Speaker 1: Welcome in What Draveing nick Wright Episode three ninety one,
Speaker 1: once again going solo as Demonse is out on paternity leave.
Speaker 1: This episode of What's Raight with Nick Wright has brought
Speaker 1: to you but excuse me, one hell of boy to
Speaker 1: start the show, Getting all Choked Up, presented to you
Speaker 1: by our friends at Boost Mobile and Straight to Voicemails
Speaker 1: Always is brought to you by Boost Mobile and a
Speaker 1: lot in straight voicemail stuff We're actually gonna hit on
Speaker 1: Insane Night in the Association last night. Last night, Joker
Speaker 1: could have scored seventy if the Clippers had any real
Speaker 1: resistance to him. Joker scores fifty five. The Clippers starters
Speaker 1: scored fifty four. Joker had what right around fifty midway
Speaker 1: through the third quarter as he is, I mean, listen,
Speaker 1: he's been unbelievable all year long. And then also the Warriors,
Speaker 1: after a little unrest in the Bay Area after their
Speaker 1: previous game, Steph put the Cape on and drops forty six.
Speaker 1: Wimby has a triple double but also eight turnovers, and
Speaker 1: the Warriors get a great win over the Spurs, who
Speaker 1: obviously are without Dylan Harper Harper, but do have dearon
Speaker 1: fox Back. Also, I this is unrelated, but related. I
Speaker 1: suppose I because we mentioned Joker and then Wimby. Somebody
Speaker 1: posted a screenshot of box Score plus minus and how
Speaker 1: Joker is just lapping the field and that's legit. He's
Speaker 1: been that good. But it also had defensive box score
Speaker 1: plus minus on there, and by that metric, not only
Speaker 1: is Joker the best defensive defensive play in the league,
Speaker 1: but he is almost twice as good defensively by that
Speaker 1: metric as Wimby, which put this in the same bucket
Speaker 1: as my commentary on some of the PFF grades or
Speaker 1: the original ESPN QBR before they fixed it that had
Speaker 1: the greatest game ever played be a Charlie Batch game.
Speaker 1: If your formula spits out that Nikolajokic is twice the
Speaker 1: defender as Victor Wimbin Yama, you should shuttle shutter the formula.
Speaker 1: You gotta be like, oh, we screwed this up. This
Speaker 1: should not be a metric that is that we use
Speaker 1: or even pretend is useful anymore. And I again, I
Speaker 1: think Joker is the best player in the world. I
Speaker 1: think Joker's been the best player in the world for
Speaker 1: a few years now. Luca and Jannis obviously and Shay
Speaker 1: are trying to say something about it, but nobody has
Speaker 1: wrestled the belt from him. But some of those advanced
Speaker 1: metrics are just broken, just stone broken. And where I
Speaker 1: think it could matter is in fifty years when folks
Speaker 1: talk about Joker the way you know, we talk about Wilt,
Speaker 1: and it's like, well, I didn't watch him, but here's
Speaker 1: what the numbers are. At least with the Wilt numbers,
Speaker 1: they're counting stats, not and it's things we believe. The
Speaker 1: conspiracy surrounding one hundred point game, notwithstanding actually did happen,
Speaker 1: but in same night in the NBA, and we'll get
Speaker 1: to Lakers Thunder in a moment. Also, Jamis is going
Speaker 1: to be the starter for the Packers. And Lamar Jackson
Speaker 1: missed practice on Wednesday. I assumed this was his annual.
Speaker 1: The got a little chilly and I got sick, missed practice.
Speaker 1: But the reporting is that it's something to do with
Speaker 1: his knee. If he practices today, it's nothing. If he doesn't,
Speaker 1: it's definitely something, and we're not gonna know until he practices,
Speaker 1: because it doesn't matter how optimistic the Ravens are. We
Speaker 1: know the Ravens and Lamar are rarely, if ever, on
Speaker 1: the same page when it comes to injury stuff, So
Speaker 1: that's not a big deal yet, but it's something to monitor.
Speaker 1: Reminder everybody like rate subscribe review to the podcast. We
Speaker 1: greatly appreciate that, and I do want to start with
Speaker 1: the defending champion Thunder annihilating the Lakers one twenty one
Speaker 1: to ninety two. Wasn't even really that close as they
Speaker 1: get to twelve and one, and with the Thunders starting
Speaker 1: twelve and one blowing people out. Playing at this level,
Speaker 1: it does beg the question of when their second best player,
Speaker 1: jadub Jalen Williams comes back, who was All NBA last year,
Speaker 1: who obviously fits seamlessly with Shaye last year. But when
Speaker 1: they're playing this well, it makes you worry a bit
Speaker 1: that adding a consensus top fifteen player coming off in
Speaker 1: All NBA season might screw up what they have going,
Speaker 1: that they might actually get worse when they add him.
