1 00:00:00,040 --> 00:00:02,120 Speaker 1: Well, we saw Ali Baba shares or a d R 2 00:00:02,200 --> 00:00:03,920 Speaker 1: s rise in US trade. They had a pretty good 3 00:00:03,920 --> 00:00:06,240 Speaker 1: session in Hong Kong ahead of their earnings. But in 4 00:00:06,280 --> 00:00:08,840 Speaker 1: the US that was the reaction to better than expected 5 00:00:08,880 --> 00:00:11,600 Speaker 1: first quarter sales and earnings. Let's get more now with 6 00:00:11,720 --> 00:00:14,640 Speaker 1: Katherine Lamb, Senior analyst Consumer and Technology, who joins me 7 00:00:14,680 --> 00:00:18,280 Speaker 1: here in the Singapore studio. Shears, of course from Bloomberg Intelligence, 8 00:00:18,320 --> 00:00:21,440 Speaker 1: so better than expected despite the economic turmoil. And I 9 00:00:21,440 --> 00:00:23,239 Speaker 1: know that you're saying this is going to put a 10 00:00:23,280 --> 00:00:25,400 Speaker 1: lot of focus on the China tech pres to what 11 00:00:25,480 --> 00:00:28,280 Speaker 1: really struck out to you? Catherine? Right, Um, do you 12 00:00:28,320 --> 00:00:32,400 Speaker 1: know what what stood out from Ali Baba's result really 13 00:00:32,560 --> 00:00:34,919 Speaker 1: was that, you know, there is an increasing focus by 14 00:00:34,960 --> 00:00:39,400 Speaker 1: the company on profitability and it's actually interesting hearing the 15 00:00:39,560 --> 00:00:43,479 Speaker 1: company talk about wanting to narrow the lossest um. You 16 00:00:43,520 --> 00:00:46,760 Speaker 1: know for some of their businesses, the newer ones that 17 00:00:46,840 --> 00:00:51,600 Speaker 1: goes beyond their traditional um donal stronghold in Talbau or tea. 18 00:00:51,640 --> 00:00:55,680 Speaker 1: More new businesses such as grocery um as well in 19 00:00:55,960 --> 00:00:58,520 Speaker 1: in food delivery business that puts them um do you 20 00:00:58,600 --> 00:01:02,040 Speaker 1: know head to a hit with the lights of matuan Um. 21 00:01:02,120 --> 00:01:05,440 Speaker 1: You know, with them actually scaling back and wanting to 22 00:01:05,520 --> 00:01:09,560 Speaker 1: actually focus on more profitable services. UM. I do think 23 00:01:09,560 --> 00:01:12,360 Speaker 1: that that is actually good news in terms of the 24 00:01:12,760 --> 00:01:17,720 Speaker 1: competition that's actually ongoing within these UM specific segments, where 25 00:01:17,760 --> 00:01:20,920 Speaker 1: but we'll probably see the rivalry actually toned down a 26 00:01:20,959 --> 00:01:25,640 Speaker 1: little bit going into twenties three, and industry white margins 27 00:01:25,720 --> 00:01:28,240 Speaker 1: may actually be on the rise UM into next year. 28 00:01:29,600 --> 00:01:32,160 Speaker 1: It seems the competition is tough, but it doesn't seem 29 00:01:32,200 --> 00:01:36,120 Speaker 1: that there's anything really broken here. UM. The China commerce 30 00:01:36,240 --> 00:01:41,280 Speaker 1: number is probably about ten times the international commerce number, 31 00:01:41,520 --> 00:01:43,080 Speaker 1: so there's a lot of room to grow there for 32 00:01:43,280 --> 00:01:46,480 Speaker 1: international and and since the Chinese economy has been under 33 00:01:46,480 --> 00:01:49,320 Speaker 1: a lot of pressure to date, it would seem to 34 00:01:49,360 --> 00:01:52,960 Speaker 1: be getting better. Does that, UM, Does that sort of 35 00:01:53,000 --> 00:01:55,960 Speaker 1: set us in line for better numbers from Ali Baba 36 00:01:56,040 --> 00:01:59,400 Speaker 1: in the next quarter or two, right? UM, you know 37 00:01:59,560 --> 00:02:03,600 Speaker 1: you're right that currently the drag on Ali's Baba's numbers 38 00:02:03,680 --> 00:02:07,760 Speaker 1: will be from mainland China, whereby that continues to be 39 00:02:07,920 --> 00:02:12,720 Speaker 1: uncertainties both from a macro perspective that is actually affecting 40 00:02:13,080 --> 00:02:18,240 Speaker 1: the consumer sentiment underground. And we are already hearing from 41 00:02:18,440 --> 00:02:21,639 Speaker 1: UM not just Ali Baba yesterday but even ours is 42 00:02:21,680 --> 00:02:25,880 Speaker 1: also talking about being very cautious and July numbers, the 43 00:02:26,000 --> 00:02:29,959 Speaker 1: July traffic flows at physical store not really getting there 44 00:02:30,040 --> 00:02:33,200 Speaker 1: