1 00:00:00,120 --> 00:00:03,360 Speaker 1: Welcome to today's edition of the Clay Travis and Buck 2 00:00:03,400 --> 00:00:05,560 Speaker 1: Sexton Show podcast, The Fort. 3 00:00:06,120 --> 00:00:08,440 Speaker 2: Welcome in Tuesday edition. 4 00:00:08,920 --> 00:00:11,600 Speaker 3: Primary Day in New Hampshire. 5 00:00:12,200 --> 00:00:17,840 Speaker 2: Go vote New Hampshire, writes Donald Trump versus Nicky Haley 6 00:00:17,960 --> 00:00:21,520 Speaker 2: head to head the final Suffolk Paul dropped a few 7 00:00:21,680 --> 00:00:26,640 Speaker 2: hours ago. It had Trump up sixty to thirty eight. 8 00:00:26,960 --> 00:00:31,680 Speaker 2: Also a story worth paying attention to. They are having 9 00:00:31,720 --> 00:00:36,280 Speaker 2: to write in Joe Biden's name in the Democrat primary 10 00:00:36,360 --> 00:00:41,080 Speaker 2: because Biden is not on the the on the ballot 11 00:00:41,520 --> 00:00:45,400 Speaker 2: because he refused to allow New Hampshire to vote before 12 00:00:45,520 --> 00:00:48,360 Speaker 2: South Carolina, so his name is not on there. They 13 00:00:48,360 --> 00:00:51,519 Speaker 2: are asking people to write it in. Could be interesting 14 00:00:51,600 --> 00:00:56,400 Speaker 2: to compare how Nicky Hayley does compared to Dean Phillips. 15 00:00:57,160 --> 00:01:01,760 Speaker 2: Is there going to be a substantial number of Democrats 16 00:01:02,200 --> 00:01:05,520 Speaker 2: that will come out and say, we're not supporting Joe Biden. 17 00:01:05,600 --> 00:01:09,240 Speaker 2: We are supporting this Minnesota congressman that many of you 18 00:01:10,120 --> 00:01:13,320 Speaker 2: don't know anything about, and frankly that many Democrats don't 19 00:01:13,360 --> 00:01:16,080 Speaker 2: know anything about. Because for the most part, there has 20 00:01:16,200 --> 00:01:20,760 Speaker 2: been a decision not to cover this as a contested 21 00:01:20,800 --> 00:01:26,320 Speaker 2: primary by MSNBC and CNN and their ILK but all 22 00:01:26,400 --> 00:01:30,319 Speaker 2: of you go vote New Hampshire writes, there doesn't seem 23 00:01:30,360 --> 00:01:35,240 Speaker 2: to be any real concern that Nicky Haley is going 24 00:01:35,280 --> 00:01:39,760 Speaker 2: to win. So we will have this discussion tomorrow in earnest, 25 00:01:39,959 --> 00:01:42,960 Speaker 2: I believe, but I think we can all basically start 26 00:01:43,000 --> 00:01:46,160 Speaker 2: it today in many respects, And that is this question, 27 00:01:47,200 --> 00:01:50,840 Speaker 2: what does Nicky Haley need to do tonight, Buck in 28 00:01:50,920 --> 00:01:55,200 Speaker 2: your mind for her to be justified in continuing the 29 00:01:55,240 --> 00:01:59,760 Speaker 2: primary race against Donald Trump into her home state of 30 00:02:00,440 --> 00:02:04,200 Speaker 2: South Carolina. Now, the Haley camp today is putting out 31 00:02:04,840 --> 00:02:07,800 Speaker 2: all sorts of statements saying, and it's not really a 32 00:02:07,800 --> 00:02:10,679 Speaker 2: surprise because you try to look confident in advance of 33 00:02:10,720 --> 00:02:14,720 Speaker 2: an election, saying that they plan on challenging Donald Trump 34 00:02:14,840 --> 00:02:18,600 Speaker 2: all the way through Super Tuesday, which would not occur 35 00:02:18,680 --> 00:02:21,920 Speaker 2: until March fifth. That would mean that we've got whatever 36 00:02:21,960 --> 00:02:27,120 Speaker 2: the math is, there about six weeks of ongoing primary 37 00:02:27,240 --> 00:02:31,480 Speaker 2: process that the Haley campaign believes should go on before 38 00:02:31,600 --> 00:02:35,000 Speaker 2: she acknowledges that Trump is going to be the nominee 39 00:02:35,040 --> 00:02:38,680 Speaker 2: again through Super Tuesday. That would include her home state 40 00:02:39,080 --> 00:02:40,919 Speaker 2: of South Carolina in a month. 41 00:02:41,680 --> 00:02:43,880 Speaker 3: I think that's very hard to argue. 42 00:02:44,280 --> 00:02:47,440 Speaker 2: If she loses by fifteen or twenty points in New Hampshire, 43 00:02:47,639 --> 00:02:51,000 Speaker 2: because New Hampshire, Buck is far more favorable to reign 44 00:02:51,040 --> 00:02:53,840 Speaker 2: to Nikki Haley than South Carolina is going to be, 45 00:02:54,280 --> 00:02:56,600 Speaker 2: or a place like my home state of Tennessee is 46 00:02:56,639 --> 00:02:59,400 Speaker 2: going to be, or Texas is going to be. What 47 00:02:59,440 --> 00:03:01,840 Speaker 2: does Nicky Haley need to do in your mind, Buck 48 00:03:02,240 --> 00:03:04,080 Speaker 2: for this not to be over tonight? 49 00:03:04,720 --> 00:03:08,840 Speaker 3: So you know how there are maxims that people say, 50 00:03:09,520 --> 00:03:12,160 Speaker 3: and then there are some that are untrue, right that 51 00:03:12,240 --> 00:03:14,320 Speaker 3: people say it, but it's really not the case. One 52 00:03:14,360 --> 00:03:15,840 Speaker 3: of the ones that always comes to mind for me 53 00:03:16,000 --> 00:03:19,480 Speaker 3: is there's no such thing as bad publicity that is 54 00:03:19,520 --> 00:03:22,519 Speaker 3: a lie. There's definitely such a thing as bad publicity. 55 00:03:22,960 --> 00:03:28,800 Speaker 3: The general sentiment I can understand, and it's often applicable, 56 00:03:28,880 --> 00:03:31,600 Speaker 3: but there are some very very big exceptions to that. 57 00:03:31,639 --> 00:03:34,880 Speaker 3: I bring it up play because for Nicki Haley, the 58 00:03:35,000 --> 00:03:37,840 Speaker 3: question is what is the value to her? She's not 59 00:03:37,840 --> 00:03:41,320 Speaker 3: gonna win the presidency, Okay, I mean unless you know, 60 00:03:41,440 --> 00:03:43,120 Speaker 3: we could wake up tomorrow and we could be in 61 00:03:43,160 --> 00:03:45,080 Speaker 3: the beginning of an ice age, Like I can't tell 62 00:03:45,120 --> 00:03:47,280 Speaker 3: you what's going to happen in the future definitively, but 63 00:03:47,320 --> 00:03:48,640 Speaker 3: you and I both know she's not gonna win. 64 00:03:48,560 --> 00:03:51,640 Speaker 2: The president short of health for Trump issue, or the 65 00:03:51,680 --> 00:03:55,440 Speaker 2: Supreme Court going even more rogue than they did, which 66 00:03:55,480 --> 00:03:58,280 Speaker 2: we'll talk about, I'm sure with their ruling against Texas 67 00:03:58,600 --> 00:03:59,360 Speaker 2: later in the show. 68 00:03:59,360 --> 00:04:02,920 Speaker 3: But you know, chaos so fired up about that last 69 00:04:03,000 --> 00:04:04,600 Speaker 3: night when that came down. We're going to dive into 70 00:04:04,600 --> 00:04:09,840 Speaker 3: that border issue. Lawlessness now is what the law demands. 71 00:04:09,600 --> 00:04:12,200 Speaker 3: That's that's the real shorthand of what's going on on 72 00:04:12,320 --> 00:04:14,360 Speaker 3: her border. But okay, but back to Nickiyhila. I bring 73 00:04:14,360 --> 00:04:17,520 Speaker 3: it up play because it's all about what is best 74 00:04:17,560 --> 00:04:19,880 Speaker 3: for her. She's a very, very ambitious person. All these 75 00:04:19,920 --> 00:04:22,839 Speaker 3: politicians are. I'm not singling her out, but she's somebody 76 00:04:22,880 --> 00:04:26,119 Speaker 3: who has longer time in the game than say Trump, 77 00:04:26,160 --> 00:04:28,320 Speaker 3: for Biden or Bernie Sanders. So she's got to think 78 00:04:28,600 --> 00:04:32,919 Speaker 3: about the overall horizon. And I think that for her, 79 00:04:33,480 --> 00:04:37,400 Speaker 3: if she goes and gets gets absolutely crushed in her 80 00:04:37,440 --> 00:04:40,880 Speaker 3: home state of South Carolina, I think that's really brand damaging. 