1 00:00:10,200 --> 00:00:12,360 Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into a Saturday 2 00:00:12,360 --> 00:00:14,680 Speaker 1: morning edition of the Daily Juice podcast. My name is 3 00:00:14,680 --> 00:00:17,120 Speaker 1: Matt Perraultz here off of Bettingpros dot com and it's 4 00:00:17,120 --> 00:00:19,239 Speaker 1: always being brought to you by bet MGM. You can 5 00:00:19,239 --> 00:00:22,680 Speaker 1: follow me on Twitter at sports Talk Matt. So last night, 6 00:00:23,680 --> 00:00:26,680 Speaker 1: yuck one in one of the podcasts, Okay, so I 7 00:00:26,680 --> 00:00:29,720 Speaker 1: can't I can't bitch too much about the fact that 8 00:00:29,760 --> 00:00:32,519 Speaker 1: we got the over and the Purdue game right, and 9 00:00:32,560 --> 00:00:35,440 Speaker 1: the over and the Syracuse game wrong. So one in 10 00:00:35,479 --> 00:00:40,080 Speaker 1: one on the podcast, I mean fine, right. I added 11 00:00:40,159 --> 00:00:43,640 Speaker 1: Perdue minus one on the Discord channel. Now we don't 12 00:00:43,640 --> 00:00:45,680 Speaker 1: count those because you have to be on the Discord 13 00:00:45,800 --> 00:00:48,440 Speaker 1: chat to get them, but I do add plays on there, 14 00:00:49,120 --> 00:00:51,879 Speaker 1: and not everyone has access to it, so we just say, hey, look, 15 00:00:51,880 --> 00:00:53,680 Speaker 1: those are plays. If you want to follow, great, if 16 00:00:53,720 --> 00:00:56,760 Speaker 1: you want to fade grade, but I do give picks there. 17 00:00:57,320 --> 00:01:02,960 Speaker 1: And I had Purdue minus one and then that call, 18 00:01:04,120 --> 00:01:10,039 Speaker 1: that horrendous offensive pass interference call on a touchdown that 19 00:01:10,120 --> 00:01:13,120 Speaker 1: game should have cashed, that should have been a winner, 20 00:01:13,560 --> 00:01:15,959 Speaker 1: and it was not. It was a loser. So I 21 00:01:16,000 --> 00:01:18,760 Speaker 1: put a half unit on that. So I wind up 22 00:01:18,800 --> 00:01:22,000 Speaker 1: down point six units sorry, point yeah, point six units 23 00:01:22,040 --> 00:01:25,120 Speaker 1: last night. But if you bet it at points bets 24 00:01:25,480 --> 00:01:28,760 Speaker 1: because the karma committee that they do, it's brilliant. This 25 00:01:28,920 --> 00:01:32,479 Speaker 1: is what everybody should be doing, but brilliant marketing. They 26 00:01:32,600 --> 00:01:37,400 Speaker 1: refunded all the bets if you add Purdue moneyline and spread, 27 00:01:38,080 --> 00:01:42,320 Speaker 1: they gave you a refund in free bets, but they 28 00:01:42,360 --> 00:01:45,360 Speaker 1: still gave you your money back to rebt after that 29 00:01:45,440 --> 00:01:49,840 Speaker 1: horrific call, that disgusting call, the call that should make 30 00:01:49,920 --> 00:01:54,080 Speaker 1: you lose faith in refereeing in college football. And I 31 00:01:54,160 --> 00:01:56,560 Speaker 1: had a buddy of mine, one of my pro gambler friends, 32 00:01:56,680 --> 00:01:59,360 Speaker 1: was on Minnesota and he's rolled that boat, and I'm 33 00:01:59,400 --> 00:02:02,880 Speaker 1: just like, you shut your mouth, Okay, if you were 34 00:02:02,880 --> 00:02:07,240 Speaker 1: on Minnesota, quietly cast your ticket and keep your damn 35 00:02:07,320 --> 00:02:12,160 Speaker 1: mouth shut because frankly, that never should have hit you 36 00:02:12,360 --> 00:02:14,880 Speaker 1: never should have gotten that. That was a gift from 37 00:02:14,919 --> 00:02:18,640 Speaker 1: the gambling gods. So no complaining this weekend. If you 38 00:02:18,680 --> 00:02:21,280 Speaker 1: get a horrific beat, that's just the way that it is. 39 00:02:21,360 --> 00:02:23,520 Speaker 1: But one and one for us on the pod, so fine. 40 00:02:23,800 --> 00:02:26,080 Speaker 1: We've had a very good run of it. I think 41 00:02:26,120 --> 00:02:29,720 Speaker 1: that takes us to twenty five