WEBVTT - OpenAI Discusses Giving Altman 7% Stake in For-Profit Shift

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio News. This is Bloomberg business

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<v Speaker 1>Week inside from the reporters and editors who bring you

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<v Speaker 1>America's most trusted business magazine, plus global business, finance and

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<v Speaker 1>tech news. The Bloomberg Business Week Podcast with Carol Messer

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<v Speaker 1>and Tim Stenebeck from Bloomberg Radio.

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<v Speaker 2>We want to get to another story that was happening

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<v Speaker 2>late Wednesday as well, and that has to do with

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<v Speaker 2>one of the AI darlings.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah.

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<v Speaker 4>Of course, we were talking yesterday about the departure of

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<v Speaker 4>Chief Technology Officer Mira Morati, chief research officer Bob McGrew,

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<v Speaker 4>and we've been hearing from Sam Altman from Open Ai

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<v Speaker 4>as well, talking about executive departures at the startup being

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<v Speaker 4>unrelated to restructuring that's happening at the company as it

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<v Speaker 4>considers moving to a for profit structure. Bloomberg Today reporting

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<v Speaker 4>that open Ai is discussing giving Sam Altman a seven

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<v Speaker 4>percent equity stake in the company as part of that restructuring.

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<v Speaker 4>Bring in co host of Bloomberg Technology, Ad Ludlow his

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<v Speaker 4>Nor San Francisco Bureau for more on this. Hey, Ed,

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<v Speaker 4>great to have you back on. I mean, let's try

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<v Speaker 4>and put all these pieces together, right, Are the executive departures,

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<v Speaker 4>as far as we know, linked to the restructuring that's

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<v Speaker 4>being discussed at open Ai.

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<v Speaker 5>Yeah, we don't know. And Sam Altman, you know, fortunately

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<v Speaker 5>walked in front of a camera twelve hours after the

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<v Speaker 5>news broke and had every opportunity to explain it, and

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<v Speaker 5>he said, no, that they're relating to the individuals involved,

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<v Speaker 5>their personal lives and their professional lives and wanting to

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<v Speaker 5>do something new. But I would say that, you know,

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<v Speaker 5>sources were very clear that inside open ai, which is

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<v Speaker 5>a really important technology company, right, there's a lot at

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<v Speaker 5>stake here and the people that work there know that,

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<v Speaker 5>and they saw what these people who decided to leave

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<v Speaker 5>the company said, and internal slack channels and other comms

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<v Speaker 5>tools were basically like what is going on? Like this

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<v Speaker 5>is dodge, Like this is weird. But the long and

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<v Speaker 5>short of it is, no, we do not know if

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<v Speaker 5>they are linked.

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<v Speaker 6>You know, we talk about open Ai.

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<v Speaker 2>The only reason I feel like we are talking so

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<v Speaker 2>much about open ai is when you go back almost

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<v Speaker 2>two years, right, and that big investment by Microsoft that

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<v Speaker 2>got us all talking about and focusing on this company.

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<v Speaker 2>Having said that, should we assume they're a big investor.

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<v Speaker 2>Should we assume that what's going on now kind of

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<v Speaker 2>has some consultation for Microsoft or not necessarily.

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<v Speaker 5>Yeah, So this is actually the opportunity to clarify something

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<v Speaker 5>that's really important. Microsoft is the single biggest investor into

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<v Speaker 5>open ai at this stage, and at one time it

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<v Speaker 5>held forty nine percent of the entity in which you

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<v Speaker 5>could invest, but it probably is less than forty nine

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<v Speaker 5>percent now because of the additional rounds of capital that

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<v Speaker 5>open ai has raised. And if I make a Carol,

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<v Speaker 5>I also would like to explain, like the structure of

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<v Speaker 5>open ai as it stands, so its origin was not

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<v Speaker 5>for profit, okay, and how it works right now is

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<v Speaker 5>you have a nonprofit in this country America, a five

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<v Speaker 5>oh one C three, a charity, and the for profit

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<v Speaker 5>business is a subsidiary of that. And the way that

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<v Speaker 5>open ai operates. And to answer your question is that

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<v Speaker 5>it now has a board who do not hold any

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<v Speaker 5>equity at all, and that board includes Sam Altman. So

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<v Speaker 5>there are two things that I'm answering here. One, Microsoft

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<v Speaker 5>owns a pretty big chunk of it, therefore doesn't have

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<v Speaker 5>a board seat. Sam Altman has a board seat. But

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<v Speaker 5>if he's to own equity. It raises a question about

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<v Speaker 5>him continuing to be on the board. And the whole

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<v Speaker 5>mechanism was put in place because they didn't want the

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<v Speaker 5>vested interests of shareholders to be competing with the mission

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<v Speaker 5>statement of the company, which is more around building artificial

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<v Speaker 5>intelligence that benefits society at large. Goodness, what a mouthful.

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<v Speaker 4>But how would that change if they did move to

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<v Speaker 4>the public benefit corporation status? How would that mission be

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<v Speaker 4>altered apart from what you and colleagues have been reporting about,

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<v Speaker 4>you know, potential equity stake and questions ever, Sam Oltman.

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<v Speaker 5>Yeah, again, I think it's really important state We just

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<v Speaker 5>don't know. I was on your show yesterday. You may

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<v Speaker 5>remember talking about Meta and there was a Reuter's report

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<v Speaker 5>that open Ai was moving to a for profit model,

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<v Speaker 5>was moving to a B corp. And what happened was

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<v Speaker 5>I was driving home from Menlo Park. I almost got

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<v Speaker 5>to the Golden Gate Bridge and a source phoned me

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<v Speaker 5>and told me what was going on, but clarified that

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<v Speaker 5>nothing legally has changed. Open ai is looking at all

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<v Speaker 5>kinds of mechanisms, so they haven't actually taken any action.

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<v Speaker 5>I think the Reuter's report probably went too far. But

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<v Speaker 5>the bee corp instrument is interesting. At the very basics

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<v Speaker 5>of a bee corp are that you are a for

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<v Speaker 5>profit business. There are examples out there like Patagonia. I'm

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<v Speaker 5>a Patagonia wearer. The apparel you may be familiar with it.

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<v Speaker 5>But in the by laws of the company, the sort

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<v Speaker 5>of lofty, big picture wildly goals and missions of the

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<v Speaker 5>company are codified. They're written down so you can pursue profit,

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<v Speaker 5>but you're also mandated to pursue those other goals as

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<v Speaker 5>well because they're in the by laws of your company.

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<v Speaker 2>Well, first of all, thank you for reminding me you

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<v Speaker 2>were the great reporter on Meta yesterday. I had forgotten

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<v Speaker 2>and and I'm just gonna say, open up a every

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<v Speaker 2>time we talk about it, I feel like it's just

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<v Speaker 2>a great B school case study because of just these

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<v Speaker 2>twists and turns, the ousting of Sam Altman, he's back

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<v Speaker 2>like it's just unbelievable, and it ain't over, that's for sure.

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<v Speaker 2>Ed Ludlow, you're the best co host of Bloomberg Technology

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<v Speaker 2>joining us. Of course, you can catch it out Bloomberg

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<v Speaker 2>TV eleven am Wall Street Time Monday through Friday.

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<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Business Week podcast. Catch us

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<v Speaker 6>All right, we are so looking forward to our next guest.

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<v Speaker 2>He's got a great vantage point in the global economy,

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<v Speaker 2>global mining, climate change. Just this past week for Toscue,

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<v Speaker 2>the world's fourth biggest iron ore miner, saying it will

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<v Speaker 2>pay two point eight billion to replace two thirds of

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<v Speaker 2>its fleet of hollage trucks and equipment in Western Australia

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<v Speaker 2>with EV versions as it seeks to cut diesel consumption

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<v Speaker 2>and meet ambitious emissions reduction targets.

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<v Speaker 6>There's a lot going on.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, they're sure is. And look we've got lots to

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<v Speaker 4>talk to Andrew Forrest about it, joins us in studio,

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<v Speaker 4>executive chairman and billionaire of Perth, Australia based Fordescu in

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<v Speaker 4>ten this week during the UN General Assembly and Climate

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<v Speaker 4>Week as well. Welcome to Bloomberg Business Week. How are you.

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<v Speaker 7>I'm on fire?

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<v Speaker 3>Thank you.

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<v Speaker 4>I'm just an exciting place right now. It certainly is.

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<v Speaker 4>And look at a time that we're going to talk

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<v Speaker 4>about your climate transition plan a moment, because that's a

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<v Speaker 4>really interesting conversation. We've spent all week talking about China

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<v Speaker 4>and the stimulus efforts being made there, and this is

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<v Speaker 4>a story that's very central to your business as well.

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<v Speaker 4>Imported iron ore used in roughly of eighty percent of

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<v Speaker 4>Chinese steel production. Talk to us about the picture that

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<v Speaker 4>you're seeing of the Chinese economy from your side of

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<v Speaker 4>the business and the demand. How bad is it?

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<v Speaker 7>Oh?

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<v Speaker 4>Good is I mean?

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<v Speaker 7>Basically, you've had mining companies being fat, dumb and happy

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<v Speaker 7>for a very long time because the anal price has

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<v Speaker 7>been so good, so we're all heroes. But now, oh

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<v Speaker 7>my god, the annual price is fallen, which means it's

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<v Speaker 7>a lot better value, by the way, for the customer,

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<v Speaker 7>and we have to work a lot harder as mine is.

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<v Speaker 7>We have to work harder to actually make a margin.

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<v Speaker 7>And that's a good thing. And when people think that

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<v Speaker 7>one throe, they think, well, how do I lower my margins? Well,

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<v Speaker 7>one third of my cost is diesel fuel, one third, right,

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<v Speaker 7>one third? Imagine if we get rid of that.

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<v Speaker 3>Oh, by the way, we'd also.

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<v Speaker 7>Be going zero missions if we did that. So we've

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<v Speaker 7>been working on this for years and years and years,

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<v Speaker 7>and to give you an idea of how strong that

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<v Speaker 7>demand is because people are looking hard at their operating costs. Now,

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<v Speaker 7>we took years and years to get up at three

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<v Speaker 7>hundred and sixty truck order. Now these are big trucks, right,

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<v Speaker 7>You've got the hub caps starting at the roof here.

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<v Speaker 7>And yesterday we signed another hundred and got walkins for

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<v Speaker 7>another four hundred in our day. So from three or

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<v Speaker 7>four years, three sixty for a day for another five hundred.

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<v Speaker 7>So this is showing you that the mining industry is saying, hey,

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<v Speaker 7>we've got to really look at operating costs. And FORESCU

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<v Speaker 7>at middle is driven because it wanted to go zero missions,

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<v Speaker 7>because we bloody will have to as a human race.

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<v Speaker 7>But then we also have to prove that it's highly commercial.

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<v Speaker 7>And what you're seeing happen yesterday and today is that

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<v Speaker 7>going zero missions is highly commercial.

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<v Speaker 4>Just say you're not worried about China.

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<v Speaker 7>I mean, I've just come from China and I've just

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<v Speaker 7>I mean, I get accused when I'm in Chinese, when

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<v Speaker 7>I'm a China being very pro North American. When I'm

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<v Speaker 7>in North America, I get accutes of being v being

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<v Speaker 7>very pro China.

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<v Speaker 4>So no, but this is interesting. Look and love you both.

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<v Speaker 4>The narrative is so negative and has been for so large.

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<v Speaker 7>The problem I'm afraid you're wrong.

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<v Speaker 3>You are wrong. I mean.

