WEBVTT - Pebble Hits a Boulder

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<v Speaker 1>In two thousand twelve, a small startup on the verge

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<v Speaker 1>of collapse called Pebble endeavored to fund their smart watch

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<v Speaker 1>company via a Kickstarter campaign and insanely successful Kickstarter campaign.

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<v Speaker 1>And not only was their first Kickstarter campaign ridiculously successful,

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<v Speaker 1>but their next two were as well. In fact, three

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<v Speaker 1>of the five most successful kickstarters to date have been

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<v Speaker 1>for Pebble watches. And yet this smart watch company, with

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<v Speaker 1>so much public backing, went from crowdfunding success to complete

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<v Speaker 1>stop in just a few short years. So let's travel

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<v Speaker 1>slightly back in time and learn how a meteoric rise

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<v Speaker 1>turned into a rock slide of misfortune for Pebble Watches.

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<v Speaker 1>On the Brink. Hi, I'm Jonathan Strickland and I'm aerial casting.

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<v Speaker 1>You guys are listening to the Brink today. We're talking

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<v Speaker 1>about Pebble watches, a subject that I might have a

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<v Speaker 1>slight bias tour. I was about to say you were

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<v Speaker 1>an owner of a Pebble watch. Im I still am.

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<v Speaker 1>I still am. I'm not wearing it today, but I

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<v Speaker 1>do have it. Now, You're an owner of a very

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<v Speaker 1>unsupported piece of technology. I mean, it still tells time,

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<v Speaker 1>but yeah, I'm not going to be getting any new

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<v Speaker 1>apps for it, so I was not a Kickstarter campaign

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<v Speaker 1>funder for the Pebble Watch. However, I did pre order

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<v Speaker 1>the watch before it officially was available, uh in store shelves.

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<v Speaker 1>I'll talk about that a little bit, But technically I

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<v Speaker 1>saw it at CS. I went to C E S.

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<v Speaker 1>There was a a m meeting in a big conference room,

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<v Speaker 1>not on the regular show floor where the pebble Watch

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<v Speaker 1>folks were there showing off pebble watches. This was post

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<v Speaker 1>kick started campaign, pre store or availability, and I got

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<v Speaker 1>a chance to see it, and it was impressive enough

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<v Speaker 1>for me to go ahead and put a pre order

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<v Speaker 1>in and they sent me a Kickstarter edition. That's nice.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, I kind of always wanted a pebble watch myself,

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<v Speaker 1>but I'm glad I don't have one, because currently I

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<v Speaker 1>have a tablet sitting on my desk that I can't

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<v Speaker 1>use because I switched phone providers, and I feel bad

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<v Speaker 1>even owning that piece of technology that is no longer

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<v Speaker 1>really useful. But pebble watches are still somewhat useful. And

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<v Speaker 1>we're going to take you back to the very beginning

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<v Speaker 1>of pebble watches, which is even before there was a pebble. Yes,

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<v Speaker 1>and technically pebble Watch was started out of a brink

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<v Speaker 1>moment of a previous company. Yes, so way back in

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<v Speaker 1>two thousand eight, which is ancient times for modern technology companies.

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<v Speaker 1>Right ten years ago the Stone Age, there was a

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<v Speaker 1>guy named Eric Mischakovsky, and Midchakovsky he uh, he was

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<v Speaker 1>twenty two at the time, and if you read the

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<v Speaker 1>series of Wired articles we read, you would learn that

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<v Speaker 1>he has six ft six because I'm pretty sure that

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<v Speaker 1>that was sent. And so he had come from Canada.

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<v Speaker 1>He had attended the University of Waterloo. And the story

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<v Speaker 1>is that he was in the Netherlands and he had

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<v Speaker 1>taken a semester to study industrial design over there. And

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<v Speaker 1>while he was over there, he was riding his bike everywhere,

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<v Speaker 1>and he was still wanted to stay in touch with

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<v Speaker 1>his friends back in Canada. A and that man he

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<v Speaker 1>was using his his cell phone. But the problem is,

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<v Speaker 1>you're riding your bicycle everywhere, you can't easily check your

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<v Speaker 1>cell phone. It's hard to dig into your pocket and

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<v Speaker 1>pull your cell phone out without potentially ramming your bike

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<v Speaker 1>into a pedestrian or going out in the traffic. And

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<v Speaker 1>so he thought wouldn't it be nice if there were

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<v Speaker 1>some sort of device that I could quickly check to

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<v Speaker 1>see what incoming call I'm getting or incoming message. Maybe

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<v Speaker 1>I could read the whole message, or I could at

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<v Speaker 1>least see who's calling me, and I could determine, Oh,

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<v Speaker 1>maybe I should pull over to the side take this

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<v Speaker 1>phone call, or no, I can let this go to voicemail.

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<v Speaker 1>That actually led him to go back to his room

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<v Speaker 1>that night, and he started tinkering around with basic electronic

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<v Speaker 1>components to see if he could build something that could

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<v Speaker 1>do what he was thinking. Now, this was not meant

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<v Speaker 1>to be like a finished product, This was just a

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<v Speaker 1>proof of concept, but that led him down the path

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<v Speaker 1>towards this idea of yeah, this is possible. I'm going

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<v Speaker 1>to make a device that compare with a phone and

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<v Speaker 1>give you notifications and you don't have to take your

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<v Speaker 1>phone out to look at you just glance at your

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<v Speaker 1>wrist and hey, what the heck, I'm gonna let it

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<v Speaker 1>tell time to which you know, makes total sense because

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<v Speaker 1>you're already used to looking at your wrist for a time,

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<v Speaker 1>and and also coming up with a small device to

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<v Speaker 1>take care of your phone needs is not a bad line.

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<v Speaker 1>Of logic, because computers over history have been getting smaller

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<v Speaker 1>and smaller until recently when they're kind of getting big

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<v Speaker 1>in right. And I think this is sort of what

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<v Speaker 1>spurred his imagination, was this idea of if you look

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<v Speaker 1>at the history of computers, then you see them going

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<v Speaker 1>from the size of a floor of a building to

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<v Speaker 1>the size of a room, to the size of a

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<v Speaker 1>desk or a filing cabinet, to the size of a

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<v Speaker 1>desktop computer to a laptop too, smartphones and tablets, and

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<v Speaker 1>the trend is going from specific purpose where it's really

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<v Speaker 1>good at doing very specific things but it can't do

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<v Speaker 1>anything else, to general purpose and smaller and eventually mobile.

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<v Speaker 1>And he thought, well, with this trend, which has been

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<v Speaker 1>going on since computers started, let's look at what's the

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<v Speaker 1>next logical step, and that's wearable computers. And so that's

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<v Speaker 1>what I was thinking, was that let's see if we

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<v Speaker 1>can I think the world is ready for it. As

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<v Speaker 1>it turns out, that was an assumption that I think

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<v Speaker 1>has yet to bear out. We can talk more about

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<v Speaker 1>why that hasn't quite panned out yet towards the end

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<v Speaker 1>of this episode, But that was the premise, Yes, it

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<v Speaker 1>was now unfortunately for him. The start of this whole

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<v Speaker 1>story comes about at a time where he was just

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<v Speaker 1>slightly ahead of his time because he made a company

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<v Speaker 1>called Alerta, and he decided to make a product called Impulse,

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<v Speaker 1>which was a watch that did all the things that

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<v Speaker 1>we previously talked about, specifically with the BlackBerry operating system,

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<v Speaker 1>which you know, was a good phone for a while

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<v Speaker 1>well and and again, to be fair like, he started

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<v Speaker 1>really working on this in two thousand eight. In two

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<v Speaker 1>thousand and eight, the iPhone was not even a year

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<v Speaker 1>old yet. The iPhone had come out in the summer

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<v Speaker 1>of two thousand seven. I mean, Blackberries were still in

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<v Speaker 1>popular use, and even if you wanted to develop for

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<v Speaker 1>the iPhone, you couldn't because they had not introduced the

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<v Speaker 1>app store yet. That didn't get introduced till the summer

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<v Speaker 1>of two thousand eight. Android was not ready for public

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<v Speaker 1>release until the fall of two thousand eight. So he

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<v Speaker 1>developed a prototype of the Impulse that worked only with

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<v Speaker 1>BlackBerry and uh, but it did all the things he

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<v Speaker 1>wanted it to do. It if you've got a BlackBerry message,

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<v Speaker 1>which BlackBerry has their own encrypted version of messaging, you

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<v Speaker 1>could actually display it on the watch and it was

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<v Speaker 1>a cool companion piece of tech chnology. It wasn't actually

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<v Speaker 1>from Research in Motion, which is the company that made BlackBerry. Yeah.

