WEBVTT - MLB: Leading Off July 19th, 2023 (Ep. 712) 0:00:05.760 --> 0:00:08.840 Welcome in everybody to Fantasy Bros. MLB. This is Leading 0:00:08.880 --> 0:00:10.800 Off Live, brought to you by Prize Pig. Sign up 0:00:10.840 --> 0:00:12.960 today with the promo code leading Off. When you do, 0:00:13.600 --> 0:00:15.760 it's me Joey p That of course is the Welsh. 0:00:15.960 --> 0:00:18.720 It's you, the Peanuts, the cracker Jacks hanging out here 0:00:18.760 --> 0:00:21.840 in the chat Welsh. I'm happy to see you here 0:00:21.880 --> 0:00:23.600 because I heard it was one hundred and twenty degrees 0:00:23.680 --> 0:00:27.320 yesterday in Arizona. Record highs every single day. They love 0:00:27.400 --> 0:00:29.600 to talk about the heat, but it's a dry heat. 0:00:29.600 --> 0:00:32.080 But I'm just glad that you haven't melted, and I'm 0:00:32.120 --> 0:00:36.640 glad that your hair is somehow still soldiering on through 0:00:36.640 --> 0:00:38.480 this heat, because it looks spectacular today. 0:00:38.520 --> 0:00:41.360 My friend, Yeah, my hair is definitely fighting the heat. 0:00:41.400 --> 0:00:44.159 We're fining. I'm earing a hoodie actually today, and one 0:00:44.159 --> 0:00:44.320 of the. 0:00:44.280 --> 0:00:46.839 Reasoning it's like I have a fan and one of 0:00:46.840 --> 0:00:49.239 those things where you're squirting the water on yourself. You there, 0:00:49.280 --> 0:00:50.760 you're like wearing a sweatshirt. 0:00:51.200 --> 0:00:54.040 Here's the difference here with you, Here's the difference AC 0:00:54.480 --> 0:00:57.160 is on twenty four to seven. Here, there isn't a 0:00:57.200 --> 0:00:58.960 time where we're like, oh, let's have a little break 0:00:58.960 --> 0:01:02.640 from it. Twenty four to seven, pound it down. It's 0:01:02.640 --> 0:01:04.680 got to go all the time because if it turns off, 0:01:04.760 --> 0:01:08.479 it's never gonna catch back up. But the offenses last 0:01:08.560 --> 0:01:11.760 night in MLB running a little bit like the heat here. 0:01:12.080 --> 0:01:15.120 What a freaking night, Yesterda. I don't know everyone was 0:01:15.160 --> 0:01:19.360 paying attention. If you had a pitcher, sorry, you're done. 0:01:19.680 --> 0:01:24.200 The offenses were crazy, pitchers were lit up. Manoa got Monoa. 0:01:24.440 --> 0:01:27.040 It's not Welsh, he's washed. There's so much to talk about. 0:01:27.080 --> 0:01:29.840 Joey there he is. We're gonna talk all about it. 0:01:30.440 --> 0:01:32.760 And also, you know, some of the prize picks were 0:01:32.760 --> 0:01:35.880 pretty good. At least got that combo of the TODs 0:01:35.880 --> 0:01:38.880 Bradley strikeouts. He almost did it by himself too. Todsh Bradley, 0:01:38.959 --> 0:01:41.399 let me tell you, you know, just did not like 0:01:41.440 --> 0:01:43.520 being in the minor leagues this year. TODs Bradley was like, 0:01:43.600 --> 0:01:46.080 I don't want to be here anymore. I'm too good 0:01:46.160 --> 0:01:48.280 for this. Slice seems striking all these guys. I like 0:01:48.360 --> 0:01:50.200 him to go more than five innings. But again, they 0:01:50.200 --> 0:01:52.880 can't have all things. So let's start somewhere. Let's start 0:01:52.920 --> 0:01:54.680 with those Texas Rangers, because I think that's a fun 0:01:54.720 --> 0:01:57.800 place to start today. Marcus Simeon three hits, a thirteenth homer, 0:01:58.560 --> 0:02:01.240 they beat the Rays. You know, they're starting to give 0:02:01.240 --> 0:02:03.880 you a little tease. Maybe this is the American League's 0:02:03.960 --> 0:02:08.160 you know Alcs. Perhaps could be when we all get there. 