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Speaker 1: This is the Action Network Podcast. It's good for the winds,

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Speaker 1: all right.

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Speaker 2: Here we go throwing, So I'm saying it's a cash touchdown.

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Speaker 1: That see, most gamblers when they go to gamble, they

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Speaker 1: go to win. God, that's incredible. Big bank, small bank.

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Speaker 3: I like to make money, all right.

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Speaker 1: That is the ultimate kabaki want to pull.

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Speaker 3: And we are underway.

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Speaker 4: What up everybody, and welcome to the Action Network Podcast.

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Speaker 4: I am your host, Chris Raybon, and this is your

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Speaker 4: Super Bowl fifty six betting preview ovs courtesy of bet MGM,

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Speaker 4: the official odds provider of the Action Network Podcast. I

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Speaker 4: am joined as always by my Action Network colleague, the

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Speaker 4: Prime Minister of Degenerate Nation, Stucky Stuck.

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Speaker 1: Let's go on, man, we're finally finally here.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, the super Bowl that no one really expected with

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Speaker 2: Bengals were two hundred to one of pre season. So

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Speaker 2: it's nice to have some new blood excited to talk

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Speaker 2: about the game that I share our favorite props, Final

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Speaker 2: six pack. It's been another fun ride and then yeah,

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Speaker 2: I'm excited to just get this game on with it.

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Speaker 3: Two weeks gets long.

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Speaker 1: Man, at the end, it does, man, like you'd be surprised.

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Speaker 4: I guess people, you know, look thinking like this is

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Speaker 4: the most exciting game of the year for us, and

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Speaker 4: it is in a way, But in a way, it's

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Speaker 4: just like it's still one game, and you know, I

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Speaker 4: love the extra prop markets and we'll get into them

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Speaker 4: a ton, but you know, it's still interesting because usually

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Speaker 4: we're breaking down like sixteen games a week. Now we've

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Speaker 4: had two weeks to break down one. So it's just

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Speaker 4: it's kind of a funny thing, you know, you always miss.

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Speaker 4: It's kind of a bittersweet ending to the season for us.

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Speaker 4: I always love breaking down a ton of games, but

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Speaker 4: you know, thanks to the people that have listened to

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Speaker 4: us to.

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Speaker 1: Do it all year. We'll get into the we'll talk

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Speaker 1: a lot.

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Speaker 4: On this episode, so we'll talk We'll start out kind

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Speaker 4: of talking some of the before the game stuff that

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Speaker 4: you can and what we're doing there. Then we'll get

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Speaker 4: into our final six pack of the year, and.

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Speaker 1: Then we'll really break.

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Speaker 4: Down the game of depth in terms of what we

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Speaker 4: think is going to kind of play out. But one

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Speaker 4: definitely wanted to give you guys that six pack early

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Speaker 4: on and also talk some fun some fun bets, So

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Speaker 4: we'll get into all of that.

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Speaker 1: A couple of quick notes for you guys before we do.

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Speaker 4: First, if you're new here, please download the award winning

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Speaker 4: Action Network app. It's the top rated app for sports

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Speaker 4: betters and it went to track every bet that you make.

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Speaker 4: Speaking of the app, if you want to reference this

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Speaker 4: episode's six pack of picks anytime to use the apps,

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Speaker 4: follow feature follow Sunday six Pack, where we log our

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Speaker 4: top picks every Friday during the NFL season and number

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Speaker 4: three on behalf of Stucky, myself and our whole production

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Speaker 4: team here at Action. We thank you guys so much

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Speaker 4: for listening this season. It's been an awesome ride and

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Speaker 4: we cannot thank you guys enough for listening, streaming, subscribing

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Speaker 4: to the podcast this year, and as a heads up,

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Speaker 4: the podcast will be releasing at least two episodes every

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Speaker 4: week for the entire offseason, covering betting, Action across all sorts.

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Speaker 1: Of markets, MMA, Academy.

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Speaker 4: Awards, which I'll be a big part of, the NFL Draft,

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Speaker 4: free agency, all that good stuff, So stay tuned for

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Speaker 4: that and thank you again. All right, stuff, let's jump

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Speaker 4: right into it, and again before we do the six pack,

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Speaker 4: I just want to start off by talking about some

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Speaker 4: of the kind of pregame bets, and I guess the

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Speaker 4: most the most interesting to me. I'll get your take

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Speaker 4: on it because it is the national anthem. You know,

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Speaker 4: I've already kind of locked in the over I thought

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Speaker 4: books kind of released a number too low. It was

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Speaker 4: about a minute and a half, a little over that,

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Speaker 4: maybe ninety five seconds. You look back at all the

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Speaker 4: national anthems and they're pretty much two minutes and over

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Speaker 4: with a few exceptions.

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Speaker 1: So that's kind of how my processes. You know.

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Speaker 4: I don't look at the individual singer as much. I

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Speaker 4: just kind of look at where it's been. So curious

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Speaker 4: is if you have any thoughts on that and what

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Speaker 4: other kind of things are betting, pregame toss anything like that.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't bet anything pre games, As I said

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Speaker 2: many times, I don't. I refuse to lose a bet

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Speaker 2: before the game starts. But yeah, there's been some over

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Speaker 2: money that has come in on the coin toss, but

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Speaker 2: I mean on the anthem. But they haven't done the

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Speaker 2: the rehearsals yet. That's always a big moment on Twitter.

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Speaker 2: It'll break like someone heard, you know, the recording of

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Speaker 2: the rehearsal, and then they'll.

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Speaker 3: There'll be a lot of money, so.

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Speaker 2: Total will move to like where the rehearsal was, and

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Speaker 2: then if you can find like a stale number out there,

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Speaker 2: you can bet it.

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Speaker 3: But yeah, I got nothing there.

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Speaker 2: Coin toss now, I'm not betting, not laying juice if

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Speaker 2: you mean plus one oh one out but one side

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Speaker 2: of the coin. The more interesting thing to me is

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Speaker 2: going into the game home field advantage, which I basically

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Speaker 2: I had. I gave the Rams about a half point.

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Speaker 2: But you could argue it's nothing right, it's gonna be corporate.

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Speaker 2: You know, they're playing in their home home stated. Its

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Speaker 2: only happened one other time. It was last year with Tampa.

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Speaker 2: You know, they're playing in their home stated and there's

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Speaker 2: a lot of familiarity there. But there's no weather, it's

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Speaker 2: two weeks to travel. The crowd's going to be, you know,

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Speaker 2: very corporate and celebrity the Bengals, oddly enough for the

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Speaker 2: home team, the designated home team in Los Angeles, you

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Speaker 2: just rotate conferences. So but I gave him a half

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Speaker 2: point mainly, you know, I kind of captured McVeigh in

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Speaker 2: there as well, just like the familiarity.

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Speaker 3: He's been to a super Bowl before, so just the preparation,

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Speaker 3: avoiding the distractions.

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Speaker 2: You know, he's been there, So I landed on about

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Speaker 2: a half point. Could easily argue it's nothing.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I went for a point that I went for

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Speaker 4: about point two, So but I agree it's it's somewhere

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Speaker 4: there in that range.

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Speaker 1: Yeah.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, So it's not gonna make a make a massive

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Speaker 2: difference on And we'll talk about which side would like

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Speaker 2: or not, but one of them before we get into

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Speaker 2: our six pack with our favorite props. One of the angles.

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Speaker 3: You like to defer if you can bet yes, this

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Speaker 3: team's going to defer.

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Speaker 4: That's like my favorite prop, So bet mgm our lovely

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Speaker 4: sponsor has a prop up for Super Bowl where you

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Speaker 4: can bet whether the winner of the coin toss litle

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Speaker 4: lect to receive or defer. And defer is minus five hundred,

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Speaker 4: which you know, for people that don't understand these numbers,

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Speaker 4: minus five hundred implies about a eighty three percent chance.

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Speaker 4: So you can go to you know, action networks vetting

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Speaker 4: calculators and kind of calculate that. There's many options online

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Speaker 4: as well, But essentially I went back and looked at

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Speaker 4: all the Bengals games and all the Rams games and

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Speaker 4: both teams deferred every single time. Only one of their opponents,

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Speaker 4: in coining to us as they lost, did not defer.

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Speaker 4: That you may remember, was the New York Jets in

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Speaker 4: their win over Cincinnati, So it actually did work. I

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Speaker 4: think they got a great return on that, on that

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Speaker 4: opening player or something too. But yeah, it's essentially should

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Speaker 4: be closer to like a ninety nine percent chance. Bet

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Speaker 4: MGM has it up there at minus five hundred. I

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Speaker 4: think that's a great way to kind of start the

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Speaker 4: Super Bowl with a win. It won't be much, you know,

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Speaker 4: at minus five hundred, but if one of these teams

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Speaker 4: did not defer, it would be the first time all year.

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Speaker 3: But it's basically free money.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean both of these coaches are just defer coaches.

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Speaker 2: Like that's Tattao goes on like he's on a week

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Speaker 2: binge and he just comes in drunk and just give

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Speaker 2: me the ball, like that's pretty much the only way.

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Speaker 2: Sorry's let's get into it. Let's uh six pack by

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Speaker 2: the way, tied up, Oh my goodness, fifty seven seven

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Speaker 2: after what twenty weeks, So we'll do it doesn't really matter.

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Speaker 2: We'll do a point for all of them, and then

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Speaker 2: at the end, we'll think of a tiebreaker. I'll think

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Speaker 2: of one as the show's going on. It'll be like

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Speaker 2: named the amount of yours if this person has someone

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Speaker 2: whoever gets closest in case we die.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, that should be. But that's good for the listeners.

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Speaker 1: I think both of us have been doing pretty good.

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Speaker 4: So again, thanks for staying with us, and let's get

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Speaker 4: into the Super Bowl fifty six Sunday six pack.

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Speaker 1: Theirs deeper action. Let's crack open the Sunday six pack.

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Speaker 2: That stupid Ravens Browns game to be up and clear

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Speaker 2: of you if they didn't get the back door that.

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Speaker 3: I had a witness. Oh man, anyway, how long ago?

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Speaker 3: That feels so long ago?

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Speaker 1: TATA fifty seven.

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Speaker 4: As we mentioned, I will start it off for my

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Speaker 4: first pick in the first overall of the Super Bowl

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Speaker 4: fifty six Sunday six pack, I'm going with Samaje p

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Speaker 4: Ryan under fourteen and a half rushing plus receiving yards.

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Speaker 4: The reason I like this number is because you look

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Speaker 4: at pe Ryan.

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Speaker 1: And this is all recency bias.

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Speaker 4: He scored the Bengals first touchdown in the AFC Championship game.

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Speaker 4: It was a forty plus yard play that he broke

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Speaker 4: on a screen. Now we're getting this fourteen and a

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Speaker 4: half number. It was fifteen and a half when it

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Speaker 4: initially came out, so it's come down a yard. But

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Speaker 4: previous five games pe Ryana got under this, and the

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Speaker 4: previous two postseason games he got in a single touch.

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Speaker 4: Now he averages about under four yards of carry. For

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Speaker 4: his career averages around seven yards of catch. So no

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Speaker 4: matter how you slice it at this number, he's likely

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Speaker 4: going to need three touches or you know, that's what

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Speaker 4: he would need to hear this number, and two of them.

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Speaker 1: Probably needing to be catches.

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Speaker 4: His receptions prop is one and a half with it

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Speaker 4: juice to the under, So that tells you first of

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Speaker 4: all that you know the most likely outcome is.

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Speaker 1: He'll get a catch.

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Speaker 4: He's only got one carry in three prot Sason games,

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Speaker 4: which is one less than the number three back, Chris Evans.

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Speaker 4: There's just a lot of things kind of pointing to

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Speaker 4: p Ryan not being able to clear this, even though

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Speaker 4: he did it last game.

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Speaker 1: It is kind of that being an anomaly.

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Speaker 4: But on top of that, if you watch that Kansas

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Speaker 4: City game, and this is important, with the props like this,

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Speaker 4: it seemed like they used up all their p Ryan plays,

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Speaker 4: like he had one play with the screen where he

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Speaker 4: got the touchdown. He had another play in that game.

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Speaker 4: I don't know if you remember stuck, but I think

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Speaker 4: Romo called it out. He ran the wrong way on

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Speaker 4: on a on a play that could have actually potentially

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Speaker 4: gone for a touchdown on like a third it was

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Speaker 4: a third down.

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Speaker 1: And again this is.

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Speaker 4: Yes the other on the screen, And let me remind you,

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Speaker 4: this is the player, the backup running back to one

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Speaker 4: of their best players in Joe Mixon.

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Speaker 1: Who in the previous five games had been under this.

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Speaker 1: So yeah, I think they pulled up.

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Speaker 4: Some things with Pee Ryan to kind of keep Kansas

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Speaker 4: City off guard in that AFC Championship game.

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Speaker 1: But I just don't think they have another.

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Speaker 4: Package to get this guy like this many good looks

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Speaker 4: in the Super Bowl, I think. And it's the Super Bowl,

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Speaker 4: so Joe Mixon's been a workhorse all year. Wouldn't be

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Speaker 4: surprised if he almost never comes out in the Super Bowl.

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Speaker 4: I mean, you got two weeks rest, You're leaving it

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Speaker 4: all on the table, you know, the first game in

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Speaker 4: the playoffs, after every even for the Bengals essentially rested

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Speaker 4: in week seventeen, Peter Ryan got one touch. So many

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Speaker 4: things to be just point to this under. I mean,

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Speaker 4: you could, you know, I don't mind the you know,

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Speaker 4: if you can get I saw five and a half

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Speaker 4: rushing yards out there, I saw nine and a half

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Speaker 4: receiving yards, which is kind of the breakdown, you know.

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Speaker 1: I don't even mind the unders on that.

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Speaker 4: But I think the best way to kind of look

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Speaker 4: at it is you're essentially betting under three touches here,

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Speaker 4: and even if he gets three, he's no guarantee to

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Speaker 4: get to get some fifteen yards. So love samaj p

239
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Speaker 4: Ryan under a fourteen and a half rushing plus receiver.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I like this as well. I played it. I

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Speaker 3: think that there's two reasons why this has value.

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Speaker 2: One recency bias, as you mentioned, there was, you know,

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Speaker 2: the forty one yard touchdown on the screen, and also

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Speaker 2: his season long numbers would illustrate that this is a

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Speaker 2: good bet to make on the over. But you have

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Speaker 2: to remember there was about a month stretch where he

247
00:11:23,800 --> 00:11:26,200
Speaker 2: was splitting carries like fifty to fifty because Mixon had

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Speaker 2: a her ankle, and if he removed those games over

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Speaker 2: the course of a month and then he just used late.

250
00:11:32,040 --> 00:11:35,440
Speaker 2: The other seventeen games, including the postseason, you know, he

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Speaker 2: averaged right around fifteen yards total reception and rushing yards.

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Speaker 3: But Mixing still, you know, was getting more breeze than usual.

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Speaker 2: And as you said, over the past five past five games,

254
00:11:46,760 --> 00:11:51,199
Speaker 2: he's averaged thirteen point eight total yards, and almost all

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Speaker 2: that came on one screen pass.

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Speaker 3: He's gone way.

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Speaker 2: Under this number four or five games. If you removed

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Speaker 2: that one fluky screen and he almost got tackled, He's

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00:11:57,400 --> 00:12:00,520
Speaker 2: averaged four point four yards per play over this past

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Speaker 2: five games.

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Speaker 3: As you said, I agree.

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Speaker 2: I think Mixan is going to get almost every carry

263
00:12:05,320 --> 00:12:07,439
Speaker 2: and most of the looks and the reception can probably

264
00:12:07,440 --> 00:12:07,839
Speaker 2: won't come out.