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<v Speaker 1>I know a lot of people who own Blackberries, and

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<v Speaker 1>I know a lot of who did own Blackberries, and

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of people who do have smart watches. Despite

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<v Speaker 1>the iffiness of its popularity and in a big company meeting,

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<v Speaker 1>blackberries were largely you know, business phones. You know, it's

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<v Speaker 1>a lot more polite to glance at your watch than

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<v Speaker 1>it is to pick up your phone and look at it.

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<v Speaker 1>Not that that has stopped any people still do, but yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>these days, Uh, if you were with any tech podcasters,

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<v Speaker 1>I think people in general this is true, but definitely

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<v Speaker 1>true for tech podcasters because I've been there. If you

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<v Speaker 1>ever diner, yeah, I am one, and then I hang

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<v Speaker 1>out with them. Sometimes when a group of tech podcasters

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<v Speaker 1>go to dinner, the first thing that happens is, however

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<v Speaker 1>many tech podcasters you have, you have at least that

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<v Speaker 1>many phones hit the table, probably more phones than there

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<v Speaker 1>are people for each pockets. Yeah, sometimes people carry more

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<v Speaker 1>than one. Uh Well. In two thousand eleven, the company

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<v Speaker 1>Alerta was invited to participate in a group is called

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<v Speaker 1>the y Combinator and this is what they call an accelerator.

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<v Speaker 1>An accelerator is a company that is designed to help

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<v Speaker 1>startups get a foundation. So they pair people with mentors

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<v Speaker 1>to teach about forming business plans and uh, what sort

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<v Speaker 1>of of pitfalls to look out for. And they also

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<v Speaker 1>attempt to match up companies with potential investors. And that's

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<v Speaker 1>what was going on with y Combinator. And by the

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<v Speaker 1>time the Impulse was ready to be shown off there,

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<v Speaker 1>it had already been available for purchase and they had

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<v Speaker 1>expanded beyond BlackBerry. Now they were also compatible with the

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<v Speaker 1>Android upbreaking system, but not iOS, not yet. But the

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<v Speaker 1>thing is, even though everybody at this Y Combinator incubator

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<v Speaker 1>got a hundred and fifty k, yeah, everyone, everybody got it,

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<v Speaker 1>Alertor had a really hard time getting investors. They only

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<v Speaker 1>got about three hundred. They only doubled that initial investment.

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<v Speaker 1>Like some of those companies or some of those startups

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<v Speaker 1>were able to get significantly more investment, but Alerta was

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<v Speaker 1>limited to three thousand, which sounds like a lot of money.

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<v Speaker 1>But the problem is Alerta was also is a hardware company. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>so you're having to buy all these different components as

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<v Speaker 1>opposed to just exactly. Yeah, so you have to figure

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<v Speaker 1>out supply chain, you have to figure out where where

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<v Speaker 1>are we going to manufacture these things. Now, in the

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<v Speaker 1>early days they went pretty low rent with that. They did.

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<v Speaker 1>They only sold fifteen hundred units of Impulses. They didn't

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<v Speaker 1>have to worry about bulk production, half of which they

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<v Speaker 1>made in their garage and the other half they made

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<v Speaker 1>it a small local factory that they hired out. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>at that scale, it doesn't make sense to look overseas,

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<v Speaker 1>which is what Pebble would do later on. They would

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<v Speaker 1>start looking at manufacturing facilities in China. But you don't

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<v Speaker 1>do that if you've got if you're only making a

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<v Speaker 1>thousand or so units, you don't that that would be overkill. Yeah.

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<v Speaker 1>So they have used all of this money that they've

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<v Speaker 1>made at the incubator to make these units, and nobody

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<v Speaker 1>wanted to buy him. Yeah, so we are at a

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<v Speaker 1>point where the company, the idea that that Eric had

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<v Speaker 1>just wasn't taking off. Investors didn't seem interested, customers didn't

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<v Speaker 1>seem interested. He had not found a way to tap

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<v Speaker 1>into anyone's desire for technology. It was like, could he

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<v Speaker 1>have been totally off base with his earlier assessment that

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<v Speaker 1>this wearable computing model was the way to go. And

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<v Speaker 1>I think for a lot of first time business owners,

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<v Speaker 1>they would look at this and say, I'm on the

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<v Speaker 1>wrong track. I'm going to go do something else. I'm

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<v Speaker 1>going to take some time, I'm going to come up

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<v Speaker 1>with a different idea, especially when you come from a

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<v Speaker 1>background where Eric Maschakovsky he had been through two different

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<v Speaker 1>accelerators at this point, because there was one at the

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<v Speaker 1>University of waterlooka Velocity had already done that one, and

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<v Speaker 1>then why Combinator he did another one. So he had

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<v Speaker 1>at least had the benefit of being able to work

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<v Speaker 1>with people who had experience in launching startups. So he

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<v Speaker 1>could have just stepped away, but he didn't. He he

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<v Speaker 1>was like, well, I still think this is a good idea.

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<v Speaker 1>I still think people wanted I just definite hit that

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<v Speaker 1>sweet spot yet. Yeah. And by this time it's getting

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<v Speaker 1>close to two thousand twelve, the landscape had changed quite

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<v Speaker 1>a bit. Both Apple and Google were really starting to

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<v Speaker 1>take over the market share of smartphones. There was a

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<v Speaker 1>rising interest in developing for those platforms, developing apps for

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<v Speaker 1>those platforms, and Mitchakovsky said, I think I'm ready to

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<v Speaker 1>take another stab at this, but I think it's going

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<v Speaker 1>to require rethinking my approach. And we'll talk about what

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<v Speaker 1>he did next in just a moment, but first let's

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<v Speaker 1>take a quick break to thank our sponsor. Okay, So

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<v Speaker 1>we talked about how Mitchikovsky wanted to rethink his ideas

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<v Speaker 1>instead of give up. So the first thing he did

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<v Speaker 1>was he rebranded, renamed his watch to Pebble, and eventually

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<v Speaker 1>the company would also be called this Yes. And then

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<v Speaker 1>he decided to make it work with multiple oss Yes,

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<v Speaker 1>multiple operating systems. Now you've got all these people who

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<v Speaker 1>are interested in making apps for Apple and Google, they're

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<v Speaker 1>going to be interested in making apps for his watch

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<v Speaker 1>as well. So this opened it up to a whole

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<v Speaker 1>new market of people. And then he also made the

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<v Speaker 1>watch waterproof, and he decided to make some other changes

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<v Speaker 1>to the technology. So the original Impulse watch had an

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<v Speaker 1>O LED screen US organic LED if you prefer, and

0:12:48.800 --> 0:12:51.320
<v Speaker 1>it was a full color screen and you had to

0:12:51.320 --> 0:12:55.560
<v Speaker 1>plug a charging cable into the watch. That's what would

0:12:55.640 --> 0:12:58.319
<v Speaker 1>make it not water resistant, right, because you have an

0:12:58.320 --> 0:13:02.079
<v Speaker 1>opening there. So for the Pebble, he decides, well, let's

0:13:02.280 --> 0:13:06.680
<v Speaker 1>let's make it monochromatic screen, will use e paper as

0:13:06.720 --> 0:13:09.360
<v Speaker 1>the display, which had a lot of benefits to it. Yeah.

