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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites, all part of the Action Network

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Speaker 1: family presented by Draft Kings. The Crown is yours. I'm

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Speaker 1: Brandon Kravitz joined by a couple of my jive turkeys

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Speaker 1: on this Thanksgiving preview super episode Kendra and Stucky providing

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Speaker 1: the picks and analysis that will make you a better

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Speaker 1: better in the NFL.

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Speaker 2: I've got a lot to get to today.

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Speaker 1: We're gonna plant our flag, We're gonna nominate our two

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Speaker 1: Kings and a Queen Parlay, Kendris Pickle, prop Evans Primer,

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Speaker 1: all in one episode. Let's start with the weird, the bizarre,

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Speaker 1: the random. It's Stucky's question of the week.

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Speaker 3: Hey, this is a dumb question.

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Speaker 4: Let me ask you a personal question kind of question?

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Speaker 2: Is that question?

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Speaker 4: I honestly it's not Thursday, so I didn't I didn't

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Speaker 4: bring a question. Uh, and I'm trying to talk.

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Speaker 2: Very as Oh no, it's not good.

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Speaker 4: Up for like three days. I have like four more

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Speaker 4: podcasts to do today for college and NFL.

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Speaker 1: You can ask anything about thanks Thanksgiving spectacular.

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Speaker 4: What is your favorite and your and then also what

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Speaker 4: is the most overrated? You can go overrated or underrated

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Speaker 4: or both. Thanksgiving dish kenderdie on any takes overrated.

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Speaker 3: I'm gonna go with.

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Speaker 5: Mashed potatoes just because I feel like most people don't

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Speaker 5: know how to actually make mashed potatoes and they make

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Speaker 5: dry ass mashed potatoes. It's Thanksgiving. Put the extra butter,

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Speaker 5: put the extra milk in there. Don't do this to me.

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Speaker 3: That's why underrated.

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Speaker 5: I'm gonna say green bean cast role and I'm a

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Speaker 5: cranberry sauce truther. It's the best thing on the plate.

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Speaker 5: It's gotta be the case. I don't want the fresh

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Speaker 5: bull crap. It's Thanksgiving. Give me the shitty shit. I

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Speaker 5: wear my stretching pants on purpose. I also have a

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Speaker 5: bone to pick with New Englanders because they don't do

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Speaker 5: macaroni and cheese for Thanksgiving, and I think that that

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Speaker 5: is a sin. I think that they are all going

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Speaker 5: to hell and I hate that about living up in

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Speaker 5: the Northeast.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I could not agree with you more about cranberry sauce.

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Speaker 1: This is not an item to overthink. You just go

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Speaker 1: ninety nine cents, grab it off of the shelf, and

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Speaker 1: I want the ridges. Yeah exactly. I want it shaking

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Speaker 1: when it comes out of the can. Let's not get crazy,

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Speaker 1: but macaroni and cheese is the most underrated. It has

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Speaker 1: to be done properly. That's the thing. You eat mac

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Speaker 1: and cheese all year long. This is not unique, but

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Speaker 1: Thanksgiving mac and cheese specifically. I have a rule that

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Speaker 1: if you can't cut your mac and cheese into a cube,

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Speaker 1: then it was not cooked properly.

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Speaker 2: On Thanksgiving, it's gotta have that sound.

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Speaker 3: You know what I'm talking about.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, any other day of the year is disgusting,

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Speaker 1: But on Thanksgiving you said, damn right, give me this

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Speaker 1: so and then that's so that would be underrated, overrated.

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Speaker 1: I think it's green bean cast role. The fact that

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Speaker 1: we build green bean castrole into an industry standard.

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Speaker 2: We could do so much better. This is this is

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Speaker 2: the best.

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Speaker 1: It's the best eating day of the year. There are

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Speaker 1: other green vegetables. Why don't we have broccoli or a

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Speaker 1: Brussels sprout with some bacon on it?

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Speaker 2: Why? Why the cast role? So that's that's my answer.

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Speaker 4: What about you, spiky, We My wife will spend like

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Speaker 4: the two full days cooking, and I mean she's the

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Speaker 4: cook of her entire family, so she brings up. But

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Speaker 4: I'm talking like we will have fifty trays like the

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Speaker 4: big metal trays, and then just put the mouth for

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Speaker 4: everyone and then the leftovers are the best part. But

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Speaker 4: she also makes me an extra duck. I like having

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Speaker 4: a duck besides a turkey. So I think duck is

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Speaker 4: like if you want to go with an alternative meat

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Speaker 4: or like W Madden used to say, the turd duck in.

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Speaker 4: But I love a duck on turkey.

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Speaker 3: Again, A happy Thanksgiving.

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Speaker 2: We got a tur duck in right.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, this thing here, there's a deep bone duck stuffed

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Speaker 4: in a deep bone chicken stuffed in a deep bone turkey.

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Speaker 4: It was stuffing.

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Speaker 2: Now you're talking.

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Speaker 4: I actually think granberry sauce is overrated. But I'm gonna say, yeah,

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Speaker 4: what you mentioned mas potatoes. If you if you go

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Speaker 4: to a restaurant, you're like, wow, why are the mast

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Speaker 4: potatoes at a restaurant so much better? When you think

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Speaker 4: you're done putting enough butter in, double it and then

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Speaker 4: double it again. That's the trick to good restaurant mashed potatoes.

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Speaker 4: So I'll say, but I like green bean castle. There's

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Speaker 4: my wife will make that. So Jimmy thinks a like

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Speaker 4: a bunch of different castles like mac and cheese greening

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Speaker 4: castrole like a Broccolian cheddar cast role with like bread

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Speaker 4: crumbs on top, does a Brussels spout cast role with

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Speaker 4: bake We're talking.

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Speaker 3: I'm starving right now, you guys.

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Speaker 4: So Oh, the funny story is my mother in law

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Speaker 4: makes made the one year she made this oyster cast role.

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Speaker 4: And I've had oyster cast role before and it's good,

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Speaker 4: it's decent when it's done right, but this is like

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Speaker 4: the first year that like I had met her, like

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Speaker 4: within a year of that Thanksgiving. So she brought it

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Speaker 4: to me and I was just trying to get like

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Speaker 4: brownie points with her. So I was like and I

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Speaker 4: was like hyping how good it was, but I didn't

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Speaker 4: really like it. So I ended up like tossing it somehow,

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Speaker 4: and then was like, oh, it's so good. So now

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Speaker 4: she like makes extra every year for me and then puts, well,

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Speaker 4: we'll bring me a plate a bit when I'm over there,

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Speaker 4: and then she'll give me this huge tubware thing of

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Speaker 4: extra to go, and I don't like it. And I've

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Speaker 4: been living this lie for like eight years. I had

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Speaker 4: to get it off my chest.

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Speaker 3: I hope if somebody sends her this podcast link.

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Speaker 1: I hope she listens, because Alice is she cranking out

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Speaker 1: the coin during the NFL season. Kendrick's starving. I am

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Speaker 1: starving for some football picks. Let's plant our flag for

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Speaker 1: week thirteen.

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Speaker 6: Might flag in it?

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Speaker 4: Shut up, I'm trying to plant my flag here.

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Speaker 2: Okay, you're really planning your flag in that deck? Fucky,

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Speaker 2: We'll start with you.

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Speaker 4: I have no bets yet. So far, I haven't placed

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Speaker 4: any bets. It's still pretty early in the week, waiting

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Speaker 4: on some key numbers. But I guess I'll plan my

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Speaker 4: flag on the Indianapolis Colts. My Daniel Jones minus four

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Speaker 4: and a half, my pumpkin. I just think it's a

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Speaker 4: good spot to buy low on the Colts. There's also

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Speaker 4: there's a couple of things working in the colts favor here.

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Speaker 4: One she J. Stroud's coming back. Historically, there's a lot

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Speaker 4: of data that suggests when quarterbacks come back after an

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Speaker 4: extended periods, missing multiple games due to a concussion, that

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Speaker 4: there is a dip in performance. So I do think

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Speaker 4: that CJ. Stroud might be a bit less effective than

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Speaker 4: he usually is. Additionally, I do think this Colts defense

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Speaker 4: is trending up now that soft squardner is a couple

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Speaker 4: of games. Sharrairi's ward is now back. They argue about

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Speaker 4: the best corner group in the NFL. You can maybe

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Speaker 4: run on them a bit. Texas can't really run the ball.

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Speaker 4: And now you're getting the Colts after three straight non

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Speaker 4: covers back at home, right And they were at Pittsburgh

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Speaker 4: overseas at Kansas City, so three games away from home outdoors,

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Speaker 4: So now you're getting them at home. Or I think

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Speaker 4: that operate that offense operates at peak efficiency. The Texans

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Speaker 4: defense is a problem and it's going to be a problem,

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Speaker 4: and they're elite at defending play action, which is what

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Speaker 4: you want to be when you're defending the Colts offense.

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Speaker 4: But I do think that the Colts offense can do

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Speaker 4: enough at home to get this done. I think it's

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Speaker 4: a good by low Sell high spot of the Texans

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Speaker 4: with Stroud coming off with a concussion. And then there's

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Speaker 4: an additionally, the the red zone goal line off difference

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Speaker 4: between these offenses, because the Texans don't know how to

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Speaker 4: score near the end zone and the Colts have Jonathan

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Speaker 4: Taylor or can sneak it with Daniel Jones, and then

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Speaker 4: they have the coach, who is much more aggressive on

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Speaker 4: fourth downs, makes much more positive ev decisions when it

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Speaker 4: comes to like going for it with stikeen at home.

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Speaker 4: I think this is a good spot to get the

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Speaker 4: Colts after that loss. Again, they should have won, and

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Speaker 4: I hope Stiken had the opportunity, had the opportunity to

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Speaker 4: send the Chiefs home, to send the Chiefs home for

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Speaker 4: the season and eliminate them for the playoffs. I mean

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Speaker 4: not mathematically, but they would have been in a tough spot.

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Speaker 4: It was fourth and five around the forty five, correct

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Speaker 4: me if I'm wrong, and they punted up three. What

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Speaker 4: do you think was gonna happen there? He gave it

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Speaker 4: to Mahomes, He drove the field. You're lucky that they

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Speaker 4: didn't score a touchdown. But all year the Colts have

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Speaker 4: been super aggressive and they didn't there on the road

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Speaker 4: against Mahomes, and they punted in a costs them. So

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Speaker 4: I hope stike And learned. His lesson is usually good

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Speaker 4: in that aspect. But yeah, I'm take I'm going to

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Speaker 4: take the Colts here at home against the Texans.

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Speaker 2: I could not agree with you more.

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Speaker 1: The Colts at home thirty four points per game, number

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Speaker 1: one in the NFL four and one against the spread

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Speaker 1: on their home turf. This is one of my favorite

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Speaker 1: bits of the week. There are fours out there to

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Speaker 1: be had as well. Kendra, what about you? Where are

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Speaker 1: you planting your flag?

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Speaker 5: I am going to go with the Thanksgiving theme. I

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Speaker 5: know that we're probably not going to have a ton

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Speaker 5: of Thanksgiving bets, so I'm going to go with the

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Speaker 5: under and the Chiefs Cowboys game. We got an extra

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Speaker 5: point inline movement this morning. It went from fifty one

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Speaker 5: and a half to fifty two and a half. I'm

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Speaker 5: going to go with the fifty two and a half

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Speaker 5: seems to be pretty consistent across the board. I just

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Speaker 5: think that the Cowboys, do with the additions that they

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Speaker 5: made at the trade deadline, has gotten better.

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Speaker 3: The Chiefs have a good defense.

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Speaker 5: Rashie Rice and Isaiah Pacheco are both questionable. Even if

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Speaker 5: they play, I think that that's probably gonna be a little.

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Speaker 3: Bit of a hindrance to their offense.

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Speaker 5: And I just don't see the Cowboys as good of

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Speaker 5: a season as Dak's been having putting up a ton

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Speaker 5: of points against the Chiefs. The Chiefs haven't scored a

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Speaker 5: ton of points consistently this season. I like the under

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Speaker 5: at fifty two and a half. If I'm not mistaken,

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Speaker 5: it is the highest total this week. Like the under

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Speaker 5: in this game, especially because I do think that the

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Speaker 5: Cowboys defense has gotten significantly better.

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Speaker 1: An under for the most watched game potentially of a

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Speaker 1: disgusting isn't while families are gathering, You're over here and

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Speaker 1: folks are sweating out their.

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Speaker 2: Turn them kids, You're taking the under.