0:02:08.280 --> 0:02:10.600 Nati Valdi was very good, six scoreless things for him, 0:02:10.880 --> 0:02:13.000 eleven and three now with a two six ninety ra 0:02:13.600 --> 0:02:17.960 pretty darn good here for those Texas Rangers. And also 0:02:17.960 --> 0:02:21.400 Will Smith goes back to being closer, perfect ninth for him. 0:02:21.400 --> 0:02:23.680 So in case anybody was wondering about a world as 0:02:23.720 --> 0:02:25.800 Chapman getting a little bit more opportunity so far, they 0:02:25.840 --> 0:02:28.119 went right back to Smith. So something to keep in mind, 0:02:28.160 --> 0:02:30.359 at least, what'd you take out of this Rangers game here? 0:02:30.680 --> 0:02:34.040 I'll tell you if all these getting away with stuff, 0:02:34.200 --> 0:02:36.960 you know, you can't coignity away with us. I don't 0:02:37.000 --> 0:02:39.280 know how long this is going to last with him. 0:02:39.280 --> 0:02:41.320 I've been a little bit worried. There's been a couple 0:02:41.400 --> 0:02:44.120 stinkers that have come in. He gave up two starts 0:02:44.160 --> 0:02:46.800 to go four against Boston. He gave up four against 0:02:46.840 --> 0:02:49.520 the White Sox. I mean I say that, and he 0:02:49.600 --> 0:02:53.560 has two no earned run games in his last five throwne. 0:02:54.000 --> 0:02:58.560 But my worry zat Velo continues to dip down last night, 0:02:59.000 --> 0:03:02.560 down over two miles per hour on the fastball on 0:03:02.760 --> 0:03:06.880 average splitter full mile, curveball mile and a half and 0:03:06.960 --> 0:03:10.320 his cutter two and a half miles per hour down. 0:03:10.600 --> 0:03:12.120 He had a twenty three swing in whiff. He only 0:03:12.120 --> 0:03:14.919 had eleven total swing in whiffs. Csw is down. There's 0:03:14.919 --> 0:03:16.760 a really good offense. I'd say he's a great pitcher. 0:03:16.800 --> 0:03:19.200 He's a great picture. But there was there was a 0:03:19.240 --> 0:03:21.960 moment where people were like, oh my god, Evaldi has 0:03:22.000 --> 0:03:23.480 to be like a top fifteen guy. 0:03:23.880 --> 0:03:24.240 He's not. 0:03:24.560 --> 0:03:26.480 And Brett set it in here and this is what 0:03:26.560 --> 0:03:29.320 I agree with. With little time that you have and 0:03:29.400 --> 0:03:31.560 seeing a two six, I think it's a two six 0:03:31.639 --> 0:03:35.480 ninety ra or whatever, I would be looking to Moveevaldi. Evaldi, 0:03:35.560 --> 0:03:38.600 this is one of those guys. Like the real low 0:03:38.800 --> 0:03:42.600 down tick in Velo has me worried overall. And as 0:03:42.640 --> 0:03:44.880 much as I love this Rangers team, this was actually 0:03:44.880 --> 0:03:46.960 my big preseason pick of a team that they were 0:03:46.960 --> 0:03:48.600 going to get into the playoffs and they were going 0:03:48.640 --> 0:03:51.080 to be a monster, I'm a little bit worried about 0:03:51.120 --> 0:03:54.240 Evaldi kind of unraveling a little bit, so he might 0:03:54.280 --> 0:03:55.480 be a trade option for me. 0:03:55.560 --> 0:03:58.720 Moving forward to your point, Welsh twelve teams last night 0:03:58.760 --> 0:04:01.920 scored ten or more run twelve teams and one team 0:04:01.960 --> 0:04:04.840 scored nine, So really thirteen if you want one score. 0:04:05.040 --> 0:04:08.880 One team scored twenty nine runs? And what was I mean? 0:04:08.960 --> 0:04:11.600 I gotta tell you, Joe, if I was putting this 0:04:11.680 --> 0:04:14.640 together today, I would have led off with the most 0:04:14.720 --> 0:04:18.440 insane game. The Diamondbacks fans are a little because they're like, 0:04:18.520 --> 0:04:20.839 this is the craziest game we've ever seen. It's not 0:04:20.880 --> 0:04:23.720 the craziest game, but it was insane last night as 0:04:23.720 --> 0:04:25.039 the Diamondbacks. 0:04:24.440 --> 0:04:28.880 And Braves boom, boom, boom, twenty nine runs. One game 0:04:28.920 --> 0:04:29.760 had twenty nine runs. 0:04:29.839 --> 0:04:30.600 Yes, yeah, one game. 0:04:30.920 --> 0:04:34.840 Basically, if you had the over yesterday, everywhere you did great. 0:04:34.920 --> 0:04:37.159 Like I'm trying to think of what was the under 0:04:37.279 --> 0:04:42.560 yesterday if I'm looking right now, maybe Angels Yankees was 0:04:42.560 --> 0:04:46.000 an under. Probably that that's an under. Oakland Boston with 0:04:46.080 --> 0:04:48.800 the three runs total, that's under everything else I'm looking 0:04:48.800 --> 0:04:52.599 at right now. Also, probably Cincinnati. San France was close. 