81 00:04:41,960 --> 00:04:43,680 Speaker 3: So that's what I mean by there's no such there's 82 00:04:43,720 --> 00:04:46,640 Speaker 3: no such thing as bad publicity. Losing your home state 83 00:04:46,640 --> 00:04:49,560 Speaker 3: when you're the popular governor of South Carolina in a primary, 84 00:04:49,920 --> 00:04:53,520 Speaker 3: that would be bad publicity. I think New Hampshire is 85 00:04:53,839 --> 00:04:56,080 Speaker 3: playing with house money. I think New Hampshire for her 86 00:04:56,240 --> 00:05:00,320 Speaker 3: is if she's close, it looks good. But if she 87 00:05:00,360 --> 00:05:03,800 Speaker 3: gets blown out, nobody remembers New Hampshire anyway. So for me, 88 00:05:03,880 --> 00:05:06,480 Speaker 3: the much bigger question remains, does she really want to 89 00:05:06,480 --> 00:05:08,240 Speaker 3: see what ends up happening in her home state of 90 00:05:08,279 --> 00:05:11,480 Speaker 3: South Carolina? Because in New Hampshire, I think you and 91 00:05:11,520 --> 00:05:14,919 Speaker 3: I would both wager at this point that she's gonna 92 00:05:14,920 --> 00:05:17,559 Speaker 3: lose by more than double digits, will probably lose by 93 00:05:17,600 --> 00:05:20,440 Speaker 3: fifteen points or something. I mean, she's gonna get smoked, 94 00:05:20,480 --> 00:05:22,680 Speaker 3: as you say, I like it, Yeah, like that term. Yes, 95 00:05:22,720 --> 00:05:28,320 Speaker 3: she will get smoked. And then you're left with what's 96 00:05:28,360 --> 00:05:31,640 Speaker 3: the purpose of Nicki Haley staying in for Nicki Haley? 97 00:05:31,680 --> 00:05:34,440 Speaker 3: Because that's really what matters. Will the donors be able 98 00:05:34,440 --> 00:05:36,960 Speaker 3: to bully her or delude her into thinking that there's 99 00:05:37,000 --> 00:05:41,159 Speaker 3: more of a long term possibility for her. Maybe, but 100 00:05:41,240 --> 00:05:43,680 Speaker 3: I mean this, she's in New Hampshire, it's today, the 101 00:05:43,760 --> 00:05:47,279 Speaker 3: voting's going on, She's gonna lose. Do you think she 102 00:05:47,360 --> 00:05:50,560 Speaker 3: stays through to South Carolina? For me, that's the much 103 00:05:50,600 --> 00:05:52,920 Speaker 3: bigger question. Does she stay through to her home state? 104 00:05:52,920 --> 00:05:54,680 Speaker 3: Because I thought that it would be a bad look. 105 00:05:55,040 --> 00:05:57,080 Speaker 3: Let me contextualize this for everybody. 106 00:05:57,279 --> 00:05:59,279 Speaker 2: You guys out there listening, know that I like to 107 00:05:59,320 --> 00:06:02,800 Speaker 2: go look at the offshore gambling markets just to get 108 00:06:02,839 --> 00:06:06,120 Speaker 2: a sense on Hey, like, what is the expectation out there? 109 00:06:06,800 --> 00:06:10,360 Speaker 2: If Nicky Haley were to win in New Hampshire, it 110 00:06:10,400 --> 00:06:14,320 Speaker 2: would be the equivalent, according to these markets, basically of 111 00:06:14,400 --> 00:06:18,279 Speaker 2: Trump pulling off the twenty sixteen upset over Hillary Clinton. 112 00:06:19,000 --> 00:06:19,839 Speaker 3: Upsets happened. 113 00:06:20,200 --> 00:06:23,599 Speaker 2: They are very rare, and for the most part, all 114 00:06:23,680 --> 00:06:27,240 Speaker 2: of the polling has been correct so far on the 115 00:06:27,880 --> 00:06:30,880 Speaker 2: on the primary season, Iowa, everything that we saw dead 116 00:06:30,960 --> 00:06:34,840 Speaker 2: on so far, Trump pulling away up fifteen or twenty points. 117 00:06:34,960 --> 00:06:38,200 Speaker 2: So let's contextualize that. That means that's the way that 118 00:06:38,279 --> 00:06:40,440 Speaker 2: I think about it. If I were in Nicky Haley's 119 00:06:40,440 --> 00:06:44,760 Speaker 2: camp right now, I think that she needs to lose 120 00:06:44,839 --> 00:06:48,240 Speaker 2: by single digits in order to argue that she could 121 00:06:48,240 --> 00:06:49,800 Speaker 2: go on to South Carolina. 122 00:06:49,920 --> 00:06:51,719 Speaker 3: So, in other words, I think it needs to be like, 123 00:06:52,120 --> 00:06:54,440 Speaker 3: you know, fifteen points. 124 00:06:54,200 --> 00:06:57,599 Speaker 2: Yeah, fifty four for Trump, forty six for Nicky Haley, 125 00:06:57,720 --> 00:07:00,520 Speaker 2: something like that. Obviously, some people will still vote, I 126 00:07:00,560 --> 00:07:03,680 Speaker 2: don't the ballot maybe still have Chris Christy and Ron 127 00:07:03,760 --> 00:07:06,200 Speaker 2: De Santis will get some small percentage some people will 128 00:07:06,240 --> 00:07:09,720 Speaker 2: still go vote for them. But but yeah, I think 129 00:07:09,760 --> 00:07:12,440 Speaker 2: she needs to lose by less than by under ten, 130 00:07:12,920 --> 00:07:16,160 Speaker 2: you know, ten to fifteen I think is pushing it. 131 00:07:16,320 --> 00:07:21,480 Speaker 2: Maybe anything over fifteen she has no to me, no 132 00:07:21,720 --> 00:07:26,720 Speaker 2: justification whatsoever to continue, and really the question will then 133 00:07:26,800 --> 00:07:30,560 Speaker 2: become buck the same thing that we asked about Ron DeSantis. 134 00:07:31,000 --> 00:07:33,080 Speaker 3: Nikki Haley went all. 135 00:07:32,600 --> 00:07:35,640 Speaker 2: In on New Hampshire, like Ron De Santis went all 136 00:07:35,680 --> 00:07:38,440 Speaker 2: in on Iowa. If you go all in on a 137 00:07:38,520 --> 00:07:42,040 Speaker 2: state and you lose by fifteen or twenty, it's not 138 00:07:42,160 --> 00:07:44,640 Speaker 2: ever getting better than that for you. 139 00:07:45,280 --> 00:07:48,960 Speaker 3: I also think that that this maybe is a point 140 00:07:49,000 --> 00:07:51,360 Speaker 3: where we can step back and look at this all 141 00:07:51,360 --> 00:07:55,840 Speaker 3: in on a state strategy. I think that, and maybe 142 00:07:55,880 --> 00:07:58,040 Speaker 3: somebody could show me the data that would prove this 143 00:07:58,120 --> 00:07:59,840 Speaker 3: to be wrong. You know what we see in a 144 00:08:00,040 --> 00:08:04,120 Speaker 3: lot of previous presidential elections somebody winning one of these 145 00:08:04,160 --> 00:08:07,360 Speaker 3: early states and then not winning the overall election. I 146 00:08:07,400 --> 00:08:11,280 Speaker 3: feel like this this tunnel vision, look, it clearly did 147 00:08:11,320 --> 00:08:13,080 Speaker 3: not serve and this is not a you know, we're 148 00:08:13,080 --> 00:08:15,720 Speaker 3: not in the knocking Ron DeSantis game here, Great governor 149 00:08:15,760 --> 00:08:18,440 Speaker 3: Trump says he's welcome on the Trump train, and we've 150 00:08:18,600 --> 00:08:20,360 Speaker 3: been all along. I think very fair to the fact 151 00:08:20,360 --> 00:08:23,240 Speaker 3: that Ron is a great conservative leader and has a 152 00:08:23,360 --> 00:08:27,840 Speaker 3: very bright future. But the all in on Iowa strategy, 153 00:08:27,920 --> 00:08:31,320 Speaker 3: which was really a repeat of Ted Cruz's twenty sixteen 154 00:08:31,400 --> 00:08:35,040 Speaker 3: all in on iOS strategy, was a disaster. I mean, 155 00:08:35,080 --> 00:08:38,040 Speaker 3: it really couldn't have failed more than it did. And 156 00:08:38,160 --> 00:08:40,640 Speaker 3: Nikki Haley going all in on New Hampshire. But what 157 00:08:40,640 --> 00:08:43,760 Speaker 3: I'm saying is this has happened time and time again 158 00:08:43,800 --> 00:08:46,160 Speaker 3: now where it's oh, we're going to show everybody, No, 159 00:08:46,320 --> 00:08:49,200 Speaker 3: I think you have to run an election campaign where 160 00:08:49,200 --> 00:08:51,960 Speaker 3: you're telling the whole country or you know, the members 161 00:08:52,000 --> 00:08:55,000 Speaker 3: of your party across the country. I'm the guy, I'm 162 00:08:55,000 --> 00:08:57,240 Speaker 3: the gal, not we're gonna win in this one place, 163 00:08:57,280 --> 00:08:59,440 Speaker 3: and then everyone's going to change their minds. Yeah. 164 00:08:59,520 --> 00:09:01,240 Speaker 2: I think a lot of times that's a function of 165 00:09:01,280 --> 00:09:03,880 Speaker 2: not having enough money to compete anywhere else. So you 166 00:09:04,080 --> 00:09:07,480 Speaker 2: just say, hey, we've got fifteen million dollars, we're gonna 167 00:09:07,480 --> 00:09:10,240 Speaker 2: put all our chips in the table on Iowa and hope. 168 00:09:10,320 --> 00:09:12,400 Speaker 3: But this has failed over and I mean this that 169 00:09:12,400 --> 00:09:14,280 Speaker 3: that's right, I think has failed repeatedly. 