yet because you know, there is still real concerns on 45 00:02:33,360 --> 00:02:37,840 Speaker 1: COVID in China. Now moving to the international markets, UM, 46 00:02:37,880 --> 00:02:40,480 Speaker 1: it's a different set of problems that I would say 47 00:02:40,480 --> 00:02:44,440 Speaker 1: Ali Baba face because UM they are dealing with other 48 00:02:44,520 --> 00:02:50,519 Speaker 1: competitions UM in a different regulatory landscape. That probably makes 49 00:02:50,600 --> 00:02:55,359 Speaker 1: them more cautious in taking UM you know, proactive moves 50 00:02:55,400 --> 00:02:59,960 Speaker 1: in gaining market share in some of these places in Singapore, 51 00:03:00,120 --> 00:03:04,000 Speaker 1: in Southeast Asia, Lazada which go hits on with UM 52 00:03:04,120 --> 00:03:07,079 Speaker 1: shoppy from CEE. The good news that we can actually 53 00:03:07,080 --> 00:03:10,519 Speaker 1: take from that is that both companies that is UM, 54 00:03:11,600 --> 00:03:15,200 Speaker 1: Ali Baba as well as SEE they have both unanimously 55 00:03:15,520 --> 00:03:19,920 Speaker 1: UM you know, guided for greater focused on UM turning 56 00:03:19,960 --> 00:03:24,280 Speaker 1: their business around in this region. So again that's all 57 00:03:24,320 --> 00:03:29,000 Speaker 1: good for industry profitability UM definitely moving into next year. 58 00:03:29,560 --> 00:03:32,639 Speaker 1: There was an interesting comment coming through from divers Ton 59 00:03:32,800 --> 00:03:35,800 Speaker 1: Joy about Ali Baba saying that investors are under appreciating 60 00:03:35,840 --> 00:03:39,960 Speaker 1: some of the potential earnings upside on the cost control efforts. 61 00:03:39,960 --> 00:03:42,560 Speaker 1: Do you think we're going to continue to say some 62 00:03:42,760 --> 00:03:45,720 Speaker 1: I guess repricing here Morning Style also telling us yesterday 63 00:03:45,760 --> 00:03:50,400 Speaker 1: Ali Baba is undervalued, right. Um, you know, as Ali 64 00:03:50,520 --> 00:03:55,240 Speaker 1: Baba shifts their focused to profits from sales and top 65 00:03:55,280 --> 00:03:58,640 Speaker 1: line growth, which is in general and typically what most 66 00:03:58,640 --> 00:04:02,040 Speaker 1: of the you know, the tech investors look at. I 67 00:04:02,080 --> 00:04:04,560 Speaker 1: think it's going to take a little bit of adjustments, um, 68 00:04:04,680 --> 00:04:08,320 Speaker 1: you know, for for the market to understand that, you know, 69 00:04:08,400 --> 00:04:12,920 Speaker 1: the company is actually shifting and trying to monetize more 70 00:04:13,040 --> 00:04:17,760 Speaker 1: of their current penetration from the markets that they are in. UM. 71 00:04:17,839 --> 00:04:20,640 Speaker 1: Whether you know they will be able to actually gain 72 00:04:20,720 --> 00:04:23,840 Speaker 1: that traction, I think you need a couple, um, you know, 73 00:04:23,960 --> 00:04:28,520 Speaker 1: more quarters of deliveries, particularly you know, a more upbeat 74 00:04:28,560 --> 00:04:33,040 Speaker 1: sentiment coming from mainland China to really get an appreciation going. 75 00:04:34,240 --> 00:04:37,039 Speaker 1: We saw a pretty strong repurchase of shares in the 76 00:04:37,200 --> 00:04:41,120 Speaker 1: US American the A d R S. Is it likely 77 00:04:41,200 --> 00:04:44,080 Speaker 1: that we would see much more of that and could 78 00:04:44,080 --> 00:04:48,720 Speaker 1: that lift the start right? Well? Definitely? UM. You know, 79 00:04:48,800 --> 00:04:54,720 Speaker 1: Ali Baba is still committed to UM their share repurchase program. UM, 80 00:04:54,760 --> 00:04:58,159 Speaker 1: it may actually take a slower pace for the next 81 00:04:58,680 --> 00:05:02,200 Speaker 1: four or five months because of the primary listing that 82 00:05:02,240 --> 00:05:06,320 Speaker 1: they are seeking to upgrade two UM in Hong Kong. 83 00:05:06,600 --> 00:05:09,360 Speaker 1: But that's not going to actually change things. UM. It's 84 00:05:09,400 --> 00:05:12,760 Speaker 1: more from a you know, regulatory standpoints that just to 85 00:05:12,800 --> 00:05:16,320 Speaker 1: make sure that the primary listing goes smoothly by the 86 00:05:16,480 --> 00:05:19,440 Speaker 1: end of this year as they are targeting before they 87 00:05:19,440 --> 00:05:23,520 Speaker 1: actually do. UM