0:04:52.640 --> 0:04:54.520 They almost scored six runs. I imagine that was somewhere 0:04:54.520 --> 0:04:57.720 in that seven range. Everything else was an over yesterday. 0:04:57.760 --> 0:04:59.760 I mean, that was an insane day of Major League 0:04:59.760 --> 0:05:04.240 based Also, let's talk about Alec Manoa three innings, four runs, 0:05:04.760 --> 0:05:07.559 your thought things. I know we played welshed or washed 0:05:08.000 --> 0:05:11.640 yesterday and you said, Welsh, you want to take that back, 0:05:11.680 --> 0:05:12.960 you want to recanre Yeah? 0:05:13.520 --> 0:05:17.279 Yeah, well, I mean, listen, talented picture. I want to 0:05:17.279 --> 0:05:20.400 go with the track record, you know, being sent down 0:05:20.520 --> 0:05:23.480 in the developmental style to work on stuff. He came back, 0:05:23.520 --> 0:05:26.000 he looked good. I was like, oh, okay, we're going 0:05:26.080 --> 0:05:28.600 to do this. We're not going to do this, and 0:05:28.640 --> 0:05:31.760 he ended up getting lit back up. He was walking. 0:05:31.920 --> 0:05:35.000 He looked like the picture that he was before. So 0:05:35.360 --> 0:05:37.240 to me, we go back and I don't want to 0:05:37.279 --> 0:05:39.400 take one star. I shouldn't take one start either way, 0:05:39.440 --> 0:05:42.440 but it's like, if we can that quickly go back 0:05:42.480 --> 0:05:45.040 to that old Manoa, what that has taken us back? 0:05:45.080 --> 0:05:48.200 Someone asked his question and it was an odd good question. 0:05:48.279 --> 0:05:52.040 Odd to answer was like, what are the characteristics of 0:05:52.080 --> 0:05:55.080 a player that are a must start? They had tweeted like, 0:05:55.279 --> 0:05:57.479 how do you determine this person as a must start? 0:05:57.640 --> 0:06:00.200 Hit her picture? I only ended up answering the pitching one, 0:06:00.200 --> 0:06:02.240 and this is my answer, Joe, I said, a guy 0:06:02.320 --> 0:06:05.799 that I believe is going to go five to six 0:06:06.160 --> 0:06:08.960 on every start, is going to strike out six plus 0:06:09.000 --> 0:06:11.279 every start, you know, or five to six I'm looking 0:06:11.279 --> 0:06:14.119 for the higher strikeouts, is going to give up four 0:06:14.320 --> 0:06:18.920 or less earned runs, And I that I feel confident 0:06:18.960 --> 0:06:21.440 about that. That's like a very rough, rough estimate of 0:06:21.480 --> 0:06:23.039 the type of player. So I'm alluding to is a 0:06:23.040 --> 0:06:26.039 guy that has quality starts with strikeouts in me, but 0:06:26.600 --> 0:06:28.800 I do the for the four earned runs, because maybe 0:06:28.800 --> 0:06:31.240 it's a guy that's Dylan Ces who strikes out nine 0:06:31.520 --> 0:06:32.839 but gives up four turns. 0:06:32.960 --> 0:06:35.040 Yeah, you're willing to give up some ERA for the 0:06:35.080 --> 0:06:38.279 bigger strikeout pitchers, you know, historically, like before Robbie Ray 0:06:38.320 --> 0:06:41.560 found his e R Chops like that kind of guy, like, well, 0:06:41.640 --> 0:06:43.800 you're gonna strike out two hundred and sixty guys, I'll 0:06:43.839 --> 0:06:45.440 deal with your four and a half RA I think 0:06:45.440 --> 0:06:47.320 those are the trade offs you make it life. 0:06:47.200 --> 0:06:48.720 Or the inverse, like if I have to give up 0:06:48.760 --> 0:06:50.840 some strikeouts for a guy to like old Sandy Al, 0:06:51.320 --> 0:06:53.160 you know, if you go seven but he's strikes. 0:06:53.480 --> 0:06:56.400 One to nine, ERA five yeah, that is. 0:06:56.360 --> 0:06:59.359 The qualification of a player where it's like, I'm not worried. 0:06:59.400 --> 0:07:02.880 I'm not worried about who they're playing. Alec Manoa does 0:07:02.960 --> 0:07:05.599 not qualify in that because yes, he had one good 0:07:05.640 --> 0:07:08.040 start and then he got his ass blown up again. 