1 00:00:01,360 --> 00:00:01,720 Speaker 1: Welcome. 2 00:00:01,760 --> 00:00:04,640 Speaker 2: It is verdict was Senator Ted Cruz ben Ferguson with 3 00:00:04,720 --> 00:00:08,360 Speaker 2: you as well. And we are going to obviously talk 4 00:00:08,480 --> 00:00:11,920 Speaker 2: about the most famous mugshot I think in political history 5 00:00:11,960 --> 00:00:14,360 Speaker 2: of Donald Trump coming out of Georgia. What this means 6 00:00:14,360 --> 00:00:16,560 Speaker 2: to the campaign. We're going to do that for you 7 00:00:16,640 --> 00:00:18,920 Speaker 2: in a second. But we're also going to talk about 8 00:00:18,960 --> 00:00:22,120 Speaker 2: the presidential debate. Now here's the cool part. We're going 9 00:00:22,200 --> 00:00:23,520 Speaker 2: to talk about what it's like to be in a 10 00:00:23,520 --> 00:00:27,720 Speaker 2: presidential debate, how you prep for presidential debate, and what 11 00:00:27,760 --> 00:00:29,600 Speaker 2: it's like to walk out there for the first time, 12 00:00:29,640 --> 00:00:31,920 Speaker 2: because for many of these people they had never been 13 00:00:31,920 --> 00:00:35,040 Speaker 2: in this position before. Senator you watch the debate, give 14 00:00:35,120 --> 00:00:38,720 Speaker 2: us your overall review of this debate, this first debate 15 00:00:38,760 --> 00:00:40,920 Speaker 2: with Donald Trump not showing up. Was that smart of 16 00:00:41,000 --> 00:00:43,000 Speaker 2: him not to show up? And how did you think 17 00:00:43,040 --> 00:00:44,159 Speaker 2: people did on that stage? 18 00:00:45,560 --> 00:00:49,040 Speaker 3: Well, look, I thought everyone did a good job on 19 00:00:49,080 --> 00:00:54,640 Speaker 3: Wednesday night. That being said, I think there were clear 20 00:00:54,680 --> 00:00:57,960 Speaker 3: winners that came out of the night. And to my view, 21 00:00:58,800 --> 00:01:01,160 Speaker 3: there were four winners that came out of the debate. 22 00:01:02,400 --> 00:01:06,319 Speaker 3: Number one was Vivek Ramaswami. He had a very strong 23 00:01:06,360 --> 00:01:08,880 Speaker 3: performance that night. Many Americans had ever heard of him, 24 00:01:08,880 --> 00:01:11,360 Speaker 3: didn't know him, and I think he impressed a lot 25 00:01:11,360 --> 00:01:15,000 Speaker 3: of people. His stock went up. He's going to raise 26 00:01:15,000 --> 00:01:16,880 Speaker 3: a lot of money off of that. He's going to 27 00:01:16,920 --> 00:01:19,840 Speaker 3: go up in the polls, particularly in the early primary states. 28 00:01:20,800 --> 00:01:23,280 Speaker 3: I think Secondly, Nikki Hayley did well. 29 00:01:23,560 --> 00:01:28,720 Speaker 4: On Wednesday Night. She was crisp, she was strong. 30 00:01:29,040 --> 00:01:31,960 Speaker 3: She was aiming for a different slice of the electric 31 00:01:32,080 --> 00:01:36,160 Speaker 3: She was not going for the Maga America first slice. 32 00:01:36,200 --> 00:01:39,639 Speaker 3: She was not particularly going for conservative. She was aiming 33 00:01:39,720 --> 00:01:42,600 Speaker 3: much more for the establishment lane. 34 00:01:43,840 --> 00:01:44,839 Speaker 4: But she was. 35 00:01:44,959 --> 00:01:48,800 Speaker 3: Aggressive, smart, well prepared, and I think she strengthened herself. 36 00:01:48,840 --> 00:01:51,480 Speaker 3: She had been out of the news for a while 37 00:01:51,520 --> 00:01:55,800 Speaker 3: and I think she enhanced her standing Wednesday night. The 38 00:01:55,880 --> 00:02:01,560 Speaker 3: third person who I think advanced himself somewhat is Mike Penn. Now, look, 39 00:02:01,640 --> 00:02:03,560 Speaker 3: Mike is a friend. Actually, all these guys, I know 40 00:02:03,600 --> 00:02:06,920 Speaker 3: everyone on the stage well, but Mike is a good man. 41 00:02:07,760 --> 00:02:09,600 Speaker 3: Mike had been having a tough time. He had not 42 00:02:09,880 --> 00:02:11,920 Speaker 3: been getting a lot of traction, and I think he 43 00:02:12,639 --> 00:02:16,040 Speaker 3: was pugnacious. He was in there fighting. I think he 44 00:02:16,080 --> 00:02:21,320 Speaker 3: made a deliberate play for evangelical voters, in particular in Iowa. 45 00:02:21,800 --> 00:02:23,799 Speaker 3: I think there were several of his answers that were 46 00:02:23,840 --> 00:02:27,320 Speaker 3: directed very much at evangelical voters, and I think he 47 00:02:27,320 --> 00:02:30,240 Speaker 3: probably helped himself. He reminded I mean, Mike is is 48 00:02:30,320 --> 00:02:33,520 Speaker 3: a Christian, a strong believer, and I think he reminded 49 00:02:33,520 --> 00:02:36,720 Speaker 3: people what they've always liked about Mike Pence. I think 50 00:02:36,760 --> 00:02:41,120 Speaker 3: he enhanced himself somewhat on Wednesday Night, But none of 51 00:02:41,120 --> 00:02:44,200 Speaker 3: the three of those were the biggest winners. I think, 52 00:02:44,320 --> 00:02:48,040 Speaker 3: by far the biggest winner Wednesday night was Donald Trump, 53 00:02:48,639 --> 00:02:51,560 Speaker 3: and I think Trump was very happy with everything that 54 00:02:51,600 --> 00:02:55,680 Speaker 3: went down. And the reason for that is severalfold. 55 00:02:55,800 --> 00:02:56,200 Speaker 4: Number one. 56 00:02:56,240 --> 00:03:00,320 Speaker 3: Obviously, Trump didn't show up, and by not showing up, 57 00:03:00,720 --> 00:03:04,080 Speaker 3: he forces a dynamic on the entire debate. 58 00:03:04,680 --> 00:03:06,880 Speaker 4: That it's very difficult to avoid. 59 00:03:06,919 --> 00:03:10,160 Speaker 3: The analogy of you think back in twenty sixteen, when 60 00:03:10,200 --> 00:03:13,440 Speaker 3: there were two debate stages, the main debate stage for 61 00:03:13,480 --> 00:03:15,280 Speaker 3: the candidates that were leading in the polls, and then 62 00:03:15,320 --> 00:03:17,480 Speaker 3: they had a second debate stage for the candidates that 63 00:03:17,520 --> 00:03:22,000 Speaker 3: were relatively low in the polls, and almost everyone referred 64 00:03:22,040 --> 00:03:24,960 Speaker 3: to the second stage as the kiddie table. And I 65 00:03:24,960 --> 00:03:33,000 Speaker 3: think by Trump's absence, it had the effect of diminishing everyone. 66 00:03:32,680 --> 00:03:34,200 Speaker 4: On that stage, and I think that's what he wanted. 67 00:03:34,240 --> 00:03:35,800 Speaker 4: I think that was his intention. He has a big 68 00:03:35,920 --> 00:03:37,640 Speaker 4: lead in the polls, but. 69 00:03:37,680 --> 00:03:42,040 Speaker 3: I think his absence made it feel like he's on 70 00:03:42,080 --> 00:03:44,840 Speaker 3: a stage by himself and everyone else is on the 71 00:03:44,880 --> 00:03:49,440 Speaker 3: other stage fighting between themselves. But secondly, and this is 72 00:03:49,480 --> 00:03:52,760 Speaker 3: the biggest reason why I think Trump was benefited. You 73 00:03:52,800 --> 00:03:54,880 Speaker 3: and I have talked about before, how I think this 74 00:03:55,040 --> 00:04:01,760 Speaker 3: primary is principally a two person race, person race between 75 00:04:01,760 --> 00:04:03,080 Speaker 3: Trump and Ron DeSantis. 76 00:04:04,040 --> 00:04:04,440 Speaker 4: Uh. 77 00:04:04,600 --> 00:04:08,320 Speaker 3: DeSantis did fine on Wednesday night. He didn't screw anything up, 78 00:04:08,320 --> 00:04:09,360 Speaker 3: he didn't have any gaffs. 79 00:04:10,320 --> 00:04:10,680 Speaker 4: UH. 80 00:04:10,760 --> 00:04:15,000 Speaker 3: But he did not dominate. He did not own that stage. 81 00:04:15,080 --> 00:04:17,719 Speaker 3: He was not clearly head and shoulders above the rest. 82 00:04:18,720 --> 00:04:22,599 Speaker 4: Uh. And and for the DeSantis campaign, that's a problem. Uh. 83 00:04:22,640 --> 00:04:27,839 Speaker 3: In particular, the problem for DeSantis is what I started 84 00:04:27,839 --> 00:04:35,040 Speaker 3: by saying that Vivek and Hayley, h and Pence all 85 00:04:35,080 --> 00:04:37,840 Speaker 3: did quite well. I think all three of them are 86 00:04:37,839 --> 00:04:41,000 Speaker 3: going to enhance their numbers. And if their numbers are 87 00:04:41,040 --> 00:04:44,920 Speaker 3: going to be enhanced, that comes out of DeSantis's hide. 88 00:04:44,800 --> 00:04:44,920 Speaker 4: Ye. 89 00:04:45,600 --> 00:04:49,520 Speaker 3: For DeSantis to have a shot at beating Trump, it's 90 00:04:49,520 --> 00:04:51,839 Speaker 3: got to be a two man race. And so the 91 00:04:51,880 --> 00:04:54,640 Speaker 3: reason why I think Trump was the biggest winner Wednesday 92 00:04:54,720 --> 00:04:58,960 Speaker 3: night is that I think after the debate there were 93 00:04:59,120 --> 00:05:03,360 Speaker 3: more tenders gaining traction. And the more the contenders are 94 00:05:03,400 --> 00:05:07,360 Speaker 3: splitting support among multiple candidates, the better off Trump is. 95 00:05:07,600 --> 00:05:10,400 Speaker 3: And and so that's why I think the Trump team 96 00:05:10,520 --> 00:05:12,760 Speaker 3: was very happy when the debate was over, because he 97 00:05:12,800 --> 00:05:15,560 Speaker 3: looked at the field and saw the Veke gaining a 98 00:05:15,600 --> 00:05:19,400 Speaker 3: few points, Haley gating a few points, Pence gaining a 99 00:05:19,400 --> 00:05:24,279 Speaker 3: few points, and if they're splintered, that makes it much 100 00:05:24,320 --> 00:05:27,559 Speaker 3: harder for anyone on that stage to credibly go after 101 00:05:27,640 --> 00:05:28,799 Speaker 3: Trump when he's got. 102 00:05:28,600 --> 00:05:31,440 Speaker 4: A thirty forty point lead over the field. 