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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into a Wednesday

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Speaker 1: morning edition of the Daily Juice Podcast. My name is

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Speaker 1: Matt Parot. You can follow me on Twitter at sports

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Speaker 1: Talk Matt every morning bettingpros dot com. You know where

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Speaker 1: to find this podcast. What are we on five hundred?

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Speaker 1: We're approaching our five hundred. Let me do math real fast?

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Speaker 1: Is this close to five hundred? Hold on? So this

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Speaker 1: is yeah, a three hundred and sixty five days plus

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Speaker 1: this is the one hundred and twentieth of our second season.

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Speaker 1: So we're at four hundred and eighty five, four hundred

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Speaker 1: and eighty five consecutive days for the Daily Juice Podcast.

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Speaker 1: Oh my goodness, I've gambled for four hundred and eighty

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Speaker 1: five consecutive days. When you stop it, the like really

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Speaker 1: like put the math down to it. It is kind

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Speaker 1: of psychotic. I mean, it is really crazy, but it's

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Speaker 1: a lot of fun. I love doing it. Thanks for

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Speaker 1: being here, guys, Video on YouTube, audio, wherever you get

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Speaker 1: your podcast is always being brought to you by bet

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Speaker 1: MGM ten dollars bet wins one hundred and fifty dollars.

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Speaker 1: Use that promo go Juice one fifty. When you get

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Speaker 1: a new account at BETMGMBTMGM dot com juice one fifty.

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Speaker 1: All right, so it's been kind of a wacky up

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Speaker 1: and down type of week. So the Astros do not

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Speaker 1: score in Game six, we get seven bleeping runs from

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Speaker 1: the Braves and the Astros don't score a single run. Man,

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Speaker 1: come off of it. Braves plus one twenty wins the

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Speaker 1: World Series. That cash is Astros at plus one forty

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Speaker 1: five does not, so we wind up up point two units. Okay,

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Speaker 1: we'll take it. It's a win, right, it's it's it's

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Speaker 1: a w not a huge win, but it's guaranteed money.

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Speaker 1: No sweat on who wins. Right, that's great. If you

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Speaker 1: guys did not bet the in game it just took

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Speaker 1: or the end series just took the Astro, that's the

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Speaker 1: plus one twenty cash. Congratulations for one full units plus

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Speaker 1: one point two units, do you cash? That's great. We

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Speaker 1: wind up getting Eastern Michigan plus nine, right, they went outright,

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Speaker 1: but Miami me at minus seven and a half. They

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Speaker 1: lose by two on the road to Ohio. So we

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Speaker 1: start one in one for Maction football. Two more plays

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Speaker 1: coming tonight in Maction. Davion Mitchell goes over on his

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Speaker 1: prop at seven and a half. He scores eighteen for

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Speaker 1: the Kings. That was big. We got that, and then

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Speaker 1: Joe Ingles had an awful night over eight and a

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Speaker 1: half points for him, he does not get anything. He

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Speaker 1: scores three points, so unfortunately we fall short on that

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Speaker 1: and then so overall it's down point three units. So

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Speaker 1: I mean, just kind of how we've gone kind of

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Speaker 1: bleeding out by paper cuts in in a kind of way,

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Speaker 1: so not not great, but just you know, we keep

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Speaker 1: firing and right back on the horse here on a Wednesday.

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Speaker 1: So let me tell you right now at the time

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Speaker 1: of taping, and I let's see if the books before

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Speaker 1: we do this, I am going to I have a

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Speaker 1: hockey play I want that I need to get into,

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Speaker 1: but I cannot get to it because it has not

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Speaker 1: been posted yet. So let's just see here if it's

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Speaker 1: been posted. Do we have it? No, we do not, Okay,

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Speaker 1: so no one's posting the oil game against the Predators tonight.