0:07:08.360 --> 0:07:11.040 So what that means is he's now back into just 0:07:11.120 --> 0:07:15.240 this this like matchup. Basically, yeah, he's in. 0:07:15.400 --> 0:07:16.840 I don't even know if he could feel good about 0:07:16.880 --> 0:07:19.080 him in the ether. I gotta be And look, this 0:07:19.160 --> 0:07:21.080 is part of why I love Musgrove so much. Yesterday 0:07:21.080 --> 0:07:23.640 everybody said, look yesterday DFS what I tell you, Star 0:07:23.720 --> 0:07:27.400 Joe Musgrove six innings, seven strikeouts, one earned run, beautiful time, 0:07:27.440 --> 0:07:29.680 got the W. What are you always looking for? A 0:07:29.720 --> 0:07:31.760 pitcher can go six innings, pick up a W maybe 0:07:31.800 --> 0:07:33.440 a quality start two. If so, you're really in a 0:07:33.440 --> 0:07:35.560 good position there. You know that bridge to the win 0:07:35.720 --> 0:07:38.160 is good for him. Muskgrove against Toronto. You know, I 0:07:38.200 --> 0:07:39.720 didn't even look at the ross percentge I forgot to 0:07:39.720 --> 0:07:42.200 see what it was. But Musgrove was that right guy 0:07:42.320 --> 0:07:45.200 last night, taking advantage of the uncertainty of Manoa because 0:07:45.240 --> 0:07:47.120 people are like, well, oh, what Mino is gonna show up? 0:07:47.240 --> 0:07:50.280 Toronto's a good offense. If you did that and you stacked, 0:07:50.680 --> 0:07:52.960 you know San Diego yesterday, you did really well because 0:07:52.960 --> 0:07:54.920 they had nine runs to Soto hit a home run. 0:07:54.960 --> 0:07:57.560 He was two for three, but Shatto was two for 0:07:57.640 --> 0:07:59.520 four in that game. Fatist was two for four. He 0:07:59.600 --> 0:08:01.960 was back in healthy. So like, once those guys start 0:08:02.000 --> 0:08:03.840 hitting and the pitchers start rolling in San Diego, it's 0:08:03.840 --> 0:08:05.880 just whether or not they have enough time now to 0:08:05.920 --> 0:08:07.640 play catch up in that division. I want to move 0:08:07.640 --> 0:08:08.280 on though, because I want to. 0:08:09.360 --> 0:08:11.120 I know you want to move on. Sorry, was no, 0:08:11.120 --> 0:08:12.840 now I want to move No, the only thing I 0:08:12.880 --> 0:08:15.000 want to do real quick. I was just looking. I 0:08:15.040 --> 0:08:17.400 finally got to the savant page on Manoa. For this game. 0:08:17.960 --> 0:08:20.760 He had less whiffs than the next pitcher for the 0:08:20.800 --> 0:08:24.000 potteries that came in, Alec Jacob. He had six total 0:08:24.040 --> 0:08:27.080 whiffs Alec Manoa did in this start where he was 0:08:27.200 --> 0:08:31.240 walking everybody. Velo was down across the board, which is 0:08:31.320 --> 0:08:35.520 no good. Fifteen percent swinging with only three whiffs on 0:08:35.559 --> 0:08:38.160 the fastball, three on the slider, nothing on the sinker, 0:08:38.240 --> 0:08:43.000 nothing on the change up. A sixteen percent csw percentage 0:08:43.280 --> 0:08:45.240 is bad. Everything is bad that you're looking out of 0:08:45.240 --> 0:08:47.120 here outside the zone swing This might be one of 0:08:47.160 --> 0:08:50.400 the worst I've seen. Twenty one percent of pitches outside 0:08:50.400 --> 0:08:52.880 of the zone were swung at, which means he wasn't 0:08:52.920 --> 0:08:54.800 fooling nobody. 0:08:55.040 --> 0:08:59.240 Alec Manoa, speaking of not fooling anybody, Wonking just threw 0:08:59.280 --> 0:09:02.880 this in so I knew it's real and just came 0:09:03.120 --> 0:09:08.400 on the Philadelphia Phillies Twitter exactly a minute ago. Andrew Painter, 0:09:09.320 --> 0:09:12.640 phenom pitcher, the stud pitcher, number one pitching prospect in 0:09:12.679 --> 0:09:15.480 baseball going into the season. It's gonna have Tommy John surgery. 