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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast.

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Speaker 2: All right, here we go.

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Speaker 1: Fifteen twenty twenty five, thirty thirty five, Hony Cody five

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Speaker 1: fifty and the kick as block the college football Laura stun.

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Speaker 2: Oh my godness, he stumbled.

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Speaker 1: And the lateral turn the counter of the job. Do

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Speaker 1: you the lad came off the fail the nights. It's

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Speaker 1: not the size of the dog in the fight. It's

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Speaker 1: the size of the fight.

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Speaker 3: In the dog.

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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Big Bets on Campus Podcast on my Calbarys.

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Speaker 1: I'm joined today by Duck and Stuckey. It's time for

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Speaker 1: some serious patriotism because now we tackle the American Conference,

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Speaker 1: a conference that spans our great nation from the banks

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Speaker 1: of the Hudson River to the white sand beaches off

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Speaker 1: of Fau's campus to the Riverwalk in San Antonio. This league,

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Speaker 1: just like last year, has potential to send a team

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Speaker 1: to the twelve team college football playoffs.

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Speaker 2: Very fascinating conference.

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Speaker 3: I've just spent the last fifteen hours going through every

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Speaker 3: single roster again. And now you have three option teams.

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Speaker 3: You have a bunch of air raid teams. The Rice

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Speaker 3: is moving to the option. You have Tulsa's gone air rads,

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Speaker 3: you have like four ish air raid teams, and then

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Speaker 3: you have your handful of you know, balanced want to

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Speaker 3: run it.

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Speaker 2: Your two lane Temple Charlotte teams.

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Speaker 3: I like all the head coach hires, like you have

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Speaker 3: Rice Fau Charlotte Temple Tulsa. They were disasters last year

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Speaker 3: with like lame duck coaches, a lot of quit A

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Speaker 3: lot of those teams are going to be more competitive.

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Speaker 1: So let's get into the teams in terms of balance.

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Speaker 1: We don't need to discuss necessarily the top dogs, just

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Speaker 1: at the top and then wait for the bottom to

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Speaker 1: get into the dregs and weird way, if we go alphabetically,

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Speaker 1: we're gonna zigzag between really good teams and teams that

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Speaker 1: are rebuilding. So let's just start, you know, with the

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Speaker 1: letter A with army song I wrote.

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Speaker 4: Many Army have many army yyyy me hoy homy on

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Speaker 4: mey imy imy homy.

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Speaker 2: Army twelve and two.

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Speaker 1: Last year, they go undefeated in their maiden voyage there

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Speaker 1: in the aac An Independence Bowl win over LA Tech,

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Speaker 1: their odds to repeat as conference champions ten to one.

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Speaker 1: Their winter sitting at seven and a half nine starters

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Speaker 1: returning four on offense, five on defense, eighty sixth overall

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Speaker 1: in returning production. Now, Doc, I'm gonna have you kind

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Speaker 1: of get into the nitty gritty of this team.

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Speaker 2: But let me set the table a bit here.

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Speaker 1: No more Captain America on offense, Bryce and Daily you know,

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Speaker 1: and everything he did offensively for them, He ran it

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Speaker 1: an impossible three hundred and nineteen times last year, broke

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Speaker 1: forty eight tackles, and somehow only.

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Speaker 2: Put six footballs on the carpet.

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Speaker 1: Despite all that usage, all of the pitching, they only

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Speaker 1: lost five fumbles the entire season, which spoke to his trustworthiness.

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Speaker 1: He's gone, so too are pieces from that Joe Moore

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Speaker 1: Award winning offensive line, and Kanye Udo goes off to

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Speaker 1: Arizona State, which is a huge loss in the portal. Defensively,

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Speaker 1: they meant they returned five starters, six of their top

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Speaker 1: ten tacklers, but Elo Modozi is off to Georgia, so

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Speaker 1: another potential star that they're gonna have to deal.

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Speaker 2: Without this fall.

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Speaker 1: Douck, do we think they can reload or do you

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Speaker 1: think this is a massive step back for the Cadets

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Speaker 1: up at West Point.

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Speaker 4: I think to expect a reload and a repeat performance

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Speaker 4: of last season would be unfair. There were just too

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Speaker 4: many stars that had to align last season for Army

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Speaker 4: to go on a magical run.

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Speaker 1: No, sir.

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Speaker 4: They had an electric playmaker at quarterback, just very little

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Speaker 4: mistakes by Bryce Daily at the quarterback position, and the

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Speaker 4: execution was just superb. The A and B back play

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Speaker 4: exceeded all expectations. You mentioned Kanye Udo, but the slotbacks

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Speaker 4: who were not explosive in twenty twenty three, had so

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Speaker 4: much explosiveness last year in twenty twenty four that they

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Speaker 4: really needed. I mean, the offensive line connected and won

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Speaker 4: the Joe Moore Award, and the schedule was really conducive

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Speaker 4: to racking up the win. We've got a few things

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Speaker 4: this year that are going to be changing with that.

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Speaker 4: So I think the book is still out yet. On

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Speaker 4: d Wayne Coleman, I think he's a little unproven. He

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Speaker 4: might be a little stronger passer than Daily, but yet

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Speaker 4: to see with really a great amount of workload if

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Speaker 4: he's the guy that's going to be able to handle

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Speaker 4: the load. Udo is just a massive loss at the

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Speaker 4: B back. He just did so many things for that offense,

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Speaker 4: or at least had the threat of doing those things.

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Speaker 4: So be interesting to see how they replace that. I

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Speaker 4: think it's going to be Jake Redina, who is going

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Speaker 4: to come in and pick up the slack at the

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Speaker 4: b back position. And then they're pretty short up with

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Speaker 4: the slot backs, so probably okay. In the running back room,

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Speaker 4: I would think the receiver and tight endroom is fairly inexperienced,

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Speaker 4: although that'll be mitigated just by the style of play.

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Speaker 4: They don't throw it a ton, and they'll certainly find

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Speaker 4: someone that can likely emerge and pick up some slack there.

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Speaker 4: But the old line, you lose the left tackle, the

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Speaker 4: right tackle, the left guard, with no portal to pluck

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Speaker 4: guys from, and you've also got the guy drawn it up,

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Speaker 4: Matt Drinkle, who's no longer on staff. So I just

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Speaker 4: think that you're do for a little bit of negative regression.

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Speaker 4: I don't think it's a reload. I don't think it's

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Speaker 4: a massive step back offensively. I just think it's kind

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Speaker 4: of a little bit of attrition back to the norm

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Speaker 4: of what kind of what the talent level would be here.

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Speaker 4: Five starters return on defense, six of the top twelve

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Speaker 4: tacklers return. There are some holes. The front seven is undersized,

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Speaker 4: as is always the case with a military academy, they

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Speaker 4: usually rotate a ton of guys in, so they're going

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Speaker 4: to need some young guys to step up, especially as

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Speaker 4: we get into the crux of the season. You mentioned

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Speaker 4: the linebacker going to Georgia. That's a big loss and

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Speaker 4: that again there's no portal to really portal and backfill that.

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Speaker 4: So with Elo Mendozi going out, it's a loss in

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Speaker 4: that linebacker room for sure. I think the secondary is okay.

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Speaker 4: They've got five back that played meaningful snaps last season,

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Speaker 4: but there are three contributors that were gone, So yeah,

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Speaker 4: there's there's some holes that you're just going to have

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Speaker 4: to try to limit the damage lost by graduating seniors

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Speaker 4: and good producers. Now the schedule I think is a

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Speaker 4: little bit more difficult.

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Speaker 2: You've got to go to.

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Speaker 4: Kansas State early in the season. You play North Texas,

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Speaker 4: who I think is an emerging program that'll have a

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Speaker 4: significantly better defense. We'll get to them later. At East

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Speaker 4: Carolina and at UAB will just not be cakewalks for Army,

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Speaker 4: and routinely when they have to go to the South,

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Speaker 4: they have been known in the past to throw up

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Speaker 4: a stink or two. So I think that those travel

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Speaker 4: spots could be tricky. At TWU Lane, at air Force

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Speaker 4: and at UTSA provide some tough road environments for Army.

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Speaker 4: And then you've got the neutral game at the end

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Speaker 4: of the season against against Navy, which is always a

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Speaker 4: really hard fought, competitive battle. There's like eight games on

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Speaker 4: the schedule they could lose, and you have your leader

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Speaker 4: that's lost. You have the guys that are the catalysts

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Speaker 4: offensively that you could bank on third and two, fourth

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Speaker 4: and two. You absolutely knew exactly what you were going

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Speaker 4: to get and they executed at a high level. I

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Speaker 4: just don't think we see a ton of that this

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Speaker 4: year from Army, or at least not as highly efficient

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Speaker 4: as what we saw in twenty twenty four. Of the

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Speaker 4: schedules a little bit more difficult. They've got more tricky

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Speaker 4: road spots. I go under seven and a half here.

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Speaker 4: I think this is still a good football team, but

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Speaker 4: not nearly the team that we saw, and the magical

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Speaker 4: run that we had from Army last season stuck. What

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Speaker 4: do you think?

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Speaker 2: Yeah? I went under here.

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Speaker 3: One of my favorite win totals, and last year, if

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Speaker 3: you look at Army, they had ten regular season wins.

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Speaker 3: Lehigh Rice, they fire their coach, Temple, fire their coach.

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Speaker 3: Tulsa they quit, fired their coach ECU. It was before

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Speaker 3: that they made a coach and change. They beat Air

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Speaker 3: Force it was its worst year in decades. UAB, we

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Speaker 3: know was horrible last year. And then there are other

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Speaker 3: wins were North Texas and UTSA. They could have lost

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Speaker 3: either of those games easily. So everything broke right. Daily's

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Speaker 3: gone being huge. The tackles, you know, you have won

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Speaker 3: with three thousand snaps the other ones on the Ravens roster. Now,

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Speaker 3: tackles are so important to an option offense. They call

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Speaker 3: out everything on the defense for communication that I mean.

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Speaker 3: And then the offensive line coach, as you mentioned, their

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Speaker 3: tackle go from over forty five hundred career snaps to

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Speaker 3: less than one hundred. So that is a major question

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Speaker 3: for me. And yeah, I think the schedule is going

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Speaker 3: to end up being much tougher this year, So yeah,

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Speaker 3: I went under. I project them at like six point eight.

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Speaker 3: The way that I project that I look at the

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Speaker 3: American overall is you have five teams at the in

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Speaker 3: the top tier that are pretty close like Tulane, Memphis, UTSA, Navy, USF.

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Speaker 3: And then I think there's a second tier. We'll see

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Speaker 3: if any one of those teams can rise with like Army,

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Speaker 3: North Texas ECU, and then you have all the six

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Speaker 3: kind of dregs with a lot of change, and most

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Speaker 3: of them have new coaches. I think Army is in

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Speaker 3: that second tier. Yeah, there's a lot of games that

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Speaker 3: they could drop here. The loss of daily is huge,

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Speaker 3: the loss of the tackles is huge. Blust some other

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Speaker 3: key guys. So I think there's value in the under.

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Speaker 3: I went under seven and a half.

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Speaker 1: We looked down at Charlotte five and seven last year

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Speaker 1: overall four and four in the American that seventy five

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Speaker 1: to one to win the conference. Win total sitting at

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Speaker 1: three and a half. Two starters returning one on each

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Speaker 1: side of the ball, one hundred and thirty first in

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Speaker 1: returning production. We keep getting energetic, quirky coaches, Club Lit Biff, my.

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Speaker 2: Name's Biff Pog.

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Speaker 4: I expect those to be a national power.

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Speaker 2: But it's not working in the Queen City.

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Speaker 1: Now they snag an elite G five coach from Ohio

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Speaker 1: and Tim Albin.

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Speaker 2: He won thirty games in his last three years in Athens.

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Speaker 2: Long term, I love this higher.

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Speaker 1: It's the best case scenario by country mile for a

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Speaker 1: program in Charlotte to be able to get someone of

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Speaker 1: this quality who's already established. They didn't have to go

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Speaker 1: to the FCS ranks. They didn't have to take a

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Speaker 1: hot coordinator. They took somebody who's already proven that they

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Speaker 1: can win with realistic resources, even though Charlotte is kind

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Speaker 1: of trending up in that regard. But are they going

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Speaker 1: to have answers to some of the major questions, starting

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Speaker 1: with the fact who's going to be their QB one?

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Speaker 1: Is it Grayson loftis from Duke Connor Harrell from North Carolina?

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Speaker 1: Will their recruiting wins in the wide receiver room pay

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Speaker 1: dividends if that quarterback position isn't figured out quickly? And defensively,

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Speaker 1: Alvin had stoppers at Ohio that were nasty at defense

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Speaker 1: in general really carry them for much of the season,

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Speaker 1: and now essentially with all these new parts, ten new

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Speaker 1: faces on this defense for at least compared to last

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Speaker 1: year starting defense, a lot of FCS allowed JUCO guys

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Speaker 1: need to emerge. Can we trust Albin and his staff

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Speaker 1: to get these key questions sorted out by let's say

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Speaker 1: the end of September. I'll go to you first, Stucky

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Speaker 1: on this one. What are your thoughts on the reload

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Speaker 1: here at Charlotte.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I like it. I like the album higher as well.

