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Speaker 1: Football fans, Welcome to the biggest tailgate party in the nation.

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Speaker 1: Are that be bro? Fox Sports Radios Countdown to Kickoff,

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Speaker 1: presented by Matt make it legendary. We're setting you up

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Speaker 1: with the information you need to watch your team win.

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Speaker 2: Let's go.

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Speaker 1: We're here to break it all down.

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Speaker 3: Yeah good.

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Speaker 1: This is Fox Sports Radios Countdown that kickoff, presented by

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Speaker 1: Matt mga. No, We're live from your tail game. Here's

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Speaker 1: Brian No and FSR betting analyst Jared Smith.

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Speaker 3: Oh, what is going on? Welcome in here on a

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Speaker 3: championship Sunday, Eve, if you will, Happy Saturday too. I

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Speaker 3: know it's we got Saturday, It's Eve, he said, Sunday.

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Speaker 3: What's going on here? All I know is we got

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Speaker 3: Oops today, we got ball tomorrow, and we've got Jared

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Speaker 3: Smith here this morning. Because I think what happened. Good

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Speaker 3: morning Jared, Good morning Brian. I think what happened with

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Speaker 3: rich One bicep just got too powerful. He got too big.

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Speaker 3: It was like, yeah, it was old school Schwarzenegger, right,

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Speaker 3: and the bicep was the rest of the arm was

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Speaker 3: like too much. It's too much here. You're overpowering everything here.

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Speaker 3: Rich with this I don't know if it's the right

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Speaker 3: arm bicep I'm not sure, but he had the whole

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Speaker 3: surgery thing. What was it, Jared, the biceps reattachment sgery.

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Speaker 3: I mean, listen, I'm not a former NFL player.

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Speaker 4: I'm assuming it has something to do with an injury

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Speaker 4: that probably took place at some point during the course

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Speaker 4: of his football life that needed to be repaired. I mean, listen,

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Speaker 4: these guys go through it. Rich hasn't been out of

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Speaker 4: the league for multiple years and he's still going through it.

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Speaker 3: You know, Oh absolutely, yeah. Your body's like, hey, remember

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Speaker 3: the two thousands, Rich, Remember I remember those three pound

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Speaker 3: men that are just crushing you, right, yeah, remember when

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Speaker 3: we're right to block Vince will Fork in practice or

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Speaker 3: you know whatever he was going through. Yeah yeah, body

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Speaker 3: didn't forget that. No, no, no, yeah, no Rich today,

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Speaker 3: but you get a healthy dose of Noen Smith. How

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Speaker 3: about that? Huh?

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Speaker 4: Lit.

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Speaker 3: It is gonna be fun. It'll be fun. We'll have

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Speaker 3: a good time here. And you know what, we're gonna

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Speaker 3: look back before we look forward. But if we look forward,

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Speaker 3: I think our picks a line, Jared. I think I

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Speaker 3: think you're on the Pats And if you had to,

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Speaker 3: you would lay the points, and I think you're on

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Speaker 3: the Rams plus the points. Is that correct? Because that's

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Speaker 3: where right now.

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Speaker 4: I'll be honest, now that the market's starting to come

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Speaker 4: down a little bit on Denver, Okay, I'm a little

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Speaker 4: bit more you know, conservative with my Denver opinion. I

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Speaker 4: do think I do think New England being an over

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Speaker 4: a field goal road favorite against the Broncos, I think

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Speaker 4: that's a little rich, not no pun intended for mister.

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Speaker 3: R but but I am definitely on the rams for sure.

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Speaker 3: I mean, we can't bet Sam Darnold.

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Speaker 4: I think the Bronco I think the Broncos Patriots game

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Speaker 4: because of the unknown that is Jarreed's Didham is a

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Speaker 4: tougher handicap.

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Speaker 3: It is a tougher handicap.

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Speaker 4: I think there is a world where he's because the

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Speaker 4: market's basically saying, like from what I heard, New England

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Speaker 4: would have been a it would have been a pick them,

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Speaker 4: maybe a you know, one point dog New England maybe

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Speaker 4: if bo Nick starts.

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Speaker 3: So what you're saying is.

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Speaker 4: Jarrett Stidham's worth five point six points less than Bo Nicks.

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Speaker 4: I think that's a little rich for me because I

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Speaker 4: don't view bo Nicks as like Lamar Jackson or Patrick Mahomes,

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Speaker 4: where he's getting all of this respect. But now that

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Speaker 4: the market's coming down a little bit, like it's still

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Speaker 4: four and a half, I'm seeing some fours out there.

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Speaker 4: If we get down the three, then I'll be like, Okay, Now,

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Speaker 4: New England I think deserves a little bit of love here,

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Speaker 4: but I think above a field goal, I lean Denver.

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Speaker 3: Or it's kind of a hm. We don't know how

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Speaker 3: good or bad Jared's Didham could be. You know what's

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Speaker 3: crazy to me is I agree with what you said

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Speaker 3: as far as is bo Nicks worth that many more points, yes,

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Speaker 3: than Jared's did him. That's the thing is like, it's

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Speaker 3: almost like we're saying two different things at the same

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Speaker 3: time that really contradict each other. Where I think bow

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Speaker 3: Knicks is somewhere between average and good. That's that's where

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Speaker 3: he's at.

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Speaker 5: Ye.

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Speaker 3: But he can do some good things, and he played

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Speaker 3: well last week. You know, I had a huge touchdown

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Speaker 3: throw before halftime, had a huge touchdown throw late. We're

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Speaker 3: like a minute to go in the game, and he

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Speaker 3: finds Marvin Mims for the go ahead touchdown. Perfect pass.

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Speaker 3: You know, Tredaevius White gets hurt. And I love these

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Speaker 3: NFL teams man props to bow Knicks, props to Sean Payton,

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Speaker 3: where they're like, oh, the backup is in, let's target

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Speaker 3: that freaking guy, right, And that's exactly what they did.

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Speaker 3: Beautiful touchdown pass. It's a clutch play. So he can

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Speaker 3: do some things. He can move the pocket, he can

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Speaker 3: pick up yards with his legs, he can do some

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Speaker 3: good things. But at the end of the day, his

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Speaker 3: passer rating was the exact same as Bryce Young this

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Speaker 3: seaon you know, like justin fields, the Jets quarterback had

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Speaker 3: a higher passer rating than bow Nicks. So it's like,

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Speaker 3: I can't forget about that. So I think he's somewhere

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Speaker 3: between average and good. I don't put bo Nicks on

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Speaker 3: some special pedestal or anything like that. But you know,

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Speaker 3: even though I don't have him as a top five,

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Speaker 3: top ten quarterback, there's still is a pretty decent gap

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Speaker 3: between him and Jared Stidham. Like Stidham hasn't thrown a

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Speaker 3: pass in two years. It was the end of the

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Speaker 3: twenty three season when he lasts threw a pass. That

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Speaker 3: is two years ago. He's played four games in the NFL.

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Speaker 3: He has one NFL win, and I don't know for

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Speaker 3: the life and times of Jared Stidham. This week there

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Speaker 3: has been glowing praise Jared. I've heard some things where

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Speaker 3: it's like, I'm like, are we talking about the same

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Speaker 3: guy here? You know, Like I swear Sean Payton did

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Speaker 3: a Jedi mind trick. He's like, Oh, he definitely should

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Speaker 3: be an NFL starter right now. And it's like the

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Speaker 3: vast majority of the public is like, oh, he should

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Speaker 3: be a starting quarterback right now. Like here, let me

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Speaker 3: throw one thing at you. This is what I've been

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Speaker 3: thinking all week. If bo Nix never gets hurt, right,

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Speaker 3: like it was this fluke injury, Let's say he never

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Speaker 3: got hurt, he doesn't miss any time this postseason, right,

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Speaker 3: so Jared Stidham doesn't see the field. Am I supposed

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Speaker 3: to believe that Jared Stidham's name is like the hot

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Speaker 3: name when it comes to somebody like this team that

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Speaker 3: needs a quarterback, they're gonna they're gonna make a move

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Speaker 3: and they're gonna get Jared Stidham. I don't know how

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Speaker 3: much is left on his deal, whether he's a free

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Speaker 3: agent or they trade for the guy, but he's a

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Speaker 3: hot name the Jets they need a quarterback. Oh this

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Speaker 3: Jared Stidham guy like this? Could you think there'd be

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Speaker 3: a ton of momentum and you know his name would

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Speaker 3: be hot right now? I don't buy that at all.

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Speaker 3: I just can't.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I think there's there's two definitely trains of thought here.

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Speaker 4: The first one is the market and then the second

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Speaker 4: one is what is boasted or what is boasted him.

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Speaker 3: Let's combine them both together there.

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Speaker 4: Now we've got ourselves a quarterback here, we got boasted

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Speaker 4: and we're in good shape.

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Speaker 3: And then what is what is Jared's Didham? Right?

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Speaker 4: The market is overcorrected here, and I think that's where

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Speaker 4: the value, especially at this thing opened like five. It

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Speaker 4: was just too much of an adjustment, you know, it

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Speaker 4: was giving Bonnicks too much credit. And I think that's

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Speaker 4: where I was a little bit more on Denver. Now

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Speaker 4: again that the market's come down, I'm a little bit more,

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Speaker 4: you know, I would say lukewarm on Denver. But we'll

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Speaker 4: see what the market does over the next twenty four hours.

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Speaker 4: Then we get to your second point about Stidham. When

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Speaker 4: I watched him, so you're right, it's hard to find

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Speaker 4: tape on him. I had to go back to the preseason.

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Speaker 4: But when I watched him, I did see someone who

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Speaker 4: can make the throws, no doubt, Like he is an

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Speaker 4: NFL quarterback, And I think that's where we need to,

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Speaker 4: you know, at least give him some credit.

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Speaker 3: He is an NFL quarterback who can make the throws.

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Speaker 4: And he's been in this system for three years and

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Speaker 4: he's thirty years old. Like, he's not this rookie off

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Speaker 4: the street that's getting thrown into the fire.

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Speaker 3: He has some experience.

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Speaker 4: He was a fourth round pick by New England, ironically enough,

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Speaker 4: and he does have at least some experience. Actually, honestly,

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Speaker 4: three years in one systems a long time. So I

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Speaker 4: think that's where we get the positive for Jarrett Stidham.

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Speaker 4: The negative would be he's not as mobile and to

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Speaker 4: your point, he hasn't played so TSS tight sphincter syndrome.

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Speaker 3: Like it's very.

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Speaker 4: Different when you're in the preseason than when you're in

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Speaker 4: the conference championship game, very different vibe.

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Speaker 3: Can he handle that moment? I don't know the answer

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Speaker 3: to that question.

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Speaker 4: I think that's why the market has come down as

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Speaker 4: much as it has because there is this uncertainty. Obviously

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Speaker 4: Sean Payton's going to be pumping his tires. Obviously he's

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Speaker 4: not a real starting quarterback in the league, or else

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Speaker 4: he would have had that job already. And I think

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Speaker 4: that is more of a coaching move on Sean's part

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Speaker 4: to kind of, you know, pump the tires, get him,

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Speaker 4: you know, ready to go mentally for what is going

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Speaker 4: to be a difficult challenge. Now we get to the

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Speaker 4: other part of this that I think is the reason

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Speaker 4: if you are optimistic on Denver, you have a reason

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Speaker 4: to be.

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Speaker 3: New England is not the eighty.

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Speaker 4: Six Bears here, like eighty five Bears are like they're

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Speaker 4: not gonna, you know, slam it down your throat. Defensively,

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Speaker 4: they're a bad They don't generate a ton of pressure,

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Speaker 4: especially on the edge. One of the worst pressure eight

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Speaker 4: teams in the NFL in terms of off the edge.

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Speaker 3: In the middle, they're a little bit better.

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Speaker 4: I got bar More and Milt Williams and there they

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Speaker 4: can come a little bit with the interior pressure, but

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Speaker 4: they're not gonna get a lot of pressure on the outside.

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Speaker 4: And Denver's got a great offensive line. Denver's also playing

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Speaker 4: at home, so you give them a little bit of

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Speaker 4: an edge for that as well, where Jared Sidham's not

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Speaker 4: going into Foxborough to play this game. So I think

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Speaker 4: there are some positives where you look at the number

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Speaker 4: and you say, yeah, it's moved too much. But I'm

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Speaker 4: not gonna go with the Sean Payton route and say

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Speaker 4: Jared sim should be starting quarterback in the league and

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Speaker 4: this guy's the best thing since sliced bread. When I

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Speaker 4: watched him on film, I saw some positives, but it

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Speaker 4: was preseason, so I don't want to go too crazy

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Speaker 4: with that handicap.

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Speaker 3: However, I think at four and a half, I still would.

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Speaker 4: Lean Denver because what it's telling me is the market

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Speaker 4: saying Stidham is five points worse.

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Speaker 3: Than bo Nicks, and I just don't buy that. Yeah. Well,

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Speaker 3: the thing that I keep thinking about when we get

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Speaker 3: to Pat's Broncos is how do the page It's defend

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Speaker 3: the Broncos. Like it's really that simple, where on one hand,

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Speaker 3: the throws that are asked of bow Knicks are not

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Speaker 3: these crazy advanced you know, like it's very it's simple stuff.

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Speaker 3: It's quick, it's fast, it's the ultimate. You can't go

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Speaker 3: broke taking a profit approach, right, Like, it's not, Hey,

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Speaker 3: your your guy five yards down the field is wide open.

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Speaker 3: Let's look deep before we throw it to the five

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Speaker 3: yard guy. You know, it's like he's open, throw it

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Speaker 3: to him, hit him, you know, like just move the chains.

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Speaker 3: It's very methodical. It's not huge plays. It's just move

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Speaker 3: the chains quick throws a lot of short stuff, right,

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Speaker 3: And so it's like, could Jared Stidham, could he do

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Speaker 3: those things? Maybe not at the same level that bo

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Speaker 3: Nicks has, Like boon Nicks has had so many more reps. Right,

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Speaker 3: he led the league in passing attempts this past season, right,

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Speaker 3: so a lot. I didn't know that, Yeah, I didn't know.

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Speaker 3: Like Stiam's not going to do it at the same

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Speaker 3: level because he doesn't. He doesn't have anywhere close to

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Speaker 3: the same reps. But again, he's not being asked to

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Speaker 3: do these crazy advanced like whoa, this is like ninth

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Speaker 3: year trigonometry. It's not like that. So what he's asked

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Speaker 3: to do he has a chance of doing fairly well

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Speaker 3: against the Patriots. But what I keep coming back to

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Speaker 3: is what will the Patriots defensive approach be. Will it

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Speaker 3: either be you know, Option A, which is all right,

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Speaker 3: make Stidham like complete passes over and over. It's kind

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Speaker 3: of like the Indiana Hoosiers approach, where it's like, Okay,

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Speaker 3: we're not gonna give up huge plays. We're gonna make

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Speaker 3: you complete pass after pass after pass after pass, and

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Speaker 3: we're betting that somewhere along the road you're gonna make

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Speaker 3: a big mistake. Right, Yeah, do the Patriots do that?

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Speaker 3: Or Option B is we know you're gonna throw a

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Speaker 3: bunch of quick, you know, short throws. So guess what

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Speaker 3: we're gonna do. We're gonna play press coverage, maybe not

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Speaker 3: the whole game long, but we're gonna give you a

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Speaker 3: healthier dose of press coverage, and we're gonna jump on

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Speaker 3: these short routes and we're gonna discombobulate your whole offense.

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Speaker 3: And hey, if you hit us over the top, we're

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Speaker 3: going to force you to do that. We're going to

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Speaker 3: force you to hit these big plays to move the

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Speaker 3: chains and to produce scoring drives. So that's it, Like,

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Speaker 3: do they they stay back a little bit or do

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Speaker 3: they really force the issue and be aggressive. I can't

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Speaker 3: wait to see what the Patriots do as far as

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Speaker 3: that goes. I agree.

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Speaker 4: I think When you look at Nix's numbers this year,

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Speaker 4: he's twenty eighth out of thirty three qualifiers and yards

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Speaker 4: per TIMPT, so a ton of attempts but not pushing

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Speaker 4: the ball down the field. He's also a negative n

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Speaker 4: CPOE completion percentage over expected, so he hasn't been as

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Speaker 4: accurate as maybe you would want him to be. But

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Speaker 4: the other numbers are solid EPA and touchdowns. He hasn't

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Speaker 4: thrown a ton of interceptions this year eleven you know,

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Speaker 4: you mentioned the attempts that was it's crazy he's thrown

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Speaker 4: He's a lot of it shit now that I'm looking

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Speaker 4: at it. I mean it's like only dacks even the

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Speaker 4: vicinity and he's still ten twelve attempts behind him. So

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Speaker 4: it is interesting how pass happy the Broncos have been

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Speaker 4: this year.

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Speaker 5: Yeah.

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Speaker 4: The Patriots are a defense that is a little bit

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Speaker 4: more man heavy. They're in the top ten percentage of

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Speaker 4: man rates in the NFL this year. They play man

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Speaker 4: coverage about thirty percent of the time. They're kind of

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Speaker 4: a I don't really have a like like. I can't

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Speaker 4: really peg the Patriots defense as this is what they are.

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Speaker 4: I know that they're not a great pressure rate team,

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Speaker 4: But in terms of the coverages they face middle of

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Speaker 4: the field open rate and middle of the field close rate.

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Speaker 4: That's like basically one high safety in the middle or

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Speaker 4: two high safeties on the outside.

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Speaker 3: Right where they you know, kind of on the hash marks.

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Speaker 4: They're kind of fifty to fifty in that regard to

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Speaker 4: so they don't have a lot of tendencies really to

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Speaker 4: go by, except they're a little bit more man heavy

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Speaker 4: than your average NFL.

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Speaker 3: Defense, and that would, you know, lead me to believe

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Speaker 3: that they can get.

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Speaker 4: Up in your face and play a little bit of

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Speaker 4: press coverage. I thought if Dobbins played in this game

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Speaker 4: I would have liked the Broncos a little bit more.

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Speaker 4: He's still the leading rusher on the team, but he

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Speaker 4: hasn't played since like early November.

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Speaker 3: Wow, how crazy is that? Yeah?

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Speaker 4: Yeah, again, there's some really weird statistical anomalies with Denver

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Speaker 4: this year. They're not this run heavy offense, and I

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Speaker 4: think that's probably the reason why Nicks leads the NFL

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Speaker 4: in attempts is because Dobbins missed the last two months

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Speaker 4: of the year, and he was really important in the

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Speaker 4: play action game. He's their downhill runner. I love r

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Speaker 4: j Harvey. I think he's fantastic. He's like a Swiss

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Speaker 4: army knife, but he's not like a Bell cow Derrick

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Speaker 4: Henry type, like they want to split him out, they

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Speaker 4: want to get him some receptions as well, whereas Dobbins

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Speaker 4: is that straight downhill runner and then they play action

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Speaker 4: off of him so well. So I thought him not

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Speaker 4: playing in the game is a little bit of a knock.

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Speaker 4: I was actually surprised that we continue to see money

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Speaker 4: come in on Denver yesterday. In fact, I got a

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Speaker 4: text message from a bookmaker saying, here comes to Broncos money,

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Speaker 4: and I think it could be twofold. It could be

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Speaker 4: the market finally realizing that Bonix right now should be

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Speaker 4: priced like maybe you know, average maybe slightly above average quarterback,

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Speaker 4: and Jared's did him is probably your average backup, and

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Speaker 4: the drop off there shouldn't be five or six points,

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Speaker 4: Like I do quarterback ratings every year, Brian, and like

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Speaker 4: the only like six point moves that I have is

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Speaker 4: like Jalen Hurts to Tanner McKee, like Joe Burrow to

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Speaker 4: Jake Browning, like Stafford to Garoppolo is six points. Lamar

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Speaker 4: to Cooper Rush is eight points, I've got Josh Allen

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Speaker 4: at Trubisky seven points, like that would be Josh Allen out. Okay,

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Speaker 4: market moves six points, I understand, but we're in that zone.

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Speaker 4: It's a weird it's a weird dance because I'm not

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Speaker 4: don't want to like act like I'm this Jared Stidham

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Speaker 4: truther Like I he looks like an average NFL backup

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Speaker 4: quarterback who could make throws but probably doesn't handle the

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Speaker 4: pressure as well. But at the end of the day,

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Speaker 4: we're valuing bo Nicks like he's Josh Allen, and I

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Speaker 4: think that's where the market kind of is tripping themselves

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Speaker 4: up a little bit with how to price this game.

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Speaker 3: I would bet we probably close closer to three three

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Speaker 3: and a half.

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Speaker 4: Maybe if we get to three, New England Money's gonna

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Speaker 4: come flooding into the market. But I would not be

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Speaker 4: shocked if if we wake up Sunday morning or right

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Speaker 4: before the game Sunday afternoon and we're closer to three

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Speaker 4: and a half than we are now, or closer to

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Speaker 4: three than we are now. But then I think, if

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Speaker 4: you have to flip it and it's it's all relative,

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Speaker 4: like that's the beauty of the gambling side of this.

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Speaker 4: It's all relative to price, Like every team has a

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Speaker 4: price where you would bet them. Even the Jets has

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Speaker 4: a price where you would be willing to bet them.

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Speaker 4: I think that's why we saw the Denver money come

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Speaker 4: in this week, is because the initial price on New

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Speaker 4: England was just a little bit too heavy.

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Speaker 3: Yeah. Man, well, we'll have a lot more thoughts on

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Speaker 3: these games, and I can't wait to get to the

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Speaker 3: NFC Championship game. Like, well, you mean the Super Bowls.

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Speaker 3: I get why you would think that. I totally understand

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Speaker 3: why you would. It's like old school Niners Cowboys, where

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Speaker 3: it was like, all right, who every one's this like,

355
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Speaker 3: get fitted for a ring size right now, But whoever

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Speaker 3: wins back to be a big favorite in the Super Bowl? Yeah, well, hey,

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Speaker 3: I would say at least a field goal favorite. You

358
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Speaker 3: know what's funny is this is also the week of

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Speaker 3: Hey remember when, And it's like, look, man, I really

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Speaker 3: I don't care how Tom Brady and the Patriots fared

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Speaker 3: against the Broncos. Guess what, I don't care at all, right,

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Speaker 3: because none of those players are on these current rosters,

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Speaker 3: not not a one, And so it's like, I really

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Speaker 3: don't care how the Patriots, what their record is in Denver.

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Speaker 3: I really don't care what Tom Brady of that stuff.

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Speaker 3: Yeah right, it's one of those like hey, but the

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Speaker 3: first thing I thought of was was, you know when

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Speaker 3: the Rams were these big favorites in the Super Bowl

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Speaker 3: against the Patriots at Super Bowl thirty six and the

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Speaker 3: Pats pulled the stunner. That was Tom Brady's first ring.

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Speaker 3: That was the Patriots first ring as an organization. And

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Speaker 3: guess what, it wouldn't matter at all if that's the

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Speaker 3: super Bowl matchup. You know, It's just it's one of

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Speaker 3: those oh, by the way, you know history, you know

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Speaker 3: that sort of thing if you're interested, But when people

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Speaker 3: apply it to the here and now, it's like, bro,

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Speaker 3: what are we doing? Man?

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Speaker 4: I remember the Broncos Seahawks one too. That was the

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Speaker 4: one where Peyton manning first snap goes over his head.

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Speaker 3: I think that was MetLife. I think that was absolutely

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Speaker 3: it was. Yeah. Forty three to eight, Lord, yeah, yeah,

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Speaker 3: forty three day. All right, we've got Jared Smith. I'm

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Speaker 3: Brian no, no rich Orenberger today, but you know he's

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Speaker 3: with us in spirit right here, and we have just

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Speaker 3: pick Yeah, you doing you did give a yesterday. Oh

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Speaker 3: very nice. All right, Hey, football fans, picture this. You

387
00:18:17,359 --> 00:18:19,159
Speaker 3: bet on your favorite player in the Big Game to

388
00:18:19,200 --> 00:18:22,560
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Speaker 3: I've heard in quite a while, and I heard it

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Speaker 3: right before the show started today, Jared, I'll share that

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Speaker 3: with you guys. Coming up, it is Fox Sports Radios

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00:19:00,080 --> 00:19:02,440
Speaker 3: out Down to Kickoff, presented by BETMGM.

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Speaker 1: Fox Sports Radio has the best sports talk lineup in

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430
00:20:28,920 --> 00:20:30,919
Speaker 3: I'm gonna get to the most embarrassing thing I've heard

431
00:20:30,960 --> 00:20:34,399
Speaker 3: in quite a while. In just a minute. I have

432
00:20:34,600 --> 00:20:37,119
Speaker 3: to tell you about something here. Okay. So I'm visiting

433
00:20:37,200 --> 00:20:40,720
Speaker 3: Vegas right now, and I'm here for a week. It's

434
00:20:40,800 --> 00:20:45,680
Speaker 3: from Thursday to Thursday. So today's Saturday morning, right, And

435
00:20:45,840 --> 00:20:48,720
Speaker 3: so I reached out to the dude who I rented

436
00:20:48,800 --> 00:20:52,480
Speaker 3: from for over a year, and I'm like, the apartment

437
00:20:52,560 --> 00:20:54,840
Speaker 3: isn't available, right, like just for a week or something.

438
00:20:54,880 --> 00:20:57,639
Speaker 3: He's like, let me check. He's like, actually, it is crazy.

439
00:20:57,680 --> 00:21:00,320
Speaker 3: I'm like it is. So I'm in the same place

440
00:21:00,480 --> 00:21:02,600
Speaker 3: I was at while I was here for the majority

441
00:21:02,640 --> 00:21:05,119
Speaker 3: of my time here in Vegas, and Jared, I'm like,

442
00:21:05,520 --> 00:21:08,800
Speaker 3: this is awesome. I get to see Oreo. I missed

443
00:21:08,840 --> 00:21:12,040
Speaker 3: this black cat like crazy visited me every single day.

444
00:21:12,160 --> 00:21:15,520
Speaker 3: I love this neighborhood cat. He's got a home. I've

445
00:21:15,560 --> 00:21:17,560
Speaker 3: talked about him many times, but if you haven't heard this,

446
00:21:18,040 --> 00:21:20,159
Speaker 3: he's got a home, but they let him out and

447
00:21:20,240 --> 00:21:23,280
Speaker 3: he's sort of like an indoor slash outdoor cat and

448
00:21:23,520 --> 00:21:25,520
Speaker 3: he needs his space. He's like, I need my freedom.

449
00:21:25,600 --> 00:21:27,840
Speaker 3: It's at seven pm. I got to roam the streets

450
00:21:27,960 --> 00:21:30,200
Speaker 3: or whatever, right, like, so he'll come to visit. I've

451
00:21:30,240 --> 00:21:35,080
Speaker 3: fed him. And so no sign of Oreo. None, not

452
00:21:35,200 --> 00:21:38,520
Speaker 3: a trace. I haven't seen a glimpse nothing of this cat.

453
00:21:38,560 --> 00:21:41,879
Speaker 3: I'm outside. I'm like, Ohio, I'm calling him, you know nothing.

454
00:21:42,400 --> 00:21:44,520
Speaker 3: And so I left some wet food out on the

455
00:21:44,640 --> 00:21:48,840
Speaker 3: doorstep yesterday with Jared, and still no sign of Oreo.

456
00:21:49,080 --> 00:21:52,320
Speaker 3: But the wet food is gone gone. So it could

457
00:21:52,359 --> 00:21:54,840
Speaker 3: have been a raccoon or it could have been someone

458
00:21:55,000 --> 00:21:58,200
Speaker 3: someone was like, oh, wet food, freaking nice. So I'm

459
00:21:58,240 --> 00:21:59,960
Speaker 3: hoping it was Oreo. And I hope I'm gonna be

460
00:22:00,160 --> 00:22:02,280
Speaker 3: to see I'm not a coyote or something. Yeah, right,

461
00:22:02,720 --> 00:22:04,480
Speaker 3: you gotta be careful here in Vegas. You never know.

462
00:22:04,520 --> 00:22:06,600
Speaker 3: I've actually seen a couple coyotes driving out the Red

463
00:22:06,680 --> 00:22:08,720
Speaker 3: Rock before. It's a little bit. It's a little unsettling,

464
00:22:08,800 --> 00:22:11,000
Speaker 3: all right. That was my luck. Where I opened the

465
00:22:11,280 --> 00:22:13,720
Speaker 3: screen door, I'm like, oh, wow, holy yeah, I get

466
00:22:13,800 --> 00:22:15,480
Speaker 3: hauled by a bear cat or something.

467
00:22:15,600 --> 00:22:18,760
Speaker 4: Yeah, sure, crazy, And I think at I think you're

468
00:22:18,800 --> 00:22:20,159
Speaker 4: safe from the bear. I don't know if there's any

469
00:22:20,200 --> 00:22:22,600
Speaker 4: bear cats. And I've seen coyotes though, And now that

470
00:22:22,680 --> 00:22:24,879
Speaker 4: I live closer to the mountains, I've seen a couple

471
00:22:24,960 --> 00:22:27,800
Speaker 4: out driving around that that was that was a little

472
00:22:27,880 --> 00:22:28,680
Speaker 4: unsettling for me.

473
00:22:28,880 --> 00:22:31,200
Speaker 3: But you know what I haven't seen. People think Vegas

474
00:22:31,280 --> 00:22:34,000
Speaker 3: is full of like snakes and like desert creatures.

475
00:22:34,200 --> 00:22:37,760
Speaker 4: Yeah, really, it's really not. I've lived here now for

476
00:22:37,840 --> 00:22:39,520
Speaker 4: three and a half year. I haven't seen one snake.

477
00:22:39,680 --> 00:22:42,800
Speaker 4: Now I'm gonna see one, problems, but I haven't seen

478
00:22:42,840 --> 00:22:44,359
Speaker 4: one in three and a half years. Everyone's like, you

479
00:22:44,400 --> 00:22:46,560
Speaker 4: gotta be careful all those desert creatures. Like I've literally

480
00:22:46,560 --> 00:22:49,560
Speaker 4: seen like two coyotes driving out into the wilderness. But

481
00:22:49,720 --> 00:22:53,359
Speaker 4: in my dwelling area, I've never seen like there's no

482
00:22:53,480 --> 00:22:55,560
Speaker 4: and there's not a lot of bugs out here either. Listen,

483
00:22:55,760 --> 00:22:57,640
Speaker 4: I can toot Vegas's horn all day.

484
00:22:57,640 --> 00:22:57,760
Speaker 5: You know.

485
00:22:57,800 --> 00:22:58,639
Speaker 3: I love living out here.

486
00:22:58,720 --> 00:23:03,320
Speaker 4: But it's not this like you know, robust ecosystem of

487
00:23:04,160 --> 00:23:06,720
Speaker 4: creatures right pretty it's pretty barren, man.

488
00:23:06,760 --> 00:23:09,320
Speaker 3: I'll tell you what, depending on where you come from.

489
00:23:09,800 --> 00:23:11,920
Speaker 3: You know, if you was from somewhere else and you

490
00:23:12,040 --> 00:23:14,600
Speaker 3: move to Vegas, you visit Vegas the no bug thing.

491
00:23:15,200 --> 00:23:17,840
Speaker 3: Oh it's sage. I'm from the from the East coast.

492
00:23:17,880 --> 00:23:20,080
Speaker 3: I'm from Florida. The Mosquitoes. Oh my god, I don't

493
00:23:20,119 --> 00:23:23,560
Speaker 3: deal with that anymore at all. Midwest Mosquitos. I can't

494
00:23:23,600 --> 00:23:26,320
Speaker 3: tell you. God, Better bring the off better, bring the

495
00:23:26,440 --> 00:23:29,560
Speaker 3: bug repellent. Don't even think about going out there without that.