103 00:05:31,560 --> 00:05:37,919 Speaker 3: And I didn't see anything Wednesday night that significantly changed 104 00:05:37,960 --> 00:05:40,679 Speaker 3: the dynamic of the large advantage Trump has. 105 00:05:41,160 --> 00:05:43,000 Speaker 2: You know, sometimes there's a little bit of humor that 106 00:05:43,000 --> 00:05:45,960 Speaker 2: you have in these moments. I'd started my podcast this 107 00:05:46,040 --> 00:05:49,080 Speaker 2: Morning Center by saying, well, it was an incredible vice 108 00:05:49,120 --> 00:05:52,360 Speaker 2: presidential I'm sorry, I mean presidential debate, but that's kind 109 00:05:52,400 --> 00:05:54,880 Speaker 2: of what you're saying in a sense is no one 110 00:05:55,040 --> 00:05:58,920 Speaker 2: really moved up, and it's a significant way or solidified 111 00:05:59,000 --> 00:06:03,400 Speaker 2: or really took away from the group overall to challenge Trump, 112 00:06:03,480 --> 00:06:07,560 Speaker 2: who's still probably fifty points ahead. And again, you can 113 00:06:07,640 --> 00:06:09,200 Speaker 2: lose a lot of the debate if you're the winner, 114 00:06:10,120 --> 00:06:12,200 Speaker 2: if you're the leader, I should say, but you can 115 00:06:12,600 --> 00:06:14,880 Speaker 2: you can lose a lot very quickly if you're the 116 00:06:15,200 --> 00:06:18,080 Speaker 2: If you're the leader and you don't perform really well, Trump, 117 00:06:18,200 --> 00:06:20,400 Speaker 2: not even having to show up his poll numbers, are 118 00:06:20,440 --> 00:06:22,760 Speaker 2: going to probably say exactly the same this next week. 119 00:06:22,800 --> 00:06:25,479 Speaker 4: Would you agree, Yeah, I think that's right. 120 00:06:26,120 --> 00:06:28,839 Speaker 3: I think Trump will continue to have a very strong 121 00:06:28,880 --> 00:06:32,279 Speaker 3: position in the Republican primary. Now I've also said I 122 00:06:32,279 --> 00:06:34,280 Speaker 3: don't think the primary is over. I think everyone that 123 00:06:34,680 --> 00:06:38,479 Speaker 3: is trying to say Okay, it's it's done is looking 124 00:06:38,480 --> 00:06:40,960 Speaker 3: at it from an a historical lens. I think that 125 00:06:41,520 --> 00:06:45,360 Speaker 3: we still have a vigorous primary ahead of us. But look, 126 00:06:45,400 --> 00:06:48,640 Speaker 3: several things could happen in primaries, in primary debates. Number one, 127 00:06:49,480 --> 00:06:52,880 Speaker 3: in a debate, someone can screw something up badly. Someone 128 00:06:52,920 --> 00:06:55,560 Speaker 3: can tank their their campaign. I don't think anyone did 129 00:06:55,560 --> 00:06:58,680 Speaker 3: that Wednesday night. So no one, no one had a 130 00:06:58,839 --> 00:07:01,640 Speaker 3: major gaff, no one had a moment that that is 131 00:07:01,760 --> 00:07:03,279 Speaker 3: likely to be fatal to their campaign. 132 00:07:03,320 --> 00:07:04,000 Speaker 4: That's important. 133 00:07:05,160 --> 00:07:08,640 Speaker 3: Secondly, you can have a candidate that has a breakthrough 134 00:07:08,680 --> 00:07:12,840 Speaker 3: moment that just energizes, raises a mountain of money, soars 135 00:07:12,880 --> 00:07:15,880 Speaker 3: in the polls, and that's happened a number of times. 136 00:07:16,200 --> 00:07:17,640 Speaker 4: I don't think that happened either. 137 00:07:17,880 --> 00:07:21,360 Speaker 3: I think the winners on that stage that I was 138 00:07:21,400 --> 00:07:26,440 Speaker 3: discussing our relative winners and marginal winners. I think the 139 00:07:27,000 --> 00:07:30,600 Speaker 3: three candidates I identified are likely to gain some of 140 00:07:30,600 --> 00:07:32,480 Speaker 3: the polls. They'll gain a couple of points, they'll gain 141 00:07:32,520 --> 00:07:34,720 Speaker 3: some momentum, They'll raise some money. And that's actually the 142 00:07:34,760 --> 00:07:37,280 Speaker 3: money piece is a big chunk of it. You saw 143 00:07:37,280 --> 00:07:39,880 Speaker 3: in their closing statements several of the candidates pitch their 144 00:07:39,920 --> 00:07:45,320 Speaker 3: websites that's a good debate, can raise you millions of dollars. 145 00:07:46,640 --> 00:07:50,120 Speaker 3: And for all of these candidates, most of these campaigns 146 00:07:50,120 --> 00:07:52,920 Speaker 3: are gasping on fumes. And so that's one component is 147 00:07:52,960 --> 00:07:55,560 Speaker 3: they need the funds to make it to the next debate, 148 00:07:55,640 --> 00:08:00,440 Speaker 3: to make it through. Look, there's a reason presidential candidates 149 00:08:00,520 --> 00:08:03,239 Speaker 3: drop out. It's almost always the same reason they go bronk. 150 00:08:03,720 --> 00:08:04,200 Speaker 1: Yeah. 151 00:08:04,280 --> 00:08:08,240 Speaker 3: Yeah, that's when when campaigns end is when they can 152 00:08:08,320 --> 00:08:10,840 Speaker 3: no longer keep the lights on, they can no longer 153 00:08:10,880 --> 00:08:13,240 Speaker 3: pay the staff, they can no longer travel, they can 154 00:08:13,320 --> 00:08:17,280 Speaker 3: no longer communicate to communicate and politics takes money, and 155 00:08:17,280 --> 00:08:23,640 Speaker 3: and in my view, the fact that other candidates got 156 00:08:23,760 --> 00:08:29,240 Speaker 3: traction hurts the de Santus campaign. Now, I don't think 157 00:08:29,320 --> 00:08:32,160 Speaker 3: the Santus had any bad moments. I think he had 158 00:08:32,200 --> 00:08:36,160 Speaker 3: some good moments Wednesday night. I just don't think there 159 00:08:36,360 --> 00:08:42,839 Speaker 3: was a meaningful gulf between DeSantis and the other candidates 160 00:08:42,840 --> 00:08:45,520 Speaker 3: on the stage. And and in a campaign where you're 161 00:08:45,559 --> 00:08:48,040 Speaker 3: trying to make it a two man race between you 162 00:08:48,120 --> 00:08:50,600 Speaker 3: and Trump, that's not ideal. 163 00:08:52,280 --> 00:08:54,560 Speaker 2: I want to tell you about amazing trip that we 164 00:08:54,600 --> 00:08:57,080 Speaker 2: as Verdict listeners are going to be taking to the 165 00:08:57,120 --> 00:09:01,920 Speaker 2: Holy Land Israel. Israel is the of Judaism, Christianity and 166 00:09:02,080 --> 00:09:04,640 Speaker 2: many of the principles that we hold dear as Americans. 167 00:09:05,000 --> 00:09:07,319 Speaker 2: And I want you to join me and many other 168 00:09:07,400 --> 00:09:13,920 Speaker 2: listeners as we visit sites like the Armageddon Battlefield, Nazareth, Jericho, Jerusalem, Bethlehem. 169 00:09:14,280 --> 00:09:16,640 Speaker 2: You're also on this trip going to set sail on 170 00:09:16,679 --> 00:09:18,720 Speaker 2: the Sea of Galilee, and you're going to float on 171 00:09:18,800 --> 00:09:21,439 Speaker 2: the Dead Sea. We're going to walk in the footsteps 172 00:09:21,440 --> 00:09:24,840 Speaker 2: of biblical figures like King David and Jesus Christ, and 173 00:09:24,840 --> 00:09:27,079 Speaker 2: you're going to do it all together with other listeners 174 00:09:27,120 --> 00:09:29,240 Speaker 2: from around the country. Now, I'm going to meet up 175 00:09:29,240 --> 00:09:33,040 Speaker 2: with you in Jerusalem and you're going to experience the 176 00:09:33,080 --> 00:09:35,680 Speaker 2: city and some of the most amazing sites like the 177 00:09:35,720 --> 00:09:38,880 Speaker 2: Western Wall, the Temple mount The trip is going to 178 00:09:38,920 --> 00:09:42,480 Speaker 2: deepen your understanding of the Bible and of Western civilization. 179 00:09:42,640 --> 00:09:45,720 Speaker 2: We're also going to have with us a spiritual advisor 180 00:09:45,800 --> 00:09:48,640 Speaker 2: pastor who's going to talk at each site about the 181 00:09:48,720 --> 00:09:52,719 Speaker 2: significance in the Bible. With this trip, it is going 182 00:09:52,760 --> 00:09:55,720 Speaker 2: to be incredible. Now you've got time to plan because 183 00:09:55,760 --> 00:09:57,959 Speaker 2: the trip's going to take place May the sixth through 184 00:09:58,000 --> 00:10:01,040 Speaker 2: the fifteenth of twenty twenty four. Now, the good news 185 00:10:01,120 --> 00:10:04,000 Speaker 2: is this is trip is amazing and it's signing. People 186 00:10:04,000 --> 00:10:06,360 Speaker 2: are signing up fast, so you need to find out 187 00:10:06,400 --> 00:10:08,560 Speaker 2: and book your spot now before it's too late. You 188 00:10:08,600 --> 00:10:13,640 Speaker 2: can go right now to Christian Expedition dot com slash ben. 189 00:10:13,720 --> 00:10:17,920 Speaker 2: It's Christian Expedition dot com slash ben. You can also 190 00:10:18,160 --> 00:10:20,440 Speaker 2: call them and get the information got and find out 191 00:10:20,520 --> 00:10:22,880 Speaker 2: everything you need to know about this once in a 192 00:10:22,920 --> 00:10:27,040 Speaker 2: lifetime trip to Israel. Eight seven seven two three four 193 00:10:27,520 --> 00:10:31,800 Speaker 2: three zero zero two. That's eight seven seven two three 194 00:10:31,920 --> 00:10:36,359 Speaker 2: four three zero zero two or online it Christian Expedition 195 00:10:36,800 --> 00:10:41,320 Speaker 2: dot com slash Ben sentater, I wanna I want you 196 00:10:41,360 --> 00:10:43,880 Speaker 2: to pull back the curtain for everybody, because I've got 197 00:10:43,880 --> 00:10:45,920 Speaker 2: a million questions that I want to ask. And I 198 00:10:46,080 --> 00:10:49,840 Speaker 2: was around your campaign in twenty sixteen, but there's very 199 00:10:49,880 --> 00:10:54,240 Speaker 2: few that see what happen when it comes to debate prep, 200 00:10:54,600 --> 00:10:57,760 Speaker 2: when it comes into the days and the hours before 201 00:10:57,880 --> 00:11:01,240 Speaker 2: a debate, the nerves that obviously everyone on stage is 202 00:11:01,240 --> 00:11:03,880 Speaker 2: going to feel in some point, especially in your first debate. 203 00:11:04,400 --> 00:11:08,040 Speaker 2: Take us back to twenty sixteen. How did you prep 204 00:11:08,200 --> 00:11:10,440 Speaker 2: for that first president of debate? Like so many were 205 00:11:10,480 --> 00:11:13,160 Speaker 2: having to prep for last night? And you had debated 206 00:11:13,280 --> 00:11:16,440 Speaker 2: in college, you had debated when you're running for senate. 207 00:11:16,840 --> 00:11:19,040 Speaker 2: But did it feel different when you were running for 208 00:11:19,120 --> 00:11:21,880 Speaker 2: president and that first debate? And what was your goal 209 00:11:21,960 --> 00:11:25,280 Speaker 2: for success as a candidate when you walk up there 210 00:11:25,520 --> 00:11:26,440 Speaker 2: night one of a debate? 211 00:11:28,280 --> 00:11:32,319 Speaker 4: Yeah? Well, first of all, does it feel different? Absolutely? 