WEBVTT - MLB: Leading Off July 12th, 2022 (Ep. 550) 0:00:00.360 --> 0:00:16.160 Where will Castillo go? Let's play ball. Welcome in everybody 0:00:16.200 --> 0:00:18.400 to Fantasy Pros. This is leading off, brought to you 0:00:18.400 --> 0:00:20.800 by bet MGM, the King of sports Books. 0:00:20.800 --> 0:00:23.560 It's me, Joey Pa Joe Piezapia with me today is 0:00:23.560 --> 0:00:24.799 the Welsh, and of course it's you. 0:00:25.239 --> 0:00:27.840 All of our listeners are watchers on the YouTube channel 0:00:27.960 --> 0:00:31.400 at Fantasy Pros MLB, and of course our peanuts are 0:00:31.400 --> 0:00:34.440 cracker Jacks, are Randos all over. Rowdy friends are here 0:00:34.440 --> 0:00:36.800 today and on the show, we're gonna start to take 0:00:36.840 --> 0:00:38.360 a look at the things we got right so far, 0:00:38.520 --> 0:00:40.520 the things we got wrong. How much time is there 0:00:40.560 --> 0:00:43.360 to turn things around? Or is the first half of mirage. 0:00:43.360 --> 0:00:46.000 We're gonna talk about the home run derby contestants, We're 0:00:46.040 --> 0:00:47.520 gonna talk about the headlines. 0:00:47.720 --> 0:00:48.640 But Welsh, I want to. 0:00:48.640 --> 0:00:51.400 Talk about Max Scherzer shutting down the Braves because I'm 0:00:51.400 --> 0:00:53.400 sure Spencer Strider is gonna stick it to him tonight. 0:00:53.560 --> 0:00:55.680 But I'm a little excited about that. The Max Shus 0:00:55.680 --> 0:00:57.240 are saying no, no, lets get. 0:00:57.120 --> 0:00:59.320 Me one more day. I wanted Landa. 0:00:59.480 --> 0:01:02.800 He is like w w E ready, he wants the 0:01:02.840 --> 0:01:04.520 main event. I love that about Max. 0:01:05.040 --> 0:01:07.880 I want to talk about your beautiful, sexy new lighting 0:01:08.200 --> 0:01:10.520 and the scented candles that are probably in the back 0:01:10.560 --> 0:01:14.000 and most likely the weekend playing. Uh as you bring 0:01:14.120 --> 0:01:16.920 some but in you know. But we can talk about 0:01:16.959 --> 0:01:18.640 Max shut. We can do whatever you want. Man, it's 0:01:18.640 --> 0:01:20.720 a baseball show, remember we got to talk about that. 0:01:20.800 --> 0:01:23.080 I do love the new light. Yeah, no, dude, you 0:01:23.120 --> 0:01:26.040 know that meme that's out there with everyone. Well, Zach 0:01:26.080 --> 0:01:28.120 Wilson is getting a lot of it right now. Wilson, 0:01:29.080 --> 0:01:31.400 he's got that dog in him. Max has got that 0:01:31.480 --> 0:01:32.479 dog in so. 0:01:32.640 --> 0:01:34.759 Yeah, I mean I wish Zach Wilson had a little 0:01:34.760 --> 0:01:35.800 bit more quarterback in him. 0:01:35.840 --> 0:01:39.360 But you know what you gonna do, you know. But yes, 0:01:39.400 --> 0:01:41.039 I had a we're doing a. 0:01:41.000 --> 0:01:44.759 Little test of some new lighting today, trying to you know, 0:01:45.120 --> 0:01:46.760 sexy up the show a little bit, as if it 0:01:46.800 --> 0:01:47.319 needed more. 0:01:47.640 --> 0:01:48.920 I mean, let's be honest. 0:01:48.680 --> 0:01:51.680 You're I mean, your sex appeal is uh, it's fun. 0:01:51.880 --> 0:01:52.160 Drip. 0:01:52.200 --> 0:01:54.120 The drip is real, my friend, the trip is real. 0:01:58.320 --> 0:02:00.400 I will have some cavasier it's some point in time 0:02:00.480 --> 0:02:01.040 during the show. 0:02:01.520 --> 0:02:04.520 Oh, we're gonna do that type. Hey lady, yeah, love 0:02:04.680 --> 0:02:06.440 not the same loving that is not. 0:02:06.920 --> 0:02:10.120 Come on, baby, everybody left good loving. All right, Uh, 0:02:10.280 --> 0:02:12.480 let's get after it. Let's start with the headlines. Let's 0:02:12.480 --> 0:02:15.600 get away from the transition of the last I love it. 0:02:15.639 --> 0:02:18.000 I think it looks cool. I like it, and it 0:02:18.000 --> 0:02:21.360 looks super good on the high definition four K front 0:02:21.400 --> 0:02:24.320 which was not on right now. But this is this 0:02:24.360 --> 0:02:26.359 is what they work in progress and the test we're 0:02:26.360 --> 0:02:28.440 doing for NFL season. So if you want to get 0:02:28.440 --> 0:02:29.840 a look at what we're talking about. 