1 00:00:10,600 --> 00:00:11,200 Speaker 1: What's up, guys? 2 00:00:11,240 --> 00:00:13,200 Speaker 2: How are you welcome into a Saturday morning edition of 3 00:00:13,240 --> 00:00:15,239 Speaker 2: the Daily Juice Podcast. My name is Matt Perotz. You 4 00:00:15,280 --> 00:00:17,640 Speaker 2: can follow me on Twitter at sports Talk Matt. We're 5 00:00:17,640 --> 00:00:21,560 Speaker 2: here every morning thanks to BETMGM on Bettingpros dot com. 6 00:00:21,600 --> 00:00:23,800 Speaker 2: You can follow me on Twitter at sports Talk Matt, 7 00:00:24,000 --> 00:00:26,480 Speaker 2: or you can follow betting pros on Twitter at Betting 8 00:00:26,520 --> 00:00:30,400 Speaker 2: Pros NFL one quick update, we got way over a thousand. 9 00:00:30,440 --> 00:00:32,199 Speaker 1: Thank you for all those reviews. That's awesome. 10 00:00:32,240 --> 00:00:34,760 Speaker 2: I think we're at eleven hundred now for reviews on 11 00:00:34,800 --> 00:00:37,800 Speaker 2: Apple and that's super exciting. If you know, keep on 12 00:00:37,960 --> 00:00:39,800 Speaker 2: leaving the reviews if you haven't done it yet and 13 00:00:39,800 --> 00:00:41,080 Speaker 2: it's been like on your mind. 14 00:00:40,840 --> 00:00:42,560 Speaker 1: Like, oh I gotta leave a review, go ahead. 15 00:00:42,920 --> 00:00:44,920 Speaker 2: We got that Shaquil O Neil Jersey coming up here. 16 00:00:44,920 --> 00:00:48,000 Speaker 2: It's the twenty second of May. We're getting into the 17 00:00:48,080 --> 00:00:51,720 Speaker 2: last week or so coming up for that. So yesterday 18 00:00:51,960 --> 00:00:53,280 Speaker 2: was kind of a blad day. 19 00:00:53,880 --> 00:00:55,440 Speaker 1: The Warriors was. 20 00:00:56,320 --> 00:00:59,680 Speaker 2: The biggest example of what I can give you for 21 00:00:59,800 --> 00:01:03,920 Speaker 2: FA the public, and I was riding with the public. 22 00:01:04,520 --> 00:01:06,399 Speaker 2: I knew it was going to be a public play. 23 00:01:07,400 --> 00:01:09,600 Speaker 2: I did not know it was going to be ninety 24 00:01:09,640 --> 00:01:13,800 Speaker 2: six percent on the Warriors. That's a mistake. And then 25 00:01:13,920 --> 00:01:20,360 Speaker 2: Ryan Hollins, the longtime NBA and now ESPN and NBA commentator, 26 00:01:21,160 --> 00:01:23,680 Speaker 2: came on my radio show and picked Memphis, and I 27 00:01:24,240 --> 00:01:27,360 Speaker 2: knew I was in trouble, and so I came back 28 00:01:27,400 --> 00:01:29,640 Speaker 2: with a player prop thinking that Valaginis was going to 29 00:01:29,680 --> 00:01:31,479 Speaker 2: have a big night, and then he was in foul 30 00:01:31,480 --> 00:01:34,240 Speaker 2: trouble all night, so we got that wrong. I had 31 00:01:34,240 --> 00:01:37,080 Speaker 2: a personal play on the under which I thought was 32 00:01:37,120 --> 00:01:40,000 Speaker 2: the right side, and it was except for overtime. So 33 00:01:40,040 --> 00:01:41,960 Speaker 2: that game goes to overtime and we lose that. So 34 00:01:42,000 --> 00:01:47,200 Speaker 2: I lost three bets on that game. That stunk, but 35 00:01:47,640 --> 00:01:50,200 Speaker 2: I was lucky and I got the puck line for 36 00:01:50,360 --> 00:01:54,240 Speaker 2: the Colorado for the Avalanche that was monster at plus 37 00:01:54,280 --> 00:01:57,840 Speaker 2: one twenty. I really needed that to come in. And 38 00:01:57,880 --> 00:02:00,960 Speaker 2: then we had the over five the Predators game that 39 00:02:01,000 --> 00:02:03,560 Speaker 2: goes to double overtime. Predators win that game. That blew 40 00:02:03,640 --> 00:02:05,640 Speaker 2: up the parlay, but Memphis blew up the parlay too, 41 00:02:05,720 --> 00:02:08,320 Speaker 2: so it was double ammy dead for the parlay. 42 00:02:08,360 --> 00:02:11,000 Speaker 1: But so we had over five on that. 43 00:02:11,080 --> 00:02:13,079 Speaker 2: They had eight goals or nine goals in that game, 44 00:02:13,120 --> 00:02:16,000 Speaker 2: so we blew over on that one, so two half 45 00:02:16,080 --> 00:02:18,799 Speaker 2: unit wins our bets on half unit, So like, I 46 00:02:18,800 --> 00:02:21,120 Speaker 2: think we got zero point eight somewhere in that range 47 00:02:21,280 --> 00:02:23,400 Speaker 2: of cashing, and I guess one because of the plus 48 00:02:23,440 --> 00:02:28,519 Speaker 2: money for the Avalanche. But then we got the Warriors 49 00:02:28,560 --> 00:02:32,480 Speaker 2: wrong and we got the Vala Gnis prop bet wrong 50 00:02:32,600 --> 00:02:34,240 Speaker 2: for the four bets, so at two and two day 51 00:02:34,280 --> 