212 00:11:32,440 --> 00:11:37,319 Speaker 3: And I guarantee you everyone on that stage was unbelievably nervous. 213 00:11:39,200 --> 00:11:41,640 Speaker 3: I'm not someone who feels a whole lot of nerves 214 00:11:41,760 --> 00:11:46,880 Speaker 3: very often, but I distinctly remember that first debate in Cleveland. 215 00:11:47,400 --> 00:11:50,880 Speaker 3: Twenty four million people watched that first debate, and I 216 00:11:50,960 --> 00:11:53,160 Speaker 3: remember before the debate, you go out and you do 217 00:11:53,240 --> 00:11:55,480 Speaker 3: a walk through sort of a practice where they show 218 00:11:55,520 --> 00:11:57,360 Speaker 3: you where your podium is, and you stand on the 219 00:11:57,360 --> 00:11:59,800 Speaker 3: stage and you look up this couple hours for the 220 00:12:00,040 --> 00:12:02,480 Speaker 3: bait starts. And I remember standing there and just. 221 00:12:02,440 --> 00:12:03,520 Speaker 4: Looking up and up and up. 222 00:12:03,520 --> 00:12:06,800 Speaker 3: And it was a big, big auditorium in Cleveland, and 223 00:12:07,080 --> 00:12:10,280 Speaker 3: and it kind of takes your breath away. You're like, Okay, 224 00:12:11,080 --> 00:12:13,800 Speaker 3: they're shooting with real bullets here tonight, right like this 225 00:12:13,800 --> 00:12:19,320 Speaker 3: this is for real. Everyone was feeling that on Wednesday night, 226 00:12:19,400 --> 00:12:23,920 Speaker 3: and and and that It's just it is a huge stage. 227 00:12:23,960 --> 00:12:26,600 Speaker 3: Part of the reason that the debates matter so much. 228 00:12:27,520 --> 00:12:30,199 Speaker 3: So much of a presidential debate is and so much 229 00:12:30,200 --> 00:12:34,320 Speaker 3: of a presidential campaign is driven by the media cycle 230 00:12:34,400 --> 00:12:38,400 Speaker 3: is driven by what the news chooses to cover. And look, 231 00:12:38,480 --> 00:12:41,320 Speaker 3: our corporate media is thoroughly corrupt, and so if you 232 00:12:41,400 --> 00:12:43,439 Speaker 3: have a campaign that you're trying to drive a message, 233 00:12:43,480 --> 00:12:47,800 Speaker 3: it can be maddeningly infuriating when the media is doing 234 00:12:47,880 --> 00:12:50,200 Speaker 3: everything they can to frustrate your message and push the 235 00:12:50,240 --> 00:12:53,480 Speaker 3: message they want. And debates are one of the very 236 00:12:53,520 --> 00:12:57,160 Speaker 3: few instances where you can go around the media gatekeepers 237 00:12:57,200 --> 00:13:00,800 Speaker 3: and go straight to the voters and and they, in 238 00:13:00,880 --> 00:13:04,040 Speaker 3: the course of a presidential campaign, debates have the power 239 00:13:04,080 --> 00:13:07,680 Speaker 3: to change the entire trajectory of a debate, either to 240 00:13:07,720 --> 00:13:10,680 Speaker 3: take a candidate out. Look if you remember in twenty 241 00:13:10,720 --> 00:13:14,320 Speaker 3: sixteen the New Hampshire debate where Chris Christie went after 242 00:13:14,400 --> 00:13:18,600 Speaker 3: Marco Rubio hard and I was standing just a few 243 00:13:18,640 --> 00:13:22,240 Speaker 3: feet away from from Christy and I got to tell you, look, 244 00:13:22,280 --> 00:13:25,040 Speaker 3: it's it may be the only time in my life 245 00:13:25,080 --> 00:13:30,640 Speaker 3: I've been physically present for homicide. I mean, holy cow, 246 00:13:30,960 --> 00:13:33,320 Speaker 3: Christy went after him, and I kind of just sort 247 00:13:33,320 --> 00:13:34,560 Speaker 3: of stepped back. 248 00:13:34,960 --> 00:13:35,520 Speaker 4: I sort of. 249 00:13:36,960 --> 00:13:39,440 Speaker 3: Figuratively pulled out a newspaper and just kind of read 250 00:13:39,480 --> 00:13:42,080 Speaker 3: my newspaper, said, you know, never mind, proceed, I'm not 251 00:13:42,120 --> 00:13:45,439 Speaker 3: saying stop, just just leave me out of this. And 252 00:13:45,559 --> 00:13:48,719 Speaker 3: it was and Christy just he wouldn't give up. 253 00:13:48,760 --> 00:13:49,520 Speaker 4: I mean, he just. 254 00:13:49,640 --> 00:13:53,400 Speaker 3: Kept pounding and pounding, and you know, there were a 255 00:13:53,400 --> 00:13:56,360 Speaker 3: few of us thinking, all right, enough, christ you made 256 00:13:56,360 --> 00:13:56,840 Speaker 3: your point. 257 00:13:56,920 --> 00:13:57,719 Speaker 4: But it was it. 258 00:13:58,040 --> 00:14:01,760 Speaker 3: It changed the course of that debate. In that campaign, 259 00:14:02,840 --> 00:14:07,679 Speaker 3: there are other moments where were a candidate soars and 260 00:14:07,679 --> 00:14:13,600 Speaker 3: and they can suddenly get get energy. You know, if 261 00:14:13,679 --> 00:14:17,400 Speaker 3: you remember one of the early debates where where John 262 00:14:17,440 --> 00:14:23,200 Speaker 3: Harwood from CNBC was blasting every candidate and just being nasty, 263 00:14:23,320 --> 00:14:28,760 Speaker 3: was insulting every candidate, was was drippingly condescending, as I remember, 264 00:14:28,880 --> 00:14:32,360 Speaker 3: left wing reporter, and it came to me and I 265 00:14:32,640 --> 00:14:36,520 Speaker 3: just unloaded on him, and and my point was, look, dude, 266 00:14:36,640 --> 00:14:39,440 Speaker 3: this is not about you, this is not your chance. 267 00:14:39,960 --> 00:14:42,920 Speaker 3: You're a friggin Marxist. You intend to vote for the Democrat. 268 00:14:42,960 --> 00:14:45,760 Speaker 3: You want everyone on the stage to lose, and you're 269 00:14:45,880 --> 00:14:49,120 Speaker 3: just insulting every person here. But you know what, the 270 00:14:49,160 --> 00:14:52,240 Speaker 3: American people and Republican primary voters actually give a damn. 271 00:14:52,760 --> 00:14:56,200 Speaker 3: And and I kind of took his head off, and 272 00:14:56,280 --> 00:14:58,160 Speaker 3: I got to tell you, the impact that our campaign 273 00:14:58,240 --> 00:15:02,200 Speaker 3: was astonishing. I mean we had that night, like as 274 00:15:02,280 --> 00:15:06,240 Speaker 3: the debate was ongoing, suddenly our fundraising exploded. I think 275 00:15:06,240 --> 00:15:08,400 Speaker 3: I think we raised over a million bucks the next day. 276 00:15:09,000 --> 00:15:10,680 Speaker 3: I mean, it was Pete. 277 00:15:10,640 --> 00:15:11,200 Speaker 4: It was a moment. 278 00:15:11,920 --> 00:15:12,920 Speaker 1: Yeah, it was the moment. 279 00:15:12,960 --> 00:15:15,040 Speaker 2: I remember watching it and I was sitting there when 280 00:15:15,080 --> 00:15:17,960 Speaker 2: that happened, and I was watching it, and obviously I 281 00:15:18,000 --> 00:15:20,080 Speaker 2: was yelling at the TV. I was there at that 282 00:15:20,160 --> 00:15:22,760 Speaker 2: debate and we were I was back in a green 283 00:15:22,800 --> 00:15:24,680 Speaker 2: room getting ready to do TV afterwards, and it was 284 00:15:24,800 --> 00:15:27,080 Speaker 2: like that is a moment that everybody in the room 285 00:15:27,240 --> 00:15:30,760 Speaker 2: was writing down on their notebook because everyone referenced that 286 00:15:30,800 --> 00:15:33,120 Speaker 2: not on TV like this was a moment in the 287 00:15:33,160 --> 00:15:36,560 Speaker 2: debate that no one was going to forget well. 288 00:15:36,600 --> 00:15:39,680 Speaker 3: And the mechanics of what happens when you have a 289 00:15:39,800 --> 00:15:45,040 Speaker 3: moment that that resonates your fundraising explodes. And I remember 290 00:15:45,080 --> 00:15:47,360 Speaker 3: we went back out on the roads and suddenly our 291 00:15:47,480 --> 00:15:52,320 Speaker 3: crowds that had been three four hundred became a thousand. 292 00:15:52,480 --> 00:15:57,080 Speaker 3: Like it it the impact was almost instantaneous that that 293 00:15:57,240 --> 00:15:59,600 Speaker 3: people are like, hey, I want to see with this 294 00:15:59,640 --> 00:16:04,200 Speaker 3: campaign is about. And so there's very little in a 295 00:16:04,240 --> 00:16:08,880 Speaker 3: campaign that has the potential of a debate to change 296 00:16:08,920 --> 00:16:17,360 Speaker 3: the underlying dynamic powerfully. And last night, as I said, 297 00:16:17,400 --> 00:16:22,080 Speaker 3: I don't think anyone had a disqualifying gaff that killed them. 298 00:16:22,400 --> 00:16:25,560 Speaker 3: I don't think anyone had a dominant breakout. But I 299 00:16:25,600 --> 00:16:27,880 Speaker 3: do think Vivek had the best performance of the night. 300 00:16:28,520 --> 00:16:30,800 Speaker 1: I and is that because we didn't know him. 301 00:16:30,880 --> 00:16:33,800 Speaker 2: I mean, it's easier for people to go notice you 302 00:16:33,920 --> 00:16:36,200 Speaker 2: if they haven't seen you before. Everybody else on stage 303 00:16:36,240 --> 00:16:38,640 Speaker 2: people had kind of seen I thought it was one 304 00:16:38,640 --> 00:16:40,800 Speaker 2: of those moments where it's like, oh, I noticed you 305 00:16:40,880 --> 00:16:43,200 Speaker 2: now in the room, and you were look like I 306 00:16:43,240 --> 00:16:45,480 Speaker 2: think part of it was this. He looked like he 307 00:16:45,640 --> 00:16:47,880 Speaker 2: was genuinely having fun and happy to be there. 308 00:16:48,360 --> 00:16:49,480 Speaker 4: He was having a blast. 309 00:16:49,680 --> 00:16:51,560 Speaker 3: The two people who had the most fun on that 310 00:16:51,640 --> 00:16:55,560 Speaker 3: stage were Vivek and Chris Christy. Yea, and listen, Christy 311 00:16:55,680 --> 00:16:57,840 Speaker 3: has the advantage he's done this before, and it's just 312 00:16:58,000 --> 00:17:00,600 Speaker 3: different when you've done it before. He he was the 313 00:17:00,600 --> 00:17:04,200 Speaker 3: one least scared to be there, and he walked out 314 00:17:04,240 --> 00:17:06,840 Speaker 3: on that stage and his objective is to beat the 315 00:17:06,880 --> 00:17:09,439 Speaker 3: crap out of Donald Trump. And he's just gonna stand 316 00:17:09,480 --> 00:17:11,960 Speaker 3: there and just pound Trump. And that's that's what he's 317 00:17:12,000 --> 00:17:13,760 Speaker 3: decided to do, and he was having fun with it. 318 00:17:14,800 --> 00:17:20,840 Speaker 3: Vivek is smart and he I'm sure he was nervous, 319 00:17:20,880 --> 00:17:25,040 Speaker 3: but he seemed very relaxed. It was actually impressive to 320 00:17:25,119 --> 00:17:28,200 Speaker 3: be to come across as relaxed as he as he did, 321 00:17:28,960 --> 00:17:32,240 Speaker 3: given what surely were the nerves he was feeling. Now, 322 00:17:32,240 --> 00:17:35,640 Speaker 3: you asked about the prep session, So, so everyone prepares differently. 