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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you Welcome into a Saturday

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Speaker 1: morning episode of the Daily Juice podcast. My name is

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Speaker 1: Matt Perelt. You guys can follow me across all of

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Speaker 1: my socials at Sports Talk met and we have made

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Speaker 1: it back. Welcome to week zero for college football. Very

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Speaker 1: excited to get rolling with another college football season here

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Speaker 1: with the Daily Juice. We're about two weeks away from

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Speaker 1: the start of the NFL season, but it's great to

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Speaker 1: have college back here, even though it is really early,

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Speaker 1: and we got some big games to break down and

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Speaker 1: talk about coming up here for the program today. Now

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Speaker 1: a reminder eight am. We're going to begin what will

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Speaker 1: be a weekly thing as as long as I can

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Speaker 1: do it, barring surgeries and whatnot. But I should be

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Speaker 1: there for a week zero and for week one. Week

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Speaker 1: two in college football might be a little bit dicey,

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Speaker 1: but week one, week two, we will be live at

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Speaker 1: eight o'clock in the morning Pacific eleven am Eastern on

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Speaker 1: the Discord Channel four, a weekly thirty minute breakdown of

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Speaker 1: everything going on in the college football ranks. Call it

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Speaker 1: our version of game Day. Call it our chit chat

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Speaker 1: about what's happening with the line and it's all happening

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Speaker 1: coming up here today at eleven am Eastern time, eight

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Speaker 1: o'clock in the morning Pacific time. Now, you have to

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Speaker 1: have your account linked to your Betting Pros account. Full

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Speaker 1: information is available on our discord channel to get into that,

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Speaker 1: but it is bettingpros dot Com slash chat. If you

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Speaker 1: are an OG and your grandfathered in, you don't need

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Speaker 1: to worry about it, but if you are new, you

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Speaker 1: will need to do that till we avoid the spammers

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Speaker 1: and the bots and everything else that goes on on discord.

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Speaker 1: So that is happening today. Cannot wait to get back

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Speaker 1: with you guys. And have you seen the number with

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Speaker 1: the UNLV game. There's a reason why we talk and

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Speaker 1: do this Discord channel chat. Now. I don't know how

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Speaker 1: we bet this game, and we're gonna wait and see

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Speaker 1: what happens, because if this number continues to climb from

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Speaker 1: a total perspective, we may be forced to take the

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Speaker 1: under because it's getting to be ridiculously high. But the

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Speaker 1: number was twenty three and a half forty eight hours ago.

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Speaker 1: It's now thirty one for UNLV over Idaho State. Excuse me,

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Speaker 1: makes me very angry. I was gonna bet you ANDLV

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Speaker 1: I was gonna take the twenty three, lay, the twenty three,

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Speaker 1: twenty three and a half. Anything below twenty four, I

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Speaker 1: was going to lay. Didn't think we were going to

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Speaker 1: see the bottle rocket here when it came to the

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Speaker 1: number thirty one thirty one and a half is wow.

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Speaker 1: So that's why we do the discord chat. Let's watch

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Speaker 1: that line. Let's see how hi that thing goes. Okay,

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Speaker 1: that thing gets to be thirty two, thirty three, thirty four,

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Speaker 1: we might be taking the dog there. And I work

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Speaker 1: at UNLV so I hope Dan Mellen puts up a

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Speaker 1: ton of points. But their team total is forty eight

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Speaker 1: and a half in that game. How many points will

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Speaker 1: Idaho States score? So we'll talk about that all coming

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Speaker 1: up on the Discord channel conversation eleven am Eastern time,

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Speaker 1: eight o'clock in the morning Pacific time on the Betting

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Speaker 1: Pros discord to get there. It's Bettingpros dot Com slash chat.

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Speaker 1: Okay to last night that we go. It was a

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Speaker 1: one in one night the Red Sox zero zero against

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Speaker 1: the Yankees, So that was a scratch, no harm, no foul.

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Speaker 1: The Bears in chiefs how about the Bears coming back

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Speaker 1: nineteen points in the fourth quarter. That game flies over.

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Speaker 1: But the Vikings plus four, they lose by ten, so

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Speaker 1: they do not cover. So we're down point one units.

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Speaker 1: Really just a paper cut day, nothing, not the big

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Speaker 1: of a deal, and we are still profitable for the

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Speaker 1: week of our of all guess going on right now.

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Speaker 1: So we have Saturday, we have Sunday. I have two

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Speaker 1: college full plays, I have one baseball play, and I

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Speaker 1: have one play in the w To keep you guys

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Speaker 1: coming up here today, let's start with college football, and

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Speaker 1: let's start with Kansas State and Iowa State. Now, this

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Speaker 1: game is being played really early in the morning. It

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Speaker 1: is a noon kickoff time, a nine am Eastern kickoff time,

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Speaker 1: so we're going to be right up against it watching

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Speaker 1: this number. Now, Fandel has gone back to three and

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Speaker 1: a half. They're the only ones in the country so

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Speaker 1: far at three and a half. The number opened up

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Speaker 1: at three and a half. It was bet to three.

