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Speaker 1: The Action Network podcast, named vest vetting Podcast or radio

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Speaker 1: show by the Fantasy Sports and Gaming Association and the

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Speaker 1: number one show for the invested sports fan.

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Speaker 2: All Right, here we go.

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Speaker 3: Fifteen, twenty, twenty five, thirty thirty five, forty forty five fifty.

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Speaker 2: And The Kicks block Book College Football World Stander. Oh

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Speaker 2: my goodness, can stumble the football? The lateral s a

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Speaker 2: counter on.

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Speaker 4: The side, can't you?

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Speaker 5: The lad.

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Speaker 2: Table off the fail to night.

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Speaker 6: It's not the sage of the game in the fut

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Speaker 6: it's the.

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Speaker 2: Sage of the fight. What's up the general nation? Welcome

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Speaker 2: to the Action Network Podcast. This is the weekend football

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Speaker 2: betting Review and weekday Preview. I'm Stucky in with me

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Speaker 2: as always is Colin Wilson. You're hogs. It's over. The

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Speaker 2: perfect against the spread streak is over. The dream is

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Speaker 2: no longer alive becoming the national undefeated, national betting champions

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Speaker 2: of the country. How's it going?

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Speaker 6: Came ohing pretty well. I mean it was kind of

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Speaker 6: a sea of a sea of red on the app yesterday,

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Speaker 6: And you know, those weekends are bound to come. And

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Speaker 6: I still am gonna be mathematical based with my totals

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Speaker 6: and my sides. You know, these things come and go,

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Speaker 6: but you know these unders, these first half unders, especially

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Speaker 6: in the Big Ten, it's like there's just certain quarterbacks

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Speaker 6: that are bound and determined to make sure and ruin

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Speaker 6: every like Joe Milton's ruined Christmas, He's ruined Thanksgiving. Like

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Speaker 6: you just can't take an under with this kid. It's

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Speaker 6: just things like that.

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Speaker 2: It's gonna lose all my money on Wisconsin first half unders.

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Speaker 2: The rest of the year, we will get to your voicemails.

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Speaker 2: I think I left one under the influence. We will

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Speaker 2: recap the college will ball weekend. Along with those voicemails.

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Speaker 2: We will get into some Monday night football. We will

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Speaker 2: get into some weekday college football and some matchit even

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Speaker 2: though we've already had some maction cancel. But let's start

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Speaker 2: with a quick NFL recap. Today. Favorites win eleven and

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Speaker 2: one straight up. They went eight and four against the spread.

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Speaker 2: The lone dog to pull off an upset today was

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Speaker 2: the New York Football Giants that by week and the

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Speaker 2: Eagles getting healthier, still a dumpster fire the NFC East,

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Speaker 2: but they remained in first place at three to five

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Speaker 2: and one. That's your NFC East update because the Washington

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Speaker 2: football team gamp just short as the Lions kicked a

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Speaker 2: long field goal at the end of regulation. A lot

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Speaker 2: of crazy games that came down to the wire across

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Speaker 2: the NFL. Today, the Packers barely hold on in one

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Speaker 2: of the more surprising score lines of the weekend. Jake Luton,

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Speaker 2: He's loot covers again and the Packers hold on to

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Speaker 2: win twenty four to twenty. The Bucks win forty six

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Speaker 2: twenty three cover with ease. Game flies over, Do not

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Speaker 2: fade angry Tom Brady. Elsewhere in the NFC South, what

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Speaker 2: do you think about the Saints? The New Orleans Saints

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Speaker 2: win twenty seven to thirteen, one of the most fraudulent

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Speaker 2: scores of the day. They had two muff punts. They

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Speaker 2: scored off of one of the worst roughing the passer

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Speaker 2: calls you'll ever see that took away a third and

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Speaker 2: twenty five and gave the Saints another touchdown. I mean

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Speaker 2: Nick Mullens outplayed on offense. He didn't do much, but

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Speaker 2: he outplayed the Saints. I mean the Saints finished with

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Speaker 2: two hundred and thirty yards and four yards per play.

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Speaker 2: They did nothing basically like twenty seven fraudulent points, but

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Speaker 2: they get to win. Drew Brees did get hurt on

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Speaker 2: that ridiculous roughing call. Jameis Winston came in and the

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Speaker 2: offense sputtered in the first half. It sputted in the

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Speaker 2: second half. Winston didn't throw any picks at least, but

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Speaker 2: all eyes on Breeze having an MRI on his ribs,

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Speaker 2: So we'll see what happens there throughout the week. Still

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Speaker 2: think the Saints are one of the two best teams

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Speaker 2: in the NFC, but there's just a completely flat effort.

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Speaker 2: He had two muff punts inside of twenty and he

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Speaker 2: only went by fourteen. That pretty much tells the story.

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Speaker 2: The Rams beat the Seahawks twenty three sixteen. Let Russ

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Speaker 2: burn down the kitchen. He did not cook again. Twenty

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Speaker 2: two of thirty seven, two hundred and forty eight yards,

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Speaker 2: no touchdowns, two picks, sacked multiple times. The Rams were

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Speaker 2: the better team throughout and the RUSS MVP campaign. Remember

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Speaker 2: he was a locked to win MVP. I don't think

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Speaker 2: that's necessarily the case anymore after what we've seen. There's

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Speaker 2: some guy you might have heard of. His name is

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Speaker 2: Patrese or Patrick Pat Mahomes. I think his name is.

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Speaker 2: I think he has twenty five touchdowns and one pick

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Speaker 2: on the air at your MVP right now. Chiefs. By

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Speaker 2: the way, on a bye week Thursday, we saw the

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Speaker 2: col twin thirty four to seventeen over the Titans. Titans,

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Speaker 2: is still a lot of work to do on the

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Speaker 2: defensive side of the ball.

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Speaker 1: Cleveland, the Cleveland Browns have won another football game.

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Speaker 2: Cleveland rocks. Cleveland rocks. Cleveland rocks. Cleveland rocks in thirty

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Speaker 2: thirty five wins, sixty hour win gus Cleveland wins ten

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Speaker 2: to seven. I don't know what. There was two ridiculous

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Speaker 2: gambling moments today. The first was this, depending on where

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Speaker 2: you got this number. The Browns closed at minus four.

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Speaker 2: Nick Chubb. I had the Texans teeze to eight and

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Speaker 2: a half. Nick Chubb takes a hand off with under

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Speaker 2: you know, two minutes ago, third down. As all as

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Speaker 2: I get a first down, the game's over. Chubb goes

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Speaker 2: on the sidewine sidelines, breaks it and I'm sitting there like,

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Speaker 2: you have to be fucking kidding me. Here is Chubb

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Speaker 2: going outside? One won't go out of bounds, and he doesn't,

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Speaker 2: and he may go all the way and he does don't.

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Speaker 2: Flags are down and Chubb he ran out of bound,

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Speaker 2: goes out of bounds at the one yard line. Could

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Speaker 2: have been seven team to seven. I don't think it

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Speaker 2: makes much of a difference, he said. Look, I'm not

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Speaker 2: even taking a chance. The game's over. I love you,

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Speaker 2: Nicholas Chubb. Brown hold on to win ten to seven

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Speaker 2: if you had the Browns. But we reported earlier one

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Speaker 2: of the biggest bets of the day out Vegas is

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Speaker 2: one hundred k on Brown's minus four. The other ridiculous

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Speaker 2: gambling moment was the Cardinals in a crazy back and

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Speaker 2: forth game between the Bills. The Bills, on an outrageously

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Speaker 2: good throw by Josh Allen at the end, hits Stefan

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Speaker 2: Diggs to take the lead. They go up by four.

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Speaker 2: The Cardinals get the ball back and it comes down

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Speaker 2: to basically hail Mary that Mary has to throw fifty yards.

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Speaker 2: As he's moving to his left. New Hopkins goes up

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Speaker 2: in like triple he was triple team in between three

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Speaker 2: defenders and pulls it down. Cardinals were minus two to

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Speaker 2: two and a half most of the week. Then it

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Speaker 2: was one second left if there were, so they decide

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Speaker 2: we're gonna take a knee. Now, if there is no

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Speaker 2: time left, you always take in me because they still

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Speaker 2: make it. Kick it because it matters for point differential

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Speaker 2: in the playoffs. But if there's one or two seconds left,

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Speaker 2: I can make an argument for both sides here, but

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Speaker 2: decided to spread. The reason they didn't kick it is

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Speaker 2: they didn't want to risk the kick being blocked in

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Speaker 2: return for a touchdown. And then if you swip the kick,

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Speaker 2: a field goal is not going to matter. But you

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Speaker 2: know what, if you had a big return and there

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Speaker 2: was a defensive penalty, then a field goal you lose.

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Speaker 2: I think the difference, you know, I would actually look

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Speaker 2: at it, but I think it's meaningless either way. The

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Speaker 2: win probability or just the probability in general of having

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Speaker 2: an extra point blocked in return versus a long kick

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Speaker 2: return on a squib plus of defensive penalty. I mean,

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Speaker 2: they're both so negligible. But the Bills end up covering.

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Speaker 2: Game goes over in wild fashion. Vegas takes care of business,

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Speaker 2: wins thirty seven to twelve over the lifeless Broncos. Another

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Speaker 2: impressive performance by the Raiders. They're going to get another

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Speaker 2: bump in my power ratings. Also another impressive business like performance.

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Speaker 2: The Steelers unline came out a six and a half

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Speaker 2: for a kick I wish I would have jumped on

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Speaker 2: it with Ben in the lineup. They take care of

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Speaker 2: business easily over the Bengals thirty six to ten. And lastly,

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Speaker 2: the Dolphins win twenty nine twenty one. Defense looked good

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Speaker 2: but very fortunately. I mean, this team is just running

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Speaker 2: like gods. Again that I think Tua had like five

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Speaker 2: picks dropped. I mean it was crew one went through

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Speaker 2: Kenneth Bury's hands. I've never seen anything look like it. It

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Speaker 2: looked like a magic trick or an optical illusion. Herbert

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Speaker 2: wasn't great. The Miami defense is very solid. You can

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Speaker 2: run on them, but that's not how you're gonna win

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Speaker 2: football games in the NFL. Tua still has work to do.

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Speaker 2: And look, they had a block punt that you know

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Speaker 2: they recovered at the one that led to a touchdown.

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Speaker 2: They had a pick on the outside. They have great corners,

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Speaker 2: and they have great special teams, and the Chargers special

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Speaker 2: teams are jumpster fire. At least the Chargers got the

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Speaker 2: teas though for some of us. So that'll wrap up

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Speaker 2: the week ten. NFL betting people I think over runners

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Speaker 2: went six, and for what it's for.

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Speaker 6: You know, if you're looking for a bilo cell high,

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Speaker 6: like if you're the kind of person looks to get

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Speaker 6: a bet down or early in the week, then you know,

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Speaker 6: Green Bay looked terrible against Jacksonville one by four, but

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Speaker 6: they find themselves in a bilo cell high against the Colts,

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Speaker 6: that looked absolutely fantastic in the second half against the

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Speaker 6: against the Titans, and then you know, Casey was on

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Speaker 6: a bye. But with the way Vegas played today, I

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Speaker 6: think that plays a little bit into the number that's

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Speaker 6: sitting at seven while we're sitting here recording, So I'm

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Speaker 6: not sure, you know, I mean, that's a pretty low

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Speaker 6: spread I think for the Chiefs to get after everybody

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Speaker 6: saw what Vegas did today. And then the last one

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Speaker 6: is man Carolina had a little bit of Carolina today

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Speaker 6: and they just got blown out of the water by

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Speaker 6: Tampa Bay. So it's really kind of a bilo cell

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Speaker 6: high point against the Chroit that covers that really short

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Speaker 6: minus two and a half and a three point win.

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Speaker 6: Really looking forward to hearing you and Raybon podcasts about

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Speaker 6: Thursday Night football, because you know, the Cards do not

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Speaker 6: have the pass rush that the Rams do. So you know,

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Speaker 6: Russell Wilson gets back home and gets to cook. So

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Speaker 6: be looking forward to hearing you guys talk about that.

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Speaker 2: Lat Russ regress. Look, so Listen is one of the best.

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Speaker 2: When I say these things, he's one of the best

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Speaker 2: quarterbacks in the NFL, clearly, but he was not going

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Speaker 2: to keep playing at the most ridiculous level we've ever

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Speaker 2: seen in the NFL, hitting every single d pass, not

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Speaker 2: throwing any picks, So there was some regression that was due. Yeah,

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Speaker 2: you mentioned Mahomes and I mentioned him with the MVP,

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Speaker 2: Like no if any other quarterback had twenty five touchdowns

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Speaker 2: in one pick, like, no one talks about that. It's

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Speaker 2: just like Mahomes. It's crazy. All right, Well, it's time

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Speaker 2: to move on to some of your favorite segment of

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Speaker 2: the week and we'll get into your voicemails and then

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Speaker 2: recap some of the college.

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Speaker 1: Bad beats, back doors and miracle covers. However you're feeling

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Speaker 1: we want to hear from you.

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Speaker 6: You have reached the.

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Speaker 7: Voicemail box of Action Network Podcast.

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Speaker 1: Let's check this week's messages.

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Speaker 8: Two weeks into next football and I think I'm already

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Speaker 8: sucking done with this conference.

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Speaker 9: Kent State is up by a thousand and still running,

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Speaker 9: no huddle, hurry up offense to score.

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Speaker 7: Just run out the clock.

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Speaker 2: God, I can hate this conference, but you bet I'll

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Speaker 2: be back next week. By the way, yeah, that was ridiculous.

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Speaker 2: I had a live under of like seventy six. Kent

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Speaker 2: State is just running, hurry up and throwing the ball

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Speaker 2: with under a minute to go, Like, come on, give

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Speaker 2: me a break. We're gonna get the Kent State by

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Speaker 2: the way, because they play Acron in the feature because Ohio,

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Speaker 2: My Ohio was canceled Acron, Kent State moved to ESPN Tuesday.

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Speaker 2: Eight thoughts. Did you have any thoughts there?

