1 00:00:00,320 --> 00:00:05,600 Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast, Pay all Right, here. 2 00:00:05,440 --> 00:00:05,880 Speaker 2: We go. 3 00:00:10,960 --> 00:00:15,440 Speaker 3: Fifteen twenty twenty five, thirty thirty five, Tony Cody five fifty. 4 00:00:15,280 --> 00:00:20,440 Speaker 4: And the kick as Black the College Football ware Stunner. 5 00:00:23,200 --> 00:00:29,080 Speaker 4: Oh my goodness, he stumbled and bumble the lateral turn 6 00:00:29,080 --> 00:00:32,479 Speaker 4: a cutter on the eide, don't you The lad. 7 00:00:34,360 --> 00:00:35,920 Speaker 3: Came off the field to night. 8 00:00:39,520 --> 00:00:42,400 Speaker 4: It's not the sides of the dog in the fight. 9 00:00:42,760 --> 00:00:48,080 Speaker 3: It's the side of the fight in the dog. Welcome 10 00:00:48,080 --> 00:00:50,720 Speaker 3: to the Big Bets on Campus Podcast presented by bet MGM. 11 00:00:50,800 --> 00:00:52,559 Speaker 3: This look of the five deep dive and if you 12 00:00:52,640 --> 00:00:54,600 Speaker 3: are watching on YouTube, you can see that this is 13 00:00:54,640 --> 00:00:58,080 Speaker 3: our special Halloween episode. I'm going to car me from 14 00:00:58,120 --> 00:00:59,920 Speaker 3: the bear. This guy looks like he just came out 15 00:00:59,920 --> 00:01:03,160 Speaker 3: of the penalty box. So I appreciate the extra work, 16 00:01:03,240 --> 00:01:07,480 Speaker 3: the tattoos, the equipments, the gear. We're ready for this. 17 00:01:07,680 --> 00:01:10,199 Speaker 3: I feel like, you know, tonight we needed to treat 18 00:01:10,200 --> 00:01:13,280 Speaker 3: ourselves a little bit because Maction started off and started 19 00:01:13,280 --> 00:01:16,600 Speaker 3: off just as ugly as predicted. Like this, this entire 20 00:01:16,720 --> 00:01:19,759 Speaker 3: MAC season is kind of a frickin' disaster. As Stucky 21 00:01:20,200 --> 00:01:23,160 Speaker 3: accurately pointed out in his Mac manifesto, Please go ahead 22 00:01:23,160 --> 00:01:26,800 Speaker 3: and read on newsstands nationwide. Nine of the twelve teams 23 00:01:26,800 --> 00:01:29,160 Speaker 3: are outside of the Action Network Top one hundred, and 24 00:01:29,200 --> 00:01:31,240 Speaker 3: that seems fair to me. There's just like not very 25 00:01:31,240 --> 00:01:33,680 Speaker 3: good teams. And then Miami of Ohio is one of 26 00:01:33,680 --> 00:01:36,520 Speaker 3: those teams was good and Gabbert's ankle explodes, and like 27 00:01:36,720 --> 00:01:39,280 Speaker 3: I don't know, I try to, you know, basically work 28 00:01:39,319 --> 00:01:41,680 Speaker 3: myself up into a ladder to get excited about these 29 00:01:41,680 --> 00:01:44,720 Speaker 3: conferences all summer long. Now here we are with the 30 00:01:44,720 --> 00:01:47,320 Speaker 3: broken pieces of the MAC. But let's not bring it 31 00:01:47,360 --> 00:01:49,120 Speaker 3: all down from the get go. Let's let's bring the 32 00:01:49,200 --> 00:01:51,480 Speaker 3: energy up. Let's let's get you out of the penalty box. 33 00:01:51,480 --> 00:01:53,680 Speaker 3: Here Ian l O with your G five Hero of 34 00:01:53,720 --> 00:02:00,160 Speaker 3: Week number nine. 35 00:02:01,840 --> 00:02:04,640 Speaker 2: First, I gotta take off the gloves because I can't 36 00:02:04,640 --> 00:02:10,000 Speaker 2: really drop the glove. I can't really scroll with gloves on. Also, 37 00:02:10,120 --> 00:02:11,880 Speaker 2: just a quick note for those watching on YouTube, like 38 00:02:11,919 --> 00:02:14,679 Speaker 2: Mike said, this is we are filming Tuesday night Halloween Maction. 39 00:02:15,040 --> 00:02:16,800 Speaker 2: So you got my TV's right there. So if you 40 00:02:16,840 --> 00:02:19,680 Speaker 2: see me looking, I am sweating a Toledo buffalo under 41 00:02:19,919 --> 00:02:21,480 Speaker 2: and you can tell him a little rusty from the 42 00:02:21,520 --> 00:02:23,520 Speaker 2: MAC because I forgot the number one rule of maction 43 00:02:24,280 --> 00:02:28,480 Speaker 2: is goycheck the weather. We had two snow overs, snow eagles, 44 00:02:28,560 --> 00:02:31,920 Speaker 2: explosive plays. That's all we've seen. But for my G 45 00:02:32,120 --> 00:02:36,359 Speaker 2: five Hero of the Week, I'm going with Blake Watson. 46 00:02:36,840 --> 00:02:38,880 Speaker 2: We talked about him a few weeks ago, how crucial 47 00:02:38,880 --> 00:02:41,040 Speaker 2: he is this Memphis team. I didn't even lost that 48 00:02:41,040 --> 00:02:44,120 Speaker 2: game in Tulane because he went out early with an injury. 49 00:02:44,400 --> 00:02:48,200 Speaker 2: Last week, he had one hundred and sixty nine yards 50 00:02:48,200 --> 00:02:52,240 Speaker 2: and two touchdowns rushing plus one hundred yards receiving. He 51 00:02:52,280 --> 00:02:54,760 Speaker 2: had a sixty five yard touchdown run, a sixty three 52 00:02:54,840 --> 00:02:57,520 Speaker 2: yard touchdown catch, or just I didn't score on the 53 00:02:57,520 --> 00:02:59,160 Speaker 2: touch of the catch, but sixty three yard catch, sixty 54 00:02:59,160 --> 00:03:02,239 Speaker 2: five yard touchdow run. He's his whole offense. He's such 55 00:03:02,240 --> 00:03:05,959 Speaker 2: a dual threat weapon. Helped them beat North Texas. So 56 00:03:06,240 --> 00:03:09,440 Speaker 2: Blake Watson, he is doing it all for that Tigers offense, 57 00:03:09,480 --> 00:03:11,360 Speaker 2: and he's so important to them. We saw what happen 58 00:03:11,360 --> 00:03:13,919 Speaker 2: when he went out. Blake Watson is my This is 59 00:03:13,919 --> 00:03:15,919 Speaker 2: a hardway for heroes. I'm not gonna lie, but Blake 60 00:03:15,960 --> 00:03:16,880 Speaker 2: Watson gets mine. 61 00:03:16,960 --> 00:03:19,760 Speaker 3: Yeah. I was going through kind of the satistical accomplishments. 62 00:03:19,760 --> 00:03:22,080 Speaker 3: I almost made a callback to the Stone Age Preston 63 00:03:22,080 --> 00:03:24,240 Speaker 3: Stone having a great game for SMU. I think they 64 00:03:24,320 --> 00:03:26,919 Speaker 3: dropped fifty two in the first half, like they look 65 00:03:27,080 --> 00:03:29,880 Speaker 3: like a team that's reborn now that they're in conference play. 66 00:03:30,760 --> 00:03:34,280 Speaker 3: But I'm actually gonna go with an outsider literally outside 67 00:03:34,280 --> 00:03:36,880 Speaker 3: of the field to play. Whoever the Colorado State fan 68 00:03:37,080 --> 00:03:41,360 Speaker 3: was that through the second snowball they got them, it 69 00:03:41,400 --> 00:03:44,400 Speaker 3: was because, honestly, I've said it multiple times, I want 70 00:03:44,440 --> 00:03:46,640 Speaker 3: Air Force to go undefeated. I want them in the 71 00:03:46,680 --> 00:03:48,320 Speaker 3: New Year six Bowl Game. I think it would be 72 00:03:48,360 --> 00:03:51,320 Speaker 3: such a cool story. Obviously, their fan base is nationwide. 73 00:03:51,400 --> 00:03:54,080 Speaker 3: They're going to be there, and I think it's just 74 00:03:54,160 --> 00:03:57,600 Speaker 3: one of those final pieces of my bucket list for 75 00:03:57,680 --> 00:03:59,640 Speaker 3: college shipball that I want to see at some point. 76 00:04:00,040 --> 00:04:01,680 Speaker 3: And to get there, obviously, they got to run the 77 00:04:01,720 --> 00:04:03,520 Speaker 3: table and they were kind of stuck in the mud, 78 00:04:03,520 --> 00:04:05,880 Speaker 3: just stuck in the snow actually against Colorado State. It 79 00:04:05,920 --> 00:04:08,320 Speaker 3: was thirteen thirteen at halftime, didn't look like they were 80 00:04:08,320 --> 00:04:11,040 Speaker 3: getting things together offensively. Then they get aided by that 81 00:04:11,040 --> 00:04:13,400 Speaker 3: fifteen yard penalty. They go down, have a long touchdown 82 00:04:13,480 --> 00:04:16,000 Speaker 3: drive and they didn't look back from there. So shout 83 00:04:16,000 --> 00:04:17,760 Speaker 3: out to like when they panned the crowd. There was 84 00:04:18,279 --> 00:04:20,840 Speaker 3: three pretty guilty looking bananas in the crowd, so I 85 00:04:20,880 --> 00:04:24,359 Speaker 3: think one of them ended up throwing it. It's something 86 00:04:24,360 --> 00:04:26,640 Speaker 3: that I love about college schooble. That's just better than 87 00:04:26,680 --> 00:04:29,120 Speaker 3: the NFL. Like, yes, fans or NFL games stress up 88 00:04:29,160 --> 00:04:31,320 Speaker 3: in costumes and things like that, but the college kids 89 00:04:31,320 --> 00:04:32,320 Speaker 3: always do it so much better. 90 00:04:32,360 --> 00:04:34,479 Speaker 2: I'll tell you, first of all, I almost did that 91 00:04:34,640 --> 00:04:36,880 Speaker 2: from the opposite side. You did it as a pro 92 00:04:37,000 --> 00:04:38,920 Speaker 2: air Force bet. I almost did it as a pro 93 00:04:38,960 --> 00:04:41,800 Speaker 2: Colorado State bet because they were throwing snowballs the whole game, 94 00:04:41,960 --> 00:04:44,520 Speaker 2: and like you mentioned, it was thirteen thirteen. Then they 95 00:04:44,560 --> 00:04:47,640 Speaker 2: got hit with the penalty, stopped throwing snow and air 96 00:04:47,680 --> 00:04:50,000 Speaker 2: Force ran away with it and were like seventeen straight, 97 00:04:50,240 --> 00:04:52,120 Speaker 2: so I think the snowballs was working. I think they 98 00:04:52,120 --> 00:04:55,760 Speaker 2: were helping their team. Also, like I mention, I had 99 00:04:55,760 --> 00:04:58,480 Speaker 2: this Toledo game on Toledo got flagged for a snowball 100 00:04:58,520 --> 00:05:01,720 Speaker 2: penalty by two very guilty looking bananas. I'm not sure 101 00:05:01,720 --> 00:05:04,480 Speaker 2: if it's the same bananas that are now in Ohio 102 00:05:04,640 --> 00:05:07,120 Speaker 2: or what's going on here, but there's bananas throwing snow 103 00:05:07,160 --> 00:05:10,560 Speaker 2: in Toledo as well. I don't know what's going on here. 104 00:05:20,600 --> 00:05:23,360 Speaker 1: Basic. 