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Speaker 3: It's a Super Bowl. Don't have to worry about his

266
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Speaker 3: ankle or injury or next week. It's all out here.

267
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Speaker 2: And I actually like this better than the rushing and

268
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Speaker 2: receiving because I think he'll probably get like one or

269
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Speaker 2: two touches. I don't know which which what she's going

270
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Speaker 2: to get, and then this like allows for him to like,

271
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Speaker 2: all right, if he gets one touch and he breaks

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Speaker 2: at like twelve yards on one of the two touches

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Speaker 2: that he gets, this gives you a little more leeway

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Speaker 2: if you you know, if you really strongly about Okay,

275
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Speaker 2: he's definitely not getting a carry, he's going to get

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Speaker 2: a reception that you might want to go under carries.

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Speaker 2: But I I agree basically, I think you're just taking

278
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Speaker 2: your chances here with the fact that pe Ryan's not

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Speaker 2: going to break like a screen again, which.

280
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Speaker 4: You could sentially betting on the five percent five percent

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00:12:51,920 --> 00:12:54,920
Speaker 4: chance that mixing gets hurt in game. Listen, like, that's more,

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Speaker 4: that's that's a better way to look at it. Like,

283
00:12:56,520 --> 00:12:59,280
Speaker 4: if mixing gets hurt, the prophest toast. But if he doesn't,

284
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Speaker 4: there's there's a really good chance that somebo JP run's

285
00:13:02,080 --> 00:13:04,560
Speaker 4: not breaking like a forty or you know, any big

286
00:13:04,600 --> 00:13:06,160
Speaker 4: screen place for rest of the PLA.

287
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Speaker 2: Yeah, all right, well my prop, my first prop is

288
00:13:09,200 --> 00:13:10,960
Speaker 2: actually related.

289
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Speaker 3: So I'll move on to that.

290
00:13:11,520 --> 00:13:16,000
Speaker 2: My for my best bet and the second overall of

291
00:13:16,040 --> 00:13:20,160
Speaker 2: the Super Bowl Sunday six pack, I'm going with Joe

292
00:13:20,200 --> 00:13:23,640
Speaker 2: Mixon over twenty five and a half reception yards. It's

293
00:13:23,640 --> 00:13:25,720
Speaker 2: I already built my case saying that I think Mixon

294
00:13:25,800 --> 00:13:27,839
Speaker 2: is going to get most of the workload here, if

295
00:13:27,880 --> 00:13:30,760
Speaker 2: not almost every single snap and all the looks.

296
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Speaker 3: In the passing game.

297
00:13:31,840 --> 00:13:34,319
Speaker 2: But I like this for many other reasons, and I

298
00:13:34,360 --> 00:13:37,280
Speaker 2: think that you know, if you look at his season

299
00:13:37,360 --> 00:13:41,160
Speaker 2: long numbers, you would say, well, maybe this number isn't great.

300
00:13:41,160 --> 00:13:43,319
Speaker 2: He averaged i think during the regular season about twenty

301
00:13:43,559 --> 00:13:47,160
Speaker 2: reset nineteen point six reception yards on two point six

302
00:13:47,240 --> 00:13:51,000
Speaker 2: catches on three targets per game. So you say, all right,

303
00:13:51,040 --> 00:13:53,920
Speaker 2: well that twenty yards. But it's been a different offense.

304
00:13:54,320 --> 00:13:56,760
Speaker 2: And as we mentioned, he was heard he was putting carries,

305
00:13:57,080 --> 00:13:58,640
Speaker 2: but the Bengals have been much more.

306
00:13:58,520 --> 00:14:01,679
Speaker 3: Pass first on early downs.

307
00:14:01,640 --> 00:14:04,160
Speaker 2: And some of that mess in the Kansas City game

308
00:14:04,360 --> 00:14:07,320
Speaker 2: since about week thirteen, fourteen, Top five in the NFL.

309
00:14:07,520 --> 00:14:10,400
Speaker 2: They're also using mixing a lot more in the passing

310
00:14:10,400 --> 00:14:12,560
Speaker 2: game as an extension of the running game. So let's

311
00:14:12,760 --> 00:14:14,720
Speaker 2: look at the past five games. As we just mentioned

312
00:14:14,720 --> 00:14:16,360
Speaker 2: one of the reasons why we like Peter Ryan. Under

313
00:14:16,720 --> 00:14:20,080
Speaker 2: past five games, mix In has averaged forty three point

314
00:14:20,200 --> 00:14:23,440
Speaker 2: two reception yards and he's cleared that twenty five and

315
00:14:23,440 --> 00:14:26,440
Speaker 2: a half reception yard mark in all five games, including

316
00:14:26,960 --> 00:14:29,840
Speaker 2: all three playoff games. You know, let's look at the

317
00:14:29,840 --> 00:14:32,120
Speaker 2: matchup two. So he's gonna have a lot of snaps.

318
00:14:32,280 --> 00:14:35,120
Speaker 2: He's getting a lot more looks he's there playing. The

319
00:14:35,200 --> 00:14:38,000
Speaker 2: Rams play a lot of zone and they should be

320
00:14:38,040 --> 00:14:40,240
Speaker 2: able to get pressure year. Whether they blitz or not,

321
00:14:40,720 --> 00:14:42,080
Speaker 2: it's gonna be one of the keys to the game.

322
00:14:42,880 --> 00:14:44,640
Speaker 2: Are they gonna blitz? How much are they gonna blitz?

323
00:14:44,920 --> 00:14:48,240
Speaker 2: His Burrow shreds blitz. Rams like the blitz a decent amount,

324
00:14:48,360 --> 00:14:49,960
Speaker 2: but they should be able to get a pressure regardless.

325
00:14:49,960 --> 00:14:51,880
Speaker 2: They're gonna play a lot of zone. What does that

326
00:14:51,920 --> 00:14:54,640
Speaker 2: mean a lot of checkdowns? Dump downs? And the Rams

327
00:14:54,640 --> 00:14:57,400
Speaker 2: actually struggled to cover backs this year. They were twenty

328
00:14:57,400 --> 00:15:01,120
Speaker 2: fourth DVA defending running back in the passing game.

329
00:15:01,320 --> 00:15:05,160
Speaker 3: So, uh, you know one other factor. Bengals are underdogs.

330
00:15:05,200 --> 00:15:07,880
Speaker 2: So the most likely game state is that the Bengals

331
00:15:07,920 --> 00:15:10,200
Speaker 2: are playing from behind. And I actually think that that's

332
00:15:10,200 --> 00:15:11,680
Speaker 2: how this game plays out, and that's how I kind

333
00:15:11,680 --> 00:15:14,000
Speaker 2: of build a lot of my proper portfolio is I

334
00:15:14,080 --> 00:15:16,640
Speaker 2: think that the Rams actually come out and take a lead,

335
00:15:17,200 --> 00:15:19,200
Speaker 2: and then it's gonna be up to the Rams to

336
00:15:19,360 --> 00:15:21,920
Speaker 2: hold the Bengals back. We'll give our predictions at the

337
00:15:22,040 --> 00:15:24,680
Speaker 2: end and hold the Bengals from coming back again.

338
00:15:24,880 --> 00:15:27,880
Speaker 3: As Joe Burrow has done so frequently. So I think

339
00:15:27,920 --> 00:15:29,200
Speaker 3: that there's a good match up here.

340
00:15:29,200 --> 00:15:31,440
Speaker 2: You're gonna get a lot of snaps, and you know,

341
00:15:31,440 --> 00:15:34,040
Speaker 2: you might get a favorable game state as well. So

342
00:15:34,040 --> 00:15:36,360
Speaker 2: there's a lot of things to like about Mixon. Go

343
00:15:36,480 --> 00:15:38,240
Speaker 2: you could get this on one. You know, I think

344
00:15:38,240 --> 00:15:39,440
Speaker 2: there's gonna be a lot of not only do I

345
00:15:39,440 --> 00:15:42,240
Speaker 2: think you're gonna borrow checkdowns, but if you know, with

346
00:15:42,280 --> 00:15:45,320
Speaker 2: this aggressive pass rusher thirt team, I'll try to tee

347
00:15:45,360 --> 00:15:48,440
Speaker 2: off on Burrow design screens to mix in to try

348
00:15:48,480 --> 00:15:49,880
Speaker 2: and slow down you.

349
00:15:49,840 --> 00:15:54,000
Speaker 3: Know, Donald Miller in company. So yeah, I like mixing.

350
00:15:54,040 --> 00:15:56,200
Speaker 2: Over twenty five and a half receeption years, I'm the

351
00:15:56,240 --> 00:15:58,160
Speaker 2: prop square on.

352
00:15:58,040 --> 00:15:59,880
Speaker 3: This, but I guess I think I've gotten like almost

353
00:16:00,040 --> 00:16:00,720
Speaker 3: everyone wrong.

354
00:16:01,120 --> 00:16:05,120
Speaker 4: And Jimmy, Jimmy g killed you on a four yard run.

355
00:16:06,080 --> 00:16:08,360
Speaker 1: I saw that and I was like, oh, there goes that.

356
00:16:09,080 --> 00:16:10,080
Speaker 3: Almost have BOYD.

357
00:16:10,120 --> 00:16:12,240
Speaker 2: Boyd comes out in the first quarter cooking and then

358
00:16:12,240 --> 00:16:13,400
Speaker 2: they just never throw them again.

359
00:16:13,640 --> 00:16:15,200
Speaker 3: But yeah, so of course I'm going with an over

360
00:16:15,240 --> 00:16:15,800
Speaker 3: to start.

361
00:16:15,600 --> 00:16:18,520
Speaker 2: But I really like this one. I think it should

362
00:16:18,560 --> 00:16:21,480
Speaker 2: be like, I don't know, closer to like thirty.

363
00:16:22,440 --> 00:16:22,880
Speaker 1: Yeah, I think.

364
00:16:24,080 --> 00:16:27,120
Speaker 4: So, you know, what's interesting is something you didn't even

365
00:16:27,160 --> 00:16:30,200
Speaker 4: mention is you know the health of cj U Soma, right,

366
00:16:30,320 --> 00:16:34,280
Speaker 4: because that's kind of a big deal. I mean, we've

367
00:16:34,280 --> 00:16:38,760
Speaker 4: seen Zoma be that security blanket. And you know, when

368
00:16:38,880 --> 00:16:41,360
Speaker 4: you know the Bengals don't we've a guy in the block.

369
00:16:41,400 --> 00:16:43,040
Speaker 1: Often they usually do send five.

370
00:16:42,880 --> 00:16:44,960
Speaker 4: In the route, but when they are, we even a

371
00:16:44,960 --> 00:16:46,880
Speaker 4: guy in the block, which will happen throughout the course

372
00:16:46,880 --> 00:16:48,640
Speaker 4: of the game, especially against a team like the Rams

373
00:16:48,680 --> 00:16:51,000
Speaker 4: with you know that can rush off the edge.

374
00:16:51,520 --> 00:16:54,440
Speaker 1: It's it comes down to either mixing or the tight end.

375
00:16:55,120 --> 00:16:57,760
Speaker 4: Uh And so if the tight ends banged up, I

376
00:16:57,760 --> 00:16:59,440
Speaker 4: think he'd be more likely to do that, or if

377
00:16:59,440 --> 00:16:59,960
Speaker 4: it's true.

378
00:16:59,800 --> 00:17:00,600
Speaker 1: Sam in there.

379
00:17:01,000 --> 00:17:04,000
Speaker 4: You know, either way, I think you're getting mixing out

380
00:17:04,000 --> 00:17:06,840
Speaker 4: into the routes. You're prioritizing that because he's just a

381
00:17:06,840 --> 00:17:10,560
Speaker 4: more explosive player at this point than any of your

382
00:17:10,600 --> 00:17:11,080
Speaker 4: tight ends.

383
00:17:11,119 --> 00:17:13,480
Speaker 1: So yeah, mixed sense from a lot of different angles.

384
00:17:14,600 --> 00:17:15,040
Speaker 3: All right.

385
00:17:15,200 --> 00:17:18,639
Speaker 4: For my second pick and the third overall of the

386
00:17:18,680 --> 00:17:22,200
Speaker 4: Super Bowl fifty six Sunday six pack, I'm going with

387
00:17:22,359 --> 00:17:27,200
Speaker 4: Matthew Stafford under five and a half rushing yards. And

388
00:17:27,240 --> 00:17:29,800
Speaker 4: this is another one of my favorite props because I

389
00:17:29,800 --> 00:17:33,240
Speaker 4: think it kind of lets you take advantage of recency bias,

390
00:17:33,359 --> 00:17:36,520
Speaker 4: and you needed a little bit of kahonas to bet

391
00:17:36,520 --> 00:17:38,440
Speaker 4: it looking at the game logs, because the last three

392
00:17:38,480 --> 00:17:40,919
Speaker 4: games Stafford has been over this number, which means all

393
00:17:40,960 --> 00:17:44,239
Speaker 4: three postseason games he's been over this number. But we

394
00:17:44,280 --> 00:17:46,880
Speaker 4: know that quarterback rushing yard, especially with a number this low,

395
00:17:47,040 --> 00:17:48,680
Speaker 4: there's gonna be a lot of variants that it could

396
00:17:48,760 --> 00:17:50,199
Speaker 4: change based on one or two plays.

397
00:17:50,240 --> 00:17:53,880
Speaker 1: So uh, you look back over the wholetseason.

398
00:17:54,760 --> 00:17:58,520
Speaker 4: Stafford has been under this number in thirteen of twenty games,

399
00:17:58,560 --> 00:18:01,639
Speaker 4: so thirteen of seven regular season games.

400
00:18:01,320 --> 00:18:04,280
Speaker 1: Before he went over in the three playoff games. But

401
00:18:05,280 --> 00:18:08,760
Speaker 1: his median is a half a rushing yard this year.

402
00:18:09,560 --> 00:18:12,119
Speaker 4: Now you look at Cincinnati and you say, is there

403
00:18:12,160 --> 00:18:14,159
Speaker 4: any reason why you would expect Cincinnati to give up

404
00:18:14,160 --> 00:18:18,200
Speaker 4: more rushing yards to Stafford than his normal median? And

405
00:18:18,240 --> 00:18:22,240
Speaker 4: the answer is there Isn't you know, Cincinnati's zone heavy team.

406
00:18:22,560 --> 00:18:25,040
Speaker 4: They all have the ten fewest rushing yards to quarterbacks

407
00:18:25,119 --> 00:18:28,040
Speaker 4: during the regular season, and by the way, tenth fewest

408
00:18:28,080 --> 00:18:31,280
Speaker 4: rushing yards to quarterbacks, over fifty percent came from just

409
00:18:31,320 --> 00:18:34,280
Speaker 4: two guys, Lamar Jackson and Justin Field. So you remove

410
00:18:34,320 --> 00:18:37,120
Speaker 4: those two guys and Cincinnati's not giving.

411
00:18:36,960 --> 00:18:38,160
Speaker 1: Up much to quarterbacks.

412
00:18:38,440 --> 00:18:41,040
Speaker 4: Stafford just has happened to scramble in each of the

413
00:18:41,080 --> 00:18:43,840
Speaker 4: last three games, but he scrambled in underhalf of his

414
00:18:43,920 --> 00:18:46,480
Speaker 4: games over the full season. So you know, I think

415
00:18:46,520 --> 00:18:49,479
Speaker 4: this number is just way off just because of you know,

416
00:18:49,520 --> 00:18:52,240
Speaker 4: what's been happening in the playoffs and some kind of variants.

417
00:18:52,440 --> 00:18:54,719
Speaker 1: But there are outs to this number anyway.

418
00:18:54,840 --> 00:18:58,080
Speaker 4: You know, Stafford could scramble, you know, for four or

419
00:18:58,080 --> 00:19:01,160
Speaker 4: five six yards, maybe even get another sneak for a yard.