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Speaker 6: I mean, the Kent thing I couldn't figure out. Are

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Speaker 6: you playing for style points? Are you trying to get

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Speaker 6: the College Noble Playoff Committee to notice you? I mean,

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Speaker 6: I'm not going to consider an under again ever again

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Speaker 6: with any Kent State football. But there was you know,

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Speaker 6: they did have four fumbles in the game. Something that

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Speaker 6: might not show up on most box scores is they

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Speaker 6: did have four fumbles in the game and the Falcons

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Speaker 6: never recovered them. So maybe they were I don't know,

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Speaker 6: maybe they're trying to find too. I didn't know there

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Speaker 6: was any bad blood between the two, but that that's

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Speaker 6: going to keep me off any unders in the future.

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Speaker 5: Wild didn't have a chance to listen to podcasts. Saw

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Speaker 5: Minnesota come through on the app. Had to punch it in.

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Speaker 5: Go to a high school football game, start a state playoffs,

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Speaker 5: State playoffs. We're down fourteen to nothing.

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Speaker 7: Home team.

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Speaker 5: My wife says, hey, we're getting trucked. We put a

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Speaker 5: bed on it plus twenty eight plus twenty eight. I said,

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Speaker 5: oh yeah, I'll take that. Okay, so we can we

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Speaker 5: turn it over seven times, seven times, lose thirty five nothing,

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Speaker 5: come home and check. Hey, Minnesota is sure to hang

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Speaker 5: in there. Nope, wrong, get trucked. Get that's what we do.

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Speaker 10: God bless.

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Speaker 2: I thought. I thought the Minnesota offense. We knew that

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Speaker 2: the defense is a businal right. I thought the Minnesota

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Speaker 2: offense could do some things. What happened to Tanner Morgan,

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Speaker 2: He looked awful, Like the Minnesota defense getting shredded doesn't

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Speaker 2: surprise me. I thought Minnesota's going to keep up well

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Speaker 2: with that. I mean, no, they got dominated.

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Speaker 6: I sweat that too, I mean the whole Iowa that

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Speaker 6: that that bet was based on pon the fact that

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Speaker 6: Iowa would dominate the trench, which they did, but Spencer

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Speaker 6: Peaterrice was doing his absolute best with an I N

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Speaker 6: T and you know, I mean not converting any points.

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Speaker 6: And on Minnesota side of the field, I mean eventually

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Speaker 6: the bet won good for us, but it's a really

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Speaker 6: bad combination when your front seven is letting everybody run

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Speaker 6: on you, and you have an offensive coordinator like Mike

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Speaker 6: Sanford Junior who has destroyed this offense, well.

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Speaker 2: Then flex like kicking field goals down, Like what do

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Speaker 2: you do? What are you doing?

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Speaker 9: You?

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Speaker 2: I mean right had a kicker.

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Speaker 6: And something's going on with Kirk Farentz and PJ Flack

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Speaker 6: because I've done some masses.

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Speaker 2: They don't like each other. They don't like each other.

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Speaker 6: Well, I know they don't like each other. They didn't

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Speaker 6: playing each other a long time. And games have been close.

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Speaker 6: I mean there's been really there's been tons of opportunity

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Speaker 6: for Kirk Franz to do this before, but to call

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Speaker 6: all your time outs at the end of the game

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Speaker 6: when you're up by this much like try and like

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Speaker 6: I know he was trying to keep him, keep him

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Speaker 6: shut out, and I know he took offense to that,

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Speaker 6: but I mean something his comments after the game. Something

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Speaker 6: had to happen on the recruiting trail with Ferns and

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Speaker 6: PJ flex. So something to keep in mind for next

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Speaker 6: year's game in case we see an advantage with Iowa

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Speaker 6: over Minnesota is that you may want to think twice

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Speaker 6: about you your wager size when it comes to what

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Speaker 6: Ferentz wants to do to PJ Fleck for I guess

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Speaker 6: the rest of the life.

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Speaker 2: One thing that I did get right this weekend, not

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Speaker 2: that I made any money on it, but it did

286
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Speaker 2: save me money is I didn't bet East Carolina at

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Speaker 2: twenty eight because I said Cincinnati might be worried about

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Speaker 2: style points. Boy, oh boy, does this team want style points.

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Speaker 2: This team is playing to score touchdowns until the final seconds,

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Speaker 2: Like I mean, going for eighty R touchdowns. You want

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Speaker 2: to talk about a heated coaching interaction at the end

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Speaker 2: of the game. Wow, But they weren't only scoring eighty

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Speaker 2: R touchdowns at the final minute. They were getting unsportsmanlike

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Speaker 2: conduct calls while they're scoring. This team wants to run

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Speaker 2: it up. I would not get in front of the

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Speaker 2: Sinci train against a really bad team because they went

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Speaker 2: down the rankings after a twenty eight point win. Not

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Speaker 2: this this game, the previous one. Thinko came out and

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Speaker 2: said something like they were pissed, so they're gonna they're

300
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Speaker 2: putting it on teams and they're gonna file it on

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Speaker 2: if they had the chance to do so.

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Speaker 6: This will be the last time you can take them

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Speaker 6: at a non inflated point spread this week against Central Florida.

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Speaker 2: We'll get to that game later in the week. Let's

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Speaker 2: move on.

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Speaker 11: Hey, Colin Stuckey, it's Keg from Cincinnati.

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Speaker 2: Live bet Western Michigan. Last night. It's Thursday morning at

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Speaker 2: seven am, passed the Fuday out. Just woke up to

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Speaker 2: a random w No clue how it happened. Haven't looked yet,

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Speaker 2: don't care.

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Speaker 8: I love the Mac.

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Speaker 12: Mac football is the backbone of this country.

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Speaker 6: America was built on it.

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Speaker 2: Thank you.

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Speaker 5: It was looking great.

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Speaker 9: I thought I won, everyone thought I wanted, everyone was happy.

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Speaker 9: I was buying drink the bar was insane time in

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Speaker 9: my life.

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Speaker 2: Guess what happens. Toledo's Devens Cordend needs to be fired.

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Speaker 9: I don't know if you guys are in charge of

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Speaker 9: this or you guys can make that happen.

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Speaker 5: But can someone fire the DC.

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Speaker 12: Of Toledo never a doubt, never a do Western Michigan.

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Speaker 2: Honestly, what can you say?

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Speaker 11: Faction's never a doubt.

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Speaker 9: That was the most disgusting god football performance I've ever

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Speaker 9: seen in my god life.

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Speaker 2: Toledo.

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Speaker 9: The coaches dog that entire program needs to fold. They

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Speaker 9: would save more money in the long run by not

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Speaker 9: having a football program, because no one would pay a

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Speaker 9: god penny to go watch those losers ever get on

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Speaker 9: the football field?

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Speaker 7: What the did I just watch?

335
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Speaker 11: How do you let the fake wife just happen like that?

336
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Speaker 7: What the what?

337
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Speaker 11: What in the world are you doing the receiver?

338
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Speaker 5: Why would you distorted receiver?

339
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Speaker 11: This is insane.

340
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Speaker 7: I understand its fashion, but it's insane. What what what

341
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Speaker 7: is doing on?

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Speaker 12: Oh my god? I want to everybody on West from

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Speaker 12: Michigan and Toledo. I want to destroy Toledo. On frid

344
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Speaker 12: recovery team and their defense are not covering a p receiver.

345
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Speaker 12: I don't care if they're learning the first spike you

346
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Speaker 12: cover a receiver when you play defense. It's enough middle

347
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Speaker 12: school peewee football.

348
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Speaker 5: This is Toledo money.

349
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Speaker 2: Two and a half one of the worst tas I've

350
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Speaker 2: ever had in.

351
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Speaker 12: My whole life.

352
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Speaker 10: I don't think I can carry on much more of.

353
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Speaker 7: It doing this.

354
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Speaker 6: Guys, they just they can't take it anymore.

355
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Speaker 12: What the are we betting on the max? Like we're

356
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Speaker 12: betting on WW like they're up tenn.

357
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Speaker 7: Points at ninety seconds?

358
00:17:40,280 --> 00:17:42,680
Speaker 12: Well, no, I can cover plus one.

359
00:17:42,560 --> 00:17:42,880
Speaker 7: And a half.

360
00:17:42,880 --> 00:17:45,720
Speaker 13: What the O are you hitting me?

361
00:17:46,320 --> 00:17:47,240
Speaker 6: I think I'm just done.

362
00:17:47,280 --> 00:17:48,560
Speaker 5: I cannot sports.

363
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Speaker 11: But ever again, I guess it's the craziest I've ever

364
00:17:52,200 --> 00:17:55,120
Speaker 11: seen the Max. Then and that's it.

365
00:17:55,640 --> 00:17:59,119
Speaker 7: Wow, this is the earliest I've called into the boys

366
00:17:59,200 --> 00:18:02,359
Speaker 7: mil and I honestly is a cry for help and

367
00:18:03,040 --> 00:18:04,560
Speaker 7: kind of truck my phone at the wall.

368
00:18:04,800 --> 00:18:06,800
Speaker 12: And now there's done my wall, and.

369
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Speaker 6: My girlfriend's coming over to smile.

370
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Speaker 12: I'm not sure what I'm going to do there action

371
00:18:12,000 --> 00:18:13,399
Speaker 12: you know, they say, hah.

372
00:18:13,520 --> 00:18:16,200
Speaker 8: I'm trying to watch Pond Stars with my wife Betty,

373
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Speaker 8: and I was waiting.

374
00:18:17,320 --> 00:18:21,159
Speaker 7: For this game to hit. But guess what, Guess what,

375
00:18:21,320 --> 00:18:23,560
Speaker 7: Darren Nobel, it didn't hit.

376
00:18:24,040 --> 00:18:28,240
Speaker 8: It never hits like Houdin took it from under my

377
00:18:28,320 --> 00:18:33,439
Speaker 8: own Betty dead and so little wish this line was

378
00:18:33,480 --> 00:18:36,040
Speaker 8: like a Matador in Spain or so many red flags.

379
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Speaker 11: I mean, you gotta be kidding me.

380
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Speaker 8: Toledo was a lot Western Michigan Broncos. I'll forever hate you,

381
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Speaker 8: and I guarantee I will never watch a maction game

382
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Speaker 8: again until next two days.

383
00:18:49,320 --> 00:18:50,880
Speaker 2: Yeah, that was true action game.

384
00:18:51,520 --> 00:18:54,080
Speaker 6: So I had h Yeah, I took Toledo plus three

385
00:18:54,160 --> 00:18:56,280
Speaker 6: earlier in the week by the time I had wrote

386
00:18:56,280 --> 00:18:58,320
Speaker 6: it up, And I, guys, I know you guys read

387
00:18:58,320 --> 00:19:01,080
Speaker 6: the articles like you know, and I love it that

388
00:19:01,119 --> 00:19:04,920
Speaker 6: everybody reads it. But I write them generally forty eight

389
00:19:04,920 --> 00:19:07,359
Speaker 6: hours before the game even goes, so you know, I

390
00:19:08,080 --> 00:19:09,879
Speaker 6: try to have a little bit of you know, insight

391
00:19:09,960 --> 00:19:11,480
Speaker 6: about where I think the number is going to go

392
00:19:11,520 --> 00:19:13,479
Speaker 6: and try to give you guys, like you know, at

393
00:19:13,520 --> 00:19:15,720
Speaker 6: the bottom of my paragraph, somebody ripped me up about

394
00:19:15,720 --> 00:19:17,760
Speaker 6: like what I said about the Boise game. I said, listen,

395
00:19:17,840 --> 00:19:20,800
Speaker 6: I don't know two days in advance if Kate Finnigan's

396
00:19:20,800 --> 00:19:22,800
Speaker 6: going to start or if Hank Bachmeer is going to start.

397
00:19:22,960 --> 00:19:25,040
Speaker 6: So I'm telling you this is what we're going to

398
00:19:25,119 --> 00:19:27,879
Speaker 6: do in case any scenario works out. So with the

399
00:19:27,920 --> 00:19:31,159
Speaker 6: Toledo situation, I had a feeling the number was going

400
00:19:31,200 --> 00:19:32,760
Speaker 6: to move by the time I wrote up. You know,

401
00:19:32,840 --> 00:19:35,320
Speaker 6: take Toledo in three. If it does move, pay all

402
00:19:35,320 --> 00:19:38,440
Speaker 6: the juice that you can. That game had everything anything

403
00:19:38,480 --> 00:19:41,680
Speaker 6: you could ever want in Mac. We're talking missed pats,

404
00:19:42,119 --> 00:19:45,479
Speaker 6: chain markers, broken in half, terrible spots by the refs.

405
00:19:46,080 --> 00:19:49,080
Speaker 6: We're talking no pylon cans, camera angles from the four.

406
00:19:49,600 --> 00:19:51,920
Speaker 6: Western Michigan had to have twenty points in the fourth quarter.

407
00:19:52,160 --> 00:19:55,520
Speaker 6: Toledo had to lead the entire game until there was

408
00:19:55,640 --> 00:19:59,240
Speaker 6: seventeen seconds left in the ballgame. You held a Toledo

409
00:19:59,640 --> 00:20:03,199
Speaker 6: plus money ticket and you were never losing ever at

410
00:20:03,240 --> 00:20:06,199
Speaker 6: any point until seventeen seconds left in the game. That

411
00:20:06,400 --> 00:20:09,159
Speaker 6: is what MAC football is. You are never safe. Do

412
00:20:09,280 --> 00:20:11,800
Speaker 6: not think you can go and spend time with your family.

413
00:20:12,240 --> 00:20:14,400
Speaker 6: Do not think that you are going to get some

414
00:20:14,400 --> 00:20:17,359
Speaker 6: sort of reprieve because your team is up by thirty.

415
00:20:18,080 --> 00:20:20,159
Speaker 2: That's just how it goes. By the way, did you

416
00:20:20,200 --> 00:20:24,760
Speaker 2: see the Arkansas high school game I tweeted about earlier Fayetteville.

417
00:20:26,040 --> 00:20:30,520
Speaker 2: They had the ball, they were up by two with

418
00:20:30,760 --> 00:20:33,880
Speaker 2: five seconds left, fourth down, They're at like their own ten,

419
00:20:34,359 --> 00:20:36,160
Speaker 2: so they were just gonna snap it and then run

420
00:20:36,160 --> 00:20:38,560
Speaker 2: out the clock instead of risking punting it. When I

421
00:20:38,560 --> 00:20:40,080
Speaker 2: was in high school, we had a walk off punt.