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna miss Biff, but I'm not sure.

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Speaker 3: It's gonna pay dividends in year one. But they're implied

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Speaker 3: win till you can find is always shop around, especially

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Speaker 3: for like futures. I think you can find like Charlotte

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Speaker 3: is like two hundred to one or like seventy five

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Speaker 3: to one. If you for some reason why I got

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Speaker 3: Charlotte to win the league, why would you leave the

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Speaker 3: potential free money on the table to shop around for

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Speaker 3: futures that you can see that across the board.

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Speaker 4: In the a three times a better price.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, the difference is between books, so just make sure

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Speaker 3: you shop brown as always.

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Speaker 2: I mean Albun.

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Speaker 3: Look his first year at Ohio he had three wins

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Speaker 3: and then he won ten plus three straight. So maybe

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Speaker 3: we see it in year two, three, four. I don't

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Speaker 3: really see it with this roster. They bring in a

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Speaker 3: bunch of linebackers from Ohio. Maybe that's the strength, but

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Speaker 3: their defensive line they lose everybody. But they were bad

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Speaker 3: last year, so I don't know how big of I

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Speaker 3: mean Butler going to USF maybe that's like the only

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Speaker 3: meaningful loss, but it and he didn't play a ton

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Speaker 3: of snaps. They had zero career FBS starts on their

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Speaker 3: defensive line, so we'll see how that comes together, you know,

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Speaker 3: in their defensive backfield. I like some of the additions

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Speaker 3: they made, but again unproven wide received. I mean everything

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Speaker 3: is unproven on this team. The offensive line in particular

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Speaker 3: is where everything could go wrong for me. Win total

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Speaker 3: out there is either two and a half heavily juice

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Speaker 3: to the over or three and a half heavily juice

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Speaker 3: to the under. I project them at like three point two,

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Speaker 3: so I mean I show a little bit of value

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Speaker 3: on the over, not enough to get involved. I mean

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Speaker 3: the schedule is brutal too. I mean they're at Georgia,

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Speaker 3: app State and u N and C in non khon.

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Speaker 3: You assume they get a win over Monmouth is their

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Speaker 3: other one. But the Charlotte's two games against Temple and

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Speaker 3: Rice at home, So what do you think of Rice?

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Speaker 3: What do you think of Temple? Those two new staffs,

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Speaker 3: those two new teams, that's probably going to go a

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Speaker 3: long way in determining their win total. It's I thought

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Speaker 3: about over two and a half earlier, but I couldn't

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Speaker 3: quite get there too concerned about playing the trenches on

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Speaker 3: both sides, So it's a pass for me.

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Speaker 1: On Charlotte Doug, how are you seeing this and how

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Speaker 1: enthusiastic can you throw it down? A bet that gets

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Speaker 1: tied up for four or five months when you don't

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Speaker 1: even know the starting quarterback, and certainly with so many

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Speaker 1: new faces on defense, you got to feel philosophically for

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Speaker 1: what he wants to do, having watched a lot of

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Speaker 1: Ohio football in recent years, but you can't have a

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Speaker 1: lot of confidence that it's all going to work right away.

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Speaker 1: And you know, Stucky just mentioning the non con it'd

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Speaker 1: be great to get a win over app State maybe

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Speaker 1: at the end of the year if they were playing

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Speaker 1: and they had more connuity and more experience and had

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Speaker 1: time to gel, but having to play them in that

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Speaker 1: opening month, even a down app State team, it's going

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Speaker 1: to be it's going to take a yeoman's effort to

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Speaker 1: get an upset like that.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, overall, I think.

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Speaker 4: The higher two is a really fantastic higher And if

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Speaker 4: we see patients from the administration.

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Speaker 2: I definitely think it'll work.

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Speaker 4: But it's a full program rebuild. I think he'll make

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Speaker 4: good on it. But offensive line looks to be in

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Speaker 4: better shape than what they were when Biff left, and

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Speaker 4: they're going to have to be because they couldn't run

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Speaker 4: the ball with very much effectiveness. They gave up way

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Speaker 4: too much havoc thirty four sacs, seventy eight tackles for loss.

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Speaker 2: They tried to.

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Speaker 4: Portal in as best they could with some of the

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Speaker 4: limited pieces that they had, so they tried to piece

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Speaker 4: meal a roster together.

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Speaker 2: EJ.

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Speaker 4: Mason and Tyer Brooks come in from the portal at

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Speaker 4: the FCS level at receiver.

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Speaker 2: That should be okay.

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Speaker 4: The reports that I read show that the QB battle

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Speaker 4: is actually three ways, but Tim Albin just doesn't speak

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Speaker 4: about it to anybody, so he just will not really

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Speaker 4: tip his hand as to who's going to start, So

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Speaker 4: I would guess it would be loftist, but I mean,

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Speaker 4: there's no way to know what he's thinking. Special teams

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Speaker 4: is a complete mass, so I'm sure that'll be short

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Speaker 4: up in time with Tim Albyn. The non conference is tough.

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Speaker 4: Look at how they end. I mean North Texas ecu

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Speaker 4: Utsah Georgia two lane. They're not winning any of those.

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Speaker 4: I mean, they could get caught with their pants down

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Speaker 4: against Monmouth. So this is definitely a rebuilding season. I

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Speaker 4: think the higher long term will work, but I just

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Speaker 4: don't have a tremendous amount to get excited about here

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Speaker 4: with Charlotte, and there's too much unknown for me to

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Speaker 4: want to make a play either way. You know, a win.

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Speaker 2: Wins are just so hard to come by and they're precious.

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Speaker 2: But I'm going to tell you something, and you can

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Speaker 2: write this.

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Speaker 4: Down in big bold letters. When you're at East Carolina.

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Speaker 1: You go for it every time, or you don't coach

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Speaker 1: it East Carolina, you don't come to East Carolina, you

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Speaker 1: don't play it East Carolina with a weak heart.

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Speaker 2: And you write that down.

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Speaker 1: Warnings anyone with a weak heart, it's time to preview

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Speaker 1: East Carolina. The Pirates win eight and five last season,

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Speaker 1: five and three conference play. They win the Military Bowl

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Speaker 1: over NC State twenty six to twenty one, sixteen to

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Speaker 1: one to win the American Conference. This year, the win

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Speaker 1: total sitting at six and a half, six starters returning

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Speaker 1: four in offense, two on defense, one hundred and seventh overall,

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Speaker 1: though in returning production. Mike Houston got axed to after

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Speaker 1: a three and four start last season, and that part

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Speaker 1: made sense. He was in a five and fourteen nose

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Speaker 1: dive across multiple seasons. What didn't make sense is what

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Speaker 1: happened next Blake Carroll took over was zero head coaching experience,

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Speaker 1: and they won five of six. As I mentioned, they

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Speaker 1: beat NC State in that bowl game, and I can't

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Speaker 1: overstate what that meant to the fan base to stick

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Speaker 1: it to an in state school like NC State and

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Speaker 1: have that opportunity, and now they turn around they're going

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Speaker 1: to play them again this year. In the opener, John

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Speaker 1: David Baker stays at oc Harold hired Josh Aldridge from

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Speaker 1: Auburn to handle the defense. With the emergence of Caden Hauser, who,

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Speaker 1: by the way, is healthy after sitting out the spring,

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Speaker 1: a talented receiving corps with experience around him. How high

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Speaker 1: do you think this team can fly? Will they be

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Speaker 1: flying the Jolly Roger for most of the games this

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Speaker 1: season and get back into that eight or nine win

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Speaker 1: window in your opinion?

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Speaker 4: Duck Well, You're right about one thing. That bowlwin was huge.

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Speaker 4: Those two fan bases. It's reach rivalry. They don't play

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Speaker 4: often and they do not like each other, so that

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Speaker 4: was massive for ECU and a unique caveat They played

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Speaker 4: each other in Week one, so very interesting game here

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Speaker 4: in North Carolina. I really wanted to love this ECU team,

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Speaker 4: like I really really wanted to buy into what they

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Speaker 4: were doing here. But then I kind of started diving

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Speaker 4: in and I'm thinking, did this team turn the corner

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Speaker 4: after Blake Harrold took over or was it just that

358
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Speaker 4: they played Temple Fau Tulsa in North Texas. I'm just

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Speaker 4: not sold that it was a true watershed moment with

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Speaker 4: the program, and I think they just played some crappy

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Speaker 4: teams that they ended up capitalizing on to start to

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Speaker 4: build a little momentum to make a Bowl. There are

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Speaker 4: so many question marks this season. I think there's some upside,

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Speaker 4: but there's just a lot of question marks. The defense

365
00:16:48,080 --> 00:16:50,520
Speaker 4: was so porous last year at times, I mean three

366
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Speaker 4: hundred and eleven yards on the ground surrendered against Charlotte,

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Speaker 4: four hundred and forty yards allowed in league play, five

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Speaker 4: and a half yards per carry the last three weeks

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Speaker 4: of the season. Offensive turnovers definitely compounded the issues, But

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Speaker 4: twice last year they blew sixteen nothing leads and ended

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Speaker 4: up losing to app State and Liberty. Liberty game was

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Speaker 4: played after a lightning delay in the middle of the night,

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Speaker 4: but they still had three score leads or two score

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Speaker 4: leads blew those games. Last year they had big, physical

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Speaker 4: secondary players that really stuck their nose in there to

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Speaker 4: stop the run, and they were really good in pass

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Speaker 4: coverage early in the season. That entire platoon in the

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Speaker 4: secondary is gone, so it really could just take some

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Speaker 4: time for this defense, in my opinion, to amount to

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Speaker 4: much of anything offensively. I like Cayden Hauser's back. I

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Speaker 4: like actually what he did last season. As long as

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Speaker 4: he can cut down the turnovers, he's going to have

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Speaker 4: to take a step as a passer in his match

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Speaker 4: a maturation. They do lose some key receivers. They lose

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Speaker 4: Najah Harris, their running back. It was a major player

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Speaker 4: last year for them. They do have a couple running

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Speaker 4: backs back, and Parker Jenkins comes in, so I think

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Speaker 4: that they'll be okay in the running back room. But

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Speaker 4: they want to throw the ball. They want to go

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Speaker 4: lightning fast, air raid tempo. They need to shore up

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Speaker 4: a couple of the receiver positions just so they can

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Speaker 4: have some guys. Now, they did get some P four

393
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Speaker 4: talent infused from Oklahoma, South Carolina, Penn State, but some

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Speaker 4: of those receivers are unproven and don't have a lot

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Speaker 4: of snaps under their belts. So well, just the book

396
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Speaker 4: is not out yet on that receiving core, but they

397
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Speaker 4: were highly rated in high school. The offensive line just

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Speaker 4: needs a little work. I'm really concerned that the interior

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Speaker 4: of the of the O line is going to take

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Speaker 4: some time because they bring in some transfers from the

401
00:18:32,920 --> 00:18:36,400
Speaker 4: portal who haven't played in this system, and last year

402
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Speaker 4: the execution was just poor. They were bad on third down,

403
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Speaker 4: they were bad in the red zone. They far too

404
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Speaker 4: often had empty red zone possessions or settled for red

405
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Speaker 4: zone field goals. So there's just some things that they

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Speaker 4: need to really clean up in order to, I think,

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Speaker 4: take that next step as a program. I was initially

408
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Speaker 4: thinking like this could be a conference long shot at

409
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Speaker 4: twenty two to one or whatever that opened up at

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Speaker 4: earlier in the I really wanted to go over the

411
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Speaker 4: win total at six and a half. But then when

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Speaker 4: I'm looking at the schedule, they got to go to

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Speaker 4: NC State, BYU comes into town, they go to Coastal

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Speaker 4: And I just mentioned that because last year with those

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Speaker 4: regional games against Appstate and Liberty, they just didn't go

416
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Speaker 4: very well. They've got Army, two Lane, Memphis and UTSA

417
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Speaker 4: in the conference slate, Armies on short rest. I mean,

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Speaker 4: this bunch could emerge and it could be a really

419
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Speaker 4: feisty unit this year for ECU. I think that they'll

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Speaker 4: play pretty scrappy football, like we've kind of come to

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Speaker 4: know in love with them. But I just think that

422
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Speaker 4: it's just such an uptick in the opponents that they're facing.

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Speaker 4: I think to really have a chance, you're going to

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Speaker 4: have to defeat Army, You're gonna have to defeat two

425
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Speaker 4: Lane on the road. You're going to have to win

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Speaker 4: some road games against some of these upper echelon teams.

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Speaker 4: Last year they had opportunities and they didn't capitalize on

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Speaker 4: them where they blew them. So I just need another

429
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Speaker 4: year for me to really take a firm a positive

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Speaker 4: position on ECU.