0:02:29.639 --> 0:02:30.760 To say, what do I need to do here? 0:02:30.800 --> 0:02:38.400 Just what we do in the shadows coming up next? 0:02:38.440 --> 0:02:39.640 All right, let's get to Uh. 0:02:39.760 --> 0:02:43.440 Let's start with a report that apparently the Dodgers and 0:02:43.440 --> 0:02:46.200 the Reds have talked about a Louis Castillo trade. Uh. 0:02:46.280 --> 0:02:49.040 The Yankees, Red Sox, Mariners, Med's Cardinals have also all 0:02:49.120 --> 0:02:51.919 checked in no surprise on any of those teams. So 0:02:52.320 --> 0:02:54.840 let's start putting our money where our mouth is Welsh 0:02:54.880 --> 0:02:57.720 in your opinion, who pulls the trigger or should I 0:02:57.760 --> 0:03:00.480 say who needs to pull the trigger most? Who is 0:03:00.520 --> 0:03:03.840 going to get Luis Castillo? Two different questions, not necessarily 0:03:03.880 --> 0:03:04.520 the same answer. 0:03:04.760 --> 0:03:08.400 Ooh okay, So I think who needs him the most 0:03:08.960 --> 0:03:11.320 are the Mariners And I don't know if it was 0:03:11.320 --> 0:03:13.760 you and I or you are myself and Bogwin talking 0:03:13.840 --> 0:03:17.920 about this. But I definitely think the Mariners, on this 0:03:18.040 --> 0:03:21.160 precipice of you know, obviously just building this team and 0:03:21.200 --> 0:03:23.880 trying to be a playoff contender, they need to be 0:03:24.160 --> 0:03:26.880 hyper aggressive, like they need to make those moves if 0:03:26.880 --> 0:03:29.880 they're gonna be competitive. So I think they're the ones 0:03:29.919 --> 0:03:31.520 that need to make this movie, because then you would 0:03:31.520 --> 0:03:34.840 have a Robbie ray Logan, Gilbert Luis Castillo, or you know, 0:03:34.840 --> 0:03:37.480 if you wanted to insert Frankie Montos. We're talking about Castillo. 0:03:37.600 --> 0:03:40.360 They need to be hyper, hyper aggressive. The team that 0:03:40.400 --> 0:03:44.680 I think gets this done the Dodgers. The Dodgers have 0:03:44.920 --> 0:03:49.440 a plethora of great prospects in their system. Pitching is 0:03:49.480 --> 0:03:52.880 also the big key because I would imagine I could 0:03:52.880 --> 0:03:54.960 be wrong about this, but I would imagine the Reds 0:03:55.000 --> 0:03:56.800 are going to move off at Luis Castillo, They're going 0:03:56.840 --> 0:03:59.240 to want to bring a pitcher back in. Is very 0:03:59.280 --> 0:04:02.000 funny because these teams have also done trades before the 0:04:02.080 --> 0:04:05.400 Josiah Great trade that ended up happening, and the Reds 0:04:05.400 --> 0:04:09.160 had traded away you know, this really solid young pitcher 0:04:09.160 --> 0:04:11.160 and Josiah Gray that went to the Dodgers and ended 0:04:11.240 --> 0:04:13.480 up getting moved that they need to bring one back. 0:04:13.520 --> 0:04:16.800 And the Dodgers currently have Bobby Miller, who I think 0:04:16.839 --> 0:04:19.200 could be the centerpiece of a trade like this. Could 0:04:19.240 --> 0:04:21.640 be Bobby Miller and one other piece. They've got guys 0:04:21.640 --> 0:04:24.800 like Land and Nat Gavin Stone. They've got three great, 0:04:24.880 --> 0:04:26.920 great pictures, and I'm probably forgetting a couple off the 0:04:26.920 --> 0:04:30.200 top of my head, plus hitting prospects Michael Bush, Miguel Vargas, 0:04:30.480 --> 0:04:34.680 Andy Payos. So if it costs two prospects, the Dodgers 0:04:34.720 --> 0:04:38.960 can do it easier than anybody else in this entire conversation. 