1 00:00:04,400 --> 00:00:08,680 Speaker 1: Broadcasting live to New York, Bloomberg eleven Brio to Washington, 2 00:00:08,760 --> 00:00:13,800 Speaker 1: d C. Bloomberg to Boston, Bloomberg twelve hundred to San Francisco, 3 00:00:13,920 --> 00:00:17,880 Speaker 1: Bloomberg nine to the country is exam General one nine 4 00:00:18,280 --> 00:00:21,720 Speaker 1: and around the globe the Bloomberg Radio plus ad Bloomberg 5 00:00:21,800 --> 00:00:26,560 Speaker 1: dot Com. This is taking stock. If you voted to 6 00:00:26,720 --> 00:00:30,280 Speaker 1: leave the European Union, but you're not exactly sure if 7 00:00:30,280 --> 00:00:32,200 Speaker 1: you're going to be out by the end of the year. 8 00:00:32,880 --> 00:00:35,920 Speaker 1: If Conservative Boris Johnson, who pushed for that exit, is 9 00:00:36,080 --> 00:00:38,400 Speaker 1: not going to stand to be your next prime minister, 10 00:00:38,560 --> 00:00:41,000 Speaker 1: and you perhaps have less idea than ever who that 11 00:00:41,040 --> 00:00:42,920 Speaker 1: will be at the Bank of England says it's going 12 00:00:42,960 --> 00:00:45,800 Speaker 1: to possibly cut rates, but you don't know that for 13 00:00:45,800 --> 00:00:48,600 Speaker 1: sure either. How do you negotiate the rest of the 14 00:00:48,640 --> 00:00:53,600 Speaker 1: transatlantic trade and investment partnership between the United States and 15 00:00:53,640 --> 00:00:56,520 Speaker 1: the EU. What does the bregit me vote mean for 16 00:00:56,560 --> 00:00:59,160 Speaker 1: this very important trade agreement. We're gonna be taking up 17 00:00:59,160 --> 00:01:02,320 Speaker 1: that question on Bloomberg Radio. Now we're going to Katherine Carterie. 18 00:01:02,360 --> 00:01:05,040 Speaker 1: She's in the newsroom with a Bloomberg Business Flash. Thank you, 19 00:01:05,120 --> 00:01:07,240 Speaker 1: Kathleen and Bloomberg. Taking stock is brought to you by 20 00:01:07,319 --> 00:01:12,440 Speaker 1: National Realty Providers of Satisfaction Guaranteed New York City Realty Investments. 21 00:01:12,440 --> 00:01:15,080 Speaker 1: See them at n r I a dot net. Well 22 00:01:15,080 --> 00:01:18,319 Speaker 1: the global rally continues this Policymakers signal further steps to 23 00:01:18,360 --> 00:01:21,720 Speaker 1: buffer the impact of Britain's decision to leave the European Union. 24 00:01:22,160 --> 00:01:25,160 Speaker 1: Equities were boosted afterward today that the European Central Bank 25 00:01:25,280 --> 00:01:27,960 Speaker 1: is considering loosening the loosening the rules for its bond 26 00:01:27,959 --> 00:01:31,200 Speaker 1: purchases to ensure enough debt is available to buy in 27 00:01:31,240 --> 00:01:34,720 Speaker 1: the aftermath of the Brexit vote. Just dayly, Chief executive 28 00:01:34,760 --> 00:01:38,120 Speaker 1: at Barclays on the impact of Brexit. I think the 29 00:01:38,200 --> 00:01:42,400 Speaker 1: crisis we're facing right now is a political crisis. Um. 30 00:01:42,440 --> 00:01:46,880 Speaker 1: It clearly will have economic consequences um But right now 31 00:01:47,040 --> 00:01:49,960 Speaker 1: we have a political crisis that may lead to economic 32 00:01:50,040 --> 00:01:55,080 Speaker 1: challenges facing a banking industry that actually is in very 33 00:01:55,080 --> 00:01:58,920 Speaker 1: strong shape, particularly UH in the UK. We check the 34 00:01:58,960 --> 00:02:01,960 Speaker 1: markets every fifteen minutes throughout the trading day on Bloomberg Radio. 