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<v Speaker 7>Here in North America you have a completely different system.

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<v Speaker 7>You get lag effects and lowering interest rates and things

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<v Speaker 7>like that, and it's it's macroeconomic policy and it works

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<v Speaker 7>really well over a long time.

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<v Speaker 3>If they want to.

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<v Speaker 7>Hit the accelerator, hit the brakes, you know, you see

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<v Speaker 7>the impact straight away. So they did a little bit

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<v Speaker 7>of priming, not much. I got to say, as a

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<v Speaker 7>percentage of GDP, you'd be hard to measure it. But

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<v Speaker 7>that is kicked investments straight away. It's kicked the iron

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<v Speaker 7>or price's kicked iron or demand.

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<v Speaker 4>It's a five percent growth nar a concern. It's going

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<v Speaker 4>to happen.

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<v Speaker 7>Look, I'm completely not worried about it. And by the way,

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<v Speaker 7>if it's four or six, I know big countries who'd

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<v Speaker 7>love to get two or three. So you know, for

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<v Speaker 7>our demand, I'm seeing the iore price come down and

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<v Speaker 7>I'm saying good.

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<v Speaker 2>So Andrew, Basically, what you're saying is China's like, okay,

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<v Speaker 2>if it still isn't enough.

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<v Speaker 6>We're going to do more.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah.

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<v Speaker 7>And also, you know, I love North America because we're

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<v Speaker 7>aligned with North America. I love China because they're actually

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<v Speaker 7>leading the world on going green. I mean, they are

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<v Speaker 7>way ahead of their own plan. And you know everyone,

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<v Speaker 7>I mean North America and China kicking the hell out

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<v Speaker 7>of each other is really bad for the overall human race.

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<v Speaker 7>This geostrategic war between North America precipitate, I want to

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<v Speaker 7>put it bluntly by North America. And look, China does

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<v Speaker 7>all these things wrong too, And you can jump on

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<v Speaker 7>their toes, but you jump on their toes in private.

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<v Speaker 7>You don't do it by shouting at them from New

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<v Speaker 7>York or Washington DC.

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<v Speaker 2>Well, does that then worry you about who's in the

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<v Speaker 2>White House come November? Because there is people who have

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<v Speaker 2>a softer touch and people who don't.

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<v Speaker 7>Fortescue has a policy that we deal with any elected

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<v Speaker 7>leadership that usuckers want to put up right. So you know,

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<v Speaker 7>if you want to put up Trump, I've got to

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<v Speaker 7>say this Ukraine badge. If there's a deal cut which

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<v Speaker 7>rewards an invader for invading a country which you've had

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<v Speaker 7>as an enemy for eighty years and you go cut

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<v Speaker 7>a deal and reward a bad guy for being bad.

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<v Speaker 7>We're down in the Pacific and we're going to say,

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<v Speaker 7>hold the phone. If you're going to trade Ukraine against Russia,

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<v Speaker 7>where do we sit with North America? I mean, where

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<v Speaker 7>do we sit? I mean, who do we now call

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<v Speaker 7>a friend? If you if you're going to turn around

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<v Speaker 7>and do that to Europe.

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<v Speaker 4>Right, I mean, you're obviously very plugged into geopolitical tensions

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<v Speaker 4>because it's part of what affects your business as well.

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<v Speaker 4>When you're thinking about global climate solutions, and you gave

0:11:13.640 --> 0:11:15.960
<v Speaker 4>us some of the outlines of your plan there as well.

0:11:16.280 --> 0:11:18.040
<v Speaker 4>There's some people that are going to think it's highly

0:11:18.080 --> 0:11:20.320
<v Speaker 4>ironic that a mining company would be looking at a

0:11:20.320 --> 0:11:21.000
<v Speaker 4>green transition.

0:11:21.040 --> 0:11:21.640
<v Speaker 3>I agree with them.

0:11:21.880 --> 0:11:24.840
<v Speaker 4>What you know, green iron or what is that is?

0:11:24.840 --> 0:11:26.880
<v Speaker 4>That is? Do these things really make a difference when

0:11:26.880 --> 0:11:29.760
<v Speaker 4>it comes to the bottom line of limiting climate change.

0:11:30.000 --> 0:11:32.280
<v Speaker 7>Let's start with three million tons of carbon docks, so

0:11:32.280 --> 0:11:34.120
<v Speaker 7>I'm not going out in the atmosphere. I mean, let's

0:11:34.160 --> 0:11:37.200
<v Speaker 7>just start there, and then then let's realize that no

0:11:37.240 --> 0:11:39.320
<v Speaker 7>one's ever going to make green iron or green steel,

0:11:39.320 --> 0:11:41.360
<v Speaker 7>which is ten percent of the carbon budget Now we're

0:11:41.400 --> 0:11:44.240
<v Speaker 7>talking huge unless you start with green iron or so

0:11:44.679 --> 0:11:46.720
<v Speaker 7>the fact we're going to green iron or within a

0:11:46.760 --> 0:11:49.320
<v Speaker 7>few years means that we can then go to green

0:11:49.360 --> 0:11:52.400
<v Speaker 7>iron or green steel. Now that's starting to have a

0:11:52.400 --> 0:11:56.640
<v Speaker 7>massive impact because we do that economically, then the pollution

0:11:56.800 --> 0:11:59.120
<v Speaker 7>which is currently suffered all over the world, particularly in

0:11:59.240 --> 0:12:01.599
<v Speaker 7>China where they're where they put their steel mills on

0:12:01.640 --> 0:12:04.360
<v Speaker 7>the outskirts of their cities central plan, but their cities

0:12:04.400 --> 0:12:06.800
<v Speaker 7>grew so much bigger. So now the steel mills inside

0:12:06.840 --> 0:12:12.000
<v Speaker 7>the city, we send them totally pollution free metal. Their

0:12:12.040 --> 0:12:14.079
<v Speaker 7>pollution problem goes out the window.

0:12:14.640 --> 0:12:17.280
<v Speaker 4>So that there is a.

0:12:17.400 --> 0:12:23.840
<v Speaker 7>Really big impact on this slow, lethargic backward industry called mining,

0:12:24.440 --> 0:12:28.360
<v Speaker 7>ironically leading the world to go green, and it's hitting

0:12:28.400 --> 0:12:32.000
<v Speaker 7>where the pollution is worse, and it's not saying, oh, well,

0:12:32.040 --> 0:12:34.520
<v Speaker 7>we've got to continue burning all in gas because there's

0:12:34.559 --> 0:12:36.160
<v Speaker 7>such lovely people and we have to look after and

0:12:36.160 --> 0:12:38.800
<v Speaker 7>we're saying, actually, oil and gas has got us into

0:12:38.840 --> 0:12:42.160
<v Speaker 7>this manure. We've got to stop doing what we've always

0:12:42.200 --> 0:12:44.480
<v Speaker 7>done if we want a different result, and switch off

0:12:44.520 --> 0:12:46.640
<v Speaker 7>the oil and gas, and then we'll get a different result.

0:12:46.679 --> 0:12:49.959
<v Speaker 7>And that's like green steel that's like green shipping.

0:12:50.040 --> 0:12:52.280
<v Speaker 2>Exactly though, is green iron ore? And what does it

0:12:52.360 --> 0:12:56.000
<v Speaker 2>cost versus other iron ore? And is it cost competitive?

0:12:56.280 --> 0:12:59.160
<v Speaker 7>Yeh, No, it's going to cost less, man, because we

0:12:59.160 --> 0:13:01.480
<v Speaker 7>can make it for less because we're not chopping through

0:13:01.480 --> 0:13:04.640
<v Speaker 7>a billion a billion leaders of diesel, like nearly five

0:13:04.720 --> 0:13:07.120
<v Speaker 7>hundred million gallons of diesel. We're not going to buy anymore,

0:13:07.559 --> 0:13:09.199
<v Speaker 7>you know, because we're making it ourselves.

0:13:09.240 --> 0:13:11.240
<v Speaker 6>So is it cost competitive already?

0:13:11.600 --> 0:13:11.840
<v Speaker 3>Yeah?

0:13:11.920 --> 0:13:15.160
<v Speaker 7>Hell yeah, yeah yeah, that's the beauty of it, which

0:13:15.200 --> 0:13:18.160
<v Speaker 7>is why I'm saying, listen, stop looking at gying green,

0:13:18.240 --> 0:13:20.640
<v Speaker 7>stop looking at zero missions as Oh you're a really

0:13:20.720 --> 0:13:22.800
<v Speaker 7>nice guy, what a lovely chief executive, what a lovely

0:13:22.800 --> 0:13:26.760
<v Speaker 7>politician thinking of the kids, not himself. Actually, get out

0:13:26.840 --> 0:13:30.000
<v Speaker 7>of your hole. This is a great investment. You should

0:13:30.080 --> 0:13:32.280
<v Speaker 7>be doing this for your shareholders. And if you say

0:13:32.320 --> 0:13:34.360
<v Speaker 7>you can't go green, well you're right. Get off the

0:13:34.360 --> 0:13:36.439
<v Speaker 7>stage and let on someone smarter who can.

0:13:36.800 --> 0:13:39.040
<v Speaker 4>But why isn't everyone doing it? If the case is

0:13:39.040 --> 0:13:39.800
<v Speaker 4>that simple.

0:13:39.559 --> 0:13:40.280
<v Speaker 6>And done it sooner?

0:13:40.559 --> 0:13:44.560
<v Speaker 7>Because everything starts somewhere, right, everything starts somewhere. I'm in

0:13:44.559 --> 0:13:47.520
<v Speaker 7>the suit, you're you're getting started with a thread, mate.

0:13:47.559 --> 0:13:50.000
<v Speaker 7>It turned out to be a suit. So we're the thread.

0:13:51.000 --> 0:13:53.320
<v Speaker 4>Talking about the conversations you're having here in New York

0:13:53.360 --> 0:13:56.040
<v Speaker 4>as well. Are people getting the message? People are getting

0:13:56.040 --> 0:13:57.679
<v Speaker 4>the message? Yeah, I mean, you know, we look at

0:13:57.679 --> 0:13:59.320
<v Speaker 4>we look at the pullback on green, agender and so

0:13:59.320 --> 0:14:00.920
<v Speaker 4>many parts of the world at the moment we see

0:14:00.920 --> 0:14:03.280
<v Speaker 4>it reflected and polling and election results.

0:14:03.640 --> 0:14:06.280
<v Speaker 7>Is that playing that's an opportunity for us. Okay, that's

0:14:06.400 --> 0:14:09.200
<v Speaker 7>a serious opportunity. I mean, we are pushing head going

0:14:09.200 --> 0:14:12.040
<v Speaker 7>green as quickly as possible. We've got technology which can

0:14:12.040 --> 0:14:14.800
<v Speaker 7>take the water in here side a stirly water bottle,

0:14:15.080 --> 0:14:17.400
<v Speaker 7>turn it into the most powerful fuel the walls ever had,

0:14:17.400 --> 0:14:20.080
<v Speaker 7>which is hydrogen. When we turn it from gas liquid

0:14:20.520 --> 0:14:25.320
<v Speaker 7>to really serious energy except soackt water. And we're working

0:14:25.320 --> 0:14:27.560
<v Speaker 7>out how to produce that. It's not pure we call

0:14:27.600 --> 0:14:30.720
<v Speaker 7>it in dustrial huydgen, but a fraction of the cost.