and thirteen since last Tuesday, 42 00:02:30,160 --> 00:02:33,360 Speaker 1: I think that's right over the last I don't know, 43 00:02:34,000 --> 00:02:36,320 Speaker 1: nine ten days. So we've had a good run, and 44 00:02:36,320 --> 00:02:38,240 Speaker 1: we've been on a good run, and you know, we 45 00:02:38,320 --> 00:02:41,840 Speaker 1: haven't really fallen on our face. And well, Purdue losing 46 00:02:41,880 --> 00:02:44,880 Speaker 1: that could be an omen that I'm gonna fall in 47 00:02:44,919 --> 00:02:48,360 Speaker 1: my face. So just fair warning that this could be 48 00:02:48,400 --> 00:02:51,079 Speaker 1: a day to fade me. This could be a day 49 00:02:51,200 --> 00:02:53,679 Speaker 1: to go against me, because when you get a bad 50 00:02:53,680 --> 00:02:56,720 Speaker 1: beat like that on Friday, it might be a precursor 51 00:02:56,760 --> 00:02:58,919 Speaker 1: for what's going to happen on Saturday. But I've got 52 00:02:58,960 --> 00:03:01,600 Speaker 1: four bets to tell you about, all full unit plays 53 00:03:02,000 --> 00:03:05,440 Speaker 1: coming up, and let's start here with my favorite play 54 00:03:05,639 --> 00:03:09,040 Speaker 1: of the weekend, and that's Iowa. Before we get into that, 55 00:03:09,160 --> 00:03:11,919 Speaker 1: let me tell you about BETMGM coming up tomorrow. They 56 00:03:11,960 --> 00:03:14,720 Speaker 1: still have this offer available for new users. If you 57 00:03:14,720 --> 00:03:16,560 Speaker 1: guys want to bet one dollar on the money line 58 00:03:16,560 --> 00:03:19,720 Speaker 1: for one team any game in the NFL. If a 59 00:03:19,800 --> 00:03:22,079 Speaker 1: touchdown gets scored and you have that one dollar money 60 00:03:22,120 --> 00:03:23,880 Speaker 1: line bet on that game, you will win one hundred 61 00:03:23,919 --> 00:03:26,240 Speaker 1: dollars in free bets from bet MGM by using the 62 00:03:26,240 --> 00:03:30,440 Speaker 1: bonus code Juice one hundred. Promo code Juice one hundred 63 00:03:30,680 --> 00:03:33,240 Speaker 1: will get you that free one hundred dollars with a 64 00:03:33,280 --> 00:03:35,160 Speaker 1: touchdown scored in a game that you have a one 65 00:03:35,240 --> 00:03:37,880 Speaker 1: dollar money line bet going. You go to BETMGM dot 66 00:03:37,920 --> 00:03:40,800 Speaker 1: com for terms and conditions. You must be in these 67 00:03:40,840 --> 00:03:45,360 Speaker 1: states of Tennessee, Colorado, Indiana, New Jersey, or West Virginia. 68 00:03:45,440 --> 00:03:49,119 Speaker 1: You must be twenty one years or older. Please gamble responsibly. 69 00:03:49,280 --> 00:03:52,120 Speaker 1: Gambling problem called one hundred five two to two forty 70 00:03:52,160 --> 00:03:55,320 Speaker 1: seven hundred in Colorado, one hundred gambler in New Jersey 71 00:03:55,360 --> 00:03:57,840 Speaker 1: and West Virginia, or one hundred and nine with it 72 00:03:58,120 --> 00:04:02,760 Speaker 1: in Indiana. All right, Iowa, Penn State. So Dave Sheripim 73 00:04:03,040 --> 00:04:05,880 Speaker 1: who has been on this podcast, and I'm glad you 74 00:04:05,880 --> 00:04:09,040 Speaker 1: guys enjoyed Captain Jack Andrews. By the way, great feedback 75 00:04:09,080 --> 00:04:12,400 Speaker 1: from that interview. It was a forty minute podcast yesterday, 76 00:04:12,440 --> 00:04:13,800 Speaker 1: so I didn't know if you guys would listen to 77 00:04:13,840 --> 00:04:16,000 Speaker 1: the whole thing. I think a lot of you guys did, 78 00:04:16,320 --> 00:04:19,119 Speaker 1: which I really do appreciate. And one of you guys 79 00:04:19,120 --> 00:04:20,960 Speaker 1: said he should be on every month, and I don't 80 00:04:20,960 --> 00:04:22,839 Speaker 1: think Captain Jack's got the time to do that, but 81 00:04:22,880 --> 00:04:24,960 Speaker 1: I really do appreciate him giving us some time. He 82 00:04:25,040 --> 00:04:27,640 Speaker 1: definitely will be back