105 00:05:28,120 --> 00:05:32,160 Speaker 3: Yeah, it's at this point. Snow usually comes, you know, 106 00:05:32,400 --> 00:05:34,599 Speaker 3: during maction and we start to get into it, and 107 00:05:34,600 --> 00:05:36,960 Speaker 3: it's something that you have to absolutely laser focus in 108 00:05:37,160 --> 00:05:39,080 Speaker 3: the snow overs and also keep an eye on the 109 00:05:39,120 --> 00:05:41,279 Speaker 3: winds because anything over fifteen miles an hour starts to 110 00:05:41,320 --> 00:05:44,599 Speaker 3: really impact those totals, and you know the play calling 111 00:05:44,640 --> 00:05:48,120 Speaker 3: as well. All Right, best bets for week number ten. 112 00:05:48,600 --> 00:05:50,520 Speaker 3: I'm gonna start by fading a team that we were 113 00:05:50,520 --> 00:05:52,600 Speaker 3: actually kind of pumping them up in the last episode 114 00:05:52,640 --> 00:05:54,919 Speaker 3: before Ashton Gents got hurt. I going to go with 115 00:05:54,960 --> 00:05:58,279 Speaker 3: Fresno Land three against Boise. This number seems too low 116 00:05:58,320 --> 00:06:01,000 Speaker 3: because Gens being banged up. These question for this game, 117 00:06:01,440 --> 00:06:04,440 Speaker 3: there's arguably not a more important offensive player to any 118 00:06:04,440 --> 00:06:07,359 Speaker 3: team in the entire country. Maybe Marvin Harrison junior for 119 00:06:07,400 --> 00:06:09,520 Speaker 3: Ohio State. Like that's it. That's the you know, the 120 00:06:09,600 --> 00:06:12,200 Speaker 3: rarefied air that Genti is in. He you know, came 121 00:06:12,240 --> 00:06:14,080 Speaker 3: into that game as the leader in the nation in 122 00:06:14,120 --> 00:06:16,720 Speaker 3: all purpose yardage. He ended up leaving early, so I 123 00:06:16,720 --> 00:06:20,159 Speaker 3: think he got passed by Mahdi from Texas State. But 124 00:06:20,200 --> 00:06:22,120 Speaker 3: he's also one of the top backs in terms of 125 00:06:22,200 --> 00:06:25,719 Speaker 3: weighted EPA and he has the highest yards per target 126 00:06:25,720 --> 00:06:28,080 Speaker 3: out of the backfield. So like he's absolutely everything to 127 00:06:28,120 --> 00:06:30,560 Speaker 3: the Broncos. And now he's up against a Fresno State 128 00:06:30,600 --> 00:06:32,039 Speaker 3: offense that just got a shot in the arm with 129 00:06:32,080 --> 00:06:34,960 Speaker 3: Mikey Keane. He was questionable coming in to the last 130 00:06:34,960 --> 00:06:37,440 Speaker 3: week's game against UNL he ends up playing. There's four 131 00:06:37,480 --> 00:06:40,400 Speaker 3: touchdowns of four different receivers. I think their offense can 132 00:06:40,480 --> 00:06:43,080 Speaker 3: you know, flip back into that B plus a minus 133 00:06:43,200 --> 00:06:45,640 Speaker 3: range with him at quarterback, and when you pair it 134 00:06:45,680 --> 00:06:48,159 Speaker 3: with their defense that's twenty ninth and success rate. They're 135 00:06:48,200 --> 00:06:50,520 Speaker 3: elite at stopping the run already, and their fifth and 136 00:06:50,560 --> 00:06:53,120 Speaker 3: interception rate in the country. I think it's a really 137 00:06:53,160 --> 00:06:55,320 Speaker 3: bad spot for Boise. I'm shocked that it's only minus 138 00:06:55,360 --> 00:06:56,960 Speaker 3: three out oflind Lay in the field goal. What are 139 00:06:57,000 --> 00:07:00,000 Speaker 3: your thoughts on this game? Where really Fresno can reinsert 140 00:07:00,120 --> 00:07:01,680 Speaker 3: themselves into the new Year six race. 141 00:07:01,960 --> 00:07:05,560 Speaker 2: I'm gonna be honest, this might be our first big 142 00:07:05,920 --> 00:07:09,559 Speaker 2: disagreement on the pod. I'm actually going to talk about 143 00:07:09,560 --> 00:07:12,160 Speaker 2: this game later, but I'll just leave it at I 144 00:07:12,200 --> 00:07:13,400 Speaker 2: don't necessarily agree with you. 145 00:07:14,640 --> 00:07:22,320 Speaker 5: We can't see very no good guy, very no bad 146 00:07:22,480 --> 00:07:28,560 Speaker 5: guys only and we just disagree. 147 00:07:28,920 --> 00:07:32,080 Speaker 3: I mean, it's fair if Fresno needed to be gifted 148 00:07:32,240 --> 00:07:35,360 Speaker 3: that UNLV dropped touchdown in the end zone, like talk 149 00:07:35,400 --> 00:07:37,960 Speaker 3: about a team that historically has just never gotten any 150 00:07:38,000 --> 00:07:40,000 Speaker 3: of the breaks. And that wide receiver looked like the 151 00:07:40,040 --> 00:07:43,080 Speaker 3: sickest man in the entire country dropping that touchdown. And 152 00:07:43,520 --> 00:07:46,600 Speaker 3: it was how my money line play ended up, you know, 153 00:07:46,600 --> 00:07:49,440 Speaker 3: in the underdog parlay falling apart. But I'm gonna switch 154 00:07:49,520 --> 00:07:52,800 Speaker 3: switch horts this year because, as I mentioned earlier last week, 155 00:07:52,840 --> 00:07:54,680 Speaker 3: I didn't think mikey Kean was gonna play. He was 156 00:07:54,680 --> 00:07:57,280 Speaker 3: obviously the difference maker there. That's why I'm so bullish 157 00:07:57,320 --> 00:07:58,960 Speaker 3: on this. All right, what is your best bet for 158 00:07:59,000 --> 00:07:59,440 Speaker 3: Week ten? 159 00:07:59,760 --> 00:08:01,360 Speaker 2: I'll fight you later, but for now, I got to 160 00:08:01,400 --> 00:08:02,960 Speaker 2: get us back on the same page. So I have 161 00:08:03,040 --> 00:08:04,840 Speaker 2: one that I know you're not going to disagree with, 162 00:08:05,480 --> 00:08:09,560 Speaker 2: because Mike, you feel that the leaves are changing colors. 163 00:08:09,840 --> 00:08:13,600 Speaker 2: There's a crisp in the air. It's pobvious season baby, 164 00:08:14,280 --> 00:08:17,320 Speaker 2: saw go diay go hit the music? 165 00:08:17,560 --> 00:08:19,520 Speaker 3: All right, I like what you're putting down. 166 00:08:21,320 --> 00:08:25,360 Speaker 2: We saw last season from mid October, New Mexico State 167 00:08:25,400 --> 00:08:27,880 Speaker 2: went six and one. Their only loss was at Missouri. 168 00:08:28,240 --> 00:08:31,400 Speaker 2: Guess what, it's the October. Since the start of October, 169 00:08:31,440 --> 00:08:34,280 Speaker 2: they're four to zero. Pobby has got seventeen touchdowns five 170 00:08:34,320 --> 00:08:36,800 Speaker 2: picks this year, seven touchdowns and one pick in the 171 00:08:36,880 --> 00:08:39,839 Speaker 2: last four games. He also has five rushing touchdowns in 172 00:08:39,880 --> 00:08:42,280 Speaker 2: the last four games after not having any for the 173 00:08:42,320 --> 00:08:45,160 Speaker 2: first five weeks. And that's the difference with this offense. 174 00:08:45,440 --> 00:08:48,320 Speaker 2: They have three good running backs, Monte Watkins star Thomas 175 00:08:48,760 --> 00:08:51,679 Speaker 2: Jermoni Jones. I didn't like every time I watched them. 176 00:08:51,760 --> 00:08:53,559 Speaker 2: All I do is yell, give us all the Watkins 177 00:08:53,600 --> 00:08:57,199 Speaker 2: on every single play. He's averaging eleven point two yards 178 00:08:57,200 --> 00:08:59,240 Speaker 2: per carry as their lead back. He's not like this, 179 00:08:59,520 --> 00:09:01,679 Speaker 2: you know he gets the first time time to touch 180 00:09:01,720 --> 00:09:04,400 Speaker 2: the ball. Thomas is over five himself. Paviy is averaging 181 00:09:04,400 --> 00:09:07,080 Speaker 2: five point nine on the ground. Daggi's are fifth in 182 00:09:07,120 --> 00:09:09,600 Speaker 2: the country in success rate running their fifteenth. Overall, this 183 00:09:09,679 --> 00:09:13,120 Speaker 2: offense has been good. Their top fifteen explosiveness finishing drives. 184 00:09:13,760 --> 00:09:15,880 Speaker 2: They aren't great on defense, but they don't give a 185 00:09:15,920 --> 00:09:18,000 Speaker 2: big plays. That's kind of the key with them, and 186 00:09:18,040 --> 00:09:20,400 Speaker 2: that's basically all Middle Tennessee can do on offense. Their 187 00:09:20,440 --> 00:09:24,360 Speaker 2: twentieth in explosiveness and one hundred and second in success rate. 188 00:09:24,800 --> 00:09:27,319 Speaker 2: All they do is pick up chunk plays. And the 189 00:09:27,320 --> 00:09:30,000 Speaker 2: Blue Raiders defense is horrific. They're one hundred and twenty 190 00:09:30,040 --> 00:09:32,880 Speaker 2: first in success rate. They can't stop anybody. Like I said, 191 00:09:33,120 --> 00:09:35,160 Speaker 2: New Mexico State's offense is huming right now. They're playing 192 00:09:35,160 --> 00:09:38,520 Speaker 2: really well. Middle Tennessee's allowed over four hundred yards in 193 00:09:38,640 --> 00:09:41,199 Speaker 2: six of their eight games this year and four straight. 194 00:09:42,120 --> 00:09:43,839 Speaker 2: Another thing that's always good when you're betting against the 195 00:09:43,840 --> 00:09:45,960 Speaker 2: team is Middle Tennessee turns the ball over eight ton. 196 00:09:46,160 --> 00:09:48,600 Speaker 2: So even if they do, you know, put together a drive, 197 00:09:48,640 --> 00:09:50,120 Speaker 2: they're probably gonna turn it over in the red zone. 198 00:09:50,160 --> 00:09:52,120 Speaker 2: Give the New Mexico State the ball back, or give 199 00:09:52,120 --> 00:09:54,640 Speaker 2: the New Mexico State the ball with short fields. I 200 00:09:54,720 --> 00:09:57,040 Speaker 2: expect that to happen. I expect PAVIA to keep this 201 00:09:57,120 --> 00:09:57,920 Speaker 2: offense rolling. 202 00:09:58,600 --> 00:10:02,320 Speaker 3: Go Diego Go. I like, based on the fact that 203 00:10:02,360 --> 00:10:04,440 Speaker 3: you have the hockey helmet on with the visor and 204 00:10:04,480 --> 00:10:07,000 Speaker 3: I can see your computer screen reflecting off of it. 205 00:10:07,000 --> 00:10:09,120 Speaker 3: It's like you have like Google glass going on right now. 206 00:10:09,160 --> 00:10:11,760 Speaker 3: I assume you're just watching PAVIA highlights pumping you up 207 00:10:11,760 --> 00:10:13,880 Speaker 3: for this play. Yeah, I mean, I'm going to play it, 208 00:10:14,480 --> 00:10:15,880 Speaker 3: but I'm also going to try to get a little 209 00:10:15,880 --> 00:10:17,559 Speaker 3: bit of extra juice on the same game parlay. I'm 210 00:10:17,559 --> 00:10:19,199 Speaker 3: going to go over because everything you said about the 211 00:10:19,240 --> 00:10:21,400 Speaker 3: Middle Tennessee offense, I think is also true. That's the 212 00:10:21,440 --> 00:10:23,400 Speaker 3: only part that scares me a little bit. I think 213 00:10:23,440 --> 00:10:25,320 Speaker 3: if it is a win for New Mexico State, it's 214 00:10:25,360 --> 00:10:27,200 Speaker 3: probably going to be a little bit higher scoring. So 215 00:10:27,320 --> 00:10:29,600 Speaker 3: go with the same game parlay. There. We're brought to 216 00:10:29,640 --> 00:10:32,360 Speaker 3: you today by Manscaped, who's taken a step up from 217 00:10:32,480 --> 00:10:35,760 Speaker 3: balloween to bring your face the cleanest shave it's ever seen. 218 00:10:36,080 --> 00:10:38,640 Speaker 3: So this season, no need to toil in trouble. Manscapes 219 00:10:38,880 --> 00:10:41,320 Speaker 3: all new Handyman is the best way to get rid 220 00:10:41,320 --> 00:10:44,000 Speaker 3: of that's double. 