1 00:00:01,880 --> 00:00:06,160 Speaker 1: Broadcasting live from the Abraham Lincoln Radio Studio, the George 2 00:00:06,240 --> 00:00:10,920 Speaker 1: Washington Broadcast Center, Jack Armstrong and Jetty arm Strong and 3 00:00:11,000 --> 00:00:16,560 Speaker 1: Jetty enough Key, I'm strong. 4 00:00:16,280 --> 00:00:25,040 Speaker 2: And it doesn't look like it's even going to work 5 00:00:25,120 --> 00:00:28,920 Speaker 2: on paper. But imagine trying to force those huge movements 6 00:00:28,920 --> 00:00:33,640 Speaker 2: of population or militaries in the real world in potentially 7 00:00:34,200 --> 00:00:38,320 Speaker 2: a continuing battlefield zone. That's the reality of the idea 8 00:00:38,400 --> 00:00:44,320 Speaker 2: of territorial swaps already flat out rejected here by Ukraine. 9 00:00:44,479 --> 00:00:48,760 Speaker 2: A tough political ask, an impossible military ask, you might argue, 10 00:00:48,960 --> 00:00:51,680 Speaker 2: and that really leads people so anxious here that as 11 00:00:51,720 --> 00:00:55,960 Speaker 2: the bedrock of these talks, potentially it's territorial swaps, and 12 00:00:56,000 --> 00:01:00,520 Speaker 2: that is impractical and unsellable here. What possibly could Trump 13 00:01:00,600 --> 00:01:02,320 Speaker 2: emerge from that meeting. 14 00:01:02,000 --> 00:01:06,080 Speaker 3: With that's CNN's reporting yesterday. I've heard a lot of 15 00:01:06,080 --> 00:01:08,800 Speaker 3: different reporting and a lot of different angles, of course, 16 00:01:08,920 --> 00:01:12,039 Speaker 3: because this came together really fast, and we have no 17 00:01:12,200 --> 00:01:14,880 Speaker 3: idea how it's going to go or really even what 18 00:01:14,920 --> 00:01:16,200 Speaker 3: the topic matter is going to be. 19 00:01:17,240 --> 00:01:20,600 Speaker 4: Let's discuss with Justin Logan, director of Defense and Foreign 20 00:01:20,640 --> 00:01:25,440 Speaker 4: Policy Studies at the Cato Institute. Justin's take might differ 21 00:01:25,520 --> 00:01:29,319 Speaker 4: somewhat from ours, but he has at least an idea 22 00:01:29,440 --> 00:01:33,679 Speaker 4: from judging from his recent piece of how a settlement 23 00:01:33,959 --> 00:01:36,280 Speaker 4: might look at the title of the piece is the 24 00:01:36,319 --> 00:01:38,960 Speaker 4: key to success at Trump puton Alaska summit on Ukraine. 25 00:01:39,440 --> 00:01:42,920 Speaker 4: Low expectations, Justin Logan joins us. Now, Justin, how are you, sir? 26 00:01:43,959 --> 00:01:44,760 Speaker 5: Just fine, good morning. 27 00:01:46,040 --> 00:01:50,240 Speaker 4: Low expectations, I think is absolutely an appropriate stance, as 28 00:01:50,800 --> 00:01:57,280 Speaker 4: we don't see much overlap at all between Putin's goals 29 00:01:57,320 --> 00:02:02,760 Speaker 4: for the territory of Ukraine and and Ukraine's certainly. 30 00:02:03,520 --> 00:02:07,880 Speaker 5: Yeah, I mean, the underlying and unhappy, unfortunate act of 31 00:02:07,880 --> 00:02:11,040 Speaker 5: the matter is that Russia is in a relatively stronger 32 00:02:11,040 --> 00:02:14,160 Speaker 5: position on the battlefield than Ukraine is, and that makes 33 00:02:14,240 --> 00:02:19,000 Speaker 5: Russia both more willing to continue the conflict and less 34 00:02:19,000 --> 00:02:24,120 Speaker 5: willing to compromise diplomatically. So Trump has a very difficult 35 00:02:24,120 --> 00:02:26,799 Speaker 5: task here, which is to see whether a piece can 36 00:02:26,840 --> 00:02:31,640 Speaker 5: be produced that isn't disastrous from Ukraine's point of view, 37 00:02:31,880 --> 00:02:35,160 Speaker 5: and that you know, as I said, the piece, we 38 00:02:35,200 --> 00:02:41,000 Speaker 5: should have low expectations. Even incremental shifts would be welcome 39 00:02:41,080 --> 00:02:41,640 Speaker 5: at this point. 40 00:02:41,840 --> 00:02:43,840 Speaker 3: Yeah, well, that seems like one of the problems I've 41 00:02:43,840 --> 00:02:47,280 Speaker 3: been saying for the last couple of days is a 42 00:02:47,400 --> 00:02:52,200 Speaker 3: Ukraine is horrified with the status quo. Putin's okay with 43 00:02:52,240 --> 00:02:55,280 Speaker 3: the status quo. He'd be fine with continuing prosecuting the 44 00:02:55,320 --> 00:02:58,560 Speaker 3: war the way he is, So a nothing burger would 45 00:02:58,600 --> 00:03:00,520 Speaker 3: be good from his standpoint. How do you get around that? 46 00:03:01,280 --> 00:03:05,240 Speaker 5: No, that's exactly right. And you know, the Ukrainians have said, 47 00:03:05,320 --> 00:03:08,440 Speaker 5: you know, look, our constitution commits us to pursue NATO membership, 48 00:03:08,520 --> 00:03:11,760 Speaker 5: which isn't going to happen, and prohibits us from seating 49 00:03:11,800 --> 00:03:16,480 Speaker 5: any territory, including Crimea, which has already happened. So they're 50 00:03:16,560 --> 00:03:21,680 Speaker 5: sort of using this sort of legalistic argumentation to dig 51 00:03:21,760 --> 00:03:24,800 Speaker 5: in on a position that just isn't going to happen. 52 00:03:24,840 --> 00:03:26,400 Speaker 5: So I don't fault them for that. It makes a 53 00:03:26,440 --> 00:03:28,480 Speaker 5: lot of sense to me that they should look as 54 00:03:28,720 --> 00:03:31,520 Speaker 5: unwilling to compromise as possible in the hopes of getting 55 00:03:31,919 --> 00:03:37,640 Speaker 5: a compromised that again is a total disaster. But on paper, yeah, 56 00:03:37,680 --> 00:03:40,400 Speaker 5: this thing isn't really going to go very far, very fast, 57 00:03:40,480 --> 00:03:41,480 Speaker 5: if it goes anywhere. 58 00:03:42,040 --> 00:03:44,560 Speaker 4: One question we've been banding back and forth is whether 59 00:03:44,760 --> 00:03:47,600 Speaker 4: Europe will, as I put it earlier, find at least 60 00:03:47,640 --> 00:03:50,800 Speaker 4: one of its testicles and assert itself as a party 61 00:03:50,800 --> 00:03:54,320 Speaker 4: that truly has a strong interest in stability or not. 62 00:03:54,440 --> 00:03:57,120 Speaker 4: How do you see NATO slash Europe's involvement in this 63 00:03:57,280 --> 00:03:57,960 Speaker 4: latest chapter. 64 00:03:58,800 --> 00:04:02,320 Speaker 5: Yeah, I mean they are also digging in and not 65 00:04:02,920 --> 00:04:06,560 Speaker 5: showing much flexibility. But I think the question is, you know, 66 00:04:06,640 --> 00:04:10,120 Speaker 5: Europe needs to you know, to maybe I'll avoid your metaphor, 67 00:04:10,680 --> 00:04:13,400 Speaker 5: but it needs to sort of it needs to sort 68 00:04:13,400 --> 00:04:17,760 Speaker 5: of back its diplomacy with force. Right the ultimasio in 69 00:04:17,760 --> 00:04:22,360 Speaker 5: international relations is military power, and Europe is short still 70 00:04:22,480 --> 00:04:25,800 Speaker 5: to this day on military power, despite its declaration that 71 00:04:25,800 --> 00:04:27,159 Speaker 5: it's going to spend three and a half percent of 72 00:04:27,200 --> 00:04:31,640 Speaker 5: GDP on defense by twenty thirty five. It needs to 73 00:04:31,720 --> 00:04:34,400 Speaker 5: spend more, and it needs to spend better if it 74 00:04:34,480 --> 00:04:37,640 Speaker 5: wants more voice. And I think that that's the sort 75 00:04:37,680 --> 00:04:41,800 Speaker 5: of crucial disconnect that Trump has living pair, which is 76 00:04:41,839 --> 00:04:44,520 Speaker 5: that you know, if Europe wants more say, it needs 77 00:04:44,520 --> 00:04:50,160 Speaker 5: more power, and that is an enduring problem for both 78 00:04:50,400 --> 00:04:53,000 Speaker 5: particularly for the Europeans, but also in my view, for 79 00:04:53,040 --> 00:04:56,720 Speaker 5: the Americans. If the Americans want to hand over European 80 00:04:56,760 --> 00:04:58,680 Speaker 5: security to Europe, which I think would be a good 81 00:04:58,680 --> 00:05:02,400 Speaker 5: thing to do, needs to attack together, and it's making 82 00:05:02,480 --> 00:05:07,400 Speaker 5: noiages about doing so, but not to my not enough 83 00:05:07,480 --> 00:05:08,360 Speaker 5: to my satisfaction. 