Speaker 1: And while one wouldn't advocate that they train that player,
Speaker 1: and in fact they can't even trade him right now
Speaker 1: because of his contract and when he signed it, you
Speaker 1: do worry that it's gonna screw up this great thing
Speaker 1: he's got that the thunder have gone. So that sounded
Speaker 1: incredibly dumb. Right as I'm saying it, You're like, Nick,
Speaker 1: what the hell is wrong with you? The team is great?
Speaker 1: How can adding a great player who we have seen
Speaker 1: with those guys play great? How can that be bad? Yeah,
Speaker 1: of course it's dumb, And of course it's a ridiculous opinion,
Speaker 1: And of course everyone would acknowledge it's a ridiculous opinion, except,
Speaker 1: of course, when it was becoming the damn near majority
Speaker 1: opinion when the Lakers started seven and two and instead
Speaker 1: of talking about Jayalen Williams, we were talking about Lebron James. Well,
Speaker 1: they sure have a good thing going, Luca is in control,
Speaker 1: Austin Reeves is playing awesome. Maybe, just maybe Lebron coming
Speaker 1: back would screw things up. That ninety six hours ago
Speaker 1: was a quite popular take. Maybe less than that. I think.
Speaker 2: I argued with the owner of this company on TV
Speaker 2: about that forty eight hours ago, and it's just there
Speaker 2: are so many takes out there that exist around Lebron
Speaker 2: that if they existed around any other.
Speaker 1: Player would be laughed out of the room. And they
Speaker 1: just but people are so numb to the in conversation
Speaker 1: surrounding that guy for the last quarter century that we
Speaker 1: accept it. It was a legitimate talk show topic. Will
Speaker 1: the Lakers be better or worse when Lebron James Senior
Speaker 1: comes in and starts taking some of the minutes that
Speaker 1: are currently going to Lebron James Junior? People talked about it.
Speaker 1: Will the Lakers be better or worse when some of
Speaker 1: the shots that are currently being taken by Jared Vanderbilt
Speaker 1: and Marcus Smart go to Lebron James fresh off coming
Speaker 1: in sixth and MVP voting and second team All NBA. Well,
Speaker 1: you don't want to mess up the flow with Luca,
Speaker 1: like we didn't see Lebron last year. Once they got
Speaker 1: Luca and he was healthy, seamlessly play off the ball
Speaker 1: just so insane. And the the real story from last
Speaker 1: night's game is right now, Lebron and Jadubb are right
Speaker 1: in they live in the same neighborhood. As far as
Speaker 1: overall impact on the game and quality, you know, if
Speaker 1: you're ranking NBA players, they're within two or three of
Speaker 1: each other. And by the way, the Thunder also didn't
Speaker 1: have dort And so how close are the Lakers to
Speaker 1: the Thunder? And the answer to that question probably is
Speaker 1: not close at all. And while it is incredibly hard
Speaker 1: to repeat in the modern NBA, the Thunder who are
Speaker 1: beating teams by an average of fifteen points, and at
Speaker 1: this point I got, what are a coin flip to
Speaker 1: win seventy with respect to the Nuggets and Joker and
Speaker 1: with respect to the Calves and the Knicks, and I
Speaker 1: suppose I should include the Pistons because they are ten
Speaker 1: and two and on an eight game winning streak out East.
Speaker 1: The Thunder right now seem to be in just a
Speaker 1: different class than everyone else, and the goal for the
Speaker 1: rest of the West contenders legitimately probably needs to be
Speaker 1: can I make sure I am a two or a
Speaker 1: three seed and avoid OKAC as long as possible and
Speaker 1: then see what shape they're in coming off a championship
Speaker 1: once they get to Round three of the playoffs, because
Speaker 1: they are right now, and again, I know Denver's been
Speaker 1: awesome and it's also really weird Denver and Okac. I
Speaker 1: don't think they play till like February. They play four games.
Speaker 1: I think in the final thirty of the regular season.
Speaker 1: OKAC seems to right now just be in a different
Speaker 1: league than everybody else. So last night was an exciting
Speaker 1: night in the Association. The Marquee game. Daniel tell me,
Speaker 1: they don't play each other until February first, right, so
Speaker 1: they it's gonna be a while till we get to
Speaker 1: see that matchup. And so they play February first, February
Speaker 1: twenty seventh, March ninth, and then April tenth. So we're
Speaker 1: gonna get to see them a bunch in a two months,
Speaker 1: you know, two and a half month stretch, but none
Speaker 1: until then. But the story of the night was Jokers performance,
Speaker 1: Steph's brilliance, and the thunder just putting the Lakers to
Speaker 1: better early. Now, the story for this weekend in the
Speaker 1: NFL is the best weekend of games we've had up
Speaker 1: to this point this season. Games, excuse me, games this
Speaker 1: weekend where both teams have major playoff implications Bucks Bills obviously,
Speaker 1: Chargers Jags, which barely makes the cut, Seahawks Rams, which
Speaker 1: is a maybe game of the year up to this point,
Speaker 1: Chiefs Broncos, and then Lions Eagles, and it is a
Speaker 1: damn shame that none of those games were able to
Speaker 1: be flexed to Monday night, where we're gonna get Cowboys Raiders.