0:04:39.120 --> 0:04:41.320 So I think it's the Dodgers that make it happen. 0:04:41.360 --> 0:04:43.599 I think the Mariners need to make it happen. 0:04:44.640 --> 0:04:47.240 I think it's the Dodgers that are going to make 0:04:47.279 --> 0:04:48.800 it happen for the reasons you said too. 0:04:48.839 --> 0:04:50.560 They have the right mix of prospects. 0:04:50.600 --> 0:04:53.080 I also think it's the Dodgers that need to because 0:04:53.120 --> 0:04:55.520 I keep looking ahead the Gonsolin's eventual fall off, which 0:04:55.520 --> 0:04:58.520 I think is just inevitable. I look at Kershaw's iffy health, 0:04:58.600 --> 0:05:00.520 Walker Buehler, forget it, You're a I don't know if 0:05:00.520 --> 0:05:01.280 I can depend on him. 0:05:01.320 --> 0:05:02.120 They need more. 0:05:02.600 --> 0:05:05.120 Their expectations are so high. To me, it's World championship 0:05:05.200 --> 0:05:07.840 or bust for the Dodgers. They really need to get 0:05:07.839 --> 0:05:08.960 this one's. 0:05:08.600 --> 0:05:11.040 And also, you know, like how many times? How how 0:05:11.160 --> 0:05:13.960 many times can they strike gold with these other pictures, 0:05:14.040 --> 0:05:16.000 Like you know, they got Tayler Anderson, they got Gonsolin. 0:05:16.320 --> 0:05:18.520 Is it gonna be worthwhile if it's needed to put 0:05:18.600 --> 0:05:20.159 the backs on the rest of the season on a 0:05:20.200 --> 0:05:23.880 guy like Bobby Miller, No, probably not. And and Miller 0:05:24.000 --> 0:05:26.360 is relatively ready as is you know, Land and Nak 0:05:26.440 --> 0:05:29.039 these are two older, you know, high end triple A pitchers, 0:05:29.080 --> 0:05:31.320 So that that I agree with. I mean, you can 0:05:31.360 --> 0:05:34.479 make a case for the Dodgers maybe being the top 0:05:34.640 --> 0:05:37.080 need team of all of these because they're so good. 0:05:37.400 --> 0:05:38.960 I just make the case, right, I mean, yeah, I 0:05:38.960 --> 0:05:41.000 feel like in for the penny, in for the pound 0:05:41.080 --> 0:05:42.880 they are they need to make this move because I 0:05:42.880 --> 0:05:45.480 don't think I don't think when the Dodgers get in 0:05:45.520 --> 0:05:47.440 a short if the Dodgers had a short series starting 0:05:47.440 --> 0:05:51.360 tomorrow for the playoffs, I think the Mets with the 0:05:51.440 --> 0:05:56.320 gram and uh insurs are the Padres with their many 0:05:56.360 --> 0:05:59.000 many aces that they could throw at you, like, I mean, 0:05:59.040 --> 0:06:01.599 the the Brewer and all that frontline pitching. 0:06:01.720 --> 0:06:02.599 Yeah, they could throw you. 0:06:02.720 --> 0:06:06.200 I mean the Dodgers will be the Dodgers will theoretically 0:06:06.279 --> 0:06:08.640 they get Buehler back, maybe in time for the playoffs, 0:06:08.640 --> 0:06:10.160 so they want to give theoretically. 0:06:10.279 --> 0:06:12.560 Man, I do not feel good about getting war back. 0:06:12.680 --> 0:06:15.800 I really do. I think that one is just like. 0:06:17.360 --> 0:06:20.000 This is what's like odd to me. Still, And we've 0:06:20.040 --> 0:06:22.640 talked like briefly about trades and stuff. There are more 0:06:22.680 --> 0:06:26.680 teams out there, these competitive windows are very different. Like 0:06:26.960 --> 0:06:29.320 you just go all in and I and I hate 0:06:29.320 --> 0:06:31.400 the thought of, like if I were a Dodger fan 0:06:31.560 --> 0:06:34.120 trading away all my good prospects, But why not, Like 0:06:34.200 --> 0:06:37.039 you continuously replace your system. You have a great scouting department, 0:06:37.080 --> 0:06:39.400 as do teams like the Mariners and the Yankees. You 0:06:39.680 --> 0:06:43.520 just trade to make these impactful trades. Don't allow yourself 0:06:43.600 --> 0:06:46.680 to have a hole anywhere when you're going into the playoffs. 