170 00:09:14,800 --> 00:09:17,400 Speaker 2: I think what it shows is a lot of people 171 00:09:17,440 --> 00:09:20,480 Speaker 2: don't have very high probability chances and are just basically 172 00:09:20,520 --> 00:09:24,600 Speaker 2: thrown into the roulette wheel. The other thing I would 173 00:09:24,679 --> 00:09:28,200 Speaker 2: say is Nicky Hayley's done if she can't get within 174 00:09:28,240 --> 00:09:30,920 Speaker 2: fifteen or twenty. And I'll use a sports analogy for you. 175 00:09:31,400 --> 00:09:35,280 Speaker 2: If anybody out there has ever sprinted, you can do 176 00:09:35,400 --> 00:09:38,480 Speaker 2: your while it's while. Oh you know, I wrote a 177 00:09:38,480 --> 00:09:41,720 Speaker 2: book about training for the NFL Draft like fifteen years ago, 178 00:09:41,760 --> 00:09:44,320 Speaker 2: Buck and the forty is a huge deal, the forty 179 00:09:44,400 --> 00:09:47,400 Speaker 2: yard draft. What what you run the forty eight time? 180 00:09:47,440 --> 00:09:48,280 Speaker 2: You're forty? 181 00:09:48,400 --> 00:09:48,520 Speaker 1: Oh? 182 00:09:48,600 --> 00:09:51,480 Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah? What was your best forty time? Five to five? 183 00:09:51,720 --> 00:09:55,960 Speaker 3: I think if you Tom Brady's a handsome man, he 184 00:09:56,040 --> 00:09:56,840 Speaker 3: runs a five to five. 185 00:09:56,920 --> 00:10:00,480 Speaker 2: People are laughing out there at that. Lot of people 186 00:10:00,480 --> 00:10:02,680 Speaker 2: think that they can break a five oh forty. I 187 00:10:02,679 --> 00:10:04,400 Speaker 2: think we've mentioned this maybe on the program I know 188 00:10:04,400 --> 00:10:06,920 Speaker 2: I did on the Old out Kick Show. If you 189 00:10:06,960 --> 00:10:09,800 Speaker 2: can break a five oh forty, you are super fast. 190 00:10:10,160 --> 00:10:12,240 Speaker 2: People will see a guy run like a five four 191 00:10:12,200 --> 00:10:14,400 Speaker 2: to seven or four eight, and they think he's slow. 192 00:10:15,000 --> 00:10:17,400 Speaker 2: That guy would dust you in a race. But what 193 00:10:17,480 --> 00:10:19,679 Speaker 2: you learn is forty yards is not that far now, 194 00:10:19,679 --> 00:10:22,640 Speaker 2: it's farther than most people sprint, right, So that's a 195 00:10:22,760 --> 00:10:25,280 Speaker 2: challenge too, for it. Most people have not sprinted forty 196 00:10:25,360 --> 00:10:28,560 Speaker 2: yards in a very long time, especially once you're outside 197 00:10:28,559 --> 00:10:28,959 Speaker 2: of you know. 198 00:10:29,160 --> 00:10:34,360 Speaker 3: My hamstrings hurt just thinking about it. Yes, so, but 199 00:10:34,440 --> 00:10:35,240 Speaker 3: the thing. 200 00:10:35,080 --> 00:10:39,120 Speaker 2: You learn is you could only run a forty hard 201 00:10:39,520 --> 00:10:43,200 Speaker 2: about two times. Whatever your and that's why they run 202 00:10:43,240 --> 00:10:46,720 Speaker 2: you twice. Whatever your time is on those first two 203 00:10:47,240 --> 00:10:49,160 Speaker 2: is going to be better than your time on the 204 00:10:49,240 --> 00:10:51,559 Speaker 2: third and the fourth and the fifth. And I think 205 00:10:51,559 --> 00:10:54,800 Speaker 2: about that a little bit in the context of these primaries. 206 00:10:55,200 --> 00:10:58,680 Speaker 2: Nikki Hayley has run her forty in New Hampshire, she 207 00:10:58,760 --> 00:11:01,960 Speaker 2: has put her best foot forward, she's placed whatever her 208 00:11:02,000 --> 00:11:05,000 Speaker 2: best time is, and I think she's gonna lose by 209 00:11:05,000 --> 00:11:08,640 Speaker 2: fifteen or twenty. Every other state that she's going into 210 00:11:08,679 --> 00:11:12,199 Speaker 2: now is going to be less efficient and effective than 211 00:11:12,280 --> 00:11:16,320 Speaker 2: the forty that she's already run, which means I expect 212 00:11:16,360 --> 00:11:18,559 Speaker 2: tonight for this to be over and for Nicki Haley 213 00:11:18,600 --> 00:11:20,560 Speaker 2: to have to make a rational decision, and we'll see 214 00:11:20,559 --> 00:11:21,440 Speaker 2: whether she will or not. 215 00:11:21,760 --> 00:11:23,880 Speaker 3: I think she's I think she's gonna drop before South 216 00:11:23,880 --> 00:11:27,880 Speaker 3: Carolina because I think that losing in South Carolina. Look, 217 00:11:27,960 --> 00:11:29,559 Speaker 3: Ron de Santis didn't want to stay in to see 218 00:11:29,600 --> 00:11:32,520 Speaker 3: what's going on in Florida. And he's a Ron is 219 00:11:32,559 --> 00:11:35,240 Speaker 3: a smart guy. You know, he sees what's going on, 220 00:11:35,679 --> 00:11:37,280 Speaker 3: and that's a good move. Now he gets to go 221 00:11:37,320 --> 00:11:39,040 Speaker 3: back and be the king of Florida, so to speak, 222 00:11:39,080 --> 00:11:42,559 Speaker 3: as the governor, and people here very happy to have him. 223 00:11:42,559 --> 00:11:45,160 Speaker 3: I'm very happy to have him focusing on being a 224 00:11:45,200 --> 00:11:49,320 Speaker 3: phenomenal governor without the you know, you lose in Iowa, 225 00:11:49,320 --> 00:11:51,880 Speaker 3: It's okay, everyone's gonna forget who even did what in Iowa? 226 00:11:51,880 --> 00:11:55,040 Speaker 3: In three months, six months, you lose in your home state. 227 00:11:55,160 --> 00:11:57,120 Speaker 3: I think that one stings. I think that stays with you. 228 00:11:57,160 --> 00:12:01,160 Speaker 3: So my belief is that Nicki Haley, assuming you are correct, 229 00:12:01,200 --> 00:12:02,679 Speaker 3: and I agree with you, I think she's gonna get 230 00:12:02,679 --> 00:12:04,920 Speaker 3: blown out tonight. I do not think she stays in 231 00:12:04,960 --> 00:12:08,319 Speaker 3: for another month until the South Carolina primary happens, because 232 00:12:09,840 --> 00:12:12,720 Speaker 3: that that I think is brand damaging. That is bad 233 00:12:13,120 --> 00:12:15,480 Speaker 3: publicity for Nicki Haley. But can I ask you a 234 00:12:15,520 --> 00:12:17,160 Speaker 3: question that we can we can address. We go back 235 00:12:17,200 --> 00:12:20,000 Speaker 3: here in a second on all this is the we 236 00:12:20,040 --> 00:12:22,320 Speaker 3: saw what just happened with Viveke and Vivek is now 237 00:12:22,360 --> 00:12:25,240 Speaker 3: doing campaign events with Trump. Right, So it went from 238 00:12:25,480 --> 00:12:28,600 Speaker 3: Viveke is a fake and he's not maga on I 239 00:12:28,600 --> 00:12:33,199 Speaker 3: don't even know a few days ago before literally caucuses, 240 00:12:33,280 --> 00:12:36,319 Speaker 3: so a week a week ago to now Viveke is 241 00:12:36,360 --> 00:12:38,520 Speaker 3: doing campaign stops and people are saying, maybe he's going 242 00:12:38,600 --> 00:12:41,920 Speaker 3: to be Trump's VP. Okay is the ant? Don't answer me, 243 00:12:42,000 --> 00:12:44,840 Speaker 3: but let's think about this when everybody, Clay will tear 244 00:12:44,840 --> 00:12:47,360 Speaker 3: into this when we come back. Is the Nicky Haley 245 00:12:47,400 --> 00:12:52,319 Speaker 3: animosity of maga and and Trump specifically, is it real 246 00:12:52,600 --> 00:12:55,200 Speaker 3: or is it just another show for the primary? Meaning? 