Speaker 1: If there was ever a time to flip out the
Speaker 1: four h five Seahawks rams for Cowboys Raiders. That would
Speaker 1: have been it put that Monday night and put Cowboys
Speaker 1: Raiders at four o'clock on Sunday. But they didn't do it.
Speaker 1: So we have an unbelievable weekend of football and I'm
Speaker 1: gonna start with Chiefs Broncos, where I understand the numbers are.
Speaker 1: The Chiefs have lost two of three to Denver. One
Speaker 1: of those games was Week eighteen last year and totally
Speaker 1: irrelevant to me. What is relevant to me is this,
Speaker 1: Patrick Mahomes has played Denver fourteen times in his career
Speaker 1: and he's thirteen and one. It's the best winning percentage
Speaker 1: with at least ten games played against a single opponent
Speaker 1: this century in the NFL. It's the fourth best in
Speaker 1: NFL history, you know, not just this century. And what's
Speaker 1: interesting is they have not all or even most been
Speaker 1: dominating wins or crazy stats because even back when the
Speaker 1: Broncos stunk and Vic Fangio was there, they had a
Speaker 1: good defensive game play in Foro Kansas City, and Mahome
Speaker 1: hasn't had a ton of eye popping stat games against Denver.
Speaker 1: The reason He's thirteen to one. Is because whoever the
Speaker 1: hell Denver's quarterback has been throughout Patrick's career, They've never
Speaker 1: been able to give any trouble whatsoever to that Chiefs defense,
Speaker 1: and I believe that continues this weekend. I think that
Speaker 1: the Broncos at the moment have every trademark of an
Speaker 1: excellent team except for the most important by far, which
Speaker 1: is quality quarterback and Bonnicks in the biggest professional game
Speaker 1: of his life, other than the playoff game when they
Speaker 1: got destroyed, going up against Steve Spagnolo's coming off a
Speaker 1: bye is a mismatch, and so I do think Denver's
Speaker 1: defense is going to be up to the fight. Denver's
Speaker 1: defense is awesome, Nick Benito and company are great, and
Speaker 1: even without pats Ertan, that's an awesome defense. There's no
Speaker 1: getting around that. But you're not going to be able
Speaker 1: to win that game against Kansas City the way they've won,
Speaker 1: the way they beat the Texans eighteen to fifteen, the Giant,
Speaker 1: the Giant or sorry, the Jets thirteen to eleven, the
Speaker 1: Raiders ten to seven, even the Eagles when they had
Speaker 1: three points going into the fourth quarter. That's not where
Speaker 1: the Titans game twenty to twelve. That's not gonna cut it.
Speaker 1: And so I do have a lot of spect for
Speaker 1: that Denver oh line and everything that Denver defense does,
Speaker 1: but that doesn't change the fact that you have either
Speaker 1: the best of the second best quarterback in the history
Speaker 1: of the league, fully healthy, with his full receiving corps
Speaker 1: up against right now a bottom five full time starter.
Speaker 1: That's enough to tilt the matchup. Now, I want to
Speaker 1: be clear on this. I don't think you're gonna have
Speaker 1: a thirty point game from Kansas City. I think it
Speaker 1: is going to be a similar game plan as they
Speaker 1: had against the Jags. That would have worked, but Mahomes
Speaker 1: made the big mistake of the goal line, which is
Speaker 1: be conservative, don't turn the ball over, don't make mistakes,
Speaker 1: don't give them short fields, don't let Mahomes get beat
Speaker 1: up by that pass rush that is on pace to
Speaker 1: break the all time NFL record in sacks, and find
Speaker 1: a way to win the game and rustle control back
Speaker 1: of the division. Because this is for the Chiefs a
Speaker 1: AFC West Championship elimination ish game. It would take a
Speaker 1: full blown collapse by Denver if they win this game.
Speaker 1: For the Chiefs, to be able to catch them within
Speaker 1: the division. And that's not even mentioning the Chargers piece
Speaker 1: of it. Now. The flip side to that is, if
Speaker 1: the Chiefs win this game, they are, in my opinion,
Speaker 1: right back in full control of the AFC West. Kana
Speaker 1: City wins this game, with home games remaining against the
Speaker 1: Chargers and Broncos, plus a road game against the Raiders,
Speaker 1: that's a path to going five and one in the
Speaker 1: division if you win this game, and then with the
Speaker 1: feeling just being Colts, Cowboys, Texans, go two and one
Speaker 1: in that stretch and that's how you get to twelve
Speaker 1: and five, five and one in the division, and that'll
Speaker 1: win you the division. And so it is a must
Speaker 1: win for Kansas City when it comes to their chance
Speaker 1: of winn the AFC West. It is not a must
Speaker 1: win when it comes to their chance of making the playoffs.