0:06:46.720 --> 0:06:48.800 And that's why you make these moves. And pitching is 0:06:48.800 --> 0:06:50.760 the ultimate You know, these guys are gonna pay, These 0:06:50.800 --> 0:06:53.360 guys are going to pay exponentially for relief pitching. Once 0:06:53.360 --> 0:06:56.000 that market starts to open up, why not start the 0:06:56.040 --> 0:06:58.679 market on all the pitching and make the big impact 0:06:58.680 --> 0:07:00.080 trade E. 0:07:00.120 --> 0:07:00.719 One hundred percent. 0:07:00.760 --> 0:07:04.560 Dylan Carlson three hits yesterday and Corningworth hit a homer, 0:07:04.600 --> 0:07:07.120 reach base four times against the Rockies. Man Bachiado hit 0:07:07.160 --> 0:07:10.200 me another home run. Hooray, yay, fish in the barrel 0:07:10.360 --> 0:07:13.520 A shot them all. Corey Seger hit another home run again. 0:07:13.560 --> 0:07:15.080 But boy, he's been red hot over the last week 0:07:15.160 --> 0:07:17.960 or so, Tigers said to recall on our favorites like 0:07:18.040 --> 0:07:22.800 kil Bado. On Tuesday, Nolan Jones four runs knocked in 0:07:22.840 --> 0:07:25.360 there for him again for the Guardians, and Bobby Witt 0:07:25.440 --> 0:07:27.040 had four hits and stole a base a lot more. 0:07:27.080 --> 0:07:28.960 Bobby Witt talked to come before we get. 0:07:28.880 --> 0:07:29.680 To that Nolan Jones. 0:07:29.720 --> 0:07:31.000 You know when he came up, we really didn't do 0:07:31.040 --> 0:07:33.880 any profile on Nolan Jones. It kind of came up 0:07:33.880 --> 0:07:36.440 in a busy time there. So your thoughts on Nolan 0:07:36.520 --> 0:07:38.520 Jones rest of season for those people who are looking 0:07:38.560 --> 0:07:40.040 at him or might have him on their team already 0:07:40.040 --> 0:07:40.840 and re draft leagues. 0:07:41.120 --> 0:07:43.720 Yeah, this is a really good spot. Nolan Jones is 0:07:43.880 --> 0:07:47.720 an obp like magnet. That has always been his big thing. 0:07:48.040 --> 0:07:51.640 He struggled ironically as like he's just a big dude. 0:07:51.680 --> 0:07:54.480 I've been around him a whole bunch. He's he's struggled 0:07:54.480 --> 0:07:57.720 with like developing impactful power. That's something that you really 0:07:57.720 --> 0:08:00.680 haven't seen. In twenty twenty one, he hit the teen homers. 0:08:00.760 --> 0:08:03.880 Year before that he had hit fifteen, so you've never 0:08:03.880 --> 0:08:06.400 seen big, big stuff. But strikeout numbers are coming down. 0:08:06.480 --> 0:08:10.440 He's already rocking an eight eighteen percent walk rate. Big 0:08:10.480 --> 0:08:13.080 physical human being who could play over on the corners 0:08:13.160 --> 0:08:16.239 if needed. I'm actually here for Nolan Jones. The injuries 0:08:16.280 --> 0:08:19.800 have really kept him just like muted over the last 0:08:19.840 --> 0:08:21.880 couple of years, and then seeing him come back this 0:08:21.920 --> 0:08:24.000 year in TRIPA at absolutely get back to dominating. He 0:08:24.080 --> 0:08:27.120 was a contact hitter. He actually has it almost like 0:08:27.160 --> 0:08:31.520 a Goldie nature to him, where he's not a forceful 0:08:31.560 --> 0:08:34.880 power hitter. He's a good contact hitter that you're hoping 0:08:34.920 --> 0:08:37.040 it's going to translate into power. But he's been had 0:08:37.120 --> 0:08:39.360 so many injuries. I really do think he could be 0:08:39.480 --> 0:08:42.640 a guy like that, but he's more transitioned into the outfield, 0:08:42.640 --> 0:08:44.439 but he can play multiple spots. I actually think he's 0:08:44.440 --> 0:08:47.120 a sneaky pickup right now. He wasn't someone I had 0:08:47.120 --> 0:08:50.520 put on my radar because he lost like the whole season, 0:08:50.760 --> 0:08:53.880 the first half of the season, came up for twenty 0:08:53.920 --> 0:08:56.360 games I think in Triple A, and then now he's 0:08:56.360 --> 0:08:58.720 in the Major so like they were hyper aggressive with him, 0:08:58.720 --> 0:09:01.240 but it's pretty good rate. I would be looking at 0:09:01.240 --> 0:09:03.240 Nolan Jones because I think he could hit near the 0:09:03.280 --> 0:09:05.079 middle of that lineup. I think there's a. 0:09:05.000 --> 0:09:07.559 Big question here going around the chat from Brent Cox. 0:09:07.559 --> 0:09:10.079 Here are we hoping that Lance Linn makes a turnaround? 