496
00:23:29,720 --> 00:23:32,080
Speaker 3: It's crazy a lot of times like that. Okay, Now

497
00:23:32,160 --> 00:23:36,600
Speaker 3: here's the really embarrassing thing that I heard this morning. Okay, Jared,

498
00:23:37,840 --> 00:23:39,920
Speaker 3: I can't believe this is a thing. Maybe I shouldn't

499
00:23:39,920 --> 00:23:43,359
Speaker 3: be so surprised. But Martin Weiss was doing his update.

500
00:23:43,480 --> 00:23:47,200
Speaker 3: Shout out to Martin Weiss, new Orleans native, right, you know,

501
00:23:47,440 --> 00:23:50,480
Speaker 3: shout out to the to Nola. But Martin Weiss, he

502
00:23:50,640 --> 00:23:52,639
Speaker 3: just's giving you the news. And he said, there have

503
00:23:52,720 --> 00:23:54,320
Speaker 3: been I think the number was, like, it's up to

504
00:23:54,440 --> 00:23:59,440
Speaker 3: sixty six thousand people that have signed this petition for

505
00:23:59,560 --> 00:24:04,399
Speaker 3: the bill to bring back head coach Sean McDermott. You

506
00:24:04,520 --> 00:24:07,840
Speaker 3: gotta be kidneying. There are some things in this world, Jared,

507
00:24:08,000 --> 00:24:11,520
Speaker 3: I just will or won't do, simply based on principle,

508
00:24:12,000 --> 00:24:14,360
Speaker 3: simply based on that. Like I'll give you an example.

509
00:24:15,760 --> 00:24:19,199
Speaker 3: When I was in college, Dave Matthew's band was very trendy.

510
00:24:19,960 --> 00:24:25,760
Speaker 3: Oh yeah, I never got it, like like my metal roots,

511
00:24:25,800 --> 00:24:29,120
Speaker 3: like I just didn't jive with me, right, But I've

512
00:24:29,160 --> 00:24:31,440
Speaker 3: played guitar for a long time. Every time, like they're

513
00:24:31,560 --> 00:24:34,160
Speaker 3: you know how college is. Girls just show up and they're.

514
00:24:34,040 --> 00:24:37,000
Speaker 2: Like, do you know any Dave Matthews mad right when

515
00:24:37,000 --> 00:24:39,120
Speaker 2: I had a guitar and I just look at them, Jared,

516
00:24:39,160 --> 00:24:43,240
Speaker 2: and I'd be like, two step, No, that was my

517
00:24:43,600 --> 00:24:45,359
Speaker 2: I could have been like, oh yeah, this is called

518
00:24:45,440 --> 00:24:48,440
Speaker 2: like you know, scratch my belly, play a chord or whatever.

519
00:24:48,600 --> 00:24:51,480
Speaker 3: It's like, I'm in. I'm in, like I'm in the mafia.

520
00:24:51,520 --> 00:24:53,680
Speaker 3: They're like they see hearts in their eyes, you know.

521
00:24:53,720 --> 00:24:56,760
Speaker 3: And I couldn't. I couldn't do it. Based on principle.

522
00:24:56,760 --> 00:24:58,680
Speaker 3: I couldn't. It probably didn't work out for me, you know,

523
00:24:58,840 --> 00:25:01,960
Speaker 3: based on that. But you understand the point. If I'm

524
00:25:02,000 --> 00:25:06,639
Speaker 3: a Bills fan, there is no way I would be

525
00:25:06,880 --> 00:25:11,960
Speaker 3: caught dead signing this petition. Like it's gonna happen. The

526
00:25:12,040 --> 00:25:14,960
Speaker 3: Bills are gonna be like, you know what, let's reverse

527
00:25:15,040 --> 00:25:17,800
Speaker 3: course here, like the press conference. It's right, the public

528
00:25:17,880 --> 00:25:20,600
Speaker 3: we were stupid. Let's bring him back, let's bring them back,

529
00:25:20,680 --> 00:25:23,040
Speaker 3: and we're getting the band back together again. That is

530
00:25:23,119 --> 00:25:25,840
Speaker 3: the dumbest thing I've ever heard in a long long time.

531
00:25:25,920 --> 00:25:28,280
Speaker 3: I just I will not do that as a Bills fan.

532
00:25:28,640 --> 00:25:31,240
Speaker 3: No way would I ever be like, yeah, I'm signing

533
00:25:31,280 --> 00:25:33,560
Speaker 3: my name just so they know. You're like, I'm on

534
00:25:33,640 --> 00:25:37,120
Speaker 3: the petition. No. No, there's nothing good that can come

535
00:25:37,200 --> 00:25:40,400
Speaker 3: from that other than utter embarrassment that you're even doing

536
00:25:40,480 --> 00:25:43,000
Speaker 3: that in the first place. That's yeah, I don't recall

537
00:25:43,080 --> 00:25:44,480
Speaker 3: signing a whole lot of petitions.

538
00:25:44,640 --> 00:25:46,600
Speaker 4: That's not something I really care to I'm not a

539
00:25:46,640 --> 00:25:49,400
Speaker 4: big politics guy to begin with, right, so, like petitions

540
00:25:49,440 --> 00:25:53,680
Speaker 4: are typically in the political sphere, not my thing. I

541
00:25:53,960 --> 00:25:57,040
Speaker 4: think the bigger question is would you rather have McDermot

542
00:25:57,119 --> 00:25:59,600
Speaker 4: or Philip Rivers at this point, which is the other

543
00:25:59,720 --> 00:26:02,320
Speaker 4: name that's been floated around. I have no I mean,

544
00:26:02,480 --> 00:26:04,879
Speaker 4: you know, we're not insiders. And even the insiders, I

545
00:26:04,920 --> 00:26:07,440
Speaker 4: think get this stuff wrong a lot because they're given

546
00:26:07,600 --> 00:26:11,320
Speaker 4: information from the teams that are purposely meant to mislead them.

547
00:26:12,520 --> 00:26:16,280
Speaker 4: That's usually in the more free agent right transfer type markets,

548
00:26:16,400 --> 00:26:18,960
Speaker 4: but in the coaching circles, I'm sure it happens too.

549
00:26:19,000 --> 00:26:20,840
Speaker 4: I have no idea who the Bills are going to hire.

550
00:26:21,240 --> 00:26:23,879
Speaker 4: I will react to it once it happens, but I

551
00:26:24,000 --> 00:26:26,320
Speaker 4: agree I would not. I wouldn't be signing. I wouldn't

552
00:26:26,320 --> 00:26:28,959
Speaker 4: be that excited to bring back McDermott. Like I think,

553
00:26:29,040 --> 00:26:31,040
Speaker 4: I think he's had I think he had his chance

554
00:26:31,119 --> 00:26:32,960
Speaker 4: with this team. And it's not to say he's like

555
00:26:33,000 --> 00:26:34,639
Speaker 4: a terrible coach and he's never going to find a

556
00:26:34,720 --> 00:26:36,400
Speaker 4: job again. I don't, you know, he's a good coach.

557
00:26:36,760 --> 00:26:39,239
Speaker 4: But I think the way that the NFL works now,

558
00:26:39,920 --> 00:26:43,760
Speaker 4: you get a small window to try to figure it out. Right,

559
00:26:43,840 --> 00:26:45,800
Speaker 4: you get a couple of years, maybe if you're lucky,

560
00:26:45,800 --> 00:26:47,920
Speaker 4: you get the full contract. Usually, you know, four or

561
00:26:47,920 --> 00:26:49,720
Speaker 4: five years is kind of the full deal. I think

562
00:26:49,760 --> 00:26:52,399
Speaker 4: mcdermot's been there, what over almost ten years now, right,

563
00:26:52,480 --> 00:26:55,560
Speaker 4: it's been like seven or eight years nine, Like you've

564
00:26:55,720 --> 00:26:59,280
Speaker 4: had a chance and it didn't quite work out. And

565
00:26:59,400 --> 00:27:01,840
Speaker 4: I think that's why the move was made. I don't

566
00:27:01,840 --> 00:27:03,960
Speaker 4: think it's a knock on McDermott as much as it

567
00:27:04,080 --> 00:27:06,920
Speaker 4: is it's not the right fit in this situation and

568
00:27:07,000 --> 00:27:08,920
Speaker 4: they decided to move on. But the stuff I've heard

569
00:27:08,960 --> 00:27:11,399
Speaker 4: behind the scenes about Coleman and the way that they

570
00:27:11,480 --> 00:27:13,879
Speaker 4: figured out the draft, Like I think now we're starting

571
00:27:13,920 --> 00:27:18,359
Speaker 4: to get into the you know, postpartum depression days of

572
00:27:18,840 --> 00:27:21,520
Speaker 4: McDermott where now that the move has been made, you're

573
00:27:21,520 --> 00:27:23,359
Speaker 4: starting to hear I don't know if it's true or

574
00:27:23,359 --> 00:27:25,560
Speaker 4: not about the things that went on behind the scenes,

575
00:27:25,680 --> 00:27:28,000
Speaker 4: and both sides are kind of giving you their story

576
00:27:28,080 --> 00:27:28,240
Speaker 4: of it.

577
00:27:29,160 --> 00:27:31,600
Speaker 3: It feels like it feels like an ugly breakup, is

578
00:27:31,640 --> 00:27:34,119
Speaker 3: what it feels like. Right, Yeah, that's the thing is

579
00:27:34,920 --> 00:27:37,760
Speaker 3: do I take on the whole McDermott thing. I think

580
00:27:37,880 --> 00:27:42,359
Speaker 3: that this week it was the perfect storm for a

581
00:27:42,480 --> 00:27:47,119
Speaker 3: really bad conclusion, meaning this where it's become it's like

582
00:27:47,280 --> 00:27:51,920
Speaker 3: the Stidham syndrome. This is different factors here, but like this,

583
00:27:52,560 --> 00:27:56,800
Speaker 3: this glowing praise for Sean McDermott, I'm like, wait a minute,

584
00:27:56,960 --> 00:27:59,640
Speaker 3: where is this coming from? Again? But if I walk through,

585
00:27:59,800 --> 00:28:01,840
Speaker 3: like how did people get here? Where it's like, Sean

586
00:28:01,920 --> 00:28:04,000
Speaker 3: McDermott's a really good coach, he didn't deserve this, and

587
00:28:04,160 --> 00:28:05,960
Speaker 3: blah blah blah like that sort of thing, how did

588
00:28:06,040 --> 00:28:10,320
Speaker 3: people get there? And the biggest factor is that McDermott

589
00:28:10,320 --> 00:28:14,119
Speaker 3: gets fired and the GM Brandon Bean gets promoted to

590
00:28:14,280 --> 00:28:17,520
Speaker 3: president and so people are immediately like, wait a minute,

591
00:28:17,520 --> 00:28:20,040
Speaker 3: whoa what's up with that? So you're immediately thinking like

592
00:28:20,200 --> 00:28:22,240
Speaker 3: that's kind of messed up. There have been holes on

593
00:28:22,320 --> 00:28:24,680
Speaker 3: this roster, Like you see the run defense, you see

594
00:28:24,720 --> 00:28:27,600
Speaker 3: these wide receivers Josh Allen's throwing to, like what's up

595
00:28:27,680 --> 00:28:30,440
Speaker 3: with that Brandon Bean? And you're getting promoted, So I

596
00:28:30,560 --> 00:28:33,879
Speaker 3: get the pushback on that, But then it goes to

597
00:28:33,960 --> 00:28:36,040
Speaker 3: the next level where it's like Sean McDermott is a

598
00:28:36,080 --> 00:28:38,240
Speaker 3: good head coach and it's like, let's let's run down

599
00:28:38,280 --> 00:28:40,880
Speaker 3: the resume. Shaow, And you're alluding to this Jared where

600
00:28:40,920 --> 00:28:44,360
Speaker 3: it's like he's eight and eight in the playoffs. He's

601
00:28:44,400 --> 00:28:47,760
Speaker 3: got arguably the best quarterback in the NFL. Right now,

602
00:28:48,000 --> 00:28:49,840
Speaker 3: there are a lot of people who think Josh Allen

603
00:28:50,120 --> 00:28:53,160
Speaker 3: is the best guy who is past Mahomes right here,

604
00:28:53,240 --> 00:28:55,440
Speaker 3: right now is a better quarterback. A lot of people

605
00:28:55,520 --> 00:28:57,440
Speaker 3: think that if you don't have him number one, you've

606
00:28:57,440 --> 00:28:59,880
Speaker 3: got him number two, number three at the lowest right.

607
00:29:00,040 --> 00:29:03,560
Speaker 3: So you've got a top, top tier quarterback and you

608
00:29:03,720 --> 00:29:08,360
Speaker 3: haven't gotten to one super Bowl. Like it's not just

609
00:29:08,480 --> 00:29:10,960
Speaker 3: this past season where the Chiefs aren't in the playoffs.

610
00:29:11,040 --> 00:29:15,440
Speaker 3: This was your time to strike and it's another playoff disappointment.

611
00:29:15,520 --> 00:29:19,200
Speaker 3: It's another failure, not even getting to the conference championship game.

612
00:29:19,480 --> 00:29:23,280
Speaker 3: Haven't been to the super Bowl one time. And when

613
00:29:23,320 --> 00:29:27,120
Speaker 3: you're looking at you know, like whether it's the quarterback's fault,

614
00:29:27,160 --> 00:29:30,760
Speaker 3: it certainly was against Denver. I mean that's a Josh Allen.

615
00:29:30,800 --> 00:29:33,720
Speaker 3: The way he played is a much bigger factor than McDermott.

616
00:29:34,000 --> 00:29:36,560
Speaker 3: But like you said, it's the culmination, it's the whole

617
00:29:36,640 --> 00:29:39,480
Speaker 3: body of work. It's not just this is it. We're

618
00:29:39,520 --> 00:29:43,880
Speaker 3: only basing it on Saturday's loss against the Broncos. That's

619
00:29:43,920 --> 00:29:46,360
Speaker 3: not what it is. It's almost a decade and still

620
00:29:46,520 --> 00:29:49,800
Speaker 3: no super Bowl appearances. This that we talked about last

621
00:29:49,840 --> 00:29:52,680
Speaker 3: week going into those games in the Divisional round, Jared,

622
00:29:52,720 --> 00:29:55,760
Speaker 3: it was the Bills have won a playoff game in

623
00:29:55,960 --> 00:30:01,000
Speaker 3: six consecutive seasons. That's a great accomplishment. They're one of

624
00:30:01,480 --> 00:30:04,640
Speaker 3: four teams to do that. But the other three teams

625
00:30:04,800 --> 00:30:08,240
Speaker 3: in their span wanted least three Super Bowls. Like that's

626
00:30:08,240 --> 00:30:13,080
Speaker 3: the nineties Cowboys, it's the Chiefs Mahomes years, and it's

627
00:30:13,240 --> 00:30:16,720
Speaker 3: the Brady Patriots. All those franchises want at least three

628
00:30:16,760 --> 00:30:19,400
Speaker 3: super Bowls. The Pats and Chiefs got to two more

629
00:30:19,520 --> 00:30:22,040
Speaker 3: Super Bowls. They were in five super Bowls in that span,

630
00:30:22,400 --> 00:30:24,960
Speaker 3: Bill's Am'm been to one and if you don't want

631
00:30:24,960 --> 00:30:27,560
Speaker 3: to hold mcdermot's feet to the fire for the Broncos loss,

632
00:30:27,640 --> 00:30:29,520
Speaker 3: I get it, But go back to one of the

633
00:30:29,600 --> 00:30:32,920
Speaker 3: chiefs losses. You're ahead on the road and there are

634
00:30:33,120 --> 00:30:37,200
Speaker 3: thirteen seconds left and you'll lose. How did that happen?

635
00:30:37,560 --> 00:30:39,680
Speaker 3: You didn't squip it, just squib kick it. If I'm

636
00:30:39,720 --> 00:30:40,880
Speaker 3: on my couch and I'm like, what do you do?

637
00:30:41,000 --> 00:30:43,560
Speaker 3: You could have burned three four five seconds. There's not

638
00:30:43,720 --> 00:30:46,240
Speaker 3: enough time. How do you not do that? You don't

639
00:30:46,280 --> 00:30:48,920
Speaker 3: do that because Sean McDermott is the head coach, So

640
00:30:48,960 --> 00:30:50,840
Speaker 3: I don't want to hear about the life and times

641
00:30:50,920 --> 00:30:54,560
Speaker 3: and this glowing praise. It wasn't good enough. It's the

642
00:30:54,640 --> 00:30:57,280
Speaker 3: bottom line. And if you want to change it and

643
00:30:57,640 --> 00:31:00,240
Speaker 3: bring in Dable or whoever you go with and try

644
00:31:00,280 --> 00:31:03,160
Speaker 3: to change the vibe, change the energy, to just change

645
00:31:03,160 --> 00:31:06,280
Speaker 3: it because it's clearly not working. I'm all in favor

646
00:31:06,360 --> 00:31:08,120
Speaker 3: of that, and I think that is the right move.

647
00:31:08,680 --> 00:31:11,320
Speaker 4: I agree, I think you But here's the here's the

648
00:31:11,440 --> 00:31:12,840
Speaker 4: issue that I have. And he goes back to your

649
00:31:12,920 --> 00:31:15,640
Speaker 4: original point about Brandon Bean the way that I would run.

650
00:31:15,520 --> 00:31:17,640
Speaker 3: A franchise if I was the owner or you know,

651
00:31:17,720 --> 00:31:18,480
Speaker 3: a team president.

652
00:31:18,760 --> 00:31:21,200
Speaker 4: If the head coach goes, odds are the GM should

653
00:31:21,200 --> 00:31:23,360
Speaker 4: go to because who hired the head coach?

654
00:31:23,560 --> 00:31:26,280
Speaker 3: There you go like that, Like to me, that is

655
00:31:27,040 --> 00:31:29,920
Speaker 3: we're in this world where we get a lot of.

656
00:31:30,320 --> 00:31:34,120
Speaker 4: Split decisions, right if you're a boxing fans, a split decision,

657
00:31:34,680 --> 00:31:38,000
Speaker 4: this judge thinks it's this, whereas this judge thinks it's that.

658
00:31:39,080 --> 00:31:41,680
Speaker 3: In this case, that's what Bill's ownership kind of did here.

659
00:31:42,200 --> 00:31:43,360
Speaker 3: It was a split decision.

660
00:31:43,520 --> 00:31:46,480
Speaker 4: They promote the guy who hired the guy you just fired.

661
00:31:46,880 --> 00:31:52,120
Speaker 4: Like it's a weird contradiction of logic. And I am

662
00:31:52,440 --> 00:31:56,080
Speaker 4: of the belief that if you are going to fire

663
00:31:56,160 --> 00:32:00,120
Speaker 4: your head coach, it is an organizational change from the

664
00:32:00,200 --> 00:32:02,720
Speaker 4: top down, and you need to change everything from the

665
00:32:02,800 --> 00:32:05,280
Speaker 4: top down, and it starts at that you know, player

666
00:32:05,360 --> 00:32:10,840
Speaker 4: personnel GM however you you know, title that position. And

667
00:32:10,920 --> 00:32:12,600
Speaker 4: I think it just it was kind of backwards to

668
00:32:12,720 --> 00:32:16,280
Speaker 4: promote the guy who you know was responsible for building

669
00:32:16,320 --> 00:32:18,520
Speaker 4: the team of the head coach he just fired. It

670
00:32:18,640 --> 00:32:21,200
Speaker 4: just it doesn't make sense to me because I would

671
00:32:21,240 --> 00:32:24,760
Speaker 4: want the new GM to hire his coach and have

672
00:32:24,880 --> 00:32:26,840
Speaker 4: a new system in place Like I'm always of the

673
00:32:26,880 --> 00:32:29,080
Speaker 4: belief that if you do fire a head coach the GM,

674
00:32:29,320 --> 00:32:32,520
Speaker 4: it should be a full organizational shift and then we're

675
00:32:32,560 --> 00:32:34,640
Speaker 4: moving to a new We're moving to a new regime.

676
00:32:35,800 --> 00:32:39,440
Speaker 4: I always feel stronger about, you know, head coaching decisions

677
00:32:39,480 --> 00:32:42,280
Speaker 4: when it's the new regime coming in, whereas the old

678
00:32:42,600 --> 00:32:47,080
Speaker 4: regime going to get older decisions like and we're seeing

679
00:32:47,120 --> 00:32:50,400
Speaker 4: it now with the Philip Rivers thing, Like, I get why,

680
00:32:51,080 --> 00:32:54,080
Speaker 4: after what happened, maybe Buffalo would want to take advantage

681
00:32:54,120 --> 00:32:57,480
Speaker 4: of of the popularity of Rivers right now. And to

682
00:32:57,600 --> 00:33:00,400
Speaker 4: be fair, he's probably was an offensive coordinator on the

683
00:33:00,440 --> 00:33:04,400
Speaker 4: field for back half of his career. But I just

684
00:33:04,480 --> 00:33:08,680
Speaker 4: don't understand the process to you know, how they arrived

685
00:33:08,720 --> 00:33:10,840
Speaker 4: at this decision. And now you're starting to hear a

686
00:33:10,920 --> 00:33:14,880
Speaker 4: lot of the pushback from other places about how they

687
00:33:14,920 --> 00:33:17,160
Speaker 4: are kind of going about this decision.

688
00:33:17,280 --> 00:33:20,080
Speaker 3: And then the petition. It's just it's messy. It really

689
00:33:20,240 --> 00:33:24,480
Speaker 3: is messy. And I think that's why to me, if

690
00:33:24,520 --> 00:33:26,520
Speaker 3: I would hire, if I would fire McDermott, I think

691
00:33:26,600 --> 00:33:27,600
Speaker 3: being should have went too.

692
00:33:28,520 --> 00:33:31,120
Speaker 4: And then you know, Pagoula starts over again and basically

693
00:33:31,200 --> 00:33:33,040
Speaker 4: brings in a new GM, or brings in a new

694
00:33:33,080 --> 00:33:35,160
Speaker 4: president or brings in some kind of firm to search

695
00:33:35,240 --> 00:33:38,240
Speaker 4: for those positions, and then the new GM would hire

696
00:33:38,320 --> 00:33:38,920
Speaker 4: the new coach.

697
00:33:39,920 --> 00:33:42,120
Speaker 3: If you are going to clean sweep it.

698
00:33:42,920 --> 00:33:45,360
Speaker 4: And let's be honest, it's not I agree with with

699
00:33:45,520 --> 00:33:47,800
Speaker 4: everything that people are saying about the Bills roster this year.

700
00:33:48,000 --> 00:33:50,200
Speaker 3: It was not a championship call of a roster. It

701
00:33:50,360 --> 00:33:51,480
Speaker 3: was not like Josh Allen.

702
00:33:51,520 --> 00:33:53,200
Speaker 4: I have him as the best quarterback in the league,

703
00:33:53,240 --> 00:33:55,280
Speaker 4: tied with Lamar and Mahomes. And I think it's the

704
00:33:55,320 --> 00:33:58,320
Speaker 4: same situation in Baltimore, Like you know, they got rid

705
00:33:58,320 --> 00:34:00,160
Speaker 4: of Harball. Even though Baltimore has had a ton of

706
00:34:00,320 --> 00:34:03,360
Speaker 4: regular season success over the last decade or so, it

707
00:34:03,520 --> 00:34:06,040
Speaker 4: hasn't equated to that postseason success.

708
00:34:06,640 --> 00:34:08,760
Speaker 3: And that is the benchmark in the NFL.

709
00:34:08,880 --> 00:34:10,720
Speaker 4: It's not how many games you win during the regular

710
00:34:10,800 --> 00:34:13,840
Speaker 4: season that will keep you your job for a few years.

711
00:34:14,440 --> 00:34:17,120
Speaker 4: But then eventually you've got to ring the bell. And

712
00:34:17,200 --> 00:34:18,359
Speaker 4: Buffalo never rang the bell.

713
00:34:18,960 --> 00:34:22,120
Speaker 3: That's the weird thing. Is I generally agree with you.

714
00:34:22,520 --> 00:34:25,319
Speaker 3: I mean, there are a couple of exceptions where hey,

715
00:34:25,400 --> 00:34:28,000
Speaker 3: maybe the GM has done a great job. There's a

716
00:34:28,040 --> 00:34:30,719
Speaker 3: lot of talent and the team's just underperforming and the

717
00:34:30,800 --> 00:34:34,200
Speaker 3: coach isn't great, And I can see why the GM

718
00:34:34,239 --> 00:34:36,759
Speaker 3: would stick around, especially if the GM didn't do the

719
00:34:37,000 --> 00:34:40,000
Speaker 3: head coach hiring. Sometimes that happens. That's happened with the Bills.

720
00:34:40,080 --> 00:34:43,120
Speaker 3: That's the weird thing is like when McDermott was brought in,

721
00:34:43,640 --> 00:34:46,239
Speaker 3: the Pakoulas are in place, that's you know, Terry and

722
00:34:46,320 --> 00:34:48,720
Speaker 3: Kim are there, and it was the GM. Doug Whaley,

723
00:34:49,040 --> 00:34:52,240
Speaker 3: he was the guy in place when they hired Sean McDermott.

724
00:34:52,239 --> 00:34:54,560
Speaker 3: And then Brandon Bean came a board right like he

725
00:34:54,760 --> 00:34:59,759
Speaker 3: was the GM eventually, but he didn't hire McDermott. So

726
00:35:00,040 --> 00:35:03,640
Speaker 3: it's weird, right, like mcdermottin' places, then you get Bean

727
00:35:04,280 --> 00:35:06,160
Speaker 3: and so now we arrive to the here and now,

728
00:35:06,239 --> 00:35:07,880
Speaker 3: and Bean's kind of like, I didn't even hire this

729
00:35:08,000 --> 00:35:11,239
Speaker 3: freaking guy or whatever he's saying to ownership, right yeah,

730
00:35:11,280 --> 00:35:14,680
Speaker 3: and so it's, uh, you can build an argument that way.

731
00:35:15,320 --> 00:35:17,520
Speaker 3: I think you know, Bean didn't do a good enough

732
00:35:17,600 --> 00:35:20,000
Speaker 3: job to your point where there are too many holes

733
00:35:20,280 --> 00:35:23,160
Speaker 3: up and down that roster. And I know you got injuries.

734
00:35:23,200 --> 00:35:26,320
Speaker 3: Every team does, but like even if they're fully healthy,

735
00:35:26,360 --> 00:35:29,760
Speaker 3: the wide receivers that Josh Allen has not that household

736
00:35:29,880 --> 00:35:32,319
Speaker 3: names at all. No, you know you're throwing to number two,

737
00:35:32,400 --> 00:35:34,440
Speaker 3: number three receivers all over that roster.

738
00:35:34,520 --> 00:35:37,320
Speaker 4: Well, the Coleman discourse now is obviously proving that the

739
00:35:37,400 --> 00:35:40,840
Speaker 4: way that's just the Coleman situation has developed since the

740
00:35:40,960 --> 00:35:44,640
Speaker 4: firing has proven that the roster wasn't quite up to snub.

741
00:35:44,960 --> 00:35:48,360
Speaker 3: That's right, that's right. Like it's pretty bad when you

742
00:35:48,440 --> 00:35:51,040
Speaker 3: know there's a bunch of fighting, like he wanted that guy, No,

743
00:35:51,200 --> 00:35:54,040
Speaker 3: he wanted No, didn't, I didn't want it. Nobody sounds

744
00:35:54,080 --> 00:35:56,000
Speaker 3: like a high school breakup, is what it sounds like.

745
00:35:56,640 --> 00:35:58,080
Speaker 3: You told me you were going to take me to

746
00:35:58,160 --> 00:36:01,640
Speaker 3: the dance. Yeah, well you know, oh I had another date. Sorry, yeah, yeah,

747
00:36:03,160 --> 00:36:06,880
Speaker 3: that's crazy. All right. We've got Jared Smith FSR betting analyst.

748
00:36:07,280 --> 00:36:10,760
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749
00:36:10,800 --> 00:36:13,800
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755
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756
00:36:32,680 --> 00:36:34,680
Speaker 3: one selection for you. We pull it together for a

757
00:36:34,719 --> 00:36:37,279
Speaker 3: greater payout. Hopefully we have riches pick too, or it's

758
00:36:37,320 --> 00:36:40,040
Speaker 3: just a two leg parlay, you know. Like goodness? Well,

759
00:36:40,080 --> 00:36:42,160
Speaker 3: how about how about we do how about we each

760
00:36:42,280 --> 00:36:45,120
Speaker 3: pick both like money lines for the championship games.

761
00:36:45,320 --> 00:36:47,319
Speaker 4: Oh okay, all right, no problem, We'll have our own

762
00:36:47,320 --> 00:36:48,560
Speaker 4: little individual two leggers.

763
00:36:48,680 --> 00:36:49,080
Speaker 5: I like it.

764
00:36:49,320 --> 00:36:51,440
Speaker 3: We'll do that. Coming up, it is Fox Sports Radio's

765
00:36:51,440 --> 00:36:53,719
Speaker 3: Countdown to kick Off presented by BETMGM.

766
00:36:54,320 --> 00:36:57,239
Speaker 1: Fox Sports Radio has the best sports talk lineup in

767
00:36:57,280 --> 00:37:00,640
Speaker 1: the nation. Catch all of our shows at Fox swortsradio

768
00:37:00,800 --> 00:37:04,840
Speaker 1: dot com and within the iHeartRadio app. Search FSR to

769
00:37:04,960 --> 00:37:05,600
Speaker 1: listen live.

770
00:37:06,239 --> 00:37:09,600
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771
00:37:09,680 --> 00:37:12,040
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780
00:37:37,520 --> 00:37:39,280
Speaker 1: Check this out parlay flatter.

781
00:37:40,280 --> 00:37:43,880
Speaker 3: Ah, Yes, the parlay platter, which have one selection for you.

782
00:37:44,040 --> 00:37:46,880
Speaker 3: We pull it together for a greater payout. And this

783
00:37:47,000 --> 00:37:49,360
Speaker 3: time we're doing a little two leg parlay here, Jared,

784
00:37:49,440 --> 00:37:52,319
Speaker 3: So what do you have for us here on Championship Sunday? Well,

785
00:37:52,480 --> 00:37:53,000
Speaker 3: two legger?

786
00:37:53,040 --> 00:37:56,160
Speaker 4: Well, the easy leg here is the Rams. I think

787
00:37:56,480 --> 00:37:59,640
Speaker 4: I'm very much set on the Rams are not the

788
00:37:59,680 --> 00:38:00,520
Speaker 4: better team.

789
00:38:00,440 --> 00:38:02,160
Speaker 3: But they've got the better quarterback.

790
00:38:02,200 --> 00:38:04,880
Speaker 4: I think the coaching matchup is dead even I do

791
00:38:05,000 --> 00:38:08,360
Speaker 4: think Seattle has a slightly better roster, especially defensively, but

792
00:38:08,480 --> 00:38:10,640
Speaker 4: I just don't trust Sam Donald and Sam Darnold's worth

793
00:38:10,680 --> 00:38:12,680
Speaker 4: the most points against the spread. Right, quarterbacks work the

794
00:38:12,719 --> 00:38:14,680
Speaker 4: most points against the spread of any position. So if

795
00:38:14,719 --> 00:38:17,240
Speaker 4: I don't trust Donald, I can't get there on Seattle.