247 00:12:55,960 --> 00:12:59,480 Speaker 3: Is she not welcome back in Trump Land after this 248 00:12:59,559 --> 00:13:01,439 Speaker 3: whole thing? Or is she going to be welcomed right 249 00:13:01,480 --> 00:13:05,160 Speaker 3: back in. Let's think about it, because I'm I think 250 00:13:05,200 --> 00:13:07,120 Speaker 3: there's a case to be made in both directions, though 251 00:13:07,120 --> 00:13:09,480 Speaker 3: one may be stronger than the other. Let us know 252 00:13:09,520 --> 00:13:11,400 Speaker 3: what you think, by the way, about this Nicky Haley 253 00:13:11,559 --> 00:13:15,880 Speaker 3: New Hampshire primary showdown tonight especially, we got some great 254 00:13:16,240 --> 00:13:19,840 Speaker 3: Granite staters Clay who listened to this and who are 255 00:13:19,880 --> 00:13:23,240 Speaker 3: probably well familiar with the fact that Mount Washington is 256 00:13:23,440 --> 00:13:26,320 Speaker 3: formerly the world record holder for the fastest wind speed 257 00:13:26,720 --> 00:13:28,840 Speaker 3: of all time over two hundred and twenty miles an hour. 258 00:13:28,920 --> 00:13:31,800 Speaker 3: Pretty amazing. But let's talk about Tunnel the Towers for 259 00:13:31,800 --> 00:13:33,720 Speaker 3: a moment. Here. 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That's t the number two T dot org. 277 00:14:26,280 --> 00:14:30,800 Speaker 1: The voices of sanity in an Insane world. Clay Travis 278 00:14:30,960 --> 00:14:32,040 Speaker 1: sad Bucks. 279 00:14:32,040 --> 00:14:38,040 Speaker 3: So do they actually dislike Nikki? I think the answer 280 00:14:38,040 --> 00:14:41,560 Speaker 3: for Vivike, for example, is yes. I think Viveke Ramaswami 281 00:14:41,640 --> 00:14:43,800 Speaker 3: does not like Nicki Haley. I think it is personal 282 00:14:43,840 --> 00:14:46,040 Speaker 3: for the two of them, just basing that on the 283 00:14:46,080 --> 00:14:49,920 Speaker 3: exchanges and the body language and the tone. But it's 284 00:14:49,920 --> 00:14:54,600 Speaker 3: interesting because Trump very harsh on Ron, and then Ron 285 00:14:54,680 --> 00:14:59,200 Speaker 3: endorses Trump wholeheartedly. Trump says, de sanctimonious as a nickname 286 00:14:59,240 --> 00:15:03,160 Speaker 3: is now official retired. He is welcome in the movement. 287 00:15:03,800 --> 00:15:07,960 Speaker 3: Nicky Haley had a moment last night where a Trump 288 00:15:08,040 --> 00:15:11,000 Speaker 3: voter asked, and I'll tell you what he says in 289 00:15:11,040 --> 00:15:13,000 Speaker 3: case you can't hear it. The audio is not great. 290 00:15:13,040 --> 00:15:16,280 Speaker 3: But a Trump voter says, Nicky, will you marry me? 291 00:15:16,600 --> 00:15:17,120 Speaker 3: Play eight? 292 00:15:20,800 --> 00:15:22,320 Speaker 4: But you know what, we've got a lot on the 293 00:15:22,320 --> 00:15:25,560 Speaker 4: line here, we really do. And you look at what's 294 00:15:25,600 --> 00:15:31,520 Speaker 4: happening in this election. Yes, are you going to vote 295 00:15:31,560 --> 00:15:31,760 Speaker 4: for me? 296 00:15:38,040 --> 00:15:41,200 Speaker 3: Get out of here. You heard it so economiss, he said, 297 00:15:41,200 --> 00:15:43,880 Speaker 3: I'm voting for Trump? He asked her if she'll marry him, 298 00:15:44,120 --> 00:15:46,520 Speaker 3: then I'll say, Nicki Haley actually handled that pretty well. 299 00:15:46,560 --> 00:15:48,360 Speaker 2: I mean I thought that was pretty witty by Nicki 300 00:15:48,400 --> 00:15:49,960 Speaker 2: Haley to say, are you voting for you? 301 00:15:50,720 --> 00:15:53,280 Speaker 3: That's kind of funny. Yes, it was actually a no. No, 302 00:15:53,160 --> 00:15:54,880 Speaker 3: it's actually a good moment for her. I mean it 303 00:15:55,160 --> 00:15:56,520 Speaker 3: was fun. I mean, this is the kind of stuff 304 00:15:56,520 --> 00:15:58,560 Speaker 3: in the campaign trail. Look, it should be interesting, and 305 00:15:58,840 --> 00:16:00,800 Speaker 3: you know, people should be able to smart about stuff. 306 00:16:01,200 --> 00:16:06,240 Speaker 3: But Clay, there's a broader You're seeing some ferocity against 307 00:16:06,280 --> 00:16:09,800 Speaker 3: Nicky Haley from Mago World. Is that just for now 308 00:16:09,960 --> 00:16:12,080 Speaker 3: or is that a little bit deeper? Is that going 309 00:16:12,160 --> 00:16:12,600 Speaker 3: to linger? 310 00:16:13,120 --> 00:16:13,240 Speaker 1: So? 311 00:16:13,400 --> 00:16:14,880 Speaker 3: I don't think it's from Trump at all. 312 00:16:16,160 --> 00:16:20,280 Speaker 2: If Nicky Haley gets crushed tonight, Let's say she lose 313 00:16:20,360 --> 00:16:22,280 Speaker 2: by fifteen or twenty points, which I think is what's 314 00:16:22,280 --> 00:16:24,960 Speaker 2: going to happen, and then she drops out of the 315 00:16:25,040 --> 00:16:28,440 Speaker 2: race the next day, I think Trump will welcome her 316 00:16:28,480 --> 00:16:31,920 Speaker 2: back with open arms. I think there are a lot 317 00:16:32,080 --> 00:16:38,800 Speaker 2: of Trump people on social media that are way more 318 00:16:38,960 --> 00:16:43,120 Speaker 2: of the opinion that this is personal than Trump himself is. 319 00:16:43,360 --> 00:16:44,200 Speaker 3: Does that make sense? 320 00:16:44,240 --> 00:16:50,360 Speaker 2: Like I think the there's almost a aggressive competition on 321 00:16:50,440 --> 00:16:54,120 Speaker 2: social media to prove that you love Trump more than 322 00:16:54,160 --> 00:16:58,600 Speaker 2: somebody else loves Trump. And I see it kind of 323 00:16:58,640 --> 00:17:02,920 Speaker 2: as like a fan base when a sports team. Everybody 324 00:17:03,000 --> 00:17:05,200 Speaker 2: wants to prove that they're more of a die hard 325 00:17:05,359 --> 00:17:08,920 Speaker 2: than somebody else, and it is a form of fanaticism. 326 00:17:09,400 --> 00:17:13,719 Speaker 2: And so that fanaticism translates itself to Oh, I hate 327 00:17:14,080 --> 00:17:17,320 Speaker 2: the person who's against Trump more than anybody could possibly 328 00:17:17,359 --> 00:17:20,000 Speaker 2: hate them, and I don't think Trump himself has that animus. 329 00:17:20,080 --> 00:17:23,000 Speaker 3: So this is like the anti nikki people in Maga 330 00:17:23,080 --> 00:17:28,000 Speaker 3: world are somewhat akin to the guys at lambeau Field 331 00:17:28,080 --> 00:17:32,480 Speaker 3: in seven degree weather with a green g on their 332 00:17:32,480 --> 00:17:34,639 Speaker 3: stomach or something. Right, this is did I get that right? 333 00:17:34,640 --> 00:17:37,199 Speaker 2: By the way, Yeah, Like you're all, yeah, everybody is 334 00:17:37,280 --> 00:17:42,080 Speaker 2: competing to prove that they love the team more than 335 00:17:42,119 --> 00:17:45,520 Speaker 2: somebody else, and so I think they buy into this 336 00:17:46,160 --> 00:17:48,160 Speaker 2: more so than anybody else does. We'll take some calls 337 00:17:48,200 --> 00:17:51,000 Speaker 2: and we come back and get your reactions here as 338 00:17:51,040 --> 00:17:53,520 Speaker 2: we have reached New Hampshire Primary day. In the meantime, 339 00:17:53,680 --> 00:17:55,800 Speaker 2: we've got a great group of sponsors on the program, 340 00:17:55,840 --> 00:17:57,520 Speaker 2: and Pure Talk is one of them. They'll give you 341 00:17:57,560 --> 00:18:01,440 Speaker 2: phenomenal coverage on America's most dependable five network for half 342 00:18:01,480 --> 00:18:04,520 Speaker 2: the price of the other guys. Unlimited plans starting at 343 00:18:04,560 --> 00:18:07,640 Speaker 2: just twenty bucks a month, average sized family can save 344 00:18:08,040 --> 00:18:11,479 Speaker 2: one thousand dollars a year. And as a veteran owned company, 345 00:18:11,520 --> 00:18:13,760 Speaker 2: Pure Talk is a company you can feel proud to 346 00:18:13,800 --> 00:18:16,320 Speaker 2: do business with. And when you switch to pure Talk, 347 00:18:16,400 --> 00:18:19,119 Speaker 2: you keep the same phone and the same phone number. 