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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast. All right, here

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Speaker 1: we go.

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Speaker 2: Fifteen houndy forty five, thirty thirty five, forty forty five fifty.

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Speaker 1: And the kicks block look all it football Laura Stundus.

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Speaker 1: Oh my goodness, he stumbled.

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Speaker 3: And fob the lateral turn a catter on the epside,

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Speaker 3: don't you. The lad came off the.

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Speaker 1: Veil the nights. By god, it's not the side of

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Speaker 1: the dog in the fight, it's.

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Speaker 4: The size of the fight in the roll.

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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Big Bets on Campus Podcast. This is

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Speaker 1: our group of five deep dive and we are presented

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Speaker 1: by Bett MGM. I'm Mike Calvary's joined as always by

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Speaker 1: Mike Ainello. We're going to really get into the nitty

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Speaker 1: gritty because this G five sleep was a little difficult

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Speaker 1: to pick from this week a lot of FCS matchups,

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Speaker 1: but luckily we left no stone unturned, so that means

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Speaker 1: we both are gonna have best bets. We're gonna hit

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Speaker 1: you up with our round robin G five high five,

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Speaker 1: give me five picks to put together in any way,

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Speaker 1: shape or form uc fit and then of course our

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Speaker 1: underdog moneyline parlayd end the episode. But it wouldn't be

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Speaker 1: a Group of five Deep Dive without our G five

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Speaker 1: Heroes of the Week. So I'll start with you, Ianello,

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Speaker 1: who earned the Medal of Honor the Distinction of Honor

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Speaker 1: for week one at the Group of five level.

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Speaker 3: I mean, I feel like this is obvious and we

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Speaker 3: haven't discussed it. I hope we have the same one

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Speaker 3: I went. I went sarcastic with my pick last week.

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Speaker 3: I'll go januine this week. It has to be TJ Finley, right,

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Speaker 3: I mean, you were hyping up Malie Hornsby all off season.

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Speaker 3: I believe I announced him as the starter on the podcast.

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Speaker 3: I guess my sources were wrong, but he absolutely balled out.

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Speaker 3: They'd beat Baylor forty two to thirty one. You called

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Speaker 3: it on the over you were on that early in

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Speaker 3: the summer. That obviously hit easily, but I certainly don't

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Speaker 3: think you thought they would hit this way. You know,

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Speaker 3: two hundred ninety eight yards three touchdowns passing, added a

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Speaker 3: touchdown rushing. He had seven completions of twenty yards or more,

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Speaker 3: just slinging it down the field. So TJ. Finley, welcome

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Speaker 3: to the G five. You are officially my G five

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Speaker 3: Hero of the Week.

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Speaker 1: Also shout out to Joey Hilbert, their wide receiver transferred

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Speaker 1: from Wazoo to Utah Tech, which was formerly Dixie State.

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Speaker 1: I mean, it's all made up fantasy lands and college

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Speaker 1: names there in Utah, but he comes in immediately looks

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Speaker 1: like their number one wide receiver, which gives even more

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Speaker 1: of a ceiling to Ashton Hawkins, their slot receiver. So

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Speaker 1: in terms of their skill positions, I was always bullish

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Speaker 1: on it. The offensive line actually looked good against the

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Speaker 1: Power five opponent, So it's going to be really interesting

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Speaker 1: to see that Texas State offense and if they can

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Speaker 1: make a real run at it in the Sunbelt, maybe

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Speaker 1: gets a Bowl eligibility. This is like one of those

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Speaker 1: swing games that change their entire complexion of their season

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Speaker 1: in one game. I'll go quick on my G five hero.

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Speaker 1: If you watch God Van Peltz Late Night Bad Beats.

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Speaker 1: This was featured prominently Jaquez Donut Evans the DN for

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Speaker 1: Western Kentucky. To give you the cliff notes on this one,

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Speaker 1: the Hilltoppers were up thirty four to twenty four in

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Speaker 1: the final minutes, looked like they were not going to

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Speaker 1: cover that two touchdown spread. Here comes Donut off the edge,

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Speaker 1: sacks the quarterback basically face to face, and just rips

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Speaker 1: the ball out of his hands all in one motion,

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Speaker 1: runs in for a twenty seven yard touchdown, and the

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Speaker 1: Toppers end up covering that one. So Donut for anyone

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Speaker 1: there who is you know, tailing the Hilltoppers, you needed

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Speaker 1: something special to happen. You gave it to them. And

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Speaker 1: in a game where Malchi Corley, you know, fingers crossed

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Speaker 1: that he's healthy, you just figure that they were going

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Speaker 1: to ball out and throw it all over usf But

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Speaker 1: he gets hurt in that game, actually got carted off.

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Speaker 1: So we're gonna wait to see his status here moving forward.

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Speaker 3: Matheson's in, Matheson's on crutches.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, it's gonna be difficult. I mean, Dalvin Smith, I know,

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Speaker 1: is still there in the receiving but how can they

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Speaker 1: piece this together moving forward? Something to monitor with the Hilltoppers.

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Speaker 1: But Jaquez Donut evans my G five Hero of the Week.

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Speaker 3: That's the thing with the g ii FO this week.

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Speaker 3: By the ways, for every bad beat, it was a

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Speaker 3: hell of a win for somebody.

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Speaker 1: Absolutely it did nice done. All right, let's hop into

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Speaker 1: our best bets. I'll give you first crack at it

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Speaker 1: here in week two.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, so I'm for my best bet of the week.

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Speaker 3: I'm going with Florida Atlantic minus four and a half

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Speaker 3: minus five. I do honestly like either spot. Ohio is

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Speaker 3: really stry without Cordis Roarc and it's weird. Like they

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Speaker 3: said they held them out for a precaution against San

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Speaker 3: Diego State, but then he wasn't even on the silent

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Speaker 3: at the end of the game. Then Alvin said he

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Speaker 3: was on track to play last week, didn't play. Now

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Speaker 3: he's saying he's on track to play this week, but

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Speaker 3: he said that last week. I don't really know. He

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Speaker 3: didn't play against Long Island. They didn't look good.

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Speaker 1: C J.

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Speaker 3: Harrison, Parker Navarro both played. They played the same amount

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Speaker 3: of snaps.

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Speaker 1: C J.

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Speaker 3: Harrison looked really bad this year and Navar didn't look

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Speaker 3: great either, and neither his work. Neither of them are

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Speaker 3: Curtis Ark. And I'll be honest with you, I like

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Speaker 3: this play even with if Work plays, I still like it.

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Speaker 3: And if Work plays, I think it drops. And if

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Speaker 3: you can get it for three, if we get three whole,

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Speaker 3: I still like it. The other thing is Sam Wiggles

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Speaker 3: didn't play Jakobe Jones didn't play. Maybe both was a precaution.

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Speaker 3: Either way, I like the Owls. Ohio put up just

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Speaker 3: twenty seven points on Long Island. They had zero supposed

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Speaker 3: to plays. Fau rold mom If forty two twenty, It

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Speaker 3: was like forty two to fourteen. After three quarters, they

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Speaker 3: totally called off the dogs and Casey Thompson looked exactly

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Speaker 3: as I hoped he would. Twenty to twenty five, two

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Speaker 3: hundred eighty yards, five touchdowns, and the Owls had ten

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Speaker 3: point seven yards per dropback. Mcammon had one hundred and

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Speaker 3: twenty five yards in a touchdown. Kobe Lewis is expected

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Speaker 3: back this week. Gives them a two headed monster there.

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Speaker 3: FAU just has a ton of talent their team. I

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Speaker 3: was high before the season. You know John Day, Western,

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Speaker 3: Jaywon Burton, Tony Johnson, all of who whom scored a

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Speaker 3: touchdown last week. HI was essentially a three man team

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Speaker 3: with Rourke, Bangora and Wigless, and two of them are hurt.

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Speaker 3: So FAU has experience on defense. Their entire secondaries back,

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Speaker 3: and I love what I saw from Thompson in Week

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Speaker 3: one kind of answered any questions I had. There's a

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Speaker 3: lot of questions about Ohio. So I really like the

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Speaker 3: Owls here.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I think this is absolutely the right play. I

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Speaker 1: think this is the market and this is like one

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Speaker 1: of the last opportunities to get a team like FAU,

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Speaker 1: who I think is going to be in the mix

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Speaker 1: in the AAC this year to win a conference crown.

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Speaker 1: Everyone is evaluating them, at least in the casual square market.

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Speaker 1: On the team they were last year, that doesn't matter.

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Speaker 1: They are absolutely loaded from the transfer portal. McCammon being

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Speaker 1: as effective as he was in Game one was a

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Speaker 1: great sign. I'm a believer in Tom Herman. And as

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Speaker 1: you pointed out, it's like you take the FAU skill

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Speaker 1: position players and then you take the Ohio skill position

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Speaker 1: players and look apples to apples. If either of them,

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Speaker 1: you know, whether it's Rourke or Wigs, is hurt, then

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Speaker 1: this is a runaway in my opinion. But even if

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Speaker 1: they gut it out, I mean, you know, their wide

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Speaker 1: receivers in a boot, you know Rourke's not on the

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Speaker 1: side line. They're being cagey about it in the media, Like,

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Speaker 1: I don't think this is a good sign at all

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Speaker 1: for an Ohio team that you know, Laiden egg I

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Speaker 1: understand that there was you know, injury issues on the

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Speaker 1: road against San Diego State, but that should have been

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Speaker 1: a situation where their backup quarterback comes in with a

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Speaker 1: ton of experience and just like picks it up and

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Speaker 1: they go. They did not respond. So I think this

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Speaker 1: is an opportunity and maybe the last one of this

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Speaker 1: month to get FAU in a good number. So I

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Speaker 1: really like that for your top play of week two.