0:09:10.640 --> 0:09:12.480 I am. I know he doesn't look great. I know. 0:09:12.760 --> 0:09:15.679 Are we hope hope? You can hope in one hand? 0:09:15.880 --> 0:09:16.640 Are we hoping? 0:09:16.800 --> 0:09:17.520 Are we thinking? 0:09:18.440 --> 0:09:20.079 But let's let's. 0:09:20.280 --> 0:09:22.240 Dial back a little bit and let's talk about you know, 0:09:22.400 --> 0:09:24.280 so far going into the year, he went into the 0:09:24.360 --> 0:09:26.600 year with an injury. He was completely off his normal track. 0:09:28.040 --> 0:09:30.079 Things have not gone well. There's been a couple of moments, 0:09:30.120 --> 0:09:32.360 some spurts from lanceln I'll start here or there where 0:09:32.400 --> 0:09:34.960 you go, okay, well, maybe if I need a pitching 0:09:35.400 --> 0:09:36.600 I think this is one of these guys. 0:09:36.400 --> 0:09:37.880 In the second half after the All Star Break that 0:09:37.880 --> 0:09:39.520 I've actually been trying to buy on the cheap. I 0:09:39.559 --> 0:09:40.240 really would. 0:09:40.800 --> 0:09:43.199 I just feel like, at least you know what good 0:09:43.320 --> 0:09:46.760 Lance Linn is and I mean perhaps the injury is 0:09:46.760 --> 0:09:47.559 still bothering him. 0:09:47.679 --> 0:09:49.160 Maybe you can make that argument. I don't know. 0:09:49.200 --> 0:09:51.320 But in terms of by low pitchers that you have 0:09:51.400 --> 0:09:53.079 a track record, I don't know how many are out 0:09:53.080 --> 0:09:55.400 there that are available, and I feel like this is 0:09:55.440 --> 0:09:57.120 a guy that fits that bill. 0:09:57.480 --> 0:09:59.600 I would roll the dice on Lanceln and see what happens. 0:09:59.640 --> 0:10:01.560 Where do you stand with let Well? 0:10:01.600 --> 0:10:04.560 I mean, so I want him to turn around. I 0:10:04.600 --> 0:10:07.400 don't know if I'm not really so sure he's going 0:10:07.440 --> 0:10:10.400 to turn around. I'm always into these. Okay, so here's 0:10:10.440 --> 0:10:11.000 an overchow. 0:10:11.040 --> 0:10:12.520 Well, this is the by low. Would you buy low? 0:10:12.679 --> 0:10:15.640 Yes, that's the quest. If it's a true low I'll 0:10:15.679 --> 0:10:17.840 always take these type of risks because you actually laid 0:10:17.840 --> 0:10:19.760 it out really well. It's like these guys that have 0:10:19.840 --> 0:10:23.560 these really proven track records to be ace ish. I 0:10:23.640 --> 0:10:26.720 will buy low on if it is a true low cost, 0:10:26.920 --> 0:10:29.920 just because are we to really determined that the wall 0:10:30.080 --> 0:10:33.320 was just hit? I don't necessarily know so, but I 0:10:33.360 --> 0:10:36.520 am concerned and I would have to be really low. 0:10:36.960 --> 0:10:40.200 He's lost almost a mile and a half on his fastball. 0:10:40.600 --> 0:10:44.280 He's ditched the slider. Well, I shouldn't say ditch the slider. Fangrafts, 0:10:44.320 --> 0:10:49.120 they designate stuff weird where they're designating what was a 0:10:49.160 --> 0:10:51.839 slider last year is like a cutter, and then they're 0:10:51.880 --> 0:10:54.600 saying his slider has lost some v low so but 0:10:54.679 --> 0:10:57.440 still that's cut a little bit and he's just not 0:10:57.520 --> 0:10:59.920 getting it quite. His curveball's actually gone up, which is 0:11:00.040 --> 0:11:03.400 don't necessarily like to see. And he's been inconsistent across 0:11:03.400 --> 0:11:05.040 the board the half of his starts. He's given up 0:11:05.040 --> 0:11:07.360 five earned runs or more thirteen earned runs in his 0:11:07.440 --> 0:11:11.160 last two starts. You know, where are the positive signs? 