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Speaker 1: Do you agree Stuck that it's a mirage what happened

432
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Speaker 1: the second half the last year because of the schedule

433
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Speaker 1: and with this step up in competition, non con and

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Speaker 1: who they're facing in the American that they're going to

435
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Speaker 1: get exposed.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean that's kind of what I took from

437
00:20:10,920 --> 00:20:13,080
Speaker 3: a lot of it was who they played. I mean

438
00:20:13,119 --> 00:20:15,199
Speaker 3: they beat Temple FA Tulsa, North Texas. Remember they got

439
00:20:15,200 --> 00:20:18,359
Speaker 3: blown out by Navy, and that was Woodson starting in

440
00:20:18,400 --> 00:20:21,600
Speaker 3: that game, a quarterback for Navy. The secondary is going

441
00:20:21,640 --> 00:20:24,160
Speaker 3: to be way down, I mean way down. You lost

442
00:20:24,440 --> 00:20:26,200
Speaker 3: Revel was hurt last year. He went to the Cowboys,

443
00:20:26,200 --> 00:20:28,679
Speaker 3: but Rogers was really good at safety. You lost a

444
00:20:28,680 --> 00:20:31,119
Speaker 3: bunch of others, and I don't think that they I

445
00:20:31,119 --> 00:20:35,720
Speaker 3: mean you're relying on wilk coming back and playing safety again,

446
00:20:35,760 --> 00:20:37,240
Speaker 3: a kid who was here a couple of years ago.

447
00:20:38,320 --> 00:20:42,359
Speaker 3: I don't really like their room at all. Linebackers super inexperienced.

448
00:20:42,359 --> 00:20:44,800
Speaker 3: The defensive line, they lost some guys up front. They

449
00:20:44,840 --> 00:20:46,720
Speaker 3: do have a ton of size. I mean every one

450
00:20:46,760 --> 00:20:49,000
Speaker 3: they added is like three hundred three fifteen three twenty three,

451
00:20:49,040 --> 00:20:50,960
Speaker 3: twenty five. So they have a ton of size and

452
00:20:50,960 --> 00:20:52,960
Speaker 3: bodies in the defensive line. I think they'll be okay there,

453
00:20:53,440 --> 00:20:55,640
Speaker 3: but the back seven I think is going to take

454
00:20:55,640 --> 00:20:56,760
Speaker 3: a major step back.

455
00:20:57,320 --> 00:21:00,000
Speaker 2: Offensively. I like their wide receiver room.

456
00:21:00,160 --> 00:21:02,880
Speaker 3: I mean I know they lost Sowell to Iowa State

457
00:21:02,920 --> 00:21:05,240
Speaker 3: and Right is now on the Browns, but both of

458
00:21:05,280 --> 00:21:07,680
Speaker 3: the Smiths are good. Petaway can replace Right in the

459
00:21:07,720 --> 00:21:11,359
Speaker 3: slot Johnson and Mangrim I think of potential too, so

460
00:21:11,680 --> 00:21:14,359
Speaker 3: I like their wide receiver room running back though miss Harris,

461
00:21:14,400 --> 00:21:16,800
Speaker 3: but they still have some guys there. There are some

462
00:21:16,840 --> 00:21:21,040
Speaker 3: things that did materially change, Like he went from Garcia,

463
00:21:21,040 --> 00:21:22,720
Speaker 3: who was a turnover machine like seven and a half

464
00:21:22,720 --> 00:21:26,560
Speaker 3: percent turnover worthy play rate, to Hawser, who was much better.

465
00:21:26,600 --> 00:21:29,960
Speaker 3: I mean, Howser was what nineteen touchdowns, eight interceptions. Garcia

466
00:21:30,080 --> 00:21:34,359
Speaker 3: was eight to eight touchdowns twelve interceptions. But Howser's still

467
00:21:34,520 --> 00:21:36,080
Speaker 3: way too hot. I mean, ty he had one of

468
00:21:36,119 --> 00:21:39,280
Speaker 3: the twenty highest turnover worthy play rates in the Country's

469
00:21:39,320 --> 00:21:42,000
Speaker 3: still way too high in that department. He was top

470
00:21:42,040 --> 00:21:45,840
Speaker 3: twenty in a dot two and then he actually had

471
00:21:45,840 --> 00:21:46,920
Speaker 3: the lowest time to throw.

472
00:21:46,920 --> 00:21:47,960
Speaker 2: They get rid of the ball quick.

473
00:21:48,119 --> 00:21:51,000
Speaker 3: This is ara, This is Brile's skiff and type offense,

474
00:21:51,040 --> 00:21:54,640
Speaker 3: wide splits, you name it. Baker also came down from

475
00:21:54,640 --> 00:21:57,720
Speaker 3: the booth to the sideline. I think that had a

476
00:21:57,760 --> 00:22:00,439
Speaker 3: positive impact as well, but I think mostly it was

477
00:22:00,520 --> 00:22:03,159
Speaker 3: the schedule. Duck mentioned in the offensive line. I'm really

478
00:22:03,200 --> 00:22:05,080
Speaker 3: worried about the offensive line. Otherwise, I think this offense

479
00:22:05,080 --> 00:22:06,560
Speaker 3: could be really good if the offensive line was going

480
00:22:06,600 --> 00:22:08,600
Speaker 3: to They lost their three vests. They were seven thousand

481
00:22:08,640 --> 00:22:13,000
Speaker 3: snaps with their center, their right guard, and their left tackle,

482
00:22:13,359 --> 00:22:15,480
Speaker 3: and I'm not sure. I mean they needed like a

483
00:22:15,520 --> 00:22:20,119
Speaker 3: Newberdy transfer to hit at tackle. Long from Maryland's probably

484
00:22:20,119 --> 00:22:22,760
Speaker 3: going to start at guard. Their center. The projected center

485
00:22:22,840 --> 00:22:24,760
Speaker 3: Jones got hurt and the spring he's out for the year.

486
00:22:25,119 --> 00:22:27,480
Speaker 3: It was another loss they were expecting him to start.

487
00:22:27,520 --> 00:22:30,720
Speaker 3: So the offensive line does concern me. I lean under

488
00:22:30,720 --> 00:22:33,080
Speaker 3: here show a little bit of value, but their schedule

489
00:22:33,080 --> 00:22:35,200
Speaker 3: definitely gets tougher. They played sen Bowl teams from last year.

490
00:22:35,359 --> 00:22:38,480
Speaker 3: Last year they only played five. They basically swapped out

491
00:22:38,760 --> 00:22:42,280
Speaker 3: Liberty and app State for NC State and BYU this year.

492
00:22:42,480 --> 00:22:43,960
Speaker 3: So you go from two groups of fives A two

493
00:22:43,960 --> 00:22:46,600
Speaker 3: Bower five and non con and then instead of Navy

494
00:22:46,600 --> 00:22:49,880
Speaker 3: in North Texas, you played Memphis and two lane. I

495
00:22:49,960 --> 00:22:52,119
Speaker 3: would lean under you can still find twenty two to

496
00:22:52,160 --> 00:22:55,080
Speaker 3: one out there at Caesars to win the conference. I

497
00:22:55,160 --> 00:22:59,240
Speaker 3: have no interest. I personally project them five point eight.

498
00:22:59,320 --> 00:23:01,600
Speaker 3: They're implied win total is six point twenty five.

499
00:23:01,680 --> 00:23:04,080
Speaker 2: So a little bit of value in the under football

500
00:23:04,080 --> 00:23:05,040
Speaker 2: season is here, folks.

501
00:23:05,080 --> 00:23:07,280
Speaker 1: And we've got some huge improvements and updates coming to

502
00:23:07,280 --> 00:23:09,639
Speaker 1: the award winning Action Network app, but we're very excited

503
00:23:09,640 --> 00:23:11,880
Speaker 1: to discuss those in the weeks ahead. But to get

504
00:23:11,880 --> 00:23:13,359
Speaker 1: the most out of the app, you still need to

505
00:23:13,400 --> 00:23:16,680
Speaker 1: be an Action Pro subscriber. It's only with Action Pro

506
00:23:16,840 --> 00:23:19,119
Speaker 1: you get real time pick alerts from me, Duck, Stucky

507
00:23:19,160 --> 00:23:21,679
Speaker 1: and Colin and the entire Action Network team of experts.

508
00:23:21,800 --> 00:23:25,679
Speaker 1: Plus you can access pro projections powered by Sean Kerner

509
00:23:25,720 --> 00:23:29,239
Speaker 1: and our predictive analytics team, plus million other benefits. And

510
00:23:29,359 --> 00:23:32,119
Speaker 1: right now, just for BBOC listeners, you can save twenty

511
00:23:32,119 --> 00:23:34,919
Speaker 1: dollars off the annual price of Action Pro. Just go

512
00:23:34,960 --> 00:23:37,320
Speaker 1: to Action Network dot com slash Pro and use code

513
00:23:37,320 --> 00:23:41,040
Speaker 1: BBOC twenty. That's Actionework dot Com slash Pro and use

514
00:23:41,080 --> 00:23:44,560
Speaker 1: code BBOC twenty for twenty dollars off the annual price

515
00:23:44,720 --> 00:23:45,400
Speaker 1: of Action Pro.

516
00:23:47,119 --> 00:23:48,160
Speaker 2: We just mentioned.

517
00:23:47,880 --> 00:23:50,359
Speaker 1: Teams that could potentially be a good over bets on

518
00:23:50,400 --> 00:23:51,199
Speaker 1: a weekly basis.

519
00:23:51,240 --> 00:23:53,800
Speaker 2: Let's talk about the FAU Owls.

520
00:23:53,440 --> 00:23:56,560
Speaker 1: Three to nine last season one and seven in conference

521
00:23:56,600 --> 00:23:59,160
Speaker 1: place seventy five to one to win the American Their

522
00:23:59,160 --> 00:24:01,560
Speaker 1: win total is set at four and a half. Only

523
00:24:01,600 --> 00:24:04,240
Speaker 1: one starter returns, and that's on offense, one hundred and

524
00:24:04,240 --> 00:24:07,040
Speaker 1: twelfth in returning production overall, one hundred and twentieth, specifically

525
00:24:07,119 --> 00:24:07,720
Speaker 1: on defense.

526
00:24:08,119 --> 00:24:09,320
Speaker 2: We've seen this movie before.

527
00:24:09,560 --> 00:24:13,080
Speaker 1: You take an FCS coach, you take a quarterback, you

528
00:24:13,119 --> 00:24:15,960
Speaker 1: put it together. It's not the exact same situation, but

529
00:24:16,000 --> 00:24:17,320
Speaker 1: we got some of the same characters.

530
00:24:17,440 --> 00:24:18,679
Speaker 2: Kittlee and Zappi and a.

531
00:24:18,680 --> 00:24:21,399
Speaker 1: Host of receivers led by Jared Stearns came to Western

532
00:24:21,480 --> 00:24:24,280
Speaker 1: Kentucky from Houston Baptist and they took the world by storm.

533
00:24:24,359 --> 00:24:27,400
Speaker 1: Zappi sept the FBS passing record for yards and touchdowns

534
00:24:27,440 --> 00:24:27,600
Speaker 1: in the.

535
00:24:27,600 --> 00:24:29,840
Speaker 2: Season Faily Zappi.

536
00:24:31,080 --> 00:24:33,280
Speaker 1: The Hilltoppers went ten and four against the spread that year,

537
00:24:33,280 --> 00:24:37,240
Speaker 1: and also ten of their fourteen games cash the over. Now,

538
00:24:37,400 --> 00:24:41,400
Speaker 1: Kittlee reunites with a quarterback he recruited in Caden Belcamp

539
00:24:41,560 --> 00:24:44,280
Speaker 1: brings his favorite target with him in Easton Messer. The

540
00:24:44,280 --> 00:24:46,320
Speaker 1: buzz out of Spring was that they could not be

541
00:24:46,359 --> 00:24:50,320
Speaker 1: stopped offensively. Velcamp in particularly sharp as hell. I think

542
00:24:50,320 --> 00:24:52,639
Speaker 1: if this offensive line holds up, they're going to pop

543
00:24:52,800 --> 00:24:56,520
Speaker 1: across the board because of that quarterback play caller number

544
00:24:56,560 --> 00:24:59,800
Speaker 1: one target continuity, as I mentioned, though only one returning

545
00:25:00,359 --> 00:25:02,960
Speaker 1: so how long does it take for everybody to work

546
00:25:03,040 --> 00:25:03,960
Speaker 1: in concert together?

547
00:25:04,280 --> 00:25:06,000
Speaker 2: Defensively zero returning starters.