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Speaker 1: But I was wondering about the money on k State

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Speaker 1: laying three or taking three and a half. If you

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Speaker 1: take three and a half, I'm not going to argue,

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Speaker 1: but you should not be laying three and a half

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Speaker 1: on Kansas State in this game. This is week one.

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Speaker 1: This is a bit of a toss up, bit of

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Speaker 1: a coin flip game. But because of the number it

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Speaker 1: was bet, Iowa State plus three and a half was

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Speaker 1: bet down to three. This game is probably going to

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Speaker 1: be a three point swing one way or the other.

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Speaker 1: Case State went by three or Iowa State by three.

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Speaker 1: The total is fifty one. It opened up at forty nine,

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Speaker 1: so there's been some play on the over, but I

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Speaker 1: don't know about that, just given going over to Ireland,

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Speaker 1: the field conditions, what the weather will be, what the

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Speaker 1: nightlife was like for the guys, the time change. I

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Speaker 1: was just over there. It is a brutal time change.

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Speaker 1: It was eight hours for me. It's six hours for

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Speaker 1: the guys in the Central time zone. So pretty dramatic,

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Speaker 1: Pretty tough to go over there and took that out.

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Speaker 1: Case State's a MIAs one sixty favorite at FanDuel plus

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Speaker 1: one thirty two. On the other side, Iowa State will

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Speaker 1: be without one of their best offensive lineman for this game.

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Speaker 1: I think that's a very scary situation here up against

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Speaker 1: Kansas State. I don't like the Iowa State offense replacing

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Speaker 1: two key weapons from a wide receiver perspective for ruckll

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Speaker 1: bet and I think we've got the better quarterback with

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Speaker 1: k State and a Johnson and a chance to run

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Speaker 1: in Iowa State here, a chance to keep the ball

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Speaker 1: away from Iowa State's offense frankly in k State just

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Speaker 1: to get after it and get a big win here.

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Speaker 1: So I do know that Matt Matt Campbell has had

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Speaker 1: a very good record against Chris Cleiman, and he's four

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Speaker 1: and one against the spread against him. So that's a

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Speaker 1: good mark for Iowa State. If you want to take

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Speaker 1: the three and a half, I don't mind it, but

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Speaker 1: I think in terms of three, I do think Avery

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Speaker 1: Johnson moved to football. I do think the running game

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Speaker 1: will work for Kansas State, and I think that'll be

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Speaker 1: a little bit ahead of where the defense is for

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Speaker 1: Iowa State. Think k State squeaks it out. It could

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Speaker 1: be a push. Do not lay three and a half.

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Speaker 1: We're only gonna lay three. Maybe somehow find a two

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Speaker 1: and a half that's brilliant, But I do expect late

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Speaker 1: money to come back to come on Kansas State to

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Speaker 1: push this to three and a half. So if you're

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Speaker 1: only going to place at three and a half, either

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Speaker 1: buy it down or don't play it. Okay, this is

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Speaker 1: going to be a tight football game between these two rivals.

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Speaker 1: It is Pharmageddon and Farmagus. It is often a lot

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Speaker 1: of fun. K State minus three and we very well

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Speaker 1: might get a push out of it here from Dublin, Ireland.

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Speaker 1: But I'll take Kansas State minus three for one point

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Speaker 1: one units bet number two in college football. And let's

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Speaker 1: talk about KU Kansas. They are opening up their brand

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Speaker 1: spanking new stadium three hundred million dollars donated by an

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Speaker 1: alumn to Kansas and to make incredible, incredible improvements to this.

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Speaker 1: I know that Fresno has an offense, okay, but I

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Speaker 1: sat yesterday at Circus Sports interviewing a ton of people,

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Speaker 1: one of which is a handicapper, book maker, whatever you

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Speaker 1: want to call him, Rex Byres And I trust Rex,

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Speaker 1: and I trust his numbers because early in the season

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Speaker 1: he is staring down these numbers. He is talking to

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Speaker 1: all the sharps in Vegas, he's sucking in the book

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Speaker 1: makers in Vegas, and he thinks this price is wrong.

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Speaker 1: He thinks this should be closer to a three touchdown

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Speaker 1: mark here for Kansas, not less. And oftentimes I tell

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Speaker 1: you when people give me advice, I give them credit,

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Speaker 1: and when it's not my play, I follow it. I

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Speaker 1: tell you guys about it. You can do what you

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Speaker 1: want with it, but I give credit where credit's due.