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Because 243 00:11:59,440 --> 00:12:01,160 Speaker 3: two weeks ago we were able to put this together. 244 00:12:01,240 --> 00:12:04,240 Speaker 3: Last week it was not as successful to put it lightly. 245 00:12:04,480 --> 00:12:05,800 Speaker 3: So you know what, I'm gonna go to the well, 246 00:12:05,800 --> 00:12:09,079 Speaker 3: I'm gonna go with a familiar play, not on a team. 247 00:12:09,440 --> 00:12:12,040 Speaker 3: We're gonna go ahead and fade Trent del for here. Trent, Baby, 248 00:12:12,080 --> 00:12:15,000 Speaker 3: you're back. Went ahead press conference. You had a little 249 00:12:15,000 --> 00:12:17,360 Speaker 3: bye week, so you know, flying under the radar a 250 00:12:17,440 --> 00:12:20,520 Speaker 3: little bit. All he was doing was talking up FAU, 251 00:12:20,600 --> 00:12:23,160 Speaker 3: their coaching staff. He wanted to get their oc. He 252 00:12:23,280 --> 00:12:25,880 Speaker 3: was really trying to like emulate a lot of what 253 00:12:25,920 --> 00:12:27,960 Speaker 3: they did. And he respects Tom Herman and all this stuff. 254 00:12:28,000 --> 00:12:31,199 Speaker 3: I agree with all of it. FAU is rock solid 255 00:12:31,240 --> 00:12:33,920 Speaker 3: on offense and AAC play. They beat Tulsa by three, 256 00:12:33,920 --> 00:12:36,720 Speaker 3: they beat USF by forty two, they beat Charlotte by 257 00:12:36,760 --> 00:12:40,240 Speaker 3: twenty two, and they're big three Daniel Richardson, Larry McCammon, 258 00:12:40,480 --> 00:12:44,640 Speaker 3: Legonta Western. They are a problem, particularly for a Blazers 259 00:12:44,679 --> 00:12:47,200 Speaker 3: defense that are not fire breathers by any stretch. One 260 00:12:47,240 --> 00:12:51,240 Speaker 3: hundred and thirty second in success rate and generally speaking, 261 00:12:51,280 --> 00:12:52,960 Speaker 3: the Blazers have been able to hang around in some 262 00:12:52,960 --> 00:12:55,440 Speaker 3: shootouts this year, but their offensive line is banged up, 263 00:12:55,440 --> 00:12:57,640 Speaker 3: so they're gonna be playing a new rotation there. They 264 00:12:57,640 --> 00:13:01,120 Speaker 3: have a quarterback coming off concussion protocol, and FAU has 265 00:13:01,240 --> 00:13:03,280 Speaker 3: everything in front of them in the AAC. They can 266 00:13:03,320 --> 00:13:05,760 Speaker 3: still make a play at the AAC title. UAB has 267 00:13:05,800 --> 00:13:08,040 Speaker 3: to win out just to get Bowl eligible. And you 268 00:13:08,080 --> 00:13:10,040 Speaker 3: can just see it in the body language of Dilfree. 269 00:13:10,040 --> 00:13:12,760 Speaker 3: He's like trying to talk himself into the possibility of 270 00:13:12,760 --> 00:13:14,800 Speaker 3: stringing together wins. But it's one at a time. It's 271 00:13:14,840 --> 00:13:17,840 Speaker 3: not gonna be one here. Fau lay in one in Birmingham. 272 00:13:17,840 --> 00:13:19,559 Speaker 3: I'll go ahead and lay the points. I think the 273 00:13:19,640 --> 00:13:22,480 Speaker 3: al's get a win here and stay right neck and 274 00:13:22,559 --> 00:13:25,520 Speaker 3: neck in that AAC title hunt statzer for losers. 275 00:13:25,640 --> 00:13:27,760 Speaker 2: Yep, I'm glad we're going back to her. I feel 276 00:13:27,760 --> 00:13:29,440 Speaker 2: you haven't faded dil for in a while, so it 277 00:13:29,440 --> 00:13:31,480 Speaker 2: feels it feels good to have you back. Look, I 278 00:13:31,480 --> 00:13:33,280 Speaker 2: don't like doing this. I don't like when you do it. 279 00:13:33,360 --> 00:13:35,240 Speaker 2: Where are the G five boys. We're supposed to ride 280 00:13:35,320 --> 00:13:38,880 Speaker 2: or die with our guys, and you bet on a 281 00:13:38,920 --> 00:13:42,840 Speaker 2: Power five school last week and you stupidly faded our 282 00:13:42,840 --> 00:13:44,200 Speaker 2: beloved huskis. 283 00:13:44,240 --> 00:13:45,760 Speaker 3: I mean, first of all, did you watch that game? 284 00:13:45,800 --> 00:13:47,440 Speaker 3: I need to I need the vents a little bit here. 285 00:13:47,440 --> 00:13:49,240 Speaker 3: I need to go car me big mad, throw some 286 00:13:49,280 --> 00:13:52,920 Speaker 3: pots and pans around like Yukon didn't do anything in 287 00:13:52,960 --> 00:13:56,160 Speaker 3: the whole game, and then I had to sit there 288 00:13:56,200 --> 00:14:00,280 Speaker 3: and listen to this. You know. ESPN O Show announcer say, Well, 289 00:14:00,360 --> 00:14:04,480 Speaker 3: on that unforced fumble for Castellanos, he drops back to pass, 290 00:14:04,520 --> 00:14:06,040 Speaker 3: he goes to throw, the ball just slips out of 291 00:14:06,120 --> 00:14:08,360 Speaker 3: his hand and falls to the feet of Yukon defender. Well, 292 00:14:08,360 --> 00:14:10,319 Speaker 3: it's really hot here in Boston, so he must have 293 00:14:10,320 --> 00:14:14,120 Speaker 3: been sweaty. Was out of here. He said that. It's like, Hey, first. 294 00:14:13,920 --> 00:14:15,680 Speaker 2: Of all, it was hot. I was a Connecticut it 295 00:14:15,679 --> 00:14:18,000 Speaker 2: was like eighty five degrees. I had a baby shower 296 00:14:18,120 --> 00:14:20,040 Speaker 2: in the fall. And I don't think when my mother, 297 00:14:20,200 --> 00:14:23,160 Speaker 2: my mother had we had soups, we had everyone made soup. 298 00:14:23,320 --> 00:14:25,240 Speaker 2: I don't think my mother expected it to be eighty 299 00:14:25,320 --> 00:14:28,480 Speaker 2: degrees when she planned it. So we're all sitting outside 300 00:14:28,520 --> 00:14:33,000 Speaker 2: in the beautiful Connecticut he eating soups, sweating, watching football. 301 00:14:33,600 --> 00:14:35,600 Speaker 2: But no, I couldn't get we didn't have this game on. 302 00:14:35,720 --> 00:14:39,120 Speaker 2: We had good games on. But it was gorgeous in 303 00:14:39,160 --> 00:14:41,520 Speaker 2: New England this weekend. So shame on you for not 304 00:14:41,600 --> 00:14:43,200 Speaker 2: checking in the weather. You got to check Mac for 305 00:14:43,280 --> 00:14:45,880 Speaker 2: snow and you got to check Boston. Excuse me, Cass 306 00:14:45,920 --> 00:14:49,040 Speaker 2: came from u UCF. What he's never played in temperatures 307 00:14:49,080 --> 00:14:52,200 Speaker 2: above eighty degrees like Jesus Christ like, So wat is 308 00:14:52,280 --> 00:14:55,280 Speaker 2: that game? Because I really believe if they had not 309 00:14:55,360 --> 00:14:57,640 Speaker 2: turned the ball over there, if you look at Yukon's 310 00:14:57,640 --> 00:14:59,680 Speaker 2: performance the rest of the game, they couldn't move the 311 00:14:59,680 --> 00:15:00,840 Speaker 2: foot all consistently. 312 00:15:01,280 --> 00:15:04,480 Speaker 3: Anyway, that's over. You're right, I did. I turned my 313 00:15:04,600 --> 00:15:07,120 Speaker 3: back on one of our honorary G five members. So 314 00:15:07,480 --> 00:15:09,520 Speaker 3: I guess the joke's on me on that one. 315 00:15:09,880 --> 00:15:12,480 Speaker 2: Well, I'm doing it too. Give me South Carolina minus 316 00:15:12,520 --> 00:15:13,840 Speaker 2: fourteen and a half. 317 00:15:13,880 --> 00:15:16,680 Speaker 3: Look the battle of the game, Cocks. You're going with 318 00:15:16,760 --> 00:15:17,800 Speaker 3: the SEC big point. 319 00:15:17,920 --> 00:15:20,120 Speaker 2: I'm going with the big Cocks over to Jacksonville State. 320 00:15:20,880 --> 00:15:26,600 Speaker 2: South Carolina is terrible. They've lost to North Carolina, Georgia, Tennessee, Florida, Missouri, Texas, 321 00:15:26,600 --> 00:15:28,720 Speaker 2: A and M. What do all those teams have a 322 00:15:28,840 --> 00:15:31,720 Speaker 2: really good defensive line. That's their weakness. Spencer Ratler has 323 00:15:31,720 --> 00:15:34,800 Speaker 2: been sacked thirty times this season. The South Carolina offense 324 00:15:35,040 --> 00:15:40,080 Speaker 2: is utrid. When Ratler's under pressure three touchdowns, four interceptions, 325 00:15:40,120 --> 00:15:42,680 Speaker 2: But when he's kept clean, He's got nine touchdowns and 326 00:15:42,760 --> 00:15:46,440 Speaker 2: just one pick. Is completing seventy seven point five percent 327 00:15:46,480 --> 00:15:49,640 Speaker 2: of his passes. Jacksonville State is just seventy first in 328 00:15:49,720 --> 00:15:52,640 Speaker 2: pressure grade at Pro Football Focus. Now, look, if you 329 00:15:52,680 --> 00:15:54,720 Speaker 2: look at their basic stats, they've racked up a ton 330 00:15:54,760 --> 00:15:56,920 Speaker 2: of sacks, they like top ten in the country. But 331 00:15:57,040 --> 00:15:59,640 Speaker 2: most of those camp they had like eight against Eastern Michigan, 332 00:16:00,360 --> 00:16:02,360 Speaker 2: I don't they have like six against Middle Tennessee in 333 00:16:02,480 --> 00:16:05,480 Speaker 2: like five or six against Florida International. So they've racked 334 00:16:05,560 --> 00:16:08,200 Speaker 2: up like thirty of them against three teams. South Carolina 335 00:16:08,240 --> 00:16:10,040 Speaker 2: can't run the ball and they can't defend the pass, 336 00:16:10,400 --> 00:16:13,240 Speaker 2: but they can get big plays and if Raler is 337 00:16:13,280 --> 00:16:16,680 Speaker 2: protected and has time, he can be effective. Xavier Lgett 338 00:16:16,960 --> 00:16:20,200 Speaker 2: is a massive big play target on the outside for 339 00:16:20,280 --> 00:16:23,480 Speaker 2: South Carolina. Jacksonville State has nobody that can stop him. 340 00:16:23,640 --> 00:16:25,520 Speaker 2: And then Jacksonville State doesn't even try to pass the 341 00:16:25,520 --> 00:16:27,120 Speaker 2: ball and they're not good at it when they do. 342 00:16:27,760 --> 00:16:30,200 Speaker 2: There are one hundred and eleventh at preventing explosiveness. So 343 00:16:30,240 --> 00:16:31,760 Speaker 2: I expect the game Cocks to be able to pick 344 00:16:31,840 --> 00:16:34,960 Speaker 2: up big plays. Here. This is SEC flex season. This 345 00:16:35,160 --> 00:16:37,560 Speaker 2: is when the SEC because they're too much, too big 346 00:16:37,560 --> 00:16:40,400 Speaker 2: a coward to schedule nine