1 00:00:00,240 --> 00:00:03,920 Speaker 1: Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly, a production of I Heart Radio. 2 00:00:06,040 --> 00:00:09,400 Speaker 1: Time now for Fantasy Football Weekly from I Heart Radio, 3 00:00:09,680 --> 00:00:14,080 Speaker 1: your weekly source for the nation's best fantasy football advice, speculation, 4 00:00:14,240 --> 00:00:17,799 Speaker 1: and whatever stupid stuff they decided to drop into the show. Now, 5 00:00:17,840 --> 00:00:24,800 Speaker 1: here's your host. Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly. I am 6 00:00:24,800 --> 00:00:27,960 Speaker 1: Paul Church and my co hosts are Brian Johnson and 7 00:00:27,960 --> 00:00:33,720 Speaker 1: Matt Harrison. Hello guys, Hello Governor, Hello nah, I do 8 00:00:33,880 --> 00:00:36,600 Speaker 1: have to I think at the end of that, and 9 00:00:36,600 --> 00:00:38,320 Speaker 1: I don't even know what that means to be a governor? 10 00:00:38,720 --> 00:00:41,000 Speaker 1: Is that a do you have some kind of a 11 00:00:41,120 --> 00:00:43,599 Speaker 1: legal authority of some sort? We might we might get 12 00:00:43,680 --> 00:00:49,239 Speaker 1: a call in Uh, Colin Mcockney, have to govern is 13 00:00:49,520 --> 00:00:51,519 Speaker 1: more of a meetie or a meat I think you 14 00:00:51,560 --> 00:00:56,360 Speaker 1: think socially praitially makes sense, ye, pirate Um. We've been 15 00:00:56,480 --> 00:01:00,160 Speaker 1: going through each of the divisions and talking about how 16 00:01:00,320 --> 00:01:03,400 Speaker 1: each team in our divisions are going to look this year, 17 00:01:04,000 --> 00:01:05,959 Speaker 1: which is to say, you know, most every team will 18 00:01:06,000 --> 00:01:08,720 Speaker 1: be different than it was last year on how it operates, 19 00:01:09,280 --> 00:01:11,920 Speaker 1: and we want to highlight what's gonna be new, how 20 00:01:11,959 --> 00:01:14,520 Speaker 1: this how these teams are gonna operate, and then who 21 00:01:14,600 --> 00:01:16,800 Speaker 1: is the one riskiest player to draft compared to their 22 00:01:16,840 --> 00:01:19,200 Speaker 1: ADP and who's got the most upside compared to their ADP. 23 00:01:19,280 --> 00:01:21,720 Speaker 1: So we've been doing this for three straight shows. Now 24 00:01:21,760 --> 00:01:24,280 Speaker 1: this one is the a f C South and the 25 00:01:24,400 --> 00:01:28,600 Speaker 1: NFC South. The Dirty South? Is it dirty? Dirty? Birds 26 00:01:28,600 --> 00:01:32,520 Speaker 1: are in it? But South dirty? They seem to have 27 00:01:32,560 --> 00:01:36,120 Speaker 1: a lot of virus cases. We're going to go there. 28 00:01:37,280 --> 00:01:39,800 Speaker 1: I'm glad you did not me, Matt. That was Matt, 29 00:01:40,280 --> 00:01:47,520 Speaker 1: Matt explosive outright. Send your complaints to uh, your Confederate 30 00:01:47,520 --> 00:01:51,040 Speaker 1: flags to Oh, don't send me those? Okay? No, No, 31 00:01:51,440 --> 00:01:53,880 Speaker 1: we begin in the a f C South with the 32 00:01:54,000 --> 00:01:57,120 Speaker 1: Houston Texans. This is a team that will almost certainly 33 00:01:57,120 --> 00:01:59,840 Speaker 1: be different in a lot of ways, Brian. We've got 34 00:02:00,280 --> 00:02:03,440 Speaker 1: several new players, and I think I'm not alone and 35 00:02:03,480 --> 00:02:06,040 Speaker 1: having some apprehension about this offense. No, you are not, 36 00:02:06,520 --> 00:02:10,000 Speaker 1: as you mentioned uh out or alluded to out DeAndre Hopkins. 37 00:02:10,000 --> 00:02:13,519 Speaker 1: Of course, in Brandon Cooks and David Johnson. It's Bill 38 00:02:13,600 --> 00:02:19,800 Speaker 1: O'Brien was essentially playing fantasy football very poorly. Although how 39 00:02:19,800 --> 00:02:21,720 Speaker 1: many trades have there been in your fantasy leagues? Or 40 00:02:21,760 --> 00:02:24,200 Speaker 1: everybody hates the trade for one side and then that 41 00:02:24,240 --> 00:02:26,040 Speaker 1: side ends up being getting the better end of the deal. 42 00:02:26,240 --> 00:02:28,040 Speaker 1: This is like one of the most wasn't one of 43 00:02:28,040 --> 00:02:30,360 Speaker 1: the most like realistic fantasy football trade or like you 44 00:02:30,360 --> 00:02:33,880 Speaker 1: know what I mean in real life? But um no, 45 00:02:33,960 --> 00:02:36,800 Speaker 1: no notable additions for the offense through the draft. They 46 00:02:36,800 --> 00:02:39,240 Speaker 1: did draft a tackle in the fourth round. But um 47 00:02:39,280 --> 00:02:44,040 Speaker 1: the Texans last year passing play percentage percent passing plays 48 00:02:44,040 --> 00:02:46,960 Speaker 1: that was twenty two in the NFL. They were eleventh 49 00:02:46,960 --> 00:02:51,000 Speaker 1: in rushing play percentage at Obviously a new running back 50 00:02:51,120 --> 00:02:53,959 Speaker 1: this year in David Johnson. Let's start with him. He's 51 00:02:53,960 --> 00:02:57,760 Speaker 1: going overall right now, running back twenty. It's been forever 52 00:02:57,800 --> 00:03:00,680 Speaker 1: since he's had a full great year. But I think 53 00:03:00,680 --> 00:03:04,320 Speaker 1: it's bad has overshadowed the good in recent years because 54 00:03:04,360 --> 00:03:06,480 Speaker 1: it's been it's been several years since we've had the 55 00:03:06,480 --> 00:03:09,240 Speaker 1: good on David Johnson. I can test this. Yeah, here 56 00:03:09,320 --> 00:03:11,520 Speaker 1: comes a couple of games at the beginning of last year. 57 00:03:12,320 --> 00:03:15,960 Speaker 1: Through the first eight games last year RB ten. He 58 00:03:16,040 --> 00:03:19,640 Speaker 1: only played six of those eight games. In Week seven, 59 00:03:20,080 --> 00:03:22,400 Speaker 1: I think he got the first carry in that Giants game, 60 00:03:22,639 --> 00:03:24,920 Speaker 1: but he was dinged up and he couldn't go or 61 00:03:25,160 --> 00:03:27,119 Speaker 1: they That was the game Chase Edmonds had like three 62 00:03:27,160 --> 00:03:31,760 Speaker 1: touchdowns and tack that onto RB ten's already RB ten 63 00:03:31,840 --> 00:03:33,800 Speaker 1: numbers through the first six games. So he was looking 64 00:03:33,800 --> 00:03:35,440 Speaker 1: good in the first half and they got hurt and 65 00:03:35,520 --> 00:03:40,120 Speaker 1: we all saw the second half. He was brutal also 66 00:03:40,200 --> 00:03:41,880 Speaker 1: for the first half of the season, running behind an 67 00:03:41,880 --> 00:03:45,960 Speaker 1: awful offensive line fourth worst running run blocking grade by 68 00:03:45,960 --> 00:03:51,160 Speaker 1: Pro Football Focus. U volatile yet electric rookie quarterback. Um. 69 00:03:51,600 --> 00:03:53,840 Speaker 1: He looked like the first worst running back in football 70 00:03:53,840 --> 00:03:56,120 Speaker 1: when he came back. But I'm gonna cast that all aside. 71 00:03:56,400 --> 00:03:57,840 Speaker 1: I think there's so for him this year. I'm going 72 00:03:57,880 --> 00:04:01,119 Speaker 1: glass half full. Houston z Oe line was twentieth last year, 73 00:04:01,120 --> 00:04:03,680 Speaker 1: but that was a huge improvement from then, finishing basically 74 00:04:03,720 --> 00:04:07,480 Speaker 1: dead last three or four years before that. Left tackle 75 00:04:07,560 --> 00:04:10,280 Speaker 1: learning the tunsil is all world. Uh. Titus Howard on 76 00:04:10,280 --> 00:04:12,920 Speaker 1: the right tackle, having a great rookie year last year, 77 00:04:12,960 --> 00:04:15,160 Speaker 1: was cut short by injury. So again, I like David 78 00:04:15,240 --> 00:04:17,480 Speaker 1: Johnson a lot this year at RB twenty. I think 79 00:04:17,520 --> 00:04:20,600 Speaker 1: people are focusing too much on the bad. Bill O'Brien 80 00:04:20,680 --> 00:04:23,840 Speaker 1: has to wake up and utilize David Johnson's strength. Though 81 00:04:24,160 --> 00:04:27,520 Speaker 1: last year, Texans running backs total fifty five catches. That 82 00:04:27,560 --> 00:04:30,320 Speaker 1: was fourth fewest in the league, and they had Duke Johnson, 83 00:04:30,320 --> 00:04:32,240 Speaker 1: and they had Johnson. I was gonna bring up to 84 00:04:32,440 --> 00:04:36,840 Speaker 1: that's Ding's which Johnson and h in fifty catches the 85 00:04:36,920 --> 00:04:39,200 Speaker 1: year before that was the fewest in the NFL. So 86 00:04:39,200 --> 00:04:41,960 Speaker 1: so Bob has gotta gotta change that up. But I'm 87 00:04:42,000 --> 00:04:44,880 Speaker 1: still buying into David Johnson over the wide receivers, know though, 88 00:04:44,920 --> 00:04:48,279 Speaker 1: Now this is where the apprehension really begins. DeAndre Hopkins 89 00:04:48,360 --> 00:04:52,599 Speaker 1: gone Randon Cookson. He's seventy ninth overall wide receiver thirty 90 00:04:52,640 --> 00:04:55,760 Speaker 1: five right now, playing for his fourth team in just 91 00:04:55,880 --> 00:05:00,760 Speaker 1: seven seasons already. That's so, here's the deal. Since twenty sixteen, 92 00:05:00,839 --> 00:05:05,440 Speaker 1: cook has caught at least eight passes three times. Three times. 93 00:05:05,440 --> 00:05:07,680 Speaker 1: He's had at least eight catches in a game in 94 00:05:07,720 --> 00:05:12,200 Speaker 1: a game since DeAndre Hopkins did it five times last year. 95 00:05:12,440 --> 00:05:15,679 Speaker 1: This is a massive, massive downgrade at the wide receiver 96 00:05:15,760 --> 00:05:18,760 Speaker 1: one position. Uh seventy one percent of Cooks his games 97 00:05:18,839 --> 00:05:21,200 Speaker 1: last year or outside of the top three at wide receiver. 98 00:05:23,000 --> 00:05:25,080 Speaker 1: That's a killer in the guillotine format in particular. And 99 00:05:25,160 --> 00:05:27,640 Speaker 1: how well will he he compliment will Fuller. I don't 100 00:05:27,640 --> 00:05:30,240 Speaker 1: think they compliment each other very well. They're very somewhat 101 00:05:30,320 --> 00:05:33,600 Speaker 1: similar players than that last as in they're both injured 102 00:05:33,640 --> 00:05:37,480 Speaker 1: all the time. Last year, Fuller had performances ranging from 103 00:05:37,520 --> 00:05:41,479 Speaker 1: six yards to two d and seventeen yards, basically a 104 00:05:41,520 --> 00:05:46,120 Speaker 1: microcosm of his career twin healthy. The highest upside guy 105 00:05:46,160 --> 00:05:50,440 Speaker 1: from me on Houston is Randall Cob going two wide 106 00:05:50,440 --> 00:05:54,000 Speaker 1: receiver seventy seven, had a career high fifteen point one 107 00:05:54,080 --> 00:05:57,719 Speaker 1: yards per catch last year. Deshaun Watson could be a 108 00:05:57,760 --> 00:05:59,839 Speaker 1: better quarterback than Aaron Rodgers down the line kind of 109 00:05:59,880 --> 00:06:02,719 Speaker 1: his safety blanket for a guy under a massive darrest. 110 00:06:02,760 --> 00:06:06,080 Speaker 1: So I'll mention this about Cob he got He was 111 00:06:06,120 --> 00:06:07,960 Speaker 1: one of those guys and it happens every year that 112 00:06:08,160 --> 00:06:11,000 Speaker 1: happened to get tackled like inside the three a bunch 113 00:06:11,080 --> 00:06:13,440 Speaker 1: of times. He happened to get a bunch of touchdown 114 00:06:13,480 --> 00:06:15,560 Speaker 1: at least a couple of touchdowns called back on penalty. 115 00:06:15,960 --> 00:06:17,960 Speaker 1: He was um. He was a guy I kept using 116 00:06:18,000 --> 00:06:21,720 Speaker 1: him as might take a chance on me receivers in 117 00:06:21,760 --> 00:06:24,480 Speaker 1: this show during the season. Well, I didn't like two times. 