420
00:19:01,720 --> 00:19:03,360
Speaker 1: But as you mentioned, the rams are the.

421
00:19:03,280 --> 00:19:06,240
Speaker 4: Favorite, So the most likely outcome is Stafford's going to

422
00:19:06,280 --> 00:19:07,760
Speaker 4: get a kneel down in there somewhere. And now that

423
00:19:07,800 --> 00:19:10,800
Speaker 4: doesn't guarantee it, but that's the thing about Stafford. He

424
00:19:10,840 --> 00:19:14,040
Speaker 4: could clear this number without kneel downs. Like five and

425
00:19:14,040 --> 00:19:16,680
Speaker 4: a half is up the high number for a quarterback

426
00:19:16,720 --> 00:19:19,600
Speaker 4: that really doesn't run at all and hasn't been known to.

427
00:19:20,200 --> 00:19:22,879
Speaker 4: So I think, just like the p Ryan screen, you

428
00:19:22,920 --> 00:19:25,320
Speaker 4: just take advantage of these couple of Stafford runs over

429
00:19:25,359 --> 00:19:27,480
Speaker 4: the last couple of games, and you hammer the under

430
00:19:27,480 --> 00:19:29,960
Speaker 4: here at five and a half again, which is five

431
00:19:30,080 --> 00:19:32,879
Speaker 4: yards higher than his media and over a twenty game stamp,

432
00:19:33,000 --> 00:19:33,719
Speaker 4: which is insane.

433
00:19:33,760 --> 00:19:34,840
Speaker 1: I think the true.

434
00:19:34,600 --> 00:19:36,639
Speaker 4: Odds if you're if you're going to post this at

435
00:19:36,640 --> 00:19:38,760
Speaker 4: five and a half, the true odds should be about

436
00:19:38,760 --> 00:19:41,560
Speaker 4: minus one eighty five to the under. But we're getting

437
00:19:41,560 --> 00:19:43,680
Speaker 4: it even we used on both sides. So love to

438
00:19:43,760 --> 00:19:46,600
Speaker 4: Stafford under five and a half rushing yards and just

439
00:19:46,680 --> 00:19:49,240
Speaker 4: you know, Cincinnati's like ace in the hole against the

440
00:19:49,320 --> 00:19:52,080
Speaker 4: Chiefs was drop eight in the coverage, which you know

441
00:19:52,200 --> 00:19:54,960
Speaker 4: that that's you're just gonna have to find somebody open.

442
00:19:54,960 --> 00:19:56,360
Speaker 4: You're not really gonna be able to run. As we saw,

443
00:19:56,359 --> 00:19:59,399
Speaker 4: the Mahomes mostly ran backwards. So love Stafford under five

444
00:19:59,440 --> 00:20:00,000
Speaker 4: and a half rushing.

445
00:20:00,680 --> 00:20:01,680
Speaker 3: Yeah, I like this one too.

446
00:20:01,680 --> 00:20:03,160
Speaker 2: I mean I think that the number is more based

447
00:20:03,200 --> 00:20:05,600
Speaker 2: on his you know, there's recency bias, and then if

448
00:20:05,640 --> 00:20:07,920
Speaker 2: you look at some of his career numbers, I think

449
00:20:08,000 --> 00:20:09,800
Speaker 2: if you go based off of his career numbers, he's

450
00:20:09,800 --> 00:20:13,880
Speaker 2: like at six and change per game on average, But.

451
00:20:13,840 --> 00:20:16,320
Speaker 1: He's the meeting will still be lower. The media is

452
00:20:16,320 --> 00:20:17,520
Speaker 1: still Yeah.

453
00:20:17,240 --> 00:20:20,520
Speaker 2: He's also thirty four now, and he's in a different team,

454
00:20:20,560 --> 00:20:23,760
Speaker 2: in a different offense right with better receivers like the Lions.

455
00:20:23,880 --> 00:20:25,480
Speaker 3: It just was a mess at times.

456
00:20:25,840 --> 00:20:27,720
Speaker 2: So yeah, I completely agree here, if you look at

457
00:20:27,760 --> 00:20:31,200
Speaker 2: the seventeen regular season games, forty three rushing yards, thirty

458
00:20:31,200 --> 00:20:34,200
Speaker 2: two attempts, average of two carries per game for two

459
00:20:34,240 --> 00:20:37,760
Speaker 2: and a half yards. That's just the playing average. It's

460
00:20:37,920 --> 00:20:41,240
Speaker 2: way under, not even looking at the media. So yeah,

461
00:20:41,280 --> 00:20:43,800
Speaker 2: I completely agree he would have even if you include

462
00:20:43,800 --> 00:20:46,760
Speaker 2: the three postseason games where he went over, because he

463
00:20:46,800 --> 00:20:50,000
Speaker 2: had fifteen rushes for thirty six yards, which makes it scarier,

464
00:20:50,000 --> 00:20:51,800
Speaker 2: but I think that's where you're getting the value. He

465
00:20:51,920 --> 00:20:53,640
Speaker 2: still would have went under five and a half rushing

466
00:20:53,680 --> 00:20:55,399
Speaker 2: yards and sixty five percent of his games this year,

467
00:20:55,440 --> 00:20:59,920
Speaker 2: including the postseason. So yeah, and the Bengals. Bengals opponent

468
00:21:00,080 --> 00:21:04,000
Speaker 2: opposing quarterbacks went over this number eleven of twenty times,

469
00:21:04,000 --> 00:21:06,840
Speaker 2: including the postseason. But they faced Mahomes twice, they faced

470
00:21:06,920 --> 00:21:10,639
Speaker 2: Lamar Jackson, they faced Trevor Lawrence. Justin fields like these

471
00:21:10,640 --> 00:21:13,639
Speaker 2: are quarterbacks that run as part of their repertoire. That

472
00:21:13,640 --> 00:21:15,200
Speaker 2: it was only it don't only happen eleven out of

473
00:21:15,240 --> 00:21:18,439
Speaker 2: twenty times. Now it only takes two scrambles and then

474
00:21:18,480 --> 00:21:20,160
Speaker 2: you know, but you said, there's outstude with the knees.

475
00:21:20,240 --> 00:21:22,879
Speaker 2: So I like this as well, and I played it

476
00:21:23,280 --> 00:21:26,439
Speaker 2: so I'm on board with you. I'm gonna go to

477
00:21:27,160 --> 00:21:31,359
Speaker 2: let's stay with the quarterback theme. And for my second

478
00:21:31,480 --> 00:21:34,200
Speaker 2: pick and the fourth overall of the Super Bowl fifty

479
00:21:34,240 --> 00:21:37,080
Speaker 2: six Sunday six pack, I'm gonna go with Joe Burrow

480
00:21:37,400 --> 00:21:40,919
Speaker 2: over a half of an interception. This is one of

481
00:21:40,920 --> 00:21:46,240
Speaker 2: my favorite props on the board, and like there's let

482
00:21:46,320 --> 00:21:47,919
Speaker 2: me just explain the case. Well, let's first off, we'll

483
00:21:47,920 --> 00:21:49,760
Speaker 2: take a look at the row numbers for Burrow this year.

484
00:21:50,800 --> 00:21:53,479
Speaker 2: He's throned sixteen interceptions in nineteen games he set out

485
00:21:53,520 --> 00:21:55,600
Speaker 2: the finale, so it's an average of about point eight

486
00:21:55,680 --> 00:21:58,440
Speaker 2: four per game, and he's been picked off at least

487
00:21:58,480 --> 00:22:01,199
Speaker 2: once in eleven of those games. He's about fifty eight percent.

488
00:22:01,359 --> 00:22:03,320
Speaker 2: So you'd say, you know that it's juice minus one

489
00:22:03,480 --> 00:22:06,520
Speaker 2: thirty ish at a half of an interception. It's not

490
00:22:06,720 --> 00:22:09,840
Speaker 2: that agregious, but you got to dig a little deeper,

491
00:22:10,960 --> 00:22:13,040
Speaker 2: and you know he's even though he's averaging you know,

492
00:22:13,320 --> 00:22:18,119
Speaker 2: point eight five per game this year, to get a

493
00:22:18,119 --> 00:22:20,280
Speaker 2: little dipper for the prop of my opinion, he's faced

494
00:22:20,280 --> 00:22:23,640
Speaker 2: a really easy schedule of opposing past defenses. For example,

495
00:22:23,760 --> 00:22:26,880
Speaker 2: eight of his nineteen total games this year have came

496
00:22:26,920 --> 00:22:31,639
Speaker 2: against the seven teams in the NFL that recorded single

497
00:22:31,680 --> 00:22:34,400
Speaker 2: digit interceptions. So you have to face the Ravens twice.

498
00:22:34,480 --> 00:22:36,280
Speaker 2: You have to face the Raiders twice. Would just have

499
00:22:36,400 --> 00:22:38,680
Speaker 2: no interceptions. And if you just look across the board,

500
00:22:38,680 --> 00:22:40,800
Speaker 2: if you look at the teams who you know, create

501
00:22:40,800 --> 00:22:42,439
Speaker 2: a lot of turnovers and no, there's some noise in it.

502
00:22:42,520 --> 00:22:45,120
Speaker 2: But if you just look overall at the opposing pass

503
00:22:45,160 --> 00:22:45,800
Speaker 2: defenses that he.

504
00:22:45,840 --> 00:22:47,760
Speaker 3: Faced, really easy slate.

505
00:22:49,000 --> 00:22:52,919
Speaker 2: Now he's going to have to face the Rams defensive

506
00:22:52,920 --> 00:22:55,880
Speaker 2: finish tied for third in the NFL with nineteen interceptions,

507
00:22:56,000 --> 00:22:58,840
Speaker 2: so they were averaging over one per game during the

508
00:22:58,880 --> 00:23:03,439
Speaker 2: regular season. We also have four in three playoff games.

509
00:23:04,119 --> 00:23:06,720
Speaker 2: And you know during the regular season they had at

510
00:23:06,800 --> 00:23:11,520
Speaker 2: least one pick in twelve games, and if you include

511
00:23:12,080 --> 00:23:15,320
Speaker 2: the postseason, that's fifteen out of twenty games they have

512
00:23:15,320 --> 00:23:17,520
Speaker 2: at least one interception. They're gonna play a lot of

513
00:23:17,600 --> 00:23:20,000
Speaker 2: zone I think they're gonna play a lot more too high.

514
00:23:20,400 --> 00:23:22,760
Speaker 2: You have a lot of playmakers, They're able to get pressure,

515
00:23:23,440 --> 00:23:26,080
Speaker 2: and there's just gonna be a lot of opportunity.

516
00:23:25,720 --> 00:23:27,160
Speaker 3: For Burrow to make a mistake.

517
00:23:28,080 --> 00:23:30,199
Speaker 2: And you know that this is the profile of the

518
00:23:30,240 --> 00:23:32,360
Speaker 2: defense that can give bur if you look at where

519
00:23:32,400 --> 00:23:34,639
Speaker 2: all his picks came from, Like, oh, you had a

520
00:23:34,720 --> 00:23:36,960
Speaker 2: couple against the Bears when the Bear when the I

521
00:23:36,960 --> 00:23:38,720
Speaker 2: think he threw like three against the Bears and the

522
00:23:38,720 --> 00:23:41,639
Speaker 2: Bears were getting pressure. You know, the Packers like getting

523
00:23:41,640 --> 00:23:44,640
Speaker 2: pressure playing zone on the back end, and Burrow likes

524
00:23:44,640 --> 00:23:46,600
Speaker 2: to throw in the tight windows. He's not gonna be

525
00:23:46,600 --> 00:23:48,680
Speaker 2: a like afraid to throw it at Ramsey's not gonna

526
00:23:48,720 --> 00:23:51,119
Speaker 2: be able afraid to throw it into these tight zone windows.

527
00:23:51,119 --> 00:23:55,520
Speaker 3: Who second in the NFL in throwing into tight coverage tight.

528
00:23:55,400 --> 00:23:59,200
Speaker 2: Winners, I should say during the regular season. And yeah,

529
00:23:59,240 --> 00:24:01,400
Speaker 2: he's played in a lot of big games. He's been

530
00:24:01,440 --> 00:24:04,480
Speaker 2: amazing in big games. And if you if you include

531
00:24:04,480 --> 00:24:07,280
Speaker 2: his time at LSU in winner else games, he's there's

532
00:24:07,359 --> 00:24:10,320
Speaker 2: nine of them in college. In the NFL, he's nine

533
00:24:10,359 --> 00:24:13,720
Speaker 2: to zero with thirty one touchdowns of two interceptions. But

534
00:24:14,119 --> 00:24:16,280
Speaker 2: this is the super Bowl and it's not like he

535
00:24:16,400 --> 00:24:19,359
Speaker 2: was flawless last week in the NFC Champs. You give me,

536
00:24:19,359 --> 00:24:21,280
Speaker 2: threw a late pick, he should have threw another one

537
00:24:21,280 --> 00:24:24,600
Speaker 2: that was dropped. So this is a whole different stage.

538
00:24:25,640 --> 00:24:28,640
Speaker 2: And look, people, Burrow's getting all the pub as he should.

539
00:24:29,200 --> 00:24:33,240
Speaker 2: But I mean, it's not like he's been sparkling this

540
00:24:33,240 --> 00:24:35,520
Speaker 2: this postseason. If you look at his numbers, some of

541
00:24:35,520 --> 00:24:37,639
Speaker 2: that he's being held back on his own. But this

542
00:24:37,680 --> 00:24:40,200
Speaker 2: is no Joe Flacco run with twelve touchdowns and no

543
00:24:40,280 --> 00:24:43,280
Speaker 2: interceptions to get to the super Bowl. So but I

544
00:24:43,320 --> 00:24:45,720
Speaker 2: merely think that this number is way too go. There's

545
00:24:45,720 --> 00:24:48,160
Speaker 2: a lot of value in Burrow throwing at least one interception.

546
00:24:48,720 --> 00:24:50,280
Speaker 2: I also think they're gonna be playing from mind, he's

547
00:24:50,280 --> 00:24:51,200
Speaker 2: gonna be throwing a lot.

548
00:24:51,920 --> 00:24:52,560
Speaker 3: I don't see.

549
00:24:52,680 --> 00:24:54,680
Speaker 2: I don't see really any game state where the Bengals

550
00:24:54,760 --> 00:24:59,760
Speaker 2: blow out the Rams. It's possible fluke turnovers and what

551
00:25:00,080 --> 00:25:03,000
Speaker 2: that would be like the biggest disaster for this because

552
00:25:03,119 --> 00:25:04,520
Speaker 2: you know, if he doesn't throw a pick earlier, then

553
00:25:04,520 --> 00:25:06,960
Speaker 2: you're kind of just sitting on it. And but I

554
00:25:06,960 --> 00:25:09,480
Speaker 2: think that there's a lot of factors here that point

555
00:25:09,480 --> 00:25:11,760
Speaker 2: to Burrow throwing at least one interception.

556
00:25:12,320 --> 00:25:16,600
Speaker 3: Would in shock if you threw two. The matchup the number.

557
00:25:18,440 --> 00:25:20,359
Speaker 3: I think that there's this is a good bet to

558
00:25:20,400 --> 00:25:22,280
Speaker 3: go over half interceptional Burrow.

559
00:25:23,160 --> 00:25:25,240
Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm looking at my projections. I have him for

560
00:25:25,400 --> 00:25:28,080
Speaker 4: point eight six. And you said he was point eight

561
00:25:28,119 --> 00:25:30,600
Speaker 4: four for the season, right like that was about is yeah,

562
00:25:30,760 --> 00:25:32,919
Speaker 4: I have him just a little bit higher. And you

563
00:25:32,920 --> 00:25:34,840
Speaker 4: know you're saying with that point eight four, it came

564
00:25:34,880 --> 00:25:37,360
Speaker 4: about a fifty eight percent chance, So point eight six

565
00:25:37,400 --> 00:25:39,680
Speaker 4: you're thinking around the same thing, maybe inching even towards

566
00:25:39,720 --> 00:25:44,879
Speaker 4: sixty percent, sixty percent chance or higher of him throwing

567
00:25:44,880 --> 00:25:47,200
Speaker 4: a pick. So yeah, I think that's the right point.