35 00:02:02,040 --> 00:02:04,960 Speaker 1: Down industrial leverage of two hundred twelve points one two 36 00:02:05,000 --> 00:02:08,640 Speaker 1: percent trading at seventeen thousand, nine hundred seven smp F 37 00:02:08,639 --> 00:02:10,960 Speaker 1: I founded up twenty five points one point two percent, 38 00:02:11,000 --> 00:02:14,480 Speaker 1: trading at two thousand nine Nazac Hire by fifty six 39 00:02:14,480 --> 00:02:17,120 Speaker 1: points one point two percent, trading at forty eight thirty 40 00:02:17,160 --> 00:02:20,440 Speaker 1: five less. Texas Intermedia crude oil down a dollar thirty 41 00:02:20,480 --> 00:02:22,600 Speaker 1: eight of barrel two point eight percent to forty eight 42 00:02:22,639 --> 00:02:27,160 Speaker 1: fifty speckled down two dollars eighty cents anounced at ten 43 00:02:27,240 --> 00:02:29,200 Speaker 1: year treasury up ten thirty seconds, with the yield of 44 00:02:29,240 --> 00:02:32,920 Speaker 1: one point for eight percent. Among today's top business stories, 45 00:02:32,960 --> 00:02:36,680 Speaker 1: Hershey has nubbed a preliminary takeover offer for Mondaleze International 46 00:02:36,919 --> 00:02:39,880 Speaker 1: for one hundred seven dollars to share in cash and stock. 47 00:02:40,680 --> 00:02:42,120 Speaker 1: And now let's get an update of some of the 48 00:02:42,120 --> 00:02:45,400 Speaker 1: other stories were following today on Bloomberg Radio. Thank you 49 00:02:45,480 --> 00:02:48,839 Speaker 1: Catherine from the Bloomberg Newsroom. I'm Chill Schneider. This news 50 00:02:48,919 --> 00:02:51,359 Speaker 1: update is brought to you by the Jeep Grand Cherokee, 51 00:02:51,520 --> 00:02:55,320 Speaker 1: the most awarded suv ever. The Grand Cherokee continues to 52 00:02:55,440 --> 00:02:58,959 Speaker 1: raise the bar with its luxurious interior and legendary four 53 00:02:59,000 --> 00:03:03,000 Speaker 1: by four capability. Drive one at your local Jeep dealer today. 54 00:03:03,120 --> 00:03:07,200 Speaker 1: Effective immediately, transgender Americans will be able to openly serve 55 00:03:07,280 --> 00:03:10,880 Speaker 1: in the US Armed Forces. Defense Secretary Ash. Carter says 56 00:03:10,919 --> 00:03:15,680 Speaker 1: service members may not be involuntarily separated, discharged, or denied 57 00:03:15,760 --> 00:03:19,120 Speaker 1: based on gender identity. Carter says service members should be 58 00:03:19,160 --> 00:03:21,880 Speaker 1: judged on their abilities and not their gender. When I 59 00:03:21,960 --> 00:03:25,239 Speaker 1: heard from the transgender service members I met with, overwhelmingly 60 00:03:25,400 --> 00:03:27,880 Speaker 1: was that they don't want special treatment. They want to 61 00:03:27,919 --> 00:03:30,320 Speaker 1: be held to the same standards and be treated like 62 00:03:30,360 --> 00:03:33,600 Speaker 1: everybody else. The full policy must be implemented by July 63 00:03:33,680 --> 00:03:37,960 Speaker 1: two thousand seventeen. Homeland Security Secretary J Johnson said today 64 00:03:38,000 --> 00:03:40,400 Speaker 1: the US is on target to meet the goal of 65 