0:13:09.400 --> 0:13:12.080
<v Speaker 1>It removes it removes a lot of the power requirements

0:13:12.120 --> 0:13:14.440
<v Speaker 1>because it's not back lit, and it also takes off

0:13:14.480 --> 0:13:15.880
<v Speaker 1>a lot of glare so you can see it in

0:13:15.920 --> 0:13:19.079
<v Speaker 1>brighter light. Yeah, it's like paper. You need that external

0:13:19.160 --> 0:13:21.240
<v Speaker 1>light to be able to see what's on there. So

0:13:21.640 --> 0:13:26.800
<v Speaker 1>this decision to go with a brand new approach, a

0:13:26.840 --> 0:13:31.760
<v Speaker 1>brand new name, a new design model. All of that's great,

0:13:31.800 --> 0:13:35.680
<v Speaker 1>except where are you going to get the money to

0:13:35.880 --> 0:13:39.760
<v Speaker 1>fund the research and development, the prototyping, the manufacturing. I mean,

0:13:39.800 --> 0:13:43.320
<v Speaker 1>you don't have revenue coming in from the impulse, Yeah,

0:13:43.360 --> 0:13:46.880
<v Speaker 1>and you don't have investors who want to buy hardware.

0:13:47.240 --> 0:13:49.320
<v Speaker 1>So where do you turn if you if you can't

0:13:49.360 --> 0:13:53.439
<v Speaker 1>get any angel investors. Well, Midchakovsky decides to turn to

0:13:53.760 --> 0:13:57.760
<v Speaker 1>a relatively new form of fundraising. It it had been

0:13:57.800 --> 0:14:01.120
<v Speaker 1>around for a few years, but he was one of

0:14:01.160 --> 0:14:03.880
<v Speaker 1>the early birds on this platform. I would say yes,

0:14:03.920 --> 0:14:06.880
<v Speaker 1>he launched a Kickstarter campaign in two thousand twelve. It

0:14:06.920 --> 0:14:09.520
<v Speaker 1>would be the first of three, and it would be,

0:14:09.679 --> 0:14:14.400
<v Speaker 1>as we said in the opening, incredibly successful spoiler alerts.

0:14:14.440 --> 0:14:18.480
<v Speaker 1>In this case, they had set their goal at one

0:14:18.559 --> 0:14:23.120
<v Speaker 1>hundred thousand dollars, and they gave themselves thirty seven days

0:14:23.200 --> 0:14:25.480
<v Speaker 1>or so to hit that goal. How long did it

0:14:25.520 --> 0:14:28.760
<v Speaker 1>take them to hit one hundred thousand dollars? Two hours?

0:14:30.000 --> 0:14:33.720
<v Speaker 1>And then they hit a million in twenty eight hours? Shikes?

0:14:33.800 --> 0:14:37.480
<v Speaker 1>And they hit ten million, two hundred sixty six thousand,

0:14:37.480 --> 0:14:40.720
<v Speaker 1>eight hundred and forty five dollars overall. Yeah, which is

0:14:41.760 --> 0:14:46.160
<v Speaker 1>watch orders approximately. Yeah, although when you look at the

0:14:46.240 --> 0:14:49.400
<v Speaker 1>full number, because you know, if you start going at

0:14:49.400 --> 0:14:51.720
<v Speaker 1>the higher ends, there were other other elements that you

0:14:51.760 --> 0:14:55.280
<v Speaker 1>could get. I think they ultimately said it was around

0:14:55.520 --> 0:14:58.880
<v Speaker 1>sixty nine thousand watches total that they ended up selling

0:14:59.240 --> 0:15:03.240
<v Speaker 1>pre selling through Kickstarter, and only that they could have

0:15:03.320 --> 0:15:06.400
<v Speaker 1>made more. Yes, Yes, they end in their campaign a

0:15:06.440 --> 0:15:09.680
<v Speaker 1>whole week early because they didn't want to get greedy. Honestly,

0:15:09.720 --> 0:15:13.200
<v Speaker 1>if I were really putting critical thinking to it, I

0:15:13.240 --> 0:15:15.120
<v Speaker 1>would say that this was a combination of a couple

0:15:15.160 --> 0:15:18.200
<v Speaker 1>of different things that Midjakovsky was taking into account when

0:15:18.480 --> 0:15:21.320
<v Speaker 1>he said, let's end it early. We've made ten million

0:15:21.360 --> 0:15:25.520
<v Speaker 1>dollars and we have this number of commitments. I think

0:15:25.520 --> 0:15:28.000
<v Speaker 1>there are two things that he's probably thinking. One is

0:15:28.280 --> 0:15:30.920
<v Speaker 1>I want to make sure that the number doesn't get

0:15:31.040 --> 0:15:33.520
<v Speaker 1>so far ahead of us that will be in trouble

0:15:33.600 --> 0:15:36.640
<v Speaker 1>trying to meet our commitment. And the second is that

0:15:36.680 --> 0:15:39.760
<v Speaker 1>if you're making hardware, in order to create an incentive,

0:15:39.960 --> 0:15:43.320
<v Speaker 1>you typically offer that hardware at a discount, sometimes a

0:15:43.360 --> 0:15:46.920
<v Speaker 1>substantial discount. They planned on selling the Pebble at d

0:15:46.960 --> 0:15:50.840
<v Speaker 1>fifty dollars, but the early bird on a Kickstarter Pebble

0:15:50.960 --> 0:15:54.360
<v Speaker 1>was you also want to make sure that you haven't

0:15:54.640 --> 0:15:58.040
<v Speaker 1>grossly underestimated how much it's going to cost you to

0:15:58.320 --> 0:16:01.120
<v Speaker 1>make those things. Yeah. Well, and also one thing that

0:16:01.280 --> 0:16:03.760
<v Speaker 1>is common in kickstarters there are stretch goals. So if

0:16:03.800 --> 0:16:05.800
<v Speaker 1>we reach this goal, we're going to add this feature.

0:16:06.280 --> 0:16:08.760
<v Speaker 1>And if they add too many features to the smart watch,

0:16:09.040 --> 0:16:13.200
<v Speaker 1>it either may not be producible or it gets too expensive,

0:16:13.240 --> 0:16:16.120
<v Speaker 1>gets too expensive or doesn't work right, and then you

0:16:16.240 --> 0:16:19.000
<v Speaker 1>end up sabotaging yourself. And then you either come out

0:16:19.000 --> 0:16:22.240
<v Speaker 1>with something that's less than what you promised, which upsets everybody,

0:16:22.320 --> 0:16:24.080
<v Speaker 1>or you don't come out with anything at all, which

0:16:24.200 --> 0:16:28.880
<v Speaker 1>really everybody. Fortunately, Pebble is not one of the though

0:16:28.960 --> 0:16:31.720
<v Speaker 1>in fact, this first Kickstarter campaign that they did is

0:16:31.840 --> 0:16:36.880
<v Speaker 1>still the fifth most funded kickstarter in history. The Kickstarter campaign.