Speaker 1: But the AFC is it's really hard to handicap right
Speaker 1: now from a seeding perspective, like what will it take
Speaker 1: to be the number one seed, number two seed, number
Speaker 1: three seed, and are we potentially looking at a multi
Speaker 1: way tie of twelve and five teams for the one
Speaker 1: or the two seed. The Patriots to me are, and
Speaker 1: they're gonna win tonight against the Jets. Are in great shape,
Speaker 1: and I just believe the Pats are gonna be the
Speaker 1: one seed because if you're New England, even if you
Speaker 1: lose your two tough games remaining home for the Bills
Speaker 1: at the Ravens, your other games are Jets, Bengals, Giants, Jets, Dolphins.
Speaker 1: So if the Patriots can just hold serve, they finish
Speaker 1: thirteen and four and with four conference losses, that should
Speaker 1: be enough to be the number one seed. And so
Speaker 1: and I'm not sure exactly how all the tie breakers
Speaker 1: would work for them, but well, actually no, I am.
Speaker 1: If they go thirteen and four, the only way they
Speaker 1: wouldn't be the one seed is if the Chiefs run
Speaker 1: the table, if Denver only loses one game the rest
Speaker 1: of the way, or if the Colts. I'm not sure
Speaker 1: how the tiebreak would work against Indy. I think it's
Speaker 1: too early to see, but I don't think the Cults
Speaker 1: are going thirteen to four. So the Patriots are in
Speaker 1: great shape and the real fight should be for the
Speaker 1: two seed, which again in the AFC this year, is
Speaker 1: not going to be any huge prize. The two seed
Speaker 1: in Round one likely plays either Kansas City Buffalo or
Speaker 1: the Chargers, maybe Denver. So it's just you don't know
Speaker 1: how the playoff brackets going to end up falling. What
Speaker 1: you do feel comfortable in is if Kansas City loses
Speaker 1: this game, that they they are now just trying to
Speaker 1: secure a playoff berth and no longer the division. And
Speaker 1: if Denver loses this game, which I think they will,
Speaker 1: they they then run the risk of having the end
Speaker 1: of season that I anticipated when I picked them to
Speaker 1: miss the playoffs that they could have. They have a
Speaker 1: buye and then they have a couple soft spots at
Speaker 1: the Commanders, which we didn't think was going to be
Speaker 1: a soft spot, but now you assume that's without Jayden Daniels,
Speaker 1: and then at the Raiders. But then the final month
Speaker 1: of the year Packers, Jags, Chiefs, Chargers, and you wonder
Speaker 1: if Denver, if there is a world where Denver goes
Speaker 1: from eight to two, and I think currently the two
Speaker 1: seed to ten and seven and the seven seed and
Speaker 1: going into the playoffs playing its worst ball again, maybe
Speaker 1: I'm just gonna be proven Stone wrong about bone Nicks
Speaker 1: and this team on a seven game fraudulent winning streak.
Speaker 1: I doubt it, but a huge game and one of
Speaker 1: the bigger, the biggest regular season game, the biggest game
Speaker 1: that's been played in Denver in a decade, and one
Speaker 1: of the bigger regular season games because there haven't been
Speaker 1: many of them that the Chiefs have played since Mahomes
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Speaker 1: or Virginia. All Right, Seahawks at Rams is, as I've
Speaker 1: been saying, maybe the game of the year up to
Speaker 1: this point. It is wildly important. And also this sounds
Speaker 1: so dumb. I hate that I'm saying this, but this
Speaker 1: is what I truly believe. It's wildly important and also
Speaker 1: maybe not important at all. And what I mean is
Speaker 1: these might just be the two best teams in football.
Speaker 1: And both of these teams have oddly been better on
Speaker 1: the road. They're a combined to eight and one on
Speaker 1: the road while being a combined six and three at home.
Speaker 1: And these two teams are gonna play each other again
Speaker 1: in a few weeks. I don't know if it's a
Speaker 1: few weeks, but obviously they're gonna play again before the
Speaker 1: end of the season. They play. Yeah, in five weeks,
Speaker 1: so they're gonna get a chance for some get back.