0:11:11.160 --> 0:11:13.120 So if it's a cheat, by sure, I don't know 0:11:13.160 --> 0:11:15.640 if there's great stuff outside of track record that's telling 0:11:15.720 --> 0:11:18.920 us this will turn around, but I am willing to 0:11:18.960 --> 0:11:20.679 take risks on track record. 0:11:21.160 --> 0:11:23.120 I think I think it's also a matter of you know, 0:11:23.120 --> 0:11:25.160 maybe he gets a little reset mentally at the All 0:11:25.160 --> 0:11:28.560 Star break too. That is something that happens when you 0:11:28.600 --> 0:11:31.440 go look at splits of players every single year. You 0:11:31.480 --> 0:11:33.360 see splits, you're like, man, this guy stunk in the 0:11:33.360 --> 0:11:35.079 first half, and then look at the second half numbers. 0:11:35.080 --> 0:11:35.560 After the break. 0:11:35.600 --> 0:11:38.400 The pre impost is a real thing, and sometimes it's 0:11:38.400 --> 0:11:40.400 that mental break a little bit. It's the physical break, 0:11:40.400 --> 0:11:42.280 it's the mental break. I think this is a picture 0:11:42.280 --> 0:11:45.400 who has, you know, really earned my respect over the years. 0:11:45.600 --> 0:11:47.760 Everybody knows I'm a big fan of the physique as 0:11:47.760 --> 0:11:50.320 well when it comes to Lancelin. But at the same time, 0:11:50.360 --> 0:11:53.040 I feel like, if I'm gonna put my money on 0:11:53.080 --> 0:11:55.840 a bi low candidate, Lanceln's the exact kind of guy. 0:11:56.320 --> 0:11:59.520 The stock is hit rock bottom. He's on a good team, 0:12:00.000 --> 0:12:02.120 there's a track record of being good. I would be 0:12:02.160 --> 0:12:04.040 trying to buy him, and what's the worst that happened? 0:12:04.040 --> 0:12:05.640 You buy him low? It doesn't work out? Okay? 0:12:06.040 --> 0:12:08.920 A couple injury notes real quick, Jesus Lozardo facing live 0:12:09.000 --> 0:12:12.640 hitters today and Will Meyer starting rehab assignment today as well. 0:12:12.840 --> 0:12:16.000 But let's talk about this today. We're gonna do mine. Tomorrow, 0:12:16.000 --> 0:12:16.880 we're gonna do Welsh's. 0:12:16.880 --> 0:12:19.199 I want to talk about the guys that we were 0:12:19.240 --> 0:12:21.680 most right and wrong about going into the season, and 0:12:21.720 --> 0:12:24.440 whether or not either of these trends both good or bad. 0:12:24.360 --> 0:12:26.560 Or sustainable. So let's talk about the el's first. 0:12:26.840 --> 0:12:28.680 These are the two guys that was most wrong about 0:12:29.120 --> 0:12:31.840 Trevor Rodgers most wrong. I thought there was a real 0:12:31.920 --> 0:12:33.720 chance this guy was gonna build on the first half 0:12:33.720 --> 0:12:35.440 of last year and how dominant he was. 0:12:35.920 --> 0:12:36.920 That has not happened. 0:12:37.160 --> 0:12:39.080 And then Brian Reynolds, who is now on the IL 0:12:39.080 --> 0:12:42.120 with an oblique so you know, obviously that season has 0:12:42.160 --> 0:12:43.680 not been where I wanted to be. I thought he 0:12:43.720 --> 0:12:45.520 was one of the best values. Those are two guys 0:12:45.520 --> 0:12:47.280 that was very in on coming into the season. I 0:12:47.280 --> 0:12:50.120 love their ADP could not have been more wrong on both. 0:12:50.360 --> 0:12:52.600 So I'm gonna ask this question, is there any time 0:12:52.679 --> 0:12:54.480 here left in the season for either of these two 0:12:54.480 --> 0:12:56.840 guys to turn it around or is it just an 0:12:56.880 --> 0:12:59.360 abject failure now eighty five games. 