548
00:25:06,720 --> 00:25:09,840
Speaker 1: Brett Dewhurst is in his mid thirties, never called plays

549
00:25:09,880 --> 00:25:12,639
Speaker 1: before at the college level, and as I mentioned, Super

550
00:25:12,640 --> 00:25:15,159
Speaker 1: Green Unit one hundred and twentieth in returning production was

551
00:25:15,320 --> 00:25:18,480
Speaker 1: zero full time starters there. They have some potential starters

552
00:25:18,480 --> 00:25:21,760
Speaker 1: from Big Ten schools like Minnesota and Rutgers. They have

553
00:25:21,800 --> 00:25:24,360
Speaker 1: an edge rusher that I talked about in an earlier episode,

554
00:25:24,359 --> 00:25:27,000
Speaker 1: and Eric Brandley Junior who could maybe vie for double

555
00:25:27,040 --> 00:25:28,960
Speaker 1: digit tackles for loss. But I think it's going to

556
00:25:28,960 --> 00:25:31,600
Speaker 1: be shootout city across the board for this offense.

557
00:25:31,880 --> 00:25:33,400
Speaker 2: How do we play these guys week to week?

558
00:25:33,440 --> 00:25:35,439
Speaker 1: I think that's where more the value is because I

559
00:25:35,480 --> 00:25:38,560
Speaker 1: do think there's some significant variance in the fact that

560
00:25:38,600 --> 00:25:41,760
Speaker 1: they could score thirty eight forty five points and lose

561
00:25:41,800 --> 00:25:44,160
Speaker 1: to an eight AC game, So it makes it difficult

562
00:25:44,160 --> 00:25:45,800
Speaker 1: for me to get in on the win total. I'll

563
00:25:45,840 --> 00:25:47,760
Speaker 1: go to you, Duck in terms of anything else you're

564
00:25:47,800 --> 00:25:49,080
Speaker 1: seeing under the hood.

565
00:25:49,359 --> 00:25:51,240
Speaker 2: In this first year with Kitley at the Helm.

566
00:25:51,359 --> 00:25:53,240
Speaker 4: Well, they could score thirty eight or forty five points

567
00:25:53,280 --> 00:25:55,280
Speaker 4: and lose by two touchdowns. That's how bad this defense

568
00:25:55,320 --> 00:25:57,199
Speaker 4: could potentially be. I actually went under on the win

569
00:25:57,280 --> 00:25:58,720
Speaker 4: total four and a half. I've bet at earlier in

570
00:25:58,760 --> 00:26:01,520
Speaker 4: the summer. There's a lot of variants here. We'll we'll

571
00:26:01,520 --> 00:26:02,240
Speaker 4: talk through it here.

572
00:26:02,560 --> 00:26:03,280
Speaker 2: This is the.

573
00:26:03,280 --> 00:26:05,680
Speaker 4: Only time that we go under on this program all year,

574
00:26:05,680 --> 00:26:07,320
Speaker 4: week to week. We got to go over because the

575
00:26:07,359 --> 00:26:10,520
Speaker 4: offense is going to absolutely be electric this season. We're

576
00:26:10,520 --> 00:26:12,359
Speaker 4: going to see fireworks week to week. They're going to

577
00:26:12,400 --> 00:26:15,359
Speaker 4: go blazing fast, they're going to go pass happy. We've

578
00:26:15,400 --> 00:26:18,399
Speaker 4: seen this regimen work out before with Kittley when he

579
00:26:18,880 --> 00:26:21,560
Speaker 4: brings in his guy, who brings in his receiver, who

580
00:26:21,680 --> 00:26:25,280
Speaker 4: runs their system, and now Kittley gets to kind of

581
00:26:25,280 --> 00:26:28,800
Speaker 4: have the shackles taken off of his wrists. He doesn't

582
00:26:28,800 --> 00:26:31,280
Speaker 4: have to answer to anybody. He has complete and full

583
00:26:31,320 --> 00:26:34,720
Speaker 4: control over this offense. As the head coach, video game

584
00:26:34,800 --> 00:26:39,280
Speaker 4: numbers expected here. I expect tremendously high scoring games the

585
00:26:39,359 --> 00:26:42,280
Speaker 4: offense with belt Camp, He's in full control of the system,

586
00:26:42,320 --> 00:26:44,239
Speaker 4: he's familiar with it. I think he's going to just

587
00:26:44,400 --> 00:26:46,359
Speaker 4: hit on all cylinders on day one and they have

588
00:26:46,400 --> 00:26:49,000
Speaker 4: a capable backup if something happens to him and Zach Gibson,

589
00:26:49,000 --> 00:26:51,560
Speaker 4: who comes in via the portal. The running back room

590
00:26:51,600 --> 00:26:53,720
Speaker 4: is short up, I think with a couple guys that

591
00:26:53,760 --> 00:26:57,119
Speaker 4: they've got in. Xavier Terrell comes in and Jamari Sanins

592
00:26:57,160 --> 00:26:59,560
Speaker 4: will come in and split carries, so if they do

593
00:26:59,600 --> 00:27:01,760
Speaker 4: sneak in the run game, they'll have some serviceable pop

594
00:27:01,800 --> 00:27:04,800
Speaker 4: there in the running back room. Four or five decent

595
00:27:04,800 --> 00:27:07,600
Speaker 4: options in the receiver room. We mentioned East Semester who

596
00:27:07,600 --> 00:27:11,240
Speaker 4: comes in with Velt Camp, but Javari Smith is fine,

597
00:27:11,320 --> 00:27:13,560
Speaker 4: Quincy Brown will provide a good target.

598
00:27:13,840 --> 00:27:14,119
Speaker 2: Jr.

599
00:27:14,160 --> 00:27:16,560
Speaker 4: Wilson comes in from Virginia, so they definitely have some

600
00:27:16,680 --> 00:27:21,000
Speaker 4: players in the receiver room that can make plays. There

601
00:27:21,040 --> 00:27:22,880
Speaker 4: is a question on the offensive line. It was bad

602
00:27:22,960 --> 00:27:25,320
Speaker 4: last season for FAU and now they're kind of piecing

603
00:27:25,359 --> 00:27:28,159
Speaker 4: together with Juco and using the transfer portal at the

604
00:27:28,160 --> 00:27:30,600
Speaker 4: P four level to get some guys. But it's a

605
00:27:30,600 --> 00:27:33,000
Speaker 4: different system. It's going to take some cohesiveness and so

606
00:27:33,240 --> 00:27:34,720
Speaker 4: they're going to kind of be learning on the fly

607
00:27:34,840 --> 00:27:37,719
Speaker 4: based on how their schedule sets up. But if they

608
00:27:37,720 --> 00:27:40,119
Speaker 4: can shore that up, watch out because this offense is

609
00:27:40,119 --> 00:27:40,920
Speaker 4: going to be good to go.

610
00:27:41,240 --> 00:27:41,439
Speaker 1: You know.

611
00:27:41,440 --> 00:27:41,920
Speaker 2: Offensively.

612
00:27:41,960 --> 00:27:44,960
Speaker 4: They bring some guys in from UTAP, Purdue, Kansas, Wake, Liberty,

613
00:27:45,000 --> 00:27:47,160
Speaker 4: but they were all reserves. It's kind of a raw unit.

614
00:27:47,600 --> 00:27:51,680
Speaker 4: We really don't know everything that we're going to specifically see,

615
00:27:51,800 --> 00:27:55,800
Speaker 4: especially from the secondary. The d line was atrocious last season,

616
00:27:55,840 --> 00:27:58,240
Speaker 4: five point zero yards per carry surrendered on the ground,

617
00:27:58,440 --> 00:28:02,880
Speaker 4: absolutely shredded by the upper teams in the American last season.

618
00:28:03,359 --> 00:28:07,200
Speaker 4: They gave up four hundred rushing yards twice in a game.

619
00:28:07,280 --> 00:28:07,800
Speaker 2: Last year.

620
00:28:07,840 --> 00:28:10,320
Speaker 4: It was just so stinking bad with the run defense,

621
00:28:10,760 --> 00:28:13,200
Speaker 4: and it may not be a lot better. Last year

622
00:28:13,200 --> 00:28:16,040
Speaker 4: they ran at a relatively slow pace offensively, and they

623
00:28:16,119 --> 00:28:20,440
Speaker 4: kind of had some games that were lower than normal possessions.

624
00:28:20,520 --> 00:28:23,200
Speaker 4: Let's say, well, this year they're going to be blazing fast.

625
00:28:23,240 --> 00:28:26,160
Speaker 4: I mean, you could see sixteen seventeen possessions in a game,

626
00:28:26,680 --> 00:28:28,640
Speaker 4: and that defense is just going to be hung out

627
00:28:28,640 --> 00:28:30,840
Speaker 4: to dry. I don't think the stop unit is going

628
00:28:30,840 --> 00:28:32,320
Speaker 4: to be where they need to, and it's going to

629
00:28:32,359 --> 00:28:34,360
Speaker 4: pay the price for the type of style of offense.

630
00:28:34,840 --> 00:28:37,879
Speaker 4: So when I look at the schedule and when I

631
00:28:37,880 --> 00:28:41,200
Speaker 4: look at everything that's laid out here, I see, you know,

632
00:28:41,280 --> 00:28:45,600
Speaker 4: probably winnables. Obviously against FA Florida A and M and FIU,

633
00:28:45,800 --> 00:28:48,760
Speaker 4: But you've got Memphis on the schedule, South Florida, Navy,

634
00:28:48,800 --> 00:28:51,600
Speaker 4: two lane, yukon ECU. Those are going to be all

635
00:28:51,600 --> 00:28:55,240
Speaker 4: tougher opponents than what I have paid for. Florida Atlantic.

636
00:28:55,480 --> 00:28:57,240
Speaker 4: You got to go to Maryland to open the season,

637
00:28:57,280 --> 00:29:00,240
Speaker 4: could be an interesting spot against the number, but not

638
00:29:00,240 --> 00:29:03,560
Speaker 4: surely win that. So then to go over, you're gonna

639
00:29:03,600 --> 00:29:07,160
Speaker 4: have to sweep with FIU, Rice, UAB and Tulsa. I

640
00:29:07,160 --> 00:29:08,640
Speaker 4: don't know. I don't know if they do that or not.

641
00:29:08,760 --> 00:29:11,480
Speaker 4: Just based on how the defense is set to perform,

642
00:29:11,800 --> 00:29:12,920
Speaker 4: It's gonna be a fun.

643
00:29:12,720 --> 00:29:13,840
Speaker 2: Group to watch this year.

644
00:29:14,000 --> 00:29:15,640
Speaker 4: I look forward to betting a ton of overs on

645
00:29:15,680 --> 00:29:18,320
Speaker 4: their games this season. I think it starts right away

646
00:29:18,480 --> 00:29:21,680
Speaker 4: until the market adjusts. But the defense really has me

647
00:29:22,280 --> 00:29:25,280
Speaker 4: putting the brakes on them, really leaping up in the

648
00:29:25,320 --> 00:29:28,720
Speaker 4: standings because this group could just be horrendous defensively.

649
00:29:29,800 --> 00:29:34,360
Speaker 3: Kiley is now the youngest and tallest head coach in FBS.

650
00:29:34,920 --> 00:29:36,560
Speaker 3: I project right around four and a half, so I don't

651
00:29:36,560 --> 00:29:37,920
Speaker 3: see any diet, but I do you guys need to

652
00:29:37,960 --> 00:29:40,560
Speaker 3: pump the brakes on this offense being the greatest show

653
00:29:40,560 --> 00:29:44,400
Speaker 3: on turf. I mean how many times is Belcam gonna

654
00:29:44,440 --> 00:29:47,400
Speaker 3: throw it to Messer? I mean, is he gonna have

655
00:29:47,480 --> 00:29:50,160
Speaker 3: two hundred and eighty catches? Two hundred and eighty targets?

656
00:29:50,160 --> 00:29:51,880
Speaker 2: For sure? We'll see if he catches all of them.

657
00:29:52,160 --> 00:29:54,560
Speaker 3: Wilson could be okay, but I still questions about the

658
00:29:54,600 --> 00:29:57,520
Speaker 3: running back room, the wide receiver depth, the tight end room.

659
00:29:57,520 --> 00:30:00,800
Speaker 3: The offensive line is look really scared of me. The

660
00:30:00,880 --> 00:30:02,960
Speaker 3: only guy back was really bad last year. He could

661
00:30:02,960 --> 00:30:05,120
Speaker 3: move from right tackle to right guard. In a way,

662
00:30:05,160 --> 00:30:06,560
Speaker 3: it's a good thing you're learning a new scheme, but

663
00:30:06,560 --> 00:30:08,080
Speaker 3: I don't like the personnel they have it, and they

664
00:30:08,160 --> 00:30:09,560
Speaker 3: lost the centers now in the Seahawks.

665
00:30:09,600 --> 00:30:11,720
Speaker 2: The left guard is now in Louisville. So I'm not.

666
00:30:11,680 --> 00:30:15,120
Speaker 3: Fully sold on this offense being lights out, especially right away.

667
00:30:15,400 --> 00:30:18,120
Speaker 3: The defense, yeah, they lost everyone on the defensive line.

668
00:30:18,320 --> 00:30:21,320
Speaker 2: Who cares? They were awful except for Davis, their defensive tackle.

669
00:30:21,360 --> 00:30:21,680
Speaker 2: He was good.