84 00:05:08,520 --> 00:05:10,960 Speaker 3: So you don't do a lot of testical metaphors there, 85 00:05:11,120 --> 00:05:17,800 Speaker 3: Kato not nothing of radio. You know, this might end 86 00:05:17,880 --> 00:05:20,560 Speaker 3: up being a lesson in real politic for a lot 87 00:05:20,600 --> 00:05:23,359 Speaker 3: of us. This whole thing because Lindsey Graham saying on 88 00:05:23,400 --> 00:05:28,400 Speaker 3: the Sunday Shows that look, Ukraine isn't gonna, you know, 89 00:05:28,480 --> 00:05:31,760 Speaker 3: get back every bit of their land and Putin's not 90 00:05:31,839 --> 00:05:36,560 Speaker 3: going to Kiev. But which I think those things are true. 91 00:05:36,560 --> 00:05:38,600 Speaker 3: But why I don't know where this goes. 92 00:05:39,640 --> 00:05:44,680 Speaker 5: Yeah, I mean Lindsay Graham grappling with reality is progress 93 00:05:44,720 --> 00:05:49,200 Speaker 5: in international politics anyway. I mean, the bare fact of 94 00:05:49,240 --> 00:05:52,520 Speaker 5: the matter is we're not going back to twenty fourteen. Unfortunately, 95 00:05:52,640 --> 00:05:56,280 Speaker 5: it would be great if Ukraine, you know, regain all 96 00:05:56,400 --> 00:06:00,720 Speaker 5: territory the international community recognizes as being part of Ukraine. 97 00:06:01,040 --> 00:06:04,880 Speaker 5: But in politics is a brutal business. Ladder. Putin is 98 00:06:05,240 --> 00:06:08,560 Speaker 5: you know, someone who reveals that every day he gets 99 00:06:08,560 --> 00:06:10,760 Speaker 5: out of bed in the morning. And so we have 100 00:06:10,960 --> 00:06:14,000 Speaker 5: to maximize what what is sort of the art of 101 00:06:14,040 --> 00:06:16,880 Speaker 5: the possible, if you will, you know, what can we 102 00:06:16,920 --> 00:06:20,240 Speaker 5: produce it? And I think look to you know, revealed. 103 00:06:20,279 --> 00:06:22,240 Speaker 5: You know, I thought that this was going to go 104 00:06:22,320 --> 00:06:26,360 Speaker 5: way worse, way quicker for Ukraine. So they have been heroic, right, 105 00:06:26,440 --> 00:06:29,320 Speaker 5: they have defended their territory. Right. I think no one, 106 00:06:29,480 --> 00:06:31,880 Speaker 5: you know, to talk about the realities that Vladimir Putin 107 00:06:31,920 --> 00:06:34,360 Speaker 5: has to grapple with. He's not going to take all 108 00:06:34,400 --> 00:06:36,680 Speaker 5: of Ukraine. He's not going to take most of Ukraine. 109 00:06:36,960 --> 00:06:38,640 Speaker 5: Ukraine is going to come out of this as a 110 00:06:38,680 --> 00:06:42,080 Speaker 5: sovereign autonomous country. And you know, so there's all these 111 00:06:42,080 --> 00:06:44,200 Speaker 5: things that need to be haggled over. You know, Putin 112 00:06:44,240 --> 00:06:47,760 Speaker 5: wants to put I think unreasonable limits on Ukraine's arm forces. 113 00:06:48,720 --> 00:06:52,080 Speaker 5: It's not going to join NATO. So so we're revealing 114 00:06:52,760 --> 00:06:55,920 Speaker 5: truths through the course of this thing. And and one hopes, 115 00:06:56,240 --> 00:06:58,200 Speaker 5: you know, I hope I'm wrong. I hope that you know, 116 00:06:58,240 --> 00:07:01,560 Speaker 5: there's more progress made today than I suspect, and we 117 00:07:01,640 --> 00:07:05,679 Speaker 5: get closer to a settlement of this conflict that leaves 118 00:07:05,720 --> 00:07:10,840 Speaker 5: a Ukraine that is a sovereign, functioning country on Russia's border. 119 00:07:11,840 --> 00:07:14,280 Speaker 4: We're talking to Justin Logan, director of Defense and Foreign 120 00:07:14,320 --> 00:07:18,200 Speaker 4: Policy Studies at the Cato Institute. Justin, if you were 121 00:07:18,240 --> 00:07:23,840 Speaker 4: to advise Donald Jay or any other leader about negotiating 122 00:07:23,840 --> 00:07:28,360 Speaker 4: with Putin, especially sitting down with Putin to negotiate, what 123 00:07:28,400 --> 00:07:31,160 Speaker 4: would you tell him about Putin and his methods. 124 00:07:31,960 --> 00:07:34,800 Speaker 5: Well, you know, if you read the newspaper, I mean, 125 00:07:35,280 --> 00:07:37,000 Speaker 5: it's all sort of there in black and white, right, 126 00:07:37,200 --> 00:07:40,480 Speaker 5: he doesn't need any sort of putent whisperer to say 127 00:07:40,800 --> 00:07:43,520 Speaker 5: this is a brutal guy who really means business and 128 00:07:43,640 --> 00:07:49,000 Speaker 5: really cares deeply about Ukraine's international orientation. Certainly, he's revealed 129 00:07:49,000 --> 00:07:52,880 Speaker 5: that he's willing to pay extremely high costs to influence 130 00:07:53,760 --> 00:07:57,240 Speaker 5: the sort of future orientation of Ukraine. And you know, 131 00:07:57,320 --> 00:07:59,960 Speaker 5: one again sort of brutal reality is, you know, we're 132 00:08:00,000 --> 00:08:02,480 Speaker 5: we're all worried about escalation. We were all worried about 133 00:08:02,520 --> 00:08:07,080 Speaker 5: the potential of nuclear escalation or escalation outside Ukraine's orders. 134 00:08:07,360 --> 00:08:09,280 Speaker 5: And part of the reason that that hasn't come to 135 00:08:09,320 --> 00:08:12,520 Speaker 5: the fore is the fact that Putin has been gradually, 136 00:08:12,680 --> 00:08:16,600 Speaker 5: slowly brutally winning the conflict. And so we need to 137 00:08:16,640 --> 00:08:20,880 Speaker 5: internalize he is revealed in the breach that he's willing 138 00:08:20,920 --> 00:08:24,520 Speaker 5: to pay enormous costs to influence the settlement of this conflict. 139 00:08:24,840 --> 00:08:28,040 Speaker 5: And we've revealed under President Joe Biden and under President 140 00:08:28,080 --> 00:08:30,720 Speaker 5: Trump that we're not willing to go to the mattresses 141 00:08:30,760 --> 00:08:34,680 Speaker 5: and fight Russia in Ukraine over Ukraine. So that's going 142 00:08:34,760 --> 00:08:37,280 Speaker 5: to be the sort of starting point of understanding what 143 00:08:37,520 --> 00:08:39,960 Speaker 5: we should do. And you know, to be honest, we've 144 00:08:40,080 --> 00:08:44,560 Speaker 5: used a lot of economic leverage, a lot of sanctions 145 00:08:45,559 --> 00:08:49,400 Speaker 5: and it hasn't worked, if you define work as you know, 146 00:08:49,559 --> 00:08:53,360 Speaker 5: caused to change his mind and leave Ukraine. So again, 147 00:08:53,400 --> 00:08:55,240 Speaker 5: I hate to be the sort of dark cloud here, 148 00:08:55,320 --> 00:08:57,680 Speaker 5: but it's you know, playing the type. 149 00:08:57,720 --> 00:08:58,079 Speaker 3: I guess. 150 00:08:59,200 --> 00:09:01,880 Speaker 5: You know, we need to realize that we have limited 151 00:09:02,000 --> 00:09:06,040 Speaker 5: leverage to produce a maximually good outcome for Ukraine from 152 00:09:06,040 --> 00:09:08,800 Speaker 5: this thing. So we're very much in the realm of 153 00:09:09,080 --> 00:09:11,840 Speaker 5: third best, fourth best, or as I might put it, 154 00:09:12,240 --> 00:09:13,800 Speaker 5: least worse outcomes. 