348 00:18:19,400 --> 00:18:22,720 Speaker 2: Their customer service team, all US based, ready to help 349 00:18:22,760 --> 00:18:26,160 Speaker 2: you make the switch. Dial pound two fifty say Clay 350 00:18:26,160 --> 00:18:28,880 Speaker 2: and Buck. Switch your cell phone service to pure Talk 351 00:18:28,960 --> 00:18:32,919 Speaker 2: today and you can take advantage of their great deals again. 352 00:18:33,440 --> 00:18:36,720 Speaker 2: Dial pound two five zero say Clay and Bucks. Save 353 00:18:36,760 --> 00:18:40,280 Speaker 2: an additional fifty percent off your first month, up to 354 00:18:40,400 --> 00:18:43,960 Speaker 2: one thousand dollars a year for a family Pound two 355 00:18:44,080 --> 00:18:46,240 Speaker 2: five zero, say Clay and Buck. 356 00:18:46,840 --> 00:18:51,399 Speaker 1: Cleave Travis and Buck Sexton on the front lines of truth. 357 00:18:51,680 --> 00:18:54,480 Speaker 2: Welcome back in Clay Travis Buck sextem show Buck. I 358 00:18:54,560 --> 00:18:58,119 Speaker 2: was reading and we'll get to obviously the new Hampshire 359 00:18:58,119 --> 00:19:01,600 Speaker 2: Primaries going on. Our friend Marshall Blackburn, Senator from Tennessee, 360 00:19:01,760 --> 00:19:04,640 Speaker 2: is going to be on with us at one thirty eastern, 361 00:19:04,720 --> 00:19:07,920 Speaker 2: by the way, so just FYI on that she's fantastic. 362 00:19:07,960 --> 00:19:10,639 Speaker 2: I think you guys will enjoy that conversation and she 363 00:19:10,720 --> 00:19:13,119 Speaker 2: will tell us what she expects to see tonight in 364 00:19:13,200 --> 00:19:19,400 Speaker 2: the New Hampshire primary. But we were talking yesterday about zelotry, 365 00:19:19,520 --> 00:19:23,680 Speaker 2: basically die hard commitment, how many. 366 00:19:23,520 --> 00:19:24,840 Speaker 3: People really care. 367 00:19:25,840 --> 00:19:28,439 Speaker 2: The data and I think this is even favorable to 368 00:19:28,480 --> 00:19:36,120 Speaker 2: Biden reflects that eighteen percent of Democrats are actually strong 369 00:19:36,240 --> 00:19:42,639 Speaker 2: Biden supporters eighteen percent. Think about that eighteen percent and 370 00:19:42,680 --> 00:19:44,879 Speaker 2: then the data they say reflects and I was reading 371 00:19:44,920 --> 00:19:47,760 Speaker 2: that this morning, and again it's a measure of how 372 00:19:48,200 --> 00:19:52,960 Speaker 2: dogged your your commitment is to a candidate. That Trump 373 00:19:53,040 --> 00:19:58,000 Speaker 2: has forty four percent of Republicans that are all in. 374 00:19:58,720 --> 00:20:00,240 Speaker 2: Does that make sense to you? I think think the 375 00:20:00,320 --> 00:20:03,800 Speaker 2: forty four percent on Trump is accurate. That there are 376 00:20:03,840 --> 00:20:07,480 Speaker 2: about forty four percent of voters out there that are 377 00:20:08,160 --> 00:20:11,320 Speaker 2: really strongly it doesn't matter what Trump says or does, 378 00:20:11,480 --> 00:20:15,000 Speaker 2: they're in his camp. That I think that number is 379 00:20:15,080 --> 00:20:17,520 Speaker 2: roughly accurate. I think eighteen percent is even too high 380 00:20:17,600 --> 00:20:21,320 Speaker 2: for Biden. I'd buy that there's eighteen percent of diehard 381 00:20:21,400 --> 00:20:25,200 Speaker 2: Democrats who would vote for a corpse no matter who 382 00:20:25,200 --> 00:20:28,080 Speaker 2: the nominee is. But I don't even think they're committed 383 00:20:28,080 --> 00:20:30,479 Speaker 2: to Biden. I just think they will vote for a 384 00:20:30,520 --> 00:20:33,200 Speaker 2: corpse if you put a corpse on the ballot, which 385 00:20:33,240 --> 00:20:36,359 Speaker 2: basically that we have potentially in twenty twenty four in Biden. 386 00:20:36,840 --> 00:20:41,879 Speaker 3: The Biden base would have no change in enthusiasm in 387 00:20:41,960 --> 00:20:47,359 Speaker 3: my mind, if you put generic Democrat on the ballot 388 00:20:47,400 --> 00:20:48,879 Speaker 3: instead of Joe Biden, you know what I mean, if 389 00:20:49,000 --> 00:20:52,239 Speaker 3: if you could replace it with who was the uh? 390 00:20:52,600 --> 00:20:55,200 Speaker 3: I'm trying to remember from the last Democrat election cycle. 391 00:20:55,320 --> 00:20:57,520 Speaker 3: She ate her salad with a comb and that was 392 00:20:57,560 --> 00:21:01,280 Speaker 3: the big story. Amy Klobashar, Thank you, Amy, Amy Klobashar. 393 00:21:01,680 --> 00:21:03,800 Speaker 3: You put any Klobashar on there, I think there might 394 00:21:04,000 --> 00:21:04,879 Speaker 3: probably be more enthusia. 395 00:21:05,280 --> 00:21:07,679 Speaker 2: How funny of a story is that for people out there? 396 00:21:07,720 --> 00:21:11,280 Speaker 2: You just the story was that she there was no 397 00:21:11,480 --> 00:21:15,240 Speaker 2: fork and she was hungry, and so she just used 398 00:21:15,240 --> 00:21:19,159 Speaker 2: a comb to eat her salad, which is really very funny. Well, 399 00:21:19,160 --> 00:21:21,119 Speaker 2: I gotta tell you not to be gross. I know 400 00:21:21,200 --> 00:21:22,679 Speaker 2: some of you were eating, depending where you are in 401 00:21:22,720 --> 00:21:25,879 Speaker 2: the country, But was it a comb that had been used? 402 00:21:25,920 --> 00:21:27,600 Speaker 3: That's what I really want to know, Like, was this 403 00:21:27,640 --> 00:21:29,520 Speaker 3: a comb that you know, some combs get a little 404 00:21:29,520 --> 00:21:31,520 Speaker 3: gnarly after a while they get a little used up 405 00:21:31,880 --> 00:21:34,879 Speaker 3: or was it out of the plastic packaging? Still weird, 406 00:21:35,280 --> 00:21:38,280 Speaker 3: But if it was an untouched comb, I think it's 407 00:21:38,400 --> 00:21:41,119 Speaker 3: less gross either way. I think I just go with 408 00:21:41,160 --> 00:21:43,359 Speaker 3: my hand. I just kick at old school. I wouldn't 409 00:21:43,440 --> 00:21:45,119 Speaker 3: use a comb, I thought a hundred. 410 00:21:45,200 --> 00:21:46,760 Speaker 2: I mean, first of all, I'm probably not going to 411 00:21:46,800 --> 00:21:48,800 Speaker 2: be eating a salad, as many of you would attest, 412 00:21:48,960 --> 00:21:50,720 Speaker 2: so it's probably not going to be a salad that 413 00:21:50,760 --> 00:21:53,119 Speaker 2: I'm eating. Remember they had this story about Ron DeSantis 414 00:21:53,119 --> 00:21:57,480 Speaker 2: with putting fingers that they ran like last may or whatever. 415 00:21:57,520 --> 00:22:01,879 Speaker 3: It was arguing that that that stuff's childish, but it 416 00:22:01,960 --> 00:22:04,119 Speaker 3: sticks in people's minds. I mean, there's a reason they 417 00:22:04,119 --> 00:22:06,720 Speaker 3: do it in politics. Even if you recognize it as childish, 418 00:22:06,800 --> 00:22:08,119 Speaker 3: it's a sticky ad. 419 00:22:08,800 --> 00:22:12,680 Speaker 2: I also think that's a function of sometimes like that 420 00:22:12,760 --> 00:22:16,320 Speaker 2: Amy Klobashar story is I think a lot of her 421 00:22:16,359 --> 00:22:17,720 Speaker 2: staff said they didn't like her. 422 00:22:18,080 --> 00:22:19,879 Speaker 3: Right, he's a horrible and abusive to staff. 423 00:22:19,960 --> 00:22:23,760 Speaker 2: Yes, yes, And by the way, my standard, I don't 424 00:22:23,760 --> 00:22:27,560 Speaker 2: know what your standard on this is. If you always 425 00:22:27,720 --> 00:22:30,679 Speaker 2: are awful to your staff, I do think that says 426 00:22:30,720 --> 00:22:32,240 Speaker 2: something really about you. 427 00:22:32,480 --> 00:22:34,960 Speaker 3: Right, You're an awful person. Yeah, yes, it's pretty straightforward. 