you know, slowing down a little bit. 0:12:51.520 --> 0:12:53.640 He might be able to acquire him. For Clerksmith. 0:12:55.880 --> 0:12:59.439 That was a lot of turn Well he I think 0:12:59.440 --> 0:13:03.720 you could get kagleon, do you think so? Well, maybe 0:13:03.760 --> 0:13:04.160 I'm wrong. 0:13:04.320 --> 0:13:05.360 I don't know. 0:13:05.400 --> 0:13:08.600 I mean, I get again, the young guys struggling is 0:13:08.640 --> 0:13:11.280 like a really common thing now. So if somebody again 0:13:11.280 --> 0:13:14.160 we're talking redraft, of course, but somebody says like I 0:13:14.200 --> 0:13:17.960 don't have the ability to wait on him to figure 0:13:18.000 --> 0:13:20.439 it out, and I need pitching help. I could see 0:13:20.920 --> 0:13:23.640 managers saying, oh, this guy's pitching for the Yankee, so 0:13:23.640 --> 0:13:27.679 he's gonna get win opportunities the ras under three, Like, yeah, 0:13:27.840 --> 0:13:30.000 I'll take that for I think that's doable. 0:13:30.040 --> 0:13:32.480 And on the trade value but well I would I 0:13:32.480 --> 0:13:34.120 don't think you are way up because that's one of 0:13:34.160 --> 0:13:36.720 the reasons I picked him is that on the trade 0:13:36.800 --> 0:13:39.360 value chart they are within that same range, you know, 0:13:39.400 --> 0:13:41.400 and sometimes it takes you know, rookies a little bit 0:13:42.240 --> 0:13:44.080 longer to kind of a grocer fall, but you know 0:13:44.120 --> 0:13:46.080 where they are right now on the trade value chart, 0:13:46.120 --> 0:13:50.160 they're pretty pretty even, all right. 0:13:50.200 --> 0:13:52.960 My favorite sell high is Byron Buxton, who has been 0:13:53.000 --> 0:13:55.199 like kind of like, is it fair to say he's 0:13:55.240 --> 0:13:57.959 been sneaky awesome this year. I mean he's been on 0:13:58.000 --> 0:14:00.760 a heater as of late, which is which is really helped. 0:14:01.160 --> 0:14:04.760 But he's been insanely good. And it's a lot of 0:14:04.800 --> 0:14:06.640 red on the stat cast that there's there's some blue 0:14:06.640 --> 0:14:08.360 there too. There's not a lot of middle ground. It's 0:14:08.520 --> 0:14:11.240 pretty much every category it's either very red or very blue. 0:14:11.559 --> 0:14:13.400 You know, still has a pretty high wiff rate, strike 0:14:13.440 --> 0:14:16.400 cut rates of twenty seven percent, but he's hitting the 0:14:16.440 --> 0:14:18.920 ball really hard. His hard hit rate is over fifty 0:14:18.960 --> 0:14:22.880 percent and he's got seventeen home runs and thirteen stolen bases. 0:14:22.960 --> 0:14:26.680 Batting average is two seventy nine. Expected batting average is lower, 0:14:26.680 --> 0:14:30.280 but it's still over two fifty. This is like, I 0:14:30.320 --> 0:14:33.240 can kind of keep this really simple. It is strictly 0:14:33.520 --> 0:14:36.520 a this guy's never healthy, and if he's on this 0:14:36.680 --> 0:14:38.840 much of a heater, I would try and sell high 0:14:38.840 --> 0:14:41.480 while you can and get somebody back that you're a 0:14:41.520 --> 0:14:44.800 little more secure with, because you know, players don't tend 0:14:44.840 --> 0:14:47.440 to get healthier as they get older, and he's into 0:14:47.440 --> 0:14:50.200 his thirties now and obviously has a very long history 0:14:50.320 --> 0:14:53.920 of not playing full seasons. In fact, since twenty seventeen, 0:14:54.120 --> 0:14:56.600 he has played one hundred games in a season once. 0:14:56.920 --> 0:14:58.920 It was last year, and he only played one hundred 0:14:58.920 --> 0:15:01.080 and two games last season. He has not had four 0:15:01.120 --> 0:15:05.680 hundred plate appearances in his season since twenty seventeen, So, like, 0:15:06.680 --> 0:15:09.440 we know what the history is with this guy. He's 0:15:09.480 --> 0:15:12.600 playing so well right now, basically leading off every game 0:15:12.640 --> 0:15:15.000 with the homer that I think you should sell high 0:15:15.240 --> 0:15:15.800 while you can. 0:15:16.560 --> 0:15:19.880 Yeah, exclamation point co sign. I don't have a ton 0:15:19.920 --> 0:15:24.920 to add there, completely agree. I you know, he's kind 0:15:24.960 --> 0:15:27.720 of one of those talents that we were