155 00:09:14,520 --> 00:09:16,040 Speaker 3: Well, first of all, if you're dealing with Putin, you 156 00:09:16,040 --> 00:09:20,400 Speaker 3: don't stand next to any open windows. Secondly, I love, 157 00:09:21,040 --> 00:09:24,359 Speaker 3: I love dealing in reality. I mean, there's no advantage 158 00:09:24,440 --> 00:09:28,679 Speaker 3: to ever not dealing in reality. So if the reality 159 00:09:29,200 --> 00:09:32,480 Speaker 3: Putin is going to end up being rewarded for having 160 00:09:32,559 --> 00:09:36,319 Speaker 3: invaded a smaller country and getting to keep the land 161 00:09:36,360 --> 00:09:39,280 Speaker 3: because the rest of the world's not willing to, uh, 162 00:09:39,320 --> 00:09:41,800 Speaker 3: you know, put up the fight to stop him? What 163 00:09:41,840 --> 00:09:44,080 Speaker 3: how do you deal with Taiwan and China? What's how 164 00:09:44,080 --> 00:09:47,439 Speaker 3: do you make that not send the message to China 165 00:09:47,480 --> 00:09:48,640 Speaker 3: that here now it's your turn. 166 00:09:49,960 --> 00:09:53,480 Speaker 5: Yeah, I mean it's you don't want to be a 167 00:09:53,520 --> 00:09:57,000 Speaker 5: small country bordering a larger, more powerful country if you 168 00:09:57,000 --> 00:10:01,360 Speaker 5: can avoid it, and unfortunately neither Ukraine nor Taiwan can 169 00:10:01,480 --> 00:10:04,560 Speaker 5: avoid that. So the question then becomes what do you 170 00:10:04,679 --> 00:10:08,160 Speaker 5: do optimally to make yourself look like? And this is 171 00:10:08,200 --> 00:10:10,840 Speaker 5: a Taiwan metaphor that think tanks works use all the time. 172 00:10:11,200 --> 00:10:14,560 Speaker 5: Like a porcupine, right, porcupines don't get attacked because they're 173 00:10:14,600 --> 00:10:17,840 Speaker 5: bristling with quills. They're likely to get their hooks into you, 174 00:10:17,920 --> 00:10:21,600 Speaker 5: and it hurts. It's not a pleasant experience. And so Taiwan, 175 00:10:21,720 --> 00:10:25,120 Speaker 5: I think, you know, there are more things that Taiwan 176 00:10:25,280 --> 00:10:28,360 Speaker 5: needs to do better for itself than there are things 177 00:10:28,360 --> 00:10:31,000 Speaker 5: that the US military needs to do on behalf of Taiwan, 178 00:10:31,040 --> 00:10:33,200 Speaker 5: which is to say, if the balloon goes up God 179 00:10:33,240 --> 00:10:37,560 Speaker 5: forbid in Taiwan, it will take the US military, in 180 00:10:37,760 --> 00:10:42,040 Speaker 5: optimal scenarios four or five six days to really meaningfully 181 00:10:42,040 --> 00:10:45,320 Speaker 5: get into the fight. And Taiwan has been so negligent 182 00:10:45,360 --> 00:10:47,760 Speaker 5: with its own defense, spending about two percent of GDP 183 00:10:47,960 --> 00:10:51,319 Speaker 5: art defense not spending it well that it may all 184 00:10:51,360 --> 00:10:53,400 Speaker 5: be over, but the crime by the time we were 185 00:10:53,440 --> 00:10:56,040 Speaker 5: to get there. So I think that from a Taiwan 186 00:10:56,160 --> 00:11:00,400 Speaker 5: point of view, Taiwan needs to engage in asymmetric sense. 187 00:11:00,559 --> 00:11:03,760 Speaker 5: It needs to do another hokey before that, we think 188 00:11:03,800 --> 00:11:07,720 Speaker 5: tank Doork's use a small number of things at great scale, 189 00:11:08,000 --> 00:11:11,880 Speaker 5: So it needs to prevent China from getting a lodgment 190 00:11:12,360 --> 00:11:16,160 Speaker 5: that it could flow troops onto and without getting too 191 00:11:16,440 --> 00:11:18,600 Speaker 5: boringly into the weeds here. It hasn't been doing a 192 00:11:18,600 --> 00:11:20,640 Speaker 5: great job of that. So I would love to see 193 00:11:20,640 --> 00:11:24,400 Speaker 5: Taiwan focus its military less on big ticket items that 194 00:11:24,520 --> 00:11:26,720 Speaker 5: China is likely to be able to pick off early 195 00:11:26,720 --> 00:11:29,720 Speaker 5: in a conflict, and do things that really again turn 196 00:11:29,760 --> 00:11:31,760 Speaker 5: it into a porcupine that China can't swallow. 197 00:11:32,320 --> 00:11:33,719 Speaker 1: Be a better porcupine. 198 00:11:33,840 --> 00:11:36,840 Speaker 4: So a final question for Justin Logan Justin back to 199 00:11:36,880 --> 00:11:40,280 Speaker 4: the Russia Ukraine US thing, what are the chances that 200 00:11:40,360 --> 00:11:43,960 Speaker 4: Putin comes to the table with a grand bargain in 201 00:11:44,040 --> 00:11:48,240 Speaker 4: capitals that Ukraine is merely a part of to tempt 202 00:11:48,520 --> 00:11:52,720 Speaker 4: Donald J. Trump into some sort of historical Arctic minerals 203 00:11:53,360 --> 00:11:55,479 Speaker 4: arms control package. 204 00:11:56,760 --> 00:11:59,560 Speaker 5: That's a good question. I hate to make predictions. It 205 00:11:59,640 --> 00:12:03,559 Speaker 5: seems unlikely to me. Putin was sort of signaling yesterday 206 00:12:04,120 --> 00:12:06,880 Speaker 5: that he might be willing to talk about arms control, 207 00:12:07,640 --> 00:12:12,040 Speaker 5: which is a sort of weird non response to what 208 00:12:12,120 --> 00:12:14,720 Speaker 5: the commit is supposed to be about. So I think 209 00:12:14,720 --> 00:12:17,480 Speaker 5: it's possible that he brings things to the table that 210 00:12:17,640 --> 00:12:21,079 Speaker 5: don't pertain to Ukraine, because as we sort of established 211 00:12:21,080 --> 00:12:23,040 Speaker 5: earlier in the call, he's kind of sort of okay 212 00:12:23,040 --> 00:12:26,520 Speaker 5: with the best quo in Ukraine. And I think it's 213 00:12:26,520 --> 00:12:28,600 Speaker 5: a real question of whether Trump and the people Trump 214 00:12:28,600 --> 00:12:31,920 Speaker 5: brings with him are willing to bite on that, or 215 00:12:31,960 --> 00:12:35,760 Speaker 5: whether they bring things back around to finding some sort 216 00:12:35,800 --> 00:12:38,000 Speaker 5: of diplomatic resolution to the war in Ukraine. 217 00:12:38,840 --> 00:12:42,600 Speaker 4: Justin Logan of the Cato Institute, fabulous conversation. Justin, we 218 00:12:42,640 --> 00:12:44,800 Speaker 4: thank you. It's been far too long since we've talked. 219 00:12:44,840 --> 00:12:47,520 Speaker 4: We will verbally abuse our staff for letting that happen. 220 00:12:48,080 --> 00:12:49,440 Speaker 4: Thank you so much for the time. 221 00:12:50,040 --> 00:12:50,800 Speaker 5: There's a great pleasure. 222 00:12:50,840 --> 00:12:52,720 Speaker 1: Have a good week, ID guys, Thank you you too. 223 00:12:52,880 --> 00:12:53,040 Speaker 6: Man. 224 00:12:53,120 --> 00:12:56,200 Speaker 3: That was a snap back to reality. It's so easy, 225 00:12:57,480 --> 00:13:00,200 Speaker 3: speaking for myself, to let your wishes be your the 226 00:13:00,240 --> 00:13:01,760 Speaker 3: father of your thoughts with things? 227 00:13:01,840 --> 00:13:02,040 Speaker 1: Right? 228 00:13:03,080 --> 00:13:05,960 Speaker 3: Trump has that land? Is anybody willing to push him 229 00:13:06,000 --> 00:13:06,280 Speaker 3: off of it? 230 00:13:06,800 --> 00:13:06,839 Speaker 5: No? 231 00:13:07,200 --> 00:13:07,880 Speaker 3: Show a hands? 232 00:13:07,920 --> 00:13:08,000 Speaker 7: No? 233 00:13:08,400 --> 00:13:11,560 Speaker 3: Okay, well then let's just concede that deed gets that land. 234 00:13:12,320 --> 00:13:16,079 Speaker 3: It's gonna happen, right, Yeah, yeah, it's I don't know 235 00:13:16,120 --> 00:13:17,760 Speaker 3: when it was. It might have been about a decade 236 00:13:17,800 --> 00:13:21,720 Speaker 3: ago that it occurred to me. The term disillusioned ought 237 00:13:21,720 --> 00:13:23,400 Speaker 3: to be a positive, not a negative. 