422
00:20:40,080 --> 00:20:41,520
Speaker 2: By the way, some team punted it to us with

423
00:20:42,400 --> 00:20:44,800
Speaker 2: one second left, and we had this kid. This is

424
00:20:44,800 --> 00:20:46,720
Speaker 2: when I was on JV my freshman year. We had

425
00:20:46,720 --> 00:20:48,880
Speaker 2: this kid was a really good punt returner. He took

426
00:20:48,920 --> 00:20:50,959
Speaker 2: it to the house. One of the most exhilarating wines

427
00:20:51,000 --> 00:20:53,520
Speaker 2: that ever have been a part of. But the kid

428
00:20:54,359 --> 00:20:57,240
Speaker 2: then took the snap and kneeled it too early on

429
00:20:57,320 --> 00:20:59,600
Speaker 2: a fourth down, so they turned it over down with

430
00:20:59,680 --> 00:21:01,959
Speaker 2: one second last, So the other team came out kick

431
00:21:02,000 --> 00:21:03,960
Speaker 2: the field goal and won it. One of the most

432
00:21:04,000 --> 00:21:08,199
Speaker 2: deflating losses I've ever seen a highlight of. Are you

433
00:21:08,240 --> 00:21:10,640
Speaker 2: familiar with You obviously familiar with fay at the high school?

434
00:21:10,720 --> 00:21:13,200
Speaker 6: Right, yeah, Favle High School, Purple Dogs. I actually went

435
00:21:13,560 --> 00:21:15,679
Speaker 6: to Woodland Junior High my eighth and ninth grade year,

436
00:21:15,680 --> 00:21:17,440
Speaker 6: and I went to Fable High School my tenth year

437
00:21:17,480 --> 00:21:20,360
Speaker 6: before Old Walmart called my mom and I got moved

438
00:21:20,359 --> 00:21:22,320
Speaker 6: back to Bennville High School. So, yah, I'm very familiar

439
00:21:22,320 --> 00:21:23,879
Speaker 6: with this, and I'm watching the video right now, and

440
00:21:23,880 --> 00:21:26,800
Speaker 6: this poor kid. I saw some crazy things going on

441
00:21:26,840 --> 00:21:29,000
Speaker 6: this weekend. I saw a running back in college football

442
00:21:29,560 --> 00:21:31,359
Speaker 6: take a dive down by two to set up the

443
00:21:31,359 --> 00:21:33,520
Speaker 6: field goal, Like, just run it in. I understand this

444
00:21:33,560 --> 00:21:35,000
Speaker 6: whole taking a dive at the two in the one,

445
00:21:35,040 --> 00:21:37,640
Speaker 6: But if you're losing, run the touchdown in. And by

446
00:21:37,640 --> 00:21:40,359
Speaker 6: the way, if you're Toledo, maybe not like sticking in

447
00:21:40,400 --> 00:21:42,280
Speaker 6: immediately after you get the first down and there's two

448
00:21:42,280 --> 00:21:44,440
Speaker 6: forty left. Maybe I don't know, take three knees and

449
00:21:44,480 --> 00:21:46,879
Speaker 6: then run it in, kick a field goal or something.

450
00:21:46,920 --> 00:21:48,760
Speaker 6: Burn some clock. They just ran it straight in. And

451
00:21:49,960 --> 00:21:52,320
Speaker 6: you know those poor Mac announcers, the guy who said

452
00:21:52,320 --> 00:21:54,480
Speaker 6: ball game, I knew immediately right there the Toledo tickets

453
00:21:54,480 --> 00:21:54,960
Speaker 6: were burned.

454
00:21:56,680 --> 00:21:57,600
Speaker 2: Be kidding me.

455
00:21:57,720 --> 00:22:01,399
Speaker 6: Now, this is peak macsh It is peak faction.

456
00:22:02,280 --> 00:22:05,919
Speaker 2: Well, some of you sound like you're on your deathbeds

457
00:22:05,920 --> 00:22:07,600
Speaker 2: calling about this Fleeto game. At least you didn't have

458
00:22:07,600 --> 00:22:08,920
Speaker 2: favor the high school money line.

459
00:22:09,320 --> 00:22:15,439
Speaker 5: Moving on, you did it again, this fau fyu games

460
00:22:15,840 --> 00:22:17,960
Speaker 5: and under over.

461
00:22:17,800 --> 00:22:18,960
Speaker 10: By half U.

462
00:22:19,280 --> 00:22:22,240
Speaker 2: What the do you guys see when you do these numbers?

463
00:22:22,520 --> 00:22:25,480
Speaker 5: You know figure count is in the biggest glasses would

464
00:22:25,480 --> 00:22:26,320
Speaker 5: see a little bit better.

465
00:22:26,320 --> 00:22:28,320
Speaker 7: But of course he's got a forty four.

466
00:22:28,680 --> 00:22:30,840
Speaker 11: The only one in the country with a forty four

467
00:22:30,920 --> 00:22:32,160
Speaker 11: under Oh.

468
00:22:33,160 --> 00:22:37,480
Speaker 2: Go by FA's defense playing extremely well. That no quarterbacks

469
00:22:37,480 --> 00:22:40,200
Speaker 2: in that game. The biggest difference is Fay used new

470
00:22:40,280 --> 00:22:43,720
Speaker 2: quarterback who's very mobile, and they just ran all over Fiu.

471
00:22:43,920 --> 00:22:46,000
Speaker 2: They were playing a little faster with him, which is

472
00:22:46,000 --> 00:22:49,240
Speaker 2: something I didn't have projected or or no. But yeah,

473
00:22:49,240 --> 00:22:51,000
Speaker 2: I got the I got the total wrong. I'm sorry,

474
00:22:51,359 --> 00:22:52,400
Speaker 2: don't be more. I'll get wrong.

475
00:22:52,760 --> 00:22:55,959
Speaker 6: Listen, we lost, but I don't think that that's, you know,

476
00:22:56,080 --> 00:22:58,560
Speaker 6: a bad play. I mean, Florida or Nationals scored on

477
00:22:58,680 --> 00:23:03,320
Speaker 6: explosive plays and Davante Price. You have to realize with

478
00:23:03,359 --> 00:23:05,600
Speaker 6: this Florida International team, like they were out with COVID,

479
00:23:05,600 --> 00:23:07,399
Speaker 6: like over half the roster was out with COVID for

480
00:23:07,440 --> 00:23:10,400
Speaker 6: a month and a half. If this is a fully

481
00:23:10,800 --> 00:23:13,520
Speaker 6: you know, this is a full roster. In case you

482
00:23:13,520 --> 00:23:15,960
Speaker 6: didn't notice, Davante Price had like a couple of eighty

483
00:23:16,040 --> 00:23:18,320
Speaker 6: yard runs in the game, seventy seven yard running the game,

484
00:23:18,359 --> 00:23:21,080
Speaker 6: a couple of explosive plays. You know, that's the reason

485
00:23:21,080 --> 00:23:23,320
Speaker 6: for losing that. As far as the San Diego State

486
00:23:23,920 --> 00:23:27,040
Speaker 6: forty four number, the pace report comes out on Mondays, guys,

487
00:23:27,240 --> 00:23:30,320
Speaker 6: the projections are out there. Who I like that comes

488
00:23:30,320 --> 00:23:32,880
Speaker 6: out on Mondays and I'm hitting totals on Sunday nights

489
00:23:32,880 --> 00:23:35,080
Speaker 6: and Mondays. So if you're gonna wait till an hour

490
00:23:35,119 --> 00:23:36,879
Speaker 6: before kickoff and say, well, how to call them? Get

491
00:23:36,880 --> 00:23:40,399
Speaker 6: a line on a total that's three to five points away,

492
00:23:40,440 --> 00:23:43,720
Speaker 6: it's because I hit it five days before Shawn Paine.

493
00:23:43,800 --> 00:23:48,160
Speaker 11: This season, this is the perfect scenario for the Sean.

494
00:23:48,840 --> 00:23:49,680
Speaker 2: They get a bye week.

495
00:23:50,200 --> 00:23:53,520
Speaker 6: It's a bye week, triple seed Dynasty all on.

496
00:23:58,880 --> 00:24:01,320
Speaker 2: By the way, at State, if you wanted them last,

497
00:24:01,680 --> 00:24:04,560
Speaker 2: you might have got some value after struggling this week.

498
00:24:05,359 --> 00:24:07,639
Speaker 2: Absolute barely put out that win. Did you see the

499
00:24:07,720 --> 00:24:12,600
Speaker 2: video that I retweeted from our friend, our Coastal Carolina friend. Yeah, legend,

500
00:24:12,920 --> 00:24:15,680
Speaker 2: Absolute legend. I got to get the Nova Scotia. You

501
00:24:16,240 --> 00:24:18,200
Speaker 2: can call, you can bring your friends come to Lexi

502
00:24:18,200 --> 00:24:21,320
Speaker 2: and you stay in my house. A chance. I called

503
00:24:21,359 --> 00:24:23,240
Speaker 2: them chance, but some people call him chunks. I think

504
00:24:23,240 --> 00:24:26,080
Speaker 2: in the kid, whatever one is, that's chance. APPS hopefully

505
00:24:26,119 --> 00:24:28,880
Speaker 2: doesn't get canceled app State Coastal next weekend.

506
00:24:29,000 --> 00:24:31,280
Speaker 6: Well, I think the biggest thing that nobody's talking about

507
00:24:31,320 --> 00:24:33,879
Speaker 6: it was in our It was in the piece that

508
00:24:33,920 --> 00:24:36,080
Speaker 6: comes out on every Sunday where I project the lines

509
00:24:36,280 --> 00:24:39,280
Speaker 6: for the upcoming week. Uh, The biggest name on the

510
00:24:39,320 --> 00:24:41,760
Speaker 6: injury report was Zach Thomas. Zach Thomas was carted off

511
00:24:41,800 --> 00:24:43,880
Speaker 6: the field in a stretcher during the fourth quarter. If

512
00:24:43,880 --> 00:24:46,600
Speaker 6: he's not able to go for app State, which if

513
00:24:46,640 --> 00:24:49,560
Speaker 6: he went to the hospital. He was released from the hospital.

514
00:24:49,560 --> 00:24:52,080
Speaker 6: They said, everything's all good. It was just precautionary stuff.

515
00:24:52,359 --> 00:24:54,640
Speaker 6: I don't know what his status is for this chance game.

516
00:24:54,960 --> 00:24:59,040
Speaker 6: If if bad, if he's not If app State does

517
00:24:59,080 --> 00:25:01,800
Speaker 6: not have zach Thomas, then you know the then Coastal

518
00:25:01,880 --> 00:25:04,960
Speaker 6: is going to roll in this game. Now to say that,

519
00:25:05,040 --> 00:25:07,000
Speaker 6: if you go out and look at the Action Network projections,

520
00:25:07,119 --> 00:25:10,000
Speaker 6: I have it as Coastal minus two. That is, assuming

521
00:25:10,600 --> 00:25:12,000
Speaker 6: zach Thomas is not available.

522
00:25:12,280 --> 00:25:15,000
Speaker 2: That's your pricing it Thomas not available, Okay, we'll keep

523
00:25:14,960 --> 00:25:16,840
Speaker 2: if you updated and you can, we would update the

524
00:25:16,880 --> 00:25:19,000
Speaker 2: projections later in the week if he was ruled in

525
00:25:19,119 --> 00:25:20,920
Speaker 2: or something. But yeah, I think that's a fair assumption.

526
00:25:21,080 --> 00:25:24,399
Speaker 2: All right, moving on, but roll Triple C baby.

527
00:25:24,359 --> 00:25:24,920
Speaker 11: How's it going?

528
00:25:25,080 --> 00:25:26,440
Speaker 7: Kevin from New Jersey here?

529
00:25:27,040 --> 00:25:29,040
Speaker 11: Joe Burrows still a dog?

530
00:25:29,640 --> 00:25:32,600
Speaker 7: Can you believe people are having weddings during a pandemic?

531
00:25:33,160 --> 00:25:36,040
Speaker 7: During the fall and I'm at one. I told my

532
00:25:36,080 --> 00:25:38,200
Speaker 7: wife I was sneaking off to watch the LSU Alabama

533
00:25:38,320 --> 00:25:43,680
Speaker 7: game instead, and Colin are sneaking off to watch San

534
00:25:43,720 --> 00:25:48,600
Speaker 7: Diego State Hawaii Over the first time, Colin takes it

535
00:25:48,680 --> 00:25:50,440
Speaker 7: over and the things are interact.

536
00:25:50,800 --> 00:25:54,760
Speaker 2: Don't have weddings in the fall, there's a pandemic going on,

537
00:25:55,160 --> 00:25:58,720
Speaker 2: that's your excuse to not go, but don't have don't

538
00:25:58,720 --> 00:26:01,760
Speaker 2: have weddings in the fall, any pandemic or not. And

539
00:26:01,800 --> 00:26:03,920
Speaker 2: now this year you have an excuse nothing go there's

540
00:26:03,960 --> 00:26:06,040
Speaker 2: a pandemic. Stay how much college football?

541
00:26:06,200 --> 00:26:08,680
Speaker 6: Yeah, pretty ridiculous. I'm getting married next year and we're

542
00:26:08,760 --> 00:26:10,480
Speaker 6: thinking of I mean, we were thinking about having this

543
00:26:10,560 --> 00:26:12,800
Speaker 6: big Vegas thing going on next week.

544
00:26:12,840 --> 00:26:14,320
Speaker 2: Better not be getting married of the fall.