00:02:36,800 Speaker 2: but technically I think we might want to end up 52 00:02:36,840 --> 00:02:39,760 Speaker 2: being up on the podcast. So not great, but I 53 00:02:39,760 --> 00:02:41,400 Speaker 2: think we won money, so I got to check all 54 00:02:41,400 --> 00:02:45,040 Speaker 2: the math on that. I personally had a one and 55 00:02:45,120 --> 00:02:48,680 Speaker 2: two one and two night, but I haven't seen I 56 00:02:48,680 --> 00:02:50,440 Speaker 2: think I was flat on the night. I was pretty sure. 57 00:02:50,440 --> 00:02:52,880 Speaker 2: I was pretty I was flat on the night. But overall, 58 00:02:53,800 --> 00:02:56,040 Speaker 2: not a great Friday. But I've had much worse fridays 59 00:02:56,040 --> 00:02:59,480 Speaker 2: than what I had last night, so that's not incredibly bad. 60 00:02:59,520 --> 00:03:02,640 Speaker 2: But you know, credit John Morant man, what a game, 61 00:03:02,919 --> 00:03:05,680 Speaker 2: what a performance, what a comeback? I mean for him 62 00:03:05,680 --> 00:03:07,120 Speaker 2: to play as poorly as he did. 63 00:03:07,680 --> 00:03:08,120 Speaker 1: And then the. 64 00:03:08,080 --> 00:03:11,480 Speaker 2: Turnovers, the turnovers on the road were huge, and the 65 00:03:11,520 --> 00:03:14,919 Speaker 2: turnovers against the Memphis Grizzlies at home, we're huge, and 66 00:03:15,480 --> 00:03:18,200 Speaker 2: that Warrior roster, that's why I thought Steph was the MVP. 67 00:03:18,320 --> 00:03:20,320 Speaker 2: I still think STEP's the MVP because that roster for 68 00:03:20,360 --> 00:03:23,120 Speaker 2: the Warriors team is trash without Steph, Like there's nobody 69 00:03:23,120 --> 00:03:24,920 Speaker 2: on there. Like what was Draymond doing at the end 70 00:03:24,919 --> 00:03:28,440 Speaker 2: of regulation, Like what was that just stop take a 71 00:03:28,480 --> 00:03:29,400 Speaker 2: ten foot jump shot? 72 00:03:29,480 --> 00:03:30,080 Speaker 1: Win the game? 73 00:03:30,520 --> 00:03:32,400 Speaker 2: Going and throwing the ball at the rim like you've 74 00:03:32,440 --> 00:03:34,720 Speaker 2: forgotten a shot up shoot a basketball. That was a 75 00:03:34,800 --> 00:03:37,480 Speaker 2: really weird, weird play there. But Jah with a couple 76 00:03:37,480 --> 00:03:40,480 Speaker 2: of huge moments, huge games. I love that kid's game. 77 00:03:40,520 --> 00:03:44,200 Speaker 2: He's so energetic, he's so fun. But the happiest group 78 00:03:44,320 --> 00:03:48,400 Speaker 2: right now, the happiest team in the NBA, the Utah Jazz. 79 00:03:49,000 --> 00:03:51,240 Speaker 2: Utah is going to crush Memphis. I mean they're going 80 00:03:51,280 --> 00:03:57,040 Speaker 2: to destroy Memphis. They can stop everything Memphis does. I 81 00:03:57,160 --> 00:04:00,240 Speaker 2: might pick Utah in a sweep. I may bet that. 82 00:04:00,680 --> 00:04:02,960 Speaker 2: I don't think Memphis has a shot in hell to 83 00:04:03,120 --> 00:04:05,480 Speaker 2: stay with the Utah Jazz, and I've got them to 84 00:04:05,520 --> 00:04:07,160 Speaker 2: win the West. We've got that bet to win the 85 00:04:07,160 --> 00:04:09,720 Speaker 2: West as well. So it's a perfect for that bet. 86 00:04:10,000 --> 00:04:12,360 Speaker 2: For them to get Memphis in the first round is 87 00:04:12,880 --> 00:04:16,120 Speaker 2: a gift that is beautiful. Curry would have been a problem, 88 00:04:16,240 --> 00:04:19,760 Speaker 2: a real big problem for the Utah Jazz not going 89 00:04:19,800 --> 00:04:22,919 Speaker 2: to be the case. The backcourt for Utah will neutralize 90 00:04:22,960 --> 00:04:26,040 Speaker 2: John Morant, the front court with Rudy Gobert in company 91 00:04:26,120 --> 00:04:29,680 Speaker 2: will neutralize Bella Genis. I mean, what are they going 92 00:04:29,760 --> 00:04:31,440 Speaker 2: to do? Have Tilman come off the bench and shoot 93 00:04:31,520 --> 00:04:32,960 Speaker 2: jump shots? Okay, good luck with that. 94 00:04:33,279 --> 00:04:34,599 Speaker 1: Utah is gonna roll Memphis. 