0:16:36.920 --> 0:16:39.120
<v Speaker 1>That was part of what got them over the brink,

0:16:39.680 --> 0:16:43.840
<v Speaker 1>and it was that and their commitment toward developers. I

0:16:43.880 --> 0:16:49.480
<v Speaker 1>think that helped establish a good reputation for Pebble. Turns

0:16:49.480 --> 0:16:53.120
<v Speaker 1>out that would not be enough to keep things going,

0:16:53.160 --> 0:16:56.440
<v Speaker 1>but we aren't there yet. So two thousand thirteen, the

0:16:56.440 --> 0:16:59.520
<v Speaker 1>watch comes out. The end of two thousand thirteen, you

0:16:59.560 --> 0:17:03.920
<v Speaker 1>see them sell three thousand units, which is pretty good

0:17:03.960 --> 0:17:08.080
<v Speaker 1>for a brand new company with brand new hardware, a

0:17:08.080 --> 0:17:11.280
<v Speaker 1>brand new concept to many people. Yeah, and one that's

0:17:11.320 --> 0:17:15.600
<v Speaker 1>already reliant upon you owning a smartphone because it connects

0:17:15.680 --> 0:17:19.639
<v Speaker 1>via Bluetooth. It cannot on its own connect to the

0:17:19.680 --> 0:17:24.240
<v Speaker 1>Internet so that you get updates and notifications. It has

0:17:24.280 --> 0:17:27.760
<v Speaker 1>to connect to a smartphone. So you've already said, my

0:17:28.000 --> 0:17:31.800
<v Speaker 1>demographic is a smaller pie because it has to be

0:17:31.840 --> 0:17:35.560
<v Speaker 1>people who own smartphones. Yes. Despite this early success, in

0:17:35.560 --> 0:17:38.320
<v Speaker 1>two thousand fourteen, Apple announced that it was making a

0:17:38.359 --> 0:17:42.199
<v Speaker 1>smart watch as a competitor to Pebble. Now, Mischakovsky was

0:17:42.240 --> 0:17:45.800
<v Speaker 1>not really upset about this. Yeah, he felt like this

0:17:45.840 --> 0:17:49.159
<v Speaker 1>is a space where lots of folks could play, and

0:17:49.200 --> 0:17:53.680
<v Speaker 1>he was pretty sure that whatever Apple would produce would

0:17:53.720 --> 0:17:57.880
<v Speaker 1>not be a direct competitor with Pebble because secret here

0:17:58.240 --> 0:18:02.359
<v Speaker 1>is coming close coming us. I mean, here's your secret.

0:18:03.080 --> 0:18:06.280
<v Speaker 1>Apple is not known for making cheap discounts stuff, nor

0:18:06.320 --> 0:18:09.000
<v Speaker 1>are they known for really integrating with other people. Yeah,

0:18:09.160 --> 0:18:13.440
<v Speaker 1>so watch. Everyone was pretty sure one it was only

0:18:13.480 --> 0:18:17.280
<v Speaker 1>going to be interoperable with iOS and to it was

0:18:17.320 --> 0:18:20.919
<v Speaker 1>not going to be like a add on. Apple watches

0:18:20.920 --> 0:18:24.679
<v Speaker 1>are expensive, yeah, for comparison, Pebble watches were about a

0:18:24.760 --> 0:18:27.720
<v Speaker 1>hundred and fifty to two hundred fifty dollars cheaper than

0:18:27.760 --> 0:18:30.680
<v Speaker 1>an Apple watch like base level. Now, they did have

0:18:30.760 --> 0:18:33.400
<v Speaker 1>some technical benefits, and we won't go too much into this,

0:18:33.800 --> 0:18:37.080
<v Speaker 1>but you know their batteries lasted longer a week instead

0:18:37.080 --> 0:18:39.200
<v Speaker 1>of a couple of days, and it had the open

0:18:39.320 --> 0:18:42.000
<v Speaker 1>a p i um, but it didn't have a touch

0:18:42.080 --> 0:18:44.680
<v Speaker 1>screen like the Apple Watch. It didn't have like exotic

0:18:44.760 --> 0:18:47.399
<v Speaker 1>sensors like heart rate monitors or things like that at

0:18:47.440 --> 0:18:51.120
<v Speaker 1>that time, and it didn't have official designer names attached

0:18:51.160 --> 0:18:53.640
<v Speaker 1>to it, like when you got sir Johnny, I've there

0:18:54.160 --> 0:18:57.520
<v Speaker 1>as your designer for your your watch, and then you

0:18:57.560 --> 0:19:00.560
<v Speaker 1>have all these other names for like the the wrist

0:19:00.600 --> 0:19:05.399
<v Speaker 1>bands that are making thousands, thousands of dollars for a

0:19:05.440 --> 0:19:08.800
<v Speaker 1>wrist band for your watch, and man must be nice

0:19:08.960 --> 0:19:13.639
<v Speaker 1>and by watches. Yeah, listen, I got my Pebble and

0:19:13.760 --> 0:19:17.080
<v Speaker 1>must watch all right, so I hear you. But yeah,

0:19:17.119 --> 0:19:20.600
<v Speaker 1>this was also a time where Android was starting to

0:19:20.800 --> 0:19:23.600
<v Speaker 1>push smart watches as well. Actually, to be fair, the

0:19:23.600 --> 0:19:27.760
<v Speaker 1>Google created a platform called Android War, but rather than

0:19:27.880 --> 0:19:32.120
<v Speaker 1>Google getting into the hardware game directly, they created that

0:19:32.200 --> 0:19:36.159
<v Speaker 1>for other manufacturers to use. Yes, you had Motorola and

0:19:36.280 --> 0:19:39.760
<v Speaker 1>Samsung make their versions of a smart watch, and they

0:19:39.760 --> 0:19:43.119
<v Speaker 1>were smarter technically than Pebble, but they weren't getting as

0:19:43.160 --> 0:19:48.040
<v Speaker 1>good of reviews. Right, It's hard to demonstrate the utility

0:19:48.240 --> 0:19:50.480
<v Speaker 1>of a smart watch to the point where you feel

0:19:50.520 --> 0:19:53.000
<v Speaker 1>like you have to have it. Like smartphones, you get

0:19:53.080 --> 0:19:56.399
<v Speaker 1>they do so much, they do it really well. Smart

0:19:56.440 --> 0:19:59.080
<v Speaker 1>watches you have smaller amount of real estate for you

0:19:59.119 --> 0:20:01.560
<v Speaker 1>to be able to use green There are barriers there.

0:20:01.600 --> 0:20:05.360
<v Speaker 1>I don't think anyone has hit upon the perfect smart

0:20:05.400 --> 0:20:10.959
<v Speaker 1>watch implementation yet, but I think activity trackers are better

0:20:11.240 --> 0:20:14.879
<v Speaker 1>about this than smart watches are. But it's for again,

0:20:15.400 --> 0:20:18.560
<v Speaker 1>a smaller piece of the pie. Yeah. Mitschikowski would come

0:20:18.600 --> 0:20:20.600
<v Speaker 1>to realize this later on, but we'll get to that

0:20:20.720 --> 0:20:24.720
<v Speaker 1>later in the episode. In two thousand fourteen, two thousand fifteen,

0:20:25.200 --> 0:20:28.159
<v Speaker 1>right around the time that Apple announced their watch, Pebble

0:20:28.359 --> 0:20:31.560
<v Speaker 1>was coming out with another watch, the Pebble Time. Yes,

0:20:32.000 --> 0:20:34.800
<v Speaker 1>more advanced version of the Pebble. It's going to have

0:20:35.359 --> 0:20:38.440
<v Speaker 1>a lot more higher end features than the Pebble did.