545
00:26:15,480 --> 00:26:18,159
Speaker 6: No, I mean, at this stage of my life, the

546
00:26:18,160 --> 00:26:20,880
Speaker 6: person that I'm getting married to absolutely knows that this

547
00:26:20,960 --> 00:26:23,760
Speaker 6: has to be like on a week where maybe only

548
00:26:23,800 --> 00:26:26,280
Speaker 6: Ping Pong is on TV. Right, So that's why we've

549
00:26:26,359 --> 00:26:28,240
Speaker 6: kind of got it plugged in the first week of June,

550
00:26:28,240 --> 00:26:29,920
Speaker 6: because we know all that we have to fight with

551
00:26:30,000 --> 00:26:33,159
Speaker 6: is is MLB unless I decide I need to go

552
00:26:33,200 --> 00:26:35,880
Speaker 6: to Omaha for the College Real Series if we have baseball.

553
00:26:35,920 --> 00:26:38,720
Speaker 6: But yes, I've taken multiple overs on San Diego State

554
00:26:38,800 --> 00:26:41,920
Speaker 6: and they have cashed on the under because nobody they've

555
00:26:41,920 --> 00:26:43,920
Speaker 6: played has been able to get anything up on the board.

556
00:26:43,920 --> 00:26:45,879
Speaker 6: I'm probably going to continue to either play San Diego

557
00:26:45,880 --> 00:26:48,320
Speaker 6: State overs or I'm just going to play Team totals

558
00:26:48,320 --> 00:26:51,160
Speaker 6: on because this, I mean, I can't get any help

559
00:26:51,200 --> 00:26:52,439
Speaker 6: on the San Diego State overs.

560
00:26:52,720 --> 00:26:53,320
Speaker 2: Love them, though.

561
00:26:53,680 --> 00:26:56,120
Speaker 11: I just wanted to take a break from the podcast

562
00:26:56,200 --> 00:26:59,520
Speaker 11: and say thank you Colin, because I'm betting this under

563
00:26:59,560 --> 00:27:02,639
Speaker 11: fifty four. I'm betting under twenty seven first half in

564
00:27:02,720 --> 00:27:06,040
Speaker 11: this Michigan Wisconsin game, and I know that I'm going

565
00:27:06,080 --> 00:27:09,080
Speaker 11: to be twelve years deep calling back in afterwards saying

566
00:27:09,160 --> 00:27:11,320
Speaker 11: what was I doing?

567
00:27:12,480 --> 00:27:14,920
Speaker 6: I feel like I handicapped the first half pretty well.

568
00:27:14,920 --> 00:27:18,359
Speaker 6: Michigan didn't score a goddamn point and Joe Milton was

569
00:27:18,359 --> 00:27:21,200
Speaker 6: throwing interceptions down so Wisconsin had field position at the

570
00:27:21,200 --> 00:27:23,280
Speaker 6: twenty yard line. I don't know what to do. I mean,

571
00:27:23,400 --> 00:27:25,680
Speaker 6: taking under twenty seven and Joe Milton is handing away

572
00:27:25,680 --> 00:27:30,560
Speaker 6: fourteen points like it's Christmas presents. I'm done taking unders.

573
00:27:31,920 --> 00:27:35,120
Speaker 6: I mean I've done taking unders when Joe Milton is involved.

574
00:27:35,320 --> 00:27:37,560
Speaker 2: Ka't wait till you have a mac under later.

575
00:27:38,200 --> 00:27:41,560
Speaker 12: Well, Colin just played this fun game with my kids.

576
00:27:41,600 --> 00:27:45,200
Speaker 12: It was like, can you find a green dot on

577
00:27:45,600 --> 00:27:46,320
Speaker 12: your screen?

578
00:27:46,800 --> 00:27:50,200
Speaker 5: And the answer was negative.

579
00:27:50,119 --> 00:27:55,840
Speaker 10: Stucky handicapping Michigan State Indiana something like this. Yeah, yeah,

580
00:27:55,880 --> 00:27:58,919
Speaker 10: I think it's going to be like probably maybe not

581
00:27:59,000 --> 00:28:01,520
Speaker 10: by six and a half, but definitely by seven seven

582
00:28:01,560 --> 00:28:02,160
Speaker 10: and a half.

583
00:28:02,359 --> 00:28:04,399
Speaker 13: That's the crucial number there. I mean I ran the

584
00:28:04,520 --> 00:28:09,400
Speaker 13: numbers in like seven egals about one touchdown, So that's

585
00:28:09,440 --> 00:28:11,879
Speaker 13: pretty good. And it's really hard to say if Rocky

586
00:28:11,880 --> 00:28:14,160
Speaker 13: Lombardi's gonna throw interceptions.

587
00:28:14,480 --> 00:28:17,040
Speaker 12: It's really hard to say. It's just so hard to say.

588
00:28:17,480 --> 00:28:20,960
Speaker 13: Uh, somehow, it looks like Sparty turned the ball over

589
00:28:21,040 --> 00:28:23,480
Speaker 13: a lot before, and that is somehow good because it

590
00:28:23,520 --> 00:28:25,560
Speaker 13: means there will be a boomerang effect. They're going to

591
00:28:25,680 --> 00:28:27,000
Speaker 13: bounce back this week.

592
00:28:27,359 --> 00:28:29,199
Speaker 2: Oh yeah, all right, this guy shitting on me for

593
00:28:29,520 --> 00:28:32,480
Speaker 2: Michigan State Indiana. Yeah, shit on me. I shot on

594
00:28:32,520 --> 00:28:35,159
Speaker 2: myself maybe ten times throughout the day on Twitter. It

595
00:28:35,280 --> 00:28:37,520
Speaker 2: was one of the worst bets. I have you tied.

596
00:28:37,560 --> 00:28:38,560
Speaker 6: They're my bread records.

597
00:28:38,560 --> 00:28:41,080
Speaker 2: You talked me out of them? Sorry, you try to

598
00:28:41,120 --> 00:28:42,880
Speaker 2: talk me off of Tulsa.

599
00:28:43,000 --> 00:28:43,720
Speaker 6: What the hell happened?

600
00:28:43,760 --> 00:28:48,200
Speaker 2: LUs plus six point fifty money one Zaven Collins. Baby, Yeah,

601
00:28:48,200 --> 00:28:51,080
Speaker 2: I had a terrible call on Michigan State. I will

602
00:28:51,080 --> 00:28:54,240
Speaker 2: have many more terrible calls throughout my life. Guys, just

603
00:28:54,320 --> 00:28:58,760
Speaker 2: letting you know. Indiana, they've been running like gods turnovers,

604
00:28:59,080 --> 00:29:02,520
Speaker 2: red zone. It is been insane.

605
00:29:03,120 --> 00:29:04,920
Speaker 6: It's gonna catch up with him at some point, right,

606
00:29:04,960 --> 00:29:07,320
Speaker 6: I mean the I mean, the record looks great, but

607
00:29:07,480 --> 00:29:10,920
Speaker 6: in the inside numbers there's a very uh. They're not

608
00:29:11,000 --> 00:29:13,440
Speaker 6: blowing the world up in success right and explosiveness on

609
00:29:13,480 --> 00:29:15,400
Speaker 6: both sides of the ball. But I mean, I'm happy

610
00:29:15,400 --> 00:29:17,120
Speaker 6: for Indiana, but I mean this is gonna yeah.

611
00:29:16,960 --> 00:29:18,600
Speaker 2: I mean, but everything is going right in the red

612
00:29:18,680 --> 00:29:20,640
Speaker 2: zone and everything is going right in the tournament department.

613
00:29:20,760 --> 00:29:22,400
Speaker 6: It's gonna come to an end at some point.

614
00:29:22,920 --> 00:29:27,880
Speaker 7: Wow, this second Michigan team, and I'm guessing it's a

615
00:29:27,880 --> 00:29:28,240
Speaker 7: good thing.

616
00:29:28,320 --> 00:29:30,840
Speaker 13: Jim Harball wears Khaki because we only see job he's

617
00:29:30,840 --> 00:29:32,640
Speaker 13: gonna be able to get because working at the gap.

618
00:29:32,680 --> 00:29:35,840
Speaker 2: After this season, Michigan, I don't know what the rock

619
00:29:35,920 --> 00:29:38,360
Speaker 2: bottom is a single digit favorite. Next week at Rutgers,

620
00:29:38,520 --> 00:29:40,800
Speaker 2: they lose that game, I mean, that's he's got it

621
00:29:41,000 --> 00:29:42,120
Speaker 2: is he gonna make it to that game.

622
00:29:42,560 --> 00:29:45,760
Speaker 6: It's it's Sunday. We're recording this Sunday night. That number

623
00:29:45,800 --> 00:29:48,200
Speaker 6: came out eight and a half, and I'm just frozen.

624
00:29:48,280 --> 00:29:52,200
Speaker 6: I'm frozen. As a game, I make sixteen. I believe

625
00:29:52,480 --> 00:29:56,480
Speaker 6: sp plus makes it seventeen, maybe sixteen and a half.

626
00:29:57,080 --> 00:29:58,040
Speaker 2: We just take the under.

627
00:29:59,440 --> 00:30:01,720
Speaker 6: Yeah, this is this is a game that Sagarin has

628
00:30:01,760 --> 00:30:05,080
Speaker 6: listed at seventeen point two. Michigan minus eight and a

629
00:30:05,120 --> 00:30:08,680
Speaker 6: half if you're just an analytical junkie, is the best

630
00:30:08,760 --> 00:30:11,880
Speaker 6: value on the board for week twelve coming up. And

631
00:30:12,280 --> 00:30:14,040
Speaker 6: I don't know if I could take them. Listen, Ruggers

632
00:30:14,040 --> 00:30:16,600
Speaker 6: has regressed right that first week that was great, but

633
00:30:16,640 --> 00:30:19,520
Speaker 6: they're looking like the old school Rutgers. And for Michigan

634
00:30:19,520 --> 00:30:20,360
Speaker 6: to be off had.

635
00:30:20,360 --> 00:30:22,600
Speaker 2: Stakes, they're off that still stakes. They have no offense.

636
00:30:22,640 --> 00:30:24,960
Speaker 6: I mean, I don't know what Harbaugh should be fired

637
00:30:25,000 --> 00:30:27,640
Speaker 6: if he doesn't cover the number, not if he just

638
00:30:27,640 --> 00:30:29,360
Speaker 6: doesn't win. If he doesn't cover eight and a half,

639
00:30:30,000 --> 00:30:32,320
Speaker 6: he should be fired. And Joe Milton, man, I got it.

640
00:30:32,400 --> 00:30:34,440
Speaker 6: I don't know, God, I'm gonna get involved in this game.

641
00:30:34,720 --> 00:30:38,200
Speaker 6: Rutgers can't have they have no pass pressure whatsoever. So

642
00:30:38,320 --> 00:30:42,080
Speaker 6: Joe Milton has no excuses this weekend. Oh no, Jim,

643
00:30:42,240 --> 00:30:44,080
Speaker 6: I'm gonna spend the next four days trying to talk

644
00:30:44,160 --> 00:30:46,560
Speaker 6: myself out of betting on boat Dog Jim, and I bet.

645
00:30:46,480 --> 00:30:47,720
Speaker 2: You I'm not gonna be able to pull it off.

646
00:30:47,800 --> 00:30:49,960
Speaker 6: Shit, I can't believe I'm gonna get involved in this game.

647
00:30:50,440 --> 00:30:52,320
Speaker 2: You'll probably be on the under. You'll probably talk yourself

648
00:30:52,360 --> 00:30:55,560
Speaker 2: off of Michigan into the under. Moving on, Hey, do

649
00:30:55,680 --> 00:31:00,760
Speaker 2: me a favor, don't bleep this out. Jim Harbaugh is

650
00:31:00,800 --> 00:31:02,040
Speaker 2: the mother for that.

651
00:31:03,680 --> 00:31:07,200
Speaker 7: I've lost more money on that mother since the day

652
00:31:07,240 --> 00:31:09,200
Speaker 7: he set foot in Michigan.

653
00:31:08,760 --> 00:31:14,800
Speaker 8: With his stupid mother Kaki ants and glasses that can't.

654
00:31:14,520 --> 00:31:18,000
Speaker 7: Cover for I hope he doesn't even come out of

655
00:31:18,040 --> 00:31:19,560
Speaker 7: the tunnel for the second half.

656
00:31:19,640 --> 00:31:21,800
Speaker 3: This piece of the.

657
00:31:22,440 --> 00:31:23,680
Speaker 7: Gotta be gone.

658
00:31:23,800 --> 00:31:27,000
Speaker 8: Go back to the Niners where you at least want

659
00:31:27,040 --> 00:31:27,480
Speaker 8: some shit.

660
00:31:27,800 --> 00:31:33,000
Speaker 7: What a pathetic mother.

661
00:31:34,480 --> 00:31:39,000
Speaker 3: I just stayed up until two in the morning. Over

662
00:31:39,160 --> 00:31:46,160
Speaker 3: fifty one Oregon State Washington forty five points in the

663
00:31:46,280 --> 00:31:50,520
Speaker 3: first half, the Pac twelve rest can go off, and

664
00:31:50,640 --> 00:31:53,880
Speaker 3: my god, what a disaster.

665
00:31:54,600 --> 00:31:57,840
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, Colin, we're gonna the next the next

666
00:31:57,840 --> 00:31:59,040
Speaker 2: big ten first half, I.

667
00:31:59,040 --> 00:32:00,960
Speaker 8: Know you like, we're gonna We're just gonna start Martin

668
00:32:01,000 --> 00:32:03,480
Speaker 8: gale In this just doubling up.

669
00:32:03,640 --> 00:32:06,040
Speaker 7: Eventually we're gonna hit We're gonna hit one.

670
00:32:06,560 --> 00:32:09,680
Speaker 2: First half Big ten under we are the most do

671
00:32:09,920 --> 00:32:14,400
Speaker 2: people in the history of North American history.

672
00:32:15,120 --> 00:32:16,320
Speaker 3: Yeah, I said history.

673
00:32:16,000 --> 00:32:20,840
Speaker 2: Twice, trying to do boiler makers and hurricanes and car

674
00:32:20,920 --> 00:32:22,560
Speaker 2: bombs to get winners home.

675
00:32:23,320 --> 00:32:25,160
Speaker 7: What's first half Big ten on the two?

676
00:32:25,200 --> 00:32:30,960
Speaker 2: Like next week topic number one on the podcast Someday Night. Shit,

677
00:32:31,040 --> 00:32:33,160
Speaker 2: I forgot that was topic number one. Well that'll be

678
00:32:33,160 --> 00:32:36,960
Speaker 2: topic number one on Thursday. Thanks everyone for your voicemails.