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Speaker 1: That's the most joyless under have you ever met a season.

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Speaker 2: I don't disagree with you, just just stating.

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Speaker 3: The raining on the people's parade per usual.

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Speaker 2: That is joyless.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna go with the Cincinnati Bengals plus seven also

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Speaker 1: on Thanksgiving. I'm super sketched out by the fact that

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Speaker 1: the Ravens were outgained by the Jets last week. Lamar

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Speaker 1: still is not Lamar. So while power rating numbers reflect

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Speaker 1: that when this team is healthy, they're a great team,

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Speaker 1: I think we have to start accounting for the fact

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Speaker 1: that Lamar is less than his usual self. He just

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Speaker 1: popped up on the injury report again with a toe injury.

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Speaker 1: This his third different injury in the last three weeks.

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Speaker 1: I don't know if the Ravens are just playing games

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Speaker 1: with the injury report, but the Lamar that we're seeing

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Speaker 1: on the field would indicate that he's not the same guy.

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Speaker 1: One point six yards per carry, two point five over

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Speaker 1: his last two games. It just changes the dynamics of

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Speaker 1: this Ravens offense. Joe Burrow back for Cincinnati. I usually

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Speaker 1: like fading returning players, but I've been waiting for this one.

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Speaker 1: Thought I was gonna get it last week. They still

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Speaker 1: got the cover against New England. I'll take the Bengals

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Speaker 1: on Thanksgiving plus the seven Stucky. Any pushback on my

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Speaker 1: playing at the flag or Kendra's joyless heartless under.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, the problem with I mean that the Cowboys defense

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Speaker 4: is improved with Quinn Williams and and there are other additions,

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Speaker 4: but especially against the run. You've seen that over the

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Speaker 4: past two weeks. Even if you know you're playing the

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Speaker 4: Raiders and Eagles, who struggle to run the ball anyway,

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Speaker 4: their defense is going to be better. They're getting more

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Speaker 4: pressure too. I concerned is on the back end. They

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Speaker 4: play a lot of zone that works against the Eagles

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Speaker 4: doesn't necessarily work against Mahomes, So Mahomes could have a

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Speaker 4: big day. They're gonna have to get pressure. There are

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Speaker 4: injuries that there are offensive line injuries for both teams,

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Speaker 4: like Tray Smith's out for the Chiefs. They're all Pro guard.

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Speaker 4: That's worth noting that. I think Gitan's going to be

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Speaker 4: out for the Cowboys. They're left tackle. I believe everyone

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Speaker 4: else is going to play. But like Pickens was on,

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Speaker 4: Pickens and Turpin were on the injury report yesterday, I

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Speaker 4: assume they'll be fine. Is in addition to Worthy and Rice,

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Speaker 4: but that's definitely worth noting. I do think that the

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Speaker 4: Cowboys can put up points on anyone at home, but yeah,

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Speaker 4: maybe it's it's a touch high. I don't I don't

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Speaker 4: hate it, but definitely no joy on Thanksgiving watching that

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Speaker 4: game yet. I don't even know how many people are

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Speaker 4: gonna end up watching it. The Bengals Ravens game, Uh,

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Speaker 4: I just I just think it's a pure stay away,

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Speaker 4: Like there's number one. The Ravens might be able to

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Speaker 4: just lie, just line up and hand it off to

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Speaker 4: Henry and Mitchell all game and put up thirty five

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Speaker 4: on the Bengals defense. You got I mean last week

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Speaker 4: the Bengals got the cover, but I meant the Patriots

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Speaker 4: lost all their offensive line and they barely got there.

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Speaker 4: And then there's no t Higgins, which is big, Like

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Speaker 4: Chase and Higgins together is fireworks, and you can't you

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Speaker 4: can't just focus on Chase. A little different story this

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Speaker 4: week without Higgins and Chase is lit up, lit up

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Speaker 4: the Ravens in the past. And then historically when these

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Speaker 4: quarterbacks come back at their extended rest, especially Borrow, there

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Speaker 4: is a lot of rust. So easy, one hundred percent healthy.

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Speaker 4: This seems like a coming back very quick. I assume

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Speaker 4: there's probably gonna be some rust early, and we've seen

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Speaker 4: this with Burrow consistently in like Week one of the

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Speaker 4: regular season when he misses time in the preseason. And

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Speaker 4: then yeah, Lamar is not fully healthy yet now dealing

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Speaker 4: with a toe thing. So the red zone offense is

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Speaker 4: not the same that they can't finish drives. So yeah,

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Speaker 4: that's just a tough game with uncertainty surrounding both quarterbacks.

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Speaker 4: So I don't have a strong feel there either way.

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Speaker 1: To be honest, still have our two Kings and a

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Speaker 1: Queen parlay coming up on this Thanksgiving super episode, which

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Speaker 1: means more picks, more analysis, But right now, a word

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Speaker 1: from the Queen of the pod chatting about our royal

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Speaker 1: friends at DraftKings.

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Speaker 2: Evan.

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Speaker 1: No betting week can start without the primer and you've

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Speaker 1: got the feast over at Actionnetwork dot com. What do

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Speaker 1: we need to know before we nominate our plays for

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Speaker 1: Week thirteen? In fact, before we even get to that,

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Speaker 1: a more important question, Evan overrated underrated Thanksgiving side dish.

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Speaker 6: Most overrated dish is definitely the mashed potatoes. I tried

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Speaker 6: to compare them to like the bills, like I feel

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Speaker 6: like they come to the table every year and I

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Speaker 6: just continue to throw them back.

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Speaker 1: So yes, evn is it fair to call mashed potato?

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Speaker 1: Are people overrating mashed potatoes? I agree with all of

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Speaker 1: the analysis on the podcast so.

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Speaker 6: Far, but I think it's more or less like you

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Speaker 6: got to spread. You walk up to the table, what

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Speaker 6: are you choosing? And that's the one I'm not choosing

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Speaker 6: the most, and it's probably one of the more popular ones.

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Speaker 6: So a public side, then I'm walking to the table

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Speaker 6: and just saying.

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Speaker 1: No to although public sides have done quite well. We'll

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Speaker 1: detail that in a second. Where do you guys land on?

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Speaker 1: Should we be eating stuffing throughout the course of the year. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: we save it for Thanksgiving. It's so good and the

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Speaker 1: knock against it is, hey, if it was actually that good,

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Speaker 1: we'd be eating it year round, like pretty much everything

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Speaker 1: else that's on the plate.

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Speaker 5: But one of my grandpa be a box for dinner

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Speaker 5: once a week, literally once a week, there's always one

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Speaker 5: in her pantry.

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Speaker 3: Shout out my friend Nicole.

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Speaker 5: She literally smashes Thanksgiving food year round and I love

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Speaker 5: her for it, her sodium levels have to be off

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Speaker 5: the charts, but good for her.

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Speaker 2: Evan, how many times a year do you have stuffing?

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Speaker 6: Stuffing? Oh god? Now that's also kind of overrated unless

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Speaker 6: you do it really well, because in the end it's

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Speaker 6: just kind of sliced up bread with vegetables. But it

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Speaker 6: can be done very well. So it's a it could

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Speaker 6: be good, it's just a.

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Speaker 1: So I was combing through the primer and this one

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Speaker 1: really stood out to me. The Lions and the Cowboys

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Speaker 1: haven't gone a combined two and oh ats on Thanksgiving

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Speaker 1: since two thousand and one. They haven't both gone two

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Speaker 1: and oh straight up and against the spread on Thanksgiving

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Speaker 1: since nineteen ninety four. So I could have been waking

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Speaker 1: up on Thanksgiving morning for the last thirty one years

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Speaker 1: just rolling out of bed slamming a parlay together. Cowboys Lions.

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Speaker 1: Those are the Thanksgiving teams. I'll have them both to win.

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Speaker 1: I'd be oh and thirty one if there was ever

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Speaker 1: a case against parlays.

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Speaker 2: That's it right now.

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Speaker 6: Yeah, that's probably my favorite note that, honestly, and I

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Speaker 6: think I found that like a year or two ago,

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Speaker 6: and obviously it's worked out recently. But ridiculous that the

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Speaker 6: two teams that we continue to force down everyone's throats

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Speaker 6: have never been able to figure it out both on

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Speaker 6: the same year crushing parlays for over three decades.

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Speaker 5: That is an insane statistic. I never would have guessed,

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Speaker 5: like ever in a million years.

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Speaker 3: That's a great get.

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Speaker 6: Also, the Lions never win, so it really helped a

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Speaker 6: lot of those years when the Cowboys showed up. So

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Speaker 6: that's fair.

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Speaker 3: Do you guys go on your cousin walks? Are we

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Speaker 3: pro cousin walk in this house?

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Speaker 5: Oh?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, you got to gotta get this.

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Speaker 3: I had a cousin walk.

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Speaker 5: I'm in New York City this year, so I'm gonna

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Speaker 5: go to Chinatown for a Thanksgiving and I could have

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Speaker 5: had like a Thanksgiving dinner situation, but I think I'm

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Speaker 5: gonna go to hot pot and I'm gonna go on

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Speaker 5: a cousin walk with no cousins.

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Speaker 1: Evan, what what else did you pluck out that you

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Speaker 1: feel that people need to know? Saw some overs time

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Speaker 1: stuff in there the public sides. It's it's just it's

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Speaker 1: such a heavy trend's day in the NFL.

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Speaker 6: Yeah, I mean the interesting thing I think more than

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Speaker 6: anything is the fact that the public really does well

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Speaker 6: on Thanksgiving historically favorites with sixty percent of tickets twenty

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Speaker 6: four and ten against the spread. The thing that becomes

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Speaker 6: interesting though, is this year, and it's been talked about

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Speaker 6: in a lot of different areas, but sixty percent of

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Speaker 6: tickets this year is forty two and seventy three against

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Speaker 6: the spread for US thirty six point five percent. So

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Speaker 6: take it for what you will. That's the data, but

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Speaker 6: this year been terrible. Historically Thanksgiving favorites just ten to

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Speaker 6: roll since two thousand and four, forty and twenty against

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Speaker 6: the spread. And the one that's crazy is obviously just

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Speaker 6: the Chiefs in this scenario, but road favorites twenty five

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Speaker 6: and one straight up since four twenty and six against

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Speaker 6: the number. Pretty good there. The other thing on Thanksgiving,

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Speaker 6: i'll give you too many there, it's yeah, pretty good,

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Speaker 6: not Bad'll be the.

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Speaker 1: Chiefs, by the way, the only one that's set that

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Speaker 1: category correct.

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Speaker 6: And then you've got the Packers, so sitting as underdog

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Speaker 6: as there were three not down to two and a half.

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Speaker 6: Matt Lafleur twenty and eighteen straight up up as an

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Speaker 6: underdog as a head coach, only coach that many games

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Speaker 6: above five hundred, so he's really good in that role.

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Speaker 6: I mean, there's a bunch of other things here, Cincinnati,

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Speaker 6: So if you want to take the Bengals, you'll like

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Speaker 6: the fact that Burrow as an underdog of three points

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Speaker 6: or more seventeen and three against the spread, which will

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Speaker 6: be a fun one. That line just not budging enough

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Speaker 6: to get down to that number, especially with the news.

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Speaker 6: And we'll talk about luck sides for a second because

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Speaker 6: we've got other games this weekend. Both a grade luck

401
00:20:30,920 --> 00:20:33,760
Speaker 6: sides from week thirteen through the Super Bowl, not counting

402
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Speaker 6: the last week or the regular season sixty eight percent.

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Speaker 6: They're like in Washington and obviously this is Nick giff

404
00:20:39,560 --> 00:20:42,240
Speaker 6: and Washington six and a half Giants and seven and

405
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Speaker 6: a half crazy thing there. Honestly about four thousand betting

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Speaker 6: side since twenty eighteen Giants. The Washington side ranks eleventh

407
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Speaker 6: all time in luck score while the Giants is seventeen.

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Speaker 6: So two real big luck scorers there, which intriguing for

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Speaker 6: the weekend.

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Speaker 1: And back to the favorites on Thanksgiving. Yeah, SI favorites

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Speaker 1: with sixty plus percent of the tickets twenty four and

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Speaker 1: ten ats. The problem is Evan that applies to no one,

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Speaker 1: so's we can't even use.

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Speaker 6: That public sides, I mean public sides thirty six and

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Speaker 6: twenty so I mean that covers everything right and right now.