0:20:38.560 --> 0:20:39.919
<v Speaker 1>The Pebble you can think of a sort of like

0:20:39.920 --> 0:20:43.240
<v Speaker 1>a bare bones smart watch. And actually that was one

0:20:43.280 --> 0:20:45.119
<v Speaker 1>of the things that appealed to me, like the swatch

0:20:45.119 --> 0:20:47.520
<v Speaker 1>of smart watches. Yeah, and I was totally fine with that.

0:20:47.960 --> 0:20:51.000
<v Speaker 1>Pebble Time was a step up from that, And like

0:20:51.280 --> 0:20:55.520
<v Speaker 1>the original Pebble, they decide that they would hold another kickstarter, Yes,

0:20:55.920 --> 0:21:00.200
<v Speaker 1>and this kickstarter raised double the amount of money all

0:21:00.280 --> 0:21:03.199
<v Speaker 1>told that the first one did twenty million dollars. So

0:21:03.359 --> 0:21:06.680
<v Speaker 1>this one had a color display, although it used an

0:21:06.680 --> 0:21:09.000
<v Speaker 1>e paper display for this too, so it had sort

0:21:09.000 --> 0:21:11.760
<v Speaker 1>of almost like a faded approach, like some people describe

0:21:11.800 --> 0:21:14.520
<v Speaker 1>it as looking like a faded comic book. Yeah, it wasn't.

0:21:14.640 --> 0:21:18.399
<v Speaker 1>It wasn't as graphically appealing as an Apple watch. And

0:21:18.440 --> 0:21:21.600
<v Speaker 1>it had sixty four colors, so not nearly as many

0:21:21.640 --> 0:21:24.400
<v Speaker 1>colors as what you would find in like a retina display.

0:21:24.480 --> 0:21:28.639
<v Speaker 1>Apple watch. It also had a microphone in it too,

0:21:28.680 --> 0:21:32.600
<v Speaker 1>so you can make voice notes things like note to

0:21:32.800 --> 0:21:37.000
<v Speaker 1>self charge watch. This, like I said, had sort of

0:21:37.040 --> 0:21:40.240
<v Speaker 1>a step up from the original Pebble. And by this

0:21:40.280 --> 0:21:44.320
<v Speaker 1>time they also had a pretty strong developer community, more

0:21:44.320 --> 0:21:48.080
<v Speaker 1>than twenty thousand developers out there and six thousand apps yep,

0:21:48.280 --> 0:21:52.119
<v Speaker 1>which shocked me because I was never really looking at

0:21:52.160 --> 0:21:54.879
<v Speaker 1>the apps part. Now I can't, but I never was

0:21:54.920 --> 0:21:56.919
<v Speaker 1>really looking at the apps part for Pebble except for

0:21:57.880 --> 0:22:00.399
<v Speaker 1>different watch faces. Well, you know, and you would have

0:22:01.080 --> 0:22:04.840
<v Speaker 1>up to fifty watch faces if you wanted. Um. But

0:22:04.920 --> 0:22:06.879
<v Speaker 1>the thing I liked about the Pebble time is that

0:22:06.920 --> 0:22:09.320
<v Speaker 1>you you had your apps, and then you had like

0:22:09.359 --> 0:22:12.480
<v Speaker 1>your eight top apps. They would just kind of display

0:22:12.480 --> 0:22:14.280
<v Speaker 1>in a timeline, so you didn't have to like going

0:22:14.359 --> 0:22:16.240
<v Speaker 1>click through, which is great because you didn't have a

0:22:16.280 --> 0:22:18.639
<v Speaker 1>touch screen. In fact, they had decided that they wanted

0:22:18.680 --> 0:22:23.320
<v Speaker 1>to tie app notifications to timelines. So let's say you

0:22:23.400 --> 0:22:26.600
<v Speaker 1>downloaded an app that would give you sports scores, then

0:22:26.640 --> 0:22:29.679
<v Speaker 1>you would need to dial back into the timeline to

0:22:29.800 --> 0:22:31.359
<v Speaker 1>the end of the game and that would give you

0:22:31.359 --> 0:22:33.560
<v Speaker 1>the sports score. That kind of thing, just to make

0:22:33.560 --> 0:22:36.080
<v Speaker 1>it easier to navigate your watch. Yeah, I think that's

0:22:36.119 --> 0:22:37.480
<v Speaker 1>kind of I mean it makes sense. I mean the

0:22:37.480 --> 0:22:41.000
<v Speaker 1>whole concept of a watches about. You know, it's a chronometer, right,

0:22:41.040 --> 0:22:45.000
<v Speaker 1>it's measuring time. And by the end often Pebble looked

0:22:45.040 --> 0:22:46.879
<v Speaker 1>like it was in a really good position. It had

0:22:46.920 --> 0:22:50.400
<v Speaker 1>sold a million units, which wasn't bad. We don't know

0:22:50.520 --> 0:22:53.760
<v Speaker 1>what Apples sales figures are officially for the watch. They've

0:22:53.840 --> 0:22:56.879
<v Speaker 1>never shared them. They always lump the Apple Watch in

0:22:57.040 --> 0:23:02.160
<v Speaker 1>with the category of other Estimates have put it at

0:23:02.400 --> 0:23:05.280
<v Speaker 1>slightly higher than a million units. In fact, I read

0:23:05.320 --> 0:23:07.800
<v Speaker 1>one that said that in just the quarter that ended June,

0:23:08.760 --> 0:23:11.240
<v Speaker 1>sold three and a half million. Yeah, that's that's in

0:23:11.320 --> 0:23:13.879
<v Speaker 1>one quarter of a year, not a full year. Also,

0:23:14.480 --> 0:23:17.400
<v Speaker 1>it must be a little disheartening from Mischakovski and and

0:23:17.480 --> 0:23:19.720
<v Speaker 1>you know Pebble who says, we think people are going

0:23:19.800 --> 0:23:22.440
<v Speaker 1>to want our watch over Apple because it's cheaper. But

0:23:22.440 --> 0:23:25.720
<v Speaker 1>then again, you're having to appeal to people who already

0:23:25.760 --> 0:23:30.160
<v Speaker 1>have smartphones, which changes the landscape a bit. Now, next

0:23:30.240 --> 0:23:34.240
<v Speaker 1>we're gonna really talk about the issues, the challenges that

0:23:34.280 --> 0:23:38.199
<v Speaker 1>Pebble encountered and why the company is no longer around.