679
00:32:37,200 --> 00:32:39,200
Speaker 2: Let's see. I mean my weekend overall was I just

680
00:32:39,800 --> 00:32:43,240
Speaker 2: pretty much broke even. And because I was lucky, I

681
00:32:43,280 --> 00:32:46,200
Speaker 2: went twelve thirteen to one, and I just got lucky.

682
00:32:46,400 --> 00:32:48,520
Speaker 2: I got unlucky in Va Tech. That's stung, and that

683
00:32:48,720 --> 00:32:51,440
Speaker 2: stung the round robin. I had VA Tech minus two,

684
00:32:51,520 --> 00:32:53,520
Speaker 2: I had Vo Tech in the round robin, but I

685
00:32:53,560 --> 00:32:58,040
Speaker 2: got unc Live money line plus three sixty Illinois under

686
00:32:58,160 --> 00:33:00,240
Speaker 2: was actually lucky even though it was twenty three to twenty.

687
00:33:00,640 --> 00:33:03,320
Speaker 2: Vance Boxcoo puts that at like sixty points. I mean,

688
00:33:03,480 --> 00:33:07,240
Speaker 2: do you tap minor Nation didn't call. We're talking minor

689
00:33:07,360 --> 00:33:11,480
Speaker 2: nation out in the West. Dixon Town of l past

690
00:33:11,560 --> 00:33:15,920
Speaker 2: so picks up. What the fuck? I just realized that

691
00:33:16,320 --> 00:33:19,200
Speaker 2: no call for Minor Nation. They get rolled. I took your.

692
00:33:19,000 --> 00:33:21,680
Speaker 6: Boys without Sincere McCormick.

693
00:33:21,440 --> 00:33:23,320
Speaker 2: With Alan mccorgy are the best bats, and then you

694
00:33:23,360 --> 00:33:26,840
Speaker 2: lose fifty two to twenty one. No call man up

695
00:33:27,280 --> 00:33:29,760
Speaker 2: Minor Nation, free money every week, and you don't call

696
00:33:29,800 --> 00:33:33,160
Speaker 2: when they get blown out? Disappointed in you, bro BC

697
00:33:33,760 --> 00:33:36,880
Speaker 2: plus four second half and plus fourteen push Talk about

698
00:33:36,960 --> 00:33:38,720
Speaker 2: luck there? You know any car bombs I had to

699
00:33:38,760 --> 00:33:41,560
Speaker 2: do to get that home? Purdue a bad call. They

700
00:33:41,600 --> 00:33:44,760
Speaker 2: got dominated. I mean Rundell Moore being out didn't help us. Tulsa.

701
00:33:45,200 --> 00:33:47,200
Speaker 2: I mean I had Tulsa minus two and a half,

702
00:33:47,240 --> 00:33:50,200
Speaker 2: Tulsa plus eleven live, Tulsa plus six fifty live. I

703
00:33:50,240 --> 00:33:52,120
Speaker 2: mean they were getting unlucky, but I didn't think they

704
00:33:52,120 --> 00:33:54,360
Speaker 2: were gonna come all the way back. So yeah, I

705
00:33:54,360 --> 00:33:56,360
Speaker 2: mean I broke even but a lot of luck to

706
00:33:56,400 --> 00:34:00,760
Speaker 2: get there. So pretty shitty capped card overall, a good

707
00:34:00,800 --> 00:34:06,160
Speaker 2: MAC week, though I love I love Mation where it's

708
00:34:06,160 --> 00:34:08,839
Speaker 2: called half the utap. I'll take the fall for Minor Nation,

709
00:34:09,040 --> 00:34:13,160
Speaker 2: not that or Sparty, just embarrassing. Best call is probably Illinois.

710
00:34:13,239 --> 00:34:14,760
Speaker 2: I mean I wrote that up as my best bet.

711
00:34:14,920 --> 00:34:16,399
Speaker 2: I said, we said that the lin should be around.

712
00:34:16,480 --> 00:34:21,080
Speaker 2: Pick seven was crazy and Rutgers offense is terrible. Illinois

713
00:34:21,120 --> 00:34:23,360
Speaker 2: can win this game, which they did, So that's my

714
00:34:23,440 --> 00:34:23,919
Speaker 2: best call.

715
00:34:24,520 --> 00:34:26,400
Speaker 1: Every gambler knows that feeling.

716
00:34:27,080 --> 00:34:33,719
Speaker 2: Let's talk that regret, that regret you had see wake over.

717
00:34:34,040 --> 00:34:35,719
Speaker 2: You're kidding me. It's an arena game.

718
00:34:36,320 --> 00:34:39,520
Speaker 6: Yeah, I mean, I'll split my best bets between you know, Wisconsin,

719
00:34:39,760 --> 00:34:42,040
Speaker 6: you know, Graham Mertz coming back and winning that game easily.

720
00:34:42,800 --> 00:34:45,200
Speaker 6: Notre Dame, which I harped on big time. I mean,

721
00:34:45,239 --> 00:34:47,040
Speaker 6: I I swear to God if I've turned on my

722
00:34:47,080 --> 00:34:48,920
Speaker 6: TV and here one more time when Notre Dames in

723
00:34:48,960 --> 00:34:51,799
Speaker 6: a hangover spot. I mean, yeah, we know everybody knows.

724
00:34:51,840 --> 00:34:55,879
Speaker 6: Bookmakers definitely know. So yeah, Notre Dame. And Nebraska, which

725
00:34:56,120 --> 00:34:58,479
Speaker 6: got our money line one piece of our money line there,

726
00:34:58,560 --> 00:35:01,120
Speaker 6: and uh, you know it's I'm not really proud of

727
00:35:01,120 --> 00:35:03,720
Speaker 6: that Nebraska one because they were doubled up in yards

728
00:35:04,280 --> 00:35:06,840
Speaker 6: penn States really having some issues right now. They're definitely

729
00:35:07,160 --> 00:35:07,880
Speaker 6: I can't say.

730
00:35:07,719 --> 00:35:09,719
Speaker 2: The Penntates they'd opted out of the season yet, no,

731
00:35:09,760 --> 00:35:11,759
Speaker 2: but they didn't came back, so they didn't quit. They

732
00:35:11,760 --> 00:35:12,239
Speaker 2: didn't quit.

733
00:35:12,320 --> 00:35:14,399
Speaker 6: They haven't quit, so I saw I can't. I can't

734
00:35:14,400 --> 00:35:15,920
Speaker 6: look at them and say they've quit on the season.

735
00:35:15,960 --> 00:35:18,480
Speaker 6: So it's not an automatic bet against because they played

736
00:35:18,480 --> 00:35:20,359
Speaker 6: the entire way and there was a turnover that turned

737
00:35:20,400 --> 00:35:22,480
Speaker 6: into some points there that really made the difference. So

738
00:35:22,880 --> 00:35:25,000
Speaker 6: you know, bet regret. I've already said it was Indiana,

739
00:35:25,080 --> 00:35:27,239
Speaker 6: Like I mean, just everything inside of me was like,

740
00:35:27,280 --> 00:35:28,960
Speaker 6: you gotta be on Indiana, and I didn't bet a

741
00:35:29,040 --> 00:35:31,600
Speaker 6: damn dime on it. Worst call. I don't know, you

742
00:35:31,600 --> 00:35:34,000
Speaker 6: guys want to take your collection of unders that come out.

743
00:35:34,040 --> 00:35:36,040
Speaker 6: I mean, I took an under on Arkansas.

744
00:35:36,440 --> 00:35:39,080
Speaker 2: That's the dumbest fucking bet I ever heard of, you know.

745
00:35:39,160 --> 00:35:40,920
Speaker 6: And the thing is is, if you guys see the

746
00:35:40,920 --> 00:35:43,200
Speaker 6: matchup matrix that I put out in the writing pieces,

747
00:35:43,360 --> 00:35:46,800
Speaker 6: it looks bad. Arkansas's numbers are bad, Tackling is bad,

748
00:35:46,920 --> 00:35:51,160
Speaker 6: coverage is bad against explosiveness in the rush game bad.

749
00:35:51,480 --> 00:35:54,480
Speaker 6: And uh, you know, I'm still here running with the flag.

750
00:35:54,560 --> 00:35:56,160
Speaker 6: So I think I need to chill out a little

751
00:35:56,160 --> 00:35:59,480
Speaker 6: bit on Arkansas and especially taking unders. When a team

752
00:35:59,520 --> 00:36:01,680
Speaker 6: can't tackle, a team can't tackle, I can't be taking

753
00:36:01,719 --> 00:36:02,120
Speaker 6: it under.

754
00:36:02,360 --> 00:36:09,600
Speaker 2: Man offense. So that extingly about that SEC, that SEC

755
00:36:09,760 --> 00:36:10,239
Speaker 2: title game.

756
00:36:10,280 --> 00:36:13,480
Speaker 6: My SEC futures that total with Alabama's got I mean,

757
00:36:14,320 --> 00:36:17,080
Speaker 6: if anybody posts anything under eighty. And now the chance

758
00:36:17,120 --> 00:36:18,640
Speaker 6: that Jalen Waddle, do you read the news that he's

759
00:36:18,640 --> 00:36:20,040
Speaker 6: out of a cast and he could back be back

760
00:36:20,040 --> 00:36:22,160
Speaker 6: for the college football playoff, I mean, if we get more,

761
00:36:22,840 --> 00:36:26,360
Speaker 6: I mean, why not the SEC championship game, we'll see.

762
00:36:26,560 --> 00:36:30,279
Speaker 2: Trash Nation, baby Pitts Nations. I drive I should say,

763
00:36:30,920 --> 00:36:34,440
Speaker 2: I don't think there's anything else worth mention. I mean,

764
00:36:34,520 --> 00:36:36,960
Speaker 2: just in so many canceled games, I.

765
00:36:36,880 --> 00:36:39,200
Speaker 6: Think it's worth mentioning that UCLA is can put a

766
00:36:39,320 --> 00:36:42,000
Speaker 6: ton of damn points on the board really fast, like

767
00:36:42,040 --> 00:36:44,920
Speaker 6: they have some extremely good skilled positions. And Col's defense,

768
00:36:45,160 --> 00:36:46,960
Speaker 6: I don't know if it's rust or we had to,

769
00:36:47,200 --> 00:36:50,640
Speaker 6: you know, change who we were playing two days in advance.

770
00:36:50,840 --> 00:36:54,959
Speaker 6: Col's defense is no pushover and UCLA can absolutely throw

771
00:36:55,000 --> 00:36:56,680
Speaker 6: points up on anybody. I mean, they were down by

772
00:36:56,719 --> 00:36:59,200
Speaker 6: like thirty five to Colorado and close that gap and

773
00:36:59,239 --> 00:37:01,760
Speaker 6: an instant second. So keep your eyes on Ucla overs.

774
00:37:01,880 --> 00:37:03,680
Speaker 2: Yeah, all right, it's trying to move on to some

775
00:37:03,760 --> 00:37:08,000
Speaker 2: weekday college football. Try to find some winners with some maction.

776
00:37:08,880 --> 00:37:10,920
Speaker 2: I don't think we have any Thursday night football. We'll

777
00:37:10,960 --> 00:37:15,440
Speaker 2: be talking about Thursday Night NFL football on our NFL

778
00:37:15,520 --> 00:37:20,320
Speaker 2: Betting Preview episode, which will come out on Thursday morning.

779
00:37:20,680 --> 00:37:23,720
Speaker 2: Our College Football Week twelve betting prev for the weekend

780
00:37:23,719 --> 00:37:26,799
Speaker 2: will come out on Friday morning overnight Thursday. I some

781
00:37:26,880 --> 00:37:29,280
Speaker 2: giveaways to do later too, so remind me on that.

782
00:37:29,880 --> 00:37:32,920
Speaker 6: How beautiful is maction? How beautiful is maction?

783
00:37:33,440 --> 00:37:37,120
Speaker 2: Oh Man? Just when we thought we had peak maction, well,

784
00:37:37,160 --> 00:37:39,680
Speaker 2: Tuesday night with Ohio I was canceled. That was the

785
00:37:39,719 --> 00:37:42,680
Speaker 2: best game because now that leaves us with Akron plus

786
00:37:42,760 --> 00:37:45,919
Speaker 2: twenty two and a half at bet MGM over under

787
00:37:45,960 --> 00:37:48,520
Speaker 2: fifty nine and a half at Kent State, and Bowling

788
00:37:48,560 --> 00:37:51,919
Speaker 2: Green is at home catching thirty and a half over

789
00:37:52,040 --> 00:37:53,920
Speaker 2: under sixty and a half the Buffalo and Buffalo has

790
00:37:53,920 --> 00:37:57,120
Speaker 2: been really fortunate and a number of a number of

791
00:37:57,160 --> 00:38:00,680
Speaker 2: different areas. Their defense has just not looked great. They've

792
00:38:00,760 --> 00:38:03,040
Speaker 2: benefited from a lot of turnovers. But you can't. You

793
00:38:03,080 --> 00:38:05,839
Speaker 2: cannot bet Bowling Green. People telling you maybe you can't

794
00:38:05,840 --> 00:38:07,440
Speaker 2: hear with them if you call him you want to.

795
00:38:07,560 --> 00:38:10,399
Speaker 2: I'm not betting Bowling Green once all year the team

796
00:38:10,520 --> 00:38:14,359
Speaker 2: is so bad. Matt McDonald is so bad he can't

797
00:38:14,400 --> 00:38:16,719
Speaker 2: It looks like he's never thrown a football before. I mean,

798
00:38:16,760 --> 00:38:20,080
Speaker 2: their team has made up a wall freshman. Just no thanks,

799
00:38:20,280 --> 00:38:23,320
Speaker 2: I can't bet them, So what do you I'm probably

800
00:38:23,360 --> 00:38:25,000
Speaker 2: not going to bet either of these games, but to

801
00:38:25,120 --> 00:38:25,799
Speaker 2: help us out here.