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Speaker 1: All Right, it didn't take long for me to get

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Speaker 1: involved with the little Trent Dilford football. My best at

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Speaker 1: youab traveling to Statesborough. It's under that key number of

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Speaker 1: a touchdown. Give me Georgia's southern lane six and a

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Speaker 1: half and I'm going to walk you through a new

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Speaker 1: tradition in the Calgary's household. Get myself a nice little lunch,

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Speaker 1: I fire up YouTube on the TV, and I watched

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Speaker 1: Trent Dilford's presser. Now, this is difficult for me to say,

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Speaker 1: but the first thing right off the bat is that

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Speaker 1: he's such a chatty Kathy that he can't help but

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Speaker 1: reveal things that most coaches play close to the vest

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Speaker 1: that they you know, the conversations he's having with his

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Speaker 1: position coaches, with his coordinators what they're looking at on

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Speaker 1: film study. Because of that, some interesting things came out

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Speaker 1: that just basically cemented my instincts on this. Number One,

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Speaker 1: they played North Carolina A and C. They rated one

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Speaker 1: hundred and ninety first in the Sagarin rankings. I think

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Speaker 1: that's a little bit generous. Deep in the third quarter

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Speaker 1: in that game, it was twenty one to three, So

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Speaker 1: he mentioned that, you know, they weren't executing as well

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Speaker 1: as they wanted to early in the game. Their lines

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Speaker 1: took a little bit of time to settle in. They

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Speaker 1: end up scoring on an eleven play ninety eight yard

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Speaker 1: drive in garbage time to cover that game, which just

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Speaker 1: you know, confirms for.

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Speaker 3: Me throwing the ball the whole drive.

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Speaker 1: Throwing the ball the whole drive, cementing for me that

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Speaker 1: Trent Dilfer is the son of a bitch. But at

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Speaker 1: least we know that he was not feeling comfortable with

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Speaker 1: their performance, so he needed to see more. But the

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Speaker 1: big piece of information that he let slip is that

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Speaker 1: he wants to look at the tape and he wants

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Speaker 1: to look at Georgia Southern new defensive coordinator. We mentioned

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Speaker 1: it during the Sun Belt preview Brandon Bailey comes in

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Speaker 1: from Buffalo. Buffalo led the nation in havoc plays last year,

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Speaker 1: so it would be really helpful if they had game

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Speaker 1: tape to figure out where the pressure is going to

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Speaker 1: come from. What some of their exotic packages look like.

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Speaker 1: They played the Citadel, who essentially runs the triple option,

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Speaker 1: so it's totally useless. That was the word that Dilfer used.

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Speaker 1: So it's like they don't even have tape. They just

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Speaker 1: go ahead and throw that out. And then for the

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Speaker 1: team he played playing North Carolina A and T, they

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Speaker 1: don't pass at all. They threw eight times in the

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Speaker 1: entire game. Now here comes the air raid and the

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Speaker 1: Eagles Georgia Southern threw at forty times. In the opener,

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Speaker 1: Davis Brynn, I know we give him a hard time

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Speaker 1: on the pod, but he hit seventy five percent of

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Speaker 1: his pass attempts. They got great receivers and Burgess Junior

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Speaker 1: and Hood Jalen White looked great. This to me is

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Speaker 1: a number that should be over ten. So to get

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Speaker 1: it below the key number of seven is amazing. But

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Speaker 1: Dilfer couldn't let the press commerce go without giving me,

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Speaker 1: you know, a bit of a gift number one one

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Speaker 1: of the press numbers. Aaron Birmingham goes, yeah, he went

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Speaker 1: thirty eight for forty two Jacob Zeno. But a lot of

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Speaker 1: them were dump offs and passes under five yards in

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Speaker 1: terms of air distance, and they were just you know, easy,

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Speaker 1: you know, safety routes to kind of drop off on.

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Speaker 1: And what did Dilfer say? He goes, well, you know

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Speaker 1: you're criticizing Zeno, but well the goat and he was

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Speaker 1: inferring to Tom Brady made his whole career out of that,

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Speaker 1: and we never criticized him. And then he made sure

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Speaker 1: to reference Drew Brees, Steve Young, and Joe Montana in

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Speaker 1: the West Coast offense. So no pressure Jacobs now. But

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Speaker 1: for my money, the best part of the whole thing

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Speaker 1: was he's talking about how surgical his you know, quarterbacks

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Speaker 1: are just their doctors on the field, and he made

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Speaker 1: a connection between using machete to make a pastromi sandwich

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Speaker 1: and being a surgeon to save someone's life.

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Speaker 2: The analogy I give all the time is, you know,

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Speaker 2: a machete and a scalpel are two weapons, right, they're

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Speaker 2: both sharp instruments. One a butcher makeshift stronomy sandwich, Right,

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Speaker 2: one the scalpel a doctor saves your life. It's much

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Speaker 2: more surgical. That's the way we expect our quarterbacks.

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Speaker 1: To play, Trent Dilferd. It is going to be my

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Speaker 1: distinct pleasure when Georgia Southern beats the brakes off. You

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Speaker 1: gatta get after their asses. This is a team that

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Speaker 1: at home, since coming up to the FBS level, has

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Speaker 1: been thirty two and twenty against the spread. Love Georgia

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Speaker 1: Southern in spots like this, they're even better as a

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Speaker 1: home favorite nineteen and eleven, the seventh best figure in

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Speaker 1: the entire country since twenty fourteen. So let's go get

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Speaker 1: a let's get them. What do you think?

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Speaker 3: I have a question. I don't I don't want to

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Speaker 3: pile on the UABA. I know that's kind of been

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Speaker 3: your throne. Did they get new uniforms? Because I was

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Speaker 3: watching the highlights and that was all I could think of.

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Speaker 3: Their uniforms are so ugly.

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Speaker 4: I don't know if I.

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Speaker 1: Just like, they have a whole new suite of uniforms

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Speaker 1: that I'm sure Trent's got his fingerprints all over, just.

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Speaker 3: So they are new. Because I was watching, I was like,

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Speaker 3: have I never noticed how their uniforms are before. I

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Speaker 3: don't know if it was just the deal for hate

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Speaker 3: was making me think they're ugly. So they are new,

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Speaker 3: so I'm not just like going crazy. I mean, he's

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Speaker 3: essentially the personality of a TV evangelist, so so he

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Speaker 3: wants to dress gaudy, he wants to look ridiculous, and

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Speaker 3: now he has a football team to match it. So

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Speaker 3: I can't wait for them to go into Statesboro and

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Speaker 3: get pushed around.

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Speaker 1: And you know, he even took shots on it was

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Speaker 1: a bit subtle, but for me listening very closely, our

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Speaker 1: quarterback quarterbacks are accurate. Their quarterbacks throw the ball thirty down,

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Speaker 1: thirty yards down the field, and their receivers adjust to

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Speaker 1: it to make it look accurate. David's smart in baby,

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Speaker 1: just tear this defense up. Oh my god. All right, yeah,

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Speaker 1: let's get into our G five high five. That's our

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Speaker 1: round robin here in week two, the G five high

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Speaker 1: five high five high five. We're gonna go ahead and

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Speaker 1: give you five picks, put them together any way that

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Speaker 1: you want to. When I do a round robin, I

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Speaker 1: usually do by twos, so that means it creates a

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Speaker 1: series of two like parlays. You end up hitting. You know,

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Speaker 1: two of the five close to breaking even three out

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Speaker 1: of five you're making money. Anything above that, you're crushing it.

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Speaker 1: So let me get started with a team that's my

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Speaker 1: co host mentioned at the very top Texas State playing UTSA.

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Speaker 1: I had a number written down for their total. It

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Speaker 1: was seventy. It is currently sixty three and a half.

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Speaker 1: That is not high enough for two teams that are

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Speaker 1: going to play with tempo, that have very good G

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Speaker 1: five quarterbacks TJ Finley, the much maligned TJ Finley, at

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Speaker 1: least in the preseason on this pod, as you mentioned,

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Speaker 1: shredded a Power five team. David Randa coach, defense four

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Speaker 1: hundred and forty one total yards, ten yards per attempt.

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Speaker 1: So it's not a dink and dunk tra Delford defense

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Speaker 1: or offense. I should say receiving corps looked great and

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Speaker 1: the defense caught a break when shape and got hurt.

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Speaker 1: And I think that's what's so interesting about this total

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Speaker 1: is that he was absolutely cooking him. He was twenty

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Speaker 1: one for thirty one for three zero three and two tds.