00:03:40,400 --> 00:03:45,000 Speaker 1: admitting ten thousand refugees from Syria this year. Approximately five 66 00:03:45,080 --> 00:03:48,440 Speaker 1: thousand have been approved for resettlement and just have not 67 00:03:48,560 --> 00:03:51,880 Speaker 1: been physically resettled yet in the United States, and another 68 00:03:52,000 --> 00:03:56,160 Speaker 1: five or six thousand have been conditionally approved subject to 69 00:03:56,160 --> 00:03:58,360 Speaker 1: those security checks. So I believe we will make the 70 00:03:58,400 --> 00:04:01,840 Speaker 1: ten thousand. The Obama ad illustration decided last year to 71 00:04:01,960 --> 00:04:05,080 Speaker 1: sharply increase the number of Syrian refugees taken into the 72 00:04:05,160 --> 00:04:09,200 Speaker 1: United States. New York City's original Apple repair store is closing. 73 00:04:09,360 --> 00:04:12,840 Speaker 1: Tech Serve has succumbed to competition and rising rents. After 74 00:04:12,880 --> 00:04:16,760 Speaker 1: almost thirty years of servicing computers and providing technical support 75 00:04:16,960 --> 00:04:20,000 Speaker 1: to local residents. Global news twenty four hours a day, 76 00:04:20,160 --> 00:04:23,480 Speaker 1: powered by more than twenty six hundred journalists and analysts 77 00:04:23,680 --> 00:04:26,960 Speaker 1: in more than one hundred twenty countries. From the Bloomberg Newsroom. 78 00:04:27,000 --> 00:04:31,800 Speaker 1: I'm Jill Schneider and this is Bloomberg. Catherine, thank you. 79 00:04:31,839 --> 00:04:33,840 Speaker 1: And now let's get a quick update of the benchmarks. 80 00:04:33,839 --> 00:04:37,279 Speaker 1: Down Industrial Average up two hundred fifteen points at seventeen thousand, 81 00:04:37,320 --> 00:04:40,200 Speaker 1: nine hundred nine, SMP five founded up twenty five point 82 00:04:40,240 --> 00:04:43,360 Speaker 1: to two thousand ninety six, NAZAC hire by fifty six, 83 00:04:43,400 --> 00:04:48,960 Speaker 1: trading at thirty five. And that's a Bloomberg business flash. 84 00:04:49,640 --> 00:04:53,479 Speaker 1: This is taking stock with Pim Box and Kathleen Mas 85 00:04:53,520 --> 00:04:58,599 Speaker 1: on Bloomberg Radio. Franksit the UK's both leave the European Union. 86 00:04:58,680 --> 00:05:01,760 Speaker 1: What doesn't it cast a shadow over? Now we're going 87 00:05:01,800 --> 00:05:05,320 Speaker 1: to be taking a look at a trade agreement that 88 00:05:05,680 --> 00:05:08,560 Speaker 1: is going to be taken up again in Brussels, the 89 00:05:08,640 --> 00:05:14,000 Speaker 1: Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership, which is uh certainly instigated 90 00:05:14,040 --> 00:05:18,119 Speaker 1: some controversy on both sides of the Atlantic. This deal 91 00:05:18,520 --> 00:05:22,640 Speaker 1: is still being hammered out. What does it mean if 92 00:05:22,839 --> 00:05:26,440 Speaker 1: the UK is leaving the EU, how will that complicate 93 00:05:26,480 --> 00:05:29,799 Speaker 1: this negotiations. Joining US now as Eric Schimp, policy adviser 94 00:05:30,640 --> 00:05:34,600 Speaker 1: for the International Trade and Regulatory Group at Alston Bird 95 00:05:34,839 --> 00:05:37,920 Speaker 1: Alston and Bird, I should say in Washington, d C. 96 00:05:38,200 --> 00:05:42,880 Speaker 1: Home of Bloomberg, Eric, welcome back to the show. Thanks Kathayne. 