Speaker 1: What I do think is not likely but possible that
Speaker 1: for the NFC West to have a chance at the
Speaker 1: one seed, one of these teams is gonna have to
Speaker 1: sweep the other because Philly their remaining schedule and their
Speaker 1: division is just so soft. After again, Philly is Detroit
Speaker 1: this week, and Tampa We've talked all year about how
Speaker 1: soft their final six weeks are. That if one, if
Speaker 1: Seattle or the Rams can sweep the other one, that
Speaker 1: would go a super long way into one of those
Speaker 1: teams potentially being the one seed. These are also arguably
Speaker 1: the two most well balanced teams in the league as
Speaker 1: far as great defense, great offense as far as more
Speaker 1: than competent running game and then dynamic passing attack. They
Speaker 1: both have two very good but very different coaches. And
Speaker 1: it's exactly what it should be. Home team favored by
Speaker 1: three old school where that used to be now it's
Speaker 1: two and a half really is what the home team gets,
Speaker 1: but where two totally equally matched teams will give the
Speaker 1: home team three points. And I don't have a super
Speaker 1: strong handicap on this game. I my lean is the
Speaker 1: Rams because it's in Los Angeles, but as I said,
Speaker 1: Seattle's on this insane. They haven't lost it on the
Speaker 1: road this year, and I think think they were ten
Speaker 1: and zero or they've won ten straight on the road,
Speaker 1: So maybe I'm putting too much into the home field
Speaker 1: advantage piece of it. The other kind of tangential storylines
Speaker 1: are we get to see Donald in a big spot,
Speaker 1: and I'm not gonna do the Pumpkin mode thing on
Speaker 1: Donald because I feel like he's been so good this
Speaker 1: year that he deserves more respect than that. But it
Speaker 1: is that the concern last year was how will Sam
Speaker 1: play in these big spots, And obviously at the very
Speaker 1: end of the year he played his absolute worse after
Speaker 1: playing so great all year long. He also last year
Speaker 1: lost to the Rams in the regular season but played well,
Speaker 1: and then lost to the Rams in the playoffs but
Speaker 1: played terribly. So there is that kind of hanging over
Speaker 1: the game a bit. And then there is the point
Speaker 1: that I have been maybe annoyingly hung up on this
Speaker 1: week on TV, which is Matt Stafford cementing himself as
Speaker 1: a Hall of Famer by winning League MVP this year.
Speaker 1: Because Stafford's Hall of Fame case is going to be
Speaker 1: really tricky, and that he's got no all pros, has
Speaker 1: never come close to an MVP, has a five hundred record,
Speaker 1: but he's gonna finish in the top ten and closer
Speaker 1: to five than ten in every major passing stat The
Speaker 1: eye test helps him a ton. He's been as an
Speaker 1: unbelievable statistical playoff resume, even if it's limited, five and
Speaker 1: five playoff record and number one pick. People not necessarily
Speaker 1: holding the Detroit stuff against him right now, I don't
Speaker 1: think he'd get in. But if you win a super
Speaker 1: Bowl and you're a quarterback and you win an MVP,
Speaker 1: every single one of those guys has gotten in except
Speaker 1: for thiseman. And Thaisman's was weird because he won his
Speaker 1: super Bowl in the strike year and the one is
Speaker 1: MVP the year after. So point is, I think of
Speaker 1: Stafford wins the MVP, he punches his Hall of Fame ticket,
Speaker 1: and I think for him to win the MVP, they
Speaker 1: probably have to win the division because that's just how
Speaker 1: the voting has gone historically. Like quarterbacks, usually it's the
Speaker 1: one of the two seed, but the very least you
Speaker 1: win your division. So that is kind of a sidebar
Speaker 1: story hovering over Stafford, who has just been out of
Speaker 1: his mind this year, and how well he's played, particularly
Speaker 1: the last month when he's gone in his last three
Speaker 1: games five touchdowns, no picks, four touchdowns, no picks, four touchdowns,
Speaker 1: no picks, and for this season twenty five touchdowns, two interceptions,
Speaker 1: a one fifteen rating, just a banana's bananas season from Stafford.
Speaker 1: If he can play a clean, really good game against Seattle,
Speaker 1: I don't know if he puts a stranglehold on the
Speaker 1: MVP race, but he puts himself in great, great position.
Speaker 1: All right, guys, I am going to Los Angeles to
Speaker 1: see Demanse and the baby for Thanksgiving, and just like
Speaker 1: last year, the day after Thanksgiving, the Lakers have a
Speaker 1: home game and I'm gonna go, So I am shouting
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Speaker 1: another one of the huge games Lions Eagles Sunday Night Football,
Speaker 1: and once again the Eagles cannot stay out of their
Speaker 1: own way despite winning games. And I was listening to
Speaker 1: my one of my favorite podcasts, NFL Daily I talk
Speaker 1: about a lot with Greg Rosenthal and company, and in
Speaker 1: previewing this game, his Cospatrick Claiban, you know, basically tongue
Speaker 1: in cheek, melted down about the media bothering Sirianni and
Speaker 1: hurts about AJ Brown and about how this team won
Speaker 1: a Super Bowl last year and about how this is
Speaker 1: much ado about nothing because the latest AJ Brown drama
Speaker 1: is him going on a Twitch stream and saying thing
Speaker 1: is things are not going well and drop me on
Speaker 1: your fantasy team, and how he and I'm sure others
Speaker 1: think it's a non story. Here's why I vely disagree
Speaker 1: with that. AJ Brown being happy or not might not matter.