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Speaker 1: Oilers are seven and one and it's the same situation

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Speaker 1: as what we saw when we bet on the Oilers

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Speaker 1: last time on Monday. Because home game, the opponent is

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Speaker 1: coming off of a overtime back to back. So the

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Speaker 1: Predators in overtime against Calgary. Now they're going to turn

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Speaker 1: around and go and play again against a very good

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Speaker 1: team in the Oilers at home. I like the Oilers

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Speaker 1: on the puck line, so let's get the best price

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Speaker 1: possible when that thing pops up. But half a unit

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Speaker 1: will be Oilers on the puck line up against the Predators,

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Speaker 1: who are now four And let's see what the final

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Speaker 1: score was. They were four and four going into the

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Speaker 1: game tonight and then we had overtime. They were still

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Speaker 1: in overtime when I last checked this game up against Calgary.

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Speaker 1: But let's see where we are final for this one,

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Speaker 1: and it is a they still in overtime now hold on, okay,

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Speaker 1: so a win for Nashville three two and overtime to

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Speaker 1: be Calgary. Nashville now five and four going into this.

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Speaker 1: So we'll go back into this here. We'll jump on

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Speaker 1: h We will jump on the Oilers at home at

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Speaker 1: seven and one, who have been just outstanding this season.

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Speaker 1: One of the real nice surprises in the NHL right

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Speaker 1: now is how good Edmonton has played seven and one overall. There,

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Speaker 1: four and one at home, three and oh on the road,

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Speaker 1: and we were on the puck line last time. We're

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Speaker 1: gonna jump back on the puck line here with Nashville,

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Speaker 1: which is now five and four, three and three on

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Speaker 1: at home, two and one on the road here, but

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Speaker 1: back to back in overtime. So some tired legs potentially

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Speaker 1: happening gets this Edmonton team it's gonna be really good.

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Speaker 1: So we're going to puck line Edmonton half a unit

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Speaker 1: coming up here tonight for play number one. Okay, I

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Speaker 1: will have two NBA player props I will give you

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Speaker 1: guys in the Discord channel. I know a lot of

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Speaker 1: you are new to the Discord channel, and so you

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Speaker 1: just have to understand something that I don't have to

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Speaker 1: post the props early. In fact, I don't like posting

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Speaker 1: player props early. I like to wait and see and

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Speaker 1: make sure everyone's gonna play and then let the numbers

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Speaker 1: shake out a little bit as to where I want

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Speaker 1: to bet. Okay, So just a heads up, Like I

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Speaker 1: know a couple of people were getting annoyed, like where's Matt?

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Speaker 1: Why do It was four to ten Pacific time and

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Speaker 1: we bet two props on a game that started at

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Speaker 1: four thirty Pacific time. Why hasn't he posted the props? Well,

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Speaker 1: just a heads up, like, I'm not gonna come in

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Speaker 1: there and post it early. I'm just not And I'm

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Speaker 1: starting a new job this week, let you guys know.

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Speaker 1: So I'm super busy and running around. Okay, Like, just

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Speaker 1: cut me a little slack there before you go popping

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Speaker 1: off from this court channel, Like where are the player props? Like, Okay,

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Speaker 1: they're gonna be there before the game, but they it

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Speaker 1: may be a West Coast game and a West Coast

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Speaker 1: game starts at ten pm on the East coast. Okay,

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Speaker 1: just a heads up on that. You'll get two player

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Speaker 1: props from me. We went one and one last night,

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Speaker 1: but I mean I'll throw two more player props at

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Speaker 1: you guys. So we'll have a half unit in hockey,

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Speaker 1: half unit going for basketball, and two half unit bets

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Speaker 1: going for maction. Let's talk about the first game of

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Speaker 1: the night. Let's talk a little bit about Northern Illinois

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Speaker 1: up against Kent State. This is interesting, all right. So

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Speaker 1: Northern Illinois five two and one to the number, and

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Speaker 1: Northern Illinois undefeated right now in the Mid American Conference.