conference games, so they have 347 00:16:40,440 --> 00:16:42,600 Speaker 2: to schedule a powder puff game in the middle of 348 00:16:42,640 --> 00:16:45,320 Speaker 2: the fall because they're too scared to play real teams, 349 00:16:45,800 --> 00:16:48,560 Speaker 2: and they flex a bit when the spread is between 350 00:16:49,200 --> 00:16:52,040 Speaker 2: thirteen and twenty six in these mid SEC games, so 351 00:16:52,120 --> 00:16:54,960 Speaker 2: you know, not forty five point favorites, but a sizable 352 00:16:55,040 --> 00:16:58,200 Speaker 2: double digit favorite. Since two thousand and nine SEC teams 353 00:16:58,200 --> 00:17:01,040 Speaker 2: are fifty one and forty against spread. They use these 354 00:17:01,080 --> 00:17:03,320 Speaker 2: games to flex a little bit, get the boosters, get 355 00:17:03,360 --> 00:17:05,160 Speaker 2: the na L go and give the home crowd something 356 00:17:05,200 --> 00:17:08,280 Speaker 2: to two or four. And I think South Carolina certainly 357 00:17:08,280 --> 00:17:11,080 Speaker 2: needs that. They've lost four straight games. They have every 358 00:17:11,080 --> 00:17:13,560 Speaker 2: incentive to run up the score here, get some positive vibes, 359 00:17:13,760 --> 00:17:16,640 Speaker 2: try to get some confidence back. Sure, Jacksonville State's having 360 00:17:16,640 --> 00:17:20,360 Speaker 2: an incredible season. Seven to two, who's their most impressive 361 00:17:20,400 --> 00:17:23,920 Speaker 2: win Western Kentucky by three, Like that's the best team 362 00:17:23,960 --> 00:17:26,800 Speaker 2: that they've beaten. And this is a massive step up 363 00:17:26,800 --> 00:17:30,159 Speaker 2: in competition from CUSA. And even when we saw Jacksonville 364 00:17:30,160 --> 00:17:31,879 Speaker 2: State kind of take a little step up to Liberty, 365 00:17:31,920 --> 00:17:35,159 Speaker 2: they lost by eighteen points. So I just think this 366 00:17:35,240 --> 00:17:37,679 Speaker 2: is such a different type of athlete that they're going 367 00:17:37,720 --> 00:17:39,680 Speaker 2: to see. They were not used to seeing these. I mean, 368 00:17:39,720 --> 00:17:41,800 Speaker 2: this team was in the FCS last year. Now they're 369 00:17:41,840 --> 00:17:44,480 Speaker 2: playing on the road in the SEC environment. As bad 370 00:17:44,480 --> 00:17:47,760 Speaker 2: as South Carolina is, they're just different athletes than Jacksonville 371 00:17:47,760 --> 00:17:51,080 Speaker 2: State has and Jacksonville State also they play super fast 372 00:17:51,200 --> 00:17:53,360 Speaker 2: and they can't throw the ball. They're kind of designed 373 00:17:53,359 --> 00:17:55,879 Speaker 2: to either win the game or get blown out. So 374 00:17:57,040 --> 00:17:59,560 Speaker 2: all laigh the number. I think South Carolina flexes a 375 00:17:59,600 --> 00:18:01,600 Speaker 2: little bit and trying to get some confidence back, and 376 00:18:01,640 --> 00:18:03,520 Speaker 2: they run it up here all right. 377 00:18:03,440 --> 00:18:06,080 Speaker 3: Jeff, I like what you're whipping up here. I'm into it. 378 00:18:06,520 --> 00:18:08,880 Speaker 3: I'm going to add in a little prop as well. 379 00:18:08,920 --> 00:18:11,880 Speaker 3: I think Nick Harbor they're trying to feature him more offensively, 380 00:18:12,400 --> 00:18:15,440 Speaker 3: and I think in terms of being a matchup freak, 381 00:18:15,480 --> 00:18:18,240 Speaker 3: he was one of the best tested tight ends in 382 00:18:18,280 --> 00:18:20,560 Speaker 3: the history of recruiting services. They claim at wide receiver 383 00:18:20,600 --> 00:18:22,440 Speaker 3: and kind of a hybrid role. But I think he'll 384 00:18:22,440 --> 00:18:25,200 Speaker 3: eat in this game. So anytime touchdown for him, tag 385 00:18:25,280 --> 00:18:28,440 Speaker 3: that on as well. I know, I just eighty six dilfer, 386 00:18:28,520 --> 00:18:30,280 Speaker 3: but I'm going to go for an over here in 387 00:18:30,320 --> 00:18:33,160 Speaker 3: a different direction. This one came out of a try 388 00:18:33,240 --> 00:18:36,159 Speaker 3: but true exercise I like to do at the beginning 389 00:18:36,160 --> 00:18:38,560 Speaker 3: of every week or you know, Sundays, depending on when 390 00:18:38,680 --> 00:18:41,520 Speaker 3: numbers come out to just go through the entire card, 391 00:18:41,520 --> 00:18:44,399 Speaker 3: the matchups without seeing the odds and then just writing 392 00:18:44,440 --> 00:18:47,760 Speaker 3: down my quick you know, shooting from the hip projections 393 00:18:47,840 --> 00:18:49,919 Speaker 3: on what the total, what the spread should be. This 394 00:18:50,000 --> 00:18:52,240 Speaker 3: total was off by five points, and it's one of 395 00:18:52,280 --> 00:18:54,399 Speaker 3: the very lowest on the board. It should be the 396 00:18:54,440 --> 00:18:56,480 Speaker 3: lowest on the board if it weren't for I think 397 00:18:56,560 --> 00:19:00,359 Speaker 3: I is Iowa Northwestern. It's definitely Iowa, Iowa. I won 398 00:19:00,400 --> 00:19:02,600 Speaker 3: with the restaurants twenty nine and a half. Yeah, this 399 00:19:02,640 --> 00:19:04,920 Speaker 3: one's thirty one and a half. And it's Army against 400 00:19:04,920 --> 00:19:06,560 Speaker 3: air Force. And I get why this is so low, 401 00:19:06,600 --> 00:19:09,040 Speaker 3: Like I don't need anybody, you know, pulling over their 402 00:19:09,040 --> 00:19:10,960 Speaker 3: car and calling into the Bad Beat hotline to yell 403 00:19:10,960 --> 00:19:12,680 Speaker 3: at me. I get it. Six of the last eight 404 00:19:12,720 --> 00:19:15,800 Speaker 3: meetings this has gone below this number between these two schools. 405 00:19:16,240 --> 00:19:19,320 Speaker 3: But air Force's offense is a wagon. They're twelfth and 406 00:19:19,359 --> 00:19:21,600 Speaker 3: success rate their first and avoidan havoc. They're first and 407 00:19:21,640 --> 00:19:24,640 Speaker 3: passing explosives. They've scored thirty points or more in six 408 00:19:24,640 --> 00:19:27,639 Speaker 3: of their eight games. Really just came down for me. 409 00:19:28,200 --> 00:19:30,440 Speaker 3: I need ten from Army. I think I'll get twenty 410 00:19:30,480 --> 00:19:33,280 Speaker 3: four or twenty eight at least from air Force. And 411 00:19:33,320 --> 00:19:37,560 Speaker 3: this number essentially is predicated on there being no explosive plays. 412 00:19:37,920 --> 00:19:40,000 Speaker 3: And I've watched their games. I know that when they 413 00:19:40,040 --> 00:19:42,000 Speaker 3: do throw the ball, that larrier can get it out 414 00:19:42,000 --> 00:19:43,720 Speaker 3: on the perimeter and they can hit some big ones. 415 00:19:44,080 --> 00:19:46,640 Speaker 3: Thirty one and a half is just there's no room 416 00:19:46,680 --> 00:19:49,359 Speaker 3: for air. There's no room for you know, a muff 417 00:19:49,400 --> 00:19:52,080 Speaker 3: punt inside your own ten or a special team touchdown 418 00:19:52,119 --> 00:19:55,120 Speaker 3: or defensive touchdown, or like we saw an air Force 419 00:19:55,160 --> 00:19:58,240 Speaker 3: against Navy, a ninety five yard passing touchdown, like they're 420 00:19:58,320 --> 00:20:01,840 Speaker 3: capable of doing this against another service academy. So I'm 421 00:20:01,840 --> 00:20:04,239 Speaker 3: gonna go over. I don't love it, but I'm just 422 00:20:04,280 --> 00:20:07,080 Speaker 3: sticking true to my guns here. Thirty five and a 423 00:20:07,119 --> 00:20:09,520 Speaker 3: half ish thirty six is where I had it pegged. 424 00:20:09,720 --> 00:20:11,600 Speaker 3: Thirty one and a half. I just see value there 425 00:20:11,640 --> 00:20:14,040 Speaker 3: on a very low scoring game. You probably don't like it. 426 00:20:14,119 --> 00:20:16,240 Speaker 3: This is probably just what you got to do every time. 427 00:20:16,280 --> 00:20:18,560 Speaker 3: You just bet undering these spots. I just think there's 428 00:20:18,600 --> 00:20:21,800 Speaker 3: a chance that air Force, being a generationally good air 429 00:20:21,800 --> 00:20:25,080 Speaker 3: Force team, just blows them out and does all ninety 430 00:20:25,080 --> 00:20:26,920 Speaker 3: five percent of this lifting on their own. 431 00:20:27,200 --> 00:20:29,200 Speaker 2: Here's my issue. You said. Air Force is scored thirty 432 00:20:29,280 --> 00:20:31,800 Speaker 2: points in six of their eight games, right, m hmm. 433 00:20:32,080 --> 00:20:35,480 Speaker 2: The two they didn't was Navy and Sam Houston, who's 434 00:20:35,480 --> 00:20:37,760 Speaker 2: basically a service academy. And that's the thing is like 435 00:20:38,040 --> 00:20:40,680 Speaker 2: Army knows how to stop their offense. That's I don't 436 00:20:40,760 --> 00:20:41,520 Speaker 2: like it. I'm not. 437 00:20:41,640 --> 00:20:42,160 Speaker 3: I don't know that. 438 00:20:42,119 --> 00:20:44,480 Speaker 2: I'll bet the under like I totally just blindly bet 439 00:20:44,520 --> 00:20:46,640 Speaker 2: the under. I think the Army because. 440 00:20:46,400 --> 00:20:48,879 Speaker 3: It's too low, right, it's too low, that's no. 441 00:20:49,080 --> 00:20:52,639 Speaker 2: I think it's more the unknown of Army's pass like 442 00:20:52,680 --> 00:20:55,800 Speaker 2: they passed the ball a lot more now, so like it. 443 00:20:56,280 --> 00:20:58,200 Speaker 2: Maybe it won't play like I mean, but so does 444 00:20:58,359 --> 00:20:59,000 Speaker 2: I mean. 445 00:20:59,240 --> 00:21:01,560 Speaker 3: Sounds like somebody he's talking themselves into betting. It's over 446 00:21:01,640 --> 00:21:01,840 Speaker 3: with me. 447 00:21:01,920 --> 00:21:02,760 Speaker 2: I never bet the en. 448 00:21:02,880 --> 00:21:04,120 Speaker 3: I went no. 449 00:21:04,520 --> 00:21:07,560 Speaker 2: I mean, that's treason. But I'm not. No, I'm not beat. 450 00:21:08,680 --> 00:21:11,399 Speaker 2: What I am to do is lay another big number, 451 00:21:11,600 --> 00:21:14,720 Speaker 2: this time with a G five team. You tried it 452 00:21:14,800 --> 00:21:18,119 Speaker 2: last week. It didn't work. You tried it with UTSA 453 00:21:18,320 --> 00:21:21,480 Speaker 2: and you lost on a horrific bad beat that made 454 00:21:21,520 --> 00:21:23,679 Speaker 2: Scott van Belt, which is never what you want to see. 455 00:21:23,840 --> 00:21:26,240 Speaker 2: I'm going back to it. Give me tulane minus sixteen 456 00:21:26,240 --> 00:21:29,199 Speaker 2: and a half against ECU. You thought UTSA would kill him. 457 00:21:29,200 --> 00:21:31,800 Speaker 2: They didn't. I think Tulane will Alice Flynn was the 458 00:21:31,840 --> 00:21:34,040 Speaker 2: only quarterback who played last week, so it seems like 459 00:21:34,040 --> 00:21:36,880 Speaker 2: they finally picked one. Now that they say that, they'll 460 00:21:36,880 --> 00:21:39,920 Speaker 2: probably start carciam play him the whole game. But Flynn sucks. 