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Speaker 1: If he doesn't get hurt, maybe Baylor comes back and

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Speaker 1: makes that a game in the fourth quarter. So this

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Speaker 1: past defense from Texas State up against UTSA, coming off

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Speaker 1: of Frank Harris's worst game and what three years I

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Speaker 1: think is a perfect bounce back opportunity at home in

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Speaker 1: the Alamodome on the fast carpet there, I think it's

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Speaker 1: going to be big plays left and right. I'm hoping

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Speaker 1: that to Corey and Clark plays. It was clear that

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Speaker 1: they missed him in the receiving corps. But the thing

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Speaker 1: about it is, on one side you had all the

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Speaker 1: points that were scored in Texas State Baylor. On the

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Speaker 1: other side, you had UTSA Houston seventeen to fourteen. People

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Speaker 1: would say, all right, this offense is broken and the

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Speaker 1: UTSD defense is better. I'll bring up the fact that

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Speaker 1: this was Doug Belk defense for Houston. He's a million

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Speaker 1: dollar coordinator for a reason. Texas State doesn't have anywhere

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Speaker 1: near the overall talent or the scheme. I think to

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Speaker 1: slow down this offense, and even in a really bad

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Speaker 1: game in terms of overall scoring production, Cavorian Barnes went

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Speaker 1: for over one hundred yards. They rushed for over two

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Speaker 1: hundred as a team on six yards per carry. I

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Speaker 1: think the road Runners hashtag meet me going to go

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Speaker 1: up and down the field in this game, and I

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Speaker 1: see this below and past sixty three and a half,

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Speaker 1: I played up to sixty seven. Me, what are your

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Speaker 1: thoughts here at the Alma Dume.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I don't know at all. I gu said, you know,

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Speaker 3: I gotta go back and rewatch that Texas State game again.

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Speaker 3: I had like kind of eyes on it, but not

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Speaker 3: not as much as I would like. Yeah, I mean

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Speaker 3: their offense. You know, I don't want to get too

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Speaker 3: far ahead of ourselves, but you know, it has a

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Speaker 3: little bit of exactly Western Kentucky come up in. The

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Speaker 3: offense just is a totally different animal and it takes

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Speaker 3: a while to adjust to. Like this isn't you know,

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Speaker 3: dispavot all Texas State teams anymore. So I like it.

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Speaker 1: I like a lot.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, hopefully Clark plays. I think last I saw his

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Speaker 3: game time decision again, which always scares me.

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Speaker 1: But we'll say for.

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Speaker 3: My first pick, I'm going with the team. We're both

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Speaker 3: another team, we're both high in the preseason. I'm kind

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Speaker 3: of sticking with like preseason thoughts. I'm taking Marshall minus

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Speaker 3: three against East Carolina. We are Yes, Marshall didn't look

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Speaker 3: great against Albany, They won just twenty one to seventeen.

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Speaker 3: But there was one stat line that mattered to me.

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Speaker 3: Rasheane Elle eighteen carries one hundred and thirty seven yards

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Speaker 3: two touchdowns. He's back. He is the Rashine Lle we

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Speaker 3: know in love. The final score is a bit misleading

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Speaker 3: in this one as well. Marshall gained them four hundred

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Speaker 3: and thirteen to three hundred. They had a fifty one

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Speaker 3: success rate on offense. They went one for ten on

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Speaker 3: third down. I mean, how likely is that to continue?

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Speaker 3: They also had a turnal run downs and a blockfield

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Speaker 3: in the red zone. They moved the ball fine, fanser

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Speaker 3: looked fine. But if Ali's gonna look like that all season,

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Speaker 3: our win total is going to be in pretty good shape.

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Speaker 3: Their defense was dominant against Rown last year. On Border

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Speaker 3: showed out in this first game twelve tackles, two tackles

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Speaker 3: for loss, and a sack last week.

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Speaker 1: He's a monster.

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Speaker 3: It's hard to put much stock in East Carolina's game

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Speaker 3: against Michigan, but you know, even though Michigan was playing

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Speaker 3: with heavy hearts due to Jim Harbaugh suddenly passing away

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Speaker 3: rip Jim, put your fours up, uh jj McCarthy has

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Speaker 3: seventy percent success.

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Speaker 1: Are you throwing the ball?

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Speaker 3: Lake Cormer averaged eight yards per carry. Like Michigan did

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Speaker 3: whatever they wanted again Rip Jim Ecu rotated, Mason Garcia

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Speaker 3: and Alex Finn neither looked good at all this. We

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Speaker 3: talked about it in the off season. The team has

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Speaker 3: just lost so much. Obviously, Holan Eylers is the most

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Speaker 3: notable and it's clear they have they don't have an

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Speaker 3: answer to replace it. Not only either of these guys

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Speaker 3: are good. So while I'm not totally basing much on

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Speaker 3: Week one, if you asked me before the season, I

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Speaker 3: would have said Marshall's probably six to seven points better

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Speaker 3: than you SeeU. So Week one didn't change much for me.

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Speaker 3: So line three points, that's it. Give me the Thundering

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Speaker 3: Herd in this one.

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Speaker 1: Mike Houston using timeouts down the stretch to get a

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Speaker 1: field goal in to not get shut out in NRP

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Speaker 1: did cover.

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Speaker 3: I had Ecu, they did cover.

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Speaker 1: It was emblematic of really the entire Week one. There

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Speaker 1: were so many meaning less scores in the final minutes

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Speaker 1: that screwed totals that you know, swung games in terms

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Speaker 1: of points spread, Penn State. I was on that didn't

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Speaker 1: deserve doing that one. But hey, you know, James Franklin

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Speaker 1: wants to be a big boy head coach. He wants

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Speaker 1: to not just be good, he wants to cover spreads.

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Speaker 3: First of all, great, at least we were running it

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Speaker 3: and you had to get you had to get big

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Speaker 3: big bow some airtime. Also at the rest, Virginia did

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Speaker 3: that dumbass ring around the roads, the two point conversion.

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Speaker 3: You're not the freaking two time super Bowl champion Kansas

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Speaker 3: City Chiefs, you're freaking West Virginia and you're down twenty.

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Speaker 3: That was they deserved it after that clown show.

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Speaker 1: All right, flipping back the G five land, but we'll

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Speaker 1: stay with a big ten tint to it's can you

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Speaker 1: believe that UTEP is favored on the road, a UTEP

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Speaker 1: team that has never beaten Actually they have been a

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Speaker 1: Power five program when Linda Johnson was the president. It

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Speaker 1: has been that long since the miners have beaten a

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Speaker 1: Power fight program.

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Speaker 3: Wait real quick, I'm so happy you're taking this because

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Speaker 3: I had it written down and I crossed the OCCS.

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Speaker 3: I thought it was too growth and I was going

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Speaker 3: to bring it up at the end of the podcast

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Speaker 3: and just be like, is it too gross to beout

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Speaker 3: in Northwestern? So I'm so glad you're doing it.

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Speaker 1: Go for it all right, I mean, picks up Minor Nation,

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Speaker 1: play all the sound clips, like, I'm excited to get

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Speaker 1: back to a team that's I had played, you know,

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Speaker 1: faded in the first game against Jacksonville State. They didn't

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Speaker 1: look so great against Incarnate Word. But in the second

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Speaker 1: half they poured it on. They ran for three hundred

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Speaker 1: and twenty nine yards. And this was a UTEP team

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Speaker 1: that I thought they had, you know, let's call it

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Speaker 1: a top fifteen G five offensive line. They finally got

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Speaker 1: back to their identity. Dion Hankins one hundred and seventy

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Speaker 1: four yards on the ground over six and a half

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Speaker 1: yards per carry. The defense picked you know, you picked apart, really,

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Speaker 1: I guess in the first six quarters we'll call it

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Speaker 1: second half shut up against Incarnate Word. Now comes the

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Speaker 1: vaunted Northwestern offense. They talk about a team that is

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Speaker 1: collapsing in on itself like a you know, a dying star.

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Speaker 1: Northwesterns two quarterbacks average four point seven yards per attempt

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Speaker 1: and three point three yards per attempt. They finished with

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Speaker 1: twelve rushing yards against Rutgers. This offense is dead as

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Speaker 1: a door nail. I see UTEP winning in a very

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Speaker 1: sexy we'll call it twenty to thirteen kind of game.

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Speaker 1: Don't mind laying the point. I'll play it up to three.

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Speaker 1: Let's go Utep Minor Mother Dad is not where I.

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Speaker 3: Thought you were going. I was gonna say, I have

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Speaker 3: to bet Northwestern.

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Speaker 1: I don't.

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Speaker 3: I think you TEP stinks and you're getting You're giving

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Speaker 3: me a big ten school as a home dog.

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Speaker 1: Against Listen, I got a veteran quarterback. You can't disagree

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Speaker 1: with me.

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Speaker 3: They Ben Bryan's a veteran quarterback.

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Speaker 1: They had a very good G five offensive line, they

432
00:19:30,200 --> 00:19:33,000
Speaker 1: have very good running back. And we know Bradley Dale

433
00:19:33,080 --> 00:19:35,080
Speaker 1: Paveto how I feel about him. He's going to cook

434
00:19:35,119 --> 00:19:36,879
Speaker 1: up a game plan. I think I could cook up

435
00:19:36,880 --> 00:19:39,240
Speaker 1: a game plan to slow down this Northwestern offense. It's broken.

436
00:19:39,359 --> 00:19:41,120
Speaker 1: They have no quarterback and they can't run the ball.

