1 00:00:00,400 --> 00:00:04,080 Speaker 1: Having good life insurance is incredibly important. I know from 2 00:00:04,080 --> 00:00:07,160 Speaker 1: personal experience. I was sixteen when my father passed away. 3 00:00:07,200 --> 00:00:09,600 Speaker 1: We didn't have any money. He didn't leave us in 4 00:00:09,640 --> 00:00:14,000 Speaker 1: the best shape. My mother single mother, now widow, myself 5 00:00:14,080 --> 00:00:15,880 Speaker 1: sixteen trying to figure out how am I going to 6 00:00:15,920 --> 00:00:19,079 Speaker 1: pay for college and lo and behold, my dad had 7 00:00:19,120 --> 00:00:22,320 Speaker 1: one life insurance policy that we found wasn't a lot, 8 00:00:22,640 --> 00:00:25,360 Speaker 1: but it was important at the time, and it's why 9 00:00:25,480 --> 00:00:28,720 Speaker 1: I was able to go to college. Little did he 10 00:00:28,800 --> 00:00:32,560 Speaker 1: know how important that would be in that moment. Well, 11 00:00:32,680 --> 00:00:34,760 Speaker 1: guess what. That's why I am here to tell you 12 00:00:34,800 --> 00:00:37,720 Speaker 1: about Etho's life. They can provide you with peace of 13 00:00:37,760 --> 00:00:41,159 Speaker 1: mind knowing your family is protected even if the worst 14 00:00:41,200 --> 00:00:44,160 Speaker 1: comes to pass. Ethos is an online platform that makes 15 00:00:44,200 --> 00:00:47,800 Speaker 1: getting life insurance fast and easy, all designed to protect 16 00:00:47,840 --> 00:00:51,400 Speaker 1: your family's future in minutes, not months. There's no complicated 17 00:00:51,440 --> 00:00:55,320 Speaker 1: process and it's one hundred percent online. There's no medical 18 00:00:55,360 --> 00:00:58,640 Speaker 1: exam require you just answer a few health questions online. 19 00:00:58,760 --> 00:01:00,640 Speaker 1: You can get a quote and it's a little ten minutes, 20 00:01:00,680 --> 00:01:03,760 Speaker 1: and you can get same day coverage without ever leaving 21 00:01:03,880 --> 00:01:06,759 Speaker 1: your home. You can get up to three million dollars 22 00:01:06,760 --> 00:01:08,920 Speaker 1: in coverage and some policies start as low as two 23 00:01:08,959 --> 00:01:12,120 Speaker 1: dollars a day that would be billed monthly. As of 24 00:01:12,120 --> 00:01:15,240 Speaker 1: March twenty twenty five, Business Insider named Ethos the number 25 00:01:15,319 --> 00:01:19,679 Speaker 1: one no medical exam instant life insurance provider. So protect 26 00:01:19,680 --> 00:01:23,080 Speaker 1: your family with life insurance from Ethos. Get your free 27 00:01:23,160 --> 00:01:27,440 Speaker 1: quoted Ethos dot com slash chuck. So again, that's Ethos 28 00:01:27,480 --> 00:01:32,080 Speaker 1: dot com slash chuck. Application times may vary and the 29 00:01:32,160 --> 00:01:35,319 Speaker 1: rates themselves may vary as well, but trust me, life 30 00:01:35,360 --> 00:01:38,560 Speaker 1: insurance is something you should really think about, especially if 31 00:01:38,600 --> 00:01:44,720 Speaker 1: you've got a growing family. Hello, they're in Happy early 32 00:01:45,080 --> 00:01:47,600 Speaker 1: new year to you. I am coming to you on Monday, 33 00:01:47,640 --> 00:01:51,640 Speaker 1: December twenty ninth. Full disclosure and recording on Sunday, December 34 00:01:51,680 --> 00:01:54,240 Speaker 1: twenty eighth. I always want to put those timestamps out 35 00:01:54,280 --> 00:01:58,640 Speaker 1: there just to give a little context and perspective from 36 00:01:58,920 --> 00:02:05,200 Speaker 1: where where I am speaking. From today's episode, I've got 37 00:02:05,200 --> 00:02:09,080 Speaker 1: a little bit on sort of what's happening. You know, currently, 38 00:02:09,120 --> 00:02:11,560 Speaker 1: the US military is in the middle of a couple 39 00:02:11,560 --> 00:02:14,240 Speaker 1: of different military campaigns, and I want to talk about that. 40 00:02:14,440 --> 00:02:17,840 Speaker 1: What's happening in Nigeria, what's happening in Venezuela, and a 41 00:02:17,840 --> 00:02:19,679 Speaker 1: little bit of sort of how this fits into the 42 00:02:19,840 --> 00:02:25,120 Speaker 1: larger picture of America's role in the world and the whatever, 43 00:02:25,639 --> 00:02:28,200 Speaker 1: and sort of the Trump doctrine, what does it mean anymore? 44 00:02:28,360 --> 00:02:32,040 Speaker 1: Is there a doctrine beyond the word transaction. I'll get 45 00:02:32,040 --> 00:02:33,440 Speaker 1: to that in a minute. I kind of want to 46 00:02:33,440 --> 00:02:35,960 Speaker 1: answer a question that I kept getting from friends and 47 00:02:36,000 --> 00:02:39,600 Speaker 1: family over the last few days, and that was an 48 00:02:39,680 --> 00:02:44,600 Speaker 1: interpretation of the president's truth Social feed, which many people 49 00:02:44,639 --> 00:02:47,440 Speaker 1: don't see on truth Social but see it perhaps on 50 00:02:48,400 --> 00:02:51,480 Speaker 1: X or they see it, you know, repost it on Instagram. 51 00:02:51,520 --> 00:02:56,400 Speaker 1: I mean, it is interesting how this works now. And 52 00:02:56,440 --> 00:02:59,799 Speaker 1: of course you've heard me get into the mistake collective 53 00:02:59,800 --> 00:03:02,440 Speaker 1: life the world made in his attempt to try to 54 00:03:02,480 --> 00:03:05,839 Speaker 1: deep platform Donald Trump after January sixth. By the way, 55 00:03:06,000 --> 00:03:08,360 Speaker 1: my what If episode is coming later this week and 56 00:03:08,440 --> 00:03:10,200 Speaker 1: early next week. You're gonna get a couple of my 57 00:03:10,240 --> 00:03:12,639 Speaker 1: what ifs, including what if Donald Trump had won the 58 00:03:12,639 --> 00:03:16,360 Speaker 1: twenty twenty election. But before I don't want to give 59 00:03:16,360 --> 00:03:21,000 Speaker 1: away too much of the store on that. But ever 60 00:03:21,080 --> 00:03:24,560 Speaker 1: since right, Truth's Social been his primary way to communicate, 61 00:03:25,120 --> 00:03:28,120 Speaker 1: and people on X repost it, people on Instagram, repost 62 00:03:28,120 --> 00:03:30,720 Speaker 1: it gets reposted on TikTok, all the other social media platforms, 63 00:03:30,720 --> 00:03:32,960 Speaker 1: and being the president of the United States, you know, 64 00:03:33,480 --> 00:03:35,480 Speaker 1: I do think there are things that don't get reposted 65 00:03:35,520 --> 00:03:38,320 Speaker 1: that if people saw them more intently, they would be 66 00:03:38,320 --> 00:03:43,280 Speaker 1: even more troubled by the psyche of this president. But 67 00:03:44,480 --> 00:03:47,920 Speaker 1: I got kept getting a question about one specific thing 68 00:03:49,280 --> 00:03:53,280 Speaker 1: he tweeted or truthed, however you want to call it. 69 00:03:53,320 --> 00:03:55,520 Speaker 1: And that is when he was tweeting about, like just 70 00:03:55,560 --> 00:03:59,240 Speaker 1: his anger over Epstein, which clearly anything that anything that 71 00:03:59,280 --> 00:04:01,520 Speaker 1: makes him look bad he gets angry about. And you know, 72 00:04:01,600 --> 00:04:04,920 Speaker 1: sort of the grievance comes out, the victimization, and you know, 73 00:04:05,000 --> 00:04:07,440 Speaker 1: let's make other people pay the price before he has 74 00:04:07,480 --> 00:04:10,040 Speaker 1: to pay the price. Right, Let's called for any and 75 00:04:10,080 --> 00:04:12,040 Speaker 1: said this, and it was something like, this may be 76 00:04:12,120 --> 00:04:15,720 Speaker 1: your last merry Christmas, you know. And I had a 77 00:04:15,720 --> 00:04:17,200 Speaker 1: lot of people go, what does he mean by that? 78 00:04:17,400 --> 00:04:20,920 Speaker 1: You know, seeing it as a threat, seeing it as 79 00:04:21,000 --> 00:04:25,120 Speaker 1: what is it? And you know, look, I will fully 80 00:04:25,160 --> 00:04:28,479 Speaker 1: confess that I ignore most of his you know, I see them. 81 00:04:28,880 --> 00:04:31,880 Speaker 1: I ignore most of them because it really I don't 82 00:04:31,920 --> 00:04:34,920 Speaker 1: believe he means anything. This is to me, I think 83 00:04:35,440 --> 00:04:37,560 Speaker 1: about the time period with which we get most of 84 00:04:37,600 --> 00:04:43,159 Speaker 1: these we get them after ten o'clock at night, sometimes 85 00:04:43,200 --> 00:04:45,240 Speaker 1: at three or four in the morning East Coast time, 86 00:04:46,839 --> 00:04:48,920 Speaker 1: you know, and I think we all think about the 87 00:04:48,920 --> 00:04:51,600 Speaker 1: person in your life that you notice is on social 88 00:04:51,640 --> 00:04:55,040 Speaker 1: media a lot at odd hours. These are people that 89 00:04:55,240 --> 00:04:59,600 Speaker 1: have some form of anxiety. Perhaps they're super lonely, maybe 90 00:04:59,640 --> 00:05:02,240 Speaker 1: things are going well at home. And that's what I 91 00:05:02,240 --> 00:05:06,120 Speaker 1: always come back to when you have the president doing 92 00:05:06,160 --> 00:05:11,120 Speaker 1: this on Christmas Day, on Christmas Eve night, going all 93 00:05:11,160 --> 00:05:14,719 Speaker 1: through this, and you're asking yourself, oh my god, what 94 00:05:14,880 --> 00:05:17,280 Speaker 1: is wrong with this man? And I look at it 95 00:05:17,320 --> 00:05:19,560 Speaker 1: as a this is a cry for help. This guy 96 00:05:19,680 --> 00:05:23,760 Speaker 1: is lonely. He really doesn't have anybody he's close with. 97 00:05:26,200 --> 00:05:29,359 Speaker 1: It is I know this will come across sounding like 98 00:05:29,360 --> 00:05:32,080 Speaker 1: a hater, but you know he doesn't. He is. He 99 00:05:32,200 --> 00:05:34,839 Speaker 1: is close with his kids because he's supposed to be. 100 00:05:35,480 --> 00:05:38,400 Speaker 1: But if you know, if you've done reporting about his 101 00:05:38,760 --> 00:05:41,640 Speaker 1: actual personal relationships with his kids, you will know they're 102 00:05:41,680 --> 00:05:46,800 Speaker 1: not great. There isn't. It is a one way relationship, 103 00:05:46,839 --> 00:05:48,880 Speaker 1: and that's been the problem. All of his relationships are 104 00:05:48,880 --> 00:05:52,560 Speaker 1: one way. He uses people, he discards them, which may 105 00:05:52,720 --> 00:05:57,000 Speaker 1: explain why you never hear things like former college roommate 106 00:05:57,000 --> 00:05:59,000 Speaker 1: of Donald Trump stopped by mar A Lago to hang 107 00:05:59,040 --> 00:06:01,960 Speaker 1: out with him. You know, a friend that he grew 108 00:06:02,040 --> 00:06:05,680 Speaker 1: up with has been you know, show it doesn't happen. 109 00:06:05,800 --> 00:06:10,159 Speaker 1: There are no old friends. He has old acquaintances that 110 00:06:10,240 --> 00:06:15,400 Speaker 1: he discards or uses whenever he deems necessary. Right, Jeffrey 111 00:06:15,440 --> 00:06:17,960 Speaker 1: Epstein is probably the best version of this. There was 112 00:06:18,000 --> 00:06:22,599 Speaker 1: somebody he was quite close to, and then he drops 113 00:06:22,680 --> 00:06:25,080 Speaker 1: him like a rock when he starts. And this is 114 00:06:25,080 --> 00:06:27,320 Speaker 1: what he does when any He is not going to 115 00:06:27,400 --> 00:06:31,400 Speaker 1: be a friend when you're in trouble. He expects you 116 00:06:31,480 --> 00:06:34,960 Speaker 1: to be a friend though, when he's in trouble. And 117 00:06:35,000 --> 00:06:38,080 Speaker 1: I think it explains why that on a day like 118 00:06:38,160 --> 00:06:41,080 Speaker 1: Christmas Day, when most of us the last thing we're 119 00:06:41,080 --> 00:06:44,840 Speaker 1: going to be doing is behaving lonely on the internet, 120 00:06:46,480 --> 00:06:51,240 Speaker 1: he does. And it is most people ignore it, Most 121 00:06:51,279 --> 00:06:54,560 Speaker 1: people don't see it. I do view it as some 122 00:06:54,600 --> 00:06:56,760 Speaker 1: sort of, you know, personal cry for help, which is 123 00:06:56,800 --> 00:07:00,360 Speaker 1: why I very much think that his is so social 124 00:07:01,080 --> 00:07:04,080 Speaker 1: issues really do are a part of sort of the 125 00:07:04,160 --> 00:07:07,560 Speaker 1: lack of character that he has to be leader of 126 00:07:07,560 --> 00:07:10,120 Speaker 1: the free world. But that's not where I want to 127 00:07:10,160 --> 00:07:13,320 Speaker 1: focus that conversation, because what I really want to there 128 00:07:13,360 --> 00:07:16,880 Speaker 1: is something else that we learned via his feed all 129 00:07:16,920 --> 00:07:20,400 Speaker 1: through the Christmas sort of that thirty six hour period 130 00:07:20,600 --> 00:07:22,680 Speaker 1: of a little bit before Christmas Day and a little 131 00:07:22,720 --> 00:07:25,520 Speaker 1: bit of after Christmas Day, and that is sort of 132 00:07:29,360 --> 00:07:31,880 Speaker 1: the Trump doctrine was on full display. Right If you're 133 00:07:31,880 --> 00:07:35,040 Speaker 1: looking for a consistent moral compass in American form policy 134 00:07:35,120 --> 00:07:38,040 Speaker 1: right now, you're not just looking in the wrong place. 135 00:07:38,280 --> 00:07:41,560 Speaker 1: You're looking at a map that's been rewritten by a sharpie. 136 00:07:42,520 --> 00:07:45,560 Speaker 1: And if you want to understand what I mean by that, 137 00:07:45,640 --> 00:07:48,600 Speaker 1: don't start with this national security strategy, which I've already 138 00:07:49,840 --> 00:07:52,760 Speaker 1: explained in detail a few episodes ago. Don't start with 139 00:07:52,800 --> 00:07:55,200 Speaker 1: a Pentagon brief. Instead, you have to start with the 140 00:07:55,240 --> 00:07:58,880 Speaker 1: truth social feed of Donald Trump's on Christmas Day, because 141 00:07:58,880 --> 00:08:01,760 Speaker 1: over that thirty six hours stretch Christmas Eve Christmas Day 142 00:08:01,960 --> 00:08:05,360 Speaker 1: in the morning effort, you actually could see the entire 143 00:08:05,480 --> 00:08:10,080 Speaker 1: Trump second term worldview play out in real time. There 144 00:08:10,080 --> 00:08:13,560 Speaker 1: were holiday greetings, there were religious proclamations, there were threats, 145 00:08:13,640 --> 00:08:17,880 Speaker 1: there were missile strikes, there were deportation talks, ominous warnings 146 00:08:18,560 --> 00:08:21,320 Speaker 1: that sounded more like a mob boss than a head 147 00:08:21,360 --> 00:08:25,320 Speaker 1: of state. And it wasn't chaos. It wasn't doctrine. It 148 00:08:25,440 --> 00:08:27,880 Speaker 1: was just simply doctrine. It was not chaos. So let's 149 00:08:27,880 --> 00:08:30,120 Speaker 1: walk through it all. So in the twenty four hours 150 00:08:30,120 --> 00:08:34,040 Speaker 1: before Christmas, Donald Trump was already setting the tone. He's 151 00:08:34,040 --> 00:08:37,400 Speaker 1: doing the Norad Santa calls, right, the simplest thing you're 152 00:08:37,400 --> 00:08:39,480 Speaker 1: supposed to do as president, you know, having a little 153 00:08:39,480 --> 00:08:42,480 Speaker 1: fun with Norad is santaw Are we tracking Santa around 154 00:08:42,480 --> 00:08:45,959 Speaker 1: the globe? But even there he's warning about quote bad 155 00:08:46,080 --> 00:08:51,800 Speaker 1: Santas infiltrating the country border rhetoric wrapped in tinsel. By 156 00:08:51,840 --> 00:08:54,720 Speaker 1: the way, it sounds like Donald Trump is a fan 157 00:08:54,800 --> 00:08:59,960 Speaker 1: of my single favorite Cheech and Chung record that I own. 158 00:09:00,000 --> 00:09:05,439 Speaker 1: I'm done forty five, and that is his tale of 159 00:09:05,480 --> 00:09:12,560 Speaker 1: Santa Claus where he's stopped by border patrol. Anyway, it is. 160 00:09:12,720 --> 00:09:16,200 Speaker 1: If you've never heard Cheech and Chong and Santa Claus, 161 00:09:16,280 --> 00:09:19,160 Speaker 1: please it's Cheech. Tell him the story of Santa Claus 162 00:09:19,559 --> 00:09:24,360 Speaker 1: to John it's amazing, It's fantastic, and I used to 163 00:09:24,440 --> 00:09:26,800 Speaker 1: have it memorized at the age of eight. Don't judge 164 00:09:26,800 --> 00:09:32,720 Speaker 1: my parents. So he's talking about bad Santam. Then comes 165 00:09:32,760 --> 00:09:35,400 Speaker 1: the now famous post wishing Merry Christmas to the of course, 166 00:09:35,480 --> 00:09:38,920 Speaker 1: radical left scum, so he always wants to attack fellow 167 00:09:38,960 --> 00:09:41,400 Speaker 1: human beings, call them scum if they politically don't agree 168 00:09:41,440 --> 00:09:45,480 Speaker 1: with him. Again, pretty much the worst attribute any US 169 00:09:45,520 --> 00:09:48,480 Speaker 1: president could have, particularly this one. Then, of course there's 170 00:09:48,480 --> 00:09:50,680 Speaker 1: he attacks on the media, the threats to review broadcast 171 00:09:50,720 --> 00:09:53,560 Speaker 1: licenses because he was mad, because again he's lonely and 172 00:09:53,600 --> 00:09:56,320 Speaker 1: he has nothing to do but watch television, watch late television. 