0:09:15.520 --> 0:09:18.600 This is not a surprise, wells the surprise that it 0:09:18.640 --> 0:09:22.040 took this long to get here. I just I don't understand, like, 0:09:22.679 --> 0:09:25.439 if it's a foregone conclusion, why we piss away an 0:09:25.559 --> 0:09:27.920 entire season, because that's what they did basically with him, 0:09:28.240 --> 0:09:30.880 Like we knew in April this is probably gonna be 0:09:30.920 --> 0:09:33.400 the outcome. But now because we waited all the way 0:09:33.440 --> 0:09:36.560 to July, now he's gonna miss all of the season anyway, 0:09:36.559 --> 0:09:39.000 which we already knew. But now he's probably not gonna 0:09:39.000 --> 0:09:40.679 be available at all next season, Like next season is 0:09:40.679 --> 0:09:43.280 gonna complete wash. Had he had in April, maybe you 0:09:43.360 --> 0:09:45.000 get a second half of a season where he starts 0:09:45.000 --> 0:09:46.719 to uptick a little bit and starts to get back 0:09:46.800 --> 0:09:49.400 maybe in August and September, gets his feet wet, and 0:09:49.440 --> 0:09:52.079 then can probably go into a good situation in twenty 0:09:52.080 --> 0:09:54.680 twenty five. But now twenty twenty three is shot. Twenty 0:09:54.720 --> 0:09:57.360 twenty four a shot. Painter's value in Dynasty is shot 0:09:57.400 --> 0:10:00.240 for the next two years period, maybe even three. Very 0:10:00.280 --> 0:10:02.679 frustrating to me. I'm frustrated, Welsh, Are you frustrated? 0:10:02.760 --> 0:10:05.600 I'm super frustrated. I would love to know the logic 0:10:05.720 --> 0:10:09.120 behind why what this all was? And I sometimes wonder, 0:10:09.280 --> 0:10:11.240 and I think we all know the answer to this, 0:10:11.320 --> 0:10:14.120 but it's more of me like wondering someone confirming it. 0:10:14.559 --> 0:10:16.960 Tommy John, is it like rolling your ankle, Like as 0:10:17.000 --> 0:10:19.200 soon as you know you have a really bad ankle roll, 0:10:19.320 --> 0:10:21.480 and then you're just bound to now just roll it 0:10:21.520 --> 0:10:23.319 all the time. You just to play basketball a lot. 0:10:23.480 --> 0:10:25.800 And I had one big severe ankle roll and then 0:10:25.840 --> 0:10:27.680 it just would happen all the time. And it's like, 0:10:27.720 --> 0:10:30.800 did they not want to start this clock of a 0:10:30.880 --> 0:10:34.080 Tommy John knowing that the susceptibility and the long term 0:10:34.080 --> 0:10:36.760 would be back because the reason to say this is because, 0:10:36.840 --> 0:10:39.160 like it's got a pretty good track record Tommy John 0:10:39.160 --> 0:10:41.800 surgeries of being able to have these recoveries and these 0:10:41.800 --> 0:10:44.599 guys can sometimes be better coming off of it. So 0:10:44.679 --> 0:10:46.880 I just don't understand what the hold up was the 0:10:47.240 --> 0:10:49.120 medical guy that's like, ah, we can fix it. I'm 0:10:49.120 --> 0:10:51.079 not worried about it. We'll do it, And then they 0:10:51.160 --> 0:10:54.520 just waited the entire season because you're right, what's gonna 0:10:54.520 --> 0:10:57.520 happen now? He is done, So you wasted the whole 0:10:57.559 --> 0:11:00.719 season in getting nothing out of him as far as 0:11:00.760 --> 0:11:03.800 maturation goes. Now it's going to be into next year. 0:11:03.960 --> 0:11:07.480 Maybe he pitches in the Fall League. Maybe he's an 0:11:07.480 --> 0:11:12.000 option in twenty twenty five, which sinks the ever living 0:11:12.040 --> 0:11:14.920 hell out of his Dynasty value. And I'd already moved 0:11:14.960 --> 0:11:17.240 him down a bit, but the Tommy John confirmation is 0:11:17.280 --> 0:11:19.400 going to move him even further. And this is a 0:11:19.440 --> 0:11:21.960 tough Max Meyer had the exact same situation happened with 0:11:22.000 --> 0:11:24.160 his injury, where this was one of the top pitching 0:11:24.360 --> 0:11:27.800 Dynasty prospects got hurt, moved down. He's finally making his 0:11:27.840 --> 0:11:30.280 way back up. We haven't seen an ounce of Andrew Painter, 0:11:30.400 --> 0:11:33.520 and surprisingly enough, his Buddy Mick Abel is probably gonna 0:11:33.559 --> 0:11:36.000 now beat him to the majors and is a more 0:11:36.120 --> 0:11:39.559 viable pitching option for Dynasty for investment at this point. 