323 00:17:37,000 --> 00:17:40,159 Speaker 3: Often people prepare by They will sit down and do 324 00:17:40,240 --> 00:17:42,840 Speaker 3: a moot and they will get other people to play 325 00:17:42,880 --> 00:17:43,400 Speaker 3: the other. 326 00:17:43,280 --> 00:17:46,679 Speaker 4: Candidates, and that can be it. 327 00:17:47,920 --> 00:17:50,040 Speaker 3: We did a little bit of it at the beginning, 328 00:17:50,119 --> 00:17:52,840 Speaker 3: but that's not actually how we did our principal preparation. 329 00:17:53,119 --> 00:17:58,040 Speaker 3: So fairly early on our debate prep, we would typically 330 00:17:58,080 --> 00:18:00,680 Speaker 3: spend at least a full day, in some times two 331 00:18:00,720 --> 00:18:04,480 Speaker 3: full days preparing for a debate, and we just block 332 00:18:04,560 --> 00:18:07,760 Speaker 3: the time off and not be out campaigning, not doing fundraisers, 333 00:18:07,920 --> 00:18:11,080 Speaker 3: just just be locked at a conference room. And I 334 00:18:11,280 --> 00:18:15,160 Speaker 3: treated debate prep the same way I treated Supreme Court 335 00:18:15,280 --> 00:18:18,240 Speaker 3: oral arguments. So I've argued nine cases in front of 336 00:18:18,240 --> 00:18:21,399 Speaker 3: the Supreme Court, I've done a lot of oral argument preps, 337 00:18:21,400 --> 00:18:23,760 Speaker 3: and sort of like for a Supreme Court oral argument, 338 00:18:24,640 --> 00:18:26,960 Speaker 3: many people do moots where you stand up and have 339 00:18:27,040 --> 00:18:29,520 Speaker 3: people pretend to be Supreme Court justices and ask questions, 340 00:18:29,560 --> 00:18:32,560 Speaker 3: and I've done a lot of those. But actually, particularly 341 00:18:32,640 --> 00:18:35,239 Speaker 3: as I did more and more arguments, I tended to 342 00:18:35,240 --> 00:18:40,239 Speaker 3: favor getting really really smart people in the room and 343 00:18:40,280 --> 00:18:44,159 Speaker 3: then talking through Okay, what do we want to do, 344 00:18:44,240 --> 00:18:46,160 Speaker 3: so let me let me address it from the Supreme 345 00:18:46,200 --> 00:18:48,720 Speaker 3: Court perspective first and then apply it to the debate. 346 00:18:49,480 --> 00:18:51,679 Speaker 3: So for a Supreme Court oral argument, I'd have a 347 00:18:51,760 --> 00:18:55,920 Speaker 3: really smart team of lawyers, Supreme Court advocates, experienced constitutional 348 00:18:56,000 --> 00:18:59,359 Speaker 3: lawyers sit around the table, and I'd be one question. 349 00:18:59,359 --> 00:19:01,400 Speaker 3: I would always say, ask, is all right, what are 350 00:19:01,480 --> 00:19:04,879 Speaker 3: our must raise points? What are the points where if 351 00:19:04,920 --> 00:19:08,000 Speaker 3: when my argument is done and I sit down, I 352 00:19:08,080 --> 00:19:11,440 Speaker 3: have not said I'm gonna kick myself, I'm gonna be 353 00:19:11,520 --> 00:19:14,960 Speaker 3: like you idiot, you had to say this point. And 354 00:19:15,320 --> 00:19:17,399 Speaker 3: so I would go into any oral argument with a 355 00:19:17,480 --> 00:19:22,359 Speaker 3: one pager of typically three to five must raise points 356 00:19:22,359 --> 00:19:25,360 Speaker 3: that I thought were the most important points. They were 357 00:19:25,440 --> 00:19:27,600 Speaker 3: what I wanted the justices to hear and know, and 358 00:19:27,680 --> 00:19:29,960 Speaker 3: I was going to make sure to make them. That's 359 00:19:30,080 --> 00:19:32,679 Speaker 3: part of debate prep figuring out, Okay, what are the 360 00:19:32,680 --> 00:19:36,439 Speaker 3: points that are most important for you to say. Another 361 00:19:36,520 --> 00:19:40,960 Speaker 3: part of debate prep is what's your strategy? And they 362 00:19:41,000 --> 00:19:42,960 Speaker 3: are different times, So I'll tell you how we would 363 00:19:42,960 --> 00:19:46,119 Speaker 3: approach it. We would talk about whether you want to 364 00:19:48,720 --> 00:19:52,240 Speaker 3: how vigorously you want to engage with other candidates on 365 00:19:52,359 --> 00:19:56,639 Speaker 3: the stage, and that depends on strategically and tactically where 366 00:19:56,640 --> 00:19:59,800 Speaker 3: you are. There were debates where we said, okay, we're 367 00:19:59,800 --> 00:20:02,240 Speaker 3: go to mix it up. We're gonna and the analogy 368 00:20:02,280 --> 00:20:04,480 Speaker 3: we always used is we're going to scrape some paint 369 00:20:04,480 --> 00:20:06,240 Speaker 3: off the doors. We're gonna get out in a demolition 370 00:20:06,359 --> 00:20:09,639 Speaker 3: derby and mix it up and take some shots and 371 00:20:09,680 --> 00:20:13,679 Speaker 3: have some shots back and forth, and that there are. 372 00:20:13,560 --> 00:20:15,240 Speaker 4: Times when you need to do that. 373 00:20:15,680 --> 00:20:20,159 Speaker 3: I think that DeSantis camp expected the other candidates to 374 00:20:20,160 --> 00:20:24,200 Speaker 3: be coming at him and mixing it up a little, 375 00:20:24,240 --> 00:20:28,240 Speaker 3: and they didn't. So much like Sherlock Holmes, some of 376 00:20:28,280 --> 00:20:30,960 Speaker 3: what was interesting about the debate were the dogs that 377 00:20:31,000 --> 00:20:35,520 Speaker 3: didn't bark. Very few of the candidates attacked Ron DeSantis, 378 00:20:35,640 --> 00:20:38,040 Speaker 3: and so I think all of the other people on 379 00:20:38,119 --> 00:20:41,080 Speaker 3: that stage view to Santus as their principal impediment, but 380 00:20:41,440 --> 00:20:45,280 Speaker 3: they really didn't go after him directly. What is interesting 381 00:20:45,359 --> 00:20:50,600 Speaker 3: also is very few of the candidates went after Donald Trump. 382 00:20:50,840 --> 00:20:55,600 Speaker 3: It was actually fascinating. Yeah, how little Trump's name was 383 00:20:55,640 --> 00:20:58,400 Speaker 3: said is said in that room. Look the guy's got 384 00:20:58,440 --> 00:21:02,520 Speaker 3: a thirty forty point lead in polls. And yet now, 385 00:21:02,560 --> 00:21:05,239 Speaker 3: look you have some exceptions, Chris Christy, whatever, you know, 386 00:21:05,280 --> 00:21:07,040 Speaker 3: you ask him what time of day it is, the 387 00:21:07,119 --> 00:21:09,560 Speaker 3: time is Trump is terrible? Okay, fine, that's that's what 388 00:21:09,680 --> 00:21:16,240 Speaker 3: Christy's gonna say. But the other candidates, DeSantis, if if 389 00:21:16,240 --> 00:21:17,480 Speaker 3: he criticized Trump, I. 390 00:21:17,880 --> 00:21:22,399 Speaker 4: Don't remember it. It wasn't much of anything Vivek. I 391 00:21:22,440 --> 00:21:24,680 Speaker 4: can't remember any criticism of Trump at all. 392 00:21:24,960 --> 00:21:26,680 Speaker 2: No, he said he was the best president of the twenty 393 00:21:26,680 --> 00:21:29,280 Speaker 2: first century. He was making it very clear from the beginning, 394 00:21:29,359 --> 00:21:31,439 Speaker 2: I'm not here to make Trump supporters hate me. 395 00:21:32,760 --> 00:21:33,640 Speaker 4: I think that's right. 396 00:21:33,680 --> 00:21:35,920 Speaker 3: And a lot of people have speculated that the role 397 00:21:36,119 --> 00:21:39,080 Speaker 3: Vivek is doing is is being something of a stalking 398 00:21:39,080 --> 00:21:42,879 Speaker 3: horse for Trump. That that and and I don't know 399 00:21:42,880 --> 00:21:46,800 Speaker 3: if that's true or not, but he was certainly full 400 00:21:46,960 --> 00:21:51,800 Speaker 3: throatedly defending Trump. Look, I remember back to twenty sixteen, 401 00:21:51,840 --> 00:21:55,240 Speaker 3: and there were portions of the debates early on where 402 00:21:55,280 --> 00:21:59,280 Speaker 3: I made a conscious decision not to go at Trump, 403 00:21:59,320 --> 00:22:02,960 Speaker 3: not to vigorous engaged Trump, and Trump and I early 404 00:22:03,000 --> 00:22:05,360 Speaker 3: in the primary, had a very good relationship, a very 405 00:22:05,359 --> 00:22:07,879 Speaker 3: friendly relationship. It drove the media crazy because they wanted 406 00:22:07,880 --> 00:22:11,320 Speaker 3: me to blast him and I wasn't doing that. There 407 00:22:11,359 --> 00:22:13,800 Speaker 3: were later stages in the debate. Look what came down 408 00:22:13,840 --> 00:22:16,359 Speaker 3: to basically a two man battle between me and Trump. 409 00:22:17,080 --> 00:22:19,920 Speaker 3: Both he and I took the gloves off and began 410 00:22:20,000 --> 00:22:23,760 Speaker 3: smacking the hell out of each other. And it changed 411 00:22:24,480 --> 00:22:28,080 Speaker 3: based on where the race was and who the relative 412 00:22:28,119 --> 00:22:33,600 Speaker 3: players are. I thought it was interesting that almost nobody 413 00:22:33,920 --> 00:22:38,399 Speaker 3: was trying to prosecute a case number one, that they 414 00:22:38,440 --> 00:22:41,480 Speaker 3: have a stronger record than Trump. So Dessatus made the 415 00:22:41,480 --> 00:22:43,119 Speaker 3: case that he had a great record as Florida, but 416 00:22:43,119 --> 00:22:46,760 Speaker 3: he had very little comparative of his record versus Trump's, 417 00:22:46,760 --> 00:22:50,679 Speaker 3: which I expected more of that in the debate, and 418 00:22:51,040 --> 00:22:56,760 Speaker 3: almost nobody other than again Christy made the case that 419 00:22:56,880 --> 00:23:01,600 Speaker 3: they had a better chance of winning than Trump. I 420 00:23:01,600 --> 00:23:06,400 Speaker 3: guess Nikki Haley did too. Yeah, but Haley is running 421 00:23:06,480 --> 00:23:11,480 Speaker 3: for the moderate establishment lane, and so the argument she 422 00:23:11,720 --> 00:23:16,840 Speaker 3: was making was not It wasn't surprising, but I found 423 00:23:16,880 --> 00:23:20,040 Speaker 3: it interesting how little of that we saw on Wednesday night. 