97 00:05:42,880 --> 00:05:46,279 Speaker 1: It's great to be with you today. So first of all, uh, okay, 98 00:05:46,480 --> 00:05:50,880 Speaker 1: EU is still going to be intact except for the UK. US. 99 00:05:51,240 --> 00:05:54,840 Speaker 1: We're not changing how and whine does Briggs that complicate 100 00:05:55,000 --> 00:05:58,440 Speaker 1: this this negotiation over the T T I P. Well, 101 00:05:58,520 --> 00:06:00,560 Speaker 1: it's a little bit of a chick in an egg 102 00:06:00,640 --> 00:06:06,080 Speaker 1: scenario with the UK's pending departure UH from the European Union. 103 00:06:06,640 --> 00:06:09,800 Speaker 1: UH that the the US won't necessarily be able to 104 00:06:09,880 --> 00:06:14,240 Speaker 1: accommodate a separate deal for for Britain until it's affected. 105 00:06:14,400 --> 00:06:18,760 Speaker 1: It's uh it's departure from the EU. In the meantime, 106 00:06:19,200 --> 00:06:22,880 Speaker 1: even this week, EU leaders have driven home the point 107 00:06:22,960 --> 00:06:25,599 Speaker 1: that they want to complete this trade deal between the 108 00:06:25,600 --> 00:06:29,039 Speaker 1: EU and the United States as soon as possible. Their 109 00:06:29,160 --> 00:06:32,960 Speaker 1: their Trade commissioner was recently in town. Um Commissioner Malmstrom. 110 00:06:33,000 --> 00:06:36,599 Speaker 1: She said, we won't we know it's ambitious. We want 111 00:06:36,600 --> 00:06:38,839 Speaker 1: to finish by the end of the year. Uh. Some 112 00:06:39,000 --> 00:06:42,480 Speaker 1: of that is certainly going to be driven politically by 113 00:06:42,480 --> 00:06:46,200 Speaker 1: a desire within some European Union capitals to make the 114 00:06:46,320 --> 00:06:50,400 Speaker 1: UK understand and realize exactly how painful departure could be. Well, 115 00:06:50,920 --> 00:06:53,200 Speaker 1: but for the newtiations, is it not just as simple 116 00:06:53,240 --> 00:06:55,000 Speaker 1: as this? Okay, we'll do the t T I P 117 00:06:55,600 --> 00:06:59,200 Speaker 1: with the EU minus the UK, and then will we 118 00:06:59,240 --> 00:07:02,200 Speaker 1: could we negoti shade a deal with the UK? And 119 00:07:02,240 --> 00:07:06,000 Speaker 1: after all, our exports to the UK are what less 120 00:07:06,000 --> 00:07:08,000 Speaker 1: than five four and a half percent something like that 121 00:07:08,080 --> 00:07:11,240 Speaker 1: of our total exports? Right there? There a fraction. I 122 00:07:11,240 --> 00:07:14,440 Speaker 1: think a lot of it though, have to do with 123 00:07:14,960 --> 00:07:17,480 Speaker 1: you know, it's hard to have a trade negotiation without 124 00:07:17,600 --> 00:07:22,080 Speaker 1: the politics involved. UM, and a lot of the even 125 00:07:22,120 --> 00:07:25,360 Speaker 1: being able to negotiate with the U k UM depends 126 00:07:25,360 --> 00:07:28,800 Speaker 1: on the deal that the UK strikes itself with the EU. UM. 127 00:07:29,120 --> 00:07:31,080 Speaker 1: Will it be part of the single market, in which 128 00:07:31,120 --> 00:07:33,840 Speaker 1: case it would have to apply the European unions come 129 00:07:33,880 --> 00:07:37,360 Speaker 1: in external tariff for trade with the US? Uh? You know, 130 00:07:37,400 --> 00:07:39,520 Speaker 