on as we do. I don't 83 00:04:27,680 --> 00:04:29,479 Speaker 1: know what we'll call it, like a speaker series or 84 00:04:29,480 --> 00:04:32,200 Speaker 1: something like when it makes sense, when there's a slow 85 00:04:32,360 --> 00:04:34,600 Speaker 1: night or a slow day and it makes sense, we'll 86 00:04:34,600 --> 00:04:36,440 Speaker 1: grab a guest like that and bring them on. And 87 00:04:36,600 --> 00:04:39,839 Speaker 1: Dave Shapan very well might be a guy who comes 88 00:04:39,880 --> 00:04:41,559 Speaker 1: back on the POD's been on her once who probably 89 00:04:41,560 --> 00:04:43,400 Speaker 1: be one it again. But he is my resident Penn 90 00:04:43,440 --> 00:04:47,640 Speaker 1: State graduate. When he says Penn State sucks, I listen. 91 00:04:48,839 --> 00:04:50,880 Speaker 1: I told him. On my radio show, we do a 92 00:04:50,880 --> 00:04:53,400 Speaker 1: segment called the Bostonian versus the Book, where he's the 93 00:04:53,400 --> 00:04:55,880 Speaker 1: book and I'm the Bostonian. He says, bet it, or 94 00:04:55,880 --> 00:04:58,159 Speaker 1: book it if he likes it. He says bet it. 95 00:04:58,800 --> 00:05:04,039 Speaker 1: I said, Iowa minus two. He said, I don't know 96 00:05:04,040 --> 00:05:05,920 Speaker 1: what he got. He said, this is a double fister 97 00:05:07,360 --> 00:05:13,040 Speaker 1: for Iowa minus one minus two. He said, wait, because 98 00:05:13,040 --> 00:05:14,839 Speaker 1: it's going to be buyback and there was. It was 99 00:05:14,880 --> 00:05:17,040 Speaker 1: two and a half yesterday when we started talking about 100 00:05:17,040 --> 00:05:18,600 Speaker 1: this game yesterday in the podcast, it was two and 101 00:05:18,600 --> 00:05:23,080 Speaker 1: a half. It's now one Iowa minus one oh and 102 00:05:23,200 --> 00:05:25,839 Speaker 1: four is ozho and four. As our friend Pete Futech 103 00:05:25,920 --> 00:05:28,960 Speaker 1: wrote yesterday and I agree four is oh and four. 104 00:05:29,480 --> 00:05:32,680 Speaker 1: I know Penn State's at home. I know we probably 105 00:05:32,680 --> 00:05:35,680 Speaker 1: should give some credit to Penn State to bounce back here. 106 00:05:35,720 --> 00:05:38,840 Speaker 1: They have never started zero to five in their history. 107 00:05:39,640 --> 00:05:45,360 Speaker 1: But Penn State sucks, I mean awful. Their quarterback play 108 00:05:45,839 --> 00:05:50,839 Speaker 1: is awful, their offensive line play is awful, their defense 109 00:05:51,440 --> 00:05:55,920 Speaker 1: is awful. Okay, look they held Nebraska under three hundred 110 00:05:56,000 --> 00:05:59,920 Speaker 1: yards yp de do here. Okay, Iowa is two and two, 111 00:06:00,360 --> 00:06:02,440 Speaker 1: but Iowa should be four and oh. They played like 112 00:06:02,520 --> 00:06:06,119 Speaker 1: crap their first two games. They're playing defense, they're running 113 00:06:06,120 --> 00:06:09,280 Speaker 1: the football, They're not great at throwing the football. Okay, 114 00:06:09,800 --> 00:06:13,280 Speaker 1: but I don't need a fourteen point win here. I 115 00:06:13,320 --> 00:06:15,920 Speaker 1: need a one point win or or a two point 116 00:06:15,920 --> 00:06:19,520 Speaker 1: win to cover. Iowa is going to beat Penn State. 117 00:06:19,880 --> 00:06:23,159 Speaker 1: There's no one hundred thousand screaming fans. This is just 118 00:06:23,200 --> 00:06:27,560 Speaker 1: an old fashioned slobber knocker football game. Who is tougher, 119 00:06:27,960 --> 00:06:31,000 Speaker 1: who is stronger, and who wants it more? This is 120 00:06:31,200 --> 00:06:35,960 Speaker 1: perfect for Iowa. This fits right into Iowa's hands. And look, 121 00:06:36,000 --> 00:06:38,720 Speaker 1: they won the last two games by eighty four to fourteen. 122 00:06:38,760 --> 00:06:42,000 Speaker 1: I don't think that happens here. I'm not predicting a blowout. 