238 00:13:25,080 --> 00:13:28,360 Speaker 4: What good are your illusions doing you? 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Customers can expect no change in service. 266 00:14:56,680 --> 00:14:57,720 Speaker 3: Cup and Ball. 267 00:14:57,760 --> 00:14:58,800 Speaker 1: That's funny, wow. 268 00:14:59,200 --> 00:15:02,160 Speaker 4: I have amused my myself for seconds at a time 269 00:15:02,600 --> 00:15:07,640 Speaker 4: the Cup and Ball. At one point I convinced my 270 00:15:07,720 --> 00:15:11,160 Speaker 4: kids that I competed in the Olympics in the. 271 00:15:11,480 --> 00:15:14,240 Speaker 1: Cup and Ball competitiones. 272 00:15:16,000 --> 00:15:17,920 Speaker 4: I got like three in a row, and they're like, 273 00:15:17,960 --> 00:15:20,480 Speaker 4: oh my god, Dad, I said, listen, I don't like 274 00:15:20,480 --> 00:15:21,120 Speaker 4: the brag, but. 275 00:15:24,400 --> 00:15:26,320 Speaker 1: Good times lying to my children. 276 00:15:27,240 --> 00:15:30,600 Speaker 4: Speaking of children, I will mention this very briefly, there 277 00:15:30,640 --> 00:15:33,200 Speaker 4: is an alarming new study that we probably ought to 278 00:15:33,960 --> 00:15:38,400 Speaker 4: go into deeply. Smartphones are ruining our brains at unprecedented speed, 279 00:15:38,720 --> 00:15:49,120 Speaker 4: especially young people in you know, the levels of conscientiousness, neuroticism, agreeableness, extraversion, 280 00:15:49,240 --> 00:15:52,960 Speaker 4: et cetera. The numbers are unbelievable. 281 00:15:53,080 --> 00:15:57,440 Speaker 3: Is it possible, I've said this before, Is it possible 282 00:15:57,480 --> 00:16:02,000 Speaker 3: that walking around staring at your phone becomes like smoking? 283 00:16:02,480 --> 00:16:05,640 Speaker 3: Is now? I mean, you know, back when my dad 284 00:16:05,680 --> 00:16:08,320 Speaker 3: was smoking, way back in the day, everybody did it. 285 00:16:08,320 --> 00:16:10,040 Speaker 3: It was recommended by doctors. 286 00:16:10,480 --> 00:16:11,960 Speaker 1: It calmed you. 287 00:16:11,960 --> 00:16:14,160 Speaker 3: Down, and it helped you lose weight. It was all 288 00:16:14,240 --> 00:16:16,360 Speaker 3: kinds of buzzy, and everybody did it. And now it's 289 00:16:16,400 --> 00:16:17,960 Speaker 3: just you see somebody smoking anything. 290 00:16:17,960 --> 00:16:18,560 Speaker 1: What are you doing? 291 00:16:20,280 --> 00:16:21,840 Speaker 4: Do you think it could go that far? Or we 292 00:16:22,120 --> 00:16:25,520 Speaker 4: just just too much into appealing it. It's too universally appealing. 293 00:16:25,680 --> 00:16:29,080 Speaker 4: Cigarettes didn't have enough upside. There's too much upside, well 294 00:16:29,240 --> 00:16:33,880 Speaker 4: upside using my finger quotes. Yeah, So anyway, everybody's staring 295 00:16:33,920 --> 00:16:36,360 Speaker 4: at their phones and miserable in one hundred different measures, 296 00:16:36,480 --> 00:16:39,360 Speaker 4: or at least half a dozen. And in a related story, 297 00:16:39,560 --> 00:16:42,280 Speaker 4: this is crazy. Adults are going to sleep away camp 298 00:16:42,360 --> 00:16:46,160 Speaker 4: to make friends, and it actually seems to work. Overnight 299 00:16:46,280 --> 00:16:50,680 Speaker 4: camps for single adults. It's not a dating thing. It's 300 00:16:50,720 --> 00:16:54,800 Speaker 4: generally separated by sex. But where you go to like 301 00:16:54,840 --> 00:17:00,440 Speaker 4: a summer camp for adults and make friends and you 302 00:17:00,640 --> 00:17:04,120 Speaker 4: do you know, a tug of war, climbing, ropes, courses, 303 00:17:04,320 --> 00:17:08,200 Speaker 4: a hiking, you know, canoeing, blah blah blah. And this 304 00:17:08,880 --> 00:17:12,879 Speaker 4: focus is almost entirely on women this article. But this 305 00:17:12,960 --> 00:17:15,520 Speaker 4: gal says, when you're a twenties in your twenties and thirties, 306 00:17:15,560 --> 00:17:17,240 Speaker 4: you don't make a ton of friends unless you're doing 307 00:17:17,280 --> 00:17:21,520 Speaker 4: something that bonds you. And they've found the camps have 308 00:17:21,600 --> 00:17:24,920 Speaker 4: been great. They really hit it off with people, They 309 00:17:24,960 --> 00:17:26,920 Speaker 4: stay in touch and become long term friends. 310 00:17:26,960 --> 00:17:29,520 Speaker 3: I feel like this has got a real extrovert bias 311 00:17:29,600 --> 00:17:33,439 Speaker 3: to it, that it would really work for extroverts and 312 00:17:33,480 --> 00:17:36,800 Speaker 3: they would love it and for better and good for you, 313 00:17:36,840 --> 00:17:39,520 Speaker 3: that's fantastic. You're I don't know what percentage of people 314 00:17:39,560 --> 00:17:42,840 Speaker 3: are extroverts, but uh, that'd be great. I just man, 315 00:17:43,640 --> 00:17:48,160 Speaker 3: I heard that. My immediate reaction was that sounds freaking awful. Oh, 316 00:17:48,240 --> 00:17:50,679 Speaker 3: we need to start an introverts camp. I don't expect 317 00:17:50,680 --> 00:17:52,720 Speaker 3: attendance to be great, at least not at first. We're 318 00:17:52,720 --> 00:17:54,840 Speaker 3: all going to read alone in our tents. 319 00:17:55,119 --> 00:17:57,399 Speaker 4: Right exactly, and look, you want to wander out and 320 00:17:57,440 --> 00:18:02,520 Speaker 4: talk about what you're reading, totally voluntary, totally. We're gonna 321 00:18:02,520 --> 00:18:04,639 Speaker 4: have a kayak thing tomorrow, single kayaks. 322 00:18:04,680 --> 00:18:05,119 Speaker 1: All right. 323 00:18:05,359 --> 00:18:07,720 Speaker 4: Let me assure you single, it'll be cool. All right, 324 00:18:09,000 --> 00:18:10,760 Speaker 4: We'll gently coach you into it. 325 00:18:10,840 --> 00:18:12,680 Speaker 3: Everybody's got a different time to eat, so you can 326 00:18:12,720 --> 00:18:19,639 Speaker 3: eat alone if you want, right, Armstrong and Getty so 327 00:18:19,840 --> 00:18:23,639 Speaker 3: didn mention this. Greg Guttfeld was on was first of all, 328 00:18:23,680 --> 00:18:27,560 Speaker 3: Greg Gutfeld is a was he originally is? Did he 329 00:18:27,600 --> 00:18:31,119 Speaker 3: come from a comedy background or a journalism background? Is 330 00:18:31,119 --> 00:18:31,879 Speaker 3: he a comedian? 331 00:18:32,200 --> 00:18:33,120 Speaker 1: I think comedy? 332 00:18:33,640 --> 00:18:35,639 Speaker 3: Is he a comedians? He might know he started as 333 00:18:35,640 --> 00:18:38,919 Speaker 3: a stand up or something. Anyway, He's been on Fox 334 00:18:38,920 --> 00:18:41,239 Speaker 3: for a long time comment on stuff, and then they 335 00:18:41,240 --> 00:18:43,840 Speaker 3: gave him his own show. When he runs it like 336 00:18:43,960 --> 00:18:46,080 Speaker 3: late night talk shows if you've never seen it, and 337 00:18:46,080 --> 00:18:48,000 Speaker 3: it's on Fox in it and for quite a while 338 00:18:48,040 --> 00:18:51,000 Speaker 3: now has been getting bigger ratings than The Tonight Show 339 00:18:51,359 --> 00:18:59,760 Speaker 3: or Kimmel or Colbert and Jimmy Fallon wisely had Gutfeld 340 00:18:59,800 --> 00:19:02,080 Speaker 3: on the other night and had the highest ratings he 341 00:19:02,119 --> 00:19:06,360 Speaker 3: had I think I heard in five years because surprisingly well, 342 00:19:06,520 --> 00:19:09,480 Speaker 3: because Guttfeld promoted it on his show, so all the 343 00:19:09,520 --> 00:19:11,640 Speaker 3: Fox people watch. Oh, I want to see how he does, 344 00:19:12,119 --> 00:19:15,840 Speaker 3: you know, on the mainstream shows. And he did well. 345 00:19:15,840 --> 00:19:18,600 Speaker 3: He was funny, but so huge ratings. 