1: will it take a Swiss model where it where it 131 00:07:39,600 --> 00:07:44,000 Speaker 1: cobbles together dozens, if not over a hundred, bilateral sectoral 132 00:07:44,000 --> 00:07:47,960 Speaker 1: agreements or a customers union like Turkey. Uh, there are 133 00:07:48,000 --> 00:07:51,160 Speaker 1: a lot of questions involved. I think clearly you could 134 00:07:51,440 --> 00:07:55,360 Speaker 1: you could negotiate t TIP and then pending uh the 135 00:07:55,440 --> 00:07:58,920 Speaker 1: UK's departure, which could take two years or more. Uh, 136 00:07:58,960 --> 00:08:01,760 Speaker 1: then you figure out the forward for does the UK 137 00:08:02,520 --> 00:08:05,559 Speaker 1: have sort of a new accession mechanism to t TIP 138 00:08:06,080 --> 00:08:09,440 Speaker 1: or does the terms of its departure essentially rule out 139 00:08:11,760 --> 00:08:14,680 Speaker 1: rule out that any anything like that happening? Eric, Is 140 00:08:14,720 --> 00:08:17,840 Speaker 1: that what you're starting to say. I believe we may 141 00:08:17,880 --> 00:08:21,800 Speaker 1: have just temporarily lost our connection to Eric Shimp from 142 00:08:21,840 --> 00:08:24,800 Speaker 1: Alston and Bird in Washington. We're talking to him about 143 00:08:24,880 --> 00:08:27,840 Speaker 1: how the brakes at four, the UK getting ready to 144 00:08:27,920 --> 00:08:30,360 Speaker 1: leave the European Union, of though it still has to 145 00:08:30,360 --> 00:08:33,200 Speaker 1: negotiate that with the EU. How that will complicate things? 146 00:08:33,440 --> 00:08:35,320 Speaker 1: You know? Eric, I guess one way we can say 147 00:08:35,320 --> 00:08:37,680 Speaker 1: this is certainly complicating, maybe not for the whole country, 148 00:08:37,679 --> 00:08:40,040 Speaker 1: but for individual businesses who might be located in the 149 00:08:40,120 --> 00:08:44,640 Speaker 1: UK to trade with the EU. Uh. There maybe suddenly 150 00:08:44,760 --> 00:08:48,480 Speaker 1: out of luck. I mean, can they the the the 151 00:08:48,600 --> 00:08:50,480 Speaker 1: UK is going to have to negotiate its own deal 152 00:08:50,520 --> 00:08:53,720 Speaker 1: now the EU on trade. That's that's correct. The EU 153 00:08:53,800 --> 00:08:56,960 Speaker 1: has a number of very difficult decisions ahead of it 154 00:08:57,000 --> 00:09:00,760 Speaker 1: in terms of the shape of its relationship with the EU. Uh, 155 00:09:00,800 --> 00:09:04,480 Speaker 1: the EU is not necessarily going to make that that easy. 156 00:09:04,679 --> 00:09:06,800 Speaker 1: You know, continuing to be a member of the Single 157 00:09:06,880 --> 00:09:09,160 Speaker 1: Market is going to carry a price for the UK. 158 00:09:09,840 --> 00:09:12,120 Speaker 1: If you're a if you're an American investor and you 159 00:09:12,160 --> 00:09:15,080 Speaker 1: put a manufacturing plan in the UK because you wanted 160 00:09:15,080 --> 00:09:19,040 Speaker 1: to access the EU market, you're looking at losing the 161 00:09:19,160 --> 00:09:23,120 Speaker 1: very reason you made that investment. Um and and so 162 00:09:23,160 --> 00:09:25,839 Speaker 1: there are certainly need to be plans a foot in 163 00:09:25,920 --> 00:09:30,760 Speaker 1: terms of your physical plant, your human resources, your ongoing investment, 164 00:09:30,840 --> 00:09:34,760 Speaker 1: your supply chain, and and those are all unknowns until 165 00:09:35,040 --> 00:09:37,000 Speaker 1: you understand what it is that the UK is going 166 00:09:37,040 --> 00:09:39,600 Speaker 1: to be doing visa the it's former partners in Europe. 