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Speaker 6: The only tune that are really even seeing some action

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Speaker 6: would be the Cowboys. We got sixty nine percent of

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Speaker 6: tickets on them right now, case ce a thirty one

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Speaker 6: percent is kind of intriguing, see where that goes over

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Speaker 6: the weekend. The other one would be your Bengals at

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Speaker 6: sixty four percent. So a few things kind of pointing

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Speaker 6: at Cincinnati.

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Speaker 4: It's it's store early though a lot of yeah, yeah,

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Speaker 4: it's Tuesday. A lot of people are gonna wake up

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Speaker 4: on Thursday and then place their bets. I would say,

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Speaker 4: with the road favorites and the favorites Math and then

427
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Speaker 4: the Lines and Cowboys, it might be a detriment to

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Speaker 4: be a in a way to be at home this week,

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Speaker 4: like the's with all the distractions of Thanksgiving, and then

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Speaker 4: when you're on the it's like this is a business

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Speaker 4: trip and there's no distractions. And I don't know, maybe

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Speaker 4: that plays a small part in it because it has

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Speaker 4: been happening for a very long time, but yeah, that's

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Speaker 4: that's amazing stuff on the lines and Cowboys.

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Speaker 6: Yeah, back Friday. I mean there's I mean, there's a.

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Speaker 2: Real recounting that as a Thanksgiving game.

437
00:22:23,119 --> 00:22:25,080
Speaker 6: I mean, it's not in the data, but it's definitely

438
00:22:25,119 --> 00:22:27,320
Speaker 6: it's in the primer because it's it's on a Friday.

439
00:22:27,320 --> 00:22:29,280
Speaker 6: You're gonna throw me an NFL game at three pm

440
00:22:29,280 --> 00:22:31,239
Speaker 6: on a Friday. I'm gonna give you some information on it.

441
00:22:31,240 --> 00:22:32,160
Speaker 6: That's just how it works.

442
00:22:33,240 --> 00:22:33,879
Speaker 2: So what is it?

443
00:22:34,200 --> 00:22:37,479
Speaker 1: What do you have specifically for Eagles Bears other than

444
00:22:37,560 --> 00:22:40,080
Speaker 1: the fact that those are the two luckiest teams, two

445
00:22:40,119 --> 00:22:42,080
Speaker 1: of the luckiest teams in the NFL, so hard to

446
00:22:42,080 --> 00:22:43,960
Speaker 1: get an edge there as far as the luck rankings go.

447
00:22:44,840 --> 00:22:47,000
Speaker 6: I mean, just a great game overall. I mean, the

448
00:22:47,080 --> 00:22:49,600
Speaker 6: note you'll know is that home in Philly Hurts is

449
00:22:49,800 --> 00:22:53,480
Speaker 6: thirty and four straight up as a favorite. The craziest

450
00:22:53,520 --> 00:22:56,320
Speaker 6: thing about that thirty and four straight up number, he's

451
00:22:56,359 --> 00:22:59,280
Speaker 6: actually profited a better seven hundred and eighteen bucks one

452
00:22:59,359 --> 00:23:03,280
Speaker 6: hundred dollars bet twenty. You'd say to yourself, like seven

453
00:23:03,359 --> 00:23:05,520
Speaker 6: hundred bucks one hundred dollars bets nothing, but as a

454
00:23:05,520 --> 00:23:08,840
Speaker 6: home favorite, it's really incredible to even be that high.

455
00:23:08,920 --> 00:23:11,480
Speaker 6: We've had two hundred and thirty three quarterbacks and so

456
00:23:11,640 --> 00:23:13,840
Speaker 6: three have made a start as a home favorite. Just

457
00:23:13,960 --> 00:23:17,720
Speaker 6: five have profited five hundred dollars or more so, sitting

458
00:23:17,760 --> 00:23:21,280
Speaker 6: at seven eighteen, pretty wild. It's Tom Brady, Joe Flacco,

459
00:23:21,480 --> 00:23:24,840
Speaker 6: Peyton Manning, Jalen Hurts, Patrick Mahomes. Not a terrible list.

460
00:23:25,320 --> 00:23:26,240
Speaker 2: Fantastic stuff.

461
00:23:26,240 --> 00:23:28,960
Speaker 1: Thanks so much, Evan stucky have you gotten or I

462
00:23:29,000 --> 00:23:30,800
Speaker 1: know that you haven't placed a bet yet. But in

463
00:23:30,880 --> 00:23:33,560
Speaker 1: terms of the before we move off of Thanksgiving altogether,

464
00:23:34,480 --> 00:23:39,080
Speaker 1: the other games, the early ones Chiefs, Cowboys, Lions, Packers.

465
00:23:39,160 --> 00:23:41,920
Speaker 1: Is there a side that you find yourself tilting towards

466
00:23:41,920 --> 00:23:43,200
Speaker 1: for either one of those games?

467
00:23:43,560 --> 00:23:46,080
Speaker 4: I mean at three and a half, well you can

468
00:23:46,080 --> 00:23:49,240
Speaker 4: get at DraftKings. I would lean Cowboys, but afraid of

469
00:23:49,280 --> 00:23:52,480
Speaker 4: their their zone, how much zone they play on the

470
00:23:52,520 --> 00:23:57,120
Speaker 4: back end against Mahomes. It's a bit concerning, but would

471
00:23:57,200 --> 00:23:58,760
Speaker 4: lean that way, Like I think that that line should

472
00:23:58,760 --> 00:24:00,639
Speaker 4: probably be three, which is where I get closed? Is

473
00:24:00,680 --> 00:24:04,200
Speaker 4: that and although the Chiefs took a ton of money

474
00:24:04,200 --> 00:24:06,840
Speaker 4: at game day last week, like a ton, but it

475
00:24:06,920 --> 00:24:10,680
Speaker 4: was ended up being wrong, And then I like that

476
00:24:11,040 --> 00:24:13,440
Speaker 4: I'm very upset I missed the Packers at plus three.

477
00:24:13,880 --> 00:24:16,000
Speaker 4: I think right now the Packers are the better team

478
00:24:16,400 --> 00:24:18,480
Speaker 4: than the Lions, and that's I think the market is

479
00:24:19,160 --> 00:24:20,639
Speaker 4: coming down on that for a reason.

480
00:24:20,960 --> 00:24:24,680
Speaker 5: The Lions injury report is disgusting.

481
00:24:24,840 --> 00:24:26,119
Speaker 2: Yeah, they've had a rough go of that.

482
00:24:26,320 --> 00:24:27,960
Speaker 3: It is a few weeks heinous.

483
00:24:28,040 --> 00:24:29,840
Speaker 5: I was doing a bunch of research this morning, and

484
00:24:30,119 --> 00:24:32,399
Speaker 5: I don't think there's more people on their injury report

485
00:24:32,400 --> 00:24:33,400
Speaker 5: than off of it, honestly.

486
00:24:33,880 --> 00:24:34,080
Speaker 2: Yeah.

487
00:24:34,119 --> 00:24:35,600
Speaker 4: I mean the Packers are in rough shape there too.

488
00:24:35,600 --> 00:24:38,800
Speaker 4: They have some secondary injuries. Kwai Walker, Golden Jacob's, you

489
00:24:38,800 --> 00:24:41,360
Speaker 4: know Jenkins still on I our craft that both these

490
00:24:41,359 --> 00:24:44,760
Speaker 4: teams have been you know, Jayden Reid. Both these teams

491
00:24:44,760 --> 00:24:48,359
Speaker 4: have been very beat up. But the Lion's offense has

492
00:24:48,400 --> 00:24:51,640
Speaker 4: been We had that one flash with Dan Campbell against

493
00:24:51,680 --> 00:24:54,040
Speaker 4: the Commanders and we were like, oh, it's all fixed.

494
00:24:54,040 --> 00:24:56,880
Speaker 4: But that was mainly about the Commander's defense that day,

495
00:24:56,920 --> 00:24:59,399
Speaker 4: not wanting to be out there. The Lion's offense for

496
00:24:59,440 --> 00:25:03,480
Speaker 4: two months is been sub average, are average at best.

497
00:25:03,680 --> 00:25:06,359
Speaker 4: The offensive line is not the same. It's much worse

498
00:25:06,400 --> 00:25:09,919
Speaker 4: in the interior now there's no Laporta. Gibbs is like

499
00:25:10,040 --> 00:25:13,920
Speaker 4: saving them on a That's that's basically the offense right now,

500
00:25:14,640 --> 00:25:18,160
Speaker 4: but the Laporta loss is huge if there's no more

501
00:25:18,160 --> 00:25:20,240
Speaker 4: Ben Johnson. So the run game, it just doesn't that.

502
00:25:20,520 --> 00:25:24,520
Speaker 4: The creativity isn't there, the pressure is there, and then

503
00:25:24,520 --> 00:25:26,480
Speaker 4: the defense. Last week we just watched Jameis Winston go

504
00:25:26,520 --> 00:25:27,680
Speaker 4: up and down the field. They should have beat the

505
00:25:27,680 --> 00:25:29,840
Speaker 4: Lions in Detroit. These are things that didn't used to

506
00:25:29,880 --> 00:25:33,720
Speaker 4: happen to Detroit when they don't cover against the spread.

507
00:25:33,800 --> 00:25:36,360
Speaker 4: And by the way, they lost to McCarthy at home.

508
00:25:36,600 --> 00:25:36,840
Speaker 2: J J.

509
00:25:37,080 --> 00:25:39,440
Speaker 4: McCarthy beat the Lions in Detroit.

510
00:25:40,320 --> 00:25:42,720
Speaker 3: Jameis Winston for he does that look right now?

511
00:25:45,080 --> 00:25:47,520
Speaker 4: Should have won in Detroit. So yeah, we'll love a

512
00:25:47,560 --> 00:25:52,000
Speaker 4: three there. But do think if it doesn't pop again,

513
00:25:52,040 --> 00:25:53,920
Speaker 4: which I don't think it will, it might, but I

514
00:25:53,960 --> 00:25:56,560
Speaker 4: don't know. Maybe a bunch of the Lions could be

515
00:25:56,560 --> 00:26:00,359
Speaker 4: a public side on Thursday. I don't really know, but

516
00:26:00,400 --> 00:26:01,640
Speaker 4: the Packers are a good teaser.

517
00:26:01,440 --> 00:26:05,160
Speaker 1: Piece in my opinion, first game this season, the Green

518
00:26:05,160 --> 00:26:08,439
Speaker 1: Bay Packers are listed as an underdog and Matt Laflor

519
00:26:08,480 --> 00:26:11,440
Speaker 1: has performed really well as a coach in those situations.

520
00:26:11,880 --> 00:26:14,919
Speaker 1: I did put Lions minus three in the app earlier

521
00:26:15,000 --> 00:26:18,119
Speaker 1: this week. I don't love it. I don't love it,

522
00:26:18,200 --> 00:26:21,800
Speaker 1: I honestly, other than the fact that it's it's a

523
00:26:21,840 --> 00:26:25,760
Speaker 1: home team, a home favorite on Thanksgiving, and the Lions

524
00:26:26,760 --> 00:26:29,840
Speaker 1: off of a non cover have been you know them,

525
00:26:29,880 --> 00:26:33,119
Speaker 1: off the loss off of a non cover, They've been machines.

526
00:26:33,600 --> 00:26:36,080
Speaker 1: They also have revenge on their minds. That's part of

527
00:26:36,119 --> 00:26:38,840
Speaker 1: this too. They got blasted by this Packers team the

528
00:26:38,920 --> 00:26:42,000
Speaker 1: first time they met. But I do not love the bets.

529
00:26:42,000 --> 00:26:44,280
Speaker 1: Sometimes we place bets that we regret. I'm just gonna

530
00:26:44,280 --> 00:26:45,000
Speaker 1: have to sit with it.

531
00:26:45,080 --> 00:26:47,160
Speaker 3: Regret I regret.

532
00:26:46,880 --> 00:26:49,080
Speaker 2: Before even watching it play out. I'm not in love

533
00:26:49,160 --> 00:26:49,680
Speaker 2: with that one.

534
00:26:49,840 --> 00:26:52,800
Speaker 5: I'm all over the Eagles for what it's worth if

535
00:26:52,840 --> 00:26:54,919
Speaker 5: anybody cares. I think it's a great spot for them.