118 00:06:24,760 --> 00:06:27,400 Speaker 1: And I remember one touchdown U at near the end 119 00:06:27,400 --> 00:06:30,160 Speaker 1: of the last year where it's like second play of 120 00:06:30,200 --> 00:06:33,960 Speaker 1: the game, touchdown on a lock sixty five yard touchdown 121 00:06:33,960 --> 00:06:36,640 Speaker 1: called back on penalty, And so I was watching him 122 00:06:36,640 --> 00:06:38,320 Speaker 1: a little more closely, and I think you're right. I 123 00:06:38,320 --> 00:06:40,720 Speaker 1: think Cobbs got some nice upside. And you've got these 124 00:06:40,720 --> 00:06:44,840 Speaker 1: two downfield burners right in, Cooks and Fuller. They're gonna 125 00:06:44,960 --> 00:06:48,080 Speaker 1: drag defenses back away from the line of scrimmage. And 126 00:06:48,080 --> 00:06:52,000 Speaker 1: here's underneath guy Randall Cobb. I like it, and then 127 00:06:52,080 --> 00:06:54,560 Speaker 1: doing a nut so big contract too. They plan to 128 00:06:54,640 --> 00:06:57,479 Speaker 1: use him. And if Cooks or or if or I'm sorry, 129 00:06:57,520 --> 00:06:59,680 Speaker 1: when Cooks or a puller to get hurt, can he 130 00:06:59,720 --> 00:07:02,000 Speaker 1: still steps in for one of those guys and they 131 00:07:02,000 --> 00:07:03,520 Speaker 1: don't miss a beat really when it comes to the 132 00:07:03,560 --> 00:07:05,599 Speaker 1: cop so uh And believe it or not, I don't 133 00:07:05,600 --> 00:07:07,560 Speaker 1: want to talk about tight ends with the Texans, even 134 00:07:07,600 --> 00:07:10,040 Speaker 1: though Darren Fell has had some decent games um like 135 00:07:10,080 --> 00:07:12,040 Speaker 1: Wave any Wave any more tight ends this year than that. 136 00:07:12,080 --> 00:07:14,560 Speaker 1: But Shawn Watson we obviously have to talk about. He 137 00:07:14,720 --> 00:07:17,480 Speaker 1: is the massive downside player on this team at his 138 00:07:17,520 --> 00:07:20,400 Speaker 1: a DP. Even though it's dropped a quarterback six, he 139 00:07:20,480 --> 00:07:24,160 Speaker 1: was always watching at how it's Russell Wilson, Uh Kyler 140 00:07:24,240 --> 00:07:28,480 Speaker 1: Murray and Dak Prescott have Yep, leap frogged Watson and 141 00:07:28,600 --> 00:07:30,640 Speaker 1: uh it says this again about the wide receivers. There's 142 00:07:30,720 --> 00:07:33,760 Speaker 1: intrigue with these guys, but there's no denying the loss 143 00:07:33,760 --> 00:07:37,640 Speaker 1: of Hopkins hurts and the floor is way lower. How well, again, 144 00:07:37,640 --> 00:07:39,960 Speaker 1: how well will Cooks and Fuller compliment each other? I'm 145 00:07:39,960 --> 00:07:42,640 Speaker 1: gonna guess not Well. Can one carry the load if 146 00:07:42,680 --> 00:07:46,160 Speaker 1: another goes down to injury? The answer is no. Can 147 00:07:46,200 --> 00:07:48,440 Speaker 1: Watson would standing other season if Tunsel puts on his 148 00:07:48,640 --> 00:07:52,600 Speaker 1: bomb mask and the line regresses. No, Well, maybe, I 149 00:07:52,600 --> 00:07:55,560 Speaker 1: mean maybe Watson was always good with the worst offensive life. 150 00:07:55,600 --> 00:07:57,880 Speaker 1: He was good, but he was getting his ass kicked. 151 00:07:57,880 --> 00:08:00,680 Speaker 1: Basically that those hits are a thing up big time. 152 00:08:00,760 --> 00:08:03,000 Speaker 1: So that's it for the Texans. It's a sticky one. 153 00:08:03,000 --> 00:08:05,280 Speaker 1: It's a brand new team essentially, and in many ways 154 00:08:05,320 --> 00:08:07,400 Speaker 1: it really is. All right, let's let's go to Tennessee. 155 00:08:07,440 --> 00:08:10,640 Speaker 1: This is a team that is very similar to last 156 00:08:10,720 --> 00:08:15,280 Speaker 1: year's squad, with really only one notable personnel exception, and 157 00:08:15,320 --> 00:08:19,360 Speaker 1: that's Delaney Walker gone, which gives an opportunity to John O. Smith, 158 00:08:19,400 --> 00:08:21,800 Speaker 1: who is one of my favorite sleepers, and Delaney Walker 159 00:08:21,840 --> 00:08:25,600 Speaker 1: didn't play most of last u UM Titans were literally 160 00:08:25,600 --> 00:08:28,440 Speaker 1: the most balanced offense in the NFL last year, forty 161 00:08:28,520 --> 00:08:32,120 Speaker 1: nine point eight percent running plays, fifty point two percent 162 00:08:32,200 --> 00:08:34,680 Speaker 1: passing plays. They're in three more pass plays than run 163 00:08:34,679 --> 00:08:38,600 Speaker 1: plays last year. Arthur Smith runs that offense. He's getting 164 00:08:38,640 --> 00:08:40,880 Speaker 1: some early buzz. Is one of the big next head 165 00:08:40,920 --> 00:08:46,520 Speaker 1: coaching candidates Detroit UM and he's also the heir to 166 00:08:46,600 --> 00:08:49,880 Speaker 1: the FedEx throne. What do you mean his dad is 167 00:08:49,920 --> 00:08:56,520 Speaker 1: the founder of FedEx? Yeah, shut up, Wow, that's crazy. 168 00:08:56,600 --> 00:08:59,800 Speaker 1: So he's have you ever heard he's ridiculously rich no 169 00:09:00,000 --> 00:09:03,120 Speaker 1: matter what happens. He doesn't need that. He's not coaching 170 00:09:03,160 --> 00:09:05,760 Speaker 1: for the money. So did you guys ever hear this 171 00:09:05,760 --> 00:09:07,560 Speaker 1: story about FedEx? Somebody can tell me if this is 172 00:09:07,559 --> 00:09:10,520 Speaker 1: true or not. But I I remember hearing years ago 173 00:09:10,679 --> 00:09:13,200 Speaker 1: that when FedEx was in its infancy and the company 174 00:09:13,240 --> 00:09:17,400 Speaker 1: was near bankrupt, that the owner, apparently this guy's dad, 175 00:09:17,960 --> 00:09:21,240 Speaker 1: took all the money to Vegas and gambled his way 176 00:09:21,400 --> 00:09:24,360 Speaker 1: up from whatever, you know, whatever amount they had to 177 00:09:24,520 --> 00:09:27,600 Speaker 1: several times that gambling so that you could pay their 178 00:09:27,600 --> 00:09:30,800 Speaker 1: bills and keep FedEx alive in the early days. I 179 00:09:30,840 --> 00:09:32,440 Speaker 1: don't know if that's a true story or not, but 180 00:09:32,480 --> 00:09:34,440 Speaker 1: that's what I heard. I've also heard that a great 181 00:09:34,480 --> 00:09:37,600 Speaker 1: documentary right there be cast Away, you know, the Tom 182 00:09:37,640 --> 00:09:40,880 Speaker 1: Hanks movie where the bad thing happens to the FedEx 183 00:09:40,920 --> 00:09:43,680 Speaker 1: plane was actually a great thing for the brand because 184 00:09:43,679 --> 00:09:50,160 Speaker 1: it made it one of the most recognizable. How about that, um, So, 185 00:09:51,800 --> 00:09:54,160 Speaker 1: they got the best runner in the league pound for 186 00:09:54,240 --> 00:09:57,560 Speaker 1: pound as a pure runner, and that's Derrick Henry. So 187 00:09:57,640 --> 00:10:00,240 Speaker 1: why not hand it to the best pure or in 188 00:10:00,240 --> 00:10:04,280 Speaker 1: the league. Get this about Derrick Henry. Of runners with 189 00:10:04,360 --> 00:10:06,959 Speaker 1: at least a hundred and fifty rushing attempts last year, 190 00:10:07,320 --> 00:10:10,680 Speaker 1: he ranks second in yards per carry at five point 191 00:10:10,800 --> 00:10:14,040 Speaker 1: oh eight. That's pretty good. He ranks first in yards 192 00:10:14,040 --> 00:10:17,600 Speaker 1: after contact per rushing attempt at four point two. After 193 00:10:17,720 --> 00:10:22,280 Speaker 1: touched he gains four yards. He gets angry. He was 194 00:10:22,440 --> 00:10:27,719 Speaker 1: fourth in average tackles avoided, and he does. I think 195 00:10:27,720 --> 00:10:30,960 Speaker 1: guys are just scared. And most importantly, Pro Football Focus 196 00:10:31,040 --> 00:10:34,640 Speaker 1: puts a measure on fantasy points per snap. He was 197 00:10:34,720 --> 00:10:37,880 Speaker 1: second in the league only behind Austin Ekeler last year, 198 00:10:37,960 --> 00:10:42,560 Speaker 1: even in pr even in PPR UM So, it's easy 199 00:10:42,600 --> 00:10:44,559 Speaker 1: to target Derrick Henry. We were not going to talk 200 00:10:44,600 --> 00:10:47,080 Speaker 1: about that. It's easy to target a J. Brown too, 201 00:10:47,080 --> 00:10:48,640 Speaker 1: And he's the guy that I want to target on 202 00:10:48,720 --> 00:10:51,640 Speaker 1: this offense. A J. Brown was fourth in the league 203 00:10:51,640 --> 00:10:55,720 Speaker 1: with five yard outings last year. He tied for ninth 204 00:10:55,800 --> 00:10:59,000 Speaker 1: with eight receiving touchdowns and at the most long ball 205 00:10:59,040 --> 00:11:01,880 Speaker 1: touchdowns of four plus yards in the league with four. 206 00:11:03,160 --> 00:11:06,120 Speaker 1: He was a rookie. He was a rookie. He had 207 00:11:06,200 --> 00:11:10,480 Speaker 1: just over twenty yards per reception. He only had eighty 208 00:11:10,520 --> 00:11:13,920 Speaker 1: four targets last year. He only he barely used him 209 00:11:13,920 --> 00:11:16,040 Speaker 1: in the first third of the season. He only had 210 00:11:16,080 --> 00:11:19,800 Speaker 1: fifty two receptions last year. In year two, you gotta 211 00:11:19,840 --> 00:11:22,679 Speaker 1: think he cracks a hundred targets. And if he cracks 212 00:11:22,720 --> 00:11:24,880 Speaker 1: a hundred targets, the sky's the limit for this guy. 213 00:11:24,920 --> 00:11:26,600 Speaker 1: And I don't know if he saw the pictures on 214 00:11:26,600 --> 00:11:30,920 Speaker 1: Twitter a few weeks ago. He is absolutely ripped, absolutely 215 00:11:31,000 --> 00:11:33,560 Speaker 1: and he dealt with a quarterback changes a rookie too. 216 00:11:33,640 --> 00:11:36,680 Speaker 1: That's true. UM. And although I think you could probably 217 00:11:36,720 --> 00:11:41,120 Speaker 1: plot his you know his development Marcus Benched and Tannehill 218 00:11:41,160 --> 00:11:43,800 Speaker 1: coming in, UM, but you're still working with Mariota all 219 00:11:43,840 --> 00:11:46,760 Speaker 1: summer long and what it would have. So I'm gonna 220 00:11:46,840 --> 00:11:51,360 Speaker 1: avoid Ryan Tannehill in my drafts. And I knew always 221 00:11:50,320 --> 00:11:54,480 Speaker 1: it's personal. One time I was carrying a baby in 222 00:11:54,520 --> 00:11:56,959 Speaker 1: a box full of puppies into a building. Tannehill is 223 00:11:56,960 --> 00:12:00,360 Speaker 1: at the door. He could have opened it. No, he locked, 224 00:12:00,920 --> 00:12:03,760 Speaker 1: pointed and laughed at me and then set you on fire. Yeah. Um. 225 00:12:04,600 --> 00:12:07,719 Speaker 1: The good things about Tannehill he had eleven multi touchdown 226 00:12:07,760 --> 00:12:10,280 Speaker 1: games in thirteen starts, which is, by the way, it 227 00:12:10,400 --> 00:12:14,000 Speaker 1: is great. Yeah, it is. Uh. He absolutely tore up 228 00:12:14,320 --> 00:12:17,880 Speaker 1: some really bad defenses and a few of those though, Um, 229 00:12:17,920 --> 00:12:21,240 Speaker 1: almost half of his yardage came in four games out 230 00:12:21,240 --> 00:12:24,920 Speaker 1: of those thirteen. Those four opponents were the Chargers, Carolina, 231 00:12:25,280 --> 00:12:28,040 Speaker 1: the Raiders, and Houston, who had a really bad secondary 232 00:12:28,120 --> 00:12:31,439 Speaker 1: last year. The bad about tan Hill he averaged only 233 00:12:31,480 --> 00:12:33,679 Speaker 1: two or twenty eight yards per game, and when the 234 00:12:33,679 --> 00:12:36,920 Speaker 1: Titans needed a win, he was just a caretaker quarterback. 