95 00:04:34,680 --> 00:04:36,479 Speaker 2: Man. That's not going to be close to being a 96 00:04:36,480 --> 00:04:39,359 Speaker 2: good series, but hey, it's good for that bet for 97 00:04:39,600 --> 00:04:42,040 Speaker 2: Utah to win the Western Conference that we got at 98 00:04:42,040 --> 00:04:45,320 Speaker 2: plus three fifty five. So I'll take that. Let's roll 99 00:04:45,360 --> 00:04:48,440 Speaker 2: with that for sure. Let's see what happens with the 100 00:04:48,520 --> 00:04:50,440 Speaker 2: Utah Jazz in that series. But that's going to be 101 00:04:50,440 --> 00:04:52,240 Speaker 2: a pretty easy one, I think for them with the 102 00:04:52,279 --> 00:04:55,599 Speaker 2: Memphis Grizzlies. So if you guys haven't used the bet 103 00:04:55,720 --> 00:04:58,840 Speaker 2: MGM sign up bonus for Juice one hundred, please do so. 104 00:04:58,880 --> 00:05:00,880 Speaker 2: That's a twenty buck bet get you one hundred dollars 105 00:05:00,960 --> 00:05:03,200 Speaker 2: in free wagers. When you sign up use Juice one hundred, 106 00:05:03,240 --> 00:05:05,760 Speaker 2: make that bet twenty bucks. Automatically win or lose on 107 00:05:05,800 --> 00:05:08,360 Speaker 2: the bet. You win one hundred dollars in free wagers 108 00:05:08,360 --> 00:05:10,400 Speaker 2: thanks to bet MGM. That's the best way to say 109 00:05:10,440 --> 00:05:12,120 Speaker 2: thank you. The other way is going and buying a 110 00:05:12,120 --> 00:05:14,280 Speaker 2: T shirt. You're buying a hat and telling your friends 111 00:05:14,320 --> 00:05:16,440 Speaker 2: about the Daily Juice and spreading the word. 112 00:05:16,279 --> 00:05:17,119 Speaker 1: About what we're doing. 113 00:05:17,600 --> 00:05:20,000 Speaker 2: So buy a T shirt, go to Fantasypros dot com 114 00:05:20,040 --> 00:05:23,160 Speaker 2: slash shop, buy a T shirt, a hat, sweatshirt, whatever 115 00:05:23,200 --> 00:05:25,600 Speaker 2: you want to buy and help support us and keep 116 00:05:25,680 --> 00:05:27,760 Speaker 2: us going here for the Daily Juice. Tell your friends 117 00:05:27,760 --> 00:05:29,680 Speaker 2: about it and tell them how much fun you have 118 00:05:29,720 --> 00:05:31,839 Speaker 2: listening to the Daily Juice each and every morning here 119 00:05:32,160 --> 00:05:34,880 Speaker 2: off of Bettingpros dot com, YouTube or wherever you get 120 00:05:34,880 --> 00:05:39,920 Speaker 2: your podcasts across your podcast platforms. Okay, so here's. 121 00:05:39,680 --> 00:05:40,160 Speaker 1: Where we are. 122 00:05:40,279 --> 00:05:44,839 Speaker 2: I have an NBA play, i have a UFC play, 123 00:05:45,640 --> 00:05:47,719 Speaker 2: I've got a hockey play, and then I've got a 124 00:05:47,800 --> 00:05:50,000 Speaker 2: series bet that I'm going to give you as well 125 00:05:50,040 --> 00:05:54,320 Speaker 2: in the NBA. So let's start with Boston and the 126 00:05:54,400 --> 00:05:58,479 Speaker 2: Brooklyn Nets. This again, is a system play. Brooklyn is 127 00:05:58,480 --> 00:06:00,720 Speaker 2: favored by eight. The total all I got was two 128 00:06:00,800 --> 00:06:01,760 Speaker 2: twenty eight and a half. 129 00:06:01,800 --> 00:06:05,039 Speaker 1: It is rising. This is going to be a public bet, 130 00:06:05,560 --> 00:06:07,359 Speaker 1: and I don't like that it's going to be a 131 00:06:07,360 --> 00:06:08,000 Speaker 1: public bet. 132 00:06:08,000 --> 00:06:09,719 Speaker 2: But I'm coming back because I'm just going to play 133 00:06:09,760 --> 00:06:13,240 Speaker 2: my system here. The last four games for Boston have 134 00:06:13,400 --> 00:06:18,160 Speaker 2: gone under. Three of the last six games for the Warriors, 135 00:06:18,200 --> 00:06:20,680 Speaker 2: sorry for the nets, have gone either over or under. 136 00:06:20,720 --> 00:06:23,000 Speaker 1: But this is not the full complimentary team. When they've 137 00:06:23,000 --> 00:06:25,480 Speaker 1: had their full team, they've. 138 00:06:25,279 --> 00:06:28,120 Speaker 2: Done you know, against Cleveland, you know they went over 139 00:06:28,240 --> 00:06:30,359 Speaker 2: by six and a half points, it was two twenty 140 00:06:30,360 --> 00:06:31,920 Speaker 2: five and a half. This is two twenty eight and 141 00:06:31,960 --> 00:06:35,960 Speaker 2: a half from a total perspective. Okay, at home Brooklyn 142 00:06:36,000 --> 00:06:39,279 Speaker 2: this year eighteen sorry, twenty and sixteen to the over 143 00:06:39,600 --> 00:06:42,679 Speaker 2: Boston on the road, nineteen and seventeen to the over 144 00:06:43,080 --> 00:06:46,920 Speaker 2: Boston when they're on the road. Catching points has been 145 00:06:47,080 --> 00:06:51,480 Speaker 2: very profitable for us this year. Betting the over, okay, 146 00:06:51,680 --> 00:06:53,920 Speaker 2: when they are catching points, when they are a dog. 147 00:06:54,360 --> 00:06:56,200 Speaker 2: This is where we've come in and we have bet 148 00:06:56,720 --> 00:06:59,280 Speaker 2: the over. If you look at the games against Brooklyn, 149 00:06:59,480 --> 00:07:01,559 Speaker 2: the game on the eleventh of March had a total 150 00:07:01,600 --> 00:07:05,039 Speaker 2: of two thirty two. That game barely went under by 151 00:07:05,040 --> 00:07:07,320 Speaker 2: two points. They scored two hundred and thirty, so they 152 00:07:07,320 --> 00:07:13,520 Speaker 2: came really close there. When Boston played Brooklyn at home, 153 00:07:14,120 --> 00:07:16,520 Speaker 2: it went way under. It was one twenty three ninety 154 00:07:16,600 --> 00:07:19,400 Speaker 2: five under by eleven and a half points. 