more of the share by banks, Catherine, 88 00:05:23,839 --> 00:05:26,360 Speaker 1: what about or what did you RADI into that FT 89 00:05:26,880 --> 00:05:30,520 Speaker 1: report as well that UM soft Bank had sold Ali 90 00:05:30,520 --> 00:05:33,040 Speaker 1: Baba derivatives. Is that kind of massay or she's son 91 00:05:33,600 --> 00:05:36,159 Speaker 1: wanting to get out of this stock or is it 92 00:05:36,200 --> 00:05:39,240 Speaker 1: more about raising capital for soft Bank? Right? UM, I 93 00:05:39,279 --> 00:05:42,880 Speaker 1: think they ordered scrutiny on soft Bank. Just stick in 94 00:05:43,080 --> 00:05:47,000 Speaker 1: Ali Baba and UM you know when they will potentially 95 00:05:47,040 --> 00:05:50,600 Speaker 1: be actually UM. You know, lowering that stick has always 96 00:05:50,640 --> 00:05:54,719 Speaker 1: been a topic. That's UM, that's ongoing. Both companies have 97 00:05:54,839 --> 00:05:57,640 Speaker 1: had a very long relationship. UM. You know pre I 98 00:05:57,839 --> 00:06:00,839 Speaker 1: p O and I guess you know, given soft bench 99 00:06:00,920 --> 00:06:04,840 Speaker 1: structure and it's portfolio where it is, UM, like most 100 00:06:04,880 --> 00:06:07,360 Speaker 1: investors do. You know, I don't rule out the possibility 101 00:06:07,520 --> 00:06:10,480 Speaker 1: of a cell down UM, but of course you know, 102 00:06:10,600 --> 00:06:13,719 Speaker 1: it is the timing and the positive that I actually 103 00:06:13,800 --> 00:06:16,680 Speaker 1: do take from it is that you know, Ali Baba 104 00:06:16,839 --> 00:06:20,640 Speaker 1: UM as a company UM in its operations. UM, it 105 00:06:20,760 --> 00:06:24,600 Speaker 1: is very independent from soft Man's Steak. There's been some collaboration, 106 00:06:25,080 --> 00:06:29,120 Speaker 1: but again they are very independent in their operations. And 107 00:06:29,200 --> 00:06:32,520 Speaker 1: even if that happens, fundamentally, I don't see that having 108 00:06:32,560 --> 00:06:35,920 Speaker 1: a big impact on Ali Baba. Katherine, you mentioned that 109 00:06:35,960 --> 00:06:38,919 Speaker 1: with some cost cutting they can they can arrest some 110 00:06:38,960 --> 00:06:42,400 Speaker 1: of the declines in profitability in the coming year. Not 111 00:06:42,600 --> 00:06:44,720 Speaker 1: a day seems to go by where we don't see 112 00:06:44,760 --> 00:06:49,000 Speaker 1: stock prices going up because companies are are slashing costs. 113 00:06:49,000 --> 00:06:52,000 Speaker 1: So what's the area that Ali Baba can get the 114 00:06:52,000 --> 00:06:55,360 Speaker 1: most out of out of cutting cost right? UM, I 115 00:06:55,400 --> 00:06:58,680 Speaker 1: guess you know. One one of the numbers UM. You know, 116 00:06:58,720 --> 00:07:02,039 Speaker 1: two items that actually did stand out from yesterday was 117 00:07:02,120 --> 00:07:05,880 Speaker 1: really the sales and marketing expenses. We continue to actually 118 00:07:05,960 --> 00:07:10,400 Speaker 1: see that UM, you know, contracting UM as a percentage 119 00:07:10,520 --> 00:07:14,760 Speaker 1: of revenues, and really that is one of the easiest 120 00:07:14,880 --> 00:07:19,440 Speaker 1: cost um you know, component to actually tighten your reins 121 00:07:19,520 --> 00:07:22,239 Speaker 1: on because you know, with all the promotions that Ali 122 00:07:22,320 --> 00:07:28,080 Speaker 1: Baba UM you know, undertakes on its platforms, etcetera. UM, 123 00:07:28,160 --> 00:07:31,280 Speaker 1: that was when it was doing a more aggressive stunce 124 00:07:31,400 --> 00:07:35,880 Speaker 1: in wanting to grab market share from existing competitors. So 125 00:07:35,920 --> 00:07:38,440 Speaker 1: as it slows down on that, I think you know 126 00:07:38,520 --> 00:07:41,640 Speaker 1: you'll continue to see a contraction in that part of 127 00:07:41,680 --> 00:07:45,760 Speaker 1: the cost. But so precise with your words, excellent. Thank 128 00:07:45,760 --> 00:07:48,280 Speaker 1: you very much Catherine for joining us here this morning. 129 00:07:48,760 --> 00:07:52,520 Speaker 1: Very good explanation. Katherine Limbs, Senior Analysts, Consumer and Technology, 130 00:07:52,560 --> 00:07:56,520 Speaker 1: helping us understand better understand Ali Baba's earnings. This is 131 00:07:56,520 --> 00:07:57,040 Speaker 1: Bloomberg