123 00:06:42,600 --> 00:06:45,680 Speaker 1: But I am predicting an Iowa win by one Iowa 124 00:06:45,960 --> 00:06:49,599 Speaker 1: minus one on the road at Penn State. That's my 125 00:06:49,680 --> 00:06:52,560 Speaker 1: favorite play of the day. In case you're curious, Mike 126 00:06:52,560 --> 00:06:55,839 Speaker 1: double Fister with Dave Sheapan coming up here for today 127 00:06:56,160 --> 00:07:01,679 Speaker 1: pick number two. Let's talk about Auburn in Tennessee lines 128 00:07:01,720 --> 00:07:06,039 Speaker 1: ten and a half. Tennessee is awful. Okay, speaking of awful, 129 00:07:06,360 --> 00:07:09,880 Speaker 1: Auburn has started to come around. Auburn's starting to play 130 00:07:09,920 --> 00:07:13,760 Speaker 1: a little bit better. Auburn has covered their last two games. 131 00:07:14,000 --> 00:07:16,880 Speaker 1: They were one point favorites against LSU last time out 132 00:07:16,880 --> 00:07:19,320 Speaker 1: and they won by thirty seven. They were three and 133 00:07:19,320 --> 00:07:21,760 Speaker 1: a half point favorites against Ole Miss and they won 134 00:07:21,840 --> 00:07:26,880 Speaker 1: by seven. On the other side, Tennessee cannot cover. Two 135 00:07:26,920 --> 00:07:29,960 Speaker 1: point favorites against Arkansas lost by eleven. Twenty one and 136 00:07:29,960 --> 00:07:32,360 Speaker 1: a half point dogs against Bama lost by thirty one, 137 00:07:32,680 --> 00:07:35,240 Speaker 1: six and a half point favorites lost by twenty seven. 138 00:07:35,720 --> 00:07:38,960 Speaker 1: Thirteen point favorites against Georgia they lost by twenty three. 139 00:07:39,360 --> 00:07:41,440 Speaker 1: All right, So while you might say, Matt, why don't 140 00:07:41,440 --> 00:07:42,960 Speaker 1: you just go ahead and lay the ten and a half, 141 00:07:43,320 --> 00:07:46,280 Speaker 1: I'm gonna play this a little bit differently because I 142 00:07:46,280 --> 00:07:48,480 Speaker 1: think ten and a half is a little bit heavy, 143 00:07:49,080 --> 00:07:52,120 Speaker 1: and Tennessee plays a good half. If you look at 144 00:07:52,120 --> 00:07:54,920 Speaker 1: their numbers, look at how they've played, They've played one 145 00:07:55,440 --> 00:07:58,600 Speaker 1: good half in all these games. I'm gonna bank that 146 00:07:58,600 --> 00:08:01,800 Speaker 1: their good half is in the second half, and I'm 147 00:08:01,800 --> 00:08:04,440 Speaker 1: gonna bank that their first half is not gonna be 148 00:08:04,520 --> 00:08:07,920 Speaker 1: great as both Auburn and Tennessee come back after their 149 00:08:07,960 --> 00:08:11,480 Speaker 1: COVID layoffs, and I think Auburn's offense is going to 150 00:08:11,520 --> 00:08:14,760 Speaker 1: be clicking. I got six and a half for Auburn 151 00:08:15,080 --> 00:08:17,320 Speaker 1: in the first half. This is a little bit of 152 00:08:17,360 --> 00:08:20,320 Speaker 1: a different type of bet. Normally it's just Alabama, right, 153 00:08:20,640 --> 00:08:23,280 Speaker 1: So I know this is a little bit shaky. I 154 00:08:23,360 --> 00:08:25,360 Speaker 1: just don't like the ten and a half. And I'm 155 00:08:25,400 --> 00:08:28,800 Speaker 1: not buying half a point in college games because I'm look, 156 00:08:28,840 --> 00:08:30,840 Speaker 1: it's just not worth it, So I'm not doing that. 157 00:08:31,720 --> 00:08:33,880 Speaker 1: I'm gonna lay the six and a half in the 158 00:08:33,920 --> 00:08:38,360 Speaker 1: first half for Auburn against Tennessee. It's a little bit exotic, 159 00:08:38,440 --> 00:08:41,719 Speaker 1: it's a little bit different, okay, But I'm laying the 160 00:08:41,760 --> 00:08:45,960 Speaker 1: six and a half first half wager for Auburn against 161 00:08:45,960 --> 00:08:49,480 Speaker 1: Tennessee because I think Tennessee is really bad, Okay, And 162 00:08:49,559 --> 00:08:53,760 Speaker 1: I think Auburn at home, Auburn off the layoff comes 163 00:08:53,840 --> 00:08:56,440 