173 00:09:56,360 --> 00:09:59,200 Speaker 1: He gets mad and they're making jokes at his expense, 174 00:09:59,280 --> 00:10:02,679 Speaker 1: and he feels isolated. All of this was before Christmas dinner, 175 00:10:03,760 --> 00:10:07,320 Speaker 1: and then on Christmas Day itself at escalated. Early Christmas morning, 176 00:10:07,320 --> 00:10:10,559 Speaker 1: the President announces that there are US military strikes in Nigeria, 177 00:10:10,600 --> 00:10:13,280 Speaker 1: and he's described them as quote powerful and deadly against 178 00:10:13,320 --> 00:10:17,640 Speaker 1: the ISIS affiliated militants. Now, obviously it was very important 179 00:10:17,800 --> 00:10:21,080 Speaker 1: for him to create legal justification by claiming this was 180 00:10:21,160 --> 00:10:26,000 Speaker 1: ISIS affiliated militants. Okay, but listen, but do listen carefully 181 00:10:26,040 --> 00:10:30,040 Speaker 1: to the language. This wasn't about counter terrorism capacity, it 182 00:10:30,080 --> 00:10:33,880 Speaker 1: wasn't even about Nigerian sovereignty, and it wasn't even about 183 00:10:33,920 --> 00:10:37,439 Speaker 1: regional stability. It was simply about religion. The president framed 184 00:10:37,440 --> 00:10:39,800 Speaker 1: the strikes as a defense of Christians from what he 185 00:10:39,880 --> 00:10:44,320 Speaker 1: calls slaughter. He literally wishes a merry Christmas to quote 186 00:10:44,400 --> 00:10:51,320 Speaker 1: the dead terrorists. That's not policy language, that's civilization language. Okay. 187 00:10:51,360 --> 00:10:54,920 Speaker 1: And in Nigeria, America isn't acting like a strategic partner. 188 00:10:56,080 --> 00:10:59,880 Speaker 1: It's acting like a moral avenger. He literally thinks of 189 00:11:00,080 --> 00:11:03,040 Speaker 1: this as part of the crusades. This is the first 190 00:11:03,120 --> 00:11:07,600 Speaker 1: color of the Trump doctrine religious identity as a justification 191 00:11:07,760 --> 00:11:11,280 Speaker 1: for force. And notice something important, This only works where 192 00:11:11,280 --> 00:11:15,400 Speaker 1: the US can act unilaterally, not against non state actors 193 00:11:15,440 --> 00:11:18,600 Speaker 1: with no risk of escalation. That of course matters here. 194 00:11:18,920 --> 00:11:23,640 Speaker 1: Now let's move to Venezuela in the Western hemisphere. In Venezuela, 195 00:11:23,679 --> 00:11:26,760 Speaker 1: the language changes completely when he talks about it. Here. 196 00:11:26,840 --> 00:11:30,280 Speaker 1: It's not about faith, it's not about human rights. It's 197 00:11:30,280 --> 00:11:34,960 Speaker 1: about ownership. That's why the Minormon doctrine gets talked about 198 00:11:35,000 --> 00:11:39,440 Speaker 1: quite a bit. When trying to understand his motivation with Venezuela, 199 00:11:39,679 --> 00:11:42,520 Speaker 1: the President boats about a massive naval presence. He calls 200 00:11:42,559 --> 00:11:46,880 Speaker 1: it an armada. He talks about oil that was quote stolen, 201 00:11:48,000 --> 00:11:52,439 Speaker 1: about assets that must be returned. This isn't democracy promotion, 202 00:11:52,840 --> 00:11:56,040 Speaker 1: although I could argue that's the better justification for Venezuela, 203 00:11:56,080 --> 00:12:00,400 Speaker 1: but he never talks about that. This is repoman to see, 204 00:12:00,400 --> 00:12:04,199 Speaker 1: if you will. He sees himself as basically the thug 205 00:12:04,280 --> 00:12:07,040 Speaker 1: helping the American oil companies. The US is acting less 206 00:12:07,120 --> 00:12:09,840 Speaker 1: like a guaranter of regional stability and more like a 207 00:12:09,880 --> 00:12:15,679 Speaker 1: collection agency with aircraft carriers. That's pillar number two. Resources 208 00:12:16,120 --> 00:12:20,640 Speaker 1: justify coersion. And here's the key distinction. In Venezuela's strength 209 00:12:20,720 --> 00:12:26,800 Speaker 1: means seizing. In Nigeria, strength means striking. It's a different language, 210 00:12:26,840 --> 00:12:29,800 Speaker 1: it's the same logic. Now, let's move to Ukraine. Right, 211 00:12:29,880 --> 00:12:32,560 Speaker 1: He's going to be meeting this week and we'll see 212 00:12:32,600 --> 00:12:35,840 Speaker 1: if something happens. I'm skeptical, which is why I don't 213 00:12:35,840 --> 00:12:37,719 Speaker 1: want to make a huge deal over the meeting and 214 00:12:37,840 --> 00:12:41,360 Speaker 1: mar lago between Zelenski and Trump. But we see that 215 00:12:41,440 --> 00:12:45,239 Speaker 1: Zelensky is at least trying to keep Trump from striking, 216 00:12:45,840 --> 00:12:48,720 Speaker 1: you know, essentially some sort of compact with Russia and 217 00:12:48,920 --> 00:12:52,079 Speaker 1: essentially leaving Ukraine on their own. So let's compare both 218 00:12:52,080 --> 00:12:54,760 Speaker 1: of Nigeria and Venezuela to the Ukraine situation, because this 219 00:12:54,840 --> 00:12:58,520 Speaker 1: is where the moral code completely disappears. In Ukraine, the 220 00:12:58,600 --> 00:13:02,920 Speaker 1: rhetoric isn't about civilization, not least from Trump's point of view. 221 00:13:02,920 --> 00:13:06,079 Speaker 1: It isn't about resources at least not upfront. It's about 222 00:13:06,200 --> 00:13:09,640 Speaker 1: ending the bloodshed, which sounds noble until you look at 223 00:13:09,679 --> 00:13:16,600 Speaker 1: the mechanics. Military aid paused, intelligence sharing throttled. Then the 224 00:13:16,679 --> 00:13:19,760 Speaker 1: pressure is applied not to the invader, but to the person, 225 00:13:20,240 --> 00:13:23,800 Speaker 1: to the entity that was invaded. And what's quietly folded 226 00:13:23,800 --> 00:13:27,240 Speaker 1: into this so called peace plan a minerals deal that 227 00:13:27,320 --> 00:13:32,319 Speaker 1: benefits only the United States lithium titanium, uranium. So Ukraine's 228 00:13:32,320 --> 00:13:37,199 Speaker 1: sovereignty is simply collateral. This is pillar number three. Negotiating 229 00:13:37,280 --> 00:13:42,440 Speaker 1: leverage beats moral clarity. So in Nigeria we fire missiles. 230 00:13:42,880 --> 00:13:46,640 Speaker 1: In Venezuela, we blockade ports. In Ukraine we walk away 231 00:13:46,679 --> 00:13:50,479 Speaker 1: and call it strength. So the question is how inconsistent 232 00:13:50,600 --> 00:13:54,160 Speaker 1: is all of this? Is it inconsistency or is it 233 00:13:54,200 --> 00:13:58,160 Speaker 1: simply a system, Because there are many critics. On one hand, 234 00:13:58,200 --> 00:13:59,959 Speaker 1: you look at this, you say this is not coherent 235 00:14:00,120 --> 00:14:03,920 Speaker 1: at all. It's completely incoherent. But it depends on how 236 00:14:03,960 --> 00:14:06,840 Speaker 1: you look at how Trump use thinks. And if you 237 00:14:06,880 --> 00:14:11,760 Speaker 1: look at it through the umbrella of selective transactionalism, well 238 00:14:11,800 --> 00:14:16,240 Speaker 1: then it all starts to work together. Military force is 239 00:14:16,360 --> 00:14:20,000 Speaker 1: used when the enemy fits a domestic political narrative Christians 240 00:14:20,000 --> 00:14:24,000 Speaker 1: for the evangelical base, migrants. When it comes to Venezuela, 241 00:14:24,360 --> 00:14:26,840 Speaker 1: the cost is low, right then, as well as not 242 00:14:26,880 --> 00:14:31,640 Speaker 1: really attacking the United States, neither's Nigeria, and the leverage 243 00:14:31,720 --> 00:14:35,280 Speaker 1: is total. When those conditions don't exist, like confronting Vladimir 244 00:14:35,320 --> 00:14:40,640 Speaker 1: Putin or Shijing Ping, the moral language just completely vanishes. 245 00:14:41,400 --> 00:14:44,000 Speaker 1: That's why there are no missile strikes over the Wigers 246 00:14:44,000 --> 00:14:50,360 Speaker 1: in China. Right, what's the difference between protecting that religious 247 00:14:50,400 --> 00:14:54,360 Speaker 1: minority versus what the persecution of Muslims in Western China 248 00:14:54,440 --> 00:14:58,720 Speaker 1: versus the persecution of Christians in Nigeria. That's why me 249 00:14:58,800 --> 00:15:06,320 Speaker 1: and Mark gets ignored, same thing. Religious minorities essentially a genocide. 250 00:15:06,760 --> 00:15:10,600 Speaker 1: That's why Ukraine gets a spreadsheet instead of a shield. Right. 251 00:15:11,280 --> 00:15:16,320 Speaker 1: So the question is what kind of long term change 252 00:15:16,480 --> 00:15:20,840 Speaker 1: does this create with America's relationship with the world. I 253 00:15:20,880 --> 00:15:24,440 Speaker 1: personally think this is damaging us for a generation, and 254 00:15:24,480 --> 00:15:27,880 Speaker 1: it's going to take us a generation to win back 255 00:15:28,000 --> 00:15:34,080 Speaker 1: enough allies to restore freedom and democracy around the world. Okay, 256 00:15:34,120 --> 00:15:37,320 Speaker 1: and you can call me an expansion US all you want. Yeah, 257 00:15:37,360 --> 00:15:41,280 Speaker 1: I am pro democracy and pro freedom. I know that 258 00:15:41,440 --> 00:15:46,560 Speaker 1: every civilization, every tribe, will take a different path to 259 00:15:46,560 --> 00:15:50,480 Speaker 1: get there. But ultimately I believe in what was written 260 00:15:50,480 --> 00:15:55,000 Speaker 1: in the Declaration of Independence that we have inalienable rights. 261 00:15:55,480 --> 00:15:58,560 Speaker 1: So what do our ally see in all this, Well, 262 00:15:58,560 --> 00:16:01,160 Speaker 1: here's the part there I think matters. This isn't changing 263 00:16:01,200 --> 00:16:04,240 Speaker 1: American form policy, but it is changing how Americas perceive 264 00:16:04,640 --> 00:16:07,680 Speaker 1: and europe leaders no longer are whispering about this issue anymore. 265 00:16:07,720 --> 00:16:11,760 Speaker 1: They're openly talking about what's called strategic autonomy. Translation, we 266 00:16:11,800 --> 00:16:16,240 Speaker 1: don't trust Washington and we can't trust America anymore. Some 267 00:16:17,200 --> 00:16:20,000 Speaker 1: that are very much in the isolation of Swings say, good, 268 00:16:20,040 --> 00:16:22,560 Speaker 1: Europe should pay for their own security. America shouldn't be 269 00:16:22,640 --> 00:16:26,200 Speaker 1: doing it. To this, I'm always ready to respond with, Okay, 270 00:16:26,240 --> 00:16:27,680 Speaker 1: I get it. You don't want America to be the 271 00:16:27,720 --> 00:16:30,560 Speaker 1: world's beacop, but you do know somebody's going to be 272 00:16:30,600 --> 00:16:32,960 Speaker 1: the world's beacup. You really want Putin and she to 273 00:16:33,040 --> 00:16:34,800 Speaker 1: decide who the beat cop is or do you want 274 00:16:34,840 --> 00:16:37,480 Speaker 1: the United States to decide? But let me put a 275 00:16:37,520 --> 00:16:41,360 Speaker 1: pin in that. In Nigeria, officials are scrambling to have 276 00:16:41,440 --> 00:16:44,400 Speaker 1: to walk back to the religious framing because they're now 277 00:16:44,400 --> 00:16:48,320 Speaker 1: turning a counter terrorism operation legit counter terrorism. This is 278 00:16:48,400 --> 00:16:52,640 Speaker 1: radical extremism. This isn't about some crusade fight between the 279 00:16:52,680 --> 00:16:55,840 Speaker 1: Christians and Muslims, although I do think the president's trying 280 00:16:55,840 --> 00:16:58,920 Speaker 1: to appease a small group of people in this country 281 00:16:58,920 --> 00:17:04,359 Speaker 1: who do see it is but they're turning this count 282 00:17:04,560 --> 00:17:06,880 Speaker 1: when you turn a counter terrorism operation into a quote 283 00:17:06,880 --> 00:17:11,280 Speaker 1: religious crusade. What Nigerians fear is that this is going 284 00:17:11,320 --> 00:17:13,520 Speaker 1: to put a target on their own citizens, because if 285 00:17:13,560 --> 00:17:18,520 Speaker 1: you start to justify killing via God rather than sort 286 00:17:18,520 --> 00:17:23,560 Speaker 1: of via the actual humans living on this planet, that 287 00:17:23,760 --> 00:17:26,439 Speaker 1: is how you get more bloodshed, and that's how you 288 00:17:26,480 --> 00:17:30,840 Speaker 1: get no remorse with that bloodshed. In Latin America, governments 289 00:17:30,840 --> 00:17:34,560 Speaker 1: that dislike Maduro are alarmed at the America's behavior because 290 00:17:34,920 --> 00:17:40,439 Speaker 1: if oil seizures become precedent, then any resource rich country 291 00:17:40,440 --> 00:17:44,000 Speaker 1: in Latin America could be next. America isn't being seen 292 00:17:44,080 --> 00:17:47,320 Speaker 1: as unreliable, it's simply being seen as transactional, frankly, no 293 00:17:47,359 --> 00:17:50,040 Speaker 1: different than China. And if we're going to behave the 294 00:17:50,080 --> 00:17:53,960 Speaker 1: exact same way China does, which is essentially transactional, pure 295 00:17:53,960 --> 00:17:57,720 Speaker 1: and simple, then don't be surprised when people that used 296 00:17:57,760 --> 00:18:00,320 Speaker 1: to be our all I say, huh, maybe I'll get 297 00:18:00,320 --> 00:18:05,680 Speaker 1: a better deal from China. That's kind of a problem, 298 00:18:05,800 --> 00:18:09,080 Speaker 1: don't you think? Which gives us leads me to what 299 00:18:09,119 --> 00:18:11,600 Speaker 1: I believe is a grand problem. Now, So, for seventy 300 00:18:11,600 --> 00:18:15,040 Speaker 1: five years, rightly or wrongly, America sold one idea. We 301 00:18:15,119 --> 00:18:19,600 Speaker 1: sold the idea that borders matter, that sovereignty matters. And 302 00:18:19,720 --> 00:18:23,680 Speaker 1: look what we did to defend the sovereignty of Kuwait successfully. 303 00:18:23,720 --> 00:18:28,000 Speaker 1: Mind you, force is constrained by an accepted set of rules. 304 00:18:28,800 --> 00:18:32,120 Speaker 1: Now the rule is simple, what's in it for us? 305 00:18:32,520 --> 00:18:36,200 Speaker 1: And can we enforce it? That's not leadership. It's essentially 306 00:18:36,280 --> 00:18:39,040 Speaker 1: portfolio management. Right. He sees himself as the head of 307 00:18:39,040 --> 00:18:44,200 Speaker 1: a private equity fund who's just trying to make that 308 00:18:44,359 --> 00:18:51,840 Speaker 1: fund more financially bigger, wealthier, etcetera. And here's the but 309 00:18:51,880 --> 00:18:55,240 Speaker 1: here's the dangers. If allies don't want to be our customers, 310 00:18:55,760 --> 00:19:01,959 Speaker 1: they're going to shop around, Hello Beijing. And if credibility 311 00:19:02,000 --> 00:19:07,040 Speaker 1: becomes conditional, partnerships will become extraordinarily temporary. So in a 312 00:19:07,080 --> 00:19:10,000 Speaker 1: world with Moscow in Beijing, this is again Putin's worldview, 313 00:19:10,119 --> 00:19:13,840 Speaker 1: is everything's transactional. There is no moral clarity, There is 314 00:19:13,920 --> 00:19:20,840 Speaker 1: no democracy's bullshit as far as Putin's concerned. And if 315 00:19:20,920 --> 00:19:23,840 Speaker 1: we accept his worldview, which Donald Trump does, this is 316 00:19:23,880 --> 00:19:27,480 Speaker 1: the huge problem. And so does she and that's why 317 00:19:27,480 --> 00:19:32,040 Speaker 1: he gravitates. That's why he won't confront when they violate norms, 318 00:19:32,480 --> 00:19:35,239 Speaker 1: but he will confront anybody else who's quote smaller than 319 00:19:35,280 --> 00:19:39,440 Speaker 1: the United States when they do. I think it leaves 320 00:19:39,520 --> 00:19:43,959 Speaker 1: us very vulnerable. So here's the problem. Trump might get 321 00:19:44,000 --> 00:19:46,520 Speaker 1: a few short term wins here. Hey, look, he protected 322 00:19:47,000 --> 00:19:50,560 Speaker 1: a handful of Christians in Nigeria. Maybe maybe he took 323 00:19:50,560 --> 00:19:55,240 Speaker 1: out ISIS, or maybe he just radicalized religious extremists even 324 00:19:55,240 --> 00:20:01,000 Speaker 1: more in Nigeria. Seizing a tanker, Okay, you're going to 325 00:20:01,000 --> 00:20:04,800 Speaker 1: create regime change and Venezuela. Are we going to manage that? 326 00:20:05,320 --> 00:20:08,120 Speaker 1: Or are we just going to walk away and let 327 00:20:08,119 --> 00:20:13,000 Speaker 1: the chips fall where they may not? Managing dictatorships that 328 00:20:13,080 --> 00:20:17,080 Speaker 1: fall and helping with it leads to some really bad outcomes. 