796
00:38:17,360 --> 00:38:20,120
Speaker 4: So the Rams at plus one twenty are definitely leg

797
00:38:20,239 --> 00:38:22,840
Speaker 4: one of the parlay Patriots Bronco is a little bit

798
00:38:22,880 --> 00:38:26,120
Speaker 4: trickier again. I think New England deserves to be the

799
00:38:26,200 --> 00:38:29,000
Speaker 4: favorite based off of the bow Knicks to Jared stid

800
00:38:29,040 --> 00:38:31,239
Speaker 4: a move, but they are priced still a little bit

801
00:38:31,320 --> 00:38:33,440
Speaker 4: too heavy for me. Like minus two twenty on the

802
00:38:33,520 --> 00:38:35,239
Speaker 4: money line, I think is a little bit too heavy

803
00:38:36,200 --> 00:38:38,719
Speaker 4: for a road team, and Drake may playing his first

804
00:38:38,840 --> 00:38:42,320
Speaker 4: road playoff game, so I do think the value is

805
00:38:42,400 --> 00:38:45,960
Speaker 4: still on Denver. Now do I think Denver is going

806
00:38:46,000 --> 00:38:49,320
Speaker 4: to win the game. I'm not as confident in that,

807
00:38:49,920 --> 00:38:53,680
Speaker 4: but this is a bet for wagering purposes and not

808
00:38:53,880 --> 00:38:55,840
Speaker 4: necessarily who what I think is going to happen. And

809
00:38:55,880 --> 00:38:58,719
Speaker 4: if the value is on Denver still, I've got to

810
00:38:58,760 --> 00:39:01,399
Speaker 4: go with the Broncos. Now here's the rub. We get

811
00:39:01,480 --> 00:39:03,879
Speaker 4: a twenty five percent odds boost at bet MGM, which

812
00:39:03,920 --> 00:39:06,680
Speaker 4: is fantastic news because if you put Rams plus one

813
00:39:06,719 --> 00:39:08,440
Speaker 4: twenty Broncos plus one eighty on the money line, you

814
00:39:08,480 --> 00:39:10,200
Speaker 4: get plus five sixteen at bet MGM.

815
00:39:10,280 --> 00:39:13,640
Speaker 3: But you boost that sucker up to plus six forty five.

816
00:39:13,840 --> 00:39:17,279
Speaker 4: Oh okay, and now you've got yourself a nice little

817
00:39:17,400 --> 00:39:20,640
Speaker 4: two legger where if the Broncos do pull off the

818
00:39:20,760 --> 00:39:23,200
Speaker 4: upset in the early matchup, well then you've got some

819
00:39:23,320 --> 00:39:24,880
Speaker 4: options later where you can come off of it and

820
00:39:24,920 --> 00:39:26,520
Speaker 4: bet the Seahawks. So I think, for the sake of

821
00:39:26,760 --> 00:39:28,919
Speaker 4: value purposes, we use that word a lot here.

822
00:39:28,840 --> 00:39:29,200
Speaker 3: On the show.

823
00:39:29,560 --> 00:39:32,239
Speaker 4: I think it's gonna be Broncos and Rams and then

824
00:39:32,360 --> 00:39:35,080
Speaker 4: plus six forty five after the twenty five percent boosts

825
00:39:35,080 --> 00:39:35,720
Speaker 4: of bet MGM.

826
00:39:36,360 --> 00:39:39,000
Speaker 3: I have a similar breakdown, at least the first part

827
00:39:39,080 --> 00:39:41,040
Speaker 3: of it. I'm on the Rams. I like the Rams

828
00:39:41,080 --> 00:39:43,880
Speaker 3: to win the game, like when Stafford throws for four

829
00:39:44,000 --> 00:39:47,040
Speaker 3: hundred and fifty seven yards on the road against the

830
00:39:47,080 --> 00:39:51,160
Speaker 3: Seahawks without Devonte Adams. I think the Seahawks they have

831
00:39:51,440 --> 00:39:54,839
Speaker 3: a really really strong defense. So let's be honest. They've

832
00:39:54,880 --> 00:39:57,919
Speaker 3: gotten fat over the forty nine Ers the last two games.

833
00:39:57,920 --> 00:39:59,520
Speaker 3: They played them in the Week eighteen, they played him

834
00:39:59,560 --> 00:40:02,279
Speaker 3: last week the divisional round. Look at the Niners like

835
00:40:02,680 --> 00:40:05,719
Speaker 3: they can't run the ball. It's a mass unit. They

836
00:40:05,760 --> 00:40:08,400
Speaker 3: didn't have George Kittle for the playoff game. You know,

837
00:40:08,520 --> 00:40:11,440
Speaker 3: like the Rams, they bring so much more to the

838
00:40:11,520 --> 00:40:14,160
Speaker 3: table offensively, and I just don't trust Donald. I don't

839
00:40:14,200 --> 00:40:16,759
Speaker 3: like the Rams secondary, but I don't trust Donald to

840
00:40:16,880 --> 00:40:19,000
Speaker 3: just dice them up and you know, make them pay

841
00:40:19,080 --> 00:40:20,600
Speaker 3: for that. Like I don't expect that at all. So

842
00:40:20,640 --> 00:40:22,600
Speaker 3: I like the Rams to win the game, and I

843
00:40:22,680 --> 00:40:24,640
Speaker 3: expect the Patriots to win the game. You know, I

844
00:40:24,960 --> 00:40:27,080
Speaker 3: bet on what I think is gonna happen. I totally

845
00:40:27,120 --> 00:40:30,360
Speaker 3: get it. Where you get this great payout with the Broncos,

846
00:40:30,440 --> 00:40:32,800
Speaker 3: you go with them, and they're certainly capable of winning

847
00:40:32,840 --> 00:40:34,920
Speaker 3: this game. I think they are going to be a

848
00:40:35,040 --> 00:40:38,120
Speaker 3: wounded animal. You know, They're down to their backup quarterback

849
00:40:38,400 --> 00:40:41,160
Speaker 3: and they're gonna scratch and claw for everything. I think

850
00:40:41,160 --> 00:40:43,520
Speaker 3: they're gonna be a complete pain in the bud. But

851
00:40:43,640 --> 00:40:46,040
Speaker 3: I think the Patriots are a better team and this

852
00:40:46,200 --> 00:40:48,680
Speaker 3: is a better spot for them. And I'll tell you

853
00:40:48,800 --> 00:40:50,840
Speaker 3: what I don't want to I don't want to be

854
00:40:50,920 --> 00:40:53,160
Speaker 3: on the Denver side if they're trailing and I need

855
00:40:53,320 --> 00:40:56,920
Speaker 3: Stidham to make plays. Dat I agree with that's a

856
00:40:57,000 --> 00:40:59,800
Speaker 3: rough spot. So I'm gonna go with the Pats. Rams

857
00:41:00,280 --> 00:41:02,640
Speaker 3: to Lake Marlay plus two nineteen, get a little boost,

858
00:41:02,800 --> 00:41:05,920
Speaker 3: get a little juicier right there. So I'm going with that.

859
00:41:06,560 --> 00:41:10,480
Speaker 3: Nice are coming up next. The breakdowns continue with the

860
00:41:10,760 --> 00:41:12,400
Speaker 3: Game of Championship Sunday.

861
00:41:12,960 --> 00:41:15,840
Speaker 1: Fox Sports Radio has the best sports talk lineup in

862
00:41:15,880 --> 00:41:19,240
Speaker 1: the nation. Catch all of our shows at Foxsports Radio

863
00:41:19,400 --> 00:41:23,440
Speaker 1: dot com and within the iHeartRadio app search FSR to

864
00:41:23,600 --> 00:41:24,200
Speaker 1: listen live.

865
00:41:24,880 --> 00:41:27,479
Speaker 3: Oh what is going on? Happy Saturday to you. Hope

866
00:41:27,520 --> 00:41:29,239
Speaker 3: all is well and your day is off to a

867
00:41:29,440 --> 00:41:32,040
Speaker 3: great start. Hey, have you ever wiped with a piece

868
00:41:32,040 --> 00:41:34,600
Speaker 3: of dry toilet paper and wondered? Is this as good

869
00:41:34,640 --> 00:41:38,640
Speaker 3: as it gets? It's not switched to life changing Wet

870
00:41:39,360 --> 00:41:43,600
Speaker 3: extra large flushable dudewipes because wetter just cleans better. Available

871
00:41:43,640 --> 00:41:48,160
Speaker 3: at Amazon and at major retailers nationwide. Dudewipes best clean

872
00:41:48,719 --> 00:41:52,839
Speaker 3: pants down. We will get to Christian. Actually, Seamus, our guy,

873
00:41:52,920 --> 00:41:55,520
Speaker 3: Seamus McGee will be with us here today, so looking

874
00:41:55,560 --> 00:41:58,600
Speaker 3: forward to that. And right now, it's a double dose

875
00:41:58,640 --> 00:42:01,880
Speaker 3: of tag team action over here. It's it's Jared Smith,

876
00:42:01,920 --> 00:42:05,200
Speaker 3: It's Brian No No, Rich Ornberger. He had biceps surgery.

877
00:42:05,680 --> 00:42:07,759
Speaker 3: How awesome is that? Yah? I had to get my

878
00:42:07,880 --> 00:42:12,160
Speaker 3: biceps reattached. Always always tipps me up tickets to the

879
00:42:12,239 --> 00:42:15,520
Speaker 3: gun show. Yeah? Right, if it's plural, you know, does it?

880
00:42:15,800 --> 00:42:18,920
Speaker 3: It feels like it should be bicep surgery. Right? So

881
00:42:19,200 --> 00:42:21,439
Speaker 3: sometimes you throw the S on there. I'm not quite

882
00:42:21,480 --> 00:42:23,480
Speaker 3: sure when when you like, I want to put the

883
00:42:23,640 --> 00:42:27,640
Speaker 3: S on cheese its. It just sounds, it feels natural, right, technically,

884
00:42:27,719 --> 00:42:29,800
Speaker 3: it's just cheese it. I can there must be multiple

885
00:42:29,880 --> 00:42:32,480
Speaker 3: muscles in each bicep, but I'm not that's the thing,

886
00:42:32,560 --> 00:42:35,000
Speaker 3: not a human anatomy person, right. I honestly don't know

887
00:42:35,040 --> 00:42:37,000
Speaker 3: if that's true or not. I really don't. Yeah, so

888
00:42:37,520 --> 00:42:39,800
Speaker 3: I'm not quite sure he went under the under the knife,

889
00:42:40,080 --> 00:42:43,239
Speaker 3: you know, and trying to get back in working order.

890
00:42:43,320 --> 00:42:46,160
Speaker 3: That's all we know. But whether it's bicep or biceps

891
00:42:46,600 --> 00:42:49,080
Speaker 3: surgery he had that, yeah, I'm not sure he had

892
00:42:49,120 --> 00:42:51,480
Speaker 3: something to get everything going in the right direction. But

893
00:42:52,040 --> 00:42:55,960
Speaker 3: awesome nevertheless, that you can just have that on your resume, like, yeah,

894
00:42:56,040 --> 00:42:58,000
Speaker 3: I had to get it reattached right there.

895
00:42:58,080 --> 00:42:58,239
Speaker 5: You know.

896
00:42:58,360 --> 00:43:02,480
Speaker 3: It's, you know, one of those things. So he's out

897
00:43:02,560 --> 00:43:05,000
Speaker 3: this week. I'm sure he'll be back next week. So

898
00:43:05,080 --> 00:43:07,480
Speaker 3: shout out to our guy Rich. But we got business

899
00:43:07,520 --> 00:43:10,920
Speaker 3: to attend to here. How about this NFC Championship game here, Jared,

900
00:43:11,520 --> 00:43:14,280
Speaker 3: This is a great, great matchup obviously with the Rams

901
00:43:14,360 --> 00:43:17,520
Speaker 3: against the Seahawks. I love that somehow, some way in

902
00:43:17,560 --> 00:43:20,920
Speaker 3: two regular season you know games between those two teams,

903
00:43:21,440 --> 00:43:25,360
Speaker 3: they're separated by one yard and one point. That is

904
00:43:25,440 --> 00:43:28,400
Speaker 3: the difference. I think both of them favor the Rams

905
00:43:28,760 --> 00:43:31,720
Speaker 3: for what that's worth, but they split in the regular season.

906
00:43:32,040 --> 00:43:35,160
Speaker 3: The game in Seattle that was the wild one. That

907
00:43:35,360 --> 00:43:38,320
Speaker 3: was the crazy one where the Rams were ahead thirty

908
00:43:38,400 --> 00:43:41,239
Speaker 3: to sixteen, and the next thing, you like, Darnold had

909
00:43:41,360 --> 00:43:45,200
Speaker 3: just thrown his second horrible interception and you're just like,

910
00:43:45,239 --> 00:43:47,239
Speaker 3: all right, you know, we see where this game is going.

911
00:43:47,360 --> 00:43:50,880
Speaker 3: Next thing, you know, Rashid Shaheed takes a punt to

912
00:43:51,000 --> 00:43:53,680
Speaker 3: the house. They get the two point conversion, so it's

913
00:43:53,719 --> 00:43:56,719
Speaker 3: a one possession game. They score again, and then it

914
00:43:56,840 --> 00:43:59,840
Speaker 3: was that crazy Zach charbonnet play right. It was a

915
00:44:00,000 --> 00:44:03,280
Speaker 3: backwards pass. It hits a Rams player in the helmet,

916
00:44:03,400 --> 00:44:05,600
Speaker 3: it trickles into the end zone. The play is over

917
00:44:06,120 --> 00:44:08,799
Speaker 3: and Sharbonage just picks the ball up like oh here

918
00:44:08,840 --> 00:44:10,320
Speaker 3: you go official And it turned out to be a

919
00:44:10,400 --> 00:44:13,719
Speaker 3: two point conversion, game goes to overtime, somehow the Seahawks

920
00:44:13,760 --> 00:44:16,560
Speaker 3: win it. It was wild, man. If we can just

921
00:44:16,680 --> 00:44:18,839
Speaker 3: sign up for thirty eight thirty seven, I will sign

922
00:44:18,920 --> 00:44:21,279
Speaker 3: that petition. If you can get thirty eight thirty seven

923
00:44:21,400 --> 00:44:26,040
Speaker 3: in either direction, overtime masterpiece, I'll happily take that on Sunday.

924
00:44:26,080 --> 00:44:29,400
Speaker 4: I hope that happens tomorrow night. It'd be awesome. I

925
00:44:29,719 --> 00:44:34,240
Speaker 4: don't know it's possible to have a game that wacky.

926
00:44:34,400 --> 00:44:38,200
Speaker 4: First of all, game well, it's happening more recently games

927
00:44:38,280 --> 00:44:41,480
Speaker 4: landing on one or two, And ironically enough, both of

928
00:44:41,560 --> 00:44:43,879
Speaker 4: the matchups between these two teams landed one and two,

929
00:44:44,680 --> 00:44:45,840
Speaker 4: which is just.

930
00:44:46,040 --> 00:44:47,120
Speaker 3: Those aren't key numbers.

931
00:44:47,160 --> 00:44:50,360
Speaker 4: Usually it's like three, four, six, seven, But five and

932
00:44:50,480 --> 00:44:53,680
Speaker 4: two and one have become more popular lately because of

933
00:44:53,840 --> 00:44:55,879
Speaker 4: a a lot of missed extra points and a lot

934
00:44:55,920 --> 00:44:57,800
Speaker 4: more two point conversions, and that's why you're starting to

935
00:44:57,840 --> 00:45:00,279
Speaker 4: see a lot of these really weird score lines. But

936
00:45:00,640 --> 00:45:03,680
Speaker 4: when I dived into this matchup, I love when we

937
00:45:03,880 --> 00:45:07,080
Speaker 4: have prior matchups to go off of because it gives

938
00:45:07,120 --> 00:45:08,640
Speaker 4: me an opportunity a to watch.

939
00:45:08,480 --> 00:45:10,440
Speaker 3: The film be like, all right, what actually happened here?

940
00:45:11,000 --> 00:45:13,960
Speaker 4: And two It gives us a chance to because I

941
00:45:14,040 --> 00:45:16,439
Speaker 4: think the common misconception about a lot of NFL stuff

942
00:45:16,480 --> 00:45:18,400
Speaker 4: in the playoffs, and I wrote this up.

943
00:45:18,440 --> 00:45:20,040
Speaker 3: I did an article about this last week.

944
00:45:21,280 --> 00:45:23,320
Speaker 4: A lot of the stuff that happens in the regular season,

945
00:45:23,640 --> 00:45:26,200
Speaker 4: all of the coaches, like every coaching staff is like

946
00:45:26,280 --> 00:45:29,600
Speaker 4: ten different analysts that probably dissect every single piece of

947
00:45:29,719 --> 00:45:32,799
Speaker 4: film that you could possibly imagine. And I'm sure they

948
00:45:32,880 --> 00:45:35,239
Speaker 4: watched all the game right, both games that took place

949
00:45:35,280 --> 00:45:36,600
Speaker 4: between these two teams and all the games that have

950
00:45:36,680 --> 00:45:39,799
Speaker 4: been played lately. So the tendencies that you see during

951
00:45:39,840 --> 00:45:42,320
Speaker 4: the regular season don't hold as much water in the

952
00:45:42,360 --> 00:45:45,440
Speaker 4: postseason because think about it from your perspective, you're the head.

953
00:45:45,320 --> 00:45:46,040
Speaker 3: Coach of the Rams.

954
00:45:46,080 --> 00:45:48,239
Speaker 4: You've played Seattle twice, They've got to arguably the best

955
00:45:48,239 --> 00:45:50,279
Speaker 4: defense in the league. Are you gonna do the same

956
00:45:50,360 --> 00:45:52,400
Speaker 4: things that you've done over the last two meetings. No,

957
00:45:52,640 --> 00:45:56,480
Speaker 4: because Seattle's seen it, so you're gonna naturally change your

958
00:45:56,520 --> 00:46:00,600
Speaker 4: approach in some capacity. That being said, it's hard to

959
00:46:00,719 --> 00:46:03,920
Speaker 4: change your approach with turnovers, and that is the hardest

960
00:46:04,080 --> 00:46:05,360
Speaker 4: part of the game to predict.

961
00:46:05,640 --> 00:46:08,160
Speaker 3: It's the most difficult, most volatile statistic.

962
00:46:08,440 --> 00:46:11,520
Speaker 4: But when you look at the prior to meetings, the

963
00:46:11,680 --> 00:46:14,359
Speaker 4: Rams went one and one, didn't cover either game, even

964
00:46:14,400 --> 00:46:16,320
Speaker 4: the game they won, they didn't cover. They were a

965
00:46:16,440 --> 00:46:21,200
Speaker 4: plus six in the turnover margin plus three in each game.

966
00:46:22,080 --> 00:46:23,680
Speaker 4: And the fact that they couldn't win on the road

967
00:46:23,800 --> 00:46:26,520
Speaker 4: in Seattle despite having a I think sixteen point lead

968
00:46:26,719 --> 00:46:30,520
Speaker 4: in the fourth quarter and plus three turnover margin. Like

969
00:46:30,640 --> 00:46:32,719
Speaker 4: that's a red flag to me, Like that's like, all right, well,

970
00:46:33,080 --> 00:46:35,520
Speaker 4: you should have won the first game, probably by more

971
00:46:35,560 --> 00:46:37,319
Speaker 4: than a field goal, which is what you were favored by,

972
00:46:37,480 --> 00:46:40,799
Speaker 4: with a plus three turnover margin, and you absolutely should

973
00:46:40,800 --> 00:46:42,200
Speaker 4: have won the game that you were up sixteen in

974
00:46:42,200 --> 00:46:44,040
Speaker 4: the fourth quarter with a plus three turnover margin. And

975
00:46:44,120 --> 00:46:46,359
Speaker 4: so we're both on the RAMS. I think a lot

976
00:46:46,400 --> 00:46:48,279
Speaker 4: of I've seen a lot of really smart people on

977
00:46:48,360 --> 00:46:51,279
Speaker 4: both sides of the aisle here. But the hardest part

978
00:46:51,320 --> 00:46:53,560
Speaker 4: of this game to predict is going to be who

979
00:46:53,600 --> 00:46:57,080
Speaker 4: wins the turnover battle. Because if Seattle wins the turnover battle,

980
00:46:57,360 --> 00:46:59,439
Speaker 4: which I'm not expecting them to do, They've got mister

981
00:46:59,480 --> 00:47:02,640
Speaker 4: turn walking turnover Sam Darnold as their quarterback. But if

982
00:47:02,680 --> 00:47:06,080
Speaker 4: they win the turnover battle, Brian, I just that's a

983
00:47:06,239 --> 00:47:09,279
Speaker 4: tough hill to overcome for this Rams team because they

984
00:47:09,360 --> 00:47:12,279
Speaker 4: won both turnover margins in the first two matchups and

985
00:47:12,320 --> 00:47:14,799
Speaker 4: they still could barely get across the finish line and one.

986
00:47:14,760 --> 00:47:18,000
Speaker 3: And lost the other. Well, here's the thing. The bigger

987
00:47:18,160 --> 00:47:21,320
Speaker 3: question for me as I look at this game is

988
00:47:22,320 --> 00:47:25,200
Speaker 3: how well will the Seahawks run the ball that to me,

989
00:47:25,360 --> 00:47:27,839
Speaker 3: is the bigger question than like are the Rams going

990
00:47:27,880 --> 00:47:30,520
Speaker 3: to be able to move it against the Seattle defense

991
00:47:30,560 --> 00:47:33,480
Speaker 3: that has just been ferocious the last couple of games,

992
00:47:33,520 --> 00:47:36,120
Speaker 3: like down the Stretch, they've been phenomenal. But like as

993
00:47:36,160 --> 00:47:38,600
Speaker 3: I said before, that's against the forty nine ers. This

994
00:47:38,800 --> 00:47:42,680
Speaker 3: is a different task. This is a much tougher defense

995
00:47:42,760 --> 00:47:45,399
Speaker 3: to defend because they can run the ball a lot better.

996
00:47:45,480 --> 00:47:48,480
Speaker 3: The forty nine Ers running game was never good this

997
00:47:48,760 --> 00:47:51,920
Speaker 3: entire season. As great as Christian McCaffrey is, the Niners

998
00:47:52,040 --> 00:47:56,319
Speaker 3: running game was never on track. And so like McCaffrey

999
00:47:56,440 --> 00:48:00,360
Speaker 3: is sensational out of the backfield as a receiver and

1000
00:48:00,480 --> 00:48:03,600
Speaker 3: they used him a ton this season. So that's that's

1001
00:48:03,800 --> 00:48:07,200
Speaker 3: you know, this is a different challenge and it favors

1002
00:48:07,239 --> 00:48:09,960
Speaker 3: the Seahawks in that way where you don't have Kyron

1003
00:48:10,000 --> 00:48:13,600
Speaker 3: Williams or Blake Korum being used in the receiving game

1004
00:48:13,800 --> 00:48:16,160
Speaker 3: like the passing game the way that Christian McCaffrey is.

1005
00:48:16,640 --> 00:48:19,800
Speaker 3: But what the Rams lack in terms of that, you know,

1006
00:48:19,920 --> 00:48:23,120
Speaker 3: like receiving running backs, they make up for it with

1007
00:48:23,640 --> 00:48:26,080
Speaker 3: running running backs. Right, The Rams just have a much

1008
00:48:26,120 --> 00:48:28,239
Speaker 3: better running game than the forty nine Ers have. Had,

1009
00:48:28,719 --> 00:48:31,160
Speaker 3: And so I look at the Rams and the forty

1010
00:48:31,239 --> 00:48:34,880
Speaker 3: nine Ers because the Seahawks, I think their reputation has

1011
00:48:34,960 --> 00:48:38,800
Speaker 3: gotten like greatly enhanced because they got fat off of

1012
00:48:38,920 --> 00:48:41,600
Speaker 3: two big wins against the forty nine ers who were

1013
00:48:41,719 --> 00:48:45,440
Speaker 3: totally undermanned, and they don't bring the same thing to

1014
00:48:45,560 --> 00:48:49,680
Speaker 3: the table that the Rams do like the Seahawks. As

1015
00:48:49,760 --> 00:48:52,960
Speaker 3: great as their defense has been, they again, they gave

1016
00:48:53,080 --> 00:48:56,480
Speaker 3: up four hundred and fifty seven passing yards at home

1017
00:48:56,600 --> 00:49:00,640
Speaker 3: to Stafford, who didn't even have Devonte Adams. So let's

1018
00:49:00,680 --> 00:49:03,160
Speaker 3: not make the Seahawks squad out to be the eighty

1019
00:49:03,239 --> 00:49:07,200
Speaker 3: five Bears defensively, they just aren't. So that's the thing

1020
00:49:07,320 --> 00:49:10,520
Speaker 3: I wonder about Seattle's running game more as great as

1021
00:49:10,600 --> 00:49:14,320
Speaker 3: Kenneth Walker was last game, and he was phenomenal, that

1022
00:49:14,480 --> 00:49:17,880
Speaker 3: again is against the forty nine ers rush defense minus

1023
00:49:18,520 --> 00:49:22,200
Speaker 3: you know minus, they're stun in the middle Fred Warner,

1024
00:49:22,560 --> 00:49:25,440
Speaker 3: who got hurt against Tampa earlier in the season. Their

1025
00:49:25,560 --> 00:49:29,320
Speaker 3: rush defense was not good at all once Fred Warner

1026
00:49:29,400 --> 00:49:31,800
Speaker 3: went down. There are numbers that you know back this

1027
00:49:32,040 --> 00:49:35,560
Speaker 3: up where they're one of the bottom units stopping the run,

1028
00:49:36,280 --> 00:49:40,680
Speaker 3: and I just I think that is a different test

1029
00:49:40,800 --> 00:49:43,680
Speaker 3: to run the ball on the Rams. And think about

1030
00:49:43,719 --> 00:49:46,320
Speaker 3: this too, Jared. If you're if you're coming up with

1031
00:49:46,400 --> 00:49:49,320
Speaker 3: the defensive game plan, if you're Chris Shula, the defensive

1032
00:49:49,360 --> 00:49:52,960
Speaker 3: coordinator of the Rams, what's your defensive game plan look

1033
00:49:53,080 --> 00:49:57,200
Speaker 3: like it is? Guys, stop the run, right, like, make

1034
00:49:57,400 --> 00:50:00,759
Speaker 3: Sam Donald beat us, Make Sam Donald dice up our

1035
00:50:00,880 --> 00:50:03,359
Speaker 3: second there, and we're betting he can't. He's thrown six

1036
00:50:03,600 --> 00:50:07,600
Speaker 3: interceptions in two games this season against the Rams. So

1037
00:50:07,760 --> 00:50:10,839
Speaker 3: if you're able to slow down Kenneth Walker, if you're

1038
00:50:10,840 --> 00:50:14,000
Speaker 3: able to slow down that running attack, there's way more

1039
00:50:14,200 --> 00:50:17,160
Speaker 3: on Darnold's plate, and there's more on his shoulders, and

1040
00:50:17,239 --> 00:50:19,560
Speaker 3: we don't even know if THEO Blake is alright. So

1041
00:50:20,280 --> 00:50:23,320
Speaker 3: I just have more questions about can Seattle run the

1042
00:50:23,400 --> 00:50:27,840
Speaker 3: ball effectively? Can Kenneth Walker look against the Rams similar

1043
00:50:27,960 --> 00:50:29,920
Speaker 3: to how he looked against the forty nine ers? And

1044
00:50:29,960 --> 00:50:32,600
Speaker 3: I just don't think we're gonna see that. I don't

1045
00:50:32,640 --> 00:50:34,799
Speaker 3: have nearly as many questions about, Hey, can the Rams

1046
00:50:34,880 --> 00:50:37,320
Speaker 3: move the ball on Seattle like they didn't move it

1047
00:50:37,440 --> 00:50:40,080
Speaker 3: very well against Chicago, And that's not a defense that's

1048
00:50:40,120 --> 00:50:43,320
Speaker 3: even close to Seattle. The way they match up and

1049
00:50:43,440 --> 00:50:45,440
Speaker 3: what they've done in the regular season. It leads me

1050
00:50:45,520 --> 00:50:48,160
Speaker 3: to believe that Stafford's gonna look more like the MVP

1051
00:50:48,800 --> 00:50:51,080
Speaker 3: and they're gonna be fine moving the ball on Seattle,

1052
00:50:51,120 --> 00:50:53,280
Speaker 3: I just don't have as many questions in that department

1053
00:50:53,360 --> 00:50:56,120
Speaker 3: as I do about Seattle's running game. The Bears game

1054
00:50:56,200 --> 00:50:56,479
Speaker 3: was weird.

1055
00:50:56,520 --> 00:51:00,120
Speaker 4: The temperature was like negative decrease, and it's just like,

1056
00:51:00,440 --> 00:51:02,280
Speaker 4: you don't realize how much of an impact that actually

1057
00:51:02,360 --> 00:51:04,440
Speaker 4: has throwing the ball now, I thought the Rams threw

1058
00:51:04,480 --> 00:51:06,040
Speaker 4: it way too much in that game and they should

1059
00:51:06,040 --> 00:51:10,680
Speaker 4: have run it more. I had some pushback on that take,

1060
00:51:11,000 --> 00:51:13,919
Speaker 4: based off of, well, if you run it all the time,

1061
00:51:14,120 --> 00:51:16,440
Speaker 4: then those runs won't be as effective. They were very

1062
00:51:16,520 --> 00:51:19,160
Speaker 4: effective running it and were not very effective passing it,

1063
00:51:19,440 --> 00:51:21,439
Speaker 4: and I understand that take. I had a football person

1064
00:51:21,480 --> 00:51:23,279
Speaker 4: reach out and say, you know, sometimes if you run

1065
00:51:23,320 --> 00:51:25,799
Speaker 4: it so much, if you spam the running game, it's

1066
00:51:25,920 --> 00:51:28,640
Speaker 4: just not going to be as effective. So McVeigh probably

1067
00:51:29,040 --> 00:51:31,279
Speaker 4: tried to outsmart himself and think, hey, if I throw

1068
00:51:31,360 --> 00:51:32,839
Speaker 4: it a lot with Stafford, I trust him to make

1069
00:51:32,840 --> 00:51:34,880
Speaker 4: the right play, and then when I do run it.

1070
00:51:35,320 --> 00:51:37,080
Speaker 4: I think they ran it like twenty five times in

1071
00:51:37,080 --> 00:51:39,279
Speaker 4: the game compared to like forty something passes. It was

1072
00:51:39,320 --> 00:51:42,080
Speaker 4: a heavy split towards the pass and the first half too,

1073
00:51:42,200 --> 00:51:44,840
Speaker 4: it was like, I didn't get their drop back passes

1074
00:51:44,880 --> 00:51:47,640
Speaker 4: twenty seven of them, and they had like seven rushes

1075
00:51:47,680 --> 00:51:49,680
Speaker 4: in the first half, and it's like the drop back

1076
00:51:49,719 --> 00:51:50,720
Speaker 4: game is not working.

1077
00:51:50,880 --> 00:51:52,680
Speaker 3: At what are you doing? Sean McVeigh.

1078
00:51:52,719 --> 00:51:55,840
Speaker 4: Yeah, I think he's one of those guys that obviously

1079
00:51:55,920 --> 00:51:58,920
Speaker 4: he's smart as a smart as attack like he's super sharp.

1080
00:51:59,080 --> 00:52:01,759
Speaker 3: But I just I didn't agree with that game plan.

1081
00:52:01,840 --> 00:52:02,320
Speaker 3: But what do I know.

1082
00:52:02,360 --> 00:52:04,000
Speaker 4: I mean, I'm sitting here on my couch about to

1083
00:52:04,120 --> 00:52:06,000
Speaker 4: watch the game on TV and he's coaching it, so

1084
00:52:07,200 --> 00:52:08,880
Speaker 4: I have to give him at least some benefit of

1085
00:52:08,920 --> 00:52:09,200
Speaker 4: the doubt.

1086
00:52:09,200 --> 00:52:09,600
Speaker 3: But I did.