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Speaker 1: And Rexman a very convincing case to the point where

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Speaker 1: I went and bet at thirteen and a half. I

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Speaker 1: went and laid it with Kansas. That number is now

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Speaker 1: fourteen or fourteen and a half. So I can't give

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Speaker 1: out the number that I played because the money has

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Speaker 1: pushed this thing already to fourteen. So we're going to

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Speaker 1: officially play it at fourteen. But I got it at

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Speaker 1: laying thirteen and a half. If that number comes back

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Speaker 1: down under fourteen, I like it even more. That's what

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Speaker 1: the late that the late move will be. But Ku

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Speaker 1: at home k you'd open up and Leopold's got a

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Speaker 1: chance here, and he thought the Jayhawks to win the

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Speaker 1: Big twelve had a lot of value. That's crazy. That's

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Speaker 1: a unbelievable bet. If you want to make it, I'm

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Speaker 1: not sure I fully agree with it. To go ahead

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Speaker 1: and bet on bet on Kansas to win the Big twelve.

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Speaker 1: That number at FanDuel is now fourteen to one. Who

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Speaker 1: want to jump on that I don't know if I

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Speaker 1: agree with it. I think there's some better teams with

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Speaker 1: Arizona State, Utah, Baylor, Texas Tech, k State. But it

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Speaker 1: is a wide open conference. He's not wrong about that.

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Speaker 1: But for today, I do think KYU looks to hang

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Speaker 1: a number. I do think KU wants to run the

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Speaker 1: score up, and I do think they'll have the better

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Speaker 1: talent on the field over Fresno. I laid thirteen and

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Speaker 1: a half, but officially we'll lay fourteen. It may wind

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Speaker 1: up pushing, but I like KU here thirty one fourteen

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Speaker 1: somewhere in that range coming up here. Let's take Kansas

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Speaker 1: minus fourteen at home up against Fresno State. That total

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Speaker 1: has come down amazingly enough, from fifty one and a

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Speaker 1: half down to fifty or forty nine and a half.

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Speaker 1: So some play on the under, which leads me to

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Speaker 1: believe that Fresno I was not going to score. It

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Speaker 1: makes me like kay you even more here to go

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Speaker 1: ahead and take Kansas laying fourteen for one point one units. Now,

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Speaker 1: let's go to baseball. Those are our two week zero

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Speaker 1: plays KAYU and Kansas State. Let's go to baseball. So

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Speaker 1: the Red Sox and the Yankees are playing an epic,

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Speaker 1: epic series one nothing win for the Red Sox yesterday,

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Speaker 1: that's why it was zero zero excuse me, zero zero

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Speaker 1: after five, So that pushed took the Red Sox at

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Speaker 1: plus money. The Yankees are going to face Garrett Crochet.

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Speaker 1: Here's the scary thing for Boston. Now, Boston's been very

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Speaker 1: good seven and one against the Yankees this year, really good.

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Speaker 1: But Garret Crochet and his last start against Yankee, last

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Speaker 1: start in Yankee Stadium, did not go well at all,

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Speaker 1: six innings, five in runs in a ten to seven win. Now,

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Speaker 1: he pitched at Fenway against the Yankees in his next start,

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Speaker 1: and he was awesome. He went eight in a third,

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Speaker 1: two to one win and ten That was the aeron

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Speaker 1: Judge bottom of our top of the ninth moon shot

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Speaker 1: home run off of Crochet. Red Sox won the game

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Speaker 1: in the tenth, two to one. So here we're now

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Speaker 1: looking at Crochet in his last start on the road

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Speaker 1: against Houston was his worst start of the year when

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Speaker 1: four inning if you give five and runs seven hits.

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Speaker 1: The Yankees hit lefties like they hit lefties well, so

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Speaker 1: two sixty three batting average that's fourth best in Major

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Speaker 1: League Baseball one hundred and intent of of RBIs. That's

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Speaker 1: also fourth best in Major League Baseball. They have forty

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Speaker 1: nine home runs off lefties, that's third best in Major

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Speaker 1: League Baseball. I think it's worth the shot. The Yankees

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Speaker 1: are desperate here, okay, and they haven't done anything. We

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Speaker 1: get plus one twenty on the Yankees in the first five.

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Speaker 1: Red Sox could come back on the bullpen and win

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Speaker 1: the game. That's very possible. But I think Crochet might

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Speaker 1: be in a little bit of trouble here simply because

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Speaker 1: the Yankees hit left and on the road, Crochet has

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Speaker 1: been good, I mean good cy young type, maybe even great,

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Speaker 1: but he's been less of effective on the road, as

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Speaker 1: most pitchers are than at home. Will Warren for the

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Speaker 1: Yankees team has won three of the last four games

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Speaker 1: he has started. He's given up one two zero in

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Speaker 1: one earned run in those four games. He's been really

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Speaker 1: good at home. Will Warren has a two point eight

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Speaker 1: six ERA and he's six and three opposing batting average

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Speaker 1: of two oh eight twenty three earned in seventy two

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Speaker 1: and a third innings worth of work. He's pretty good

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Speaker 1: at Yankee Stadium. Crochet has been roughed up by Yankee Stadium.