437
00:19:41,400 --> 00:19:44,919
Speaker 1: So like, I don't see how Northwestern scores more than

438
00:19:44,960 --> 00:19:47,600
Speaker 1: three touchdowns in this game. And the way they looked

439
00:19:47,600 --> 00:19:50,040
Speaker 1: against Rutgers, like this is a team I think just

440
00:19:50,080 --> 00:19:52,119
Speaker 1: on the verge of putting up the white Flag already

441
00:19:52,240 --> 00:19:54,760
Speaker 1: coming off a one and eleven season. So I had

442
00:19:54,760 --> 00:19:55,800
Speaker 1: asked you that team.

443
00:19:56,680 --> 00:19:59,640
Speaker 3: If i'd ask you last year when he was at Cincinnati,

444
00:20:00,200 --> 00:20:03,480
Speaker 3: who's better quarterback Ben Bryant or Gavin Hardison, what would

445
00:20:03,480 --> 00:20:08,440
Speaker 3: you have said? I probably I still think Brian's better.

446
00:20:08,280 --> 00:20:10,960
Speaker 1: Than probably would have been Bryant. But like, what I

447
00:20:11,000 --> 00:20:13,639
Speaker 1: know about Gavin Hardison is that he's gonna take some

448
00:20:13,720 --> 00:20:16,199
Speaker 1: deep shots to Tyron Smith in this game and at

449
00:20:16,280 --> 00:20:18,879
Speaker 1: least gives me some vision into what the game is

450
00:20:18,920 --> 00:20:20,760
Speaker 1: going to look like. They're gonna run the ball effectively.

451
00:20:21,000 --> 00:20:23,280
Speaker 1: I think they'll run for over one hundred, one hundred

452
00:20:23,280 --> 00:20:25,359
Speaker 1: and fifty yards and then is he going to hit

453
00:20:25,359 --> 00:20:27,560
Speaker 1: one or two deep shots? And that's the entire game.

454
00:20:27,600 --> 00:20:29,119
Speaker 1: I mean, listen, I was on the right side of

455
00:20:29,119 --> 00:20:31,719
Speaker 1: the Jacksonville State game. I probably should have lost that.

456
00:20:31,760 --> 00:20:33,960
Speaker 1: You know, they had a touchdown that was reversed on

457
00:20:34,040 --> 00:20:36,280
Speaker 1: a deep ball that was beautiful from Hardison and it

458
00:20:36,560 --> 00:20:38,920
Speaker 1: just nicked the turf. So it's like that game swings

459
00:20:39,000 --> 00:20:41,240
Speaker 1: right there. And how differently do we feel about UTEP

460
00:20:41,280 --> 00:20:42,880
Speaker 1: if they're two and oh and not one in one

461
00:20:43,119 --> 00:20:45,560
Speaker 1: coming into the spot. But I like to disagree embrace

462
00:20:45,600 --> 00:20:48,480
Speaker 1: the bait your next pick here in the G five

463
00:20:48,520 --> 00:20:48,920
Speaker 1: five five.

464
00:20:49,920 --> 00:20:54,040
Speaker 3: All right, I have a question for you. You do power ratings, right, yes,

465
00:20:55,000 --> 00:20:57,000
Speaker 3: all right? If you can pull them up quick? Where

466
00:20:57,040 --> 00:21:00,560
Speaker 3: do you have San Diego State and Coastal Carolina outrated?

467
00:21:01,000 --> 00:21:04,040
Speaker 1: Last time I looked, I had them in my seventies,

468
00:21:05,240 --> 00:21:08,280
Speaker 1: So I have San Diego State seventy seventh and Coastal

469
00:21:08,440 --> 00:21:10,800
Speaker 1: seventy ninth, So same neighborhood.

470
00:21:11,080 --> 00:21:13,159
Speaker 3: It's about the same. But you do actually have San

471
00:21:13,200 --> 00:21:16,320
Speaker 3: Diego State higher? Yes, all right, because I wouldn't so

472
00:21:17,040 --> 00:21:20,920
Speaker 3: if we played UCLA minus fourteen and a half against Coastal,

473
00:21:21,400 --> 00:21:23,560
Speaker 3: I'm certainly playing a minus thirteen and a half against

474
00:21:23,600 --> 00:21:27,639
Speaker 3: San Diego State. For starters, we mentioned it. I mentioned

475
00:21:27,680 --> 00:21:31,040
Speaker 3: it last week. You did do that little QB experiment

476
00:21:31,160 --> 00:21:34,359
Speaker 3: experiment better freaking be over our chip. Kelli is going

477
00:21:34,400 --> 00:21:38,280
Speaker 3: to have some problems. Dante Moore is so clearly the

478
00:21:38,280 --> 00:21:42,199
Speaker 3: better quarterback. He averaged eleven yards per play outside of

479
00:21:42,240 --> 00:21:45,080
Speaker 3: you know, one mistake. He looked every bit of five

480
00:21:45,119 --> 00:21:47,719
Speaker 3: star talent. I expect him to start. I expect him

481
00:21:47,720 --> 00:21:50,360
Speaker 3: to play this whole game, and I expect him to dominate.

482
00:21:50,760 --> 00:21:53,320
Speaker 3: Carson Steele and TJ. Harden both ran the ball really well,

483
00:21:53,800 --> 00:21:57,920
Speaker 3: and this UCLA defense forced Grace and McCall into maybe

484
00:21:57,920 --> 00:22:00,280
Speaker 3: the worst game I've ever seen him play. He has

485
00:22:00,320 --> 00:22:03,760
Speaker 3: thrown eight interceptions in three years, and he threw two

486
00:22:03,880 --> 00:22:06,840
Speaker 3: last week against the Bruins. He looked uncomfortable the whole game.

487
00:22:07,640 --> 00:22:09,359
Speaker 3: The one thing we were pretty sure Coastal would do

488
00:22:09,440 --> 00:22:12,160
Speaker 3: well was run the ball. They had fifty six rushing yards.

489
00:22:12,160 --> 00:22:15,080
Speaker 3: They had one point six yards per kerry. That's all

490
00:22:15,119 --> 00:22:17,800
Speaker 3: San Diego State wants to do. And San Diego State

491
00:22:17,840 --> 00:22:21,280
Speaker 3: managed just twenty points on Ohio, who we just mentioned.

492
00:22:21,320 --> 00:22:23,720
Speaker 3: You know, they lost Rourke in the first quarter, and

493
00:22:23,760 --> 00:22:25,439
Speaker 3: they did that with that with just three in. They

494
00:22:25,480 --> 00:22:30,040
Speaker 3: had three interceptions and managed just twenty points. Jalen Maiden stinks.

495
00:22:30,240 --> 00:22:33,080
Speaker 3: He had a grand total of eighty seven passing yards

496
00:22:33,160 --> 00:22:36,960
Speaker 3: against Idaho State. He is not a good quarterback. Yes,

497
00:22:37,000 --> 00:22:39,280
Speaker 3: he was able to run the ball all over the Bengals,

498
00:22:39,320 --> 00:22:42,440
Speaker 3: but he's not going to do that against UCLA. Meanwhile,

499
00:22:42,520 --> 00:22:45,560
Speaker 3: Idaho State threw for over three hundred yards against San

500
00:22:45,560 --> 00:22:48,199
Speaker 3: Diego State's defense. I'm not a big FCS guy, so

501
00:22:48,240 --> 00:22:51,359
Speaker 3: unless Idaho State is some you know, crazy passing attack

502
00:22:51,680 --> 00:22:53,640
Speaker 3: I and not Dymore is going to shred this defense.

503
00:22:53,960 --> 00:22:55,840
Speaker 3: And I know this is this game's on the road

504
00:22:55,840 --> 00:22:59,040
Speaker 3: instead of home, but UCLA might have a bigger home

505
00:22:59,080 --> 00:23:01,159
Speaker 3: field advantage in into Yo State than they do at

506
00:23:01,200 --> 00:23:03,640
Speaker 3: the Rose Bowl, So I'm certainly not worried about that.

507
00:23:04,400 --> 00:23:07,719
Speaker 3: The one concern is Chip Kelly is a buffoon and

508
00:23:07,760 --> 00:23:11,119
Speaker 3: he does mess around in non con games. And yeah,

509
00:23:11,240 --> 00:23:13,000
Speaker 3: I made the same mistake with Luke Fickle last week

510
00:23:13,040 --> 00:23:16,080
Speaker 3: and it burned me. If Chip Kelly could just like

511
00:23:16,960 --> 00:23:18,840
Speaker 3: get the flu before the game and not show up

512
00:23:18,960 --> 00:23:22,000
Speaker 3: and just let Dante More coach and shred this defense,

513
00:23:22,480 --> 00:23:25,200
Speaker 3: I think the Bruins crush them because, like I said,

514
00:23:25,240 --> 00:23:27,080
Speaker 3: I think coach Tho is much better than San Diego State.

515
00:23:27,119 --> 00:23:29,720
Speaker 3: And maybe I'm always lower on Santio s than the market,

516
00:23:30,400 --> 00:23:33,520
Speaker 3: but getting under two touchdowns with what we saw from

517
00:23:33,600 --> 00:23:37,800
Speaker 3: Dante More, if he plays all game, they win this handily.