329 00:20:17,720 --> 00:20:21,399 Speaker 1: See my time podcast Time Machine segments on the Ottoman 330 00:20:21,480 --> 00:20:26,240 Speaker 1: Empire and the fall of the Soviet Union basically another empire. 331 00:20:29,680 --> 00:20:31,920 Speaker 1: But you can lose the one asset. We are losing 332 00:20:32,000 --> 00:20:35,840 Speaker 1: the one asset that mattered a lot, and it's frankly 333 00:20:35,840 --> 00:20:38,880 Speaker 1: an asset we talk about in my fight to restore 334 00:20:40,600 --> 00:20:45,000 Speaker 1: legitimacy and media, and that is trust. And once trust 335 00:20:45,040 --> 00:20:48,520 Speaker 1: is gone, no amount of missiles, minerals or holiday posts 336 00:20:48,560 --> 00:20:51,600 Speaker 1: can buy it back. We're not leading the world right now. 337 00:20:52,359 --> 00:20:56,240 Speaker 1: We're negotiating it one transaction of a time, and that's 338 00:20:56,240 --> 00:20:58,639 Speaker 1: an extraordinarily risky thing for us to do. And we 339 00:20:59,240 --> 00:21:04,600 Speaker 1: ignore he's crazy on his social media posts because we think, hell, 340 00:21:04,800 --> 00:21:08,399 Speaker 1: you know, he's all bark, very little bite. But the 341 00:21:08,400 --> 00:21:11,240 Speaker 1: bites he does do and I agree the bites are 342 00:21:11,240 --> 00:21:13,440 Speaker 1: smaller than you think. But the bites that he does 343 00:21:13,520 --> 00:21:18,679 Speaker 1: do sets us back, sets us back on trust around 344 00:21:18,680 --> 00:21:20,960 Speaker 1: the world. Just like he has done. He wants to 345 00:21:21,040 --> 00:21:25,480 Speaker 1: any institution that has ever been legitimate, he tries to delegitimize. 346 00:21:25,520 --> 00:21:28,080 Speaker 1: He did it with NATO, He's done it with mainstream media. 347 00:21:28,520 --> 00:21:31,120 Speaker 1: He does it. He does it in so many aspects, 348 00:21:31,200 --> 00:21:35,040 Speaker 1: does it with the rule of law. He just you know, 349 00:21:35,359 --> 00:21:38,159 Speaker 1: it is it is. He is in some ways, like 350 00:21:38,200 --> 00:21:39,919 Speaker 1: I said, I want to be TV. I've called him 351 00:21:39,960 --> 00:21:44,399 Speaker 1: this before, a want to be TV mobster. Real mobsters 352 00:21:45,320 --> 00:21:49,520 Speaker 1: are sort of smaller, and heeddier and not as and 353 00:21:49,600 --> 00:21:51,920 Speaker 1: not as glamorous as Trump builds him up in his head. 354 00:21:51,960 --> 00:21:55,840 Speaker 1: But Trump is a creature of fiction, right, he is not. 355 00:21:56,520 --> 00:21:59,960 Speaker 1: His ideal is something he saw in a movie or 356 00:22:00,080 --> 00:22:04,160 Speaker 1: on a television show. It's not something that's actually existed. Right. 357 00:22:04,240 --> 00:22:07,719 Speaker 1: This has always been the disconnect between the Donald Trump 358 00:22:08,080 --> 00:22:12,280 Speaker 1: version of America and the actual version of America. What 359 00:22:12,480 --> 00:22:14,399 Speaker 1: the America he wants to make great again is the 360 00:22:14,400 --> 00:22:18,000 Speaker 1: one he saw via John Wayne films. Right, it's not 361 00:22:18,160 --> 00:22:21,240 Speaker 1: the America that actually existed in the fifties and sixties. 362 00:22:22,600 --> 00:22:24,240 Speaker 1: And so it is a bit of a fantasy, and 363 00:22:24,280 --> 00:22:26,560 Speaker 1: it's just like what kind of leader he wants to be. 364 00:22:26,640 --> 00:22:31,639 Speaker 1: He admires guys like John Gottie On, an actual mobster, 365 00:22:31,680 --> 00:22:35,240 Speaker 1: but he also admires people like Putin. He does admire 366 00:22:35,359 --> 00:22:39,480 Speaker 1: people like Tony Soprano, a fictional mobster, because of the 367 00:22:39,520 --> 00:22:43,600 Speaker 1: total and complete control they had. And that's ultimately it's clear, 368 00:22:44,080 --> 00:22:46,920 Speaker 1: whatever it is that he's never had in his life, 369 00:22:47,080 --> 00:22:50,840 Speaker 1: he keeps looking for something to have more control, to 370 00:22:50,960 --> 00:22:54,840 Speaker 1: be in charge, to be venerated, to be resp whatever 371 00:22:54,920 --> 00:22:57,360 Speaker 1: it is he's and in some ways I've always said, 372 00:22:57,440 --> 00:23:00,439 Speaker 1: lucky for us, he's still looking for some sort of 373 00:23:01,760 --> 00:23:05,400 Speaker 1: human acknowledgment of his existence, which in some ways may 374 00:23:05,400 --> 00:23:09,159 Speaker 1: explain why he behaves the way he behaves. Right, He 375 00:23:09,240 --> 00:23:12,560 Speaker 1: is desperate for affection. I've seen it myself when I 376 00:23:12,560 --> 00:23:16,120 Speaker 1: compared him to FDR. I didn't compare him positively or negatively. 377 00:23:16,160 --> 00:23:18,879 Speaker 1: I just compared him factually. He saw it as a 378 00:23:18,920 --> 00:23:21,359 Speaker 1: positive because that's what he wants. He wants to be 379 00:23:21,480 --> 00:23:25,040 Speaker 1: seen as bigger than the moment. He wants to be 380 00:23:25,119 --> 00:23:30,160 Speaker 1: seen as somebody who were all stuck learning about in history, 381 00:23:30,160 --> 00:23:33,280 Speaker 1: whether we like it or not. And in some ways 382 00:23:33,280 --> 00:23:38,800 Speaker 1: he thinks, great people, your greatness is measured by how 383 00:23:38,880 --> 00:23:42,080 Speaker 1: much impact you have, regardless of whether that impact is 384 00:23:42,119 --> 00:23:45,840 Speaker 1: positive or negative. I really truly, and this to me 385 00:23:45,960 --> 00:23:50,920 Speaker 1: has always been the warning side. You know it does. 386 00:23:50,960 --> 00:23:53,920 Speaker 1: I mean, it's alarming what we may end up doing 387 00:23:53,960 --> 00:23:59,080 Speaker 1: with Ukraine. Now I'm pretty confident the unintended consequence of 388 00:23:59,760 --> 00:24:03,280 Speaker 1: this isolationist foreign policy, that the pres the sort of 389 00:24:03,320 --> 00:24:07,280 Speaker 1: transactional semi isolation of foreign policies sort of anti Europe, 390 00:24:08,080 --> 00:24:10,199 Speaker 1: is that it's going to strengthen Europe and it's going 391 00:24:10,200 --> 00:24:12,960 Speaker 1: to make the European Union a more an actual competitor 392 00:24:13,000 --> 00:24:18,000 Speaker 1: to us economically. It's going to strengthen Europe's involvement in 393 00:24:18,080 --> 00:24:22,320 Speaker 1: NATO in such a way that we may we may 394 00:24:22,480 --> 00:24:26,560 Speaker 1: miss the influence we once have. So I do think 395 00:24:26,560 --> 00:24:30,200 Speaker 1: there's and that's the thing, right, there's always unintended consequences 396 00:24:30,240 --> 00:24:35,640 Speaker 1: that develop when we try to engineer the world through 397 00:24:35,720 --> 00:24:39,720 Speaker 1: our prism, and we want everybody to see things absolutely 398 00:24:39,840 --> 00:24:42,159 Speaker 1: through through the prism of of how he wants to 399 00:24:42,200 --> 00:24:45,400 Speaker 1: make things. Everybody else gets to say in this too. 400 00:24:47,440 --> 00:24:50,080 Speaker 1: And while it looks like there's no consistency into this 401 00:24:50,119 --> 00:24:53,679 Speaker 1: foreign policy, we are starting to see a consistency. He 402 00:24:53,760 --> 00:24:57,000 Speaker 1: picks on smaller entities to try to make a point. 403 00:24:57,760 --> 00:25:00,600 Speaker 1: He ultimately sees things, as you know, like he did 404 00:25:00,600 --> 00:25:02,520 Speaker 1: with the Iraqi oil. He still to this day believes 405 00:25:02,520 --> 00:25:05,240 Speaker 1: that oil belongs to America since we helped liberate Iraq, 406 00:25:05,480 --> 00:25:08,320 Speaker 1: that that should be the price. Everything is a transaction, 407 00:25:09,480 --> 00:25:13,679 Speaker 1: which is the exact worldview that Vladimir Putin has been 408 00:25:13,720 --> 00:25:17,679 Speaker 1: preaching since he took office at the start of this 409 00:25:17,720 --> 00:25:20,560 Speaker 1: twenty first century. All right, So with that we will 410 00:25:20,560 --> 00:25:27,639 Speaker 1: transition from one Christmas Day unpacking of our politics to 411 00:25:28,359 --> 00:25:30,960 Speaker 1: the other issue that pops up every Christmas Day, the 412 00:25:31,000 --> 00:25:33,679 Speaker 1: relevance and interest of NBA basketball. How's that for a 413 00:25:33,720 --> 00:25:38,240 Speaker 1: really rough transition. I kid, let's sneak in a break 414 00:25:38,359 --> 00:25:41,160 Speaker 1: when we come back, your own Whitesman on his book, 415 00:25:41,160 --> 00:25:45,000 Speaker 1: A Hollywood ending Lebron and the Lakers and what has 416 00:25:45,040 --> 00:25:50,800 Speaker 1: been an uncomfortable partnership. Right is Lebron James is always 417 00:25:50,800 --> 00:25:52,920 Speaker 1: going to be at least number four on the all 418 00:25:52,960 --> 00:25:57,879 Speaker 1: time Laker list, right behind Magic Kobe. And there's a 419 00:25:57,920 --> 00:26:01,080 Speaker 1: real there's a real generation well debate of who's won 420 00:26:01,400 --> 00:26:04,560 Speaker 1: Magic or Kobe both have five titles? Who's won on 421 00:26:04,600 --> 00:26:07,120 Speaker 1: that one? I know where I come down. Then there's 422 00:26:07,200 --> 00:26:10,560 Speaker 1: Kareem who some argue should be above all of them, right. 423 00:26:11,240 --> 00:26:14,800 Speaker 1: Then there's Wilt Chamberlain on Lebron James kind of no 424 00:26:15,000 --> 00:26:20,760 Speaker 1: madish all timers who were mostly associated, who were associated 425 00:26:20,760 --> 00:26:23,600 Speaker 1: with the Lakers for a time, who did great things 426 00:26:23,600 --> 00:26:28,480 Speaker 1: on other franchises, and sort of I think the questions 427 00:26:28,520 --> 00:26:31,119 Speaker 1: are they Lakers or not? And you know what I 428 00:26:31,160 --> 00:26:34,399 Speaker 1: mean when I asked that question. All right, let's sneak 429 00:26:34,400 --> 00:26:39,760 Speaker 1: in the break. You're on Whitesmith, the Native's side. It's 430 00:26:39,760 --> 00:26:42,680 Speaker 1: sponsorship time. But you know what, it's really great when 431 00:26:42,680 --> 00:26:46,200 Speaker 1: you get a sponsor that you already use. And guess what. 432 00:26:46,320 --> 00:26:49,320 Speaker 1: Quins is something that in the tod household we already 433 00:26:49,320 --> 00:26:50,919 Speaker 1: go to. Why do we go to Quin's Because it's 434 00:26:50,960 --> 00:26:52,800 Speaker 1: a It's a place you go where you can get 435 00:26:52,800 --> 00:26:56,360 Speaker 1: some really nice clothes without the really expensive prices. And 436 00:26:56,640 --> 00:26:58,480 Speaker 1: one of the things I've been going through is I've 437 00:26:58,480 --> 00:27:02,359 Speaker 1: transitioned from being mister Cotini guy to wanting a little 438 00:27:02,359 --> 00:27:05,159 Speaker 1: more casual but to look nice doing it. Is I 439 00:27:05,280 --> 00:27:08,080 Speaker 1: become mister quarter zip guy? Well, guess what. Guess it's 440 00:27:08,080 --> 00:27:12,159 Speaker 1: got amazing amounts of quarter zips. It is quints. I 441 00:27:12,240 --> 00:27:16,040 Speaker 1: have gotten quite a few already from there. The stuff's 442 00:27:16,080 --> 00:27:20,320 Speaker 1: really nice. They have Mongolian cashmere sweaters for fifty dollars. 443 00:27:20,440 --> 00:27:22,960 Speaker 1: I just know, hey, cashmere, that's pretty good. You don't 444 00:27:22,960 --> 00:27:26,000 Speaker 1: normally get that for fifty bucks or less. Italian wool 445 00:27:26,080 --> 00:27:28,880 Speaker 1: coats that look and feel like designer the stuff. I'll 446 00:27:28,920 --> 00:27:30,720 Speaker 1: be honest, right, you look at it online, you think, okay, 447 00:27:30,800 --> 00:27:32,280 Speaker 1: is this really as nice as it looks? Well, when 448 00:27:32,320 --> 00:27:34,240 Speaker 1: I got it, I was like, oh, this is real quality. 449 00:27:34,320 --> 00:27:36,720 Speaker 1: So yeah, I'm going to end up making sure I 450 00:27:36,720 --> 00:27:38,720 Speaker 1: take it to my dry cleaner so I don't screw 451 00:27:38,720 --> 00:27:41,760 Speaker 1: it up when I clean it. But I've been quite impressed. 452 00:27:41,760 --> 00:27:45,160 Speaker 1: In Hey, it's holiday season. It is impossible to shop 453 00:27:45,640 --> 00:27:48,399 Speaker 1: for us middle aged men. I know this well. Tell 454 00:27:48,440 --> 00:27:52,080 Speaker 1: your kids, tell your spouses, tell your partners. Try Quints. 455 00:27:52,320 --> 00:27:54,359 Speaker 1: Or if you're trying to figure out what to get 456 00:27:54,440 --> 00:27:57,439 Speaker 1: your adult child, what to get your mom or dad, 457 00:27:57,640 --> 00:27:59,639 Speaker 1: I'm telling you you're going to find something that is 458 00:27:59,680 --> 00:28:02,480 Speaker 1: going to be comfortable for them on Quints. So get 459 00:28:02,520 --> 00:28:06,199 Speaker 1: your wardrobe sorted and your gift list handled with Quints. 460 00:28:06,320 --> 00:28:09,359 Speaker 1: Don't wait. Go to quints dot com slash chuck for 461 00:28:09,440 --> 00:28:12,000 Speaker 1: free shipping on your order and three hundred and sixty 462 00:28:12,000 --> 00:28:14,600 Speaker 1: five day returns now available in Canada as well. That's 463 00:28:14,760 --> 00:28:19,399 Speaker 1: q U I n C dot com slash chuck free 464 00:28:19,400 --> 00:28:22,879 Speaker 1: shipping and three hundred and sixty five day returns quints 465 00:28:22,920 --> 00:28:32,679 Speaker 1: dot com slash chuck. Use that code all right. It 466 00:28:32,760 --> 00:28:37,000 Speaker 1: is podcast time machine time, And as I teased, I'm 467 00:28:37,000 --> 00:28:39,000 Speaker 1: going to do some what ifs that you could argue 468 00:28:39,160 --> 00:28:43,360 Speaker 1: are sort of going back at a time machine but 469 00:28:43,600 --> 00:28:47,680 Speaker 1: impacting what happened and then coming back and seeing, hey, 470 00:28:47,680 --> 00:28:50,800 Speaker 1: what happened when you gave Biff the gamble, the sports 471 00:28:50,840 --> 00:28:53,840 Speaker 1: Almanac and he could go back in time and gamble 472 00:28:53,840 --> 00:28:57,240 Speaker 1: on all the actual outcomes. Right, So we'll be doing 473 00:28:57,360 --> 00:28:59,480 Speaker 1: you know, in some ways that is the distortion of 474 00:28:59,520 --> 00:29:02,520 Speaker 1: our todd Cash time Eschine segment. But I am in 475 00:29:02,760 --> 00:29:05,160 Speaker 1: straightforward mode. And as you know, just to give you 476 00:29:05,480 --> 00:29:07,600 Speaker 1: sort of the parameters of what I use it is 477 00:29:08,880 --> 00:29:12,040 Speaker 1: there is something taking place this coming week in history, 478 00:29:12,360 --> 00:29:15,680 Speaker 1: a milestone that happened. In this case, it's December thirty first, 479 00:29:16,000 --> 00:29:19,120 Speaker 1: nineteen fifty four, is where we're going back in our 480 00:29:19,160 --> 00:29:24,320 Speaker 1: Toodcast time machine. So that is and it is something 481 00:29:24,320 --> 00:29:29,720 Speaker 1: that came to an end, and I'm going to use 482 00:29:29,760 --> 00:29:32,240 Speaker 1: it to tell the story of what we are, which 483 00:29:32,280 --> 00:29:36,360 Speaker 1: is a very reluctant nation of immigrants. Let me explain. 484 00:29:38,240 --> 00:29:42,480 Speaker 1: December thirty first, nineteen fifty four, Ellis Island quietly closed 485 00:29:42,480 --> 00:29:46,080 Speaker 1: its doors to become simply a museum. There was no ceremony, 486 00:29:46,080 --> 00:29:48,880 Speaker 1: there was no speech, there was no national moment of reflection, 487 00:29:49,880 --> 00:29:52,160 Speaker 1: which is actually fitting because at the time, Ellis Island 488 00:29:52,160 --> 00:29:55,240 Speaker 1: didn't close because America stopped being a nation of immigrants. 489 00:29:55,640 --> 00:29:58,680 Speaker 1: It closed because the immigration system that built Ellis Island 490 00:29:58,720 --> 00:30:02,440 Speaker 1: no longer existed. I'm going to get to that and 491 00:30:02,480 --> 00:30:04,800 Speaker 1: that quiet ending gives us a perfect entry point into 492 00:30:04,800 --> 00:30:07,320 Speaker 1: a much bigger question, and it's one we have been 493 00:30:07,440 --> 00:30:12,040 Speaker 1: arguing about since the founding of this country. Is America 494 00:30:12,120 --> 00:30:15,400 Speaker 1: a nation of immigrants? And if we are, which factually 495 00:30:15,440 --> 00:30:19,640 Speaker 1: we are, have we always been actually a reluctant nation 496 00:30:19,960 --> 00:30:23,200 Speaker 1: of immigrants? Which is the case I'm going to make 497 00:30:23,440 --> 00:30:26,000 Speaker 1: with this time machine so to answered honestly, we do 498 00:30:26,040 --> 00:30:27,880 Speaker 1: need to strip away the nostalgia and we need to 499 00:30:27,920 --> 00:30:31,120 Speaker 1: look at what the twentieth century actually did when it 500 00:30:31,160 --> 00:30:34,000 Speaker 1: came to immigration into the United States. First, we're going 501 00:30:34,040 --> 00:30:35,880 Speaker 1: to talk about the myth and the reality of Alissimon. 