536
00:26:54,960 --> 00:26:56,680
Speaker 5: I think that the Bears are fake as how, they've

537
00:26:57,040 --> 00:26:58,959
Speaker 5: been getting super lucky. I know I talked a lot

538
00:26:59,000 --> 00:27:01,840
Speaker 5: of shit about the Eagles on Sunday, but I think

539
00:27:01,840 --> 00:27:03,840
Speaker 5: it's a good bounce back spot for them. They're the

540
00:27:03,840 --> 00:27:07,120
Speaker 5: better team. If you're gonna sit here and talk about luck,

541
00:27:07,200 --> 00:27:09,000
Speaker 5: I'm gonna go at the better roster. I'm gonna go

542
00:27:09,080 --> 00:27:11,280
Speaker 5: with the coach who's proven himself, and I think that

543
00:27:11,280 --> 00:27:13,359
Speaker 5: that's all I need to know for this game like that.

544
00:27:13,440 --> 00:27:15,000
Speaker 5: You can talk about luck all you want, but I

545
00:27:15,000 --> 00:27:16,480
Speaker 5: don't think that the Bears are a good team. I

546
00:27:16,480 --> 00:27:18,080
Speaker 5: think that they're a lucky team.

547
00:27:18,960 --> 00:27:21,240
Speaker 2: I think both are to a degree.

548
00:27:21,560 --> 00:27:23,960
Speaker 1: But the Eagles at least have the track record of

549
00:27:24,000 --> 00:27:26,800
Speaker 1: actually being a Super Bowl winner, and we have not

550
00:27:26,880 --> 00:27:31,160
Speaker 1: seen that from Chicago, Chicago spot. They are the horseshoe

551
00:27:31,280 --> 00:27:34,280
Speaker 1: in the ass team of the year, and it's like

552
00:27:34,359 --> 00:27:35,320
Speaker 1: everything and it's not.

553
00:27:35,240 --> 00:27:37,439
Speaker 5: Going in like where you like put one in at

554
00:27:37,480 --> 00:27:39,479
Speaker 5: at a time, like both ends are going up your

555
00:27:39,520 --> 00:27:40,480
Speaker 5: ass at the same time.

556
00:27:41,119 --> 00:27:43,160
Speaker 4: You know, if we're talking about I don't push back

557
00:27:43,200 --> 00:27:44,879
Speaker 4: on that. I don't. I don't hate the Eagles this

558
00:27:44,920 --> 00:27:48,200
Speaker 4: week because I just hate needing that team to win

559
00:27:48,200 --> 00:27:48,760
Speaker 4: by margin.

560
00:27:49,359 --> 00:27:51,439
Speaker 5: I mean, I know that's the part that I hate too,

561
00:27:51,480 --> 00:27:51,960
Speaker 5: because I.

562
00:27:51,880 --> 00:27:54,320
Speaker 4: Don't know every week without scoring, Like.

563
00:27:54,240 --> 00:27:57,879
Speaker 5: I literally said that verbatim on Sunday Show, because I

564
00:27:57,960 --> 00:28:00,320
Speaker 5: said that. We've talked all season long about how it

565
00:28:00,400 --> 00:28:02,680
Speaker 5: went from a quarter where they do nothing to a

566
00:28:02,760 --> 00:28:04,399
Speaker 5: quarter and a half where they do nothing, to a

567
00:28:04,440 --> 00:28:06,920
Speaker 5: half where they do nothing on both sides of the ball.

568
00:28:06,960 --> 00:28:08,920
Speaker 5: I agree that that's the part that scares me. Needing

569
00:28:08,960 --> 00:28:10,919
Speaker 5: a touchdown from them. But I think they have to

570
00:28:10,920 --> 00:28:13,000
Speaker 5: beat up on the Bears after the embarrassment that they

571
00:28:13,040 --> 00:28:13,719
Speaker 5: had this weekend.

572
00:28:14,640 --> 00:28:16,400
Speaker 1: I think the Eagles could be a good teaser piece.

573
00:28:16,480 --> 00:28:19,760
Speaker 1: Take them down to one, and you don't them to

574
00:28:19,800 --> 00:28:20,439
Speaker 1: cover seven.

575
00:28:21,280 --> 00:28:25,520
Speaker 4: Eagles and Packers decent teaser. Yeah, that that would be

576
00:28:25,600 --> 00:28:28,800
Speaker 4: my only concern because I mean, this Eagles offen. They

577
00:28:29,040 --> 00:28:31,159
Speaker 4: you would think you would hope that they should be

578
00:28:31,200 --> 00:28:35,159
Speaker 4: able to run the ball here, because I mean, this

579
00:28:35,200 --> 00:28:37,040
Speaker 4: is a team they have what eight wins, They have

580
00:28:37,080 --> 00:28:42,240
Speaker 4: one win by margin, one win all year by more

581
00:28:42,920 --> 00:28:47,680
Speaker 4: than seven points, and that came against the Giants, who

582
00:28:47,680 --> 00:28:52,360
Speaker 4: have one of the worst run defenses in the NFL. So, yeah,

583
00:28:52,720 --> 00:28:55,400
Speaker 4: is Lane Johnson ago? I mean he matters a ton.

584
00:28:55,480 --> 00:28:58,200
Speaker 3: I don't think we're gonna know. I don't know yet.

585
00:28:58,800 --> 00:29:01,960
Speaker 4: So, but the offensive line isn't as good, the play

586
00:29:02,000 --> 00:29:04,920
Speaker 4: calling isn't as good. I mean there's the Dolphins line

587
00:29:04,920 --> 00:29:07,080
Speaker 4: has been all hurt too, Like if Johnson's been hurt,

588
00:29:07,120 --> 00:29:09,120
Speaker 4: Stein's been hurt, Dickerson has been playing as well. They

589
00:29:09,160 --> 00:29:13,640
Speaker 4: missed Beckton in the run game. So Barkley's had a

590
00:29:13,760 --> 00:29:14,480
Speaker 4: much worse year.

591
00:29:14,520 --> 00:29:16,640
Speaker 3: And it's the Madden curse.

592
00:29:17,080 --> 00:29:23,480
Speaker 4: But it's at home. These aren't two lucky teams. But yeah,

593
00:29:23,520 --> 00:29:25,959
Speaker 4: that's that's My only concern is that the Eagles, like

594
00:29:27,000 --> 00:29:28,959
Speaker 4: it's very difficult for them to go up by fourteen

595
00:29:29,000 --> 00:29:32,400
Speaker 4: on anybody, or or if they do, they get it

596
00:29:32,440 --> 00:29:34,080
Speaker 4: all back because they don't score for while. We saw

597
00:29:34,080 --> 00:29:38,600
Speaker 4: that with against the Cowboys, we saw it against the Broncos.

598
00:29:39,840 --> 00:29:42,480
Speaker 4: So it's but this could be a matchup. And again,

599
00:29:42,520 --> 00:29:45,800
Speaker 4: the Bears defense has been living off of turnovers. That's

600
00:29:45,840 --> 00:29:47,560
Speaker 4: one of the reasons they've been the luckiest team, one

601
00:29:47,600 --> 00:29:49,720
Speaker 4: of the luckiest teams. We'll see if they get some

602
00:29:49,800 --> 00:29:52,360
Speaker 4: guys back, you know, Jalen Johnson, Kyler Gordon, some of

603
00:29:52,360 --> 00:29:54,440
Speaker 4: their linebackers, Tyree Steens, and they have a lot of

604
00:29:54,840 --> 00:29:58,400
Speaker 4: questionable pieces on that defense, but they've been living off

605
00:29:58,440 --> 00:30:03,800
Speaker 4: turnovers generally speaking, to turn it over a fewer at

606
00:30:03,840 --> 00:30:05,960
Speaker 4: a lower rate than almost any team in the NFL.

607
00:30:07,080 --> 00:30:09,000
Speaker 4: So it might be difficult for the Bears to get

608
00:30:09,040 --> 00:30:12,080
Speaker 4: stops here and or keep up that turnover pace. So

609
00:30:12,600 --> 00:30:13,600
Speaker 4: I don't mind the Eagles.

610
00:30:13,600 --> 00:30:17,280
Speaker 1: Look, Kendra, we are at least with you on the

611
00:30:17,320 --> 00:30:20,960
Speaker 1: fact that we do not recommend on this podcast betting

612
00:30:20,960 --> 00:30:22,400
Speaker 1: on the Chicago Bears this week.

613
00:30:22,720 --> 00:30:24,440
Speaker 3: So that's uh, I'll take it.

614
00:30:24,800 --> 00:30:27,640
Speaker 1: You get our you get our green check mark here

615
00:30:28,320 --> 00:30:29,880
Speaker 1: on the action check mark.

616
00:30:30,200 --> 00:30:30,680
Speaker 2: That's right.

617
00:30:31,120 --> 00:30:34,560
Speaker 1: Nothing more beautiful on Thanksgiving other than the plate that's

618
00:30:34,640 --> 00:30:36,880
Speaker 1: in front of you, than getting a green check mark

619
00:30:36,920 --> 00:30:38,320
Speaker 1: as you make your way through the day.

620
00:30:38,640 --> 00:30:40,720
Speaker 2: Kendra, what prop has you gonna pickle this week?

621
00:30:41,640 --> 00:30:42,920
Speaker 3: Okay, we're in a pickle.

622
00:30:42,960 --> 00:30:45,920
Speaker 4: Now, I'm really in a pickle. Now, all right, look

623
00:30:45,920 --> 00:30:46,840
Speaker 4: we're gonna pickle again.

624
00:30:47,560 --> 00:30:48,000
Speaker 3: Hey.

625
00:30:50,000 --> 00:30:51,920
Speaker 5: I could have gone anywhere with this because it's such

626
00:30:51,960 --> 00:30:54,640
Speaker 5: a fun week of games. But I figured the man

627
00:30:54,680 --> 00:30:56,760
Speaker 5: of the hour, the person that we have to talk about,

628
00:30:56,760 --> 00:30:58,680
Speaker 5: the person that everybody wants to hear about, in the

629
00:30:58,680 --> 00:31:01,480
Speaker 5: person that people probably are going to be gambling on

630
00:31:01,680 --> 00:31:04,480
Speaker 5: in different ways this weekend is going to be Shador Sanders.

631
00:31:05,040 --> 00:31:07,080
Speaker 5: I'm gonna pickle this week because part of me says

632
00:31:07,080 --> 00:31:09,160
Speaker 5: it's time to fade him. But the other part of

633
00:31:09,160 --> 00:31:11,960
Speaker 5: this question, I know that we talked about there's potentially

634
00:31:12,000 --> 00:31:15,160
Speaker 5: some weather for this game this weekend. But his total

635
00:31:15,240 --> 00:31:18,000
Speaker 5: unpassing yards is one hundred and sixty seven and a half.

636
00:31:18,120 --> 00:31:20,240
Speaker 5: I don't hate that because even if he does have

637
00:31:20,240 --> 00:31:22,560
Speaker 5: some turnovers, clearly the confidence is there for him to

638
00:31:22,600 --> 00:31:25,920
Speaker 5: continue to keep throwing the ball. Obviously, the weather is

639
00:31:25,960 --> 00:31:28,320
Speaker 5: going to be a factor. I'm more so, is this

640
00:31:28,400 --> 00:31:30,880
Speaker 5: the perfect spot to fade him? Or are the shador

641
00:31:30,920 --> 00:31:33,360
Speaker 5: truthers right? I thought this would be a good, you know,

642
00:31:33,480 --> 00:31:35,880
Speaker 5: think piece for the podcast, and it's It's really not

643
00:31:35,960 --> 00:31:37,920
Speaker 5: that high of a total. The weather obviously is going

644
00:31:38,000 --> 00:31:39,720
Speaker 5: to play a factor. But this is who everybody wants

645
00:31:39,720 --> 00:31:41,440
Speaker 5: to talk about. This is who everybody wants to watch

646
00:31:41,520 --> 00:31:43,640
Speaker 5: right now. Where are you guys at on the shador

647
00:31:43,720 --> 00:31:46,480
Speaker 5: truthers versus the haters?

648
00:31:46,520 --> 00:31:46,880
Speaker 2: Fucky?

649
00:31:47,160 --> 00:31:49,200
Speaker 4: I mean I wouldn't go over. I think the Browns

650
00:31:49,200 --> 00:31:50,600
Speaker 4: are just going to try to run the ball here

651
00:31:51,040 --> 00:31:53,160
Speaker 4: with all the good the weather's gonna be bad. I

652
00:31:53,160 --> 00:31:55,960
Speaker 4: mean Sanders last week he had his QBR was eight.

653
00:31:56,640 --> 00:31:59,440
Speaker 4: There the Brown's success rate on offense was twenty five percent,

654
00:31:59,440 --> 00:32:03,280
Speaker 4: at the lowest any team. Last week. I mean Sanders

655
00:32:03,280 --> 00:32:05,920
Speaker 4: had a what the safety? They had a eighty yard

656
00:32:06,040 --> 00:32:09,120
Speaker 4: screen pass and then he had one good play on

657
00:32:09,200 --> 00:32:12,720
Speaker 4: a when he rolled out and there was a broken coverage.