428 00:22:34,960 --> 00:22:38,960 Speaker 2: Whereas you know, I think if you are not occasionally 429 00:22:39,040 --> 00:22:42,320 Speaker 2: mad at something associated with your staff, so I always 430 00:22:42,359 --> 00:22:44,200 Speaker 2: wonder those stories always get out. 431 00:22:44,760 --> 00:22:47,440 Speaker 3: But if you occasionally are like, oh my. 432 00:22:47,400 --> 00:22:50,320 Speaker 2: God, this is so incompetent and you yell about something 433 00:22:50,320 --> 00:22:53,639 Speaker 2: getting screwed up, I think that makes sense. But the 434 00:22:53,720 --> 00:22:57,440 Speaker 2: people that really that these politicians seem to have issues 435 00:22:57,480 --> 00:23:00,719 Speaker 2: with are the Amy Klobashars of the world, where almost 436 00:23:00,800 --> 00:23:03,600 Speaker 2: everything that's said about them by staff is negative or 437 00:23:03,680 --> 00:23:05,440 Speaker 2: your constant I think this is true with Kamalin. 438 00:23:05,520 --> 00:23:08,560 Speaker 3: Now, if you're constantly having to. 439 00:23:08,640 --> 00:23:13,439 Speaker 2: Hire new staff, then you're probably not that skilled and 440 00:23:13,520 --> 00:23:15,600 Speaker 2: also probably not that good of a person to work with. 441 00:23:16,080 --> 00:23:18,359 Speaker 3: Look, the truth is, I mean the administration. I think 442 00:23:18,400 --> 00:23:21,040 Speaker 3: there was a learning curve for Trump starting in twenty sixteen, 443 00:23:21,480 --> 00:23:23,840 Speaker 3: and I think he's a difficult guy to work for obviously. 444 00:23:23,880 --> 00:23:27,840 Speaker 3: I mean, he's very volatile and it's not but people, 445 00:23:28,040 --> 00:23:31,199 Speaker 3: a lot of people that have spent considerable time with 446 00:23:31,280 --> 00:23:34,000 Speaker 3: him over the years love the guy. I mean you 447 00:23:34,040 --> 00:23:36,399 Speaker 3: look at someone like Rudy Giuliani, for example, and you 448 00:23:36,440 --> 00:23:39,080 Speaker 3: know he's going through some challenges right now, but he 449 00:23:39,119 --> 00:23:41,560 Speaker 3: loves Donald Trump. Steve Bennon loves Donald Trump like there 450 00:23:41,600 --> 00:23:43,879 Speaker 3: are people that And even though Bannon got kicked out 451 00:23:43,920 --> 00:23:46,320 Speaker 3: of the Nussians that kicked out left the White House 452 00:23:46,359 --> 00:23:48,600 Speaker 3: of his own accord at one point early the administration, 453 00:23:48,920 --> 00:23:51,120 Speaker 3: but then came back and was sort of a senior advisor. 454 00:23:51,240 --> 00:23:55,160 Speaker 3: So there's an affinity that people have for Trump, even 455 00:23:55,160 --> 00:23:56,919 Speaker 3: who have been on the wrong side of him. That's 456 00:23:56,960 --> 00:24:00,360 Speaker 3: what I'm trying to get you. And I've never heard 457 00:24:00,359 --> 00:24:02,840 Speaker 3: of somebody who Look what happened with Biden is the 458 00:24:03,240 --> 00:24:06,119 Speaker 3: effectively the Obama apparatus was like, all right, so I 459 00:24:06,160 --> 00:24:08,720 Speaker 3: guess this guy's in charge now, Not really though they 460 00:24:08,760 --> 00:24:12,280 Speaker 3: came in, they swooped in, and that's who was That's 461 00:24:12,280 --> 00:24:14,680 Speaker 3: who has been really calling all the shots. I don't 462 00:24:14,720 --> 00:24:16,840 Speaker 3: think that there's a lot of enthusiasm for Joe Biden. 463 00:24:17,080 --> 00:24:19,800 Speaker 3: I think we I'm starting to really feel like we 464 00:24:19,920 --> 00:24:24,359 Speaker 3: know what the Democrat plan is here. There's not some 465 00:24:24,560 --> 00:24:27,879 Speaker 3: huge surprise, and they're just going to try to leverage 466 00:24:27,920 --> 00:24:30,240 Speaker 3: what they've got to get the outcome that they want. 467 00:24:30,440 --> 00:24:32,600 Speaker 3: I don't know that there's anything else for them than 468 00:24:32,600 --> 00:24:33,760 Speaker 3: what we see ahead of us. 469 00:24:33,960 --> 00:24:36,320 Speaker 2: I'm trying to look ahead and That's why I think 470 00:24:36,359 --> 00:24:38,280 Speaker 2: that they're going to have a break the glass moment. 471 00:24:38,320 --> 00:24:39,800 Speaker 2: So let me just give you a date, just a 472 00:24:39,880 --> 00:24:44,359 Speaker 2: random date. When we get to this is something for 473 00:24:44,440 --> 00:24:46,639 Speaker 2: everybody out there. We can flag this date. What do 474 00:24:46,680 --> 00:24:51,000 Speaker 2: we January twenty third today? If the polls still looks 475 00:24:51,000 --> 00:24:54,040 Speaker 2: similar to what they look like now as we come 476 00:24:54,160 --> 00:24:57,960 Speaker 2: up on Memorial Day? Right, so let's say May twenty fourth. 477 00:24:58,000 --> 00:25:00,000 Speaker 2: I don't know what Memorial Day is this year, but yeah, 478 00:25:00,160 --> 00:25:00,920 Speaker 2: mid to late May. 479 00:25:02,720 --> 00:25:05,760 Speaker 3: Well. The reason when when will you say, Buck? You 480 00:25:05,880 --> 00:25:11,959 Speaker 3: are a wise shage genius of politics? It is in 481 00:25:12,080 --> 00:25:14,840 Speaker 3: fact Joe Biden? Like what is the drop dead date 482 00:25:14,960 --> 00:25:16,840 Speaker 3: on this July? When? 483 00:25:16,920 --> 00:25:18,320 Speaker 2: I mean when they go to the when they go 484 00:25:18,400 --> 00:25:20,879 Speaker 2: to the convention. If Biden is nominated and gives his 485 00:25:20,960 --> 00:25:24,360 Speaker 2: convention acceptance speech, he's going to be the nominee. So 486 00:25:24,560 --> 00:25:27,080 Speaker 2: the reason why I'm I'm if you lose this, will 487 00:25:27,119 --> 00:25:29,080 Speaker 2: you will you say I've learned the valuable lesson, which 488 00:25:29,160 --> 00:25:29,760 Speaker 2: is always bet on? 489 00:25:29,800 --> 00:25:32,000 Speaker 3: Buck? Can we get so we got to get you 490 00:25:32,040 --> 00:25:33,840 Speaker 3: to pray? This is like instead of shaving your head 491 00:25:33,920 --> 00:25:36,240 Speaker 3: or something. Well, we moved on from I have to 492 00:25:36,280 --> 00:25:39,600 Speaker 3: pay off a stake. So now I have to acknowledge 493 00:25:39,600 --> 00:25:42,120 Speaker 3: that that I always have to agree with every opinion 494 00:25:42,160 --> 00:25:44,200 Speaker 3: you give for the remainder of a man. I always 495 00:25:44,200 --> 00:25:47,399 Speaker 3: feeling that seems like that seems like a big that 496 00:25:47,440 --> 00:25:48,400 Speaker 3: seems like a big leap. 497 00:25:49,280 --> 00:25:55,200 Speaker 2: But I do think if we reach Memorial Day ish, 498 00:25:55,359 --> 00:25:57,919 Speaker 2: right like mid May into Memorial Day, the reason why 499 00:25:57,960 --> 00:26:00,800 Speaker 2: I flagg that is a lot of people are gonna 500 00:26:00,800 --> 00:26:03,840 Speaker 2: tune out. I know that I will to a certain extent, 501 00:26:04,720 --> 00:26:07,119 Speaker 2: but not really me because of what we do. But 502 00:26:07,600 --> 00:26:10,600 Speaker 2: when your kids get out of school and it's June 503 00:26:10,720 --> 00:26:15,359 Speaker 2: and July, it's vacation season, August, everybody's playing Little League, 504 00:26:15,520 --> 00:26:20,080 Speaker 2: Grandma and grandpa taking vacations with the family, everybody, there's 505 00:26:20,160 --> 00:26:21,160 Speaker 2: really a pause. 506 00:26:21,720 --> 00:26:22,800 Speaker 3: I think that's gonna happen. 