235 00:12:37,120 --> 00:12:39,400 Speaker 1: They handed the ball off over and over again to 236 00:12:39,480 --> 00:12:42,559 Speaker 1: Derrick Henry. Over his last four games, including the playoffs, 237 00:12:43,040 --> 00:12:45,120 Speaker 1: he averaged only a hundred and forty one yards on 238 00:12:45,160 --> 00:12:49,120 Speaker 1: twenty attempts per game. So that's the that's the big downside. Um, 239 00:12:49,240 --> 00:12:52,440 Speaker 1: you're only you don't have to take him at QB nineteen, 240 00:12:52,640 --> 00:12:55,760 Speaker 1: so he's in the twelfth round. But there's some quarterbacks 241 00:12:55,800 --> 00:12:58,120 Speaker 1: that I'm going to take in either even two quarterback 242 00:12:58,200 --> 00:13:01,520 Speaker 1: situations where I'll pay two quarterback x Tannehill just won't 243 00:13:01,520 --> 00:13:03,440 Speaker 1: be one of them. Uh. And there's really not a 244 00:13:03,440 --> 00:13:05,760 Speaker 1: lot of guys. I know you love Johnnu Smith, I do. 245 00:13:05,960 --> 00:13:08,440 Speaker 1: I didn't really highlight Johnnu Smith, but I remember chart 246 00:13:08,520 --> 00:13:11,480 Speaker 1: going write a note in my calendar to say John 247 00:13:11,559 --> 00:13:14,360 Speaker 1: WU Smith way more athletic than I thought. He is true, 248 00:13:14,520 --> 00:13:17,040 Speaker 1: It's true. And then I I'm not going to divulge 249 00:13:17,120 --> 00:13:20,640 Speaker 1: my sources on this, but I've had a a team 250 00:13:20,760 --> 00:13:24,640 Speaker 1: source valid date where my head is on John New Smith. Yeah, 251 00:13:25,000 --> 00:13:26,840 Speaker 1: it is not just me. It's not in my head. 252 00:13:26,920 --> 00:13:28,640 Speaker 1: And it's part of the reason they were happy to 253 00:13:28,720 --> 00:13:31,720 Speaker 1: let de Landy walk up go is because the development 254 00:13:31,760 --> 00:13:34,640 Speaker 1: that Smith has had top ten potential and maybe does 255 00:13:34,960 --> 00:13:37,640 Speaker 1: he does. He's the second he's the number two receiver 256 00:13:38,040 --> 00:13:40,920 Speaker 1: on the Titans, absolutely, and he's almost free going off 257 00:13:40,920 --> 00:13:44,240 Speaker 1: the board at one sixty tight end nineteen right now. 258 00:13:44,320 --> 00:13:47,920 Speaker 1: So he's a second tight end on your roster, last 259 00:13:47,960 --> 00:13:50,360 Speaker 1: pick of your draft kind of a guy and you 260 00:13:50,400 --> 00:13:53,560 Speaker 1: can maybe catch I can tell a really big lottery 261 00:13:53,600 --> 00:13:55,800 Speaker 1: ticket here. I consider him a tight end a top 262 00:13:55,840 --> 00:13:59,720 Speaker 1: twelve pretty much. I'm happy to have him as a 263 00:13:59,720 --> 00:14:02,319 Speaker 1: start at that point. I believe I've got him his 264 00:14:02,400 --> 00:14:05,720 Speaker 1: tight end nine on my cheat sheet right now. Smith, Well, 265 00:14:05,720 --> 00:14:09,199 Speaker 1: the average drafters, they don't quite agree yet, but maybe 266 00:14:09,240 --> 00:14:10,839 Speaker 1: we'll change it a little bit. Well, you know what's 267 00:14:10,840 --> 00:14:13,640 Speaker 1: going to change it week one? Change it on John 268 00:14:13,720 --> 00:14:15,280 Speaker 1: Nui Smith. I don't think there's gonna be a lot 269 00:14:15,320 --> 00:14:17,439 Speaker 1: of believers between now and the end of the drifts. 270 00:14:17,480 --> 00:14:19,080 Speaker 1: The kind of guy. If there was a preseason two 271 00:14:19,120 --> 00:14:21,360 Speaker 1: where you'd have like the seventy yard touchdown on the 272 00:14:21,640 --> 00:14:24,080 Speaker 1: one of two drives that he's plays or something like that, 273 00:14:24,080 --> 00:14:26,400 Speaker 1: that could be the case. All Right, that's it for Tennessee. 274 00:14:26,520 --> 00:14:29,920 Speaker 1: All right, thank you, Matt Indianapolis. Last year, the Colts offense, 275 00:14:30,000 --> 00:14:34,640 Speaker 1: torpedoed by the limited abilities Jacoby Brissette. Incomes Philip Rivers, 276 00:14:34,680 --> 00:14:37,880 Speaker 1: who will play behind the best offensive line of his career. 277 00:14:38,480 --> 00:14:40,320 Speaker 1: It's been for you know, this has always been the 278 00:14:40,360 --> 00:14:44,560 Speaker 1: story with the Chargers forever, has been this terrible offensive line. 279 00:14:45,120 --> 00:14:47,920 Speaker 1: Now he goes to one of the best offensive lines 280 00:14:47,920 --> 00:14:51,520 Speaker 1: in football. Quietly, I think this Cold's offense primed for 281 00:14:51,600 --> 00:14:55,400 Speaker 1: a massive boost and production from last year. And every 282 00:14:55,520 --> 00:14:59,440 Speaker 1: Colt except one is a bargain compared to a DP 283 00:14:59,680 --> 00:15:03,360 Speaker 1: right now. So why will the Colts be better? Obviously 284 00:15:03,440 --> 00:15:05,720 Speaker 1: the significant upgraded quarterback, no matter how you feel about 285 00:15:05,720 --> 00:15:09,840 Speaker 1: Philip Rivers, he's way better than Jacoby Brissette. And you 286 00:15:09,880 --> 00:15:12,640 Speaker 1: get the upgraded running back with Jonathan Taylor. You get 287 00:15:12,680 --> 00:15:15,960 Speaker 1: a back to healthy t Y Hilton, you get a 288 00:15:16,000 --> 00:15:18,480 Speaker 1: second year from Paris Campbell. You get a second round 289 00:15:18,480 --> 00:15:22,520 Speaker 1: Wookie receiver in Michael Pittman, who was somebody. Wookie receiver 290 00:15:25,000 --> 00:15:31,120 Speaker 1: would be a red zone powerhouse. Would at football? I 291 00:15:31,360 --> 00:15:34,200 Speaker 1: think of him as a tight end. Oh, he'd be devastating. 292 00:15:34,240 --> 00:15:36,840 Speaker 1: I think George Kittle is a shame jew. Basically, I 293 00:15:36,880 --> 00:15:41,200 Speaker 1: think George k maybe that's worried about the face mask penalty, 294 00:15:41,280 --> 00:15:43,800 Speaker 1: is actually pulling a head for people. Yeah, that would 295 00:15:43,800 --> 00:15:47,120 Speaker 1: be a problem. I expect a lot of running and 296 00:15:47,240 --> 00:15:50,960 Speaker 1: a frustratingly mixed committee backfield. So remember this is a 297 00:15:50,960 --> 00:15:53,920 Speaker 1: frank Right offense. He comes from the Doug Peterson tree 298 00:15:53,960 --> 00:15:57,320 Speaker 1: of time share runners. Fantasy owners want Jonathan Taylor to 299 00:15:57,360 --> 00:16:01,280 Speaker 1: get of the work. It's just not likely to happen 300 00:16:01,400 --> 00:16:05,560 Speaker 1: unless Jonathan Taylor is just so mind bogglingly good. They 301 00:16:05,640 --> 00:16:08,280 Speaker 1: can't they can't take him off the field, which is 302 00:16:08,320 --> 00:16:12,040 Speaker 1: possible because he's really good. But the more likely scenarios 303 00:16:12,120 --> 00:16:14,800 Speaker 1: that Marlon Mack and Nike Hines are gonna see plenty 304 00:16:14,840 --> 00:16:18,520 Speaker 1: of work. Last year, Matt got six of the running 305 00:16:18,560 --> 00:16:23,320 Speaker 1: back Carr's Jonathan Taylor gets at least, but probably not 306 00:16:23,480 --> 00:16:25,800 Speaker 1: a lot lot more than that. And I think we're 307 00:16:25,800 --> 00:16:27,120 Speaker 1: still going to see a lot of Mac and a 308 00:16:27,200 --> 00:16:29,760 Speaker 1: lot of Hynes. And they've said as much so. And 309 00:16:29,840 --> 00:16:31,680 Speaker 1: this is the time of year when coaches tend to 310 00:16:31,680 --> 00:16:36,720 Speaker 1: be more honest. You get straighter answers in late spring, 311 00:16:36,800 --> 00:16:39,160 Speaker 1: early summer, then you get in August, and in August 312 00:16:39,200 --> 00:16:45,920 Speaker 1: are all liars. Now with the season's farther away there, 313 00:16:45,960 --> 00:16:48,200 Speaker 1: you know, you get more honest answers from coaches. I 314 00:16:48,240 --> 00:16:50,480 Speaker 1: heard a random fact to it real quick about Taylor. 315 00:16:50,840 --> 00:16:55,440 Speaker 1: He and Michael Bennett last I heard in jail, by 316 00:16:55,480 --> 00:16:58,920 Speaker 1: the way, the only two I think players definitely running 317 00:16:58,920 --> 00:17:01,480 Speaker 1: backs to Weave, wiscons In early. I think it was 318 00:17:01,560 --> 00:17:05,000 Speaker 1: players though, like to go to the NFL Draft. No way, 319 00:17:05,160 --> 00:17:08,600 Speaker 1: that can't be true. Their program is pretty rock solid 320 00:17:08,640 --> 00:17:11,439 Speaker 1: in that that regard. I don't know they don't let 321 00:17:11,480 --> 00:17:14,200 Speaker 1: you out. Yeah, apparently. I don't know they have a 322 00:17:14,280 --> 00:17:17,199 Speaker 1: lock on the door too much there. I'm sure we 323 00:17:17,240 --> 00:17:20,120 Speaker 1: have many Wisconsin listeners. Please let us know if that's true. 324 00:17:20,240 --> 00:17:23,520 Speaker 1: Philip Rivers enters his seventeenth season. His play was down 325 00:17:23,520 --> 00:17:25,679 Speaker 1: across the board last year in almost every category. He 326 00:17:25,720 --> 00:17:28,720 Speaker 1: was especially bad in deep ball passing situations, which is 327 00:17:28,760 --> 00:17:31,120 Speaker 1: normally one of his calling cards. But he played behind 328 00:17:31,160 --> 00:17:34,440 Speaker 1: Pro Football Focus his thirty first ranked pass blocking line 329 00:17:34,520 --> 00:17:38,600 Speaker 1: last year, and he had the fourth shortest average time 330 00:17:38,640 --> 00:17:42,120 Speaker 1: to throw at just two point four seconds per pass. 331 00:17:42,520 --> 00:17:46,280 Speaker 1: All of that changes this year again, really much much 332 00:17:46,320 --> 00:17:49,760 Speaker 1: better offensive line. And I look at all the diversity 333 00:17:49,760 --> 00:17:52,560 Speaker 1: of targets that he's got, and it reminds me to 334 00:17:52,840 --> 00:17:56,280 Speaker 1: prime Rivers when he had you know, Antonio Gates over 335 00:17:56,320 --> 00:17:59,359 Speaker 1: here and Keenan Allen over here and Vincent Jackson over here. 336 00:17:59,760 --> 00:18:03,359 Speaker 1: I think he's got a similar array of talented receivers 337 00:18:03,440 --> 00:18:06,880 Speaker 1: this season. So I like Philip Rivers in this passing 338 00:18:06,880 --> 00:18:09,480 Speaker 1: game to perform well. I don't think he's gonna throw 339 00:18:09,480 --> 00:18:11,919 Speaker 1: his arm out of socket in in year seventeen, but 340 00:18:12,000 --> 00:18:14,000 Speaker 1: I do think he's going to be much more efficient 341 00:18:14,040 --> 00:18:17,000 Speaker 1: this season. T Y Hilton remains the top wide receiver. 342 00:18:17,040 --> 00:18:19,840 Speaker 1: He's in a contract year. Injury sapped last season, but 343 00:18:19,880 --> 00:18:22,879 Speaker 1: he should rebound nicely here. Michael Pittman will play the 344 00:18:22,960 --> 00:18:24,840 Speaker 1: role of Vince and Jackson. He's a big bodied kid 345 00:18:24,880 --> 00:18:27,840 Speaker 1: with downfield speed and route running and with all due 346 00:18:27,840 --> 00:18:31,959 Speaker 1: respect to Trey Burton, Jack Doyle should see an upset 347 00:18:32,040 --> 00:18:35,479 Speaker 1: uptick and touchdown potential with Eric Ebron gone unless they 348 00:18:35,520 --> 00:18:38,199 Speaker 1: simply decided to let Trey Burton run all of the 349 00:18:38,200 --> 00:18:42,280 Speaker 1: Ebron routes. But I don't know that that's possible. Highest 350 00:18:42,400 --> 00:18:47,440 Speaker 1: risk player I basically nobody, because there every colt is 351 00:18:47,520 --> 00:18:49,960 Speaker 1: really is really pretty far down. But who's the highest 352 00:18:50,000 --> 00:18:52,800 Speaker 1: guy in adpe? It's Jonathan Actually, t Y Hilton is 353 00:18:52,800 --> 00:18:55,000 Speaker 1: going a couple of picks before Jonathan Taylor would surprise me. 354 00:18:55,240 --> 00:18:57,200 Speaker 1: But Jonathan Taylor is the guy that I'll identify because 355 00:18:57,200 --> 00:18:58,439 Speaker 1: I do think you have to. You gotta pick one 356 00:18:58,440 --> 00:19:00,920 Speaker 1: guy for this game, and the highest screw Taylor pick 357 00:19:01,040 --> 00:19:03,600 Speaker 1: his Taylor again coming off the board in the fifth 358 00:19:03,680 --> 00:19:06,280 Speaker 1: round right now, which to me feels right. But you 359 00:19:06,359 --> 00:19:09,680 Speaker 1: watch the rookie running backs. As the season gets closer, 360 00:19:09,720 --> 00:19:12,679 Speaker 1: I'll start nudging up. Be careful if you see Jonathan 361 00:19:12,680 --> 00:19:15,960 Speaker 1: Taylor good into the fourth round, third round, Um, I 362 00:19:16,040 --> 00:19:18,280 Speaker 1: just worry about the rotation of bacts, the upside player 363 00:19:18,800 --> 00:19:21,640 Speaker 1: and one of my favorite sleepers in all of Fame football. 364 00:19:24,080 --> 00:19:27,800 Speaker 1: Hold on, well, he's French in that his name is parents. 365 00:19:27,800 --> 00:19:33,800 Speaker 1: That's what I thought. The Cults have a long line 366 00:19:33,840 --> 00:19:45,720 Speaker 1: of its right. Uh. Second last year, Pierre Campbell lost 367 00:19:45,800 --> 00:19:47,960 Speaker 1: most of last year to the broken hand. He's fast, 368 00:19:48,040 --> 00:19:50,920 Speaker 1: he's strong. He reminds me of Percy Harvin. He's going. 