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Speaker 1: They beat Georgia Tech by one. They were nineteen point

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Speaker 1: dogs one by one. They lost by seven to Wyoming

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Speaker 1: as seven point dogs. They won by seven against Eastern

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Speaker 1: Michigan as a pick em. They won by two against

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Speaker 1: Toledo as thirteen point dogs. They won by eight against

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Speaker 1: Bowling Green as nine point favorites, and they won by

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Speaker 1: one again Central Michigan as six point dogs. Okay, So

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Speaker 1: they have won all four games in conference so far

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Speaker 1: and they've won by seven to two eight and one

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Speaker 1: tiny victories, okay, skin of their teeth victories. Kent State

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Speaker 1: is coming off a win over Ohio their five point favorites.

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Speaker 1: They won by seven. They were seven point dogs to

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Speaker 1: Western Michigan on the road and they lost by thirty

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Speaker 1: three points. But at home they laid seven and one

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Speaker 1: by ten up against Buffalo. Against Bowling Green at home

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Speaker 1: they were laying sixteen and a half and they won

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Speaker 1: by seven. But they are two to zero at home

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Speaker 1: straight up one in one against the number. Kent is

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Speaker 1: three and five against the spread. But we start digging

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Speaker 1: down into the numbers a little bit here. You start

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Speaker 1: looking at Northern Illinois. You start seeing some real opportunities

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Speaker 1: here for Kent. Kent's going to have the better quarterback

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Speaker 1: and Kent State can throw the football. I think Kent

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Speaker 1: State can move the ball. Here on a pass defense

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Speaker 1: for Northern Illinois, seven point six yards per pass play,

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Speaker 1: seven point eight yards per play given up by Northern Illinois,

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Speaker 1: and you've got a running attack for Kent that is tremendous.

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Speaker 1: This is one of the best rushing teams in the MAC.

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Speaker 1: Four yards per carry against Northern's defense, which is one

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Speaker 1: hundred and eighteenth in college football against to run five

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Speaker 1: point five yards per rush. They give up one hundred

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Speaker 1: and ninety four yards on the ground. All right, Kent

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Speaker 1: State's gonna run the ball all over the place here

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Speaker 1: on Northern Illinois. One hundred and eighty one yards per

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Speaker 1: game given up or rushed for by Kent State, and

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Speaker 1: they're gonna probably get more than that. On the other side,

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Speaker 1: Northern Illinois they like to run the ball as well.

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Speaker 1: Two hundred and twenty four yards rushing twelfth best in

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Speaker 1: the country up against Kent State. Two hundred and thirteen

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Speaker 1: point seven yards per game given up. Yikes, Okay, that

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Speaker 1: is a big big yikes. You got five point five

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Speaker 1: yards per rush given up, one hundred and nineteenth in

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Speaker 1: the country. Two rushing defenses that can't stop anybody. Four

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Speaker 1: point seven yards per rush for Northern Allinois, that's forty

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Speaker 1: fourth best here in the country. For Northern passing is okay,

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Speaker 1: six point nine yards per pass play eighty seventh, and

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Speaker 1: you've got seven point five yards for pass play given

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Speaker 1: up for Kent State, So kind of in line with

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Speaker 1: each other there, but more than only throws for one

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Speaker 1: hundred and forty eight point nine yards per per game.

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Speaker 1: That's one hundred nineteenth in the in the nation. On

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Speaker 1: the other side, two hundred and eighty eight yards given

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Speaker 1: up per game that's one hundred and seventeenth in the

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Speaker 1: country for Kent So Kent's defense is not that good.

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Speaker 1: So how do they win this game? And why are

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Speaker 1: they favored in this game? Because they are, They're favored

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Speaker 1: by three and a half. I think the reason why

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Speaker 1: they're favor is because there's been a lot of luck

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Speaker 1: here for Northern Illinois. And at four and oh, this

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Speaker 1: is a really big game for the standings, and this

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Speaker 1: is a really big game in the conference. You got

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Speaker 1: a home team with Kent State at home in Northern

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Speaker 1: at four to oh three and one at home three

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Speaker 1: and one on the road. So far six and two. Overall,

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Speaker 1: they've won five consecutive games. On the other side, Kent

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Speaker 1: State in the East, they're three and one in the conference.