1087
00:52:10,040 --> 00:52:11,560
Speaker 4: Maybe I was a little biased because we had the

1088
00:52:11,560 --> 00:52:13,560
Speaker 4: Blake Corn prop and I wanted to see him run

1089
00:52:13,640 --> 00:52:15,759
Speaker 4: it a little bit more, but I do I thought

1090
00:52:16,200 --> 00:52:19,440
Speaker 4: it was a considering the conditions and what the Bears

1091
00:52:19,640 --> 00:52:23,680
Speaker 4: weakness was. I was surprised at how little they ran it. Now,

1092
00:52:23,960 --> 00:52:27,560
Speaker 4: Seattle's a different team. Like to me, when you look

1093
00:52:27,560 --> 00:52:29,960
Speaker 4: at Seattle trying to run it against the Rams like

1094
00:52:30,400 --> 00:52:33,719
Speaker 4: they especially with no Zach Sharbonney, it's going to be

1095
00:52:33,800 --> 00:52:35,759
Speaker 4: interesting to see how much Kenneth Walker we get in

1096
00:52:35,840 --> 00:52:38,359
Speaker 4: this game and when they decide to run it, are

1097
00:52:38,400 --> 00:52:41,920
Speaker 4: we going to see what we saw in the last matchup,

1098
00:52:42,239 --> 00:52:45,360
Speaker 4: which was a minus eleven percent pass right over expected,

1099
00:52:45,440 --> 00:52:48,120
Speaker 4: Like they just ran the heck out of it on

1100
00:52:48,360 --> 00:52:50,239
Speaker 4: the Rams in that last matchup, right the one, the

1101
00:52:50,280 --> 00:52:54,200
Speaker 4: game that they won, they were a ninety eighth percentile

1102
00:52:54,239 --> 00:52:56,080
Speaker 4: EPA per rush in that game, Like they were running

1103
00:52:56,120 --> 00:52:58,440
Speaker 4: it really well against the Rams in that first matchup

1104
00:52:58,880 --> 00:53:01,080
Speaker 4: or in that last matchup that they won. They didn't

1105
00:53:01,160 --> 00:53:03,319
Speaker 4: run it well in the first game on the road

1106
00:53:03,440 --> 00:53:03,799
Speaker 4: that they.

1107
00:53:03,760 --> 00:53:04,920
Speaker 3: Covered but didn't win.

1108
00:53:05,880 --> 00:53:07,520
Speaker 4: The Seahawks are really good at running it out of

1109
00:53:08,000 --> 00:53:11,239
Speaker 4: multiple tight end looks their top five in EPA and

1110
00:53:11,400 --> 00:53:13,560
Speaker 4: running it out of multiple tight end looks, and the

1111
00:53:13,640 --> 00:53:16,560
Speaker 4: Rams don't defend that too well. That's actually a weakness

1112
00:53:16,600 --> 00:53:19,800
Speaker 4: for them. But the other side of this coin is

1113
00:53:20,040 --> 00:53:23,280
Speaker 4: the pressure and that's something that I think the Rams

1114
00:53:23,400 --> 00:53:27,160
Speaker 4: do exceptionally well. They've got the fourth best pressure rate

1115
00:53:27,160 --> 00:53:29,480
Speaker 4: in the league when rushing four, so they have the

1116
00:53:29,560 --> 00:53:32,520
Speaker 4: ability to just rush you with their front four and

1117
00:53:32,640 --> 00:53:35,680
Speaker 4: then drop with their back seven and defend that. I

1118
00:53:35,719 --> 00:53:38,680
Speaker 4: would say explosive passing game at times like Jackson Smith

1119
00:53:38,719 --> 00:53:40,520
Speaker 4: and Jig. But I know we don't fully trust Darnald,

1120
00:53:40,640 --> 00:53:42,520
Speaker 4: but he's at his moments this year and jsn is

1121
00:53:42,560 --> 00:53:44,239
Speaker 4: you know, it's got almost two thousand receiving yards, so

1122
00:53:44,320 --> 00:53:47,720
Speaker 4: he's had a really good year. But Darnald EPA drops

1123
00:53:47,760 --> 00:53:51,279
Speaker 4: off a cliff when he's pressured, so I think that's

1124
00:53:51,360 --> 00:53:53,200
Speaker 4: the key. He was not good under pressure in the

1125
00:53:53,239 --> 00:53:55,479
Speaker 4: first two matchups. And the Rams, as I said, top

1126
00:53:55,560 --> 00:53:58,759
Speaker 4: five in the league at generating pressure without bringing that

1127
00:53:58,880 --> 00:54:01,040
Speaker 4: extra man into the bub. They don't have to blitzch

1128
00:54:01,080 --> 00:54:03,480
Speaker 4: you to get pressure. They are very buttoned up in

1129
00:54:03,520 --> 00:54:05,640
Speaker 4: their front four. I think Kris Shule in that defensive line.

1130
00:54:05,760 --> 00:54:09,120
Speaker 4: Young defensive lines getting better every year, and they really

1131
00:54:09,120 --> 00:54:10,480
Speaker 4: showed it last year. I mean, listen, you can go

1132
00:54:10,560 --> 00:54:12,480
Speaker 4: back to the Eagles game last year in the playoffs.

1133
00:54:12,480 --> 00:54:14,560
Speaker 4: I mean, Rams are the closest team to beat in Philly,

1134
00:54:14,840 --> 00:54:17,800
Speaker 4: who went on one of the better, more dominant postseason

1135
00:54:17,840 --> 00:54:20,719
Speaker 4: runs we've seen in recent memories. So I think this

1136
00:54:20,880 --> 00:54:23,759
Speaker 4: Rams defense will absolutely be a factor, and the play

1137
00:54:23,840 --> 00:54:26,400
Speaker 4: action game off of it is huge. The Seahawks have

1138
00:54:26,560 --> 00:54:29,719
Speaker 4: the highest EPA per pass in the league when they

1139
00:54:29,840 --> 00:54:31,600
Speaker 4: use play action and they use it at the ninth

1140
00:54:31,680 --> 00:54:34,600
Speaker 4: highest rate in the league. So the play action game

1141
00:54:34,920 --> 00:54:38,000
Speaker 4: is going to be important here. The question is are

1142
00:54:38,080 --> 00:54:40,560
Speaker 4: we going to see Kubiak run to set up the

1143
00:54:40,680 --> 00:54:43,600
Speaker 4: pass or just spam play action Like That's what I

1144
00:54:43,640 --> 00:54:45,680
Speaker 4: would do if if you've got a banged up running

1145
00:54:45,760 --> 00:54:48,920
Speaker 4: back situation where Walker obviously is the guy, but Charbonnay's,

1146
00:54:49,000 --> 00:54:50,480
Speaker 4: you know, I would say, one be he's had a

1147
00:54:50,520 --> 00:54:50,839
Speaker 4: good year.

1148
00:54:51,640 --> 00:54:55,320
Speaker 3: I would go play action early and let Darnold get comfortable.

1149
00:54:55,480 --> 00:54:58,239
Speaker 4: And that's where I'm fascinated to see how that game

1150
00:54:58,280 --> 00:55:01,160
Speaker 4: plan plays out, because the play action game. I mean,

1151
00:55:01,200 --> 00:55:03,000
Speaker 4: you go back and look at the two games that

1152
00:55:03,200 --> 00:55:05,719
Speaker 4: Kenneth Walker's played against the Rams this year. He had

1153
00:55:05,800 --> 00:55:09,160
Speaker 4: his two highest receiving yards games of the year, sixty

1154
00:55:09,200 --> 00:55:11,080
Speaker 4: four and forty four, and a lot of that was

1155
00:55:11,120 --> 00:55:11,839
Speaker 4: off of play action.

1156
00:55:12,200 --> 00:55:16,040
Speaker 3: So I think that is the change up for me.

1157
00:55:16,480 --> 00:55:18,719
Speaker 4: I don't necessarily think the Seahawks have to be able

1158
00:55:18,760 --> 00:55:21,680
Speaker 4: to run it as effectively maybe as you would think.

1159
00:55:21,840 --> 00:55:23,520
Speaker 4: I think the play action game, to me, is the

1160
00:55:23,560 --> 00:55:26,000
Speaker 4: most important part for Seattle's offense to get into a

1161
00:55:26,040 --> 00:55:26,560
Speaker 4: groove early.

1162
00:55:26,800 --> 00:55:31,480
Speaker 3: Yeah, hey, no interesting stuff, and man, I just go

1163
00:55:31,680 --> 00:55:35,879
Speaker 3: back to you talk about kryptonite, like Sam Donald isn't

1164
00:55:35,920 --> 00:55:39,160
Speaker 3: exactly Superman to start off with rights, but if you

1165
00:55:39,200 --> 00:55:42,160
Speaker 3: look at his kryptonite, it's Chris Shula. Chris Shula, the

1166
00:55:42,440 --> 00:55:45,560
Speaker 3: defensive coordinator of the Rams. He has given Sam Donald

1167
00:55:46,160 --> 00:55:51,720
Speaker 3: freaking fits. Again, like six interceptions in two games this season,

1168
00:55:52,080 --> 00:55:55,640
Speaker 3: the first game. Four interceptions in one game right on

1169
00:55:55,760 --> 00:55:57,839
Speaker 3: the road against the Rams. The Rams won that game

1170
00:55:58,280 --> 00:56:02,680
Speaker 3: twenty one nineteen and two picks at home against the Rams.

1171
00:56:03,200 --> 00:56:05,640
Speaker 3: A couple of them are bad, like ugly picks. And

1172
00:56:05,719 --> 00:56:07,919
Speaker 3: you go back to think about just one year ago.

1173
00:56:08,400 --> 00:56:10,239
Speaker 3: I can't believe this is just one year ago. It

1174
00:56:10,239 --> 00:56:12,960
Speaker 3: feels like five years ago. But when Donald was with

1175
00:56:13,120 --> 00:56:16,800
Speaker 3: the Vikings and it was that playoff loss, I didn't

1176
00:56:16,840 --> 00:56:18,359
Speaker 3: I don't think I had a bet on the game.

1177
00:56:18,520 --> 00:56:21,919
Speaker 3: I'm just watching the game and Donald as a member

1178
00:56:21,920 --> 00:56:24,000
Speaker 3: of the Vikings. Remember they were playing the Rams, and

1179
00:56:24,080 --> 00:56:26,719
Speaker 3: they were playing where in Arizona, right, Remember the game

1180
00:56:26,760 --> 00:56:29,080
Speaker 3: had to get moved because of the wildfires in LA.

1181
00:56:29,960 --> 00:56:33,080
Speaker 3: And so they're playing in the Arizona Cardinals stadium and

1182
00:56:33,239 --> 00:56:36,800
Speaker 3: Donald is just standing there as the rushers are running

1183
00:56:36,920 --> 00:56:40,400
Speaker 3: right in and hitting him and sacking him and I'm like,

1184
00:56:41,120 --> 00:56:45,640
Speaker 3: throw the ball, man, like what are you doing? And

1185
00:56:46,040 --> 00:56:51,160
Speaker 3: again he just gets He's flummoxed. He's befuddled. Flummoxed is

1186
00:56:52,600 --> 00:56:57,319
Speaker 3: right against Christian plummox word city right there for Darnald. So, man,

1187
00:56:57,800 --> 00:56:59,680
Speaker 3: I'm telling you, if that running game is held in

1188
00:56:59,719 --> 00:57:03,239
Speaker 3: relative check, you're not gonna just stop the Seattle running game.

1189
00:57:03,320 --> 00:57:06,200
Speaker 3: But if they greatly slow it down and it's a

1190
00:57:06,320 --> 00:57:10,719
Speaker 3: Darnold type game, good luck with that, Seattle backers. That's

1191
00:57:10,760 --> 00:57:12,600
Speaker 3: not the side I want to be on. Man, Sorry,

1192
00:57:12,880 --> 00:57:15,120
Speaker 3: I'm just I'm on the Only thing though, Jared, is

1193
00:57:15,160 --> 00:57:18,040
Speaker 3: the spot you know, are the Rams? Are they running

1194
00:57:18,080 --> 00:57:20,520
Speaker 3: out of gas? Are they leaking oil? Whatever you want

1195
00:57:20,520 --> 00:57:23,880
Speaker 3: to go with your car comparison, because man, they have

1196
00:57:24,040 --> 00:57:27,040
Speaker 3: not looked like a machine these first two playoff games,

1197
00:57:27,640 --> 00:57:30,280
Speaker 3: and this is their third one on the road, and

1198
00:57:30,400 --> 00:57:32,720
Speaker 3: this is just the second playoff game for Seattle. So

1199
00:57:32,840 --> 00:57:36,400
Speaker 3: they've got the rest advantage just over the week, you know,

1200
00:57:36,600 --> 00:57:39,560
Speaker 3: like the Rams played, they played later, you know, the

1201
00:57:39,680 --> 00:57:42,840
Speaker 3: Seattle's had more rest, and then in the playoffs altogether,

1202
00:57:43,200 --> 00:57:46,240
Speaker 3: Seattle didn't have to play wild card weekend. So the

1203
00:57:46,360 --> 00:57:50,320
Speaker 3: rest factor is greatly in Seattle's favor. So that that advantage.

1204
00:57:50,600 --> 00:57:54,280
Speaker 3: It makes things really interesting. That's why I don't.

1205
00:57:54,080 --> 00:57:56,840
Speaker 4: Think we're gonna get to, you know, a situation where

1206
00:57:56,920 --> 00:57:59,000
Speaker 4: you get a lot of rams money and this thing

1207
00:57:59,080 --> 00:58:00,800
Speaker 4: comes down because I think people like if you just

1208
00:58:00,880 --> 00:58:03,240
Speaker 4: looked at this game from like outsiders perspective. Let's say

1209
00:58:03,240 --> 00:58:05,920
Speaker 4: you haven't watched a second of NFL football all year,

1210
00:58:06,960 --> 00:58:09,560
Speaker 4: and you're just like, Wow, I get Matthew Stafford as

1211
00:58:09,560 --> 00:58:14,440
Speaker 4: an underdog against Sam Darnald. Hmm. That's curious because obviously

1212
00:58:14,520 --> 00:58:17,880
Speaker 4: the quarterback position is the most graded position against the spread.

1213
00:58:17,960 --> 00:58:20,160
Speaker 4: So if you have a huge edge of quarterback, you

1214
00:58:20,200 --> 00:58:21,960
Speaker 4: would think that team's gonna be at least favored or

1215
00:58:22,000 --> 00:58:24,080
Speaker 4: maybe an even line in the game. Right you give

1216
00:58:24,080 --> 00:58:25,919
Speaker 4: Seattle a couple points are being at home for sure,

1217
00:58:26,680 --> 00:58:29,760
Speaker 4: but we definitely say Stafford's a couple points.

1218
00:58:29,840 --> 00:58:29,880
Speaker 5: Like.

1219
00:58:29,960 --> 00:58:31,320
Speaker 4: Let me, actually, I'll tell you right now, look at

1220
00:58:31,320 --> 00:58:33,120
Speaker 4: my quarterback ratings. I'll tell you where I have Stafford

1221
00:58:33,120 --> 00:58:36,000
Speaker 4: compared to Darnald. I've Stafford a plus four and I

1222
00:58:36,040 --> 00:58:38,919
Speaker 4: have Donald a plus one. So I have Donald one

1223
00:58:39,040 --> 00:58:41,520
Speaker 4: point better than an average quarterback. I have Stafford four

1224
00:58:41,600 --> 00:58:44,040
Speaker 4: points better. And the highest rating I have for a

1225
00:58:44,120 --> 00:58:47,160
Speaker 4: quarterback is five. Right, I've got Josh Allen, Lamar Jackson,

1226
00:58:47,200 --> 00:58:50,200
Speaker 4: Patrick Mahomes at a five and then Matthew Stafford right

1227
00:58:50,280 --> 00:58:54,040
Speaker 4: behind it at four. So I've got Stafford three points

1228
00:58:54,080 --> 00:58:57,760
Speaker 4: better than Darnald. Well, the spread's three in the other direction,

1229
00:58:58,160 --> 00:59:00,480
Speaker 4: so you know, like you're kind kind of like, well,

1230
00:59:00,520 --> 00:59:02,920
Speaker 4: how else do I get there? And we're talking about it, right,

1231
00:59:02,960 --> 00:59:04,680
Speaker 4: it's the home field advantage. You get a couple points

1232
00:59:04,720 --> 00:59:07,760
Speaker 4: for that. And then you mentioned the travel at Carolina

1233
00:59:07,920 --> 00:59:11,160
Speaker 4: back to LA at Chicago back to LA. Seattle's not

1234
00:59:11,200 --> 00:59:14,120
Speaker 4: as tough as a trip, and I think that is important.

1235
00:59:14,560 --> 00:59:17,360
Speaker 4: You're in the same time zone. And I don't know

1236
00:59:17,600 --> 00:59:22,360
Speaker 4: how much fatigue at this stage matters, because these guys

1237
00:59:22,440 --> 00:59:25,439
Speaker 4: know they have a two week break or a six

1238
00:59:25,560 --> 00:59:27,480
Speaker 4: month break after this game.

1239
00:59:27,720 --> 00:59:29,160
Speaker 3: Yeah, Like it's either one or the other.

1240
00:59:29,360 --> 00:59:33,120
Speaker 4: Yeah, so you get a long break regardless after this game,

1241
00:59:33,320 --> 00:59:36,080
Speaker 4: so there will be a little bit less. Whereas I

1242
00:59:36,120 --> 00:59:38,720
Speaker 4: think that was probably a factor last week where the

1243
00:59:38,840 --> 00:59:41,440
Speaker 4: Rams are like, man, we gotta go on the road

1244
00:59:41,520 --> 00:59:43,320
Speaker 4: next week and play Seattle if we win this game.

1245
00:59:43,640 --> 00:59:46,320
Speaker 4: So most likely, actually no, they wouldn't. They knew it

1246
00:59:46,320 --> 00:59:48,240
Speaker 4: because the Seattle game is already in the books when

1247
00:59:48,280 --> 00:59:51,040
Speaker 4: they played, so they probably had a little bit of Man,

1248
00:59:51,080 --> 00:59:52,840
Speaker 4: we got to keep a little bit of extra petrol

1249
00:59:52,880 --> 00:59:54,800
Speaker 4: in the tank here because we got a big game

1250
00:59:54,880 --> 00:59:57,200
Speaker 4: next week. At this point, now you're just emptying the clip.

1251
00:59:57,640 --> 00:59:59,800
Speaker 4: And I think the key here is just Stafford's a.

1252
00:59:59,760 --> 01:00:01,040
Speaker 3: Bi to diagnose.

1253
01:00:01,320 --> 01:00:04,760
Speaker 4: I mean, when it's such a big advantage, when you

1254
01:00:04,920 --> 01:00:08,520
Speaker 4: have this much of a plus at the quarterback position,

1255
01:00:09,040 --> 01:00:12,600
Speaker 4: where late game scenario, all those late tight game scenarios,

1256
01:00:12,680 --> 01:00:15,640
Speaker 4: like we trust Stafford more over Darnold. So it's really

1257
01:00:15,680 --> 01:00:17,600
Speaker 4: hard to get there with Seattle, especially if this thing

1258
01:00:17,640 --> 01:00:18,320
Speaker 4: gets the three.

1259
01:00:18,520 --> 01:00:20,800
Speaker 3: Forget it. You cannot bet Seattle at three, right. Well,

1260
01:00:20,840 --> 01:00:23,720
Speaker 3: that's the thing, man, is I'll just say real fast,

1261
01:00:24,360 --> 01:00:28,320
Speaker 3: I wouldn't let the playoff results of the Rams in

1262
01:00:28,400 --> 01:00:31,600
Speaker 3: these first two games like lead me to say I

1263
01:00:31,760 --> 01:00:34,400
Speaker 3: just can't bet the Rams. You know, there's a popular

1264
01:00:34,560 --> 01:00:37,040
Speaker 3: belief that, hey man, they're just leaking oil right now.

1265
01:00:37,400 --> 01:00:40,200
Speaker 3: They barely beat the Panthers. Panthers have a losing record,

1266
01:00:40,280 --> 01:00:42,200
Speaker 3: they barely beat the Bears. You know a lot of

1267
01:00:42,200 --> 01:00:44,560
Speaker 3: people saying the Bears are fugazy and all that they

1268
01:00:44,640 --> 01:00:47,520
Speaker 3: barely won those games. And it's like, look, man, it's

1269
01:00:47,600 --> 01:00:50,560
Speaker 3: the freaking playoffs. Okay, it's not gonna be a work

1270
01:00:50,600 --> 01:00:53,600
Speaker 3: of art. In all of these games where you're literally

1271
01:00:54,040 --> 01:00:58,240
Speaker 3: getting whoever you're playing, you're getting their best punch, you're

1272
01:00:58,240 --> 01:01:00,800
Speaker 3: getting their best shot. This is for their layoff lives.

1273
01:01:00,880 --> 01:01:03,560
Speaker 3: Their season is at stake. They're gonna hit you with

1274
01:01:03,960 --> 01:01:07,280
Speaker 3: everything they have. And so it's not week eleven of

1275
01:01:07,360 --> 01:01:09,880
Speaker 3: the regular season, like they're just not gonna steam roll

1276
01:01:09,960 --> 01:01:12,800
Speaker 3: teams like they have way back then. So I think

1277
01:01:12,840 --> 01:01:16,120
Speaker 3: there's this the expectation, like these are the rams, and

1278
01:01:16,200 --> 01:01:18,400
Speaker 3: then you get the results these first two playoff games

1279
01:01:18,440 --> 01:01:21,600
Speaker 3: and you're like, oh, gosh, I don't know about this team.

1280
01:01:21,680 --> 01:01:24,520
Speaker 3: It's like for me, it's the playoffs, man, I don't

1281
01:01:24,560 --> 01:01:28,560
Speaker 3: worry about Oh it's just close, narrow wins. I just win.

1282
01:01:28,800 --> 01:01:31,880
Speaker 3: I don't worry about that. With this this matchup against Seattle.

1283
01:01:32,160 --> 01:01:35,000
Speaker 3: All right, we've got Jared Smith FSR, betting analyst. I'm

1284
01:01:35,040 --> 01:01:37,800
Speaker 3: prily in no. Hey, football fans, picture this. You bet

1285
01:01:37,840 --> 01:01:39,640
Speaker 3: on your favorite player in the big game to score

1286
01:01:39,680 --> 01:01:42,720
Speaker 3: the first touchdown, but its teammate scores instead. With bet

1287
01:01:42,880 --> 01:01:46,080
Speaker 3: MGM's second Chance promotion, you'll get your second You'll get

1288
01:01:46,080 --> 01:01:49,760
Speaker 3: your steak back if your first touchdown scorer score second instead.

1289
01:01:50,160 --> 01:01:52,479
Speaker 3: That's right. Bet on any pro football player to score

1290
01:01:52,520 --> 01:01:55,000
Speaker 3: the first touchdown of the big game. If you're right,

1291
01:01:55,320 --> 01:01:58,440
Speaker 3: you win. If your players score second instead, you get

1292
01:01:58,480 --> 01:02:02,960
Speaker 3: your stake back in cat BETMGM. Make it legendary, all right?

1293
01:02:03,000 --> 01:02:05,480
Speaker 3: Coming up next to may Man Seamus McGee gets you

1294
01:02:05,560 --> 01:02:08,200
Speaker 3: all set for Championship Sunday. We pepper him with a

1295
01:02:08,280 --> 01:02:10,920
Speaker 3: ton of questions. Coming up next, it is Fox Sports

1296
01:02:11,000 --> 01:02:13,919
Speaker 3: Radios Countdown to Kickoff, presented by BETMGM.

1297
01:02:14,440 --> 01:02:17,320
Speaker 1: Fox Sports Radio has the best sports talk lineup in

1298
01:02:17,360 --> 01:02:20,720
Speaker 1: the nation. Catch all of our shows at Foxsports Radio

1299
01:02:20,880 --> 01:02:24,920
Speaker 1: dot com and within the iHeartRadio app search FSR to

1300
01:02:25,080 --> 01:02:25,680
Speaker 1: listen live.

1301
01:02:27,280 --> 01:02:30,560
Speaker 3: It is Fox Sports Radios Countdown to Kickoff, presented by

1302
01:02:30,640 --> 01:02:34,240
Speaker 3: bet MGM. For over forty years, Tyraq has been helping

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Speaker 3: and it's time for the tire Rack play of the day.

1308
01:02:49,520 --> 01:02:51,880
Speaker 8: Zelfa Shireman in the Corner, Open Houser three.

1309
01:02:51,960 --> 01:02:55,880
Speaker 3: You got it? Step, won't you to something?

1310
01:02:55,960 --> 01:02:56,440
Speaker 5: Bat Hey?

1311
01:02:57,800 --> 01:03:00,720
Speaker 3: Fifth three of the night for Sam Hauser's Flat four.

1312
01:03:01,560 --> 01:03:04,280
Speaker 3: There you go, compliments of the Celtics radio network. They

1313
01:03:04,880 --> 01:03:08,280
Speaker 3: beat the Nets in double overtime, those pesky Celtics right there.

1314
01:03:08,360 --> 01:03:10,800
Speaker 3: So uh, nice job by them. Pretty good season, not bad.

1315
01:03:10,960 --> 01:03:11,840
Speaker 3: All right, let's do this.

1316
01:03:14,240 --> 01:03:15,800
Speaker 1: Follow the money, real good money.

1317
01:03:16,080 --> 01:03:19,280
Speaker 3: Yes, like to welcome in Seamus McGee, team lead of

1318
01:03:19,360 --> 01:03:23,320
Speaker 3: sports Trading at BETMGM. Good morning to you, Seamus, Hope

1319
01:03:23,320 --> 01:03:25,400
Speaker 3: all is well, Happy Saturday too you as we get

1320
01:03:25,440 --> 01:03:28,760
Speaker 3: ready for Championship Sunday. Right, what do you guys need?

1321
01:03:29,080 --> 01:03:32,360
Speaker 3: If you can thread the needle just perfectly and you

1322
01:03:32,440 --> 01:03:35,160
Speaker 3: know you've got the script. We have the NFL script.

1323
01:03:35,240 --> 01:03:39,160
Speaker 3: What's the BETMGM script look like for a Championship Sunday?

1324
01:03:39,200 --> 01:03:41,600
Speaker 3: That's just like ah Chef's kiss for you guys.

1325
01:03:42,680 --> 01:03:47,160
Speaker 5: Oh, the Chef's kiss. Play for BETMGM this week would

1326
01:03:47,200 --> 01:03:52,440
Speaker 5: have to be Broncos outright, and probably Seahawks by exactly

1327
01:03:52,800 --> 01:03:53,360
Speaker 5: one or two.

1328
01:03:54,120 --> 01:03:59,160
Speaker 4: Okay, it's funny with the Broncos stuff because that was,

1329
01:03:59,240 --> 01:04:00,760
Speaker 4: you know, how we opened show, and I think that,

1330
01:04:00,960 --> 01:04:04,000
Speaker 4: you know, is the biggest storyline, the biggest news maker

1331
01:04:04,480 --> 01:04:06,760
Speaker 4: of the week is the Bonnicks to jared'st did them move?

1332
01:04:06,840 --> 01:04:09,880
Speaker 4: And I think my initial reaction was, Wow, we're really

1333
01:04:09,960 --> 01:04:13,320
Speaker 4: giving bo Nix almost a full touchdown over any other

1334
01:04:13,600 --> 01:04:16,320
Speaker 4: quarterback in the NFL, you know, second string, third string,

1335
01:04:16,600 --> 01:04:18,400
Speaker 4: because the way I view it, Jane is like, to me,

1336
01:04:18,480 --> 01:04:21,360
Speaker 4: bon Nix is kind of an average quarterback and jarretts

1337
01:04:21,400 --> 01:04:23,680
Speaker 4: Didham is kind of an average backup quarterback. And that

1338
01:04:23,800 --> 01:04:26,840
Speaker 4: move is typically about three points, but the initial market move.

1339
01:04:26,800 --> 01:04:27,640
Speaker 3: Was closer to six.

1340
01:04:27,760 --> 01:04:30,880
Speaker 4: So I thought that's where the value on Denver came in.

1341
01:04:31,000 --> 01:04:33,600
Speaker 4: And obviously the market doesn't agree because you know, New

1342
01:04:33,600 --> 01:04:34,640
Speaker 4: England's getting a lot of love.

1343
01:04:35,920 --> 01:04:39,040
Speaker 5: Yeah, the bon Nicks stuff. I think it's less to

1344
01:04:39,120 --> 01:04:42,200
Speaker 5: do with the quality of bon Nicks. It's snore New

1345
01:04:42,240 --> 01:04:46,360
Speaker 5: with the quality of Jared Stidham. Yeah, and there's some

1346
01:04:46,680 --> 01:04:50,760
Speaker 5: sharp belief that maybe that opening number. Definitely the opening

1347
01:04:50,840 --> 01:04:53,400
Speaker 5: number was a little high because we opened five and

1348
01:04:53,440 --> 01:04:56,440
Speaker 5: a half and we've since ticked down to four and

1349
01:04:56,520 --> 01:04:59,160
Speaker 5: a half. But it's still one way traffic we're seeing

1350
01:04:59,600 --> 01:05:03,320
Speaker 5: on the Patriots on Sunday. I really think that's gonna

1351
01:05:03,520 --> 01:05:06,880
Speaker 5: determine how we do this weekend as a as a sportsbook,

1352
01:05:07,200 --> 01:05:09,760
Speaker 5: if the Broncos can to the very least cover that spread.

1353
01:05:10,360 --> 01:05:12,800
Speaker 5: If they do, I think will be in an okay

1354
01:05:12,920 --> 01:05:16,680
Speaker 5: spot because this Seahawks Rams game, those two and a

1355
01:05:16,720 --> 01:05:18,720
Speaker 5: half spreads, it's a lot of If you like the Rams,

1356
01:05:18,760 --> 01:05:20,560
Speaker 5: you take the money line. If you like the Seahawks,

1357
01:05:20,600 --> 01:05:23,480
Speaker 5: you just take the points. So we'll see what happens there. But,

1358
01:05:24,360 --> 01:05:27,040
Speaker 5: like I don't deal hot with Jared, I think the

1359
01:05:27,320 --> 01:05:29,720
Speaker 5: Broncos defenses get to play out of their minds and

1360
01:05:29,800 --> 01:05:32,480
Speaker 5: it's gonna be a really cold one. So it is

1361
01:05:32,560 --> 01:05:34,320
Speaker 5: going to be interesting to watch. But there has been

1362
01:05:34,360 --> 01:05:36,400
Speaker 5: some sharp belief on the Broncos this week.

1363
01:05:37,240 --> 01:05:39,600
Speaker 3: What do you think about that matchup when the Patriots

1364
01:05:39,640 --> 01:05:42,640
Speaker 3: have the ball? Uh, you know right right there where

1365
01:05:43,560 --> 01:05:47,040
Speaker 3: like we've there's a lot more beliefs in the Broncos defensively,

1366
01:05:47,160 --> 01:05:49,360
Speaker 3: but you look past the bye week, they've had some

1367
01:05:49,560 --> 01:05:53,720
Speaker 3: shaky performances. Last week, your plus five, you force five

1368
01:05:53,800 --> 01:05:56,600
Speaker 3: turnovers and you're barely winning winning a game in overtime.

1369
01:05:56,680 --> 01:06:00,480
Speaker 3: You know, like, this isn't this dominant Broncos defense that

1370
01:06:00,560 --> 01:06:03,000
Speaker 3: we're used to seeing. So so what do you think

1371
01:06:03,040 --> 01:06:05,640
Speaker 3: about the matchup when the Patriots have the ball against

1372
01:06:05,680 --> 01:06:06,280
Speaker 3: that defense.