461 00:21:40,160 --> 00:21:42,959 Speaker 2: He's got four touchdowns, seven picks. He's completing fifty one 462 00:21:43,040 --> 00:21:45,600 Speaker 2: percent of his passes. They managed three hundred and sixty 463 00:21:45,640 --> 00:21:48,720 Speaker 2: six yards against UTSA, but this is still the worst 464 00:21:48,760 --> 00:21:50,840 Speaker 2: offense in the country. For my money, I was thinking 465 00:21:50,840 --> 00:21:53,239 Speaker 2: Tulane is a better defense than UTSA. They're sixteenth at 466 00:21:53,240 --> 00:21:55,320 Speaker 2: creating havoc. They're really good against the run. They've been 467 00:21:55,320 --> 00:21:57,679 Speaker 2: playing better and better as the season's going on, and 468 00:21:57,720 --> 00:22:01,160 Speaker 2: they're most vulnerable through the air and ECU can't exploit 469 00:22:01,200 --> 00:22:05,560 Speaker 2: that at all. Darius Hodges Patrick Jenkins are fantastic up 470 00:22:05,560 --> 00:22:07,360 Speaker 2: front for the Green Wave. They should dominate this game. 471 00:22:07,400 --> 00:22:10,360 Speaker 2: They shoudrec havoc the whole game, and then ECU defensively 472 00:22:10,400 --> 00:22:12,600 Speaker 2: has been good against the run, but teams have just 473 00:22:12,680 --> 00:22:15,119 Speaker 2: picked them apart through the air. Tulane is twelfth in 474 00:22:15,119 --> 00:22:18,159 Speaker 2: the country in success rate. Michael Pratt's playing awesome. He's 475 00:22:18,160 --> 00:22:19,640 Speaker 2: like almost finding the raid. I feel like no one's 476 00:22:19,640 --> 00:22:21,399 Speaker 2: talking about how good he is anymore, and like how 477 00:22:21,440 --> 00:22:24,800 Speaker 2: good Tulaane's been playing. He's got fourteen touchdowns, three interceptions, 478 00:22:24,800 --> 00:22:27,200 Speaker 2: He's completing seventy one percent of his passes. He should 479 00:22:27,280 --> 00:22:30,520 Speaker 2: pick apart this defense all day, Lawrence Keys and company. 480 00:22:30,640 --> 00:22:32,679 Speaker 2: They have like three good receivers that are all playing well. 481 00:22:32,880 --> 00:22:35,920 Speaker 2: My one slight concern is Tulene really hasn't blown the 482 00:22:35,960 --> 00:22:38,119 Speaker 2: doors off anybody this year. We're kind of waiting for 483 00:22:38,160 --> 00:22:41,960 Speaker 2: that Tulane fifty five opponent three game, which they don't 484 00:22:42,200 --> 00:22:45,199 Speaker 2: they don't really have in their bag. But hopefully this 485 00:22:45,240 --> 00:22:47,280 Speaker 2: is where they'll take advantage in this spot. You know, 486 00:22:47,640 --> 00:22:50,800 Speaker 2: if they can hold ECU under ten, which I think 487 00:22:50,800 --> 00:22:53,880 Speaker 2: they can, then you know they should put up thirty here. 488 00:22:54,000 --> 00:22:56,600 Speaker 2: So give me the green wave minus sixteen and a half. 489 00:22:56,640 --> 00:22:58,160 Speaker 2: I think they. I think they can win this game 490 00:22:58,160 --> 00:22:58,600 Speaker 2: by twenty. 491 00:22:58,800 --> 00:23:02,920 Speaker 3: Shout out to the Solid Real Podcast for this culinary description. 492 00:23:03,440 --> 00:23:05,840 Speaker 3: They're not gonna flash fry the opponent in this game. 493 00:23:05,880 --> 00:23:07,800 Speaker 3: It's gonna be more like a crock potting. It's gonna 494 00:23:07,840 --> 00:23:09,440 Speaker 3: be like you know, it's gonna take all three hours, 495 00:23:09,440 --> 00:23:12,000 Speaker 3: it's gonna take all four quarters. But I agree, I 496 00:23:12,000 --> 00:23:14,400 Speaker 3: think that they can run away late because of the 497 00:23:14,760 --> 00:23:16,439 Speaker 3: huge advantage they have a quarterback. That's part of I 498 00:23:16,520 --> 00:23:16,879 Speaker 3: like about that. 499 00:23:16,920 --> 00:23:19,040 Speaker 2: It's like I think Pratt kind of kind of plays 500 00:23:19,040 --> 00:23:21,560 Speaker 2: that style anyway, Like I feel like doctor Frank Harris 501 00:23:21,640 --> 00:23:23,720 Speaker 2: is a little more like flashy tries to be explosive, 502 00:23:23,760 --> 00:23:25,919 Speaker 2: go down the field where I think Pratt is one 503 00:23:25,920 --> 00:23:28,159 Speaker 2: of those. He's a smarter quarterback where and he's so 504 00:23:28,280 --> 00:23:31,440 Speaker 2: experienced where like they're never he was never gonna stop them, 505 00:23:31,560 --> 00:23:34,000 Speaker 2: Like he he could just go like first down and 506 00:23:34,080 --> 00:23:36,640 Speaker 2: second down, you know, third and four, first down, keep 507 00:23:36,640 --> 00:23:38,359 Speaker 2: the change, but just march down the field and score 508 00:23:38,440 --> 00:23:41,240 Speaker 2: every possession. He's not gonna like force a throw and 509 00:23:41,240 --> 00:23:43,560 Speaker 2: try to take a shot and turn it over. He's 510 00:23:43,560 --> 00:23:45,320 Speaker 2: just gonna move the all down the field and score 511 00:23:45,720 --> 00:23:48,320 Speaker 2: at will. So yeah, I could kind of like I 512 00:23:48,320 --> 00:23:51,240 Speaker 2: think that the sets of Wealth, for their methodical don't 513 00:23:51,560 --> 00:23:53,800 Speaker 2: run it up, but like they could just naturally do it. 514 00:23:53,840 --> 00:23:55,879 Speaker 3: I think, do you have a final pick for a 515 00:23:55,960 --> 00:23:58,640 Speaker 3: round robin here? I did the heavy lifting last week, 516 00:23:58,760 --> 00:24:02,680 Speaker 3: As I mentioned, so bad beats littered our card. Yet 517 00:24:02,760 --> 00:24:04,440 Speaker 3: you have another one here and I've won that. 518 00:24:05,000 --> 00:24:07,760 Speaker 2: Maybe you'll tell me I'm wrong here. We've disagreed a 519 00:24:07,760 --> 00:24:09,440 Speaker 2: lot here, so maybe you'll tell me I'm wrong in 520 00:24:09,520 --> 00:24:12,320 Speaker 2: this spot. Am I missing something? With Marshall plus four 521 00:24:12,400 --> 00:24:13,120 Speaker 2: against app. 522 00:24:12,960 --> 00:24:20,680 Speaker 3: State, quarterback play has been I'm not gonna just a nightmare. 523 00:24:21,359 --> 00:24:25,640 Speaker 2: So Marshall's lost one row. Cam Fanter sucks, but they 524 00:24:25,760 --> 00:24:30,480 Speaker 2: lost NC State, Georgia State, James Madison, who's the best 525 00:24:30,520 --> 00:24:33,439 Speaker 2: team in the country, and Coast to Carolina. Yes, Coastal 526 00:24:33,440 --> 00:24:36,920 Speaker 2: one isn't great. It was without McCall, but Fancer forgot 527 00:24:37,000 --> 00:24:39,400 Speaker 2: what Colors team is on the teal field, threw them off. 528 00:24:39,400 --> 00:24:41,280 Speaker 2: He threw foreigner stepends. I don't I just don't think 529 00:24:41,280 --> 00:24:44,440 Speaker 2: he could see the Coastal defenders. If I'm being quite honest, 530 00:24:44,440 --> 00:24:47,040 Speaker 2: they blended into the turf. It's very disorienting. It shouldn't 531 00:24:47,040 --> 00:24:49,960 Speaker 2: even be legal. But app State also lost to Coastal 532 00:24:50,080 --> 00:24:53,919 Speaker 2: and their wins this year are against Gardner, Webb, e 533 00:24:54,040 --> 00:24:57,720 Speaker 2: c u U on one row. Southern miss find the 534 00:24:57,760 --> 00:25:00,560 Speaker 2: team in the country with worse wins than those four. 535 00:25:00,600 --> 00:25:03,040 Speaker 2: They're four of the ten worst teams in the country. 536 00:25:03,880 --> 00:25:06,160 Speaker 2: Joey Aguilar has look really good at quarterback. I'll give 537 00:25:06,200 --> 00:25:08,520 Speaker 2: him credit, but this defense is terrible. There are one 538 00:25:08,600 --> 00:25:10,439 Speaker 2: hundred and fourteen in the country and success right, And 539 00:25:10,440 --> 00:25:12,480 Speaker 2: like I just said, the teams they played, they allow 540 00:25:12,520 --> 00:25:15,080 Speaker 2: a ton of big plays. They're one hundred and twentieth 541 00:25:15,240 --> 00:25:18,120 Speaker 2: at stopping the run, which is obviously key in this matchup. 542 00:25:18,480 --> 00:25:21,280 Speaker 2: Rashiana Lee missed that James Madison game out of nowhere. 543 00:25:21,359 --> 00:25:23,840 Speaker 2: Screwed you on your Marshall bet. I want it not 544 00:25:23,920 --> 00:25:26,720 Speaker 2: to brack, but he was back last week. He should 545 00:25:26,760 --> 00:25:29,879 Speaker 2: run all over this defense. Marshall's twenty first in the 546 00:25:29,880 --> 00:25:32,520 Speaker 2: country and success right. There are elevenths at preventing finishing 547 00:25:32,560 --> 00:25:35,879 Speaker 2: drives on defense. Their defense is nasty. Our boy, Owen 548 00:25:35,880 --> 00:25:38,879 Speaker 2: Porter is a stud. He's like the perfect G five, 549 00:25:39,280 --> 00:25:42,879 Speaker 2: Like he's the perfect just linebacker football guy always has 550 00:25:42,920 --> 00:25:44,840 Speaker 2: his abs hanging out. I just picture like when he 551 00:25:44,880 --> 00:25:47,320 Speaker 2: makes tagley like is barking while he does it, Like 552 00:25:47,440 --> 00:25:49,520 Speaker 2: he reminds me of like a G five Brian Cushing, 553 00:25:49,680 --> 00:25:53,040 Speaker 2: just like each sleeps breathe football like smash his head 554 00:25:53,040 --> 00:25:54,760 Speaker 2: against the wall and pump himself up before he run 555 00:25:54,840 --> 00:25:56,679 Speaker 2: tits the field. He's the best, and I think the 556 00:25:56,680 --> 00:25:58,800 Speaker 2: Thundering Third just do what they always do. They're gonna 557 00:25:58,840 --> 00:26:01,119 Speaker 2: run the ball, They're gonna play defense. Win this game. 558 00:26:01,400 --> 00:26:03,600 Speaker 2: Like I said, I'm very confused by this lines. Maybe 559 00:26:03,640 --> 00:26:06,560 Speaker 2: I'm missing something. Our Action Network power ratings have Marshall 560 00:26:06,760 --> 00:26:10,359 Speaker 2: seventy six in app state ninetieth. They have the Herd 561 00:26:11,000 --> 00:26:13,639 Speaker 2: a four and a half point favor on a neutral field. 