155 00:07:19,680 --> 00:07:21,120 Speaker 1: And I'm looking for the third game. 156 00:07:21,160 --> 00:07:23,440 Speaker 2: And then the third game also went under at two 157 00:07:23,440 --> 00:07:25,200 Speaker 2: twenty five and a half as well at twelve and 158 00:07:25,240 --> 00:07:25,559 Speaker 2: a half. 159 00:07:25,800 --> 00:07:28,520 Speaker 1: So you go, Matt, like, what are you doing? 160 00:07:28,600 --> 00:07:30,960 Speaker 2: This is kind of interesting. You're betting the over here 161 00:07:31,560 --> 00:07:34,080 Speaker 2: with with Well, here's the problem, okay, One, you get 162 00:07:34,120 --> 00:07:37,240 Speaker 2: all three players back. One you know Brooklyn wants to 163 00:07:37,280 --> 00:07:39,680 Speaker 2: flex here, wants to get out, and two Boston can't 164 00:07:39,680 --> 00:07:42,200 Speaker 2: play defense to state of their lives, No, Jalen Brown, 165 00:07:42,640 --> 00:07:45,080 Speaker 2: it's gonna Tatum's gonna score a bunch of points, okay, 166 00:07:45,160 --> 00:07:47,160 Speaker 2: And I may have a player prop. I think Tatum's 167 00:07:47,200 --> 00:07:49,320 Speaker 2: a good play here in regards to what his player 168 00:07:49,360 --> 00:07:51,440 Speaker 2: prop is. I think Tatum's a good player prop thirty one, 169 00:07:51,560 --> 00:07:53,840 Speaker 2: thirty two to thirty three. He's gonna have to go 170 00:07:53,880 --> 00:07:56,080 Speaker 2: off and score a ton of points here if Boston's 171 00:07:56,080 --> 00:07:57,760 Speaker 2: gonna even stay with Brooklyn at all. 172 00:07:58,200 --> 00:08:00,080 Speaker 1: But I think there's a good shot that Brooklyn. 173 00:07:59,800 --> 00:08:02,520 Speaker 2: Had one hundred and thirty points here on Boston. So 174 00:08:02,720 --> 00:08:04,840 Speaker 2: I think it's like a one thirty to one hundred 175 00:08:04,880 --> 00:08:06,600 Speaker 2: type of win. You might say, Matt want to just 176 00:08:06,680 --> 00:08:09,720 Speaker 2: lay the eight points with Brooklyn. I'll personally do that 177 00:08:09,800 --> 00:08:11,400 Speaker 2: I'll have a personal play on it. I just like 178 00:08:11,440 --> 00:08:14,080 Speaker 2: the over more because if Boston's gonna win the game, 179 00:08:14,480 --> 00:08:17,440 Speaker 2: they're not gonna slow the tempo down and play defense. 180 00:08:17,520 --> 00:08:18,320 Speaker 1: They just can't do that. 181 00:08:18,320 --> 00:08:20,440 Speaker 2: They're gonna have to just try to outscore, you know, 182 00:08:20,520 --> 00:08:23,760 Speaker 2: an incredible offense, and you know, good luck doing that. 183 00:08:24,560 --> 00:08:28,200 Speaker 2: So I this is a monster mismatch. I will have 184 00:08:28,240 --> 00:08:31,480 Speaker 2: a personal play on Brooklyn laying eight points, but officially 185 00:08:31,480 --> 00:08:33,679 Speaker 2: for the podcast, we're gonna go over to twenty eight 186 00:08:33,679 --> 00:08:36,800 Speaker 2: and a half for Brooklyn and Boston. Here Boston on 187 00:08:36,840 --> 00:08:39,200 Speaker 2: the road catching points, betting the over. I've done it 188 00:08:39,240 --> 00:08:41,760 Speaker 2: all year. We're gonna keep going here with the with 189 00:08:41,840 --> 00:08:44,880 Speaker 2: the over for Boston and Brooklyn, very much like the 190 00:08:44,960 --> 00:08:47,000 Speaker 2: Washington game a couple of days ago, where it was 191 00:08:47,040 --> 00:08:49,720 Speaker 2: just like, come on, like, you can't set up an 192 00:08:49,720 --> 00:08:52,480 Speaker 2: over high enough here for what this game might potentially 193 00:08:52,480 --> 00:08:56,000 Speaker 2: look like. So that's one. The one play I'm gonna 194 00:08:56,040 --> 00:08:58,679 Speaker 2: give you for a quarter unit is one that comes 195 00:08:58,720 --> 00:09:01,400 Speaker 2: from Ryan Holland, who, as I said, was on a 196 00:09:01,480 --> 00:09:04,400 Speaker 2: radio show yesterday, the former NBA player, and I asked 197 00:09:04,440 --> 00:09:08,360 Speaker 2: him his opinion on Miami against Milwaukee, now Boston and 198 00:09:08,360 --> 00:09:10,199 Speaker 2: Brooklyn by the way is an eight pm Eastern time 199 00:09:10,240 --> 00:09:12,920 Speaker 2: start on ABC, so the world will be watching that game. 200 00:09:13,679 --> 00:09:16,520 Speaker 2: But Miami and Milwaukee start the day off at two 201 00:09:16,520 --> 00:09:20,120 Speaker 2: pm Eastern time eleven o'clock Pacific time, so one morning 202 00:09:20,240 --> 00:09:21,000 Speaker 2: start time for me. 203 00:09:22,040 --> 00:09:26,679 Speaker 1: I'm not gonna bet this game. I'm gonna bet the series, and. 204 00:09:26,640 --> 00:09:28,439 Speaker 2: I'm gonna bet the Miami Heat to knock out the 205 00:09:28,480 --> 00:09:34,080 Speaker 2: Milwaukee Bucks. You might go, what, Look, this is Jimmy Butler. 206 00:09:35,280 --> 00:09:38,520 Speaker 2: This is playoff Jimmy, and this is a team that 207 00:09:38,760 --> 00:09:42,600 Speaker 2: coming down the stretch, they basically played their way into 208 00:09:42,679 --> 00:09:47,200 Speaker 2: this seed. They wanted to play Milwaukee. Why would that be? 209 00:09:47,440 --> 00:09:50,360 Speaker 2: Why would they want to play Milwaukee? Well, they match 210 00:09:50,440 --> 00:09:57,200 Speaker 2: up extremely well with Milwaukee. You can put Bam on Yannis. 211 00:09:57,920 --> 00:10:00,959 Speaker 2: You've got a chance to get Jimmy Butler going. You 212 00:10:01,040 --> 00:10:03,200 Speaker 2: got a chance to get Tyler Hero shooting a bunch 213 00:10:03,280 --> 00:10:07,040 Speaker 2: of threes. I think Miami is a problem for Milwaukee, 214 00:10:07,320 --> 00:10:10,280 Speaker 2: and I think it's worth at plus two sixty. I 215 00:10:10,280 --> 00:10:12,320 Speaker 2: think it's worth a quarter unit just to throw it 216 00:10:12,360 --> 00:10:14,600 Speaker 2: on there and see if Miami can knock out the 217 00:10:14,679 --> 00:10:18,839 Speaker 2: Milwaukee Bucks. I'm going quarter unit Miami to win the 218 00:10:18,960 --> 00:10:21,880 Speaker 2: series and knock out the Milwaukee Bucks. I don't hate 219 00:10:21,880 --> 00:10:24,920 Speaker 2: a play in Game one taking Miami to win Game one. 220 00:10:25,120 --> 00:10:26,920 Speaker 2: That's not gonna be an awful play. I may have 221 00:10:26,960 --> 00:10:29,400 Speaker 2: a personal play on Miami on the money line on 222 00:10:29,440 --> 00:10:31,640 Speaker 2: this on this because I do think there's a real 223 00:10:31,720 --> 00:10:34,600 Speaker 2: chance that Miami winds up beating Milwaukee in Game one. 224 00:10:35,200 --> 00:10:37,480 Speaker 2: But for the podcast, officially, we're going to quarter unit 225 00:10:37,520 --> 00:10:40,400 Speaker 2: here for the Heat to beat the Bucks at plus 226 00:10:40,400 --> 00:10:43,640 Speaker 2: two to sixty. All right, so Nets Celtics half a 227 00:10:43,720 --> 00:10:46,400 Speaker 2: unit over two twenty eight and a half and Heat 228 00:10:46,480 --> 00:10:50,360 Speaker 2: to beat the Bucks at plus two sixty. Okay, let's 229 00:10:50,360 --> 00:10:52,440 Speaker 2: go to hockey and let's talk about where we are 230 00:10:52,440 --> 00:10:55,600 Speaker 2: here for the Penguins and the Islanders. Here's the thing 231 00:10:55,760 --> 00:10:58,360 Speaker 2: about this series that I have found to be really 232 00:10:58,559 --> 00:11:03,600 Speaker 2: really interesting. If this game is going to be if 233 00:11:03,640 --> 00:11:05,720 Speaker 2: the Islanders are going to win this game, they got 234 00:11:05,760 --> 00:11:09,040 Speaker 2: they have to stop playing Pittsburgh Penguins hockey. In Game one, 235 00:11:09,280 --> 00:11:12,800 Speaker 2: they played Pittsburgh hockey, game went over and they lost. 236 00:11:13,080 --> 00:11:16,840 Speaker 2: Game two, they played Islander hockey, the game went under 237 00:11:17,000 --> 00:11:20,120 Speaker 2: in the Islanders won. I'm going back to the well 238 00:11:20,200 --> 00:11:23,079 Speaker 2: here and saying, after what happened in the last game, 239 00:11:23,520 --> 00:11:26,640 Speaker 2: the Islanders are going to play their brand of hockey 240 00:11:27,160 --> 00:11:31,199 Speaker 2: at home, and they're gonna stop playing this up tempo 241 00:11:31,320 --> 00:11:35,439 Speaker 2: style which really makes no sense to me. The Islanders 242 00:11:35,840 --> 00:11:40,560 Speaker 2: and the Pittsburgh Penguins. They play today at three o'clock 243 00:11:40,760 --> 00:11:44,640 Speaker 2: Eastern time on NBC on the Big Boy. Okay, if 244 00:11:44,679 --> 00:11:46,560 Speaker 2: you look at the way this game, this series has 245 00:11:46,600 --> 00:11:49,920 Speaker 2: gone so far, it's gone four to three over, two 246 00:11:49,960 --> 00:11:53,000 Speaker 2: to one, okay, two to one the under and then 247 00:11:53,120 --> 00:11:56,760 Speaker 2: five to four the win here for the Penguins. I 248 00:11:56,800 --> 00:11:59,120 Speaker 2: know the Penguins won two to one in Game two, 249 00:11:59,440 --> 00:12:01,880 Speaker 2: but the Island were in that game much more than 250 00:12:01,880 --> 00:12:03,760 Speaker 2: they were even when they won the game in Game 251 00:12:03,840 --> 00:12:06,560 Speaker 2: one four to three in overtime. That was a crazy 252 00:12:06,640 --> 00:12:08,319 Speaker 2: game that could have gone either way, and they were 253 00:12:08,400 --> 00:12:10,600 Speaker 2: fortunate to win. They could be down three games to none, 254 00:12:10,679 --> 00:12:13,760 Speaker 2: no sweat. I don't get what they're doing here, and 255 00:12:13,880 --> 00:12:17,600 Speaker 2: I need goaltenders to play much better for the. 256 00:12:17,480 --> 00:12:19,960 Speaker 1: Islanders, and I mean it. 257 00:12:20,000 --> 00:12:22,560 Speaker 2: Whether it be Varlamov or Sorokan, either one of these 258 00:12:22,559 --> 00:12:24,840 Speaker 2: guys have got to play better. But I'm gonna bank 259 00:12:24,840 --> 00:12:26,760 Speaker 2: on them playing better, and I'm gonna bank on the 260 00:12:26,760 --> 00:12:27,720 Speaker 2: Islanders going. 261 00:12:27,559 --> 00:12:29,000 Speaker 1: Back to a Barry Trotz system. 262 00:12:29,160 --> 00:12:31,920 Speaker 2: Where they don't go up tempo and they play close 263 00:12:31,960 --> 00:12:34,520 Speaker 2: to the vest and this game goes under. I'm gonna 264 00:12:34,559 --> 00:12:36,760 Speaker 2: bet the under five and a half at miles one 265 00:12:36,880 --> 00:12:39,760 Speaker 2: thirty five. A little expensive, but we're gonna bet the 266 00:12:39,880 --> 00:12:41,680 Speaker 2: under five and a half for the Penguins and the 267 00:12:41,679 --> 00:12:45,760 Speaker 2: Islanders on the Islanders to keep themselves alive and play 268 00:12:45,880 --> 00:12:48,240 Speaker 2: a much better brand of hockey like they are typical 269 00:12:48,240 --> 00:12:48,760 Speaker 2: of playing. 270 00:12:49,040 --> 00:12:49,679 Speaker 1: Islanders. 271 00:12:49,960 --> 00:12:52,199 Speaker 2: Under five and a half is the one hockey play 272 00:12:52,240 --> 00:12:56,000 Speaker 2: going for today, and I think I think they win, 273 00:12:56,480 --> 00:12:58,760 Speaker 2: but I'm not positive they're going to win because they 274 00:12:58,800 --> 00:13:01,160 Speaker 2: lost Game two, you know, with a two to one 275 00:13:01,200 --> 00:13:04,640 Speaker 2: fashion they lost, so I'm a little concerned about that 276 00:13:04,720 --> 00:13:06,640 Speaker 2: Pengmins might be able to win the game two to one. 277 00:13:06,679 --> 00:13:08,800 Speaker 2: So rather than going in and coming in and just 278 00:13:08,920 --> 00:13:10,720 Speaker 2: you know, laying the Island, there's might as one fifteen 279 00:13:10,760 --> 00:13:12,600 Speaker 2: on the money line, I'll go ahead and take the 280 00:13:12,679 --> 00:13:14,760 Speaker 2: under five and a half for Pittsburgh and the New 281 00:13:14,800 --> 00:13:17,920 Speaker 2: York Islanders. Okay, And I've got one play for you 282 00:13:17,960 --> 00:13:21,840 Speaker 2: coming up here for UFC, and it's the headline fight 283 00:13:21,960 --> 00:13:26,080 Speaker 2: between Rob font and Cody Garbram. So I have all 284 00:13:26,080 --> 00:13:29,079 Speaker 2: sorts of funny connections to these guys. Rob fonts from Boston, Okay, 285 00:13:29,120 --> 00:13:30,720 Speaker 2: so I am obviously a fan. He's in the New 286 00:13:31,000 --> 00:13:35,079 Speaker 2: England they called the New England excuse me mafia, and 287 00:13:35,240 --> 00:13:37,560 Speaker 2: these are fighters who are trying to put you know, 288 00:13:37,720 --> 00:13:40,800 Speaker 2: mass in New England on the map. And there are 289 00:13:40,800 --> 00:13:43,840 Speaker 2: a bunch of fighters that are all trying Calvin Cater 290 00:13:43,960 --> 00:13:46,040 Speaker 2: and whatnot are all trying to to show everybody what, 291 00:13:46,120 --> 00:13:46,920 Speaker 2: you know, how tough. 292 00:13:46,760 --> 00:13:47,840 Speaker 1: It is to you know whatever. 