658
00:32:12,760 --> 00:32:15,640
Speaker 4: So like I if you take away the eighty yard

659
00:32:15,680 --> 00:32:18,040
Speaker 4: screen pass, he went ten of nineteen for one hundred

660
00:32:18,120 --> 00:32:21,880
Speaker 4: yards with a pick. So, and that was against the

661
00:32:22,440 --> 00:32:27,959
Speaker 4: Raiders defense, which isn't great indoors so and it was positive,

662
00:32:28,000 --> 00:32:31,040
Speaker 4: was a positive game script like they were leading. So

663
00:32:31,080 --> 00:32:32,400
Speaker 4: this sky had the Raiders in that game. And to

664
00:32:32,440 --> 00:32:33,440
Speaker 4: where I was wrong was the.

665
00:32:33,520 --> 00:32:35,680
Speaker 3: Brawn we all had the Raiders. That was our.

666
00:32:37,080 --> 00:32:41,320
Speaker 4: The Browns defensive line just dominated the Raiders. I feared

667
00:32:41,360 --> 00:32:42,800
Speaker 4: that could happen, but I didn't think it would be

668
00:32:42,800 --> 00:32:47,440
Speaker 4: that overwhelming. So but I didn't. I didn't see much

669
00:32:47,440 --> 00:32:50,320
Speaker 4: from Sanders that changed my tune there. Yet I have

670
00:32:50,400 --> 00:32:53,240
Speaker 4: to see more now. The forty nine Ers defense is

671
00:32:53,280 --> 00:32:58,240
Speaker 4: not good and they're so they're just so beat up,

672
00:32:58,920 --> 00:33:01,800
Speaker 4: but they're just they're gonna play a ton of zone.

673
00:33:02,080 --> 00:33:04,560
Speaker 4: They're gonna load the box. And but I just think,

674
00:33:04,560 --> 00:33:08,600
Speaker 4: what the weather here is you're the here's the thing.

675
00:33:08,720 --> 00:33:13,200
Speaker 4: The Browns defense historic under Schwartz has owned owned the

676
00:33:13,280 --> 00:33:16,720
Speaker 4: Shanahan Tree. The Browns defense also at home is even

677
00:33:17,240 --> 00:33:21,200
Speaker 4: another level good. And then you throw in all this weather,

678
00:33:21,240 --> 00:33:25,800
Speaker 4: the wind, the wind gusts. The cold party historically in

679
00:33:25,800 --> 00:33:30,760
Speaker 4: in wet, bad conditions has fared very poorly, including last

680
00:33:30,840 --> 00:33:34,080
Speaker 4: year in not the weather's not even gonna be as bad.

681
00:33:34,240 --> 00:33:35,960
Speaker 4: It's gonna be worse than it was last year. Pretty

682
00:33:35,960 --> 00:33:38,560
Speaker 4: lost outright as I think an eight point favorite in Cleveland,

683
00:33:38,800 --> 00:33:42,520
Speaker 4: he had an awful day. Doesn't have big hands, and

684
00:33:42,600 --> 00:33:46,239
Speaker 4: he struggled throughout his whole career whenever there's any kind

685
00:33:46,280 --> 00:33:50,640
Speaker 4: of inclement weather or wind. So I think the forty

686
00:33:50,720 --> 00:33:52,320
Speaker 4: nine ers are gonna go super conservative.

687
00:33:52,600 --> 00:33:54,360
Speaker 3: Party looked like shit yesterday.

688
00:33:54,520 --> 00:33:58,520
Speaker 4: Oh my god, the Browns are gonna So I don't

689
00:33:58,560 --> 00:34:01,400
Speaker 4: I don't know the way. I think if the Browns

690
00:34:01,400 --> 00:34:03,600
Speaker 4: get behind, way behind, then you're gonna have a chance.

691
00:34:03,640 --> 00:34:08,720
Speaker 4: But this might just be like a low scoring shit fest,

692
00:34:08,800 --> 00:34:10,920
Speaker 4: and then it's gonna be really hard for any my think.

693
00:34:11,200 --> 00:34:13,279
Speaker 5: Yeah, I just I'm in the boat that maybe they're

694
00:34:13,320 --> 00:34:15,839
Speaker 5: gonna be playing from behind and they're gonna let him

695
00:34:15,880 --> 00:34:18,240
Speaker 5: throw it, Like you're never gonna mess up this kid's confidence.

696
00:34:18,239 --> 00:34:20,520
Speaker 5: And I don't think it matters if he throws seven interceptions.

697
00:34:20,560 --> 00:34:22,680
Speaker 5: He's gonna he's gonna keep trying to throw the ball

698
00:34:22,680 --> 00:34:24,240
Speaker 5: and they're gonna let him if they're playing from behind,

699
00:34:24,360 --> 00:34:26,160
Speaker 5: you know. So that's kind of where I was at

700
00:34:26,200 --> 00:34:28,520
Speaker 5: with it, having put it in just the pickle wanted

701
00:34:28,560 --> 00:34:30,839
Speaker 5: to throw something popular out there. You're not gonna hurt

702
00:34:30,840 --> 00:34:32,640
Speaker 5: my feelings. Just thought it was worth the discussion.

703
00:34:33,040 --> 00:34:38,160
Speaker 1: Brown's team total is sixteen and a half for this

704
00:34:38,200 --> 00:34:42,040
Speaker 1: football game. So we are and we're seeing looks like

705
00:34:42,120 --> 00:34:44,560
Speaker 1: the under taking some money as well is thirty nine

706
00:34:44,600 --> 00:34:47,279
Speaker 1: and a half when we went live here, it's thirty eight.

707
00:34:47,160 --> 00:34:47,839
Speaker 2: And a half now.

708
00:34:49,040 --> 00:34:52,799
Speaker 1: I would I was on his under passing prop last week,

709
00:34:53,640 --> 00:34:57,479
Speaker 1: and the thing I fear is this is the same

710
00:34:57,520 --> 00:35:00,239
Speaker 1: thing happening again where he hits two good plays. It's

711
00:35:00,239 --> 00:35:03,200
Speaker 1: such a low number. He doesn't need to do much

712
00:35:03,400 --> 00:35:05,680
Speaker 1: in order to get the over. I'm with you on

713
00:35:05,800 --> 00:35:09,160
Speaker 1: fading him because he had a decent performance in terms

714
00:35:09,200 --> 00:35:11,400
Speaker 1: of getting the win and a couple of nice plays.

715
00:35:11,640 --> 00:35:14,120
Speaker 1: For this is still a rookie fifth round pick making

716
00:35:14,160 --> 00:35:16,640
Speaker 1: his first NFL start. I can grade him on a curve,

717
00:35:17,120 --> 00:35:20,160
Speaker 1: but there. I think there are probably other ways to

718
00:35:20,239 --> 00:35:25,040
Speaker 1: fade shador I would love that. I'm sure the interception

719
00:35:25,200 --> 00:35:28,759
Speaker 1: prop is juiced to the gills. Oh yeah, maybe we

720
00:35:28,840 --> 00:35:29,800
Speaker 1: go under him, please.

721
00:35:29,960 --> 00:35:32,160
Speaker 3: I wonder if there's one out there for over.

722
00:35:32,080 --> 00:35:34,600
Speaker 5: Like, like I wonder if you could get one for

723
00:35:34,719 --> 00:35:38,719
Speaker 5: like over one and a half plus money something like that. Yeah, yeah,

724
00:35:38,719 --> 00:35:41,160
Speaker 5: because if you see him throwing two going.

725
00:35:41,080 --> 00:35:48,520
Speaker 1: Up against your your former boss, Robert Salah, Yeah, no.

726
00:35:48,600 --> 00:35:52,480
Speaker 5: Kidding, Oh Robert, what can give that house on the

727
00:35:52,480 --> 00:35:56,160
Speaker 5: best snacks by the way, the solid house loaded with snacks.

728
00:35:56,280 --> 00:35:59,879
Speaker 5: Oh my God, shout out that family because holy kind

729
00:35:59,920 --> 00:36:02,400
Speaker 5: of snack household.

730
00:36:02,560 --> 00:36:05,200
Speaker 1: I'm sure it'll be a great Thanksgiving for the Sallows.

731
00:36:06,800 --> 00:36:19,280
Speaker 1: Two kings and a queen Parlay. Let's nominate them, Kendra

732
00:36:20,000 --> 00:36:24,040
Speaker 1: and us your multiple nominations for two.

733
00:36:24,840 --> 00:36:28,760
Speaker 3: I have two required to bring two.

734
00:36:29,200 --> 00:36:32,720
Speaker 2: It is Thanksgiving. You can bring usually it's to a piece.

735
00:36:32,760 --> 00:36:35,319
Speaker 2: It's Thanksgiving. So if we want to defeast this out

736
00:36:35,360 --> 00:36:36,520
Speaker 2: we could, but go ahead.

737
00:36:37,000 --> 00:36:40,880
Speaker 3: I'm supposed to have two. I have to leg my crabits.

738
00:36:41,160 --> 00:36:44,360
Speaker 3: I have the Rams minus ten because they're my Kings.

739
00:36:44,360 --> 00:36:45,439
Speaker 3: I will never fade them.

740
00:36:46,000 --> 00:36:48,560
Speaker 5: I expect there to be a team every single week

741
00:36:48,600 --> 00:36:50,600
Speaker 5: that humbles them a little bit, makes them look better.

742
00:36:50,680 --> 00:36:51,760
Speaker 3: Even in their losses.

743
00:36:51,840 --> 00:36:54,600
Speaker 5: I still find ways to continue to love this team.

744
00:36:55,000 --> 00:36:56,840
Speaker 3: They beat the crap out of good They beat.

745
00:36:56,680 --> 00:36:58,400
Speaker 5: The crap out of the box the other night, and

746
00:36:58,440 --> 00:37:02,640
Speaker 5: I know that Baker Mayfield got hurt, so I'm going

747
00:37:02,719 --> 00:37:04,080
Speaker 5: to take that for what it's worth. But I think

748
00:37:04,080 --> 00:37:06,120
Speaker 5: the Rams are rolling. I think that this number is

749
00:37:06,880 --> 00:37:10,120
Speaker 5: probably right about where I wouldn't go any further than

750
00:37:10,120 --> 00:37:11,759
Speaker 5: this if it changes at all. The other thing I

751
00:37:11,760 --> 00:37:13,200
Speaker 5: want to bring up, this is for me, and this

752
00:37:13,320 --> 00:37:16,160
Speaker 5: is for Stucky Seattle minus ten and a half. I

753
00:37:16,239 --> 00:37:19,440
Speaker 5: know that our king is probably going to be starting.

754
00:37:19,440 --> 00:37:21,200
Speaker 5: And if you don't know who Stucky and Ice King is,

755
00:37:21,239 --> 00:37:25,600
Speaker 5: it's Max Brosmer, Max b Brozemer Truther is Max Brosmer Podcast.

756
00:37:26,480 --> 00:37:28,319
Speaker 5: But that being said, I don't really care if it's

757
00:37:28,360 --> 00:37:30,759
Speaker 5: JJ or it's Max. I honestly probably like this better

758
00:37:30,840 --> 00:37:35,560
Speaker 5: if it's JJ, so do without what you will. But

759
00:37:35,600 --> 00:37:37,960
Speaker 5: I like Seattle. They're going to keep rolling there at home.

760
00:37:38,000 --> 00:37:39,439
Speaker 5: I know that they've been a really good road team

761
00:37:39,480 --> 00:37:42,200
Speaker 5: this year. I just the Seattle Seahawks. I know that

762
00:37:42,200 --> 00:37:43,800
Speaker 5: they lost a couple of weeks ago as well, but

763
00:37:43,840 --> 00:37:45,680
Speaker 5: they score a lot of points. Yes, they didn't look

764
00:37:45,680 --> 00:37:48,480
Speaker 5: good against the Tennessee Titans for you know, two quarters,

765
00:37:48,520 --> 00:37:50,160
Speaker 5: But I think that, like I said on Sunday, that

766
00:37:50,239 --> 00:37:52,120
Speaker 5: said more about the Titans and the fight that they have,

767
00:37:52,239 --> 00:37:54,399
Speaker 5: I was right about the over in that game. I

768
00:37:54,480 --> 00:37:57,200
Speaker 5: just think that the Rams score way too many points

769
00:37:57,239 --> 00:37:59,080
Speaker 5: for Minnesota to be able to keep up with the

770
00:37:59,160 --> 00:38:01,160
Speaker 5: lack of offense that they have, and that's why I

771
00:38:01,239 --> 00:38:04,279
Speaker 5: think that this number is what I like it at.