just robbed 0:15:27.760 --> 0:15:31.640 of because if he stays healthy for his entire career, 0:15:31.680 --> 0:15:34.280 like we're talking about a Hall of Famer here, because 0:15:34.280 --> 0:15:36.160 he's that good and can be that good when he 0:15:36.240 --> 0:15:38.600 is healthy. He's just never healthy. And then we've also 0:15:38.600 --> 0:15:41.320 seen him be kind of bad when he's healthy, but 0:15:41.360 --> 0:15:44.920 he's also he's so he's been so injured and so 0:15:44.960 --> 0:15:47.160 banged up throughout his career, Like it's impossible to know, 0:15:47.200 --> 0:15:49.400 like when was he like banged up when he put 0:15:49.480 --> 0:15:51.080 up those like poor numbers and just like leading into 0:15:51.120 --> 0:15:54.560 an injury kind of a thing. But you're always going 0:15:54.600 --> 0:15:55.440 to get that power speed. 0:15:56.280 --> 0:15:57.800 I will say, despite the fact that I'm saying you 0:15:57.800 --> 0:16:00.000 should sell high, I think his rest of season right now, 0:16:00.080 --> 0:16:03.800 King's really low. Like I'm very surprised by it. Overall, 0:16:03.920 --> 0:16:06.720 one hundred and twenty seconds. I think he's he's thirty 0:16:06.760 --> 0:16:09.960 fourth among outfielders in our consensus rest of season rankings. 0:16:10.520 --> 0:16:13.680 Like when healthy, he's going to far outperform that, and 0:16:13.720 --> 0:16:16.640 when not healthy, he's going to obviously be useless. So 0:16:16.680 --> 0:16:19.520 like I would have him higher honestly than Like, right 0:16:19.640 --> 0:16:22.720 right now in the overall rankings, he's one spot behind 0:16:22.720 --> 0:16:23.720 Anthony Santander. 0:16:23.840 --> 0:16:27.200 Like that to me just feels like that is a mistake. 0:16:27.320 --> 0:16:29.920 All injury, it's all people worried about the injury. 0:16:30.400 --> 0:16:33.040 Yeah, but Santander is hurt and has been garbage this year, 0:16:33.120 --> 0:16:36.240 So I like that. I mean, he's just the first 0:16:36.320 --> 0:16:37.000 name that I saw. 0:16:37.120 --> 0:16:39.240 But what's this consensus outfield ranking. 0:16:40.400 --> 0:16:41.400 I think it's thirty four. 0:16:42.000 --> 0:16:42.960 Oh, I haven't below that. 0:16:43.040 --> 0:16:43.800 I was just looking at it. 0:16:44.600 --> 0:16:46.400 What's that I have him below that I haven't had 0:16:46.440 --> 0:16:46.960 forty three. 0:16:47.760 --> 0:16:49.120 See, I think that's great. 0:16:49.480 --> 0:16:52.880 Dude is thirty combined home runs and steels halfway through 0:16:52.880 --> 0:16:56.760 the season and is playing well. 0:16:57.040 --> 0:16:59.120 I don't have him above Santander, who I have at 0:16:59.120 --> 0:17:00.200 fifty two. 0:17:01.240 --> 0:17:03.880 Yeah, that's that's more fair. Where do you You said 0:17:03.880 --> 0:17:04.640 you have forty three? 0:17:06.600 --> 0:17:08.120 Yeah? I mean he's really good. 0:17:08.200 --> 0:17:11.879 He's behind Michael Christia, Randi, Rosarana, Riley Green, Jason de Mingez. 0:17:12.000 --> 0:17:14.239 Maybe I should broke Jason ming Is down below him. 0:17:14.480 --> 0:17:16.560 Yeah, he should higher than Jason de Mingus in my opinion, 0:17:16.560 --> 0:17:17.400 I'll move him right now. 0:17:17.960 --> 0:17:21.080 But it's all it's all like injury, because it's like, sure, 0:17:21.080 --> 0:17:23.800 buying Buckson is better than him, but like, what if 0:17:23.800 --> 0:17:24.679 he's not here in August? 0:17:26.400 --> 0:17:30.159 Would you rather have for the rest of this season 0:17:30.200 --> 0:17:33.600 Mike Trout or Byron Bucks Mike Trout. I mean they're 0:17:33.720 --> 0:17:35.960 equally likely to get hurt, right. 0:17:36.160 --> 0:17:38.000 Yeah, but I have a lot invested in Mike Trout, 0:17:38.200 --> 0:17:39.440 so I need him to be better. 0:17:39.960 --> 0:17:41.240 So you're digging in your heels. 0:17:41.800 --> 0:17:42.280 Yeah. 0:17:42.440 --> 0:17:44.800 I took a firm stance before the season, and gosh 0:17:44.880 --> 0:17:46.320 darn it, I'm going to go down with the ship. 0:17:47.160 --> 0:17:49.760 I mean, Buckson has been like much better this year, 0:17:49.800 --> 0:17:52.360 and both have injury concerns, so like I would rather 0:17:52.400 --> 0:17:53.760