0:11:40.520 --> 0:11:43.880 Yeah, agreed. Also, you know JP makes a comment here, 0:11:43.920 --> 0:11:46.680 he's twenty. They have time. There are no rush, yes, 0:11:46.720 --> 0:11:49.240 and no JP, because take a look at what happened 0:11:49.240 --> 0:11:51.720 this year with the new rules in place and everything 0:11:51.760 --> 0:11:53.880 going on here in terms of contracts and rookies and 0:11:53.920 --> 0:11:56.520 all that stuff. Emma chi Hen made it to the 0:11:56.559 --> 0:11:59.480 big leagues, making it Bobby Miller right, like there were 0:11:59.480 --> 0:12:02.199 pitchers galore here, Todds Bradley. Nobody thought we'd get TODs 0:12:02.200 --> 0:12:04.320 Bradley as or as he did. These teams that are 0:12:04.320 --> 0:12:06.840 trying to compete, they need these kids. You know, this 0:12:06.960 --> 0:12:09.920 is part of the strategy here. So like, yeah, there's 0:12:09.960 --> 0:12:12.600 no rush, but at the same time, it's it's very 0:12:12.600 --> 0:12:14.679 frustrating from a Fantasti standpoint, and I think for the 0:12:14.679 --> 0:12:17.560 Philly standpoint too. TODs Bradley, by the way, just mention 0:12:17.679 --> 0:12:20.679 him two runs, five innings, struck out nine guys nine 0:12:21.480 --> 0:12:24.199 nine times. Alex Kirloff three for four with a homer, 0:12:24.240 --> 0:12:27.160 a triple, two RBI, three run scored, and a partridge 0:12:27.160 --> 0:12:30.120 in a pear tree. He is now slashing two eighty seven, 0:12:30.280 --> 0:12:33.160 three eighty one four to forty seven, six homers twenty 0:12:33.160 --> 0:12:35.640 five ribies on the season. Are we starting to see 0:12:36.200 --> 0:12:39.760 finally the real Alex Kirilov? And can we maybe sustain this? 0:12:39.840 --> 0:12:42.800 Welsh fingers crossed for August in September because that would 0:12:42.800 --> 0:12:43.320 be nice. 0:12:43.679 --> 0:12:46.000 I think we can. We are starting to get into 0:12:46.000 --> 0:12:48.840 this territory. Somebody asked me I was a big Culton 0:12:48.920 --> 0:12:51.640 Kowser guy, and that's been a big, huge failure. Someone 0:12:51.640 --> 0:12:53.719 asked me, can I cut Kowser four cure Lough And 0:12:53.760 --> 0:12:56.040 I was like, absolutely, you can absolutely make that move 0:12:56.120 --> 0:12:58.920 right now. It's been a kind of back and forth year. 0:12:59.160 --> 0:13:01.800 Hit three fourteen so far in May, had a horrible June, 0:13:01.880 --> 0:13:05.160 hitting three sixty one here in July, which has been 0:13:05.200 --> 0:13:08.720 a big turnaround for him. XBA in his favor. A 0:13:08.760 --> 0:13:11.320 lot of the other hard hit data I just don't 0:13:11.360 --> 0:13:13.920 think plays well unless you're looking at like short term stuff, 0:13:13.920 --> 0:13:16.720 because the season stuff. His barrel rates the lowest of 0:13:16.720 --> 0:13:20.840 his career, hard hit percentage, lowest of his career, average 0:13:20.840 --> 0:13:24.240 EV lowest of his career. It's just been about rhythm 0:13:24.240 --> 0:13:27.360 and getting consistency, and he's starting to get that right now. 0:13:27.600 --> 0:13:30.800 And he is a phenomenal hitter. I've said this kajillion times. 0:13:30.840 --> 0:13:33.400 His dad's a hitting coach, his a whole hitting series. 0:13:33.520 --> 0:13:35.280 This is a really, really smart hitter who's just had 0:13:35.320 --> 0:13:38.200 injury after injury, and that's now kind of coming away 0:13:38.520 --> 0:13:42.040 funny enough, everybody, but the stars are starting to pick 0:13:42.120 --> 0:13:45.199 up in Minnesota, Edward Julian Fred just mentioned there. That's 0:13:45.240 --> 0:13:49.040 another guy that's absolutely heating up right now. Power contact 0:13:49.080 --> 0:13:51.080 is getting in there, Kira Loft starting to hit. So 0:13:51.080 --> 0:13:53.520 you're getting a lot of these like ancillary guys in 0:13:53.559 --> 0:13:55.400 that lineup that are going to be picking up the slack. 