562 00:26:14,320 --> 00:26:17,400 Speaker 2: Boone is not worth eight points, So I think marsh 563 00:26:17,440 --> 00:26:19,640 Speaker 2: should be favored by like one and a half one. 564 00:26:20,359 --> 00:26:24,879 Speaker 2: Pick him at best for his nuts, give me the Herd, 565 00:26:25,280 --> 00:26:28,080 Speaker 2: Cam Fancher, for the love of Christ, protect the football, 566 00:26:28,240 --> 00:26:28,800 Speaker 2: win the game. 567 00:26:29,240 --> 00:26:31,560 Speaker 3: Yeah, I can't get there with you, but. 568 00:26:33,080 --> 00:26:35,200 Speaker 2: Here's the one thing that might make you feel better. 569 00:26:35,480 --> 00:26:38,680 Speaker 2: They did bench Fancer in a little Chad Pennington's kid, 570 00:26:38,720 --> 00:26:41,919 Speaker 2: I don't remember his first name. Little Chad Pennington was 571 00:26:42,200 --> 00:26:44,400 Speaker 2: slinging it. He did throw a pick too, I think, 572 00:26:44,480 --> 00:26:47,560 Speaker 2: but I don't care. I got so giddy seeing Pennington 573 00:26:47,680 --> 00:26:50,440 Speaker 2: throwing the ball for the Thundering Herd just feels right. 574 00:26:50,680 --> 00:26:53,880 Speaker 2: So worst case scenario, Fancher throws an early pick, they say, 575 00:26:53,880 --> 00:26:56,560 Speaker 2: get him out, and we got a little Pennington slinging 576 00:26:56,600 --> 00:26:59,720 Speaker 2: it for Marshall once again, which that just feels right. 577 00:27:00,040 --> 00:27:02,040 Speaker 3: He's not so little six foot three, two hundred and 578 00:27:02,040 --> 00:27:05,960 Speaker 3: twelve pounds. Cole Pennington your sales Kentucky or Pennington J. 579 00:27:06,400 --> 00:27:10,119 Speaker 3: Penton Junior? Yes, all right, onward and upward as we 580 00:27:10,160 --> 00:27:13,119 Speaker 3: go into the G five money line parlay here in 581 00:27:13,119 --> 00:27:16,200 Speaker 3: week ten, I'm going to get it started here first 582 00:27:16,560 --> 00:27:19,920 Speaker 3: with a team that I think, I think unnecessarily has 583 00:27:19,960 --> 00:27:23,040 Speaker 3: been abandoned and at South Alabama. I know that Troy 584 00:27:23,280 --> 00:27:25,439 Speaker 3: has been playing really good football. But when I look 585 00:27:25,520 --> 00:27:28,359 Speaker 3: at this game plus one eighty the Jags coming in, 586 00:27:28,400 --> 00:27:31,160 Speaker 3: I think this is a perfect Bilo spot on South 587 00:27:31,200 --> 00:27:34,760 Speaker 3: Alabama because you look at their loss to Louisiana negative 588 00:27:34,800 --> 00:27:37,359 Speaker 3: five in the turnover margin, including a defensive touchdown for 589 00:27:37,400 --> 00:27:39,760 Speaker 3: the rage In Cajuns. But this is still the same 590 00:27:39,840 --> 00:27:42,639 Speaker 3: South Alabama team this season. Within the last two months, 591 00:27:42,800 --> 00:27:45,000 Speaker 3: they beat Oklahoma State on the road. That win keeps 592 00:27:45,000 --> 00:27:47,640 Speaker 3: getting better and better. They lost a one possession game 593 00:27:47,680 --> 00:27:50,320 Speaker 3: to James Madison, as you accurately pointed out, clearly the 594 00:27:50,320 --> 00:27:52,439 Speaker 3: best team in the entire country, and they scored one 595 00:27:52,520 --> 00:27:54,640 Speaker 3: hundred and ten points in back to back weeks earlier 596 00:27:54,680 --> 00:27:58,160 Speaker 3: this month against Monroe and Southern mess So when their 597 00:27:58,160 --> 00:28:02,480 Speaker 3: offense is popping. Carter Bradley, Damian Webb, Colin Lacy like 598 00:28:02,640 --> 00:28:05,240 Speaker 3: their Big three, I think are as good as any 599 00:28:05,280 --> 00:28:08,080 Speaker 3: G five Big three and Troy. I mean, they've been 600 00:28:08,119 --> 00:28:11,000 Speaker 3: really good this month. I'm not gonna, you know, avoid 601 00:28:11,040 --> 00:28:13,280 Speaker 3: giving them their flowers, but they have done it against 602 00:28:13,359 --> 00:28:16,200 Speaker 3: Arkansas State and Army in two games in the last 603 00:28:16,200 --> 00:28:19,280 Speaker 3: month against good teams. They lost at home to JMU 604 00:28:19,560 --> 00:28:22,320 Speaker 3: and they beat Western Kentucky by three. I think this 605 00:28:22,359 --> 00:28:25,720 Speaker 3: is a close game. I think South Alabama their high 606 00:28:25,840 --> 00:28:29,160 Speaker 3: end play is good enough to get this win. As 607 00:28:29,200 --> 00:28:34,040 Speaker 3: an underdog. It's kind of predicated on, you know, listening 608 00:28:34,040 --> 00:28:36,479 Speaker 3: to Colin and Stuck for so many years when they 609 00:28:36,480 --> 00:28:40,120 Speaker 3: put together their underdog round robin. They're looking for teams 610 00:28:40,120 --> 00:28:42,600 Speaker 3: with high ceilings. They're looking for teams that have proven 611 00:28:43,040 --> 00:28:45,040 Speaker 3: in a calendar year that they can play at a 612 00:28:45,120 --> 00:28:47,680 Speaker 3: high level. Doesn't necessarily mean they're always consistent, and in 613 00:28:47,720 --> 00:28:49,000 Speaker 3: a lot of cases you got to play them on 614 00:28:49,000 --> 00:28:50,880 Speaker 3: the road to get good value. But I think plus 615 00:28:50,920 --> 00:28:53,080 Speaker 3: one eighty in the spot for a Jags team that 616 00:28:53,120 --> 00:28:55,000 Speaker 3: if they win all of a sudden, they're right back 617 00:28:55,040 --> 00:28:57,960 Speaker 3: in the sun Belt West Race and all their preseason 618 00:28:58,240 --> 00:29:00,800 Speaker 3: goals and everything you know, up on their their team 619 00:29:00,840 --> 00:29:03,000 Speaker 3: facility and you know, win the day and all that stuff. 620 00:29:03,200 --> 00:29:04,680 Speaker 3: One of the top ones was to win the Sun Belt. 621 00:29:04,680 --> 00:29:06,600 Speaker 3: It's all back on the table if they sparked the 622 00:29:06,640 --> 00:29:08,880 Speaker 3: upset here. So I like the Jags, let's go with it. 623 00:29:09,600 --> 00:29:12,560 Speaker 2: So my one concern here is Carter Bradley got hurt 624 00:29:12,600 --> 00:29:14,800 Speaker 2: on the last play of the game. Did not look good. 625 00:29:14,920 --> 00:29:16,920 Speaker 2: But it seems like I was trying to like look 626 00:29:16,920 --> 00:29:18,520 Speaker 2: it up as you were talking, if there's any report. 627 00:29:18,600 --> 00:29:21,120 Speaker 2: It seems like they're optimistic he'll be back, But that 628 00:29:21,160 --> 00:29:24,280 Speaker 2: would give me pause because obviously he's out or even 629 00:29:25,040 --> 00:29:26,920 Speaker 2: you know, banged up, that would scare me. 630 00:29:28,160 --> 00:29:30,440 Speaker 3: Basically, what I saw is that they're expecting him back. 631 00:29:30,480 --> 00:29:32,480 Speaker 3: But I think that that was a great point. You 632 00:29:32,560 --> 00:29:34,840 Speaker 3: may want to go ahead and hold off, wait for 633 00:29:34,880 --> 00:29:37,040 Speaker 3: a beat reporter to at least give an update later 634 00:29:37,080 --> 00:29:38,320 Speaker 3: in the week before you get into that. 635 00:29:38,960 --> 00:29:42,400 Speaker 2: I don't I don't hate the money line, uh sprinkle, 636 00:29:42,560 --> 00:29:45,400 Speaker 2: And what I'm going to ask you kind of lends 637 00:29:45,400 --> 00:29:48,120 Speaker 2: mysel lens itself to that is when I actually looked 638 00:29:48,120 --> 00:29:50,960 Speaker 2: at this game, I think if Bradley's you know, in 639 00:29:51,120 --> 00:29:53,640 Speaker 2: good to go, I actually think this is a sneaky 640 00:29:53,680 --> 00:29:56,360 Speaker 2: decent overspot. Forty five and a half. This was a 641 00:29:56,480 --> 00:30:01,400 Speaker 2: gross ten to six game last year. But these defenses, 642 00:30:01,440 --> 00:30:03,440 Speaker 2: you know, Troy especially, their defense is not the same 643 00:30:03,640 --> 00:30:06,480 Speaker 2: without Carleton Marshall, and I think these offenses both are 644 00:30:06,520 --> 00:30:09,520 Speaker 2: like really starting to hit their stride. Troy's been throwing 645 00:30:09,520 --> 00:30:11,200 Speaker 2: the ball a lot more than they've they've ran it. 646 00:30:11,320 --> 00:30:13,040 Speaker 2: They ran it mostly last year, They've been throwing the 647 00:30:13,040 --> 00:30:15,440 Speaker 2: ball out more this year. They've been throwing it well. 648 00:30:15,720 --> 00:30:17,920 Speaker 2: And I mentioned it when I backed South Lama last year. 649 00:30:18,280 --> 00:30:21,480 Speaker 2: Their offense has been clicking, like you know, turnovers. Obviously 650 00:30:21,520 --> 00:30:23,880 Speaker 2: heard them last week. But I think this might be 651 00:30:23,880 --> 00:30:27,120 Speaker 2: a sneaky overspot for two teams that were so defensive 652 00:30:27,240 --> 00:30:31,920 Speaker 2: oriented last year and played the grossest game. Forty five 653 00:30:31,920 --> 00:30:34,520 Speaker 2: and a half's pretty low. So if Bradley's in, I 654 00:30:34,640 --> 00:30:36,240 Speaker 2: might I might play this over. 655 00:30:37,000 --> 00:30:39,360 Speaker 3: I like that, all right? How about your money line playing. 656 00:30:39,480 --> 00:30:41,600 Speaker 3: I believe we're on opposite sides here. 657 00:30:41,760 --> 00:30:44,280 Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm taking Boise State. I'm taking the Broncos. This 658 00:30:44,320 --> 00:30:46,600 Speaker 2: is again, I I don't know, if you're very clear. 659 00:30:46,640 --> 00:30:49,680 Speaker 2: I like Fresno State a lot, but I just view 660 00:30:49,680 --> 00:30:51,880 Speaker 2: these teams as even, so, you're giving me a pretty 661 00:30:51,880 --> 00:30:54,640 Speaker 2: big number on a Boise State team that, like I said, 662 00:30:54,640 --> 00:30:56,880 Speaker 2: going back to our action at our power ratings, they 663 00:30:56,880 --> 00:30:59,960 Speaker 2: make Boise State at two point favorites on a neutral 664 00:31:00,000 --> 00:31:02,880 Speaker 2: against Fresno, which makes this just about a pick on. 665 00:31:03,160 --> 00:31:05,480 Speaker 2: So you're giving yeah, you're giving me three and a 666 00:31:05,520 --> 00:31:08,920 Speaker 2: hook a plus one forty plus one fifty money line 667 00:31:08,960 --> 00:31:12,120 Speaker 2: on a team I seek kind of as even as 668 00:31:12,120 --> 00:31:15,000 Speaker 2: I mentioned last week, you know Boise State, they their 669 00:31:15,000 --> 00:31:17,400 Speaker 2: whole season has just been fluky. They came out of 670 00:31:17,400 --> 00:31:20,000 Speaker 2: the by truck to Wyoming, a Wyoming team who beat 671 00:31:20,000 --> 00:31:21,920 Speaker 2: Fresno State. By the way, I know it was in 672 00:31:22,000 --> 00:31:23,960 Speaker 2: Larra Dye, so it's a little different. But the Bush 673 00:31:23,960 --> 00:31:26,360 Speaker 2: Hampton offense did not work early in the season because 674 00:31:26,360 --> 00:31:28,680 Speaker 2: they tried to force Taylor Green to be a pocket passer. 