568
00:25:47,320 --> 00:25:50,480
Speaker 4: I think the only thing you worry about is, you know,

569
00:25:50,600 --> 00:25:53,359
Speaker 4: most most of his interceptions have come against man coverage

570
00:25:53,359 --> 00:25:55,439
Speaker 4: and the rams that's just not what they do. So

571
00:25:56,000 --> 00:25:59,560
Speaker 4: you know, we'll see what, you know, how long they

572
00:25:59,560 --> 00:26:01,920
Speaker 4: if they stick with that coverage. But either way, I mean,

573
00:26:02,000 --> 00:26:03,840
Speaker 4: you know, most teams play a lot his own and

574
00:26:04,200 --> 00:26:07,240
Speaker 4: it still happened with Burrow more than like almost six

575
00:26:07,280 --> 00:26:07,880
Speaker 4: percent of the time.

576
00:26:07,920 --> 00:26:11,160
Speaker 3: So yeah, and I think that it's also the Super Bowl.

577
00:26:11,240 --> 00:26:17,520
Speaker 2: It's like, so you're you're going down swinging and you

578
00:26:17,560 --> 00:26:18,960
Speaker 2: could get one at the end of the half right

579
00:26:19,000 --> 00:26:20,560
Speaker 2: on the heill, Mary, I think this is a good

580
00:26:20,640 --> 00:26:21,680
Speaker 2: number where you go next.

581
00:26:21,960 --> 00:26:24,920
Speaker 4: All right, So for my third pick and the fifth

582
00:26:24,960 --> 00:26:28,280
Speaker 4: overall of the Super Bowl fifty six Sunday six pack,

583
00:26:28,600 --> 00:26:32,479
Speaker 4: I'm going with the first quarter under nine and a half.

584
00:26:32,640 --> 00:26:36,560
Speaker 4: And we've talked about this in the past, but super

585
00:26:36,560 --> 00:26:39,320
Speaker 4: Bowl first quarters tend to be lower scoring.

586
00:26:39,680 --> 00:26:41,480
Speaker 1: Teams tend to come out a.

587
00:26:41,440 --> 00:26:44,199
Speaker 4: Little bit tight, you know, offenses tend to come out

588
00:26:44,240 --> 00:26:47,480
Speaker 4: a little conservative, feel each other out, don't do nothing

589
00:26:47,520 --> 00:26:49,399
Speaker 4: too crazy to lose the game in the first quarter,

590
00:26:49,680 --> 00:26:53,960
Speaker 4: and that's translated into these lower scoring first quarters. So

591
00:26:54,400 --> 00:26:57,159
Speaker 4: if we go back to nineteen ninety nine, there's been

592
00:26:57,200 --> 00:27:00,239
Speaker 4: twenty two Super Bowls, only eight of those have hit

593
00:27:00,440 --> 00:27:05,040
Speaker 4: double digits over that span, and these two teams kind

594
00:27:05,040 --> 00:27:08,560
Speaker 4: of play right into that. You have this season, Cincinnati

595
00:27:08,920 --> 00:27:11,679
Speaker 4: averaged four point three points in the first quarter and

596
00:27:11,720 --> 00:27:15,040
Speaker 4: the Rams averaged four, So that's pretty middle of the

597
00:27:15,040 --> 00:27:17,800
Speaker 4: pack for both teams. Obviously only adds up to eight

598
00:27:17,840 --> 00:27:21,119
Speaker 4: point three. But you look at them because that that

599
00:27:21,160 --> 00:27:23,199
Speaker 4: doesn't really tell us much if we don't know, you know,

600
00:27:23,680 --> 00:27:25,040
Speaker 4: relative to expectations.

601
00:27:25,040 --> 00:27:27,920
Speaker 1: So look at the totals this year in the first quarter.

602
00:27:28,400 --> 00:27:31,800
Speaker 4: Cincinnati is thirteen to six and one to the under

603
00:27:32,320 --> 00:27:34,679
Speaker 4: in the first quarter and the Rams are fourteen and

604
00:27:34,800 --> 00:27:37,880
Speaker 4: six to the under in the first quarter. So combined,

605
00:27:38,280 --> 00:27:42,399
Speaker 4: these two teams are twenty seven twelve and one to

606
00:27:42,560 --> 00:27:47,040
Speaker 4: the under. In the first quarter, which is a sixty

607
00:27:47,119 --> 00:27:49,720
Speaker 4: nine percent under hit rate. I think you're just gonna

608
00:27:49,720 --> 00:27:52,040
Speaker 4: see more of the same. You know, we've seen even

609
00:27:52,040 --> 00:27:54,879
Speaker 4: to a frustrating degree. You know, and the Bengals get

610
00:27:54,960 --> 00:27:56,840
Speaker 4: the ball early in games, you know, they'll tend to

611
00:27:56,880 --> 00:27:58,800
Speaker 4: come out passing on the first play. They've done that

612
00:27:59,119 --> 00:28:01,880
Speaker 4: sixteen twenty time this year, and the early down pass

613
00:28:01,960 --> 00:28:04,600
Speaker 4: right has gone up. But we've seen in the postseason

614
00:28:05,240 --> 00:28:07,720
Speaker 4: to a frustrating degree. Sometimes it's you know, they'll hand

615
00:28:07,760 --> 00:28:09,600
Speaker 4: off to Joe Mixon and just kind of keep things

616
00:28:10,400 --> 00:28:13,480
Speaker 4: or try to keep things on schedule against this Rams

617
00:28:13,520 --> 00:28:16,440
Speaker 4: pass rush, you know, against a guy like Ramsey's probably

618
00:28:16,520 --> 00:28:18,680
Speaker 4: chomping at the bit to get a turnover. I think

619
00:28:18,680 --> 00:28:20,480
Speaker 4: you're going to see more of the same. And then

620
00:28:21,000 --> 00:28:22,760
Speaker 4: on the Rams side, you know, we know that the

621
00:28:22,800 --> 00:28:26,480
Speaker 4: Bengals MO is kind of it's kind of let's be conservative,

622
00:28:26,560 --> 00:28:28,480
Speaker 4: let's make sure they don't they don't kill us with

623
00:28:28,520 --> 00:28:29,080
Speaker 4: big plays.

624
00:28:29,359 --> 00:28:30,440
Speaker 1: We've kind of saw that a lot.

625
00:28:30,359 --> 00:28:32,520
Speaker 4: In the second half, and I think we see an

626
00:28:32,520 --> 00:28:36,040
Speaker 4: even more conservative defense early in the game now because

627
00:28:36,080 --> 00:28:38,360
Speaker 4: of how they got down in that first half against

628
00:28:38,400 --> 00:28:40,240
Speaker 4: Kansas City. I don't think they want to repeat of

629
00:28:40,280 --> 00:28:43,880
Speaker 4: that in the super Bowl, for Super Bowl for Stafford.

630
00:28:43,840 --> 00:28:45,600
Speaker 1: For Super Bowl for Borough obviously.

631
00:28:46,000 --> 00:28:48,440
Speaker 4: So I just think you have a lot of factors

632
00:28:48,440 --> 00:28:52,200
Speaker 4: that play into a very similar first quarter to what

633
00:28:52,240 --> 00:28:54,320
Speaker 4: we've been seeing in a lot of Super Bowls. Not

634
00:28:54,440 --> 00:28:56,880
Speaker 4: to mention, the Rams kind of have the perfect defense.

635
00:28:56,920 --> 00:28:58,960
Speaker 4: You know, if the Bengals get the ball early and

636
00:28:59,000 --> 00:29:00,640
Speaker 4: have the ball for a good amount of the first quarter,

637
00:29:00,800 --> 00:29:02,560
Speaker 4: the Rams have the perfect defense not to give up

638
00:29:02,600 --> 00:29:04,920
Speaker 4: big plays. You know, they play, they'll play quarters a lot.

639
00:29:04,960 --> 00:29:08,800
Speaker 4: You know, you mentioned the split safeties. So I just

640
00:29:08,800 --> 00:29:10,880
Speaker 4: think both of these teams are gonna start out a

641
00:29:10,920 --> 00:29:13,600
Speaker 4: little bit slow on offense or you know, if they

642
00:29:13,600 --> 00:29:15,520
Speaker 4: do have success, I think it will be a very

643
00:29:15,560 --> 00:29:17,640
Speaker 4: long drive. I think you still have a good chance

644
00:29:17,680 --> 00:29:20,600
Speaker 4: of a long field goal drive or just you know,

645
00:29:20,680 --> 00:29:22,920
Speaker 4: one of the teams making a long drive, scoring a touchdown,

646
00:29:23,200 --> 00:29:25,040
Speaker 4: but but taking enough enough of the first quarter that

647
00:29:25,080 --> 00:29:26,280
Speaker 4: you don't get that second score.

648
00:29:26,320 --> 00:29:28,840
Speaker 1: So love under nine and a half. You could get

649
00:29:28,840 --> 00:29:29,480
Speaker 1: a juice up.

650
00:29:29,360 --> 00:29:33,280
Speaker 4: Ten some places. Obviously that's a key number. But again,

651
00:29:33,440 --> 00:29:37,120
Speaker 4: you know, we've seen sixty four percent of Super Bowl

652
00:29:37,160 --> 00:29:40,320
Speaker 4: first quarters over the last two decades plus go under ten.

653
00:29:41,840 --> 00:29:46,360
Speaker 3: Yeah. If you look since nineteen ninety nine, all games,

654
00:29:46,680 --> 00:29:49,280
Speaker 3: all NFL games, regular season, postseason.

655
00:29:49,440 --> 00:29:53,520
Speaker 2: Average close to nine points eight point nine in the

656
00:29:53,560 --> 00:29:57,040
Speaker 2: first quarter in the conference championships. In Super Bowls, you're

657
00:29:57,080 --> 00:29:59,800
Speaker 2: at about six and a half or two points lower

658
00:30:00,200 --> 00:30:02,360
Speaker 2: at nerves is at a feeling out process. Of the

659
00:30:02,400 --> 00:30:04,240
Speaker 2: last five Super Bowls, we haven't seen any team score

660
00:30:04,280 --> 00:30:06,200
Speaker 2: in the first six minutes. And if you look at

661
00:30:06,200 --> 00:30:09,400
Speaker 2: the other quarters, the second quarter all games thirteen point three,

662
00:30:10,000 --> 00:30:14,560
Speaker 2: Conference Championship, Super Bowl thirteen point five. It's more all games,

663
00:30:14,560 --> 00:30:18,160
Speaker 2: third quarter nine point three Conference champions super Bowl ten

664
00:30:18,200 --> 00:30:21,240
Speaker 2: point nine. You know, obviously you're gonna better teams too

665
00:30:21,240 --> 00:30:23,440
Speaker 2: if we had better defenses. Also, the fourth quarter twelve

666
00:30:23,440 --> 00:30:27,520
Speaker 2: point four, sixteen point six in the Super Bowl. That's

667
00:30:27,560 --> 00:30:29,360
Speaker 2: why you've seen I think sixty five percent the Super

668
00:30:29,360 --> 00:30:31,200
Speaker 2: bwls have more points in the second half than the

669
00:30:31,200 --> 00:30:36,320
Speaker 2: first half. So yeah, I agree with this one. I

670
00:30:36,400 --> 00:30:38,960
Speaker 2: was actually looking someone brought up a point. They were saying,

671
00:30:39,040 --> 00:30:41,320
Speaker 2: why do the Rams can't score in the first quarter.

672
00:30:41,320 --> 00:30:43,480
Speaker 2: What's what's going on if you look at some of

673
00:30:43,520 --> 00:30:45,480
Speaker 2: their first quarter points. But so I went back and

674
00:30:45,520 --> 00:30:48,640
Speaker 2: looked at their points per drive. I mapped out every

675
00:30:48,680 --> 00:30:51,080
Speaker 2: single one of their drives for their full game and

676
00:30:51,160 --> 00:30:54,880
Speaker 2: then looked at the first quarter, and then I realized that, like,

677
00:30:56,480 --> 00:30:59,440
Speaker 2: if you look at the first quarter drives that started

678
00:30:59,480 --> 00:31:02,320
Speaker 2: in the first quarter, all their drives, they were right

679
00:31:02,360 --> 00:31:05,040
Speaker 2: around two point sixty eight points per drive, which is

680
00:31:05,080 --> 00:31:09,880
Speaker 2: their regular season average overall. What happened is that I

681
00:31:09,880 --> 00:31:14,600
Speaker 2: think they had six six touchdown drives this year that

682
00:31:14,800 --> 00:31:18,360
Speaker 2: started in the first quarter and then scored a touchdown

683
00:31:18,360 --> 00:31:19,040
Speaker 2: in the second quarter.

684
00:31:19,160 --> 00:31:20,400
Speaker 3: So I think there's a really good chance that that

685
00:31:20,440 --> 00:31:21,040
Speaker 3: happens too.

686
00:31:22,880 --> 00:31:24,400
Speaker 2: So don't be surprised if you see that again and

687
00:31:24,440 --> 00:31:26,320
Speaker 2: that that's skewing like their first goal you get around.

688
00:31:26,400 --> 00:31:27,680
Speaker 3: All you gotta do is who cares where they are?

689
00:31:27,680 --> 00:31:28,840
Speaker 2: They could be at the ten, they could be at

690
00:31:28,840 --> 00:31:32,000
Speaker 2: fifteen if for whatever reason, the Rams and Stafford.

691
00:31:31,840 --> 00:31:34,200
Speaker 3: And you could get nerves here too. Their turnovers have

692
00:31:34,280 --> 00:31:37,800
Speaker 3: been in the first first quarter early on, like that.

693
00:31:37,760 --> 00:31:41,800
Speaker 2: The the Titans gave the Packers game the Ravens game,

694
00:31:43,200 --> 00:31:45,760
Speaker 2: So maybe you see an early mistake that kind of

695
00:31:46,080 --> 00:31:49,320
Speaker 2: you know, kills a drive and then you be pretty

696
00:31:49,360 --> 00:31:50,080
Speaker 2: close to home free.

697
00:31:50,120 --> 00:31:53,000
Speaker 3: So I like this as well, are we going to

698
00:31:53,000 --> 00:31:55,640
Speaker 3: the third for my third pick.

699
00:31:55,440 --> 00:31:58,200
Speaker 2: And the sixth overall of the Super Bowl fifty six

700
00:31:58,320 --> 00:32:03,000
Speaker 2: Sunday six pack. I'm going with Cooper Cup longest reception

701
00:32:03,800 --> 00:32:07,240
Speaker 2: over twenty eight and a half yards. I full a minute.

702
00:32:07,240 --> 00:32:11,200
Speaker 2: I stole this from our colleague and friend, Sean Kerner

703
00:32:11,400 --> 00:32:14,120
Speaker 2: when I was listening to you guys on the Prop Show,

704
00:32:14,160 --> 00:32:16,080
Speaker 2: and then I dug into it, and then I really

705
00:32:16,080 --> 00:32:18,000
Speaker 2: loved it. And I was just as shocked as him

706
00:32:18,280 --> 00:32:22,200
Speaker 2: that there was value on a Cooper Cup over I

707
00:32:22,200 --> 00:32:24,120
Speaker 2: thought they were all just going to be way inflated.