772
00:38:04,640 --> 00:38:07,400
Speaker 1: Well, I am opposed to you on the Rams, bet,

773
00:38:07,480 --> 00:38:10,839
Speaker 1: so I can get down with the little Seahawks love.

774
00:38:11,040 --> 00:38:12,640
Speaker 2: My vote would be on Seattle.

775
00:38:13,000 --> 00:38:15,879
Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean there's a lot of uncertain that Seattle game.

776
00:38:16,000 --> 00:38:19,160
Speaker 4: It is worth noting that. I mean, yeah, McCarthy just

777
00:38:19,160 --> 00:38:22,160
Speaker 4: doesn't have it. I actually like Brosberg. He might breath

778
00:38:22,239 --> 00:38:25,239
Speaker 4: some life into the offense. Well see, I mean it's

779
00:38:25,239 --> 00:38:26,439
Speaker 4: also you know.

780
00:38:26,760 --> 00:38:29,759
Speaker 5: A rookies first, yeah, first against a good defense.

781
00:38:29,760 --> 00:38:32,560
Speaker 4: Although the Seahawks have injuries of linebacker worth noting, but

782
00:38:32,640 --> 00:38:35,160
Speaker 4: the Vikings have injuries on their offensive line that are

783
00:38:35,160 --> 00:38:40,920
Speaker 4: worth monitoring. But as far as the Rams are concerned,

784
00:38:41,440 --> 00:38:45,120
Speaker 4: I mean they're They're up at ten and a half. Now.

785
00:38:46,200 --> 00:38:50,080
Speaker 4: Part of the reason for that is last week, I mean,

786
00:38:50,080 --> 00:38:54,279
Speaker 4: excuse me, last week last night the Panthers, they were

787
00:38:54,280 --> 00:38:58,560
Speaker 4: missing both of their starting linebackers. They had another line

788
00:38:58,600 --> 00:39:01,960
Speaker 4: one of the new starting line get hurt. They had

789
00:39:02,360 --> 00:39:08,920
Speaker 4: two starting corners go down. It was an absolute disaster

790
00:39:09,320 --> 00:39:13,360
Speaker 4: from an injury perspective. So, I mean, you had Wallace

791
00:39:13,400 --> 00:39:16,240
Speaker 4: and Roseman didn't start, Cheryliss went down with an injury.

792
00:39:17,239 --> 00:39:20,880
Speaker 4: Horn and Thornton both got hurt in the secondary early,

793
00:39:21,120 --> 00:39:23,120
Speaker 4: and Horn had a great game and didn't didn't come

794
00:39:23,120 --> 00:39:24,600
Speaker 4: back out in the second half of the concussion was

795
00:39:24,600 --> 00:39:26,359
Speaker 4: throwing up, so I doubt he's back. He's their best

796
00:39:26,360 --> 00:39:31,239
Speaker 4: corner and it's a defense that can't get pressure. They

797
00:39:31,239 --> 00:39:34,120
Speaker 4: also lost their third string right guard who was starting.

798
00:39:34,600 --> 00:39:36,759
Speaker 4: They were down to their fourth string right guard and

799
00:39:36,800 --> 00:39:41,520
Speaker 4: their starting center couldn't go, so they were extremely beat up.

800
00:39:42,080 --> 00:39:43,800
Speaker 4: And now if you think about it going up against

801
00:39:43,800 --> 00:39:46,760
Speaker 4: the Rams offense and both teams are traveling across the country,

802
00:39:47,200 --> 00:39:48,839
Speaker 4: that the Panthers have a short week with a ton

803
00:39:48,880 --> 00:39:52,120
Speaker 4: of injuries, So like that that advantage normally that you

804
00:39:52,120 --> 00:39:56,400
Speaker 4: would have is negated. And historically Sean McVay has traveled

805
00:39:56,400 --> 00:39:59,520
Speaker 4: really well, especially to the East coast. But you think

806
00:39:59,560 --> 00:40:03,120
Speaker 4: about that Panther's defense, which can't get any pressure, incapable

807
00:40:03,160 --> 00:40:09,040
Speaker 4: of generating any pressure. Now with a potentially decimated linebacker

808
00:40:09,080 --> 00:40:13,319
Speaker 4: and cornerback room against that Rams offense, I know that's

809
00:40:13,320 --> 00:40:14,000
Speaker 4: a big number.

810
00:40:14,440 --> 00:40:16,239
Speaker 5: Is this just a long way of saying Evan's gonna

811
00:40:16,239 --> 00:40:16,680
Speaker 5: have to pick?

812
00:40:16,920 --> 00:40:17,160
Speaker 2: Yes?

813
00:40:19,920 --> 00:40:22,359
Speaker 3: Like I was, like, you can just just call upon God.

814
00:40:22,400 --> 00:40:24,799
Speaker 6: At this point, I've been working with Stucky for long

815
00:40:24,880 --> 00:40:26,839
Speaker 6: enough to know I was just getting prepared to have

816
00:40:26,840 --> 00:40:27,560
Speaker 6: to make an answer.

817
00:40:27,719 --> 00:40:31,880
Speaker 5: I literally it's been eleven weeks now, and I'm like,

818
00:40:31,960 --> 00:40:32,799
Speaker 5: I know where this is going.

819
00:40:33,640 --> 00:40:35,960
Speaker 2: S Evan cracking his knuckles over there, all right.

820
00:40:38,200 --> 00:40:40,319
Speaker 6: I mean, there's some fun thing called a little bit

821
00:40:40,320 --> 00:40:42,560
Speaker 6: of a reverse line movement on this one because a

822
00:40:42,560 --> 00:40:45,040
Speaker 6: lot of tickets, a lot of money on Carolina, but

823
00:40:45,120 --> 00:40:46,960
Speaker 6: that line's moved from nine and a half to ten

824
00:40:47,000 --> 00:40:48,560
Speaker 6: to ten and a half, and it's all because of

825
00:40:48,600 --> 00:40:52,640
Speaker 6: what Stucky just spoke about. So I would go with

826
00:40:52,719 --> 00:40:55,279
Speaker 6: the Rams, as crazy as that sounds, because I kind

827
00:40:55,280 --> 00:40:57,680
Speaker 6: of like Minnesota in that game, and I hope Rosmer

828
00:40:57,800 --> 00:41:01,880
Speaker 6: starts that line though with Carol is literally something we

829
00:41:02,000 --> 00:41:04,839
Speaker 6: haven't seen in like fifteen or twenty years. You got

830
00:41:04,840 --> 00:41:07,120
Speaker 6: a team five hundred getting tine and a half at

831
00:41:07,120 --> 00:41:09,719
Speaker 6: home with their real starting quarterback.

832
00:41:09,880 --> 00:41:13,879
Speaker 3: Insane, crazy, yeah old for the season. Bet on them

833
00:41:13,920 --> 00:41:14,399
Speaker 3: would hit.

834
00:41:14,560 --> 00:41:17,800
Speaker 5: So either way, I'm making money here, fucking hey, you

835
00:41:17,920 --> 00:41:19,040
Speaker 5: might and you might.

836
00:41:19,080 --> 00:41:21,120
Speaker 6: End up making money line this weekend. You could just

837
00:41:21,200 --> 00:41:22,080
Speaker 6: take that be.

838
00:41:22,040 --> 00:41:25,160
Speaker 1: Fine, could end up making money in both directions. Too

839
00:41:26,600 --> 00:41:28,759
Speaker 1: five and zero against the spread after a loss, or

840
00:41:28,800 --> 00:41:31,839
Speaker 1: the Carolina Panthers just got dusted in prime time playing

841
00:41:31,880 --> 00:41:34,360
Speaker 1: a team that has probably reached their peak in value.

842
00:41:34,960 --> 00:41:36,720
Speaker 2: I want to be on the Panthers.

843
00:41:36,800 --> 00:41:38,760
Speaker 1: I have not bet it yet for all the reasons

844
00:41:38,800 --> 00:41:41,640
Speaker 1: that stuck, he said, the injury report. Whenever I see

845
00:41:41,719 --> 00:41:45,400
Speaker 1: JC Horn pop up. Their defenses is bad enough as

846
00:41:45,440 --> 00:41:48,840
Speaker 1: it is. They're not quite betable if he's not on

847
00:41:48,880 --> 00:41:50,880
Speaker 1: the field. So I just know that I'm not going

848
00:41:50,960 --> 00:41:53,239
Speaker 1: to be betting the Rams, but it sounds like we are.

849
00:41:53,560 --> 00:41:57,520
Speaker 1: So is that the official nominee the Rams minus ten

850
00:41:58,000 --> 00:41:59,080
Speaker 1: is that it is it in?

851
00:42:00,360 --> 00:42:00,680
Speaker 2: Yes?

852
00:42:01,400 --> 00:42:05,440
Speaker 1: Yes, right, fine putting it in? Okay, Rams, minds ten? Stucky?

853
00:42:05,480 --> 00:42:07,040
Speaker 1: What about you nominease?

854
00:42:08,120 --> 00:42:11,640
Speaker 4: Let's go with the let's circle back to the two

855
00:42:11,719 --> 00:42:14,440
Speaker 4: luck sides, and I'll make you guys choose. I think

856
00:42:14,480 --> 00:42:18,680
Speaker 4: the Commander's line is too high, So Commanders, I mean,

857
00:42:18,719 --> 00:42:20,279
Speaker 4: we can get it. We could buy it to seven here,

858
00:42:20,680 --> 00:42:24,200
Speaker 4: So Commander's plus seven or the Giants plus seven a half.

859
00:42:24,200 --> 00:42:26,080
Speaker 4: A little concerned about dark comeback from cushion, but it

860
00:42:26,080 --> 00:42:26,799
Speaker 4: was only one week.

861
00:42:28,239 --> 00:42:28,319
Speaker 6: Ye.

862
00:42:28,480 --> 00:42:31,400
Speaker 4: The main thing here is the Giants. No matter what

863
00:42:31,520 --> 00:42:33,960
Speaker 4: I've loved what I've seen from Kafka. I mean the creativity.

864
00:42:34,000 --> 00:42:35,920
Speaker 4: This Giants team is still fighting. They should have like

865
00:42:36,000 --> 00:42:38,640
Speaker 4: six wins that they would stop blowing leads in the

866
00:42:38,640 --> 00:42:41,719
Speaker 4: fourth quarter. They could easily have six wins being the

867
00:42:41,760 --> 00:42:44,320
Speaker 4: playoff phrase. They've blown like five or six games in

868
00:42:44,360 --> 00:42:48,000
Speaker 4: the final minute. But I think the big thing worth

869
00:42:48,000 --> 00:42:52,920
Speaker 4: noting here is the Patriots offensive line injuries. So that's

870
00:42:53,000 --> 00:42:56,480
Speaker 4: you do not want that against the Giants pass rush.

871
00:42:56,800 --> 00:43:02,560
Speaker 4: And you saw the Bengals the angles get pressure last

872
00:43:02,560 --> 00:43:05,680
Speaker 4: week after those offensive line injuries happened, and they didn't

873
00:43:05,680 --> 00:43:08,440
Speaker 4: have Dre Andrickson. So the Patriots are probably gonna be

874
00:43:08,440 --> 00:43:10,520
Speaker 4: without Will. I'm almost sure they're gonna be without Will

875
00:43:10,520 --> 00:43:13,120
Speaker 4: Campbell and Jared Wilson, their entire left side of their

876
00:43:13,160 --> 00:43:16,319
Speaker 4: offensive line. The one thing, and we talked about this,

877
00:43:16,400 --> 00:43:20,480
Speaker 4: Kender has mentioned this, the Patriots haven't had injuries. Last year,

878
00:43:21,840 --> 00:43:28,800
Speaker 4: their offensive line was horrific, and this year it's not great.