346 00:19:18,400 --> 00:19:19,320 Speaker 1: It's funny. 347 00:19:19,440 --> 00:19:22,879 Speaker 4: And I'm not quibbling with your your verbiage because how 348 00:19:22,920 --> 00:19:26,160 Speaker 4: to use the same words. But it's funny that the 349 00:19:26,240 --> 00:19:30,200 Speaker 4: most popular show is not the quote unquote mainstream show. 350 00:19:30,640 --> 00:19:33,920 Speaker 4: He literally has the main part of the stream. 351 00:19:34,080 --> 00:19:38,000 Speaker 3: Good point. Anyway, my parents watch it every night and 352 00:19:38,000 --> 00:19:40,919 Speaker 3: they love it. I don't watch any of them, so 353 00:19:41,000 --> 00:19:42,760 Speaker 3: we just played the clips in the morning. But anyway, 354 00:19:42,840 --> 00:19:44,200 Speaker 3: here's a joke from last night. 355 00:19:44,840 --> 00:19:47,600 Speaker 7: The UFC will host the first ever White House Fight 356 00:19:47,760 --> 00:19:49,000 Speaker 7: on July fourth. 357 00:19:52,160 --> 00:19:53,320 Speaker 3: It's the first. 358 00:19:53,160 --> 00:19:55,680 Speaker 7: Violent beatdown to take place at the White House since 359 00:19:55,760 --> 00:20:02,920 Speaker 7: Hillary discovered the Blue Dress. Meanwhile, the Democrats also want 360 00:20:02,960 --> 00:20:06,800 Speaker 7: to participate in so far, they've already suggested these bouts 361 00:20:07,400 --> 00:20:17,160 Speaker 7: Jasmine Crockett versus a book, Jerry Nadler versus soap, Rashida 362 00:20:17,200 --> 00:20:25,159 Speaker 7: Talib versus a razor, and JB. Pritzker versus a narrow hallway. 363 00:20:28,760 --> 00:20:33,360 Speaker 4: Yeah, all right, are they branding Rashida t lib As Harry. 364 00:20:33,760 --> 00:20:38,840 Speaker 3: I Ah, I'm not comfortable with that one. But that 365 00:20:38,960 --> 00:20:43,159 Speaker 3: was not me laughing, It was someone else in here. Yes, Katie, 366 00:20:44,000 --> 00:20:46,160 Speaker 3: I'm comfortable with it. She has a mustache. 367 00:20:46,760 --> 00:20:53,159 Speaker 4: Oh, a mustache, I see, or as they saying, some 368 00:20:53,240 --> 00:20:59,639 Speaker 4: of my favorite old timy literature mustaches. Right all right, now, 369 00:21:00,840 --> 00:21:03,840 Speaker 4: she's also an American hating America hating Marxist. 370 00:21:04,320 --> 00:21:08,160 Speaker 1: Yes she has a mustache. Yes, thank you care. 371 00:21:08,160 --> 00:21:11,160 Speaker 3: Perfect a perfect background for the joke. But those are 372 00:21:11,200 --> 00:21:17,520 Speaker 3: some biting jokes. We all know. The biggest story probably 373 00:21:17,520 --> 00:21:19,959 Speaker 3: in the world today is Putin and Trump meeting together. 374 00:21:20,280 --> 00:21:23,680 Speaker 3: It could be a history making meeting. I think there's 375 00:21:23,680 --> 00:21:25,920 Speaker 3: a decent chance nothing comes out of it. 376 00:21:27,240 --> 00:21:27,680 Speaker 1: For now. 377 00:21:28,440 --> 00:21:32,200 Speaker 3: Anyway. First of all, this CNN, and I wasn't listening 378 00:21:32,240 --> 00:21:33,639 Speaker 3: to it. I was just watching it. Just did a 379 00:21:33,680 --> 00:21:38,600 Speaker 3: retrospective of various US leaders meeting with Putin over the years, 380 00:21:38,640 --> 00:21:40,399 Speaker 3: and God, I forgot what he looked like when he 381 00:21:40,480 --> 00:21:44,359 Speaker 3: was younger. He's always had that pimp walk man like 382 00:21:44,480 --> 00:21:47,959 Speaker 3: I am the biggest freaking deal in this room, and 383 00:21:48,000 --> 00:21:50,440 Speaker 3: that smirk on his face like I could kill you, 384 00:21:50,600 --> 00:21:52,560 Speaker 3: I could have sex with you. I could do both 385 00:21:52,600 --> 00:21:56,080 Speaker 3: of those with you. I mean, that's it's just his personality. 386 00:21:56,320 --> 00:22:01,919 Speaker 3: And sitting with every president Bush, Clinton, Obama, Biden and 387 00:22:02,080 --> 00:22:04,840 Speaker 3: all of them, he does that whole leg spread open, 388 00:22:04,960 --> 00:22:07,520 Speaker 3: leaning back in his chair. What do you got. I'm 389 00:22:07,600 --> 00:22:09,440 Speaker 3: kind of paying attention, but I don't really have to. 390 00:22:09,760 --> 00:22:12,959 Speaker 3: I mean, he's just, he's his personality is just. I mean, 391 00:22:13,000 --> 00:22:15,720 Speaker 3: he puts it on so over the top display you 392 00:22:15,720 --> 00:22:18,200 Speaker 3: can almost smell his cologne through the video. 393 00:22:19,040 --> 00:22:21,080 Speaker 1: Yeah. Wow, not an accident. 394 00:22:21,359 --> 00:22:25,840 Speaker 3: And the embarrassing among the most embarrassing because George W. 395 00:22:25,920 --> 00:22:27,600 Speaker 3: Bush saying I looked in him was eye, I saw 396 00:22:27,640 --> 00:22:31,040 Speaker 3: his soul. He's a good person. I mean that is embarrassing. 397 00:22:31,720 --> 00:22:32,760 Speaker 1: Yes, uh. 398 00:22:33,040 --> 00:22:36,399 Speaker 3: But Hillary Clinton showing up there with the reset button, 399 00:22:37,040 --> 00:22:39,119 Speaker 3: Oh my god, what is it with all these the 400 00:22:39,160 --> 00:22:42,359 Speaker 3: Barack Obama administration where we're different people, we can handle 401 00:22:42,359 --> 00:22:44,479 Speaker 3: the world differently, people react differently to us, and give 402 00:22:44,520 --> 00:22:46,920 Speaker 3: him the Nobel Prize. I mean, it's just it's it's 403 00:22:47,320 --> 00:22:49,960 Speaker 3: if I was Hillary Clinton, I'd be asking CEE and 404 00:22:50,040 --> 00:22:52,240 Speaker 3: then is anyway he could not show that ever? Again, 405 00:22:54,400 --> 00:22:55,040 Speaker 3: it's embarrassing. 406 00:22:55,040 --> 00:22:57,199 Speaker 4: All right, never mind that the reset button was the 407 00:22:57,240 --> 00:23:01,320 Speaker 4: wrong word, but it said, right, didn't even say reasons 408 00:23:01,560 --> 00:23:01,720 Speaker 4: like I. 409 00:23:01,680 --> 00:23:03,520 Speaker 3: Said vacuum cleaner in Russian or somebody. 410 00:23:03,640 --> 00:23:03,960 Speaker 1: Yes. 411 00:23:05,000 --> 00:23:07,240 Speaker 3: But this from the Washington Post today, and they've got 412 00:23:07,240 --> 00:23:10,360 Speaker 3: the picture which i'll describe later, with the young Putin 413 00:23:10,800 --> 00:23:14,200 Speaker 3: meeting with Angela Merkel, who's leader of Germany at the time. 414 00:23:14,280 --> 00:23:17,040 Speaker 3: And Putin's got the legs spread open, leaning back, Aren't 415 00:23:17,040 --> 00:23:21,960 Speaker 3: I cool thing going? German Chancellor Angela Merkel experienced the 416 00:23:22,040 --> 00:23:24,520 Speaker 3: darker side of Putin's tactics in two thousand and seven 417 00:23:24,560 --> 00:23:26,680 Speaker 3: when she met him in Sochi for a big one 418 00:23:26,720 --> 00:23:29,840 Speaker 3: on one meeting that's the Black Sea resort city, and 419 00:23:29,880 --> 00:23:34,280 Speaker 3: he brought his giant black Labrador retriever to the meeting. 