1373
01:06:07,920 --> 01:06:11,880
Speaker 5: I as a jet fit in an employee of BETAMGMS Sportsbook,

1374
01:06:11,920 --> 01:06:14,640
Speaker 5: I'm very worried that the Patriots can just easily run

1375
01:06:14,680 --> 01:06:18,480
Speaker 5: away with us, Cause I agree with you the Broncos

1376
01:06:18,560 --> 01:06:20,920
Speaker 5: the I mean, there is quality. There's a lot of

1377
01:06:21,000 --> 01:06:25,000
Speaker 5: quality in that in that team, especially on defense. But

1378
01:06:25,120 --> 01:06:26,480
Speaker 5: the only way I feel like they're going to have

1379
01:06:26,520 --> 01:06:28,400
Speaker 5: a shot is that they if you can't give up

1380
01:06:28,400 --> 01:06:30,960
Speaker 5: more than a touchdown at one touch you can give

1381
01:06:31,000 --> 01:06:33,720
Speaker 5: up field goals, but you can't if they give up

1382
01:06:33,720 --> 01:06:38,040
Speaker 5: two touchdown drives. I have a hard time being this

1383
01:06:38,280 --> 01:06:42,160
Speaker 5: Broncos offense at least reach the end zone twice. I mean,

1384
01:06:42,720 --> 01:06:45,240
Speaker 5: we talk a lot about the Patriots and the schedule,

1385
01:06:45,320 --> 01:06:49,560
Speaker 5: who they played. That defense has looked pretty insane the

1386
01:06:49,680 --> 01:06:53,320
Speaker 5: last two weeks. In the playoffs. It's going to be

1387
01:06:53,440 --> 01:06:55,600
Speaker 5: really hard, I think for Dever to move the ball

1388
01:06:55,680 --> 01:06:56,200
Speaker 5: in this game.

1389
01:06:57,120 --> 01:07:01,480
Speaker 4: Yeah, and it gets to the Totals Rights Championship primetime.

1390
01:07:01,560 --> 01:07:04,040
Speaker 4: Over so, the late games have have been heavy over

1391
01:07:04,560 --> 01:07:07,120
Speaker 4: trend since two thousand and six. I saw that fourteen

1392
01:07:07,160 --> 01:07:09,120
Speaker 4: to four and two the early game a little bit

1393
01:07:09,160 --> 01:07:13,200
Speaker 4: more closer to even any action on either total New

1394
01:07:13,240 --> 01:07:16,760
Speaker 4: England Denver at forty three LA Seattle at forty six.

1395
01:07:16,680 --> 01:07:17,120
Speaker 3: And a half.

1396
01:07:18,280 --> 01:07:20,840
Speaker 5: It took me how much. I know, I didn't see

1397
01:07:20,960 --> 01:07:23,400
Speaker 5: very many points of the Safety Championship, but we opened

1398
01:07:23,440 --> 01:07:25,880
Speaker 5: forty and a half on the toll and we've been

1399
01:07:25,960 --> 01:07:28,720
Speaker 5: bent up. I mean, we're gonna need the under. We're

1400
01:07:28,760 --> 01:07:30,280
Speaker 5: gonna need this game to stay under forty one and

1401
01:07:30,320 --> 01:07:33,280
Speaker 5: a half. Forget the total that it's currently at. It's

1402
01:07:33,320 --> 01:07:35,280
Speaker 5: a lot of money coming out on the over. So well,

1403
01:07:35,640 --> 01:07:37,800
Speaker 5: maybe there is points in this game after all. I

1404
01:07:37,920 --> 01:07:39,800
Speaker 5: just feel like, if this game goes over, I just

1405
01:07:39,840 --> 01:07:41,520
Speaker 5: think the Patriots win this running away.

1406
01:07:42,640 --> 01:07:46,120
Speaker 3: What's your strongest feeling on Championship Sunday, whether it's a

1407
01:07:46,200 --> 01:07:49,040
Speaker 3: side of total anything. Could you could dazzle us with

1408
01:07:49,120 --> 01:07:51,520
Speaker 3: your your prop breakdowns too, Seamus? What do you feel

1409
01:07:51,600 --> 01:07:52,320
Speaker 3: savised about?

1410
01:07:53,240 --> 01:07:57,200
Speaker 5: It's really two tough games this weekend to handicap. There's

1411
01:07:57,240 --> 01:08:01,640
Speaker 5: not really a side I love in either game. You know,

1412
01:08:02,000 --> 01:08:04,160
Speaker 5: you'd probably have to look at some touchdown scores, but

1413
01:08:04,240 --> 01:08:06,720
Speaker 5: I think you're going to have a hard one finding

1414
01:08:06,920 --> 01:08:10,720
Speaker 5: value there this late in the game. It's just a

1415
01:08:10,880 --> 01:08:13,640
Speaker 5: really tough week to handicap. In my opinion, I really

1416
01:08:13,680 --> 01:08:16,160
Speaker 5: don't have much honestly for these two games.

1417
01:08:17,080 --> 01:08:17,960
Speaker 3: Yeah, it really is.

1418
01:08:18,080 --> 01:08:20,439
Speaker 4: I think that this kind of leads me to the

1419
01:08:20,760 --> 01:08:23,519
Speaker 4: next point is we get these four teams, so that

1420
01:08:23,600 --> 01:08:26,720
Speaker 4: means we'll get, you know, eight or four hypotheticals, you know,

1421
01:08:26,880 --> 01:08:31,120
Speaker 4: with all eight possible matchups that we could see. I think,

1422
01:08:31,560 --> 01:08:33,560
Speaker 4: based on what I'm seeing right now, it looks like

1423
01:08:33,760 --> 01:08:38,160
Speaker 4: Seattle and the Rams will both be over a touchdown favorite.

1424
01:08:38,320 --> 01:08:41,080
Speaker 4: If the Broncos end up winning this game, and if

1425
01:08:41,120 --> 01:08:42,920
Speaker 4: the Patriots end up winning this game, it looks like

1426
01:08:43,000 --> 01:08:44,479
Speaker 4: three and a half is going to be the number

1427
01:08:44,840 --> 01:08:46,920
Speaker 4: based off of what I'm seeing. Do you agree with

1428
01:08:47,080 --> 01:08:50,600
Speaker 4: both of those future look ahead hypothetical lines for the

1429
01:08:50,680 --> 01:08:53,000
Speaker 4: Super Bowl? Would you be betting any of those now?

1430
01:08:53,080 --> 01:08:56,040
Speaker 4: Do you see value in those markets at any point?

1431
01:08:57,080 --> 01:09:00,759
Speaker 5: I would agree that the NFC regardless would be favored

1432
01:09:01,120 --> 01:09:06,600
Speaker 5: over the NFC, like the Broncos for obvious reasons. But

1433
01:09:06,760 --> 01:09:09,479
Speaker 5: the Patriots, you just go back to the strength of schedule.

1434
01:09:09,640 --> 01:09:13,400
Speaker 5: You know, the Rams and Seahawks have played some really

1435
01:09:13,479 --> 01:09:17,320
Speaker 5: meaningful games against some really against playoff teams, and the

1436
01:09:17,439 --> 01:09:20,519
Speaker 5: Patriots haven't really been tested. You know, they beat the

1437
01:09:20,560 --> 01:09:23,679
Speaker 5: Bills in Buffalo, then they also choked a three touchdown

1438
01:09:23,800 --> 01:09:27,600
Speaker 5: lead to Buffalo later in the year. You know the Chargers,

1439
01:09:28,120 --> 01:09:30,680
Speaker 5: some people were fifty to fifty on how good they were.

1440
01:09:30,960 --> 01:09:35,000
Speaker 5: Herbert really didn't look good and c J. Stroud just

1441
01:09:35,160 --> 01:09:37,839
Speaker 5: threw away the game, it felt like for the Texans

1442
01:09:37,920 --> 01:09:41,880
Speaker 5: last week. So it's really hard to gauge how dominant

1443
01:09:42,240 --> 01:09:45,560
Speaker 5: this Patriots seem really has been in my opinion, and

1444
01:09:46,400 --> 01:09:49,760
Speaker 5: the Rams it's a loaded roster and the Seahawks are

1445
01:09:49,840 --> 01:09:53,160
Speaker 5: just so well prepared in the execute. I think the

1446
01:09:53,320 --> 01:09:56,799
Speaker 5: look aheadlines appear to be right. I think I personally

1447
01:09:56,920 --> 01:10:00,479
Speaker 5: would bet either NFC team over the Patriots in this

1448
01:10:00,600 --> 01:10:04,160
Speaker 5: Super Bowl. As far as the Broncos go, I'm not sure.

1449
01:10:04,240 --> 01:10:07,320
Speaker 5: I just it's really I have a very hard time

1450
01:10:07,479 --> 01:10:08,800
Speaker 5: seeing them getting through today.

1451
01:10:10,160 --> 01:10:13,479
Speaker 3: Very good stuff. As always, Seamus Man, appreciate your time today.

1452
01:10:13,600 --> 01:10:16,800
Speaker 3: Enjoy Championship Sunday. We'll catch you soon. I have a

1453
01:10:16,840 --> 01:10:19,160
Speaker 3: go one guys, enjoy the games YouTube. There He is

1454
01:10:19,200 --> 01:10:22,160
Speaker 3: Seamus McGee, team lead of sports Trading at bet MGM.

1455
01:10:22,439 --> 01:10:24,400
Speaker 3: Hey be sure to subscribe to the Fox Sports Radio

1456
01:10:24,479 --> 01:10:27,560
Speaker 3: YouTube channel. Just search Fox Sports Radio on YouTube and

1457
01:10:27,640 --> 01:10:29,679
Speaker 3: you'll see our best videos from all of our shows

1458
01:10:29,760 --> 01:10:31,640
Speaker 3: and don't stop there. Hit that thumbs up icon and

1459
01:10:31,760 --> 01:10:34,160
Speaker 3: comment away. Let us know whose takes you like and

1460
01:10:34,240 --> 01:10:36,280
Speaker 3: even whose takes you don't like. Just search Fox Sports

1461
01:10:36,360 --> 01:10:39,360
Speaker 3: Radio on YouTube and subscribe, you know, a couple of

1462
01:10:39,439 --> 01:10:41,479
Speaker 3: minutes here before we get to prop it up, Jared,

1463
01:10:42,280 --> 01:10:44,920
Speaker 3: I'm just curious your thoughts on the National Championship Game.

1464
01:10:45,000 --> 01:10:49,680
Speaker 3: Right like IU completes the storybook you know, movie like

1465
01:10:49,840 --> 01:10:53,479
Speaker 3: All Time season sixteen and zero and just obnoxious stuff.

1466
01:10:53,600 --> 01:10:56,360
Speaker 3: Right Like Fernando Mendoza years ago. They show him as

1467
01:10:56,400 --> 01:10:59,160
Speaker 3: a kid, He's growing up as a Miami Hurricanes fan.

1468
01:10:59,240 --> 01:11:02,080
Speaker 3: He's got his face painted, my jersey on. Can I

1469
01:11:02,280 --> 01:11:04,320
Speaker 3: walk on at the you know, we don't wantch it?

1470
01:11:04,439 --> 01:11:07,800
Speaker 3: Now he's facing the you in the title game. Unbelievable.

1471
01:11:07,840 --> 01:11:09,680
Speaker 3: What did you think about the title game and the

1472
01:11:09,760 --> 01:11:13,400
Speaker 3: Storybooks season for IU? I think Miami showed showed pretty well.

1473
01:11:13,680 --> 01:11:15,760
Speaker 4: Like I think, you know, a lot of people coming

1474
01:11:15,800 --> 01:11:17,479
Speaker 4: into that game thought it was gonna be very one

1475
01:11:17,560 --> 01:11:19,840
Speaker 4: sided based off of how the semifinals went, you know,

1476
01:11:19,880 --> 01:11:22,400
Speaker 4: I mean Indiana. People were betting Indiana like they knew

1477
01:11:22,400 --> 01:11:26,080
Speaker 4: the final score, and I thought they were significantly overvalued,

1478
01:11:26,280 --> 01:11:27,840
Speaker 4: you know, And not to say that they're not a

1479
01:11:27,960 --> 01:11:30,519
Speaker 4: great elite team, but you're talking about over a touchdown

1480
01:11:30,560 --> 01:11:33,519
Speaker 4: in a championship game. With a roster like Miami's, which

1481
01:11:33,600 --> 01:11:36,400
Speaker 4: is littered with first rounders and second rounders and third

1482
01:11:36,479 --> 01:11:39,960
Speaker 4: rounders at key positions offensive line, defensive line. You could

1483
01:11:40,000 --> 01:11:41,519
Speaker 4: make the case that Carson Beck made a lot of

1484
01:11:41,560 --> 01:11:43,799
Speaker 4: money for himself in the NFL based on his performance

1485
01:11:43,840 --> 01:11:46,559
Speaker 4: in the playoffs. So I thought, you know, Miami against

1486
01:11:46,600 --> 01:11:49,400
Speaker 4: the spread was a good bet to make, but I

1487
01:11:49,479 --> 01:11:50,840
Speaker 4: thought Indiana was the better team.

1488
01:11:50,840 --> 01:11:52,599
Speaker 3: They deserve to be favored in the game, no doubt.

1489
01:11:52,960 --> 01:11:56,720
Speaker 4: But it really is as it's all signety like, the

1490
01:11:57,000 --> 01:11:59,320
Speaker 4: culture starts from the top and then it filters its

1491
01:11:59,360 --> 01:11:59,800
Speaker 4: way down.

1492
01:12:00,200 --> 01:12:03,880
Speaker 3: And what he has done at Indiana. If you were

1493
01:12:03,920 --> 01:12:05,519
Speaker 3: gonna tell me that after.

1494
01:12:05,400 --> 01:12:07,240
Speaker 4: Michigan and Ohio State go back to back in the

1495
01:12:07,280 --> 01:12:10,400
Speaker 4: Big Ten, that a third Big Ten team, not name

1496
01:12:10,479 --> 01:12:12,800
Speaker 4: Michigan Ohio State was gonna win the national championship in

1497
01:12:13,040 --> 01:12:15,160
Speaker 4: twenty six, I was gonna be like, Oh, yeah, it's

1498
01:12:15,160 --> 01:12:18,200
Speaker 4: cut State's here, baby, let's go, We're getting there, We're

1499
01:12:18,240 --> 01:12:18,519
Speaker 4: doing it.

1500
01:12:18,920 --> 01:12:22,000
Speaker 3: And it turns out to be the Indiana Hoosiers. Wow.

1501
01:12:22,120 --> 01:12:24,160
Speaker 4: I mean, it really does speak to what he's been

1502
01:12:24,200 --> 01:12:27,840
Speaker 4: able to do, and it's not going to change anytime soon, guys.

1503
01:12:28,120 --> 01:12:31,519
Speaker 4: I mean, Indiana's got money for days, and they have

1504
01:12:31,680 --> 01:12:34,400
Speaker 4: a great quarterback coming in next year in Josh Uber. Obviously,

1505
01:12:34,439 --> 01:12:36,519
Speaker 4: Signetti's still there, They've got a lot of other great

1506
01:12:36,560 --> 01:12:39,719
Speaker 4: pieces in place. They are a very well disciplined unit,

1507
01:12:40,000 --> 01:12:43,200
Speaker 4: so I don't expect the drop off to be that severe.

1508
01:12:43,240 --> 01:12:44,880
Speaker 3: Even though it's probably.

1509
01:12:44,520 --> 01:12:47,120
Speaker 4: Hard to go sixteen and zero again, I don't expect

1510
01:12:47,160 --> 01:12:49,200
Speaker 4: them to just fall off a cliff and revert back

1511
01:12:49,240 --> 01:12:51,000
Speaker 4: to Indiana form. So I think it's a bit of

1512
01:12:51,040 --> 01:12:53,599
Speaker 4: a changing of the guard in college football. I think

1513
01:12:53,680 --> 01:12:56,320
Speaker 4: the thing I've noticed now is it really doesn't matter

1514
01:12:56,400 --> 01:12:57,320
Speaker 4: what conference you play in.

1515
01:12:57,360 --> 01:12:58,240
Speaker 3: Look at Texas Tech.

1516
01:12:58,640 --> 01:13:01,519
Speaker 4: All you have to do is have a boatload of

1517
01:13:01,600 --> 01:13:04,360
Speaker 4: money and then spend that money the right way. And

1518
01:13:04,439 --> 01:13:07,200
Speaker 4: if you can do those two things, any team in

1519
01:13:07,360 --> 01:13:09,760
Speaker 4: the sport can do what Indiana did. It not gonna

1520
01:13:09,760 --> 01:13:12,840
Speaker 4: be easy, but the potential is there based off of

1521
01:13:12,920 --> 01:13:14,720
Speaker 4: the landscape that we are in. But tip of the

1522
01:13:14,800 --> 01:13:17,960
Speaker 4: cap to Signetti and Mendoza. He's obviously gonna be the

1523
01:13:18,000 --> 01:13:19,840
Speaker 4: number one pick to the Raiders. I don't think there's

1524
01:13:19,840 --> 01:13:22,040
Speaker 4: any doubt there, and then we'll see, you know, how

1525
01:13:22,080 --> 01:13:23,720
Speaker 4: things filter down from there. We'll see how many other

1526
01:13:23,800 --> 01:13:25,519
Speaker 4: players on this Indiana uster get drafted.

1527
01:13:25,600 --> 01:13:26,680
Speaker 3: I would guess not a lot.

1528
01:13:27,160 --> 01:13:29,439
Speaker 4: Maybe you know a couple later on in the draft,

1529
01:13:29,479 --> 01:13:32,080
Speaker 4: but I think Mendoza is really the only lock, you know,

1530
01:13:32,280 --> 01:13:35,400
Speaker 4: first round stud NFL player they have on their roster,

1531
01:13:36,040 --> 01:13:37,800
Speaker 4: and from there it's going to kind of filter down.

1532
01:13:37,840 --> 01:13:40,320
Speaker 4: I actually I think that back Kamara, the defensive end,

1533
01:13:40,439 --> 01:13:42,559
Speaker 4: the pass rusher is probably going to be a stud

1534
01:13:42,600 --> 01:13:44,240
Speaker 4: as well. Maybe it'll be a top three round pick.

1535
01:13:44,360 --> 01:13:46,760
Speaker 4: But it really is a credit to Signetti what he's

1536
01:13:46,760 --> 01:13:49,360
Speaker 4: been able to accomplish, because you turn Indiana around from

1537
01:13:49,479 --> 01:13:52,760
Speaker 4: what they were to what they are, and that is

1538
01:13:52,880 --> 01:13:53,800
Speaker 4: just it's remarkable.

1539
01:13:54,080 --> 01:13:57,080
Speaker 3: It's funny to me, like I half agree with you

1540
01:13:57,400 --> 01:14:00,600
Speaker 3: and half disagree with you, meaning you're right, like this

1541
01:14:00,920 --> 01:14:04,200
Speaker 3: can happen for a lot of other teams. If you

1542
01:14:04,840 --> 01:14:06,960
Speaker 3: have cash, if you spend it in the right ways,

1543
01:14:07,360 --> 01:14:11,000
Speaker 3: you can have an Indiana like run that can happen.

1544
01:14:11,080 --> 01:14:14,639
Speaker 3: That is absolutely true. But the part where I push back,

1545
01:14:14,720 --> 01:14:18,519
Speaker 3: I'm like, even though it's possible, like how likely is it?

1546
01:14:19,120 --> 01:14:22,400
Speaker 3: Just think is the perfect storm for IU where you've

1547
01:14:22,439 --> 01:14:26,080
Speaker 3: got Signetti, who's this diamond in the rough, right, great

1548
01:14:26,120 --> 01:14:29,760
Speaker 3: head coach and got his head coaching start late right,

1549
01:14:29,880 --> 01:14:31,880
Speaker 3: was an assistant under Nick Saban and then it's like,

1550
01:14:32,000 --> 01:14:33,599
Speaker 3: you know what I need to be a head coach

1551
01:14:33,720 --> 01:14:36,040
Speaker 3: And he starts off at very low levels, works his

1552
01:14:36,120 --> 01:14:39,160
Speaker 3: way up, gets to IU and then you have all

1553
01:14:39,200 --> 01:14:42,840
Speaker 3: these James Madison transfers that were with them over there

1554
01:14:42,880 --> 01:14:45,439
Speaker 3: at JMU, and they've got a chip on their shoulder.

1555
01:14:45,520 --> 01:14:48,280
Speaker 3: They were never recruited by power force schools, like why

1556
01:14:48,400 --> 01:14:52,840
Speaker 3: not us? It's the perfect storm. And on top of that,

1557
01:14:53,080 --> 01:14:56,920
Speaker 3: it's not just this quick turnaround. It was the losingest

1558
01:14:57,240 --> 01:15:02,880
Speaker 3: FBS team in college football history, the most losses ever,

1559
01:15:03,280 --> 01:15:05,920
Speaker 3: right like, and they turned it around. Blows my mind

1560
01:15:05,960 --> 01:15:10,160
Speaker 3: to three years before Signetty took over nine and twenty seven.

1561
01:15:10,720 --> 01:15:14,960
Speaker 3: That was a rec nine and twenty seven and instantaneously

1562
01:15:15,360 --> 01:15:18,880
Speaker 3: he flips them around and they're national champions within two years.

1563
01:15:18,960 --> 01:15:21,479
Speaker 3: That's insane. You know what this reminds me of? It

1564
01:15:21,600 --> 01:15:24,400
Speaker 3: kind of reminds me of when Tom Brady played into

1565
01:15:24,479 --> 01:15:27,640
Speaker 3: his mid forties and the talk for a couple of

1566
01:15:27,760 --> 01:15:30,360
Speaker 3: years was like, oh yeah, like I don't know Russell

1567
01:15:30,360 --> 01:15:33,960
Speaker 3: Wilson's got another decade left or whatever. It's like, uh no,

1568
01:15:34,120 --> 01:15:37,639
Speaker 3: he doesn't. Like this is very uncommon. And even though

1569
01:15:38,160 --> 01:15:40,400
Speaker 3: based on the rules and you can't hit quarterbacks the

1570
01:15:40,479 --> 01:15:43,360
Speaker 3: same way, quarterbacks can play into their mid forties and

1571
01:15:43,439 --> 01:15:47,360
Speaker 3: be highly productive. Like that's it's a possibility that exists.

1572
01:15:47,520 --> 01:15:50,200
Speaker 3: Yet where are they? Where have you seen him? So

1573
01:15:50,439 --> 01:15:53,080
Speaker 3: that's how I see it, even though the possibility exists

1574
01:15:53,600 --> 01:15:56,560
Speaker 3: for other quarter for other college teams to try to

1575
01:15:56,640 --> 01:16:00,360
Speaker 3: duplicate what IU did, good luck doing all of that, right, Like,

1576
01:16:00,520 --> 01:16:03,559
Speaker 3: I just I don't see it happening on any sort

1577
01:16:03,600 --> 01:16:05,720
Speaker 3: of common level at all. I don't know if it

1578
01:16:05,800 --> 01:16:08,880
Speaker 3: ever happens again to that same degree. I agree that it.

1579
01:16:09,200 --> 01:16:12,160
Speaker 4: Will take the perfect storm, but the potential is there

1580
01:16:12,360 --> 01:16:15,960
Speaker 4: because of the climate, if you do spend properly and

1581
01:16:16,080 --> 01:16:18,920
Speaker 4: you do have a coach that is on Signette's level.

1582
01:16:19,360 --> 01:16:21,240
Speaker 3: I'm kind of hoping Penn State's gonna do it, but well,

1583
01:16:21,560 --> 01:16:21,920
Speaker 3: we'll see.

1584
01:16:22,120 --> 01:16:23,960
Speaker 4: But Penn State make the turnaround, It's not the same

1585
01:16:24,000 --> 01:16:26,080
Speaker 4: story because the turnaround obviously, I mean, Penn State has

1586
01:16:26,080 --> 01:16:27,000
Speaker 4: been a great team for years.

1587
01:16:27,040 --> 01:16:29,040
Speaker 3: They just haven't, you know, gotten over that last hurdle.

1588
01:16:29,240 --> 01:16:32,680
Speaker 4: They haven't been what two and whatever, but the potentials

1589
01:16:32,680 --> 01:16:34,400
Speaker 4: there and I think that's what makes college football very

1590
01:16:34,439 --> 01:16:35,080
Speaker 4: exciting right now.

1591
01:16:35,360 --> 01:16:37,559
Speaker 3: Well, and the other thing we're overlooking is Notre Dame

1592
01:16:37,600 --> 01:16:41,559
Speaker 3: totally would have beaten them right right, just like last year.

1593
01:16:41,720 --> 01:16:44,400
Speaker 3: I mean, just like last year smacked them around by

1594
01:16:44,720 --> 01:16:46,800
Speaker 3: twenty seven to seventeen, and it was way worse than that,

1595
01:16:46,960 --> 01:16:50,000
Speaker 3: so they lucked out. Basically. That's another angle. I'm just kidding,

1596
01:16:50,200 --> 01:16:54,120
Speaker 3: I'm not really doing but but that make me a

1597
01:16:54,200 --> 01:16:57,439
Speaker 3: home at all. All right, We've got a Jared Smith

1598
01:16:57,600 --> 01:17:01,160
Speaker 3: FSR betting analyst. I'm probably in no register with BETMGM

1599
01:17:01,240 --> 01:17:03,559
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1600
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1604
01:17:14,840 --> 01:17:17,760
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1605
01:17:17,880 --> 01:17:21,840
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1606
01:17:21,920 --> 01:17:25,080
Speaker 3: prop it up the prop betting market man so many

1607
01:17:25,160 --> 01:17:27,880
Speaker 3: angles we'll compare notes. Next it is Fox Sports Radios

1608
01:17:27,880 --> 01:17:30,320
Speaker 3: Countdown to Kickoff presented by BETMGM.

1609
01:17:31,160 --> 01:17:34,040
Speaker 1: Fox Sports Radio has the best sports talk lineup in

1610
01:17:34,080 --> 01:17:37,439
Speaker 1: the nation. Catch all of our shows at Foxsports Radio

1611
01:17:37,600 --> 01:17:41,640
Speaker 1: dot com and within the iHeartRadio app. Search FSR to

1612
01:17:41,800 --> 01:17:42,400
Speaker 1: listen live.

1613
01:17:43,400 --> 01:17:47,640
Speaker 3: It is Fox Sports Radios Countdown to Kickoff presented by BETMGM.

1614
01:17:47,760 --> 01:17:49,679
Speaker 3: Be sure to check out the new look and features

1615
01:17:50,240 --> 01:17:52,680
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1617
01:17:56,320 --> 01:17:59,120
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1618
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1619
01:18:01,360 --> 01:18:04,479
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1620
01:18:04,600 --> 01:18:07,559
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1621
01:18:07,560 --> 01:18:10,320
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1622
01:18:10,880 --> 01:18:13,439
Speaker 3: in the bet mgm app. All right, let's do this

1623
01:18:16,600 --> 01:18:17,240
Speaker 3: prop it up.

1624
01:18:17,479 --> 01:18:19,160
Speaker 1: Let's don't player plays?

1625
01:18:19,720 --> 01:18:24,160
Speaker 3: Ah, yes, the prop bets. So much to talk about here, Jared,

1626
01:18:24,200 --> 01:18:25,120
Speaker 3: what's something that you lack?

1627
01:18:25,680 --> 01:18:28,200
Speaker 4: Yeah, I've got a lot of props on the card

1628
01:18:28,280 --> 01:18:30,320
Speaker 4: this week. It'll be a big thing for the Super

1629
01:18:30,360 --> 01:18:33,120
Speaker 4: Bowl as well. Right, we don't really love First of all,

1630
01:18:33,160 --> 01:18:35,800
Speaker 4: there's only a couple of size even bet on. Second

1631
01:18:35,840 --> 01:18:36,800
Speaker 4: of all, just that's where the.

1632
01:18:36,840 --> 01:18:38,200
Speaker 3: Value is at this stage of the season.

1633
01:18:38,400 --> 01:18:41,679
Speaker 4: Let's talk tight ends. Let's talk rams Seahawks tight ends.

1634
01:18:41,760 --> 01:18:46,560
Speaker 4: The Seahawks defense plays too high third highest straight in

1635
01:18:46,600 --> 01:18:48,960
Speaker 4: the league. Why is that important? Well, Sean McVeigh knows this,

1636
01:18:49,280 --> 01:18:52,040
Speaker 4: and he's very good at scheming up routes against him.

1637
01:18:52,320 --> 01:18:54,840
Speaker 3: And when you look at Colby Parkinson.

1638
01:18:54,880 --> 01:18:59,920
Speaker 4: Eighty second percentile yards per route run against two high coverages.

1639
01:19:00,280 --> 01:19:03,240
Speaker 4: He was on the field for a season high eighty

1640
01:19:03,400 --> 01:19:05,920
Speaker 4: six percent of snaps in the last matchup in Week sixteen.

1641
01:19:06,360 --> 01:19:09,320
Speaker 4: When the Seahawks are going to play that too high safety, look,

1642
01:19:09,760 --> 01:19:12,080
Speaker 4: I think the tight end, not only Parkinson, but Higbe

1643
01:19:12,120 --> 01:19:14,240
Speaker 4: as well, are going to be big factors in this game.

1644
01:19:14,640 --> 01:19:16,639
Speaker 3: I lean Parkinson in terms.

1645
01:19:16,439 --> 01:19:19,320
Speaker 4: Of my favorite of the two tight ends because he

1646
01:19:19,479 --> 01:19:21,759
Speaker 4: just has been on the field so much against Seattle.

1647
01:19:21,800 --> 01:19:23,360
Speaker 4: He also is a former Seahawk and the's a little

1648
01:19:23,400 --> 01:19:25,840
Speaker 4: bit of a revenge angle there. His receiving yards prop

1649
01:19:25,920 --> 01:19:27,519
Speaker 4: in this game is twenty four.

1650
01:19:27,439 --> 01:19:28,400
Speaker 3: And a half yards.

1651
01:19:28,439 --> 01:19:30,040
Speaker 4: That is a very low number for a guy, again

1652
01:19:30,040 --> 01:19:32,639
Speaker 4: who's on the field for eighty six percent of snaps.

1653
01:19:32,680 --> 01:19:34,680
Speaker 4: The last time these two teams played, and he is

1654
01:19:34,920 --> 01:19:38,120
Speaker 4: very effective against two high safeties Kobe Parkinson over twenty

1655
01:19:38,120 --> 01:19:39,880
Speaker 4: four and a half receiving.

1656
01:19:39,640 --> 01:19:43,320
Speaker 3: Yards for the Rams. All Right, I like Kenneth Walker,

1657
01:19:43,520 --> 01:19:46,479
Speaker 3: the Seahawks running back. I like him under eighty three

1658
01:19:46,520 --> 01:19:49,760
Speaker 3: and a half rushing yards because just think about this. Fundamentally,

1659
01:19:50,360 --> 01:19:55,559
Speaker 3: the Rams cannot allow Kenneth Walker to basically beat him.

1660
01:19:55,840 --> 01:19:58,599
Speaker 3: You know, you have to slow him down and force

1661
01:19:59,200 --> 01:20:02,120
Speaker 3: Sam Darneld who beat you. That's what you have to do.

1662
01:20:02,720 --> 01:20:05,600
Speaker 3: And he just went ballistic against the Niners. I like

1663
01:20:06,400 --> 01:20:09,320
Speaker 3: sometimes fading a running back that just went crazy. You know,

1664
01:20:09,640 --> 01:20:12,800
Speaker 3: he had a sensational game against the forty nine ers.

1665
01:20:13,120 --> 01:20:16,400
Speaker 3: That's gonna be a focal point of this Rams defense

1666
01:20:16,560 --> 01:20:19,879
Speaker 3: is to slow him down. And plus I'm not convinced

1667
01:20:19,880 --> 01:20:21,439
Speaker 3: that he's You're just gonna be like, all right, just

1668
01:20:21,520 --> 01:20:23,120
Speaker 3: Dereck Henry this thing. We're gonna give it to you.