0:14:31.480 --> 0:14:34.840
<v Speaker 7>Where we've worked out already how to charge cars not

0:14:34.920 --> 0:14:37.720
<v Speaker 7>in twenty two hours or even eight hours, but in

0:14:37.800 --> 0:14:41.320
<v Speaker 7>twenty two seconds. Okay, And these are the fastest electric

0:14:41.360 --> 0:14:44.360
<v Speaker 7>cars in the world, like Formula E winners all the time.

0:14:44.600 --> 0:14:47.840
<v Speaker 7>We've worked out how to charge our huge trucks in

0:14:47.920 --> 0:14:51.560
<v Speaker 7>twenty four minutes, and I've had your US generals say

0:14:51.560 --> 0:14:54.240
<v Speaker 7>to me, hey, hey, you understand the US military can

0:14:54.280 --> 0:14:56.200
<v Speaker 7>never go green. I said, why is that, man? They said, well,

0:14:56.440 --> 0:14:59.280
<v Speaker 7>our tanks they're fifty sixty tons and they've got to

0:14:59.280 --> 0:15:01.120
<v Speaker 7>go fifty mile. And I said, well, hang on, mate,

0:15:01.120 --> 0:15:03.640
<v Speaker 7>our trucks are four hundred tons and they've got to

0:15:03.640 --> 0:15:06.520
<v Speaker 7>go sixty mile an out they're green. And they've said, well,

0:15:06.560 --> 0:15:09.400
<v Speaker 7>you know, shipping shipping our warships. Our warships are like

0:15:09.400 --> 0:15:11.920
<v Speaker 7>one hundred meters long. Andrew I said, honestly, mate, we

0:15:11.920 --> 0:15:13.520
<v Speaker 7>could put three of your warships on the back of

0:15:13.600 --> 0:15:15.880
<v Speaker 7>our iron ore carriers. They're three hundred and thirty meters long,

0:15:16.360 --> 0:15:19.480
<v Speaker 7>and we're sending them green so everyone can go green.

0:15:19.800 --> 0:15:21.200
<v Speaker 2>I am curious if you guys are going to be

0:15:21.240 --> 0:15:24.600
<v Speaker 2>also building wind farms, solar forums right next farms, excuse me,

0:15:24.720 --> 0:15:27.280
<v Speaker 2>right next to some of your mind to help supply

0:15:27.320 --> 0:15:29.680
<v Speaker 2>green power. Like, what's is that part of the process.

0:15:30.160 --> 0:15:30.680
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, it is.

0:15:30.880 --> 0:15:33.480
<v Speaker 7>It is absolutely and will supply power us and power

0:15:33.480 --> 0:15:36.080
<v Speaker 7>of others. Right now, we're operating a green grid. It's

0:15:36.160 --> 0:15:39.360
<v Speaker 7>the first fully independent green grid in the world. It

0:15:39.400 --> 0:15:42.840
<v Speaker 7>will be the largest of course, because it'll be producing

0:15:42.920 --> 0:15:45.760
<v Speaker 7>enough power the size of small countries, and it'll be

0:15:45.800 --> 0:15:48.120
<v Speaker 7>a full grid, but it'll be off the standard grid,

0:15:48.280 --> 0:15:50.960
<v Speaker 7>and that means that we can put this all over

0:15:50.960 --> 0:15:51.320
<v Speaker 7>the world.

0:15:52.840 --> 0:15:54.720
<v Speaker 4>I want to come back to hydrogen because it's been

0:15:54.720 --> 0:15:56.120
<v Speaker 4>talked about for many years. It's been a lot of

0:15:56.120 --> 0:15:59.280
<v Speaker 4>money put behind us yet to yield results. Where are

0:15:59.280 --> 0:16:01.320
<v Speaker 4>the obstacles? How far away is it from being Some

0:16:01.360 --> 0:16:03.480
<v Speaker 4>mean it's going to be widespread, available, and more heavily

0:16:03.560 --> 0:16:04.520
<v Speaker 4>used as an energy for them.

0:16:04.560 --> 0:16:07.520
<v Speaker 7>Okay, the only thing stopping the production of green heighten

0:16:07.600 --> 0:16:10.240
<v Speaker 7>North America. I mean, let's just remember that there's more

0:16:10.240 --> 0:16:13.160
<v Speaker 7>people employed in the renewable energy sector in the fossil

0:16:13.200 --> 0:16:15.640
<v Speaker 7>fuel old state of Texas than there are now is

0:16:15.640 --> 0:16:19.960
<v Speaker 7>by fossil fuel. So everything is changing. What we're seeing

0:16:20.040 --> 0:16:23.720
<v Speaker 7>now is the whole growth, this massive growth of green

0:16:23.760 --> 0:16:27.360
<v Speaker 7>heighten green energy being held up by perfect getting in

0:16:27.400 --> 0:16:30.720
<v Speaker 7>the road of the good in the IRA. And if

0:16:30.720 --> 0:16:33.240
<v Speaker 7>we don't fix what a little thing called forty five V,

0:16:34.080 --> 0:16:37.520
<v Speaker 7>which is where the fossil fuel sector's got these environmental

0:16:37.560 --> 0:16:40.280
<v Speaker 7>independent lobbyists to say, hey, look we should have things

0:16:40.320 --> 0:16:44.120
<v Speaker 7>like ali matching. Well, okay, that's perfect.

0:16:43.960 --> 0:16:45.600
<v Speaker 4>Parts of your own industry are working against this.

0:16:46.280 --> 0:16:48.720
<v Speaker 7>Yeah, I mean, but it's not my industry. It's the

0:16:49.000 --> 0:16:52.040
<v Speaker 7>environmental lobby is paid ball by fossil fuel. It's the

0:16:52.120 --> 0:16:57.000
<v Speaker 7>same same draw cards, same playbook as tobacco used. They

0:16:57.000 --> 0:17:00.080
<v Speaker 7>get so called scientists and to say tobacco doesn't kill you, mate, So.

0:17:00.080 --> 0:17:02.040
<v Speaker 6>It's money again, it's politics and it's lobby.

0:17:02.160 --> 0:17:04.320
<v Speaker 7>Yeah, and we have to, Carol, we have to look

0:17:04.359 --> 0:17:07.400
<v Speaker 7>straight through that and say to your legislators and your legislators,

0:17:07.400 --> 0:17:08.919
<v Speaker 7>I've got to say, actually, we're not going to let

0:17:08.960 --> 0:17:11.800
<v Speaker 7>perfect kill off the good. We No green hydrant is

0:17:11.840 --> 0:17:17.560
<v Speaker 7>the answer. We will have weekly month matching or monthly matching.

0:17:17.600 --> 0:17:20.399
<v Speaker 7>But hourly matching just means the person who came up

0:17:20.440 --> 0:17:22.960
<v Speaker 7>with that's never driven or operated anything more complex than

0:17:23.000 --> 0:17:26.440
<v Speaker 7>a bloody computer, not these one two three mile long

0:17:26.480 --> 0:17:27.760
<v Speaker 7>plants which I have to operate.

0:17:27.880 --> 0:17:28.920
<v Speaker 6>So thirty seconds left?

0:17:28.920 --> 0:17:31.439
<v Speaker 2>Are you more optimistic after your time here in New

0:17:31.520 --> 0:17:34.479
<v Speaker 2>York and talking with global leaders North American leaders, US leaders?

0:17:34.920 --> 0:17:36.080
<v Speaker 2>Are you more pessimistic?

0:17:36.160 --> 0:17:36.639
<v Speaker 6>Just quickly?

0:17:37.280 --> 0:17:40.600
<v Speaker 4>No, I'm more optimistic. I'm more optimist.

0:17:39.840 --> 0:17:43.800
<v Speaker 7>Because they trust what someone does more than what someone says,

0:17:43.880 --> 0:17:45.760
<v Speaker 7>and they can see we're doing it. They can see

0:17:45.960 --> 0:17:51.040
<v Speaker 7>Australia's high sharehold return company ever is going fully green

0:17:51.119 --> 0:17:52.800
<v Speaker 7>and there's got to be a reason for that. And

0:17:52.840 --> 0:17:55.160
<v Speaker 7>they're making huge sales and they're profitable.

0:17:55.160 --> 0:17:56.439
<v Speaker 6>So we want to be smart and fun. When you

0:17:56.440 --> 0:17:57.280
<v Speaker 6>came in, did we do it?

0:17:57.600 --> 0:17:57.840
<v Speaker 3>Yeah?

0:17:57.880 --> 0:17:58.760
<v Speaker 4>You're smart and funny.

0:17:58.880 --> 0:18:00.760
<v Speaker 6>I love such pressure.

0:18:00.880 --> 0:18:04.160
<v Speaker 2>Andrew Forrest, thank you so much, Executive chair of course

0:18:04.200 --> 0:18:04.719
<v Speaker 2>at FORDESK.

0:18:04.760 --> 0:18:07.160
<v Speaker 6>You joining us right here on Bloomberg Business Week.

0:18:09.760 --> 0:18:13.600
<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Business Week podcast. Listen live

0:18:13.720 --> 0:18:16.920
<v Speaker 1>each weekday starting at two pm Eastern on applecar Play

0:18:16.920 --> 0:18:19.800
<v Speaker 1>and Android Auto with the Bloomberg Business App. You can

0:18:19.800 --> 0:18:23.080
<v Speaker 1>also listen live on Amazon Alexa from our flagship New

0:18:23.119 --> 0:18:26.760
<v Speaker 1>York station. Just say Alexa Play Bloomberg eleven thirty.

0:18:28.200 --> 0:18:29.080
<v Speaker 8>We are very.

0:18:28.880 --> 0:18:31.320
<v Speaker 2>Global all this week here on Bloomberg Business Week, and

0:18:31.359 --> 0:18:33.960
<v Speaker 2>we've had this week the opportunity to focus on economic

0:18:34.000 --> 0:18:36.639
<v Speaker 2>issues in different regions of the world and how the

0:18:36.720 --> 0:18:39.360
<v Speaker 2>changing climate is altering many countries trajectories.

0:18:39.560 --> 0:18:39.720
<v Speaker 4>Well.

0:18:39.720 --> 0:18:43.639
<v Speaker 2>The African Development Bank finances projects across the continent in

0:18:43.720 --> 0:18:48.000
<v Speaker 2>areas including agriculture, energy, also the private sector development, and

0:18:48.040 --> 0:18:50.199
<v Speaker 2>we know those African countries something we talk about a

0:18:50.200 --> 0:18:52.560
<v Speaker 2>lot here at Bloomberg are among those most affected by

0:18:52.600 --> 0:18:54.680
<v Speaker 2>climate change. So that is some of what we wanted

0:18:54.720 --> 0:18:56.240
<v Speaker 2>to talk about here on Business Week.

0:18:56.320 --> 0:18:58.359
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, indeed to discuss that. We're joined in the Androxer

0:18:58.359 --> 0:19:00.560
<v Speaker 4>Brokers studio by doctor i can win At, a senior

0:19:00.560 --> 0:19:02.440
<v Speaker 4>who is the president of the African Development Bank. Thank

0:19:02.440 --> 0:19:04.120
<v Speaker 4>you very much to see we've also got Blomberg Chief

0:19:04.160 --> 0:19:07.639
<v Speaker 4>Africa correspondent Jennifer Sabassage with us in Studio two to

0:19:07.760 --> 0:19:10.200
<v Speaker 4>join the conversation. Doctor Absina, Welcome to New York. Great

0:19:10.200 --> 0:19:13.960
<v Speaker 4>to have here. You were here having conversations with global

0:19:14.040 --> 0:19:16.280
<v Speaker 4>leaders for Climate Week and you and General Assembly, what

0:19:16.280 --> 0:19:17.440
<v Speaker 4>are you trying to get out of this week?