420 00:23:35,040 --> 00:23:37,720 Speaker 3: Merkel later said in her memoirs that she believed it 421 00:23:37,760 --> 00:23:40,440 Speaker 3: was a deliberate tactic to intimidate her because he knew 422 00:23:40,440 --> 00:23:42,879 Speaker 3: she was so afraid of dogs. And they've got the 423 00:23:42,920 --> 00:23:47,520 Speaker 3: picture here and he's got this enormous black lab just 424 00:23:47,680 --> 00:23:51,400 Speaker 3: walking around. They're sitting by the fireplace while she's sitting 425 00:23:51,480 --> 00:23:52,600 Speaker 3: there looking frightened. 426 00:23:53,640 --> 00:23:56,760 Speaker 1: Wow. How about wow? Wow? 427 00:23:57,840 --> 00:24:02,639 Speaker 3: And she didn't have the courage, leverage whatever she thought 428 00:24:02,680 --> 00:24:05,040 Speaker 3: to say, Hey, I don't really like dogs. Let's get 429 00:24:05,040 --> 00:24:06,200 Speaker 3: this out of here before we talk. 430 00:24:07,000 --> 00:24:09,760 Speaker 1: That's some mobs toss Yes it is. 431 00:24:10,240 --> 00:24:12,200 Speaker 3: I mean, yeah, that's like sending you a fish in 432 00:24:12,240 --> 00:24:14,359 Speaker 3: the mail. I mean, that's right. 433 00:24:14,560 --> 00:24:17,360 Speaker 4: It's as close to a threat as you can get 434 00:24:17,400 --> 00:24:18,600 Speaker 4: without issuing a threat. 435 00:24:20,200 --> 00:24:22,080 Speaker 3: But they go on to write in the Washington Post 436 00:24:22,960 --> 00:24:25,080 Speaker 3: the fact that summit is taking place as a potential 437 00:24:25,119 --> 00:24:28,560 Speaker 3: sign of Putin's own vulnerabilities. The only good news is 438 00:24:28,600 --> 00:24:32,040 Speaker 3: that Putin does feel like he needs to respond in 439 00:24:32,080 --> 00:24:35,360 Speaker 3: some way to the US President to avoid worse things happening, 440 00:24:35,520 --> 00:24:37,840 Speaker 3: in terms of a return to full military assistance or 441 00:24:37,880 --> 00:24:42,040 Speaker 3: partial assistance, or potential sanctions. Another sign of Putin's potential 442 00:24:42,040 --> 00:24:45,840 Speaker 3: weakness are the Kremlins hurried preparations for the Alaska summit. 443 00:24:46,119 --> 00:24:50,400 Speaker 3: Putin usually prepares himself immaculately. He reads a lot, gathers 444 00:24:50,440 --> 00:24:54,000 Speaker 3: recommendations from experts. This time, the windows extremely short, and 445 00:24:54,000 --> 00:24:56,840 Speaker 3: they do not have a plan. A Kremlin insider told 446 00:24:56,840 --> 00:24:59,479 Speaker 3: the Washington Post. Right now there is a huge frantic 447 00:24:59,560 --> 00:25:02,720 Speaker 3: effort going on inside the Kremlin. So at least that 448 00:25:02,800 --> 00:25:05,119 Speaker 3: opinion piece the Washington Post, they're reading the fact that 449 00:25:05,160 --> 00:25:07,879 Speaker 3: he's meeting at all, and in such a short timeframe 450 00:25:07,920 --> 00:25:09,760 Speaker 3: as a sign of he needs this. 451 00:25:11,280 --> 00:25:20,159 Speaker 4: Yeah, how interesting. And from Putin's perspective, he's thinking, No, 452 00:25:20,280 --> 00:25:23,320 Speaker 4: we don't have a plan, we don't know what to expect, 453 00:25:24,320 --> 00:25:28,639 Speaker 4: but I want to go there personally. I will engage 454 00:25:28,680 --> 00:25:31,800 Speaker 4: in the judo and see what comes out of it, 455 00:25:31,880 --> 00:25:34,720 Speaker 4: will develop our plan from there. It's got to be 456 00:25:34,840 --> 00:25:37,639 Speaker 4: kind of exciting for the pooter. I mean, it's like 457 00:25:37,640 --> 00:25:41,040 Speaker 4: he's back at his KGB days. He is the agent, 458 00:25:41,520 --> 00:25:45,080 Speaker 4: He's not the bureaucrat. He's the agent again. I don't know, 459 00:25:47,680 --> 00:25:49,840 Speaker 4: as I said yesterday, and I have not changed my 460 00:25:50,320 --> 00:25:54,680 Speaker 4: mind about this. If you gave me five different scenarios 461 00:25:54,720 --> 00:25:57,280 Speaker 4: for how this plays out, or the five or so 462 00:25:57,480 --> 00:26:00,080 Speaker 4: I've imagined, I will put him at twenty percent eighth. 463 00:26:01,320 --> 00:26:01,800 Speaker 1: Just don't know. 464 00:26:02,960 --> 00:26:04,879 Speaker 3: It's got to be something to sit down with somebody 465 00:26:04,920 --> 00:26:08,760 Speaker 3: who has ordered the murders of his own people, Like 466 00:26:08,800 --> 00:26:12,200 Speaker 3: I'm thinking of the way he bombed that Chechen apartment 467 00:26:12,200 --> 00:26:19,080 Speaker 3: building to make it look like a terrorI stacked by 468 00:26:19,200 --> 00:26:22,400 Speaker 3: so he could invade Chechnya. He killed his own people, 469 00:26:22,400 --> 00:26:26,040 Speaker 3: and he's done that lots of times. Yeah, it's just 470 00:26:26,080 --> 00:26:27,480 Speaker 3: got to be something to sit there with somebody like that. 471 00:26:27,520 --> 00:26:30,560 Speaker 4: Well, something his closest cronies end up plunging out of 472 00:26:30,600 --> 00:26:32,679 Speaker 4: windows if it's time for house cleaning. 473 00:26:32,720 --> 00:26:35,119 Speaker 3: But most of us, when we're dealing with somebody, we 474 00:26:35,200 --> 00:26:37,679 Speaker 3: believe they've got even if you don't trust them, you 475 00:26:37,760 --> 00:26:41,760 Speaker 3: believe they've got some sort of moral limit, as opposed 476 00:26:41,760 --> 00:26:44,840 Speaker 3: to sitting down with somebody who has zero moral limits. 477 00:26:44,920 --> 00:26:47,480 Speaker 1: Zero right, right? 478 00:26:48,640 --> 00:26:48,880 Speaker 5: God? 479 00:26:48,920 --> 00:26:50,720 Speaker 3: That hold the picture of him with the dog in 480 00:26:50,720 --> 00:26:54,240 Speaker 3: Angela Merkle is like the way he's it looks exactly 481 00:26:54,320 --> 00:26:57,680 Speaker 3: like if you're gonna portray that in the Sopranos, the 482 00:26:57,720 --> 00:26:58,600 Speaker 3: way he's sitting there. 483 00:26:59,119 --> 00:26:59,680 Speaker 1: How about this? 484 00:27:00,200 --> 00:27:00,600 Speaker 5: What do you think? 485 00:27:00,680 --> 00:27:00,880 Speaker 1: Yeah? 486 00:27:01,680 --> 00:27:05,399 Speaker 4: Yeah, Well, And as we've said, I hope Trump is 487 00:27:05,440 --> 00:27:09,840 Speaker 4: ready to deal with somebody who's a master manipulator, utterly immoral. 488 00:27:10,880 --> 00:27:13,720 Speaker 4: I just why does Trump keep saying I think he 489 00:27:13,760 --> 00:27:20,719 Speaker 4: wants peace? I don't know, I mean he doesn't. He 490 00:27:20,760 --> 00:27:25,080 Speaker 4: only wants peace if it's peace because he's accomplished his goals. 491 00:27:26,680 --> 00:27:27,280 Speaker 1: I mean, it's. 492 00:27:27,160 --> 00:27:31,000 Speaker 4: Mildly inconvenient to his you know, the fiscal health of 493 00:27:31,040 --> 00:27:36,680 Speaker 4: his government. And Russia does not have an limitless time 494 00:27:36,720 --> 00:27:38,920 Speaker 4: horizon to accomplish what they want to accomplish. 495 00:27:39,040 --> 00:27:41,840 Speaker 1: They do have problems, but it's. 496 00:27:41,760 --> 00:27:44,240 Speaker 4: Counting on him to just want peace because oh my god, 497 00:27:44,280 --> 00:27:45,280 Speaker 4: there's been enough killing. 498 00:27:45,520 --> 00:27:46,919 Speaker 1: That's that's ridiculous. 499 00:27:47,160 --> 00:27:49,560 Speaker 3: So we got a breaking clip here. So Trump is 500 00:27:49,600 --> 00:27:53,040 Speaker 3: on the plane flying from Washington, d C. To Anchorage. 501 00:27:53,080 --> 00:27:57,679 Speaker 3: It's thirty four hundred miles and he just came out 502 00:27:57,760 --> 00:28:00,239 Speaker 3: and said something to reporters on Air Force one. Here 503 00:28:00,240 --> 00:28:01,800 Speaker 3: it is, thank you for coming. 