879
00:43:29,280 --> 00:43:32,960
Speaker 4: Thick Drake may is overcompensated for some of the issues

880
00:43:33,000 --> 00:43:38,799
Speaker 4: in pass protection, but it's exponentially better than last year. Right,

881
00:43:38,840 --> 00:43:42,719
Speaker 4: they went out, they drafted Campbell, they drafted Wilson, they

882
00:43:42,719 --> 00:43:45,320
Speaker 4: brought in Bradbury brought in Moses and winning it was

883
00:43:45,320 --> 00:43:47,360
Speaker 4: the only one worth a dam last year, and he's

884
00:43:47,440 --> 00:43:50,080
Speaker 4: in the starting lineup. But once you start getting down

885
00:43:50,120 --> 00:43:54,040
Speaker 4: to like Verdarian Lowe in there, and some of the

886
00:43:54,040 --> 00:43:56,279
Speaker 4: guys that they had to play last year, a lot

887
00:43:56,280 --> 00:43:58,120
Speaker 4: of them are not even on the roster anymore. They

888
00:43:58,160 --> 00:44:00,040
Speaker 4: weren't even like the NFL Calber players. But there's no

889
00:44:00,160 --> 00:44:02,800
Speaker 4: depth on that offensive line. Now you about two starters

890
00:44:02,800 --> 00:44:05,120
Speaker 4: on the left side against a really good pass rush.

891
00:44:05,360 --> 00:44:09,120
Speaker 4: I think catching over a touchdown here is a bit

892
00:44:09,160 --> 00:44:12,240
Speaker 4: too much. So yeah, I'll make you guys choose between

893
00:44:12,680 --> 00:44:18,480
Speaker 4: two ugly primetime dogs that are luck Sides Commanders or

894
00:44:19,719 --> 00:44:20,359
Speaker 4: the g Men.

895
00:44:20,880 --> 00:44:23,080
Speaker 5: I'm still mad at the Commanders, and I'm going to

896
00:44:23,080 --> 00:44:26,400
Speaker 5: the Patriots game, so I why not have something to

897
00:44:26,400 --> 00:44:28,400
Speaker 5: scream about at this game. If we're there and we

898
00:44:28,440 --> 00:44:32,080
Speaker 5: need this one leg left, I'll go and yell why not.

899
00:44:32,320 --> 00:44:32,959
Speaker 3: I can't.

900
00:44:33,080 --> 00:44:36,600
Speaker 5: It's not the Patriots are gonna make me and Cravits

901
00:44:36,640 --> 00:44:37,279
Speaker 5: broke this year.

902
00:44:37,320 --> 00:44:37,960
Speaker 3: But whatever.

903
00:44:38,320 --> 00:44:43,040
Speaker 1: I then, I, yeah, I'm tired of betting against the

904
00:44:43,040 --> 00:44:46,359
Speaker 1: New England Patriots. I did end up getting the cover

905
00:44:46,560 --> 00:44:48,680
Speaker 1: with the seven and a half with the Bengals last week,

906
00:44:48,719 --> 00:44:51,120
Speaker 1: but we really needed that money line to come through,

907
00:44:51,239 --> 00:44:53,719
Speaker 1: and Joe Flacco just decided to hand the ball to

908
00:44:54,440 --> 00:44:58,560
Speaker 1: the Patriots defense so gross awful. I mean you could

909
00:44:58,600 --> 00:45:01,200
Speaker 1: say I was screaming at my TV throw the okay,

910
00:45:01,280 --> 00:45:01,920
Speaker 1: then he threw it.

911
00:45:02,640 --> 00:45:05,040
Speaker 2: I initially think.

912
00:45:05,080 --> 00:45:06,640
Speaker 1: Well, of course, there'll be a lot of fun to

913
00:45:06,680 --> 00:45:10,360
Speaker 1: bet on Jamis Winston on Monday night. Football feels too easy,

914
00:45:10,480 --> 00:45:11,640
Speaker 1: even though it's the Giants.

915
00:45:11,800 --> 00:45:14,720
Speaker 2: I like the Commander's bet. My vote would be on Washington.

916
00:45:18,960 --> 00:45:21,520
Speaker 4: How many, by the way, before you before you answer, Evan,

917
00:45:22,040 --> 00:45:30,759
Speaker 4: how many games has a bow Knicks one away from

918
00:45:30,760 --> 00:45:33,520
Speaker 4: home by more than three points this year?

919
00:45:34,640 --> 00:45:35,480
Speaker 2: I would say zero?

920
00:45:35,880 --> 00:45:39,080
Speaker 4: Yeah, zero, and that includes a game against the Jets

921
00:45:39,080 --> 00:45:41,240
Speaker 4: team that threw for negative ten net passing yards.

922
00:45:41,640 --> 00:45:45,480
Speaker 1: Yeah yeah, this is a bow Nicks Broncos overrated fade.

923
00:45:46,040 --> 00:45:48,279
Speaker 2: I would go Washington for sure, all.

924
00:45:48,239 --> 00:45:49,120
Speaker 4: Right, Evan, what do you got?

925
00:45:49,880 --> 00:45:51,840
Speaker 6: I like the Giants. I would go with the Giants

926
00:45:51,880 --> 00:45:55,319
Speaker 6: in that game. That's I just new England won nine

927
00:45:55,360 --> 00:45:58,040
Speaker 6: in a row, like I like the lineup of over seven.

928
00:45:58,120 --> 00:46:00,560
Speaker 6: I want nothing to do with Washington, like I just

929
00:46:00,760 --> 00:46:02,720
Speaker 6: I feel like they're headed to just in the wrong direction,

930
00:46:03,120 --> 00:46:05,239
Speaker 6: while I agree with the kaf could take like I

931
00:46:05,480 --> 00:46:08,200
Speaker 6: think the creativity is there. I actually, do you think

932
00:46:08,239 --> 00:46:10,279
Speaker 6: it's going to be dark? I feel like Dart's gonna

933
00:46:10,280 --> 00:46:10,520
Speaker 6: be back.

934
00:46:10,640 --> 00:46:11,279
Speaker 3: It's gonna be dark.

935
00:46:11,360 --> 00:46:15,560
Speaker 6: Yeah, I think yeah, which to me, I like, yeah,

936
00:46:15,680 --> 00:46:19,680
Speaker 6: I think so if Dart, I like the Giants.

937
00:46:19,320 --> 00:46:22,200
Speaker 3: We are two halves of a whole idiot today, Evan.

938
00:46:22,719 --> 00:46:23,640
Speaker 6: It's fantastic.

939
00:46:24,040 --> 00:46:28,000
Speaker 2: I'm getting out Deity today with.

940
00:46:26,960 --> 00:46:30,200
Speaker 3: With your mass potatoes, with this ship. This rules me

941
00:46:30,280 --> 00:46:33,080
Speaker 3: and Evan. This is Evan's podcast today.

942
00:46:33,440 --> 00:46:36,759
Speaker 1: All right, well we've got one really disgusting option for me.

943
00:46:37,120 --> 00:46:39,560
Speaker 1: And by the way, the Giants plus seven and a

944
00:46:39,600 --> 00:46:40,799
Speaker 1: half officially in there.

945
00:46:41,120 --> 00:46:43,120
Speaker 4: I will say, I will say with the commanders, if

946
00:46:43,120 --> 00:46:46,120
Speaker 4: you want to bet this now now, like if you

947
00:46:46,120 --> 00:46:48,040
Speaker 4: ever see a seven, bet that. I think it's too

948
00:46:48,080 --> 00:46:52,399
Speaker 4: high already. But we'll see what the injury report is today.

949
00:46:52,400 --> 00:46:54,320
Speaker 4: But I assume they should be healthier. Like McLaurin, is

950
00:46:54,360 --> 00:46:58,319
Speaker 4: he going to be back? There's a chance Jane Daniels.

951
00:46:58,080 --> 00:47:00,480
Speaker 2: Plays right, so that's fair.

952
00:47:00,560 --> 00:47:02,200
Speaker 3: I wish they were still the football team.

953
00:47:02,920 --> 00:47:06,480
Speaker 4: There's I think I think he was originally targeting Week fourteen,

954
00:47:06,520 --> 00:47:10,279
Speaker 4: which is next week at Minnesota. But this is after

955
00:47:10,320 --> 00:47:13,200
Speaker 4: a bye. He's been throwing. I could see him plying.

956
00:47:14,120 --> 00:47:16,799
Speaker 3: I could also see that on Sunday.

957
00:47:16,600 --> 00:47:18,000
Speaker 4: Night football against the Broncos.

958
00:47:18,280 --> 00:47:21,960
Speaker 5: But will I can't get over how that X ray

959
00:47:22,120 --> 00:47:25,160
Speaker 5: was negative. I know that it's like tissue damaged, but whatever.

960
00:47:25,920 --> 00:47:29,160
Speaker 5: I that was one of the grossest plays I've seen

961
00:47:29,200 --> 00:47:30,200
Speaker 5: since Gordon Hayward.

962
00:47:31,080 --> 00:47:31,719
Speaker 3: I hated it.

963
00:47:32,280 --> 00:47:34,480
Speaker 5: I mean, everyone I know watched in slow motion just

964
00:47:34,480 --> 00:47:36,439
Speaker 5: as they felt the same amount of ack that I did.

965
00:47:37,560 --> 00:47:39,680
Speaker 6: I just don't really understand why Washington would even play

966
00:47:39,719 --> 00:47:42,520
Speaker 6: him at this point, but I agree. See it's it's

967
00:47:42,520 --> 00:47:44,799
Speaker 6: the Borough thing, like they just get they they want

968
00:47:44,800 --> 00:47:45,719
Speaker 6: to play. I get it.

969
00:47:45,800 --> 00:47:49,880
Speaker 4: But yeah, certain we're obviously worth monitoring too.

970
00:47:51,040 --> 00:47:53,400
Speaker 3: Yeah, he's expected to be back. I fit like pretty

971
00:47:53,520 --> 00:47:55,120
Speaker 3: for like he's pretty easy.

972
00:47:55,440 --> 00:47:59,040
Speaker 4: This speaker next week, I think him Singleton l s

973
00:47:59,080 --> 00:48:02,399
Speaker 4: they have a couple of defense of injuries. But yeah,

974
00:48:02,440 --> 00:48:04,319
Speaker 4: we'll see. I mean, if the Broncos can be a

975
00:48:04,320 --> 00:48:09,880
Speaker 4: bit conservative here with some of their injuries, because I

976
00:48:09,880 --> 00:48:12,879
Speaker 4: mean they're sitting in a pretty good You don't want

977
00:48:12,880 --> 00:48:16,920
Speaker 4: to risk like your best defensive player when you are

978
00:48:17,560 --> 00:48:20,680
Speaker 4: sitting at what nine and what are the Broncos down.

979
00:48:20,680 --> 00:48:22,160
Speaker 4: I think I think of the one seed right now?

980
00:48:22,800 --> 00:48:24,360
Speaker 2: Uh nine two?

981
00:48:25,880 --> 00:48:27,840
Speaker 4: Well, I guess the Patriots are because are ten and two.

982
00:48:28,400 --> 00:48:30,160
Speaker 3: So that's so gross to me.

983
00:48:30,400 --> 00:48:34,520
Speaker 2: How injuries we got it in there?

984
00:48:34,880 --> 00:48:37,040
Speaker 1: Rams minus now, I got it at nine and a

985
00:48:37,120 --> 00:48:39,360
Speaker 1: half just to buy the number down because it was

986
00:48:39,360 --> 00:48:42,320
Speaker 1: ten and a half. We uh, we got Giants plus

987
00:48:42,360 --> 00:48:44,680
Speaker 1: seven and a half. We're at plus two thirty three

988
00:48:44,760 --> 00:48:47,440
Speaker 1: right now, I've got a beautiful play that.

989
00:48:47,480 --> 00:48:50,479
Speaker 5: Well, I hate both of these we talked about.

990
00:48:50,560 --> 00:48:53,600
Speaker 1: I threw the Panthers out. I'm not gonna obviously, we

991
00:48:53,600 --> 00:48:57,120
Speaker 1: can't have both sides of that. So Colts minus four

992
00:48:58,040 --> 00:49:00,960
Speaker 1: for reasons that we've already discussed on this episode. Or

993
00:49:01,080 --> 00:49:03,560
Speaker 1: let me sell you on the little cover monsters that

994
00:49:03,760 --> 00:49:06,880
Speaker 1: are the Tennessee Titans. All of a sudden, Mike McCoy

995
00:49:06,960 --> 00:49:09,879
Speaker 1: covered three straight with Tennessee the Jags off of an

996
00:49:09,960 --> 00:49:12,440
Speaker 1: overtime game. I know this is a Jags podcast, but

997
00:49:12,520 --> 00:49:15,840
Speaker 1: pushing back on that any chance I can, they probably

998
00:49:15,880 --> 00:49:18,400
Speaker 1: should have lost that game. Trevor Lawrence certainly did his

999
00:49:18,480 --> 00:49:23,640
Speaker 1: best to attempt that loss. Instead, they win and cover

1000
00:49:23,800 --> 00:49:27,000
Speaker 1: by half a point. Second straight road game, fourth road

1001
00:49:27,000 --> 00:49:32,160
Speaker 1: game in their last five division home dog of seven

1002
00:49:32,480 --> 00:49:35,920
Speaker 1: or more? Do we really trust Trevor Lawrence as a

1003
00:49:36,000 --> 00:49:38,920
Speaker 1: road favorite here? Does that sound like a good idea

1004
00:49:39,000 --> 00:49:44,440
Speaker 1: to anybody? Tennessee Titans plus seven my other nominee, Kendra,

1005
00:49:45,200 --> 00:49:47,440
Speaker 1: I think I already know where you'll be voting.