1669
01:20:23,240 --> 01:20:27,280
Speaker 3: Twenty five thirty times he's been like, you know, he's

1670
01:20:27,320 --> 01:20:29,320
Speaker 3: been part of a two headed monster. So I think

1671
01:20:29,400 --> 01:20:31,760
Speaker 3: that they're gonna give it to Vayalis Jones. They're gonna

1672
01:20:31,800 --> 01:20:33,720
Speaker 3: give it to some of the backup running backs at

1673
01:20:33,840 --> 01:20:37,040
Speaker 3: times where I'm not convinced Walker is gonna get near

1674
01:20:37,160 --> 01:20:40,920
Speaker 3: thirty carries. So for those two reasons, I like that.

1675
01:20:41,439 --> 01:20:43,800
Speaker 3: I like Kenneth Walker to stay under eighty three and

1676
01:20:43,800 --> 01:20:45,479
Speaker 3: a half rushing yards. That's what I would do. I

1677
01:20:45,600 --> 01:20:45,760
Speaker 3: like it.

1678
01:20:46,200 --> 01:20:50,120
Speaker 4: I think most of listen general prop advice, and I

1679
01:20:50,240 --> 01:20:52,560
Speaker 4: know we love betting overs because once you're there, you

1680
01:20:52,640 --> 01:20:55,960
Speaker 4: win and it's done. But the majority of the props,

1681
01:20:56,280 --> 01:20:59,800
Speaker 4: especially this late in the yeir stay under, especially touchdown

1682
01:21:00,120 --> 01:21:02,680
Speaker 4: And a lot of those high ranking guys right like

1683
01:21:02,760 --> 01:21:05,200
Speaker 4: McCoo and JSN. You mentioned Kenneth Walker, guys that are

1684
01:21:05,240 --> 01:21:08,160
Speaker 4: at the tippy top of the market. It just they

1685
01:21:08,320 --> 01:21:10,240
Speaker 4: tend to stay under this time of the air. So

1686
01:21:10,600 --> 01:21:12,840
Speaker 4: if you're going to bet and over, you better have

1687
01:21:12,960 --> 01:21:16,000
Speaker 4: a damn good reason. Like I just gave you were

1688
01:21:16,000 --> 01:21:17,800
Speaker 4: the two high safety look and you know, percentage of

1689
01:21:17,800 --> 01:21:18,519
Speaker 4: snaps on the field.

1690
01:21:18,520 --> 01:21:21,240
Speaker 3: But for the most part, unders and the promms, yeah,

1691
01:21:21,640 --> 01:21:24,400
Speaker 3: no doubt. All right, coming up next, I think it's

1692
01:21:24,439 --> 01:21:28,600
Speaker 3: another perfect storm for a really bad conclusion.

1693
01:21:31,040 --> 01:21:33,920
Speaker 1: Fox Sports Radio has the best sports talk lineup in

1694
01:21:33,960 --> 01:21:37,320
Speaker 1: the nation. Catch all of our shows at foxsports Radio

1695
01:21:37,479 --> 01:21:41,519
Speaker 1: dot com and within the iHeartRadio app search FSR to

1696
01:21:41,680 --> 01:21:42,280
Speaker 1: listen live.

1697
01:21:43,479 --> 01:21:46,719
Speaker 3: Oh what is going on? Happy Saturday to you. Happy

1698
01:21:46,920 --> 01:21:51,560
Speaker 3: Championships Sunday eve as we get just set for two knockdown,

1699
01:21:51,680 --> 01:21:54,880
Speaker 3: drag them out matchups over here. Hey, every time you

1700
01:21:54,960 --> 01:21:58,120
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01:22:07,080 --> 01:22:10,720
Speaker 3: be sure to follow bet MGM across all socials at

1705
01:22:10,880 --> 01:22:13,519
Speaker 3: bet MGM. All right, Jared, So we get into this

1706
01:22:13,720 --> 01:22:18,240
Speaker 3: Patriots Broncos matchup yet again, and uh, you tell me

1707
01:22:18,360 --> 01:22:20,800
Speaker 3: what you think about this, Okay, I'll come up with

1708
01:22:20,880 --> 01:22:23,519
Speaker 3: theories and angles and opinions all day. Yeah at me,

1709
01:22:23,680 --> 01:22:26,080
Speaker 3: you either give me like a hey, thumbs up, buddy,

1710
01:22:26,360 --> 01:22:29,240
Speaker 3: good work, or yeah, I'm gonna have to push back

1711
01:22:29,320 --> 01:22:31,320
Speaker 3: on that, right. And here's why, you know, you give

1712
01:22:31,360 --> 01:22:33,679
Speaker 3: me one one or the other. Here's what I'm thinking

1713
01:22:34,680 --> 01:22:38,280
Speaker 3: with the week of Stidham bouquets. You know, it's not

1714
01:22:38,520 --> 01:22:41,880
Speaker 3: just it's not just Sean Bayton. There's a lot of

1715
01:22:42,080 --> 01:22:45,719
Speaker 3: talk about oh Stidham. Yeah, I mean yeah, he hadn't

1716
01:22:45,760 --> 01:22:48,639
Speaker 3: thrown a pass in two seasons, but he should be fine.

1717
01:22:49,280 --> 01:22:52,400
Speaker 3: You're getting a steady diet of that, right. I think this.

1718
01:22:53,200 --> 01:22:56,000
Speaker 3: I think it's a perfect storm for a lot of

1719
01:22:56,160 --> 01:22:59,639
Speaker 3: Broncos backers to emerge. And I think have a bad

1720
01:22:59,720 --> 01:23:02,400
Speaker 3: take when it comes to Stidham. Let's not make it

1721
01:23:02,600 --> 01:23:05,800
Speaker 3: sound like it's easy to just I don't know, roll

1722
01:23:05,880 --> 01:23:09,080
Speaker 3: out of bed and say I haven't thrown a pass

1723
01:23:09,120 --> 01:23:12,479
Speaker 3: in two seasons, but it's all good, like Championship Sunday,

1724
01:23:12,560 --> 01:23:14,880
Speaker 3: bring it on, and it's just like what flawless? Or

1725
01:23:15,560 --> 01:23:20,240
Speaker 3: I just think there's a lack of faith in the Patriots, right,

1726
01:23:20,320 --> 01:23:22,680
Speaker 3: that's where that's what's fueling a lot of this, like

1727
01:23:22,880 --> 01:23:27,280
Speaker 3: Stidham faith where they Okay, the Patriots didn't play murderers

1728
01:23:27,400 --> 01:23:30,559
Speaker 3: row In fact, they played the opposite. They didn't hardly

1729
01:23:30,600 --> 01:23:35,599
Speaker 3: played anybody. It's the easiest schedule since nineteen ninety nine.

1730
01:23:36,160 --> 01:23:38,080
Speaker 3: That's my favorite stat with the Rams, and it's like,

1731
01:23:38,120 --> 01:23:39,719
Speaker 3: well what did the Rams do that? Oh they wanted

1732
01:23:39,720 --> 01:23:43,919
Speaker 3: to superl Okay, So like, let's not dismiss the Patriots completely,

1733
01:23:44,360 --> 01:23:47,760
Speaker 3: but a lot of people are so I think without

1734
01:23:47,920 --> 01:23:51,360
Speaker 3: loving the Patriots and also how they've looked like, Look

1735
01:23:51,439 --> 01:23:53,960
Speaker 3: at Drake May has turned the ball over a lot,

1736
01:23:54,040 --> 01:23:56,679
Speaker 3: He's fumbled, you know, he's lost some of these fumbles.

1737
01:23:57,320 --> 01:24:00,920
Speaker 3: It's looked sloppy. That was a bad game offensively for

1738
01:24:01,000 --> 01:24:04,400
Speaker 3: the Patriots against the Texans. It just was herky, jerky,

1739
01:24:04,560 --> 01:24:07,400
Speaker 3: sloppy balls on the ground. It's just like, what's going

1740
01:24:07,439 --> 01:24:11,200
Speaker 3: on here? And so I think that's turning Stidham into

1741
01:24:11,280 --> 01:24:13,080
Speaker 3: the minds of a lot of people, into some sort

1742
01:24:13,120 --> 01:24:16,160
Speaker 3: of difference maker. I don't buy it. And think about this,

1743
01:24:17,640 --> 01:24:20,440
Speaker 3: Think about how two quarterbacks have looked against the Patriots

1744
01:24:20,520 --> 01:24:26,040
Speaker 3: in the playoffs. Justin Herbert looked bad. Justin Herbert is

1745
01:24:26,320 --> 01:24:28,800
Speaker 3: light years better than Jared Stidham right now.

1746
01:24:29,320 --> 01:24:29,600
Speaker 7: C J.

1747
01:24:29,840 --> 01:24:35,160
Speaker 3: Stroud looked horrible for interceptions in the first half. Who

1748
01:24:35,160 --> 01:24:37,559
Speaker 3: would you rather have as your quarterback next season? Jared?

1749
01:24:37,720 --> 01:24:40,040
Speaker 3: Is it c J. Stroud Or is it Jared Stidham?

1750
01:24:40,240 --> 01:24:43,000
Speaker 3: You know what I'm saying, like Stroud all day and

1751
01:24:43,120 --> 01:24:46,479
Speaker 3: Herbert too, like buy a mile, oh by light years

1752
01:24:46,920 --> 01:24:50,800
Speaker 3: beyond Stidham. So if Herbert and c. J. Stroud both

1753
01:24:50,960 --> 01:24:55,280
Speaker 3: look bad, how is Stidham gonna look like He's gonna

1754
01:24:55,320 --> 01:24:57,960
Speaker 3: look flawless? Like come on, what are we doing here?

1755
01:24:58,080 --> 01:25:00,160
Speaker 3: So I think that's what's fueling a lot of this

1756
01:25:00,280 --> 01:25:03,640
Speaker 3: Didham love is a lack of love for the Patriots.

1757
01:25:04,200 --> 01:25:05,680
Speaker 3: I think that's how you get there, right.

1758
01:25:05,840 --> 01:25:09,519
Speaker 4: Yeah, I think it's a very fair angle, the pushback

1759
01:25:09,600 --> 01:25:11,840
Speaker 4: I have to it, and I think I'm like fifty

1760
01:25:11,840 --> 01:25:12,200
Speaker 4: to fifty.

1761
01:25:12,200 --> 01:25:13,639
Speaker 3: I agree that there is a lot of New.

1762
01:25:13,560 --> 01:25:17,759
Speaker 4: England anti Patriots sentiment in the market, and that's probably

1763
01:25:17,880 --> 01:25:19,439
Speaker 4: why you're seeing a little bit of this. But the

1764
01:25:19,520 --> 01:25:23,440
Speaker 4: pushback to the Herbert and the Stroud takes are twofold.

1765
01:25:23,560 --> 01:25:26,000
Speaker 4: A those games were in New England, the weather was

1766
01:25:26,040 --> 01:25:29,519
Speaker 4: a little bit iffy. We know both of those teams

1767
01:25:29,560 --> 01:25:32,800
Speaker 4: are indoor teams going outdoors to cold weather, and so

1768
01:25:32,960 --> 01:25:36,080
Speaker 4: that fuels I think a reason why the New England

1769
01:25:36,120 --> 01:25:38,840
Speaker 4: defense maybe looked a little bit sharper than maybe they are.

1770
01:25:39,560 --> 01:25:42,320
Speaker 4: And then the real issue, and this is the real pushback,

1771
01:25:42,320 --> 01:25:44,519
Speaker 4: and this is why I give Denver a Stones you know,

1772
01:25:44,640 --> 01:25:47,479
Speaker 4: stones throw chance in this game. Those two teams you

1773
01:25:47,560 --> 01:25:49,920
Speaker 4: just mentioned, Chargers Texans have arguably the two worst offensive

1774
01:25:49,960 --> 01:25:53,439
Speaker 4: lines in the league and Broncos are the opposite of that.

1775
01:25:53,680 --> 01:25:56,400
Speaker 4: Fifth and pressure rate allowed, the tackles are absolutely rock solid,

1776
01:25:56,439 --> 01:26:00,360
Speaker 4: maybe arguably the two best tackles duo in the league,

1777
01:26:00,880 --> 01:26:03,560
Speaker 4: So I think the protection will hold up better. And

1778
01:26:03,680 --> 01:26:05,759
Speaker 4: the other thing that I thought New England did really

1779
01:26:05,800 --> 01:26:08,320
Speaker 4: well in the first two games you mentioned Chargers Texans

1780
01:26:08,360 --> 01:26:09,519
Speaker 4: that I don't know if they're going to do as

1781
01:26:09,560 --> 01:26:12,960
Speaker 4: well in this matchup because of that offensive line. New

1782
01:26:13,000 --> 01:26:15,040
Speaker 4: England knew the weakness of Houston. Let's just take the

1783
01:26:15,080 --> 01:26:18,120
Speaker 4: Houston game. New England knew the weakness of Houston was

1784
01:26:18,200 --> 01:26:20,719
Speaker 4: their offensive line, and then you throw in the weather

1785
01:26:20,840 --> 01:26:23,040
Speaker 4: and the rain and the slickness, the sleet, whatever it was,

1786
01:26:23,080 --> 01:26:25,799
Speaker 4: and it just kind of adds to that making Stroud

1787
01:26:25,920 --> 01:26:29,760
Speaker 4: look jittery. But New England, knowing that, what did they

1788
01:26:29,840 --> 01:26:33,160
Speaker 4: do defensively schematically in that game to take advantage of it.

1789
01:26:33,200 --> 01:26:36,360
Speaker 4: They blitzed the heck at a CJ. Stroud forty percent

1790
01:26:36,400 --> 01:26:37,760
Speaker 4: blitz rate in that game. It's one of the highest

1791
01:26:37,760 --> 01:26:40,320
Speaker 4: blitzer rates of the year for New England. So I

1792
01:26:40,360 --> 01:26:42,559
Speaker 4: don't know if they can do that against Denver, because

1793
01:26:42,640 --> 01:26:44,720
Speaker 4: if you do that against Denver, I think the one

1794
01:26:44,800 --> 01:26:47,840
Speaker 4: thing that I really give Denver an advantage of over

1795
01:26:47,960 --> 01:26:51,040
Speaker 4: New England, I mean, excuse me, over over Houston I

1796
01:26:51,240 --> 01:26:54,000
Speaker 4: trust Sean Payton's scheme more than I do Nick Kelly's

1797
01:26:54,560 --> 01:26:58,200
Speaker 4: where I think, if if, if, if I'm a Broncos

1798
01:26:58,360 --> 01:27:02,360
Speaker 4: offensive assistant watching the film of New England blitzing CJ.

1799
01:27:02,439 --> 01:27:04,680
Speaker 4: Strout on forty percent of snaps, what do you think

1800
01:27:04,680 --> 01:27:07,360
Speaker 4: you're gonna install this week? You're gonna install screens and

1801
01:27:07,439 --> 01:27:10,479
Speaker 4: draws and blitz beaters man beaters because you know you're

1802
01:27:10,600 --> 01:27:13,799
Speaker 4: probably going to get this very aggressive New England defense.

1803
01:27:13,840 --> 01:27:14,840
Speaker 3: That's what we saw last week.

1804
01:27:15,479 --> 01:27:18,800
Speaker 4: And if you have something to check off of that,

1805
01:27:19,520 --> 01:27:22,160
Speaker 4: I think it will slow down this Patriots pass rush.

1806
01:27:22,160 --> 01:27:24,599
Speaker 4: And we mentioned this in the first hour. This Patriots

1807
01:27:24,680 --> 01:27:27,240
Speaker 4: pass rush is not very effective off the edge. In fact,

1808
01:27:27,280 --> 01:27:29,080
Speaker 4: they're not one of the lowest pressure rates in the league.

1809
01:27:29,240 --> 01:27:31,560
Speaker 4: They're a little bit better on the interior. But I

1810
01:27:31,800 --> 01:27:34,320
Speaker 4: just don't know if blitzing the heck out of Jarrett

1811
01:27:34,360 --> 01:27:37,360
Speaker 4: Stidham is going to be the right option this week. Now,

1812
01:27:37,400 --> 01:27:40,200
Speaker 4: Stidham's numbers against the blitz aren't good, but it's such

1813
01:27:40,240 --> 01:27:42,880
Speaker 4: a small sample it's really hard to you know, glean

1814
01:27:43,000 --> 01:27:46,559
Speaker 4: anything from that. But if I'm Denver's offense, I am

1815
01:27:47,000 --> 01:27:50,639
Speaker 4: drawing up a ton of really short, quick passing.

1816
01:27:50,800 --> 01:27:51,439
Speaker 3: You got R. J.

1817
01:27:51,600 --> 01:27:53,240
Speaker 4: Harvey, who I think is a really good back out

1818
01:27:53,240 --> 01:27:55,439
Speaker 4: of the backfield who can make some make some things happen.

1819
01:27:55,840 --> 01:27:58,280
Speaker 4: So I think that's why you're starting to see a

1820
01:27:58,360 --> 01:28:01,000
Speaker 4: little bit of Denver money come in. And we heard

1821
01:28:01,000 --> 01:28:03,080
Speaker 4: Shamus in our last hour the Patriots are a very

1822
01:28:03,320 --> 01:28:07,360
Speaker 4: heavy public side this week, yet we're starting to see

1823
01:28:07,439 --> 01:28:09,840
Speaker 4: that number come down. Yeah, and it's telling me that

1824
01:28:09,880 --> 01:28:12,720
Speaker 4: there's a lot of very smart people, smarter than me

1825
01:28:13,320 --> 01:28:15,400
Speaker 4: that are on Denver this week. And if it's and

1826
01:28:15,840 --> 01:28:18,160
Speaker 4: while I'm not fully sold on Jared Sittam's impossible to

1827
01:28:18,160 --> 01:28:20,600
Speaker 4: be fully sold on a guy who hasn't played. I

1828
01:28:20,880 --> 01:28:22,880
Speaker 4: think I like in these situations, right, like we do

1829
01:28:23,160 --> 01:28:25,400
Speaker 4: trust the market a little bit more than we trust

1830
01:28:25,479 --> 01:28:28,040
Speaker 4: our own eyes. And our own eyes are telling us

1831
01:28:28,080 --> 01:28:30,160
Speaker 4: that Denver probably shouldn't be a four and a half

1832
01:28:30,160 --> 01:28:31,200
Speaker 4: point underdog in this game.

1833
01:28:32,080 --> 01:28:35,360
Speaker 3: Yeah, and it's sticked down now it's four pretty interesting, right, So,

1834
01:28:35,600 --> 01:28:38,680
Speaker 3: like you said, the move toward Denver, at least with

1835
01:28:38,760 --> 01:28:41,280
Speaker 3: the spread, I just we go back to this and

1836
01:28:41,320 --> 01:28:43,960
Speaker 3: we've talked about it a little bit, but what is

1837
01:28:44,120 --> 01:28:46,840
Speaker 3: the defensive game plan for the Patriots?

1838
01:28:47,200 --> 01:28:47,320
Speaker 5: Right?

1839
01:28:47,360 --> 01:28:49,200
Speaker 3: Because you've got a couple of options. Like you just

1840
01:28:49,240 --> 01:28:53,000
Speaker 3: said right there, the Patriots blitz the Texans like crazy

1841
01:28:53,160 --> 01:28:55,840
Speaker 3: last week and it worked. Did they blitz a lot

1842
01:28:55,920 --> 01:28:58,960
Speaker 3: in this game? Like you said, much better Denver offensive

1843
01:28:59,000 --> 01:29:02,000
Speaker 3: line compared to the Texans compared to the Chargers. So

1844
01:29:02,080 --> 01:29:04,320
Speaker 3: that's a big deal. So do you blitz a better

1845
01:29:04,400 --> 01:29:07,040
Speaker 3: offensive line? Maybe you don't have as much success. So

1846
01:29:07,120 --> 01:29:09,280
Speaker 3: you could be aggressive. You could go a lot of blitzes.

1847
01:29:09,600 --> 01:29:11,880
Speaker 3: You could go press coverage. You could say, all right,

1848
01:29:11,960 --> 01:29:13,880
Speaker 3: we know Stidham, you want to throw a bunch of short,

1849
01:29:14,000 --> 01:29:16,920
Speaker 3: quick passes. Guess what we're gonna do. We're gonna crowd

1850
01:29:17,000 --> 01:29:19,120
Speaker 3: these guys. We're gonna bump and run. Right, We're gonna

1851
01:29:19,120 --> 01:29:21,960
Speaker 3: play press coverage. And if you don't have your first

1852
01:29:22,000 --> 01:29:25,040
Speaker 3: read or your second read, then what what're you gonna

1853
01:29:25,080 --> 01:29:25,400
Speaker 3: do now?

1854
01:29:25,520 --> 01:29:25,600
Speaker 6: Right?

1855
01:29:25,840 --> 01:29:30,240
Speaker 3: You could be aggressive defensively, or or you could just say, hey,

1856
01:29:30,439 --> 01:29:34,040
Speaker 3: we're not giving up any big plays. We're keeping everything

1857
01:29:34,160 --> 01:29:37,240
Speaker 3: in front of us, and we're gonna force Stidham and

1858
01:29:37,360 --> 01:29:39,320
Speaker 3: Sean Payton, who doesn't want to use his running game,

1859
01:29:39,520 --> 01:29:42,559
Speaker 3: We're gonna force you to execute all the way down

1860
01:29:42,640 --> 01:29:45,840
Speaker 3: the field, and we're betting that you're gonna slip up

1861
01:29:45,840 --> 01:29:48,600
Speaker 3: a couple of times, right, and or like maybe not

1862
01:29:48,680 --> 01:29:52,040
Speaker 3: a major mistake throwing interceptions, but hey, maybe it's third

1863
01:29:52,080 --> 01:29:54,479
Speaker 3: and five. You have a chance to convert and you

1864
01:29:54,560 --> 01:29:56,920
Speaker 3: know you just didn't, and well, guess what, it's our ball.

1865
01:29:57,320 --> 01:29:59,320
Speaker 3: So what do you think they do? What do you

1866
01:29:59,360 --> 01:30:02,560
Speaker 3: think they should? Would you like to see more aggressive

1867
01:30:03,200 --> 01:30:06,800
Speaker 3: Patriots defense? Let's blitz them, Let's play press coverage, Let's

1868
01:30:06,880 --> 01:30:10,120
Speaker 3: really force Stidham's hand. He doesn't have the reps. We

1869
01:30:10,200 --> 01:30:12,920
Speaker 3: don't think he's gonna execute. Or you could just say no,

1870
01:30:13,080 --> 01:30:16,519
Speaker 3: big plays everything in front of us and force him

1871
01:30:16,520 --> 01:30:18,400
Speaker 3: to nickel and dime his way all the way down

1872
01:30:18,439 --> 01:30:19,679
Speaker 3: the field. Which do you like better?

1873
01:30:20,120 --> 01:30:24,080
Speaker 4: I would blitz, yeah, because when you blitz, you speed

1874
01:30:24,200 --> 01:30:27,280
Speaker 4: up the clock of the quarterback. And I think again,

1875
01:30:27,320 --> 01:30:30,200
Speaker 4: if you put Jarrett Stidham in a vacuum, no pressure,

1876
01:30:30,479 --> 01:30:33,160
Speaker 4: Let's say it's like seven on seven and he's just

1877
01:30:33,240 --> 01:30:36,080
Speaker 4: sitting back there and he's picking picking a part of defense,

1878
01:30:36,560 --> 01:30:38,240
Speaker 4: I actually think there's a world where he might be

1879
01:30:38,280 --> 01:30:40,800
Speaker 4: a better pocket passer than Bonix, Like I honestly could

1880
01:30:40,800 --> 01:30:42,839
Speaker 4: see that. Again, he has more experience in this system,

1881
01:30:43,200 --> 01:30:45,400
Speaker 4: and he has I don't want to say a bigger arm,

1882
01:30:45,520 --> 01:30:48,720
Speaker 4: but I think he has more pro passing qualities than

1883
01:30:48,840 --> 01:30:50,360
Speaker 4: Nick does, who's a little bit more mobile.

1884
01:30:50,600 --> 01:30:50,720
Speaker 5: Right.

1885
01:30:50,760 --> 01:30:52,559
Speaker 4: They like to get Nicks out on the edge bootlegs

1886
01:30:52,600 --> 01:30:54,920
Speaker 4: and sprint outs and you know, design quarterback runs stuff

1887
01:30:54,960 --> 01:30:57,920
Speaker 4: like That's not that's not his game. In fact, I

1888
01:30:57,960 --> 01:30:59,599
Speaker 4: would look at the under on his rushing yards prop

1889
01:30:59,640 --> 01:31:02,320
Speaker 4: in this game for Jared Stidham. But if you want

1890
01:31:02,360 --> 01:31:05,000
Speaker 4: to ask, like, how do you make a quarterback feel

1891
01:31:05,680 --> 01:31:08,439
Speaker 4: the heat? You eat him up, you pressure him, You

1892
01:31:08,640 --> 01:31:12,240
Speaker 4: make him be very decisive with the football, and a

1893
01:31:12,320 --> 01:31:14,600
Speaker 4: guy that hasn't played a lot of football might have

1894
01:31:14,720 --> 01:31:17,080
Speaker 4: a happy feed, he might be a little bit indecisive

1895
01:31:17,400 --> 01:31:20,160
Speaker 4: because he just hasn't seen it at the game level speed.

1896
01:31:20,640 --> 01:31:24,960
Speaker 4: So I would absolutely speed up Stidham's clock. That being said,

1897
01:31:25,360 --> 01:31:28,400
Speaker 4: knowing that and seeing what New England did last week

1898
01:31:28,439 --> 01:31:31,880
Speaker 4: with their blitz packages. This goes back to Sean Payn's

1899
01:31:31,920 --> 01:31:35,200
Speaker 4: a really damn good coach. Guys like, he understands how

1900
01:31:35,280 --> 01:31:37,519
Speaker 4: to get the most out of his players, and he has.

1901
01:31:37,479 --> 01:31:39,200
Speaker 3: A whole week to prepare for this.

1902
01:31:39,320 --> 01:31:41,080
Speaker 4: It's not like bo Nick's got hurt in the first

1903
01:31:41,160 --> 01:31:43,479
Speaker 4: quarter and Stidham gets thrust into the game, and the

1904
01:31:43,680 --> 01:31:45,800
Speaker 4: entire game plan all week was based off of a

1905
01:31:46,080 --> 01:31:50,400
Speaker 4: more mobile Bonnicks and not a more statuesque Jared Stidham.

1906
01:31:50,439 --> 01:31:53,280
Speaker 4: So I think you have this advantage of time in

1907
01:31:53,360 --> 01:31:56,400
Speaker 4: Sean Payton's corner where he can look at what New

1908
01:31:56,439 --> 01:32:00,679
Speaker 4: England did last week, decipher these blitz package and find

1909
01:32:00,840 --> 01:32:03,479
Speaker 4: some kind of way to get Stidham into the right call.

1910
01:32:03,960 --> 01:32:06,920
Speaker 4: Now there's this cat and mouse game right Stidham at

1911
01:32:06,920 --> 01:32:08,840
Speaker 4: the line of scrimmage. I don't know how he's going

1912
01:32:08,880 --> 01:32:10,640
Speaker 4: to be able to decipher this. And New England is

1913
01:32:10,680 --> 01:32:13,679
Speaker 4: one of those teams that, like any team in the NFL,

1914
01:32:13,760 --> 01:32:16,640
Speaker 4: they're good at hiding and disguising what they're going to do.

1915
01:32:16,880 --> 01:32:20,120
Speaker 4: We've gotten to this advanced level of defense where teams

1916
01:32:20,160 --> 01:32:22,759
Speaker 4: are so good at showing you something and then rolling

1917
01:32:22,840 --> 01:32:24,439
Speaker 4: into something else after the snap.

1918
01:32:24,560 --> 01:32:25,920
Speaker 3: So can Jarrett.

1919
01:32:25,640 --> 01:32:29,679
Speaker 4: Stidham control what is uncontrollable, which is what New England's

1920
01:32:29,680 --> 01:32:32,240
Speaker 4: going to do defensively? Now, the best quarterbacks in the league,

1921
01:32:32,280 --> 01:32:35,760
Speaker 4: the Josh Allens, the Mahomes, they are so good at

1922
01:32:35,840 --> 01:32:39,559
Speaker 4: getting their teams into and out of into the right play,

1923
01:32:39,680 --> 01:32:42,400
Speaker 4: out of the wrong play. That's the part of Jared

1924
01:32:42,479 --> 01:32:45,200
Speaker 4: Stidham's game where I don't fully trust because he just

1925
01:32:45,439 --> 01:32:48,720
Speaker 4: hasn't seen it. So I trust Jan Payton to draw

1926
01:32:48,840 --> 01:32:52,599
Speaker 4: up a scheme that will work. But then Stidham has

1927
01:32:52,640 --> 01:32:55,120
Speaker 4: to execute that scheme at a very high level with

1928
01:32:55,200 --> 01:32:57,920
Speaker 4: all the pressure on in a fast right like it

1929
01:32:58,040 --> 01:32:59,439
Speaker 4: just it moves so quickly.

1930
01:33:00,040 --> 01:33:01,519
Speaker 3: So it's a give and take.

1931
01:33:01,640 --> 01:33:04,240
Speaker 4: But I think the initial market sentiment is Bonnicks is

1932
01:33:04,320 --> 01:33:06,599
Speaker 4: not worth six points more than Jared's Didham.

1933
01:33:06,600 --> 01:33:08,120
Speaker 3: We're down to like four ish.

1934
01:33:08,240 --> 01:33:11,400
Speaker 4: Now now you're starting to get into the conversation of Okay,

1935
01:33:11,439 --> 01:33:14,680
Speaker 4: it's probably priced correctly. Now, who's gonna go win the game?

1936
01:33:14,720 --> 01:33:16,800
Speaker 4: Because based off of that, that's probably how you're gonna better.

1937
01:33:17,240 --> 01:33:20,200
Speaker 3: You know what's interesting to me is I'm just thinking

1938
01:33:20,240 --> 01:33:24,920
Speaker 3: about what could put the most pressure on Stidham. We're

1939
01:33:24,960 --> 01:33:27,120
Speaker 3: talking about breaking it down. What's the defensive game plan

1940
01:33:27,200 --> 01:33:29,720
Speaker 3: for the Patriots. Are they blitzing a lot? Does that

1941
01:33:29,800 --> 01:33:32,160
Speaker 3: put a lot of pressure on him? Press coverage right,

1942
01:33:32,240 --> 01:33:34,439
Speaker 3: does that put pressure on or you know, sag off

1943
01:33:34,520 --> 01:33:36,639
Speaker 3: and force him to execute all the way down the field?

1944
01:33:36,720 --> 01:33:38,720
Speaker 3: What puts the most pressure on Stidham? You know what

1945
01:33:38,800 --> 01:33:40,800
Speaker 3: I think puts the most pressure on him. I think

1946
01:33:40,840 --> 01:33:43,680
Speaker 3: it's the Patriots offense. I think that's what puts the

1947
01:33:43,760 --> 01:33:47,479
Speaker 3: most pressure on him, because if he's trailing, if they're

1948
01:33:47,560 --> 01:33:51,599
Speaker 3: down by seven, ten points late, and all this stuff.