0:23:38.200 --> 0:23:40.080
<v Speaker 1>But before we get into that, let's take another quick

0:23:40.080 --> 0:23:51.480
<v Speaker 1>break to thank our sponsor. Alright, So in two thousand fourteen,

0:23:51.800 --> 0:23:55.160
<v Speaker 1>Pebble makes its millionth sale. Two thousand fifteen, the first

0:23:55.160 --> 0:23:57.399
<v Speaker 1>half of the year is going well, but by the

0:23:57.440 --> 0:24:00.560
<v Speaker 1>second half of the year things were already staring to

0:24:01.640 --> 0:24:04.240
<v Speaker 1>kind of fall apart. And a large reason for that

0:24:04.840 --> 0:24:10.560
<v Speaker 1>was Minschakovsky said people weren't as interested in buying wearable computers,

0:24:10.880 --> 0:24:13.439
<v Speaker 1>and he said, I don't see this actually changing the

0:24:13.480 --> 0:24:15.720
<v Speaker 1>following year. I think we're in a little bit of

0:24:15.760 --> 0:24:20.080
<v Speaker 1>a slump here. People were initially interested. Maybe the people

0:24:20.080 --> 0:24:22.440
<v Speaker 1>who were most interested when out and bought one, and

0:24:22.480 --> 0:24:25.880
<v Speaker 1>now they don't feel the need to buy another one. Yeah, Yeah,

0:24:25.960 --> 0:24:30.119
<v Speaker 1>limited market. This is also kind of the difference between say,

0:24:30.240 --> 0:24:33.560
<v Speaker 1>a smart watch and a phone. You know, a phone

0:24:33.920 --> 0:24:39.679
<v Speaker 1>typically has enough things change from one iteration to the

0:24:39.720 --> 0:24:42.560
<v Speaker 1>next to at least tempt you. If you're an Apple

0:24:42.840 --> 0:24:46.560
<v Speaker 1>iPhone user, you might be getting an updated Apple phone

0:24:46.720 --> 0:24:50.359
<v Speaker 1>every single year, and that's not necessarily the same as

0:24:50.400 --> 0:24:52.760
<v Speaker 1>smart watch. No, And you know, Pebble did take some

0:24:52.800 --> 0:24:55.520
<v Speaker 1>of this into account, where you've got Apple and Android

0:24:55.600 --> 0:24:58.080
<v Speaker 1>making these higher end watches with all the features all

0:24:58.119 --> 0:25:00.479
<v Speaker 1>at once. They figured that they could at feed as

0:25:00.520 --> 0:25:03.080
<v Speaker 1>they found a good providers for him and keep the

0:25:03.119 --> 0:25:08.560
<v Speaker 1>costs low and kind of outpace updates and newer watches

0:25:08.720 --> 0:25:11.520
<v Speaker 1>from Apple and Motorola. But people were just going ahead

0:25:11.520 --> 0:25:14.320
<v Speaker 1>and spending more money on these watches that had everything. Yeah,

0:25:14.359 --> 0:25:17.120
<v Speaker 1>they tried to kind of compete a little bit more

0:25:17.160 --> 0:25:20.439
<v Speaker 1>with Apple with some more upscale versions of the pebble,

0:25:21.720 --> 0:25:25.800
<v Speaker 1>including one that was in the color of gold, if

0:25:25.800 --> 0:25:29.119
<v Speaker 1>not made out of gold. But it didn't really matter

0:25:29.240 --> 0:25:32.000
<v Speaker 1>what kind of trappings you changed around the Pebble watch.

0:25:32.119 --> 0:25:35.840
<v Speaker 1>There were fundamental differences between the way the People watch

0:25:35.880 --> 0:25:37.840
<v Speaker 1>worked and say the Apple Watch. I mean they even

0:25:37.880 --> 0:25:40.159
<v Speaker 1>came out with a pebble round which you know, was

0:25:40.240 --> 0:25:43.800
<v Speaker 1>smaller and round in shape instead of the rectangular one,

0:25:43.960 --> 0:25:46.640
<v Speaker 1>and came out with a new platform for it as well,

0:25:46.680 --> 0:25:49.439
<v Speaker 1>so that as people developed things that could fit but

0:25:49.520 --> 0:25:52.320
<v Speaker 1>not everything fit on around face. Yeah, that's a huge challenge.

0:25:52.480 --> 0:25:55.720
<v Speaker 1>It sounds like it would be a minor issue, but

0:25:55.760 --> 0:25:59.240
<v Speaker 1>it's actually quite hard to design electronics that are round

0:25:59.240 --> 0:26:01.720
<v Speaker 1>in shape. And they also to fit everything into this

0:26:01.840 --> 0:26:05.240
<v Speaker 1>round face, they shrunk down the battery, So now you've

0:26:05.240 --> 0:26:08.639
<v Speaker 1>got this watch that looks prettier to certain people. But

0:26:08.680 --> 0:26:10.800
<v Speaker 1>now the battery only last two days, which is about

0:26:10.800 --> 0:26:13.320
<v Speaker 1>as long as an Apple Watch battery lasts, and it

0:26:13.359 --> 0:26:16.439
<v Speaker 1>doesn't have all the features. So they sold some, but

0:26:16.520 --> 0:26:19.680
<v Speaker 1>it still was not making up for the market difference.

0:26:19.720 --> 0:26:21.480
<v Speaker 1>And beyond that, now that they've got all these different

0:26:21.560 --> 0:26:24.480
<v Speaker 1>versions of their Pebble watch, out their third party manufacturers

0:26:24.480 --> 0:26:27.240
<v Speaker 1>for smart bands because their watches and nately did not

0:26:27.320 --> 0:26:30.920
<v Speaker 1>have GPS or Harrey monitors or health trackers and things

0:26:30.960 --> 0:26:34.000
<v Speaker 1>like that. Right, you can have that incorporated in the band. Yeah,

0:26:34.000 --> 0:26:36.600
<v Speaker 1>and a smart band. But now these manufacturers of these

0:26:36.600 --> 0:26:38.840
<v Speaker 1>third party smart bands are having a hard time figuring

0:26:38.880 --> 0:26:41.399
<v Speaker 1>out what size bands to make and how many to

0:26:41.480 --> 0:26:45.439
<v Speaker 1>make because the band sizes don't fit universally over all

0:26:45.440 --> 0:26:50.280
<v Speaker 1>these different Pebble watches. So without knowing, like how you

0:26:50.320 --> 0:26:52.440
<v Speaker 1>know what the sales figures are going to be for

0:26:52.480 --> 0:26:56.520
<v Speaker 1>each of the different types. Then as a third party

0:26:56.760 --> 0:27:00.960
<v Speaker 1>manufacturing company that could make these smart bands, uh, it

0:27:01.080 --> 0:27:03.520
<v Speaker 1>does make it much trickier, Like you don't want to

0:27:03.560 --> 0:27:07.080
<v Speaker 1>sit there and invest in making way too many smart

0:27:07.080 --> 0:27:09.000
<v Speaker 1>bands for one size and it turns out that that

0:27:09.080 --> 0:27:12.000
<v Speaker 1>was the least popular. Yeah, so that also makes your

0:27:12.160 --> 0:27:14.879
<v Speaker 1>watch less desirable. So, like you said, by the end

0:27:14.960 --> 0:27:17.119
<v Speaker 1>of two thousand fifteen, things were not looking great. And

0:27:17.119 --> 0:27:19.520
<v Speaker 1>this is despite them taking out a five million dollar

0:27:19.640 --> 0:27:23.280
<v Speaker 1>loan and a five million dollar line of credit. Yeah.

0:27:23.400 --> 0:27:27.760
<v Speaker 1>So by the second half of Pebble is no longer

0:27:27.800 --> 0:27:30.640
<v Speaker 1>in the black, it's in the red, it's losing money. UH.

0:27:30.680 --> 0:27:34.840
<v Speaker 1>And in the beginning of things still looking bad. And

0:27:35.000 --> 0:27:38.560
<v Speaker 1>it was one of those deals were in retrospect. And

0:27:38.600 --> 0:27:42.280
<v Speaker 1>this was saying that Midchakovsky would actually admit to later on. UH.

0:27:42.600 --> 0:27:45.359
<v Speaker 1>One of the reasons they went to kickstarters so frequently

0:27:45.880 --> 0:27:49.320
<v Speaker 1>was because they were having trouble raising money through other methods.