504 00:28:01,600 --> 00:28:02,680 Speaker 1: Back to take questions. 505 00:28:03,240 --> 00:28:06,760 Speaker 9: We saw that Russia continued as violence into Ukraine last night, 506 00:28:06,840 --> 00:28:08,080 Speaker 9: launching even more drones. 507 00:28:08,400 --> 00:28:09,400 Speaker 1: What did you make of that? 508 00:28:09,960 --> 00:28:13,400 Speaker 6: I think they're trying to negotiate. He's trying to set 509 00:28:13,440 --> 00:28:16,280 Speaker 6: a stage. I mean, in his mind that helps him 510 00:28:16,320 --> 00:28:19,399 Speaker 6: make a better deal. It actually hurts him, But in 511 00:28:19,480 --> 00:28:22,080 Speaker 6: his mind that helps him make a better deal if 512 00:28:22,119 --> 00:28:26,159 Speaker 6: they can continue the killing. Maybe it's a part of 513 00:28:26,200 --> 00:28:30,080 Speaker 6: the world. Maybe it's just his fabricus, gens, his genetics, 514 00:28:30,600 --> 00:28:34,400 Speaker 6: but he thinks that makes him gives him strength and negotiating. 515 00:28:34,440 --> 00:28:36,439 Speaker 6: I think it hurts him, but I'll be talking to 516 00:28:36,520 --> 00:28:38,760 Speaker 6: him about it discussion. 517 00:28:39,040 --> 00:28:43,760 Speaker 3: This is so interesting. Has Trump finally reached the I 518 00:28:43,840 --> 00:28:47,920 Speaker 3: understand who this guy is? Point? And like, you know, 519 00:28:48,040 --> 00:28:50,200 Speaker 3: and and and and even if that's true, it's like, 520 00:28:50,240 --> 00:28:52,400 Speaker 3: how did it take you so long. But I mean 521 00:28:52,480 --> 00:28:55,920 Speaker 3: Trump is despite what they say on MSNBC in braces places, 522 00:28:56,040 --> 00:29:00,840 Speaker 3: he's no dummy. He's not he's on a punk. I mean, 523 00:29:00,880 --> 00:29:10,880 Speaker 3: he's a smart, ruthless businessman and he's certainly surely he 524 00:29:10,920 --> 00:29:12,640 Speaker 3: can handle that sort of situation. 525 00:29:13,320 --> 00:29:13,520 Speaker 5: Yeah. 526 00:29:13,560 --> 00:29:16,040 Speaker 4: My only quibble with that is that I think any 527 00:29:16,080 --> 00:29:19,440 Speaker 4: of us who've known a lot of different people, achievers 528 00:29:19,520 --> 00:29:23,000 Speaker 4: and go getters and wheelers and dealers, is there some 529 00:29:23,040 --> 00:29:25,440 Speaker 4: people who are very, very capable in certain areas, but 530 00:29:25,480 --> 00:29:30,920 Speaker 4: they have blind spots. And there are times that I 531 00:29:30,960 --> 00:29:32,960 Speaker 4: think Trump has blind spots. 532 00:29:34,040 --> 00:29:37,360 Speaker 3: But you think he has a blind spot with negotiations 533 00:29:37,400 --> 00:29:38,720 Speaker 3: he's been doing in his whole. 534 00:29:38,440 --> 00:29:42,320 Speaker 4: Life with megalomaniac Russian would be is ours. 535 00:29:42,400 --> 00:29:45,760 Speaker 3: Yes, yeah, God, he's probably had to deal with lots 536 00:29:45,800 --> 00:29:48,880 Speaker 3: of megalomaniacs building casino, but they're. 537 00:29:48,680 --> 00:29:52,880 Speaker 4: Motivated by completely different things. I think Trump has an 538 00:29:52,920 --> 00:29:56,400 Speaker 4: oversimplified view of leverage. 539 00:29:56,440 --> 00:29:58,080 Speaker 3: It's funny, I was thinking that yesterday. I thought this 540 00:29:58,120 --> 00:29:59,800 Speaker 3: for a long time. A lot of business people I 541 00:29:59,840 --> 00:30:02,160 Speaker 3: know are like this. There's only one thing that matters, 542 00:30:02,400 --> 00:30:05,120 Speaker 3: profit or making more money. That's the only thing they 543 00:30:05,120 --> 00:30:09,800 Speaker 3: can think about, and feelings or morality or all kinds 544 00:30:09,800 --> 00:30:11,800 Speaker 3: of things go out the window. It's just what's going 545 00:30:11,880 --> 00:30:14,520 Speaker 3: to make me the most money. And he can't imagine. 546 00:30:14,160 --> 00:30:17,360 Speaker 1: Nationalism or philosophy. 547 00:30:16,600 --> 00:30:20,280 Speaker 3: Or he can't imagine anything mattering more than making more money, 548 00:30:21,640 --> 00:30:27,000 Speaker 3: and like wanting to institute Peter the Great's land mass, 549 00:30:27,000 --> 00:30:31,640 Speaker 3: doesn't make sense exactly or even just rational goals from 550 00:30:31,640 --> 00:30:36,600 Speaker 3: Trump's point of view, re establishing the Soviet Empire, why 551 00:30:36,600 --> 00:30:37,440 Speaker 3: the hell would you want that? 552 00:30:37,560 --> 00:30:40,840 Speaker 4: A lot of it is crappy. Yeah, you know you're 553 00:30:40,840 --> 00:30:43,480 Speaker 4: already too far flung. Your treasury is bare. Why don't 554 00:30:43,520 --> 00:30:46,520 Speaker 4: you just concentrate and make good deals and make more money. 555 00:30:46,600 --> 00:30:48,240 Speaker 4: You're overexpanding. That's dumb. 556 00:30:49,360 --> 00:30:51,760 Speaker 1: He just doesn't understand irrational motivations. 557 00:30:52,160 --> 00:30:56,840 Speaker 4: Getting back to the clip about Putin continuing the attacks 558 00:30:56,880 --> 00:30:59,320 Speaker 4: and stuff like that, again, I don't know. Sometimes Trump 559 00:30:59,360 --> 00:31:01,760 Speaker 4: postures just to posture, and he knows what he's doing. 560 00:31:02,240 --> 00:31:07,040 Speaker 4: But yes, Putin thinks that continuing the attacks makes him 561 00:31:07,560 --> 00:31:10,720 Speaker 4: gives him a stronger position than in negotiating. Because you've 562 00:31:10,760 --> 00:31:12,920 Speaker 4: made it clear over and over again, you want peace, 563 00:31:13,280 --> 00:31:14,760 Speaker 4: you want the killing to stop. 564 00:31:15,160 --> 00:31:15,320 Speaker 1: Now. 565 00:31:15,320 --> 00:31:19,640 Speaker 4: If you were to say, yeah, me too, how much 566 00:31:19,760 --> 00:31:22,360 Speaker 4: would you have to give him to get the killing 567 00:31:22,400 --> 00:31:26,479 Speaker 4: to stop very little, because you've both expressed the desire 568 00:31:26,520 --> 00:31:29,040 Speaker 4: to and the killing. You've come to the table saying 569 00:31:29,040 --> 00:31:30,880 Speaker 4: I want the killing to stop, and he's come to 570 00:31:30,920 --> 00:31:33,080 Speaker 4: the table saying, you know what, I just killed more 571 00:31:33,120 --> 00:31:35,600 Speaker 4: people today, And if you'll excuse me, yeah, right now, 572 00:31:35,760 --> 00:31:39,120 Speaker 4: I just killed five hundred more people. You're gonna have 573 00:31:39,160 --> 00:31:40,960 Speaker 4: to give up a hell of. 574 00:31:40,960 --> 00:31:43,320 Speaker 1: A lot more at the table. I think he's going again. 575 00:31:43,400 --> 00:31:45,160 Speaker 1: I don't Trump surely understands. 576 00:31:45,280 --> 00:31:46,920 Speaker 3: I think he's gonna have to say to Putin's face 577 00:31:46,960 --> 00:31:51,840 Speaker 3: at some point that's bulls, You're full of crap, because 578 00:31:51,880 --> 00:31:55,120 Speaker 3: Putin's gonna say something like these are military targets. They 579 00:31:55,160 --> 00:31:57,400 Speaker 3: attacked us first, you know, all that sort of stuff, 580 00:31:58,160 --> 00:32:00,880 Speaker 3: And Trump's come on, where's there Trump, where's our bleeped 581 00:32:00,920 --> 00:32:01,560 Speaker 3: Trump clip? 582 00:32:01,640 --> 00:32:05,960 Speaker 4: Michael, what's Trump gonna say to Putin? Two syllables? I 583 00:32:06,200 --> 00:32:07,600 Speaker 4: wasn't kidding when I said this yesterday. 