0:13:55.480 --> 0:13:58.480 And kier Lof is one hundred percent of player I 0:13:58.480 --> 0:14:00.520 would be looking at picking up in the very very 0:14:00.559 --> 0:14:01.120 near future. 0:14:01.559 --> 0:14:03.560 I love a good ancillary guy, you know. I gotta 0:14:03.600 --> 0:14:06.439 love those ancillary fellas. They do a good job. Jordan 0:14:06.440 --> 0:14:09.040 Montgomery pitched six innings of one run ball, no decision 0:14:09.080 --> 0:14:12.920 against the Marlins. Aernado two for four with a game 0:14:13.120 --> 0:14:15.840 ending three run bomb. Do you think these guys are 0:14:15.880 --> 0:14:19.760 on the Cardinals come August first? Montgomery and Aernato. 0:14:19.720 --> 0:14:23.160 I think both are gone. I think these are specifically 0:14:23.200 --> 0:14:25.760 the ones. I think Aeronado, the rumors that are floating 0:14:25.760 --> 0:14:27.960 out there about him getting traded, I think he said 0:14:28.000 --> 0:14:30.160 it at All Star Break. He was like, I'm probably 0:14:30.200 --> 0:14:32.440 gonna get traded. So I think this team is going 0:14:32.440 --> 0:14:35.800 to unload it. Montgomery seems very very likely. And I 0:14:35.840 --> 0:14:37.800 guess the rumor is the Cardinals are going to. 0:14:37.840 --> 0:14:40.800 Just fit for a lot of teams. Montgomery will be 0:14:40.840 --> 0:14:42.600 a nice pickup. You know, he had a really good 0:14:42.640 --> 0:14:45.000 finish to his Yankee career before going with the Cardinals, 0:14:45.000 --> 0:14:47.360 and the Cardinals, you know, same thing really picked up 0:14:47.400 --> 0:14:50.400 East steam even there. So you know, I just watched Montgomery, 0:14:50.440 --> 0:14:52.040 you know, in his early Yankee days too, and to me, 0:14:52.080 --> 0:14:54.080 he was just a guy who needed confidence. You know, 0:14:54.120 --> 0:14:56.560 he started to see that last year really blossomed, and 0:14:56.600 --> 0:15:00.240 you saw it in sporadic periods for the Yankees, and 0:15:00.280 --> 0:15:02.240 you could tell sometimes his demeanor on the mound was 0:15:02.520 --> 0:15:04.360 better than other times. And when his demeanor on the 0:15:04.360 --> 0:15:06.080 mound was good and he was confident, he was pitching 0:15:06.160 --> 0:15:08.600 very well. And I think Montgomery's a guy that's ready 0:15:08.600 --> 0:15:11.160 for a shot with a contender here to really, you know. 0:15:11.160 --> 0:15:11.920 I think he's the most. 0:15:12.120 --> 0:15:13.840 That's a guy I want to I want to acquire 0:15:13.920 --> 0:15:15.320 him in a fantasy trade because I think, you know, 0:15:15.360 --> 0:15:17.040 he's one of those guys. I think he's ready for it, 0:15:17.040 --> 0:15:19.360 like I think he has really proved himself. He's had 0:15:19.360 --> 0:15:21.840 a good season this year too. And lastly, Corbyn Carroll 0:15:21.960 --> 0:15:24.080 two for five with a triple two Ribbies, two steals, 0:15:24.080 --> 0:15:27.120 three scored in that crazy game with the Braves, rookie 0:15:27.160 --> 0:15:30.720 lookie time Christian and Garnaccio Stran two for three, first 0:15:30.760 --> 0:15:33.920 big league homer, Let's go three Ribby's there. Eleven to 0:15:33.960 --> 0:15:36.160 ten loss, but what are you gonna do? Crap happens 0:15:36.200 --> 0:15:39.480 right on Tuesday and then the Guardians Logan Allen getting 0:15:39.520 --> 0:15:42.360 recalled from Triple A. That's something he keep in mind. 0:15:42.360 --> 0:15:44.360 Paul Skeins, by the way, already signed with the Pirates, 0:15:44.360 --> 0:15:47.680 so not wasting too much time. S Keith Skeens, what 0:15:47.720 --> 0:15:51.520 do you think about Marco Luciano promoted to Triple A 0:15:51.560 --> 0:15:55.320 after hitting two twenty eight. He's a weird one. I 0:15:55.360 --> 0:15:58.480 know he's still young, but the Double A numbers eleven homer, 0:15:58.560 --> 0:16:00.800 six steals and two forty two plays appearances. The four 0:16:00.840 --> 0:16:04.960 to fifty one slugging low batting average three thirty nine obph. 0:16:05.160 --> 0:16:06.760 Is this a prospect? You still have your eyes on it? 0:16:06.800 --> 0:16:08.080 You think this is one of these guys that ends 0:16:08.160 --> 0:16:10.560 up never reaching his full potential. 