0:27:49.359 --> 0:27:53.360
<v Speaker 1>Just as they had had trouble getting investors early, they

0:27:53.359 --> 0:27:57.600
<v Speaker 1>were having trouble raising money to UH to to compete

0:27:57.680 --> 0:28:01.280
<v Speaker 1>in this market space. So they had seen some success

0:28:01.320 --> 0:28:05.280
<v Speaker 1>early on. It was a new category of product. It

0:28:05.400 --> 0:28:08.879
<v Speaker 1>was a very kind of underdog sort of story, and

0:28:08.920 --> 0:28:11.760
<v Speaker 1>a lot of bleeding edge technology adopters found it really

0:28:11.800 --> 0:28:14.679
<v Speaker 1>compelling and so they jumped on board, including me, But

0:28:14.840 --> 0:28:17.720
<v Speaker 1>it wasn't something that they were able to sustain as

0:28:17.800 --> 0:28:23.439
<v Speaker 1>an ongoing business. And um, Midchakovsky actually said that, you know,

0:28:23.480 --> 0:28:26.560
<v Speaker 1>while they did go to kickstarter three times, he said,

0:28:26.720 --> 0:28:29.960
<v Speaker 1>you know, I can't. We can't keep doing that because

0:28:29.960 --> 0:28:32.760
<v Speaker 1>it sends it sends the message to our customers that

0:28:33.359 --> 0:28:35.960
<v Speaker 1>the only way we can survive as a business is

0:28:36.000 --> 0:28:40.480
<v Speaker 1>through their ongoing investment. And that's no way to run

0:28:41.200 --> 0:28:44.960
<v Speaker 1>a product company. It's not so. Unfortunately, in March of

0:28:44.960 --> 0:28:49.800
<v Speaker 1>two thou sixteen, because of these financial woes, Mitchakovsky had

0:28:49.840 --> 0:28:53.480
<v Speaker 1>to lay off about his workforce, which at that point

0:28:53.560 --> 0:28:57.760
<v Speaker 1>was a hundred sixty people. And this was particularly rough timing.

0:28:57.880 --> 0:29:01.920
<v Speaker 1>The company had just recently relocated from Palo Alto, California,

0:29:02.000 --> 0:29:06.440
<v Speaker 1>to Redwood City, and they moved into a new office building.

0:29:06.480 --> 0:29:09.280
<v Speaker 1>And originally they were supposed to take up two floors

0:29:09.440 --> 0:29:12.320
<v Speaker 1>in this office building, and it was, you know, that

0:29:12.520 --> 0:29:15.880
<v Speaker 1>Silicon Valley, super sleek design kind of stuff. But now

0:29:16.480 --> 0:29:20.560
<v Speaker 1>with those layoffs, their team was smaller, and so small

0:29:20.600 --> 0:29:25.240
<v Speaker 1>in fact, that what was originally spacious was now too spacious.

0:29:25.880 --> 0:29:30.240
<v Speaker 1>So Midchakovsky made the call to consolidate everybody onto one

0:29:30.320 --> 0:29:33.880
<v Speaker 1>floor and not draw quite as much attention to the

0:29:33.880 --> 0:29:36.480
<v Speaker 1>fact that there was a lot of empty space around. Yeah,

0:29:36.480 --> 0:29:39.640
<v Speaker 1>but that didn't That didn't solve things, No, it didn't.

0:29:39.640 --> 0:29:43.000
<v Speaker 1>Sales did not pick up the wearables market had not

0:29:43.040 --> 0:29:46.200
<v Speaker 1>really taken on hold. Apple was not enjoying as far

0:29:46.240 --> 0:29:50.160
<v Speaker 1>as we can tell, amazing sales either. They were selling

0:29:50.760 --> 0:29:55.880
<v Speaker 1>well enough, but no one, like at least in literature,

0:29:55.920 --> 0:29:58.880
<v Speaker 1>no one had been really blown away by wearables. It was,

0:29:59.000 --> 0:30:01.000
<v Speaker 1>like I said, peop Will felt that no one had

0:30:01.040 --> 0:30:03.360
<v Speaker 1>really hit upon it. It's just it's just another piece

0:30:03.360 --> 0:30:05.760
<v Speaker 1>of technology that you have to charge, you have to

0:30:05.800 --> 0:30:10.040
<v Speaker 1>keep track of, you have to man and again, like

0:30:10.160 --> 0:30:14.840
<v Speaker 1>I think hardcore fitness tracker fans, that's a group you

0:30:14.840 --> 0:30:17.880
<v Speaker 1>can really market too. But your average consumer still is

0:30:17.960 --> 0:30:21.400
<v Speaker 1>not quite ready. And other than Garman, even really well

0:30:21.520 --> 0:30:25.360
<v Speaker 1>established fitness device companies have struggled. Oh yeah, there's some

0:30:25.480 --> 0:30:27.760
<v Speaker 1>that went out of business. Jawbone went out of business,

0:30:28.080 --> 0:30:30.560
<v Speaker 1>and for a while Pebble and jaw Bone we're working

0:30:30.640 --> 0:30:36.640
<v Speaker 1>together now. Ultimately, the decision came down to Midchaikovsky, like,

0:30:36.680 --> 0:30:40.560
<v Speaker 1>what do you do? Your company is not raising money. Uh,

0:30:40.600 --> 0:30:42.720
<v Speaker 1>the market doesn't look like it's going to magically turn

0:30:42.760 --> 0:30:47.200
<v Speaker 1>around anytime soon. It's getting harder to stay afloat. What

0:30:47.280 --> 0:30:50.040
<v Speaker 1>do you do? He ultimately decided the most responsible thing

0:30:50.080 --> 0:30:54.200
<v Speaker 1>for him to do for everybody would be to sell

0:30:54.600 --> 0:30:58.680
<v Speaker 1>the intellectual property of Pebble to an interested buyer, which

0:30:58.680 --> 0:31:01.480
<v Speaker 1>turned out to be Fitbit had some interested buyers before

0:31:01.880 --> 0:31:04.160
<v Speaker 1>and they kind of all fell through for various reasons. Yeah,

0:31:04.160 --> 0:31:07.440
<v Speaker 1>and the Fitbit deal went through for reportedly less than

0:31:07.480 --> 0:31:09.760
<v Speaker 1>forty million dollars. It was supposed to go through for

0:31:09.760 --> 0:31:12.560
<v Speaker 1>forty million, but then the thought is at least in

0:31:12.600 --> 0:31:15.360
<v Speaker 1>the research I read that Fitbit had some bad numbers themselves.

0:31:15.840 --> 0:31:18.600
<v Speaker 1>Fit that was also having its own struggles. Yeah. Originally

0:31:18.600 --> 0:31:22.000
<v Speaker 1>Fitbit was supposed to buy the intelectual property, the patents affirmed,

0:31:22.200 --> 0:31:26.040
<v Speaker 1>like everything, and most of the employees, and they ended

0:31:26.080 --> 0:31:29.040
<v Speaker 1>up really just keeping the software and the employees that

0:31:29.080 --> 0:31:32.320
<v Speaker 1>worked with the software, the engineers specifically with Pebble, and

0:31:32.320 --> 0:31:35.680
<v Speaker 1>everyone else was let go. That hardware was not part

0:31:35.680 --> 0:31:39.760
<v Speaker 1>of the deal, and Fitbit kept support going for Pebble

0:31:39.800 --> 0:31:41.640
<v Speaker 1>for a little while, but it was not going to

0:31:41.680 --> 0:31:45.000
<v Speaker 1>be forever. Know, they were supposed to end support in

0:31:45.000 --> 0:31:48.720
<v Speaker 1>two thousand seventeen, but they actually ended it later. They

0:31:48.720 --> 0:31:51.760
<v Speaker 1>supported the Pebble community longer than they had initially said,

0:31:51.760 --> 0:31:54.640
<v Speaker 1>which was very kind of them. Um. They stopped supporting

0:31:54.960 --> 0:31:58.040
<v Speaker 1>Pebble in June of two eighteen this year. Yeah, so

0:31:58.320 --> 0:32:01.760
<v Speaker 1>finally the end of the Heuble saga as it stands.