369 00:19:51,040 --> 00:19:52,840 Speaker 1: He has the potential to be much better. He'll play 370 00:19:52,840 --> 00:19:54,800 Speaker 1: out of the slot and he's currently going off the 371 00:19:54,840 --> 00:19:57,840 Speaker 1: board and round number fourteen. Keep in mind if you 372 00:19:57,880 --> 00:20:00,920 Speaker 1: liked Keenan Allen's production, Keenan Allen runs half his place 373 00:20:00,960 --> 00:20:03,160 Speaker 1: from the slot, and we know that Philip Rivers can 374 00:20:03,160 --> 00:20:07,080 Speaker 1: feed that slot position, so we should call him Perry Campbell. 375 00:20:07,080 --> 00:20:11,639 Speaker 1: Perry Campbell, Perry Como Campbell. When we come back, we 376 00:20:11,680 --> 00:20:15,080 Speaker 1: will talk about the Jacksonville Jaguars briefly. There's not a 377 00:20:15,119 --> 00:20:19,360 Speaker 1: lot to talk about, sir. Let's hope it's brief. Then 378 00:20:19,480 --> 00:20:22,679 Speaker 1: we'll turn our attention to the Saints and the Falcons, 379 00:20:22,720 --> 00:20:25,480 Speaker 1: which I think are a lot more fascinating offenses all 380 00:20:25,520 --> 00:20:31,879 Speaker 1: the sumar Fantasy Football Weekly. Back in moments, Welcome back 381 00:20:31,880 --> 00:20:34,800 Speaker 1: to Fantasy Football Weekly. Paul Georgie and Brian Johnson and 382 00:20:34,880 --> 00:20:38,040 Speaker 1: Matt Harrison with you. We are going through the teams 383 00:20:38,040 --> 00:20:39,960 Speaker 1: of the a f C South and the NFC South, 384 00:20:40,040 --> 00:20:42,760 Speaker 1: talking about how these offenses operate and identifying our play 385 00:20:42,880 --> 00:20:47,520 Speaker 1: favorite upside and downside players from these teams. We've already 386 00:20:47,560 --> 00:20:51,800 Speaker 1: knocked down Houston, Tennessee in Indianapolis. Now we turn our 387 00:20:51,840 --> 00:20:54,680 Speaker 1: attention to the dregs of the FC South and that 388 00:20:54,920 --> 00:20:57,600 Speaker 1: is the Jacksonville Jaguars. Now they are the dregs of 389 00:20:57,640 --> 00:21:00,000 Speaker 1: the South in reality football, but when it comes to 390 00:21:00,080 --> 00:21:03,440 Speaker 1: fantasy football, there is some potential on this team. Um 391 00:21:03,480 --> 00:21:06,680 Speaker 1: in Chris Thompson, running back out, Nick Foles and Marquise 392 00:21:06,800 --> 00:21:09,240 Speaker 1: Lee on a major impact player. Anyway, they did draft 393 00:21:09,320 --> 00:21:12,240 Speaker 1: Lavishka Chenault wide receiver in the second round out of Colorado. 394 00:21:12,320 --> 00:21:14,840 Speaker 1: I'm enticed by him. We'll get to him shortly for sure. 395 00:21:15,080 --> 00:21:18,960 Speaker 1: Last year, the Jaguars passing play percentage was six that 396 00:21:19,000 --> 00:21:21,639 Speaker 1: was the ninth highest in the NFL. UH there rushing 397 00:21:21,640 --> 00:21:25,199 Speaker 1: play percentage was thirty eight. That was twenty four so 398 00:21:25,280 --> 00:21:27,760 Speaker 1: let's talk about the running backs. Are running back I 399 00:21:27,800 --> 00:21:29,960 Speaker 1: should say that we'll mention two of them. But Leonard 400 00:21:30,000 --> 00:21:32,600 Speaker 1: Fournette right now, thirty first overall going off the board 401 00:21:32,600 --> 00:21:36,120 Speaker 1: at RB seventeen, had some I popping PPR numbers last 402 00:21:36,160 --> 00:21:40,600 Speaker 1: year Statistics catches five among running backs, but quite simply 403 00:21:40,880 --> 00:21:42,920 Speaker 1: don't bank on a repeat of that. With Chris Thompson 404 00:21:42,920 --> 00:21:45,400 Speaker 1: in town and j Cruden his offensive coordinator, his old 405 00:21:45,400 --> 00:21:49,640 Speaker 1: friend from Washington pass catching specialist, so I'm not expecting 406 00:21:49,800 --> 00:21:51,639 Speaker 1: for me to repeat those numbers. Now, let's get to 407 00:21:51,680 --> 00:21:54,600 Speaker 1: him running the ball. Where he scored his three rushing 408 00:21:54,640 --> 00:21:57,880 Speaker 1: touchdowns last year. Now that seems like an anomaly considering 409 00:21:57,920 --> 00:21:59,520 Speaker 1: all the carries he had and the fact that he 410 00:21:59,520 --> 00:22:01,720 Speaker 1: got all the inside the five and he couldn't get 411 00:22:01,720 --> 00:22:04,560 Speaker 1: the job done inside the five. Clearly though um Jacksonville 412 00:22:04,600 --> 00:22:06,320 Speaker 1: does return all five stars on their old line, but 413 00:22:06,359 --> 00:22:08,680 Speaker 1: they were ranked twenty six by Pro Football Focus. That's 414 00:22:08,680 --> 00:22:10,600 Speaker 1: not good, So maybe they wanted some new guys to 415 00:22:10,640 --> 00:22:13,200 Speaker 1: come in. Now you factor in the negative game scripts, 416 00:22:13,280 --> 00:22:15,640 Speaker 1: Jacksonville is likely gonna face with the you know they're 417 00:22:15,640 --> 00:22:19,280 Speaker 1: gonna be down by the end of the As a 418 00:22:19,359 --> 00:22:21,800 Speaker 1: reminder of how poorly managed. This team has been there 419 00:22:21,920 --> 00:22:24,920 Speaker 1: two years removed from having the best defense in the NFL, 420 00:22:25,359 --> 00:22:27,760 Speaker 1: and now they were sniff in the Super Bowl, right 421 00:22:27,760 --> 00:22:29,960 Speaker 1: they were. They were moments away from getting to the 422 00:22:30,000 --> 00:22:35,040 Speaker 1: Super Bowl. Base basic. That's the point, largely on their defense, 423 00:22:35,119 --> 00:22:36,840 Speaker 1: and now that offense is so bad. It's all the 424 00:22:36,880 --> 00:22:40,400 Speaker 1: negative game scripts you're referring to, and there's a plethora 425 00:22:40,640 --> 00:22:43,640 Speaker 1: of negative underlying stats for Leonard Fournette. I'm gonna give 426 00:22:43,640 --> 00:22:46,040 Speaker 1: you my favorite one from war and Sharp. Who is 427 00:22:46,160 --> 00:22:49,240 Speaker 1: the man? I love Warren Sharp on seventy five first 428 00:22:49,240 --> 00:22:52,240 Speaker 1: down rushes in the first half last year, so that's 429 00:22:52,320 --> 00:22:55,280 Speaker 1: you know you're fresh first down, that's when the running 430 00:22:55,320 --> 00:22:57,080 Speaker 1: back and easy to get the job done right. Two 431 00:22:57,160 --> 00:23:03,720 Speaker 1: point seven yards per carry success rate, four broken tackles 432 00:23:04,440 --> 00:23:08,320 Speaker 1: dead last of forty one qualifying running backs was Leonard Fournette, 433 00:23:08,359 --> 00:23:11,720 Speaker 1: the fourth overall pick in the NFL draft not long ago. 434 00:23:11,800 --> 00:23:14,840 Speaker 1: So he is my downside player for sure, even though 435 00:23:14,880 --> 00:23:17,040 Speaker 1: he is going later than he was last year. I 436 00:23:17,080 --> 00:23:19,439 Speaker 1: see the floor is very scary. They kind of like 437 00:23:19,560 --> 00:23:24,240 Speaker 1: Rickel Armstead too in Jacksonville. So I am out on 438 00:23:24,320 --> 00:23:28,200 Speaker 1: Leonard four Nett, but I am all in on Gardner, Minshew, 439 00:23:28,280 --> 00:23:33,080 Speaker 1: he is your quarterback too, you were before Matt u alright, Mishue, 440 00:23:33,160 --> 00:23:37,040 Speaker 1: right now, that Mississippi mustache quarterback twenty six, right now, 441 00:23:37,080 --> 00:23:39,760 Speaker 1: Gardner Minshe was going off the board um last year 442 00:23:39,800 --> 00:23:42,800 Speaker 1: the tenth most passing touchdowns by a rookie since the merger. 443 00:23:42,920 --> 00:23:45,560 Speaker 1: Gardner Minshew had in fourteen games, by the way, and 444 00:23:45,560 --> 00:23:47,760 Speaker 1: he didn't start all of those games. He came in 445 00:23:47,760 --> 00:23:51,240 Speaker 1: a couple per Pro Football Focus, the highest graded quarterbacks 446 00:23:51,240 --> 00:23:54,320 Speaker 1: on throws twenty plus yards downfield in twenty nineteen, Russell 447 00:23:54,359 --> 00:23:58,359 Speaker 1: Wilson number one, DeShawn Watson number two, Pat not not 448 00:23:58,359 --> 00:24:03,360 Speaker 1: Patrick Mahomes. Gardner Minshew three. We're gonna be calling him. 449 00:24:03,520 --> 00:24:07,119 Speaker 1: You're gonna love this Matt gardenage time this season, with 450 00:24:07,200 --> 00:24:11,840 Speaker 1: all the numbers are in garbage time, you could just 451 00:24:11,880 --> 00:24:17,160 Speaker 1: call him garbage time garbage Minshew. No, because you don't 452 00:24:17,160 --> 00:24:20,000 Speaker 1: get it, and don't forget that he can run. He 453 00:24:20,119 --> 00:24:22,200 Speaker 1: can he can in rushing yards last year and only 454 00:24:22,200 --> 00:24:24,520 Speaker 1: fourteen games, twenty four point five per game. That's more 455 00:24:24,560 --> 00:24:27,600 Speaker 1: than half a passing touchdown tacked onto his numbers. Quarterback 456 00:24:27,640 --> 00:24:31,119 Speaker 1: twenty six and again or not again. Lastly, Jay Gruden 457 00:24:31,160 --> 00:24:33,919 Speaker 1: the o c. Here are the quarterbacks he's coached in 458 00:24:33,880 --> 00:24:38,399 Speaker 1: the past years and their fantasy finishes. Kirk Cousins quarterback eight, 459 00:24:39,280 --> 00:24:46,560 Speaker 1: quarterback five, seventeen, quarterback six, Andy Dalton quarterback fifteen, quarterback twelve, 460 00:24:47,640 --> 00:24:52,520 Speaker 1: quarterback five. All right, and that's what you're starting to 461 00:24:52,640 --> 00:24:54,520 Speaker 1: you're starting to make me think about. That is like 462 00:24:54,560 --> 00:24:57,879 Speaker 1: the ideal best ball. Second quarterback to me Gardener and 463 00:24:58,000 --> 00:25:01,480 Speaker 1: that's perfect best ball. But U, I'm growing more fond 464 00:25:01,480 --> 00:25:03,040 Speaker 1: of Garner Minshew and doesn't have to do anything with 465 00:25:03,080 --> 00:25:05,240 Speaker 1: the Georgs for the must hash, it's actually the football. 466 00:25:05,359 --> 00:25:07,760 Speaker 1: So you must like d J. Chark his number un receiver. 467 00:25:07,880 --> 00:25:11,120 Speaker 1: I do. Yeah. Last year, Uh, weeks one through nine, 468 00:25:11,160 --> 00:25:14,960 Speaker 1: wide receiver three overall suffered that leg injury. Weekden wasn't 469 00:25:15,000 --> 00:25:16,960 Speaker 1: the same, tried to come back, shut it down early. 470 00:25:17,480 --> 00:25:19,680 Speaker 1: Uh he he looks like an absolute beast win healthy. 471 00:25:19,760 --> 00:25:21,600 Speaker 1: I did see he had like one of the lowest 472 00:25:21,720 --> 00:25:26,000 Speaker 1: contested catch rates, which is in an ideal stat But uh, 473 00:25:26,160 --> 00:25:29,040 Speaker 1: at wide receiver twenty three, I mean we as I 474 00:25:29,080 --> 00:25:31,240 Speaker 1: just said wide receiver three the first half of the season. 475 00:25:31,240 --> 00:25:33,199 Speaker 1: There if there's upside there at this town. So I 476 00:25:33,240 --> 00:25:35,119 Speaker 1: like Chark. He was gonna be my pick, but I 477 00:25:35,119 --> 00:25:38,960 Speaker 1: had to go with Minshew d d Westbrook. This is easy. 478 00:25:39,480 --> 00:25:44,080 Speaker 1: Hundred and one targets, sixty six catches, hundred and one targets, 479 00:25:44,080 --> 00:25:46,800 Speaker 1: sixty six catches, So you know he's gonna do this year. 480 00:25:47,400 --> 00:25:49,560 Speaker 1: At wide receiver sixty four, You're you're getting what you 481 00:25:49,600 --> 00:25:52,639 Speaker 1: pay for. And Elaviska Chennault I like him too as 482 00:25:52,640 --> 00:25:56,040 Speaker 1: a prospect. I'm nervous about all rookie wide receivers this 483 00:25:56,119 --> 00:26:00,000 Speaker 1: year with the lack of training camp are not training 484 00:26:00,040 --> 00:26:03,520 Speaker 1: camp mini camps. So he has all the talent in 485 00:26:03,520 --> 00:26:06,240 Speaker 1: the world and I'm living the passing game. He certainly 486 00:26:06,280 --> 00:26:09,600 Speaker 1: draft able, rosterable and redraft dynasty of course, but uh, 487 00:26:10,040 --> 00:26:12,000 Speaker 1: wide receiver seventy eight right now, So he's a great 488 00:26:12,040 --> 00:26:14,600 Speaker 1: last late round Dart and Tyler Effort. I want to 489 00:26:14,640 --> 00:26:16,720 Speaker 1: talk about him, but he just can't stay healthy. What's 490 00:26:16,720 --> 00:26:18,920 Speaker 1: the So who's the riskiest player and who's the upside? 