708
00:32:24,440 --> 00:32:27,480
Speaker 2: But Cup, you can't be stopped. There's a reason he

709
00:32:27,520 --> 00:32:30,000
Speaker 2: broke Michael Irvin's record this year for most games in

710
00:32:30,040 --> 00:32:32,560
Speaker 2: a season with at least one hundred receiving yards, including

711
00:32:32,560 --> 00:32:33,160
Speaker 2: the postseason.

712
00:32:33,560 --> 00:32:34,480
Speaker 3: He still has one game to go.

713
00:32:35,280 --> 00:32:37,040
Speaker 2: I just don't see much the Bengals can do to

714
00:32:37,080 --> 00:32:40,320
Speaker 2: really slow him down, whether it's before or after the catch.

715
00:32:41,160 --> 00:32:43,640
Speaker 2: And he would have catched this prop in fifteen of

716
00:32:43,640 --> 00:32:47,080
Speaker 2: twenty games this year, fifteen of twenty, so you can

717
00:32:47,120 --> 00:32:49,080
Speaker 2: get this on the deep ball, you get this underneath,

718
00:32:49,080 --> 00:32:51,320
Speaker 2: and then going for twenty after the catch. And he's

719
00:32:51,360 --> 00:32:53,920
Speaker 2: going to be facing a Bengals defense that ranked twenty

720
00:32:54,000 --> 00:32:58,240
Speaker 2: fifth in explosive past percentage during the regular season, despite

721
00:32:58,320 --> 00:33:01,880
Speaker 2: facing pretty easy scaledule opposing quarterbacks. They even got to

722
00:33:01,880 --> 00:33:08,600
Speaker 2: face five backups for either all or part of five

723
00:33:08,680 --> 00:33:11,320
Speaker 2: games of their seventeen During the regular season, they faced

724
00:33:11,320 --> 00:33:15,200
Speaker 2: Andy Dalton and Justin Fields. They faced Bridgewater and Locke,

725
00:33:16,000 --> 00:33:19,480
Speaker 2: They face case Keenum, Josh Johnson, and Mike White, and

726
00:33:19,480 --> 00:33:22,360
Speaker 2: they start ranked twenty fifth in the NFL exposed to

727
00:33:22,400 --> 00:33:25,440
Speaker 2: past percentage. Cup had one hundred and forty five catches

728
00:33:25,520 --> 00:33:28,960
Speaker 2: during the regular season, added twenty five more so far

729
00:33:29,040 --> 00:33:31,959
Speaker 2: in three postseason games. It's one hundred and seventy total.

730
00:33:32,800 --> 00:33:36,320
Speaker 2: All those one hundred and seventy catches, twenty one went

731
00:33:36,400 --> 00:33:40,320
Speaker 2: for at least twenty nine yards. He played twenty games,

732
00:33:40,400 --> 00:33:44,240
Speaker 2: he had twenty one, so he's averaged over over slightly

733
00:33:44,280 --> 00:33:49,040
Speaker 2: over one catch of more than twenty nine yards per game.

734
00:33:49,720 --> 00:33:54,000
Speaker 2: And I think with this matchup he's gonna have a

735
00:33:54,000 --> 00:33:57,000
Speaker 2: really good chance to do it again. So I think

736
00:33:57,040 --> 00:34:01,760
Speaker 2: that this is two love a number on when I so,

737
00:34:01,840 --> 00:34:04,560
Speaker 2: I agree, I'm going to ride with Kerner and your

738
00:34:04,560 --> 00:34:07,560
Speaker 2: prop square is going finishing things off with another over.

739
00:34:08,440 --> 00:34:10,960
Speaker 1: Yeah, I like this one. This is I've bet this

740
00:34:11,040 --> 00:34:11,439
Speaker 1: as well.

741
00:34:11,560 --> 00:34:13,960
Speaker 4: It's it's just too well based on the history, like

742
00:34:14,280 --> 00:34:17,439
Speaker 4: you know, regardless of what you think of the game,

743
00:34:17,520 --> 00:34:20,120
Speaker 4: and you know, maybe you think the Bengals can stop

744
00:34:20,520 --> 00:34:21,520
Speaker 4: the Rams, you know.

745
00:34:21,560 --> 00:34:22,759
Speaker 3: But Cup, that's the thing.

746
00:34:23,160 --> 00:34:25,120
Speaker 1: He gets his win, lose draw.

747
00:34:25,560 --> 00:34:27,279
Speaker 4: Cup is gonna kind of get his And you know,

748
00:34:27,360 --> 00:34:29,160
Speaker 4: after seeing that game against the Chiefs and going back

749
00:34:29,160 --> 00:34:31,120
Speaker 4: and looking at what the Bengals did, which was a

750
00:34:31,160 --> 00:34:33,560
Speaker 4: lot of you know, dropping eight in the coverage in

751
00:34:33,600 --> 00:34:36,360
Speaker 4: the second half, you think about, who's the guy you

752
00:34:36,400 --> 00:34:38,319
Speaker 4: rely on in that situation if they if they have

753
00:34:38,400 --> 00:34:40,319
Speaker 4: to go to that, it's you know, it's Cooper Cup.

754
00:34:40,320 --> 00:34:41,720
Speaker 4: And if they have to go to that, that probably

755
00:34:41,760 --> 00:34:45,400
Speaker 4: means that the Rams had success early passing the ball anyway.

756
00:34:45,520 --> 00:34:50,040
Speaker 4: So it's it's it's one of those situations where I

757
00:34:50,040 --> 00:34:52,360
Speaker 4: think it's maybe it's not seventy five percent like the

758
00:34:52,360 --> 00:34:55,120
Speaker 4: past history, but uh, you know, twenty eight and a

759
00:34:55,160 --> 00:34:56,960
Speaker 4: half is essentially what the books are saying the median

760
00:34:57,080 --> 00:34:59,440
Speaker 4: is and I think that's way too well. All right,

761
00:34:59,560 --> 00:35:01,000
Speaker 4: that is going And to wrap up for our Super

762
00:35:01,040 --> 00:35:04,319
Speaker 4: Bowl fifty six Sunday six pack to recap Stuck is

763
00:35:04,360 --> 00:35:07,399
Speaker 4: going with Joe Mixon over twenty five and a half

764
00:35:07,400 --> 00:35:12,400
Speaker 4: receiving yards, Joe Burrow over half of an interception, and

765
00:35:12,600 --> 00:35:17,040
Speaker 4: Cooper Cup longest reception over twenty eight and a half yards.

766
00:35:17,239 --> 00:35:20,200
Speaker 4: I'm going tomaj p Ryan under fourteen and a half

767
00:35:20,360 --> 00:35:24,040
Speaker 4: rushing plus receiving yards, Matt Stafford under five and a

768
00:35:24,080 --> 00:35:28,600
Speaker 4: half rushing yards, and the first quarter under nine and

769
00:35:28,640 --> 00:35:29,920
Speaker 4: a half points.

770
00:35:30,239 --> 00:35:33,560
Speaker 3: In case we tie, y Vibreaker is going to be

771
00:35:34,080 --> 00:35:36,640
Speaker 3: Cooper Cup final receiving yards.

772
00:35:36,680 --> 00:35:43,279
Speaker 2: Right down, your number is whatever's closest boo, which that's say, Okay,

773
00:35:43,680 --> 00:35:45,160
Speaker 2: that's a pretty interesting range.

774
00:35:45,440 --> 00:35:46,360
Speaker 1: Yeah.

775
00:35:46,440 --> 00:35:49,560
Speaker 4: That concludes our Super Bowl fifty six Sunday six pack,

776
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777
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784
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786
00:36:22,840 --> 00:36:27,960
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787
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789
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790
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791
00:36:38,400 --> 00:36:41,640
Speaker 4: Cheers all right, Stuck, So now let's talk about the game,

792
00:36:41,760 --> 00:36:45,360
Speaker 4: the spread, the total. So we have the Rams favored

793
00:36:45,400 --> 00:36:47,399
Speaker 4: by four and a half points at bet MGM. It's

794
00:36:47,440 --> 00:36:49,360
Speaker 4: kind of been flip flopping between four four and a

795
00:36:49,440 --> 00:36:53,360
Speaker 4: half with the total at forty eight and a half.

796
00:36:53,880 --> 00:36:56,160
Speaker 4: So let's start with the spread.

797
00:36:56,360 --> 00:36:56,680
Speaker 1: Stuck.

798
00:36:56,800 --> 00:36:58,279
Speaker 4: You know, I kind of talked about what I think

799
00:36:58,320 --> 00:36:59,760
Speaker 4: is going to kind of happen in the first quarter,

800
00:36:59,800 --> 00:37:01,759
Speaker 4: but just more generally, you know, how do you think

801
00:37:01,800 --> 00:37:05,000
Speaker 4: each team, what's the strategy for each team, and ultimately

802
00:37:05,000 --> 00:37:06,839
Speaker 4: how do you think it's gonna end up playing out?

803
00:37:07,320 --> 00:37:09,000
Speaker 2: First of all, I make this spread around three, so

804
00:37:09,040 --> 00:37:11,680
Speaker 2: I show some value on the Bengals, but it's not

805
00:37:11,719 --> 00:37:13,799
Speaker 2: a ton, but I might get a little. And that's

806
00:37:13,840 --> 00:37:15,560
Speaker 2: the way I leave when the matchup first came out,

807
00:37:15,840 --> 00:37:17,600
Speaker 2: and give me the points if I can get over three,

808
00:37:17,760 --> 00:37:19,439
Speaker 2: but I might get a little greedy hear and wait

809
00:37:19,520 --> 00:37:21,360
Speaker 2: and see if I can get a better number live.

810
00:37:21,560 --> 00:37:24,600
Speaker 2: Because the way that I do set playing out is

811
00:37:24,640 --> 00:37:28,480
Speaker 2: I do think that the Rams will jump out first and.

812
00:37:28,440 --> 00:37:29,000
Speaker 3: Take a lead.

813
00:37:29,120 --> 00:37:30,960
Speaker 2: Obviously there's a lot of noise there, but this is

814
00:37:31,000 --> 00:37:34,839
Speaker 2: just how I think it's gonna play out, and you know,

815
00:37:35,000 --> 00:37:38,960
Speaker 2: it might be the preparation advantage of McVeigh. It's also

816
00:37:39,040 --> 00:37:41,640
Speaker 2: the fact that sometimes Taylor and these big games that

817
00:37:41,680 --> 00:37:45,920
Speaker 2: he's just gonna run inefficiently on early downs and kill

818
00:37:46,040 --> 00:37:48,879
Speaker 2: drives and then they unleashed Barrow in the passing game.

819
00:37:50,120 --> 00:37:53,360
Speaker 2: But I think that the key to the entire game

820
00:37:53,719 --> 00:37:55,560
Speaker 2: is the most obvious angle.

821
00:37:55,760 --> 00:37:57,799
Speaker 3: And you know, these angles get killed to death. But

822
00:37:58,080 --> 00:38:00,120
Speaker 3: is can.

823
00:38:01,920 --> 00:38:04,919
Speaker 2: Los Angeles' defensive line just completely take over this game?

824
00:38:05,560 --> 00:38:07,640
Speaker 3: And you know, are they gonna blitter or not?

825
00:38:07,719 --> 00:38:10,319
Speaker 2: That's an interesting question because Burrow just crushes kills the

826
00:38:10,320 --> 00:38:13,759
Speaker 2: blitz and you know, the Rams splits. I think twenty

827
00:38:13,760 --> 00:38:15,840
Speaker 2: eight percent of the time during the regular season. Are

828
00:38:15,880 --> 00:38:17,399
Speaker 2: they gonna dial that back a little bit? They should

829
00:38:17,400 --> 00:38:20,560
Speaker 2: be able to give pressure regardless, But what what does

830
00:38:20,560 --> 00:38:22,360
Speaker 2: Cincy do. I think that they're gonna go empty some

831
00:38:22,600 --> 00:38:26,040
Speaker 2: They're gonna use mixing some, but you know, is it

832
00:38:26,080 --> 00:38:30,160
Speaker 2: gonna end up being like Tampa Kan's city. That would

833
00:38:30,200 --> 00:38:33,040
Speaker 2: be my only fear if you like Cincinnati. If you

834
00:38:33,040 --> 00:38:36,080
Speaker 2: like Cincinnati here is that that defensive line just completely

835
00:38:36,080 --> 00:38:39,640
Speaker 2: dominated and took Mahomes out of the game. So but

836
00:38:39,760 --> 00:38:43,240
Speaker 2: I think that Ultimate is gonna start slow, the Rams

837
00:38:43,239 --> 00:38:46,239
Speaker 2: are gonna jump out to a lead. You're gonna they're

838
00:38:46,239 --> 00:38:49,520
Speaker 2: gonna you know, the Bengals are gonna unleash Burrow. Rams

839
00:38:49,520 --> 00:38:51,799
Speaker 2: play a lot of his own, they get pressure, they're

840
00:38:51,840 --> 00:38:53,000
Speaker 2: gonna be focused on.

841
00:38:53,760 --> 00:38:55,680
Speaker 3: Obviously, we focus a lot on Chase. Be interesting to

842
00:38:55,680 --> 00:38:56,360
Speaker 3: see how much.

843
00:38:56,320 --> 00:38:59,440
Speaker 2: Ramsey shadows and follows him around. That that's gonna be

844
00:38:59,440 --> 00:39:01,880
Speaker 2: one of the biggest storylines. But on Zone you can

845
00:39:01,960 --> 00:39:05,000
Speaker 2: kind of bracket him. Higgins one of the props we

846
00:39:05,040 --> 00:39:07,520
Speaker 2: didn't mention. I think can have a big day at

847
00:39:07,600 --> 00:39:10,800
Speaker 2: end zone here he's a we will talk about surprise

848
00:39:10,880 --> 00:39:14,000
Speaker 2: the MVPs. He's a potential MVP if you like a

849
00:39:14,000 --> 00:39:16,319
Speaker 2: long shot. But I think he can have a big day.

850
00:39:16,400 --> 00:39:18,080
Speaker 2: And then I think Burrow. It's gonna be a really

851
00:39:18,080 --> 00:39:23,200
Speaker 2: exciting game. Slow starting Rams take a lead, Bengals on

852
00:39:23,239 --> 00:39:30,480
Speaker 2: the comeback trail, and I say, ultimately the Rams win

853
00:39:30,520 --> 00:39:32,640
Speaker 2: by three. You know the interesting part about when we're

854
00:39:32,640 --> 00:39:35,040
Speaker 2: breaking down these games, why, I think it's more interesting

855
00:39:35,400 --> 00:39:38,479
Speaker 2: to look at some of these props and is there's

856
00:39:38,520 --> 00:39:40,920
Speaker 2: gonna be some ten There's gonna be some complete tendency

857
00:39:40,920 --> 00:39:43,279
Speaker 2: breakers super Bowl. Yeah right, you're gonna there might be

858
00:39:43,360 --> 00:39:45,960
Speaker 2: a different a completely different formation. The defense might run

859
00:39:46,000 --> 00:39:48,279
Speaker 2: something we've never seen before. This is the time to

860
00:39:48,280 --> 00:39:50,279
Speaker 2: do it. Win a Super Bowl throw out something you

861
00:39:50,280 --> 00:39:52,000
Speaker 2: don't have on tape, you don't worry about next week.

862
00:39:52,560 --> 00:39:54,680
Speaker 2: So keep that in mind as well. I think the

863
00:39:54,719 --> 00:39:57,799
Speaker 2: total is pretty spot on forty seven, one of the

864
00:39:57,840 --> 00:40:01,799
Speaker 2: five most important key total numbers. Forty five is also

865
00:40:01,800 --> 00:40:03,680
Speaker 2: really important to think, like twenty four to twenty one.