0:32:01.800 --> 0:32:04.600
<v Speaker 1>But I think there are a lot of interesting lessons

0:32:04.680 --> 0:32:07.720
<v Speaker 1>to to learn from here. One is that the power

0:32:07.840 --> 0:32:11.880
<v Speaker 1>of crowdfunding is real, and that, uh, it's a great

0:32:11.880 --> 0:32:16.320
<v Speaker 1>way to to judge at least early interest in a product.

0:32:17.200 --> 0:32:20.840
<v Speaker 1>Hardware products on crowdfunding are hard to do because it's

0:32:20.880 --> 0:32:23.520
<v Speaker 1>hard to really estimate exactly how expensive it's going to

0:32:23.600 --> 0:32:26.040
<v Speaker 1>be to make the thing, especially if it's a brand

0:32:26.040 --> 0:32:28.760
<v Speaker 1>new thing. And I've seen this happen with people I

0:32:28.840 --> 0:32:33.040
<v Speaker 1>know you were producing, you know, stuff like card games,

0:32:33.040 --> 0:32:36.080
<v Speaker 1>and they say, I got quotes before I did any

0:32:36.080 --> 0:32:38.200
<v Speaker 1>of this, and then it turns out everything got more expensive.

0:32:38.240 --> 0:32:40.800
<v Speaker 1>Is like, yeah, this is that's what contractor work does.

0:32:41.320 --> 0:32:44.440
<v Speaker 1>That's how every contract I've ever seen how it works. Um,

0:32:44.600 --> 0:32:47.600
<v Speaker 1>so that's a valuable lesson. Another valuable lesson is just

0:32:48.800 --> 0:32:52.840
<v Speaker 1>really taking a hard look at the potential market for

0:32:53.000 --> 0:32:56.600
<v Speaker 1>your your idea. And it may be that you have

0:32:56.680 --> 0:33:00.080
<v Speaker 1>a groundbreaking concept, but it might be too early for

0:33:00.120 --> 0:33:02.959
<v Speaker 1>it to survive. And to end on a little bit

0:33:02.960 --> 0:33:06.760
<v Speaker 1>of a positive note, Mitchakovsky, despite not coming out of

0:33:06.760 --> 0:33:10.320
<v Speaker 1>this a rich man or super successful, he did learn

0:33:10.320 --> 0:33:12.400
<v Speaker 1>a lot and so now he's working at why Combinator

0:33:12.440 --> 0:33:15.280
<v Speaker 1>teaching people all these lessons that you just talked about. Yeah,

0:33:15.320 --> 0:33:17.560
<v Speaker 1>he says, here, here's what I learned. And like I

0:33:17.560 --> 0:33:20.320
<v Speaker 1>would argue, Pebble is not a story of failure. Pebble's

0:33:20.320 --> 0:33:24.160
<v Speaker 1>Pebbles a story of really there's this great success story

0:33:24.160 --> 0:33:27.960
<v Speaker 1>in the first half. And I think the reason why

0:33:28.000 --> 0:33:30.959
<v Speaker 1>Pebble ultimately wasn't able to stick around wasn't because of

0:33:31.000 --> 0:33:33.800
<v Speaker 1>bad decisions on the part of the team at Pebble.

0:33:34.240 --> 0:33:37.520
<v Speaker 1>It literally was that the market they thought was there

0:33:38.040 --> 0:33:42.680
<v Speaker 1>just had not quite developed. That not enough people saw

0:33:42.720 --> 0:33:48.080
<v Speaker 1>the product as being desirable or indispensable enough to adopt it.

0:33:48.160 --> 0:33:51.240
<v Speaker 1>And if you do, you don't necessarily feel the need

0:33:51.280 --> 0:33:54.120
<v Speaker 1>to upgrade on a regular basis. So once you get one,

0:33:54.160 --> 0:33:55.880
<v Speaker 1>you're like, no, I'm good, I got what I need.

0:33:56.000 --> 0:33:58.960
<v Speaker 1>Does limited things. It does a limited things I need exactly.

0:33:59.080 --> 0:34:01.600
<v Speaker 1>It's a product that is exactly what it promised to do,

0:34:02.200 --> 0:34:04.440
<v Speaker 1>which is both a good thing and a bad thing,

0:34:04.960 --> 0:34:07.040
<v Speaker 1>because coming out with a new version that has a

0:34:07.080 --> 0:34:10.200
<v Speaker 1>few more bells and whistles doesn't necessarily, you know, get

0:34:10.239 --> 0:34:14.360
<v Speaker 1>your attention. It has to be truly transformative. But I

0:34:15.120 --> 0:34:18.080
<v Speaker 1>really am still glad that I bought a Pebble. I

0:34:18.120 --> 0:34:20.640
<v Speaker 1>still wear it occasionally. I'm not wearing it today. It's

0:34:20.640 --> 0:34:24.320
<v Speaker 1>not supported, but it will still kind of work for yeah,

0:34:24.360 --> 0:34:26.680
<v Speaker 1>and still tells time. I mean, you know, until until

0:34:26.760 --> 0:34:30.919
<v Speaker 1>that Bluetooth chip gives out. I think I'll be able

0:34:30.960 --> 0:34:34.480
<v Speaker 1>to be able to see the time that uh. And

0:34:34.880 --> 0:34:36.800
<v Speaker 1>also I really like the watch face I guess, and

0:34:36.840 --> 0:34:40.160
<v Speaker 1>it'll still SMS and email with an Android phone. Yeah,

0:34:39.880 --> 0:34:42.640
<v Speaker 1>so that's what I use. So you know, as far

0:34:42.680 --> 0:34:46.920
<v Speaker 1>as I'm concerned, still works, Yes, But this was this

0:34:47.000 --> 0:34:48.920
<v Speaker 1>was one of our first episodes where we decided to

0:34:48.920 --> 0:34:51.439
<v Speaker 1>take a look at a company where they faced two

0:34:51.480 --> 0:34:54.239
<v Speaker 1>brink moments, one of the very beginning and then one

0:34:54.280 --> 0:34:57.520
<v Speaker 1>that sadly did not work out for them, and we'll

0:34:57.520 --> 0:35:01.160
<v Speaker 1>look at other companies that also had smiler situations and

0:35:01.280 --> 0:35:05.480
<v Speaker 1>similar fates. Kudos to everyone who worked on the Pebble.

0:35:05.600 --> 0:35:09.040
<v Speaker 1>I mean, there were some really innovative ideas and hopefully

0:35:09.400 --> 0:35:13.479
<v Speaker 1>some of those are being incorporated into other technologies even today. Yes,

0:35:13.960 --> 0:35:16.759
<v Speaker 1>all right, well until our next episode, I have been

0:35:16.840 --> 0:35:22.120
<v Speaker 1>Jonathan Strickland and I have been aerial casting. If you

0:35:22.160 --> 0:35:24.760
<v Speaker 1>would like to learn more about what we've talked about,

0:35:24.920 --> 0:35:27.200
<v Speaker 1>as well as keep track of all of our episodes,

0:35:27.320 --> 0:35:31.080
<v Speaker 1>make sure you visit our website at the Brink podcast

0:35:31.360 --> 0:35:34.040
<v Speaker 1>dot show, or you can email us at Feedback at

0:35:34.040 --> 0:35:35.759
<v Speaker 1>the brink podcast dot show.