491 00:26:18,960 --> 00:26:23,760 Speaker 1: Riskiest was for net and upside was Minshew Man QB 492 00:26:23,880 --> 00:26:27,359 Speaker 1: twenty six, Minshew Mania. He's a top twelve potential all 493 00:26:27,359 --> 00:26:30,040 Speaker 1: the way. Let's go to the Saints, Matt this is 494 00:26:30,160 --> 00:26:33,280 Speaker 1: uh still a Drew Drew Brees led offense Alvid Kamara. There, 495 00:26:33,320 --> 00:26:35,760 Speaker 1: of course, just a couple of new couple of new names, 496 00:26:35,800 --> 00:26:37,960 Speaker 1: not a lot. Yeah, let's talk about how this Uh, 497 00:26:38,040 --> 00:26:40,480 Speaker 1: let's talk about how this offense is gonna work. You know, 498 00:26:40,560 --> 00:26:42,879 Speaker 1: I think it's gonna be pretty darn similar to the 499 00:26:42,920 --> 00:26:45,960 Speaker 1: last three years where the Saints are hovering around forty 500 00:26:46,040 --> 00:26:51,200 Speaker 1: six percent run fifty pass. This isn't the Saints often 501 00:26:51,480 --> 00:26:54,560 Speaker 1: when they turned off the passing after that season where 502 00:26:54,560 --> 00:26:57,040 Speaker 1: they passed at sixty three percent of the time. They're 503 00:26:57,080 --> 00:26:59,080 Speaker 1: just not going to be doing that anymore. They need 504 00:26:59,119 --> 00:27:03,040 Speaker 1: to add a third percent in it, just for Taysom Hill. Yeah. Really, Uh. 505 00:27:03,080 --> 00:27:05,840 Speaker 1: The offense still runs through three main cogs, Michael Thomas, 506 00:27:05,920 --> 00:27:09,040 Speaker 1: Alvin Kamara, and Drew Brees. Uh. Thomas had a hundred 507 00:27:09,119 --> 00:27:12,320 Speaker 1: eighty targets last year, so an average of nine point 508 00:27:12,440 --> 00:27:16,320 Speaker 1: six yards per target is extremely impressive given the highest 509 00:27:16,359 --> 00:27:19,760 Speaker 1: denominator in the league. That's that's pretty cool. Uh. He 510 00:27:19,840 --> 00:27:21,720 Speaker 1: was third in the league and red zone targets with 511 00:27:21,760 --> 00:27:24,399 Speaker 1: thirty six, first in the league, and red zone receptions 512 00:27:24,400 --> 00:27:28,280 Speaker 1: with second only to Mark Andrews, and red zone touchdowns 513 00:27:28,359 --> 00:27:32,760 Speaker 1: Andrews at ten. Thomas had nine However, all nine of 514 00:27:32,800 --> 00:27:34,840 Speaker 1: his touchdowns came from inside the red zone. He's not 515 00:27:34,880 --> 00:27:38,560 Speaker 1: a deep threat um only three receptions of forty plus 516 00:27:38,680 --> 00:27:41,880 Speaker 1: yards on the season. Yeah, so that's that's not him. 517 00:27:41,920 --> 00:27:44,800 Speaker 1: But like you've said in past podcast, chart, nobody's ever 518 00:27:44,880 --> 00:27:48,800 Speaker 1: upset about drafting Michael Thomas. Whoever regretted drafting Michael Thomas, 519 00:27:48,800 --> 00:27:52,080 Speaker 1: You'll be fine if you get Michael Thomas. Alvin Kamara 520 00:27:52,880 --> 00:27:54,560 Speaker 1: he was dinged up for most of the last year. 521 00:27:55,200 --> 00:27:57,760 Speaker 1: Uh in his first year as the real RB one 522 00:27:57,960 --> 00:28:01,760 Speaker 1: in Nolin's his best historical season with teen when mark 523 00:28:01,880 --> 00:28:03,840 Speaker 1: Ingram was still there taking a lot of the touches, 524 00:28:04,280 --> 00:28:07,600 Speaker 1: keeping him fresh. Latavius Murray can try to replicate that, 525 00:28:07,640 --> 00:28:10,080 Speaker 1: but he won't. But the truth is, if Camar can 526 00:28:10,119 --> 00:28:13,399 Speaker 1: stay healthy, he's in a contract here. He's in a 527 00:28:13,440 --> 00:28:16,560 Speaker 1: spot where the Saints have virtually no path to sign 528 00:28:16,640 --> 00:28:20,840 Speaker 1: him under the cap. So he's both showcasing his talents 529 00:28:21,200 --> 00:28:23,679 Speaker 1: to get his next contract and the Saints have no 530 00:28:23,760 --> 00:28:26,320 Speaker 1: reason to not go to Marco Murray on this and 531 00:28:26,400 --> 00:28:29,960 Speaker 1: just keep shoveling the ball to He could return to 532 00:28:30,040 --> 00:28:33,800 Speaker 1: eighteen touchdowns in total yards like he did, which I 533 00:28:33,840 --> 00:28:35,960 Speaker 1: be a massive difference from last year. I think that's 534 00:28:35,960 --> 00:28:39,600 Speaker 1: a pretty good path um. The guy I'm avoiding on 535 00:28:39,640 --> 00:28:43,280 Speaker 1: this offense is Drew Brees. He's forty one now. He 536 00:28:43,440 --> 00:28:45,440 Speaker 1: made some comments that may have lost him a little 537 00:28:45,480 --> 00:28:47,880 Speaker 1: bit of favor in the locker room. Taysom Hill is 538 00:28:47,880 --> 00:28:52,400 Speaker 1: stealing touches in weird subout pass plays where Drew Brees 539 00:28:52,480 --> 00:28:53,840 Speaker 1: is just coming off the field and you don't want 540 00:28:53,880 --> 00:28:57,040 Speaker 1: your quarterback to come off the field. Jamis Winston is 541 00:28:57,080 --> 00:28:59,600 Speaker 1: waiting in the wings to just yolo pass it when 542 00:28:59,640 --> 00:29:03,920 Speaker 1: Breeze has hurt. His passing attempts have gone from six 543 00:29:03,960 --> 00:29:08,240 Speaker 1: seventy three and six to five thirty six to nine 544 00:29:08,400 --> 00:29:11,160 Speaker 1: to three seventy eight last year, and he wasn't last year. 545 00:29:11,720 --> 00:29:15,440 Speaker 1: Yardage from fifty two undred forty four thousand to just 546 00:29:15,560 --> 00:29:18,440 Speaker 1: under three thousand last year. Plus you have to take 547 00:29:18,480 --> 00:29:20,840 Speaker 1: Breeze in the eighth round. And here's a few players 548 00:29:20,880 --> 00:29:25,880 Speaker 1: with eight round a DP, Rob Gronkowski, Damien Williams, Austin Hooper, 549 00:29:26,000 --> 00:29:29,680 Speaker 1: Cam Acres. These are like valuable fantasy assets that you 550 00:29:29,720 --> 00:29:32,480 Speaker 1: can get, and I can take a couple of guys 551 00:29:32,480 --> 00:29:35,240 Speaker 1: a couple of rounds later, like Tom Brady or Baker Mayfield, 552 00:29:35,240 --> 00:29:38,160 Speaker 1: in the tenth or Matthew Stafford or Ben Roethlisberger in 553 00:29:38,160 --> 00:29:40,480 Speaker 1: the eleventh. I like those guys a little bit better, 554 00:29:40,680 --> 00:29:42,760 Speaker 1: and I can build my team a little bit more 555 00:29:42,800 --> 00:29:46,160 Speaker 1: evenly if I avoid Breeze. I like it. Um. If 556 00:29:46,200 --> 00:29:49,400 Speaker 1: you're not targeting Alvin Kamara or Michael Thomas in the 557 00:29:49,400 --> 00:29:52,160 Speaker 1: first round, the guy I think that you can target 558 00:29:52,240 --> 00:29:54,440 Speaker 1: is Jared Cook. Uh. You can get him in the 559 00:29:54,560 --> 00:29:59,160 Speaker 1: ninth round or later in some spots. He scored nine 560 00:29:59,400 --> 00:30:04,720 Speaker 1: times last year, eight of which came from inside the 561 00:30:04,720 --> 00:30:07,920 Speaker 1: red zone. Six of those scores he was in the 562 00:30:08,040 --> 00:30:12,240 Speaker 1: end zone when targeted. Okay. In fact, Jared Cook was 563 00:30:12,280 --> 00:30:15,240 Speaker 1: targeted in the end zone more than any tight end 564 00:30:15,360 --> 00:30:18,720 Speaker 1: in the league. Last year. He was tied with Mark 565 00:30:18,840 --> 00:30:22,400 Speaker 1: Andrews with eleven targets when his feet were in the 566 00:30:22,480 --> 00:30:26,280 Speaker 1: end zone. Good signs. I mean John Payton is scheming 567 00:30:26,600 --> 00:30:30,280 Speaker 1: touchdown throws to hand. Yeah, it's it's top ten amongst 568 00:30:30,280 --> 00:30:33,120 Speaker 1: all pass catchers as well. So there there's some there's 569 00:30:33,160 --> 00:30:35,640 Speaker 1: some real good touchdown upside from Jared Cook. And you 570 00:30:35,680 --> 00:30:38,120 Speaker 1: only have to get him as uh in the ninth round, 571 00:30:38,160 --> 00:30:40,120 Speaker 1: and I believe he's going off the boards tight end 572 00:30:40,160 --> 00:30:44,160 Speaker 1: ten right, now, um, I bet that might even drop 573 00:30:44,200 --> 00:30:46,480 Speaker 1: a little bit lower as the as the a DP season, 574 00:30:46,480 --> 00:30:48,720 Speaker 1: we got a lot of sleepers that we like. Jared 575 00:30:48,760 --> 00:30:51,160 Speaker 1: Cook's a guy who could probably just be left behind 576 00:30:51,160 --> 00:30:54,480 Speaker 1: because he's old and he's boring, but he's gonna score 577 00:30:54,480 --> 00:30:56,960 Speaker 1: a touchdown. Now, you haven't mentioned Emmanuel Sanders yet, and 578 00:30:57,000 --> 00:31:00,360 Speaker 1: I'm fascinated by him because his ADPs really Oh and 579 00:31:00,400 --> 00:31:04,120 Speaker 1: he joins a prolific passing offense. Yeah. We discussed Emmanuel 580 00:31:04,160 --> 00:31:06,760 Speaker 1: Sanders a couple of weeks ago on one of these podcasts, 581 00:31:06,840 --> 00:31:10,160 Speaker 1: and I don't like him a lot just because he 582 00:31:10,200 --> 00:31:14,320 Speaker 1: doesn't score touchdowns. He's like three four four every year. 583 00:31:14,680 --> 00:31:17,960 Speaker 1: I mean, he could get you a thousand yards and 584 00:31:18,040 --> 00:31:22,320 Speaker 1: sixty some catches, but with four touchdowns, he's just not 585 00:31:22,480 --> 00:31:25,920 Speaker 1: that interesting. Jarvis Landry, Yeah, I mean, Jarvis Landry is 586 00:31:25,920 --> 00:31:28,120 Speaker 1: gonna catch a lot more balls than Emmanuel Sanders is 587 00:31:28,160 --> 00:31:30,960 Speaker 1: here too, so he's not a guy that I'm really targeting. 588 00:31:30,960 --> 00:31:32,920 Speaker 1: He's going off the board at wide receiver forty two 589 00:31:33,040 --> 00:31:36,280 Speaker 1: right now, and nobody's going after Litavius or tray Kwon 590 00:31:36,400 --> 00:31:39,680 Speaker 1: Smith and leagues that are of normal size. I think, now, 591 00:31:40,520 --> 00:31:43,760 Speaker 1: all right, let's go over to Atlanta. Last year's Falcons 592 00:31:43,800 --> 00:31:48,280 Speaker 1: became deeply mono dimensional due to running back injuries and 593 00:31:48,480 --> 00:31:50,680 Speaker 1: a very leaky defense to put them in negative game 594 00:31:50,720 --> 00:31:54,120 Speaker 1: scripts all the time. Atlanta ranked thirty in rushing plays 595 00:31:54,320 --> 00:31:57,720 Speaker 1: and first in passing plays, which is you know, usually 596 00:31:57,720 --> 00:32:00,280 Speaker 1: they go kind of hand in hand. I think they're 597 00:32:00,360 --> 00:32:02,800 Speaker 1: they're going to try to bring those numbers together a 598 00:32:02,840 --> 00:32:04,760 Speaker 1: little bit. But just the reality of this team is 599 00:32:05,000 --> 00:32:09,520 Speaker 1: they're a passing team and that's where bad last year too. 600 00:32:09,640 --> 00:32:11,360 Speaker 1: He was and but we don't know what we're gonna 601 00:32:11,360 --> 00:32:13,000 Speaker 1: get out of Todd Gurley. You have you know, we 602 00:32:13,040 --> 00:32:17,040 Speaker 1: have when some one injury risk to another injury risk. Um. 603 00:32:17,280 --> 00:32:19,440 Speaker 1: I expect him to be on a pitch count for 604 00:32:19,480 --> 00:32:21,280 Speaker 1: the Falcons, just like he was on the Rams. The 605 00:32:21,360 --> 00:32:23,840 Speaker 1: Rams learned they couldn't over that'd be careful at not 606 00:32:23,920 --> 00:32:26,400 Speaker 1: over using Dodd Gurley. Falcons have to do the same thing. 