675 00:31:29,040 --> 00:31:32,200 Speaker 2: They've abandoned that clearly a mistake, and their four wins, 676 00:31:32,560 --> 00:31:35,520 Speaker 2: Taylor Green has five rushing touchdowns and the four losses 677 00:31:35,840 --> 00:31:38,320 Speaker 2: is zero. Now they've started using a two quarterback system, 678 00:31:38,360 --> 00:31:40,480 Speaker 2: which usually doesn't work, but I think in this case 679 00:31:40,840 --> 00:31:43,920 Speaker 2: it kind of does. Green's Green ran for a touchdown 680 00:31:44,000 --> 00:31:46,800 Speaker 2: last week, but Maddox Madson has been their more go 681 00:31:46,880 --> 00:31:49,400 Speaker 2: to passer. He's twelve for He was twelve for fifteen 682 00:31:49,560 --> 00:31:52,760 Speaker 2: one hundred and forty seven yards in a touchdown last week. 683 00:31:53,040 --> 00:31:54,480 Speaker 2: As you mentioned it, we know the Broncos want to 684 00:31:54,560 --> 00:31:56,760 Speaker 2: run the ball. Seventh in the Nation's success, right, Yes, 685 00:31:57,160 --> 00:31:59,720 Speaker 2: Geen t got hurt and the Avils did not seem 686 00:31:59,760 --> 00:32:02,520 Speaker 2: super concerned post game, So I'm hopeful he'll be back. 687 00:32:03,280 --> 00:32:05,400 Speaker 2: He might not be. That's obviously a big concern here, 688 00:32:05,400 --> 00:32:07,600 Speaker 2: which to me kind of lends itself to the money 689 00:32:07,600 --> 00:32:10,280 Speaker 2: line because like, if he's back, I love this play. 690 00:32:10,520 --> 00:32:13,960 Speaker 2: If he's not, whatever, you take a shot. And George 691 00:32:14,040 --> 00:32:16,680 Speaker 2: Lawney returned last week, which is huge because I mean, 692 00:32:16,720 --> 00:32:18,880 Speaker 2: he was probably the starter entering the season. If not, 693 00:32:18,920 --> 00:32:20,440 Speaker 2: it was at least a shared back that he's been 694 00:32:20,480 --> 00:32:23,080 Speaker 2: there for five years. He's a stud. He had seventy 695 00:32:23,080 --> 00:32:26,240 Speaker 2: five yards last week without gend I mean, you could 696 00:32:26,280 --> 00:32:28,280 Speaker 2: argue he's the second best running back in the conference. 697 00:32:28,320 --> 00:32:30,560 Speaker 2: Actually you probably can't, right he probably just he definitely 698 00:32:30,600 --> 00:32:33,440 Speaker 2: is the second's right back in the conference. Unless I'm 699 00:32:33,440 --> 00:32:35,920 Speaker 2: just blatantly forgetting someone. I just still think Frizzo State's 700 00:32:35,920 --> 00:32:39,320 Speaker 2: overvalued from those two early wins. Against Perdue in Arizona State, 701 00:32:39,360 --> 00:32:42,800 Speaker 2: who are combined four and twelve this season, and fred 702 00:32:42,840 --> 00:32:45,640 Speaker 2: Tho State, they can't really run the ball. Keene's been okay, 703 00:32:45,720 --> 00:32:49,880 Speaker 2: but he's just he's he's inconsistent. The Bulldogs offense concerns me. 704 00:32:50,000 --> 00:32:52,920 Speaker 2: Since cam Lockridge got hurt, he's out for the year, 705 00:32:53,280 --> 00:32:56,440 Speaker 2: They've just continued to get worse each week. They allowed 706 00:32:56,480 --> 00:32:59,120 Speaker 2: five point two yards to play to Wyoming who stinks 707 00:32:59,160 --> 00:33:01,560 Speaker 2: six point nine year yards per play, and five hundred 708 00:33:01,600 --> 00:33:04,560 Speaker 2: and eighty six yards of offense to Utah State five 709 00:33:04,600 --> 00:33:06,720 Speaker 2: point four per play and four twenty four yards to 710 00:33:06,800 --> 00:33:09,680 Speaker 2: UNLV last week. I just think most of these team 711 00:33:09,840 --> 00:33:13,640 Speaker 2: stats are just dramatically skewed by the difference in strength 712 00:33:13,680 --> 00:33:16,280 Speaker 2: of schedule. Fresno State hasn't really played anybody at good 713 00:33:16,720 --> 00:33:19,760 Speaker 2: and Bois State's played a lot of like pretty good teams. 714 00:33:20,320 --> 00:33:22,080 Speaker 2: Like you said, this is a massive game. The winner 715 00:33:22,120 --> 00:33:24,760 Speaker 2: of this probably faces the air Force for the Mountain West. 716 00:33:25,040 --> 00:33:27,160 Speaker 2: So I don't know. I just think it's a weird game. 717 00:33:27,240 --> 00:33:28,960 Speaker 2: I think boys. I think boys they can win this game. 718 00:33:29,000 --> 00:33:30,680 Speaker 2: So that's why I'll take him on the morning line. 719 00:33:31,080 --> 00:33:32,960 Speaker 2: The one that sucks for both of us is there's 720 00:33:32,960 --> 00:33:35,160 Speaker 2: a chance neither of us win this because what we've 721 00:33:35,160 --> 00:33:37,120 Speaker 2: seen from Boise State, they're either going to win this 722 00:33:37,200 --> 00:33:40,080 Speaker 2: game or they're gonna lose in heartbreaking fashion by three 723 00:33:40,080 --> 00:33:43,960 Speaker 2: points fo or less. So basically we've seen there's a 724 00:33:43,960 --> 00:33:45,760 Speaker 2: good chance Bois State lose on the final play of 725 00:33:45,760 --> 00:33:47,360 Speaker 2: the game by two and we both lose, and that 726 00:33:47,360 --> 00:33:48,120 Speaker 2: would really suck. 727 00:33:48,440 --> 00:33:51,680 Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm just gonna correct a few things. George Salani 728 00:33:51,880 --> 00:33:55,160 Speaker 3: to me is not even in the conversation for a 729 00:33:55,200 --> 00:33:56,920 Speaker 3: top qour back in the Mountain West. Yeah, you had 730 00:33:56,920 --> 00:34:00,520 Speaker 3: seventy five yards on twenty carries. I mean the off 731 00:34:00,560 --> 00:34:04,360 Speaker 3: from Gens to him is absolutely enormous. 732 00:34:04,760 --> 00:34:06,960 Speaker 2: Mountain West player of the Year like two years ago. 733 00:34:07,000 --> 00:34:09,160 Speaker 3: He was, but he's just been a shell of himself. 734 00:34:09,360 --> 00:34:12,319 Speaker 3: You know, Kyrie Robinson, San Joseay State's back, I'd rather 735 00:34:12,360 --> 00:34:15,239 Speaker 3: have him, I'd rather have shared from Fresno State at 736 00:34:15,320 --> 00:34:18,279 Speaker 3: running back. Like I just in general, I think I 737 00:34:18,360 --> 00:34:21,800 Speaker 3: think he's fine. I think he's clearly the best backup 738 00:34:21,880 --> 00:34:24,759 Speaker 3: running back in the G five because of his experience, 739 00:34:25,080 --> 00:34:27,480 Speaker 3: But Gens, like what he does in the passing game, 740 00:34:27,520 --> 00:34:29,840 Speaker 3: everything else, I think the offense will be broken. 741 00:34:30,360 --> 00:34:31,480 Speaker 2: I certainly hope he plays. 742 00:34:31,920 --> 00:34:35,440 Speaker 3: Yeah, exactly, So I agree with you. My best bet 743 00:34:35,480 --> 00:34:38,360 Speaker 3: is predicated on him being in street clothes and not 744 00:34:38,400 --> 00:34:40,640 Speaker 3: even trying to come back in that game and then 745 00:34:40,680 --> 00:34:43,520 Speaker 3: potentially trying to hold him out and save him, you know, 746 00:34:43,800 --> 00:34:46,040 Speaker 3: to get him healthy, you know, for a lower body injury. 747 00:34:46,239 --> 00:34:47,520 Speaker 2: Partly liked that he was in the street claws on 748 00:34:47,560 --> 00:34:49,400 Speaker 2: the sidelines because I'm like, if he broke something, he 749 00:34:49,480 --> 00:34:51,920 Speaker 2: like wouldn't have come back on the field. He'd just 750 00:34:51,920 --> 00:34:53,799 Speaker 2: like go to the hospital or like san in locker 751 00:34:53,840 --> 00:34:56,080 Speaker 2: room like that kind of I don't know. That actually 752 00:34:56,080 --> 00:34:57,840 Speaker 2: made me feel better that he was in street clothes 753 00:34:57,840 --> 00:34:59,960 Speaker 2: so quickly, because it's just like I have a boob 754 00:35:00,200 --> 00:35:02,040 Speaker 2: and I just need to sit out versus like and 755 00:35:02,040 --> 00:35:03,360 Speaker 2: they were op big at that point. So I'm like, 756 00:35:03,400 --> 00:35:05,560 Speaker 2: if he like broke something or towards something, he wouldn't 757 00:35:05,600 --> 00:35:08,000 Speaker 2: have like been on the sideline, right you'd think. 758 00:35:08,200 --> 00:35:10,759 Speaker 3: I mean, that's just classic coming from a hockey player here, 759 00:35:10,960 --> 00:35:15,000 Speaker 3: you know, in studio. 760 00:35:14,239 --> 00:35:16,000 Speaker 2: I would miss the ship breeze. 