1949
01:33:51,600 --> 01:33:53,920
Speaker 3: I agree with you what you're saying with Sean Payton

1950
01:33:53,960 --> 01:33:56,040
Speaker 3: and the scheme and what he's gonna able to do,

1951
01:33:56,320 --> 01:33:59,160
Speaker 3: generate good looks, good matchups, all that stuff. He's a

1952
01:33:59,200 --> 01:34:02,439
Speaker 3: master at it. At what point does that go out

1953
01:34:02,479 --> 01:34:04,320
Speaker 3: the window? You know what I mean? Right, Like, if

1954
01:34:04,400 --> 01:34:07,760
Speaker 3: you're if you're trailing by enough, like we're talking seven

1955
01:34:07,880 --> 01:34:09,840
Speaker 3: or ten points. I'm not saying they're down by twenty

1956
01:34:09,920 --> 01:34:12,959
Speaker 3: four or something radical, like you're down by a touchdown

1957
01:34:13,160 --> 01:34:16,080
Speaker 3: or ten points in the fourth quarter, and you're in

1958
01:34:16,280 --> 01:34:21,400
Speaker 3: obvious passing situations. You know, bro, That's what's gonna put

1959
01:34:21,400 --> 01:34:24,360
Speaker 3: the most pressure on Stidham is if you're trailing and

1960
01:34:24,439 --> 01:34:28,120
Speaker 3: all of a sudden, these schematic advantages that Sean Payton's

1961
01:34:28,120 --> 01:34:30,799
Speaker 3: been able to dial up, well maybe based on the situation,

1962
01:34:31,040 --> 01:34:33,639
Speaker 3: those aren't great advantages anymore, and all of a sudden,

1963
01:34:33,720 --> 01:34:36,080
Speaker 3: like getting RJ. Harvey out of the backfield and that's

1964
01:34:36,120 --> 01:34:38,160
Speaker 3: good for a seven eight yard pickup, well that's great,

1965
01:34:38,200 --> 01:34:40,960
Speaker 3: but guess what the time is ticking off the clock

1966
01:34:41,120 --> 01:34:44,320
Speaker 3: and you're down by two scores. You gotta score now,

1967
01:34:44,840 --> 01:34:47,400
Speaker 3: you know. Like that's the part I think that could

1968
01:34:47,479 --> 01:34:49,919
Speaker 3: put the most pressure on him is if he's trailing

1969
01:34:50,320 --> 01:34:54,800
Speaker 3: in obvious passing situations, because really, this Denver attack is

1970
01:34:54,960 --> 01:34:58,360
Speaker 3: built on, let's not be trailing, you know what I mean,

1971
01:34:58,520 --> 01:35:02,240
Speaker 3: Like they're bill with Stidham is the backup without throwing

1972
01:35:02,280 --> 01:35:05,479
Speaker 3: a pass in two seasons. They're built to be playing

1973
01:35:05,760 --> 01:35:10,200
Speaker 3: from ahead, not from behind. So could that discombobulate this

1974
01:35:10,360 --> 01:35:15,360
Speaker 3: whole Denver offensive approach? Yeah, trailing late could absolutely throw

1975
01:35:15,439 --> 01:35:17,599
Speaker 3: everything off kilter one hundred percent.

1976
01:35:17,720 --> 01:35:19,760
Speaker 4: And you look at what Denver did last week, right

1977
01:35:19,800 --> 01:35:21,840
Speaker 4: They gained forty one and a half percentage points of

1978
01:35:21,880 --> 01:35:27,000
Speaker 4: win probability from turnovers. This insane amount of positive expectation

1979
01:35:27,160 --> 01:35:29,840
Speaker 4: based off of turnovers. And you can't always control that.

1980
01:35:29,920 --> 01:35:32,439
Speaker 4: Sometimes you can, like sometimes you can control the turnovers,

1981
01:35:33,400 --> 01:35:35,400
Speaker 4: you know, in terms of how you approach the defense.

1982
01:35:35,479 --> 01:35:36,360
Speaker 4: But that's gonna be key.

1983
01:35:36,520 --> 01:35:38,639
Speaker 3: Can can Denver do all?

1984
01:35:39,000 --> 01:35:41,360
Speaker 4: Because right now Stidham's kind of in a bubble, like

1985
01:35:41,479 --> 01:35:44,839
Speaker 4: I think again, in a vacuum, in a perfect scenario.

1986
01:35:45,520 --> 01:35:49,439
Speaker 4: I think he is capable of handling this situation. But

1987
01:35:49,600 --> 01:35:51,360
Speaker 4: this is not This is not a bubble, it's not

1988
01:35:51,479 --> 01:35:53,759
Speaker 4: a vacuum. There's gonna be all kinds of stuff happening.

1989
01:35:54,240 --> 01:35:59,000
Speaker 4: There's gonna be bad breaks, bad bounces, penalties, turnovers overcoming.

1990
01:35:59,080 --> 01:36:00,720
Speaker 4: That's the hard part. And now let's get to the

1991
01:36:00,760 --> 01:36:02,639
Speaker 4: New England offensive side of the ball, which you mentioned.

1992
01:36:02,680 --> 01:36:05,240
Speaker 4: I'm glad you did. The biggest issue I see for

1993
01:36:05,320 --> 01:36:07,400
Speaker 4: New England's offense right now is Drake May being a

1994
01:36:07,560 --> 01:36:08,160
Speaker 4: ball holder.

1995
01:36:08,240 --> 01:36:10,000
Speaker 3: And if you watch the Manning cast that all this year,

1996
01:36:10,040 --> 01:36:10,960
Speaker 3: you know what I'm referring to.

1997
01:36:11,080 --> 01:36:15,840
Speaker 4: It's just it's the only statistical category he struggles in.

1998
01:36:15,960 --> 01:36:18,080
Speaker 4: And this is I think twofold. I think a a

1999
01:36:18,160 --> 01:36:20,360
Speaker 4: little youth, a little immaturity. He's to grow up a

2000
01:36:20,360 --> 01:36:22,439
Speaker 4: little bit with how he handles the pocket and when

2001
01:36:22,479 --> 01:36:24,519
Speaker 4: he decides to release the football and when he decides

2002
01:36:24,560 --> 01:36:26,800
Speaker 4: to you tucket and run and all those things. But

2003
01:36:26,920 --> 01:36:28,240
Speaker 4: the other part of it is it kind of goes

2004
01:36:28,280 --> 01:36:31,160
Speaker 4: back to the Caleb Williams and Ben Johnson discussion. This

2005
01:36:31,360 --> 01:36:34,519
Speaker 4: Patriots offense under Josh McDaniels thrives on explosives the only

2006
01:36:34,600 --> 01:36:37,280
Speaker 4: way you can create explosives is to let your receivers

2007
01:36:37,360 --> 01:36:40,600
Speaker 4: run down the field. So there's an element of acceptable

2008
01:36:40,760 --> 01:36:43,840
Speaker 4: risk with Drake May holding on for it for too long.

2009
01:36:43,880 --> 01:36:46,320
Speaker 4: I mean, he's taken ten sacks in two playoff games

2010
01:36:46,920 --> 01:36:49,880
Speaker 4: and get by the way trivia question, guess who leads

2011
01:36:49,920 --> 01:36:53,360
Speaker 4: the NFL in sacks this year. If you guess the Broncos,

2012
01:36:53,800 --> 01:36:57,880
Speaker 4: you would be correct. So there's this element of I know,

2013
01:36:58,120 --> 01:37:00,400
Speaker 4: Drake May's been fantastic this year. He's not gonna win

2014
01:37:00,439 --> 01:37:02,120
Speaker 4: the MVP. Matthew Stafford will, but he's gonna be the

2015
01:37:02,200 --> 01:37:04,040
Speaker 4: runner up, and he's probably gonna win an MVP at some.

2016
01:37:04,040 --> 01:37:04,880
Speaker 3: Point in the next decade.

2017
01:37:05,280 --> 01:37:08,720
Speaker 4: He has been so good this year, and so I

2018
01:37:08,760 --> 01:37:12,880
Speaker 4: would say timely with his explosives. But now you're on

2019
01:37:12,960 --> 01:37:15,080
Speaker 4: the road, and I would say, what is maybe the

2020
01:37:15,240 --> 01:37:18,519
Speaker 4: toughest or top five toughest environments to win in the NFL.

2021
01:37:18,560 --> 01:37:20,720
Speaker 4: The altitude will be a factor, The crowd obviously will

2022
01:37:20,720 --> 01:37:23,680
Speaker 4: be a factor as well. Are you going to like

2023
01:37:23,760 --> 01:37:26,639
Speaker 4: who's gonna have the first splash play? We talk about

2024
01:37:26,640 --> 01:37:28,720
Speaker 4: this in basketball all the time, the momentums, right, the

2025
01:37:28,800 --> 01:37:29,680
Speaker 4: kill shots.

2026
01:37:29,400 --> 01:37:32,519
Speaker 3: Ten zero runs? Is that first splash play?

2027
01:37:32,640 --> 01:37:34,479
Speaker 4: Gonna come on a Drake May sack strip you know,

2028
01:37:34,560 --> 01:37:36,840
Speaker 4: strip sack fumble, or is it gonna come on a

2029
01:37:36,920 --> 01:37:40,080
Speaker 4: Jarrett Stidham brain fart because he hasn't started before and

2030
01:37:40,160 --> 01:37:42,960
Speaker 4: he doesn't really understand the speed of the game, the

2031
01:37:43,120 --> 01:37:45,160
Speaker 4: momentum of this game. And you mentioned it, the game

2032
01:37:45,200 --> 01:37:48,080
Speaker 4: script is going to matter so much if Denver can

2033
01:37:48,120 --> 01:37:51,559
Speaker 4: stay in a neutral or positive game script. Jared's Didham

2034
01:37:51,600 --> 01:37:53,720
Speaker 4: gets to just kind of go through the motions, run

2035
01:37:53,800 --> 01:37:55,760
Speaker 4: the offense, don't make the big mistake. I don't have

2036
01:37:55,840 --> 01:37:57,479
Speaker 4: to push the ball down the field. Let's just dink

2037
01:37:57,520 --> 01:37:59,759
Speaker 4: and dunk, get in the field goal range, take our points,

2038
01:38:00,000 --> 01:38:01,920
Speaker 4: and figure out a way to keep this game tight.

2039
01:38:02,400 --> 01:38:06,080
Speaker 4: Because I think the to me, like the biggest splash

2040
01:38:06,200 --> 01:38:09,559
Speaker 4: play potential in this game is Drake May stripsack fumble.

2041
01:38:09,680 --> 01:38:12,439
Speaker 4: We've seen it multiple times in this NFL postseason and

2042
01:38:12,479 --> 01:38:14,760
Speaker 4: throughout the regular season. And I think Denver's got a

2043
01:38:14,760 --> 01:38:17,599
Speaker 4: good defense and a very arguably one of the best

2044
01:38:17,640 --> 01:38:19,920
Speaker 4: pressure rate d teams in the league, highest sacked you

2045
01:38:20,000 --> 01:38:23,400
Speaker 4: know rate team in the league to create those splash plays.

2046
01:38:23,760 --> 01:38:25,880
Speaker 4: Can they get that first one, Can they get the

2047
01:38:26,000 --> 01:38:28,600
Speaker 4: crowd in their corner, Can they make people believe that

2048
01:38:28,680 --> 01:38:30,200
Speaker 4: they can win this game. I think that is going

2049
01:38:30,280 --> 01:38:33,200
Speaker 4: to be crucial because to your point, if they're down

2050
01:38:33,560 --> 01:38:37,120
Speaker 4: ten points in the fourth quarter, Yeah, I think Denver's

2051
01:38:37,160 --> 01:38:39,080
Speaker 4: cook because the negative game script is.

2052
01:38:39,120 --> 01:38:41,120
Speaker 3: Just not whatjereds did you know is capable of. I

2053
01:38:41,160 --> 01:38:43,240
Speaker 3: think in this particular spot, I'll tell you what. For

2054
01:38:43,360 --> 01:38:47,200
Speaker 3: the Patriots offensively, it's weird to say. I mean, you

2055
01:38:47,280 --> 01:38:49,360
Speaker 3: want it to look a lot like that Chargers game,

2056
01:38:49,880 --> 01:38:51,760
Speaker 3: but because that was not a work of art for

2057
01:38:51,800 --> 01:38:54,800
Speaker 3: the Patriots offense that game. But what you did see,

2058
01:38:55,040 --> 01:38:58,800
Speaker 3: you saw Drake may run a lot, right, and that's

2059
01:38:58,960 --> 01:39:01,600
Speaker 3: a good formula. Again, it's Denver. Like Denver plays a

2060
01:39:01,640 --> 01:39:04,280
Speaker 3: lot of man coverage and you talk about this a lot.

2061
01:39:04,400 --> 01:39:07,280
Speaker 3: You had Josh Allen last week, Jared like you had

2062
01:39:07,320 --> 01:39:10,639
Speaker 3: the prop on him, like his longest rush, his rushing yards,

2063
01:39:10,680 --> 01:39:14,880
Speaker 3: Like Josh Allen was really impactful in the running game,

2064
01:39:15,600 --> 01:39:20,080
Speaker 3: except for fumbling inexcusably before. He was impact just the

2065
01:39:20,120 --> 01:39:23,400
Speaker 3: wrong kind of Yeah, the opposite effect. He had a

2066
01:39:23,439 --> 01:39:26,879
Speaker 3: good effect. But the turnovers that that one turnover before halftime,

2067
01:39:27,080 --> 01:39:30,439
Speaker 3: oh in the game they lost three, Yeah, negated a

2068
01:39:30,479 --> 01:39:32,679
Speaker 3: lot of what he did bring to the table running

2069
01:39:32,720 --> 01:39:36,000
Speaker 3: it because he did a good job except before and

2070
01:39:36,040 --> 01:39:39,360
Speaker 3: after it's just inexcusable, man, Like you have any timeouts

2071
01:39:39,720 --> 01:39:42,479
Speaker 3: less than ten seconds ago, you're not even at midfield.

2072
01:39:42,760 --> 01:39:44,679
Speaker 3: I don't know if they would have gotten another playoff

2073
01:39:45,040 --> 01:39:47,840
Speaker 3: if he just didn't fumble that. He can't fumble, man.

2074
01:39:47,920 --> 01:39:50,960
Speaker 3: But aside from that, he like you had what twelve

2075
01:39:51,040 --> 01:39:55,679
Speaker 3: rushes for sixty six yards. That's impactful last week against Denver.

2076
01:39:56,280 --> 01:40:00,280
Speaker 3: So if you can see, if you can see Drake

2077
01:40:00,400 --> 01:40:03,600
Speaker 3: May doing something similar to that, and he did that

2078
01:40:03,720 --> 01:40:06,000
Speaker 3: against the Chargers. He had a lot of success against

2079
01:40:06,040 --> 01:40:09,639
Speaker 3: them in the first playoff game. I think you're cooking

2080
01:40:09,720 --> 01:40:14,800
Speaker 3: with something. You just man, if you're the Patriots ball

2081
01:40:14,920 --> 01:40:19,960
Speaker 3: security man, you cannot give the Stidham a backup quarterback,

2082
01:40:20,520 --> 01:40:23,880
Speaker 3: you know, scoring easy opportunities, you know, like a defensive

2083
01:40:23,920 --> 01:40:26,160
Speaker 3: score heaven forbid, or a short.

2084
01:40:25,920 --> 01:40:29,439
Speaker 4: Special teams man, I mean, listen, how much of special

2085
01:40:29,479 --> 01:40:31,280
Speaker 4: team's been a factor in the playoffs. Now, you got

2086
01:40:31,320 --> 01:40:34,120
Speaker 4: the kickoff returns that have been changed, right, These field

2087
01:40:34,160 --> 01:40:36,519
Speaker 4: goal kickers can blast it from like eighty yards out,

2088
01:40:36,920 --> 01:40:40,680
Speaker 4: Like special teams has absolutely flipped. You know.

2089
01:40:40,800 --> 01:40:44,120
Speaker 3: Usually it's like the forgotten phase of the game not anymore.

2090
01:40:44,640 --> 01:40:46,599
Speaker 3: How about this, I'll give you a real quick stat

2091
01:40:46,800 --> 01:40:50,559
Speaker 3: and we'll continue the conversation. But this is just during

2092
01:40:50,600 --> 01:40:54,559
Speaker 3: the divisional round last week, just four games, okay last week,

2093
01:40:55,200 --> 01:41:00,640
Speaker 3: twenty turnovers and seventeen of them were by quarterbacks. That's

2094
01:41:00,680 --> 01:41:03,680
Speaker 3: a staggering amount of turnovers. And that's the crazy thing

2095
01:41:03,840 --> 01:41:07,840
Speaker 3: is Denver they generated five takeaways. And think about that.

2096
01:41:07,920 --> 01:41:12,719
Speaker 3: The regular season they generated fourteen. The whole season, seventeen games,

2097
01:41:12,760 --> 01:41:17,360
Speaker 3: they generated fourteen takeaways. Last week they generated five takeaways.

2098
01:41:17,840 --> 01:41:19,920
Speaker 3: So it's like, is this what Denver is? Was that

2099
01:41:20,000 --> 01:41:22,240
Speaker 3: a one off? Are they now taking the football away?

2100
01:41:22,960 --> 01:41:25,280
Speaker 3: What's going on here? But if you're the Patriots, man

2101
01:41:25,360 --> 01:41:30,200
Speaker 3: ball security, make Denver's offense earn everything they get, that's

2102
01:41:30,280 --> 01:41:32,880
Speaker 3: gotta be the formula. All Right, We've got Jared Smith

2103
01:41:33,080 --> 01:41:36,360
Speaker 3: FSR betting analyst. I'm Brian No. Have you ever wiped

2104
01:41:36,400 --> 01:41:38,519
Speaker 3: with a dry piece of toilet paper and wondered is

2105
01:41:38,560 --> 01:41:40,920
Speaker 3: this as good as it gets? It's not. Switch to

2106
01:41:41,120 --> 01:41:46,479
Speaker 3: life changing wet extra large flushable dudewipes because we are

2107
01:41:46,560 --> 01:41:50,240
Speaker 3: just cleans better available at Amazon and at major retailers,

2108
01:41:50,479 --> 01:41:55,559
Speaker 3: Major nationwide Dudewipes, Best Clean Pants down, all right. Coming

2109
01:41:55,640 --> 01:41:59,599
Speaker 3: up next, there is a crazy streak. It sounds made

2110
01:41:59,680 --> 01:42:02,680
Speaker 3: up and it's going to end tomorrow. But man, what

2111
01:42:02,840 --> 01:42:04,880
Speaker 3: a wild right it's been thus far. We'll share that

2112
01:42:04,960 --> 01:42:07,320
Speaker 3: with you. Coming up, it is Fox Sports Radios Countdown

2113
01:42:07,360 --> 01:42:09,360
Speaker 3: to Kickoff, presented by BETMGM.

2114
01:42:10,400 --> 01:42:13,280
Speaker 1: Fox Sports Radio has the best sports talk lineup in

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01:42:13,320 --> 01:42:16,679
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01:42:16,840 --> 01:42:20,880
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01:42:21,040 --> 01:42:21,639
Speaker 1: listen live.

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01:42:22,600 --> 01:42:25,840
Speaker 3: It is Fox Sports Radios Countdown to Kickoff, presented by

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01:42:25,920 --> 01:42:28,960
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01:42:28,960 --> 01:42:30,840
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01:42:30,880 --> 01:42:33,320
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01:42:33,760 --> 01:42:36,479
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01:42:36,520 --> 01:42:38,880
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01:42:38,920 --> 01:42:41,479
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01:42:41,520 --> 01:42:44,120
Speaker 3: one of your presets in the iHeart app, so it'll

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01:42:44,120 --> 01:42:46,960
Speaker 3: always pop up at the top of your screen. All right,

2127
01:42:47,040 --> 01:42:50,000
Speaker 3: So one random stat for you, Jared, this is beautiful.

2128
01:42:50,120 --> 01:42:54,000
Speaker 3: So Sean McVay, a crazy streak will come to an

2129
01:42:54,200 --> 01:42:58,879
Speaker 3: end tomorrow night. So he has faced fifteen different playoff

2130
01:42:58,880 --> 01:43:03,320
Speaker 3: opponents without facing the same opponent twice. How crazy is that? Man?

2131
01:43:03,400 --> 01:43:06,120
Speaker 3: Like you get to fifteen without seeing the same team twice.

2132
01:43:06,439 --> 01:43:09,600
Speaker 3: That'll happen tomorrow night when the Rams face the Seahawks,

2133
01:43:10,080 --> 01:43:12,560
Speaker 3: So that that'll that'll end the streak. He'll face the

2134
01:43:12,600 --> 01:43:16,720
Speaker 3: Seahawks twice in his playoff career. But yeah, man, two

2135
01:43:16,880 --> 01:43:19,160
Speaker 3: AFC teams, right, they lost to the Patriots in the

2136
01:43:19,200 --> 01:43:21,679
Speaker 3: Super Bowl. They beat the Bengals in the Super Bowl,

2137
01:43:22,200 --> 01:43:25,600
Speaker 3: and then thirteen NFC teams. He's faced thirteen of the

2138
01:43:25,720 --> 01:43:29,040
Speaker 3: possible fifteen nfs he can't face himself, right, Rams can't

2139
01:43:29,040 --> 01:43:32,240
Speaker 3: face the Rams. So there are only two NFC teams

2140
01:43:32,280 --> 01:43:34,920
Speaker 3: he hasn't faced, and this will be the first time.

2141
01:43:35,320 --> 01:43:38,120
Speaker 3: The Seahawks they kill the streaks. Can I try to

2142
01:43:38,160 --> 01:43:40,479
Speaker 3: guess the teams that he hasn't face? Yeah, go for it.

2143
01:43:40,520 --> 01:43:42,640
Speaker 3: I don't know if I can do the deciphering, but

2144
01:43:42,760 --> 01:43:47,439
Speaker 3: I can try. Yeah. Would it be Cowboys? They have

2145
01:43:47,640 --> 01:43:52,920
Speaker 3: faced the Cowboys? Wow? Giants they I don't believe they

2146
01:43:52,960 --> 01:43:55,080
Speaker 3: have faced the Giants. So the Giants is won? Yeah?

2147
01:43:55,120 --> 01:43:57,439
Speaker 3: I think the Giants. Yeah, that's one of them. Would

2148
01:43:57,479 --> 01:44:03,760
Speaker 3: it be yes, maybe Arizona the No, they have they

2149
01:44:03,840 --> 01:44:06,559
Speaker 3: faced the Cardinals. I was at that game. Actually, that's

2150
01:44:06,600 --> 01:44:08,880
Speaker 3: why I act on Instagram. I was walking into the

2151
01:44:09,280 --> 01:44:12,519
Speaker 3: I was walking into the Cardinals Rams playoff game and

2152
01:44:12,560 --> 01:44:15,320
Speaker 3: that was the first game of their Super Bowl season.

2153
01:44:16,040 --> 01:44:19,439
Speaker 4: Okay, so Giants and then the other I would say

2154
01:44:19,520 --> 01:44:21,320
Speaker 4: NFC South just because you know, it's been such a

2155
01:44:21,400 --> 01:44:22,360
Speaker 4: weird divis on there.

2156
01:44:22,360 --> 01:44:25,000
Speaker 3: I would say Falcons, Panther Saints one of those teams.

2157
01:44:25,200 --> 01:44:29,400
Speaker 3: They faced all of them, So they faced the first

2158
01:44:29,439 --> 01:44:32,920
Speaker 3: playoff commander. They faced the Commanders, right, how about this?

2159
01:44:33,160 --> 01:44:36,120
Speaker 3: So they I don't think so. I think that's the

2160
01:44:36,160 --> 01:44:39,840
Speaker 3: world teams in the NFC East Giants Commanders, Giants Commanders. Yeah,

2161
01:44:39,920 --> 01:44:41,720
Speaker 3: that's it. Yeah, the Commanders have made the playoffs watch

2162
01:44:41,760 --> 01:44:43,760
Speaker 3: in the last few years. That makes sense to Yeah,

2163
01:44:43,760 --> 01:44:46,759
Speaker 3: it does, right, Yeah, that would outside of Jayden Daniels

2164
01:44:46,840 --> 01:44:49,640
Speaker 3: and last season, not a whole lot of the one, right,

2165
01:44:50,240 --> 01:44:53,200
Speaker 3: yeah right, yeah, I mean yeah, they gave Tom Brady

2166
01:44:53,280 --> 01:44:57,960
Speaker 3: and Tampa a pretty good game. Yeah. Yeah, but that's funny. So, uh,

2167
01:44:58,200 --> 01:45:01,040
Speaker 3: Sean McVay in the playoffs faced the Falcons his very

2168
01:45:01,120 --> 01:45:04,040
Speaker 3: first playoff game. This was in the twenty seventeen season

2169
01:45:04,280 --> 01:45:07,799
Speaker 3: and the Rams were one and done. He faced Tampa

2170
01:45:08,400 --> 01:45:11,320
Speaker 3: that was the second game in their Super Bowl winning season.

2171
01:45:11,600 --> 01:45:14,559
Speaker 3: That was the twenty twenty one season. So they faced

2172
01:45:14,560 --> 01:45:17,599
Speaker 3: the Cardinals, then faced Tampa, then the forty nine ers,

2173
01:45:17,720 --> 01:45:19,960
Speaker 3: and then they beat the Bengals. That was their their

2174
01:45:20,000 --> 01:45:23,120
Speaker 3: path there. And then this past season, right, they beat

2175
01:45:23,160 --> 01:45:26,599
Speaker 3: the Panthers. You know, the Panthers won the decrepit NFC

2176
01:45:26,800 --> 01:45:29,400
Speaker 3: South and that was the first playoff win for McVeigh

2177
01:45:29,640 --> 01:45:32,320
Speaker 3: in this go around this postseason. So you got it,

2178
01:45:32,400 --> 01:45:35,040
Speaker 3: right though, Giants commanders, there you go? How about that? Yeah?

2179
01:45:35,200 --> 01:45:37,880
Speaker 4: I mean listening we process of elimination, Like there's certain

2180
01:45:37,960 --> 01:45:40,720
Speaker 4: teams that you just know, like Eagles and you know

2181
01:45:40,800 --> 01:45:42,920
Speaker 4: Seahawk had been in the playoffs so much over the

2182
01:45:43,000 --> 01:45:45,720
Speaker 4: last few years, Like you just expect those teams to

2183
01:45:45,800 --> 01:45:49,000
Speaker 4: be in there. The Giant, poor Giants. Think the Giants

2184
01:45:49,040 --> 01:45:51,839
Speaker 4: haven't even made the playoffs I think last ten weeks.

2185
01:45:52,120 --> 01:45:54,280
Speaker 3: So that's an obvious one. Been a rough go. They're

2186
01:45:54,880 --> 01:45:58,040
Speaker 3: very happy about John Harbaugh being there, and they should be.

2187
01:45:58,080 --> 01:46:01,280
Speaker 3: It's not the absolutely be happy. How about the kicking game?

2188
01:46:01,320 --> 01:46:04,160
Speaker 3: You alluded to this too, Jared, Like we've seen the

2189
01:46:04,320 --> 01:46:07,880
Speaker 3: impact of turnovers that goes without being said, right, especially

2190
01:46:07,960 --> 01:46:10,920
Speaker 3: the Bills you don't turn it over five times, you

2191
01:46:11,040 --> 01:46:14,960
Speaker 3: probably win that game going away. Like the turnovers massive

2192
01:46:15,080 --> 01:46:18,000
Speaker 3: swing in that game. So we know the impact of turnovers,

2193
01:46:18,040 --> 01:46:20,000
Speaker 3: But how about the impact of the kicking game. So

2194
01:46:20,160 --> 01:46:23,720
Speaker 3: the first weekend of the playoffs, wild card weekend, I

2195
01:46:23,800 --> 01:46:26,720
Speaker 3: mean you saw the Packers man Brandon McManus forgot how

2196
01:46:26,800 --> 01:46:30,160
Speaker 3: to kick against the Bears. Missus two field goals, missus

2197
01:46:30,160 --> 01:46:33,560
Speaker 3: an extra point. Massive. You think about Jake Elliott, the

2198
01:46:33,640 --> 01:46:36,960
Speaker 3: Eagles kicker when they were hosting San Francisco. He missed

2199
01:46:36,960 --> 01:46:40,120
Speaker 3: a pat you make that extra point all of a

2200
01:46:40,160 --> 01:46:43,479
Speaker 3: sudden when you're driving late, like you're down a field

2201
01:46:43,520 --> 01:46:47,040
Speaker 3: goal potentially instead of down by four needing a touchdown, right,

2202
01:46:47,080 --> 01:46:50,240
Speaker 3: you're in field goal range, so missed extra point massive.

2203
01:46:50,400 --> 01:46:54,040
Speaker 3: You think about Cam Little, the Jags kicker, long field

2204
01:46:54,080 --> 01:46:56,519
Speaker 3: goal attempt before halftime. I still don't even know how

2205
01:46:56,560 --> 01:46:58,040
Speaker 3: that that was a thing. It looked like there was

2206
01:46:58,080 --> 01:47:00,599
Speaker 3: no time, but whatever he had a feel goal attempt

2207
01:47:00,960 --> 01:47:03,880
Speaker 3: didn't make it. Jags lost by three. Then I would

2208
01:47:03,880 --> 01:47:06,600
Speaker 3: also argue you look at the National Championship game. Just

2209
01:47:06,680 --> 01:47:09,960
Speaker 3: saw that between IU and Miami, Miami had a field

2210
01:47:09,960 --> 01:47:13,840
Speaker 3: goal attempt before halftime. Doink off the right upright, and

2211
01:47:14,080 --> 01:47:16,720
Speaker 3: you end up losing that game where you're down by

2212
01:47:16,840 --> 01:47:19,680
Speaker 3: six late maybe who knows how it unfolds, Maybe you're

2213
01:47:19,680 --> 01:47:21,880
Speaker 3: down by three, Maybe you just have to tie the

2214
01:47:22,000 --> 01:47:24,120
Speaker 3: game up at the end, right. Who knows what the

2215
01:47:24,200 --> 01:47:27,760
Speaker 3: scenario is, But man, those myssed kicks when you leave

2216
01:47:27,880 --> 01:47:30,800
Speaker 3: points on the field, that can absolutely burn you. And

2217
01:47:30,840 --> 01:47:34,520
Speaker 3: it's burned multiple teams in the NFL and the College Football.

2218
01:47:34,120 --> 01:47:38,640
Speaker 4: Playoff absolutely special teams rankings this year, the Seahawks have

2219
01:47:38,760 --> 01:47:42,040
Speaker 4: a huge edge in that category. They're the second highest. Actually,

2220
01:47:42,080 --> 01:47:44,679
Speaker 4: ironically enough, the Jets lead the league in special teams DVA.

2221
01:47:44,840 --> 01:47:48,320
Speaker 3: I can't make that up. That's amazing by a wide margin,

2222
01:47:48,400 --> 01:47:51,120
Speaker 3: too wide margin. Seattle.

2223
01:47:51,240 --> 01:47:53,560
Speaker 4: Second, they're very good special teams. Obviously we had the

2224
01:47:53,600 --> 01:47:55,960
Speaker 4: Shihit kickoff return for a touchdown last week. All that

2225
01:47:56,000 --> 01:47:59,000
Speaker 4: stuff gets factored in. The Rams are a bottom ten

2226
01:47:59,400 --> 01:48:01,920
Speaker 4: special team unit this year. So I would say there

2227
01:48:02,080 --> 01:48:04,920
Speaker 4: is a an edge for the Seahawks in special teams.

2228
01:48:06,160 --> 01:48:09,679
Speaker 4: The Patriots Broncos are kind of even not a huge

2229
01:48:09,720 --> 01:48:13,719
Speaker 4: gap there. I think that's the like to me, that's

2230
01:48:13,760 --> 01:48:16,080
Speaker 4: the ad like if you ask me, like, what would

2231
01:48:16,080 --> 01:48:19,439
Speaker 4: be your biggest surprise of the weekend, outside of Denver

2232
01:48:19,520 --> 01:48:21,479
Speaker 4: winning out right obviously the biggest underdog, I think the

2233
01:48:21,960 --> 01:48:25,400
Speaker 4: second biggest surprise would be the Rams win the game

2234
01:48:25,560 --> 01:48:28,000
Speaker 4: because of a special teams play, because it's just it's

2235
01:48:28,040 --> 01:48:31,000
Speaker 4: gone against what we've seen this year, right, Seattle has

2236
01:48:31,000 --> 01:48:33,679
Speaker 4: been one of the best on special teams that includes punts,

2237
01:48:34,320 --> 01:48:37,919
Speaker 4: returns obviously, field goals and that stuff as well kickoff returns,

2238
01:48:38,240 --> 01:48:39,920
Speaker 4: and the Rams have been one of the worst. So

2239
01:48:40,120 --> 01:48:42,840
Speaker 4: I think the Rams. For the Rams to win this game,

2240
01:48:43,240 --> 01:48:45,760
Speaker 4: I think it's twofold, right. You obviously want to want

2241
01:48:45,760 --> 01:48:48,320
Speaker 4: to play good in the other two phases offense and defense.