607 00:32:26,680 --> 00:32:29,440 Speaker 1: I mean, they can't just workhorse Todd Gurley. You're gonna 608 00:32:29,440 --> 00:32:32,080 Speaker 1: have put the same ongoing knee issues that the Rams had. 609 00:32:32,840 --> 00:32:37,640 Speaker 1: So now, while Girl is healthy in the beginning part 610 00:32:37,640 --> 00:32:40,000 Speaker 1: of the season, I think he could be very effective here. 611 00:32:40,040 --> 00:32:42,320 Speaker 1: He's gonna get all the goal line work and he'll 612 00:32:42,600 --> 00:32:45,240 Speaker 1: he'll get a punt, plenty of carries. So one year deal, 613 00:32:45,240 --> 00:32:48,000 Speaker 1: he's incentivized to run. Well, I just don't know how 614 00:32:48,040 --> 00:32:50,000 Speaker 1: long you're gonna you're run, is gonna runaway? Is gonna 615 00:32:50,000 --> 00:32:51,720 Speaker 1: be with Todd Gurley could be a guy that you 616 00:32:51,840 --> 00:32:53,520 Speaker 1: draft and then you know he has a good first 617 00:32:53,600 --> 00:32:56,040 Speaker 1: month or five weeks or six weeks and you just 618 00:32:56,080 --> 00:32:58,400 Speaker 1: trade him and not run the risk of him getting 619 00:32:58,440 --> 00:33:01,640 Speaker 1: hurt after that. So, um, I'm nervous about the Running 620 00:33:01,640 --> 00:33:03,760 Speaker 1: game because of this issue with Gurly and just not 621 00:33:04,000 --> 00:33:05,920 Speaker 1: just think he's not gonna be a workhorse. He eventually 622 00:33:05,920 --> 00:33:07,960 Speaker 1: could get hurt, although he managed to play most of 623 00:33:08,040 --> 00:33:11,120 Speaker 1: last year. As nervous is where about the running game. 624 00:33:11,200 --> 00:33:12,880 Speaker 1: It's the opposite of the passing game, where it's just 625 00:33:12,920 --> 00:33:16,280 Speaker 1: it's all, it's all systems go here. Matt Ryan stable, healthy, 626 00:33:16,320 --> 00:33:18,480 Speaker 1: all the talent around him is great. The biggest question mark, 627 00:33:18,520 --> 00:33:19,880 Speaker 1: I think in the most of in the eyes of 628 00:33:19,920 --> 00:33:23,800 Speaker 1: most of us, is is this the year Calvin Ridley 629 00:33:23,840 --> 00:33:26,680 Speaker 1: makes the big jump up and Julio Jones ends up 630 00:33:26,720 --> 00:33:29,000 Speaker 1: taking a step back. Matt doesn't think so he hates 631 00:33:29,040 --> 00:33:32,400 Speaker 1: Calvin Ridley. I don't hate Calvin Ridley, but there there 632 00:33:32,440 --> 00:33:36,360 Speaker 1: are some there there are some issues that I've seen 633 00:33:36,400 --> 00:33:38,920 Speaker 1: on Ridley where he's a little bit of a smaller guy. 634 00:33:38,960 --> 00:33:41,120 Speaker 1: He doesn't get a lot of separation, and his yards 635 00:33:41,160 --> 00:33:45,000 Speaker 1: after catch are abysmal. Well, let's talk it through a 636 00:33:45,000 --> 00:33:48,080 Speaker 1: little bit, so neither say Julio Jones remains incredibly productive 637 00:33:48,120 --> 00:33:51,960 Speaker 1: in every area except touchdowns, where he has scored. He 638 00:33:52,040 --> 00:33:54,920 Speaker 1: scored in just one game after Week three last year 639 00:33:55,080 --> 00:33:59,640 Speaker 1: and hasn't topped eight touchdowns since in a season. Now. 640 00:34:00,120 --> 00:34:02,080 Speaker 1: He's not old, He's thirty one years old. So I 641 00:34:02,120 --> 00:34:07,160 Speaker 1: wouldn't call Julio Jones old, but man because the astounding 642 00:34:07,240 --> 00:34:11,120 Speaker 1: level of usage he's got of eight hundred receptions already, 643 00:34:11,239 --> 00:34:14,399 Speaker 1: that's a lot of usage right now. So it's that is, 644 00:34:15,080 --> 00:34:17,759 Speaker 1: even with the downticking targets, Jones should still I think 645 00:34:17,840 --> 00:34:20,920 Speaker 1: lead the team in all major categories this season. But 646 00:34:21,080 --> 00:34:23,560 Speaker 1: I understand that some people just would rather get out 647 00:34:23,600 --> 00:34:26,400 Speaker 1: a year two early on Julio Jones, and you know 648 00:34:26,480 --> 00:34:28,560 Speaker 1: this might be the season where he and Calvin Ridley 649 00:34:28,560 --> 00:34:30,759 Speaker 1: start to come together. As mentioned earlier, Now let's talk 650 00:34:30,760 --> 00:34:34,120 Speaker 1: about Ridley. He had about two thirds of Jones's usage 651 00:34:34,160 --> 00:34:36,520 Speaker 1: across the board, even though he missed the final three 652 00:34:36,560 --> 00:34:39,239 Speaker 1: games of last season. Ridley is the deep ball is 653 00:34:39,280 --> 00:34:42,280 Speaker 1: a deep ball thread. They both are actually targeted twenty 654 00:34:42,400 --> 00:34:45,000 Speaker 1: or more yards down field on a whopping twenty three 655 00:34:45,040 --> 00:34:47,799 Speaker 1: percent of his passes, and he was top ten in 656 00:34:47,840 --> 00:34:51,640 Speaker 1: deep ball reception percentage. And he caught those deep balls. 657 00:34:52,480 --> 00:34:55,399 Speaker 1: Matt Okay just wanted to make sure you're he caught 658 00:34:55,480 --> 00:35:01,400 Speaker 1: them directly. Uh. The isution of Hayden Hurst is a 659 00:35:01,440 --> 00:35:03,200 Speaker 1: fly in the ointment for those hoping. What if you 660 00:35:03,239 --> 00:35:05,839 Speaker 1: called him in the end zone? He can't. Man, that's 661 00:35:05,840 --> 00:35:08,880 Speaker 1: a good point, Um, Hayden Hursts to fly in the 662 00:35:08,920 --> 00:35:11,840 Speaker 1: ointment because we want to see more touchdowns go to 663 00:35:11,920 --> 00:35:14,800 Speaker 1: Ridley and Jones. But I think Hurst is gonna siphon 664 00:35:14,840 --> 00:35:17,319 Speaker 1: off a bunch of those. Remember Austin Hooper soaked up 665 00:35:17,320 --> 00:35:21,799 Speaker 1: six touchdowns and an injury shortened season last year. So 666 00:35:21,880 --> 00:35:25,279 Speaker 1: I don't forget Hayden Hurst was drafted not only mark 667 00:35:26,000 --> 00:35:31,959 Speaker 1: first round Jackson. How about that, um risk his player 668 00:35:32,000 --> 00:35:34,239 Speaker 1: by adp here is Julio Jones is going off the 669 00:35:34,239 --> 00:35:38,359 Speaker 1: board overall. Obviously it's the very beginning of the second round. 670 00:35:38,440 --> 00:35:40,959 Speaker 1: I think it's too high. It feels like Julio Jones 671 00:35:41,000 --> 00:35:43,200 Speaker 1: has been on the verge of major injury for years. 672 00:35:43,280 --> 00:35:45,239 Speaker 1: He plays hurt all the time, and maybe this is 673 00:35:45,280 --> 00:35:47,800 Speaker 1: the year he gets this the serious injury, or Calvin 674 00:35:47,880 --> 00:35:50,560 Speaker 1: Ridley makes a major move and the most upside compared 675 00:35:50,560 --> 00:35:54,279 Speaker 1: to a DP it's Hayden Hurst. His current ADP is 676 00:35:54,320 --> 00:35:58,320 Speaker 1: tight end sixteen, round twelve. He was the you mentioned 677 00:35:58,360 --> 00:36:01,080 Speaker 1: former first round pick. He's a better pure athlete than 678 00:36:01,120 --> 00:36:05,719 Speaker 1: Austin Hooper, and Hooper thrived in this offense last year. 679 00:36:05,880 --> 00:36:08,960 Speaker 1: He will be a tight end one this season in 680 00:36:09,040 --> 00:36:12,960 Speaker 1: smooth scoring systems. Hayden Hurst. There was so many there's 681 00:36:12,960 --> 00:36:16,600 Speaker 1: a lot of rumbling last year among in the fantasy community, industry, whatever, 682 00:36:16,640 --> 00:36:19,200 Speaker 1: like people wanted to abolish tight ends in fantasy football. 683 00:36:19,239 --> 00:36:25,080 Speaker 1: A lot of people again, especially this year. It's it's 684 00:36:25,120 --> 00:36:27,560 Speaker 1: amazing how how the script is flipped this year and 685 00:36:28,120 --> 00:36:30,799 Speaker 1: this is unlike the past several years. I'm not I'm 686 00:36:30,840 --> 00:36:33,319 Speaker 1: not advocating for taking tight ends early because I think 687 00:36:33,320 --> 00:36:35,160 Speaker 1: there's so much help to be had later in draft. 688 00:36:35,320 --> 00:36:39,160 Speaker 1: Calvin Ridley, by the way, Yeah, yards after catch per 689 00:36:39,200 --> 00:36:43,719 Speaker 1: reception two point two four. Wow, that's not much. It's bad. 690 00:36:43,840 --> 00:36:47,719 Speaker 1: It's uh. The second worst in the league of receivers 691 00:36:47,719 --> 00:36:51,239 Speaker 1: players who were who qualified only behind Marvin Jones. When 692 00:36:51,239 --> 00:36:53,080 Speaker 1: we come back, we'll talk about to Tom Brady led 693 00:36:53,080 --> 00:36:57,759 Speaker 1: Buccaneers and the Teddy Bridgewater led Carolina Panthers. Plenty of 694 00:36:58,000 --> 00:37:02,080 Speaker 1: new things to talk about with these offense. Stay tuned, 695 00:37:06,520 --> 00:37:08,799 Speaker 1: Welcome back to Fantasy Football Weekly. Paul Charchie and Brian 696 00:37:08,880 --> 00:37:12,560 Speaker 1: Johnson Matt Harrison with you the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Brian, 697 00:37:12,640 --> 00:37:17,520 Speaker 1: I have reason to believe um didn't he did. He 698 00:37:17,800 --> 00:37:20,799 Speaker 1: did he trademark that I think he did. So I 699 00:37:20,840 --> 00:37:23,239 Speaker 1: think I don't know if I should even put this 700 00:37:23,239 --> 00:37:24,520 Speaker 1: out there because it's such a good idea as you 701 00:37:24,600 --> 00:37:27,040 Speaker 1: get royalties from it when he goes with it. But uh, 702 00:37:27,600 --> 00:37:29,520 Speaker 1: Tom should go into the tampon in industry and make 703 00:37:29,560 --> 00:37:38,600 Speaker 1: some compons. Oh god, so Sy said that. You know, 704 00:37:39,080 --> 00:37:43,440 Speaker 1: if you if you make it like big Tampon extreme, 705 00:37:44,600 --> 00:37:49,400 Speaker 1: I count x J Twitter handled to it. You know, 706 00:37:50,160 --> 00:37:53,120 Speaker 1: my worry would be that that that they would deflate. 707 00:37:53,200 --> 00:37:56,319 Speaker 1: Would you get like that? Would you be surprised Tom 708 00:37:56,560 --> 00:37:59,239 Speaker 1: had a line of Tompons tampon Yeah, yeah, I want 709 00:37:59,280 --> 00:38:01,840 Speaker 1: to do this. I would be surprised. I appreciate everybody 710 00:38:01,840 --> 00:38:06,360 Speaker 1: who's listened to the last twenty six years of fantasy football. Exactly, 711 00:38:06,360 --> 00:38:11,400 Speaker 1: it's been a good run daggered by Brian Johnson, hugs 712 00:38:11,880 --> 00:38:15,319 Speaker 1: first step, next one obvious. Anyway, all right, let's go 713 00:38:15,360 --> 00:38:18,680 Speaker 1: to this offense. So now that we have really a 714 00:38:18,719 --> 00:38:20,880 Speaker 1: player that is in many ways the polar opposite of 715 00:38:20,960 --> 00:38:23,640 Speaker 1: Jameis Winston. You called him Yolo, which why is that 716 00:38:23,680 --> 00:38:25,239 Speaker 1: not been his nickname all along? You should have been 717 00:38:25,360 --> 00:38:28,560 Speaker 1: la Winston because you know it was just chuck and 718 00:38:28,640 --> 00:38:31,319 Speaker 1: duck and just throwing bombs or whatever happens. Now you've 719 00:38:31,320 --> 00:38:33,680 Speaker 1: got Tom Brady, one of the most precise passers ever. 720 00:38:34,120 --> 00:38:37,440 Speaker 1: Reads defense is brilliantly. You know, couldn't be more different. 721 00:38:37,520 --> 00:38:39,480 Speaker 1: So talk about how this offense and Tampa is going 722 00:38:39,520 --> 00:38:42,960 Speaker 1: to be changed. Brian uh Well, Tom Brady in obviously, 723 00:38:43,000 --> 00:38:46,560 Speaker 1: as is Rob Gronkowski out, Breshad Perriman and Peyton Barber. 