761 00:35:17,120 --> 00:35:19,680 Speaker 3: All right. That's it for us here in G five Land, 762 00:35:19,680 --> 00:35:21,840 Speaker 3: for Mike Iello on Mike Calabery's this has been the 763 00:35:21,840 --> 00:35:24,480 Speaker 3: group of five deep dive. Before we get out of here, 764 00:35:24,680 --> 00:35:27,520 Speaker 3: I am going to give a quick rundown on everything 765 00:35:27,520 --> 00:35:29,239 Speaker 3: that we have coming down the pike. So we have 766 00:35:29,360 --> 00:35:31,919 Speaker 3: Colin and Stuck on Thursday with their full FBS card, 767 00:35:32,160 --> 00:35:35,640 Speaker 3: the BBOC Live Show with Colin Sucky and me filling 768 00:35:35,680 --> 00:35:37,880 Speaker 3: in for Brett McMurphy is going to be enjoying Bedlam 769 00:35:38,080 --> 00:35:40,440 Speaker 3: in person, the last Bedlam you know, at least on 770 00:35:40,480 --> 00:35:42,560 Speaker 3: the schedule for quite some time. We got the BCS 771 00:35:42,600 --> 00:35:44,200 Speaker 3: next week. I'll be a part of that as well 772 00:35:44,360 --> 00:35:49,600 Speaker 3: with Colin Stuck and Tim Kalanowski. And also a reminder 773 00:35:49,640 --> 00:35:52,400 Speaker 3: to our audience to please subscribe like review. There was 774 00:35:52,440 --> 00:35:55,840 Speaker 3: a review that came through this past week that was 775 00:35:55,880 --> 00:35:58,399 Speaker 3: a five star that I ended up connecting with him 776 00:35:58,440 --> 00:36:01,360 Speaker 3: on Twitter giving him a three ten dollars parlay of 777 00:36:01,400 --> 00:36:03,560 Speaker 3: his choosing. I'm gonna go ahead and dig it up. 778 00:36:03,800 --> 00:36:05,000 Speaker 3: Maybe if you could fill here. 779 00:36:05,360 --> 00:36:07,960 Speaker 2: I have a bonus pick here that I want to 780 00:36:08,000 --> 00:36:10,920 Speaker 2: see if you'll co sign with me. That was actually 781 00:36:10,960 --> 00:36:14,720 Speaker 2: inspired by a tweet I received this afternoon that pointed 782 00:36:14,760 --> 00:36:17,520 Speaker 2: out a bit of an oversight from us. So shout 783 00:36:17,520 --> 00:36:20,160 Speaker 2: out to Scott McDevitt who tweeted this at me. This 784 00:36:20,200 --> 00:36:24,120 Speaker 2: afternoon at I and L twenty one. Why no fighting 785 00:36:24,239 --> 00:36:27,400 Speaker 2: Ricky Ronnie picks this year? They may be my biggest 786 00:36:27,400 --> 00:36:31,080 Speaker 2: money maker of the season. And he's right because I 787 00:36:31,080 --> 00:36:33,840 Speaker 2: looked it up. Oldamina is six and two against the 788 00:36:33,880 --> 00:36:37,640 Speaker 2: spread this year. Our Action Lab database doesn't have FCS 789 00:36:37,640 --> 00:36:40,680 Speaker 2: games in it, so it only shows FBS matchups and 790 00:36:40,840 --> 00:36:44,040 Speaker 2: FBS games. They are seven to one against the spread 791 00:36:44,280 --> 00:36:47,839 Speaker 2: and the most profitable team in the country. They're four 792 00:36:47,840 --> 00:36:49,759 Speaker 2: and four this year. They've already cashed their over three 793 00:36:49,840 --> 00:36:53,040 Speaker 2: and a half wins. They've covered in every conference game. 794 00:36:53,560 --> 00:36:58,799 Speaker 2: Is it time we jump on the Ricky Ronnie ODU bandwagon. 795 00:36:58,840 --> 00:37:02,040 Speaker 2: They're one and a half points at home against Coastal Carolina, 796 00:37:02,280 --> 00:37:05,120 Speaker 2: who may or may not have Grayson McCall. That obviously 797 00:37:05,160 --> 00:37:08,520 Speaker 2: is key here, But I don't think we've mentioned this 798 00:37:08,560 --> 00:37:11,239 Speaker 2: team all year. Why is that the most profitable team 799 00:37:11,239 --> 00:37:13,319 Speaker 2: in the country. We're trying to give out winners. Why 800 00:37:13,360 --> 00:37:15,920 Speaker 2: are we not giving out od you more often? Should 801 00:37:15,920 --> 00:37:17,960 Speaker 2: we ride with Scott Scott mcdebit point out? Do we 802 00:37:17,960 --> 00:37:19,520 Speaker 2: have to jump on the bammagon this week? 803 00:37:19,719 --> 00:37:22,080 Speaker 3: I mean, the Commonwealth of Virginia has been a hotbed 804 00:37:22,120 --> 00:37:23,920 Speaker 3: for college football. They got the number one team in 805 00:37:23,960 --> 00:37:25,560 Speaker 3: the country, at least number one on our hearts in 806 00:37:25,680 --> 00:37:28,840 Speaker 3: James Madison. Virginia's back actually looks kind of reborn with 807 00:37:28,920 --> 00:37:31,920 Speaker 3: Kyrone Drones now at quarterback, like they could, they look 808 00:37:31,920 --> 00:37:34,440 Speaker 3: a little bit frisky. Let's they actually have a chance 809 00:37:35,080 --> 00:37:38,120 Speaker 3: in a very strange year in the ACC. If they 810 00:37:38,160 --> 00:37:40,040 Speaker 3: win out, they could go to the ACC title game. 811 00:37:40,080 --> 00:37:42,560 Speaker 3: It's a very strange year there. And then Virginia, for 812 00:37:42,600 --> 00:37:44,279 Speaker 3: as bad as they've been, at least they're playing an 813 00:37:44,360 --> 00:37:46,880 Speaker 3: entertaining brand of football on the upset North Carolina with 814 00:37:46,920 --> 00:37:49,640 Speaker 3: you know, a huge nationally ranked win for them, So 815 00:37:49,880 --> 00:37:52,319 Speaker 3: I think that's probably, you know, it plays a part 816 00:37:52,360 --> 00:37:54,160 Speaker 3: in it. And also I think we had made so 817 00:37:54,320 --> 00:37:56,840 Speaker 3: much of the wolf Pack and all the things that 818 00:37:56,880 --> 00:37:59,799 Speaker 3: we had talked about last year that wants all those 819 00:38:00,320 --> 00:38:02,680 Speaker 3: we're gone and Alie Jennings was gone. We kind of 820 00:38:02,680 --> 00:38:04,960 Speaker 3: thought to ourselves that that team was going to bottom out. 821 00:38:05,000 --> 00:38:06,879 Speaker 3: They have not. I'm glad that we have listeners who 822 00:38:06,960 --> 00:38:10,280 Speaker 3: have their finger on the pulse of second tier Virginia 823 00:38:10,400 --> 00:38:13,400 Speaker 3: college football programs because they're moving their way up there. 824 00:38:14,280 --> 00:38:15,040 Speaker 3: Who's at UVA? 825 00:38:15,280 --> 00:38:17,680 Speaker 2: I was the Ricky Ronnie Whisper last year, So I 826 00:38:17,680 --> 00:38:19,960 Speaker 2: don't know. I may have to ride Old Dominion this week. 827 00:38:20,000 --> 00:38:21,960 Speaker 2: I know since I do it Groon it's kind of 828 00:38:22,000 --> 00:38:24,120 Speaker 2: live and stand away, but I may have to do it. 829 00:38:24,239 --> 00:38:25,800 Speaker 2: And then the last one I want to ask you about. 830 00:38:26,080 --> 00:38:28,319 Speaker 2: I'm not playing it, but boys are going to be fun. 831 00:38:28,840 --> 00:38:32,440 Speaker 2: Georgia Southern Texas State. You taken over seventy one and 832 00:38:32,440 --> 00:38:35,040 Speaker 2: a half, Yes, the second highest. 833 00:38:35,040 --> 00:38:35,399 Speaker 3: Throw them. 834 00:38:35,400 --> 00:38:36,560 Speaker 2: If you take it, I'll take it with you. 835 00:38:36,640 --> 00:38:38,279 Speaker 3: Are we riding the all right? 836 00:38:38,360 --> 00:38:41,400 Speaker 2: Let's go two bonus bets on the show Old Dominion 837 00:38:41,480 --> 00:38:43,799 Speaker 2: credit to Scott mcdavitt. We're riding them, and we're taking 838 00:38:43,800 --> 00:38:46,880 Speaker 2: the Georgia Southern Texa day over seventy one, just strictly 839 00:38:46,880 --> 00:38:50,359 Speaker 2: for fun because it's going to be a ninety point game. 840 00:38:50,640 --> 00:38:51,399 Speaker 2: I'll bet it right now. 841 00:38:51,520 --> 00:38:53,920 Speaker 3: A shout out to Kevin Cronin. He put it in 842 00:38:53,960 --> 00:38:56,720 Speaker 3: a review for US. The best college football gambling podcast 843 00:38:56,760 --> 00:38:58,600 Speaker 3: there is Calibrey's and I Nlo are great in the 844 00:38:58,600 --> 00:39:00,719 Speaker 3: Group of Five show and through a Great Pitch Stuck In. 845 00:39:00,800 --> 00:39:02,680 Speaker 3: Colin Wilson are also great on their weekly deep dive 846 00:39:02,719 --> 00:39:04,480 Speaker 3: into the big games of the week. Also, make sure 847 00:39:04,480 --> 00:39:06,600 Speaker 3: you watch Calibery's prop show on YouTube for all the 848 00:39:06,640 --> 00:39:09,200 Speaker 3: college prop picks for the week, must listen for any 849 00:39:09,440 --> 00:39:13,040 Speaker 3: degenerate gambler of college football. So, as I said, man 850 00:39:13,040 --> 00:39:15,399 Speaker 3: in my word, through a free ten dollars parlay, he's 851 00:39:15,440 --> 00:39:17,319 Speaker 3: going with you. You grate out as parlay? Would you 852 00:39:17,320 --> 00:39:21,120 Speaker 3: tail this go Notre Dame Land three at Clemson, Georgia 853 00:39:21,160 --> 00:39:24,200 Speaker 3: Tech catching two and a half points at UVA, and 854 00:39:24,239 --> 00:39:27,719 Speaker 3: then he likes the big Georgia Miszoo game. He's gonna 855 00:39:27,760 --> 00:39:30,880 Speaker 3: lay the big number sixteen between the hedges for the 856 00:39:30,920 --> 00:39:34,040 Speaker 3: Bulldogs against the Tigers. Pay out just shy a six 857 00:39:34,120 --> 00:39:34,520 Speaker 3: to one. 858 00:39:34,800 --> 00:39:36,680 Speaker 2: Yeah, that one makes me, I guess the most nervous. 859 00:39:36,680 --> 00:39:38,360 Speaker 2: But speaking of your prop show, shot out to you. 860 00:39:38,400 --> 00:39:39,839 Speaker 2: I was in KNNEC get this weekends like a bet 861 00:39:39,880 --> 00:39:42,879 Speaker 2: player pops first time, and you gave out lad McConkie, 862 00:39:42,920 --> 00:39:45,479 Speaker 2: like over thirty nine and a half for senor yards. 863 00:39:45,480 --> 00:39:47,040 Speaker 2: He had like one hundred and he got a forty 864 00:39:47,040 --> 00:39:48,960 Speaker 2: one yard touchdown like on the first drive. He had 865 00:39:49,000 --> 00:39:52,440 Speaker 2: like one hundred and forty maybe the easiest most sweat 866 00:39:52,480 --> 00:39:53,480 Speaker 2: free bet I've ever made. 867 00:39:53,560 --> 00:39:56,839 Speaker 3: So I had that one and then the sweatiest one, 868 00:39:56,920 --> 00:39:59,319 Speaker 3: which was key on Coleman. I think he went over 869 00:39:59,360 --> 00:40:00,960 Speaker 3: by a yard and a half, and it was one 870 00:40:01,000 --> 00:40:03,319 Speaker 3: of those where I'm watching the game and I'm like, 871 00:40:03,320 --> 00:40:05,560 Speaker 3: wake Forest, just hang in the game so they can 872 00:40:05,640 --> 00:40:07,399 Speaker 3: keep him on the field, and they end up pulling 873 00:40:07,440 --> 00:40:09,200 Speaker 3: him when he was at sixty five and the number 874 00:40:09,239 --> 00:40:10,880 Speaker 3: was sixty three and a half. They also they're an 875 00:40:10,920 --> 00:40:13,600 Speaker 3: eighty yard screen fast in that game. So yeah, please 876 00:40:13,640 --> 00:40:16,480 Speaker 3: listen in on Friday's Kawanowski and I doing the player 877 00:40:16,520 --> 00:40:19,319 Speaker 3: props wall to wall. It's a quick episode. It's only 878 00:40:19,360 --> 00:40:21,080 Speaker 3: like seven or eight minutes. We give you five or 879 00:40:21,120 --> 00:40:25,160 Speaker 3: six picks. Still having a pretty good percentage high fifties, 880 00:40:25,239 --> 00:40:27,560 Speaker 3: low sixties on the year, So please tune in on 881 00:40:27,600 --> 00:40:29,640 Speaker 3: that for YouTube. All right, for Mike now on Mike 882 00:40:29,719 --> 00:40:33,160 Speaker 3: Calibery's it's been our Halloween extravaganza. Appreciate you listening and 883 00:40:33,239 --> 00:40:34,320 Speaker 3: best of luck with your bets. 884 00:40:34,320 --> 00:40:50,360 Speaker 1: But Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you 885 00:40:50,640 --> 00:40:53,359 Speaker 1: or someone you care about has a gambling problem, help 886 00:40:53,480 --> 00:40:56,160 Speaker 1: is available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred. 887 00:40:56,200 --> 00:40:56,680 Speaker 1: Gambler