0:19:17.560 --> 0:19:19.600
<v Speaker 9>Well, first and foremost is just to make sure Africa's

0:19:19.600 --> 0:19:22.159
<v Speaker 9>issues on the top of the agenda, because when you

0:19:22.160 --> 0:19:25.399
<v Speaker 9>talk about climate change, Africa only accounts for no more

0:19:25.400 --> 0:19:28.600
<v Speaker 9>than three percent of emissions. But actually so for as

0:19:28.600 --> 0:19:31.760
<v Speaker 9>just proportionately from a negative consequences, it loses five, seven

0:19:31.800 --> 0:19:35.200
<v Speaker 9>to fifteen billion dollars a year and the current trend continues,

0:19:35.240 --> 0:19:37.240
<v Speaker 9>that's going to rise to fifty billion dollars a year,

0:19:37.640 --> 0:19:40.280
<v Speaker 9>but it's not getting the amount of financing that it needs.

0:19:40.440 --> 0:19:41.960
<v Speaker 3>You know, Africa needs roughly.

0:19:41.720 --> 0:19:44.520
<v Speaker 9>About two seventy seven billion dollars a year to tackle

0:19:44.560 --> 0:19:46.680
<v Speaker 9>climate change, but it gets no more than thirty.

0:19:46.520 --> 0:19:48.200
<v Speaker 3>Billion dollars, so it's a big gap there.

0:19:48.480 --> 0:19:50.560
<v Speaker 9>So but most of what is needed there, it's really

0:19:50.560 --> 0:19:53.000
<v Speaker 9>to adapt to climate change. It's not so much on mitigation,

0:19:53.320 --> 0:19:55.800
<v Speaker 9>but it's adapting to climate change other things that I

0:19:55.840 --> 0:19:58.040
<v Speaker 9>wanted to get out of. Most of this is actually

0:19:58.040 --> 0:20:00.959
<v Speaker 9>how we tackle Africa's debate is because at the end

0:20:00.960 --> 0:20:03.600
<v Speaker 9>of the day, you know, you can run up a

0:20:03.680 --> 0:20:06.320
<v Speaker 9>heel if you're carrying a back back of sand, and

0:20:06.359 --> 0:20:09.160
<v Speaker 9>so you can have development in which you have highly

0:20:09.160 --> 0:20:11.160
<v Speaker 9>in deatded countries. And so we have to make sure

0:20:11.200 --> 0:20:14.560
<v Speaker 9>that African countries facing a lot of challenges in terms

0:20:14.560 --> 0:20:18.480
<v Speaker 9>of climate, in terms of also conflict, also in terms

0:20:18.520 --> 0:20:22.320
<v Speaker 9>of high inflation and strength in fiscal space, but they

0:20:22.359 --> 0:20:23.960
<v Speaker 9>have the space they need to be able to invest

0:20:23.960 --> 0:20:27.200
<v Speaker 9>in education, health, water, sanitation, gales, education and all of

0:20:27.240 --> 0:20:29.760
<v Speaker 9>those things. So dead climate for me, a very very

0:20:29.800 --> 0:20:32.159
<v Speaker 9>very important part of my conversation here.

0:20:32.040 --> 0:20:34.439
<v Speaker 8>This week, and doctor Argerstina, I mean part of that.

0:20:34.520 --> 0:20:36.520
<v Speaker 10>I want to start with climate change, maybe because you

0:20:36.600 --> 0:20:39.639
<v Speaker 10>have talked a lot about in particular the IMS special

0:20:39.720 --> 0:20:43.879
<v Speaker 10>drawing rights and channeling more of those towards addressing climate

0:20:43.960 --> 0:20:46.600
<v Speaker 10>change on the continent. Where is the progress on that?

0:20:46.640 --> 0:20:48.639
<v Speaker 10>Did you make any progress this week while here in

0:20:48.640 --> 0:20:49.000
<v Speaker 10>New York?

0:20:49.240 --> 0:20:51.800
<v Speaker 9>Well, actually, just to think about they specially doing rights

0:20:51.800 --> 0:20:54.960
<v Speaker 9>at the IMF, you know when we started, everybody for well,

0:20:55.480 --> 0:20:57.520
<v Speaker 9>actually that's what thinks you put on the balance sheet

0:20:57.720 --> 0:21:01.320
<v Speaker 9>essentially as reserve assets of central But we felt that

0:21:01.400 --> 0:21:05.160
<v Speaker 9>actually these assets were actually simply latent assets that I

0:21:05.200 --> 0:21:08.040
<v Speaker 9>was convinced that we can actually do better in terms

0:21:08.080 --> 0:21:12.040
<v Speaker 9>of seeing how we can turn those into assets that

0:21:12.080 --> 0:21:15.200
<v Speaker 9>can lock a lot of capital through the motilateral development banks.

0:21:15.440 --> 0:21:17.879
<v Speaker 9>And the model that we develop basically was, you know,

0:21:17.920 --> 0:21:20.359
<v Speaker 9>to see, okay, if you actually reachannel the SDRs to

0:21:20.480 --> 0:21:24.400
<v Speaker 9>us are strip or air rated financial institutions. That's actually

0:21:24.880 --> 0:21:27.679
<v Speaker 9>a hybrid capital that we can use and say perpetuals

0:21:27.720 --> 0:21:29.919
<v Speaker 9>in that stage on a balance sheet, so we can

0:21:29.960 --> 0:21:32.159
<v Speaker 9>actually leverage now four times, it can even go to

0:21:32.520 --> 0:21:35.879
<v Speaker 9>photo eight times. And so we're very delighted, myself and

0:21:35.920 --> 0:21:39.240
<v Speaker 9>the president of Inter American Development Bank, we walk together

0:21:39.320 --> 0:21:42.280
<v Speaker 9>very collaboratively to solve some of the technicals. So there

0:21:42.280 --> 0:21:45.639
<v Speaker 9>are some technical issues about whether what's the reserve assets

0:21:45.680 --> 0:21:48.160
<v Speaker 9>status of it, and if you want to collect it back,

0:21:48.200 --> 0:21:49.639
<v Speaker 9>how can you get it back? So we had to

0:21:49.680 --> 0:21:52.520
<v Speaker 9>deal with some technical issues. We solve all those technical issues,

0:21:52.520 --> 0:21:57.000
<v Speaker 9>and I was delighted that the IMA board actually approved

0:21:57.000 --> 0:21:59.919
<v Speaker 9>twenty billion dollars of SDRs to we do channel through

0:22:00.040 --> 0:22:01.520
<v Speaker 9>and mo't lateral development banks.

0:22:01.600 --> 0:22:04.440
<v Speaker 3>That's hybrid capital. Now now the issue is now, how

0:22:04.480 --> 0:22:05.720
<v Speaker 3>do we get that money? Yeah?

0:22:05.800 --> 0:22:09.520
<v Speaker 9>So to get all that money out, yeah, exactly. You know,

0:22:09.560 --> 0:22:12.040
<v Speaker 9>we have to actually put together a group of five

0:22:12.080 --> 0:22:15.840
<v Speaker 9>We need five SDR rich countries that will agree to

0:22:15.880 --> 0:22:20.640
<v Speaker 9>rechannel that through the African Development Bank and the Inter

0:22:20.680 --> 0:22:23.560
<v Speaker 9>American Development Bank. But also we have to make sure

0:22:23.600 --> 0:22:25.680
<v Speaker 9>we have a group of others that are in Europe.

0:22:25.680 --> 0:22:28.920
<v Speaker 9>For example, European countries can't do it because of restrictions

0:22:28.920 --> 0:22:32.159
<v Speaker 9>by the European Central Bank on monetary policy outside of

0:22:32.200 --> 0:22:34.520
<v Speaker 9>the EU and so but we set up a very

0:22:34.600 --> 0:22:38.320
<v Speaker 9>nicht to structure, which is called Liquidity Support Agreement, in

0:22:38.359 --> 0:22:40.680
<v Speaker 9>which they can just essentially guarantee those that have given

0:22:40.720 --> 0:22:41.040
<v Speaker 9>it to you.

0:22:41.200 --> 0:22:42.280
<v Speaker 3>Okay, that's still allowed.

0:22:42.560 --> 0:22:44.960
<v Speaker 9>So that's where we are. We're making progress in terms

0:22:44.960 --> 0:22:47.080
<v Speaker 9>of the countries. We're talking to them and I'm hoping

0:22:47.119 --> 0:22:48.840
<v Speaker 9>that you know, by the time we do G twenty

0:22:49.040 --> 0:22:51.920
<v Speaker 9>will have gone a long way in making sure that way.

0:22:51.880 --> 0:22:53.600
<v Speaker 6>Or will you actually have access to the funds?

0:22:53.640 --> 0:22:55.840
<v Speaker 9>Well, actually you know the long ways to get access

0:22:55.840 --> 0:22:57.320
<v Speaker 9>to the funds, so which means there has to be

0:22:57.359 --> 0:22:59.960
<v Speaker 9>agreement that that thing. It's not just easy just like

0:23:00.040 --> 0:23:02.159
<v Speaker 9>can give it to you. Their legal things they have

0:23:02.240 --> 0:23:03.840
<v Speaker 9>to go through in their country is to make sure

0:23:03.840 --> 0:23:08.439
<v Speaker 9>that that gets done. So we we know that President

0:23:08.520 --> 0:23:11.679
<v Speaker 9>Lula as the presidency of the G twenty, as I

0:23:11.720 --> 0:23:15.960
<v Speaker 9>spoke at the event just yesterday, that the STRs used

0:23:16.520 --> 0:23:19.320
<v Speaker 9>okay for hybrid capital and getting it out to us

0:23:19.400 --> 0:23:21.760
<v Speaker 9>is stop on the agenda for G twenty.

0:23:21.800 --> 0:23:23.760
<v Speaker 4>This is something that I mean, we're deep in the

0:23:23.800 --> 0:23:27.840
<v Speaker 4>weeds of international financial machinery here and hand the money

0:23:28.119 --> 0:23:30.800
<v Speaker 4>to do public This is something you know. I was

0:23:30.800 --> 0:23:32.640
<v Speaker 4>at the EU Africa sulmost two and a half years

0:23:32.680 --> 0:23:35.280
<v Speaker 4>ago when this idea was sort of advanced to a

0:23:35.359 --> 0:23:38.280
<v Speaker 4>level where the reallocation would be able to happen. The

0:23:38.320 --> 0:23:41.359
<v Speaker 4>political will was there from under a manual macroan all

0:23:41.400 --> 0:23:44.280
<v Speaker 4>the time. Is the political will still there to action

0:23:44.400 --> 0:23:47.000
<v Speaker 4>this and to make sure that that transmission happens as

0:23:47.080 --> 0:23:48.000
<v Speaker 4>quickly as possible.

0:23:48.080 --> 0:23:50.280
<v Speaker 3>I remember, there are two things we were talking about here.