518
00:23:37,920 --> 00:23:40,679
Speaker 3: So give me UCLA minus thirteen and a half.

519
00:23:40,880 --> 00:23:42,879
Speaker 1: It's pretty simple for me. I'm just gonna wait right

520
00:23:42,960 --> 00:23:45,920
Speaker 1: until kickoff. If they confirm that Dante Moore starting, I

521
00:23:45,960 --> 00:23:48,159
Speaker 1: would play this all the way up to twenty. I

522
00:23:48,240 --> 00:23:50,960
Speaker 1: think the offense, the offense will absolutely run up and

523
00:23:50,960 --> 00:23:53,960
Speaker 1: down the field with him if it's anything less than them,

524
00:23:54,040 --> 00:23:56,159
Speaker 1: you know, showing him in the little telecast bubble and

525
00:23:56,560 --> 00:24:00,160
Speaker 1: saying starting quarterback, playing four quarters, let's do it. Nothing

526
00:24:00,240 --> 00:24:02,280
Speaker 1: less than that, it's a past for me. It's that simple,

527
00:24:02,320 --> 00:24:05,480
Speaker 1: because if I see College or Garber's absolutely not.

528
00:24:06,040 --> 00:24:08,000
Speaker 3: If it's anything less than that, I'm on a plane

529
00:24:08,320 --> 00:24:11,600
Speaker 3: to fight. My wife will join me because as an

530
00:24:11,600 --> 00:24:13,560
Speaker 3: Eagles fan, she hates Chip Kelly more than just buy

531
00:24:13,600 --> 00:24:15,679
Speaker 3: anyone on the planet, so she'll definitely join me in

532
00:24:15,680 --> 00:24:16,159
Speaker 3: that one.

533
00:24:16,280 --> 00:24:18,640
Speaker 1: All right, Let's wrap up this G five high five

534
00:24:18,960 --> 00:24:21,920
Speaker 1: with another Arkansas state play. Worked out pretty well for

535
00:24:22,040 --> 00:24:25,679
Speaker 1: me in week one, Oklahoma won seventy three nothing and

536
00:24:25,920 --> 00:24:31,160
Speaker 1: Butch Jones, Butch, but but but Butch line, Butch, don't

537
00:24:31,200 --> 00:24:33,560
Speaker 1: kill my vibe. You know what? You know, he seems

538
00:24:33,600 --> 00:24:36,520
Speaker 1: like his vibe was killed there in Norman because he

539
00:24:36,600 --> 00:24:39,600
Speaker 1: almost bursts into tears multiple times and the camera gone

540
00:24:39,640 --> 00:24:42,680
Speaker 1: him and they're nothing. And here's the thing, I pull

541
00:24:42,760 --> 00:24:45,120
Speaker 1: no punches. I hate Trent Dilfer, I wish him ill,

542
00:24:45,359 --> 00:24:47,040
Speaker 1: I don't want him to succeed. I want him to

543
00:24:47,080 --> 00:24:49,280
Speaker 1: be fired this year. But Butch Jones, I mean like,

544
00:24:49,480 --> 00:24:51,879
Speaker 1: I think college football is a better, funnier place with

545
00:24:51,920 --> 00:24:54,080
Speaker 1: Butch Jones in it, like the guy who created the

546
00:24:54,119 --> 00:24:57,480
Speaker 1: turnover trash can in knox Hill, Tennessee. Like, don't take

547
00:24:57,560 --> 00:24:59,520
Speaker 1: him away from me. I mean, you're probably gonna take

548
00:24:59,560 --> 00:25:02,159
Speaker 1: him away from He's gonna get fired. But just in general,

549
00:25:02,200 --> 00:25:04,240
Speaker 1: I'm not wishing ill on him. But when you look

550
00:25:04,280 --> 00:25:07,639
Speaker 1: at the team that he's put together, JT. Shroud completed

551
00:25:07,720 --> 00:25:10,880
Speaker 1: less than fifty percent of his passes. But this defense, man,

552
00:25:11,160 --> 00:25:14,040
Speaker 1: oh my god. They gave up thirty six first downs.

553
00:25:14,480 --> 00:25:17,800
Speaker 1: Oklahoma was eleven for fourteen on third down and also

554
00:25:18,000 --> 00:25:20,160
Speaker 1: just to you know, the cherry on top any opportunity

555
00:25:20,200 --> 00:25:22,360
Speaker 1: they had to get off the field. They have fourteen

556
00:25:22,400 --> 00:25:24,840
Speaker 1: penalties for one hundred and eleven yards. And their best

557
00:25:24,840 --> 00:25:26,919
Speaker 1: player by far, can you name their best player? You know,

558
00:25:27,280 --> 00:25:29,680
Speaker 1: pop quiz hotshot? Who is the best player in Arkansas State?

559
00:25:30,119 --> 00:25:31,560
Speaker 3: It's their receiver. What's his space?

560
00:25:32,400 --> 00:25:34,800
Speaker 1: Are you on with Rutger? That would be a pretty

561
00:25:34,840 --> 00:25:38,479
Speaker 1: solid Yeah, Rucker, I would argue it's Dominic Zavada, their

562
00:25:38,480 --> 00:25:41,639
Speaker 1: placekicker when seventeen last year he even went over to

563
00:25:41,880 --> 00:25:45,400
Speaker 1: bricking makeupble field goals. So Arkansas State is just plummeted

564
00:25:45,440 --> 00:25:49,000
Speaker 1: in the Saggaring ratings. They're below Central Arkansas and eighteen

565
00:25:49,080 --> 00:25:52,480
Speaker 1: other FCS schools. So yeah, I mean, here comes Memphis.

566
00:25:52,520 --> 00:25:54,920
Speaker 1: They're laying twenty one in this game. Memphis is well

567
00:25:54,960 --> 00:25:58,240
Speaker 1: balanced seth Hennigan has started twenty five games like it

568
00:25:58,280 --> 00:26:00,680
Speaker 1: felt like just yesterday. He was a true freshen thrown

569
00:26:00,720 --> 00:26:02,560
Speaker 1: to the fire. He looked great in the opener, seventy

570
00:26:02,600 --> 00:26:05,919
Speaker 1: five percent completions, almost ten yards per attempt, two touchdowns.

571
00:26:06,040 --> 00:26:08,359
Speaker 1: They ran it really well. The Sunnen Smith kid came

572
00:26:08,400 --> 00:26:11,680
Speaker 1: out of nowhere, pairs up with old Dominion transfer Blake Watson.

573
00:26:11,920 --> 00:26:14,280
Speaker 1: The d line for me was the biggest question for Memphis.

574
00:26:14,400 --> 00:26:17,440
Speaker 1: They had some transfers come in Josh Ellison and Kavi

575
00:26:17,640 --> 00:26:21,760
Speaker 1: Andante Spears, both over three hundred pounds. They absolutely helped

576
00:26:21,760 --> 00:26:24,080
Speaker 1: shore up their run defense. So when I look at

577
00:26:24,160 --> 00:26:27,119
Speaker 1: Arkansas State, having watched that full Oklahoma game, yes, the

578
00:26:27,160 --> 00:26:30,040
Speaker 1: Oklahoma defense is a step above talent wise than Memphis.

579
00:26:30,320 --> 00:26:32,320
Speaker 1: But you know that was a seventy three nothing game.

580
00:26:32,520 --> 00:26:35,800
Speaker 1: So I'm gonna say Arkansas State scores seventeen here and

581
00:26:35,880 --> 00:26:38,760
Speaker 1: Memphis scores forty nine. I'll lay the twenty one. You

582
00:26:38,760 --> 00:26:40,040
Speaker 1: can do the math for me. You were now the

583
00:26:40,040 --> 00:26:42,920
Speaker 1: official math correspondent here on the pod. But I think

584
00:26:42,920 --> 00:26:44,199
Speaker 1: that's a cover. What do you think about this?

585
00:26:44,240 --> 00:26:48,000
Speaker 3: One one of my favorite stats I've ever seen. This

586
00:26:48,080 --> 00:26:50,440
Speaker 3: stat never really matters, but I like looking at it. I

587
00:26:50,440 --> 00:26:52,760
Speaker 3: just think caith for those of you who don't know,

588
00:26:52,880 --> 00:26:56,080
Speaker 3: available yards is like, if you start the ball at

589
00:26:56,080 --> 00:26:58,480
Speaker 3: the twenty yard line for that drive, you have eighty

590
00:26:58,480 --> 00:27:00,159
Speaker 3: available yards. If you start at the fifty, you have

591
00:27:00,200 --> 00:27:02,679
Speaker 3: fifty vail yards whatever yards is possible to get up

592
00:27:02,720 --> 00:27:07,320
Speaker 3: to score. Oklahoma picked up ninety five percent of all

593
00:27:07,400 --> 00:27:09,879
Speaker 3: available yards in that game. I don't think I've ever

594
00:27:09,920 --> 00:27:12,240
Speaker 3: seen a number that high. That means they score on

595
00:27:12,280 --> 00:27:16,119
Speaker 3: every five yards was all they could have gotten, and

596
00:27:17,359 --> 00:27:21,000
Speaker 3: Arkansas State managed to stop them for five yards total

597
00:27:21,040 --> 00:27:24,720
Speaker 3: a game. It's stunning. Also, in a two seconds side ran,

598
00:27:24,720 --> 00:27:27,000
Speaker 3: we're talking about Dontemore, is Jackson Arnold gonna take that

599
00:27:27,080 --> 00:27:30,439
Speaker 3: starting job? Because he is nasty? He might end up

600
00:27:30,520 --> 00:27:33,920
Speaker 3: Oklahoma's starting quarterback. He's he's got the goods. He might

601
00:27:33,920 --> 00:27:34,679
Speaker 3: take a job this year.