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Speaker 1: They're three and oh at home, one and four on

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Speaker 1: the road. Okay, so they're undefeated at home, and they

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Speaker 1: have an opportunity here to keep pace, to get another

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Speaker 1: game lead Mia. We lost tonight last night. Kent State

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Speaker 1: three and one at home. It's a small number, right,

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Speaker 1: three and a half if you can find a three,

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Speaker 1: I like three better than three and a half obviously, right,

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Speaker 1: But I think you're gonna see this is why the

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Speaker 1: books have made Kent State a favorite. I think people

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Speaker 1: are gonna go, wait a minute, why is Northern a dog? Here?

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Speaker 1: On the road they're four to oh. I just think

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Speaker 1: this is a time where you're gonna see mistakes get made,

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Speaker 1: and I think you're gonna see some turnovers here by Northern.

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Speaker 1: Northern has given the ball away one point one times

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Speaker 1: a game, the thirty eighth best in the country two

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Speaker 1: point one takeaways a game. Though for Kent State, that's

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Speaker 1: eighth best in the country. So you need takeaways here.

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Speaker 1: Kent State is pretty good at taking the football away.

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Speaker 1: And then so you've got an the other side, they

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Speaker 1: only give the ball zero point seven. They don't hurt themselves.

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Speaker 1: Fifth best in the country. That's big. Kent State's turn

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Speaker 1: margins plus one point four number one in the country. Okay,

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Speaker 1: Northern point three plus point three, that's eighty fifth best

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Speaker 1: in the country. But they do turn the ball over.

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Speaker 1: Think what the books are saying is that Kent State

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Speaker 1: will get the turnover. We'll gotta pick, We'll get a

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Speaker 1: funnel recovery. They'll they're at home, they'll ride it. You

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Speaker 1: can say it's a three point you know, home advantage here.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna say Northern Illinois some They talked about it

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Speaker 1: on the broadcast last night for the MAC Games, about

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Speaker 1: how much the conference is pulling for Kent State. Time

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Speaker 1: for Northern to lose, get their first loss. I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: lay the three and a half points here with Kent State.

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Speaker 1: I think this game is going to be super fun,

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Speaker 1: super high scoring. I'll have a personal play on the

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Speaker 1: over here. I had a personal play on the ball

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Speaker 1: State over again last night and lost that by two points,

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Speaker 1: sixty seven sixty eight. It's not gonna be a crazy game.

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Speaker 1: I don't think either team stops anybody, but I'll take

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Speaker 1: the home team here in a shootout Kent State over

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Speaker 1: Northern Illinois, I'll lay the three and a half for

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Speaker 1: a half a unit second play. This is mactionin Central

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Speaker 1: Michigan at Western Michigan. When I think about MAC football,

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Speaker 1: crazy high scoring, back and forth, wacko games, this is

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Speaker 1: what I think about. I went shopping and I found

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Speaker 1: sixty five and a half. From a total perspective, get

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Speaker 1: a load of these defenses here, all right? Ye. Western

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Speaker 1: Michigan's giving up thirty one point one points per game.

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Speaker 1: Central Michigan's giving up thirty two point four points per game.

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Speaker 1: Total yards given up for Central Michigan per game four

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Speaker 1: hundred and fifty two point six total yards given up

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Speaker 1: for Western Michigan three hundred and fifty eight point four

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Speaker 1: On offense, Central Michigan is averaging just twenty six point

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Speaker 1: seven points per game, but four hundred and forty yards

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Speaker 1: of offense per game. It is psychotic. They are thirty

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Speaker 1: six percent on third down. That's ninetieth in the country.

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Speaker 1: Not bad, okay, five point six yards per pass play.