866
00:40:03,719 --> 00:40:06,680
Speaker 2: So if it does indeed start slow, I would love

867
00:40:06,719 --> 00:40:12,120
Speaker 2: to get a over at under forty five. So anything

868
00:40:12,160 --> 00:40:14,000
Speaker 2: below forty five, like if I can get like an

869
00:40:14,040 --> 00:40:16,360
Speaker 2: over forty, especially if I get an over over forty

870
00:40:16,360 --> 00:40:18,799
Speaker 2: three and a half at some point early on. I

871
00:40:18,840 --> 00:40:22,440
Speaker 2: do think that the offense will eventually come. And if

872
00:40:22,440 --> 00:40:24,520
Speaker 2: you look at what this Bengals defense has done, another

873
00:40:24,520 --> 00:40:26,480
Speaker 2: thing that should could scare.

874
00:40:26,320 --> 00:40:29,799
Speaker 3: Some people is they've had I think what.

875
00:40:29,920 --> 00:40:32,560
Speaker 2: Four drives in the postseason where that you know the

876
00:40:32,600 --> 00:40:34,440
Speaker 2: teams are inside of ten, they either had to settle

877
00:40:34,480 --> 00:40:37,600
Speaker 2: for vial or didn't score. They've benefited from a lot

878
00:40:37,600 --> 00:40:40,719
Speaker 2: of turnovers, so there's I think that there's some regression

879
00:40:40,760 --> 00:40:44,560
Speaker 2: coming for the Cincinnati defense, but I also think that

880
00:40:44,640 --> 00:40:48,600
Speaker 2: the Cincinnati offense can have some success if they allow

881
00:40:48,680 --> 00:40:52,239
Speaker 2: Burrow to do so, assuming the wild guard that the

882
00:40:52,280 --> 00:40:56,640
Speaker 2: defensive line for Los Angeles Donald, but he don't completely

883
00:40:56,680 --> 00:41:01,880
Speaker 2: dominate up front. So I think it's there's some intriguing

884
00:41:01,920 --> 00:41:06,320
Speaker 2: matchups here with some nice star power and some new blood.

885
00:41:06,440 --> 00:41:08,239
Speaker 3: So I think it'll be a really interesting game and

886
00:41:08,280 --> 00:41:09,440
Speaker 3: hopefully our props can come through.

887
00:41:09,440 --> 00:41:11,840
Speaker 2: But that's how I see it playing out before we

888
00:41:11,880 --> 00:41:14,919
Speaker 2: get to some of the end stuff with MVP and

889
00:41:14,920 --> 00:41:16,799
Speaker 2: and Gator and whatnot. How do you see it playing out?

890
00:41:17,480 --> 00:41:20,200
Speaker 1: Yeah, I think the I think the Rams are the

891
00:41:20,239 --> 00:41:20,640
Speaker 1: better team.

892
00:41:21,360 --> 00:41:23,279
Speaker 4: I still think this is too many points, even with

893
00:41:23,320 --> 00:41:24,960
Speaker 4: them being at home. I make it around two and

894
00:41:25,000 --> 00:41:28,560
Speaker 4: a half. I was surprised that it opened higher than

895
00:41:28,560 --> 00:41:30,319
Speaker 4: a field goal. I thought I thought the three was

896
00:41:30,360 --> 00:41:32,640
Speaker 4: just the right number for this game. I think fours

897
00:41:33,040 --> 00:41:35,279
Speaker 4: and now you're getting into four and a half is

898
00:41:35,400 --> 00:41:39,080
Speaker 4: just too high, simply because the Bengals coming into a

899
00:41:39,120 --> 00:41:40,880
Speaker 4: lot of these games of what like the you know,

900
00:41:40,920 --> 00:41:42,600
Speaker 4: inferior team even in the posts. I mean, they were

901
00:41:42,719 --> 00:41:45,200
Speaker 4: underdogs to the Titans, they were underdogs to the Chiefs.

902
00:41:45,600 --> 00:41:46,359
Speaker 1: They won those games.

903
00:41:46,360 --> 00:41:49,560
Speaker 4: It wasn't pretty necessarily, but that's the point. This team

904
00:41:49,560 --> 00:41:53,400
Speaker 4: has just been so difficult to put away. And given

905
00:41:53,440 --> 00:41:56,000
Speaker 4: that the Rams are a team that they sit back

906
00:41:56,000 --> 00:41:59,000
Speaker 4: in zone coverage, you know, it's they have talent. They

907
00:41:59,040 --> 00:42:00,759
Speaker 4: have enough talent to do it, and they can get

908
00:42:00,760 --> 00:42:03,880
Speaker 4: pressure with their front and so they can kind of

909
00:42:03,880 --> 00:42:07,120
Speaker 4: sit back and protect. But at the same time, you

910
00:42:07,200 --> 00:42:10,520
Speaker 4: still have two weeks to prepare for it. And it's

911
00:42:10,520 --> 00:42:13,960
Speaker 4: not one of those things where the Rams could or

912
00:42:14,000 --> 00:42:17,720
Speaker 4: should really be breaking tendency by playing more man or blitzing,

913
00:42:17,760 --> 00:42:21,360
Speaker 4: because guess what, Cincinnati great against zone but out of

914
00:42:21,400 --> 00:42:24,080
Speaker 4: this world against man coverage. So the Rams are just

915
00:42:24,120 --> 00:42:25,960
Speaker 4: kind of locked into doing what they do. And I

916
00:42:26,000 --> 00:42:29,319
Speaker 4: think kind of as you're alluding to, like, at some point,

917
00:42:29,640 --> 00:42:31,399
Speaker 4: I feel like Joe Burrow is going to figure this out.

918
00:42:31,480 --> 00:42:33,200
Speaker 4: At some point he's just gonna make a play, Like

919
00:42:33,400 --> 00:42:35,360
Speaker 4: I don't doubt that the Rams will get to him,

920
00:42:35,520 --> 00:42:39,000
Speaker 4: but here's the thing. You know, we've seen Burrow got

921
00:42:39,040 --> 00:42:40,240
Speaker 4: get dropped nine times.

922
00:42:40,000 --> 00:42:40,279
Speaker 1: In a game.

923
00:42:40,320 --> 00:42:42,320
Speaker 4: He still threw for over three hundred yards, made the

924
00:42:42,320 --> 00:42:44,799
Speaker 4: big plays when he needed to, they pull out the win.

925
00:42:44,960 --> 00:42:48,719
Speaker 4: So I think the Bengals, you know, they've lost by

926
00:42:48,880 --> 00:42:51,560
Speaker 4: more than three twice a year. I just think that

927
00:42:51,640 --> 00:42:56,080
Speaker 4: three was the right number, and anything above that, i'd

928
00:42:56,080 --> 00:42:58,959
Speaker 4: be looking at, you know them, and they're here sitting

929
00:42:58,960 --> 00:43:01,520
Speaker 4: here at four. So I already played some at four

930
00:43:01,560 --> 00:43:03,480
Speaker 4: when it first came out, and I'll probably play a

931
00:43:03,520 --> 00:43:06,840
Speaker 4: little more at four and a half. So you know,

932
00:43:07,000 --> 00:43:08,600
Speaker 4: it's that's that's kind of how I see it. I

933
00:43:08,640 --> 00:43:11,000
Speaker 4: do think that at least the Rams with the Rams

934
00:43:11,040 --> 00:43:13,839
Speaker 4: have going for them, uh is they are the better team.

935
00:43:14,200 --> 00:43:15,960
Speaker 1: They at least their scheme is.

936
00:43:16,000 --> 00:43:18,279
Speaker 4: Zonne heavy, so that's that's still a benefit because we've

937
00:43:18,280 --> 00:43:20,719
Speaker 4: seen these man heavy blitz teams just they just really

938
00:43:20,719 --> 00:43:22,160
Speaker 4: don't know what to do against the Bengals.

939
00:43:22,400 --> 00:43:23,680
Speaker 1: Uh It's it's just not pretty.

940
00:43:24,040 --> 00:43:26,439
Speaker 4: I think on offense, it's it hasn't been talked about

941
00:43:26,480 --> 00:43:29,080
Speaker 4: as much, but I was really impressive with the Bengals

942
00:43:29,160 --> 00:43:31,080
Speaker 4: did on defense in the second half, and I think

943
00:43:31,080 --> 00:43:33,120
Speaker 4: that's a big key too, because I think we both

944
00:43:33,200 --> 00:43:35,800
Speaker 4: kind of feel like Bengals can kind of on offense,

945
00:43:35,840 --> 00:43:37,960
Speaker 4: can kind of crack this Rams defense open at some

946
00:43:38,080 --> 00:43:39,719
Speaker 4: point in a game, but the.

947
00:43:39,719 --> 00:43:41,160
Speaker 1: Bengals defense has to keep a minute.

948
00:43:41,560 --> 00:43:44,680
Speaker 4: And we've seen the Rams have some slow starts as well.

949
00:43:46,120 --> 00:43:49,000
Speaker 2: What's got them here defense got them to the super

950
00:43:49,000 --> 00:43:51,160
Speaker 2: Bowl and then yeah, I mean, I don't know, he's

951
00:43:51,200 --> 00:43:54,160
Speaker 2: done a tremendous stop just to surtizing coverages they they

952
00:43:54,440 --> 00:43:57,160
Speaker 2: they don't really have, Like here's their tendency, right though.

953
00:43:57,760 --> 00:43:59,880
Speaker 2: You look at like their their coverages to cover two

954
00:44:00,040 --> 00:44:03,080
Speaker 2: over three, cover one, like it's like it depends on

955
00:44:03,080 --> 00:44:05,400
Speaker 2: the opponent, which I like for two weeks to prepare

956
00:44:05,400 --> 00:44:07,600
Speaker 2: and then they're able to adjust. They should against the Chiefs.

957
00:44:07,600 --> 00:44:11,640
Speaker 2: So yeah, I like that aspect as well. And their

958
00:44:11,640 --> 00:44:13,240
Speaker 2: defense is what's got out of here?

959
00:44:13,480 --> 00:44:15,279
Speaker 4: Yeah, and so yeah, I think that the second half

960
00:44:15,320 --> 00:44:17,759
Speaker 4: adjustments for the Bengals, I think they can kind of

961
00:44:17,760 --> 00:44:21,320
Speaker 4: limit if they can limit the opening storm, which I

962
00:44:21,400 --> 00:44:23,000
Speaker 4: think they have a good chance of just because we've

963
00:44:23,000 --> 00:44:25,600
Speaker 4: seen super Bowls tend to be well, we're scoring in

964
00:44:25,640 --> 00:44:27,640
Speaker 4: the first court. It tends to affect both teams, you know,

965
00:44:27,719 --> 00:44:29,080
Speaker 4: even though the Rams are at home, which is another

966
00:44:29,080 --> 00:44:30,920
Speaker 4: reason I don't give them a massive home field advantage.

967
00:44:31,000 --> 00:44:32,320
Speaker 4: Even though they're at home, they're still going to be

968
00:44:32,360 --> 00:44:32,719
Speaker 4: nerves there.

969
00:44:32,719 --> 00:44:34,120
Speaker 1: There's still gonna be all that same stuff.

970
00:44:34,360 --> 00:44:36,319
Speaker 4: If they could just weather a storm and not get

971
00:44:36,360 --> 00:44:39,880
Speaker 4: down like fourteen nothing. You know, I think the second

972
00:44:39,880 --> 00:44:42,839
Speaker 4: half favors the Bengals, and I think it favors them

973
00:44:42,880 --> 00:44:46,040
Speaker 4: based on the adjustments we've seen them make. You know,

974
00:44:46,080 --> 00:44:48,400
Speaker 4: against the Chiefs, I think that was extremely impressive, and

975
00:44:48,440 --> 00:44:51,200
Speaker 4: I think it it just favors them because the longer

976
00:44:51,239 --> 00:44:53,680
Speaker 4: you can kind of stick with the Rams, you know,

977
00:44:53,880 --> 00:44:56,880
Speaker 4: the Rams can't just get a comfortable weed and focus

978
00:44:56,920 --> 00:44:59,200
Speaker 4: on that. You know, that run scheme, Stafford is gonna

979
00:44:59,200 --> 00:45:01,200
Speaker 4: have to make plays. That's been the Achilles heel of

980
00:45:01,200 --> 00:45:03,440
Speaker 4: the Rams. It's just, you know, they're a strong team

981
00:45:03,480 --> 00:45:05,360
Speaker 4: all over. They're good on defense, they're good on offense.

982
00:45:05,840 --> 00:45:09,479
Speaker 4: Uh the kicker's pretty good. But Stafford turning the ball over,

983
00:45:09,520 --> 00:45:11,240
Speaker 4: you know that that can that can kind of shift

984
00:45:11,239 --> 00:45:14,200
Speaker 4: things because with Burrow, it's already kind of baked in.

985
00:45:14,520 --> 00:45:16,799
Speaker 4: Like Burrow's had his big games and led this team

986
00:45:17,080 --> 00:45:20,120
Speaker 4: to where he has, you know, with getting you know,

987
00:45:20,239 --> 00:45:21,839
Speaker 4: what is it we led the league in sacks during

988
00:45:21,840 --> 00:45:24,080
Speaker 4: the regular season. He took nine sacks in the playoff game.

989
00:45:24,080 --> 00:45:26,360
Speaker 4: He's thrown picks. You know, he was one of the

990
00:45:26,400 --> 00:45:30,399
Speaker 4: most interceptive quarterbacks you know this season, So that's kind

991
00:45:30,400 --> 00:45:33,800
Speaker 4: of baked in with Burrow. But you know, the Rams

992
00:45:33,880 --> 00:45:37,040
Speaker 4: essentially have to be up to scores probably heading into

993
00:45:37,080 --> 00:45:39,520
Speaker 4: that last drive, because I think it's the same thing.

994
00:45:39,520 --> 00:45:41,759
Speaker 4: It's like, you know, if the Bengals are down, If

995
00:45:41,800 --> 00:45:44,000
Speaker 4: the Bengals are down, there's a good chance they can

996
00:45:44,200 --> 00:45:47,719
Speaker 4: kind of get a back door here and and and

997
00:45:48,000 --> 00:45:50,480
Speaker 4: pull it to within three or something. So there's I

998
00:45:50,560 --> 00:45:52,280
Speaker 4: think four and a half is just too many points.

999
00:45:52,320 --> 00:45:54,000
Speaker 4: I do think the Rams are a better team for

1000
00:45:54,000 --> 00:45:56,200
Speaker 4: anyone who's betting on the money line, but I think

1001
00:45:56,239 --> 00:45:57,440
Speaker 4: they're just a little bit over value.

1002
00:45:57,480 --> 00:45:59,680
Speaker 1: I think you're paying a premium because of it.

1003
00:45:59,719 --> 00:46:02,400
Speaker 4: And everything we've known about the Bengals this year is

1004
00:46:02,440 --> 00:46:06,399
Speaker 4: that they can be a slightly inferior team and still

1005
00:46:06,440 --> 00:46:08,040
Speaker 4: hang around and give themselves with a chance to win.

1006
00:46:08,080 --> 00:46:10,000
Speaker 1: So yeah, I'm on the Bengals.

1007
00:46:09,800 --> 00:46:12,319
Speaker 4: But this is this is their toughest test, and I

1008
00:46:12,320 --> 00:46:15,400
Speaker 4: think it's gonna benefit McVeigh. You know, having been there, before,

1009
00:46:15,719 --> 00:46:17,239
Speaker 4: because you know what I kind of worry about with

1010
00:46:17,239 --> 00:46:20,080
Speaker 4: the Bengals, like the Phoenix Suns. What happened to the

1011
00:46:20,080 --> 00:46:23,160
Speaker 4: Suns in the NBA Finals where it's like they were

1012
00:46:23,200 --> 00:46:25,720
Speaker 4: clearly the best team, it had like the most upside

1013
00:46:25,760 --> 00:46:27,359
Speaker 4: in that in that series, but they didn't they weren't

1014
00:46:27,360 --> 00:46:29,759
Speaker 4: tested like they didn't they didn't really struggle like they

1015
00:46:29,840 --> 00:46:31,439
Speaker 4: had that one year where they were in the bubble

1016
00:46:31,440 --> 00:46:32,360
Speaker 4: and they didn't make the playoffs.