802
00:38:25,960 --> 00:38:27,520
Speaker 6: Yeah, So if we take a look at Bowling Green

803
00:38:27,560 --> 00:38:29,640
Speaker 6: what they did last week, they went fifteen percent success

804
00:38:29,719 --> 00:38:32,440
Speaker 6: rate in passing downs, Matt McDonald six for twenty four,

805
00:38:32,400 --> 00:38:34,920
Speaker 6: one hundred and five yards. That's two weeks in a

806
00:38:35,000 --> 00:38:37,440
Speaker 6: row where he's posted maybe an FBS all time worse

807
00:38:37,840 --> 00:38:40,480
Speaker 6: in success rate, and his throwing motion is finally getting

808
00:38:40,520 --> 00:38:42,480
Speaker 6: some action on the Twitter, like it's one of the

809
00:38:42,480 --> 00:38:44,680
Speaker 6: worst things I've ever seen. Bowling Green was just two

810
00:38:44,680 --> 00:38:48,120
Speaker 6: of thirteen on third downs. I wanted to fade Buffalo

811
00:38:48,640 --> 00:38:51,239
Speaker 6: because of how lucky they were against NIU, and then

812
00:38:51,280 --> 00:38:55,319
Speaker 6: they just absolutely blew Miami of Ohio out of the water.

813
00:38:55,360 --> 00:38:57,879
Speaker 6: They turned Miam Ohio interception into a seventy eight yard

814
00:38:57,960 --> 00:39:00,960
Speaker 6: TD on the next play. That the one big difference

815
00:39:00,960 --> 00:39:04,880
Speaker 6: in that game. Buffalo, you know their past explosiveness. They

816
00:39:04,920 --> 00:39:07,359
Speaker 6: now rank seventh in the nation. So if you're thinking

817
00:39:07,400 --> 00:39:09,920
Speaker 6: about getting smart and taking bowling Green in this game.

818
00:39:10,200 --> 00:39:12,480
Speaker 6: Let me tell you a couple of reasons why you shouldn't.

819
00:39:12,920 --> 00:39:16,399
Speaker 6: Buffalo seventh in the nation, and pass explosiveness bowling Green

820
00:39:16,440 --> 00:39:19,360
Speaker 6: is one hundred and twenty fifth, and defending that bowling

821
00:39:19,400 --> 00:39:22,520
Speaker 6: Green grades one hundred and twenty fourth and pff, tackling

822
00:39:23,040 --> 00:39:25,520
Speaker 6: not good one hundred nineteenth in coverage, one hundred and

823
00:39:25,560 --> 00:39:29,000
Speaker 6: twenty fourth in defensive finishing drives. If Buffalo wants to

824
00:39:29,000 --> 00:39:30,960
Speaker 6: score fifty, they can score fifty. If they want to

825
00:39:30,960 --> 00:39:32,680
Speaker 6: score thirty five, they can score thirty five. And if

826
00:39:32,680 --> 00:39:34,959
Speaker 6: they want to score seventy five, they've got a pretty

827
00:39:35,000 --> 00:39:37,480
Speaker 6: good chance here to do it. I don't see any

828
00:39:37,520 --> 00:39:41,040
Speaker 6: weather concerns here. The total, you know, opened up around

829
00:39:41,120 --> 00:39:43,839
Speaker 6: the mid fifties. It's zoomed up to sixty one. This

830
00:39:43,920 --> 00:39:46,400
Speaker 6: is a number that, yeah, I see, thirty three degrees,

831
00:39:46,800 --> 00:39:49,480
Speaker 6: thirteen mile an hour wins. Listen, Buffalo can hit you

832
00:39:49,560 --> 00:39:51,480
Speaker 6: through the air and on the ground of Van Trees

833
00:39:51,520 --> 00:39:56,200
Speaker 6: and Patterson, So listen, it's just going to be really,

834
00:39:56,200 --> 00:39:58,839
Speaker 6: what does Buffalo want to do here, because Bowling Green

835
00:39:58,960 --> 00:40:01,600
Speaker 6: is inept at do anything. The one thing I will

836
00:40:01,640 --> 00:40:03,640
Speaker 6: say about taking an under in this game, which I

837
00:40:03,680 --> 00:40:06,120
Speaker 6: don't think you should do. I mean, my projection, if

838
00:40:06,120 --> 00:40:07,840
Speaker 6: you look on the pacer report is going to be below

839
00:40:07,880 --> 00:40:11,040
Speaker 6: the sixty one. But that's because Buffalo. That's because Bowling

840
00:40:11,080 --> 00:40:13,279
Speaker 6: Green can't hold their part up they can.

841
00:40:13,360 --> 00:40:15,000
Speaker 2: Buffalo is a snail. Buffalo.

842
00:40:15,000 --> 00:40:16,799
Speaker 6: Oh okay, so Buffalo is a snail. This is what

843
00:40:16,840 --> 00:40:18,440
Speaker 6: I was gonna say. Buffalo is a snail at one

844
00:40:18,520 --> 00:40:21,200
Speaker 6: hundred and thirteenth and seconds per play. But how does

845
00:40:21,239 --> 00:40:24,040
Speaker 6: Bowling Green run? They're twenty first in the nation. They're

846
00:40:24,040 --> 00:40:26,640
Speaker 6: an ultra quick, fast offense, so what does that mean?

847
00:40:27,040 --> 00:40:30,719
Speaker 6: Buffalo may have increased possessions in this game, then they're

848
00:40:30,800 --> 00:40:34,040
Speaker 6: used to. I wouldn't want to even try and think

849
00:40:34,040 --> 00:40:37,120
Speaker 6: about sniffing the under in this game. It's all about

850
00:40:37,280 --> 00:40:39,239
Speaker 6: Buffalo and how many points they want to put up,

851
00:40:39,280 --> 00:40:41,680
Speaker 6: because if Bowling Green's gonna run tempo and get nothing

852
00:40:41,719 --> 00:40:44,680
Speaker 6: out of it, then you're gonna give Buffalo sixteen possessions

853
00:40:44,680 --> 00:40:46,640
Speaker 6: in this game, which could equal sixty points.

854
00:40:46,880 --> 00:40:49,720
Speaker 2: Yeah. I mean, the kid none for Buffalo is really

855
00:40:49,719 --> 00:40:52,040
Speaker 2: good too. The one thing they note with Buffalo is

856
00:40:52,040 --> 00:40:55,719
Speaker 2: their special teams are dumpster fire just so bad in

857
00:40:55,760 --> 00:40:58,360
Speaker 2: every phase anything an Acron. Are you gonna have Acron?

858
00:40:58,560 --> 00:41:01,600
Speaker 6: I mean looking at Akron number opened up, you know,

859
00:41:01,719 --> 00:41:03,640
Speaker 6: and floated up to twenty four. And this is a

860
00:41:03,719 --> 00:41:05,800
Speaker 6: number that I had to keep myself off of today,

861
00:41:05,880 --> 00:41:09,120
Speaker 6: Like I bet Akron two weeks ago, thinking you know,

862
00:41:09,280 --> 00:41:12,480
Speaker 6: stocks too, you know, it's just too much, it's too much. Well,

863
00:41:13,160 --> 00:41:15,440
Speaker 6: there were some positives that I took away from the

864
00:41:15,480 --> 00:41:20,320
Speaker 6: Akron game last week, and primarily, you know, they were

865
00:41:20,360 --> 00:41:24,040
Speaker 6: getting some pressure on a quarterback, they were stopping some runs.

866
00:41:24,800 --> 00:41:27,839
Speaker 6: I saw some advantages in their own rush game. They

867
00:41:27,880 --> 00:41:30,080
Speaker 6: ranked number one in the country in power success rate.

868
00:41:30,440 --> 00:41:32,120
Speaker 6: So if you look at some of the notes, Akron

869
00:41:32,160 --> 00:41:35,360
Speaker 6: had a seventy eight percent postgame win expectancy against Ohio.

870
00:41:35,600 --> 00:41:38,000
Speaker 6: They actually had a really great game. They just couldn't

871
00:41:38,000 --> 00:41:40,280
Speaker 6: convert any points. They're one hundred ninth and finishing drives

872
00:41:40,320 --> 00:41:44,400
Speaker 6: on offense. Akron controlled the trench. I was shocked against Ohio.

873
00:41:44,480 --> 00:41:47,080
Speaker 6: Akron now gained Ohio four hundred and thirty five yards

874
00:41:47,080 --> 00:41:49,440
Speaker 6: to three hundred and seven, but they had three turnovers

875
00:41:49,440 --> 00:41:53,080
Speaker 6: that resulted in Ohio touchdown and two miss field goals.

876
00:41:54,080 --> 00:41:56,960
Speaker 6: Kentis eleventh and seconds per play. Akron is able to

877
00:41:57,000 --> 00:41:59,640
Speaker 6: move the ball on offense, and if you look at

878
00:41:59,719 --> 00:42:03,680
Speaker 6: Kansas D they're terrible defending rush explosiveness and they're eighty

879
00:42:03,680 --> 00:42:07,280
Speaker 6: fourth against pass explosiveness, they're almost dead last, and defensive havoc,

880
00:42:07,320 --> 00:42:09,560
Speaker 6: They're not going to stop Achron from moving the ball.

881
00:42:09,840 --> 00:42:12,040
Speaker 6: So I think, for me, I'm gonna give a heavy

882
00:42:12,040 --> 00:42:15,200
Speaker 6: look at the over in this, especially considering what Kent

883
00:42:15,320 --> 00:42:17,879
Speaker 6: did last week against Bowling Green and continuing to run

884
00:42:17,920 --> 00:42:20,080
Speaker 6: tempo and put points up on the board. I think

885
00:42:20,120 --> 00:42:22,239
Speaker 6: Ackron's gonna have some success. If they can turn some

886
00:42:22,280 --> 00:42:24,200
Speaker 6: of these scoring opportunities out, it should be an over

887
00:42:24,280 --> 00:42:24,839
Speaker 6: game all the way.

888
00:42:25,880 --> 00:42:28,200
Speaker 14: Hope you're enjoying this great Action network podcast. I want

889
00:42:28,200 --> 00:42:30,800
Speaker 14: to make sure you know about the Locked On podcast network.

890
00:42:30,840 --> 00:42:33,759
Speaker 14: Locked on as a daily podcast on your favorite team.

891
00:42:33,920 --> 00:42:36,120
Speaker 2: Welcome to you, Lockdown forty nine ers. You are locked

892
00:42:36,120 --> 00:42:37,080
Speaker 2: own of the Dallas matterge.

893
00:42:37,080 --> 00:42:39,160
Speaker 6: Welcome everybody to the Lockdown Lakers podcast.

894
00:42:39,360 --> 00:42:39,919
Speaker 2: Let's Go.

895
00:42:40,200 --> 00:42:43,080
Speaker 14: Locked On podcasts are hosted by the local experts who

896
00:42:43,160 --> 00:42:45,360
Speaker 14: know your team better than anyone and give you the

897
00:42:45,440 --> 00:42:48,160
Speaker 14: inside scoop. So go to your podcast app and search

898
00:42:48,400 --> 00:42:52,719
Speaker 14: locked On your favorite team. Subscribe to your locked on podcast.

899
00:42:56,480 --> 00:43:01,680
Speaker 2: All right, let's move on to Wednesday night Man at BETMGM,

900
00:43:01,719 --> 00:43:04,200
Speaker 2: Toledo is a six and a half point favorite. One

901
00:43:04,200 --> 00:43:05,680
Speaker 2: in one. Toledo is a six and a half point

902
00:43:05,680 --> 00:43:08,720
Speaker 2: favorite at Eastern Michigan over under fifty eight and a half.

903
00:43:09,160 --> 00:43:12,520
Speaker 2: Eastern Michigan is zero and two to start the year.

904
00:43:13,080 --> 00:43:18,160
Speaker 2: Seen some decent things from Hutchinson at quarterback. As a dog,

905
00:43:18,280 --> 00:43:21,120
Speaker 2: Eastern Michigan is always going to be pretty feisty. This

906
00:43:21,239 --> 00:43:24,080
Speaker 2: game's in Ipsilanti. It's thirty forty degrees ten mile a hour.

907
00:43:24,120 --> 00:43:28,880
Speaker 2: Wins any interest here in potential live home dog in

908
00:43:28,880 --> 00:43:32,120
Speaker 2: Eastern Michigan. The Toledo game, by the way, people Toledo

909
00:43:32,200 --> 00:43:32,800
Speaker 2: game alert.

910
00:43:33,040 --> 00:43:34,880
Speaker 6: Yeah, I mean I like eas Eastern Michigan when it

911
00:43:34,880 --> 00:43:36,040
Speaker 6: was a seven and a half, so I took a

912
00:43:36,080 --> 00:43:37,640
Speaker 6: little bit of that on the open and the plan

913
00:43:37,800 --> 00:43:39,359
Speaker 6: was to come back on Toledo if I need to

914
00:43:39,440 --> 00:43:42,360
Speaker 6: later on. You know, this is a game I project

915
00:43:42,560 --> 00:43:45,000
Speaker 6: at five and a half, so I think anything over

916
00:43:45,160 --> 00:43:48,879
Speaker 6: a touchdown or at a touchdown with Chris Creighton is good.

917
00:43:48,960 --> 00:43:51,759
Speaker 6: I mean I wrote in the article last week about

918
00:43:51,800 --> 00:43:54,160
Speaker 6: Eastern Michigan and Chris Creighton when he is listed as

919
00:43:54,160 --> 00:43:58,720
Speaker 6: an underdog. I believe he's twenty six and eleven against

920
00:43:58,760 --> 00:44:00,640
Speaker 6: the spread. I mean, this is just a guy you

921
00:44:00,960 --> 00:44:03,480
Speaker 6: don't want to bet against when he's an underdog like this.

922
00:44:03,600 --> 00:44:05,600
Speaker 6: So here we are again. You know some of the

923
00:44:05,640 --> 00:44:08,879
Speaker 6: notes on this game that I had Eastern Michigan lead

924
00:44:08,880 --> 00:44:10,960
Speaker 6: ball stayed up until the fourth quarter, and they allowed

925
00:44:10,960 --> 00:44:14,160
Speaker 6: seventeen points, you know, and lost by seven. So this

926
00:44:14,239 --> 00:44:16,920
Speaker 6: Preston Hutchinson kid has turned into a red zone weapon.