Speaker 1: flying out of the gates, picking up where they left 164 00:08:56,480 --> 00:09:00,800 Speaker 1: off turnover for Tennessee. I don't think the layoff helped them. 165 00:09:01,080 --> 00:09:03,480 Speaker 1: I like Auburn here to be up by ten points 166 00:09:03,559 --> 00:09:06,960 Speaker 1: or more at the break. Here against Tennessee. Auburn minus 167 00:09:06,960 --> 00:09:09,080 Speaker 1: six and a half in the first half is play 168 00:09:09,160 --> 00:09:12,679 Speaker 1: number two. Play number three coming up here is an 169 00:09:12,720 --> 00:09:18,720 Speaker 1: interesting game because it could derail Cincinnati's entire season. I 170 00:09:18,760 --> 00:09:21,600 Speaker 1: talked about this last night on the pod, and I said, look, 171 00:09:21,640 --> 00:09:24,679 Speaker 1: I'm gonna watch this number, and I didn't get the 172 00:09:24,720 --> 00:09:26,320 Speaker 1: number that I wanted. It was five and a half 173 00:09:26,440 --> 00:09:28,480 Speaker 1: last night. It was six two days ago. It has 174 00:09:28,600 --> 00:09:31,160 Speaker 1: kind of slowly come down. So maybe you get the 175 00:09:31,240 --> 00:09:32,959 Speaker 1: number back at six. Okay, maybe you get a better 176 00:09:33,000 --> 00:09:36,440 Speaker 1: number than I'm gonna get here. But Cincinnati on the 177 00:09:36,520 --> 00:09:41,199 Speaker 1: road at Central Florida six and a half, down to six, 178 00:09:41,600 --> 00:09:43,839 Speaker 1: down to four now, it's if some book is four 179 00:09:43,880 --> 00:09:46,680 Speaker 1: and a half right now, I got five. Okay. It 180 00:09:46,800 --> 00:09:49,600 Speaker 1: feels a little bit like a public play, I'll admit it. 181 00:09:49,640 --> 00:09:51,040 Speaker 1: I think a lot of people in the public are 182 00:09:51,040 --> 00:09:52,560 Speaker 1: starting to look at this. But I think that they're 183 00:09:52,600 --> 00:09:55,240 Speaker 1: on the right side by staring at Cincinnati and saying, Okay, 184 00:09:55,280 --> 00:09:59,280 Speaker 1: you've killed everyone. You haven't been in a tight game yet. 185 00:10:00,080 --> 00:10:02,720 Speaker 1: You won the last three games all at home. You 186 00:10:02,800 --> 00:10:06,240 Speaker 1: played Southern Miss on the road, you played one road game. 187 00:10:06,400 --> 00:10:10,240 Speaker 1: Cincinnat's played one road game. They've killed everyone. Now they 188 00:10:10,320 --> 00:10:13,000 Speaker 1: got to go on the road to a quasi hostile 189 00:10:13,120 --> 00:10:18,200 Speaker 1: environment to take on Central Florida. And my boy, Dylan Gabriel, 190 00:10:18,559 --> 00:10:21,760 Speaker 1: I love the passing offense. I think they're gonna push. 191 00:10:21,920 --> 00:10:24,440 Speaker 1: I know ucfs two and five against the spread. I 192 00:10:24,480 --> 00:10:26,920 Speaker 1: know Cincinnati's five and two against the spread. I know 193 00:10:26,960 --> 00:10:30,960 Speaker 1: they've covered the last four games easily. They were twenty 194 00:10:31,000 --> 00:10:32,880 Speaker 1: seven and a half point favorites last time, it won 195 00:10:32,920 --> 00:10:35,000 Speaker 1: by thirty eight, ten and a half point favorites against 196 00:10:35,040 --> 00:10:37,199 Speaker 1: Houston one by twenty eight, six and a half point 197 00:10:37,240 --> 00:10:41,120 Speaker 1: favorites against Memphis one by thirty nine. Okay, they're ruining people. 