1017
00:46:32,360 --> 00:46:33,120
Speaker 1: Where it's like the.

1018
00:46:33,120 --> 00:46:36,240
Speaker 4: Rams have had that kind of now that postseason heartbreak

1019
00:46:36,280 --> 00:46:38,319
Speaker 4: for a few years and kind of got into the

1020
00:46:38,360 --> 00:46:40,839
Speaker 4: brink and the Bengals they have met, so that that's

1021
00:46:40,880 --> 00:46:42,520
Speaker 4: the thing you kind of worry about here where it's

1022
00:46:42,600 --> 00:46:46,040
Speaker 4: like the Rams, they they they're less likely to sputter

1023
00:46:46,120 --> 00:46:47,920
Speaker 4: in a big moment, and you know, so that's why

1024
00:46:47,920 --> 00:46:48,960
Speaker 4: I still give them the edge.

1025
00:46:49,000 --> 00:46:52,680
Speaker 1: I think they're a better team. But four and a half.

1026
00:46:52,719 --> 00:46:55,120
Speaker 4: That's as we've known all season long with some of

1027
00:46:55,160 --> 00:46:58,319
Speaker 4: the more disgusting picks than this, it's just tough, man,

1028
00:46:58,520 --> 00:47:00,400
Speaker 4: It's tough in a game like this into that two

1029
00:47:00,440 --> 00:47:03,719
Speaker 4: weeks to prepare and they're still relatively even match. So yeah,

1030
00:47:03,880 --> 00:47:05,880
Speaker 4: I think I think the right play is the Bengals

1031
00:47:06,200 --> 00:47:07,160
Speaker 4: on the spread here.

1032
00:47:07,560 --> 00:47:09,920
Speaker 2: Yeah, Barrow eleven and two against the spread of his

1033
00:47:09,960 --> 00:47:12,440
Speaker 2: career as an underdog of three or more points, and

1034
00:47:13,040 --> 00:47:15,600
Speaker 2: the Bengals are six and one against the spread as

1035
00:47:15,680 --> 00:47:18,640
Speaker 2: road underdogs this year. I also think the Bengals, why

1036
00:47:18,680 --> 00:47:20,759
Speaker 2: I might just I'll probably bet small plus four in

1037
00:47:20,760 --> 00:47:23,759
Speaker 2: after pregame. I'll be looking to add more early. You know,

1038
00:47:23,760 --> 00:47:25,120
Speaker 2: I say, I they got down seven to nothing, and

1039
00:47:25,160 --> 00:47:26,960
Speaker 2: then I'll be looking to add more if they go

1040
00:47:27,040 --> 00:47:30,560
Speaker 2: down like two scores. Maybe for if they're down two

1041
00:47:30,560 --> 00:47:32,120
Speaker 2: scores at the half, or maybe they're they're down like

1042
00:47:32,160 --> 00:47:33,080
Speaker 2: ten in the third quarter.

1043
00:47:33,440 --> 00:47:34,279
Speaker 3: Because McVeigh is.

1044
00:47:34,239 --> 00:47:36,560
Speaker 2: Also one of the most conservative coaches in the NFL,

1045
00:47:36,840 --> 00:47:38,840
Speaker 2: so he's gonna like, if they're up, he's going to

1046
00:47:38,920 --> 00:47:42,479
Speaker 2: give them an opportunity where instead of like going forward

1047
00:47:42,480 --> 00:47:44,200
Speaker 2: on fourth to one to end it, he's gonna punt

1048
00:47:44,200 --> 00:47:46,920
Speaker 2: it back to Burton. So I think that that that

1049
00:47:46,960 --> 00:47:49,040
Speaker 2: could end up coming back to bite the Rams as well.

1050
00:47:50,800 --> 00:47:54,640
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1051
00:47:55,040 --> 00:47:57,759
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1069
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1073
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1075
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1079
00:49:22,000 --> 00:49:22,439
Speaker 5: to the show.

1080
00:49:24,000 --> 00:49:26,319
Speaker 2: As far as Gator and I don't know. I mean

1081
00:49:26,320 --> 00:49:28,839
Speaker 2: there's blue and there's blue the Rams, and then there's

1082
00:49:29,040 --> 00:49:31,239
Speaker 2: orange for the Bengals. Ones plus two and ones plus

1083
00:49:31,239 --> 00:49:32,839
Speaker 2: two and or one you just bet both. I can't

1084
00:49:32,840 --> 00:49:36,760
Speaker 2: imagine there'd be another color. But MVP kiosk your thoughts

1085
00:49:36,760 --> 00:49:39,200
Speaker 2: on that. My thoughts were, Look, Ramsey had one hundred

1086
00:49:39,239 --> 00:49:41,400
Speaker 2: to one. We did an MVP draft. You took Higgins

1087
00:49:41,400 --> 00:49:44,239
Speaker 2: before me. Yeah, in the MVP draft I would have

1088
00:49:44,239 --> 00:49:47,680
Speaker 2: wet Higgins like forty fifty to one my because I

1089
00:49:47,680 --> 00:49:49,080
Speaker 2: think he can have a huge day, a lot of

1090
00:49:49,440 --> 00:49:51,920
Speaker 2: against his own heavy Rams, A lot of attention on Chase.

1091
00:49:52,160 --> 00:49:55,200
Speaker 2: My only thing is like it's Joe Burrow, Like he's

1092
00:49:55,239 --> 00:49:57,439
Speaker 2: like and it's part of it's vote, Like, it's gonna

1093
00:49:57,440 --> 00:50:00,520
Speaker 2: be hard for him not to get voted if the

1094
00:50:01,160 --> 00:50:04,640
Speaker 2: Bengals win, more so than like Cup over Stafford, Like

1095
00:50:04,680 --> 00:50:06,440
Speaker 2: I could see Cup winning it, but I think there

1096
00:50:06,440 --> 00:50:09,120
Speaker 2: is value in Higgins. If it's low scoring and you

1097
00:50:09,160 --> 00:50:11,160
Speaker 2: want someone that's gonna make a play, could be Ramsey.

1098
00:50:11,200 --> 00:50:13,359
Speaker 2: Like Ramsey in that star position, he's around the ball

1099
00:50:13,400 --> 00:50:16,120
Speaker 2: more he gets a pick six, Burrow's not afraid to

1100
00:50:16,120 --> 00:50:18,360
Speaker 2: throw him. If he's covering Chase, he's gonna have opportunity.

1101
00:50:18,480 --> 00:50:20,040
Speaker 2: Like a lot of times, Ramsey's just not near the

1102
00:50:20,040 --> 00:50:21,400
Speaker 2: ball right in his career.

1103
00:50:21,480 --> 00:50:24,400
Speaker 3: I think that he will be here. That slow scoring

1104
00:50:24,560 --> 00:50:26,560
Speaker 3: is the house no recognition. I mean, look the same thing.

1105
00:50:26,560 --> 00:50:28,239
Speaker 2: Canna have a von Miller and Aaron but they're like

1106
00:50:28,280 --> 00:50:30,319
Speaker 2: six to one and ten to one, Like yeah, yeah,

1107
00:50:30,440 --> 00:50:34,520
Speaker 2: I can't pay that for a defensive player. So yeah,

1108
00:50:34,560 --> 00:50:39,040
Speaker 2: I guess, uh, Ramsey and uh and Higgins. If you

1109
00:50:39,200 --> 00:50:42,960
Speaker 2: like a long shot, and I don't mind Cup, he's

1110
00:50:42,960 --> 00:50:44,640
Speaker 2: just gonna get his And if he does both of

1111
00:50:44,640 --> 00:50:48,399
Speaker 2: the touchdowns, I could see him winning it at what's

1112
00:50:48,400 --> 00:50:49,239
Speaker 2: six seven to one?

1113
00:50:49,560 --> 00:50:50,760
Speaker 3: And he thoughts from the MVP.

1114
00:50:51,200 --> 00:50:55,920
Speaker 4: Yeah, I think you know and I should mention, you know,

1115
00:50:56,160 --> 00:50:58,080
Speaker 4: the total which is for you know, we kind of

1116
00:50:58,080 --> 00:50:58,640
Speaker 4: talked about it.

1117
00:50:58,680 --> 00:51:00,560
Speaker 1: We're kind of in line with it. It's forty eight

1118
00:51:00,560 --> 00:51:01,040
Speaker 1: and a half.

1119
00:51:01,280 --> 00:51:03,120
Speaker 4: Sixty one percent bets are on the over, but eighty

1120
00:51:03,120 --> 00:51:04,800
Speaker 4: percent of the money is on the under according to

1121
00:51:04,880 --> 00:51:08,040
Speaker 4: our public betting data in the Action Network app. So

1122
00:51:08,520 --> 00:51:10,239
Speaker 4: the bigger money is on the under. I think if

1123
00:51:10,280 --> 00:51:12,839
Speaker 4: you kind of look at it from that perspective, there

1124
00:51:12,840 --> 00:51:16,040
Speaker 4: could be a situation where a receiver, one of the

1125
00:51:16,080 --> 00:51:19,279
Speaker 4: receivers has a big game, but the quarterback still throws

1126
00:51:19,400 --> 00:51:21,680
Speaker 4: like two fifty, and if the receiver gets like one

1127
00:51:21,719 --> 00:51:25,000
Speaker 4: of the two touchdowns that the quarterback throws, there is

1128
00:51:25,040 --> 00:51:27,040
Speaker 4: a good chance that a receiver could win. I mean,

1129
00:51:27,040 --> 00:51:28,960
Speaker 4: we saw Edelman win it without a touchdown in a

1130
00:51:29,000 --> 00:51:31,680
Speaker 4: game against mcvay's Rams a couple of years ago in

1131
00:51:31,760 --> 00:51:33,719
Speaker 4: the Super Bowl. Just had over one hundred yards, had

1132
00:51:33,719 --> 00:51:36,680
Speaker 4: a bunch of catches, no touchdown, will scoring game. But

1133
00:51:37,560 --> 00:51:39,920
Speaker 4: I certainly loved the Higgins call that that was my pick.

1134
00:51:40,640 --> 00:51:43,600
Speaker 4: He's the guy that Chase has been great against Don

1135
00:51:43,680 --> 00:51:47,240
Speaker 4: and man, but he's been about over a yard per route.

1136
00:51:47,080 --> 00:51:48,480
Speaker 1: Better versus man coverage.

1137
00:51:48,480 --> 00:51:50,920
Speaker 4: Has Chase whereas Higgins has been even both ways, and

1138
00:51:50,960 --> 00:51:54,200
Speaker 4: so that just lends to in this type of matchup,

1139
00:51:54,239 --> 00:51:56,040
Speaker 4: there's a greater possibility.

1140
00:51:55,440 --> 00:51:56,960
Speaker 1: That Higgins has a bigger game than Chase.

1141
00:51:56,960 --> 00:51:59,080
Speaker 4: It doesn't mean he's more likely to, but that's why

1142
00:51:59,120 --> 00:52:01,040
Speaker 4: you're getting him at you know, forty five to one

1143
00:52:01,200 --> 00:52:02,160
Speaker 4: and Chase's sixteen.

1144
00:52:02,160 --> 00:52:04,480
Speaker 2: He also could have the best core in the NFL. Shadowing,

1145
00:52:04,680 --> 00:52:06,320
Speaker 2: I'm sure there's two weeks to repair. They're gonna be

1146
00:52:06,880 --> 00:52:09,319
Speaker 2: all the plan to make sure. So like, yeah, there's

1147
00:52:09,320 --> 00:52:10,880
Speaker 2: a lot of reasons to like Higgins.

1148
00:52:11,120 --> 00:52:12,880
Speaker 1: And then and he's really good.

1149
00:52:12,920 --> 00:52:15,000
Speaker 4: And and four of the last seventeen Super Bowls defended

1150
00:52:15,040 --> 00:52:17,520
Speaker 4: with a wide receiver winning, which over twelve it's twelve

1151
00:52:17,560 --> 00:52:20,320
Speaker 4: and a half percent for you know, all the Super Bowls,

1152
00:52:20,400 --> 00:52:24,280
Speaker 4: but that essentially doubles over the last seventeen years. So, uh,

1153
00:52:24,360 --> 00:52:26,759
Speaker 4: the receivers I think our guys to look at, and

1154
00:52:26,800 --> 00:52:30,000
Speaker 4: I think Higgins is just the best value among them.

1155
00:52:30,280 --> 00:52:33,120
Speaker 4: And then another name I'll throw out, uh kind of

1156
00:52:33,640 --> 00:52:36,600
Speaker 4: you know you mentioned Ramsey. Another one I like, But

1157
00:52:36,680 --> 00:52:39,080
Speaker 4: here's here's a sneaky one because sometimes and we've seen this,

1158
00:52:39,280 --> 00:52:41,840
Speaker 4: like Malcolm Smith, and it's a defensive player. It's not

1159
00:52:41,840 --> 00:52:43,520
Speaker 4: always the star, it's the guy.

1160
00:52:43,480 --> 00:52:45,600
Speaker 3: At right point, right place, right time, right time.

1161
00:52:45,760 --> 00:52:48,560
Speaker 2: So that's why I would go Ran the only reason

1162
00:52:49,000 --> 00:52:50,719
Speaker 2: because there it is so random with a lot of

1163
00:52:50,719 --> 00:52:51,520
Speaker 2: times with defenders.

1164
00:52:51,560 --> 00:52:54,040
Speaker 3: But that's why I went Ramsey because he does have

1165
00:52:54,040 --> 00:52:54,800
Speaker 3: househod Namorgans.

1166
00:52:54,920 --> 00:52:56,200
Speaker 2: He could be run the ball, but he's also one

1167
00:52:56,239 --> 00:52:58,840
Speaker 2: hundred to one, so like if it's low scoring, it

1168
00:52:58,840 --> 00:53:00,400
Speaker 2: could be someone random and.

1169
00:53:00,320 --> 00:53:01,400
Speaker 3: You know he might be on the ball. He's a

1170
00:53:01,440 --> 00:53:02,000
Speaker 3: hundred to one.

1171
00:53:02,200 --> 00:53:04,160
Speaker 2: That's why I couldn't do Donald like six to one,

1172
00:53:04,239 --> 00:53:06,480
Speaker 2: like he would have to like you have to force

1173
00:53:06,480 --> 00:53:08,040
Speaker 2: a fumble, you have to get a fumble, and like

1174
00:53:08,480 --> 00:53:09,600
Speaker 2: six to one, it's.

1175
00:53:09,440 --> 00:53:13,240
Speaker 1: Like here's the name Leonard Floyd.

1176
00:53:13,719 --> 00:53:17,680
Speaker 4: That to me, like you're gonna have focus on Donald,

1177
00:53:17,760 --> 00:53:20,799
Speaker 4: You're gonna have to focus on uh, you know von

1178
00:53:20,880 --> 00:53:24,400
Speaker 4: Miller obviously, And to me, he's just another one of

1179
00:53:24,400 --> 00:53:26,479
Speaker 4: those guys like you know, maybe he gets a bunch

1180
00:53:26,480 --> 00:53:29,920
Speaker 4: of snaps on uh, you know against those that Bengals

1181
00:53:29,960 --> 00:53:30,520
Speaker 4: right tackle.

1182
00:53:30,840 --> 00:53:32,720
Speaker 1: You know, we'll see how they how they what they.