1006
00:49:48,719 --> 00:49:52,319
Speaker 3: I hate both of these, I will sayess.

1007
00:49:52,080 --> 00:49:54,239
Speaker 2: And unlike any other Kendra hating both of my.

1008
00:49:54,239 --> 00:49:59,400
Speaker 5: Bets, I will say who I thought was going to

1009
00:49:59,440 --> 00:50:01,920
Speaker 5: be hell health last week for the Jags have to

1010
00:50:01,960 --> 00:50:04,360
Speaker 5: be coming back this week. Jordan Lewis gotta be healthy,

1011
00:50:04,440 --> 00:50:07,680
Speaker 5: Hunter Long gotta be healthy, Trayvon Walker gotta be healthy.

1012
00:50:07,719 --> 00:50:11,399
Speaker 5: Anton Harrison gotta be healthy. Those are the only things

1013
00:50:11,400 --> 00:50:13,759
Speaker 5: that I would monitor. I get that it's a divisional game.

1014
00:50:13,840 --> 00:50:16,120
Speaker 5: I've been praising the Tennessee Never thought I would praise

1015
00:50:16,160 --> 00:50:19,520
Speaker 5: the man he's eating Tennessee Titans. They looked good against

1016
00:50:19,520 --> 00:50:21,480
Speaker 5: the Seahawks, even though they lost. I gave them their

1017
00:50:21,480 --> 00:50:23,680
Speaker 5: flowers on Sunday. I was shocked they put up that

1018
00:50:23,760 --> 00:50:27,400
Speaker 5: many points. Trevor Lawrence is a big dumb dumb, guppy

1019
00:50:27,400 --> 00:50:31,120
Speaker 5: faced dummy dumb uh.

1020
00:50:32,000 --> 00:50:32,440
Speaker 3: I don't know.

1021
00:50:32,520 --> 00:50:35,759
Speaker 5: I kind of liked the Jags originally. I don't I

1022
00:50:35,800 --> 00:50:38,640
Speaker 5: feel like I lean Houston, but I'll probably take the

1023
00:50:39,200 --> 00:50:41,120
Speaker 5: Colts in this. I feel like it's my better option.

1024
00:50:41,239 --> 00:50:44,000
Speaker 5: I can't go against the Jags, even though I hate

1025
00:50:44,000 --> 00:50:45,880
Speaker 5: that guppy face moron, I can't.

1026
00:50:45,600 --> 00:50:47,720
Speaker 2: Do it, all right, we gotta vote for the Colts.

1027
00:50:47,840 --> 00:50:51,000
Speaker 1: Stucky, You're already own the Colts, so maybe this is

1028
00:50:51,040 --> 00:50:51,719
Speaker 1: an easy one.

1029
00:50:53,239 --> 00:50:56,640
Speaker 4: Yeah, the Jags. I don't mind. The Titans at seven

1030
00:50:56,840 --> 00:50:59,879
Speaker 4: has come down a bit. The thing I'd worry about

1031
00:50:59,920 --> 00:51:02,279
Speaker 4: is they might be without two starting offensive linemen. Uh

1032
00:51:02,560 --> 00:51:06,320
Speaker 4: Kushion Barry and Moore both got hurt last week. Getsticy

1033
00:51:06,360 --> 00:51:08,480
Speaker 4: for the Titans quick. Their offense line isn't already good,

1034
00:51:08,480 --> 00:51:10,240
Speaker 4: but those you lose.

1035
00:51:10,080 --> 00:51:13,400
Speaker 5: Those two and callan Ridley's out, Not that he really matters,

1036
00:51:13,400 --> 00:51:15,800
Speaker 5: but like when you're the Titans, you need bodies.

1037
00:51:16,320 --> 00:51:21,600
Speaker 4: Yeah, Io Manor also dealing with a hamstring, so they

1038
00:51:21,600 --> 00:51:23,919
Speaker 4: could be very shorthanded on offense, and then the Jacks

1039
00:51:23,920 --> 00:51:25,640
Speaker 4: could be getting healthier on defense. As you mentioned, with

1040
00:51:25,719 --> 00:51:29,160
Speaker 4: Lewis and Walker back, they could get their their Harrison back.

1041
00:51:29,160 --> 00:51:31,080
Speaker 4: We'll see on btj Uh.

1042
00:51:32,000 --> 00:51:33,399
Speaker 3: I don't care about how I will.

1043
00:51:33,560 --> 00:51:37,200
Speaker 4: I will say that the Titans like they've covered three straight,

1044
00:51:37,960 --> 00:51:40,959
Speaker 4: so there's two ways to look at this. They've played

1045
00:51:41,000 --> 00:51:44,799
Speaker 4: a bunch of very tough defenses. Cam Ward has and

1046
00:51:44,920 --> 00:51:47,360
Speaker 4: I think he's improving a little bit. Like they've played,

1047
00:51:47,400 --> 00:51:49,400
Speaker 4: they've played the Texans.

1048
00:51:49,400 --> 00:51:50,920
Speaker 3: His confidence is improving.

1049
00:51:51,040 --> 00:51:53,760
Speaker 5: He's trampling all over the place in the first quarter

1050
00:51:53,840 --> 00:51:57,000
Speaker 5: last week. I hate that he's improving because I hate them,

1051
00:51:57,320 --> 00:51:58,759
Speaker 5: But I'm gonna say it.

1052
00:51:58,760 --> 00:51:59,959
Speaker 3: You're right, he looks better.

1053
00:52:00,520 --> 00:52:02,000
Speaker 4: Yeah, it looks a little better like that. But over

1054
00:52:02,040 --> 00:52:05,560
Speaker 4: the past like just month, they've played the Colts, the Chargers,

1055
00:52:05,600 --> 00:52:10,400
Speaker 4: the Texans, the Seahawks, so they've played some you know,

1056
00:52:10,560 --> 00:52:12,759
Speaker 4: early in the season they played the Rams and the Broncos.

1057
00:52:12,800 --> 00:52:16,480
Speaker 4: They played a very difficult schedule of opposing defenses. But

1058
00:52:16,520 --> 00:52:18,560
Speaker 4: they've covered three straight. This should be an easier test

1059
00:52:18,600 --> 00:52:21,759
Speaker 4: against the Jags, depending especially if they're still shorthanded. But

1060
00:52:21,960 --> 00:52:26,480
Speaker 4: I will say the way that they've covered is it's

1061
00:52:26,480 --> 00:52:28,839
Speaker 4: probably because I haven't bet on them. I haven't bet

1062
00:52:28,880 --> 00:52:31,800
Speaker 4: on them in the past three weeks. Against the Chargers

1063
00:52:31,800 --> 00:52:33,759
Speaker 4: they lost by seven, they covered nine and a half.

1064
00:52:33,760 --> 00:52:37,920
Speaker 4: They had two non offensive touchdowns against the Titans. I

1065
00:52:38,000 --> 00:52:41,719
Speaker 4: mean against the Texans they needed a touchdown in the

1066
00:52:41,719 --> 00:52:46,080
Speaker 4: final minute and then against the Seahawks, they had an

1067
00:52:46,080 --> 00:52:52,600
Speaker 4: eighty yard punt return for a touchdown that ultimately helped

1068
00:52:52,600 --> 00:52:54,279
Speaker 4: and then they had a touchdown in the you know,

1069
00:52:54,320 --> 00:52:56,359
Speaker 4: the final minute of the game as well, so they gotten.

1070
00:52:56,360 --> 00:52:58,319
Speaker 4: They keep getting the back door like they were on

1071
00:52:58,360 --> 00:53:01,320
Speaker 4: the brink of not Maybe you could argue they probably

1072
00:53:01,320 --> 00:53:02,840
Speaker 4: shouldn't have covered any of those games.

1073
00:53:04,120 --> 00:53:06,360
Speaker 1: So you need a backdoor to cover against the Seahawks.

1074
00:53:06,480 --> 00:53:08,759
Speaker 1: You can cover straight through the front door against the

1075
00:53:08,840 --> 00:53:10,200
Speaker 1: Jacksonville Jaguars.

1076
00:53:10,840 --> 00:53:13,279
Speaker 4: Yeah, Jack Shield won't really trust the Jags on the road.

1077
00:53:13,320 --> 00:53:17,600
Speaker 4: Like the jagson went like barely beat the decimated Cardinals team.

1078
00:53:17,640 --> 00:53:20,480
Speaker 4: They lost. They they went to overtime with the Raiders.

1079
00:53:20,760 --> 00:53:22,520
Speaker 4: It's not the same team away from home.

1080
00:53:22,680 --> 00:53:25,400
Speaker 3: Bag Jags fans. This is not a Jacks podcast.

1081
00:53:25,680 --> 00:53:27,400
Speaker 4: No, I still love the Jacks, but they're just not

1082
00:53:27,440 --> 00:53:30,920
Speaker 4: the same team on the road. But I'll say, for

1083
00:53:30,960 --> 00:53:35,120
Speaker 4: the sake of this, we can throw in colts either

1084
00:53:35,120 --> 00:53:37,319
Speaker 4: against the spreader money line. It's fine with me, all right.

1085
00:53:37,400 --> 00:53:38,960
Speaker 1: I threw in the four and a half because I

1086
00:53:39,000 --> 00:53:40,759
Speaker 1: bought the Rams down to nine and a half, So

1087
00:53:40,800 --> 00:53:45,440
Speaker 1: the official plays Rams minus nine and a half Giants

1088
00:53:45,480 --> 00:53:47,960
Speaker 1: plus seven and a half. Colts minus four and a

1089
00:53:48,000 --> 00:53:51,279
Speaker 1: half plus five twenty five, two Kings and a Queen

1090
00:53:51,320 --> 00:53:55,879
Speaker 1: Parlay presented by Draft Kings. The Crown is yours and

1091
00:53:55,960 --> 00:54:00,360
Speaker 1: that will do it for this week's episode or no

1092
00:54:00,440 --> 00:54:03,239
Speaker 1: show on Thursday, we're off for the Thanksgiving holiday. A

1093
00:54:03,239 --> 00:54:06,040
Speaker 1: Happy Thanksgiving to all of you who are listening and

1094
00:54:06,120 --> 00:54:09,080
Speaker 1: watching this special. Thanks to our producers do a phenomenal

1095
00:54:09,160 --> 00:54:12,319
Speaker 1: job each and every week. Gifford Gold, David Payne, our

1096
00:54:12,400 --> 00:54:16,240
Speaker 1: stats man, Evan Abrams. Go check out his Thanksgiving primer.

1097
00:54:16,280 --> 00:54:16,960
Speaker 2: It's a must.

1098
00:54:17,239 --> 00:54:21,360
Speaker 1: The Favorites will return Sunday nights as we recap week thirteen.

1099
00:54:21,480 --> 00:54:24,200
Speaker 1: Catch it right here on the Action Network YouTube page.

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00:54:24,239 --> 00:54:26,319
Speaker 1: Thanks so much for tuning in. We'll see you next

1101
00:54:26,320 --> 00:54:29,399
Speaker 1: time here on the Favorites Podcast, presented by DraftKings.

1102
00:54:29,840 --> 00:54:32,960
Speaker 5: Happy Thanksgiving, Cranberry Sauce Supremacy.

1103
00:54:35,160 --> 00:54:52,120
Speaker 3: Happy Thanksgiving Gamblers. We're thankful for you. Action Network reminds

1104
00:54:52,160 --> 00:54:54,239
Speaker 3: you please gamble responsibly.

1105
00:54:54,640 --> 00:54:57,480
Speaker 2: If you or someone you care about has a gambling problem,

1106
00:54:57,760 --> 00:55:00,359
Speaker 2: help is available twenty four to seven at one eight

1107
00:55:00,440 --> 00:55:01,200
Speaker 2: hundred Gambler