198 00:10:41,280 --> 00:10:44,000 Speaker 1: I get it, and Cincinnati very well could go in 199 00:10:44,040 --> 00:10:46,960 Speaker 1: here and ruin Central Florida. But I think this is 200 00:10:47,000 --> 00:10:49,440 Speaker 1: the type of game where you go on the road 201 00:10:49,440 --> 00:10:52,440 Speaker 1: for the first time, you run into some adversity and 202 00:10:52,480 --> 00:10:55,840 Speaker 1: you see an offense who can keep up with you. Now. 203 00:10:55,880 --> 00:10:58,679 Speaker 1: The defense for Cincinnati is good, but who have they 204 00:10:58,760 --> 00:11:02,960 Speaker 1: really played? Part of the problem here? Okay, This offense 205 00:11:03,320 --> 00:11:07,079 Speaker 1: for Central Florida is scoring forty four points a game. 206 00:11:07,559 --> 00:11:10,240 Speaker 1: They can move the ball, and they're at home. Whether 207 00:11:10,280 --> 00:11:12,760 Speaker 1: it shouldn't be a problem all right, I know, since 208 00:11:12,760 --> 00:11:15,280 Speaker 1: since he's only giving up four yards of play but 209 00:11:15,440 --> 00:11:18,920 Speaker 1: seven yards of play for Central Florida, the passing attack 210 00:11:19,120 --> 00:11:22,920 Speaker 1: is legitimate. Okay. One of the issues for Cincinnati is 211 00:11:22,920 --> 00:11:25,040 Speaker 1: it look at you just don't throw or run when 212 00:11:25,040 --> 00:11:26,480 Speaker 1: you play Cincinnati. One of the issues is that you 213 00:11:26,480 --> 00:11:29,040 Speaker 1: can't really throw or run against these guys. But I 214 00:11:29,080 --> 00:11:31,960 Speaker 1: think this is a game in which Central Florida gets 215 00:11:32,000 --> 00:11:34,960 Speaker 1: up to a lead, maybe since he comes charging back, 216 00:11:35,000 --> 00:11:39,000 Speaker 1: but I think over a field goal plus five taking 217 00:11:39,080 --> 00:11:44,920 Speaker 1: the home dog, we're going home dog here, home dog 218 00:11:45,320 --> 00:11:50,480 Speaker 1: for Central Florida plus five against Cincinnati for play number 219 00:11:50,520 --> 00:11:54,440 Speaker 1: three and play number four. This might be one of 220 00:11:54,440 --> 00:11:56,600 Speaker 1: those games where you gotta hold your nose a little bit. 221 00:11:57,600 --> 00:12:02,120 Speaker 1: The entire world is on Indiana. Everyone is in love 222 00:12:02,320 --> 00:12:05,920 Speaker 1: with Indiana. But the number hasn't gone to twenty one, 223 00:12:06,480 --> 00:12:08,600 Speaker 1: which is a little interesting, right, It's like, why hasn't 224 00:12:08,600 --> 00:12:10,480 Speaker 1: that number gone to twenty one. So it's a little 225 00:12:10,480 --> 00:12:14,120 Speaker 1: concerning that hasn't gone up to that point Indiana as 226 00:12:14,160 --> 00:12:17,199 Speaker 1: of Friday morning, And as we talked with taptain Jack yesterday, 227 00:12:17,400 --> 00:12:19,319 Speaker 1: this money doesn't this number doesn't mean much, but just 228 00:12:19,360 --> 00:12:21,080 Speaker 1: to give you an idea as to on Friday morning 229 00:12:21,120 --> 00:12:23,960 Speaker 1: where a FanDuel was ninety three percent of the bets 230 00:12:24,600 --> 00:12:27,480 Speaker 1: or on Indiana money line and eighty five percent of 231 00:12:27,480 --> 00:12:30,360 Speaker 1: the bets were on Indiana plus twenty and a half. 232 00:12:31,720 --> 00:12:38,040 Speaker 1: I'm smelling Ohio State ruining, ruining Indiana. I mean fifty 233 00:12:38,080 --> 00:12:41,800 Speaker 1: to three type ruining of Indiana. They did it to 234 00:12:41,840 --> 00:12:45,760 Speaker 1: him last year. Right, Pennox is a good quarterback. I 235 00:12:45,880 --> 00:12:49,200 Speaker 1: know Indiana's playing well, but this is what happens when 236 00:12:49,200 --> 00:12:52,280 Speaker 1: teams that are playing well who don't match the talents 237 00:12:52,679 --> 00:12:56,040 Speaker 1: walk in and they get Ohio State's best shot. They're 238 00:12:56,040 --> 00:12:58,840 Speaker 1: gonna get the best of the Buckeyes. They're not going 239 00:12:58,880 --> 00:13:02,360 Speaker 1: to overlook these guys Ohio States and Justin Fields. They're 240 00:13:02,440 --> 00:13:05,120 Speaker 1: not gonna go and get caught with their pants down here. 241 00:13:05,240 --> 00:13:08,240 Speaker 1: That's what you want, right, you want a sleeping team 242 00:13:08,360 --> 00:13:11,000 Speaker 1: like Indiana to walk in. They're walking in