502 00:30:36,320 --> 00:30:38,160 Speaker 1: At the turn of the twentieth century, immigration in the 503 00:30:38,240 --> 00:30:41,160 Speaker 1: United States was massive, It was chaotic, and it was 504 00:30:41,240 --> 00:30:47,480 Speaker 1: largely unrestricted. Allis Island processed millions of people, sometimes as 505 00:30:47,480 --> 00:30:50,400 Speaker 1: many as twelve thousand people a day, and most were 506 00:30:50,480 --> 00:30:54,160 Speaker 1: arriving by steamship from Europe. That was the primary way 507 00:30:54,200 --> 00:30:57,920 Speaker 1: we got immigrants into this country. And it is also 508 00:30:57,960 --> 00:31:02,400 Speaker 1: the version of immigration that we America love to romanticize. 509 00:31:03,200 --> 00:31:07,400 Speaker 1: But even that, there was anxiety built into that immigration 510 00:31:07,480 --> 00:31:11,400 Speaker 1: system at that time. Newspapers in that time and if 511 00:31:11,440 --> 00:31:13,520 Speaker 1: you go to Alis Island as a museum. You will 512 00:31:13,520 --> 00:31:16,200 Speaker 1: see this. As this was happening, we talk about it 513 00:31:16,240 --> 00:31:19,160 Speaker 1: as amazing Elis Island, and in fact it's a badge 514 00:31:19,200 --> 00:31:24,640 Speaker 1: of honor if you had a relative come through Ellis Island. Right, 515 00:31:24,920 --> 00:31:30,240 Speaker 1: But at the time, this is what newspapers were warning about, crime, disease, anarchists, 516 00:31:30,600 --> 00:31:36,920 Speaker 1: job competition, cultural change. In other words, America has never 517 00:31:37,000 --> 00:31:40,640 Speaker 1: experienced an immigration surge without fear attached to it. And 518 00:31:40,680 --> 00:31:43,200 Speaker 1: this has been true arguably since the very beginning, but 519 00:31:43,320 --> 00:31:47,520 Speaker 1: certainly was also all throughout the twentieth century, and by 520 00:31:47,520 --> 00:31:51,880 Speaker 1: the nineteen twenties, this fear got turned into policy that 521 00:31:51,880 --> 00:31:56,200 Speaker 1: brings us to the quota system, which actually governed America's 522 00:31:56,200 --> 00:32:00,200 Speaker 1: immigration system for basically half of the twentieth century. The 523 00:32:00,240 --> 00:32:03,800 Speaker 1: modern immigration debate really begins with this decision to restrict 524 00:32:04,600 --> 00:32:08,160 Speaker 1: entries via quota. The Immigration Act of nineteen twenty four, 525 00:32:08,240 --> 00:32:11,040 Speaker 1: which was also known as the Johnson Reid Act, created 526 00:32:11,160 --> 00:32:14,800 Speaker 1: what was a national origins quota system that fundamentally reshaped 527 00:32:14,960 --> 00:32:17,640 Speaker 1: who could come to the United States, And this decision 528 00:32:17,680 --> 00:32:21,560 Speaker 1: sort of embedded a form of racism that people now 529 00:32:21,600 --> 00:32:24,560 Speaker 1: look back on nostalgically and think, well, if America was 530 00:32:24,600 --> 00:32:27,360 Speaker 1: for it. It couldn't have been racist, but I'll get 531 00:32:27,400 --> 00:32:30,720 Speaker 1: to that. But here's what this Immigration Act did. One 532 00:32:30,760 --> 00:32:34,760 Speaker 1: it severely limited immigration from southern and Eastern Europe. As 533 00:32:34,800 --> 00:32:38,920 Speaker 1: somebody whose Jewish relatives came from Eastern Europe, let me 534 00:32:39,000 --> 00:32:41,360 Speaker 1: just say that. A lot of Jews saw that at 535 00:32:41,360 --> 00:32:46,040 Speaker 1: the time as essentially preventing Jews from coming into the 536 00:32:46,120 --> 00:32:48,400 Speaker 1: United States. But if you just made it about a 537 00:32:48,440 --> 00:32:52,280 Speaker 1: certain region of Europe, it didn't look like some sort 538 00:32:52,280 --> 00:32:57,560 Speaker 1: of restriction based on religion. The nineteen twenty four law 539 00:32:57,600 --> 00:33:02,320 Speaker 1: favored northern and western Europe and virtually excluded immigrants coming 540 00:33:02,320 --> 00:33:05,520 Speaker 1: in from Asia and Africa. Well, what it did do 541 00:33:05,840 --> 00:33:10,320 Speaker 1: immigration dropped by more than eighty percent, And this is 542 00:33:10,360 --> 00:33:14,040 Speaker 1: actually what essentially ended Ellis Island, even though thirty years 543 00:33:14,120 --> 00:33:17,400 Speaker 1: later they finally shut their doors. Because after nineteen twenty four, 544 00:33:17,480 --> 00:33:21,560 Speaker 1: most immigrants had to be approved before arriving. It used 545 00:33:21,600 --> 00:33:24,880 Speaker 1: to be you got processed once you got here. Then 546 00:33:25,320 --> 00:33:27,560 Speaker 1: in the after nineteen twenty four, you had to get 547 00:33:27,560 --> 00:33:32,480 Speaker 1: approval before you could come. Ship based mass migration completely 548 00:33:32,520 --> 00:33:35,840 Speaker 1: collapsed because of this change in law, and Ellis Island 549 00:33:35,960 --> 00:33:39,280 Speaker 1: never really operated again as a true gateway after nineteen 550 00:33:39,320 --> 00:33:41,960 Speaker 1: twenty four, and in fact, by the time Ellis Island 551 00:33:41,960 --> 00:33:44,640 Speaker 1: closes December thirty first, nineteen fifty four, it's no longer 552 00:33:44,640 --> 00:33:47,240 Speaker 1: a symbol of openness. It's simply a relic of a 553 00:33:47,280 --> 00:33:51,080 Speaker 1: system America had already had abandoned. Which brings us to 554 00:33:51,120 --> 00:33:54,480 Speaker 1: the next turning point in the immigration debate nineteen sixty 555 00:33:54,520 --> 00:33:57,680 Speaker 1: five and what lawmakers thought they were doing versus what 556 00:33:57,920 --> 00:34:01,640 Speaker 1: ended up happening. And this arguable is the most consequential 557 00:34:02,160 --> 00:34:08,160 Speaker 1: legislation that was enacted and arguably still not fixed sense. 558 00:34:08,680 --> 00:34:11,920 Speaker 1: The Immigration and Nationality Act of nineteen sixty five is 559 00:34:11,960 --> 00:34:15,600 Speaker 1: easily one of the most misunderstood laws in American history 560 00:34:15,880 --> 00:34:18,920 Speaker 1: because it did not come due to a sudden embrace 561 00:34:18,960 --> 00:34:24,239 Speaker 1: of mass immigration. It actually came out of a civil 562 00:34:24,320 --> 00:34:27,640 Speaker 1: rights argument, and it was a Cold War inspired civil 563 00:34:27,719 --> 00:34:33,399 Speaker 1: rights argument. Yeah, I've one of my thesis in sort 564 00:34:33,440 --> 00:34:37,040 Speaker 1: of why we had less polarization during the Cold War, 565 00:34:38,480 --> 00:34:40,520 Speaker 1: And in fact, one of my major thesis is I 566 00:34:40,560 --> 00:34:42,480 Speaker 1: don't think we get the Civil Rights Act of sixty 567 00:34:42,520 --> 00:34:46,960 Speaker 1: five without the Cold War. That our fight with the Soviets, 568 00:34:46,960 --> 00:34:49,920 Speaker 1: who were we are having a propaganda war about democracy 569 00:34:50,000 --> 00:34:57,279 Speaker 1: and freedom. How could we be glamorizing democracy without giving 570 00:34:57,320 --> 00:35:00,480 Speaker 1: freedom to every American that lived in this country. So 571 00:35:01,719 --> 00:35:04,600 Speaker 1: there was the Cold War politics sort of how bring 572 00:35:04,719 --> 00:35:07,800 Speaker 1: I think both sides together on this? And I wonder 573 00:35:07,840 --> 00:35:09,879 Speaker 1: without the Cold War do we get the Civil Rights Act? 574 00:35:10,960 --> 00:35:14,120 Speaker 1: I'll save that for another what if. But by the 575 00:35:14,160 --> 00:35:18,319 Speaker 1: early sixties, the national Origins quota system was really embarrassing 576 00:35:18,719 --> 00:35:23,320 Speaker 1: for the United States internationally because it was explicitly discriminatory. 577 00:35:23,880 --> 00:35:27,400 Speaker 1: We picked and chose what ethnic origins we wanted in 578 00:35:27,440 --> 00:35:31,200 Speaker 1: which ones we didn't. We contradicted what was the civil 579 00:35:31,280 --> 00:35:34,920 Speaker 1: rights movement at home at that moment, and we undermined 580 00:35:35,000 --> 00:35:37,960 Speaker 1: US credibility abroad. And in fact, it was standing at 581 00:35:37,960 --> 00:35:41,920 Speaker 1: the Statue of Liberty that then President Lyndon B. Johnson 582 00:35:42,000 --> 00:35:46,400 Speaker 1: said the system violated quote, the basic principle of American democracy. 583 00:35:46,800 --> 00:35:50,120 Speaker 1: So he was making a moral case on immigration. But 584 00:35:50,239 --> 00:35:53,440 Speaker 1: here's the part we forgot. The law was sold to 585 00:35:53,520 --> 00:35:57,040 Speaker 1: the American public as being very modest and non transformational. 586 00:35:57,160 --> 00:35:59,880 Speaker 1: This wasn't going to have a huge impact. Supporters went 587 00:35:59,920 --> 00:36:02,520 Speaker 1: out of their way to reassure skeptics in that moment. 588 00:36:03,120 --> 00:36:06,240 Speaker 1: They argued the following this would not dramatically increase immigration. 589 00:36:06,920 --> 00:36:09,480 Speaker 1: This would not change the ethnic composition of the country, 590 00:36:09,840 --> 00:36:13,040 Speaker 1: and this was about fairness, not volume. In fact, then 591 00:36:13,160 --> 00:36:16,040 Speaker 1: Senator Ted Kennedy famblessly said the bill would not quote 592 00:36:16,080 --> 00:36:18,719 Speaker 1: flood our cities or quote upset the ethnic mix of 593 00:36:18,760 --> 00:36:22,880 Speaker 1: our society. And many critics, including labor unions, weren't focused 594 00:36:22,880 --> 00:36:26,640 Speaker 1: on race at all. They worried about job competition, wage pressure, 595 00:36:27,160 --> 00:36:30,720 Speaker 1: and whether the country could absorb more people. Those concerns 596 00:36:30,760 --> 00:36:35,799 Speaker 1: were minimized. They were sort of glossed over and attributed 597 00:36:35,840 --> 00:36:38,920 Speaker 1: frankly to Oh, you're being racist, you're being xenophobic. You're 598 00:36:38,920 --> 00:36:44,240 Speaker 1: not seeing it. So here's what Congress built. The structure 599 00:36:44,239 --> 00:36:46,479 Speaker 1: of the law mattered more than the speeches that were given. 600 00:36:47,080 --> 00:36:52,400 Speaker 1: So the law abolished the national origins quotas. It prioritized 601 00:36:52,440 --> 00:36:57,920 Speaker 1: family reunification, which was a huge aspect to this. It 602 00:36:58,040 --> 00:37:01,960 Speaker 1: created limited employment based visas, so no one fully modeled 603 00:37:01,960 --> 00:37:03,920 Speaker 1: what that all of that would mean over time. And 604 00:37:04,120 --> 00:37:09,200 Speaker 1: once one family member entered legally, then others could follow. 605 00:37:09,680 --> 00:37:12,080 Speaker 1: It was called chain migration, and it was never the 606 00:37:12,160 --> 00:37:15,440 Speaker 1: intent of the law, but it ended up being a mechanism. 607 00:37:16,160 --> 00:37:18,840 Speaker 1: The result wasn't immediate chaos, but it was steady and 608 00:37:18,920 --> 00:37:22,239 Speaker 1: sustained growth, and the shift and where immigrants came from 609 00:37:22,400 --> 00:37:25,799 Speaker 1: also changed, which brings us to the next unresolved chapter, 610 00:37:26,520 --> 00:37:29,480 Speaker 1: and that was the nineteen eighties amnesty enforcement and the 611 00:37:29,520 --> 00:37:33,640 Speaker 1: deal that didn't hold. So by the late seventies, growing 612 00:37:33,719 --> 00:37:36,440 Speaker 1: up in Miami, this was my sort of first memory 613 00:37:36,960 --> 00:37:40,800 Speaker 1: of policy debates, and it was all over Central American 614 00:37:40,880 --> 00:37:44,200 Speaker 1: and Cuban immigrants, so I had a front row seat 615 00:37:44,239 --> 00:37:46,520 Speaker 1: to this. So by the late seventies and early eighties, 616 00:37:46,600 --> 00:37:49,640 Speaker 1: a reality had become impossible to ignore. Millions of people 617 00:37:49,680 --> 00:37:51,920 Speaker 1: were already living and working in the United States illegally, 618 00:37:52,200 --> 00:37:55,640 Speaker 1: and the system had no credible answer. There wasn't This 619 00:37:55,840 --> 00:38:00,320 Speaker 1: wasn't new migration. It was simply accumulated migration, and culture 620 00:38:00,360 --> 00:38:02,360 Speaker 1: relied on it and there was no enforcement against it. 621 00:38:02,920 --> 00:38:06,719 Speaker 1: Construction relied on it, again, no enforcement against it. Restaurants 622 00:38:06,760 --> 00:38:09,160 Speaker 1: relied on it, again, no enforcement against it, and both 623 00:38:09,239 --> 00:38:12,320 Speaker 1: parties knew it. And it leads to the Immigration Reform 624 00:38:12,400 --> 00:38:15,560 Speaker 1: and Control Act signed by Ronald Reagan in nineteen eighty six, 625 00:38:16,480 --> 00:38:19,839 Speaker 1: the Mizzoli Act some people know it as the deal 626 00:38:19,920 --> 00:38:23,719 Speaker 1: had three parts legalization, so basically it gave amnesty to 627 00:38:23,800 --> 00:38:27,960 Speaker 1: about three million undocumented immigrants, they got legal status automatically. 628 00:38:29,080 --> 00:38:31,880 Speaker 1: Number two was employer sanctions. Employers were supposed to be 629 00:38:31,960 --> 00:38:36,440 Speaker 1: punished for hiring undocumented workers nineteen eighty six. Yeah, we 630 00:38:36,520 --> 00:38:39,120 Speaker 1: can't even get anybody to use e faerify today and 631 00:38:39,200 --> 00:38:41,080 Speaker 1: we didn't even have that system in place in nineteen 632 00:38:41,120 --> 00:38:43,320 Speaker 1: eighty six. And then of course there was the promise 633 00:38:43,400 --> 00:38:46,960 Speaker 1: of more border enforcement. This was a promise that this 634 00:38:47,000 --> 00:38:49,719 Speaker 1: would be a one time resent. Reagan even framed it 635 00:38:49,760 --> 00:38:53,760 Speaker 1: pretty optimistically, consistent with his worldview. It was a humane solution. 636 00:38:55,000 --> 00:38:57,640 Speaker 1: So here's why it failed. And this is the history. 