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Speaker 1: Yankees hit lefties. First five is plus one twenty for

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Speaker 1: the Yankees. Same bet as yesterday. Let's go the other way.

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Speaker 1: I'll fade my Red Sox for plus money. I'll bet

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Speaker 1: against my team. It means I win money. I'll take

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Speaker 1: the Yankees Yankees plus one twenty first five money line

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Speaker 1: if they're tied after five like yesterday. Refund. No, maybe

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Speaker 1: the under isn't a bad idea for the game eight

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Speaker 1: and a half, or maybe even an under for the

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Speaker 1: first five. You do that as well if you'd like.

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Speaker 1: But I'm just gonna take the Yankees to be leading.

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Speaker 1: It might be one nothing after five. Red Sox Yankees

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Speaker 1: Yankees plus one twenty first five money line here today.

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Speaker 1: And finally we go to the WNBA, where the Las

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Speaker 1: Vegas aces continue to be red hot. Vegas hasn't lost

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Speaker 1: a game since the second of August. They are rolling

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Speaker 1: and they oh sorry, hold on, no, no, no, yeah. Since

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Speaker 1: the second of August. Head to head wise against Washington,

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Speaker 1: Vegas is seven to three ATS over the last ten games.

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Speaker 1: Last time they played was on June. It was in

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Speaker 1: July tenth of this year, so it's been about a

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Speaker 1: month and a half. It was at Washington where they

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Speaker 1: are here today. It was a seventy to sixty seven win.

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Speaker 1: Vegas was a three point favorite. They did not cover

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Speaker 1: because they won by two. However, since then, Vegas has

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Speaker 1: been rolling. They have won one, two, three, four, five, six, seven, eight,

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Speaker 1: nine games in a row and against the spread. They're

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Speaker 1: eight one in one against the spread over their last

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Speaker 1: ten games. This number is seven. Some books are at

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Speaker 1: seven and a half FanDuel's already at eight, but seven here. Washington,

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Speaker 1: on the flip side, is four and six ats over

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Speaker 1: their last ten games. They just came off of back

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Speaker 1: to back losses in a home and home to Connecticut.

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Speaker 1: Both games are losses, both games they failed to cover

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Speaker 1: because they were favored in both games, laying six and

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Speaker 1: laying two and a half, and they lost them both

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Speaker 1: outright to the Connecticut Sun. Vegas has flipped a switch

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Speaker 1: and they're playing incredibly well, even on the road. A

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Speaker 1: lay the seven here with Vegas nine in one over

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Speaker 1: their last ten. Like I mentioned, nine straight victories for

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Speaker 1: Vegas and they are locked in here and they're climbing

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Speaker 1: the standingsone twenty three and fourteen on the year, which

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Speaker 1: is remarkable for where they were about halfway through. Vegas

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Speaker 1: is all the way up to the three seed, and

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Speaker 1: they are half a game back of the Atlanta Dream.

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Speaker 1: For the two seed, they're not gonna catch the Links.

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Speaker 1: The Links have clinched a playoff berth, but they're going

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Speaker 1: to be most likely the one seed. Twenty nine and seven.

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Speaker 1: So Vegas is seven games back in the lost column

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Speaker 1: to Minnesota, but the two seed is very much right

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Speaker 1: there for the Vegas Aces, and they keep this up.

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Speaker 1: Nine wins in a row, Let's make it ten. Let's

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Speaker 1: keep Washington's free fall here. They've lost two games in

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Speaker 1: a row and they're three and seven over their last

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Speaker 1: ten straight up Vegas minus seven for one point one units.

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Speaker 1: All right, So plays for today on Saturday k State

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Speaker 1: minus three, Kansas minus fourteen, Yankees first five money line

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Speaker 1: at plus one twenty in the Vegas Aces laying seven

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Speaker 1: on the road to Washington at minus one ten. Those

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Speaker 1: are our plays for Week zero and for Saturday. For

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Speaker 1: the Daily Juice, I'll talk to you on the Discord

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Speaker 1: channel eight am Pacific eleven am Eastern Time for the

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Speaker 1: first Week zero College Football of the Year live chat

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Speaker 1: on Discord. You guys can follow me on Twitter at

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Speaker 1: sports Talk Matt. Every morning wherever you guys get your podcasts,

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Speaker 1: including week zero Saturday. It is the Daily Juice