424 00:23:20,680 --> 00:23:23,920 Speaker 2: The biggest shock for me was honestly the lack of 425 00:23:25,440 --> 00:23:29,000 Speaker 2: distinguishing one candidate from the other. And that's something that 426 00:23:29,040 --> 00:23:31,880 Speaker 2: you did a very good job of back in twenty sixteen, 427 00:23:32,640 --> 00:23:34,520 Speaker 2: was making it clear who you were as a candidate. 428 00:23:34,720 --> 00:23:38,080 Speaker 2: Walking away from last night, I don't feel like any 429 00:23:38,080 --> 00:23:41,320 Speaker 2: of these candidates really left an impression of how I 430 00:23:41,359 --> 00:23:45,760 Speaker 2: am very different or unique from the others on the stage. 431 00:23:45,800 --> 00:23:47,520 Speaker 2: I mean, there was there were moments jests where it 432 00:23:47,560 --> 00:23:50,400 Speaker 2: was like, for example, where Vivic, you know, proudly raise 433 00:23:50,440 --> 00:23:52,600 Speaker 2: his hand and said he would support Donald Trump as 434 00:23:52,640 --> 00:23:56,000 Speaker 2: a nominee even if he was, you know, convicted. That 435 00:23:56,160 --> 00:23:59,520 Speaker 2: was one of those moments. And then you saw which 436 00:23:59,680 --> 00:24:02,400 Speaker 2: was into meme. It's been all over the internet over 437 00:24:02,400 --> 00:24:05,119 Speaker 2: the last two days of the other candidates trying to 438 00:24:05,119 --> 00:24:06,560 Speaker 2: figure out what they're going to do. And it was 439 00:24:06,680 --> 00:24:09,720 Speaker 2: probably bad timing because for our bad placement for Desantans 440 00:24:09,760 --> 00:24:12,880 Speaker 2: because right next to him, and you see DeSantis look 441 00:24:13,000 --> 00:24:15,640 Speaker 2: to his right, look to his left, and then he's like, oh okay, 442 00:24:15,560 --> 00:24:17,920 Speaker 2: everybody else raised her hand, I'll raise mine halfway too 443 00:24:17,960 --> 00:24:21,040 Speaker 2: as well. That didn't look good for him. 444 00:24:21,600 --> 00:24:24,879 Speaker 3: DeSantis hesitated, and that hesitation was not a good moment. 445 00:24:24,920 --> 00:24:28,400 Speaker 3: That that is, others are going to use that against him. 446 00:24:28,400 --> 00:24:29,240 Speaker 4: The hesitation. 447 00:24:31,400 --> 00:24:34,560 Speaker 3: What I actually thought one of the most interesting moments 448 00:24:34,560 --> 00:24:38,160 Speaker 3: of the debate happened right after that, where Vivet came 449 00:24:38,280 --> 00:24:42,679 Speaker 3: back and said, and he said it to Pence, he said, 450 00:24:43,240 --> 00:24:46,479 Speaker 3: if I'm elected the I will pardon Donald Trump. 451 00:24:47,000 --> 00:24:48,080 Speaker 4: Will you do the same. 452 00:24:49,320 --> 00:24:51,320 Speaker 3: And I got to tell you, I was surprised, and 453 00:24:51,400 --> 00:24:54,520 Speaker 3: I think it was a strategic mistake by every other 454 00:24:54,600 --> 00:25:00,399 Speaker 3: candidate on that stage not to respond hell yes, like 455 00:25:01,520 --> 00:25:05,200 Speaker 3: the answer should have been absolutely. I will pardon Donald 456 00:25:05,240 --> 00:25:08,960 Speaker 3: Trump on January twentieth, twenty twenty five. 457 00:25:09,200 --> 00:25:09,560 Speaker 4: Why. 458 00:25:10,000 --> 00:25:13,720 Speaker 3: Because this prosecution is an abusive power. This is Merrick 459 00:25:13,800 --> 00:25:16,680 Speaker 3: Garland and Joe Biden who don't trust the voters. They 460 00:25:16,680 --> 00:25:20,520 Speaker 3: are abusing the justice system. These indictments are a sham, 461 00:25:21,280 --> 00:25:24,320 Speaker 3: and the voters ought to decide. And so if I'm elected, 462 00:25:24,840 --> 00:25:28,000 Speaker 3: We're going to end this abuse of power. And even 463 00:25:28,040 --> 00:25:33,880 Speaker 3: if a candidate on that stage despises Donald Trump, that 464 00:25:34,080 --> 00:25:39,399 Speaker 3: was a It was a hanging curveball, and I was 465 00:25:39,600 --> 00:25:45,159 Speaker 3: genuinely surprised that nobody took that opportunity because that was 466 00:25:45,200 --> 00:25:48,000 Speaker 3: a moment to shine and nobody jumped on it. 467 00:25:48,520 --> 00:25:50,240 Speaker 2: I want to tell you about our friends ever at Chalk. 468 00:25:50,320 --> 00:25:52,479 Speaker 2: If you are a guy, you're getting a little bit older, 469 00:25:52,520 --> 00:25:55,200 Speaker 2: and you feel like you're losing some of that strength 470 00:25:55,200 --> 00:25:59,800 Speaker 2: and vitality, and complacency and weakness are starting to set in. 471 00:26:00,040 --> 00:26:01,520 Speaker 2: Maybe you just don't feel like you have the same 472 00:26:01,640 --> 00:26:03,840 Speaker 2: energy you used to have. 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Use the promo code Ben for thirty 491 00:27:04,240 --> 00:27:07,840 Speaker 2: five percent off any chalk subscription for life. That's chock 492 00:27:08,160 --> 00:27:13,720 Speaker 2: choq dot com promo code Ben for thirty five percent off. Sinna, 493 00:27:13,800 --> 00:27:15,879 Speaker 2: I want to ask you one other question about debates, 494 00:27:15,880 --> 00:27:18,000 Speaker 2: because it, I mean, rarely do you get to talk 495 00:27:18,080 --> 00:27:20,400 Speaker 2: to somebody and pull back the curtain. Who's actually done 496 00:27:20,440 --> 00:27:25,680 Speaker 2: this before? If you're leaving this first debate, what changes 497 00:27:26,119 --> 00:27:29,440 Speaker 2: then going into the next debate? If you're if you're 498 00:27:29,520 --> 00:27:32,199 Speaker 2: any of these candidates, now, what do they have to 499 00:27:32,240 --> 00:27:34,199 Speaker 2: do and what could they take away from this? And 500 00:27:34,240 --> 00:27:36,000 Speaker 2: how much do you think the next debate will change 501 00:27:36,040 --> 00:27:38,200 Speaker 2: because of what they weren't two nights ago? 502 00:27:41,040 --> 00:27:43,600 Speaker 3: Well, I think each of the candidates is going to 503 00:27:43,680 --> 00:27:46,560 Speaker 3: come out in a different place. For the candidates that 504 00:27:46,800 --> 00:27:51,200 Speaker 3: didn't gain momentum, they're going to feel a greater urgency. 505 00:27:51,240 --> 00:27:53,000 Speaker 3: Look than the next debate is going to have a 506 00:27:53,080 --> 00:27:55,600 Speaker 3: higher threshold, a higher threshold, a polling to get in 507 00:27:55,640 --> 00:27:59,359 Speaker 3: a higher threshold of donors. I expect the next debate 508 00:27:59,400 --> 00:28:03,560 Speaker 3: to have few candidates on the stage. I suspect at 509 00:28:03,640 --> 00:28:05,920 Speaker 3: least two of the candidates who were there on Wednesday 510 00:28:06,000 --> 00:28:11,160 Speaker 3: night will not be there at the next debate. When 511 00:28:11,240 --> 00:28:16,480 Speaker 3: you're not gaining traction, it impacts every part of the campaign. 512 00:28:17,359 --> 00:28:21,040 Speaker 3: It impacts your large dollar fundraising. Donors are following this, 513 00:28:21,200 --> 00:28:23,359 Speaker 3: and if they think you have momentum, they're excited neger 514 00:28:23,400 --> 00:28:25,640 Speaker 3: to write a check. And if they think you don't 515 00:28:25,640 --> 00:28:29,800 Speaker 3: have momentum, suddenly the money drives up the small dollar fundraising. 516 00:28:29,840 --> 00:28:34,040 Speaker 3: I mean it is an amazing when people are energized, 517 00:28:34,040 --> 00:28:37,240 Speaker 3: when you've got grassroots activists that are really exciting. Look, 518 00:28:37,280 --> 00:28:39,640 Speaker 3: I got to tell you, towards the end of my 519 00:28:39,840 --> 00:28:44,400 Speaker 3: campaign in twenty sixteen, we had online over a million 520 00:28:44,440 --> 00:28:47,560 Speaker 3: bucks a day coming in and it was people were 521 00:28:47,600 --> 00:28:51,400 Speaker 3: just excited. They went to my website, they contributed and it. 522 00:28:51,680 --> 00:28:53,840 Speaker 3: You know, we ended up raising ninety two million dollars, 523 00:28:53,920 --> 00:28:57,200 Speaker 3: which which is still to date the most money any 524 00:28:57,200 --> 00:28:59,960 Speaker 3: Republican has ever raised in the history of presidential prime 525 00:29:00,400 --> 00:29:02,840 Speaker 3: We raised more than George W. Bush or Romney or 526 00:29:02,880 --> 00:29:07,200 Speaker 3: John McCain. When you've got momentum, it rolls aggressively, but 527 00:29:07,600 --> 00:29:13,640 Speaker 3: it unrolls just as vigorously. And so for the candidates 528 00:29:13,680 --> 00:29:18,000 Speaker 3: that didn't have a moment that energized their supporters, they're 529 00:29:18,040 --> 00:29:21,000 Speaker 3: going to find when they're out on the trail their 530 00:29:21,040 --> 00:29:24,680 Speaker 3: crowds are smaller. They go to Nevan and maybe last 531 00:29:24,720 --> 00:29:30,200 Speaker 3: week they had fifty people and tomorrow they have twenty five. 532 00:29:31,200 --> 00:29:35,120 Speaker 3: And that can be a hard look. If you remember 533 00:29:35,200 --> 00:29:38,959 Speaker 3: one hard moment in twenty sixteen, when Jeb Bush went 534 00:29:39,000 --> 00:29:42,000 Speaker 3: his campaign towards the end, he was giving a talk 535 00:29:42,040 --> 00:29:44,440 Speaker 3: and he said and people were not responding and he said, 536 00:29:44,480 --> 00:29:49,920 Speaker 3: please clap, and it was that can be really tough. 537 00:29:50,560 --> 00:29:54,800 Speaker 3: But like, momentum is real in a campaign, and when 538 00:29:54,800 --> 00:29:58,040 Speaker 3: it's with you, it feels great, and when it's going 539 00:29:58,120 --> 00:29:59,320 Speaker 3: away it sucks. 