637 00:38:57,719 --> 00:39:00,840 Speaker 1: The lesson history keeps teaching us on the issue. The 638 00:39:00,960 --> 00:39:06,120 Speaker 1: legalization worked, enforcement did not. Employer sanctions were very weakly enforced, 639 00:39:06,280 --> 00:39:09,279 Speaker 1: if at all. Demand for labor never did change, and 640 00:39:09,400 --> 00:39:12,440 Speaker 1: the legal pathways never did expand, so then all the 641 00:39:12,520 --> 00:39:17,719 Speaker 1: incentives remained. Chain migration essentially was the best way through, 642 00:39:18,320 --> 00:39:22,560 Speaker 1: and Congress moved on. They left the system permanently unfinished 643 00:39:23,400 --> 00:39:26,000 Speaker 1: because our politics were too complicated on this and there 644 00:39:26,080 --> 00:39:29,600 Speaker 1: was no clean left right argument. There were coalitions in 645 00:39:29,680 --> 00:39:35,360 Speaker 1: different ways that sort of really made this impossible for 646 00:39:35,480 --> 00:39:37,480 Speaker 1: one party to be the party in one way or 647 00:39:37,520 --> 00:39:39,919 Speaker 1: the other. I mean in South Florida you had Republicans 648 00:39:40,440 --> 00:39:44,440 Speaker 1: standing up for migrants and undocumented immigrants in ways that 649 00:39:44,480 --> 00:39:46,040 Speaker 1: you didn't have in other parts in the country. But 650 00:39:46,120 --> 00:39:48,680 Speaker 1: then in the Midwest you had conservative farmers. You needed 651 00:39:48,800 --> 00:39:51,239 Speaker 1: labor anyway. You know, many of you if you're listening 652 00:39:51,280 --> 00:39:55,960 Speaker 1: to this podcast, you know that story. But after eighty six, 653 00:39:56,200 --> 00:40:00,279 Speaker 1: arguably this is where our modern immigration politics are bornation 654 00:40:00,440 --> 00:40:04,000 Speaker 1: without durbal enforcement, enforcement without legal reform, and a growing 655 00:40:04,080 --> 00:40:07,920 Speaker 1: population living in limbo. And then this is where the 656 00:40:08,000 --> 00:40:11,800 Speaker 1: current era fits into all this historical contest, of course matters, 657 00:40:11,840 --> 00:40:14,120 Speaker 1: which is why I wanted to lay this out. I 658 00:40:14,160 --> 00:40:17,200 Speaker 1: thought this would be a good pretext to sort of explain, 659 00:40:17,480 --> 00:40:20,080 Speaker 1: you know, constantly, the number one question that I'm asking 660 00:40:20,200 --> 00:40:23,160 Speaker 1: is how did we get here? It's usually a follow up, 661 00:40:23,360 --> 00:40:25,360 Speaker 1: whether it's on campaign finance reform, it could be a 662 00:40:25,360 --> 00:40:28,040 Speaker 1: follow up on democracy, follow up on for policy, follow 663 00:40:28,120 --> 00:40:30,560 Speaker 1: up on character politics, follow up on the media. But 664 00:40:31,239 --> 00:40:33,440 Speaker 1: the question remains the same, how did we get here? Well, 665 00:40:33,560 --> 00:40:35,840 Speaker 1: on immigration, this is my best way of trying to 666 00:40:35,880 --> 00:40:38,759 Speaker 1: explain how did we get here? I don't know if 667 00:40:38,760 --> 00:40:41,160 Speaker 1: I've got a way out. If I did, maybe I'd 668 00:40:41,160 --> 00:40:45,520 Speaker 1: be running for office. But this is it's important to 669 00:40:45,560 --> 00:40:49,680 Speaker 1: understand the context because the Trump administration didn't invent immigration restriction, 670 00:40:50,600 --> 00:40:53,320 Speaker 1: but what they did do is rejected the optimism of 671 00:40:53,360 --> 00:40:57,560 Speaker 1: the nineteen sixty five reforms, rejected the compromise language of 672 00:40:57,600 --> 00:41:01,719 Speaker 1: the nineteen eighty six reforms heavily into enforcement, de terrence, 673 00:41:01,760 --> 00:41:07,480 Speaker 1: and symbolism. So what was new wasn't really restriction. It 674 00:41:07,640 --> 00:41:10,359 Speaker 1: was rhetoric. It was the visibility, the willingness to make 675 00:41:10,400 --> 00:41:15,880 Speaker 1: immigration the central cultural dividing line historically. This isn't a rupture. 676 00:41:16,239 --> 00:41:18,960 Speaker 1: It's actually simply a pendulum swing. It's a return to 677 00:41:19,080 --> 00:41:22,240 Speaker 1: an older American instinct. But it's one of the uglier 678 00:41:22,360 --> 00:41:25,920 Speaker 1: chapters of America. It's not the ugliest chapter, we know 679 00:41:26,000 --> 00:41:28,600 Speaker 1: what that one is, but it's one of the uglier ones, 680 00:41:29,200 --> 00:41:33,319 Speaker 1: and we're still dealing with the fallout from it, which 681 00:41:33,440 --> 00:41:35,160 Speaker 1: leads me to ask this question, are we really a 682 00:41:35,239 --> 00:41:38,880 Speaker 1: nation of immigrants? So let's answer the question as honestly 683 00:41:38,920 --> 00:41:41,279 Speaker 1: as we can. Yes, we are. We are a nation 684 00:41:41,400 --> 00:41:43,480 Speaker 1: of immigrants, and America is still more of an idea 685 00:41:43,560 --> 00:41:46,920 Speaker 1: than it is an ethnicity. But history suggests something a 686 00:41:47,000 --> 00:41:50,239 Speaker 1: bit more precise. We are a nation of immigrants, but 687 00:41:50,360 --> 00:41:53,960 Speaker 1: we're a reluctant nation of immigrants. We celebrate immigration in 688 00:41:54,080 --> 00:41:58,440 Speaker 1: retrospect once the simulation happens and once the fear fades, 689 00:41:59,040 --> 00:42:03,279 Speaker 1: But in real time, anxiety dominates, restriction follows, and the 690 00:42:03,400 --> 00:42:07,920 Speaker 1: half finished reforms pilot. Ellis Island closed because mass immigration 691 00:42:09,680 --> 00:42:15,120 Speaker 1: and the quota system rose because fear prevailed. The nineteen 692 00:42:15,200 --> 00:42:20,239 Speaker 1: sixty five law reopened the door cautiously, nineteen eighty six 693 00:42:20,360 --> 00:42:24,160 Speaker 1: tried to reset the system imperfectly, and today we're still 694 00:42:24,239 --> 00:42:28,439 Speaker 1: arguing over the consequences of both. So Ellis Island didn't 695 00:42:28,480 --> 00:42:31,000 Speaker 1: close because the American dream ended. It closed because the 696 00:42:31,080 --> 00:42:35,120 Speaker 1: system changed, and the tension between openness and control never 697 00:42:35,200 --> 00:42:38,640 Speaker 1: went away. That tension isn't new, and it goes back 698 00:42:38,680 --> 00:42:42,320 Speaker 1: to what I think is the founding tension that divides 699 00:42:42,880 --> 00:42:47,000 Speaker 1: so much of our politics, which is a basic argument 700 00:42:47,040 --> 00:42:52,760 Speaker 1: of who gets to be an American? And I actually 701 00:42:52,880 --> 00:42:56,800 Speaker 1: think it should continue to be the single most important 702 00:42:56,840 --> 00:43:01,000 Speaker 1: debate question that a Civics teacher should want to be 703 00:43:01,160 --> 00:43:04,480 Speaker 1: asked to everybody that runs for office, and every debate, 704 00:43:04,800 --> 00:43:08,040 Speaker 1: every interview of a new candidate for office should always 705 00:43:08,080 --> 00:43:14,360 Speaker 1: include that question, Right, who gets to be an American? 706 00:43:17,120 --> 00:43:19,439 Speaker 1: Tell me how you answer that. You answer that question 707 00:43:19,560 --> 00:43:23,600 Speaker 1: for me, and I'll tell you what your political philosophy is, 708 00:43:27,320 --> 00:43:30,920 Speaker 1: because that's the debate we continue to have, and ultimately, 709 00:43:31,200 --> 00:43:36,320 Speaker 1: it's the debate that's at the heart of this division 710 00:43:36,760 --> 00:43:41,920 Speaker 1: and what has been essentially a never ending debate about 711 00:43:41,960 --> 00:43:44,160 Speaker 1: who gets to be an American, who gets to come 712 00:43:44,200 --> 00:43:46,839 Speaker 1: to America, who gets to work in America, and who 713 00:43:46,920 --> 00:43:50,920 Speaker 1: gets to be who gets the privileges of American citizenship. 714 00:43:54,280 --> 00:43:57,279 Speaker 1: There's a reason results matter more than promises, just like 715 00:43:57,400 --> 00:44:00,480 Speaker 1: there's a reason Morgan and Morgan is America's largest injury 716 00:44:00,560 --> 00:44:03,280 Speaker 1: law firm. For the last thirty five years, they've recovered 717 00:44:03,440 --> 00:44:06,520 Speaker 1: twenty five billion dollars for more than half a million clients. 718 00:44:07,160 --> 00:44:10,680 Speaker 1: It includes cases where insurance companies offered next to nothing, 719 00:44:11,000 --> 00:44:13,760 Speaker 1: just hoping to get away with paying as little as possible. 720 00:44:13,880 --> 00:44:16,919 Speaker 1: Morgan and Morgan fought back ended up winning millions. In fact, 721 00:44:17,040 --> 00:44:20,120 Speaker 1: in Pennsylvania, one client was awarded twenty six million dollars, 722 00:44:20,600 --> 00:44:23,600 Speaker 1: which was a staggering forty times the amount that the 723 00:44:23,680 --> 00:44:26,920 Speaker 1: insurance company originally offered. That original offer six hundred and 724 00:44:27,000 --> 00:44:30,000 Speaker 1: fifty thousand dollars twenty six million, six hundred and fifty 725 00:44:30,040 --> 00:44:32,240 Speaker 1: thousand dollars. So with more than one thousand lawyers across 726 00:44:32,239 --> 00:44:34,640 Speaker 1: the country, they know how to deliver for everyday people. 727 00:44:34,800 --> 00:44:37,480 Speaker 1: If you're injured, you need a lawyer. You need somebody 728 00:44:37,520 --> 00:44:40,000 Speaker 1: to get your back. Check out for Thepeople dot com, 729 00:44:40,120 --> 00:44:44,719 Speaker 1: Slash podcast or Dow Pound Law Pound five to two 730 00:44:44,960 --> 00:44:48,640 Speaker 1: nine law on your cell phone. And remember all law 731 00:44:48,719 --> 00:44:50,840 Speaker 1: firms are not the same. So check out Morgan and Morgan. 732 00:44:50,920 --> 00:44:58,279 Speaker 1: Their fee is free unless they win. All right, So 733 00:44:58,400 --> 00:45:00,719 Speaker 1: with that, let me sneak in a few questions. We'll 734 00:45:00,760 --> 00:45:03,440 Speaker 1: do a little last check coming up. I'm gonna I'm 735 00:45:03,480 --> 00:45:06,640 Speaker 1: gonna give a empty the mail bag, as they say, 736 00:45:07,040 --> 00:45:13,920 Speaker 1: but let me do a few now, ask Chuck. I 737 00:45:13,960 --> 00:45:16,160 Speaker 1: hate Chuck and happy holidays. Wanted to flag a fun 738 00:45:16,239 --> 00:45:21,120 Speaker 1: but serious proposal from former podcast guest Congressman Chris Dluzio Pennsylvania, 739 00:45:21,200 --> 00:45:24,480 Speaker 1: the hot Dog Act. Honest hot Dog is an acronym 740 00:45:24,560 --> 00:45:27,840 Speaker 1: in this case, honest Oversight of ticketed dining and on 741 00:45:28,080 --> 00:45:31,880 Speaker 1: site grub, which calls on the FTC to investigate concession 742 00:45:32,000 --> 00:45:36,200 Speaker 1: price gouging at publicly funded stadiums. Has anyone who's recently 743 00:45:36,880 --> 00:45:39,440 Speaker 1: been to a major sporting event can attest food prices 744 00:45:39,480 --> 00:45:42,120 Speaker 1: are out of control. Giving your intersection of sports and politics, 745 00:45:42,160 --> 00:45:44,560 Speaker 1: i'd love to hear your take on this. PS totally random, 746 00:45:44,680 --> 00:45:47,799 Speaker 1: but you have a favorite political comedy. Dave nineteen ninety 747 00:45:47,840 --> 00:45:51,200 Speaker 1: three is high on my list, Chris Pittsburgh, you know 748 00:45:51,560 --> 00:45:55,200 Speaker 1: that's actually a good It's a good top five list 749 00:45:55,320 --> 00:45:56,759 Speaker 1: that I ought to come up with. I'll tell you 750 00:45:57,120 --> 00:45:59,040 Speaker 1: the first movie I think of when you asked me 751 00:45:59,080 --> 00:46:02,400 Speaker 1: about a good political comedy is Distinguished Gentleman. It's the 752 00:46:02,560 --> 00:46:06,120 Speaker 1: Eddie Murphy one on Congress. It was written in early nineties. 753 00:46:06,560 --> 00:46:09,359 Speaker 1: I remember in the moment I felt the same way 754 00:46:09,360 --> 00:46:11,600 Speaker 1: about that movie that I felt about Idiocracy the first 755 00:46:11,640 --> 00:46:13,319 Speaker 1: time I saw it when it came out in No. Six. 756 00:46:14,400 --> 00:46:17,440 Speaker 1: Let's just say it age as well. I think Distinguished 757 00:46:17,480 --> 00:46:19,560 Speaker 1: Gentleman does as good of a job of explaining how 758 00:46:19,640 --> 00:46:23,080 Speaker 1: Congress actually works, or excuse me, how Washington works, since 759 00:46:23,080 --> 00:46:24,680 Speaker 1: it's a class that I teach for my friends at 760 00:46:24,719 --> 00:46:29,080 Speaker 1: USC than any any other. Dave's a good one, don't 761 00:46:29,120 --> 00:46:31,800 Speaker 1: get me wrong, Dave's in that my top five, but 762 00:46:31,920 --> 00:46:35,560 Speaker 1: Distinguished Gentlemen probably I go a little bit higher because 763 00:46:35,600 --> 00:46:38,680 Speaker 1: it was written by ex congressional staffers, so there was. 764 00:46:39,040 --> 00:46:44,560 Speaker 1: There was little little grace notes of detail that were 765 00:46:44,920 --> 00:46:49,600 Speaker 1: just fantastic that Dave didn't have. Dave romanticized, you know, 766 00:46:50,080 --> 00:46:53,920 Speaker 1: Dave is sort of the West wingification of things, a 767 00:46:53,960 --> 00:46:57,439 Speaker 1: little bit, kind of like American President. You know, Dave 768 00:46:57,520 --> 00:46:59,359 Speaker 1: feels like it should have been an Aaron Zorkin even 769 00:46:59,400 --> 00:47:02,080 Speaker 1: though it wasn't. It's sort of the fantasy land versus 770 00:47:03,320 --> 00:47:06,200 Speaker 1: distinguished gentleman is a little bit more of a reality 771 00:47:06,320 --> 00:47:11,000 Speaker 1: check on it. So anyway, but I digress. Look, I 772 00:47:11,160 --> 00:47:14,520 Speaker 1: think you bring up an interesting point, and it's one 773 00:47:14,600 --> 00:47:19,239 Speaker 1: of those I remember when the sort of the snobbish 774 00:47:20,960 --> 00:47:27,800 Speaker 1: political media coop cooed Biden focusing on junk fees. But 775 00:47:28,800 --> 00:47:34,799 Speaker 1: this sort of incremental price gouging that takes place. First 776 00:47:34,800 --> 00:47:37,200 Speaker 1: of all, I do think sporting events and music events 777 00:47:37,280 --> 00:47:40,719 Speaker 1: are becoming we are pricing out the middle class, right, 778 00:47:42,360 --> 00:47:44,759 Speaker 1: And in fact, I would expand that to Disney. Right. 779 00:47:44,840 --> 00:47:49,320 Speaker 1: Look at how expensive two nights at Disney are, and 780 00:47:50,480 --> 00:47:52,800 Speaker 1: there isn't. I mean, basically, if you're not a Florida 781 00:47:52,880 --> 00:47:56,200 Speaker 1: resident and you get a little bit of the Florida 782 00:47:56,360 --> 00:48:00,440 Speaker 1: resident discount, it's hard to afford Disney more than sort 783 00:48:00,480 --> 00:48:04,320 Speaker 1: of once a lifetime, right, once a generation. It is 784 00:48:04,440 --> 00:48:10,080 Speaker 1: that expensive to do, and it is look, you know, 785 00:48:10,840 --> 00:48:13,200 Speaker 1: I could mind, Hey, I only paid fifty bucks to 786 00:48:13,239 --> 00:48:16,120 Speaker 1: go see the Rolling Stones, right, and I think and 787 00:48:16,160 --> 00:48:19,440 Speaker 1: I remember feeling price gouged when I was sitting in 788 00:48:19,480 --> 00:48:22,680 Speaker 1: the four hundreds for you too at ninety bucks. And 789 00:48:22,880 --> 00:48:25,120 Speaker 1: then of course there's the amount of money my daughter 790 00:48:25,160 --> 00:48:27,480 Speaker 1: spent to go see Taylor Swift that I may or 791 00:48:27,520 --> 00:48:29,320 Speaker 1: may not have helped subsidize at least one of the 792 00:48:29,400 --> 00:48:33,120 Speaker 1: concerts that you got to see, and that was well 793 00:48:33,239 --> 00:48:36,440 Speaker 1: into the three to four hundred dollars range. So some 794 00:48:36,600 --> 00:48:40,160 Speaker 1: of this is inflation, there's no doubt. But you know, 795 00:48:40,480 --> 00:48:45,000 Speaker 1: are we making sporting events? And you're right right, so 796 00:48:45,200 --> 00:48:50,759 Speaker 1: many taxpayer dollars are being used to develop almost all 797 00:48:50,840 --> 00:48:55,239 Speaker 1: of these venues. Right. There aren't many arenas or stadiums 798 00:48:55,480 --> 00:48:58,719 Speaker 1: that don't have some that didn't get developed without some 799 00:48:59,000 --> 00:49:02,720 Speaker 1: sort of public tax break. Some of it is quite small. 800 00:49:03,719 --> 00:49:07,240 Speaker 1: I mean, the owner of the Dolphins mostly built everything 801 00:49:07,280 --> 00:49:08,800 Speaker 1: on his own. But you know it's not like he 802 00:49:08,920 --> 00:49:12,000 Speaker 1: built the roads to the stadium that he got that 803 00:49:12,239 --> 00:49:16,840 Speaker 1: that certainly had some taxpayer, uh taxpayer involvement in it. 804 00:49:17,239 --> 00:49:21,160 Speaker 1: But all of these venues, all of these arenas open 805 00:49:21,200 --> 00:49:27,680 Speaker 1: air stadiums, closed stadiums where you see concerts, revivals, Disney 806 00:49:27,719 --> 00:49:36,520 Speaker 1: on ice, sporting events, concerts, et cetera. Right, they're all 807 00:49:37,400 --> 00:49:40,640 Speaker 1: massively going up in price, and there is this idea 808 00:49:40,640 --> 00:49:44,359 Speaker 1: of captive audience the process. You know, we've we've we've 809 00:49:44,560 --> 00:49:47,080 Speaker 1: we've had fits and starts. You know, we beat up 810 00:49:47,120 --> 00:49:49,160 Speaker 1: ticket Master. It feels like every once in a while 811 00:49:49,200 --> 00:49:52,000 Speaker 1: when we when when it looks like everybody's hey, look 812 00:49:52,040 --> 00:49:54,080 Speaker 1: we're we're going to protect the consumer. Let's go after 813 00:49:54,120 --> 00:49:57,360 Speaker 1: ticket Master because they're kind of the ticketing monopoly, although 814 00:49:57,480 --> 00:49:59,799 Speaker 1: the monopoly is less than it was than it once. 815 00:50:02,560 --> 00:50:05,640 Speaker 1: But you're getting at something that I think that there is. 816 00:50:05,880 --> 00:50:07,800 Speaker 1: You know, there's always a question are we going to 817 00:50:07,920 --> 00:50:12,799 Speaker 1: hit a point where the average fan is priced out 818 00:50:13,520 --> 00:50:16,359 Speaker 1: of being able to attend to these games? NFL games 819 00:50:16,400 --> 00:50:18,600 Speaker 1: feel that way, you know, and you throw in the 820 00:50:18,680 --> 00:50:21,040 Speaker 1: hassle of it all, right, it's not easy to get 821 00:50:21,080 --> 00:50:25,480 Speaker 1: to in some cases that for the price, the hassle 822 00:50:26,320 --> 00:50:29,319 Speaker 1: is the experience worth it? Right? You start factoring all 823 00:50:29,400 --> 00:50:34,800 Speaker 1: that in and you know, there's so many different velvet 824 00:50:34,880 --> 00:50:38,520 Speaker 1: ropes that they want to sell you as well with 825 00:50:38,680 --> 00:50:44,880 Speaker 1: these experiences, and then these teams and these even entertainers 826 00:50:45,400 --> 00:50:49,279 Speaker 1: prioritize the experience for the super elite because they can 827 00:50:49,680 --> 00:50:54,960 Speaker 1: basically profit more on that, creating more velvet rope moments 828 00:50:55,080 --> 00:50:57,759 Speaker 1: for those that can afford it, because that's where you 829 00:50:57,800 --> 00:50:59,839 Speaker 1: can get your extra cash, that's where you can get 830 00:50:59,840 --> 00:51:04,600 Speaker 1: your extra profit. Not providing those experiences for the middle class, 831 00:51:05,520 --> 00:51:08,920 Speaker 1: not even providing the opportunity beyond obviously financially being able 832 00:51:08,960 --> 00:51:15,600 Speaker 1: to have the opportunity. It is. Look, I'm at the 833 00:51:15,719 --> 00:51:17,840 Speaker 1: end of the day, I'm a free, free marketer. But 834 00:51:18,000 --> 00:51:21,239 Speaker 1: I think that you are a large customer base is 835 00:51:21,400 --> 00:51:25,400 Speaker 1: better than a niche customer base that is extraordinarily wealthy. 