670
00:30:21,680 --> 00:30:24,000
Speaker 3: I think he's with the Colts now. But I don't

671
00:30:24,040 --> 00:30:25,360
Speaker 3: really like the guys that they brought in on the

672
00:30:25,360 --> 00:30:28,440
Speaker 3: defensive line. I'm right on market here. Nothing for me

673
00:30:28,600 --> 00:30:30,640
Speaker 3: but more questions than answers, for sure.

674
00:30:40,320 --> 00:30:42,840
Speaker 1: All right on to the Memphis Tigers eleven and two

675
00:30:42,960 --> 00:30:45,360
Speaker 1: overall last year six and two in the American Frisco

676
00:30:45,520 --> 00:30:49,320
Speaker 1: Bowl shootout win over West Virginia eleven to two to

677
00:30:49,360 --> 00:30:51,280
Speaker 1: win the American This year eight and a half as

678
00:30:51,320 --> 00:30:53,840
Speaker 1: their win total only three starters back there to on offense,

679
00:30:53,880 --> 00:30:56,480
Speaker 1: won on defense, one hundred and nineteenth in returning production.

680
00:30:56,960 --> 00:30:59,080
Speaker 1: I guess two hundred and fifty million dollars doesn't get

681
00:30:59,080 --> 00:31:01,800
Speaker 1: you much in this economy, because Memphis dangled that number

682
00:31:01,840 --> 00:31:04,080
Speaker 1: out to the Big twelve and they got laughed out

683
00:31:04,120 --> 00:31:04,480
Speaker 1: of the room.

684
00:31:04,560 --> 00:31:07,600
Speaker 2: So for now it's the American as their home. And

685
00:31:07,800 --> 00:31:08,920
Speaker 2: the question I have for.

686
00:31:08,920 --> 00:31:11,880
Speaker 1: You, Stuck, is did Memphis miss their window? Let me

687
00:31:11,960 --> 00:31:14,320
Speaker 1: just like paint this real quick. They won eleven games

688
00:31:14,360 --> 00:31:16,800
Speaker 1: last year, but they got to replace nearly everyone, including

689
00:31:16,840 --> 00:31:19,440
Speaker 1: Seth Nigan who started a million games for them. Mario

690
00:31:19,560 --> 00:31:22,360
Speaker 1: Anderson was a touchdown machine. There's got to be some

691
00:31:22,480 --> 00:31:24,840
Speaker 1: drop off with Brandon Lewis in your opinion, right.

692
00:31:25,840 --> 00:31:28,680
Speaker 3: Yeah, for sure. I mean the offense is gonna look

693
00:31:28,720 --> 00:31:31,640
Speaker 3: signfically different. I mean, Henigan's a four year starter. I

694
00:31:31,680 --> 00:31:35,920
Speaker 3: expect Memphis to be a little more run heavy. You know,

695
00:31:35,960 --> 00:31:39,080
Speaker 3: they lost their top two backs, but you're gonna have Lewis,

696
00:31:39,080 --> 00:31:41,680
Speaker 3: who can run the ball. They get smiited back from

697
00:31:41,960 --> 00:31:45,240
Speaker 3: injury at running back, the Rosier's back, so I think

698
00:31:45,240 --> 00:31:48,600
Speaker 3: they still have a good backfield and when you include

699
00:31:48,640 --> 00:31:50,480
Speaker 3: Lewis in that they can run the ball. The question

700
00:31:50,560 --> 00:31:52,480
Speaker 3: is that the offensive line gon to enable them to

701
00:31:52,520 --> 00:31:53,880
Speaker 3: do that. And that's one of the biggest questions I

702
00:31:53,920 --> 00:31:56,040
Speaker 3: have on this team. Because you lost Holler at center

703
00:31:56,080 --> 00:31:58,280
Speaker 3: it was really good. You lost your left guard Hill

704
00:31:58,320 --> 00:32:00,600
Speaker 3: in the spring to Colorado. That was a huge, huge lost.

705
00:32:01,120 --> 00:32:05,520
Speaker 3: You basically lost everyone except your left tackle Adams and Breeland,

706
00:32:05,600 --> 00:32:07,840
Speaker 3: who I'm not sure he's up the part, Like you're

707
00:32:07,840 --> 00:32:12,280
Speaker 3: gonna need a Harvard Yukon transfers to really come in

708
00:32:12,360 --> 00:32:15,640
Speaker 3: and hit outside of I mean, the offense line is

709
00:32:15,680 --> 00:32:18,120
Speaker 3: a ton of questions. Wide receiver. You lose your top

710
00:32:18,160 --> 00:32:22,040
Speaker 3: three too, You're gonna need some transfers to hit there.

711
00:32:22,080 --> 00:32:23,960
Speaker 3: So wide receiver is a question for me as well,

712
00:32:24,000 --> 00:32:25,960
Speaker 3: Like who's the number one? They had a ton of

713
00:32:25,960 --> 00:32:28,280
Speaker 3: injuries in the spring, so like there was what's this

714
00:32:28,320 --> 00:32:29,400
Speaker 3: step truck gonna look like?

715
00:32:29,640 --> 00:32:29,800
Speaker 2: What?

716
00:32:30,080 --> 00:32:31,600
Speaker 3: It was hard to get any intel and what they

717
00:32:31,600 --> 00:32:34,200
Speaker 3: look like in the spring, but I imagine they're gonna

718
00:32:34,200 --> 00:32:38,280
Speaker 3: look a lot different on offense, try to go run heavy.

719
00:32:38,040 --> 00:32:40,800
Speaker 3: The bottom could fall off out of this team. Like

720
00:32:40,880 --> 00:32:43,280
Speaker 3: there's just a ton of variants with but they're recruiting well.

721
00:32:43,320 --> 00:32:44,960
Speaker 3: They brought in a good portal class, they have money.

722
00:32:45,000 --> 00:32:47,920
Speaker 3: I don't think that their shot at the playoff is

723
00:32:47,920 --> 00:32:51,800
Speaker 3: shot because they have money from FedEx and they're still

724
00:32:51,800 --> 00:32:54,760
Speaker 3: recruiting well. I think they'll eventually get there one season.

725
00:32:54,800 --> 00:32:57,000
Speaker 3: I don't think it's this year, just with how much

726
00:32:57,040 --> 00:33:00,960
Speaker 3: turnover they had. And then I mean their offense loses

727
00:33:01,000 --> 00:33:02,959
Speaker 3: a quarterback to the NFL, your top two backs, your

728
00:33:02,960 --> 00:33:05,600
Speaker 3: top three receivers two to the NFL, a tight end

729
00:33:05,680 --> 00:33:08,400
Speaker 3: to the NFL, and four key offensive lineman one to

730
00:33:08,440 --> 00:33:12,200
Speaker 3: the NFL. So that's major. And then on defense you

731
00:33:12,200 --> 00:33:15,000
Speaker 3: could start ten transfers. They might start ten transfers on

732
00:33:15,040 --> 00:33:18,400
Speaker 3: the nine on offense. That's what this team is this year.

733
00:33:19,880 --> 00:33:22,200
Speaker 3: This is just your transfer every team. It could like,

734
00:33:22,400 --> 00:33:25,200
Speaker 3: could it be a Florida State they could could it

735
00:33:25,240 --> 00:33:28,240
Speaker 3: go really well and they could win the league yep,

736
00:33:28,320 --> 00:33:29,600
Speaker 3: and they could go to the playoff. There's a ton

737
00:33:29,600 --> 00:33:32,560
Speaker 3: of variants. I don't see them being a playoff team,

738
00:33:33,520 --> 00:33:35,320
Speaker 3: but I mean I think they're in that top mix.

739
00:33:35,440 --> 00:33:38,520
Speaker 3: They're with like two lane utsa NYVE, South Florida, and

740
00:33:38,520 --> 00:33:42,040
Speaker 3: there's like almost nothing separating those teams. But I think

741
00:33:42,080 --> 00:33:45,400
Speaker 3: Memphis has more variants and I think a little more

742
00:33:45,440 --> 00:33:48,520
Speaker 3: downside than some of those teams. I mean, even in

743
00:33:48,520 --> 00:33:51,520
Speaker 3: the defensive backfield, you lost both your corners to the NFL,

744
00:33:52,440 --> 00:33:57,080
Speaker 3: so in this defensive scheme needs good linebackers. Well, you

745
00:33:57,160 --> 00:33:59,800
Speaker 3: lost the linebacker of the NFL another to Florida State.

746
00:34:00,480 --> 00:34:03,360
Speaker 3: I'm not sure that they have them here, like Brumfeld, Rosel,

747
00:34:03,520 --> 00:34:06,200
Speaker 3: like Watts, like these guys, they don't.

748
00:34:06,000 --> 00:34:07,800
Speaker 2: Really move the needle for me.

749
00:34:07,840 --> 00:34:10,520
Speaker 3: So I think their linebacker play, their cornerback play could

750
00:34:10,560 --> 00:34:12,600
Speaker 3: take a big step back unless the guy like Cooper

751
00:34:12,600 --> 00:34:13,720
Speaker 3: from Florida State really.

752
00:34:13,600 --> 00:34:14,320
Speaker 2: Hits at corner.

753
00:34:14,840 --> 00:34:19,120
Speaker 3: A lot of questions worried about their special teams too,

754
00:34:19,239 --> 00:34:22,360
Speaker 3: So last year they had fifteen players on defense with

755
00:34:22,360 --> 00:34:23,720
Speaker 3: one hundred and fifty plus naps.

756
00:34:23,800 --> 00:34:27,000
Speaker 2: Fourteen are gone. This is a brand new team.

757
00:34:27,040 --> 00:34:30,399
Speaker 3: I don't think that they're markedly better, or I'd say

758
00:34:30,400 --> 00:34:33,359
Speaker 3: I don't think they're better at any position group on paper.

759
00:34:33,600 --> 00:34:35,319
Speaker 2: Than last year going into this year.

760
00:34:36,400 --> 00:34:38,160
Speaker 3: So I mean they could end up being better, Like

761
00:34:38,160 --> 00:34:40,080
Speaker 3: I said, there's a ton of variants, but I don't

762
00:34:40,080 --> 00:34:45,239
Speaker 3: personally see it. Having said that, like, I'm what's their

763
00:34:45,280 --> 00:34:48,200
Speaker 3: their win total is sitting at what eight and a half?

764
00:34:48,239 --> 00:34:49,520
Speaker 3: You can find over eight and a half plus one

765
00:34:49,640 --> 00:34:53,319
Speaker 3: fifteen is the best price out there. I project them

766
00:34:53,360 --> 00:34:55,880
Speaker 3: that's implied like eight point two ish when you put

767
00:34:55,920 --> 00:34:57,880
Speaker 3: one to five, depending on what price you get, I

768
00:34:57,880 --> 00:34:59,680
Speaker 3: mean I project them in around eight point five. So

769
00:34:59,719 --> 00:35:01,239
Speaker 3: actually show a little bit of die on the over

770
00:35:02,280 --> 00:35:05,000
Speaker 3: like I haven't favored in eleven eleven, favored in eleven games.

771
00:35:05,000 --> 00:35:07,320
Speaker 1: Probably, Yeah, that's where I want to hop in stuck

772
00:35:07,400 --> 00:35:10,239
Speaker 1: just real quick, because what's interesting, I'm nodding along with

773
00:35:10,320 --> 00:35:12,719
Speaker 1: everything that you're saying in terms of not only the

774
00:35:12,719 --> 00:35:15,759
Speaker 1: production but the stars that they lost. But unlike a

775
00:35:15,760 --> 00:35:17,560
Speaker 1: lot of G five schools that try to figure out

776
00:35:17,560 --> 00:35:19,839
Speaker 1: what they're ceiling is by challenging themselves in the non

777
00:35:19,920 --> 00:35:22,680
Speaker 1: con that's simply just not the case with Memphis.

778
00:35:22,880 --> 00:35:24,640
Speaker 2: Like they could be a diet version.

779
00:35:24,360 --> 00:35:27,000
Speaker 1: Of the twenty twenty four team, and we won't even

780
00:35:27,040 --> 00:35:30,000
Speaker 1: really know if that's the case until late October because

781
00:35:30,000 --> 00:35:32,760
Speaker 1: this schedule is just made to stack wins. An FCS

782
00:35:32,760 --> 00:35:35,960
Speaker 1: opponent at Georgia State at Troy hosting Arkansas in an

783
00:35:36,000 --> 00:35:38,759
Speaker 1: awful spot for the Hogs, stuck between Ole Miss and

784
00:35:38,800 --> 00:35:41,960
Speaker 1: Notre Dame, throwing FAU Tulsa and UAB. We're already at

785
00:35:42,000 --> 00:35:45,480
Speaker 1: six and one or seven and zero without really knowing

786
00:35:45,800 --> 00:35:48,400
Speaker 1: if they're like even ninety five percent of what they

787
00:35:48,400 --> 00:35:52,400
Speaker 1: were last year. So I think maybe just from a

788
00:35:52,440 --> 00:35:54,480
Speaker 1: win total perspective, if you had a play you need

789
00:35:54,520 --> 00:35:56,680
Speaker 1: to go over because of the schedule. But I want

790
00:35:56,719 --> 00:35:59,480
Speaker 1: to like set an alarm for myself when they get

791
00:35:59,520 --> 00:36:02,840
Speaker 1: out of that downysoft opening those first seven games to

792
00:36:02,920 --> 00:36:05,799
Speaker 1: then say, all right, if there's an over reaction by

793
00:36:05,840 --> 00:36:08,560
Speaker 1: the market and some of these prices are off by three,

794
00:36:08,640 --> 00:36:10,000
Speaker 1: four to five points.