540 00:29:59,600 --> 00:30:00,320 Speaker 4: And and. 541 00:30:01,680 --> 00:30:04,640 Speaker 3: Different candidates from Wednesday night are feeling the good and 542 00:30:04,680 --> 00:30:08,479 Speaker 3: the bad of that, and each debate it kind of 543 00:30:08,600 --> 00:30:13,560 Speaker 3: ratchets up another level. It's sort of like, you know, 544 00:30:13,600 --> 00:30:16,040 Speaker 3: it's sort of like different rounds of March madness with 545 00:30:16,480 --> 00:30:19,520 Speaker 3: the playoff. As it gets to the next level, the 546 00:30:19,560 --> 00:30:20,920 Speaker 3: stakes keep going up and up. 547 00:30:21,760 --> 00:30:25,080 Speaker 2: If you're Donald Trump, do you continue with this? I'm 548 00:30:25,080 --> 00:30:27,320 Speaker 2: not showing up for the debates based on what you 549 00:30:27,360 --> 00:30:28,920 Speaker 2: just saw. Would you show up for the next one 550 00:30:29,000 --> 00:30:29,880 Speaker 2: or would you say hell. 551 00:30:29,760 --> 00:30:34,400 Speaker 4: No, Absolutely, he will skip the next debate. 552 00:30:34,560 --> 00:30:37,520 Speaker 3: I think it's one hundred percent from his perspective, from 553 00:30:37,560 --> 00:30:41,760 Speaker 3: his campaign's perspective, skipping it was a complete win. What 554 00:30:41,960 --> 00:30:44,120 Speaker 3: could have changed it? You remember in twenty sixteen he 555 00:30:44,240 --> 00:30:47,800 Speaker 3: skipped the Iowa debate. Yeah, and he was mad. He 556 00:30:48,160 --> 00:30:50,640 Speaker 3: was mad at Megan Kelly, and he skipped the Iowa debate, 557 00:30:51,680 --> 00:30:54,120 Speaker 3: and then the Iowa caucus happened and I beat him. 558 00:30:54,760 --> 00:30:57,960 Speaker 3: He didn't skip the next debate, but like like, if 559 00:30:58,000 --> 00:31:01,400 Speaker 3: you see an electoral result that that is not good 560 00:31:01,440 --> 00:31:04,480 Speaker 3: for your side, that then you change your path. From 561 00:31:04,520 --> 00:31:07,600 Speaker 3: Trump's perspective, why would he change that? This was it 562 00:31:07,640 --> 00:31:11,800 Speaker 3: was a calculated gamble. If someone had had a breakout 563 00:31:11,920 --> 00:31:17,760 Speaker 3: moment on Wednesday, if someone had sizzled and gained a 564 00:31:17,880 --> 00:31:22,880 Speaker 3: ton of momentum, you could see the Trump team reevaluating. 565 00:31:22,920 --> 00:31:26,800 Speaker 3: If Ron DeSantis had clearly been in a different league 566 00:31:26,840 --> 00:31:29,719 Speaker 3: from everyone else and made clear that he's the principal 567 00:31:30,200 --> 00:31:34,040 Speaker 3: alternative to Trump, and people had rallied behind DeSantis, that 568 00:31:34,080 --> 00:31:36,720 Speaker 3: could have caused the Trump team to reevaluate. If someone 569 00:31:36,760 --> 00:31:40,239 Speaker 3: else had had a moment that just lit every If 570 00:31:40,280 --> 00:31:44,200 Speaker 3: someone had had made an indictment, and I don't mean 571 00:31:44,240 --> 00:31:47,840 Speaker 3: an indictment in the legal sense, but a political indictment 572 00:31:47,880 --> 00:31:52,240 Speaker 3: of Trump had prosecuted the case that they would be 573 00:31:52,480 --> 00:31:56,600 Speaker 3: a better nominee to win in November and lead the 574 00:31:56,640 --> 00:32:00,000 Speaker 3: country than Trump. If someone had really lit it up, 575 00:32:01,200 --> 00:32:04,160 Speaker 3: you could imagine the Trump teams say, Okay, you need 576 00:32:04,200 --> 00:32:06,560 Speaker 3: to get on that stage and fight back against so 577 00:32:06,600 --> 00:32:10,120 Speaker 3: and so. I didn't see anything on Wednesday that's going 578 00:32:10,200 --> 00:32:13,640 Speaker 3: to cause them to reevaluate. And so I think unlessen 579 00:32:13,760 --> 00:32:18,160 Speaker 3: until something changes significantly. My expectation is Trump is not 580 00:32:18,240 --> 00:32:20,240 Speaker 3: showing up at any of these debates. 581 00:32:21,320 --> 00:32:22,640 Speaker 2: Well, the good news is, if you had a bad 582 00:32:22,760 --> 00:32:25,320 Speaker 2: night in the debate stage, twenty hours later, no one 583 00:32:25,360 --> 00:32:27,160 Speaker 2: was talking about you. If you had a good night 584 00:32:27,200 --> 00:32:29,040 Speaker 2: on the debate stage, the bad news for you is 585 00:32:29,040 --> 00:32:32,560 Speaker 2: no one was talking about you afterwards. Because of Donald 586 00:32:32,600 --> 00:32:36,440 Speaker 2: Trump having to head down to Georgia. Not only do 587 00:32:36,520 --> 00:32:39,520 Speaker 2: we have, for the first time in history, a president 588 00:32:39,640 --> 00:32:43,200 Speaker 2: who has an actual mugshot, which they has now become 589 00:32:43,320 --> 00:32:46,400 Speaker 2: probably the most iconic political picture in history. People are 590 00:32:46,400 --> 00:32:49,400 Speaker 2: already selling shirts with it and hats with it. It's 591 00:32:49,480 --> 00:32:54,800 Speaker 2: actually hysterical. But Donald Trump also came out after this happened, 592 00:32:54,840 --> 00:32:57,560 Speaker 2: after he turned himself in, and this is what he 593 00:32:57,640 --> 00:32:59,920 Speaker 2: had to say as he was about to get on 594 00:32:59,920 --> 00:33:01,360 Speaker 2: the plane leaving Atlanta. 595 00:33:01,560 --> 00:33:03,600 Speaker 5: So it's a very sad day for America. This should 596 00:33:03,600 --> 00:33:06,760 Speaker 5: never happen. If you challenge an election, you should be 597 00:33:06,800 --> 00:33:09,320 Speaker 5: able to challenge an election. I thought the election was 598 00:33:09,320 --> 00:33:13,360 Speaker 5: a rigged election. There stolen election, and I should have every. 599 00:33:13,240 --> 00:33:13,840 Speaker 3: Right to do that. 600 00:33:13,920 --> 00:33:15,840 Speaker 5: As you know, you have many people that you've been 601 00:33:15,880 --> 00:33:18,080 Speaker 5: watching over the years do the same thing. Whether it's 602 00:33:18,160 --> 00:33:22,440 Speaker 5: Hillary Clinton or Stacy Abrams or many others. When you 603 00:33:23,320 --> 00:33:25,880 Speaker 5: have that great freedom to challenge, you have to be 604 00:33:25,960 --> 00:33:28,320 Speaker 5: able to otherwise you could have heard dis honest elections. 605 00:33:28,360 --> 00:33:31,520 Speaker 5: What has taken place here is a travesty of justice. 606 00:33:31,560 --> 00:33:34,560 Speaker 5: We did nothing wrong. I did nothing wrong, and everybody 607 00:33:34,600 --> 00:33:37,600 Speaker 5: knows that I've never had such support, and that goes 608 00:33:37,640 --> 00:33:40,480 Speaker 5: with the other ones too. What they're doing is election interference. 609 00:33:40,520 --> 00:33:44,120 Speaker 5: They're trying to interfere with an election. There's never been 610 00:33:44,160 --> 00:33:47,360 Speaker 5: anything like it in our country before. This is their 611 00:33:47,360 --> 00:33:50,800 Speaker 5: way of campaigning. This is one instance, but you have 612 00:33:50,880 --> 00:33:54,880 Speaker 5: three other instances. It's election interference. So I want to 613 00:33:54,880 --> 00:33:57,880 Speaker 5: thank you for being here. We did nothing wrong at all, 614 00:33:58,280 --> 00:34:03,160 Speaker 5: and we have every right angle right to challenge an election. 615 00:34:03,000 --> 00:34:04,320 Speaker 1: That we think is dishonest. 616 00:34:04,320 --> 00:34:05,800 Speaker 4: So we think it's very dishonest. 617 00:34:06,280 --> 00:34:08,120 Speaker 5: So thank you all very much, and I'll see you 618 00:34:08,600 --> 00:34:09,000 Speaker 5: very soon. 619 00:34:09,120 --> 00:34:12,160 Speaker 2: Thank you very much for president with pretty cool, calm 620 00:34:12,160 --> 00:34:15,440 Speaker 2: and collected is Mugshody looked like he was pretty irritated. 621 00:34:15,480 --> 00:34:19,880 Speaker 2: I can imagine why. This to me was one of 622 00:34:19,880 --> 00:34:22,480 Speaker 2: those moments where I'm still in shock by it, honestly, 623 00:34:22,719 --> 00:34:24,680 Speaker 2: like I'm not shocked at what the left has done, 624 00:34:24,760 --> 00:34:26,920 Speaker 2: but when I see this happen. This when I say 625 00:34:26,920 --> 00:34:30,080 Speaker 2: the Democratic Party is dead, they're now communists and socialists. 626 00:34:30,120 --> 00:34:33,080 Speaker 2: This has been in a republic. Ask I still cannot 627 00:34:33,120 --> 00:34:35,680 Speaker 2: believe that the rest of the world, and this does 628 00:34:35,800 --> 00:34:40,200 Speaker 2: make me very angry, is now watching as America is 629 00:34:40,239 --> 00:34:43,480 Speaker 2: losing its way and indicting a former president. How is 630 00:34:43,520 --> 00:34:47,040 Speaker 2: this not one election interference? And how big of a 631 00:34:47,080 --> 00:34:49,000 Speaker 2: fall is this for this country in general? 632 00:34:51,400 --> 00:34:54,120 Speaker 3: Look at Trump is exactly right in what he said there. 633 00:34:54,160 --> 00:34:57,920 Speaker 3: This is blatant election interference. This is partisan and political. 634 00:34:59,520 --> 00:35:02,720 Speaker 3: The demoocrats, both at the federal level and state level, 635 00:35:03,440 --> 00:35:07,960 Speaker 3: hate Donald Trump. They're blinded by their rage and they're 636 00:35:08,160 --> 00:35:11,640 Speaker 3: using the justice system. Listening in this podcast, we've discussed 637 00:35:11,640 --> 00:35:14,440 Speaker 3: at great length each of the four indictments, and so 638 00:35:14,480 --> 00:35:16,719 Speaker 3: you can go back and listen to earlier podcasts if 639 00:35:16,719 --> 00:35:18,880 Speaker 3: you want an analysis of each of them, because we've 640 00:35:19,360 --> 00:35:21,359 Speaker 3: broken them down on a level that you can't get 641 00:35:21,400 --> 00:35:25,800 Speaker 3: on CNN or CBS or ABC or NBC, and all. 642 00:35:25,640 --> 00:35:27,840 Speaker 4: Of them I think are garbage. 