507 00:26:22,840 --> 00:26:27,000 Speaker 2: I'm actually surprised still that they do the conventions in 508 00:26:27,080 --> 00:26:29,560 Speaker 2: the summer. I almost think it would make more sense 509 00:26:29,640 --> 00:26:32,760 Speaker 2: to do them like in September. But maybe they're way 510 00:26:32,800 --> 00:26:37,520 Speaker 2: smarter than me. But if the numbers haven't changed by May, 511 00:26:38,520 --> 00:26:40,680 Speaker 2: I think there's gonna be a break the glass moment 512 00:26:40,720 --> 00:26:44,639 Speaker 2: for Democrats on the Joe Biden situation, because they'll have 513 00:26:44,720 --> 00:26:48,480 Speaker 2: to decide then, Okay, look, we're going to have a 514 00:26:48,480 --> 00:26:53,280 Speaker 2: contested convention. Let's set the process in place. Joe Biden's 515 00:26:53,320 --> 00:26:55,000 Speaker 2: gonna come out and say that he doesn't have the 516 00:26:55,080 --> 00:26:58,159 Speaker 2: health to be able to continue. If they don't do 517 00:26:58,320 --> 00:27:01,159 Speaker 2: it by then, then that that's the drop dead. I 518 00:27:01,240 --> 00:27:04,400 Speaker 2: thought that he would drop out last year. I think honestly, 519 00:27:04,640 --> 00:27:08,280 Speaker 2: the success in the midterms changed the narrative. I think 520 00:27:08,280 --> 00:27:10,800 Speaker 2: if we had seen that red tsunami, I think there 521 00:27:10,840 --> 00:27:13,440 Speaker 2: would have been more of a panic, and then I 522 00:27:13,480 --> 00:27:16,320 Speaker 2: also think bucked. By the time we get to May, 523 00:27:16,800 --> 00:27:19,080 Speaker 2: we'll have a better sense of how the lawfair is 524 00:27:19,119 --> 00:27:22,400 Speaker 2: playing out for Trump, and that will also potentially impact 525 00:27:23,119 --> 00:27:26,119 Speaker 2: what the polls look like. But I just don't see 526 00:27:27,320 --> 00:27:31,080 Speaker 2: some massive thing that's going to happen. And obviously lots 527 00:27:31,080 --> 00:27:32,840 Speaker 2: can change. We wouldn't have if we were doing this 528 00:27:32,920 --> 00:27:36,439 Speaker 2: show and COVID came out of nowhere in twenty twenty, right. 529 00:27:36,400 --> 00:27:40,520 Speaker 3: We always leave open those possibilities. I think what the 530 00:27:40,880 --> 00:27:48,120 Speaker 3: real X factor situation here, the turning point could be 531 00:27:48,880 --> 00:27:51,600 Speaker 3: if they can get a conviction in that DC trial 532 00:27:51,680 --> 00:27:53,639 Speaker 3: based on the polling that we've seen. If they can, 533 00:27:53,720 --> 00:27:56,879 Speaker 3: and I don't know that we can. Look, we're talking 534 00:27:56,920 --> 00:27:58,359 Speaker 3: the next hour in a few minutes here about the 535 00:27:58,359 --> 00:28:00,679 Speaker 3: Supreme Court on the razor wire, which I think y 536 00:28:00,760 --> 00:28:03,720 Speaker 3: four they got it wrong. Okay, by four they got 537 00:28:03,720 --> 00:28:08,520 Speaker 3: it wrong. But I will sit here and just extra, 538 00:28:08,640 --> 00:28:12,200 Speaker 3: you know, think ahead, extrapolate a little bit into that's 539 00:28:12,200 --> 00:28:13,960 Speaker 3: got to be what this all is. Right, It has 540 00:28:14,040 --> 00:28:15,639 Speaker 3: to be that they think they can get that conviction 541 00:28:15,720 --> 00:28:19,840 Speaker 3: in DC and that that turns everything around, because the 542 00:28:19,880 --> 00:28:22,840 Speaker 3: same polling that has been showing us so far things 543 00:28:22,880 --> 00:28:26,520 Speaker 3: correctly shows us that that is a Remember, it doesn't 544 00:28:26,520 --> 00:28:28,240 Speaker 3: have to change the minds of fifty percent of the 545 00:28:28,280 --> 00:28:31,800 Speaker 3: American people and has to change the minds of five 546 00:28:31,920 --> 00:28:35,439 Speaker 3: or six percent of the American people and two percent 547 00:28:35,480 --> 00:28:37,120 Speaker 3: of the electorate. Maybe you know what I mean. It's 548 00:28:37,119 --> 00:28:39,400 Speaker 3: going to be a tiny, a tiny wedge. 549 00:28:39,840 --> 00:28:42,960 Speaker 2: And by May we'll know what the timeframe of that 550 00:28:43,160 --> 00:28:47,040 Speaker 2: DC case would be, because I think the Supreme Court's 551 00:28:47,080 --> 00:28:48,880 Speaker 2: going to hold and they're not going to be able 552 00:28:48,880 --> 00:28:52,040 Speaker 2: to start that trial until after July fourth. And if 553 00:28:52,040 --> 00:28:54,680 Speaker 2: that happens, then it's really hard to argue it's not 554 00:28:54,720 --> 00:28:58,960 Speaker 2: directly political. So again, May is where I would say, 555 00:28:59,480 --> 00:29:02,480 Speaker 2: mid May if we're still sitting around this place, because remember, 556 00:29:02,720 --> 00:29:06,360 Speaker 2: Biden doesn't just have to win based on the way 557 00:29:06,360 --> 00:29:08,040 Speaker 2: the electoral math is set up. 558 00:29:08,760 --> 00:29:10,480 Speaker 3: He needs to win. It can't be a tie. 559 00:29:10,640 --> 00:29:13,360 Speaker 2: He needs to win by like three points because of 560 00:29:13,400 --> 00:29:14,720 Speaker 2: the way the math sets up. 561 00:29:15,040 --> 00:29:17,760 Speaker 3: So you have you have bought yourself another six months here, 562 00:29:17,800 --> 00:29:21,080 Speaker 3: mister Clay Travis of maybe it's not Biden. But when 563 00:29:21,120 --> 00:29:24,680 Speaker 3: we get into July three months did I say in 564 00:29:24,720 --> 00:29:27,400 Speaker 3: to May Oh, well, no, I thought you said. But 565 00:29:27,400 --> 00:29:30,360 Speaker 3: but July they have in July. Well, if they nominate 566 00:29:30,440 --> 00:29:33,080 Speaker 3: him at the convention, he's running, so there will be 567 00:29:33,160 --> 00:29:35,560 Speaker 3: no argument at all from me by the time we 568 00:29:35,600 --> 00:29:37,960 Speaker 3: get to jail. I'm gonna hold you to this August first. 569 00:29:38,560 --> 00:29:40,680 Speaker 3: If you tell me that Joe Biden's not the nominee 570 00:29:40,680 --> 00:29:43,680 Speaker 3: after he's phenomena at the convention, I'm I'm gonna, I 571 00:29:43,680 --> 00:29:46,760 Speaker 3: don't know, I'm gonna like, I will give the air 572 00:29:48,080 --> 00:29:50,240 Speaker 3: all right. Eight hundred two A two two eight eight two. 573 00:29:50,760 --> 00:29:54,080 Speaker 3: The generosity found in this audience is remarkable. Thank you 574 00:29:54,120 --> 00:29:57,840 Speaker 3: for supporting the Preborn Network of Clinics. 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It was just a decision, came 601 00:31:27,240 --> 00:31:31,360 Speaker 3: down five to four, and it's a reminder to everybody 602 00:31:31,400 --> 00:31:35,720 Speaker 3: that the real plan for the Democrats, the real plan 603 00:31:35,800 --> 00:31:39,520 Speaker 3: going forward is to make sure the border remains unsecure, 604 00:31:39,880 --> 00:31:41,840 Speaker 3: to make sure that illegals continue to come in, to 605 00:31:41,880 --> 00:31:44,800 Speaker 3: make sure the fentanel continues to pile into this country. 606 00:31:45,680 --> 00:31:48,280 Speaker 3: Tens of thousands of people dying from overdoses, many of 607 00:31:48,320 --> 00:31:51,360 Speaker 3: them dying from accidental poisoning from the fentanyl that is 608 00:31:51,360 --> 00:31:56,840 Speaker 3: getting mixed into other drugs. So Democrats are shameful on 609 00:31:56,840 --> 00:31:59,520 Speaker 3: this issue, and we need to explain and get into 610 00:32:00,240 --> 00:32:02,520 Speaker 3: why it is that they take the positions they do. 611 00:32:02,680 --> 00:32:06,920 Speaker 3: In our mail bag, we actually have our first we 612 00:32:06,960 --> 00:32:09,440 Speaker 3: have our first mailbag question about this, Jeffrey Wright. So 613 00:32:09,480 --> 00:32:12,400 Speaker 3: the Supreme Court rule the federal government can remove the 614 00:32:12,520 --> 00:32:17,160 Speaker 3: razor wire from the Texas Mexico border. How far inland 615 00:32:17,160 --> 00:32:19,880 Speaker 3: from the border does the federal government have control. My 616 00:32:20,000 --> 00:32:22,120 Speaker 3: question is if Texas moved the razor wire back a 617 00:32:22,200 --> 00:32:24,960 Speaker 3: mile from the border into the interior of Texas, could 618 00:32:25,440 --> 00:32:27,680 Speaker 3: Supreme Court still rule the federal government has the right 619 00:32:27,760 --> 00:32:31,440 Speaker 3: to remove it. Well, the problem with moving it into 620 00:32:31,480 --> 00:32:33,800 Speaker 3: the interior is that then people are in the interior 621 00:32:33,840 --> 00:32:36,400 Speaker 3: and Texas wouldn't have doesn't have. 622 00:32:36,600 --> 00:32:39,080 Speaker 2: Enforced you you're trying to keep people from getting to 623 00:32:39,440 --> 00:32:44,080 Speaker 2: Texas to get on the US. If you put razor wire, 624 00:32:44,160 --> 00:32:46,959 Speaker 2: you know, just south of Austin, they would just go 625 00:32:47,000 --> 00:32:48,400 Speaker 2: around it, you know what I mean, They would find 626 00:32:48,440 --> 00:32:50,720 Speaker 2: other places to go. So this is We're going to 627 00:32:50,800 --> 00:32:54,400 Speaker 2: get into this in a big way because I think 628 00:32:54,480 --> 00:33:01,360 Speaker 2: this is a just monumental ruling, even though there still 629 00:33:01,440 --> 00:33:04,040 Speaker 2: is a dispute pending at the Fifth Circuit and there's 630 00:33:04,080 --> 00:33:06,000 Speaker 2: still a lot of different legal wranglings. 