0:12:59.160 --> 0:12:59.760 Into the season. 0:13:00.080 --> 0:13:04.040 I'm over Trevor Rodgers. I'm done the Trevor Rodgers thon. Yeah, 0:13:04.040 --> 0:13:04.280 I don't. 0:13:04.320 --> 0:13:07.280 I don't think like the lefty. 0:13:07.480 --> 0:13:10.679 Sometimes the big lefty mechanically steps to figure things out. 0:13:10.800 --> 0:13:12.480 Like I think that's what it is, you know, because 0:13:12.679 --> 0:13:15.040 we've seen that with Randy Johnson even back in the past. 0:13:15.520 --> 0:13:17.839 Yeah, well, I mean Treva Rodgers, not Randy Johnson. But 0:13:19.200 --> 0:13:22.000 I'm one of those people though I don't ever write 0:13:22.040 --> 0:13:25.360 someone off completely like that. It's the story's completely done. 0:13:25.679 --> 0:13:28.760 But I'm over needing to sit around and figure out 0:13:28.760 --> 0:13:31.840 if it happens for me this year. I just don't 0:13:31.840 --> 0:13:33.960 need it. The strikeouts are crazy, a lovel the walks 0:13:34.040 --> 0:13:37.160 are absolutely insane. It's a pretty big home run rate 0:13:37.200 --> 0:13:39.440 for him, and this is now actually two years of 0:13:39.520 --> 0:13:42.880 pitching to a three hundred plus Babbitt. There's about a 0:13:42.960 --> 0:13:45.480 run differential between xt FIP and ERA, but it's still 0:13:45.520 --> 0:13:47.680 not good. I just don't I just don't think you 0:13:47.720 --> 0:13:50.119 need to sit around and doctor Glenn said it perfectly 0:13:50.160 --> 0:13:53.640 without a whole bunch of breakdown. Reynolds, Yes, Rogers, No, 0:13:53.760 --> 0:13:56.720 that's how I feel. Reynold's on the IL right now, 0:13:56.960 --> 0:13:59.720 still makes solid contact. I think he's fine. It just 0:14:00.280 --> 0:14:02.120 I was never a big neither one of these guys. 0:14:02.240 --> 0:14:04.439 Was I ever really that big on And it depends 0:14:04.480 --> 0:14:06.560 what Reynolds you were buying. I think you and I 0:14:06.600 --> 0:14:09.600 had like tons of discussions about being Reynolds in this offseason. 0:14:09.640 --> 0:14:13.200 I just think he's a fine hitter, mediocre power guy. 0:14:13.240 --> 0:14:15.839 He's one of those guys that's like seventy seventy run 0:14:15.960 --> 0:14:17.880 RBI in my mind set, maybe seventy five to seventy 0:14:17.880 --> 0:14:18.880 five twenty homers. 0:14:18.880 --> 0:14:20.960 See, I thought he was a little bit better than that, 0:14:21.080 --> 0:14:24.280 and I thought maybe getting to another team with like 0:14:24.360 --> 0:14:26.400 I thought he was a get off to a good start, 0:14:26.480 --> 0:14:29.040 get Delta a contender, and then really, you know, the 0:14:29.080 --> 0:14:31.400 seventy five run guy becomes a ninety five run guy. 0:14:31.520 --> 0:14:33.320 You know, it all sudden done if he can get 0:14:33.320 --> 0:14:35.560 those last three months with a better team. But alas 0:14:35.760 --> 0:14:38.000 that's probably not gonna happen. Here the guys that was 0:14:38.080 --> 0:14:41.000 right about ooh, I was right. I was very aggressive 0:14:41.000 --> 0:14:43.520 on Bobby Wood Junior in redraft leagues. I know it 0:14:43.520 --> 0:14:45.720 was a rough April, but here we stand right now 0:14:45.720 --> 0:14:48.840 where Bobby Wood Junior had five hits, two runs, three 0:14:48.880 --> 0:14:51.800 steals in the doubleheader yesterday. That brings him up to 0:14:51.840 --> 0:14:54.280 twelve home runs and sixteen stone bases on the season. 