0:23:50.320 --> 0:23:52.879
<v Speaker 9>That is the one in which you you know, there

0:23:52.920 --> 0:23:54.760
<v Speaker 9>was a request to make sure that some amount of

0:23:54.760 --> 0:23:59.600
<v Speaker 9>money actually given okay through the IMF. You know three

0:23:59.680 --> 0:24:04.720
<v Speaker 9>is probably achieve reduction and growth, trust and residence and

0:24:04.760 --> 0:24:07.760
<v Speaker 9>so saliability trust. So that's that's money that's been given

0:24:07.760 --> 0:24:10.320
<v Speaker 9>to IMF. That's that's a different thing the one that

0:24:10.359 --> 0:24:12.679
<v Speaker 9>I'm talking about, and that's going very well. I think

0:24:12.680 --> 0:24:14.840
<v Speaker 9>they have probably one hundred billion dollars they're looking for

0:24:15.000 --> 0:24:17.919
<v Speaker 9>of SDR. The one we're looking for is how the

0:24:18.080 --> 0:24:22.399
<v Speaker 9>seas gets re channel through the multilateral development so we

0:24:22.440 --> 0:24:23.880
<v Speaker 9>can actually leverage that.

0:24:24.200 --> 0:24:24.439
<v Speaker 3>You know.

0:24:24.600 --> 0:24:26.320
<v Speaker 9>The thing is that you know when you when the

0:24:26.359 --> 0:24:29.159
<v Speaker 9>money goes to IMF. IMF is very very great. Crystal

0:24:29.320 --> 0:24:33.520
<v Speaker 9>Nam sister has been mostly helpful. But you know, for us,

0:24:33.560 --> 0:24:36.280
<v Speaker 9>it's a it's a wonderful thing. You know, every dollar

0:24:36.320 --> 0:24:38.640
<v Speaker 9>becomes forth, it's good for you as a shareholder, it's

0:24:38.640 --> 0:24:40.080
<v Speaker 9>good for a tax for us, and you don't lose

0:24:40.080 --> 0:24:42.680
<v Speaker 9>all the money. And so the progress has been made

0:24:42.680 --> 0:24:44.879
<v Speaker 9>is phenomenal. Progress been made. But I think we just

0:24:44.880 --> 0:24:46.400
<v Speaker 9>have to tie the nots and make sure the money

0:24:46.400 --> 0:24:48.560
<v Speaker 9>actually comes home and we can continue to do. I

0:24:48.600 --> 0:24:50.240
<v Speaker 9>just tell you one thing that I can do. I

0:24:50.320 --> 0:24:53.280
<v Speaker 9>take the case of, you know, our jad Bank. President

0:24:53.280 --> 0:24:55.320
<v Speaker 9>of the World Bank and I go together during the

0:24:55.320 --> 0:24:57.320
<v Speaker 9>Spring meeting and we said, look, I said, we still

0:24:57.400 --> 0:24:59.960
<v Speaker 9>have six hundred million Africans that don't have access to electricity.

0:25:00.520 --> 0:25:01.560
<v Speaker 3>That doesn't make any sense.

0:25:01.600 --> 0:25:03.560
<v Speaker 9>You can't grow in the dark, you can industrialize in

0:25:03.600 --> 0:25:06.560
<v Speaker 9>the dark, and you cannot be competitive without electricity.

0:25:06.720 --> 0:25:08.040
<v Speaker 3>So I said, we're going to have to deal with it.

0:25:08.080 --> 0:25:10.560
<v Speaker 9>And so we both agreed and we launched what's called

0:25:10.560 --> 0:25:13.359
<v Speaker 9>Mission three hundred, which is to connect three hundred million

0:25:13.359 --> 0:25:17.320
<v Speaker 9>Africans to electricity by twenty thirty. Now, universal access to

0:25:17.320 --> 0:25:20.439
<v Speaker 9>electricity in Africa is going to require one ninety billion dollars,

0:25:20.760 --> 0:25:23.800
<v Speaker 9>okay by year. Now here's where the SDR connection comes in.

0:25:24.080 --> 0:25:27.560
<v Speaker 9>Because if you actually have fifty billion dollars of SBRs

0:25:27.600 --> 0:25:30.199
<v Speaker 9>and you can leverage it at four times because they

0:25:30.280 --> 0:25:32.639
<v Speaker 9>have rid capital for you, that means that problem is

0:25:32.640 --> 0:25:33.840
<v Speaker 9>solved once and for all.

0:25:34.040 --> 0:25:36.160
<v Speaker 3>That is two hundred billion dollars at least to solve

0:25:36.160 --> 0:25:36.639
<v Speaker 3>that problem.

0:25:36.640 --> 0:25:39.720
<v Speaker 9>So that's the connection that we are trying to make

0:25:40.000 --> 0:25:43.000
<v Speaker 9>and President Lulan as President of the G twenty. It's

0:25:43.000 --> 0:25:45.639
<v Speaker 9>also we've raised the issue also about he has something

0:25:45.680 --> 0:25:50.359
<v Speaker 9>called the Global Alliance against Poverty and Hunger, Okay, and

0:25:50.440 --> 0:25:52.119
<v Speaker 9>so it's the same thing. You know, you use this

0:25:52.320 --> 0:25:55.760
<v Speaker 9>SVR as well a lock massive amount of capital to

0:25:55.880 --> 0:25:57.720
<v Speaker 9>deal with all the things. We say, we have a

0:25:57.800 --> 0:25:58.760
<v Speaker 9>Pact of the Future.

0:25:59.040 --> 0:26:00.960
<v Speaker 2>So do you hope you say think that within six

0:26:01.000 --> 0:26:03.280
<v Speaker 2>months twelve months you have that capital or that you

0:26:03.320 --> 0:26:03.960
<v Speaker 2>can move forward.

0:26:04.000 --> 0:26:06.199
<v Speaker 9>I believe that we will because I think that's the

0:26:06.240 --> 0:26:08.639
<v Speaker 9>most difficult part. We've gone over that. So it's a

0:26:08.720 --> 0:26:10.600
<v Speaker 9>question now of how we're going to use it and

0:26:10.640 --> 0:26:14.199
<v Speaker 9>how we can get it out. So I think so yes, absolutely, Yeah.

0:26:14.240 --> 0:26:15.639
<v Speaker 2>Well, you know, one of the other things I'm just

0:26:15.680 --> 0:26:17.919
<v Speaker 2>curus other parts of the world where you you know,

0:26:18.080 --> 0:26:21.439
<v Speaker 2>look to access you know, partnerships money. You guys have

0:26:21.480 --> 0:26:24.320
<v Speaker 2>been working with the Arab Bank for Economic Developments on

0:26:24.359 --> 0:26:26.520
<v Speaker 2>some key projects. What can you tell us about further

0:26:26.560 --> 0:26:29.840
<v Speaker 2>expansion there. We're also curious about, you know, the relationship

0:26:29.840 --> 0:26:31.920
<v Speaker 2>with China and money coming in from China. What can

0:26:31.960 --> 0:26:34.200
<v Speaker 2>you tell us in those those two aspects.

0:26:34.280 --> 0:26:37.200
<v Speaker 9>Yeah, you know, they are bank for Ecomic Development in

0:26:37.280 --> 0:26:39.440
<v Speaker 9>Africa is a very great partner of the African Development

0:26:39.440 --> 0:26:42.640
<v Speaker 9>Bank and we have joint projects that we do together.

0:26:43.400 --> 0:26:45.480
<v Speaker 3>We do more, Oh yeah, we will do more.

0:26:45.520 --> 0:26:49.240
<v Speaker 9>And we walk in education and water, in sanitation, in

0:26:49.960 --> 0:26:53.640
<v Speaker 9>agriculture and infrastructure and so on, and so that you're

0:26:53.680 --> 0:26:55.679
<v Speaker 9>celebrated at fifture down in Vastary. I was one of

0:26:55.680 --> 0:26:58.480
<v Speaker 9>the keynote speakers to speak there. They've also invested in

0:26:58.520 --> 0:27:00.960
<v Speaker 9>one of the things that we up call it Alliance

0:27:01.000 --> 0:27:04.280
<v Speaker 9>for Green Infrastructure in Africa, which is if they could

0:27:04.320 --> 0:27:07.479
<v Speaker 9>that we just put together to mobilize ten billion dollars

0:27:07.960 --> 0:27:12.080
<v Speaker 9>of private capital going into greening the infrastructure space, greening

0:27:12.160 --> 0:27:16.399
<v Speaker 9>the gribbing, the green transport, green hydrogen, green Amumonia and

0:27:16.520 --> 0:27:19.760
<v Speaker 9>also making sure that we can basically have you know,

0:27:19.800 --> 0:27:22.919
<v Speaker 9>climate resilient infrastructure all across Africa. So we have a

0:27:22.920 --> 0:27:26.679
<v Speaker 9>lot together. We've done, you know, together about almost eight

0:27:26.760 --> 0:27:29.760
<v Speaker 9>hundred and thirty five million dollars of joint projects in

0:27:29.760 --> 0:27:31.720
<v Speaker 9>the last seven years and we've putting six hundred million

0:27:31.760 --> 0:27:34.320
<v Speaker 9>dollars into that. So we have great partners and I

0:27:34.359 --> 0:27:35.720
<v Speaker 9>look forward to us doing more together.

0:27:35.800 --> 0:27:38.360
<v Speaker 2>What about China, you know, over the years we've talked

0:27:38.400 --> 0:27:40.800
<v Speaker 2>about the investments China has done some of it.

0:27:40.920 --> 0:27:42.640
<v Speaker 6>You know, they're concerned about their access.

0:27:42.320 --> 0:27:45.399
<v Speaker 2>Certainly to raw materials, basic minerals and so on to

0:27:45.760 --> 0:27:47.080
<v Speaker 2>what can you tell us on that front?

0:27:47.080 --> 0:27:48.920
<v Speaker 9>Well, I think, you know, China invests quite a lot

0:27:48.960 --> 0:27:51.440
<v Speaker 9>in infrastructure in Africa, and people get to ask me

0:27:51.440 --> 0:27:53.320
<v Speaker 9>a lot of questions about that, you know, but the

0:27:53.400 --> 0:27:56.720
<v Speaker 9>question really is that you know, Africa, Africa's infrastructure gap

0:27:56.800 --> 0:27:59.840
<v Speaker 9>is so massive. You know, Africa needs at least sixty

0:27:59.840 --> 0:28:03.879
<v Speaker 9>two one of an eight billion dollars a year. You know,

0:28:03.880 --> 0:28:05.560
<v Speaker 9>not to talk of different now, not to talk of

0:28:05.600 --> 0:28:06.679
<v Speaker 9>even the challenges you have.

0:28:06.840 --> 0:28:08.119
<v Speaker 3>You know, you're doing.

0:28:07.960 --> 0:28:10.360
<v Speaker 9>The infrastructure and all of a suddenly you have all

0:28:10.400 --> 0:28:13.160
<v Speaker 9>these cyclones and hurricanes and all these things that are

0:28:13.160 --> 0:28:16.399
<v Speaker 9>happening that's actually setting you back, right and so, but

0:28:16.640 --> 0:28:20.399
<v Speaker 9>I think that what has happened is on the infrastructure space.

0:28:20.440 --> 0:28:22.880
<v Speaker 9>What I just know more generally is a lot being

0:28:22.960 --> 0:28:26.240
<v Speaker 9>done is by governments. And I don't think that infrastructure

0:28:26.240 --> 0:28:28.720
<v Speaker 9>shill always be carried by governments. I think you need

0:28:28.760 --> 0:28:31.400
<v Speaker 9>to have a lot more private capital moving into infrastructure.

0:28:31.640 --> 0:28:33.320
<v Speaker 9>I think you have to make sure that the debt

0:28:34.560 --> 0:28:37.480
<v Speaker 9>bodings from infrastructure are reduced. I also think it is

0:28:37.560 --> 0:28:40.080
<v Speaker 9>very very important to make sure that the infrastructure being

0:28:40.080 --> 0:28:44.920
<v Speaker 9>done in any case should be infrastructure that you can recycling.