927
00:44:17,040 --> 00:44:19,440
Speaker 6: Like he's turned into a third down and red zone weapon.

928
00:44:19,440 --> 00:44:21,640
Speaker 6: I mean, he is turned into the draw master the

929
00:44:21,719 --> 00:44:23,479
Speaker 6: kid is. I mean he's only six two and doesn't

930
00:44:23,480 --> 00:44:26,160
Speaker 6: weigh that much, but he's converted everything for them. He's

931
00:44:26,200 --> 00:44:28,200
Speaker 6: such an MVP. If you look at some of Eastern

932
00:44:28,239 --> 00:44:31,480
Speaker 6: Michigan's numbers right now, I mean there's seventeenth in offensive

933
00:44:31,480 --> 00:44:34,120
Speaker 6: finishing drives, top twenty in the nation, and it's because

934
00:44:34,120 --> 00:44:37,080
Speaker 6: Preston Hutchinson is getting that ball and just running it

935
00:44:37,120 --> 00:44:39,960
Speaker 6: straight in from shotgun. So it's definitely something to watch

936
00:44:40,000 --> 00:44:43,400
Speaker 6: against a soft Toledo front. Toledo, I don't know how

937
00:44:43,480 --> 00:44:44,399
Speaker 6: you recover from that game.

938
00:44:44,480 --> 00:44:44,919
Speaker 2: Last week.

939
00:44:45,200 --> 00:44:47,839
Speaker 6: Toledo held Western Michigan to two of ten on third down,

940
00:44:48,000 --> 00:44:49,879
Speaker 6: but they had a complete breakdown in the fourth quarter,

941
00:44:49,920 --> 00:44:52,239
Speaker 6: allowing twenty points to go up there. Like I said,

942
00:44:52,239 --> 00:44:53,719
Speaker 6: this is a game. My power rate is a little

943
00:44:53,719 --> 00:44:55,160
Speaker 6: bit less than a touchdown. And think you can get

944
00:44:55,160 --> 00:44:58,040
Speaker 6: Eastern Michigan at seven or better is definitely the look

945
00:44:58,120 --> 00:45:00,319
Speaker 6: anything from six or below you look at Twedo.

946
00:45:00,680 --> 00:45:05,160
Speaker 2: Also on Wednesday night, we have my favorite team still

947
00:45:05,160 --> 00:45:07,640
Speaker 2: alive to get to the MAC Championchibata that come back

948
00:45:07,680 --> 00:45:12,520
Speaker 2: against Eastern Michigan. Referring to ball State. Ball State fall

949
00:45:12,520 --> 00:45:14,560
Speaker 2: State is a thirteen and a half point home favorite

950
00:45:14,640 --> 00:45:18,000
Speaker 2: against Northern Illinois over under sixty two and a half. Look,

951
00:45:18,040 --> 00:45:20,560
Speaker 2: I love the ball State offense. I thought the defense.

952
00:45:20,600 --> 00:45:23,520
Speaker 2: I like their corners with Phillips and Uladima. I thought

953
00:45:23,520 --> 00:45:25,200
Speaker 2: that the defense is gonna be better. I mean it's

954
00:45:25,239 --> 00:45:28,640
Speaker 2: just so soft up front in that front seven. But

955
00:45:28,719 --> 00:45:32,120
Speaker 2: Northern Illinois, man, I mean this team. I know that

956
00:45:32,160 --> 00:45:35,320
Speaker 2: they got unlucky a little bit against Buffalo, but last week,

957
00:45:35,760 --> 00:45:38,680
Speaker 2: I mean they couldn't gain a yard. It was one

958
00:45:38,719 --> 00:45:42,680
Speaker 2: of the most pathetic offensive they played. They played at

959
00:45:42,680 --> 00:45:44,920
Speaker 2: home against Central Michigan. They lost forty to ten. They

960
00:45:44,960 --> 00:45:47,960
Speaker 2: scored a late touchdown, put up some late garbage yards

961
00:45:47,960 --> 00:45:49,520
Speaker 2: but at one point they had like one hundred yards

962
00:45:49,560 --> 00:45:53,319
Speaker 2: through three quarters. Who's disgusting. I might lay it here thoughts.

963
00:45:53,440 --> 00:45:56,080
Speaker 6: That's my thought, But I don't know where this Northern

964
00:45:56,080 --> 00:45:58,680
Speaker 6: Illinois team is coming from. There was a fifteen posted

965
00:45:58,719 --> 00:46:00,359
Speaker 6: out there, and it's come down to thirty team as

966
00:46:00,400 --> 00:46:02,399
Speaker 6: you and I are recording this, and that's I don't

967
00:46:02,400 --> 00:46:05,120
Speaker 6: know who's trying to back Thomas Hammock, who's down thirty

968
00:46:05,160 --> 00:46:07,800
Speaker 6: three zero to Central Michigan late in the fourth quarter

969
00:46:07,840 --> 00:46:10,000
Speaker 6: and decides to kick a field goal. I don't I

970
00:46:10,000 --> 00:46:13,600
Speaker 6: still can't understand how that was. So, you know, if

971
00:46:13,640 --> 00:46:15,920
Speaker 6: I look at the notes in this, I mean, Northern

972
00:46:15,960 --> 00:46:18,960
Speaker 6: Illinois had zero explosive plays against Central Michigan. And give

973
00:46:19,000 --> 00:46:20,719
Speaker 6: Central Michigan credit. They're good, I mean, they're a good

974
00:46:20,719 --> 00:46:23,640
Speaker 6: defense for the conference. But Northern Illinois had one run

975
00:46:23,680 --> 00:46:26,280
Speaker 6: over twenty yards, they only had two passes over twenty yards.

976
00:46:26,520 --> 00:46:30,040
Speaker 6: They only achieved twenty five percent of available yards at

977
00:46:30,040 --> 00:46:33,480
Speaker 6: the national average is like forty one percent. So I

978
00:46:33,520 --> 00:46:35,640
Speaker 6: have no faith in Northern Illinois. I'm off the Northern

979
00:46:35,680 --> 00:46:37,880
Speaker 6: Illinois train again. After you know, they were able to,

980
00:46:38,239 --> 00:46:40,360
Speaker 6: you know, move the ball over the place against Buffalo

981
00:46:40,400 --> 00:46:42,719
Speaker 6: they just fumbled the ball five times, you know balls.

982
00:46:42,760 --> 00:46:44,640
Speaker 6: They put up seventeen the fourth quarter. They have you know,

983
00:46:44,800 --> 00:46:47,439
Speaker 6: Drew Plitt. They have a highly explosive offense. They're number

984
00:46:47,440 --> 00:46:50,520
Speaker 6: two in rushing success rate on offense. They're number one

985
00:46:50,840 --> 00:46:53,280
Speaker 6: in power success rate on offense, fifth in the line yards.

986
00:46:53,520 --> 00:46:55,759
Speaker 6: I think, I mean, there's there's reasons here why I

987
00:46:55,800 --> 00:46:58,719
Speaker 6: love ball State. There's sixth they're graded out sixth in

988
00:46:58,760 --> 00:47:01,160
Speaker 6: the country and tackling on the defensive side of the ball,

989
00:47:01,560 --> 00:47:04,560
Speaker 6: and they're eighth and seconds per play. I love ball State.

990
00:47:05,160 --> 00:47:07,480
Speaker 6: There's nothing in here that tells me that Northern Illinois

991
00:47:07,520 --> 00:47:08,799
Speaker 6: is going to be able to hang around it. I

992
00:47:08,840 --> 00:47:11,640
Speaker 6: do project this at about eleven a point game, So

993
00:47:11,680 --> 00:47:13,600
Speaker 6: maybe I hang back and see what this Northern Illinois

994
00:47:13,640 --> 00:47:15,600
Speaker 6: team is all about and maybe see if there's what

995
00:47:15,640 --> 00:47:18,440
Speaker 6: we call shapers in the market that are taking these

996
00:47:18,480 --> 00:47:20,400
Speaker 6: low limits and pushing it down to thirteen or a

997
00:47:20,400 --> 00:47:22,080
Speaker 6: little bit lower before they come back and hammer it.

998
00:47:22,719 --> 00:47:24,640
Speaker 2: I completely agree. I think it's ball State or nothing here.

999
00:47:25,040 --> 00:47:27,120
Speaker 2: And lastly, the game of the game of the week

1000
00:47:27,160 --> 00:47:30,239
Speaker 2: in the MAC on Wednesday night seven Eastern on ESPN two.

1001
00:47:30,320 --> 00:47:33,520
Speaker 2: Western Michigan as a two and a half point underdog

1002
00:47:33,960 --> 00:47:36,920
Speaker 2: at bet MGM over under sixty one and a half

1003
00:47:37,680 --> 00:47:39,919
Speaker 2: at Central Michigan. This game will be played a mount

1004
00:47:40,000 --> 00:47:43,120
Speaker 2: pleasant maybe some win that'll be cold. I last year

1005
00:47:43,120 --> 00:47:46,160
Speaker 2: Western Michigan won this game pretty easily against Central Michigan.

1006
00:47:46,200 --> 00:47:48,560
Speaker 2: These are two two and oho teams in the MAC thoughts.

1007
00:47:49,480 --> 00:47:51,440
Speaker 6: Yeah, this is a game that I make Central Michigan

1008
00:47:51,480 --> 00:47:54,239
Speaker 6: minus four. So you know, this is something I think

1009
00:47:54,320 --> 00:47:56,160
Speaker 6: is quickly on the rise, and I wouldn't be surprised

1010
00:47:56,200 --> 00:47:57,640
Speaker 6: if this closed at three and a half or three

1011
00:47:57,760 --> 00:48:00,800
Speaker 6: on Central Michigan. So if you're hearing this on Monday morning,

1012
00:48:01,239 --> 00:48:02,560
Speaker 6: as a matter of fact, I'm probably gonna put the

1013
00:48:02,600 --> 00:48:05,400
Speaker 6: bet in right ear while we're podcasting. But I do

1014
00:48:05,520 --> 00:48:08,239
Speaker 6: like Central Michigan in this game. You know, Western Michigan's

1015
00:48:08,239 --> 00:48:11,120
Speaker 6: path to get to this point hasn't been that rough.

1016
00:48:11,320 --> 00:48:12,759
Speaker 6: You know that some of the notes that I took

1017
00:48:12,760 --> 00:48:15,200
Speaker 6: on these guys, Central Michigan wax Northern Illinois. They averaged

1018
00:48:15,200 --> 00:48:18,560
Speaker 6: seven yards per play for the entire game. They had

1019
00:48:18,560 --> 00:48:20,960
Speaker 6: an average starting field position of the thirty nine yard line.

1020
00:48:20,960 --> 00:48:25,920
Speaker 6: Their special teams were fantastic. Western Michigan did great, you know,

1021
00:48:25,920 --> 00:48:28,440
Speaker 6: with explosive plays against Toledo, but it was the Toledo

1022
00:48:28,520 --> 00:48:31,839
Speaker 6: defense and they were sixty five percent on standard downs

1023
00:48:31,880 --> 00:48:34,200
Speaker 6: against Toledo. I think that's completely going to change against

1024
00:48:34,239 --> 00:48:38,360
Speaker 6: Central Michigan, a team that is ninth in defensive rushing success,

1025
00:48:38,680 --> 00:48:42,640
Speaker 6: twentieth in defensive passing success, ranked twenty fifth by PFF

1026
00:48:42,920 --> 00:48:45,240
Speaker 6: in pass coverage. You know it's going to be easy

1027
00:48:45,280 --> 00:48:47,640
Speaker 6: for Central Michigan to protect a quarterback. They're number one

1028
00:48:47,680 --> 00:48:50,520
Speaker 6: in the nation and adjusted sacrate and Western Michigan doesn't

1029
00:48:50,520 --> 00:48:52,719
Speaker 6: get any pressure whatsoever. I think it is going to

1030
00:48:52,760 --> 00:48:54,960
Speaker 6: be a close game. I want Central Michigan. I'll take

1031
00:48:54,960 --> 00:48:57,120
Speaker 6: the home team here, and I think getting it well.

1032
00:48:57,120 --> 00:48:59,279
Speaker 6: You know how maction is every half point count. So

1033
00:49:00,320 --> 00:49:02,120
Speaker 6: I projected at four and if you can get it

1034
00:49:02,200 --> 00:49:03,359
Speaker 6: under three, I think it's a good bet.

1035
00:49:03,680 --> 00:49:08,400
Speaker 2: By the way, we love Brian Kelly, now for taking

1036
00:49:08,480 --> 00:49:10,920
Speaker 2: these all. Right, before we get the Monday night football,

1037
00:49:11,400 --> 00:49:13,880
Speaker 2: here's the word from our sponsors at BETMGM, the official

1038
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1039
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1055
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Speaker 4: Promo offer not available in Nevada. And Now back to the.

1056
00:50:12,520 --> 00:50:18,200
Speaker 2: Show and also a reminder to download the Action Network

1057
00:50:18,200 --> 00:50:20,200
Speaker 2: app if you haven't, It's the only app that you need.

1058
00:50:20,280 --> 00:50:22,920
Speaker 2: You will You will live on it on weekends and

1059
00:50:23,040 --> 00:50:26,440
Speaker 2: games and nights where you have Action and Actionnework dot com.

1060
00:50:26,680 --> 00:50:29,799
Speaker 2: We'll have content for all these weekday games throughout the week.

1061
00:50:30,480 --> 00:50:33,160
Speaker 2: All I'm gonna give gonna do some giveaways. Now. If

1062
00:50:33,200 --> 00:50:35,960
Speaker 2: I mention your name and you don't hear from our producer,

1063
00:50:36,120 --> 00:50:39,080
Speaker 2: reach out to me and or our producer Matt Mitchell.