795
00:36:09,719 --> 00:36:11,480
Speaker 2: It's time to start fading Memphis late.

796
00:36:11,640 --> 00:36:13,799
Speaker 1: And then also we get the benefit of watching all

797
00:36:13,840 --> 00:36:16,359
Speaker 1: these new faces, seeing how Lewis looks at quarterback. What

798
00:36:16,400 --> 00:36:18,760
Speaker 1: do you think, Duck in terms of them being challenged

799
00:36:18,800 --> 00:36:21,400
Speaker 1: at all other than like I said, Arkansas obviously an

800
00:36:21,440 --> 00:36:24,360
Speaker 1: SEC team, an SEC brand with those kind of athletes.

801
00:36:24,560 --> 00:36:26,920
Speaker 1: But that's the exact moment that you want to host

802
00:36:27,040 --> 00:36:30,480
Speaker 1: Arkansas because I think it's the perfect letdown look ahead spot.

803
00:36:31,160 --> 00:36:33,680
Speaker 4: Yeah, definitely a spot for Arkansas to exhale before they

804
00:36:33,719 --> 00:36:35,160
Speaker 4: have to gear back up for Notre Dame. It's the

805
00:36:35,160 --> 00:36:36,960
Speaker 4: spot I had circled in red Ink in the summer,

806
00:36:36,960 --> 00:36:38,960
Speaker 4: and I'm sure Memphis did as well, so they'll certainly

807
00:36:39,000 --> 00:36:40,960
Speaker 4: be ready to go for that one. I'm certain of that.

808
00:36:41,360 --> 00:36:43,680
Speaker 4: There's a lot of new faces here at all three

809
00:36:43,719 --> 00:36:45,920
Speaker 4: levels of the defense. They could be better than we

810
00:36:46,000 --> 00:36:47,799
Speaker 4: might think, just based on the fact that these are

811
00:36:47,840 --> 00:36:51,040
Speaker 4: guys who have played snaps, They've got game experience, they

812
00:36:51,120 --> 00:36:54,320
Speaker 4: contributed at their other stops, so it's not like they're

813
00:36:54,400 --> 00:36:56,960
Speaker 4: completely green and don't know how to play at the

814
00:36:57,000 --> 00:37:01,120
Speaker 4: FBS level. So while high variance, they would be okay,

815
00:37:01,160 --> 00:37:03,200
Speaker 4: and they're gonna have some time to figure it out.

816
00:37:03,760 --> 00:37:06,160
Speaker 4: I think when you look at the schedule with Chattanooga,

817
00:37:06,280 --> 00:37:09,319
Speaker 4: Georgia State, and Troy will have a little bit of

818
00:37:09,360 --> 00:37:11,200
Speaker 4: time to kind of get things ready to go that

819
00:37:11,280 --> 00:37:13,160
Speaker 4: first three weeks of the season. I don't have a

820
00:37:13,200 --> 00:37:15,400
Speaker 4: strong position either way, but I would I would truly

821
00:37:15,520 --> 00:37:17,240
Speaker 4: just based on the start and the way the schedule

822
00:37:17,239 --> 00:37:19,880
Speaker 4: situationally sets up. I would lean over Yeah.

823
00:37:19,760 --> 00:37:21,440
Speaker 2: Schedule just they just won the schedule lottery.

824
00:37:21,719 --> 00:37:24,160
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm not I'm not going under just because of

825
00:37:24,200 --> 00:37:26,480
Speaker 3: my projection in the schedule, but not a team I

826
00:37:26,480 --> 00:37:28,399
Speaker 3: have interested in investing in this year.

827
00:37:46,360 --> 00:37:48,719
Speaker 1: Next up Navy ten and three last season six and

828
00:37:48,800 --> 00:37:52,000
Speaker 1: two in conference play, they get the Armed Forces Bowl

829
00:37:52,000 --> 00:37:56,240
Speaker 1: win over Oklahoma. Never fade a Service Academy in Armed

830
00:37:56,280 --> 00:37:59,400
Speaker 1: Forces or Lockheed Martin bull if there's any military connection

831
00:37:59,560 --> 00:38:01,040
Speaker 1: to go ahead and play them blindly.

832
00:38:01,200 --> 00:38:03,200
Speaker 2: They're five to one to win the American this time around.

833
00:38:03,200 --> 00:38:05,120
Speaker 1: Win totals all the way up to eight and a half,

834
00:38:05,280 --> 00:38:08,080
Speaker 1: twelve starters return eight on offense, four on defense, thirty

835
00:38:08,080 --> 00:38:10,759
Speaker 1: fourth in returning production, twelfth offensively.

836
00:38:11,560 --> 00:38:12,400
Speaker 2: Usually we see a.

837
00:38:12,400 --> 00:38:17,160
Speaker 1: Service academy have a magical year fueled by experience, continuity, turnover, luck,

838
00:38:17,239 --> 00:38:19,560
Speaker 1: a lot of close wins, and then we all brace

839
00:38:19,800 --> 00:38:21,960
Speaker 1: for that fall from grace. In the past fifty years,

840
00:38:22,120 --> 00:38:25,840
Speaker 1: when a service academy wins double digit games, they fall

841
00:38:26,160 --> 00:38:29,200
Speaker 1: by at least three in the win column the following season.

842
00:38:29,800 --> 00:38:31,920
Speaker 1: But the question here for this group is was Navy

843
00:38:31,920 --> 00:38:34,760
Speaker 1: actually had a schedule last year because the offense cooked

844
00:38:34,800 --> 00:38:38,759
Speaker 1: really bad run defenses thanks to Drew Chronics millennial wing

845
00:38:38,880 --> 00:38:42,160
Speaker 1: t Blake Krvath making the right decision all the time.

846
00:38:42,160 --> 00:38:44,200
Speaker 1: He actually got everything going In the passing game two,

847
00:38:44,360 --> 00:38:46,719
Speaker 1: he threw for thirteen passing touchdowns, the most by Navy

848
00:38:46,800 --> 00:38:47,800
Speaker 1: quarterback since.

849
00:38:47,680 --> 00:38:49,040
Speaker 2: Ricky Dobbs in twenty ten.

850
00:38:49,360 --> 00:38:51,640
Speaker 1: He has all his weapons back in the backfield, most

851
00:38:51,640 --> 00:38:55,040
Speaker 1: notably Eli Heidenreich, who pulls double duty also being a

852
00:38:55,120 --> 00:38:58,640
Speaker 1: key pass catcher in this offense. The offensive line needs

853
00:38:58,640 --> 00:39:01,799
Speaker 1: to replace new starters up front, but I think they're

854
00:39:01,800 --> 00:39:04,480
Speaker 1: still going to be lethal against middling to bad run defenses,

855
00:39:04,520 --> 00:39:05,760
Speaker 1: and there's more than a few.

856
00:39:05,640 --> 00:39:09,040
Speaker 2: On this schedule. But can they hold up late defensively?

857
00:39:09,200 --> 00:39:11,240
Speaker 1: They play that Fau air raid, they get a Rodya

858
00:39:11,239 --> 00:39:14,640
Speaker 1: at North Texas, at Notre Dame versus USF, and at

859
00:39:14,680 --> 00:39:17,400
Speaker 1: Memphis all before the Army Navy game to end the season.

860
00:39:17,840 --> 00:39:19,840
Speaker 1: That's a rough finish for a defense that could be

861
00:39:19,880 --> 00:39:22,040
Speaker 1: worse at least on paper, even with a steady hand

862
00:39:22,200 --> 00:39:25,319
Speaker 1: with PJ Volker colin plays. I would need at least

863
00:39:25,400 --> 00:39:27,880
Speaker 1: nine to one to play them to win the conference,

864
00:39:28,160 --> 00:39:30,480
Speaker 1: because you could easily be five and one six and

865
00:39:30,520 --> 00:39:33,120
Speaker 1: oho feeling great both about their chances to win the

866
00:39:33,160 --> 00:39:36,040
Speaker 1: American and go over their win total and still not

867
00:39:36,160 --> 00:39:38,200
Speaker 1: get there. Because that's how treacherous the back half of

868
00:39:38,200 --> 00:39:40,399
Speaker 1: their schedule is do you see it playing out that way?

869
00:39:40,440 --> 00:39:43,680
Speaker 1: Stuck where they stack wins early they look like fire breathers,

870
00:39:43,719 --> 00:39:46,640
Speaker 1: and then again for the second straight year, the wheels

871
00:39:46,640 --> 00:39:47,880
Speaker 1: start to fall off in November.

872
00:39:48,560 --> 00:39:51,400
Speaker 3: Think they call this the American preview. I this on

873
00:39:51,600 --> 00:39:55,239
Speaker 3: American preview for me, the unpatriotics. I went, I'm going

874
00:39:55,360 --> 00:39:57,560
Speaker 3: under on Army and I'm going under on Nighty.

875
00:39:58,000 --> 00:39:58,879
Speaker 4: He should know better.

876
00:40:00,680 --> 00:40:02,719
Speaker 3: I mean, I project eight point one point five the

877
00:40:02,760 --> 00:40:04,080
Speaker 3: best under you can find out there under eight and

878
00:40:04,080 --> 00:40:06,760
Speaker 3: a half plus one twenty implied depending on the price.

879
00:40:06,840 --> 00:40:10,280
Speaker 3: Eight point eight close to nine is their implied win total.

880
00:40:10,840 --> 00:40:13,680
Speaker 3: It's scary, though, because there's a really good chance they finished.

881
00:40:13,680 --> 00:40:15,960
Speaker 3: They start seven and zero v M I u AB

882
00:40:16,160 --> 00:40:20,319
Speaker 3: at Tulsa, Rice Air Force at Temple FAU and then

883
00:40:20,360 --> 00:40:22,839
Speaker 3: the schedule gets much tougher. But you want to talk

884
00:40:22,840 --> 00:40:25,640
Speaker 3: about a team that could potentially one to eighty from

885
00:40:25,719 --> 00:40:29,200
Speaker 3: last year. I know Horvath is back, I know all

886
00:40:29,239 --> 00:40:33,400
Speaker 3: their backs are back, their speedy receivers, But I mentioned

887
00:40:33,400 --> 00:40:38,120
Speaker 3: this with Army. The tackles. This team lost its entire

888
00:40:38,360 --> 00:40:44,160
Speaker 3: three deep at tackle, entire three deep, and tackles are

889
00:40:44,280 --> 00:40:48,400
Speaker 3: so important to this offense, they caught everything, they control,

890
00:40:48,440 --> 00:40:50,359
Speaker 3: all the communication, Like, I think the interior is still

891
00:40:50,400 --> 00:40:53,080
Speaker 3: gonna be good or decent with Purvis Nickels, and then

892
00:40:53,120 --> 00:40:55,920
Speaker 3: you got Smith back who had some time. We'll see

893
00:40:56,000 --> 00:40:58,240
Speaker 3: Nichols might be moving to center. So that's something to watch.

894
00:40:58,360 --> 00:41:01,960
Speaker 3: But the tackles are major, major question mark for me.

895
00:41:02,520 --> 00:41:05,520
Speaker 3: The depth is especially shaky. But I mentioned the team

896
00:41:05,560 --> 00:41:07,319
Speaker 3: that could do it one to eighty. Why, well, last year,

897
00:41:07,360 --> 00:41:09,799
Speaker 3: this is the team number one in red zone. I

898
00:41:09,800 --> 00:41:11,880
Speaker 3: mean they were historically good in the red zone, historically

899
00:41:12,120 --> 00:41:15,560
Speaker 3: turnovers they got so many. The red zone defense was amazing,

900
00:41:15,640 --> 00:41:20,320
Speaker 3: all the interceptions they got, and they stayed so healthy.

901
00:41:21,000 --> 00:41:23,680
Speaker 3: I mean, the top twelve on their offense only missed

902
00:41:23,760 --> 00:41:26,239
Speaker 3: two total starts. Their entire offensive line was healthy the

903
00:41:26,239 --> 00:41:28,120
Speaker 3: whole year. If they have anyone get hurt on this

904
00:41:28,160 --> 00:41:32,320
Speaker 3: offensive line, it could be trouble bad. I mean, it

905
00:41:32,480 --> 00:41:35,359
Speaker 3: just could all fall apart. So I'm worried about the

906
00:41:35,400 --> 00:41:40,720
Speaker 3: tackles on offense, and then on defense, I'm really worried

907
00:41:40,760 --> 00:41:43,080
Speaker 3: about the back seven. The defensive line still should be good.