631 00:33:06,400 --> 00:33:09,560 Speaker 3: But to me, and I'll talk about this a little bit. 632 00:33:09,400 --> 00:33:12,520 Speaker 2: More in the third hour, I think that the Supreme 633 00:33:12,520 --> 00:33:15,080 Speaker 2: Court justices are in a really tough spot here, and 634 00:33:15,880 --> 00:33:19,760 Speaker 2: I disagree with the impact of the ruling because I 635 00:33:19,800 --> 00:33:22,120 Speaker 2: think we need to have a secure southern border. But 636 00:33:22,240 --> 00:33:25,800 Speaker 2: at its essence, what the Supreme Court is saying is 637 00:33:25,840 --> 00:33:30,440 Speaker 2: that the federal government controls immigration policy, and that the 638 00:33:30,480 --> 00:33:36,640 Speaker 2: president actually has basically supreme power as the chief enforcer 639 00:33:36,800 --> 00:33:41,600 Speaker 2: of American immigration policy. So while many people are saying, oh, 640 00:33:41,840 --> 00:33:45,240 Speaker 2: I'm so mad at Amy Cony Barrett and to a 641 00:33:45,320 --> 00:33:48,560 Speaker 2: lesser extent John Roberts, who regularly flip flops back and forth, 642 00:33:49,200 --> 00:33:53,520 Speaker 2: I read this opinion in some way as this just 643 00:33:53,600 --> 00:33:57,880 Speaker 2: makes who the president is even more important, because what 644 00:33:57,920 --> 00:34:00,000 Speaker 2: they're really saying is we're going to give a great 645 00:34:00,120 --> 00:34:03,680 Speaker 2: deal of discretion to the powers of the presidency as 646 00:34:03,720 --> 00:34:09,080 Speaker 2: it pertains to what American immigration policy is. Therefore, if 647 00:34:09,120 --> 00:34:11,960 Speaker 2: Trump were in charge, because he's going to get sued 648 00:34:12,000 --> 00:34:15,160 Speaker 2: immediately for every decision that he makes. Right, And that's 649 00:34:15,200 --> 00:34:18,160 Speaker 2: the big challenge in general about border security is it's 650 00:34:18,160 --> 00:34:20,280 Speaker 2: going to take years for a lot of these cases 651 00:34:20,320 --> 00:34:22,520 Speaker 2: to get resolved, and Trump's only going to have four. 652 00:34:23,360 --> 00:34:26,760 Speaker 2: But what it tells you is the presidency matters even 653 00:34:26,880 --> 00:34:29,360 Speaker 2: more than you might have thought when it comes to 654 00:34:29,480 --> 00:34:34,080 Speaker 2: the overall security of our border. Aka, elections have consequences, 655 00:34:34,080 --> 00:34:36,759 Speaker 2: and who wins matters a great deal. Yeah, well, this 656 00:34:36,880 --> 00:34:38,600 Speaker 2: is one of the challenges that even if you have 657 00:34:38,680 --> 00:34:42,040 Speaker 2: a Trump presidency has not gone away at all, and 658 00:34:42,040 --> 00:34:47,400 Speaker 2: that is the universal universal injunctions from a single federal judge, 659 00:34:47,440 --> 00:34:51,200 Speaker 2: nevermind Supreme Court justices. Well, this was a form of 660 00:34:51,280 --> 00:34:55,640 Speaker 2: law there used early on in the Trump administration, starting 661 00:34:55,680 --> 00:34:57,680 Speaker 2: in twenty sixteen. Remember, we used to talk about the 662 00:34:57,760 --> 00:35:00,080 Speaker 2: Ninth Circuit, which is they'd get some Ninth Circuit a 663 00:35:00,160 --> 00:35:01,920 Speaker 2: judge to say you can't do that. And you know, 664 00:35:02,280 --> 00:35:04,480 Speaker 2: the travel ban was a good example of this, when 665 00:35:04,480 --> 00:35:06,400 Speaker 2: all the way up the Supreme Court and the travel 666 00:35:06,400 --> 00:35:08,600 Speaker 2: ban ended up being held constitutional, but you had all 667 00:35:08,600 --> 00:35:11,279 Speaker 2: these federal judges saying, oh, you can't do that. So 668 00:35:11,960 --> 00:35:15,040 Speaker 2: there are challenges built into the system that will be 669 00:35:15,120 --> 00:35:17,880 Speaker 2: there for Trump for sure, be there no matter who 670 00:35:18,000 --> 00:35:18,480 Speaker 2: ends up winning. 671 00:35:18,520 --> 00:35:20,440 Speaker 3: You gots, Yeah, I just screwed up. 672 00:35:20,560 --> 00:35:24,520 Speaker 2: The Democrat convention is after the Republican convention this year, 673 00:35:24,560 --> 00:35:27,120 Speaker 2: so I flip flopped. So I've got even more time 674 00:35:27,160 --> 00:35:30,239 Speaker 2: to hold out on my on my when they were 675 00:35:30,280 --> 00:35:31,000 Speaker 2: replaced by. 676 00:35:30,880 --> 00:35:36,080 Speaker 3: He's already, he's already, he's given himself more, you know, Chicago, Chicago. 677 00:35:36,239 --> 00:35:38,440 Speaker 2: Remember we could have a nineteen sixty eight repeat, but 678 00:35:38,480 --> 00:35:42,760 Speaker 2: it's not till August nineteenth. Till the twenty second of August, 679 00:35:43,280 --> 00:35:48,920 Speaker 2: Democrats are batting a month after the after their Republicans 680 00:35:48,960 --> 00:35:52,200 Speaker 2: and I should have remembered that Mark in one of 681 00:35:52,239 --> 00:35:55,520 Speaker 2: our VIP emails said they get to bat in the 682 00:35:55,520 --> 00:35:57,160 Speaker 2: bottom of the ninth a full month later. 683 00:35:57,239 --> 00:35:59,000 Speaker 3: They have a whole month to figure out getting rid 684 00:35:59,040 --> 00:35:59,480 Speaker 3: of Biden. 685 00:35:59,560 --> 00:36:02,000 Speaker 2: So Buck, Yeah, I got all the way almost to 686 00:36:02,120 --> 00:36:04,359 Speaker 2: Labor Day to keep my bet going. 687 00:36:04,480 --> 00:36:07,280 Speaker 3: I'm just telling you, buddy, on this Biden running issue, 688 00:36:07,360 --> 00:36:09,800 Speaker 3: you keep dropping back and punting, You're gonna get tackled 689 00:36:09,800 --> 00:36:11,880 Speaker 3: in the end zone, my friend. Okay, you know you're 690 00:36:11,920 --> 00:36:16,400 Speaker 3: running out of space. That's not a bad analogy, honestly, 691 00:36:17,080 --> 00:36:20,960 Speaker 3: but you nail the sports analogy there. But I will 692 00:36:21,040 --> 00:36:25,040 Speaker 3: say late August, Man, they could make that switch. 693 00:36:25,080 --> 00:36:29,240 Speaker 2: Michelle Obama, in her hometown of Chicago, comes in riding 694 00:36:29,280 --> 00:36:32,520 Speaker 2: on the shoulders on the throne. They put her right there. 695 00:36:32,560 --> 00:36:34,400 Speaker 2: They say, you only have to do this for two months. 696 00:36:34,440 --> 00:36:38,279 Speaker 2: Barack Obama's back in power. I'm telling you it is 697 00:36:38,360 --> 00:36:42,960 Speaker 2: going to be glorious to see the chaos. 698 00:36:43,360 --> 00:36:45,000 Speaker 3: We're gonna see it. We're gonna see We're talking about 699 00:36:45,000 --> 00:36:47,799 Speaker 3: the border, the razor wire, the illegals all coming up