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Speaker 1: Western Michigan's defense not bad on third down thirty two

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Speaker 1: percent conversion rate, fifteen best in the country ball. On

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Speaker 1: the other side, you've got Western Michigan's offense forty percent

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Speaker 1: third down conversion rate, thirty two percent conversion rate for

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Speaker 1: Central Michigan. So both defenses can get off the field here,

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Speaker 1: but they give up a ton of yards because they

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Speaker 1: don't have many third downs. So first down and second down,

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Speaker 1: you're talking about an offense that runs the ball. Four

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Speaker 1: point two yards per rush for Central, four point three

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Speaker 1: given up for Western, three point nine yards per rush

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Speaker 1: for Western, three point eight yards per rush for Central Michigan. Now,

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Speaker 1: this is when it gets really wonky. The passing numbers

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Speaker 1: for both these teams not good. Central throws for seven

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Speaker 1: point one, Western gives up eight point three Central passes

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Speaker 1: for two ninety six. Western gives up two hundred and

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Speaker 1: eighteen Western throws for two sixty. Central gives up three

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Speaker 1: hundred and seven yards per game through the air. They

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Speaker 1: give up one hundred and forty five yards rushing and

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Speaker 1: three hundred and seven yards per the proferre of the air.

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Speaker 1: I mean, my goodness, gracious, you got Western averaging eight

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Speaker 1: point two yards per pass plus already, and then nine

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Speaker 1: point five yards for pass play given up for Central.

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Speaker 1: Western's favored by ten, but the total of sixty five

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Speaker 1: and a half. This is why you bet overs when

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Speaker 1: you're looking for games to bet over. This is the

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Speaker 1: game you bet over Central in Western and Western and

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Speaker 1: crazy maction. You know, fifty one forty nine, fifty one

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Speaker 1: forty one type of game here, we're talking just like

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Speaker 1: psychotic scoring, back and forth, back and forth, back and forth.

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Speaker 1: These are the games that make us call it maction.

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Speaker 1: I'm betting the over sixty five and a half over

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Speaker 1: Central Michigan versus Western Michigan and truly a maction nutcase

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Speaker 1: fun game, all right. So I don't know the price yet.

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Speaker 1: For the Oilers puck line, we'll have that on the

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Speaker 1: Discord channel once I find it and I like it

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Speaker 1: in the morning. But we're going Oilers puck line in

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Speaker 1: the NHL, going back to the same bet we had

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Speaker 1: on Monday up against a team that could be tired

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Speaker 1: in Nashville. We're going NBA player props will give out

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Speaker 1: on the Discord channel coming up here in a little bit,

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Speaker 1: and then we're going Kent State minus three and a

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Speaker 1: half at home and over sixty five and a half

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Speaker 1: for Central and Western Michigan here for a Wednesday, Big Thursday.

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Speaker 1: We got a lot of football to get into in Thursday,

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Speaker 1: and boy do we have a ton of stuff to

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Speaker 1: get into this weekend. We've got big college football. We

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Speaker 1: have a monster Canelo versus Plant boxing match here in

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Speaker 1: Vegas that I would have been going to if I

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Speaker 1: didn't leave my job, so I was credential with my

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Speaker 1: other job. My new job not credential because I didn't.

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Speaker 1: I wasn't working there in time to actually well request

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Speaker 1: a credential. So I'm not going to Canelo versus Plant.

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Speaker 1: But that's a monster fight. And then we have UFC,

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Speaker 1: the UFC two to sixty eight card in New York,

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Speaker 1: Colby Covington up against Camaro Uzman. But there are so

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Speaker 1: many big fights Saturday. I'll be involved in college football,

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Speaker 1: but get ready for a monster combat card on Saturday's

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Speaker 1: podcast because I'm going to be heavily involved in the cards,

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Speaker 1: in the fights coming up here for the UFC event

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Speaker 1: and the boxing match. All I'm not up here on

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Speaker 1: Saturday nights. Mina's Matt Parotz follow me on Twitter at

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Speaker 1: Sports Talk Matt. Each Inday morning, it's the Daily Juice Podcast,

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Speaker 1: always being brought to you by bet mgm,