836 00:51:25,840 --> 00:51:28,440 Speaker 1: You may make a good business out of that for 837 00:51:28,560 --> 00:51:31,680 Speaker 1: a few years, but that is not a long term 838 00:51:31,760 --> 00:51:35,960 Speaker 1: strategy for success. Disney World works because it seems to 839 00:51:36,040 --> 00:51:41,440 Speaker 1: appeal to all, but the minute Disney World creates these 840 00:51:41,560 --> 00:51:44,279 Speaker 1: barriers to entry that are now higher and higher for 841 00:51:44,360 --> 00:51:47,799 Speaker 1: the working class, well, then suddenly Disney isn't for all. 842 00:51:48,160 --> 00:51:51,080 Speaker 1: And suddenly Disney releases a DVD or a movie or 843 00:51:51,120 --> 00:51:54,120 Speaker 1: a new show on streaming, and people don't want to 844 00:51:54,200 --> 00:51:56,319 Speaker 1: give you the six dollars a month anymore, the ten 845 00:51:56,360 --> 00:51:59,040 Speaker 1: dollars a month anymore in order to get access to 846 00:51:59,120 --> 00:52:01,600 Speaker 1: those princess movies or get access to some of these, 847 00:52:02,239 --> 00:52:08,080 Speaker 1: you know, fun animated shorts, and then you suddenly lose 848 00:52:10,000 --> 00:52:14,080 Speaker 1: pieces of your customer base. So look, I think I 849 00:52:14,239 --> 00:52:18,040 Speaker 1: love the idea. You know that you focus on publicly 850 00:52:18,080 --> 00:52:22,080 Speaker 1: funded stadiums. I would love find me the stadium or 851 00:52:22,080 --> 00:52:26,240 Speaker 1: arena that didn't have some public funding help. And again 852 00:52:26,560 --> 00:52:32,719 Speaker 1: to me building roads and freeways that explicitly get to 853 00:52:32,920 --> 00:52:37,400 Speaker 1: your stadium, like the Joe Robbie Stadium. Yes he did 854 00:52:37,480 --> 00:52:41,360 Speaker 1: the stadium part himself, but not all of the government 855 00:52:41,840 --> 00:52:45,920 Speaker 1: essentially infrastructure that was needed to support fifty to eighty 856 00:52:45,960 --> 00:52:47,960 Speaker 1: thousand people going in and out of that place ten 857 00:52:48,080 --> 00:52:54,560 Speaker 1: or fifteen times a year. So, in fairness, there isn't 858 00:52:54,600 --> 00:52:58,040 Speaker 1: anything there. And you know, would it be interesting if 859 00:53:00,440 --> 00:53:06,480 Speaker 1: you essentially created two pricing structures where those that paid 860 00:53:06,600 --> 00:53:11,399 Speaker 1: taxes in that area got a discount, the same way 861 00:53:11,480 --> 00:53:15,279 Speaker 1: Disney does give Florida residents a discount. You get a 862 00:53:15,320 --> 00:53:18,080 Speaker 1: Florida resident discount. I assume there's one in California. I 863 00:53:18,120 --> 00:53:19,880 Speaker 1: don't know about that one. I know about the Florida one. 864 00:53:19,920 --> 00:53:24,200 Speaker 1: Because I live the I have lived planing around. There's 865 00:53:24,280 --> 00:53:27,120 Speaker 1: certain months, it used to be certain months a year 866 00:53:27,200 --> 00:53:29,920 Speaker 1: that the Florida discount would kick in. You know. It's 867 00:53:29,960 --> 00:53:33,360 Speaker 1: basically I think it would be the times that others 868 00:53:33,440 --> 00:53:37,719 Speaker 1: were traveling less and they wanted you know, it used 869 00:53:37,719 --> 00:53:40,960 Speaker 1: to be that Disney saw, just get people in your 870 00:53:41,040 --> 00:53:43,439 Speaker 1: park and then you can sell them other stuff, even 871 00:53:43,480 --> 00:53:46,759 Speaker 1: if you get them in the park for free. And 872 00:53:46,880 --> 00:53:48,799 Speaker 1: it used to be the mindset of stadium owners, right, 873 00:53:48,960 --> 00:53:51,000 Speaker 1: gets you into the park, you know, buy a ten 874 00:53:51,040 --> 00:53:53,200 Speaker 1: dollars coke, you know, so what if you got the 875 00:53:53,239 --> 00:53:55,319 Speaker 1: ticket for free? At least I got some money out 876 00:53:55,360 --> 00:53:58,759 Speaker 1: of you. But it's an interesting thought. I will just 877 00:53:58,840 --> 00:54:01,719 Speaker 1: tell you this. This is the type of populist politics 878 00:54:02,000 --> 00:54:05,120 Speaker 1: that cuts across partisan lines. Right when you're sort of 879 00:54:05,160 --> 00:54:08,640 Speaker 1: getting at something that annoys the liberal and the conservative, 880 00:54:09,120 --> 00:54:11,319 Speaker 1: you know, you're like, man, what's this price gouging? Didn't 881 00:54:11,320 --> 00:54:14,680 Speaker 1: my taxpayers contribute taxpayer money contribute to this? Why am 882 00:54:14,719 --> 00:54:17,440 Speaker 1: I now paying an extra surcharge on top of the 883 00:54:17,520 --> 00:54:19,960 Speaker 1: tax dollars that already went to this? You know, so 884 00:54:20,239 --> 00:54:25,759 Speaker 1: I think it's a I think it's a good It's 885 00:54:25,800 --> 00:54:28,840 Speaker 1: like the stock trading ban at it's good populous politics. 886 00:54:28,880 --> 00:54:31,440 Speaker 1: I don't know if this is good law, but I 887 00:54:31,480 --> 00:54:33,440 Speaker 1: do know it's good politics. All right, let me take 888 00:54:33,960 --> 00:54:36,239 Speaker 1: one more question. We'll do a little football because, like 889 00:54:36,280 --> 00:54:38,200 Speaker 1: I said, I'm going to do a whole monster mail 890 00:54:38,239 --> 00:54:41,880 Speaker 1: bag here that I promise this comes from daniel A. 891 00:54:42,000 --> 00:54:43,720 Speaker 1: He says, Hey, Chuck, a few weeks ago, you mentioned 892 00:54:43,960 --> 00:54:46,680 Speaker 1: that both parties are likely to see new congressional leadership soon. 893 00:54:46,719 --> 00:54:48,520 Speaker 1: How much do you think the twenty twenty six midterms 894 00:54:48,520 --> 00:54:51,279 Speaker 1: will shape those races? For instance, if Democrats gained lots 895 00:54:51,280 --> 00:54:53,920 Speaker 1: of seats, could new moderates push for centrist leadership while 896 00:54:53,960 --> 00:54:56,320 Speaker 1: GP losses leave only hard right members to elevate a 897 00:54:56,400 --> 00:54:58,719 Speaker 1: more extreme leader. Or are there are other dynamics at 898 00:54:58,719 --> 00:55:01,000 Speaker 1: play beyond the math. Look, I think the math is 899 00:55:01,080 --> 00:55:05,360 Speaker 1: going to mean something, you know. Take take Chuck Schumer. 900 00:55:05,400 --> 00:55:09,319 Speaker 1: Though he's unpopular in the Democratic base, there's no doubt 901 00:55:09,360 --> 00:55:15,960 Speaker 1: about it. He has got many elected senators who don't 902 00:55:16,000 --> 00:55:18,239 Speaker 1: have the confidence in his leadership. But if Democrats gain 903 00:55:18,280 --> 00:55:20,719 Speaker 1: the Senate, are they really going to get rid of them? 904 00:55:20,840 --> 00:55:22,600 Speaker 1: They're not going to get rid of him. It's just 905 00:55:22,680 --> 00:55:25,520 Speaker 1: not the way senators behave even if there's a slew 906 00:55:25,560 --> 00:55:31,520 Speaker 1: of new Senators. So the point being his results matter here. Right, Look, 907 00:55:31,719 --> 00:55:34,480 Speaker 1: does Mike Johnson state speaker if they hold the House? Yes, 908 00:55:35,360 --> 00:55:38,240 Speaker 1: you know, I mean it's just yes, that's how it works, 909 00:55:38,480 --> 00:55:42,320 Speaker 1: you know, it is it is. And is he gone 910 00:55:42,400 --> 00:55:44,400 Speaker 1: and not a leader at all if they lose control 911 00:55:44,400 --> 00:55:46,680 Speaker 1: of the House. Yes, that's going to be the case too. 912 00:55:47,880 --> 00:55:49,920 Speaker 1: By the way, I think both Schumer and Jefferies, if 913 00:55:50,200 --> 00:55:52,560 Speaker 1: Democrats don't win the House and Senate, they're both gone. 914 00:55:53,120 --> 00:55:57,320 Speaker 1: The question is whether any of them can survive what 915 00:55:57,440 --> 00:56:00,480 Speaker 1: I think is going to be knocked out on drag 916 00:56:00,560 --> 00:56:04,320 Speaker 1: out intra party fights in twenty eight on the direction 917 00:56:04,480 --> 00:56:08,120 Speaker 1: of both parties. You know which direction? Is the Democratic 918 00:56:08,160 --> 00:56:11,480 Speaker 1: Party going to go in a more democratic socialist direction 919 00:56:11,719 --> 00:56:14,600 Speaker 1: or in a more sort of business friendly direction. Right? 920 00:56:14,680 --> 00:56:18,400 Speaker 1: That is ultimately the larger argument that that party's going 921 00:56:18,480 --> 00:56:21,400 Speaker 1: to have, and I think the larger argument the Republicans 922 00:56:21,400 --> 00:56:22,960 Speaker 1: they're going to have is are they going to be 923 00:56:24,840 --> 00:56:31,400 Speaker 1: a sort of more of a populist nationalist party or 924 00:56:31,440 --> 00:56:34,520 Speaker 1: are they going to be a more free market business 925 00:56:34,640 --> 00:56:39,240 Speaker 1: friendly party. And that same fight in a different different 926 00:56:39,239 --> 00:56:40,680 Speaker 1: ways is going to and it's going to be interesting 927 00:56:40,680 --> 00:56:44,160 Speaker 1: because you have some people participating both in the center 928 00:56:44,320 --> 00:56:48,520 Speaker 1: left camp and the center right camp, hoping that at 929 00:56:48,600 --> 00:56:51,360 Speaker 1: least one of them wins their argument in their primaries. 930 00:56:51,400 --> 00:56:53,879 Speaker 1: It's possible neither does right and we get JD Vance 931 00:56:53,880 --> 00:56:56,560 Speaker 1: and AOC right, which would be you know, it's sort 932 00:56:56,560 --> 00:56:59,040 Speaker 1: of I joke. You know, if we got Ken Paxon 933 00:56:59,080 --> 00:57:01,759 Speaker 1: and Jasmine Crawt in Texas, it would be essentially a 934 00:57:01,840 --> 00:57:05,120 Speaker 1: preview of what would happen if both parties nominated from 935 00:57:05,160 --> 00:57:10,000 Speaker 1: their bases the next two presidential nominees. So I do 936 00:57:10,160 --> 00:57:13,360 Speaker 1: think the results in twenty six will have a huge impact. 937 00:57:13,520 --> 00:57:17,800 Speaker 1: The safest of the four leaders is Thune because Thune 938 00:57:17,880 --> 00:57:22,120 Speaker 1: isn't a Trump acolyte, but he is seems to have 939 00:57:22,280 --> 00:57:27,880 Speaker 1: managed Trump okay enough. You know, we'll see, but you know, 940 00:57:31,760 --> 00:57:34,880 Speaker 1: and I don't think losses will be attributed to him. 941 00:57:35,440 --> 00:57:38,120 Speaker 1: I think the losses will be attributed to Trump, which 942 00:57:38,280 --> 00:57:41,480 Speaker 1: weirdly could strengthen Thune. So, of the four, I think 943 00:57:41,560 --> 00:57:44,760 Speaker 1: Thune is the least in danger, but all of the 944 00:57:44,840 --> 00:57:49,640 Speaker 1: other three very much their futures rely on the results 945 00:57:49,760 --> 00:57:55,200 Speaker 1: of the twenty twenty six The terms do you hate hangovers? 946 00:57:55,320 --> 00:57:57,640 Speaker 1: We'll say goodbye to hangovers. Out of Office gives you 947 00:57:57,760 --> 00:58:00,480 Speaker 1: the social buzz without the next day regrets. 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Right now, 966 00:58:58,240 --> 00:59:02,080 Speaker 1: Soul is offering my audience thirty percent off your entire order. 967 00:59:02,360 --> 00:59:06,000 Speaker 1: So go to getsold dot Com use the promo code toodcast. 968 00:59:06,240 --> 00:59:09,960 Speaker 1: Don't forget that code that's getsold dot Com promo code 969 00:59:10,120 --> 00:59:16,680 Speaker 1: toodcast for thirty percent off. All right, I'm going to 970 00:59:16,880 --> 00:59:18,880 Speaker 1: stop there because I think for many of you this 971 00:59:19,000 --> 00:59:21,880 Speaker 1: will be I'm going to use this instead of a 972 00:59:21,960 --> 00:59:26,800 Speaker 1: little bit of a football in review. A little bit 973 00:59:26,880 --> 00:59:29,520 Speaker 1: we've had. We had our single best, most interesting college 974 00:59:29,520 --> 00:59:32,640 Speaker 1: football bowl day that you could have, and it really 975 00:59:32,840 --> 00:59:37,000 Speaker 1: was just not that interesting, right. I mean, I enjoyed 976 00:59:38,360 --> 00:59:40,480 Speaker 1: the BYU Georgia Tech game. I was glad to see 977 00:59:40,520 --> 00:59:43,160 Speaker 1: it was competitive. It does feel as if the Pop 978 00:59:43,240 --> 00:59:46,240 Speaker 1: Tarts Bowl is now the only non major bowl that 979 00:59:46,400 --> 00:59:51,160 Speaker 1: anybody seems to have heard of, which is just crazy, right. 