1183
00:53:32,560 --> 00:53:35,239
Speaker 4: Do with him, they move him around, but he just

1184
00:53:35,280 --> 00:53:37,439
Speaker 4: seems like one of those guys that if Donald makes

1185
00:53:37,440 --> 00:53:40,279
Speaker 4: a play, you know, if Miller makes a play, if

1186
00:53:40,280 --> 00:53:42,279
Speaker 4: if they're focused on him, where he could still be

1187
00:53:42,320 --> 00:53:45,320
Speaker 4: that right place, right time guy, whether it's a tip ball,

1188
00:53:45,400 --> 00:53:48,200
Speaker 4: whether it's you know, him forcing a fumble, scoop and

1189
00:53:48,280 --> 00:53:52,239
Speaker 4: score Donald forcing a fumble, Floyd scooping and scoring.

1190
00:53:51,920 --> 00:53:53,080
Speaker 1: It, like just something.

1191
00:53:53,320 --> 00:53:56,560
Speaker 4: You know, he's another one of these guys, talented guy

1192
00:53:56,600 --> 00:53:57,560
Speaker 4: on that front that.

1193
00:53:59,000 --> 00:54:00,680
Speaker 1: Is, you know, he's one hundred fifth to one.

1194
00:54:01,000 --> 00:54:03,040
Speaker 4: He's still a big enough he's not he's not a

1195
00:54:03,040 --> 00:54:05,759
Speaker 4: big name superstar like the others, but he's still a

1196
00:54:05,760 --> 00:54:07,879
Speaker 4: big enough name to where if he had a great

1197
00:54:07,880 --> 00:54:10,080
Speaker 4: defensive game and a defensive player was going to get it,

1198
00:54:10,440 --> 00:54:12,000
Speaker 4: Like I think he would get voted.

1199
00:54:12,080 --> 00:54:12,279
Speaker 1: You know.

1200
00:54:12,400 --> 00:54:15,400
Speaker 4: So that's kind of a again, and these things are random.

1201
00:54:15,440 --> 00:54:17,080
Speaker 4: But that's that's just the name I'll throw out there.

1202
00:54:17,120 --> 00:54:17,279
Speaker 2: Here.

1203
00:54:17,280 --> 00:54:18,480
Speaker 1: Here's here's another name I throw on.

1204
00:54:18,560 --> 00:54:20,280
Speaker 3: I might have to put just a couple of dollars

1205
00:54:20,280 --> 00:54:20,520
Speaker 3: on this.

1206
00:54:20,640 --> 00:54:25,600
Speaker 2: Yeah, well, right, Weddle gets a pick six, just a

1207
00:54:25,800 --> 00:54:31,319
Speaker 2: storybook story alone. They'll be talking about it on the broadcast,

1208
00:54:31,640 --> 00:54:35,160
Speaker 2: like this guy was retired and he would I mean,

1209
00:54:36,120 --> 00:54:37,439
Speaker 2: I don't even know if he could find a number

1210
00:54:37,440 --> 00:54:39,439
Speaker 2: on him, but I might have to throw like.

1211
00:54:41,120 --> 00:54:42,160
Speaker 3: Twenty bucks on wet.

1212
00:54:42,560 --> 00:54:44,839
Speaker 4: Right, like Ramsey gets like a tip a tip ball

1213
00:54:44,840 --> 00:54:46,680
Speaker 4: and it goes right into Weto's hands and like it

1214
00:54:46,719 --> 00:54:49,839
Speaker 4: happens like twice at the end of the game. It's

1215
00:54:49,880 --> 00:54:52,520
Speaker 4: like it happens or something. Yeah, No, I mean that's

1216
00:54:52,520 --> 00:54:55,000
Speaker 4: this is looks fun about that. But the wayser approaches

1217
00:54:55,040 --> 00:54:56,799
Speaker 4: I think is just you know, bet the values either

1218
00:54:56,800 --> 00:54:58,840
Speaker 4: way because it's MVP, you're getting such long odds. But

1219
00:54:59,160 --> 00:55:00,960
Speaker 4: you know, I think people are a skew towards the

1220
00:55:00,960 --> 00:55:02,680
Speaker 4: team they like and bet the players on that team.

1221
00:55:02,960 --> 00:55:05,040
Speaker 4: So if you like the Bengals, yeah, we've never seen

1222
00:55:05,040 --> 00:55:07,359
Speaker 4: a kicker win it, but if there was ever a

1223
00:55:07,400 --> 00:55:09,839
Speaker 4: time for a kicker to potentially win it, this could

1224
00:55:09,880 --> 00:55:11,920
Speaker 4: be it because I think you're gonna need that Bengals

1225
00:55:11,920 --> 00:55:14,040
Speaker 4: defense to step up again hold the Rams to some

1226
00:55:14,080 --> 00:55:16,279
Speaker 4: field goals, and then you turn it into a field

1227
00:55:16,320 --> 00:55:18,480
Speaker 4: goal game. So like the Bengals have won a fifteen

1228
00:55:18,520 --> 00:55:20,480
Speaker 4: to ten game already this year, you know, like there's

1229
00:55:21,000 --> 00:55:23,839
Speaker 4: there's there's a chance that if it's like another one

1230
00:55:23,880 --> 00:55:25,480
Speaker 4: of those games, like what was it thirteen to three

1231
00:55:25,480 --> 00:55:27,200
Speaker 4: the last time the Rams played, If it's another one

1232
00:55:27,200 --> 00:55:29,680
Speaker 4: of those goal scoring games. But McPherson makes like, you know,

1233
00:55:29,680 --> 00:55:32,160
Speaker 4: two or three field goals from over fifty and like

1234
00:55:32,200 --> 00:55:32,640
Speaker 4: four or.

1235
00:55:32,560 --> 00:55:33,839
Speaker 1: Five on the game and the Bengals win.

1236
00:55:33,960 --> 00:55:35,600
Speaker 4: I mean, there's a chance he could get it because

1237
00:55:35,640 --> 00:55:37,640
Speaker 4: he's kind of got that hype after you know, winning

1238
00:55:37,760 --> 00:55:40,600
Speaker 4: you know, sending them, you know, to to the af Championship,

1239
00:55:40,880 --> 00:55:43,960
Speaker 4: sending them to the Super Bowl with kicks. So his

1240
00:55:44,280 --> 00:55:47,360
Speaker 4: name is kind of in the in the the national

1241
00:55:47,440 --> 00:55:50,160
Speaker 4: narrative at this point, so you know, it's never happened,

1242
00:55:50,160 --> 00:55:52,919
Speaker 4: so I can't there's no precedent. But again we're talking

1243
00:55:52,920 --> 00:55:54,920
Speaker 4: about you could throw ten bucks to win a lot,

1244
00:55:55,080 --> 00:55:58,480
Speaker 4: So McPherson, if you like the Bengals, I would think

1245
00:55:58,480 --> 00:56:00,359
Speaker 4: about And.

1246
00:56:00,360 --> 00:56:03,200
Speaker 3: One last topic, I'll put you on the spot.

1247
00:56:03,280 --> 00:56:05,600
Speaker 2: This is it for us, and we appreciate everyone listening

1248
00:56:05,840 --> 00:56:07,400
Speaker 2: to our last NFL until.

1249
00:56:07,160 --> 00:56:09,520
Speaker 3: Next year early Super Bowl odds.

1250
00:56:09,640 --> 00:56:11,600
Speaker 2: I have to throw this out there if you're gonna

1251
00:56:11,640 --> 00:56:13,640
Speaker 2: look at one team and I like, I had the

1252
00:56:13,640 --> 00:56:15,600
Speaker 2: Packers one year, got the NFC championship.

1253
00:56:15,200 --> 00:56:16,759
Speaker 3: At the Bills. This should the Bills should be in

1254
00:56:16,760 --> 00:56:17,160
Speaker 3: the super Bowl.

1255
00:56:17,200 --> 00:56:19,120
Speaker 2: By the way, I am still not over that, but

1256
00:56:19,200 --> 00:56:22,080
Speaker 2: I've never had a future on my team and I

1257
00:56:22,080 --> 00:56:23,800
Speaker 2: don't know if I'm gonna like them next year, but

1258
00:56:23,840 --> 00:56:25,560
Speaker 2: at thirty to one, like you can get them at

1259
00:56:25,600 --> 00:56:28,040
Speaker 2: thirty to one? Has everyone forgot that? Like coming into

1260
00:56:28,040 --> 00:56:29,560
Speaker 2: the year was like, all right, is it the Ravens

1261
00:56:29,640 --> 00:56:32,359
Speaker 2: or the Chiefs? Everyone forgot because the whole team got

1262
00:56:32,400 --> 00:56:35,680
Speaker 2: hurt and you could buy the Ravens great organization still

1263
00:56:36,080 --> 00:56:38,680
Speaker 2: health fuck you would think they lost their entire secondary,

1264
00:56:38,719 --> 00:56:39,640
Speaker 2: all their running.

1265
00:56:39,360 --> 00:56:42,000
Speaker 3: Backs, their star left tackle. This seems gonna be healthy

1266
00:56:42,040 --> 00:56:46,320
Speaker 3: next year and an underrated factor. They're gonna better draft capital.

1267
00:56:46,520 --> 00:56:48,359
Speaker 3: They got rid of Martindale, who I.

1268
00:56:48,440 --> 00:56:50,480
Speaker 2: Liked for is what he did for his time needed

1269
00:56:50,520 --> 00:56:53,280
Speaker 2: to go. You cannot blitz these quarterbacks in the AFC.

1270
00:56:53,480 --> 00:56:55,200
Speaker 2: All they did was blitz, right, and who you going

1271
00:56:55,280 --> 00:57:00,279
Speaker 2: against Burrow Mahomes Alan Herbert, Like you can't just it's

1272
00:57:00,360 --> 00:57:03,239
Speaker 2: the house every play, right, So I think the defensive

1273
00:57:03,280 --> 00:57:06,680
Speaker 2: scheme changes could benefit them. But everyone has just forgot

1274
00:57:06,680 --> 00:57:09,799
Speaker 2: about the Ravens being like an AFC contender because their

1275
00:57:09,800 --> 00:57:11,440
Speaker 2: whole team was hurt this year. In the Bengals, by

1276
00:57:11,440 --> 00:57:14,160
Speaker 2: the way, the team that benefited from that, and the

1277
00:57:14,200 --> 00:57:16,360
Speaker 2: Brown's dealing with the Chooes as well. So I think

1278
00:57:16,920 --> 00:57:20,320
Speaker 2: the Ravens are actually goodbye at thirty to one. Unfortunately,

1279
00:57:20,360 --> 00:57:22,360
Speaker 2: I bought the Bills like fifteen to one last year

1280
00:57:22,640 --> 00:57:24,480
Speaker 2: and you see them now they're at like six seven

1281
00:57:24,520 --> 00:57:28,840
Speaker 2: to one. I think the Ravens are way too under

1282
00:57:28,840 --> 00:57:31,800
Speaker 2: priced for an organization as successful as them.

1283
00:57:32,120 --> 00:57:33,440
Speaker 1: Yeah, they stand out to me.

1284
00:57:33,480 --> 00:57:35,360
Speaker 4: I mean I was going to say the Bills, that's

1285
00:57:35,360 --> 00:57:38,000
Speaker 4: still the team, just because it's like they're tested now,

1286
00:57:38,040 --> 00:57:40,120
Speaker 4: like they've gotten to the brink, like they're going to

1287
00:57:40,160 --> 00:57:42,040
Speaker 4: be that team that's like, you know, maybe this year's

1288
00:57:42,080 --> 00:57:44,240
Speaker 4: Rams almost where it's like they've always been kind of

1289
00:57:44,240 --> 00:57:46,280
Speaker 4: around these last few years, just have it quite broken

1290
00:57:46,280 --> 00:57:47,560
Speaker 4: through and then they break through.

1291
00:57:48,000 --> 00:57:49,520
Speaker 1: So that would be my pick. But yeah, the Ravens,

1292
00:57:49,560 --> 00:57:51,880
Speaker 1: I mean they have the coaching.

1293
00:57:51,600 --> 00:57:54,480
Speaker 4: The staff in place, They're making the necessary changes.

1294
00:57:54,920 --> 00:57:56,720
Speaker 2: It's always nice when you can like don't I don't

1295
00:57:56,720 --> 00:57:58,840
Speaker 2: come or bet, but I can buy some thirty to

1296
00:57:58,880 --> 00:58:01,400
Speaker 2: one on them. This rod has been fun again, brother,

1297
00:58:01,440 --> 00:58:04,400
Speaker 2: looking forward to doing it again next year and hopefully

1298
00:58:04,440 --> 00:58:07,360
Speaker 2: we can have a big final game to close up

1299
00:58:07,360 --> 00:58:07,640
Speaker 2: the year.

1300
00:58:07,920 --> 00:58:10,640
Speaker 4: Yes, sir, it's always been a pleasure. Always enjoy the show.

1301
00:58:10,760 --> 00:58:13,480
Speaker 4: It helps me helps me with my process and everything.

1302
00:58:13,520 --> 00:58:15,080
Speaker 4: I do because we always do this, you know, middle

1303
00:58:15,120 --> 00:58:16,960
Speaker 4: of the week and kind of nail everything down. So

1304
00:58:17,520 --> 00:58:20,440
Speaker 4: always enjoy it, bro and appreciate all the listeners out there.

1305
00:58:20,480 --> 00:58:24,520
Speaker 4: And speaking of which, promised listeners who we've reviews on

1306
00:58:24,560 --> 00:58:27,680
Speaker 4: Apple podcast that we would pick some winners for some

1307
00:58:27,800 --> 00:58:32,520
Speaker 4: free swags, so we have those. The number one is

1308
00:58:32,600 --> 00:58:36,160
Speaker 4: deep Fleet, number two is Philly Nuts, and number three

1309
00:58:36,400 --> 00:58:41,320
Speaker 4: is Lastra, So congratuations to Deep Fleet, Philly Nuts, and.

1310
00:58:41,400 --> 00:58:43,080
Speaker 1: Elastra the winners.

1311
00:58:43,080 --> 00:58:47,800
Speaker 4: You can please contact podcasts at actionnetwork dot com to

1312
00:58:48,200 --> 00:58:51,640
Speaker 4: pick up your free swag. Again, that's podcast at Actionnetwork

1313
00:58:51,720 --> 00:58:53,720
Speaker 4: dot com. All right, So that's going to do it

1314
00:58:53,800 --> 00:58:57,400
Speaker 4: for the Action Network Super Bowl fifty six NFL betting

1315
00:58:57,400 --> 00:59:01,520
Speaker 4: preview podcasts. As always, remember if you can find Stucky

1316
00:59:01,800 --> 00:59:04,760
Speaker 4: at Stucky Too on Twitter and in the Action Network app,

1317
00:59:05,120 --> 00:59:07,560
Speaker 4: you can find me at Chris Rabon. Be sure to

1318
00:59:07,640 --> 00:59:11,080
Speaker 4: check out actionnetwork dot com for all of our betting content,

1319
00:59:11,240 --> 00:59:13,200
Speaker 4: you know, so check out Fantasy webs dot com.

1320
00:59:13,040 --> 00:59:16,480
Speaker 1: For our DFS, tools and models.

1321
00:59:17,160 --> 00:59:21,360
Speaker 4: Shouts to all of our producers Matt Mitchell, Dan Titus,

1322
00:59:21,400 --> 00:59:24,760
Speaker 4: the whole crew. We appreciate you though, and most of all,

1323
00:59:24,760 --> 00:59:27,800
Speaker 4: we appreciate you guys, the listeners, thanks for sticking with

1324
00:59:27,880 --> 00:59:30,439
Speaker 4: us all season for the final time.

1325
00:59:30,960 --> 00:59:46,360
Speaker 1: Let's get this money.