908
00:41:43,200 --> 00:41:45,040
Speaker 3: I mean, Reid's gone, but they got everyone else back,

909
00:41:45,080 --> 00:41:48,560
Speaker 3: and I mean Robinson's a monster and we'll see if

910
00:41:48,600 --> 00:41:51,040
Speaker 3: someone can like an emerge to get those those pressures

911
00:41:51,080 --> 00:41:53,640
Speaker 3: that Red got. But they'll be okay on the defensive line,

912
00:41:53,640 --> 00:41:57,719
Speaker 3: But linebacker you lose. Ramos's a monster and Jacob is

913
00:41:57,800 --> 00:42:00,399
Speaker 3: so good against the run, big drop. Now you got

914
00:42:00,400 --> 00:42:03,840
Speaker 3: your strikers back in Campbell and McShane. But the defensive backfield,

915
00:42:03,960 --> 00:42:06,080
Speaker 3: this is one of the best pass defenses that Navy

916
00:42:06,160 --> 00:42:11,080
Speaker 3: has had ever and that's usually their weakness because they

917
00:42:11,160 --> 00:42:13,480
Speaker 3: just don't get the players in the back end. Well,

918
00:42:13,719 --> 00:42:17,320
Speaker 3: they had an All conference corner who's gone. Their safety

919
00:42:17,400 --> 00:42:22,160
Speaker 3: lane got drafted. He's gone. Their other safety Williams is gone,

920
00:42:22,520 --> 00:42:25,000
Speaker 3: and I mean they're all those three are all multi

921
00:42:25,080 --> 00:42:27,759
Speaker 3: year starters six thousand snaps too.

922
00:42:27,800 --> 00:42:29,120
Speaker 2: Hard is back at corner.

923
00:42:28,800 --> 00:42:30,640
Speaker 3: But he's probably not even gonna start, and he was

924
00:42:30,680 --> 00:42:33,480
Speaker 3: not that great last year. He might they might rotate

925
00:42:33,600 --> 00:42:36,279
Speaker 3: him back to safety. I like this kid Ross and

926
00:42:36,280 --> 00:42:38,120
Speaker 3: Onnia Hobb was supposed to be a starter last year

927
00:42:38,160 --> 00:42:40,839
Speaker 3: and then got hurt. So maybe their corners can be okay,

928
00:42:40,880 --> 00:42:45,239
Speaker 3: but there's still some questions there. But the safeties tackles

929
00:42:45,360 --> 00:42:47,759
Speaker 3: are so important on the Navy offense. The safeties on

930
00:42:47,800 --> 00:42:49,920
Speaker 3: this Navy defense that're gonna stunt a lot, play a

931
00:42:49,920 --> 00:42:52,000
Speaker 3: lot of zone, try to confuse it. The safeties are

932
00:42:52,040 --> 00:42:54,920
Speaker 3: the ones controlling and everything. Major question for me. And

933
00:42:54,920 --> 00:42:57,839
Speaker 3: then a team that wants to play field position. They

934
00:42:57,840 --> 00:42:59,879
Speaker 3: lost their best punter in school history in Riley. Reuth

935
00:43:00,560 --> 00:43:03,239
Speaker 3: questions there, Yeah, I'm going under both Army and Navy.

936
00:43:03,280 --> 00:43:06,080
Speaker 3: I'm sorry, troops, I love you.

937
00:43:08,680 --> 00:43:10,200
Speaker 4: I can't. I'm a mron.

938
00:43:10,960 --> 00:43:13,799
Speaker 1: Yeah, anchors away, I'm going under on Navy this year

939
00:43:13,840 --> 00:43:16,680
Speaker 1: as well. Corvath that the books out on them, the

940
00:43:16,719 --> 00:43:17,839
Speaker 1: casuals know about them.

941
00:43:17,960 --> 00:43:18,560
Speaker 2: I trust them.

942
00:43:18,640 --> 00:43:20,879
Speaker 3: They're gonna throw more. From what I'm hearing is they're

943
00:43:20,880 --> 00:43:22,920
Speaker 3: gonna try to throw a little bit more. But the

944
00:43:22,960 --> 00:43:24,640
Speaker 3: tackles are bad. Tackles are bad.

945
00:43:24,760 --> 00:43:27,560
Speaker 1: And as you point out, Stuck, it's no guarantee when

946
00:43:27,560 --> 00:43:30,840
Speaker 1: you have a crazy positive year and turnover margin that

947
00:43:30,880 --> 00:43:33,160
Speaker 1: it's gonna flip the next year. But even if it's

948
00:43:33,200 --> 00:43:35,520
Speaker 1: just closer to fifty to fifty and then even split

949
00:43:35,600 --> 00:43:37,920
Speaker 1: throughout the year that was so instamental. You saw it

950
00:43:37,960 --> 00:43:40,560
Speaker 1: against Notre Dame. Once they had some bounces go against them,

951
00:43:40,560 --> 00:43:44,520
Speaker 1: it's snowballed. Fewer possessions. Those turnovers are magnified in terms

952
00:43:44,560 --> 00:43:46,600
Speaker 1: of their value. Duck, do you agree with what we're

953
00:43:46,640 --> 00:43:47,800
Speaker 1: laying down on this team?

954
00:43:48,239 --> 00:43:50,319
Speaker 4: Well, yeah, there's just too much attrition on defense. I mean,

955
00:43:50,320 --> 00:43:52,280
Speaker 4: I won't rehash everything that was said because it almost

956
00:43:52,280 --> 00:43:56,000
Speaker 4: mirrors my notes verbatim, but the offensive line pieces that

957
00:43:56,040 --> 00:43:59,959
Speaker 4: are now missing, it's just so impossible to replicate until

958
00:44:00,120 --> 00:44:02,239
Speaker 4: you get into game situations and kind of know what

959
00:44:02,280 --> 00:44:02,560
Speaker 4: you have.

960
00:44:02,680 --> 00:44:03,919
Speaker 2: So it's going to take some time.

961
00:44:04,120 --> 00:44:07,200
Speaker 4: It's critical not to understate that you get some film

962
00:44:07,239 --> 00:44:09,719
Speaker 4: on this offense with the quirky nuances of the wing

963
00:44:09,800 --> 00:44:12,600
Speaker 4: tea and the option hybrid, and once you had some

964
00:44:12,760 --> 00:44:17,280
Speaker 4: film on it, teams were able to adapt a lot easier.

965
00:44:17,400 --> 00:44:21,080
Speaker 4: You saw less explosivity. You saw Navy really have to

966
00:44:21,160 --> 00:44:24,960
Speaker 4: grind out possessions in this basically last third of the season.

967
00:44:25,040 --> 00:44:28,040
Speaker 4: They had so much explosivity early in the season that

968
00:44:28,120 --> 00:44:30,200
Speaker 4: kind of just went away. They all have to be very,

969
00:44:30,280 --> 00:44:34,040
Speaker 4: very fortuitous to repeat the type of run that we

970
00:44:34,080 --> 00:44:35,839
Speaker 4: saw out of the middies last year.

971
00:44:36,600 --> 00:44:39,440
Speaker 1: Now we're splitting this American preview into two parts, but

972
00:44:39,480 --> 00:44:42,240
Speaker 1: before we get to the last team here in part one, Stuck,

973
00:44:44,080 --> 00:44:46,400
Speaker 1: you have a little invitation for listeners who are going

974
00:44:46,440 --> 00:44:48,400
Speaker 1: to be in the Chicago Lands area for a week.

975
00:44:48,360 --> 00:44:59,279
Speaker 3: Zero yeah, twenty third week zero Joe's be there. You

976
00:44:59,320 --> 00:45:01,839
Speaker 3: don't even RSVP anything, just show up. Will be there

977
00:45:01,840 --> 00:45:03,959
Speaker 3: all day from the start. I think e eleven thirty am.

978
00:45:04,160 --> 00:45:07,320
Speaker 3: Kick Come hang out with us, wallb there, Colin myself,

979
00:45:07,440 --> 00:45:11,759
Speaker 3: Dug Calavary, So come hang out and looking forward to

980
00:45:11,760 --> 00:45:15,200
Speaker 3: seeing something again, meeting some of you for the first

981
00:45:15,239 --> 00:45:18,000
Speaker 3: time and would love to buy you, guys some drinks

982
00:45:18,000 --> 00:45:20,280
Speaker 3: and sweats and games to kick off the college football season.

983
00:45:20,320 --> 00:45:23,640
Speaker 3: So make sure that you show up if you're in

984
00:45:23,719 --> 00:45:27,560
Speaker 3: the area and are available. Promise it'll be a ton

985
00:45:27,560 --> 00:45:28,160
Speaker 3: of fun.

986
00:45:29,080 --> 00:45:35,040
Speaker 2: Could say a Blens swing all all right?

987
00:45:35,080 --> 00:45:38,120
Speaker 1: North Texas six and seven last year three and five

988
00:45:38,320 --> 00:45:41,040
Speaker 1: in the American lost thirty to twenty eight to Texas

989
00:45:41,040 --> 00:45:43,880
Speaker 1: State in the First Responders Bowl, just about twenty to

990
00:45:43,920 --> 00:45:46,279
Speaker 1: one to win the conference, the win total sitting at

991
00:45:46,320 --> 00:45:48,440
Speaker 1: six and a half, six starters returning three on each

992
00:45:48,440 --> 00:45:51,080
Speaker 1: side of the ball, seventy ninth in returning production, but

993
00:45:51,160 --> 00:45:54,520
Speaker 1: thirtieth on defense. They were five and one last season.

994
00:45:54,600 --> 00:45:58,040
Speaker 1: First start, they were absolutely cooking with Chandler Morris. Then

995
00:45:58,080 --> 00:46:00,759
Speaker 1: they lose a shootout to Memphis fifty two forty four.

996
00:46:01,160 --> 00:46:01,799
Speaker 2: No shame in it.

997
00:46:01,840 --> 00:46:03,719
Speaker 1: They went down the swinging, They actually outgained them. They

998
00:46:03,719 --> 00:46:05,759
Speaker 1: had six hundred and fifty three total yards in that game.

999
00:46:06,000 --> 00:46:08,440
Speaker 1: But then the same result against Tulane, a forty five

1000
00:46:08,600 --> 00:46:11,600
Speaker 1: thirty seven loss out gained the Green Wave again. But

1001
00:46:11,640 --> 00:46:14,160
Speaker 1: the bigger loss in that one was a Chandler Morris's

1002
00:46:14,160 --> 00:46:17,520
Speaker 1: shoulder got banged up. They never listed him officially as

1003
00:46:17,560 --> 00:46:19,600
Speaker 1: somebody who was struggling with an injury, but it was

1004
00:46:19,600 --> 00:46:22,240
Speaker 1: clear to see for everybody. Not only was he gutting

1005
00:46:22,280 --> 00:46:25,200
Speaker 1: through it, but they had it changed their play calling mix,

1006
00:46:25,280 --> 00:46:28,400
Speaker 1: their run pass mix, and the wheels just fell off

1007
00:46:28,440 --> 00:46:30,720
Speaker 1: because of it. You know, for the rest of the season,

1008
00:46:30,840 --> 00:46:33,279
Speaker 1: they just didn't have that same bite offensively. So they

1009
00:46:33,280 --> 00:46:35,960
Speaker 1: start five to one, they finished six and seven, And

1010
00:46:36,000 --> 00:46:37,680
Speaker 1: now we're gonna have to assume that they're going to

1011
00:46:37,719 --> 00:46:39,960
Speaker 1: find an answer or replacement for Chandler Morris. Who's going

1012
00:46:40,000 --> 00:46:43,880
Speaker 1: to be in Charlottesfield playing for UVA. Reese Poffenbarger or

1013
00:46:44,040 --> 00:46:47,760
Speaker 1: Drew Mesta Maker. I trust in this Eric Morris offense.

1014
00:46:47,880 --> 00:46:50,120
Speaker 1: Just to be totally honest, Reese bowled out at Albany.

1015
00:46:50,160 --> 00:46:52,640
Speaker 1: If you go back and watch his you know his

1016
00:46:52,760 --> 00:46:55,600
Speaker 1: play for the Great Danes. He was somebody that was

1017
00:46:55,680 --> 00:46:58,480
Speaker 1: not just a threat through the air, but also he

1018
00:46:58,560 --> 00:47:01,359
Speaker 1: had a little bit of speed. He could scoot when

1019
00:47:01,360 --> 00:47:03,359
Speaker 1: he pulled the ball on some of the Reids mess

1020
00:47:03,400 --> 00:47:05,720
Speaker 1: to maker as well as somebody who can use his legs.

1021
00:47:05,719 --> 00:47:08,520
Speaker 1: So I assume this offense is gonna hum. The question

1022
00:47:08,600 --> 00:47:10,759
Speaker 1: is can they get any stops they snag skyl or

1023
00:47:10,840 --> 00:47:12,680
Speaker 1: Cassidy from Sam Houston.