980 00:59:51,320 --> 00:59:53,439 Speaker 1: You know, back in my day, the Gator Bowl, Liberty Bowl, 981 00:59:53,480 --> 00:59:55,760 Speaker 1: Peach Bowl, which were not major bowls then none of 982 00:59:55,840 --> 00:59:59,320 Speaker 1: them were Citrus Bowl. You know, they had their own 983 00:59:59,400 --> 01:00:01,440 Speaker 1: cachetes about it. You know, the Sun Bowl had a 984 01:00:01,480 --> 01:00:03,920 Speaker 1: real history, the Liberty Bowl had a real history. I've 985 01:00:03,920 --> 01:00:05,440 Speaker 1: been to a Liberty Bowl, for what it's worth. I've 986 01:00:05,480 --> 01:00:07,320 Speaker 1: been to a Peach Bowl back in the day when 987 01:00:07,360 --> 01:00:10,840 Speaker 1: it was Miami's first bowl game in fifteen years, and 988 01:00:11,000 --> 01:00:15,000 Speaker 1: you still have the phenomenon, right. Look, the Clemson Penn 989 01:00:15,000 --> 01:00:17,680 Speaker 1: State game was just atrocious to watch. The only game 990 01:00:17,760 --> 01:00:23,080 Speaker 1: worse to watch was was the mim of Ohio Presno 991 01:00:23,160 --> 01:00:26,040 Speaker 1: State game. Literally, if you only if you were gambling 992 01:00:26,080 --> 01:00:28,400 Speaker 1: on it, were you watching that game. So I may 993 01:00:28,440 --> 01:00:30,520 Speaker 1: have given a hint away of how I was watching 994 01:00:30,560 --> 01:00:31,800 Speaker 1: that game, but I always made sure it was in 995 01:00:31,880 --> 01:00:36,400 Speaker 1: my four box. Even the NFL offerings. Right, boy, this 996 01:00:36,600 --> 01:00:42,240 Speaker 1: was just a Christmas dud for the NFL. All of 997 01:00:42,320 --> 01:00:46,480 Speaker 1: those games lacked a little something right. Obviously, relevance is 998 01:00:46,480 --> 01:00:48,360 Speaker 1: a big part of it, and there was no Patrick 999 01:00:48,440 --> 01:00:51,080 Speaker 1: Mahomes right in theory it was supposed to be the 1000 01:00:51,440 --> 01:00:54,360 Speaker 1: Cowboys and Commanders fighting it out for a playoff spot 1001 01:00:54,440 --> 01:00:56,560 Speaker 1: or the division, just like it seemed like that could 1002 01:00:56,600 --> 01:01:00,400 Speaker 1: be at the beginning of the season. So it was 1003 01:01:00,400 --> 01:01:02,640 Speaker 1: a good day for the NBA. As I told you, 1004 01:01:03,240 --> 01:01:05,600 Speaker 1: these were games worth watching, and I have to say 1005 01:01:05,680 --> 01:01:08,800 Speaker 1: the Knicks delivered. That was a heck of a game. Nicks, Calves, 1006 01:01:09,520 --> 01:01:13,040 Speaker 1: Wemby delivered as I promised you Wemby would, And man, 1007 01:01:13,120 --> 01:01:15,760 Speaker 1: you gotta love me some Anthony Edwards. You know, he's 1008 01:01:15,800 --> 01:01:18,440 Speaker 1: the he to me is the forgotten rising star. He's 1009 01:01:18,520 --> 01:01:20,400 Speaker 1: like the guy that sort of everybody wants to talk 1010 01:01:20,400 --> 01:01:23,080 Speaker 1: about Wemby and Jannis and Jokic. And then there's old 1011 01:01:23,080 --> 01:01:25,600 Speaker 1: Anthony Edwards, who's kind of an old school He's just 1012 01:01:25,680 --> 01:01:32,240 Speaker 1: a you know, Lebron Kobe Jordan like player who you know, 1013 01:01:33,000 --> 01:01:34,720 Speaker 1: can do a little bit of everything, wants to be 1014 01:01:34,840 --> 01:01:39,040 Speaker 1: that kind of player. And we forget Hey, don't forget ant. Man, 1015 01:01:39,760 --> 01:01:42,200 Speaker 1: I'm a huge ant. Man. I enjoy it, Man, I 1016 01:01:42,320 --> 01:01:45,200 Speaker 1: enjoy watching him play basketball because it kind of feels 1017 01:01:45,240 --> 01:01:47,400 Speaker 1: like a throwback to the game I grew up with 1018 01:01:47,480 --> 01:01:49,480 Speaker 1: in the eighties and nineties. You know, there's a there's 1019 01:01:49,560 --> 01:01:51,040 Speaker 1: this sort of a style that he plays with that 1020 01:01:51,080 --> 01:01:54,360 Speaker 1: I enjoy. But the NBA delivered, and you got to 1021 01:01:54,400 --> 01:01:57,320 Speaker 1: give it to them Karma, right. The NFL tried to 1022 01:01:57,360 --> 01:02:02,160 Speaker 1: steal it It's Christmas and it really just fell flat. 1023 01:02:03,760 --> 01:02:06,520 Speaker 1: And now you have so many opt outs by the way, 1024 01:02:07,360 --> 01:02:08,600 Speaker 1: I mean, you know, we end up dealing with opt 1025 01:02:08,640 --> 01:02:10,560 Speaker 1: outs in Bowl games, and you're dealing with, you know, 1026 01:02:11,080 --> 01:02:13,840 Speaker 1: teams that are deciding. Are we using this to try 1027 01:02:13,880 --> 01:02:16,160 Speaker 1: to see which players we want to keep? You know? 1028 01:02:16,320 --> 01:02:18,200 Speaker 1: And we're just seeing the same thing. And this this 1029 01:02:18,360 --> 01:02:21,200 Speaker 1: is a warning to college football if you choose to 1030 01:02:21,240 --> 01:02:24,160 Speaker 1: go to twenty four teams, because you'll get the last 1031 01:02:24,200 --> 01:02:26,000 Speaker 1: week or two of the season, you may get games 1032 01:02:26,040 --> 01:02:29,040 Speaker 1: that are meaningless, more games that are meaningless. Look at 1033 01:02:29,120 --> 01:02:32,280 Speaker 1: all the meaningless games now in the NFL, like next 1034 01:02:32,320 --> 01:02:34,800 Speaker 1: week the Packers. They don't even get me started in 1035 01:02:34,880 --> 01:02:40,200 Speaker 1: the Packers situation at the moment. Look, I obviously have 1036 01:02:40,320 --> 01:02:46,480 Speaker 1: skin in the game as a Packer fan. I the 1037 01:02:46,600 --> 01:02:50,880 Speaker 1: coach frustrates me. You guys, if you've learned anything from 1038 01:02:50,920 --> 01:02:54,160 Speaker 1: me is I I'm obsessed with play callers, and I 1039 01:02:54,280 --> 01:02:57,960 Speaker 1: hold play callers more responsible than anybody else when it 1040 01:02:58,040 --> 01:03:01,080 Speaker 1: comes to my two favorite foot ball teams, the University 1041 01:03:01,080 --> 01:03:04,240 Speaker 1: Remidi football, the University Remidi and the Green Bay Packers. 1042 01:03:04,800 --> 01:03:08,800 Speaker 1: And here's what frustrates me, right, I've gone, you know, 1043 01:03:08,920 --> 01:03:11,960 Speaker 1: soup the nuts on my frustrations with the Miami Hurricane 1044 01:03:12,000 --> 01:03:15,320 Speaker 1: play caller Shannon Dawson and how he does not call, 1045 01:03:15,920 --> 01:03:19,040 Speaker 1: does not game plan for the team, we're playing until 1046 01:03:19,080 --> 01:03:22,560 Speaker 1: the second half. It drives me batty. It's terrible, and 1047 01:03:22,680 --> 01:03:25,720 Speaker 1: it has put Miami in the situation of almost not 1048 01:03:25,800 --> 01:03:29,560 Speaker 1: making the playoffs. I really believe that. But it almost 1049 01:03:29,600 --> 01:03:31,520 Speaker 1: cost us the A and M game. And it better 1050 01:03:32,080 --> 01:03:36,480 Speaker 1: he better actually game plan because if the Ohio State 1051 01:03:36,600 --> 01:03:39,880 Speaker 1: team shows up that showed up against Indiana, Miami could 1052 01:03:39,880 --> 01:03:43,800 Speaker 1: beat that team if they actually gained plan to face 1053 01:03:43,880 --> 01:03:46,040 Speaker 1: that team and don't wait until the second half to 1054 01:03:46,160 --> 01:03:49,960 Speaker 1: start play calling against the actual defense you're facing, not 1055 01:03:50,120 --> 01:03:54,280 Speaker 1: just simply getting your offense offensive issues worked out, to 1056 01:03:54,360 --> 01:03:58,320 Speaker 1: see what's working and what isn't. Well, my complain about 1057 01:03:58,400 --> 01:04:01,560 Speaker 1: lafleor is and this is something me and my packer 1058 01:04:01,560 --> 01:04:04,080 Speaker 1: buddies we've been talking about a lot in our text chain. 1059 01:04:05,520 --> 01:04:07,600 Speaker 1: Why is it the little floor looks like he is 1060 01:04:07,680 --> 01:04:09,840 Speaker 1: more dynamic of a play caller when Willis is at 1061 01:04:09,880 --> 01:04:13,840 Speaker 1: quarterback than when Love is at quarterback. And you know, 1062 01:04:14,040 --> 01:04:17,560 Speaker 1: Jordan Love games. Look, he wins, he's got a good record, 1063 01:04:17,760 --> 01:04:20,280 Speaker 1: and you can't you know, it is never flashy with Love. 1064 01:04:21,240 --> 01:04:23,760 Speaker 1: And you know it's not like Farvar Rogers both were 1065 01:04:23,880 --> 01:04:27,040 Speaker 1: a bit more. You know, Love is just very careful. 1066 01:04:27,800 --> 01:04:30,680 Speaker 1: By the way, that's pretty responsible. He runs the offense well, 1067 01:04:30,680 --> 01:04:33,480 Speaker 1: he doesn't improvise as much, and I think that's the 1068 01:04:35,160 --> 01:04:39,240 Speaker 1: jenesiqua that's sometimes missing from you know, from Jordan love 1069 01:04:39,240 --> 01:04:42,520 Speaker 1: apologists like myself, because there isn't like these you know, 1070 01:04:44,680 --> 01:04:47,080 Speaker 1: you know he does. He is pretty good at sort 1071 01:04:47,120 --> 01:04:51,080 Speaker 1: of when he moves around the pocket. But for whatever reason, 1072 01:04:53,480 --> 01:04:57,120 Speaker 1: he doesn't like to run as much. And Willis, you 1073 01:04:57,200 --> 01:04:58,920 Speaker 1: know what you see with the packers is that there? 1074 01:04:59,280 --> 01:05:02,680 Speaker 1: To me, Malik Willis the last two weeks has looked 1075 01:05:02,760 --> 01:05:06,440 Speaker 1: like a better version of Jalen Hurts, has looked like 1076 01:05:06,720 --> 01:05:13,120 Speaker 1: a a version of Lamar Jackson that has succeeded in 1077 01:05:13,240 --> 01:05:18,080 Speaker 1: the past, right where he is comfortable behaving like a 1078 01:05:18,160 --> 01:05:21,240 Speaker 1: running back at times. Right, and he will both you know, 1079 01:05:21,400 --> 01:05:24,120 Speaker 1: both Jalen Hurts and Lamar you know, they both have 1080 01:05:24,240 --> 01:05:25,960 Speaker 1: learned not to take as many hits. But early on, 1081 01:05:26,880 --> 01:05:29,600 Speaker 1: you know, they were running backs who could throw the ball. 1082 01:05:30,960 --> 01:05:33,880 Speaker 1: And I think Malik Wilson Willis was and this is 1083 01:05:33,880 --> 01:05:35,760 Speaker 1: why it took him a while to develop. I think 1084 01:05:36,040 --> 01:05:38,560 Speaker 1: from Liberty and etcetera said he was really a running 1085 01:05:38,600 --> 01:05:41,040 Speaker 1: back who could throw the ball, and who could game 1086 01:05:41,120 --> 01:05:44,720 Speaker 1: plan and who could read a defense and he's obviously 1087 01:05:45,400 --> 01:05:47,400 Speaker 1: and when you think about where Laflour, yes he comes 1088 01:05:47,400 --> 01:05:49,920 Speaker 1: from McVeigh, but it's sort of that McVey Shanahan, the 1089 01:05:50,080 --> 01:05:54,960 Speaker 1: larger Shanahan tree, and the Shanahan tree does like to 1090 01:05:55,000 --> 01:05:57,760 Speaker 1: emphasize the running game. And it's clear to me that 1091 01:05:57,880 --> 01:06:01,800 Speaker 1: Lafleur wishes Jordan Love would run more. And if he would, 1092 01:06:02,000 --> 01:06:04,680 Speaker 1: I think he would game plan more that you would. 1093 01:06:04,840 --> 01:06:08,680 Speaker 1: You would see more run RPOs that where the R 1094 01:06:09,280 --> 01:06:12,280 Speaker 1: was picked before the P was picked and the quarterback 1095 01:06:12,440 --> 01:06:15,280 Speaker 1: did a little bit more running than he does. And 1096 01:06:16,440 --> 01:06:18,960 Speaker 1: when you know, it's sort of when that system is 1097 01:06:20,840 --> 01:06:23,680 Speaker 1: working on all cylinders, it's when you have a quarterback 1098 01:06:23,720 --> 01:06:26,680 Speaker 1: that is willing to run. And it does seem as 1099 01:06:26,720 --> 01:06:29,800 Speaker 1: if for whatever reason, and I don't know enough. I'm 1100 01:06:29,840 --> 01:06:32,280 Speaker 1: not a Packers beat reporter, but I'd love to know. 1101 01:06:32,440 --> 01:06:35,440 Speaker 1: Is this something? Are we protecting Love? We're afraid of 1102 01:06:35,520 --> 01:06:38,840 Speaker 1: him getting hurt? Has there been issues? Is it like 1103 01:06:39,320 --> 01:06:42,080 Speaker 1: you know that they don't want him to take hits? 1104 01:06:42,400 --> 01:06:44,880 Speaker 1: Does he not want to take hits? You know, we 1105 01:06:45,000 --> 01:06:50,000 Speaker 1: don't know the full situation, but for whatever reason, the 1106 01:06:50,080 --> 01:06:53,520 Speaker 1: play calling feels much more dynamic over the last couple 1107 01:06:53,560 --> 01:06:55,440 Speaker 1: of weeks when Willis has been there, now part of it, 1108 01:06:55,520 --> 01:07:03,560 Speaker 1: maybe the stakes are lower, and so Lafleur doesn't second 1109 01:07:03,600 --> 01:07:07,040 Speaker 1: guess himself as much when Willis is at quarterback than 1110 01:07:07,080 --> 01:07:10,800 Speaker 1: when Love is at quarterback. But as a fan, as 1111 01:07:10,840 --> 01:07:14,000 Speaker 1: a as a fan who watches every play, there's a 1112 01:07:14,120 --> 01:07:17,680 Speaker 1: noticeable difference into how he calls it. There's a there's 1113 01:07:17,720 --> 01:07:22,760 Speaker 1: a liberation in the play calling decisions. I feel like 1114 01:07:22,880 --> 01:07:26,160 Speaker 1: that that Lafleur makes when Willis is there, then when 1115 01:07:26,200 --> 01:07:32,400 Speaker 1: Love is there. And you know, look for all the 1116 01:07:32,440 --> 01:07:34,760 Speaker 1: Packer fans that have enjoyed the way the offenses look 1117 01:07:34,800 --> 01:07:37,000 Speaker 1: these last two weeks, and I'm one of them, I'm 1118 01:07:37,000 --> 01:07:40,880 Speaker 1: also mindful they lost the last two games. First one 1119 01:07:40,960 --> 01:07:45,840 Speaker 1: was a freak way to lose, and you know, the 1120 01:07:46,240 --> 01:07:49,320 Speaker 1: Ravens game was I don't know. I mean, clearly, losing 1121 01:07:49,400 --> 01:07:52,720 Speaker 1: Kenny Clark in the trade of Micah Parsons matters a lot. 1122 01:07:52,840 --> 01:07:55,840 Speaker 1: If Michaeh Parsons gets hurt, we have nobody to stuff 1123 01:07:55,880 --> 01:07:58,520 Speaker 1: the run. And my god, I mean, it looked like 1124 01:07:58,600 --> 01:08:01,400 Speaker 1: Derrek Henry was back in high school. It was just 1125 01:08:01,560 --> 01:08:03,640 Speaker 1: ridiculous that he got over one hundred yards and so 1126 01:08:03,760 --> 01:08:05,880 Speaker 1: it doesn't matter what you do on offense if you 1127 01:08:05,920 --> 01:08:10,960 Speaker 1: can't stop the run on that front. So, but I 1128 01:08:11,080 --> 01:08:13,840 Speaker 1: go back, that's the question I have, and that's the 1129 01:08:13,960 --> 01:08:17,040 Speaker 1: question we're going to see, you know. I mean, I 1130 01:08:17,120 --> 01:08:20,439 Speaker 1: assume Willis plays again in the final week because the 1131 01:08:20,560 --> 01:08:23,599 Speaker 1: Packers have no reason to play. I'm a little concerned 1132 01:08:23,600 --> 01:08:27,040 Speaker 1: about Jordan Love rust for what it's worth. So maybe 1133 01:08:27,200 --> 01:08:29,960 Speaker 1: let's treat it like a third preseason game, or maybe 1134 01:08:30,000 --> 01:08:32,240 Speaker 1: he plays for a quarter and then you bring in Willis. 1135 01:08:33,320 --> 01:08:38,680 Speaker 1: Be careful there. But there's something off I think in 1136 01:08:38,760 --> 01:08:41,880 Speaker 1: the relationship between Jordan Love and the floor that is 1137 01:08:42,080 --> 01:08:44,920 Speaker 1: that is a that would be a theory I would 1138 01:08:45,000 --> 01:08:47,880 Speaker 1: pursue if I were a Packers beat reporter. Do are 1139 01:08:47,920 --> 01:08:51,320 Speaker 1: they not as in sync? Why does the offense look 1140 01:08:51,439 --> 01:08:55,799 Speaker 1: more dynamic when Willis is running it? It's just a fact, 1141 01:08:56,120 --> 01:08:58,640 Speaker 1: It's true. Is it just as simple as Willis is 1142 01:08:58,800 --> 01:09:02,960 Speaker 1: willing to run and Love isn't? Is it different play calling? 1143 01:09:03,200 --> 01:09:07,439 Speaker 1: Is it different RPOs that he's given? Is it simply? 1144 01:09:07,680 --> 01:09:12,920 Speaker 1: Like I said, Willis playing for a job. I'm curious. 1145 01:09:12,920 --> 01:09:18,360 Speaker 1: You know, he's not under contract. Do the Packers get 1146 01:09:18,479 --> 01:09:22,320 Speaker 1: anything for him? If I were the Miami Dolphins, and 1147 01:09:22,400 --> 01:09:26,160 Speaker 1: Mike McDaniel stays Malik Willis would be an incredible quarterback 1148 01:09:26,200 --> 01:09:30,360 Speaker 1: for them. He could be the guy that unlocks that team, 1149 01:09:30,760 --> 01:09:32,439 Speaker 1: that offense in a way that too and never could 1150 01:09:32,520 --> 01:09:35,920 Speaker 1: unlock because that was a case where they couldn't use 1151 01:09:36,520 --> 01:09:38,840 Speaker 1: they couldn't have to run the ball. But if you 1152 01:09:38,920 --> 01:09:41,120 Speaker 1: get Mike McDaniel, who was, to remember, a run game 1153 01:09:41,200 --> 01:09:44,880 Speaker 1: coordinator first, and he's essentially wants to be a run 1154 01:09:44,960 --> 01:09:47,559 Speaker 1: first team and the Dolphins have been a bit more 1155 01:09:47,600 --> 01:09:50,559 Speaker 1: competitive when they've just decided to screw it to him, 1156 01:09:50,840 --> 01:09:52,840 Speaker 1: let's be a run first team. Well what if that's 1157 01:09:52,920 --> 01:09:57,519 Speaker 1: Malik Willis back there with Devon a Chain h and 1158 01:09:58,040 --> 01:10:02,479 Speaker 1: Oli Oli Gordon Jr. And you have Jalen Waddle and 1159 01:10:02,600 --> 01:10:05,760 Speaker 1: you have a couple of those good receivers and you 1160 01:10:05,840 --> 01:10:07,720 Speaker 1: have a main leak Willis that can also run the ball. 1161 01:10:09,800 --> 01:10:13,240 Speaker 1: As a Packer fan, can the Packers get first or second? 1162 01:10:13,280 --> 01:10:15,559 Speaker 1: Can they at least get a second round pick for him? 1163 01:10:16,760 --> 01:10:18,600 Speaker 1: In this day and age of the NFL, do you 1164 01:10:18,760 --> 01:10:22,920 Speaker 1: want to pay a backup quarterback reasonable money to keep 1165 01:10:22,960 --> 01:10:25,519 Speaker 1: them around? Given this is now two years in a 1166 01:10:25,600 --> 01:10:27,799 Speaker 1: row where the Packers have had to play meaningful games 1167 01:10:27,880 --> 01:10:30,760 Speaker 1: with a backup quarterback. Right, These are all questions that 1168 01:10:30,800 --> 01:10:32,679 Speaker 1: the Packers have to the side in the off season. 