0:16:11.200 --> 0:16:13.480 Not really for me. I'm kind of done with it. 0:16:13.520 --> 0:16:16.120 And I was a pretty big proponent years and years ago, 0:16:16.400 --> 0:16:20.320 And I don't sure it's so weird his place right now, 0:16:20.360 --> 0:16:23.240 Like anytime he does something like MLB pipeline, they'll tweet, 0:16:23.240 --> 0:16:25.120 they be like, is doing it again? 0:16:25.160 --> 0:16:26.960 And it's he's never doing it. 0:16:28.160 --> 0:16:30.120 Yeah, it's like you just you just tweeted the one 0:16:30.160 --> 0:16:32.480 thing he's done because he doesn't hit. He it's two 0:16:32.520 --> 0:16:35.200 twenty eight. I think some of this could have to 0:16:35.240 --> 0:16:37.960 do with, you know, the draft just happened. You've got 0:16:37.960 --> 0:16:40.240 twenty plus players that are going to be sent out 0:16:40.240 --> 0:16:44.400 throughout the organization that maybe you move Luciano up. What 0:16:44.440 --> 0:16:46.000 more does he have to prove? What more is he 0:16:46.080 --> 0:16:48.600 gaining at double A? But like, the guy's not a 0:16:48.600 --> 0:16:52.240 good hitter, he's got good raw power. I don't believe 0:16:52.760 --> 0:16:55.400 I think he's going to strike out a decent amount 0:16:55.440 --> 0:16:57.400 in the majors. I think he's going to be a 0:16:57.520 --> 0:17:00.400 very average player. I would not be run to the 0:17:00.400 --> 0:17:02.160 wire to pick him up. It's great that they got 0:17:02.240 --> 0:17:03.880 him to triple A, but he is not and he's 0:17:03.880 --> 0:17:05.520 still very young, by the way. That's the other like 0:17:05.560 --> 0:17:07.479 weird thing. I don't even think he's twenty two, and 0:17:07.520 --> 0:17:10.960 he's already up there. He has just had such a 0:17:11.080 --> 0:17:15.240 slow run of bad results as he's moved. I don't 0:17:15.320 --> 0:17:17.720 see what the excitement is right now because he doesn't 0:17:17.720 --> 0:17:20.719 exhibit any really positive prospects signs. But you know what, 0:17:20.800 --> 0:17:23.520 he's got major talent, and maybe they'll fix something finally 0:17:23.520 --> 0:17:25.399 and they'll put a focus on it and he'll be 0:17:25.440 --> 0:17:28.080 a great buy. But no, thanks for me, give me 0:17:28.160 --> 0:17:29.800 Christian Krashlan strand. 0:17:29.880 --> 0:17:31.639 There you go. By the way, I'm looking at the 0:17:31.720 --> 0:17:34.760 Arnaudol contract. So he's getting thirty five million this year, 0:17:34.800 --> 0:17:37.080 thirty five next year, thirty two and twenty twenty five, 0:17:37.720 --> 0:17:41.320 twenty seven and twenty twenty six, and then fifteen million 0:17:41.359 --> 0:17:44.240 in twenty twenty seven. So I don't know how much 0:17:44.280 --> 0:17:46.680 prospects he's gonna bring back, to be honest, like this 0:17:46.760 --> 0:17:48.880 is like this feels like a salary dumb kind of deal. 0:17:49.400 --> 0:17:51.159 If you're a Cardinals fan, don't hold your breath. For 0:17:51.200 --> 0:17:53.000 a big return here. I don't think you get that. 0:17:53.119 --> 0:17:54.960 No, this is and that's the tough thing. Someone in 0:17:54.960 --> 0:17:57.080 there was like, they're not trading Aernaudo, and it's like, yeah, 0:17:57.240 --> 0:17:58.520 the contract doesn't I think they are. 0:17:58.720 --> 0:18:00.800 And maybe a team like you know, somebody mentioned the 0:18:00.880 --> 0:18:04.360 Yankees in there. If the Otani sweepstikes get out of control, 0:18:04.720 --> 0:18:07.400 you could be Brian Cashman say, okay, you know Donaldson's done. 0:18:07.480 --> 0:18:09.760 Third base has been a problem for us. Let's let's 0:18:09.800 --> 0:18:12.639 help our pitching staff with a great defensive player, number one, 0:18:13.000 --> 0:18:14.800 number two. You get him in a small ballpark towards 0:18:14.840 --> 0:18:17.000