0:14:54.440 --> 0:14:56.840 So if you were aggressive on Bobby Wood Junior, like 0:14:56.880 --> 0:14:58.720 I certainly was, this is a win. 0:14:59.120 --> 0:15:01.000 And some people were not. Like some people are like, no, no, 0:15:01.040 --> 0:15:02.120 it's too rich to pay for him. 0:15:02.160 --> 0:15:04.760 Me Nope, pump people with the with the rookies. So 0:15:04.760 --> 0:15:07.880 I'd say I was actually the Fantasy Pro's highest ranker 0:15:08.440 --> 0:15:11.760 going into Bobby wit March on Bobby Wit yeah, like 0:15:11.920 --> 0:15:12.760 Bobman and I do. We do. 0:15:12.960 --> 0:15:14.640 We just had an hour right behind you. Then we 0:15:14.680 --> 0:15:15.400 had Yeah, we do. 0:15:15.360 --> 0:15:17.440 An analysis on this every single year, and there was 0:15:17.520 --> 0:15:20.400 no human being who had submitted their ranks that was 0:15:20.480 --> 0:15:22.280 higher than me. But I think that might have got 0:15:22.280 --> 0:15:23.480 surpassed on the back end. 0:15:23.960 --> 0:15:26.080 Yeah, a bad one. I mean, I'm sorry. The other 0:15:26.120 --> 0:15:29.120 good one for me was Christian Javier. I mean, yeah, 0:15:29.200 --> 0:15:32.280 you love I love Tavier coming into the year. Uh 0:15:32.840 --> 0:15:35.640 And and remember when Oderezi came back and started pitching, Well, 0:15:35.680 --> 0:15:37.280 I was like, oh no, this is gonna do. I said, 0:15:37.320 --> 0:15:40.120 you know what, no, go out there, buy him everywhere. Anyway, 0:15:40.120 --> 0:15:41.880 Now that everyone's pissed off that he's getting bumped from 0:15:41.880 --> 0:15:44.360 the rotation again, Odoresei got hurt well a week later, 0:15:45.040 --> 0:15:47.560 two weeks later, whatever it was, and then he's I mean, 0:15:47.560 --> 0:15:49.160 you can't take him out of that rotation, just can't. 0:15:49.200 --> 0:15:52.880 He's been absolutely dominant. So yes, those are two things 0:15:52.920 --> 0:15:54.000 I will take the victory lap. 0:15:54.000 --> 0:15:56.560 On tomorrow, we're gonna talk about Welsh's Uh so he's 0:15:56.560 --> 0:15:58.000 going to pick out a couple of names too that 0:15:58.040 --> 0:15:59.720 he was right too, that he was wrong about. 0:16:00.480 --> 0:16:02.400 But let's get to the names too. 0:16:02.480 --> 0:16:05.040 On the h on the big board where we talk 0:16:05.080 --> 0:16:07.400 about the guys who are gonna be the Home Run 0:16:07.440 --> 0:16:10.400 Derby participants. Now, I know we were talking about how 0:16:10.400 --> 0:16:13.560 we want to run this Welsh. I'm gonna propose this 0:16:13.640 --> 0:16:15.000 to you. I want to see how you think about it. 0:16:15.040 --> 0:16:17.240 I thought about this all day, all night. 0:16:18.440 --> 0:16:20.680 I can tell. I can tell the lighting telle what 0:16:20.760 --> 0:16:21.120 I thought. 0:16:21.560 --> 0:16:23.800 That's why I blew out all the electricity in my house. 0:16:25.120 --> 0:16:27.120 I think we should everybody should pick who they think 0:16:27.160 --> 0:16:29.080 is going to win the Home Run Derby. If you 0:16:29.120 --> 0:16:32.880 get it right, you get two points. I think that's 0:16:32.880 --> 0:16:34.960 what you should do. I think that is the simplest 0:16:35.000 --> 0:16:38.360 way for the bot to function properly, so that everybody 0:16:38.400 --> 0:16:38.800 can just go. 0:16:38.800 --> 0:16:40.960 Ahead and make because I think two is that's nice. 0:16:41.000 --> 0:16:42.040 You get you get two. 0:16:42.240 --> 0:16:44.840 A bump up there if you want to make it 0:16:44.880 --> 0:16:47.440 three and you want to feel sassy, okay, But I 0:16:47.440 --> 0:16:50.080 think two for whoever just picks the. 0:16:50.000 --> 0:16:50.800 Guy that wins. 0:16:51.200 --> 0:16:53.240 Obviously, you have a finite number of choices. What do 0:16:53.240 --> 0:16:55.200 you think about that? Is that not exciting or sexy 0:16:55.200 --> 0:16:55.640 in it? 0:16:55.640 --> 0:16:58.080 It looks like Mary's saning Wonkee As a proposal for this, 0:16:58.360 --> 0:17:00.280 I'm all good with all of that. When I was 0:17:00.320 --> 0:17:02.800