0:28:44.960 --> 0:28:47.880
<v Speaker 9>Know that words governments, if you've actually taken a lot

0:28:47.920 --> 0:28:49.880
<v Speaker 9>of loans to do infrastructure, why not just do asset

0:28:50.000 --> 0:28:53.120
<v Speaker 9>recycling basically, just recycle that into private cycle and then

0:28:53.160 --> 0:28:55.160
<v Speaker 9>free or more capital to be able to do more.

0:28:56.240 --> 0:28:58.240
<v Speaker 9>And so that's how I look at it. And and

0:28:58.280 --> 0:29:00.600
<v Speaker 9>I think that for US a African development, in the

0:29:00.680 --> 0:29:02.880
<v Speaker 9>last seven years or so, we've put in more than

0:29:03.240 --> 0:29:06.440
<v Speaker 9>fifty five fifty five billion dollars into Africa.

0:29:06.560 --> 0:29:08.520
<v Speaker 3>We are the largest by far.

0:29:10.080 --> 0:29:13.600
<v Speaker 9>What's large roal financial institution investing in infrastructure.

0:29:14.720 --> 0:29:17.600
<v Speaker 10>When you talk to international investors, doctor Odistina, I know

0:29:17.640 --> 0:29:19.240
<v Speaker 10>you were meeting with a few of them while you

0:29:19.280 --> 0:29:22.640
<v Speaker 10>were here this week. I mean, is what is their concern?

0:29:22.720 --> 0:29:25.840
<v Speaker 10>Because we hear a lot about risk in investing potentially

0:29:25.880 --> 0:29:28.480
<v Speaker 10>in a lot of these infrastructure projects that you're talking about.

0:29:28.480 --> 0:29:32.160
<v Speaker 10>I mean, what is it that international investors are hoping

0:29:32.200 --> 0:29:34.320
<v Speaker 10>to see in order to penetrate more into more of

0:29:34.320 --> 0:29:35.040
<v Speaker 10>these markets.

0:29:35.160 --> 0:29:37.000
<v Speaker 9>Yeah, you know, if you take a look at it,

0:29:37.040 --> 0:29:40.200
<v Speaker 9>we don't get that much of private capital moving into

0:29:40.240 --> 0:29:43.240
<v Speaker 9>infrastructure right in Africa. But the issue is people talk

0:29:43.240 --> 0:29:46.760
<v Speaker 9>about risk, well, life is about risk return. People forget

0:29:46.760 --> 0:29:49.200
<v Speaker 9>about the return part of that, and so it's a

0:29:49.280 --> 0:29:51.360
<v Speaker 9>risk return world. And I take a look at Africa

0:29:51.400 --> 0:29:53.680
<v Speaker 9>and I don't think Africa is risk here than any

0:29:53.680 --> 0:29:55.520
<v Speaker 9>other parts of the world. Don't believe me, Just believe

0:29:55.520 --> 0:29:58.280
<v Speaker 9>the data that was an assessment that was done by

0:29:58.320 --> 0:30:03.000
<v Speaker 9>Moody's analytics would look that the cumulative losses on infrastructure

0:30:03.280 --> 0:30:06.280
<v Speaker 9>are financing globally, not just in Africa. And what they

0:30:06.360 --> 0:30:09.080
<v Speaker 9>find they look at fourteen years of non performing loans

0:30:09.360 --> 0:30:11.720
<v Speaker 9>and debt and they found that in Africa the non

0:30:11.720 --> 0:30:16.200
<v Speaker 9>performing loans was one point nine percent, in North America

0:30:16.320 --> 0:30:20.200
<v Speaker 9>it was six point six percent, in Latin America it

0:30:20.280 --> 0:30:23.720
<v Speaker 9>was about ten percent, and you know, Eastern Europe about

0:30:23.720 --> 0:30:25.800
<v Speaker 9>twelve point four percent, and Western Asia mo Albost four

0:30:25.800 --> 0:30:28.920
<v Speaker 9>point five percent. So Africa is not as risky as

0:30:28.920 --> 0:30:30.600
<v Speaker 9>people say. Perception is not reality.

0:30:30.840 --> 0:30:32.040
<v Speaker 6>How do we change that perception?

0:30:32.080 --> 0:30:34.520
<v Speaker 2>Because I think you've got this really smart global audience

0:30:34.600 --> 0:30:36.800
<v Speaker 2>right now, and I think we think of emerging world

0:30:36.840 --> 0:30:40.280
<v Speaker 2>and we think, oh, yeah, Africa, what is what's the

0:30:40.320 --> 0:30:42.520
<v Speaker 2>message you would like to get out to the audience

0:30:42.560 --> 0:30:43.400
<v Speaker 2>who's listening right now.

0:30:43.480 --> 0:30:46.280
<v Speaker 9>Well, first and foremost is that you know the fact

0:30:46.360 --> 0:30:48.960
<v Speaker 9>that I said, you know it's about risk return. What

0:30:49.000 --> 0:30:51.040
<v Speaker 9>doesn't mean they are no risk, you know. So first

0:30:51.080 --> 0:30:52.600
<v Speaker 9>and foremost is that we have the vehicles to do

0:30:52.640 --> 0:30:54.880
<v Speaker 9>rest those things. So we have project risk, market risk,

0:30:55.400 --> 0:30:58.640
<v Speaker 9>and whether there are also political risk insurance that we

0:30:58.640 --> 0:31:01.080
<v Speaker 9>can actually provide the fact the African.

0:31:00.720 --> 0:31:02.640
<v Speaker 6>Development and say we have a little political rest.

0:31:04.600 --> 0:31:06.240
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, yeah, we can, we can do there.

0:31:06.320 --> 0:31:09.880
<v Speaker 9>So I'll stay with within my lane. But but but

0:31:09.880 --> 0:31:12.880
<v Speaker 9>but we're trying to put all of our instruments, so

0:31:12.960 --> 0:31:16.200
<v Speaker 9>partial risk guarantee instruments, partial credit guarantee instruments that we

0:31:16.280 --> 0:31:19.040
<v Speaker 9>do for counterparties with our government private sector. We're trying

0:31:19.080 --> 0:31:21.000
<v Speaker 9>to put all that together into what we call an

0:31:21.040 --> 0:31:25.840
<v Speaker 9>African Insurance and Guarantee Agency. So so so private sector

0:31:25.920 --> 0:31:28.680
<v Speaker 9>needing those risk instruments don't have to run in every

0:31:28.760 --> 0:31:31.440
<v Speaker 9>everywhere to lower their transaction costs to do it. And

0:31:31.520 --> 0:31:34.640
<v Speaker 9>that would be a game changer because we also provide

0:31:34.720 --> 0:31:39.040
<v Speaker 9>insurance against equity investments. If we provide insurance for you,

0:31:39.120 --> 0:31:42.840
<v Speaker 9>when you actually also have political insurance and insure you

0:31:42.840 --> 0:31:45.800
<v Speaker 9>against climate climate sharks. And the last thing I'll say

0:31:46.080 --> 0:31:49.680
<v Speaker 9>about this particulating is just that when investors are looking

0:31:49.720 --> 0:31:52.320
<v Speaker 9>to invest, they're asking the question, were the bankablele projects?

0:31:52.640 --> 0:31:52.840
<v Speaker 3>Right?

0:31:52.880 --> 0:31:54.440
<v Speaker 9>You have to be able to have a whole series

0:31:54.480 --> 0:31:56.760
<v Speaker 9>of bankable projects, and we're doing very well on that.

0:31:56.800 --> 0:31:59.080
<v Speaker 3>We have. For example, an institution that.

0:31:59.040 --> 0:32:01.840
<v Speaker 9>I actually share is bo It's called Africa fifty is

0:32:01.880 --> 0:32:04.760
<v Speaker 9>a private equity vehicle that has about now one point

0:32:04.760 --> 0:32:07.560
<v Speaker 9>one billion dollars and portfolios of eight billion dollars on

0:32:07.600 --> 0:32:10.920
<v Speaker 9>infrastructure assets. And basically what it does, it's a part

0:32:10.920 --> 0:32:13.960
<v Speaker 9>of a company is to it's called Project development company

0:32:14.200 --> 0:32:17.040
<v Speaker 9>and so you developed bank abook projects that it can sell, right,

0:32:17.280 --> 0:32:19.480
<v Speaker 9>it doesn't matter what it is. So we're trying to

0:32:19.520 --> 0:32:22.920
<v Speaker 9>make project development a business issue, not just the development.

0:32:22.600 --> 0:32:24.600
<v Speaker 6>Issue, the financial the private sector involvement.

0:32:24.680 --> 0:32:25.560
<v Speaker 3>Right, that's right, that's right.

0:32:25.600 --> 0:32:28.160
<v Speaker 9>And the last now I just say about investing in infrastructure,

0:32:28.200 --> 0:32:31.280
<v Speaker 9>it's important of local currency financing. You know, we talk

0:32:31.320 --> 0:32:33.520
<v Speaker 9>about debt just now, but if you actually look at

0:32:33.560 --> 0:32:37.520
<v Speaker 9>the assets that people are investing in, the revenue streams

0:32:37.520 --> 0:32:41.040
<v Speaker 9>are going to becoming in local currencies and the currencies

0:32:41.040 --> 0:32:44.400
<v Speaker 9>are actually depreciating very much. So Locot currency bonds are

0:32:44.480 --> 0:32:46.880
<v Speaker 9>very going to be very important for financing that and

0:32:46.960 --> 0:32:50.920
<v Speaker 9>also synthetic local currency instruments are going to be there

0:32:50.960 --> 0:32:52.880
<v Speaker 9>and as well as you know, we at the bank,

0:32:52.920 --> 0:32:56.560
<v Speaker 9>we support financial institutions in Africa that actually learn in

0:32:56.600 --> 0:33:00.960
<v Speaker 9>local currency. But we take the shu ensure you, We

0:33:01.200 --> 0:33:02.800
<v Speaker 9>give you the risk, you'll lend it and we pay.

0:33:03.080 --> 0:33:04.400
<v Speaker 9>We'll be able to risk ourselves.

0:33:04.440 --> 0:33:06.600
<v Speaker 10>Right, we're seeing a lot of that volatility with currencies

0:33:06.720 --> 0:33:09.320
<v Speaker 10>all over the continent. Doctor Ardisina, we were just talking

0:33:09.360 --> 0:33:12.480
<v Speaker 10>briefly about how this is potentially this is your last

0:33:12.840 --> 0:33:16.000
<v Speaker 10>un ga as president of the African Development Bank. I

0:33:16.040 --> 0:33:18.360
<v Speaker 10>wonder how you think about your time in office over

0:33:18.400 --> 0:33:20.960
<v Speaker 10>the past decade or so. You talked about how it

0:33:21.520 --> 0:33:23.920
<v Speaker 10>the bank looks a lot differently than how you inherited it.

0:33:23.960 --> 0:33:25.480
<v Speaker 10>I mean, how would you assess it?

0:33:25.680 --> 0:33:27.400
<v Speaker 9>Well, first and forms it is the greater owner of

0:33:27.440 --> 0:33:31.280
<v Speaker 9>my life to be asked by shareholders. You know, we've

0:33:31.280 --> 0:33:34.480
<v Speaker 9>got any one shareholders to go and actually you have

0:33:34.560 --> 0:33:36.840
<v Speaker 9>the resources, you have the confidence, you have the support,

0:33:37.040 --> 0:33:39.600
<v Speaker 9>and guess what, go change the continent of my birth.