Speaker 1: But the Philadelphia Eagles, with the most expensive offense in
Speaker 1: NFL history, with guys who are all Pro caliber all
Speaker 1: over the offensive line, multiple receivers, Saquon Jalen hurts that
Speaker 1: team being this pedestrian on offense is a story. It
Speaker 1: flatly is, and it's inexplicable. Their inability out of a
Speaker 1: buye in a game they scored zero points in the
Speaker 1: first half to get AJ Brown involved is inexplicable. Them
Speaker 1: leading the lead by a huge margin on three and
Speaker 1: out rate is indefensible. And so I give the Eagles
Speaker 1: credit because they do find a way to win, and
Speaker 1: they're champions, and the defense, particularly with the addition of
Speaker 1: Jalen Phillips, is rounding in the form. All of that
Speaker 1: is great. But AJ Brown is not wrong. He might
Speaker 1: be wrong in his delivery in the way it feels
Speaker 1: diva ish or selfish, all that's fine. But his concern
Speaker 1: that this offense is not functioning properly is totally correct,
Speaker 1: totally correct, and I don't have an answer for it.
Speaker 1: It seems like Petullo and Sirianni are while conservative with
Speaker 1: the play calls up until they are just lunatics on
Speaker 1: the fourth and down at the end of the game.
Speaker 1: They have the highest rate of running the ball on
Speaker 1: third and long of any team in twenty five years,
Speaker 1: which are just give up plays. Now, some of that,
Speaker 1: a tiny bit of that might be push push related,
Speaker 1: but really their give up plays. And so it feels
Speaker 1: silly to concern troll the Eagles, who have won like
Speaker 1: twenty two of their last twenty four and of the
Speaker 1: defending champs. But it also feels ridiculous to watch that
Speaker 1: team have zero points at halftime, to see AJ Brown
Speaker 1: with multiple games this year with three or fewer targets
Speaker 1: after he had one game like that the previous three
Speaker 1: years and act like nothing is wrong. Also, it is
Speaker 1: to me at this point a four gone conclusion that
Speaker 1: AJ Brown is going to be gone this offseason, and
Speaker 1: I would be I personally would be quite surprised, Like
Speaker 1: my money would be on AJ Brown is going to
Speaker 1: be a New England Patriot a year from now. But
Speaker 1: none of that matters for this season. I almost shouldn't
Speaker 1: have even brought it up because the trade deadline has passed.
Speaker 1: And that's the other part of this that is baffling
Speaker 1: to me, you have a buye you decide not to
Speaker 1: trade AJ Brown the market for receiver. Like again, this
Speaker 1: is me just speculating, but if Buffalo was gonna give
Speaker 1: up A one and a three for Jail and Waddle,
Speaker 1: I would imagine they would have given up something similar
Speaker 1: for AJ Brown. Philly didn't want to trade him, so
Speaker 1: then use him. And if you're not gonna use him,
Speaker 1: it's gotta be because the offense is humming without him,
Speaker 1: but it's not Saquon the game before the buy. Notwithstanding,
Speaker 1: Saquan is having a brutal year, he is averaging three
Speaker 1: point nine yards per carry. Saquon's yards and yards per
Speaker 1: carry by game this season sixty three point three, eighty
Speaker 1: eight four point zero, forty six two point six, forty
Speaker 1: three two point three, thirty five point oh only got
Speaker 1: six carries and a loss to Denver fifty eight four
Speaker 1: point eight forty four two point four, the game against
Speaker 1: the Giants one fifty ten point seven and then sixty
Speaker 1: for two point seven. So aside from the Giants game,
Speaker 1: Sekuon this year has run the ball won one hundred
Speaker 1: and thirty five times for four hundred and twenty nine yards.
Speaker 1: So what is that one thirty five for four to
Speaker 1: twenty nine. One thirty five times three is four oh five.