1064
00:50:39,160 --> 00:50:41,920
Speaker 2: On Twitter, someone said a review about bleeping is obnoxious

1065
00:50:42,000 --> 00:50:45,160
Speaker 2: because it's hard. It's it's absurdly loud and annoying. Our

1066
00:50:45,200 --> 00:50:48,920
Speaker 2: producer said, the apologize. It's actually good feedback. So with

1067
00:50:49,120 --> 00:50:51,480
Speaker 2: quieter beat the leaps. He also said, go fuck yourself

1068
00:50:51,480 --> 00:50:54,600
Speaker 2: for the one star review. Though, let's see, I'm going

1069
00:50:54,640 --> 00:50:59,440
Speaker 2: to give away something to Bill's fan and az who's

1070
00:50:59,480 --> 00:51:04,719
Speaker 2: been He mentioned Wou pig suy our degeneracy, and he

1071
00:51:04,719 --> 00:51:06,760
Speaker 2: gave us five stars. And he mentioned the great production

1072
00:51:06,880 --> 00:51:11,120
Speaker 2: quality that's always gonna get you brownie points, and uh

1073
00:51:11,360 --> 00:51:15,200
Speaker 2: how about Ryan one zero nine eight seven six. He

1074
00:51:15,280 --> 00:51:19,160
Speaker 2: mentioned Colin your beard, the real winners. Your beard better

1075
00:51:19,200 --> 00:51:21,960
Speaker 2: than my hair. What you said, he did say, is amazing.

1076
00:51:22,000 --> 00:51:24,839
Speaker 2: So you compliment the hosts, You're gonna get some gear.

1077
00:51:25,080 --> 00:51:26,680
Speaker 6: I would like to think I have the best beard

1078
00:51:26,680 --> 00:51:29,359
Speaker 6: of any action. Like I'm most Freedman, right, I got

1079
00:51:29,360 --> 00:51:31,239
Speaker 6: I gotta fight with Friedman. I think I got the

1080
00:51:31,239 --> 00:51:33,399
Speaker 6: best beard of the company, so I'll keep working on it.

1081
00:51:33,560 --> 00:51:36,080
Speaker 2: Yeah, and then how about know what da chain say? Three?

1082
00:51:36,520 --> 00:51:39,000
Speaker 2: He mentioned on my rants on Twitter. Yeah, if you

1083
00:51:39,000 --> 00:51:41,920
Speaker 2: want to you want rants Saturdays, you can find me

1084
00:51:41,960 --> 00:51:45,279
Speaker 2: at the bar tweeting. So we love, we love all

1085
00:51:45,320 --> 00:51:47,719
Speaker 2: the reviews. We'll do that every week. So we're gonna

1086
00:51:47,719 --> 00:51:50,280
Speaker 2: give away some stuff. So you don't hear from our producer,

1087
00:51:50,360 --> 00:51:52,720
Speaker 2: reach out to me or mister Mitchell on Twitter.

1088
00:51:52,920 --> 00:51:55,880
Speaker 6: Can I say this here podcast? I So apparently Coastal

1089
00:51:55,920 --> 00:51:58,799
Speaker 6: Carolina's head coach Jamie Chadwell is being contacted about the

1090
00:51:58,800 --> 00:52:02,440
Speaker 6: South Carolina job. That Muschamp was essentially escorted out of

1091
00:52:02,480 --> 00:52:05,440
Speaker 6: the program this weekend. But boy, that's gonna be on

1092
00:52:05,440 --> 00:52:07,440
Speaker 6: Coastal's mind. We got so much happening in this game

1093
00:52:07,840 --> 00:52:10,680
Speaker 6: with Zach Thomas possibly out and Jamie Chadwell, head coach

1094
00:52:10,719 --> 00:52:13,200
Speaker 6: of Coastal you know, looking at the South Carolina job.

1095
00:52:13,239 --> 00:52:14,560
Speaker 6: So to keep that in mind.

1096
00:52:14,840 --> 00:52:16,880
Speaker 2: Let's just hope we don't. I mean, if dude, I

1097
00:52:16,920 --> 00:52:18,960
Speaker 2: set an over under for how many games canceled this week,

1098
00:52:19,280 --> 00:52:20,040
Speaker 2: what are you saying it on?

1099
00:52:20,200 --> 00:52:22,440
Speaker 6: We end up at thirteen this past weekend. I'm considering

1100
00:52:22,680 --> 00:52:25,280
Speaker 6: our cases have now surpassed one hundred and fifty thousand.

1101
00:52:25,360 --> 00:52:27,000
Speaker 6: My kids have been sent home. I live in the

1102
00:52:27,000 --> 00:52:29,400
Speaker 6: reddest of red states in Oklahoma, and my kids have

1103
00:52:29,440 --> 00:52:33,319
Speaker 6: been sent home until Christmas, and Chicago's like on a

1104
00:52:33,360 --> 00:52:36,120
Speaker 6: what never leave your house kind of lockdown. I'm gonna

1105
00:52:36,120 --> 00:52:39,640
Speaker 6: go with since it was thirteen last weekend, let's go

1106
00:52:39,680 --> 00:52:40,640
Speaker 6: with thirteen and a half.

1107
00:52:40,800 --> 00:52:42,560
Speaker 2: You want to go over, I'm going to say fifteen.

1108
00:52:42,719 --> 00:52:44,879
Speaker 2: I'm going to say fifteen, so I'd go over that.

1109
00:52:45,200 --> 00:52:47,360
Speaker 2: We already have three canceled before we got out of here.

1110
00:52:47,360 --> 00:52:48,240
Speaker 2: Monday Night Football.

1111
00:53:00,520 --> 00:53:03,400
Speaker 6: Everybody on TV and everybody on all your channels is

1112
00:53:03,400 --> 00:53:06,200
Speaker 6: going to tell you that Kirk Cousins hasn't won a

1113
00:53:06,239 --> 00:53:09,000
Speaker 6: Monday Night football game and last nine tries, and that's

1114
00:53:09,040 --> 00:53:10,040
Speaker 6: the entire handicap.

1115
00:53:10,080 --> 00:53:10,480
Speaker 2: You should know.

1116
00:53:10,520 --> 00:53:11,959
Speaker 6: Sc We just get that one out of the way,

1117
00:53:12,040 --> 00:53:14,520
Speaker 6: because it's like the dumbest handicap I've ever heard. None

1118
00:53:14,520 --> 00:53:16,120
Speaker 6: of that has an effect on Tomorrow Night.

1119
00:53:16,480 --> 00:53:18,239
Speaker 2: I would saying that's just such a narrative street when

1120
00:53:18,239 --> 00:53:20,239
Speaker 2: it was, especially Russell Wilson always wins in prime time.

1121
00:53:20,280 --> 00:53:22,520
Speaker 2: I gladly took them plus seven and they came up

1122
00:53:22,560 --> 00:53:24,520
Speaker 2: a yard short of winning. It's not like he just

1123
00:53:25,120 --> 00:53:30,399
Speaker 2: he only plays hard during the daytime, right But yeah,

1124
00:53:30,480 --> 00:53:32,880
Speaker 2: at betem Gym. Right now, the Vikings are three and

1125
00:53:32,920 --> 00:53:35,640
Speaker 2: a half point road favorites. I think this line is

1126
00:53:36,040 --> 00:53:39,240
Speaker 2: a big overreaction to what we've seen from the Vikings

1127
00:53:39,320 --> 00:53:42,720
Speaker 2: in recent weeks. It's been good. We've seen some positive

1128
00:53:42,760 --> 00:53:45,359
Speaker 2: things from Minnesota over unders forty three and a half.

1129
00:53:45,400 --> 00:53:48,160
Speaker 2: By the way, I mean, Minnesota very poor to start hear,

1130
00:53:48,200 --> 00:53:51,279
Speaker 2: then they won at Green Bay. They won convincingly at

1131
00:53:51,320 --> 00:53:55,320
Speaker 2: home against the Lions. A big part of that reason

1132
00:53:55,640 --> 00:54:00,319
Speaker 2: is Dalvin Cook Let Cook Cook has been going off

1133
00:54:00,600 --> 00:54:03,600
Speaker 2: off for the Vikings. But the Bears do have a

1134
00:54:03,640 --> 00:54:06,520
Speaker 2: good run defense on the other side of the ball.

1135
00:54:06,680 --> 00:54:10,560
Speaker 2: The Vikings, their defense is just not that good. It's

1136
00:54:10,600 --> 00:54:12,640
Speaker 2: a good scheme. Defense is gonna get better as the

1137
00:54:12,719 --> 00:54:15,400
Speaker 2: year goes on because Zimmers are very good defensive coach,

1138
00:54:15,920 --> 00:54:20,040
Speaker 2: complex scheme, a lot of turner on the defense, young secondary,

1139
00:54:20,120 --> 00:54:22,080
Speaker 2: but they're going to improve as the year goes on.

1140
00:54:23,000 --> 00:54:25,560
Speaker 2: And they're taking on a Bears offense it's just abysmal

1141
00:54:26,760 --> 00:54:29,640
Speaker 2: and it won't have David Montgomery well I'm not in

1142
00:54:29,680 --> 00:54:32,480
Speaker 2: love with but he's clearly their best back he's out

1143
00:54:32,480 --> 00:54:36,520
Speaker 2: with concussion. Their offensive line is a mess. They have

1144
00:54:36,600 --> 00:54:40,360
Speaker 2: defensive end, offensive line depth issues, injuries. I mean, the

1145
00:54:40,360 --> 00:54:43,720
Speaker 2: offensive line has been hit very hard by injuries, and

1146
00:54:44,440 --> 00:54:48,279
Speaker 2: Alan Robinson, their best receiver by far, is questionable with

1147
00:54:48,400 --> 00:54:50,680
Speaker 2: a knee. So I had the Bears teas if you

1148
00:54:50,719 --> 00:54:52,560
Speaker 2: listen to our podcast, if you have my piece last week,

1149
00:54:52,560 --> 00:54:55,040
Speaker 2: the Bears seas, I'm comfortable with that over eight at

1150
00:54:55,080 --> 00:54:58,480
Speaker 2: three and a half, even with Robinson out, even with

1151
00:54:59,000 --> 00:55:01,879
Speaker 2: Montgomery out, even with how bad Folds is, how bad

1152
00:55:01,920 --> 00:55:04,640
Speaker 2: this offensive line is, I still think the values with

1153
00:55:04,680 --> 00:55:07,479
Speaker 2: the Bears at three and a half, I would lean under,

1154
00:55:07,760 --> 00:55:10,520
Speaker 2: but I would make this line depending on the injuries.

1155
00:55:10,960 --> 00:55:13,720
Speaker 2: You can see our projections are my updated projections tomorrow

1156
00:55:13,760 --> 00:55:17,040
Speaker 2: on the site, probably gonna end up being Vikings minus

1157
00:55:17,120 --> 00:55:20,640
Speaker 2: one ish. So at three over three, if you can

1158
00:55:20,640 --> 00:55:22,960
Speaker 2: get over three, you got to take the home dog

1159
00:55:22,960 --> 00:55:23,440
Speaker 2: Bears here.

1160
00:55:23,600 --> 00:55:26,080
Speaker 6: Oh yeah, I completely agree this game should be lined.

1161
00:55:26,600 --> 00:55:28,640
Speaker 6: This is a game that I think should be two

1162
00:55:28,640 --> 00:55:31,000
Speaker 6: and a half. And I think the narrative with the

1163
00:55:31,000 --> 00:55:35,200
Speaker 6: injuries is what's pushing it up. And then you know, frankly,

1164
00:55:35,560 --> 00:55:38,520
Speaker 6: Minnesota's twenty fifth and on their offensive line adjustined sacrate

1165
00:55:38,640 --> 00:55:40,800
Speaker 6: and that's not a good thing to be having against Chicago.

1166
00:55:40,880 --> 00:55:43,160
Speaker 6: So I think if I see me three and a

1167
00:55:43,160 --> 00:55:44,920
Speaker 6: half's out there, I'll probably be scooping them up. But

1168
00:55:45,000 --> 00:55:47,520
Speaker 6: I agree with you. I think the line has value

1169
00:55:47,560 --> 00:55:48,320
Speaker 6: on the Bears.

1170
00:55:48,600 --> 00:55:51,759
Speaker 2: Yep. I think it's I lean under, but it's look,

1171
00:55:52,120 --> 00:55:54,440
Speaker 2: it's about right. I don't show too much edge on

1172
00:55:54,440 --> 00:55:54,880
Speaker 2: the total.

1173
00:55:55,160 --> 00:55:57,759
Speaker 6: Your special teams move away from. When you get a

1174
00:55:57,800 --> 00:56:00,359
Speaker 6: total like forty three. You just need a mistake right

1175
00:56:00,400 --> 00:56:01,080
Speaker 6: to get in trouble.

1176
00:56:01,160 --> 00:56:03,160
Speaker 2: Yeah. Yeah, So I think it plays the Bears here.

1177
00:56:03,360 --> 00:56:05,799
Speaker 2: Not the best game not there, and there is a

1178
00:56:05,800 --> 00:56:08,279
Speaker 2: lot of uncertainty with the injuries, but it's the home

1179
00:56:08,320 --> 00:56:11,520
Speaker 2: dog or nothing that'll do it for us. We appreciate

1180
00:56:11,560 --> 00:56:15,280
Speaker 2: all of your support. We appreciate all of your voicemails, hate, love,

1181
00:56:15,719 --> 00:56:19,600
Speaker 2: scream yell, whisper, whatever you need to do. We appreciate

1182
00:56:19,640 --> 00:56:23,040
Speaker 2: your support. We're all in this together against the books.

1183
00:56:23,280 --> 00:56:27,239
Speaker 2: We'll go back to work, try and find cook up

1184
00:56:27,280 --> 00:56:31,720
Speaker 2: some winners for week twelve. We'll be back on Friday

1185
00:56:31,760 --> 00:56:35,600
Speaker 2: morning Thursday night overnight with the full college football betting preview.

1186
00:56:35,800 --> 00:56:40,160
Speaker 2: You can follow Colin at Underscore Colin one two L's

1187
00:56:40,760 --> 00:56:44,120
Speaker 2: and myself at Stucky two my profiles where you'll find

1188
00:56:44,120 --> 00:56:47,240
Speaker 2: the voicemail number. We'll catch you all later in the week. Cheers,

1189
00:56:47,640 --> 00:57:00,520
Speaker 2: he's out. We'll finished talking