with a 243 00:13:11,080 --> 00:13:14,080 Speaker 1: top ten ranking. This is not going to be a 244 00:13:14,160 --> 00:13:18,480 Speaker 1: quiet Indiana Hoosiers team. They're coming in and they're stomping 245 00:13:18,520 --> 00:13:21,400 Speaker 1: their feet around and they're getting the house all dirty, 246 00:13:22,080 --> 00:13:26,480 Speaker 1: and the Buckeyes are gonna clean the field with their face. 247 00:13:27,320 --> 00:13:30,240 Speaker 1: I don't think this game is gonna be close. I 248 00:13:30,280 --> 00:13:33,880 Speaker 1: think Ohio State's gonna destroy Indiana. And I know a 249 00:13:33,920 --> 00:13:36,200 Speaker 1: lot of people are on the other side, and a 250 00:13:36,280 --> 00:13:39,200 Speaker 1: lot of people think I'm wrong, But I think this 251 00:13:39,360 --> 00:13:44,600 Speaker 1: is all Buckeyes, all justin fields. We're going big, big, 252 00:13:44,880 --> 00:13:49,120 Speaker 1: big win for Ohio State coming up here on a Saturday. 253 00:13:49,400 --> 00:13:51,719 Speaker 1: All right, So to recap the plays for us, we 254 00:13:51,840 --> 00:13:55,920 Speaker 1: got four plays, all one unit. First play, favorite play 255 00:13:56,080 --> 00:13:59,040 Speaker 1: Iowa minus one. One of you guys just messaged me 256 00:13:59,240 --> 00:14:01,760 Speaker 1: on the Discord channel. You see it at plus five 257 00:14:02,400 --> 00:14:07,760 Speaker 1: half a point, Fine, whatever, pick them, fine whatever, Iowa's 258 00:14:07,800 --> 00:14:11,760 Speaker 1: winning the game, Okay, plus one minus one, don't care. 259 00:14:12,160 --> 00:14:14,840 Speaker 1: Iowa over Penn State's my favorite play of the weekend, 260 00:14:15,240 --> 00:14:18,560 Speaker 1: our favorite on Saturday, I should say number two. Auburn 261 00:14:18,600 --> 00:14:20,720 Speaker 1: minus six and a half against Tennessee at home in 262 00:14:20,760 --> 00:14:26,200 Speaker 1: the first half. We're going Central Florida plus five against Cincinnati, 263 00:14:26,680 --> 00:14:30,080 Speaker 1: and we are taking Ohio State minus twenty and a 264 00:14:30,120 --> 00:14:35,000 Speaker 1: half taking on Indiana at home in the Big Ten. 265 00:14:35,640 --> 00:14:39,120 Speaker 1: If you want an extra game, and I almost bet this, 266 00:14:39,480 --> 00:14:41,440 Speaker 1: I backed off of it by maybe I'll play it. 267 00:14:41,480 --> 00:14:43,480 Speaker 1: I'll put it in the Discord channel. I am looking 268 00:14:43,520 --> 00:14:46,960 Speaker 1: at Iowa State at home against Kansas State. I have 269 00:14:47,040 --> 00:14:49,560 Speaker 1: been eyeballing that game, and I might take the Cyclones. 270 00:14:50,040 --> 00:14:53,680 Speaker 1: I'm not there yet. Kansas State's played some teams tough. 271 00:14:53,760 --> 00:14:57,680 Speaker 1: Iowa State is played has been okay. I think they're 272 00:14:57,720 --> 00:15:01,400 Speaker 1: the better team. They're playing better. But the number went 273 00:15:01,400 --> 00:15:04,120 Speaker 1: from ten and a half to twelve, so I'm wondering 274 00:15:04,120 --> 00:15:06,680 Speaker 1: if there's gonna be some buyback there a little bit. 275 00:15:06,760 --> 00:15:08,480 Speaker 1: But I would have rather ten and a half, would 276 00:15:08,600 --> 00:15:10,680 Speaker 1: rather ten. But at ten and a half, I choked 277 00:15:10,720 --> 00:15:12,760 Speaker 1: on it and then it row Then then the number 278 00:15:12,800 --> 00:15:14,840 Speaker 1: went up on me up to twelve. So I didn't 279 00:15:14,840 --> 00:15:18,840 Speaker 1: get the best number. I'm not teasing college games. I've 280 00:15:18,840 --> 00:15:21,560 Speaker 1: been talked out of that. With the negative expected value 281 00:15:21,600 --> 00:15:23,800 Speaker 1: on that, I've been talked out of teasing games. That's 282 00:15:23,840 --> 00:15:27,600 Speaker 1: why I'm not teasing college games anymore. But we are 283 00:15:28,480 --> 00:15:30,840 Speaker 1: looking at Iowa State. Maybe in the Discord channel. Add 284 00:15:30,840 --> 00:15:33,840 Speaker 1: that at some point tomorrow or today rather today during 285 00:15:34,480 --> 00:15:36,960 Speaker 1: the Saturday games if I do like it. So those 286 00:15:37,000 --> 00:15:39,440 Speaker 1: are our four plays, all one unit, going here on 287 00:15:39,480 --> 00:15:43,720 Speaker 1: a Saturday now for Sunday. Obviously, we've got the live 288 00:15:43,760 --> 00:15:47,520 Speaker 1: stream starting at eleven am Eastern time and eight am 289 00:15:47,600 --> 00:15:51,680 Speaker 1: Pacific time for our prop bets. I am not going 290 00:15:51,720 --> 00:15:56,080 Speaker 1: to give you the teasers because I frankly I need 291 00:15:56,120 --> 00:15:59,360 Speaker 1: to see COVID injuries and all sorts of things. I'll 292 00:15:59,360 --> 00:16:02,760 Speaker 1: tell you that I I am looking at a teaser 293 00:16:02,880 --> 00:16:07,320 Speaker 1: involving the Chiefs and maybe the Packers, or maybe the 294 00:16:07,440 --> 00:16:11,040 Speaker 1: Chiefs and the Titans. I'm kind of I'm gonna involve 295 00:16:11,120 --> 00:16:13,760 Speaker 1: Kansas City by taking that eight point line and teasing 296 00:16:13,800 --> 00:16:16,120 Speaker 1: it down. I will do that. The Parol two team 297 00:16:16,160 --> 00:16:18,680 Speaker 1: teaser is seven and three. I just haven't found the 298 00:16:18,720 --> 00:16:22,640 Speaker 1: second leg that I like, and this card is just ugly. 299 00:16:22,920 --> 00:16:24,840 Speaker 1: I need some line movement to help me out. I 300 00:16:24,840 --> 00:16:27,240 Speaker 1: need to get better numbers. I'm not in love with 301 00:16:27,280 --> 00:16:30,680 Speaker 1: the card tomorrow at all. I don't mind the contest 302 00:16:30,720 --> 00:16:32,880 Speaker 1: plays like what Dan Harris and I came up with. 303 00:16:33,000 --> 00:16:36,480 Speaker 1: We found five games that we like, but the numbers 304 00:16:36,520 --> 00:16:40,560 Speaker 1: to bet on n The only game I like a lot, 305 00:16:40,680 --> 00:16:42,880 Speaker 1: the over in the Chiefs and the Raiders. That's the 306 00:16:42,960 --> 00:16:44,720 Speaker 1: only number that I really like. That's the only game. 307 00:16:44,760 --> 00:16:46,680 Speaker 1: If you want to fire on something early, that's a 308 00:16:46,760 --> 00:16:49,880 Speaker 1: number I'd fire on early. That game's going over in 309 00:16:49,920 --> 00:16:52,440 Speaker 1: my mind. But other than that, I don't love the 310 00:16:52,640 --> 00:16:54,680 Speaker 1: entire Sunday at all. But we're back with the live 311 00:16:54,680 --> 00:16:58,080 Speaker 1: stream to break it down. Player props Damien Harris, by 312 00:16:58,080 --> 00:17:01,720 Speaker 1: the way, player props for the Patriots all over that huge. 313 00:17:01,960 --> 00:17:05,080 Speaker 1: I'm actually go half units on Damien Harris props tomorrow, 314 00:17:05,200 --> 00:17:07,800 Speaker 1: not quarter units, because I like it so much for 315 00:17:07,880 --> 00:17:09,760 Speaker 1: what I think he's gonna do. I a monster game 316 00:17:09,800 --> 00:17:12,760 Speaker 1: for Harris coming up against the Texans running the football 317 00:17:12,760 --> 00:17:14,880 Speaker 1: for the Patriots. But that's all gonna happen on tomorrow's 318 00:17:14,920 --> 00:17:17,760 Speaker 1: Daily Juice podcast. So my name is Matt Peroult. Follow 319 00:17:17,800 --> 00:17:20,920 Speaker 1: me on Twitter at Sports Talk Matt Sunday Morning Live 320 00:17:20,920 --> 00:17:24,640 Speaker 1: stream Sunday Morning Daily Juice all coming up tomorrow. Hope 321 00:17:24,680 --> 00:17:27,359 Speaker 1: you will join us every day every morning. It's the 322 00:17:27,400 --> 00:17:30,440 Speaker 1: Day Juice Podcast, brought to you by betmgm off bettingcros 323 00:17:30,480 --> 00:17:39,040 Speaker 1: dot com.