2242
01:48:48,600 --> 01:48:52,280
Speaker 4: But not losing the game because of a big special

2243
01:48:52,360 --> 01:48:56,000
Speaker 4: teams play I think is one of those X factors.

2244
01:48:56,080 --> 01:48:59,840
Speaker 4: Because of the four teams remaining this weekend, the big

2245
01:49:00,320 --> 01:49:04,120
Speaker 4: gap in special team's rankings is Seattle way ahead than

2246
01:49:04,160 --> 01:49:06,840
Speaker 4: the Rams, which is a bottom basically bottom five unit.

2247
01:49:08,240 --> 01:49:11,920
Speaker 3: You know what's interesting too, is you know we still

2248
01:49:11,960 --> 01:49:14,000
Speaker 3: have props left on the table, you know what I mean.

2249
01:49:14,479 --> 01:49:16,680
Speaker 3: I thought we'd just compare notes and like, what do

2250
01:49:16,720 --> 01:49:19,599
Speaker 3: you think about this potential play? You know what I mean?

2251
01:49:20,160 --> 01:49:23,720
Speaker 3: And I was just looking at Drake May because his

2252
01:49:23,880 --> 01:49:27,720
Speaker 3: rushing yards. He rushed for sixty six yards on ten

2253
01:49:27,840 --> 01:49:31,000
Speaker 3: carries against the Chargers in the first playoff game this season,

2254
01:49:31,680 --> 01:49:34,880
Speaker 3: and his longest run of that game was thirty seven yards.

2255
01:49:35,640 --> 01:49:39,160
Speaker 3: And you think now going up against Denver, you go

2256
01:49:39,320 --> 01:49:42,280
Speaker 3: back to what happened last week for Josh Allen. He

2257
01:49:42,439 --> 01:49:45,879
Speaker 3: rushed it for sixty six yards against this Denver defense

2258
01:49:46,000 --> 01:49:49,360
Speaker 3: and his longest rush was twenty six yards. So what

2259
01:49:49,439 --> 01:49:52,160
Speaker 3: do you think about Drake May over thirty two and

2260
01:49:52,160 --> 01:49:54,200
Speaker 3: a half rushing yards? What do you think about Drake May?

2261
01:49:54,320 --> 01:49:56,320
Speaker 3: It's plus money, could get it at plus one oh five.

2262
01:49:56,400 --> 01:49:58,960
Speaker 3: What do you think about over thirteen and a half

2263
01:49:59,479 --> 01:50:01,840
Speaker 3: for his low longest rush? You like the overrun either

2264
01:50:01,920 --> 01:50:02,200
Speaker 3: of those?

2265
01:50:02,680 --> 01:50:04,519
Speaker 4: Yeah? Well, first of all, I think if you just

2266
01:50:05,000 --> 01:50:07,360
Speaker 4: like did no research at all, you just woke up

2267
01:50:07,840 --> 01:50:11,519
Speaker 4: every day of the postseason and bet every quarterback rushing

2268
01:50:11,600 --> 01:50:13,400
Speaker 4: prop over, I think at the end of the rainbow

2269
01:50:13,400 --> 01:50:13,960
Speaker 4: you'd be ahead.

2270
01:50:14,120 --> 01:50:14,320
Speaker 3: Yeah.

2271
01:50:14,680 --> 01:50:17,200
Speaker 4: I just think that's I think it's it's a hard

2272
01:50:17,280 --> 01:50:20,840
Speaker 4: thing to price in the postseason because you throw out

2273
01:50:20,880 --> 01:50:23,360
Speaker 4: the regular season numbers, because these guys have just that

2274
01:50:23,560 --> 01:50:27,439
Speaker 4: extra gear that they're willing to risk to get that

2275
01:50:27,600 --> 01:50:30,360
Speaker 4: extra yard and when you're talking about prop numbers that

2276
01:50:30,400 --> 01:50:32,760
Speaker 4: are typically in the teens to twenties to thirties for

2277
01:50:32,840 --> 01:50:35,559
Speaker 4: most guys, like the highest like a Lamar Jackson quarterback

2278
01:50:35,640 --> 01:50:38,080
Speaker 4: rushing prop be high thirties, low forties, whereas a guy

2279
01:50:38,200 --> 01:50:39,880
Speaker 4: like Stidham this week is in the in the mid

2280
01:50:40,000 --> 01:50:42,080
Speaker 4: teen So you've only got like a twenty five thirty

2281
01:50:42,160 --> 01:50:45,680
Speaker 4: yard window between the low and the high. I think

2282
01:50:45,720 --> 01:50:48,120
Speaker 4: it's just hard for the market to catch up to

2283
01:50:48,240 --> 01:50:49,920
Speaker 4: the fact that these guys are gonna take one or

2284
01:50:49,920 --> 01:50:53,760
Speaker 4: two extra rushes just based off of urgency alone. The

2285
01:50:53,840 --> 01:50:55,680
Speaker 4: one thing that's been weird with May Like we were

2286
01:50:55,720 --> 01:50:57,040
Speaker 4: on his rushing prop last week.

2287
01:50:57,080 --> 01:50:57,439
Speaker 3: I loved it.

2288
01:50:57,560 --> 01:51:00,559
Speaker 4: Last year, he just didn't do it. Didn't even try

2289
01:51:00,920 --> 01:51:05,080
Speaker 4: to make a run. So there is this element that

2290
01:51:05,400 --> 01:51:07,760
Speaker 4: is very weird with Drake May Like when he does run,

2291
01:51:07,800 --> 01:51:09,120
Speaker 4: you go back and look at the games of his

2292
01:51:09,200 --> 01:51:11,640
Speaker 4: highest rushing attempts of the year. I mean, he is

2293
01:51:11,960 --> 01:51:14,400
Speaker 4: very effective. They just don't do it a whole lot,

2294
01:51:14,479 --> 01:51:16,960
Speaker 4: which is unique because you would think in a game

2295
01:51:17,040 --> 01:51:18,840
Speaker 4: like this where the Broncos defense, again they're one of

2296
01:51:18,880 --> 01:51:21,080
Speaker 4: the best pressure rates in the entire NFL, when they

2297
01:51:21,120 --> 01:51:22,880
Speaker 4: only have to rush four. They do not have to

2298
01:51:22,920 --> 01:51:25,240
Speaker 4: commit extra bodies into the box to get pressure on you.

2299
01:51:25,920 --> 01:51:28,640
Speaker 4: And this Patriots offensive line has been good, but not great, right,

2300
01:51:28,840 --> 01:51:31,040
Speaker 4: not great. They they're a little bit gettable at the

2301
01:51:31,080 --> 01:51:34,920
Speaker 4: tackle spots. I think the Broncos pass rush will be

2302
01:51:34,960 --> 01:51:36,439
Speaker 4: effective in this game. Well, how do you slow down

2303
01:51:36,439 --> 01:51:39,040
Speaker 4: a good pass rush? Use the quarterback's leg? So like

2304
01:51:39,200 --> 01:51:41,880
Speaker 4: on paper, it makes sense, Brian, But then it made

2305
01:51:41,920 --> 01:51:44,639
Speaker 4: sense last week too against the Texans elite pass.

2306
01:51:44,479 --> 01:51:47,240
Speaker 3: Rush, and he just didn't do it. It's weird, right, Yeah.

2307
01:51:47,280 --> 01:51:50,160
Speaker 3: It's the thing with Denver is the man coverage. Right,

2308
01:51:50,280 --> 01:51:53,160
Speaker 3: So if you get the best of both worlds, where

2309
01:51:53,240 --> 01:51:56,479
Speaker 3: let's say you're on Drake May his rushing yards over

2310
01:51:56,840 --> 01:51:59,439
Speaker 3: or his longest rush over, will you want the pass

2311
01:51:59,520 --> 01:52:01,160
Speaker 3: rush to get at home? You want them to have

2312
01:52:01,280 --> 01:52:04,360
Speaker 3: to scramble or better yet, you want them to scramble.

2313
01:52:04,560 --> 01:52:08,360
Speaker 3: And they're playing man coverage and these dbs they've got

2314
01:52:08,400 --> 01:52:11,439
Speaker 3: their backs turned and they're running downfield covering their guys

2315
01:52:11,520 --> 01:52:13,920
Speaker 3: and Drake Mays like, I see nothing but green grass

2316
01:52:14,000 --> 01:52:15,960
Speaker 3: in front of me, man like I'm taking off, baby.

2317
01:52:16,080 --> 01:52:18,160
Speaker 3: Like that's the best of both worlds, and that can

2318
01:52:18,280 --> 01:52:21,200
Speaker 3: present itself in this game. What do you think about Stidham?

2319
01:52:21,760 --> 01:52:23,639
Speaker 3: What are you about He's at fourteen and a half

2320
01:52:23,760 --> 01:52:27,320
Speaker 3: rushing yards. Is he gonna be just in dropback mode

2321
01:52:27,360 --> 01:52:29,720
Speaker 3: the whole game? There's not gonna be a couple of

2322
01:52:29,800 --> 01:52:32,800
Speaker 3: opportunities where he's like, first read taken, second read taken,

2323
01:52:33,400 --> 01:52:36,679
Speaker 3: I'm not advanced to go third, fourth read. I'm taken off, babe,

2324
01:52:36,720 --> 01:52:39,040
Speaker 3: Like fourteen and a half. I can see Stidham getting

2325
01:52:39,080 --> 01:52:40,920
Speaker 3: home easily easily on that one too.

2326
01:52:41,040 --> 01:52:44,519
Speaker 4: Yeah, I think that the difference with Stidham compared to

2327
01:52:44,600 --> 01:52:47,400
Speaker 4: May is his strength is not his legs right, So

2328
01:52:48,320 --> 01:52:52,320
Speaker 4: it's not something that's probably been coached into him this week. Huh,

2329
01:52:52,400 --> 01:52:56,439
Speaker 4: My guess is because also the one thing about a

2330
01:52:56,600 --> 01:52:59,200
Speaker 4: quarterback who doesn't have a lot of experience running it

2331
01:52:59,640 --> 01:53:02,160
Speaker 4: the one thing that you can't always account for. Because remember,

2332
01:53:02,200 --> 01:53:03,840
Speaker 4: these guys are wearing red jerseys.

2333
01:53:03,479 --> 01:53:05,720
Speaker 3: In practice, they do not get hit. They're gonna get

2334
01:53:05,800 --> 01:53:06,360
Speaker 3: hit in this game.

2335
01:53:06,920 --> 01:53:09,920
Speaker 4: And I think I would rather him throw the ball

2336
01:53:09,960 --> 01:53:12,519
Speaker 4: into the first row and go second and ten than

2337
01:53:12,640 --> 01:53:15,240
Speaker 4: run it for three yards and risk fumbling it. Like

2338
01:53:15,400 --> 01:53:17,840
Speaker 4: to me that like, because he's not a guy that's

2339
01:53:17,840 --> 01:53:19,800
Speaker 4: gonna break a forty yarder like Drake May can Like

2340
01:53:19,960 --> 01:53:22,439
Speaker 4: Drake Drake May is a really good athlete, really good runner.

2341
01:53:22,640 --> 01:53:23,760
Speaker 3: That's not Stidham's game.

2342
01:53:24,240 --> 01:53:26,800
Speaker 4: So I could see a scenario where that number is

2343
01:53:26,800 --> 01:53:29,240
Speaker 4: super low and he gets one wide open run and

2344
01:53:29,320 --> 01:53:31,599
Speaker 4: even you know guys that are slow can can make

2345
01:53:31,640 --> 01:53:34,800
Speaker 4: it the fifteen yards before they get tackled. But I

2346
01:53:34,920 --> 01:53:37,960
Speaker 4: do think he's probably being coached this week to not

2347
01:53:38,280 --> 01:53:40,360
Speaker 4: make the big mistake. And the easiest way to make

2348
01:53:40,400 --> 01:53:43,040
Speaker 4: a mistake is you're doing something that you're not a

2349
01:53:43,240 --> 01:53:45,760
Speaker 4: good at bee have done before, which is run the

2350
01:53:45,840 --> 01:53:48,080
Speaker 4: ball when people are bearing down on you trying to

2351
01:53:48,240 --> 01:53:51,120
Speaker 4: knock it out. So I would be more cautious with

2352
01:53:51,240 --> 01:53:54,559
Speaker 4: the Stidham over, But there is absolutely a world where

2353
01:53:54,560 --> 01:53:56,960
Speaker 4: he gets one opening and he just takes off and

2354
01:53:57,040 --> 01:53:57,280
Speaker 4: that's it.

2355
01:53:57,360 --> 01:54:01,120
Speaker 3: It's over. Could get there. Throw one more at you. RJ.

2356
01:54:01,320 --> 01:54:05,400
Speaker 3: Harvey the Broncos running back under forty one and a

2357
01:54:05,439 --> 01:54:09,320
Speaker 3: half rushing yards under ten and a half longest rush.

2358
01:54:09,760 --> 01:54:12,360
Speaker 3: Now a couple of things here. You think back to

2359
01:54:12,439 --> 01:54:15,560
Speaker 3: last week. Woody Marks, the Texans running back who was

2360
01:54:15,720 --> 01:54:22,719
Speaker 3: fantastic against the Steelers the week before, did nothing, nothing, nothing,

2361
01:54:23,040 --> 01:54:27,240
Speaker 3: had all against this Patriots defense. What if the Patriots

2362
01:54:27,320 --> 01:54:29,400
Speaker 3: just say, oh, you want to run RJ. Harvey? How

2363
01:54:29,400 --> 01:54:31,800
Speaker 3: about no, how about you find another way to run

2364
01:54:31,840 --> 01:54:34,280
Speaker 3: the ball? The difference And you pointed this out. It's

2365
01:54:34,280 --> 01:54:37,360
Speaker 3: a good point by you, Jared. This Denver offensive line

2366
01:54:37,760 --> 01:54:41,160
Speaker 3: much better than the Texans offensive line. So but then

2367
01:54:41,200 --> 01:54:43,400
Speaker 3: you get to Sean Payton. Sean Payton doesn't want to

2368
01:54:43,440 --> 01:54:46,720
Speaker 3: run the ball. He's playing John Madden football in real life.

2369
01:54:46,760 --> 01:54:48,640
Speaker 3: He just wants to sling it all over the place.

2370
01:54:49,000 --> 01:54:51,800
Speaker 3: So how many carries does Harvey even get? What do

2371
01:54:51,840 --> 01:54:54,360
Speaker 3: you think about? Under forty one and a half for

2372
01:54:54,480 --> 01:54:56,200
Speaker 3: the game and under ten and a half for his

2373
01:54:56,320 --> 01:54:57,040
Speaker 3: longest rush.

2374
01:54:57,400 --> 01:54:59,400
Speaker 4: So the interesting thing about Harvey is last week only

2375
01:54:59,480 --> 01:55:01,839
Speaker 4: on the field for thirty three percent of snaps against Buffalo,

2376
01:55:02,400 --> 01:55:04,680
Speaker 4: Like he just he wasn't on the field a whole lot,

2377
01:55:04,800 --> 01:55:07,480
Speaker 4: which is I guess a little bit surprising. Like I

2378
01:55:07,720 --> 01:55:10,400
Speaker 4: don't really know who the who is even in the

2379
01:55:10,440 --> 01:55:11,520
Speaker 4: bat who is the backup?

2380
01:55:11,760 --> 01:55:14,920
Speaker 3: Yeah McLoughlin and Julul McLoughlin got a little bit of love.

2381
01:55:15,120 --> 01:55:16,200
Speaker 3: Yeah that would be the guy.

2382
01:55:16,440 --> 01:55:20,360
Speaker 4: Yeah, I think that would be like the off off beat,

2383
01:55:20,480 --> 01:55:23,440
Speaker 4: off kilter, like off the radar guy that could potentially

2384
01:55:23,520 --> 01:55:24,200
Speaker 4: have a big game.

2385
01:55:25,320 --> 01:55:28,320
Speaker 3: I wouldn't bet over on Harvey. I just don't think that.

2386
01:55:28,800 --> 01:55:31,560
Speaker 4: I don't think that the the Broncos a want to

2387
01:55:31,760 --> 01:55:34,640
Speaker 4: run it that much downhill and b I don't think

2388
01:55:34,680 --> 01:55:36,680
Speaker 4: he's that kind of back, So I would say Harvey

2389
01:55:36,720 --> 01:55:38,880
Speaker 4: in the passing game would be maybe a better option.

2390
01:55:39,160 --> 01:55:40,520
Speaker 3: I think I agree with your take.

2391
01:55:40,600 --> 01:55:42,200
Speaker 4: I think I think the Broncos are gonna throw a

2392
01:55:42,200 --> 01:55:43,640
Speaker 4: lot more than you think in this game, even though

2393
01:55:43,640 --> 01:55:44,320
Speaker 4: Stidham's the guy.

2394
01:55:44,720 --> 01:55:50,280
Speaker 3: Yeah, I think they are worse. Yeah, that's what they're

2395
01:55:50,280 --> 01:55:53,560
Speaker 3: gonna do, all right. He's Jared Smith FSR betting analysts.

2396
01:55:53,640 --> 01:55:57,040
Speaker 3: I'm Brian no Love college basketball. Gear up for another

2397
01:55:57,120 --> 01:55:59,600
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2398
01:55:59,600 --> 01:56:02,960
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01:56:07,280 --> 01:56:10,440
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Speaker 3: your bet with the token activated, you'll score extra winnings.

2404
01:56:20,120 --> 01:56:22,880
Speaker 3: All right. Coming up next rapid Fire. We each have

2405
01:56:23,000 --> 01:56:26,800
Speaker 3: three selections for you and hopefully they're good ones, right,

2406
01:56:26,920 --> 01:56:29,640
Speaker 3: we'll compare notes next. It is Fox Sports Radios Countdown

2407
01:56:29,680 --> 01:56:31,600
Speaker 3: to Kickoff, presented by BETMGM.

2408
01:56:32,960 --> 01:56:35,840
Speaker 1: Fox Sports Radio has the best sports talk lineup in

2409
01:56:35,920 --> 01:56:39,280
Speaker 1: the nation. Catch all of our shows at Foxsports Radio

2410
01:56:39,400 --> 01:56:43,480
Speaker 1: dot com and within the iHeartRadio app search FSR to

2411
01:56:43,600 --> 01:56:44,240
Speaker 1: listen live.

2412
01:56:47,280 --> 01:56:51,440
Speaker 3: It is Fox Sports Radios Countdown to Kickoff, presented by BETMGM.

2413
01:56:51,600 --> 01:56:53,760
Speaker 3: If you missed any of today's show, you'll want to

2414
01:56:53,800 --> 01:56:56,640
Speaker 3: catch the podcast. Just search Fox Sports Radio wherever you

2415
01:56:56,720 --> 01:56:59,680
Speaker 3: get your podcasts. Right after the show, today's pod will

2416
01:56:59,720 --> 01:57:01,600
Speaker 3: be pasted. Be sure to follow it rate at five

2417
01:57:01,680 --> 01:57:04,240
Speaker 3: stars and you can even provide a review. Again. Just

2418
01:57:04,280 --> 01:57:07,280
Speaker 3: search Fox Sports Radio wherever you get your podcasts, and

2419
01:57:07,400 --> 01:57:10,040
Speaker 3: you'll find today's full show posted right after we get

2420
01:57:10,040 --> 01:57:13,320
Speaker 3: off the air. Props to the crew. Our producer today,

2421
01:57:13,520 --> 01:57:16,360
Speaker 3: Shae filling in for Bo Benson. Bo Benson a little

2422
01:57:16,720 --> 01:57:20,000
Speaker 3: little sick and hopefully he gets better soon. And Shay,

2423
01:57:20,120 --> 01:57:24,160
Speaker 3: he's a he's scouring the web looking for the latest

2424
01:57:24,240 --> 01:57:28,040
Speaker 3: update on who's to be the next Cleveland Brown's head coach.

2425
01:57:29,560 --> 01:57:32,560
Speaker 3: Big Browns fan that show, Who's it going to be? Shaye?

2426
01:57:32,800 --> 01:57:35,120
Speaker 3: Who we got? Yeah? What what's your prediction here you

2427
01:57:35,200 --> 01:57:38,640
Speaker 3: got I want, I want the Buffalo offensive coordinator. Okay,

2428
01:57:38,680 --> 01:57:40,200
Speaker 3: Brady Brady? You want?

2429
01:57:40,640 --> 01:57:44,000
Speaker 4: Brady's had some success' clim pickens right now? How bad

2430
01:57:44,120 --> 01:57:45,080
Speaker 4: is what about McDaniel?

2431
01:57:46,360 --> 01:57:47,960
Speaker 3: He doesn't want it? How about Is it bad that

2432
01:57:48,080 --> 01:57:51,760
Speaker 3: McDaniel's like, yeah, I really don't want this head coaching interview.

2433
01:57:52,280 --> 01:57:58,120
Speaker 3: Probably rather be an offensive coordinators. Oh man, so he

2434
01:57:58,160 --> 01:58:00,840
Speaker 3: pulled out of the Bills running too. I yeah, yeah,

2435
01:58:01,760 --> 01:58:05,000
Speaker 3: you're at the producer extraordinary Chris purfet Hey, they filled

2436
01:58:05,040 --> 01:58:07,200
Speaker 3: their offensive coordinator role. What do you think a little

2437
01:58:07,280 --> 01:58:09,520
Speaker 3: Drew Petsing love? What do you think, Chris?

2438
01:58:09,560 --> 01:58:14,360
Speaker 8: Are you good with that disturbing lack of hair? But also,

2439
01:58:14,560 --> 01:58:18,640
Speaker 8: but also I'm starting to pencil in Sam Laporta maybe

2440
01:58:18,840 --> 01:58:21,160
Speaker 8: just saying sixteen hundred yard season loading?

2441
01:58:21,320 --> 01:58:24,480
Speaker 3: Oh I thought you're like offensive coordinator. He's gonna be

2442
01:58:24,560 --> 01:58:25,640
Speaker 3: like the coach coordinator.

2443
01:58:25,720 --> 01:58:27,720
Speaker 8: No, no, no no, But like seeing what Petsing did

2444
01:58:27,880 --> 01:58:31,400
Speaker 8: with the talent in in Arizona, like a lot of

2445
01:58:31,440 --> 01:58:34,720
Speaker 8: heavy runs, a lot of tight ends, basically everything Dan

2446
01:58:34,800 --> 01:58:35,560
Speaker 8: Campbell wants to do.

2447
01:58:35,720 --> 01:58:38,120
Speaker 3: So yeah, man, I'm with you. Trey McBride. Maybe we

2448
01:58:38,240 --> 01:58:40,480
Speaker 3: see that from Laporta. Yeah, shout out to our guy

2449
01:58:40,720 --> 01:58:44,280
Speaker 3: Sauger on digital posting our clips. Give Fox Sports Radio

2450
01:58:44,600 --> 01:58:47,440
Speaker 3: a follow on X you'll see our videos or smiling faces,

2451
01:58:47,480 --> 01:58:50,760
Speaker 3: all that good stuff. Top of the hour up on game,

2452
01:58:51,280 --> 01:58:53,920
Speaker 3: we got a little LaVar Arrington. I don't know if

2453
01:58:53,960 --> 01:58:57,200
Speaker 3: we've got TJ n Plax today. Let me check my

2454
01:58:57,320 --> 01:58:59,280
Speaker 3: notes super fast. I should have done this before. Just

2455
01:58:59,360 --> 01:59:01,640
Speaker 3: Plaux today, No TJ. I thought one of them was out.

2456
01:59:01,720 --> 01:59:05,280
Speaker 3: So LaVar and Plaux holding it down in less than

2457
01:59:07,400 --> 01:59:10,760
Speaker 3: nine American minutes. They'll be at you right here. Keep

2458
01:59:10,800 --> 01:59:12,600
Speaker 3: it locked on Fox Sports Radio. All right, we got

2459
01:59:12,640 --> 01:59:19,880
Speaker 3: some picks to make. Let's do it rapid fire. All right, Jara,

2460
01:59:20,000 --> 01:59:21,840
Speaker 3: do we start with you? What do you like? All right?

2461
01:59:21,840 --> 01:59:24,200
Speaker 4: I'll give you one play for the Broncos Patriots game,

2462
01:59:24,200 --> 01:59:27,040
Speaker 4: and then two props for the late game.

2463
01:59:27,160 --> 01:59:28,640
Speaker 3: I've been saying this all show.

2464
01:59:28,920 --> 01:59:31,720
Speaker 4: I do think the Broncos are slightly undervalue here because

2465
01:59:31,760 --> 01:59:35,000
Speaker 4: of this Jared'stidham situation. We're down to four now, so

2466
01:59:35,080 --> 01:59:36,720
Speaker 4: I would say they're not as undervalued as they were

2467
01:59:36,760 --> 01:59:37,600
Speaker 4: about an hour ago.

2468
01:59:38,360 --> 01:59:40,600
Speaker 3: I bet plus five earlier in the week. I think

2469
01:59:40,720 --> 01:59:41,520
Speaker 3: up to three and a half.

2470
01:59:41,560 --> 01:59:43,520
Speaker 4: I think you want to get over that key number

2471
01:59:43,560 --> 01:59:46,280
Speaker 4: of three, and I feel comfortable if you bet Denver

2472
01:59:46,400 --> 01:59:48,320
Speaker 4: plus three and a half or plus four, right, if

2473
01:59:48,320 --> 01:59:50,560
Speaker 4: they lose by four and I pushed, then so be it.

2474
01:59:50,960 --> 01:59:52,720
Speaker 3: But that's where I'm at right now with Denver. I

2475
01:59:52,760 --> 01:59:54,720
Speaker 3: still think there's a little bit of it. I think

2476
01:59:54,760 --> 01:59:56,320
Speaker 3: this thing's gonna close three and a half or maybe

2477
01:59:56,320 --> 01:59:57,360
Speaker 3: even a little bit shorter than that.

2478
01:59:58,000 --> 01:59:59,480
Speaker 4: The two props I like. I gave this one a

2479
01:59:59,480 --> 02:00:01,000
Speaker 4: little bit, Earl. I'll give it to you again, Kobe

2480
02:00:01,080 --> 02:00:03,000
Speaker 4: Parkinson over. It's up to twenty five and a half

2481
02:00:03,080 --> 02:00:05,080
Speaker 4: receiving yards. Now, it'll see a huge difference there from

2482
02:00:05,320 --> 02:00:06,600
Speaker 4: twenty four and a half when I gave it to you.

2483
02:00:06,680 --> 02:00:08,440
Speaker 4: During prop it up, He's going to be on the

2484
02:00:08,480 --> 02:00:10,680
Speaker 4: field a ton. He was on the field a season

2485
02:00:10,880 --> 02:00:13,800
Speaker 4: high eighty six percent of snaps last nime these teams

2486
02:00:13,800 --> 02:00:15,800
Speaker 4: played against each other. Seahawks run a ton of two

2487
02:00:15,880 --> 02:00:18,600
Speaker 4: high Kobe Parkinson eighty second percent of tall yards per

2488
02:00:18,680 --> 02:00:21,400
Speaker 4: route run against two I coverages this year over twenty

2489
02:00:21,480 --> 02:00:22,840
Speaker 4: five and a half receiving yards, and I'll give you

2490
02:00:22,960 --> 02:00:26,400
Speaker 4: Kenneth Walker over twenty and a half receiving yards. This

2491
02:00:26,600 --> 02:00:29,400
Speaker 4: is a play action kind of game I think for Seattle,

2492
02:00:29,640 --> 02:00:33,000
Speaker 4: and I think the running back receiving category is going

2493
02:00:33,040 --> 02:00:35,520
Speaker 4: to be huge. His two games against Seattle this year

2494
02:00:35,760 --> 02:00:38,280
Speaker 4: or against the Rams this year for Seattle Kenneth Walker

2495
02:00:38,400 --> 02:00:39,960
Speaker 4: six forty four receiving yards.

2496
02:00:40,000 --> 02:00:42,880
Speaker 3: Those are career highs for him in those categories.

2497
02:00:43,160 --> 02:00:44,800
Speaker 4: So I think Walker is going to be a big

2498
02:00:45,120 --> 02:00:47,080
Speaker 4: factor in the passing game over twenty and a half

2499
02:00:47,080 --> 02:00:47,640
Speaker 4: receiving yards.

2500
02:00:47,760 --> 02:00:50,080
Speaker 3: By the way, do you have three picks from Rich?

2501
02:00:51,160 --> 02:00:51,720
Speaker 3: I have two.

2502
02:00:51,920 --> 02:00:54,240
Speaker 4: He likes New England minus four and he likes the

2503
02:00:54,320 --> 02:00:57,000
Speaker 4: Rams plus two and a half. But we can scour

2504
02:00:57,080 --> 02:00:58,560
Speaker 4: a third pick out of him. But he did give

2505
02:00:58,600 --> 02:00:59,800
Speaker 4: us his championship picks.

2506
02:01:00,120 --> 02:01:03,120
Speaker 3: Mayo and the Coffee Territory. We need the third pick.

2507
02:01:03,200 --> 02:01:06,400
Speaker 3: We keep very detailed records, Yeah, the whole thing. Yeah,

2508
02:01:06,840 --> 02:01:09,320
Speaker 3: all right, I'll give you three. You might not like

2509
02:01:09,440 --> 02:01:12,400
Speaker 3: this one, but I like it. Okay, this doesn't mean

2510
02:01:12,400 --> 02:01:15,720
Speaker 3: it's gonna hit. But the Patriots in the first half,

2511
02:01:16,280 --> 02:01:19,080
Speaker 3: give me them minus two and a half. They've been

2512
02:01:19,360 --> 02:01:23,080
Speaker 3: a wagon all season long. They're sixteen and three. Yeah,

2513
02:01:23,280 --> 02:01:26,280
Speaker 3: eighteen in the first half. You're telling me Jared Stidham

2514
02:01:26,320 --> 02:01:28,520
Speaker 3: and the Broncos just hit the ground. Running. There could

2515
02:01:28,560 --> 02:01:30,960
Speaker 3: be some kinks to work out with the Patriots being

2516
02:01:31,000 --> 02:01:32,720
Speaker 3: so good in the first half. I like him. It's

2517
02:01:32,760 --> 02:01:34,880
Speaker 3: all back him minus two and a half. I know

2518
02:01:34,960 --> 02:01:38,840
Speaker 3: a little scary territory, but sometimes the scary picks that's

2519
02:01:38,880 --> 02:01:41,400
Speaker 3: the right side. Give me Kenneth Walker. The numbers trickling

2520
02:01:41,480 --> 02:01:43,720
Speaker 3: down even more. Give me under eighty two and a

2521
02:01:43,760 --> 02:01:46,480
Speaker 3: half rushing yards. That has to be the defensive game plan.

2522
02:01:46,640 --> 02:01:49,080
Speaker 3: Slow him down, make Darnold beat you. I like the

2523
02:01:49,200 --> 02:01:51,000
Speaker 3: Rams in the game, and give me R. J. Harvey,

2524
02:01:51,080 --> 02:01:53,320
Speaker 3: the Denver running back. Give me under forty one and

2525
02:01:53,400 --> 02:01:55,360
Speaker 3: a half rush yards. I just don't think he gets

2526
02:01:55,360 --> 02:01:56,080
Speaker 3: a ton of carries.