167 00:09:39,840 --> 00:09:42,440 Speaker 1: So let's say you they said, come on, come on here, 168 00:09:42,440 --> 00:09:45,240 Speaker 1: Actually I'm sit down, help us me negotiate this. Let's 169 00:09:45,240 --> 00:09:49,040 Speaker 1: say you're in the UK, and what would you be 170 00:09:49,240 --> 00:09:51,520 Speaker 1: up against. What would you be trying to convince the 171 00:09:51,559 --> 00:09:53,480 Speaker 1: EU to bend on? What does what does the UK 172 00:09:53,720 --> 00:09:55,480 Speaker 1: want in terms of trade with the EU? And what 173 00:09:55,559 --> 00:09:58,360 Speaker 1: are they likely to get it? Uh, you know, that's 174 00:09:58,400 --> 00:10:00,720 Speaker 1: a great question. And I don't think there's a single 175 00:10:00,800 --> 00:10:04,000 Speaker 1: member of the UK government that can take you definitively 176 00:10:04,120 --> 00:10:08,520 Speaker 1: what their plan is. Uh. They some of them seem 177 00:10:08,559 --> 00:10:11,960 Speaker 1: to want to have maintained membership in the Single Market 178 00:10:12,320 --> 00:10:14,719 Speaker 1: the way they've they've been doing, but without paying for it. 179 00:10:15,520 --> 00:10:18,400 Speaker 1: You leaders have already said no, no, no, you're already 180 00:10:18,480 --> 00:10:20,360 Speaker 1: you're going to have to continue to make a financial 181 00:10:20,400 --> 00:10:22,880 Speaker 1: contribution if you want it, because Norway and Iceland and 182 00:10:22,920 --> 00:10:26,080 Speaker 1: Lichtenstein do on the terms of their their membership in 183 00:10:26,080 --> 00:10:28,240 Speaker 1: the Single Market. Plus you have to accept the free 184 00:10:28,240 --> 00:10:31,960 Speaker 1: movement of good services, capital, and most troubling for the 185 00:10:32,080 --> 00:10:36,280 Speaker 1: UK labor people. Um So politically, the the the UK 186 00:10:36,480 --> 00:10:38,960 Speaker 1: really hasn't wrapped its head around what this challenge looks like. 187 00:10:39,400 --> 00:10:41,320 Speaker 1: Eric sim thank you so much for joining us. A 188 00:10:41,320 --> 00:10:43,680 Speaker 1: lot of questions, not a lot of answers yet, but 189 00:10:43,760 --> 00:10:46,839 Speaker 1: certainly we have a better understanding of the complexity of 190 00:10:46,880 --> 00:10:50,720 Speaker 1: what this Brexit will mean as the UK divorces itself 191 00:10:50,720 --> 00:10:52,800 Speaker 1: from the European Union, can what kind of relations can 192 00:10:52,800 --> 00:10:56,120 Speaker 1: it maintain on trade? This is taking stock and this 193 00:10:56,360 --> 00:11:04,520 Speaker 1: is Bloomberg. We're going to be looking next at China. 194 00:11:04,840 --> 00:11:07,920 Speaker 1: China has made some signs that it might be weakening 195 00:11:08,160 --> 00:11:10,880 Speaker 1: its currency these traders have been talking about that what 196 00:11:10,960 --> 00:11:13,160 Speaker 1: does that mean for the markets that's coming up, And 197 00:11:13,240 --> 00:11:14,119 Speaker 1: this is Bloomberg