724 00:38:47,080 --> 00:38:50,640 Speaker 1: The Bucks did draft Tristan Worth's offensive tackle with the 725 00:38:50,680 --> 00:38:53,960 Speaker 1: thirteenth overall pick, Keyshawn Vaughan, of course, running back in 726 00:38:54,000 --> 00:38:57,520 Speaker 1: the third round. Um let's get to Tampa Bay. Last 727 00:38:57,600 --> 00:39:01,200 Speaker 1: year they passed the ball six of the time. That 728 00:39:01,280 --> 00:39:03,040 Speaker 1: was the seventh most in the league. They ran the 729 00:39:03,040 --> 00:39:05,120 Speaker 1: ball only thirty eight percent of the time. That was 730 00:39:05,560 --> 00:39:08,000 Speaker 1: six most. UM. That kind of flip flopped as the 731 00:39:08,040 --> 00:39:09,840 Speaker 1: season went on, though, and the defense got a little 732 00:39:10,120 --> 00:39:12,680 Speaker 1: a little better for Tampa. UM worried they're gonna get 733 00:39:12,719 --> 00:39:15,279 Speaker 1: better this year, which will result in more negative games 734 00:39:15,320 --> 00:39:18,280 Speaker 1: scripts for the offense led by Tom Brady of course, 735 00:39:18,320 --> 00:39:23,680 Speaker 1: going off as quarterback twelve right now, which seems pretty 736 00:39:23,719 --> 00:39:26,240 Speaker 1: high for a guy with two wide receivers, going inside 737 00:39:26,280 --> 00:39:29,400 Speaker 1: the top ten. Historically, all those quarterbacks like Matt Ryan, 738 00:39:29,960 --> 00:39:34,000 Speaker 1: Peyton Manning going back years that had two receivers, the 739 00:39:34,080 --> 00:39:36,440 Speaker 1: quarterbacks going to do well and quarterbacks going to well. 740 00:39:36,480 --> 00:39:38,600 Speaker 1: I've got him as QB eight right now, So yeah, 741 00:39:38,600 --> 00:39:41,280 Speaker 1: you're you're ahead of the curve. I'm right there with you. UM, 742 00:39:41,480 --> 00:39:43,359 Speaker 1: and it's just a it's a great line in Tampa Bay, 743 00:39:43,440 --> 00:39:46,920 Speaker 1: ranked seventh by Pro Football Focus last year. Past protection 744 00:39:47,000 --> 00:39:51,760 Speaker 1: was their strong suit. UM. Right tackle Damar Dotson retired, 745 00:39:51,800 --> 00:39:54,520 Speaker 1: but again they drafted Tristan Works in the first round. 746 00:39:54,560 --> 00:39:56,800 Speaker 1: So Tom is in a great spot with his wide receivers. 747 00:39:56,840 --> 00:39:58,400 Speaker 1: And we'll get the gronk in a second. Let's talk 748 00:39:58,400 --> 00:40:01,560 Speaker 1: about the wide receivers virtually going right next to each other. 749 00:40:01,680 --> 00:40:05,520 Speaker 1: Chris Godwin going as wide receiver six h six overall, 750 00:40:05,560 --> 00:40:09,840 Speaker 1: Evans wide receiver seven at twenty first overall. UH. Tampa 751 00:40:09,880 --> 00:40:11,680 Speaker 1: plans to use a lot of twelve personnel this year. 752 00:40:11,719 --> 00:40:13,719 Speaker 1: They didn't do that last year. That's two wide receivers, 753 00:40:13,719 --> 00:40:16,640 Speaker 1: two tight ends, one running back, which means Chris Godwin 754 00:40:17,000 --> 00:40:19,719 Speaker 1: won't be operating from the slot nearly as often. But 755 00:40:20,160 --> 00:40:21,840 Speaker 1: he's more than able to play the boundaries. I'm not 756 00:40:21,840 --> 00:40:24,480 Speaker 1: worried about him playing the outside. UH. He's a superstar 757 00:40:24,719 --> 00:40:27,720 Speaker 1: Chris Godwin, clear and simple. He has the highest contested 758 00:40:27,760 --> 00:40:32,160 Speaker 1: catch rate among all wide receivers last season, at better 759 00:40:32,160 --> 00:40:34,759 Speaker 1: than Michael Thomas, really all of them, he was number one. 760 00:40:35,320 --> 00:40:38,719 Speaker 1: Mike Evans, on the other hand, had these second lowest 761 00:40:38,880 --> 00:40:42,439 Speaker 1: contested catch rate at thirty two percent. For a guy 762 00:40:42,520 --> 00:40:47,080 Speaker 1: his side's absurd, it doesn't add up. And he's the 763 00:40:47,080 --> 00:40:49,240 Speaker 1: starting to fall out of favor with a lot of people. 764 00:40:49,440 --> 00:40:51,640 Speaker 1: And I'm kind of one of them, and I'm gonna 765 00:40:51,680 --> 00:40:54,160 Speaker 1: pick one of these wide receivers in this range. It's 766 00:40:54,200 --> 00:40:58,040 Speaker 1: clearly Chris Godwin in my mind. Over to the tight ends, 767 00:40:58,880 --> 00:41:02,319 Speaker 1: Gronk eight fifth overall, right now tight end nine O j. 768 00:41:02,440 --> 00:41:04,480 Speaker 1: Howard still in the mix at a hundred and fifty 769 00:41:04,480 --> 00:41:10,319 Speaker 1: first overall, that's tight end nineteen. Bruce Arians historically has 770 00:41:10,320 --> 00:41:12,000 Speaker 1: not gotten any production out of his tight ends, but 771 00:41:12,000 --> 00:41:16,400 Speaker 1: he's never had tight ends of this caliber. So Gronk, 772 00:41:16,520 --> 00:41:19,440 Speaker 1: it's we we We talked about Gronk and Break a 773 00:41:19,440 --> 00:41:22,480 Speaker 1: couple of weeks ago, charged like who would you rather have? Anyways, 774 00:41:22,520 --> 00:41:26,399 Speaker 1: just clearly in the ninth round, you might as well 775 00:41:26,400 --> 00:41:30,080 Speaker 1: shoot for Gronk. Ceiling there yeause we're saying tight end 776 00:41:30,120 --> 00:41:31,880 Speaker 1: is so deep you can grab a tight end in 777 00:41:32,000 --> 00:41:36,400 Speaker 1: later rounds. John Smith even that's starter caliber. So quite 778 00:41:36,880 --> 00:41:39,400 Speaker 1: clear cut, Gronk is the highest upside guy on this 779 00:41:39,440 --> 00:41:42,160 Speaker 1: Tampa Bay team. Um I should have said that Mike 780 00:41:42,160 --> 00:41:47,759 Speaker 1: Evans is the lowest as the highest downside? What was most? 781 00:41:47,840 --> 00:41:50,279 Speaker 1: How about just most own side downside? I go with 782 00:41:50,320 --> 00:41:52,040 Speaker 1: Mike Givans in the first round. This is like when 783 00:41:52,040 --> 00:41:54,240 Speaker 1: you're talking about odds. Does a player have the best 784 00:41:54,280 --> 00:41:56,200 Speaker 1: odds if he's two to one, or does he have 785 00:41:56,239 --> 00:41:58,040 Speaker 1: the worst odds if he's two to one? Or when 786 00:41:58,320 --> 00:42:00,880 Speaker 1: people say, like when they turn up the ericditionings to 787 00:42:01,000 --> 00:42:06,440 Speaker 1: sell him, that's turning it up warmer or but anyway, 788 00:42:06,600 --> 00:42:08,719 Speaker 1: back off the h VAC and back to the running backs. 789 00:42:08,800 --> 00:42:11,120 Speaker 1: We got to talk about them very quickly. Keyshawn Vaughan. 790 00:42:11,480 --> 00:42:13,839 Speaker 1: People are very excited about him as he's going off 791 00:42:13,840 --> 00:42:16,439 Speaker 1: the board at RB thirty three right now. Ronald Jones 792 00:42:16,520 --> 00:42:19,560 Speaker 1: virtually the same in ADP going a little after, but 793 00:42:19,640 --> 00:42:21,920 Speaker 1: he's been catching up and he might surpass him. And 794 00:42:21,960 --> 00:42:24,600 Speaker 1: I think he should um going back to Warren Sharp 795 00:42:24,840 --> 00:42:26,680 Speaker 1: uh bobum if you don't, if you're a football fan 796 00:42:26,719 --> 00:42:29,839 Speaker 1: at Sharper Football, I gotta give him his critics. I'm 797 00:42:29,920 --> 00:42:32,399 Speaker 1: citing him twice here. Ronald Jones was a top three 798 00:42:32,719 --> 00:42:35,240 Speaker 1: red zone running back among all running backs with twenty 799 00:42:35,239 --> 00:42:37,840 Speaker 1: plus carries inside the twenty yard line last year, and 800 00:42:38,000 --> 00:42:41,680 Speaker 1: he had a great second half. Ronald Jones finished great 801 00:42:41,719 --> 00:42:44,040 Speaker 1: for Ronald Josie finishes the top twenty four running back 802 00:42:44,040 --> 00:42:48,279 Speaker 1: in PPR. That's pretty great. I don't know good. Here's 803 00:42:48,280 --> 00:42:50,080 Speaker 1: what I can tell you about Ronald Jones for sure. 804 00:42:50,400 --> 00:42:52,480 Speaker 1: What can you tell you about t Shawn Vaughn. That's 805 00:42:52,480 --> 00:42:54,880 Speaker 1: what I want to know. Ronald Jones doesn't pass the 806 00:42:54,960 --> 00:42:57,400 Speaker 1: eye test. I look at Ronald, you know, you know 807 00:42:57,480 --> 00:43:00,600 Speaker 1: we all watch football. You're looking for just little things 808 00:43:00,640 --> 00:43:03,480 Speaker 1: that make any player special, that give him an advantage 809 00:43:03,520 --> 00:43:05,520 Speaker 1: that you could say, on any given play he might 810 00:43:05,560 --> 00:43:07,920 Speaker 1: be able to do a little something extra. I've seen 811 00:43:08,000 --> 00:43:10,319 Speaker 1: nothing in two years of Ronald Jones to suggests he's 812 00:43:10,320 --> 00:43:13,480 Speaker 1: got any of that in him. All right, but now, 813 00:43:13,920 --> 00:43:16,960 Speaker 1: but he does have his opportunity. If Keyshawn Vaughan is 814 00:43:17,000 --> 00:43:20,440 Speaker 1: not a factor, now he's the now he's a running 815 00:43:20,600 --> 00:43:23,640 Speaker 1: Keep in mind, Patriots running backs under Tom Brady always 816 00:43:23,719 --> 00:43:26,480 Speaker 1: did almost always did really really well. You just couldn't 817 00:43:26,480 --> 00:43:28,360 Speaker 1: identify who it was in a game to game basis 818 00:43:28,360 --> 00:43:32,080 Speaker 1: and Belichick's mind games everything else. If they solidify on 819 00:43:32,080 --> 00:43:35,520 Speaker 1: one back, that guy is gonna be That guy's got crazy. Yeah, 820 00:43:35,719 --> 00:43:38,839 Speaker 1: Bruce arians likes to have a workhorse back historically, so 821 00:43:38,840 --> 00:43:40,600 Speaker 1: he's gonna want one of these guys to win the job. 822 00:43:40,680 --> 00:43:42,719 Speaker 1: And they're they're virtually going off the board at the 823 00:43:42,719 --> 00:43:45,000 Speaker 1: same spot. But for me, it's Jones because I've seen 824 00:43:45,080 --> 00:43:47,400 Speaker 1: him do it. He doesn't impress you, I guess, but 825 00:43:47,520 --> 00:43:50,560 Speaker 1: he's the number. I gotta see something from Keyshawn Vaughan. 826 00:43:50,600 --> 00:43:53,120 Speaker 1: I don't. I'm not convinced he's the answer. So there 827 00:43:53,200 --> 00:43:54,880 Speaker 1: we go. Well, I just don't think you put a 828 00:43:54,920 --> 00:43:56,960 Speaker 1: third round pick into it into the running back position 829 00:43:57,000 --> 00:43:59,080 Speaker 1: unless you think you've got you've got a problem you 830 00:43:59,120 --> 00:44:01,279 Speaker 1: need to solve. Let's go to our final team, and 831 00:44:01,320 --> 00:44:06,160 Speaker 1: that is the Teddy Bridgewater led Carolina Panthers. I'm very 832 00:44:06,200 --> 00:44:08,600 Speaker 1: nervous about this offense. I want to hear if you 833 00:44:08,760 --> 00:44:11,920 Speaker 1: share some of my concerns. It's a weird, weird offense. 834 00:44:12,040 --> 00:44:13,880 Speaker 1: As I was doing the research for this. So, so 835 00:44:13,960 --> 00:44:16,600 Speaker 1: they got a new head coach, Matt Rule. Um. He 836 00:44:16,680 --> 00:44:20,359 Speaker 1: literally rebuilds programs on a three year cycle. He's done 837 00:44:20,360 --> 00:44:23,600 Speaker 1: it twice in college at Temple and Baylor. Uh. Year 838 00:44:23,680 --> 00:44:27,160 Speaker 1: one at Temple to intend Baylor one eleven, you're two 839 00:44:27,200 --> 00:44:30,600 Speaker 1: at Temple six and six, Baylor seven and six, you're 840 00:44:30,640 --> 00:44:33,680 Speaker 1: three at Temple tenant for Baylor eleven and three. So 841 00:44:33,760 --> 00:44:36,640 Speaker 1: he's got a three year cycle. Um, so this year 842 00:44:36,640 --> 00:44:38,480 Speaker 1: is gonna stay. They're gonna be bad. They're gonna be 843 00:44:38,600 --> 00:44:40,640 Speaker 1: really bad. They have to be one of the top 844 00:44:40,680 --> 00:44:45,319 Speaker 1: tank for Trevor candidates. Um, how did rules offenses work 845 00:44:45,360 --> 00:44:48,600 Speaker 1: over the last couple of years? He was super run oriented. 846 00:44:49,000 --> 00:44:51,719 Speaker 1: His Baylor teams ran the ball fifty four percent of 847 00:44:51,760 --> 00:44:54,080 Speaker 1: the time, which if applied to the NFL, would have 848 00:44:54,080 --> 00:44:56,719 Speaker 1: been the second highest run ratio in the league, behind Baltimore. 849 00:44:57,120 --> 00:45:00,680 Speaker 1: But he brought in Joe Brady as his offense of coordinator. 850 00:45:01,080 --> 00:45:03,560 Speaker 1: He was the passing game coordinator for l s U 851 00:45:03,719 --> 00:45:10,280 Speaker 1: last season. Of course, very past happy, historically good. Joe 852 00:45:10,320 --> 00:45:13,600 Speaker 1: Burrow was the quarterback. Obviously, the team averaged thirty eight 853 00:45:13,600 --> 00:45:16,760 Speaker 1: passing attempts per game, which was good, but four hundred 854 00:45:16,800 --> 00:45:20,680 Speaker 1: passing yards and four scores per game, it's just ridiculous. 