602
00:27:35,440 --> 00:27:38,040
Speaker 4: Thefore we go any further. As a reminder, Big Bets

603
00:27:38,040 --> 00:27:41,480
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604
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617
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620
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623
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624
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625
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626
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627
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628
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629
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630
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631
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632
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633
00:29:08,040 --> 00:29:10,360
Speaker 4: Promotional offers not available in that in New York.

634
00:29:10,920 --> 00:29:14,480
Speaker 1: All right, we are now into our underdog moneyline parlay

635
00:29:14,640 --> 00:29:17,480
Speaker 1: here in week two, we're going to put together two underdogs,

636
00:29:17,520 --> 00:29:20,320
Speaker 1: try to get a juicy number for you putting it together.

637
00:29:20,800 --> 00:29:23,840
Speaker 1: Last week I was feeling pretty good, pretty smug, even

638
00:29:24,040 --> 00:29:26,479
Speaker 1: at halftime with Akron up twenty one to ten. They

639
00:29:26,480 --> 00:29:29,480
Speaker 1: actually led twenty one seven in that game and just

640
00:29:29,520 --> 00:29:31,960
Speaker 1: couldn't get together offensively in the second half these twenty

641
00:29:31,960 --> 00:29:35,800
Speaker 1: four to twenty one to Temple. That was painful. I'll

642
00:29:35,800 --> 00:29:38,680
Speaker 1: get it started here with my pick because it's a

643
00:29:38,720 --> 00:29:42,840
Speaker 1: short explanation. There really wasn't in G five lands coming

644
00:29:42,840 --> 00:29:45,360
Speaker 1: into a week two game. More of a disparity between

645
00:29:45,400 --> 00:29:49,120
Speaker 1: Boise getting absolutely boat raced on the road in Seattle

646
00:29:49,160 --> 00:29:51,800
Speaker 1: against Washington they couldn't stop the pass at all, and

647
00:29:51,840 --> 00:29:55,160
Speaker 1: then UCF in their debut as a Big twelve team

648
00:29:55,600 --> 00:29:57,840
Speaker 1: beating the Brakes off of Kent State. They won I

649
00:29:57,840 --> 00:29:59,720
Speaker 1: think by fifty to fifty six to six something like that,

650
00:30:00,120 --> 00:30:01,080
Speaker 1: Amy exactly fifty.

651
00:30:01,240 --> 00:30:01,440
Speaker 2: Yeah.

652
00:30:01,760 --> 00:30:04,959
Speaker 1: Now they're traveling twenty six hundred miles to Boise, and

653
00:30:05,000 --> 00:30:06,760
Speaker 1: this is a team that doesn't like to travel. Last

654
00:30:06,800 --> 00:30:08,640
Speaker 1: year they left the state of Florida just four times,

655
00:30:08,640 --> 00:30:11,720
Speaker 1: including the Bowl game. Two of those games, John Rice

656
00:30:11,760 --> 00:30:14,320
Speaker 1: Plumbley did not play well. If you remember the thirty

657
00:30:14,320 --> 00:30:17,040
Speaker 1: four to thirteen lost to ECU. Plumbley threw three picks

658
00:30:17,240 --> 00:30:19,720
Speaker 1: and they got blown out by Duke. In the Military Bowl,

659
00:30:19,760 --> 00:30:22,120
Speaker 1: they absolutely know showed that one, and that's kind of

660
00:30:22,160 --> 00:30:25,280
Speaker 1: emblematic of the way Plumbley plays. I think either boys,

661
00:30:25,280 --> 00:30:27,360
Speaker 1: he's gonna win this one outright, or we're gonna see

662
00:30:27,400 --> 00:30:30,760
Speaker 1: the Golden arm, the golden child. Plumbley just blow up

663
00:30:30,800 --> 00:30:32,640
Speaker 1: and have a huge game. Because when you look at

664
00:30:32,640 --> 00:30:35,959
Speaker 1: his games last year, he had five games with qbrs

665
00:30:36,120 --> 00:30:38,840
Speaker 1: north of ninety, but he also had six games with

666
00:30:38,960 --> 00:30:41,640
Speaker 1: sub forty qbrs, So he you know, they sink and

667
00:30:41,680 --> 00:30:44,800
Speaker 1: swim or swimming with him at quarterback. And Gus Mel's on.

668
00:30:44,840 --> 00:30:46,760
Speaker 1: Here's another tibit that I really like as a head

669
00:30:46,760 --> 00:30:48,600
Speaker 1: coach on the road against the spread. Dating back to

670
00:30:48,640 --> 00:30:51,840
Speaker 1: twenty eighteen at Auburn, he's ten and fourteen against the spread.

671
00:30:52,120 --> 00:30:54,320
Speaker 1: I don't think he's a great road coach. And when

672
00:30:54,320 --> 00:30:57,320
Speaker 1: I look at what Plumbley does, he's gonna run the

673
00:30:57,320 --> 00:31:00,000
Speaker 1: Boise defense. For as bad as it was against the Husky,

674
00:31:00,200 --> 00:31:01,800
Speaker 1: they got picked apart, and I think they gave up

675
00:31:01,800 --> 00:31:04,000
Speaker 1: four to fifty through the air to Pennix Junior, but

676
00:31:04,040 --> 00:31:06,200
Speaker 1: they held the hookies. Is seventy eight rushing yard, It's

677
00:31:06,200 --> 00:31:08,520
Speaker 1: only four point one yards per carry. So if I'm

678
00:31:08,560 --> 00:31:11,440
Speaker 1: taking anything out of that and saying, listen, that game

679
00:31:11,480 --> 00:31:13,800
Speaker 1: got away from them, They're not playing the same kind

680
00:31:13,800 --> 00:31:16,320
Speaker 1: of caliber team in UCF. Washington is clearly a top

681
00:31:16,480 --> 00:31:19,920
Speaker 1: top ten team. They got a Heisman caliber quarterback. The

682
00:31:19,920 --> 00:31:21,560
Speaker 1: big question here and this is what I'm going to

683
00:31:21,640 --> 00:31:24,760
Speaker 1: pose to you, Taylor Green. Colin Wilson. He warned us

684
00:31:24,800 --> 00:31:29,440
Speaker 1: in the offseason. The OC was like, listen, I am

685
00:31:29,440 --> 00:31:31,480
Speaker 1: not going to run this quarterback. Well, he better pull

686
00:31:31,520 --> 00:31:33,040
Speaker 1: his heat out of his ass and start running this

687
00:31:33,120 --> 00:31:36,040
Speaker 1: quarterback because according to Avlos, the head coach, they ran

688
00:31:36,160 --> 00:31:38,560
Speaker 1: ten read type of plays for him there in Week

689
00:31:38,600 --> 00:31:40,880
Speaker 1: one in Washington, the Dns just stood at the line

690
00:31:40,880 --> 00:31:42,959
Speaker 1: of scrimmage and said, feel free, hand the ball off

691
00:31:42,960 --> 00:31:44,400
Speaker 1: to the running back. We're not going to let you

692
00:31:44,400 --> 00:31:47,120
Speaker 1: get to the edge. So do they let him run

693
00:31:47,160 --> 00:31:49,000
Speaker 1: a little bit and make some things happen? Because he

694
00:31:49,080 --> 00:31:52,040
Speaker 1: did have some decent throws. The offensive line actually protected

695
00:31:52,120 --> 00:31:53,880
Speaker 1: him pretty well. I was more worried in that game

696
00:31:54,160 --> 00:31:56,520
Speaker 1: about the edge rushers from Washington didn't seem to give

697
00:31:56,600 --> 00:31:58,360
Speaker 1: him a ton of problems because they did a lot

698
00:31:58,360 --> 00:32:01,360
Speaker 1: of rollouts in you know, deep dry. They also average

699
00:32:01,400 --> 00:32:04,560
Speaker 1: four point nine yards per carry, So the Bois offensive line,

700
00:32:04,560 --> 00:32:06,840
Speaker 1: it's encouraging. This is a play calling situation to me,

701
00:32:07,080 --> 00:32:09,440
Speaker 1: but I'm going to take a gamble on the week

702
00:32:09,520 --> 00:32:12,440
Speaker 1: one being you know that recency bias where the market

703
00:32:12,480 --> 00:32:15,000
Speaker 1: has UCF far ahead of Bois. I think it's a

704
00:32:15,040 --> 00:32:16,840
Speaker 1: tough road trip and I think playing on the smurf

705
00:32:16,880 --> 00:32:19,320
Speaker 1: turf is always difficult, so I'll take the Broncos on

706
00:32:19,360 --> 00:32:20,000
Speaker 1: the money line.