293 00:13:47,880 --> 00:13:49,760 Speaker 2: Haverl which is the town next to where I grew 294 00:13:49,840 --> 00:13:53,160 Speaker 2: up in Lowell, where Mickey Mickey Ward is from. It's 295 00:13:53,200 --> 00:13:55,840 Speaker 2: all around my ritzy, little, you know, white collar town 296 00:13:55,880 --> 00:14:00,720 Speaker 2: of andover Massachusetts. But Rob font is, I hate to 297 00:14:00,760 --> 00:14:03,120 Speaker 2: say this, he's getting a showcase fight. 298 00:14:03,400 --> 00:14:04,960 Speaker 1: And I love Cody Garbrandt. 299 00:14:05,480 --> 00:14:08,800 Speaker 2: The first UFC fighter I interviewed in person when I 300 00:14:08,840 --> 00:14:12,760 Speaker 2: moved to Vegas was Cody Garbrant and his career has 301 00:14:12,840 --> 00:14:17,800 Speaker 2: gone into skyrocketed. But Rob font and minus one fifteen. 302 00:14:17,520 --> 00:14:18,440 Speaker 1: Is a little weird. 303 00:14:18,880 --> 00:14:21,120 Speaker 2: And I think it's because people don't know about Rob 304 00:14:21,160 --> 00:14:23,880 Speaker 2: font They don't know how good this guy is and 305 00:14:24,000 --> 00:14:27,120 Speaker 2: what he has done. His stats are pretty amazing. He's 306 00:14:27,120 --> 00:14:30,360 Speaker 2: won three fights in a row. I know, you know, 307 00:14:30,400 --> 00:14:33,040 Speaker 2: coming off of one win for Cody Garbrant, but this 308 00:14:33,080 --> 00:14:36,240 Speaker 2: guy has been open about his battle with COVID nineteen. 309 00:14:36,600 --> 00:14:39,320 Speaker 2: This is his first fight since COVID nineteen and I think, 310 00:14:40,000 --> 00:14:42,720 Speaker 2: you know, in the middle second round around there, I 311 00:14:42,760 --> 00:14:45,480 Speaker 2: think that kind of comes into play here. I hate 312 00:14:45,480 --> 00:14:48,480 Speaker 2: to say someone's COVID diagnosis, you know, decides whether or 313 00:14:48,480 --> 00:14:49,640 Speaker 2: not they're going to win a fight or not. But 314 00:14:49,680 --> 00:14:52,320 Speaker 2: I think the gas tank matters. I think it's gonna 315 00:14:52,320 --> 00:14:55,400 Speaker 2: be tough. I'm concerned about Cody Garbrant in this. I 316 00:14:55,400 --> 00:14:58,360 Speaker 2: think Rob Font probably knocks out Cody Garbrant, but I 317 00:14:58,400 --> 00:15:00,520 Speaker 2: don't need to bet that because I can just go 318 00:15:00,520 --> 00:15:02,280 Speaker 2: ahead and take him at minus one fifteen on the 319 00:15:02,280 --> 00:15:03,560 Speaker 2: money line just to win. 320 00:15:04,080 --> 00:15:06,280 Speaker 1: I don't need to go to where we are here. 321 00:15:06,960 --> 00:15:10,280 Speaker 2: And I mean, this is Cody Garbrandt's a long way 322 00:15:10,600 --> 00:15:13,120 Speaker 2: from where he was, you know, when he beat Dominict 323 00:15:13,200 --> 00:15:16,320 Speaker 2: Cruz in twenty sixteen and he got the belt. He's 324 00:15:16,360 --> 00:15:18,520 Speaker 2: had a lot of really tough things happen, and he's 325 00:15:18,520 --> 00:15:21,280 Speaker 2: got married, he got divorced or I guess he's separated 326 00:15:21,280 --> 00:15:23,400 Speaker 2: from his wife. One of the two had a kid, 327 00:15:23,920 --> 00:15:27,160 Speaker 2: has had some problems in that regard. It's just it's 328 00:15:27,200 --> 00:15:30,240 Speaker 2: tough for me and Rob Bond's thirty three and he's 329 00:15:30,360 --> 00:15:33,840 Speaker 2: super hungry. He's trying to make some noise. It's a 330 00:15:33,840 --> 00:15:37,520 Speaker 2: headline fight for him. He has a big reach advantage 331 00:15:37,920 --> 00:15:41,360 Speaker 2: in this fight, seventy one inches to sixty five inches. 332 00:15:41,600 --> 00:15:44,360 Speaker 2: That's not normal for Cody Garbrett. Cody normally is the 333 00:15:44,360 --> 00:15:45,800 Speaker 2: better boxer. He's normally the. 334 00:15:45,760 --> 00:15:46,960 Speaker 1: Guy he's going to strike first. 335 00:15:47,040 --> 00:15:51,160 Speaker 2: He's got incredible hands, incredible speed, great knockout power. I 336 00:15:51,240 --> 00:15:53,960 Speaker 2: just think he's going up against a guy who's on 337 00:15:54,000 --> 00:15:57,920 Speaker 2: the rise versus Cody is kind of on the other side. 338 00:15:58,040 --> 00:15:59,840 Speaker 2: I feel like Cody's on the back nine of his 339 00:16:00,720 --> 00:16:03,760 Speaker 2: and even though he's younger by three four years than. 340 00:16:03,720 --> 00:16:07,200 Speaker 1: Rob Wont, I think Rob's got a lot. 341 00:16:07,000 --> 00:16:10,479 Speaker 2: Going for him. I think the win over Pettis was gigantic. 