855 00:45:20,719 --> 00:45:23,320 Speaker 1: So the Panthers passed on sixty two point one percent 856 00:45:23,360 --> 00:45:25,840 Speaker 1: of their plays last year, fourth highest in the league. 857 00:45:26,280 --> 00:45:30,680 Speaker 1: That was with Kyle Allen most of the year. Um. So, 858 00:45:31,400 --> 00:45:34,399 Speaker 1: as this all comes back around, the answer to how 859 00:45:34,440 --> 00:45:40,239 Speaker 1: this offense is gonna run is Christian McCaffrey. That's the answer. Um. 860 00:45:40,280 --> 00:45:42,399 Speaker 1: Every single way I look at this offense, I can't 861 00:45:42,400 --> 00:45:45,120 Speaker 1: seem to find a way that cmc if he doesn't 862 00:45:45,120 --> 00:45:48,560 Speaker 1: stay healthy, I mean, he's if he does stay healthy, 863 00:45:48,719 --> 00:45:51,240 Speaker 1: he's gonna come close to the record for most running 864 00:45:51,239 --> 00:45:54,719 Speaker 1: back touches in a season. And do you know who 865 00:45:54,760 --> 00:46:02,080 Speaker 1: has that record chart? Well, that sounds like Dickerson Tampa 866 00:46:02,160 --> 00:46:07,640 Speaker 1: Bay Buccaneers. Sammy winder James Wilder. Wilder he had four 867 00:46:07,719 --> 00:46:12,560 Speaker 1: hundred seven rushing attempts and eighty five that year touches 868 00:46:12,600 --> 00:46:17,759 Speaker 1: in sixteen games, just under thirty one per game. McCaffrey 869 00:46:17,760 --> 00:46:21,319 Speaker 1: had four hundred three last year and four fifties. Kind 870 00:46:21,320 --> 00:46:24,040 Speaker 1: of the benchmark of a super heavy workload. Guys like 871 00:46:24,160 --> 00:46:27,560 Speaker 1: Larry Johnson, Edger and James a couple of those big, 872 00:46:27,560 --> 00:46:30,560 Speaker 1: big workloads La Danian did it one year. Uh, that 873 00:46:30,680 --> 00:46:33,400 Speaker 1: was that area. And I think Christian McCaffrey's on a 874 00:46:33,440 --> 00:46:38,040 Speaker 1: four fifty plus workload this year. Um, Reggie Bonifon, Mike 875 00:46:38,120 --> 00:46:41,400 Speaker 1: Davis and Jordan's Scarlett not taking any touches. Injuries the 876 00:46:41,480 --> 00:46:45,080 Speaker 1: only thing that can derail this train. So my target 877 00:46:45,320 --> 00:46:47,799 Speaker 1: on this team is get Christian McCaffrey at one one 878 00:46:48,239 --> 00:46:51,080 Speaker 1: and don't bother with basically everybody else. But the guy 879 00:46:51,160 --> 00:46:53,400 Speaker 1: that I want to avoid the most out of this 880 00:46:53,480 --> 00:46:57,120 Speaker 1: team is Curtis Samuel and he's perhaps the worst pick 881 00:46:57,160 --> 00:47:01,400 Speaker 1: in any draft. Wow, don't think he should be drafted. 882 00:47:01,760 --> 00:47:04,800 Speaker 1: Um this is from Jeff Ratcliffe. In his six starts 883 00:47:04,880 --> 00:47:10,040 Speaker 1: last season, Teddy Bridgewater only through fourteen passes that traveled 884 00:47:10,040 --> 00:47:13,800 Speaker 1: twenty yards in the air. His average depth of targets 885 00:47:13,800 --> 00:47:17,160 Speaker 1: since two thousand fourteen is only seven and a half yards. 886 00:47:17,200 --> 00:47:23,000 Speaker 1: That's nine among quarterbacks near such great arms as Kyle Orton, 887 00:47:23,320 --> 00:47:27,520 Speaker 1: Chase Daniel, Alex Smith, and Sam Bradford his power arms 888 00:47:27,640 --> 00:47:31,320 Speaker 1: right there. Uh, Samuel's average depth of target was fourteen 889 00:47:31,400 --> 00:47:35,080 Speaker 1: point seven. That doesn't marry up with Bridgewater. D J. 890 00:47:35,280 --> 00:47:38,320 Speaker 1: Moore is at a much more palatable eleven point seven, 891 00:47:38,520 --> 00:47:41,560 Speaker 1: so I think more gets more of the targets pun 892 00:47:41,600 --> 00:47:45,920 Speaker 1: intended there Um and the Panthers then brought in Robby Anderson, 893 00:47:47,160 --> 00:47:51,080 Speaker 1: similar skill set of Curtis Samuel, and the Panthers are 894 00:47:51,080 --> 00:47:53,680 Speaker 1: the wide receiver version of the Bears at tight end. 895 00:47:54,000 --> 00:47:56,279 Speaker 1: They have like fifteen of them on roster right now. 896 00:47:56,280 --> 00:48:00,880 Speaker 1: It's absolutely bonkers. So I'm avoiding Curtis Samuel, I'm avoiding 897 00:48:00,960 --> 00:48:04,920 Speaker 1: Theodore Bridgewater. I I probably avoid d J. Moore at 898 00:48:04,920 --> 00:48:07,240 Speaker 1: his price, which he's going off the board at fifty 899 00:48:07,320 --> 00:48:10,440 Speaker 1: three right now, wide receiver twenty three. It means you 900 00:48:10,520 --> 00:48:14,640 Speaker 1: gotta take him mid fourth, early fifth. Uh. So I'm 901 00:48:14,680 --> 00:48:18,280 Speaker 1: probably avoiding everything in the passing game for Carolina because 902 00:48:18,719 --> 00:48:21,760 Speaker 1: this is all going through McCaffrey this year. Yeah, I 903 00:48:21,960 --> 00:48:24,960 Speaker 1: agree with everything you just said. And Teddy Bridgewater, it's 904 00:48:25,000 --> 00:48:28,480 Speaker 1: just he's a caretaker quarterback. Is She's gonna take care 905 00:48:28,520 --> 00:48:30,719 Speaker 1: of it for one more year and then they're gonna 906 00:48:30,760 --> 00:48:35,359 Speaker 1: have just only ask to travel down the road from 907 00:48:35,440 --> 00:48:39,319 Speaker 1: from the other Carolina, not like Ian Thomas. No, I'm not. 908 00:48:39,440 --> 00:48:43,040 Speaker 1: I'm not really sold on Thomas much either. But Tenison 909 00:48:43,120 --> 00:48:46,399 Speaker 1: was injured for long periods of time over the last 910 00:48:46,400 --> 00:48:48,600 Speaker 1: two years, and Ian Thomas never really stepped up and 911 00:48:48,640 --> 00:48:51,359 Speaker 1: took that mantle Teddy's. You know where Teddy's sweet spot 912 00:48:51,400 --> 00:48:57,400 Speaker 1: is about eight yards downfield. That's Christian McCaffrey's target is 913 00:48:57,400 --> 00:49:00,239 Speaker 1: like zero point eight, So that's right in his wheel house. 914 00:49:00,280 --> 00:49:03,080 Speaker 1: To that is true, And you know that, I know 915 00:49:03,120 --> 00:49:05,920 Speaker 1: there's a lot of Minnesota listeners who still love Teddy Bridgewater. 916 00:49:06,080 --> 00:49:08,680 Speaker 1: We're not evaluating this human beings. We're just talking about 917 00:49:08,719 --> 00:49:11,440 Speaker 1: his game. A wheelhouse. Did you envision a house that 918 00:49:11,480 --> 00:49:13,760 Speaker 1: looks like a wheel or a house full of wheels? 919 00:49:15,640 --> 00:49:18,120 Speaker 1: I thought about that. I'd never have I guess it 920 00:49:18,160 --> 00:49:23,640 Speaker 1: would be it's like a mill. Is that the wheelhouse? 921 00:49:23,800 --> 00:49:26,560 Speaker 1: I haven't. I can't say I've given any thought prior 922 00:49:26,600 --> 00:49:29,680 Speaker 1: to now. Next week, next week will not break down 923 00:49:29,719 --> 00:49:31,840 Speaker 1: the wheelhouse, but we'll also break down the a f 924 00:49:31,920 --> 00:49:34,600 Speaker 1: C West and the NFC West as we continue to 925 00:49:34,640 --> 00:49:36,880 Speaker 1: talk through every team in the league and how we 926 00:49:36,920 --> 00:49:39,600 Speaker 1: expect those offenses to work, and who we're targeting and 927 00:49:39,640 --> 00:49:41,680 Speaker 1: who we are not in our drafts. By the way, 928 00:49:41,680 --> 00:49:45,279 Speaker 1: one last thing in Christian McCaffrey. Would you give up 929 00:49:45,360 --> 00:49:47,319 Speaker 1: Let's just say you're drafting somewhere in the middle of 930 00:49:47,360 --> 00:49:49,920 Speaker 1: the first round, would you give up pick? Would you 931 00:49:49,920 --> 00:49:52,520 Speaker 1: give up your first and second round picks to get 932 00:49:52,600 --> 00:49:57,080 Speaker 1: Christian McCaffrey, probably in a redraft league. I don't think 933 00:49:57,120 --> 00:49:58,799 Speaker 1: I could do that. I wouldn't either. I don't think 934 00:49:58,800 --> 00:50:00,360 Speaker 1: I could do that. I would. I think he's I 935 00:50:00,360 --> 00:50:03,160 Speaker 1: think he's gonna have maybe the greatest running back season 936 00:50:03,200 --> 00:50:06,279 Speaker 1: of all time. It's all stacking up for you know, 937 00:50:07,000 --> 00:50:09,960 Speaker 1: when the stars are aligned like this, I get real nervous. 938 00:50:10,960 --> 00:50:12,800 Speaker 1: It feels that way if it was a better offensive 939 00:50:12,800 --> 00:50:14,920 Speaker 1: line and I and I trusted the rest of the 940 00:50:14,960 --> 00:50:18,760 Speaker 1: offense more. Every game plan is going to be stop 941 00:50:18,840 --> 00:50:22,120 Speaker 1: Christian McCaffrey, and the Panthers are dead, So you know 942 00:50:22,360 --> 00:50:24,520 Speaker 1: some of those defenses are going to do that. They're 943 00:50:24,520 --> 00:50:27,879 Speaker 1: going to stop Christian McCaffrey now. And I've seen people 944 00:50:27,920 --> 00:50:30,200 Speaker 1: give up their first two round picks from this year 945 00:50:30,800 --> 00:50:32,640 Speaker 1: and twenty two to get McCaffrey. And I would do 946 00:50:32,680 --> 00:50:35,040 Speaker 1: that all day long, giving up the picks takeing McCaffrey 947 00:50:35,160 --> 00:50:37,560 Speaker 1: in the dynasty format like that maybe, but in redraft 948 00:50:37,840 --> 00:50:40,479 Speaker 1: top two picks, I wouldn't do it. Charge I wanted 949 00:50:40,480 --> 00:50:44,440 Speaker 1: to plug something really quickly. I'm doing a big charitable 950 00:50:44,520 --> 00:50:48,000 Speaker 1: best ball tournament, UM, and you can find me on 951 00:50:48,040 --> 00:50:50,759 Speaker 1: Twitter at Explosive Output. It's my pinned tweet right now. 952 00:50:50,760 --> 00:50:54,600 Speaker 1: It's called the Explosive Output best Ball Challenge. UM. We're 953 00:50:54,600 --> 00:50:58,760 Speaker 1: going to donate at minimum ten percent to Fantasy Cares, 954 00:50:59,120 --> 00:51:02,239 Speaker 1: but as get this growing more, we're gonna up the 955 00:51:02,320 --> 00:51:04,960 Speaker 1: percentage a little bit and we're going to uh donate 956 00:51:05,000 --> 00:51:07,239 Speaker 1: to a lot of different causes along the way. So 957 00:51:07,480 --> 00:51:09,480 Speaker 1: if you want to take part, there's a lot of 958 00:51:09,480 --> 00:51:11,719 Speaker 1: pros from the industry in it. There's a lot of 959 00:51:11,800 --> 00:51:14,680 Speaker 1: average joes in it too. That's a little little like 960 00:51:14,800 --> 00:51:16,880 Speaker 1: mini Scott Fish Bowl. It's gonna have a little bit 961 00:51:16,920 --> 00:51:19,160 Speaker 1: of a cost to it. But is it a gup 962 00:51:19,160 --> 00:51:22,440 Speaker 1: po bowl? Uh No, you should think about that though. 963 00:51:22,960 --> 00:51:25,239 Speaker 1: Gup people, if it's as Mini Scott fish Bowl, but 964 00:51:25,360 --> 00:51:28,719 Speaker 1: that would be a Gup Pyo Bowl. Thank a Mini 965 00:51:28,800 --> 00:51:31,560 Speaker 1: Scott fish Bowl. But Scott's doing great work and we 966 00:51:31,600 --> 00:51:33,719 Speaker 1: want to try to help his charity out. So go 967 00:51:33,880 --> 00:51:36,120 Speaker 1: hit me up at Explosive Output if you want to play. 968 00:51:36,480 --> 00:51:41,440 Speaker 1: Sounds great. That was Explosive Output on Twitter. H Brian 969 00:51:41,560 --> 00:51:43,640 Speaker 1: is b t x J. I am at Paul Geargion 970 00:51:43,760 --> 00:51:46,120 Speaker 1: and we will talk to you next week. Everybody, Bye bye. 971 00:51:46,640 --> 00:51:49,800 Speaker 1: Fantasy Football Weekly is a production of i heart Radio. 972 00:51:50,000 --> 00:51:52,080 Speaker 1: For more podcasts from my heart Radio, visit the i 973 00:51:52,239 --> 00:51:55,400 Speaker 1: heart Radio app, Apple podcast, or wherever you listen to 974 00:51:55,400 --> 00:51:56,280 Speaker 1: your favorite shows.