707
00:32:20,120 --> 00:32:23,280
Speaker 3: Yeah, I don't totally hate it, you know, full disclosure,

708
00:32:23,360 --> 00:32:26,880
Speaker 3: I already bet UCF minus two. I think it's moved

709
00:32:26,920 --> 00:32:29,720
Speaker 3: over field goal now, but I don't. I still don't

710
00:32:29,720 --> 00:32:31,600
Speaker 3: hate the money line play, just given what everything you

711
00:32:31,640 --> 00:32:33,880
Speaker 3: said with the variance of plumbley and like you said,

712
00:32:33,920 --> 00:32:36,680
Speaker 3: like uc have to either win easily or they'll lose.

713
00:32:37,360 --> 00:32:39,080
Speaker 3: And you mentioned the tailing green thing, which is kind

714
00:32:39,080 --> 00:32:41,080
Speaker 3: of what scares me is me and Colin had that

715
00:32:41,080 --> 00:32:44,480
Speaker 3: little debate and he was right. You know, he's he's

716
00:32:44,480 --> 00:32:46,880
Speaker 3: throwing the ball out more, which I don't love. But

717
00:32:47,000 --> 00:32:49,480
Speaker 3: maybe they realize, all right, that didn't work. You know,

718
00:32:49,800 --> 00:32:52,040
Speaker 3: let the kid run and it does work. So I

719
00:32:52,080 --> 00:32:54,400
Speaker 3: think this game has variant and upside. Like I said,

720
00:32:54,440 --> 00:32:57,360
Speaker 3: I am on UCF for what it's worth, but I

721
00:32:57,480 --> 00:32:59,760
Speaker 3: don't hate I think it has more variance than a

722
00:32:59,760 --> 00:33:02,000
Speaker 3: tip game. So I don't hate the money line. Look,

723
00:33:02,080 --> 00:33:05,480
Speaker 3: I wouldn't play Boise. I wouldn't play Bois with the points,

724
00:33:05,480 --> 00:33:08,760
Speaker 3: I would either take Boise money line or don't play

725
00:33:08,760 --> 00:33:11,320
Speaker 3: this game, or you know, or take UCF. So I

726
00:33:11,320 --> 00:33:14,280
Speaker 3: don't hate it, but from mine, I'm pairing it with

727
00:33:14,320 --> 00:33:17,720
Speaker 3: another plus one thirty play give me, give me. The

728
00:33:17,760 --> 00:33:21,040
Speaker 3: Huskies against Georgia State, Look, I really liked what I

729
00:33:21,040 --> 00:33:23,520
Speaker 3: saw from Joey Fagnano other than this game.

730
00:33:23,920 --> 00:33:25,200
Speaker 1: His numbers weren't.

731
00:33:24,880 --> 00:33:27,280
Speaker 3: Great in the end, but I watched every snap of

732
00:33:27,280 --> 00:33:29,600
Speaker 3: this game, and he looked very comfortable in this offense.

733
00:33:29,720 --> 00:33:30,880
Speaker 3: He's a lot more mobile.

734
00:33:30,600 --> 00:33:31,320
Speaker 1: Than I thought he was.

735
00:33:31,440 --> 00:33:34,080
Speaker 3: You know, he doesn't have the rushing upside of a Roberson,

736
00:33:34,560 --> 00:33:36,840
Speaker 3: but he's a much more polished passer, which, if you

737
00:33:36,880 --> 00:33:39,120
Speaker 3: watch the team last year, is exactly what they need.

738
00:33:39,240 --> 00:33:41,040
Speaker 3: They don't need a runner, they already have Victor Rosa

739
00:33:41,040 --> 00:33:43,360
Speaker 3: and Devonte Houston a care of the rushing attack. Rosa

740
00:33:43,400 --> 00:33:45,720
Speaker 3: had ninety nine yards and two touchdowns on just nine

741
00:33:45,760 --> 00:33:48,640
Speaker 3: carries against NC State. I expect their defense to be

742
00:33:48,760 --> 00:33:52,200
Speaker 3: much better than Georgia State's, and this defense was able

743
00:33:52,200 --> 00:33:54,720
Speaker 3: to hold the wolf Pack to twenty four points. Brendan

744
00:33:54,840 --> 00:33:57,520
Speaker 3: Armstrong had just one hundred and fifty five yards passing.

745
00:33:57,920 --> 00:34:01,720
Speaker 3: NC State had one explosive play the higher game. Meanwhile,

746
00:34:02,120 --> 00:34:05,200
Speaker 3: Georgia State just allowed over four hundred yards passing to

747
00:34:05,240 --> 00:34:07,440
Speaker 3: Rhode Island last week in a forty two to thirty

748
00:34:07,480 --> 00:34:11,600
Speaker 3: five shootout. Marcus Carroll was dominant for the Panthers. He

749
00:34:11,600 --> 00:34:14,160
Speaker 3: had one hundred and eighty four yards three touchdowns. I

750
00:34:14,160 --> 00:34:16,719
Speaker 3: expect Yukon to do a much better job containing him.

751
00:34:17,040 --> 00:34:19,279
Speaker 3: You know, Yukon did struggle to contain Armstrong leave with

752
00:34:19,320 --> 00:34:21,200
Speaker 3: the pocket, which kind of you know, Granger might have

753
00:34:21,280 --> 00:34:23,520
Speaker 3: a good game with his legs, but the Anti State

754
00:34:23,600 --> 00:34:26,000
Speaker 3: running backs managed just one hundred and thirteen yards on

755
00:34:26,000 --> 00:34:28,000
Speaker 3: twenty seven carries, so they were able to bottle them up.

756
00:34:28,000 --> 00:34:31,239
Speaker 3: So I think they'll contain Carol. If Grainger can beat him,

757
00:34:31,280 --> 00:34:33,719
Speaker 3: beat them by his legs on his own, good for him.

758
00:34:34,200 --> 00:34:36,080
Speaker 3: But you know, like I said, I don't watch enough

759
00:34:36,120 --> 00:34:38,600
Speaker 3: FCS football, so maybe Rhode Island is just some juggernaut.

760
00:34:38,600 --> 00:34:41,120
Speaker 3: But giving up over four hundred yards to an FCS team,

761
00:34:41,600 --> 00:34:43,719
Speaker 3: a colonial team that went seven to four last year,

762
00:34:43,960 --> 00:34:46,320
Speaker 3: they had seven point three yards to play against Georgia

763
00:34:46,320 --> 00:34:49,000
Speaker 3: State Like I said, I think Ficnando gives this offense

764
00:34:49,600 --> 00:34:51,600
Speaker 3: a different side that we didn't see last year. They

765
00:34:51,640 --> 00:34:54,319
Speaker 3: have this upside, this passing attack now, and I think

766
00:34:54,320 --> 00:34:56,440
Speaker 3: it's defense still good enough keeping the wolf Pack and

767
00:34:56,520 --> 00:34:59,399
Speaker 3: check that. I think they handled Georgia State, so give

768
00:34:59,440 --> 00:35:01,399
Speaker 3: me the they win this game.

769
00:35:01,480 --> 00:35:03,200
Speaker 1: I like when you got into the weeds with Carol's

770
00:35:03,200 --> 00:35:05,800
Speaker 1: big game, and I think that's the key here. They

771
00:35:05,840 --> 00:35:08,080
Speaker 1: have to absolutely bottle him up and do a better

772
00:35:08,160 --> 00:35:11,240
Speaker 1: job containing Granger than they did. You know, NC State

773
00:35:11,360 --> 00:35:14,880
Speaker 1: and you know Brendan Armstrong, So I'm with you. If

774
00:35:14,920 --> 00:35:16,279
Speaker 1: I were to play it, I would play UK on

775
00:35:16,320 --> 00:35:17,919
Speaker 1: money line, and I think that's where the value lies.

776
00:35:17,960 --> 00:35:20,440
Speaker 1: So hopefully we can pair these two up and you know,

777
00:35:20,480 --> 00:35:23,120
Speaker 1: pay out north of four to one and get into

778
00:35:23,120 --> 00:35:25,359
Speaker 1: the winning column here. All right, any picks, We got

779
00:35:25,400 --> 00:35:26,839
Speaker 1: a little bit of time left here in the show.

780
00:35:27,040 --> 00:35:31,640
Speaker 1: A quickerminder to our audience. That's the full weekly preview.

781
00:35:31,880 --> 00:35:35,799
Speaker 1: That's fbs G five P. Five Everything under the Sun

782
00:35:36,200 --> 00:35:39,200
Speaker 1: with Colin and Stuckey will drop later this week, so

783
00:35:39,360 --> 00:35:42,160
Speaker 1: be sure to be updating your podcast feeds to get that.

784
00:35:42,200 --> 00:35:43,960
Speaker 1: As soon as they give out their picks. They had

785
00:35:43,960 --> 00:35:46,600
Speaker 1: a very nice week one. They're a great tandem to follow.

786
00:35:46,760 --> 00:35:49,719
Speaker 1: As well as BBOC Live show on Saturdays, they also

787
00:35:49,760 --> 00:35:52,120
Speaker 1: put in you know, some content from Brett McMurphy here

788
00:35:52,120 --> 00:35:54,839
Speaker 1: the latest on realignment, some of his picks. Also through

789
00:35:55,120 --> 00:35:57,400
Speaker 1: throw out my best G five pick of the week.