0:33:39.840 --> 0:33:41.640
<v Speaker 9>And that's not for me a job, that is a

0:33:41.640 --> 0:33:44.520
<v Speaker 9>mission I take it as a mission and so that's

0:33:44.600 --> 0:33:46.720
<v Speaker 9>that's how I look at it every single day. Now,

0:33:46.760 --> 0:33:48.880
<v Speaker 9>look at what has happened to the bank since we

0:33:49.200 --> 0:33:52.480
<v Speaker 9>actually started. You know, for example, you know when we started,

0:33:52.800 --> 0:33:55.160
<v Speaker 9>I said that we'll have to have a clarity about

0:33:55.840 --> 0:33:57.800
<v Speaker 9>how the bank tackles issues.

0:33:57.560 --> 0:33:58.720
<v Speaker 3>Day to day issues of people.

0:33:58.760 --> 0:34:01.800
<v Speaker 9>People shouldn't really look you know, you have African Development Bank.

0:34:02.000 --> 0:34:03.400
<v Speaker 9>The issue for me is not just the bank. We

0:34:03.400 --> 0:34:05.320
<v Speaker 9>don't how to run the bank is the issue is

0:34:05.320 --> 0:34:08.160
<v Speaker 9>the development part, right, And so we actually set out

0:34:08.160 --> 0:34:11.760
<v Speaker 9>to actually say five priorities for Africa. Light of empower Africa,

0:34:11.840 --> 0:34:16.080
<v Speaker 9>universal access to electricity, feed Africa, inte great Africa, infrastructure

0:34:16.120 --> 0:34:19.720
<v Speaker 9>wise industrialized Africa so Africa can be competitive with global

0:34:19.800 --> 0:34:22.799
<v Speaker 9>value chains, okay, and increase his share of global manufacturing.

0:34:23.120 --> 0:34:26.120
<v Speaker 9>And then of course improved the quality of life of

0:34:26.160 --> 0:34:29.920
<v Speaker 9>the people of Africa the things that we all care about, water, sanitation, education,

0:34:29.960 --> 0:34:32.040
<v Speaker 9>e skillits job for young people and all of that.

0:34:32.360 --> 0:34:36.440
<v Speaker 9>So we in the last time, since last seven years,

0:34:36.680 --> 0:34:39.480
<v Speaker 9>that work has impacted on more than four hundred million people.

0:34:39.760 --> 0:34:42.040
<v Speaker 9>The second is what we've done in terms of raising

0:34:42.080 --> 0:34:44.760
<v Speaker 9>more capital for the bank. When I was elected president.

0:34:44.760 --> 0:34:47.120
<v Speaker 9>First at the bank. Quite first term, the capital of

0:34:47.120 --> 0:34:50.000
<v Speaker 9>the bank was ninety three billion dollars. Today the capital

0:34:50.000 --> 0:34:52.480
<v Speaker 9>of the bank is nine three hundred and eighteen billion

0:34:52.520 --> 0:34:53.080
<v Speaker 9>dollars franks.

0:34:53.239 --> 0:34:55.879
<v Speaker 3>And last year, last year just one point.

0:34:56.320 --> 0:34:59.279
<v Speaker 9>Last year, the African Development Bank was ranked as the

0:34:59.280 --> 0:35:01.880
<v Speaker 9>best mortalized for a financialite institution in the world.

0:35:02.239 --> 0:35:03.840
<v Speaker 3>And last year and this year we were.

0:35:03.800 --> 0:35:07.120
<v Speaker 9>Ranked also as the most transporting financialite institution in the world.

0:35:07.160 --> 0:35:09.200
<v Speaker 3>So I think that you know, we've done pretty well.

0:35:09.280 --> 0:35:13.520
<v Speaker 9>I think my staff I've been fantastic, but most importantly,

0:35:13.560 --> 0:35:16.480
<v Speaker 9>my shareholders have just been phenomenal. When I was re elected,

0:35:16.480 --> 0:35:18.279
<v Speaker 9>I was re elected with one hundred percent of the votes,

0:35:18.320 --> 0:35:19.200
<v Speaker 9>so which was fantastic.

0:35:19.239 --> 0:35:20.560
<v Speaker 2>Well, it's certainly a part of the world that we

0:35:20.600 --> 0:35:22.920
<v Speaker 2>focus on so much. Gend knows this as she spent

0:35:23.040 --> 0:35:25.719
<v Speaker 2>so much time on it as well. Doctor Adisina, thank

0:35:25.760 --> 0:35:27.520
<v Speaker 2>you so much. Thank you for finding time for us.

0:35:27.560 --> 0:35:30.319
<v Speaker 2>Jens Abazagia, thank you as well for joining us and

0:35:30.360 --> 0:35:31.319
<v Speaker 2>on this conversation.

0:35:32.280 --> 0:35:32.880
<v Speaker 6>That's going to do it.

0:35:32.920 --> 0:35:37.200
<v Speaker 2>Of course, the president of the Africa Development Bank, a

0:35:37.400 --> 0:35:39.400
<v Speaker 2>brother Marco.

0:35:40.800 --> 0:35:47.200
<v Speaker 1>The journal Now about you let me drive no no, no, no, please, honey,

0:35:47.320 --> 0:35:51.239
<v Speaker 1>please gravel I want to.

0:35:53.280 --> 0:35:54.200
<v Speaker 8>It's a good question.

0:35:58.000 --> 0:36:01.640
<v Speaker 4>This is the Drive to the Clone done well.

0:36:03.160 --> 0:36:04.400
<v Speaker 3>On Bloomberg radios.

0:36:04.440 --> 0:36:06.759
<v Speaker 2>All right, we've got just eighteen minutes to go for

0:36:06.840 --> 0:36:08.760
<v Speaker 2>the Thursday trading session.

0:36:09.200 --> 0:36:10.440
<v Speaker 6>Charlie breaking down the numbers.

0:36:10.440 --> 0:36:12.640
<v Speaker 2>We're kind of bouncing around a little bit off our

0:36:12.640 --> 0:36:14.640
<v Speaker 2>best levels of the session. When you look at all

0:36:14.680 --> 0:36:17.400
<v Speaker 2>of the major equity averages, we're wondering whether or not

0:36:17.480 --> 0:36:19.239
<v Speaker 2>we see another record on the S and P five

0:36:19.280 --> 0:36:22.440
<v Speaker 2>hundred didn't happen yesterday, but could it possibly happen today?

0:36:22.520 --> 0:36:24.279
<v Speaker 2>So let's get to it with the markets. It does

0:36:24.360 --> 0:36:25.920
<v Speaker 2>feel like we're almost in this. Do you guys ever

0:36:25.960 --> 0:36:28.080
<v Speaker 2>feel that like over London? Like sometimes we're going from

0:36:28.120 --> 0:36:31.040
<v Speaker 2>FED to FED meeting yea, or we're going from earning

0:36:31.080 --> 0:36:32.120
<v Speaker 2>season to earning season.

0:36:32.239 --> 0:36:34.560
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, basically it's like and this is we're in the

0:36:34.600 --> 0:36:35.080
<v Speaker 4>in between.

0:36:35.200 --> 0:36:37.560
<v Speaker 6>It's exactly right. We're just kind of waiting for some direction.

0:36:37.800 --> 0:36:39.440
<v Speaker 2>Let's see what Brooke May has to say about all

0:36:39.440 --> 0:36:42.360
<v Speaker 2>of it. She's managing partner at the independent advisory firm

0:36:42.800 --> 0:36:45.080
<v Speaker 2>Evans May Wealth. They've got one point four billion in

0:36:45.120 --> 0:36:48.920
<v Speaker 2>assets under management. She joins us from Carmel Indiana. Is

0:36:48.920 --> 0:36:50.680
<v Speaker 2>it Carmel or caramel.

0:36:51.760 --> 0:36:53.480
<v Speaker 8>It's caramel caramel.

0:36:53.160 --> 0:36:55.239
<v Speaker 6>Okay, I had a feeling I might have said it wrong.

0:36:55.280 --> 0:36:59.680
<v Speaker 2>You're not alone having been to Carmel in California, But hey,

0:37:00.360 --> 0:37:02.640
<v Speaker 2>tell us about what's top of mind for folks in

0:37:02.680 --> 0:37:04.160
<v Speaker 2>that part of the world. I love it when we

0:37:04.200 --> 0:37:06.520
<v Speaker 2>talk to people that aren't necessarily on one of the

0:37:06.560 --> 0:37:09.640
<v Speaker 2>major costs, but tell us what's top of mind when

0:37:09.640 --> 0:37:11.279
<v Speaker 2>it comes to the economy, when it comes to the

0:37:11.280 --> 0:37:12.320
<v Speaker 2>investing environment.

0:37:12.760 --> 0:37:14.080
<v Speaker 6>Just kind of set the scene for us.

0:37:15.520 --> 0:37:18.279
<v Speaker 8>Yeah, you know, right now, clients are concerned about the

0:37:18.640 --> 0:37:22.719
<v Speaker 8>elevated levels in the market. When you ask our investors,

0:37:23.280 --> 0:37:27.080
<v Speaker 8>they feel pretty good about their personal situation. However, they're

0:37:27.120 --> 0:37:31.439
<v Speaker 8>concerned about the broad economy, and so as we navigate that,

0:37:32.160 --> 0:37:34.560
<v Speaker 8>you know, we're looking at earnings and we're trying to

0:37:34.600 --> 0:37:37.080
<v Speaker 8>figure out what's the right level for the market to

0:37:37.080 --> 0:37:40.560
<v Speaker 8>be trading at. Our urine price target was fifty six

0:37:40.680 --> 0:37:44.240
<v Speaker 8>hundred to fifty eight hundred, and we're there a little

0:37:44.280 --> 0:37:47.760
<v Speaker 8>earlier than expected, but we think the market could go higher.

0:37:48.400 --> 0:37:51.319
<v Speaker 8>When you look at the amount of cash on the sidelines,

0:37:51.800 --> 0:37:54.880
<v Speaker 8>there's about six trillion sitting in cash and money markets.

0:37:55.280 --> 0:37:56.799
<v Speaker 8>While we don't think all of that would flow back

0:37:56.800 --> 0:38:00.600
<v Speaker 8>into the market. About one point trillion went into markets

0:38:00.600 --> 0:38:03.640
<v Speaker 8>in twenty twenty three alone. So if people didn't buy

0:38:03.640 --> 0:38:06.759
<v Speaker 8>corporate bonds at buy percent a year ago, are they

0:38:06.800 --> 0:38:08.360
<v Speaker 8>going to buy them at three and a half percent.

0:38:08.760 --> 0:38:10.759
<v Speaker 8>We think that could be another tailwind in addition to

0:38:10.760 --> 0:38:11.520
<v Speaker 8>earnings growth.

0:38:11.680 --> 0:38:13.399
<v Speaker 4>So I mean, what's going to motivate that money off

0:38:13.440 --> 0:38:14.160
<v Speaker 4>the sidelines?

0:38:14.360 --> 0:38:15.200
<v Speaker 3>Though? I mean, if.

0:38:15.080 --> 0:38:17.880
<v Speaker 4>We're looking at the SMP potentially heading for a forty

0:38:17.920 --> 0:38:22.359
<v Speaker 4>second records closed this year, I mean, what what's going

0:38:22.400 --> 0:38:24.719
<v Speaker 4>to do better that's going to motivate that money out

0:38:24.719 --> 0:38:26.520
<v Speaker 4>of cash?