Speaker 1: So that is three point two yards per carry. I'm
Speaker 1: now gonna check. I'm now gonna do that matth real
Speaker 1: quick and see if I got it. I think it's
Speaker 1: three point two yards per carry. So we said it
Speaker 1: was four twenty nine divided by one thirty five. Yeah,
Speaker 1: three point one point eight yards per carry. Aside from
Speaker 1: the Giants game, So feed the bald aj Brown. It's
Speaker 1: just baffling, and I don't think it's We can say
Speaker 1: him being upset is nothing, but the offense not working
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Speaker 1: boostmobile dot Com terms apply. Another huge game this week
Speaker 1: and Bucks Bills and vibes wise important for Tampa, but
Speaker 1: not it's important for Tampa for vibes and if they
Speaker 1: want to have a real shot at the one seat.
Speaker 1: It's not really that important for any other reason. We
Speaker 1: talked all year about this three game stretch Patriots at
Speaker 1: Bills at Rams and then the six game cakewalk they
Speaker 1: have to end the year. So they'll be fine either way,
Speaker 1: especially in that division and with the Panthers coming back
Speaker 1: down to Earth the Bills vibes wise this is important,
Speaker 1: and also logistically wise this is important. The Bills already are,
Speaker 1: according to the New York Times, down to fifteen percent
Speaker 1: to win their division, and if they lose this game,
Speaker 1: that gets cut in half. So unless they want to
Speaker 1: be a wild card, obviously they've got to win. But
Speaker 1: you also would like to see Buffalo look like Buffalo
Speaker 1: against a good team. And I know they just came
Speaker 1: off that win against the Chiefs and that was a
Speaker 1: great win, but fair or not, Buffalo's the one team.
Speaker 1: The beating the Chiefs in the regular season doesn't really
Speaker 1: mean anything to them because they're so used to it,
Speaker 1: and if they were to lose this game all of
Speaker 1: a sudden, They're in Houston on Thursday night, a week
Speaker 1: from today, and you also feel like there's a chance
Speaker 1: Tampa comes into this game a little healthier than they've been.
Speaker 1: They already got their offensive lineman back, and Bucky Irving
Speaker 1: and Chris Godwin did return to practice. Now they were limited,
Speaker 1: but they're practicing again. Buffalo meanwhile, Dalton Kinkaid did not
Speaker 1: practice Wednesday and Khalil Shakir was limited. So Buffalo seems
Speaker 1: pretty banged up and seems unsteady. I I still believe
Speaker 1: both of these teams are super dangerous come the postseason.
Speaker 1: But if Buffalo loses at home after losing to Miami,
Speaker 1: I think there is a chance for some real drama there.
Speaker 1: It feels like amongst the fans there's already a lot
Speaker 1: of discontent. Some fans don't like the GM, a lot
Speaker 1: of fans don't like the head coach. A lot of
Speaker 1: fans seem to not like Joe Brady anymore, and they
Speaker 1: do all of a sudden, the Bills, who were supposed
Speaker 1: to have the super soft schedule but didn't take full
Speaker 1: advantage of it with the losses to the Falcons and
Speaker 1: the Dolphins all of a sudden, their next handful of
Speaker 1: games home for the Bucks at the Texans on Thursday,
Speaker 1: at the Steelers, and then do I have this right? Yeah?
Speaker 1: The yeah, and then against Cincinnati and what should be
Speaker 1: a game against Joe Burrow before you go to New England. Again.
Speaker 1: It's a tough little stretch. So do I think like
Speaker 1: the Bills can full on steady themselves with a win
Speaker 1: this weekend? And they should win, But you'd like to
Speaker 1: see Josh Allen have an a plus clean game with
Speaker 1: some big plays, and you'd like to see that defense
Speaker 1: be able to slow down the run, which they simply
Speaker 1: have not been able to do all year long. On
Speaker 1: the Buck side of things, a great Baker game and
Speaker 1: a win would get him back where he was a
Speaker 1: month into the year in the real thick of the
Speaker 1: MVP conversation, particularly if Stafford and the Rams lose to Seattle.
Speaker 1: And I don't expect Patrick to help himself in the
Speaker 1: MVP race this weekend because obviously they could lose. I
Speaker 1: don't think they will, But even if they win, I
Speaker 1: don't think he's gonna have a huge stats game. And
Speaker 1: then the last game of the weekend that we discussed
Speaker 1: where both teams have real playoff implications is Chargers Jags
Speaker 1: and that is a crazy element of where the AFC
Speaker 1: is right now. And this will probably surprise people. If
Speaker 1: the Jags beat the Chargers, even if Kansas City wins,
Speaker 1: Kansas City will still be on the outside looking in
Speaker 1: of the playoff picture because if the Jags beat the Chargers,
Speaker 1: the Jags will be six and four. Same with the Chiefs.
Speaker 1: So if the Chiefs beat the Broncos, and the Jags
Speaker 1: obviously have the head to head tiebreaker. So that is
Speaker 1: a weird spot for the current Super Bowl favorite Kansas
Speaker 1: City Chiefs that even if they win this weekend they
Speaker 1: might still go into Week twelve on the outside looking
Speaker 1: in of the playoffs for the Jags. And this is why.