790
00:35:57,640 --> 00:36:00,720
Speaker 1: So if you could give us a subscribe, tell a friend,

791
00:36:00,840 --> 00:36:02,400
Speaker 1: tell an enemy, that's how we do it here at

792
00:36:02,400 --> 00:36:04,960
Speaker 1: bbo C, we'd appreciate it, and reminded that our show

793
00:36:05,000 --> 00:36:07,920
Speaker 1: is presented by bet MGM. Real quick. I know it

794
00:36:07,960 --> 00:36:11,040
Speaker 1: wasn't the most robust G five slate, but was there

795
00:36:11,120 --> 00:36:13,560
Speaker 1: anything on the cutting room floor for you here? In

796
00:36:13,600 --> 00:36:14,080
Speaker 1: week two?

797
00:36:14,320 --> 00:36:16,160
Speaker 3: You mentioned, I mean you answered it. I was going

798
00:36:16,200 --> 00:36:18,919
Speaker 3: to ask the two gross to bet Northwestern. I still

799
00:36:19,000 --> 00:36:21,560
Speaker 3: might have to do it, just I don't know, we'll see.

800
00:36:21,600 --> 00:36:23,840
Speaker 3: I might have to just get gross with it and

801
00:36:23,880 --> 00:36:26,120
Speaker 3: bet Northwestern as a home dog. The only other one

802
00:36:26,280 --> 00:36:31,360
Speaker 3: I kind of considered was North Carolina minus seventeen seventeen

803
00:36:31,360 --> 00:36:33,320
Speaker 3: and a half against app State. I didn't talk. I

804
00:36:33,400 --> 00:36:36,560
Speaker 3: was like, really good against South Carolina. App States quarterback

805
00:36:36,600 --> 00:36:39,080
Speaker 3: got hurt, and that when Ryan Berger got hurt, agi

806
00:36:39,200 --> 00:36:41,759
Speaker 3: Ar came in. He looked pretty good, but there's a

807
00:36:41,760 --> 00:36:44,000
Speaker 3: reason he didn't win the job. And I just think

808
00:36:44,040 --> 00:36:47,440
Speaker 3: that game was so weird last year, so back and forth.

809
00:36:47,520 --> 00:36:49,759
Speaker 3: Remember that was the game that was like what was

810
00:36:49,800 --> 00:36:51,759
Speaker 3: the final in that game was like sixty something if

811
00:36:51,800 --> 00:36:53,560
Speaker 3: they had like forty five points in the last in

812
00:36:53,600 --> 00:36:56,319
Speaker 3: the fourth quarter. I think North Carolina, even though they won,

813
00:36:56,440 --> 00:36:58,359
Speaker 3: was embarrassed by that game. And I think I think

814
00:36:58,400 --> 00:37:00,520
Speaker 3: there was a chance they step on app states here.

815
00:37:00,600 --> 00:37:03,120
Speaker 3: So I did think about that one, but really nothing

816
00:37:03,160 --> 00:37:05,239
Speaker 3: else except the Northwestern but I thought it was too

817
00:37:05,239 --> 00:37:06,840
Speaker 3: gross to bran up on the show. Hopefull that's in

818
00:37:06,880 --> 00:37:08,160
Speaker 3: Stucky's trass section.

819
00:37:08,760 --> 00:37:11,280
Speaker 1: For a trash game that I circled that I'm probably

820
00:37:11,280 --> 00:37:13,920
Speaker 1: gonna end up paying because the line movement's been pretty significant.

821
00:37:13,960 --> 00:37:16,560
Speaker 1: I had it power rated at twenty eight and it's

822
00:37:16,640 --> 00:37:19,080
Speaker 1: Florida State playing Southern Miss. It's up to thirty one.

823
00:37:19,440 --> 00:37:22,400
Speaker 1: I mean, if there ever was a letdown game on

824
00:37:22,520 --> 00:37:24,960
Speaker 1: a short week, everybody patting me on the back. You're

825
00:37:24,960 --> 00:37:27,480
Speaker 1: going to the playoff, you winning the national title. Jordan

826
00:37:27,520 --> 00:37:30,600
Speaker 1: Travis given the Heisman up against a Southern Miss team

827
00:37:30,640 --> 00:37:32,480
Speaker 1: that the whole offseason we talked about, do they have

828
00:37:32,520 --> 00:37:36,680
Speaker 1: a quarterback? They do they have improved quarterback play. They

829
00:37:36,719 --> 00:37:40,000
Speaker 1: still got Frank Gore Junior. They got the nasty boy defense,

830
00:37:40,120 --> 00:37:42,560
Speaker 1: Like thirty one seems like a lot to me. So

831
00:37:42,600 --> 00:37:45,600
Speaker 1: a situational play, I'll throw that in the pod as well.

832
00:37:46,480 --> 00:37:48,680
Speaker 1: I rankings were calling for a four touchdown spread.

833
00:37:48,960 --> 00:37:52,200
Speaker 3: I totally forgot Rodriguez. Clark transferred to Southern miss the

834
00:37:52,239 --> 00:37:54,520
Speaker 3: old Memphis running back, which is huge because we've seen,

835
00:37:54,560 --> 00:37:56,799
Speaker 3: I mean, Frank Gore has to have more touches than

836
00:37:56,840 --> 00:37:58,719
Speaker 3: any player in the country in the last like three years.

837
00:37:58,760 --> 00:38:00,920
Speaker 3: So given I mean Gorse, I'll had a rushing touchdown

838
00:38:00,960 --> 00:38:03,719
Speaker 3: and a receiving touchdown. But justin just you know what,

839
00:38:03,800 --> 00:38:06,279
Speaker 3: Clark had nine carries, Like just getting Gore off the

840
00:38:06,320 --> 00:38:08,080
Speaker 3: field nine times. I think it's gonna be big for

841
00:38:08,120 --> 00:38:10,799
Speaker 3: Gore's production. So and I agree with you. Yeah, Billy

842
00:38:10,840 --> 00:38:13,879
Speaker 3: Wilders looked awesome. So they got a quarterback. I don't

843
00:38:13,920 --> 00:38:14,200
Speaker 3: hate it.

844
00:38:14,280 --> 00:38:17,360
Speaker 1: Yeah, So situation will play Florida State obviously want to

845
00:38:17,400 --> 00:38:19,839
Speaker 1: get into their two deep, you know, three deep, try

846
00:38:19,880 --> 00:38:22,480
Speaker 1: to get some people some experience. They got bigger games

847
00:38:22,480 --> 00:38:25,160
Speaker 1: on the horizon, you know, in September taken on Clemson.

848
00:38:25,480 --> 00:38:28,680
Speaker 1: So it is my favorite the letdown, look ahead to

849
00:38:28,719 --> 00:38:31,319
Speaker 1: future games, and you know, maybe win this game by

850
00:38:31,680 --> 00:38:33,600
Speaker 1: let's call it twenty four to twenty eight and not

851
00:38:33,719 --> 00:38:36,080
Speaker 1: end up covering all right. For Mike Iel, I'm Mike

852
00:38:36,080 --> 00:38:38,000
Speaker 1: Calabrey's this has been the Group of five Deep Dive

853
00:38:38,120 --> 00:38:41,399
Speaker 1: under the BBOC banner. A reminder to listen into Colin

854
00:38:41,440 --> 00:38:44,440
Speaker 1: and Stuck's full preview coming outs later this week, and

855
00:38:44,440 --> 00:38:47,399
Speaker 1: to catch us over at YouTube for the BBOC full

856
00:38:47,440 --> 00:38:50,759
Speaker 1: Saturday show that is live, is streamed. It's all over

857
00:38:50,800 --> 00:38:53,400
Speaker 1: social media. Tell a friend, Tell an enemy, Share, and

858
00:38:53,480 --> 00:38:56,759
Speaker 1: also a reminder to send us some reviews. I did

859
00:38:56,880 --> 00:39:00,480
Speaker 1: notice on the Apple reviews that we threw out one

860
00:39:00,560 --> 00:39:04,240
Speaker 1: to hear, Bob Coop twenty two, The G five goats,

861
00:39:04,239 --> 00:39:05,960
Speaker 1: the real Mike and Mike are the only guys I

862
00:39:06,000 --> 00:39:07,840
Speaker 1: listened to when it comes to the G five, Let's

863
00:39:07,880 --> 00:39:11,840
Speaker 1: have a season. Boys, you know what, contact me. You

864
00:39:11,880 --> 00:39:15,480
Speaker 1: can hit me up over at Twitter that's at East Breeze,

865
00:39:15,480 --> 00:39:17,600
Speaker 1: and I'll place a ten dollars parlay of your choosing

866
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Speaker 1: because you're a real one. Bob Coop twenty two appreciate it.

867
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Speaker 1: Please send us as many reviews five stars only as

868
00:39:23,000 --> 00:39:25,640
Speaker 1: you can. Have a great Saturday and hopefully end the

869
00:39:25,640 --> 00:39:40,279
Speaker 1: week in the black. Tack. Care Action Network reminds you

870
00:39:40,640 --> 00:39:44,280
Speaker 1: please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you care about

871
00:39:44,320 --> 00:39:47,279
Speaker 1: has a gambling problem, help is available twenty four to

872
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Speaker 1: seven at one eight hundred Gambler