0:38:27.120 --> 0:38:29.400
<v Speaker 8>Well, I think that they'll be pushed out by lower

0:38:29.440 --> 0:38:34.080
<v Speaker 8>money market rates and looking for higher earning alternatives. And

0:38:34.120 --> 0:38:36.200
<v Speaker 8>while they might not get that in the very near term,

0:38:36.560 --> 0:38:38.600
<v Speaker 8>over time, they're going to make more inequities than they

0:38:38.600 --> 0:38:41.520
<v Speaker 8>would sitting in a money marketer in cash.

0:38:41.840 --> 0:38:45.359
<v Speaker 2>All right, So then you know, having said that, you know,

0:38:45.600 --> 0:38:48.800
<v Speaker 2>someone comes to you with some new investment money, where

0:38:48.960 --> 0:38:49.759
<v Speaker 2>do they put it?

0:38:49.800 --> 0:38:50.560
<v Speaker 6>In your views?

0:38:50.640 --> 0:38:51.759
<v Speaker 2>And it is you know, Steph and I kind of

0:38:51.800 --> 0:38:54.440
<v Speaker 2>kicked it off saying we're in this interesting, interesting, you

0:38:54.480 --> 0:38:57.560
<v Speaker 2>know time period. Right, we just got through a major

0:38:57.640 --> 0:39:00.760
<v Speaker 2>FED meeting. We wait for the next one. We're getting

0:39:00.760 --> 0:39:05.040
<v Speaker 2>ready for earnings to really kick off. So do you say,

0:39:05.040 --> 0:39:07.720
<v Speaker 2>wait and hold, we've got elections just around the corner.

0:39:08.040 --> 0:39:11.799
<v Speaker 8>What do you say, we're dollar cost averaging over the

0:39:11.840 --> 0:39:15.320
<v Speaker 8>next year. For new money, our clients who are invested,

0:39:15.360 --> 0:39:18.960
<v Speaker 8>we're staying invested. It's difficult to time the market, but

0:39:19.200 --> 0:39:21.759
<v Speaker 8>at these elevated levels, and the fact that when you

0:39:21.800 --> 0:39:24.960
<v Speaker 8>look at earnings relative to where the market is, you know,

0:39:25.000 --> 0:39:27.359
<v Speaker 8>we feel like we're fully priced in right now, so

0:39:27.640 --> 0:39:29.560
<v Speaker 8>we're not getting out of the market. But for new money,

0:39:29.600 --> 0:39:31.960
<v Speaker 8>we're dollar cost averaging in and we're doing it over

0:39:32.000 --> 0:39:32.640
<v Speaker 8>the next year.

0:39:33.520 --> 0:39:36.600
<v Speaker 4>When we're thinking about you know, earning season and the

0:39:36.640 --> 0:39:38.279
<v Speaker 4>sort of signals we're going to start getting from the

0:39:38.320 --> 0:39:40.440
<v Speaker 4>big companies now about what comes towards the end of

0:39:40.440 --> 0:39:42.240
<v Speaker 4>the year. What are the key things that you're watching

0:39:42.320 --> 0:39:44.759
<v Speaker 4>out for. Where are you digging into the detail.

0:39:46.080 --> 0:39:49.920
<v Speaker 8>We're looking at revenues. You know, companies in this challenging

0:39:50.000 --> 0:39:52.920
<v Speaker 8>environment have been able to maintain their profit margins. It's

0:39:52.920 --> 0:39:55.719
<v Speaker 8>been impressive. But at this point, if we see the

0:39:55.800 --> 0:39:59.919
<v Speaker 8>value trade where people are looking more for value, there

0:40:00.000 --> 0:40:02.600
<v Speaker 8>there's some compression there, and so we want to see

0:40:02.600 --> 0:40:05.360
<v Speaker 8>companies grow the revenues. When we look at this last

0:40:05.360 --> 0:40:08.920
<v Speaker 8>earning season, seventy nine percent of companies beat on earnings,

0:40:08.960 --> 0:40:12.240
<v Speaker 8>which is well above the historical average, but only sixty

0:40:12.280 --> 0:40:15.319
<v Speaker 8>percent of companies beat on revenue. So clearly there's some

0:40:15.360 --> 0:40:18.520
<v Speaker 8>concern there and that's one of the factors that we're

0:40:18.560 --> 0:40:19.840
<v Speaker 8>going to be looking at going forward.

0:40:19.960 --> 0:40:23.120
<v Speaker 2>Do you like big tech still though we do?

0:40:23.680 --> 0:40:23.960
<v Speaker 7>We do.

0:40:24.160 --> 0:40:26.480
<v Speaker 8>We also like the broad market though. When you look

0:40:26.520 --> 0:40:30.680
<v Speaker 8>at going into twenty twenty four, the earnings growth expectation

0:40:30.880 --> 0:40:34.040
<v Speaker 8>for big tech was twenty eight percent, and the other

0:40:34.080 --> 0:40:36.920
<v Speaker 8>four hundred and ninety three names earnings were only expected

0:40:36.920 --> 0:40:40.200
<v Speaker 8>to be up about seven percent. Going into twenty twenty five,

0:40:40.440 --> 0:40:42.600
<v Speaker 8>we think big tech earnings will be up seventeen to

0:40:42.640 --> 0:40:45.400
<v Speaker 8>eighteen percent, but the rest of the market to be

0:40:45.520 --> 0:40:50.279
<v Speaker 8>up about thirteen percent, So we're seeing a broadening in participation.

0:40:51.000 --> 0:40:54.399
<v Speaker 8>Corporate earnings are healthy right now, and when you talk

0:40:54.440 --> 0:40:59.720
<v Speaker 8>to CEOs, their outlook is stable. They think that wages

0:40:59.719 --> 0:41:01.680
<v Speaker 8>will be up a little over three percent over the

0:41:01.719 --> 0:41:05.360
<v Speaker 8>next year. They think that hiring will be stable. And

0:41:05.440 --> 0:41:08.600
<v Speaker 8>when you listen to those earnings calls, the word inflation

0:41:08.760 --> 0:41:11.560
<v Speaker 8>was only mentioned about on about fifty percent of the time,

0:41:11.680 --> 0:41:15.680
<v Speaker 8>so we think that really the CEO sentiment is relatively stable,

0:41:15.680 --> 0:41:17.760
<v Speaker 8>and they're the ones that are doing the hiring and firing.

0:41:18.280 --> 0:41:20.920
<v Speaker 4>What about those companies for the economy one of those

0:41:20.920 --> 0:41:23.120
<v Speaker 4>companies that are most exposed to the consumer as well,

0:41:23.200 --> 0:41:25.160
<v Speaker 4>because I mean, there was a time when we were

0:41:25.160 --> 0:41:26.719
<v Speaker 4>a little bit worried about some of the credit card

0:41:26.840 --> 0:41:28.560
<v Speaker 4>data and a couple of secmdals in the page book

0:41:28.600 --> 0:41:31.640
<v Speaker 4>about you know, some consumer bumps to come. They haven't

0:41:31.680 --> 0:41:34.359
<v Speaker 4>really materialized. Yes, what's your view?

0:41:36.320 --> 0:41:39.759
<v Speaker 8>I agree, you know, Unfortunately there's a bifurcation right now

0:41:39.800 --> 0:41:45.439
<v Speaker 8>though in the environment where lower income households are really

0:41:45.480 --> 0:41:50.319
<v Speaker 8>being squeezed. However, Middle America and really the high end

0:41:50.320 --> 0:41:53.680
<v Speaker 8>consumer haven't struggled nearly as much. They're looking at their

0:41:53.680 --> 0:41:56.200
<v Speaker 8>four one K balances and they're at all time highs.

0:41:57.239 --> 0:41:59.640
<v Speaker 8>They feel good about the value in their house and

0:41:59.719 --> 0:42:03.239
<v Speaker 8>so really it's a tale of really two cities. When

0:42:03.280 --> 0:42:05.640
<v Speaker 8>we look at default rates, for example, it's in the

0:42:05.640 --> 0:42:10.480
<v Speaker 8>subprime area, specifically mostly in low income. So there are

0:42:10.560 --> 0:42:13.400
<v Speaker 8>pockets of the economy that are struggling, but when you

0:42:13.440 --> 0:42:17.440
<v Speaker 8>look at the broad economy, it's relatively healthy. Unemployments at

0:42:17.440 --> 0:42:22.120
<v Speaker 8>four point two percent. Granted, that's well above the sub

0:42:22.160 --> 0:42:24.759
<v Speaker 8>three point nine percent we saw for two years, but

0:42:25.280 --> 0:42:27.479
<v Speaker 8>when you compare it to an historical average, it's really

0:42:27.520 --> 0:42:30.120
<v Speaker 8>low and we don't see it ticking up much more.

0:42:30.719 --> 0:42:33.719
<v Speaker 8>With FED rate cuts coming, that's going to bode well

0:42:33.880 --> 0:42:37.000
<v Speaker 8>and we think that unemployment is going to be relatively stable.

0:42:37.120 --> 0:42:39.040
<v Speaker 2>Hey, Brooke, just got about forty five seconds left here.

0:42:39.080 --> 0:42:41.040
<v Speaker 2>One of the most read stories on the Bloomberg is

0:42:41.040 --> 0:42:43.680
<v Speaker 2>an exclusive. It's about City Group and Apollo Global Management

0:42:43.719 --> 0:42:47.480
<v Speaker 2>teaming up in the fast growing credit private market. They're

0:42:47.520 --> 0:42:50.200
<v Speaker 2>going to work together on twenty five billion dollars worth

0:42:50.200 --> 0:42:51.560
<v Speaker 2>of deals over the next five years.

0:42:51.560 --> 0:42:53.160
<v Speaker 6>Private credit, private credit.

0:42:52.960 --> 0:42:56.439
<v Speaker 2>You are dealing with I'm assuming higher or high net

0:42:56.480 --> 0:42:59.360
<v Speaker 2>worth individuals. How much do they want to be in

0:42:59.440 --> 0:43:01.680
<v Speaker 2>kind of the alterative investment space. And again, just got

0:43:01.680 --> 0:43:02.959
<v Speaker 2>about thirty seconds left here.

0:43:03.880 --> 0:43:06.239
<v Speaker 8>Yeah, it's a new entry point for us. Over the

0:43:06.280 --> 0:43:09.319
<v Speaker 8>last few years, private credit has become a buzzword and

0:43:09.640 --> 0:43:13.000
<v Speaker 8>most of the mutual fund and investment firms that we're

0:43:13.000 --> 0:43:15.600
<v Speaker 8>talking to are talking to us about private credit. So

0:43:15.640 --> 0:43:19.680
<v Speaker 8>there's growing demand there. Yields are very attractive and whenever

0:43:19.680 --> 0:43:22.959
<v Speaker 8>the economy is this strong, the DeVault risk isn't. Isn't

0:43:23.000 --> 0:43:25.080
<v Speaker 8>what it would be in a struggling economy.

0:43:25.520 --> 0:43:27.520
<v Speaker 2>All right, Got to leave it on that note. Listen

0:43:27.600 --> 0:43:29.920
<v Speaker 2>so appreciate it, take care, enjoy the rest of the week.

0:43:29.960 --> 0:43:34.040
<v Speaker 2>Brook May, Managing partner at Evans Maywelthyre and independent advisory firm.

0:43:34.040 --> 0:43:36.480
<v Speaker 2>They've got one point four billion in assets.

0:43:37.040 --> 0:43:40.880
<v Speaker 1>This is the Bloomberg Business Week Podcast. I'll a little Apple,

0:43:41.120 --> 0:43:44.640
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