584 00:32:07,640 --> 00:32:10,200 Speaker 3: I want him to treat Putin like he treated Rand 585 00:32:10,280 --> 00:32:13,720 Speaker 3: Paul or Chris Christy or any of those people. You know, 586 00:32:14,040 --> 00:32:15,960 Speaker 3: Carly Fiorina. Treat him like that. 587 00:32:17,120 --> 00:32:17,840 Speaker 1: Hey, you got it. 588 00:32:17,880 --> 00:32:21,720 Speaker 4: You you had the perfect coaching every time you look 589 00:32:21,760 --> 00:32:26,200 Speaker 4: at Putin picture rosy O'donald's head on his neck. Mister president, 590 00:32:27,480 --> 00:32:29,720 Speaker 4: that'll get you in the right fighting spirit. 591 00:32:30,880 --> 00:32:34,720 Speaker 3: The exact he needs to say that to Putin's face. 592 00:32:34,920 --> 00:32:38,640 Speaker 3: We got what's f what? What are your thoughts on it? 593 00:32:38,720 --> 00:32:40,960 Speaker 3: Here's the text line four one five two nine five 594 00:32:41,080 --> 00:32:48,400 Speaker 3: KFTC last weekend before school starts from my kids, they're 595 00:32:48,400 --> 00:32:48,960 Speaker 3: in a panic. 596 00:32:49,320 --> 00:32:50,160 Speaker 1: They're in a panic. 597 00:32:51,440 --> 00:32:54,760 Speaker 4: Oh boy, oh boy, taking deep breaths like jumping in 598 00:32:54,800 --> 00:32:58,480 Speaker 4: a cold pool. He'll get used to it pretty soon, 599 00:32:58,520 --> 00:33:01,520 Speaker 4: but I remember that feeling. So I was tempted to 600 00:33:01,800 --> 00:33:05,440 Speaker 4: end the hour with the discussion of Russia's finances. Read 601 00:33:05,520 --> 00:33:09,440 Speaker 4: a really good detailed analysis. They are in financial trouble. 602 00:33:09,480 --> 00:33:13,400 Speaker 4: I hope this war is enormously expensive and it can't 603 00:33:13,480 --> 00:33:16,440 Speaker 4: last forever. But you know, we've talked about that a 604 00:33:16,520 --> 00:33:18,840 Speaker 4: fair amountain it'll still be true on Monday, so maybe 605 00:33:18,880 --> 00:33:20,800 Speaker 4: we'll get to it again then. So a couple of 606 00:33:20,880 --> 00:33:22,840 Speaker 4: stories to bring to you very quickly. I found this 607 00:33:23,160 --> 00:33:26,640 Speaker 4: very funny. Andrew Styles of the Free Beacon the Emerging 608 00:33:26,720 --> 00:33:30,800 Speaker 4: Democratic Consensus for twenty twenty six, curse Moore, obey less, 609 00:33:30,880 --> 00:33:36,920 Speaker 4: protect criminals and illegal immigrants at all, costs and evidently, yes, 610 00:33:37,200 --> 00:33:41,000 Speaker 4: swearing is a big part of the strategy. 611 00:33:41,520 --> 00:33:43,880 Speaker 1: We actually do we have that to Beto or rourk. 612 00:33:44,040 --> 00:33:45,600 Speaker 1: Yeah that we had the Yeah we do. 613 00:33:46,880 --> 00:33:47,720 Speaker 3: We had it yesterday. 614 00:33:48,560 --> 00:33:50,720 Speaker 1: Yeah, no, I think we did today again. I'm sorry. 615 00:33:50,760 --> 00:33:52,240 Speaker 1: We should have got eleven play eleven. 616 00:33:52,920 --> 00:33:55,120 Speaker 9: We are in a basketball game right now, if you'll 617 00:33:55,160 --> 00:33:59,000 Speaker 9: excuse the metaphor, where the refs have left the arena 618 00:33:59,040 --> 00:34:01,720 Speaker 9: and the other side is he clobbering us. He's plunging 619 00:34:01,760 --> 00:34:03,400 Speaker 9: us in the face, kicking us in the nuts. 620 00:34:04,840 --> 00:34:07,600 Speaker 4: And he mentioned that the Dems need to fight harder 621 00:34:08,040 --> 00:34:11,319 Speaker 4: in defense of the illegal immigrant community. That quote makes 622 00:34:11,360 --> 00:34:13,880 Speaker 4: this country so g D great. 623 00:34:15,000 --> 00:34:18,040 Speaker 3: It's interesting. I wonder whose decision that was that we 624 00:34:18,080 --> 00:34:20,200 Speaker 3: need to curse more to show that we're fighting. 625 00:34:22,000 --> 00:34:26,320 Speaker 4: Representative Jasmine Crockett, the potty mouthed diva who's a rising 626 00:34:26,400 --> 00:34:30,759 Speaker 4: star thanks for republic Transom tantrums and phony accent, being 627 00:34:30,800 --> 00:34:34,320 Speaker 4: a boarding school grad, but sounds ghetto when it's convenient. 628 00:34:35,040 --> 00:34:37,600 Speaker 4: She's argued that illegal immigrant is not a crime, called 629 00:34:37,640 --> 00:34:39,680 Speaker 4: Donald Trump a piece of ass, etc. 630 00:34:40,320 --> 00:34:41,040 Speaker 3: Good luck with that. 631 00:34:41,760 --> 00:34:45,000 Speaker 4: The Hill urged Democratic leaders to follow her lead. Crockett 632 00:34:45,080 --> 00:34:48,120 Speaker 4: is the base. She is the movement. Whether you like 633 00:34:48,120 --> 00:34:50,840 Speaker 4: her delivery or not, She's speaking a language people understand, 634 00:34:50,880 --> 00:34:53,319 Speaker 4: and that's what exactly what this party needs. 635 00:34:53,480 --> 00:34:55,560 Speaker 3: If she is the base of the Democratic Party, they 636 00:34:55,560 --> 00:34:58,000 Speaker 3: ain't gonna win an national elections for a long time. 637 00:34:58,480 --> 00:35:00,360 Speaker 1: All right, how about this strategy instead. 638 00:35:00,400 --> 00:35:04,440 Speaker 4: The Loudun County virgin It's a DC suburb, Loudun County, 639 00:35:04,480 --> 00:35:10,799 Speaker 4: Fairfax County, woke America. They voted tuesday to keep their 640 00:35:10,840 --> 00:35:15,040 Speaker 4: transgender policies, even after the Education Department warned the district 641 00:35:15,040 --> 00:35:18,319 Speaker 4: that and four others they could face legal punishment lose 642 00:35:18,360 --> 00:35:20,880 Speaker 4: federal funding for violating Title nine, the federal law that 643 00:35:20,920 --> 00:35:24,520 Speaker 4: bands sex discrimination. Boys can keep going into the girls' 644 00:35:24,520 --> 00:35:26,200 Speaker 4: locker rooms and watch them change. 645 00:35:26,360 --> 00:35:27,600 Speaker 1: Boys can keep. 646 00:35:27,440 --> 00:35:30,759 Speaker 4: Whipping up on girls on the sports fields as long 647 00:35:30,800 --> 00:35:33,880 Speaker 4: as they say I'm a girl today in Loudun County. 648 00:35:34,239 --> 00:35:37,400 Speaker 4: I wish you well, see you in court. I'm actually 649 00:35:37,480 --> 00:35:40,879 Speaker 4: glad they're doing this. Why not let's have it out 650 00:35:41,040 --> 00:35:44,400 Speaker 4: yep And final story, complete change of topic. This is 651 00:35:44,440 --> 00:35:50,400 Speaker 4: about AI in entertainment, specifically animation. There are systems already 652 00:35:50,400 --> 00:35:53,280 Speaker 4: being used by the studios that are improving like week 653 00:35:53,440 --> 00:35:59,840 Speaker 4: by week that will reduce the time taken to render 654 00:36:00,000 --> 00:36:05,280 Speaker 4: a sophisticated animation picture toy story to animate a scene 655 00:36:05,280 --> 00:36:10,480 Speaker 4: will go from weeks two minutes, wow, two seconds. We 656 00:36:10,600 --> 00:36:13,319 Speaker 4: can provide tools for animators to animate a character in 657 00:36:13,400 --> 00:36:16,239 Speaker 4: ten seconds instead of a week. There's no turning back, 658 00:36:16,480 --> 00:36:17,320 Speaker 4: says the founder. 659 00:36:18,880 --> 00:36:21,520 Speaker 3: Well, that's interesting. I have things to say, but we're 660 00:36:21,520 --> 00:36:23,520 Speaker 3: out of time. We're out of time for the week. 661 00:36:23,560 --> 00:36:25,719 Speaker 3: For a lot of you, we do four hours every day. 662 00:36:25,719 --> 00:36:27,520 Speaker 3: If you miss a segment of an hour, get the podcast 663 00:36:27,800 --> 00:36:29,080 Speaker 3: Armstrong and Getty on demand. 664 00:36:29,120 --> 00:36:33,200 Speaker 5: Subscribe Armstrong and Getty