342 00:16:11,000 --> 00:16:13,360 Speaker 2: He's got a chance if if he knocks out Cody 343 00:16:13,440 --> 00:16:16,760 Speaker 2: Garbreant and does it in spectacular fashion, he's gonna be 344 00:16:16,920 --> 00:16:19,840 Speaker 2: in line potentially for a title fight at some point 345 00:16:20,280 --> 00:16:23,640 Speaker 2: in this in in the bantamweight division. So it's a 346 00:16:23,680 --> 00:16:25,920 Speaker 2: big moment for Rob BoNT. This is a big, big 347 00:16:25,960 --> 00:16:29,080 Speaker 2: showcase fight for him. I'm gonna take Rob Font to win, 348 00:16:29,480 --> 00:16:32,560 Speaker 2: just laying the mis one point fifteen here against Cody Garbrett, 349 00:16:32,600 --> 00:16:34,480 Speaker 2: and think the public is all on Cody because they 350 00:16:34,560 --> 00:16:37,160 Speaker 2: know the name. They don't know Rob BoNT. I think 351 00:16:37,160 --> 00:16:39,400 Speaker 2: it's a bit of a trap. The books are set 352 00:16:39,400 --> 00:16:40,800 Speaker 2: in a bit of a trap here, and I think 353 00:16:40,800 --> 00:16:44,840 Speaker 2: it's Rob BoNT winning, probably by knockout, but maybe. 354 00:16:44,560 --> 00:16:45,200 Speaker 1: On the cards. 355 00:16:45,360 --> 00:16:47,560 Speaker 2: Cody's a pretty durable dude, although he has been knocked 356 00:16:47,600 --> 00:16:50,200 Speaker 2: out quite a bit. So I mean the losses to 357 00:16:50,880 --> 00:16:53,240 Speaker 2: Dilis Shaw, the losses to Munios, I mean he's been 358 00:16:54,280 --> 00:16:56,760 Speaker 2: his chin's been a little bit suspect in post COVID. 359 00:16:57,000 --> 00:16:59,200 Speaker 2: I mean, I don't hate Itaby, you tell me, Matt, 360 00:16:59,240 --> 00:17:02,280 Speaker 2: I took Font to win and Rob BoNT by knockout, 361 00:17:02,400 --> 00:17:05,359 Speaker 2: depending on how my day goes. My day's going really 362 00:17:05,359 --> 00:17:07,000 Speaker 2: well and I have a bunch of wins. I'll probably 363 00:17:07,040 --> 00:17:09,320 Speaker 2: come back with a personal play on Rob BoNT via 364 00:17:09,320 --> 00:17:11,840 Speaker 2: a knockout. But I'll just take the minus one fifteen 365 00:17:11,880 --> 00:17:14,000 Speaker 2: in the victory for Rob Fon here in the main 366 00:17:14,040 --> 00:17:16,439 Speaker 2: event of USC Fight Night coming up here in Vegas 367 00:17:16,480 --> 00:17:20,080 Speaker 2: at the Apex. Okay, so are four plays four today 368 00:17:20,520 --> 00:17:23,679 Speaker 2: Boston and the Nets Boston Brooklyn over two twenty eight 369 00:17:23,720 --> 00:17:25,560 Speaker 2: and a half the Miami Heat to beat the Bucks 370 00:17:25,880 --> 00:17:28,680 Speaker 2: in their series at plus two to sixty rob on 371 00:17:28,720 --> 00:17:30,480 Speaker 2: the money line at Mine one fifteen, and the under 372 00:17:30,520 --> 00:17:32,560 Speaker 2: five and a half for the Islanders at Mas one 373 00:17:32,640 --> 00:17:36,440 Speaker 2: thirty five against the Penguins. Somebody asked me to explain 374 00:17:36,560 --> 00:17:39,320 Speaker 2: what I'm going to do for the Colorado Avalanche and 375 00:17:39,359 --> 00:17:42,639 Speaker 2: the fact that we bet for them to sweep the 376 00:17:42,680 --> 00:17:45,440 Speaker 2: Saint Louis Blues and they're up three games to none, 377 00:17:45,720 --> 00:17:48,159 Speaker 2: so we've got a plus four hundred or so in 378 00:17:48,240 --> 00:17:52,360 Speaker 2: three eighty five bet going into the sweep, and I'll 379 00:17:52,400 --> 00:17:54,920 Speaker 2: explain that tomorrow, okay, But basically, I will bet Saint 380 00:17:54,960 --> 00:17:58,600 Speaker 2: Louis enough to guarantee a profit on the money line 381 00:17:58,880 --> 00:18:01,320 Speaker 2: for Game four, so I'll probably get like plus one 382 00:18:01,400 --> 00:18:04,320 Speaker 2: forty plus one thirty somewhere in that range. I will 383 00:18:04,359 --> 00:18:06,520 Speaker 2: make a wager that will guarantee me a profit, and 384 00:18:06,520 --> 00:18:08,520 Speaker 2: then if the Avalanche win in sweep, we'll get even 385 00:18:08,520 --> 00:18:12,240 Speaker 2: a bigger profit. But I'll guarantee myself a comeback profit 386 00:18:12,280 --> 00:18:14,800 Speaker 2: in case Saint Louis finds a way to keep themselves alive, 387 00:18:14,920 --> 00:18:17,640 Speaker 2: so that BET's coming tomorrow because Game four is on Sunday, 388 00:18:17,800 --> 00:18:20,399 Speaker 2: not here on Saturday. My name is Matt Paroltz, followed 389 00:18:20,440 --> 00:18:22,800 Speaker 2: me on Twitter at Sports Talk Matt. Every single morning, 390 00:18:22,880 --> 00:18:24,800 Speaker 2: it's the Deal Juice Podcast right here on Betting pros 391 00:18:24,840 --> 00:18:37,480 Speaker 2: dot com, brought you by BETAMGM