1169 01:10:32,800 --> 01:10:39,120 Speaker 1: But it's interesting there all right, a few storylines for 1170 01:10:39,240 --> 01:10:43,280 Speaker 1: the upcoming quarterfinals of the College Football Playoff. Obviously, you've 1171 01:10:43,320 --> 01:10:45,559 Speaker 1: got Miamu Versaile State. I love that my friends at 1172 01:10:45,720 --> 01:10:49,240 Speaker 1: ESPN are promoting the historic nature. The last time they 1173 01:10:49,360 --> 01:10:53,280 Speaker 1: met when stakes were this high was when a controversial 1174 01:10:53,320 --> 01:10:56,960 Speaker 1: flag was thrown by a Big twelve official by the 1175 01:10:57,040 --> 01:10:59,960 Speaker 1: name of Terry Porter calls the past interference that hand 1176 01:11:00,080 --> 01:11:02,639 Speaker 1: to Jim Trussell in Ohio State their first national title 1177 01:11:03,000 --> 01:11:04,960 Speaker 1: for Ohia State, it was their first national title in 1178 01:11:05,439 --> 01:11:09,360 Speaker 1: over thirty years at the time and essentially jump started there, 1179 01:11:09,680 --> 01:11:13,400 Speaker 1: brought their program back to elite status. Without that victory 1180 01:11:13,439 --> 01:11:16,439 Speaker 1: over Miami, you know that if they lose that game, 1181 01:11:16,640 --> 01:11:19,479 Speaker 1: they was scandal ridden. Tressel was kind of driven out 1182 01:11:20,080 --> 01:11:22,519 Speaker 1: that hold the backle with the with the their big 1183 01:11:22,560 --> 01:11:25,719 Speaker 1: freshmen at the time, You know all of that Ohia 1184 01:11:25,760 --> 01:11:27,960 Speaker 1: State may never be the Ohio State we know of 1185 01:11:28,080 --> 01:11:33,240 Speaker 1: today without that controversial ending to that game, where if 1186 01:11:33,280 --> 01:11:37,160 Speaker 1: they just are another hurdle in Miami's drive to be 1187 01:11:37,280 --> 01:11:41,559 Speaker 1: the greatest greatest of their generation, which I still think 1188 01:11:41,760 --> 01:11:46,519 Speaker 1: they probably have a good, pretty good case for that 1189 01:11:47,280 --> 01:11:49,040 Speaker 1: back to back would have cemented it in a way 1190 01:11:49,080 --> 01:11:51,720 Speaker 1: that would have been different. Right, even though that one 1191 01:11:51,800 --> 01:11:55,639 Speaker 1: team is considered an all time, that entire entity would 1192 01:11:55,680 --> 01:11:57,679 Speaker 1: be I think it would be an elevated There wouldn't 1193 01:11:57,720 --> 01:12:00,639 Speaker 1: even be a debate with the LSU twenty nineteen team. 1194 01:12:02,040 --> 01:12:04,800 Speaker 1: But what it did for Ohio State, right, Ohio State 1195 01:12:04,840 --> 01:12:07,120 Speaker 1: hadn't won a national title in over thirty years, hadn't 1196 01:12:07,320 --> 01:12:11,000 Speaker 1: had always been a wannabe never really you know, it'd 1197 01:12:11,000 --> 01:12:13,320 Speaker 1: always been sort of the rung below, kind of like 1198 01:12:13,840 --> 01:12:16,400 Speaker 1: where Wisconsin football had been sitting for the last twenty 1199 01:12:16,439 --> 01:12:19,320 Speaker 1: five years, so close but can't quite make that next 1200 01:12:19,360 --> 01:12:22,960 Speaker 1: sleep where I would argue Oregon football is at right, 1201 01:12:23,040 --> 01:12:25,639 Speaker 1: which is boy, they seem to be with the big boys, 1202 01:12:25,760 --> 01:12:27,479 Speaker 1: but they when are they ever going to break through? 1203 01:12:27,479 --> 01:12:29,240 Speaker 1: Are they ever going to actually win a title? Can 1204 01:12:29,280 --> 01:12:34,639 Speaker 1: they ever actually break through? And so there's some fun 1205 01:12:34,760 --> 01:12:38,439 Speaker 1: storyline there. The Big Ten has a lot on the line, right, 1206 01:12:40,000 --> 01:12:44,439 Speaker 1: I'm if you told me all three Big Ten teams 1207 01:12:44,479 --> 01:12:48,040 Speaker 1: lost this weekend, Oil State to Miami, Indiana to Alabama, 1208 01:12:48,520 --> 01:12:52,280 Speaker 1: and Oregon to Texas Tech. Right, there's the only other 1209 01:12:52,360 --> 01:12:55,080 Speaker 1: game is Georgia Ole miss which has no Big Ten 1210 01:12:55,160 --> 01:13:01,320 Speaker 1: team in it. What's the narrative, right, I'm just saying, Look, 1211 01:13:01,360 --> 01:13:05,000 Speaker 1: I'm not predicting anything. And you know, the Big Tens 1212 01:13:05,040 --> 01:13:07,840 Speaker 1: fan base is I think, second to none. They have 1213 01:13:08,040 --> 01:13:12,600 Speaker 1: terrific fans. You know they'll they'll sell out stadiums for 1214 01:13:12,920 --> 01:13:17,519 Speaker 1: eight and four teams, So kudos to them. I just 1215 01:13:17,560 --> 01:13:19,880 Speaker 1: think it's a storyline that's sitting out there. I'm obviously 1216 01:13:20,000 --> 01:13:23,120 Speaker 1: very bullish in Miami's ability to beat Ohio State. I 1217 01:13:23,200 --> 01:13:26,160 Speaker 1: think Texas Tech. I think Oregon is much softer. I 1218 01:13:26,200 --> 01:13:29,040 Speaker 1: don't think they've I am not impressed with who Oregon's 1219 01:13:29,040 --> 01:13:32,400 Speaker 1: beat yet. Look, they beat Texas Tech. I'm not going 1220 01:13:32,479 --> 01:13:34,719 Speaker 1: to be a doubter anymore. But I'm a doubter until 1221 01:13:34,720 --> 01:13:38,280 Speaker 1: I see them play a team that can physically I think, 1222 01:13:39,600 --> 01:13:42,200 Speaker 1: bully them in a way they haven't faced yet. They 1223 01:13:42,240 --> 01:13:45,439 Speaker 1: didn't face Ohio State this year, they didn't face Michigan, 1224 01:13:45,479 --> 01:13:48,800 Speaker 1: they didn't face the more physical Big ten teams. Well, 1225 01:13:48,920 --> 01:13:52,840 Speaker 1: we shall see. Maybe Indiana does count, is that maybe 1226 01:13:52,920 --> 01:13:55,519 Speaker 1: Iowa does count. But look at the struggles they had 1227 01:13:55,560 --> 01:13:58,840 Speaker 1: with Indiana and Iowa, who are built more physically than 1228 01:13:58,920 --> 01:14:02,360 Speaker 1: Oregon is so I have some I have some suspicion there. 1229 01:14:02,360 --> 01:14:04,240 Speaker 1: And then of course there's the the question I have 1230 01:14:04,320 --> 01:14:07,760 Speaker 1: in Indian Alabama is you know you have the whole 1231 01:14:07,840 --> 01:14:09,800 Speaker 1: hot you know there used to be there was a 1232 01:14:09,920 --> 01:14:14,880 Speaker 1: bit of a the It seemed as if we went 1233 01:14:14,920 --> 01:14:17,680 Speaker 1: through a period in the eighties and nineties where the 1234 01:14:17,800 --> 01:14:20,680 Speaker 1: team with the Heisman Trophy candidate usually lost. There if 1235 01:14:20,680 --> 01:14:23,400 Speaker 1: they were playing a meaningful little game, usually lost. And 1236 01:14:23,520 --> 01:14:26,120 Speaker 1: the assumption was, well, the player wasn't around as much. 1237 01:14:26,360 --> 01:14:29,040 Speaker 1: They were basically on the banquet circuit because if you 1238 01:14:29,080 --> 01:14:31,240 Speaker 1: win the Heisman Trophy, it also means you likely win 1239 01:14:31,280 --> 01:14:33,400 Speaker 1: a Davy O'Brien or you win the and there's all 1240 01:14:33,479 --> 01:14:37,000 Speaker 1: these awards ceremonies, and yes they've consolidated it's somewhat into 1241 01:14:37,040 --> 01:14:40,880 Speaker 1: one thing. But you're you're doing you're making more money 1242 01:14:40,920 --> 01:14:44,120 Speaker 1: than you've ever made at any time, and appearance fees, 1243 01:14:44,320 --> 01:14:47,160 Speaker 1: maybe you're starting a business, maybe you're doing all sorts 1244 01:14:47,200 --> 01:14:49,960 Speaker 1: of stuff. So you have the distraction issue that is 1245 01:14:50,200 --> 01:14:54,080 Speaker 1: that is that never mind the overall distraction that every 1246 01:14:54,120 --> 01:14:57,759 Speaker 1: players are facing with the portal being portal door opens 1247 01:14:57,960 --> 01:15:00,320 Speaker 1: two days after the Miami game, one day after the 1248 01:15:00,439 --> 01:15:03,400 Speaker 1: January first games, which is what's leading a lot of 1249 01:15:03,400 --> 01:15:06,800 Speaker 1: people to assume that Old Miss gets just hammered by 1250 01:15:06,840 --> 01:15:09,320 Speaker 1: Georgia because half those players are trying to figure out 1251 01:15:10,479 --> 01:15:13,800 Speaker 1: what hour they should sign with LSU to transfer from 1252 01:15:13,840 --> 01:15:18,960 Speaker 1: Ole Miss to LSU and follow Lane Kiffin. So the 1253 01:15:19,080 --> 01:15:21,320 Speaker 1: two question marks I have in Alabama Indiana. One is 1254 01:15:21,400 --> 01:15:24,960 Speaker 1: Kaylen de Bor is a great game planner, Okay, and 1255 01:15:25,080 --> 01:15:28,080 Speaker 1: you can't deny that he's not the guy. You know, 1256 01:15:28,200 --> 01:15:30,920 Speaker 1: Alabama is better in bigger games than they are in 1257 01:15:31,040 --> 01:15:34,240 Speaker 1: smaller games. So I you know, and you look at 1258 01:15:34,320 --> 01:15:39,240 Speaker 1: Kaylen de Bor's record in playoffs at lower levels, how 1259 01:15:39,280 --> 01:15:43,120 Speaker 1: he handled big games at Washington right, it did seem 1260 01:15:43,160 --> 01:15:49,760 Speaker 1: as they he was a game planner. Indiana has some 1261 01:15:49,880 --> 01:15:53,519 Speaker 1: significant injuries on defense, including the one where they lost 1262 01:15:53,560 --> 01:15:55,840 Speaker 1: the lineman. Thanks to their celebration of the Big ten game, 1263 01:15:55,920 --> 01:16:00,920 Speaker 1: that's not an insignificant loss. So and the Rose Bowl. 1264 01:16:02,000 --> 01:16:04,080 Speaker 1: You know, this is the biggest stage Indiana's ever played on. 1265 01:16:04,479 --> 01:16:06,800 Speaker 1: Now we're going to keep saying that right wherever stage 1266 01:16:06,840 --> 01:16:08,960 Speaker 1: they are, it's the biggest stage because and you know, 1267 01:16:09,720 --> 01:16:12,680 Speaker 1: look when you're when you're knocking on the door of 1268 01:16:12,760 --> 01:16:18,599 Speaker 1: the elite club. Right Indiana Oregon, right, you certain certain 1269 01:16:19,120 --> 01:16:21,760 Speaker 1: entities already. Alabama can lose and it won't matter to 1270 01:16:21,840 --> 01:16:25,040 Speaker 1: their long term legacy. Indiana loses and suddenly is out. 1271 01:16:25,040 --> 01:16:27,280 Speaker 1: They couldn't play with the big boys right up. The 1272 01:16:27,360 --> 01:16:29,719 Speaker 1: first time they face an SEC opponent, look what happens 1273 01:16:29,760 --> 01:16:34,240 Speaker 1: to them. So the pressure's more in Indiana. Alabama's playing 1274 01:16:34,280 --> 01:16:36,559 Speaker 1: with house money, just like the pressures more in Ohio State. 1275 01:16:36,880 --> 01:16:40,600 Speaker 1: Miami's playing with house money. The pressure's more on I 1276 01:16:40,760 --> 01:16:43,320 Speaker 1: think on Texas Tech in the Texas Tech Oregon game 1277 01:16:43,400 --> 01:16:46,320 Speaker 1: for what it's worth, because the Big twelve, right, you know, 1278 01:16:46,439 --> 01:16:49,680 Speaker 1: Miami got its win to prove it belong. The Big 1279 01:16:49,720 --> 01:16:52,599 Speaker 1: twelve hasn't gotten its win by US win over Georgia 1280 01:16:52,680 --> 01:16:55,559 Speaker 1: Tech is not the same as as Texas Tech knocking 1281 01:16:55,640 --> 01:17:00,640 Speaker 1: off Oregon. And will I think Texas Tech is on 1282 01:17:00,960 --> 01:17:05,800 Speaker 1: the level. I really do. But you got to see it, right, 1283 01:17:05,840 --> 01:17:09,200 Speaker 1: they're knocking on the door and they want in, and 1284 01:17:09,280 --> 01:17:11,280 Speaker 1: the winner of Texas Tech Oregon has a better shot 1285 01:17:11,320 --> 01:17:14,839 Speaker 1: of get letting the door than the loser does obviously, 1286 01:17:16,439 --> 01:17:19,280 Speaker 1: and then Georgia olemiss I think the I think I 1287 01:17:19,439 --> 01:17:22,519 Speaker 1: am I am betting that that Georgia just sort of 1288 01:17:23,200 --> 01:17:26,760 Speaker 1: smokes them, and it has more to do with distracted 1289 01:17:26,800 --> 01:17:30,559 Speaker 1: Ole Miss players than it is debating whether one side 1290 01:17:30,640 --> 01:17:34,040 Speaker 1: is better than the other. I just think it's simply, uh, 1291 01:17:34,439 --> 01:17:36,679 Speaker 1: George is better in general. And you're gonna have half 1292 01:17:36,720 --> 01:17:40,040 Speaker 1: of the old Miss team thinking about it's uh how 1293 01:17:40,400 --> 01:17:43,880 Speaker 1: how much money they're gonna get paid at LSU. So 1294 01:17:45,600 --> 01:17:48,960 Speaker 1: we'll see. I am awfully confident if I I'll say 1295 01:17:48,960 --> 01:17:51,560 Speaker 1: you where I am either blindly loyal to my my 1296 01:17:51,720 --> 01:17:58,760 Speaker 1: homies uh in Coral Gables, or I am right about this, 1297 01:17:58,880 --> 01:18:00,960 Speaker 1: and that is I think. I think the point spread 1298 01:18:01,040 --> 01:18:04,479 Speaker 1: on this is just ridiculous and absurd, and I think 1299 01:18:04,600 --> 01:18:08,640 Speaker 1: this gets it to how perception. You know, again, a 1300 01:18:08,720 --> 01:18:13,080 Speaker 1: point spread doesn't indicate whether these teams are close. It's 1301 01:18:13,280 --> 01:18:17,479 Speaker 1: how the public regards them. And there is a belief 1302 01:18:17,560 --> 01:18:22,840 Speaker 1: that Ohio State is a juggernaut and that Miami it 1303 01:18:22,880 --> 01:18:25,439 Speaker 1: can all fall apart at any moment, right, And it's 1304 01:18:25,479 --> 01:18:29,640 Speaker 1: all about recency bias, and Miami has fall has not 1305 01:18:29,840 --> 01:18:33,840 Speaker 1: met the moment. Although I would argue that the Miami 1306 01:18:33,880 --> 01:18:35,800 Speaker 1: teams in the last ten years wouldn't have won that 1307 01:18:35,880 --> 01:18:38,559 Speaker 1: A and m game. This team seems different. We're going 1308 01:18:38,600 --> 01:18:43,200 Speaker 1: to find out against Ohio State. But that's that nine 1309 01:18:43,240 --> 01:18:45,439 Speaker 1: and a half point spread. I just don't buy it. 1310 01:18:45,920 --> 01:18:48,479 Speaker 1: I don't think that game this game is. If it's 1311 01:18:48,520 --> 01:18:51,320 Speaker 1: more than one score, I'd be surprised. I think it's 1312 01:18:51,360 --> 01:18:54,599 Speaker 1: going to be another slow game. I think it's going 1313 01:18:54,640 --> 01:19:00,200 Speaker 1: to be another grinder, particularly in the first half. And 1314 01:19:00,360 --> 01:19:04,200 Speaker 1: I will say this, I don't think Miami wins if 1315 01:19:04,320 --> 01:19:08,040 Speaker 1: Ohio State scores more than twenty four points. I don't 1316 01:19:08,120 --> 01:19:11,559 Speaker 1: know if Miami can score thirty one or twenty seven 1317 01:19:11,680 --> 01:19:14,160 Speaker 1: or twenty eight. I think if Miami wins this game, 1318 01:19:14,200 --> 01:19:16,000 Speaker 1: it's because they win the game twenty four to twenty, 1319 01:19:16,160 --> 01:19:19,000 Speaker 1: twenty four to seventeen, twenty to seventeen. You see where 1320 01:19:19,000 --> 01:19:27,200 Speaker 1: I'm going. That's that's my expectation on that. But I'll 1321 01:19:27,240 --> 01:19:28,840 Speaker 1: tell you I'll say what I said at there. I 1322 01:19:28,960 --> 01:19:32,720 Speaker 1: do think it's about time look to just letter rip. 1323 01:19:33,400 --> 01:19:35,880 Speaker 1: You're going to have to if we fall behind by 1324 01:19:35,960 --> 01:19:39,320 Speaker 1: ten points. I want to see, you know, let Carson 1325 01:19:39,720 --> 01:19:43,400 Speaker 1: Beck live or die with him, don't try to protect 1326 01:19:43,439 --> 01:19:46,240 Speaker 1: him anymore. And I still think there's too much play 1327 01:19:46,320 --> 01:19:51,200 Speaker 1: calling that's done to protect rather than simply to let 1328 01:19:51,280 --> 01:19:57,800 Speaker 1: the chips fall where they may. All right, Um, I got, 1329 01:19:57,920 --> 01:19:59,639 Speaker 1: like I said, coming up, we'll have one more drop 1330 01:19:59,680 --> 01:20:02,840 Speaker 1: this win. I got a couple of what ifs that 1331 01:20:03,000 --> 01:20:07,200 Speaker 1: I am doing based on your feedback, two pretty big ones. 1332 01:20:07,479 --> 01:20:09,080 Speaker 1: One I've already told you that I'm gonna do about 1333 01:20:09,080 --> 01:20:11,840 Speaker 1: twenty what if Trump wins a twenty twenty election. I'm 1334 01:20:11,840 --> 01:20:13,680 Speaker 1: actually going to put two different what ifs into the 1335 01:20:13,760 --> 01:20:17,200 Speaker 1: same episode there. I'm also going to do a Powerhouse 1336 01:20:17,240 --> 01:20:19,880 Speaker 1: mail bag. We're going to go forty five minutes full 1337 01:20:20,200 --> 01:20:23,080 Speaker 1: just questions. So, by the way, if you're listening now 1338 01:20:23,120 --> 01:20:24,760 Speaker 1: and you want to get a question in under the 1339 01:20:25,360 --> 01:20:29,320 Speaker 1: under the under the deadline, submit asap. So with that, 1340 01:20:30,800 --> 01:20:33,400 Speaker 1: thanks for your support, thanks for listening, and until we 1341 01:20:33,479 --> 01:20:34,000 Speaker 1: upload again,