1024
00:47:12,560 --> 00:47:13,760
Speaker 2: To fix this defense.

1025
00:47:14,400 --> 00:47:16,600
Speaker 1: What a hire to be able to go in in

1026
00:47:16,719 --> 00:47:19,439
Speaker 1: state and grab somebody from an emerging power like Sam

1027
00:47:19,480 --> 00:47:22,080
Speaker 1: Houston who's coming off a ten win season, so much

1028
00:47:22,080 --> 00:47:24,319
Speaker 1: of that was late to Cassidy's feed. Do you think

1029
00:47:24,360 --> 00:47:25,960
Speaker 1: he can get this defense fixed.

1030
00:47:26,160 --> 00:47:27,520
Speaker 3: I probably show a little bit of value in the

1031
00:47:27,560 --> 00:47:30,280
Speaker 3: over I'm still a little worried about the quarterback position,

1032
00:47:30,320 --> 00:47:32,239
Speaker 3: but I trust the offense. I trust Morris like you,

1033
00:47:32,680 --> 00:47:35,719
Speaker 3: I think there's newrth Texas in that second tier. There's

1034
00:47:35,719 --> 00:47:37,600
Speaker 3: a chance they can jump up to the first tier

1035
00:47:38,080 --> 00:47:40,400
Speaker 3: if Cassidy fixed the defense. Like so, I think that

1036
00:47:40,400 --> 00:47:42,160
Speaker 3: they're I'm going to take a small shot in North

1037
00:47:42,160 --> 00:47:44,440
Speaker 3: Texas to win. You can find a twenty to one

1038
00:47:44,480 --> 00:47:46,920
Speaker 3: out there. I think they're worth just some couch change.

1039
00:47:47,320 --> 00:47:49,359
Speaker 3: The bet is you trust in the offense. I think

1040
00:47:49,400 --> 00:47:50,759
Speaker 3: his mess maker is going to win the job. But

1041
00:47:50,800 --> 00:47:53,640
Speaker 3: you also have quarterback depth that there's injuries. You lost

1042
00:47:53,680 --> 00:47:55,040
Speaker 3: a lot on offense, but I think they have the

1043
00:47:55,040 --> 00:47:57,520
Speaker 3: pieces there to be okay. The defense is just gonna

1044
00:47:57,520 --> 00:48:00,000
Speaker 3: come down to the Cassidy, the Sam Houston State transfer

1045
00:48:00,080 --> 00:48:01,600
Speaker 3: or some other transfers. They got a hit and you

1046
00:48:01,719 --> 00:48:03,759
Speaker 3: gotta be able to get stops. But the thing I like,

1047
00:48:03,800 --> 00:48:05,759
Speaker 3: and by the way, their offense last year was so hurt.

1048
00:48:05,800 --> 00:48:07,960
Speaker 3: It's so many injuries in the offensive line at running back.

1049
00:48:08,200 --> 00:48:10,160
Speaker 3: If Cassidy fixes their d and they take a big

1050
00:48:10,200 --> 00:48:13,560
Speaker 3: schematic jump, they have to schedule. I mean, among the

1051
00:48:13,600 --> 00:48:16,680
Speaker 3: top eight projected teams, they only face Army on the road,

1052
00:48:16,680 --> 00:48:19,040
Speaker 3: and I'm low on Army. They get Navy at home

1053
00:48:19,080 --> 00:48:21,200
Speaker 3: in a great spot maybe could be seven and zero.

1054
00:48:21,320 --> 00:48:23,319
Speaker 3: They have Notre Dame the next week. They're going down

1055
00:48:23,360 --> 00:48:26,400
Speaker 3: to Denton, Like that's a great spot. They avoid Memphis

1056
00:48:26,480 --> 00:48:29,680
Speaker 3: Tu Lane, They host USF, Navy, and UTSA. They have

1057
00:48:29,719 --> 00:48:32,719
Speaker 3: seven home games. They get Army early, which I think

1058
00:48:32,760 --> 00:48:34,759
Speaker 3: is good. Like this team could go on a run

1059
00:48:34,840 --> 00:48:36,439
Speaker 3: at the end of the year. I think it's gonna

1060
00:48:36,480 --> 00:48:38,080
Speaker 3: gonna be messmaker. Whoy the way didn't even start in

1061
00:48:38,120 --> 00:48:38,720
Speaker 3: high school.

1062
00:48:38,920 --> 00:48:39,480
Speaker 2: He played.

1063
00:48:39,560 --> 00:48:41,960
Speaker 3: He's like a punter in a safety. He couldn't beat anyone,

1064
00:48:42,000 --> 00:48:44,200
Speaker 3: and then he walked on and he looked great in

1065
00:48:44,560 --> 00:48:48,080
Speaker 3: the Bowl. But I think it's worth a flyer at

1066
00:48:48,120 --> 00:48:50,360
Speaker 3: twenty to one on North Texas with this schedule and

1067
00:48:50,400 --> 00:48:51,560
Speaker 3: the upside on the defense.

1068
00:48:51,760 --> 00:48:52,960
Speaker 2: They give me some mean green.

1069
00:48:53,520 --> 00:49:00,719
Speaker 3: They owe me for that Army game last year. I

1070
00:49:00,800 --> 00:49:02,600
Speaker 3: will remember for the rest of my life. I don't

1071
00:49:02,640 --> 00:49:06,360
Speaker 3: how many times Morris could throw an interception at the

1072
00:49:06,400 --> 00:49:08,640
Speaker 3: two yard line and they got in that one time,

1073
00:49:08,880 --> 00:49:11,279
Speaker 3: I swear, and they didn't call it a touchdown. That

1074
00:49:11,280 --> 00:49:13,759
Speaker 3: game will haunt me forever. But North Texas long shot

1075
00:49:13,800 --> 00:49:14,040
Speaker 3: for me.

1076
00:49:14,680 --> 00:49:17,080
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm going North Texas as long shot to a sprinkle.

1077
00:49:17,120 --> 00:49:20,680
Speaker 1: I agree with the assessment if this defense ups their game,

1078
00:49:20,800 --> 00:49:21,840
Speaker 1: the schedule is there.

1079
00:49:22,520 --> 00:49:24,080
Speaker 2: As anyone who listens.

1080
00:49:23,800 --> 00:49:26,839
Speaker 1: To the show knows that I'm susceptible to an FCS guy,

1081
00:49:26,840 --> 00:49:29,279
Speaker 1: whether it's a coach or a quarterback coming in. I

1082
00:49:29,320 --> 00:49:33,359
Speaker 1: watched a lot of Poffenbarger's film. I think he's kind

1083
00:49:33,400 --> 00:49:36,319
Speaker 1: of the perfect fit for this offense, and like we said,

1084
00:49:36,400 --> 00:49:38,480
Speaker 1: I mean, you'll get the Bowl game. That was an

1085
00:49:38,520 --> 00:49:42,480
Speaker 1: incredible performance by mess to Maker, So either one. But

1086
00:49:42,520 --> 00:49:45,640
Speaker 1: I want Poffenbarger to be the guy. And if this defense,

1087
00:49:45,800 --> 00:49:48,839
Speaker 1: you know, even cracks the top seventy five, top eighty,

1088
00:49:48,880 --> 00:49:53,040
Speaker 1: We're not asking for him pull any miracles here defensively,

1089
00:49:53,080 --> 00:49:55,760
Speaker 1: but like, just be a little bit more havoc minded

1090
00:49:55,880 --> 00:49:58,520
Speaker 1: in the secondary, be a little bit better against the run,

1091
00:49:58,560 --> 00:50:00,799
Speaker 1: and all of a sudden, this schedule, everything is in

1092
00:50:00,840 --> 00:50:03,640
Speaker 1: play to be able to win just about every American

1093
00:50:03,640 --> 00:50:06,520
Speaker 1: game on the schedule. Duck, are we out in front

1094
00:50:06,520 --> 00:50:07,120
Speaker 1: of our skis here?

1095
00:50:07,160 --> 00:50:09,320
Speaker 2: Are we just a little too optimistic on this bunch?

1096
00:50:09,719 --> 00:50:12,160
Speaker 4: Well, it'll be stunning this year at the conclusion of

1097
00:50:12,160 --> 00:50:14,480
Speaker 4: the season to turn on the Sam Houston State film

1098
00:50:14,800 --> 00:50:16,839
Speaker 4: when we see their defense and what it will have

1099
00:50:16,880 --> 00:50:20,560
Speaker 4: become without their defensive coordinator. And if you look back

1100
00:50:20,640 --> 00:50:23,359
Speaker 4: at the prior years, it'll be just amazing to see

1101
00:50:23,400 --> 00:50:24,920
Speaker 4: what the job was that he did when he was

1102
00:50:24,960 --> 00:50:27,080
Speaker 4: at sam Houston State. I think that he'll have an

1103
00:50:27,080 --> 00:50:29,520
Speaker 4: immediate impact on this defense with what they have for

1104
00:50:29,640 --> 00:50:32,840
Speaker 4: the talent infusion, you know, you look at the defensive line,

1105
00:50:33,160 --> 00:50:35,080
Speaker 4: they have a decent bunch coming in, a couple guys

1106
00:50:35,080 --> 00:50:37,160
Speaker 4: from sam Houston State, and then the backups are at

1107
00:50:37,200 --> 00:50:39,520
Speaker 4: least experienced, so if they're going to rotate some guys in,

1108
00:50:39,920 --> 00:50:43,520
Speaker 4: they actually have some intestinal fortitude on the defensive line

1109
00:50:43,719 --> 00:50:45,720
Speaker 4: that should be able to hold up during the entirety

1110
00:50:45,760 --> 00:50:48,680
Speaker 4: of the season. I think the linebacker room will really

1111
00:50:48,719 --> 00:50:52,560
Speaker 4: benefit from Trey Field and Samaji Burrell coming in from

1112
00:50:52,640 --> 00:50:55,359
Speaker 4: sam Houston. Yeah. I think defensively this group will be

1113
00:50:55,880 --> 00:50:57,760
Speaker 4: a night and day better than what we have seen.

1114
00:50:58,320 --> 00:51:01,200
Speaker 4: They weren't complete our last year, even though they played

1115
00:51:01,239 --> 00:51:03,799
Speaker 4: in a high tempo system and they gave up plenty

1116
00:51:03,800 --> 00:51:06,040
Speaker 4: of yards and points. It wasn't all bad. I like

1117
00:51:06,040 --> 00:51:07,719
Speaker 4: over the win total two six and a half. I

1118
00:51:07,760 --> 00:51:10,520
Speaker 4: think it's light. I think there's nine games that they

1119
00:51:10,560 --> 00:51:14,200
Speaker 4: show up feeling really good that they have a chance

1120
00:51:14,200 --> 00:51:16,680
Speaker 4: to win, including all of the non conference games they

1121
00:51:16,719 --> 00:51:18,839
Speaker 4: get army early in the season. As Stuck had said,

1122
00:51:18,840 --> 00:51:22,279
Speaker 4: which I had in my notes, you host South Florida, UTSA,

1123
00:51:22,480 --> 00:51:25,360
Speaker 4: and Navy. I mean, really to have a shot at

1124
00:51:25,400 --> 00:51:27,919
Speaker 4: the conference, you got to win what maybe one of those,

1125
00:51:27,960 --> 00:51:30,000
Speaker 4: and you can have yourself at least in position to

1126
00:51:30,040 --> 00:51:32,600
Speaker 4: be in the conversation, they should breeze through four of

1127
00:51:32,640 --> 00:51:35,439
Speaker 4: the last five. I think this schedule is very conducive. Yeah,

1128
00:51:35,440 --> 00:51:37,680
Speaker 4: this is a team that I definitely think is ascending

1129
00:51:37,719 --> 00:51:39,960
Speaker 4: this season. I think they're going to surprise some people

1130
00:51:40,000 --> 00:51:42,799
Speaker 4: in the American absolutely twenty to one or greater. Take

1131
00:51:42,840 --> 00:51:45,520
Speaker 4: a quick flyer on them. There's absolutely no question this

1132
00:51:45,600 --> 00:51:46,640
Speaker 4: is going to be an improved group.

1133
00:51:46,960 --> 00:51:49,959
Speaker 1: All right, if you're listening in on your podcast feed,

1134
00:51:50,120 --> 00:51:52,680
Speaker 1: we already have the second part of this podcast. Teetups

1135
00:51:52,680 --> 00:51:55,319
Speaker 1: to come over and join us for Stuck and Duck

1136
00:51:55,400 --> 00:51:57,279
Speaker 1: on my calvaries. This has been the group of five

1137
00:51:57,320 --> 00:51:59,960
Speaker 1: deep dive under the Big Bets on campus banner.

1138
00:52:00,360 --> 00:52:02,600
Speaker 2: Join us for more action here. Out of the.

1139
00:52:02,600 --> 00:52:14,359
Speaker 1: American Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly.

1140
00:52:14,760 --> 00:52:17,600
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1141
00:52:17,880 --> 00:52:20,480
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1142
00:52:20,600 --> 00:52:21,400
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