643 00:35:28,440 --> 00:35:31,480 Speaker 3: They are partisan and political, particularly when you put it 644 00:35:31,480 --> 00:35:34,239 Speaker 3: in the broader framework, which is that our country is 645 00:35:34,239 --> 00:35:37,640 Speaker 3: more than two centuries old. We've never previously indicted a 646 00:35:37,680 --> 00:35:39,719 Speaker 3: president of the United States, a former president of the 647 00:35:39,800 --> 00:35:42,600 Speaker 3: United States, a major candidate for president of the United States, 648 00:35:43,000 --> 00:35:45,200 Speaker 3: and in less than a year, the Democrats have done 649 00:35:45,239 --> 00:35:50,480 Speaker 3: so four separate times. And you use the phrase banana republic, 650 00:35:50,520 --> 00:35:54,800 Speaker 3: that's what this is. They the Democrats don't trust the voters. 651 00:35:55,200 --> 00:35:57,680 Speaker 3: The reason they're indicting Donald Trump over and over again 652 00:35:58,680 --> 00:36:01,839 Speaker 3: is there afraid he could win November and they want 653 00:36:01,880 --> 00:36:06,759 Speaker 3: to use the legal system to hurt him. And I 654 00:36:06,800 --> 00:36:11,320 Speaker 3: think it is absolutely outrageous. I will say also, look, 655 00:36:12,120 --> 00:36:13,920 Speaker 3: there are a lot of things that you and I 656 00:36:13,960 --> 00:36:16,400 Speaker 3: and many people like about Donald Trump. One of the 657 00:36:16,400 --> 00:36:18,319 Speaker 3: things I like is that he's got enormous guts, and 658 00:36:18,320 --> 00:36:20,080 Speaker 3: he's willing to fight the media. He's willing to fight 659 00:36:20,120 --> 00:36:23,600 Speaker 3: the Democrats. One of the things which I also respect 660 00:36:23,680 --> 00:36:27,640 Speaker 3: is the guy is a marketing and branding genius. And 661 00:36:27,840 --> 00:36:31,279 Speaker 3: I got to say, just the timing of number one, 662 00:36:31,360 --> 00:36:33,600 Speaker 3: you have a debate of all of its rivals, his rivals, 663 00:36:34,239 --> 00:36:39,480 Speaker 3: and he simultaneously does an interview with Tucker Carlson on 664 00:36:39,520 --> 00:36:44,200 Speaker 3: Twitter or on x whatever it's called. That was a 665 00:36:44,600 --> 00:36:48,280 Speaker 3: very strong and effective move. Number Two. The day after 666 00:36:48,360 --> 00:36:53,719 Speaker 3: the debate, he promptly goes and turns himself in and 667 00:36:54,160 --> 00:36:58,040 Speaker 3: has his mugshot released. That was an even stronger move. 668 00:36:58,680 --> 00:37:02,480 Speaker 3: And then number three, he returns to Twitter and his 669 00:37:02,600 --> 00:37:09,680 Speaker 3: first tweet is a tweet of his mugshot, which basically 670 00:37:09,719 --> 00:37:17,920 Speaker 3: broke Twitter. Yeah, that combination sucks all of the energy 671 00:37:18,000 --> 00:37:22,040 Speaker 3: out of every other candidate. And listen, one challenge that 672 00:37:22,080 --> 00:37:24,680 Speaker 3: every candidate in this race not named Donald J. Trump 673 00:37:24,719 --> 00:37:29,200 Speaker 3: faces is the difficulty of driving even ten seconds of 674 00:37:29,560 --> 00:37:36,480 Speaker 3: discussion or narrative, because Trump, by design, seizes and dominates 675 00:37:36,480 --> 00:37:39,280 Speaker 3: the discussion. And I think the last twenty four hours 676 00:37:39,320 --> 00:37:42,800 Speaker 3: are as good an illustration of it as we've ever seen. 677 00:37:43,440 --> 00:37:45,960 Speaker 2: I laugh because the bab one b put up pictures 678 00:37:45,960 --> 00:37:48,880 Speaker 2: of everybody on stage. Last I said, Republicans gathered a 679 00:37:48,880 --> 00:37:51,200 Speaker 2: debate who will lose to Trump in a distant second, 680 00:37:51,840 --> 00:37:54,160 Speaker 2: And then you see what he did and how smart 681 00:37:54,200 --> 00:37:55,960 Speaker 2: he was with this. If you're Donald Trump, and it's 682 00:37:56,000 --> 00:38:00,719 Speaker 2: like plays two big games, wins stupid prizes for the Democrats, 683 00:38:01,000 --> 00:38:03,520 Speaker 2: I'm referencing that, it's like, if you guys keep doing this, 684 00:38:04,160 --> 00:38:07,239 Speaker 2: you seem to just be helping Donald Trump. Now there's 685 00:38:07,280 --> 00:38:10,360 Speaker 2: also many Democrats go, yeah, that's exactly what we want. 686 00:38:10,880 --> 00:38:14,080 Speaker 2: We want Donald Trump to get the nomination. We're not stupid. 687 00:38:14,120 --> 00:38:16,600 Speaker 2: We know exactly what we're doing when we indict him. 688 00:38:17,400 --> 00:38:20,920 Speaker 2: Could this be one of the Democrats? 689 00:38:21,719 --> 00:38:25,080 Speaker 3: Yes, Look one hundred percent, the Democrats want Trump to 690 00:38:25,120 --> 00:38:28,200 Speaker 3: get the nomination. One hundred percent. The corporate media wants 691 00:38:28,239 --> 00:38:32,160 Speaker 3: Trump to get the nomination. They believe he cannot win 692 00:38:32,400 --> 00:38:35,560 Speaker 3: in November. I don't think that's right. I think Trump 693 00:38:35,640 --> 00:38:38,600 Speaker 3: absolutely can win in November. Now I think he can lose. Also, 694 00:38:38,760 --> 00:38:41,239 Speaker 3: we're a very polarized country, and it's clear there are 695 00:38:41,239 --> 00:38:43,120 Speaker 3: a lot of voters that love Trump and a lot 696 00:38:43,160 --> 00:38:45,520 Speaker 3: of voters that hate Trump. And so I don't know 697 00:38:45,600 --> 00:38:48,600 Speaker 3: what happens in a general but I think in the 698 00:38:49,120 --> 00:38:55,160 Speaker 3: in the echosphere, the bubble, that is the left wing, 699 00:38:55,239 --> 00:38:59,400 Speaker 3: that is Democrats, in the media, everyone they know thinks 700 00:38:59,440 --> 00:39:01,960 Speaker 3: Donald Trump is Hitler, and so they want him to 701 00:39:02,000 --> 00:39:04,719 Speaker 3: be the nominee. If he ends up winning in November, 702 00:39:05,600 --> 00:39:10,080 Speaker 3: I have to say the meltdown we saw in twenty sixteen, 703 00:39:10,200 --> 00:39:13,360 Speaker 3: the Rachel Maddows of the world basically having a nervous 704 00:39:13,360 --> 00:39:18,520 Speaker 3: breakdown on television, I think would be utterly dwarfed by 705 00:39:18,520 --> 00:39:22,719 Speaker 3: the reaction if Trump wins again in November. We'll see 706 00:39:22,719 --> 00:39:25,560 Speaker 3: what happens. But I got to say the media desperately 707 00:39:25,600 --> 00:39:26,960 Speaker 3: want him to be the nominee. 708 00:39:28,440 --> 00:39:30,440 Speaker 1: I want to tell you about in Viral Quinns. 709 00:39:30,520 --> 00:39:33,080 Speaker 2: If you are like me, you've got asthma, maybe you 710 00:39:33,120 --> 00:39:36,320 Speaker 2: are allergic to a lot of different things, pollen or dust. 711 00:39:36,440 --> 00:39:41,000 Speaker 2: My wife is just unbelieva are allergic to dust. You 712 00:39:41,040 --> 00:39:43,719 Speaker 2: have got to check out in viral Quinns. You need 713 00:39:43,760 --> 00:39:46,800 Speaker 2: to choose an air purifier, literally, like your life depends 714 00:39:46,840 --> 00:39:51,280 Speaker 2: on it. And this is something that is incredible. Look, 715 00:39:51,400 --> 00:39:53,480 Speaker 2: no matter where you live, you're probably gonna deal with 716 00:39:53,480 --> 00:39:55,759 Speaker 2: bad air quality. This year alone, there's been thirty five 717 00:39:55,800 --> 00:39:59,520 Speaker 2: thousand wildfires that have devastated the US. Toxins and particles 718 00:39:59,520 --> 00:40:02,640 Speaker 2: and wildfire wildfire smoke can penetrate our lungs and threatn 719 00:40:02,680 --> 00:40:07,560 Speaker 2: our health. And that's why Enviralquins developed military grade air 720 00:40:07,640 --> 00:40:11,480 Speaker 2: purification for your home. I have this in my bedroom 721 00:40:11,600 --> 00:40:15,440 Speaker 2: and this thing is a game changer. They just announced 722 00:40:15,480 --> 00:40:17,640 Speaker 2: their biggest sale of the year. 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Last question I got to ask you, Senator, 738 00:41:19,440 --> 00:41:24,520 Speaker 2: is this we're now seeing that they're rushing these prosecutors 739 00:41:24,520 --> 00:41:26,080 Speaker 2: and these people that are coming after Trump. 740 00:41:26,120 --> 00:41:29,200 Speaker 1: This is fourth indictment. They're wanting to pack all this. 741 00:41:29,239 --> 00:41:32,839 Speaker 2: Into the presidential election cycle that we've seen this, it's 742 00:41:32,960 --> 00:41:35,400 Speaker 2: very clear they want to put him in court and 743 00:41:35,480 --> 00:41:40,160 Speaker 2: said on the campaign trail that's election interference by definition. 744 00:41:40,840 --> 00:41:43,520 Speaker 2: Is there a anything Trump can do? Delay and then 745 00:41:43,560 --> 00:41:47,400 Speaker 2: the other question is if he is elected, could he 746 00:41:47,520 --> 00:41:50,200 Speaker 2: still go to jail? How would that work if they 747 00:41:50,280 --> 00:41:52,759 Speaker 2: do find a jury in New York, which is not 748 00:41:52,840 --> 00:41:57,960 Speaker 2: insane idea, or in Delaware or in Atlanta to actually 749 00:41:57,960 --> 00:42:00,120 Speaker 2: say he's guilty, how does that work? 750 00:42:00,160 --> 00:42:00,440 Speaker 1: Now? 751 00:42:00,480 --> 00:42:04,640 Speaker 3: Knowing everything, Yeah, look, we are in uncharted territory. The 752 00:42:04,680 --> 00:42:07,480 Speaker 3: short answer is, nobody knows. This has never happened before. 