Speaker 1: And this applies to the Chiefs even though I think
Speaker 1: they'll be fine. This applies to the Chargers if they
Speaker 1: lose this game. And this applies to the Bills if
Speaker 1: they lose to the Bucks. If the Jags win this game,
Speaker 1: which full disclosure, I don't think they will. I thought
Speaker 1: that loss to the Texans was an abomination the way
Speaker 1: it happened, and since beating the Chiefs, they have one
Speaker 1: win and it came in overtime thanks to a stopped
Speaker 1: two point conversion over the Raiders. But if the Jags
Speaker 1: beat the Chargers, they get to six and four with
Speaker 1: games remaining against the Cardinals, Titans, Jets, and Titans. Again, like,
Speaker 1: the Jags have a very real path even if they
Speaker 1: get swept by the Colts and lose to the Broncos,
Speaker 1: to somehow getting to ten wins and holding the head
Speaker 1: to again if they win this game, holding the head
Speaker 1: to head tiebreaker over the Chargers and over the Chiefs,
Speaker 1: which is which could create some very uncomfortable situations late
Speaker 1: in the season for those two teams. But I think
Speaker 1: the Chargers will be able to win this game. We'll
Speaker 1: see on tomorrow's show if it's one of the picks.
Speaker 1: And I also think the loss of Travis is just
Speaker 1: brutal for him. And do I have hope that the
Speaker 1: Jags can win and we can recreate this iconic video? Sure?
Speaker 1: Do I think it's gonna happen? Probably not last time
Speaker 1: these two teams flighted each other, or at least the
Speaker 1: last big game these two teams played against each other.
Speaker 1: Here's what happened, right, afterwards, I'm gonna tell everyone how
Speaker 1: Nick Wright is drid. The Jaguars were four and eight,
Speaker 1: and somebody had the foresight to say, they're still winning
Speaker 1: the division. And I told you guys a month ago
Speaker 1: that the next time they lose was gonna be in
Speaker 1: Arrowhead to the chiefs in the divisional round.
Speaker 2: Yo, you don't say everybody laughed at me.
Speaker 1: Hold on, guys, man, never a doubt. I go, there's
Speaker 1: a little bit of doubt. The Prince comes through ndefeated
Speaker 1: on Saturday, undefeated on Saturdays.
Speaker 2: I forgot about that stupid take.
Speaker 1: My had I forgot. I forgot about so much of that. Also,
Speaker 1: my hair was a lot shorter. I'm getting a haircut today. Actually,
Speaker 1: maybe I should just play them that video and be like,
Speaker 1: I want that Jags. Look, maybe we'll give Trevor a
Speaker 1: little a little juice, all right? Uh? Quick listener questions
Speaker 1: What presents a bigger problem for Casey in the next
Speaker 1: two games? Broncos deep into the cold, Steve into lu Anarumo.
Speaker 1: I think Broncos defense presents a bigger problem with the
Speaker 1: Colts obviously have a much, much, much more potent offense.
Speaker 1: Rule of halves, Why does no one at first things. First,
Speaker 1: respect Jackson Dart. I think people we respect Jackson Dart.
Speaker 1: I don't. I don't think anybody is uh over the
Speaker 1: top about him. But I don't think people take shots
Speaker 1: at Jackson Dart. And he asks, what's your minimum height
Speaker 1: for an NFL quar quarterback? Six to one? Six one
Speaker 1: is my answer? Uh, Nick, do you think Drake May
Speaker 1: is actually a year after your top five quarterbacks? Seems
Speaker 1: like every year we had a rookie to this tier.
Speaker 1: I know he played last year with his first full year.
Speaker 1: I mean last year is basically a full year. I listen,
Speaker 1: I think he is gonna be in that caliber. And
Speaker 1: I don't add a rookie to that every year. Now.
Speaker 1: I add Caleb to that before his rookie year. But
Speaker 1: I pumped the breaks on c J. Stroud and I
Speaker 1: pumped the breaks on Jaydon Daniels. I believe in I
Speaker 1: believe in Drake May that he's a caliber Brandon. Can
Speaker 1: we please all finally agree Lamar is a better passer
Speaker 1: than Josh Allen. No, we don't. We don't all agree
Speaker 1: on that. Someone asks, I need three best bets for
Speaker 1: this weekend, and I need a win. Tune in tomorrow.
Speaker 1: In fact, that'll do it for us today, like rate, subscribe,
Speaker 1: review gambling show tomorrow. Thank you to our wonderful sponsors
Speaker 1: at hard Rock, bet Boost, Seat Geek, and our friends
Speaker 1: at Zen. Also shout out to Blue Dock and Volume.
Speaker 1: See guys tomorrow for our Week eleven Gambling show