753 00:42:08,320 --> 00:42:10,520 Speaker 3: I think there is a very real chance we will 754 00:42:10,520 --> 00:42:14,319 Speaker 3: see one or more trials between now and November. And 755 00:42:14,440 --> 00:42:17,440 Speaker 3: I think there is a very real chance, particularly in 756 00:42:17,800 --> 00:42:24,239 Speaker 3: in d C, in New York, or in Atlanta, I 757 00:42:24,239 --> 00:42:28,520 Speaker 3: think we could see convictions. We've talked about how the 758 00:42:28,640 --> 00:42:32,279 Speaker 3: judges and or the juries in those respective places are 759 00:42:32,320 --> 00:42:36,440 Speaker 3: not favorable. I don't expect the convictions to be upheld 760 00:42:36,480 --> 00:42:39,920 Speaker 3: on appeal, but the appeals could take years, and so 761 00:42:40,280 --> 00:42:43,160 Speaker 3: I think there is a very real risk that we 762 00:42:43,239 --> 00:42:45,440 Speaker 3: get to November of next year and Trump will have 763 00:42:45,560 --> 00:42:48,600 Speaker 3: endured a trial and have been convicted, and the matter 764 00:42:48,680 --> 00:42:53,839 Speaker 3: will not be resolved on appeal. What happens when you're 765 00:42:53,920 --> 00:42:59,520 Speaker 3: convicted of a crime, It varies. Sometimes your sentence will 766 00:42:59,520 --> 00:43:03,319 Speaker 3: be stayed pending the appeal. Sometimes it won't. I would 767 00:43:03,400 --> 00:43:07,759 Speaker 3: anticipate that no one would try to incarcerate or no 768 00:43:07,800 --> 00:43:11,880 Speaker 3: one would succeed in incarcerating Trump before the appeal had 769 00:43:11,920 --> 00:43:15,839 Speaker 3: run its course. But look these wild eyed prosecutors. Actually, 770 00:43:15,880 --> 00:43:18,279 Speaker 3: when I said no one would try, as soon as 771 00:43:18,280 --> 00:43:21,319 Speaker 3: I said that, I didn't really believe that, because they're 772 00:43:21,360 --> 00:43:24,600 Speaker 3: brazen enough. I think they would try. I think the 773 00:43:24,640 --> 00:43:27,799 Speaker 3: odds are decent. The appellate courts would say, no, we're 774 00:43:27,840 --> 00:43:32,840 Speaker 3: not going to let Trump go to prison while the 775 00:43:32,920 --> 00:43:36,080 Speaker 3: appeal is pending. We're going to wait to resolve the appeal. 776 00:43:36,120 --> 00:43:40,120 Speaker 3: That's what I would expect. But this is uncharted territory. 777 00:43:40,160 --> 00:43:43,279 Speaker 3: And by the way, there's nothing in the law that 778 00:43:43,440 --> 00:43:50,399 Speaker 3: prevents a candidate for president being incarcerated in jail. There's 779 00:43:50,440 --> 00:43:52,960 Speaker 3: nothing in the law that prevents the Republican nominee or 780 00:43:53,000 --> 00:43:57,160 Speaker 3: the Democrat nominee for president being incarcerated and in prison. 781 00:43:57,800 --> 00:44:00,720 Speaker 3: There's nothing in the law that prevents the sitting president 782 00:44:00,719 --> 00:44:03,880 Speaker 3: of the United States from being incarcerated. Now, the Secret 783 00:44:03,880 --> 00:44:05,640 Speaker 3: Service would have an aneurism. I don't know how that 784 00:44:05,680 --> 00:44:10,400 Speaker 3: would actually mechanically work. If you have the sitting president 785 00:44:10,440 --> 00:44:14,200 Speaker 3: of the United States and sing sing next to murderers 786 00:44:15,560 --> 00:44:19,279 Speaker 3: that's part of why this is such uncharted territory. I 787 00:44:19,320 --> 00:44:21,759 Speaker 3: don't think that will happen, but as I said, I 788 00:44:21,760 --> 00:44:25,040 Speaker 3: do think there's a real risk of a conviction, a trial, 789 00:44:25,080 --> 00:44:26,480 Speaker 3: and a conviction before election day. 790 00:44:26,480 --> 00:44:29,040 Speaker 4: All Right, I want to ask you something, Ben, So 791 00:44:30,160 --> 00:44:31,080 Speaker 4: the mugshot. 792 00:44:31,560 --> 00:44:34,920 Speaker 3: The mugshot is going to be an iconic picture, and 793 00:44:35,000 --> 00:44:40,839 Speaker 3: Trump obviously has an expression of pissed off, angry, badass. 794 00:44:41,920 --> 00:44:46,319 Speaker 3: It's a different approach if you remember different presidential or 795 00:44:46,880 --> 00:44:49,480 Speaker 3: political mug shots. If you remember Rick Perry, if you 796 00:44:49,480 --> 00:44:53,800 Speaker 3: remember Tom Delay. Both of them were indicted, both of 797 00:44:53,840 --> 00:44:56,320 Speaker 3: them had mugshots, and both of them took the same approach, 798 00:44:56,360 --> 00:45:02,680 Speaker 3: which is they grinned, they smiled widely like a political headshot. 799 00:45:03,360 --> 00:45:06,640 Speaker 3: And my question to you is should should Trump have 800 00:45:06,800 --> 00:45:10,239 Speaker 3: smiled or should he have looked as pissed off as 801 00:45:10,239 --> 00:45:13,320 Speaker 3: he was? And I don't think there's an absolute clear answer. 802 00:45:13,360 --> 00:45:16,440 Speaker 3: I have an inclination, but I'm curious what you think. 803 00:45:16,600 --> 00:45:19,680 Speaker 2: Yeah, I think that exactly how he took that picture 804 00:45:19,719 --> 00:45:21,560 Speaker 2: is exactly why he should. Because one of the things 805 00:45:21,560 --> 00:45:24,080 Speaker 2: that's going viral, and this actually has happened while we've 806 00:45:24,080 --> 00:45:27,480 Speaker 2: been recording, is somebody I know put that picture up 807 00:45:27,600 --> 00:45:31,080 Speaker 2: underneath it all capital letters legend and it's now gone 808 00:45:31,080 --> 00:45:34,319 Speaker 2: to like two hundred and eighty thousand retweets. This is 809 00:45:34,400 --> 00:45:36,640 Speaker 2: going to be on I mean now there's like fifteen 810 00:45:36,680 --> 00:45:39,319 Speaker 2: people since we've been doing this taping this that have 811 00:45:39,400 --> 00:45:43,080 Speaker 2: put out T shirts that say rock Star Legend. You know, 812 00:45:43,640 --> 00:45:46,840 Speaker 2: I stand with him. I think this was the perfect 813 00:45:46,920 --> 00:45:47,960 Speaker 2: look of watch me. 814 00:45:48,120 --> 00:45:48,400 Speaker 4: Now. 815 00:45:48,880 --> 00:45:51,600 Speaker 2: You think it was four years of me trying to 816 00:45:51,640 --> 00:45:54,600 Speaker 2: drain the swamp. You have no idea what's coming for you, Washington. 817 00:45:55,000 --> 00:45:56,799 Speaker 2: I would have played it this way. I think it's 818 00:45:56,800 --> 00:45:58,440 Speaker 2: a brilliant mugshot for him. 819 00:46:00,200 --> 00:46:05,160 Speaker 3: Well, it's why he has the the media and marketing 820 00:46:05,200 --> 00:46:07,919 Speaker 3: and branding instincts that he does. And you're right, it's 821 00:46:07,960 --> 00:46:09,840 Speaker 3: going viral and it's making a heck of a statement. 822 00:46:10,280 --> 00:46:12,319 Speaker 2: Yeah, Legend is the one that just made me laugh. 823 00:46:12,360 --> 00:46:14,399 Speaker 2: I was like, yep, that's the one. They're gonna these 824 00:46:14,480 --> 00:46:16,719 Speaker 2: These will be at the next Trump rally and there'll 825 00:46:16,719 --> 00:46:19,439 Speaker 2: be vendors out there selling this mug shot on every 826 00:46:19,480 --> 00:46:22,319 Speaker 2: T shirt ye everything they can get their hat on, 827 00:46:22,480 --> 00:46:24,240 Speaker 2: and and and by the way, by. 828 00:46:24,080 --> 00:46:27,640 Speaker 3: The way, do you do you remember with the first 829 00:46:27,640 --> 00:46:31,440 Speaker 3: indictment the Alvin Bragg indictment, where the Trump team was 830 00:46:31,520 --> 00:46:34,879 Speaker 3: saying they wanted a mug shot. I think they had 831 00:46:34,920 --> 00:46:37,680 Speaker 3: decided that this that was And and by the way, 832 00:46:37,719 --> 00:46:39,759 Speaker 3: the Alvin Brag one, which seems like a long time ago, 833 00:46:39,800 --> 00:46:42,680 Speaker 3: it was the first indictment. We said on verdict at 834 00:46:42,680 --> 00:46:44,759 Speaker 3: the time, Trump will go up ten points in the 835 00:46:44,760 --> 00:46:47,080 Speaker 3: polls in the primary. And that's exactly what happened. We 836 00:46:47,120 --> 00:46:50,880 Speaker 3: predicted it when the Brag indictment came down, and and 837 00:46:50,880 --> 00:46:53,640 Speaker 3: and I think the Trump campaign was disappointed they didn't 838 00:46:53,680 --> 00:46:56,840 Speaker 3: get a mug shot there, and and so ironically, I 839 00:46:56,840 --> 00:46:58,799 Speaker 3: think they're very happy to have the mug shot now. 840 00:46:59,239 --> 00:47:01,400 Speaker 1: All right, I'm gonna ask you this question. Another prediction. 841 00:47:02,040 --> 00:47:06,480 Speaker 2: Then, when the polls come out, post debate, post this indictment, mugshot, 842 00:47:06,719 --> 00:47:10,000 Speaker 2: who moves up the most, and does Trump get even 843 00:47:10,080 --> 00:47:11,319 Speaker 2: higher in the poles than he is now? 844 00:47:12,120 --> 00:47:15,200 Speaker 3: I don't know that Trump goes materially higher, although I 845 00:47:15,239 --> 00:47:19,279 Speaker 3: mean he's he's at a pretty dominant position right now. My 846 00:47:19,480 --> 00:47:23,480 Speaker 3: guess is Ramaswami up the most. Wouldn't surprise me to 847 00:47:23,520 --> 00:47:26,680 Speaker 3: see him pick up four or five points. Wouldn't surprise 848 00:47:26,800 --> 00:47:31,480 Speaker 3: me to see Nikki Haley pick up three points. Wouldn't 849 00:47:31,480 --> 00:47:34,240 Speaker 3: surprise me to see Pence pick up one or two points, 850 00:47:35,440 --> 00:47:40,280 Speaker 3: And that probably comes mostly at the expense of DeSantis, 851 00:47:40,320 --> 00:47:44,320 Speaker 3: maybe some at the expense of Tim Scott's, and maybe 852 00:47:44,360 --> 00:47:46,359 Speaker 3: a little bit at the expense of Trump. But I'm 853 00:47:46,440 --> 00:47:49,480 Speaker 3: not sure. I kind of feel like the people on 854 00:47:49,560 --> 00:47:52,520 Speaker 3: that stage are fishing in a different pond than Trump is. 855 00:47:52,960 --> 00:47:55,000 Speaker 1: Yeah, no doubt about it. Don't forget. 856 00:47:55,000 --> 00:47:58,640 Speaker 2: We do this show Monday, Wednesday and Fridays, so make 857 00:47:58,680 --> 00:48:01,160 Speaker 2: sure you hit that follow or a subscribe button. And 858 00:48:01,200 --> 00:48:03,439 Speaker 2: on those days when we don't publish. We've never said 859 00:48:03,440 --> 00:48:05,160 Speaker 2: this before, and we probably should have said it more. 860 00:48:05,200 --> 00:48:08,040 Speaker 2: I do a podcast, Ben Ferguson Podcast. Make sure you 861 00:48:08,080 --> 00:48:10,920 Speaker 2: download that wherever you get your podcasts. Is I do 862 00:48:11,120 --> 00:48:14,440 Speaker 2: a unique podcast on those days in between. So if 863 00:48:14,480 --> 00:48:17,200 Speaker 2: you're looking for something to keep you updated in between 864 00:48:17,239 --> 00:48:19,120 Speaker 2: our Monday, Wednesday and Friday, make sure you download the 865 00:48:19,120 --> 00:48:21,600 Speaker 2: Ben Ferguson podcasts as well, and we will see you 866 00:48:21,680 --> 00:48:23,120 Speaker 2: back here in a couple of days.